Podcasts about sqm research

In this episode, Scott and Melinda Jennison unpack the latest property listing data across Brisbane, suburb by suburb. Using insights from SQM Research and their local market expertise, they reveal which areas have the tightest supply and where buyers will find more choice.   You'll learn: The top 10 Brisbane suburbs with the lowest and highest number of new listings How total listings and buyer demand intersect Where competition is strongest based on visits per property What this means for property buyers and investors heading into the next quarter If you're actively looking to buy in Brisbane or planning your next move, this episode will help you understand where supply is limited and how that might affect your strategy.   Connect with Us: Subscribe on Youtube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCW30uBCnHQ2YllnwGKHNfxg Streamline Property Buyers Website https://streamlineproperty.com.au/ Ready to work with us directly? https://streamlineproperty.com.au/contact/ If you liked this episode, please don't forget to subscribe, tune in, and share this podcast with others you know will benefit from the information we share!

SQM Research has just placed the private credit sector on watch, and that's got the market talking. What does it mean? Should investors be worried? And where are the biggest risks hiding?In this episode of The Theory of Thing Investment Podcast, James Whelan sits down with Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, to break down: ✅ Why SQM is increasing its scrutiny on private credit ✅ The red flags emerging in the sector—from transparency issues to high leverage ✅ What investors and advisers need to watch out for ✅ How today's risks compare to the 2008 mortgage trust crisis ✅ The future of private markets and whether the sector can weather the stormIt's a must-listen for anyone in wealth management, investing, or just keen to understand what's happening behind the scenes. Tune in now!Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/the-bip-show. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news we are heading into a week where the data won't be as important as the policy decisions made and about to be made. And we do seem to be seeing a shift in great-power economic fortunes; the US fading while China get up off its knees.Although there are only a few key data releases in New Zealand, Australia will release its monthly inflation indicator for February this week on Wednesday and its monthly household spending indicator on Thursday. These will both feed into their election campaign narratives. And later today we will get a first look at their March PMI tracking.There will be similar 'flash' PMIs from Japan, India, the EU and the US out this week too. South Korea will release business and consumer confidence data while Singapore will release its February inflation rate.And in the US it will be all about personal income and spending, consumer sentiment, durable goods orders, pending home sales, and the final estimate of Q4-2024 GDP.In the US this week all eyes will be on how the threatened 'reciprocal tariffs' play out. Those around Trump seem to be starting to realise that tariffs are a tax on yourself, so are growing less certain they are a good idea. The talk now is a scaling back of the 'promised' action threatened to take effect on April 1 (US time), just nine days from now.No doubt they are very aware of the signals the widely-respected Atlanta Fed's GDPNow is giving.In Canada, retreating car sales, especially of American brands, has seen their February retail sales take an unexpected dip. They fell by -0.4% from the previous month and January was revised lower, so that is back-to-back falls in retail sales for the first time since June 2024. A +0.3% rise was anticipated in February. Year on year, February retail sales were up +4.2%.And in Canada, the Liberal government has called an election on April 28 (Saturday NZT). The race is set to revolve around who is best placed to fend off Trump. Trump pettiness is sure to be an issue.The Japanese inflation rate dipped to 3.7% in February from a 2-year high of 4.0% in January. Helping was a sharp pullback in price of electricity, up +9.0% in February from a year ago, back from +18.0% in January on the same basis. New utility bill subsidies are behind that shift. So this isn't likely to shift the Bank of Japan from its rate rising path.As expected, Malaysia's CPI inflation rate came in at +1.5%, but that was its lowest since February 2021. Their food prices were stable, housing costs fell.In China, they are piling on the pressure to try and stop the Hong Kong company who owns the Panama port facilities from completing the deal to sell it to America's Blackrock. CK Hutchison is in an impossible situation now, a pawn between great powers. How this one falls will likely tell us a lot.Meanwhile, their retail sales activity is on the rise. (At +4.0% year on year and rising from +3.7% in December, and that now bests the US's +3.1% and a fall from +4.4% in December, on the same basis.)In a bit of a surprise to many analysts, EU consumer sentiment did not improve in March as it has done previously in 2025, rather it dipped lower. To be fair, it has been deeply negative since mid-2021 and running below its long term average for the past two years.Here's something you don't see every day. A ratings agency putting a whole sector on 'watch' - in advance of failures. This is from Australia's SQM Research who now say the private credit sector (aka, the private debt sector, or 'private equity') is facing a wave of bad loans. It has a list of 14 issues that the sector is deficient with. Companies owned/funded by this sector are at heightened risk of short-term cut-and-run strategies, making matters worse.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.25%, unchanged from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at just on US$3023/oz and up a net +US$9 from Saturday.Oil prices are stable from Saturday at just under US$68.50/bbl in the US and the international Brent price is still just over US$72/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 57.3 USc and down -10 bps from this time Saturday. A week ago, it was at 57.5 USc. Against the Aussie we are holding at 91.4 AUc. Against the euro we are also holding at 53 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just on 66.9, and unchanged. A week ago it was at 66.7.The bitcoin price starts today at US$85,264 and up +1.6% from this time Saturday. A week ago it was at US$84,261. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been low at +/- 0.9%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

After years of skyrocketing rents and record-low vacancy rates, Australia's rental market is showing signs of easing.

房产数据研究机构SQM Research的最新报告发现，随着空置率再次收紧，业内人士预测供应量低、移民增加，澳大利亚的租房危机不仅没有恶化，还有可能再次加剧。（点击上方收听音频）

In this episode of the Brisbane Property Podcast, Scott and Melinda Jennison break down Brisbane's tight property listings and explore why there's so little on the market right now. They share exclusive data highlighting which suburbs have the tightest and highest supply of listings across Greater Brisbane. Learn how these trends are shaping the market and what it means for buyers and sellers alike. Key topics include: Brisbane's tightest supply suburbs: Where are the opportunities? High listing volume suburbs and what they mean for buyers. The role of supply and demand in driving price trends. How to assess buyer competition and plan effective strategies. Insights into SQM Research data and market patterns. Whether you're a homebuyer, investor, or just interested in Brisbane real estate trends, this episode is packed with actionable insights to help you navigate the market. Subscribe to stay updated with the latest episodes and gain expert insights that can guide your investment decisions. Subscribe on Youtube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCW30uBCnHQ2YllnwGKHNfxg Listen on Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/5tODCtY54iQrxadNqqmevs Streamline Property Buyers Website https://streamlineproperty.com.au/ Ready to work with us directly? https://streamlineproperty.com.au/contact/  

This week on the Urban Property Investor, we give you some real estate resolutions as we discuss the 2025 market outlook for real estate in Australia. If you're looking to kick goals in 2025 this one is for you!   Exploring various predictions from banks, valuers, and economic research firms, highlighting the differences in market performance across regions. This episode is a must listen for anyone looking to make some real estate moves in 2025. Best to learn from the pros and get ahead of the crowd, listen to episode 235 of the Urban Property Investor now.   I discuss -    00:00 - 2025 Market Outlook Introduction 02:21 - Predictions and Insights from Valuers 11:23 - Oxford Economics Perspective 20:07 - SQM Research and Capital Growth Scenarios 30:10 - Strategies for Buying in 2025   Don't hesitate to hit me up on Facebook @SamSaggers. DM me any of your questions :)   If you're yet to subscribe, be sure to do so on your favourite channel.    Apple - https://pre.fyi/upi-apple   Spotify - ⁣⁣https://pre.fyi/upi-spotify ⁣ YouTube - https://pre.fyi/upi-youtube   And remember, I'm really good on 1.25 or 1.5 speed :)   Take care,  Sam

Things are constantly changing in real estate nationwide but the one factor that never changes is this:  we can always rely on news media to distort the facts and deliver a steady flow of misinformation to Australian consumers, all in the interests of attracting readership, with little regard for accuracy, honesty or fairness. The past week or so has been chockful of media nonsense. If you can believe the headlines, the national property boom is over, house prices are plunging, the rental boom is over and the North Queensland city of Townsville is a mining town. One of the constants of my 40-plus years charting Australian real estate is that there are lines and lines of idiots scrambling to be the first to declare that a boom is over, usually long before it actually is. This is often fed by data research entities like CoreLogic where the key people never let the facts get in the way of good headline and free publicity. So Australia has been resplendent lately with strident headlines declaring that the national property boom is over or words to that effect. Here's the first problem: we don't have a national property boom so it's rather odd to declare that something which doesn't exist is finished. We have certainly had a boom in Perth, Adelaide and Brisbane among the capital cities, but certainly nothing remotely resembling a boom in the other five state and territory capitals.  It's a similar scenario in the regional markets, with a variety of different situations ranging from downturn and stagnation to moderate growth and, in some cases, strongly rising prices. But nationally growth in house and unit prices has averaged 6 or 7 percent throughout 2024 – and lately the annual growth rate, as a national average, has been 4 or 5 percent. Only in the fertile imaginations of media headline writers would that constitute a boom. But, according to various media outlets, this mythical boom is over – even though the latest figures for annual growth in three of our capital cities and three of our state regional markets are still well above 10%. The only places where the evidence suggests the boom is over are the ones where a boom never took place – like Melbourne, Hobart, Darwin and Canberra. But not only, according to media, is the fictional national boom over, but property prices are plunging. One headline in Fairfax media claimed to reveal Why property prices are plunging across Australia – amid warning they could slide even further. A close examination of the article underneath this startling headline discovered there was no evidence in the story to justify the headline. Quite simply, the headline was a blatant fabrication – which, sadly, is all too common in today's news media. The article revealed that Sydney's median price was 0.8% lower than three months earlier but 3.3% higher than a year earlier, while Melbourne was down 1% over three months. Nothing in those figures goes even close to “prices plunging”. In the other major cities prices were still rising and indeed were still growing at boom time rates. House prices were also up in the Combined Regions in the latest month, the latest quarter and the past year– and unit prices were also up nationally, both in the cities and the regions. So, there was very little sign of even minor decline in prices anywhere and certainly no evidence at all of price plunging.  So this was yet another instance of a headline which was an outright and blatant lie. And who wrote this rubbish? well, it was the champion of negative media about residential real estate, the endlessly sad Shane Wright who has devoted his career to writing nonsense about property markets. But wait, there's more. Not only is the fictional national price boom over, but apparently the rental boom is over as well! There have been strident headlines and soundbites inferring that rents are no longer rising.  As is so often the case with these big sweeping media statements, the claim was based on a single month's figures from one source. Nationally, rents rose only 0.2% in November, according to CoreLogic, therefore the boom is over in the simplistic minds of attention-seeking analysts and journalists. And, yes, once again, the source of this myopic and shallow analysis is CoreLogic, a business which publishes lots of major real estate data but is quite dreadful at analysing what it all means. So CoreLogic's head of research Tim Lawless said: “At 5.3% annual growth, rents are still rising at more than twice the pre-pandemic decade average of 2.0%, but given the weak monthly change the annual trend is set to slow further from here. “It will be interesting to see if the rate of rental growth rebounds through the seasonally strong first quarter of the year in 2025, but beyond any seasonality, it looks increasingly like the rental boom is over”. But other sources tell a different story. SQM Research records a monthly rise of a tick under 1% as the national average for residential rents, with Adelaide up 1.1%, Perth rising 1.9% and Canberra up 1.5%. The national vacancy rate remains a fraction above 1%, essentially unchanged from three years ago, so can anyone justify a claim that the rental shortage crisis and rising rents is all done and dusted? Hardly. Another startling set of headlines resulted from the latest Regional Market Update from CoreLogic which declared that the highest capital growth was occurring in Queensland and WA mining towns. I was truly perplexed because I know there has been little price growth recently in mining towns like Karratha, Port Hedland and Newman in WA and Moranbah in Queensland. However, the headlines resulted from CoreLogic boffins – yes, it's CoreLogic again - re-defining major regional cities as mining towns.  Apparently Townsville, which has one of the most diverse economies in regional Australia, with only minor influence from the resources sector, is now a mining town.  So is the key Central Queensland of Mackay, apparently, despite being 2-3 hours' drive from the nearest coal mine. In WA, the key regional city of Geraldton is also, apparently, a mining town, according to Core illogic, although the nearest iron ore mine is an hour's drive away. All of this, and a whole lot more, reinforces our view that there is more misinformation than actual information in mainstream media. And that any real estate consumer who bases a decision on the content of media reports is at risk of making a very bad decision.

The greatest complaint heard most often in real estate across Australia is that there are plenty of buyers, but a shortage of listings.   The number of properties for sale has been well short of the levels needed for a balanced market, particularly in the boom cities of Adelaide, Brisbane and Perth.   But that is steadily changing. According to SQM Research, total listings of properties for sale nationwide grew 7.6% in November and are now more than 10% higher than a year ago.   Perhaps most significantly, there were major rises in November in those three boom cities, with the number of listings up 20% in Perth and close to 17% in Adelaide, with Brisbane recording a rise of 8.6%.    That follows significant increases in October also.   The rise in listings nationally in November was driven by a 6.4% rise in old listings (stock on market over 180 days) and a notable 22% rise in properties being on the market between 30 to 90 days.   SQM Research commented that this strongly indicated that the spring selling season had been a disappointing period for vendors and agents.   Cities with significant annual increases in listings included Sydney, Melbourne and Hobart – all up 16 to 17 per cent – and Canberra, up 23% in annual terms.   Comparing the current situation with recent history, national listings of properties for sale are still below the levels common before 2021, but have been generally rising since July.   In Sydney, listings are the highest they've been since 2019 and in Melbourne they're the highest since November 2020. In Canberra they're close to the peak levels of 2019.   In Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide they're still well below historic levels but have been rising steadily since mid-2024, with particularly large increases in November.   The rise in the number of properties for sale coincides with evidence that the rate of price growth is reducing in those market-leading cities.   The big exception in all this is Darwin, the only capital city to record a reduction in the number of listings in November – and it remains 17% below the levels of a year ago.   The figures provide further evidence of change in individual markets, with a growing number of indictors that the Perth boom has passed its peak and that there may be stronger price performance in places like Darwin in 2025.  

It does not take long for distressed sales to appear in a soft property market: In Sydney and Melbourne there is now clear weakness in inner-city apartment markets.But can an investor make money here? Louis Christopher of SQM Research joins wealth editor James Kirby in this episode. ------------ In today's show, we cover: * Soft spots in the metropolitan centres * Why Brisbane and Perth may hold up in 2025* Off-the-plan risks reappear * When one-bedroom units make sense  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Send us a text01:46 – Louis Christopher's Housing Boom & Bust Report 2025 02:33 – House price predictions for 2025 across Australia07:00 – Why Melbourne has become a buyer's market with an increase in distressed selling12:15 – Why Louis is optimistic about Brisbane16:25 – How the population decline in Hobart is affecting housing prices19:05 – Interest rates, Migration, and Over Population22:11 – How do you select the best agent?30:16 – There are more ‘sold priors' than ‘sold under the hammer' in Sydney 31:08 – What are the best buys?32:08 – How do you calculate the ‘Real Interest Rate”?LOUIS CHRISTOPHER is the Founder and Managing Director of SQM Research and one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts. Known for his accurate forecasts and in-depth market knowledge, Louis provides invaluable insights into the Australian property market to help you make your next move!This episode is sponsored by Local Agent Finder 

 It's been 15 months since Prime Minister Anthony Albanese made his big announcement about fixing the housing shortage – but there has been, as yet, no progress in lifting rental vacancies and suppressing rental growth.   The press conference making the announcement that the Federal Government would build 1.2 million new homes in five years was held in August 2023 – but more than a year later it's clear that little progress has been made and that rental vacancies are not improving.   The latest figures on vacancy rates from SQM Research shows the national vacancy rate at 1.2% In October, unchanged from September and only a fraction higher than a year ago.   Five of the eight state and territory capital cities actually recorded a month-on-month reduction in their vacancy rates, while two others recorded no change.   The only capital city to have an increase in vacancies was Darwin.   Overall, the number of properties available for rental has dropped from almost 38,000 in September to 36,500 in October.   To put that in context, in December 2016 – the last time Australia had a vacancy rate close to 3% - there were 90,000 homes available for rent across the nation.   And Australia has added about three million people to its population since 2016.   Compared with a year ago, when the Federal Government was spruiking its big fix to the shortage of homes, five of the eight capital cities still have vacancy rates at similar or the same levels – and one, Hobart, is significantly lower than 12 months ago.   The highest vacancy rate among the eight capital cities is Canberra at 1.7% - the same as it was a year ago and significantly lower than the benchmark 3% which is considered in the industry to represent a balanced rental market with stable rents.   Now, a year is a long enough time for a government to move the dial on an issue like the rental shortage. Australia could improve this situation almost overnight by implementing measures to encourage and incentivise Australians to become landlords.   The big problem, which has been building now for many years, is that the nation has a chronic shortage of people willing to take on the task of being landlords – buying an investment property and making it available for others to live in.   Government doesn't perform this role and neither does big business. Over 90% of the homes that people rent in Australia are provided by mum-and-dad investors – but fewer and fewer people are willing to do it, at a time when the costs of doing so are unattractively high and the rules and regulations keep changing to the distinct disadvantage of the owners.   Governments caused this rental shortage and they keep making it worse. So rental vacancies are unlikely to improve in the foreseeable future.   And while that remains the case, there will continue to be upward pressure on rents and an absence of choice for people who need to rent or choose to rent.   Four years ago, the median weekly rent for a house in Australia was around $440 – today it's over $700.  

Send us a text

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How long could we reasonably expect governments to take, to sort out a problem like the rental shortage? I ask the question because we have had the problem of a shortage of options for tenants in Australia – and the consequent steep rises in rents - for a very long time. And it keeps getting worse, not better. The latest data from SQM Research shows that, nationally, the vacancy rate got a little worse last month, dropping from 1.3% in August to 1.2% in September.  Three of our capital cities have vacancies well below 1%. And in six of the eight capital cities, vacancies stayed the same or got smaller in September. In only two cities was there a slight improvement.  But the key piece of information is the longevity of this rental shortage crisis.  Australia has had vacancies below 1.5% for close to three years now. It's generally considered that a balanced rental market – one in which there is ample supply of homes for tenants to choose from and rents are stable – is one where vacancies are at least 3%. The data from SQM Research shows that Australia has not had a vacancy rate as high as 3% at any time in the past 20 years. The closest we came was 2.9% in April 2020 after the onset of Covid caused major disruption to property markets.  Since then, the national vacancy rate has dropped sharply, reaching 1.2% in March 2022 – and it has hovered between 1% and 1.3% for the past two and a half years. According to SQM Research, a further 1,700 rental properties disappeared from Australia's rental market in September – at a time when the nation's population has surpassed 27 million. The SQM report said: “The total number of rental vacancies now stands at 37,932 residential properties, a decrease from 39,665 in August.”  There are clear reasons why we have had this steady decline in the number of properties available for rental, a shortage which has caused rents to rise and rise. Mostly, those reasons relate to the decisions of politicians, particularly state politicians, in making life increasingly onerous for the investors who provide over 90% of the homes that people rent in Australia. State and territory governments have increased taxes on investors and have changed the rental laws in ways that have eroded the rights of the owners. This has led to a reduction in the number of homes available for rental. In Victoria, the state with the most onerous conditions for investors including big tax increases, the number of rental properties in the state has fallen by 22,000 so far this year, as the investor exodus gathered momentum on the back of anti-landlord legislation. That's according to new data from the Department of Families, Fairness and Housing. And its data supports a trend identified in the latest Investor Sentiment Survey published by PIPA – the Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA). The survey described a "sell-off of investment properties around the nation" that has "continuing unabated" and "fuelling fears of an even tighter rental market". But the problem is most acute in Victoria. PIPA Victoria board director Cate Bakos says legislative changes and increased taxes are driving investors from the state. A new land tax regime, minimum rental property standards legislation, and policies that are seen as overly tenant-friendly have caused many investors to sell up in Victoria. Nicola McDougall, the Chair of PIPA says: “This is predominantly due to its plethora of anti-investor rental reforms, as well its new land tax regime that is set to cost investors billions of dollars over the years ahead.” PIPA's annual investor sentiment survey found Victoria was regarded as the “least accommodating” state or territory for property investors in the nation, with 22% of survey respondents indicating they had sold at least one dwelling in Melbourne in the last year. As a consequence, rental availability has fallen and rents have risen. Data from Domain shows that the vast majority of Melbourne suburbs recorded rent rises this year, continuing a trend that has extended over several years. According to the Domain rent report for the September quarter, the median house rent in Melbourne at the start of 2022 was $440 a week. Now it's $580 a week. The median unit rent was $375 a week in January 2022 and now it's $550 a week. That's an increase of almost 50% in less than three years. But the problems keep getting worse, with NSW being the latest state government to pass new laws detrimental to landlords. REINSW CEO Tim McKibbin says the lessons for the NSW Government are crystal clear but have been disregarded. He says: “The removal of landlords' rights under the guise of populist rental reforms has had a clear negative impact on renters elsewhere. “The rental reforms by the NSW Government will result in more investors selling up or opting for a short-term accommodation strategy, both of which remove more properties from the private rental market. “This is already happening and it's happening at a time when the NSW population is increasing by over 15,000 people each month. The rental market is in crisis and we need solutions, not reforms that we know from recent experience will make the problem worse.” And that pretty much sums up the seriousness and absurdity of this ongoing issue. Australia has had a rental shortage crisis for several years but the only policies implemented by state governments have made a bad situation even worse.  

Australian real estate has been characterised by three different types of shortage which have put upward pressure on rents and prices. Those are the shortage of rental properties, the shortage of new dwellings under construction and the shortage of homes listed for sale. While the shortage of rental homes and the under-supply of new homes persists, there has been recent improvement in the number of homes listed for sale by vendors. SQM Research finds that the number of residential property listings nationwide rose by 8% in August, bringing the total to almost 250,000 properties, up from 231,000 recorded in July. In annual terms, listings of homes for sale are now 11% higher than a year.  Nationally, new listings recorded a 12% surge in August, with over 73,000 fresh property listings entering the market. Sydney new listings were the highest level ever recorded for the month of August, according to SQM. It reports that total listings of homes for sale in August recorded significant increases across most major cities. Even boom cities like Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide recorded major increases in the number of properties for sale. Indeed, Perth had an 11% monthly increase in listings, reaching over 13,000 properties for sale – BUT Perth remains the only city with a significant yearly decrease, still 21% below August last year. Canberra up 11% and Adelaide up 9% both showed solid monthly growth in listings – and Canberra experienced the largest yearly increase of all major cities at 32%. Brisbane reported a moderate monthly increase of 7% in August, bringing the total to a little over 18,000 listings – which is 3.3% higher than a year ago. These improvements in listings of homes for sale – which may be inspired by the belief that Spring is a good time to sell – may take some of the pressure off dwelling prices, particularly if the rise in action by vendors continues in September and October.

Adelaide's property market, one of the nation's strongest in the past two years, has strengthened further recently.  ales volumes shows that market activity in the June quarter was the highest for Greater Adelaide since mid-2022. The June Quarter sales levels represented a 25% increase on the March Quarter and were 10% higher than the same time last year. This is despite the reality that listings of homes for sale across Adelaide are the lowest at any time in the past 15 years, according to SQM Research figures. This continues Adelaide's track record as a market with consistently high performance and helps to explain why it has been a challenger to Perth as the market with the highest price growth in the past two years. Adelaide's median house price rose 15% in the 12 months to August 2024, while the median unit price increased 12%, according to PropTrack data.  Only Perth has recorded higher annual price growth. Across the Greater Adelaide market, suburbs with positive trends with sales activity outnumber those with negative ones by a factor of three to one. The Greater Adelaide area has standout markets across all price ranges, including affordable municipalities like Playford and Salisbury, middle market areas including Marion and West Torrens, and more upmarket locations such as the Unley, Holdfast Bay and Charles Sturt LGAs. The Playford LGA, which contains Adelaide's cheapest suburbs, is the most popular precinct for buyers, with over 800 dwelling sales in the June Quarter. That was 31% higher than the same time last year – and a 53% increase on the March Quarter.  Most Playford suburbs have positive sales trends, either rising or consistent, with Blakeview and Davoren Park in particular standing out for their consistent buyer demand. The median house price for Blakeview has risen 16% to $550,000 in the past 12 months, while Davoren Park is up 33% to $440,000. Davoren Park had a median house price of just $175,000 three years ago. The neighbouring Salisbury LGA, another precinct targeted for its affordable homes, is also a strong performer with sales levels considerably higher than the March Quarter and also the same time in 2023. Rising markets in the City of Salisbury are headed by standout suburbs like Ingle Farm and Mawson Lakes. The median house price for Ingle Farm was $380,000 three years ago and is now $655,000, after 19% growth in the past 12 months. Another outer-ring location with outstanding numbers is the Mount Barker LGA, which has recorded the highest quarterly sales numbers in more than three years. The suburbs with strongly rising sales activity include Nairne and Mount Barker. Nairne's median house price has risen 17% to $750,000 in the past 12 months. Among the middle market areas, the West Torrens LGA is a notable performer with a significant increase in sales activity in the June Quarter – the highest levels since late in 2021. There are no suburbs with negative trends in West Torrens, while rising markets are headed by Underdale, Torrensville, Plympton and Fulham. The Port-Adelaide Enfield LGA has numerous suburbs with positive ratings, with sales activity overall much higher in the June Quarter compared to the March Quarter and the same time last year. Notable rising markets include Lightsview and Blair Athol. The City of Marion has recorded its highest quarterly sales numbers since mid-2022 in a market dominated by suburbs with positive sales trends, including rising suburbs Warradale, Hallett Cove and Edwardstown. The median house price for Hallett Cove has risen from $470,000 to $800,000 in the past four years. Some of Adelaide's more upmarket precincts are also travelling well. Ten of the suburbs in the Charles Sturt LGA are ranked as rising markets, headed by Flinders Park, Findon and Bowden. Sales activity has been rising steadily in the Holdfast Bay municipality in the past four quarters. A standout feature is that the unit markets in both Glenelg and Glenelg North are classified as rising markets in our latest analysis. The upmarket City of Unley has a particularly strong June Quarter, with sales numbers up almost 50% on the March Quarter. Rising suburbs include Parkside (median house price $1.3 million), Clarence Park ($1.27 million) and Myrtle Bank ($1.6 million). The overall conclusion is that the Adelaide market continues to pump strongly and is likely to be a national market leader on price growth for the foreseeable future.

The Australian property market has always been a collection of regional sectors: But one regional property sector stands out with the strongest long-term fundamentals: Queensland. Louis Christopher of SQM Research joins wealth editor James Kirby for this episode. ------------- In today's show, we cover: * Why Queensland tops the bill for this top property analyst  * Unit prices are rising and that's not good for the market - here's why  * Why regional vacancy rates remain tight  * My super for my home - the argument against it See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dive into the latest Wealth Coffee Chat with Cass from Property Management Team where heunlock the secrets to mastering rental market values and optimising your property investments for maximum passive income. Discover how tools like CoreLogic, along with insights from SQM Research and realestate.com, can empower landlords to make informed decisions about rental prices and property management. Don't miss out on expert strategies for staying ahead in today's dynamic real estate market! Let's Wealth Coffee Chat!

Podcast Episode #76: Property Market Pulse, Predictions and Policies to Fix the Housing Market   Featuring: Louis Christopher - SQM RESEARCH   Intro: Welcome to our next edition of the Propertybuyer Podcast. The last interest rate rise was November 2023 when the RBA raised the cash rate to 4.35%. Recent inflation figures have been quite slow at coming down prompting lots of conjecture from economists about whether the RBA will raise one more time to kill off inflation. Cost of living is really bitting into household budgets and economic growth is quite constrained. However, the housing market appears to be running at a different speed in various locations. Today we are privileged to have Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research  to help take the current pulse of the property market and see which parts of the country and rising or falling and where it is heading in 2025. Louis Christopher is one of the most accurate property forecasters I know, and he produces an annual Boom and Bust report providing excellent insights into the future of the property market across Australia. Today we will discuss the real impact of interest rate rises on the property market, how to fix the housing crisis, predictions for 2025, listing volumes in the upcoming spring selling season and when the next property boom will come.   Thought of the Week “Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life.” –Steve Jobs   Questions we will cover in this Podcast: What has been the Impact of higher interest rates on property prices and consumer confidence over the past 12 months? How long has it taken for interest rate rises to completely wash through the economy over this last rate rising cycle? What's you view on how international events like the Ukraine / Russia war, US Election, Israel /Gaza War – impact property market here? How fast do you think the housing market will reignite once we start to see interest rate cuts? What are the current figures for building approvals? Has this been improving or declining and why? Is the Federal governments target of building 240,000 new homes per annum fanciful pipe dream? What the key housing policies do you think will fix the housing crisis? What impact will the massive immigration intake over the past two years have on the property market over the next three to five years? Do you think the government will radically reduce immigration levels? Or keep them moderate to make sure there is sufficient economic growth and a skilled labour force? What are your property predictions over the next 12 months?  What are the X-factors to look out for? How accurate have been your property price forecasts in your boom and bust report over the past 12 months? Listing volumes – what are the latest trends in each city? Do you expect Spring to be an active market or a subdued market in terms of volumes? Rental market-  what's happening with rents in each city? Are rent rises toning down or will vacancy rates remain low for sometime yet? Are you seeing any evidence of distressed selling ? What are the figures for delinquent mortgages ? How much variation in each state? When do you think we will get the next big property boom? What will be the main drivers of demand and supply going forward?

There really is no realistic prospect of rental vacancies rising significantly any time soon, which is grim news for tenants in most parts of Australia. Vacancy rates continue to be close to those historic lows that have become the norm in the past couple of years and I can't see any way they will improve in the foreseeable future. The politicians who have created this unprecedented shortage of rental properties are clueless about how to fix their mess – and most of their actions which impact on the situation make it worse, not better. The latest data on vacancies nationwide – from one of the key sources, SQM Research - has the national vacancy rate at 1.3% in June, the same as it was a year ago. We still have capital cities with vacancy rates well below 1%, including Adelaide, Perth and Darwin. That June vacancy rate was slightly up on the rate for May, but that's attributed to seasonal factors. Here's what Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research and one of Australia's most experienced and respected research analysts, says about the current situation and about the future of vacancy rates: “Based on history, we have now reached the peak in rental vacancy rates for Winter. It is likely that, vacancy rates will now begin to tighten again and keep tightening until November. “So far this year, we have recorded very similar vacancy rates compared to the same period in 2023.  “Overall, the national rental market remains in severe shortage and barring some exceptions, is not expected to materially soften out of the rental crisis for some years.”  So what does this mean for residential rents? Well, it doesn't necessarily mean they are going to continue rising at 10% or more per year. While vacancies are set to remain dangerously low for some time, there is a ceiling beyond which rents can't rise because to the capacity of tenants to pay. Louis Christopher says: “Much of the structural rental shortage has now been priced into the rental market and so I do believe the days of 10-20% plus annual rental increases have come to an end.” I agree. Tenants, who tend to have lower incomes, have had years of rising rents and they can't keep paying more and more in rent, in times when they're also paying more for food, electricity, petrol and other essentials. But the situation of ongoing ultra-low vacancies does mean that rents won't fall. They will remain at the current high levels for the foreseeable future.  

Economists don't understand residential real estate very well and they're scratching their collective heads over why prices keep rising when interest rates are high. Here's a couple of simple things to help them out: one is that, historically, there's no evidence that rising interest rates lead to falling property prices. There's nothing unusual about what's currently happening in Australian property markets. But the key factor is that we have very high demand for real estate, fuelled by record population growth, at a time of incredibly low supply.  The rental shortage is well documented. But another statistic that depicts under-supply is the incredibly low level of listings in many parts of the nation. The number of homes for sale is at dramatically low levels.  In June, the number of national residential property listings decreased by 8.3% compared to May. Part of that was a 13% decline in the number of new listings of homes for sale, according to SQM Research. Notably, all major cities experienced a decrease in their listings in June. Adelaide recorded the largest monthly decrease in total listings, falling by over 15%. Melbourne and Perth followed, both recording decreases of 12%.  Perth recorded the largest annual decrease of 32%, while Adelaide, Brisbane and Darwin also had big falls in the number of homes for sale. The data on listings correlates generally with the results we are seeing with prices. The cities with the biggest declines in the number of properties for sale – Perth, Adelaide and Brisbane – are the ones with the major escalation in prices. Cities where listings remain higher than a year ago – like Melbourne, Canberra and Hobart – are the weakest performers on price growth recently. In Melbourne, for example, listings are 12% higher than a year ago. It illustrates, yet again, that we don't have a single property market in Australia, but lots of local markets doing different things. And it also shows that supply and demand factors will override other issues, such as high interest rates. A new factor now coming into the equation is the Federal Government's tax cuts, which are likely to add to demand and put further upward pressure on prices by increasing borrowing capacity. According to an analysis done by Shore Financial, borrowing capacity would increase by 4% for those with an income of $90,000 and 5% or more for those with an income of $100,000 or more. According to Mortgage Choice, the borrowing capacity of a buyer with a $100,000 income could increase by about $25,000 while someone earning $150,000 could borrow about $37,000 more. In the meantime, the capacity of Australians to cut through all the barriers and buy real estate is shown in the lending figures – including the rise in the size of the average loan, which now sits at $625,000. Sally Tindall, research director at comparison website, RateCity.com.au., says this: “Over the last two years, buyers have seen their maximum borrowing capacity plummet, in some cases by hundreds of thousands of dollars, as a result of the RBA hikes, and yet the average new loan size has hit a new record high. Tindall says: “It's astounding to think owner-occupiers are, on average, taking out larger loans than ever before, despite the fact the cash rate is sitting at a 12-year-high.” Maybe it's not so astounding, given that demand from owner-occupiers and from investors remains high and supply continues to be low, putting further upward pressure on prices.  

Wondering how the 2024 property forecasts are stacking up so far? Tune in to our mid-year review as we dive into the real estate predictions that nailed it and the ones that missed the mark. In this episode, we dissect the key trends, market shifts, and unexpected twists that have shaped the housing landscape in the first half of the year. Today, we have Louis Christopher with us again to share his insights from the much-anticipated “Boom or Bust” report. Louis has a knack for making accurate predictions, but he's also refreshingly honest about where he's gone astray. We explore his methodology and the factors he weighs when making his forecasts. This episode is a must for anyone keen on understanding property market predictions and figuring out which ones to trust. We also peek into what the rest of the year might hold, including potential surprises and how elements like inflation and geopolitical tensions could sway the market. Tune in to get a better grasp of the 2024 property market trends 'cause whether you're buying, selling, or investing, this episode offers vital insights into the current property market dynamics and what to keep an eye on in the months ahead. Episode Highlights: 00:00 - Introduction 01:01 - Who is Louis Christopher? 01:43 - Discussion on the national market performance and overall trends observed in 2024 03:07 - Analysis of the market slowdown and how it compares to previous years 07:32 - Why the lack of major surprises in the property market despite economic uncertainties 12:15 - Discussion on Perth's growth trajectory and contributing factors 16:53 - Projected rise of unemployment in Perth and its potential effects on property prices 19:00 - Brisbane's growth and how it compares to other major cities 22:16 - How the number of property listings in Brisbane has changed over recent years 28:43 - Trend of declining property listings and transaction volumes in various locations 30:35 - The influence of stamp duty on property prices and market activity 35:08 - Louis' analysis on the Australian Capital Territory 37:00 - The potential impact of upcoming elections on housing market forecasts 41:13 - The importance of creating scenarios to anticipate future developments in real estate 42:27 - How does media coverage influence public perception of real estate forecasts? 47:27 - Louis Christopher's property dumbo About Our Guest: Louis Christopher established SQM Research in 2006. He was Head of Research and General Manager of the property statistics agency, Australian Property Monitors (APM) for six years. During his time at APM, Louis constructed key residential property market indexes published by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Prior to APM Louis spent three years at the Securities Institute of Australia as a Technical Editor. Louis previously spent 18 months at MLC working in the investment services. He is widely respected for the quality and accuracy of his market outlooks, ratings philosophy and forecasts for the Australian residential property market. Connect with Louis Christopher: Connect with Louis on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/louischristopher/ Visit SQM's website: https://sqmresearch.com.au/ Connect with Louis on X: https://x.com/LouiChristopher Resources mentioned in this episode: Download Louis Christopher's 2024 Housing Boom and Bust Report here: https://sqmresearch.com.au/boombustreport.php Resources: Visit our website https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au If you have any questions or would like to be featured on our show, contact us at: The Elephant in the Room Property Podcast questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? https://www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://www.veronicamorgan.com.au Looking for a Mortgage Broker? https://www.blusk.au Work with Chris: hello@blusk.au Enjoyed the podcast? Don't miss out on what's yet to come! Hit that subscription button, spread the word and join us for more insightful discussions in real estate. Your journey starts now! Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theelephantintheroom-podcast Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ph/podcast/the-elephant-in-the-room-property-podcast/id1384822719 Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Ge1626dgnmK0RyKPcXjP0?si=26cde394fa854765 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Hello, everyone, and welcome back to another episode of the Brisbane Property Podcast with your hosts, Melinda and Scott Jennison! In this May market update episode, we dive deep into the latest trends and updates for Brisbane's property scene, featuring data from CoreLogic, PropTrack, and SQM Research up to the end of May 2024. The property market is intensifying, making it an exciting time for Brisbane real estate. To stay up to date with the latest insights, this episode is a must-listen!  Episode Highlights: Property Price Movements: Get the latest insights on how property prices are shifting across the city, with detailed analysis and data. House vs. Unit Market: Discover why units continue to outperform houses, and what this means for buyers and investors. Capital City Comparisons: See how Brisbane's property market stacks up against other major capital cities in Australia. Rental Market Conditions: Stay informed about the current rental market dynamics, including vacancy rates and rental yields. Melinda and Scott bring their expertise and passion for the Brisbane property market to provide you with an all-rounded update, ensuring you stay ahead of the curve in this ever-changing landscape. Enjoyed this episode? Don't forget to hit the like button and subscribe to our channel for more weekly updates and expert insights on the Brisbane property market! Connect with Us: Subscribe on Youtube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCW30uBCnHQ2YllnwGKHNfxg Listen on Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/5tODCtY54iQrxadNqqmevs Streamline Property Buyers Website https://streamlineproperty.com.au/ Ready to work with us directly? https://streamlineproperty.com.au/contact/    

Property listings rose across to nation to more normal levels, but SQM Research's Louis Christopher tells John Baldock, so too did distressed sales, although they're still at below pandemic levels. Plus, SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with Jun Bei Liu from Tribeca Investment Partners about the day's sharemarket action as gold continues to reach new highs.

Property listings rose across to nation to more normal levels, but SQM Research's Louis Christopher tells John Baldock, so too did distressed sales, although they're still at below pandemic levels. Plus, SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with Jun Bei Liu from Tribeca Investment Partners about the day's sharemarket action as gold continues to reach new highs.

The chronic housing shortage that we've been hearing so much about lately is getting worse – and will continue to get more and more serious. Three major measures of the supply of homes, both for purchase and for rent, are heading in the wrong direction for a nation that needs solutions from our politicians. Building approvals continue to fall when the nation needs them to be rising, loans for the purchase of new dwellings are also heading in the wrong direction, and vacancy rates continue to go lower, when the one-third of households that rent need them to rise to take the pressure off rents. And what are our state and federal governments doing to solve this crisis? Well, collectively, they're making it worse.  They keep passing laws that make owning an investment property more and more onerous, causing growing numbers of owners to sell, thereby reducing the rental pool and making vacancies worse. They also keep adding to the costs of creating new homes, which makes it harder for the building industry to provide the new supply the nation needs. The Federal Government has set the grand target of 1.2 million new homes over five years but, as is so often the case with politicians, they haven't thought much about it beyond the press conference. When the Government says it's going to build 1.2 million new homes, what it really means is that it hopes the building industry can somehow deliver its target - without actually having any policies to address the problems which will mean this grand objective is unattainable. All the latest data shows how far behind we are in terms of achieving this goal. Currently, the production of new dwellings in Australia is the lowest it has been in 12 years. Approvals to build new houses showed an almost 10% decline in January, compared to December. Seasonally adjusted, the January numbers were the weakest since June 2012. In the past 12 months, there have been approvals to build 101,000 new houses, the lowest in more than a decade. The ABS data shows that new house approvals have fallen in four of the past six months – and there is a clear pattern of decline in new homes at a time when we need it to be picking up. Meanwhile, the Housing Industry Association says that the number of loans issued for the purchase and construction of new homes fell by 4.2% in January and remains at its lowest level since 2008. HIA Chief Economist Tim Reardon says lending for new homes was at record lows in 2023, and this downward trend has continued into the new year. The trend surprises no one in the housing industry, where there is widespread cynicism about the Federal Government's grand announcement, without any policy substance to deal with the many issues that plague the home building industry. There continue to be shortages of materials and tradespeople, costs continue to be high, elevated interest rates don't help and we continue to see building companies go broke week by week. Australia is currently having a boom in infrastructure construction and that has sucked a lot of resources out of home building. State Government and local council meddling with the process continues to cause costly delays and to add to the cost of building new homes, making it increasingly difficult to operate profitably. The weakness in building approvals nationally is being seen at a state level as well. In Victoria, the number of houses approved for construction has dropped to the lowest level for over a decade – with approvals in January the lowest since October 2013 – and this in a state where the State Government had said it would build 800,000 new dwellings in a decade. Victoria has one of the weakest situations in the nation, not helped by having the highest property taxes among the states and territories - with new imposts being imposed in 2024 to further discourage investment and construction. In Tasmania, building approvals have dropped 30% in the past two years. Indeed, in January private sector house approvals fell in all states, including by 17% in Victoria and by 13% in NSW. The third measure of the chronic dwelling shortage is vacancy rates for rental properties, which have been dropping steadily for the past 5-6 years. They were already at historic lows across Australia but the latest vacancy rate data shows them going lower still. The national vacancy rate recorded by SQM Research fell from 1.3% in December to 1.1% in January, with vacancies falling in all eight capital cities. State and territory governments continue to make decisions and pass laws that are detrimental to property owners, causing investors to sell, thereby reducing the rental pool further. Investors owners are already faced with massively increased costs through higher interest rates, increased council rates, rising state taxes, higher insurance premiums and increased maintenance costs. Years of detrimental decisions by governments has created this chronic rental shortage and it continues to get worse. The Victorian State Government is introducing a raft of measures in 2024 which collectively are a major discouragement to property owners – and more and more investors are selling up and getting out of the Victoria. It's significant that, according to the SQM Research figures, the biggest decrease in vacancy rates was seen in Melbourne, which dropped from 1.5% in December to just 1.1% in January – a massive change in a single month. Another property data source, PropTrack, also puts the national vacancy rate at 1.1% - but a third source, Domain, has an even lower figure – just 0.7% in February, down from 0.8% in January. This is a new record low, according to Domain, which says the mismatch between low supply and rising demand is an ongoing challenge for tenants amid rapid population growth (boosted by overseas migration), a strained construction sector and rising property prices locking people into renting for longer. According to the Domain figures, six of the eight capital cities have vacancy rates below 1%, including just 0.3% in Adelaide and in Perth. All of this information presents a grim picture for the supply of homes, both for sale and for rental, across Australia - and means that prices and rents will continue to increase.

This was not supposed to happen: The regions were meant to return to their secondary position in the residential investment market after COVID-19. Instead, over the last three months, prices rose faster than in the cities and the rental vacancy rates remained tight as hell... what gives?In today's show, we cover:  The curious case of the regional property bounceback How the national market is already looking better than last year's forecasts Are investors in one-bedroom units facing a disadvantage Navigating property taxes  Property analyst Louis Christoper of SQM Research joins Wealth Editor James Kirby in this episode See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In our first episode of 2024, hosts Melinda and Scott Jennison unravel the insights from Christopher's Boom or Bust Report by SQM Research, providing a detailed analysis of the predictions that will shape the Brisbane property landscape in the coming year. Discover the latest findings, including forecasts for dwelling prices, market conditions, and influencing factors. Melinda and Scott bring their expert analysis to the table, examining how these predictions align with the current dynamics of the real estate market in Brisbane. Understanding the potential impact on buyers, sellers, and investors in Brisbane is crucial. This episode equips you with valuable knowledge to make informed decisions in the ever-evolving real estate landscape so you can uncover opportunities and challenges that may arise throughout the year.   Connect with Us: Subscribe on Youtube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCW30uBCnHQ2YllnwGKHNfxg Listen on Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/5tODCtY54iQrxadNqqmevs Streamline Property Buyers Website https://streamlineproperty.com.au/ Ready to work with us directly? https://streamlineproperty.com.au/contact/   If you liked this episode, please don't forget to subscribe, tune in, and share this podcast with others you know will benefit from the information we share!

There are lots of negative forecasts in news media about property prices in 2024, but if you own real estate or are planning to get into the market, do not be alarmed. At this time EVERY year, media is awash for pessimistic forecasts for real estate prices. And most of the time they are proven wrong by subsequent outcomes. Remember when Covid struck early in 2020? Media reports abounded with forecasts that house prices would collapse. But they didn't – prices rose in 2020. At the start of 2021, most forecasters agreed prices would rise that year, but only 5 or 6 percent. But by the end of the year, house prices had appreciated by an average of 25%. At the beginning of 2023, we were told by bank economists and media commentators that prices would drop at least 15% – because interest rates were rising. And yet again, they were not only wrong, but spectacularly wrong. Prices have grown in most markets across Australia, including price rises above 10% in some cities. So, as we head in 2024, the usual suspects are popping up with their price forecasts – and, you guessed it, they're mostly pessimistic. And news media is happy to publish them, despite the dreadful track record of so many of the forecasters. Essentially, journalists don't care about the credibility (or lack of it) of the commentators – anyone willing to stand up and declare that prices will collapse, or plummet, or nosedive, or fall off a cliff, is guaranteed lots of free publicity. Which is why the people putting out press releases usually make NEGATIVE forecasts with dire warnings about real estate matters – they know a screaming negative is the shortcut to a high media profile, content in the knowledge that no journalist in Australia will ever challenge them about getting it wrong all the time. An example of the mindset of the average journalist, and how it translates into misinformation for Australian consumers, is provided by media reaction to the Boom and Bust report published in November each year by experienced analyst Louis Christopher of SQM Research. Each year, this report presents four different scenarios to forecast what might happen with house prices in the coming year. Each scenario assumes different outcomes with interest rates, inflation and unemployment, with various price predictions for each different scenario. Journalists, being the sad, pathetic creatures that they are, will always zero in on the most negative of the four scenarios, and make that their story. So headlines have been screaming that prices will fall in 2024 in the big cities. It's worth noting that the Boom and Bust report a year ago had fairly pessimistic forecasts for Australian property prices – with prices tipped to fall everywhere except Perth in the worst- case scenario – but prices have been rising steadily in 2023. The senior economists at ANZ Bank, arguably the worst real estate forecasters in the nation, recently popped up with a report described a “triple whammy” of factors that will drag down property markets in 2024. Journalists and bank economists have a number of things in common – they're pessimistic by nature, they're not very good at their jobs, they're slow learners and they're not interested in helping people. They just want to generate headlines. So if you're a property investor, and you have a plan, tune out all the media white noise and just get on with it.

Louis Christopher is a leading real estate economist, data analyst, and forecaster. He is the founder of SQM Research, a property market research company.Louis is known for his annual Boom and Bust Report, which provides insights and forecasts for the Australian housing market.0:00:00 - Reserve Bank of Australia's decision0:04:09 - Louis Christopher's forecast for housing markets0:07:47 - Positive outlook for Adelaide0:09:10 - Discussion on migration's impact on prices and unemployment0:13:20 - Prediction of one-year housing market downturn0:13:43 - Possibility of interest rate cut next year0:13:55 - Potential impact of events in the Middle East and global economy  on interest rates0:15:43 - The individuals who benefit from rising interest rates and housing prices increase0:18:10 - Why wealthy individuals contribute to inflation 0:20:42 - Negative retail spending can lead to economic recession0:23:05 - Rental shortage expected to continue, building approvals fallingGet the full Boom & Bust Report from SQM Research The #TechTuesday training series is a Tom Panos & Realtair collaboration

Let's look into the future! How? With good data and some educated discussions! Data sources like SQM Research are essential for investors and could help you track the next booming suburb for your next investment. Know the where's, why's and how's far ahead of time. Let's Wealth Coffee Chat!

We're at the time of year again when everyone is wondering what's in store for property in the year ahead, particularly in light of another incredible year that's continued to defy most expectations. So Bushy and Kevin are delighted that Louis Christopher joins them in this week's show to go into some detail from his Christopher's Housing Boom and Bust Report from SQM Research.  We talk to the new President of the Real Estate Buyers Association, Melinda Jennison,  about low barriers to entry into the industry. NEW – join our Facebook group, The Property Hub Collective: https://www.facebook.com/groups/1857513011165686 Join the Property Hub community on Substack! Sign up to get Australian property news, opinion, and episodes in your inbox: https://propertyhubau.substack.com/ Subscribe to RealtyTalk on the Property Hub channel: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Email Property Hub is a collaboration between Bushy Martin from KnowHow Property, Kevin Turner from Realty, Andrew Montesi from Apiro Marketing and Apiro Media, and Australia's largest independent podcast network DM Media. Business and partnership enquiries: antony@dm.org.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Louis Christopher, managing director di SQM Research, che si occupa di monitorare il mercato delle case australiano, ha affermato che i prezzi delle case di Sydney e Melbourne potrebbero scendere di valore fino al 4% nel 2024.

The remarkable steadiness for which the Adelaide market is renowned continues, with our latest survey of market activity showing that most suburbs in the South Australian capital have busy markets and rising prices. Consistency has become the key defining feature of the Adelaide market. Our Spring survey found that while there are relatively few suburbs classified as rising markets in Adelaide, there are large numbers of consistency suburbs – with steady sales levels over the past few years. Overall, seven out of 10 suburbs have positive rankings – which is one of the highest in the nation. There are three key factors which underpin ongoing demand in the Adelaide market. One is that South Australia is one of the nation's strongest economies and continues to thrive on the state's innovation in the areas of technology and alternative energy, as well as being a key location for education and the Defence industry. Another big factor is affordability. Despite recent good growth, Adelaide is considerably cheaper than Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane or Canberra. Homes in Adelaide are around half the price of Sydney's. Adelaide and Perth are the only capital cities in Australia where you can still find a good supply of houses in the $300,000s and $400,000s. The third factor about Adelaide is the resilience and consistency of its market. In 2022, when prices generally fell in the bigger cities, Adelaide continued to deliver price growth. And that steady performance has continued in 2023. In the first nine months of this year, the median house price for Adelaide rose 5.3%, according to CoreLogic, while the median unit price increased 6.1%, which was above the national average. And Adelaide continues to have one of the tightest rental markets anywhere in the nation. The national vacancy rate, according to SQM Research, is 1.1% - but Adelaide is less than half that national average, at 0.5%. As a result, residential rents in Adelaide have increased more than 10% in the past 12 months. Overall, Adelaide presents as one of Australia's strongest markets, with consistency of performance its defining characteristic.

Have you ever wondered what it truly requires to become a property forecaster? The surface might suggest economics degrees and positions in prestigious financial institutions, but the accuracy of their predictions often seem to miss the mark by a mile. So, what gives? Are there hidden puzzle pieces they're not seeing or just ignoring? In a world where economic indicators and banking reports often fall short in painting an accurate property market portrait, let's venture beyond the surface-level analysis. Are there hidden variables that escape mainstream attention? Could it be that forecasters are sidelining crucial factors in their projections? Our guest today is none other than Louis Christopher, a distinguished figure in the realm of property research. With the inception of SQM Research in 2006 and his pivotal role at the Australian Property Monitors before that, Louis has carved out a reputation for his astute market outlooks and precise predictions. Buckle up as we challenge the conventional wisdom of property forecasting and probe into the core drivers of real estate valuation. Let's break things down, and get a whole new perspective on what really makes property prices tick – or tank. Episode Highlights: 00:00 - Introduction 01:13 - Our guest for today… 03:38 - Why aren't banks getting the forecasts accurate? 07:45 - The rental stress and the housing crisis 13:57 - How property listings are affecting property forecasts? 16:53 - Economists when predicting housing trends 20:21 - What most property data experts miss out on 24:16 - What happened to property prices back in 1990 26:43 - Base case forecasts in November 2022 28:34 - How Louis puts together his forecasts 32:47 - How low inflation could impact property prices in 2024 35:10 - What leading indicators influence the housing market? 38:25 - Consumer confidence and the housing market 42:20 - Consumer confidence and consumer spending 47:28 - Resilience in the market 49:04 - The impact of the interest rate cliff on the housing market 52:13 - Should APRA step in and restrict borrowing capacity? 57:16 - Impact of stamp duty on property prices 58:48 - Louis Christopher's property dumbo About Our Guest: Louis Christopher established SQM Research in 2006. He was Head of Research and General Manager of the property statistics agency, Australian Property Monitors (APM) for six years. During his time at APM, Louis constructed key residential property market indexes published by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Prior to APM Louis spent three years at the Securities Institute of Australia as a Technical Editor. Louis previously spent 18 months at MLC working in the investment services. He is widely respected for the quality and accuracy of his market outlooks, ratings philosophy and forecasts for the Australian residential property market. Connect with Louis Christopher: Connect with Louis on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/louischristopher/ Visit SQM's website: https://sqmresearch.com.au/ Resources: Visit our website https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au If you have any questions or would like to be featured on our show, contact us at: The Elephant in the Room Property Podcast questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? https://www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://www.veronicamorgan.com.au Looking for a Mortgage Broker? https://www.blusk.au Work with Chris: hello@blusk.au Enjoyed the podcast? Don't miss out on what's yet to come! Hit that subscription button, spread the word and join us for more insightful discussions in real estate. Your journey starts now! Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theelephantintheroom-podcast Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ph/podcast/the-elephant-in-the-room-property-podcast/id1384822719 Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Ge1626dgnmK0RyKPcXjP0?si=26cde394fa854765 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. In this episode, we dissect:The RBA's recent decision to pause on interest rate risesThe role of inflation in thisHow reduced listings and APRA's buffer regulations have spurred a ripple effectHow interest rate hikes influence various demographics differently, and moreShare this with your vendors and buyers so that you can help them make informed decisions.

The Squiz team is taking an extra-long weekend, so we thought we'd share our latest Squiz Shortcuts episode with you. It's all about the rental crisis that's being felt all around Oz, and it takes you through the state of Australia's rental market, why things have reached a crisis point, and some ideas being put forward to fix it. Squiz recommends: Renter-friendly renovator Alexandra Gater's YouTube channel An interactive chart of changes to Aussie rents over time - SQM Research

For months we've been hearing horror stories from the rental market – of landlords jacking up prices by hundreds of dollars, and lines stretching around the block at open inspections. Australia is in a rental crisis, and experts say it could get a lot worse. So in this Squiz Shortcut, we take you through Australia's rental market, why we're in a crisis right now, and some ideas being put forward to fix it. Squiz recommends: Renter-friendly renovator Alexandra Gater's YouTube channel An interactive chart of changes to Aussie rents over time - SQM Research

If you're looking for a detailed look at the Australian property market then this is the update for you. In this Australian property market update we look at data from Commonwealth Bank, SQM Research, Simon Presley, Phil Anderson and Core Logic. While there are many negative points in the market at the moment, there are also a surprising number of positives for long-term property investors over the next 20 years.

We bring you another classic Realty Talk episode from the vault, which was originally published on May 20, 2022, but is still just as relevant today. Louis Christopher has always presented an interesting and sometimes challenging view on the property market.  His outlook is influenced by the data he has access to through his company SQM Research and for that reason he has been a regular guest on the show – always telling it as it is.  He does not disappoint in this interview with Bushy and Kevin as he looks back over the last decade and ahead into the future. RealtyTalk is part of the Property Hub podcast channel, your home for property investment insights, inspiration, and stories from Australia's top property experts, investors, leaders, and analysts. Subscribe now to get every RealtyTalk episode delivered to you each week for free, and also get full access to Get Invested, the leading podcast for Australians who want to unlock their full ‘self, health, and wealth' potential and get inspired by the stories of investors, founders, and entrepreneurs. Subscribe to RealtyTalk on the Property Hub channel: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Email Property Hub is a collaboration between Bushy Martin from KnowHow Property, Kevin Turner from Realty, Andrew Montesi from Apiro Marketing and Apiro Media, and Australia's largest independent podcast network DM Media.  Business and partnership enquiries: antony@dm.org.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Liv Declerck talks about her recent conversation with fashion designer and artist Aurelio Costarella, who graces the cover of the latest edition of Business News. Plus the latest on Andrew Forrest and Clough, as well as new data from CoreLogic and SQM Research.

SQM Research expects national property values may rise as much as 7 per cent in 2023. SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with founder Louis Christopher to find out why; plus Martin Lakos from Macquarie Private Bank looks at the day on the markets

After a slump in the Australian property market across much of 2022, one prophet is predicting the market to sail by up to 7% in 2023.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. In this market forecast, Louis reveals:The 4 scenarios that are likely to happen to Australia's real estate market in 2023What he is most concerned aboutWhy the banks generally get their predictions wrong. The full 'Boom & Bust Report 2023' which includes a suburb-by-suburb breakdown is available at SQM Research Share this video with your buyers and vendors to help them stay educated about the market and make well-informed decisions. 

Louis Christopher, managing director at SQM Research, told Tom Elliott on Tuesday it was "as bad as it has ever been" in Australia.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The housing market is slowing, and old listings are rising sharply in Sydney and Melbourne. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Labor has launched its new housing affordability scheme, with the promise of taking a 40% equity stake in the purchase of new homes. But the new scheme has attracted criticism for throwing more money at the problem. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We so often hear talk of property ‘boom' or ‘bust' in the mainstream media, but what's the reality? As we continue our summer series in partnership with Realty Talk, Australia's top online property show hosted by Bushy Martin, where we've been talking with independent industry leaders about where Australian property is heading in 2022, this episode we share insights from Louis Christopher.  Louis is one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts, whose objective, candid and honest approach to the real estate market continues to put his company SQM Research at the forefront of property prediction.  In this episode Louis outlines the findings from his team's latest annual Housing Boom & Bust report that makes for great and interesting reading and contrasts with many other outlooks, so this chat will broaden your perspective.  And if you're a real estate professional or a serious residential property investor looking to make fully informed decisions in the year ahead, you can't afford to miss SQM's comprehensive Housing Boom & Bust 130 page report that gives you a full breakdown of every postcode in the country covering current market statistics and postcode investor ratings, which you can get now for just $59.95 by visiting sqmresearch.com.au/boombustreport Join the Get Invested community: And if you want to continue investing in your knowledge, join me and many other like minded investors in our Get Invested community right now. I send a free and exclusive monthly email full of practical ‘Self, Health and Wealth' wisdom that our current Freedom Fighter subscribers can't wait to get each month. It's full of investment and lifestyle tips, my personal book recommendations, apps I use to enhance life and so much more. Just visit bushymartin.com.au and sign up at the bottom of the page … because this is just the beginning! Get Invested is the leading weekly podcast for Australians who want to learn how to unlock their full ‘self, health and wealth' potential. Hosted by Bushy Martin, an award winning property investor, founder, author and media commentator who is recognised as one of Australia's most trusted experts in property, investment and lifestyle, Get Invested reveals the secrets of the high performers who invest for success in every aspect of their lives and the world around them. Remember to subscribe on your favourite podcast player, and if you're enjoying the show please leave us a review. Find out more about Get Invested here https://bushymartin.com.au/get-invested-podcast/  Want to connect with Bushy? Get in touch here https://bushymartin.com.au/contact/  This show is produced by Apiro Media - http://apiropodcasts.com

Following a stellar boom across the board last year that exceeded all expectations, what is likely to happen with property in 2022? Louis Christopher from SQM Research joins us to share the details of his latest Housing Boom & Bust Report with some surprising property predictions that you can't afford to miss.  RealtyTalk is your trusted voice in property investment and Australia's most popular online property show.  RealtyTalk is brought to you by Realty, Australia's leading search and social property distribution platform that helps investors like you beat the crowd, giving you the earliest access to property opportunities, listings, and insights. Check out Realty. RealtyTalk is hosted by top property investment expert, author, and founder of KnowHow Property, Bushy Martin. Find out how Bushy's KnowHow team helps investors unlock freedom with finance and property here, and check out Bushy's podcast Get Invested.  RealtyTalk is supported by BMT, a company that helps property investors save thousands of dollars each year by maximizing tax deductions from investment properties. Find out more. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.