Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

APAC stocks began the week mixed amid several holiday closures throughout the week and the ongoing US government shutdown.Nikkei 225 rallied, JPY fell and the JGB curve steepened amid hopes of fiscal loosening and a delay to BoJ policy normalisation following Sanae Takaichi's LDP leadership victory.Crude futures gained after OPEC+ producers agreed to a modest production increase of 137k bpd in November.Israel and Hamas are preparing for mediated negotiations on Monday in Egypt; hopes for a ceasefire have increased.NEC Director Hassett commented that mass layoffs of federal workers will begin if President Trump sees that shutdown talks are going nowhere.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Construction PMI (Sep), Sentix (Oct), Retail Sales (Aug), US Employment Trends (Sep), New Zealand NZIER (Q3), BoE's Bailey, ECB's de Guindos, Lane, Escriva & Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses and US futures are firmer into a quieter than initially scheduled session on account of the gov't shutdown, ES +0.3%.DXY underpressure, down to a 97.70 trough. JPY is the relative laggard after remarks from Ueda, NZD continues to climb.USTs await ISM Services, Bunds unreactive to PMI revisions and remarks from Lagarde re. Knot. Gilts are attentive to the OBR's first forecast round.Crude saw fleeting upside on Hamas asking for more time to consult on Trump's Gaza plan, XAU pauses for breath.Looking ahead, US Final Composite PMIs (Sep), ISM Services (Sep), ECB's Schnabel, Fed's Williams, Jefferson, BoE's Bailey.Due to the US government shutdown, the following data will not be released: US NFP (Sep).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly firmer, taking their cue from Wall Street's gains amid light newsflow, whilst the looming delay of the US jobs report due to the government shutdown keeps focus on Fed speak and ISM data.US President Trump said he is considering taxpayer rebates of USD 1,000–2,000 funded by tariff revenue, according to Reuters.USD/JPY saw upside momentum as BoJ Governor Ueda stressed the importance of maintaining an accommodative monetary environment to support the economy.European equity futures are indicative of a mildly firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after cash closed +1.1% on Thursday.Highlights include Turkish CPI (Sep), EZ & UK Final Composite PMIs (Sep), EZ Producer Prices (Aug), ISM Services (Sep), ECB's Lagarde, Schnabel, Fed's Williams, Jefferson, BoE's Bailey.Due to the US government shutdown, the following data will not be released: US NFP (Sep)Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are mostly higher as the solid start to the quarter continues, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.3%; US futures marginally extend on Wednesday's gains, ES +0.3%DXY currently lower for a 5th consecutive session, peers modestly firmer across the board with JPY leadingEGBs softer into supply but despite mixed/tepid taps the complex has lifted back to initial marginal peaks, USTs flat with the docket thinner than usualCrude began firmer but has since pulled back to lows despite a lack of newsflow, spot gold has taken a slight breather while base metals remain underpinnedLooking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs (Sep), Chicago Fed BLS Unemployment forecast, BoJ's Uchida, Fed's Logan, ECB's de Guindos, BoC's MendesDue to the US government shutdown, the following US data will not be released: Weekly Claims, Factory Orders (Aug), Durable Goods Rev. (Aug)Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were firmer, with gains across the board following a positive handover from Wall Street, where tech outperformed, whilst the US jobs reports this week look set to be delayed after CR votes failed again on Wednesday, as expected.Fitch said a US government shutdown does not have near-term implications for the ‘AA+'/stable US sovereign rating; S&P estimated the shutdown could reduce GDP growth by 0.1–0.2 ppts per week.10yr JGB futures came under pressure after the 10yr JGB auction, which printed a lower cover ratio than the prior sale and followed the recent 2yr JGB auction that saw the weakest cover ratio since 2009.The US will provide Ukraine with intelligence for missile strikes deep inside Russia, and US officials are asking NATO allies to provide similar support, via WSJ.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI (Sep), EZ Unemployment (Aug), US Challenger Layoffs (Sep), BoJ's Uchida, Fed's Logan, ECB's de Guindos, BoC's Mendes, Supply from Spain, France, and the UK.Due to the US government shutdown, the following US data will not be released: Weekly Claims, Factory Orders (Aug), Durable Goods Rev. (Aug).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Government has officially gone into a shutdown. Weighing on the general risk tone in the early morning and the USD.European bourses have since bounce and extended to highs, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%; Healthcare leading. Stateside, futures remain lower awaiting data, ES -0.3%.DXY delved as low as 97.46 before recovering modestly, JPY tops the leaderboard, GBP & EUR both firmer though EUR losing some steam more recently.USTs contained awaiting data and shutdown updates, Bunds hit by soft supply, Gilts lag on Reeves.Crude initially steady but under increasing pressure this morning, XAU has resumed its ascent.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP (Sep), ISM Manufacturing (Sep), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes, Fedʼs Barkin, ECBʼs Elderson, de Guindos, Rehn, BoCʼs Rogers.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed following modest gains on Wall Street, with focus on the length of the US government shutdown after the Senate rejected the House-passed CR, whilst Chinese participants were away for Golden Week.The Senate has rejected the House-passed CR (as expected), cementing a shutdown, while House and Senate GOP leaders will hold a 10 a.m. (15:00 BST) news conference Wednesday, according to Politico, citing sources.BoJ Tankan Survey came in mixed and not strong enough to trigger hawkish repricing. Pricing tilted incrementally dovish as the dust settled, with a BoJ official noting firms were divided on the impact of US tariffs.The OPEC Secretariat firmly rejected media reports alleging that the OPEC-8 countries are planning to increase production by 500k bpd, calling the claims wholly inaccurate and misleading. Looking ahead, highlights include EZ & UK Final Manufacturing PMI (Sep), EZ Flash HICP (Sep), US ADP (Sep), ISM Manufacturing (Sep), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes, Fed's Barkin, ECB's Elderson, de Guindos, Rehn, BoC's Rogers, supply from UK and Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses & US futures modestly lower into a session of data & Fed speak, awaiting updates on the increasingly likely US gov't shutdown.DXY extending on recent pressure, EUR and GBP both firmer, JPY bid for a 3rd consecutive session, AUD bolstered by a hawkish-hold.Fixed benchmarks hit highs on cooler French HICP but have since trimmed with EGBs in the red after hotter German State CPIs, mainland due shortlyCrude continues to falter, XAU hit another ATH but has since come under pressure.Looking ahead, highlights include US Consumer Confidence, JOLTS Job Openings. Speakers include RBA's Bullock, ECB's Cipollone, Elderson, Fed's Goolsbee, BoE's Lombardelli, Mann, Breeden. Earnings from Nike, Lamb Weston.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded flat/mixed following a mostly but modestly firmer handover from Wall Street, with focus on the looming US government shutdown and the possibility of delayed NFP. Meanwhile, the White House announcement of further tariff details overnight capped upside in sentiment.The White House announced tariffs, including a 10% levy on timber and lumber from 14th October, alongside 25% duties on cabinets and vanities, with further hikes on cabinets and upholstered furniture set for 1st January unless trade deals are reached.Punchbowl's Sherman said that from listening to Schumer, Jeffries, and Vance, it does not sound like there was a breakthrough in the meeting, adding that a shutdown is around the corner.BoJ Summary of Opinions noted one member suggested it may be time to consider raising the policy interest rate again, while another said the BoJ gains more information on the US outlook by waiting, and one argued the Bank should maintain accommodative conditions at this point.RBA maintained its Cash Rate at 3.60%, as expected, in a unanimous decision, noting that the decline in underlying inflation has slowedLooking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Q2), French CPI Prelim (Sep), German CPI Prelim (Sep), Italian CPI Prelim (Sep), US Consumer Confidence, JOLTS Job Openings. Speakers include RBA's Bullock, ECB's Lagarde, Cipollone, Elderson, Fed's Logan, Jefferson, Goolsbee, BoE's Lombardelli, Mann, Breeden. Earnings from Nike, Lamb Weston.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A firmer start to the week for equities, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%, ES +0.5%; focus on a packed labour market agenda for the week and the looming US gov't shutdown.President Trump will be meeting with congressional leaders at 20:00BST/15:00ET; ahead of this, Trump has said if the Democrats refuse to make a deal "the country closes".USD pulling back from last week's data induced gains, JPY leads into a packed week and supported by BoJ's Noguchi. EUR & GBP also firmerFixed benchmarks in the green, Bunds lead after mostly cooler-than-expected Spanish flash figures, Gilts await Chancellor ReevesCrude curtaield by OPEC+ production reports, XAU at another ATH, Copper posting modest gainsLooking ahead, highlights include ECB's Cipollone, Muller, Kazaks, Schnabel, Lane, BoE's Ramsden, Fed's Waller, Hammack, Musalem, Williams, Bostic. Events include Bank of Israel Announcement, Labour Party Conference (29th Sept - 1st Oct). Earnings from Jefferies, Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks eventually traded mostly firmer following the positive Wall Street performance on Friday, albeit participants remain cautious ahead of a risk-packed week that culminates with Friday's US jobs report.US President Trump said he will discuss the looming government shutdown with congressional leaders on Monday and believes Democrats may want to make a deal; he added that if Democrats refuse to make a deal, "the country closes", according to Reuters.The Trump administration is reportedly considering tariffs on foreign electronic devices based on the number of chips in each device, according to Reuters sources.OPEC+ will likely raise oil production quotas by at least 137k bpd at its October 5th meeting, according to Reuters, citing sources.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.3% after cash closed +1.0% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish CPI Flash (Sep), EZ Sentiment (Sep). ECB's Cipollone, Muller, Kazaks, Schnabel, Lane, BoE's Ramsden, Fed's Waller, Hammack, Musalem, Williams, Bostic, and UK Chancellor Reeves. Events include Bank of Israel Announcement, Labour Party Conference (29th Sept - 1st Oct). Earnings from Jefferies, Carnival.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Pharmaceuticals, 50% tariffs on all Kitchen Cabinets, Bathroom Vanities, and associated products, a 30% tariff on Upholstered Furniture, and a 25% tariff will be imposed on all “Heavy Trucks” made in other parts of the world.European bourses seemingly shrug off Trump's latest barrage of tariffs; US equity futures trade tentatively into US PCE.USD rally pauses for breath ahead of PCE; EUR unmoved by ECB Survey of Consumer Expectations, which saw the 1- and 5-year forecasts rise.Crude is slightly lower in very quiet trade, XAU/USTs are rangebound awaiting data.Looking ahead, US PCE (Aug), US University of Michigan Final (Sep), Fed's Barkin, Bowman.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Pharmaceuticals, 50% tariffs on all Kitchen Cabinets, Bathroom Vanities, and associated products, a 30% tariff on Upholstered Furniture, and a 25% tariff will be imposed on all “Heavy Trucks” made in other parts of the world.US President Trump signed an executive order on TikTok, saying he had good talks with Chinese President Xi and that China is fully on board. EU plans to impose tariffs of 25–50% on Chinese steel and related products, according to Reuters, citing Handelsblatt.APAC stocks traded mostly lower after being subdued for a bulk of the session following a similar performance stateside.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly firmer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.4% after cash closed -0.3% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include US PCE (Aug), US University of Michigan Final (Sep), ECB's Cipollone, Lagarde, Fed's Barkin, Bowman, and supply from Italy.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is to sign executive orders at 15:30 ET (20:30 BST) on Thursday; potentially on TikTokThe White House Budget Office instructed federal agencies to prepare workforce reduction plans for potential mass layoffs amid the threat of a government shutdown, according to Politico.European bourses are lower and have recently made fresh troughs after the European Commission investigates SAP; US equity futures trade tentatively into a packed US data slate and Fed speak.USD is steady, Antipodeans lead whilst the Swiss Franc lags a touch.USTs are flat awaiting catalysts; Bunds are firmer amidst a subdued risk tone in Europe, Gilts little moved following a well-received tender.Crude is on the backfoot while XAU resumes its climb; Copper continues to build on the prior day's strength.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods (Aug), GDP Final (Q2), PCE Final (Q2), Jobless Claims, Advance Goods Trade Balance (Aug), Banxico Announcement; Speakers include Fed's Goolsbee, Williams, Schmid, Bowman, Logan, Barr, Daly, and supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed for most of the session before eventually tilting modestly higher, following a softer Wall Street handover.US President Trump is expected to sign the TikTok deal on Thursday, according to Semafor, citing an official; US President Trump is to sign executive orders at 15:30 ET (20:30 BST) on Thursday.The White House Budget Office instructed federal agencies to prepare workforce reduction plans for potential mass layoffs amid the threat of a government shutdown, according to Politico.Unidentified drones were observed over four airports across Denmark, causing one of them to close for several hours, according to Danish police.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Sentiment (Oct), US Durable Goods (Aug), GDP Final (Q2), PCE Final (Q2), Jobless Claims, Advance Goods Trade Balance (Aug), SNB Announcement, Banxico Announcement; Speakers include SNB's Schlegel, Fed's Goolsbee, Williams, Schmid, Bowman, Logan, Barr, Daly, and supply from UK, US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are modestly lower; US equity futures are incrementally firmer/flat.USD is attempting to atone for recent losses. EUR digests soft German Ifo.Fixed benchmarks are firmer; Bunds caught a bid on softer-than-expected German Ifo metrics.Crude briefly boosted by reports that Israel's army has taken "another step" in the plan to occupy Gaza city; XAU takes a breather from recent upside.Looking ahead, highlights include Supply from the US; Speeches from BoE's Greene, Fed's Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks eventually traded mixed following the subdued lead from Wall Street; Japanese markets returned from holiday, Chinese markets were choppy before posting gains.Fed Chair Powell said that towards the next meeting, the Fed will look at labour market, growth data, and inflation data to assess whether policy is in the right place, adding that if it is not, they will move it there.DXY edged higher throughout the APAC session, EUR/USD briefly dipped under 1.1800, AUD was boosted by Aussie CPI, JPY weakened slightly post-PMI.US President Trump shifted his stance on Ukraine and said he thinks Ukraine, with the support of the EU, is in a position to fight and "win" all of Ukraine back in its original form.OpenAI, Oracle (ORCL), and Softbank (9984 JT) announced five new US data centres; NVIDIA (NVDA) director Mark A. Stevens sold over 350k common shares.European equity futures are indicative of a softer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.4% after cash closed +0.6% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo Survey (Sep), Supply from Italy, UK, Germany, US, Speeches from BoE's Greene, Fed's Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses gradually climb higher and currently at peaks; US equity futures are flat awaiting Fed Chair Powell.GBP hit by soft PMI, Eurozone data showed diverging fortunes for manufacturing and services.USTs are essentially flat; Gilts modestly out-edge peers following disappointing flash PMI metrics.Crude initially in the red but have managed to climb higher, XAU at another ATH, catching a bid on reports that China aims to become custodian of foreign gold reserves.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs (Sep), US Richmond Fed Index, NBH Policy Announcement; Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Powell, Bostic, Bowman, ECB's Cipollone, BoC's Macklem, US President Trump at UN General Assembly; Supply from the US; Earnings from Micron.