Podcasts about AUC

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation et écriture : Virginie Girod  - Production : Caroline Garnier - Réalisation : Nicolas Gaspard - Direction artistique : Julien Tharaud - Composition de la musique originale : Julien Tharaud et Sébastien Guidis - Edition et diffusion : Nathan Laporte et Clara Ménard - Visuel : Sidonie Mangin    Ressources en ligne & bibliographie :  - Epaminondas REMOUNDAKIS, Vies et morts d'un crétois lépreux, Anacharsis, 2023 - https://www.revuebiologiemedicale.fr/images/Biologie_et_histoire/351_BACTERIO_HISTOIRE_LEPRE.pdf   Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Ernesto “Che” Guevara (1928-1967) est incontestablement l'une des plus grandes icônes révolutionnaires du XXe siècle. Son portrait en “guerrillero heroico" a été maintes fois reproduit et brandi comme symbole de révolte. Mais quel homme se trouve derrière le héros mythifié de la révolution cubaine ? Celui qui vantait la haine comme moteur de lutte n'a-t-il pas terni son image devant la postérité en faisant couler le sang ?Pour en parler, Virginie Girod reçoit l'historien François Kersaudy. Grand spécialiste de l'histoire du XXe siècle, il a consacré un chapitre à Che Guevara dans son livre "Dix faces cachées du communisme" (Perrin). (rediffusion)Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1.- Présentation et écriture : Virginie Girod- Production : Armelle Thiberge et Morgane Vianey- Réalisation : Clément Ibrahim- Composition des musiques originales : Julien Tharaud et Sébastien Guidis- Visuel : Sidonie ManginHébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Virginie Girod remonte le temps pour raconter le conflit le plus complexe du Moyen-Âge. En 1429, alors que la guerre de Cent Ans fait rage, le Dauphin reçoit Jeanne d'Arc à Chinon. Le 8 mai, elle parvient à défaire les Anglais à Orléans. Mais le malheur guette la Pucelle. (rediffusion)Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1.- Présentation et écriture : Virginie Girod- Production : Armelle Thiberge et Clara Leger- Réalisation : Julien Tharaud- Diffusion : Estelle Lafont et Clara Ménard- Composition du générique : Julien Tharaud- Visuel : Sidonie ManginBibliographie et ressources en ligne : - Philippe Contamine de l'Institut, Charles VII, une vie une politique, Perrin, 2021- Valérie Toureille, Jeanne d'Arc, Perrin, 2020- La guerre de Cent Ans résumée en 2 minutes - CmnHébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation et écriture : Virginie Girod - Production : Armelle Thiberge et Clara Leger - Réalisation : Julien Tharaud - Diffusion : Estelle Lafont et Clara Ménard - Composition du générique : Julien Tharaud - Visuel : Sidonie Mangin Bibliographie et ressources en ligne :  - Philippe Contamine de l'Institut, Charles VII, une vie une politique, Perrin, 2021 - Valérie Toureille, Jeanne d'Arc, Perrin, 2020 - La guerre de Cent Ans résumée en 2 minutes - Cmn   Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation : Stéphane Bern  - Réalisation : Mathieu Fret - Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol - Auteur du récit : Jean-Christophe Piot - Journaliste : Clara Leger - Programmation : Morgane Vianey   Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the US faces a federal government shutdown as markets start to realise Trump has no problem being reckless and has no problem hurting his 'friends'..But first, there was another Pulse dairy auction overnight. And that brought marginally weaker prices for both SMP and WMP, down a bit less than -0.5% in USD terms. In fact these prices are now at their lowest level of 2025. But because the NZD is falling, the prices achieved actually rose about the same amount in local currency.In the US, the number of job openings in August were virtually unchanged from July at 7.2 mln as was expected.But the Chicago PMI fell again in September, well below market expectations that it would improve. And the dip was sharp, the most in three months.Also weaker was the Dallas Fed services sector with their retail sector retreating rather fast in an unusual move lower.Adding to the downbeat sentiment was the September report from the Conference Board showing consumers are glummer than at any time since the start of the year. A common theme in the survey responses is the impact of rising inflation.And the downbeat sentiment may well get worse, and quickly. The White House seems to relish a full government shutdown to start their fiscal year tomorrow with mass firings rather than furloughs. And Trump says some American cities he considers dangerous should become training grounds for American troops, proposing 'his' troops be used to fight other Americans in their home cities. It is getting toxic very fast there.For their economy, there is a real possibility now that this weekend's non-farm payrolls release will be cancelled because the department releasing it will be closed. If that turns out to be the case, it could mask some quite weak results. Analysts now expect less than a +50,000 gain.Financial markets are downplaying the risks of all this, mainly because there have been many 'shutdown' crises over the decades. But at least the earlier ones involved parties prepared to reach a deal. Maybe not this time.Across the Pacific in China, their official factory PMI contracted again. But even though it is the sixth straight monthly contraction, the pace of decline was the least in that time. (Their factory PMI rose in February and March, but only by marginal levels.) Their official services PMI for September is no longer expanding. These official PMIs have been more conservative than the private surveys (RatingDog, ex Caixin) probably because they have a heavier weighting to Chinese SOEs. The private ones are more attuned to private and foreign enterprises, surveyed by S&P Global, and they report a faster expanding factory sector, and solidly expanding services sector.Meanwhile, China has frozen imports of BHP iron ore in a pricing dispute. BHP is their third largest supplier after Rio Tinto and Brazil's Vale.Taiwanese consumer sentiment rose in September, but to be fair the bar is low because it has been stunted since May.In Europe, Germany said their CPI inflation edged up to 2.4% in September, marginally above the August level. But ist was a rise that was slightly more than expected.In Australia, there were no surprises from their central bank which held its cash rate target at 3.6%. But even though this hold was all priced in, there was some surprising reaction in financial markets. Somehow the decision was regarded as 'hawkish' and the AUD rose and benchmark bond interest rates fell on the news. The strong currency remained although the bond move was later reversed. Air cargo volumes in August grew +4.1% globally, driven by a near +10% rise from a year ago in the Asia/Pacific region. But notably, North American air cargo volumes fell -2.1% on the same basis in August, the weakest global region. And the pattern was similar for passenger travel. Asia/Pacific and Latin America brought strong growth, underpinning a +4.6% expansion, but North America lagged here too, only up +0.5% from a year ago.The UST 10yr yield is still at 4.14%, unchanged from yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$3846/oz, up +US$16 from yesterday and a new all-time high. Silver is -50 USc softer however.American oil prices are down another -50 USc at just over US$62.50/bbl, with the international Brent price now just under US$66.50/bbl and down more than -US$1.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 58 USc and up +20 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie however we are down -30 bps at 87.6 AUc and a new three year low. Against the euro we are little-changed at 49.4 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 65.1, and unchanged.The bitcoin price starts today at US$112,876 and down -0.8% from yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at just on +/- 0.9%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news gold is soaring on US missteps, and oil is falling as demand falters while supply is rising fast.Overnight US data was mixed. August pending home sales came in a little better than expected, up +4.0% from July, but only up +3.8% from year ago levels which themselves were relatively stunted. Less than 20% of American realtors expect the next three months to improve.But the Dallas Fed factory survey reported a sharpish turn lower, a second consecutive monthly contraction in manufacturing activity and the steepest since June. But they still have growth, just far less. New orders dipped again. Costs continue to rise faster than selling prices.The chances of a US federal government shutdown are rising with compromise no longer in anyone's vocabulary. Trump thinks no-one will blame him for his intransigence.And apparently, the next US tariff target is movie production - something both Australian and New Zealand creative industries will look at with trepidation.Singapore reported their producer prices rose. They grew by +1.1% in August from a year ago, after a -2.4% drop in the previous month. And this was their first producer price inflation since March 2025.Later today, China will release its August PMI data, the key releases before their Golden Week holiday break that starts tomorrow.In India, industrial production rose +4.0% in August from a year ago, slowing slightly from the upwardly revised 4.3% growth rate in July, but less than the expected +5% increase. Still, the result continued a reasonable first half of the year, showing that initial tariffs by the Americans did not have a significant immediate impact on their industrial activity.But today's big news will be the RBA's upcoming rate review. Analysts expect no change at 3.6%. Financial markets are of the same view with nothing priced in to secondary market wholesale rates. But the RBA will be weighing the impact of relatively strong labour markets, good economic growth, low budget deficits and a strong fiscal impulse, along with rising CPI inflation touching 3.0% in August. Waiting could leave them with a harder-to-control inflation problem, although to be fair, no-one expects a rise today even if many think it would be warranted and wise.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.14%, down -5 bps from yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$3830/oz, up +US$72 from yesterday and a new all-time high. Silver had yet another big spurt, now almost at US$47/oz. This latest surge puts the US gold stockpile at Fort Knox and the NY Fed now worth more than US$1 tln.American oil prices are down a sharpish -US$2 at just over US$63/bbl, with the international Brent price now just over US$67.50/bbl. With global demand wavering, the planned OPEC increase, plus the resumption of Iraqi oil from their Kurdistan region has traders talking about a glut.The Kiwi dollar is at just over 57.8 USc and up +10 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie however we are down -25 bps at 87.9 AUc and that is the lowest in three years. Against the euro we are little-changed at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 65.1, down -10 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$113,795 and up +3.2% from yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at under +/- 1.8%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news even the giant American economy can't seem to maintain its momentum, with Trump grabbing at all the levers of government. He is even taking government domain names and inserting is personal interests. It will become increasingly hard to separate real American economic data from that skewed by his army of MAGA blackshirts who have been inserted into these agencies.The week ahead will be busy, with major economic releases that will culminate with the US September non-farm payrolls report and related labour market data. Ordinarily they impact the policy path for the Fed this year. Markets currently expect jobs growth of less than +50,000 and settling in to a low trajectory. Before that we will get the ADP private employment report (expect even less), results from the JOLTS report, and Challenger job cuts (a big jump is expected by analysts).Besides labour updates, investors will also be on alert for the risk of a US government shutdown at the start of the new fiscal year on October 1The September update of the ISM PMI is due (analysts think it will be more contractionary than in August), and we will also get PMI releases from China, Canada, Brazil, South Korea, and ASEAN countries.Regionally, the RBA will be reviewing its monetary policy settings on Tuesday, and now no rate cut is expected due to rising inflation pressures, so markets expect it to stay at 3.6%. India will also be reviewing its monetary policy position late Wednesday, and no change is expected there either, keeping their rate at 5.5%.Daylight savings time has started in New Zealand of course, but not yet in Australia. So we will be 3 hours ahead of eastern Australia. But Queensland, the Northern Territory, and Western Australia do not observe daylight saving time, making it a patchwork system across their country.Over the weekend, China released August industrial profits data. After struggling all year to July to show any improvement on the equivalent month a year ago, August industrial profits rose at a good clip, up by more than +20% on the prior August's lame result. There was faster growth in the private sector while state-owned enterprises recorded a much smaller decline.And we should note that China is about to go on its 2025 national Golden Week holiday which will run from Wednesday, October 1st to Wednesday, October 8th, an extended eight-day holiday that combines National Day with the Mid-Autumn Festival. This is a major time for domestic and international travel, resulting in busy transportation and tourist activity. Businesses largely suspend their operations in this time but key government departments do operate.Over the weekend, Singapore released industrial production data delivering a large negative surprise. This activity was down a massive -7.8% in August from a year ago. The month-on-month data was sharply negative too. It was largely driven by very big drops in the electronics and biomedical sectors and caught analysts very much by surprise.And over the weekend in the world's largest economy, they released personal income and spending data for August which came in pretty much as anticipated. Personal disposable income rose +0.4% in the month and personal consumption expenditure rose +0.6% on the same basis - all from the prior month. But if you think about it, these are actually fast annualised rises, with costs rising much faster than incomes.This same data shows incomes were up +1.9% from a year ago, consumption up 2.7% on that year-ago basis. And as we noted, recent changes are rising faster than these annual shifts. The Fed will have noticed, as PCE inflation is now running well over 3% and its fastest since February. Goods inflation is 4.2% with durable goods up +5.2% in a year in this data. Clearly the tariff-tax effect is not transitory.The updated September University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey for the US was revised slightly lower to be -21% lower than a year ago. Consumers surveyed continue to express frustration over persistently high prices, with 44% spontaneously mentioning to surveyors that high prices are eroding their personal finances. And they say they expect inflation to be +4.7% higher in a year's time - interestingly similar to the current goods inflation data.Markets are going to have to accept that inflation is being structurally embedded at above target levels and that the prospect of more rate cuts is receding if the Fed is to have any credibility with an inflation-fighting mandate. Financial markets have priced in one -25 bps rate cut this year, two by the end of January 2026. Politics may deliver them but it will be at the expense of inflation - which is clearly rising again and quite fast.And the US has also arbitrarily decided to impose new tariffs on pharmaceutical imports, adding to the costs their consumers will have to pay, either via import duties or from new facilities to be built locally. If it goes as Trump plans, the excess capacity internationally (after removing production for the US) will cause international prices to fall as US prices rise. Lose-lose for Americans, win-win for international consumers.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.19%, little-changed from Saturday to be up +5 bps from a week ago.The price of gold will start today at US$3759/oz, down -US$14 from Saturday. That is up +US$78 from a week ago. Silver had another big spurt over the weekend, now up over US$46/oz, a weekly gain of +US$3.American oil prices are down -50 USc at just over US$65/bbl, with the international Brent price now just over US$69.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just under 57.7 USc and down -10 bps from Saturday, and down -80 bps from a week ago. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 88.2 AUc but down -60 bps for the week. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 65.2, similar to Saturday at this time.The bitcoin price starts today at US$110,271 and up +0.6% from Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been very low at under +/- 0.5%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that currency markets, bond markets and equity markets all react to unexpectedly 'strong' US data releases overnight, much of it sceptical. In fact we are getting rising risk aversion questioning its believability.US initial jobless claims came in last week at just over 180,000, and less than expected, and less than seasonal factors would have indicated. There are now 1.728 mln people on these benefits, but still +100,000 more than at the same time last year.And new orders for manufactured durable goods rose marginally in August from July, following two consecutive monthly decreases. That puts them a good +5.4% higher than year-ago levels. But non-defence, non-aircraft capital goods orders were low in the month, up just +1.6% from a year ago and it seems clear boardrooms are not enthusiastic investors at this point.This data is far more positive than the regional Fed factory survey are picking up, so we will need to wait before we conclude reshoring is actually happening.The September factory survey from the Kansas City Fed described only very modest changes in factories in their region. Order backlogs reduced as did new orders for export.In fact, US exports fell -1.4% in August in updated trade data, while imports fell -5.6%. That narrowed their trade deficit but only to the level it was in June, and not materially different to August a year ago. So it is hard to see much 'progress' here in shrinking this.But, the final US GDP result for the June quarter came in with a huge revision higher, up +3.8% from a year ago. This was apparently driven by a decrease in imports, and an increase in consumer spending, offset by decreases in investment and exports. There was a one-off revision to the consumer spending data in this release which twisted things somewhat. Again, this data is hard to reconcile with the real-time high-frequency data that we saw in the second quarter, but this is what they are reporting.If the Fed accepts this GDP data, rate cuts there are likely pushed further away.Meanwhile, August data on existing home sales dipped in August.In Canada, they reported average weekly earnings for July and they were up +3.3% to C$1,308 from a year ago, following a +3.6% increase in June.And staying in Canada, their federal government has instructed Canada Post to end door-to-door postal delivery.In China, the yuan has appreciated to the highest level in nearly 10 months against the American dollar as concerns over frictions between the world's two largest economies subside and China's economic growth prospects remain steady.In Taiwan, after four consecutive months of decreases, their reported retail sales that rose in August from a year ago. This data is modest compared to their booming industrial sector as we noted yesterday.And perhaps we should note that the Swiss central bank left its policy rate unchanged at 0% in an overnight review. Switzerland has inflation running at just +0.2% pa.Container freight rates fell faster last week, down -8% for the week to be a massive -55% lower than year-ago levels. And it was again outbound rates from China that is driving this retreat. But bulk freight rates actually rose again last week by +2.9% to be +10.5% higher than year-ago levels.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.17%, up +2 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3739/oz, up just +US$6 from yesterday. Silver is on the mover however, up approaching US$45/oz.American oil prices are little-changed at just under US$65/bbl, with the international Brent price still just over US$69/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 57.6 USc and down another -50 bps from yesterday and that is its lowest level since mid-April. Against the Aussie we are down just -10 bps at 88.2 AUc and near a three-year low. Against the euro we are actually unchanged at 49.5 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 65.2, and down another -30 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$108,928 and down -4.3% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been moderate at just over +/- 2.3%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again on Monday.

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news we are less than a week away from another potential US federal government funding shutdown.But first up today, we can report American August data for new home sales has surprised everyone and jumped a very sharp +20% from July to an annualised rate of 800,000. Few saw this coming. Analysts say sharp discounting and widespread promotional offers are behind the twist because the unsold inventories were mounting. But the gains were widespread especially in the Northeast (+72%). Or it could just be rogue data.And that is because we had not seen any recent trend in rising mortgage application levels to support such a big August jump. In fact last week's application levels were dominated by refinance activity, not new home purchase applications. The discrepancy between the two data releases is a curiosity.There was another well-supported US Treasury bond auction earlier today, this one for their 5-year Note. The median yield came in at 3.65%, little-changed from the 3.67% at the prior equivalent event.Taiwanese industrial production rose in August by +14.4% from a year ago, slowing from an upwardly revised +18.7% gain in the previous month. Taiwan seems to deliver a never-ending stream of double-digit economic advances. It has to be the world's most impressive economy at present.Hong Kong has now shifted to clean-up mode now that Super-Typhoon Ragasa has moved on. There is a lot to restore. It has made landfall in southern China now, where 2 mln people have been evacuated. Ragasa is 2025's largest storm globally and is the largest since the all-time records set by Super Typhoon Haiyan in 2013, the most powerful tropical cyclones ever recorded. (Hurricanes, typhoons and cyclones are all the same, just named differently based on where they develop from.)Moving on, yesterday's release of the August monthly CPI indicator series in Australia shows that inflations pressures are still alive - and rising. They came in at 3.0%, the most in more than a year. But they have a 1-3% target range so it is technically within that range. The trajectory will worry the RBA all the same. And financial markets have pushed back their expectations of when the RBA will cut rates next.In Indonesia, the combination of an accident at a major copper mine that has closed it completely, and in Peru, a closure over a tough political dispute, has seen copper prices jump overnight.In Russia, that are raising their GST to 22% to pay for their war on Ukraine.In the US, attention is twisting back to lending, liquidity and credit-rating standards as two major financials collapse in a reprise of the GFC sub-prime mistakes. Both Tricolor (a Texas car loan lender) and First Brands (a car parts maker) recently had good credit ratings confirmed.And tariffs, rising joblessness, and weird public policy make the globally important US economy unusually vulnerable at present. So we should note that a US Federal Government shutdown seems on the cards as Trump seems not to care. One of these types of events could trigger something to seriously unnerve financial markets - the US not paying its bills could be it (and is unlikely to be seen as "just another Trump bankruptcy".)The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.15%, up +3 bps from yesterday at this time. The price of gold will start today at US$3733/oz, down -US$48 from yesterday. Silver was lower too and now under US$44/oz.American oil prices are up +US$1.50 at just under US$65/bbl, with the international Brent price now just over US$69/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 58.1 USc and down -50 bps from yesterday and that is its lowest level since mid-April. Against the Aussie we are also down -50 bps at 88.3 AUc and near a three-year low. Against the euro we are down -30 bps at 49.5 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 65.5, and down another -30 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$113.858 and up +1.7% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been modest at just over +/- 1.1%.Today, all eyes will be on the big Fonterra announcements, which are expected to be very positive. Join us for our coverage that will start with their NZX market releases soon.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation : Stéphane Bern - Réalisation : Loïc Vimard - Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol - Auteur du récit : Eloi Audoin-Rouzeau - Journaliste : Clara Leger   Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the latest data shows American business activity slowing further.But first up this morning we should note that the overnight dairy Pulse event brought little-change to either the ASMP or WMP prices. This is as expected for SMP but 'better' than expected for WMP. In NZD however there was a rise because the Kiwi dollar fell. All eyes are now on tomorrows Fonterra annual report.There were also no surprises in the S&P Global/Markit PMIs for the US for September. Both their flash factory and services PMI reading eased slightly, but are not contracting. Growth may be slowing, but selling price inflation is cooling too. The report noted weak new order growth and tariff-taxes were widely cited as the main cause of sharply higher costs, but the weaker demand and stiff competition reportedly limited the scope to raise selling prices,And that is confirmed in the Richmond Fed factory survey which turned down sharply in September. New order levels were weak, cost pressures strong. Services in the same mid-Atlantic area were not very positive either.There was another very large US Treasury 2yr Note auction today, one that saw another pull-back in overall support although the coverage remains strong. The median yield dipped to 3.52% from 3.60% at the prior equivalent event a month ago.In China, Nikkei has found that retail consumer loans are going bad faster, the latest headache for Chinese lenders already plagued by the country's real estate problems. And it comes just when the government aims to stimulate consumption through increased consumer debt backed up by more public borrowings. Nikkei Asia combed through the latest interim disclosures by mainland banks listed in Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong and found that nonperforming personal loans rose at a faster pace than those in the real estate sector during the first half of the year.Overnight, Taiwan reported yet another outstandingly good export orders data, again exceeding the expected very good expansion.Super Typhoon Ragasa is expected to hit Hong Kong today, and they are still expecting up to a 5m storm surge (above chart datum). But the eye of the storm is passing slightly south, so it will affect large parts of southern China.India's PMI's were again very expansionary in September for both their services and factory sectors. No signs of cooling in this market.In Europe, their PMIs continue with a modest expansion, even if it is their best in 16 months. But new order levels are only holding, not growing. And the factory sector is now not expanding.And the Swedes delivered a surprise cut to their policy rate, down -25 bps to 1.75%. They cited geopolitical tensions and uncertain US trade policy as the reasons for the move now even though they are experiencing good current growth with inflation up at 3.2% when 2% is their target.In Australia, their PMI's reveal a pullback in September but both sectors are still expanding.Globally, the OECD reported that the global economy was more resilient than anticipated in the first half of 2025, but downside risks loom large as higher barriers to trade and geopolitical and policy uncertainty continue to weigh on activity in many economies. New Zealand doesn't feature in this report, but is sees Australian growth rising, Chinese growth holding at a reasonably good level, and US growth halving to a weak level by 2026.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.12%, down -2 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3781/oz, up another +US$45 from yesterday and a new ATH. Silver was little-changed but still up over US$44/oz.American oil prices are up +US$1 at just under US$63.50/bbl, with the international Brent price now just on US$67.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just under 58.6 USc and down -10 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are also down -10 bps at 88.8 AUc. Against the euro we are down -20 bps at 49.8 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 65.7, down -20 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$111,974 and down -0.4% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just over +/- 1.0%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news Super Typhoon Ragasa aims for a direct hit on southern China.But first up, we can report that the US National Activity Index as collated by the Chicago Fed, was less negative in August, extending the negative trend to five consecutive months. But the July data was revised lower.There were Fed speakers out overnight. Miran made the lone case in favour of Trump's big slash, whereas Hammack, Barkin, Williams, Musalem, and earlier Daly, all made the case for eyeing inflation risks as well as jobs risks.In Canada, their producer prices rose faster, now up +4.0% from a year ago, largely on the impacts of the US tariff-taxes where Canadian substituted other components than American ones. But beef prices are a notable riser in this latest data.The People's Bank of China kept its key lending rates unchanged at record lows for the fourth straight month yesterday, as expected. The 1-year loan prime rate remained at 3.0%, while the 5-year benchmark stayed at 3.5%.In China, they said they will limit the steel industry's growth to 4% over the next two years to deal with their severe over-capacity problem and force companies to invest in quality rather than volume gains.And the fast growing rail land-bridge from China to Europe is closing, essentially because the Poland-Belarus border is being sealed to guard against Russian infiltration. It is hard to see Beijing being happy about that.Hong Kong authorities are bracing for “serious threats” posed by the looming Super Typhoon Ragasa, which is expected to bring hurricane-force winds with speeds of up to 220 km/h over the next few days, potentially breaking a record set during Saola in 2023. Their airport is likely to close, along with much else including their stock market. And mass evacuations have started in neighbouring Shenzhen.This is what the Hong Kong official met service warned late last night. "Under the influence of significant storm surge, there will be a rise in water level of about 2 metres over coastal areas of Hong Kong in the morning of Wednesday. The maximum water level can generally reach around 3.5 to 4 metres above chart datum, and the water level at Tolo Harbour may even reach 4 to 5 metres above chart datum. Members of the public should take appropriate precautions." A 5 metre storm surge seems pretty significant.In Europe, and despite political and tariff uncertainties, consumer sentiment 'rose' (that is, got less bad) in September, probably because both inflation and borrowing costs eased in the past month.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.14%, unchanged from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3736/oz, up +US$52 from yesterday and a new ATH. Silver had another +US$1 spurt overnight, now up over US$44/oz to a 14 year high.American oil prices are little-changed at just under US$62.50/bbl, with the international Brent price still just over US$66.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just under 58.7 USc and up +10 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are still just under 88.9 AUc. Against the euro we are down -10 bps at 49.8 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 65.9, uo +10 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$112,448 and down -2.7% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just over +/- 1.4%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news we are likely to get a lesson this week reconfirming that equity markets all look for short-term profit hits and are now setting prices on these short-term factors. But bond markets are much more focused on risks 10-30 years ahead and their signals are diverging markedly.This coming week however will largely feature reactions to last week's big events - the US Fed positioning and rate cut, and the awful NZ Q2-2025 GDP data.Here we will be watching for more fallout from that, after the NZD got marked down sharply. Will markets assess that the June result will be repeated in Q3? After all we are now only nine days from the end of Q3 and the appearance of 'better data' has been sparse and perhaps only in the last week or so. And on Thursday we will get an update of household net worth, but it will be year-old data. Much more current will be Thursday's results announcement from Fonterra.In Australia, they will also release household net worth data, on Friday, but for March this year. They will get PMI updates as well.Globally, the focus will briefly turn to New York for what is expected to be a turbulent moment for the UN with the US already barring some leaders from attending. New York time as the home of the General Assembly may be coming to an end.But economically, there will be many PMI updates out this week. The US will release its PCE data and another Q2-GDP update. And Fed speakers will all be out giving context to last week's rate cut decision. Switzerland and Sweden will be among those reviewing their policy interest rates. And later today, China will review its Loan Prime rates, although no change is expected.China released its August year-to-date foreign direct investment data over the weekend. They said they only attracted ¥507 bln in net foreign investment in those eight months. They said they attracted ¥467 bln in the seven months to July. So that means they gained a net +¥39 bln in August alone and that is a very low +US$5.5 bln and that is only one third of the August 2024 gain. Basically foreign direct investment into China from all sources is close to dead in the water.This doesn't mean that China's economic expansion won't be good in 2025 (over +5%). But it does point out how the two big powers are isolating themselves, with cross-border investment and economic connections all retreating.A recent example is that China's new iron ore buying monopoly has moved to shut out a key Australian blend from BHP. They have other options and are using their heft to try and bring BHP and Australia into line.Separately, Japan's inflation eased to 2.7% in August from 3.1% in July, the level since October 2024. There was a notable slowing in the rise in rice prices, enabling food price inflation to ease to 'only' 7.2% in August from a year ago. Overall prices were up +0.8% in the month with food prices up just +0.3% for the month.Japan's central bank announced the results of its policy rate review late on Friday and as expected left it unchanged at 0.5% at Friday's. This came amid the political uncertainty around the resignation of Prime Minister Ishiba. They also said that it will sell its holdings of exchange-traded funds and Japan real estate investment trusts (J-REITs) to the market. Here is their decision.Germany said its producer prices fell an outsized -2.2% in August from a year ago, a deflation sign they will not welcome and extends their deflationary pressure that started in July 2023. But most of that is coming from the lower cost of imported energy with local producer prices basically unchanged.Canada said its August retail sales rose +1%, more than offsetting its July dip. But it isn't clear how much of that is inflation related. But financial markets reacted positively, seeing consumer 'resilience' in the data. (One more -25 bps rate cut is expected in Canada before the end of the year.)The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.14%, up +1 bp from Saturday to be up +7 bps from a week ago. The price of gold will start today at US$3684/oz, up +US$3 from Saturday. That is up +US$36 from a week ago. Silver had another spurt over the weekend, now up over US$43/oz, a weekly gain of +US$1.American oil prices are little-changed at just over US$62.50/bbl and back to where they were a week ago, with the international Brent price still just over US$66.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just under 58.6 USc and unchanged from Saturday although down a full -1c from a week ago. Against the Aussie we are just under 88.9 AUc. Against the euro we are still at 49.9 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 65.8, unchanged from Saturday but down -100 bps for the week.The bitcoin price starts today at US$115,509 and very little-changed from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been very low at just under +/- 0.3%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Episodio 87 de En Ocasiones Veo Fraudes, el pódcast de FACUA. En el editorial, Rubén Sánchez da a conocer el recorte en subvenciones de hasta el 29% que el Ministerio de Consumo ha aplicado a FACUA, el mayor de su historia, a la vez que incrementa las ayudas de la OCU mientras tiene paralizada la investigación por sus cobros de comisiones a empresas a cambio de captarles clientes. También a AUC, una entidad que declara haber atendido casi 123.000 consultas con un solo trabajador. Los tres temas de actualidad: los asistentes al Brava Madrid tienen derecho a solicitar el reembolso de sus entradas si finalmente ya no les interesa acudir por la cancelación de algunos de los artistas; denunciamos a Temu por publicitar un dispositivo que permite rastrear personas sin su consentimiento; y damos a conocer que Iryo ya facilita un teléfono de atención gratuito con motivo de nuestra denuncia. En Terror en el supermercado, David Ávila te informa de los alimentos básicos que más se han encarecido en el último mes de septiembre. En Te Ayudamos, Keka Sánchez te cuenta en qué casos puedes devolver un videojuego tanto si lo adquiriste online como en tienda. En Te puede pasar a ti contamos el caso de José Antonio, un socio de FACUA a quien Dell ha tenido que abonarle el doble de lo que pagó por un ordenador portátil después de que el afectado ejerciera su derecho de desistimiento y la empresa estuviera meses sin devolverle el dinero.

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the New Zealand dollar has been re-rated sharply lower overnight, although to be fair only back to levels it was at in April. US benchmark interest rates are rising but the new weaker New Zealand economy is expected to drive the OCR lower than earlier expected.But first in the US, initial jobless claims came in lower than expected at +194,500, a decrease of 10,400 from the prior week when an increase of about that was indicated by seasonal factors. There are now 1.75 mln people on these benefits, +81,000 more than at this time last year.Meanwhile, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) retreated in August. A retreat was expected but it came in more than twice the expected decline. That means the LEI fell by -2.8% over the six months between February and August, a faster rate of decline than its -0.9% contraction over the previous six-month period. They noted persistently weak manufacturing new order levels and consumer expectations, and warn of increased headwinds ahead.But it is not weak everywhere. The Philly Fed factory survey for September picked up a modest rise in new orders. But firms in the region remain under sharp price pressure unable to pass on the higher prices they are paying.On the farm, the giant American soybean crop is about ready for harvest, and farmers are glum. The Chinese aren't buying and the Washington isn't coming to the rescue with subsidy support. Prices are back to 2016-2018 levels and the rural concern is palpable.In Financial markets, there was a notable less well-supported US Treasury inflation protected (TIPS) bond tender today that resulted in a median yield of 1.65% plus CPI inflation, compared to 1.93% plus CPI at the prior equivalent event three months ago.There were more central bank rate reviews overnight. Taiwan kept its policy rate unchanged at 2.0%. They have an inflation target of 2.0% and their CPI is currently running at 1.6%. Norway cut theirs by -25 bps to 4.0% in what has been called a "hawkish cut". They have inflation at 3.0% with their target at 2.0%. And the Bank of England held theirs at 4% as expected. They have inflation at inflation at 3.8% when their target is 2%. South Africa held at 7%. Inflation there is 3.3% with a preferred rate of 3.0%.China announced that its Boeing and Airbus-competing C919 aircraft has now received more than 1000 orders, mostly domestic but some international orders as well.Australian labour markets stumbled somewhat in August, falling -5,400 when a small +22,000 rise was expected. And the detail is even less positive because full-time employment fell by -40,900 to 10,077,300 people while part-time employment rose by +35,500 to 4,549,200 people. None of these changes were enough to materially change their 4.2% unemployment rate.Container freight rates fell -6% last week from the prior week with all the weakness coming from outbound rates from China. But bulk freight rates rose +3.4% last week to be +14.6% higher than year ago levels.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.11%, up +4 bps from yesterday at this time in a steady rise. The price of gold will start today at US$3,643/oz, down -US$15 from yesterday's post Fed dip.American oil prices are down -US$1 at just under US$63.50/bbl, with the international Brent price firmish just under US$67.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 58.8 USc and down -90 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -70 bps at 88.9 AUc. Against the euro we are down -50 bps at 49.9 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 66, down -50 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$117,553 and up +1.3% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been modest at just on +/- 1.2%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again on Monday.

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news financial markets are struggling to make sense of the US Fed's latest rate cut rationale, one that looks infused with new White House politics.First up this morning, the US central bank cut its policy rate by -25 bps to 4.25% as expected, despite noting that American inflation is "somewhat elevated". It is their first reduction in borrowing costs since December 2024.They said they saw economic activity moderating in the first half of the year with job gains slowing and the unemployment rate edging up. But they still called their jobless rate 'low'. At the same time they noted inflation has moved up. But their economic projections showed they expect inflation over the next year to average 3.4%, higher than the latest CPI level of 2.9%.For some reason, this rising inflation, and 'low' unemployment was the basis for cutting their policy rate. Like many core US institutions, partisan politics is now infecting the Fed. Keeping the pressures under cover, the Fed's press release was unusually short this time, likely papering over the pressures being brought to bear. It looks like the only dissenter was the recent White House injected member.Financial markets have reacted however. After being lower ahead of the decisions, the S&P500 went volatile and is back, tracking slightly lower. The bond market also went volatile, and changed its course to push yields higher. The USD fell and the dollar index (DXY) is now at its lowest level since February 2022. Gold pushed up to a new record high - and then fell back. None of these reactions show confidence in the Trump pressures on the Fed.Meanwhile, US mortgage applications jumped sharply last week, a week that included the US Labor Day holiday. Mortgage interest rates dipped -10 bps in the week and borrowers who need to refinance rushed the opportunity. But new borrowing not so much.However, American housing starts tumbled uncomfortably in August, down far more than was anticipated to be -8.5% below July levels, and -6.0% lower than year-ago levels. New house building consents came in -11.1% below year ago levels, so it is unlikely their housebuilding industry will recover any time soon.Overnight, Canada also reviewed its policy interest rate overnight and cut them too, largely as expected. That takes their key rate to 2.5%. They see a weakening in the resilience first shown by Canadian reactions to their bullying from their southern neighbour. They are watching Canadian consumers and businesses becoming more 'cautious'.In Australia later today, we will get the August labour market report where another small gain in jobs is anticipated (+22,000) and their jobless rate is expected to hold at 4.2%.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.07%, up +4 bps from yesterday at this time after some bumpy volatility.The price of gold will start today at US$3,658/oz, down -US$29 from yesterday post the Fed.American oil prices are little-changed at just under US$64.50/bbl, with the international Brent price firmish just under US$68.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 59.7 USc and down -25 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 89.6 AUc. Against the euro we are down -5 bps at 50.4 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 66.5, down -20 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$115,997 and down -0.4% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been low at just under +/- 0.8%.Join us at 10:45am this morning for full coverage of the New Zealand Q2-2025 GDP result. Financial markets are expecting a -0.3% dip from Q1 and no year-on-year economic expansion.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news markets now universally expect the American central bank to cut rates tomorrow by -25 bps.But today, the overnight dairy auction brought a much better result than expected with the declines for both WMP and SMP nowhere near as sharp as indicated by the earlier derivatives pricing. That will very much ease the pressure on any farm gate payout forecasts. The detail is interesting. There was notably softer demand from China for WMP, but that was countered by stronger SE Asian demand. Cheddar cheese prices rose because of some unexpected demand from North America, But mozzarella prices dived -9.6% on weak Chinese demand. Overall prices slipped just -0.8% in USD, but there were down a sharpish -2.9% in NZD as the greenback took a tumble overnight.Meanwhile, US retail sales rose in August and by a little more than expected. They were up +5.0% after a +4.1% rise in July. But this data is not inflation-adjusted in the way that other countries report. We will have to wait for sales volume data later in the month.And US industrial production rose in August too, but only up +0.1% from the prior month and only after a -0.4% revised fall in July. Year-on-year it is up +0.9%, about average for 2025, but hardly evidence of manufacturing reshoring.Homebuilder sentiment was flat in August as reported by the NAHB survey. It is remaining at the very low levels we have seen since May, and very much lower than this time last year. They are pinning their hopes on Fed rate cut(s) delivering a changed outlook.And staying in the US, crypto giant Binance looks like its lobbying and support of Trump will see the US Justice Department drop a key oversight requirement in its US$4.3 bln settlement of allegations that it didn't do enough to prevent money laundering. So, pay the money, get no oversight, and go back to enabling money laundering. A real Trump-type deal.Meanwhile, Canadian CPI inflation rose from 1.7% in July to 1.9% in August, a lesser rise than was anticipated. Meanwhile there was a rather sharp fall in housing starts there in August, down -16% from July to 245,791 units from a revised 293,537 in July and well below market expectations of 277,500. But they were still +10% higher than year-ago levels. A rate cut is coming in Canada tomorrow too.In China, there are some signs that Beijing's stimulus could be working. Steel output not only stopped falling, it actually picked up in the first two weeks of September, defying downbeat expectations. And iron ore prices rose too recently.In the EU, industrial production rose more than anticipated in July, although the expectations aren't high.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.03%, down -1 bp from yesterday at this time. The price of gold will start today at US$3,686/oz, up +US$7 from yesterday.American oil prices are up +US$1 at just over US$64.50/bbl, with the international Brent price firmish just over US$68.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 59.9 USc and up +20 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are up +10 bps at 89.6 AUc. Against the euro we are down -20 bps at 50.5 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 66.7, little-changed from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$116,480 and up +1.3% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has again been low at just under +/- 0.8%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news both the US and China are eyeing rate cuts to bolster wavering economies.While all financial market attention is on the US Fed and its Thursday rate review - and market positioning is underway relative to the expected -25 bps cut - there is other economic news being released.The New York Empire factory survey delivered a negative surprise with new order levels falling sharply when they were expected to rise. That drove their overall survey negative when an expansion was anticipated.Across the Pacific, and in an unexpected result, China's retail sales data was released and were expected to have grown faster in August by +3.8%, up from +3.7% in July. Some anticipated a +5% rise. But in the end the rise was only +3.4%, and that was an eight month low.China's August industrial production was up +5.2%, a one year low, good but less than the +5.7% in July and also less than the expected +5.8%. All this was done with only a +1.6% rise in electricity production, and -3.2% fall in the production of fossil fuels, according to these official stats.China's house prices were generally stable in August. There were a few more signs of marginally higher prices in a few more cities for new developments. But the sales prices of pre-owned housing continues its slow droop and the trend is becoming ever more embedded as pressures mount.But probably worse from China was that fixed asset investment hardly rose, up just +0.5% for the eight months from the same period a year ago. It was expected to have risen +1.4% on this ytd basis. August 2025 alone actually came in lower than August 2024, a worrying sign.It is possible that the upcoming review on China's Loan Prime Rates may be cut to bolster their wobbly economic position. These are due for official review at the weekend.In Indonesia, they launched a new US$1 bln economic stimulus package to boost economic growth as a way of stabilising widespread unease about the country's direction.Indian exports softened in August, and their imports did too and by a bit more. That meant the expected -US$30 bln trade deficit for the month was lower than in July and lower than expected.India also had good labour market news with their jobless rate falling to a record low of 5.2% when a small rise was anticipated.In Australia, their National Climate Risk Assessment was released yesterday. They are trying to prioritise and plan how they will adapt and respond. The report says that while the world is already 1.2ºC hotter than during pre-industrial times, because of its sheer land size Australia is warming faster and is 1.5ºC hotter. Australia is experiencing more intense heatwaves on land and sea, rising seas and more frequent coastal flooding. Although the usual suspects remain in denial, a surprising number are now accepting it has become an urgent issue. Insurance premiums, even availability, will be how it will affect most people in Australia.But back with the headline financial market news. Ahead of the US Fed decision, equity markets are buoyant and all-in on optimism, but bond markets are wary, the USD is wavering, and commodity prices are little changed except for precious metals.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.04%, down -2 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3,679/oz, up +US$38 from yesterday.American oil prices are up +US$1 at just under US$63.50/bbl, with the international Brent price firmish just on US$67.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just under 59.7 USc and up +10 b ps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at 89.5 AUc. Against the euro we are also down -10 bps at 50.7 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 66.7, little-changed from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$114,938 and down -0.6% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at just under +/- 1%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news fighting inflation may well be a downgraded objective in the face of political pressure. The consequences could be long-lasting and global.For financial markets, this week will be all about the US Fed's Thursday rate decision where now a -25 bps cut is widely anticipated, to try and weigh against the softening US labour market. The same day the Canadians will review their policy rate too where a similar -25 bps cuts is expected.And there will be central bank reviews in Japan this week (no change), Indonesia (no change), England (no change), and Brazil this week too.China will also review its key rates and no change is expected there either. And China will release a lot of August economic data too, including FDI data.Australia will release its August labour market update and a modest +25,000 rise in employment is anticipated. Our balance of payments data will be released on Wednesday (expect a larger deficit), and Q2-2025 GDP will be released on Thursday (expect a decline). And before that we will get the August REINZ data and a full dairy auction.But back in the US, the pessimistic turn continues. The widely-watched University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey delivered downbeat results in September, sharply lower from August and well below what analysts had expected. They had expected a turn lower but not by this much. Declines were strongest among lower- and middle-income households because concerns grew over business conditions, jobs, and inflation. Both short and long term sentiment fell back. This index is more than -20% lower than year-ago levels.Meanwhile, year-ahead inflation expectations held steady at 4.8% while the five-year expectations moved up for the second straight month to 3.9% from 3.5%.Canadian building consents were unchanged in July from June but down -8.2% from a year ago. But most of this was due to non-residential work; residential consents were up, especially in Toronto.We should probably note that there are trade talks going on in Madrid between the US and China.In China, August data for new yuan loans came in well below what was expected although expectations weren't high. It was the lowest amount of bank debt for an August since 2011, extending the current period of weak credit demand amid the weakening consumer debt demand and the prolonged crisis for housing. The debt appetite dropped despite central bank efforts to loosen monetary conditions and stimulate borrowing.In India, consumer inflation rose, as expected, but only to 2.1% and ending a ten month period where it fell consistently from 6.2% to 1.6% in July. Food prices were little-changed and had no effect on the overall result.In France, Fitch has downgraded their credit rating to A+ from AA- on Friday, citing political turmoil and rising debt.We should probably note that copper prices are basically back to levels they were at five years ago, which is double what they were ten years ago. At current production levels the USGS estimates that existing mines will be able to operate for the next forty years, and proven resources will last about 200 years. (But there are expected to be much larger resources yet to be discovered.) We will look at some aspect core mineral resources weekly, going forward. (H/T PDK)The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.06%, little-changed from Saturday.The price of gold will start today at US$3,641/oz, down -US$7 from Saturday. That is up +US$48 from a week ago. Silver had another spurt, now up over US$42/oz.American oil prices are unchanged at just on US$62.50/bbl, with the international Brent price firmish just under US$67/bbl, both up +US$1 for the week.The Kiwi dollar is at just under 59.6 USc and unchanged from Saturday but up +70 bps from a week ago. Against the Aussie we are also unchanged at 89.6 AUc. Against the euro we are holding at 50.8 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 66.7, little-changed from Saturday but up +50 bps for the week.The bitcoin price starts today at US$115,666 and down -0.6% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been very low at just on +/- 0.4%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news away from the guns and hatred consuming the US at present. Our challenge is to keep it out of our society.Markets had been waiting for the American August CPI inflation data and it came in higher, although no more than expected. It rose to 2.9% in August, the highest since January, after holding at 2.7% in both June and July. Prices rose at a faster pace for food (3.2%) and energy costs rose for the first time in seven months. On a monthly basis, the CPI went up 0.4%, the most since January, above forecasts of 0.3%. Rents rose 0.4%, the largest upward pressure. On the other hand, core inflation remained steady at 3.1%, the same as in July and at February's peak, while core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, matching July's pace and market forecasts.In a stable world, this level of inflation would not bring market expectations of a Fed rate cut next week, but there are widespread expectations of one anyway. And that is because their labour market is weakening quite fast now.Initial jobless claims in the US came in sharply higher last week at +263,000 s.a. a four year high and well above the expected high 235,000. In actual terms they rose +204,500 when a solid end-of-summer-holiday seasonal decrease was expected. There are now 1,815,000 on these benefits, +110,000 more that at the same time last year.Also getting much worse much faster is the US Federal government finances. The US Budget Statement was expected to hold at a very high -US$290 bln monthly deficit, but it has blown out to -US$345 bln in August. And this is after collecting US$30 bln in tariff-taxes in the month, US$165 bln so far in the fiscal year.Whatever way you look at it, the US economy is being mismanaged on a massive scale. Too much inflation, too little job creation, too large tax avoidance by the uber-wealthy, and self-imposed tariff-taxes on themselves. And unfortunately their social programs are making things worse at a fundamental level too.New independent analysis shows that the long-held view that American demographics would remain very positive to the end of the century have suddenly turned. Now US deaths will exceed births by 2031, far faster than expected. And the deaths will rise quicker until 2055 when they will match immigration. And these estimates are before the Kennedy/Trump health mistakes which will undoubtedly speed up deaths. And the Trump heavy-handed immigration crackdowns that will likely mean the immigration assumptions are far too optimistic. If demographics are destiny, the destiny of the US looks grim and we can no longer hold the assumption that it will be a major power by 2100. That is a sharp change from the demographic outlook just a few years ago.New data out in Canada shows Canadians are wealthier with an increase of over a quarter of a trillion dollars to C$17.9 tln, the seventh consecutive quarterly increase. This wealth accumulation happened despite headwinds of global trade pressures and a weakening economy. Per capita GDP is now C$76,100 (NZ$92,100).Across the Pacific in Japan's producer prices there rose +2.7% in the year to August, up from a marginally revised +2.5% increase in the previous month. This data doesn't really add stress or new factors for Japan. A year earlier their PPI rose at a 2.6% rate.In China, new vehicle sales recovered in August, up +10.1% after the unexpected -10.7% fall in July. Total vehicle sales are expected to grow +4.7% in 2025 to almost 33 mln units from 31.4 mln in 2024, with the NEV sector surging +24% to 16 mln units. That will keep it almost twice the size of the US vehicle market. China's car market is a global goliath. (The US vehicle market is running at 16.1% mln annual sales, a dip in August from July.)In Europe, the European Central Bank kept its three key interest rates unchanged, with the deposit facility at 2.00%, the main refinancing rate at 2.15%, and the marginal lending rate at 2.40%, all as expected. Inflation remains close to the 2% medium-term target, and the outlook is broadly unchanged from June. New staff projections see headline inflation averaging 2.1% in 2025, easing to 1.7% in 2026 before rising slightly to 1.9% in 2027.Occasionally we check in with what is happening in Turkey, an authoritarian regime that has made massive mistakes with capricious monetary policy moves, and is paying the price with tough consequences. The Central Bank of Turkey cut its benchmark interest rate overnight by a surprisingly large -250 bps to 40.5% in its September meeting, its lowest since 2023. The move follows signs of slowing underlying inflation in August, though food and services prices continue to pressure inflation. Domestic demand remains weak.In Australia, consumer inflation expectations rose to 4.7% in the September survey by the Melbourne Institute, from August's five-month low of 3.9%. The increase came as stronger domestic demand raised concerns about renewed inflationary pressures, with household consumption proving resilient in Q2-2025. This is the sort of news the RBA will not welcome. No rate cut is priced in for September 30 but one is for November 4, although that might get reassessed now.Global container freight rates fell -3% last week from the prior week on very much weaker outbound rates from China to Europe. Interestingly, outbound rates from China to the USWC actually rose last week by +6%. (Year-on-year comparisons are still affected by last year's Red Sea stress.) Bulk freight rates roise +8% over the past week to be +8.5% higher than year ago levels.The UST 10yr yield is now on 4.00%, down -3 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at US$3,635/oz, down -US$10 from yesterday.American oil prices are down -US$1 at just over US$62.50/bbl with the international Brent price is similarly lower at just on US$66.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just over 59.7 USc and up another +20 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at 89.7 AUc. Against the euro we are up +10 bps at 50.9 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 66.8, unchanged from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$114,552 and up +0.7% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low, at just over +/- 0.6%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again on Monday.

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news all eyes are now on tomorrow's US CPI release for August.But first, there was surprising news from the US. August producer prices rose far less than any analyst has forecast. In fact they fell -0.1% in August from July, following a downwardly revised +0.7% gain in July, driven by a sharp decline in margins for machinery and vehicle wholesaling as importers absorbed some of the tariff taxes. On an annual basis, headline producer inflation slowed to 2.6%, while core producer inflation eased to 2.8%. Analysts had expected the year-on-year change to be up +3.5%.Markets took these changes at face value, ignoring the "new management" at the agency compiling the data. It is being seen as "Fed-friendly" for a rate cut next week. Although to be fair far more will depend on tomorrow's CPI release where rates closer to 3% are anticipated.Also unusually positive was last week's data on US mortgage applications. They jumped +9.2% from the prior week to be +11.6% higher than year-ago levels. Driving the turnaround was a -15 bps plunge in benchmark mortgage rates, which fell to their lowest in nearly one year as a wave of pessimistic labour market data drove yields on long-dated Treasury securities to retreat. Applications for a loan to refinance a current mortgage, which are more sensitive to changes in interest rates, surged by +12.2% from the previous week to their highest level in one year. In turn, applications for a mortgage to purchase a new home rose by +6.6%.And there was another US Treasury 10 year bond auction earlier today and that resulted in a median yield of 3.99%, down from 4.20% at the prior equivalent event a month ago. But a feature of this latest event was the declining demand, down -8.5% which is a notable pullback.Across the Pacific, Japanese manufacturers are feeling bullish, especially about export prospects. The Reuters Tankan index rose to a very positive level in September, its highest level since April 2022. Easing trade uncertainties following the Japanese-US tariff deal that sharply eased the tariff rate is behind the shift. Sentiment improved across six of nine manufacturing industries surveyed.In China, they reported that consumer prices dropped -0.4% in August from a year ago, after being unchanged in the prior month and missing market expectations of a -0.2% decline. It was the fifth episode of consumer deflation this year and the sharpest drop since February. China has a similar period of deflation in the second half of 2023, but escaped those pressures in 2024. But they are back again. Food prices fell -1.2%, but beef prices were down -4.3% and lamb prices down -3.6% on that annual basis. Milk prices fell -1.4%.Meanwhile Chinese producer prices dropped -2.9% in the year to August, less than the -3.6% drop in July, which was the steepest decline since July 2023. Producer prices have now deflated for 35 consecutive month although the latest data is the smallest decline since April.Despite growing civil unrest and street demonstrations in Jakarta, Indonesian consumer sentiment was little-changed in August, although it is maintaining its recent low that started in May. However in a longer term perspective, it is +20% higher than it was a decade ago. (The last thing Canberra want to see is an unstable Indonesia as a neighbour.)Fitch Ratings has raised its world growth forecasts for 2025 moderately since the June Global Economic Outlook on better-than-expected incoming data for 2Q-2025. But there is now evidence of an underlying US slowdown in ‘hard' economic data and positive surprises on eurozone growth have partly reflected US tariff front-running, they say. Fitch still expects world GDP to slow significantly this year.Global growth is now forecast to be 2.4% in 2025, up 0.2pp since June but a sizeable slowdown from 2.9% last year and below trend. China's forecast has been raised to 4.7% from 4.2%, the Eurozone's to 1.1% from 0.8% and the US's to 1.6% from 1.5%. World growth for 2026 is 0.1pp higher at 2.3%.The UST 10yr yield is now over 4.03%, down -4 bps from yesterday at this time.The price of gold will start today at a new high at US$3,645/oz, up +US$4 from yesterday.American oil prices are up +US$1 at just over US$63.50/bbl with the international Brent price is similarly higher at just on US$67.50/bbl. American crude oil stocks jumped, and for a second week in a row, when declines were anticipated, indicating weaker demand than expected.The Kiwi dollar is now at just over 59.5 USc and up +20 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -20 bps at 89.8 AUc. Against the euro we are up +20 bps at 50.8 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 66.8, down -20 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$113,721 and up +2.4% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate, also at just over +/- 1.4%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that rather than understating US jobs growth - which got her fired - the stats agency reporting labour market data overstated Trump's jobs growth, and by some margin.But first up today, there was a dairy Pulse auction earlier today for both SMP and WMP, and while prices dipped as expected, they didn't dip as much as the derivatives markets had signaled. WMP was down just -0.2% from the full auction the prior week, SMP was down -0.6%. However the firming NZD resulted in about a -1.5% fall in NZD terms.In the US, small business NFIB sentiment survey for August reported stable conditions with some issues easing, some tightening.There was a US Treasury 3yr bond auction earlier today that was well supported but less well than the prior equivalent event a month ago. It resulted in a median yield of 3.45%, down sharply from the 3.61% at that prior equivalent event. The outsized shift down likely reflects bond investor risk aversion.Although it is just a statistical adjustment, updated data shows the US economy added -911,000 fewer jobs in the 12 months through March than initially reported - the largest downward revision since at least 2000. This is a -0.6% adjustment, far more that the average change of +0.2% in total nonfarm employment over the past decade. Nearly all sectors added fewer jobs than initially estimated.If the US Fed cuts rates next week to bolster their slowing economy, it will likely signal that their are changing their inflation goal from 2% to 3%, and prepared to accept stagflation over stagnation. The risk is they get both.Across the Pacific, Japanese machine tool orders were up +8.1% in August from a year ago, largely due to a +12% surge in export orders. Export orders made up almost three quarters of this industry's order book in August.And Taiwan kept up its amazing record of export growth in August. They jumped more than +34% from a year ago and outperforming market expectations of +22% growth.In Russia, their Federal Treasury reported another deep deficit in August, the second in a row and the first time ever of back-to-back deficits exceeding -1.9% of GDP.In Australia, ANZ Group's new broom CEO Nuno Matos has kicked off a change program at the four-pillar bank with plans to shed 3,500 Australian staff.The Westpac-MI consumer sentiment survey slipped on darker views about the economic outlook and less confidence about getting any more rate cuts from the RBA - because inflation is still 'too high'. Analysts had expected this survey to possibly break into net optimism in September, but it was not to be.Meanwhile the August NAB business confidence report shows it fell a minor 3 points, following four consecutive months of improving sentiment and leaves confidence also close to long run average levelsThe UST 10yr yield is now under 4.07%, up +2 bps from yesterday at this time. The price of gold will start today at a new high at US$3,641/oz, up +US$9 from yesterday.American oil prices are marginally firmer, at just over US$62.50/bbl with the international Brent price is +50 USc firmer at just on US$66.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just over 59.3 USc and unchanged from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at 90 AUc. Against the euro we are up +10 bps at 50.6 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just over 66.6, down -10 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$111,080 and down -1.1% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate, also at just under +/- 1.1%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news bond markets are increasingly worried about what will transpire from the US CPI data for August later this week, and the US Fed's reaction next week.First today, American inflation expectations seem to be rising. In August they came in at 3.2%, their highest in three months. While that is higher than year ago levels too, some of the detail is a bit of a worry. Those surveyed say rents are expected to rise 6.0%, food by 5.5% and petrol by 3.9%. Also of some note is that job finding expectations have now fallen to a record low in a data series that started in June 2013. More than 14% of those surveyed say they are likely to lose their job in the year ahead. There is a palpable sense of fear and squeeze in these survey results. The fast-tightening labour market has many on edge.Meanwhile, August data for American consumer debt shows it rising, up +3.8% from a year ago with revolving debt up a sharp +9.7% on the same basis. Debt levels at credit unions seem to be leading the rises. These are all three year highs and the sudden shift likely indicates rising debt stress.The USD is falling, heading towards a three year low. Benchmark bond yields are falling and the UST 10 year is near a one year low.Across the Pacific, Chinese exports grew by +4.4% in August from a year ago, a level many others would like to have but it is lower than the expected +5% and July's +7.2% growth. And it is the softest pace of outbound shipment growth since February. Meanwhile their imports were up +1.3% in August on the same basis, less than the expected +3% and July's +4.1% rise. But that meant that their trade balance swelled to +US$102 bln in August, better than the +US$99 expected and higher than July's +US$91 bln.While China's exports and imports to the US eased back in August, they still ran a +US$24.3 bln monthly surplus with this strategic rival and that isn't declining materially. It's the largest surplus they run with anyone, although the combined nations of the EU ran a larger deficit with China at US$28.9 bln in August.In Japan, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigned over the weekend and new candidates are lining up to replace him. Financial markets are buoyant there on the prospect that a new leaders may chase fiscal expansion.And in France, their prime minister has lost a confidence vote.In Germany, their exports came in slightly weaker than expected in August when a rise was anticipated. But it was still a good gain on a year ago, and helped them maintain a healthy trade surplus. Meanwhile German industrial production came in much better in July than expected, bouncing back from a weak June.The UST 10yr yield is now under 4.05%, down -4 bps from yesterday at this time. The price of gold will start today surging to a new high at US$3,633/oz, up +US$47 from yesterday.American oil prices are a bit firmer, up less than +50 USc at just under US$62.50/bbl with the international Brent price also firmer just on US$66/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at just over 59.3 USc and up +40 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie we are up +20 bps at 91.1 AUc. Against the euro we are also up +20 bps at 50.5 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just under 66.7, up +30 bps from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$112,282 and up 1.1% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low at just under +/- 1.0%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Pays démocratique et républicain, la France nourrit un paradoxe : dans la mémoire collective des Français, la figure de l'homme providentiel a une place de choix. Parmi ces hommes et femmes surgissant dans des circonstances souvent exceptionnelles, se trouve Charles De Gaulle. Incarnation de la France libre pendant la Seconde Guerre mondiale, instigateur de la Ve République en 1958, le Général de Gaulle a, par deux fois, fait figure de sauveur dans notre pays. Comment s'est construit le mythe gaullien de l'homme providentiel ? Pour répondre à cette question, Virginie Girod reçoit l'historien Jean Garrigues. Fin connaisseur de l'histoire de nos institutions, il est président de la commission internationale d'histoire des assemblées, et auteur, notamment, des livres "A la plage avec Charles de Gaulle, l'homme providentiel dans un transat" (Dunod) et "Les Hommes providentiels: Histoire d'une fascination française" (Payot).Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1.Présentation : Virginie GirodProduction : Armelle ThibergeRéalisation : Clément IbrahimDiffusion : Estelle LafontComposition du générique : Julien TharaudVisuel : Sidonie ManginHébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

  Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation et écriture : Virginie Girod - Production : Armelle Thiberge - Réalisation : Nicolas Gaspard - Diffusion : Estelle Lafont - Composition du générique : Julien Tharaud - Promotion et coordination des partenariats : Marie Corpet - Visuel : Sidonie Mangin   Des heures et des heures d'Au Coeur de l'Histoire à écouter ! Découvrez  Au Coeur de l'Histoire +, une nouvelle offre pour accéder en avant-première aux nouveaux épisodes et en exclusivité à nos meilleures archives sur Versailles ou Napoléon par exemple. L'abonnement Au Coeur de l'Histoire + est disponible sur Apple Podcasts en cliquant ici                           Comment s'abonner ? Où écouter ? Quels sont les avantages d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire + ? Le mode d'emploi est disponible ici.   Vous voulez écouter les autres épisodes d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire ? >> Retrouvez-les sur notre site Europe1.fr et sur Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Deezer, Amazon Music, Dailymotion et YouTube, ou vos plateformes habituelles d'écoute. >> Retrouvez ici le mode d'emploi pour écouter tous les podcasts d'Europe 1     Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Virginie Girod raconte Condorcet (1743-1794), homme du XVIIIe siècle et figure oubliée des Lumières sacrifiée par la Révolution. Dans le premier épisode de ce double récit inédit d'Au coeur de l'Histoire, Nicolas de Caritat, marquis de Condorcet, porte les idées des Lumières. Formé à Paris, proche des encyclopédistes, il prend fait et cause pour les droits de l'homme, défendant des idées modernes telles la fin de l'escalavage et l'émancipation des femmes. En 1789, Condorcet prend part à la Révolution française. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1.Présentation et écriture : Virginie GirodProduction : Armelle ThibergeRéalisation : Nicolas GaspardDiffusion : Estelle LafontComposition du générique : Julien TharaudVisuel : Sidonie ManginHébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte Jules Ferry, nommé ministre de l'Instruction publique en février 1879, qui a révolutionné l'école, en la rendant laïque, gratuite et obligatoire, et consolidé la République par ses lois historiques. Dans quel contexte les lois relatives à l'école portées par Jules Ferry sont-elles promulguées ? Quelles autres lois fondatrices de notre République lui doit-on ? Pourquoi cette figure de la IIIᵉ République suscite-t-elle la controverse ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Paul Baquiast et Bertrand Sabot, historiens, auteurs de la biographie "Jules Ferry" (Editions Ellipses). Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Guillaume Vasseau. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Simon Veille. Journaliste : Armelle Thiberge.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte Jules Ferry, nommé ministre de l'Instruction publique en février 1879, qui a révolutionné l'école, en la rendant laïque, gratuite et obligatoire, et consolidé la République par ses lois historiques. Dans quel contexte les lois relatives à l'école portées par Jules Ferry sont-elles promulguées ? Quelles autres lois fondatrices de notre République lui doit-on ? Pourquoi cette figure de la IIIᵉ République suscite-t-elle la controverse ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Paul Baquiast et Bertrand Sabot, historiens, auteurs de la biographie "Jules Ferry" (Editions Ellipses). Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Guillaume Vasseau. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Simon Veille. Journaliste : Armelle Thiberge.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Send us a textIf our visual scoring is still based on gut feeling, how do we scale precision? In this week's DigiPath Digest, I explored four new AI-focused papers that could reshape how we diagnose prostate, bladder, gastroesophageal, and endocrine cancers.From automated IHC scoring to predicting urethral recurrence post-cystectomy, these studies highlight the growing value—and responsibility—of integrating AI into our pathology workflows.And yes, I also reveal where to get my histology-inspired earrings

Stéphane Bern nous convie à un voyage... en bateau, à bord du France, le plus grand paquebot jamais construit lors de sa mise à l'eau, il y a 65 ans presque jour pour jour, un "bateau gigantesque" comme le chantait Michel Sardou, qui a tristement fini en cale sèche… Qu'incarne le paquebot France dans notre imaginaire collectif ? Quels sont les enjeux de sa construction ? En quoi est-il l'ambassadeur de la France sur les mers ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Gabriel Courgeon, chargé des collections du Musée national de la Marine de Paris. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Guillaume Vasseau. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Jean-Christophe Piot. Journaliste : Clara Leger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern nous convie à un voyage... en bateau, à bord du France, le plus grand paquebot jamais construit lors de sa mise à l'eau, il y a 65 ans presque jour pour jour, un "bateau gigantesque" comme le chantait Michel Sardou, qui a tristement fini en cale sèche… Qu'incarne le paquebot France dans notre imaginaire collectif ? Quels sont les enjeux de sa construction ? En quoi est-il l'ambassadeur de la France sur les mers ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Gabriel Courgeon, chargé des collections du Musée national de la Marine de Paris. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Guillaume Vasseau. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Jean-Christophe Piot. Journaliste : Clara Leger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

En este episodio de Paredro Podcast conversamos con Alfredo Garzón y Verónica Ochoa, autores de Garzón. El duelo imposible, una novela gráfica profundamente conmovedora que parte del duelo personal y termina siendo un retrato colectivo del país.A 26 años del asesinato de Jaime Garzón —y en medio de un nuevo clima de violencia política en Colombia— este libro nos recuerda por qué la palabra, el humor y la memoria siguen siendo herramientas de resistencia.Jaime Garzón Forero fue abogado, periodista, humorista y mediador humanitario. Usó la sátira para denunciar los abusos del poder y trabajó incansablemente por la paz. Fue asesinado el 13 de agosto de 1999 por sicarios de las AUC, con complicidad de sectores del Estado. Tenía 38 años.Este episodio es una invitación a recordarlo desde el arte, la conversación y la esperanza.

Stéphane Bern raconte, en ce vendredi, non pas le dernier repas du Christ avec ses apôtres, mais la célébrissime peinture que le génie Léonard de Vinci, aussi imprévisible qu'insaisissable, en a fait : la Cène, l'immense chef-d'œuvre de la Renaissance et l'une des œuvres d'art les plus mythiques – et mystiques – de tous les temps… En quoi la vision de La Cène de Léonard de Vinci est-elle complètement nouvelle ? Comment a-t-il réussi à rendre “vivante” son œuvre ? Comment expliquer qu'autant d'énigmes continuent de l'entourer ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Vincent Delieuvin, conservateur en chef chargé de la peinture italienne du 16ᵉ siècle au Musée du Louvre. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Pierre Cazalot. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Eloi Audoin-Rouzeau. Journaliste : Clara Leger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte, en ce vendredi, non pas le dernier repas du Christ avec ses apôtres, mais la célébrissime peinture que le génie Léonard de Vinci, aussi imprévisible qu'insaisissable, en a fait : la Cène, l'immense chef-d'œuvre de la Renaissance et l'une des œuvres d'art les plus mythiques – et mystiques – de tous les temps… En quoi la vision de La Cène de Léonard de Vinci est-elle complètement nouvelle ? Comment a-t-il réussi à rendre “vivante” son œuvre ? Comment expliquer qu'autant d'énigmes continuent de l'entourer ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Vincent Delieuvin, conservateur en chef chargé de la peinture italienne du 16ᵉ siècle au Musée du Louvre. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Pierre Cazalot. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Eloi Audoin-Rouzeau. Journaliste : Clara Leger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte, suite à la disparition du Pape François, le destin de la basilique Saint-Pierre de Rome où son corps est exposé. Une basilique qui est le cœur spirituel du monde chrétien et l'un des plus grands monuments religieux à l'histoire jonchée de secrets... Mais qui était Saint Pierre ? Comment Saint Pierre est-il devenu une figure essentielle dans la chrétienté ? Quels mystères continuent d'entourer cette basilique ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Christophe Dickès, historien du Vatican et spécialiste de Saint-Pierre. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Guillaume Vasseau. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Eloi Audoin-Rouzeau. Journaliste : Clara Leger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte, suite à la disparition du Pape François, le destin de la basilique Saint-Pierre de Rome où son corps est exposé. Une basilique qui est le cœur spirituel du monde chrétien et l'un des plus grands monuments religieux à l'histoire jonchée de secrets... Mais qui était Saint Pierre ? Comment Saint Pierre est-il devenu une figure essentielle dans la chrétienté ? Quels mystères continuent d'entourer cette basilique ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Christophe Dickès, historien du Vatican et spécialiste de Saint-Pierre. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Guillaume Vasseau. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Eloi Audoin-Rouzeau. Journaliste : Clara Leger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte René Lalique, créateur de bijoux à la Belle Epoque qui a laissé son nom gravé sur des objets d'exception, et dans l'Histoire de l'art français… en devenant un véritable maître verrier ! En quoi René Lalique a-t-il inventé le bijou moderne ? Comment est-il passé maître dans l'art de la verrerie ? Comment a-t-il participé à la révolution industrielle ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Véronique Brumm Schaich, directrice du musée Lalique et auteure du livre “René Lalique, le génie de la lumière” (Gallimard). Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Loïc Vimard. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteure du récit : Albane Le Conte. Journaliste : Clara Léger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte René Lalique, créateur de bijoux à la Belle Epoque qui a laissé son nom gravé sur des objets d'exception, et dans l'Histoire de l'art français… en devenant un véritable maître verrier ! En quoi René Lalique a-t-il inventé le bijou moderne ? Comment est-il passé maître dans l'art de la verrerie ? Comment a-t-il participé à la révolution industrielle ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Véronique Brumm Schaich, directrice du musée Lalique et auteure du livre “René Lalique, le génie de la lumière” (Gallimard). Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Loïc Vimard. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteure du récit : Albane Le Conte. Journaliste : Clara Léger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte le destin - lié - de deux frères : Auguste et Louis Lumière qui, il y a 130 ans aujourd'hui, ont tourné le premier film de l'histoire du cinéma. Un très très court métrage rendu possible grâce à leur invention : le cinémascope, à la fois une caméra et un appareil pour projeter les images capturées, qui a fait leur succès… Qu'est-ce qui distingue l'invention des frères Lumière de toutes les autres ? Que voulait raconter le cinéma Lumière ? En quoi ont-ils inventé non seulement un objet, le cinématographe, mais aussi un nouveau monde ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Thierry Frémaux, directeur de l'Institut Lumière de Lyon, délégué général du Festival de Cannes et réalisateur du film Lumière ! L'aventure continue. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Guillaume Vasseau. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Jean-Christophe Piot. Journaliste : Clara Leger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Stéphane Bern raconte le destin - lié - de deux frères : Auguste et Louis Lumière qui, il y a 130 ans aujourd'hui, ont tourné le premier film de l'histoire du cinéma. Un très très court métrage rendu possible grâce à leur invention : le cinémascope, à la fois une caméra et un appareil pour projeter les images capturées, qui a fait leur succès… Qu'est-ce qui distingue l'invention des frères Lumière de toutes les autres ? Que voulait raconter le cinéma Lumière ? En quoi ont-ils inventé non seulement un objet, le cinématographe, mais aussi un nouveau monde ? Pour en parler, Stéphane Bern reçoit Thierry Frémaux, directeur de l'Institut Lumière de Lyon, délégué général du Festival de Cannes et réalisateur du film Lumière ! L'aventure continue. Au Cœur de l'Histoire est réalisée par Guillaume Vasseau. Rédaction en chef : Benjamin Delsol. Auteur du récit : Jean-Christophe Piot. Journaliste : Clara Leger.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

In this episode I discuss R Shiny and how it can be used for building clinical pharmacology tools. I provide an overview of the technology, suggest a few example use cases, and then walk through a specific practical example of predicting AUC and Cmax for future doses from observed data. I end with a discussion of the benefits and challenges of using R Shiny for clinical pharmacology tools. Links discussed in the show:Basics about R ShinyShinyapps.io for hosting shiny apps Example R Shiny app by Samer Mouskassi: ggplot with your dataExample R Shiny app for AUC-Cmax predictions You can connect with me on LinkedIn and send me a message Send me a message Sign up for my newsletter Copyright Teuscher Solutions LLCAll Rights Reserved

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation : Virginie Girod - Production : Armelle Thiberge - Réalisation : Clément Ibrahim - Diffusion : Estelle Lafont - Composition du générique : Julien Tharaud - Promotion et coordination des partenariats : Marie Corpet - Visuel : Sidonie Mangin Des heures et des heures d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire à écouter !  Découvrez  Au Coeur de l'Histoire +, une nouvelle offre pour accéder en avant-première aux nouveaux épisodes et en exclusivité à nos meilleures archives sur Versailles ou Napoléon par exemple. L'abonnement Au Cœur de l'Histoire + est disponible sur Apple Podcasts en cliquant ici                    Comment s'abonner ? Où écouter ? Quels sont les avantages d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire + ? Le mode d'emploi est disponible ici. Vous voulez écouter les autres épisodes d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire ? >> Retrouvez-les sur notre site Europe1.fr et sur Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Deezer, Amazon Music, Dailymotion et YouTube, ou vos plateformes habituelles d'écoute. >> Retrouvez ici le mode d'emploi pour écouter tous les podcasts d'Europe 1   Distribué par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation : Virginie Girod - Production : Armelle Thiberge - Réalisation : Christophe Daviaud - Diffusion : Estelle Lafont - Composition du générique : Julien Tharaud - Promotion et coordination des partenariats : Marie Corpet - Visuel : Sidonie Mangin   Des heures et des heures d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire à écouter !  Découvrez  Au Coeur de l'Histoire +, une nouvelle offre pour accéder en avant-première aux nouveaux épisodes et en exclusivité à nos meilleures archives sur Versailles ou Napoléon par exemple. L'abonnement Au Cœur de l'Histoire + est disponible sur Apple Podcasts en cliquant ici                    Comment s'abonner ? Où écouter ? Quels sont les avantages d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire + ? Le mode d'emploi est disponible ici. Vous voulez écouter les autres épisodes d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire ? >> Retrouvez-les sur notre site Europe1.fr et sur Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Deezer, Amazon Music, Dailymotion et YouTube, ou vos plateformes habituelles d'écoute. >> Retrouvez ici le mode d'emploi pour écouter tous les podcasts d'Europe 1   Distribué par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation et écriture : Virginie Girod - Production : Armelle Thiberge - Réalisation : Nicolas Gaspard - Diffusion : Estelle Lafont - Composition du générique : Julien Tharaud - Promotion et coordination des partenariats : Marie Corpet - Visuel : Sidonie Mangin Ressources en ligne Geneviève Zaepfell, Mon combat psychique Geneviève Zaepfell, Arrangez-vous là-haut ! "Légendes et fantômes de l'Ouest. Un manoir régi par l'occultisme en Ille-et-Vilaine" - Ouest France Geneviève Zaepffel - Encyclopédie de Brocéliande Philippe Baudouin et Gaspard Laurent, « Bureaumancie », Terrain, Hors-série | 2021 Des heures et des heures d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire à écouter !  Découvrez  Au Coeur de l'Histoire +, une nouvelle offre pour accéder en avant-première aux nouveaux épisodes et en exclusivité à nos meilleures archives sur Versailles ou Napoléon par exemple. L'abonnement Au Cœur de l'Histoire + est disponible sur Apple Podcasts en cliquant ici                    Comment s'abonner ? Où écouter ? Quels sont les avantages d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire + ? Le mode d'emploi est disponible ici. Vous voulez écouter les autres épisodes d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire ? >> Retrouvez-les sur notre site Europe1.fr et sur Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Deezer, Amazon Music, Dailymotion et YouTube, ou vos plateformes habituelles d'écoute. >> Retrouvez ici le mode d'emploi pour écouter tous les podcasts d'Europe 1 Distribué par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation : Virginie Girod - Production : Armelle Thiberge - Réalisation : Clément Ibrahim - Diffusion : Estelle Lafont - Composition du générique : Julien Tharaud - Promotion et coordination des partenariats : Marie Corpet - Visuel : Sidonie Mangin Des heures et des heures d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire à écouter !  Découvrez  Au Coeur de l'Histoire +, une nouvelle offre pour accéder en avant-première aux nouveaux épisodes et en exclusivité à nos meilleures archives sur Versailles ou Napoléon par exemple. L'abonnement Au Cœur de l'Histoire + est disponible sur Apple Podcasts en cliquant ici                    Comment s'abonner ? Où écouter ? Quels sont les avantages d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire + ? Le mode d'emploi est disponible ici Vous voulez écouter les autres épisodes d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire ? >> Retrouvez-les sur notre site Europe1.fr et sur Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Deezer, Amazon Music, Dailymotion et YouTube, ou vos plateformes habituelles d'écoute. >> Retrouvez ici le mode d'emploi pour écouter tous les podcasts d'Europe 1   Distribué par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Au Cœur de l'Histoire est un podcast Europe 1. - Présentation : Virginie Girod - Production : Armelle Thiberge - Réalisation : Christophe Daviaud - Diffusion : Estelle Lafont - Composition du générique : Julien Tharaud - Promotion et coordination des partenariats : Marie Corpet - Visuel : Sidonie Mangin Des heures et des heures d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire à écouter !  Découvrez  Au Coeur de l'Histoire +, une nouvelle offre pour accéder en avant-première aux nouveaux épisodes et en exclusivité à nos meilleures archives sur Versailles ou Napoléon par exemple. L'abonnement Au Cœur de l'Histoire + est disponible sur Apple Podcasts en cliquant ici                    Comment s'abonner ? Où écouter ? Quels sont les avantages d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire + ? Le mode d'emploi est disponible ici. Vous voulez écouter les autres épisodes d'Au Cœur de l'Histoire ? >> Retrouvez-les sur notre site Europe1.fr et sur Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Deezer, Amazon Music, Dailymotion et YouTube, ou vos plateformes habituelles d'écoute. >> Retrouvez ici le mode d'emploi pour écouter tous les podcasts d'Europe 1   Distribué par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Bienvenue dans ce nouvel épisode d'«Au Cœur de l'Histoire» ! Ce matin, nous vous emmenons à la rencontre d'un personnage clé du XVIIe siècle français : Henri de La Tour d'Auvergne, plus connu sous le nom de maréchal de Turenne.Dès son plus jeune âge, Turenne baigne dans un environnement marqué par les conflits. Né dans une famille protestante, il grandit au cœur de la guerre de Trente Ans, un vaste conflit qui ravage l'Europe pendant trois décennies. Très jeune, il manifeste des qualités de stratège et d'organisateur qui ne tardent pas à être remarquées. Après avoir fait ses armes auprès de son oncle aux Pays-Bas, il rejoint l'armée française et gravit rapidement les échelons, devenant l'un des plus brillants généraux de son temps.Sous les règnes de Louis XIII et de Louis XIV, Turenne va jouer un rôle déterminant dans les conflits qui opposent la France à l'Espagne et à l'Autriche. Ses victoires décisives, notamment lors de la guerre de Hollande, lui valent une renommée sans égale. Tacticien hors pair, Turenne privilégie une approche indirecte, cherchant à désorganiser et à surprendre l'ennemi plutôt que de l'affronter de front.

Bienvenue dans ce nouvel épisode d'«Au Cœur de l'Histoire» ! Ce matin, nous vous emmenons à la rencontre d'un personnage clé du XVIIe siècle français : Henri de La Tour d'Auvergne, plus connu sous le nom de maréchal de Turenne.Dès son plus jeune âge, Turenne baigne dans un environnement marqué par les conflits. Né dans une famille protestante, il grandit au cœur de la guerre de Trente Ans, un vaste conflit qui ravage l'Europe pendant trois décennies. Très jeune, il manifeste des qualités de stratège et d'organisateur qui ne tardent pas à être remarquées. Après avoir fait ses armes auprès de son oncle aux Pays-Bas, il rejoint l'armée française et gravit rapidement les échelons, devenant l'un des plus brillants généraux de son temps.Sous les règnes de Louis XIII et de Louis XIV, Turenne va jouer un rôle déterminant dans les conflits qui opposent la France à l'Espagne et à l'Autriche. Ses victoires décisives, notamment lors de la guerre de Hollande, lui valent une renommée sans égale. Tacticien hors pair, Turenne privilégie une approche indirecte, cherchant à désorganiser et à surprendre l'ennemi plutôt que de l'affronter de front.

Pinky Selim is a banker by profession, a dancer by passion, and the founder of the AUC Alumni Folklore Group, a troupe dedicated to reviving Egyptian folkloric dance. While studying at the American University in Cairo, she was deeply involved in the university's folklore club, and after graduation, she couldn't imagine letting go of this art form. In 2013, with the support of AUC's Alumni Office, she launched AUC Alum Folk to preserve and celebrate Egyptian heritage through performance and education. Inspired by legends like Mahmoud Reda and Farida Fahmy, Pinky has choreographed and staged numerous shows that bring folklore to life for new generations. As a proud mother and twin sister, she leads a growing troupe of dancers of all ages, teaching workshops and organizing performances that honor the richness and diversity of Egyptian folk traditions.In this episode you will learn about:- How a simple alumni club became a full dance company- The deep influence of her father on Pinki's view of music and culture- The growing disconnection between young Egyptians and their own cultural heritage- Why teaching folklore felt urgent in a culture where kids mock their own language- What it takes to lead amateurs who dance like prosShow Notes to this episode:Find Pinky Selim on Instagram, and Instagram page of AUC Alumni Folklore.Visit Bellydance.com today: you'll always find something fresh, whether you're looking for costumes, practice wear, veils, hip scarves, jewelry, or music.Details and training materials for the BDE castings are available at www.JoinBDE.comFollow Iana on Instagram, FB, and Youtube . Check out her online classes and intensives at the Iana Dance Club.Find information on how you can support Ukraine and Ukrainian belly dancers HERE.Podcast: www.ianadance.com/podcast