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What does China's unassailable lead in terms of naval power, the wording of recent US statutes and the adaptability of shipping, all have to do with how a chief financial officer eats their breakfast? It's all about how shipping perceives risk and uncertainty right now. Uncertainty has dominated the shipping industry in the past months. But this narrative that shipowners are paralysed by the geopolitical volatility is only part of the story. The global economy is at a crossroads. We are entering an era of superpower rivalry between the US and China that will fundamentally upend established trading assumptions and fragment shipping down geopolitical lines. Now, depending on who you are talking to, the response to that uncertainty results in either a barely concealed fist-bump of joy as they mentally run through the profitable opportunities ahead, or near term paralysis as they conclude that there is no value in strategic investment in the face of such unknowable odds. And that's because this isn't just the long -term disintegration of a rules-based order that we are talking about, although that is part of it. Near term that uncertainty is created by the fact that it is now security not economics that is driving the bus when it comes to US decision making, and that's confusing everyone. Agility is the new currency for shipping. We have to adapt to all these challenges – shipping's bullish elite told us. Volatility is the lifeblood of profitable shipping and certainty has never been a prerequisite for making decisions. So, why complain about exogenous shocks now? On stage, the message was defiant: shipowners paralysed by the geopolitical swings risk losing out. Off stage, their commitment to specific questions of progress and investment was generally more hesitant. But they still need to make decisions – and that's the focus of this week's podcast. Joining Richard this week on the podcast are: Øystein Tunsjø, Professor of International Relations, Head of Security in Asia Program, Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies, Norwegian Defence University College Brian Maloney, Partner, Seward & Kissel Annicken Kildahl, CFO, Grieg Maritime Group Hing Chao, Executive Chairman, Wah Kwong Maritime Transport
North Korea-Russia ties have grown by leaps and bounds since Moscow launched its invasion of Ukraine, while its relationship with China appears to have suffered as a result. This week, expert Lyle Goldstein joins the podcast to share insights into Pyongyang's strategic partnerships with its neighbors and the complex dynamics that shape its nuclear ambitions. He also discusses what could come now that Donald Trump has been inaugurated and why he believes that Trump-Kim engagement 2.0 could help deescalate tensions on the Korean Peninsula. Lyle J. Goldstein is the director of the Asia Program at Defense Priorities, a nonprofit think tank. He is also director of the China Initiative and senior fellow at the Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs at Brown University. He is wrapping up a book length project that examines China-Russia relations in the 21st century. About the podcast: The North Korea News Podcast is a weekly podcast hosted by Jacco Zwetsloot exclusively for NK News, covering all things DPRK — from news to extended interviews with leading experts and analysts in the field, along with insight from our very own journalists. NK News subscribers can listen to this and other exclusive episodes from their preferred podcast player by accessing the private podcast feed. For more detailed instructions, please see the step-by-step guide at nknews.org/private-feed.
The strategic partnership between Vietnam and Australia has continued to thrive, becoming a vital foundation for comprehensive collaboration across various fields, including economics, education, and sustainable development. Notably, the Vietnamese community in Australia and Vietnamese international students have served as robust bridges, fostering deep cultural and economic connections and unlocking numerous opportunities for cooperation.In the latest episode of the Vietnam Innovators podcast, English version season 5, we are joined by Dr. Huong Le Thu, a leading expert on Southeast Asian international relations and global politics. Dr. Le Thu currently serves as Chair of the Advisory Board at the Australia-Vietnam Policy Institute (AVPI) and Deputy Director of the Asia Program at the International Crisis Group. With extensive research experience at esteemed institutions such as the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) and the Australian National University (ANU), along with fluency in five languages, she has significantly contributed to shaping discussions on regional security, international relations, and Vietnam-Australia cooperation.In this episode, Dr. Le Thu offers profound insights into Vietnam's journey to becoming a key player in the region and on the global stage. She also explores Vietnam's pivotal role within ASEAN and the promising future of its partnership with Australia. Don't miss this engaging conversation that sheds light on the evolving dynamics of this important relationship!
This week Mike is joined by Elina Noor, Senior Fellow for the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. They discuss Malaysia's approach to geopolitics and outlook for the future.
There has been a significant transformation in Europe-China relations over the past decade, with a shift from economic optimism to cautious de-risking. While Europe has sought partnerships with China, particularly in industrial and technological sectors, there are increasing concerns about economic dependencies that may be leveraged by Beijing for political gain. The Russia-Ukraine war has further complicated the dynamic, as China's support for Russia has created divisions within Europe regarding how to engage with China moving forward.In this episode, Janka Oertel explains the key drivers behind Europe's changing relationship with China and the ongoing debates in European policy circles about how to reduce dependencies on Chinese goods, technology, and investments without completely decoupling. She emphasizes that de-risking is not a simple, one-size-fits-all strategy but rather a complex process that varies across European countries and industries.The episode also discusses how China has sought to deepen relationships with countries in Eastern Europe and the Western Balkans, providing investments through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) to gain access to EU markets. Oertel notes that while some EU countries have welcomed Chinese investments, others are growing increasingly wary of Beijing's intentions.The conversation touches on how Europe is looking to collaborate with India and the Global South as part of its broader strategy to diversify partnerships and reduce its reliance on China. The discussion highlights the importance of political will on both sides to make the EU-India relationship a cornerstone of future European foreign policy.Episode Contributors:Janka Oertel is the Director of the Asia Program at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR). Her research focuses on EU-China relations, US-China relations, Asia-Pacific security, and emerging technologies. She is the author of "End of the China Illusion: How We Must Deal with Beijing's Claim to Power."Shibani Mehta is a senior research analyst with the Security Studies Program at Carnegie India. Her research focuses on the India-China boundary dispute with the purpose of analyzing India's foreign and security policy decision-making. She also writes extensively on South Asian regional dynamics and minilaterals in the Indo-Pacific.Additional Readings:The End of Germany's China illusion With Janka Oertel by Janka OertelEU-China Relations: De-Risking or De-Coupling—the Future of the EU Strategy Towards China: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2024/754446/EXPO_STU(2024)754446_EN.pdfEuropean Commission's 2019 Strategic Outlook on China: https://commission.europa.eu/system/files/2019-03/communication-eu-china-a-strategic-outlook.pdf"China's New International Paradigm: Security First" by Helena Legarda: https://merics.org/en/chinas-new-international-paradigm-security-first"This isn't a new weapon, it is a new world"—three things Oppenheimer tells us about tech. https://www.ias.edu/news/video-2024-public-policy-lecture Every two weeks, Interpreting India brings you diverse voices from India and around the world to explore the critical questions shaping the nation's future. We delve into how technology, the economy, and foreign policy intertwine to influence India's relationship with the global stage.As a Carnegie India production, hosted by Carnegie scholars, Interpreting India, a Carnegie India production, provides insightful perspectives and cutting-edge by tackling the defining questions that chart India's course through the next decade.Stay tuned for thought-provoking discussions, expert insights, and a deeper understanding of India's place in the world.Don't forget to subscribe, share, and leave a review to join the conversation and be part of Interpreting India's journey.
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, we are joined by Dr. I-Chung Lai and Professor Jacques deLisle to unpack China's 2005 Anti-Secession Law and its important implications for cross-Strait relations—the topic of an international conference co-hosted by CSIS and Prospect Foundation in early August 2024. Dr. Lai dissects the legislation's nine articles, particularly Article 8's conditions in which China can employ ‘non-peaceful means' toward Taiwan. Professor deLisle speaks to the implications of the recent “22 Opinions” that China released to strengthen the Anti-Secession Law. The 22 Opinions criminalizes support for Taiwan independence and could be even used against foreign individuals who are not from China or Taiwan. However, Professor deLisle suggests that international recognition and enforcement of these laws would raise human rights concerns. Finally, Dr. Lai and Professor deLisle offer their recommendations on how the United States, Taiwan, and the international community can effectively respond to China's actions. Dr. I-Chung Lai is the president of Prospect Foundation, a Taiwan-based think tank. Prior to joining the Prospect Foundation, he held several prominent positions within the Democratic Progressive Party, serving as executive director of the DPP Mission to the United States and as the director general of the Department of International Affairs. He has also worked as a special assistant with the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in Tokyo. Professor Jacques deLisle is a Stephen A. Cozen professor of law and professor of political science at the University of Pennsylvania. His research and teaching focus on contemporary Chinese law and politics, including legal reform and its relationship to economic reform and political change in China, the international status of Taiwan and cross-Strait relations, China's engagement with the international order, legal and political issues in Hong Kong under Chinese rule, and U.S.-China relations. DeLisle is the director of the Center for the Study of Contemporary China, co-director of the Center for Asian Law, and director of the Asia Program at the Foreign Policy Research Institute.
On Sunday night, India's new National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government was sworn into office, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi at its helm once more.We have a new group of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) allies, a new group of ministers, and a new look in terms of how the Modi government will function in its third term. However, the economic challenges the new government faces are quite old.Many experts believe that concerns about inflation, jobs, and lack of upward mobility dented the BJP's electoral prospects in the recent general election. To talk about the Indian economy and the steps the new government must take, Milan is joined on the show this week by Trinh Nguyen.Trinh is a senior economist covering emerging Asia at Natixis, based in Hong Kong, where she surveys economic trends across Asia, including in India. She previously worked at HSBC as an ASEAN economist from 2011 to 2015. She is also a nonresident scholar in the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.Trinh and Milan discuss the market reaction to the surprise 2024 election result, the key vulnerabilities for the Indian economy, and how India is performing relative to its Asian peers. Plus, the two discuss India's ability to leverage the “China+1” moment, the recent slump in foreign direct investment (FDI), and whether coalition government spells doom for reforms.Episode notes:“Political Earthquakes: Key 2024 Elections in Emerging Markets and What it Means for Growth and Reforms,” Natixis, June 4, 2024.Trinh Nguyen, Kelly Wang, and Diana Zhao, “Lower current account deficit shields India from external shocks and future success hinges on sustaining it,” Natixis, May 29, 2024.Trinh Nyugen and Kelly Wang, “Modi Drove Growth with Public Investment, Supported by Higher Fiscal Revenue; Foreign Inflows Should Help with Funding Pressure,” Natixis, April 12, 2024.Trinh Nguyen and Kelly Wang, “India's Womenomics? Modi's Decade of Formalisation of Jobs Marches Forward,” Natixis, March 8, 2024.“How India's Economy Can Break the Mold (with Rohit Lamba),” Grand Tamasha, May 15, 2024.“The Great Indian Poverty—and Inequality—Debate (with Maitreesh Ghatak),” Grand Tamasha, April 24, 2024.“Decoding the Indian Economy (with Pranjul Bhandari),” Grand Tamasha, April 3, 2024.
The US government's latest move to slap heavy tariffs on Chinese imports, including electric vehicles and solar cells, shows protectionism and industrial policy is the new consensus approach to economic challenges, which is an "unfortunate shift" in US policy, a senior economist said on Tuesday.5月14日,一位高级经济学家表示,美国政府对包括电动汽车和太阳能电池在内的中国进口产品征收重关税的最新举措,表明保护主义和产业政策是应对经济挑战的新共识方式,这是美国政策中的一个“不幸转变”。The United States is increasing tariffs on $18 billion worth of Chinese imports, targeting electric vehicles (EVs), advanced batteries, steel and critical minerals, the White House said on Tuesday.5月14日,白宫表示,美国正在对价值180亿美元的中国进口商品加征关税,目标是电动汽车、先进电池、钢铁和关键矿产。The fresh levies come on top of the already massive tariffs imposed on more than $300 billion worth of Chinese goods, which were introduced during the Trump administration, according to the result of a four-year review of the China Section 301 tariffs, released by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) on Tuesday.根据美国贸易代表办公室(USTR)5月14日公布的对华301条款关税四年期审查结果,特朗普执政期间已对价值3000多亿美元的中国商品征收了巨额关税,此次新征税是在此基础上增加的。The review was undertaken under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, which Trump invoked to first launch the China tariffs in 2018.这项审查是根据1974年《贸易法》第301条进行的,特朗普援引该条款于2018年首次启动中国关税。The centerpiece of the new tariffs is a quadrupling of levies on Chinese EVs to 100 percent starting this year, an attempt analysts said would likely result in thwarting the Biden administration's own efforts to fight climate change by speeding up EV adoption.新关税的核心是从今年开始,对中国电动汽车的征税翻了两番,达到100%,分析师表示,这一尝试可能会阻碍拜登政府通过加速采用电动汽车来应对气候变化的努力。Erica York, a senior economist and research director with the Tax Foundation's Center for Federal Tax Policy, said that at present, consumers are not likely to see an immediate increase in costs because Chinese EVs are already locked out of the US market.税收基金会联邦税收政策中心高级经济学家兼研究主任埃里卡·约克(Erica York)表示,目前,消费者不太可能看到成本的立即增加,因为中国电动汽车已经被美国市场拒之门外。"Longer term though, it means American consumers will lack choices, including competitively priced and innovative Chinese EVs and face higher prices for green tech and green energy at home," York told China Daily on Tuesday.5月14日,约克(York)周二告诉《中国日报》:“但从长远来看,这意味着美国消费者将缺乏选择,包括价格合适且有所创新的中国电动汽车,并在国内面临着更高价格的绿色技术和绿色能源。”York's organization has estimated that the current tariffs and retaliation will reduce long-run US output by about 0.25 percent, costing thousands of jobs and reducing incomes.税收基金会联邦税收政策中心估计,目前的关税和报复措施将使美国的长期产出减少约0.25%,导致数千人失业,收入减少。Maintaining the current tariffs, which have been costly to American consumers and the manufacturing sector, and doubling or quadrupling down on the approach, will further increase costs, insulate US businesses from competitive pressures that lead to long-run improvements, and put US manufacturers at a competitive disadvantage abroad, according to York.约克(York)表示,维持目前的关税对美国消费者和制造业来说代价高昂,如果再加倍或翻两番,将进一步增加成本,使美国企业无法承受竞争压力,从而导致长期改善,并使美国制造商在国外处于竞争劣势。"Protectionism and industrial policy are not a recipe for success; instead, policymakers should pursue reforms that encourage investment, innovation and competition," she added.她补充说:“保护主义和产业政策不是成功的秘诀;相反,政策制定者应该推行鼓励投资、创新和竞争的改革。”The tariffs that take effect this year also cover solar cells, syringes, needles, steel and aluminum products, according to a statement from the USTR.根据美国贸易代表办公室的一份声明,今年生效的关税还包括太阳能电池、注射器、针头、钢铁和铝产品。The tariff rate on semiconductors will surge from 25 percent to 50 percent by next year, while levies on Chinese EV batteries and battery parts will more than triple to 25 percent by 2026.到明年,半导体关税将从25%飙升至50%,而到2026年,中国电动汽车电池和电池部件的关税将增加两倍以上,达到25%。Gary Hufbauer, a senior fellow and trade expert at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, noted that as some tariffs are to be phased in over a couple of years, they won't have an "immediate" effect.华盛顿彼得森国际经济研究所(Peterson Institute for International Economics)高级研究员兼贸易专家加里·胡夫鲍尔(Gary Hufbauer)指出,由于一些关税将在几年内逐步实施,它们不会产生“立竿见影”的效果。"But for sure they will delay the rate of EV adoption and hurt the clean-air agenda," Hufbauer said of Biden's climate agenda, which includes ramping up the adoption of EVs to cut US greenhouse gas emissions.“但肯定的是,他们将推迟电动汽车的采用率,并损害清洁空气议程,”胡夫鲍尔(Hufbauer)谈到拜登的气候议程时说,其中包括增加电动汽车的采用,以减少美国的温室气体排放。The expert said that the tariffs are a "definite negative" for US-China relations.这位专家表示,关税对美中关系“肯定是负面的”。China's Ministry of Commerce said on Tuesday that the US tariff hike goes against the consensus reached by the leaders of the two countries and the promises of President Joe Biden, and will "seriously affect the atmosphere of bilateral cooperation".5月14日,中国商务部表示,美国提高关税违背了两国领导人达成的共识和乔·拜登总统的承诺,并将“严重影响双边合作的氛围”。"I expect China to retaliate in a measured way against iconic US exports," Hufbauer said. "I'm sure Beijing is studying the menu."“我预计中国会对标志性的美国出口产品进行有分寸的报复,”胡夫鲍尔(Hufbauer)说,“我肯定北京正在研究计划。”The Commerce Ministry said China will take "resolute" measures to safeguard its own rights and interests, according to a statement.根据一份声明,商务部表示,中国将采取“坚决”措施维护自身权益。US media reports on Tuesday pointed to the fact that the tariffs in an election year come in the middle of a heated campaign between Biden and his Republican predecessor, Donald Trump, where they both resort to China-bashing tactics.美国媒体5月14日的报道指出,拜登和他的共和党前任唐纳德-特朗普之间的竞选活动正处于白热化阶段,双方都采取了抨击中国的策略,而在大选年加征关税正是在这种情况下发生的。A new set of polls show that Trump leads Biden in five of six crucial election battleground states, Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania.一组新的民调显示,特朗普在六个关键的选举战场州中的五个州领先拜登,即密歇根州、亚利桑那州、内华达州、乔治亚州和宾夕法尼亚州。"The timing is specifically aimed at voters in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan — auto and steel states," Hufbauer said.胡夫鲍尔(Hufbauer)表示:“这个时机是专门针对宾夕法尼亚州、俄亥俄州和密歇根州——汽车和钢铁州——的选民的。”"Since Trump promises equal or higher tariffs, I doubt the announcement will shift many votes toward Biden, but it may avoid further losses to voters who welcome protection," he added.他补充说:“由于特朗普承诺相同或更高的关税,我猜测这一宣布会将许多选票转向拜登,但它可能会避免欢迎保护的选民遭受进一步损失。”Douglas H. Paal, distinguished fellow of the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said Tuesday's announcement of fresh tariffs constituted one form of the US response to the "serious trade issues" with China.卡内基国际和平基金会(Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)亚洲项目杰出研究员道格拉斯·帕尔(Douglas H. Paal)表示,5月14日宣布的新关税措施是美国应对与中国之间“严重贸易问题”的一种形式。"When leaders are weak in election years, they resort to popular measures that may be less effective in reality than in rhetoric. That is where we are," Paal told China Daily.帕尔(Paal)告诉《中国日报》:“当领导人在选举年表现不佳时,他们会采取一些受欢迎的措施,这些措施在现实中可能不如在口头上有效。这就是我们的现状。”Trade bodies 'disappointed'贸易机构“失望”Hours after the release of the results of the review of the China Section 301 tariffs, US trade organizations said they were highly disappointed by the outcome.在对华301条款关税审查结果公布数小时后,美国贸易组织表示,他们对这一结果非常失望。"The decision to extend Section 301 tariffs on a wide range of apparel, footwear, accessories, and textiles — while not unexpected — is a real blow to American consumers and manufacturers alike," said Steve Lamar, president and chief executive officer of the American Apparel & Footwear Association.美国服装鞋类协会总裁兼首席执行官史蒂夫·拉马尔(Steve Lamar)说:“延长对多种服装、鞋类、配饰和纺织品征收301条款关税的决定尽管并不出人意料,但对美国消费者和制造商来说都是一个真正的打击。”"The Biden Administration has had two years to get it right. Unfortunately, they doubled down on a flawed tariff policy, despite the Biden Administration's own acknowledgment that this policy has failed in its goals, and overwhelming public input that supported a different outcome," he said in a statement.他在声明中说:“拜登政府有两年时间来做好这件事。不幸的是,他们在一项有缺陷的关税政策上加倍下注,尽管拜登政府自己承认这项政策未能实现其目标,并且压倒性的公众投入支持不同的结果。”The National Retail Federation also said it was "extremely disappointed" that the USTR and the Biden administration had chosen "to double down on a failed and inflationary strategy by sustaining and expanding the Section 301 China tariffs".美国零售联合会(National Retail Federation)还表示,它对美国贸易代表办公室和拜登政府选择“通过维持和扩大对华301条款关税,在失败和通胀战略上加倍下注”感到“极其失望”。"Maintaining these tariffs on consumer goods will increase costs that consumers pay on everyday products imported from China,"said David French, executive vice-president of government relations.政府关系执行副总裁大卫·弗伦奇(David French)说,“维持这些消费品关税将增加消费者为从中国进口的日常产品支付的成本。”The US-China Business Council, a nongovernmental organization representing many of the world's largest brands doing business in China, also noted that maintenance of the prior tariffs — with no reductions — and imposition of additional tariffs ultimately make it harder for American companies to compete in the US and abroad, cost American jobs, and increase prices for US manufacturers and consumers during a time of ongoing inflation.代表许多在中国做生意的世界大品牌的非政府组织美中贸易全国委员会也指出,维持以前的关税(没有削减)和征收额外关税最终会使美国公司更难在美国和海外竞争,损失美国的就业机会,并在持续通胀时期提高美国制造商和消费者的价格。"Additionally, levying new tariffs invites retaliation from China, which combined could further disadvantage US companies selling goods and services in China's market compared to their foreign competitors," USCBC President Craig Allen said.美中贸易全国委员主席克雷格·艾伦说(Craig Allen):“此外,征收新关税会招致中国的报复,与外国竞争对手相比,这可能会进一步使在中国市场销售商品和服务的美国公司处于不利地位。”
As China ramps up its military capabilities and tensions persist in the Taiwan Strait, there are growing concerns about the risk of conflict that could involve the United States. But it's not just Taiwan that could spark conflict. China's increasingly assertive presence is felt everywhere in the South China Sea from the Philippines to Malaysia. How will these conflicts develop? What do we know about China's maritime strategy, and what lessons can we draw from Beijing's behavior in the South China Sea for the country's global ambitions? And how are countries in the region managing the rivalry between China and the U.S.? Isaac Kardon, a senior fellow for China studies in Carnegie's Asia Program, joins Sophia to unpack the rising tensions in the South China Sea and the geopolitics of China's maritime disputes.Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Isaac Kardon. (2024, March 15). "Playing Both Sides of the U.S.-Chinese Rivalry." Foreign Affairs
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens joins us to discuss one of President Xi Jinping's signature priorities: China's national security. She delves into Xi's “Comprehensive National Security concept,” emphasizing its broad scope with over 20 different components, covering everything from border security to food security. Dr. Greitens discusses Xi Jinping's preventive rather than reactive approach to security threats, in an attempt to treat what the CCP views as root causes to security issues rather than just the symptoms. Finally, Dr. Greitens explains how China's views of national security influences how it exerts control at home and uses force abroad. Dr. Sheena Chestnut Greitens is Associate Professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at the University of Texas at Austin, where she directs UT's Asia Policy Program. Her research focuses on security, authoritarian politics, foreign policy, and East Asia. Currently, Dr. Greitens is on leave to serve as a Visiting Associate Professor of Research in Indo-Pacific Security at the U.S. Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute. She is also concurrently a Nonresident Scholar with the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
What is the strategic significance of the Indian Ocean to Australia? What challenges and opportunities does the region present for Australia and its partners? And how much can Australia realistically achieve in such a vast region? In this episode, Darshana Baruah, David Brewster and Shafqat Munir join Rory Medcalf to discuss the strategic importance of the Indian Ocean to Australia and the region. Darshana Baruah is a Fellow with the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace where she directs the Indian Ocean Initiative. David Brewster is a Senior Research Fellow at the ANU National Security College (NSC) and focuses on security in India and the Indian Ocean region, and Indo-Pacific maritime affairs. Shafqat Munir is a Senior Research Fellow and Head of the Bangladesh Centre for Terrorism Research at the Bangladesh Institute of Peace and Security Studies. Professor Rory Medcalf AM is Head of NSC. His professional experience spans more than three decades across diplomacy, Intelligence analysis, think tanks, journalism and academia. Show notes: Securing our Future – national security conference, 9–10 April, 2024: secure your tickets United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS): find out more Foreign Policy White Paper (2017): find out more We'd love to hear from you! Send in your questions, comments, and suggestions to NatSecPod@anu.edu.au. You can tweet us @NSC_ANU and be sure to subscribe so you don't miss out on future episodes. The National Security Podcast is available on Acast, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and wherever you get your podcasts. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
On Thursday, October 5, 2023, the China Power Project held its eighth annual conference. The conference consisted of five separate debates by leading experts each taking a side on core issues underpinning China's power. We will be releasing each of these debates as their own podcast throughout the holiday season. We will be back with our regularly scheduled debates in Mid-January 2024. For this debate, the proposition is “the United States and China are locked in a new cold war.” Arguing for this proposition is Dr. Michael Beckley, who is the director of the Asia Program at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, an associate professor at Tufts University, and a nonresident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. Arguing against this proposition is Dr. Arne Westad, who is a professor at the Jackson School of Global Affairs at Yale University. To watch the debate recordings, read the transcripts, or view the live or twitter polling, visit our website at https://chinapower.csis.org/chinas-power-up-for-debate-2023/.
Mike and Jude are joined by Huong Le Thu, Deputy Director of the Asia Program at the International Crisis Group. She is also an Adjunct Fellow with the Southeast Asia Program at CSIS and a former senior fellow at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. Her research on Vietnam's defense and foreign policy, Southeast Asia's security, ASEAN regionalism, and China-Southeast Asia relations has featured in a wide range of publications. The conversation begins with an overview of Vietnam's geostrategic landscape, exploring how the strategic thinking of its political leaders has matured over the recent years and months. Next, they describe Vietnam's recent attempts to leverage competition between China and the United States to its advantage. They delve into the drivers behind Vietnam's recent decision to upgrade its relationship with the United States to a comprehensive strategic partnership and review areas in which Chinese inroads in South and Southeast Asia may be underappreciated in the West. They then explore the ways in which Vietnam is adopting an omnidirectional foreign policy, seeking to improve its resilience by buttressing relations with as many partners as possible. Finally, they discuss the evolving role Vietnam envisions for ASEAN as it broadens its partnerships outside the region.
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, we are joined by Dr. Daniel Kliman to discuss the new special report released by the State Department's Global Engagement Center, titled How the People's Republic of China Seeks to Reshape the Global Information Environment. Dr. Kliman underscored PRC ambitions for controlling the global information landscape and what that means for the U.S. and its allies. Dr. Kliman also shines light on specific PRC tactics, including five different ways China engages in information manipulation. Finally, he highlights how the United States is working with key allies and partners. Dr. Daniel Kliman is the director of the Global Engagement Center's China Division. Previously, he worked in the Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, where he served as Senior Advisor for Asia Integration. He was the former Program Director and Senior Fellow for the Indo-Pacific Security Program at the Center for a New American Security. He has also worked at the German Marshall Fund as a Senior Advisor with the Asia Program. Dan is an expert in Asia-Pacific strategy, with a particular focus on U.S. competition with China.
This week, Mike and Jude are joined by Erin Murphy, Deputy Director and Senior Fellow for the Economics Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), where she is currently transitioning to the Asia Program. Erin's career has so far spanned public and private sector roles, including as an analyst on Asian political and foreign policy issues at the Central Intelligence Agency, director for the Indo-Pacific at the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation, and founder and principal of a boutique advisory firm focused on Myanmar. She is also the author of Burmese Haze: US Policy and Myanmar's Opening-and Closing (Association for Asian Studies, 2022). The conversation begins by examining the state of affairs in Myanmar, including the lead up and aftermath of the 2021 military coup. Next they explore Myanmar's relationship with China and the degree of Beijing's policy influence over the the current leadership. They observe Myanmar's evolving relationships with India and Japan, before turning to consider the space available for China to make common cause with other countries in the region to address some of the problems unfolding in Myanmar. They conclude by discussing the impact of the ongoing crisis in Myanmar on ASEAN, and surveying Myanmar's possible trajectories in the medium and long term.
Amid renewed tensions in the South China Sea, Paul Haenle speaks with Dr. Isaac Kardon, Senior Fellow in the Carnegie Endowment's Asia Program, about his new book, China's Law of the Sea: The New Rules of Maritime Order. The two discuss Kardon's book, China's approach to international maritime law, Beijing's expanding port presence around the globe, the China-Philippines maritime standoff, and more.Isaac Kardon is a Senior Fellow in the Carnegie Endowment's Asia Program. Isaac was formerly assistant professor at the U.S. Naval War College, China Maritime Studies Institute, where he researched China's maritime affairs, and taught naval officers and national security professionals about PRC foreign and security policy. Isaac's scholarship has centered on China's development of maritime power, with research on China's maritime disputes and law of the sea issues, global port development, and PLA overseas basing. His new book, China's Law of the Sea: The New Rules of Maritime Order (Yale, 2023), can be purchased here: https://www.amazon.com/Chinas-Law-Sea-Rules-Maritime/dp/0300256477.
Shihoko Goto is the Deputy Director of the Asia Program, and Director for Geoeconomics and Indo-Pacific Enterprise at the Wilson Cent. She specializes in trade relations and economic issues across the Indo-Pacific, and is also focused on the political developments in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. She is also a columnist for The Diplomat magazine and contributing editor to The Globalist. She was a fellow of the Mansfield Foundation/Japan Foundation U.S.-Japan Network for the Future for 2014 to 2016.
India Prime Minister Narendra Modi addresses Congress in a controversial state visit to the U.S. amid human rights concerns. Senior advisor to the Asia Program at the U.S. Institute of Peace Vikram Singh discusses the future of U.S.-India relations as America's tensions with China and Russia grow. NBC News' Kristen Dahlgren reports the latest in the investigation into the Titanic tourist submersible. Kiersten Todt discusses cybersecurity concerns ahead of the 2024 election.
馬曉月 Mareike Ohlberg 來自德國,她長期研究中國的宣傳,也就是中共透過哪些管道來影響世界。她是德國馬歇爾基金會的資深研究員。2005 年,她在中國北京學中文,同時也觀察到 2008 年在北京奧運前後,中國政府對國外的宣傳力道更強。後來她在德國海德堡大學研究漢學,當時的論文主題就是「中國的大外宣」。馬曉月於 2020 年共同出版《黑手:揭穿中國共產黨如何改造世界》,這本書以北美、澳洲,還有英國、德國等西歐大國為範圍,從上千份官方的資料、跟當地的媒體的新聞,來從政治、經濟、文化,還有媒體等面向,去揭穿中國共產黨如何滲透西方的國家,如何重造一個它想像中的世界。馬曉月也也觀察到,中共手法一直在變換,其中一個是如何靠「外國網紅」來做宣傳。A conversation with Mareike Ohlberg, a senior fellow in the Asia Program of the German Marshall Fund. She's the author of “Hidden Hand: Exposing How the Chinese Communist Party is Reshaping the World” (2020). She talks about China's external propaganda and China's end goal of establishing connections with European countries.本集採訪時間為,2023年 4月 14日聽眾可參考本集逐字稿可利用這個多國語言官網來推薦《來自五星的你》:https://chinainfluencepod.comRead about this podcast in English, German, French, Russian, and Vietnamese.鬼島之音最「紅」的節目《來自五星的你》,第二季將麥克風轉向歐洲,探討在歐洲的中國人,以及曾經生活在中國的歐洲與中亞人,藉由各方觀點來探討何謂「中國影響力」。本季邀請諸多華語流利的歐亞學者,來自烏茲別克、拉脫維亞、烏克蘭、波蘭等國,分享其中國研究內容,剖析中國外交手段;也專訪在歐洲的華語人士,有匿名留學生、流亡作家貝嶺、香港社運人士鄺頌晴,聆聽他們的人生故事,以及踩到中國政治紅線的親身觀察。追蹤鬼島之音! Facebook|IG|Twitter | YouTubeTwitter: @陳映妤 Alicia Chen(主持)@吳怡慈 Emily Y. Wu(製作) @Min Chao(資料收集)林仁斌(剪接)顏廷芸(執行)陳奕文(逐字稿) 萬巧蓉(行銷)支持鬼島之音: https://patreon.com/TaiwanSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week, Mike and Jude are joined by Sue Mi Terry, Director of the Asia Program and the Hyundai Motor-Korea Foundation Center for Korean History and Public Policy at the Wilson Center, to discuss recent political and international security developments in the Korean Peninsula. They begin by examining the close alignment with the United States evinced in South Korea's recent Indo-Pacific strategy, while noting South Korea's careful balancing act to avoid conflict with China. They then turn to North Korea, exploring the Kim regime's evolving nuclear doctrine and more frequent missile tests. Observing that the global response to these developments has been understated, they discuss potential international actions to break the deadlock on North Korean security issues. Next, they examine public opinion in South Korea toward the hypothetical acquisition of a nuclear arsenal, and Seoul's desire for a more closely integrated deterrence policy with the United States. They conclude by considering the potential for domestic instability in North Korea and how China may be assessing North Korea's more aggressive approach to nuclear testing.
Since their independence from the Soviet Union, the Central Asian countries, namely Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, have maintained close ties with Moscow. However, Russia's invasion of Ukraine has complicated the relationship. None of the Central Asian countries have expressed support for Russia's war and are all abiding by the western sanctions imposed on Moscow. While economic ties between the region and Russia remain strong as of now, Central Asian countries are looking to diversify their economic relations, thereby opening up avenues for other powers.In this episode of Interpreting India, Jennifer Brick Murtazashvili joins Rahul Bhatia to discuss Central Asia and the Russia-Ukraine war. How are the Central Asian countries responding to Russia's invasion of Ukraine? What could Russia's preoccupation with the war in Ukraine mean for China's role in the region? And, what are the implications of this on India and South Asia? --Episode ContributorsJennifer Brick Murtazashvili is a nonresident scholar in the Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. She is the founding director of the Center for Governance and Markets and a professor at the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Pittsburgh. Her research focuses on issues of self-governance, security, political economy, and public sector reform in the developing world. Her book Informal Order and the State in Afghanistan was published by Cambridge University Press in 2016.Rahul Bhatia is a research analyst with the Security Studies Program at Carnegie India. His research focuses on India's borders and India's foreign and defense policies.--Additional ReadingKazakhstan's Tokayev Is Playing With Fire at Home—and With Russia by Jennifer Brick MurtazashviliThe Source of Ukraine's Resilience by Jennifer Brick Murtazashvili--
International Rescue Committee president David Miliband and Council on Foreign Relations president Richard Haass join Fareed to discuss the diplomatic fallout of the Chinese spy balloon incident and how to navigate the political pitfalls of sending aid to Turkey and Syria after an earthquake devastated the region. Then CNN's Frederik Pleitgen and The Guardian's Shaun Walker explain the history of the Wagner Group and how Russia is using the mercenary outfit to help fight the war in Ukraine. Plus, Sue Mi Terry, former CIA analyst and current director of the Wilson Center's Asia Program, explains why North Korea's renewed emphasis on its nuclear program is worrying.To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy
In this special end of the year episode of .think Atlantic, our host Thibault Muzergues is joined by special guest, none other than IRI President Dr. Daniel Twining to review the transatlantic space's most influential events of the year. Dr. Twining's expertise regarding political parties, autocracies, and strategies as we enter the New Year will be the center of this episode's discussion. Dr. Daniel Twining joined the International Republican Institute as President in 2017, where he leads the Institute's mission to advance democracy and freedom around the world. He heads IRI's team of over 800 global experts to link citizens and governments, motivate people to engage in the political process, and guide politicians and government officials to be responsive to citizens. Previously, Dr. Twining served as counselor to the president and director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund, as a member of the Secretary of State's Policy Planning Staff, as the foreign policy advisor to U.S. Senator John McCain, and as a staff member of the U.S. Trade Representative. He has been an associate of the National Intelligence Council, taught at Georgetown University, and served as a military instructor associated with the Naval Postgraduate School. He serves on the Bush Institute's Human Freedom Advisory Council and the Wilson Center's Asia Advisory Board. He has been a columnist for Foreign Policy and Nikkei and served as an advisor to six presidential campaigns. From 2004-7, he was the Fulbright/Oxford Scholar at Oxford University. Find Dan on Twitter: @DCTwining Find IRI on Twitter: @IRIglobal Find Thibault on Twitter: @tmuzergues Visit IRI's website at www.iri.org
This week, Mike and Jude sit down with Pete Connolly, a retired officer in the Australian Defence Force and Adjunct Fellow with the Asia Program at CSIS, to discuss Chinese statecraft in the Pacific Islands. They start by unpacking China's strategic interests in Melanesia and the Pacific Islands more broadly, and what its involvement in the region means for the U.S., Australia, and other allies and partners. Next, they dive into the military implications of increasing Chinese activity in the region. They then unpack allied interests in the Pacific Islands and local perceptions of China, the U.S., and Australia.
With the conclusion of the Chinese Communist Party's 20th National Party Congress last week, Xi Jinping has now secured a precedent-breaking third term as general secretary. The Congress was also notable for Xi's moves to replace the Politburo Standing Committee with a slate of his most committed loyalists, cementing his authoritarian grasp on power. Against the backdrop of these events, E.U. leaders met last week in Brussels to discuss their approach to Beijing, raising concerns over Europe's continued dependence on China for technology and raw materials. How has the war in Ukraine impacted European attitudes and policies toward China? Will German Chancellor Olaf Scholz's planned visit to the PRC this week pose a risk to future European cohesion on China? Bonnie Glaser and Dave Shullman join Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Jim Townsend to unpack the party congress and what a third term for Xi means for Europe. Bonnie Glaser is director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. She was previously senior adviser for Asia and the director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, while also serving as a nonresident fellow with the Lowy Institute in Sydney, Australia, and a senior associate with the Pacific Forum. Dave Shullman is senior director of the Global China Hub at the Atlantic Council, where he leads the council's work on China. He has served as one of the US Government's top experts on East Asia, most recently as Deputy National Intelligence Officer for East Asia on the National Intelligence Council, where he led the IC's strategic analysis on East Asia.
The process of postwar reconciliation between the United States, Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia is one of the most remarkable stories of the 21st century. On October 11 and 12, USIP hosted a two-part event bringing together diplomats, advocates and authors to draw lessons from U.S. engagement in Southeast Asia that could apply to conflicts elsewhere in the world. Panelists October 12: The Future of U.S. Relations with Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia Ambassador Marc KnapperU.S. Ambassador to Vietnam Ambassador Bonnie JenkinsUnder Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security, U.S. Department of State Ambassador Pham Quang Vinh President, Vietnam-USA Society Brian EylerDirector, Southeast Asia Program, Stimson Center Vu Ha PhuongResearch Fellow, Otago University, New Zealand Vikram Singh, moderator Senior Advisor, Asia Program, U.S. Institute of Peace For more information about this event, please visit: https://www.usip.org/events/dialogue-war-legacies-and-peace-vietnam-laos-and-cambodia
The US House speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan on 2-3 August, and China responded with large military exercises and missile launches. To analyse this, Katie Stallard speaks to Bonnie Glaser, the director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. They talk about the signals Beijing is trying to send with its live-fire drills, and what the risks are of a serious escalation in the Taiwan Strait. They discuss the background to the current crisis, the breakdown of US-China relations, and the range of coercive measures Beijing could bring to bear on Taiwan in the coming weeks and months. Plus, what the Chinese leader Xi Jinping has really said about potential timelines in trying to seize the island.Further reading:Is China preparing to invade Taiwan?The crisis around Taiwan is only just beginning.The pointlessness of Nancy Pelosi's Taiwan trip.Sign up for the New Statesman's World Review newsletter See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
James M. Lindsay sits down with Bonnie S. Glaser, director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, to discuss House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan and its impact on U.S.-China relations. Mentioned on the Podcast Bonnie Glaser, China Global Podcast, German Marshall Fund of the United States
What have been the latest key developments in EU-China relations? Noah Barkin and Francesca Ghiretti join Carisa Nietsche and Jim Townsend to discuss milestones in the relationship and its prospects going forward. Noah Barkin is a Managing Editor with Rhodium Group's China practice and a Senior Visiting Fellow in the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund. Francesca Ghiretti is an Analyst at MERICS, where she focuses on EU-China relations with an emphasis on economic security, China's global investments, China's footprint in Southern Europe, and UK-China relations.
What future for Australian foreign policy under the Albanese government? As the Albanese government approaches its first month in office, I interviewed Hervé Lemahieu, Director of Research at the Lowy Institute, Susannah Patton, Research Fellow and Project Director, Power and Diplomacy Program at the Lowy Institute, and Ashley Townshend, Senior Fellow at the Asia Program of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, to discuss how Australian foreign policy may evolve under the Albanese government. Are there major divergences between the Coalition and Labor party on Australian foreign policy? Will AUKUS remain an important factor in Australia's regional strength in the Indo-Pacific? Will Australia deepen its cooperation with France in the Indo-Pacific now that the fallout from AUKUS has settled? How is Australia working to counter-balance growing Chinese influence in the region? Does Australia view China as a potential aggressor against Taiwan following the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
In this episode of GTI Insights, GTI Program Manager Marshall Reid interviews Dr. Prashanth Parameswaran, a fellow with the Wilson Center's Asia Program. In a wide-ranging discussion, Parameswaran shares his perspectives on ASEAN's approach to the Taiwan Strait, the recent US-ASEAN Special Summit, and prospects for greater Taiwan-ASEAN engagement in the wake of the announcement of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework.
Over the past three decades, China has become a major trade partner and investor for Belarus, Moldova, and Ukraine. The region is also an important component of the BRI New Eurasian Land Bridge, providing alternative access to Western Europe. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is shaking up China's plans and prospects in this part of Eurasia. With the closing of borders between Russia and the EU, China's long-term interests are arguably at risk. The war is also resulting in geopolitical shifts and hardening divisions between the West on the one hand, and China and Russia on the other. This panel discusses China's response to Russia's war in Ukraine and the impact that today's dramatic developments will have on China's presence in Eastern Europe and its BRI plans. Panelists: Jinghan Zeng Professor of China and International Studies at Lancaster University and Academic Director of China Engagement and Director of Lancaster University Confucius Institute Una Aleksandra Bērziņa-Čerenkova Head, China Studies Centre, Riga Stradins University; Head, Asia Program, Latvian Institute of International Affairs Jeremy Garlick Director of the J. Masaryk Centre of International Studies and Associate Professor of International Relations and China Studies at Prague University of Economics and Business Arseny Sivitsky Co-Founder and Director of Minsk-based Center for Strategic and Foreign Policy Studies Moderators: Nargis Kassenova Senior Fellow, Program on Central Asia, Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies James Gethyn Evans Communications Officer, Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies; Ph.D. Candidate, Department of History, Harvard University This event is sponsored by the Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies, the Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies at Harvard University, and the Harvard Ukrainian Research Institute.
Three nuclear-armed neighbors — China, India and Pakistan — are increasingly locked in tense relations across contested land borders. Last June, USIP convened a bipartisan Senior Study Group on Strategic Stability in Southern Asia. And on May 17, study group members discussed their findings and offered priority recommendations for U.S. policymakers working to de-escalate tensions in Southern Asia and establish safeguards against future conflicts. Speakers Ambassador George Moose, introduction and moderatorChair, Board of Directors, U.S. Institute of Peace Daniel Markey Senior Advisor, South Asia, U.S. Institute of Peace; Co-Chair, Senior Study Group on Strategic Stability in Southern Asia Lynn RustenVice President, Global Nuclear Policy Program, Nuclear Threat Initiative; Member, Senior Study Group on Strategic Stability in Southern Asia Andrew Scobell Distinguished Fellow, China, U.S. Institute of Peace; Co-Chair, Senior Study Group on Strategic Stability in Southern Asia Vikram SinghSenior Advisor, Asia Program, U.S. Institute of Peace; Co-Chair, Senior Study Group on Strategic Stability in Southern Asia Yun SunSenior Fellow and Co-Director, East Asia Program, Stimson Center; Member, Senior Study Group on Strategic Stability in Southern Asia For more information about this event, please visit: https://www.usip.org/events/china-india-and-pakistan-standing-brink-crisis
Carol Castiel adapts an interview conducted by VOA State Department correspondent Nike Ching with the US Special Envoy for Afghan Women, Girls & Human Rights and talks with Afghan analyst, Michael Kugelman, deputy director of the Asia Program and senior associate for South Asia at the Wilson Center.
In this edition of Wilson Center NOW, we are joined by Michael Kugelman, Deputy Director of the Asia Program and Senior Associate for South Asia at the Wilson Center. He discusses Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan's removal after a no-confidence vote and what to expect from the Shehbaz Sharif administration. Kugelman also discusses U.S.-India relations in the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Europe's relations with China have been on a downward trajectory the past few years. The list for this decline is long: Europe's concerns about human rights violations in Xinjiang, Chinese sanctions on EU parliamentarians, European uneasiness about PRC plans to dominate key strategic technologies, Chinese rebuff to international law in the South China Sea and its military pressure on Taiwan. Russia's unprovoked invasion of Ukraine and the resulting civilian causalities further strained relations between China and the EU as Beijing abstained in the UN Security Council and the UN General Assembly and blamed the conflict on the five waves of NATO expansion. On April 1, the 23rd EU-China summit took place via video conference. President of the European Council, Charles Michel, and President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, accompanied by High Representative Josep Borrell, met with Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang in the morning and Chinese President Xi Jinping in the afternoon. Borell later described the meeting as a dialogue of the deaf—the Chinese side had little interest in talking about the war in Ukraine, preferring to discuss shared EU and Chinese interests. In an effort to drive a wedge between the US and the EU, Xi also called on the EU to form its own perception of China and adopt an independent China policy. In this episode, Bonnie Glaser speaks with Janka Oertel, Director of the Asia Program at the European Council on Foreign Relations to further discuss the April 1 EU-China summit and analyze the overall EU-China relationship.
The Russia Ukraine war has pushed a wedge between China and Europe because of its support for Russia. And there wasn't much "guanxi" to begin with after China let Covid spread to the rest of the world while trying to contain it domestically. In this episode of China Unscripted, we look at how the Russia Ukraine war has shattered China's grip on Europe, how dependent Europe's economies are on China, and why China doesn't understand Europe the way it understands the US. Joining us in this episode is Mareike Ohlberg, a senior fellow in the Asia Program of The German Marshall Fund and co-author of the book Hidden Hand: Exposing How the Chinese Communist Party Is Reshaping the World.
This episode examines the responses of three of Asia's most prominent nations to Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Japan, India, and Korea.The war has not only brought dreadful suffering to the Ukrainian people, as well as heavy losses for the Russian army - it has also upended many of the assumptions that have guided international relations for decades. Indeed, it's arguably the biggest change to the geopolitical order since the fall of the Soviet Union. Joining Andrew Peaple to discuss the topic are two familiar voices from the Centre for Security, Diplomacy and Strategy at the Brussels School of Governance: Eva Pejsova, senior Japan fellow at CSDS, and Ramon Pacheco Pardo, who holds the Korea chair at the Centre. And to discuss the implications for India, Garima Mohan joins the show. She is a fellow in the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States, where she leads work on India. As ever, you can find more information, including episode transcripts, on our website.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine marks a turning point for the EU. As escalation mounts, Europe is sucked into its worst crisis since the Second World War, the world is watching its response. We look back at how the EU has been buffeted by multiple crises that have sharpened existing debates and disagreements between member-states. The Union was built on ‘shared values' – but what if the disagreement is about those ‘values' themselves? Is the ‘Gospel According to Monnet' still valid or are there new drivers that will shape the future of the EU? Is the economic division between north and south, and east and west overwhelming the centripetal forces? Or, can the center hold on the strength of values? Are the grumblings and the rumblings around CAI a manifestation of a Europe divided in its approach? Are Europeans heading for Non-Alignment 2.0? Can they balance their American allies with China? Will the bureaucracy in Brussels be able to rebuff Pax Sinica? This audio features a message from Zbigniew Rau, Minister of Foreign Affairs, PolandPanelistAnže Logar, Minister for Foreign Affairs, Slovenia Augusto Santos Silva, Minister for Foreign Affairs, Portugal Bogdan Aurescu, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Romania Milena Lazarevic, Programme Director and Co-founder, European Policy Centre, Serbia Moderator Garima Mohan, Fellow, Asia Program, German Marshall Fund, United StatesThe Raisina Dialogue is a multilateral conference committed to addressing the most challenging issues facing the global community. Every year, global leaders in policy, business, media and civil society are hosted in New Delhi to discuss cooperation on a wide range of pertinent international policy matters.The conference is hosted by the Observer Research Foundation in collaboration with the Government of India, Ministry of External Affairs
Michael Kugelman is the Deputy director of the Asia Program, South Asia senior associate at TheWilsonCenter and Writer of the Foreign Policy's weekly South Asia Brief. Michael Kugelman comes on the podcast to discuss India launching a missile into Pakistan, Global Power Politics, US, Russia-Ukraine war, Imran Khan's statements and anti-Americanism in Pakistan. Was the missile launch an accident? Is the United States being hypocritical? Why does Biden not call Imran Khan? Find out this and more on this week's episode of The Pakistan Experience. The Pakistan Experience is an independently produced podcast looking to tell stories about Pakistan through conversations. Please consider supporting us on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/thepakistanexperience And Please stay in touch: https://twitter.com/ThePakistanExp1 https://www.facebook.com/thepakistanexperience https://instagram.com/thepakistanexpeperience The podcast is hosted by comedian and writer, Shehzad Ghias Shaikh. Shehzad is a Fulbright scholar with a Masters in Theatre from Brooklyn College. He is also one of the foremost Stand-up comedians in Pakistan and frequently writes for numerous publications. Instagram.com/shehzadghiasshaikh Facebook.com/Shehzadghias/ Twitter.com/shehzad89 Chapters: 0:00 India's Missile Launch into Pakistan 8:30 Pakistan's Image problem and Global Politics 13:00 Return of McCarthyism? 17:30 The 'Putin is a big bad guy' narrative in US Politics 23:30 Putin's Response 28:00 US's Hypocrisy 38:00 Are we headed for WWIII? 45:00 Double Standards and Hypocrisy 50:30 The Media's portrayal of the war 54:30 The Nuclear option 57:30 Imran Khan's statements and US's reaction 1:06:30 Imran Khan's visit to Russia 1:12:00 Anti-American populism used 1:19:30 People's Questions
In this Roots of Reality Experiences episode, historian Ben Baumann talks with expert on Chinese foreign policy Andrew Small about China's relationship with Russia, China's reaction to what's happening in Ukraine, as well as how recent events may affect China's thinking about Taiwan. (Andrew Small is a senior transatlantic fellow with GMF's Asia Program, which he established in 2006. His research focuses on U.S.–China relations, Europe–China relations, Chinese policy in South Asia, and broader developments in China's foreign and economic policy. He was based in GMF's Brussels office for five years, and worked before that as the director of the Foreign Policy Centre's Beijing office, as a visiting fellow at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, and an ESU scholar in the office of Senator Edward M. Kennedy. His articles and papers have been published in The New York Times, Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, the Washington Quarterly, as well as many other journals, magazines, and newspapers. He is the author of the book The China-Pakistan Axis: Asia's New Geopolitics published with Hurst / Oxford University Press in 2015. Small was educated at Balliol College, University of Oxford.) Twitter- twitter.com/ajwsmall German Marshall Fund of the United States- gmfus.org/find-experts/andrew-small Website- andrewsmall.org Book- amazon.com/China-Pakistan-Axis-Asias-New-Geopolitics/dp/0190210753 (The memories, comments, and viewpoints shared by guests in the interviews do not represent the viewpoints of, or speak for Roots of Reality)
In this episode of Interpreting India, Robert Greene joins Priyadarshini D. to explore the use and impact of China's digital yuan. What's China's motivation behind its e-CNY? How does it work? What are some of the domestic and international implications of its rollout? The digital yuan is a centralized, cash-like digital currency. The People's Bank of China (PBOC)--the Chinese central bank--and digital yuan operating institutions, which includes some of the largest state owned banks and tech giants like Alibaba and Tencent, have conducted large scale pilot programs in multiple cities over the past year. The 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing, in February, was originally planned as the grand international debut for the digital yuan. Those plans, however, went sideways with another outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic.Of all the current CBDC pilots, the digital yuan elicits significant interest, given China's economic heft and geopolitical ambitions. In this episode of Interpreting India, we will delve into the debate surrounding China's digital yuan. --Episode ContributorsRobert Greene is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace's Cyber Policy Initiative and Asia Program. His work focuses on Chinese financial sector trends and on topics at the nexus of cyberspace governance, global finance, and national security. He has worked extensively on the global implications of China's centrally backed digital currency. Robert is also the vice president and chief of staff at Patomak Global Partners, a financial services consultancy, Priyadarshini D. is an associate fellow with the Technology and Society Program at Carnegie India. She is interested in researching emerging issues at the intersection of law, technology, and finance. Her current research focuses on the impact and implications of introducing digital currencies, such as central bank digital currencies, specifically in the context of an emerging market like India. --Additional Reading:1. What does China's centrally backed digital currency mean for the world? by Robert Greene2. Beijing's Global Ambitions for Central Bank Digital Currencies Are Growing Clearer by Robert Greene 3. Correct Design Can Ensure CBDCs Don't Destabilise Banks by Priyadarshini D. 4. China's Digital Yuan: An Alternative to the Dollar-Dominated Financial System by Rajesh Bansal and Somya Singh--
France, as an Indo-Pacific power, plays a unique role in EU discussions on engagement with the region. Paris' security-minded approach to the Indo-Pacific region distinguishes it from other European capitals. But, as AUKUS controversy shows, France's ambitions in the region are being challenged, as its partners prioritize capabilities to respond to China's growing military prowess over relations with Paris. The resulting Franco-American tensions have implications for all EU member states and some of them are concerned.In this episode, we talk with Mathieu Duchâtel, Director of the Asia Program at Institut Montaigne, and one of the leading voices in China debates in France.The conversation covers France's ambitions in the Indo-Pacific, the dynamics of Franco-Chinese interactions in the region, the AUKUS debacle and China topics in light of the upcoming French EU presidency.---If you are interested in our research on EU-China topics why not subscribe to our biweekly MERICS Europe China 360° Brief?
In a decades-long effort to expand its international “circle of friends,” the PRC has persisted in supplementing its national-level diplomacy with local exchanges. Over the past four decades, the PRC has forged more than 2000 sister-city relationships worldwide, including over 200 in the United States and over 350 in the EU. China forms these ties across the world through the Chinese People's Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries, a United Front organization that specializes in developing relationships with local business, political, and media figures abroad. But sister cities are only one of many avenues for Beijing to engage with local actors in order to realize its global aspirations. Bonnie Glaser talks with Dr. Mareike Ohlberg about China's strategy of local diplomacy and its importance in an environment of increasingly tense national-level relations. Dr. Mareike Ohlberg is a senior fellow with GMF's Asia Program. Her research interests include China's media and digital policies as well as the Chinese Communist Party's influence campaigns in Europe. Mareike is co-author of the book Hidden Hand: Exposing How the Chinese Communist Party is Reshaping the World.
After two decades of military involvement in Afghanistan, the United States and NATO are withdrawing their forces, with potential implications for regional security and thus for Chinese interests. Some observers have suggested the U.S. withdrawal will create opportunities for China to fill the void, but in fact, Beijing is worried about the potential negative security and economic impact of the U.S. pull-out. China has several major investments in Afghanistan, including in the Aynak Copper Mine and in the Amu Darya Basin Oil Fields. The Taliban has said it would welcome Chinese investments and reconstruction, but the Taliban's rapidly growing influence has alarmed the Chinese government. An explosion that killed nine Chinese workers in Pakistan in mid-July, which Beijing has said was a terrorist attack, has further heightened Chinese fears of regional instability. Bonnie Glaser talks with Andrew Small about China's interests, strategy, and future role in Afghanistan on this episode of China Global. Andrew is a senior transatlantic fellow with GMF's Asia Program and author of The China-Pakistan Axis: Asia's New Geopolitics. His research focuses on U.S.-China relations, Europe-China relations, Chinese policy in South Asia, and broader developments in China's foreign and economic policy.
In this episode, Veerle and Andrew Small, Senior Transatlantic Fellow with the German Marshall Fund's Asia Program, discuss the presence of Chinese tech in Europe and explore whether there is an alignment of views and policy approaches on mitigating the risks arising from some Chinese corporations. What role is there for NATO in this effort, and how can Europe cooperate with the US in third countries? With transatlantic differences on norms and policy priorities still prevalent, transatlantic convergence still has some ways to go.
Ceasefire in Gaza: As journalists in the Strip stop to catch their breath, Israel's media stand accused of inciting violence against Palestinians.Contributors:Yara Hawari - Academic and writer; senior analyst, Al ShabakaTareq Baconi - Senior analyst, International Crisis GroupJoshua Leifer - Assistant editor, Jewish CurrentsRami Younis - Palestinian journalistOn our radarIn Qatar, a Kenyan who blogged under the pen name "Noah" about his life as a migrant worker in the Arab Gulf state finds himself in custody. Richard Gizbert and producer Johanna Hoes discuss the case of Malcolm Bidali.The Xinjiang whitewashMeet the white Western influencers helping China contest claims of genocide in Xinjiang.Contributors:Mareike Ohlberg - Senior fellow (Asia Program), German Marshall FundSophie Richardson - China director, Human Rights WatchAmelia Pang - Author of Made in ChinaShelley Zhang - Writer, China Uncensored
Asian Insider Ep 68: Washington's Taiwan dilemma - worries spike over China's coercive moves 18:09 mins Synopsis: Every Friday, The Straits Times' US bureau chief Nirmal Ghosh presents an Asian perspective of the week's global talking points with expert guests. While tensions are up over China's moves against Taiwan, fears of an imminent invasion are alarmist, as analyst Bonnie Glaser tells host Nirmal. Glaser is transitioning to become director of the Asia Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. They discuss the following points: Economic pressure on Taiwan could harm China itself (4:11) Confidence eroding that Taiwan will reunify with ‘motherland’ (5:58) US faces great challenges in coming to defence of Taiwan (8:39) Is the risk of conflict between China and Taiwan somewhat exaggerated? (11:08) China’s move to block CSIS website was ‘wrong move’ (14:46) Produced by: Nirmal Ghosh (nirmal@sph.com.sg) & ST Video team Edited by: ST Video team and Muhammad Firmann Subscribe to Asian Insider Podcast series and rate us on your favourite audio apps: Channel: https://str.sg/JWa7 Apple Podcasts: https://str.sg/JWa8 Google Podcasts: https://str.sg/Ju4h Spotify: https://str.sg/JWaX Website: http://str.sg/stpodcasts Feedback to: podcast@sph.com.sg Discover Asian Insider Videos: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnK3VE4BKduMSOntUoS6ALNp21jMmgfBX Read Ghosh's stories: https://str.sg/JbxG Follow Nirmal Ghosh on Twitter: https://str.sg/JD7r --- Discover more ST podcast series: Asian Insider Podcast: https://str.sg/JWa7 Green Pulse Podcast: https://str.sg/JWaf Health Check Podcast: https://str.sg/JWaN ST Sports Talk Podcast: https://str.sg/JWRE Life Weekend Picks Podcast: https://str.sg/JWa2 #PopVultures Podcast: https://str.sg/JWad Bookmark This! Podcast: https://str.sg/JWas Lunch With Sumiko Podcast: https://str.sg/J6hQ Discover BT Podcasts: http://bt.sg/podcasts Follow our shows then, if you like short, practical podcasts!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
We interviewed Didi Kirsten Tatlow, a Senior Fellow in the Asia Program at the German Council on Foreign Relations, a Senior Non-Resident Fellow with Project Sinopsis, and the co-editor and co-author of a recent book, “China's Quest for Foreign Technology: Beyond Espionage." In a fascinating interview, Tatlow shares her thoughts on China's increasingly authoritarian approach to the Hong Kong protests, the potential implications of these tactics for Taiwan, and the role Western democracies can play in countering Chinese aggression. Producers: Marshall Reid, Jack Liu Hosts: Marshall Reid, Isabel Eliassen Editor: Jack Liu Music: Joseph Ross
Mike is joined by Abe Denmark, Director of the Asia Program at the Wilson Center, and Mira Rapp-Hooper, Senior Fellow for Asia Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, to discuss the past, present, and future of the U.S. alliance system in the Indo-Pacific. What are the major strategic decision points facing the U.S. and its allies in the Indo-Pacific? Is present friction within the alliance network emblematic of the current administration or broader, more systemic issues? Mike, Mira, and Abe frame the discussion around Mira and Abe's new books on alliances: Mira's "Shields of the Republic" and Abe's "U.S. Strategy in the Asian century."