Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

US President Trump may accelerate the announcement of a successor to Fed Chair Powell, according to WSJ sources.Chinese state planner official said with policy implementation and introduction, "we are confident and capable of minimising the adverse impacts from external shock", according to Reuters.Micron (MU) said there may have been some tariff-related pull-ins by certain customers; customer inventory levels have been healthy overall across end markets.European & US indices trade modestly higher, ES +0.3%; Shell has “no intention” of making an offer for BP.DXY hammered amid reports Trump is to name a Powell successor early; a report which has also weighed on US yields.Crude trims initial gains, metals glean strength from the dovish Fed source report, USD weakness and Chinese commentary.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods, GDP Final (Q1), PCE (Q1), Jobless Claims, National Activity Index, Advance Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories, Banxico Policy Announcement, ECB's de Guindos, Schnabel, Lagarde; BoE's Bailey; Fed's Daly, Barkin, Hammack, Barr, Kashkari, Supply from the US, Earnings from Walgreens, Nike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed in choppy fashion following a similar session on Wall Street, with overnight newsflow relatively light as Israel and Iran seemingly continued to observe the ceasefire.US President Trump may accelerate the announcement of a successor to Fed Chair Powell, according to WSJ sources.Chinese state planner official said with policy implementation and introduction, "we are confident and capable of minimising the adverse impacts from external shock", according to Reuters.HKMA bought HKD 9.42bln as the Hong Kong dollar hit the weak end of its trading range, marking the first such intervention since 2023 to defend the currency peg.Micron (MU) said there may have been some tariff-related pull-ins by certain customers; customer inventory levels have been healthy overall across end markets.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Sentiment, US Durable Goods, GDP Final (Q1), PCE (Q1), Jobless Claims, National Activity Index, Advance Goods Trade Balance, Wholesale Inventories, Banxico Policy Announcement, ECB's de Guindos, Schnabel, Lagarde; BoE's Bailey, Breeden; Fed's Daly, Barkin, Hammack, Barr, Kashkari, supply from US, Earnings from Walgreens, Nike, H&M.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Fox's Gasparino posted that Team Trump said it was close to announcing a handful of trade deals. The major ones the White House claimed progress on involved Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam.European bourses are mixed in quiet newsflow whilst US futures hold around the unchanged mark.USD looks to claw back recent losses. EUR/USD pulls back from multi-year high.USTs await Powell part 2 and details from the NATO summit; Bunds are pressured and currently towards session lows.Crude bid but still at the trough of recent parameters, metals marginally firmer.Looking ahead, US Building Permits, CNB Policy Announcement; NATO Summit, Fed SLR meeting, BoE's Lombardelli; Fed's Powell; US President Trump, Supply from the US, and Earnings from General Mills, Paychex, Micron.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded stronger following the firm lead from Wall Street, with gains capped as traders were cautious amid the fragility of the Israel-Iran ceasefire.Geopolitical newsflow was relatively light in APAC hours, with no hostile incidents seen between Israel and Iran; “There have been no [US] sanctions lifted on Iran,” said Fox Business' Lawrence, in reference to President Trump's post suggesting China could continue to buy oil from Iran.Fed Chair Powell said they would expect to see meaningful inflation effects from tariffs in June, July, and August. He added that if those effects failed to materialise, it could lead to an earlier rate cut.BoJ board member Tamura said that if upward price risks heightened, the BoJ could face a situation where it would need to raise rates decisively, even if uncertainty remained high, adding that he does not see 0.5% as a barrier for BoJ rate hikes.Fox's Gasparino posted that Team Trump said it was close to announcing a handful of trade deals. The major ones the White House claimed progress on involved Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam.Looking ahead, highlights include US Building Permits, CNB Policy Announcement; NATO Summit, Fed SLR meeting, BoE's Lombardelli, Pill, Greene; Fed's Powell; US President Trump, Supply from Italy, UK, US, and Earnings from General Mills, Paychex, Micron, Babcock.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Sentiment bolstered after US President Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, effective 05:00 BST / 00:00 EDT.Though Israel claimed Iran had launched ballistic missiles and violated the agreement, which Iran has denied.USD softer as geopolitical premium recedes, attention now turns to Fed Chair Powell who testifies before the House.Bonds hold a bearish bias given latest Iran-Israel ceasefire; USTs are lower by a handful of ticks whilst Bunds are hit on updates via the German Finance Ministry.Crude clipped by the ceasefire, XAU loses its shine, base metals find a floor.Looking ahead, Canadian Inflation, US Consumer Confidence, NZ Trade, NATO Summit, NBH Policy Announcement, BoE's Bailey, Ramsden, Pill, Breeden; ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos, Lane; Fed's Powell, Hammack, Williams, Collins, Barr, Supply from the US, Earnings from FedEx, Carnival.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Risk was supported on Wall Street following Iran's "symbolic" strike on a US base in Qatar—de-escalatory in nature, given the clear effort to minimise casualties and collateral damage.Sentiment was further bolstered at the resumption of futures trading after US President Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel, effective 05:00 BST.Israeli strikes were continuous as markets headed into Iran's proposed ceasefire time (01:30 BST) vs Trump's guided time (05:00 BST).Crude oil tumbled 9% on Monday, with losses of almost 3% seen heading into the European open.European equity futures are indicative of a positive open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +1.2% after cash closed -0.2% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo, Canadian Inflation, US Consumer Confidence, NZ Trade, NBH Policy Announcement, BoE's Bailey, Greene, Ramsden, Pill, Breeden; ECB's Lagarde, de Guindos, Lane; Fed's Powell, Hammack, Williams, Collins, Barr, NATO summit, Supply from UK, Germany, US, Earnings from FedEx, Carnival.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump confirmed the launch of “Operation Midnight Hammer”, which involved targeted strikes on Iranʼs nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.US President Trump warned that “many targets remain,” emphasising that the US had no desire for regime change but threatened larger future strikes if Iran failed to engage diplomatically.The Iranian parliament has approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the US launched strikes against the countryʼs nuclear facilities. Iranʼs security body will make the final decision on whether to proceed with the plan, state television reported. Iranian Foreign Minister said “all options” are on the table.European bourses opened lower in reaction to US-Iran but some managed to climb into the green as the session progressed; US equities are modestly firmer.DXY benefits from the US attack on Iran and currently trades near session highs, JPY the clear G10 laggard.Brief upside in fixed income gives way to energy-induced inflation concern, bearish bias added to by the improving equity tone.Brent gapped higher by 5% at the open in reaction to US strikes on Iran, but has since entirely pared that move.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs, ECB President Lagarde; Fed's Goolsbee, Kugler, Supply from EU, and Trump's National Security meeting.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump confirmed the launch of “Operation Midnight Hammer”, which involved targeted strikes on Iranʼs nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.US President Trump warned that “many targets remain,” emphasising that the US had no desire for regime change but threatened larger future strikes if Iran failed to engage diplomatically.The Iranian parliament has approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the US launched strikes against the countryʼs nuclear facilities. Iranʼs security body will make the final decision on whether to proceed with the plan, state television reported. Iran is weighing its response, with its Foreign Minister saying “all options” are on the table after Washington proved “they only understand the language of threat and force”, according to CNN.US President Trump to meet with National Security team at 13:00 EDT/18:00 BST on Monday, according to Bloomberg. Separately, a special IAEA board meeting is also scheduled for Monday.Initial market reaction saw crude higher, havens bid and equity futures softer; however, the move has since largely dissipated, potentially on hopes the strike is a "one and done" situation.Looking ahead, highlights include French, German, EZ, UK, US Flash PMIs, ECB President Lagarde; Fed's Goolsbee, Kugler, Supply from EU, Trump's National Security meeting.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump offered Iran a two-week window to monitor negotiations before deciding on military action.European stocks benefit from geopolitical optimism whilst US futures are slightly lower.DXY flat, JPY mildly boosted by Y/Y Core CPI beat.Two-way action for JGBs after reports suggest Japan plans to cut FY25 superlong JGB issuance by JPY 3.2tln, Gilts gap higher on retail sales but fade.Crude curtailed by negotiating updates, European risk tone weighs on gold.Looking ahead, US Philly Fed Business Index, Leading Index Change, Canadian Producer Prices & Retail sales, EU Consumer Confidence, Quad witching, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi meets with European Ministers, Holidays in Sweden, Finland, New Zealand.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks initially saw directionless trade following a non-existent lead from Wall Street amid the Juneteenth market holiday.US President Trump offered Iran a two-week window to monitor negotiations before deciding on military action.APAC sentiment eventually turned mostly firmer with notable Israel-Iran newsflow on the lighter side.Japanese Core CPI printed above forecasts; PBoC maintained its 1-year LPR at 3.00% and its 5-year LPR at 3.50%, as expected.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.9% after cash closed -1.3% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK PSNB, Retail sales, US Philly Fed Business Index, Leading Index Change, Canadian Producer Prices & Retail sales, EU Consumer Confidence, Quad witching, Chinese LPRs, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi meets with European Ministers, Speakers include ECB Governing Council Macroprudential Forum, BoJ's Ueda, Holidays in Sweden, Finland, New Zealand.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded subdued following the mixed close on Wall Street, where traders juggled the FOMC alongside geopolitics, with markets apprehensive as US President Trump keeps participants in the dark about his touted move on Iran.The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged at 4.25-4.5%, as was widely expected, with the 2025 dot plot left unchanged although the composition saw a hawkish shift; Fed Chair Powell pushed back on any dovish interpretation of policy in the short term.The US is reportedly eyeing this weekend as a possibility for an attack on Iran and is preparing for a possible strike in the coming days, according to Bloomberg.US President Trump is reportedly getting comfortable with the idea of taking out Iran's Fordow nuclear facility with multiple strikes. “There was now a movement to get ready for this,” ABC sources said.US President Trump is scheduled to be in the Situation Room for an intelligence briefing at 11:30 EDT on Thursday, according to CBS' Jacobs.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.2% after cash closed down -0.4% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include BoE, SNB, Norges Bank, and CBRT, Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, Nagel, de Guindos, SNB's Jordan, Norges Bank's Bache, supply from Spain and France.Holiday: On Thursday 19th June, on account of the Juneteenth Holiday, the Desk will shut at 18:00BST/13:00EDT and re-open the same day for the beginning of Asia-Pac coverage at 22:00BST/17:00EDT.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Firing between Israel and Iran continued overnight. Iran used a hypersonic missile, while no attacks were seen from the US. Risk recovered and oil waned off highs.US officials signalled that the next 24 to 48 hours would be critical in determining whether a diplomatic solution with Iran is possible -- or if the president might resort to military action instead, according to ABC.European bourses tread water amid geopolitical updates and the looming FOMC rate decision; US equity futures are modestly higher.USD gives back some of Tuesday's gains; Antipodeans lead whilst the CHF underperforms.Gilts initially pressured after CPI. More recently, modest bid into the green awaiting rhetoric from Iran's Supreme Leader.Crude softer as traders await updates from the US; XAU also on the backfoot.Looking ahead, US Building Permits, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims, Fed & BCB Policy Announcements, speakers include ECB's Nagel, Elderson, Lane, de Guindos, BoC's Macklem; Fed Chair Powell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Stocks in the US were spooked by what seemed like an imminent US involvement in Israel's offensive against Iran.Firing between Israel and Iran continued overnight. Iran used a hypersonic missile, while no attacks were seen from the US. Risk recovered and oil waned off highs.US officials signalled that the next 24 to 48 hours would be critical in determining whether a diplomatic solution with Iran is possible - or if the president might resort to military action instead, according to ABC.APAC stocks were mostly lower following the softer handover from Wall Street; US equity futures recovered from earlier lows.European equity futures are indicative of a slightly softer cash open, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down -0.3% after cash closed with losses of 1.0% on Tuesday.Highlights include UK CPI, US Building Permits, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims, Fed, Riksbank & BCB Policy Announcements, speakers include ECB's Nagel, Elderson, Lane, de Guindos, Panetta, BoC's Macklem; Fed Chair Powell, Supply from Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump says he wants "a real end," with Iran "giving up entirely" on nukes”, via CBS's Jacobs.US President Trump says the EU is not yet offering a fair deal, there is a chance of a deal with Japan but they are "tough". Pharma tariffs coming soon.Stocks hit as Iran-Israel strikes continue and Trump posts that "everyone" should evacuate Tehran.FX markets in narrow ranges awaiting US Retail Sales; incremental strength in JPY post-BoJ, but Ueda sparked some weakness thereafter.Two-way action for JGBs; USTs just about firmer while EGBs & Gilts reside in the red.Crude moves higher as Trump cuts his G7 trip short and now awaiting developments from the situation in Iran.Looking ahead, US Export/Import Prices, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, BoC Minutes, G7 Leaders' Summit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed/mostly lower with the region failing to coattail on Wall Street's gains, as geopolitical angst kept risk subdued.US President Trump posted that "Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!" before cutting his G7 trip short, stoking fears of a US military offensive. Sentiment later stabilised after CBS reported that the US is not joining Israel offensively in its military operations against Iran.BoJ maintained its rate at 0.5% as expected via unanimous vote, and is to reduce the amount of monthly JGB purchases by about JPY 200bln each quarter from April 2026 onward (as telegraphed); Tamura dissented on the taper plan.Japanese PM Ishiba and US President Trump did not reach a tariff agreement, but confirmed they are to continue tariff talks, according to Fuji TV.European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.6% after cash closed with gains of 1.0% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include German ZEW, US Export/Import Prices, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, BoJ Press Conference, BoC Minutes, G7 Leaders' Summit, IEA OMR, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks on each other's major cities, with exchanges of fire continuing into a third day on Sunday, according to multiple media outlets; Initial strength in crude now pared amid potential ceasefire efforts but no progress yet.Israeli drones on Saturday targeted the South Pars Gas Refinery and the Fajr Jam Gas Refinery, according to Tasnim News Agency.US President Trump posted on Truth Social on Sunday: "Iran and Israel should make a deal, and will make a deal, we will have PEACE, soon, between Israel and Iran! Many calls and meetings now taking place."European bourses modestly firmer across the board; US equity futures also higher, ES +0.4%.USD is on the backfoot, Antipodeans lead benefiting from the risk tone whilst havens lag.Bonds fade overnight gains as inflation dictates recent action.Looking ahead, G7 meeting, US NY Fed, OPEC MOMR, Speakers include ECB's Cipollone & Nagel, and Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks on each other's major cities, with exchanges of fire continuing into a third day on Sunday, according to multiple media outlets.Israeli drones on Saturday targeted the South Pars Gas Refinery and the Fajr Jam Gas Refinery, according to Tasnim News Agency.US President Trump posted on Truth Social on Sunday: "Iran and Israel should make a deal, and will make a deal, we will have PEACE, soon, between Israel and Iran! Many calls and meetings now taking place."US President Trump said the US might get involved in the Israel-Iran war, according to ABC. The US is not currently considering joining the war against Iran to eliminate its nuclear program, according to an ABC News report.European equity futures are indicative of a mildly softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.2% after cash closed lower by 1.3% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include the G7 meeting, US NY Fed Manufacturing, OPEC MOMR, Speakers include ECB's Cipollone & Nagel, and Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.Iran's President to speak on the subject soon; US President Trump urged Iran to "make a deal, before there is nothing left".Geopolitics driving all price action with crude posting significant gains & equities under pressure; ES -1.2%, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.4%FTQ ensued overnight, supporting fixed income and XAU; gold remains near best, but fixed has pulled back to Thursday's parameters.DXY on the front foot, but shy of Thursday's high, as the USD benefits from its haven status. JPY surprisingly softer vs USD. EUR and GBP both hit, antipodeans lag.Looking ahead, highlights include UoM Sentiment (Prelim), S&P to Review Germany's Credit Rating, Speakers including ECB's Panetta & Elderson. Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded lower and US equity futures were pressured amid the worsening geopolitical situation in the Middle East.Israel conducted pre-emptive strikes on Iranian nuclear and military targets; Iran warned that Israel and the US will pay a heavy price.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 1.9% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.6% on Thursday.DXY has been boosted by geopolitical risk, antipodeans hit, EUR/USD is back on a 1.15 handle.Crude futures have rallied, given geopolitics; Iran says refining facilities and oil storage did not sustain damage in the Israeli attack.Looking ahead, highlights include UoM Sentiment (Prelim), S&P to Review Germany's Credit Rating, ECB's Panetta & EldersonRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said at a certain point, they will send letters out for countries to take or leave and will send those letters out in a week and a half.Geopolitics is driving newsflow as Iran was judged to have violated IAEA rules. An update which has sparked increasingly escalatory rhetoric.Given the above, equities are in the red with the DXY pressured and havens leading FX while EUR/USD hits a new YTD peak and XAU climbs.Crude pressured despite the above, given the gains seen on Tuesday, Trump's tariff rhetoric, ongoing OPEC+ action and the lack of specificity on what the Iranian response will be.EGBs benefiting from the risk tone, Gilts outperform after soft GDP. USTs in-fitting but with magnitudes more contained into data.Air India flight AI171 to the UK from Ahmedabad, India crashed outside the airport after takeoff. Craft was a Boeing (BA) 787-8 Dreamliner; Boeing lower by as much as 8% in pre-market trade.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from the US, Earnings from Adobe & Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued handover from Wall St; Europe primed for a lower open (Eurostoxx 50 future -0.7%)US President Trump said he would be willing to extend the trade talks deadline but doesn't think it will be necessaryUS President Trump is planning to send letters in a week and a half for countries to take it or leave it regarding a trade deal.US evacuated non-emergency US government personnel from several Middle Eastern countries due to heightened regional tensionsUS officials were told that Israel is fully ready for an Iran operation, according to CBSDXY has extended losses, EUR/USD has made its way onto a 1.15 handle, USD/JPY is sub-144Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP Estimate, US Initial Jobless Claims & PPI, ECB's Schnabel, de Guindos & Elderson, Supply from Italy & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.European bourses are firmer this morning, though with Retail lagging; Stateside, futures are just into the red into CPI.DXY choppy but contained within Tuesday's parameters so far. Fixed benchmarks pressured into CPI, Gilts lag.Crude has seen notable two-way action on reporting around Iran. XAU edges higher, base metals mixed. Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI & Weekly Earnings, UK Spending Review, Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Supply from the US, Earnings from Oracle.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly higher amid the recent trade-related optimism stemming from the US-China trade talks in London which have now concluded.US Commerce Secretary Lutnick said they have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus; will return to the US to see if Trump approves.Chinese Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang said the two sides reached a consensus regarding the Geneva meeting; will report on the framework to leaders.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.4% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Tuesday.USD is broadly firmer vs. peers, EUR/USD is retaining a 1.14 handle, USD/JPY is oscillating around the 145 mark, GBP eyes the UK spending review.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB Wage Tracker, US CPI & Weekly Earnings, UK Spending Review, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Lane & Cipollone, Supply from Australia, UK, Germany & US, Earnings from Oracle and Inditex.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US-China talks in London have commenced.US Commerce Secretary Lutnick says discussions with China are "going well"; talks to continue all day Tuesday.European stocks move lower ahead of US-China talks, FTSE 100 bid post-jobs data.GBP lags after jobs data which saw a slump in HMRC Payrolls and a further cooling in average earnings, USD ekes out mild gains.Gilts outperform as the UK labour market cools, USTs await US-China day two and 3yr supply.Crude is incrementally firmer, with XAU also modestly in the green.Looking ahead, US NFIB Business Optimism, EIA STEO, US-China Talks in London, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly higher with risk sentiment underpinned amid some optimism surrounding US-China talks; to resume 10:00BST.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said it was a 'good meeting' with China, Commerce Secretary Lutnick said talks were "fruitful".European equity futures indicate a marginally negative cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.USD is net positive vs. peers, EUR/USD sits around the 1.14 mark, JPY sits towards the bottom of the pile.Bunds are off lows but with the rebound relatively limited, crude futures are supported by the positive risk tone.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Employment & Average Earnings, ECB Survey of Monetary Analysts, EIA STEO, US-China Talks in London, US-Iran Nuclear deal "counter offer", ECB's Rehn, Supply from Netherlands, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are very far advanced on a China deal ahead of high-level talks in London on Monday.US President Trump said he is thinking about the next Fed Chair and it is coming out very soon.European bourses are modestly lower in holiday-thinned trade; ES/NQ trade around the unchanged mark whilst the RTY outperforms.USD is on the backfoot, giving back some of Friday's NFP induced gains, Antipodeans lead.Bunds surge in early trade, dragging global fixed income higher.Crude is essentially flat with catalysts light, focus on Iran's counter offer to the US nuclear proposal.Looking ahead, ECB's Elderson, Holiday Closures in Switzerland, Norway, Hungary, Greece & Cyprus.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly higher following last Friday's gains on Wall St; participants also digested mixed Chinese data.Chinese Y/Y CPI remained in deflationary territory, trade data saw imports and exports fall short of expectations.US President Trump said they are very far advanced on a China deal ahead of high-level talks in London on Monday.US President Trump said he is thinking about the next Fed Chair and it is coming out very soon.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.4% on Friday.DXY has pulled back a touch after gaining on Friday, antipodeans lead, EUR/USD has returned to a 1.14 handle.Looking ahead, highlights include ECB's Elderson, Holiday Closures in Switzerland, Norway, Hungary, Greece & Cyprus.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses trade flat/lower following the fallout of the dramatic Trump-Musk spat, but with traders setting their sights on the US jobs report.USD is slightly firmer in what has ultimately been a week of losses for DXY. EUR is trivially softer vs. the USD. JPY is the laggard across the majors.USTs are a touch higher ahead of the US jobs report and following yesterday's ECB-led losses. Bunds are attempting to atone for yesterday's downside. Gilts are being led by the upside in German paper.Crude Futures are subdued amid a firmer Dollar and overall cautious risk tone heading into the US job. Spot gold and silver are largely treading water. Base metals are mixed.Looking head, highlights include US NFP, Canadian Jobs, Speakers include BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued handover from the US amid a stunning online bust-up between US President Trump and Elon Musk.US President Trump said that trade talks with China have never been off track and straightened out the complexity.European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.1% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.1% on Thursday.DXY is a touch higher, EUR/USD ran out of steam ahead of 1.15, JPY marginally lags with FX markets otherwise steady.RBI cut the Repurchase Rate by 50bps to 5.50% (exp. 25bps cut) and changed its stance to neutral from accommodative.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output & Trade Balance, French Trade Balance, EZ Employment, GDP & Retail Sales, US NFP, Canadian Jobs, Bundesbank Semi-Annual Forecasts, ECB President Lagarde & BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is to meet with German Chancellor Merz at 11:45EDT/16:45BST today.European bourses opened flat before climbing, which supported US futures, but are now off best.FX markets broadly contained as EUR awaits the upcoming ECB rate announcement.Bonds broadly trading near session highs, Bunds benefit after strong auctions from Spain/France.Crude prices stabilise after sinking post-Saudi report, technical breakout boosts spot silver.Looking ahead, US Jobless Claims, Challenger Layoffs, US International Trade, Canadian Trade, ECB Policy Announcement; BoE DMP, Danish Holiday, Speakers including ECB President Lagarde, BoE's Greene, Fed's Kugler, Harker, Schmid & BoC's Kozicki. Earnings from Broadcom & DocuSign.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is to meet with German Chancellor Merz at 11:45EDT/16:45BST today.US President Trump said the "debt limit should be entirely scrapped..."; separately, he banned travel from certain nationsAPAC trade was mixed, European futures point to a flat openDXY saw a slight reprieve, EUR/USD took a breather and GBP was rangeboundFixed benchmarks held onto recent gains, JGBs were briefly knocked by the 30yr auctionCrude lacklustre, and unreactive to Trump and Putin holding a conversationLooking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders, Swedish CPI, Italian Retail Sales, EZ Producer Prices, US Jobless Claims, Challenger Layoffs, US International Trade, Canadian Trade, ECB Policy Announcement; BoE DMP, Danish Holiday, Speakers including ECB President Lagarde, BoE's Greene, Fed's Kugler, Harker, Schmid & BoC's Kozicki, Supply from Spain & France, Earnings from Broadcom, DocuSign, Wise & CMC Markets.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

EU Trade Commissioner Sefcovic says he had constructive talks with USTR Greer; are advancing in the correct direction at "pace".US President Trump's order to increase steel and aluminium tariffs to 50% has taken effect, aside from the UK. The UK is still subject to 25% tariffs on steel, with the UK failing to get the 0% tariffs promised in the US ‘deal' implemented in time.European bourses climb higher and currently at session highs; US futures are modestly higher with some outperformance in the RTY.USD is incrementally lower/flat, whilst Antipodeans lead the G10 list.Bonds are weighed on by upward revisions to PMIs, Gilts lag after US metal measures.Crude tilts higher with US-Iran negotiations seemingly at a stalemate.Looking ahead, US Composite/Services PMI Final, US ADP National Employment, US ISM Services, BoC & NBP Policy Announcements, Fed Beige Book, Speakers including Fed's Bostic, Cook & US Treasury Secretary Bessent. Earnings from PVH & Dollar Tree.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is reportedly set to speak with Chinese President Xi on Friday, according to sources. It was also reported that White House Press Secretary said the Trump-Xi call will be held very soon.White House said the Wednesday trade offer deadline letter was authentic and they are on track for good deals.APAC stocks traded mostly higher following the gains on Wall St where sentiment was lifted by better-than-expected JOLTS data and with some slight optimism with US President Trump and Chinese President Xi reportedly set to speak this Friday.KOSPI outperformed and is on course for a bull market following the Presidential Election which was won by the DP's Lee Jae-Myung who was later sworn in.European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3% after the cash market finished with gains of 0.4% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK, US Composite/Services PMI Final, US ADP National Employment, US ISM Services, BoC & NBP Policy Announcements, Fed Beige Book, Speakers include Fed's Bostic, Cook & US Treasury Secretary Bessent, Supply from UK, Earnings from PVH & Dollar Tree.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The EU did not receive a US letter demanding best trade negotiations offers by Wednesday, according to Reuters sources.European bourses opened higher but tilted lower as the Dutch Government collapsed; US futures also in the red.USD attempts to claw back recent losses, EUR/USD digests soft inflation data.10yr JGB sale bolsters bonds and Bunds see some modest action on EZ HICP; Fed speak ahead.Crude continues to gain while base metals falter on a recovering dollar and dismal Chinese PMI.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods, JOLTS Job Openings, RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism, Speakers including Fed's Goolsbee, Logan & Cook, ECB's Lagarde. Earnings from CrowdStrike, Hewlett Packard, Dollar General & NIO.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly higher as the region took impetus from the rebound on Wall St; gains capped by disappointing Chinese Caixin Manufacturing data.US President Trump's administration wants countries' "best offer" by Wednesday in tariff talks, according to Reuters.White House Press Secretary said US President Trump and Chinese President Xi will likely talk this week.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.DXY is a touch higher after yesterday's session of losses, EUR/USD remains on a 1.14 handle, antipodeans lag.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ HICP, Unemployment Rate, US Durable Goods, JOLTS Job Openings, RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism, Fed's Goolsbee, Logan & Cook, ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Bailey, Breeden, Dhingra & Mann, Supply from UK & Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he will double US steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50%, effective June 4th.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said China is holding back products essential to the industrial supply chain and he believes President Trump will talk to Chinese President Xi very soon, according to a CBS interview.Crude soars on OPEC+. OPEC+ members that voluntarily restricted output agreed to a 411k BPD oil production increase in July, as expected, which could be paused or reversed subject to market conditions.Chinese Official PMI data over the weekend was mixed, with manufacturing improving as expected but non-manufacturing surprisingly easing, albeit slightly.Stocks mostly lower in reaction to Trump's steel tariffs and US-China commentary; ES -0.5%.Dollar in the doldrums as "sell America" trade seemingly back on the table.Bearish bias in the fixed complex awaiting ISM Manufacturing and Powell.Looking ahead, Canadian & US Manufacturing PMI Finals, ISM Manufacturing, Speakers including BoE's Mann, ECB President Lagarde, Fed's Logan, Goolsbee & Powell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said he will double US steel and aluminium tariffs from 25% to 50%, effective June 4th.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said China is holding back products essential to the industrial supply chain and he believes President Trump will talk to Chinese President Xi very soon, according to a CBS interview.OPEC+ members that voluntarily restricted output agreed to a 411k BPD oil production increase in July, as expected, which could be paused or reversed subject to market conditions.Chinese Official PMI data over the weekend was mixed, with manufacturing improving as expected but non-manufacturing surprisingly easing, albeit slightly.Meeting between Russian and Ukrainian delegates in Istanbul is expected to take place at 11:00BST/06:00EDT in Ciragan Palace on Monday, according to a Turkish Foreign Ministry source.APAC stocks were mostly in the red, European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK, Canadian & US Manufacturing PMI Finals, Swiss GDP, ISM Manufacturing, Speakers including BoE's Mann, ECB President Lagarde, Fed's Logan, Goolsbee & Powell, Supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump's advisers are considering a stopgap tariff regime if the court appeal against the tariff block fails, while the effort that the Trump administration is considering would allow tariffs of up to 15% for 100 days, according to WSJ.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said a couple of large deals are close. Furthermore, he said China talks are a bit stalled but believes they will have more talks in a few weeks and noted the EU's deal is in motion.European stocks opened with modest gains and have continued to build on that, whilst US equity futures are incrementally lower.DXY is firmer and towards session highs, JPY marginally benefits post-Tokyo CPI.USTs marginally lower/flat, two-way EGB action on prelim. inflation prints ahead of Germany's figure and US PCE.Crude is trading with modest gains given the risk tone and into weekend OPEC events, base metals move lower.Looking ahead, German Inflation, US PCE (Apr), Canadian GDP, S&P Credit Review on France, DBRS on Germany & Spain, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic & Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were subdued heading into month-end as participants digested a slew of data and amid trade uncertainty; Euro Stoxx 50 futures indicate a flat open.DXY little moved after US President Trump-Fed Chair Powell meeting, JPY benefits after mostly-firmer than expected Tokyo CPI.US appeals court temporarily reinstated US President Trump's tariffs during the appeal and said it needs time to consider filings.US President Trump's advisers are considering a stopgap tariff regime if the court appeal against the tariff block fails, while the effort that the Trump administration is considering would allow tariffs of up to 15% for 100 days, according to WSJ.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the China talks are a bit stalled but believes they will have more talks in a few weeks and noted the EU's deal is in motion.Germany is reportedly eyeing a 10% digital tax on global tech giants like Meta (META) and Google (GOOGL), according to FT.Looking ahead, German Retail Sales, Spanish, German & Italian Inflation, US PCE (Apr), Canadian GDP, S&P Credit Review on France, DBRS on Germany & Spain, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic & Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Stocks boosted after NVIDIA's earnings and after the Manhattan-based Court of International Trade blocked President Trump's Liberation Day tariffs.NVIDIA (NVDA) shares +6% pre-market following earnings which beat on top and bottom lines despite incurring a USD 4.5bln charge in Q1; Q2 revenue outlook 45.0bln (exp. 46.4bln).US President Trump ordered US chip designers to stop selling to China, according to FT; US halts exporting aircraft engine technology and chip software to China, according to NYT.DXY firmer & havens broadly lag given the risk tone; USTs/XAU both in the red.Looking ahead, Highlights include US GDP 2nd Estimate (Q1), Core PCE Prices (Q1), Jobless Claims, SARB Policy Announcement, Swiss & Scandinavian Holiday, Speakers including Fed's Barkin, Goolsbee, Kugler & Daly, BoE's Bailey & Breeden, Supply from the US Earnings from Marvell, Costco, Dell, Gap, ULTA, Foot Locker, Best Buy & Kohl's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly higher with sentiment underpinned following NVIDIA's earnings and after the Manhattan-based Court of International Trade blocked President Trump's Liberation Day tariffs.NVIDIA (NVDA) shares rose 4.9% after hours following earnings which beat on top and bottom lines despite incurring a USD 4.5bln charge in Q1; Q2 revenue outlook 45.0bln (exp. 46.4bln).US President Trump ordered US chip designers to stop selling to China, according to FT; US halts exporting aircraft engine technology and chip software to China, according to NYT.FOMC Minutes stated participants agreed they were well positioned to wait for more clarity on the outlook.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 1.4% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.7% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Retail Sales, Italian Industrial Sales, US GDP 2nd Estimate (Q1), Core PCE Prices (Q1), Jobless Claims, SARB Policy Announcement, Swiss & Scandinavian Holiday, Speakers including Fed's Barkin, Goolsbee, Kugler & Daly, BoE's Bailey & Breeden, Supply from Italy & US Earnings from Marvell, Costco, Dell, Gap, ULTA, Foot Locker, Best Buy & Kohl's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses opened mixed but now in the red, US futures also lower ahead of NVIDIA results.USD is fractionally extending on Tuesday's upside, Kiwi leads after RBNZ delivers a hawkish cut.40yr JGB auction weighs, awaiting US supply & FOMC Minutes.Energy markets await JMMC/OPEC+; Metals tread water.US President Trump says Canada joining the Golden Dome is free if they are the 51st State, adding "They are considering the offer!".Looking ahead, US Richmond Fed Index, FOMC Minutes, OPEC+/JMMC, Speakers including BoE's Pill, Supply from the US, Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Abercrombie & Macy's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks mostly higher following the Wall St. strength, futures since off best awaiting NVIDIA earningsUS President Trump says Canada joining the Golden Dome is free if they are the 51st State, adding "They are considering the offer!"DXY continues to pick up, EUR/USD tests 1.13 to the downside & Cable lost 1.35, JPY choppyRBNZ cut as expected, but refrained from overtly dovish languageJGBs came under pressure after a somewhat mixed 40yr auction, USTs & EGBs also softCrude marginally firmer ahead of OPEC, gold indecisive, base peers lacklustreLooking ahead, highlights include German Unemployment Rate, ECB SCE, US Richmond Fed Index, FOMC Minutes, OPEC+/JMMC, Speakers including Fed's Williams, Kashkari & BoE's Pill, Supply from UK, Germany & US, Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Abercrombie & Macy's.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The EU set to focus on critical sectors in a bid to avoid US tariffs, according to Bloomberg sources.Stocks in the green and generally at session highs; NQ +1.7%.USD attempts to atone for recent losses, JPY weighed on by a pullback in domestic yields.Bonds bid and yields slump on MOF sources, Gilts outperform on this & reports that the UK will be shifting to shorter-term borrowing in order to lower its interest bill.Crude uneventful ahead of OPEC+ whilst precious and base metals slip.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods & Consumer Confidence, NBH Policy Announcement, Supply from the US, Earnings from AutoZone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed with price action contained amid a lack of major fresh catalysts and in the absence of a lead from Wall St.European equity futures indicate a slightly softer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market finished with gains of 1.3% on Monday.DXY is back above 99.00 and attempting to claw back yesterday's downside, EUR/USD is back on a 1.13 handle.US President Trump is said to be eyeing sanctions against Moscow this week, according to the WSJ.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK, EZ Sentiment, French CPI, US Durable Goods & Consumer Confidence, NBH Policy. Announcement, ECB's Villeroy & Fed's Kashkari, Supply from Netherlands, Italy & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced a delay to the 50% tariff deadline on EU goods to July 9th.APAC stocks traded mixed as the initial uplift following Trump's announcement gradually waned.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 1.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.8% on Friday.DXY has started the week on the backfoot and has slipped below the 99 mark, EUR/USD is on a 1.14 handle, antipodeans outperform.Trump called Russian President Putin "crazy" after Russia launched the largest air attack on Ukraine in the war so far despite the sides conducting a three-day prisoner swap.Looking ahead, the only notable highlight on the calendar is ECB's Lagarde. UK & US markets are closed.The desk will run to 18:00BST/13:00EDT on Monday 26th May, at which point the service will close due to holiday closures. The service will then re-open later that evening at 22:00BST for the beginning of the Asia-Pacific session.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is pushing the EU to cut tariffs or face extra duties with US negotiators to tell Brussels they expect unilateral concessions, according to FT.European and US equity futures are trading mixed and generally reside on either side of the unchanged mark.USD shunned once again after Thursday's attempted bounce; JPY benefits from hot core inflation data overnight; GBP little moved to firmer-than-expected Retail Sales.Bonds are higher as USTs look to claw back recent losses; some downside in Bunds following German GDP but proved fleeting.Crude remains subdued whilst metals benefit from the softer Dollar ahead of US-Iran talks at 12:00 BST / 07:00 EDT.Looking ahead, Canadian Retail Sales, Speakers including ECB's Schnabel, BoE's Pill, Fed's Musalem & Cook.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly in the green albeit with gains in the region capped following the indecisive performance stateside.US President Trump and Chinese President Xi have not spoken since the Geneva agreement, according to CNN.US President Trump is pushing the EU to cut tariffs or face extra duties with US negotiators to tell Brussels they expect unilateral concessions, according to FT.European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.6% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German GDP, UK Retail Sales, EZ Negotiated Wage Rates, Canadian Retail Sales, Speakers including ECB's Lane & Schnabel, BoE's Pill, Fed's Musalem & Cook.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump's Tax/Spending bill is currently being debated in the US House (passed the Rules Committee overnight), the debate has formally hit the two-hour minimum as of the time of publication; vote time TBC.European stocks trade lower following the Wall Street and APAC losses; US equity futures attempt to recover recent losses.USD mixed vs. peers, EUR and GBP digest PMI metrics, JPY narrowly leads.USTs a little firmer finding some reprieve following 20yr weakness, Bunds choppy following EZ PMIs.Crude pressured amid reports of further OPEC+ output hikes, Spot gold a little lower.Bitcoin extended on gains and printed a fresh all-time high of above the USD 111k level; Texas House approved the bill to create a Bitcoin reserve.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs, Jobless Claims, Canadian Producer Prices, NZ Retail Sales, ECB Minutes. Speakers including RBA's Hauser, BoE's Breeden, Dhingra & Pill, ECB's Elderson & de Guindos, BoC's Gravelle, Fed's Barkin & Williams, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were on the back foot following the sell-off on Wall St where stocks, treasuries and the dollar were pressured amid deficit concerns and a weak 20-year auction.US President Trump said he was feeling very good about the bill in Congress; US House Speaker Johnson said on Wednesday that they were yet to decide on a vote on the tax bill that night or on Thursday but added that the Trump tax bill is moving forward.Bitcoin extended on gains and printed a fresh all-time high of above the USD 111k level; Texas House approved the bill to create a Bitcoin reserve.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.8% after the cash market closed flat on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK, US Flash PMIs, German Ifo, US Jobless Claims, Canadian Producer Prices, NZ Retail Sales, ECB Minutes, Speakers including RBA's Hauser, BoE's Breeden, Dhingra & Pill, ECB's Elderson & de Guindos, BoC's Gravelle, Fed's Barkin & Williams, Supply from Spain, France & US.Earnings from BT, British Land, easyJet, QinetiQ, Tate & Lyle, ConvaTec, Intertek, Generali, PKN Orlen, Allegro, Julius Baer, Galenica, Autodesk, Ross & Analog Devices.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US House Speaker Johnson said a Thursday tax bill floor vote is still realistic.China's Commerce Ministry said US measures on China's advanced chips are typical of unilateral bullying and protectionism.Europe opened mostly lower but now trade mixed, US equity futures are in the red.USD remains out of love, GBP digests hot CPI data, EUR/USD back above 1.13.Bearish bias in play, Gilts lag after hot CPI, USTs await fiscal updates.Energy and gold boosted by reports Israel is preparing a possible strike on Iranian nuclear facilities.Looking ahead, G7 Central Bank and Finance Ministers Meeting, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde, Lane, Nagel & Cipollone, Fed's Barkin & Bowman, Supply from the US, Earnings from Snowflake, Zoom, Target, TJX, VF Corp & Medtronic.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk