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Der DAX kämpft um die Marke von 25.000 Punkten, während der Euro Stoxx 50 bereits neue Rekorde markiert. Gleichzeitig fällt der Ölpreis deutlich, nachdem sich Hinweise auf ein Abkommen zwischen den USA und dem Iran verdichten und die Straße von Hormus wieder geöffnet werden könnte. Im Fokus dieser Ausgabe steht jedoch der Trade der Woche: Die Porsche-Aktie bricht nach einer positiven Analystenstudie von Goldman Sachs aus einer zwölfmonatigen Seitwärtsbewegung aus. Sind jetzt 54 oder sogar 60 Euro möglich? Welche Chancen bieten Porsche AG und die Porsche Holding? Und warum könnte eine überraschende Erholung der europäischen Autoaktien gerade erst beginnen?
US President Trump said we made a great settlement of war with Iran, signing will probably happen in Europe and soon; Brent -2.0% at USD 88.50/bbl.Israel is not a party to the MOU, though PM Netanyahu expressed his appreciation to the US' commitment, CBS reported. Iran is reportedly yet to come to a final conclusion on the deal.APAC stocks rallied in a continuation of the strength from Wall St. on the settlement report and despite the Israeli & Iran reporting.European futures point to a firmer open, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.7%. US futures are also bid, ES & NQ +0.2%, looking to the SPCX IPO.FX moved to the above, currently features a firmer USD to the detriment of NZD and JPY in particular. Fixed income holds onto gains.Looking ahead, highlights include German/French/Spanish HICP Final (May), UK GDP (Apr), Industrial Production (Apr), Canadian Wholesale Sales (Apr), US UoM Prelim. (Jun), SpaceX Debut & COO Interview.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Der historische Börsengang von SpaceX elektrisiert die Märkte. Bereits vor dem offiziellen Handelsstart werden die Aktien deutlich über Ausgabepreis gehandelt. Wir analysieren die Chancen und Risiken des IPOs, die neue Börsenformel „MANGOS“ und die Auswirkungen auf den Technologiesektor. Goldman Sachs wird überraschend bullish für Porsche und sieht deutliches Gewinnpotenzial bis 2030. Gleichzeitig startet Fresenius Medical Care (FMC) ein milliardenschweres Aktienrückkaufprogramm und setzt auf neue Dialyse-Technologien. Dazu blicken wir auf die Rekordjagd des Euro Stoxx 50, die EZB-Zinsentscheidung, fallende Ölpreise und die zunehmenden Risiken durch steigende Anleiherenditen.
Israel conducted airstrikes in Beirut, which led to retaliatory attacks by Iran against Israel. The Iranians warned that if Israel expands its Lebanon operations, it will deliver “devastating blows”; Brent Aug'26 +4.1%.US President Trump said he was supposed to announce that a deal with Iran would be signed this week, and now this (in reference to the above airstrikes) is happening.US President Trump said Israeli PM Netanyahu will have no choice but to accept whatever deal the US negotiates with Iran because he calls the shots.APAC stocks were negative, amidst the geopolitical escalation and after Friday's tech-led losses. European bourses are indicative of a weak open.DXY is a touch lower, whilst Antipodeans are incrementally firmer. USD/JPY hovers above 160.00.Looking ahead, highlights include German Factory Orders (Apr), US NY Fed SCE (Jun), Apple WWDC Keynote (June 8-12).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Roberto Moro, analiza en el consultorio de hoy, un Ibex 35 que continúa con fortaleza y se mantiene por encima de los 18.300 puntos, muy cerca de los máximos históricos que lleva varias sesiones intentando alcanzar. Aunque el selectivo español todavía no ha conseguido romper definitivamente esa barrera, la situación técnica sigue siendo favorable y mantiene intacta la estructura alcista de fondo. La evolución del mercado europeo está muy ligada a la de otros grandes índices del continente. Moro señala que tanto el DAX alemán como el EuroStoxx 50 también cotizan a escasa distancia de sus máximos históricos, lo que refuerza la idea de que las bolsas europeas atraviesan una fase de consolidación dentro de una tendencia positiva. Más que una corrección, los analistas describen el comportamiento actual como un movimiento lateral-alcista que permite absorber las ganancias acumuladas durante los últimos meses. En Estados Unidos, el panorama continúa siendo incluso más sólido. El Dow Jones marcó recientemente nuevos máximos históricos, mientras que el S&P 500 y el Nasdaq 100 permanecen muy cerca de sus cotas récord. La fortaleza de la tecnología y del sector de semiconductores sigue siendo uno de los principales motores del mercado estadounidense, que mantiene una clara predisposición alcista. Lo más relevante para Moro es la capacidad que han demostrado los mercados para resistir un contexto especialmente complejo. Durante los últimos meses, los inversores han tenido que convivir con tensiones geopolíticas, incertidumbre económica, presiones inflacionistas y dudas sobre la evolución de los tipos de interés. Sin embargo, ninguno de estos factores ha conseguido romper la tendencia positiva de las bolsas. Precisamente esa resistencia ante las malas noticias es uno de los argumentos que refuerzan el optimismo de fondo. Si acontecimientos potencialmente negativos no han sido capaces de truncar una racha tan favorable, resulta difícil encontrar a corto plazo un catalizador que altere significativamente la dirección del mercado. Por ello, el escenario predominante sigue siendo el de continuidad alcista tanto en Europa como en Estados Unidos. Mientras los índices mantengan sus actuales estructuras técnicas y sigan acercándose a máximos históricos, la tendencia principal continuará apuntando al alza.
Daniel Santacreu analiza hoy los el arranque de los mercados europeos con subidas significativas en la jornada de ayer. Esto les desmarca de la debilidad mostrada por Wall Street en la sesión anterior. Esta divergencia entre ambos lados del Atlántico se produce después de que los principales índices estadounidenses pusieran fin a su reciente racha alcista con una corrección que, según los analistas, entra dentro de la normalidad tras semanas de fuertes revalorizaciones. El S&P 500 y el Nasdaq cedieron terreno arrastrados por la recogida de beneficios en algunos de los grandes nombres del mercado, especialmente dentro del universo tecnológico. Tras acumular máximos históricos y avances muy destacados en valores ligados a la inteligencia artificial, el mercado estadounidense comienza a mostrar síntomas de sobrecompra que justifican este movimiento correctivo. Más que un cambio de tendencia, se interpreta como una pausa lógica dentro de una estructura de fondo que sigue siendo alcista. Mientras tanto, las bolsas europeas mantienen un mejor comportamiento relativo. El Ibex 35, el DAX alemán o el EuroStoxx 50 cotizan al alza, aunque todos ellos siguen enfrentándose a importantes zonas de resistencia. El selectivo español continúa encontrando dificultades para superar con claridad el entorno de los 18.500 puntos, una referencia que ya ha frenado anteriores intentos alcistas. En paralelo, empiezan a multiplicarse las voces que advierten sobre una posible burbuja en torno a la inteligencia artificial. Sin embargo, el consenso sigue recordando que los mercados pueden prolongar durante mucho tiempo dinámicas aparentemente irracionales, especialmente cuando el flujo de capital continúa concentrándose en los mismos sectores y compañías. La atención técnica sigue centrada en Estados Unidos. El nivel de los 7.500 puntos en el S&P 500 se considera una referencia crítica. Su pérdida podría acelerar las ventas y provocar un ajuste de mayor profundidad que acabaría trasladándose también a los mercados europeos. Por ahora, el escenario dominante sigue siendo el de una corrección puntual dentro de una tendencia alcista de largo plazo, aunque con señales de agotamiento que merecen vigilancia.
US President Trump said talks with Iran were continuing at a rapid pace; he thinks he will have an agreement with Iran to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz over the next week.Iran's Foreign Ministry said the US bears direct responsibility for violations of the ceasefire with Iran and by Israel in Lebanon, adding that a violation on one front was equal to violations on all fronts.The US is in talks to expand nuclear weapon deployments in Europe, according to the FT.Crude futures gradually pulled back overnight following the prior day's rally; fixed income caught a bid overnight.APAC stocks were mixed following the choppy performance stateside; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI (May), JOLTs Job Openings (Apr), RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism, New Zealand Export/Import Prices (Q1), NBP Policy Announcement (Jun). Speakers include Fed's Kashkari & Hammack, BoE's Bailey & Greene, ECB's Vujcic. Supply from the UK & Germany. Earnings from Dollar General, Palo Alto & ULTA Beauty.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Der DAX gewinnt 0,5 % und schließt bei 25.124 Punkten. Zwischenzeitlich steigt er bis auf 25.363 Punkte und nähert sich damit seinem Rekordhoch von 25.507,79 Punkten. Dann bremst die unsichere Nachrichtenlage im Nahen Osten. In Europa bleibt die Stimmung dennoch freundlich, der EuroStoxx 50 legt 1,1 % auf 6.103 Punkte zu. An der Wall Street ist das Bild gemischt: Dow Jones +0,3 %, S&P 500 -0,2 %, Nasdaq -0,4 %. KI bleibt das große Thema: HPE springt nach starken Zahlen um 32,1 %, Marvell steigt vorbörslich nach Lob von Nvidia-Chef Jensen Huang um mehr als 20 %. Alphabet verliert 3,6 %, weil der geplante Kapitalbedarf von 80 Mrd. USD für KI-Infrastruktur Fragen aufwirft. Rheinmetall erhält einen Auftrag aus Rumänien im Wert von 5,7 Mrd. Euro, K+S kauft ein Salzgeschäft für bis zu 380 Mio. Euro, UniCredit erhöht den Commerzbank-Anteil auf 34,35 %. Außerdem im Fokus: easyJet, Ferrari und DHL. Und zum Schluss die Börsenweisheit des Tages von Warren Buffett: "Das Beste, was uns passieren kann, ist, wenn ein großartiges Unternehmen vorübergehend in Schwierigkeiten gerät. Wir wollen es kaufen, wenn es auf dem Operationstisch liegt."
The text of the possible memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran has not been finalised and confirmed to this point, according to Tasnim.A Romanian radio station reported that a drone hit a residential building in Romania's Galati, near the border with Ukraine.The EU is to discuss restrictions on Chinese imports, although no decision was expected on Friday.APAC stocks headed into month-end on the front foot as the region took impetus from the gains stateside.Crude futures were subdued after wiping out the prior day's initial gains.European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish HICP (May), German Import Prices (Apr), State/Nationwide CPI Prelim. (May), Unemployment Rate (May), French GDP Final (Q1), HICP Prelim. (May), Italian HICP Prelim. (May), Canadian GDP (Q1). Speakers include BoE's Bailey, Fed's Kashkari, Schmid, Bowman, Paulson & Daly. Credit Rating updates include S&P on France & Hungary, Morningstar DBRS on Spain.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Pepe Baynat señala un IBEX 35 que sigue mostrando una gran fortaleza relativa dentro de Europa. Los índices europeos han dado síntomas de debilidad y han reaccionado rápidamente al alza y ahora vuelven a enfrentarse a una zona clave: los máximos históricos. El selectivo español está trabajando bien la resistencia y el comportamiento técnico invita a pensar que podría intentar superarla en próximas sesiones. La sensación general es positiva. El mercado español está consolidando niveles después de las fuertes subidas acumuladas y, lejos de deteriorarse, mantiene una estructura sólida que favorece nuevos ataques alcistas. Superar esa franja de máximos históricos sería una señal muy importante para el conjunto del mercado europeo. El DAX alemán presenta una situación muy similar. El índice germano también se encuentra muy cerca de sus máximos históricos, en la zona de los 25.500 puntos, manteniendo igualmente una estructura técnica favorable. Lo mismo ocurre con el EuroStoxx 50, que se aproxima a la resistencia clave de los 6.220 puntos. En conjunto, Europa se encuentra “a tiro de piedra” de romper máximos históricos de forma coordinada. La idea que maneja el mercado es que, si finalmente se produce esa ruptura, probablemente llegará al mismo tiempo en los principales índices europeos, reforzando así la sensación de fortaleza global en la renta variable. Eso sí, bajo la superficie del mercado hay una realidad algo diferente. No todos los valores están acompañando estas subidas. De hecho, muchas compañías siguen mostrando debilidad, algunas acumulan caídas importantes y otras son incapaces de recuperar tendencia alcista. El comportamiento de los índices está siendo sostenido principalmente por los grandes valores de mayor capitalización, que son los que realmente están liderando el mercado y empujando a las bolsas hacia máximos.
A US official said the US military carried out new strikes on an Iranian military site and shot down multiple Iranian drones that posed a threat to US forces and commercial maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.IRGC said it targeted a US air base in response to the US aggression near Bandar Abbas Airport, while it added that any further US attacks would trigger a more decisive response.Air raid sirens sounded in Kuwait, and the Kuwaiti Army said air defences were intercepting hostile missiles and drone attacks, according to Al Hadath.US President Trump said he was not discussing easing sanctions on Iran and would keep control of Iran's money until it behaves, while adding he was uncomfortable with Russia or China taking Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpileCrude futures edged higher after reports of explosions in Iran's Bandar Abbas; 10yr UST futures continued their slide amid a rebound in oil.APAC stocks were pressured amid a flare-up of geopolitical tensions; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.2%.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Retail Sales (Apr), EU Consumer Confidence Final (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (May/23), US GDP 2nd Estimate (Q1), US Core PCE (Apr), US Durable Goods Orders (Apr), US Real Consumer Spending 2nd Estimate (Q1), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), ECB Minutes (Apr), SARB Policy Announcement (May). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Barkin, BoE's Breeden, ECB's Lane, Lagarde, Cipollone, Schnabel & SNB's Schlegel. Supply from the UK, Italy & US, Earnings from Dell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
A US Central Command spokesperson said US forces conducted self-defence strikes in southern Iran on Monday, in which US forces hit targets, including missile launch sites and Iranian boats attempting to emplace mines.US Secretary of State Rubio said US strikes on Iran do not preclude a diplomatic deal and that an Iran deal is possible within days.A source familiar with talks between the high-level Iranian delegation and officials in Doha said Qatari mediation has led to an understanding with the US on Tehran's frozen financial assets, according to Al Jazeera.Crude futures partially rebounded off the prior day's lows after slumping nearly 7% on Monday.Asia-Pac stocks were mixed; European equity futures indicate a mildly lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3%.Looking ahead, highlights include US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Apr), Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (May), Consumer Confidence (May), NBH Policy Announcement (May), Supply from Italy & the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Nach der Erholung der Märkte in der Vorwoche dank neuer Hoffnungen auf einen Waffenstillstand im Iran blicken Anleger nun erneut gespannt auf Fortschritte in den Verhandlungen. Neben der geopolitischen Lage richtet sich das Interesse nach dem Auslaufen der Gewinnsaison auf makroökonomische Daten. Die US-Konjunktur steckt die geopolitischen Probleme bisher besser weg als die europäische Wirtschaft. Dies wird auch am Aktienmarkt deutlich, der S&P 500 ist in den USA ist im Börsenjahr 2026 bislang um 9 Prozent gestiegen, während der EuroStoxx 50 nur 3 Prozent zulegen konnte. Welche weiteren Termine und Entscheidungen in dieser Woche anstehen und welche Ereignisse Sie unbedingt im Blick behalten sollten, erfahren Sie jetzt in unserem Podcast: Agenda 2026 – Die Woche in 5 Minuten. Dieser Podcast wurde durch eine KI-Stimme gesprochen. BNP Paribas Zertifikate im Web [https://derivate.bnpparibas.com/](https://derivate.bnpparibas.com/) Wichtige rechtliche Hinweise [https://derivate.bnpparibas.com/service/rechtliche-hinweise/](https://derivate.bnpparibas.com/service/rechtliche-hinweise/) Grundsätze zur Weitergabe von Anlage- und Anlagestrategieempfehlungen sowie Informationen über eigene Interessen und Interessenkonflikte: [https://derivate.bnpparibas.com/service/disclosure/grundsatze-zur-weitergabe-von-anlage--und-anlagestrategieempfehlungen/](https://derivate.bnpparibas.com/service/disclosure/grundsatze-zur-weitergabe-von-anlage--und-anlagestrategieempfehlungen/) Informationen über Interessen und Interessenkonflikte des Erstellers: https://feingoldresearch.de/impressum/?lid=q6uvv0u30t4f
US President Trump posted on Saturday that an agreement has largely been negotiated, subject to finalisation between the US, Iran and various Middle Eastern countries.US and Iran were reportedly close to signing an agreement involving a 60-day ceasefire extension, which could be extended by mutual consent, according to Axios.US senior officials said the naval blockade will only be lifted after Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz, and no funds will be released until enriched uranium is handed over.Crude futures declined amid hopes for a US-Iran agreement after President Trump announced on Saturday that an agreement has largely been negotiated.APAC stocks gained with risk appetite boosted; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 1.0%.Looking ahead, holidays include cash market closures in the US and UK.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
En el consultorio de bolsa de hoy, Daniel Santacreu analiza una semana que arranca positiva en las bolsas europeas, impulsadas por la caída del precio del petróleo, que vuelve a situarse por debajo de los 100 dólares por barril. Explica Santacreu que el mercado mantiene una clara inercia alcista. Tanto en Europa como en Estados Unidos, las bolsas apoyan subidas sostenidas y en un creciente optimismo respecto a Oriente Medio por el precio del petróleo, donde cualquier noticia favorable sobre posibles avances diplomáticos actúa como catalizador para las compras. En Wall Street, el S&P 500 se mantiene muy cerca de máximos históricos, con la zona de los 7.500 puntos como referencia inmediata. Una ruptura al alza podría abrir el camino hacia los 7.600 puntos, mientras que el soporte clave se sitúa en los 7.300. Sin embargo, Santacruz lanzó una advertencia especial sobre el Nasdaq 100, donde empieza a apreciarse una posible figura de doble techo alrededor de los 29.700 puntos, justo antes del nivel psicológico de los 30.000. Considera que esa zona puede convertirse en un punto de inflexión importante para el mercado estadounidense. En Europa, el IBEX 35 intenta consolidar la superación de los 18.270 puntos para atacar de nuevo los máximos de abril en torno a los 18.500. También el DAX y el EuroStoxx 50 mantienen una estructura técnica alcista tras superar resistencias relevantes. Pese al optimismo, Santacreu insiste en que conviene mantener la prudencia en Estados Unidos, ya que algunas referencias técnicas importantes podrían frenar el actual impulso alcista. Aun así, el escenario principal continúa siendo favorable para las bolsas mientras el petróleo siga relajándose y no reaparezcan tensiones geopolíticas más severas.
US stocks ultimately closed higher in what was another choppy session dominated by contradictory geopolitical headlines surrounding the Middle East conflict.Al Arabiya TV was initially reported to have obtained the final draft of a prospective Pakistani-mediated US-Iran agreement, although it was later stated that these reports were fabricated.A senior Iranian source said no deal had been reached yet, but gaps have narrowed, with Iran's uranium enrichment and its control over the Strait of Hormuz among the sticking points.A high-level source familiar with the matter later said the Iranian Supreme Leader's final decision is not to hand over the enriched uranium to Washington, according to Al Hadath.APAC stocks were mostly higher; European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 1.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Confidence (Jun), GDP Final (Q1) & Ifo Business Climate (May), UK Retail Sales (Apr), PSNB (Apr), Canadian Retail Sales (Mar), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (May), BoC SLOS (May), and Kevin Warsh sworn in as Fed Chair. Speakers include ECB's Lane & Fed's Waller. Credit Ratings: Scope Ratings on China, S&P on Norway, Moody's on Hungary, Portugal & UK.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Iran's position in talks with the US to end the war hasn't changed much from earlier iterations that failed to yield progress towards a deal, according to WSJ, citing mediators and US officials.US Vice President Vance said he had spoken with President Trump regarding Iran and stated that Tehran had two options: either reach an agreement or resume the war.A US intelligence assessment recently showed that US forces identified at least 10 mines in the Strait of Hormuz, according to CBS, citing US officials.Samsung Electronics' (005930 KS) largest labour union will begin an 18-day strike on 21st May after wage talks broke down, Yonhap reported.APAC stocks declined following the weak handover from the US; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.6%.Looking ahead, highlights include German PPI (Apr), UK Inflation Report (Apr), EU Inflation Final (Apr), New Zealand Trade Balance (Apr), and FOMC Minutes (Apr). Speakers include US President Trump, Fed's Paulson & Barr, BoE's Bailey, Breeden, Dhingra & Mann. Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from NVIDIA, Target & Intuit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump posted on Truth that the US military is to hold off on the Iran attack that was initially planned for Tuesday after Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar requested him to do so, as serious talks are now taking place.US President Trump also instructed the US to be prepared to go forward with a full, large-scale assault of Iran on a moment's notice, in the event an acceptable deal is not reached.US President Trump told The Post on Monday that he is “not open” to any concessions for Tehran after receiving the latest disappointing Iranian response on peace deal talks.Crude futures were lower following the prior day's choppy mood owing to mixed geopolitical headlines, although the main highlight was US President Trump calling off an attack on Iran.APAC stocks traded mixed; European equity futures indicate a mildly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs Report (Mar/Apr), Average Earnings (Mar), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Canadian CPI (Apr). Speakers include BoE's Breeden, ECB's Lane & Fed's Waller. Supply from UK & Germany, Earnings from Home Depot.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said it's just a question of time regarding Iran, but added that he is not going to be much more patient with Iran.US President Trump said he made fantastic trade deals with China, and it was an incredible visit, while they've settled a lot of different problems, and the relationship is a very strong one.Crude futures gradually edged higher amid risks of geopolitical escalation when US President Trump returns from his Beijing trip.APAC stocks were mostly subdued; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.3%.UK's Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham will be requesting to stand in the Makerfield by-election after MP Josh Simons stepped down.Looking ahead, highlights include Italian HICP Final (Apr), Canadian Wholesale Sales (Mar), US Industrial Production (Apr), Comments from Fed's Barr, Credit Ratings Updates including Fitch on Germany, S&P on Italy, Morningstar DBRS on Portugal and the UK, Scope Ratings on Poland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump told Chinese President Xi that they've had a fantastic relationship and they are going to have a fantastic future together.Chinese President Xi told US President Trump it is a pleasure to meet him in Beijing, while he has always believed that the common interests between China and the US outweigh the differences.US Secretary of State Rubio said the US hopes to convince China to play a more active role in persuading Iran to back down on its actions in the Gulf.An Iranian NSC spokesperson said new confrontations with the US are possible, and they are preparing a law regarding navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks traded mixed; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.7%.Looking ahead, highlights include Trump-Xi Summit (14th-15th May); UK GDP (Mar/Q1), Industrial Production (Mar), Spanish HICP Final (Apr), US Retail Sales (Apr), Export/Import Prices (Apr), Jobless Claims (May 9), Atlanta Fed GDP. Speakers include ECB's Lagarde, BoE's Pill, Fed's Logan, Schmid, Hammack & Williams. Earnings from Telefonica, Burberry & National Grid.Holiday: Ascension Day Holiday (Closures in Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
n el consultorio de bolsa de hoy, Daniel Santacreu analiza un mercado que muestra una clara divergencia entre Europa y Estados Unidos. Mientras las bolsas europeas tratan de rebotar desde zonas de soporte, los índices americanos continúan instalados en máximos históricos, impulsados principalmente por el sector tecnológico. El Nasdaq y el S&P 500 siguen disparados, aunque el analista advierte que la subida en Wall Street empieza a parecer un “espejismo” provocado por la falta de amplitud del mercado. La realidad es que la mayoría de las acciones apenas aguantan o incluso siguen cayendo, mientras los gigantes tecnológicos sostienen a los índices estadounidenses. El ejemplo más claro está en los semiconductores, que continúan en máximos históricos liderados por Nvidia, compensando la debilidad de otros grandes valores tecnológicos como Microsoft o Meta. Todo ello ocurre en un contexto complicado, con el petróleo Brent y el West Texas ya por encima de los 100 dólares y con señales de repunte de la inflación. Sin embargo, estos factores todavía no se están reflejando plenamente en los índices americanos debido al enorme peso de las grandes tecnológicas. En Europa, el escenario es distinto. Los principales índices se encuentran apoyándose en zonas técnicas relevantes y mostrando rebotes moderados. El IBEX 35, por ejemplo, logró mantenerse sobre niveles clave y podría confirmar un nuevo tramo alcista si consolida los avances en cierre semanal. Situaciones similares se observan en el CAC francés, el DAX alemán y el EuroStoxx 50, todos ellos reaccionando desde importantes soportes técnicos. Pese al fuerte comportamiento de Wall Street, Santacreu advierte de elevados niveles de sobrecompra en Estados Unidos, lo que podría abrir la puerta a alguna corrección de corto plazo tras semanas de subidas muy intensas.
US President Trump said they are only going to make a good deal regarding Iran and will have a long talk with Chinese President Xi about the Iran war.Iran will not enter the second round of talks with the US without fulfilling five confidence-building conditions, local media reported.US President Trump posted that NVIDIA CEO Huang is on Air Force One along with a number of CEOs of large US companies.UK government whips believe Wes Streeting will make his move on Thursday to avoid clashing with the King's Speech.APAC stocks traded mixed; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.8%.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish Inflation Final (Apr), French Inflation Final (Apr), EZ Employment Change (Q1), Industrial Production (Mar), GDP 2nd Estimate (Q1), US PPI (Apr), BoC Minutes (Apr), Riksbank Minutes (May), IEA OMR (May), OPEC MOMR (May). Speakers include BoE's Mann, Fed's Collins & Kashkari, ECB's Lane & Lagarde. Supply from Australia, Italy, Germany & US. Earnings from Cisco Systems, Alibaba, Siemens, Deutsche Telekom, Allianz, E.ON, Merck & RWE.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said he has a plan on Iran and repeated that their proposal is unacceptable, while he added that the US blockade on Iran was part of military genius.US President Trump said the ceasefire is unbelievably weak and is on life support, but added that a diplomatic solution with Iran is still possible.US President Trump was reported to have met with his national security team on Monday to discuss the way forward in the Iran war, including possibly resuming military action, Axios sources reported.The White House said US President Trump will meet with Chinese President Xi on Thursday at 10:15 AM in Beijing (03:15BST/22:15EDT), and a banquet will be held at 18:00 on Thursday (11:00BST/06:00EDT).APAC stocks traded mixed; European equity futures indicate a negative open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.7%.Looking ahead, highlights include German HICP Final (Apr), ZEW (May), US Inflation (Apr), ADP Employment Change Weekly, EIA STEO (May), and EU Informal Meeting of Energy Ministers (May 12-13), Australian federal budget. Speakers include RBNZ's Bremen, BoC's Macklem, ECB's Elderson, Fed's Williams & Goolsbee. Supply from the Netherlands, UK, Germany & US. Earnings from JD com, Under Armour, Siemens Energy, Munich Re, Bayer & Vodafone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Roberto Moro destaca un IBEX 35 que continúa destacando entre las bolsas europeas y se mantiene cerca de máximos históricos, mientras el mercado sigue sorprendido por la resistencia de la renta variable pese al contexto geopolítico y al petróleo rondando los 100 dólares. Precisamente, uno de los focos de atención es la creciente divergencia entre renta fija y renta variable, con unas brechas que siguen ampliándose en favor de las bolsas. Aunque Europa muestra cierta debilidad intradía, el panorama técnico sigue siendo constructivo. Moro señala un DAX que deja una pequeña vela alcista en el gráfico semanal, un comportamiento que también comparten el EuroStoxx 50 y el sectorial bancario europeo. Aun así, el analista enfoca un Wall Street que mantiene una fortaleza muy superior, especialmente en el S&P 500, el Nasdaq y, sobre todo, en el índice de semiconductores de Filadelfia, donde la sensación de continuidad alcista es mucho más evidente. En paralelo, Roberto Moro explica que el dólar parece haber corregido parte de su comportamiento como activo refugio y empieza a mostrar cierta relajación en el corto plazo, estabilizándose en zonas de soporte relevantes. Todo ello contribuye a un escenario que, pese a la volatilidad reciente, sigue siendo positivo para la renta variable. De cara a la próxima semana, el mercado permanecerá muy pendiente de la evolución del conflicto en Irán. El lunes podrían conocerse nuevos datos que ayuden a definir hacia dónde pueden dirigirse los movimientos de mercado en el corto plazo.
Iran is expected to provide its reply to the US proposal for ending the war to mediators on Thursday, according to CNN, citing a regional source. US President Trump is optimistic about the Iran framework, and that the timeframe is one week, Fox reported. US President Trump could turn to military action without an agreement with Iran ahead of the China trip, according to Axios, citing US officials.US President Trump's reversal on his plan to help ships go through the Strait of Hormuz came after Saudi Arabia suspended the US's ability to use its bases and airspace to carry out Project Freedom, according to NBC, citing US officials.European equity futures are indicative of a quiet open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after cash closed +2.5% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Factory Orders (Mar), French Balance of Trade (Mar), US Challenger Job Layoffs (Apr), US Jobless Claims (May 2), Atlanta Fed GDP, Norges Bank/Riksbank/CNB/Banxico Policy Announcement (May), CBR Minutes (May), UK Local Elections. Speakers include ECBʼs de Guindos, Elderson, Schnabel, Lane, BoEʼs Lombardelli, Mann, Taylor, Fedʼs Hammack, Williams, Kashkari, Norges Bankʼs Bache, Riksbankʼs Thedeen. Supply from Spain, France. Earnings from CoreWeave, IREN, Coinbase, Cloudflare, DraftKings, ACM Research, Datadog, McDonald's & ShellRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said the war could go on for another two to three weeks; time is not of the essence.US officials say the military is closer to resuming combat operations than 24 hours ago, Fox reported.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi posted, "As talks are making progress with Pakistan's gracious effort, the US should be wary of being dragged back into a quagmire by ill-wishers. So should the UAE."RBA announcement saw a near-unanimous vote to hike the Cash Rate, coupled with the net hawkish statement, which highlighted inflation concerns from the ongoing Iranian war.European equity futures point to a lower open, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after cash markets fell 2.2% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss Inflation (Apr), US Building Permits Final (Mar), Canadian Balance of Trade (Mar), Canadian PMI (Apr), US PMI Final (Apr), US ISM Services (Apr), US JOLTS (Mar), US New Home Sales (Mar), US RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism (May), New Zealand Unemployment Rate (Q1). Speakers include RBA's Bullock, ECB's Lagarde, Lane, Fed's Bowman, Barr. Supply from Germany. Earnings from AMD, AMC, Strategy, Tempus AI, Shopify, PayPal, Pfizer, HSBC, Leonardo, and Infineon.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump posted on Sunday that the US will guide neutral ships safely out of the Strait of Hormuz under “Project Freedom”, beginning Monday morning Middle East time.An Iranian official said any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire.US President Trump posted at 23:47 BST on May 2nd that he would review Iran's proposal but “can't imagine that it would be acceptable”, Trump added that Iran had “not yet paid a big enough price”.USD/JPY was volatile amid thin liquidity (Golden Week) and recent intervention speculation, with a sharp drop observed at 04:45 BST.European equity futures are indicative of a modestly firmer return from the long weekend, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after cash closed with gains of 1.1% last Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Manufacturing PMI Finals (Apr), US Factory Orders (Mar), and US President Trump. Speakers include Fed's Williams, BoC's Macklem and Rogers, ECB's Cipollone, de Guindos. Earnings from Palantir, ONSemi, Pinterest, Norwegian Cruise Line, Tyson Foods. Holiday: UK May Bank Holiday.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Deze week in de IEX Beleggerspodcast: van TACO tot NACHO, swingende beurzen, tweedeling bij Big Tech en een cijfertsunami op het Damrak. Waar moeten we beginnen? Er liggen bergen beursnieuws klaar om te worden Samen met ECB-watcher Arne Petimezas en IEX-analist Teun Verhagen neemt Pieter Kort het laatste nieuws door, om af te sluiten met een pittig dilemma voor bodemvissers. De onderwerpen van deze week:Opvallende gokjes op Polymarket: wie weet er meer?RIP Martijn van der VormVan TACO naar NACHO: Not A Chance Hormuz OpensWaarom beurzen Hormuz even links laten liggenVoor centrale banken - ECB voorop - is Hormuz een hoofdpijndossierDe economie in Europa verzwakt, terwijl inflatie dreigtWaarom de Euro Stoxx 50 een beter beeld geeft dan de AEXJerome Powell's last stand: de Fed vecht terugCijfers van Big Tech: Alphabet wint, Meta verliest: waarom?Aandelen: Magnum, CSG, IMCD, ING, FugroDilemma van de week: bodemvissen bij LVMH of bij Adyen?
Israel is on high alert in anticipation of a possible renewed war this weekend, according to Al Arabiya, citing Channel 13.Speaker of the Iranian Parliament Ghalibaf resigns from the negotiating team following the intervention of the IRGC, N12 news reported.US President Trump said the US is to work with Lebanon to protect itself from Hezbollah and that the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire is to be extended by three weeks.NQ futures outperformed after Intel surged over 19% after-hours as the Co. provided a solid Q1 report while raising its guidance.US President Trump said the US will put a tariff on the UK if the digital service tax is not dropped.APAC stocks traded mostly in the red, ex. Nikkei 225; European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 futures -0.7%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Retail Sales (Mar), German Ifo Survey (Apr), Canadian Retail Sales (Feb), US UoM Survey Final (Apr), CBR Policy Announcement (Apr), Speakers include SNB's Schlegel, Supply from Italy, Earnings from Procter & Gamble & Eni.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump expects Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi to remain part of Iran talks and said the 3-5 day ceasefire is not true, according to Fox.Iranian President Pezeshkian said Iran has welcomed dialogue and continues to do so, while he stated that a breach of commitments, blockade and threats are the main obstacles to genuine negotiations.Crude futures were higher but off today's best levels after an early aggressive move to the upside was faded shortly after, due to a lack of actual fresh drivers behind the initial move.APAC stocks were mostly negative; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Apr), UK PSNB (Mar), French Business Confidence (Apr), Mexican Inflation (Apr), Canadian PPI (Mar), US Jobless Claims (Apr/18), and ECB Wage Tracker. Supply from the US. Earnings from Blackstone, Freeport-McMoran, American Airlines, Keurig Dr Pepper, Intel, Lockheed Martin, SAP, Safran, Sanofi, Vinci, and Orange.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump expects Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi to remain part of Iran talks and said the 3-5 day ceasefire is not true, according to Fox.Iranian President Pezeshkian said Iran has welcomed dialogue and continues to do so, while he stated that a breach of commitments, blockade and threats are the main obstacles to genuine negotiations.Crude futures were higher but off today's best levels after an early aggressive move to the upside was faded shortly after, due to a lack of actual fresh drivers behind the initial move.APAC stocks were mostly negative; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Apr), UK PSNB (Mar), French Business Confidence (Apr), Mexican Inflation (Apr), Canadian PPI (Mar), US Jobless Claims (Apr/18), and ECB Wage Tracker. Supply from the US. Earnings from Blackstone, Freeport-McMoran, American Airlines, Keurig Dr Pepper, Intel, Lockheed Martin, SAP, Safran, Sanofi, Vinci, and Orange.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said the US have been asked to hold their attack on Iran until such time as its leaders and representatives can come up with a unified proposal.More recently, it was reported that Iran received 'some sign' the US is ready to break the blockade – a rise in sentiment was seen.UKMTO said it received information about an incident 15 nautical miles to the northeast of Oman in which a container vessel was approached by a single IRGC gunboat.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.9% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Inflation (Mar), South African Inflation (Mar), EZ Consumer Confidence (Apr), CBRT Policy Announcement (Apr), Bank of Indonesia Policy Announcement (Apr). Speakers include BoE's Breeden, ECB's Lagarde, Elderson, Lane & Cipollone. Supply from Germany & US. Earnings from Vertiv, Boeing, GE Vernova, AT&T, Tesla, ServiceNow, IBM, L'Oreal, Danone, Accor & Akzo Nobel.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said they are making a lot of progress on Iran, and he is not sure the ceasefire needs to be extended, while he added that Iran is willing to do things today they previously weren't.US President Trump said he had excellent conversations with Lebanon's President Aoun and Israeli PM Netanyahu, while he announced that the leaders agreed to formally begin a 10-day ceasefire from 17:00EDT on Thursday.Israeli security official said the military has no plans to withdraw forces from Southern Lebanon during a ceasefire.A source told Al-Mayadeen that starting Friday, at noon (10:00BST) anyone wishing to cross Bab al-Mandab should be more vigilant than ever before in all six directions, while other reports noted that the warning was made by a resistance commander.APAC stocks were mostly lower; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2%.Looking ahead, highlights include Italian Balance of Trade (Feb), Canadian Housing Starts (Mar). Speakers include BoE's Breeden & Pill, Fed's Daly, Barkin & Waller. Earnings from State Street. Credit Reviews include Morningstar DBRS reviews credit rating on the EU and Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The Trump administration's goal is to bring both sides to the brink of an overarching deal to end the conflict that can then be pushed over the finish line in a second face-to-face meeting.Iran could consider ships being able to sail through the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz without interference or attack as part of a deal with the US.Iran and the Pakistani mediator will discuss details of the messages exchanged between Tehran and Washington today.Israeli officials said their assessment was that the ceasefire in Lebanon could begin within days; Lebanese officials said a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon was expected 'soon'.APAC stocks mostly gained; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Feb), Industrial Production (Feb), Italian HICP Final (Mar), EZ HICP Final (Mar), US Jobless Claims (Apr/11), Philly Fed Index (Apr), Industrial/Manufacturing Production (Mar), New Zealand Food Inflation (Mar), ECB Minutes (Mar) & SNB Minutes (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Williams & Miran, ECB's Schnabel, Nagel & Lane, RBA's Hunter & BoE's Taylor. Supply from Spain, France & UK, Earnings from TSMC, Abbott, Charles Schwab, PepsiCo, Netflix, Tesco & Pernod Ricard.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Daniel Santacreu, Analista Independiente, nos da su visión de las bolsas. Según explica, estamos ante una fase “excepcional”, marcada por una fuerte verticalidad en las subidas, algo que, subraya, “se ha visto pocas veces en la historia”. Este impulso alcista se apoya en un contexto geopolítico algo más relajado, lo que incrementa la complacencia de los inversores y favorece el apetito por el riesgo. A ello se suman unos resultados empresariales sólidos en la banca estadounidense, con referencias como Morgan y Bank of America, que ayudan a entender por qué el mercado mantiene su tendencia positiva. Sin embargo, Santacreu insiste en no perder la cautela. Los principales índices europeos alcanzan zonas técnicas comprometidas: el IBEX 35 se enfrenta a resistencias relevantes, el CAC 40 se aproxima a niveles clave, el DAX choca con sus medias móviles de medio y largo plazo, y el Euro Stoxx 50 ronda la cota psicológica de los 6.000 puntos. Todo ello sugiere que, aunque el impulso sigue vigente, el margen de subida empieza a estrecharse.
En Capital Intereconomía seguimos la apertura del Ibex 35 y de las principales bolsas europeas, que arrancan la sesión con ligeras subidas impulsadas por la esperanza de una desescalada en Oriente Medio. Un contexto que está favoreciendo el apetito por el riesgo, aunque con señales de cierta complacencia en el mercado. En el consultorio de bolsa, Daniel Santacreu, analista independiente, advierte de que nos encontramos en un momento poco habitual, con una verticalidad en las subidas que rara vez se ha visto en los últimos años. Este impulso se apoya en un entorno geopolítico algo más relajado y en unos resultados empresariales sólidos, como los de Morgan y Bank of America, que justifican en parte el optimismo. Sin embargo, Santacreu insiste en la necesidad de cautela. Los principales índices europeos empiezan a enfrentarse a zonas técnicas clave: el Ibex 35 choca con resistencias, el CAC 40 se aproxima a niveles importantes, el DAX se enfrenta a sus medias de medio y largo plazo, y el Euro Stoxx 50 se acerca a la cota psicológica de los 6.000 puntos. Unos niveles que podrían frenar el avance o provocar correcciones si no se superan con claridad. Además de este análisis, el experto atiende las consultas de los oyentes, aportando claves prácticas para gestionar carteras en un entorno donde conviven oportunidades y riesgos.
US President Trump said he views the war as being very close to over, according to Fox.US President Trump said he isn't thinking about extending the ceasefire and doesn't think it will be necessary, according to reports citing an ABC reporter on X.US Vice President JD Vance said they are negotiating with Iran and the ceasefire is holding, while he also stated Iranian negotiators wanted to make a deal, and he feels good about where they are.US President Trump's full interview on Fox Business will be aired on April 15th at 06:00EDT/11:00BST.APAC stocks were mostly higher; European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open, with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1%Looking ahead, highlights include French HICP Final (Mar), EZ Industrial Production (Feb), US Export/Import Prices (Mar), Fed Beige Book (Apr). Speakers include Fed's Barr & Bowman, ECB's Lagarde, Cipollone & Schnabel, BoE's Bailey, SNB's Schlegel, RBA's Hauser & RBNZ's Breman. Supply from Germany. Earnings from Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, and Hermes.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Is the traditional geopolitical risk playbook dead? In this episode of The European Market Brief, Mark Longo is joined by Morad Askar, Founder of EdgeClear, and Matt Koren, Equity and Index Derivatives Sales and Global VSTOXX Lead at Eurex, to dissect the unprecedented market activity following recent escalations in the Middle East. While the "old playbook" suggests a flight to quality in gold and a spike in oil, the recent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has sent the markets into a tailspin of "trade the tweet" volatility that defied standard expectations. The team explores why European derivatives—particularly VSTOXX and EURO STOXX 50—saw volumes surge to 2x their annual average, and why the "buy the dip" mentality is being tested like never before. Topics covered include: The Volatility Regime: Why VSTOXX hit levels near 35 while VIX lagged behind. The Transatlantic Spread: How energy dependency makes European markets more vulnerable to Middle East conflict than the US. Retail vs. Institutional Flow: The shift toward order book liquidity and the rise of daily options in Europe. Risk Management: Why "holding through the weekend" has become a dangerous game for professional traders in a 24/7 news cycle. Whether you're trading DAX, Bunds, or looking for cross-border volatility opportunities, this episode provides the "new" rules for an evolving, headline-driven market.
The US is reportedly eyeing a potential second round of in-person talks with Iran as the blockade takes hold, according to CNN.AP reported that the US and Iran could be headed toward a second round of talks, which could happen on Thursday.US VP Vance said we made some progress in Iran talks, and he wouldn't say things went wrong, while he added Iranians moved in our direction in talks, but not far enough.A US official said there is “continued engagement” with Iran and forward motion on trying to get to an agreement, while a senior US official also said talks between the US and Iran are continuing even now and there is progress in trying to reach an agreement, according to Axios.An IRGC spokesperson said that if the war continues, they will unveil capabilities that the enemy has no idea about, according to SNN.APAC stocks traded higher as risk sentiment was underpinned by hopes regarding US-Iran peace talks; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4%.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF Final (Mar), German Wholesale Prices (Mar), Spanish HICP Final (Mar), US NFIB Business Optimism Index (Mar), ADP Weekly Change, PPI (Mar), South Korean Export/Import Prices (Mar), IEA OMR (Apr), IMF World Economic Outlook Press Briefing (Apr). Speakers include BoE's Mann, Bailey & Greene, ECB's Lane, Cipollone & Lagarde, RBNZ's Breman, Fed's Goolsbee, Barr, Paulson, Collins & Barkin, Supply from the Netherlands & Germany. Earnings from JPMorgan Chase, BlackRock, Citi, J&J, Wells Fargo, BMW & Kering.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The US delegation, led by Vice President Vance, left US-Iran talks in Pakistan to return to the US without an agreement after 21 hours of talks.US President Trump said the US Navy will begin the process of blockading any and all ships trying to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz.US Central Command said it will begin implementing a blockade on all maritime traffic entering and leaving Iranian ports on April 13th at 17:00 Israeli time (15:00BST/10:00EDT).Crude futures surged with Brent crude back above the USD 100/bbl level following the failure of US-Iran talks in Islamabad and with the US to begin a naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks declined; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 1.4%, off worst levels.Looking ahead, highlights include US Existing Home Sales (Mar), OPEC MOMR (Apr). Speakers include ECB's de Guindos, RBA's Hauser & Fed's Miran. Earnings from Goldman Sachs & LVMH.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said he is optimistic that an Iran peace deal is within reach, while he added that Iran's leaders talk much differently when at a meeting than they do to the press, and they are much more reasonable.US President Trump posted, "There are reports that Iran is charging fees to tankers going through the Hormuz Strait — They better not be and, if they are, they better stop now!"An informed source stated Tehran rules out the option of negotiating with Washington until a complete ceasefire is established in Lebanon, and has strongly asserted this position.An Israeli official said they will scale back operations in Lebanon in the coming days due to US pressure, according to Channel 13.APAC stocks were mostly higher following the gains on Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.6%.Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Final (Mar), Norwegian Inflation (Mar), Swedish GDP (Feb), Canadian Jobs Report (Mar), US Inflation (Mar), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prelim. (Apr), Comments from ECB's de Guindos, Supply from Italy, Credit Ratings updates including Moody's on France, S&P on the UK & Scope Ratings on Hungary.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump threatened massive military escalation if Iran deal terms are not met, vowed no nuclear weapons, and they are to secure the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf said three clauses of the 10-point plan have been violated so far, and as such, a bilateral ceasefire or negotiations is unreasonable.IRGC claimed on Thursday that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed sharply and then stopped following what it said was an Israeli ceasefire violation in Lebanon, according to CNN.FOMC Minutes stated that many said persistently higher oil prices could keep inflation elevated long enough to justify rate rises.APAC stocks were lower in a mild pullback from yesterday's ceasefire-fuelled extremes; European equity futures indicate a marginally lower open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1%.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade Balance (Feb), Industrial Production (Feb), US Initial Jobless Claims (Apr/04), PCE Final (Feb), GDP Final (Q4), Atlanta Fed GDP, NBP Policy Announcement, Banxico Minutes. Comments from SNB's Schlegel. Supply from Spain, UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump announced he is to suspend the bombing of Iran for two weeks, subject to Iran opening up the Strait of Hormuz, while he stated that this will be a double-sided ceasefire.Trump confirmed they received a 10-point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate, while he stated that almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the US and Iran.Iran accepted Pakistan's two-week ceasefire proposal, with the ceasefire approved by the Supreme Leader, while Iran said negotiations with the US will be held in Islamabad to finalise details and that talks are to begin on Friday, April 10th and may be extended if both sides agree.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi's statement, which was posted by Trump on Truth, stated that for a period of two weeks, safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be possible via coordination with Iran's Armed ForcesAPAC stocks rallied with markets euphoric and relieved after US President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire; European equity futures indicate a stellar open for the cash market with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up over 5%.Crude futures tumbled beneath the USD 100/bbl level, DXY was pressured; RBNZ maintained rates as expected but provided some hawkish-leaning rhetoric.Looking ahead, highlights include French Trade Balance (Feb), EZ Retail Sales (Feb), PPI (Feb), FOMC Minutes, Speakers including Fed's Daly, Waller & US President Trump, Supply from Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said he thinks talks are going well with Iran and reiterated the Tuesday, 7th April 20:00EDT deadline.Trump said the US has plans to decimate Iran's bridges by Tuesday night, and he threatened that every power plant will be out of business at midnight, in which decimation would happen over a four-hour period.US President Trump said on the Iran deadline it will not be moved again, and they have not signed any ceasefire.Two Israeli sources and diplomats familiar with the details of the talks said there is a very low chance of an agreement between Iran and the US.APAC stocks traded cautiously following the positive lead from the US and with all focus remaining on geopolitics; European equity futures indicate a mildly higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global S&P Services/Composite PMIs Final (Mar), Swedish CPIF Prelim. (Mar), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Durable Goods (Feb), RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (Apr), Atlanta Fed GDP, President Trump's Iran deadline, EIA STEO, Speakers including Fed's Goolsbee & Jefferson, Supply from Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump said in his primetime address that the mission in Iran will be finished very fast and the US will hit Iran very hard over the next 2–3 weeks.Trump warned that the US will strike Iran's electric plants if there is no deal and could also target its oil facilities.Crude futures climbed with WTI crude ascending back above the USD 105/bbl level after the tough talk from US President Trump at his primetime address dampened hopes of a de-escalation.DXY strengthened as risk sentiment soured alongside US President Trump's primetime address; 10yr UST futures declined as higher oil prices stoked inflationary concerns following Trump's primetime address.APAC stocks failed to sustain initial gains after US President Trump's primetime address; Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 2.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss Inflation (Mar), US Challenger Job Cuts (Mar), Initial Jobless Claims (Mar/28), Trade Balance (Feb), Canadian Trade Balance (Feb), and UK DMP. Speakers include Fed's Logan & Bowman. Supply from France.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
In this episode of The European Market Brief, Mark Longo is joined by Dr. Russell Rhoads (IU Kelley School of Business), Steve Sosnick (Interactive Brokers), and Matt Riley (Eurex) to dissect a rapidly shifting landscape. With the Iran conflict crossing the one-month mark, the panel explores why the "shock and awe" expectations of a quick resolution have evaporated, replaced by fears of a lingering market impact through the end of the year. Key Topics Covered: The VSTOXX 30-Handle: We haven't seen these levels in a year. Is the current spike justified, or are traders "once bitten, twice shy" after the quick recoveries of 2025? The Great Divergence: Why the U.S. and Europe are splitting on rate expectations—from "endless cuts" to potential hikes. Free Data for the "Eurex-Curious": Steve Sosnick breaks down Interactive Brokers' new initiative providing free real-time Eurex data for retail and institutional traders. Rotation vs. Repatriation: Is the "Sell America" trade real? Why investors are looking at the STOXX 600 for value and diversification away from the Mag 7. The Red Phone: The team answers listener questions on the Brent/WTI spread and whether the U.S. Midterms are actually being priced into European vol. This episode is brought to you by Eurex—the home of Euro STOXX, VSTOXX, DAX, and European rates derivatives.
US President Trump is to deliver a nationwide address on Wednesday to give an important update on Iran at 21:00EDT/02:00BST, according to the White House.US President Trump said to NBC News regarding the Iran war that "it is coming to an end".White House official said President Trump is confident that an agreement will be reached soon, and said Trump was clear about the consequences of failing to reach an agreement.UAE is preparing to help the US and allies open the Strait of Hormuz by force, according to WSJ.APAC stocks mostly rallied with global risk sentiment buoyed; European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 2.0%.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Manufacturing PMI Finals (Mar), EZ Unemployment Rate (Feb), US ADP Employment Change (Mar), Retail Sales (Feb), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mar), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes (Mar), CBR Minutes (Mar), Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, Fed's Musalem & Barr, Supply from Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump reportedly told aides he's willing to end the war without reopening the Strait of Hormuz, according to the WSJ.US Secretary of State Rubio presented a plan at last week's G7 foreign ministers' meeting for the Strait of Hormuz to be run by a multinational coalition, while he stressed there would be “no fees, and free circulation” through the shipping route.The Iranian Foreign Ministry said they have not conducted any negotiations with the US during the 31 days of the war.The EU will expand its naval operations in the Red Sea and western Indian Ocean, but will for now refrain from taking part in any potential missions to secure oil and gas shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks were mixed; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.1%.Looking ahead, highlights include German Retail Sales (Feb), Import Prices (Feb), Unemployment Rate (Mar), UK GDP Final (Q4), French/Italian/EZ Inflation Prelim. (Mar), Canadian GDP Prelim. (Feb), US JOLTS (Feb), Australian Manufacturing PMI Final (Mar). Speakers include Fed's Goolsbee, Barr & Bowman. Supply from Germany. Earnings from Nike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Yemen's Houthis fired missiles at Israel on Saturday morning, marking the first time it has been involved in the war; Israeli PM Netanyahu ordered the military to expand its invasion of southern Lebanon.US President Trump said the US could take oil in Iran and could take Kharg Island 'very easily', according to the FT. Trump also stated that indirect talks with emissaries are progressing well and a deal could be made fairly quickly.US President Trump said there were good negotiations with Iran on Sunday, and the US destroyed many targets that day, while they are negotiating directly and indirectly with Iran.Trump responded that Iran came back to them on the 15-point plan and gave them most points, but didn't give any further details. Trump also claimed that Middle East countries are fighting back against Iran.APAC stocks were pressured following the geopolitical escalation over the weekend; Euro Stoxx 50 futures are down 0.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Retail Sales (Feb), EU Consumer Inflation Expectations (Mar), German Inflation Prelim. (Mar), US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Mar), Comments from Fed's Williams.UK clocks switched from GMT to BST on Sunday, and the NY-London differential returned to its usual 5 hours.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump announced a 10-day pause in planned strikes on energy plants to Monday, 6th April 2026 at 8 PM, at the request of the Iranian government, while he added that talks with Iran are going very well.Iran wants the US to dial back demands in the 15-point peace plan before starting any talks, according to WSJ, citing sources, while Iran is open to the possibility of talks but deems the US proposals excessive.Iranian officials were said to be interested in talks despite the announcement of their rejection of the US proposal, while mediators are pressuring Tehran to agree to a meeting with Washington in the coming days, according to Axios.The US is considering sending up to 10,000 additional ground troops to the Middle East, according to WSJ.APAC stocks were cautious but off worst levels; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Retail Sales (Feb), Spanish CPI Prelim. (Mar), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Mar), ECB Consumer Inflation Expectations. Speakers include Fed's Barkin, Daly & Paulson, ECB's Schnabel. Supply from Italy. Credit Ratings include Fitch Ratings on Switzerland, Moody's on Italy & Spain, Scope Ratings on the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk