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SQM Research has just placed the private credit sector on watch, and that's got the market talking. What does it mean? Should investors be worried? And where are the biggest risks hiding?In this episode of The Theory of Thing Investment Podcast, James Whelan sits down with Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, to break down: ✅ Why SQM is increasing its scrutiny on private credit ✅ The red flags emerging in the sector—from transparency issues to high leverage ✅ What investors and advisers need to watch out for ✅ How today's risks compare to the 2008 mortgage trust crisis ✅ The future of private markets and whether the sector can weather the stormIt's a must-listen for anyone in wealth management, investing, or just keen to understand what's happening behind the scenes. Tune in now!Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/the-bip-show. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Send us a textLouis Christopher, is one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts. He reveals: 00:00 - The impact of rate cuts on Australian real estate market 01:49 - Why Reserve Bank of Australia likely to cut interest rates again 05:35 - How population growth and rate cuts drive economic forecast 07:34 - Perth's housing market outperforms amid Sydney and Melbourne 10:50 - Interest rates, rental market trends, and selling strategies 13:39 - Rising vacancy rates15:27 - The potential impact of rate cuts and super access on the housing market This webinar is sponsored by LocalAgentFinder
It does not take long for distressed sales to appear in a soft property market: In Sydney and Melbourne there is now clear weakness in inner-city apartment markets.But can an investor make money here? Louis Christopher of SQM Research joins wealth editor James Kirby in this episode. ------------ In today's show, we cover: * Soft spots in the metropolitan centres * Why Brisbane and Perth may hold up in 2025* Off-the-plan risks reappear * When one-bedroom units make sense See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Send us a text01:46 – Louis Christopher's Housing Boom & Bust Report 2025 02:33 – House price predictions for 2025 across Australia07:00 – Why Melbourne has become a buyer's market with an increase in distressed selling12:15 – Why Louis is optimistic about Brisbane16:25 – How the population decline in Hobart is affecting housing prices19:05 – Interest rates, Migration, and Over Population22:11 – How do you select the best agent?30:16 – There are more ‘sold priors' than ‘sold under the hammer' in Sydney 31:08 – What are the best buys?32:08 – How do you calculate the ‘Real Interest Rate”?LOUIS CHRISTOPHER is the Founder and Managing Director of SQM Research and one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts. Known for his accurate forecasts and in-depth market knowledge, Louis provides invaluable insights into the Australian property market to help you make your next move!This episode is sponsored by Local Agent Finder
In this special episode, we explore the transformative role of hospitality in bridging divides, fostering empathy, and building community across cultural and political lines. Listen for insights from recent conversations with hospitality leaders across the US and around the world who believe in hospitality's ability to bring people together despite differences.In this episode, you'll hear from:Ashli Johnson, Founder of Hospitality Hued: Ashli discusses how hospitality, when centered around serving others, can be a force for unity in both personal and professional spheres.Sarah Eustis, CEO of Main Street Hospitality: Sarah describes her hotel's open-door policy that invites people from all walks of life, fostering inclusivity and meaningful dialogue.Jason Himber, CEO of MINA Group: Jason emphasizes how sharing a meal can break down barriers, facilitating open, relaxed conversations even in challenging circumstances.Christopher Hunsberger, COO of Appellation: Christopher reflects on the importance of diversity in hospitality, both within teams and among guests, as a way to build empathy and understanding.Charlie MacGregor, Founder of The Social Hub: Charlie speaks about creating safe spaces where people can express diverse perspectives and connect without fear of judgment.Kara Bartelt, GM of The Hoxton in Los Angeles: Kara discusses her hotel's proactive involvement in the local community, helping to revitalize downtown Los Angeles through engagement and advocacy.Christopher Randall, Director of Community Impact at 21c Museum Hotel in St. Louis: Christopher shares how his hotel supports community empowerment through inclusivity and access to resources.Harsha L'Aqua, Founder of Saira Hospitality: Harsha reflects on her philanthropic journey inspired by Mother Teresa, discussing Saira's approach to combining hospitality with meaningful social impact.Send Josiah a text A few more resources: If you're new to Hospitality Daily, start here. You can send me a message here with questions, comments, or guest suggestions If you want to get my summary and actionable insights from each episode delivered to your inbox each day, subscribe here for free. Follow Hospitality Daily and join the conversation on YouTube, LinkedIn, and Instagram. If you want to advertise on Hospitality Daily, here are the ways we can work together. If you found this episode interesting or helpful, send it to someone on your team so you can turn the ideas into action and benefit your business and the people you serve! Music for this show is produced by Clay Bassford of Bespoke Sound: Music Identity Design for Hospitality Brands
The Australian property market has always been a collection of regional sectors: But one regional property sector stands out with the strongest long-term fundamentals: Queensland. Louis Christopher of SQM Research joins wealth editor James Kirby for this episode. ------------- In today's show, we cover: * Why Queensland tops the bill for this top property analyst * Unit prices are rising and that's not good for the market - here's why * Why regional vacancy rates remain tight * My super for my home - the argument against it See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Podcast Episode #76: Property Market Pulse, Predictions and Policies to Fix the Housing Market Featuring: Louis Christopher - SQM RESEARCH Intro: Welcome to our next edition of the Propertybuyer Podcast. The last interest rate rise was November 2023 when the RBA raised the cash rate to 4.35%. Recent inflation figures have been quite slow at coming down prompting lots of conjecture from economists about whether the RBA will raise one more time to kill off inflation. Cost of living is really bitting into household budgets and economic growth is quite constrained. However, the housing market appears to be running at a different speed in various locations. Today we are privileged to have Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research to help take the current pulse of the property market and see which parts of the country and rising or falling and where it is heading in 2025. Louis Christopher is one of the most accurate property forecasters I know, and he produces an annual Boom and Bust report providing excellent insights into the future of the property market across Australia. Today we will discuss the real impact of interest rate rises on the property market, how to fix the housing crisis, predictions for 2025, listing volumes in the upcoming spring selling season and when the next property boom will come. Thought of the Week “Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life.” –Steve Jobs Questions we will cover in this Podcast: What has been the Impact of higher interest rates on property prices and consumer confidence over the past 12 months? How long has it taken for interest rate rises to completely wash through the economy over this last rate rising cycle? What's you view on how international events like the Ukraine / Russia war, US Election, Israel /Gaza War – impact property market here? How fast do you think the housing market will reignite once we start to see interest rate cuts? What are the current figures for building approvals? Has this been improving or declining and why? Is the Federal governments target of building 240,000 new homes per annum fanciful pipe dream? What the key housing policies do you think will fix the housing crisis? What impact will the massive immigration intake over the past two years have on the property market over the next three to five years? Do you think the government will radically reduce immigration levels? Or keep them moderate to make sure there is sufficient economic growth and a skilled labour force? What are your property predictions over the next 12 months? What are the X-factors to look out for? How accurate have been your property price forecasts in your boom and bust report over the past 12 months? Listing volumes – what are the latest trends in each city? Do you expect Spring to be an active market or a subdued market in terms of volumes? Rental market- what's happening with rents in each city? Are rent rises toning down or will vacancy rates remain low for sometime yet? Are you seeing any evidence of distressed selling ? What are the figures for delinquent mortgages ? How much variation in each state? When do you think we will get the next big property boom? What will be the main drivers of demand and supply going forward?
