Get up to speed with everything you need to know ahead of today's European open with the Ransquawk rundown

The Strait of Hormuz authority rejected US claims and said the waterway remains blocked until Iran's conditions are met, according to Press TV.USD/JPY saw a bout of mild pressure late in the session after Bloomberg sources said that the Takaichi government is said to support a faster BoJ rate hike.US equity futures mixed, with the NQ giving back some of Wednesday's gains.DXY flat; NOK softens as the Norges Bank leaves rates unchanged but signalled progress on inflation.Fixed income benchmarks muted heading into US PPI and a US 30-year auction.Energy benchmarks steadily fall as geopolitical headlines quieten down.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/08), PPI (Jul). Speakers include Fed's Hammack & Barkin. Supply from the US. Earnings from Applied Materials.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Pakistan's key mediator has held a second meeting with Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi and is seeking to extend the 60-day truce, according to an informed source cited by Al Arabiya.Strait of Hormuz authority rejected US claims and said the waterway remains blocked until Iran's conditions are met, according to Press TV.Crude futures initially declined but clambered off worst levels, with price action indecisive amid the absence of any major geopolitical updates overnight.USD/JPY saw a bout of mild pressure late in the session after Bloomberg sources said that the Takaichi government is said to support a faster BoJ rate hike.APAC stocks were predominantly in the green as the region took its cue from the mild positive handover from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Jun/Q2), Trade Balance (Jun), Swedish/Spanish Inflation Final (Jul), EU Industrial Production (Jun), US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/08), PPI (Jul), Norges Bank Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Hammack & Barkin, Norges Bank's Bache. Supply from the US. Earnings from Applied Materials, RWE, Antofagasta & Maersk.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Pakistan's Foreign Ministry said it continues to activate direct and indirect diplomatic channels between the US and Iran and that they are working to bring both sides to the negotiating table in Islamabad.US equity futures gain, with outperformance in NQ futures following stellar SMCI and CRWV earnings.DXY muted; low-yielding funders modestly weaker as JPY shorts are relocated.Fixed income benchmarks slightly firmer on light volume ahead of the key US CPI report.Crude choppy amid a lack of tangible US-Iran updates.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Jul), OPEC MOMR, and supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council said the Strait of Hormuz would not open until the US accepts Iran's conditions.Crude futures edged higher amid the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty; spot gold reclaimed USD 4,400/oz to the upside.APAC stocks traded mixed amid geopolitical uncertainty, earnings releases and as participants await US CPI data; Europe is set for a flat open.DXY traded little changed as markets await US inflation data over the next couple of days and in the absence of any major fresh catalysts.10yr UST futures traded little changed following the prior day's rebound despite continued upside in oil.Looking ahead, highlights include German/Italian CPI Final (Jul), US CPI (Jul), IEA OMR, OPEC MOMR, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

There was a maritime incident reported in Bab al-Mandab, with Fars reporting that a Saudi ship was reportedly targeted by the Yemeni army.Separately, the UKMTO has received a report of an incident involving a tanker and military forces in the Gulf of Oman.RBA maintained rates as expected and kept a hawkish tone, but trimmed its CPI forecasts; AUD saw mild pressure.US equity futures are muted while European bourses fall on higher energy prices (Brent +2.2%).Fixed income benchmarks fall but on low volumes ahead of US CPI on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Existing Home Sales (Jul), Supply from the US, Earnings from Supermicro & CoreWeave.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said, regarding potential escalation with Iran, that it is certainly possible and still has the ability to escalate.US President Trump, responding to Iran's requests for compensation during the conflict, said he was demanding compensation from Iran.RBA maintained rates as expected and kept a hawkish tone, but trimmed its CPI forecasts; AUD saw mild pressure. APAC stocks traded mixed following a lacklustre lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open.DXY traded little changed, 10yr UST futures remained subdued, Crude futures held on to the prior day's spoils after rallying by more than 5%.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Existing Home Sales (Jul), Comments from RBA's Governor Bullock, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Supermicro & CoreWeave.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump told Axios that they are only semi-negotiating with Iran but said it will work out and that it always works out.Iran's Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal, end to proxy warfare.Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said Iran is currently focused on the Strait of Hormuz rather than resuming negotiations with the US, while adding that talks with Oman are constructive and positiveUS equity futures are mixed, with the NQ outperforming as strong TSMC July revenue lifts tech names.DXY slightly firmer; JPY reverses post-NFP gains despite hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions.Fixed income flat; Energy benchmarks slightly firmer as Iran issues demands.Looking ahead, highlights include comments from Fed's Hammack.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump told Axios that they are only semi-negotiating with Iran but said it will work out and that it always works out.Iran's Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal, end to proxy warfare.Saudi Arabia put out a fire at its Jazan plant early on Sunday, while Yemen's Houthis claimed responsibility for the attack on the refinery.APAC stocks were somewhat mixed, but with most major indices in the green, US equity futures were range-bound; European equity futures indicate a flat market open.DXY eked mild gains, 10yr UST futures lacked direction, crude futures gapped higher at the open as an Iran-Oman deal on the Strait of Hormuz remained elusive.Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian Inflation (Jul). Earnings from Berkshire Hathaway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump thinks the war with Iran will end pretty soon and said the Strait of Hormuz is sort of open right now.US equity futures mixed, with NQ futures outperforming following strong MCHP earnings.DXY muted; EUR unreactive following German trade data.USTs flat ahead of the US jobs report, NFP expected at 85K.Energy benchmarks rangebound as markets await official details on the Hormuz agreement.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobs Report (Jul), Canadian Jobs Report (Jul), Ivey PMI (Jul), NY Fed SCE (Jul), Comments from Fed's Barkin. Credit Ratings include S&P on Switzerland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump thinks the war with Iran will end pretty soon and said the Strait of Hormuz is sort of open right now; Trump conducted a phone call with the Saudi Crown Prince.Oman and Iran reached an agreement over the Strait of Hormuz, according to MS Now citing two Middle East diplomats, although the diplomats declined to describe the details of the temporary agreement or what issues remain unresolved.A strategic plan for managing the Strait of Hormuz would reportedly prohibit the passage of vessels belonging to the US, Israel and other hostile countries through the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks ultimately traded mixed following the weak lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a mildly lower cash market open.DXY took a breather, 10yr UST futures remained lacklustre, and Crude futures extended on the prior day's rally.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Production (Jun), Trade Balance (Jun), French Trade Balance (Jun), US Jobs Report (Jul), Canadian Jobs Report (Jul), Ivey PMI (Jul), NY Fed SCE (Jul), Fed's Barkin. Credit Ratings include S&P on Switzerland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran and Oman have agreed on the broad framework for Strait of Hormuz reopening talks, Al Arabiya sources report. An announcement could come in days but the agreement still needs the approval of Iran's National Security Council.US VP Vance said negotiations with Iran will take some time and that talks with Iran were 'messy', but will land in a 'good' place for the US.US equity futures are mixed, with NQ underperforming as SanDisk falls as revenue guidance missed estimates.DXY muted; SEK benefits from hotter-than-expected inflation.Fixed income benchmarks in modestly narrow ranges; Crude benchmarks are essentially flat, with focus remaining on a potential Hormuz announcement.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/01), Revelio PLS (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), CNB Policy Announcement (Aug), Banxico Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Musalem. Earnings from ConocoPhillips & Fiserv.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US VP Vance said negotiations with Iran will take some time and that talks with Iran were 'messy', but will land in a 'good' place for the US.Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister said an understanding with Oman does not mean opening the Strait of Hormuz.Yemeni Houthis announced they targeted a Saudi oil vessel in the Gulf of Aden.Crude futures saw two-way trade and attempted to nurse some of the recent losses, in which Brent crude briefly returned to the USD 80/bbl territory.APAC stocks traded mostly lower following a similar performance stateside; European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish Inflation (Jul), German Factory Orders (Jun), US Challenger Job Cuts (Jul), Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/01), Revelio PLS (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), CNB Policy Announcement (Aug), Banxico Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Daly & Musalem. Supply from Spain & France. Earnings from ConocoPhillips, Fiserv, Rheinmetall, Merck & Diageo.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are moving along very nicely regarding Iran, and we will know in 48 hours about Iran.Axios reported that the proposed deal would route inbound Gulf traffic through Iranian waters and outbound traffic through Omani waters for 60 days, with no fees and the central lane cleared of mines within 30 days ahead of a permanent arrangement.Yemen's Houthis said they attacked a vessel in the Red Sea, attacked a Saudi oil tanker off the Yanbu and stated operations will continue and escalate in targeting Saudi oil tankers.US equity futures are mixed, with AMD and SPCX weighing on the NQ.DXY flat, NZD underperforms after weak employment data.Energy benchmarks climb as markets await for a potential agreement over the Strait of Hormuz.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change (Jul), S&P Services/Composite PMI Final (Jul), ISM Services PMI (Jul), NBH Minutes (Jul), US Treasury QRA/Press Conference, BCB Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Cook. Earnings from Eli Lilly, Uber, Walt Disney & SanDisk.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are moving along very nicely regarding Iran, and we will know in 48 hours about Iran.US is nearing a Hormuz deal and is aiming for an announcement on Wednesday, according to Axios.Axios reported that the proposed deal would route inbound Gulf traffic through Iranian waters and outbound traffic through Omani waters for 60 days, with no fees and the central lane cleared of mines within 30 days ahead of a permanent arrangement.Crude futures remained pressured overnight after sliding yesterday as multiple reports pointed towards progress surrounding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks were mostly higher as the region took its cue from the rally on Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include Global S&P Services/Composite PMI Final (Jul), US ADP Employment Change (Jul), ISM Services PMI (Jul), NBH Minutes (Jul), US Treasury QRA/Press Conference, BCB Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Cook & Schmid. Supply from Australia & Germany. Earnings from Eli Lilly, Uber, Walt Disney, SanDisk, Siemens Energy, Infineon, Deutsche Post, Glencore & Novo Nordisk.