Podcasts about Lowy Institute

The New START Treaty has expired, China is quadrupling its nuclear arsenal, and the Trump administration has yet to prioritise arms control. Rose Gottemoeller, a former chief US negotiator of New START and ex-Deputy Secretary General of NATO, speaks with the Lowy Institute’s Sam Roggeveen about the growing risks of a three-way nuclear stand-off, what the wars in Ukraine and Iran reveal about the future of warfare, and why she will always be a believer in arms control agreements. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Former Prime Minister Paul Keating has said of AUKUS that "we don't need to be a pair of shoes hanging out of America's backside". Is that a fair characterisation of Australia's position vis a vis AUKUS? Are we getting the short end of the stick with this deal, and sacrificing our sovereignty to boot? This episode originally broadcast on December 20, 2024 as part of our 6-part AUKUS Investigated series GUESTS:Sam Roggeveen - Director of the Lowy Institute's International Security Program. He is the author of The Echidna Strategy: Australia's Search for Power and PeaceMalcolm Turnbull - 29th Prime Minister of Australia 2015-2018.Richard Marles - the Deputy Prime Minister of Australia, Minister for Defence and the Federal Member for Corio.GET IN TOUCH: We'd love to hear from you! Email us at global.roaming@abc.net.au

Should we be spending up to $368 billion on nuclear powered submarines over the next 30 years? Peter Garrett, the former Labor Minister and Midnight Oil star doesn't think so. He's set up a crowdfunded inquiry into the AUKUS submarine deal. It follows the government revealing the original agreement has changed a bit with the US to switch out one new sub for a second hand one. Today, Sam Roggeveen, director of the Lowy Institute's International Security Program, on the growing concerns about the deal and what we really need to defend Australia.Featured: Sam Roggeveen, director of the Lowy Institute's International Security Program

"On pretty much every measure, Putin is failing and he doesn't really have a lot of options moving forward." Russia is losing ground, its defence industry has plateaued, and Ukraine is striking deeper into Russian territory than at any point in the war. So what does that mean for how the conflict ends — and what can Australia learn from the battlefields of Europe and the Middle East? Lowy Institute Senior Fellow for Military Studies Mick Ryan joins International Security Program Director Sam Roggeveen to assess the shifting momentum in the Ukraine war, the emergence of a new theory of offensive operations, and why Western militaries — Australia included — are failing to absorb the lessons of modern warfare. Mick's latest Lowy Institute analysis paper, Modern war and the systemic learning deficit in Western military institutions, is available free on our website. More on this topic: Ukraine is turning the tables, Financial Times, Christopher Miller and Max Seddon More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Lowy Institute has released a new analysis claiming western militaries have failed to learn important lessons from conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East. It argues countries like Australia have been slow to boost capability, while authoritarian states like China, Russia and Iran are rapidly embracing new technologies. Report author Retired Major General Mick Ryan joins Breaking Politics to unpack what needs to change. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Sport can be one of the great unifying forces in international affairs. But is Australia making the most of its opportunities off the field? In this episode, Andrew Griffits speaks with Mark Falvo, Interim CEO of Netball Australia and one of Australia’s most experienced sporting administrators, about how Australia approaches major sporting events as tools of foreign policy. They also cover the diplomatic missed opportunities of the past, the soft power potential of the upcoming 2027 Netball World Cup and 2026 FIFA World Cup, Australia's sporting engagement with Asia and the Pacific, the legacy of the 2023 FIFA Women's World Cup, and the contested line between sports diplomacy and sports-washing. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Myanmar has been in a state of violent upheaval since the military seized power in 2021, leading to a nationwide resistance and the collapse of vital state functions. Myanmar’s parliament recently convened for the first time in five years, with the former commander-in-chief Min Aung Hlaing appointed as president. Hunter Marston, Director of the Lowy Institute’s Southeast Asia Program, and Sean Turnell, a Senior Fellow in the Southeast Asia Program and former economic adviser to Aung San Suu Kyi, discuss the current state of the resistance in Myanmar, prospects for the country’s economy, and what the international community can do to encourage dialogue between all parties. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On the eve of the upcoming Trump-Xi summit, Donald Trump's approach to China looks less like strategic competition and more like a search for a deal. In this episode, Richard McGregor speaks with Lowy Institute Nonresident Fellow and former Biden White House official, Thomas Wright, about what the Trump–Xi summit reveals, why the 2025 tariff war ended badly for Washington, and how the Democratic Party is reckoning with its own foreign policy legacy. Wright also makes the case that the world now faces not one American foreign policy, but two — and must plan accordingly. You can access Tom Wright’s Lowy Institute Paper Inflection Point: Biden, Trump, and the Future World Order here: https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/inflection-point-biden-trump-future-world-order More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

For years, the conventional wisdom held that the United States retained a decisive lead over China in the technologies and industries that will define the 21st century. The 2025 report of the US–China Economic and Security Review Commission to Congress challenges that view, and its conclusions make for sobering reading. Ahead of the Trump–Xi summit where trade and technology are on the table, the Commission finds that China has not only caught up with but in multiple sectors now leads advanced economies including the United States. From electric vehicles and solar panels to quantum computing pathways and pharmaceutical supply chains, Beijing’s combination of state direction, entrepreneurial competition, and sustained investment has produced results that Western policymakers are only beginning to reckon with. In this episode, the Lowy Institute's Richard McGregor speaks with Randy Schriver and Mike Kuiken — vice-chairs of the Commission — about what their report found and what it means. They discuss China’s model of directed innovation, the case for a consolidated US economic statecraft entity, the multiple “choke points” China now holds over industrialised economies, and what sustained engagement in the Pacific, including by Australia, must look like to be effective. They also assess the military situation around Taiwan and the second-order implications of the ongoing conflict with Iran. Randy Schriver served as Assistant Secretary of Defense for Indo-Pacific Security Affairs in the first Trump administration. Mike Kuiken is a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution and a former senior adviser to Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Samir Puri, former UK diplomat and author of Westlessness: The Great Global Rebalancing, joins Transnational Challenges Program Director Lydia Khalil to explore the long decline of Western dominance in world affairs. They discuss why the rise of the non-West is about far more than China's challenge to the United States, and how the BRICS bloc is reshaping global networks. They also explore what a more multipolar world means for a country like Australia — Western by heritage, but increasingly embedded in Asia. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Major General Mick Ryan, Australian Army (retired), Senior Fellow for Military Studies at the Lowy Institute, adjunct fellow with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, and author of the Futura Doctrina Substack joins the show to dissect the current state of the war in Iran. Is this conflict entering a postmortem phase, or are we still in the middle of it? How has America performed so far? How does this war connect to the Pacific theater? Are we adapting for a broader global conflict, and are our adversaries adapting as well? Times: 002:20 Iran war impact on Australia 05:06 American performance in this war 06:22 Israeli partnership over NATO 08:21 Strait of Hormuz closure 13:07 Is the US prepared for a long-term war? 15:50 Importance of AI 18:17 Israeli performance 18:55 Iran frustrating US objectives 19:26 Lessons for Taiwan 20:31 Does political decapitation work? 22:41 How is the Axis learning from this conflict 25:44 China's interest in the Middle East 29:04 Grim predictions of the road ahead 30:40 Iranian hardliners 31:16 Importance of getting the strait open 34:29 Pilot rescue mission Follow along on Instagram, X @schoolofwarpod, and YouTube @SchoolofWarPodcast Find more at The Free Press.

When Iran deterred shipping from the Strait of Hormuz following Operation Epic Fury, it sent shockwaves through global energy markets and exposed uncomfortable truths about Australia's dependence on maritime trade. Jennifer Parker, a Nonresident Fellow at the Lowy Institute and former Royal Australian Navy warfare officer, joins Research Fellow Charlie Lyons-Jones to explain what a naval blockade means for the crisis. They also unpack Australia’s new National Defence Strategy and discuss why Australia’s surface combatant fleet is the smallest it's been since the 1950s. This episode was recorded on Wednesday 15 April 2026. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Geopolitical strategist Parag Khanna joins the Lowy Institute's Sam Roggeveen to make sense of a world in flux. In a wide-ranging conversation recorded on the day President Trump declared the Iran war nearly over, the pair discuss what the conflict reveals about multipolarity, why Mark Carney's Davos speech resonated more than expected, and why every attempt to unwind globalisation ends up deepening it. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

British Cabinet Minister the Rt Hon Darren Jones MP joins the Lowy Institute’s Executive Director Dr Michael Fullilove AM for a wide-ranging conversation about politics, power and the transatlantic relationship. Serving as Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, Minister for Intergovernmental Relations, and Chief Secretary to the Prime Minister, Jones is one of the most senior figures in PM Keir Starmer's government. In this episode, Darren Jones and Michael Fullilove discuss the MP’s rise from a council estate in Bristol to the Cabinet table, the lessons UK Labour learned from Hawke and Keating, and why people shouldn't underestimate Keir Starmer. They also cover the challenge posed by Nigel Farage's Reform UK party, the long shadow of Brexit, how Britain navigates its alliance with President Trump's America, and the strategic logic of AUKUS. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What does the conflict between the US and Iran mean for Australia's security environment, and what should Australian organisations be doing now to prepare?In this episode of the Security Insider podcast, we discuss the real-world implications of escalating conflict in the Middle East for Australian businesses, critical infrastructure, and security leaders. We examine how this crisis could affect fuel and freight, cyber risk, supply chains, domestic threat conditions, and the broader security posture of Australian organisations.This conversation is especially relevant for security managers in large organisations, security company owners, and systems integrators who need to understand not just the geopolitics, but the practical consequences for people, assets, continuity, and risk planning.Our guest for this episode is is Major General Mick Ryan AM, one of Australia's most respected military thinkers and commentators on strategy, war, and national security. Mick served for 35 years in the Australian Army and is now a Senior Fellow for Military Studies in the Lowy Institute's International Security Program. He is widely known for his analysis of modern warfare, military adaptation, and the strategic implications of global conflict for Australia and its allies.For more episodes, visit www.asial.com.au

Drone technology is now more accessible than ever. What was once the exclusive domain of state actors now falls within reach of nearly anyone with a credit card and a data signal. Domestic extremists are no exception — they are increasingly incorporating drones into attack plots, taking inspiration from the battlefield. Violent plots utilising drones have increased sharply over the past five years, but governments are underprepared. In this episode, the Lowy Institute’s James Paterson and Lydia Khalil discuss their policy paper, The ungoverned sky: Drones and the domestic extremist threat, and outline their recommendations for how to address this growing challenge. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Military strategist Jennifer Parker on the story behind the biggest disruption to oil supplies in world history, happening now in the Strait of Hormuz.The narrow waterway in the Persian Gulf has a particular geographical importance to the world, as the land on one side belongs to Iran, and the country has a history of using it to pressure its enemies in times of conflict.A quarter of all oil production passes through it so disrupting that flow can have an enormous impact on the global economy.Right now, in response to heavy bombardment from the U.S and Israel, Iran has effectively shut down this waterway by attacking commercial vessels trying to get through. Jennifer Parker served for more than 20 years as an officer with the Royal Australian Navy and has travelled through the Strait of Hormuz during her multiple deployments to the Persian Gulf.She is currently an associate at the ANU's National Security College and a fellow at the Lowy Institute. This episode of Conversations was produced by Jen Leake, the Executive Produce is Nicola Harrison.It explores Iran, The Strait of Hormuz, the Persian Gulf, conflict, war, global oil production, the US, Israel, war, attacks, commercial shipping, Royal Australian Navy, China, US submarines, international law, Donald Trump, the Persian Gulf States, global economy, fuel prices, drones, ballistic missiles, nuclear weapons, Russia, Venezuela.

Why did the United States and Israel choose to strike Iran now – and what are the strategic consequences of that decision? What lessons have been learnt from Iran's asymmetric response? Can Iran's protesters realistically leverage the current crisis for meaningful political change, or has the aerial campaign by US and Israel undermined their momentum? How can Australia and other US allies balance alliance commitments with national interests in this conflict? In this episode, Beth Sanner and Dr Rodger Shanahan join Justin Burke to discuss the drivers of the Iran war, and examine the broader implications for regional and global security.Beth Sanner is a Distinguished Advisor at the ANU National Security College (NSC). She is the former US Deputy Director of National Intelligence, a 35-year intelligence veteran, and now the Director of Geopolitics and Strategy for International Capital Strategies.Dr Rodger Shanahan is a former Army officer with a PhD in Arab and Islamic studies. He has previously held appointments at NSC and the Lowy Institute, with operational and diplomatic experience in the Middle East.Justin Burke is Senior Policy Advisor at NSC.TRANSCRIPTShow notes:· NSC academic programs – find out moreWe'd love to hear from you! Send in your questions, comments, and suggestions to NatSecPod@anu.edu.au. You can tweet us @NSC_ANU and be sure to subscribe so you don't miss out on future episodes. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Lowy Institute Lead Economist Roland Rajah and Nonresident Fellow Jenny Gordon discuss the economic implications of the expanding conflict in Iran. They put recent events in context, unpacking how we should understand and address the ongoing geoeconomic shocks. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Susannah Patton tells Mohammad Asif Khan that Asia remains fundamentally bipolar, dominated by the United States and China, even as India emerges as a major power. Edited excerpts:   What is the Asia Power Index, and why does it matter in understanding the balance of power in the Indo-Pacific? Asia Power Index is a really unique research product that the Lowy Institute, a think tank based in Sydney, first launched in 2018. What the index aims to do is to compare the comprehensive national power of 27 countries in Asia, so from as far west as Pakistan through south and southeast Asia, including the United States (US), Russia, and Australia, to compare which country is the most powerful. Because many traditional assessments of comprehensive national power really only looked at a couple of things, namely the size of the economy and the size of the armed forces. And so what the Asia Power Index tried to do was to provide a much more modern and contemporary assessment of relative national power. And it's important to bear in mind that one of the reasons why this is so important is because there are very contested views about which country is the most powerful and by what margin. When I'm talking about the Asia Power Index, I often compare and contrast very conflicting headlines that we see about, for example, the US power. Is it in terminal decline? Is the US still an unquestioned superpower?  To what extent is China on a trajectory to overtake or rival the US? These are the questions which scholars, analysts and everyday people really heavily contest, which is also the case when it comes to questions about India's regional role too. So the Asia Power Index provides a really unique perspective in actually bringing data to bear. So we use more than 130 quantitative indicators, about half our own research and half are drawn from international sources. So it's a very, very unique research publication.   India has crossed the 40 points mark for the first time (on the Asia Power Index) and is now classified as a major power. What were the creed drivers behind this shift in 2025? I think it's important to maybe just take a step back and reflect very briefly on the overall dynamics that we see in the Asia Power Index, because the broad picture ever since 2018 has been that the US and China are a long way ahead of any other countries in Asia. Japan and India are kind of in that next tier of powers, but a considerable margin separates these countries from the US and China. And that's why we describe the distribution of power in Asia as bipolar rather than multipolar. And maybe that's something we can come back to and talk more about because I think it's an important question for India's strategy. But that's the broad picture that we see things as being largely bipolar. However, when it comes to India, there has been a positive trend in terms of its comprehensive power, not just this year, but over the last few years as well. In the 2024 edition of the Asia Power Index, India overtook Japan to become the third-ranked power in Asia. And then last year, India reached that threshold, which we defined for a major power, which is also a significant milestone. So what are the drivers for India's improved performance in the Index? I would say economic growth is really fundamental, and the fact that India has a more positive economic trajectory than, say, Japan, which faces long-term demographic challenges, is one reason why India's power has grown in the Index. I think some of the other things which play into India's growing power in the Index would also be our measure for diplomatic influence. Diplomatic influence is one of the eight measures of influence which we look at and India has recorded quite a steady growth in its diplomatic influence which is based on both quantitative measures looking at, for example, the size of India's diplomatic network, membership of regional organisations and groupi

To mark International Women’s Day, Lowy Institute fellows Susannah Patton and Serena Sasingian speak with Lydia Khalil in a wide-ranging discussion on women in international relations. They explore how gender equality strategies fit into realist power politics, how the global rise of “strongman” politics is threatening hard-won gains for women worldwide, and the relationship between gender equality and national power. They also reflect on their own careers and offer ideas for what meaningful progress could look like. More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Rodger Shanahan joins John Anderson to examine the true objectives behind U.S. and Israeli military action against Iran. Is this about preventing a nuclear capability, dismantling Iran's proxy network, or ultimately forcing regime change? Shanahan argues that while public messaging has been inconsistent, the rhetoric and targeting patterns increasingly point toward regime change — a strategic ambition with a poor historical record when pursued through air power alone.The discussion unpacks Iran's ideological foundations, its history of foreign intervention, the erosion of its “forward defence” strategy, and the real limits of military precision in shaping political outcomes. From contested nuclear claims to the future of the rules-based order, this is a sober, strategic assessment of whether the world will emerge safer — or more unstable.Rodger Shanahan is a non-resident fellow at the Lowy Institute specialising in Middle East security and strategic affairs. He holds a PhD in Arab and Islamic Studies from the University of Sydney and is a former Australian Army officer with operational deployments to Lebanon, Syria, Afghanistan and East Timor, as well as diplomatic postings to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. He has also served as an expert witness in more than 30 Australian terrorism cases.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney delivered a frank and impassioned speech at this year's World Economic Forum at Davos. He argued that in an era of great power competition, middle powers can no longer afford to maintain the fiction of a rules-based order. While never calling out President Trump by name, Carney highlighted the broader “rupture" in the global order. Speaking with the Lowy Institute's Sam Roggeveen, Lydia Khalil discusses the value of rhetoric and dissects how Carney's remarks are being viewed in Canberra and other world capitals. While it has been much talked about, will Carney's speech shift how middle powers coordinate globally? More episodes of the Lowy Institute's podcasts are available on your favourite podcast apps, including Spotify, YouTube and Apple. Follow the Lowy Institute on our website, X, Instagram or LinkedIn. Follow Sam Roggeveen on X and LinkedIn. Follow Lydia Khalil on LinkedIn. More on this topic “Principled and pragmatic: Canada’s path”, Prime Minister Carney addresses the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting “A rupture, not a transition”:Carney’s new order, Sam Roggeveen, The Interpreter Nato without America: Europe ‘thinks the unthinkable’, Ben Hall and Henry Foy, Financial Times See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode of Technology & Security, Dr Miah Hammond-Errey is joined by Major General Mick Ryan to examine how emerging technologies are reshaping war, alliances, and societies at a moment of profound global uncertainty. Ryan argues that the post-World War II order has ended, leaving democracies in an interregnum characterised by growing chaos. Against this backdrop, technology—from AI and autonomous systems to information and cognitive warfare—is not removing friction from conflict, but accelerating it, widening its surface area, and increasing the consequences of strategic misjudgement.Drawing on his recent work, Ryan explores lessons from Ukraine as a laboratory for contemporary conflict, emphasising that the most transformative shift is not drones or AI, but the speed at which societies and institutions can learn and adapt. This episode examines the changing role of alliances, the tension between values and interests, the risks of over-reliance on technology without organisational reform, and the ethical limits of AI in decision-making. The conversation concludes with an assessment of national resilience—economic, cyber, physical, and societal—and the need for clearer public conversations about risk, preparedness, and the responsibilities of citizenship in an increasingly contested world.Major General Mick Ryan (Ret'd) is a former senior Australian Army commander and leading analyst of war, strategy, and emerging technologies, currently a Senior Fellow at the Lowy Institute and Fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).

Serbian analyst Nikola Mikovic argues that the contemporary world remains firmly under Western dominance, refuting the popular narrative of an emerging multipolar global order. He posits that the United States and its European allies possess unmatched power, citing recent military actions in Venezuela and the lack of support for Iran as proof of Russian and Chinese weakness. Mikovic characterizes Russia and Iran as an “axis of impotence,” suggesting they are incapable of providing a true alternative to Western systems. The discussion also explores the global shift toward technocracy, noting that rapid digitalization and the elimination of cash are occurring across both East and West. Finally, the source warns of a potential large-scale war in Europe and predicts a “Great Game” in Central Asia where the West and China will ultimately displace Russian influence. Watch on BitChute / Brighteon / Rumble / Substack / YouTube *Support Geopolitics & Empire! Become a Member https://geopoliticsandempire.substack.com Donate https://geopoliticsandempire.com/donations Consult https://geopoliticsandempire.com/consultation **Listen Ad-Free for $4.99 a Month or $49.99 a Year! Apple Subscriptions https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/geopolitics-empire/id1003465597 Supercast https://geopoliticsandempire.supercast.com ***Visit Our Affiliates & Sponsors! Above Phone https://abovephone.com/?above=geopolitics American Gold Exchange https://www.amergold.com/geopolitics easyDNS (15% off with GEOPOLITICS) https://easydns.com Escape The Technocracy (15% off with GEOPOLITICS) https://escapethetechnocracy.com/geopolitics Outbound Mexico https://outboundmx.com PassVult https://passvult.com Sociatates Civis https://societates-civis.com StartMail https://www.startmail.com/partner/?ref=ngu4nzr Wise Wolf Gold https://www.wolfpack.gold/?ref=geopolitics Websites X https://x.com/nikola_mikovic Telegram https://t.me/Nikola_Mikovic About Nikola Mikovic Nikola Mikovic is a freelance journalist, researcher and analyst based in Serbia. He covers mostly the foreign policies of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine, as well as energy-related issues. Nikola primarily focuses on Russia's involvement in post-Soviet space, the Middle East, and the Balkans. He writes for several publications such as Byline Times, CGTN, Lowy Institute, Global Comment, and World Geostratregic Insights, among others. *Podcast intro music used with permission is from the song “The Queens Jig” by the fantastic “Musicke & Mirth” from their album “Music for Two Lyra Viols”: http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

進入2026年的全球經濟充滿樂觀，韌性無敵更是被喊的 喊徹雲霄，我們今天就來談談全球經濟韌性的真相及可能的變化？另外，說到韌性就不能不提東南亞地區，這個關稅報價單剛剛出爐的最大苦主，目前看來一切無恙，為什麼？ 一， 1月13日，世界銀行發布最新一期《全球經濟展望》報告，將2026年全球經濟增長預期上調至2.6%，比2025年6月預測值高出了0.2個百分點。同一天。國際勞工組織《2026年就業與社會趨勢》報告最新匯編數據，再次樂觀的告訴我們2026年全球失業率預計將穩定在約4.9%，相當於約1.86億人失業。 不只於此，1月14日，法國巴黎銀行展望2026年表示，全球經濟將溫和成長，美國以外其他國家通膨已見頂，全球央行貨幣政策持續放寬，提供固定收益及外匯市場的機會；基於這波牛市仍有上漲空間，建議可繼續加碼全球股票，尤其是亞洲科技類股。 但來自華爾街的高盛、摩根士丹利異口同聲表示：邁入2026年，全球資本市場算是站到了關鍵路口。如果說前幾年是宏觀預期大洗牌，那今年更像是真金白銀驗證年，也就是經濟大方向向好，但想躺贏可沒那麼容易，市場波動只會多不會少。 二， 去年12月20日，澳大利亞智庫洛伊研究所（Lowy Institute）的最新分析認為，儘管面對中國的巨額出口順差以及美國的貿易政策壓力，東南亞國家仍保持強大的貿易韌性，對全球貿易動蕩的抵御力遠高於人們的普遍看法。 事實上，去年底開始，外國資金開始重返東南亞股市，使該地區成為2026年全球金融市場版圖中不容忽視的焦點。受估值偏低與資產配置分散需求吸引，外資12月已向東南亞新興市場注入3.37億美元，創下2024年9月以來單月流入最高金額。 部分東南亞市場也被認為將受惠於全球供應鏈移出中國，以及聯準會的潛在降 息。印尼、越南、菲律賓等國受益於政府擴大基建與刺激需求的財政計畫，加上貨幣政策環境有利，企業獲利前景正在改善。 Powered by Firstory Hosting

This episode with Dr Bobo Lo explores the breakdown of the post-Cold War rules-based international order and what is emerging in its place. We examine why today's global system is better understood as a condition of disorder rather than a coherent new order, shaped by diffuse power, weakening institutions, and growing mistrust of Western norms, and how the erosion of democratic practice within Western societies has undermined their global credibility, and how Russia and China have exploited, rather than created, these weaknesses. We also unpack the limits of concepts such as multipolarity, the strategic differences between Moscow and Beijing, and why global challenges like climate change, pandemics, inequality, and technological disruption cannot be addressed without revitalised forms of international cooperation.Dr Lo is one of the most respected analysts of global order and great power politics and is widely known for his analysis of global governance, strategic competition, and the structural forces driving international instability. A former deputy head of mission at the Australian Embassy in Moscow, he previously led the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House and is now a Non-Resident Fellow at the Lowy Institute. He is the author of several influential books, including Axis of Convenience: Moscow, Beijing, and the New Geopolitics (2008) and his latest book The Disorderly Society: Rethinking Global Governance in an Age of Anarchy (2026), which covers the topics discussed in this episode extensively.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime, to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter.The International Risk Podcast is sponsored by Conducttr, a realistic crisis exercise platform. Conducttr offers crisis exercising software for corporates, consultants, humanitarian, and defence & security clients. Visit Conducttr to learn more.Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe's leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe's leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe's business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. Dominic equips today's business leaders with the insight and confidence to lead through disruption and deliver sustained strategic advantage.Follow us on LinkedIn and Tell us what you liked!

問：根據洛伊研究所（Lowy Institute）的亞洲權力指數，目前的亞洲權力格局呈現什麼狀態？答：亞洲地區目前只有兩個「超級大國」（Superpowers），分別是排名第一的美國（80.5分）和排名第二的中國（73.7分）。印度雖然得分剛好達到40分，被歸類為「主要力量」（Major Power），但其影響力主要體現在龐大的人口基數及海外移民社群（如加拿大、澳洲）的增長。日本與澳洲則屬於「中等權力」（Middle Power）國家，分別在區域內發揮關鍵的戰略與經濟影響力。問：為何日本在經歷「迷失三十年」後，其對亞洲的影響力依然不容忽視？答：日本雖然在90年代經歷泡沫爆破，但它比其他國家更早進入「後資本主義社會」模式，面對人口高齡化與金融體系調整。日本透過強大的軟實力（如動漫文化、諾貝爾獎科研成果）以及海外投資維持影響力。此外，日本企業具有極長的歷史與法人概念，展現出極強的文化適應力與融合能力，使其在經濟與文明發展水平上仍處於亞洲領先地位。問：澳洲與日本目前的戰略合作關係涵蓋哪些範疇？ 答：兩國已超越單純的貿易夥伴關係，發展成為「特別戰略夥伴」。在國防方面，雙方進行F-35戰機部署輪換及參與聯合軍演；在外交上強調民主、人權與自由貿易的共同價值。在經濟層面，雙方正致力於建立穩定的供應鏈，特別是在能源轉型與關鍵礦物資源的開發上進行深度合作。問：為何日本在能源轉型上傾向依賴澳洲的液化天然氣（LNG）與氫能，而非全面轉向太陽能？答：受限於地理緯度與氣候（如降雪），日本發展太陽能的先天條件不足。同時，由於福島事故後對核能的卻步，日本必須尋求穩定的替代能源。澳洲擁有豐富的天然資源，能提供日本急需的液化天然氣作為過渡能源，並合作開發氫能供應鏈。這使得澳洲成為日本能源安全的重要保障。問：從環保與能源效率的角度來看，為何日本車廠（如豐田）主力發展混能車（Hybrid）而非純電動車（EV）？答：電動車的環保效益取決於電力的來源。在許多亞洲國家（如印尼），電力主要來自燃煤發電，使用電動車僅是將碳排放轉移至發電廠。加上日本地理環境對充電設施的限制及防災考量，發展混能車或氫燃料電池車（Fuel Cell）被視為更符合當地能源結構與實際效益的策略。問：冷戰2.0 的經濟特徵是什麼？這如何影響全球供應鏈？答：冷戰2.0 的特徵在於兩種截然不同的經濟作業模式並存：一方主張自由貿易、資金流動與創新風險承擔（以美國為首）；另一方則強調低成本、大規模生產與效率（以中國為首）。這導致全球供應鏈不再單純依據比較優勢分配，而是涉及智慧財產權保護與價值鏈的重新整合，科技與資本的競爭日益集中於美中兩國。 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit leesimon.substack.com/subscribe

durée : 00:59:06 - Affaires étrangères - par : Christine Ockrent - À Sydney, Taïwan paraît plus proche que l'Ukraine et la rivalité sino-américaine structure les débats stratégiques. Puissance continent riche en minerais, l'Australie cherche sa place entre Pékin et Washington. Quel rôle est-elle en mesure de jouer dans l'Indo-Pacifique ? - réalisation : Luc-Jean Reynaud - invités : Alexandre Dayant Chercheur associé au Lowy Institute de Sidney; Patrick Fullenwarth Géologue, expert technique international développement de la coopération bilatérale franco-australienne sur les minerais & métaux critiques; Frédéric Grare Chercheur en relations internationales au National Security College (NSC) de l'Université Nationale d'Australie (ANU) ; Romain Fathi Associate Professor (professorat) à l'Australian National University (Australie) et chercheur associé au Centre d'histoire de Sciences Po, à Paris.

What actually works to prevent terrorist attacks and is Australia up to challenge in a complex threat environment?The Prime Minister says new laws to tackle antisemitism will include powers to deport so-called hate preachers and a new criminal charge for those advocating "racial supremacy".He's also been pressured into adopting in-full the recommendations from the Special Envoy's Plan to Combat Antisemitism.Today, the Lowy Institute's Lydia Khalil on how to stop the next terror attack.Featured: Lydia Khalil, extremism and counter terrorism expert and the director of the transnational challenges program at the Lowy Institute

On this week's Defense & Aerospace Report Washington Roundtable, Dr. Patrick Cronin of the Hudson Institute think tank, Michael Herson of American Defense International, former DoD Europe chief Jim Townsend of the Center for a New American Security, and Pentagon comptroller Dr. Dov Zakheim of the Center for Strategic and International Studies join Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss passage of the House's version of the $900 billion National Defense Authorization Act that includes $8 billion more than the administration requested as the Senate decides against extending Obamacare subsidies raising the prospect of another government shutdown in January after the current continuing resolution that ended the last record shutdown expires; Ukraine's partnership with European allies to blunt US demands that Kyiv meet Moscow's demands by handling over the whole Donbas to Russia as President Trump steps up his attacks on Europe as “weak” and “decaying” in the wake of his National Security Strategy that made clear Washington sees European allies as a bigger threat than Russia; Germany's drive to become Europe's largest army and France's army chief says the nation must prepare itself to sacrifice its children to defend itself as NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte warned that Europe is Russia's next target within five years and nations should prepare for war on a scale not seen since World War II as Britain's attack subs suffer from low availability; China and Russia work together in air and naval maneuvers aimed at pressuring Japan and the United States as Washington approves the export of NVIDIA's H200 chips to China; the Lowy Institute's latest Power Index that finds China, North Korea and Russia have risen in the ranks as America has declined; and the 40th Australia-US Ministerial that says “full speed ahead” on the AUKUS partnership.

ဒီဇင်ဘာလ ၅ ရက်၊ ‌သောကြာနေ့ည ဘီဘီစီ မြန်မာပိုင်း ရေဒီယို အစီအစဉ် - ဒေါက်တာ တေဇာဆန်းတို့ မန္တလေးမြို့ပေါ်မှာလုပ်တဲ့ သပိတ် နောက်ဆက်တွဲ အခြေအနေ - Lowy Institute က အာရှ ၂၇ နိုင်ငံကို လေ့လာပြီး မြန်မာက စစ်ရေးစွမ်းရည် အဆင့် ၁၈ မှာ ရှိတယ်လို့ ဆို ဘီဘီစီရဲ့ ရေဒီယိုအစီအစဉ်တွေကို အင်တာနက်ဝက်ဘ်ဆိုက်နဲ့ ပေါ့ဒ်ကတ်စ်တွေ ကနေလည်း နားဆင်နိုင်ပါ တယ်။အသံလွှင့်နေစဉ် တိုက်ရိုက်နားဆင်ရန် - https://www.bbc.com/burmese/bbc_burmese_radio/liveradio ----- ညပိုင်း ထုတ်လွှင့်မှု နားဆင်ရန် - https://www.bbc.com/burmese/bbc_burmese_radio/w3csxs4j ----- ညပိုင်းအစီအစဉ် ပေါ့ဒ်ကတ် နားဆင်ရန် - https://www.bbc.com/burmese/media-45625858ဘီဘီစီ မြန်မာပိုင်း ရေဒီယိုအစီအစဉ်ကို ည ၈ နာရီကနေ ၈နာရီ ၃၀ မိနစ်အထိ လှိုင်းတိုမီတာ ၁၆ ကီလိုဟာ့တ်ဇ် ၁၇၅၁၅ လှိုင်းတိုမီတာ ၁၉ ကီလိုဟာ့တ်ဇ် ၁၅၃၂၅ တို့ကနေ ဖမ်းယူနားဆင်နိုင်ကြပါတယ်။ဘီဘီစီရဲ့ ရေဒီယိုနဲ့ ရုပ်သံအစီအစဥ်တွေကို Thaicom 6 ဂြိုဟ်တုကနေ ထပ်ဆင့်ထုတ်လွှင့်ပေးနေပါတယ်။ဒီထုတ်လွှင့်မှုတွေကို မြန်မာနိုင်ငံတွင်းကရော ထိုင်းနိုင်ငံနဲ့ မြန်မာ့အိမ်နီးချင်းနိုင်ငံတွေကပါ ဖမ်းယူကြည့်ရှုနိုင်ကြပါတယ်။လူထုရဲ့ သတင်းလိုအပ်နေချိန်မှာ အရေးပေါ်အစီအစဥ်အဖြစ်နဲ့ အခုလို ထုတ်လွှင့်မှုကို လေးလကြာ လုပ်ဆောင်သွားမှာ ဖြစ်ပါတယ်။ဖမ်းယူနိုင်မယ့် ဂြိုဟ်တုမီတာလှိုင်းနဲ့ ချိန်ရွယ်ဖမ်းယူရမယ့် အချက်အလက်တွေကတော့Satellite Thaicom 6Orbital position 78.5° EastFrequency 12687MHzPolarisation VerticalSymbol rate 30.000Msym/sFEC 5/6 Modulation DVB-S#ဘီဘီစီမြန်မာပိုင်း #ရေဒီယို

A visiting defence and foreign policy expert is urging New Zealand to rethink how we prioritise defence spending, arguing we should draw inspiration from the Australian echidna – a small but spiky animal. . Sam Roggeveen, a programme director at the Lowy Institute in Australia, came to New Zealand as a guest of Victoria University's Centre for Strategic Studies. . He says the future of defence of Australia and New Zealand relies on making use of the vast distances any attacker would have to cover, and to purchase equipment designed to sink ships and shoot down aircraft. . Join Jack Tame and the Q+A team and find the answers to the questions that matter. Made with the support of NZ on Air.

Michael speaks with Major General Mick Ryan (Ret.), a Senior Fellow for military studies at the Lowy Institute in Sydney, about the latest developments in the war in Ukraine and what we can learn to apply in conflicts around the globe. General Ryan assesses the current state of the front lines, detailing how Russia is leveraging its advantage in electronic warfare and drone technology. He also explains why the Ukrainian counter-offensive has been hampered by a lack of Western ground-based capabilities and a shortage of young soldiers.

Major General Mick Ryan, Australian Army (retired), Senior Fellow for Military Studies the Lowy Institute and author of the Futura Doctrina substack, joins the show to discuss the current state of the Ukraine war. We cover tactical innovations, the challenges of operations and strategy, the structure of the Ukrainian military, the political landscape under Zelensky, and the industrial capabilities of both Ukraine and Russia.  ▪️ Times 00:00 State of Play 02:28 Tactical Innovations and Challenges in Ukraine 05:38 The Role of Drones 08:36 Russian Tactical Innovations and the Rubikon Units 11:45 Historical Parallels: Lessons from World War I 14:37 The Thousand Bites Approach: Russian Strategy Explained 17:46 Ukrainian Brigade Composition and Organizational Changes 23:19 Understanding the Ukrainian Military Structure 29:47 Challenges in Casualty Ratios and Manpower 37:37 Long-Range Strike Capabilities and Adaptation 40:29 Strategic Thinking in the Ukrainian Military 46:18 Industrial Base and Support Dynamics Follow along on Instagram, X @schoolofwarpod, and YouTube @SchoolofWarPodcast Find more content on our School of War Substack

A view Australia's recent military alliance with Papua New Guinea could be the springboard for a wider 'Pacific Eyes' alliance. Australian think-tank Lowy Institute's proposing an intelligence sharing agreement between us, Australia, PNG and Fiji to counter China's influence in the region. It claims it'd also help tackle trans-national crime and climate-related disasters. Former Defence Minister Wayne Mapp says it would be a tough deal to negotiate, but it's feasible. He says Australia's alliance is about sharing more intelligence and cooperating more, like this proposed deal. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This week, senior writer Greg Bearup and Lowy Institute senior fellow Richard McGregor on China's dominance of the local EV and battery market and why that's a security risk. This podcast is sponsored by Salesforce Further reading: Is your Chinese EV a ‘ticking time bomb’?The rapid uptake of electric cars and home batteries from the Asian nation has put Australia’s energy infrastructure at risk of foreign hijack, experts warn.China could disable or detonate Aussie EVs, warns top cyber expertMalcolm Turnbull’s former cybersecurity tsar says Australian government officials should not ride in Chinese-made EVs because of the surveillance risk.‘Crying shame’: Inside the demise of Australia’s only battery makerBrian Craighead spent a decade trying to build an industry. He blames a cash crisis, a glut of Chinese product and shambolic federal policies for its failure.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Major General Mick Ryan, Australian Army (retired), Senior Fellow for Military Studies the Lowy Institute and author of the Futura Doctrina substack, joins the show to discuss his latest piece, Translating Ukraine Lessons for the Pacific Theatre. ▪️ Times     •      01:40 Introduction     •      02:18 Translation      •      04:03 Ground forces             •      08:40 Australian defense      •      11:25 Threats from the North              •      13:25 Chinese influence               •      16:46 The mask slips           •      19:51 What we don't know              •      24:36 The Pacific     •      32:18 Information ops            •      37:31 Corrosive influences             •      40:15 Mass Follow along on Instagram, X @schoolofwarpod, and YouTube @SchoolofWarPodcast Find a transcript of today's episode on our School of War Substack

Darren welcomes Richard McGregor, Senior Fellow for East Asia at the Lowy Institute and author of influential books "The Party" and "Xi Jinping: The Backlash," to discuss China's evolving political landscape and global position in 2025. The discussion begins with examining how Xi Jinping has consolidated power beyond what seemed possible 15 years ago, eliminating term limits and establishing one-man rule despite China's complexity. Richard describes the muted but persistent internal resistance to Xi's leadership, including purged officials and liberal critics waiting in the wings, while noting how US-China tensions help Xi maintain domestic support. The conversation moves to China's economic challenges, from the property crisis to overcapacity, and how the centralisation of power has shifted local government financing. McGregor discusses the sustainability of Xi's nationalist governance model and China's strengths in technological innovation despite structural problems. On foreign policy, they analyse Trump's return and its implications for China, Southeast Asia's complex relationship with both superpowers, and the critical Taiwan issue. The episode concludes with an assessment of Australia-China relations under the Albanese government's "stabilisation" approach, examining domestic political factors and emerging challenges around Chinese technology integration in Australia's economy. Australia in the World is written, hosted, and produced by Darren Lim, with research, co-hosting and editing this episode by Hannah Nelson and theme music composed by Rory Stenning. Relevant links Richard McGregor (bio): https://www.lowyinstitute.org/people/experts/bio/richard-mcgregor Richard McGregor, The Party: The Secret World of China's Communist Rulers, (Penguin, 2012, Revised Edition): https://www.penguin.com.au/books/the-party-9780141975559 Richard McGregor, Xi Jinping: The Backlash, (Penguin, 2019): https://www.penguin.com.au/books/xi-jinping-a-lowy-institute-paper-penguin-special-9781760893040 Kevin Rudd, The Avoidable War: The Dangers of a Catastrophic Conflict between the US and Xi Jinping's China (Hachette, 2022): https://www.hachette.com.au/kevin-rudd/the-avoidable-war-the-dangers-of-a-catastrophic-conflict-between-the-us-and-xi-jinpings-china Desmond Shum, Red Roulette: An Insider's Story of Wealth, Power, Corruption and Vengeance in Today's China (Simon & Schuster, 2022): https://www.simonandschuster.com.au/books/Red-Roulette/Desmond-Shum/9781398510388 Chun Han Wong, “Party of One: The Rise of Xi Jinping and China's Superpower Future (Avid Reader Press/Simon & Schuster, 2024): https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Party-of-One/Chun-Han-Wong/9781982185749 Patrick McGee, Apple in China: The Capture of the World's Greatest Company (Simon & Schuster, 2025): https://www.simonandschuster.com.au/books/Apple-in-China/Patrick-McGee/9781398534377

Major General Mick Ryan, Australian Army (retired), Senior Fellow for Military Studies the Lowy Institute and author of the Futura Doctrina Substack, joins the show to break down the latest on Ukraine, from the battlefield to the White House.  ▪️ Times    •       01:05 Introduction     •      02:06 The front     •      06:23 Fortress belt        •      08:38 ROI      •      10:55 Shifting feelings            •      14:41 A realistic settlement          •      20:53 After Alaska     •      23:15 Boots on the ground     •      25:45 Unpredictability          •      28:49 A different vibe      •      31:31 Stop the killing Follow along on Instagram, X @schoolofwarpod, and YouTube @SchoolofWarPodcast Find a transcript of today's episode on our School of War Substack

Asian stocks fell for a sixth straight session — the longest losing streak this year — as President Donald Trump announced new tariff rates and as solid earnings from megacap tech firms failed to lift broader market sentiment. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 0.4% at the open while contracts for the S&P 500 also fell by the same amount. Trump will maintain a minimum global tariff of 10%, while imports from countries with trade surpluses with the US face duties of 15% or higher, the White House announced Thursday. We get reaction from Jenny Gordon, Non-Resident Fellow at the Lowy Institute. She speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts on The Asia Trade. Plus - Bloomberg Intelligence says Hang Lung Properties may stabilize retail rental income in mainland China, mainly driven by solid leasing performance of prime shopping malls in Shanghai. Its retail rental revenue on the mainland held steady at 2.4 billion yuan in the first half, with high occupancy rates of Plaza 66 and Grand Gateway 66 at 98% and 99% as of June 30. We speak with Adriel Chan, Chair of Hang Lung Properties.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

အရှေ့တောင်အာရှမှာ ပုံမှန်အားဖြင့် အလှူတွေ အများဆုံးပေးလေ့ရှိတဲ့ အမေရိကန်နဲ့ ယူကေနိုင်ငံတို့က ဆုတ်ခွာချိန်မှာပဲ တရုတ်က အရှေ့တောင်အာရှများ ဖွံ့ဖြိုးရေးလုပ်ငန်းတွေ တိုးချဲ့လုပ်ဆောင်လာနေတယ်လို့ Lowy Institute က ပြောပါတယ်။

This week on The Fin, North Asia correspondent Jessica Sier and Lowy Institute senior fellow Richard McGregor on whether Panda diplomacy works and why Beijing needs a succession plan. This podcast is sponsored by Workday.China ordered this Aussie flower farm to grow rice. Then they found a solutionIn a country of 1.4 billion people, keeping everyone fed can be the difference between stability and chaos. The Lynch Group nearly had to tear down its greenhouses.Beyond the Wall: Albanese’s high-stakes China playAs the prime minister is criticised over the extent of his China sightseeing, the government insists it is playing the long game and that face time matters.Rumours of Xi’s downfall distract from China’s real challengesThe notion that Xi Jinping is about to be toppled is a distraction from the real cleavages in Chinese politics.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Кина предводи трку за развој у Југоисточној Азији, јер се традиционални донатори попут Сједињених Држава и Уједињеног Краљевства повлаче из региона. Треће издање Мапе помоћи Југоисточној Азији, коју је спровео истраживачки центар Лоуи (Lowy Institute ), показало је да Кина предводи трку у инвестирању развоја Југоисточне Азије, повећавајући своје финансирање у 2023. години након што је током пет година пре тога смањила трошкове за развој у региону за 68% .

China is leading the development race in Southeast Asia as traditional donors like the United States and United Kingdom step away from the region. That's according to a new Lowy Institute report

Borrowers in Africa and other developing regions are expected to repay $35 billion of Chinese loans this year, with two-thirds of the amount coming from the world's poorest countries. Many of these debts were taken out in the mid-2010s and are now exiting their grace periods, putting enormous pressure on government budgets that were already under strain. But this isn't a problem just for borrowing countries; Chinese creditors are also finding themselves in a difficult bind. If they push too hard to collect on these debts, it could force the most vulnerable countries into default. At the same time, though, they have an obligation to their stakeholders, including Chinese taxpayers, to ensure these obligations are fulfilled. Riley Duke, a research fellow at the Lowy Institute, highlighted the difficult dilemma for both creditor and borrower in a new report on Chinese debt collection. Riley joins Eric & Cobus from Sydney to discuss how both sides of the transaction are responding to this growing challenge. JOIN THE DISCUSSION: X: @ChinaGSProject | @eric_olander | @stadenesque Facebook: www.facebook.com/ChinaAfricaProject YouTube: www.youtube.com/@ChinaGlobalSouth Now on Bluesky! Follow CGSP at @chinagsproject.bsky.social FOLLOW CGSP IN FRENCH AND ARABIC: Français: www.projetafriquechine.com | @AfrikChine Arabic: عربي: www.alsin-alsharqalawsat.com | @SinSharqAwsat JOIN US ON PATREON! Become a CGSP Patreon member and get all sorts of cool stuff, including our Week in Review report, an invitation to join monthly Zoom calls with Eric & Cobus, and even an awesome new CGSP Podcast mug! www.patreon.com/chinaglobalsouth

Die Belt-and-Road-China-Strategie zur Welt(handels)macht steht auch für strategische Kreditvergaben an Entwicklungsländer. Das stärkt die Verbreitung chinesischer Einflussgebiete und bringt zahlreiche geneigte Stimmgeber in der UNO – denn: Jedes Land hat eine Stimme. Das australische Lowy Institute gibt Einblicke.

Dr. Bobo Lo, independent international relations analyst and Nonresident Fellow at the Lowy Institute says China will not likely give in, because if it does, It's President Xi would likely be ousted. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Dr. Bobo Lo, independent international relations analyst and Nonresident Fellow at the Lowy Institute says China will not likely give in, because if it does, It's President Xi would likely be ousted. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoicesSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Day 965.Today, we report on Volodymyr Zelensky's claim that North Korea is sending troops, as well as weapons, to Russia. Fierce fighting continues in Toresk as Ukraine seeks to contain Russia's attacks in Donbas. And Vladimir Putin woo's Iran's Masoud Pezeshkian as Moscow and Tehran tighten their alliance. Contributors:Roland Oliphant (Senior Foreign Correspondent). @RolandOliphant on X.James Kilner (Foreign Correspondent). @jkjourno on X.James Rothwell (Berlin Correspondent). @JamesERothwell on X.With thanks to Senior Fellow for Military Studies at The Lowy Institute, Major General Mick Ryan. @WarintheFuture on X.Mick Ryan's book: The War for Ukraine: Strategy and Adaptation Under Fire: https://www.amazon.co.uk/War-Ukraine-Strategy-Adaptation-Under/dp/1682479528Virtual Book Event for Mick Ryan's book: The War for Ukraine: Strategy and Adaptation Under Fire - Tuesday, 15th October:https://www.csis.org/events/book-event-war-ukraine-strategy-and-adaptation-under-fire-mick-ryanStudents can subscribe to our coverage for free:We're giving university students worldwide unlimited access to The Telegraph completely free of charge. Just enter your student email address at telegraph.co.uk/studentsub to enjoy 12 months' free access to our website and app. Better still, you'll get another 12 months each time you re-validate your email address.Subscribe to The Telegraph: telegraph.co.uk/ukrainethelatestEmail: ukrainepod@telegraph.co.ukHosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.