Podcasts about National Intelligence Council

National security concerns have been the invisible hand guiding governance throughout recorded history. In the 20th century, it was defined by a country versus country dynamic: whichever nation was the strongest and most strategic was also the safest. But today, our biggest national security threats don't come from opposing nations – they are “actorless threats” that emerge from the breakdown of the complex systems we all depend on – from the stability of our planetary systems to our intricately complex and fragile global supply chains. In this unprecedented landscape, what is required of us in order to keep our citizens safe?  In this episode, Nate is joined by Rod Schoonover, an expert at the intersection of Earth systems stress and national security, where they discuss the need for the evolution of national defense to address the systemic (and diffuse) threats of the 21st century. Rod emphasizes the need for a reformed security sector that addresses contemporary challenges, like global heating that leads to extreme climatic events, urging immediate action to mitigate risks and enhance stability. Importantly, they also delve into the need for political leadership to embrace complexity and local resilience when tackling these pressing issues. How do we unite against ‘actorless' threats, even when we don't have someone to blame for their damages? Where have leadership and governance already begun to adapt to address these existential concerns, and where are we seeing failures? Finally, how could incorporating more cooperative principles at every level of society transform our ability to bend – not break – under the weight of our human predicament?  (Conversation recorded on May 6th, 2025)   About Rod Schoonover: Rod Schoonover is the CEO and Founder of the Ecological Futures Group, Adjunct Professor at Georgetown University, Senior Associate Fellow at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), and Senior Associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.  Rod served a decade in the U.S. intelligence community as the Director of Environment and Natural Resources at the National Intelligence Council in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and as Senior Scientist and Senior Analyst in the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research. Before joining the government as a AAAS Diplomacy Fellow in 2009, Rod was a tenured Professor in the Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry at Cal Poly, San Luis Obispo. Dr. Schoonover earned his PhD in theoretical chemical physics at the University of Michigan, where he studied complex systems.   Show Notes and More Watch this video episode on YouTube   Want to learn the broad overview of The Great Simplification in 30 minutes? Watch our Animated Movie.   --- Support The Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future Join our Substack newsletter Join our Discord channel and connect with other listeners

Will Russia, Turkey and China provide support to Iran in its conflict with Israel? The three countries have condemned Israel's actions. But is that enough? And what do they all stand to lose if the conflict spirals out of control? In this episode: Barin Kayaoglu, Chair and Assistant Professor, American Studies, Social Sciences, University of Ankara. Glenn Carle, Career CIA Officer and Deputy National Intelligence Officer, Transnational Threats from the National Intelligence Council. Nikolay Surkov, Assistant Professor, Moscow State Institute of International Relations. Host: Adrian Finighan Connect with us:@AJEPodcasts on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook

In today's episode:Trump goes after some commie pop starsGift plane update!The DHS considers a reality show where the contestants are illegal aliens who could win citizenshipDavid Plouffe joins the effort to blame everything on the fake president, Joe Biden, excusing most Democrats and the mediaMoody's lowers the USA's credit ratingChanges on the National Intelligence CouncilLitigation on the Voting Rights Act limits the ability of individuals to bring cases, threatening the lawfare apparatusTrump goes after birthright citizenship ahead of SCOTUS arguments that were focused primarily on national injunctionsThe Supreme Court attempts to protect judicial supremacy and the power of judicial reviewSCOTUS temporarily blocks the admin's ability to deport illegal aliens under the Alien Enemies ActRussia and Ukraine meet, but without Putin or Trump, though it's coming soonThe Regime advertises their puppet candidate in Poland ahead of electionsWho's dealing with who in QatarTrump's middle eastern trip continues in Qatar and UAE where he is again greeted as a kingTrump breaks all the rules of foreign policy and advances the nation's interests in a way no president has.Connect with Be Reasonable: https://linktr.ee/imyourmoderatorLinks, articles, ideas - follow the info stream at t.me/veryreasonableHear the show when it's released. Become a paid subscriber at imyourmoderator.substack.comVisit the show's sponsors:Diversify your assets into Bitcoin: https://partner.river.com/reasonableDiversify your assets into precious metals: reasonablegold.comJoin the new information infrastructure - get Starlink: https://www.starlink.com/residential?referral=RC-1975306-67744-74Other ways to support the work:ko-fi.com/imyourmoderatorDonate btc via coinbase: 3MEh9J5sRvMfkWd4EWczrFr1iP3DBMcKk5Make life more comfortable: mypillow.com/reasonableMerch site:https://cancelcouture.myspreadshop.com/https://cancelcouture.comFollow the podcast info stream: t.me/veryreasonableYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@imyourmoderatorOther social platforms: Truth Social, Gab, Rumble, or Gettr - @imyourmoderator Become a member at https://plus.acast.com/s/be-reasonable-with-your-moderator-chris-paul. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Dr. Fiona Hill CMG is a senior fellow in the Center on the United States and Europe at the Brookings Institution and Chancellor of Durham University. She served as deputy assistant to the president and senior director for European and Russian affairs on the U.S. National Security Council from 2017 to 2019, as well as national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the U.S. National Intelligence Council from 2006 to 2009. Dr. Hill has researched and published extensively on issues related to Russia, the Caucasus, regional conflicts, and strategic issues, as well as the link between deindustrialization and political populism. She is the author of the bestselling memoir "There Is Nothing for You Here: Finding Opportunity in the 21st Century" and co-author of "Mr. Putin: Operative in the Kremlin." In December 2023, she was recognized by the United Kingdom as a Companion of the Order of St Michael and St George, for services to international relations and in July 2024, she was appointed by Prime Minister Keir Starmer to be an external reviewer for a Strategic Defense Review for the Ministry of Defense of the United Kingdom. Join us for this compelling conversation as Dr. Hill shares her keen insights into Trump 2.0's erratic, dangerous foreign policy on matters including Russia, Putin, and Ukraine and the president's autocratic threats to democracy. Got somethin' to say?! Email us at BackroomAndy@gmail.com Leave us a message: 845-307-7446 Twitter: @AndyOstroy Produced by Andy Ostroy, Matty Rosenberg, and Jennifer Hammoud @ Radio Free Rhiniecliff Design by Cricket Lengyel

In the 6 AM hour, Larry O’Connor and Mercedes Schlapp discussed: Gabbard fires top National Intelligence Council officials National Airport, Pentagon hotline had been disconnected for three years Trump's Saudi speech ripping on neocon policy Where to find more about WMAL's morning show: Follow podcasts on Apple, Audible and Spotify Follow WMAL's "O'Connor and Company" on X: @WMALDC, @LarryOConnor, @JGunlock, @PatricePinkfile, and @HeatherHunterDC Facebook: WMALDC and Larry O'Connor Instagram: WMALDC Website: wmal.com/oconnor-company Episode: Thursday, May 15, 2025 / 6 AM HourSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

President Trump is making deals at every stop along his tour of the Middle East, and that includes making decisions that upends decades of American foreign policy. National intelligence director Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. representative from Hawaii, fires the top two career officials leading the National Intelligence Council. And former Kauai mayor Bernard Carvalho wants his old job back, and he's set to make an official announcement tonight.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nicolle Wallace on the firing of two of the National Intelligence Council's top officials, Pete Buttigieg's message for Americans at an Iowa town hall, and Trump's trip to the Middle East. Joined by: Carol Leonnig, John Brennan, Judge J. Michael Luttig, Gene Seroka, Tim Miller, Lis Smith, Basil Smikle, Angelo Carusone, Anne Applebaum, and Amanda Carpenter.

In our news wrap Wednesday, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy blamed ongoing aviation problems on the previous administration and years of neglect, Tulsi Gabbard fired the top two officials leading the National Intelligence Council and California Gov. Newsom proposed freezing health care benefits for undocumented immigrants to help offset a $12 billion budget deficit. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders

6:05pm- According to a report from Fox News Digital, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard is taking additional steps to prevent the politicization of intelligence—in the process, she has fired National Intelligence Council acting Chair Mike Collins. 6:20pm- While promoting his new book, “Original Sin: President Biden's Decline, Its Cover-up, and His Disastrous Choice to Run Again,” CNN's Jake Tapper revealed that a White House physician informed then-President Joe Biden's aides that he might require the assistance of a wheelchair in his second term if he were to continue falling. While Tapper is reporting on these stories now, why wasn't he doing so prior to Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential election? 6:40pm- On Friday, Newark Mayor Ras Baraka alongside Congressmembers Bonnie Watson-Coleman, LaMonica McIver, and Rob Menendez visited the Delaney Hall Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) detention facility in New Jersey—at one point trespassing which led to a confrontation with ICE officials and the eventual arrest of Mayor Baraka. ICE has released bodycam footage of the altercation which shows Rep. McIver attempting to physically shove past ICE agents. Rich notes that because of the enormous sum of “earned media” surrounding the confrontation, Baraka—a candidate for New Jersey governor—might have a real chance to win the Democratic Party's primary next month.

In today's episode:Una Panoona Banka attempts to do away with the Patriot ActGisele Fetterman wonders where the man she married is - a retrospective on the FettermenThom Tillis attempts to thwart Trump's nominee for US Attorney for the District of ColumbiaDon Bacon attempts to kill the Big Beautiful Bill formerly known as Mike Johnson's PackageGood news and bad news on election integrityThe company that produces the cloned version of Signal on Mike Waltz's phone was "hacked"India and Pakistan are totally at war and it'll totally lead to NOOKSIsrael bombs the Houthis just as Trump says he's not bombing the Houthis and the Houthis say they're not bombing eitherGood Twin vs Evil Twin and the narrative manipulations surrounding kinetic conflictThe National Intelligence Council releases a report on Tren de Aragua that makes quite clear Maduro has nothing to do with itMaduro visits Putin for Victory Day and signs a treaty of cooperationThe 2025 Democracy Playbook by Norm Eisen describes the subversion of President Trump, as expected.Connect with Be Reasonable: https://linktr.ee/imyourmoderatorLinks, articles, ideas - follow the info stream at t.me/veryreasonableHear the show when it's released. Become a paid subscriber at imyourmoderator.substack.comVisit the show's sponsors:Diversify your assets into Bitcoin: https://partner.river.com/reasonableDiversify your assets into precious metals: reasonablegold.comJoin the new information infrastructure - get Starlink: https://www.starlink.com/residential?referral=RC-1975306-67744-74Other ways to support the work:ko-fi.com/imyourmoderatorDonate btc via coinbase: 3MEh9J5sRvMfkWd4EWczrFr1iP3DBMcKk5Make life more comfortable: mypillow.com/reasonableMerch site:https://cancelcouture.myspreadshop.com/https://cancelcouture.comFollow the podcast info stream: t.me/veryreasonableYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@imyourmoderatorOther social platforms: Truth Social, Gab, Rumble, or Gettr - @imyourmoderator Become a member at https://plus.acast.com/s/be-reasonable-with-your-moderator-chris-paul. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Long established legal norms continue to be challenged by Trump's Justice Department, leading Andrew and Mary to emphasize how the courts have grown increasingly frustrated with the administration's tactics. They begin with last Thursday's ruling from Judge Rodriguez in Texas, that Trump was unjustified in using the Alien Enemies Act to deport Venezuelan migrants. After a review of what that means for his ‘extraction' efforts, Andrew and Mary go deep on an assessment made public from the National Intelligence Council, that indicates despite Trump's presidential proclamation evoking the Alien Enemies Act, intelligence officials do not see a strong link between the Venezuelan government and Tren de Aragua. And lastly this week, they look at the latest judicial pushback on Trump's attempts to threaten law firms, after Judge Beryl Howell ruled against his targeting of Perkins Coie by executive order.Further reading: Here is the assessment from the National Intelligence Council on the relationship between the Maduro government and Tren de Aragua, courtesy of the New York Times.Want to listen to this show without ads? Sign up for MSNBC Premium on Apple Podcasts.

Joseph S. Nye Jr. is a Harvard University Distinguished Service Professor, Emeritus, and former Dean of Harvard's Kennedy School of Government. He has served as assistant secretary of defense for international security affairs, as chairman of the National Intelligence Council, and as deputy undersecretary of state for security assistance, science and technology. In a recent survey of international relations scholars, he was ranked as the most influential scholar on American foreign policy, and in 2011, Foreign Policy named him one of the top 100 Global Thinkers. His most recent book, published in 2024, is “A Life in the American Century.” His other books include “The Power to Lead,” “The Future of Power,” “Presidential Leadership and the Creation of the American Era,” and "Is the American Century Over?” He is a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the British Academy, and the American Academy of Diplomacy. He received his bachelor's degree summa cum laude from Princeton University, won a Rhodes Scholarship to Oxford University, and earned a PhD in political science from Harvard. Ralph Ranalli of the HKS Office of Communications and Public Affairs is the host, producer, and editor of HKS PolicyCast. A former journalist, public television producer, and entrepreneur, he holds an BA in political science from UCLA and a master's in journalism from Columbia University.Scheduling and logistical support for PolicyCast is provided by Lilian Wainaina. Design and graphics support is provided by Laura King. Web design and social media promotion support is provided by Catherine Santrock and Natalie Montaner. Editorial support is provided by Nora Delaney and Robert O'Neill. 

Follow us on X: @GordonGChang @ileaderssummit @NatashaSrdoc @JoelAnandUSA @supertalk Join America's Roundtable (https://americasrt.com/) radio co-hosts Natasha Srdoc and Joel Anand Samy with Gordon G. Chang, a leading expert on U.S.-China relations. Gordon G. Chang is an American attorney and author of Plan Red: China's Project to Destroy America and The Coming Collapse of China. Chang lived and worked in China and Hong Kong for almost two decades, most recently in Shanghai, as Counsel to the American law firm Paul Weiss and earlier in Hong Kong as Partner in the international law firm Baker & McKenzie. He served two terms as a trustee of Cornell University. The conversation with Gordon Chang focuses on the threats emanating from China that are impacting America on the economic and security fronts. Natasha Srdoc and Joel Anand Samy speak with Gordon Chang about China's aggressive tactics to undermine the United States. From cyberattacks to fentanyl and economic power plays, Chang breaks down the CCP's dangerous agenda. How will America and other democratic nations respond to the growing influence of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) led by its Secretary General Xi Jinping who wants to shape the world in China's image? Plan Red: China's Project to Destroy America by Gordon G. Chang In his new book Plan Red: China's Project to Destroy America (https://www.amazon.com/Plan-Red-Project-Destroy-America/dp/B0DD94BNDR), Gordon Chang writes that in Xi Jinping's conception of the world, there is no place for the United States or even the current international order. Analyst Gordon G. Chang warns that Xi Jinping believes he must destroy America to accomplish his objectives. And that Xi already has a plan to do it. Xi reveres Mao and is marching China back to Maoism. He is reinstituting totalitarian social controls, demanding absolute political obedience from everyone, and cutting foreign links. Closing China off from the world is an essential element of his plan to save the communist system. His isolationism and xenophobia evoke policies from the earliest years of the People's Republic and during the two millennia of imperial rule. And Xi can't stop talking about war. More significantly, he is implementing the largest military buildup since the Second World War, he is trying to sanctions-proof the Chinese regime, he is stockpiling grain and other commodities, he is surveying America for strikes and sabotage, he is mobilizing China's civilians for battle, and he is purging China's military of officers opposed to going to war. Gordon G. Chang's writings on China and North Korea have appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The National Interest, The American Conservative, Commentary, National Review, Barron's, and The Daily Beast. He is a columnist at Newsweek and writes regularly for The Hill. He has given briefings at the National Intelligence Council, the Central Intelligence Agency, the State Department, and the Pentagon. He has also spoken before industry and investor groups including Bloomberg, Sanford Bernstein, Royal Bank of Scotland, and Credit Lyonnais Securities Asia. Chang has appeared before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs and the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. Chang has appeared on Fox News Channel, Fox Business Network, Newsmax, CNN, MSNBC, CNBC, PBS, the BBC, and Bloomberg Television. Mornings with Maria: Gatestone Institute senior fellow Gordon Chang discusses Trump's handling of China during his presidency, China-linked hackers allegedly hitting U.S. internet providers and GOP senators trying to curb the country's influence on the west. | "Mornings with Maria" features anchor Maria Bartiromo alongside a roundtable of rotating industry titans and economic experts discussing the major news and themes driving the business day and the market moves. (https://www.foxbusiness.com/video/6362488983112) Further reading | Op-Ed Pieces by Gordon G. Chang Newsweek | U.S. Taxpayers Are Financing Genocide Through China's Gotion | Opinion (https://www.newsweek.com/us-taxpayers-are-financing-genocide-through-chinas-gotion-opinion-1957941) Newsweek | China's Economy Is in Deep Trouble | Opinion (https://www.newsweek.com/chinas-economy-deep-trouble-opinion-2037177) Newsweek | China Can't Win Trump's New Trade War | Opinion (https://www.newsweek.com/china-cant-win-trumps-new-trade-war-opinion-1984025) americasrt.com (https://americasrt.com/) https://summitleadersusa.com/ | https://jerusalemleaderssummit.com/ America's Roundtable on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/americas-roundtable/id1518878472 X: @GordonGChang @ileaderssummit @NatashaSrdoc @JoelAnandUSA @supertalk America's Roundtable is co-hosted by Natasha Srdoc and Joel Anand Samy, co-founders of International Leaders Summit and the Jerusalem Leaders Summit. America's Roundtable (https://americasrt.com/) radio program - a strategic initiative of International Leaders Summit, focuses on America's economy, healthcare reform, rule of law, security and trade, and its strategic partnership with rule of law nations around the world. The radio program features high-ranking US administration officials, cabinet members, members of Congress, state government officials, distinguished diplomats, business and media leaders and influential thinkers from around the world. Tune into America's Roundtable Radio program from Washington, DC via live streaming on Saturday mornings via 65 radio stations at 7:30 A.M. (ET) on Lanser Broadcasting Corporation covering the Michigan and the Midwest market, and at 7:30 A.M. (CT) on SuperTalk Mississippi — SuperTalk.FM reaching listeners in every county within the State of Mississippi, and neighboring states in the South including Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana and Tennessee. Listen to America's Roundtable on digital platforms including Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon, Google and other key online platforms. Listen live, Saturdays at 7:30 A.M. (CT) on SuperTalk | https://www.supertalk.fm

Visit us at Network2020.org.The Trump administration's recent foreign policy decisions—including the pause on foreign aid, the closure of USAID, and an assertive approach to negotiations—have raised questions about the trajectory of U.S. soft power. In a world where power is increasingly diffuse and economic and political relationships are fuzzy, what will be the role of soft power in shaping international norms and achieving diplomatic goals? The cyclical nature of soft power, particularly in contrast to China's expanding global footprint, underscores the need to contextualize these shifts within broader geopolitical trends.Join us for a discussion with Professor Joseph Nye, University Distinguished Service Professor, Emeritus and former Dean of the Harvard Kennedy School of Government, and former Chair of the National Intelligence Council. His latest book A Life in the American Century traces the rise and transformation of U.S. power while contemplating the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. A leading thinker on soft power, Professor Nye will put Washington's recent actions into context, highlighting how they have influenced America's global standing. As countries navigate evolving trade dynamics and strategic realignments, this conversation will explore whether U.S. soft power can adapt to an increasingly competitive international landscape.Music by Sergii Pavkin from Pixabay.

This week on Talk World Radio, we're talking about U.S. foreign policy and starting with a little test the so-called Space Force recently did that you probably heard nothing about, preparing for a nuclear war. Our guest, returning to the program, is our friend the terrific peace activist Elizabeth Murray who was once the U.S. Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the Near East in the National Intelligence Council. She specialized in Middle Eastern political and media analysis, and has lived and traveled extensively in the region. Elizabeth Murray is a member of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity  and the Sam Adams Associates for Integrity in Intelligence. In 2018 and 2024 she was an activist aboard the Gaza Freedom Flotilla. She has been a Member-in-Residence at the Ground Zero Center for Nonviolent Action in Washington State.

On today's Strategy Series program, sponsored by General Atomic Aeronautical Systems, Dr. Evelyn Farkas, a former Pentagon Europe and Russia chief during the Obama administration who is now the executive director of McCain Institute at Arizona State University, and Dr. Eugene Rumer, a former national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia on the National Intelligence Council who is now the director of the Russia and Eurasia program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, join Defense & Aerospace Report Editor Vago Muradian to discuss President Trump's drive to end the Ukraine war including voting against a UN resolution blaming the war on Russia; how the betrayal of Ukraine and shakedown of Kyiv for its natural resources is resonating worldwide; how smaller nations can stand up to Russia and China without US help; worries across Asia as nations worry Trump's “grand bargain” with China will jeopardize their security; takeaways from the HFX Taipei forum 20-21 Feb. in the Taiwanese capital; how Putin's “win” in Ukraine change the Russian leader's popularity at home; and an update on the war.

This episode is the second in a two-parter in collaboration with the Climate Migration Council, to highlight the Council's recent position statement on the linkages between security, climate change, and human migration.In December, A'ndre hosted Erin Sikorsky, Director of the Center for Climate and Security and a former Deputy Director on the National Intelligence Council, for a discussion on the national security implications of climate migration. The conversation centered on a new statement from the Climate Migration Council, co-authored by Sikorsky and prominent figures such as Leon Panetta, Michael Chertoff, Michael Morell, and Sharon Burke. The statement outlines urgent recommendations to address the security risks of climate change-driven displacement, including expanding the definition of security, investing in resilience, adopting anticipatory migration policies, and integrating climate migration into risk assessments.You can listen to A'ndre's conversation last week with Secretary Michael Chertoff on climate migration here.

This week, Kelly looks back on the major events of 2024 with Amy Mackinnon and Ellen Laipson. Amy Mackinnon is an award-winning national security and intelligence reporter at Foreign Policy. She has reported from across Eastern Europe and was previously based in Moscow and in Tbilisi, Georgia, as senior editor for the crisis reporting site Coda Story. Mackinnon is a recipient of the duPont-Columbia award for her reporting on homophobic vigilantes in Russia. She is a regular commentator for BBC World Service radio and television and her work has been published and broadcast by Coda Story, Slate Magazine, Vice News, and CNN among others. Ellen Laipson is the Director of the International Security Program at the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University. She joined GMU after a distinguished 25-year career in government and as President of the Stimson Center (2002-2015). Her last post in the US government was Vice Chair of the National Intelligence Council (1997-2002). She also served on the State Department's Policy Planning Staff, the National Security Council staff, and the Congressional Research Service. She was a member of the CIA External Advisory Panel from 2006 to 2009, President Obama's Intelligence Advisory Board from 2009 to 2013, and the Secretary of State's Foreign Affairs Policy Board from 2011 to 2014. Ellen currently serves on the ISD board of advisers. Amy and Ellen's recommended books for the holidays: The Ecology of Nations by John M. Owen IV The Achilles Trap by Steve Coll The Cure of Troy by Seamus Heaney The opinions expressed in this conversation are strictly those of the participants and do not represent the views of Georgetown University or any government entity. Produced by Freddie Mallinson and Theo Malhotra. Recorded on December 16, 2024. Diplomatic Immunity, a podcast from the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy at Georgetown University, brings you frank and candid conversations with experts on the issues facing diplomats and national security decision-makers around the world. Funding support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York. For more, visit our website, and follow us on Linkedin, Twitter @GUDiplomacy, and Instagram @isd.georgetown

You're Listening to Parallax Views https://parallaxviews.podbean.com/ Support the Show on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/parallaxviews Recorded: 12-11-24 On this edition of Parallax Views, J.G. reached out to a very interesting political analyst in his continued coverage of the situation in Syria with the fall of Bashar al-Assad and the ascendancy of the Islamist HTS led by Abu Muhammed al-Jolani. Graham E. Fuller specializes in long-range forecasting of geopolitics. In fact, Fuller is a former vice chair of the National Intelligence Council at CIA responsible for long-term forecasting. He also served as a CIA operations officer overseas for two decades, with much of his time being spent in the Middle East. He served as the CIA Station Chief in Kabul and is the author of such books as A World Without Islam (2010) and The Future of Political Islam (2003). He is a noted analyst on Islamist movements and continues to write extensively on issues pertaining to U.S. foreign policy, the Middle East, and geopolitics. Graham joined me for a conversation about Assad's overthrow and what it means for various geopolitical players including the U.S. Russia, Iran, Turkey, and the Gulf states. We ended up having a more broad discussion that led into many different areas including: - Explaining the phenomena that has come to be known as "Political Islam" sans the tabloid clickbait that has unfortunately something attended the non-academic literature on the topic - Graham's critique of John Mearsheimer's Realist school of thought in regards to international relations. Graham believes there is great value in Mearsheimer's analysis, but makes the case that Realism as a school of thought is too often mechanistic and deterministic in how it perceives the course of geopolitical trends - The U.S.'s endless "Search for Enemies" and the consequences that approach to foreign policy creates, in relation to, for example, the U.S.-China relationship - The question of HTS and its leader Abu Muhammed al-Jolani; how will the govern?; HTS's administration of Idlib; how al-Jolani is, in the immediate, approaching the West and Israel - Israel and Turkey's strikes in Syria; Turkey's geopolitical concerns over the Kurds in Syria; the far-right elements that have been unleashed in Israel, especially since the October 7th, 2023 attack and how that effects both Israel and the Middle East more broadly - And much, much more!

Today, Leslie sits down with journalist, lawyer, political commentator, and writer Gordon G. Chang about his latest book, “Plan Red: China's Project to Destroy America”. Described by The New Yorker as a “longtime uber hawk on China”, Chang's latest thesis outlines what he believes is an existential threat from China towards the U.S. and the current world order. Leslie talks with Gordon about his current perspective on U.S.-China relations and his recommendations on what the U.S. can do today to avert what he believes are China's nefarious plans toward the U.S. and the Western World. A graduate of Cornell and Cornell Law School, Chang lived in mainland China for nearly two decades as a Partner and Counsel for Baker McKenzie and Paul Weiss. Chang has given briefings at the National Intelligence Council, the Central Intelligence Agency, the U.S. State Department, and the U.S. Department of Defense. He has testified before the U.S. House Committee on Foreign Affairs. His writings on China and North Korea have appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The International Herald Tribune, and National Review, among other publications. Chang has also appeared as a guest and commentator on CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, CNBC, and Bloomberg Television, as well as The Daily Show with Jon Stewart. In this riveting episode, Leslie discusses Chang's compelling perspective. For anyone interested in U.S.-China relations – an extremely relevant and important topic today – this episode is for you! If you enjoy the show, please rate and review. Be sure to follow us on Instagram @TheInterviewWithLeslie. A new podcast is released every Wednesday.

Guests: Raj Doraisamy - Defend Florida and Defend U.S. talks about the importance of embracing States Rights and our responsibilities to ensure a successful transfer from Federal oversight to States domain.  States Rights Resources: www.StatesRights.US www.PatriotDigest.US/Resources  Jeff Hoffman - National Operations Director & VA State Chapter President, VFAF. A war college veteran with over 20 years in national security, who served on the 58th Trump Presidential Inauguration Committee along with private-sector work on the National Intelligence Council during the Trump Administration. He is a two-time General Assembly level candidate and has over 20 years of political experience, including graduate of The Leadership Institute Campaign Leadership College. Alongside VA VFAF, Jeff is a father, college instructor in New York City, President and CEO of Cyber Intelligent Partners, a Virginia-based LLC, and founder/Chair of the Virginia Freedom Leader Coalition PAC. Veterans For America First: www.VFAF.US  Berney Flowers - Lieutenant Colonel, USAF (Ret), Former GOP Candidate for US Congress (MD's CD3), National Director of Political Affairs & MD State Chapter President, VFAF.  Berney's Podcast:  The Loyal Opposition Podcast Social Media & Online Platforms: Website: https://berneyflowers.com/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BerneyFlowers/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Berney_Flowers Buy his book “Black Values Matter” See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In the arena tonight: Nathan Canestaro, intelligence officer, member of the National Intelligence Council, and author of The Mighty MOO Our military is in serious decline.  Biden admin is ramming through aid for Ukraine before Jan President Trump's Cabinet is growing Are senate confirmation woes coming?   Follow Sean on Instagram - @officialseanparnell Follow Sean on Twitter - @SeanParnellUSA Get your Battleground apparel at www.officialseanparnell.comSupport the show: https://officialseanparnell.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Michael speaks with Sydney Seiler, one of the country's top experts on North Korea and Korea Chair at CSIS. Sydney served as the U.S. Special Envoy for Six Party Talks, where he led negotiations with North Korea. He also held key positions at the National Intelligence Council, ODNI, CIA, and NSA. Sydney discusses North Korea's recent treaty with Russia and its growing provocations on the Korean Peninsula.

Summary Michael Collins joins Andrew to discuss the National Intelligence Council. Michael is the NIC's current acting chair.  What You'll Learn Intelligence The role of the National Intelligence Council National Intelligence Officers and their work around the world The products of the NIC, including the Annual Threat Assessment The importance of Intelligence Diplomacy and objective analysis  Reflections The power of collaboration Staying grounded and optimistic And much, much more … Quotes of the Week “In the analytic product, the first paragraph says: Here's the bad thing. Second paragraph says: This is what the bad thing means for the United States. Third paragraph is: What can be done to stop the bad thing, or more importantly, to identify an opportunity. I have to be optimistic. If I weren't, I wouldn't be in this job.” – Michael Collins. Resources  SURFACE SKIM *SpyCasts* Telling Americans About China (and Intelligence) with Sara Castro (2024) CIA Director, Defense Secretary, Gentleman with Leon Panetta (2024) The Past 75 Years with Historian of the CIA Rhodri Jeffreys-Jones (2022) The National Intelligence University with its President Scott Cameron (2022) *Beginner Resources* America's Intelligence Community, Explained, Washington Post, YouTube (2014) [2 min. video] What is Intelligence Analysis and Why is It So Important? National American University (n.d.) [Short article] Members of the IC, Office of the Director of National Intelligence (n.d.) [List of agencies] DEEPER DIVE Primary Sources  2024 Annual Threat Assessment (2024)  IC OSINT Strategy 2024-2026 (2024)  2023 National Intelligence Strategy (2023) Updated Assessment of Anomalous Health Incidents (2023) Global Trends 2040 (2021) National Intelligence Estimates on Climate Change (2021) *Wildcard Resource* This week's guest shares a name with another intelligence professional: Michael Collins (1890-1922), a prominent leader of Irish independence.  You may remember this Michael Collins from his involvement in the 1916 Easter Rising, but did you know he was also the Director of Intelligence for the Irish Republican Army? Check out some of “The Squad's” spy gadgets and artifacts here.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Gerard DiPippo on the intensifying economic competition between the United States and China.When the White House recently announced it would increase tariffs on a range of Chinese goods, it used striking language to explain why the measures were necessary. The White House statement claimed that “China's unfair trade practices concerning technology transfer, intellectual property, and innovation are threatening American businesses and workers” and complained that “China is also flooding global markets with artificially low-priced exports.” The statement points to a new dynamic between the United States and China, and the ways in which President's Biden's international economy policy considers economic competition with China through a national security lens.Gerard DiPippo is an expert on the Chinese economy, with unique insights on how Chinese economic policy can undermine American interests. He is the Senior Geo-Economics Analyst for Bloomberg Economics. He was previously a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic & International Studies. Prior to that, he spent 11 years in the U.S. Intelligence Community at the Central Intelligence Agency and National Intelligence Council.The Sanctions Age is hosted by Esfandyar Batmanghelidj. The show is produced by Spiritland Productions and is supported by a grant from the Hollings Center for International Dialogue. To receive an email when new episodes are released, access episode transcripts, and read Esfandyar's notes on each episode, sign-up for the The Sanctions Age newsletter on Substack: https://www.thesanctionsage.com/

Trump or Biden? Dr Sebastian Gorka and Destiny go head to head! Dr Sebastian Gorka is a former Deputy Assistant to President Trump for strategy. He has lectured for US Special Operations Command, the FBI's Counterterrorism Division, and the Green Berets, and has briefed the CIA, the Defense Intelligence Agency, and the National Intelligence Council. He is the host of the radio show ‘America First with Sebastian Gorka.' Find more here: https://www.sebgorka.com/ Destiny (Steven Bonnell) is an American live-streamer and political commentator. A social democrat, he often engages in political debates in which he advocates for progressivism and liberal politics. He is the host of the ‘Bridges Podcast' which is available, along with many other kinds of content, on his YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@destiny SPONSORS: Watch the Munk Debate: Is Anti-Zionism Antisemitism? Live June 17th. Join today to live stream. Click here: https://munkdebates.com/anti-zionism/?utm_medium=email&utm_source=triggernometry&utm_campaign=debate170624 Buy gold and earn interest on it! https://monetary-metals.com/triggernometry/ APPLY to Ralston College's Summer Latin Program at https://ralston.ac/latin-program. Worldwide applications close on 31 May. Join our Premium Membership for early access, extended and ad-free content: https://triggernometry.supercast.com OR Support TRIGGERnometry Here: Bitcoin: bc1qm6vvhduc6s3rvy8u76sllmrfpynfv94qw8p8d5 Music by: Music by: Xentric | info@xentricapc.com | https://www.xentricapc.com/ YouTube: @xentricapc Buy Merch Here: https://www.triggerpod.co.uk/shop/ Advertise on TRIGGERnometry: marketing@triggerpod.co.uk Join the Mailing List: https://www.triggerpod.co.uk/#mailinglist Find TRIGGERnometry on Social Media: https://twitter.com/triggerpod https://www.facebook.com/triggerpod/ https://www.instagram.com/triggerpod/ About TRIGGERnometry: Stand-up comedians Konstantin Kisin (@konstantinkisin) and Francis Foster (@francisjfoster) make sense of politics, economics, free speech, AI, drug policy and WW3 with the help of presidential advisors, renowned economists, award-winning journalists, controversial writers, leading scientists and notorious comedians. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Every four years, the U.S. National Intelligence Council publishes its Global Trends report, an unclassified document that seeks to assess the key factors that shape the strategic environment for the …

This week on Sinica, I speak with veteran China analysts Thomas Fingar and David M. Lampton — Mike Lampton — about a paper they published in the Winter 2024 edition of the Washington Quarterly. It's an excellent overview of how and why the bilateral relationship took such a bad turn roughly 15 years ago, citing mistakes both sides made and the reasons why China shifted around that time from one of its two basic behavioral modes — more open, tolerant, and simpatico in its foreign policy — to the other mode, which is both more internally repressive and externally assertive.Thomas Fingar is Shorenstein APARC Fellow in the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. He was Assistant Secretary of State for Intelligence and Research. He served as the first deputy director of national intelligence for analysis and as chairman of the National Intelligence Council — and he's the author of many books, including most recently From Mandate to Blueprint: Lessons from Intelligence Reform.Mike Lampton is Professor Emeritus and former Hyman Professor and Director of SAIS-China and China Studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, and Senior Research Fellow at the Foreign Policy Institute. Mike was also formerly President of the National Committee on United States-China Relations.05:04 – The problem with the use of the term "autocracy" to describe China's system09:18 – Analysis of the motivation behind China's actions, questioning the assumption that all decisions are solely for perpetuating the Communist Party's power.10:25 – Rethinking Xi Jinping's personal influence over China's policy decisions: the checks on his power within the Chinese political system.15:58 – Critique of deterministic theories in political science regarding state behavior, particularly concerning China's foreign policy and domestic policy actions.19:13 – The importance of avoiding oversimplified and deterministic explanations for Chinese behavior on the global stage.23:43 – Discussion on the perception of China as an unstoppable juggernaut and the consequences of such a view for international relations and domestic policies in the U.S.24:41 – Analysis of the notion that China seeks to recreate an imperial tribute system in its foreign relations and regional strategy.28:09 – Introduction of the concept of two strategic constellations that have historically guided China's policy focus: national/regime security and economic/social development.33:11 – Exploration of factors leading to China's shift from prioritizing economic and social development to focusing more on national and regime security.37:38 – Examination of the internal and external dynamics contributing to China's policy shifts and the impact of globalization on societal and political tensions.48:47 – Reflection on the post-9/11 period as a time of relatively smooth U.S.-China relations and speculation on the role of international crises in shaping bilateral dynamics.52:59 – Discussion on the challenges and opportunities for the U.S. and China to adjust their policies and rhetoric to manage tensions and avoid further exacerbating the bilateral relationship.Recommendations: Tom: The novels of Mick Herron (author of Slow Horses); the novels of Alan Furst, including Night Soldiers and The Polish Officer.Mike: Philip Taubman, In the Nation's Service (a biography of George Schultz); and Liz Cheney, Oath and HonorKaiser: The Magician, by Colm Tóibín — an unconventional novelized biography of Thomas MannSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Retired senior intelligence officer Nick Eftimiades discusses China's whole of society approach to espionage and its impact on national security. He highlights the methods used by China, such as theft of technology, trade secrets, and covert influence operations. Eftimiades explains the reasons for ignoring Chinese espionage in the past and the need for a fundamental restructuring of the approach to counter it. He emphasizes the importance of spreading awareness and education in critical infrastructure industries and the need for an integrated national response to China's activities. Eftimiades concludes by urging listeners to take the long-term security interests of the country seriously.Nicholas Eftimiades is a nonresident senior fellow at theForward Defense practice of the Atlantic Council's Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. Eftimiades currently holds an appointment with the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, National Intelligence Council, and has held appointments with the Defense Science Board and the Homeland Security Advisory Council's Subcommittee on Economic Security. He is also a professor at the Penn State University Homeland Security Programs and is a member of the graduate faculty teaching homeland security, intelligence, and national security policy. He conducts research on China's economic espionage and emerging space threats.Eftimiades retired from a thirty-four-year government career including employment at the US Central Intelligence Agency, the Department of State, Diplomatic Security Service, and Defense Intelligence Agency. He is widely regarded for his expertise on China and national security space issues. As a subject matter expert, he has testified before congressional committees and briefed numerous senior US and foreign officials, members of Congress, and staff.Socials:Follow on Twitter at @NucleCastFollow on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/nuclecastpodcastSubscribe RSS Feed: https://rss.com/podcasts/nuclecast-podcast/Rate: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nuclecast/id1644921278Email comments and topic/guest suggestions to NucleCast@anwadeter.org

To what extent do elected officials and lawmakers understand how data transmits the internet? This week, host Elisa is joined by Alex Joel of American University's Washington College of Law for the second half of their discussion on international data transmission and privacy. Alex sheds light on the concept of data localization, delves into the intricacies of Schrems cases I & II, and discusses how the rulings on these cases impact global data flows and national security. Alex Joel is a Scholar-in-Residence and Adjunct Professor at American University's Washington College of Law: https://www.wcl.american.edu/community/faculty/profile/ajoel/bio/ References: The CLOUD Act: https://epic.org/wp-content/uploads/privacy/cloud-act/cloud-act-text.pdf Schrems I: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A62014CJ0362 Schrems II: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A62018CJ0311 Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:12012P/TXT "Digital Repression Growing Globally, Threatening Freedoms." The National Intelligence Council: https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/NIC-Declassified-Assessment-Digital-Repression-Growing-April2023.pdf "Global Trends 2040." The National Intelligence Council: https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/GlobalTrends_2040.pdf E.O. 14086: https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2022-10-14/pdf/2022-22531.pdf EU General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR): https://gdpr.eu/tag/gdpr/ Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) Section 702 Resource Page: https://www.fisa702resources.com/ The Fair Information Practice Principles: https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/Governing%20Privacy%20Policy%20-%20The%20Fair%20Information%20Principles-Framework%20for%20Privacy%20Policy%20at%20the%20Department%20of%20Homeland%20Security.pdf The Privacy Act of 1974: https://osc.gov/Pages/Privacy-Act.aspx#:~:text=The%20Privacy%20Act%20provides%20protections,relevant%2C%20timely%20or%20complete%3B%20and OECD Privacy Guidelines, 1980: https://legalinstruments.oecd.org/en/instruments/OECD-LEGAL-0188

On this edition of Parallax Views, Ambassador Chas Freeman, a retired diplomat with a stories career and a visiting scholar at the Watson Institute for International Relations and Public Affairs, returns to discuss the bombing of Gaza by Israel in retaliation for the October 7th Hamas attack. We also discuss his critique of the U.S.-Israel special relationship, which he argues is harmful towards to both the interests of the United States and Israel. In the final portion of the conversation Amb. Freeman discusses how pro-Israel lobby elements, namely the Zionist Organization of America, applied a pressure campaign against his being the chair of the National Intelligence Council in the Obama administration. Amb. Freeman's full bio (courtesy the Watson Institute): Ambassador Chas W. Freeman, Jr. is a senior fellow at Brown University's Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, a former U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense, ambassador to Saudi Arabia (during operations Desert Shield and Desert Storm), acting Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, and Chargé d'affaires at both Bangkok and Beijing.  He began his diplomatic career in India but specialized in Chinese affairs.  (He was the principal American interpreter during President Nixon's visit to Beijing in 1972.)   Ambassador Freeman is a much sought-after public speaker (see http://chasfreeman.net) and the author of several well-received books on statecraft and diplomacy. His most recent book, "America's Continuing Misadventures in the Middle East" was published in May 2016. "Interesting Times: China, America, and the Shifting Balance of Prestige," appeared in March 2013. "America's Misadventures in the Middle East" came out in 2010, as did the most recent revision of "The Diplomat's Dictionary," the companion volume to "Arts of Power: Statecraft and Diplomacy." He was the editor of the Encyclopedia Britannica entry on "diplomacy." Freeman is a former U.S. assistant secretary of defense, ambassador to Saudi Arabia, principal deputy assistant secretary of state for African affairs, chargé d'affaires a.i. at Bangkok and Beijing, acting U.S. commissioner for refugee affairs and director of program coordination and development at the U.S. Information Agency. He was the principal American interpreter during the late President Nixon's 1972 opening of U.S. relations with China. Chas Freeman studied at the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México and Taiwan and earned an A.B. magna cum laude from Yale University as well as a J.D. from the Harvard Law School. He chairs Projects International, Inc., a Washington-based firm that for more than three decades has helped its American and foreign clients create ventures across borders, facilitating their establishment of new businesses through the design, negotiation, capitalization, and implementation of greenfield investments, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures, franchises, one-off transactions, sales and agencies in other countries.

The National Intelligence Strategy is out, and David Kris, a founder of Culper Partners, sat down to talk about it with Michael Collins, the acting head of the National Intelligence Council. They discussed many aspects of U.S. national security, defense, cyber, and intelligence strategy, including the increasing geopolitical significance of non-state entities, and even the meaning of the word intelligence itself. They also cover Mike's long and illustrious career inside the U.S. intelligence community and his thoughts about the future of U.S. intelligence.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The What the Hell crew continues our summer reading series! Our next pick is The Peacemaker: Ronald Reagan, the Cold War, and the World on the Brink. The Peacemaker's focus is Ronald Reagan's foreign policy, adding to previous research with recently declassified national security documents. But just as importantly, the history presented reminds us why the challenges we face today – socialism rebranded, struggles for sovereignty in Ukraine and Taiwan – are not novel. In fact, it is pretty simple to guess where Reagan might have stood in 2023. Inboden underscores as well that, contrary to popular opinion, the fall of the Soviet Union under Reagan was never inevitable, but required a real US policy shift. It is worth the read (or, if you are like Marc, the audiobook listen) to remember the Cold War muscles the US built not too long ago, or even just to remember what decorum and strength in leadership looks like in government.Bonus: Reagan's legacy lives on at the Reagan Institute; listen to our podcast on their summer survey here.William Inboden is the Professor and Director of the Hamilton Center for Classical and Civic Education at the University of Florida. He previously served as William Powers, Jr. Chair and Executive Director of the Clements Center for National Security, Associate Professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs, and Distinguished Scholar at the Robert S. Strauss Center for International Security and Law, all at the University of Texas-Austin. He also serves as Editor-in-Chief of the Texas National Security Review. Inboden's other current roles include Associate with the National Intelligence Council, member of the CIA Historical Advisory Panel, member of the State Department's Historical Advisory Council, and Senior Fellow with the Trinity Forum.Download the transcript here.

You think you know the full story of the devastating Hawaii wildfires? Think again. This isn't just another tale of nature gone wild. It's a wild time to be alive, and it's time to wake up from the mainstream slumber. In this eye-opening episode of the Adams Archive, We dive headfirst into the blaze of confusion and conspiracy surrounding the Hawaii fires. Including documents that prove the government has been working on directed energy weapons capable of causing a terrible wild fire since before 1975. We then go deeper into the modern applications of this technology and who is behind them... could it be the same organizations looking to take over the sacred Maui land? Join me as we unearth the hidden secrets and questionable narratives that the 'powers-that-be' would prefer you to ignore.  What were those government-funded experiments all about? Why are so many conspiracies suddenly becoming realities? And most importantly, how long can we remain oblivious to the shadows that lurk behind these tragedies? All the Links: Https://linktr.ee/theaustinjadams Substack: https://austinadams.substack.com   Full Transcription:   Adams Archive. Hello, you beautiful people and welcome to the Adams Archive. My name is Austin Adams, and thank you so much for listening today on today's episode, we are going deep into a recent topic that has come up as a result of the devastating fires in LA High. Hawaii. Now, if you don't know anything about this, you've probably been sleeping under a rock for the last week, but that's okay. I'll catch you up to speed. Uh, so basically what's been going on is there's been horrific, horrific wildfires that have been spreading across a specific island in Hawaii, and not just any island, but one of the most affluent areas that there is. Now, as a result of this, you know, there was, uh, a lot of conversations being had about a specific topic, but. The first conversation to have is, it's terrible. It's horrific. All of these people are losing their livelihood, uh, potentially hundreds if not thousands of people have lost their lives. I've seen video after video of, of men, women, and children escaping from their cars and running into the water on the side of the road to escape from these horrific fires. So my heart goes out to all of them. My heart goes out to the island. My heart goes out to the people of Hawaii. Uh, what a terrible tragedy that this is, but something has come up as a result of this that has directed the conversation into something that makes people believe that maybe this wasn't the organic fire I. That were being sold, that it was, a lot of people in Hawaii itself are coming out and saying that they, they don't believe that narrative. And we've seen this happen in California. We've seen this happen now in Canada with, with smoke going all over the United States to where, you know, I, I woke up here and look outside on certain days and you can barely see the sun. It's, it's, it's a wild time to be alive. And so now another time. In Hawaii. So one only has to wonder how much of an anomaly is this? We, we, I cannot recall this many devastating wildfires at any given time. Now, what the mainstream narrative will tell us is that it's climate change, right? It's because you drive your vehicle to work every day and you fill it up with gas instead of our electric vehicles, which, you know, we create the batteries from, you know, coal and, and other fossil fuels. But, um, I digress. That's what we're talking about today. What this led into a conversation about was now being called a conspiracy, which is the idea of directed energy weapons, which I will dive into you with you. I didn't believe, I didn't understand this. I didn't know this was a thing. There's very few conspiracies that we go into, conspiracies that we go into that I don't have a clue going into it. And I took a deep dive into this over the last 24 hours and have been really, uh, Learned a lot about how longstanding these military operations and government funded science, uh, scientific experiments have been happening for, and I'm blown away. I I had no idea that this was going on. So I'm gonna take you through my findings. We're gonna walk through what's happening in Hawaii, uh, and we're gonna read it from the accounts of some, some people that were there, some accounts of people who have broken this stuff down. But the longer you stick around, the deeper. We get, all right. As always, leave a five star review. Hit that subscribe button. If you're here with me for the first time, I appreciate you. If you're here with me for the second time or however many times after that, go ahead and leave a five star review. Um, uh, it's literally the only way that you can give back to what I'm doing here today at this time, and that's all I want from you is if you know I'm putting a lot of work into this, if you can. Show that you appreciate that by just going in there, leaving a five star review. I hope that you enjoyed our silent weapons for quiet wars deep dive that we did last week, that we tied up with a bow. Uh, if you go to my Instagram, the Austin J. Adams, and you go to the most recent video on there about silent weapons for quiet wars, you can actually comment silent weapons onto that and I will automatically send you the documents and both of the deep dives. Alright. Before we get into all of that, I am going to dive into, or, or just jump into a, a video that has gone viral across the entire United States, because so many people are hungry, hungry to hear the, the narrative of the people and not the narrative of the propaganda that we're being sold. So stick around for that. But first, let's jump. Into it, the Adams archive. All right. The very first thing that we're gonna jump into today is going to be a musician by the name of Oliver Anthony. And if you have not heard this song yet, you have been living under a rock. Alright. In the last six days from this video being posted from a no-name artist, Oliver Anthony is now a one of the biggest country stars that there is. Okay? Six days, 10 million views. Wild to see how something in, in a time where, you know, we hear about the, the Renaissance time and, and, and the, you know, cultural movements of art and how art truly speaks to the times that people were living in and, and what, what the soul needs to be quenched when it's thirsty during those time periods. And I think that this song is one of those times I think that, that the American people are so thirsty, so, so, Fed up with the mainstream narratives, with the mainstream news corporations, with the, with the mainstream politicians. They're so fed up with it that it was just absolutely perfect timing for a song like this to come out. So, I'm gonna start your day off right? Let's go ahead and listen to this song that's been stuck in my head for five straight days. Joe Rogan posted this song about 36 hours ago, and I'm actually the number one comment on that post, giving a quote from this song that I love of has over 12,000 likes. Just my comment on this Joe Rogan post. But, um, Uh, there's some really amazing parts to this, so I'll, I'll give you a few of my favorite parts, but let's go ahead and, and listen to this because Oliver, Anthony just crushes this and I'll set the scene for you. I'll actually go ahead and, and show this on my screen for you as well. Uh, What I'm gonna pull up for you is actually the music video that he did in a, just a, a surrounded by trees in the woods. A deer stand in the background, three dogs at his feet, and what this like, awesome looking guitar in his hands. Um, so here we go. This is Oliver Anthony, rich Men north of Richmond.  I've been selling my soul working all day overtime, hours for bullshit pay so I can sit out here and waste my life away, drag back home and drown my troubles away. It's a damn shame. What the world's gotten to for people like me, people like you wish I could just wake up and it not be true, but it's, oh, it's living world with and so. These richmen. Know through Richman, Lord knows all wanna have total control. Wanna know what you think, wanna know what you do and they don't think you know, but know that you do because your dollar ain't shit. And it's tax to know him calls a I wish politicians. Look out for miners and not just miners on an island somewhere. Lord, we got folks in the street. Ain't got enough in the heat and the whole beast. Milk and welfare. But God, if you're five foot three and you 300 pounds, taxes don't. Not to pay for your bags of fudge round, putting themselves six feet in the damn country. Does. Is keep on kicking them down, Lord. Hits a damn shame what the world's gotten to for people like me, people like you wish I could just wake up and it not be true, but it is. Oh it is living in the new. These rich men know the rich men. Lord knows they all just wanna have total control. Wanna know what you think, wanna know what you do, and then don't think you know, but I know that you do. 'cause your dollar ain't shit and it's taxing. No hand calls. I've been selling my soul working all day overtime, hours for bullshit pay. Ooh. And if that doesn't speak to your soul, son, you have not been paying attention. God, that's amazing. All right, so Oliver, Anthony, as I just said, has had some incredible, incredible songs come out, but none other than that one right there that has just spread like wildfire across the entire psyche of the American public. And there's a few lines in there now. You know, I'll give you some, some context here. The rich men north of Richmond are the politicians, right? That's Washington dc. Some of the other parts that I found to be, you know, the comment that I made, That was the number one comment on Joe Rogan's Instagram of this post was that I wish politicians would look out for minors, not just minors on an island somewhere, calling out a number of politicians who were seen on Epstein's Island's flight logs, including our very own president. Bill Clinton, I believe it was some 17 times, bill Clinton was on the flight logs and 21 times or 21 times he was on the flight logs 17 times that he was logged into the White House. Epstein was, while Bill Clinton was in office, right? And, and, and so he talks about inflation, right? Your dollar ain't shit. It's taxed to no end. We talked about that in our last episode. The salesman that comes up to you and tries to sell you this idea of the government, and it just doesn't make sense today with all these frustrations that we have and all, all of the, all of the totalitarian control that he's referencing. They just, they just want total control. And he perfectly articulates this in the song and captures the, the essence of the American frustration in, in, in three minutes and 10 seconds perfectly. And as a result, this man now gets his due. He will be one of go down as, as one of the most famous country artists. Ever, I believe with a, you know, the, the, the songs that he's singing right now just resonating across state lines, county lines. Right. And, and there was some, you know, I posted that on, on Joe Rogan's. Video of this and, and some people were arguing about whether it was minors with M I N O R S or m I n E R S, right. I wish politicians would look out for minors, not just minors on an island somewhere. And what I believe that he was referencing and, and you know, we won't know for a little bit until the actual. Lyrics of this come out, but, and what a lot of people seem to think is that he, he's talking about m i n e r s. I wish politicians would look out for minors. I wish politicians would look out for the, the blue collared workers, the people doing overtime, hours, just trying to make ends meet. And, and again, I think this just perfectly encapsulates what we've been missing in the public. And, and speaks to the frustration, speaks to the, the angst of the American people. And, and the, the, the, the. Wanting to rid ourselves of the grossness. That is the, the hands of the politicians on everything that we do. Right? So I just wanted to play that for you. Start this thing off. Right. We'll move into the next topic. Right now, but I hope you enjoyed that song. I hope you go follow Oliver Anthony, uh, on YouTube, on Instagram, anywhere that you can find him. Um, go, go look it out or go, go listen to him. Go follow him. Pretty incredible stuff. Alright, let's move on to our very first topic of the day. But man, that song just hits home. Alright, uh, here we go. So this is the video. Of a news anchor who is showing the Maui wildfires, which is now the deadliest wildfire in American history. Let's watch this video. Maui where we have just learned that this is now the deadliest wildfire in modern US history and just behind us, this is the remnants of a house burned in another blaze as the entire island is battling ideal conditions right now for wildfires. What we know about this tragedy is already unbearable. Nearly 100 dead, more than 2000 homes and buildings destroyed. We are still so far from understanding the full toll, and we'll explain why tonight. This is the overhead view of the sweeping devastation in La Hana. We now know that only 3%, 3% of those homes have been checked for bodies. Just next to where we're broadcasting tonight, we have two cars incinerated by the wildfires. That right there was a Tesla. You can see what's left of the front row seats in the distance. That was a lush green hill. Now scorched to its core. It shows the power of these wildfires. The governor has been warning that the death toll will go up, and there are still so many residents who escape the flames but are now searching for their loved ones. And tonight, angry at officials and a warning system, they say failed them. MG Room, third room. Third MGM Tonight. This is what it looked and felt like. Escaping the LA wildfire. Oh, no guys. No, we, we. This new video showing the sheerer panic as a family stuck in a line of cars, had minutes to escape before the flames engulfed the road out. This is a disaster. That drive through hell is how Rafa Ochoa and his family made it out alive. I knew it was bad and it was moving fast, and it was moving fast, really fast. It got it got to our homes within seconds. With the fast moving fire, closing in on his home, Ochoa heroically grabbed both his kids and his friend's children. Their parents were at work and scrambled everyone out. Did you hear any alarms? Did you get any kind of warning? No alarms, no warning. Nothing. No. That's something that will come up in a little bit about the To police. Police rolling by telling us to evacuate or anything. Warning the desperation of those chilling moments. Now turning to anger. Where were you guys too? To try and get us out. Evacuate us. You know, we're mad. We're mad. No, we didn't just lose our homes. We lost our town. Lost history. You know, our kids are traumatized. You guys messed up real bad. Hawaii emergency officials have said sirens on the island weren't activated during the fire. Wow. The other alerts by phone crazy and broadcast were having seen that storm. Uh, we have, we have doubts. That much could have been done with a, a fiery, um, fast moving fire like that. The scale of the devastating loss now unprecedented in modern times, the deadliest wildfire in the US in more than 100 years, claiming at least 93 lives, just so you know, 3%. That's what's been searched with the dogs 3%. When we pick up the remains and they fall apart. And so when you have 200 people running through the scene yesterday, I don't know how much more you want me to describe it, that's what you're stepping on as FEMA and the governor survey, the damage search teams with cadaver dogs that just arrived to Maui yesterday. Now scouring the ruins of historic Lana again today. Are you saying we're just at the beginning of this disaster? So for the first few days we had done searches in the streets. Now the guy that you hear talking is the police chief. Uh, let me see if I can get his title up here. But he's the police chief of Laina of Hawaii, um, in Maui. Now, this man. If I'm not mistaken, I, I believe it is this man right here. There's some questions around this man, because apparently, and let's, let's double check first from some of these articles that I have up here, but apparently Yep. That's the same guy. The guy running the show in Maui right now during these wildfires is the, this, the police chief in Maui is the same guy who ran the show during the Vegas massacre. Something even crazier about this police chief is that he is a federal agent with a top secret clearance according to LinkedIn. Hmm. Now what would a man with a top secret clearance, a federal agent finding himself in the midst of two of the biggest crises in American history? One being the largest massacre, I believe, the largest mass shooting of any ever. And now the largest death toll, the deadliest wildfire of any in US history. What are the odds of that? What are the odds of that? How many police chiefs are there out there, and how did he find himself moving from Vegas to now Maui as the police chief? The same guy who ran the show during the Vegas massacre. Interesting. So let's go ahead and let's look a little deeper into that because the police chief, the one answering all the calls, the one talking to all the news media, coordinating every single part of the narrative here is the same exact guy. The same guy that did it during the Vegas shooting. And if there's a, you know, Hamm's razor. Would tell us if I'm, if I'm using that correctly, right. The least, the, the most likely scenario is the likeliest, right? It's like the, the one that involves the least moving parts. Sometimes that can be used in a different way. It's like, what? What is the likelihood that the same man. Right. Well, the, the, the most likely scenario here seems to be telling us that it's not a coincidence that this man was there in both instances, because statistically speaking, that just shouldn't be the case. Right. So let's go ahead and read more about this individual.  So let's start back at the Vegas investigation. If you recall. What ended up happening with that is they spent years of investigations tearing the guy's history apart. This says and spent millions of dollars, and they still had no idea what his motive was, why he was there with the guns, or that anyone anywhere was aware of it. Somebody else said the, that a reminder of the Vegas coverup, a high ranking Saudi aristocracy. Aristocrat got drunk and drugged and started shooting from their, her hotel window into a crowd. The United States helps cover up, but asks for the punishment of the guy, which the Saudis agree upon, and do it. Hmm. So they point to the Wikipedia, ar, or Wikipedia pages of the Las Vegas shooting. And if you recall, let's go ahead and just read this real quick. A 64 year old man from Nevada Open Fire on the crowd attending the 91 Harvest Music Festival on the Vegas Strip from the 30 32nd floor of the Mandalay Bay Hotel. He fireboard a thousand bullets, killing 60 people, and wounded at least 413. Wow. The ensuing panic brought the total number of injured to approximately 867. About an hour later, he was found dead in his room from a self-inflicted gunshot wound. How convenient The incident is, the deadliest mass shooting by a single gunman in American history. It focused attention on firearm laws in the us, particularly with regard to bump stocks. Ooh. Hmm. Says the 64 year old former auditor in real estate businessman who had been living 80 miles of northeast of, uh, northeast of Las Vegas in a retirement community in Mesquite, Nevada. Yeah, that sounds like who's gonna shoot 400 people. Had a long-term girlfriend and had no known children. He was son of Benjamin Paddock, a bank robber who was on the FBI's most wanted list between 1979 and or 1969 and 77 Pex only inter uh, interactions with law enforcement were traffic citations. Hmm. Yeah. Interesting. So same guy who was the police chief during this time. Right. Let listen what the governor of Hawaii had. Oh, alright. Jumping ahead of ourselves first about preserving. So let's go ahead and read a little bit about what people are saying about the Hawaii situation because some people are pointing to what the mayor. Uh, in, or I'm sorry, the governor is saying about the land already, right? They're saying that a lot of people seem to think that this is some type of land grab. So let's see what we have here. It says the governor of Hawaii already having ideas for the land being Laina moving forward. I'm already thinking about ways for the state to acquire that land so that we can put it into workforce housing to put it back into families or to make it open spaces in perpetuity as a memorial to people who were lost. We want this to be something that we remember, uh, after the pain path. Okay? I gotta tell you guys, I am so frustrated with investors and realtors calling the families who lost their home offering to buy their land. How? Dare you do that to our community right now. Frustrated hearing since yesterday that multiple families that I know personally were reached out and offered money from investors and realtors. Shame on you. Shame on you. If you are a Maui realtor contributing to that, karma's gonna come and get you. Hmm. Here is another video had to say about the fires of the destruction of Laina. It does appear like a bomb and fire went on. It does appear like a bomb and fire went on. All of those buildings virtually are gonna have to be rebuilt. It will be a new Lana in its own image, its own values. It's gonna be billions of dollars. We are so coordinated with state, county, and federal support that it took less than a quarter of a day, six hours to get the approval from the president to bring those resources in. This was, of course, a shock to see a hurricane and its winds. I think that we're seeing this for the first time in many different parts of the world. I've been contacted by several governors across the country to share their experiences in a time where global warming is combined with strengthening students. So let's just go over a few of the red flags there. It is the very first time that anything like this has ever happened. Hmm. Very interesting. They want to acquire the land as quickly as possible and turn it into government subsidized housing. And also there's been discussions around turning Le Hana into some sort of smart, connected city, right? You recall some episodes that we did on the 15 minute cities where basically it's just completely under totalitarian control exit. He said, very coordinated bomb and fire went off. All right. There's the other one. A bomb and fire went off according to the governor of Hawaii, why would you use the word bomb in a wildfire? I, I wonder how many, how many other wildfires you could go find where the governor of the state mentions bombs? Hmm. All we will need to rebuild is billions of dollars in its own likeness and own image with its own values. What does that even mean? And it's so coordinated with state, county, and federal support that within less than six hours, they got six hours, got approval from the president to bring resources, hurricane type wind that just happened to be the same time as the bomb, like fire governors calling to share their experience. So we start the press conference out with bombs and explosions, then set up how we're gonna get some smart cities in Hawaii and then we end it with 2030 propaganda of global warming. Right? Yep, exactly right. So we see all of these things coming together and, and we're gonna get into eventually how people are thinking that this actually happened. I wanna set the stage for you, right? The governor is saying bomb like fires. He's saying the immediate resourcefulness of the federal, state communities coming together to fund this operation, to buy out this land. Now, this land wasn't just, isn't just a piece of Hawaii. This land was originally a, a piece of land that is one of the most sought after pieces of land in Hawaii, in Maui. Um, the, these waterfront properties are worth tremend, like billions of dollars combined, and they would not sell the property to the government no matter how many times they came to them. Right. Now there's certain amendments within the Constitution that would allow them to, under certain circumstances, to basically take over this land by purchasing it at a fair price, uh, without the consent of the owners. And so let's watch one more video, maybe a couple more on this, and then we'll move into the actual directed weapons. It looks like there's a fair amount of videos actually on this, but I don't want to go too, too deep into other people's stuff. We'll do our own deep dive here, but I do wanna set the stage for you now. There's a guy named Matt Kim, who does a pretty good video on this that we'll go ahead and watch, and then we'll go from there. Several wildfires have broken out on the island of Mau. What's going on in Maui? There is a lot to unpack, so try to keep up. Several wildfires have broken out on the island of Maui, creating mass devastation and destruction, most notably, the town of Laina. This is not the people's fault, and our hearts go out to those affected. Why is Laina significant? It was once the capital of the kingdom of Hawaii. Prior to the forced US annexation and the eventual move to Honolulu, Lena is filled with native property and business owners that have dug their heels in and have refused to sell their properties to conglomerates such as BlackRock, Vanguard, and Oprah Glob Prime oceanfront property, still owned and managed by the natives. So what caused this destruction? Short answer, no one knows. All government agencies, local and federal have vehemently stated that it is unknown. However, there are two competing theories online. One environmental, the perfect combination of a major hurricane, 200 miles off the southern shore of Maui, combined with northern pressure to create massive dryness and winds were too diabolical. Something the conspiracy theorists call A D E W Direct Energy Weapon. And you will find that that's not just the conspiracy theories. That's articles from back from 1979 that we're gonna read that talk about directed energy weapons, so not just the conspiracy theorists. These are articles from like the Washington Post in the seventies talking about the Soviet directed energy weapons. What? I had the same response. So I started Googling the first article that pops up when you Google Maui. D e w is from Newsweek. It starts like this. The devastating wildfires in Hawaii have brought a new conspiracy theory from climate change deniers who suggest that the destruction was orchestrated by the federal government's direct energy weapons. Ugh. Anytime a propaganda media article starts with conspiracy theory by climate change deniers makes me wanna believe it more. Mm-hmm. Next article, fact checked. False. Wait, what? I thought the facts were unknown. How can we rule out trending theories as impossible already? Joe Biden just announced that the federal government will provide aid to those that lost their homes. That means homeowners who lost their houses and properties can now loan money from the federal government at a low interest rate. Your super valuable property that is skyrocketing value. You can now get a new mortgage courtesy of Uncle Sam. There are also countless efforts by the people to send aid and support to devastated areas. This would be great, except local residents are now saying that they're having difficulty delivering such aid and only FEMA and Red Cross aid is being allowed in roadblocks everywhere. No one allowed in or out. Hmm. And Maui is an island surrounded by water next to one of the largest US military bases. Local residents are saying that they received no advanced warning and that they only evacuated once. They saw the thick black smoke at their doors. Now that's an interesting concept that a lot of people are starting to talk about in some of these videos is that, that the, they said that, uh, some of the residents in this area said that every single Saturday at the first of each month, they do their emergency warnings every Saturday without fail, and all of the sudden there's a huge wildfire, wildfire that is creeping up to their doorsteps. And they don't, they aren't notified at all until the smoke is seeping through their doors. And if you recall, there was a false, like nuclear text message claiming that there was a nuclear bomb headed towards Hawaii at one point where they falsely stated that from a military individual who pressed the wrong button, now all of a sudden they don't know how to find the right button when there's a, a cata catastrophic fire coming and creeping up to the people's doors all around an entire island killing. Tens and hundreds of people, right? As they said in that article, there's only 3% of houses that have been searched so far, and there's 93 deaths. Let's do some math, right? 93. Let's multiply that times three. That's, uh, two hundred and seventy nine, two hundred eighty. Multiply that by 10, that's 2,800 deaths, potentially based off of the 3% rate at 93 deaths. That's just the math, right? And maybe there's more people, and maybe there's less people, but the off of the 3% math that we can do right there, that's what what we're probably looking at around a thousand people, more than that, right? That are dead as a result of this. And some people are asking why. Even the people that are on the the island are very, very skeptical of who and what caused this. And they, they don't seem to be convinced that it was a hurricane or a random fire. Right. It's like less than 3% of fires are caused by non manmade ways, and we're seeing this in every single wildfire instance. We're seeing that there's multiple locations being targeted that like a singular time that causes this massive, massive fire right around the time that there's extremely high winds, right? You cannot tell me that that's a coincidence. You cannot, I don't believe you. All of these wildfires happening simultaneously in all these weird areas coming together perfectly at the right time when there's a massive amount of winds. I don't believe you. So a lot of people seem to be very skeptical as well, especially when you have back to back, to back to back. You see California on fire. We see Canada on fire now. Maui on fire. Completely unrelated circumstances, and all of them seem to have to do with climate change according to, like he said, the most frustrating part about this, one of the most frustrating parts about this is that these fact checkers come out and say that, oh, it's absolutely can't be directed energy. Weapons fact check. False, not true. You don't know. You have no idea. Why are we ruling out the idea? Nobody's saying no. You know, it's, it almost shows the blame, right? It, it almost shows that, that they're so scared of this narrative when it could be Russia, it could be China, it could be any number of different countries that are targeting us with these weapons that they've been developing for over 50 years. But you want to immediately write it off, and that makes you look more guilty than anything. Alright? Um, Here we go. Let's go ahead and watch this. Let's go ahead and read this article here. Let's exit out of that video. Alright. There's another portion of this, and again, this comes from a video on Twitter from Paul's corner 21, and it says, many are speculating that the fires could have been intentionally set to disenfranchise The natives who owned the historic ocean from properties that were devastated in the blaze. Others believed the fires were started to level the area to make way for 15 minute cities promoted by the likes of the World Economic Forum. Hmm. Interesting. Even more people are curious why there are brick and mortar buildings burnt into rubble while surrounded by trees. That's kind of weird. So let's look at this video. Uh, mentioning some of the, the ideas around this and didn't flood them, didn't give them, you know, crazy, you know, other things. But it caused fires. It caused fires, and not only on Maui. But it caused fires in the most precious parts of real estate in Maui. Laina Front Street is worth billions. The Hawaiians that have been holding out and the Kanaka have been holding out for years not wanting to sell their property in Laa due to these big million dollar companies. It is not a coincidence, I don't believe how in the most precious parts of Maui, Kula, Laina, and that the locals that are standing strong and do not want to give up Oprah Winfrey's fucking view up in Kula that the Hawaiians are holding out on that the fire was going to the ho, the Hawaiians and the Kanaka that was holding right there on Front Street. Hmm. Interesting. So specifically targeted areas that seem to be worth lots of money where people were digging their heels in. Right now, when we get to what these directed energy weapons are and who is developing them, one of the largest names is Lockheed Martin, and when you look into who's the largest shareholders of Lockheed Martin, the list goes like this. State Street, 14% State Street, 14% of Lockheed Martin, Vanguard 9%, and BlackRock 7%. The very same companies that this man is claiming are going and after these properties and have been trying to buy them out. He didn't name them by name, but he's talking about those companies going to buy them out and take over this property, right. Now another conversation that comes up is around 15 minute cities. So the idea here is that Hawaii and the different islands of Hawaii have been used for test experiments, right? You wanna go back into shock testing and economic, uh, data mining and all of those things that we talked about in silent weapons for quiet wars. These are perfect areas. Each of these islands is its own economic institution, which can be leveraged and utilized in ways that you cannot imagine for data mining, right? You can release viruses, you can release, uh, uh, you know, you can make toilet paper scarce. You can do whatever that you want within these individual islands and use it as a way to leverage the data that you are, that you are getting because there's no other outside factors coming into these areas, right? And each one of them is their own control group. So that's why they're looking at Hawaii. And Maui specifically being a big part of the 15 minute city rollouts, right? The one that the World Economic Forum has been bragging about for so long, you'll own nothing and you'll be happy. Oh, and to get you there, we just have to burn down your current city with directed energy weapons. Maybe here's a video, maybe not, not a video. It's a picture of a video. It says, new mind-numbing conspiracy theory about this is from politics and Ed on Twitter around 15 minute cities is Maui fires in Hawaii, where supposedly set so they rebuild into 15 minute cities. Disgusting. It says, Hmm. Well, and you go back to what the governor was saying and the governor was saying that, you know, it will be a new. City it will be a, it will have its own culture. It will have a new feel to it, right? Hmm, hmm. Lemme go ahead and read this to you. This article that he's referencing, this is the, the Federal Agency concerned with weather modification activities are the departments of Agriculture, commerce, defense, and Interior. Plus the Environmental Protection Agency, the national, uh, aeronautics and Space Administration, and the National Science Foundation. The Department of State is also interested in the effects on other countries of weather modification efforts. Uh, And some states also conduct weather modification programs in 1977. The federal government will spend about $20 million compared to 3 million in 1963 for such activities as fog, cloud and precipitation modification, ball and lightning suppression, uh, amite amyl, lation of severe storms and hurricanes, and other related activities. Most of the information gathering and analysis asked for the study required by the SS 1383 has already been performed recently by the federal government. During the past year. The domestic council through the Environmental Resources Committee, subcommittee of Climate Change, has completed an extensive study of the role of the federal government in weather modification. Hmm, maybe I don't know, causing such type of hurricanes so that you can then spark these types of fires with that much wind. That's interesting. Hmm. Yep. And we'll go into that in just a minute, right? It says that, uh, and yet others have put forward the theory that wildfires could have been started by environmentalist arsonists to justify climate change. Talking points already put out by the likes of the New York Times, which the New York Times claimed the n Maui fires are already one of the deadliest wildfires in modern US history. How did it happen? In a state defined by its lush vegetation, the explanation is straightforward as the planet heats up. No place is protected from disasters, says the New York Times. And yet no fact checkers coming here to say, well, actually nobody knows what happened here. Right. We don't know if this is from climate change. We have no reason to believe that. Yet you're jumping to conclusions while calling other people conspiracy theorists. Hmm. Sounds like you're directing the narrative. And there's some, there's some really horrific videos of people, uh, trying to get out of these, uh, uh, these fires. Right. The wildfires started Tuesday. Have, starting Tuesday, have scorched over 2000 acres of land, including most of the town of Lahaina, a rich cultural and historical area of the Hawaiian Island. Though the cause of the fires have yet to be officially determined, when the establishment makes a decision to quash conspiracy theories and questions, before all the facts are in, there's reason to be suspicious. And now you might say space lasers. Directed energy weapons. That sounds like something from Star Wars and you might be correct, but also this is something that we as a culture, as a species, have been studying since the sixties and have been implementing since very close to that. So let's go ahead and figure out what are directed energy weapons. What are these space lasers that people are referring to that could have started this fire? That's a good question. I'm glad you asked. Let's jump into it. So to to reference a few other things that mention this. This isn't the first time that this has come up. There's a Reuters article that says, Russia uses new laser weapons in Ukraine. Zelensky mocks wonder weapon. Now this was May 18th, 2022. And it says Russia dips into its secret laser arsenal. Russia on Wednesday said it was using a new generation of powerful lasers in Ukraine to burn up drones, deploying some of Moscow's secret weapons to counter a flood of western arms. Russian President Vladimir Putin in 2018 unveiled an intercontinental ballistic missile, underwater nuclear drones, a supersonic weapon, and a laser weapon. Lulu is known about the specifics of the new laser. Putin mentioned one called Pervet per per pervet. I don't dunno. I don't speak Russian. Named after a Midieval Orthodox Warrior monk, Alexander Pervet, who perished. Im Mortal Kombat. Yuri Borisov, the Deputy Prime Minister in, in charge of military development told a conference in Moscow that Pervet was already being widely deployed and they could blind satellites up to 1500 kilometers above Earth. He said there was already more powerful systems than Pervet that could burn up drones and other equipment. Bov cited a test on Tuesday, which he said had burned up a drone five kilometers away within five seconds. Great, and, and I want you to notice that keyword burned up. It is thermal. This action of this laser is just heating this up to the point where it burns it, right? That that is written by Reuters. Right? We are not talking about conspiracy theories. We are talking about a technology that is here today, right now that most of you are not aware of, that you should be horrified of. Because if this type of technology exists, imagine the implications of this when there's riots in the street for, I don't know, authoritarianism. Hmm. So just wanted to start this off with, this isn't all that crazy? Right? And if you still don't believe me, let's go back in time to Nikolai Tesla. Nikolai Tesla had created what he had as a theory of technology, which he called a death Ray. Let's go ahead and watch this short clip about it. An Israeli arms company known as Raphael Advanced Defense Systems reveals details of a laser defense system capable of shooting missiles from the sky with a pulse of energy, the futuristic military hardware. Is called iron beam. The concept of iron beam is that it's essentially a high energy laser that is designed to rapidly heat up the target that it's aimed at. We're talking about aircraft, drones, missiles. Anything that could launch an attack on a city could be literally destroyed in the sky by I and D. This sounds very much like Tesla's death, Ray. This is exactly the kind of technology that Tesla was talking about in the 1920s and thirties of using these beam weapons to shoot down missiles and projectiles. The war department sided with Einstein and Oppenheimer's atomic bomb, not with Tesla. But now what we're seeing is that Israel is developing this. Iron beam technology because they realized that atomic weapons were far too destructive. Is it possible that Tesla developed a time viewing or time travel technology and that he became aware of these developments? Tesla was once quoted as saying, the present is theirs, but the future for which I have really worked is mine. Did Tesla in fact see into the future might Iron Bean be proof that plans for the death Ray not only existed, but also may have even been confiscated and carried out by the United States government? There are those who believe that Nicola Tesla was not only in contact with extraterrestrials. But was sent here to earth by them to fulfill a mission and usher in a new age for mankind. One of the big questions is who is Tesla? Is he, in a sense, an avatar, an enlightened being that comes to the earth to help humans? No one really knows exactly what's going on, but I think all great artists and Tesla saw himself as artists, feel that they're instruments of a higher purpose, and Tesla certainly felt that he was working. Along those lines, there is an agenda for humanity. There is a plan, and in every generation, whatever power it is that's behind the plan sends to earth certain specific souls who are by birth more inclined and able to be receptors to the higher knowledge. Interesting. But that just starts the conversation right now. There's a whole deep dive that we could do into Tesla, which is super interesting in all of the technologies that he built and some of the things that they actually referenced there, which I seem to be, that's pretty interesting, right? The idea that there's these enlightened, uh, individuals who are these, you know, uh, satellite or, uh, re satellite, uh, boxes or, you know, that take in the, the, the technology ideas and, and implement them in, in the world, right? What percentage of people, there's like a handful of people who have really changed the dynamic of the technology of our world as we know it today, for literally everybody. And this could be one of those instances only, maybe it was put under wraps for quite a long time, because I have articles here from the sixties, okay? One of these articles. Let's go to this one first, which is dated 20 May, 1979. Death Ray weapons bid to outlink salt arm efforts. This conversation about direct energy weapons is not new. Nikolai Tesla had this idea way back in the thirties. It was discussed as a death ray weapon in 1979 in the literal, what was it? The Washington Times. Try and see who, uh, who actually published this article. Um, but no, here it is. This was the one that I was thinking of. Um, There's, there's article after article after article, and this is a sanitized version, and I, I pulled all of these articles from the ccia that discuss these direct energy weapons, so you can go to cia.gov, the reading room there and search direct energy weapons. I sifted through some of the articles there. This is what I found to be some of the most interesting. Alright, so the very first page of this one, right, released in 2013 about direct energy weapons from the C I A released again 2013. The very first page is denied, right? Still under wraps. They still will not release some of this information, right? So if you don't believe that these things are real, you need to wake up because the c i A has has had this on their website since 2013, right? Soviet's push for Beam Weapon is the name of the article. It says, U S S R developing charged particle device aimed at missile defense, exploring high energy lasers as satellite killer. It says, Soviet Union is developing a charged particle beam designed to destroy US intercontinental. In submarine, uh, ballistic missile, nuclear warheads development tests are being conducted at a facility at Soviet Central Asia. So all the way back in during the Cold War, they had these, these types of weapons that they were developing, right? This is nothing new, but yet they want to call you a conspiracy theorist for even discussing them, right? This article is named Soviet's Push for Beam Weapon. Another article is named Death Ray. Weapons Bid to Outlink Salt, warm, uh, salt Arms Efforts. Another one is, A literal letters back and forth between Soviet, uh, Soviet Union, um, discussions that were being had within people that were recently declassified. Another one of these articles is Soviets are developing their own star war system, right? But yet you are a conspiracy theory for even talking about directed energy weapons. And that one, that's the one I was referencing that was from the Washington Times. C i a Soviets are developing their own Star War system. So let's go in chronological order here, starting with the one from 19, let's see, 1960. Where was it? The one that was released in 2013. This is the very earliest one. A charged particle beam, uh, in projects, atomic part or. Sorry, this some, some of this is like typewriters type stuff, so it's not fully copied over. Um, a charged particle beam weapon focuses and projects atomic particles at the speed of light, which could be directed from ground-based sites into spaces to intercept and neutralize reentry vehicles. According to u s officials, both the U S S R and the US are investigating the concept of placing charged particle beams devices on spacecraft to intercept missile warheads in space. This method would avoid problems with propagating the beam through the earth's atmosphere. Because of a controversy within the US intelligence community, the details of Soviet directed energy weapons have not been made available to the president or the National Security Council. Recent events have persuaded a number of US analysis to that directed energy. Weapons are nearing prototype testing in the Soviet Union. They include detection of large amounts of gaseous hydrogen with trace of tritium in the. Upper atmosphere. The United States Air Force Block 6 47 Defense support system early warning satellite with scanning radiation detectors and infrared sensors have been used to determine that on seven occasions since November, 1975, tests that may have been related to development of a charge particle D beam device have been carried out in a facility in Semial tins, some Russian area ground testing of a small hydrogen fluoride high energy laser, and detection of preparations to launch the device on board of spacecraft. Some US officials believe the test of the anti-satellite laser may be related to recent Soviet activities on the demand. SST Space Station tested a new far more PO powerful fusion post magneta hydrodynamic generator to provide power for a charged particle beam system At. ASR in Kazakhstan near the Caspian Sea. The experiment took place late last year in an underground chamber in an area of natural salt formations in the desert near asr. Interesting. And now there's even some, uh, actual images that were on this, not copied over super well. Um, but it says, debate scene on charged particle work. So even back in the seventies, this was being discussed, right? It talks about the energy levels required, it talks about, uh, could be perfected. Project was abandoned at some 0.3 or theoretical blocks to this in-house research. Just reading you some of the headlines here and some of the underlying parts. It says through open sources, they learned that the Soviets had long since solved some of the problems that they ran into in tours Stinging. Hmm. And they give some diagrams, like this is, this goes pretty deep into this for, you know, it's like 8, 9, 10 pages long. Some of it redacted, the first and the last pages. Um, but again, I'll include all of this in the sub stack as well as, uh, the Instagram posts on this for you. So that was the very first one. The next article pops up and says, now this one is 26 pages, some of which are redacted. This was the National Intelligence Council in 1985. It was a letter from David Abshire, the Ambassador to Mission nato. It says, dear David, following up on a recent conversation in London, I have checked into where Washington stood in the preparation of unclassified fact she'd done Soviet efforts in the s t I field. You'll be glad to know that state, uh, that state is putting the finishing touches on such a paper, and I'm told you should have it fairly soon. In the meantime, I thought it would be, uh, you'd be interested in two unclassified articles done by agency analysts. Although these papers do not have any official STA status, they contain much excellent information that should prove valuable for use on background information. I very much enjoyed your presentation and was glad that we had a few minutes to chat. I had to stop in Brussels sometime this fall, and we look forward to seeing you at that time. And this goes into, the Soviet directed energy weapons. And it's 24 pages. 24 pages about this, about these lasers.   The key judgment says the Soviet Union is believed to have inter uh, to be interested in the development of directed energy weapons. For ballistic missile defense and anti-satellite applications, the Soviet Union has been engaged in research on the directed energy weapons technologies for as long as the United States, Soviet efforts are under the leadership of some of the finest scientific minds in the U s Ss r in directed energy technologies, the Soviets are in a, in a comparable or highly competitive position with respect to the United States, uh, the Soviets are believed to have progressed beyond the stage of pure or basic laboratory research, hostile Soviet reactions to the US Strategic Defense initiatives in lobbying against the S d I by high level support Soviet scientists. Hmm. Now just give you the outline. It says number two. Uh, page two is about laser weapons management resources, technology, advanced developments, particle beam weapons, which is differentiation, microwave weapons, Soviet responses to the s d I and bibliography. So one of the things that we've discussed before about this is the Havana Syndrome. Havana Syndrome was something that people believed was being targeted by the Soviet Union onto certain politicians of these types of weapons from the microwave weapons that are potentially being discussed within this document on page 13. See if we can pull that up for you here. But this is, this is nothing new. It's just the application that people are now waking up to, how this can be leveraged. So multiple articles. Since the seventies have been talking about this, and there's one, so one, one question I have was like, okay, can yes, these are real, can they be used to create fires? So I, I did a little bit of research on that. It's like, okay, of course it makes sense that if all they're doing is heating something up and they're, they're being utilized to, uh, further thermal uses and that's how they're d destroying these types of missiles and, and everything at a very, uh, very tactile or tactical and, uh, very accurate way. Could they be used in, in the same way that we're talking about here, right? Could, could they be used to start fires? I couldn't find much on that because it just seems so obvious. But I did find this from the US Department of Agriculture and it says laser ignition device in its application to forestry, fire and land management. It has a laser ignition device for controlled burning of forest logging slash have been developed and successfully tested the devo. The device which uses a kilowatt class carbon dioxide laser, operates at the distance from 50 to a 1500 meters, right? We're not talking about these directive wet energy weapons, but this is an example of how this has been used in the past to create controlled burnings. Acquisition and focus control are achieved by the use of a laser range fire finder and acquisition telescope. Additional uses of the device include back burning, selective undergrowth removal, safe ignition of oil spills. A truck mounted version will be operational by fall of 1987 and an airborne version by the summer of 1988. All right, so there's that to further discuss that. Now let's get into what the actual conspiracy theory is here. It's the same thing happened to us in Paradise, California. November 8th, 2018. Somebody said our homes were le uh, leveled to ash, but most of the trees were still standing. Houses, steel buildings turned to ash. Cars, trucks flipped inside or flipped upside down, but still the gas tanks were still intact. We were hit back in Paradise 11 eight of 2018 by directed energy weapons. Looks the same as paradise did. Maui looks to be the same cars burned out even the glass windows. Some of the cars in Maui had large holes in the hood of the cars and trucks. Looked like a direct energy attack to me, but trees next to the cars still had leaves on them. This, in my humble opinion, is another attack on their towns. Agenda 21, burn the people off the land and take everything away from them. The winds came up as soon as the fire started, just like in paradise and many mountain communities in Northern California. Prove me, I'm wrong. Learn what's happening. Our towns are under attack. None other than the new world order, taking everything away from us, burning our towns down. No early warning system in place tells me they wanted lots of casualties. Deaths, just like in paradise. We had no warning at all. They aren't playing. They're dead serious. Hmm. Right. And says the first day of every month somebody commented, they test the emergency sirens to make sure that they work. It's crazy that they didn't work in an actual emergency. And then somebody commented back from the C N N article that they said they didn't even try to activate the sirens. Hmm. So somebody says here that less than 1%, 1% of Hawaii wildfires are natural. They had four burnings all at once. It says they still have no official cause of the fire. The fear of a land grab amongst the locals is real. Most of the homes and lots were not properly documented, like most of La Haena, which was part of its charm. But we fear that land will not go back to locals, but instead, LA Hana will become w Kiki 2.0 and be developed like nowhere else on Maui. The way Lana was built could have never supported the government's idea of smart city, which they desperately want. Every official from the mayor, governor General, fema, red Cross, et cetera, has said the same thing. It looks like a bomb went off. It looks like a war. I conclude this. The lack of warning and the incompetence is alarming all on its own, but there is a bigger agenda here for Laina, Maui, Hawaii, and states, everywhere. Hmm. Very interesting. We live in buildings made with and full of accelerants. Well, that's pretty true. Very interesting. Uh, here we go on, it says, do direct energy weapons exist that can cause wildfires? Right. That's the question I've been asking myself. The question I've been asking myself through all of these wildfires is, can this be done in this way? Can it be a weapon? Do directed energy weapons exist that can cause wildfires? The answer is yes. Does the US government have the ability to use these resources? The answer is yes. Does the government have reasons to cause such events to create the appropriate circumstances for their narratives and to justify their policy changes? They say most certainly, yes. Can we prove that this event was caused by the government? No, we cannot. We do not have the tools or the knowledge to prove this. Now, we need to wait till there's more information, a whistleblower or some other thing. At the moment, all that we can do is ask questions. The media and the mainstream thinking will tell you that doing so is bad, but don't think there's anything wrong with that. We should always question authority, right? And that's, that's some of the most concerning parts about this, is like, this doesn't even, this doesn't even have to be like, if you wanna, let's, let's make this a more, let's make it a more palatable conversation. Maybe it is in the government. Maybe you look at Vanguard, maybe you look at State Street, maybe you look at BlackRock. Maybe it's them, right? Maybe the same people who were willing to release a virus into our country and to the world killing hundreds of thousands of people for profitability by enforcing mandatory vaccination, would also be willing to, I don't know, kill a thousand people and start a few fires to take over an entire island. Maybe they would do that for profitability. Maybe we should just be asking ourselves that question. Right. Is there, is there one of these corporations that you trust enough to know that they would not do this thing? I don't think that I trust them enough to, to believe that there's no way possible that they would do this. This seems very feasible to me from what we've learned about these companies and corporations and, and even our own government over the last I. Three, four years. Right. It seems very plausible that this was a possibility either by our government or by these corporations, which is, you know, truly in the oligarchy that we live in the same thing, right? Those corporations that I just mentioned own the politicians. So whatever they wanna do, they'll do through funding. That's just the way that our pay to play government works. Hmm. Alright, so let's get into the next conversation. Let's, let's lis, let's listen into the own words of our Secretary of Defense in 2020, where Mark Esper confirms that these weapons exist, confirmed that they will be weaponized to create fires just like this one. Here we go. Cyberspace conference. Thank you to the Air Force Association for hosting an important event that brings together the world's finest aerospace leaders and professionals. I. First and foremost, I'd like to wish a happy birthday to the United States Air Force for 73 years and counting you have provided. Our nation with force in particular has maintained uncontested air superiority for decades with persistent intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance and precision airstrikes. Anytime, anywhere. However, our near peer rivals China and Russia seek to erode our longstanding dominance and air power through long range fires, anti axis, aerial denial systems, and other asymmetric capabilities designed to counter our strengths. Meanwhile, in space, Moscow and Beijing have turned a once peaceful arena into a war fighting domain. They have weaponized space through killer satellites, directed energy, weapons, and more in an effort to exploit our systems and chip away at our military advantage. Furthermore, our competitors and adversaries exploit cyberspace to undermine our security without confronting. Okay. If you didn't hear that, let me play it again for you, where he says that these companies could weaponize long range fires and killer satellites. Yet were conspiracy theories for bringing this up in a time where, I don't know, it appears that there was long range fires seek to erode our longstanding dominance in air power through long range fires, anti axis, aerial denial systems, and other asymmetric capabilities designed to counter our strengths. Meanwhile, in space, Moscow and Beijing have turned a once peaceful arena into a war fighting domain. They have weaponized space through killer satellites, directed energy, weapons, and more in an effort to exploit our systems and chip away at our military advantage. So these things have been happening for quite. Some time, right? Directed energy weapons, these killer satellites as he calls them this. Why do you think Trump implemented a space force? It wasn't for the, the comedic relief. It was because there is a real threat of countries and companies weaponizing satellites to create fires, to create, uh, explosions, to accurately target infrastructure, to accurately target, I don't know, real estate on an island that they want to take over by force in order to implement totalitarian smart cities. Maybe it's that maybe. Now what, when we look into the logistics of this and, and some of the, the things that might come up when we discuss the idea of those satellites is that in order for it to cause such a thermal, uh, reaction as we would see to start these fires simultaneously would be that the problem would be the atmosphere, the amount of, of energy that it would require to overcome the atmosphere when going from a satellite into the area that it's going to, to, to cause this fire. But why not extremely high altitude aircraft? Right? Maybe we can prove this through, uh, the, um, radar, uh, where it shows the, the aircraft that was flying over, right? Something like that may, I don't know. I don't know what it is, but it, it satellites seem unlikely. High altitude aircraft seems much more likely. 'cause then you don't have to deal with the atmosphere causing an eruption with the, the amount of energy that's being relayed. Uh, but here's. Now let's go into some other sources of this, talking about these directed energy weapons that a allegedly, according to the fact-checkers at Snopes do not exist of defense, spends about $1 billion annually developing directed energy weapons, such as high energy lasers and high powered microwaves. These weapons can disrupt or destroy their targets at the speed of light. For example, d o D has developed high energy lasers that have successfully shot down drones, but speed isn't their only advantage. They're also less expensive for use than traditional weapons like guns and missiles. Despite those potential advantages, d o D has had trouble getting these technologies out of the lab and into service. The Army has developed a detailed transition plan to support moving these weapons into the next stages of development. We recommended that the Navy and the Air Force develop similar plans that comes from the government accountability organization or office giving information on these very things that allegedly don't exist. Here's another video coming from Lockheed Martin. Lockheed Martin produces systems that do everything from detect the threats to identify the threats, determine whether it's a threat to the aircraft, and then employs the appropriate weapon, in this case, a laser weapon system. What we're hearing from our customers is that they need a layered, multi-domain defensive approach that can be integrated across platforms to neutralize these threats across all those domains. Imagine an aircraft equipped with a laser system with the capability to be able to neutralize a threat at the speed of a lightning strike. The precision of a surgical scalpel with the magazine to deal with a swarm and with the scalable effect. To be able to address that threat, providing an effect all the way the one end from simply deterring it for a short period of time, all the way up to completely neutralizing and defeating that threat. Now this video looks literally like something outta Star Wars. We were able to integrate our laser weapon system Athena into the classified C two network, and receive cues from the radar on the range in order to execute the full kill chain. I love how these people are just like Helios laser weapon system builds on 40 years of combat system, do lasers that, you know, maybe it could cause the takeover of the planet for everybody that I know and love and I'm really excited about it. And these lasers make things really hot and uh, it could. Kill everybody. So me and Stan at the office have been really working hard on this project for quite some time now, and we're really excited to roll it out. That's what's weird to me about all these things is like, what would it take from a societal humanistic perspective for people to just like throw up their hands and be like, you know what, maybe I shouldn't work at Lockheed Martin. Maybe I shouldn't work for the, you know, the, the, the literal military i

The Hoover Institution hosts The Siberia Job | A Book Event on Wednesday, June 7, 2022 at 5:00 pm PT in Hauck Auditorium.  Stephen Kotkin in conversation with John Kleinheinz to discuss the new book, The Siberia Job. Introduction by Condoleezza Rice. PARTICIPANT BIOS Stephen Kotkin is a Hoover senior fellow and a Professor of History and International Affairs at Princeton University. In addition to conducting research in the Hoover Library and Archives for three decades, he is also founder of Princeton's Global History Initiative. Kotkin's research and publications encompasses geopolitics and authoritarian regimes in history and in the present, and he has also participated in numerous National Intelligence Council events over the years.   John Kleinheinz is the CEO of Kleinheinz Capital Partners, Inc., the investment advisor for the Global Undervalued Securities Fund, a global-macro themed hedge fund which at its peak managed $4 billion. He returned outside capital to investors in 2013 after a successful 20-year career. John continues to manage the Fund, which is active in a variety of areas including Japan, US energy/technology markets and private equity. He is also a lead investor in efforts to develop high-speed rail between Dallas and Houston. Condoleezza Rice is the Tad and Dianne Taube Director of the Hoover Institution and a Senior Fellow on Public Policy. She is the Denning Professor in Global Business and the Economy at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. In addition, she is a founding partner of Rice, Hadley, Gates & Manuel LLC, an international strategic consulting firm. ABOUT THE BOOK A Texas businessman travels to the furthest reaches of post-Soviet Russia in search of the country's new wealth ― and finds new dangers as well. Based on true events. After the demise of the Soviet Union, the newly-established Russian government privatized its industry by issuing vouchers to all of its citizens, allowing them the chance to be shareholders in the country's burgeoning businesses. The slips are distributed among the population and auctions are arranged where they can be exchanged for actual shares. For the country's rural populations living in abject poverty, the vouchers appear to be little more than pieces of paper, totally separated from the far-off concept of potential future fortunes.  But for Texas businessman John Mills and his Czech companion, Petr Kovac, the seemingly-valueless chits suggest a lucrative potential, worth much more than what the current owners are willing to sell them for. They travel to the furthest, coldest reaches of the country to acquire vouchers for the country's national oil company, Gazneft, roving from town to town with suitcases full of cash. But they quickly learn that the plan has complications ― for example, the fact that the auctions at which these vouchers are traded for actual shares have been planned at the most remote, inaccessible locations possible to deter outsiders from buying in. And when the Russian mafia and the oligarchs in charge of Gazneft catch wind of their successes, the stakes become suddenly more deadly. A thrilling adventure inspired by true events, The Siberia Job charts a course through one of the most impactful periods in recent Russian history, whose reverberations continue to be felt in the present day.

Mr. Henry Sokolski and Mr. Ezra Cohen will discuss ongoing efforts and recommendations for reforming security classification policy. About the Speakers: Mr. Henry D. Sokolski is the Executive Director of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center, a Washington-based nonprofit organization founded in 1994 to promote a better understanding of strategic weapons proliferation issues among policymakers, scholars, and the media. He teaches graduate-level classes on nuclear policy in Washington, D.C. He is also a Senior Fellow for Nuclear Security Studies at the University of California at San Diego's School of Global Policy and Strategy. From 1989 to 1993, Sokolski served as the Deputy for Nonproliferation Policy in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, for which he received the Secretary of Defense's Medal for Outstanding Public Service. Prior to this, he worked in the Secretary of Defense's Office of Net Assessment on strategic weapons proliferation issues. In addition to his Executive Branch service, Mr. Sokolski worked on the Hill from 1984 through 1988 as senior military legislative aide to Senate Armed Services Committee member Dan Quayle and from 1982 through 1983 as special assistant on nuclear energy matters to TVA Subcommittee Chairman Senator Gordon J. Humphrey. He also worked as a consultant on nuclear weapons proliferation issues to the Intelligence Community's National Intelligence Council; received a Congressional appointment to the Deutch Proliferation Commission, which completed its report in July 1999; served as a member of the Central Intelligence Agency's Senior Advisory Panel from 1995 to 1996; and was a member of the Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism, which operated until 2010. Mr. Sokolski has been a resident fellow at the National Institute for Public Policy, the Heritage Foundation, and the Hoover Institution. He also has taught political science courses at the University of Chicago, Rosary College, Georgetown, and Loyola University. On January 11, 2021, President Donald J. Trump appointed Mr. Ezra Cohen to a three-year term on the PIDB and designated him to serve as Chair for a two-year term that ended on January 10, 2023. Prior to his appointment to the PIDB, Mr. Cohen served in senior leadership positions at the Department of Defense (DoD) and Intelligence Community, most recently as the Acting Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence and Security and Director for Defense Intelligence, Office of the Director of National Intelligence from November 2020 to January 2021. In this role, he exercised authority, direction, and control over the Defense Intelligence Enterprise and Combat Support Agencies. Additionally, he served as the principal civilian intelligence advisor to the Secretary of Defense on all military intelligence related matters, including signals intelligence, human intelligence, sensitive activities, geospatial intelligence, sensitive reconnaissance, counterintelligence, law enforcement, and security. His previous government positions include Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low-Intensity Conflict (SO/LIC); Principal Deputy Assistance Secretary of Defense for SO/LIC; Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Counter-Narcotics and Global Threats; Special Assistant to the President and Senior Director for Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council; Deputy Defense Intelligence Officer for South Asia at the Defense Intelligence Agency; and as a DoD Operations Officer. Mr. Cohen began his government service as an intern researching 1820's tariff legislation in the Center for Legislative Archives, a part of the National Archives and Record Administration. Mr. Cohen has also worked in the private sector for Oracle Corporation. Mr. Cohen received a Bachelor of Arts degree in History from the University of Pennsylvania.

Dr. William Inboden discusses President Reagan's strategy and approach to defeating the Soviet Union towards the end of the Cold War. About the Lecture: With decades of hindsight, the peaceful end of the Cold War seems a foregone conclusion. But in the early 1980s, most experts believed the Soviet Union was strong, stable, and would last into the next century. Ronald Reagan entered the White House with a different view. Rather than seeing the Soviet Union as a rival superpower to be contained, Reagan viewed Soviet Communism as a vile idea to be defeated. Accordingly, he developed a comprehensive strategy designed to deter Soviet strengths, exploit Soviet weaknesses, and bring Soviet communism to a negotiated surrender. About the Speakers: Dr. William Inboden is Executive Director and William Powers, Jr. Chair at the Clements Center for National Security at the University of Texas-Austin. He also serves as Associate Professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs and Editor-in-Chief of the Texas National Security Review. Inboden's other roles include Associate with the National Intelligence Council, Member of the CIA Director's Historical Advisory Panel, and member of the State Department's Historical Advisory Council. Previously he served as Senior Director for Strategic Planning on the National Security Council at the White House, at the Department of State as a Member of the Policy Planning Staff, as a staff member for Representative Tom DeLay and Senator Sam Nunn, and as a Civitas Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. He is a life member of the Council on Foreign Relations, and his commentary has appeared in numerous outlets including the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, National Review, NPR, CNN, and BBC. Inboden is the author or co-editor of four books. His most recent book is The Peacemaker: Ronald Reagan, the Cold War, and the World on the Brink (Dutton, a Penguin Random House imprint 2023). Inboden received his Ph.D. and M.A. degrees in history from Yale University and his A.B. in history from Stanford University. ***Learn more about IWP graduate programs: https://www.iwp.edu/academic-programs/ ***Make a gift to IWP: https://interland3.donorperfect.net/weblink/WebLink.aspx?name=E231090&id=18

Nuclear deterrence has been a cornerstone of U.S. defense since the end of World War II, seeking to protect the country's security and that of its allies by threatening unacceptable damage to any country that might attack with nuclear weapons or by other means. Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has been able to focus on reducing the role and number of nuclear weapons and strengthening nonproliferation. But now big changes are again afoot in the global context . . . will Russia's current modernization of its nuclear arsenal and China's buildup of strategic nuclear forces threaten the viability of the U.S. nuclear deterrent, including the extended deterrence the United States provides to its allies? Is arms control still possible?  China has historically maintained a “minimum” strategic nuclear deterrent but is now engaged in an unprecedented build up and diversification of its nuclear arsenal; a decade from now, it will match if not surpass the United States in deployed weapons. Russia is also upgrading its nuclear weapons, and in February “suspended” its adherence to the New START arms control treaty, which limits U.S. and Russian strategic nuclear weapons to 1,550 deployed warheads each. What are China's and Russia's objectives in accelerating their nuclear weapons programs? How do their nuclear policies relate to their grand strategies and other military activities, such as the war in Ukraine for Russia, and the Chinese buildup of naval forces in the Pacific, and to their perceptions or misperceptions of United States activities? What are the implications for U.S. and world security? To maintain deterrence, will the United States be compelled to match the nuclear arsenals of both Russia and China? What do U.S. allies want and need from the United States and what can they contribute to deterrence?  What are the prospects for arms control, or other strategies to place limits on this potential new nuclear arms race? Do new technologies, such as those for homeland missile defense, offer some escape from the dilemmas of nuclear deterrence? About the Speakers Brad Roberts is the director of the Center for Global Security Research at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, where he recently chaired a study group on China's emergence as a second nuclear peer of the United States. Prior to this position, he was deputy assistant secretary of defense for nuclear and missile defense policy. Dr. Roberts was also a consulting professor at Stanford University and William Perry Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation. Thomas Fingar is a Shorenstein APARC Fellow in the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University. From 2005 through 2008, he served as the first deputy director of national intelligence for analysis and, concurrently, as chairman of the National Intelligence Council. Dr. Fingar served previously as assistant secretary of the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research. SPEAKERS Thomas Fingar Shorenstein APARC Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford University. Brad Roberts Director, Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Dr. Gloria Duffy Ph.D., President and CEO, The Commonwealth Club of California—Moderator In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, we are currently hosting all of our live programming via YouTube live stream. This program was recorded via video conference on May 15th, 2023 by the Commonwealth Club of California. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Summary This week's episode is the result of a collaboration with The Sound, a recent limited series podcast exploring the so-called Havana Syndrome. The guests are host and investigative journalist Nicky Woolf (Twitter), former senior CIA operations officer and sufferer Marc Polymeropoulos (Twitter), and attorney and advocate Mark Zaid (Twitter). What You'll Learn Intelligence What Havana Syndrome is Who it is affecting Theories to explain it The role of intelligence organizations Reflections The unending search for truth  Humanity in the intelligence field  Quotes of the Week "There's a betrayal I felt when the CIA didn't give me the medical attention that I needed. You know, if you're not feeling well and an employee comes to you, send 'em to the doctor. And they weren't able to do that. And to me, that's just a leadership fail for the ages." – Marc Polymeropoulos. Resources  *SpyCasts* The Past 75 Years: A History of the CIA with Rhodri Jeffreys-Jones (2022) Dealing with Russia with Jim Olson (2022) One of the CIA's Most Decorated Field Officers with Marc Polymeropoulos (2021) NatSec and the Law with Mark Zaid (2018) *Beginner Resources* Havana Syndrome: What We Know, B. Tau and W. P. Strobel, The Wall Street Journal (2023) [Short article] What is the “Havana Syndrome?”, Brut America, YouTube (2022) [3 min. video] What is Havana Syndrome?, B. Cuffari, News Medical (2022)  Video Who or What is Behind Havana Syndrome?, Al Jazeera, YouTube (2022) Early Victims of ‘Havana Syndrome' Speak Out About Ongoing Health Struggles, NBC News, YouTube (2021) Primary Sources  Updated Assessment of Anomalous Health Incidents, National Intelligence Council (2023) Anomalous health Incidents: Analysis of Potential Causal Mechanisms, IC Experts Panel (2022) Senate Hearing on the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act of 1978, U.S. Senate (1978) Kissinger Telephone Conversation with Ambassador Dobrynin, National Security Archive (1975) Samuel Koslov Memorandum to the State Department, “Biomedical Phenomena,” National Security Archive (1965) *Wildcard Resource* Havana Syndrome is an example of a toponymic term in the medical field – A name that comes from a geographic place. For more on medical etymology, check out this article that shares the backstory of the name of 7 well-known conditions. 

Neil Wiley has lead some of the US Intelligence Community's most important analytical functions. His career in intelligence began as a Naval Intelligence Officer in an operational intelligence center focused on support to critical operational naval missions. He would later serve joint intelligence missions in Europe, would rise to lead all analytical activities at the Defense Intelligence Agency and in DoD Combatant Commands, and would later serve as the Chairman of the famed National Intelligence Council (NIC). Also served as a senior leader at ODNI, including leading the entire intelligence community as the Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence from May 13, 2020 until February 2021. In this OODAcast we learn some of what made Neil tick, diving into his education, his early career intent, the role of serendipity in helping him transition to the intelligence community, and his approach to leadership and management. We also dive into big issues of optimizing intelligence including ways organizations can help guard against cognitive bias. Neil provides insights into his approaches to: – Training analytical methods and understanding which methods should be applied to which situations – Ways to teach analysts to spot their own cognitive bias and seek to mitigate, and ways to use the benefits of teams to help spot and mitigate analytical flaws – Ways to avoid deception by adversaries – Methods that can improve mental models – The mission of the National Intelligence Council and its key products, including those available to the public – Ways to find balance between the need to serve policy makers and military leaders without being captured by and influenced in appropriately by them – The role of the ODNI, what it is and what it should be – The thesis that the US is about to enter and age of abundance and what this means for the US and the world – What CEOs need to know about geopolitical risk

From 2007-08 Putin came to believe that the West was in decline, degenerate and weak. It's at that moment he pronounced a more assertive Russia, and started to act accordingly on the world stage, and in relations to neighbouring countries, with the invasion of Georgia in 2008, and Crimea in 2014. NATO provocation is one excuse given for Russian aggression and is prominent in domestic Russian propaganda. But it's unlikely he saw NATO as a threat and must have known they had neither the intent nor capability to directly threaten Russian territory. Afterall, why would they when Europe's economy depended on Russian gas and oil? Rather he may have seen NATO as an irritating barrier to his new imperial ambitions to unite the Russian speaking world, and former colonial territories. Dr Fiona Hill is a British-American foreign affairs specialist and author. She is a former official at the U.S. National Security Council, specializing in Russian and European affairs, and was a witness in the November 2019 House hearings during the first impeachment of Donald Trump. She earned a Ph.D. in history from Harvard University in 1998. She currently serves as a Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington and will take up office as Chancellor of Durham University in England in summer of this year. She recently served as deputy assistant to the president and senior director for European and Russian affairs on the National Security Council from 2017 to 2019. From 2006 to 2009, she served as national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at The National Intelligence Council. She is author of “There Is Nothing for You Here: Finding Opportunity in the 21st Century” and co-author of “Mr. Putin: Operative in the Kremlin” (Brookings Institution Press, 2015). Hill has researched and published extensively on issues related to Russia, the Caucasus, Central Asia, regional conflicts, energy, and strategic issues.

Empires rise and fall from Greek and Roman times down to the British and the French to the present-day U.S. Some lasted for centuries others mere decades. There are always new powers that want to rule the roost. For many, military power is closely linked to economic well-being. But once the cash register starts emptying overall decline is not far behind. It's clear that in the 21st-century global dominance is a contest between the U.S. and China. Russia is dangerous but is relatively weak, witness its ineptitude in Ukraine. The National Intelligence Council is a top-level U.S. government agency that produces reports projecting global trends. Not surprisingly, it identifies Beijing as a "potential rival" to Washington that "will probably have the largest economy, surpassing that of the U.S. a few years before 2030."

In this episode of the Futurized  podcast, the topic is: Foresight in US Intelligence. we interview Greg Treverton, Professor of Practice, UCSC, who is a former Chair of the U.S. National Intelligence Council. Futurized goes beneath the trends to track the underlying forces of disruption in tech, policy, business models, social dynamics and the environment. I'm your host, Trond Arne Undheim (@trondau), futurist, scholar, author, investor, and serial entrepreneur. I am a Research scholar in Global Systemic Risk, Innovation, and Policy at Stanford University. Join me as I discuss the societal impact of deep tech such as AI, blockchain, IoT, nanotech, quantum, robotics, and synthetic biology, and tackle topics such as entrepreneurship, trends, or the future of work. On the show, I interview smart people with a soul: founders, authors, executives, and other thought leaders, or even the occasional celebrity. Futurized is a bi-weekly show, preparing YOU to think about how to deal with the next decade's disruption, so you can succeed and thrive no matter what happens. Futurized—conversations that matter. In this conversation, they talk about the many potential risks and uncertainties that could impact the future of humanity. If you're new to the show, seek particular topics, or you are looking for a great way to tell your friends about the show, which we always appreciate, we've got the episode categories. Those are at Futurized.org/episodes. They are collections of your favorite episodes organized by topic, such as Entrepreneurship, Trends, Emerging Tech, or The Future of Work. That'll help new listeners get a taste of everything that we do here, starting with a topic they are familiar with, or want to go deeper in. I am the co-author of Augmented Lean: A human-centric framework for managing frontline operations, and the author of Health Tech: Rebooting Society's Software, Hardware and Mindset, Future Tech: How to Capture Value from Disruptive industry Trends, Pandemic Aftermath: how Coronavirus changes Global Society and Disruption Games: How to Thrive on Serial Failure, and of Leadership From Below: How the Internet Generation Redefines the Workplace. For an overview, go to Trond's Books at Trondundheim.com/books At this stage, Futurized is lucky enough to have several sponsors. To check them out, go to Sponsors | Futurized - thoughts on our emerging future. If you are interested in sponsoring the podcast, or to get an overview of other services provided by the host of this podcast, including how to book him for keynote speeches, please go to Futurized.org / store. We will consider all brands that have a demonstrably positive contribution to the future. Before you do anything else, make sure you are subscribed to our newsletter on Futurized.org, where you can find hundreds of episodes of conversations that matter to the future. I hope you can also leave a positive review on iTunes or in your favorite podcast player--it really matters to the future of this podcast.  

Gerard is a senior fellow with the Economics Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). He joined CSIS after nearly 11 years in the U.S. intelligence community. From 2018 to 2021, DiPippo was a deputy national intelligence officer for economic issues at the National Intelligence Council, where he led the intelligence community's economic analysis of East Asia. He also was a senior economic analyst at the CIA focused on East Asia, South Asia, and global economic issues. In this podcast, we discuss working at the CIA, structural pressures vs zero-COVID policy, how China sees the Russia-Ukraine war, and much more.

When Russia invaded Ukraine in February, the question most analysts were asking was not whether Russia would win. It was how fast. On almost every quantifiable metric from military strength to economic size Russia has decisive advantages over Ukraine. A swift Russian victory appeared inevitable.Of course, that swift victory didn't happen. And in recent weeks, the direction of the war has begun to tilt in Ukraine's direction. On Sept. 6, the Ukrainian military launched a counteroffensive near Kharkiv in northern Ukraine and regained 3,400 square miles of territory in a week — more territory than Russia had captured in the last five months. Analysts are now saying it's unlikely that Vladimir Putin can accomplish one of his chief aims: annexing the Donbas by force.Andrea Kendall-Taylor is the director of the trans-Atlantic security program at the Center for a New American Security. She's a former intelligence officer who, from 2015 to 2018, led strategic analysis on Russia at the National Intelligence Council. When we spoke, she was recently back from a trip to Ukraine. And she believes that the long-term trends favor a Ukrainian victory.In this conversation, Kendall-Taylor helps me understand this watershed moment in the war. We discuss why Ukraine's recent counteroffensive was so significant; how it and other recent developments have hampered Russian morale, manpower and weapons supply; whether sanctions are really influencing Russia's strategy, and how sanctions might get worse; how this conflict is profoundly changing Europe; whether this recent turn of events signals a possible Ukrainian victory; why “personalist dictators” like Putin can be so dangerous when backed into a corner; how likely it is that we'll see stalemate or settlement negotiations in the near future; how Kendall-Taylor rates the likelihood of various outcomes; what we should expect in the next phase of the war and more.Mentioned:“Ukraine Holds the Future” by Timothy Snyder“The Russia-Ukraine War at Six Months” by Adam ToozeRecommendations:Stalin: Paradoxes of Power, 1878-1928 by Stephen KotkinTwitter Accounts to Follow for Russia-Ukraine War Analysis:Michael KofmanRob LeeMick RyanThe Institute for the Study of WarThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.“The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Annie Galvin and Rogé Karma. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris, Mary Marge Locker and Kate Sinclair. Original music by Isaac Jones. Mixing by Sonia Herrero, Isaac Jones and Carole Sabouraud. Audience strategy by Shannon Busta. Special thanks to Kristin Lin, Kristina Samulewski and Emma Ashford.

Summary Bill Parquette (LinkedIn; Website) joins Andrew (Twitter; LinkedIn) to discuss Denial and Deception. They discuss examples such as D-Day, the Yom Kippur War, and the Persian Gulf War. What You'll Learn Intelligence Denial and deception – what it is and why it matters Key examples of denial and deception Detecting denial and deception operations How to avoid seeing monsters everywhere Reflections How to counter denial and deception in everyday life (children, salespeople, etc.)  Stumbling into new roles in new fields And much, much more… Episode Notes Sun Tzu said, “all warfare is based on deception” and so much of the natural world is also based on denial and deception: camouflage, feigning, mimicry, distraction. It is also a feature of our daily 21st century lives: spyware, trojan horses, catfishing, and spear phishing. With this week's guest we look at the Denial and Deception Committee, which aimed to discover and mitigate foreign denial and deception operations against the U.S. by coordinating efforts throughout the IC. Bill Parquette was a former Chair of the Committee. He joined the Committee in 2002 and left in 2015. He was formerly a Lt. Col. In the U.S. Army, starting his career with 10 years in the 82nd Airborne, and is currently Professor of Practice at Penn State University.  And… The episode looks at deceiving others but the human capacity for self-deception and denial is VAST – from head in the sand, plugging your ears, living in denial, willful ignorance, and cognitive dissonance through to doublethink.  Quote of the Week "If I have an audience of one or 100, I ask does anyone have children? And the hands get raised. And then I said, okay, did you teach your child deception or denial? And of course not. Do they conduct denial or deception? And they all said yeah, it's throughout nature, it's throughout society…it's a natural thing to deny. I didn't mom I didn't take that cookie." – Bill Parquette Resources Headline Resources “Countering Foreign Denial & Deception – Rise of Fall of a Discipline” – J. Bruce, Studies in Intelligence, 64/1 (2020)  “Denial & Deception Issue,” American Intelligence, 32/2 (2015) Andrew's Recommendation “D-Day Would be Nearly Impossible to Pull Off Today,” D. Lupton, WaPo (2019) *SpyCasts* “Deceiving the Iraqis in Operation Desert Storm” – with BGen Tom Draude (2013) “Agent Garbo” – with Stephan Talty (2012) “Identity, Espionage and Social Media” – with Thomas Ryan (2011) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Beginner Resources Deception at D-Day, Army Uni. Press (2022) [video] The True Story of the D-Day Spies, BBC (2014) [video] Operation Bodyguard Map, Eisenhower Foundation (n.d.) [map] Books History of the National Intelligence Council, Hutchings &. Treverton, eds. (OUP, 2019) Practice to Deceive, B. Whaley (NIP, 2016) The Watchman Fell Asleep, U. Bar-Joseph (SUNY, 2005) The Deceivers, T. Holt (Scribner, 2004) Deception 101, J. Caddell (Army War College, 2004) Strategic Denial and Deception, Godson & Wirtz eds. (Transaction, 2002) Deception in War, J. Latimer (Overlook, 2001) Videos The War in October, Al Jazeera (2013) Primary Sources  US-PLO Contacts During War, Oct 26, 1973 Secretary's Staff Meeting, Oct 23, 1973 Sadat - Speech Calling for Arab-Israeli Peace Conference, Oct 16, 1973 Arab-Israel Tensions – Quandt to Scowcroft, Oct 6, 1973 Ultra – Marshall to Eisenhower, Mar 15, 1944 Overall Deception Policy, Jan 22, 1944 Deception Operations Around England, Dec 18, 1943 Overlord Cover Operation, Nov 20, 1943 *Wildcard Resource* Movies to explore on deception include Deception (1946), The Sting (1973), The Usual Suspects (1995), Donnie Brasco (1997), Female Agents (2008) and Operation Mincemeat (2021), 

Gerard DiPippo is a senior fellow with the economics program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Previously, he spent 11 years in the US intelligence community as a deputy national intelligence officer for economic issues at the National Intelligence Council and as a senior economic analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency. In this bonus segment from the previous conversation, David and Gerard discuss the recent Senate report which details the Chinese Government's decade-long campaign to infiltrate the US Federal Reserve System. Gerard brings his expertise in both national security and monetary policy to this conversation with David to shed some light on this news story.   Transcript for the episode can be found here.   Gerard's Twitter: @gdp1985 Gerard's CSIS profile   David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!   Related Links:   *China Targeted Fed to Build Informant Network and Access Data, Probe Finds* by Kate O'Keeffe and Nick Timiraos   *China targets Fed to Gain Influence, Senator Charges, Drawing Powell Rebuke* by Kate Davidson   *China's Threat to the Fed: Chinese Influence and Information Theft at U.S. Federal Reserve Banks* Minority Staff Report, Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs

Gerard DiPippo is a senior fellow with the economics program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Previously, he spent 11 years in the US intelligence community as a deputy national intelligence officer for economic issues at the National Intelligence Council and as a senior economic analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency. Gerard joins Macro Musings to talk about the Russia Sanctions, the global monetary system, demographics, and other economic issues viewed through the lens of national security. He and David also discuss the lessons from the Russia sanctions, dollar dominance as a disciplinary tool, the implications of global population decline, why economic security means national security, and more.   Transcript for the episode can be found here.   Gerard's Twitter: @gdp1985 Gerard's CSIS profile   David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox!   Related Links:   *Strangling the Bear? The Sanctions on Russia After Four Months* by Gerard DiPippo   *Deterrence First: Applying Lessons From Sanctions on Russia to China* by Gerard DiPippo   *Global Population Growth Hits Lowest Rate Since 1950* by Valentina Romei and Alan Smith

Summary Ellen McCarthy (Twitter; LinkedIn) joins Andrew (Twitter; LinkedIn) to discuss her career and time as head of the State Department's intelligence agency. INR is one of the 18 U.S. intelligence agencies. What You'll Learn Intelligence Her start as a Soviet submarine analyst in the Office of Naval Intelligence  Bringing the U.S. Coast Guard intel. program into the Intelligence Community (IC)  Working for DoD and Geospatial-Intelligence Why she admires the Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR)  Reflections Government/for-profit/non-profit life Managing complexity and change  And much, much more… Episode Notes Imagine seeing a pyramid from different angles and different heights instead of from one vantage point? You get a better sense of what it truly looks like, its dimensions, colors, idiosyncrasies, and the shadows it casts, right? Ellen McCarthy has seen more of the U.S. Intelligence Community (IC) pyramid than most: she started as a junior analyst for the U.S. Navy Office of Naval Intelligence and ended up as the head of the State Dept.'s Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR). Along the way, she was with the U.S. Coast Guard, in the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, and at the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency.  Quite the journey, I am sure you will agree… And… INR has been called the “biggest little intelligence shop in town” and its morning intelligence summary, “Better than Wheaties.” The NYT called it the “least wrong” intelligence agency on Iraq possessing weapons of mass destruction (WMD), and it has been credited for a more accurate assessment of Ukraine's ability to withstand Russia than its peers. “They get paid attention to because they're good and they tend to be contrarian,” notes a former chair of the National Intelligence Council. How do they manage this? Well, big question, but the deep, deep expertise of their staff – who are on average on their regional or functional area for over a decade – as well as an “intolerance for mediocrity” would be good places to start. Quote of the Week "The Geographer of the United States sits in INR. I don't think a lot of people know that. So, when there's a boundary dispute or you've got countries trying to build islands, it's INR that's actually working what the legal boundaries are. The other thing that INR does that a lot of folks don't know about is polling. Polling in the intelligence community is conducted at INR…And I will tell you that the polling capability at INR is the best I've ever seen." – Ellen McCarthy  Resources *SpyCasts* “State Department Intelligence: Inside the INR” – INR Leadership (2020) Beginner Resources Bureau of Intelligence and Research, Wikipedia [webpage] Learn About the Smallest Organization in the IC, YouTube (n.d.) [1:45 minute] Geographer of the United States, YouTube, (2011) [13:24 minute] Books “Intelligence Informs Policymaking at DoS: INR,” T. King in T. Juneau, ed. Strategic Analysis in Support of Policymaking, R&L (2017), pp. 95-110. Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis & National Security, T. Fingar, SUP (2011) INR, Intelligence & Research at State, U.S. DoS (1973) Article The U.S. Intelligence Community Needs a ‘Wild Bill' Moment, E. McCarthy & M. Scott, Cipher Brief (2021) Video SPYCHAT: Ellen McCarthy & Chris Costa, YouTube (2021) The New IC: Ellen McCarthy Keynote, YouTube (2019) FedMentor: NGA's Ellen McCarthy, YouTube (2014) Primary Sources INR: 2025 Strategic Plan (2022) Oral History with Teresita Schaeffer (1998) Oral History with Thomas F. Conlon (1992) Oral History with Frank Burnet, (1990) Oral History with Daniel Zachary (1989) *Wildcard Resource* The Ralph J. Bunche Library State Dept. Library named after OSS intelligence analyst, diplomat & Nobel Prize Winner Dr. Bunche

Summary Ellen McCarthy (Twitter; LinkedIn) joins Andrew (Twitter; LinkedIn) to discuss her career and time as head of the State Department's intelligence agency. INR is one of the 18 U.S. intelligence agencies. What You'll Learn Intelligence Her start as a Soviet submarine analyst in the Office of Naval Intelligence  Bringing the U.S. Coast Guard intel. program into the Intelligence Community (IC)  Working for DoD and Geospatial-Intelligence Why she admires the Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR)  Reflections Government/for-profit/non-profit life Managing complexity and change  And much, much more… Episode Notes Imagine seeing a pyramid from different angles and different heights instead of from one vantage point? You get a better sense of what it truly looks like, its dimensions, colors, idiosyncrasies, and the shadows it casts, right? Ellen McCarthy has seen more of the U.S. Intelligence Community (IC) pyramid than most: she started as a junior analyst for the U.S. Navy Office of Naval Intelligence and ended up as the head of the State Dept.'s Bureau of Intelligence and Research (INR). Along the way, she was with the U.S. Coast Guard, in the Office of the Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, and at the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency.  Quite the journey, I am sure you will agree… And… INR has been called the “biggest little intelligence shop in town” and its morning intelligence summary, “Better than Wheaties.” The NYT called it the “least wrong” intelligence agency on Iraq possessing weapons of mass destruction (WMD), and it has been credited for a more accurate assessment of Ukraine's ability to withstand Russia than its peers. “They get paid attention to because they're good and they tend to be contrarian,” notes a former chair of the National Intelligence Council. How do they manage this? Well, big question, but the deep, deep expertise of their staff – who are on average on their regional or functional area for over a decade – as well as an “intolerance for mediocrity” would be good places to start. Quote of the Week "The Geographer of the United States sits in INR. I don't think a lot of people know that. So, when there's a boundary dispute or you've got countries trying to build islands, it's INR that's actually working what the legal boundaries are. The other thing that INR does that a lot of folks don't know about is polling. Polling in the intelligence community is conducted at INR…And I will tell you that the polling capability at INR is the best I've ever seen." – Ellen McCarthy  Resources *SpyCasts* “State Department Intelligence: Inside the INR” – INR Leadership (2020) Beginner Resources Bureau of Intelligence and Research, Wikipedia [webpage] Learn About the Smallest Organization in the IC, YouTube (n.d.) [1:45 minute] Geographer of the United States, YouTube, (2011) [13:24 minute] Books “Intelligence Informs Policymaking at DoS: INR,” T. King in T. Juneau, ed. Strategic Analysis in Support of Policymaking, R&L (2017), pp. 95-110. Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis & National Security, T. Fingar, SUP (2011) INR, Intelligence & Research at State, U.S. DoS (1973) Article The U.S. Intelligence Community Needs a ‘Wild Bill' Moment, E. McCarthy & M. Scott, Cipher Brief (2021) Video SPYCHAT: Ellen McCarthy & Chris Costa, YouTube (2021) The New IC: Ellen McCarthy Keynote, YouTube (2019) FedMentor: NGA's Ellen McCarthy, YouTube (2014) Primary Sources INR: 2025 Strategic Plan (2022) Oral History with Teresita Schaeffer (1998) Oral History with Thomas F. Conlon (1992) Oral History with Frank Burnet, (1990) Oral History with Daniel Zachary (1989) *Wildcard Resource* The Ralph J. Bunche Library State Dept. Library named after OSS intelligence analyst, diplomat & Nobel Prize Winner Dr. Bunche