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Ripristinare un sistema di difesa europeo, autonomo dagli USA e abbastanza poderoso da dissuadere sul nascere ogni velleità aggressiva della Russia richiede innanzitutto una definizione delle strategie e degli obiettivi. In caso contrario si rischia di disperdere le risorse in troppi rivoli perdendo di vista la logica complessiva.Non è necessario costruire la difesa europea sotto l'egida dell'Unione Europea, basta che i paesi maggiori trovino un'intesa e l'intendenza seguirà. Ne parliamo con Mauro Gilli ricercatore al Politecnico di Zurigo, uno dei maggiori esperti su politiche della difesa, che abbiamo ospitato già in varie occasioni su Inglorious Globastards.
Ci eravamo lasciati nel 2024 con un grande punto interrogativo sul ritorno di Trump, e a soli tre mesi dal suo insediamento possiamo dirlo: l'effetto terremoto è arrivato. Sostegno all'Ucraina ridotto all'osso, rapporti NATO ai minimi storici e un messaggio chiaro agli alleati: “arrangiatevi”. L'Europa, spaesata ma scossa, inizia a ragionare su un'autonomia difensiva, mentre il progetto “ReArm Europe” si affaccia con ambizioni e polemiche. In questa puntata, Mauro Gilli – ricercatore al Politecnico di Zurigo – ci aiuta a leggere lo scenario: quali sono le reali minacce? L'Europa può davvero difendersi da sola? E l'Italia, storicamente mediatrice, che ruolo può giocare tra vincoli di bilancio e tensioni geopolitiche crescenti? Un episodio per chi vuole capire, al di là dei titoli, dove stiamo andando.
TNSR Managing Editor Rick Landgraf sits down with Mauro Gilli to discuss the effect of climate change on the detection range of submarines.
I droni stanno cambiando il modo di fare la guerra un po' dappertutto: in Ucraina, in Israele, in Myanmar, in Etiopia, in Nagorno Karabakh. Con Mauro Gilli, ricercatore in Tecnologia militare e Sicurezza internazionale al Center for Security Studies ETH di Zurigo. I consigli di Mauro Gilli – Un recente report sui droni curato da Elio Calcagno e Alessandro Marrone dell'Istituto Affari Internazionali – “Predator: The Secret Origins of the Drone Revolution” di Richard Whittle – I profili social di Michael Kofman e di Rob Lee, esperti militari di Ucraina che stanno per pubblicare un nuovo studio sui droni I droni sul Post – Come si abbatte un drone iraniano – I droni militari hanno cambiato il corso della guerra anche in Etiopia – Le armi usate dall'Iran per attaccare Israele Sono aperte le iscrizioni alle “10 lezioni sui podcast” del Post, dieci incontri online per chi vuole capire meglio come funzionano i podcast, dall'idea alla pubblicazione. Le lezioni saranno due volte a settimana, in diretta, insieme a chi li pensa, chi li scrive, chi li registra. Ci saranno sia autori del Post (da Stefano Nazzi a Francesco Costa) sia ospiti esterni. Ci si può iscrivere fino al 27 maggio. Trovi altre informazioni a questo link o scrivendo a scuola@ilpost.it Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Lo hanno segnalato i ricercatori dell'Istituto internazionale per la ricerca sulla pace di Stoccolma (SIPRI) pochi giorni fa: lo scorso anno le spese militari hanno raggiunto quota 2443 miliardi di dollari! Una cifra impressionante e che coinvolge nazioni dei 5 i continenti. In questo contesto si registra anche il continuo aggiornamento e ampliamento degli arsenali nucleari dei 9 paesi che posseggono le armi nucleari. Tutto questo – unitamente ad altri eventi – ha spinto gli scienziati della rivista Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists dell'Università di Chicago ad aggiornare il cosiddetto e metaforico “orologio del giudizio” per cui mancherebbero ormai solo 90 secondi a mezzanotte: l'ora fatidica in cui l'umanità rischierebbe di scomparire. Stiamo davvero imboccando una strada senza ritorno (quella del continuo riarmo) e con quali prospettive?La risposta militare è l'unica possibile di fronte alle crescenti tensioni internazionali?Di questi e altri interrogativi discutiamo a Modem con: Mauro Gilli, esperto di tecnologie militari e sicurezza internazionale presso il Politecnico federale di ZurigoAlessandro Pascolini, già professore di Fisica teorica all'Università di PadovaIntervista registrata a Lorenzo Scarazzato, ricercatore presso il SIPRI, Istituto per la ricerca sulla pace di Stoccolma
This is a recording of the Marathon event in support of Ukraine that was jointly run in Berlin on 15th March 2024 by Silicon Curtain and the European Resilience Initiative Center: https://www.youtube.com/@EuroResilience https://www.youtube.com/@SiliconCurtain ---------- The online TV marathon was hosted to mark the second anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine and 10 years of the Russo-Ukrainian war. Hosted in a recording studio in Berlin, by the European Resilience Initiative Center and Silicon Curtain channel. The event also aims to raise funds for the Ukrainian army to continue it's resistance against Russian aggression: Please donate to support Ukraine's army. It's vitally important and every donation matters! https://www.paypal.com/donate?campaign_id=JX6D2JAUSBX44 The European Resilience Initiative Center is raising money to support Ukraineʼs army units. They have been providing financial support for over a year and have delivered over €400,000 worth of vital supplies. They are in direct contact with specific units and know their needs. Help us to help them. We've set up this campaign with a goal of 20.000 € to be raised from the live event. ---------- The event schedule: Panel 1: Western Support of Ukraine: More Words Than Deeds? With Sergej Sumlenny (host), Aaron Burnett, Yevgheniya Gaber, and Olena Halushka. https://youtu.be/_ejDvDpDQRE Break 1 Break: With Ben Hodges, Hanna Shelest, and Viktoriia Vdovychenko. https://youtu.be/mR0vYhAKKU8 Panel 2: Russia's Escalation Ladder: From One War to Another. With Jonathan Fink (host) and Sergej Sumlenny. https://youtu.be/XUZzjfEdzmg Break 2 Break: With Alina Frolova and Malcolm Nance. https://youtu.be/8seIo1xGm1o Panel 3: The guns of Europe & Russia's nuclear blackmailing. With Sascha Ostanina (host), William Alberque, Mykola Bielieskov, Gustav Gressel, and Roderich Kiesewetter. https://youtu.be/lko-gNGc64w Break 3 Break: With Mauro Gilli. https://youtu.be/9U09hpZrhJY Panel 4: Western Training Missions for Ukraine. With Sergej Sumlenny (host) and Sascha Ostanina. https://youtu.be/5ANXhWkCDwE Break 4 Break: with Nathalie Vogel. https://youtu.be/h49NsLdZAfs Panel 5: The weaponisation of information, memory and politics. With Jonathan Fink (Host), Nikolai Klimeniouk, and Operator Starsky. https://youtu.be/gKHXrALcy4M ---------- SUPPORT THE CHANNEL: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain https://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain ---------- TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND: Save Ukraine https://www.saveukraineua.org/ Superhumans - Hospital for war traumas https://superhumans.com/en/ UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukraine https://unbroken.org.ua/ Come Back Alive https://savelife.in.ua/en/ Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchen https://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraine UNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyy https://u24.gov.ua/ Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundation https://prytulafoundation.org ---------- PLATFORMS: Twitter: https://twitter.com/CurtainSilicon Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/siliconcurtain/ Podcast: https://open.spotify.com/show/4thRZj6NO7y93zG11JMtqm Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/finkjonathan/ Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain ----------
Intervista Mauro Gilli ricercatore associato di tecnolgoia militare e sicurezza internazionael al Politecnico di Zurigo. La guerra in corso tra Israele e Hamas non si combatte solo con missili e carrarmati: il blackout delle comunicazioni a Gaza lo ha confermato
⬇⬇⬇APRIMI⬇⬇ Ecco un'offerta esclusiva per tutti i nostri spettatori: vai su https://nordvpn.com/economiaitalia per ottenere uno sconto esclusivo e 4 mesi GRATIS in regalo! Con l'abbonamento a NORDVPN, avrai accesso a una rete VPN sicura e veloce, che ti proteggerà da furti di dati, tracciamento online e censura. PATRIOT VS KINDZHAL: Analisi di Mauro Gilli sui sistemi missilistici e l'impatto dei DRONI Abbonati qui: https://www.youtube.com/economiaitalia/join https://www.patreon.com/join/EconomiaItalia? Qui per segnalare temi: https://tellonym.me/dr.elegantia Podcast (su tutte le piattaforme): https://www.spreaker.com/show/dr-elegantia-podcast COME SOSTENERCI: Il nostro nuovo libro sull'economia: Guida Terrestre per Autoeconomisti https://www.poliniani.com/product-page/guida-terrestre link acquisto Amazon: https://amzn.to/36XTXs8 Acquistando le nostre T-shirt dedicate ai dati stampate in Serigrafia Artigianale con passione e orgoglio dai detenuti del Carcere Lorusso e Cutugno di Torino https://bit.ly/3zNsdkd e HTTPS://urly.it/3nga1 Guida al VOTO 2022: https://amzn.to/3KflXHd DonazionI Paypal: https://paypal.me/appuntiUAB Vuoi sostenermi ma non sborsare nemmeno un euro? Usa questo link per per il tuo prossimo acquisto su Amazon: https://amzn.to/2JGRyGT Qui trovi i libri che consiglio per iniziare a capirne di più sull'economia: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEaIk8wQ3z8 È tornata l'offerta di Buddybank. 25€ per ogni conto aperto. Io ho un conto buddybank da oltre un anno. Devo dire super top. Zero commissioni sui bonifici. No canone. Inserisci il codice E7B9B0 in fase di richiesta di apertura conto corrente buddybank. Scarica l'app qui: https://app.adjust.com/qpkbnd2 Dove ci trovi: https://www.umbertobertonelli.it/info/ https://linktr.ee/economiaitalia La mia postazione: Logitech streamcam https://amzn.to/3HR6xq0 Luci https://amzn.to/3n6qtgP Shure MV7https://amzn.to/3HRh7k1 Asta https://amzn.to/3HSRvzY #economiaitalia #drelegantia #economiaDiventa un supporter di questo podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/dr-elegantia-podcast--5692498/support.
⬇⬇⬇APRIMI⬇⬇ Ecco un'offerta esclusiva per tutti i nostri spettatori: vai su https://nordvpn.com/economiaitalia per ottenere uno sconto esclusivo e 4 mesi GRATIS in regalo! Con l'abbonamento a NORDVPN, avrai accesso a una rete VPN sicura e veloce, che ti proteggerà da furti di dati, tracciamento online e censura. PATRIOT VS KINDZHAL: Analisi di Mauro Gilli sui sistemi missilistici e l'impatto dei DRONI Abbonati qui: https://www.youtube.com/economiaitalia/join https://www.patreon.com/join/EconomiaItalia? Qui per segnalare temi: https://tellonym.me/dr.elegantia Podcast (su tutte le piattaforme): https://www.spreaker.com/show/dr-elegantia-podcast COME SOSTENERCI: Il nostro nuovo libro sull'economia: Guida Terrestre per Autoeconomisti https://www.poliniani.com/product-page/guida-terrestre link acquisto Amazon: https://amzn.to/36XTXs8 Acquistando le nostre T-shirt dedicate ai dati stampate in Serigrafia Artigianale con passione e orgoglio dai detenuti del Carcere Lorusso e Cutugno di Torino https://bit.ly/3zNsdkd e HTTPS://urly.it/3nga1 Guida al VOTO 2022: https://amzn.to/3KflXHd DonazionI Paypal: https://paypal.me/appuntiUAB Vuoi sostenermi ma non sborsare nemmeno un euro? Usa questo link per per il tuo prossimo acquisto su Amazon: https://amzn.to/2JGRyGT Qui trovi i libri che consiglio per iniziare a capirne di più sull'economia: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEaIk8wQ3z8 È tornata l'offerta di Buddybank. 25€ per ogni conto aperto. Io ho un conto buddybank da oltre un anno. Devo dire super top. Zero commissioni sui bonifici. No canone. Inserisci il codice E7B9B0 in fase di richiesta di apertura conto corrente buddybank. Scarica l'app qui: https://app.adjust.com/qpkbnd2 Dove ci trovi: https://www.umbertobertonelli.it/info/ https://linktr.ee/economiaitalia La mia postazione: Logitech streamcam https://amzn.to/3HR6xq0 Luci https://amzn.to/3n6qtgP Shure MV7https://amzn.to/3HRh7k1 Asta https://amzn.to/3HSRvzY #economiaitalia #drelegantia #economia
Torniamo a parlare di guerra con un ospite d'eccezione: Mauro Gilli ricercatore all'ETH di Zurigo. Con lui esaminiamo la situazione sul fronte ucraino, e le probabilità che la controffensiva ucraina riesca a strappare altri territori agli invasori russi. Poi volgiamo lo sguardo al fronte di guerra potenzialmente più devastante, dove Cina e Usa verrebbero ad uno scontro diretto. Gli esiti delle guerre sono difficili da prevedere, ma alla fine prevale chi ha più risorse economiche e tecnologie più avanzate. Al momento l'Occidente mantiene il vantaggio?
Registrazione della Live sul sito di Liberi Oltre le Ilusioni Continua la serie delle riflessioni sull'impatto dei primi 11 mesi di guerra sul mondo occidentale, e non solo. Lo abbiamo visto in campo militare con Mauro Gilli, In tema più politico internazionale con Vittorio Emanuele Parsi, nel campo informativo russo con Monique Camarra.Ora vediamo l'împatto sui mercati finanziari, in campo energetico e generale con i due ospiti amici di Liberi Oltre le Illusioni: Aleksandra Georgieva e Massimo Famularo.Sostieni Liberi Oltre le Illusioni diventando socio:vai su https://www.liberioltreleillusioni.itnella sezione "ASSOCIATI" e diventa socio.La Finanza in Soldoni è un progetto multicanale che include un Podcasthttps://www.spreaker.com/show/la-finanza-in-soldoniuna Newsletterhttps://lafinanzainsoldoni.substack.com/una serie di video sul canale Youtube di Massimo Famularohttps://www.youtube.com/c/MassimoFamularo/e un libro che trovate in Libreria e nei principali Bookstore on line.https://www.amazon.it/finanza-soldoni-Massimo-Famularo/dp/8868492458/Suggerisco anche la lettura delle "Storie di Tutti i colori più uno"https://www.amazon.it/Storie-tutti-colori-pi%C3%B9-uno/dp/B09F1G3WZP/Il mio blog è https://massimofamularo.com/
As Russia is conducting essentially terrorist attacks targeting Ukrainian cities with drones, I spoke to Mauro Gilli. He is a Senior Researcher in Military Technology and International Security at the Center for Security Studies of ETH-Zurich. We talked about drones and other military systems and about how both sides used them on the battlefield. Do you want to know what is the biggest surprise for my podcast guest when he looks at war? Listen to our conversation. And if you enjoy what I do, please support me on Ko-fi! Thank you. https://ko-fi.com/amatisak --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/andrej-matisak/message
CONFRONTO PARABELLUM-MAURO GILLI sulle MOSSE della RUSSIA in UCRAINASeguimi live tutti i giorni su Twitch alle 12.00 e alle 18.30 - https://twitch.tv/ivan_grieco---Iscriviti al canale e attiva la campanella - https://bit.ly/3nIb6ZO---Patreon (contenuti esclusivi) : https://www.patreon.com/ivan_grieco---Link per codice sconto Cuffie ASTRO 5% : http://astro.family/rampageEMEA ---Instagram ►https://instagram.com/ivangriecoTwitter ► https://twitter.com/Ivan_Grieco
Antariksh Matters #1: Dual-use Dilemmas in the OEWG on Space Threats— Pranav R SatyanathThe first session of the Open-Ended Working Group (OEWG) on Reducing Space Threats was held last week between the 9th and 13th of May in Geneva. The OEWG was created under the requirement of the United Nations Resolution 75/36 which called on member states to exchange views on norms, threats and behaviours in outer space.Deliberations on matters of space security are not new. They’ve been taking place under the framework of the Prevention of an Arms Race in Outer Space (PAROS), with countries divided between two broad themes: first, whether to regulate space capabilities or to regulate space activities; and second, whether to negotiate legally-binding treaties or whether to agree on non legally binding transparency and confidence-building measures.The latest set of deliberations have attempted to focus on the norms, principles and behavioural guidelines that can be established in order to make space a secure environment for all countries. However, since space capabilities and space activities carried out by countries are intrinsically linked, and since space assets have both civilian and military applications, any attempt to regulate space activities will have both direct and indirect consequences on the interpretation of international law. The dilemma of dual-use capabilities, was highlighted in a presentation made by David Koplow of Georgetown University, who pointed to the intersection of dual-use capabilities in space and the Law of Armed Conflict (LoAC). Koplow argues that by making it harder to distinguish civilian and military assets in space, countries may be violating a vital tenet of the LoAC. During an armed conflict, any asset of a country used for military purposes can be targeted by the adversary. Therefore, countries must separate their civilian and military assets to the greatest extent possible.Making this distinction in practice is, however, a challenge as countries regularly use civilian assets for carrying out military activities. For example, civilian rockets are used to launch military satellites and the Global Positioning System (GPS) and similar systems are used for both civilian and military purposes. Some countries also use commercial Earth-imaging services for gathering intelligence on an adversary's military capabilities, making them potential targets during a conflict.One possible solution to this problem was suggested by Almudena Azcárate Ortega, a researcher at the United Nations Institute of Disarmament Research (UNIDIR). Ortega proposed that countries could choose to distinguish their space capabilities into two categories:Dual-use assets: Space capabilities that are designed to perform both civilian and military functions. GPS satellites and similar systems fall into this category.Dual-capable assets: Space capabilities that perform civilian functions but that can be repurposed for military functions. Satellites used for debris removal or on-orbit servicing fall into this category.Categorising space assets as dual-use or dual-purpose may indeed serve useful. However, some capabilities are more difficult to distinguish than others. For example, it is reported that Ukrainian forces are using Starlink satellites for assisting in drone strikes in Russia. Starlink is a space-based Internet service provided by the American company SpaceX. It is alleged that Russia attempted to cyberattacks on Starlink in order to prevent its use by Ukrainian forces.As dual-use space technologies proliferate to more countries, the need for regulating both capabilities and activity will likely become a greater challenge for the international community.Cyberpolitik: China's Position in OEWG (2021-2025) on Information Security— Megha PardhiBetween 28 March and 1 April 2022, the UN held the second substantive session of the "Open-ended Working Group on the Security of and the use of Information and Communications Technologies" (OEWG (2021-2025)). This is the second such working group constituted by the UN on information security. The OEWG (2021-2025) was formed in Nov 2020 and commenced in 2021. The final report of the working group will be presented to the UN General Assembly in 2025.These working groups are the international community's attempts to shape norms governing cyberspace. Developing norms of behavior in cyberspace has been a contested issue for a long time. Russia was among the first countries to propose rules and norms on cyberspace. However, early attempts fell prey to geopolitical tug of war.In the recently concluded session, many countries have put out statements expressing their position, suggestions, and concerns. In the statement released by the Chinese delegation, the Chinese government seems more worried about cyberspace norms being used against China or basically whoever does not fit into the US' definition of acceptability. The Chinese delegation made four key points:Maintaining peace in cyberspace is crucial. The division of cyberspace into peaceful and non-peaceful periods would send the wrong signal to the international community.Security of cyberspace is necessary for all countries. The statement also has the usual rhetoric of abandoning 'Zero-sum thinking' and 'cold war' mentality.First mover advantage in cyberspace should not be weaponized. China objected to the use of unilateral sanctions and weaponizing the first-mover advantage 'some countries' have over others.The Chinese statement reflected that some countries are creating "deliberately creating closed, exclusive circles for discussing supply chain issues."Objections over the division of activities in the peaceful and non-peaceful periods are understandable. Activities in cyberspace tend to intersect personal and state matters. Wars often blur this distinction. However, normalizing such division in cyberspace might set a dangerous precedent for the norms of behavior in cyberspace.There is a veiled reference to the Quad in the statement. The reference to "closed, exclusive circles for discussing supply chain issues" is similar to the terminology used when Chinese leaders and foreign ministry spokespersons talk about Quad and AUKUS. This again reflects the fact that the Quad and AUKUS have got Beijing worried about similar groupings emerging in cyberspace. Beijing's fear of isolation might seem contradictory as China's own 'Great Firewall' has strived to separate Chinese cyberspace from the world. However, there is a difference between choosing to stay isolated and being forced to isolate. Currently, Beijing decides the rules of operation in China's cyberspace. If states form an alliance to isolate China in cyberspace, the rules would be different. The Chinese government understands it could be detrimental to China's long-term interests.Additionally, the point of reference to the Quad and AUKUS is not just Beijing's fear of isolation. These references and the complaints of a 'cold war' mentality also mean China is trying to project itself as a norms follower while projecting others as 'arm twisting' bullies trying to get their own way. This is most evident in the fourth point of China's statement which roughly says, "this makes people doubt that the real goal of some countries participating in the UN information security process is to build 'international rules of cyberspace that other countries abide by, but they are above all countries’" (这令人不得不怀疑,某些国家参与联合国信息安全进程的真实目标是,构建 "其他各国都遵守,而其自身则凌驾于各国的网络空间国际规则").The war in Ukraine also loomed over the second session of the OEWG (2021-2025). Some states expressed concerns over the way Ukraine War will shape behavior in cyberspace and objections and statements over cyber activities during the war. China's objection to the use of unilateral sanctions and weaponizing first-mover advantage by 'some countries' most likely refers to the sanctions imposed by US and allies on Russia. Again, Chinese leaders have used similar terminology to express their displeasure over sanctions on Russia.Antariksh Matters #2: How Adversaries Might Challenge India’s Use of Space— Aditya RamanathanSceptics sometimes ask me how, in fact, India’s space assets could be threatened in the future and what forms such threats could take. It’s true that it’s hard to envisage what such attacks might look like. Our understanding of space warfare is limited by a merciful lack of precedence. Limited as our understanding may be, it’s worth trying to think of the conditions under which India’s chief adversaries, China and Pakistan, might use space warfare capabilities against it. Broadly, India could face space warfare under three types of circumstances: peacetime (meaning the absence of unusual tensions), crisis (a spike in tensions and/or standoffs, skirmishes) or conflict (a state of violent hostilities in one or more theatres).In the table below, I attempt to map the tools of space warfare to the circumstances India is likely to face.Peacetime In peacetime, adversaries will focus on demonstrating capabilities, probing defences, mounting disruptive cyber attacks, and infiltrating computer worms and viruses. Demonstrations of capabilities can help an adversary deter future threats. These could include ‘dazzling’ satellites with lasers, electronic jamming or spoofing, or conducting non-kinetic rendezvous and proximity operations around a satellite.CrisesIn crises, adversaries will primarily want to signal not just the existence of a capability but also the resolve to use it imminently if its demands are not met. Therefore, while an RPO craft circling around a satellite in peacetime is mainly a demonstration of capability, in a crisis, it is a coercive act meant to shape the outcomes of high stakes bargaining. ConflictIn conflict, the tools of space warfare will most likely be used for effect – to actively deny the use of space and consequently degrade the effectiveness of the adversary’s Earth-based forces. An adversary could strike in six ways during a conflict: A splendid first strike could deny India the effective use of space. Such a strike, usually carried out at the outset of a conflict (the frequently discussed ‘space Pearl Harbor’), would probably be part of a broader plan to degrade Indian forces with simultaneous strikes in space and on Earth. A graduated response would involve managing an exchange of blows and seeking to end it on favourable terms. This would entail targeting specific space capabilities in retaliation and attempting to dissuade the other side from further action.A focused strike targets specific capabilities for a finite set of time in a bid to degrade specific Earth-based capabilities. An Indian strike on Chinese ISR satellites over the Indian Ocean is an example of such a strike.Disruptive strikes create uncertainty about the reliability of space assets. These are low grade, seemingly random strikes that force the state under attack to continually react rather than seize the initiative.Disproportionate retaliation occurs in response to a smaller strike and is meant to dissuade the adversary from launching further attacks. Disproportionate retaliation must remain partial or temporary to provide the adversary an incentive to halt space warfare.A catalytic strike seeks to precipitate third party intervention in a conflict and force its termination on the best terms available. The American political scientist Vipin Narang argues that Pakistan has, in the past, used the catalytic threat of nuclear strikes to hasten American intervention in crises with India. A kinetic attack from a future Pakistani ASAT missile could catalyse frantic calls for ending a conflict that is tilting in India’s favour.To be clear, none of these types of strikes falls into discrete or self-contained categories. A focused strike can lead to a graduated response, which can, in turn, devolve into disruptive strikes or escalate into disproportionate retaliation. These categories are simply meant to clarify the likely intent behind the waging of space warfare. There are reasons for the aforementioned sceptics to be, well, sceptical about the value of an exercise such as this. In the real world, any target state would find it difficult to accurately gauge an adversary’s intentions while an attack is underway. Also, future contingencies are likely to take unexpected forms and contain surprises. However, the value of this sort of undertaking is that it can (a) help clarify the sort of situations that can trigger an attack on space assets, (b) provide clarity on the sort of challenges India will need to deter in the coming years. As the much-used adage goes, plans are useless but planning is indispensable.Siliconpolitik: The Transatlantic Semiconductor Alliance in the Making— Pranay Kotasthane(First published on takshashila.org.in)Over the last couple of years, we have consistently argued that in order to make the semiconductor supply chain resilient, plurilateral cooperation is a necessity, not a choice. Subsidising semiconductor firms in the hope of achieving national self-sufficiency is counterproductive and futile. Futile in the limited sense that such measures won’t achieve the aim of full indigenisation. Counterproductive because a sole focus on domestic subsidies would displace the opportunity to really make a resilient, China-independent, cutting-edge semiconductor supply chain.Nevertheless, as it so often happens, subsidies are an easier policy option. This pro-business instrument—as against a pro-market one—also suits semiconductor firms better. Subsidies finance their heavy capital investments in the short term. And so, we had a number of national governments—the US, the EU, Japan, South Korea, China, India, and Taiwan to name a few—launch their own versions of semiconductor subsidy programmes.However, it does seem that the tide is now turning from a public and foreign policy perspective. Apart from subsidies, governments are now realising the value of coordinating their efforts. In an earlier post, I had discussed a reported semiconductor alliance involving the US, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. Although we haven’t heard about this grouping since then, there is now a new grouping that we need to take note of.The US and EU announced a new initiative on similar lines as part of the US-EU Trade and Technology Council (TTC) that concluded in Paris on Monday, 16th May. The detailed joint statement shows that the scope of this transatlantic partnership on technology is vast. Initiatives were announced on areas as diverse as solar supply chains, climate and cleantech, rare earth materials, technology standards and semiconductors. For this post, let’s focus on understanding what the announcements on semiconductors mean to the US, the EU, and India.The Transatlantic Approach for SemiconductorsAs part of the initiative, the two parties agreed on two key areas:That the US and the EU will coordinate their respective chip investments so that it doesn’t end up being a ‘subsidy race’ to the bottom. In practice, this means that the US and EU are likely to share information with each other on their planned fab investments, the companies they plan to target, and so on. In ideal circumstances, they would like to reach a stage where the EU has enough production capacity for automotive chips, while the US invests in production capacity for leading-edge nodes. In the future, the two partners would also want to agree on preferential treatment for their own fabless companies to access the fabs in each other’s national jurisdiction. For now, they have agreed on consulting each other on subsidies for semiconductor firms.The two partners also agreed to develop an early warning detection system for supply chain disruptions. A similar announcement was also made as part of the Quad Semiconductor Supply Chain initiative during the last Summit meeting, where the four members agreed to “map capacity, identify vulnerabilities, and bolster supply-chain security for semiconductors and their vital components.” The motivation for this initiative is to keep a closer eye on wafer capacities across the globe so that stockpiling or additional capacity addition can be coordinated.Both the moves indicate the willingness to collaborate with partners instead of going it all alone.The India AngleThese moves are consequential for India. Apart from the US, the EU has a Trade and Technology Council arrangement with just one other nation-state—India. India should use this arrangement and become a part of this semiconductor supply chain alliance. There’s also the opportunity to combine the US-EU effort with the Quad’s Semiconductor Supply Chain Initiative, as the goals of the two mechanisms are identical.With these new semiconductor alliances taking shape, it’s important for India to become a part of these formations. Foreign Policy in the Information Age needs to go beyond the traditional defensive approach of ‘protecting’ one’s critical technologies and instead become a key driver for enhancing India’s high-tech power.Our Reading Menu[Article] Why Drones Have Not Revolutionized War: The Enduring Hider-Finder Competition in Air Warfare by Antonio Calcara, Andrea Gilli, Mauro Gilli, Raffaele Marchetti, Ivan Zaccagnini[Book] The Atlas of AI: Power, Politics, and the Planetary Costs of Artificial Intelligence by Kate Crawford This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit hightechir.substack.com
Nel giorno in cui la Russia taglia il gas a Polonia e Bulgaria, si può davvero dire che l'energia è l'arma definitiva di Mosca oppure la portata della mossa è stata sopravvalutata? Ne abbiamo parlato con Lorenzo Berardi, giornalista di Centrum Report da Varsavia e conMatteo Villa, data analyst per ISPI - Istituto per gli studi di politica internazionale. Questa strategia si può applicare anche con altri attori europei, molto più pesanti, come Italia e Germania? Ne abbiamo parlato con il professor Vittorio Emanuele Parsi, docente di Relazioni Internazionali e direttore dell'ASERI della Cattolica (il suo ultimo libro è "Titanic- Naufragio o cambio di rotta per l'ordine liberale", edito da Il Mulino).E infine abbiamo ragionato sulla situazione tattica sul campo insieme a Mauro Gilli, analista del Politecnico di Zurigo.
Attacco all'Ucraina: aggiornamento situazione militare al 18 aprile 2022 Con Andrea e Mauro Gilli, Michele Boldrin e Franz Forti #ucraina #guerra #russia Sostieni Liberi Oltre le Illusioni diventando socio: vai su www.liberioltreleillusioni.it nella sezione "ASSOCIATI" e diventa socio. Ti aspettiamo ----------------------------
Abbiamo raccontato del bombardamento sulla stazione ferroviaria di Kramatorsk, nell'Ucraina orientale, che ha provocato la morte di almeno 50 persone: Mauro Gilli, ricercatore in tecnologia militare e sicurezza internazionale del Politecnico di Zurigo, ci ha spiegato che il missile impiegato è in dotazione tanto alle forze ucraine che quelle russe, mentre Inna, da Kramatorsk, ci ha raccontato cos'è successo in città dopo le esplosioni. Abbiamo analizzato la visita della presidentessa della Commissione europea Ursula von der Leyen e dell'Alto Rappresentante Josep Borrell a Kiev con Arturo Varvelli, direttore di ECFR Roma - European Council on Foreign Relations. E infine abbiamo esplorato i risvolti dell'espulsione della Russia dal Consiglio dei diritti umani ONU con la professoressa Chiara Ragni, docente di Diritto internazionale all'Università Statale di Milano.
Focus Ucraina con Mauro Gilli: il mito dell'espansione Nato Mauro Gilli, Senior Researcher ETH Zürich, ci parla dell'origine e "interessi" NATO e della situazione sul campo dell'esercito russo al 26/03. 00:00 NATO e Ucraina 06:24 NATO e Turchia 16:23 Discorso di Putin, cambio di obiettivi 21:48 NATO e utilità di un "espansione" territoriale 26:25 Situazione sul campo nella regione del Donbass 31:00 Possibilità contro offensiva esercito ucraino e Crimea 37:30 Malfunzionamenti nell'esercito russo 44:30 Rinforzi esercito russo 46:40 Forze aeree e missili russi 1:01:12 Rischio europeo confronto aereo Sostieni Liberi Oltre le Illusioni diventando socio: vai su www.liberioltreleillusioni.it nella sezione "ASSOCIATI" e diventa socio. Ti aspettiamo ----------------------------
Abbiamo tentato di capire come funzionano i negoziati in corso con l'aiuto di Barbara Contini (ex senatrice italiana, funzionaria ONU esperta di peacekeeping) e abbiamo provato a illuminare il ruolo dei foreign fighters sul campo insieme a Mauro Gilli (ricercatore al Politecnico di Zurigo, esperto di affari militari). Abbiamo ascoltato voci dalla città occupata di Kherson - camuffate per proteggere la loro sicurezza - e abbiamo esplorato il confine tra Romania e Ucraina, dove continuano ad affluire profughi, intervistati da Cristina Carpinelli, inviata per Radio24 a Siret.
Esame sintetico della situazione militare in #Ucraina, con Mauro Gilli e Michele Boldrin 7marzo #guerra #russia
Parliamo dell'evoluzione del conflitto ucraino, ponendo attenzione all'aspetto militare con Mauro Gilli, Senior Researcher in Military Technology and International Security presso ETH Zürich #Ucraina #Russia #Geopolitica Per info: http://urly.it/3gs02
Il primo marzo 2022, su Stroncature analisi e riflessioni sulla questioni strategiche e militari relative alla guerra in Ucraina. Intervento di Mauro Gilli.
Siamo andati a Bruxelles, per la riunione del Consiglio europeo dove si è discusso di migrazione e difesa: ne abbiamo parlato con Sergio Nava (giornalista di Radio24, esperto di affari europei) e Mauro Gilli (esperto di studi strategici e ricercatore all'ETH, politecnico federale di Zurigo). Subito dopo siamo andati nello Stretto di Taiwan, dove dopo le dichiarazioni del presidente Usa Joe Biden la temperatura tra Pechino e Taipei si è abbassata ulteriormente: ne abbiamo parlato con Giovanni Andornino (docente di relazioni internazionali dell'Asia Orientale all'Università di Torino).
AUKUS vs Cina, e la Francia s'incazza? L' #Australia si accorda con gli USA per la costruzione di #sottomarini nucleari venendo meno al precedente accordo con Francia. Quali le implicazioni geopolitiche? Ne parlano Michele Boldrin con Andrea Gilli e Mauro Gilli #geopolitica
Post - #Afghanistan, focus sulla Cina - Xi Jinping si prende Taiwan? Primo contributo di una serie di tre sul dopo - Afghanistan, sulla Cina e Taiwan. Che connessione c'è tra Afghanistan, Cina e Taiwan? Come cambia o cambierà il comportamento degli USA nei confronti della Cina? Con Andrea Gilli e Mauro Gilli, intervistati da Michele Boldrin
With all the cyber-espionage it's been up to lately, surely China will be able to rapidly catch up with the U.S. and close the technological gap between the two militaries, right? Not so fast, says today's guest, Dr. Mauro Gilli, senior researcher in military technology and international security at ETH Zurich. The latest stealth jet-fighter technology, drone proliferation, and the future of warfare – it's all here. Strap yourselves in for a riveting ride.
Lo scorso 19 agosto Stroncature ha ospitato il seminario “La caduta di Kabul” con Mauro Gilli, Roberto Menotti, Marta Ottaviani e Carmine Pinto.
Michele Boldrin intervista Mauro ed Andrea Gilli con riguardo alle implicazioni strategiche dell'uscita degli USA dallo scenario afgano.
Un colloquio con Andrea e Mauro Gilli sulla Turchia _____________________________
Negli ultimi dieci anni, il mondo è diventato sempre più pericoloso: le crisi internazionali aumentano, gli Stati si riarmano, le regole sono sempre meno rispettate. Tutto questo è causato anche da una fase di introversione attraversata dagli Stati Uniti, che hanno lasciato spazi che altre potenze stanno colmando. Questa situazione ha generato in alcuni Stati la tentazione di mettere la comunità internazionale di fronte al fatto compiuto, cambiando le regole del gioco e alterando gli equilibri unilateralmente. Cosa comporta tutto ciò? Nel dodicesimo episodio della 3ª stagione di Cavour, Francesco Maselli ne discute con Mauro Gilli, ricercatore al politecnico di Zurigo ed esperto di tecnologia militare e sicurezza internazionale, e Giuseppe Famà, direttore degli Affari Europei del Crisis Group.
La goccia dell'economia e i liberi commerci non hanno trasformato la Cina in una liberal-democrazia. Quali ora le conseguenze? Con Antonluca Cuoco e Mauro Gilli.Per ricevere gli aggiornamenti, iscriviti qui: https://stroncature.substack.com/RiferimentiGuglielo Ferrero, Potere. I geni invisibili della città https://amzn.to/2XfJSji La recensione a cui ha fatto riferimento Mauro, ecco il link: https://networks.h-net.org/node/28443...