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks eventually traded mixed as the positive sentiment from Wall Street failed to sustain during APAC trade despite a lack of fresh catalysts. there was an absence of Japanese volume as participants were away due to the Autumnal Equinox holiday.OpenAI and NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership to deploy 10 gigawatts of NVIDIA systems, with NVIDIA to invest up to USD 100bln in OpenAI.US President Trump to speak at 09:50 ET /14:50 BST at the UN General Assembly; EU and E3 to meet the Iranian Foreign Minister at 10:00ET / 15:00 BST on Tuesday.European equity futures are indicative of a flat/firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 Future +0.1% after cash closed with losses of 0.3% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Sep), US Richmond Fed Index, Riksbank Announcement; NBH Policy Announcement; Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Powell, Bostic, Bowman, ECB's Cipollone, BoC's Macklem, US President Trump at UN General Assembly; Supply from Netherlands, UK, Germany, US; Earnings from Micron, Kingfisher.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US lawmakers face a deadline of September 30th to pass a funding bill to avoid a government shutdown. Members of the Senate are not scheduled to return to Washington until September 29th, and House lawmakers are not due to return until October 7th, according to NBC.European and US equity futures are broadly lower; ASML +2.5% boosted after a broker upgrade.USD trims post-FOMC upside ahead of a slew of Fed speak; GBP and EUR leads.Fixed paper broadly higher as markets await a deluge of Fed speakers.Crude initially firmer but has slipped in recent trade; XAU makes a fresh ATH at USD 3,726/oz, with geopols in focus.Looking ahead, Canadian Producer Prices (Aug); Speakers include BoE's Pill, Bailey, Fed's Williams, Musalem, Barkin, Hammack, BoC's Kozicki.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed after Chinese markets failed to benefit from the phone call between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi on Friday, with some citing a lack of concrete progress.US lawmakers face a deadline of September 30th to pass a funding bill to avoid a government shutdown. Members of the Senate are not scheduled to return to Washington until September 29th, and House lawmakers are not due to return until October 7th, according to NBC.Estonia triggered NATO Article 4 after three Russian MiG-31 jets entered its airspace on Friday, while Germany scrambled fighter jets to track a Russian plane over the Baltic Sea over the weekend.European equity futures are indicative of an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures U/C after the cash market closed flat on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Sep), Canadian Producer Prices (Aug); Speakers include BoE's Pill, Bailey, Fed's Williams, Musalem, Barkin, Hammack, BoC's Kozicki; Supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50%, as expected, but surprised markets with the announcement to begin selling ETF and J-REIT holdings.European bourses are mostly higher whilst US equity futures are flat.USD extends its winning streak, GBP underperforms and is pressured by woeful borrowing data, which puts added pressure on UK Chancellor Reeves.USTs are slightly lower awaiting Fed speak, JGBs hit on the BoJ, Gilts lag after concerning borrowing data.Crude is on the backfoot, whilst Spot gold is firmer awaiting the Trump-Xi meeting.Looking ahead, Canadian Retail Sales (Jul), Quad Witching, Trump-Xi phone call. Speakers including Fed's Daly, Miran, & Former Fed President Bullard.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50%, as expected, but surprised markets with the announcement to begin selling ETF and J-REIT holdings.US President Trump said he will be harsh if he has to ask Russian President Putin for a ceasefire, but it doesn't feel like the time to do so.US President Trump reportedly seeks to speed up large power projects to meet AI demand.APAC stocks traded mixed as the region only partially sustained the momentum from Wall St, where the S&P 500, DJIA and NDX climbed to fresh record highs.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures flat after the cash market closed with gains of 1.6% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Retail Sales (Aug), German Producer Prices (Aug), Canadian Retail Sales (Jul), Quad Witching, Trump-Xi phone call, Speakers include BoJ Governor Ueda, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Fed's Daly, Miran, & Former Fed President Bullard.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are stronger today and trade just off highs; US equity futures also gain, with modest outperformance in the RTY.China drops Google (GOOG) antitrust probe during US trade talks, according to FTDXY trims some post-FOMC gains this morning; NZD plumbs the depths on GDP.Bonds are mixed in the aftermath of the FOMC; Gilts await the BoE.Crude is subdued and precious metals hold an upward bias.Looking ahead, US Jobless Claims, New Zealand Trade Balance (Aug), BoE Announcement, SARB Announcement, Speakers include ECBʼs Nagel, US President Trump & UK PM Starmer press conference. Earnings from FedEx & Lennar.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Fed cut rates by 25bps to 4.00-4.25%, as expected, citing a shift in risk balance. Bowman and Waller joined consensus, calling for a 25bps reduction; new Governor Miran dissented, preferring a 50bps cut.Nine of the 19 Fed officials see two additional cuts in 2025, two see one cut, and six see no more reductions.Fed Chair Powell said he doesn't feel the need to move quickly on rates, and that “you could think of the cut as a risk management cut”, and that decisions will be taken on a meeting-by-meeting approach.Markets saw an initial dovish reaction to the FOMC statement followed by a hawkish reversal heading into and during Chair Powell's press conference. Fed rate cut in December still fully priced in.APAC stocks traded mixed following the choppy reaction to the FOMC meeting; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims, New Zealand Trade Balance (Aug), BoE Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement, SARB Announcement, Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos, Nagel & Schnabel, US President Trump & UK PM Starmer press conference, Supply from Spain, France & US, Earnings from FedEx & Lennar.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

White House said it was further extending the TikTok enforcement delay, with the deadline to sell TikTok extended until December 16th.European bourses are mixed; NQ saw fleeting pressure on reports that China ordered tech firms to stop buying NVIDIA's AI chips; NVIDIA -0.9% pre-market.USD is a touch firmer as markets brace for today's FOMC announcementNVIDIA pressure lifts fixed income to highs pre-FOMC, Gilts outperform after the region's inflation report which was broadly in-line but as Services cooled a touch.Crude trades with modest losses; Dollar strength weighs on gold.Looking ahead, New Zealand GDP (Q2), US Atlanta Fed GDP, FOMC Announcement, BoC Announcement, BCB Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Nagel, Fed Chair Powell, BoC's Macklem & US President Trump. Earnings from General Mills.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed with global risk sentiment cautious ahead of the crucial FOMC policy decision.White House said it was further extending the TikTok enforcement delay, with the deadline to sell TikTok extended until December 16th.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.3% on Tuesday.DXY is flat after yesterday's selling pressure. EUR/USD retains a firm footing on a 1.18 handle, GBP awaits UK inflation metrics.USTs and Bunds are steady. Crude futures slightly eased back from this week's peak.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB Wage Tracker, UK Inflation (Aug), EZ HICP Final (Aug), New Zealand GDP (Q2), US Atlanta Fed GDP, FOMC Announcement, BoC Announcement, BCB Announcement, Bank of Indonesia Announcement, ECB's Lagarde, Nagel, Cipollone, Fed Chair Powell, BoC's Macklem & US President Trump, Supply from Germany & UK, Earnings from General Mills.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Appeals Court declined to allow Trump to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook; Cook can attend the FOMC's September 16th-17th meeting.US Senate voted 48-47 to confirm US President Trump's Fed nominee Miran to join the Fed board.European bourses opened flat but sentiment dipped a touch to display a mostly negative picture; US equity futures are modestly firmer; NVDA little moved on reports of “lukewarm” demand for its RTX6000D AI chip.DXY in the doldrums as the clock ticks down to the FOMC; GBP was little moved to an in-line Jobs Report.USTs are essentially flat into Retail Sales and supply; Bunds pressured following ZEW and a relatively soft German auction.Crude futures slip with reports of the 19th sanctions package delayed; XAU makes a fresh ATH.Looking ahead, US Retail Sales (Aug) and Industrial Production (Aug), Import Prices (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP, Canadian CPI (Aug) & ECB's Escriva, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed amid some cautiousness ahead of upcoming risk events and despite the fresh record levels on Wall St.US Appeals Court declined to allow Trump to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook; Cook can attend the FOMC's September 16th-17th meeting.US Senate voted 48-47 to confirm US President Trump's Fed nominee Miran to join the Fed board.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.9% on Monday.DXY is a touch softer, extending on yesterday's downside. JPY marginally outperforms, whilst antipodeans lag.Crude futures marginally extended on the prior advances. 10yr UST futures plateaued overnight after catching a bid yesterdayLooking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs Report (Jul), Italian CPI Final (Aug), EZ Industrial Production (Jul), Labour Costs (Q2), German ZEW Survey (Sep), US Retail Sales (Aug) and Industrial Production (Aug), Import Prices (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP, Canadian CPI (Aug), RBA's Hauser & ECB's Escriva, Supply from Germany, UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US and China day two talks are underway; overnight, FT reported that there has been a lack of progress, potentially reducing the odds of a Beijing summit. Recently, US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the US and China made good progress on technical details.Crude benchmarks are higher amid a softer USD and after President Trump said he is ready to impose sanctions on Russia, once NATO stops buying Russian oil. Most recently, Russia's Kremlin says NATO is fighting Russia.NVIDIA hit in the pre-market, weighing on the NQ and broader sentiment, as China said NVIDIA violated antitrust laws; European bourses off best, but still firmer, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.6%.Fitch downgraded France to A+ (prev. AA-), sparking modest OAT-Bund widening though levels remain orderly. EUR is unreactive, GBP leads with the DXY softer.Gold had an initial upward bias with the focus on geopols, though off best. Base metals capped by soft Chinese data.Looking ahead, NY Fed Manufacturing (Sep), Speakers including ECB's Schnabel, Rehn & Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed, with the region somewhat cautious as participants digested disappointing Chinese activity data.The lack of progress in US talks with China on tariffs and fentanyl is said to have reduced the chances of a Beijing summit, according to the FT.Fitch cut France's sovereign rating from AA- to A+; Outlook Revised to Stable from Negative; OATs -11 ticks.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.1% on Friday.In FX, DXY is steady and FX markets are contained heading into a week, which is set to be dominated by central bank activity.US President Trump said he is ready to impose major sanctions on Russia when all NATO nations have agreed and started to do the same thing, and when all NATO nations stop buying oil from Russia.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Price Index (Aug), NY Fed Manufacturing (Sep), Speakers including ECB's Schnabel, Rehn & Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He and other senior Chinese officials next week in Madrid, while Bessent and He are to discuss key US-China national security, economic and trade issues.US equity futures are lower across the board, RTY lags. European bourses began marginally firmer, but have since waned.USD attempts to recover from the pressure seen on Thursday's data, DXY at highs, while the JPY lags.Fixed income is in the red, though USTs are set to end the week near-enough unchanged. Gilts are the relative outperformer post-GDP.Crude began in the red, extending to a new WTD low before bouncing and recouping some of Thursday's pressure. Metals firmer despite the USD strength.Looking ahead, highlights include US University of Michigan Prelim (Sep), CBR Announcement, Credit Rating Reviews for France & Spain. US President Trump on Fox.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He and other senior Chinese officials next week in Madrid, while Bessent and He are to discuss key US-China national security, economic and trade issues.US President Trump's administration asked the US appeals court to pause a ruling that blocked the removal of Fed's Cook.ECB rate cut debate is said to not be over, but October is seen as too soon, and the next real discussion is more likely in December, according to Reuters sources.APAC stocks were mostly higher following the gains on Wall St; European equity futures indicate a marginally positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.5% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI Final (Aug), UK GDP (Jul), French Final CPI (Aug), Spanish Final CPI (Aug), US University of Michigan Prelim (Sep), CBR Announcement, ECB Publication of ECB staff macroeconomic projections for the euro area, Credit Rating Reviews for France & Spain.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are modestly firmer, whilst US equity futures are mixed ahead of the ECB and US CPI.DXY is firmer and towards session highs; JPY underperforms, with USD/JPY rising to just shy of the 148.00 mark.USTs and Bunds are a touch softer into ECB/US CPI and a 30-year auction following a strong 3- and 10-year outing earlier this week.Industrial commodities and gold are subdued, awaiting key risk events; some modest upticks seen on Poland, Ukraine & Lithuania, calling the recent Russian drone incursion an “unprecedented” provocation.Looking ahead, US CPI (Aug) & Jobless Claims, ECB Policy Announcement & Press Conference, CBRT Announcement, OPEC Monthly Report, Supply from the US, and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks followed suit to the mixed performance stateside, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq printed fresh record highs.US President Trump's administration appealed the court ruling blocking the removal of Fed Governor Cook.US Senate Republicans are aiming to confirm President Trump's temporary Federal Reserve pick Stephen Miran as soon as Monday, according to Politico, citing two sourcesEU is reportedly very unlikely to impose crippling tariffs on India or China, the main buyers of Russian oil, as US President Trump urged the bloc to do so, according to Reuters citing EU sources.European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures U/C after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Aug) & Jobless Claims, ECB Policy Announcement & Press Conference, CBRT Announcement, IEA & OPEC Monthly Report, Supply from Italy and the US, and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Poland said its airspace was repeatedly violated by drones during today's attack by Russia on Ukraine; Poland shot down Russian drones after 'unprecedented airspace violation'. Polish PM Tusk says Poland asked to evoke Article 4 of NATO treaty.US President Trump reportedly asked the EU to hit China and India with 100% tariffs to pressure Russian President Putin to end the war.US judge temporarily blocked President Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Cook.European bourses started off stronger, but then slipped after Polish PM asks to evoke Article 4; Oracle +29% post-earnings.DXY is incrementally lower whilst Antipodeans lead.Bunds briefly bolstered by NATO remarks. Complex awaits US data and supply.Crude and gold rise as NATO member Poland downs drones above its territory.Looking ahead, US PPI (Aug), Wholesale Sales (Jul), Comments from SNB's Schlegel, Supply from US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Poland said its airspace was repeatedly violated by drones during today's attack by Russia on Ukraine; Poland shot down Russian drones after 'unprecedented airspace violation'.US President Trump reportedly asked the EU to hit China and India with 100% tariffs to pressure Russian President Putin to end the war.US judge temporarily blocked President Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Cook.French President Macron appointed Sebastien Lecornu as new PM, according to BFM.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.1% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian CPI (Aug), US PPI (Aug), Wholesale Sales (Jul), Comments from SNB's Schlegel, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Global equity futures are modestly mixed; Anglo American & Teck merge to create a USD 50bln mining giant.USD is a little lower whilst JPY soars amid hawkish BoJ reports.OAT-Bund 10yr spread a little wider in the aftermath of French PM Bayrou's removal, JGBs hit by BoJ sources.BoJ reportedly sees some chance of hiking this year, despite the political situation, via Bloomberg citing sources; likely to keep rates unchanged on September 19thCrude rebounds and metals non-committal awaiting the next impetus.Looking ahead, US NFP Prelim. Benchmark Revisions, Apple Event, Comments from BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

French PM Bayrou lost the confidence vote in the National Assembly, as expected; French President Macron said he will name a new PM in the coming days.UK Chancellor Reeves is to tell ministers to prioritise the fight against inflation in a Cabinet meeting today, according to FT.US Senate Banking panel to vote on Miran's Fed nomination on September 10th, according to Bloomberg.European equity futures indicate a marginally lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.4% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.8% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include French Industrial Output, US NFP Prelim. Benchmark Revisions, Apple Event, Comments from BoE's Breeden, Supply from Netherlands, UK, Germany & US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Japanese PM Ishiba said he has decided to resign as LDP president and gave instructions to hold an emergency LDP leadership election; LDP is making final arrangements for a leadership vote on October 4th, according to TBS.US President Trump said Waller, Warsh and Hassett are the three finalists for the Fed chair nomination.US-China trade talks have reportedly made little progress towards a deal, and an impasse was hit on the fentanyl issue, according to WSJ.European bourses hold a positive bias, whilst US equities futures are incrementally firmer/flat.JPY lags as Japanese PM Ishiba resigns, EUR eyes the French PM's confidence vote later today.USTs/Bunds are essentially flat; more focus on Japan's emergency LDP election; OATs await France.Crude gains post OPEC and amid geopolitics; Gold soars to another ATH.Eight OPEC+ members agreed to raise the oil production by 137k bpd in October (as touted), citing a steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals.Looking ahead, US Employment Trends (Aug), NY Fed SCE & French Confidence Vote.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Japanese PM Ishiba said he has decided to resign as LDP president and gave instructions to hold an emergency LDP leadership election; LDP is making final arrangements for a leadership vote on October 4th, according to TBS.US President Trump said Waller, Warsh and Hassett are the three finalists for the Fed chair nomination.US-China trade talks have reportedly made little progress towards a deal, and an impasse was hit on the fentanyl issue, according to WSJ.Eight OPEC+ members agreed to raise the oil production by 137k bpd in October (as touted), citing a steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.5% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output (Jul), Trade Balance (Jul), EZ Sentix Index (Sep), US Employment Trends (Aug) & NY Fed SCE.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he would be placing chip tariffs “very shortly,” which will be “fairly substantial”, but signalled Apple (AAPL) and others will be safe during his dinner with tech CEOs at the White House on Thursday, according to CNBC.US President Trump said they are going to get the war in Ukraine settled; US Defense Department said two Venezuelan military aircraft flew near a US Navy vessel in international waters.European bourses are mostly firmer but with trade tentative ahead of NFP; Broadcom +7% after strong results.USTs are incrementally firmer whilst USD dips awaiting US NFP; Gilts lead after Retail Sales.Crude was pressured but now flat pre-OPEC, Gold holds around USD 3,550/oz into the US jobs report.Looking ahead, US Jobs Report (Aug), Canadian Jobs Report (Aug).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he would be placing chip tariffs “very shortly,” which will be “fairly substantial”, but signalled Apple (AAPL) and others will be safe during his dinner with tech CEOs at the White House on Thursday, according to CNBC.Fed's Williams (voter) reiterated that he expects gradual interest rate cuts over time, while he declined to comment if the market's September rate cut view is correct.US President Trump said they are going to get the war in Ukraine settled; US Defense Department said two Venezuelan military aircraft flew near a US Navy vessel in international waters.APAC stocks mostly took their cues from the gains on Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.4% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders (Jul), French Trade Balance, EZ Employment (Final), GDP Revised (Q2), UK Retail Sales (Aug), EZ GDP Revised (Q2), US Jobs Report (Aug), Canadian Jobs Report (Aug).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses and US equity futures are modestly firmer ahead of US data.USD awaits a data deluge, Antipodeans lag and JPY digests potential US/Japan auto tariff reduction.EGBs and Gilts bounce while USTs remain flat into data; Spanish auction was well received, whilst some short-lived pressure was seen on the French outing.Oil pulls back as traders brace ahead of this weekend's OPEC meeting; some upside in the complex seen after Russian Deputy PM Novak said OPEC-8 are not discussing production increase now.Looking ahead, US ISM Services PMI (Aug), ADP National Employment (Aug), Challenger Layoffs (Aug), Jobless Claims, Atlanta Fed GDP, Canadian Trade Balance (Jul), BoE DMP, Senate Banking Committee to hold hearing for US President Trump's Fed nominee Stephen Miran, Speakers including Fed's Williams & RBA's Hauser.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks followed suit to the mixed performance stateside, where tech and communications outperformed following the Google antitrust ruling, and participants digested dovish data and Fed rhetoric.US President Trump said it is possible that someday tariffs will replace income tax.UK Chancellor Reeves dismissed forecasts of a GBP 50bln "black hole" in the public finances, despite higher borrowing costs and expected tax rises piling pressure on the chancellor ahead of the autumn Budget, according to the BBC.US President Trump said he will find out over the next week or so how good the relationship is with Russia, while he also commented that the US will help Poland protect itself with US soldiers to remain in Poland and will put more there if they wantEuropean equity futures indicate a mildly positive open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.6% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF (Aug), Swiss CPI (Aug), EZ Retail Sales, US ISM Services PMI (Aug), ADP National Employment (Aug), Challenger Layoffs (Aug), Jobless Claims, Atlanta Fed GDP, Canadian Trade Balance (Jul), BoE DMP, Senate Banking Committee to hold hearing for US President Trump's Fed nominee Stephen Miran, Federal Housing Press Conference "In the Matter of Lisa D. Cook", Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Fed's Williams & RBA's Hauser, Supply from Spain, France, UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are broadly in the green; US equity futures are mixed, with clear outperformance in the NQ, boosted by Google (+5.7% pre-market).A US judge ruled Google will not have to sell Chrome or Android in the monopoly case but must share search data with rivals and stop exclusive distribution contracts.Contained trade in FX as an early pick-up in the USD fizzled out ahead of JOLTS.Early rise in yields have since reversed with bonds now bouncing.Crude sinks on reports OPEC+ is mulling another oil production hike; spot gold holds an upward bias after reaching levels near USD 3,550/oz.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods R (Jul), JOLTS Job Openings (Jul), NBP Announcement, Fed Beige Book, BoE's Bailey, Lombardelli, Greene & Taylor, Fed's Musalem & Kashkari.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were predominantly lower following the weak handover from Wall St; sentiment dampened by global debt concerns.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.4% on Tuesday.DXY is holding onto yesterday's gains, JPY and GBP remain softer vs. the USD after a bruising session on Tuesday.USTs lack direction following yesterday's bear-steepening. Bunds are a touch softer, JGB tracked recent losses in global peers.Crude futures lacked conviction after whipsawing yesterday, spot gold is steady after printing another fresh ATH.UK Chancellor Reeves has pencilled in November 26th for the date of the Budget, according to Huffington Post.Looking ahead, highlights include EU Producer Prices, EZ, UK, US Services PMI (Final), US Durable Goods R (Jul), JOLTS Job Openings (Jul), NBP Announcement, Fed Beige Book, BoE's Mann, Breeden, Bailey, Lombardelli, Greene & Taylor, ECB's Lagarde, RBA Governor Bullock, Fed's Musalem & Kashkari, Supply from Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent said he plans to write a brief for the US Solicitor General to file that defends US President Trump's tariffs.European bourses opened mixed but are now mostly lower; US futures also slip, with underperformance in the RTY.GBP and JPY selling helps support DXY into key US data.Political and fiscal turmoil drives yields higher, no move to EZ HICP, USTs await ISM.Crude edges higher despite risk aversion and a firmer dollar, with geopolitics in focus."The Israeli prime minister is holding a meeting to discuss the possibility of full control of the West Bank and measures against the Palestinian Authority", according to Iran International citing i24Looking ahead, US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP, Speakers including ECB's Elderson, Muller & Nagel.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly lower with the region cautious amid a lack of fresh drivers and following the holiday lull stateside.BoJ Deputy Governor Himino reiterated it is appropriate to continue raising interest rates in accordance with improvements in the economy and prices but noted high uncertainty.European equity futures indicate a slightly softer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.3% on Monday.DXY is higher, JPY lags, EUR/USD has reverted back onto a 1.16 handle and antipodeans lag alongside the soft risk tone.Bunds are subdued following the prior day's retreat, crude futures extended the prior day's gains, spot gold hit a fresh record high above USD 3.500/oz. Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Flash HICP (Aug), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP, Speakers including ECB's Elderson & Nagel, and Supply from Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Appeals Court upheld a ruling that most Trump tariffs were illegal but kept them in place as the case proceeds.US was reported on Friday to revoke authorisations for Intel (INTC), SK Hynix (000660 KS) and Samsung (005930 KS) to receive American chipmaking equipment in China unless they obtain licenses, according to the Federal Register.US judge did not rule on the dismissal of Fed Governor Cook on Friday and asked both parties to submit subsequent court documents on Tuesday.APAC stocks traded mixed with sentiment mostly subdued; European equity futures indicate a mildly positive open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.8% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ & UK Manufacturing PMI (Final), EU Unemployment Rate (Jul), New Zealand Terms of Trade (Q2), and Speakers include ECB's Schnabel, Cipollone & Lagarde.Holiday: US Labour Day, Canadian Labour Day: The desk will run until 18:00BST/13:00EDT on Monday 1st September, upon which the desk will close and then re-open at 22:00BST/17:00EDT the same day due to US market closures.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Fed's Waller (voter, dovish dissenter) said the time has come to move policy to a more neutral stance and he would support a 25bps cut at the September meeting and anticipates additional rate cuts over the next 3–6 months.European bourses underperform on ongoing political uncertainty, UK banks hit on tax worries; US equity futures are lower into US PCE.Choppy trade in the USD as markets await Fed's Cook's hearing; GBP underperforms.Bonds are broadly lower; Bunds saw modest upticks on German Retails Sales and softer-than-expected French CPI.Crude declines alongside sentiment, while gold awaits PCE.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI, US PCE (Jul), University of Michigan Final (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP & Canadian GDP (Q2).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk