Podcast appearances and mentions of Antony Green

Jeffrey Gibb Kennett AC (born 2 March 1948) is an Australian former politician who served as the 43rd Premier of Victoria between 1992 and 1999, Leader of the Victorian Liberal Party from 1982 to 1989 and from 1991 to 1999, and the Member for Burwood from 1976 to 1999. He is currently a media commentator. He was previously the president of the Hawthorn Football Club, from 2005 to 2011 and again from 2017 to 2022. He is the founding Chairman of beyondblue, a national mental health advocacy organisation. Early life The son of Kenneth Munro Gibb Kennett (1921–2007), and Wendy Anne Kennett (1925–2006; née Fanning), he was born in Melbourne on 2 March 1948. He attended Scotch College; and, although an unexceptional student academically, he did well in the school's Cadet Corps Unit. He also played football (on the wing) for the school.  His failure to rise above the middle band academically almost led him to quit school in Fourth Form (Year 10 – 1963), but he was persuaded to stay on. His Fifth and Sixth Forms were an improvement, but he was still described in school reports as "[a] confident and at times helpful boy. Sometimes irritates. Sometimes works hard" (1964), and "[a] keen, pleasant, though sometimes erratic boy" (1965). After leaving school, Kennett was persuaded by his father Ken to attend the Australian National University in Canberra, but lost interest and left after one year of an economics degree. He returned to Melbourne and found work in the advertising department of the retail giant Myer – kindling an interest for advertising that would one day earn him his living. Kennett's life in the regular workforce was cut short when, in 1968, he was conscripted into the Australian Army.[9] Kennett was selected for officer training and graduated third in his class from the Officer Training Unit, Scheyville (OTU), near Windsor, New South Wales, outside Sydney. He was posted to Malaysia and Singapore as Second Lieutenant, commander of 1st Platoon, A Company, 1st Battalion, Royal Australian Regiment (1RAR). This military career (and his earlier experience in the Scotch College Cadet Corps) has been noted by many biographers as an essential formative influence on the adult Kennett's character. His sense and regard for hierarchical loyalty, punctuality, and general intolerance of dissent or disobedience may be traced to this period. Kennett returned to civilian life in 1970, reentering a divided Australian society, split by the Vietnam War, of which Kennett was a firm supporter. Having returned to Myer, Kennett became impatient with his work, and so with Ian Fegan and Eran Nicols, he formed his own advertising company (KNF) in June 1971. Thereafter, in December 1972, Kennett married Felicity Kellar, an old friend whom he had first met on a Number 69 tram on the long trips to school. Their first son was born in 1974, followed by a daughter and two more sons. Political career Kennett was elected as a Liberal Member of the Victorian Legislative Assembly (MLA) for Burwood in 1976, having had an interest in local politics since the early 1970s.[14] His preselection for the seat reportedly irritated then Premier Dick Hamer, who disliked Kennett's campaigning style, and had endorsed the sitting member, Haddon Storey. However, by 1981, Kennett was promoted to Cabinet as Minister for Housing and Minister of Immigration and Ethnic Affairs. He was one of several younger MPs whom Hamer promoted to Cabinet in a bid to renew his government. Kennett retained his post when Hamer was replaced as Liberal leader and Premier by Lindsay Thompson in June of that year. Following the defeat of the longstanding Liberal government in 1982, Kennett was the leading candidate to replace Thompson despite being the youngest member of the outgoing government. On 26 October, he was elected leader of the Liberal Party and hence Leader of the Opposition. He took an aggressive posture against the Cain government, and was often criticised for his "bull-in-a-china-shop" style and his anti-government rhetoric. Under his leadership, the Liberals were heavily defeated by Labor in 1985. Afterwards he faced a challenge to his leadership of the party from Ian Smith. Kennett survived easily, but increasingly, he was seen as an erratic and unapproachable leader. He faced two more challenges to his leadership in 1986 and 1987. In 1987, in one notable incident Kennett referred to the Federal Liberal leader John Howard as a 'cunt' in a mobile telephone conversation with Howard rival Andrew Peacock. The car-phone conversation damaged both Howard and Kennett politically, but aided Peacock in his push to return as Federal Liberal leader (1989). Toward the end of its second term the Cain government had lost support and the Liberals were expected to win the 1988 election. The Liberal vote indeed rebounded strongly – they won a majority of the two-party vote – however much of this margin was wasted on landslide majorities in their heartland. As a result, the Liberals took only one seat from Labor in the capital, and were left four seats short of a majority. Failing to become premier, Kennett was again criticised within his own party, and in 1989 he was deposed in favour of a little-known rural MLA, Alan Brown. Kennett's performance during his first stint as Liberal leader is a matter of debate. Economou sees his 1985 and 1988 election campaigns as weak, while Parkinson believes he was a significant asset in pushing the Labor government of John Cain in several key seats. First term as premier Kennett publicly pledged never to attempt a return to the Liberal leadership. However, when Brown proved unable to challenge the government effectively, he allowed his supporters to call a spill in 1991. Brown realised he didn't have enough support to keep his post and resigned, allowing Kennett to retake the leadership unopposed. With Victoria facing billions of dollars of debt, Kennett was seen as "Premier-in-waiting" from the moment he retook the leadership. Cain had resigned a year earlier in favour of Deputy Premier Joan Kirner, who was unable to regain the upper hand despite being personally more popular than Kennett. The Liberals' advantage was strengthened by an important decision taken during Brown's brief tenure as leader—negotiating a Coalition agreement with the National Party. The Liberals and Nationals have historically had a strained relationship in Victoria; they had sat separately for most of the second half of the 20th century. It had been believed that Kennett had been denied victory in 1988 due to a large number of three-cornered contests in rural seats. The Coalition went into the October 1992 state election as unbackable favourites, having been ahead in opinion polling by large margins for almost two years. They stoked the voters' anger with a series of "Guilty Party" ads, targeting many Labor ministers and highlighting concerns in their portfolios. In the second-largest defeat that a sitting government has ever suffered in Victoria, the Coalition scored a 19-seat swing, attaining a 16-seat majority in the Legislative Assembly. The Liberals won 52 seats, enough for a majority in their own right. Nevertheless, Kennett supported his coalition partner, retaining the Nationals in his cabinet. State school closures In the first three years of office, funding for public schools and the Department of Education was substantially reduced. 350 government schools were closed, including every Technical High School ("Tech") in Victoria, and 7,000 teaching jobs eliminated. The Tech School closures had a widespread, delayed effect two decades later when a skilled labour shortage in the state was declared by the government, attributable largely to the generation of children who were denied a trade-focused high school education, significantly reducing the number of school leavers commencing trade apprenticeships. The few who did so were insufficient to counterbalance the number of retiring tradespeople in the coming years. This directly resulted in the number of Skilled Migrant (subclass 190) visas being made available each year increasing to 190,000 from 2012 and an active campaign to entice migrants with trade qualifications to Victoria. Public transport Other controversial moves included the sacking of 16,000 public transport workers in a major technological upgrade of the system, and the initiation of a major scheme for privatisation of state-owned services, including the electricity (SECV) and gas (Gas and Fuel Corporation of Victoria) utilities, the ambulance service, as well as several prisons and other minor services. The sale of the Totalisator Agency Board raised $609 million. Between 1995 and 1998, $29 billion of state assets in gas and electricity alone were sold to private enterprise (for statistics, see Parkinson, Jeff, 1999) In the wake of these changes, investment and population growth slowly resumed, though unemployment was to remain above the national average for the duration of Kennett's premiership. While the benefits to the State budget figures were indisputable in the short term, the social and longer-term economic cost of the Kennett reforms have been questioned by many commentators, academics and those who suffered economically through the period of reform. This campaign of privatisations and cutbacks led to governmental acts of privatisation by splitting up Melbourne's rail (Hillside, Bayside, V/Line and West Coast Rail) and tramways (Yarra and Swanston) or budget-cutting becoming popularly known as being "Jeffed". He also cut back many regional rail services including The Vinelander (ran to Mildura, services later restored to Maryborough as a regular V/Line service in 2011) and services to Leongatha, Bairnsdale (returned in 2003), Dimboola (services later returned to Ararat in 2004). The largest public protest in Melbourne since the Vietnam War Moratorium occurred on 10 November 1992, with an estimated 100,000 people marching in opposition to the retrenchment of many workers and the large State budget cutbacks. Kennett was undeterred by this protest, and famously commented that though there were 100,000 outside his office at Parliament that day, there were 4.5 million who stayed at home or at work. High-profile capital works projects This section does not cite any sources. Please help improve this section by adding citations to reliable sources. Unsourced material may be challenged and removed. (April 2025) (Learn how and when to remove this message) The Kennett government also embarked on a series of high-profile capital works projects, such as the restoration of Parliament House, construction of a new $250 million Melbourne Museum and IMAX theatre, and a new $130 million Melbourne Convention and Exhibition Centre. Other projects included a $160 million expansion of the National Gallery of Victoria; $100 million for refurbishment of the State Library of Victoria; $65 million for a new Melbourne Sports and Aquatic Centre (MSAC); and $130 million for the construction of a new civic square on the site of the old Gas and Fuel Buildings, to be known as Federation Square. The relocation of the Formula 1 Grand Prix from Adelaide in 1993 was a particular coup for Kennett, who had worked hard with his friend Ron Walker, the Chairman of the Melbourne Major Events Company, helped deliver Melbourne the hosting rights for the event from Adelaide in 1993. The most controversial project of the Kennett era was the $1.85 billion Crown Casino and Entertainment Complex, a gambling and entertainment centre on Melbourne's Southbank. Initial plans for a casino had been made under the Labor government, however the tendering process and construction occurred under Kennett. A$2 billion project to redevelop Melbourne's derelict Docklands area to include a new football stadium was also undertaken, in addition to the large CityLink project, a project resurrected from the 1969 Melbourne Transportation Plan, aimed at linking Melbourne's freeways, easing traffic problems in the inner city, and reducing commuting times from the outer suburbs to the CBD. Macedonian name dispute Kennett speaking at a event In the mid-1990s, Premier Kennett backed the Greek position over the Macedonian question in his attempts to shore up local electoral support. Kennett's stance gained him supporters from the Melburnian Greek community, whereas he was referred to as "Kennettopoulos" by the Macedonian community. At Kennett's insistence, his state government in 1994 issued its own directive that all its departments refer to the language as "Macedonian (Slavonic)" and to Macedonians as "Slav Macedonians". Reasons given for the decision were "to avoid confusion", be consistent with federal naming protocols toward Macedonians and repair relations between Macedonian and Greek communities. It was accepted that it would not impact the way Macedonians self identified themselves. The decision upset Macedonians, as they had to use the terms in deliberations with the government or its institutions related to education and public broadcasting. The Macedonian Community challenged the decision on the basis of the Race Discrimination Act. After years of litigation at the Australian Human Rights and Equal Opportunity Commission (HREOC), the Federal Court and High Court, previous judicial rulings were upheld that found Kennett's directive unlawful as it caused discrimination based on ethnic background and was struck down from usage in 2000. Second term as premier Kennett's personal popularity was mostly average to high through his first term, though that of the government as a whole went through peaks and troughs. Without a by-election in the previous four years, the 1996 state election shaped up as the first test of the 'Kennett Revolution' with the electorate. The Coalition was expected to win a second term at the 30 March election, albeit with a somewhat reduced majority. At the federal election held four weeks earlier, while Labor was heavily defeated, it actually picked up a swing in Victoria. However, to the surprise of most commentators, the Coalition only suffered a two-seat swing, allowing it to retain a comfortable 14-seat majority. The Coalition actually picked up modest swings in Melbourne's outer suburbs, which have traditionally decided most state elections. Several negative trends (for the Liberals) were obscured somewhat by the euphoria of victory. The government's sharp cuts to government services were particularly resented in country Victoria, where the Liberals and Nationals held almost all the seats. The loss of the Mildura seat to independent Russell Savage was an indication of this disaffection, and when in February 1997 independent Susan Davies was elected to the seat of Gippsland West, this trend seemed set to continue. However, the verdict of many was that the 'Kennett Revolution' was far from over – indeed it was seemingly set in stone with the opening of the Crown Casino in May 1997. Kennett's profile continued to grow as he became a major commentator on national issues, including urging the new government of John Howard to introduce tax reform, and actively opposing the rise of the One Nation Party of Pauline Hanson. In this last case, Kennett did not shy away from criticising the media, but also the decision of the Howard government to not actively oppose Hanson's agenda. Kennett was influential in Melbourne bidding for the 2006 Commonwealth Games. Three cities initially expressed interest in hosting the event; Melbourne, Wellington and Singapore. Singapore dropped out before its bid was officially selected by the Commonwealth Games Federation, leaving only two candidate cities. In the weeks prior to the announcement of the 2006 host, Wellington withdrew its bid, citing the costs involved with matching the bid plan presented by Melbourne, which became the default host without members of the Federation going to vote. The government lost ground over the next few years, with high-profile disagreements with the Director of Public Prosecutions Bernard Bongiorno, and Auditor-General Ches Baragwanath fuelling criticism of Kennett's governmental style. Kennett's perceived antipathy to Baragwanath led to 1997 legislation to restructure the office of the Auditor-General and set up Audit Victoria. While Kennett promised the independence of the office would be maintained, many saw his government's actions as an attempt to curb the Auditor-General's power to criticise government policy. Widespread community debate and substantial public dissent from Liberal MPs and Party members ensued, with MLA Roger Pescott resigning from Parliament at the height of the debate; citing his disagreement with this Bill and Kennett's style in general. The Liberal Party lost the by-election in Mitcham. Further scandals involving the handling of contracts for the state emergency services response system damaged the credibility of Kennett in 1997–1998, while rural dissent continued to grow. Personal difficulties also began to affect Kennett and his family. The strains of public life led to a trial separation between Felicity and Jeff in early 1998 (patched up by the end of the year), while earlier in Kennett's first term, public scrutiny had led to the forced sale of the KNF Advertising Company, despite all Kennett's involvement having been transferred to his wife's name. There were rumours in 1998 that Kennett might retire from politics; these were mostly centred around Phil Gude, his party deputy. These eventually came to nothing. In July 1998, Liberal MP Peter McLellan, Member for Frankston East, resigned from the party in protest over alleged corrupt Liberal Party Senate preselection, changes to WorkCover and the auditor-general's office. Again, Kennett failed to pick up the warning signs of declining support for his style of leadership. Labor leader John Brumby took care to capitalise on each of Kennett's mistakes over this period, though his absences in rural electorates were misunderstood by many Labor MPs, and led to his replacement by Steve Bracks in early 1999. Bracks, who came from Ballarat, was popular in rural areas and was seen as a fresh alternative to Brumby, who nevertheless remained a key figure in the shadow Cabinet. 1999 election loss Despite Bracks' appeal, Kennett entered the 1999 election campaign with a seemingly unassailable lead, and most commentators and opinion polls agreed that the Coalition would win a third term. However, in a shock result, the Coalition suffered a 13-seat swing to Labor. While there was only a modest swing in eastern Melbourne, which has historically decided elections in Victoria, the Coalition suffered significant losses in regional centres such as Ballarat and Bendigo. ABC elections analyst Antony Green later said that when he first saw the results coming in, it looked so unusual that he thought "something was wrong with the computer." Initial counting showed Labor on 41 seats and the Coalition on 43; a supplementary election had to be held in Frankston East following the death of sitting independent Peter McLellan. The balance of power rested with three independents-Russell Savage, Susan Davies and newly elected Craig Ingram. Negotiations began between the Coalition and the three independents. While Kennett acceded to all but two of their demands, his perceived poor treatment of Savage and Davies in the previous parliament meant that they would not even consider supporting a Coalition minority government headed by Kennett. On 18 October, two days after Labor won the supplementary election in Frankston East, the independents announced they would support a Labor minority government. The agreement entailed Labor signing a Charter of Good Government, pledging to restore services to rural areas, and promising parliamentary reforms. Kennett's supporters urged the Coalition to force a vote of 'no confidence' on the floor of the parliament in a last-ditch effort to force Savage, Davies and Ingram to support Kennett. However, with the Liberals divided on Kennett's future role, Kennett retired from all of his offices, saying he wished to have no further involvement in politics. Labor won the ensuing by-election in Burwood. Rumoured returns to politics Following the Liberals' second successive defeat in the 2002 election, rumours began that Kennett was planning a comeback to politics. The issue came to a head in May 2006 after the sudden resignation of Kennett's successor, Robert Doyle, when Kennett announced he would contemplate standing in a by-election for Doyle's old seat of Malvern and offering himself as party leader. His stance was supported by Prime Minister John Howard, who rated him as the party's best hope to win the November 2006 state election. But within 24 hours Kennett announced he would not return to Parliament rather than running against Ted Baillieu, whom Kennett had been grooming for the top post since 1999. John Howard was reported to have been "embarrassed" by having publicly supported Kennett before his decision not to re-enter politics. In 2008, it was rumoured that Kennett was planning to stand for Lord Mayor of Melbourne. Despite endorsing future Lord Mayor John So in the 2001 mayoral elections, Kennett was quoted as saying "I think the city is ready for a change". Kennett claimed he had been approached by "a range of interests" to run for the position, but in the end did not do so. Former Liberal leader Robert Doyle ultimately won the election. 2020: Indigenous voice to government On 15 January 2020, it was announced that Kennett would be one of the members of the National Co-design Group of the Indigenous voice to government. Life after politics Kennett at the 2018 VFL Grand Final In 2000, Kennett became the inaugural chairman of beyondblue (the National Depression Initiative), a body that was largely formed by the efforts of the Victorian State Government. On 24 June 2008, he announced that he would be stepping down from his role at beyondblue at the end of 2010. This did not happen. After 17 years as the chair of beyondblue, he stood down in 2017, handing the reins to former PM Julia Gillard. He stated "beyondblue is part of my DNA, outside my family, it has been my most important role. Kennett has previously served on the boards of Australian Seniors Finance, a reverse mortgage company, and SelecTV, which was a satellite television group. Kennett has said in an interview that he rarely thinks about the media or "bloody history", though he regrets the "disastrous" introduction of the Metcard ticketing system for trains and trams. Kennett angered gay rights groups in July 2008 when he supported the Bonnie Doon Football Club in their sacking of trainer Ken Campagnolo for being bisexual; and compared homosexuality to pedophilia. Anti-discrimination campaigner Gary Burns pursued an action in the NSW Administrative Decisions Tribunal against Kennett for making the following statement: "The club felt that once this had been pointed out and you had this gentleman there who was obviously close to young men – massaging young men – it ran an unnecessary risk, and that's why it decided it was best that he not perform those duties again. So the club was trying to do the right thing," The case was dropped due to Gary Burns' lack of funds to pursue the case. Hawthorn FC presidency On 14 December 2005, Kennett was made president of Hawthorn Football Club, taking over from Ian Dicker. Following the exit of the St Kilda Football Club from the Tasmanian AFL market in 2006, Kennett was president when the Hawthorn Football Club negotiated a five-year sponsorship deal with the Tasmanian state government. The sponsorship deal was worth an estimated $12 million for which the Tasmanian government bought naming rights to the club's guernsey, and the HFC committed to playing an agreed number of pre-season and four regular season "home games" at York Park.[56] Kennett was instrumental in Hawthorn's 2007 5-year business plan titled "five2fifty", the core idea being that in the next five years the club will target to win 2 premierships and have fifty thousand members. As part of the plan, the football club wants to be seen as the most professional club in the AFL, and places great emphasis on the welfare of the people associated with the club. Following Hawthorn's 2008 AFL Grand Final victory over Geelong, Kennett claimed that the Cats "lacked the mentality to defeat Hawthorn", this being in reference to the Cats' inability to counter-attack the running game of the Hawks in the aforementioned Grand Final. Kennett's comments led to the subsequent eleven-match losing streak for Hawthorn against Geelong becoming known as the "Kennett curse". He stepped down at the end of his second three-year term in 2011, he also changed the club's constitution so that presidents could only serve two 3-year terms. Second stint Kennett at an AFL Women's match in 2023 In what Fox Footy described as a "stunning return",[59] Kennett was announced as the president of the Hawthorn Football Club on 4 October 2017 following the sudden resignation of the incumbent president Richard Garvey. Garvey had taken criticism on the hiring and later sacking of club CEO Tracey Gaudry. Kennett subsequently appointed Justin Reeves as the club's new CEO. On 4 October 2017 he announced that he would serve the position for a full 3-year term. Soon after his re-appointment, Kennett and the club released a vision statement outlining the future of the club up to 2050. The first five-year strategic plan titled 'Dare to be Different' will drive the club's priorities from 2018 to 2022. Kennett said: "Hawthorn we aren't ones to sit back and wait, we work hard to achieve and deliver exciting results, on and off the field. Our vision for our strategic plan, "Dare to be Different", encapsulates this as we continue to strive for excellence. "We have set ourselves some ambitious targets but all are within our grasp if we continue to innovate, grow and forge new frontiers within the AFL industry." On 6 July 2021, Kennett and the Hawthorn board announced that they would not be renewing head coach Alastair Clarkson's contract following its expiry at the conclusion of the 2022 AFL Premiership season. It was announced that Box Hill Hawks and Hawthorn development coach, former player Sam Mitchell had been chosen by Kennett and the board to become the Hawthorn coach at the end of Clarkson's reign. Chairman of The Original Juice Company On 12 December 2022, The Original Juice Company announced that it would appoint Kennett as Chairman and Non-Executive Director. Honours In the Australia Day Honours of 2005, Kennett received Australia's then highest civilian honour, when he was made a Companion of the Order of Australia (AC). The honour was for "service to the Victorian Parliament and the introduction of initiatives for economic and social benefit, to business and commerce, and to the community in the development of the arts, sport and mental health awareness strategies." In May 2000, he was also awarded an honorary doctorate – DBus (Honoris Causa) – by the University of Ballarat. Media work For a brief period during 2002, Kennett was a radio presenter for Melbourne station 3AK, continuing an interest in mass communication which was also a feature of his premiership. Since 2010, Kennett has been a regular contributor to Neil Mitchell's 3AW radio program every Thursday, as a social commentator. On 28 March 2013 it was announced that Kennett had joined the Seven television network as national political commentator which will involve him appearing on breakfast show Sunrise every Tuesday and on Seven news as required. On 12 February 2017 Jeff Kennett engaged ex-Seven West Media employee on Twitter over leaked documents potentially breaching the company's own gag order on Amber Harrison.  

Just before 4.30pm last Wednesday, Antony Green called it for the ABC: Greens leader Adam Bandt had lost his seat. Fifteen years after Bandt won the inner-urban seat of Melbourne from the ALP, Labor has taken it back – along with two of the Greens’ other three seats – leaving the party with just a single MP in the House of Representatives and without a leader. The wipeout came as a shock to the Greens, who had high hopes of increasing their number of representatives in parliament. But despite the shock result, this election sits alongside 2010 and 2022 as among the party’s largest ever share of votes. Today, national correspondent for The Saturday Paper, Mike Seccombe, on where it all went wrong, and what now for the Greens. If you enjoy 7am, the best way you can support us is by making a contribution at 7ampodcast.com.au/support. Socials: Stay in touch with us on Instagram Guest: National correspondent for The Saturday Paper, Mike Seccombe Photo: AAP Image / Diego FedeleSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tune in to this episode of Unnatural Selection for an inside look at ABC's on-air drama, expert breakdowns and the unforgettable moments that defined Australia Votes 2025. This episode has been edited down from a longer live stream.  Early in the evening, Antony Green called a Labor majority. Antony Green delivered his final on-air analysis after 36 years, walking viewers through seat-by-seat results. Mid-evening saw Opposition Leader Peter Dutton unseated in Dickson by Labor's Ali France—the first time an opposition leader has lost their own seat in 125 years. Dutton's concession speech and his first show of human emotion. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's emotional victory speech promised cost-of-living relief, healthcare expansion and accelerated climate action

You're about to hear a side of Antony Green you've never heard before. The longtime Chief Election Analyst for the ABC is about to hang up his boots, after calling close to 100 elections in his time. He's the guy we look to as the polling booths close, crunching the numbers, understanding the swings, and with a brain and knowledge bank that would rival the best computers. Antony is an icon, and arguably the most trusted person in Australia.But who is he behind the numbers? Get ready to find out, as we Take 5 and analyse the man himself across five songs.Traffic – 'The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys'Pretenders – 'Up The Neck'Pete Shelley – 'Telephone Operator'Simple Minds – 'I Travel'D:Ream – 'Things Can Only Get Better'

As the election campaign comes to a close, Charles and Dom gather their thoughts on the last five weeks from Dutton and Albanese. Charles is as reserved as ever, and provides the calm and partisan analysis that will see him replace Antony Green. Meanwhile Dom makes an extremely bold prediction about the outcome for a certain H. Fong. Tune in on Monday to see how much of this was completely off the mark. Good luck voting! You can lose the ads and get more content! Become a Chaser Report VIP member at http://apple.co/thechaser OR https://plus.acast.com/s/the-chaser-report. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Opinion polls suggest Labor and Anthony Albanese will win Saturday's election, but the ABC's chief elections analyst Antony Green says it's not worth predicting results.He'll let the numbers do the talking as they come in on election night.Antony is usually the first to accurately reveal the result and this election will be his last as a presenter on the ABC after more than 30 years in the role.Today, from seats, swings and preferences to minority governments, he tells us what to look out for and shares his message to voters about the democratic process. Featured: Antony Green, ABC chief elections analyst

Political commentator Robert Godden returns to examine how Trump's policies ripple through South Australian vineyards and shipyards, while introducing us to diverse local voters shaping our electoral landscape - from climate-conscious Ellie in Goodwood to disillusioned Mick in Morphett Vale. Robert's record for calling elections correctly stands firm as he reveals which South Australian electorates might swing in the upcoming federal vote. Though Labor appears headed for a reduced majority, the real question is how our vote might influence America's orange-tinted decisions affecting our exports and defence agreements. In the Musical Pilgrimage, Lizzie Hosking's soulful track "Can't Figure You Out" perfectly captures the electoral indecision many South Australians face heading into the May 3rd poll, while a Good Friday interview with Richard Pascoe uncovers the gruesome history buried at St. Mary's Anglican Church. There is no SA Drink Of The Week this week. You can navigate episodes using chapter markers in your podcast app. Not a fan of one segment? You can click next to jump to the next chapter in the show. We're here to serve! The Adelaide Show Podcast: Awarded Silver for Best Interview Podcast in Australia at the 2021 Australian Podcast Awards and named as Finalist for Best News and Current Affairs Podcast in the 2018 Australian Podcast Awards. And please consider becoming part of our podcast by joining our Inner Circle. It's an email list. Join it and you might get an email on a Sunday or Monday seeking question ideas, guest ideas and requests for other bits of feedback about YOUR podcast, The Adelaide Show. Email us directly and we'll add you to the list: podcast@theadelaideshow.com.au If you enjoy the show, please leave us a 5-star review in iTunes or other podcast sites, or buy some great merch from our Red Bubble store - The Adelaide Show Shop. We'd greatly appreciate it. And please talk about us and share our episodes on social media, it really helps build our community. Oh, and here's our index of all episode in one concisepage. Running Sheet: From Trump to Two Wells - SA's Political Crossroads In AusVotes 2025 00:00:00 Intro Introduction 00:00:00 SA Drink Of The Week No South Australian Drink Of The Week, this week. 00:03:41 Robert Godden Robert Godden, our regular political analyst who correctly called the 2018 South Australian election before Antony Green, joins us to examine the upcoming federal election through a South Australian lens. With the shadow of Donald Trump's presidency louring over international relations, the conversation begins with the "Trump factor" and its potential impacts on our state. "We can look at what happened with China when they put tariffs on us," Robert explains when discussing Trump's trade war implications for South Australian exports like beef, wine, and seafood. "Remember Christmas before last when people were indulging in lobster who'd never had it before because it was so cheap?" He suggests diversification of markets is essential, noting how Australia pivoted successfully during the China tariff challenge. The conversation takes a more serious turn when examining the AUKUS agreement, with Robert noting that America's treatment of Australia has drawn criticism even from US politicians like Democratic Senator Mark Warner. "He spent a good half hour listing all the reasons... anyone with brains and shame would've gone, 'He's right, let's help Australia out.' But Trump hasn't shown great quantities of either." Robert's assessment of climate policy delivers perhaps the episode's most cutting insight: "The easiest way for the Liberals to have a chance at getting back in power would be to embrace the climate cause." He argues that the six Teal candidates in parliament are essentially "liberals with climate views," representing votes the Coalition has surrendered to independents. When Steve asks whether anything Australia does could influence Trump's policies, Robert responds with characteristic frankness: "He doesn't understand international trade. I mean, look, he doesn't understand shoelaces." The interview shifts to a fascinating examination of voter personas Robert has created, representing different South Australian demographics and their voting intentions. These include Ellie from Goodwood (a 29-year-old non-binary arts worker voting Green), Tyler from Lightsview (a 21-year-old apprentice electrician leaning Liberal), Andrew from Aldgate (a 45-year-old high school teacher supporting Rebecca Sharkie), Mick from Morphett Vale (a 53-year-old injured truck driver voting One Nation), and Jade from Christies Beach (a financially stretched childcare worker who remains undecided). When discussing cost of living concerns, Robert delivers one of the episode's most provocative statements: "If Peter Dutton wants to win this election at all costs, all he has to do is chuck money at people. If he said to the electorate, 'If you vote for me, I'll give you $300 a week from now until the next election' – job done." Robert heartily recommends using the ABC Vote Compass to help you see where you sit idealogically, and how that aligns to the parties. 01:04:04 St Mary's Anglican Church Cemetary Steve shares a recording from his Good Friday conversation with Richard Pascoe on FiveAA, discussing the upcoming cemetery tour at St. Mary's Anglican Church on Saturday, May 17, 2025, from 10am to 2pm. The segment reveals fascinating South Australian history, including the burial sites of Richard Hamilton (father of South Australia's wine industry) and Benjamin Herschel Babbage (son of computing pioneer Charles Babbage). The conversation takes a macabre turn as Steve describes university researchers' discoveries in the cemetery's pauper section, including bodies broken to fit into smaller coffins, teeth ravaged by untreated cavities, and even evidence of leprosy in early South Australia. "It just fires up gratitude for me of what we've actually been able to achieve," Steve reflects, noting how easily we forget the harsh realities our ancestors faced. 01:16:06 Musical Pilgrimage In the Musical Pilgrimage, we feature Can't Figure You Out by Lizzie Hosking. Steve praises her "breathy and hearty voice" with its "clear, clean, strong" qualities that draw listeners in. The song's sultry jazz feel and title perfectly mirror the electoral indecision many South Australians feel approaching the May 3rd federal poll. As Steve notes, "I chose it because frankly, I can't figure out who is worthy of my vote."Support the show: https://theadelaideshow.com.au/listen-or-download-the-podcast/adelaide-in-crowd/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Australians are guaranteed to head to the polls in the first five months of 2025.And while high interest rates and cost of living pressures are expected to be the top concerns for both major parties and voters, the battleground itself will also look different, with new changes to electoral seats and boundaries. Today, the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst Antony Green speaks with ABC News Radio's Tom Melville about why the next parliament is set to change.Featured: Antony Green, ABC Chief Elections Analyst

To discuss what's the potential outcome of the Queensland election and what that could mean for the federal Labor government, we're joined by the ABC's election specialist, Antony Green and The Australian's Queensland editor, Michael McKenna.

The March 2 byelection in the outer suburban Melbourne seat of Dunkley is a challenge for the government. Labor goes in as the favourite but at a time of high cost of living will it's 6.3 margin be enough?

Does AI understand Australian politics? Is ChatGPT a reliable source of information? Well, I asked it to explain elections, the Senate, and the House of Representatives and I was initially impressed by what it got right - followed by mortified by just how incredibly blatantly wrong it could be. So, enjoy! Come learn a thing or two about how parliament works and also the pitfalls of AI generated information. IMPORTANT NOTE: I say in this episode that to increase the House of Representatives the easiest way is to give the Territories more Senators. Apparently, the House increases based off the Senate representation from the States - not the Territories. Here's a blog post by Antony Green for more detail: https://antonygreen.com.au/would-creating-extra-senators-for-the-territories-increase-the-house-of-representatives/ Support the channel on patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/AuspolExplained Like Auspol Explained on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Auspol-Explained-107892180702388 Auspol Explained would like to acknowledge the Whadjuk Nyoongar people and their Elders as the owners and custodians of the Land that the episode was recorded and edited on. This Land was stolen and never ceded. It always was and always will be Aboriginal Land.

On the eve of the referendum, we're bringing you a special episode of The Voice Referendum Explained. Hosts Carly Williams and Fran Kelly were joined by the ABC's elections analyst Antony Green for a live session answering some of our audience's biggest questions about the referendum. This is your last chance for a recap before entering the ballot box.This Week will return next week with David Lipson.

Ben is joined by ABC chief election analyst Antony Green for the 100th episode of the Tally Room podcast to discuss the many redistributions currently underway around Australia: federal redistributions, state and territory redistributions and even local council ward redistributions. We discuss the population trends affecting the drawing of federal boundaries, the process of drawing, and how we make estimates of margins in new electorates. Read Antony's most recent post about prospects for the NSW federal redistribution. This podcast is supported by the Tally Room's supporters on Patreon. If you find this podcast worthwhile please consider giving your support.

Antony Green is well known as the ABC's Election Data Specialist, and he generously shared his time and expertise in a wide ranging conversation about the statistics of elections, how stats are misused, and what he wishes everyone knew about data. Turns out there's a vast amount of preparation that goes into those fascinating election night broadcasts.

We're all facing the financial pressures that come with the spiralling cost of everything, and on the weekend residents in one state will get the chance to punish politicians for it.  In New South Wales, Australia's longest-serving state government is asking voters for an unprecedented fourth term, and polls and history suggest it could be a tall order.  Today, the ABC's elections analyst, Antony Green, on why the NSW coalition government might not survive, as voters find it harder and harder to make ends meet. Featured:  Antony Green, ABC elections analyst 

We're all facing the financial pressures that come with the spiralling cost of everything, and on the weekend residents in one state will get the chance to punish politicians for it.  In New South Wales, Australia's longest-serving state government is asking voters for an unprecedented fourth term, and polls and history suggest it could be a tall order.  Today, the ABC's elections analyst, Antony Green, on why the NSW coalition government might not survive, as voters find it harder and harder to make ends meet. Featured:  Antony Green, ABC elections analyst 

Australia's most populous state heads to the ballot box on Saturday, so in this week's Squiz Shortcut, we take a look at the vibe after 12 years of Coalition government, the relative newbies battling to be Premier, and the big pitches and promises of their campaigns. Squiz recommends: ABC election analyst Antony Green on where the NSW election will be decided Deborah Snow's feature profiles on Dominic Perrottet and Chris Minns

Voters in New South Wales are heading to the polling booths on March 25. For both Premier Dominic Perrottet and Labor leader Chris Minns, it is their first election as leader. The Coalition government has held power since 2011. Labor needs to gain a net nine seats to form majority government. If Labor wins, the party will be in power in every state and territory except Tasmania. There are 10 seats in this election that are on a margin of less than 6%, including Minns' seat of Kogarah on 0.1%. In several contests the fate of “teal' candidates will be watched. Spending and donation caps, and optional preferential voting make the teals' path to victory more difficult than in the federal election. In this podcast, Michelle Grattan speaks with Antony Green, the ABC's election analyst, Professor Andy Marks, from the University of Western Sydney, and Ashleigh Raper, the ABC's NSW state political reporter.

Labor looks set to form majority government after the ABC's Antony Green declared the seat of Macnamara in inner Melbourne for Josh Burns. With postal votes in Gilmore also favouring Labor, it could be a 77 seat majority.

The post election recap continues as the entire Chaser team aim their biting criticism towards the one sacred topic all other media groups fear to touch: Antony Green. Is he an election genius, or would we be better off getting election analysis from Mr Bean? Listen as Chris and Chas make their case for who gave the best coverage of the 2022 Federal Election. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information. You can lose the ads and get more content! Become a Chaser Report member at https://plus.acast.com/s/the-chaser-report.

ABC's Chief Election Analyst unpacks Saturday's 'seismic shift' in Australia's political landscape.

Millions of Australians will head to the ballot box tomorrow, where they could deliver Scott Morrison a second 'miracle' victory, or this time prove opinion polling right and vote in Anthony Albanese.  The ABC's election analyst, Antony Green, is usually the first person to call the election result on the night.  So how does he do it? Featured:  Antony Green, ABC chief elections analyst

Millions of Australians will head to the ballot box tomorrow, where they could deliver Scott Morrison a second 'miracle' victory, or this time prove opinion polling right and vote in Anthony Albanese.  The ABC's election analyst, Antony Green, is usually the first person to call the election result on the night.  So how does he do it? Featured:  Antony Green, ABC chief elections analyst

The election is upon us. And for plenty of people, that means the ABC is getting a run on a Saturday night. The star of the show, and the man the nation will look to for a verdict on this whole thing is Antony Green. He joins us to give a run down on the magic behind the coverage, and how he makes the final call.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What do One Nation's Pauline Hanson and Labor's Tanya Plibersek have in common? They are both winning the battle for eyeballs on social media, says a top Facebook official. In the final episode before polling day of our election podcast Below the Line, our regular panel talks to Mia Garlick, Facebook's Director of Policy in Australia and New Zealand, about the ways politicians use the social media platform in election campaigns. Our political scientists quiz Garlick on how transparent the company is about the political advertising it carries and the assistance it provides to big-spending campaigners. Video content is an increasingly important way for politicians to get their messages across to online audiences. Aside from Hanson and Plibersek, Garlick says politicians who are doing video messaging particularly well this election include the Liberal party's Lucy Wicks and Jason Falinski, and founder of the Reason party Fiona Patten. Andrea Carson says the digital campaign will ramp up once the three-day blackout on broadcast and newspaper political ads comes into effect on Wednesday evening, because online ads are outside the law's reach. Jon Faine describes the law as “absurd” in the digital age, akin to using Morse Code. Faine also asks the panel why Prime Minister Scott Morrison vowed this week to no longer be “a bulldozer”. “It was a significant shift on Scott Morrison's part,” says Anika Gauja, in recognition that the public seems to want a more positive campaign than it has been getting. But with more than five million pre-poll and postal votes already cast, according to ABC election analyst Antony Green, has Morrison's mea culpa come too late? Below the Line is a limited-edition election podcast brought to you by The Conversation and La Trobe University. It is produced by Courtney Carthy and Benjamin Clark. To become one of the thousands of people who help The Conversation produce journalism by experts, make a tax-deductible donation here. Below the Line will broadcast one last episode after the election result next week. If you have a question you would like the panel to answer, email us at: belowtheline@theconversation.edu.au Disclosures: Andrea Carson has received funding for research projects from Facebook. Jon Faine does freelance work for Industry Super Australia, a peak body for industry superannuation funds. Simon Jackman is an unpaid consultant on polling data for the Climate 200 network of independent candidates. Image credit: James Ross/AAP

In the final days of the federal election campaign, ABC chief elections analyst Antony Green tells Fran Kelly and Patricia Karvelas whether Labor can win without picking up any seats in Queensland, while Sabra Lane weighs in on whether Anthony Albanese's wages pledge is helping or hurting his campaign. PK and Fran have views to share on that too! Also on the party agenda, how long will we be waiting on election night?

Australians will be casting their votes in just over a week, and if the opinion polls are to be believed, the Morrison government could be headed for a loss. There are many independent candidates, including the so-called 'teal independents', who are contesting some government held seats. The so-called teal candidates are a loose grouping of individuals who don't belong to a political party, but do share a common interest in wanting more action on climate change and political integrity. Antony Green, the ABC's election analyst, explains the challenges facing Scott Morrison's government this election.

This week it's time to talk about preferences. Not in regards to whether you think coriander tastes like soap, but where your voting preferences will go on polling day. We are joined by political expert Antony Green, who runs us through the ins and outs, and lets us know whether a vote for the Animal Justice Party can somehow result in One Nation getting another seat in the senate. Have a listen.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In the lead up to the federal election, as the parties vie for voter's attention, Sydney Ideas brings together a panel of experts to examine some of the key policy issues that are shaping this election, such as the economy, climate change, and more. FEATURING: – Professor Anika Gauja, Australian politics specialist – Antony Green, ABC's Chief Election Analyst – Associate Professor Elizabeth Hill, political economist – Professor Duncan Ivison, political philosopher – Kishor Napier-Raman, politics reporter for Crikey – Moderator: Fran Kelly, journalist and political correspondent The recording for this podcast is from a live Sydney Ideas event, presented in collaboration with School of Social and Political Sciences, on Thursday 28 April, 2022. This event is the first part of our 2022 federal election series. Stayed tuned for Part 2, after the election. For more information and resources, visit the Sydney Ideas website: https://bit.ly/3LFO3v1

Welcome to our 2022 Election Special!!! Tune in to find out which iconic bimbo matches your preferred political party, why Antony Green is the hero we don't deserve, and what on earth the Great Australian Party is (CW: Pete Evans :/). We also de-mystify the minor parties and their sneaky name changes (Smashed Avocado Party for Senate, anyone?) Oh, and we discuss major issues and policy platforms, if that's your thing. Required Reading: https://votecompass.abc.net.au/ https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/australia-s-presidential-politics https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-20/federal-election-liberal-labor-nationals-greens-policy-positions/100482298 https://www.auspublaw.org/blog/2022/04/whats-in-a-name-political-party-names-and-ruddick-v-commonwealth https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10749393/Fauziah-Ibrahim-fire-ABC-Weekend-Breakfast-host-vanishes-TV.html https://twitter.com/AusElectoralCom/status/1518450644738514944 Music Credit: https://uppbeat.io/t/cruen/the-lowdown License code: PPH9FBEMASHOI7PB https://uppbeat.io/t/cruen/in-the-now License code: 5WQG1LQRLH7QMYPC NB: All opinions are our own and this podcast is for humorous and fun analytical discourse only!

Full video version of this episode available on https://www.youtube.com/c/SeriousDangerAU  It takes a lot of Lego to bring down a maverick. Emerald and Tom talk scare campaigns (5:33) and the evil Cashless Debit Card. Then some explanation on how preferential voting actually works (38:53), despite what some parties and the media pretend. Finally, a call to action (59:06). Links - ABC on Cashless Debit Card campaign: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-21/how-facebook-post-fuelled-cashless-debit-card-scare-campaign/101003548  Friendlyjordies “Who will the Greens give preferences to?”: https://www.friendlyjordies.com/post/greens-preferences  Antony Green's analysis of 2019 preference flows: https://antonygreen.com.au/preference-flows-at-the-2019-federal-election/ Charts: https://antonygreen.com.au/graphs-of-the-day-a-few-charts-on-preference-flows-at-the-2019-election/ Produced by Michael Griffin https://seriousdangerpod.com Support the show: http://patreon.com/seriousdangerau See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Climate activist, clean energy investor and son of Australia's first billionaire, Simon Holmes a Court, is on a mission this election to strip the Liberal Party of some of its safest and wealthiest seats. He's helping to fund the so-called 'teal independents', a group of mainly professional women campaigning on climate change and integrity in government. Today, the ABC's chief elections analyst Antony Green on their chances of success, and what power they'd have if we end up with a hung parliament. Featured: Antony Green, ABC chief elections analyst

Climate activist, clean energy investor and son of Australia's first billionaire, Simon Holmes a Court, is on a mission this election to strip the Liberal Party of some of its safest and wealthiest seats. He's helping to fund the so-called 'teal independents', a group of mainly professional women campaigning on climate change and integrity in government. Today, the ABC's chief elections analyst Antony Green on their chances of success, and what power they'd have if we end up with a hung parliament. Featured: Antony Green, ABC chief elections analyst

The election campaign is underway, with the prime minister Scott Morrison yesterday nominating May 21 as the date we all head to the polls.  So will the promises the leaders make in the weeks ahead ultimately change the minds of voters?  The ABC's election analyst doesn't think so.  Today, Antony Green explains to us how he sees the election campaign unfolding, and which groups of voters and which issues really count in determining who can form government. Featured:  Antony Green, ABC chief elections analyst

The election campaign is underway, with the prime minister Scott Morrison yesterday nominating May 21 as the date we all head to the polls.  So will the promises the leaders make in the weeks ahead ultimately change the minds of voters?  The ABC's election analyst doesn't think so.  Today, Antony Green explains to us how he sees the election campaign unfolding, and which groups of voters and which issues really count in determining who can form government. Featured:  Antony Green, ABC chief elections analyst

The NSW Coalition government is in turmoil, after the sudden departure of three senior figures: Gladys Berejiklian, John Barilaro and Andrew Constance. The departures mean there will be a string of by-elections and the numbers in state Parliament are already tight.

RN Breakfast has received correspondence asking why we are reporting that Joe Biden has "won" the US election, and why we are referring to him as the "President-elect", when President Donald Trump has not conceded defeat.

What is the state of the State after Saturday's election? The ABC's election analyst Antony Green runs his eye over the seats that remain in doubt and uncovers some of the key factors that put Labor back in power. Also, what happened to One Nation? Is the Green's victory in another seat cause for broader optimism for the party? Has Clive Palmer proven you cannot buy votes? Additionally, Steve and Matt pick through Steve's brave predictions from last week to see how they hold up. The Monday after an election… it's a brutal reckoning.

What is the state of the State after Saturday’s election? The ABC’s election analyst Antony Green runs his eye over the seats that remain in doubt and uncovers some of the key factors that put Labor back in power. Also, what happened to One Nation? Is the Green’s victory in another seat cause for broader optimism for the party? Has Clive Palmer proven you cannot buy votes? Additionally, Steve and Matt pick through Steve’s brave predictions from last week to see how they hold up. The Monday after an election… it’s a brutal reckoning.

The campaign is basically done and now the future of Queensland is in the hands of the people who call it home. So how is it going to pan out? The Matters of State team (well mainly Steve) step boldly into the unknown and put their reputations on the line with some daring predictions. Also, Steph summarises life on the campaign bus and Matt tells us the story about why Winston Churchill was involved in the process that resulted in Queensland having no upper house of Parliament.

The campaign is basically done and now the future of Queensland is in the hands of the people who call it home. So how is it going to pan out? The Matters of State team (well mainly Steve) step boldly into the unknown and put their reputations on the line with some daring predictions. Also, Steph summarises life on the campaign bus and Matt tells us the story about why Winston Churchill was involved in the process that resulted in Queensland having no upper house of Parliament.

Robbie Katter from Katter's Australian Party and Michael Berkman from the Queensland Greens occupy very different places in the political landscape. But if the election fails to deliver a majority, the major parties will come knocking. What is going to be negotiated? What is on the table? And despite disagreeing on many things, why do they believe that minority government benefits Queensland? Also, Steph Zillman on the trail at a mango farm and Matt Wordsworth appraises the worst parliament in Queensland's history.

Robbie Katter from Katter's Australian Party and Michael Berkman from the Queensland Greens occupy very different places in the political landscape. But if the election fails to deliver a majority, the major parties will come knocking. What is going to be negotiated? What is on the table? And despite disagreeing on many things, why do they believe that minority government benefits Queensland? Also, Steph Zillman on the trail at a mango farm and Matt Wordsworth appraises the worst parliament in Queensland's history.

Michele Levine has been asking people what they think for three decades. Today, the CEO of Roy Morgan runs through some specially commissioned research for Matters of State into what Queensland voters are most worried about if a Labor or a LNP government are in power after October 31st. Also, it seems younger people want the border to New South Wales to stay closed, Steve makes some bold predictions he may live to regret and Matt explains why art and committees don't mix through the story of the construction of the Queensland parliament.

Michele Levine has been asking people what they think for three decades. Today, the CEO of Roy Morgan runs through some specially commissioned research for Matters of State into what Queensland voters are most worried about if a Labor or a LNP government are in power after October 31st. Also, it seems younger people want the border to New South Wales to stay closed, Steve makes some bold predictions he may live to regret and Matt explains why art and committees don't mix through the story of the construction of the Queensland parliament.

Today Steve and Matt try to evaluate the impact of a global pandemic on the Queensland election.

Today Steve and Matt try to evaluate the impact of a global pandemic on the Queensland election.

The whole world seems to be in love with debt and deficit, including Australia and of course Queensland. But does it matter? Steve Hamilton was born and bred in Buderim on the Sunshine Coast, but these days he is Assistant Professor of Economics at The George Washington University in Washington, DC. He can live with the deficit (and explains why), puts the boot into Modern Monetary Theory and gives his roadmap of how Queensland can recover from the COVID-19 crisis. ABC Political Reporter Steph Zillman laments the mind-numbing repetition of hi-viz announcements and Matt Wordsworth drops a bomb.

The whole world seems to be in love with debt and deficit, including Australia and of course Queensland. But does it matter? Steve Hamilton was born and bred in Buderim on the Sunshine Coast, but these days he is Assistant Professor of Economics at The George Washington University in Washington, DC. He can live with the deficit (and explains why), puts the boot into Modern Monetary Theory and gives his roadmap of how Queensland can recover from the COVID-19 crisis. ABC Political Reporter Steph Zillman laments the mind-numbing repetition of hi-viz announcements and Matt Wordsworth drops a bomb.

You're being manipulated and you don't even know it. This week Steve and Matt sit down with two people who have made careers in understanding why people do what they do. Christine Jackman and Brendan Greaney reveal the factors that change the minds of voters, including Brendan's patented 4 P's of political influence. Also, Steph Zillman orders a chicken schnitty in Hervey Bay and we find out when Queensland parliament was stormed by a bunch of armed men known as the Social Justice League, some of whom may have a connection with a former great Queensland cricketer.   

You’re being manipulated and you don’t even know it. This week Steve and Matt sit down with two people who have made careers in understanding why people do what they do. Christine Jackman and Brendan Greaney reveal the factors that change the minds of voters, including Brendan’s patented 4 P’s of political influence. Also, Steph Zillman orders a chicken schnitty in Harvey Bay and we find out when Queensland parliament was stormed by a bunch of armed men known as the Social Justice League, some of whom may have a connection with a former great Queensland cricketer.   

It has been over five years since Campbell Newman was the Premier of Queensland, but his legacy remains. However, it is a history that the Queensland Labor Government seem more willing to revisit than his own Liberal National Party. In this episode, a candid Campbell Newman on why he thinks this is one of the oppositions biggest mistakes. Also, Matt has a baby (actual new human) but still manages to give us a history lesson and Steph Zillman on Premier Anastacia Palaszczuk's secret love of dogs.

It has been over five years since Campbell Newman was the Premier of Queensland, but his legacy remains. However, it is a history that the Queensland Labor Government seem more willing to revisit than his own Liberal National Party. In this episode, a candid Campbell Newman on why he thinks this is one of the oppositions biggest mistakes. Also, Matt has a baby (actual new human) but still manages to give us a history lesson and Steph Zillman on Premier Anastacia Palaszczuk's secret love of dogs.

On today's Matter of State, the ABC's election analyst Antony Green gives Matt and Steve a rundown of the seats that he thinks will be key in the upcoming Queensland election. He also explains 'Green's Law', a self-defined creed that explains why he never makes predictions on election outcomes. We catch up with ABC State Political Reporter Steph Zillman (literally) on the campaign bus and Matt gives us his first history lesson in Queensland politics.

On today's Matter of State, the ABC's election analyst Antony Green gives Matt and Steve a rundown of the seats that he thinks will be key in the upcoming Queensland election. He also explains 'Green's Law', a self-defined creed that explains why he never makes predictions on election outcomes. We catch up with ABC State Political Reporter Steph Zillman (literally) on the campaign bus and Matt gives us his first history lesson in Queensland politics.

Ben is joined by William Bowe, the Poll Bludger, to discuss the results of the Eden-Monaro by-election. We then digressed into a discussion of the determination of entitlements of House of Representatives seats for each state, including the abolition of the Northern Territory's second seat and long-term trends for Victoria and Western Australia. Antony Green's blog post about how seats are allocated to Territories Journal article about electoral redistributions discussed by Ben

Our most recent federal election shocked almost everyone. Join Bela Stantic, Rebecca Huntley, Antony Green and David Speers for insight on why the polls missed it, whether polling will ever be trusted again, and what it might look like in the future. Recorded at ANTIDOTE 2019.

The United Kingdom heads to the polls on 12 December. But how well does this electoral system work? Is ‘first past the post’ still the right system for the UK, and if not, what should replace it and how can we get there? What should we make of recent proposals to lower the voting age to 16 and introduce voter ID? What other changes might be required to produce a Parliament that better reflects public will? In this panel discussion, we asked how well the electoral system works, how it affects trust in government and Parliament, and how it might be improved. Our panel included: Antony Green, election analyst at the Australian Broadcasting Corporation Darren Hughes, chief executive of the Electoral Reform Society John McTernan, commentator and former adviser to Tony Blair Mandu Reid, leader of the Women’s Equality Party. The event was chaired by Emma Norris, director of research at the Institute for Government. There was an opportunity for questions from the audience.

Thomas goes all Antony Green on us, the lounge room floods, Thomas declares next week's movie a cheat, and Colin -in retaliation - has him keel-hauled. Join in the fun by joining the Facebook Group Still Under Wraps ; a search on Facebook should find it, or you can grab this cumbersome link: https://www.facebook.com/groups/372745439978124/ Find our current Leader Board and guesses so far for "What's on the Shelf?" at https://stillunderwraps.blogspot.com/ And if you want to listen to Thomas do his own unauthorised spin-off Podcast discussing (maybe) the exact same viewing of this film, sign up to Uninhibited Meat Noises (if only to find out why it's called that!) at https://anchor.fm/meatnoises/ Colin uses the My Movies app to keep track of his DVDs and Blu-rays, and to filter and select those that are "Still Under Wraps". Check it out here: https://www.mymovies.dk/home.aspx

This week Nicola Castleman interviewed Chris Brayne, Member for Nepean in the Victorian Parliament. They spoke about his stunning win in 2018 which left Antony Green stuck for words, the journey via Indonesia to his brand new parliamentary career and a little bit about the gorgeous Mornington Peninsula he loves so much.

The country’s largest analytical survey undertaken on an Indigenous voice to parliament has revealed widespread community support for the proposal.

The country’s largest analytical survey undertaken on an Indigenous voice to parliament has revealed widespread community support for the proposal.

In this episode, we continue to explore the wonders of Australian democracy as we approach the final week of the federal election campaign, and more.We talk about truth and lies, eggs, LSD, Garfield, canned water, science, the Australian Federal Police, and even conspiracy theories. Once again, I'm joined by Nicholas Fryer.The 9pm Edict is supported by the generosity of its listeners. If you enjoyed this podcast, perhaps subscribe for special benefits or throw a few coins into the tip jar.SPECIAL CHARITY DEAL: Half of all your tips past the first $400 will be donated to the Black Dog Institute, to help them help you cope with the resulting depression. Please throw a few coins into the tip jar or subscribe for added benefits. This deal runs until whenever the ABC's Antony Green calls the election on 18 May.For all the details:https://stilgherrian.com/edict/00086/Tip me and the Black Dog Institute, half each:https://skank.com.au/tip/

Ladies and Gentlemen, here's the full four-hour recording of my latest stupid podcast idea: a livestreamed reading of minor party election policies, while drinking.Clive Palmer's United Australia Party, Katter's Australian Party (KAP), FRASER ANNING'S CONSERVATIVE NATIONAL PARTY IN ALL CAPITALS, the Rise Up Australia Party, the Involuntary Medication Objectors (Vaccination/Fluoride) Party, the Non-Custodial Parents Party (Equal Parenting), the Love Australia or Leave, and more.SPECIAL CHARITY DEAL: Half of all your tips past the first $400 will be donated to the Black Dog Institute, to help them help you cope with the resulting depression. Please throw a few coins into the tip jar or subscribe for added benefits. This deal runs until whenever the ABC's Antony Green calls the election on 18 MayFor all the details:https://stilgherrian.com/edict/00085/Tip me and the Black Dog Institute, half each until the ABC's Antony Green calls the election result on 18 May:https://skank.com.au/tip/

In this episode, I’m talking with Antony Green about the Australian electoral system and Vote Compass, a tool which allows voters to explore how their views align with the major parties. Antony is an Australian psephologist and commentator. He is the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's election analyst. As well as being an Adjunct Professor University of Sydney in the School of Social and Political Sciences. I spoke with Antony about how he came to be Australia’s best-known election analyst - he said he was in the right place, at the right time, with the right skills. He identified three institutions which define Australian politics: Compulsory voting Preferential voting Bi-cameral Houses of Parliament And highlighted a couple of institutional challenges in Australia The power of our Senate undermines the mandate given to the House of Representatives to implement the policies they took to the election Strict rules around what counts as a validly completed ballot paper results in around one-third to a half of all votes being considered informal. I also asked Antony what he thought of the idea of a Citizens’ Senate. He noted that it would be difficult in practice due to the need to amend the Australian Constitution and that there would be many questions to be answered about how it might work in practice. Anthony has been involved in the development of Vote Compass here in Australia and I asked him about the benefits and limitations of the tool. My interview with Antony was recorded some time ago and we are currently in the midst of a Federal Election here in Australia. As Antony suggested in his comments on Vote Compass, it has been extended to include the ultra-conservative party One Nation. It will be interesting to see the impact of a party to the right of the Liberal/Nationals on where people’s policy preferences align. If you would like to see how your policy preferences align with four of the political parties contesting the upcoming 2019 Federal Election visit the ABC’s Vote Compass.

Breaking down the ballot paper. Host Adam Peacock speaks to ABC's election analyst, Antony Green, about how to vote in a federal election and what your vote really means in the grand scheme of things.

We wrap up all the thrills, spills and National Party fish kills from the crazy night that was NSW State Election 2019. Including: Alan Jones' bizarre video shop remarks, Michael Daley’s lucky pie, Gladys Berejiklian’s sausage-fest, Antony Green's computer crashes and Barnaby Joyce's angry shouting match.  Hosted by Dylan Behan, News Fighters aims to shove the entire 24/7 Australian news cycle right into your ear-holes in less than ten minutes a day. Check out our website at http://www.newsfighters.com Follow us on twitter @newsfighterspod Email us podcast@newsfighters.com Also subscribe to our YouTube channel to enjoy the show with the wacky news clips included:  Subscribe on iTunes!  

Ben is joined by ABC election analyst Antony Green and the ANU's Jill Sheppard in the first episode of 2019 to discuss the New South Wales state election - in particular the rule of optional preferential voting and the increasing popularity of pre-poll voting - as well as the growing number of independents running in federal Liberal seats.

The government’s majority is at stake in the October 20 Wentworth byelection, when the Liberals face voters still reeling from the loss of their member Malcolm Turnbull. ABC election analyst Antony Green says there’s likely to be a 10 per cent swing “as a start” - the result of losing Turnbull’s personal vote and a generally more intense battle. He says “the only danger” to the Liberals not winning the seat is high profile independent Kerryn Phelps but she may have made it harder for herself by “mucking up her preference comments earlier”. Liberal candidate Dave Sharma recognises the public’s disappointment and disillusionment with politicians and if elected is keen to “help improve the tone of the debate in Canberra”. He accepts “absolutely” the science of man-made or anthropogenic climate change and believes in Australia “keeping our international commitments” on Paris. Labor’s Tim Murray is “quite confident” he will finish second on the primary vote (although the ALP’s best chance of ousting the Liberals is to run third and help elect Phelps with its preferences). On the issue of asylum seekers, which has dogged his party, Murray says a Labor government should press for New Zealand to take more than its original offer of an annual 150: “Taking 300 would go a long way to resolving the problem of children being held in detention”. Phelps says she has received a lot of thanks for putting her hand up for Wentworth but has also been subject to “dirty tricks”. Despite her confusing messages on preferences, she’s confident she can come second if enough “disaffected Liberals and people who agree with my progressive policy agenda are prepared to put their support behind [me].”

In the first of three Conversation podcasts on the Western Australian election, we talk to Natalie Mast at the University of Western Australia, Premier Colin Barnett and ABC election analyst Antony Green. Saturday's election potentially carries a hefty national punch. The polls are running strongly against the Liberal government. If Colin Barnett loses, the federal Liberals will become even more jittery, although the defeat would be due primarily to state factors. The election will also test the power of Pauline Hanson's One Nation as a disruptor, with the party set to win state upper house seats. Hanson is on the campaign trail all this week. Her latest provocative comments on immunisation, Vladimir Putin and Muslims - she said on Monday Muslims had changed Australian suburbs - continue to highlight the dubious deal the WA Liberals have done with One Nation on preferences. The deal has alienated some among both Liberal and One Nation supporters. Barnett is anxious to keep maximum distance from Hanson, insisting the preference swap doesn't indicate any wider convergence. He admits that while some people will be unhappy with the deal, “I think overall it will improve the Liberal Party vote. And can I stress there's no agreement with One Nation. I don't endorse their policies. I don't endorse their candidates and there is no agreement about any role in government about legislation or policy.” ABC election analyst Antony Green. Pat Hutchens/TCBarnett, who is promising - ambitiously, given the government's unpopularity - to sell 51% of Western Power, is highly critical of the way the national energy debate has gone. After saying at a news conference on Tuesday there was no such thing as clean coal, Barnett told The Conversation: “Coal has relatively high levels of emissions. Higher quality coal tends to have lower emissions per unit of energy produced. In Western Australia we have had good long-term policies on natural gas and for a power station of an equivalent size, gas powered generation produces less than half of the emissions of coal. So if you want to clean up the energy system in Australia, it seems to me that the bleeding obvious thing to do is to make more use of natural gas in Australia,” he said. He says he watches “with bewilderment” the national debate on energy policy. “Australia, with its huge natural resources of coal, of natural gas, of uranium and so on, has got itself into an absolute mess over energy policy.”

ABC elections analyst, Antony Green, spoke at the ANU School of Politics and International Relations on 12 October 2016. In a lively and entertaining with students and staff, he discusses the findings of his analysis of the 2016 Senate Federal election and the implications of the Senate's new voting system. Placing these changes in their historical context, he finds that the new system has worked well and that some of the more surprising results were likely the result of the double dissolution rather than the reforms. Antony also discusses some possible future implications for the change

The election is over. We may even have a Prime Minister (at least for the next few months or so). Crabb and Sales reflect on what it's like being chained to a desk for nearly seven hours with Scott Morrison and Penny Wong. Crabb gets her hands on Antony Green's (software) package and Sales has been spending a lot of time at home curled up with a variety of good books. Plus: What does Obama do after dark? Let's find out.Portable Curiosities by Julie KohThe One Who Got Away by Caroline OveringtonThe Twisted Knot by J M PeaceThe Healing Party by Micheline LeeGotham by Nick EarlsVenice by Nick EarlsVancouver by Nick EarlsJuneau by Nick EarlsWasted: A Story of Alcohol, Grief and a Death in Brisbane by Elspeth MuirHigh Sobriety: My Year Without Booze by Jill StarkMan's Search For Meaning by Viktor FranklI Saw A Man by Owen SheersTruly Madly Guilty by Liane MoriartyObama After Dark by Michael D Shear via The New Yorker