Podcast appearances and mentions of Carl Allen

Case studies can teach a lot of business acquisition lessons, and this one has a lot of lessons. 100% seller finance Accounts receivable are left for the buyer Broker's fee paid by the seller. That is the sign of a motivated seller. And when a deal is this good you better do your due diligence thoroughly and this mentee did. It is also a good lesson in due diligence and how to use what you find. In this week's podcast, I walk you through the timetable and specifics of how this former VIP Mastermind member and now business partner with me did this deal.. To Your Success, Bruce Whipple brucewhipple.com

Nanami Haruta, Rodney Whitaker, Ryan Keberle, Renee Rosnes, John Patitucci, Carl Allen, John Lee, Brian Charette, Brian Ho, Bryn Roberts, Jacob Wutzke, Rachel Therrien and Manon MullenerPlaylist: Nanami Haruta - Girlie's WorldRodney Whitaker - Sunday SpecialRyan Keberle & Catharsis - Throwback MovesRyan Keberle - EduRenee Rosnes, featuring Edu Lobo - Casa ForteJohn Patitucci, featuring Chris Potter & Brian Blade - Think FastCarl Allen - Happy TimesCarl Allen - JamesCarl Allen, featuring John Lee - Song For AbdullaJohn Lee - Second WindBrian Charette - 6:30 in the MorningBrian Ho Trio - Just in TimeBryn Roberts - You Do Something to MeJacob Wutzke - Like a BirdRachel Therrien, featuring Okan & Danae Olano - OrunManon Mullener, featuring Rachel Therrien - Party

In this episode, Spencer breaks down why every business owner—whether you're raising capital or not—needs a crystal-clear elevator pitch. Learn the five components that make a pitch magnetic, how it clarifies your vision, aligns your team, and helps you stop owning a job and start building a business worth selling. Spencer also shares how companies like Nucleane tie purpose into profit by giving back through CASA—and why that only works when your business runs intentionally. “If you can't explain what you do in 30 seconds, how can your team—or your customer—trust you to deliver it?” Featuring insights inspired by Carl Allen, Ed Mylett, and Russell Brunson, this episode will help you sharpen your message, align your mission, and build something bigger than yourself.   If you are feeling the love, make sure to subscribe, rate, and review on iTunes, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you are!! If you'd like to be featured on an episode go to theidahobusinesspodcast.com to APPLY! Apple Podcasts Spotify YouTube   #ElevatorPitch #BusinessClarity #BuildToSell #IntentionalBusiness #OwnTheBusinessNotTheJob #BusinessStrategy #ScalingWithPurpose #IdahoBusiness #TheIdahoBusinessPodcast #SpencerWard #IdahoEntrepreneurs  

One of the best lessons I learned from one of my mentors in business acquisition was "Investigate Before You Invest!" We know that applies to deals but it also applies to other areas in your business acquisition journey and that is what I explain in this week's podcast. To Your Success, Bruce brucewhipple.com  

OPD (Other People's Drama) can be a killer. Here is what OPD is, how to recognize it and what to do about it. For the Acquisition Advantage 2025 Boot Camp recordings or my mentoring programs, check out my website. https://brucewhipple.com

Does seller finance really work? You betcha it does. Here's an example. Seller finance is what this week's video is about. For the Acquisition Advantage 2025 Boot Camp recordings or my mentoring programs, check out my website. https://brucewhipple.com

MARC COPLAND “ALL BLUES AT NIGHT” New York, September, 1990On Green Dolphin Street, All bluesTim Hagans (tp,flhrn) Marc Copland (p) Gary Peacock (b) Bill Stewart (d) CHARLES LLOYD “TRIOS : CHAPEL” Live Coates Chapel, San Antonio, TX, December, 2018Blood count, Song my lady sings, Ay amorCharles Lloyd (ts,fl) Bill Frisell (g) Thomas Morgan (b) ORRIN EVANS “THE RED DOOR” Englewood Cliffs, NJ, January 13, 2024Parker's mood, Alter ego, L's bopChris Potter (ts,sop,b-cl) John Lee (p-1) Christian McBride (b) Carl Allen (d) Continue reading Puro Jazz 01 de mayo, 2025 at PuroJazz.

ANGEL PARRA TRIO – “ANGEL PARRA TRIO” Santiago, March, 1993I mean you (2), Far Wes (1), S.O.S. (2,3), Beautiful love (1), Begin the blues (1,4) Cristian Cuturrufo (tp-4) Marcos Aldana (ts-3) Angel Parra (g) Roberto “Titae” Lindl (b) Francisco “Pancho” Molina (d-1) Pedro Greene (d-2) LEE KONITZ / DAN TEPFER – “DECADE” New York, July 2015-February 2016Thrill, Pulsing green, Through the tunnel, ReboundsLee Konitz (as,sop,voice) Dan Tepfer (p) CARL ALLEN – “TIPPIN'” Englewood Cliffs, NJ, January 13, 2024Parker's mood, Alter ego, L's bopChris Potter (ts,sop,b-cl) John Lee (p-1) Christian McBride (b) Carl Allen (d) Continue reading Puro Jazz 30 de abril, 2025 at PuroJazz.

How well do you listen? Probably not too well but you can change that. This week's podcast is about how to ask the questions that work and that improve your listening skills and lead to closing more deals. For the Acquisition Advantage 2025 Boot Camp recordings or my mentoring programs, check out my website. https://brucewhipple.com

We all have 24 hours a day. How you spend that time is what can make all the difference. Here is a great example from a VIP Mastermind member. This week's podcast is about how to focus and prioritize. For the Acquisition Advantage 2025 Boot Camp recordings or my mentoring programs, check out my website. https://brucewhipple.com

In the 1950s, a strange story emerged about a ship called the USS Eldridge docked at a naval shipyard in Philadelphia. According to a man aboard another ship docked nearby, in October of 1948 the hull of the Eldridge suddenly glowed an eery blueish green and then the entire ship disappeared, became invisible. But that's not all. After it turned invisible, it then suddenly teleported 300 miles away to another naval shipyard in Norfolk, Virginia and back. The crew aboard the Eldridge reportedly suffered ill effects, disorientation, burns, and some of them even had body parts fused to the hull of the ship. This witness, a man named Carl Allen or sometimes Carlos Allende, claimed that what he had seen was a top secret government experiment gone wrong, an experiment that had been covered up ever since. But what was the Philadelphia Experiment really - a government conspiracy or a hoax turned urban legend? Let's fix that. Support the show! Join the Patreon (patreon.com/historyfixpodcast)Buy some merchBuy Me a CoffeeVenmo @Shea-LaFountaineSources: Naval History and Heritage Command "Philadelphia Experiment"Wikipedia "Philadelphia Experiment"Military.com "This Is the Truth Behind WWII's Creepy Philadelphia Experiment"Wikipedia "Carl Meredith Allen"ussslater.org "Destroyer Escort Anecdotes"How Stuff Works "How the Philadelphia Experiment Worked"Skeptical Inquirer "Solving a UFOlogical Murder: The Case of Morris K. Jessup"Wikipedia "Morris Ketchum Jesup"Shoot me a message!

Your mental attitude is everything in this business acquisition environment. Many people will freeze and not realize the opportunity in chaos. This week's podcast is about how to prosper in this environment. For the Acquisition Advantage 2025 Boot Camp recordings or my mentoring programs, check out my website. https://brucewhipple.com

Last week I did a podcast on "What Are You Really Afraid Of?" This week, I want to talk about how to deal with fear. This podcast might make you think differently about "Fear.". For the Acquisition Advantage 2025 Boot Camp recordings or my mentoring programs, check out my website. https://brucewhipple.com

Listening to those who have "Been There and Done That" can help you avoid many mistakes.  But understand you will make mistakes and fail your way to success. This podcast might make you think differently about "losing". If you want to learn what to do and how to do it or join me in group coaching or the VIP Mastermind, check out my website.  https://brucewhipple.com

How disciplined is your life and how much are you following your goals rather than working someone else's "to do" list? That is what this week's podcast addresses. I also talk about the new Acquisition Advantage Boot Camp that started on February 25, 2025 and is running for six weeks.  The first four weeks are available for on demand viewing for members and the last two are LIVE.  Here are the details.  Come join us the last two weeks LIVE and watch the first four week replays to get a jump start on your business acquisition journey. https://go.brucewhipple.com/aabc

Being on time is something I am passionate about and also how I judge others. I also talk about the new Acquisition Advantage Boot Camp that started on February 25, 2025 and is running for six weeks.  The first three weeks are available for on demand viewing for members and the last three are LIVE.  Here are the details. https://go.brucewhipple.com/aabc

Will Your Passport Outlive You? I hope not but I am not so sure about myself. This was a pretty impactful event for me and what this week's podcast is about. If you want to join us for the March 13th and 14th virtual training as a VIP Mastermind member here are the details. https://go.brucewhipple.com/vipmastermind    

Artificial Intelligence aka AI is a great tool. But you need to be careful with it and know how to use it and its limitations. That is what this week's podcast talks about. If you want a deep dive on "How to Use AI to Supercharge Your Business Acquisition!" Here are the details. https://go.brucewhipple.com/aiclass

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I truly believe Integrity is one of the few things worth dying for? Why that is and how important your integrity and reputation is to your ability to do deals is what this week's podcast is all about. I also talk about the new Acquisition Advantage Boot Camp starting on February 25, 2025 and running for six weeks.  Here are the details. https://go.brucewhipple.com/aabc    

Do you think you can learn something from my most successful mentee? I do...if you watch, learn, and take action. That is what this week's podcast covers. This is part 2. Part one is on my you tube channel. Here is that video. https://youtu.be/-eMGWsLJrcs?si=sWqN4KrLVswefUf4  To watch the full interview, click here. https://brucewhipplepantheon.com/doblerbio    If you want to learn what to do and how to do it, check out my website.  https://brucewhipple.com

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A lot of mentees pick the wrong Chairperson in their haste to build a Board of Directors. So, how can you pick the right Chairperson? This week's podcast dives into this and how you can pick your Chairperson. If group coaching would help you, check out the new format, which focuses on accountability and building an empire. https://go.brucewhipple.com/groupcoaching 

FEAR is usually False Expectations Appearing Real. Procrastination and Paralysis by analysis kills more dreams than failure ever will. This week's podcast dives into this and how you can drive a stake through the heart of FEAR. If group coaching would help you, check out the new format, which focuses on accountability and building an empire. https://go.brucewhipple.com/groupcoaching 

Surges Of Income   In this episode of Richer Soul, we welcome Chris Moore, a property investor, entrepreneur, and business development consultant. Chris's journey from a hardworking entrepreneurial family to becoming a successful author and digital marketing expert is full of insightful lessons on growth, resilience, and wealth creation. His reflections on family, money, and building a purposeful life provide listeners with actionable wisdom.   Key Takeaways: Money as a Tool and Responsibility: Growing up in a household where money was part of everyday conversations, Chris learned early on how to earn and manage it. This set the stage for his journey into entrepreneurship and his current mission to instill financial responsibility in his children. Family Legacy Shapes Financial Mindset: Chris's upbringing in an entrepreneurial family taught him about the discipline and sacrifices needed to achieve financial success. He carries these lessons forward while ensuring his children understand the value of their privileged upbringing. The Role of Ambition and Grit: From working for his goals at a young age to building and scaling businesses, Chris emphasizes the importance of hard work and ambition. He also reflects on balancing ambition with contentment, a challenge many high achievers face. Building Purpose Beyond Wealth: While financial success is vital, Chris believes in using wealth to create impact and live a purposeful life. His approach to combining business acumen with personal values highlights the power of aligning goals with a higher purpose.   Money Learning: Chris's early lessons about money came from observing his entrepreneurial father and through personal experiences. He shared how receiving tools like a lawnmower as gifts helped him earn his own money from a young age, fostering independence and self-reliance. Today, he emphasizes teaching his children to value money by encouraging them to work and contribute to family businesses.   Bio: Chris Moore is a property and acquisitions investor, full-stack digital marketer, and business development consultant. With two INC 5000 awards under his belt, Chris has scaled multiple businesses and helped entrepreneurs achieve rapid growth. He partners with Carl Allen in the Dealmaker Wealth Society and owns numerous ventures across industries. He is also a best-selling author passionate about sharing his knowledge of wealth creation and business strategies.   Key Discussion Points: Chris's Upbringing and Early Lessons in Money: The role of family conversations and reflections in shaping his financial habits. Teaching Financial Values to Children: Strategies for helping kids understand the value of money in a privileged setting. Entrepreneurial Lessons: Insights into scaling businesses, including navigating challenges and embracing innovation. Balancing Ambition and Contentment: Chris's perspective on maintaining ambition without losing sight of personal fulfillment. Building Impact Beyond Wealth: Using financial success to create meaningful change and support others in their journeys.   Conclusion: Chris Moore's story is a testament to the power of intentionality, resilience, and ambition. His journey reminds us that wealth is not just about accumulation but also about creating a meaningful impact. By sharing his strategies for managing money, instilling values in the next generation, and building a purposeful life, Chris inspires listeners to take actionable steps toward their financial and personal goals.   Links: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@Chrismoorespeaks Instagram:@chrismoorespeaks- https://www.instagram.com/chrismoorespeaks/   Watch the full episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@richersoul Richer Soul Life Beyond Money. You got rich, now what? Let's talk about your journey to more a purposeful, intentional, amazing life. Where are you going to go and how are you going to get there? Let's figure that out together. At the core is the financial well-being to be able to do what you want, when you want, how you want. It's about personal freedom! Thanks for listening!   Show Sponsor: http://profitcomesfirst.com/   Schedule your free no obligation call: https://bookme.name/rockyl/lite/intro-appointment-15-minutes   If you like the show please leave a review on iTunes: http://bit.do/richersoul   https://www.facebook.com/richersoul http://richersoul.com/ rocky@richersoul.com   Some music provided by Junan from Junan Podcast   Any financial advice is for educational purposes only and you should consult with an expert for your specific needs.

Tonight's Jazz Feature is a brand new recording by seasoned musicians that are an important part of today's Jazz scene. This date newly issued on the Cellar/Live label is by drummer Carl Allen leading a bare bones trio with the incredible tenor and soprano saxophonist Chris Potter, who also is heard on bass clarinet. The equally accomplished Christian McBride on bass plus a cameo appearance on piano by Vancouver's John Lee. The repertoire is varied with compositions by Carl Allen, drummer Lenny White, Freddie Hubbard, ,pianist James Williams and Charlie Parker. This recording demonstrates that great solid, uncompromising Jazz is still alive and well and is like a breath of fresh air. The albums is entitled "Tippin'".

Send us a text In this episode, we dive into the mysterious story of the Philadelphia Experiment, a supposed WWII-era Navy experiment that allegedly made a ship invisible and sparked decades of conspiracy theories. We'll unravel the bizarre claims of Carl Allen, the enigmatic man behind the story, and explore how his letters led UFO researcher Morris K. Jessup down a tragic rabbit hole. Join us as we separate fact from fiction in one of history's strangest urban legends! Sourceshttps://www.historicmysteries.com/myths-legends/the-philadelphia-experiment/1000/https://www.military.com/off-duty/2020/05/04/truth-behind-wwiis-creepy-philadelphia-experiment.html?amphttps://windmill-slayer.tripod.com/aliascarlosallende/https://saucerlife.com/2022/04/08/the-strange-case-of-carlos-allende/https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_War_II_casualtieshttps://ia801601.us.archive.org/35/items/PhiladelphiaExperiment/Philadelphia%20Experiment_text.pdfhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morris_K._Jessuphttps://skepticalinquirer.org/2021/08/solving-a-ufological-murder-the-case-of-morris-k-jessup/https://windmill-slayer.tripod.com/aliascarlosallende/https://allthatsinteresting.com/philadelphia-experiment Get 45% off the Magic Mind bundle!Go to: https://magicmind.com/QUITEUJAN for 45% off your Magic Mind bundle with our link Support the showHit us up on social mediaFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/QuiteUnusualPod/Facebook Group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/1349829115227754Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/quiteunusualpod/Twitter: https://twitter.com/quiteunusualpodSend us your Listener Lore!Send us an email: quiteunusualpod@gmail.com Wanna send us something spooky?P.O. Box 1212Des Plaines, IL, 60017

En este episodio hemos escuchado la música de Seed Ensemble; Ryan Daunt; Jean‐Luc Ponty; Joshua Redman, Brad Mehldau, Christian McBride, Brian Blade; Irati Bilbao; John Zorn & Sam Eastmond; Claudio Scolari Project; Carl Allen. Seguir leyendo La Montaña Rusa. Episodio 04.2025. en La Montaña Rusa Radio Jazz.

Fear is a double-edged sword; it can paralyze or propel. In this week's podcast I give a great example of how fear propelled Taylor Sheridan from $800 to $200 Million in ten years. And lessons you can learn and implement to achieve your "Why." If group coaching would help you, check out the new format, which focuses on accountability and building an empire. https://go.brucewhipple.com/groupcoaching 

Last Friday was "Quitter's Day". That is the second Friday of the New Year when a lot of people abandon their New Year's Resolutions and Plans. But you can't quit if you never started! That is what this week's podcast is about. How to start! If group coaching is something that would help you check out the new group coaching format which focuses on accountability and building an empire. https://go.brucewhipple.com/groupcoaching 

Do you struggle to focus and stay on task? If so the Pomodoro Technique might just be the answer. That is what this week's podcast is about.  

Every so often I am asked to explain the steps to acquiring a business. That is what this week's podcast is about. My Acquisition Advantage Boot Camp recordings explain the steps in detail and allows you to attend a LIVE group Q&A I do each month. Here are the details. https://go.brucewhipple.com/aabc

You can listen to what I say about the VIP Mastermind, but this mentee's experience tells it all.  That is what this week's podcast is about. Some spots are opening in January.  Here are the details. https://go.brucewhipple.com/vipmastermind 

I am often asked why we cover in the two day VIP Mastermind training events. That is what this week's podcast is about. If you are looking to start conversations, here is a free course on that subject. https://go.brucewhipple.com/vipmastermind   

How do you separate yourself from the "Bots"? That is what this week's podcast is about. Here are the details on the Seller Finance Mastery Program https://go.brucewhipple.com/sellerfinance

I am often asked what we cover in the two day VIP Mastermind training events. That is what this week's podcast is about. Here are the details on the VIP Mastermind. https://go.brucewhipple.com/vipmastermind

Understanding your results and the law of averages is critical as Jim Rohn explains so well.  That is what this week's podcast is about.  Here is the link to the seller finance boot camp I mentioned.  https://go.brucewhipple.com/sellerfinance 

So why would a seller benefit from seller finance? Good question!  That is what this week's podcast is about. Here is the link to the seller finance boot camp I mentioned.  https://go.brucewhipple.com/sellerfinance 

Are you not making the progress you want to? Perhaps these four enemies of success will help change your progress.  That is what this week's podcast is about. Here is the link to the seller finance boot camp I mentioned.  https://go.brucewhipple.com/sellerfinance 

Things polling get right in 2024:* Trump had a chance to win the popular vote (he did)* Trump had an advantage in the Sun Belt but the races in the Rust Belt would be closer (true, Trump still won them all)* Ticket splitting is real and could save Democrats from a Senate demolition (it did)But beyond that… we have some real questions. Carl Allen believed Kamala Harris was a favorite to win the electoral college. Together we go through the results and find lessons big and small. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

The Trump Campaign attracted some Black, Hispanic, and Jewish voters, says Carl Allen, author of "The Polls Weren't Wrong." Trump's path to victory in 2024 wasn't through his base alone—it was through precision targeting of key demographic groups that traditionally lean Democratic. The margins were razor-thin, but the strategy was effective. The Math  Trump started with his rock-solid 47-48% base. They needed new voters outside of their base. They targeted demographics in traditional democratic demos.  - Young Black men: Support doubled from 15% to 30% - Hispanic men: Achieved majority support - Jewish voters: Showed increased support amid Gaza conflict "Trump didn't overwhelmingly win these groups," Allen explains. "He squeezed an extra 2-3% here and there. But 2% of a small group, plus 2% of another small group—it adds up." The Perception Game Perhaps most striking was how Trump won the economic narrative. Despite often vague policy proposals ("concepts of a plan," as Allen puts it), Trump successfully conveyed a simple message: he's better for jobs and wallets. "We're reaching this point where perception outweighs policy," Allen notes. "The perception of a candidate's position is far more important than their actual policies." The Democratic Dilemma The interview reveals a sobering reality: Democratic policies on abortion, minimum wage, and economics poll well individually. Yet the party struggled to translate this into electoral victory. In Wisconsin and Michigan, the final margins tell the story: - Trump: ~49.5% - Harris: Just under 49% Pennsylvania saw Trump just over 50%, Harris at 48.5%. Looking Forward The data suggests this wasn't just an Electoral College victory—Trump appears positioned to win the popular vote for the first time since 2004. It's a watershed moment that demands Democratic soul-searching about messaging and voter outreach. As Allen observes: "Traditional media is fading in importance... authentically reaching people, that's where podcasts have an advantage over things like commercials and mainstream cable news appearances." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Trump Campaign attracted some Black, Hispanic, and Jewish voters, says Carl Allen, author of "The Polls Weren't Wrong." Trump's path to victory in 2024 wasn't through his base alone—it was through precision targeting of key demographic groups that traditionally lean Democratic. The margins were razor-thin, but the strategy was effective. The Math  Trump started with his rock-solid 47-48% base. They needed new voters outside of their base. They targeted demographics in traditional democratic demos.  - Young Black men: Support doubled from 15% to 30% - Hispanic men: Achieved majority support - Jewish voters: Showed increased support amid Gaza conflict "Trump didn't overwhelmingly win these groups," Allen explains. "He squeezed an extra 2-3% here and there. But 2% of a small group, plus 2% of another small group—it adds up." The Perception Game Perhaps most striking was how Trump won the economic narrative. Despite often vague policy proposals ("concepts of a plan," as Allen puts it), Trump successfully conveyed a simple message: he's better for jobs and wallets. "We're reaching this point where perception outweighs policy," Allen notes. "The perception of a candidate's position is far more important than their actual policies." The Democratic Dilemma The interview reveals a sobering reality: Democratic policies on abortion, minimum wage, and economics poll well individually. Yet the party struggled to translate this into electoral victory. In Wisconsin and Michigan, the final margins tell the story: - Trump: ~49.5% - Harris: Just under 49% Pennsylvania saw Trump just over 50%, Harris at 48.5%. Looking Forward The data suggests this wasn't just an Electoral College victory—Trump appears positioned to win the popular vote for the first time since 2004. It's a watershed moment that demands Democratic soul-searching about messaging and voter outreach. As Allen observes: "Traditional media is fading in importance... authentically reaching people, that's where podcasts have an advantage over things like commercials and mainstream cable news appearances." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Are you afraid of getting bank financing? There is an alternative and yes it is real. Seller Finance.  That is what this week's podcast is about. Here is the link to the seller finance boot camp I mentioned.  https://go.brucewhipple.com/sellerfinance 

How do you avoid getting your "head chopped off" and build a team with people you can trust.  That is what this week's podcast is about. Here is the link to the seller finance boot camp I mentioned.  https://go.brucewhipple.com/sellerfinance 

Our latest analysis projects Kamala Harris as the probable winner of the 2024 election, with a likely path to 292 electoral votes. Election expert Carl Allen's independent forecast supports this projection, rating Harris as the more likely winner. His models even show a possible more decisive outcome, in which Democrats could sweep all swing states. Probable Path to Victory:  The most likely scenario shows Harris securing traditional blue-wall states (Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania) while adding North Carolina, creating multiple viable paths to victory even if she loses one blue-wall state. This probable path puts Harris at 292 electoral votes compared to Trums's forecast, showing potential for an even stronger Democratic performance. Michigan Michigan appears the most volatile of the blue wall states, with both campaigns wrestling over significant voter shifts. Despite Republicans registering more new voters than expected and potential losses of 50,000-150,000 traditionally Democratic voters over Gaza, Allen's polling average still shows Harris maintaining a likely lead at 48.5% to Trump's 48%. The GOP's strategic pivot to early voting could prove decisive. While they celebrate narrower Democratic early voting margins, Allen warns they may be "cannibalizing" their crucial Election Day turnout. Wisconsin In Allen's analysis, Wisconsin emerges as the most vulnerable blue-wall state, with a lower concentration of urban Democratic voters than Pennsylvania and Michigan. While Harris currently leads in Wisconsin, Allen rates it as the most likely blue-wall state to flip red—a scenario that would cost Democrats 10 electoral votes but likely wouldn't be fatal to Harris's chances if she secures other swing states. North CarolinaNorth Carolina has become the Democrats' probable safety net, consistently showing Harris at 49% to Trump's 47% across multiple polls. The state's shifting media landscape and the toxic effect of Republican gubernatorial candidate Robinson's scandals have created likely Democratic strength. Trump's hasty addition of an unplanned North Carolina rally signals Republican anxiety about a state that could provide Harris with probable electoral insurance if any blue wall state falters. Likely GOP Vulnerability Republicans' strategic shift to early voting will probably backfire by reducing their traditional Election Day advantage. With 19 million votes already cast and Democrats building strong early voting margins, the GOP faces a changed electoral landscape that likely complicates their path to victory. Despite prediction markets favoring Trump, Allen sees no data supporting him as even a probable favorite, suggesting market manipulation may be at play. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Our latest analysis projects Kamala Harris as the probable winner of the 2024 election, with a likely path to 292 electoral votes. Election expert Carl Allen's independent forecast supports this projection, rating Harris as the more likely winner. His models even show a possible more decisive outcome, in which Democrats could sweep all swing states. Probable Path to Victory: The most likely scenario shows Harris securing traditional blue-wall states (Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania) while adding North Carolina, creating multiple viable paths to victory even if she loses one blue-wall state. This probable path puts Harris at 292 electoral votes compared to Trums's forecast, showing potential for an even stronger Democratic performance. Michigan Michigan appears the most volatile of the blue wall states, with both campaigns wrestling over significant voter shifts. Despite Republicans registering more new voters than expected and potential losses of 50,000-150,000 traditionally Democratic voters over Gaza, Allen's polling average still shows Harris maintaining a likely lead at 48.5% to Trump's 48%. The GOP's strategic pivot to early voting could prove decisive. While they celebrate narrower Democratic early voting margins, Allen warns they may be "cannibalizing" their crucial Election Day turnout Wisconsin. In Allen's analysis, Wisconsin emerges as the most vulnerable blue-wall state, with a lower concentration of urban Democratic voters than Pennsylvania and Michigan. While Harris currently leads in Wisconsin, Allen rates it as the most likely blue-wall state to flip red—a scenario that would cost Democrats 10 electoral votes but likely wouldn't be fatal to Harris's chances if she secures other swing states. North Carolina North Carolina has become the Democrats' probable safety net, consistently showing Harris at 49% to Trump's 47% across multiple polls. The state's shifting media landscape and the toxic effect of Republican gubernatorial candidate Robinson's scandals have created likely Democratic strength. Trump's hasty addition of an unplanned North Carolina rally signals Republican anxiety about a state that could provide Harris with probable electoral insurance if any blue wall state falters. Likely GOP Vulnerability Republicans' strategic shift to early voting will probably backfire by reducing their traditional Election Day advantage. With 19 million votes already cast and Democrats building strong early voting margins, the GOP faces a changed electoral landscape that likely complicates their path to victory. Despite prediction markets favoring Trump, Allen sees no data supporting him as even a probable favorite, suggesting market manipulation may be at play.

A listener sent me a curious story: There is a Super PAC running ads online that paint Kamala Harris as a staunch defender of Israel AND a weak capitulator inflaming anti-semitism by pandering to Palestinians. Don't believe me? Here are the ads. Why is the Future Coalition PAC countering their own message? They aren't. They're attempting to inflame both sides of the conflict against Kamala Harris in two swing states.The Pro-Israel ads are not running in ZIP codes with high Jewish populations, they're running in Dearborn, Michigan the highest concentration of Arab Americans in the United States. Meanwhile, the Palestinian “Pandering” ads are running in the suburbs of Pennsylvania where the majority of that crucial state's jewish population lives. The goal of both is to turn those natural Democratic voters against the nominee. That's only first 10 minutes of our two-hour episode! * We are joined by Jason Whitely the senior political reporter for WFAA in Dallas. This week he moderated the debate between Colin Allred and Ted Cruz. We talk to him about his moderating philosophy and his thoughts on Texas politics.* Evan Scrimshaw and Ryan Jakubowski join the show to do a Narrative Draft. What are the topics we believe will dominate the conversation after the election.* Carl Allen explains to us why we've been reading polls the wrong way our entire lives and how to change it. All that and snap reactions to the death of Sinwar in Gaza. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

PATCH NOTES: * FIXED audio on Jason Whitely Interview* REMOVED f-bombApologies for the last export…—A listener sent me a curious story: There is a Super PAC running ads online that paint Kamala Harris as a staunch defender of Israel AND a weak capitulator inflaming anti-semitism by pandering to Palestinians.Don't believe me? Here are the ads.Why is the Future Coalition PAC countering their own message? They aren't. They're attempting to inflame both sides of the conflict against Kamala Harris in two swing states.The Pro-Israel ads are not running in ZIP codes with high Jewish populations, they're running in Dearborn, Michigan the highest concentration of Arab Americans in the United States. Meanwhile, the Palestinian “Pandering” ads are running in the suburbs of Pennsylvania where the majority of that crucial state's jewish population lives.The goal of both is to turn those natural Democratic voters against the nominee.That's only first 10 minutes of our two-hour episode!* We are joined by Jason Whitely the senior political reporter for WFAA in Dallas. This week he moderated the debate between Colin Allred and Ted Cruz. We talk to him about his moderating philosophy and his thoughts on Texas politics.* Evan ScrimshawandRyan Jakubowskijoin the show to do a Narrative Draft. What are the topics we believe will dominate the conversation after the election.* Carl Allenexplains to us why we've been reading polls the wrong way our entire lives and how to change it.All that and snap reactions to the death of Sinwar in Gaza. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

The parallels between 2024 and 2016 are striking and impossible to ignore: Trump as the Candidate: Donald Trump is the Republican nominee, and that entails unprecedented support from Russia.  Female Democratic Nominee: Like Hillary Clinton in 2016, Kamala Harris faces unique challenges as a woman running for the highest office. Tight Polls in Battleground States: We're seeing razor-thin margins in key states, reminiscent of the nail-biting finish in 2016. Disinformation Campaigns: As I noted in yesterday's show, we're facing an "onslaught of disinformation" that eerily mirrors the 2016 landscape. Green Shoots in the Data I asked Carl Allen, author of "The Polls Weren't Wrong," how he viewed the two elections on last night's show. Allen says his 2024 forecast is not as close as other analysts', putting Kamala Harris in a far more advantageous polling position than Hillary Clinton was in 2016. Here are some of the "green shoots" that Carl sees in the data. Closer to 50%: Allen points out that Harris is polling closer to the crucial 50% mark in critical states, which he argues is more important than lead size. Fewer Undecideds: Unlike 2016, there are fewer undecided voters this time around, potentially reducing last-minute swings. Fewer Third-Party Candidates: The 2024 race has fewer prominent third-party candidates, simplifying the electoral math. Allen emphasizes that Harris's chances are better than a toss-up, albeit just barely. He puts her probability of winning at about 66%, adding, "A 34 or one in three chance that Trump wins doesn't let me sleep well at night."  He also calls 2016 an outlier election that shouldn't be viewed as very predictive. While this offers some cautious optimism, it reminds me that everything about this election, like 2016, is abnormal. 2024's Wild Cards  Trump's strategy in 2024, like 2016 “is asymmetrical. Instead of running an on-message campaign, he's running an absolute onslaught of disinformation." His alliance with X's Elon Musk is an unprecedented national security crisis connecting the GOP nominee to a known Russian disinformation agent who has the most prominent news app in the world at his disposal to spread disinformation.  There are legitimate concerns about foreign actors like Bibi Netanyahu, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin attempting to sway the election by inventing or heightening international crises.  The Specter of Violence: The implicit threat of violence if Trump doesn't win echoes the 2020 election.  Biden Sounds The Alarm  The gravity of the disinformation threat was underscored today by President Biden himself. In response to false claims about hurricane relief efforts, Biden condemned what he called "a reckless, irresponsible, relentless promotion of disinformation and outright lies." Biden explicitly named Trump, stating he "has led the onslaught of lies." echoing the "onslaught of disinformation" referred to in yesterday's show. Carl Allen's book “The Polls Weren't Wrong” brings an exciting new perspective to our understanding of polls and helps us be more precise about forecasting results, especially during unprecedented unpredictability.  What do you think about the parallels and differences between 2016 and 2024? Please reply in the comments below. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Pollster, handicapper, & analyst @realcarlallen joins me to handicap the presidential race with 43 days to go. Who's in a better position right now, what factors might change things these final 43 days. Fascinating stuff. Have a listen. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.