Podcasts about chief equity strategist

Our Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Serena Tang and senior leaders from Investment Management Andrew Slimmon and Jitania Kandhari unpack new investment trends from supportive monetary and fiscal policy and shifting market leadership. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Serena Tang: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Serena Tang, Morgan Stanley's Chief Cross Asset Strategist. Today we're revisiting the 2026 global equity outlook with two senior leaders from Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Andrew Slimmon: I am Andrew Slimmon, Head of Applied Equity Team within Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Jitania Kandhari: And I'm Jitania Kandhari, Deputy CIO of the Solutions and Multi-Asset Group, Portfolio Manager for Passport Strategies and Head of Macro and Thematic Research for Emerging Market Equities within Morgan Stanley Investment Management.It's Tuesday, February 3rd at 10 am in New York. So as investors are entering in 2026, after several years of very strong equity returns with policy support reaccelerating. As regular listeners have probably heard, Mike Wilson, who of course is CIO and Chief Equity Strategist for Morgan Stanley – his view is that we ended a three-year rolling earnings recession in last April and entered a rolling recovery and a new bull market. Now, Andrew, in the spirit of debate, I know you have a different take on valuations and where we are at in the cycle. I'd love to hear how you're framing this for investment management clients. Andrew Slimmon: Yeah, I mean, I guess I focus a little bit more on the behavioral cycle. And I think that from a behavioral cycle we're following a very consistent pattern, which is we had a bad bear market in 2022 that bottomed down 25 percent. And that provided a wonderful opportunity to invest. But early in a behavioral cycle, investors are very pessimistic. And that was really the story of [20]23 and really 2024, which were; investors, you know, were negative on equities. The ratios were all very negative and investors sold out of equities. And that's consistent with a early cycle. And then as you move into the third-fourth year, investors tend to get more optimistic about returns. Doesn't necessarily mean the market goes down. But what it does mean is the market tends to get more volatile and returns start to compress, and ultimately, bull markets die on euphoria. And so, I think it's late cycle, but it's not end of cycle. And that's my theme; is late cycle but not end of cycle.Serena Tang: And I think on that point, one very unusual feature of this environment is that you have both monetary and fiscal policy being supportive at the same time, which, of course, rarely happens outside of recession. So how do you see those dual policy forces shaping market behavior and which parts of the market tend to benefit? Andrew Slimmon: Well, that's exactly right. Look, the last time I checked, page one of the investment handbook says, ‘Don't fight the Fed.' And so, you have monetary policy easing. And what we; remember what happened in 2021? The Fed raised rates and monetary policy was tightening. Equities do well when the Fed is easing, and that's one of the reasons why I think it's not end of cycle. And then you layer in fiscal policy with tax relief coming, it is a reason to be relatively optimistic on equities in 2026. But it doesn't mean there can't be bumps along the way – and I think a higher level of optimism as we're seeing today is a result of that. But I think you stick with those more procyclical areas: Finance, Industrials, Technology, and then you move down the cap curve a little bit. I think those are the winning trades. They really started to come to the fore in the second half of last year, and I think that will continue into 2026. Serena Tang: Right. And we've definitely seen some bumps recently, but I think on your point around yields. So, Jitania, I think that policy backdrop really ties directly to your idea of the age of capped real rates. In very simple terms, can you explain what that means and what's behind that view? Jitania Kandhari: Sure. When I say age of real rates being capped, I mean like the structural template within which I'm operating, and real rates here are defined by the 10-year on the Treasury yield adjusted for CPI.Firstly, I'd say there was too much linear thinking in markets post Liberation Day. That tariffs equals inflation equals higher rates. Now, tariff impacts, as we have seen, can be offset in several ways, and economic relationships are rarely linear.So, inflation may not go up to the extent market is expecting. So that supports the case for capped rates. And the real constraint is the debt arithmetic, right? So, if you look at the history of public debt in the U.S., whenever there was a surge in public debt during the Civil War, two World Wars, Global Financial Crisis, even during COVID. In all these periods, when debt spiked, real rates have remained negative.So, there can be short term swings in rates, but I believe that markets not necessarily central banks will even enforce that cap. Serena Tang: You've described this moment, as the great broadening of 2026. What's driving this and what do you think is happening now after years of very narrow concentration? Jitania Kandhari: Yes. I think like if last decade was about concentration, now it's going to be about breadth. And if you look at where the concentration was, it was in the [Mag] 7, in the AI trade. We are beginning to see some cracks in the consensus where adoption is happening, but monetization is lagging. But clearly the next phase of value creation could happen from just the model building to the application layer, as you guys have also talked about – from enablers to adopters.The other thing we are seeing is two AI ecosystems evolve globally. The high cost cutting edge U.S. innovation engine and the lower cost efficiency driven Chinese model, each of them have their own supply chain beneficiaries. And as AI is moving into physical world, you're going to see more opportunities. And then secondly, I think there are limitations on this tariff policies globally; and tariff fears to me remain more of an illusion than a reality because U.S. needs to import a lot of intermediate goods And then lastly, I see domestic cycles inflecting upwards in many other pockets of the world. And you add all this up; the message is clear that leadership is broadening and portfolio should broaden too. Serena Tang: And I want to sort of stay on this topic of broadening. So, Andrew, I think, you've also highlighted, you know, this market broadening, especially beyond the large cap leaders, even as AI investment continues, I think, as you touched on earlier. So why does that matter for equity leadership in 2026? And can you talk about the impact of this broadening on valuations in general? Andrew Slimmon: Sure. So I think, you know, I've been around a long time and I remember when the internet first rolled out, the Mosaic browser was introduced in 1993. And the first thing the stock market tried to do is appoint winners – of who was going to win the internet, you know, search race. And it was Ask Jeeves and it was Yahoo and it was Netscape. Well, none of those were the winners. We just don't know who's ultimately going to be the tech winner. I think it's much safer to know that just like the internet, AI is a technology productivity enhancing tool, and companies are going to embrace AI just like they embraced the internet. And the reason the stock market doubled between 1997 and the dotcom peak was that productivity margins went up for a lot of companies in a lot of industries as they embraced the internet. So, to me, a broadening out and looking at lower valuations, it is in many ways safer than saying this is the technology winner, and this is technology loser. I think it's all many different industries are going to embrace and benefit from what's going on with AI. Serena Tang: You don't want to know where I was in 1993. And I don't recognize most of those names. Andrew Slimmon: Sorry. I was 14! Serena Tang: [Laughs] Ok. Investors often hear two competing messages now. Ignore the macro and buy great companies or let the big picture drive everything. How do you balance top-down signals with bottom-up fundamentals in your investment process? Andrew Slimmon: Yeah, I think you have to employ both, and I hear that all the time; especially I hear, you know, my competitors, ‘Oh, I just focus on my stock picks, my bottom up.' But, you know, look statistically, two-thirds of a manager's relative performance comes from macro. You know, how did growth do? How did value do? All those types of things that have nothing to do with what stock picks... And likewise, much of a return of an individual stock has to do with things beyond just what's happening fundamentally. But some of it comes from what's happening at the company level. So, I think to be a great investor, you have to be aware of the macro. The Fed cutting rates this year is a very powerful tool, and if you don't understand the amplifications of that as per what types of stocks work, because you're so focused on the micro, I think that's a mistake. Likewise, you have to know what's going on in your company [be]cause one third of term does come from actual stock selection. So, I'm a big believer in marrying a top down and a bottom up and try to capture the two thirds and the one third.Serena Tang: Since that 2022 bear market low that you talked about earlier. I mean, your framework really favored growth and value over defensives. But I think more recently you've increased your non-U.S. exposure. What changed in your top-down signals and bottom-up data to make global opportunities more compelling now? Is it the narrative of the end of U.S. exceptionalism or something else? Andrew Slimmon: No, I really think it's actually something else, which is we have picked up signals from other parts of the world, Europe and Japan. That are different signals than we saw really for the last decade, which is namely that pro-cyclical stocks started to work. Value stocks started to work in the first half of 2025. And you look at the history of when that happens, usually value doesn't work for a year and peter out. So that's been a huge change where I would say, a safer orientation has shown the relative leadership, and we have to be – recognize that. So, in our global strategies, we've been heavily weighted towards, the U.S. orientation because we didn't see really a cyclical bias outside. And now that's changing and that has caused us to increase the allocation to non-U.S. exposure. It's a longwinded way of saying, look, I think what the story of last year was the U.S. did just fine. But there were parts of the world that did better and I think that will continue in 2026. Serena Tang: Andrew, Jitania thank you so much for taking the time to talk. Andrew Slimmon: Great speaking with you, Serena. Jitania Kandhari: Thanks for having us on the show. Serena Tang: And thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

This week on LPL Market Signals, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist and Lawrence Gillum, Chief Fixed Income Strategist, recap last week's gain for stocks amid precious metals mania, discuss what Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh could mean for markets, and explain the difficult balance the Treasury must strike to limit debt service costs for the Treasury. Tracking: #1058720

This week on LPL Market Signals, Jeffrey Buchbinder, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, and Dr. Jeffrey Roach, LPL Research's Chief Economist, discuss the big comeback by the stock market this week, highlight the benefits and beneficiaries of the AI-driven productivity boom, and preview the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting. Tracking: #853512

This week on LPL Market Signals, LPL's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Head of Macro Strategy, Kristian Kerr, recap a policy whirlwind from last week, discuss whether international stocks can outperform again in 2026, and explain why earnings from S&P 500 companies could grow double digits again this earnings season. Tracking: #847712

Carl Quintanilla, Sara Eisen, & David Faber kicked off the hour with some reasons to be optimistic about markets and growth into 2026 - before breaking down the bear case with Cantor Fitzgerald's Chief Equity Strategist who's warning of a drawdown ahead. Plus: what comes next in Venezuela as the President says the U.S. could reimburse energy companies to rebuild there... with one expert who says that's no easy task - and UBS's top picks within the financials as the group kicks off 2026 with a big rally to fresh all-time highs.  Also in focus: the state of the AI race and how demand is holding up - with the CEO of AMD, who sat down with the team for a wide-ranging interview, live from one of tech's biggest conferences of the year. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In the second of our 2026 Outlook episodes, we focus on the year ahead outlook for Japan, which we expect to remain on a recovery path in 2026. Joined by guest speakers Yujiro Goto, Head of FX Strategy, Tomohaki Shishido, Senior Rate Strategist, and Tomochika Kitaoka, Chief Equity Strategist, our Economists share their top views on the economy, the risks to watch out for, and the implications on FX rates and equity markets.

This week on LPL Market Signals, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Chief Technical Strategist, Adam Turnquist, recap last week's stock market bounce back as market participants debated the AI theme and discuss how market rotations provide a good setup for risk appetite returning to markets and offer a positive sign for the durability of the ongoing bull market. Tracking: #840669

This week on LPL Market Signals, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Technical Strategist, Adam Turnquist, and Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Lawrence Gillum share highlights from Outlook 2026: The Policy Engine. The strategists cover the firm's expectations for stocks, bonds, the U.S. dollar, and key commodities in 2026. Tracking: #834380

This week on LPL Market Signals, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist, and Adam Turnquist, Chief Technical Strategist, discuss the furious comeback in the S&P 500 to end November in positive territory (barely), highlight some charts that help assess the likelihood that the latest rally continues, and share some under-the-radar keys for markets in 2026 ahead of the release of the LPL Outlook 2026 publication on December 9. Tracking: #831804

Morgan Stanley Chief Equity Strategist Mike Wilson discusses his optimism in the markets going forward. Wilson spoke with Bloomberg's Lisa Abramowicz and Dani Burger.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Stocks on pace for their worst month since March after Nvidia's turn lower yesterday hit the AI trade:Carl Quintanilla, Leslie Picker, and David Faber kicked off the hour with fresh consumer data before breaking down the broader market picture with Cantor Fitzgerald's Chief Equity Strategist - and then diving into Google's gains with longtime tech analyst Brent Thill from Jefferies (who argues the bull trend for big tech remains intact). Plus: Harris-Oakmark's Bill Nygren joined the team with his top picks amid the volatility, and some names he says the market has "left behind".  Also in focus: The bitcoin breakdown - as prices fall below $85k and touch their lowest levels since April... The team discussed whether prices are close to bottoming here with Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan, who manages more than $15B in funds.  Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

This week on LPL Market Signals, LPL Research's Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist, and Dr. Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist describe last week's marginal gain in the S&P 500 as a surprise, discuss keys for markets in 2026, and preview a busy week ahead including earnings from NVIDIA (NVDA) and several key retailers, minutes from the October Fed meeting, and the September jobs report, albeit about five weeks late. Tracking: #826700

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, Jeffrey Buchbinder, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, and Adam Turnquist, LPL Research's Chief Technical Strategist, recap last week's tech-led gains for the stock market, cover major market-moving events, including big tech earnings, the Fed meeting, and Trump's meeting with China's President Xi, check the charts to look for cracks in the bull market rally, and preview the week ahead. Tracking: #820463

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Chief Economist, Dr. Jeffrey Roach, discuss the stock market's resilience despite the latest credit scare, share how private sector data shapes their economic outlook during the shutdown, and make the case that the credit markets remain healthy but richly valued. Tracking: #813798

LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Chief Technical Strategist, Adam Turnquist, recap Fed-fueled gains in stocks last week, assess the market's technical setup and the likelihood the record rally continues, and preview the week ahead. Tracking: #800223

In the latest Market Signals podcast, Jeffrey Buchbinder, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, and Dr. Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist, recap an up and down week for stocks, put September's historical weakness in perspective, provide an update on tariffs after Friday's important court decision, and preview the week ahead. Tracking: #790765

Jeffrey Buchbinder, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, and Kristian Kerr, Head of Macro Strategy, recap another positive week for stocks, share their market outlook, recap an excellent earnings season, and preview the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Tracking: #784573

In the latest Market Signals podcast, Jeffrey Buchbinder, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Dr. Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist, and Lawrence Gillum, Chief Fixed Income Strategist, share the team's outlook for the second half for the U.S. economy, equities, and fixed income as discussed in LPL's Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism–Measured Expectations. Next week's podcast will run through the rest of the report. Tracking: #764673

In the latest Market Signals podcast, Jeffrey Buchbinder, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, and Dr. Jeffrey Roach, LPL Research's Chief Economist, discuss what record highs may mean for stocks going forward, explain how investors might reconcile the stock market's strength against a mixed economic backdrop, make the case for a strategic allocation to international equities, and preview Thursday's jobs report. Tracking: #761970

In the latest Market Signals podcast, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist, and Lawrence Gillum, Chief Fixed Income Strategist, discuss the drivers of last week's stock market rally, intensifying headwinds in fixed income, and how Trump can still use tariffs despite last week's international trade court's ruling. Tracking: #748252

In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and LPL Research's Chief Technical Strategist, Adam Turnquist, discuss recent market performance, the technical setup for the S&P 500, and upcoming earnings. Tracking: #745392

Gina Martin Adams, Chief Equity Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, talks to Sungarden Investment Publishing's Rob Isbitts about investing, strategizing and the many paths of finance (1:15). Bloomberg MVP index. Momentum, volatility, valuations and profitability (8:30). Evolution of markets (17:00). Why valuations for biggest large caps are so high (24:45). Where should your capital be allocated? (36:20)Show Notes:Markets And Dividend Investing Are Evolving - How To Take AdvantageSmall Cap NuanceEpisode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

Carl Quintanilla, Sara Eisen, and Michael Santoli broke down the latest for stocks amid a slew of headlines out of Washington and Big Tech. President Trump speaking to House Republicans this morning to garner support for his “Big Beautiful Bill” – with particularly strong words around Medicare… More with one policy analyst warning: strap in for a bumpy ride. Plus: the implications for stocks with Stifel's Chief Equity Strategist - who's forecasting a lower S&P by year-end.  Meanwhile, Tesla shares gaining after new comments from CEO Elon Musk around political donations. The team broke it all down – in addition to headlines out of 2 other Mag-7 names: Google, kicking off their annual developers conference, and reports Amazon is might launch a “foldable phone”… In addition to fresh consumer commentary: from Home Depot's promise not to raise prices to what Sara's hearing on the ground at CNBC's CEO Council Summit. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and LPL Research's Chief Economist, Jeffrey Roach, discuss the news over the weekend that credit rating agency Moody's downgraded the U.S. credit rating. They also share some thoughts on the durability of U.S. exceptionalism. Tracking: #742191

In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and LPL Research's Chief Technical Strategist, Adam Turnquist, discuss prospects for the stock market's V-shaped recovery to hold after China tariff relief and evaluate whether market action has confirmed the latest breakout from a technical perspective. Tracking: # 738756

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In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Chief Technical Strategist, Adam Turnquist, talk about last week's rally on the pause in tariffs, share some charts suggesting that the market's bottom may have been set, and discuss why fair value on the S&P 500 may not be far from current index levels given trade uncertainty. Tracking: #720936

In the latest Market Signals podcast, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist, and Adam Turnquist, Chief Technical Strategist, recap a down week for stocks as tariff uncertainty ratcheted higher, assess the buy-the-dip opportunity based on market technicals, and provide some perspective on this week's much-anticipated “Liberation Day” announcements from the Trump Administration. Tracking: #716798

In the latest Market Signals podcast, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist, and Dr. Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist, recap a positive week for stocks in which the S&P 500 broke a four-week losing streak, helped by a reassuring message from the Federal Reserve (Fed) which walked a tightrope. They also discuss some potential policy tailwinds to the economy. Tracking: #710942

Another pause from the Fed when it comes to rates – alongside fresh commentary from Chair Jerome Powell: David Faber, Sara Eisen, and Michael Santoli discussed the latest for stocks top of the hour, including the Fed's new economic projections around inflation and GDP. Plus, Stifel's Chief Equity Strategist broke down what he's calling a temporary “Relief Rally” for markets – ahead of a possible slowdown into year-end – and Accenture CEO Julie Sweet talked enterprise demand for AI after new quarterly results from the company. Also in focus: Tesla on pace to add to its longest weekly losing streak ever, the 2 things Wedbush says CEO Elon Musk needs to do to get the stock back on track… A breakdown of headlines that the Boston Celtics have been sold for $6B+… And the Street's bull case for AI stocks – along with some key names to watch here. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder is joined by Chief Technical Strategist Adam Turnquist to recap a down week for stocks that could've been worse, discuss recent technical damage to the S&P 500 and explain why they would wait to buy the dip, recap fourth quarter earnings, and preview a busy week ahead. Tracking: #703657

On episode 180 of The Compound and Friends, Michael Batnick and Downtown Josh Brown are joined by Jim Lebenthal, Chief Equity Strategist and Partner at Cerity Partners to discuss: Nvidia earnings reaction, Apple's investments in America, tariffs and reshoring, Jim's favorite stocks, and much more! This episode is sponsored by Betterment. Grow your RIA your way: https://www.betterment.com/advisors Sign up for The Compound Newsletter and never miss out!: https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Instagram: https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Carl Quintanilla and Michael Santoli broke down another volatile morning for stocks as the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq all took a leg lower. Walmart a big drag across indices post-results after guidance came in below estimates – the team broke down fresh comments from the company's CFO with UBS Analyst Michael Lasser, who still calls the stock a buy here.  Plus - from DOGE checks to tax cuts, the desk got the latest from Washington – as Citi's Chief Equity Strategist warns there's more risk than reward when it comes to Trump's policies, at least in the near term.  Also within the hour: Carvana's CEO breaks down results sending shares lower, Eli Lilly's next big bets (and they're not weightloss drugs) and Oracle's CEO - live from the Future Investment Institute's Priority Conference in Miami with her outlook for AI.  Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist is joined by Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum to provide some perspective on the DeepSeek-driven market selloff, share some reassuring messages from the bond market, and preview a very busy week of economic data, central bank announcements and earnings reports. Tracking #687913

In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist, and Dr. Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist, discuss the latest move higher in interest rates, dissect Friday's jobs report, explain why the bull market deserves the benefit of the doubt after last week's selloff, and preview this week's economic calendar. Tracking #: 681641

In the latest Market Signals podcast, Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist, and Lawrence Gillum, Chief Fixed Income Strategist, discuss the lack of a Santa Claus rally, review LPL Research's winning and losing recommendations from 2024, and preview this week's jobs report. Tracking: #678156

To kick off year six of the Investors First Podcast, today's guest is Tom Lee. Tom is the Managing Partner and Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, with over 25 years of experience in equity research. Formerly J.P. Morgan's Chief Equity Strategist, he is a top-ranked strategist and you will frequently find him on CNBC. Lee holds a BS in Economics from the Wharton School and is a CFA charter holder. In this episode, we discuss where the S&P 500 will end up in 2025 and areas of the market Tom likes in 2025. Tom discusses bitcoin and how it should be valued relative to gold. We talk about AI and its impact on the market, but more importantly, the importance of ethics as it relates to AI. We also discuss DOGE (which hasn't been discussed since Truman in the 40's), why more basketball players should shoot free throws underhand, and how he developed the granny shots strategy. Today's hosts are Steve Curley, CFA (Co-Managing Principal at 55 North Private Wealth) & co-host Drew Papke, CFA (Director, Private Bank Investments at Fifth Third Bank). Please enjoy the episode. You can follow us on Twitter & LinkedIn or at investorsfirstpodcast.com Show Notes: · FundSrat: https://fundstrat.com · Complimentary Research: fsinsight.com · Granny Shots: https://fsinsight.com/members/stock-lists/?category=granny-shots-stock-list · Book rec: The Coming Wave (By: Mustafa Suleyman)

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, is joined by Chief Technical Strategist Adam Turnquist, as they discuss whether Santa Claus visited markets, review several charts to help assess when this latest pullback might find support, and highlight four keys to a strong stock market in 2025. Stocks moved lower Friday, putting the Santa Claus rally in jeopardy. The strategists discuss what a weak finish to the year could mean for January and 2025. Next, the strategists review some charts to help assess the latest technical damage and opine on how much further the latest sell-off may have to go. The strategists closed with a quick preview of the week ahead and the sparse economic calendar. Tracking: #675956

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, is joined by Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum, as they discuss the rare streak of negative market breadth readings, share their bond market outlook for 2025, and preview the week ahead featuring the last Federal Reserve meeting of 2024. Stocks pulled back modestly last week, but the biggest story was the 10-day streak of negative breadth readings. Gains in big tech stocks have helped support the S&P 500 Index in recent weeks, but the strategists point out that the lack of broad participation points to a tired rally. Next, the strategists discussed what fixed income investors could experience in 2025. While the Fed's rate-cutting cycle will influence longer-term rates, a still flat U.S. Treasury yield curve and elevated levels of Treasury supply expected next year could keep rates around current levels. However, income-oriented investors have a plethora of opportunities to build portfolios that can generate income levels in excess of 5%. The strategists close with a quick preview of this week's Fed meeting where the comments from Jerome Powell and the Committee may matter more to markets than the fully expected rate cut or updated economic forecasts. Tracking: #671737

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, is joined by Chief Technical Strategist Adam Turnquist, as they recap last week's strong bounce back for stocks, highlight the improving market breadth, and provide some perspective on market concentration. Stocks rose solidly last week, rising all five days. It wasn't about the mega-caps this week as a broadening out lifted large cap equity benchmarks. The strategists reviewed several charts and discussed how broad participation underpinned the latest breakout to new highs on the S&P 500. They highlight how this rotation has also been evident in small caps but note the current technical evidence does not yet support a shift toward sustainable outperformance of small caps over large caps. Given the uptick in interest rate volatility, they also discuss the technical setup for 10-year Treasury yields, including key support and resistance levels. Next, the strategists provide historical perspective on the high degree of concentration in the stock market today. The shift toward passive investments has been a big reason why. Concentration by itself isn't a reason for a market correction, but it could amplify an eventual selloff. The strategists wrap up with a preview of the week ahead. Minutes from the November Fed meeting, the Fed's preferred inflation metric, and a big batch of Treasury auctions will keep markets focused on interest rates. Tracking: #663336

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, is joined by Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Lawrence Gillum, as they recap last week's stock market decline, share some perspective on the latest bond market selloff, and highlight some things that may be different with Trump's trade policy this time around. Stocks fell last week, led down by healthcare and small caps. Markets were held back by rising rates after Federal Reserve Chair Powell indicated the Fed was in no hurry to raise rates, while the prospects for RFK Jr. as President-elect Trump's Healthcare Secretary rattled vaccine makers. Since the September 16 low, the 10-year Treasury yield is higher by over 0.80%. The bulk of the move higher is due to better economic data that has pushed out the need for aggressive rate cuts from the Fed. The strategists believe markets are better aligned with likely Fed cuts so, the bulk of the move higher in bond yields could be behind us. The strategists then put Trump's tariffs into perspective by looking back at how much of the so-called “tax” was paid by consumers and how much was absorbed by producers and international manufacturers. Tracking: #659651

In the latest Market Signals podcast, LPL Financial's Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Chief Economist, Dr. Jeffrey J. Roach, recap another positive week for stocks including more S&P 500 record highs, discuss whether the impact of China's stimulus moves might be lasting, explain why consumers are in good shape, and preview this week's jobs report. The S&P 500 has set 42 record highs now after the stock market's latest rally continued. The strategists highlighted strength in China-sensitive risk assets, including the materials sector and industrial metals, and outperformance of cyclical over defensive sectors. The strategists then discuss the flurry of stimulus announcements in China and the prospects for lasting impact on the growth outlook for the Chinese economy and its markets. After, the strategists walk through several data points to make the case that consumers remain in good shape and have a larger savings buffer than previously believed. Next, the strategists discuss some drivers of rising gold prices and assess prospects for the precious metal going forward. Lastly, the strategists preview the week ahead which includes the important and always much-anticipated monthly jobs report. Job gains below 100 thousand or above 200 thousand would likely be market moving. There are upside risks to the unemployment rate per reports from the Conference Board. LPL Research expects a quarter-point rate cut at each of the next two Fed meetings in November and December. Tracking: #637988

Tune in for our centennial celebration!In this special milestone episode, we're celebrating the 100th episode of Facts vs Feelings with a live audience and special guest Tom Lee, Managing Partner and Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. Together with hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, Tom discusses market outlooks, evolving investment strategies, and key economic trends shaping the future.What's next for the S&P 500? How do historical patterns and Fed actions impact today's market? And why should financial advisors pay close attention to demographic trends and Bitcoin? Tom Lee offers his bold predictions, including the path to S&P 15,000 and the evolving role of Bitcoin in investment portfolios.They discuss: Tom's bold prediction: S&P 500 reaching 15,000 by 2030The impact of demographic trends on long-term market cyclesNavigating short-term volatility, particularly in September and OctoberInsights into Bitcoin's potential and its role in a diversified portfolioThe Federal Reserve's rate cuts and their influence on market outlookStrategies for small-cap stocks in a shifting economyAnd more!Resources:Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com Connect with Tom Lee: X: Tom LeeWebsite: FundstratConnect with Ryan Detrick: LinkedIn: Ryan DetrickX: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu Varghese: LinkedIn: Sonu VargheseX: Sonu VargheseAbout Our Guest:Thomas Lee is a Managing Partner and the Head of Research at Fundstrat Global Advisors. He is an accomplished Wall Street strategist with over 25 years of experience in equity research, and has been top-ranked by Institutional Investor every year since 1998. Prior to co-founding Fundstrat, he served as J.P. Morgan's Chief Equity Strategist from 2007 to 2014, and previously as Managing Director at Salomon Smith Barney. His areas of expertise include Market Strategy, Small/Mid-Cap Strategy and Telecom Services. Mr. Lee received his BSE from the Wharton School at University of Pennsylvania with concentrations in Finance and Accounting. He is a CFA charterholder and is an active member of NYSSA and the NY Economic Club.

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL Financials' Chief Equity Strategist, Jeff Buchbinder, and Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Lawrence Gillum discuss the S&P 500 Index's value-led rally to near record highs, some implications of the U.S. debt problem, and September seasonality. Tracking #622972

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder and Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum share their thoughts on the global market selloff, identify several factors they are watching to monitor the market's progress toward putting in a durable low, and share some important messages from the bond market. Tracking #611587

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Chief Economist, Dr. Jeffrey Roach, discuss the significant rotation from technology to small caps recently, assess the potential effects of a Trump-Harris matchup on the “Trump trade”, analyze the election through an economic lens, and preview some important economic data due out this week. Tracking #605658

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, Chief Equity Strategist, Jeffrey Buchbinder, and Chief Technical Strategist, Adam Turnquist, discuss some potential market implications of the attempted assassination of former President Trump that has given him a boost in the polls. The strategists also share thoughts on the big market rotation last week and preview the week ahead. Tracking # 603114

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, LPL Research's Jeffrey Buchbinder, Chief Equity Strategist and Adam Turnquist Chief Technical Strategist, recap a choppy, news-heavy week for stocks, discuss several changes to LPL Research's sector views, highlight some key charts, and provide some summertime seasonality statistics. Tracking #586930

Our CIO and Chief Equity Strategist discusses the continued uncertainty in the markets, and how investors are now looking at earnings growth and improving valuations.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll be talking about the risk of higher interest rates and equity valuations. It's Monday, March 18th at 11:30 am in New York. So let's get after it.Long term interest rates peaked in October of last year and coincided with the lows in equities. The rally began with the Treasury's guidance for less coupon issuance than expected. This surprise occurred at a time when many bond managers were short duration. When combined with the Fed's fourth quarter policy shift, there was a major squeeze in bonds. As a result, 30-year Treasury bonds returned 19 per cent over the October-December 2023 period, beating the 14 per cent return in the S&P 500. Nearly all of the equity return over this period was attributable to higher valuations tied to the fall in interest rates.Fast forward to this year, and the story has been much different. Bond yields have risen considerably as investors took profits on longer term bonds, and the Fed walked back several of the cuts that had been priced in for this year. The flip side is that the growth data has been weaker in aggregate which argues for lower rates. Call it a tug of war between weaker growth and higher inflation than expected.There is also the question of supply which continues to grow with the expanded budget deficit. From an equity standpoint, the rise in interest rates this year has not had the typically negative effect on valuations. In other words, equity investors appear to have moved past the Fed, inflation and rates – and are now squarely focused on earnings growth that the consensus expects to considerably improve. As noted in prior podcasts, the consensus earnings per share (EPS) growth estimates for this year are high, and above our expectations – in the context of sticky cost structures and falling pricing power as fiscal spend crowds out both labor and capital for the average company. In our view, this crowding out is one reason why fundamentals and performance have remained relatively muted outside of the large cap, quality winners. We have been expecting a broadening out in leadership to other large cap/quality stocks away from tech and communication services; and recently that has started to happen. Strong breadth and improving fundamentals support our relative preference for Industrials within broader cyclicals.Other areas of relative strength more recently include Energy, Materials and Utilities. Some of this is tied to the excitement over Artificial Intelligence and the impact that will have on power consumption. The end result is lower valuations for the index overall as investors rotate from the expensive winners in technology to laggards that are cheaper and may do better in an environment with higher commodity prices. Thanks for listening. Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen --and leave us a review. We'd love to hear from you.