Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

US President Trump sent trade letters to the EU and Mexico announcing 30% tariffs from August 1st (separate from sectoral tariffs).The EU is planning to "step up engagement" with other nations impacted by US President Trump's tariffs, according to Bloomberg sources.European bourses hampered by US-EU trade developments, US futures also in the red but off worst levels.FX & Fixed markets contained as traders continue to look through Trump tariff threats.Crude modestly boosted by Iran comments, XAU helped by tariff updates.Looking ahead, US President Trump's Comments on Russia, ECB's Cipollone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump sent trade letters to the EU and Mexico announcing 30% tariffs from August 1st (separate from sectoral tariffs).The EU is planning to "step up engagement" with other nations impacted by US President Trump's tariffs, according to Bloomberg sources.APAC stocks were mostly positive but with some cautiousness seen following US President Trump's tariff letters, while the region also reflected on mixed Chinese trade data.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.0% on Friday.DXY is marginally firmer, EUR/USD is only slightly softer despite Trump's tariff announcement, other majors are contained.Looking ahead, highlights include US President Trump's Comments on Russia, ECB's Cipollone, supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced a 35% tariff for Canada and flagged a potential 20% blanket tariff for other countries; US is set to keep the tariff exemption for USMCA goods, according to a US official.Trump also noted the EU will receive a letter by Friday. Ahead of this, European bourses are in the red with sectors (ex-energy, post-BP) following suit.Stateside, futures are lower into a docket headlined by potential trade developments, ES -0.6%.USD extends on its recent recovery, resilient to trade updates. DXY notched a 97.89 peak, G10s broadly under pressure with the JPY lagging.Fixed was lifted by the above updates, since pulled back and moved into the red, a pullback intensified by a hawkish interview with ECB's Schnabel.Choppy trade for crude awaiting developments on numerous in-play factors, precious metals glean from the risk tone while base peers are tarnished.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Jobs, Fitch on Germany, DBRS on Sweden, Speakers including ECB's Cipollone. Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced a 35% tariff for Canada and flagged a potential 20% blanket tariffs for other countries; US is set to keep the tariff exemption for USMCA goods, according to a US official.Brazil's President Lula said the main thing is the reciprocity law, and if US charges 50%, they will charge him 50%.US President Trump noted the EU will receive a letter notifying them of new tariff rates by Friday.APAC stocks were ultimately mixed; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market finished with losses of 0.1%.Looking ahead, highlights include German WPI, UK GDP Estimate, Canadian Jobs, IEA OMR, Fitch on Germany, DBRS on Sweden, Speakers including ECB's Panetta & Cipollone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses began with modest gains and have gradually increased, largely led by reports of Chinese housing support.US futures are contained as newsflow has been limited, ex-China, since the overnight tariff developments.DXY is marginally firmer but well within Wednesday's band, G10s flat aside from Antipodeans benefiting from metals action and China support; BRL lags on 50% tariffsFixed benchmarks have been gradually drifting from overnight highs, now essentially flatBase metals glean on reports of Chinese stimulus, precious peers also firmer though action has been more gradualLooking ahead, highlights include US Weekly Claims, Chinese M2/New Yuan Loans, Speakers including Fed's Musalem, Waller & Daly, BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US. Earnings from Delta & Conagra Brands.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced tariff rates for seven countries and later announced a 50% tariff for Brazil; President Trump also announced the US is to impose a 50% tariff on copper, effective August 1st.The EU is discussing car import quotas and export credits with the US in trade talks, according to sources cited by Reuters.A muted reaction was seen across markets following the FOMC minutes; FOMC Minutes stated that most saw some reduction in the Fed funds rate this year as appropriate.European equity futures indicate a mildly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.4% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI final, Norwegian CPI, Swedish GDP, US Weekly Claims, Chinese M2/New Yuan Loans, OPEC WOO, Speakers including Fed's Musalem, Waller & Daly, ECB's Cipollone & BoE's Breeden, Supply from US, Earnings from Delta & Conagra Brands.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump flagged the release of at least 7 tariff letters today. Reports that the EU is closing in on a temporary "framework" agreement, via FT.European bourses began modestly firmer and have been grinding higher since, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.1%; German autos bid on trade nuances, Basic Resources hit by non-US copper performance, Media lags after WPPStateside, futures are in the green and directionally in-fitting with Europe but gains are much more muted, ES +0.2%; updates around AAPL, NVDA, AMZN in focusUSD steady with G10s mixed but essentially flat. RBNZ as expected, no significant NZD move.Fixed benchmarks have a modest upward bias, though they remain markedly lower on the week; today's action in Europe is a retracement of Tuesday's supply-induced pressure rather than a pronounced move higher.Crude has an upward bias, specifics light. XAU softer. Front-running of US copper into potential tariffs has widened the Comex-LME arbitrage to over USD 2,000/t.Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes, Speakers include ECBʼs Lane, Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from the US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed following the similar performance stateside where tariff updates remained in focus.US President Trump said he will announce something on pharmaceuticals very soon and will be announcing semiconductor tariffs, believes the copper tariff will be 50%.President Trump said the US is probably two days off from sending the EU a letter, which means a deal.European equity futures indicate a slightly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.6% on Tuesday.DXY is a touch higher with the USD mixed vs. peers (stronger vs. havens, weaker vs. antipodeans).RBNZ maintained the OCR at 3.25%, as expected, hinted at future rate cuts ahead.Looking ahead, highlights include BoE FSR, FOMC Minutes, RBA's Hunter, BoE Governor Bailey, ECB's Lane, Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said the August 1st tariff deadline is firm, but he is open to other ideas.European bourses began on the front foot, digesting the deadline pushback and reports that the US offered the EU a 10% tariff deal, via Politico.Since, benchmarks have eased off best with the tone now mixed, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1%. Stateside, non-tariff updates limited, ES +0.1%.DXY is giving back some of Monday's gains. AUD outperforms on a surprise RBA hold. EUR and GBP both firmer, but off best.Fixed benchmarks hit by the tariff deadline extension and a packed supply docket.Crude in the red but within familiar ranges, pressure intensified on reports that Doha talks recommenced. Metals follow the risk tone.Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed SCE, NFIB Business Optimism, EIA STEO, ECB's Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from the USClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump sent tariff letters to 14 countries, including Japan, South Korea, South Africa, and Thailand, with tariff rates ranging between 25%-40%.Trump also warned against retaliation, although he also delayed the tariff deadline to August 1st - leaving room for negotiation.APAC stocks mostly traded with cautious gains as participants digested the Trump letters; Wall Street closed lower.RBA defied the broad consensus and instead decided to pause on rates through a 6-3 majority vote.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.0% on Monday.DXY is steady, AUD is the clear outperformer across the majors, USD/JPY sits on a 146 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade, US NY Fed SCE, NFIB Business Optimism, EIA STEO, RBA's Bullock, ECB's Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from Netherlands, UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said 12 nations will receive tariff letters on Monday (deliveries to start from 17:00BST). Also, threatened 10% additional tariff for those aligned with BRICS.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said letters to trading partners will notify them that if no deal is reached, they will revert to April 2nd tariff levels; tariffs to take effect on August 1st.European bourses began the day with modest gains but action is tentative, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%; ES -0.4% amid trade uncertainty, NQ -0.5% underperforms on TSLA -6.5%USD firmer vs all major peers. Antipodeans hit by the tone, JPY on the USD strength and soft domestic wage data, Cable below 1.36 and EUR/USD at a 1.1723 lowFixed benchmarks contained and experiencing two-way trade into the tariff letters, USTs near-enough unchanged, Bunds lower but off worstCrude began on the backfoot after OPEC+ eight agreeing to increase output by 548k (prev. 411k); since, benchmarks off lows and modestly firmer. Metals dented by the USD.Looking ahead, highlights include supply from the UK (BoE Gilt sale), US President Trump meeting Israeli PM Netanyahu & US tariff lettersClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly subdued with the region cautious ahead of upcoming key events, including central bank announcements and the July 9th tariff deadline.US President Trump said 12 nations will receive tariff letters on Monday (deliveries to start from 17:00BST). Also, threatened 10% additional tariff for those aligned with BRICS.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said letters to trading partners will notify them that if no deal is reached, they will revert to April 2nd tariff levels; tariffs to take effect on August 1st.European equity futures indicate a quiet open with Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed with losses of 1% on Friday.DXY has kicked the week off on the front foot, antipodeans lag alongside the soft risk tone, EUR/USD remains on a 1.17 handle.Crude pressured after OPEC+ accelerated its output hike with an increase of 548k bpd for August (prev. 411k bpd increase).Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, Swedish CPIF (Flash), EZ Sentix & Retail Sales, BoE Gilt sale operation.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they will start sending letters regarding tariffs and 10 to 12 countries will get a letter on Friday, with tariffs to range from 10%-20% and 60%-70%, while countries are to start paying the new tariff on August 1st.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said to expect a flurry of trade deals before July 9th and expect to see about 100 countries get a minimum 10% reciprocal tariff, while he added they are going to be announcing several deals.US House voted 218-214 to pass President Trump's sweeping tax cut and spending bill, sending it to President Trump to sign into law, while the White House said Trump will sign the bill on Friday at 17:00EDT/20:00BST.APAC stocks traded mixed with gains limited; European equity futures indicate a negative cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures lower by 0.5% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.5% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German & French Industrial Orders, EZ, UK Construction PMI, Italian Retail Sales, EZ Producer Prices, Speakers include BoE's Taylor, ECB President Lagarde & Elderson, US Independence Day Holiday.Desk Schedule: The desk will shut for the week at 18:00BST/13:00EDT amid the US market holiday.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses began the session firmer, but that strength has waned to more mixed trade; US futures similar into a packed agendaDXY broadly flat intraday but with a marginal upward bias. G10s contained, but generally softer. GBP outperforms after Wednesday's post-PMQs pressure.Similarly, Gilts lead fixed income. USTs await data. Bunds unreactive to Final PMIs.Crude benchmarks softer, despite limited newsflow. Metals mixed, XAU off highs and fading as the USD picks up slightly.US Reconciliation Bill passed the Rules vote, awaiting full vote; timing unclear, dependent on the Minority Leader, but should be in the next hour(s).Looking ahead, highlights include US PMIs (Final), US NFP, International Trade, Jobless Claims, ISM Services, Canadian Trade, ECB Minutes. Speakers include Fedʼs BosticDesk Schedule: On Thursday 3rd July, the desk will shut at 18:15BST/13:15EDT due to the US Independence Day. The service will resume on Thursday 3rd July for the beginning of Asia-Pac coverage at 22:00BST/17:00EDT.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks failed to sustain the mostly constructive handover from Wall St counterparts with sentiment in the region cautious as participants braced for the key US jobs data and digested Chinese Caixin Services and Composite PMIs.Siemens confirmed it has been notified by the US Commerce Department that export control restrictions on EDA software and technology to customers in China are no longer in place.US House Republicans were reportedly stuck and didn't have the votes for the rule, while Republicans had told members to go back into their offices and a vote on the rule didn't look imminent, according to Punchbowl.UK PM Starmer said Rachel Reeves will be the Chancellor for years to come and will be the Chancellor at the next election.European equity futures indicate a marginally positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.7% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK, US PMIs (Final), Swiss CPI, US NFP, International Trade, Jobless Claims, ISM Services, Canadian Trade, ECB Minutes & BoE DMP, Speakers including BoJ's Takata & Fed's Bostic, Supply from Spain & US Refunding Announcement.Desk Schedule: On Thursday 3rd July, the desk will shut at 18:15BST/13:15EDT due to the US Independence Day. The service will resume on Thursday 3rd July for the beginning of Asia-Pac coverage at 22:00BST/17:00EDT. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses in the green, shrugging off a mixed APAC lead. US futures post modest gains, RTY outperformsUSD attempts to atone for recent pressure. DXY eyes 97.00 to the upside, JPY lags, EUR and GBP both hitFixed in the red, Gilts lag after the UK Welfare Reform u-turn. USTs await data and fiscal updatesUS House set to convene at 09:00ET, Punchbowl reports several sources expressing alarm at the number of no's from lawmakersCrude in the green and despite light newsflow continue to climb, metals mixedLooking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs, ADP National Employment, Canadian Manufacturing PMI, NBP Policy Announcement, ECBʼs Lane & Lagarde.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mixed following a similar handover from the US where participants digested data, trade commentary and a slew of central bank rhetoric.US President Trump said he doubts the US will have a deal with Japan but will possibly have an agreement with India.US Senate narrowly passed President Trump's sweeping tax and spending bill; House to vote by Thursday "at the latest".European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.4% on Tuesday.DXY is modestly firmer, JPY narrowly lags on negative trade headlines, EUR/USD is lingering just below the 1.18 mark.Looking ahead, highlights include EU & Italian Unemployment Rate, US Challenger Layoffs, ADP National Employment, Canadian Manufacturing PMI, NBP Policy Announcement, ECB's de Guindos, Cipollone, Lane, Lagarde & BoE's Taylor, Supply from UK & Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Senate vote-a-rama is still ongoing, Thune suggests we are "getting to the end", unclear if he has enough votesEU reportedly wants immediate relief in any US deal, said to be accepting universal tariffs but is seeking key exemptionsRisk tone began firmer after strong Chinese data; thereafter, deteriorated into and through the European morningUS futures in the red, ES -0.2%, awaiting updates on the Reconciliation Bill, Chair Powell and a packed data docketUSD continues to fall. JPY and CHF lead, fixed bid, XAU higher.EUR and EGBs unreactive to as-expected flash HICP and numerous ECB speakers who have focused on EUR strengthLooking ahead, highlights include US Manufacturing PMIs, ISM Manufacturing, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB Central Banking Forum, Speakers including ECB's Schnabel & Lagarde, Fed's Powell, BoJ's Ueda, BoE's Bailey & BoK's Rhee. Earnings from Constellation Brands. Holiday closures in Hong Kong & Canada.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks began the new quarter mostly higher, albeit with gains tentative; Wall Street closed higher.The Senate vote-a-rama process is ongoing before a final version is sent back to the House to approve the bill, before then sending it to Trump's desk.EU is to accept Trump's universal tariff but seeks key exemptions and wants the US to commit to lower rates on key sectors, according to Bloomberg.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.4% on Monday.DXY is steady, EUR/USD briefly ventured onto a 1.18 handle, USD/JPY marginally extended on its downside.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK & US Manufacturing PMIs, German Unemployment Rate, EZ HICP, US ISM Manufacturing, JOLTS Job Openings, ECB SCE & Central Banking Forum, Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, Elderson, Schnabel & Lagarde, Fed's Powell, BoJ's Ueda, BoE's Bailey & BoK's Rhee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

A firmer start to the week Stateside, ES +0.4%, as markets focus on the progress of Trump's Bill; however, Europe is more contained, Stoxx 600 +0.1%, as the reciprocal deadline nears.US Senate voted to begin debating the Reconciliation Bill; vote-a-rama not expected to start until 09:00ET today, as such the House will not vote until Wednesday at the earliest, via Fox's Pergram.DXY has kicked off week-, month-, quarter- & H1-end on a mildly negative footing, though the magnitude of this has dissipated across the morning. EUR contained, JPY outperforms, GBP softer.Fixed benchmarks were contained overnight before EGBs picked up on numerous German data points.Crude benchmarks are in the red but only modestly so, updates continue on the geopolitical front, with Trump saying he is not offering Iran anything.Looking ahead, highlights include US Chicago PMI, Speakers including ECB's de Guindos & Lagarde, Fed's Bostic & Goolsbee.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks began the week mostly in the green following last Friday's record highs on Wall St; participants digested a slew of data including mixed Chinese PMIs.US and Canada agreed to resume negotiations with a view towards reaching a deal by July 21st after Canada rescinded the Digital Services Tax.The Senate is set to vote on Trump's sweeping tax cut and spending bill on Monday following a 51-49 vote to open the debate on the bill.European equity futures indicate a positive open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.6% on Friday.DXY has kicked the week off on the backfoot but holding above Friday's low, JPY outperforms, EUR/USD sits on a 1.17 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Q1 final), German Import Prices, Retail Sales & CPI, Italian CPI, US Chicago PMI, ECB's de Guindos & Lagarde, Fed's Bostic & Goolsbee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Commerce Secretary Lutnick stated that several deals will be announced in the coming week, with the Europe deal expected at the end.Punchbowl reports that Republican Senators say voting on the Reconciliation Bill will not begin until Saturday at the absolute earliest.European bourses benefit from a flurry of US-EU trade updates, US futures gain modestly into PCE.DXY extends its losing streak for a fifth session as PCE looms.USTs are under modest pressure with Bunds also hampered following French/Spanish inflation figures.Crude is firmer & XAU slips given the risk tone but base metals fail to benefit.Looking ahead, US PCE, UoM Survey Final, Fed's Williams, Hammack; ECB's Cipollone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he just signed a deal with China on Wednesday; it was later clarified that the US and China have agreed to an additional understanding to implement the Geneva agreement.US Commerce Secretary Lutnick stated that several deals will be announced in the coming week, with the Europe deal expected at the end.Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi said Tehran is assessing whether diplomacy with the US is in its interest, adding that there is currently no understanding for renewed talks with the US.APAC stocks traded mostly firmer for a bulk of the session following gains on Wall Street, before waning off best levels to trade mixed.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer open - catching up to some of the late Wall Street gains - with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.5% after cash closed -0.2% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include French CPI, Spanish HICP, Retail Sales, EZ Business Climate, Italian Industrial Sales, US PCE, UoM Survey Final, Fed's Williams, Hammack; ECB's Cipollone, and Supply from Italy. Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump may accelerate the announcement of a successor to Fed Chair Powell, according to WSJ sources.Chinese state planner official said with policy implementation and introduction, "we are confident and capable of minimising the adverse impacts from external shock", according to Reuters.Micron (MU) said there may have been some tariff-related pull-ins by certain customers; customer inventory levels have been healthy overall across end markets.European & US indices trade modestly higher, ES +0.3%; Shell has “no intention” of making an offer for BP.DXY hammered amid reports Trump is to name a Powell successor early; a report which has also weighed on US yields.Crude trims initial gains, metals glean strength from the dovish Fed source report, USD weakness and Chinese commentary.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods, GDP Final (Q1), PCE (Q1), Jobless Claims, National Activity Index, Advance Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories, Banxico Policy Announcement, ECB's de Guindos, Schnabel, Lagarde; BoE's Bailey; Fed's Daly, Barkin, Hammack, Barr, Kashkari, Supply from the US, Earnings from Walgreens, Nike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed in choppy fashion following a similar session on Wall Street, with overnight newsflow relatively light as Israel and Iran seemingly continued to observe the ceasefire.US President Trump may accelerate the announcement of a successor to Fed Chair Powell, according to WSJ sources.Chinese state planner official said with policy implementation and introduction, "we are confident and capable of minimising the adverse impacts from external shock", according to Reuters.HKMA bought HKD 9.42bln as the Hong Kong dollar hit the weak end of its trading range, marking the first such intervention since 2023 to defend the currency peg.Micron (MU) said there may have been some tariff-related pull-ins by certain customers; customer inventory levels have been healthy overall across end markets.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Sentiment, US Durable Goods, GDP Final (Q1), PCE (Q1), Jobless Claims, National Activity Index, Advance Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories, Banxico Policy Announcement, ECB's de Guindos, Schnabel, Lagarde; BoE's Bailey, Breeden; Fed's Daly, Barkin, Hammack, Barr, Kashkari, supply from US, Earnings from Walgreens, Nike, H&M.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Fox's Gasparino posted that Team Trump said it was close to announcing a handful of trade deals. The major ones the White House claimed progress on involved Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam.European bourses are mixed in quiet newsflow whilst US futures hold around the unchanged mark.USD looks to claw back recent losses. EUR/USD pulls back from multi-year high.USTs await Powell part 2 and details from the NATO summit; Bunds are pressured and currently towards session lows.Crude bid but still at the trough of recent parameters, metals marginally firmer.Looking ahead, US Building Permits, CNB Policy Announcement; NATO Summit, Fed SLR meeting, BoE's Lombardelli; Fed's Powell; US President Trump, Supply from the US, and Earnings from General Mills, Paychex, Micron.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded stronger following the firm lead from Wall Street, with gains capped as traders were cautious amid the fragility of the Israel-Iran ceasefire.Geopolitical newsflow was relatively light in APAC hours, with no hostile incidents seen between Israel and Iran; “There have been no [US] sanctions lifted on Iran,” said Fox Business' Lawrence, in reference to President Trump's post suggesting China could continue to buy oil from Iran.Fed Chair Powell said they would expect to see meaningful inflation effects from tariffs in June, July, and August. He added that if those effects failed to materialise, it could lead to an earlier rate cut.BoJ board member Tamura said that if upward price risks heightened, the BoJ could face a situation where it would need to raise rates decisively, even if uncertainty remained high, adding that he does not see 0.5% as a barrier for BoJ rate hikes.Fox's Gasparino posted that Team Trump said it was close to announcing a handful of trade deals. The major ones the White House claimed progress on involved Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam.Looking ahead, highlights include US Building Permits, CNB Policy Announcement; NATO Summit, Fed SLR meeting, BoE's Lombardelli, Pill, Greene; Fed's Powell; US President Trump, Supply from Italy, UK, US, and Earnings from General Mills, Paychex, Micron, Babcock.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Sentiment bolstered after US President Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, effective 05:00 BST / 00:00 EDT.Though Israel claimed Iran had launched ballistic missiles and violated the agreement, which Iran has denied.USD softer as geopolitical premium recedes, attention now turns to Fed Chair Powell who testifies before the House.Bonds hold a bearish bias given latest Iran-Israel ceasefire; USTs are lower by a handful of ticks whilst Bunds are hit on updates via the German Finance Ministry.Crude clipped by the ceasefire, XAU loses its shine, base metals find a floor.Looking ahead, Canadian Inflation, US Consumer Confidence, NZ Trade, NATO Summit, NBH Policy Announcement, BoE's Bailey, Ramsden, Pill, Breeden; ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos, Lane; Fed's Powell, Hammack, Williams, Collins, Barr, Supply from the US, Earnings from FedEx, Carnival.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Risk was supported on Wall Street following Iran's "symbolic" strike on a US base in Qatar—de-escalatory in nature, given the clear effort to minimise casualties and collateral damage.Sentiment was further bolstered at the resumption of futures trading after US President Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, effective 05:00 BST.Israeli strikes were continuous as markets headed into Iran's proposed ceasefire time (01:30 BST) vs Trump's guided time (05:00 BST).Crude oil tumbled 9% on Monday, with losses of almost 3% seen heading into the European open.European equity futures are indicative of a positive open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +1.2% after cash closed -0.2% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo, Canadian Inflation, US Consumer Confidence, NZ Trade, NBH Policy Announcement, BoE's Bailey, Greene, Ramsden, Pill, Breeden; ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos, Lane; Fed's Powell, Hammack, Williams, Collins, Barr, NATO summit, Supply from UK, Germany, US, Earnings from FedEx, Carnival.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump confirmed the launch of “Operation Midnight Hammer”, which involved targeted strikes on Iranʼs nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.US President Trump warned that “many targets remain,” emphasising that the US had no desire for regime change but threatened larger future strikes if Iran failed to engage diplomatically.The Iranian parliament has approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the US launched strikes against the countryʼs nuclear facilities. Iranʼs security body will make the final decision on whether to proceed with the plan, state television reported. Iranian Foreign Minister said “all options” are on the table.European bourses opened lower in reaction to US-Iran but some managed to climb into the green as the session progressed; US equities are modestly firmer.DXY benefits from the US attack on Iran and currently trades near session highs, JPY the clear G10 laggard.Brief upside in fixed income gives way to energy-induced inflation concern, bearish bias added to by the improving equity tone.Brent gapped higher by 5% at the open in reaction to US strikes on Iran, but has since entirely pared that move.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs, ECB President Lagarde; Fed's Goolsbee, Kugler, Supply from EU, and Trump's National Security meeting.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump confirmed the launch of “Operation Midnight Hammer”, which involved targeted strikes on Iranʼs nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.US President Trump warned that “many targets remain,” emphasising that the US had no desire for regime change but threatened larger future strikes if Iran failed to engage diplomatically.The Iranian parliament has approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the US launched strikes against the countryʼs nuclear facilities. Iranʼs security body will make the final decision on whether to proceed with the plan, state television reported. Iran is weighing its response, with its Foreign Minister saying “all options” are on the table after Washington proved “they only understand the language of threat and force”, according to CNN.US President Trump to meet with National Security team at 13:00 EDT/18:00 BST on Monday, according to Bloomberg. Separately, a special IAEA board meeting is also scheduled for Monday.Initial market reaction saw crude higher, havens bid and equity futures softer; however, the move has since largely dissipated, potentially on hopes the strike is a "one and done" situation.Looking ahead, highlights include French, German, EZ, UK, US Flash PMIs, ECB President Lagarde; Fed's Goolsbee, Kugler, Supply from EU, Trump's National Security meeting.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump offered Iran a two-week window to monitor negotiations before deciding on military action.European stocks benefit from geopolitical optimism whilst US futures are slightly lower.DXY flat, JPY mildly boosted by Y/Y Core CPI beat.Two-way action for JGBs after reports suggest Japan plans to cut FY25 superlong JGB issuance by JPY 3.2tln, Gilts gap higher on retail sales but fade.Crude curtailed by negotiating updates, European risk tone weighs on gold.Looking ahead, US Philly Fed Business Index, Leading Index Change, Canadian Producer Prices & Retail sales, EU Consumer Confidence, Quad witching, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi meets with European Ministers, Holidays in Sweden, Finland, New Zealand.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks initially saw directionless trade following a non-existent lead from Wall Street amid the Juneteenth market holiday.US President Trump offered Iran a two-week window to monitor negotiations before deciding on military action.APAC sentiment eventually turned mostly firmer with notable Israel-Iran newsflow on the lighter side.Japanese Core CPI printed above forecasts; PBoC maintained its 1-year LPR at 3.00% and its 5-year LPR at 3.50%, as expected.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.9% after cash closed -1.3% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK PSNB, Retail sales, US Philly Fed Business Index, Leading Index Change, Canadian Producer Prices & Retail sales, EU Consumer Confidence, Quad witching, Chinese LPRs, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi meets with European Ministers, Speakers include ECB Governing Council Macroprudential Forum, BoJ's Ueda, Holidays in Sweden, Finland, New Zealand.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded subdued following the mixed close on Wall Street, where traders juggled the FOMC alongside geopolitics, with markets apprehensive as US President Trump keeps participants in the dark about his touted move on Iran.The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 4.25-4.5%, as was widely expected, with the 2025 dot plot left unchanged although the composition saw a hawkish shift; Fed Chair Powell pushed back on any dovish interpretation of policy in the short term.The US is reportedly eyeing this weekend as a possibility for an attack on Iran and is preparing for a possible strike in the coming days, according to Bloomberg.US President Trump is reportedly getting comfortable with the idea of taking out Iran's Fordow nuclear facility with multiple strikes. “There was now a movement to get ready for this,” ABC sources said.US President Trump is scheduled to be in the Situation Room for an intelligence briefing at 11:30 EDT on Thursday, according to CBS' Jacobs.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.2% after cash closed down -0.4% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include BoE, SNB, Norges Bank, and CBRT, Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, Nagel, de Guindos, SNB's Jordan, Norges Bank's Bache, supply from Spain and France.Holiday: On Thursday 19th June, on account of the Juneteenth Holiday, the Desk will shut at 18:00BST/13:00EDT and re-open the same day for the beginning of Asia-Pac coverage at 22:00BST/17:00EDT.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Firing between Israel and Iran continued overnight. Iran used a hypersonic missile, while no attacks were seen from the US. Risk recovered and oil waned off highs.US officials signalled that the next 24 to 48 hours would be critical in determining whether a diplomatic solution with Iran is possible -- or if the president might resort to military action instead, according to ABC.European bourses tread water amid geopolitical updates and the looming FOMC rate decision; US equity futures are modestly higher.USD gives back some of Tuesday's gains; Antipodeans lead whilst the CHF underperforms.Gilts initially pressured after CPI. More recently, modest bid into the green awaiting rhetoric from Iran's Supreme Leader.Crude softer as traders await updates from the US; XAU also on the backfoot.Looking ahead, US Building Permits, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims, Fed & BCB Policy Announcements, speakers include ECB's Nagel, Elderson, Lane, de Guindos, BoC's Macklem; Fed Chair Powell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Stocks in the US were spooked by what seemed like an imminent US involvement in Israel's offensive against Iran.Firing between Israel and Iran continued overnight. Iran used a hypersonic missile, while no attacks were seen from the US. Risk recovered and oil waned off highs.US officials signalled that the next 24 to 48 hours would be critical in determining whether a diplomatic solution with Iran is possible - or if the president might resort to military action instead, according to ABC.APAC stocks were mostly lower following the softer handover from Wall Street; US equity futures recovered from earlier lows.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly softer cash open, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down -0.3% after cash closed with losses of 1.0% on Tuesday.Highlights include UK CPI, US Building Permits, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims, Fed, Riksbank & BCB Policy Announcements, speakers include ECB's Nagel, Elderson, Lane, de Guindos, Panetta, BoC's Macklem; Fed Chair Powell, Supply from Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump says he wants "a real end," with Iran "giving up entirely" on nukes”, via CBS's Jacobs.US President Trump says the EU is not yet offering a fair deal, there is a chance of a deal with Japan but they are "tough". Pharma tariffs coming soon.Stocks hit as Iran-Israel strikes continue and Trump posts that "everyone" should evacuate Tehran.FX markets in narrow ranges awaiting US Retail Sales; incremental strength in JPY post-BoJ, but Ueda sparked some weakness thereafter.Two-way action for JGBs; USTs just about firmer while EGBs & Gilts reside in the red.Crude moves higher as Trump cuts his G7 trip short and now awaiting developments from the situation in Iran.Looking ahead, US Export/Import Prices, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, BoC Minutes, G7 Leaders' Summit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed/mostly lower with the region failing to coattail on Wall Street's gains, as geopolitical angst kept risk subdued.US President Trump posted that "Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!" before cutting his G7 trip short, stoking fears of a US military offensive. Sentiment later stabilised after CBS reported that the US is not joining Israel offensively in its military operations against Iran.BoJ maintained its rate at 0.5% as expected via unanimous vote, and is to reduce the amount of monthly JGB purchases by about JPY 200bln each quarter from April 2026 onward (as telegraphed); Tamura dissented on the taper plan.Japanese PM Ishiba and US President Trump did not reach a tariff agreement, but confirmed they are to continue tariff talks, according to Fuji TV.European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.6% after cash closed with gains of 1.0% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include German ZEW, US Export/Import Prices, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, BoJ Press Conference, BoC Minutes, G7 Leaders' Summit, IEA OMR, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks on each other's major cities, with exchanges of fire continuing into a third day on Sunday, according to multiple media outlets; Initial strength in crude now pared amid potential ceasefire efforts but no progress yet.Israeli drones on Saturday targeted the South Pars Gas Refinery and the Fajr Jam Gas Refinery, according to Tasnim News Agency.US President Trump posted on Truth Social on Sunday: "Iran and Israel should make a deal, and will make a deal, we will have PEACE, soon, between Israel and Iran! Many calls and meetings now taking place."European bourses modestly firmer across the board; US equity futures also higher, ES +0.4%.USD is on the backfoot, Antipodeans lead benefiting from the risk tone whilst havens lag.Bonds fade overnight gains as inflation dictates recent action.Looking ahead, G7 meeting, US NY Fed, OPEC MOMR, Speakers include ECB's Cipollone & Nagel, and Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks on each other's major cities, with exchanges of fire continuing into a third day on Sunday, according to multiple media outlets.Israeli drones on Saturday targeted the South Pars Gas Refinery and the Fajr Jam Gas Refinery, according to Tasnim News Agency.US President Trump posted on Truth Social on Sunday: "Iran and Israel should make a deal, and will make a deal, we will have PEACE, soon, between Israel and Iran! Many calls and meetings now taking place."US President Trump said the US might get involved in the Israel-Iran war, according to ABC. The US is not currently considering joining the war against Iran to eliminate its nuclear program, according to an ABC News report.European equity futures are indicative of a mildly softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.2% after cash closed lower by 1.3% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include the G7 meeting, US NY Fed Manufacturing, OPEC MOMR, Speakers include ECB's Cipollone & Nagel, and Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.Iran's President to speak on the subject soon; US President Trump urged Iran to "make a deal, before there is nothing left".Geopolitics driving all price action with crude posting significant gains & equities under pressure; ES -1.2%, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.4%FTQ ensued overnight, supporting fixed income and XAU; gold remains near best, but fixed has pulled back to Thursday's parameters.DXY on the front foot, but shy of Thursday's high, as the USD benefits from its haven status. JPY surprisingly softer vs USD. EUR and GBP both hit, antipodeans lag.Looking ahead, highlights include UoM Sentiment (Prelim), S&P to Review Germany's Credit Rating, Speakers including ECB's Panetta & Elderson. Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded lower and US equity futures were pressured amid the worsening geopolitical situation in the Middle East.Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 1.9% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.6% on Thursday.DXY has been boosted by geopolitical risk, antipodeans hit, EUR/USD is back on a 1.15 handle.Crude futures have rallied, given geopolitics; Iran says refining facilities and oil storage did not sustain damage in the Israeli attack.Looking ahead, highlights include UoM Sentiment (Prelim), S&P to Review Germany's Credit Rating, ECB's Panetta & EldersonRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said at a certain point, they will send letters out for countries to take or leave and will send those letters out in a week and a half.Geopolitics is driving newsflow as Iran was judged to have violated IAEA rules. An update which has sparked increasingly escalatory rhetoric.Given the above, equities are in the red with the DXY pressured and havens leading FX while EUR/USD hits a new YTD peak and XAU climbs.Crude pressured despite the above, given the gains seen on Tuesday, Trump's tariff rhetoric, ongoing OPEC+ action and the lack of specificity on what the Iranian response will be.EGBs benefiting from the risk tone, Gilts outperform after soft GDP. USTs in-fitting but with magnitudes more contained into data.Air India flight AI171 to the UK from Ahmedabad, India crashed outside the airport after takeoff. Craft was a Boeing (BA) 787-8 Dreamliner; Boeing lower by as much as 8% in pre-market trade.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from the US, Earnings from Adobe & Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued handover from Wall St; Europe primed for a lower open (Eurostoxx 50 future -0.7%)US President Trump said he would be willing to extend the trade talks deadline but doesn't think it will be necessaryUS President Trump is planning to send letters in a week and a half for countries to take it or leave it regarding a trade deal.US evacuated non-emergency US government personnel from several Middle Eastern countries due to heightened regional tensionsUS officials were told that Israel is fully ready for an Iran operation, according to CBSDXY has extended losses, EUR/USD has made its way onto a 1.15 handle, USD/JPY is sub-144Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP Estimate, US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's Schnabel, de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from Italy & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.European bourses are firmer this morning, though with Retail lagging; Stateside, futures are just into the red into CPI.DXY choppy but contained within Tuesday's parameters so far. Fixed benchmarks pressured into CPI, Gilts lag.Crude has seen notable two-way action on reporting around Iran. XAU edges higher, base metals mixed. Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI & Weekly Earnings, UK Spending Review, Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Supply from the US, Earnings from Oracle.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly higher amid the recent trade-related optimism stemming from the US-China trade talks in London which have now concluded.US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.4% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Tuesday.USD is broadly firmer vs. peers, EUR/USD is retaining a 1.14 handle, USD/JPY is oscillating around the 145 mark, GBP eyes the UK spending review.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB Wage Tracker, US CPI & Weekly Earnings, UK Spending Review, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Lane & Cipollone, Supply from Australia, UK, Germany & US, Earnings from Oracle and Inditex.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US-China talks in London have commenced.US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says discussions with China are "going well"; talks to continue all day Tuesday.European stocks move lower ahead of US-China talks, FTSE 100 bid post-jobs data.GBP lags after jobs data which saw a slump in HMRC Payrolls and a further cooling in average earnings, USD ekes out mild gains.Gilts outperform as the UK labour market cools, USTs await US-China day two and 3yr supply.Crude is incrementally firmer, with XAU also modestly in the green.Looking ahead, US NFIB Business Optimism, EIA STEO, US-China Talks in London, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly higher with risk sentiment underpinned amid some optimism surrounding US-China talks; to resume 10:00BST.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said it was a 'good meeting' with China, Commerce Secretary Lutnick said talks were "fruitful".European equity futures indicate a marginally negative cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.USD is net positive vs. peers, EUR/USD sits around the 1.14 mark, JPY sits towards the bottom of the pile.Bunds are off lows but with the rebound relatively limited, crude futures are supported by the positive risk tone.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Employment & Average Earnings, ECB Survey of Monetary Analysts, EIA STEO, US-China Talks in London, US-Iran Nuclear deal "counter offer", ECB's Rehn, Supply from Netherlands, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are very far advanced on a China deal ahead of high-level talks in London on Monday.US President Trump said he is thinking about the next Fed Chair and it is coming out very soon.European bourses are modestly lower in holiday-thinned trade; ES/NQ trade around the unchanged mark whilst the RTY outperforms.USD is on the backfoot, giving back some of Friday's NFP induced gains, Antipodeans lead.Bunds surge in early trade, dragging global fixed income higher.Crude is essentially flat with catalysts light, focus on Iran's counter offer to the US nuclear proposal.Looking ahead, ECB's Elderson, Holiday Closures in Switzerland, Norway, Hungary, Greece & Cyprus.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly higher following last Friday's gains on Wall St; participants also digested mixed Chinese data.Chinese Y/Y CPI remained in deflationary territory, trade data saw imports and exports fall short of expectations.US President Trump said they are very far advanced on a China deal ahead of high-level talks in London on Monday.US President Trump said he is thinking about the next Fed Chair and it is coming out very soon.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.4% on Friday.DXY has pulled back a touch after gaining on Friday, antipodeans lead, EUR/USD has returned to a 1.14 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB's Elderson, Holiday Closures in Switzerland, Norway, Hungary, Greece & Cyprus.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses trade flat/lower following the fallout of the dramatic Trump-Musk spat, but with traders setting their sights on the US jobs report.USD is slightly firmer in what has ultimately been a week of losses for DXY. EUR is trivially softer vs. the USD. JPY is the laggard across the majors.USTs are a touch higher ahead of the US jobs report and following yesterday's ECB-led losses. Bunds are attempting to atone for yesterday's downside. Gilts are being led by the upside in German paper.Crude Futures are subdued amid a firmer Dollar and overall cautious risk tone heading into the US job. Spot gold and silver are largely treading water. Base metals are mixed.Looking head, highlights include US NFP, Canadian Jobs, Speakers include BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk