Podcast appearances and mentions of louis christopher

自聯邦財政預算案公布後，市場對房地產物業的情緒開始在市場反映，針對投資者的負扣稅與資本利得稅改革，令不少買家重新評估入市風險。有房地產專家認為，對首次置業者而言，這可能是入市機會。截至 5 月 17 日的一周，全國拍賣成交跌至 50.4%。但根據 Cotality 初步數據，截至 5 月 24 日的一周，成交率又回升至 58.2%。Cotality 研究總監勞利斯 (Tim Lawless) 解釋，財政預算案在 5 月 12 日公布前，市場開始放緩，近月拍賣成交持續下降，與樓價升幅放慢的情況一致。以布里斯本為例，價格仍上升，但升幅已由去年底每月近 2%，放緩至目前約 1%。財案公布前一周，即截至 5 月 10 日，布里斯本每周拍賣成交率為 54.4%。初步數據顯示，本周成交率跌至 45.7%。墨爾本、雪梨與珀斯的成交率略有上升。但全國整體成交率對比去年同期仍然下降。SQM Research 上周公布的數據，亦反映市場轉弱，新州拍賣成交率為 31.1%，原定舉行的 881 場拍賣中，不少業主選擇提前售出、延期或改以私人協議方式出售。總監克里斯托弗 (Louis Christopher) 表示，預算案中的稅務改革，令原本已轉弱的需求，進一步減弱。他解釋：「主要是投資者開始退場觀望，稅務改革同時影響自住買家市場。他預測今季物業成交量將下跌 30%。」REA Group 經濟學家弗拉赫蒂 (Anne Flaherty) 指出，目前難以全面評估預算案改革如何影響需求，但拍賣成交率顯示買家情緒正減弱。她認為自 2 月以來，市場已因加息壓力而逐步放慢，新政策進一步削弱投資需求，令市場降溫。又特別提到，雪梨房價 4 月開始下跌。若投資者減少入市，對首次置業者來說，競爭壓力有望下降。市場出現另一種憂慮拍賣官甘尼斯 (Tom Gunness) 表示，多項因素正影響買家信心。「市場情緒改變，主要來自連續三次加息。而預算案沒有為買家帶來太多信心。」他相信這些變化，主要衝擊投資者市場，而非首次置業人士。甘尼斯認為，對大多數投資者，現在入市的吸引力大幅下降，連繼續持有投資物業的吸引力亦降低。擔心投資市場規模開始縮小，租賃物業會變得更短缺，特別是在高度建設與開發地區。他甚至擔心這對租客造成影響，還有投資者的貸款能力。房產銷售代理烏邁爾 (Umair Khan) 表示，過去 18 至 20 個月市場成交率表現非常強勁，現在只是回到較為正常的狀態，認為現在是首次置業人士入市的時機。他解釋過去有些人，基於負扣稅策略規劃投資和購買物業，現在需要退一步，把機會讓給首次置業者。澳洲經濟放緩 就業市場現壓力除了樓市，澳洲經濟開始出現放緩跡象。4 月失業率升至 4.5%，是自 2021 年底以來高位。流失職位近 1.9 萬個。女性就業跌幅較明顯，青年失業率亦有所上升。雖然整體勞動市場仍穩健，但經濟學家指，從歷史角度看，失業率上升顯示高利率與全球不明朗因素，已開始對經濟構成壓力。企業態度變得更審慎。消費支出放緩、借貸成本上升，以及投入成本增加，都正在打擊市場信心。市場目前普遍預期，澳洲儲備銀行在 6 月會議上，有可能暫停加息。不過通脹仍然是最大變數。下一批官方通脹數據將於周三 (5 月 27 日) 公布，外界密切關注，這數據會否成為澳洲經濟與樓市下一步走勢的重要訊號。瀏覽更多最新時事資訊，請登上 SBS 廣東話 Facebook 專頁、X 專頁、Instagram 專頁，或訂閱 Telegram 頻道。SBS 中文堅守《SBS 行為守則》等政策，以繁體中文及簡體中文提供公平、公正、準確的新聞報道及時事資訊。SBS 廣東話及 SBS 普通話均已為大眾服務超過 40 年。歡迎在每天早上 9 至 11 時透過 SBS Radio 1 收聽廣東話節目及在每天早上 7 至 9 時收聽普通話節目，或透過 SBS Audio App 手機應用程式收聽直播、節目重溫及其他語音內容。按此進一步了解 SBS 中文。

It was not supposed to happen this year: Vacancy rates were meant to rise in 2026 and income was expected to flatten…not at all. Property investors are suddenly grappling with a reshaped market where forecasts have been turned upside down. Louis Christopher of SQM Research joins Associate Editor James Kirby in this episode. In today’s episode, we cover: As you were! The upset trend of the year for property investors The downgrades keep coming for house prices CGT looks set to increase Will a two-property negative gearing limit hurt? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Send us Fan Mail“Consumer confidence has fallen off a cliff, and it's the worst that it's been in this generation at this point in time. And that's usually a big indicator we're going into recession.” - Louis ChristopherLouis Christopher, is one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts. He reveals what's actually unfolding in the economy.From collapsing consumer confidence to rising interest rates and supply shocks, this is the kind of environment that has historically led to recessions.But here's the twist… this isn't a normal cycle.This is what you need to know:0:00 – The big forecast downgrade (from 6–10% growth to 0–3%)1:45 – Why fuel prices impact EVERYTHING (not just petrol)2:30 – Inflation heading to ~5%… what that means next3:00 – What actually defines a recession (simple explanation)4:15 – If the war ended tomorrow… does anything really change?6:00 – The “perfect storm” hitting the market right now6:45 – Buyers are spooked… but not quite COVID-level panic7:00 – Consumer confidence collapse (the biggest warning sign)7:40 – Why this recession risk is different to the past8:30 – Real-world impact: businesses already passing on costs9:45 – Government dilemma: support the economy or fight inflation11:00 – What happened in the 1970s (and why it matters today)12:00 – What's happening in the property market right now13:00 – Why April could be a “dead zone” for transactions14:00 – Stagflation explained (and why it's dangerous)The entire 1hr discussion of insights and how this translates to buyer and vendor management is only in the Real Estate Gym

2026 is shaping up as a year of subtle indicators and big risks, and Louis Christopher breaks down the data points seasoned investors should be paying attention to right now.In this episode, Louis joins Veronica and Chris just days after releasing the 2026 edition to unpack the findings that matter most: population growth moderating sharply, supply finally catching up in pockets, and why rental pressure may ease before prices do. And, critically, he reveals the assumptions his modelling rests on — and the risks that could topple them.Louis walks us through the four core scenarios underpinning his 2026 outlook, including the one that unexpectedly took the lead in 2025, and the one he now believes may need a late addendum as sticky inflation raises the odds of a surprise rate hike. From unemployment edging toward 5%, to small business stress, to shifts in interstate migration, Louis explains how these macro levers shape the micro realities buyers and investors experience on the ground.We also zoom into the markets that defied expectations in 2025 — including Darwin's explosive rebound and the Gold Coast's continued growth despite being fundamentally overvalued. Louis breaks down why listings data is flashing one message, why developers are building for the wrong demographic, and where supply bottlenecks could turn into oversupply shocks by 2027. Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide remain the nation's top performers, but Louis outlines exactly what conditions would need to change for any of them to lose steam.This conversation is packed with uncomfortable truths, grounded forecasts, and the kind of nuance you only get from someone who has studied the data for over two decades. Whether you're trying to time a purchase, expand a portfolio, or simply understand where the market is heading next, Louis' insights offer the clarity — and the caution — needed to navigate 2026 with your eyes open.Episode Highlights00:00 – Introduction to the 2026 Housing Market Outlook01:11 – Louis Christopher's Forecasting Approach02:18 – Reviewing the 2025 Predictions05:38 – Key Assumptions for 202607:53 – Interest Rate Scenarios for 202610:52 – Gold Coast Market Analysis15:14 – Darwin Market Insights18:56 – Structural Changes in Listings21:58 – Impact of High Transaction Costs on Listings23:12 – Market Dynamics in Different Cities25:10 – Investor Behavior and Market Trends26:42 – Rental Yields and Property Taxes28:49 – Interstate Investment Trends32:27 – Adelaide's Surprising Economic Resilience34:19 – Construction Costs and Housing Prices37:07 – Key Indicators for 2026 Market PredictionsAbout the GuestLouis Christopher is one of Australia's most respected and closely watched housing market analysts. As the founder of SQM Research, he has spent nearly two decades building some of the country's most trusted property indexes, data series, and market forecasts. Before establishing SQM in 2006, Louis served as Head of Research and General Manager at Australian Property Monitors, where his work informed Reserve Bank analysis and shaped national housing insights.With a background spanning technical market analysis, index construction, and independent forecasting, Louis has earned a reputation for calling turning points early — and for openly grading his own predictions each year. His annual Boom & Bust Report is widely regarded as one of Australia's most transparent property forecasts, dissecting the interplay between population trends, supply pipelines, interest rates, and economic conditions.Louis is known for his no-nonsense approach, his statistical discipline, and his ability to explain complex market dynamics with clarity and precision. For investors, buyers and industry practitioners, his work offers a rare blend of independence,...

In this episode of SYF Podcast, John Comino and David Shih go through discussing: - Louis Christopher's Boom & Bust Report for 2026 and our thoughts on the scenarios - Reviewing our earlier predictions made back in December 2024 - how did we fare on our 2025 predictions? - Marking our predictions for 2026 - which capitals will shine? - Bonus - John's top 3 Sydney suburbs pick worth investing in 2026! Link to the video version of this episode: https://youtu.be/vsZ8UtTGQNM Link to the previous episode on our predictions made back in Dec 2024: https://sparkyourfire.podbean.com/e/thats-a-wrap-for-2024-review-of-our-earlier-predictions-and-whats-ahead-for-2025/  --- DISCLAIMER:  Host/Guest are not Financial Adviser/Investment Consultant. All opinions expressed by host or his guests are for informational purposes only and should not be treated as investment/financial advice of any kind.  "Spark your FIRE" and its team are not liable to the listeners or any other party, for the listeners use of, or reliance on, any information received, directly or indirectly, from the content in any circumstances. Please conduct your own research and obtain independent legal, financial, taxation and/or other professional advice in respect of any decision made in connection with this audio. Contact -  sparkyourfirepodcast@gmail.com

Send us a textReal Estate Market Wrap

Rates are falling, demand is strong and rental vacancy levels remain at rock bottom: No wonder auction clearance rates across Australia are returning to normal. What happens next? It's looking like we are at the start of a rebound. Louis Christopher, managing director of the SQM Research Group joins Associate Editor - Wealth, James Kirby in this episode. In today's show, we cover: Why property experts believe a recovery in the property market is underway Will Melbourne come to the party? Brisbane's Olympic run-up New super tax casts a cloud on SMSF property investment See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to the Propertybuyer Podcast. I'm Rich Harvey, CEO of Propertybuyer, where we help home buyers and investors make smarter property decisions.   Today, I'm joined by one of Australia's most respected and data-driven property forecasters — Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research.   Louis is known for calling the market as he sees it, without the spin and backing it up with real numbers. In this episode, we dive into the key market indicators, rental pressure, supply constraints, and what investors are getting wrong right now. We also discuss government policy, rate cuts, and where the smart money is heading in 2025 and beyond.   If you want a clear-eyed view of the housing market from someone who lives and breathes the data, this is an episode you won't want to miss. Let's dive in.   Welcome Louis – Great to have you on the podcast!

Has your bank asked you personal questions and threatened to close your account if you don't comply? It's happened to property expert Louis Christopher and he's standing up against it. Plus, economists say wage rises lock in rate cuts.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

SQM Research has just placed the private credit sector on watch, and that's got the market talking. What does it mean? Should investors be worried? And where are the biggest risks hiding?In this episode of The Theory of Thing Investment Podcast, James Whelan sits down with Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research, to break down: ✅ Why SQM is increasing its scrutiny on private credit ✅ The red flags emerging in the sector—from transparency issues to high leverage ✅ What investors and advisers need to watch out for ✅ How today's risks compare to the 2008 mortgage trust crisis ✅ The future of private markets and whether the sector can weather the stormIt's a must-listen for anyone in wealth management, investing, or just keen to understand what's happening behind the scenes. Tune in now!Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/the-bip-show. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Send us a textLouis Christopher, is one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts. He reveals:  00:00 - The impact of rate cuts on Australian real estate market 01:49 - Why Reserve Bank of Australia likely to cut interest rates again 05:35 - How population growth and rate cuts drive economic forecast 07:34 - Perth's housing market outperforms amid Sydney and Melbourne 10:50 - Interest rates, rental market trends, and selling strategies 13:39 - Rising vacancy rates15:27 - The potential impact of rate cuts and super access on the housing market This webinar is sponsored by LocalAgentFinder

It does not take long for distressed sales to appear in a soft property market: In Sydney and Melbourne there is now clear weakness in inner-city apartment markets.But can an investor make money here? Louis Christopher of SQM Research joins wealth editor James Kirby in this episode. ------------ In today's show, we cover: * Soft spots in the metropolitan centres * Why Brisbane and Perth may hold up in 2025* Off-the-plan risks reappear * When one-bedroom units make sense  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Send us a text01:46 – Louis Christopher's Housing Boom & Bust Report 2025 02:33 – House price predictions for 2025 across Australia07:00 – Why Melbourne has become a buyer's market with an increase in distressed selling12:15 – Why Louis is optimistic about Brisbane16:25 – How the population decline in Hobart is affecting housing prices19:05 – Interest rates, Migration, and Over Population22:11 – How do you select the best agent?30:16 – There are more ‘sold priors' than ‘sold under the hammer' in Sydney 31:08 – What are the best buys?32:08 – How do you calculate the ‘Real Interest Rate”?LOUIS CHRISTOPHER is the Founder and Managing Director of SQM Research and one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts. Known for his accurate forecasts and in-depth market knowledge, Louis provides invaluable insights into the Australian property market to help you make your next move!This episode is sponsored by Local Agent Finder 

In this special episode, we explore the transformative role of hospitality in bridging divides, fostering empathy, and building community across cultural and political lines. Listen for insights from recent conversations with hospitality leaders across the US and around the world who believe in hospitality's ability to bring people together despite differences.In this episode, you'll hear from:Ashli Johnson, Founder of Hospitality Hued: Ashli discusses how hospitality, when centered around serving others, can be a force for unity in both personal and professional spheres.Sarah Eustis, CEO of Main Street Hospitality: Sarah describes her hotel's open-door policy that invites people from all walks of life, fostering inclusivity and meaningful dialogue.Jason Himber, CEO of MINA Group: Jason emphasizes how sharing a meal can break down barriers, facilitating open, relaxed conversations even in challenging circumstances.Christopher Hunsberger, COO of Appellation: Christopher reflects on the importance of diversity in hospitality, both within teams and among guests, as a way to build empathy and understanding.Charlie MacGregor, Founder of The Social Hub: Charlie speaks about creating safe spaces where people can express diverse perspectives and connect without fear of judgment.Kara Bartelt, GM of The Hoxton in Los Angeles: Kara discusses her hotel's proactive involvement in the local community, helping to revitalize downtown Los Angeles through engagement and advocacy.Christopher Randall, Director of Community Impact at 21c Museum Hotel in St. Louis: Christopher shares how his hotel supports community empowerment through inclusivity and access to resources.Harsha L'Aqua, Founder of Saira Hospitality: Harsha reflects on her philanthropic journey inspired by Mother Teresa, discussing Saira's approach to combining hospitality with meaningful social impact.Send Josiah a text A few more resources: If you're new to Hospitality Daily, start here. You can send me a message here with questions, comments, or guest suggestions If you want to get my summary and actionable insights from each episode delivered to your inbox each day, subscribe here for free. Follow Hospitality Daily and join the conversation on YouTube, LinkedIn, and Instagram. If you want to advertise on Hospitality Daily, here are the ways we can work together. If you found this episode interesting or helpful, send it to someone on your team so you can turn the ideas into action and benefit your business and the people you serve! Music for this show is produced by Clay Bassford of Bespoke Sound: Music Identity Design for Hospitality Brands

The Australian property market has always been a collection of regional sectors: But one regional property sector stands out with the strongest long-term fundamentals: Queensland. Louis Christopher of SQM Research joins wealth editor James Kirby for this episode. ------------- In today's show, we cover: * Why Queensland tops the bill for this top property analyst  * Unit prices are rising and that's not good for the market - here's why  * Why regional vacancy rates remain tight  * My super for my home - the argument against it See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Podcast Episode #76: Property Market Pulse, Predictions and Policies to Fix the Housing Market   Featuring: Louis Christopher - SQM RESEARCH   Intro: Welcome to our next edition of the Propertybuyer Podcast. The last interest rate rise was November 2023 when the RBA raised the cash rate to 4.35%. Recent inflation figures have been quite slow at coming down prompting lots of conjecture from economists about whether the RBA will raise one more time to kill off inflation. Cost of living is really bitting into household budgets and economic growth is quite constrained. However, the housing market appears to be running at a different speed in various locations. Today we are privileged to have Louis Christopher, Managing Director of SQM Research  to help take the current pulse of the property market and see which parts of the country and rising or falling and where it is heading in 2025. Louis Christopher is one of the most accurate property forecasters I know, and he produces an annual Boom and Bust report providing excellent insights into the future of the property market across Australia. Today we will discuss the real impact of interest rate rises on the property market, how to fix the housing crisis, predictions for 2025, listing volumes in the upcoming spring selling season and when the next property boom will come.   Thought of the Week “Your time is limited, so don't waste it living someone else's life.” –Steve Jobs   Questions we will cover in this Podcast: What has been the Impact of higher interest rates on property prices and consumer confidence over the past 12 months? How long has it taken for interest rate rises to completely wash through the economy over this last rate rising cycle? What's you view on how international events like the Ukraine / Russia war, US Election, Israel /Gaza War – impact property market here? How fast do you think the housing market will reignite once we start to see interest rate cuts? What are the current figures for building approvals? Has this been improving or declining and why? Is the Federal governments target of building 240,000 new homes per annum fanciful pipe dream? What the key housing policies do you think will fix the housing crisis? What impact will the massive immigration intake over the past two years have on the property market over the next three to five years? Do you think the government will radically reduce immigration levels? Or keep them moderate to make sure there is sufficient economic growth and a skilled labour force? What are your property predictions over the next 12 months?  What are the X-factors to look out for? How accurate have been your property price forecasts in your boom and bust report over the past 12 months? Listing volumes – what are the latest trends in each city? Do you expect Spring to be an active market or a subdued market in terms of volumes? Rental market-  what's happening with rents in each city? Are rent rises toning down or will vacancy rates remain low for sometime yet? Are you seeing any evidence of distressed selling ? What are the figures for delinquent mortgages ? How much variation in each state? When do you think we will get the next big property boom? What will be the main drivers of demand and supply going forward?

There really is no realistic prospect of rental vacancies rising significantly any time soon, which is grim news for tenants in most parts of Australia. Vacancy rates continue to be close to those historic lows that have become the norm in the past couple of years and I can't see any way they will improve in the foreseeable future. The politicians who have created this unprecedented shortage of rental properties are clueless about how to fix their mess – and most of their actions which impact on the situation make it worse, not better. The latest data on vacancies nationwide – from one of the key sources, SQM Research - has the national vacancy rate at 1.3% in June, the same as it was a year ago. We still have capital cities with vacancy rates well below 1%, including Adelaide, Perth and Darwin. That June vacancy rate was slightly up on the rate for May, but that's attributed to seasonal factors. Here's what Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research and one of Australia's most experienced and respected research analysts, says about the current situation and about the future of vacancy rates: “Based on history, we have now reached the peak in rental vacancy rates for Winter. It is likely that, vacancy rates will now begin to tighten again and keep tightening until November. “So far this year, we have recorded very similar vacancy rates compared to the same period in 2023.  “Overall, the national rental market remains in severe shortage and barring some exceptions, is not expected to materially soften out of the rental crisis for some years.”  So what does this mean for residential rents? Well, it doesn't necessarily mean they are going to continue rising at 10% or more per year. While vacancies are set to remain dangerously low for some time, there is a ceiling beyond which rents can't rise because to the capacity of tenants to pay. Louis Christopher says: “Much of the structural rental shortage has now been priced into the rental market and so I do believe the days of 10-20% plus annual rental increases have come to an end.” I agree. Tenants, who tend to have lower incomes, have had years of rising rents and they can't keep paying more and more in rent, in times when they're also paying more for food, electricity, petrol and other essentials. But the situation of ongoing ultra-low vacancies does mean that rents won't fall. They will remain at the current high levels for the foreseeable future.  

Wondering how the 2024 property forecasts are stacking up so far? Tune in to our mid-year review as we dive into the real estate predictions that nailed it and the ones that missed the mark. In this episode, we dissect the key trends, market shifts, and unexpected twists that have shaped the housing landscape in the first half of the year. Today, we have Louis Christopher with us again to share his insights from the much-anticipated “Boom or Bust” report. Louis has a knack for making accurate predictions, but he's also refreshingly honest about where he's gone astray. We explore his methodology and the factors he weighs when making his forecasts. This episode is a must for anyone keen on understanding property market predictions and figuring out which ones to trust. We also peek into what the rest of the year might hold, including potential surprises and how elements like inflation and geopolitical tensions could sway the market. Tune in to get a better grasp of the 2024 property market trends 'cause whether you're buying, selling, or investing, this episode offers vital insights into the current property market dynamics and what to keep an eye on in the months ahead. Episode Highlights: 00:00 - Introduction 01:01 - Who is Louis Christopher? 01:43 - Discussion on the national market performance and overall trends observed in 2024 03:07 - Analysis of the market slowdown and how it compares to previous years 07:32 - Why the lack of major surprises in the property market despite economic uncertainties 12:15 - Discussion on Perth's growth trajectory and contributing factors 16:53 - Projected rise of unemployment in Perth and its potential effects on property prices 19:00 - Brisbane's growth and how it compares to other major cities 22:16 - How the number of property listings in Brisbane has changed over recent years 28:43 - Trend of declining property listings and transaction volumes in various locations 30:35 - The influence of stamp duty on property prices and market activity 35:08 - Louis' analysis on the Australian Capital Territory 37:00 - The potential impact of upcoming elections on housing market forecasts 41:13 - The importance of creating scenarios to anticipate future developments in real estate 42:27 - How does media coverage influence public perception of real estate forecasts? 47:27 - Louis Christopher's property dumbo About Our Guest: Louis Christopher established SQM Research in 2006. He was Head of Research and General Manager of the property statistics agency, Australian Property Monitors (APM) for six years. During his time at APM, Louis constructed key residential property market indexes published by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Prior to APM Louis spent three years at the Securities Institute of Australia as a Technical Editor. Louis previously spent 18 months at MLC working in the investment services. He is widely respected for the quality and accuracy of his market outlooks, ratings philosophy and forecasts for the Australian residential property market. Connect with Louis Christopher: Connect with Louis on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/louischristopher/ Visit SQM's website: https://sqmresearch.com.au/ Connect with Louis on X: https://x.com/LouiChristopher Resources mentioned in this episode: Download Louis Christopher's 2024 Housing Boom and Bust Report here: https://sqmresearch.com.au/boombustreport.php Resources: Visit our website https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au If you have any questions or would like to be featured on our show, contact us at: The Elephant in the Room Property Podcast questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? https://www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://www.veronicamorgan.com.au Looking for a Mortgage Broker? https://www.blusk.au Work with Chris: hello@blusk.au Enjoyed the podcast? Don't miss out on what's yet to come! Hit that subscription button, spread the word and join us for more insightful discussions in real estate. Your journey starts now! Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theelephantintheroom-podcast Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ph/podcast/the-elephant-in-the-room-property-podcast/id1384822719 Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Ge1626dgnmK0RyKPcXjP0?si=26cde394fa854765 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Property listings rose across to nation to more normal levels, but SQM Research's Louis Christopher tells John Baldock, so too did distressed sales, although they're still at below pandemic levels. Plus, SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with Jun Bei Liu from Tribeca Investment Partners about the day's sharemarket action as gold continues to reach new highs.

Property listings rose across to nation to more normal levels, but SQM Research's Louis Christopher tells John Baldock, so too did distressed sales, although they're still at below pandemic levels. Plus, SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with Jun Bei Liu from Tribeca Investment Partners about the day's sharemarket action as gold continues to reach new highs.

There are lots of negative forecasts in news media about property prices in 2024, but if you own real estate or are planning to get into the market, do not be alarmed. At this time EVERY year, media is awash for pessimistic forecasts for real estate prices. And most of the time they are proven wrong by subsequent outcomes. Remember when Covid struck early in 2020? Media reports abounded with forecasts that house prices would collapse. But they didn't – prices rose in 2020. At the start of 2021, most forecasters agreed prices would rise that year, but only 5 or 6 percent. But by the end of the year, house prices had appreciated by an average of 25%. At the beginning of 2023, we were told by bank economists and media commentators that prices would drop at least 15% – because interest rates were rising. And yet again, they were not only wrong, but spectacularly wrong. Prices have grown in most markets across Australia, including price rises above 10% in some cities. So, as we head in 2024, the usual suspects are popping up with their price forecasts – and, you guessed it, they're mostly pessimistic. And news media is happy to publish them, despite the dreadful track record of so many of the forecasters. Essentially, journalists don't care about the credibility (or lack of it) of the commentators – anyone willing to stand up and declare that prices will collapse, or plummet, or nosedive, or fall off a cliff, is guaranteed lots of free publicity. Which is why the people putting out press releases usually make NEGATIVE forecasts with dire warnings about real estate matters – they know a screaming negative is the shortcut to a high media profile, content in the knowledge that no journalist in Australia will ever challenge them about getting it wrong all the time. An example of the mindset of the average journalist, and how it translates into misinformation for Australian consumers, is provided by media reaction to the Boom and Bust report published in November each year by experienced analyst Louis Christopher of SQM Research. Each year, this report presents four different scenarios to forecast what might happen with house prices in the coming year. Each scenario assumes different outcomes with interest rates, inflation and unemployment, with various price predictions for each different scenario. Journalists, being the sad, pathetic creatures that they are, will always zero in on the most negative of the four scenarios, and make that their story. So headlines have been screaming that prices will fall in 2024 in the big cities. It's worth noting that the Boom and Bust report a year ago had fairly pessimistic forecasts for Australian property prices – with prices tipped to fall everywhere except Perth in the worst- case scenario – but prices have been rising steadily in 2023. The senior economists at ANZ Bank, arguably the worst real estate forecasters in the nation, recently popped up with a report described a “triple whammy” of factors that will drag down property markets in 2024. Journalists and bank economists have a number of things in common – they're pessimistic by nature, they're not very good at their jobs, they're slow learners and they're not interested in helping people. They just want to generate headlines. So if you're a property investor, and you have a plan, tune out all the media white noise and just get on with it.

Louis Christopher is a leading real estate economist, data analyst, and forecaster. He is the founder of SQM Research, a property market research company.Louis is known for his annual Boom and Bust Report, which provides insights and forecasts for the Australian housing market.0:00:00 - Reserve Bank of Australia's decision0:04:09 - Louis Christopher's forecast for housing markets0:07:47 - Positive outlook for Adelaide0:09:10 - Discussion on migration's impact on prices and unemployment0:13:20 - Prediction of one-year housing market downturn0:13:43 - Possibility of interest rate cut next year0:13:55 - Potential impact of events in the Middle East and global economy  on interest rates0:15:43 - The individuals who benefit from rising interest rates and housing prices increase0:18:10 - Why wealthy individuals contribute to inflation 0:20:42 - Negative retail spending can lead to economic recession0:23:05 - Rental shortage expected to continue, building approvals fallingGet the full Boom & Bust Report from SQM Research The #TechTuesday training series is a Tom Panos & Realtair collaboration

We're at the time of year again when everyone is wondering what's in store for property in the year ahead, particularly in light of another incredible year that's continued to defy most expectations. So Bushy and Kevin are delighted that Louis Christopher joins them in this week's show to go into some detail from his Christopher's Housing Boom and Bust Report from SQM Research.  We talk to the new President of the Real Estate Buyers Association, Melinda Jennison,  about low barriers to entry into the industry. NEW – join our Facebook group, The Property Hub Collective: https://www.facebook.com/groups/1857513011165686 Join the Property Hub community on Substack! Sign up to get Australian property news, opinion, and episodes in your inbox: https://propertyhubau.substack.com/ Subscribe to RealtyTalk on the Property Hub channel: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Email Property Hub is a collaboration between Bushy Martin from KnowHow Property, Kevin Turner from Realty, Andrew Montesi from Apiro Marketing and Apiro Media, and Australia's largest independent podcast network DM Media. Business and partnership enquiries: antony@dm.org.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Louis Christopher, managing director di SQM Research, che si occupa di monitorare il mercato delle case australiano, ha affermato che i prezzi delle case di Sydney e Melbourne potrebbero scendere di valore fino al 4% nel 2024.

Have you ever wondered what it truly requires to become a property forecaster? The surface might suggest economics degrees and positions in prestigious financial institutions, but the accuracy of their predictions often seem to miss the mark by a mile. So, what gives? Are there hidden puzzle pieces they're not seeing or just ignoring? In a world where economic indicators and banking reports often fall short in painting an accurate property market portrait, let's venture beyond the surface-level analysis. Are there hidden variables that escape mainstream attention? Could it be that forecasters are sidelining crucial factors in their projections? Our guest today is none other than Louis Christopher, a distinguished figure in the realm of property research. With the inception of SQM Research in 2006 and his pivotal role at the Australian Property Monitors before that, Louis has carved out a reputation for his astute market outlooks and precise predictions. Buckle up as we challenge the conventional wisdom of property forecasting and probe into the core drivers of real estate valuation. Let's break things down, and get a whole new perspective on what really makes property prices tick – or tank. Episode Highlights: 00:00 - Introduction 01:13 - Our guest for today… 03:38 - Why aren't banks getting the forecasts accurate? 07:45 - The rental stress and the housing crisis 13:57 - How property listings are affecting property forecasts? 16:53 - Economists when predicting housing trends 20:21 - What most property data experts miss out on 24:16 - What happened to property prices back in 1990 26:43 - Base case forecasts in November 2022 28:34 - How Louis puts together his forecasts 32:47 - How low inflation could impact property prices in 2024 35:10 - What leading indicators influence the housing market? 38:25 - Consumer confidence and the housing market 42:20 - Consumer confidence and consumer spending 47:28 - Resilience in the market 49:04 - The impact of the interest rate cliff on the housing market 52:13 - Should APRA step in and restrict borrowing capacity? 57:16 - Impact of stamp duty on property prices 58:48 - Louis Christopher's property dumbo About Our Guest: Louis Christopher established SQM Research in 2006. He was Head of Research and General Manager of the property statistics agency, Australian Property Monitors (APM) for six years. During his time at APM, Louis constructed key residential property market indexes published by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Prior to APM Louis spent three years at the Securities Institute of Australia as a Technical Editor. Louis previously spent 18 months at MLC working in the investment services. He is widely respected for the quality and accuracy of his market outlooks, ratings philosophy and forecasts for the Australian residential property market. Connect with Louis Christopher: Connect with Louis on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/louischristopher/ Visit SQM's website: https://sqmresearch.com.au/ Resources: Visit our website https://www.theelephantintheroom.com.au If you have any questions or would like to be featured on our show, contact us at: The Elephant in the Room Property Podcast questions@theelephantintheroom.com.au Looking for a Sydney Buyers Agent? https://www.gooddeeds.com.au Work with Veronica: https://www.veronicamorgan.com.au Looking for a Mortgage Broker? https://www.blusk.au Work with Chris: hello@blusk.au Enjoyed the podcast? Don't miss out on what's yet to come! Hit that subscription button, spread the word and join us for more insightful discussions in real estate. Your journey starts now! Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theelephantintheroom-podcast Subscribe on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/ph/podcast/the-elephant-in-the-room-property-podcast/id1384822719 Subscribe on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Ge1626dgnmK0RyKPcXjP0?si=26cde394fa854765 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. In this episode, we dissect:The RBA's recent decision to pause on interest rate risesThe role of inflation in thisHow reduced listings and APRA's buffer regulations have spurred a ripple effectHow interest rate hikes influence various demographics differently, and moreShare this with your vendors and buyers so that you can help them make informed decisions.

In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined in a live cross to Louis Christopher from SQM Research. Tonight, Louis answers a long list of questions from his recently released Boom and Bust report.

In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined in a live cross to Louis Christopher from SQM Research. Tonight, Louis answers a long list of questions from his recently released Boom and Bust report.

The property market appears to be stabilising and getting set for a quicker than expected recovery!! Welcome to our latest podcast episode, where we take a deep dive into the current state of the property market and its future outlook. We are thrilled to be joined by Louis Christopher, the Managing Director of SQM Research, one of the most respected and accurate property forecasters in the country. Louis's regular Boom and Bust reports are highly regarded, and we are excited to have him share his insights with us. In this episode, we explore whether the property market has reached its bottom and what key drivers will shape the market over the next few years. We also discuss the impact of COVID-19 on the property market and the legacy of changes it has left behind. Additionally, we address the current rental crisis and potential solutions, as well as the all-important question of whether now is the right time to buy a property. So sit back, relax, and join us as we gain valuable insights into the property market from one of the most knowledgeable experts in the field.   Thought of the week: “Two roads diverged in a wood, and I—I took the one less travelled by, And that has made all the difference.”  –Robert Frost

We bring you another classic Realty Talk episode from the vault, which was originally published on May 20, 2022, but is still just as relevant today. Louis Christopher has always presented an interesting and sometimes challenging view on the property market.  His outlook is influenced by the data he has access to through his company SQM Research and for that reason he has been a regular guest on the show – always telling it as it is.  He does not disappoint in this interview with Bushy and Kevin as he looks back over the last decade and ahead into the future. RealtyTalk is part of the Property Hub podcast channel, your home for property investment insights, inspiration, and stories from Australia's top property experts, investors, leaders, and analysts. Subscribe now to get every RealtyTalk episode delivered to you each week for free, and also get full access to Get Invested, the leading podcast for Australians who want to unlock their full ‘self, health, and wealth' potential and get inspired by the stories of investors, founders, and entrepreneurs. Subscribe to RealtyTalk on the Property Hub channel: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Email Property Hub is a collaboration between Bushy Martin from KnowHow Property, Kevin Turner from Realty, Andrew Montesi from Apiro Marketing and Apiro Media, and Australia's largest independent podcast network DM Media.  Business and partnership enquiries: antony@dm.org.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Australian property markets abound with opportunities for real estate investors in 2023. Consumers can be forgiven for not realising that, given the sensationally negative nature of media coverage of housing markets. But, right now, the equation for property investors seeking opportunities is particularly strong. Consider these realities:- • Many markets are less competitive than before, with buyers having the upper hand in negotiations. • Vacancies across Australia are the lowest ever recorded. • Rents and yields are rising, providing good compensation for rising interest rates. • Most specialist property analysts – including Louis Christopher of SQM Research, Terry Ryder of Hotspotting and Simon Pressley of Propertyology – are forecasting that prices will rise in most locations in 2023. That equation represents opportunity for investors who buy strategically. Multi-award-winning buyers' advocate and best-selling author Miriam Sandkuhler of Property Mavens featured in a webinar on Wednesday 8 February 2023 hosted by Hotspotting founder Terry Ryder. They outlined the current state of key markets and how to identify the best opportunities for strategic investment in 2023.

Australian consumers with an interest in real estate have been drowning, lately, in forecasts about big future decreases in real estate values – from the people I call the usual suspects, who have such bad track records in predicting property prices outcomes. So it's refreshing to see a high-profile and credible figure actually predicting that property prices will rise in 2023 – and getting considerable media coverage for it. I'm already on the public record in forecasting growth in house prices in 2023, as is the highly respected analyst Simon Pressley from Propertyology. And now Louis Christopher of SQM Research has published his annual Housing Boom and Bust report, which broadly forecasts a recovery in property prices in the major cities of Australia.

This week Pete is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research to discuss his Boom & Bust Report for 2023.SQM Research is forecasting a rebound in housing prices in 2023, led by solid price gains in Sydney and Perth in particular. You can order a copy of the Boom & Bust 2023 report here:https://sqmresearch.com.au/

SQM Research expects national property values may rise as much as 7 per cent in 2023. SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with founder Louis Christopher to find out why; plus Martin Lakos from Macquarie Private Bank looks at the day on the markets

After a slump in the Australian property market across much of 2022, one prophet is predicting the market to sail by up to 7% in 2023.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Louis Christopher, founder of SQM Research is one of Australia's most respected, impartial, and accurate research property analysts. In this market forecast, Louis reveals:The 4 scenarios that are likely to happen to Australia's real estate market in 2023What he is most concerned aboutWhy the banks generally get their predictions wrong. The full 'Boom & Bust Report 2023' which includes a suburb-by-suburb breakdown is available at SQM Research Share this video with your buyers and vendors to help them stay educated about the market and make well-informed decisions. 

SQM Research expects national property values may rise as much as 7 per cent in 2023. SBS Finance Editor Ricardo Gonçalves speaks with founder Louis Christopher to find out why; plus Martin Lakos from Macquarie Private Bank looks at the day on the markets

Louis Christopher, managing director at SQM Research, told Tom Elliott on Tuesday it was "as bad as it has ever been" in Australia.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross to share with us some detailed information from his regular property market updates.

In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross to share with us some detailed information from his regular property market updates.

The housing market is slowing, and old listings are rising sharply in Sydney and Melbourne. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Over its 10 year history, Real Estate Talk, or as it is known now Realty Talk, has documented many changes in market conditions and the experts who have provided views and opinions over those years are coming together to share their views with Bushy and Kevin and reflect on their personal journeys and experiences. RealtyTalk is your trusted voice in property investment and Australia's most popular online property show.  RealtyTalk is brought to you by Realty, Australia's leading search and social property distribution platform that helps investors like you beat the crowd, giving you the earliest access to property opportunities, listings, and insights. Check out Realty. RealtyTalk is hosted by top property investment expert, author, and founder of KnowHow Property, Bushy Martin. Find out how Bushy's KnowHow team helps investors unlock freedom with finance and property here, and check out Bushy's podcast Get Invested.  RealtyTalk is supported by BMT, a company that helps property investors save thousands of dollars each year by maximizing tax deductions from investment properties. Find out more.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Labor has launched its new housing affordability scheme, with the promise of taking a 40% equity stake in the purchase of new homes. But the new scheme has attracted criticism for throwing more money at the problem. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Residential rents continue to rise as vacancy rates fall further right across Australia, both in the capital cities and in the regional areas. The best source of information on vacancy rates comes from SQM Research and their managing director Louis Christopher says vacancy rates in six of our capital cities are below 1% and they're around 2% in both Sydney and Melbourne. In most regional market, vacancies are well under 1% - and in some places they're closer to zero than to 1%. Now, keep in mind that accepted benchmark for a balanced rental market is a vacancy rate of 3% and anything under 3% represents a shortage. Right now there's a rental shortage crisis almost everywhere in Australia.

In this episode, Pete interviews top housing market analysts Louis Christopher, who says high and accelerating inflation is coming and investors need to hedge accordingly.Louis explains how high inflation has impacted real estate and other tangible assets historically, and what he thinks comes next.

We so often hear talk of property ‘boom' or ‘bust' in the mainstream media, but what's the reality? As we continue our summer series in partnership with Realty Talk, Australia's top online property show hosted by Bushy Martin, where we've been talking with independent industry leaders about where Australian property is heading in 2022, this episode we share insights from Louis Christopher.  Louis is one of Australia's most recognised and respected property analysts, whose objective, candid and honest approach to the real estate market continues to put his company SQM Research at the forefront of property prediction.  In this episode Louis outlines the findings from his team's latest annual Housing Boom & Bust report that makes for great and interesting reading and contrasts with many other outlooks, so this chat will broaden your perspective.  And if you're a real estate professional or a serious residential property investor looking to make fully informed decisions in the year ahead, you can't afford to miss SQM's comprehensive Housing Boom & Bust 130 page report that gives you a full breakdown of every postcode in the country covering current market statistics and postcode investor ratings, which you can get now for just $59.95 by visiting sqmresearch.com.au/boombustreport Join the Get Invested community: And if you want to continue investing in your knowledge, join me and many other like minded investors in our Get Invested community right now. I send a free and exclusive monthly email full of practical ‘Self, Health and Wealth' wisdom that our current Freedom Fighter subscribers can't wait to get each month. It's full of investment and lifestyle tips, my personal book recommendations, apps I use to enhance life and so much more. Just visit bushymartin.com.au and sign up at the bottom of the page … because this is just the beginning! Get Invested is the leading weekly podcast for Australians who want to learn how to unlock their full ‘self, health and wealth' potential. Hosted by Bushy Martin, an award winning property investor, founder, author and media commentator who is recognised as one of Australia's most trusted experts in property, investment and lifestyle, Get Invested reveals the secrets of the high performers who invest for success in every aspect of their lives and the world around them. Remember to subscribe on your favourite podcast player, and if you're enjoying the show please leave us a review. Find out more about Get Invested here https://bushymartin.com.au/get-invested-podcast/  Want to connect with Bushy? Get in touch here https://bushymartin.com.au/contact/  This show is produced by Apiro Media - http://apiropodcasts.com

Following a stellar boom across the board last year that exceeded all expectations, what is likely to happen with property in 2022? Louis Christopher from SQM Research joins us to share the details of his latest Housing Boom & Bust Report with some surprising property predictions that you can't afford to miss.  RealtyTalk is your trusted voice in property investment and Australia's most popular online property show.  RealtyTalk is brought to you by Realty, Australia's leading search and social property distribution platform that helps investors like you beat the crowd, giving you the earliest access to property opportunities, listings, and insights. Check out Realty. RealtyTalk is hosted by top property investment expert, author, and founder of KnowHow Property, Bushy Martin. Find out how Bushy's KnowHow team helps investors unlock freedom with finance and property here, and check out Bushy's podcast Get Invested.  RealtyTalk is supported by BMT, a company that helps property investors save thousands of dollars each year by maximizing tax deductions from investment properties. Find out more. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross from Sydney to discuss his latest Boom-and-Bust report.

In this episode of Property Investing Matters, Margaret is joined by Louis Christopher from SQM Research in a live cross from Sydney to discuss his latest Boom-and-Bust report.

In lieu of our normal Monday Property Rant, tonight we present an edited edition of a special live Q&A as I discuss SQM’s latest Property Report. Louis Christopher has an amazing grasp on the property data, and along with our property insider Edwin Almeida, we discuss the future trajectory based on his scenarios. Notably, you … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A: SPECIAL HD Replay Latest Property Trends With Louis Christopher and Edwin Almeida [Podcast]"