Get up to speed with everything you need to know ahead of today's European open with the Ransquawk rundown

Yemen's Houthis fired missiles at Israel on Saturday morning, marking the first time it has been involved in the war; Israeli PM Netanyahu ordered the military to expand its invasion of southern Lebanon.US President Trump said the US could take oil in Iran and could take Kharg Island 'very easily', according to the FT. Trump also stated that indirect talks with emissaries are progressing well and a deal could be made fairly quickly.US President Trump said there were good negotiations with Iran on Sunday, and the US destroyed many targets that day, while they are negotiating directly and indirectly with Iran.Trump responded that Iran came back to them on the 15-point plan and gave them most points, but didn't give any further details. Trump also claimed that Middle East countries are fighting back against Iran.APAC stocks were pressured following the geopolitical escalation over the weekend; Euro Stoxx 50 futures are down 0.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Retail Sales (Feb), EU Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar), German Inflation Prelim. (Mar), US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Mar), Comments from Fed's Williams.UK clocks switched from GMT to BST on Sunday, and the NY-London differential returned to its usual 5 hours.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's IRGC Navy announced that the Strait of Hormuz is closed, and any traffic in this strait will be severely dealt with; traffic of any ship "to and from" the ports of origin of the allies of the enemies is prohibited from any corridor. Three container ships started to move but were turned back with a warning.China's MOFCOM said it has launched a probe regarding US trade measures and green products; China to investigate US trade practices starting March 27th; probe to conclude within six months but can be extended.Crude holds an upward bias as Iran targets US bases, with weekend risk elevated despite Trump's comments.Global equities under pressure, initially driven by China's US probe and then further energy upside.DXY firmer amidst geopolitical flare ups, JPY reacts to jawboning.Fixed income continued to be driven by energy; Spanish CPI jumped but failed to move benchmarks.Looking ahead, highlights include University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Barkin, Daly & Paulson, ECB's Schnabel. Credit Ratings include Fitch Ratings on Switzerland, Moody's on Italy & Spain, Scope Ratings on the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced a 10-day pause in planned strikes on energy plants to Monday, 6th April 2026 at 8 PM, at the request of the Iranian government, while he added that talks with Iran are going very well.Iran wants the US to dial back demands in the 15-point peace plan before starting any talks, according to WSJ, citing sources, while Iran is open to the possibility of talks but deems the US proposals excessive.Iranian officials were said to be interested in talks despite the announcement of their rejection of the US proposal, while mediators are pressuring Tehran to agree to a meeting with Washington in the coming days, according to Axios.The US is considering sending up to 10,000 additional ground troops to the Middle East, according to WSJ.APAC stocks were cautious but off worst levels; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Retail Sales (Feb), Spanish CPI Prelim. (Mar), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Mar), ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations. Speakers include Fed's Barkin, Daly & Paulson, ECB's Schnabel. Supply from Italy. Credit Ratings include Fitch Ratings on Switzerland, Moody's on Italy & Spain, Scope Ratings on the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Axios reported that the US Pentagon is preparing for massive "final blow" of Iran war that could include the use of ground forces and a massive bombing campaign.Global equities under pressure as the Iran war persists, Tech falters following Google update.DXY is essentially flat, G10s incrementally lower. Fixed income action is dictated by energy movements as numerous BoE and Fed officials await.Crude futures on a firmer footing as geopolitical tensions show no tangible signs of abating.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/21). Speakers include BoE's Taylor & Greene, Fed's Cook, Miran, Jefferson & Barr, BoC's Rogers. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump told aides he wants a speedy end to the Iran war and wants to wrap up the conflict in the coming weeks, while he informed advisers that he thinks the conflict is in the final stages.Israeli media reported that US President Trump may announce a ceasefire with Iran by next Saturday, even without reaching a final agreement, while a separate report noted the working assumption in Israel is that Trump may announce a ceasefire by this coming Saturday, according to N12 News.Yemen's Houthis are ready to enter the field and take control of the Bab al-Mandab Strait, according to a Tasnim Telegram citing sources.White House confirmed that US President Trump is to hold a Cabinet meeting from 10:00EDT/14:00GMT today.APAC stocks traded cautiously; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.8%.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK (Apr), Spanish GDP Final (Q4), US Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/21), and Norges Bank Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, BoE's Breeden, Taylor & Greene, Fed's Cook, Miran, Jefferson & Barr, BoC's Rogers. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US special envoy Witkoff and Jared Kushner are working on a mechanism which aims for a one-month ceasefire, while this would be very similar to understandings in Gaza and Lebanon, and a 15-point agreement will be negotiated during the month of a possible ceasefire.Iran has reportedly received the 15-point US ceasefire proposal, according to AP citing Pakistani officials.Crude slips as an Iranian ceasefire framework emerges.Global equities rise on plans of a Middle East ceasefire; ARM surging after the announcement of the sale of its own chips.USD slightly firmer but off best, AUD lags following a cooler inflation report while EUR unmoved following German Ifo. Fixed income firmer as softer energy prices dictates price action. Looking ahead, highlights include US Import/Export Prices (Feb), SNB Quarterly Bulletin (Q1). Speakers include ECB's Rehn & Kocher, BoE's Greene, Fed's Miran, US President Trump, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are having tremendous success in Iran and that Iran has no leaders left, while he said the US is talking to the right people and they want to make a deal. Trump said they are in negotiations right now with Iran and that Iran is talking sense.US President Trump said they are going to make a deal with Iran, and Iran gave the US a significant prize/present worth a tremendous amount of money, which is related to the Strait of Hormuz. Trump did not offer any more details.US special envoy Witkoff and Jared Kushner are working on a mechanism which aims for a one-month ceasefire, while this would be very similar to understandings in Gaza and Lebanon, and a 15-point agreement will be negotiated during the month of a possible ceasefire.United Command of Iranian Armed Forces spokesperson said the US is negotiating with itself, according to IRNA.APAC stocks traded higher; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.9%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Inflation Report (Feb), German Ifo (Mar), US Import/Export Prices (Feb), SNB Quarterly Bulletin (Q1). Speakers include ECB's Lagarde & Lane, BoE's Greene, Fed's Miran, Supply from Italy, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi is said to have secretly informed US Envoy Witkoff of Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's agreement to negotiate, Al Arabiya reports citing Israeli press citing sources.European equities subdued while PUIG SM surges on EL merger; US equity futures pull back from Monday's highs.DXY finds its footing following recent losses, Antipodeans lag, EUR digests PMIs which indicate slowing growth.Fixed income mixed ahead of a busy speaker slate. Firmer trade across oil as markets digest conflicting reports while attacks continue.Looking ahead, highlights include US Flash PMIs (Mar), ADP Employment Change Weekly. Speakers include ECB's Sleijpen, Cipollone, Lane & Nagel, BoE's Pill, SNB's Schlegel & Tschudin, Fed's Barr. Supply from Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump reiterated that the US and Iran had preliminary talks over the past few days, and that they had very good discussions with Iran.Iran denied talks with the US and called it fake news, but said messages had been conveyed in recent days through several friendly countries.Washington set April 9th as the date to end the war on Iran, according to an Israeli official cited by Yedioth Ahronoth.US officials said the Strait of Hormuz is dotted with about a dozen Iranian mines, although an IRGC spokesperson said there is no need to mine the Strait of Hormuz as Iranian armed forces have full control.A partial rebound in oil was spurred by a report that some gas-related facilities were hit amid US-Israeli strikes on Isfahan.APAC stocks took their cues from the positive performance on Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.6%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Mar), US ADP Employment Change Weekly. Speakers include ECB's Cipollone, Lane & Nagel, BoE's Pill, SNB's Schlegel, Fed's Barr. Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump gave Iran a 48-hour ultimatum on Saturday evening at 19:44EDT/23:44GMT to fully open the Strait of Hormuz or the US will “obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST”.Iran's Revolutionary Guards warned that if US President Trump executes threats to target Iran's energy facilities, the Strait of Hormuz will be completely closed and will not reopen until damaged plants are rebuilt.Crude buoyed amid US-Iran threat exchange, Brent trading above USD 100/bbl. European equities fall further into correction territory; US equity futures weak with ES holding at 6,500.DXY buoyed by geopolitics, AUD hit as metals prices sink.Fixed income falters as energy climbs and pricing turns ever more hawkish, also weighing on metals prices. Looking ahead, highlights include EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Mar), US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb), Atlanta Fed GDP, Australian Flash PMIs (Mar), Japanese CPI (Feb). Speakers include ECB's Cipollone, Lane and Fed's Miran. Supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump gave Iran a 48-hour ultimatum on Saturday evening at 19:44EDT/23:44GMT to fully open the Strait of Hormuz or the US will “obliterate their various POWER PLANTS, STARTING WITH THE BIGGEST ONE FIRST”.Iran's Revolutionary Guards warned that if US President Trump executes threats to target Iran's energy facilities, the Strait of Hormuz will be completely closed and will not reopen until damaged plants are rebuilt.US President Trump posted earlier on Saturday that he is considering "winding down" the Iran war because the US was "getting very close" to meeting its military objectives.APAC stocks were pressured after the US and Iran exchanged threats over the weekend, with US President Trump announcing a 48-hour ultimatum for Iran to fully open the Strait of Hormuz or the US will obliterate Iranian power plants, while Iran responded with its own threats.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 2.0% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB Wage Tracker (Q1), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Mar), US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Feb), Atlanta Fed GDP, Australian Flash PMIs (Mar), Japanese CPI (Feb). Speakers include ECB's Cipollone & Lane. Supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Trump Administration is reportedly considering plans to occupy or blockade Iran's Kharg Island to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Axios reported, citing sources.Crude edges higher amid the US plans to pressure Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. European equities give back earlier gains following the Axios report; SMCI nose-dives pre-market amid a probe.DXY trims some of Thursday's losses as crude futures continue grinding higher—G10s are broadly lower against the USD. Fixed income under pressure as energy drives yields higher; Gilts underperform as markets fully price 3 rate hikes by the BoE.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (Jan), PPI (Feb). Speakers include ECB's Nagel, Fed's Bowman and Waller. Credit Rating Update with Scope Ratings/Morningstar DBRS on France.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US Pentagon is considering sending more troops to the Middle East, according to Politico sources who stated the size and scope of additional deployments are still evolving.Saudi officials see the base case for oil to rise to USD 180/bbl if the disruptions persist until late April, according to WSJ.APAC stocks were mostly subdued but with downside limited as the region reacted to the recent oil swings, deluge of central bank meetings and mixed geopolitical headlines, while conditions were thinned with the absence of Japanese participants due to the Vernal Equinox holiday.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.7%, after the cash market closed with losses of 2.1% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German PPI (Feb), UK PSNB (Feb), Canadian Retail Sales (Jan), PPI (Feb). Speakers include ECB's Nagel. Credit Rating Update with Scope Ratings/Morningstar DBRS on France.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's armed forces said Iran's retaliation against attacks on its energy infrastructure is not yet complete, SNN reported; any repeat of such attacks will lead to a far stronger retaliation against the enemy, enemy infrastructure and that of their allies.US President Trump said Israel violently lashed out at Iran's major facility and that the US did not know about the attack, while he said there will be no more attacks by Israel on South Pars; added that the US will retaliate by massively blowing up the entirety of the South Pars Gas Field if Qatar's LNG is attacked again.FX mixed amid the central bank bonanza; SNB, Riksbank and BoJ all left rates unchanged, as expected, while the BoE and ECB await. Crude surges as attacks in the Persian Gulf threaten long-term damage to major energy facilities.European equities suffer as Energy continues to surge; US equity futures follow suit, Micron slips after increasing capex plans.Fixed income weighed on energy upside and hawkish Chair Powell.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/14), Atlanta Fed GDP, New Zealand Trade Balance (Feb), BoE & ECB Policy Announcements. Speakers include ECB's Lagarde. Supply from the US. Earnings from FedEx.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said Israel violently lashed out at Iran's major facility and that the US did not know about the attack, while he said there will be no more attacks by Israel on South Pars.US President Trump said the US will retaliate by massively blowing up the entirety of the South Pars Gas Field if Qatar's LNG is attacked again.The Fed left rates on hold as expected in an 11-1 vote split, while dot plots were largely unchanged, with little reaction seen.Fed Chair Powell noted how the Fed will not look through energy-induced inflation lightly and stated that rate hikes in the future were discussed, but caveated that it is not the base case for the vast majority.BoJ kept its short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.75%, as expected, with the decision made by an 8-1 vote as Takata dissented and voted for a 25bps hike.APAC stocks declined as the region took its cue from the losses stateside; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.7%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs/Average Earnings (Jan), US Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/14), Atlanta Fed GDP, New Zealand Trade Balance (Feb), Riksbank, SNB, BoE & ECB, Policy Announcements. Speakers include BoJ's Ueda, SNB's Schlegel, Riksbank's Thedeen & ECB's Lagarde. Supply from Spain, France & US. Earnings from FedEx & Alibaba.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel attempted to assassinate Iran's Intelligence Minister Khatib overnight, Jerusalem Post reported, citing an Israeli official, but is still awaiting the results of the target. Iran's Foreign Minister said Iran will target US forces wherever they assemble, including near urban areas. Iran fired retaliatory missiles towards Tel Aviv for the killing of Larijani.European equities gain, Banks benefiting from a delay in capital requirements; US equity futures follow peers.Mostly flat FX trade heading into the FOMC; CHF narrowly lags ahead of tomorrow's SNB.Crude continues to dictate macro sentiment; Gold rotates around USD 5,000/oz.Fixed income firmer amid energy downside ahead of key central bank announcements.Looking ahead, highlights include US PPI (Feb), New Zealand GDP (Q4), BoC, Fed & BCB Policy Announcements. Speakers include BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Fed Chair Powell & NVIDIA (NVDA) CEO Huang. Earnings from Micron.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they had a big day on Tuesday, knocking out targets, and said it will be a couple of weeks regarding Iran, not much longer, and that they are way ahead of schedule.Iran confirmed that its security chief Larijani was killed, according to Iranian media.Iran's Foreign Minister said Iran will target US forces wherever they assemble, including near urban areas, he understands neighbours' concerns and holds the US responsible for the conflict.APAC stocks were mostly higher following the positive handover from Wall Street and as oil prices retreated, while markets now await a flurry of upcoming central bank policy decisions, including from the FOMC later today.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.5% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI Final (Feb), US PPI (Feb), New Zealand GDP (Q4), BoC, Fed & BCB Policy Announcements. Speakers include BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Fed Chair Powell & NVIDIA (NVDA) CEO Huang. Supply from Germany. Earnings from Micron & HelloFresh.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A senior Iranian official said the new Supreme Leader rejected proposals that were sent to Iran's Foreign Ministry by two intermediary countries, with the Leader stating it is not the right time for peace and that the US and Israel must be defeated.Israeli Defence Minister Katz said Iran's Top Security Chief Larijani was killed in the airstrike; Iran has not confirmed the status of Larijani.Crude gains in choppy trade as the Iranian war continues; metals move with the dollar.European bourses are mixed, Neste lifts the Utilities sector; US equity futures fall following Nvidia's GTC event.DXY muted, G10s mixed while AUD outperforms after the RBA hiked rates.Fixed income continues to be driven by energy and geopolitics.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Weekly, Japanese Trade Balance (Feb), Comments from ECB's Nagel, and Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said Iran wants to make a deal and is talking with their people, but he does not know if Iran is ready yet.US Envoy Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi have reportedly been in contact over text messages in recent days; Iran denied these reports.US President Trump said regarding the potential Strait of Hormuz coalition that Secretary of State Rubio will announce the countries, while he added it takes a while to get to the Hormuz and that some countries are fairly local.The RBA hiked rates for a second consecutive meeting as expected, through a narrow majority of 5-4 votes, which dragged the currency lower. However, AUD later rebounded as RBA Governor Bullock provided a hawkish tone.APAC stocks eventually traded mixed, with the region initially following suit to the gains on Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.6%.Looking ahead, highlights include Italian HICP Final (Feb), German/EZ ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Mar), US ADP Employment Weekly, Japanese Trade Balance (Feb), Comments from ECB's Nagel, Supply from UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he ordered a strike that wiped out every military target on Kharg Island, where Iran exports nearly all of its oil, but left the oil infrastructure intact; Crude holds around USD 100/bbl.US President Trump's administration plans as soon as this week to announce a coalition to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz, although they are still discussing if such operations would begin before or after hostilities have ended, WSJ reported.Trump also said he was expecting China to help unblock the Strait of Hormuz before he travels to Beijing, while he stated that he may delay the trip but didn't say for how long, according to FT.European equities mixed, CBK GY gains following UCG IM takeover bid; US equity futures rebound.DXY subdued, G10s tilt higher, Antipodeans outperform ahead of expected RBA hike.Fixed income muted ahead of a busy week of central bank announcements. Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian CPI (Feb), US Industrial/Manufacturing Output (Feb), and comments from NVIDIA (NVDA) CEO Huang.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he ordered a strike that wiped out every military target on Kharg Island, which is where Iran exports nearly all of its oil from, but left the oil infrastructure intact. US President Trump warned that NATO faces a very bad future if US allies fail to assist in opening up the Strait of Hormuz.Trump also said he was expecting China to help unblock the Strait of Hormuz before he travels to Beijing, while he stated that he may delay the trip but didn't say for how long, according to FT.US President Trump's administration plans as soon as this week to announce a coalition to escort ships through the Strait of Hormuz, although they are still discussing if such operations would begin before or after hostilities have ended, WSJ reported.APAC stocks mostly declined amid cautiousness at the start of a busy week of central bank activity and following the continued conflict; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian CPI (Feb), US Industrial/Manufacturing Output (Feb), Comments from NVIDIA (NVDA) CEO Huang.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US has issued a new Russia-related general license permitting the sale of Russian crude oil and petroleum products loaded on vessels as of March 12.ByteDance reportedly plans to tap NVIDIA (NVDA) Blackwell processors that are barred for export to China, with the Co. working with Aolani Cloud on plans to use some 500 Blackwell computing systems in Malaysia, according to WSJ.European equities soften, BESI NA surges on takeover rumours; US equity futures muted ahead of PCE, GDP.DXY extends above the 100 handle, GBP slips post-GDP.Fixed income choppy and energy prices and risk tone continue to dictate price action.Brent hovers around USD 100/bbl and metals dragged by a firmer dollar. Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Jobs Report (Feb), US Core PCE Price Index (Jan), Durable Goods Orders (Jan), Personal Spending (Jan), JOLTS (Jan), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prelim. (Mar), Atlanta Fed GDP. Rating updates include Scope Ratings on UK & Spain, S&P on Spain, Moody's on Greece & Germany, Fitch on Spain & Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly subdued, with the region cautious amid headwinds from the recent double-digit surge in oil prices.US officials noted they said from the start the war would last 4-5 weeks and may end in 2 weeks, with the decision up to Trump.US Treasury Secretary Bessent told Sky News an international coalition could protect ships in the Strait of Hormuz.USTR announced to initiate 60 Section 301 investigations related to failures to act on forced labour.European equity futures indicate a mildly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.8% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Prices (Feb), UK Trade Balance (Jan), GDP (Jan), French/Spanish HICP Final (Feb), Canadian Jobs Report (Feb), US Core PCE Price Index (Jan), Durable Goods Orders (Jan), Personal Spending (Jan), JOLTS (Jan), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prelim. (Mar), Atlanta Fed GDP. Rating updates include Scope Ratings on UK & Spain, S&P on Spain, Moody's on Greece & Germany, Fitch on Spain & Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

IEA OMR cut its 2026 global oil supply growth forecast by nearly half, stating the Middle East conflict as the largest oil supply disruption ever. USTR Greer said the US is initiating a Section 301 investigation into 16 trading partners, including China, the EU, Mexico, Vietnam, India and Japan, which could lead to responsive actions, including tariffs.European equities hit as Iran conflict continues, while Defence names benefit; Oil prices continue to weigh on US equities.DXY continues to benefit from geopols, JPY bucks the G10 trend and holds onto gains.Fixed income initially softer but coming off worst levels. Crude wanes off best levels after Brent briefly topped above USD 100/bbl, reports suggest that India is in discussions with Iran to secure passage for 20 tankers through Hormuz.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Trade Balance (Jan), US Trade Balance (Jan), Initial Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, Atlanta Fed GDP and CBRT Policy Announcement. Speakers include Fed's Bowman. Supply from the US, Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks declined as rising oil prices dampened sentiment and stoked inflationary concerns, while the announcement of a record joint emergency reserves release failed to drag energy prices lower, due to likely slow deliveries and with further disruptions in the Middle East from the ongoing hostilities.US President Trump said they knocked out Iran's navy and mine layers, and stated that they won't leave Iran early.The FBI warned police departments in California that Iran wants to retaliate by launching drones against the West Coast.Crude futures rallied some 7% despite the IEA announcement of a record 400mln-barrel emergency joint release, as the action could be seen as a mere band-aid on the supply shock.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.9% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.7% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF Final (Feb), Canadian Trade Balance (Jan), US Trade Balance (Jan), Initial Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, Atlanta Fed GDP, IEA OMR, and CBRT Policy Announcement. Speakers include BoE's Bailey & Fed's Bowman. Supply from Italy, UK & US, Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The IEA has proposed the largest ever release of oil from its strategic reserves, with Bloomberg reporting around 300-400mln barrels to be released. Separate reporting stated that the volume in the first month of the release of oil reserves would exceed 100mln barrels. Crude rises as geopolitics show no real signs of abating; copper falls as sentiment deteriorates.European equities entirely in the red, Rheinmetall disappoints despite increased need for defence; US equity futures continue to consolidate.DXY flat heading into CPI, AUD outperforms as more banks forecast a hike next week.Hawkish ECB speak drives EGBs lower; packed UK agenda ahead.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Feb), OPEC MOMR, IEA recommendation, G7 call. Speakers include ECB's Schnabel & Fed's Bowman, Supply from Germany & the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded higher as the recent easing of oil prices helped the region shrug off the lacklustre lead from Wall Street and reports of Iran beginning to lay mines in the Strait of Hormuz.US intelligence began to see indications that Iran is taking steps to deploy mines in the Strait of Hormuz shipping lane, according to CBS.US Energy Secretary Wright posted that the US Navy had escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz, although this post was later deleted, and a White House official clarified that this wasn't true.UKMTO received a report that a cargo vessel was hit by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz, which has resulted in a fire on board, while the crew are evacuating the vessel.The IEA meeting on Tuesday ended with no decision on a crude stockpile release; WSJ reported that the IEA proposed the largest ever release of oil from strategic reserves (no figures mentioned), with countries to decide today on whether to release oil stocks.Looking ahead, highlights include German HICP Final (Feb), US CPI (Feb), OPEC MOMR. Speakers include ECB's de Guindos & Schnabel, BoE's Breeden & Fed's Bowman, Supply from Germany & the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said it's going to be ended soon, and if it starts up again, Iran will be hit harder, while he responded 'no, but soon', when asked if the war will be done this week.On the passage of oil, US President Trump said they will hit Iran harder if it attempts to stop world oil supply, while adding the Strait of Hormuz will be safe and getting close to finishing it regarding 'excursion'.Oil steadies after Monday's selloff after Trump signalled the Iranian war will end soon.European equities bounce out of correction territory, with Banks benefiting the most from the positive risk tone; US equity futures continue its reversal.Aussie outperforms on hawkish RBA rhetoric and Chinese trade data, DXY takes a breather after yesterday's slide.Fixed income firmer as Monday's hawkish repricing unwinds.Looking ahead, highlights include US Weekly ADP, Existing Home Sales (Feb), G7 Energy Minister Meeting, EIA STEO, Supply from the US, Earnings from Oracle.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US trade saw a late boost to sentiment after US President Trump said the war could be over soon and that he thinks the war is very complete, pretty much as Iran has no navy, no communications, and have no air force, while he added that the US is “very far” ahead of his initial 4-5 week estimated time frame."Iran's Revolutionary Guards said they will not allow a single litre of oil to be exported from the region if the US and Israeli attacks continue, while it added that they will determine how and when the war ends, and stated that US President Trump's comments about Iran were nonsense.APAC stocks rose with global risk sentiment underpinned after oil price pressures eased on a potential G7 joint release of emergency reserves, and with relief seen after US President Trump said the war in Iran could end very soon.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 1.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.6% on Monday.Crude futures declined and have completely retraced this week's opening surge, with pressure seen as the G7 mulls the release of emergency oil reserves, while further downside was seen after US President Trump suggested that the Iranian conflict is nearing an end.Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian CPI (Feb), German/French Trade Balance (Jan), US NFIB (Feb), Weekly ADP, Existing Home Sales (Feb), EIA STEO, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Oracle.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Energy surges (Brent +12%) as key oil producers cut output.European bourses entirely in the red as higher energy prices weigh on broader sentiment; US equity futures follow suit. DXY bid on haven flows, EUR eyes the G7 ministers meeting on energy for reprieve.Global bond yields climb as energy benchmarks soar, sparking a hawkish move in central bank pricing.Precious metals weighed on by dollar strength. Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed SCE, Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence (Mar), & Japanese GDP Final (Q4), G7 meeting on emergency oil reserves. Speakers include ECB's Elderson & Cipollone.US clocks moved forward an hour over the weekend to Daylight Saving Time, with the London-NY time difference at 4 hours.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks sold off heavily with global markets rattled after the Iran war entered a second week with no signs of abating; US equity futures extended on their post-NFP declines.Oil prices surged some 30% at one point to just shy of USD 120/bbl as the continued Iran conflict forces producers to begin cutting output.Crude futures pulled back following FT reports that the G7 is to discuss a joint release of emergency oil reserves in an emergency meeting on Monday.European equity futures indicate a much lower cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 2.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Production (Jan), US NY Fed SCE, Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence (Mar), & Japanese GDP Final (Q4). Speakers include ECB's Elderson & Cipollone.US clocks moved forward an hour over the weekend to Daylight Saving Time, with the London-NY time difference at 4 hours.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Trump administration has reportedly ruled out deploying the Treasury Department to trade oil futures for now, believing it will have a limited meaningful effect, Bloomberg reported citing sources. US-sanctioned gas tanker reportedly transited the Strait of Hormuz this morning, according to Bloomberg; The Danuta I, sailed under the flag of Palau.European equities are under modest pressure, Roche hit as weight loss drug disappoints; US equity futures softer.DXY gains ahead of jobs report; AUD propped up by RBA hike bets; JPY narrowly lags peersGlobal bonds slip as the risk tone deteriorates; Gilts underperform.Crude continues to edge higher; Gold faces pressure amid a stronger DXY.Looking ahead, highlights include US NFP (Feb), Retail Sales (Jan), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone & Schnabel, Fed's Waller, Daly, Goolsbee, Miran, Schmid, Collins & Hammack, RBA's Hauser, Credit Review including Fitch on France, DBRS on Greece. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded somewhat mixed following the risk-averse mood in the US as geopolitics continued to dominate headlines, and with participants also cautious heading into key US jobs data.US and Israel have increased airstrikes on Iran's border with Iraq as US President Trump calls on the Kurdish minority there to rise up against Iran's government, according to the Washington Post.US Secretary of War Hegseth said the US has just begun to fight in Iran and that Iran is wrong in its calculations if it thinks the US can't continue the war, while he added that the firepower used in Iran is to increase significantly.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 1.0% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.5% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ GDP 3rd Est (Q4), US NFP (Feb), Retail Sales (Jan), Speakers including ECB President Lagarde, Cipollone & Schnabel, Fed's Daly, Collins & Hammack, RBA's Hauser, Credit Review including Fitch on France, DBRS on Greece.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister says Iran has not sent any messages to the US to end the conflict, but are instead focused on self defence efforts, according to Sky News Arabia.Deputy Commander of the Iranian Army Central Command said Iran has not closed the Strait of Hormuz; IRGC struck a US oil tanker while announcing US, Israeli and European vessels are not allowed through the strait. European bourses trade mixed, STMicroelectronics surges on new chip; US equity futures softer despite positive AVGO earnings.DXY back on a firmer footing, antipodeans lag on China's new growth target and metals prices.Fixed benchmarks lower as energy prices continue to drive price action.Crude benchmarks remain firmer; Spot gold trades slightly firmer, whilst base metals are lower after China forecasts lowest GDP figure since 1991.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Job Cuts (Feb), US Export/Import Prices (Jan), Jobless Claims, South Korean CPI (Feb), ECB Minutes (Feb), Speakers including ECB President Lagarde & Fed's Bowman, Earnings from Marvell, Costco, Kroger & Victoria's Secret.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks rebounded from yesterday's sell-off as the region took impetus from the positive handover from Wall Street, where the Nasdaq led the advances on tech strength, while geopolitics remained in focus.US President Trump said they are in a very strong position, and that Iran's missiles and launchers are being wiped out, while he added that they will continue forward.Iranian Foreign Minister says Washington will regret targeting Iranian frigate in international waters, Sky News Arabia reported.China set its 2026 GDP growth target at 4.5%-5.0%, as expected (prev. ‘around 5%'), and CPI at around 2%, while it plans to issue CNY 800bln in new policy financing tools and aims to create more than 12mln urban jobs.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.9% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.7% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF prelim. (Feb), EZ Retail Sales (Jan), US Challenger Job Cuts (Feb), US Export/Import Prices (Jan), Jobless Claims, South Korean CPI (Feb), ECB Minutes (Feb) & BoE's DMP, Speakers including ECB President Lagarde, de Guindos & Fed's Bowman, Supply from Spain, France & UK, Earnings from Marvell, Costco, Kroger, JD.com & Victoria's Secret.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks extended on losses with markets roiled by the widening conflict in the Middle East; KOSPI saw a double-digit percentage drop and had triggered a circuit breaker with declines led by shipbuilders and shipping firms.Iran hit more than 10 tankers that ignored warnings and warns ships against transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to FARS.US President Trump said, "If necessary, the United States Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, as soon as possible".US President Trump announced with immediate effect that the US is to provide political risk insurance and guarantees (at a very reasonable price) for the financial security of all maritime trade, especially energy, travelling through the Gulf.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.4% after the cash market closed with losses of 3.6% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI (Feb), Global Final Composite/Services PMIs (Feb), EZ Unemployment (Jan), PPI (Jan), US ISM Services PMI (Feb), NBP Policy Announcement. Speakers include ECB's Cipollone, de Guindos & BoC's Macklem. Supply from Germany, Earnings from Broadcom, Merck & Deutsche Post.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said the US continues to carry out large-scale combat operations in Iran, while he added that Iran could have missiles capable of reaching America soon and had refused to cease its pursuit of nuclear weapons.US and China trade negotiators are to meet mid-March prior to the Trump-Xi summit, with Treasury Secretary Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng expected to convene in Paris at the end of next week to discuss bilateral matters.European bourses remain under pressure, Utilities hit further as QatarEnergy halts production; US equity futures reverse Monday's gains.DXY continues its war-related ascent, CHF underperforms, GBP lags into the Spring Statement.Fixed income falters as energy soars, causing heightened inflation risks.Crude prices continue to climb as the Iranian war enters day four; Precious metals slip. Looking ahead, highlights include US RCM/TIPP (Mar), New Zealand Export/Import Prices, Australian Composite PMI Final (Feb). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Kashkari, UK Spring Statement. Earnings from CrowdStrike, Best Buy, Target, AutoZone, Bayer, Adidas, & Continental.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said the US continues to carry out large-scale combat operations in Iran, while he added that Iran could have missiles capable of reaching America soon and had refused to cease its pursuit of nuclear weapons.The US is said to be preparing for a 'pickup' in attacks in Iran during the next 24 hours, according to a senior unnamed official cited by CNN.US and China trade negotiators are to meet mid-March prior to the Trump-Xi summit, with Treasury Secretary Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng expected to convene in Paris at the end of next week to discuss bilateral matters.APAC stocks were pressured with risk appetite weighed down by geopolitics as the Iranian conflict entered a fourth day, and with US President Trump warning of larger strikes to come.European equity futures indicate a negative cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.0% after the cash market closed with losses of 2.5% on Monday.Looking highlights include EZ Flash HICP (Feb), US RCM/TIPP (Mar), New Zealand Export/Import Prices, Australian Composite PMI Final (Feb). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Kashkari, UK Spring Statement. Supply from the Netherlands & Germany, Earnings from CrowdStrike, Best Buy, Target, AutoZone, Bayer, Adidas, & Continental.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.Iran launched immediate retaliatory missile and drone attacks against Israel, and multiple US military installations across the Gulf and multiple Gulf states, including the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain. Global equities hit on risk tone, energy and defence names benefited, while airlines were significantly affected.Iran's IRGC declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to international navigation until further notice; IRGC also announced on Sunday that they hit 3 US and UK oil tankers with missiles in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz.DXY surging amid geopolitics; G10s pressured across the board. USTs initially gapped higher, before waning as traders assess the inflationary impacts of the US/Israel-Iran war.Crude surges on weekend geopolitics but capped by potential global economic impact; Precious metals see haven appeal.Looking ahead, highlights include US Final Manufacturing PMI (Feb), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb), Japanese Unemployment Rate (Jan), Speakers including BoE's Taylor & Ramsden, BoC's Kozicki & Macklem, Earnings from Riot Platforms, Norwegian Cruise Line & ASM International.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.Iran launched immediate retaliatory missile and drone attacks against Israel, and multiple US military installations across the Gulf and multiple Gulf states, including the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain.Iran's IRGC declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to international navigation until further notice; IRGC also announced on Sunday that they hit 3 US and UK oil tankers with missiles in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz.US President Trump suggested that the fighting with Iran could go on for four weeks; US Secretary of War Hegseth is to hold a press conference at 08:00EST/13:00GMT.Crude futures surged at the reopen but retreated from best levels, spot gold rallied on a haven bid but then mildly pulled back. APAC stocks were mostly pressured, while European equity futures indicate a drop at the cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.5%.Russia is said to consider a halt in peace talks unless Ukraine cedes land. Talks planned for the week ahead will be decisive on whether or not the sides can agree on terms to end the war.Looking ahead, highlights include German Retail Sales (Jan), EZ/UK/US Final Manufacturing PMIs (Feb), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb), Japanese Unemployment Rate (Jan), Speakers including BoE's Taylor & Ramsden, BoC's Kozicki & Macklem, Earnings from Riot Platforms, Norwegian Cruise Line & ASM International.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

PBoC announced it will cut the FX Risk Reserve Ratio for forward FX sales to 0% from 20%, effective March 2nd to promote FX market development and support corporate exchange rate risk management.European equities firmer, Telecoms lead following potential M&A; US equity futures lower in the continuation of Thursday's tech-led selloff.DXY is flat; G10s broadly firmer, ex-EUR and GBP. USTs mildly firmer, Bunds choppy after mixed regional inflation prints.Crude gains and awaits the next chapter of the US-Iran saga and the OPEC+ meeting; Metals shine ahead of US PPI.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI (Feb), Canadian GDP (Jan), US PPI (Jan), Comments from BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were ultimately higher heading into month-end but with price action choppy following the weak handover from the US, where sentiment was clouded by tech weakness, while participants also digested the recent US-Iran talks in Geneva - which ended in no deal.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said they entered serious talks about sanctions relief and the nuclear issue, while he added it was one of the most serious talks they have had with the US, and technical talks will start in Vienna from Monday.Ukrainian President Zelensky said the next trilateral talks will likely occur in the UAE in early March.PBoC announced it will cut the FX Risk Reserve Ratio for forward FX sales to 0% from 20%, effective March 2nd to promote FX market development and support corporate exchange rate risk management.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures flat after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Import Prices (Jan), French/Spanish/German CPI (Feb), German Unemployment Rate (Feb), Canadian GDP (Jan), US PPI (Jan), Comments from BoE's Pill, Earnings from Holcim & BASF.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

At the third round of nuclear talks in Geneva, Omani Foreign Minister says Iran and the US have welcomed proposals and talks are still currently ongoing. Further, "Iranian negotiating delegation meets IAEA director at the headquarters of the negotiations in Geneva", via Al Jazeera.European equities mixed; US equity futures unable to gain following NVIDIA earnings (+0.8% pre-market.)DXY posting modest gains, JPY outperforms on hawkish rhetoric, Cable softer ahead of Gorton and Denton by-election.Global fixed benchmarks are flat awaiting data, supply and Fed speak.Crude benchmarks fall following positive rhetoric from Omani FM, potentially easing tensions.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims, Japanese Tokyo CPI (Feb), Retail Sales (Jan). Speakers include Fed's Bowman, Miran & Goolsbee. Supply from the US. Earnings from CoreWeave, Intuit, Vistra Energy, Autodesk, Dell & Warner Bros Discovery.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks are mostly positive as the majority of the region took its cue from gains on Wall Street, where tech led the advances, and NVIDIA posted stronger-than-expected earnings.US equity futures initially saw support following NVIDIA's earnings results, as the world's most valuable company beat on top and bottom lines, although gains were pared as NVIDIA ultimately returned to flat territory after hours.BoJ's Governor Ueda said there is no change from January to the BoJ's projected timing for hitting its price target, and inflation is expected to re-accelerate from the current slowdown.US VP Vance said they see evidence that Iran is trying to build a nuclear weapon; US Secretary of State Rubio said Iran poses a grave threat and seeks nuclear capability.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.9% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Consumer Confidence Final (Feb), US Jobless Claims, Japanese Tokyo CPI (Feb), Retail Sales (Jan). Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Lombardelli & Fed's Bowman. Supply from Italy & US. Earnings from CoreWeave, Intuit, Vistra Energy, Autodesk, Dell, Baidu, Warner Bros Discovery, Munich Re, Schneider Electric, AXA, Engie & Saint-Gobain.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump talked up the economy in his State of the Union Address, saying that the nation is back, bigger, better and stronger than before, while he added that we've seen nothing yet.Regarding tariffs, Trump said the Supreme Court decision on tariffs is very unfortunate but added that tariffs will remain in place and nearly all countries want to keep the trade deals.European bourses firmer as HSBC lifts the banking sector; US equity futures hold onto Anthropic- driven gains. DXY flat, Aussie outpaces peers post CPI while JPY lags in continuation of recent weakness.JGBs underperform on Takaichi's "reflationist" BoJ candidates; USTs await Fed speak & NVDA.Crude prices rangebound; Spot XAU holds above USD 5200/oz. Looking ahead, highlights include Fed's Musalem, Barkin & Schmid. Supply from the US. Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Snowflake, TJX Companies, Lowe's & Synopsys.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded higher as the region took impetus from the rebound on Wall Street after Anthropic's presentation helped soothe some AI/software concerns, and with tech also bolstered by the USD 60bln Meta-AMD chip deal; Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed flat on Tuesday.US President Trump talked up the economy in his State of the Union Address, saying that the nation is back, bigger, better and stronger than before, while he added that we've seen nothing yet.Regarding tariffs, Trump said the Supreme Court decision on tariffs is very unfortunate but added that tariffs will remain in place and nearly all countries want to keep the trade deals.Trump also commented on Iran, which he claimed is working on missiles that could soon reach the US, and noted Iran wants to make a deal but hasn't yet said that it won't pursue nuclear weapons.Antipodeans were firmer amid the positive risk appetite, and with AUD/USD leading the advances following firmer-than-expected monthly CPI data from Australia.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK (Mar), GDP Final (Q4), Swiss Sentiment (Feb), EZ HICP Final (Jan). Speakers include RBA's Bullock, Fed's Musalem, Barkin & Schmid. Supply from Germany & US. Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Snowflake, TJX Companies, Lowe's, Synopsys & Bayer.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses slip as AI concerns hit European Banks; US equity futures rebound slightly.JPY dragged on reports PM Takaichi raised reservations about rate hikes to BoJ Governor Ueda; DXY slightly firmer.Gilts notch a fresh contract high into the TSC, USTs rangebound heading into heavy speaker docket.WTI and Brent mildly gains; Spot gold retreats from Monday's best while Copper gains as mainland China returns. Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly, House Prices (Dec), Consumer Confidence (Feb), Dallas/Richmond Fed (Feb), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBH Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Greene, Taylor & Pill, Fed's Goolsbee, Collins, Bostic, Waller, Cook & Barkin, Supply from the US, Earnings from Home Depot & Keurig Dr Pepper.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC mostly firmer as China returned, somewhat shrugging off the weak Wall St. finish on AI disruption concerns.DXY marginally firmer, EUR/USD directionless, while USD/JPY edged higher and above 155.00.USTs pulled back from Monday's best, Bunds remained near highs, while JGBs saw choppy action after the long weekend.Crude remained tentative amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, XAU faded while copper rallied as China returned.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly, House Prices (Dec), Consumer Confidence (Feb), Dallas/Richmond Fed (Feb), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBH Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Lombardelli, Greene, Taylor & Pill, Fed's Goolsbee, Collins, Bostic, Waller, Cook & Barkin, Supply from UK, Italy & US, Earnings from Home Depot & Keurig Dr Pepper.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

President Trump raised the blanket tariff rate to 15% from 10% over the weekend, following SCOTUS ruling against IEEPA tariffs on Friday; EU is set to freeze trade deal approval over US President Trump's tariff risk, Bloomberg reports.European equities mixed; Defence names hit as Hungary blocks further funding.DXY pressured on renewed uncertainty after Trump increases global tariffs to 15%.Fixed income relatively contained and awaiting further tariff updates.WTI and Brent rangebound ahead of US-Iran talks this week; Spot XAU regains USD 5k/oz handle.US President Trump reportedly considers a targeted strike on Iran, followed by a larger attack and is open to deposing the Supreme Leader by force if Iran is stubborn, according to the NYT.Looking ahead, highlights include Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec/Jan). Speakers include BoE's Taylor, Fed's Waller & ECB's Lagarde. Earnings from Hims & Hers.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mixed amid trade uncertainty as the region digested the latest tariff developments after the US Supreme Court ruled against IEEPA tariffs on Friday, prompting President Trump to impose a global 10% flat-rate tariff, which he later raised to 15% over the weekend.US officials said that tariff deal partners should honour their agreements, while USTR Greer said he sought to separate the tariff agreements from the 15% global tariff that US President Trump announced.European Parliament's trade chief is to propose freezing the ratification of the EU's trade agreement with the US until they receive details from the Trump administration regarding its trade policy.Goldman Sachs analysts indicate that most Asian economies will experience slightly lower US tariffs after the Supreme Court ruling on IEEPA tariffs, with China expected to see the largest decline.US President Trump reportedly considers a targeted strike on Iran, followed by a larger attack and is open to deposing the Supreme Leader by force if Iran is stubborn, according to the NYT.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo (Feb), Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Dec/Jan). Speakers include BoE's Taylor & Fed's Waller. Supply from the EU, Earnings from Hims & Hers.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump reportedly weighs limited strike to force Iran into nuclear deal, according to WSJ; President considers a range of military options but says he still prefers diplomacy.European equities rebound from Thursday's losses, Moncler supports the luxury sector; US equity futures taking impetus from its EZ counterparts.USD slightly firmer, GBP mildly benefits on strong Retail Sales/PMIs, JPY weaker post-CPI.A UK surplus supports Gilts while Bunds fade from highs as Manufacturing returns to expansion.Crude slightly softer as focus remains on US and Iran; Precious metals maintain their shine amid geopolitical uncertainty.Looking Ahead, highlights include US S&P Flash PMIs (Feb), US PCE/GDP (Dec/Q4), Canadian Retail Sales (Jan), SCOTUS Opinions day (potential decision on President Trump's IEEPA tariffs). Speakers include Fed's Logan & Bostic.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk