Podcast appearances and mentions of stephen stanley

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Best podcasts about stephen stanley

Latest podcast episodes about stephen stanley

What Else? with Corey Mann
Episode 292 Stephen Stanley

What Else? with Corey Mann

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 24:14


Stephen Stanley is ready for you to hear his second album, "Trustfall".  What did he learn from his debut album, what's different the 2nd time around?  What will the tour sound and look like?  Throw in some dad vibes, (he has a 3 year old and a brand new baby as we record this), and you have a tasty second appearance of a very talented young man. Go back and listen to the first album, seriously.  Email the podcast  whatelsewithcoreymann@gmail.comFollow on Instagram @mrcoreymann Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/what-else-with-corey-mann--5802358/support.

Christian Music Guys Podcast
Episode 223 | Stephen Stanley

Christian Music Guys Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 25, 2025 42:33


On today's show, we chat with Stephen Stanley!On his album, Trustfall..“I wrote ‘this far down' during a time when I felt like I didn't belong anywhere. I knew it wasn't true, but the feeling was still there. Rejection is a part of life, and I tried to cope with it through anger—but that's not a path that leads to life. Trusting God and focusing on what truly matters… that's what helps me,” shares Stanley.With 173 million global career artist streams and a rapidly growing digital presence—including over 1 million TikTok followers—Stephen is making a major impact in the music world. His viral hit, Whatever It Takes, has already surpassed 34 million global streams, resonating with audiences everywhere. Stephen's music has also found a home in major pop culture moments, with placements in the trailer for My Penguin Friend, ABC's Station 19, and a Golden Buzzer moment on Britain's Got Talent. His ability to connect with fans through both his music and storytelling makes his talent undeniable. stephenstanleymusic.com@stephenstanleymusicchristianmusicguys.com@christianmusicguys

Christian Music Bros Podcast
Trustfall and Other Things With Stephen Stanley

Christian Music Bros Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2025 19:07


Stephen Stanley recently made an appearance on the Christian Music Bros Podcast, where he shared insights about his upcoming album "Trustfall." During the conversation, he reflected on his debut album and the experiences that shaped his musical journey. Stanley also discussed his new tour, providing listeners with a glimpse of what to expect. Additionally, he entertained the audience with some lighthearted stories that highlight his personality and passion for music.

Graventown
Episode 73: Hibernation Station/Year In Rearview

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 26, 2024 28:07


Friends. Been in the creative womb lately and just trying to listen to my inner quiet  during this loud oncoming holiday season. I also took a bit of a lookback in my existential rearview mirror to appreciate some hefty tour-highway highlights of 2024. Pull up a stoop and come on down to old memory oak tree, acorns. You're loved.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 72: Less Shouting; More Listening

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 20, 2024 26:58


Hello friends. Well it sure has been a few milliseconds since I popped out a sonic egg of truth into the mental incubator of the podcast ethersphere. This one was meant to be more of an encouragement and a note of hope after all of the strange ingredients were ground and sprinkled into the bizarro political stew of our southerly neighbours. I hope it finds you well. And remember; no one in political power can take away who you are. I love you.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 71: The Friendly Ghost Of The Coast

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2024 29:38


Friends;  what a special episode indeed because as you hear this, I'll most likely be in the friendly Atlantic Canadian skies, drinking a morning beer on Porter Airlines, as I'm taking a little mental trip eastward to visit some friends in PEI and Halifax. Those two places will always have special meaning and emit warm glow sprinkles deep in the cockles of my heart - and I feel like that part of my tank needs to be refilled. Not playing any shows. No business. Just a getaway. Enjoy my love song for the Atlantic Ocean. Hugs and kisses on all your brain parts.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 70: When You Think You've Rolled With It For Too Long, Just Keep On Rollin'

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2024 34:30


Hello Graventown residents. Sorry for the delay - I was fairly truculent with Tuesday uploads for a while and then some life stuff happened. You understand. At any rate, somehow we are here on the wild frontier of 70 episodes. Seventy. Sh*t. You don't know whether to laugh or cry. I hope you enjoy my post-tour unpacking and existential catching up. May you be comforted today! Stay tuned for a special episode (71) coming out Tuesday (yes - Tuesday! I mean it this time)You are loved.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

America Can We Talk w/ Debbie Georgatos
Interviews with Darrell Day, Aimee Ramsey, Stephen Stanley, & Jason Metcalf (Full Episode) | ACWT Interviews 10.24.24

America Can We Talk w/ Debbie Georgatos

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 24, 2024 63:52


Interviews with Darrell DayCandidate for US Congress, Texas CD 32, DayForTexas.com @DayforTexasAimee Ramsey         Candidate for Texas State House,  HD114. RamseyForHouse.com. @RamseyForHouseStephen StanleyCandidate for Texas State House HD113. StanleyForTexasHouse.com  @stanleyfortexashouseJason Metcalf:          Candidate for Dallas County Commissioner Dst. 1.  JasonMetcalfForDallas.com  @Metcalf4DallasFollow Debbie Georgatos, America Can We Talk Show HostWebsite: http://americacanwetalk.orgTwitter: @DebbieCanWeTalkTruth: https://truthsocial.com/@AmericaCanWeTalkInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/debbiecanwetalkFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/AmericaCanWeTalkRumble: https://rumble.com/user/AmericaCanWeTalkOBBM: https://www.obbmnetwork.tv/series/america-can-we-talk-207873America Can We Talk is a show with a mission — to speak up for the extraordinary and unique greatness of America. I talk about the top issues of the day facing America, often with insightful guests, always from the perspective of furthering that mission, and with the goal to inspire listeners to celebrate and embrace the liberty on which America was founded. #BecauseAmericaMatters

Graventown
Episode 69: Interview w/ Christina Martin and Dale Murray

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2024 58:31


Friends. Sometimes you get the egg whites, and sometimes you get the meaty yolks. Christina Martin is my sister from another mister who I've never even met - a and a multi award winning music maker and singer-songwriter from the east coast of Canada (and you can read all about her awesome accolades here)  but I had the chance to have her back for round deux of Graventown -  and this time, her rad partner and musical superstar collaborator and producer Dale Martin (google that guy for an impressive musical rap sheet) was able to join as well. I think we a had fun, disjointed, awesome, heartfelt, bizarre and sweet convo together about love, mental health, musical friends, the  start of the lockdown days and so much more. I hope it finds  you well.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 68: Interview w/ Byron Bertram

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2024 29:48


Friends - welcome back to the G-town get-down yet again. Musicians and comedians often feel like we are distant relatives; there's a correlation but we can't exactly put our finger on that common throughline. But also, with any performer, there's something beautiful about being out of the spotlight and just laughing. My guest today is one of the funniest people I follow online and he keeps getting  funnier by the day; Byron Bertram. Like a bird flu on an international flight, Byron Bertram travels well. His innate talent for voices and accents and confident vulnerability have taken him worldwide and established him internationally as one of the world's top Canadian comics. He has worked on stage with the likes of Zach Galifianakis, Flight of the Concords, and Eddie Izzard; was a hit with the judges on Brits Got Talent, has been seen on ABC's Once Upon a Time, Dirks Gently, Riverdale, and heard regularly on SiriusXM. His new comedy special "Live At The Biltmore" (released under the massive comedy label 800 Pound Gorilla) will air on YouTube on November 10th. Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 67: Interview w/ Ron Hawkins

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2024 53:28


Friends, countryfolk and city scoundrels; hello. This was an extra special cake and ice cream episode of Graventown because I got to talk with someone I deeply respect and admire (and whom I have such a lovely conversational shorthand with)  - Ron Hawkins. He's not just a sweet musical pal, incredible painter and past touring partner of the Gravenator. No, no, friends. Don't box him in. Ron Hawkins has long been revered as one of Canada's greatest contemporary singer-songwriters. As lead singer/multi-instrumentalist and main songwriter of Canada's legendary Lowest of the Low, Ron Hawkins has enjoyed many accolades through the years: In 1996, 2000 and again in 2005, Chart Magazine honoured the group's 1991 debut album, Shakespeare My Butt, with spots in the top 10 of the Top 100 Canadian Albums of All Time. In 2000 and once again in 2015, Hawkins was voted Songwriter of the Year by NOW Magazine's reader's poll.  Also in 2000, Ron received Toronto station 102.1 The Edge's Lifetime Achievement Award. And in that same year, Ron Hawkins and the Rusty Nails won album of the year at The Indie Awards, for their album Crackstatic. In 2008 The Lowest of the Low was inducted into the Canadian Indie Rock Hall of Fame and awarded gold records for Shakespeare My Butt. It was a delight to roll around in the wild grey matter of this  multi-project/multi-faceeted lovely guy's brainpan for almost an hour. I hope you enjoy listening as much as I did chatting with the ever-soaring/ever-seeking Hawkman.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

The JOY FM Podcast
Talk To Me: Stephen Stanley

The JOY FM Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 27, 2024 17:05


In this episode, Candice sits down with JOY FM first timer Steven Stanley to talk about the concept of self-worth, finding identity in faith, and the journey of parenthood. Steven shares his insights on the rapid changes in parenting, the importance of perspective in life, and how his music career has been influenced by his personal experiences and faith. He also discusses his latest song 'Whatever It Takes,' the influence of 2000s rock on his music, and his mental health journey that led to writing over 300 songs. Additionally, Steven shares some light-hearted moments, including his conspiracy theories, favorite travel spots, and movie analysis hobbies. Tune in for an engaging conversation filled with wisdom, humor, and heartfelt reflections. .... Want to watch this episode? Head over to The JOY FM's YouTube Channel to watch the full conversation! And don't forget to like and subscribe! .... For more content from The JOY FM, you can find us on Instagram, Facebook, TikTok and on our website!

Graventown
Episode 66: Golden Hour Power

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2024 21:30


Friends! Here's one I ripped off into the universe from the municipal roads of Nepean. Just some post thoughts and ponderings. I hope they find you well in the continuation of this glorious fall weather. I'm just getting to a place where I'm trying to embrace the love in my life and not wanting that to wane. For a long time, I've had a blockage that would stop me from those feels. Well - here's me. Trying to accept. Trying to get there. Thanks for being here! Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 65: Get Back To Gratitude

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2024 24:20


Friends. I hope this G-man solo ear candy store visit finds you well. Adulting. Music. Gratitude. All these themes and more are in this episode. I hope it hits you in the heart cockles. You're loved.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 64: Interview w/ Matt Beisner

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2024 40:54


Graventowners and Getdowners; welcome back. As I continue to pump these episodes out into the ethersphere, I'm so stunned and thankful to meet and connect with some pretty lovely and special folks in this space. Matt Beisner is no exception to that rule. I actually became friends with him on IG before I knew what he was all about and I appreciated his positive outlook and love for dogs - but Matt Beisner (founder of his company THE ZEN DOG) is actually a world renowned certified professional dog trainer and the star of "Dog: Impossible" (a series on Disney+) and was a guest speaker on Netflix's "Inside the Mind of a Dog". Based in Austin TX, Matt specializes in common, confusing, reactive and aggressive behaviors in dogs, and Matt's humane approach is guided by evidence-based positive reinforcement, to help humans get their dog's needs met and improve their quality of life as a whole. We had a pretty beautiful and all-encompassing chat and I hope it finds you well. Thank you for being you and for keeping your dial on Graventown FM. Y'are loved.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 63: Interview Two w/ Stephen Stanley

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2024 49:02


Well hey friends. I'm trying to get back into the podcast fray and I always appreciate your ears and support. Starting in September, I'm gonna be riding roughshod across the rugged Ontario terrain with a great friend and an even greater music maker; Stephen Stanley. Wolfe Island-based singer-songwriter and guitarist Stephen Stanley may most immediately be known as a founding member, lead guitarist and vocalist with the acclaimed early 90's alt-rock band "The Lowest of the Low". Since those days, Stephen has gone on to release some of his finest music of all time with "The Stephen Stanley Band" and their new album, Before The Collapse Of The Hive (Wolfe Island Records), is a multi dimensional banger. It's an album brimming with raw, unflinching urgency, steadfast observation and soul-searching storytelling that highlights Stephen's immediate world: those he loves, and those he's lost. This was my second chat with Stephen and we had a lovely time. For tickets and times on our Ontario tour in September, go to https://graven.ca for more info. I love you.Catch me in a town near you (as I head out on tour soon with Stephen Stanley from The Lowest of the Low and The Stephen Stanley Band) by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Catholic Military Life
Admiral P. Stephen Stanley On Father Capodanno Mas

Catholic Military Life

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2024 29:59


In this episode retired Vice-Admiral P. Stephen Stanley, Chairman of the Father Vincent Capdanno Guild, provides an update on Father Capodanno's Cause for Canonization and talks about the upcoming Memorial Mass for his repose.

Tell the Band to Go Home/Steel Belted Radio Podcasts

Episode #1039 New music, an appealing upcoming show, a Victoria Day visit with Dave, oral hygiene with Ron, classic Canadiana, and a 4:00 feature looking at the career of our dear friend and supporter, Stephen Stanley! playlist: https://wp.me/p1lizT-fDN

Tell the Band to Go Home/Steel Belted Radio Podcasts
May 19, 2024 part 3 - 4:00 Feature, Stephen Stanley Band(s)

Tell the Band to Go Home/Steel Belted Radio Podcasts

Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2024 56:55


https://stephenstanleyband.com/ https://stephenstanleyband.bandcamp.com/ playlist: https://wp.me/p1lizT-fDN

Dawn and Steve Mornings
Stephen Stanley on Moody Tunes

Dawn and Steve Mornings

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2024 42:15 Transcription Available


Musician Stephen Stanley is live in-studio for Moody Tunes! Stephen shares his encouraging music, what it was like to grow up as a pastor's kid, and how he came to a personal faith in Christ. At the age of nine, the Mansfield, Georgia artist learned to play his mother's guitar after an accident that rendered him deaf in his left ear, and quickly uncovered an innate musicality and remarkable gift for melody. By age 13, he had added piano and drums to his repertoire, in addition to writing songs and leading worship at church where his father served as pastor. Over the last decade, Stanley has honed a distinct and dynamic voice as a musician, bringing both raw emotion and a profound sense of purpose to everything he creates.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Hunters Bay Radio
McLean & Co ~ March 31 2024 ~ Stephen Stanley

Hunters Bay Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 2, 2024 22:27


McLean & Co ~ March 31 2024 ~ Stephen Stanley

Social Animals
Simon Head

Social Animals

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2024 76:47


This week I am hanging out with Simon Head Simon is a Simon is a Canadian musician, documentarian, tour manager and dad. Simon found Social Animals because he just finished a documentary called ‘Subversives: History of Lowest of the Low' who's lead singer, Stephen Stanley was a recent guest and features other Social Animals like Alan Cross and mother of Sameer Cash, the trailblazing Sandy Pandya. We talk about taking magic mushrooms, being on tour, what we would do if we didn't have jobs and we ruminate on the behaviour of cats. You can follow Simon Head here: www.apologue.ca Subscribe to automatically get Simon Head's episode and more episodes of Social Animals. Subscribe on all the channels at https://socialanimals.ca/ Tell your friends, comment below and enjoy the stories! Thanks for listening!  

No Sleep Til Sudbury with Brent Jensen
NSTS Episode 269 - The Return of Stephen Stanley

No Sleep Til Sudbury with Brent Jensen

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2024 50:52


Singer songwriter and friend of the show Stephen Stanley makes his long awaited return to NSTS this week, joining me live to chat about his excellent new record, Before The Collapse Of The Hive.  The new record is a triumph - Stephen once again weaves vivid visual landscapes as an accomplished lyricist, but this time he goes further by fusing his familiar brand of rootsy Americana to new elements, resulting in a much different record than Jimmy & The Moon. We go through the songs together, and Stephen dissects them with his usual wit and insight. No wonder the guy's been on the show like, 46 times.          

Social Animals
Stephen Stanley

Social Animals

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2024 49:02


This week I am hanging out with Stephen Stanley Today I'm hanging out with Stephen Stanley. Stephen is a musician who helped found the Canadian Alternative Rock Pioneers Lowest of the Low and pilot them through the Indie Boom of the 90s. And now he's doing it all again with his solo project The Stephen Stanley Band. We talk about growing up in Toronto, the legendary DJ Dave Bookman, touring, his new album ‘Before the Collapse of the Hive' and more. You can follow Stephen Stanley here: https://stephenstanleyband.com/ https://stephenstanleyband.bandcamp.com/ https://www.instagram.com/stephenstanley/ Subscribe to automatically get Stephen Stanley's episode and more episodes of Social Animals. Subscribe on all the channels at https://socialanimals.ca/ Tell your friends, comment below and enjoy the stories! Thanks for listening!  

Apologue Podcast
#355 Stephen Stanley

Apologue Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 22, 2024 66:39


The Stephen Stanley Band's is happy to introduce their new album, Before The Collapse Of The Hive (Wolfe Island Records). It's an album brimming with raw, unflinching urgency, steadfast observation and soul-searching storytelling that highlights Stephen's immediate world: those he loves, and those he's lost.  Recording the album on on Wolfe Island became an integrated life experience. Start and stop times were not regimented. “Often, we'd go and play a set at the Hotel Wolfe Island (co-owned by album producer and album contributor, Hugh Christopher Brown) and recording would just take place around the timing of the show.” Except for Kate Fenner, Michael Blake and Ron Hawkins, outside of his band, everyone who played on the new record lives on Wolfe Island. A wonderful stable of players and singers, deeply affected the sound of this new work, produced again, by Hugh Christopher Brown. The Stephen Stanley Band's internationally acclaimed record, Jimmy & the Moon (2017), saw Stephen and his band going into the studio with a clutch of songs they had spent a long time pre-producing. Before The Collapse Of The Hive was very different. Due to long periods of time where no one could get together, six songs on this record were entirely new, starting off with acoustic guitar and vocals and building the songs from there. If Jimmy & the Moon was loosely written about Toronto and the changes the city has gone through in his time, this album looks deeper at our collective place in a world seemingly falling apart. It's a continued conversation between Stephen and his close friend and beloved radio enigma, Dave Bookman, whom Stephen shared the loss of, just prior to starting to work on these songs – two of which are in honour of that friendship and reflecting on the time spent finding the words for such an unexpected goodbye. “‘Before the Collapse of the Hive' – man, that title means so many different things to me as I write this. Some of which will be obvious, others which are mine alone. Bandcamp: https://continentalrecordservices.bandcamp.com/album/before-the-collapse-of-the-hivewebsite: https://stephenstanleyband.com/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/sstanleyband This episode is brought to you byGo to BETTERHELP.com/apologue for confidential online counselling.use the code word Apologue for a 7 day free trial Pledge monthly with Patreon https://www.patreon.com/apologueShop Apologue products at http://apologue.ca/shop Go get the 1 hour mini Documentary on Lowest of the Low's Classic Album Shakespeare my Butt at https://thelowdoc.gumroad.com/l/SMB

Toronto Mike'd Podcast
Stephen Stanley: Toronto Mike'd #1378

Toronto Mike'd Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 1, 2023 81:38


In this 1378th episode of Toronto Mike'd, Mike catches up with Stephen Stanley, talking Bookie, the new Lowest of the Low documentary, his new album and more before he whips out his guitar and plays live in the TMDS studio. Toronto Mike'd is proudly brought to you by Great Lakes Brewery, Palma Pasta, Ridley Funeral Home, Electronic Products Recycling Association, Raymond James Canada and Moneris. If you would like to support the show, we do have partner opportunities available. Please email Toronto Mike at mike@torontomike.com

Think. Live. Repeat.
Stephen Stanley - “It's a lot of Bad Songs.” Ep. 67

Think. Live. Repeat.

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2023 40:50


They say music is the universal language because it can transcend language barriers and go straight to the heart. Today's guest is singer/songwriter Stephen Stanley and he's taken that concept to a whole new level. I've personally listened to his newest album Divided Frame of Mind more than any other album this year and he masterfully weaves an entire narrative throughout each song. He's got an incredible ability to take his own journey and relate it to people from all walks of life...I promise you won't be disappointed!Hailing from Mansfield, Georgia, Stephen started playing his mother's guitar at the age of nine after an accident left him deaf in one ear, discovering an innate musical ability and a talent for melody. By 13, he expanded his skills to piano and drums, writing songs and leading worship at his father's church. Over the last decade, Stanley has honed a distinct voice, infusing every note with raw emotion and a profound sense of purpose.2023 marked the release of his first album and tour, and rest assured he's just getting started!Check out Stephen's website: https://www.stephenstanleymusic.com/Give Stephen's music a listen on Apple & Spotify:Apple: https://music.apple.com/us/artist/stephen-stanley/28074609Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/artist/5uGLuPqfATGbvk6shtjDoX?si=midg5DlUSRCDKpYVXew8pA&nd=1&dlsi=4f0726d855b04a81Follow & interact with Stephen on Instagram, TikTok & YouTube:https://www.instagram.com/stephenstanleymusichttps://www.tiktok.com/@stephenstanleymusichttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCOPjB5CJx9pJlaTvp8FsnPgFollow me on Instagram @ johnskomski for daily intrapreneurial motivation and learn more about Investing Inward at https://jskomski.com/Music: Hindsight (Instrumental) by Fivefold (used with written permission)

Bloomberg Surveillance
Surveillance: BOJ Kicks Off Central Bank Decisions

Bloomberg Surveillance

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2023 35:00 Transcription Available


Mark McCormick, TD Bank Global Head of FX & EM Strategy, analyzes the Bank of Japan's decision to loosen its grip on government bond yields. John Stoltzfus, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says the Fed's sensitivity has enabled the resilience of the US consumer. Aaron David Miller, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Senior Fellow, discusses the latest in the Israel-Hamas war. Stephen Stanley, Santander Chief US Economist, says the Fed has overstated the importance of the recent surge in US treasury yields. Emily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management Co-Chief Investment Strategist, says the US economy hasn't yet felt the sting of the Fed's recent rate hikes.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance      FULL TRANSCRIPT:     This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keane, along with Jonathan Farrow and Lisa Abramowitz. Join us each day for insight from the best and economics, geopolitics, finance and investment. Subscribe to Bloomberg Surveillance on demand on Apple, Spotify and anywhere you get your podcasts, and always on Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Terminal and the Bloomberg Business App. We are living it right now. A brief from Mark McCormick, Global Head of Foreign Exchange in EM Strategy TD Securities. Mark, and why don't you to explain to our audience why a super strong dollars from twenty twelve and a super week yen is disturbing? Well, I think of what it does is it just shows the massive divergence you have between central banks. I think one of the things that you can unpack is there are certain currencies that care about growth, there's certain currencies that care about commodities, there's certain currencies that care about different relative central bank functions. The thing that the end cares a lot about is the ten year point to look at euro. Euro cares about the two year point of the curve. More than say the ten year and if you take the combination of what we had, and this is one of the most important things going on effects is the relative terms of trade shift. Japan is also a massive importer of energy and other commodities. So you take the commodity story, you take the great differential story, and now you take the aggressive bear steepening of the US curves this summer, and you've got basically a trifective things that will weaken the end quite considerably unless the BOJ does something well to the trifecta. Let's go to Mondel of Columbia. I mentioned this with Vice Chairman Clara to the other day. He will join US folks for our special FED coverage. Look for that? Is that tomorrow? Yes, it's tomorrow. The FED meeting is too more might people have just briefed me and Mark I'm looking at that. I want to echo what I talked to Professor Clara about, which is something has to give here. When something gives, what is the instability our audiences should be worried about? Well, I think of the context of the end, what needs to give is the actual the currency itself. As you mentioned, there is a very interesting policy mix where fiscal policy is actually quite favorable in forms of in terms of growth, also inflation. You see the BOJ is expecting higher inflation to kind of be a bit more sticky, I think, than markets are looking for. And they've also basically said we don't have a cap anymore. It can go above one percent. So I think what they're trying to do is synchronize themselves a little bit, which which has been US yield rising, which would contain the weakness in the end, But this is not a policy mix that is coherent and it is no longer sustainable. So I think a big thing is what we're going to see is things are going to change. It will change abruptly, but I think the movement that we had overnight where they said there's no longer a one percent cap, is actually quite a significant change. But it will take time for this to work through the market. So again i'd say that the thing that needs to break is yields needs to be higher, yet needs to be stronger. It's just going to take more time because we also need to see a peak in the US yield story, which again is not even about the FED anymore. When we talk about the ten year yield. It's more about supply and demand for ten year bonds. This is a big mishmash. Do you have a sense of what the response mechanism from the Bank of Japan is, what the lines in the sand are, what they're sort of looking at. I mean, we were talking about some of the opacity that they put forward overnight. It's very tricky because I think obviously most central banks it's very common language. At this point, they care more about the currency movements. So the end has not been as volatile. So as you can see, we have not the report came out this morning like they did not intervene last month. So I think I don't think there's a red line per se. I think they're all kind of doing what everyone in the market's doing. They're very confused about the drivers, They're very confused about the actual themes in the market. FX has become very challenged, I think for many people. So I think the line in the sand is you're kind of thinking it's loose fiscal policy, loose monetary policy, weakest currency on record. It deviated from our longer term models by you know, magnitudes, you know, our longer term fair value model and dollar again is in one twenties. So what you're kind of looking for is like the pressure points that will cause these things to break. And again, I think a big part of it is US data needs to roll over, US yields need to come down a little bit, and the BOJ I think the one thing that we're very out of consensus on is we are looking for them to move out of NERP next year because of the wage pressure we're seeing in Japan right around the Shuto wage negoiation negotiations, we should see higher wages and as a result of you know, essentially higher wages and higher nominal rates coming up, we should see real rates in Japan move substantially in their favor versus the US next year. When you take a step back, there's a question of slowly or all at once, And you were saying it will be all at once at some point. How disruptive is this going to be at a time when so many people were talking about Japanese flows underpinning are basically suppressing yields globally and really keeping things a little bit more in sync. Yeah, I think that's a that's a big component because I think since the summer, since the BOJ let the the you know, kind of opened up the yield curve control the suppression they had on it. We have seen term premium rise across the world. We have seen the US ten year rise. So I do think that there is a blowback here that's happening slowly behind the scenes. And again, I think a lot of people will make the point that the ten year yield is now advanced above FED expectations for twenty twenty four. It's above data surprises, it's above US data trends. It's no longer reflecting the correlations we saw in July. So I do think that the BOJ and the fact that they're kind of moving out of it. Obviously quantitative tightening has a component of this as well, but the BOJ does have the ability to kick start, you know, rises in the US ten years. Well, bring up this board again on television and radio. I have to review you this. I didn't do this. Simon did this in the control and he's been reading. Michael Rosenbergen for inn Exchange. Bring up that board again here. Yeah, one fifty one week week week end two year yield finally above zero ten year yield almost one percent. Those are unimaginable numbers to pros mark. Is this going to end stochastically? I talked to Martin Feldstein about this years ago, Like Looney, let's go to Toronto Dominion Bank. Looney goes up one thirty eight, you get up to one forty two and it gets fixed. Is that where we're heading, where the system just fixes itself. No. I think the system's quite dynamic. I think that that's the interesting point. Like we brun out variations of lots of different types of tools and models and different things. We're trying to understand what's going on in the market. As I mentioned, the things that are driving a weaker yen are fundamentally based. They make they make a lot of sense. And again the commodity story behind the scene is quite quite important, especially from the handover to last year, because what it does is it eliminates the trade surplus and the trade surplus plus the current account plus the balance of payments that is FX. You know, essentially everything we talk about every day is trying to think about how do we predict the balance of payments? So for the end, I don't think any of this is stable. I think is very unstable. Equilibrium even the shorter term models that we look at that we use for trading ideas Dollar Interview one five based on redifferentials and equities and risk and these kind of things. So it's even deviated now because you know markets are looking for a trend to trade in dollar again, is the only one that makes any sense right now? Three people just drove off the Garden State Parkway. There's your Global Wall Street Brief and foreign exchange. If you only understood half of that like I did. He's Mark McCormick of TD Securities. John Solstice has been listening to this and wants to weigh out on the Bunker Remo and beyond. And I'll let you get to that, but first I want to start to say how much are you basically saying we've just a run out of time to get to that forty nine hundred mark? Yeah? Really, really is? We We had to right size our expectations. We always suggest that to do investors as they as they consider what happens when markets are are in royal and so to speak. And what we've got to consider here is the calendar is telling us that we're getting close to a year end. The average rallies are positive. You know, we get positive rallies after a dip like we've seen traditionally or historically, but it's smaller amounts and there are still lots of uncertainty that bears and nervous investors and those who are skeptics can use to take more profits out of the fabulous rally that we're still living off from the lows of October twelfth of last year. I feel like one just after another is basically coming on and saying give investors a prozac, because frankly, there is a lot of optimism. They're just not seeing it. How much can you really hinge unfundamentals if the sentiment is just so gloomy and prepared for the worst. The problem is, I think that when you're in a FED funds high cycle, it takes a while before the marketplace gets a sense that the FED is indeed not trying to destroy things, and that the FED might actually succeed at its goals. The Fed isn't it isn't infallible, but the FED has a remarkably simple a mandate essentially, you know, stable economic growth with maximum employment. Of course, what is it. A few weeks ago, I think was the daily quote on the Bloomberg was Martin Scorsese, and it was something that like simple is the best, but it's the hardest to achieve. Well, that's what happens in a FED funds hike cycle. But what happens is eventually the marketplace. And you can see it related to higher prices being accepted by consumers and business in that you were just mentioning before there's a sense, Okay, we can deal with this now and we keep moving forward. The FED has been so set in applying it's mandate that it hasn't knocked a part the resilience in the consumer, in business and the overall economy. That's just an extraordinary John Michael McKee with a brilliant idea on the Magnificent Seven. He's going back to the movie. He's looking at YOU'L. Brenner, Steve McQueen, Charles Bronson, Robert Vaughan, James Coburn, Horse Bucklets and Brad Dexter. I mean they were the Magnificent seven. What do you do with the modern Magnificent seven? Is Apple going to deliver here? And if you're going gloomy forty four hundred, do you sell your big tech Well, I'm not gloomy of four hundred at all. I'm just saying it's more realistic from here to the end of the year. Just wait until we put in our Brice target for next year. That'll be later on. Oh good, and no one's watching here, Come on compliance at opcos not watching. Give me a number. Can you pop a five thousand for next year? To do it? I got, I got compliance breeding down my back. But when we look at things are getting better and we think we're going to see competition return in a lot of spaces, and competition is when all of a sudden you've got everybody is passing on the old higher prices getting away with it. And then some guy in business or gal discovers the idea of well maybe if I give up a little bit what I get in per unit costs, maybe I can make it up big time and volume. And that'll happen across the sectors. But in the meantime, tech is empowering everything, and we don't mean it like in some kind of a moonshot, but it exists. Today. Corporations are doing better navigating very tough environments. Well, it's the financial advices. Whether it was the pandemic, post pandemic, the supply chain stabilization, the getting away from one country centricity in terms of the global supply chain. All of this technology is enabling a lot of things both for the can consumer as well as for business. And it's it's a dramatic change that combined with sensitivity by the FED communication transparency that we think is you know, the branking legacy that is still being practiced by Jerome Howell in his own way. Yeah, you know, positive effect. I keep thinking the economy is not the stock market, and this is not necessarily a stock market that's representative of the broader economy that really is maybe the Russell two thousand or the banking index, the regional Banking Index. Does your optimism bleed over to small caps, to the KBW index? Well, I'd say not necessarily to the k b W. Yet we've got to wait for the economy to show a greater sustainability going forward and not as many concerns in terms of commercial real estate and subbrime auto loans and things like that. But what we would say is when we when we look at this picture where all things are getting better, it's been led by the large caps but if we get to that point where we get to see the sustainability of the economic expansion, of becoming predominant in the picture, you're going to want to own smalls and mid caps, and you probably want to consider, for instance, we're near market cap agnostic in some ways because our goal is beyond we're intermediate to longer term investors, and the valuations are ridiculously low in many quality indices of the small caps and mid caps. Joss Dolphis thank you so much, greatly appreciating this should be a two hour conversation. I can't say enough about the work of doctor Miller. He is Aaron David Miller. He's a senior fellow the Carnegie Endowment for in an national piece. The signal is from the University of Michigan Definitive and International Relations. And he wrote a book in two thousand and eight. It was shockingly, shockingly prescient fifteen years on about the mess we're in in the Eastern Mediterranean. Aaron David Miller, thank you so much for joining us this morning. When you wrote your masterpiece in two thousand and eight, did you expect the tragedy we're living now? I expected John at an unresolved Israeli Palestinian conflict driven by a proximity problem. Israelis and Palestinians are living on top of one another, and frankly, I think it was Mark Twitter said that proximity breachs contempt and children. I figured that this conflict would endure, It would go through periods of accommodation, perhaps as it did, but also periods of conflict that we've seen. But I think I, for one, I'll put myself at the top of the list, never anticipate paid the kind of trigger to this particular phase of the Israeli Palestinian conflict. That is to say, what happened on October seven, with Hamasa's brutal and savage attack and it's wilful and intentional, indiscriminate murder of men, women and children. I did not anticipate that, and clearly, in what probably one of the two greatest intelligence failures in the history of the State of Israel, neither did the Israelis. Aaron David Miller. Robert Gates writes a piercing essay and the New Foreign Affairs magazine. I read every word of it. The former Defense Secretary and head of CIA on a dysfunctional America, a dysfunctional superpower. You are someone that straddled the line. I would say, within the politics of Washington, what's Aaron David Miller's best practice? Now for the Biden administration come to this particular crisis. Remember, we now have an archa crisis. We have a major crisis in the Middle East with the potential of escalade. Even further, if you end up with in Israeli his bull of war, You're going to see, not to mention the prospects of Iranian involvement and direct conversation between Israel and I Ran, which would lead to spiking oil prices and plunging financial markets, and even more uncertainty with respect to the global economy. You've got Russia's invasion of Ukraine, You've got tensions in the Indo Pacific. Look, I long believe you know. I'm a follower reinhold Nebe approximate solutions to insoluble problems. This is a world that cannot be resolved. That is to say, I'm not sure there is one conflict factor you could identify that had a definitive, a comprehensive solution. This is all about smart, smart management and a judicious and very balanced view of the projection of American power in air is that in fact we can, we can and effect. But no, this is not a world to be redeemed or resolved. It's want to be managed if we're lucky and smart. Aaron David Miller Robert Kaplan's new book, The Loom of Time is my book of the year. It's just a sprawling treatise from Morocco all the way over to Persia, indeed on to Afghanistan as well. And what permeates Caplin's real politic is the basic idea that we have a human rights led foreign policy. Is our human rights led foreign policy at risk given what we see in the Eastern Mediterranean region. You know, Caplin's you a really smart guy. Based on my experience John working for Republicans and Democrats over a thirty year period from Jimmy Carter to Bush forty three, I don't think we have a human rights based policy. In fact, human rights democracy promotion, responsibility to protect, the intervention, to to prevent or even respond to mass killings, from the Holocaust at Cambodia to Rwanda to Dartford to Sauth, Sudan to Syria. Where has the United States been with respect to the protection of human rights. I'm not saying that that is a role we need to play and can't play all the time, but I think human rights is a factor. But based on my experience from Carter to Bush forty three, it's rarely at the top of our agenda. There's been shades of isolationism there, even off of the shock of Jimmy Carter and the Iranian hostage crisis. And I believe seventy nine, what does our new isolationism look like. I'm not sure. Well, clearly we're not there now. I mean, I think the America first notion, although I think that largely would translate into putting America last. We've got to find the right balance, John, between doing too much in the world and not doing enough. One of my former VOUSE bosses, medal In Albert, referred to the United States as the indispensable power. You know, and I remember what de gaul said about the cemeteries of France. They're filled with indispensable people. We can't be the indispensable power if indispensability means that we need to be everywhere, to everyone all the time. We have a dysfunctional political system. That's the strength, by the way repairing that is critically important for our capacity to lead, not by the what it was, Joe Biden says, not by the example of our power, but by the power of our example. There is something to that. From where you sit in international relations. Is our pentagon properly funded? And specifically does the Navy have enough ships and submarines? Probably know, and no, I suspect, even though there some will argue that our defense budget is way out of whack, It'll be fascinating to try to see how we're going to resource going forward because each of these problems I referred to what you're seeing in the Middle East right now, Russia's warview against Ukraine which seems to be forever, and the prospects of arising China in the Indo Pacific. All of these things have to be properly resourced. And that's a concern that I have, given the nature of our domestic politics. One final questionnaireon to circle back to your two thousand and eight treaties, there is a much too promised land. What should we advocate to Israel and the Palestinians in this November You know, a lot of people I respect John believe that the so called two state solution has gone the way of the Dodo. I understand the argument, but frankly, it's the least bad solution to this conflict. Israelis and Palestinians need to separate from one another through negotiations. There's no precedent that I can think of of two two national movements, one of state, a nonstate actor seeking to become a movement living happily ever after under one roof. It's Cyprus, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq. I mean, the beat goes on, so it's not it's just a hop, skip and a jump to understanding that if in fact you're going to have anything resembling a conflict ending solution, I'm choosing my words very carefully here. You really do need to have separation through negotiation, maybe into a confederation at some point, but you need to satisfy the political, territorial, emotional, psychological, and religious underpinnings of this conflict. The only thing that does that, in my judgment, is to separate through negotiation state of Israel living peacefully next door to a Palestinian polity. That to me is the only way to even begin to think about fixation. Aaron David Miller, thank you so much for the brief. Hugely valuable with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Stephen Stanley joins us at right now with Santander or US Capital Markets. You are acclaimed for analysis and GDP. How does the bond market affect your analysis? You know, I think the Fed is overstating the importance of this little backup in bonnials that we've seen over the last month. As we talked about the last time I was here, I see it maybe as a little bit more of an excuse than a reason. I think they wanted to hold off, and that provided them with a convenient reason. Financial conditions have tightened a little bit. But look, you know, as you all discuss, the economy is still rolling at this point. So I think it's wishful thinking that the last twenty or thirty basis points on the on the bonyold is going to roll the economy. But the I'll go with this easy, easy question here. It's a cliche, but unfortunately it's apped right now. Are they fighting in the last war? I think it's too soon to say that, because you know, the idea I assume what you're suggesting is well, inflation has already licked well. Dominicq constum in MISSOUI is calling it super restrictive. I got people say in the five percent reality lay on the bond market is a seven percent reality in the economy as well? Are they? Are they working now? They go to the meeting tomorrow in a restrictive milieu. I think policy is restrictive, but is it restrictive enough? I mean, until the economy actually slows down, until inflation really comes off. It's it's hard to say that, and so I think that's why that at a minimum, they're certainly going to want to keep their options open. You know, they they've signaled another pause, but Pallas certainly kept the door open to further hikes. So I'm not throw this question at you what I was asking before, which is how long can the US continue surprising to the upside with economic data and showing momentum at the same time that you see Europe running into recession coming out recession around the world a lot of pain, maybe not to be overly glib, but basically forever. Because the US is a domestically driven economy, and I think economists and particularly the FED, have systematically over the years overestimated the importance of the global economy for the US economy. We're, you know what, between ten and fifteen percent of our economy is trade, whereas for most of the other major economies it's thirty forty percent. Okay, I'll challenge that in one way, And this is something that a lot of people have been talking about, and I would love for you to push back if this is the case, people say that the international transmission transmission mechanism is the US yield is how many international buyers are going to be coming in and picking up treasuries at a time where the Bank of Japan's not going to be buying, where you're going to have or not going to be really pushing investors out of that nation's asset market. Where you have certainly around the world yields going higher and China not buying how much does apply change that narrative and create more of an international transmission mechanism than ever before. Yeah, that's an interesting angle. Actually. I think the root of the problem there, of course, is the fact that we're that we're running such large deficits. If we had a smaller deficit then this would be so much of a problem. But the fact that the Treasury is to borrow on extra to two and a half trillion dollars a year, they need demand anywhere they can get it, so that that actually does bring a good point, which is that the it feels like the international community has pulled back a little bit for various reasons, and I think you know that's that's part of it, a piece of why yields have backed up recently. Well, Mike McKey summarizes for us we've heard this twice today and surveillant Shill Moweko accent Stephen Stanley of Santandra agree the United States is a relatively closed economy. Are we an economy a fiscal stimulus thinking of refunding and all the other debates versus Europe in austerity stimulus? I mean, are we living a fiscal stimus that makes us different? Well, yeah, I mean we as Chris says, we're, as Steve says, we're a sort of closed economy. We don't have to worry necessarily about what's happening in Europe as much as Europe has to worry about what's happening in the United States. And China their biggest trading partner, and so we can stimulate the economy and we can run deficits for a lot longer. Nobody knows exactly how high or how long, but it doesn't have the same kind of effect. Interesting to note where we are with yields these days is where we were in the nineteen nineties when we were growing at four and a half percent a year. So can we live with this? I mean for now we can't, right, Steven Stanley with us, So I'm not going to go higher for longer. But just pick one of them. Are we going to go higher or are we going to go longer? Well, I think the more important thing is the longer part. You know, they may go one more time, but we're pretty to the end, so I don't think the higher part is the more important of the two right now. I think is the more important issue is how long are they going to stay? Can the American economy equilibriate through a higher nominal and real rate or almost equal calibrate? I would said yes, I think We're in the process of that. I think that in my mind, the neutral rate is you know, anywhere from fifty to one hundred basis points higher than it was before COVID. So give me a ten year real rate, which is going to be a run rate. I think it's probably you know, one to one half percent something like that. Okay, when we look right now at the data that we've getting this week, you said that the Fed seems to be looking for an excuse, and it's not really that they're so concerned about what you call this little backup and yields. So what data could make it difficult for them to use the backup and yields as some sort of excuse. Well, boy, we're really testing that right because since the September meeting, we've had a blowout payroll number, a high inflation number, stronger than expected consumer spending, and now we get a firm wage number. So you know, you're pretty much a clean sweep, and yet they're clearly going to pause. So I think it's going to have to be not so much a particular data point, but a duration of a stretch of good data. If we continue to see good data for another month or two, then I mean it just becomes increasingly compelling. So tomorrow, based on what they say and based on the economic data, what are the chances from your view, that they've got to go significantly further than currently markets are pricing. Yeah, so significantly further is a really important part of that question, because, as I said, I mean my base case, I have one more hike. But that's I mean, you know, whether they do one or not, it's not that important. But there is a scenario where inflation reaccelerates and they end up having to go multiple times. That's the I think that's the scenario that you might have in mind. I mean, to me, that's the biggest risk fact. I see that as a bigger risk than the risk that the economy slides into recession and they end up easing much sooner than people expect it. But it's at this point it's for me, it's a risk scenario, not a base case. Are Is it true you're going for Halloween? You're going to dot plot that. That's a room, right? I can't confirm you had bullered up at the tippy top of your head. There you go. Okay, I have a lot of room on my head for you dods. So do some of us is well? Also? John Ferrell, going as you'll Brunner, I don't know if you knew that one of the mania for seven John. It was good to hear Stephen Stanley with his chief US economist of Santander, Emily rolling this morning from Boston here on a Halloween. What's your biggest fear out there besides trigger treating, what's your biggest fear, Emily in this market? My biggest fear is that we're actually in a scary movie right now, but it's not over yet. You know. You think about the villain kind of being wounded but still alive, and the villain is higher borrowing costs and the wake of the FED raising interest rates in the shortest amount of time and the greatest extent in several decades here, and we really haven't felt the sting from that as far as consumers pulling back, you know, as far as earning's getting hurt by that profit margin's getting crushed. So everything's fine right now. We're sort of running to the safe part of the house as we're getting chased by this villain, but we need to remember that the movie simply isn't over yet. Oh my god, Emily, I'm just thinking about you at the sleepover with a bunch of eleven year old saying it's a scary house and the bond villain is coming to get you at some point. I'm wondering, Emily, how much we're looking at a scenario we're yield to kind of reach to a peak, and that really the uncertainty lies. And I keep harping on this, but it lies with the deficit financing and what we get tomorrow from the Treasury Department. What we got yesterday actually underwhelmed with the amount that the US would have to borrow in the third quarter, and arguably that's what's leading yields lower this morning. Yeah, certainly fears around supply have been a key to the narrative around rising bond yields, but it's not like we woke up one morning over the last few weeks and all of a sudden found out that the treasure was going to have to issue more debt. That's been a known issue. So for US, that's not really the primary reason that bond yields have picked up. It's been just this unrelenting strength in the economic data in the US, and certainly fiscal spending has played a role in that. Excess savings have played a role in that. In twenty twenty and twenty twenty one. But really it's been the strength of the data. There's something really really unusual happening in the bond market right now. One, we're facing down potentially the third consecutive year of negative returns for high quality bonds. That's never happened before in history. We're also looking at an environment where if the FED was done in July, and we can talk about that, it's really unusual to see the ten year treasure yield continuing to rise. Typically what happens is that the ten year peaks right around the same time, are just before the FED pauses, very unusual. And then finally the elusive bear steepener another very notable dynamic here that is not consistent with what we've seen in recent history. So our view is that we could be getting close here to the peak and yields. This doesn't sound like a scary story actually. Arguably, and as Gina Martin Adams yesterday was saying, this really speaks to a pain trade of more momentum of gains of a rally and risk assets. Because if yields are rising because of growth, isn't it a good and beautiful thing? Yeah? I mean, I think our standards for growth have seemed to be shifted a little bit. Yes, there's a lot of strength in the labor market, but we all know that that's lagging data and those cracks are starting to form. I think this week's going to be really critical in terms of the jobs report on Friday, initial claims, which have stayed stubbornly low. We've got to remember that that data is subject to heavy revisions, and we're seeing a lot of cracks in the consumer stories starting to emerge. There's a lot of heads out there, the resumption of student loan payments, credit card interest rates at twenty five percent right now, auto loans at seven percent, mortgage rate over eight percent. That's a challenge. How do you get out thirty six months? You're going to tell me part of a carefully managed portfolio is so look out three years, five years, years, maybe when the red SOX go above five hundred again, Emily, the basic idea here is people are scared stiff. How much cash at five x percent should they own? Versus having the courage to reach out thirty six months? Yeah, I think the critical the scary part I guess about being in cash right now is that your subject to significant reinvestment risk. Our view is that the normal relationship with the economic cycle and bond yields remarries as we head into this economic contraction into next year, and in that environment, you want to move out the curve and just really be able to capture the five six percent income that you're seeing in high quality bonds right now. I know we've been talking about this for a while. There's been these significant odd dislocations in the bond market, but if you're in cash right now, you might not get that yield next year. We have an opportunity again to lock that income stream in for years, and I think we're going to look back on this is quite an incredible opportunity to unlock the value in bonds. Thank you, Emily Rowland, John Hancock Investment Management, Boston. Subscribe to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast on Apple, Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live every weekday starting at seven am Eastern. I'm Bloomberg dot Com, the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can watch us live on Bloomberg Television and always I'm the Bloomberg Terminal. Thanks for listening. I'm Tom Keane, and this is BloombergSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Vision180
Stephen Stanley - 14th October 2023

Vision180

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2023 19:04


Hear Mel Weekday Evenings on V180See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The MAD Christian Radio Show Podcast
MAD September 20, 2023

The MAD Christian Radio Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2023 167:27


On this edition of the MAD Christian Radio Show we are going to listen to the latest singles from Red, Stephen Stanley, Disciple, Fit For A King, Seventh Day Slumber and World Gone Cold. And speaking of Red, we will go over the latest on their upcoming album release. Plus, in our Impact Devotional we are going to examine what it really means that Jesus is the Prince of Peace and how knowing Him can bring us peace here and now and for all eternity.

Graventown
Episode 47: Carcast 6 (July 7, 2023) - Big Smoke Birthday Banger

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 7, 2023 22:03


Hello again from the golden Graventown fountain pen. My apologies for the audio in this episode (as for a good 17 minutes, it sounds like I'm recording it on an airplane ON the actual wing of the aircraft) but I hope you catch the vibe. I'm having fun popping these mind mints in your brain mouth. Does that make any sense? I might be one of the wittiest and verbally eviscerating wordsmiths of our generation, but I might also be a complete imbecile. I'll let you decide. This ditty was recorded on my way to a surprise birthday party my megatalented magical pal Stephen Stanley in the 416. Yes. It's another podcast on the road to Toronto. The hits just keep onnnnn comin'. Love you all.Catch me in a town near you by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

What Else? with Corey Mann
226 Stephen Stanley

What Else? with Corey Mann

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2023 27:46


Stephen Stanley has released his first full length music project called, “Divided Frame of Mind”, and in my humble opinion, it is truly one of the best Music releases I have heard for 2023. Stephen and I talk in great detail about the project, and you get to hear samples of new songs as well.

Catholic Forum
Fr. Capodanno's life and heroic death in Vietnam is explored

Catholic Forum

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2023 29:43


On this episode of Catholic Forum, we talk to four very impressive men: retired Navy Vice Admiral, P. Stephen Stanley, Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Father Vincent Capodanno Guild; Mr. Eric Czerwinski, Deputy Director of the Air Mobility Command Museum at Dover Air Force Base in Dover, Delaware, Mr. Ron Gough, Caretaker of the Medal of Honor Hallway of Heroes at the Museum, and Anthony M. Policastro, MD, a retired pediatrician, Air Force Officer, and current Faithful Navigator of the Fr. Vincent R. Capodanno Assembly #2413 of the Knights of Columbus in Sussex County, Delaware. You will learn about the life and heroic death of Medal of Honor recipient, Maryknoll Father and Navy Chaplain, Vincent Capodanno and his cause for Sainthood. Plus, learn about the Air Mobility Command Museum, its Medal of Honor Hallway of Heroes and how Father Capodanno will be honored there on August 1, 2023. Joe Owens will return next week with a Dialog news update. You can see a video of this interview @DioceseofWilm 

The Walrus Was Paul
S3 E11 – Beatles Guitar Moments, Part II – Songwriter/Musician Stephen Stanley

The Walrus Was Paul

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2023 63:42


Canadian indie music icon Stephen Stanley (ex-Lowest Of The Low, Stephen Stanley Band) talks about some of his favourite "Beatles guitar moments" with host Paul Romanuk. This episode is the second of a two-part episode. You can find Part I wherever you get your podcasts.EPISODE NOTESHere's the "album" Stephen has put together of his favourite Beatles guitar moments.Side OneAnd I Love Her (Feb 1964) A Hard Day's NightA Hard Day's Night (April 1964) A Hard Day's NightYou've Got to Hide Your Love Away (February 1965) Help!Day Tripper (October 1965) (single)Norwegian Wood (October 1965) Rubber SoulHello, Goodbye (November 1967) Magical Mystery TourSide TwoBlackbird (June 1968) White AlbumDear Prudence (August 1968) White AlbumHelter Skelter (September 1968) White AlbumI Want You (She's So Heavy) (August 1969) Abbey RoadHere Comes the Sun (September 1969) Abbey RoadI've Got A Feeling (January 1969) Let It Be-The Stephen Stanley Band has an indiegogo campaign on the go to raise funds to help with the cost of finishing up and releasing their new album Before The Collapse Of The Hive. Here's a link to the page if you'd like to help out.-You can find out what The Stephen Stanley Band is up to right here-There are numerous pages on The Beatles' guitars. Here's a link to a good overview that appeared on the Guitar World website of the guitars the Fabs used during their recording career together.-Stephen talks about singing with one of his music heroes, Billy Bragg. Billy is one of the great social activist singer/songwriters of all time. Here's more information on him and his work.-Stephen talks about playing on an amp during sessions with Lowest Of The Low in Vancouver that was used by John Lennon during The Beatles Cavern Club days. Here's a page with lots of info on what gear The Beatles used through their careers.-shoutout to musician Chris Bennett for his loan of the original UK pressing of Help! as well as the vintage, 1962, Gretsch Tennessean for the Stephen Stanley episode photo. A note of trivia: that's the same model of Gretsch that George Harrison used on the Help! album.

The Walrus Was Paul
S3 E10 – Beatles Guitar Moments, Part I – Songwriter/Musician Stephen Stanley

The Walrus Was Paul

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2023 72:42


Canadian indie music icon Stephen Stanley (ex-Lowest Of The Low, Stephen Stanley Band) talks about some of his favourite "Beatles guitar moments" with host Paul Romanuk.EPISODE NOTESHere's the "album" Stephen has put together of his favourite Beatles guitar moments.Side OneAnd I Love Her (Feb 1964) A Hard Day's NightA Hard Day's Night (April 1964) A Hard Day's NightYou've Got to Hide Your Love Away (February 1965) Help!Day Tripper (October 1965) (single)Norwegian Wood (October 1965) Rubber SoulHello, Goodbye (November 1967) Magical Mystery TourSide TwoBlackbird (June 1968) White AlbumDear Prudence (August 1968) White AlbumHelter Skelter (September 1968) White AlbumI Want You (She's So Heavy) (August 1969) Abbey RoadHere Comes the Sun (September 1969) Abbey RoadI've Got A Feeling (January 1969) Let It Be-The Stephen Stanley Band has an indiegogo campaign on the go to raise funds to help with the cost of finishing up and releasing their new album Before The Collapse Of The Hive. Here's a link to the page if you'd like to help out.-You can find out what The Stephen Stanley Band is up to right here-There are numerous pages on The Beatles' guitars. Here's a link to a good overview that appeared on the Guitar World website of the guitars the Fabs used during their recording career together.-shoutout to musician Chris Bennett for his loan of the original UK pressing of Help! as well as the vintage, 1962, Gretsch Tennessean for the Stephen Stanley episode photo. A note of trivia: that's the same model of Gretsch that George Harrison used on the Help! album.

20 The Countdown Magazine
20 The Countdown Magazine (5/20/23)

20 The Countdown Magazine

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2023 104:00


Chart debut from Stephen Stanley and new music to vote on from Katy Nichole and Ellie Holcomb.

Bloomberg Surveillance
Surveillance: US Inflation with Barkin

Bloomberg Surveillance

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 14, 2023 51:01 Transcription Available


Thomas Barkin, Richmond Fed President, reacts to US January CPI data. Stephen Stanley, Santander US Capital Markets Chief US Economist, says the latest inflation print came in 'as expected' but 'could have been worse.' Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard Professor of Economics & Public Policy & Former Chief Economist at the International Monetary Fund, says we could see interest rates at 6%. David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research Founder & President, says today's data gives the Fed a green light to go in March. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Graventown
Episode 32: Interview w/ Stephen Stanley

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 8, 2022 44:54


Graventowners and Quarter Pounders: Let's put some cheese and sauce on season two and catch the intellectual train to flavour country. With me today is someone who I'd call a musical hero, but he's far too humble and grounded to accept that title. I actually got to open a few shows for him this year when he performed with a trio called Brown Hawkins Stanley, and I had one of the loveliest tour experiences I've ever had - and I get to open for him again this weekend on two dates and I couldn't be more over the musical moon to have him on the pod. Canadian singer-songwriter and guitarist Stephen Stanley is best known from his many years as a founding member, lead guitarist and vocalist with the vibrant alternative rock band The Lowest of the Low. After many song hits, years of touring and sharing the stage with the likes of Billy Bragg, Bob Mould, The Violent Femmes, The Jayhawks and Lloyd Cole, a gold record for their “genuinely timeless album” (Exclaim!) Shakespeare My Butt, Stanley is back on the music scene with his own band, The Stephen Stanley Band, and an internationally acclaimed record Jimmy & The Moon, (2017), produced by Hugh Christopher Brown. Jimmy & The Moon received considerable radio airplay, raves and features from Canada (Now Toronto, Exclaim!, Spill Magazine, Fervor Coulee, FYI Music News, etc.) to the USA, Netherlands, Ireland and the UK. Stephen and I play together this weekend in Toronto and Wolfe Island (show info below). Thank for your listening ears! Graventown is you and me. It's a community. Yer loved.Catch Tom and I on tour this weekend, as the gritty Graven duo, opening the ra-ra radical Stephen Stanley Band:DEC 9: Linsmore Tavern - Toronto, ONopening for Stephen StanleyDEC 10: Hotel Wolfe Island - Wolfe Island, ONopening for Stephen StanleyInfo, tickets and times here.Catch me in a town near you by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Graventown
Episode 30 - Interview w/ Tom Thompson

Graventown

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2022 52:02


Graventowners and Bright Eyes Turn-Arounders - what's the ham hock? This weeks brand new season 2 episode is all about someone who has become a big chef in the country kitchen mess hall of Camp Graven; Mister Tom Thompson. Being born in Toronto and never really fitting in in high school, Tom had his consciousness blown wide open when he went with his sister to see U2 at Maple Leaf Gardens on the Unforgettable Fire tour. Having similar experiences at shows ever since, the once mod and metal-obsessed Tom has morphed into a sonic mainstay in the Ottawa music scene and has probably played on an album that your friend released. Having made magical sounds with epic acts like Toque, That's The Spirit, Orienteers, Still Winter Hills, Jim Bryson, Kathleen Edwards and of course yours truly (Graven),  Tom has had the chance to open for and share stages with The Flaming Lips, 54/40. Kim Mitchell, The Grapes of Wrath and just recently Stephen Stanley and Ron Hawkins from Lowest of the Low and Chris Brown from Bourbon Tabernacle Choir. Tom is also a  podcast producer for Library Archives of Canada and now runs his own deep dive music podcast called TNT's Hit Songs from Mars. It was a pleasure to chat with this lovely human today.And you can catch Tom and I on tour this weekend, as the gritty Graven duo:DEC 9: Linsmore Tavern - Toronto, ONopening for Stephen StanleyDEC 10: Hotel Wolfe Island - Wolfe Island, ONopening for Stephen StanleyInfo, tickets and times here.#graventownpodcast#TomThompsonTheToneAdmiralCatch me in a town near you by visting my website to see where I'm playing. If people can hate for no reason, I can love for no reason - and I love you. Thanks for stopping by Graventown. Yer always welcome here. As a full time independent artist, you can support me by joining my SUPER RAD subscription service at https://ko-fi.com/gravencanada

Bloomberg Surveillance
Surveillance: UK Crisis

Bloomberg Surveillance

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2022 22:52


Gita Gopinath, IMF First Deputy Managing Director, says nations are in for a “rocky ride” as they adjust to dollar strength. Raghuram Rajan, Former Central Bank of India Governor, says larger emerging market countries have become more prepared for a crisis by building up their FX reserves. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, says a Fed pivot is not in the cards right now. Eric Freedman, US Bank Asset Management Chief Investment Officer, thinks it makes sense to dip into the front end of the treasury curve. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

TNT Radio
Stephen Stanley Huntsman on Joseph Arthur & his Technicolor Dreamcast - 06 October 2022

TNT Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 55:46


Live Free Love Well
050. Free from Loneliness

Live Free Love Well

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2022 19:11


Hey friends! On this week's episode, we talk about how we can live free from loneliness because, well... we're not alone! God's got us. Verse(s) for the week: Genesis 2:18 and Psalm 23:4 Song for the week: Note to Self by Stephen Stanley

Vision180
Stephen Stanley - 17 September 2022

Vision180

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2022 19:01


Hear Mel Weekday Evenings on Vision180See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Toronto Mike'd Podcast
Ron Hawkins, Stephen Stanley and Hugh Christopher Brown: Toronto Mike'd #1112

Toronto Mike'd Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 16, 2022 81:29


In this 1112th episode of Toronto Mike'd, Mike is joined by Ron Hawkins, Stephen Stanley and Hugh Christopher Brown as they discuss Lowest of the Low, the Bourbon Tabernacle Choir and more. Toronto Mike'd is proudly brought to you by Great Lakes Brewery, Palma Pasta, Canna Cabana, StickerYou, Ridley Funeral Home and Electronic Products Recycling Association.

Just a Parishioner
Ep. XVII - Note to Self

Just a Parishioner

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2022 38:01


Sean and Lorenz dive into the question posed by Stephen Stanley's song “Note to Self” - if you could give your younger self advice or tell them a regret, what would you say? They each share 3 things they would tell their younger selves in this episode. ----more---- Instagram: @justaparishioner Facebook: facebook.com/justaparishioner YouTube: Just a Parishioner Hallow: 3 Free Months of Premium Subscription!

Bloomberg Surveillance
Surveillance: Market Slowdown with Stanley (Podcast)

Bloomberg Surveillance

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2022 21:06


Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, says markets are starting to smell a slowdown. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Global Head of Macro Strategy, says it's inevitable that the Fed and other central banks will feel political pressure. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says we could see euro-dollar parity. Seema Shah, Principal Global Investors Chief Strategist, says we could see a technical rally over the next couple of months, but it won't be sustained. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What Else? with Corey Mann
171: Stephen Stanley

What Else? with Corey Mann

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2022 24:06


He wouldn't let a jet ski accident road block his love for playing music, and he wouldn't let a pandemic halt his dream to create as well. Lets visit the attic of, what some could say, the ‘viral sensation' of Stephen Stanley.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Christian Music Archive Podcast

Stephen Stanley has been working on his music career since age nine. He grew up listening to '70s and '80s rock bands, but a water ski accident focused his energy on music. He knew he wanted to be in Christian music from a very early age and even attended college specifically to “help his writing because he didn't want his songs to say anything that wasn't based on scripture.” Then, early in 2020, Stephen got a record deal, just in time for a global pandemic to nearly shut down the music industry. And yet, here he is, still making music, pointing people to Jesus. Let's learn more about Stephen and his music. Stephen Stanley: Website, Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter. And of course, on our page: Christian Music Archive. Christian Music Archive Links: Website, Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, LinkedIn, and YouTube. The podcast and our website are made possible through the generous support of listeners like you. Click here to donate. **** Please check out Mercy, inc. and see how you can support them today! ****

Bloomberg Surveillance
Surveillance: More Pain to Come, Says Slimmon

Bloomberg Surveillance

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 24, 2022 29:53


Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, says there's more pain to come for markets. Admiral James Stavridis, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO and Author of "2034: A Novel of the Next World War," says using chemicals weapons would not be a silver bullet for Russia. Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Director of the U.S. and Americas Programme, says it is critical that the U.S. and Europe maintain pressure on China in order to help end the war in Ukraine. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, says the Fed might even be willing to cause a recession if necessary to lower inflation. Stephane Bancel, Moderna CEO, says older people may need annual Covid booster shots. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com

The Walrus Was Paul
S2 E5 – Travelling Wilburys Vol. I – Songwriter/Musician Stephen Stanley

The Walrus Was Paul

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2021 115:24


Canadian indie music icon Stephen Stanley (Lowest of The Low, Stephen Stanley Band) talks to Paul Romanuk about the 1988 album Travelling Wilburys Vol. I. The album has a Beatles connection, as musical legends Bob Dylan, Roy Orbison, Tom Petty and Jeff Lynne teamed up with former Fab George Harrison. Stephen talks about his love of the record, Bob Dylan and making music with friends and how that can add to the outcome of the record you're making. He also talks about making an album, when he was in Lowest Of The Low, with the man who worked as an engineer on the Wilburys' record - Don Smith. For all things Stephen Stanley, visit his website at https://stephenstanleyband.com (stephenstanleyband.com )