Podcasts about sp500

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The Pilot Money Guys
Flight #43: With Dimensional Fund Advisors, Vice President Apollo Lupescu

The Pilot Money Guys

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 60:33


Information about today's podcast: Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA) - https://us.dimensional.com/ “The assets we(DFA)manage represent more than shares in a portfolio.  That money represents the savings, sacrifice, and dreams that investors have entrusted to us. We take this responsibility seriously. Founded in 1981, Dimensional has a long history of applying academic research to practical investing. We offer a full range of equity and fixed income strategies designed to target higher expected returns.”   Apollo Lupescu, PhD, Vice President, Dimensional Fund Advisors: Apollo Lupescu is vice president at Dimensional Fund Advisors, one of the premier investment managers in the world, managing around $650 billion in assets. He is a nationally and internationally recognized speaker who has delivered hundreds of lectures and seminars to financial professionals and individual investors on various investment topics. Apollo is considered “secretary of explaining stuff”, because he has a knack for explaining complicated issues in a clear and understandable way. Apollo has been with Dimensional in Santa Monica for over 18 years, and prior to that he taught at the University of California. Apollo also served in a variety of roles with the US Department of State, from which he formed his own consulting firm, Apollo Consulting Group. He received his PhD in economics and finance from UC Santa Barbara. Apollo also holds a BA in economics from Michigan State University, where he competed and coached water polo. Rumor has it that even to this day he is still playing, and more recently he is not only in the pool, but also learning how to surf in the ocean.   Top Investor Myths... Common Questions & Lessons Learned: What does the evidence tell us about what to do in down markets? What do our innate biases tell us to do and why are they the opposite? 1. Myth -Successful advisors need to “time the market.” Common Question: “Clearly, the stock market is going down and going to get worse, why not just go to cash...?” The idea that an investor wants to avoid downturns in the market is an understandable and reasonable response. The challenge in the execution.  Most of the time, it turns into a bigger loss and more stress than staying invested. In summary, mistiming the market comes with punishing consequences.   From our experience, when someone sells their equity positions to relieve stress, they simply replace the stress of being in the market with the stress of being out of the market and wondering when they should get back in. There is no magic signal. In other words, they exchange one stress for another.  We miss the best days in the market... therefore “portfolio performance could be decimated.”  See JPMorgan “The Case For (Always) Staying Invested”https://www.jpmorgan.com/wealth-management/wealth-partners/insights/the-case-for-always-staying-invested#infographic-text-version-uniqId1663780633203 This chart shows the annualized performance of a $10,000 investment made between January 2002 and January 2022. A fully invested investment returned 9.4% or $60,253. When the investor missed the10 best days, the return is 5.21% or $27,604. When the investor missed the 20 best days, the return is 2.51% or $16,414. Finally, when the investor missed the 30 best days, the return is 0.32% or $10,651. An added fact is that seven of the 10 best days occurred within 15 days of the 10 worst days. 2. Myth - The Fed funds rate changes and impacts on bonds and stock returns. Common Question: “So, the Fed raises rates because the economy is strong enough to stand on its own and the stock market tanks? That doesn't make sense?” The expectations of the Fed's actions, commitment, and plan to fight inflation are very important.  For example, if consumers, employers, and investors believe inflation is here to stay, then in many ways, it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. If we have confidence and believe the Fed is going to take strong action to fight inflation, then people's behaviors (spending patterns) will fall in line with those expectations as well. What does recent history tell us about stock market (S&P500) performance and rising interest rate environments? Rising interest rates can and will cause short-term pain in the economy and sometimes the stock market. However, in the most recent rising rate environments the stock market has been up. From January 2000 to December 2021, five out of six years of rising interest rates the market did not drop. As an investor, “...it is critical to remember that the stock market is about purchasing ownership in public companies. And the value of the ownership depends on the profits that the company expects to make. And we'll come back to this because it is a crucial concept. If you think in terms of the value of a company like Apple, Google, Facebook, you name it, Coca-Cola, etc., it is tied to the profits that they make. The question is, is the federal funds rate a primary variable that you can link directly to the profits of the company, and are they tied directly into what that interest rate does? And what the data seems to suggest is that it is quite likely that the fed fund rate does have some impact on the profits of a company, but there does not seem to be a primary connection there that you could say, if interest rates go up, profits go down.” ~Apollo Lupescu 3. Myth -Politics and the market (the President controls the markets) Common question or comment: “If X president was in office, we would not be in this mess.” The economy and the markets become an extension of investors' emotions related to their personal politics. It is important to have personal values and political points of view; however, most investing decisions need to be data-driven. Being careful to differentiate between personal emotional biases and what the data tells us. For example: Is there an obvious pattern that would tell you that having a Republican or a Democrat is better or worse for the markets? Is there evidence to suggest which political party fared better? When you look at the historical data, it is not clear that having one president, or another is better or worse for the markets. “...In fact, President George W.Bush was extremely business-friendly, and cut taxes, specifically on investments. And yet during the eight years that he was in office, the market dropped. Should he be blamed for that? My answer is, absolutely not because 9-11 happened just as he came into office...” ~Apollo Lupescu Listen to the podcast to hear how the stock market performed when Republicans had a unified government (controlled the White House, the Senate and Congress) versus when the Democrats had a unified government.    Bonus: What is the difference between Index Funds (Indexing) and the investment approach used by Dimensional Fund Advisors? What emerged in the 1970s, With the advent of computers and more rigorous data was a different way to think about investing. And the idea back then was that, okay, well, let's look at these companies. There might not be any reason why not to hold them, so let's consider them. But the idea was that instead of trying to understand the behavior of these companies and form an expectation about these companies by themselves, the idea was to create a different way of looking...And the idea is that as an investor, you want to understand not the stock itself, as much as the category to which it belongs. An idea that became known as asset-class investing. 

JSEDirect with Simon Brown
Go where the money is (#516)

JSEDirect with Simon Brown

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2022 18:41


fff Go where the money is The Fini15 (JSE code: STXFIN*) is the only green index so far in 2022 and the strongest bank YTD? Absa (JSE code: ABG). Simon takes us through the journey of finding the strongest sectors and then the strongest shares to find a trade where the money is. Simon Shares Niche JSE listed property stocks, there are a bunch of them and they're mostly looking good. Famous Brands (JSE code: FBR) results are back at pre-pandemic levels. MTBPS Buy triggers on Nasdaq and S&P500 My lazy system has triggered buys on both S&P500 and Nasdaq. A close above last night's close and I'll be long pic.twitter.com/8HAisLdPZr — Simon Brown (@SimonPB) October 26, 2022   * I hold ungeared positions.

Cashflow Ninja
748: Louis O' Connor: How To Profit From Scarcity & Growth With Strategic Metals

Cashflow Ninja

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 17, 2022 46:29


My guest in this episode is Louis O' Connor. Louis is the Founder, and Principal of Strategic Metals Invest. We are the only industry supplier in the world to offer private investors the option to purchase and profit from owning Strategic Metals. The investment play is exactly the same paradigm as investing in Precious Metals, instead the investor is purchasing Strategic Metals. Strategic Metals have outperformed Gold (58%) , FTSE100 (3%), and S&P500 (112%) consistently for the past 5 years with a 175% average return for the same period. Right now, in North America the only obstacle to investors profiting from owning Rare Earths is that they don't know they can. We are Europe based, providing North American clients portfolio with much needed geographic diversification. Interview Links: Strategic Metals Invest https://strategicmetalsinvest.com/ Episode Sponsors: Producers Wealth: Create Your Own Banking System In 30 Days Or Less www.producerswealth.com Pantheon Investments: Build holistic wealth to achieve financial freedom in any economy www.pantheoninvest.com The Real Asset Investor: Build Wealth With Higher Yield Cash Flow www.therealassetinvestor.com Strategic Metals Invest: Invest In Rare Earth Elements & Technology Metals www.strategicmetalsinvest.com Penumbra Solutions: Buy Your Equity Like Institutions With Life Settlements www.thepenumbraplan.com  - password “penumbra” Producers Capital Partners: Multiply Capital Through Alternative Investments  www.producerscapitalpartners.com Lavish Keys: Your Turnkey Solution For Luxury Short Term Rentals www.lavishkeys.com Grab My Book: The 21 Best Cashflow Niches™: www.cashflowninja.com/21niches Connect With Us: Website: http://cashflowninja.com Podcast: http://cashflowinvestingsecrets.com Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/cashflowninja/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/mclaubscher Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thecashflowninja/ Pinterest: https://www.pinterest.com/mclaubscher/cashflow-ninja/ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mclaubscher/ Youtube: http://www.youtube.com/c/Cashflowninja Bitchute: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/cashflowninja/ Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-329875 Odysee: https://odysee.com/@Cashflowninja:9 Gab Tv: https://tv.gab.com/channel/cashflowninja Brighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/cashflowninja Parler: https://parler.com/profile/cashflowninja/ Gettr: https://gettr.com/user/mclaubscher Gab: https://gab.com/cashflowninja Minds: https://www.minds.com/cashflowninja Biggerpockets: https://www.biggerpockets.com/users/mclaubscher Medium: https://medium.com/@mclaubscher Substack: https://mclaubscher.substack.com/

Novus Capital
NovusCast - 14 de Outubro 2022

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2022 18:57


Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Tomás Goulart e Yara Cordeiro debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠No cenário internacional, foi divulgada a inflação americana de setembro, que veio bem acima da esperada; os dados de sentimento de Michigan, que também trouxeram expectativas mais elevadas para os preços; a ata do FOMC e houve comunicação de diversos membros do Fed. No Reino Unido, o banco central (BoE) reforçou o encerramento do período de concessão de liquidez adicional, o ministro das Finanças foi demitido, e houve indicação da primeira-ministra, Liz Truss, de que haveria revisão de alguns pontos do plano fiscal anunciado. Na China, na contramão do que era esperado, há novas sinalizações de política de Covid zero; e a semana começou com notícias piores a respeito da guerra entre Rússia e Ucrânia. No Brasil, foi divulgada a inflação de setembro (-0,29%), que trouxe uma boa composição, com recuo dos preços e núcleos menos pressionados; e a PMS (serviços) demonstrou avanço além do esperado. No cenário eleitoral não tivemos grandes novidades, os trackings estão convergindo e a disputa se mantém acirrada. ⁠ ⁠A semana foi caracterizada por altíssima volatilidade nos preços dos ativos. Nos EUA, as bolsas fecharam em queda – S&P500 -1,55%, Nasdaq -3,15%; o juro curto (1 ano) abriu 24 bps, atingindo seu máximo de precificação, enquanto o 10 anos abriu 14 bps. O juro de 30 anos inglês abriu 39 bps, e o petróleo caiu 7,59%. No Brasil, o Ibovespa teve 3,7% de queda, e o juro de 2027 abriu 25 bps. Na próxima semana teremos dados de atividade, mercado imobiliário e emprego nos EUA, será importante observar o desempenho dos ativos no Reino Unido e, no final de semana, teremos, no Brasil, o primeiro debate para o segundo turno presidencial, e, na China, será iniciado o Congresso do Partido Comunista. ⁠ ⁠⁠Não deixe de acompanhar pra ficar por dentro do que rolou na semana e o que esperar da próxima!⁠ ⁠⁠

Morgans AM
Friday, 14 October 2022: US equity markets staged a huge intrasession rebound to settle sharply higher

Morgans AM

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2022 6:02


US equity markets staged a huge intrasession rebound to settle sharply higher despite another hit inflation report - Dow soared +828-points or +2.83% to 30,038.72, logging the largest one day percentage gain since 9 November, 2020 after recovering from an earlier decline of as much as -550-points. It marked the first time on record that the Dow has risen at least 800 points in the same trading day that it was down at least 500 points at its low, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan rose +3.98% and +5.56%, respectively. The broader S&P500 +2.60%, with Financials (up +4.14%) and Energy (+4.08%) both rising over >4% to lead all eleven primary sectors higher. The index recorded its widest trading range since March 2020 and fifth largest intra-day reversal in its history. The Nasdaq +2.23%. Netflix Inc gained +5.27% after the streaming company said it will charge US$6.99 for its ad-supported subscriptions. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co injected some much needed optimism into the chip sector after the company not only reported that net income nearly doubled from a year ago, as revenue surged nearly 50%, but also forecast a “flattish” outlook that still exceeded the Street consensus at the time. The news lifted the PHLX Semiconductor Index SPX +2.60%, with Advanced Micro Devices Inc up +1.88%, Intel Corp +4.30%, and Nvidia Corp +4.00%. The small capitalisation Russell 2000 rallied +2.41%.

The Flying Frisby
Gold: the disconnect between the price and what is happening in the physical markets

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2022 6:27


Today we turn our attention to the physical gold markets.There is, as veteran dealer Ross Norman of Metals Daily puts it, a “disconnect between the gold price and what is happening in the physical markets.”“Our biggest challenge,” says Joshua Saul of the Pure Gold Company, “is finding enough stock on a daily basis to sell. There is a long line of demand, but very little supply. There's more demand than at the height of Covid.”These situations don't occur very often, but they do occur. The gold price is falling, but demand for physical gold is highI remember 2008 like it was yesterday. Gold cratered along with everything else in the second half of that year. It lost around 30% – falling from north of $1,000/oz to $720/oz. The mining companies fell by a lot more.Yet there was a scramble in the physical gold markets. Bullion dealers had never been so busy. The general public were rushing to get their money “outside the system” into an asset that was nobody else's liability. Gold would later turn up long before most other assets. November was the low, while the S&P500 carried on lower until the following March. But the fact was there was a scramble to buy physical gold even as the price was falling.It happens. “Coins and bars,” says Norman, “are just a subset of a much bigger industry.” That industry includes the futures markets, exchange traded funds, institutional buying and selling, central bank buying and selling and, of course, jewellery. Ordinary investors may look at the state of the world and think, “I need to buy some gold”. They may be doing that at unprecedented levels. But that is not enough to balance out institutional investors who are, says Norman, “selling three to ten tonnes a day.”As I say, these disconnects do happen, but they don't necessarily last.The US dollar has stolen the showIt's all about the US dollar, as we have been saying on these pages for many months. In the year to date, gold is up around 13% in sterling. That's an almost stellar return compared to stock and bond markets. But against the dollar it's down some 8%. How long does the dollar stay so strong? That's the question we must ask ourselves. On current form, a while longer it would seem.Norman, who has an extraordinarily good forecasting record, agrees. “The rampant dollar looks like it might be here for a while,” he says.You don't need to look further than US interest rates relative to European interest rates and US energy dependency relative to Europe's, to understand why we are where we are.“Never in my career did I think we'd see the circumstances we are now in and gold behaving like it is,” says Norman. “It's extraordinary. The dollar has stolen the show. But nuclear war is a real possibility!”Gold, by the way, will survive a nuclear explosion, and none of the three types of radiation that follow – alpha, beta and gamma – will affect it.Smart investors are still buying gold bullionBut one of the few bright spots in this market is what Norman calls “the literate investor” who continues to support it.Saul of Pure Gold makes a similar observation. His company makes a point of talking to clients as they buy and sell, to understand their motivations. As a result, they build up a lot of qualitative data.“Everyone's looking to protect their wealth in a time when things are really uncertain”. But there have been two notable trends he has observed.First, there has been a notable increase in buyers from the financial world. “Traders, investment bankers, financial services, accountants, lawyers – they've been buying large sums. I find this notable: “Their trade sizes are bigger. The median trade size is probably three times bigger than it was a year ago – and during Covid.”Saul says many of them are worried about what is going on behind the scenes at the banks. “These are considered investments, where there is a lack of alternatives.”The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Money is moving out of property and in to goldThe second notable trend is the exodus of money from real estate – whether commercial or residential.“Property investors normally like to remain liquid, so they have cash on hand ready for the next deal. Buy-to-let landlords, commercial landlords, people who buy big buildings and let out floor by floor, developers. Companies and individuals. A lot of them have a lot of cash. They have an appetite for debt, but the increased cost of debt, plus the possibility that the underlying asset will fall in value means there is too much risk for them. They're now parking that cash in physical gold.”“We are also seeing a growing amount of people with properties on the market, who when their property sells will move their capital into gold. Many are removing their exposure to debt that they might have taken two or three years ago.”What we are seeing then is capital flowing from finance and from real estate into gold. I find that telling. Thank you for reading The Flying Frisby. This post is public so feel free to share it.China is driving demand for gold bullionThere's a shortage of physical metal. Premiums are higher than normal, as a result. But that is not deterring buyers. Guess where premiums are highest? Yup, China.That's where the demand for gold bullion is highest.“As much as $50 over spot in some places,” says Norman. “Normally arbitrage irons this out, but that's not happening.”The trend of gold making its way from West to East continues.Here in the West, on the ground, there is a scramble for physical gold that you would not know to look at the gold price. It won't last. It never does.The technicals for gold do not look great at all; it's in a downtrend. That cup-and-handle formation that had us so excited earlier in the year looks like it may have been invalidated. As in 2008, gold looks like it might need to go lower before it goes higher. But at grass roots level there is a lot of smart money buying physical gold. Somebody has got this wrong. The question is, “who?”If you are looking to buy physical gold – coins or bars – let me recommend The Pure Gold Company in London, with whom I have an affiliation deal. You can take delivery or store it safely allocated to you in vaults in safe jurisdictions. The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit frisby.substack.com/subscribe

Grand Theft Life
#164 - Naval on Putins Incentive, Canadas New Business Booster Grant and Warren Buffets Trick To Spotting Trends

Grand Theft Life

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 12, 2022 59:41


Listen in podcast app* Earnings Season Has Begun - What to look for* Midterms impact stock returns* Naval On Putin and Ukraine's Nuclear War* How Warren Buffet Spots Trends* When Should You Buy a Car - It's coming and coming quick* Boost Your Business - Canadian Technology Grant* Sports Topics - Tyreek Hill and Pomp on EPL* RecommendationsListen on Apple, Spotify, or Google Podcasts.If you aren't in the Reformed Millennials Facebook Group join us for daily updates, discussions, and deep dives into the investable trends Millennials should be paying attention to.

Morgans AM
Wednesday, 12 October 2022: The S&P500 and Nasdaq extended declines into a fifth consecutive session

Morgans AM

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 11, 2022 8:34


The S&P500 and Nasdaq extended declines into a fifth consecutive session following choppy trading, pulled lower in part by the announcement from the Bank of England (BoE) that it would end its emergency intervention in the UK bond market by Friday (14 October) - Dow added +36-points or +0.12%, paring an earlier session rally of as much as +400-points. Amgen Inc paced gains for the Dow with a +5.72% gain, with the biotechnology company buoyed by an upgrade to an “overweight” recommendation (US$279 target price) by analysts at Morgan Stanley. Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc rose +2.42% after the company said it has accelerated its plans to buy full ownership of CareCentrix, acquiring the remaining 45% stake for US$392M. The broader S&P500 fell -0.65% to 3,588.84, settling within 0.1% of its 30 September 2022 closing low of 3,585.62. Communication Services (down -1.64%) and Information Technology (-1.52%) both fell over >1.5% to lead seven of the eleven primary sectors lower. Real Estate (up +1.02%) and Consumer Staples (+0.93%) were the leading primary sector performers overnight. The Nasdaq dropped -1.10% to 10,426.19, logging its lowest close since 28 July, 2020. Meta Platforms Inc (down -3.92%) and Netflix Inc (-6.82%) were both under notable pressure, with both stocks having dropped more than >60% year to date. Chipmakers also saw fresh selling, with the PHLX Semiconductor Index dropping -2.5%. Advanced Micro Devices Inc lost -0.31%, and Nvidia Corp -0.72% The small capitalisation Russell 2000 inched +0.06% higher.

Morgans AM
Monday, 10 October 2022: US equity markets booked steep losses on Friday (7 October)

Morgans AM

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2022 5:57


US equity markets booked steep losses on Friday (7 October), with the decline accelerating in the final hour of the session as investors digested the latest jobs report, which is anticipated to reinforce the Federal Reserve's resolve to keep tightening monetary policy - Dow fell -630-points or -2.11% to 29,296.79, touching an intra- session low of 29,142.66. The broader S&P500 shed -2.80%, with ~94% of index constituents settling in the red. Information Technology (down -4.14%) led all eleven primary sectors lower, with Consumer Discretionary (-3.54%), Communication Services (-2.84%) and Materials (-2.54%) all falling over >2.5%. Energy (down -0.72%) was yet again the best performing sector on a relative basis. The Nasdaq tumbled -3.80%. The PHLX Semiconductor Index fell -6.06% on Friday (7 October), closing at its lowest level since early November 2020 and recording its third 6%+ one-day drop of the year after the U.S. Department of Commerce expanded its list of chip technology that requires a license to be sold to China. News of the ban came on the heels of Advanced Micro Devices Inc (down -13.87%) cutting its already conservative forecast because a drop in PC sales after two years of pandemic-driven sales appears worse than feared. Intel Corp fell 5.37%, Nvidia Corp -8.03%, and Texas Instruments Inc -4.36%. Meta Platforms Inc (down -4.04%) holds its annual ‘Connect' event on Tuesday night AEST (11 October) showcasing new augmented and virtual reality products, including the much touted headset codenamed Project Cambria. The small capitalisation Russell 2000 lost -2.87%.

FidelityConnects
Jurrien Timmer's global macro view – October 3, 2022

FidelityConnects

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2022 30:06


We're now in the fourth quarter of 2022. Markets continue to bounce between green and red, continuing last quarters trends, which saw the S&P500 fall to its lowest levels in September since March 2020. We're joined again today by Director of Global Macro, Jurrien Timmer, for his global macro and markets update, as we look ahead to earnings season, the next Fed meeting, and what else is on the horizon globally to impact markets. As stocks aim for a rebound, what can we expect from this earnings season? Among other insights shared today with host Pamela Ritchie, Jurrien believes we're starting to get indications that we're getting closer to the end of this decline, than we have been so far. Jurrien will be sharing his charts so please head to @TimmerFidelity on Twitter to follow along. Recorded on October 3, 2022. At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information. For the second year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked the #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2022 Environics' Advisor Digital Experience Study.

Novus Capital
NovusCast - 07 de Outubro 2022

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2022 16:02


Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Sarah Campos e Yara Cordeiro debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠No cenário internacional, foram divulgados importantes dados de emprego nos EUA: no começo da semana, o relatório JOLTS mostrou queda significativa no número de vagas abertas mas, no final da semana, o Payroll reafirmou a força do mercado de trabalho americano, apesar da queda marginal na taxa de participação. A atividade por lá também segue sustentada, conforme observado na divulgação dos ISMs. Na Austrália, o banco central (RBA) se reuniu e elevou o juro em 25 bps, menos que o esperado pelo mercado. Por fim, a OPEC anunciou corte de produção de 2 milhões de barris/dia. ⁠ No Brasil, o principal acontecimento foi o 1º turno das eleições, que chamou atenção por, principalmente, 2 fatores: (i) o resultado bem mais apertado do que se esperava nas pesquisas, que subestimaram o alcance do presidente Bolsonaro; (ii) a composição do Congresso, com o atual mandatário e seu partido elegendo muitos candidatos. Além disso, também foram divulgados diversos dados de atividade (comércio, indústria, produção de veículos, PMIs) que trouxeram sinais de que os primeiros efeitos da apertada política monetária estão sendo sentidos. ⁠A semana começou bastante positiva no exterior, mas tal cenário foi revertido. Nos EUA, o S&P500 fechou em +1,51%, e o Nasdaq em +0,62%; o juro de 10 anos, que teve forte fechamento, terminou abrindo 5 bps; e o petróleo subiu 16,54%. No Brasil foi diferente, a bolsa (Ibovespa) subiu 5,76%, o real valorizou 4,08% e o juro longo (jan/27) fechou 20 bps. ⁠ Na próxima semana teremos dados de inflação no Brasil e nos EUA. ⁠⁠Não deixe de acompanhar pra ficar por dentro do que rolou na semana e o que esperar da próxima!⁠ ⁠⁠

The Kuderna Podcast
How Does the Stock Market Perform During a Recession?

The Kuderna Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2022 29:35


There have been ten recessions since the S&P500 was created.  Bryan Kuderna analyzes the current economy, the Fed response to inflation, and how the stock market has historically performed in similar periods.

Morgans AM
Friday, 7 October 2022: US equity markets retreated ahead of tonight's AEST key jobs figures

Morgans AM

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 4:43


US equity markets retreated ahead of tonight's AEST key jobs figures and as Treasury yields continued to climb - Dow fell -347-points or -1.15%, The broader S&P500 -1.02%, with Utilities (down -3.30%) and Real Estate (-3.20%) both dropping over >3% to lead ten of the eleven primary sectors lower. However, the Energy sector extended its relative outperformance into a fourth straight session, up +1.82%. The Nasdaq -0.68%. The small capitalisation Russell 2000 lost -0.58%.

The Flying Frisby
Is that it, then? Is the bear market over?

The Flying Frisby

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 5:11


We've seen incredible rallies across the board this week.After a worrying sell-off late in the day and into the close on Friday, the Dow and S&P500 all both took off on Monday, rallying by over 3%. They then followed through with gains of another 3% on Tuesday.The Nasdaq was up by even more.Given that tech was so totally beaten up, I guess the bigger rally is no surprise. You could apply the same logic to precious metals. Silver, sold down into the abyss, rose by eight and a half percent on Monday. The call for a multi-week rally in silver is looking good.Even the once internationally sought-after currency that is sterling has seen a barnstormer. A week ago everyone was talking about parity with the US dollar. It was all over the headlines (which usually means it's time to take the other side of the trade). Even Turkey's President Erdogan, with a display of hypocritical chutzpah that would capture the admiration of even the most duplicitous of tyrants, was deriding it. It has “blown up”, he said. He's not been looking in the forex mirror lately at his own lira, it seems.Sterling went from $1.03 almost to $1.15.What we're looking at is a typical short squeezeI want this bear market over as much as you probably do, and I hate to go all prophet of doom on you, but these kinds of rip roaring rebounds are just that: rebounds. They are not so typical of bull markets.Let me give you some depressing stats. 1929, 1931, 1932 and 1933 were among the worst years of in US stockmarket history. Famously so. Yet, on a percentage basis, the ten biggest rallies in the Dow Jones Industrial Average i n the first half of the 20th century all took place in those years.Prior to this decade, the best days in the stockmarket since 1950 were, says JC Parets of All Star Charts, in 1987, 2002, 2008 & 2009. Again, 2009 aside, not a great time to buy stocks.These kinds of spikes are not typical of bull markets. That's not to say they don't happen in bull markets, but they are more typical of bear markets. Bull markets tend to grind higher. Increased volatility, heightened fear and risk, big up days and big down days, short squeezes: these are all things you see in bear markets.Indeed, it's a typical short squeeze. There have been lots of sellers. There are lots of people with big bets that prices will continue falling – a lot of shorts – and suddenly there are no more sellers in this crowded market. As the price turns, the shorts quickly cover their positions – which means there are suddenly lots of buyers – and the market rockets higher. It's the sudden and rapid covering of positions that causes the spike up.Of course, sometimes you get these spikes at the final low. March 2009 was one example. March 2020, at the height of the Corona panic, was another. The problem is that on the way to that final low there have been many such up days and down days, so, in real time, you don't actually know which this is the final one.“From false moves come fast moves in the opposite direction” is a phrase you may have heard me utter on these pages several times. Friday's move down was one such example. A break down to new lows, below the June lows, everyone thinks we are going lower. Rumours are flying about. There's an emergency meeting of the Federal Reserve Bank on Monday. Credit Suisse is going under. The implications of this are bigger than Lehman in 2008. Then the market turns around and rips everybody's faces off.Rip-roaring up-days are are normal for bear marketsAs I write now, most markets have turned down again – though at present it looks more like consolidation action after the gains of the last couple of days.Here's the S&P500 over the past year. Just look how many rip roaring up-days there have been in 2022, and yet it has been a horrible year for longs.An obvious magnet for this move is that falling blue trend line just around 4,010. Another potential target would be the 3,850-3,900 area.I've also shown that false move from which this fast move has come: the break below that dashed blue line which marks the June lows. What do you think? Is the final low or have got more bear market action to come?Price action tends to set the narrative, and the stockmarket tends to lead the broader economy, so even if you are of the mind that this economic downturn is not over, the stockmarket can still quite easily go higher. We are going into a good seasonal period for stocks. There's probably too much pessimism about. We have the US mid-term elections in a month, which will give us a better idea of where things are going politically. I'll change my opinions as events develop. I always do. We all do. But for now I think the likelihood is that this is a bear market rally.And, as for silver, I don't think this is the beginning of the big kahuna to $50. Low- to mid-20s is my target.And if you happen to be in the Louisiana neck of the woods next week, or fancy a trip, I'll be speaking at the New Orleans Investment Conference, which runs from October 12-15, at the Hilton New Orleans Riverside. There are lots of big names on - Rick Rule, James Grant, George Gammon, Jim Rickards, Doug Casey and many more besides. Come and say hi!The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit frisby.substack.com/subscribe

Bourse | Cryptos : Investissement et Trading au quotidien
Trader plus ou Trader mieux ? Aujourd'hui, ce que je vais faire.

Bourse | Cryptos : Investissement et Trading au quotidien

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 20:20


Achats sur repli est la stratégie de la semaine, pour accompagner le mouvement de marché qui est haussier depuis le début de la semaine. Stratégie simple, et pourtant que beaucoup ont du mal à appliquer car ne se font pas confiance. Demain il y a le NFP, alors que faire aujourd'hui ? Trader plus ou Trader mieux ? Attention à l'overtrading, à s'imposer de respecter sa méthode et ses plans ... sans émotion. Excellent Jeudi à tous ! ----------------------------- Tous les matins en Podcast, je décrypte l'actualité économique, les marchés et Cryptos, et partage mes stratégies de Trading et d'Investissement. Où me trouver ? : les dimanches à 10h00 pour le Débrief Hebdo sur ma chaine Youtube : InteractivTrading les mardis soir sur Twitch tous les jours sur InteractivTrading sur Twitter MERCI à toutes celles et ceux qui notent 5⭐ ce Podcast, vraiment ! Soutenez-nous !

Morgans AM
Thursday, 6 October 2022: US equity markets settled with modest losses

Morgans AM

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 5, 2022 4:44


US equity markets settled with modest losses despite a big reversal in the final hour of the trading session as Treasury yields resumed their march higher - Dow slipped -42-points or -0.14%, reversing an earlier decline of as much as -430-points. The broader S&P500 eased -0.20%, with Utilities (down -2.25%) and Real Estate (-1.90%) leading eight of the eleven primary sectors lower. Energy (up +2.06%) sat atop the primary sector leaderboard for a third straight session, with Exxon Mobil Corp rallying +4.04%. The Information Technology and Health Care sectors advanced +0.36% and +0.33% respectively. Cruise line stocks retreated after getting an initial boost from news that Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (down -0.75%) will suspend all COVID-19 testing, masking and vaccination requirements from Tuesday next week (11 October). Carnival Corp fell -4.25%. The Nasdaq settled -0.25% lower. The small capitalisation Russell 2000 lost -0.74%.

5 minuti di finanza
5mf_puntata 108_la cina e gli altri fattori rialzisti per il petrolio

5 minuti di finanza

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 5, 2022 19:11


In questo episodio affronto i fattori rialzisti del prezzo del petrolio e il ruolo della Cina nel calo della domanda di oro nero, sempre nell'ottica della mia ricerca dei fattori che se in questo caso non si materializzano, dovrebbero inficiare temporaneamente la mia visione di un ciclo value.Colgo l'occasione per invitarvi a delle serate dedicate all'educazione finanziaria i prossimi martedì di ottobre presso la Berto Osteria di Valla di Riese Pio X (TV) con i seguenti temi:*Finanza 101*

CommSec
Morning Report 3 Oct 22: S&P500 sinks by more than 9% in September

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2022 5:26


The US sharemarket slumped by 1.5% on Friday, taking the losses for September to 9.3% for the S&P500. All 30 stocks on the Dow Jones lost ground, led by Nike which shed 12.8% after handing down underwhelming quarterly results. This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

Dato Economia
Resumen de las noticias económicas en Colombia y el mundo Octubre 1/2022 Segunda Temporada

Dato Economia

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2022 35:06


Resumen de las noticias económicas en Colombia y el mundo Octubre 1/2022 Segunda Temporada 166. Temas del día Datos macroeconómicos, PMI , Inflación, Rusia , Desempleo, Economia Colombiana, SP500 , StockMarkets, Dólar, commodities, bitcoin . Link fountain app https://fountain.fm/jhontxu?code=ccaf1fd20c

ROGUE NEWS Radio
SP500, BTC, Zirp & BOE Capitulates - V, CJ & CryptoCowboy

ROGUE NEWS Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2022 78:31


CryptoCowboy breaks down the charts and discusses key economic conditions. Zero interest rates policies back by 2024 and Bonk of England throws in the towel. #economy #bitcoin #markets #news

Novus Capital
NovusCast - 30 de Setembro 2022

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2022 20:14


Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Sarah Campos e Yara Cordeiro debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠No cenário internacional, o Reino Unido continuou dominando o noticiário: a primeira ministra reafirmou o plano fiscal divulgado, e o Banco Central da Inglaterra (BoE) comunicou que faria uma avaliação de cenário na próxima reunião, reduzindo a chance de haver um encontro extraordinário, além de intervir no mercado de títulos para evitar chamada de margem para os fundos de pensão. Também foram divulgados importantes dados de inflação: na Zona do Euro, renovaram a alta, puxados principalmente pela Alemanha; e, nos EUA, a surpresa também foi altista, levando os membros do Fed a reforçarem a mensagem de que é necessário ter cautela para não repetir os erros do passado. Ainda, os desenvolvimentos da guerra têm sido mais negativos, com a Rússia anexando novos territórios e abrindo espaço para retaliações. No Brasil, o presidente do Banco Central trouxe atenção para a as indicações do Focus. De dados, tivemos o IPCA-15, com surpresa baixista bastante significativa, apesar de composição mista e serviços ainda pressionados; e a PNAD, que indicou queda no desemprego e recomposição da força de trabalho. Por fim, chegamos na reta final das eleições para o 1º turno, com novo debate e divulgação de diversas pesquisas, indicando melhora marginal para o Lula. ⁠ A semana foi, mais uma vez, bastante volátil, sendo também fechamento de mês e trimestre. Nos EUA, as bolsas fecharam em queda (S&P500 -2,91%, Nasdaq -3,01%), e os juros de 30 anos abrindo 17 bps. Na Inglaterra, a abertura de juros seguiu para os vértices de 2, 5 e 10 anos (ao redor de 30 bps), com fechamento de 22 bps para o 30 anos. Já no Brasil, o Ibovespa caiu 1,50%, e o real desvalorizou 2,83%. ⁠ Na próxima semana haverá divulgação de dados de emprego (payroll, JOLTS) e atividade (ISM) nos EUA, além de reunião da OPEC. Será importante acompanhar a eleição no Brasil, e a evolução da guerra. ⁠ ⁠⁠Não deixe de acompanhar pra ficar por dentro do que rolou na semana e o que esperar da próxima!⁠ ⁠⁠

2 трейдера
2 трейдера. Медвежий рынок продолжается / Падение Фунта / Biogen – рост акций на 35%

2 трейдера

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2022 37:41


Представляем вашему вниманию новый выпуск подкаста 2 трейдера, в котором Исаков Роман и Фуад Расулов обсудили такие темы:

RogueNews Radio
SP500, BTC, Zirp & BOE Capitulates - V, CJ & CryptoCowboy

RogueNews Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2022 78:31


CryptoCowboy breaks down the charts and discusses key economic conditions. Zero interest rates policies back by 2024 and Bonk of England throws in the towel. #economy #bitcoin #markets #news

Personal Finance Matters
3 Lessons Learned in 2022 So Far | Investing

Personal Finance Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2022 14:27


2022 has been a tough year all around for people.  Headwinds such as the lingering effects of COVID-19, rising interest rates, rising inflation, rising commodity prices, the Russia/Ukraine War, falling stock and bond market, and then an economy that seems to be having a hangover in general.  It has been a lot. With all this going on, it has been hard to conceptualize how it all works together and how it affects you financially (you as an everyday person).  In this episode, I'm breaking down three observations I've seen in the investment markets and following that up with what we can learn from those observations.  I try to explore these observations and lessons learned through a greater financial planning lens for the everyday person.   01:00 - Intro  02:55 - Observation 1: Equity markets have had their worst start in 50 years 03:40 - What can we learn: Let's let history be our guide (look at the SP500 from 1942-until today…80 years)   05:12 - Observation 2: The Bond market has been crushed & this is actually a bigger deal 07:33 - What can we learn:  Definitely should've been looking at your bond holdings but if you haven't, there's still time     08:30 - Observation 3: Volatility  09:12 - What can we learn:  In the last 20-plus years, 21 of the 25 worst trading days were followed within a month by one of the best 25 trading days     Ryan Hitchcock Financial Planner High Point Capital Group Direct: 414-253-4611 rhitch@hpcg.com   Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.  Securities and investment advisory services offered through SagePoint Financial, Inc. (SPF), member FINRA/SIPC. SPF is separately owned and other entities and/or marketing names, products or services referenced here are independent of SPF.  1200 N. Mayfair Rd., Suite 300, Milwaukee, WI 53226. Phone: 414-253-4600.

CommSec
Morning Report 30 Sep 22: S&P500 sinks to near 2-year low

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2022 5:55


US markets slumped by ~2% last night, with the S&P500 sinking to near 2-year lows as the Federal Reserve continued to reaffirm its intentions to raise rates in coming months. This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

DH Unplugged
DHUnplugged #624: Breaking Things

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 28, 2022 63:33


- Egotistical Narcissists as as the the Stupidity Police are not doing their job. Chinese living in ROTTING properties Some amazing technicals - historic in fact. WOW! The lowdown on Pumpkin Spice latte.. Big Business! PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm Up - Egotistical Narcissists - The Stupidity Police are not doing their job - Chinese living in ROTTING properties - We have another FRAMEWORK - Sending Kamala to the DMZ line Market Update - B A D - Things are starting to break - Confidence lost as things are breaking (Currencies) ---- Fed needs to chill - and I have a few tings to say.. - China opening up Macau (Casino stocks fly) - Technical indicators!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! NEXT WEEK - YOM KIPPUR - NO SHOW Rate Update - High grade money markets >2.4% - 2 year muni bond >2.5%   3.5% - 12 month treasury >4.3% - 10-year taps 4% today - 1 year CD > 3.5% JCD - FYI - DJIA @ 30,706      29,500    29,134!!!! Tropical Storm/Hurricane - Storm looks nasty - in the middle of some of the bans right now Technical as of Monday Morning (Charts) - Some very severe oversold conditions - KRI (-7) - only seen one time in recent history and that was 12/24/2019 when market bottomed - RSI all over sold - McClellan - LOW (-400) - Spearman LOW (-98) - 11 New 52 week highs -(most inverse ETFs) - VIX >30 - 447  SP500 below 200 DMA Boneheads - Huge tax cuts in the UK apparently decided on overnight and the approval of massive debt issuance. - Do we miss Boris Johnson Yet? - More things breaking The Cable More on Brit Pound - That currency move is NOT normal and should give a cold-water-slap-upside-the-head-punch-in-the-mouth wake-up call to Team Powell. - The moves that they are making and the hard line they are shaking is a bit over the top. - Unfortunately they have a much bigger regard for themselves than then should. - In fact, it appears that Team Powell is made up a gaggle of egocentric narcissists that need to come down off their collective perch's and take a look at what is really going on and why we are seeing historic moves in some financial markets. Sending Kamala - Vice President Kamala Harris will visit the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) separating the Koreas on Thursday in a bid to show Washington's commitment to the South's security - The DMZ visit will underscore the strength of the alliance between Seoul and Washington "in the face of any threats posed" by North Korea - Does not seem like a show of strength FEELINGS ON THE FED (Not due to markets, due to policy) - A bunch of  two-toned, zebra headed, slime-coated, pimple-farming, paramecium brain, munching-on-their-own-mucus, all suffering from PETER PAN? ENVY!!!  AND -  lewd, crude, rude, bag of pre-chewed food, dudes! Lying, crying, spying, prying ultra-pigs!   (From the movie Pan - Robin William) China - Rotting - A movement of home buyers around China who have moved into what they call "rotting" apartments, either to pressure developers and authorities to complete them or out of financial necessity. - Shanghai E-House Real Estate Research Institute estimated in July that stalled projects accounted for 3.85% of China's housing market in the first half of 2022, equivalent to an area of 231 million square metres. Can't Even - Pumpkin spice latte (PSL) -  PSL industry was worth >$500 million - - Starbucks has sold more than 600 million since inception PSA - Don't cook your chicken in NyQuil - FDA now warning about this new TikTok challenge - Possible that brands are behind this insanity? - A number of videos challenged people to cook chicken in NyQuil, which contains acetaminophen,

CommSec
Morning Report 28 Sep 22: S&P 500 falls to near 2-year low

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 27, 2022 5:17


The US sharemarket has extended its losing streak to a sixth day, with the S&P500 easing by 0.21% and hitting a November 2020 low in the process. McDonald's, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola and Walt Disney fell most. This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

Novus Capital
NovusCast - 23 de Setembro 2022

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2022 16:47


Nossos sócios Luis André Oliveira, Tomás Goulart e Sarah Campos debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠No cenário internacional, ocorreram importantes reuniões de bancos centrais, com destaque para o Fed, que elevou a taxa de juros em 0,75%, trazendo uma expectativa de taxa terminal acima da esperada pelo mercado e reforçando o tom hawk; e para a Inglaterra, que elevou a taxa de juros em 0,5%. Ainda por lá, foi anunciado um grande pacote fiscal, com uma série de cortes de impostos. No Japão, também houve reunião do banco central, sem mudanças na política monetária, mas com intervenção para conter o movimento de desvalorização da moeda. ⁠ No Brasil, o banco central também se reuniu, e não fez alterações na taxa de juros, mas trouxe um comunicado hawk. No cenário eleitoral, foi observada uma abertura de gap a favor do Lula, aumentando a probabilidade de decisão em 1º turno. Além disso, foi divulgada uma foto do candidato junto ao Henrique Meirelles, que trouxe reações positivas a mercado. ⁠ A semana foi bastante volátil. Nos EUA, as bolsas fecharam em queda (S&P500 -4,65%, Nasdaq -4,64%), e os juros abrindo (2 anos e 5 anos próximo a 35 bps). Na Inglaterra, os movimentos de juros foram ainda mais fortes, com o 5 anos abrindo 95 bps. Já o Brasil foi na contramão: a bolsa (Ibovespa) fechou em +2,23%, o jan/23 fechou 11 bps, o jan/27 fechou 32 bps, e o real fechou praticamente sem variação. ⁠ Na próxima semana haverá divulgação de inflação na Zona do Euro e no Brasil (IPCA-15). É importante acompanhar também o noticiário a respeito da guerra, e a possibilidade de uma reunião extraordinária do Banco Central da Inglaterra (BoE). ⁠ ⁠⁠Não deixe de acompanhar pra ficar por dentro do que rolou na semana e o que esperar da próxima!⁠ ⁠⁠

CommSec
Morning Report 23 Sep 22: US market slumps after Fed flags more rate hikes

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2022 5:28


The US sharemarket has tumbled in recent days, with the S&P500 down ~8% in eight sessions. The Federal Reserve raised rates by 75 basis points as widely expected, but flagged higher peak interest rates in 2023. The US central bank now expects interest rates to lift to ~4.6% next year (flagged ~3.75% in June). The Australian sharemarket will be playing catch-up with the rest of the world on Friday, with a challenging start to trade expected. This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

Business Standard Podcast
Time to diversify to global equities as central banks hike rates?

Business Standard Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2022 4:15


Equity investors have been on the edge since the start of 2022. From Ukraine war, to a sharp turnaround in interest rate cycle, investors have been toiling with wild swings across global markets. Lately, investors have become risk averse in the backdrop of rising inflation and have been ‘selling the rallies'. Given this, most analysts say the risk-reward for investing in Indian equities remains favourable despite the global headwinds. Vineet Bagri, Managing Partner, TrustPlutus Wealth India, says global markets in a flux. It's complicated to guess what the market is saying. Existing and potential economic disruptions denting markets. India is well positioned.  Back home, the retail inflation climbed to 7% in August – staying above the Reserve Bank of India's target zone for the first eight months of 2022.  Yet, the levels are not as high as being seen in developed countries, which is keeping analysts bullish on India's growth outlook. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management says, India's GDP growth is resilient compared to other emerging markets. Credit growth above 15% reflects improving business conditions. Manufacturing sector is expected to do well. Rupee-based investors should be careful. Wait till US Fed's hawkishness moderates. Prefer domestic markets vs global equities, he suggests.  Indian equities' performance thus far in 2022 has been a testimony of this confidence. The return of foreign institutional investors, who have pumped in over Rs 64,000 crore since July 2022, has also lent support.  While key global indices including Dow Jones, S&P500, Nikkei, Heng Seng, and MOEX Russia have tumbled in the range of 4 to 36%, so far in 2022, the S&P BSE Sensex and the Nifty50 have gained over 1.5% each. With this, the domestic equities have turned relatively expensive. But analysts still suggest investors focus on domestic equities for now. “Global pain in the form of deflationary condition would help India in the form of cheap oil and moderation in trade deficits and inflation in the near future,” says G Chokkalingam, Founder and Chief Investment Officer, Equinomics Research. “We continue to believe that the domestic markets would recover significantly after every major fall in the short-term and the Sensex would hit another record high level by end of CY22,” adds Chokkalingam.   As regards today, the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be on investors' radar.

FINNOMENA
”แดงเดือด! S&P500, Nasdaq และ Dow Jones ลงขนาดนี้ซื้อได้หรือยัง” - THE OPPORTUNITY

FINNOMENA

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2022 52:49


"แดงเดือด! S&P500, Nasdaq และ Dow Jones ลงขนาดนี้ซื้อได้หรือยัง" - THE OPPORTUNITY >>> https://youtu.be/imQ3pqdT8Dc

Drumless
Episodio 122 - Regateos Post Concierto

Drumless

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2022 47:54


EPISODIO 122.Temporada 4-3.EPISODIO PATROCINADO POR:CBM Clases de batería Madrid. https://clasesdebateriamadrid.com/ .Superdrummer Academy.www.simonefolcarelli.com .COMUNIDAD DEL CBM de Iñigo Iribarne:https://clasesdebateria.circle.so/ DESCUENTO CON EL CUPÓN RETO22 .LIBRO RECOMENDADO por Simone.Four on the floor de Mate Jancsovics: https://hudsonmusic.com/product/four-on-the-floor/ .TOP TRI.Simone:Nick Menza: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-qKoecGPYZA .J Rod Sullivan: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cJUJ9YbIux0 .Matt Mcguire: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zpvK9qd9rZA .Iñigo:Questlove: https://www.instagram.com/questlove/ .Justin Scott: https://www.instagram.com/jscottdrummer/ .Devin Garza: https://www.instagram.com/devin_garza/ .Síguenos en: FB: https://www.facebook.com/Drumless-el-Podcast-101614758071997 .INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/drumlesspodcast/ .TELEGRAM: https://t.me/drumlesspodcast .ABEL:https://www.instagram.com/kustomdk/ .SIMONE:https://www.simonefolcarelli.com .IÑIGO:https://Clasesdebateriamadrid.com .https://www.twitch.tv/inigobatera .https://www.ellibrodelascorcheas.com .https://clasesdebateria.circle.so/ .BUY US A COFFEEPaypal: https://www.paypal.me/inigoiribarne .Bizum: 606424669 .

CommSec
Morning Report 16 Sep 22: S&P500 hits a 2-month low

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2022 4:06


The US sharemarket was back in the red, with the S&P500 hitting a 2-month low, sliding by 1.13% while bond yields rose. The price of oil fell by 3.8%, gold slipped by 1.9% and iron ore edged higher. A RBA Governor speech and China economic data are in focus today.  This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

The Rubin Report
The Most Laughable Bits from the NY Times' DeSantis Hit Piece | Direct Message | Rubin Report

The Rubin Report

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 14, 2022 36:56


Dave Rubin of “The Rubin Report” talks about the New York Times' bizarre hit piece on Ron DeSantis; Blake Masters' perfect roasting of Joe Biden's Inflation Reduction Act celebration; how truly bizarre the Inflation Reduction Act celebration was with a performance from James Taylor and Nancy Pelosi demanding that the audience clap for her; Fox News' perfect interruption of Biden battling inflation to cover the stock market crash that happened after August's inflation numbers were released; Karine Jean Pierre struggling to justify having a party to celebrate the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act while most families are having their wealth destroyed by inflation; Ben Shapiro pointing out the blatant media bias of the Washington Post who ignored mentioning the SP500 crash or the August inflation numbers; Ron DeSantis savaging student loan forgiveness and pointing out the reality of how trade school careers can lead to high paying jobs without a degree or debt; and much more. ---------- Today's Sponsors: Cozy Earth - Give yourself the gift that will be appreciated every single night - Cozy Earth bedding and loungewear. Sleep comfortably year-round. GET 35% off! Go to: https://cozyearth.com/DAVE Real Estate Agents I Trust - Don't make buying or selling a home more stressful than it needs to be. Find the best real estate agents in your area. Go to https://realestateagentsitrust.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

CommSec
Morning Report 14 Sep 22: Worst decline in over 2 years

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 13, 2022 5:32


The US sharemarket has just had its worst decline since June 2020, with the S&P500 slumping by 4.3% due to hotter than expected US inflation in August. The market is pricing in a large US interest rate hike next week. This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

CommSec
Morning Report 13 Sep 22: US market lifts for 4th day

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2022 5:25


Ahead of a highly anticipated update on inflation tonight, the US sharemarket has extended its winning streak to a fourth day, with the S&P500 lifting by 1.06% overnight and by more than 5% in a week. This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

CommSec
Morning Report 12 Sep 22: US stocks snap 3-week losing streak

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2022 4:07


The US sharemarket rose strongly on Friday, with 451 stocks on the S&P500 lifting, commodities advancing, while the index snapped a three-week losing streak. This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

Drumless
Episodio 121 - Las excusas de Gomaespuma

Drumless

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2022 38:18


EPISODIO 121.Temporada 4-2.EPISODIO PATROCINADO POR:CBM Clases de batería Madrid. https://clasesdebateriamadrid.com/ .Superdrummer Academy.www.simonefolcarelli.com .COMUNIDAD DEL CBM de Iñigo Iribarne:https://clasesdebateria.circle.so/ DESCUENTO CON EL CUPÓN RETO22 .LIBRO RECOMENDADO por Simone.Modern rudimental swing solos by Charley Wilcoxon: https://amzn.to/3RThoVp .TOP TRI.Simone:Omar Hakim: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3rVpHt9G2GQ .Shane Hawkins: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2KnD7sfpoA .Keith Moon: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WT5uAIPFft8 .Iñigo:Phil Maturano: https://www.instagram.com/philmaturano/. Cliff Almond: https://www.instagram.com/cliffalmond/ .Nasrine Rahmani: https://www.instagram.com/nasrine_percussion/ . Síguenos en: FB: https://www.facebook.com/Drumless-el-Podcast-101614758071997 .INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/drumlesspodcast/ .TELEGRAM: https://t.me/drumlesspodcast .ABEL:https://www.instagram.com/kustomdk/ .SIMONE:https://www.simonefolcarelli.com .IÑIGO:https://Clasesdebateriamadrid.com .https://www.twitch.tv/inigobatera .https://www.ellibrodelascorcheas.com .BUY US A COFFEEPaypal: https://www.paypal.me/inigoiribarne .Bizum: 606424669 .

Novus Capital
NovusCast - 09 de Setembro 2022

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2022 15:51


Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Sarah Campos e Yara Cordeiro debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ ⁠⁠No cenário internacional, importantes bancos centrais se reuniram e elevaram a taxa básica de juros: na Austrália, +0,5%, no Canadá e na Europa, +0,75% - no caso deste último, com revisão altista para as projeções de inflação, e baixista para as projeções de crescimento. Nos EUA, diversos membros do Fed reforçaram a mensagem passada pelo Powell no Jackson Hole; e foram divulgados dados positivos de atividade (ISM de serviços). No Reino Unido, a nova primeira ministra, Liz Truss, tomou posse e anunciou um pacote de medidas com relação aos preços de energia. Na China, foi divulgada inflação mais baixa que o esperado (para produtores e consumidores), e a balança comercial, que mostrou desaceleração das exportações. ⁠ No Brasil, o principal evento político foi o feriado de 7 de setembro, que mostrou forte apoio ao atual presidente, e aliviou a preocupação com a possibilidade de discursos mais agressivos. Ainda, foi divulgado o IPCA de agosto, que veio um pouco acima das expectativas e com composição negativa, com núcleos e serviços pressionados, mas seguindo a perspectiva de recuo gradual. ⁠ Essa foi uma semana de movimentos opostos no mercado: nos EUA, apesar da abertura de juros (10 anos abriu 12 bps, 2 anos abriu 17 bps), as bolsas fecharam em alta (S&P500 em +3,65%, Nasdaq +4,05%). Na Europa, os juros também abriram; e o petróleo chegou a fazer novas mínimas na semana, fechando próximo à estabilidade. Por aqui, a bolsa fechou em +1,3%, o real em leve alta (+0,4%), e o juro (jan/27) fechou 18 bps. Na próxima semana serão divulgados dados de inflação e vendas no varejo nos EUA, inflação e desemprego no Reino Unido, e atividade (PMC, PMS) no Brasil.   ⁠⁠Não deixe de acompanhar pra ficar por dentro do que rolou na semana e o que esperar da próxima!⁠ ⁠⁠

CommSec
Morning Report 8 Sep 22: Strongest lift in 1 month for US stocks

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 7, 2022 3:32


The US sharemarket posted its largest lift in one month, with the S&P500 rising by 1.8%. The Reserve Bank Governor will deliver a speech at 1:05pm on Thursday, while Woodside trades ex-dividend on a day oil prices slumped by ~5%.  This report is approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited based on information available at the time of publishing and any opinions, statements or recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation. The information in the report is subject to change without notice and do not reflect the view of CBA Group or any other employees within CBA Group. To the extent permitted by law, neither the Bank nor any of its subsidiaries accept liability to any person for loss or damage arising from the use of this report. The information has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information should consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. You can view the Terms and Conditions, Product Disclosure Statement, Best Execution Statement and Financial Services Guide, and should consider them before making any decision about our products and services. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945.  CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited (formerly Chi-X Australia Pty Limited), a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

Novus Capital
NovusCast - 02 de Setembro 2022

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2022 18:52


Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Tomás Goulart e Sarah Campos debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ ⁠⁠No cenário internacional, foram divulgados dados de emprego nos EUA (Payroll e JOLTs), que reforçaram um mercado de trabalho bastante apertado, com forte ritmo de criação de vagas, aumento na taxa de participação, elevação da relação vaga/desempregado e salários marginalmente abaixo da expectativa; além de dados de atividade (ISM de manufatura) um pouco acima do esperado. Na Zona do Euro, foi divulgada a inflação de agosto, que ainda mostrou aceleração dos preços e, ainda por lá, o cenário relativo ao petróleo e ao gás segue conturbado, com tentativas de redução dos preços e novos problemas técnicos no Nord Stream anunciados pelo grupo russo Gazprom. Na China, foram divulgados os PMIs, um pouco melhores que o esperado; novas medidas restritivas foram impostas, e o governo reforçou a preocupação com a desvalorização da moeda. ⁠ No Brasil, foi divulgado o PIB do 2º trimestre, que surpreendeu positivamente, e provocou revisão nas projeções de crescimento de 2022 e 2023. Além disso, após o debate presidencial de domingo, novas rodadas de pesquisa foram divulgadas, mostrando elevação nas intenções de voto dos candidatos menos populares. ⁠ Novamente foi uma semana agitada para os mercados, influenciada também pelo fechamento de mês. Nos EUA, as bolsas fecharam em queda – S&P500 em -3,29%, Nasdaq em -4,02%, e os juros abrindo (10 anos em +15 bps), com o vértice de 2 anos chegando a alcançar nova máxima. No Brasil, o Ibovespa encerrou a semana em queda de 1,28%, e o juro (jan/27) fechou 32 bps. Na próxima semana serão divulgados dados de inflação (IPCA) aqui no Brasil, e o presidente do Fed, Jerome Powell, fará o último discurso antes da reunião de setembro. ⁠ ⁠⁠Não deixe de acompanhar pra ficar por dentro do que rolou na semana e o que esperar da próxima!⁠ ⁠⁠

Daily Stock Picks
Should you buy the dip or further downside? Market update 8-29-22

Daily Stock Picks

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2022 55:55


SUPPORT THE PODCAST : https://anchor.fm/dailystockpick/support I was wrong on Friday thinking Powell speech was priced in. The selloff was immediate when Powell said “There will be pain to households and businesses as we fight inflation”. $UVXY shot up! $SQQQ shot up. $Baba might be a further buy because of the overhang of accounting being removed with the US and CHina agreeing…this may move it back to the $200 realm Look at weakness in oil and other commodities $UVXY was a crazy stock Look at $CE - did buffet get in $mu - micron is building a new building Artemis rocket is launching today amid storms in Florida- but they are saying it's unlikely as they try and troubleshoot an issue - scheduled for 830 Is $AAPL going to fill the gap down $Pdd beat on earnings - when is $baba - this could move nasdaq higher with hopes $Lng and other nat gas with the price posted on Instagram $TSLA close to $250 $Tqqq under $30 My weekly stock pick is $cvx - energy was down … but on weakness - My Weekly Stock is our stock-picking strategy delivering more than 300% cumulative returns since 2019 and 6% in 2022. Options play is up significantly higher Professor Siegel on cnbc thinks Powell lost credibility by going too hawkish and thinks he will over shoot but either way it's a good time to buy % of SP500 stocks: above 200-day SMA: 34%

Novus Capital
NovusCast - 26 de Agosto 2022

Novus Capital

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2022 18:08


Nossos sócios Luiz Eduardo Portella, Tomás Goulart e Sarah Campos debatem, no episódio de hoje, os principais acontecimentos da semana no Brasil e no mundo.⁠ ⁠ ⁠⁠No cenário internacional, houve o tão aguardando Simpósio de Jackson Hole, no qual o presidente do Fed, Jerome Powell, falou sobre o foco do banco central na necessidade de alcançar a estabilidade de preços, mantendo os juros em patamar restritivo até ter certeza de que a inflação está caminhando para a meta. Na Europa, foi divulgada a prévia do PMI de agosto (dado de atividade), que apresentou queda; continuam os desenvolvimentos mais negativos em torno da pauta energética, e as atenções voltam à redução dos níveis dos rios. Ainda, observamos muitas notícias a respeito da possibilidade da retomada de um acordo nuclear entre EUA e Irã, e eventuais cortes na produção de petróleo; e o governo chinês reforçou a mensagem de que está fazendo esforços para sustentar a atividade, além de demonstrar incômodo com a desvalorização da moeda local. ⁠ No Brasil, foi divulgado o IPCA-15 de agosto, que veio menos negativo que o esperado, mas com a parcela de serviços ainda se elevando. Além disso, foi efetivamente iniciada a campanha eleitoral, e tivemos, no Jornal Nacional, as entrevistas dos principais candidatos à presidência, com destaque para Bolsonaro e Lula. ⁠ Essa foi mais uma semana com fortes movimentos nos mercados: nos EUA, as bolsas fecharam em queda – S&P500 -4,04%, Nasdaq -4,82% - com grande parte da desvalorização concentrada na sexta; os juros abriram (2 anos abriu 16 bps, 10 anos abriu 7 bps); o petróleo subiu 2,5%, e o dólar seguiu forte. Na contramão do mundo, a bolsa brasileira (Ibovespa) valorizou 0,72%, o real, 2,11%, e o juro longo (jan/27) fechou 9 bps. ⁠ Na próxima semana serão divulgados indicadores de atividade (ISM) e desemprego (payroll) nos EUA, inflação de agosto na Europa, PIB no Brasil, e será importante acompanhar os impactos das sabatinas e campanhas nas pesquisas eleitorais. ⁠⁠Não deixe de acompanhar pra ficar por dentro do que rolou na semana e o que esperar da próxima!⁠ ⁠⁠

ETF of the Week With Tom Lydon
SPDR Portfolio SP 500 Growth ETF (SPYG)

ETF of the Week With Tom Lydon

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2022 8:35


VettaFi's vice chairman Tom Lydon discussed the SPDR Portfolio S&P500 Growth ETF (SPYG) on this week's “ETF of the Week” podcast with Chuck Jaffe of “Money Life.” Growth stocks have rallied recently while value has lagged since mid-June. Advisors are increasingly expressing optimism in the space as well: Bank of America reported that its the first time since August 2020 that fund managers are anticipating growth to outperform value, with 88% expecting inflation in the U.S. will decline in the next 12 months.  These perspectives have caused a rotation away from more defensive positions and back to sectors such as technology, energy, banks, and more, particularly given the recession risk outlook and value's historic outperformance exiting a recession versus entering one.  SPYG is a low-cost ETF that offers exposure to some of the strongest growth stocks within the S&P 500. 

JSEDirect with Simon Brown
Spur looking good and Sasol dividends (#508)

JSEDirect with Simon Brown

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 24, 2022 21:10


Simon Shares Nasdaq (650 points), S&P500 (80 points) & Euro Stoxx50 (22 points) trades all closed. FTSE100 still going currently +100 points. Old Mutual BEE deal, will go into details, but it only closes in late October so no rush. Spur (JSE code: SUR) looking very good. PE ±15x and DY ±5% From the Spur earnings call "And we know that only 18% of the South African adult population represents 80% of economically viable consumer segment." Revenue at record with space to get margins back to pre-pandemic levels. Net income margin was ±5%, historically over 20%. [caption id="attachment_36416" align="aligncenter" width="849"] Spur; revenue, net income, NI margin[/caption]Afrimat (JSE code: AFT) Gravenhage manganese mine deal failing due to the Water Use License being materially different. They raised ±R650million last month. Purple Group* (JSE code: PPE) does a deal in Asia. Kap Industrials (JSE code: KAP) good results and great insights into other industries. Citi now says UK inflation to hit 18% early next year (last week they said 15%). Sasol (JSE code: SOL) pays a dividend, 1470c. Sasol: To answer a separate Q: The EBIT profit split is: •Energy: 58% •Chemicals: 42% (Despite the high chemicals contribution, it is amazing to see how closely Sasol's profit still conforms to the old back-of-a-matchbox calc of 5% of the Rand oil price.) — Karin Richards (@Richards_Karin) August 23, 2022 * I hold ungeared positions.

Cafe on a Budget
#122: De $0 a $1,000,000…AUTOMATICO

Cafe on a Budget

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 1, 2022 57:42


Muchas personas ven la meta de tener $1,000,000 como algo inalcanzable o solamente posible ganando la lotería. Pero la realidad es que cualquier persona tiene la habilidad y el poder de acumular millones de dólares.Y mejor aún, esto puede lograrse de manera AUTOMÁTICA. Ahora, para lograrlo tienes que enfocarte en tus metas y hacerte las preguntas correctas.Así que te pregunto, ¿Estás ready para comenzar a vivir una vida rica y abundante?Si la respuesta es si, entonces dale Play a este episodio.Baja la guía para el saldo de deudas, disponible en www.cafeonabudget.com/deudas Toma el Money Quiz y averigua tu arquetipo mas activo en tu relación con el dinero: https://quiz.suhaillymatos.com/ Adquiere Money Mindflow, nuestro curso digital de Cafe on a Budget porque la Libertad financiera va más allá de dólares y centavos, adquiérelo aquí hoy! https://www.cafeonabudget.com/moneymindflow

Making Margin
How Low Can You Go

Making Margin

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 1, 2022 22:47


Making Margin PodcastEpisode 38 - How Low Can You GoWelcome to the Making Margin podcast! Greenway's team is here to discuss common financial mistakes and to help you navigate them. Meet the voices behind this episode of Making Margin:NickNatalie JeffDrewToday's topic is all about the current market. The US Stock market (S&P 500) suffered the worst first half since 1970 - down nearly 20% since the beginning of 2022. People are mostly blaming inflation. So what's to come? And how should investors prepare?Discussion Topics:How are our clients handling the market insanity so far?What should people be doing to make sure they're in the best possible place financially?Where does it go from here?VOO 10 year average annual return 12.92%. Reversion to the mean?    Resources:https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/30/the-markets-worst-first-half-in-50-years-has-all-come-down-to-one-thing.html*When the S&P 500 plunged 21% in the first half of 1970, it promptly reversed those losses to gain 26.5% in the second half and eke out a gain for the year.*https://www.wsj.com/articles/mutual-funds-managers-positive-returns-11656881703https://www.dimensional.com/us-en/insights/so-whats-your-plan-for-the-bear-market

Your Life, Simplified
Don't Let Headlines Derail Your Investing Plans

Your Life, Simplified

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2022 27:46


When keeping up with the, sometimes sensational,