There really is no realistic prospect of rental vacancies rising significantly any time soon, which is grim news for tenants in most parts of Australia. Vacancy rates continue to be close to those historic lows that have become the norm in the past couple of years and I can't see any way they will improve in the foreseeable future. The politicians who have created this unprecedented shortage of rental properties are clueless about how to fix their mess – and most of their actions which impact on the situation make it worse, not better. The latest data on vacancies nationwide – from one of the key sources, SQM Research - has the national vacancy rate at 1.3% in June, the same as it was a year ago. We still have capital cities with vacancy rates well below 1%, including Adelaide, Perth and Darwin. That June vacancy rate was slightly up on the rate for May, but that's attributed to seasonal factors. Here's what Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research and one of Australia's most experienced and respected research analysts, says about the current situation and about the future of vacancy rates: “Based on history, we have now reached the peak in rental vacancy rates for Winter. It is likely that, vacancy rates will now begin to tighten again and keep tightening until November. “So far this year, we have recorded very similar vacancy rates compared to the same period in 2023. “Overall, the national rental market remains in severe shortage and barring some exceptions, is not expected to materially soften out of the rental crisis for some years.” So what does this mean for residential rents? Well, it doesn't necessarily mean they are going to continue rising at 10% or more per year. While vacancies are set to remain dangerously low for some time, there is a ceiling beyond which rents can't rise because to the capacity of tenants to pay. Louis Christopher says: “Much of the structural rental shortage has now been priced into the rental market and so I do believe the days of 10-20% plus annual rental increases have come to an end.” I agree. Tenants, who tend to have lower incomes, have had years of rising rents and they can't keep paying more and more in rent, in times when they're also paying more for food, electricity, petrol and other essentials. But the situation of ongoing ultra-low vacancies does mean that rents won't fall. They will remain at the current high levels for the foreseeable future.
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
Wondering how the 2024 property forecasts are stacking up so far? Tune in to our mid-year review as we dive into the real estate predictions that nailed it and the ones that missed the mark. In this episode, we dissect the key trends, market shifts, and unexpected twists that have shaped the housing landscape in the first half of the year. Today, we have Louis Christopher with us again to share his insights from the much-anticipated “Boom or Bust” report. Louis has a knack for making accurate predictions, but he's also refreshingly honest about where he's gone astray. We explore his methodology and the factors he weighs when making his forecasts. This episode is a must for anyone keen on understanding property market predictions and figuring out which ones to trust. We also peek into what the rest of the year might hold, including potential surprises and how elements like inflation and geopolitical tensions could sway the market. Tune in to get a better grasp of the 2024 property market trends 'cause whether you're buying, selling, or investing, this episode offers vital insights into the current property market dynamics and what to keep an eye on in the months ahead. Episode Highlights: 00:00 - Introduction 01:01 - Who is Louis Christopher? 01:43 - Discussion on the national market performance and overall trends observed in 2024 03:07 - Analysis of the market slowdown and how it compares to previous years 07:32 - Why the lack of major surprises in the property market despite economic uncertainties 12:15 - Discussion on Perth's growth trajectory and contributing factors 16:53 - Projected rise of unemployment in Perth and its potential effects on property prices 19:00 - Brisbane's growth and how it compares to other major cities 22:16 - How the number of property listings in Brisbane has changed over recent years 28:43 - Trend of declining property listings and transaction volumes in various locations 30:35 - The influence of stamp duty on property prices and market activity 35:08 - Louis' analysis on the Australian Capital Territory 37:00 - The potential impact of upcoming elections on housing market forecasts 41:13 - The importance of creating scenarios to anticipate future developments in real estate 42:27 - How does media coverage influence public perception of real estate forecasts? 47:27 - Louis Christopher's property dumbo About Our Guest: Louis Christopher established SQM Research in 2006. He was Head of Research and General Manager of the property statistics agency, Australian Property Monitors (APM) for six years. During his time at APM, Louis constructed key residential property market indexes published by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Prior to APM Louis spent three years at the Securities Institute of Australia as a Technical Editor. Louis previously spent 18 months at MLC working in the investment services. He is widely respected for the quality and accuracy of his market outlooks, ratings philosophy and forecasts for the Australian residential property market. Connect with Louis Christopher: Connect with Louis on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/louischristopher/ Visit SQM's website: https://sqmresearch.com.au/ Connect with Louis on X: https://x.com/LouiChristopher Resources mentioned in this episode: Download Louis Christopher's 2024 Housing Boom and Bust Report here: https://sqmresearch.com.au/boombustreport.php Resources: Visit our website https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au If you have any questions or would like to be featured on our show, contact us at: The Elephant in the Room Property Podcast questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? https://www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://www.veronicamorgan.com.au Looking for a Mortgage Broker? https://www.blusk.au Work with Chris: hello@blusk.au Enjoyed the podcast? Don't miss out on what's yet to come! Hit that subscription button, spread the word and join us for more insightful discussions in real estate. Your journey starts now! Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theelephantintheroom-podcast Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ph/podcast/the-elephant-in-the-room-property-podcast/id1384822719 Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Ge1626dgnmK0RyKPcXjP0?si=26cde394fa854765 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Property listings rose across to nation to more normal levels, but SQM Research's Louis Christopher tells John Baldock, so too did distressed sales, although they're still at below pandemic levels. Plus, SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with Jun Bei Liu from Tribeca Investment Partners about the day's sharemarket action as gold continues to reach new highs.
Property listings rose across to nation to more normal levels, but SQM Research's Louis Christopher tells John Baldock, so too did distressed sales, although they're still at below pandemic levels. Plus, SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with Jun Bei Liu from Tribeca Investment Partners about the day's sharemarket action as gold continues to reach new highs.
There are lots of negative forecasts in news media about property prices in 2024, but if you own real estate or are planning to get into the market, do not be alarmed. At this time EVERY year, media is awash for pessimistic forecasts for real estate prices. And most of the time they are proven wrong by subsequent outcomes. Remember when Covid struck early in 2020? Media reports abounded with forecasts that house prices would collapse. But they didn't – prices rose in 2020. At the start of 2021, most forecasters agreed prices would rise that year, but only 5 or 6 percent. But by the end of the year, house prices had appreciated by an average of 25%. At the beginning of 2023, we were told by bank economists and media commentators that prices would drop at least 15% – because interest rates were rising. And yet again, they were not only wrong, but spectacularly wrong. Prices have grown in most markets across Australia, including price rises above 10% in some cities. So, as we head in 2024, the usual suspects are popping up with their price forecasts – and, you guessed it, they're mostly pessimistic. And news media is happy to publish them, despite the dreadful track record of so many of the forecasters. Essentially, journalists don't care about the credibility (or lack of it) of the commentators – anyone willing to stand up and declare that prices will collapse, or plummet, or nosedive, or fall off a cliff, is guaranteed lots of free publicity. Which is why the people putting out press releases usually make NEGATIVE forecasts with dire warnings about real estate matters – they know a screaming negative is the shortcut to a high media profile, content in the knowledge that no journalist in Australia will ever challenge them about getting it wrong all the time. An example of the mindset of the average journalist, and how it translates into misinformation for Australian consumers, is provided by media reaction to the Boom and Bust report published in November each year by experienced analyst Louis Christopher of SQM Research. Each year, this report presents four different scenarios to forecast what might happen with house prices in the coming year. Each scenario assumes different outcomes with interest rates, inflation and unemployment, with various price predictions for each different scenario. Journalists, being the sad, pathetic creatures that they are, will always zero in on the most negative of the four scenarios, and make that their story. So headlines have been screaming that prices will fall in 2024 in the big cities. It's worth noting that the Boom and Bust report a year ago had fairly pessimistic forecasts for Australian property prices – with prices tipped to fall everywhere except Perth in the worst- case scenario – but prices have been rising steadily in 2023. The senior economists at ANZ Bank, arguably the worst real estate forecasters in the nation, recently popped up with a report described a “triple whammy” of factors that will drag down property markets in 2024. Journalists and bank economists have a number of things in common – they're pessimistic by nature, they're not very good at their jobs, they're slow learners and they're not interested in helping people. They just want to generate headlines. So if you're a property investor, and you have a plan, tune out all the media white noise and just get on with it.
Louis Christopher is a leading real estate economist, data analyst, and forecaster. He is the founder of SQM Research, a property market research company.Louis is known for his annual Boom and Bust Report, which provides insights and forecasts for the Australian housing market.0:00:00 - Reserve Bank of Australia's decision0:04:09 - Louis Christopher's forecast for housing markets0:07:47 - Positive outlook for Adelaide0:09:10 - Discussion on migration's impact on prices and unemployment0:13:20 - Prediction of one-year housing market downturn0:13:43 - Possibility of interest rate cut next year0:13:55 - Potential impact of events in the Middle East and global economy on interest rates0:15:43 - The individuals who benefit from rising interest rates and housing prices increase0:18:10 - Why wealthy individuals contribute to inflation 0:20:42 - Negative retail spending can lead to economic recession0:23:05 - Rental shortage expected to continue, building approvals fallingGet the full Boom & Bust Report from SQM Research The #TechTuesday training series is a Tom Panos & Realtair collaboration
We're at the time of year again when everyone is wondering what's in store for property in the year ahead, particularly in light of another incredible year that's continued to defy most expectations. So Bushy and Kevin are delighted that Louis Christopher joins them in this week's show to go into some detail from his Christopher's Housing Boom and Bust Report from SQM Research. We talk to the new President of the Real Estate Buyers Association, Melinda Jennison, about low barriers to entry into the industry. NEW – join our Facebook group, The Property Hub Collective: https://www.facebook.com/groups/1857513011165686 Join the Property Hub community on Substack! Sign up to get Australian property news, opinion, and episodes in your inbox: https://propertyhubau.substack.com/ Subscribe to RealtyTalk on the Property Hub channel: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Email Property Hub is a collaboration between Bushy Martin from KnowHow Property, Kevin Turner from Realty, Andrew Montesi from Apiro Marketing and Apiro Media, and Australia's largest independent podcast network DM Media. Business and partnership enquiries: antony@dm.org.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Louis Christopher, managing director di SQM Research, che si occupa di monitorare il mercato delle case australiano, ha affermato che i prezzi delle case di Sydney e Melbourne potrebbero scendere di valore fino al 4% nel 2024.
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
Have you ever wondered what it truly requires to become a property forecaster? The surface might suggest economics degrees and positions in prestigious financial institutions, but the accuracy of their predictions often seem to miss the mark by a mile. So, what gives? Are there hidden puzzle pieces they're not seeing or just ignoring? In a world where economic indicators and banking reports often fall short in painting an accurate property market portrait, let's venture beyond the surface-level analysis. Are there hidden variables that escape mainstream attention? Could it be that forecasters are sidelining crucial factors in their projections? Our guest today is none other than Louis Christopher, a distinguished figure in the realm of property research. With the inception of SQM Research in 2006 and his pivotal role at the Australian Property Monitors before that, Louis has carved out a reputation for his astute market outlooks and precise predictions. Buckle up as we challenge the conventional wisdom of property forecasting and probe into the core drivers of real estate valuation. Let's break things down, and get a whole new perspective on what really makes property prices tick – or tank. Episode Highlights: 00:00 - Introduction 01:13 - Our guest for today… 03:38 - Why aren't banks getting the forecasts accurate? 07:45 - The rental stress and the housing crisis 13:57 - How property listings are affecting property forecasts? 16:53 - Economists when predicting housing trends 20:21 - What most property data experts miss out on 24:16 - What happened to property prices back in 1990 26:43 - Base case forecasts in November 2022 28:34 - How Louis puts together his forecasts 32:47 - How low inflation could impact property prices in 2024 35:10 - What leading indicators influence the housing market? 38:25 - Consumer confidence and the housing market 42:20 - Consumer confidence and consumer spending 47:28 - Resilience in the market 49:04 - The impact of the interest rate cliff on the housing market 52:13 - Should APRA step in and restrict borrowing capacity? 57:16 - Impact of stamp duty on property prices 58:48 - Louis Christopher's property dumbo About Our Guest: Louis Christopher established SQM Research in 2006. He was Head of Research and General Manager of the property statistics agency, Australian Property Monitors (APM) for six years. During his time at APM, Louis constructed key residential property market indexes published by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Prior to APM Louis spent three years at the Securities Institute of Australia as a Technical Editor. Louis previously spent 18 months at MLC working in the investment services. He is widely respected for the quality and accuracy of his market outlooks, ratings philosophy and forecasts for the Australian residential property market. Connect with Louis Christopher: Connect with Louis on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/louischristopher/ Visit SQM's website: https://sqmresearch.com.au/ Resources: Visit our website https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au If you have any questions or would like to be featured on our show, contact us at: The Elephant in the Room Property Podcast questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? https://www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://www.veronicamorgan.com.au Looking for a Mortgage Broker? https://www.blusk.au Work with Chris: hello@blusk.au Enjoyed the podcast? Don't miss out on what's yet to come! Hit that subscription button, spread the word and join us for more insightful discussions in real estate. Your journey starts now! Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theelephantintheroom-podcast Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ph/podcast/the-elephant-in-the-room-property-podcast/id1384822719 Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Ge1626dgnmK0RyKPcXjP0?si=26cde394fa854765 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. In this episode, we dissect:The RBA's recent decision to pause on interest rate risesThe role of inflation in thisHow reduced listings and APRA's buffer regulations have spurred a ripple effectHow interest rate hikes influence various demographics differently, and moreShare this with your vendors and buyers so that you can help them make informed decisions.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined in a live cross to Louis Christopher from SQM Research. Tonight, Louis answers a long list of questions from his recently released Boom and Bust report.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined in a live cross to Louis Christopher from SQM Research. Tonight, Louis answers a long list of questions from his recently released Boom and Bust report.
The property market appears to be stabilising and getting set for a quicker than expected recovery!! Welcome to our latest podcast episode, where we take a deep dive into the current state of the property market and its future outlook. We are thrilled to be joined by Louis Christopher, the Managing Director of SQM Research, one of the most respected and accurate property forecasters in the country. Louis's regular Boom and Bust reports are highly regarded, and we are excited to have him share his insights with us. In this episode, we explore whether the property market has reached its bottom and what key drivers will shape the market over the next few years. We also discuss the impact of COVID-19 on the property market and the legacy of changes it has left behind. Additionally, we address the current rental crisis and potential solutions, as well as the all-important question of whether now is the right time to buy a property. So sit back, relax, and join us as we gain valuable insights into the property market from one of the most knowledgeable experts in the field. Thought of the week: “Two roads diverged in a wood, and I—I took the one less travelled by, And that has made all the difference.” –Robert Frost
We bring you another classic Realty Talk episode from the vault, which was originally published on May 20, 2022, but is still just as relevant today. Louis Christopher has always presented an interesting and sometimes challenging view on the property market. His outlook is influenced by the data he has access to through his company SQM Research and for that reason he has been a regular guest on the show – always telling it as it is. He does not disappoint in this interview with Bushy and Kevin as he looks back over the last decade and ahead into the future. RealtyTalk is part of the Property Hub podcast channel, your home for property investment insights, inspiration, and stories from Australia's top property experts, investors, leaders, and analysts. Subscribe now to get every RealtyTalk episode delivered to you each week for free, and also get full access to Get Invested, the leading podcast for Australians who want to unlock their full ‘self, health, and wealth' potential and get inspired by the stories of investors, founders, and entrepreneurs. Subscribe to RealtyTalk on the Property Hub channel: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Email Property Hub is a collaboration between Bushy Martin from KnowHow Property, Kevin Turner from Realty, Andrew Montesi from Apiro Marketing and Apiro Media, and Australia's largest independent podcast network DM Media. Business and partnership enquiries: antony@dm.org.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Australian property markets abound with opportunities for real estate investors in 2023. Consumers can be forgiven for not realising that, given the sensationally negative nature of media coverage of housing markets. But, right now, the equation for property investors seeking opportunities is particularly strong. Consider these realities:- • Many markets are less competitive than before, with buyers having the upper hand in negotiations. • Vacancies across Australia are the lowest ever recorded. • Rents and yields are rising, providing good compensation for rising interest rates. • Most specialist property analysts – including Louis Christopher of SQM Research, Terry Ryder of Hotspotting and Simon Pressley of Propertyology – are forecasting that prices will rise in most locations in 2023. That equation represents opportunity for investors who buy strategically. Multi-award-winning buyers' advocate and best-selling author Miriam Sandkuhler of Property Mavens featured in a webinar on Wednesday 8 February 2023 hosted by Hotspotting founder Terry Ryder. They outlined the current state of key markets and how to identify the best opportunities for strategic investment in 2023.
Australian consumers with an interest in real estate have been drowning, lately, in forecasts about big future decreases in real estate values – from the people I call the usual suspects, who have such bad track records in predicting property prices outcomes. So it's refreshing to see a high-profile and credible figure actually predicting that property prices will rise in 2023 – and getting considerable media coverage for it. I'm already on the public record in forecasting growth in house prices in 2023, as is the highly respected analyst Simon Pressley from Propertyology. And now Louis Christopher of SQM Research has published his annual Housing Boom and Bust report, which broadly forecasts a recovery in property prices in the major cities of Australia.
This week Pete is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research to discuss his Boom & Bust Report for 2023.SQM Research is forecasting a rebound in housing prices in 2023, led by solid price gains in Sydney and Perth in particular. You can order a copy of the Boom & Bust 2023 report here:https://sqmresearch.com.au/
SQM Research expects national property values may rise as much as 7 per cent in 2023. SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with founder Louis Christopher to find out why; plus Martin Lakos from Macquarie Private Bank looks at the day on the markets
After a slump in the Australian property market across much of 2022, one prophet is predicting the market to sail by up to 7% in 2023.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. In this market forecast, Louis reveals:The 4 scenarios that are likely to happen to Australia's real estate market in 2023What he is most concerned aboutWhy the banks generally get their predictions wrong. The full 'Boom & Bust Report 2023' which includes a suburb-by-suburb breakdown is available at SQM Research Share this video with your buyers and vendors to help them stay educated about the market and make well-informed decisions.
SQM Research expects national property values may rise as much as 7 per cent in 2023. SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with founder Louis Christopher to find out why; plus Martin Lakos from Macquarie Private Bank looks at the day on the markets
Louis Christopher, managing director at SQM Research, told Tom Elliott on Tuesday it was "as bad as it has ever been" in Australia.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross to share with us some detailed information from his regular property market updates.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross to share with us some detailed information from his regular property market updates.
The housing market is slowing, and old listings are rising sharply in Sydney and Melbourne. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Over its 10 year history, Real Estate Talk, or as it is known now Realty Talk, has documented many changes in market conditions and the experts who have provided views and opinions over those years are coming together to share their views with Bushy and Kevin and reflect on their personal journeys and experiences. RealtyTalk is your trusted voice in property investment and Australia's most popular online property show. RealtyTalk is brought to you by Realty, Australia's leading search and social property distribution platform that helps investors like you beat the crowd, giving you the earliest access to property opportunities, listings, and insights. Check out Realty. RealtyTalk is hosted by top property investment expert, author, and founder of KnowHow Property, Bushy Martin. Find out how Bushy's KnowHow team helps investors unlock freedom with finance and property here, and check out Bushy's podcast Get Invested. RealtyTalk is supported by BMT, a company that helps property investors save thousands of dollars each year by maximizing tax deductions from investment properties. Find out more.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Labor has launched its new housing affordability scheme, with the promise of taking a 40% equity stake in the purchase of new homes. But the new scheme has attracted criticism for throwing more money at the problem. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Residential rents continue to rise as vacancy rates fall further right across Australia, both in the capital cities and in the regional areas. The best source of information on vacancy rates comes from SQM Research and their managing director Louis Christopher says vacancy rates in six of our capital cities are below 1% and they're around 2% in both Sydney and Melbourne. In most regional market, vacancies are well under 1% - and in some places they're closer to zero than to 1%. Now, keep in mind that accepted benchmark for a balanced rental market is a vacancy rate of 3% and anything under 3% represents a shortage. Right now there's a rental shortage crisis almost everywhere in Australia.
In this episode, Pete interviews top housing market analysts Louis Christopher, who says high and accelerating inflation is coming and investors need to hedge accordingly.Louis explains how high inflation has impacted real estate and other tangible assets historically, and what he thinks comes next.
We so often hear talk of property ‘boom' or ‘bust' in the mainstream media, but what's the reality? As we continue our summer series in partnership with Realty Talk, Australia's top online property show hosted by Bushy Martin, where we've been talking with independent industry leaders about where Australian property is heading in 2022, this episode we share insights from Louis Christopher. Louis is one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts, whose objective, candid and honest approach to the real estate market continues to put his company SQM Research at the forefront of property prediction. In this episode Louis outlines the findings from his team's latest annual Housing Boom & Bust report that makes for great and interesting reading and contrasts with many other outlooks, so this chat will broaden your perspective. And if you're a real estate professional or a serious residential property investor looking to make fully informed decisions in the year ahead, you can't afford to miss SQM's comprehensive Housing Boom & Bust 130 page report that gives you a full breakdown of every postcode in the country covering current market statistics and postcode investor ratings, which you can get now for just $59.95 by visiting sqmresearch.com.au/boombustreport Join the Get Invested community: And if you want to continue investing in your knowledge, join me and many other like minded investors in our Get Invested community right now. I send a free and exclusive monthly email full of practical ‘Self, Health and Wealth' wisdom that our current Freedom Fighter subscribers can't wait to get each month. It's full of investment and lifestyle tips, my personal book recommendations, apps I use to enhance life and so much more. Just visit bushymartin.com.au and sign up at the bottom of the page … because this is just the beginning! Get Invested is the leading weekly podcast for Australians who want to learn how to unlock their full ‘self, health and wealth' potential. Hosted by Bushy Martin, an award winning property investor, founder, author and media commentator who is recognised as one of Australia's most trusted experts in property, investment and lifestyle, Get Invested reveals the secrets of the high performers who invest for success in every aspect of their lives and the world around them. Remember to subscribe on your favourite podcast player, and if you're enjoying the show please leave us a review. Find out more about Get Invested here https://bushymartin.com.au/get-invested-podcast/ Want to connect with Bushy? Get in touch here https://bushymartin.com.au/contact/ This show is produced by Apiro Media - http://apiropodcasts.com
Following a stellar boom across the board last year that exceeded all expectations, what is likely to happen with property in 2022? Louis Christopher from SQM Research joins us to share the details of his latest Housing Boom & Bust Report with some surprising property predictions that you can't afford to miss. RealtyTalk is your trusted voice in property investment and Australia's most popular online property show. RealtyTalk is brought to you by Realty, Australia's leading search and social property distribution platform that helps investors like you beat the crowd, giving you the earliest access to property opportunities, listings, and insights. Check out Realty. RealtyTalk is hosted by top property investment expert, author, and founder of KnowHow Property, Bushy Martin. Find out how Bushy's KnowHow team helps investors unlock freedom with finance and property here, and check out Bushy's podcast Get Invested. RealtyTalk is supported by BMT, a company that helps property investors save thousands of dollars each year by maximizing tax deductions from investment properties. Find out more. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross from Sydney to discuss his latest Boom-and-Bust report.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross from Sydney to discuss his latest Boom-and-Bust report.
In lieu of our normal Monday Property Rant, tonight we present an edited edition of a special live Q&A as I discuss SQM’s latest Property Report. Louis Christopher has an amazing grasp on the property data, and along with our property insider Edwin Almeida, we discuss the future trajectory based on his scenarios. Notably, you … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A: SPECIAL HD Replay Latest Property Trends With Louis Christopher and Edwin Almeida [Podcast]"
The 'End of Year Summary Calls' you to make to your buyers and vendors is non-negotiable. These calls will help you secure new 'pocket listings' for 2022. During these prospecting calls, you discuss what happened in your suburb(s) in 2021, what you predict will happen in 2022, and how you can help people with their real estate decisions. Where do you get the data and insights?Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected and impartial research property analysts in Australia. In this in-depth webinar, he reveals:03:05 – What's covered in the Boom & Bust Report 2022?04:30 – Will the housing market peak in 2022 and what's triggering this?06:44 – Is APRA likely to further restrict lending?10:50 – Do we have an over-supply of listings in Sydney at the moment?13:15 – There are only 15 suburbs left in Sydney where the median house price is under $1 million14:55 – Will there be more growth between now and June 2022?16:45 – Will there be a housing market crash?17:35 – Prediction on how interest rates and inflation rates will affect the housing market25:05 – Prediction on immigration 25:50 – Regional Australia 30:30 – Why the housing market correction was adverted in 202033:12 – Perth forecast 34:09 – South Australia, Adelaide forecast35:10 – Units – hot or not?36:36 – Summary of this webinar 39:49 – My advice to auction clients 42:42 – My advice to people thinking of coming onto the market Download the entire Boom & Bust Report 2022 at SQM Research
Predicting house prices in Sydney and Melbourne will PEAK mid-2022, but Brisbane has more room to run. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected and impartial research property analysts in Australia. In this webinar he reveals: - number of listings year on year- absorption rates- his predictions on interest rates - the potential that the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) will restrict lending- the impact of migration on the real estate market- his forecast for the real estate market, and more.
Desperate for your forever home? We can help! I chat with Louis Christopher from QSM Research about the facts that matter when looking to purchase a property, whether that be right now, or at some point in the future. We discuss: An overview of the Australian property market with speculation to the future; the impact of Covid, JobKeeper and HomeBuilder; the implications of long-term renting; why purchasing a property is a sensible option if you struggle to save; choosing the right area to buy in (which may not necessarily be where you want to live); and clever options to propel you onto the first rung of the ladder.
Every agent in Australia should know the findings in this report. Louis Christopher, the founder of SQM Research, is one of the most recognised and respected property analysts in Australia. In this webinar, Louis Christopher and I discuss:Why it would be beneficial for agents to have real estate boom run out of steamThe data to help vendors re-align their price expectationsHas the end of JobKeeper affected the real estate market?His predictions of the real estate market, and potential challenges agents may face in the next 12 months.Key insights from SQM's 'Stock on Market Report 2021': Australian residential property listings rose in April 2021 by 2.4% to 262,617 from 256,568 in March. Compared to 12 months ago, listings were down by 10.3%.Nationally, new listings (less than 30 days) fell 2.8% over April, with 81,643 new properties added onto the market. New listings are up 57.5% over the year. Sydney asking house prices jumped 6.1% over the month to 4 May, but oversupply is weighing on unit prices. National asking prices rose by 3.7% for houses but edged 0.2% lower for units.Click here to access the report Total Property Listings Rise in April 2021Forward this to the clients in your database so they can make informed decisions.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross from Sydney to discuss his capital city forecasts, what is driving demand and where that demand is focused and what we can expect in terms of vacancy rates.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross from Sydney to discuss his capital city forecasts, what is driving demand and where that demand is focused and what we can expect in terms of vacancy rates.
Is it the right time to buy or sell a house or an apartment?
Is it the right time to buy or sell a house or an apartment?
Join us for a live Q&A as I discuss the latest property data with Louis Christopher from SQM Research. https://sqmresearch.com.au/ This is an edited HD edition. The original stream, with chat replay is also available: https://youtu.be/mV8Vw55heCI CONTENTS 0:00 Start0:30 Introduction1:45 Introduce Louis2:45 Evolution of Property Data15:55 Auction Trends29:45 Sydney Trends32:40 Melbourne Trends35:14 Perth Trends40:12 Migration … Continue reading "DFA Live HD Replay – SQM Research Louis Christopher: Property Trends [Podcast]"
Continuing our summer series with insights from Real Estate Talk, we now look to the future with three of Australia's leading property researchers: - Josh Masters from Buyside buyers agents - Louis Christopher from SQM Research - Terry Ryder from the Ryder Report and hotspotting.com.au fame, who you’ve had the pleasure of listening to on past episodes of Get Invested So if you want to be in the box seat to take advantage of all of the property opportunities that 2021 is likely to bring, you’re in the perfect place right now. To further peak your interest on the great insights we share with these property thought leaders, today's show will inform you on: How property is adapting and changing post-pandemic The level of optimism in relation to property growth in the upcoming year The impact that lending law relaxation and changes to stamp duty in NSW and Victoria are likely to have on property movements A look around the country at the where the major growth opportunities are likely to occur and why A discussion on the main drivers of demand and supply moving forward A look at the longer term impacts of current housing policies A chat about what current policy settings mean to the sustainability of property markets A review of why real estate prices didn’t collapse We cover the reasons why economists always get it so wrong in their forecasts about residential property And conclude on confirmation of the major new trend that will impact on property in 2021 As you can hear, we’re going to cover a lot of ground again this week on what is about to happen in property across the nation in the short to medium term. And the reason I continue to focus on this now is because of my awareness of how important the next few months is going to be to any of you who are serious about securing your financial future by getting invested. And I know that I’m starting to sound like a broken record on this, but if you’re still sitting on your hands while your hard earned savings and buying power are going backwards sitting in a bank account where your savings interest rate is well below the inflation rate, then now is the time you need to be investing in growth assets. I don’t care what you invest in, but you need to be investing now before you miss the boat – because you’re really going to kick yourself in a couple of years if you don’t take advantage of the rare opportunity that presents itself to you now. And again, I say this as a very conservative investor who doesn’t like taking risks,and I don’t get excited like this very often – so feel free to reach out to us at www.knowhowproperty.com.au or email me at bushy@knowhowproperty.com.au if you want to explore your position more, without any obligation. And once again, before we get into it, I want to re-ask you a personal favour. In order to help improving the Get Invested podcasts, I’m looking for your feedback on which episode you have enjoyed the most so far, and why, along with what I need to be doing more and less of. Any suggestions on topics of interest that you’d like me to explore, along with guests you’d love me to interview. Hit me up at bushy@knowhowproperty.com.au - I’d really appreciate your feedback. So Thanks again in advance. Get Invested is the podcast dedicated to time poor professionals who want to work less and live more. Join Bushy Martin, one of Australia’s top 10 property specialists, as he and his influential guests share know-how on the ways investing in property can unlock the life you always dreamed about and secure your financial future. Remember to subscribe on your favourite podcast player, and if you're enjoying the show please leave us a review. Find out more about Get Invested here https://bushymartin.com.au/get-invested-podcast/ Want to connect with Bushy? Get in touch here https://bushymartin.com.au/contact/ This show is produced by Apiro Media - http://apiropodcasts.com
Property Analysts corner this week with Louis Christopher the owner of SQM Research https://sqmresearch.com.au/ and Edwin Almeida.https://www.ribbonproperty.com.au/ 0:00 Starts00:35 Introduction2:00 SQM Boom and Bust Report 8:34 Business Failures12:35 Splits Units and Houses16:50 Rent Listings 2000 and 300025:21 Blue Mountains29:00 Migration To And From The City36:00 SQM Data Flows41:40 Sydney Auction Clearance Rates50:50 Data Contention54:00 Data … Continue reading "Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant With Louis Christopher! [Podcast]"
Louis Christopher from SQM Research is well placed to pinpoint why finding that ideal property is a tricky proposition in the current market. Hot on the heels of his Boom and Bust Report, he says the market is working in ways we have never seen before. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Over the week, the markets showed 1 in 10 properties in Melbourne’s CBD are now standing vacant. Brisbane saw an increase in asking rents but overall nationally, returns are down for houses and units. With people using coronavirus as a catalyst for moving out to the regions, what does this mean for the capitals? SQM Research’s Louis Christopher has all the answers. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Louis Christopher has been crunching the numbers this week and joins me to throw some light on the real situation. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Goncalves checks in with Louis Christopher, Founder of SQM Research about the current state of the property sector while Spotee Founder Elio D'Amato walks through the day's market moves.
Figures show new listings grew 18 per cent, with more than 67,000 news listings added to the market during July. SQM's Louis Christopher joins me to look at what the market is doing. See omnystudio.com/policies/listener for privacy information.
As the Reserve Bank downgrades its economic forecasts, there are more warnings about rising unemployment and falling house prices. But those who can keep their senses, and their jobs, its time to start preparing to identify assets that will set them up for the next generation. Today with NAB's Chief Economist Alan Oster & SQM Research's Louis Christopher ... with a little help from Bon Jovi ...
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross from Sydney to discuss the present situation in the rental market, what could happen if there is a second wave, and answer the question: Is the national market in complete sync?
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross from Sydney to discuss the present situation in the rental market, what could happen if there is a second wave, and answer the question: Is the national market in complete sync?
Reserve Bank economists considered urging the Federal Government to shut down the industry. Was it likely to happen and how would have this impacted the industry? Louis Christopher joins me for more.
Louis Christopher, Managing Director, SQM Research is all about the data. Louis founded the company in 2006 to fill a gap in accurate property research and data for financial institutions, investment professionals and private investors. […] http://media.rawvoice.com/joy_gotmoney/p/joy.org.au/gotmoney/wp-content/uploads/sites/343/2020/05/Louis-Christopher-SQM-Research-FINAL.mp3 Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 22:25 — 28.0MB) Subscribe or Follow Us: Apple Podcasts | Android | Google Podcasts | Spotify | RSS The post #Got Money: Calling a Spade a Spade appeared first on #gotmoney?.
On Switzer Property this week: Robert Kiyosaki, Louis Christopher, Susan Mitchell. View the video version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9Zl1E-tDxs
Sellers struggled to sell their properties over April and new sellers deferred listing. The housing market has clearly been weakened by coronavirus and the restrictions placed on the economy to limit the outbreak. Louis Christopher talks about asking prices holding as listings disappear.
This week's highlight on Real Estate Talk: Empty Nesters Can’t Move The Difficulty In Buying Now Landlord Returns Suffer Experts Say ‘don’t buy now’ Asking Prices Hold As Listings Disappear #RealEstateTalk #Coronavirus #Buying #Selling #RealEstate
Thursday - Buyers Get More Choice as Sellers Seek an Exit - Louis Christopher Buyers get more choice as sellers seek an exit. Louis Christopher has crunched the numbers. #RealEstateTalk #Listings
National residential property listings increased in March but properties that have been on the market for between 30 to 60 days surged by 74%, suggesting sales activity is slowing offer buyers more choices. Louis Christopher discusses how there is more choice for buyers as the time to sell increases.
On Switzer Property this week: Louis Christopher, Anna Porter and Paul RIckard. View the video version: https://youtu.be/w5WsJXpxTCY
Property data is undeniably a critical tool, but how does one navigate the abundance of information available without putting trust in the wrong sources or simply getting too overwhelmed SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher joins host Phil Tarrant on this episode of Secrets of the Top 100 Agents to share how the property data space has evolved over the last decade; why distressed property reports, vacancy rates and stock on market are valuable investment tools; and what makes a property "stale". Louis also outlines: - How the political and economic climate has stimulated the housing market - Why SQM Research is working towards providing their own auction clearance rate number - What he predicts will affect the market over the next year
Property data is undeniably a critical tool for investors, but the abundance of information available can often lead to poor decision making, whereby investors put their trust in the wrong sources or simply get too overwhelmed. SQM Research's managing director Louis Christopher joins host Phil Tarrant on this episode of The Smart Property Investment Show to share how the property data space has evolved over the last decade, why distressed property reports, vacancy rates and stock on market are valuable investment tools, and what makes a property "stale". Louis also outlines how the political and economic climate has stimulated the housing market, why SQM Research is working towards providing their own auction clearance rate number, and what he predicts will affect the market over the next year. If you like this episode, show your support by rating us or leaving a review on Apple Podcasts (The Smart Property Investment Show) and by following Smart Property Investment on social media: Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn. If you have any questions about what you heard today, any topics of interest you have in mind, or if you'd like to lend your voice to the show, email editor@smartpropertyinvestment.com.au for more insights!
The Climate Disclosure Project (CDP) released their 2019 company scores in January 2019. After wading through the results companies will need to start preparing for the 2020 response cycle. On this episode we’re joined by Anna Pierce, Manager of Sustainability and Louis Christopher, Sustainability Specialist of Schneider Electric’s Energy and Sustainability Services they take a look back at last year’s reporting cycle and look ahead for what companies can expect in 2020 and beyond. :::::: Join the Active Energy Podcast LinkedIn Group: http://b.link/aempod Follow us on Twitter: sustained.social/twitterPod Like our FB Page: http://b.link/FBPod ::::::
The Elephant In The Room Property Podcast | Inside Australian Real Estate
Today we pick the brains of Louis Christopher, Australia's most recognised and respected property analyst and Founder of SQM Research. SQM specialises in providing accurate research and data to financial institutions, professionals and investors. Louis provides his predictions for the 2020 property market and gives essential information regarding factors that shift property prices. Here's what we covered: What is the primary reason property doesn't sell How Sydney's Northwest and Hills district diluted the Sydney property market How does a low building commencement rate impact the economy Why market forces barely impact the current property market Are low interest rates driving asset price inflation Why major contractions would devastate the economy What are the essential factors to property demand What are the property forecasts for 2020 GUEST LINKS:Click HERE, for Louis Christopher's Boom or Bust report Follow Louis Christopher on Twitter https://sqmresearch.com.au/ HOST LINKS:Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: info@gooddeeds.com.au Looking for a Mortgage Broker? www.weatlhful.com.au Work with Chris: hello@wealthful.com.au EPISODE TRANSCRIPT: Please note that this has been transcribed by half-human-half-robot, so brace yourself for typos and the odd bit of weirdness…https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au/podcasts/102
Adam & Bobby review SQM Research owner Louis Christopher's report projecting the market for the Australian capital cities in 2020, particularly Sydney.
385_Louis_Christopher.output by Kevin Turner
On Switzer Property this week: Louis Christopher, Ben Collier and Ross Lees. View the video version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnxariGOG74
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross to share with us some great detailed data about just how the markets are performing.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross to share with us some great detailed data about just how the markets are performing.
Peter Switzer is joined by SQM Research founder Louis Christopher to discuss his outlook for the property market, plus Campos Coffee founder & CEO Will Young and Deloitte Access Economics partner Dr Pradeep Philip. Switzer Events: https://www.switzerevents.com.au/ Join the Rich Club: https://www.switzerstore.com.au/
Well, well, well…. Have we hit the bottom of the market folks??? In the shadows of the election — aka the Coalition's surprise victory — it appears that confidence has returned to the property market! And now the crystal ball [...] CONTINUE READING The post Episode 234 | Have We Bottomed Out Sooner Than We Thought? The Exclusive Data Insights from Louis Christopher from SQM Research appeared first on The Property Couch.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross to discuss his latest research into Labor's proposed negative gearing policies.
In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross to discuss his latest research into Labor's proposed negative gearing policies.
For a special property episode, this week Peter Switzer and Paul Rickard are joined by SQM Research founder Louis Christopher and REA Group chief economist Nerida Conisbee, plus your questions answered.
One of Australia’s leading housing analysts and the founder of SQM Research, Louis Christopher gives us a deep dive into what's really happened in the Australian Real Estate market in 2018 and his forecast for 2019. You are going to get clarity & transparency on city by city price movements and volume numbers, which areas held up, which areas that have had the biggest price drops (this one will surprise you!), which areas are bargain buys, the hot spots of 2019, the major flaw with the auction clearance rate and how you can work out the true clearance rate.Whether you’re a real estate agent or a consumer, you’ll come out of this session with incredible insight into real estate that can help you move away from having commission breath to being a trusted advisor.
Welcome to Furious Friday! Did you hear?! The property market is going to drop by 45%!! Oh no! Today, we’re looking at a recent 60 Minutes segment ‘Bricks and Slaughter’, which aired on Sunday and sensationalised Australia’s property market. The segment made several inaccurate statements, including; Our property market has only ever increased (and implied that from here it can only decrease), That we were on a path towards a 45% housing collapse. Since the episode Several of the experts that appeared on the show have come out and expressed their disappointment and unhappiness as the majority of their comments were either manipulated or never made the final cut. SQM’s Market Analyst Louis Christopher says he was interviewed for over 45 minutes of which approximately one minute was featured in the segment. Media did their job – which is to sell headlines based on fear! So, where is the property market headed? Property moves in cycles, and doesn't always go up. Property prices have gone down in the past, even in recent times in 2008 and again in 2012 as attached. Majority of media is reporting on Sydney, no mention of Brisbane - In Aug 2018 values rose over the month in Brisbane, Darwin and Canberra, were unchanged in Hobart and they fell elsewhere. Australia's largest housing market, Sydney, has seen values fall by 5.6% since peaking in July last year; a trajectory that is straight down the middle of previous downturns. During the GFC, Sydney dwelling values fell by 7.0% in the space of twelve months, and the downturn before that (2003-2006) saw values fall 7.1% over the same number of months. Australia's second largest city, Melbourne, has seen values falling since November last year. Since that time the market is down a cumulative 3.5% and the descent has generally been milder relative to previous downturns. 45 percent housing price collapse Martin North says 60 Minutes took the absolute worst of the four scenarios he presented, and used it as the basis of the alarming segment which went to air on Channel 9. "It is not my central scenario, rated only a 20 percent probability, as I made clear when interviewed," he said noting this caveat did not make it to the final cut. North suggested a fall of 45 percent in home prices would be over three years or so, and require the US financial markets to react to rising US Fed rates. Even in markets where values have been falling consistently for more than four years on the back of a material weakening in economic and demographic conditions, we haven’t seen values fall by anywhere near 40%. Perth dwelling values peaked in 2014 and have fallen by 12.6% and in Darwin where conditions have been even tougher, dwelling values are down 21.8%. Sydney median house price is still up 220% since 2008 The median house price was $141,000 in 1988, $257,000 in 1998 $505,000 in 200, median house price was $1.120m in June 2018. Australia is completely different to USA Finance market is very different to USA in 2008, they introductory rates which reset at the same time and went from 2% to 5% so repayments rocketed up. Also, the USA had non-recourse lending meaning you could walk away from a loan if you didn’t want to pay it back - When borrowers owed more than the asset was worth, they took full advantage of the non-recourse feature and handed the keys to their home back to the bank. The term “jingle mail” was coined to describe envelopes full of house keys arriving at lenders. Banks took the losses. APRA regulation The Takeaways The property market moves in cycles, it goes up and down. If property prices had kept going up we would be in more trouble – e.g. Sydney median house price will hit $2m by 2028 unless market changes If people make crazy claims, look into them. Understand the context within which the statistics are presented. Know the full story. Our market is fundamentally different from the American market. We have lending standards. Remember, the language used in the media is used to SELL. The words “market correction” are far less sexy than, “Armageddon” or “market collapse”. Here’s a few links Louis Christopher, SQM Research https://www.news.com.au/finance/real-estate/sydney-nsw/sqm-researchs-louis-christopher-disappointed-with-60-minutes-appearance/news-story/3a749833c55f9456cb71560252d7f764 Bricks and Slaughter https://www.9now.com.au/60-minutes/2018/extras/latest/september/bricks-and-slaughter Martin North https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/forward-planning/investment-strategy/property-news-and-insights/89508-45-percent-hosuing-price-collapse-was-least-likely-scenario-martin-north-on-the-60-minutes-washup.html?utm_source=Property%20Observer%20List&utm_campaign=84f40de3d2-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_09_28_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_a523fbfccb-84f40de3d2-245607477
This week, Peter Switzer talks about the 'house price Armageddon' with Louis Christopher from SQM Research. Plus Margaret Lomas from Destiny Financial Solutions explains how to dump a dud property, and Dr Ross Walker talks about five things that we should embrace to deal with the people around us.
It’s all about trusting the numbers right? But what if the numbers are wrong or even biased? In this episode you will learn the real meaning behind the numbers as we are joined by one of Australia’s most respected property analysts, Louis Christopher from SQM Research. Louis is on a personal mission to make high quality, impartial property data accessible to everyday Australians.