Get up to speed with everything you need to know ahead of today's European open with the Ransquawk rundown
The US military has carried out strikes in Iran's Qeshm port and Bandar Abbas, according to Fox News, citing a US official, who said it is not a restart of the war. Iran's military said the US violated the ceasefire.US President Trump said the Iran ceasefire is still on and that the US is negotiating with the Iranians. He added that Pakistan asked the US not to do Project Freedom during the negotiations. Remarks which have helped energy prices ease from highs.The situation on Iranian islands and coastal cities by the Strait of Hormuz is back to normal, according to Press TV. European bourses are broadly in the red, reacting to US-Iran flare-ups, whilst US equity futures gain.DXY wanes as oil eases and G10s gain; GBP was initially unreactive to UK local elections but now marginally outperforms peers.USTs await NFP, Gilts bounce as the UK local elections results continue to filter in.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobs Report (Apr), University of Michigan Survey Prelim. (May), Canadian Jobs Report (Apr). Speakers include ECB's Schnabel, BoE's Breeden, Bailey, Fed's Cook, Waller, Goolsbee, Daly, Miran and Bowman.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The US military has carried out strikes in Iran's Qeshm port and Bandar Abbas, according to Fox News, citing a US official. The official said this is not a restart of the war or the end of the ceasefire.The US military said US forces intercepted Iranian attacks and responded with self-defence strikes against Iranian military facilities.US President Trump said the Iran ceasefire is still on and that the US is negotiating with the Iranians. He added that Pakistan asked the US not to do Project Freedom during the negotiations.Iran's Top Joint Military Command said the US violated the ceasefire by targeting an Iranian oil tanker and another ship entering the Strait of Hormuz.The situation on Iranian islands and coastal cities by the Strait of Hormuz is back to normal, according to Press TV.In UK local elections, Reform UK has been the clear beneficiary, exceeding 300 gained seats while Labour and the Conservatives suffer, losing 220 and 108 seats respectively, and counting.Looking highlights, include German Balance of Trade (Mar), German Industrial Production (Mar), Canadian Jobs Report (Apr), US Jobs Report (Apr), University of Michigan Survey Prelim. (May). Speakers include ECB President Lagarde, de Guindos, Cipollone, Schnabel, BoE's Breeden, Bailey, Fed's Cook, Waller, and Bowman.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Al Arabiya reported that "the coming hours will witness a breakthrough for the situation of the ships stuck in the strait", spurring pressure in the crude complex.Iran is expected to provide its reply to the US proposal for ending the war to mediators on Thursday, according to CNN, citing a regional source.US President Trump could turn to military action without an agreement with Iran ahead of the China trip, according to Axios, citing US officials.European and US equity futures are modestly firmer; ARM -6.5% post-earnings.DXY downbeat as positive geopolitical headlines pressure crude; Antipodeans lead whilst the JPY lags vs peers.Fixed benchmark made new WTD highs amidst geopolitical optimism, but now off best levels.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Job Layoffs (Apr), US Jobless Claims (May 2), Atlanta Fed GDP, CNB/Banxico Policy Announcement (May), CBR Minutes (May), UK Local Elections. Speakers include ECBʼs Elderson, Schnabel, Lane, BoEʼs Mann, Taylor, Fedʼs Hammack, Williams, Kashkari. Earnings from CoreWeave, IREN, Coinbase, Cloudflare, DraftKings, ACM Research, Datadog, McDonald's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Iran is expected to provide its reply to the US proposal for ending the war to mediators on Thursday, according to CNN, citing a regional source. US President Trump is optimistic about the Iran framework, and that the timeframe is one week, Fox reported. US President Trump could turn to military action without an agreement with Iran ahead of the China trip, according to Axios, citing US officials.US President Trump's reversal on his plan to help ships go through the Strait of Hormuz came after Saudi Arabia suspended the US's ability to use its bases and airspace to carry out Project Freedom, according to NBC, citing US officials.European equity futures are indicative of a quiet open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after cash closed +2.5% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Factory Orders (Mar), French Balance of Trade (Mar), US Challenger Job Layoffs (Apr), US Jobless Claims (May 2), Atlanta Fed GDP, Norges Bank/Riksbank/CNB/Banxico Policy Announcement (May), CBR Minutes (May), UK Local Elections. Speakers include ECBʼs de Guindos, Elderson, Schnabel, Lane, BoEʼs Lombardelli, Mann, Taylor, Fedʼs Hammack, Williams, Kashkari, Norges Bankʼs Bache, Riksbankʼs Thedeen. Supply from Spain, France. Earnings from CoreWeave, IREN, Coinbase, Cloudflare, DraftKings, ACM Research, Datadog, McDonald's & ShellRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Crude & USD dented, equities & fixed bid after Trump paused Project Freedom and more recently as Axios reports that the US & Iran are closing in on an MOU to end the conflict.Brent below USD 101.50/bbl, ES +0.7%, DAX 40 +2.5%, EUR/USD above 1.1770, Bunds firmer by over 80 ticks.JPY was likely the subject of intervention overnight, falling from 157.00 to a 155.03 low, but has since rebounded back towards the 156.00 mark.NQ +1.3%, outperforming as AMD surges +19% as data centre growth drives a beat.Israeli security/military officials reportedly believe negotiations are a waste of time, and conveyed to the US a desire to resume attacks on Iran.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Ivey PMI (Apr), US ADP Employment (Apr), US Treasury Refunding Announcement, NBP Policy Announcement, Speakers include Fed's Goolsbee, Musalem, BoC's Macklem & Rogers.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Energy was pressured by Trump announcing a pause to Project Freedom, though the blockade remains.To the benefit of fixed income and G10 FX against the USD. USD/JPY slumped to a 155.03 low.APAC equities benefited from the above; US and European futures point to a constructive open. NQ leads post-AMD.Israeli security/military officials reportedly believe negotiations are a waste of time, and conveyed to the US a desire to resume attacks on Iran.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish Inflation Prelim. (Apr), EZ PMIs Final (Apr), PPI (Mar), Canadian Ivey PMI (Apr), US ADP Employment (Apr), US Treasury Refunding Announcement, ECB Wage Tracker (May), NBP Policy Announcement, Speakers include ECB's Lane, Cipollone, Fed's Goolsbee, Musalem, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Supply from the UK & Germany.Earnings from Arm, AppLovin, Snap, Whirlpool, Walt Disney, Kraft Heinz, Uber, CVS, Telecom Italia, Banca Generali, HelloFresh, Fresenius, Daimler Truck, Lufthansa & Continental.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said the war could go on for another two to three weeks; time is not of the essence.US officials say the military is closer to resuming combat operations than 24 hours ago, Fox reported.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi posted, "As talks are making progress with Pakistan's gracious effort, the US should be wary of being dragged back into a quagmire by ill-wishers. So should the UAE."European and US equity futures are broadly firmer; Palantir -2% as commercial revenue fell short of expectations.DXY is flat, JPY experiences volatile two-way action, AUD pressured post-RBA, where it hiked by 25bps, statement was net-hawkish, but Governor Bullock suggests there is room now to wait and see.Gilts gap lower on return from a Bank Holiday, USTs and Bunds relatively contained.Crude pares Monday's gains, to the benefit of XAU.Looking ahead, highlights include US Building Permits Final (Mar), Canadian Balance of Trade (Mar), Canadian PMI (Apr), US PMI Final (Apr), US ISM Services (Apr), US JOLTS (Mar), US New Home Sales (Mar), US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism (May), New Zealand Unemployment Rate (Q1). Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, Lane, Fed's Bowman, Barr. Supply from Germany. Earnings from AMD, AMC, Strategy, Tempus AI, Shopify, PayPal, Pfizer.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said the war could go on for another two to three weeks; time is not of the essence.US officials say the military is closer to resuming combat operations than 24 hours ago, Fox reported.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi posted, "As talks are making progress with Pakistan's gracious effort, the US should be wary of being dragged back into a quagmire by ill-wishers. So should the UAE."RBA announcement saw a near-unanimous vote to hike the Cash Rate, coupled with the net hawkish statement, which highlighted inflation concerns from the ongoing Iranian war.European equity futures point to a lower open, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after cash markets fell 2.2% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss Inflation (Apr), US Building Permits Final (Mar), Canadian Balance of Trade (Mar), Canadian PMI (Apr), US PMI Final (Apr), US ISM Services (Apr), US JOLTS (Mar), US New Home Sales (Mar), US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism (May), New Zealand Unemployment Rate (Q1). Speakers include RBA's Bullock, ECB's Lagarde, Lane, Fed's Bowman, Barr. Supply from Germany. Earnings from AMD, AMC, Strategy, Tempus AI, Shopify, PayPal, Pfizer, HSBC, Leonardo, and Infineon.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump posted on Sunday that the US will guide neutral ships safely out of the Strait of Hormuz under “Project Freedom”, beginning Monday morning Middle East time.An Iranian official said any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire. Iranian Major Abdullahi said any foreign armed forces, particularly the US, would be attacked if they approach and enter the Strait of Hormuz.European bourses mostly lower on geopolitical risk; Autos lag as Trump threatens a 25% tariff on EU cars.US equity futures are modestly mixed. GameStop (-0.8%) is offering to purchase eBay (+8%) for USD 56bln, WSJ reports.G10 mixed against the USD, JPY pares back towards 157 (vs 155.70 trough) with traders on intervention watch.Crude lifted on escalatory Iranian rhetoric and ahead of Trump's speech, energy gains dent XAU.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Manufacturing PMI Finals (Apr), US Factory Orders (Mar), and US President Trump. Speakers include Fed's Williams, BoC's Macklem and Rogers, ECB's Cipollone, de Guindos. Earnings from Palantir, ONSemi, Pinterest, Norwegian Cruise Line, Tyson Foods. Holiday: UK May Bank Holiday.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump posted on Sunday that the US will guide neutral ships safely out of the Strait of Hormuz under “Project Freedom”, beginning Monday morning Middle East time.An Iranian official said any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire.US President Trump posted at 23:47 BST on May 2nd that he would review Iran's proposal but “can't imagine that it would be acceptable”, Trump added that Iran had “not yet paid a big enough price”.USD/JPY was volatile amid thin liquidity (Golden Week) and recent intervention speculation, with a sharp drop observed at 04:45 BST.European equity futures are indicative of a modestly firmer return from the long weekend, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after cash closed with gains of 1.1% last Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Manufacturing PMI Finals (Apr), US Factory Orders (Mar), and US President Trump. Speakers include Fed's Williams, BoC's Macklem and Rogers, ECB's Cipollone, de Guindos. Earnings from Palantir, ONSemi, Pinterest, Norwegian Cruise Line, Tyson Foods. Holiday: UK May Bank Holiday.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Conditions in Europe thin amid Labour Day, FTSE 100 dragged by NatWest and AstraZeneca.US equity futures are modestly mixed. Apple (+2.8%) gains after strong results, driven by iPhone sales; SanDisk (-6.1%) dips despite a strong Q3 report.DXY is a touch lower; USD/JPY sank to a 155 handle, potentially on intervention.Fixed income futures are contained in limited conditions, with US data ahead.Crude futures remain elevated heading into another weekend of geopolitical risk.Looking ahead, highlights include US ISM Manufacturing (Apr), Speakers include BoE's Pill, Earnings from Chevron, Colgate, Exxon, Moderna, Estee Lauder.Holiday: Labour Day (Eurozone cash and derivatives closed).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said Iran is dying to make a deal and stated that Iran cannot be nuclear-armed. He added that he doesn't know if the ceasefire with Iran needs to be broken, but "we may do".The US may allow Israel to target Iran's energy facilities if negotiations fail, according to Channel 12 cited by Al Arabiya.Apple (AAPL) Q2 2026 (USD): EPS 2.01 (exp. 1.95), Revenue 111.2bln (exp. 109.45bln). Raised its dividend by 4% to USD 0.27/shr. Apple provided Q3 revenue growth guidance that beat estimates (+14-17% vs exp. +9%). Shares +2.4% after-market. Japan's Top FX Diplomat Mimura will not comment on intervention speculation and reiterated being in close contact and shares understanding with the US.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Manufacturing Final PMIs (Apr), US ISM Manufacturing (Apr), Speakers include BoE's Pill, Earnings from Chevron, Colgate, Exxon, Moderna, Estee Lauder & NatWest. Holiday: Labour Day (Eurozone cash and derivatives closed).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Trump has told officials to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran, WSJ; Trump said they are doing very well in the Middle East.An update that lifted energy briefly overnight and while the move pared into the European morning, benchmarks are at fresh highs with WTI peaking just below USD 104/bbl.The fresh energy highs have weighed on fixed, though only modestly pre-FOMC and with brief EGB respite on German state CPIs.USD lifts into the likely final Fed as Chair for Powell, AUD lags post-CPI, EUR briefly hit by German state CPIEnergy advances weigh on equity sentiment, numerous mega-cap earnings ahead, including AMZN, GOOG, META, MSFT & QCOMLooking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods (Mar), US Housing Starts (Feb/Mar), Wholesale Inventories (Mar), Fed/BoC/BCB Policy Announcements (Apr), Speakers include BoC's Macklem & Fed Chair Powell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Trump has told officials to prepare for an extended blockade of Iran, WSJ; Trump said they are doing very well in the Middle East.APAC equity performance incrementally improved across the session, with outperformance in the Hang Seng & Shanghai Composite.USD rangebound, lifted briefly on the WSJ report. Peers are broadly contained into the Fed.Fixed income was hit on the WSJ report, but has since retraced the move.Energy benchmarks jumped on the blockade update, but the move was relatively short-lived. Precious metals contained, base peers followed China higher.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish HICP (Apr), German State/Nationwide HICP (Apr), EZ Economic Sentiment (Apr), US Durable Goods (Mar), US Housing Starts (Feb/Mar), Wholesale Inventories (Mar), Fed/BoC/BCB Policy Announcements (Apr), Speakers include BoC's Macklem & Fed Chair Powell, Supply from Italy & Germany.Earnings from Microsoft, Amazon.com, Meta, Alphabet, Ford, Qualcomm, Carvana, SoFi, Humana, Novartis, TotalEnergies, Iberdrola, GSK, Lloyds, Deutsche Bank, Mercedes-Benz, Adidas & Porsche AG.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump is reportedly not satisfied with and is unlikely to accept the Iranian proposal; CNN reports that the US and Iran are not as far apart as they seem.BoJ maintained its policy rate as expected, though subject to a hawkish 6-3 vote split, dissenters highlighted upside risks to inflation. Ueda non-committal on the timing of the next move.European bourses firmer, lifting incrementally after a contained open. US futures are mixed/lower into earnings and after OpenAI missed internal targets.JPY led post-BoJ before retreating and weakening on Ueda, USD firmer to the modest detriment of peers across the board; base & precious metals hit.Energy bolstered by the overnight updates, and as Iran's Foreign Minister is not returning to Pakistan post-Russia.Fixed falters as energy climbs, Bunds hit by the latest ECB surveys, Gilts lag into the Privileges debate regarding PM Starmer.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly Employment Change, US House Price Index (Feb), US CB Consumer Confidence (Apr), US Richmond Fed Index (Apr), US Dallas Fed Index (Apr), NBH Policy Announcement (Apr), and speakers include ECB President Lagarde, Supply from the US.Earnings from RobinHood, Bloom Energy, Visa, Booking.com, NXP Semiconductor, UPS, Coca-Cola, Spotify, General Motors, Centene.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump is reportedly not satisfied with and is unlikely to accept the Iranian proposal; CNN reports that the US and Iran are not as far apart as they seem.BoJ maintained its policy rate as expected, though subject to a hawkish 6-3 vote split, dissenters highlighted upside risks to inflation.APAC pressured after the reporting around Trump, Nikkei 225 underperformed after the BoJ's hawkish-hold.DXY initially contained but then ticked higher, JPY benefited from the BoJ; JGBs gapped lower, but the move retraced, USTs rangebound.Crude supported by the reporting from the Situation Room, metals hit by the risk tone, hawkish action, and USD gains.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Retail Sales (Mar), Italian PPI (Mar), US ADP Weekly Employment Change, US House Price Index (Feb), US CB Consumer Confidence (Apr), US Richmond Fed Index (Apr), US Dallas Fed Index (Apr), NBH Policy Announcement (Apr), Speakers include BoJ Governor Ueda and ECB President Lagarde, Supply from the Netherlands, UK and US.Earnings from RobinHood, Bloom Energy, Visa, Booking.com, NXP Semiconductor, UPS, Coca-Cola, Spotify, General Motors, Centene, Airbus, Air Liquide, BP & Barclays.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Iran communicated a three-stage negotiating process to the US; 1) focus on ending the war and receiving guarantees, 2) then on the Strait of Hormuz, 3) and finally on nuclear issues.The US cancelled sending Witkoff & Kushner to Pakistan, suggesting it was a waste of time; Trump is to hold a situation room meeting on Monday, Axios.European bourses are modestly mixed, with US equity futures also holding around the unchanged mark; Qualcomm +12% on reports of an OpenAI partnership.DXY trundles below technical support, Antipodeans outperform, and GBP unfazed by potential PM referral.Fixed falters slightly as energy climbs into a packed week.Crude prices gain amidst a lack of US-Iran progress, but with focus on a three-stage plan.Looking ahead, highlights include US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr), Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Iran communicated a three-stage negotiating process to the US. The US cancelled sending Witkoff & Kushner to Pakistan; Trump to hold a situation room meeting on Monday, Axios.APAC stocks benefited from reporting around the Iranian communication, both European & US futures point to a contained open.DXY under pressure to the modest benefit of peers across the board, antipodeans lead after the Axios report.Fixed income softer but off the APAC low. China has reportedly delayed foreign bond sales.Crude peaked with gains in excess of USD 2/bbl as the US cancelled sending negotiators, then came off best following the Axios report.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Confidence (May), US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Apr), Supply from the EU & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
"Israeli media: A limited operation against Iran may be carried out to avoid a prolonged war", Al Arabiya reports.Chinese Securities Regulator says that China is to allow qualified foreign investors to trade treasury futures from April 24, 2026, for hedging purposes only.Downbeat sentiment across European bourses, SAP +6% after a EUR 10bln share buyback; NQ outperforms, with INTC +23% post-earnings.FX price action lacklustre, CHF and JPY dodge intervention comments, UoM Final aheadFixed falters as energy climbs, Gilts lag again in catch-up trade and after further hawkish impetus into the BoE.Crude underpinned as eyes remain on US-Iran ceasefire heading into the weekend.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (Feb), US UoM Survey Final (Apr), CBR Policy Announcement (Apr).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Israel is on high alert in anticipation of a possible renewed war this weekend, according to Al Arabiya, citing Channel 13.Speaker of the Iranian Parliament Ghalibaf resigns from the negotiating team following the intervention of the IRGC, N12 news reported.US President Trump said the US is to work with Lebanon to protect itself from Hezbollah and that the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire is to be extended by three weeks.NQ futures outperformed after Intel surged over 19% after-hours as the Co. provided a solid Q1 report while raising its guidance.US President Trump said the US will put a tariff on the UK if the digital service tax is not dropped.APAC stocks traded mostly in the red, ex. Nikkei 225; European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 futures -0.7%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Retail Sales (Mar), German Ifo Survey (Apr), Canadian Retail Sales (Feb), US UoM Survey Final (Apr), CBR Policy Announcement (Apr), Speakers include SNB's Schlegel, Supply from Italy, Earnings from Procter & Gamble & Eni.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
"Somalia closes Bab al-Mandab Strait to Israeli shipping", IRNA reports; "The move comes as a direct response to Israel's recognition of the breakaway region of Somaliland, Yemen Press Agency reported on Wednesday".European bourses are mostly lower; US equity futures also extend lower, TSLA -2.7% post-earnings.USD and NOK outperform, GBP shrugs off political instability as PMIs firm, NZD underperforms.EZ PMIs initially helped fixed income off lows, but an inflationary UK release sparked new lows.Geopolitics keeps crude prices underpinned and metals softer amid a firmer USD.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Apr), Mexican Inflation (Apr), Canadian PPI (Mar), US Jobless Claims (Apr/18). Supply from the US. Earnings from Blackstone, Freeport-McMoran, American Airlines, Keurig Dr Pepper, Intel, Lockheed Martin, and SAP.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump expects Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi to remain part of Iran talks and said the 3-5 day ceasefire is not true, according to Fox.Iranian President Pezeshkian said Iran has welcomed dialogue and continues to do so, while he stated that a breach of commitments, blockade and threats are the main obstacles to genuine negotiations.Crude futures were higher but off today's best levels after an early aggressive move to the upside was faded shortly after, due to a lack of actual fresh drivers behind the initial move.APAC stocks were mostly negative; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Apr), UK PSNB (Mar), French Business Confidence (Apr), Mexican Inflation (Apr), Canadian PPI (Mar), US Jobless Claims (Apr/18), and ECB Wage Tracker. Supply from the US. Earnings from Blackstone, Freeport-McMoran, American Airlines, Keurig Dr Pepper, Intel, Lockheed Martin, SAP, Safran, Sanofi, Vinci, and Orange.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump expects Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi to remain part of Iran talks and said the 3-5 day ceasefire is not true, according to Fox.Iranian President Pezeshkian said Iran has welcomed dialogue and continues to do so, while he stated that a breach of commitments, blockade and threats are the main obstacles to genuine negotiations.Crude futures were higher but off today's best levels after an early aggressive move to the upside was faded shortly after, due to a lack of actual fresh drivers behind the initial move.APAC stocks were mostly negative; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Apr), UK PSNB (Mar), French Business Confidence (Apr), Mexican Inflation (Apr), Canadian PPI (Mar), US Jobless Claims (Apr/18), and ECB Wage Tracker. Supply from the US. Earnings from Blackstone, Freeport-McMoran, American Airlines, Keurig Dr Pepper, Intel, Lockheed Martin, SAP, Safran, Sanofi, Vinci, and Orange.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said the US have been asked to hold their attack on Iran until such time as its leaders and representatives can come up with a unified proposal.It was reported that Iran received 'some sign' the US is ready to break the blockade, spurring mild risk-on at the time.UKMTO reported two separate incidents near Oman and Iran, with the latter spurring upticks in the crude complex.European bourses opened higher but have since trundled lower, ASM International +8% after a strong Q1 and guidance; US equity futures gain.USD tracks oil prices, NZD repricing continues and Sterling unreactive to mostly in-line inflation data.Fixed income follows energy but is relatively contained thus far, Gilts marginally underperform.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Consumer Confidence (Apr), CBRT Policy Announcement (Apr). Speakers include ECB's Lagarde & Cipollone. Supply from US. Earnings from Vertiv, Boeing, GE Vernova, AT&T, Tesla, ServiceNow, IBM.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said the US have been asked to hold their attack on Iran until such time as its leaders and representatives can come up with a unified proposal.More recently, it was reported that Iran received 'some sign' the US is ready to break the blockade – a rise in sentiment was seen.UKMTO said it received information about an incident 15 nautical miles to the northeast of Oman in which a container vessel was approached by a single IRGC gunboat.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.9% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Inflation (Mar), South African Inflation (Mar), EZ Consumer Confidence (Apr), CBRT Policy Announcement (Apr), Bank of Indonesia Policy Announcement (Apr). Speakers include BoE's Breeden, ECB's Lagarde, Elderson, Lane & Cipollone. Supply from Germany & US. Earnings from Vertiv, Boeing, GE Vernova, AT&T, Tesla, ServiceNow, IBM, L'Oreal, Danone, Accor & Akzo Nobel.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Israel and Lebanon 10-day ceasefire took effect from 17:00EDT on Thursday. Despite this, reports indicate that Israel bombed several villages in southern Lebanon after announcing the ceasefire agreement.US President Trump said the Iran war is going swimmingly and should be ending pretty soon, added going to see some incredible results.European bourses mixed; US equity futures remain near ATHs, NFLX slips after maintaining guidance and co-founder stepping down.DXY slightly softer, G10s mixed, GBP unreactive on UK politics.Global fixed benchmarks broadly unchanged awaiting Fed speak.Crude pressured despite light newsflow, Israel/Lebanon ceasefire shows fragility.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Housing Starts (Mar). Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Daly, Barkin & Waller. Earnings from State Street. Credit Reviews include Morningstar DBRS reviews credit rating on the EU and Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said they are making a lot of progress on Iran, and he is not sure the ceasefire needs to be extended, while he added that Iran is willing to do things today they previously weren't.US President Trump said he had excellent conversations with Lebanon's President Aoun and Israeli PM Netanyahu, while he announced that the leaders agreed to formally begin a 10-day ceasefire from 17:00EDT on Thursday.Israeli security official said the military has no plans to withdraw forces from Southern Lebanon during a ceasefire.A source told Al-Mayadeen that starting Friday, at noon (10:00BST) anyone wishing to cross Bab al-Mandab should be more vigilant than ever before in all six directions, while other reports noted that the warning was made by a resistance commander.APAC stocks were mostly lower; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2%.Looking ahead, highlights include Italian Balance of Trade (Feb), Canadian Housing Starts (Mar). Speakers include BoE's Breeden & Pill, Fed's Daly, Barkin & Waller. Earnings from State Street. Credit Reviews include Morningstar DBRS reviews credit rating on the EU and Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The Trump administration's goal is to bring both sides to the brink of an overarching deal to end the conflict that can then be pushed over the finish line in a second face-to-face meeting.A military advisor to the Islamic Revolution Leader says Iranian Armed Forces' launchers are ready to hit American warships and sink all of them, Press TV reported.European bourses printing mild gains, TSMC earnings lift the tech sector; US equity futures muted just shy of ATHs.DXY cautiously firms, JPY pares verbal intervention strength while GBP unreactive despite upside GDP surprise.Global benchmarks initially firmer, but hit as the risk tone deteriorated.Crude tilts higher as markets still await confirmation of any talks/ceasefire.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims (Apr/11), Philly Fed Index (Apr), Industrial/Manufacturing Production (Mar), New Zealand Food Inflation (Mar), ECB Minutes (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Miran, ECB's Schnabel, Nagel & Lane, RBA's Hunter & BoE's Taylor. Earnings from Abbott, Charles Schwab, PepsiCo & Netflix.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The Trump administration's goal is to bring both sides to the brink of an overarching deal to end the conflict that can then be pushed over the finish line in a second face-to-face meeting.Iran could consider ships being able to sail through the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz without interference or attack as part of a deal with the US.Iran and the Pakistani mediator will discuss details of the messages exchanged between Tehran and Washington today.Israeli officials said their assessment was that the ceasefire in Lebanon could begin within days; Lebanese officials said a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon was expected 'soon'.APAC stocks mostly gained; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Feb), Industrial Production (Feb), Italian HICP Final (Mar), EZ HICP Final (Mar), US Jobless Claims (Apr/11), Philly Fed Index (Apr), Industrial/Manufacturing Production (Mar), New Zealand Food Inflation (Mar), ECB Minutes (Mar) & SNB Minutes (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Miran, ECB's Schnabel, Nagel & Lane, RBA's Hunter & BoE's Taylor. Supply from Spain, France & UK, Earnings from TSMC, Abbott, Charles Schwab, PepsiCo, Netflix, Tesco & Pernod Ricard.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
AP reported that effort to extend the US-Iran ceasefire has made progress with mediators aiming to extend for at least another two weeks. Both sides gave an “in principle agreement” to extend the ceasefire.The Pentagon is sending thousands of additional troops into the Middle East in the coming days, WaPo reported citing US officials. This move aims to pressure Iran while the US mulls the possibility of additional strikes or ground operations if the ceasefire breaks.European bourses mixed, Luxury suffers on KER FP and RMS FP while ASML raises FY guidance; US equity futures flat with Morgan Stanley and BofA ahead. DXY muted, GBP/USD retreats from 1.36 with UK GDP later in the week.Global fixed benchmarks trade cautiously awaiting President Trump and central bank speakers.Commodities tread water in anticipation of a second US-Iran meeting.Looking ahead, highlights include US Export/Import Prices (Mar), Fed Beige Book (Apr). Speakers include US President Trump, Fed's Barr, Hammack & Bowman, ECB's Lagarde, Cipollone, Nagel & Schnabel, BoE's Bailey, Greene, SNB's Schlegel, RBA's Hauser & RBNZ's Breman. Earnings from Morgan Stanley and Bank of America.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said he views the war as being very close to over, according to Fox.US President Trump said he isn't thinking about extending the ceasefire and doesn't think it will be necessary, according to reports citing an ABC reporter on X.US Vice President JD Vance said they are negotiating with Iran and the ceasefire is holding, while he also stated Iranian negotiators wanted to make a deal, and he feels good about where they are.US President Trump's full interview on Fox Business will be aired on April 15th at 06:00EDT/11:00BST.APAC stocks were mostly higher; European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1%Looking ahead, highlights include French HICP Final (Mar), EZ Industrial Production (Feb), US Export/Import Prices (Mar), Fed Beige Book (Apr). Speakers include Fed's Barr & Bowman, ECB's Lagarde, Cipollone & Schnabel, BoE's Bailey, SNB's Schlegel, RBA's Hauser & RBNZ's Breman. Supply from Germany. Earnings from Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, and Hermes.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Next round of talks between US and Iran could take place this week or early next week, according to the Iranian embassy official in Pakistan.US VP Vance said we made some progress in Iran talks, and he wouldn't say things went wrong, while he added Iranians moved in our direction in talks, but not far enough.A US official said there is “continued engagement” with Iran and forward motion on trying to get to an agreement, while a senior US official also said talks between the US and Iran are continuing even now and there is progress in trying to reach an agreement, according to Axios.Energy eases amid continued reports of further US-Iran talks.Global equities gain on positive risk tone; US banks ahead.DXY soften, Kiwi continues to outperform while JPY helped modestly by reports BoJ is to increase price forecast.Fixed benchmarks gain, heavy speaker slate ahead. Looking ahead, highlights include US NFIB Business Optimism Index (Mar), ADP Weekly Change, PPI (Mar), South Korean Export/Import Prices (Mar), IMF World Economic Outlook Press Briefing (Apr). Speakers include BoE's Bailey & Greene, ECB's Lane, Cipollone & Lagarde, RBNZ's Breman, Fed's Goolsbee, Barr, Paulson, Collins & Barkin, Earnings from JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citi, J&J, Wells Fargo & Kering.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The US is reportedly eyeing a potential second round of in-person talks with Iran as the blockade takes hold, according to CNN.AP reported that the US and Iran could be headed toward a second round of talks, which could happen on Thursday.US VP Vance said we made some progress in Iran talks, and he wouldn't say things went wrong, while he added Iranians moved in our direction in talks, but not far enough.A US official said there is “continued engagement” with Iran and forward motion on trying to get to an agreement, while a senior US official also said talks between the US and Iran are continuing even now and there is progress in trying to reach an agreement, according to Axios.An IRGC spokesperson said that if the war continues, they will unveil capabilities that the enemy has no idea about, according to SNN.APAC stocks traded higher as risk sentiment was underpinned by hopes regarding US-Iran peace talks; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4%.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF Final (Mar), German Wholesale Prices (Mar), Spanish HICP Final (Mar), US NFIB Business Optimism Index (Mar), ADP Weekly Change, PPI (Mar), South Korean Export/Import Prices (Mar), IEA OMR (Apr), IMF World Economic Outlook Press Briefing (Apr). Speakers include BoE's Mann, Bailey & Greene, ECB's Lane, Cipollone & Lagarde, RBNZ's Breman, Fed's Goolsbee, Barr, Paulson, Collins & Barkin, Supply from the Netherlands & Germany. Earnings from JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citi, J&J, Wells Fargo, BMW & Kering.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The US delegation left US-Iran talks in Pakistan without an agreement after 21 hours of talks. As a response, US President Trump said the US Navy will begin the process of blockading any and all ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz, effective 10:00EDT/15:00BST.Pakistani, Egyptian and Turkish mediators will continue talks with the US and Iran in the coming days, aiming to help close the gaps between US-Iran, Axios reported citing sources. All parties believe a deal is possible.Energy spikes, Brent returns above USD 100/bbl as Trump threatens Hormuz blockade.European bourses weaker but off worst levels, LHA GY suffer from another strike; US equity futures in the red.DXY firmer on haven demand, HUF surges on Tisza supermajority.Global fixed income hit as energy surges; busy speaker slate ahead. Looking ahead, highlights include US Existing Home Sales (Mar), OPEC MOMR (Apr). Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, RBA's Hauser & Fed's Miran. Earnings from Goldman Sachs & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The US delegation, led by Vice President Vance, left US-Iran talks in Pakistan to return to the US without an agreement after 21 hours of talks.US President Trump said the US Navy will begin the process of blockading any and all ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.US Central Command said it will begin implementing a blockade on all maritime traffic entering and leaving Iranian ports on April 13th at 17:00 Israeli time (15:00BST/10:00EDT).Crude futures surged with Brent crude back above the USD 100/bbl level following the failure of US-Iran talks in Islamabad and with the US to begin a naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks declined; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.4%, off worst levels.Looking ahead, highlights include US Existing Home Sales (Mar), OPEC MOMR (Apr). Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, RBA's Hauser & Fed's Miran. Earnings from Goldman Sachs & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump posted "Iran is doing a very poor job, dishonourable some would say, of allowing Oil to go through the Strait of Hormuz. That is not the agreement we have!"Iran reiterated that no talks will happen until attacks stop and no delegation is heading to Pakistan, despite the expectation of talks to take place on Saturday. Further, an informed source stated Tehran rules out the option of negotiating with Washington until a complete ceasefire is established in Lebanon, and has strongly asserted this position.Ukrainian President Zelensky's top aide/negotiator Budanov reportedly sees Ukraine nearing a deal with Russian President Putin, Bloomberg reported. Crude edges higher heading into high-stakes US-Iran talks on Saturday.European bourses set for a third consecutive weekly gain, SW FP plummets following weak guidance; US equity futures flat.DXY muted, EUR and HUF look to Hungarian election.Fixed benchmarks tread water heading into US CPI and US-Iran peace talks.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Jobs Report (Mar), US Inflation (Mar), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prelim. (Apr), Credit Ratings updates including Moody's on France, S&P on the UK & Scope Ratings on Hungary.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said he is optimistic that an Iran peace deal is within reach, while he added that Iran's leaders talk much differently when at a meeting than they do to the press, and they are much more reasonable.US President Trump posted, "There are reports that Iran is charging fees to tankers going through the Hormuz Strait — They better not be and, if they are, they better stop now!"An informed source stated Tehran rules out the option of negotiating with Washington until a complete ceasefire is established in Lebanon, and has strongly asserted this position.An Israeli official said they will scale back operations in Lebanon in the coming days due to US pressure, according to Channel 13.APAC stocks were mostly higher following the gains on Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.6%.Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Final (Mar), Norwegian Inflation (Mar), Swedish GDP (Feb), Canadian Jobs Report (Mar), US Inflation (Mar), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prelim. (Apr), Comments from ECB's de Guindos, Supply from Italy, Credit Ratings updates including Moody's on France, S&P on the UK & Scope Ratings on Hungary.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump threatened massive military escalation if Iran deal terms are not met, vowed no nuclear weapons, and they are to secure the Strait of Hormuz.Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister said the Speaker of Parliament will lead Iran's delegation for the talks, and the exchange of messages continues via Pakistan, Al Jazeera reported.European bourses pull back as ceasefire begins to crack, Citi reinforces its OW stance on Banks; US equity futures soft.DXY firms on hawkish Fed Minutes, NZD continues to gain amid hawkish Breman.Fixed benchmarks pull back from highs, US PCE ahead. Crude nurses losses as ceasefire hopes wane while the IRGC announces a new Hormuz corridor.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Apr/04), PCE Final (Feb), GDP Final (Q4), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBP Policy Announcement, Banxico Minutes. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump threatened massive military escalation if Iran deal terms are not met, vowed no nuclear weapons, and they are to secure the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf said three clauses of the 10-point plan have been violated so far, and as such, a bilateral ceasefire or negotiations is unreasonable.IRGC claimed on Thursday that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed sharply and then stopped following what it said was an Israeli ceasefire violation in Lebanon, according to CNN.FOMC Minutes stated that many said persistently higher oil prices could keep inflation elevated long enough to justify rate rises.APAC stocks were lower in a mild pullback from yesterday's ceasefire-fuelled extremes; European equity futures indicate a marginally lower open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1%.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade Balance (Feb), Industrial Production (Feb), US Initial Jobless Claims (Apr/04), PCE Final (Feb), GDP Final (Q4), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBP Policy Announcement, Banxico Minutes. Comments from SNB's Schlegel. Supply from Spain, UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump announced he is to suspend the bombing of Iran for two weeks, subject to Iran opening up the Strait of Hormuz, while he stated that this will be a double-sided ceasefire. Energy slumps, with Brent slipping below USD 95/bbl.Trump confirmed they received a 10-point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate, while he stated that almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the US and Iran.Iranian Press SNN noted of a potential ceasefire violation, highlighting several explosions that occurred in Siri and Lavan islands.Iran's National Security Council said that within a few hours, if firing does not stop in southern Lebanon, the air and missile unit will bomb Tel AvivGlobal equities find comfort, airlines and miners highly benefit.USD hit, Kiwi outperforms amid RBNZ hike discussion.Bonds soar and the curve steepens, with central bank paring back hawkish bets. Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes, Speakers including Fed's Daly, Waller & US President Trump, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump announced he is to suspend the bombing of Iran for two weeks, subject to Iran opening up the Strait of Hormuz, while he stated that this will be a double-sided ceasefire.Trump confirmed they received a 10-point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate, while he stated that almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the US and Iran.Iran accepted Pakistan's two-week ceasefire proposal, with the ceasefire approved by the Supreme Leader, while Iran said negotiations with the US will be held in Islamabad to finalise details and that talks are to begin on Friday, April 10th and may be extended if both sides agree.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi's statement, which was posted by Trump on Truth, stated that for a period of two weeks, safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be possible via coordination with Iran's Armed ForcesAPAC stocks rallied with markets euphoric and relieved after US President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire; European equity futures indicate a stellar open for the cash market with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up over 5%.Crude futures tumbled beneath the USD 100/bbl level, DXY was pressured; RBNZ maintained rates as expected but provided some hawkish-leaning rhetoric.Looking ahead, highlights include French Trade Balance (Feb), EZ Retail Sales (Feb), PPI (Feb), FOMC Minutes, Speakers including Fed's Daly, Waller & US President Trump, Supply from Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Pakistani reporter Anas Mallick suggested that the interlocutors are closer than ever for an agreement to get a "framework of understanding for ceasefire" between US and Iran.Crude futures reverse earlier gains amid some positive noise ahead of Iran deadline.European bourses gain, UMG NA surges on PSH LN bid; US equity futures flat.USD returns below the 100.00 handle on US/Iran optimism.Fixed benchmarks higher as energy continues to dictate price action.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Durable Goods (Feb), RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (Apr), Atlanta Fed GDP, President Trump's Iran deadline, EIA STEO, Speakers including Fed's Williams, Goolsbee & Jefferson, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said he thinks talks are going well with Iran and reiterated the Tuesday, 7th April 20:00EDT deadline.Trump said the US has plans to decimate Iran's bridges by Tuesday night, and he threatened that every power plant will be out of business at midnight, in which decimation would happen over a four-hour period.US President Trump said on the Iran deadline it will not be moved again, and they have not signed any ceasefire.Two Israeli sources and diplomats familiar with the details of the talks said there is a very low chance of an agreement between Iran and the US.APAC stocks traded cautiously following the positive lead from the US and with all focus remaining on geopolitics; European equity futures indicate a mildly higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global S&P Services/Composite PMIs Final (Mar), Swedish CPIF Prelim. (Mar), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Durable Goods (Feb), RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (Apr), Atlanta Fed GDP, President Trump's Iran deadline, EIA STEO, Speakers including Fed's Goolsbee & Jefferson, Supply from Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump posted on Saturday that time is running out, and there are ‘48 hours before all Hell will reign down on them. He also reiterated his threat to Iran to open the Strait, or they will be living in hell, and posted "Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!".The Pakistan Army Chief reportedly held separate calls with US VP Vance, Envoy Witkoff and Iran's Araghchi, according to a Reuters source report. A proposal for a final agreement was outlined, and if agreed, it would lead to an immediate ceasefire and the reopening of Hormuz. Crude choppy on geopolitics with losses this morning amid ceasefire efforts.US equity futures tick higher on improved risk tone; European equities closed for holidays. DXY dips below 100 as crude eases on war-ending efforts.T-notes rise, ISM Services and Trump comments ahead. Looking ahead, highlights include ISM Services PMI (Mar) and comments by US President Trump.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said in his primetime address that the mission in Iran will be finished very fast and the US will hit Iran very hard over the next 2–3 weeks.Trump warned that the US will strike Iran's electric plants if there is no deal and could also target its oil facilities.Energy surges as Brent nears USD 110/bbl; metals slump.Equities fall as Trump reignites tension with Iran, BAYN GY subject to potential 100% levy.DXY regains the 100 handle, CHF little-moved following inflation print.Fixed income under pressure as benchmarks continue to be driven by energy prices.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Job Cuts (Mar), Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/28), Trade Balance (Feb), Canadian Trade Balance (Feb). Speakers include Fed's Logan & Bowman. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said in his primetime address that the mission in Iran will be finished very fast and the US will hit Iran very hard over the next 2–3 weeks.Trump warned that the US will strike Iran's electric plants if there is no deal and could also target its oil facilities.Crude futures climbed with WTI crude ascending back above the USD 105/bbl level after the tough talk from US President Trump at his primetime address dampened hopes of a de-escalation.DXY strengthened as risk sentiment soured alongside US President Trump's primetime address; 10yr UST futures declined as higher oil prices stoked inflationary concerns following Trump's primetime address.APAC stocks failed to sustain initial gains after US President Trump's primetime address; Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 2.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss Inflation (Mar), US Challenger Job Cuts (Mar), Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/28), Trade Balance (Feb), Canadian Trade Balance (Feb), and UK DMP. Speakers include Fed's Logan & Bowman. Supply from France.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump to deliver a nationwide address on Wednesday to give an important update on Iran at 21:00EDT/02:00BST, according to the White House.US President Trump told NBC News on Iran war "it is coming to an end". Iranian Deputy Speaker of Parliament said the "Strait of Hormuz will never be opened, there has been no negotiation and there will be no negotiation", Fars reported.Global equities rebound on positive US-Iran commentary, Banks benefit the most while NKE hit after weak China guidance.Crude softer but off lows; metals mostly firmer.DXY slips on a "de-escalation" trade, ADP Employment ahead.Fixed income benefitting from lower energy prices as hawkish pricing pares back slightly.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change (Mar), Retail Sales (Feb), S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Mar), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes (Mar), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Fed's Musalem, Barr and President Trump.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump is to deliver a nationwide address on Wednesday to give an important update on Iran at 21:00EDT/02:00BST, according to the White House.US President Trump said to NBC News regarding the Iran war that "it is coming to an end".White House official said President Trump is confident that an agreement will be reached soon, and said Trump was clear about the consequences of failing to reach an agreement.UAE is preparing to help the US and allies open the Strait of Hormuz by force, according to WSJ.APAC stocks mostly rallied with global risk sentiment buoyed; European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 2.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Manufacturing PMI Finals (Mar), EZ Unemployment Rate (Feb), US ADP Employment Change (Mar), Retail Sales (Feb), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes (Mar), CBR Minutes (Mar), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Fed's Musalem & Barr, Supply from Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump reportedly told aides he's willing to end the war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, according to the WSJ.IRGC's public relations channel reported the announcement that the Strait of Hormuz is fully under the control of IRGC soldiers, and "the slightest movement of the enemies will be hit by missiles and drones", adding that "the operation continues."Crude rangebound, while Oman's crude OSP for May nearly doubles from April. European equities continues to rebound, ULVR LN gains ahead of possible MKC announcement; US equity futures gain.DXY lacks direction, GBP outperforms slightly while EUR moves a touch lower following cooler-than-expected EZ HICP.Fixed income lifts as energy prices moderate, Bund lifts as EZ HICP underscores ECB's wait-and-see approach.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian GDP Prelim. (Feb), US JOLTS (Feb), Australian Manufacturing PMI Final (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Goolsbee, Schmid, Barr & Bowman. Earnings from Nike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump reportedly told aides he's willing to end the war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, according to the WSJ.US Secretary of State Rubio presented a plan at last week's G7 foreign ministers' meeting for the Strait of Hormuz to be run by a multinational coalition, while he stressed there would be “no fees, and free circulation” through the shipping route.The Iranian Foreign Ministry said they have not conducted any negotiations with the US during the 31 days of the war.The EU will expand its naval operations in the Red Sea and western Indian Ocean, but will for now refrain from taking part in any potential missions to secure oil and gas shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks were mixed; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1%.Looking ahead, highlights include German Retail Sales (Feb), Import Prices (Feb), Unemployment Rate (Mar), UK GDP Final (Q4), French/Italian/EZ Inflation Prelim. (Mar), Canadian GDP Prelim. (Feb), US JOLTS (Feb), Australian Manufacturing PMI Final (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Goolsbee, Barr & Bowman. Supply from Germany. Earnings from Nike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson said Iran has not had any direct negotiations with the US and that the US demands were excessive. The spokesperson added that Iran did not participate in the Pakistan meeting.Yemen's Houthis fired missiles at Israel on Saturday morning, marking the first time it has been involved in the war; Israeli PM Netanyahu ordered the military to expand its invasion of southern Lebanon.US President Trump said the US could take oil in Iran and could take Kharg Island 'very easily', according to FT. Crude prices trade above USD 100/bbl amid geopolitical weekend escalation.Global equities rebound despite a lack of US-Iran de-escalation, miners benefit from surging aluminium prices.DXY choppy, USD/JPY rose above 160.00 before slipping on hawkish BoJ SOO and jawboning.Fixed income firmer despite energy being in the green, though off best.Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Prelim. (Mar), US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Mar), Comments from Fed's Powell, Williams and President Trump.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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