Podcasts about German Marshall Fund

In episode 256 of Talk Eastern Europe, hosts Adam,Alexander and Nina mark the fourth anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine with a heavy week of reflections – as well as some other news from the region. They discuss ongoing protest movements across the Balkans (includingfresh demonstrations in Bosnia and Herzegovina following a deadly tram derailment), tensions in Serbia, and what these cycles of civic anger say about corruption and accountability.The episode then features an interview with Nedim Useinow - a Crimean Tatar originally from Crimea and now a program manager with the German Marshall Fund. Adam and Nedim discuss where the war stands after four years, why current “peace talks” feel hollow, what occupation has meant for Crimea and Crimean Tatars, and how Ukrainians' resilience has shifted from shock to long-term adaptation. The conversation also touches on Poland's evolving public mood, disinformation, and why continued support for Ukraine still matters for European security.Read online: “Tortured into confession. The plight of Ukrainian prisoners of war” https://neweasterneurope.eu/2026/02/24/tortured-into-confession-the-plight-of-ukrainian-prisoners-of-war/Listen to Part 1 of this series here - https://talkeasterneurope.eu/episodes/ukraine-four-years-of-resistance-part-1-mobilizing-empathy-for-stolen-children

Over the past year, Europe–India relations have entered a markedly upbeat phase. What was once a diffuse partnership—long on rhetoric, short on strategy—now looks far more purposeful. From the announcement on a long-delayed EU-India Free Trade Agreement to expanding cooperation on security, technology, and migration, Europe and India appear to be—finally—converging around a shared strategic logic.To unpack what's driving this convergence—and where its limits lie—Milan is joined on the show this week by Garima Mohan. Garima is a senior fellow in the Indo-Pacific program at the German Marshall Fund based in Brussels. In this capacity, she leads GMF's work on India and serves as convenor of the India Trilateral Forum. Her research focuses on Europe-India ties, EU foreign policy in Asia, and security in the Indo-Pacific. She's also the author of a new GMF report titled, “A Long Time Coming: Europe and India have discovered a strategic partnership,” published in January 2026.Milan and Garima discuss the geopolitical drivers that are bringing the EU and India closer together, Europe's views on the limits to India's potential, and the key takeaways from the EU-India FTA. Plus, the two discuss how Russia might derail Indo-European security cooperation and the urgent need for Europe to invest in India expertise.Episode notes:1.     “Europe's long-awaited free-trade deal with India,” The Economist, January 25, 2026.2.     Garima Mohan, “As Trump takes Office, Planets Align for the EU and India,” India's World, March 6, 2025.3.     “Can Europe be India's Plan B? (with James Crabtree),” Grand Tamasha, September 17, 2025.4.     “India and the Reordering of Transatlantic Relations (with Tara Varma),” Grand Tamasha, March 11, 2025.5.     “Mr. Modi Goes to Europe (with Garima Mohan),” Grand Tamasha, May 11, 2022.

Heinlein, Stefan www.deutschlandfunk.de, Interviews

Today's episode is the third in a series of three that examine the potential consequences for China if a military operation against Taiwan were to fail. In each of these episodes, we're speaking with authors of a recently published German Marshall Fund study of the possible costs that China would incur across four different, but interrelated areas: the Chinese economy, the military, Chinese social stability, and international costs. The report is titled, “If China Attacks Taiwan” and it is posted on GMFUS.org.  Our podcast today focuses on the potential costs for the Chinese economy.To recap, the study considered two scenarios that could take place in the next five years. In the first scenario, a minor skirmish escalates into a multi-week maritime blockade of Taiwan by China. Although several dozen members of the Chinese and Taiwanese military are killed, U.S. intervention eventually forces China to de-escalate.  In the second scenario, a conflict escalates into a full-fledged invasion, with Chinese strikes on not only Taiwan but also U.S. forces in Japan and Guam. After several months of heavy fighting, Chinese forces are degraded and eventually withdraw after suffering many tens of thousands of casualties.Our guests today are Charlie Vest and Logan Wright, who co-authored the chapter on the implications for the Chinese economy of a failed operation against Taiwan. Logan is a partner at Rhodium Group and leads the firm's work on China's economy and its global impact. Charlie is an associate director at Rhodium Group, where he manages corporate research and advisory work on China.Timestamps:[00:00] Introduction[02:34] Key Takeaways: China's Ambitions vs. Economic Realities [05:41] The Escalation Dilemma in China's Decisionmaking[09:56] Immediate Disruptions to Trade and FDI[13:52] Gray-Zone Military Engagement and Political Pressures[16:48] Could Beijing Underestimate the Costs of US Intervention? [24:12] Policy Tools and Limitations for Economic Stabilization and Recovery[27:19] Long-Term Economic Effects[29:24] Impact of Social Instability

Droht Europa eine nukleare Abschreckungslücke? Sicherheitsexpertin Claudia Major warnt bei der Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz vor wachsendem Zweifel am amerikanischen Schutzschirm – und analysiert, welche Optionen Europa bleiben. Warum alle Alternativen riskant sind und was jetzt auf den Tisch gehört. Gast: Claudia Major ist Politikwissenschaftlerin. Sie forscht als Senior Vice President beim German Marshall Fund u. a. zu Transatlantischer Sicherheit und Nuklearer Abschreckung. Moderation: Frauke Niemeyer Sie haben Fragen? Schreiben Sie eine E-Mail an podcasts@ntv.de Sie möchten "Wieder was gelernt" unterstützen? Dann bewerten Sie den Podcast gerne bei Apple Podcasts oder Spotify. Dieser Podcast wird vermarktet von Julep Media: sales@julep.de

Today's episode is the second in a three-part series that examines the potential consequences for China if a military operation against Taiwan were to fail. In each of these episodes, we're speaking with authors of a recently published German Marshall Fund study of the possible costs that China would incur across four different, but interrelated areas: the Chinese economy, the military, Chinese social stability, and international costs. Our podcast today focuses on the potential costs for domestic social stability. To recap, the study considered two scenarios occurring in the next five years. In the first scenario, a minor skirmish escalated into a multi-week maritime blockade of Taiwan by China. Although several dozen members of the Chinese and Taiwanese military were killed, US intervention eventually forced China to de-escalate.  In the second scenario, a conflict escalated into a full-fledged invasion, with Chinese strikes on not only Taiwan but also US forces in Japan and Guam. After several months of heavy fighting, Chinese forces were degraded and eventually withdrew after suffering many tens of thousands of casualties. Joining us today are Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Jake Rinaldi. Sheena is an associate professor at the University of Texas at Austin and visiting research faculty at the US Army War College. Jake is an associate political scientist at the RAND Corporation.Timestamps: [00:00] Introduction  [02:11] Why This Matters to US Policymakers [04:37] Managing Social Stability During Conflict with Taiwan  [08:01] How the CCP Identifies and Suppresses Sources of Instability[10:44] Social Stability Organizations and Institutions  [15:06] Domestic Pressures & Potential Party Responses [19:00] Estimating Public Support for Reunification [23:09] Scenario 3: Protracted Conventional Conflict [26:55] Lessons Learned from COVID Lockdowns [31:28] Long-Term Implications for Stability Post-Conflict 

2026-01-26 | UPDATES #113 | “Treason” in the PLA? Xi's unprecedented purge — corruption, loyalty, and coup rumours. Today's story is not “just another corruption scandal” in China. This is the Chinese Communist Party reaching up into the absolute top of the People's Liberation Army — right into the room where war plans live — and yanking out two senior figures in one move. Top figures in fact. Beijing's official language is clipped. The implications are not. China's defence ministry says it has opened investigations into General Zhang Youxia — a vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, effectively the uniformed number two under Xi Jinping — and General Liu Zhenli, a CMC member and chief of the Joint Staff Department. The stated reason: “suspected serious violations of discipline and law.” (Reuters)----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------SOURCES: Xinhua: Defence ministry announcement (Jan 24, 2026). Xinhua / PLA Daily editorial summary (Jan 24, 2026). Reuters: Investigation details and context on PLA purges (Jan 24, 2026). Associated Press: Overview and recent purge timeline (Jan 24, 2026).Financial Times: Loyalty framing and “authority” angle (Jan 25, 2026). Washington Post: Scale of upheaval and command implications (Jan 25, 2026).Wall Street Journal: Reported additional allegations (unconfirmed by PRC statement) South China Morning Post: “Party purity” framing and political timing (Jan 25, 2026). Official explainer of the “CMC Chairperson Responsibility System” (SCIO, background).Reuters (background): Li Shangfu/Wei Fenghe expulsions (Jun 2024) and 2027 readiness reporting (Feb 2023). German Marshall Fund (background): Rocket Force shakeup (Aug 2023). Andrew Erickson (analysis aggregation; includes translated/linked primary text). Sinocism (analysis; discussion of messaging speed and implications). ----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2025 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur events of the first half of the year in Lviv, Kyiv and Odesa were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. Any support you can provide for the fundraising campaign would be gratefully appreciated. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------

Engels, Silvia www.deutschlandfunk.de, Interviews

In this episode, experts discuss the United States' renewed interest in Greenland—which the Trump administration argues is vital to U.S. national security—and what it means for Arctic security, the NATO alliance, and great power competition.   Background Reading: This article unpacks Trump's increasingly assertive push to bring Greenland under U.S. control and what that means for the NATO alliance and the Arctic.    Host: David E. Sanger, White House and National Security Correspondent, New York Times; CFR Member   Guests: Heather A. Conley, Nonresident Senior Fellow, American Enterprise Institute, Foreign and Defense Policy; Former President of the German Marshall Fund of the United States; CFR Member   Rebecca Pincus, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Research Institute; Senior Fellow, Transatlantic Security, German Marshall Fund of the United States; Former Director, Polar Institute, Wilson Center   Geoffrey Pyatt, Senior Managing Director, McLarty Associates; Former Assistant Secretary of State for Energy Resources and U.S. Ambassador to Greece and Ukraine   Want more comprehensive analysis of global news and events sent straight to your inbox? Subscribe to CFR's Daily News Brief newsletter. To keep tabs on all CFR events, visit cfr.org/event. To watch this event, please visit it on our YouTube channel: Greenland in the Geopolitical Spotlig

Concern about the possibility of a Chinese attack against Taiwan has surged in recent years. Wargames and research studies have focused primarily on identifying gaps in US and allied capabilities with the goal of strengthening deterrence. A relatively understudied question, however, is the potential consequences for China if a military operation against Taiwan were to fail. To address this gap, the German Marshall Fund led a study of the possible costs that China would incur across four different, but interrelated areas: the Chinese economy, the military, Chinese social stability, and international costs.GMF commissioned four papers on these key areas. We considered two scenarios that could realistically take place in the next five years. In the first scenario, a minor skirmish escalated into a multi-week maritime blockade of Taiwan by China. Although several dozen members of the Chinese and Taiwanese military were killed, US intervention eventually forced China to de-escalate.  In the second scenario, a conflict escalated into a full-fledged invasion, with Chinese strikes on not only Taiwan but also U.S. forces in Japan and Guam. After several months of heavy fighting, Chinese forces were degraded and eventually withdrew after suffering many tens of thousands of casualties.The authors found that the costs to China of a failed military action against Taiwan would likely be considerable. We believe their findings are important and warrant wide dissemination. In this podcast, we'll discuss the report's major conclusions and implications. Then we'll talk about the potential impact of a failed Chinese attempt to take Taiwan on China's military capabilities and the possible international costs that Beijing could face.  Our next two China Global podcasts will examine the implications of a failed military operation against Taiwan for China's economy and social stability.Our guests today are Zack Cooper and Joel Wuthnow. Zack is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and lecturer at Princeton University.  Joel is a senior research fellow in the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs within the Institute for National Strategic Studies at NDU. Joel's paper and this interview reflect only his personal views and not those of the National Defense University, the Department of War, or the US government.Timestamps: [00:00] Introduction  [03:22] Implications for China, the United States, and Taiwan [06:31] Actions to Strengthen Deterrence  [08:50] Evaluating Costs and Risks for Chinese Decisionmakers[11:46] Lessons Learned for the PLA [14:05] Steps to Avoid Another Attack [17:14] Intensifying Frictions between Party and Military?  [19:53] Anticipating US Intervention as a Military Variable [22:49] Countries and Organizations Likely to Respond to China[25:55] Potential Diplomatic Actions and Costs[31:50] A Treaty Alliance with Taiwan [34:44] Why International Costs Matter to China

John Maytham chats to Distinguished Fellow - German Marshall Fund of the US in Brussels, Ian Lesser about the US attempts to take over Greenland. Presenter John Maytham is an actor and author-turned-talk radio veteran and seasoned journalist. His show serves a round-up of local and international news coupled with the latest in business, sport, traffic and weather. The host’s eclectic interests mean the program often surprises the audience with intriguing book reviews and inspiring interviews profiling artists. A daily highlight is Rapid Fire, just after 5:30pm. CapeTalk fans call in, to stump the presenter with their general knowledge questions. Another firm favourite is the humorous Thursday crossing with award-winning journalist Rebecca Davis, called “Plan B”. Thank you for listening to a podcast from Afternoon Drive with John Maytham Listen live on Primedia+ weekdays from 15:00 and 18:00 (SA Time) to Afternoon Drive with John Maytham broadcast on CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show go to https://buff.ly/BSFy4Cn or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/n8nWt4x Subscribe to the CapeTalk Daily and Weekly Newsletters https://buff.ly/sbvVZD5 Follow us on social media: CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Et si c'était l'ultimatum de trop ? Ce week-end, Donald TRUMP a menacé huit pays européens, dont la France, de droits de douane supplémentaires s'ils persistent à s'opposer à l'annexion du Groenland… Un chantage qui semble provoquer le tant attendu sursaut européen : le Parlement menace de ne pas ratifier l'accord douanier trouvé cet été avec les Américains, pendant qu'Emmanuel MACRON demande pour la toute première fois l'activation de l'outil anti-coercition, un instrument de riposte économique surnommé le “bazooka” européen. TRUMP a-t-il franchi la ligne rouge ? Nous allons en débattre ce lundi 19 janvier avec nos invités : Gilles GRESSANI, Directeur et cofondateur de la revue Le Grand Continent, volume L'Empire de l'ombre. Guerre et terre au temps de l'IA sous la direction de Giuliano Da Empoli (coédition Gallimard et Le Grand Continent, avril 2025)Tara VARMA, Directrice de la prospective stratégique au German Marshall Fund of the United StatesGérard ARAUD, Diplomate, ancien ambassadeur de France en Israël et aux Etats-Unis, ancien représentant permanent de la France aux Nations Unies (2009-2014), auteur du livre Lecons de diplomatie. La France face au monde qui vient (éd. Tallandier, 16 octobre 2025)François CHIMITS, Économiste, responsable du programme Europe à l'Institut Montaigne

Dr Claudia Major joins Neil Melvin to discuss Germany's rearmament drive and its implications for European and transatlantic security. Germany is undertaking the most significant overhaul of its defence and security policy in decades, moving from long-standing restraint to large-scale rearmament and military reform. In this episode of Global Security Briefing, Neil Melvin speaks with Dr Claudia Major, Senior Vice President, Transatlantic Security at the German Marshall Fund, about what Germany's changing approach means for Europe's future security. This episode explores: - Germany's rearmament strategy, spending priorities and capability timelines. - The domestic political, public and institutional challenges to sustained defence investment. - The role of conscription, recruitment and societal defence in Germany's plans. - How the German defence industry is adapting to unprecedented demand. - What Germany's emergence as Europe's largest defence actor means for European security. - How Berlin's rearmament affects relations with European partners, the European Union and the United States. - Whether Germany's strategic culture is undergoing lasting change.

Mardi prochain, le 20 janvier 2026, cela fera un an que Donald Trump a commencé son deuxième mandat. L'occasion d'aborder divers aspects de cette présidence, omniprésente, qui ne cherche pas de compromis mais conclut des deals, qui met en avant la grandeur de l'Amérique et bouleverse l'ordre international. Les Européens se souvenaient de leur histoire commune, croyaient  partager une certaine vision de la démocratie, de la liberté de la presse de la science ou de l'entraide.  C'est du passé. Aujourd'hui, les États-Unis développent leur sphère d'influence, ont des vues sur le Groenland et considèrent que la grandeur d'un pays, c'est sa puissance. Les Européens ne sont plus des alliés. Ils sont des clients. - Tara Varma, directrice du Bureau de Paris du German Marshall Fund.

durée : 00:58:47 - Affaires étrangères - par : Christine Ockrent - De Caracas au Groenland, de Kiev à Téhéran, Donald Trump multiplie annonces abruptes et revirements, brouillant les alliances et franchissant une fois de plus les lignes rouges du droit international. De l'autre côté de l'Atlantique, comment l'Europe peut-elle réagir? - réalisation : Luc-Jean Reynaud - invités : Tara Varma Directrice du programme de prospective stratégique du German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) ; Florent Parmentier Secrétaire général du Centre de recherches politiques de Sciences Po (CEVIPOF), chercheur associé à l'Institut Jacques Delors; Frédéric Charillon Professeur de Science politique à l'Université Paris Cité et à l'Essec.; Gilles Gressani Chercheur en sciences politiques

Und was würde das für Europa und die NATO bedeuten?Donald Trump hat es schon einmal getan - Grönland ins Spiel gebracht, als strategisches Objekt amerikanischer Interessen. Doch was lange wie eine bizarre Provokation wirkte, bekommt im aktuellen geopolitischen Klima eine neue Brisanz. Wie realistisch ist ein militärischer Konflikt um Grönland wirklich?Paul Ronzheimer spricht mit Claudia Major, Senior Vice President für Transatlantische Sicherheitsinitiativen beim German Marshall Fund und eine der profiliertesten Sicherheitsexpertinnen Europas. Sie analysiert, warum Grönland strategisch so wichtig ist, welche Rolle die USA, Russland und China spielen - und wie ernst man Donald Trumps Drohkulisse nehmen muss.Was würde ein solcher Angriff für das transatlantische Bündnis bedeuten? Und ist Europa überhaupt vorbereitet auf ein Szenario, das bisher undenkbar schien?Wenn euch der Podcast gefällt, lasst gerne Like & Abo da!GANZ NEU: Diskutiert mit Paul, Filipp & unseren Gästen und erfahrt noch mehr über die Hintergründe der Episoden auf joincampfire.fm/ronzheimerPaul auf Instagram | Paul auf XRONZHEIMER. jetzt auch im Video auf YouTube!Redaktion: Filipp Piatov, Lieven Jenrich u. Moritz MüllerExecutive Producer: Daniel van Moll Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

"Today's 'pro-Europeans' would be horrified at the suggestion that their idea of Europe had anything to do with whiteness. In fact, many would find the attempt to link the two baffling and outrageous," writes Hans Kundnani in Eurowhiteness: Culture, Empire and Race in the European Project (Oxford UP, 2023). Yet, he does so - taking the reader on a historical journey through the development of European identity from Christendom to the coincidence of the Enlightenment and the development of colonialism to the pan-European movement that grew out of the first world war and peace project (or was it?) that emerged from the second. Not only is pro-Europeanism “analogous to nationalism - something like nationalism but on a larger, continental scale," Kundani argues, but the EU itself has “become a vehicle for imperial amnesia" thereby promoting and privileging “whiteness”. Hans Kundnani is a fellow at the Open Society Foundations Workshop, an associate scholar at the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House), and a visiting scholar at the Robert L. Heilbroner Center for Capitalism Studies at The New School for Social Research. From 2018-22, he was a full-time researcher at Chatham House, including as director of the Europe Programme. Before that, he was a researcher at the German Marshall Fund, the Transatlantic Academy, and the European Council on Foreign Relations. In 2014, he published The Paradox of German Power. *The author's own book recommendations are Eurafrica: The Untold History of European Integration and Colonialism by Peo Hansen and Stefan Jonsson (Bloomsbury Academic, 2015) and The Lonely Londoners by Sam Selvon (Penguin Modern Classics, 2006 - first published in 1956) Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes the twenty4two newsletter on Substack and hosts the In The Room podcast series. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network

"Today's 'pro-Europeans' would be horrified at the suggestion that their idea of Europe had anything to do with whiteness. In fact, many would find the attempt to link the two baffling and outrageous," writes Hans Kundnani in Eurowhiteness: Culture, Empire and Race in the European Project (Oxford UP, 2023). Yet, he does so - taking the reader on a historical journey through the development of European identity from Christendom to the coincidence of the Enlightenment and the development of colonialism to the pan-European movement that grew out of the first world war and peace project (or was it?) that emerged from the second. Not only is pro-Europeanism “analogous to nationalism - something like nationalism but on a larger, continental scale," Kundani argues, but the EU itself has “become a vehicle for imperial amnesia" thereby promoting and privileging “whiteness”. Hans Kundnani is a fellow at the Open Society Foundations Workshop, an associate scholar at the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House), and a visiting scholar at the Robert L. Heilbroner Center for Capitalism Studies at The New School for Social Research. From 2018-22, he was a full-time researcher at Chatham House, including as director of the Europe Programme. Before that, he was a researcher at the German Marshall Fund, the Transatlantic Academy, and the European Council on Foreign Relations. In 2014, he published The Paradox of German Power. *The author's own book recommendations are Eurafrica: The Untold History of European Integration and Colonialism by Peo Hansen and Stefan Jonsson (Bloomsbury Academic, 2015) and The Lonely Londoners by Sam Selvon (Penguin Modern Classics, 2006 - first published in 1956) Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes the twenty4two newsletter on Substack and hosts the In The Room podcast series. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/critical-theory

"Today's 'pro-Europeans' would be horrified at the suggestion that their idea of Europe had anything to do with whiteness. In fact, many would find the attempt to link the two baffling and outrageous," writes Hans Kundnani in Eurowhiteness: Culture, Empire and Race in the European Project (Oxford UP, 2023). Yet, he does so - taking the reader on a historical journey through the development of European identity from Christendom to the coincidence of the Enlightenment and the development of colonialism to the pan-European movement that grew out of the first world war and peace project (or was it?) that emerged from the second. Not only is pro-Europeanism “analogous to nationalism - something like nationalism but on a larger, continental scale," Kundani argues, but the EU itself has “become a vehicle for imperial amnesia" thereby promoting and privileging “whiteness”. Hans Kundnani is a fellow at the Open Society Foundations Workshop, an associate scholar at the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House), and a visiting scholar at the Robert L. Heilbroner Center for Capitalism Studies at The New School for Social Research. From 2018-22, he was a full-time researcher at Chatham House, including as director of the Europe Programme. Before that, he was a researcher at the German Marshall Fund, the Transatlantic Academy, and the European Council on Foreign Relations. In 2014, he published The Paradox of German Power. *The author's own book recommendations are Eurafrica: The Untold History of European Integration and Colonialism by Peo Hansen and Stefan Jonsson (Bloomsbury Academic, 2015) and The Lonely Londoners by Sam Selvon (Penguin Modern Classics, 2006 - first published in 1956) Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes the twenty4two newsletter on Substack and hosts the In The Room podcast series. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/european-studies

"Today's 'pro-Europeans' would be horrified at the suggestion that their idea of Europe had anything to do with whiteness. In fact, many would find the attempt to link the two baffling and outrageous," writes Hans Kundnani in Eurowhiteness: Culture, Empire and Race in the European Project (Oxford UP, 2023). Yet, he does so - taking the reader on a historical journey through the development of European identity from Christendom to the coincidence of the Enlightenment and the development of colonialism to the pan-European movement that grew out of the first world war and peace project (or was it?) that emerged from the second. Not only is pro-Europeanism “analogous to nationalism - something like nationalism but on a larger, continental scale," Kundani argues, but the EU itself has “become a vehicle for imperial amnesia" thereby promoting and privileging “whiteness”. Hans Kundnani is a fellow at the Open Society Foundations Workshop, an associate scholar at the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House), and a visiting scholar at the Robert L. Heilbroner Center for Capitalism Studies at The New School for Social Research. From 2018-22, he was a full-time researcher at Chatham House, including as director of the Europe Programme. Before that, he was a researcher at the German Marshall Fund, the Transatlantic Academy, and the European Council on Foreign Relations. In 2014, he published The Paradox of German Power. *The author's own book recommendations are Eurafrica: The Untold History of European Integration and Colonialism by Peo Hansen and Stefan Jonsson (Bloomsbury Academic, 2015) and The Lonely Londoners by Sam Selvon (Penguin Modern Classics, 2006 - first published in 1956) Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes the twenty4two newsletter on Substack and hosts the In The Room podcast series. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/politics-and-polemics

"Today's 'pro-Europeans' would be horrified at the suggestion that their idea of Europe had anything to do with whiteness. In fact, many would find the attempt to link the two baffling and outrageous," writes Hans Kundnani in Eurowhiteness: Culture, Empire and Race in the European Project (Oxford UP, 2023). Yet, he does so - taking the reader on a historical journey through the development of European identity from Christendom to the coincidence of the Enlightenment and the development of colonialism to the pan-European movement that grew out of the first world war and peace project (or was it?) that emerged from the second. Not only is pro-Europeanism “analogous to nationalism - something like nationalism but on a larger, continental scale," Kundani argues, but the EU itself has “become a vehicle for imperial amnesia" thereby promoting and privileging “whiteness”. Hans Kundnani is a fellow at the Open Society Foundations Workshop, an associate scholar at the Royal Institute of International Affairs (Chatham House), and a visiting scholar at the Robert L. Heilbroner Center for Capitalism Studies at The New School for Social Research. From 2018-22, he was a full-time researcher at Chatham House, including as director of the Europe Programme. Before that, he was a researcher at the German Marshall Fund, the Transatlantic Academy, and the European Council on Foreign Relations. In 2014, he published The Paradox of German Power. *The author's own book recommendations are Eurafrica: The Untold History of European Integration and Colonialism by Peo Hansen and Stefan Jonsson (Bloomsbury Academic, 2015) and The Lonely Londoners by Sam Selvon (Penguin Modern Classics, 2006 - first published in 1956) Tim Gwynn Jones is an economic and political-risk analyst at Medley Advisors, who also writes the twenty4two newsletter on Substack and hosts the In The Room podcast series.

According to the German Marshall Fund chair Chris Schroeder, China both goes to bed and wakes up thinking of China rather than America. How does the Washington DC based Schroeder know? Because, unlike almost all Americans, he actually made the effort of visiting China this year and seeing this vast and paradoxical country for himself. “Curiosity has never been more valuable,” Schroeder warns. “If you are not on the ground, you have no sense of nuance. You get caught in a narrative which is much more macro." And that's exactly what the global investor and entrepreneur did. He got on the ground - talked to young Chinese entrepreneurs, traveled on high speed rail, saw an entire car assembled in twenty seconds. Americans might not want to obsess over the China paradox. But they should probably occasionally spare a thought for this remarkable country before going to bed or waking up in the morning.According to German Marshall Fund chair Chris Schroeder, China goes to bed and wakes up thinking about China — not America. How does the Washington, DC-based Schroeder know? Because, unlike almost all Americans, he actually made the effort of visiting China this year and seeing this vast and paradoxical country for himself. “Curiosity has never been more valuable,” he warns. “If you are not on the ground, you have no sense of nuance. You get caught in a narrative which is much more macro.” And that's exactly what the global investor and entrepreneur did — he talked to young Chinese entrepreneurs, traveled on high-speed rail, saw an entire car assembled in 20 seconds. Americans don't need to think about China every night or morning. But they would be advised to listen to nuanced and on-the-ground stories of curious travelers like Chris Schroeder. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe

Elections in Hungary are not expected until April, but who is leading in the polls? Péter Magyar's Tisza party or Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz? To better understand the situation, I spoke with Daniel Hegedüs, Regional Director for Central Europe at the German Marshall Fund. He writes and speaks extensively on populism and democratic backsliding in Central and Eastern Europe, and we discuss what Orbán may be willing to do to remain in power. Listen to our conversation. And if you enjoy what I do, please support me on Ko-fi! Thank you. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://ko-fi.com/amatisak

Le président ukrainien Volodymyr Zelensky se dit optimiste sur les chances de faire avancer les discussions visant à mettre fin à la guerre entre la Russie et l'Ukraine et annonce une rencontre avec Donald Trump dimanche 28 décembre en Floride. Les questions sensibles, telles que le sort du Donbass, devraient être abordées. Sous pression de l'administration américaine pour conclure un plan de paix, Volodymyr Zelensky a connu une fin d'année délicate. Il parvient malgré tout à conserver la confiance des Ukrainiens.  Donald Trump voulait un accord avant Noël. Son vœu n'a pas été exaucé. « Beaucoup de choses peuvent être décidées avant le Nouvel an », veut croire Volodymyr Zelensky, au lendemain de discussions avec les envoyés de la Maison Blanche. En dépit de cet optimisme affiché, le président ukrainien est soumis à forte pression, d'autant que les positions russes restent, pour l'heure, inflexibles. Mardi, Volodymyr Zelensky a détaillé devant la presse le plan de paix révisé en 20 points, le présentant comme la meilleure tentative de l'Ukraine de mettre fin à la guerre. Le document aborde un large éventail de questions, allant des éventuels arrangements territoriaux aux garanties de sécurité que Kiev souhaite obtenir pour prévenir toute future agression russe, en passant par les plans de reconstruction du pays ravagé par la guerre. Selon Volodymyr Zelensky, les diverses sections du plan « reflètent en grande partie la position commune ukraino-américaine ». Reste quelques points de blocage, à commencer par la question épineuse de l'avenir du Donbass. La Russie exige que les forces ukrainiennes se retirent des territoires de la région de Donetsk qu'elles contrôlent encore. Le président ukrainien ne peut accepter cette demande. À écouter et à lire aussiVolodymyr Zelensky, président ukrainien S'il cède, « il n'aura plus d'avenir politique », tranche le politologue Volodymyr Fessenko du centre Penta à Kiev. « En Ukraine, le sentiment qui domine est qu'il est impossible d'accepter de reconnaitre juridiquement les territoires occupés comme étant russes. Si, en cas de cessez-le-feu le long de la ligne de front, une partie du territoire ukrainien restait sous contrôle russe, la plupart des Ukrainiens pourraient accepter ce scénario mais à condition que ces territoires ne soient pas reconnus juridiquement comme étant russes. » Militairement, l'Ukraine ne peut pas se permettre de céder des zones fortement fortifiées de Donetsk, note pour sa part la chercheuse ukrainienne Olena Prokopenko, du centre de réflexion German Marshall Fund. « Céder des territoires fortifiés sans combat offrirait à la Russie une base idéale pour intensifier son invasion. Si l'Ukraine acceptait ces concessions, notre position sur la ligne de front serait gravement affaiblie. Les abandonner sans combat, donner à la Russie des territoires qu'elle n'a pas réussi à conquérir en onze ans depuis l'invasion du Donbass, constituerait une décision militairement désastreuse », explique-t-elle.  Le scénario dans lequel Volodymyr Zelensky se verrait contraint de céder tout le Donbass à la Russie « ne pourrait se produire qu'en cas de situation catastrophique sur le front ou dans le secteur énergétique, qui ne lui laisserait pas d'autre choix », avance Volodymyr Fessenko. Concessions territoriales  Quoi qu'il en soit, le président ukrainien n'en sortirait pas indemne. Seule concession à laquelle Volodymyr Zelensky se dit prêt : l'Ukraine pourrait retirer ses troupes des zones de l'ouest de la région de Donetsk encore sous son contrôle, pour les transformer en une zone démilitarisée dans le cadre d'un éventuel accord de paix avec Moscou, à condition que la Russie retire ses forces d'une zone équivalente. En tout état de cause, Volodymyr Zelensky estime que la création d'une zone démilitarisée doit être approuvée par le biais d'un référendum. Parallèlement aux discussions autour du plan de paix, le président ukrainien a dû affronter une tempête intérieure ces derniers mois. L'affaire Midas, vaste affaire de corruption qui touche le secteur énergétique ukrainien, a poussé les ministres de la Justice Herman Halouchtchenko et la ministre de l'Énergie, Svitlana Hryntchouk à démissionner le mois dernier. Volodymyr Zelensky a ensuite dû se défaire de son plus proche conseiller, Andriy Iermak. En écartant le chef de l'administration présidentielle, qu'il n'a pas encore remplacé, tout en maintenant une ligne relativement ferme dans les pourparlers de paix, sa côte de popularité est remontée. Selon une enquête récente menée par l'Institut international de sociologie de Kyiv (KIIS), 61% des Ukrainiens lui font confiance. « Aussi étrange que cela puisse paraître, la confrontation autour du plan de paix de Donald Trump a une fois de plus aidé », affirme Volodymyr Fessenko. Le plan de paix amendé par Kiev prévoit également la tenue d'élections en Ukraine dès que possible après la signature d'un accord de paix. Le mandat présidentiel de cinq ans de Volodymyr Zelensky aurait dû expirer en mai de l'année dernière, mais il a été prolongé en vertu de la loi martiale en vigueur depuis l'invasion russe de 2022. Le chef de l'État a chargé le Parlement de réfléchir à des modifications de la législation électorale pour examiner la possibilité d'organiser une présidentielle. Olena Prokopenko y voit une « démarche habile » tant sur le plan intérieur qu'à l'international. « Cela envoie le signal qu'il redonne un rôle central au Parlement, qui a été largement marginalisé ces dernières années, en lui confiant une décision potentiellement historique. Sur le plan international, cela montre qu'il est prêt à participer à des élections et qu'il ne fuit pas ses responsabilités », explique-t-elle. Sur le plan international, cette initiative est vue comme importante car elle renvoie la pression vers Donald Trump, qui accuse son homologue ukrainien d'utiliser la guerre comme prétexte pour éviter une élection et se maintenir au pouvoir. « En acceptant de préparer un cadre législatif, Zelensky contraint Trump à faire pression sur Vladimir Poutine afin d'obtenir un cessez-le-feu, que ce dernier a rejeté à plusieurs reprises ces derniers mois. Cela permet de mettre en évidence que l'obstacle à la paix n'est pas l'Ukraine, mais bien la Russie », note Olena Prokopenko. Élection présidentielle  Dans le cas, très hypothétique, où une élection présidentielle pourrait se tenir avant la fin des hostilités, quelles chances Volodymyr Zelensky aurait-il de remporter le scrutin ? La probabilité d'une victoire du président sortant est « très forte », selon la chercheuse du German Marshall Fund, « non pas parce qu'il n'existe pas de griefs à son égard, mais parce que l'Ukraine a besoin d'une unité maximale pour résister à la pression de l'administration américaine dans le cadre des négociations de paix. Ses chances de victoire seraient aujourd'hui bien supérieures à ce qu'elles seraient après la guerre ». La perspective pour Volodymyr Zelensky de remporter le scrutin est plus élevée aujourd'hui, abonde Volodymyr Fessenko : « Les citoyens qui lui sont favorables ou neutres évaluent positivement son rôle comme chef de la politique étrangère et commandant en chef. Après la guerre, surtout s'il devait conclure un accord de paix perçu comme défavorable, ses chances pourraient diminuer. » Dans ces conditions, certaines figures de l'opposition estiment que Volodymyr Zelensky pourrait être tenté d'organiser au plus vite des élections. Conformément aux engagements pris par le président auprès de Donald Trump, la Rada, le Parlement ukrainien s'apprête à examiner la question de l'organisation d'élections. Cependant, « il existe une faible probabilité qu'un projet de loi sur les élections en temps de guerre voit le jour. Son adoption reste incertaine. Le scénario le plus probable pour l'an prochain serait la tenue d'élections uniquement si un accord de cessez-le-feu était conclu au premier semestre », pronostique Volodymyr Fessenko, qui constate que « même au sein du parti présidentiel Serviteur du peuple, nombreux sont ceux qui s'opposent à des élections en temps de guerre. Si l'opposition et les députés réticents se mobilisent, l'adoption d'une telle loi sera impossible », souligne le politologue. En Ukraine, l'opinion publique estime, dans une très large majorité, qu'aucune des conditions sécuritaires, juridiques ou structurelles ne sont réunies pour organiser des élections, note Olena Prokopenko. « Les Ukrainiens comprennent que ce n'est pas le moment. Il n'existe aucune demande sociale en ce sens, et ce débat est principalement ravivé sous la pression de la Russie et des États-Unis ». Selon le sondage récent du KIIS, seuls 9 % des Ukrainiens soutiennent l'idée d'élections en temps de guerre. À lire aussiGel du front, élections, Otan: ce que contient la dernière version du plan américain pour la paix en Ukraine

Loren Voss, Public Service Fellow at Lawfare, sits down with Kori Schake, senior fellow and the director of foreign and defense policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute, and Carrie Lee, senior fellow with the German Marshall Fund's Strategic Democracy Initiatives. They discuss how they assess a healthy civil-military relationship, the current state of civil-military affairs, potential unlawful orders, and what we should watch going forward.Lee and Schake outline the frameworks they use to assess civil-military relations in the United States and how to think about unlawful orders and an “unprincipled principal.” Both Schake and Lee agree that the military should not bear the burden of being the solution; fixes must come from civilian leadership in the executive and legislative branches. The group concludes by identifying five indicators everyone should watch going forward to indicate the system isn't functioning as it should. To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Donald Trumps Rückkehr ins Weiße Haus, Putins Vormarsch in der Ukraine und eine transatlantische Statik, die „endgültig aus den Fugen“ geraten ist: Das Jahr 2025 war sicherheitspolitisch ein Jahr der Zerreißproben. In dieser Sonderfolge zieht Gordon Repinski gemeinsam mit Claudia Major, Sicherheitsexpertin und Senior Vice President, Transatlantic Security beim German Marshall Fund, Bilanz. Major analysiert, warum Europa momentan keine glaubwürdige „Siegtheorie“ für die Ukraine hat und weshalb die Kapitulation Kiews zwar „gerade noch abgewendet“ wurde, die Gefahr für 2026 aber keineswegs gebannt ist. Es geht um die Wirksamkeit des 90-Milliarden-Kredits und die bittere Erkenntnis, dass der Westen derzeit nicht genug tut, um Putins Kalkül zu verändern. Sie erklärt, ob und wie sich der Kontinent im Ernstfall auch ohne die USA verteidigen könnte, warum „Sicherheitsgarantien“ oft missverstanden werden und welche Rolle kleine Formate wie die „E3“ oder „E5“ im kommenden Jahr spielen müssen. Das Berlin Playbook als Podcast gibt es jeden Morgen ab 5 Uhr. Gordon Repinski und das POLITICO-Team liefern Politik zum Hören – kompakt, international, hintergründig. Für alle Hauptstadt-Profis: Der Berlin Playbook-Newsletter bietet jeden Morgen die wichtigsten Themen und Einordnungen. Jetzt kostenlos abonnieren. Mehr von Host und POLITICO Executive Editor Gordon Repinski: Instagram: @gordon.repinski | X: @GordonRepinski. Legal Notice (Belgium) POLITICO SRL Forme sociale: Société à Responsabilité Limitée Siège social: Rue De La Loi 62, 1040 Bruxelles Numéro d'entreprise: 0526.900.436 RPM Bruxelles info@politico.eu www.politico.eu Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Washington is stepping up diplomatic efforts to address Israeli objections to a possible Turkish role in an International Stabilisation Force in Gaza, a move that could affect plans to disarm Hamas and advance US President Donald Trump's Gaza peace plan. Trump is due to host Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on 29 December in Florida. The meeting is the latest attempt to revive the Gaza plan, which aims to move from a ceasefire towards the creation of a new governing arrangement in Gaza, the deployment of an international force and the disarmament of Hamas. On Friday, Turkish and Egyptian officials met their US counterparts in Miami. With a ceasefire in place in Gaza, Washington is pushing the next phase of its plan, which would include Turkish troops in an International Stabilisation Force. From Washington's perspective, Turkey's involvement is considered essential to the plan, said Asli Aydintasbas of the Brookings Institution. Turkey and Iran unite against Israel as regional power dynamics shift Israeli objections Hamas disarmament depends on the creation of a new Palestinian governing entity and the presence of international peacekeepers, with Turkey acting as a guarantor, Aydintasbas said. “Without Turkey in this process, decommissioning Hamas weapons would not occur. That is implicit in the agreement.” Turkey's close ties with Hamas are well known, with senior Hamas figures reportedly hosted in Turkey. While Turkey's Western allies label Hamas a terrorist group, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has said its members are liberation fighters. Trump has publicly thanked Ankara for using its influence to encourage Hamas to accept the peace plan. Israel opposes any Turkish military presence in Gaza, fearing Turkey would support Hamas rather than disarm it. Israel is also concerned about cyber attacks attributed to Hamas operating from Turkish territory and doubts Turkey would act in Israel's interests, said Gallia Lindenstrauss, a Turkey analyst at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv. “There's a risk of an accident between Israeli and Turkish forces, given the already high tensions and suspicions. It's hard to see a positive outcome,” she said. Israel has struggled to persuade Trump to back its position. “The US has its own priorities, and is receptive to Ankara due to strong Trump-Erdogan relations,” Lindenstrauss added. Turkey ready to help rebuild Gaza, but tensions with Israel could be a barrier Turkey's position Erdogan, who has cultivated close ties with Trump, has said Turkey is ready to send soldiers to Gaza. Reports have claimed Turkey has a brigade on standby for deployment. Turkey's relationship with Hamas is a “double-edged sword”, said Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, head of the German Marshall Fund office in Ankara. From Israel's point of view, Turkey is too close to Hamas, but “if you want to contribute to disarming them, dialogue is needed”. Any Gaza mission would be risky, but the Turkish army has decades of experience, Unluhisarcikli said. “It has a proven track record in terms of post-conflict stabilisation from the Balkans to Afghanistan. They have proven they can operate in such environments.” Despite strained diplomatic ties, the Turkish and Israeli militaries still maintain open communication. The two countries operate a hotline to avoid clashes between their air forces over Syria, demonstrating continued military coordination despite political tensions. Turkey warns Kurdish-led fighters in Syria to join new regime or face attack Regional doubts Egypt and Saudi Arabia distrust Turkey's ties with Hamas and question its intentions in Gaza, Unluhisarcikli said, with concerns that echo memories of Ottoman-era rule. On Monday, US Ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack met Netanyahu in an effort to ease Israeli concerns. However, prospects for a breakthrough are likely to depend on this month's meeting between Netanyahu and Trump. Incentives may be offered to encourage Israel to accept Turkey's role, but the issue is unlikely to be resolved that way, said Asli Aydintasbas of the Brookings Institution. “Because this is such a fundamental and existential issue for Israel, I don't think incentives will work,” she said. “As to whether or not Trump would go so far as to withhold military or financial aid, it would be very unlikely. Rather, it may just let this situation sort of fester. I don't think the Americans have a clear plan to push forward if the answer from Netanyahu is to say no.”

Despite a year marked by tariff battles, confusion over Washington's China policy, and the shock of the 2025 India–Pakistan war, one part of the U.S.–India relationship has held firm: bilateral defense cooperation. The two sides recently announced a new defense framework, are deepening links between their private sectors, and are boosting military-to-military ties. To review the state of the U.S.-India defense relationship and to help unpack the secrets of its success, Milan is joined on the show this week by Sameer Lalwani. Sameer is a senior advisor with the Special Competitive Studies Project and a non-resident senior fellow with the German Marshall Fund.Sameer and Milan discuss how the U.S.-India defense partnership has survived the general tumult in the relationship, the significance of a recently signed defense framework agreement, and the future of defense co-production and co-development. Plus, the two discuss Inda's lessons learned from Operation Sindoor and whether China still serves as the glue that keep these two powers together.Watch this episode on YouTube.Episode notes:1. Sameer Lalwani, “Don't Call it a Comeback: Why US-India Relations are Due for a Rebound,” Special Competitive Studies Project, November 20, 2025.2. Sameer Lalwani and Vikram J. Singh, “How to Get the Most Out of the U.S.-Indian Defense Partnership,” War on the Rocks, February 11, 2025.3. “Why Washington Is Wooing Pakistan (with Uzair Younus),” Grand Tamasha, October 1, 2025.4. “From Convergence to Confrontation: Trump's India Gambit (with Ashley J. Tellis),” Grand Tamasha, September 24, 2025.5. “Can Europe be India's Plan B? (with James Crabtree),” Grand Tamasha, September 17, 2025.6. “How This India-Pakistan Conflict Will Shape the Next One (with Joshua White),” Grand Tamasha, May 21, 2025.7. “Operation Sindoor and South Asia's Uncertain Future (with Christopher Clary),” Grand Tamasha, May 14, 2025.

Max Bergmann sits down with Abraham Newman and Kristine Berzina for a rapid-reaction conversation about the newly released U.S. National Security Strategy (NSS), its implications for the European security landscape, and the key clash at the forefront of transatlantic tech relations.  The live video episode was recorded on Monday, December 9, 2025. Abraham Newman is the director of the BMW Center for German and European Studies and John Powers Chair in International Business Diplomacy at Georgetown University. Kristine Berzina is a senior fellow for U.S. Defense and Transatlantic Security at the German Marshall Fund in Washington DC.   Watch the live event on demand here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TFS5L81uzfA    Reach out to our team with any questions affecting Europe, or to share feedback on the show. We want to hear from you!   Email: erep@csis.org     X:   @csiserep       Bluesky: @erep.csis.org 

The Trump administration's new National Security Strategy is causing a stir in Europe with its searing critique of America's closest allies, including a warning that the continent is facing “civilizational decline”. Ian Lesser, the vice president and Brussels chief of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, joins Thanos Davelis as we take a closer look at what some are already calling the “mother of all wake-up calls” from Washington toward Europe.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Trump Administration Says Europe Faces ‘Civilizational Erasure'Trump warns Europe faces ‘civilizational erasure' in explosive new documentU.S. Flips History by Casting Europe—Not Russia—as Villain in New Security PolicyFarmers step up road blockades across GreecePM urges farmers to scale back protests, promises payments by year-endTurkey, US will find way of removing CAATSA sanctions ‘very soon', Turkish FM says

Die neue Nationale Sicherheitsstrategie der US-Regierung unter Donald Trump gleicht einer Drohung gegenüber Europa. Ganz ohne Umschweife fordert die Administration in Washington eine radikale Kurskorrektur der europäischen Politik und warnt vor einer „zivilisatorischen Auslöschung“. Claudia Major vom German Marshall Fund analysiert gemeinsam mit Michael Bröcker die strategische Bedeutung für die transatlantischen Beziehungen. Major erinnert an die umstrittene Rede des US-Vizepräsidenten auf der Münchner Sicherheitskonferenz: „Letztlich könnte man fast sagen, diese Strategie ist eine ausformulierte, detailliertere Version dieser Vance-Rede.“[01:04]Bundeskanzler Friedrich Merz hat in Israel Premierminister Benjamin Netanjahu getroffen. Merz plädiert nach wie vor für eine Zwei-Staaten-Lösung. Markus Bickel, Redaktionsleiter des Security.Table, ordnet die diplomatischen Nuancen der Reise und Merz' neue Wortwahl in der Israel-Politik ein. Der Kanzler hat mehrfach vom „unveränderlichen Wesenskern“ gesprochen. [13:34]Hol Dir deine persönlichen Daten mit Incogni zurück! Gib einfach den Code TABLETODAY über den Link unten ein und hol dir 60 % Rabatt auf ein Jahresabo:https://incogni.com/tabletoday Hier geht es zur Anmeldung für den Space.TableTable Briefings - For better informed decisions.Sie entscheiden besser, weil Sie besser informiert sind – das ist das Ziel von Table.Briefings. Wir verschaffen Ihnen mit jedem Professional Briefing, mit jeder Analyse und mit jedem Hintergrundstück einen Informationsvorsprung, am besten sogar einen Wettbewerbsvorteil. Table.Briefings bietet „Deep Journalism“, wir verbinden den Qualitätsanspruch von Leitmedien mit der Tiefenschärfe von Fachinformationen. Professional Briefings kostenlos kennenlernen: table.media/testenHier geht es zu unseren WerbepartnernImpressum: https://table.media/impressumDatenschutz: https://table.media/datenschutzerklaerungBei Interesse an Audio-Werbung in diesem Podcast melden Sie sich gerne bei Laurence Donath: laurence.donath@table.media Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this special live pod, Ray and Jim were joined by two distinguished guests: Former Japanese Ambassador to Australia Shingo Yamagami and Bonnie Glaser, Director of the Indo-Pacific Program at the German Marshall Fund of the U.S. Together, they unpack China's escalating diplomatic offensive against Japan following PM Sanae Takaichi's recent statements about Taiwan.​What Sparked the CrisisEp. 114 centers on Takaichi's remarks in the Japanese Diet, where she responded to a hypothetical question about a Taiwan blockade scenario. She stated that if China imposed a blockade around Taiwan and the U.S. intervened, Japan could classify the situation as an "existence-threatening situation" under its national security legislation-potentially allowing deployment of Japan's Self-Defense Forces. Shingo emphasized this was not a policy change but a restatement of Japan's longstanding legal framework established a decade ago. Nevertheless, Beijing has reacted fiercely, labeling her comments an "unacceptable intervention" in China's domestic affairs.​China's Strategic CalculusBonnie explained that China's strong reaction stems from multiple factors: Xi Jinping's perceived loss of face after meeting Takaichi at the APEC summit, the 80th anniversary of WW2 amplifying anti-Japanese narratives, and concerns about Japan's military buildup in its Southwest Islands. China's broader message, she notes, is "kill the chicken to scare the monkey"-punishing Japan to deter other nations from challenging Beijing's red lines on Taiwan. China is also testing whether the United States will stand firmly behind its allies, seeking to drive wedges in the U.S.-Japan and other alliances.​The Stakes for Japan and the RegionShingo underscored Taiwan's vital strategic importance to Japan. If Taiwan falls under CCP control, the entire East China Sea would become contested territory, potentially forcing U.S. forces to retreat from Okinawa and fundamentally weakening Japan's defense posture. As former Prime Minister Abe famously stated: "A Taiwan contingency is a Japan contingency." Shingo also discussed the shocking details about a Chinese consul general's social media post threatening that Takaichi's "dirty neck will be chopped off"-unprecedented diplomatic intimidation that has only strengthened Japanese public support for the new prime minister, whose approval ratings have surged into the mid-70s.​The One China Policy vs. One China PrincipleThe discussion clarifies a critical distinction often misunderstood: The U.S. "One China policy" and those of other Western nations are fundamentally different from China's "One China principle." Neither the U.S. nor Japan has ever agreed that Taiwan is part of China-they merely "acknowledged" or "understood and respected" Beijing's position. China is now aggressively pushing countries to abandon their individual policies and adopt its principle, which holds Taiwan as an "inalienable" part of China.​Looking AheadBoth guests anticipate a prolonged chill in China-Japan relations. However, Shingo noted that China's economic vulnerabilities limit its coercion options-Beijing needs Japanese investment for its struggling economy. If Takaichi maintains her popularity and secures a strong political mandate, China may eventually be forced to engage with her government, as it did with the long-serving Abe administration. Glaser warns that China sees opportunity in a perceived U.S. decline and will continue pressuring allied coalitions, making unity among democratic partners more essential than ever.​

Eine ernüchternde Bilanz des Ukraine-Krieges.Zu Gast sind Claudia Major, Senior Vice President für Transatlantische Sicherheitsinitiativen des German Marshall Fund und Carlo Masala, Professor für Internationale Politik an der Bundeswehr-Universität München. Beide haben jüngst einen vielbeachteten SPIEGEL-Gastbeitrag veröffentlicht, in dem sie einen „neuen pragmatischen Westen“ fordern - mit Deutschland in einer zentralen Rolle. Im Gespräch liefern sie eine tiefgehende Analyse des Kriegsverlaufs, strategischer Versäumnisse und möglicher sicherheitspolitischer Szenarien, die Europa unmittelbar betreffen.Die zentrale Frage: Haben wir - Politik, Medien, Experten, Westen - die Lage zu lange zu optimistisch eingeschätzt? Und was bedeutet das für die Zukunft Europas? Zwischen enttäuschten Erwartungen, militärischen Fehlkalkulationen und der wachsenden Gefahr eines ausufernden Konflikts diskutieren Ronzheimer, Claudia Major und Carlo Masala schonungslos offen, ob ein Frieden überhaupt möglich ist – und zu welchem Preis.Ist der Westen noch handlungsfähig? Und wie viel Zeit bleibt Europa, bevor Russland den Konflikt über die Ukraine hinaus trägt?Wenn euch der Podcast gefällt, dann lasst gerne Like & Abo da! Ihr habt Fragen, Kritik oder Themenvorschläge? Schreibt an ronzheimer@axelspringer.comPaul auf Instagram | Paul auf XUnd ganz neu: Paul jetzt auch auf YouTube!Redaktion: Filipp Piatov & Lieven JenrichExecutive Producer: Daniel van Moll Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Die USA, die Ukraine, Europäer und Russland ringen derzeit um einen Plan, der den russischen Angriffskrieg in der Ukraine beenden soll. 28-Punkte hatten die USA offenbar gemeinsam mit Russland aufgeschrieben, nach Gesprächen mit der Ukraine sind laut aktuellen Berichten noch 19 übriggeblieben. Die Entwicklungen der vergangenen Tage, den aktuellen Stand der Dinge und die Lage in der Ukraine fasst Astrid Corall zunächst zusammen. Im Interview mit Host Kai Küstner bewertet dann Claudia Major, Senior Vice President für transatlantische Sicherheitsinitiativen beim German Marshall Fund, den ursprünglichen Plan, die potentiellen Folgen für Europa und die Änderungsvorschläge der Europäer. Sie nennt den 28-Punkte-Plan ein „Dokument der Großmachtpolitik“ der USA und Russlands, die über die Köpfe der Europäer und Ukrainer entschieden. “Für die Europäer ist es eine schwierige Nachricht, dass die USA sich als Verhandler, aber nicht mehr als Verbündeter, Alliierter Europas und der Ukraine sehen.” Es sei aber auch die Frage gerechtfertigt, warum es keinen europäischen Plan gab und die Europäer immer nur reagieren würden. Europa sei bislang nicht gewillt, seine wirtschaftlichen und militärischen Mittel auf den Tisch zu legen – oder habe sie nicht. Vor Schnellschüssen, nur um den Krieg zu beenden, warnt Claudia Major. Es müsse sichergestellt sein, dass ein verhandeltes Dokument nicht die “Keimzelle für den nächsten Krieg” sei. Lob und Kritik, alles bitte per Mail an streitkraefte@ndr.de Interview mit Claudia Majo vom German Marshall Fund: https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/audio-338678.html Wer schrieb beim 28-Punkte-Plan mit? https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/nov/24/donald-trump-peace-plan-kremlin-ukraine Alle Folgen von “Streitkräfte und Strategien” https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/podcast2998.html Bundesvibe über Wehrpflicht - jetzt streamen: https://1.ard.de/bundesvibe-wehrdienst

Dorka Takácsy is a researcher specializing in disinformation and propaganda across Central-Eastern Europe and Russia. She currently serves as a visiting fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States and a research fellow at the Centre for Euro-Atlantic Integration and Democracy. As a PhD candidate at Corvinus University of Budapest, she explores Russian domestic disinformation targeting the West. Her recent roles include a Denton Transatlantic Fellowship at the Center for European Policy Analysis in Washington, a Visegrad-Taiwan Scholarship in 2024, and a Think Visegrad Fellowship in 2023 from the International Visegrad Fund. Dorka has built a robust professional background with experience at the European Parliament, the Political Capital Institute in Budapest, the National Defense University in Washington, and other institutions. She earned an MA in international relations from Central European University and a BA in international business from the Budapest Business School and the University of Picardy Jules Verne.----------LINKS:https://ceid.hu/about-3/dorka-takacsy/https://cepa.org/author/dorka-takacsy/https://www.gmfus.org/find-experts/dorka-takacsyhttps://conference.lvivmediaforum.com/speakers/dorka-takacsyLVIV MEDIA FORUM:The NGO Lviv Media Forum strengthens media, institutions, and public figures capable of fostering healthy public dialogue in Ukraine and beyond. Our goal is an effective and democratic society united by healthy communication. The organization was founded in 2013 to bring together media professionals from Ukraine and around the world in Lviv for the annual LMF conference. Over the years, we have grown into an ecosystem of people, organizations, and projects that support the media, develop comprehensive solutions for them, and promote the best media practices in Ukraine and globally. We are moving from supporting and developing media and journalists to a broader strategic focus: empowering communication actors, including media, civil society organizations, government bodies, and more. https://lvivmediaforum.com/enhttps://conference.lvivmediaforum.com/----------Your support is massively appreciated! SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2025 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon CurtainNEXT EVENTS - LVIV, KYIV AND ODESA THIS MAY AND JUNE.https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasOur first live events this year in Lviv and Kyiv were a huge success. Now we need to maintain this momentum, and change the tide towards a Ukrainian victory. The Silicon Curtain Roadshow is an ambitious campaign to run a minimum of 12 events in 2025, and potentially many more. We may add more venues to the program, depending on the success of the fundraising campaign. https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extrasWe need to scale up our support for Ukraine, and these events are designed to have a major impact. Your support in making it happen is greatly appreciated. All events will be recorded professionally and published for free on the Silicon Curtain channel. Where possible, we will also live-stream events.https://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND:Save Ukrainehttps://www.saveukraineua.org/Superhumans - Hospital for war traumashttps://superhumans.com/en/UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukrainehttps://unbroken.org.ua/Come Back Alivehttps://savelife.in.ua/en/Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchenhttps://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraineUNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyyhttps://u24.gov.ua/Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundationhttps://prytulafoundation.orgNGO “Herojam Slava”https://heroiamslava.org/----------

Moldova's recent elections dealt another blow to Moscow's influence, but can its fragile democracy withstand the Kremlin's next moves? Across Eastern Europe, Ukraine fights for survival, Georgia teeters between Brussels and Moscow, and Russian interference looms over them all. What tools does Vladimir Putin still have to destabilize the region—and how can Europe and the United States help defend its newest democracies without overreaching?In this episode, Jacob Heilbrunn speaks with Shelby Magid, Deputy Director of the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center. Magid previously served at the German Marshall Fund of the United States and at the International Federation for Human Rights' office in The Hague, where she worked with the International Criminal Court and conducted research on human rights violations.Music by Aleksey Chistilin from Pixabay

On this episode of #TheGlobalExchange, we make available the webinar CGAI held last week, Trump, Trade and Foreign Affairs. Featuring keynote speaker Bruce Stokes, and panelists Martha Hall Findlay, Louise Blais and Perrin Beatty PC OC, we discuss the ever-evolving relationship between the United States, Canada and the world. For Bruce's keynote, please see PowerPoint slides on our website! // Participants' bios - Bruce Stokes is Visiting Senior Fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the United States - Martha Hall Findlay is the Director of the School of Public Policy at the University of Calgary - Perrin Beatty PC OC is the former President & CEO of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce - Louise Blais is former Ambassador to the United Nations and Consul to Atlanta // Host bio: Colin Robertson is a former diplomat and Senior Advisor to the Canadian Global Affairs Institute. // Reading Recommendations: - "The West Wing" TV Series - "Abundance" by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson - "The Fur Trade in Canada" by Harold Innis - "Charter and Supplemental Charter of The Hudson's Bay Company" by Hudson's Bay Company // Music Credit: Drew Phillips | Producer: Jordyn Carroll // Recording Date: October 01, 2025 Release date: October 06, 2025

Turkey has hailed President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's first White House visit in six years as a diplomatic win, though tensions over Donald Trump's support for Israel's war in Gaza still cast a shadow. Ankara is celebrating a diplomatic win after Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan was hosted by US President Donald Trump in Washington on Thursday. In the Oval Office, Trump praised his guest in front of the world's media. “He's a highly respected man,” Trump said. “He's respected very much in his country and throughout Europe and throughout the world, where they know him.” Erdogan smiled as he listened. The Turkish leader had been frozen out by President Joe Biden, who made clear his dislike for the Turkish leader. Trump, by contrast, has long cultivated a friendship with him. But even that relationship has limits, with Israel's war on Gaza still a source of strain. Turkey walks a tightrope as Trump threatens sanctions over Russian trade Restraint over Gaza Erdogan is a strong supporter of Hamas, which he refuses to label a terrorist group, calling it instead a resistance movement. Yet he chose not to let the issue overshadow his visit. Analysts say this restraint was deliberate. “There's been a concerted effort not to get into a spat about Gaza,” Asli Aydintasbas, of the Washington-based Brookings Institution, told RFI. “Uncharacteristically, he remains silent on the Gaza issue and that is by design.” During his trip, Erdogan kept his criticism of Israel's offensive in Gaza to remarks at the UN General Assembly, echoing broader international condemnation. He also met French President Emmanuel Macron in New York and welcomed France's recognition of a Palestinian state. Erdogan is also seeking wider backing as concerns over Israel's actions grow, an issue that also came up in his talks with Trump. “Turkey's concerns with Israel are not actually limited to Gaza,” said Ozgur Unluhisarcikli, of the German Marshall Fund in Ankara. He said Ankara is also uneasy about Israel's actions in neighbouring states, adding that the two countries' policies towards Syria clash sharply. “Turkey wants a stable Syria and one that's centralised,” he said. “Whereas Israel wants a decentralised and less stable Syria.” Turkey warns Kurdish-led fighters in Syria to join new regime or face attack Energy and Russia Turkey's close ties with Russia risk becoming another flashpoint. Sitting beside Erdogan at the Oval Office, Trump called for an end to Turkish purchases of Russian energy. He also criticised Erdogan's long-standing policy of balancing relations between Washington and Moscow. “Trump does not want a balancing Turkey, at least today,” said Aydintasbas. “That was more obvious than ever in his rhetoric and his dealings with Erdogan.” She said Erdogan had assumed for the past decade that his balancing act between the West and Russia was acceptable. “It must come as a surprise,” she added. Turkey is the third-largest importer of Russian oil and gas. But in a move seen as an attempt to placate Trump, Ankara this week signed a multibillion-dollar deal to buy US liquefied natural gas over 20 years. The two leaders also signed a strategic agreement on civil nuclear cooperation, which could pave the way for Turkey to buy US-made nuclear reactors. As Trump rails at UN and shifts Ukraine stance, Macron urges US to end Gaza war Limited gains Despite these gestures, analysts said Erdogan achieved little in return. He had hoped Trump would lift a US embargo on the sale of F-35 stealth fighter jets. Instead, Trump only gave a vague promise to address the issue. For Erdogan, however, the White House meeting itself may have been the main prize. US Ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack said before the meeting that Trump wanted to give Erdogan “legitimacy”. “For Erdogan, this is a big win,” said Sinan Ciddi, of the Foundation for Defence of Democracies. The Turkish leader, he said, has long sought a White House photo-op to showcase at home. “He gets to show that he has met the US president, has gravitas on the world stage and is signing deals with Washington,” Ciddi added. “At a time when he is jailing leaders and dismantling democratic governance inside Turkey, he is being legitimised by the leader of the so-called free world.”

Just this week, Shabana Mahmood, the Home Secretary, has made a fresh effort to remove migrants arriving from the English Channel with the Government's one-in-one-out agreement with France. So this week on Westminster Insider, host Sascha O'Sullivan finds out why it's so hard – and who is really in control. She speaks to former Home Secretary James Cleverly who explains the thinking behind the controversial Rwanda plan and how it clashed with the courts. Glyn Williams, a top civil servant at the Home Office for more than a decade, tells Sascha the European Convention of Human Rights frustrated the department's ability to deport people and explains how the fight to stop the boats has changed since it was declared a 'national emergency' by former Home Secretary Sajid Javid in 2018. Nicola Kelly, author of Anywhere but Here and former Home Office press officer, explains why processing has always been such a pinch point in the asylum system. And lawyer Joe Middleton KC, head of immigration and human rights law at Doughty Street, takes Sascha through the appeals process available to migrants rejected by the Home Office. Andrew Harding, BBC Paris Correspondent, tells Sascha how powerful the gangs are and how clever they are in adapting to any efforts to stop migrants crossing at the Channel. And Sascha speaks to Georgina Wright, special advisor at the German Marshall Fund, a European think tank, about whether France is as concerned with boat crossings as the Brits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Interview with Sameer Lalwani — 27:32 This week, Kelly and Tristan cover Israel's unprecedented strike on Hamas leaders in Doha and the diplomatic fallout for Qatar and the Gaza ceasefire talks, the historic trial of Brazil's former president Jair Bolsonaro and what it means for democratic resilience, and Beijing's memory-politics summit—complete with a military parade and a guest list signaling China's preferred world order. Kelly is then joined by Sameer Lalwani for a deep dive on U.S.–India relations—why the partnership soared over the past decade, how new U.S. tariffs, the India-Pakistan war, and Modi's optics-heavy outreach to Beijing and Moscow have strained ties, and what to watch ahead of a potential Quad leaders' summit. Sameer Lalwani is a Senior Fellow with the German Marshall Fund's Indo-Pacific Program, a Senior Advisor to the Special Competitive Studies Project, a Non-Resident Senior Fellow with the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, and a research affiliate with MIT's Security Studies Program. His work focuses on deterrence, conventional military competition, technology alliances, and Indo-Pacific security, and he is a contributing editor at War on the Rocks. Read more about Lalwani's work: https://www.gmfus.org/find-experts/sameer-lalwani  The opinions expressed in this conversation are strictly those of the participants and do not represent the views of Georgetown University or any government entity. Produced by Abdalla Nasef and Freddie Mallinson.  Recorded on September 10, 2025. Diplomatic Immunity, a podcast from the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy at Georgetown University, brings you frank and candid conversations with experts on the issues facing diplomats and national security decision-makers around the world. Funding support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York. For more, visit our website, and follow us on Linkedin, Twitter @GUDiplomacy, and Instagram @isd.georgetown

durée : 00:57:58 - Cultures Monde - par : Julie Gacon, Mélanie Chalandon - Trump poursuit son rêve de paix au Moyen-Orient, mais les tensions régionales rendent sa stratégie incertaine. Son slogan « faire des affaires, pas la guerre » semble de plus en plus difficile à tenir. - réalisation : Vivian Lecuivre - invités : Rym Momtaz Rédactrice en chef de la plateforme Strategic Europe chez Carnegie; Martin Quencez Directeur du bureau de Paris du think tank German Marshall Fund des États-Unis (GMF); Jérôme Viala-Gaudefroy Docteur en civilisation américaine, chargé de cours à Sciences Po

Robert Ward hosts Dr Chijiwa Yasuaki, Chief, International Conflict Division, National Institute for Defence Studies (NIDS), Ministry of Defence, Dr Jennifer Lind, Associate Professor in the Department of Government at Dartmouth, and Dr Sayuri Romei, Senior Fellow in the German Marshall Fund, GMF, Indo-Pacific Program. They discuss the evolution of Japan's post-war defence policy in light of the 80th anniversary of the end of World War II. Robert, Yasuaki, Jennifer and Sayuri discuss:  Evolution of Japan's defence policy — shift from post-war defensive defence doctrine to recent adoption of counter-strike capability, expanded defence budget and multi-domain defence forceRole of external environment and alliances — China's rise, North Korea's threat, Russia's actions and shifting US commitments shaping Japan's security trajectoryDomestic politics and public opinion — gradual change in attitudes, reduced resistance to defence reforms and evolving consensus on stronger defence postureUS-Japan alliance deepening — institutional developments, interoperability improvements, establishment of joint command structures, people-to-people ties strengthening alliance foundationsWe hope you enjoy the episode and please follow, rate, and subscribe to Japan Memo on your podcast platform of choice. If you have any comments or questions, please contact us at japanchair@iiss.org. Date recorded: 6 August 2025 Japan Memo is recorded and produced at the IISS in London.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

C dans l'air l'invitée du 5 septembre 2025 avec Georgina Wright, spécialiste des questions européennes au German Marshall Fund, un think tank transatlantique.Depuis le mois de juillet et l'agression sexuelle présumée d'un demandeur d'asile sur une adolescente, l'accueil de réfugiés dans des hôtels suscite une grogne grandissante à travers le Royaume-Uni. Il s'agit du point de départ d'une vague de manifestations anti-immigration sans précédent outre-Manche. Plusieurs hôtels britanniques sont le théâtre de rassemblements contre l'accueil de réfugiés. Depuis 2022, c'est dans ces hôtels, sur initiative des conservateurs alors au pouvoir, que les demandeurs d'asile sont hébergés, faute de logements d'urgence suffisants. Ils sont aujourd'hui 32 000 à vivre dans 200 hôtels à travers le pays.Un ressentiment contre les immigrés qui pullule sur les réseaux sociaux et notamment entretenu par le coût pour l'État britannique de l'hébergement des réfugiés, estimé à plus de 4,7 milliards de livres sterling (5,4 milliards d'euros) par an. Sur le plan politique, le parti d'extrême droite Reform UK et son leader Nigel Farage - qui caracole en tête des enquêtes d'opinion - n'ont eu cesse de souffler sur les braises du mécontentement. Alors que les conservateurs emboîtent le pas de Reform, à l'image de Robert Jenrick, ancien ministre de l'Immigration de Rishi Sunak, qui s'est déplacé à Epping pour soutenir les manifestants, les travaillistes de Keir Starmer sont tiraillés entre fermeté anti-immigration et nécessité de répondre à la crise de la politique d'asile. Entre juin 2024 et juin 2025, 111 084 personnes ont demandé l'asile au Royaume-Uni, selon le Home Office (ministère de l'Intérieur) soit une hausse de 14 % sur un an. Georgina Wright analysera avec nous la portée de ces manifestations anti-migrants au Royaume-Uni, et ce qu'elles révèlent du sentiment d'une partie de la population d'une immigration incontrôlée. Elle reviendra aussi sur les propositions du parti Refom UK de Nigel Farage, et sur son influence sur la politique britannique. Elle nous donnera enfin son analyse de la montée des extrêmes-droites en Europe, et sur ce que ce phénomène révèle sur nos sociétés.

An Tag 1289 des russischen Angriffskrieges gegen die Ukraine geht es im Podcast um die Frage, wie das Land für die Zukunft abgesichert werden kann. Sollte es tatsächlich zu einem Frieden kommen, erwartet das Land diesmal Garantien, damit Russland nicht erneut seine Zusagen bricht und das Land angreift. Laut Frankreichs Präsident Macron sind 26 Staaten bereit, Truppen in die Ukraine zur Absicherung eines Waffenstillstands zu schicken. Ein starkes politisches Signal, in der Umsetzung aber mit vielen Unsicherheiten. Deutschland beispielsweise macht seine Beteiligung von der Verlässlichkeit der USA abhängig. Was die Europäer vorschlagen, sei ein Kompromiss, aber keine wirkliche Schutzgarantie, analysiert die Politikwissenschaftlerin Claudia Major im Podcast, weil ihnen die militärischen Mittel fehlten: "Das ist das, was geht, aber nicht das, was man eigentlich bräuchte, um die Ukraine tatsächlich zu schützen.” Claudia Major ist Senior Vice President für Transatlantische Sicherheitsinitiativen des German Marshall Fund. Die Möglichkeiten für einen dauerhaften Frieden schätzt sie im Moment eher gering ein, solange Russland keine Zugeständnisse macht und die USA sich aus der europäischen Verteidigung zurückziehen. „Eine verlässliche US-Zusage, die auch morgen und übermorgen noch hält, die haben wir noch nicht.“ Darunter leidet täglich die zivile Bevölkerung durch Luftangriffe. Gleichzeitig kämpfen die zunehmend älteren ukrainischen Soldaten schon seit Monaten unter russischem Dauerbeschuss. Ein weiteres Problem sind Desertionen an der Front. „Allein in den ersten sieben Monaten dieses Jahres sollen 110.000 ukrainische Soldaten geflüchtet sein“, schildert Stefan Niemann im Gespräch mit Kai Küstner. Im Podcast geht es auch um die neue Weltordnung, über die sich in China die Machthaber Xi Jinping, Wladimir Putin und Kim Jong Un ausgetauscht haben. „Podcast Live“ am 22.9. 17 Uhr mit Vassili Golod, Stefan Niemann, Kai Küstner und Astrid Corall Sachsentor 23, 21029 Hamburg in Hamburg Bergedorf Anmeldung bitte per Mail: streitkraefte@ndr.de Das Ringen um Sicherheitsgarantien: https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/europa/ukraine-sicherheitsgarantien-100.html Das ist die „Koalition der Willigen“: https://www.gmfus.org/news/coalition-willing Das ganze Interview mit Claudia Major: https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/sicherheitsexpertin-major-das-sind-keine-wirklichen-garantien,audio-277760.html Kommentar von Claudia Major im Handelsblatt über Deutschlands historische Verantwortung: https://www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/kolumnen/geoeconomics-deutsche-soldaten-in-der-ukraine-die-historie-ist-keine-ausrede/100152530.html Podcast-Tipp: Kunstverbrechen – Van Gogh und die Mafia: https://1.ard.de/kunstverbrechen-staffel-4?cp Alle Folgen von “Streitkräfte und Strategien”: https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/podcast2998.html

In this episode Dominic Bowen and Dr. Jamie Shea unpack NATO at a moment of historic change. Find out more about how fear has re-emerged as a unifying force within the Alliance, the political and economic challenges of reaching unprecedented defence spending levels, industrial bottlenecks and Ukraine's role as a partner in innovation and supply, the rising threat of hybrid warfare from cyberattacks to sabotage and disinformation, the volatility of United States diplomacy and the implications of a “big three” world dominated by Washington, Moscow, and Beijing, the long-term challenge of sustaining support for Ukraine, NATO's expanding ties with the Asia-Pacific, and the future of medium powers seeking autonomy in an era of great power competition, and more.Dr. Jamie Shea CMG is Professor at the College of Europe Natolin, Senior Fellow for security and defence at Friends of Europe, and Senior Advisor at the European Policy Centre in Brussels. He is also Senior Counsel to the Founder and CEO of Fanack/The Chronicle and Fanack Water. Previously, Dr. Shea was Professor of Strategy and Security at the University of Exeter, and for 38 years he served as a member of NATO's International Staff, holding senior positions including Deputy Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, Director of Policy Planning, and NATO Spokesman. He has also taught at institutions including the College of Europe in Bruges, the University of Sussex, and the American University in Washington DC, and is a Senior Transatlantic Fellow of the German Marshall Fund and Associate Fellow at Chatham House.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime, to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter. The International Risk Podcast – Reducing risk by increasing knowledge.Follow us on LinkedIn and Subscribe for all our updates!Tell us what you liked!

The United States and China wrapped up the third round of high-level trade negotiations earlier this week. American and Chinese negotiators met in Stockholm on July 28 and 29. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the talks as constructive and wide ranging. He acknowledged that an extension of the 90-day tariff pause was discussed but said that the final decision was up to President Trump.  As of today – August 1 – Trump has remained mum. The Chinese side's readout was devoid of details, although China's vice minister of commerce said that both countries would continue to push for an extension of the reciprocal tariffs and Chinese countermeasures.How should we assess the dynamics in the trade talks, including the balance of leverage between Washington and Beijing? And how might the trade negotiations shape the future of the US-China relationship? To discuss these questions, we are joined by Dr. Scott Kennedy. Scott is senior adviser and trustee chair in Chinese Business and Economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Timestamps[00:00] Start[02:06] Lessons Learned from Trump's First Administration[05:20] Chinese Outlook on Future Economic Policy[09:28] Who's Winning the Trade War?[14:30] China's Reactions to Transshipment Provisions[18:18] Bessent's Rebalancing Plans [24:14] Challenges to Chinese Investment in the US [29:15] China's Trade Deal Goals

Earlier this week it seems President Trump took a new stance on Ukraine, announcing a new plan to speed weapons to the war-torn country along with the threat of a new round of punishing sanctions. At the same time, he doubled down on tariffs this past weekend, threatening 30% tariffs on the EU. Ian Lesser, the vice president and Brussels chief of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, joins Thanos Davelis to look into what these shifts mean for Europe.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Trump's Shift on Ukraine Is Good News for Europe, for NowTrump intensifies trade war with threat of 30% tariffs on EU, MexicoEurope's freedom faces greatest threat since WW2, Macron saysTurkish court sentences Erdoğan's top rival to almost 2 years in prisonTourism receipts fall despite visitor surge

For years, foreign adversaries have worked to spread misinformation. The German Marshall Fund found that Russia, China and others are becoming more effective at it, targeting state and local governments. North Carolina is one of those targets, and social media is aiding the spread.

We're turning our attention to the Hague today, where NATO leaders are gathering this week for a two day summit. While European allies - keen to avoid clashing with President Trump - already agreed to Washington's demands that they increase defense spending, key questions loom over Ukraine, the Middle East, and the future of the transatlantic alliance. Ian Lesser, the vice president and Brussels chief of the German Marshall Fund of the United States, joins Thanos Davelis as we look into what's at stake at this summit.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:Weathering the Storm: The Hague Summit and the Future of NATONATO members agree to increase defense spending to 5%How Europe would fill an America-shaped hole in NATOIranian spies target bases on Crete and CyprusLive Updates: Israel and Iran Agree to Cease-Fire Announced by TrumpIsrael accuses Iran of violating ceasefire, vows to 'respond forcefully'

The AI revolution is underway, and the U.S. and China are racing to the top. At the heart of this competition are semiconductors—especially advanced GPUs that power everything from natural language processing to autonomous weapons. The U.S. is betting that export controls can help check China's technological ambitions. But will this containment strategy work—or could it inadvertently accelerate China's drive for self-sufficiency? Those who think chip controls will work argue that restricting China's access gives the U.S. critical breathing room to advance AI safely, set global norms, and maintain dominance. Those who believe chip controls are inadequate, or could backfire, warn that domestic chipmakers, like Nvidia and Intel, also rely on sales from China. Cutting off access could harm U.S. competitiveness in the long run, especially if other countries don't fully align with U.S. policy.     As the race for AI supremacy intensifies, we debate the question: Can the U.S. Outpace China in AI Through Chip Controls?    Arguing Yes:     Lindsay Gorman, Managing Director and Senior Fellow of the German Marshall Fund's Technology Program; Venture Scientist at Deep Science Ventures      Will Hurd, Former U.S. Representative and CIA Officer     Arguing No:    Paul Triolo, Senior Vice President and Partner at DGA-Albright Stonebridge Group     Susan Thornton, Former Diplomat; Visiting Lecturer in Law and Senior Fellow at the Yale Law School Paul Tsai China Center    Emmy award-winning journalist John Donvan moderates  This debate was produced in partnership with Johns Hopkins University.    This debate was recorded on May 14, 2025 at 6 PM at Shriver Hall, 3400 N Charles St Ste 14, in Baltimore, Maryland.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices