Podcasts about pratik chougule

Part 1: Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) makes the bear case on Kash Patel's confirmation odds Part 2: Rule3O3 (@Rule3O3) analyzes Vivek Ramaswamy's H1B gaffe Timestamps 0:00: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) intro 0:46: Pratik's updated odds on Patel's confirmation 2:03: Hegseth's confirmation 3:01: Pratik introduces Ramaswamy segment 5:41: Intro ends 7:42: Patel segment begins 12:19: Patel scandals 15:52: Dr. Cruse's prediction 16:28: Trump's support of Patel 19:42: Alternatives to Patel 22:29: Why Patel different from Hegseth 23:14: Patel segment ends 23:28: Ramaswamy segment begins 24:50: Whiplash 29:20: Saved By the Bell 30:50: Ramaswamy's critics 39:57: Perceptions of Indian-Americans 43:25: Damage to Ramaswamy Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/X: @ssgamblers Bet on Kash Patel's confirmation at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Who will be Trump's FBI Director https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-director-oft-the-fbi?tid=1738200171900 How many Senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as Director of the FBI https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senators-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel-as-director-of-the-fbi?tid=1738200239466 Which Senators will vote to confirm Kash Patel https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel?tid=1738200284701 Which Trump picks will be confirmed? https://polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed/kash-patel-confirmed-as-director-of-the-fbi?tid=1738200304190 Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) argues that Pete Hegseth, Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense, is much less likely to get confirmed than the current markets prices indicate. Dr. Cruse and Pratik Chougule also discuss the universe of Republican senators who are willing to vote against Trump nominees. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces episode 0:11: Thune whip count on Hegseth 8:05: Intro ends 10:06: Interview with Cruse begins 10:42: Trump nominees' confirmation prospects 11:24: Democratic Senators 12:11: Rubio 15:44: Most controversial nominees 16:27: Hegseth scandals 31:14: Factors in likelihood of confirmation 33:46: Republican Senators 46:41: Influence of Hegseth markets 46:56: Sexual harrassment allegations Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers  Trade on Hegseth's nomination at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. https://polymarket.com/event/of-senate-votes-to-confirm-hegseth-as-secretary-of-defense?tid=1736804670342 https://polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed/will-pete-hegseth-be-confirmed-as-secretary-of-defense?tid=1736804692254 https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-defense-secretary/will-pete-hegseth-be-trumps-defense-secretary?tid=1736804733018 Join us for our first DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets meetup of the year! This will be a very casual meetup to meet and socialize with others interested in forecasting, prediction markets, political gambling, sports betting, or anything else relating to predicting the future. Location is TBD but you'll be notified when we've finalized a venue. Last-minute/onsite walk-in RSVPs here on this Partiful event page are welcomed! Who are we? We are prediction market traders on Manifold (and other prediction markets like PredictIt, Kalshi, and Polymarket), forecasters (e.g. on Metaculus and Good Judgment Open), sports bettors (e.g. on FanDuel, DraftKings, and other sportsbooks), consumers of forecasting (or related) content (e.g. Star Spangled Gamblers, Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, Scott Alexander's Astral Codex Ten), effective altruists, rationalists, and data scientists. Forecast on Manifold how many people will attend this month: https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-people-will-attend-a-forec-OzPZILyc5C?play=true Forecast on Manifold how many people will attend meetups this year: https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-attendees-will-there-be-at?play=true This meetup is hosted by the Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

Part 1: Fred Norris (@PIsFredNorris) declares victory in his side bet with Zoltar (@zoltarssg) on how ratings at Fox News would fare following Tucker Carlson's departure. Part 2: Coalition for Political Forecasting Research Director Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) and Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discuss the merits of CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam's opposition to election event contracts. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces Tucker Carlson segment 2:02: Behnam's announcement on event contracts rulemaking 11:36: Tucker Carlson segment begins 11:48: Fred Norris recaps bet with Zoltar 19:30: Fox News ratings after Tucker Carlson 25:21: Tucker Carlson's decline 29:17: Tucker Carlson segment ends 29:32: Behnam segment begins 34:53: What legal prediction markets would look like 38:05: Behnam vs. Kalshi 38:26: Proprietary technology 41:31: Kalshi's view 41:48: Why Kalshi's view is at odds with Behnam 42:05: State law 42:22: Behnam's view on prediction markets 43:55: CFTC jurisdiction 46:09: Chougule's view on political betting 46:37: Chougule's critique of Kalshi 47:19: Chougule's view on Behnam's perspective 47:39: Benefits of status quo 49:23: Repealing state law "Anderson Cooper out as CNN anchor in 2024?" Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. https://polymarket.com/event/anderson-cooper-out-as-cnn-anchor-in-2024/anderson-cooper-out-as-cnn-anchor-in-2024?tid=1734481400982 Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers Coalition for Political Forecasting https://coalitionforpoliticalforecasting.org/

Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield discuss why the courts are allowing Kalshi to offer election markets for now, and provide an update on the litigation between Kalshi and the CFTC. Timestamps  0:00: Introduction begins 0:20: 2024 elections and prediction markets 0:31: Victory for Polymarket 1:53: Kalshi legal case 7:09: Interview with Bransfield begins 7:28: Bransfield joins Coalition for Political Forecasting 8:06: District court case 10:37: Gaming 15:45: Jia Cobb's ruling 18:17: DC Circuit appeal 18:30: DC Circuit court judges 30:43: Perception of harm from election contracts 33:07: Foreign prediction markets 35:27: Behnam comments on UK betting scandal 36:33: Kid Rock manipulation anecdote 38:33: Manipulation in prediction markets Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Sign up for the Forecasting Meetup Network: https://forecastingmeetupnetwork.kit.com/eb6374e5e8

David Glidden (@dglid) draws lessons from the sports betting world for building the forecasting community. Timestamps 0:00: Intro begins 0:09: Saul Munn 1:26: David Glidden 1:52: Washington DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup 6:54: Interview with Glidden begins 13:32: Importance of building forecasting community 14:39: Effective altruism 22:02: DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup 24:49: Sports betting 40:53: Repeatable lines in prediction markets Show Notes September 26 DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup RSVP: https://partiful.com/e/zpObY6EmiQEkgpcJB6Aw DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups For more information on the meetup, DM David Glidden @dglid. Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers.

Pratik Chougule summarizes the latest developments in the legal battle between Kalshi and the CFTC on election betting. Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield do a deep dive into the CFTC's arguments in front of DC federal district court Judge Jia Cobb.  Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces segment with Bransfield 1:43: Update on latest in Kalshi-CFTC legal battle 9:34: Bransfield segment begins 11:18: CFTC counsel's poor presentation 20:33: Definition of a contest 21:47: Market manipulation 27:02: Cobb's concerns 27:29: CFTC's arguments about gaming 29:34: Importance of public comments to CFTC 25:38: DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup Show Notes September 26 DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup RSVP: https://partiful.com/e/zpObY6EmiQEkgpcJB6Aw DC Forecasting and Prediction Markets Meetup Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups For more information on the meetup, DM David Glidden @dglid. Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers.

Pratik Chougule previews Manifest 2024. Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1) and Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) negotiate a side bet on whether Trump will select Tim Scott, Doug Burgum, or Marco Rubio as his running mate. They discuss how Trump will make the decision and when he'll announce it.  Timestamps 0:09: Pratik introduces segment on Trump VP selection 1:44: Manifest 2024 7:18: Episode on VP nomination begins 7:43: What are SSG Title Belt Championships? 9:37: How Ben Freeman won the SSG Title Belt 11:56: Ben's proposed side bet on Trump's VP selection 13:36: Alex Chan's background 15:38: OpenBet/DonBest 19:26: How Alex got into political gambling 20:49: Political nerds vs. professional gamblers 22:36: Ben and Alex negotiate theie side bet 27:09: How Trump will select his VP 30:10: Loyalty considerations 32:21: Trump's strength in GOP 34:48: Will Trump penalize those who ran against him? 35:32: When will Trump announce the pick? 36:38: How deep is Trump's VP bench? 40:09: Has Trump already decided? Follow SSG on Twitter: @ssgamblers Trade on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, at polymarket.com Attend Manifest, a festival celebrating predictions, markets, and mechanisms, hosted by Manifold Markets. June 7-9 at Lighthaven Campus, Berkeley, CA. Tickets are available at https://www.manifest.is/#tickets. Use the discount code SSG10 to get 10% of the ticket price.

The CFTC has proposed a new rule that would restrict betting on election markets. Pratik Chougule and Mick Bransfield do a deep dive into the CFTC's deliberations. Timestamps 0:00: Introduction 6:11: Interview with Bransfield begins 8:50: CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam is spending political capital on the issue 10:14: What is rulemaking? 11:24: Behnam's statement 11:48: Concerns about CFTC staff time on election contracts 14:25: Conflict of interest accusations against Kristin Johnson 17:34: Senator Tommy Tuberville's involvement 20:02: Goldsmith-Romero's views 25:13: Mersinger's dissent 27:38: Pham's dissent 31:10: Discord at the CFTC 32:01: Questions about CFTC enforcement 35:41: CFTC's power and resources 37:58: Behnam's political ambition 41:06: Pratik's critique of Mersinger's dissent 45:12: Pratik's impressions from attending CFTC meeting in person Trade on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, at polymarket.com Attend Manifest, a festival celebrating predictions, markets, and mechanisms, hosted by Manifold Markets. June 7-9 at Lighthaven Campus, Berkeley, CA. Tickets are available at https://www.manifest.is/#tickets. Use the discount code SSG10 to get 10% of the ticket price.

While Trump appears to hold a commanding lead heading in the Iowa caucuses, second place remains uncertain. Ben Freeman challenges The Winner for the SSG title belt on the question of who will perform better in the Iowa caucuses: Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley. Plus, Pratik Chougule explains the nomination process for the 2024 Golden Modelos. 0:00: Pratik introduces the Iowa caucuses segment 1:38: Pratik explains the nomination process for the 2024 Golden Modelos for Excellence in Political Gambling 4:15: SSG members' only private briefing on Taiwan elections 7:36: Segment on Iowa caucuses begins 8:15: What are SSG title belt challenges 9:20: Ben Freeman on why DeSantis is underpriced for second place in Iowa 12:20: The Winner on why DeSantis isn't likely to place second 13:38: Negotiating the belt challenge 14:10: Pratik's view on why DeSantis has the edge 15:30: Haley's feminism 17:07: Populism and wave politics 18:14: What is Haley's message? 28:30: Haley's lack of endorsements 37:30: Democratic presidential primary Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers

Four Part Episode Part 1: Dr. Lucas (@talophex) on Biden's health Part 2: The Winner (@thewinner2875) and Ben Freeman (@benwfreeman1) on whether Vivek Ramaswamy is worth buying as a hedge Part 3: Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) on the CFTC's decision to reject Kalshi's election contracts Part 4: Nathan Young (@nathanpyoung) on religion and prediction markets  Timestamps 5:08: Interview with Lucas begins 6:39: Biden's cognitive decline 8:49: Biden's physical health 10:20: Biden's aneurysms 13:18: Biden's capacity to run a presidential campaign 15:19: Biden's risk of vaccine injury 18:45: How to trade on Biden's health on Polymarket 20:46: Segment on Ramaswamy begins 21:46: Ben Freeman on fading the online candidate 23:22: Segment on CFTC's Kalshi decision begins 24:21: Commissioner Mersinger's dissent 25:54: State laws on political betting 27:40: Why the CFTC is not main the adversary of political betting 28:14: Legality of the Iowa Electronic Markets 29:47: Kalshi's tried to find a shortcut 30:50: Excerpt of Chougule's speech on black markets 32:22: Segment with Nathan Young begins 32:37: How religion made Young interested in prediction markets 33:10: Forecasters were ahead of the curve on COVID 34:02: Similarities between the rationality and religious communities 38:05: Religious attitudes toward gambling in the UK 40:56: America's religious opposition to political betting Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers.

Three-part episode: (1) Dr. Lucas—the "surgeon general of prediction market Twitter"—joins to discuss Mitch McConnell's health. Why did he "freeze" in public multiple times? Did the Congressional physician cover up his actual condition? (2) Rule3O3 discusses how large donors approach their political contributions (3) Jonathan Zubkoff (@zubbybadger) sounds the alarm on the opposition of U.S. Senators to political betting Timestamps 0:00: Introduction 5:01: Interview with Lucas begins 5:21: How political betting led to Lucas being swatted 8:07: How Lucas got into political betting 9:36: Improvements in political betting websites 10:13: Lucas's medical background 13:20: Polymarket's market on whether Mitch McConnell will resign by the end of the year 13:36: McConnell's freezing episodes 19:58: What is a seizure? 23:29: Did McConnell have a stroke? 24:02: Did the Congressional physician mislead the public about McConnell's condition? 26:41: The state of McConnell's health 29:59: Medications McConnell might be on right now 31:18: How the longshot could win on Polymarket 34:41: Segment with Rule3O3 begins 37:11: Segment with Jonathan Zubkoff begins Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers

On the eve of the Kentucky governor's election, a new poll by Emerson suggests that the race could be much closer than initially expected. SSG Title Belt Champion TheWinner (@thewinner2875) and Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) join the show to make their final predictions. Although they generally agree in their analyses, they settle on a side bet and a challenge for the SSG Title Belt. 3:20: Main segment begins 4:10: Introduction to Dr. Cruse 6:51: Emerson polling 8:20: Current market prices 12:31: The role of national politics 14:16: Racial politics 17:21: SSG TItle Belt Challenge 23:36: Polling in Kentucky 24:30: Fundraising 25:25: Indicators pointing to a Beshear win 28:30: Limited national attention 31:10: Kentucky governors races as national bellweathers 35:36: Pratik summarizes the discussion 37:15: TheWinner's final margin prediction 37:58: Potential impact of the war in Israel Trade on Polymarket here: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-democrat-win-the-kentucky-gubernatorial-election Follow SSG on Twitter: @ssgamblers

3-Part Episode — Keendawg returns to discuss why Andy Beshear, Kentucky's Democratic Governor, is favored for re-election, but why lottos on his Republican challenger might be a good bet — Pratik reports on new evidence that Kalshi was behind the CFTC's enforcement action against Polymarket — MagaVacuum explains how to gain a betting edge while traveling to campaign events Timestamps 4:24: Interview with Keendawg begins 4:40: Keendawg's role in founding Star Spangled Gamblers  7:14: Kentucky colonels 9:42: Who is Andy Beshear and why is he the favorite in the KY governor's race? 15:29: Who is Daniel Cameron? 18:20: Counties in Kentucky to watch 21:35: Why Andy Beshear won in 2019 22:14: Cameron's appeal 23:26: Background on KY politics 25:27: Partisan politics in KY 26:54: Lexington-Louisville rivalry 27:42: Davies County 28:47: Segment begins on Kalshi's role in Polymarket 30:18: Former CFTC official Maggie Sklar's comment to the CFTC against Kalshi 34:23: MAGAVacuum's research on communications and political prediction markets 36:00: How to gain an edge by traveling to campaign events Show Notes — Sklar's letter to CFTC https://comments.cftc.gov/PublicComments/ViewComment.aspx?id=72703&SearchText=sklar Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter: @ssgamblers Follow Pratik Chougule on Twitter: @pjchougule

After another review with a 30-day public comment period, the CFTC rejected Kalshi's proposal to offer election contracts. Mick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into the outpouring of public comments that led to the CFTC's decision. 0:00: Introduction begins 2:14: Kalshi's incentives and how they shape its strategy toward political betting regulation 3:46: Kalshi's policy on transparency 5:27: Kalshi's diverging incentives from the political betting community 7:42: How Pratik's assumptions on political betting regulation differ from those of Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour 13:03: Interview with Mick begins 15:18: Background on the latest 30-day comment period 16:40: Why the CFTC received a flood of comments 17:46: Were the anti-Kalshi comments AI-generated? 18:10: Public Citizen 20:57: Better Markets 21:55: Letter from Representatives John Sarbanes and Jamie Raskin 22:55: Center for American Progress 25:09: Are prediction markets becoming a partisan football? 31:11: Errors and poor analysis in the anti-Kalshi letters 33:41: Kalshi's response 46:40: Why Pratik lost confidence in Kalshi's regulatory approach Links: Mick Bransfield's website: https://mickbransfield.com/markets/ Coalition for Political Forecasting: http://coalitionforpoliticalforecasting.org/ Coalition for Political Forecasting comment to CFTC: http://coalitionforpoliticalforecasting.org/coalition-for-political-forecasting-response-to-cftcs-request-for-public-comments-on-questions-related-to-kalshis-self-certified-congressional-control-contracts/

After listening to our recent episode about calls in the forecasting community to cancel him, Richard Hanania offered to appear on the show. Richard and Pratik Chougule discuss: — Cancel culture in the rationalist community — The conservative judiciary and how it could legalize prediction markets — The odds of Vivek Ramaswamy and Donald Trump to secure the GOP nomination — Balancing the incentives of being a forecaster and a pundit 3:25: Interview begins 4:14: Richard's new book The Origins of Woke and his association with Vivek Ramaswamy 7:00: Richard responds to those in the forecasting community who want to cancel him 8:12: How cancel culture is changing 10:13: Manifest Conference 11:12: Market-based responses to cancel culture 14:27: GOP nominee odds 15:56: Ramaswamy's views on prediction markets 17:50: PredictIt lawsuit against the CFTC 20:31: Conservative legal movement 32:20: Reasons why election markets became partisan 33:01: Political implications of Trump's legal problems 34:55: Hanania responds to haters and calls for open-mindedness 36:11: Incentives for political gambling versus punditry 40:11: Pratik plugs Origins of Woke

Ben Freeman and MAGA Vacuum return to the show to discuss their observations from the Iowa State Fair and their predictions on who will win the state's GOP caucuses. Timestamps 3:12: Interview begins 3:48: What is the Iowa State Fair and why is it significant for the Republican primaries? 5:31: Trump supporters trolling DeSantis 6:06: Trump's appearance 6:28: Ramaswamy rapping 7:30: DeSantis's prospects 23:40: Iowa evangelicals 26:23: DeSantis's ground game 31:38: Longshot candidates and nonstarters in Iowa 35:18: Odds of a Trump second place in Iowa 37:28: Ramaswamy supporters 38:06: Hatred of Pence 39:08: Freeman's post-interview notes

Rule3O3 and Pratik Chougule discuss whether the political forecasting community should cancel Richard Hanania in light of his edgy writings on race, sex, and other hot-button issues. Timestamps: 0:53: Jonathan Zubkoff wins the CSPI/Salem Center forecasting tournament 2:58: Manifest conference 5:04: Crime markets on Manifold 6:58: Open invitation to Hanania to appear on SSG 10:23: Who is Hanania? 15:22: Why a cancel attempt on Hanania 19:09: Should Hanania be canceled from the forecasting community? 23:24: Peter Wildeford's criticism 29:03: Aaron Bergman's warning on ideological policing 32:22: Political betting as a solution to political polarization 33:52: OutsideContextProblem's criticism of Hanania as a troll 36:46: Rob Henderson's defense of Hanania 38:27: Oliver Habryka's proposed standard for canceling Hanania 40:45: Why Aella isn't canceled 43:47: David Manheim's critique on Hanania making people feel unwelcome 45:05: Ezra Brody's question on engaging "gross people"

Intro: Pratik Chougule  Part I: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby Badger) discusses the possibility of a government shutdown and how it will likely be averted Part II: Mick Bransfield discusses the new judge, David Ezra, who will be overseeing the PredictIt case at the district court Part III: Pratik responds to mailbag from Domer on overconfident marks in political betting markets and argues for recruiting experts to participate in prediction markets   1:45: Pratik promotes the Manifest Conference https://www.manifestconference.net/ 5:46: Zubby on the possibility of a government shutdown 30:02: Mick Bransfield on David Ezra, the new judge who will oversee the PredictIt case at the district court 38:47: Pratik responds to mailbag from Domer on arrogance in political betting and argues for recruiting experts into political prediction markets

Intro: Pratik's thoughts on the first Republican presidential debate Part I: Pratik interviews PlayUSA columnist Steve Friess about his reporting on why political prediction markets missed the 2022 Senate races, and why the policymaking community is skeptical of political gambling. Part II: Jonathan Zubkoff (Zubby Badger) discusses the circumstances in which Trump will attend a Republican debate   Timestamps 0:12: Pratik introduces the interview with Steve Friess 1:37: Pratik introduces segment with Zubby Badger on whether Trump will attend a debate 2:59: Political betting insights from the first Republican debate 10:32: Friess's interest in political gambling 13:55: Why betting markets missed the 2022 midterms 21:05: Policymaking community's skepticism of political gambling 39:17: Factors in whether Trump will show up to a Republican debate

Intro: Pratik Chougule discusses a recent Manifold meetup he attended and the importance of attending in-person forecasting community events Part 1: Rule3O3 joins the show for the first time to discuss epistemic humility in political betting and how to realize the promise of political prediction markets. Part 2: Ben Freeman and Pratik Chougule continue their conversation on 2024 Republican presidential primary. Ben and Pratik discuss whether a fractured Republican field will save Trump again or whether the electorate will rally around an alternative. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces the two segments 1:12: Manifold and the importance of in-person forecasting events 6:34: Rule3O3 intro 8:26: Political prediction market efficiency 10:29: Epistemic humility in prediction markets 13:26: Technical analysis 16:20: Fun in prediction markets 18:43: Ben Freeman on whether a fractured Republican field will save Trump again or whether the electorate will rally around DeSantis 20:43: High-profile Republican endorsements 23:19: Attacks on Trump 27:39: Trump's financial problems 29:41: Will Republicans coalesce around an alternative 33:41: DeSantis's strengths and weaknesses 39:54: Ben's picks on PredictIt 41:57: Pence lottos

Mick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into the Fifth Circuit's decision to grant PredictIt a preliminary injunction and what it means for traders as well as the broader political betting community. Bransfield and Chougule also speculate on why PredictIt still isn't rolling out new markets. 4:53: Summary of Fifth Circuit ruling 14:51: CFTC attorneys and their legal strategy against PredictIt 27:19: PredictIt hiring for a DCM 31:21: New markets at PredictIt? 34:20: SSG website down    

Part I (3:46): Adrian Smith responds to CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam's concerns that election markets could turn the CFTC into an "election cop."  Part II (27:01): Iabvek and Pratik side bet on whether Ron DeSantis will even win one county in the Republican primaries Part III (36:37): Mick Bransfield discusses whether Kalshi "killed" PredictIt and/or Polymarket and how the FOIA process works at the CFTC Part IV (40:53): Mailbag on Kalshi's recent debt ceiling market

Gaeten Dugas, Iabvek, and Pratik Chougule debate and place side bets on the question of when Ron DeSantis drop out of the race.  In part II, Pratik addresses a mailbag question on the question of whether prediction markets and political gamblers have failed to disrupt the political discourse. Timestamps: 5:25: PredictIt's victory at the Fifth Circuit 7:12: DeSantis's political future 41:47: Mailbag on prediction market traders who can't explain politics

Mick Bransfield and Pratik Chougule do a deep dive into Kalshi's latest attempt at the CFTC to offer election markets.   StarSpangledGamblers.com Twitter: @ssgamblers

WineMom, Gaeten, and Title Belt Champ The Winner discuss: — Dating advice for political gamblers — Trump's nicknames for DeSantis — When Trump will show up to a Republican debate and who he will attack

— Gaeten Dugas and Pratik Chougule debate their side bet on whether Trump will show up to the first Republican debate in August — Abhi and Pratik discuss whether PredictIt will offer new markets and how to trade on this question on Insight Prediction — Atlantic Sentinel editor Nick Ottens explains how countries can leave the European Union and why the odds of Italy and Poland exiting are very low

In part 1, Pratik Chougule and Jason Pipkin discuss the odds that Trump will stop running for the Republican nomination for president before the South Carolina primaries. In part 2, Atlantic Sentinel editor Nick Ottens does a deep dive into Spain's July elections and whether Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez can survive as prime minister. Nick and Pratik discuss the odds on BetOnlineAg's next leader out market.  

— Pratik Chougule on market manipulation and pump-and-dump schemes in political prediction markets — Gaeten Dugas on why he's betting against California Senator Dianne Feinstein resigning this year — Nic Horton assesses the likelihood of an Arkansan vice presidential nominee, discussing the odds on former Governor Asa Hutchinson, Senator Tom Cotton, and the current Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders — Abhi (@aenews_pi) explains how to profit in Insight Prediction's Russia-Ukraine war markets

Pratik Chougule, TheWinner, and MagaVacuum discuss: — Ron DeSantis's weird behavior, why he's overpriced in the betting markets, and how long to hold short shares. — The right price to pay for Tim Scott and other longshot candidates for the Republican nomination. — Side bets and the future of the political gambling community.

— Pratik Chougule analyzes Victoria University's response to the CFTC. — Gaeten Dugas explains why he's making the largest bet of his career on George Santos not resigning from Congress.  — Zeus O'Dea considers why the right is losing educated voters across the western world and whether this reality is being priced in on betting markets.

Pratik Chougule provides an update on the ongoing lawsuit between the CFTC and PredictIt now that the Fifth Circuit has rejected the CFTC's motion to dismiss the case and Victoria University has responded to the agency's questions. Zoltar and Fred Norris debate their side bet on whether Fox News will be able to maintain its primetime ratings after Tucker Carlson's departure.  StarSpangledGamblers.com

As part of our continuing coverage of longshot Republican presidential candidates, Arkansas politics expert Nic Horton joins the show to discuss Asa Hutchinson's presidential bid. Nic explains why Hutchinson probably isn't going to be the longshot that breaks out.  In part 2, professional gambler Zeus O'Dea discusses the possibility of a Jeremy Corbyn comeback in the UK and what it means for the future of left-wing politics in the west. Zeus has a side bet with Paul Krishnamurty on the issue, which we dive into on the pod.

Argentina's upcoming presidential elections are looking like a volatile and uncertain contest between a number of colorful candidates. Among others: an incumbent with a track record of racist comments overseeing 100%+ inflation, a Harvard Business School grad, and an anarcho-capitalist tantra instructor.  Latin America based financial analyst Ian Bezek returns to the show to assess the odds on Smarkets and how you should trade in the run-up to primaries in August and the general election in October.  In part 2, Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender and Pratik Chougule continue to analyze the CFTC's response to PredictIt, including its subtle suggestion that PredictIt users should sue Aristotle.

— Jason Pipkin and Pratik Chougule discuss which longshots for the Republican nomination for president are worth buying — Zubby Badger assesses when Congress and the Biden administration are likely to reach a debt ceiling deal — Casino.org reporter Steve Bittenbender predicts that political gambling deregulation might not happen until the 2028 elections — Zoltar "retires" from political gambling

— Jason Pipkin on how to bet on the fallout from Trump's New York indictment — Zubby Badger on the future of Kalshi, why Julie Su's nomination for Secretary of Labor is in trouble, and how to make money from confirmation markets. — Gaeten Dugas and Zoltar wrap up Golden Modelos coverage with an award for 2022 Trader of the Year 

Eli Braden and Pratik do a deep dive on Republican candidate for president Vivek Ramaswamy. They discuss how to weigh his odds as a prospective nominee and his future in conservative politics. 

McClatchy reporter Dave Catanese returns to the show. Dave has been following closely Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman's health issues and the seeming cover-up by Fetterman and his staff. Dave and Pratik discuss the likelihood that he'll resign from the Senate this year.  In part 2, Zoltar and Gaeten award the Golden Modelos Worst Pump of the Year award to Trafalgar polls.

In this 4-part episode, we cover a variety of markets for traders across the different betting exchanges. In part 1, Paul Krishnamurthy explains why President Erdogan of Turkey is a safe bet and why he's more confident of this than the markets. In part 2, Michael H. tells us where to find utterly insane pricing on Smarkets in the Republican Vice President nomination market. In part 3, we continue our discussion with Bernie Sanders veteran Ari Rabin-Havt. He does a deep dive into which state will award delegates first in the 2024 Democratic nomination contest. Finally, Gaeten Dugas, Pratik, and Zoltar discuss why election day 2022 was a great day for trading but a bad day for the future of prediction markets.

Kalshi is the focus of this episode. In the introduction, Pratik provides a theory on what role Kalshi might have played in the demise of PredictIt and Polymarket.  In part 1, Will Arnesen, head of the markets team at Kalshi, explains the rules in Kalshi's market on the Harvard affirmative action case before the Supreme Court. In part 2, Pratik, Gaeten, and Zoltar continue coverage of the Golden Modelos with discussion on the best market of the year. In the final segment, Ben Rapport denies that Kalshi killed PredictIt. He also tells us about Kalshi's plans to offer more political markets and gives PredictIt users a generous incentive to move their funds to Kalshi.

Michael H., an Ireland-based political gambler, joins the show to discuss Biden's political future and how to trade on it over the next few months. Michael and Pratik agree that Biden is currently underpriced in the markets but differ a bit on the seriousness of the investigation into Biden's handling of classified documents. Zoltar, Gaeten, and Pratik discuss the best and worst trades of 2022.

Good news for PredictIt. The Fifth Circuit has granted PredictIt an injunction which allows the site to continue operating while the appeals process proceeds. The court will consider the merits of PredictIt's appeal on February 8. Pratik discusses what this means for PredictIt traders. In part 2, Brian Golden returns to the show to discuss his perfect midterm picks. Brian explains in detail how he predicted the exact number of Senate and House seats and provides lessons that any trader can use in the future.

The political gambling industry is in a state of regulatory limbo. PredictIt is fighting for its life in the Fifth Circuit. Kalshi awaits CFTC approval for its election markets. And Polymarket and Insight Prediction remain in offshore exile. The good news is that prediction market veteran Flip Pidot has found a new way to keep the degeneracy going.  In this episode, Pratik and Flip do a deep dive into the American Civil Exchange's new platform to bet on politics. Based on over-the-counter swaps, there are minimal restrictions on market type and no limits. But there are strict eligibility requirements.

Pratik Chougule believes we need to be realistic vs. idealistic when talking about foreign policy. This THROWBACK episode brings us to a world where the United States and Iran were facing growing tensions and some in the neocon world to start beating the war drums. Original Show Notes: With commentators proclaiming that World War III is just around the corner due to increasing tensions between the United States and Iran, the United States' foreign policy is at the forefront of the national conversation. With conservative pundits like Ben Shapiro singing the praises of President Trump's more hawkish approach to the increasing tensions with Iran (which Shapiro has seemingly toned down in recent days), I thought it would be a great opportunity to have a former self-described "neocon" who ended up becoming a "foreign policy realist" on the show to discuss their own personal growth and change of mindset. Joining the show is Pratik Chougule. Chougule is a researcher at Boston College's Center for International Higher Education, where he is writing a book about American universities in the greater Middle East. He was previously an executive editor at The American Conservative and managing editor at The National Interest. During the 2016 election cycle, Chougule served as policy coordinator on the presidential campaigns of Donald Trump and Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee. From 2008-2009, Chougule was a George W. Bush appointee at the State Department in the Office of the Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security. Chougule graduated Phi Beta Kappa from Brown University and holds a JD from Yale Law School. Listen as Chougule discusses his take on foreign policy, his critiques of the traditional neocon/hawkish foreign policy, the rising tensions of Iran, and finally his perspective of where the world stands after the 2020 election with regards to foreign relations and policy. Support the We Are Libertarians Network Rebranding! -> https://www.paypal.me/wearelibertarians Find Chougule Online: https://pratikchougule.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/pjchougule Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/pratik.chougule.96 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Check out the video version at https://youtu.be/itkiTPjJA_s&T=2S  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, Gaeten Dugas and Pratik Chougule join Flip Pidot to handicap the Senate vote on the January 6th Commission and bring you a first look at today’s new markets.  Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv.  All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hold and/or plan to trade positions in the markets being discussed. 

Check out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1eMA1C11zc  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers. New markets include tomorrow’s House vote on the 1/6 Commission.  Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv.  All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hold and/or plan to trade positions in the markets being discussed. 

Check out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gM64I7EUA4o&t=22s  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Paul Krishnamurty, political betting consultant for BetOnline and Betfair, Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers and Robert Martin from Lean Tossup. We're discussing tomorrow's ballot referendum in Pennsylvania, the Democratic primary for lieutenant governor of Virginia, the 2024 GOP presidential nomination (Trump, DeSantis, Pompeo?), and which world leader will be next out of office.  Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv.  All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hold and/or plan to trade positions in the markets being discussed. 

Check out the video version at https://youtu.be/4xHzIPsRZpA   Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers and Gaeten Dugas to discuss how to play the Atlanta mayor race, Matt Gaetz keeping his seat on Judiciary (or in Congress), and how Gaeten made a killing on the Stefanik vote. Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv.  All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hold and/or plan to trade positions in the markets being discussed. 

Check out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZahkJgv4SFc&t=71s  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  Welcome to PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Today, host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers and Paul Krishnamurty, head of political betting at BetOnline.ag.  Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv.  All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hold and/or plan to trade positions in the markets being discussed. 

Check out the video version at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uOu0rCqUjSQ&t=14s  Get started trading with a free $25 deposit match at http://predictit.org/promo/OldBull25  It’s the premiere of PredictIt Live on OldBull.tv, your exclusive source for real-time coverage of the stock market for politics.  We’re bringing you the news moving prices, picks from top traders, a first look at today’s new markets, and answers to your live questions.  Host Flip Pidot is joined by panelists Pratik Chougule from Star Spangled Gamblers, Robert Martin from Lean Tossup, and pro trader Gaeten Dugas.  Follow us at http://twitter.com/oldbulltv.  All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice. Hosts and guests may hold and/or plan to trade positions in the markets being discussed. 

Republicans, Democrats, partisans & wingnuts ... There's something for everyone in this special recap episode featuring favorite guests, moments and trades from our last 30 episodes. In the second half of the episode, Star Spangled Gamblers' Pratik Chougule shares his post-VP debate analysis, as well as some trade ideas. TRENDS Our No-Fly Debate Zone Pratik Chougule Predicts a Wave TRADES Florida Blues Longshot, or EC Money? Follow Pratik Chogule on Twitter @pjchougule and hear him regularly on Star Spangled Gamblers   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine.  Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us: thepoliticaltrade.com Open your Predictit account with our promo code and we'll match the first $20 you invest: predictit.org/promo/TPT20 Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp Politicians in My Eyes, (Death, 1974) is the theme song of The Political Trade. Courtesy of Bank Robber Music.

TPT's Jeff Joseph moderates a prediction market-focused panel consisting of former guests Derek Phillips and Jason Pipkin as well as Pratik Chougule. Jeff asks the panelists about their trading philosophies, tactics and insights into specific markets on the PredictIt platform. This segment originally aired during hour four of American Civics Exchange and Old Bull TV's 2020 Political Prediction Conference on April 24. Special thanks to Old Bull TV's Flip Pidot for letting us share this segment of the conference on TPT. Check out Flip's show on YouTube or Apple Podcasts by searching for "Old Bull."   The Political Trade is brought to you by the award-winning Luckbox magazine. Get your FREE 10-issue digital subscription here: getluckbox.com/TPT   5-Star Offer! Want a free print issue of Luckbox? Email a screenshot of your TPT podcast review, with your mailing address, to tpt@luckboxmagazine.com, and we'll send you the most recent issue, no strings attached!   Join in on the wagering at predictit.org/promo/TPT20 and we'll match the first $20 you invest.   Follow us... TWITTER: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag FACEBOOK: @politicaltrader @luckboxmag INSTAGRAM: @tptpodcast @luckboxmag YOUTUBE: http://bit.ly/31n1GJp   Questions? Feedback? Guest Ideas? thepoliticaltrade.com

Video at https://youtu.be/tDkWZVKOcJYFor this very special edition, we’ve convinced 5 of the finest prediction market pros to join us live from their coronavirus bunkers to share their End Time trading strategies.The @PredictIt glitterati at our virtual roundtable are Jason Pipkin (@jipkin), Derek Phillips (@DmpFromPI), Keendawg from StarSpangledGamblers.com (@keendawgSSG), Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) and Zoltar (@truthBomber_).They're here to help you forecast what life will look like on the other end of all this.Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv.Email us at oldbull@amciv.com.Music from https://filmmusic.io "Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com)License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

Video at https://youtu.be/-UHnzXFHmzQIn this session of the 2020 Political Prediction Conference, from American Civics Exchange (amciv.com) and OldBull.TV:Jeff Joseph, host of The Political Trade podcast and editor of Luckbox Magazine, moderates a panel of professional PredictIt traders.The panelists discuss how they make a living forecasting not only political events but how the market will react (or overreact) to them. They reveal some of their current favorite trades and describe how traders can position themselves for guaranteed returns by constructing "negative risk" portfolios in connected markets.Panel:Jeff Joseph, moderator (luckboxmagazine.com/tptDerek Phillips (medium.com/@derekmphillipsJason Pipkin (predictingpolitics.com)Pratik Chougule (pratikchougule.com)Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv.Email us at oldbull@amciv.com.Music from https://filmmusic.io "Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com)License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

With commentators proclaiming that World War III is just around the corner due to increasing tensions between the United States and Iran, the United States' foreign policy is at the forefront of the national conversation. With conservative pundits like Ben Shapiro singing the praises of President Trump's more hawkish approach to the increasing tensions with Iran (which Shapiro has seemingly toned down in recent days), I thought it would be a great opportunity to have a former self-described "neocon" who ended up becoming a "foreign policy realist" on the show to discuss their own personal growth and change of mindset. Joining the show is Pratik Chougule. Chougule is a researcher at Boston College's Center for International Higher Education, where he is writing a book about American universities in the greater Middle East. He was previously an executive editor at The American Conservative and managing editor at The National Interest. During the 2016 election cycle, Chougule served as policy coordinator on the presidential campaigns of Donald Trump and Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee. From 2008-2009, Chougule was a George W. Bush appointee at the State Department in the Office of the Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security. Chougule graduated Phi Beta Kappa from Brown University and holds a JD from Yale Law School. Listen as Chougule discusses his take on foreign policy, his critiques of the traditional neocon/hawkish foreign policy, the rising tensions of Iran, and finally his perspective of where the world stands after the 2020 election with regards to foreign relations and policy. Support the We Are Libertarians Network Rebranding! -> https://www.paypal.me/wearelibertarians Find Chougule Online: https://pratikchougule.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/pjchougule Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/pratik.chougule.96 Sponsored By: The Libertarian Party: What's the best way to advance liberty? That's a question I get asked often. You can be an activist, an entrepreneur, a media personality, or politics. That's why I decided to become a member of the largest pro-liberty party in the United States, the Libertarian Party. I started my show with the goals to educate, enlighten, and inform, while also advancing the principles of liberty. The LP is the largest political party in America that, at its core principles, embraces the values of individual liberty, property rights, and non-aggression. The other two major parties have embraced tribal warfare versus principled debate. It's time we stop feeding the beast and put our money where out mouths are. That means putting petty bickering and nonsensical arguments aside and actually advancing liberty. The LP, like every political party, has its flaws. But instead of focusing on those flaws and tossing stones from the cheap seats, it's time we take personal responsibility (like we promote on a regular basis) and take some responsibility in making the LP the best it can be. Go to https://www.lp.org/briannicholsshow and become a member today, and join me in making the LP the very best it can be! Support The Brian Nichols Show Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bro History From Neocon to Realist with Pratik Chougule Pratik Chougule shares his journey of transformation from neoconservative to foreign policy realist. Pratik was the managing editor of The National Interest. He previously served as policy coordinator on the presidential campaigns of Mr. Donald Trump and Governor Mike Huckabee. From 2008-2009, Chougule was a Bush Administration appointee at the State Department in the Office […] From Neocon to Realist with Pratik Chougule szamotah

Pratik Chougule discusses his attempts to reconcile American conservatism and globalism in the age of Trump.

Host Alex Keeney chats with Bush White House veteran and former American Conservative editor Pratik Chougule about the best bets and tightest races left in the 2018 midterms.

September 5, 2017 M&A Guru Katharine Halpin, How the Rich are Different Pratik Chougule and Melting Point Dr. Christian Marcolli

#105 — What is Transhumanism? ** August 23, 2017Guest // Zoltan Istvan ** Host // Pratik Chougule, JD  Look around and you’ll see humanity not just engaged with technology but integrated in ways that are unexpected, sophisticated, fascinating, and for many of us, fundamentally alarming. There’s a nostalgia for the simplicity of the pre-internet past… for the time that my teenage kids call “ye olden days.” It’s pretty clear, however, that we aren’t stuffing tech back into the box anytime soon. And humanity is beset with all sorts of problems. Development of these technologies is accelerating and impacting human intelligence and physiology in ways that might transform what it means to be… human.  How do we wrap our heads around these ideas? How can we explore, plan, and lead responsibly? Join co-host Pratik Chougule and guest Zoltan Istvan as they discuss: What is the transhumanism movement (often abbreviated as H+)? Is transhumanism just an extension of human progress or something more radical? Why pursue a transhumanist future through the political system?  Zoltan Istvan is a Libertarian candidate for California Governor in 2018. He is often considered one the world’s leading transhumanists after his popular run in the 2016 US Presidential race as a science and technology candidate. Zoltan began his futurist career by publishing The Transhumanist Wager, an award-winning, #1 bestseller in Philosophy that has been compared to Ayn Rand’s work. Zoltan is also a leading technology journalist, a successful entrepreneur, and a former filmmaker and on-camera reporter for the National Geographic Channel. His futurist work and promotion of radical science has reached over 100 million people. He is a graduate of Columbia University, and lives in San Francisco with his physician wife and two young daughters. Learn more at ZoltanIstvan.com. Pratik Chougule, JD is an executive editor at The American Conservativemagazine. He served as the policy coordinator on the presidential campaigns of Donald Trump and Gov. Mike Huckabee. From 2008-2009, Chougule was a Bush administration appointee at the State Department in the Office of the Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security. Chougule graduated Phi Beta Kappa from Brown University and holds a JD from Yale Law School. 

Free play, also known as child-directed play, is becoming more and more restricted for American kids. We’ve talked on PlayGrounding many times about the importance of free play, how it’s where many children first encounter risk and freedom. It’s where they first begin to encounter “otherness,” where they find ways to work together with kids of various ages and backgrounds in an undefined arena. Play helps us cope in the realm of personal relationships, helps us develop innovative minds and healthy bodies. But today we’re taking a step back from the benefits of play to us as individuals and diving into what it could mean for our society, for the health of our democracy, when we restrict free play in the lives of our children. Pratik Chougule, an executive editor at The American Conservative, wrote an article entitled Is American Childhood Creating an Authoritarian Society? I was immediately fascinated by the idea that there could be political implications to a lack of free play. In this episode, we’ll discuss studies showing possible connections between child rearing practices and the likelihood that those children will tolerate authoritarian forms of government. We’ll also talk about how free play helps us learn to handle opposing ideas and work toward consensus. I hope you enjoy the episode and as always, please feel free to submit your own ideas in the comments or by contacting me to keep the conversation going. Pratik Chougule is an executive editor at The American Conservative. He was previously the managing editor at The National Interest and served as the policy coordinator on the 2016 presidential campaign of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. Chougule has contributed to projects for the Trilateral Commission, International Center on Nonviolent Conflict, and Baron Public Affairs. He has assisted a number of senior officials with their memoirs, including former U.S. ambassador to Afghanistan, Iraq, and the United Nations Zalmay Khalilzad and former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld. From 2008-2009, Chougule was a Bush appointee at the State Department in the Office of the Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security. Chougule graduated from Phi Beta Kappa from Brown University and holds a J.D. from Yale Law School.

The Politics of a Vaccine Safety Commission ** February 21, 2017Guest // Pratik Chougule, JD ** Hosts // Robert J. Krakow, Esq and Louise Kuo Habakus Is it a good idea to convene a presidential vaccine safety commission? We just finished reading a cogent, probing, and well-researched article: “Why the Kennedy-DeNiro Vaccine Challenge Matters” whose author says, “Yes.” Pratik Chougule, JD, executive editor of The American Conservative, eschews the usual trashing of advocates who challenge the government’s vaccine safety program. Curious about this compelling voice emerging from the fray of naysayers, we were eager to hear more from Pratik. Some the questions we’ll address include: What are the historical origins of the American vaccine safety movement? Why are vaccine safety advocates dismissed in the mainstream press? How did Trump become interested in the vaccine/autism issue? What factors will influence Trump’s decision to tackle the vaccine issue? What political impact will a vaccine safety commission make? Pratik Chougule, JD is an executive editor at The American Conservative magazine. He served as the policy coordinator on the presidential campaigns of Donald Trump and Gov. Mike Huckabee. From 2008-2009, Chougule was a Bush administration appointee at the State Department in the Office of the Under Secretary for Arms Control and International Security. Chougule graduated Phi Beta Kappa from Brown University and holds a JD from Yale Law School. His relevant writings include: My political journey; My piece on the decline of small-government conservatism in the Republican Party, which, I think, will influence the vaccine debate; and An op-ed on the alt-right, which may be an ally in the vaccine safety movement. Robert J. Krakow, Esq is an attorney in private practice in New York City focusing on the trial of civil and criminal cases, and specializes in the representation of persons injured by exposure to environmental toxins and vaccines. Bob started his legal career with NYPIRG. He was a prosecutor with the New York County District Attorney’s office and served as Bureau Chief of the special narcotics prosecution division. Bob is committed to working for individuals with disabilities. He is on the board of Focus for Health Foundation and Lifespire, Inc. where he was Board Chair for 7 years. He founded and/or serves/served on the boards of prominent autism and vaccine safety advocacy organizations including EBCALA, Center for Personal Rights, A-CHAMP, National Autism Association, and SafeMinds. He lives in NYC with his wife and their two children. Louise Kuo Habakus is the founding director of Fearless Parent™ and lead host and producer of Fearless Parent Radio™. She is a bestelling author; runs two non-profits, Center for Personal Rights and Health Freedom Action; lectures widely; and has appeared in numerous media outlets, including ABC World News Tonight, Fox & Friends, and The New York Times. Louise was a Bain consultant and a C-level executive in the financial services industry. She holds two degrees from Stanford University. Louise is on the board of Focus for Health Foundation, and the advisory boards of GreenMedInfo, The Documenting Hope Project, and SHE Living TV. She is a certified KRI Kundalini Yoga teacher and the mother of two.

Mr. Chougule has been recruited by TAC, effective February 6th, as on of two executive editors.  He comes from The National Interest, where he was managing editor.  Pratik's former commitment to the neoconservative creed, he will share with us his intellectual journey from neocon to foreign-policy realist.