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A US base in Kuwait was reportedly struck; UKMTO received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles northeast of Oman's Al Khasab. Additionally, a dry bulk carrier was reportedly hit by a projectile near the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian President said Tehran would defend its borders but does not seek to expand the war, according to state media.10yr JGB futures saw two-way trade, in which it briefly fell over 60 ticks on a weak 10yr JGB auction, before trimming losses.US equity futures are modestly higher, with PLTR and ON benefiting from strong earnings.DXY regains the 100.00 handle, USD/JPY nears 158.00 as 155.00 becomes the new floor.Energy benchmarks continue to climb amid US-Iran uncertainty.Looking ahead, highlights include US/Canadian Trade Balance (Jun), US JOLTS (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), New Zealand Jobs Report (Q2). Comments from Fed's Paulson. Earnings from Pfizer, Caterpillar, Merck, AMD & SpaceX.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said the Iran conflict was working out very well and that Iran talks are going on now, and that they are talking about having the Strait open by Tuesday.US officials said there were no ‘new' or novel negotiations planned, only the ongoing talks between the US and Iranian teams through mediators, according to CBS News citing sources.A US base in Kuwait was reportedly struck; UKMTO received a report of an incident 20 nautical miles northeast of Oman's Al Khasab.10yr JGB futures saw two-way trade, in which it briefly fell over 60 ticks on a weak 10yr JGB auction, before trimming losses.APAC stocks traded mixed after the region failed to sustain the momentum from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include US/Canadian Trade Balance (Jun), US JOLTS (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), New Zealand Jobs Report (Q2). Comments from Fed's Paulson. Supply from the UK & Germany. Earnings from Pfizer, Caterpillar, Merck, AMD, SpaceX, BP & Zalando.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced over the weekend that he cancelled strikes on Iran at the request of Tehran and other Middle East countries, subject to making a rapid deal (Brent -4.7%).Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson said negotiations with Oman are progressing, with the two sides holding constructive talks on a new framework and exchanging maps over the past seven to eight days for review.Japan's Finance Ministry said it conducted coordinated yen-buying intervention with the US on Friday and won't hesitate to conduct further forex intervention with the US (USD/JPY -0.3%).US equity futures gain given the slump in energy prices; BMY (+7% pre-market) benefits on an FT report of a potential AZN merger.DXY unchanged, JPY outperforms while EUR little changed following downside revisions to manufacturing PMIs.Looking ahead, highlights include US S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Jul), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), and US Treasury Financing Estimates. Earnings from Palantir and ONSemi.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced over the weekend that he cancelled strikes on Iran at the request of Tehran and other Middle East countries, subject to making a rapid deal; crude futures slumped 6% at the open.Japan's Finance Ministry said it conducted coordinated yen-buying intervention with the US on Friday and won't hesitate to conduct further forex intervention with the US; USD/JPY continued to decline and briefly dipped beneath the 156.00 handle.US President Trump, when asked regarding the US intervening in the yen, said the US is intervening because the US has a good relationship with Japan.APAC stocks were mostly lower despite the geopolitical relief from Trump's cancellation of Iran strikes; US equity futures gained, and European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include Global S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Jul), German Retail Sales (Jun), Swiss Inflation (Jul), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), and US Treasury Financing Estimates. Earnings from Palantir and ONSemi.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US and Israel are considering a land blockade of Iran to increase economic pressure, senior Israeli sources told The Telegraph. The plan could involve urging neighbouring countries and regional partners to restrict border crossings and trade.Iran's IRGC said two offending tankers were hit and stopped, and four offending tankers quickly changed course. Additionally, the IRGC said the Strait of Hormuz is closed, and any transit and movement will be possible only with the coordination of the IRGC Navy. BoJ kept rates unchanged at 1.00%, as expected, through an 8-1 vote, with board member Takata the dissenter who proposed a 25bps rate hike. Little move seen in Japanese assets following the announcement and Governor Ueda press conference. US equity futures are firmer, with Amazon surging pre-market (+12%) after reporting faster AWS growth.Fixed income benchmarks are mixed and way off best levels as energy prices rebound following recent reporting of a land blockade and hit tankers (Brent +0.3%).Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian GDP (May), US University of Michigan Final (Jul). Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Hammack, Logan & Kashkari. Earnings from AbbVie & Chevron. Scope Ratings update on Switzerland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the yen has substantially overshot equilibrium and the US views excess yen volatility as unhealthy, while he added that the yen is very undervalued and that Japan may have intervened in currency markets on Thursday.Nikkei sources said Japan's government and BoJ intervened in the FX market yesterday by buying yen and selling dollars, while desks conducted rate checks.BoJ kept rates unchanged at 1.00%, as expected, through an 8-1 vote, with board member Takata the dissenter who proposed a 25bps rate hike; little move in Japanese assets on the announcement.After-hours US earnings saw Amazon (AMZN) rise almost 10% whilst Apple (AAPL) fell over 6%.APAC stocks were mostly higher following the tech-inspired momentum stateside; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.8%.Looking ahead, highlights include French/Italian/EU Inflation Flash (Jul), German Unemployment Rate (Jul), Canadian GDP (May), US University of Michigan Final (Jul). Speakers include BoJ Governor Ueda, BoE's Pill, Fed's Hammack, Logan & Kashkari. Earnings from AbbVie, Chevron, Credit Agricole & NatWest. Scope Ratings update on Switzerland rating.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Pakistani Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said discussions between Tehran and Washington are ongoing regarding the situation in the Strait of Hormuz and de-escalation, Al Jazeera reported.Al Arabiya added that tangible results have not yet yielded results (Brent -0.1%)US equity futures are firmer across the board despite contrasting Meta (-8.8% pre-market) and Microsoft (+8.8% pre-market) earnings.DXY rebounds following the FOMC-induced losses, with focus now on PCE and GDP metrics.Fixed income benchmarks are lower across the board; BoE policy announcement awaits. Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Flash (Jul), US GDP Advance (Q2), PCE (Jun), Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/25), Personal Spending (Jun), Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators (Jul), BoE Policy Announcement & MPR (Jul). Speakers include BoE Governor Bailey, Earnings from Bristol Myers Squibb, Mastercard, Apple & Amazon.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Fed maintained rates, though with 3 dissenters who favoured a 25bps hike. Chair Warsh said that if inflation remains elevated, rates could be part of fixing that.DXY came under pressure as the Fed failed to match hawkish expectations, though Warsh's press conference triggered pronounced UST curve steepening.US CENTCOM announced its forces successfully completed a heavy wave of strikes against Iran; Jordan intercepted five missiles launched by Iran.US after-market earnings saw results from ARM Holdings (-5.7%), Microsoft (+8.9%), Meta Platforms (-7.5%) and QUALCOMM (-4.7%).APAC stocks were mostly lower; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open. Looking ahead, highlights include French GDP Prelim (Q2), Spanish GDP Flash (Q2), Inflation Prelim (Jul), German GDP Flash (Q2), State/Nationwide Inflation Flash (Jul), Italian GDP (Q2), EU GDP Flash (Q2), Consumer Confidence Final (Jul), US GDP Advance (Q2), PCE (Jun), Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/25), Personal Spending (Jun), Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators (Jul), BoE Policy Announcement & MPR (Jul). Speakers include BoE Governor Bailey, Earnings from Bristol Myers Squibb, Mastercard, Apple, Amazon, Adidas, BMW, Leonardo, Renault, Sanofi, Schneider Electric, SocGen, BAE Systems, British American Tobacco, Shell & Rolls-Royce.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Crude futures are firmer after gapping higher overnight on escalating geopolitics, with Iran striking a US base in Jordan and subsequent US-Saudi strikes on Iranian-backed militia.European Bourses began the session on a softer footing but remain relatively resilient to the firmer oil prices and prior APAC weakness, with earnings also providing somewhat of a cushion/impetus in the absence of macro updates.US equity futures are modestly firmer (ES +0.2%, NQ +0.2%), supported by the KOSPI rebound, with focus firmly on the Fed decision.DXY is relatively uneventful, USTs are modestly softer, and precious metals are firmer but to varying degrees ahead of the FOMC. Looking ahead, highlights include the Fed Policy Announcement (Jul), BoC Minutes (Jul). Speakers include Fed Chair Warsh & RBA's Hunter. Earnings from SoFi, Microsoft, Meta, Arm, Qualcomm.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US CENTCOM said IRGC forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran towards US forces based in Jordan.Saudi Arabia's Defence Ministry said air defences intercepted and destroyed several drones, which had attempted to target petroleum facilities in the Eastern Region.US CENTCOM later announced that US and Saudi forces conducted strikes on Iran-backed terrorist sites in Iraq.Crude futures climbed as geopolitical tensions escalated (Brent Oct +2.8%); APAC was choppy, and sentiment deteriorated; Europe looks ahead to a subdued open.US equity futures, DXY, T-Note futures, and spot gold trade sideways ahead of FOMC.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish GDP Flash (Q2), ECB Wage Tracker, US Atlanta Fed GDP, Fed Policy Announcement (Jul), BoC Minutes (Jul), Speakers including Fed Chair Warsh & RBA's Hunter, Supply from Germany, Earnings from SoFi, Microsoft, Meta, Arm, Qualcomm, L'Oreal, Hermes, Airbus, Porsche AG, BASF, UBS & Standard Chartered.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses began the session firmer despite sharp tech-induced losses in APAC. Oman is said to have presented to Iran a proposal for a joint regional mechanism to manage the Strait of Hormuz with "voluntary fees"; Iran is reportedly demonstrating 'flexibility' over Hormuz Strait operations.Crude futures are softer amid continued efforts to end the US-Iran war, and with the pause in strikes at day three. DXY was directionless throughout most of the morning before edging higher in recent trade, with the FOMC looming on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Goods Trade Balance Advance (Jun), Retail Inventories Ex Autos Advance (Jun), Wholesale Inventories Advance (Jun), Consumer Confidence, Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2). Supply from the US. Earnings from PayPal, Boeing, and Ford.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said Iran is talking to the US about making a deal right now and very friendly talks are ongoing, while he added they will end Iran's nuclear threat very quickly and that Iran is behaving again.US President Trump said Iran wanted to meet and that "we're meeting," while he added there is a chance a deal could be reached.APAC stocks were mostly negative amid a tech bloodbath and competition concerns following reports yesterday that China had started mass production of domestically developed DUV lithography equipment.DXY traded little changed, 10yr UST futures traded range-bound, and Crude futures remained subdued overnight.European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures little changed after the cash market closed flat on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Retail Sales (Jun), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Goods Trade Balance Advance (Jun), Retail Inventories Ex Autos Advance (Jun), Wholesale Inventories Advance (Jun), Consumer Confidence, Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Supply from UK, Italy, Netherlands & US, Earnings from PayPal, Boeing, UPS, Ford, EssilorLuxottica, Kering, Air Liquide, Eni, Barclays, GSK & Unilever.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are firmer following a similar APAC lead, as oil prices and yields slumped on the lack of US-Iran weekend action.Crude oil and gas futures were weighed down by the US not striking Iran over the weekend. Metals benefit across the board.However, US CENTCOM commander Cooper advised the Pentagon and the White House that the next possible step is to return to a large-scale military operation.Fixed income markets are higher; US focus turns to supply & midterms. No move to German Ifo or ECB speak. In FX, the DXY is softer to the benefit of G10 peers, although petro-currencies fail to benefit.Looking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods Orders (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2). Supply from the US. Earnings from LVMH. Comments from US President Trump.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US equity futures gapped higher following the pause in US strikes on Iran since Friday night; Risk sentiment underpinned by a decline in oil prices and yields.US CENTCOM commander Cooper advised the Pentagon and the White House that the next possible step is to return to a large-scale military operation.Iranian media reported that an oil tanker exploded in the Strait of Hormuz after hitting a naval mine when it deviated from a navigation route designated by Iran.Yemen's Houthis said they carried out operations against Aramco facilities in Saudi's Jizan and Yanbu.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.8% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo (Jul), US Durable Goods Orders (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2). Supply from the US. Earnings from LVMH & AstraZeneca.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and Iran continued to exchange strikes, with CENTCOM conducting a 13th night of attacks on Iranian military targets; US President Trump said Iran wants to reach an agreement but is not yet ready.Iran reportedly rejected a US ceasefire proposal presented by Iraq's PM, while Tehran also refused to amend a separate 10-day ceasefire plan linked to discussions over the Strait of Hormuz.The Trump administration imposed new tariffs of 10-12.5% on imports from 60 countries over claims that they had failed to prevent forced labour.US equity futures are entirely in the green, supported by the upbeat beat mood in Europe while lower oil prices are also supporting indices (Brent -3.5%).DXY rangebound; Antipodeans outperform amid the risk-on tone, while EUR helped by positive flash PMIs.Fixed income benchmarks helped by the lower crude prices.Looking ahead, highlights include US Flash PMIs (Jul), Canadian PPI (Jun). Comments from ECB's Lane. Scope Ratings update on Norway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and Iran continued to exchange strikes, with CENTCOM conducting a 13th night of attacks on Iranian military targets; US President Trump said Iran wants to reach an agreement but is not yet ready.Iran reportedly rejected a US ceasefire proposal presented by Iraq's PM, while Tehran also refused to amend a separate 10-day ceasefire plan linked to discussions over the Strait of Hormuz.The Trump administration imposed new tariffs of 10%-12.5% on imports from 60 countries over claims that they had failed to prevent forced labour.APAC stocks followed Wall Street lower, DXY mildly softened, 10yr UST futures remained near contract lows, and crude futures slightly pulled back after Brent rose above USD 100/bbl.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1%;Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Jul), German GfK Consumer Confidence (Aug), UK Retail Sales (Jun), Canadian PPI (Jun), BoE DMP (Jul). Comments from ECB's Lane. Scope Ratings update on Norway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran was intending to double missile stockpile and that it looks like Iran is not ready to make a deal. He added that the price on Iran will get higher every night until they come to their senses but that Iran is begging to reach a deal.Yemeni Houthis targeted two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, while reports noted that at least 9 ships have stopped passing through Bab al-Mandeb, following the blockade on Saudi ports by Houthis. US equity futures are softer across the board as Alphabet raises AI Capex guidance and STMicroelectronics misses Q3 revenue guidance estimates.DXY rangebound, AUD outperforms after a strong jobs report. Fixed income lower but off worst levels as energy prices continue to drive price action (Brent +4.5%).Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/18), Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Jul). Policy Announcements from the ECB, CBRT, and SARB. Comments from ECB President Lagarde. Supply from the US. Earnings from Intel, Blackstone, Lockheed Martin & SAP.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and Iran exchanged strikes for the 12th consecutive night; US President Trump said Iran is getting hit so hard and that they want to make a deal.Yemeni Houthis targeted two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, while reports noted that at least 9 ships have stopped passing through Bab al-Mandeb, following the blockade on Saudi ports by Houthis.Alphabet (GOOGL) shares fell -3.3%, Tesla (TSLA) slipped over 4%, and IBM (IBM) was modestly softer post-earnings.APAC stocks were predominantly in the green, DXY mildly softened, 10yr UST futures lingered near the prior day's trough, and crude futures extended gains.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3%.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/18), Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jun), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Jul). Policy Announcements from the ECB, CBRT, and SARB. Comments from ECB President Lagarde. Supply from the UK & the US. Earnings from Intel, Blackstone, Lockheed Martin, RTX, TotalEnergies, Thales, SAP & Repsol.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Secretary of State Rubio said the US has many options to deal with Iran if it refuses to negotiate. He also stated that China is displeased with Iran's actions in the Strait and Iran is in a lot of trouble.Iranian Interior Ministry spokesperson said there is currently no ongoing negotiation and that it may only involve the exchange of messages, Mehr News reported.BoJ officials are reportedly considering hiking rates faster than every 6 months due to the JPY's weakness adding to upside inflation risks, Bloomberg reported. Initial weakness was seen in JGBs while JPY saw fleeting strength. US equity futures trades with losses, with underperformance in the NQ ahead of Tesla and Alphabet earnings AMC.Fixed income benchmarks hold steady despite the surge in energy prices (Brent +4.8%).Looking ahead, highlights include US MBA Mortgage Applications, Supply from the US, Earnings from Tesla, Alphabet, and IBM.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US CENTCOM said forces conducted the 11th consecutive night of strikes against Iran; US Secretary of State Rubio said the US is committed to diplomacy in the Middle East and Iran.Iran's top joint military command warned that all interests of the US and its allies in the region will be targeted if the US attacks Iran's nuclear sites.US is to impose new tariffs on dozens of countries as Trump's 10% global levy is set to expire, according to AFP citing USTR Greer.APAC stocks traded mostly in the green, DXY slightly pulled back, 10yr UST futures lingered near yesterday's lows, Crude futures mildly extended their gains.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Inflation (Jun), Supply from Germany & the US, Earnings from Tesla, Alphabet, and IBM.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US is reportedly demanding a longer ceasefire and partial navigation of the Strait of Hormuz, i24 reported. The report added that Iran proposed the 10-day ceasefire.US equity futures firmer, benefiting from the rebound in chip and memory names. DXY slightly softer; Kiwi outperforms following hotter-than-expected CPI.Fixed income benchmarks muted; gilts unreactive despite the appointment of Healey as Chancellor.Crude benchmarks rangebound as sirens continue to sound across the Gulf.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, NBH Policy Announcement (Jul). Earnings from General Motors & 3M.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is expected to decide in the coming days whether to expand military operations against Iran and return to full-scale combat, a senior US official told Fox News.Senior US and Israeli officials are claiming Trump only has two realistic options: either promoting a new 10-day ceasefire with the aim of reopening the Strait of Hormuz, or launching a full-scale war on Iran, Axios reported.A US official said if US President Trump decides to expand the war, the strikes will include Tehran and nuclear sites, according to Al Arabiya.APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued handover from the US. Crude futures were mildly lower in range-bound trade. European equity futures indicate a marginally lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2%.UK PM Burnham surprisingly appointed John Healey as Chancellor; Gilts and UK defence names on watch.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs Report (May), PSNB (Jun), German/EU ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Jul), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, NBH Policy Announcement (Jul). Supply from the UK & Germany. Earnings from General Motors & 3M.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson said negotiations with the US could be pursued based on national interests and will not abandon talks with the US.US and Iran continued to exchange strikes; Iran killed two US service members in Jordan and one in Iraq. The US continued to target Iranian military capabilities. US equity futures rebound given the broader positive tone.DXY flat; Antipodeans lead on China stimulus hopes, while GBP awaits Burnham.Fixed income pare earlier losses while gilts remain in focus as Burnham gets ready for his first day as PM.Choppy crude trade as geopolitics dictate the tape while precious metals holds steady.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Inflation (Jun), New Zealand Inflation (Q2) & Comments by incoming UK PM Burnham.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran said it has suspended the implementation of the MoU, suggesting that the US had “violated” commitments within the framework; Brent +2.4%.US and Iran continued to exchange strikes; Iran killed two US service members in Jordan and one in Iraq. The US continued to target Iranian military capabilities. US is said to be planning for a wider war, according to a US official, cited by the Washington Post. APAC stocks were mixed; tech underperformance weighed on the KOSPI. European equity futures are indicative of a flat open. DXY traded steady; Antipodeans led the gains, whilst the CHF and JPY were flat. Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Inflation (Jun), New Zealand Inflation (Q2).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US continued to strike Iran, for a sixth consecutive night; Iran claimed that power facilities, bridges and civilian infrastructure were struck. Iranian Army Spokesman warned that if the US strike the infrastructure of Iran, all infrastructure in the region will be a legitimate target; he added that “either all countries in the region can export oil or no one can”.US equities slump after further worries of stretched AI valuations.DXY gains; JPY saw fleeting strength following PM Takaichi's GPIF comments.Fixed income benchmarks supported by safe haven flows. Crude futures higher after multiple UKMTO reports in the Middle East.Looking ahead, highlights include US Building Permits (Jun), Export/Import Prices (Jun), Industrial Production (Jun), UoM Consumer Expectations (Jul) & Atlanta Fed GDP.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US continued to strike Iran, for a sixth consecutive night; Iran claimed that power facilities, bridges and civilian infrastructure were struck.Iranian Army Spokesman warned that if the US strike the infrastructure of Iran, all infrastructure in the region will be a legitimate target; he added that “either all countries in the region can export oil or no one can”.US President Trump stated that they will see the fruits of labour in Iran shortly.APAC Stocks were pressured, with Nikkei 225 (-5%) leading the declines; European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open.DXY is a touch firmer this morning; G10s are broadly lower, albeit modestly so.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI Final (Jun), US Building Permits (Jun), Export/Import Prices (Jun), Industrial Production (Jun), UoM Consumer Expectations (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP, Comments from ECB's Cipollone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US has completed another round of strikes on various parts of Iran, targeting military capabilities; Tehran responded with its own attacks on Kuwait and Jordan.TSMC reported Q2 metrics that beat estimates, while raising its Q3 revenue guidance above expectations. In addition, the co. is to add another USD 100bln of US investment. US equity futures lower despite strong TSMC earnings and Japan's large investment for Nvidia's Rubin chips.DXY rangebound while CHF and NOK outperforms; GBP unreactive following GDP data. Fixed income benchmarks softer despite lower energy; UK and French politics in focus.Crude benchmarks take a breather despite ongoing US-Iran strikes, spot gold moves a bit lower.Looking ahead, highlights include US Retail Sales (Jun), Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Index (Jul), Pending Home Sales (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP, Speakers including Fed's Logan & Schmid, Earnings from Netflix, Alcoa, GE Aerospace, US Bancorp, Abbott & State Street.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US has completed another round of strikes on various parts of Iran, targeting military capabilities; Tehran responded with its own attacks on Kuwait and Jordan.US President Trump stated Iran wants to meet, though warned that strikes would expand next week. Nonetheless, crude benchmarks take a breather following recent gains; Brent -0.6%.APAC stocks held a mostly negative bias, with the KOSPI (-6.4%) dragged by losses in Samsung Electronics (-8.6%) and SK Hynix (-11.9%). European equity futures are indicative of a slightly firmer open.DXY is flat and holds around 100.50; G10s are mixed against the USD.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (May), Italian HICP Final (Jun), EZ Balance of Trade (May), US Retail Sales (Jun), Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Index (Jul), Pending Home Sales (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP, SNB Minutes (Jul), Speakers including Fed's Logan & Schmid, Supply from Spain, France & UK.Earnings from Netflix, Alcoa, UnitedHealth, GE Aerospace, US Bancorp, Abbott, State Street & ABB.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US struck Iran overnight, Trump said they will do so again on Wednesday night. Adding, they will hit power plants and bridges next week unless Iran negotiates.IRGC targeted weapons/storage in Bahrain and Kuwait, US positions in Jordan and the Fifth Fleet Command HQ. Iran said it is a mistake to think military action will force them to talk.ASML (+3.7%) reported Q2 earnings that beat estimates while raising its FY guidance above analyst expectations. Additionally, the Co. announced a partnership with Intel (INTC) for high-volume production of Intel 18A logic products using High NA EUV.US equity futures are firmer across the board, with NQ supported by ASML and SK Hynix upside overnight.DXY and Fixed Income rangebound ahead of a busy speaker slate.Crude benchmarks eke out mild gains, with another round of US strikes tonight.Looking ahead, highlights include US PPI (Jun), BoC Policy Announcement (Jul), Fed Beige Book (Jul), Speakers including Fed's Williams, Musalem, Warsh & Cook, BoC Governor Macklem, BoE's Pill, Earnings from United Airlines, Johnson & Johnson, Morgan Stanley, PNC Financial Services, BNY Mellon.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US struck Iran overnight, Trump said they will do so again on Wednesday night. Adding, they will hit power plants and bridges next week unless Iran negotiates.IRGC targeted weapons/storage in Bahrain and Kuwait, US positions in Jordan and the Fifth Fleet Command HQ. Iran said it is a mistake to think military action will force them to talk.Brent +0.8% on the above, USD failed to benefit with CPI continuing to weigh, USTs rangebound though Bunds came under modest pressure.APAC stocks were firmer as the US CPI read-across outweighed fresh US-Iran strikes, to the continued benefit of US futures, though Europe points lower, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.2%.GBP and EUR led on the softer USD, USD/JPY briefly moved below 162.00Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF Final (Jun), Spanish CPI Final (Jun), EZ Industrial Production (May), US PPI (Jun), BoC Policy Announcement (Jul), Fed Beige Book (Jul), Speakers including Fed's Williams, Musalem, Warsh & Cook, BoC Governor Macklem, BoE's Pill, ECB's Nagel, Supply from Germany, Earnings from United Airlines, BlackRock, Elevance Health, Johnson & Johnson, Morgan Stanley, PNC Financial Services, BNY Mellon.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US continued to launch strikes for a third night, after President Trump stated that he would hit Iran “very hard” on Monday and Tuesday. Separately, Trump threatened to hit Iran's “Pickaxe Mountain”, an underground nuclear facility; Brent Sep'26 +4.0%.US equity futures are mixed, with the NQ outperforming as it recovers from Monday's selloff; US banking names kick of earnings.DXY tentative heading into CPI and Fed Chair Warsh's testimony; Kiwi outperforms after further hawkish RBNZ rhetoric.Fixed income benchmarks are softer amid energy moves and continued post-Waller hawkishness.Crude benchmarks grind higher on continued US-Iran updates while spot gold finds support above USD 4k/oz.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Jun), Fed Discount Rate Minutes (Jul), ECB President Lagarde-US Treasury Secretary Bessent meeting, Speakers include Fed Chair Warsh, Goolsbee, Barr, Cook and Bowman, BoE Governor Bailey, Earnings from Citi, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Bank of America and Wells Fargo. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US continued to launch strikes for a third night, after President Trump stated that he would hit Iran “very hard” on Monday and Tuesday. Separately, Trump threatened to hit Iran's “Pickaxe Mountain”, an underground nuclear facility; Brent Aug'26 +1.9%.US President Trump also announced a naval blockade, which is set to begin at 21:00 BST / 16:00 EDT.APAC stocks were mostly in the red given the geopolitical environment and tech sell-off; European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open.DXY takes a breather; Kiwi outperforms following regional data and hawkish comments from RBNZ's Conway.USTs and Bunds remain pressured amidst the elevated energy prices and after Fed's Waller delivered hawkish remarks.Looking ahead, Highlights include German Wholesale Prices (Jun), Chinese M2 Money Supply (Jun), US NFIB Business Optimism Index (Jun), US CPI (Jun), Fed Discount Rate Minutes (Jul), ECB President Lagarde-US Treasury Secretary Bessent meeting.Speakers including Fed Chair Warsh, Goolsbee, Barr, Cook & Bowman, BoE Governor Bailey, Supply from the Netherlands & Germany.Earnings from Citi, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US and Iran exchanged strikes over the weekend, with the US military targeting 140 Iranian military targets on Saturday and took further action on Sunday, while Iran attacked US bases across the Gulf and closed the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson said the US violated all clauses of the MoU in less than a month and stated that Iran will not execute commitments in the MoU as long as the US is not fulfilling its commitments. Furthermore, the spokesperson said mediators are still continuing their efforts to mediate between Iran and the US in recent days and Iran is in contact with mediators. Energy benchmarks pulled back following the constructive rhetoric, Brent +2.3%.US equity futures are off worst levels but the NQ is the clear underperformer, weighed down by the losses in SK Hynix (-15.4%).DXY reverse earlier gains; JPY hit on GPIF chatter, NZD continues to benefit on tightening bets.Looking ahead, highlights include OPEC MOMR (Jul), US Monthly Budget Statement (Jun), Coalition of the Willing Summit, Speakers including Fed's Waller, BoE's Pill, ECB's Schnabel & RBNZ's Conway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US forces struck 140 Iranian military targets on Saturday and took further action on Sunday. Iran attacked bases in Jordan, Qatar, Kuwait & Bahrain.Crude rallied following this and Iran announcing the Strait of Hormuz would now be closed, though the US said transit has since happened, Brent +4.3%.APAC bourses were pressured, KOSPI underperformed as SK Hynix fell 13%, weighing on the NQ -1.2%.European futures in the red, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.8%. DXY is modestly firmer against G10 peers across the board.Fixed income underpressure as yields lift across the curve. Spot gold lost USD 4.1k/oz, down to USD 4050/oz. Base peers followed the tone lower.Looking ahead, highlights include German Current Account (May), OPEC MOMR (Jul), US Monthly Budget Statement (Jun), Coalition of the Willing Summit, Speakers including Fed's Waller, BoE's Pill & RBNZ's Conway, Supply from the EU.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Mediators are working to get the US and Iran back at the negotiating table, CNN reported, citing sources, later echoed by Axios.Brent is softer by around USD 0.20/bbl, with the market essentially waiting for a resumption of negotiations or strikes.Japanese assets lead after Finance Minister Katayama said pension funds should be encouraged to invest more in the domestic market.European bourses are on a modestly firmer footing, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1%. US futures are mixed; NQ lags, potentially ahead of SK Hynix's ADR debut on the 13th.USD under pressure, JPY leads given the above, NZD continues to climb, CAD flat into its jobs report.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Jobs Report (Jun). Earnings from Delta Air Lines and Credit Ratings from Fitch on the Netherlands, Morningstar DBRS on Switzerland and Scope Ratings on Japan.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Sources suggested Iranian air defence systems were activated. However, the US said they were not involved, and Iran then denied any explosions at all; Bushehr's officials said they intercepted projectiles.Mediators are working to get the US and Iran back at the negotiating table, CNN reported, citing sources, later echoed by Axios.Brent is firmer by USD 0.30/bbl, in a narrow range as the magnitude of geopolitical updates slowed throughout the APAC session into Friday.APAC bourses were entirely firmer, European futures point to a flat start to the day, while US futures are marginally softer, NQ -0.2%.USD remains under pressure, with the JPY the primary beneficiary. Support came from Finance Minister Katayama, who spoke on increasing investment in domestic financial funds.Fixed income mixed but broadly contained, taking the lead from energy performance. JGBs outperformed on the above remarks.Looking ahead, highlights include German/French Inflation Final (Jun), Norwegian Inflation (Jun), Canadian Jobs Report (Jun), IEA OMR (Jul), Speakers include ECB's Vujcic, Supply from Italy, Earnings from Delta Air Lines and Credit Ratings from Fitch on the Netherlands, Morningstar DBRS on Switzerland and Scope Ratings on Japan.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US struck around 90 Iranian military targets. In return, the IRGC said it attacked two US bases in Bahrain and two in Kuwait.CNN reported that US President Trump is losing patience with the pace of negotiations, particularly on nuclear.Crude benchmarks were firmer overnight, but moved lower as the European morning progressed as markets reacted to Trump's remarks that Iran wanted to make a deal. Brent Sep'26 now off lows, and now flat.European bourses are firmer, with US equity futures also following suit; NQ +0.6%.G10s are mostly firmer against the slightly lower USD; Kiwi outperforms.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/04), Existing Home Sales (Jun), ECB Minutes (Jun), Banxico Minutes (Jun), Speakers include Fed's Williams, Logan, BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US and Earnings from PepsiCo.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk