Podcasts about Dutton

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The Five Minute Advocate Podcast
This Is Not A Horse Race - Part 2

The Five Minute Advocate Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2025 55:00


The 2025 federal election is done and dusted but the full extent of the fallout from Labor’s landslide victory still remains to be seen. Join Julie Macken and Michael Walker as they return for the final installment of ‘This Is Not A Horse Race’ to unpack what exactly transpired along the election trail, what issues were explored and ignored and ask the Community Radio Network’s Political Reporter Noah Secomb - where to from here. Let us know your thoughts by emailing fma@cbaa.org.au See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Conditional Release Program
Episode 185 - Post 2025 Federal Election Wrap

The Conditional Release Program

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 128:03


MORE UNINTENTIONALLY FUNNY AI SLOP SHOWNOTES. Peter Hoistead? Thanks Gemini. Thanks listeners. We love you. Buy CBCo it's excellent beer. The Conditional Release Program - Episode 185: Federal Election 2025 Post-SpecialHosts: Joel Hill & Jack the Insider (Peter Hoistead)Overall Theme: A deep dive into the results and implications of the 2025 Australian Federal Election, focusing on Labor's historic victory, the Coalition's catastrophic loss, and the performance of minor parties and independents.Key Segments & Talking Points:(Part 1 - Approximate Timestamps based on original transcript, subject to adjustment)[00:00:00 - 00:01:23] Introduction & Election OverviewJoel laments being banned from betting on the election, particularly Labor's strong odds.Jack notes Joel would have won significantly, especially on Labor at $2.60.Historic Labor Win: Anthony "Albo" Albanese leads Labor to a significant victory.Libs sent into an "existential crisis."Albo is the first PM to be re-elected since John Howard in 2004.Largest Labor victory on a two-party preferred basis since John Curtin in 1943 (votes still being counted).Crucial Stat: The Albanese government is the only first-term government to have a swing towards it in Australian political history.[00:01:23 - 00:03:38] Significance of the Swing to LaborPrevious first-term governments (Howard '98, Hawke '84, Fraser '77, Whitlam '74, Menzies) all had swings against them when seeking a second term.Albo's government achieved an approximate 4% swing towards it (votes still being counted).Discussion points: Where it went right for Labor, and wrong for the Coalition, Greens, and Teals.Far-right "Cookers" performed terribly. Pauline Hanson's One Nation (FONY) might see minor representation.[00:03:38 - 00:05:11] Patreon & Sponsor Shout-outsReminder to support the podcast on Patreon: www.patreon.com/theconditionalreleaseprogram (for as little as $5/month).CB Co. Beer: Praised for their IPA and new Hazy XPA. Competition to win $100,000. Use code CRP10 for 10% off at cbco.beer.[00:05:11 - 00:08:52] Polling Inaccuracies & Liberal OptimismReiteration of the ~4% swing to Labor.Comparison of final poll predictions vs. actual results:Freshwater: Labor 51.5% (was Liberal pollster, told Libs they were close).Newspoll: 52.5% (Labor used their private polling).Essential: 53.5%.YouGov: 52.2% - 52.9%.Polling companies significantly underestimated Labor's vote, especially those advising the Coalition.The misplaced optimism at Liberal Party HQ on election night.[00:08:52 - 00:16:00] Specific Seat Results & Labor GainsGilmore (NSW South Coast): Fiona Phillips (Labor) won 55-45 (3-4% swing to her), despite Andrew Constance (Liberal) being the favourite.Bennelong (Howard's old seat): Jeremy Laxail (Labor) won 59-41 against Scott Young (problematic Liberal candidate), a 10% swing to Labor.Parramatta: Andrew Charlton (Labor) won 62-38 (was 53.47 in 2022).Aston (Victoria): Labor won in a historic by-election previously, now a 4% swing to the Labor candidate, winning 53-47.Boothby (SA): Louise Miller-Frost (Labor) achieved an 8% swing, holding the seat 61-39.Tangney (WA): Sam Lim (Labor, ex-cop & dolphin trainer) secured a 3% swing, now 56-44. Large Bhutanese diaspora noted.Leichhardt (FNQ): Labor's Matt Smith won 57-43 after Warren Entsch (LNP) retired (10% swing).Hunter (NSW): Dan Repiccioli (Labor) re-elected with 44% primary vote (5% swing on primary). Fended off Nats and One Nation (Stuart Bonds' inflated vote claims by "One Australia" on X).[00:16:00 - 00:18:49] Diversifying Parliament & Women in PoliticsPraise for non-lawyer backgrounds in Parliament (e.g., Dan Repiccioli, Sam Lim).Critique of the typical lawyer/staffer/union pathway.Labor's success in diversifying candidate backgrounds and increasing female representation.Liberals struggling with female representation despite some efforts. Discussion of potential quotas in the Liberal party and the backlash it would cause.Margaret Thatcher quote: "If you want something said, ask a man. If you want something done, ask a woman."[00:18:49 - 00:27:26] The Teals: Mixed Results & ChallengesInitial appearance of a Teal "romp" on election night.Bradfield (NSW North Shore): Teal Nicolette Boele (Burle/Bola) behind Liberal Giselle Kaptarian by 178 votes (updated during recording).Goldstein (VIC): Tim Wilson (Liberal) leading Zoe Daniel (Teal) by 925 votes. Wilson is likely back. Joel comments on Wilson's IPA association vs. his "gay, wet, mediocre, progressive side." Jack notes Wilson often highlights his sexuality.Jim Chalmers' quip about Tim Wilson: "Popular for all those who haven't met him."Kooyong (VIC): Monique Ryan (Teal) leading by 1002 votes (97,000 counted, ~8,000 postals to go). Redistribution added parts of Toorak, making it harder for Ryan.Liberal candidate Amelia Hamer: "Trust fund renter" controversy, owns multiple properties, London bolthole.Corflute wars in Kooyong: Hamer campaign's excessive use of A-frames, obstructing walkways, went to Supreme Court over council limits. Jack doubts the impact of corflutes.[00:27:26 - 00:31:28] Why Did the Teals Go Backwards?Liberal party invested heavily in Kooyong and Goldstein.Voters potentially preferring a local member who is a Minister or part of the government.Redistribution impact in Kooyong (addition of Toorak).Zali Steggall's success in Warringah partly due to "fruitcake" Liberal opponents like Katherine Deves.[00:31:28 - 00:40:37] The Greens: Significant LossesLost all lower house seats. Adam Bandt (leader) gone from Melbourne.Lost Brisbane (Max Chandler Mather) and Griffith back to Labor.Ryan (South Brisbane): Likely Labor win in a three-way contest.Greens will have no lower house representation.Key Reason: Housing policy standoff. Accused of holding up Labor's housing bill for over a year (affecting funding for domestic violence victims, homeless), pursuing "perfection" over compromise.[00:40:37 - 00:49:57] Deep Dive: Housing Policy ChallengesA major challenge for the Albanese government. Not an easy fix.Supply-side changes could devalue existing homes or slow growth, angering homeowners.Joel's view: Subsidized housing (rent-to-own, means-tested) wouldn't touch the high-end market.Negative gearing: Not a quick fix; removing it overnight unlikely to change much; issue is supply.Homeowner expectations of property value growth.Construction industry at full tilt; skills shortages.CFMEU's role in skilled migration for construction.Free TAFE importance for reskilling/upskilling.Linton Besser (Media Watch) criticism of Labor "building" houses when they reconditioned unlivable ones – Joel argues this still increases supply.[00:49:57 - 00:59:16] Deep Dive: Childcare Policy & Global Economic HeadwindsChildcare another area for government focus.Labor's childcare policy: Rebates for high earners (e.g., $325k combined income).High cost of childcare; need for better pay for childcare workers (Labor delivered a pay spike).Ownership of childcare centers (Peter Dutton reference) and profit-making. Call for more public childcare.Uncertain global economic times, Trump tariffs.Port of Los Angeles imports down by one-third.US Q1 economy shrank 0.3%; recession likely.Japan, China, South Korea meeting to discuss tariff responses; hold significant US debt. Japanese warning to US re: trade negotiations.[00:59:16 - 01:07:13] What Went Wrong for the Coalition? Answer: Everything.Gas Price Fixing Policy: Cobbled together, no consultation with industry (unlike Rudd's mining tax failure), potentially unconstitutional (taxing for benefit of some states over others).Work From Home Policy Disaster:Conceived by Jane Hume and Peter Dutton, no Shadow Cabinet consultation.Initial messaging: All Commonwealth public servants, then just Canberra.Jane Hume's media run: Claimed all WFH is 20% less productive, citing a study.Implied WFH employees are "bludgers," alienating a vast number of voters (including partners of tradies).Labor capitalized on this after door-knocking feedback. Policy eventually walked back.Defence Policy: Released in the last week, vague promise to spend 3% of GDP, no specifics on acquisitions. Andrew Hastie (Shadow Defence) reportedly wants out of the portfolio.Fuel Excise Policy: Halving fuel excise for a year. Took a week for Dutton to do a photo-op at a service station. Fuel prices had already dropped.Melbourne Airport Rail Link Funding: Announced at a winery.Vehicle Emissions Policy: Clarifications issued within 48 hours.Generally a shambolic campaign, studied for years to come.[01:07:13 - 01:08:55] The Nationals & Nuclear Policy FalloutNats trying to spin a better result than Libs, but didn't win Calare (Andrew Gee back as Indy).Nuclear Policy: Coalition embarrassed to discuss it. Nats insist on keeping it.Policy originated as a way for Libs to get Nats to support Net Zero by 2050.Massive costs and timelines: Hinkley Point C (UK) example – 65 billion pounds, years of delays. US Georgia plant similar.Legislative hurdles: Repealing Howard-era ban, state-level bans (even LNP QLD Premier Chris O'Fooley against it).State-funded, "socialist" approach due to lack of private investment.[01:08:55 - 01:15:49] Coalition Campaign Failures & SpokespeopleDebate on government vs. private industry running power.Lack of effective Coalition spokespeople: Susan Ley sidelined, Jane Hume promoted. Angus Taylor perceived as lazy.Angus Taylor's past water license scandal ("Australia's Watergate," Cayman Islands structure).[01:15:49 - 01:28:03] Demographics: A Tide Against the LiberalsWomen: Voted ~58-42 for Labor (two-party preferred), worse than under Morrison. Libs failed to address issues like climate, domestic violence.Language Other Than English at Home (LOTE): 60% backed Labor (Redbridge polling, Cos Samaras). Indian and Chinese diaspora significant, impacting Deakin and Menzies (Keith Wallahan, a moderate, lost Menzies).Gen Z & Millennials (18-45): Now outnumber Baby Boomers (60+), voted 60-40 Labor (TPP).Preferencing: Labor "gamed the system well"; Liberals' deal with One Nation backfired in messaging to urban areas.Strategy Failure: Liberals walked away from "heartland" Teal-lost seats, wrongly believing voters were wrong. Dutton's 2023 claim of Libs being "party of regional Australia" failed. No connection or network in targeted outer-suburban/regional seats.Female Pre-selection: Aspiration of 50% in 2019, achieved 34% in 2025. "Male, white, middle-class, mediocre."Sarah Henderson Example: Lost Corangamite in 2019, returned via Senate vacancy. Criticized as a "waste of space," arrogant for seeking re-entry.Both parties have taken safe seats for granted (factional gifts), but Labor learning. Example: Batman (now Cooper, Jed Carney) won back from Greens after better candidate selection.[01:28:03 - 01:36:42] Fond Farewells: Election CasualtiesPeter Dutton: Lost his seat of Dickson (held 20+ years), got "smashed." Likely preferred losing seat to facing party room fallout. Gracious concession speech. Australia's strong electoral process praised (democracy sausage, volunteers, AEC, peaceful concession).Michael Sukkar (Deakin, VIC): "Unpleasant piece of work."Recount of February incident: Sukkar, at Dutton's prompting, used a point of order to cut off Attorney-General Mark Dreyfus (Jewish) during an emotional speech about anti-Semitism and his family's Holocaust connection (Shiloh story). Dreyfus called Sukkar "disgusting." Sukkar moved "that the member no longer be heard." Widely condemned.Gerard Rennick (QLD Senator): Anti-COVID vaccine, spread misinformation (diabetes, dementia links). Jack recounts being attacked by Rennick's "poison monkeys" on X after writing about it. Rennick gone, likely self-funded much of his campaign.(Part 2 - Timestamps restart from 00:00:00 but are a continuation, add ~1 hour 36 mins 50 secs to these for continuous flow)[01:36:50 - 01:44:07] The Fractured Hard Right ("Cookers") - Dismal PerformanceGenerally went nowhere electorally.UAP (United Australia Party) / Trumpeter Patriots (John Ruddock): 2.38% in NSW Senate (down from UAP's 3.2% in 2022). Less money spent than previous Clive Palmer campaigns.Libertarian Democrats (Lib Dems): 1.99% in NSW Senate. Controversial name didn't help. Alliance with H.A.R.T (formerly IMOP, Michael O'Neill) and Gerard Rennick's People First Party.Monica Smit's calls to "unite" contrasted with these groups already forming alliances without her.These three parties combined got less than 2% in NSW. Lib Dems

The Conditional Release Program
The Two Jacks - Episode 112 - Australian Election Post-Mortem, Canadian Stunner & Trump's Papal Dreams

The Conditional Release Program

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 95:05


More AI notes for y'all. They're not bad! Episode Link: Find this and other episodes at The Conditional Release Program on RedCircle.Recorded: May 5, 2025 (two days after the Australian Federal Election)Hosts: Jack the Insider & Hong Kong JackIn this episode, The Two Jacks dissect the stunning Australian federal election results, explore a surprising political turnaround in Canada, ponder the next Pope, and touch on global political shifts from the UK to Germany, and the latest from Trump's America.(00:00:00) Introduction & Australian Election: An Orderly Affair Jack the Insider and Hong Kong Jack kick off by praising the smooth and festive nature of the Australian federal election, highlighting the efficiency of the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) and the beloved "democracy sausage."(00:02:21) The Pre-Poll Phenomenon A discussion on the increasing trend of pre-polling, with over half of Australians casting their vote before election day. The hosts debate the merits of shortening the pre-polling period, with Hong Kong Jack lamenting the decline of traditional Saturday voting.(00:06:06) Betting Blunders & Historic Results Labor's remarkable journey from $15 outsiders to $1.07 unbackable favourites to form government is reviewed. The episode highlights key historical markers:Anthony Albanese: The first Prime Minister re-elected since 2004.A significant Labor victory, with Albanese leading the first government in Australian political history to increase its majority in a second term.(00:09:17) Seat Swings, Mea Culpas & The Greens' Tumble The hosts reflect on their pre-election predictions against the reality of significant swings to Labor (e.g., a 10% swing in Bennelong). Labor is projected to win around 90 seats.The Greens: A tough election, with leader Adam Bandt likely to lose his seat in Melbourne. Zoe Daniel (Teal) is also in a precarious position in Goldstein. The Greens may lose Ryan back to the Liberals and potentially face no representation in the House of Representatives.(00:13:38) A UK Perspective & Labor's Resurgence Hong Kong Jack shares insights from the UK, where observers noted Labor's landslide and the "leaderless, rudderless, pointless" state of the Coalition. This challenges the narrative that incumbents always lose, citing recent Canadian and Australian results.(00:16:27) Liberal Campaign Catastrophe: A "Don't Do This" Case Study A deep dive into the Liberal Party's "dreadful campaign," marked by:The ill-conceived work-from-home policy, poorly communicated by Senator Jane Hume and lacking consultation.A string of policy backflips and poorly planned announcements (e.g., fuel excise cut, Melbourne airport rail funding announced at a winery).Peter Dutton has accepted responsibility for the campaign's failures.(00:22:46) Trump's Take & The Muted MAGA Effect Donald Trump's reaction to the Australian election (congratulating "Albert" while feigning ignorance of Dutton) is discussed. The hosts agree that MAGA influence was minimal, with Albanese's message of "kindness is not weakness" resonating more strongly.(00:25:13) The Liberal Party's Existential Crossroads A critical analysis of the Liberal Party's future, having lost traditional heartland seats and failed to broaden its appeal beyond an aging demographic.The danger of vacating the political centre and the flawed strategy of chasing a new "working-class" constituency.Hong Kong Jack draws parallels to Labor's wilderness years (1977, 1996), emphasizing the need for honest self-reflection for any chance of recovery.Labor's structural advantages: benefiting from Green preferences and a more unified progressive base compared to a fragmented right-wing, further diluted by entities like Clive Palmer's party.(00:39:58) Senate Snapshot: Stability Prevails An overview of the projected Senate makeup across the states:NSW & VIC: Likely Labor 3, Liberals 2, Greens 1.QLD: Labor 2, Libs 2, Greens 1, with One Nation's Malcolm Roberts likely re-elected.TAS: Jacqui Lambie expected to return.ACT: Independent David Pocock secures his quota alongside a Labor senator.Overall, the Senate composition is unlikely to see dramatic changes. David Pocock is commended for his diligent work.(00:42:25) Who Will Lead the Liberals? A Party in Search of Direction Speculation on the future leadership of the Liberal Party, with few obvious candidates emerging from a depleted frontbench. Dan Tehan is mentioned as a possible moderate caretaker, though the path back to government looks long and arduous.(00:45:58) Albanese: The New "Labor God" & Chalmers' Contribution Anthony Albanese is lauded for his historic achievement, with Jim Chalmers highlighted as a key performer and media operator for Labor, despite Hong Kong Jack's gentle ribbing about his lengthy essays.(00:48:56) Canadian Politics Upended: Liberals' Shock Comeback A look at the Canadian election, where the Liberals achieved a stunning turnaround, with Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre facing a potential seat loss. Donald Trump's inflammatory rhetoric towards Canada is seen as a contributing factor to this shift.(00:52:12) Vatican Watch: Speculating on the Next Pope With Pope Francis's papacy in its later stages, the hosts discuss potential successors. Italian cardinals like Pietro Parolin are frontrunners, but names from Africa and the Philippines also surface. Hong Kong Jack references Morris West's The Shoes of the Fisherman for insights into papal conclaves.(00:55:52) Sir Tony Blair on Net Zero & The Reality of Fossil Fuels Former UK PM Sir Tony Blair's call for a rethink of Net Zero policies due to cost implications is examined. Global fossil fuel consumption continues to rise (gas +2.7%, coal +1%, oil +0.8%), underscoring the challenge of the energy transition.(01:00:24) Trump's First 100 Days (Again): Low Approval, Tariff Troubles & Papal Attire Donald Trump's second term hits the 100-day mark with historically low approval ratings (39%). The economic impact of his tariffs is starting to bite (LA port imports down one-third, US economy shrinking). Adding to the unusual, Trump has been pictured in papal robes on the White House website, even expressing a desire to be Pope.(01:05:49) UK Political Fragmentation: Reform's Rise, Tories' Fall The UK's political landscape remains volatile. Recent local and by-election results project a national vote share that would see the Reform party at 30% and the Conservatives decimated to around 15% and potentially only five seats.(01:08:44) Germany Considers Banning Far-Right AFD Germany is contemplating a ban on the far-right AFD party, the largest single party in the Bundestag. The hosts discuss the problematic nature of banning popular political movements, arguing it often backfires.(01:11:21) Jay Rayner on Media: Mainstream vs. Social Food critic Jay Rayner's comments on the state of media are discussed, questioning the perceived universal informedness of mainstream journalists and acknowledging that both traditional and social media produce "rubbish."(01:15:29) AFL Round-Up: Carlton's Collapse, Collingwood-Geelong ClassicCarlton suffers a 10-goal drubbing by Adelaide, with Jack Silvani's absence keenly felt.Collingwood vs. Geelong is hailed as a "cracker" game, showcasing great skill and sportsmanship.Concerns are raised about key AFL games not being available on free-to-air television, potentially alienating younger fans.(01:22:18) Cricket News: Indian Prodigy & Vale "The Buzz" A 17-year-old Indian cricketer makes waves in the IPL with a century. The hosts pay tribute to Carlton AFL legend Peter Bosustow ("The Buzz"), who passed away after a battle with cancer, remembering his electrifying impact on the game.(01:27:27) NRL Update & Women's State of Origin Shines The Bulldogs continue their strong NRL run, while the Panthers finally notch a win. The NRL is praised for its successful promotion of the women's game, with the Women's State of Origin proving highly watchable.(01:29:51) An Ode to Whale Waste: Ecological Importance Hong Kong Jack shares a fascinating environmental tidbit on the crucial role of whale excrement and urine in ocean ecosystems, highlighting a baleen whale's impressive daily urine output of 950 litres.(01:32:10) Wrapping Up: A Transformative Election & How to Connect Jack the Insider concludes that Australia has witnessed a significant political transformation, with Anthony Albanese poised to be a long-term, impactful leader.Connect with the hosts:Jack the Insider: On X (formerly Twitter) @JackTheInsider (DMs open)Hong Kong Jack: On Twitter and his Substack.

The Daily Aus
Headlines: Dutton wants "graceful exit" from politics

The Daily Aus

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 4:09 Transcription Available


Today's headlines include: Peter Dutton has spoken publicly for the first time since conceding defeat on election night. NSW Police Commissioner Karen Webb has announced she will step down from the force in September. U.S. President Donald Trump has met with the recently re-elected Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney at the White House. And today’s good news: Australian researchers are confident they’ve located a 170 year old shipwreck off the coast of South Australia. Hosts: Zara Seidler and Lucy TassellProducer: Emma GillespieWant to support The Daily Aus? That's so kind! The best way to do that is to click ‘follow’ on Spotify or Apple and to leave us a five-star review. We would be so grateful.The Daily Aus is a media company focused on delivering accessible and digestible news to young people. We are completely independent.Want more from TDA?Subscribe to The Daily Aus newsletterSubscribe to The Daily Aus’ YouTube ChannelHave feedback for us?We’re always looking for new ways to improve what we do. If you’ve got feedback, we’re all ears. Tell us here.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Fear and Greed Business Headlines
Fast Five | 8 May 2025

Fear and Greed Business Headlines

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 6:00 Transcription Available


Thursday 8 May 2025 The top five business stories in five minutes, with Sean Aylmer and Michael Thompson. And more, including: NAB says rates will tumble Dutton’s return to Canberra Tabcorp launches live betting on app Law firm’s 24 hour workday India and Pakistan attack each other Join our free daily newsletter here! And don’t miss the latest episode of How Do They Afford That? - a guide to living a more minimalist lifestyle. Get the episode from APPLE, SPOTIFY, or anywhere you listen to podcasts.Support the show: http://fearandgreed.com.auSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Otherppl with Brad Listi
963. Jonathan Evison

Otherppl with Brad Listi

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2025 75:30


Jonathan Evison is the author of the novel The Heart of Winter, available from Dutton. Evison's other novels include Again and Again; Small World; All About Lulu; West of Here; The Revised Fundamentals of Caregiving; This Is Your Life, Harriet Chance!; Lawn Boy; and Legends of the North Cascades. He lives with his wife and family in Washington State. He hosts the podcast A Fresh Face in Hell. *** Otherppl with Brad Listi is a weekly podcast featuring in-depth interviews with today's leading writers. Available where podcasts are available: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, etc. Subscribe to Brad Listi's email newsletter. Support the show on Patreon Merch Twitter Instagram  TikTok Bluesky Email the show: letters [at] otherppl [dot] com The podcast is a proud affiliate partner of Bookshop, working to support local, independent bookstores. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Signal
Annabel Crabb on Dutton's women debacle

The Signal

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2025


The votes are still being counted but when the new parliament is formed there will be more female MPs than ever before.But fewer than 10 will be on the Coalition benches. Labor continues to get more women elected and put them into senior roles. Polling suggests Peter Dutton also had a major problem attracting votes from women during the campaign. Today, the ABC's Annabel Crabb on whether the Coalition can ever win back the female vote.Featured: Annabel Crabb, ABC political journalist

Nights with Steve Price: Highlights
Liverpool Mayor calls out Opposition Leader as 'schoolyard bully'

Nights with Steve Price: Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2025 9:35


Liverpool Mayor Ned Mannoun joined John Stanley to explain why he believes Dutton came off as the schoolyard bully to Sydney's migrant communities. He said last Saturday, they voted, they turfed the bully out of the playground. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive
Murray Olds: Australian correspondent on who could potentially replace Peter Dutton

Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2025 4:24 Transcription Available


Australia's Liberal Party is weighing up their options after Peter Dutton's recent defeat in the election. Peter Dutton lost his Queensland seat following Anthony Albanese's landslide victory - and the opposition is looking to bring in a replacement. Australian correspondent Murray Olds says Dutton is among over a dozen Liberals set to lose their seats after the election - and the party's been reducing to a 'smoking ruin'. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Please Explain
Inside the Dutton camp: A leader's downfall

Please Explain

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 18:42 Transcription Available


Peter Dutton was full of bravado at the final question time before the election, but hiding in plain sight was a campaign about to go off the rails. Today, political reporters Matthew Knott and Natassia Chrysanthos give the inside story on the demise of the Dutton campaign, and the recriminations that now follow. Read their full story here. Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Please Explain
Inside the Dutton camp: A leader's downfall

Please Explain

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 18:42 Transcription Available


Peter Dutton was full of bravado at the final question time before the election, but hiding in plain sight was a campaign about to go off the rails. Today, political reporters Matthew Knott and Natassia Chrysanthos give the inside story on the demise of the Dutton campaign, and the recriminations that now follow. Read their full story here. Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive
Perspective with Heather du Plessis-Allan: I don't think voters are rejecting Trumpism

Heather du Plessis-Allan Drive

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2025 2:13 Transcription Available


After Albo's massive win across the ditch on Saturday, I can see a lot of commentators are tempted to blame it on Trumpism - in the same way they blamed the Canadian election upset on Trumpism. But I'm not convinced they're right - at least not in the way they think they are. What these commentators are saying is that Trump has given Canadians and Australians the ick so badly that they voting against anything that looks like him: Dutton in Australia, Poilievre in Canada or just right-wing-ism in general. I don't think that's what happened here. Look at what's happening in New Zealand at the moment - the two parties in our parliamentary system that would probably share the greatest number of policy positions with Donald Trump are NZ First and ACT - and both are polling much higher than they historically have. But also, those commentators seem to be conveniently forgetting what just happened in the UK on Friday night - which is that the Reform Party absolutely swept the local elections in a shock result. Reform, led by Nigel Farage, is probably the closest thing to Trump in the English-speaking world. So as much as the left would like to believe what happened in Australia and Canada is a Trump ick factor that they can pin on the rest of the right - I don't think it is. I think what's happened is the same thing that happened with Covid: safe voting. I think Trump and his tariff talk - and the possibility of a massive global slowdown - has freaked out voters in a similar way to how Covid freaked out people. And when people freak out, it favours the incumbent, because it's better the devil you know to protect you. That's why the Canadians returned their incumbent Government and that's why the Australians returned their incumbent Government. The same doesn't apply to the UK, because that was a local body election which is about rubbish and roads - not central Government which is about tariffs and healthcare. So I suspect we shouldn't over egg how much voters hate Trump as much as understand how much he might be frightening them. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Unnatural Selection
Australian Election Night Spectacular (Live)

Unnatural Selection

Play Episode Listen Later May 4, 2025 96:06


Tune in to this episode of Unnatural Selection for an inside look at ABC's on-air drama, expert breakdowns and the unforgettable moments that defined Australia Votes 2025. This episode has been edited down from a longer live stream.  Early in the evening, Antony Green called a Labor majority. Antony Green delivered his final on-air analysis after 36 years, walking viewers through seat-by-seat results. Mid-evening saw Opposition Leader Peter Dutton unseated in Dickson by Labor's Ali France—the first time an opposition leader has lost their own seat in 125 years. Dutton's concession speech and his first show of human emotion. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's emotional victory speech promised cost-of-living relief, healthcare expansion and accelerated climate action

The Conditional Release Program
Episode 184 - Cookers with Dave feat. Eyebrows, Bonds, Monica and Dr. Doordash!

The Conditional Release Program

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2025 114:35


Listeners! It' election day and I cannot be bothered so it's AI shownotes this week. Enjoy! Hosts: Joel Hill & Dave (Cooker Watcher Supreme)(00:00:00) Introduction & WelcomeJoel welcomes listeners and introduces guest host Dave, replacing Jack the Insider.Shoutout: CB Co Beer for election night viewing. Mention of a competition involving a boat trip.Election Calls to Action:Vote 1 Fiona Patton in the Victorian Senate, preference 2 Purple Pingers.(00:01:48) Tinfoil Tales Follow-Up: The Next Pope?Discussion on cooker theories about the next Pope (King Charles?).Lindsey Graham's tweet suggesting Donald Trump for Pope.00:02:38 Dave reads the tweet.Trump's blue suit vs. Obama's tan suit controversy revisited.Brief thoughts on the late Pope's legacy and potential successor.(00:04:37) Dave's Cooker Report: Cessnock & CPACDave attended a meeting with Joel Jammal ("Eyebrows") in Cessnock (his 8th visit).Jammal debriefed the local unnamed "Freedom Group" (often linked to One Nation) on his CPAC trip.Local Candidates Present:Stuart Bonds (One Nation candidate for Hunter).Jennifer Stefanak (Trumpet of Patriots Newcastle) - Flat Earther, aliens are fallen angels, won NCAT case after dismissal from child services. Not allowed to speak despite attending.Mysterious Host: Christine Stevens, credited by Jammal as "brains behind the Wollongbae Road campaign" (a local road widening project used by cookers).Stevens now campaign manager for Stuart Bonds (referred to as "boss"). Possible links to broader far-right organising.Joel Jammal's Gifts: Rolled-up maps for Cessnock's 6 cooker councillors showing ALP vs. Voice 'No' vote intersections. Maps available for purchase from Jammal.Jammal's CPAC Trip: Won the trip via the "Shark Bites Pitching Contest" at CPAC Australia (Sky paywall).Winners expected to produce content upon return.Included a communication seminar with Steve Bannon.Stuart Bonds' Candidacy (Hunter):Odds discussed ($10 on Sportsbet).Labor's Dan Repacholi favoured ($1.15).Bonds' history: 21% primary in 2019, left One Nation, rejoined. Consistent far-right vote in the region.Bonds' desire to "start a conversation about coal mining" (already ongoing).Discussion on Labor's telehealth plan and cooker opposition.(00:24:07) Trumpism & Dutton's CampaignDiscussion on the "blueprint for Trump 28".Chris LaCivita (Trump advisor) reportedly helped Peter Dutton's campaign. Joel questions the effectiveness given global trends.Mainstream media's difficulty rallying behind Dutton.(00:25:52) Cooker Report Part 2: Gosford & MyPlaceDave attended the Lisa Bellamy independent campaign launch in Gosford.Follow-on from "Coasties Who Care" (MyPlace environmentalist council ticket).Shadowy Figure: Kate Mason (anti-renewable circuit, IPA/Advance events). Launched Bellamy's campaign.Campaign barely mentions climate change, focuses on opposing Aboriginal Land Council developments.Key Figures on Stage:Jake Cassar (musician, prepper).Lisa Bellamy (MyPlace coordinator, seen at Convoy with Kate Mason).Vicki Burke (MyPlace food/water security organiser, believes in aliens/other planets).Group suggests increased One Nation vote would benefit them. Bellamy received ~3000 votes previously.Kate Mason's Agenda: Reshaping the environment movement to focus on conspiracies (15-min cities, anti-meat).Shapeshifted from anti-vax (IMOP) -> Voice 'No' -> Anti-artificial food/Bellamy campaign.Significant Telegram following despite "gobbledygook" posts.Rally vs. Darkinjung Land Council/Woolworths Development: Focus remains on Land Council projects. Racist undertones ("love the land as much as we do").Links to Garingai (now potentially split/rebranded). NRL Welcome to Country discussed.Jake Cassar Deep Dive: Constant self-promotion, minimal concrete environmental vision beyond opposing the Land Council. Attacks Labor/Greens. Right-wing presence at events. Ballarat missing person search (found dog with SES). Yowie encounter at Woy Woy tip. Lack of accountability in Facebook environmental groups (anti-immigration/Aboriginal rhetoric).(00:40:33) Monica Smit's Private Prosecution of Dan AndrewsMonica plans a private criminal prosecution against Dan Andrews (and Jacinta Allan).Website Quote: "The wait is over righteous justice begins now" - Monica Smit.Topher Field involved as cheerleader/promoter.Basis: "New evidence" (Document 34 FOI email) allegedly showing curfew decision made before consulting CHO Brett Sutton. Implication: tyranny, not health advice.Joel suggests it was likely capitulation to police enforcement ease.Fundraising: Claimed $124,605 raised (via manually updated widget). Monica paid herself $1000/week stipend already.Monica's Justification ("Why me?"): Stood toe-to-toe and won, relentless energy, prison time (refused bail), won appeal, resisted database handover, won unlawful arrest case (appealing costs decision), claims past refund integrity, lives simply, no distractions (children/friends).Bender (@SpambotX) Twitter Thread: Brutal takedown of Monica as a "despicable con woman".Highlights Consumer Affairs conviction ($66k pocketed from unregistered fundraiser).Accuses Topher Field of seeking a cut.Details legal failures, self-orchestrated "martyrdom", $250k legal bill after rejecting settlement.Criticises "journalism" and book ("Cell 22").Predicts prosecution failure and abandonment once donations dry up.Bender's Legal Analysis (Round 2):Private prosecution (Crimes Act s 321) needs prima facie case, not conspiracy.Document 34 likely inadmissible hearsay.Misconduct charge needs proof of knowing, malicious law-breaking (R v Quach).Lockdowns upheld (Loielo v Giles), backed by Public Health Act & CHO advice.DPP can shut down frivolous cases (Public Prosecutions Act s 22).Previous treason case tossed out.Criticises fundraising transparency (Fundraising Act 1998), $52k/year salary.Highlights past legal issues (incitement charges dropped, health order conviction, Judge Tran's comments).Past Precedent: 2021 private prosecution for treason (Anthony Herman) recalled - chaotic online hearing.Monica's Timeline & Updates:Initial plan: Assemble legal team by April 24, first meeting April 30.Reality (May 1): No team announced. Video claims it will take "a few weeks" to pick lawyers.Met with a lawyer ($500/hr, 2 hours booked).Posted picture near a waterfall instead of legal updates ("reset and reload").Now targeting Jacinta Allan as well.Promises refund of remaining balance if no prospect of success.Discussion on cooker lawyers (Matouk, Buckley). Monica's motivation seen as attention/clout chasing.(01:17:54) Return to The Cali (Caledonian Hotel, Singleton)Dave attended Pauline Hanson & Stuart Bonds event ($20 lunch that never happened).Low turnout (~45 people in beer garden). Regulars, pensioners, Chris Sky filming, James Ashby present.Stuart Bonds Guardian article discussed (misogyny, anti-vax, "Little Hitlers"). Worn as badge of honour.Homeschooling attempt due to "woke trans agenda".Red Ensign described as "real flag".Unregistered campaign trailer incident.Pauline Hanson: Speech built to "greatest hits" (Aboriginal industry). Mumbles less the longer she speaks.Cali Update: Corruption Whistleblower book sold at bar (credit card accepted). Eureka beer on tap (FJB beer rebranded/gone?). Frenchies brewery connection? Pub seems to be returning to normal operations, but Red Ensign still flies. Food looks good, beer selection poor (Lion Nathan). No coal miners attended the event despite Bonds' background.(01:36:30) Candidates Forum: Patterson (Port Stephens)Dave attended forum; ABC filming due to anti-wind turbine mob presence.Low turnout of protesters (~5 loud individuals). Meryl Swanson (Labor incumbent) well-prepared.Marginal seat: Libs (Lawrence Ancliffe), aligned Independent, One Nation, Trumpet, Family First running against Swanson.History of intimidation (boat incident during Mayoral campaign).Betting odds discussed (Labor $1.66, Coalition $2.37). YouGov poll (Labor 51.8%).Irony: Libs proposed nuclear plant at Port Stephens in 2007.Bizarre Moments:Trumpet candidate Peter Arena: Wind turbines interfere with missile detection; mentioned fighting audience member over wife littering.(01:42:37) Billy Bay vs GAP Feud UpdateDr. William Bay told people not to vote for GAP (Great Australian Party) despite running for them.Rod Culleton's response.Billy Bay's letter to Culleton: Mock SovCit style ("Office of Vexatious Litigants and Spiritual Audits"), demands apology, foot kissing, $8 trillion. Full of threats (librarian grievance, livestream in lab coat, seizing karma balance). Written on GAP letterhead.Feud background (payment disputes) covered previously by Tinfoil Tales.(01:46:51) Amelia Hamer (Liberal, Kooyong) vs The PeopleRecap: Fake renter scandal (owns 2 properties + trust fund beneficiary).A-Frame sign spamming controversy vs Monique Ryan (Teal MP).Council imposed one-sign limit due to safety/obstruction complaints.Liberals took council to Supreme Court over implied freedom of political communication.Court upheld freedom but allowed council safety enforcement (opaque outcome).Likely outcome: confrontations over sign placement. James Patterson claiming victory. Joel predicts local backlash.(01:51:08) Election Odds & PredictionsSportsbet: Labor $1.05, Coalition $9.50.YouGov: Labor 53 / Coalition 47 (2PP). Projecting 84 seats for Labor (75 needed for majority).Dickson (Dutton's seat): YouGov 50.2% LNP / 49.8% ALP. Sportsbet has Dutton favourite ($1.28 vs $3.35).Joel laments betting ban but expresses optimism for Labor win, potential Dutton loss.(01:53:29) Wrap Up & OutroJoel thanks Dave for his "invaluable" and "brave" cooker reporting.Standard Patreon plugs etc. skipped.Sign off & enjoy the election.

Please Explain
A Labor ‘landslide' and disaster for Dutton

Please Explain

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2025 24:49 Transcription Available


Well, that was quick, about two and a half hours after the polls had closed, the election had already been called for the incumbent Labor government. But as the night went on, Anthony Albanese’s win was looking like a landslide, and Labor increased its majority in parliament. For the opposition, it was disastrous, its leader Peter Dutton has lost his seat in parliament and recriminations will surely be savage. To talk us through the results and what it all means, we speak to chief political correspondent David Crowe and federal political correspondent Paul Sakkal.Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Please Explain
A Labor ‘landslide' and disaster for Dutton

Please Explain

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2025 24:49 Transcription Available


Well, that was quick, about two and a half hours after the polls had closed, the election had already been called for the incumbent Labor government. But as the night went on, Anthony Albanese’s win was looking like a landslide, and Labor increased its majority in parliament. For the opposition, it was disastrous, its leader Peter Dutton has lost his seat in parliament and recriminations will surely be savage. To talk us through the results and what it all means, we speak to chief political correspondent David Crowe and federal political correspondent Paul Sakkal.Subscribe to The Age & SMH: https://subscribe.smh.com.au/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Sunday Session with Francesca Rudkin
Steven Joyce: former Finance Minister on the implications of Australia and Canada's election results

The Sunday Session with Francesca Rudkin

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2025 7:42 Transcription Available


Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's re-election is cementing a belief US policy is influencing voters abroad. The Labor Party has secured a historic, and comfortable win over Peter Dutton's Liberal National Coalition - with Dutton himself ousted from his own Queensland seat. Over in Canada, Mark Carney secured the role of Prime Minister - with experts claiming anti-Trump sentiment helped propel his win. Former Finance Minister Steven Joyce says the political right has learned the same lesson as the left about online 'echo chambers'. "The broad middle of politics is much more pragmatic about what they want to see happen in the world, they're not so much interested in the culture wars - be they on the left or on the right." LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

7am
Sean Kelly on what killed Peter Dutton's campaign

7am

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 14:57 Transcription Available


It’s election day! While Anthony Albanese’s campaign has been modest and predictable, Peter Dutton’s has been marked by missteps and backflips. It seems the traits that powered Dutton’s rise are now holding him back. Today, columnist and former adviser to two prime ministers, Sean Kelly, on the decisions that shaped both leaders – and what killed Peter Dutton’s campaign. If you enjoy 7am, the best way you can support us is by making a contribution at 7ampodcast.com.au/support. Socials: Stay in touch with us on Instagram Guest: Columnist and former adviser to two prime ministers, Sean Kelly. Photo: AAP Image/PoolSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

SBS French - SBS en français
#164 : Dernière ligne droite en Australie, et chaos ibérique #EuropaVoice

SBS French - SBS en français

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 24:03


Si un tiers des Australiens a déjà voté, la majorité du corps électoral se retrouvera samedi autour des traditionnelles ‘Democracy Sausages' pour départager le Labor d'Albanese et la Coalition emmenée par Dutton. Grosse panne de courant en Espagne et au Portugal fin avril : le réseau a disjoncté, laissant des millions de foyers et même le sud-ouest de la France dans le noir.

The Quicky
Albanese Lands In Dutton's Home Town While Dutton Heads West

The Quicky

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 3:30 Transcription Available


Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has returned to where it all began — Peter Dutton’s seat of Dickson in Queensland; The oldest person alive, Sister Inah Canabarro Lucas, has died just weeks before her 117th birthday; An air force pilot accused of murdering his wife and staging her death as a lawnmower accident has been granted bail; Good news, music lovers — Spilt Milk is back for 2025 after taking a break last year, and the line-up is massive. The Quicky is the easiest and most enjoyable way to get across the news every day. And it’s delivered straight to your ears in a daily podcast so you can listen whenever you want, wherever you want...at the gym, on the train, in the playground or at night while you're making dinner. Support independent women's media CREDITS Host/Producer: Tahli Blackman Audio Producer: Lu Hill Become a Mamamia subscriber: https://www.mamamia.com.au/subscribeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tagesgespräch
Urs Wälterlin: Der Trump-Effekt in Australien

Tagesgespräch

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 25:49


Australien wählt ein neues Parlament. Die regierenden Sozialdemokraten könnten die Wiederwahl schaffen, nicht zuletzt dank Trumps aggressiver Zollpolitik. Australien-Korrespondent Urs Wälterlin ist zu Gast im Tagesgespräch. Peter Dutton, der Herausfordere der Konservativen, führte lange die Beliebtheitsumfragen in Australien an, vor dem amtierenden Premier Anthony Albanese von Labor. Doch die Zollpolitik Trumps verärgerte viele Australier massiv und schadete Dutton, der sich im Stil Donald Trump ähnelt. Nun führen die Sozialdemokraten die Umfragen wieder an. Das grosse Thema, das die Australierinnen und Australier bewegt, sind die hohen Lebenskosten und die angespannte Lage auf dem Wohnungsmarkt. Viele sehen sich in den grossen Parteien Labor und Konservative nicht mehr vertreten und geben ihre Stimmen unabhängigen Kandidaten, die bei den letzten Wahlen so zahlreich den Sprung ins Parlament schafften, wie noch nie. Das verändere die Demokratie in Australien, erklärt Urs Wälterlin im Tagesgespräch bei Simone Hulliger.

The West Live Podcast
Dutton's last pitch to WA before election

The West Live Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 3:17


See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Daily Aus
Headlines: Albanese and Dutton campaign on election eve

The Daily Aus

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 3:19 Transcription Available


Today's headlines include: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Opposition Leader Peter Dutton have continued campaigning ahead of tomorrow’s election. Rescue crews in Victoria have airlifted three people to safety after a helicopter crash off the coast of the Bellarine Peninsula. McDonald’s has reported its lowest U.S. sales figures since the height of the pandemic. And today’s good news: Researchers in Western Australia have developed a type of vaccine that could provide “broad protection” against all five of the most common strains of meningococcal. Hosts: Emma Gillespie and Zara SeidlerProducer: Emma Gillespie Want to support The Daily Aus? That's so kind! The best way to do that is to click ‘follow’ on Spotify or Apple and to leave us a five-star review. We would be so grateful. The Daily Aus is a media company focused on delivering accessible and digestible news to young people. We are completely independent. Want more from TDA?Subscribe to The Daily Aus newsletterSubscribe to The Daily Aus’ YouTube Channel Have feedback for us?We’re always looking for new ways to improve what we do. If you’ve got feedback, we’re all ears. Tell us here.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The West Live Podcast
Albanese targets Dutton in final push

The West Live Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 3:52


See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The West Live Podcast
Albanese targets Dutton as Opposition Leader pitches to WA

The West Live Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 2, 2025 7:24


In today’s episode, Anthony Albanese targets Peter Dutton while the Opposition Leader was making last pitch to WA voters.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Chaser Report
(Sh)It's On - Final Election 2025 Predictions

The Chaser Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 31:27


As the election campaign comes to a close, Charles and Dom gather their thoughts on the last five weeks from Dutton and Albanese. Charles is as reserved as ever, and provides the calm and partisan analysis that will see him replace Antony Green. Meanwhile Dom makes an extremely bold prediction about the outcome for a certain H. Fong. Tune in on Monday to see how much of this was completely off the mark. Good luck voting! You can lose the ads and get more content! Become a Chaser Report VIP member at http://apple.co/thechaser OR https://plus.acast.com/s/the-chaser-report. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Socially Democratic
Ep. 295: ELECTION COUNTDOWN 2025 - Week 5 - 2 Days to Go

Socially Democratic

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 85:37


Stephen Donnelly, Jessie McCrone, and David Feeney take us through the final stretch of the Australian Federal Election.From the price of homes to the price of eggs, Albanese and Dutton have some zesty exchanges in the final leaders' debate.Stephen wonders if the Labor campaign is feeling a little too confident.Jessie shares some intel on the hidden - but highly effective - work of the Labor party's “Dirt Unit”  - although she prefers to call it “Democracy Empowerment Unit”.Plus - your listener nominations!Subscribe to Socially Democratic for our post-election re-cap, out next week.New episodes every Friday.The presenting sponsor of the Socially Democratic podcast is Dunn Street. For more information on how Dunn Street can help you organise to build winning campaigns in your community, business or organisation, and make the world a better place, look us up at: dunnstreet.com.au Support the showNew episodes out every Friday.If you like the show leave a comment below or leave us a review on Podchaser: https://bit.ly/36uFbp8Support the show on Patreon. Follow us on YouTube, Facebook, X, Bluesky, and Instagram.

Nightlife
Nightlife News Breakdown - Ron Mizen - Australian Financial Review

Nightlife

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 18:27


Nightlife News Breakdown with Philip Clark, joined by Ron Mizen, Senior Political Reporter for the Australian Financial Review, who covers politics, economics, business and law. 

Sky News - The Bolt Report
The Bolt Report | 1 May

Sky News - The Bolt Report

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 40:17 Transcription Available


Coalition debate half-baked, Trump left Dutton exposed, unpacking the final week of the 2025 election campaign, Chris Bowen is grilled over renewables. Plus, Trump strikes mineral deal with Ukraine.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
Bruce Hawker: Australian Political Correspondent ahead of Election Day

The Mike Hosking Breakfast

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 7:27 Transcription Available


One day out from the Australian Election and Labor seems to have it in the bag. If the polling stacks up, Anthony Albanese will remain Prime Minister and Peter Dutton will once again be relegated to opposition. There's been criticism across the ditch that the coalition's campaign has been full of U-turns and back tracks – undermining their credibility. Australian Political Commentator Bruce Hawker told Mike Hosking Dutton presented a risky persona, with many of his policies and comments quite Trumpish in their attitude. He says people likely started to think they'd prefer having the devil they know. The state of Dutton's policies were also a concern, Hawker says, with many feeling underdone. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Mike Hosking Breakfast
Mark the Week: The All Blacks deal is a nice fit

The Mike Hosking Breakfast

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 2:18 Transcription Available


At the end of each week, Mike Hosking takes you through the big-ticket items and lets you know what he makes of it all. Tory Whanau: 9/10 She scored it herself and why wouldn't you, shouldn't you, when you are as brilliant as her? God, she deserves a holiday. Donald Trump: 7/10 For the sheer madness, calamity and unbelievable amount of bullshit he has spouted in 100 days. You will never see the likes again, unless of course he runs for a third and fourth term. Auckland FC: 8/10 You can't argue with that execution of success. Have a dream, get a team and win the competition. That's brilliant! Canada: 7/10 Election of the year so far and will almost certainly beat tomorrow's in Australia, unless Dutton does a Morrison. And I'm not running odds on that. Toyota: 7/10 The All Blacks deal is a nice fit. How good will Tamaiti Williams look in a Yaris? James Meager: 3/10 For saying random stuff like he's looking into helping Air New Zealand into the regions and getting fares down. He's also looking to get butter under $4 a block. LISTEN ABOVE FOR MIKE HOSKING'S FULL WEEK IN REVIEW See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The West Live Podcast
Kyle Sandilands says Albo's a “bong guy” & PM evasive in WA

The West Live Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2025 8:16


In today’s episode, Ben O’Shea says Albanese is flying high, and it’s got nothing to do with smoking “spliffs” with Kyle Sandilands. Plus, the PM dodges Nature Positive questions & slams Dutton on school curriculum changes.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Kyle & Jackie O Show

Vulgar rumours about Peter Dutton have been circulating TikTok regarding him and an OnlyFans star... yesterday we asked Dutton if it was true, however he denied the rumours. Today, we had Prime Minister Albo on to ask him what he thinks of the whole situation and whether he believes it all...See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Signal
Laura Tingle on Dutton's ‘shockingly bad' campaign

The Signal

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025 15:30


We're now in the dying days of the election campaign with the polls suggesting enough Australians will vote Labor to return Anthony Albanese as Prime Minister. While more than four million voters have already cast early ballots, there are 18 million people in all who'll need to make a choice and so the race isn't over and there's still hope for Peter Dutton and the Coalition. Today, political editor for the ABC's 7.30 program Laura Tingle on how the past five weeks have unfolded and the missteps in the opposition's campaign. Featured: Laura Tingle, 7.30's political editor

The Conditional Release Program
The Two Jacks - Episode 111 - All The Ones

The Conditional Release Program

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025 93:54


AI shownotes again. I'm sure they are totally accurate. Recorded: ANZAC Day (Australian Public Holiday)Hosts: Jack the Insider & Hong Kong JackIntroduction & ANZAC Day Reflections (00:00:01 - 00:01:17)Jack the Insider welcomes listeners to Episode 111, recorded on ANZAC Day.Mention of an interruption at the Melbourne Dawn Service involving neo-Nazi Jacob Hersant.Introduction of Hong Kong Jack.Hong Kong Update & Australian Politics (00:01:17 - 00:10:05)Hong Kong Exodus: Hong Kong Jack notes 2.2 million people left Hong Kong over Easter.Jacob Hersant Incident: Further discussion on the neo-Nazi escorted from the Shrine of Remembrance.Rise of Neo-Nazism & Fringe Candidates: Jack the Insider discusses the history (Jim Sallium) and current state of far-right politics, including candidates with criminal convictions (Rod Culleton, Dixon candidate) potentially running despite Section 44 eligibility issues.Section 44 Cases: Mention of Phil Cleary and a Greens candidate ("secret New Zealander").YouGov Poll Analysis:Labor: 33.5%LNP: 31%Greens: 14%One Nation: 10.5% (up significantly from ~5% in 2022)TPP: 53.5% (Labor) / 46.5% (LNP)Preference Flows: Discussion on One Nation's decision to preference LNP and historical preference flows to Labor. Challenges for minor parties getting How-To-Vote cards distributed (comparison to Democrats).Election Analysis & Predictions (00:10:05 - 00:20:42)Declining Two-Party System: Combined Labor/LNP primary vote down from the last election.LNP Strategy Critiqued: Jack the Insider criticizes the LNP for not adapting post-2022 election, particularly regarding teal seats and climate change.Campaign Trail: Albanese campaigning in Liberal marginals; Dutton's comments on Melbourne safety.Election Outcome Predictions:Jack the Insider: Labor majority (around 76-80 seats).Hong Kong Jack: Labor minority.Liberal Campaign Issues: Comparison to Latham's 2004 campaign, social media mishaps ("muppet heads"), vehicle emissions policy backflip.Betting Odds: Discussion on the shift in betting markets, favoring Labor.Early Voting: Debate on the merits and drawbacks of pre-polling, referencing Darren Hinch and Imre Selizynski's comments, and accessibility issues.Politics, Religion & Geopolitics (00:20:42 - 00:41:55)Preference Deals & Jewish Community: Discussion on Labor's preference deals with the Greens in McNamara (open ticket for Josh Burns) vs. Isaacs (Mark Dreyfus), causing concern in the Jewish community. Mention of the Adas Israel synagogue firebombing and surrounding uncertainties/rumours.Pope Francis's Passing: Reflections on his papacy. Hong Kong Jack prefers John Paul II; Jack the Insider defends Francis and criticizes JP II over handling scandals. Discussion on potential successors and the slow pace of change in the Catholic Church.Easter & Religion: Easter memes, the role of the Catholic Church (charity vs. criticism), changes in Ireland, Catholics selectively following doctrine (e.g., contraception).India-Pakistan Tensions: Escalation following a militant attack in Kashmir. India threatens to cut off water supplies to Pakistan. Historical context, nuclear capabilities, and the danger of water rights disputes. Brief mentions of Pakistan's internal issues and conditions in Bangladesh.US Politics & Global Affairs (00:41:55 - 00:55:28)Trump & Trade: Trump walks back China tariff threats after meeting retail executives concerned about Christmas stock. Discussion on Trump's understanding of trade.US Courts & Executive Orders: Judge Kollar-Kotelly's ruling striking down parts of Trump's order requiring citizenship proof for voter registration, while upholding other sections. Discussion on the proper role of courts, checks and balances, and Congress's inaction leading to increased reliance on executive orders.Russia-Ukraine Peace Proposal: Details of a proposed deal involving US recognition of Russian control over Crimea/Eastern regions, no NATO for Ukraine, lifting sanctions vs. European security guarantees for Ukraine, return of some territory, etc. Criticism from Boris Johnson; seen as unfavourable to Ukraine. Trump's tweet urging Putin to stop strikes on Kyiv.Anniversaries & Culture (00:55:28 - 00:58:31)Saigon Evacuation: 50th anniversary of the Australian Embassy evacuation, noting local staff left behind.Crocodile Dundee: 39th anniversary. Paul Hogan's comments, investment success stories (Dennis Lillee).Yahoo Serious: Mention of a current court case.Sports: Cricket, AFL & More (00:58:31 - 01:29:28)Keith Stackpole (RIP): Tribute to the former Australian cricketer. Discussion of his career as a player (opener, aggressive batsman) and commentator. Anecdotes involving Bill Lawry, Kerry O'Keeffe, Harsha Bhogle.AFL Send-Off Rule Debate: Sparked by the Nash/Miers incident. Arguments for/against a red card, implementation challenges (timing, concussion protocols), historical examples, Lee Matthews' view.MCG Security & SCG Fan Ban: Increased security for ANZAC Day game. Discussion on the SCG Trust's two-year ban on a 16-year-old fan for throwing/dropping a record near Aliir Aliir – deemed excessive by the hosts.Noah Balta Controversy: Richmond player playing before being sentenced for assault. Criticism of Richmond's handling, the AFL's stance, player's curfew impacting availability, and political commentary surrounding the issue.Tom De Koning Contract: Rumoured huge offer from St Kilda. Discussion on his value, the Gawn/Grundy comparison, implications for both clubs, and the changing role/importance of elite ruckmen.NRL: Broncos defeat Bulldogs; several Bulldogs players facing bans. Roosters vs Dragons ANZAC match preview.Rugby & Cricket Updates: James O'Connor's late-game heroics; Cameron Green's century on County debut for Gloucestershire; IPL viewing challenges.Final Thoughts (01:29:28 - End)Meat Consumption Trends: Rebound in meat buying over plant-based alternatives.Unnecessary Technology: Comparison of plant-based foods and internet-connected fridges.ANZAC Day AFL Game: 30th anniversary of the Essendon vs Collingwood match, origins involving Kevin Sheedy and Gabby Allen.Wrap-up & Sign-off.

Nightlife
Nightlife News Breakdown - Hugh Riminton - Ten News First

Nightlife

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025 24:08


Nightlife News Breakdown with Philip Clark, joined by Hugh Riminton, National Affairs Editor, Ten News First. 

The Ray Hadley Morning Show: Highlights
'Come out with a backbone' – Pauline's big issue with Dutton

The Ray Hadley Morning Show: Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025 16:07


Pauline Hanson admits that while she trusts Opposition Leader Peter Dutton to lead the country more so than Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, she says a lack of backbone and leadership from Dutton is hurting his campaign. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The West Live Podcast
Why Joe Exotic backed Albo & Voice haunts PM

The West Live Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025 8:34


In today’s episode, Ben O’Shea reveals why Joe Exotic backed Albanese. Plus, Penny Wong’s Voice comment gives Dutton ammo & we unpack the PM’s press club appearance.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Signal
Your questions: Which party will fix childcare?

The Signal

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 15:27


Listeners have asked us to explain the childcare policies on offer at this election. There's a crisis in the quality of care, with Four Corners recently revealing alarming cases of mistreatment and even abuse of children. Parents also want to see improvements on childcare affordability and access to places.Today, ABC investigative reporter Adele Ferguson answers your questions about the crisis and whether any party has policies that could fix childcare. Catch our past episodes explaining energy, housing and defence policy, the backstories of the leaders and political donations. Featured: Adele Ferguson, ABC investigative reporter

The Quicky
'Quiet Australians' May Deliver Dutton Victory

The Quicky

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 5:29 Transcription Available


Peter Dutton is relying on "quiet Australians" to get him over the line as a former political insider says protest votes could offer him a path to The Lodge; A prominent Indigenous leader has accused politicians of using Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people as a political football; A regional disability provider has admitted to serious safety breaches after the death of a young Aboriginal woman; Almost one in seven women and girls skip sport because of their period; A man who allegedly broke into the home of television star Asher Keddie has been bailed. The Quicky is the easiest and most enjoyable way to get across the news every day. And it’s delivered straight to your ears in a daily podcast so you can listen whenever you want, wherever you want...at the gym, on the train, in the playground or at night while you're making dinner. Support independent women's media CREDITS Host/Producer: Nicole Madigan Audio Producer: Lu Hill Become a Mamamia subscriber: https://www.mamamia.com.au/subscribeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Ben Fordham: Highlights
TUESDAY SHOW - 29th April

Ben Fordham: Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 82:17


*Dutton office attacked*Labor tax grab *John Lyons on Ukraine See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Nightlife
Nightlife News Breakdown - Katina Curtis - The West Australian

Nightlife

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 19:21


Nightlife News Breakdown with Philip Clark, joined by Katina Curtis, Canberra bureau chief for The West Australian, who has been covering federal politics for over a decade.

Ben Fordham: Full Show
TUESDAY SHOW - 29th April

Ben Fordham: Full Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 82:17


*Dutton office attacked*Labor tax grab *John Lyons on Ukraine See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Ray Hadley Morning Show: Highlights
'We can win' – Why Dutton is worried about the latest polls

The Ray Hadley Morning Show: Highlights

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2025 19:31


Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has warned those looking closely at the latest poll data not to ignore the "forgotten Australians," declaring he’s confident he can win the Federal Election despite the latest data indicating Labor and Anthony Albanese are in front.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Socially Democratic
Ep. 294: Path to 76 BONUS - Your Guide to the Battleground Seats

Socially Democratic

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2025 225:39


In this mega-episode, Stephen Donnelly goes on a whirlwind tour of Australia's most hotly-contested seats for Labor. He is joined by campaign experts (see below) from each state, who shine a spotlight on the candidates, the constituents, and the issues shaping each electorate.They share the betting odds and lay their predictions on the table. This is the ultimate election night primer.***Use the Chapter headings to jump to the seats that pique your interest - or listen to the whole episode like the absolute beast you are.***Can Labor get to 76 this Saturday night? Join us to find out. CHAPTERS:00:00 Introduction01:18 Welcome to NSW06:00 Bennelong12:42 Gilmore21:51 Paterson29:52 Hunter34:48 Robertson41:47 Welcome to QLD45:39 Leichardt54:39 Bonner01:03:23 Brisbane01:08:51 Longman01:14:16 Welcome to TAS01:15:44 Lyons 01:30:27 Bass01:35:49 Franklin01:38:22 Welcome to the NT01:39:20 Solomon01:48:18 Lingiari01:56:35 Welcome to SA02:00:42 Boothby02:10:19 Sturt02:19:41 Welcome to WA02:25:13 Bullwinkle02:29:32 Tangney02:37:16 Pearce02:42:47 Canning02:48:58 Welcome to VIC02:52:58 Chisolm 03:00:58 Menzies03:03:19 Aston03:07:50 Dunkley03:10:33 Bruce03:11:59 McEwan03:15:21 Hawke03:17:37 Mcnamara03:29:08 Wills 03:40:27 Wrap UpSPECIAL GUESTS:NSW - Todd PinkertonTodd is the director of campaigns and strategy at Unions NSW, a former federal and state Labor staffer, and he's been on every campaign cycle since 2011.QLD - Evan MoorheadEvan is the director of Anacta Strategies, former Director of Strategy for the Office of the Premier and Minister for Trade, former State Secretary for Queensland Labor, and former State Member for Waterford.WA - Priya BrownPriya is a partner at GRA Partners, the former Chief of Staff in the WA Government, a former Senior Advisor in the Vic Government, and the former Regional Field Director for the Community Action Network.TAS - Jack MilroyJack is a senior strategist and public affairs professional with more than 20 years of experience in progressive political campaigns in Australia and abroad.SA - Matt ClemowMatt is a former Senior Advisor and Chief of Staff in the SA Labor Government, to successive SA Labor Premiers and current consultant for Capetal Advisory in Adelaide.NT - Ryan NeveRyan has over 20 years of experience as an advisor in the NT Government, as well as stints in the UK and Victoria. Most recently he was Executive Director for the Finance, Communications, Policy, and Strategy Divisions within the Dept. of Environment, Parks, and Water Security in the NT. VIC - Jessie McCroneJessie is a managing partner at FMRS advisory, the former Deputy Chief of Staff to Daniel Andrews, and former ALP National Organiser.The presenting sponsor of the Socially Democratic podcast is Dunn Street. For more information on how Dunn Street can help you organise to build winning campaigns in your community, business or organisation, and Support the showNew episodes out every Friday.If you like the show leave a comment below or leave us a review on Podchaser: https://bit.ly/36uFbp8Support the show on Patreon. Follow us on YouTube, Facebook, X, Bluesky, and Instagram.

Nightlife
Nightlife News Breakdown - Barrie Cassidy - Former Host of Insiders

Nightlife

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2025 18:16


Barrie Cassidy, the former host of Insiders, veteran of 40 years or so as a political correspondent, joins Philip Clark on Nightlife.  

Sky News - Sharri
Sharri | 28 April

Sky News - Sharri

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2025 51:03 Transcription Available


Poll shows Trump backlash drives voters from Dutton to Albanese, the Coalition announces huge defence boost as Dutton vows to keep Australia safe. Plus, election spending threatens Australia's AAA credit rating.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Quick Smart
Why politicians are allowed to lie in election ads

Quick Smart

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2025 12:32


Politicians love to overwhelm us during election campaigns. But often, we're left wondering what they actually stand for. Who has the best policies on issues you care about, and how are young people changing the tide of this election?

Sky News - Paul Murray Live
Paul Murray Our Town: Kalgoorlie | 27 April

Sky News - Paul Murray Live

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2025 49:30 Transcription Available


Join Paul Murray for this month’s special edition of Our Town in Kalgoorlie, a hung parliament could be on the horizon, according to the latest Newspoll. Plus, is a Dutton victory still within reach?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Insiders
Albanese and Dutton race to the election finish line

Insiders

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 26, 2025 80:00


We're into the final week of the election campaign – and this morning we're in the marginal seat of McEwan. Peter Dutton has been here several times during the campaign. His promise to cut fuel excise is aimed at commuters in seats like this. But is it enough?