Podcasts about q3 gdp

Carl Quintanilla and Jim Cramer led off show with the weight loss drug wars: Shares of Novo Nordisk shares surged after the FDA approved the company's Wegovy pill — making it the first oral GLP-1 cleared by regulators for treatment of obesity. ServiceNow CEO Bill McDermott joined the program to discuss his company's deal to acquire cybersecurity startup Armis for $7.75 billion in cash. Hear what McDermott had to say about this year's slump in shares of ServiceNow and other software stocks. Also in focus: Q3 GDP shows 4.3% growth, the AI trade, countdown to Christmas and new data on holiday spending, Tesla gets a big price target boost on Wall Street, the stock that's getting a lift from President Trump's battleship announcement. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Ben provides an update on geopolitics and Q3 GDP data. Today was our final stream on Zoom. Starting next Monday, the 29th, we'll be streaming on YouTube. Link to our channel is below. http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingSong: Last Christmas - Taylor SwiftFor information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit:https://www.narwhal.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

S&P futures are pointing to a flat open today ahead of data on durable goods orders and Q3 GDP updates. Asian equities ended mostly higher on Tuesday, though momentum faded in afternoon trade. Japan's Nikkei was flat, while the Topix saw modest gains. Greater China markets were narrowly mixed. European markets are modestly higher in early trades.Companies Mentioned: NVIDIA

In this episode of C-Suite Perspectives, Dana Peterson and Allen Li unpack the latest Consumer Confidence Index® and the surprisingly strong Q3 US GDP report.  US consumer confidence edged lower in December, marking the fifth consecutive monthly decline and ending the year on a cautious note. While confidence improved after the federal government shutdown ended, expectations for the next six months remain weak, at levels that are often associated with rising recession risk.   On the upside, Q3 GDP grew at a 4.3% annualized rate, well above expectations. Strong consumer spending, particularly on services and healthcare, drove much of this. Dana and Allen also discuss how data disruptions from the government shutdown may affect future revisions and what the report could mean for Q4 growth and Federal Reserve policy.  For more from The Conference Board:  Consumer Confidence Index  Robust Q3: Finding a Signal in the Noise 

On the Mike Hosking Breakfast with Heather du Plessis-Allan Full Show Podcast for Friday 19th of December, we cover off the better-than-expected Q3 GDP number, which is signalling some hope for next year. Jennie Wyllie has resigned as the CEO of Netball NZ, but does it need to go further than that? And for the final time for the year Kerre Woodham and Tim Wilson joined Heather to Wrap the Week and discuss their Christmas plans. Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On the Mike Hosking Breakfast with Heather du Plessis-Allan Full Show Podcast for Thursday 18th of December, we speak to the new Deputy Police Commissioner and preview the Q3 GDP number. The Government is saying the road cone hotline's performed as desired, so they're shutting it down – six months early. Six60 lead singer Matiu Walters stops by for a chat and performs their new single 'We Made It'. Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

One of the major banks is predicting some of the best quarterly GDP figures in years. Stats NZ is releasing the economic figures for the three months ending September this morning, with the Reserve Bank's forecasting growth of 0.4%. Westpac predicts a 0.9% gain, putting that down to a jump in activity across the board. Chief Economist Kelly Eckhold told Andrew Dickens it would fill in a hole from the previous quarter. But he says there needs to be two or three quarters of growth before people can be confident the country is on an upward trend. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

EUR/USD gained, while DAX and Bund futures fell as ECB's Schnabel said she is 'comfortable' on bets that next move will be a hike.APAC stocks were mixed following a lack of major macro drivers over the weekend and with markets tentative ahead of this week's risk events, while participants also digested data, including the latest Chinese trade figures.USD/JPY briefly retreated beneath the 155.00 handle amid a softer buck and as the latest wages data from Japan supported the case for a December BoJ rate hike, although Q3 GDP revisions were disappointing and showed a wider-than-feared contraction.Chinese trade data showed a stronger-than-expected recovery in Exports, but Imports disappointed.European equity futures indicate a slightly softer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, EZ Sentix, Comments from ECB's Cipollone, BoE's Taylor & Lombardelli, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news long term global bond yields are rising.The coming week will be one dominated by the final central bank monetary policy decisions of the year. The big one, the one that will likely move markets, is the US one on Thursday NZT. Markets expect a -25 bps cut to 3.75%. There will also be central bank decisions from Canada (Thursday, no change expected), Switzerland (Friday, no change), Australia (Tuesday, no change), Brazil (Thursday, no change), and Turkey (Friday, -100 bps).This week will also feature China releasing a series of key November economic data including for exports (expected to be strong), CPI inflation (expected to rise marginally but stay very low), PPI (still in deflation). Monetary and debt data will also be closely watched. In Japan, it will be all about their Q3 GDP, PPI, and machine tool orders.In India, markets will focus on November inflation data.In Australia, apart from the expected no-change RBA decision, labour market data will likely show their jobless rate edging up, and business confidence surveys are expected to be broadly stable.At the end of last week bond markets kept pushing up long term yields. The rise of Japanese long bond yields has this market concerned. But that just comes on top of where US fiscal stability is heading.In the US, personal income data is in catch-up mode with September details released over the weekend. Income was up +1.9% from a year ago while personal expenditures were up +2.1% on the same basis. Their PCE version of inflation was +2.8% and rising. There are no real surprises in this now-old data.Meanwhile US consumer debt rose +2.2% or +US$9.2 bln in October, less than expected and less than the September rise. Revolving debt (like credit cards) rose at an annual rate of +4.9%. Non-revolving debt which includes car and student loans was up +1.2%.Earlier, the University of Michigan December consumer sentiment survey reported it didn't fall from November, posting a small, probably insignificant gain. That leaves it -28% lower than a year ago. Year-ahead inflation expectations decreased from 4.5% last month to 4.1% this month. Despite the nominal improvements, the overall levels across the board remain quite dismal for most consumers there.Canada reported payroll data for November over the weekend and rather than the expected -5000 dip, they got a +53,600 gain in overall employment. But unfortunately for them, all the gains were in part-time employment (+63,000) with full time jobs shrinking -9,400.This extended better-than-expected labour market report is one of the reasons the IMF's latest review of Canada was quite positive. They are impressed by how Canada is handling the attempted-trashing it has been getting from the US.In China, their foreign exchange reserves, already very large, climbed to US$3.346 tln in November and fractionally less than expected. It was the fourth straight month of increases, to the highest level since November 2015 and it happened even though the US dollar weakened. Meanwhile, the People's Bank of China continued to add to its gold holdings for the thirteenth consecutive month, with reserves edging up to 74.1 mln troy ounces in November and their value rose +4.5% in a month (in USD).In India, and as expected, their central bank cut its key repo rate by -25 bps to 5.25% at its Friday meeting. They claim confidence in a softer inflation outlook. The RBI has now cut rates by a total of -125 bps since the beginning of the year, bringing the repo rate to its lowest level since July 2022.In Japan, household personal spending fell unexpectedly in October, and quite hard. It was down -2.9% from a year ago, way different to the market expectations of a +1.0% rise, and reversing a +1.8% gain in September. It was the first decline since April. From September, personal spending fell -3.5%, and starkly different from the expected +0.7% rise.In Germany, factory orders rose +1.5% in October from September, better than the expected +0.5% gain but slowing from an upwardly revised 2.0% gain in the previous month. From a year ago, their factory orders are down -0.7% however. The latest data was boosted by a very large (+87%) jump in orders for large equipment like aircraft, ships, and trains. There was also a +12% rise in metal production and processing. In contrast, demand for electrical equipment fell -16%. These are all quite big moves with the overall change.Globally, the FAO says its Food Price Index declined for the third consecutive month in November, with all indices but cereals down. Dairy prices were down -1.6% from a year ago, down -11.5% from their June peak. Meat prices were up +5.0% from a year ago but down -2.7% from their recent September peak.It is probably worth noting that the Argentine wheat crop is going to be huge this year, one that will have global impacts. In Australia, the winter wheat crop will be the second largest ever too.Also worth noting is that Trump's boast to farmers that the Chinese will be back buying American soybeans in a major way was just fantasy. They have bought only minor volumes. Administration officials are now admitting there never was any agreement.And we should also probably note that the copper price is moving up sharply again, back toward its US-tariff-induced July heights.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.14%, unchanged from this time Saturday, up +12 bps for the week. The price of gold will start today at US$4197/oz, and down -US$18 from Saturday, down -US$13 for the week. Silver is moving higher again, back at over US$58.50/oz and near its record high.American oil prices are holding at just over US$60/bbl, while the international Brent price is still at just under US$64/bbl, and up about +US$1 for the week.The Kiwi dollar is marginally higher from Saturday, now at just under 57.8 USc, up +50 bps for the week. Against the Aussie though we are unchanged at just on 87 AUc. Against the euro we are also unchanged at 49.6 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at 61.9, and little-changed from yesterday and from a week ago.The bitcoin price starts today at US$89,503 and up +0.7% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest, at just on +/- 1.0%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Pooja Tanna from Perpetua Investment Managers on the expected rate decision from next week's FOMC decision, and Trump says he's decided on the next Fed Chair. JD Van Wyk from Stonehage Fleming Investment Management SA on the local “Terrific 10” and opportunity on the JSE for 2026? Dr Roelof Botha on the Afrimat Construction Index, Q3 GDP saw some improvement in fixed capital formation spend, are we seeing it here?

It probably came out on the wrong day to get the coverage it deserved, but one of the last pieces in the economic turnaround told us we are basically there. Consumer confidence is back, up six points to 98. It needs to be 100 or more for expansion, but it's the highest figure since June and backs the business confidence, which last week was up a lot. Business comes first because they see the turnaround on sales. The spending numbers back that up because they are pretty real time and then you get confidence as a follow up, given although we are spending, some may not want to admit it may still feel like they are in a bit of a funk. But add it all together and the conclusion is inescapable. You can also add the ASB housing numbers if you want. Confidence in the housing market is at a 15-year high. Why? Because it's almost perfect – good supply, cheap money, but most importantly we seemed to have crossed the psychological barrier and given ourselves permission to start to feel good again. The irony is the growth that drives all this might just have been there all along. We get the Q3 GDP number later this month with Infometrics suggesting it is 0.9%. Add that to the rest of the year and we are well above the growth line. Not that a lot of the commentary has backed that up. Which is not to say some still do it tough. It's not to say it's the boom times. It's just to say there comes a point where the facts, figures and evidence can no longer be denied. Here is my next prediction: as a result of all this, 2026 might well be a very good year indeed. That's based on the idea that economies are about psychologies. Yes, they are about fundamentals but if the fundamentals are in place, then the next thing you look for is mood. And given the mood has been so repressed, when we decide to take the handbrake off there might just be no stopping us. As I said last week don't underestimate the Reserve Bank and the finality of their cut. They said this was it, they they've done their job, we are free to go and enjoy our lives. For those waiting and dilly-dallying, that was what they were waiting for. The next confidence survey will be over 100 and that will be the start of a trend for the year ahead. Remember where you heard it first. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It probably came out on the wrong day to get the coverage it deserved, but one of the last pieces in the economic turnaround told us we are basically there. Consumer confidence is back, up six points to 98. It needs to be 100 or more for expansion, but it's the highest figure since June and backs the business confidence, which last week was up a lot. Business comes first because they see the turnaround on sales. The spending numbers back that up because they are pretty real time and then you get confidence as a follow up, given although we are spending, some may not want to admit it may still feel like they are in a bit of a funk. But add it all together and the conclusion is inescapable. You can also add the ASB housing numbers if you want. Confidence in the housing market is at a 15-year high. Why? Because it's almost perfect – good supply, cheap money, but most importantly we seemed to have crossed the psychological barrier and given ourselves permission to start to feel good again. The irony is the growth that drives all this might just have been there all along. We get the Q3 GDP number later this month with Infometrics suggesting it is 0.9%. Add that to the rest of the year and we are well above the growth line. Not that a lot of the commentary has backed that up. Which is not to say some still do it tough. It's not to say it's the boom times. It's just to say there comes a point where the facts, figures and evidence can no longer be denied. Here is my next prediction: as a result of all this, 2026 might well be a very good year indeed. That's based on the idea that economies are about psychologies. Yes, they are about fundamentals but if the fundamentals are in place, then the next thing you look for is mood. And given the mood has been so repressed, when we decide to take the handbrake off there might just be no stopping us. As I said last week don't underestimate the Reserve Bank and the finality of their cut. They said this was it, they they've done their job, we are free to go and enjoy our lives. For those waiting and dilly-dallying, that was what they were waiting for. The next confidence survey will be over 100 and that will be the start of a trend for the year ahead. Remember where you heard it first. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It was a week full of surprises in Australia. The inaugural monthly CPI data came in stronger than expected for October. Business investment and construction work done blew away forecasts and suggest Q3 GDP will be strong. Trent Saunders and Belinda Allen unpack the data and contemplate what this means for the RBA.   Disclaimer:    Important Information   This podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (“GEMR”), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”).  Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full GEMR disclaimers, which can be found at www.commbankresearch.com.au.   No Reliance  This podcast is not investment research and nor does it purport to make any recommendations. Rather, this podcast is for informational purposes only and is not to be relied upon for any investment purposes.  This podcast does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial products, or as a recommendation, and/or investment advice. You should not act on the information in this podcast.   The Bank believes that the information in this podcast is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations made are reasonably held at the time given, and are based on the information available at the time of its compilation. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made.  Liability Disclaimer  The Bank does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in or from the information provided or arising out of the use of all or part of the podcast.   Usage of Artificial Intelligence  To enhance efficiency, GEMR may use the Bank approved artificial intelligence (AI) tools to assist in preparing content for this podcast. These tools are used solely for drafting and structuring purposes and do not replace human judgment or oversight. All final content is reviewed and approved by GEMR analysts for accuracy and independence. 

It's the Reserve Bank outing this week. One last hurrah for the year. It has a certain anticlimax about it, doesn't it? It's probably going to be 25 basis points. 25 points is priced in by just about everyone. There is a chance it's zero. Next to no one says 50 basis points. Infometrics last week had the Q3 GDP number at 0.9% and I'm told the Q2 number is going to be revised up, which means if you add all that to the Q1 number then we've actually had a pretty decent year. "What? Are you mad? How can you say that?", I hear you say. Well, don't shoot the messenger. These are either facts, or expert predictions. Either way they are to the right side of the equation. The point being is that's the sort of thing the Reserve Bank looks at. Is inflation in its box? Well, it's a smidge high, given it's 3%, so right at the top end, but technically still within the 0-3% range. If we cut further, they will ask, do we risk driving that number a bit higher through increased bullishness and spending? Quite possibly. Now I'm not personally arguing for a hold. But if you want to toss a few ideas about the place, that isn't a bad one. A case can be made for holding, for saying inflation is there or thereabouts and that the economy has got no shortage of green shoots, and 2026 looks okay so our job is done. The psychological advantage, no matter what they do, is not to be underestimated either. "If this is it, it's as good as it gets. It's as low as they go". Then a lot of people will make decisions around money and mortgages, and a lot of people have been holding. They've been in the waiting place and, as Dr. Seuss said, "the waiting place is no place for you". In a funny way it might also shake us out of our funk. We are disproportionately miserable, not because of reality, but because it's been so bad and we need a kick up the backside to get on with it. Maybe Christian Hawkesby, in his farewell flourish, offers not just the 25 basis points but a bit of uplifting hyperbole as he steps out the door. They have cut six times this year. We could end 2025 at 2.25%. It started at 4.25%. Shows you what a mess we have dealt with. But I get the sense the page has turned. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

It's been a roller coaster ride in equity markets this week, coinciding with the release of the long-awaited US jobs report. We discuss why we see the US jobs report as mixed, but supportive of our forecast that the Fed will pause in December. All eyes will be on the UK budget and why the fiscal tightening will be modestly backloaded. In Asia, the focus is on Q3 GDP growth in India, and we deep-dive on South Korea to discuss the hawkish hold we expect from the Bank of Korea next week, as well as Korea's two supercycles. 

BUSINESS: Philippine Q3 GDP growth likely hit by muted spending, analysts say | Nov. 3, 2025Subscribe to The Manila Times Channel - https://tmt.ph/YTSubscribe Visit our website at https://www.manilatimes.net Follow us: Facebook - https://tmt.ph/facebook Instagram - https://tmt.ph/instagram Twitter - https://tmt.ph/twitter DailyMotion - https://tmt.ph/dailymotion Subscribe to our Digital Edition - https://tmt.ph/digital Check out our Podcasts: Spotify - https://tmt.ph/spotify Apple Podcasts - https://tmt.ph/applepodcasts Amazon Music - https://tmt.ph/amazonmusic Deezer: https://tmt.ph/deezer Stitcher: https://tmt.ph/stitcherTune In: https://tmt.ph/tunein#TheManilaTimes#KeepUpWithTheTimes Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Join Eric Fuhrman and Brad Everett as they unpack GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and why it matters for your retirement. Released ahead of the Q3 GDP announcement, this episode breaks down what GDP measures, its four main components, and the surprising disconnect between GDP growth and stock market returns. Eric and Brad discuss how trade policies are impacting recent data, why productivity and labor force size drive future growth, and why retirees depend on continued economic expansion even after leaving the workforce. They also explore market valuations, the importance of diversification, and wrap up with a fun trivia segment featuring gold miners, Build-A-Bear, and unexpected stock market facts!         Retry  

Send us a textCreativity, Chaos, and the Signals That MatterGold's ripping, stocks are ripping, but this isn't a hedge, it's a hallucination. In today's episode, I break down the paradox of rising fear assets and euphoria trades moving in sync. We bounce off China's Q3 GDP: if the US won't provide data, the Chinese will. And I revisit how creativity really works, not through structure, but through a blissful surrender. Then we take another stab at valuing gold in a system that may have moved on.And consider lithium at the one year moving average.Support the show⬇️ Subscribe on Patreon or Substack for full episodes ⬇️https://www.patreon.com/HughHendryhttps://hughhendry.substack.comhttps://www.instagram.com/hughhendryofficialhttps://blancbleustbarts.comhttps://www.instagram.com/blancbleuofficial⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Leave a five star review and comment on Apple Podcasts!

Brent crude fell to $60.14/b on Friday, its weakest level since May, and remains below $61/b this morning. The selloff followed a break below key support at $65/b after Trump announced new 100% tariffs on China. Sentiment worsened as U.S. equities tumbled on reports of bank fraud linked to distressed mortgage loans and concerns over stretched AI valuations. Adding pressure, China's Q3 GDP came in below 5%, highlighting weak demand. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec

Wall Street started the new trading week in positive territory as investors looked toward a potential end to the government shutdown now in its 3rd week, and as Apple shares boosted tech stocks following an upgrade to a buy rating from Loop Capital. The Dow Jones rose 1.12%, the S&P 500 also climbed 1.07% and the Nasdaq ended the day up 1.37%.In Europe overnight markets closed mostly higher as defence stocks drove gains in the region. The STOXX 600 gained 1%, Germany's DAX added 1.9%, the French CAC climbed 0.4% and, in the UK, the FTSE100 ended the day up 0.5%.Across the Asia markets on Monday, it was a positive session as key economic data out in the region boosted investor sentiment. Japan's Nikkei rose 3.37% to a fresh record high, while China's CSI index added 0.53%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbed 2.52% and South Korea's Kospi index ended the day up 1.76%.China's Q3 GDP data out yesterday weighed on investor sentiment with the reading coming in at expansion of 1.1% over the September quarter, which exceeded analysts' expectations of 0.8% expansion, and over the 12-months to September the Chinese economy expanded 4.8% which met forecasts, signalling a material rebound in economic recovery post pandemic is potentially finally underway.The local market started the new trading week lower early on Monday before turning positive to post a 0.4% rise at the closing bell led by a rally for financials and REIT stocks on Monday.Neuren (ASX:NEU) shares took off yesterday with a gain over 4% after the pharmaceutical company announced it has received US FDA Fast Track Designation for its drug candidate NNZ-2591 for the treatment of Phelan-McDermid syndrome. Currently, there are no FDA-approved treatments for Phelan-McDermid syndrome which places Neuren at the forefront of care for this condition when the drug reaches commercialisation.Vehicle parts provider Bapcor (ASX:BAP) tumbled over 17.5% on Monday after the company reported a profit downgrade and disclosed a $12m pre-tax earnings hit due to challenging operating practices in its trade division.Deep Yellow (ASX:DYL) also dived over 18% after the uranium company announced the immediate exit of its Chief Executive, John Borshoff, and will be replaced by the company's CFO, Craig Barnes as acting CEO until a permanent appointment is made. What to watch today:On the commodities front this morning oil is trading 0.3% lower at US$57.47/barrel, gold is back in record territory with another gain of 2.72% to trade at US$4365.85/ounce and iron ore is down 0.2% at 105.35/ounce.The Aussie dollar has strengthened against the greenback to buy 65.16 U.S. cents, 98.18 Japanese yen, 48.5 British pence and 1 New Zealand dollar and 13 cents.Ahead of Tuesday's trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX will open the day up 0.5%. Trading ideas:Bell Potter has reduced the 12-month price target on Beach Energy (ASX:BPT) from $1.25 to $1.10 and maintain a hold rating on the energy exploration and development company. The price target was decreased despite strong quarterly results because the medium-term earnings outlook worsened, with the analyst reducing EPS forecasts in FY27 (-18%) and FY28 (-9%) due to factors like unsuccessful exploration (e.g., Hercules-1) and ongoing high capex. The Hold rating was maintained as near-term production is steady and cash flow is expected to improve, but the longer-term growth and returns remain uncertain.And Bell Potter has initiated coverage of Austco Healthcare (ASX:AHC) with a buy rating and a 12-month price target of 55cps. AHC manufactures sophisticated nurse call systems, enterprise reporting and analytics tools, for the purpose of improving patient outcomes and reducing cost for healthcare organisations. AHC is rated a Buy by Bell Potter's analyst due to its strong revenue and earnings growth, underpin

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news Australia is facing some hard choices in their relationships with China and the US. Can you have security without economic stability? Can you have stability with a disrespectful and unreliable partner?But first, this coming week will be dominated by today's New Zealand CPI release later this morning. And a full dairy auction on Wednesday.In the US, there is some expectation that they will get their September CPI data at the end of the week (expect higher than 3%) despite the shutdown. But most focus there will be on the Q3 earnings season announcements. CPI data will also come from Japan, Singapore and Malaysia. But there will be PMIs from all over this week and well as interest rate decisions from Indonesia and Korea. And the Chinese will review their Loan Prime rates although no change is expected.From China, they will release Q3 GDP data, which is expected to show a small sag (to 4.8%?), along with a range of other core economic metrics which should give a broader fix on how they are trackingOver the weekend in India, bank loan growth accelerated to its fastest pace of expansion in September, for all of 2025, up +11.4% from year-ago levels to US$2.3 bln.After two months of declines, Singapore's exports rose almost +7% in September from a year ago, largely on the back of recovering exports of electronic goods.In Malaysia, their Q3 GDP result shows them expanding +5.2% from a year ago, accelerating from +4.4% growth in Q2. It is their fastest expansion in a yearIn Australia, there is growing concern about the building of uneven wealth distribution and how inheritances embed both inequality and entitlement. A failed attempt to address it through their superannuation system reforms has just raised the pressure to 'do something'.A more immediate stress is also building in Australia; American pressure to de-couple from China. This seems quite unlikely given the local wealth-weight dependent on the China trade. But it will make for 'interesting times' in the AU-US relationship.In the US over the weekend President Trump seemed to back off his sharp rhetoric against China in another TACO moment. Markets went into temporary relief mode on Friday. There was more TACO for Ukraine, even Gaza but both of them just added to the mess he made.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.01% and unchanged from Saturday but down -4 bps for the week.The price of gold will start today at US$4251/oz, up +US$30 from Saturday. Over the past week, gold is up a net +5.8%, silver is up a net +3.3% and platinum is now marginally lower.American oil prices are holding lower at just on US$57.50/bbl, with the international Brent price now just over US$61/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is at just on 57.4 USc, and up +10 bps from Saturday. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 88.3 AUc. Against the euro we are up +10 bps at 49.2 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 61.9, up +10 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$108,732 and up +2.4% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just on +/- 1.3%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Thursday 19th of December, Heather du Plessis-Allan asks just how bad is our Q3 GDP will be, and whether we'll slip back into a technical recession? High Performance Sport NZ has decided who they're dishing out the funding to – so who are the winners and losers? Kiwi actor and NZ Order of Merit recipient Mark Hadlow is bringing back his stage show 'Middle Aged Man in Lycra', by doing a sequel - ‘Grumpy Old Man in Lycra'. Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts. LISTEN ABOVE See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This evening we look at the markets with FNB Wealth and Investments, Capital Appreciation joins us to discuss its financials, we speak to Werksmans Attorneys about a potential probe into local flight prices, Old Mutual unpacks recent GDP data, and Nedbank gives us its outlook for the agricultural sector in 2025. SAfm Market Update - Podcasts and live stream

US equities finished mostly lower in Wednesday trading, though ended off worst levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing down 31bps, 38bps, and 60bps respectively. October core PCE was in-line, while October durable-goods orders were a bit below consensus. Second estimate of Q3 GDP was unchanged at 2.8%. October pending home sales were higher m/m vs expectations for a decline. Elsewhere, today's $44B auction of 7Y Treasury notes stopped through.

This week brought a flurry of critical developments, with Scott Bessent named as Treasury Secretary, signaling potential shifts in U.S. fiscal policy. Known for his bond market expertise, Bessent's appointment caused gold prices to dip and led to fresh buying of bonds with 10-year yields falling 7bp on Monday's open. Meanwhile, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $99,500, reflecting growing crypto optimism under the new administration. In economic data, the U.S. saw mixed PMI numbers, with services surging to 57 (est 55) while manufacturing stagnated at 48.8 (est 48.8). Unemployment trends raised concerns, with continuing claims rising to a three-year high. However, U.S. corporate bond spreads hit record lows, pointing to potential bubble risks. European data continues to disappoint, with German and French PMIs remaining weak. The Eurozone 5yr5yr forward inflation swap fell to 2%, sparking discussions of deflationary pressures. Meanwhile, UK retail sales dropped, and CPI rose to 2.3%, stirring market concerns.Key events for the week include:Tuesday: Fed minutesWednesday: U.S. PCE price index, Q3 GDP, Durable goods ordersThursday: Eurozone inflation, Canadian GDP, Thanksgiving holidayFriday: U.S. PMIs, Consumer sentiment, Eurozone services PMI, UK retail salesSaturday: Chinese manufacturing and services PMI data#MacroMonday #EconomicAnalysis #ScottBessent #PMIData #Crypto #Bitcoin #TreasurySecretary #GoldPrices #USEconomy #EuropeEconomy #Deflation #Inflation #RateCuts #BondMarket #MarketTrends #OilPrices #FedMinutes #GDP #PMI #ConsumerSentiment #MiddleEastTensions #ChinaData #UKRetailSales #Eurozone Follow us: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@worldofoilde...LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/onyx... X: https://x.com/Ony

This week we discuss recent employment statistics, September's PCE numbers, and Q3 GDP.

It's been a busy past week with European Q3 GDP data and an expansionary UK budget, which led to a rise in European and UK bond yields. We also saw China PMI data print a tiny bit better and a pretty solid Q3 GDP growth report in the US. Over the coming week, it's crunch time in the US with the election finally upon us. We discuss how markets may react as the results start to roll in next week. We also have at least five central bank meetings to look out for, and with an expected 25bp rate cut in the US. Chapters: US (02:42), Europe (07:22), China (11:14), Rest of Asia (15:09)

US equities finished lower in Wednesday trading, selling off after midday and ending near worst levels, with the Dow Jones, S&P500, and Nasdaq closing down 22bps, 33bps, and 56bps respectively. Earnings were a major focus today, with more than half of the S&P 500 constituents now having reported; Alphabet, AMD, Caterpillar among notable reporters. Big beat for October ADP private payrolls, printing at 233K vs 108K consensus. Q3 GDP grew at a 2.8% SAAR against forecasts for 2.6%. September pending home sales came in much stronger than expected, rising 7.4% m/m.

This is a narration of our weekly Rent and Operating Trends Report.Retail Sales Stronger than Expected, AgainConsumer spending outpaced expectations in September, and August's better-than-expected results were unrevised. Retail sales were up 0.4% from the prior month and 1.7% from a year ago. Discretionary spending at restaurants, drinking establishments, and clothing stores helped boost the number. It is yet to be seen if strong sales will continue through the holiday season. While spending is up, consumer sentiment remains sluggish even though the Bureau of Labor Statistics recently reported strong wage growth and more moderate inflation.  Strong GDP Estimates for Q3 2024The Atlanta Fed's latest estimate for Q3 GDP growth is 3.4%. The organization's model, GDPNow, had it as low as 2% in August, but recent economic reports gave it a boost during the last two months. The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its advance estimate of GDP on October 30.There is growing sentiment that continued strength in the economy could lead to a more moderate interest rate cut of 25 basis points by the end of the year.  Permitting for Multifamily Housing Yet to See an UptickFor the 12 months ending September 2024, total housing permits were down 2.9% from the prior month and down 5.7% from a year ago on a seasonally adjusted basis. Permitting for multifamily units continued to be the main driver of the decline. The industry had 398,000 units permitted in the last year, down 17.4% on an annual basis. The latest multifamily permitting level is down significantly from the construction boom period a couple of years ago when it eclipsed more than 700,000 units permitted within a 12-month period, but it is also down from the period immediately before the pandemic. From 2015-2019, the industry's annual permitting level averaged 442,000 units. Normal, or even muted, levels of supply are on the way the next couple of years which should help operational metrics rebalance after a period of significant challenges. Multifamily HighlightsTraffic and occupancy continued to tick down in the latest week's results. The trend can mostly be attributed to seasonality, but the rates themselves are weaker than in other comparable periods.Headed into 2024, Radix forecasts indicated occupancy would average at lower rate than the prior year due to elevated supply and slowing job growth. That prediction has come to fruition, but results are expected to rebound in 2025 as supply slows significantly in many markets. Effective rents were stable from the previous week. If occupancy improves in 2025, concessions should moderate. As of the latest week, roughly half of markets had lower effective rents compared to the prior year.Explore our webpage for more insights and resources:https://bit.ly/Radix_Website 

摘要 一， 10月17日，美國勞工部公佈，截至10月12日為止當週，首次申請失業救濟金人數較前週修正值（上修2,000人）減少19,000人至241,000人，優於經濟學家平均預估的26萬人。同一天，美國商務部也公布9月零售額，月增幅度明顯高於8月份，顯示暑假結束後，民眾仍持續消費，美國經濟仍具有彈性。 不過，10月11日，美國勞工部公布，9月CPI月增率與8月同為0.2％，高於市場預期的0.1％增幅。受通膨頑固、勞動市場略顯疲態影響，美國的金融市場波動加大，顯示美國經濟前景好壞參半，我們應該怎麼看待美國經濟發展？ 二， 10月18日，中國國家統計局公布初步核算數據，今年三季度中國GDP同比增長4.6%，增速較二季度回落0.1個百分點。這使中國經濟增速連續兩個季度低於5%的全面目標。 同一天，國際貨幣基金組織總裁格奧爾基耶娃在接受採訪時指出，中國的經濟增長模式必須從出口導向型轉為消費導向型，否則將面臨危險的增長放緩。 同時，市場持續等待中國擴大財政刺激政策細節公布，滬深 300 指數陷入波動修正，特點是漲速放緩，波動性加大，投資人心態顯示對中國經濟前景沒有信心。 我們應該怎麼對待中國端出的刺激政策，以及中國經濟到底出了什麼問題？ Powered by Firstory Hosting

美國Q3財報季出爐 川普民調超車賀錦麗 通膨降溫 歐洲央行第三次降息至3.25% 中國 Q3 GDP成長4.6% 加大刺激措施拼保5 -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

US futures are signaling a mixed open today, following a similar trend seen in European and Asian markets. Market attention is focused on China's latest economic data, where Q3 GDP growth slowed less than expected on a year-over-year basis. Strong September activity data helped offset concerns about the slowdown. Meanwhile, China's property market continues to struggle. Geopolitical tensions remain a key concern, with Israel's military targeting Hamas leaders, intensifying calls to end the war in Gaza. Discussions also continue around Israel's response to an Iranian missile attack.Companies Mentioned: Intel, Marvell Technology, Apple, CSX Corp, Canadian Pacific Kansas City

This interview with Jonny Mathews explores why he believes we aren't headed for a recession, how real consumption will likely drive Q3 GDP higher, and why he thinks unemployment will moderate. We also discuss the market opportunities he's seeing, hitting home run trades, and much more. __ Follow Jonny Mathews on Twitter https://x.com/super_macro Subscribe to Super Macro at https://super-macro.com/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:45) Are We Headed For A Recession? (03:09) Income Growth Is Driving Consumption (05:45) Household Savings (07:44) Unemployment Will Moderate (15:40) Credit Markets (19:48) Permissionless Ad (20:48) Job Market Revisions (23:47) Opportunities In Fixed Income (27:32) Trading Interest Rates (30:53) Will Inflation Continue To Fall? (35:42) Labor Market Data (39:31) Opportunities In The UK (50:30) Home Run Trades (52:55) The Gold Market (55:33) China Outlook (01:01:24) S&P 500 Earnings (01:05:29) AI & Productivity (01:09:29) Super Macro Note (01:12:05) Jonny's Trading Experience (01:18:13) Stocks Over Bonds (01:20:27) Cumulative Personal Savings __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets

On today's episode, financial journalist Govindraj Ethiraj talks to Vivek Kumar of QuantEco Research as well as Rama Bijapurkar, consultant on all things consumer markets and director on boards of leading companies.SHOW NOTES(00:00) Stories Of The Day(04:12) High tax collections, base effect takes India Q3 GDP to 8.4%, beats all estimates.(14:23) Tata's lead Rs 126,000 crore worth semiconductor projects to kick off in next 100 days.(15:47) India's electronics exports to the US, as a ratio of China's, tripled last year. (17:21) Are Indian companies giving up on mass market products too soon in shift to premiumisation?(25:56) Why Hong Kong has had the world's worst-performing major stock market in a quarter of a century.For more of our coverage check out thecore.in--Support the Core Report--Join and Interact anonymously on our whatsapp channelSubscribe to our NewsletterFollow us on:Twitter | Instagram | Facebook | Linkedin | Youtube

There are a lot of narratives flying around right now regarding the economy, the stock market, recession risk, jobs, inflation and what's going to happen next year. Given the recent 5%+ Q3 GDP print and one of the best Novembers on record for both stocks and bonds, bulls are back to saying "everything is awesome" again & 2024 will be a great year for making money Bears on the other hand point to near-record levels of overvaluation, recessionary leading indicators and warn the inevitable arrival of the lag effect will see the economy in recession next year and the return of a bear market. When sentiment is full of such crosscurrents, it's prudent to seek the counsel of those who take. cold and calculated look at the data, to see what "is" vs what our biases may want us to see. Which is why we're fortunate to speak with macro analyst Wolf Richter of WolfStreet.com, who will share with us what the charts he regularly compiles are telling him about the true state of today's economy & markets. To learn what's in store for this new Thoughtful Money channel, SUBSCRIBE FOR FREE to Adam's new Substack at https://adamtaggart.substack.com/ #recession #inflation #economy

This is a narration of our weekly Rent and Operating Trends Report.The U.S. economy was given another boost last week as Q3 GDP was revised upward to an annualized rate of 5.2%, making the rate of growth last quarter more than double the rate for the first half of this year. Q3 was also the strongest quarter for economic growth since 2021 when the U.S. economy was still working through the volatile declines and subsequent growth resulting from COVID-19. Consumer activity remains healthy and the employment market continues its upward climb. November job growth will be released on Friday, but I expect another steady month of job gains. Weekly unemployment claims remain in line with long-term averages. Explore our webpage for more insights and resources:https://bit.ly/3XBKJGH.

After a market rally in November, what can we expect in December? In this episode, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders recap the week of Thanksgiving and discuss revisions to the Q3 GDP numbers. They also look toward the week ahead and the economic indicators they are watching. Kathy Jones interviews economist Jens Nordvig, founder of Exante Data and MarketReader. They discuss the trajectory for inflation, whether we can expect Fed rate cuts in 2024, the long-term investment in AI, and the state of the U.S. dollar, among other topics. On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit Schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.All corporate names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request. The comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are inflation-linked securities issued by the US Government whose principal value is adjusted periodically in accordance with the rise and fall in the inflation rate. Thus, the dividend amount payable is also impacted by variations in the inflation rate, as it is based upon the principal value of the bond. It may fluctuate up or down. Repayment at maturity is guaranteed by the US Government and may be adjusted for inflation to become the greater of the original face amount at issuance or that face amount plus an adjustment for inflation. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities are guaranteed by the US Government, but inflation-protected bond funds do not provide such a guarantee.Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions.Currencies are speculative, very volatile and are not suitable for all investors.International investments involve additional risks, which include differences in financial accounting standards, currency fluctuations, geopolitical risk, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. Investing in emerging markets may accentuate these risks.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.The information and content provided herein is general in nature and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended, and should not be construed, as a specific recommendation, individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Tax laws are subject to change, either prospectively or retroactively. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, individuals should contact their own professional tax and investment advisors or other professionals (CPA, Financial Planner, Investment Manager) to help answer questions about specific situations or needs prior to taking any action based upon this information.Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.(1223-39TS)

After covering positive market performance in the final week (Nov. 27-Dec. 1) of a very healthy November, DoubleLine Portfolio Managers Jeffrey Mayberry and Samuel Lau dive into the latest BIS paper on financial condition indices as the Topic of the Week (25:24). They go through the six indices that comprise the report, with a focus on the Goldman Sachs and Bloomberg indices that offer the most insight into U.S. economic performance. In their market review, Jeff and Sam talk about November's strong run in equities and fixed income, possibly assisted by Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell's cautious comments on the economy at the beginning of the month. The S&P 500 (1:06) experienced broad-based gains with energy the only one of 11 sectors to finish in the red. Fixed income's positive performance (4:11) was fueled by a rally in U.S. Treasury rates, and the Agg had its best month since May 1985. Commodities (8:29), as an asset class, did not participate in the boom. After taking Thanksgiving week off, there was a lot for MMM to cover in Macro Land (12:02), including the latest LEI print, labor numbers, home prices, a bumped-up Q3 GDP estimate and a PCE print reflecting strides in the Fed's inflation fight. In the Fedspeak roundup (19:53), Jeff and Sam appreciatively note the clashing and evolving hawkish and dovish stances of Fed officials reflecting a range of opinions. Next week's macro prints (34:53) will include the ISM services report and job numbers.

Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3N5Ec4C A mixed but ultimately flat day of trading in stocks following another decent move up in bonds as the 10 Yr came down another 8bps to 4.26%. Hard to believe we were north of 5% just last month. I was actually expecting yields on 10's to pick back up after a better than expected upward revision to Q3 GDP mid morning, but this bond market is dead set on lower rates in 2024. All eyes will be on the inflation read tomorrow with PCE to see if that changes the narrative. If the seven largest US technology companies were its own sector it would make up 18.2% of the market cap of the MSCI World Index and account for only 10% of the earnings. In comparison, the entire Financials sector in the MSCI World index equates to three precent less at 15.1% by market cap, but makes up over twice the earnings at 21.9%. Valuations may be a poor timing tool short term, but they do matter longer term and the multiple expansion in tech we have just seen can be easily disappointed if lower rates don't keep pace next year. Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

1.Markets are trading higher today after the . The catalyst for the move higher was from the second estimate for Q3 GDP showed real GDP increasing at an annual rate of 5.2%. This number was expected to be strong but was better than expected. Later today, the Fed's Beige Book will be released at 2pm ET. 2. The Russell 2000 Index (IWM) is the big winner so far today. As many of you know, when the small caps lead markets it tells us that risk is on. That is the case today. 3. Oil has been ticking up this week ahead of the OPEC meeting. Apparently, OPEC is looking for OPEC+ to cut production. We don't know if that is going to happen. Either way, the chart is telling me crude is going down to the $69-70 level. 4. Gold has been a powerhouse lately. Yesterday, the precious metal surged and today it is slightly higher. Please understand, gold has not broken out yet, but it is getting close. 5. Bitcoin is pulling back a little today, but it does not seem as if anything is wrong yet.The daily chart is fine and the short term trend is up. Visit Nick at: https://InTheMoneyStocks.comThis show is part of the Spreaker Prime Network, if you are interested in advertising on this podcast, contact us at https://www.spreaker.com/show/4295686/advertisement

October 2023 proved to be a challenging month for the stock market. Various factors, such as geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, earnings disappointments, and the Federal Reserve's policy, caused the market to suffer a decline in sentiment and confidence. What are the projections for the market's performance for the remainder of the year? In this episode, Carson's Chief Market Strategist, Ryan Detrick & VP, Global Macro Strategist, Sonu Varghese talk about the recent market correction and its potential as a healthy adjustment. They explore how geopolitical risks may have influenced the market and remain optimistic about a year-end rally. Additionally, they speculate on the Federal Reserve's actions. Ryan and Sonu discuss:  The recent stock market correction, its causes, and the potential for a rebound Previous bear markets and their impact on market returns The resilience of the economy despite challenges like the pandemic McDonald's positive earnings despite price increases, indicating consumer demand and potential economic signals The US economy's growth post-pandemic with other countries The better-than-expected Q3 GDP growth The increase in government spending and defense spending Three lesser-known positive indicators in the economy The Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting and the likelihood of a rate hike And more! Resources: Talking Macro with Neil Dutta (Ep. 47) Talking Investing Lessons with Cliff Asness (Ep. 55) Talking About the Bond Bear Market with Daniel Ivascyn (Ep. 57) Connect with Ryan Detrick:  LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick Connect with Sonu Varghese:  LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese 

This is a narration of our weekly Rent and Operating Trends Report.U.S. economic growth is gaining momentum following a very strong initial estimate of Q3 GDP. The broad measure of economic output showed the economy expanding at a 4.9% annual rate, more than double the growth rate from the first half of the year. Despite higher interest rates throughout the quarter, the American consumer continued to spend. Inventory growth also helped push GDP growth higher. The Fed will meet this week, and while GDP and inflation are not directly linked, the rapid growth in economic activity combined with strong consumer activity could encourage the Fed to increase interest rates again.Oil prices have come down in recent weeks, falling roughly $10 from a recent peak at the end of September. I expect the normalization of oil prices to lead to lower inflation in the coming months. As the U.S. economy continues to stabilize and grow, global risks appear to the be only dark cloud on the horizon at this point. Escalating tensions in the middle east could weigh on the domestic economy, but given the current strength, I do not expect a major economic slowdown.Apartment fundamentals continued their steady decline last week, with occupancy and rent leading the way. Occupancy fell another 5 basis points and is now firmly below 94% nationwide. Net effective rent fell another 20 basis points last week and nationwide, rents are down $33 from the mid-summer peak. Leading indicators, including traffic and leasing have remained flat.Explore our webpage for more insights and resources:https://bit.ly/3XBKJGH.

When it comes to economic data, context matters. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey explains how the Fed, many mainstream economists, and financial network talking heads get a lot wrong because of bad data, shoddy economic frameworks, and ignorance of history. Along the way, he covers the GDP and the latest price action for gold. You can visit the show notes page here: https://bit.ly/3FyCkwR Tune in to the Friday Gold Wrap each week for a recap of the week's economic and political news as it relates to gold and silver, along with some insightful commentary. For more information visit https://schiffgold.com/news. TOPICS DISCUSSED - Economic data needs economic context - Some common sense would be nice - How the CPI formula understates healthcare costs - Q3 GDP comes in strong - Is the consumer really "resilient? - Comparing 2007 with today - Gold knocks on the door of $2,000 - Chinese gold demand is hot

·       Q3 GDP expands by 4.9% in U.S.·       Nasdaq Composite Index enters correction territory ·       European Central Bank, Bank of Canada hold rates steady DisclosuresThese views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page.Investing involves risk and principal loss is possible.Past performance does not guarantee future performance.Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional.  The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual entity.Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk it cannot be completely removed. They do no not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.Investments that are allocated across multiple types of securities may be exposed to a variety of risks based on the asset classes, investment styles, market sectors, and size of companies preferred by the investment managers. Investors should consider how the combined risks impact their total investment portfolio and understand that different risks can lead to varying financial consequences, including loss of principal. Please see a prospectus for further details.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.Copyright © Russell Investments Group LLC 2023. All rights reserved.This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.CORP-12341Date of first use October, 2023

Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber discussed how investors should navigate the"tech wreck" on Wall Street -- with Nasdaq in correction territory, Meta shares falling despite a Q3 beat andAlphabet extending its sharp post-earnings decline. The UAW and Ford reached a tentative agreementnearly six weeks after the union began walkouts against Detroit's "Big 3" automakers. The CEOs of  Southwest Airlines and ServiceNow joined the program to discuss their companies' respectivequarterly results. Also in focus: Q3 GDP at 4.9% growth, earnings winners and losers, Morgan Stanley selects Ted Pick to succeed James Gorman as CEO, Silver Lake explores taking Ari Emanuel's Endeavor private. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

(10/26/23) Q3 GDP grew at an annual rate of 4.9% in the 3rd Quarter: It's not uncommon to see an economic uptick in economic activity prior to a recession; however, not all is rosy: bankruptcies are surging. Wednesday was not a pretty day in markets, with confirmation of a break of support at the 200-DMA. Market expectations for GDP and the effects of inflation; what are the ramifications? The regional bank problem was a problem for all banks. Banks matter because we are a credit-driven economy. Lag effects generally take 5 to 9 quarters to emerge. A Zero-deficit = negative GDP. Government debt and deficits reduce economic growth. Market correction is underway, as predicted, and there is concern for markets for 2023. How best to reposition portfolios; what earnings are telling us. Bond vs stocks, Value vs Growth stocks next year? The Fed is predicted to do nothing at next week's meeting; high interest rates are doing the Fed's work. Bill Gross: Economic deterioration is worse than people think; what are economists seeing? Pay attention to more recent data, like credit card spending and jobless claims. The problem with inflation is how it is measured. SEG-1: Q3 GDP Preview SEG-2: Why Banks Matter; A Credit-driven Economy SEG-3: What Corporate Earnings are Telling Us SEG-4: Previewing Powell Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cC5qe2kFcuI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=19s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Confirm the Break of the 200-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKXG1bfgj20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Gloom & Doom Scenarios Correct?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkkkIJacQWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Real Rates Drive Stock Prices" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/real-rates-drive-stock-prices/ "The Pain Trade Is Higher Into Year-End" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-into-year-end/ "Surging Deficits – The Bear's New Meme" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Watch our past Candid Coffee: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ConsumerSpending #Employment #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing

(10/26/23) Q3 GDP grew at an annual rate of 4.9% in the 3rd Quarter: It's not uncommon to see an economic uptick in economic activity prior to a recession; however, not all is rosy: bankruptcies are surging. Wednesday was not a pretty day in markets, with confirmation of a break of support at the 200-DMA. Market expectations for GDP and the effects of inflation; what are the ramifications? The regional bank problem was a problem for all banks. Banks matter because we are a credit-driven economy. Lag effects generally take 5 to 9 quarters to emerge. A Zero-deficit = negative GDP. Government debt and deficits reduce economic growth. Market correction is underway, as predicted, and there is concern for markets for 2023. How best to reposition portfolios; what earnings are telling us. Bond vs stocks, Value vs Growth stocks next year? The Fed is predicted to do nothing at next week's meeting; high interest rates are doing the Fed's work. Bill Gross: Economic deterioration is worse than people think; what are economists seeing? Pay attention to more recent data, like credit card spending and jobless claims. The problem with inflation is how it is measured. SEG-1: Q3 GDP Preview SEG-2: Why Banks Matter; A Credit-driven Economy SEG-3: What Corporate Earnings are Telling Us SEG-4: Previewing Powell Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cC5qe2kFcuI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=19s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Confirm the Break of the 200-DMA" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKXG1bfgj20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Gloom & Doom Scenarios Correct?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xkkkIJacQWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles Mentioned in this Show: "Real Rates Drive Stock Prices" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/real-rates-drive-stock-prices/ "The Pain Trade Is Higher Into Year-End" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-pain-trade-is-higher-into-year-end/ "Surging Deficits – The Bear's New Meme" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- Watch our past Candid Coffee: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sdi_-TQpNb8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugq7q4XzOcad3oSN5Z1Zd-Z&index=1&t=2s ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ConsumerSpending #Employment #EconomicData #Markets #Money #Investing

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US equity futures are indicating a lower open as of 04:45 ET. This follows a mixed Asian session, whilst European equity markets are lower in early trading. The macro focus in Europe on firmer-than-expected UK inflation data. China macro releases saw Q3 GDP better than expected, while activity data mostly beat. Country Garden dollar coupon deadline due on Wednesday also remains an overhang with no reports bondholders have received payment.Companies Mentioned: CVC, Nexi, Illumina, Apple, Country Garden

· Big losses following Suckers Rally in Bitcoin and stock market. · The Fed will pivot when the economy starts to buckle. · Atlanta Fed lowers their estimates for Q3 GDP. · Silver may be showing a silver lining in gold's cloud. · We're likely nowhere near a bottom in the stock market. · One of these Mondays will be a Black Monday. · Bond market may crash harder than stocks. · Bond market crash has implications well beyond the stock market. Thanks Ladder. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you're instantly approved. Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff