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3 episodes with false dawn
2 episodes with false dawn
2 episodes with false dawn
2 episodes with false dawn
2 episodes with false dawn
2 episodes with false dawn
2 episodes with false dawn
2 episodes with false dawn
2 episodes with false dawn
Nearly a century after President Franklin Delano Roosevelt spearheaded a sweeping set of economic policies known as the New Deal, the debate still rages over whether he was a hero or a villain. Defenders of the New Deal credit it with ending the Great Depression and pioneering a number of important social programs. Detractors claim it prolonged the Depression due to the reckless government spending demanded by Keynesian economics. Matt Kibbe sits down with George Selgin, author of "False Dawn," who argues that both of these viewpoints miss important details about the New Deal and its impact on the economy. In the first place, it was not particularly Keynesian in its approach to spending. Instead, it was Roosevelt's hostility toward private industry that delayed America's recovery for so long.
Chris and Nathan are back with another episode of the Boropolis podcast. In this episode, the lads discuss the win against West Brom, a hectic week on the transfer front and another disappointing afternoon at Deepdale.
En este trigésimo tercer episodio del ¡Bipartidismo Strikes Back! (una producción del #PodcastLaTrinchera), Christian Sobrino y Luis Balbino discuten las narrativas de fraude electoral, el podcast entre Jesús Manuel Ortíz y Javier Jimenez en Telemundo, la campaña Aliancista de los medios y entrevistan al estudiante José Gabriel Reyes Soto sobre su artículo en Compact Magazine titulado "Puerto Rico's False Dawn". Este episodio de La Trinchera es presentado a ustedes por:- Solar Innovation, un pionero en el campo de la ingeniería eléctrica con más de 30 años de experiencia y 6 años en la energía renovable, especializándose en resolver los retos más complejos de la industria. En Solar Innovation crean soluciones completamente personalizadas para que obtengas el máximo retorno de tu inversión. Solar Innovation ofrece el mejor servicio al cliente en la industria. Llamen al 787-777-1846 o escribe a info@solarinnovationpr.com para obtener una cotización gratis y descubre cómo transformar tu energía en ahorro y sostenibilidad.- La Tigre, el primer destino en Puerto Rico para encontrar una progresiva selección de moda Italiana, orientada a una nueva generación de profesionales que reconocen que una imagen bien curada puede aportar a nuestro progreso profesional. Detrás de La Tigre, se encuentra un selecto grupo de expertos en moda y estilo personal, que te ayudarán a elaborar una imagen con opciones de ropa a la medida y al detal de origen Italiano para él, y colecciones europeas para ella. Visiten la boutique de La Tigre ubicada en Ciudadela en Santurce o síganlos en Instagram en @shoplatigre.- San Juan Lincoln, donde encontrarán una exclusiva colección de vehículos de lujo diseñados para satisfacer todas sus expectativas. Por ejemplo, pueden ver allí la nueva Nautilus con una pantalla “wraparound” de 48” o la Corsair Plug In Hybrid con un rendimiento de 78 millas por galón. Pueden visitarlos en la Avenida Kennedy en San Juan para explorar lo que una SUV de lujo debe ser. Su equipo está listo para ofrecerles una experiencia inigualable. Para más información u orientación, llamen al 787-782-4000.Por favor suscribirse a La Trinchera con Christian Sobrino en su plataforma favorita de podcasts y compartan este episodio con sus amistades.Para contactar a Christian Sobrino y #PodcastLaTrinchera, nada mejor que mediante las siguientes plataformas:Facebook: @PodcastLaTrincheraTwitter: @zobrinovichInstagram: zobrinovichThreads: @zobrinovichBluesky Social: zobrinovich.bsky.socialYouTube: @PodcastLaTrinchera
Every good dance needs an afterparty. The conclusion of our scripted book-only coverage of the Dance of the Dragons with Radio Westeros! Intro: 0:03:24.The After Party: 0:06:02.The False Dawn: 0:07:51.The Hour of the Wolf: 0:15:35.When Women Ruled: 0:37:14.The Judgement of the Wolf: 0:58:56.A Winter Wedding: 1:10:10.You Can't Go Home Again: 1:15:05.Who Won This War, Anyway?: 1:20:24.Outro: 1:25:50. Radio Westeros: https://radiowesteros.com/ Music:Private Reflection, Constancy Part Two, Dark Times, Intrepid, Measured Paces, Mourning Song, String Impromptu Number One, Relent, Suonatore di Liuto, Teller of Tales, The Pyre, Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com), Joey Townsend. Art:Dalberadiata, Fox and Brambles, Hylora, Klaradox, Kristina Kyidyl, msezrwiz, NaomiMakesArt, riotarttherite, TheMarkyGallery, viscardiac, warp-speed, Chuck Lazarow, Ertaç Altınöz, Tomasz Jedruszek, Gary Gianni, History and Lore, and the House that Dragons Built. Bonus Eps & More - www.patreon.com/historyofwesteros Shirts & Stickers - historyofwesteros.threadless.com www.historyofwesteros.com Facebook Group: https://bit.ly/howfb
The moon passes in front of the sun for an annular eclipse this week. There's plenty of planetary action all night. And some people may be able to spot what's been called a false dawn, thanks to dust in the solar system.
With the end of the Everton takeover saga in sight, at last - who are The Friedkin Group and does this represent a 'new dawn' for the Toffees - or just another false one? The Athletic's Italian football writer James Horncastle, joins Gabby & Mark in the studio for the low-down on the consortium - who also own Serie A side AS Roma - and how their approval rating in Rome has dropped off a cliff over the last nine months... Former Everton Women's captain Izzy Christiansen - who played for the club as recently as 2023 - also joins the show to discuss how desperately the club need a 'reset' and Matt Jones (Blue Room Podcast) on what it means for manager Sean Dyche? Plus, Arteta's youthful team selection and a moment of madness from Chris Eubank Jr. in yesterday's London press conference. Executive Producer: Adonis PratsidesProducer: Sophie PenneyVideo Producer: Sam TrudgillSocial Media Editor: Calum ScotlandTom Hughes is Editor for The News Agents podcast networkVicky Etchells is the Commissioning Editor for Global You can listen to this episode on Alexa - just say "Alexa, ask Global Player to play The Sports Agents".And, the Sports Agents now have merch!
✓ Kako izabrati dobru knjigu za čitanje? ✓ Da li istorija može biti nauka? ✓ Šta je progres?
In this episode, Jerry and Gary discuss network APIs, what they are, which potential opportunities they bring, who are the key players, and what challenges they are facing. Join our expert panel at our virtual Conference on 29th May (APAC) and 30th May (EMEA/US), featuring special guest appearances from Telefonica and Verizon. Can the industry cooperate at an unprecedented level and attract developers along the way? Let us guide you through the excitement and reveal the potential problems. GlobalData Technology clients register here: https://technology.globaldata.com/webinars/listing/upcoming?WebinarType=Analyst%20Webinar-Conferences If you do not have access to the GlobalData platform, don't miss out! Get in contact here: https://www.globaldata.com/contact-us/ Are you a client, but subscribed to another part of our platform? No problem. Simply visit the ‘Webinars' tab of the platform or contact your account manager. Find us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/globaldatathematicresearch/ To understand how to use our Themes product please contact us: customersuccess.thematic@globaldata.com +44 (0) 207 406 6764 Host: Martina Raveni Guest: Jerry Caron, Gary Barton
Alastair Crooke: America's False DawnSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
In "Mexico, America, and NAFTA 1994-1995," we delve into the intricate web of economic, political, and social ramifications of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in the mid-90s, guided by insights from John Gray's seminal work, "False Dawn: The Delusions of Global Capitalism." This episode sheds light on the high hopes and harsh realities that followed the implementation of NAFTA, focusing on the promise of seamless trade and prosperity versus the actual outcomes for local economies, labour markets, and national sovereignty.We start by exploring the foundational goals of NAFTA, aimed at eliminating trade barriers between Mexico, Canada, and the United States, and fostering economic growth through increased trade and investment. Drawing from Gray's critique, we discuss the ideological underpinnings of free-market capitalism as championed by global institutions and how NAFTA became a test case for these principles.The episode then zooms in on Mexico's experience, highlighting the immediate economic turbulence that followed NAFTA's implementation, including the 1994 peso crisis and its long-term implications for Mexican workers and industries. Through Gray's lens, we examine the fallout of globalization on local economies and the widening inequality gap, challenging the assumption that free trade inevitably leads to mutual benefits.Finally, the episode reflects on the broader implications of NAFTA as a microcosm of global economic integration, considering how Gray's "False Dawn" frames the disillusionment with globalization and the rethinking of economic policies in the 21st century. Through expert interviews and analysis, we unpack the complex legacy of NAFTA and what it teaches us about the challenges and opportunities of navigating a globalized world.Tune in to this thought-provoking episode of the Explaining History podcast, where we dissect the layers of Mexico, America, and NAFTA through the critical eyes of John Gray, offering listeners a deep dive into the intertwined destinies of nations caught in the wave of global capitalism. Become a member at https://plus.acast.com/s/explaininghistory. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Manchester United's 2-1 win at Villa Park on Sunday made it four consecutive wins for the first time this season, but what is the significance of that? Have Erik Ten Hag's side got a realistic shot at recovering their hopes of securing Champions League qualification, or is this latest run just the latest false dawn at Old Trafford ahead of a summer reset? Ayo Akinwolere is joined by The Athletic's Adam Crafton and Man United writer Laurie Whitwell to discuss what's been behind the recent revival and how long it may be able to go on for. Produced by Guy Clarke Executive Producer: Adey Moorhead Related articles: McTominay's seven goals have earned Man United 12 points. What does it say about Ten Hag's side? - The Athletic Manchester United finally have ‘foundation' to develop young players – Erik ten Hag - The Athletic Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Welcome to "The Daily Voice" - eToro's daily financial outlookIn this podcast, you'll receive valuable insights from eToro's global analyst, Ben Laidler, on the significant daily financial news, all within a concise time frame of under 5 minutes.You can also read Ben's daily blog here.Your capital is at risk. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees. Past performance is not an indication of future results.This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments. This material has been prepared without taking into account any particular recipient's investment objectives or financial situation, and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal and regulatory requirements to promote independent research. Any references to past or future performance of a financial instrument, index or a packaged investment product are not, and should not be taken as, a reliable indicator of future results. eToro makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication.
Welcome to "The Daily Voice" - eToro's daily financial outlookIn this podcast, you'll receive valuable insights from eToro's global analyst, Ben Laidler, on the significant daily financial news, all within a concise time frame of under 5 minutes.You can also read Ben's daily blog here.Your capital is at risk. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees. Past performance is not an indication of future results.This communication is for information and education purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice, a personal recommendation, or an offer of, or solicitation to buy or sell, any financial instruments. This material has been prepared without taking into account any particular recipient's investment objectives or financial situation, and has not been prepared in accordance with the legal and regulatory requirements to promote independent research. Any references to past or future performance of a financial instrument, index or a packaged investment product are not, and should not be taken as, a reliable indicator of future results. eToro makes no representation and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the content of this publication.
Billi (@SGPSoccer) recaps the huge comeback win over Aston Villa, but will it be another false dawn? This episode also touches on the completed Ineos takeover and looks ahead to the trip to Nottingham Forest. JOIN the SGPN community #DegensOnly Exclusive Merch, Contests and Bonus Episodes ONLY on Patreon - https://sg.pn/patreon Discuss with fellow degens on Discord - https://sg.pn/discord SGPN Merch Store - https://sg.pn/store Download The Free SGPN App - https://sgpn.app Check out the Sports Gambling Podcast on YouTube - https://sg.pn/YouTube Check out our website - http://sportsgamblingpodcast.com SUPPORT us by supporting our partners PrizePicks code SGPN - $100 deposit match - PrizePicks.com/sgpn Gametime code CFBX - Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code CFBX for $20 off your first purchase - https://gametime.co/ Hall Of Fame Bets code SGPN - 50% off your first month today - https://hof-bets.app.link/sgpn BetterHelp code SGPN - This episode is brought to you by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at betterhelp.com/SGPN and get on your way to being your best self. Factor Meals code SGPN50 - 50% off Factor Meals - https://www.factormeals.com/sgpn50 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Billi (@SGPSoccer) recaps the huge comeback win over Aston Villa, but will it be another false dawn? This episode also touches on the completed Ineos takeover and looks ahead to the trip to Nottingham Forest.JOIN the SGPN community #DegensOnlyExclusive Merch, Contests and Bonus Episodes ONLY on Patreon - https://sg.pn/patreonDiscuss with fellow degens on Discord - https://sg.pn/discordSGPN Merch Store - https://sg.pn/storeDownload The Free SGPN App - https://sgpn.appCheck out the Sports Gambling Podcast on YouTube - https://sg.pn/YouTubeCheck out our website - http://sportsgamblingpodcast.comSUPPORT us by supporting our partnersPrizePicks code SGPN - $100 deposit match - PrizePicks.com/sgpnGametime code CFBX - Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code CFBX for $20 off your first purchase - https://gametime.co/Hall Of Fame Bets code SGPN - 50% off your first month today - https://hof-bets.app.link/sgpnBetterHelp code SGPN - This episode is brought to you by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at betterhelp.com/SGPN and get on your way to being your best self.Factor Meals code SGPN50 - 50% off Factor Meals - https://www.factormeals.com/sgpn50 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Billi (@SGPSoccer) recaps the huge comeback win over Aston Villa, but will it be another false dawn? This episode also touches on the completed Ineos takeover and looks ahead to the trip to Nottingham Forest. JOIN the SGPN community #DegensOnly Exclusive Merch, Contests and Bonus Episodes ONLY on Patreon - https://sg.pn/patreon Discuss with fellow degens on Discord - https://sg.pn/discord SGPN Merch Store - https://sg.pn/store Download The Free SGPN App - https://sgpn.app Check out the Sports Gambling Podcast on YouTube - https://sg.pn/YouTube Check out our website - http://sportsgamblingpodcast.com SUPPORT us by supporting our partners PrizePicks code SGPN - $100 deposit match - PrizePicks.com/sgpn Gametime code CFBX - Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code CFBX for $20 off your first purchase - https://gametime.co/ Hall Of Fame Bets code SGPN - 50% off your first month today - https://hof-bets.app.link/sgpn BetterHelp code SGPN - This episode is brought to you by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at betterhelp.com/SGPN and get on your way to being your best self. Factor Meals code SGPN50 - 50% off Factor Meals - https://www.factormeals.com/sgpn50 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Billi (@SGPSoccer) recaps the huge comeback win over Aston Villa, but will it be another false dawn? This episode also touches on the completed Ineos takeover and looks ahead to the trip to Nottingham Forest.JOIN the SGPN community #DegensOnlyExclusive Merch, Contests and Bonus Episodes ONLY on Patreon - https://sg.pn/patreonDiscuss with fellow degens on Discord - https://sg.pn/discordSGPN Merch Store - https://sg.pn/storeDownload The Free SGPN App - https://sgpn.appCheck out the Sports Gambling Podcast on YouTube - https://sg.pn/YouTubeCheck out our website - http://sportsgamblingpodcast.comSUPPORT us by supporting our partnersPrizePicks code SGPN - $100 deposit match - PrizePicks.com/sgpnGametime code CFBX - Download the Gametime app, create an account, and use code CFBX for $20 off your first purchase - https://gametime.co/Hall Of Fame Bets code SGPN - 50% off your first month today - https://hof-bets.app.link/sgpnBetterHelp code SGPN - This episode is brought to you by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at betterhelp.com/SGPN and get on your way to being your best self.Factor Meals code SGPN50 - 50% off Factor Meals - https://www.factormeals.com/sgpn50 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
EPISODE 1847: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to John Gray, author of THE NEW LEVIATHANS, about our post-liberal futureJohn Gray is a political philosopher and author. His books include Seven Types of Atheism, False Dawn: the Delusions of Global Capitalism, and Black Mass: Apocalyptic Religion and The Death of Utopia. His latest book is The New Leviathans: Thoughts After LiberalismNamed as one of the "100 most connected men" by GQ magazine, Andrew Keen is amongst the world's best known broadcasters and commentators. In addition to presenting KEEN ON, he is the host of the long-running How To Fix Democracy show. He is also the author of four prescient books about digital technology: CULT OF THE AMATEUR, DIGITAL VERTIGO, THE INTERNET IS NOT THE ANSWER and HOW TO FIX THE FUTURE. Andrew lives in San Francisco, is married to Cassandra Knight, Google's VP of Litigation & Discovery, and has two grown children.
Description:In this episode of the Explaining History podcast, we embark on a journey through modern economic history, tracing the evolution of global free markets from the height of Victorian Britain to the transformative concepts of Francis Fukuyama's "End of History." Drawing insights from the seminal work "False Dawn: The Delusions of Global Capitalism" by renowned scholar John Gray, we delve deep into the intricate web of economic, political, and social forces that have shaped our world.This episode guides us through a narrative that illuminates the critical junctures, key figures, and paradigm-shifting events that have defined the trajectory of global capitalism. With a keen focus on historical context and nuanced analysis, we examine the rise of free markets during the 19th century, their role in the world wars, and their triumph during the late 20th century.John Gray's incisive critique serves as our compass, challenging us to reconsider the assumptions that underpin the global capitalist system. As we explore the promises and pitfalls of unrestricted markets, we question whether Fukuyama's vision of "The End of History" has truly come to pass or if it remains an elusive goal.Whether you're a history enthusiast, an economics buff, or simply curious about the forces that have shaped our modern world, this episode offers a captivating exploration of global free markets' tumultuous journey, underpinned by the invaluable insights of John Gray's "False Dawn." Join us on this intellectual odyssey as we navigate the complex terrain of capitalism's evolution and its enduring impact on our lives.Here's a link to the Explaining History Buy me a coffee page, any and all donations gratefully accepted. Become a member at https://plus.acast.com/s/explaininghistory. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
We had the pleasure of interviewing Holding Absence over Zoom video!From the moment of our first breath to the very last gasp we take before we die, we never stop growing as people. Every trial and tribulation, every heartbreak, success and failure, every scar, blemish and wrinkle is another brushstroke illuminating our life's unique canvas. As Holding Absence frontman Lucas Woodland sings on “The Angel in the Marble,” the closing track on his band's outstanding third album The Noble Art of Self-Destruction (out now via SharpTone Records), we are, each and every one of us, “a puzzle, a painting, a work of art in the making.”Holding Absence's new album is a testament to how our life's story is never fully told, with opportunities for change and growth found in every moment, from the depths of despair to the euphoria of our greatest loves. Whether adding flourishes of colour to an already picturesque painting, or chiselling away at the marble to reveal the beauty within, The Noble Art of Self-Destruction – the final act in a trilogy of records encompassing the first chapter of Holding Absence's career – speaks to how we are each an unfinished work of art with new meanings and qualities waiting to be discovered.A record Lucas describes as a form of self-therapy that sees him more candid and comfortable with his emotions than ever before, The Noble Art of Self-Destruction brims with a level of energy, excitement and sheer weight of feeling that is unparalleled in contemporary alternative music. Whether Lucas and his bandmates – guitarist Scott Carey, bassist Ben Elliott and drummer Ash Green – are performing relatable anthems about imposter syndrome and self-loathing like massive singles “Crooked Melody” and “False Dawn,” gushing love ballads (“Honey Moon”) or existential reflections on suicide (“Death Nonetheless”), the four-piece's approach on their new album is packed with the kind of vigour that saw Kerrang! label them as British rock's “new leading light” and Loudwire proclaim the Cardiff natives to be “the UK's most exciting new rock band.”Recorded at Canada's Jukasa Studios with producer Dan Weller (Enter Shikari, Bury Tomorrow), The Noble Art of Self-Destruction builds further into the lore of Holding Absence that sets them apart from many of their contemporaries. Taking influence from a varied array of sources including Renaissance sculptor Michelangelo, sci-fi blockbuster Star Wars and the Japanese pottery art of Kintsugi, Holding Absence's new LP speaks to the desire of Lucas and his bandmates to create a project that exists as so much more than just a band.Having broken one million monthly listeners on Spotify and with top song “Afterlife” racking up in excess of 30,000,000 streams, The Noble Art of Self-Destruction looks a sure bet to bring even more success the way of Holding Absence, who've toured with the likes of Funeral For a Friend, Electric Callboy and You Me At Six. Previous LP The Greatest Mistake of My Life saw the band grace the covers of Kerrang! and Rock Sound, with glowing coverage from outlets including Loudwire, Alternative Press and Upset. The Guardian, meanwhile, praised Holding Absence as a band “making pop-rock anthems with rib-rattling drumming and mainstream appeal.”With that love only set to grow once The Noble Art of Self-Destruction is released, it's important for Lucas to emphasize how this album represents that what's come so far is just the beginning of Holding Absence's journey.We want to hear from you! Please email Hello@BringinitBackwards.comwww.BringinitBackwards.com#podcast #interview #bringinbackpod #HoldingAbsence #NewMusic #ZoomListen & Subscribe to BiBhttps://www.bringinitbackwards.com/followFollow our podcast on Instagram and Twitter! https://www.facebook.com/groups/bringinbackpodThis show is part of the Spreaker Prime Network, if you are interested in advertising on this podcast, contact us at https://www.spreaker.com/show/4972373/advertisement
In this thought-provoking episode of Explaining History, we turn our focus to a pivotal period in Latin American economic history - the collapse of Mexican neoliberalism between 1994-5. Drawing from John Gray's incisive book "False Dawn," we delve into the intricacies of this economic implosion and its far-reaching implications.Our exploration takes us through the establishment of neoliberal economic policies in Mexico, their relationship with the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), and how these intertwined factors contributed to an economic crisis that shook the nation.Gray's insightful analysis provides a compelling backdrop as we dissect the Mexican government's struggles with mounting debt, the challenge to its sovereignty, and the turbulent relationship with its NAFTA partners, chiefly the United States. We delve deep into the underlying assumptions of neoliberalism and how these principles contributed to the financial meltdown in Mexico.Our conversation also touches on the 'Tequila Crisis,' the international financial panic triggered by the abrupt devaluation of the Mexican peso in December 1994. We discuss how these financial shocks reverberated far beyond Mexico, creating ripple effects that had significant implications for global economic systems and the viability of neoliberalism as an economic model.Whether you're an economics student, history enthusiast, or just someone interested in understanding the forces that shape our global economy, this episode provides a comprehensive exploration of a critical historical event. Join us as we unravel the complexities of Mexico's financial crisis and take a closer look at the broader effects of neoliberal policy on the world stage. Become a member at https://plus.acast.com/s/explaininghistory. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Cohost Janet Bush talks with Carlos Lopes. He is a professor in the Mandela School of Public Governance at the University of Cape Town. He's also an affiliate professor at Sciences Po, Paris, an associate fellow in the Africa Program at Chatham House, and a member of the African Union reform team. Lopes was the policy director for UN Secretary General Kofi Annan and executive secretary of the UN Economic Commission for Africa. He serves as an advisor on MGI's research on Africa, including our latest report, which discusses the continent's human capital and natural resources and how they can help to accelerate productivity and reimagine Africa's economic growth. His views are his own. In this podcast, he covers topics including the following: The factors constraining Africa's potential The promise of AI for Africa The threat and opportunity of climate change for Africa See www.mckinsey.com/privacy-policy for privacy information
Join Callum and Ash as they break down all the action from round 14. The Giants are looking good under Adam Kingsley, while the Suns continue to disappoint after looking so promising. Carlton finally get it done, Richmond salute for Cotch, and the Bulldogs cop a nasty injury blow. Plus - an update on trade talk and contract speculation. www.mojosports.com.au
This week: Edward and Wes recap a tempestuous week in the Premier League and the start of Champions League quarterfinals. News and Notes has what will surely not be the last of the managerial changes, and the W4tch has a new baseball podcast. @AFAPod @EdwardGreene @WesBradshaw21 Email: allnewsportsshow@gmail.com --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/aforeignaffair/message
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
Since it's inception in 2021, 'Unleash the Roar!' is a national movement which aims to raise the levels of Singapore football and rally the nation behind a shared dream. With an onus on youth development and foreign exchange programs, could this pave the way for future footballing success in Singapore? Deepanraj Ganesan, Sports Reporter with The Straits Times, joins Elliott and Raushan to discuss the state of affairs in local football and the steps forward under the UTR framework. READ MORE:https://www.straitstimes.com/sport/football/football-we-are-making-tonic-soup-not-instant-noodles-unleash-the-roar-chief-on-criticism-about-project-s-progressSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Signs of slight improvement in production and demand in early 2023 may not be proof that a real recovery is underway for the global chemicals industry. - ICIS data shows mild pick up in pricing, production - More optimism in chemical industry- But no strong evidence of uptick in demand- Persistent weakness in construction, automotive, electronics- Rising production may simply be inventory building- Global economy hit first by energy price shock, now inflation, rising interest rates - Prospect of persistent downturn - Tepid GDP forecasts for 2023- Flood of excess polypropylene (PP) threatens global market
The CoreLogic House Price Index (HPI) for December provides the perfect platform to close out 2022 as Nick and Kelvin discuss why the moderation in value falls is likely a false dawn. Kelvin also wraps up a few other data releases you may have missed over the holidays weeks, most notably and concerning, the weak confidence results.Plus beware of some of the headlines you may have read, there's a warning for reading too much into asking price or sales price measures and are Auckland buyers really that active outside of the Super City?Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, Twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email nick.goodall@corelogic.co.nz or kelvin.davidson@corelogic.co.nz
DEZEMBRO DE 2022 Em 1985, Sir Clive Sinclair, um britânico figurão da indústria da tecnologia, está prestes a lançar um veículo elétrico que tem tudo para revolucionar o setor de transporte individual — isso ou afundar a carreira dele. Nesta adaptação do episódio “The False Dawn of the Electric Car”, do podcast Cautionary Tales, ouvimos a história da busca de Sir Clive pela modernização, e discutimos as limitações desses empreendimentos. Outras informações em foradeprumo.com . MÚSICAS Want You Gone, do jogo Portal 2 Playlist no Spotify QUER FAZER UM TESTE DO NOSSO JOGO? Entre em contato conosco pelo contato@foradeprumo.com, ou pelo Twitter ou Instagram. NA INTERNET Facebook, YouTube. REDES SOCIAIS Arthur, Gabriel, Victor. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/fora-de-prumo/message
Old New York by Edith Wharton audiobook. Old New York (1924) is a collection of four novellas (False Dawn; The Old Maid; The Spark; New Year's Day) by Edith Wharton, revolving around upper-class New York City society in the 1840s, 1850s, 1860s, and 1870s.
George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute and is also a long-time returning guest of Macro Musings. In this bonus segment from the previous conversation, George rejoins the podcast to talk about his new book project on the Great Depression titled, False Dawn: The New Deal and the Promise of Recovery. Specifically, David and George discuss the broad contours of the Great Depression, including its causes as well as the pros and cons of the New Deal solutions that followed. Transcript for the episode can be found here. George's Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin George's Cato profile David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox! Related Links: Macro Musings: *Jason Taylor on the Great Depression, World War II, and “The Big Push”* Macro Musings: *Doug Irwin on the History of US Trade Policy* Macro Musings: *Sebastian Edwards on FDR, Gold, and the Great Depression* *American Default: The Untold Story of FDR, the Supreme Court, and the Battle over Gold* by Sebastian Edwards
Join Host Bree Carlile as she reads the thirty-eighth chapter of Anne of the Island by Lucy Maud Montgomery.Come with us as we release one bite a day of one of your favorite classic novels, plays & short stories. Bree reads these classics like she reads to her daughter, one chapter a day. If you love books or audiobooks and want something to listen to as you're getting ready, driving to work, or as you're getting ready for bed, check out Bite at a Time Books!Follow, rate, and review Bite at a Time Books where we read you your favorite classics, one bite at a time. Available wherever you listen to podcasts.Check out our website!Get exclusive Behind the Scenes content on our YouTube!We are now part of the Bite at a Time Books Productions network! If you ever wondered what inspired your favorite classic novelist to write their stories, what was happening in their lives or the world at the time, check out Bite at a Time Books Behind the Story wherever you listen to podcasts.Follow us on all the socials: Instagram - Twitter - Facebook - TikTokFollow Bree at: Instagram - Twitter - Facebook
Use code GUIDANCE250 to get $250 off tickets to Blockworks' London Digital Asset Summit: https://blockworks.co/events/digital-asset-summit-2022-london/ -- Today Jack welcomes Andy Constan, macro investor and publisher of The Damped Spring Report, and Joseph Wang, former senior Fed trader and author of Fedguy.com, to discuss how the Fed's reduction of its balance sheet via quantitative tightening (QT) is impacting market liquidity and future returns. Constan argues that favorable market conditions that allowed risk assets to rise during the summer are no longer present, and that this “false dawn” is over. Wang argues that QT will drain the banking system of reserves and the Fed may have to plug “leaks” in the financial plumbing. Filmed on September 7, 2022. -- Follow Andy Constan on Twitter https://twitter.com/dampedspring Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://twitter.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Blockworks on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- (00:00) Introduction (00:44) Quantitative Tightening's (QT) Impact on Markets (10:38) Equity & Bond Market Flows Over The Past Few Months (15:46) Volatility (Vol) Targeting (24:18) Equity Risk Premium Model (32:13) The "False Dawn" In Asset Prices (38:28) Joseph Wang on Treasury Issuance (43:58) Joseph on "The Reserve Gap" (53:50) The Fed's Ample Reserve Regime (57:11) Andy Constan's Outlook on Bonds (1:02:02) How Far Can The Fed Go In Hiking Rates? -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
This is an abridged, 20-minute excerpt of the interview with Boston College professor of political science Shep Melnick posted for paid subscribers only. Become a paid subscriber to hear the rest of this episode and maintain access to a growing archive of independent study sessions.This is the third episode in the Syllabus series, wherein I do a deep dive into a subject with an academic expert.R. Shep Melnick, Thomas P. O'Neill, Jr. Professor of American Politics at Boston College and co-chair of the Harvard Program on Constitutional Government, has put together a syllabus of readings that we will be working through on the subscriber-only Syllabus podcast series. Every 3-4 weeks we'll do another reading together.This week, we're discussing Hugh Heclo's essay “The Sixties' False Dawn: Awakenings, Movements, and Postmodern Policymaking,” Journal of Policy History, vol. 8, 1996.Become a paid subscriber and get a head start on our next reading: Samuel Huntington, American Politics: The Promise of Disharmony (Harvard University Press, 1983), chs. 1-3. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit wesleyyang.substack.com/subscribe
A false dawn is a promising situation which comes to nothing. This is how Aqdas Afzal describes the situation in his native Pakistan and India at the end of the Raj. “The point to remember here, Steve, is that the British were in India not to govern. They were in India to extract surplus and to maintain what they called law and order. And so the British left without giving the local people any taste or mechanism for bringing about accountability or democracy. But they did leave behind these two very, almost draconian institutions for keeping law and order. And because of these two institutions - these two state institutions that the British left behind - in the case of Pakistan, the first 25 years of Pakistan's history was complete chaos.” Aqdas talks to Steve about the chaos of partition – a humanitarian crisis. Remember, Pakistan was not only separated from India, but it was also cleaved from its own Eastern wing, now known as Bangladesh. The generation that sacrificed and struggled to gain independence was hoping for a bright future. That was the false dawn. Pakistan fell into the lap of neoliberal thinking because of the Cold War, as Aqdas explains it. When the Soviets entered Afghanistan, the military government took over in Pakistan, cozying up with the US defense establishment. Pakistani policy makers began to sound like the godparents of the neoliberal project, Thatcher and Reagan. The interview covers the destructive role of the IMF, World Bank, and WTO – what Steve refers to as the evil trinity. No matter how many of our guests talk about them, there is always more outrage to be uncovered in their manipulation of the economies of the global South. Steve and Aqdas discuss Francis Fukuyama's concept of “the end of history.” With the collapse of the USSR, liberal democracy and capitalism were expected to be the final stage of human evolution, leaving no other pathway for developing nations. Aqdas counters with the notion that history is not linear. “Russia is a country that went through shock therapy, that was undertaken by experts coming from the World Bank and the IMF. These experts are basically telling Russia how to open its economy, how to change over from socialism to a market-based economy. The same Russia today is challenging the might of capitalist countries like Britain, United States, Germany.” He calls this the beginning of history. Aqdas Afzal finished his undergraduate and first master's degree in Political Science from Ohio State University, then returned to his native Pakistan. After working there for five years he won the Fulbright scholarship for his second master's and PhD in Economics from UMKC. He teaches at Habib University in Karachi and writes https://www.dawn.com/authors/8439/aqdas-afzal (a monthly op-ed in Dawn), a leading English language newspaper there. @AqdasAfzal on Twitter
Sir Clive Sinclair was a computer whizz and business mogul to rival Steve Jobs or Bill Gates. He was a visionary who could do no wrong... until he tried to launch an electric vehicle. The C5 “electrically assisted pedal cycle" doesn't seem so outlandish to us now... but 1985 just wasn't ready for the "aerodynamic bathtub" on wheels. Sir Clive was ridiculed and his business ruined. How did it all go so wrong? For a full list of sources go to timharford.com If you'd like to keep up with the most recent news from this and other Pushkin podcasts be sure to sign up for our email list at Pushkin.fm. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Repco Supercars Weekly is back for 2022! V8 Sleuth's Aaron Noonan runs through the key news in the wake of the season-opening Beaurepaires Sydney SuperNight.The Garage: https://www.repco.com.au/thegarage2022 Official Season Guide: https://bit.ly/RSC2022SG
Episode Notes The lads freewheel through an array of topics in this particularly meaty serving of turkey repast. Topics covered include: The challenges of modern parenting: limiting screens and social media James explains his personal "No TV/No Movies" Policy Neil gets a newspaper subscription Are Boomers getting assaulted by algorithms? "Moany Canadian Rock" vs Moxy Fruvous James remembers serving Jian Ghomesi tea 90's Irony Training and the False Dawn of 90's Humour The ICQ microgeneration vs TikTok youths Finally, for the true TurkeyHeads, please stick around for The Perfect Gift for Dad the 4 Tenets of Aging Gracefully Thanks for Listening! Intro music performed by Jordan Mack of Vangelism Outro music by To Good Friends
Welcome To The Hawthorns Debate Club. A West Brom Podcast with Jamie Clay, Joe Clay and Alex Collins. In this week's episode we finally have some respite. We discuss Albion's humbling of relegation strugglers Hull City. Is this a moment for renewed hope? Or a simply a beatdown on a poor side? We also discuss the reintroduction of TGH to the starting eleven. We navigate the potential rot at the club and ask the question is there a need for a clear out. Before previewing our upcoming fixture against the Terriers. Taming tigers is easy? TGH the first name on the team sheet? International Spy Network? ‘Get the full experience of an Albion fan. The dizzying highs of optimism and then crushing reality.' - Jonno Voted the 21st Best Debate podcast for Growing Businesses. Thank you for downloading. If you enjoy today's podcast, please spread the word. Music Credits The New Order by Aaron Kenny Cold Blue by Astron Downloaded from the Youtube Media Library Twitter: @HawthornsClub Instagram: thehawthornsdebateclub
In light of the renewed discussion over Australian coach Justin Langer's future, the crew discuss his performance so far, the efficacy of his unique style and whether he should stay on as coach. We also discuss whether the Ashes victory marks the start of a great Australian era, or whether struggles away from home will continue to hurt them. SKIP TO 32:51 FOR THE START OF THIS DISCUSSION. In "WHAT CAUGHT YOUR ATTENTION?": - Peerson refuses to credit the West Indies for their recent T20 series victory against his pohms. - Ethan discusses the take-aways from the U19 World Cup and the biggest cricket tournament you've never heard of, The LEGENDS CRICKET LEAGUE. - Ted opens up a can of worms when he discusses the fall-out from the dramatic Women's Ashes Test.
Value stocks have clearly been outperforming growth shares in the past few months. Will this continue, or are we set for another false dawn for value investing? In our latest podcast, Nicolas Simar, Senior Portfolio Manager Euro & European High Dividend at NN Investment Partners, shares his views and explores the biggest opportunities for investors.
In lieu of the renewed discussion over Australian coach Justin Langer's future, the crew discuss his performance so far, the efficacy of his unique style and whether he should stay on as coach. We also discuss whether the Ashes victory marks the start of a great Australian era, or whether struggles away from home will continue to hurt them. SKIP TO 32:51 FOR THE START OF THIS DISCUSSION. In "WHAT CAUGHT YOUR ATTENTION?": - Peerson refuses to credit the West Indies for their recent T20 series victory against his pohms. - Ethan discusses the take-aways from the U19 World Cup and the biggest cricket tournament you've never heard of, The LEGENDS CRICKET LEAGUE. - Ted opens up a can of worms when he discusses the fall-out from the dramatic Women's Ashes Test.
Steven A. Cook, Eni Enrico Mattei senior fellow for Middle East and Africa studies and director of the International Affairs Fellowship for Tenured International Relations Scholars at CFR, leads a conversation on geopolitics in the Middle East. FASKIANOS: Welcome to today's session of the CFR Fall 2021 Academic Webinar Series. I'm Irina Faskianos, vice president of the National Program and Outreach at CFR. Today's discussion is on the record and the video and transcript will be available on our website, CFR.org/Academic, if you want to share it with your colleagues or classmates. As always, CFR takes no institutional positions on matters of policy. Today's topic is geopolitics in the Middle East. Our speaker was supposed to be Sanam Vakil, but she had a family emergency. So we're delighted to have our very own Steven Cook here to discuss this important topic. Dr. Cook is the Eni Enrico Mattei senior fellow for Middle East and Africa studies, and director of the International Affairs Fellowship for Tenured International Relations Scholars at the Council on Foreign Relations. He is the author of several books, including False Dawn; The Struggle for Egypt, which won the 2012 Gold Medal from the Washington Institute for Near East Policy; and Ruling But Not Governing. And he's working on yet another book entitled The End of Ambition: America's Past, Present, and Future in the Middle East. So keep an eye out for that in the next year or so. He's a columnist at Foreign Policy magazine and contributor and commentator on a bunch of other outlets. Prior to coming to CFR, Dr. Cook was a research fellow at the Brookings Institution and a Soref research fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. So, Dr. Cook, thank you for being with us. I thought you could just—I'm going to give you a soft question here, to talk about the geopolitical relations among state and nonstate actors in the Middle East. And you can take that in whatever direction you would like. COOK: Well, thanks so much, Irina. It's a great pleasure to be with you. Good afternoon to everybody who's out there who's on an afternoon time zone, good morning to those who may still be in the evening, and good evening to those who may be somewhere where it's the evening. It's very nice to be with you. As Irina mentioned, and as I'm sure it's plenty evident, I am not Sanam Vakil, but I'm happy to step in for her and offer my thoughts on the geopolitics of the Middle East. It's a small topic. That question that Irina asked was something that I certainly could handle effectively in fifteen to twenty minutes. But before I get into the details of what's going on in the region, I thought I would offer some just general comments about the United States in the Middle East. Because, as it turns out, I had the opportunity last night to join a very small group of analysts with a very senior U.S. government official to talk precisely about the United States in the Middle East. And it was a very, very interesting conversation, because despite the fact that there has been numerous news reporting and analytic pieces about how the United States is deemphasizing the Middle East, this official made it very, very clear that that was practically impossible at this time. And this was, I think, a reasonable position to take. There has been a lot recently, in the last recent years, about withdrawing from the region, from retrenchment from the region, reducing from the region, realignment from the region. All those things actually mean different things. But analysts have essentially used them to mean that the United States should deprioritize the Middle East. And it seems to me that the problem in the Middle East has not necessarily been the fact that we are there and that we have goals there. It's that the goals in the region and the resources Washington uses to achieve those goals need to be realigned to address things that are actually important to the United States. In one sense that sound eminently reasonable. We have goals, we have resources to meet those goals, and we should devote them to—and if we can't, we should reassess what our goals are or go out and find new resources. That sounds eminently reasonable. But that's not the way Washington has worked over the course of the last few decades when it comes to the Middle East. In many ways, the United States has been overly ambitious. And it has led to a number of significant failures in the region. In an era when everything and anything is a vital interest, then nothing really is. And this seems to be the source of our trouble. For example, when we get into trying to fix the politics of other countries, we're headed down the wrong road. And I don't think that there's been enough real debate in Washington or, quite frankly, in the country about what's important in the Middle East, and why we're there, and what we're trying to achieve in the Middle East. In part, this new book that I'm writing called the End of Ambition, which, as Irina pointed out, will be out hopefully in either late 2022 or early 2023, tries to answer some of these questions. There is a way for the United States to be constructive in the Middle East, but what we've done over the course of the last twenty years has made that task much, much harder. And it leads us, in part, to this kind of geostrategic picture or puzzle that I'm about to lay out for you. So let me get into some of the details. And I'm obviously not going to take you from Morocco all the way to Iran, although I could if I had much, much more time because there's a lot going on in a lot of places. But not all of those places are of critical importance to the United States. So I'll start and I'll pick and choose from that very, very large piece of geography. First point: There have been some efforts to deescalate in a region that was in the middle of or on the verge of multiple conflicts. There has been a dialogue between the Saudis and the Iranians, under the auspices of the Iraqis, of all people. According to the Saudis this hasn't yielded very much, but they are continuing the conversation. One of the ways to assess the success or failure of a meeting is the fact that there's going to be another meeting. And there are going to be other meetings between senior Iranian and Saudi officials. I think that that's good. Egyptians and Turks are talking. Some of you who don't follow these issues as closely may not remember that Turkey and Egypt came close to trading blows over Libya last summer. And they pulled back as a result of concerted diplomacy on the part of the European Union, as well as the Egyptian ability to actually surge a lot of force to its western border. Those two countries are also talking, in part under the auspices of the Iraqis. Emiratis and Iranians are talking. That channel opened up in 2019 after the Iranians attacked a very significant—two very significant oil processing facilities in Saudi Arabia, sort of scaring the Emiratis, especially since the Trump administration did not respond in ways that the Emiratis or the Saudis had been expecting. The Qataris and the Egyptians have repaired their relations. The Arab world, for better or for worse, is moving to reintegrate Syria into is ranks. Not long after King Abdullah of Jordan was in the United States, he and Bashar al-Assad shared a phone call to talk about the opening of the border between Jordan and Syria and to talk about, among other things, tourism to the two countries. The hope is that this de-escalation, or hope for de-escalation coming from this dialogue, will have a salutary effect on conflicts in Yemen, in Syria, in Libya, and Iraq. Thus far, it hasn't in Yemen, in particular. It hasn't in Syria. But in Libya and Iraq, there have been some improvements to the situation. All of this remains quite fragile. These talks can be—can break off at any time under any circumstances. Broader-scale violence can return to Libya at any time. And the Iraqi government still doesn't control its own territory. Its sovereignty is compromised, not just by Iran but also by Turkey. But the fact that a region that was wound so tight and that seemed poised to even deepen existing conflicts and new ones to break out, for all of these different parties to be talking—some at the behest of the United States, some entirely of their own volition—is, I think, a relatively positive sign. You can't find anyone who's more—let's put it this way, who's darker about developments in the Middle East than me. And I see some positive signs coming from this dialogue. Iran, the second big issue on the agenda. Just a few hours ago, the Iranians indicated that they're ready to return to the negotiating table in Vienna. This is sort of a typical Iranian negotiating tactic, to push issues to the brink and then to pull back and demonstrate some pragmatism so that people will thank for them for their pragmatism. This agreement to go back to the negotiating table keeps them on decent terms with the Europeans. It builds on goodwill that they have developed as a result of their talks with Saudi Arabia. And it puts Israel somewhat on the defensive, or at least in an awkward position with the Biden administration, which has very much wanted to return to the negotiating table in Vienna. What comes out of these negotiations is extremely hard to predict. This is a new government in Iran. It is certainly a harder line than its predecessor. Some analysts believe that precisely because it is a hardline government it can do the negotiation. But we'll just have to see. All the while this has been going on, the Iranians have been proceeding with their nuclear development, and Israel is continuing its shadow campaign against the Iranians in Syria, sometimes in Iraq, in Iran itself. Although, there's no definitive proof, yesterday Iranian gas stations, of all things, were taken offline. There's some suspicion that this was the Israelis showing the Iranians just how far and deep they are into Iranian computer systems. It remains unclear how the Iranians will retaliate. Previously they have directed their efforts to Israeli-linked shipping in and around the Gulf of Oman. Its conventional responses up until this point have been largely ineffective. The Israelis have been carrying on a fairly sophisticated air campaign against the Iranians in Syria, and the Iranians have not been able to mount any kind of effective response. Of course, this is all against the backdrop of the fact that the Iranians do have the ability to hold much of the Israeli population hostage via Hezbollah and its thousands of rockets and missiles. So you can see how this is quite worrying, and an ongoing concern for everybody in the region, as the Israelis and Iranians take part in this confrontation. Let me just continue along the line of the Israelis for a moment and talk about the Arab-Israeli conflict, something that has not been high on the agenda of the Biden administration, it hasn't been high on the agenda of many countries in the region. But since the signing of the Abraham Accords in September 2020, there have been some significant developments. The normalization as a result of the Abraham Accords continues apace. Recently in the Emirates there was a meeting of ministers from Israel, the UAE, Morocco, Bahrain, and Sudan. This is the first kind of face-to-face meeting of government officials from all of these countries. Now, certainly the Israelis and the Emiratis have been meeting quite regularly, and the Israelis and the Bahrainis have been meeting quite regularly. But these were broader meetings of Cabinet officials from all of the Abraham Accords countries coming together in the United Arab Emirates for talks. Rather extraordinary. Something that thirteen months—in August 2020 was unimaginable, and today is something that doesn't really make—it doesn't really make the headlines. The Saudis are actually supportive of the normalization process, but they're not yet willing to take that step. And they're not willing to take that step because of the Palestinian issue. And it remains a sticking point. On that issue, there was a lot of discussion after the formation of a new Israeli government last June under the leadership, first, of Naftali Bennett, who will then hand the prime ministership over to his partner, Yair Lapid, who are from different parties. That this was an Israeli government that could do some good when it comes to the Palestinian arena, that it was pragmatic, that it would do things that would improve the lives of Palestinians, whether in Gaza or the West Bank, and seek greater cooperation with both the United States and the Palestinian authority toward that end. And that may in fact turn out to be the case. This government has taken a number of steps in that direction, including family reunification, so that if a Palestinian on the West Bank who is married to a Palestinian citizen of Israel, the Palestinian in the West Bank can live with the family in Israel. And a number of other things. But it should also be clear to everybody that despite a kind of change in tone from the Israeli prime ministry, there's not that much of a change in terms of policy. In fact, in many ways Prime Minister Bennett is to the right of his predecessor, Benjamin Netanyahu. And Yair Lapid, who comes from a centrist party, is really only centrist in terms of Israeli politics. He is—in any other circumstances would be a kind of right of center politician. And I'll just point out that in recent days the Israeli government has declared six Palestinian NGOs—long-time NGOs—terrorist organizations, approved three thousand new housing units in the West Bank, and worked very, very hard to prevent the United States from opening a consulate in East Jerusalem to serve the Palestinians. That consulate had been there for many, many, many years. And it was closed under the Trump administration when the U.S. Embassy was moved from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. The Biden administration would like to reopen that consulate. And the Israeli government is adamantly opposed. In the end, undoubtably Arab governments are coming to terms with Israel, even beyond the Abraham Accords countries. Egypt's flag carrier, Egyptair, announced flights to Tel Aviv. This is the first time since 1979. You could—you could fly between Cairo and Tel Aviv, something that I've done many, many times. If you were in Egypt, you'd have to go and find an office that would sell you a ticket to something called Air Sinai, that did not have regular flights. Only had flights vaguely whenever, sometimes. It was an Egyptair plane, stripped of its livery, staffed by Egyptair pilots and staff, stripped of anything that said Egyptair. Now, suddenly Egyptair is flying direct flights to Tel Aviv. And El-Al, Israel's national airline, and possibly one other, will be flying directly to Cairo. And there is—and that there is talk of economic cooperation. Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett met with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi in Sharm al-Sheikh not long ago. That was the first meeting of Israeli leaders—first public meeting of Israeli leaders and Egyptian leaders in ten years. So there does seem to be an openness on the part of Arab governments to Israel. As far as populations in these countries, they don't yet seem to be ready for normalization, although there has been some traffic between Israel and the UAE, with Emiratis coming to see Jerusalem and Tel Aviv, and so on and so forth. But there are very, very few Emiratis. And there are a lot of Egyptians. So as positive as that all is, this is—this has not been a kind of broad acceptance among the population in the Arab world for Israel's legitimate existence. And the kind of issue du jour, great-power competition. This is on everybody's lips in Washington, D.C.—great-power competition, great-power competition. And certainly, the Middle East is likely to be an arena of great-power competition. It has always been an arena of great-power competition. For the first time in more than two decades, the United States has competitors in the region. And let me start with Russia, because there's been so much discussion of China, but Russia is the one that has been actively engaged militarily in the region in a number of places. Vladimir Putin has parlayed his rescue of Hafez al-Assad into influence in the region, in an arc that stretches from NATO ally Turkey, all the way down through the Levant and through Damascus, then even stretching to Jerusalem where Israeli governments and the Russian government have cooperated and coordinated in Syria, into Cairo, and then into at least the eastern portion of Libya, where the Russians have supported a Qaddafist general named Khalifa Haftar, who used to be an employee of the CIA, in his bid for power in Libya. And he has done so by providing weaponry to Haftar, as well as mercenaries to fight and support him. That episode may very well be over, although there's every reason to believe that Haftar is trying to rearm himself and carry on the conflict should the process—should the political process in Libya break down. Russia has sold more weapons to Egypt in the last few years than at any other time since the early 1970s. They have a defense agreement with Saudi Arabia. It's not clear what that actually means, but that defense agreement was signed not that long after the United States' rather chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan, which clearly unnerved governments in the Middle East. So Russia is active, it's influential, its militarily engaged, and it is seeking to advance its interests throughout the region. I'll point out that its presence in North Africa is not necessarily so much about North Africa, but it's also about Europe. Its bid in Libya is important because its ally controls the eastern portion of Libya, where most of Libya's light, sweet crude oil is located. And that is the largest—the most significant reserves of oil in all of Africa. So it's important as an energy play for the Russians to control parts of North Africa, and right on Russia's—right on Europe's front doorstep. China. China's the largest investor and single largest trading partner with most of the region. And it's not just energy related. We know how dependent China is on oil from the Gulf, but it's made big investments in Algeria, in Egypt, the UAE, and in Iran. The agreement with Iran, a twenty-five-year agreement, coming at a time when the Iranians were under significant pressure from the United States, was regarded by many in Washington as an effort on the part of the Chinese to undercut the United States, and undercut U.S. policy in the region. I think it was, in part, that. I think it was also in part the fact that China is dependent in part on Iranian oil and did not want the regime there to collapse, posing a potential energy crisis for China and the rest of the world. It seems clear to me, at least, that the Chinese do not want to supplant the United States in the region. I don't think they look at the region in that way. And if they did, they probably learned the lesson of the United States of the last twenty-five years, which has gotten itself wrapped around the axle on a variety of issues that were unnecessary and sapped the power of the United States. So they don't want to get more deeply involved in the region. They don't want to take sides in conflicts. They don't want to take sides in the Arab-Israeli conflict. They don't take sides in the conflict between the United States and Iran, or the competition between Saudi Arabia and Iran. They want to benefit from the region, whether through investment or through extraction, and the security umbrella that the United States provides in the region. I'm not necessarily so sure that that security umbrella needs to be so expensive and so extensive for the United States to achieve its goals. But nevertheless, and for the time being at least, we will be providing that security umbrella in the region, from which the Chinese will benefit. I think, just to close on this issue of great-power competition. And because of time, I'm leaving out another big player, or emerging player in the region, which is India. I'm happy to talk about that in Q&A. But my last point is that, going back to the United States, countries in the region and leaders in the region are predisposed towards the United States. The problem is, is that they are very well-aware of the political polarization in this country. They're very well-aware of the political dysfunction in this country. They're very well-aware of the incompetence that came with the invasion of Iraq, the withdrawal from Afghanistan, or any number of disasters that have unfolded here in the United States. And it doesn't look, from where they sit in Abu Dhabi, in Cairo, in Riyadh, and in other places, that the United States has staying power, the will to lead, and the interest in remaining in the Middle East. And thus, they have turned to alternatives. Those alternatives are not the same as the United States, but they do provide something. I mean, particularly when it comes to the Chinese it is investment, it's economic advantages, without the kind of trouble that comes with the United States. Trouble from the perspective of leaders, so that they don't have to worry about human rights when they deal with the Chinese, because the Chinese aren't interested in human rights. But nevertheless, they remain disclosed toward the United States and want to work with the United States. They just don't know whether we're going to be there over the long term, given what is going on in the United States. I'll stop there. And I look forward to your questions and comments. Thank you. FASKIANOS: Steven, that was fantastic. Thank you very much. We're going to now to all of you for your questions. So the first raised hand comes from Jonas Truneh. And I don't think I pronounced that correctly, so you can correct me. Q: Yeah, no, that's right. Thank you. Thank you very much. Thank you, Dr. Cook, for your talk. I'm from UCL, University College London, in London. COOK: So it is—(off mic). Q: Indeed, it is. Yeah. That's right. COOK: Great. Q: So you touched on it there somewhat particularly with great-power competition, but so my question is related to the current energy logic in the Middle East. The Obama administration perhaps thought that the shale revolution allowed a de-prioritization, if I'm allowed to use that word, of the Middle East. And that was partly related to the pivot to Asia. So essentially does the U.S. still regard itself as the primary guarantor of energy security in the Persian Gulf? And if so, would the greatest beneficiary, as I think you indicated, would that not be China? And is that a case of perverse incentives? Is there much the U.S. can do about it? COOK: Well, it depends on who you ask, right? And it's a great question. I think that the—one of the things that—one of the ways in which the Obama administration sought to deprioritize and leave the region was through the shale revolution. I mean, the one piece of advice that he did take from one of his opponents in 2002—2008, which was to drill, baby, drill. And the United States did. I would not say that this is something that is specific to the Obama administration. If you go back to speeches of presidents way back—but I won't even go that far back. I'll go to George W. Bush in 2005 State of the Union addressed, talked all about energy independence from the Middle East. This may not actually be in much less the foreseeable future, but in really—in a longer-term perspective, it may be harder to do. But it is politically appealing. The reason why I say it depends on who you ask, I think that there are officials in the United States who say: Nothing has changed. Nothing has changed. But when the Iranians attacked those two oil processing facilities in Saudi Arabia, that temporarily took off 50 percent of supply off the markets—good thing the Saudis have a lot stored away—the United States didn't really respond. The president of the United States said: I'm waiting for a call from Riyadh. That forty years of stated American policy was, like, it did not exist. The Carter doctrine and the Reagan corollary to the Carter doctrine suddenly didn't exist. And the entirety of the American foreign policy community shrugged their shoulders and said: We're not going to war on behalf of MBS. I don't think we would have been going to war on behalf of MBS. We would have been ensuring the free flow of energy supplies out of the region, which is something that we have been committed to doing since President Carter articulated the Carter doctrine, and then President Reagan added his corollary to it. I think that there are a number of quite perverse incentives associated with this. And I think that you're right. The question is whether the competition from China outweighs our—I'm talking about “our”—the United States' compelling interest in a healthy global economy. And to the extent that our partners in Asia, whether it's India, South Korea, Japan, and our important trading partner in China, are dependent upon energy resources from the Gulf, and we don't trust anybody to ensure the free flow of energy resources from the Gulf, it's going to be on us to do it. So we are kind of hammered between that desire to have a healthy global economy as being—and being very wary of the Chinese. And the Chinese, I think, are abundantly aware of it, and have sought to take advantage of it. FASKIANOS: Thank you. I'm going to take the next question, which got an up-vote, from Charles Ammon, who is at Pennsylvania State University. And I think this goes to what you were building on with the great-power competition: What interests does India have in the Middle East? And how is it increasing its involvement in the region? COOK: So India is—imports 60 percent of its oil from the region. Fully 20 percent of it from Saudi Arabia, another 20 percent of it from Iran, and then the other 20 percent from other sources. So that's one thing. That's one reason why India is interested in the Middle East. Second, there are millions and millions of Indians who work in the Middle East. The Gulf region is a region that basically could not run without South Asian expatriate labor, most of which comes from India—on everything. Third, India has made considerable headway with countries like the United Arab Emirates, as well as Saudi Arabia, in counterextremism cooperation. This has come at the expense of Pakistan, but as relations between Pakistan and Saudi Arabia and relations between Pakistan and the UAE soured in recent years, the Indians have been able to take advantage of that. And Indian leaders have hammered away at the common interest that India and leaders in the region have in terms of countering violent extremism. And then finally, India and Israel have quite an extraordinary relationship, both in the tech field as well as in the defense area. Israel is a supplier to India. And the two of them are part of a kind of global network of high-tech powerhouse that have either, you know, a wealth of startups or very significant investment from the major tech players in the world. Israel—Microsoft just announced a huge expansion in Israel. And Israeli engineers and Indian engineers collaborate on a variety of projects for these big tech companies. So there's a kind of multifaceted Indian interest in the region, and the region's interest in India. What India lacks that the Chinese have is a lot more capacity. They don't have the kind of wherewithal to bring investment and trade in the region in the other direction. But nevertheless, it's a much more important player than it was in the past. FASKIANOS: Thank you. I'm going to take the next question from Curran Flynn, who has a raised hand. Q: How do you envision the future of Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia politics for the next thirty years? Ethiopia controls the Nile dam projects. And could this dispute lead to a war? And what is the progress with the U.S. in mediating the talks between the three countries? COOK: Thank you. FASKIANOS: And that is coming from the King Fahd University in Saudi Arabia. COOK: Fabulous. So that's more than the evening. It's actually nighttime there. I think that the question of the great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam is really an important one, and it's something that has not gotten as much attention as it should. And for those of you who are not familiar, in short the Ethiopians have been building a massive dam on the Blue Nile, which is a tributary to the Nile. And that if—when competed, threatens the water supply to Egypt, a country of 110 million people that doesn't get a lot of rainfall. Ethiopia, of course, wants to dam the Nile in order to produce hydroelectric power for its own development, something that Egypt did when it dammed the Nile River to build the Aswan High Dam, and crated Lake Nasser behind it. The Egyptians are very, very concerned. This is an existential issue for them. And there have been on and off negotiations, but the negotiations aren't really about the issues. They're talks about talks about talks. And they haven't gotten—they haven't gotten very far. Now, the Egyptians have been supported by the Sudanese government, after the Sudanese government had been somewhat aligned with the Ethiopian government. The Trump administration put itself squarely behind the Egyptian government, but Ethiopia's also an important partner of the United States in the Horn of Africa. The Egyptians have gone about signing defense cooperation agreements with a variety of countries around Ethiopia's borders. And of course, Ethiopia is engaged in essentially what's a civil war. This is a very, very difficult and complicated situation. Thus far, there doesn't seem to be an easy solution the problem. Now, here's the rub, if you talk to engineers, if you talk to people who study water, if you talk to people who know about dams and the flow of water, the resolution to the problem is actually not that hard to get to. The problem is that the politics and nationalism have been engaged on both sides of the issue, making it much, much more difficult to negotiate an equitable solution to the problem. The Egyptians have said in the past that they don't really have an intention of using force, despite the fact of this being an existential issue. But there's been somewhat of a shift in their language on the issue. Which recently they've said if red lines were crossed, they may be forced to intervene. Intervene how? What are those red lines? They haven't been willing to define them, which should make everybody nervous. The good news is that Biden administration has appointed an envoy to deal with issues in the Horn of Africa, who has been working very hard to try to resolve the conflict. I think the problem here however is that Ethiopia, now distracted by a conflict in the Tigray region, nationalism is running high there, has been—I don't want to use the word impervious—but not as interested in finding a negotiated solution to the problem than it might have otherwise been in the past. FASKIANOS: Thank you. I'm going to take the next question from Bob Pauly, who's a professor of international development at the University of Southern Mississippi. It got three up-votes. What would you identify as the most significant likely short and longer-term effects of Turkey's present domestic economic and political challenges on President Erdogan's strategy and policy approaches to the Middle East, and why? COOK: Oh, well, that is a very, very long answer to a very, very interesting question. Let's see what happens in 2023. President Erdogan is facing reelection. His goal all along has been to reelected on the one hundredth anniversary of the republic, and to demonstrate how much he has transformed Turkey in the image of the Justice and Development Party, and moved it away from the institutions of the republic. Erdogan may not make it to 2023. I don't want to pedal in conspiracy theories or anything like that, but he doesn't look well. There are large numbers of videos that have surfaced of him having difficulties, including one famous one from this past summer when he was offering a Ramadan greeting on Turkish television to supporters of the Justice and Development Party, and he seemed to fade out and slur his words. This is coupled with reports trickling out of Ankara about the lengths to which the inner circle has gone to shield real health concerns about Erdogan from the public. It's hard to really diagnose someone from more than six thousand miles away, but I think it's a scenario that policymakers in Washington need to think seriously about. What happens if Erdogan is incapacitated or dies before 2023? That's one piece. The second piece is, well, what if he makes it and he's reelected? And I think in any reasonable observer sitting around at the end of 2021 looking forward to 2023 would say two things: One, you really can't predict Turkish politics this far out, but if Turkish elections were held today and they were free and fair, the Justice and Development Party would get below 30 percent. Still more than everybody else. And Erdogan would have a real fight on his hands to get reelected, which he probably would be. His approaches to his domestic challenges and his approaches to the region are really based on what his current political calculations are at any given moment. So his needlessly aggressive posture in the Eastern Mediterranean was a function of the fact that he needed to shore up his nationalist base. Now that he finds himself quite isolated in the world, the Turks have made overtures to Israel, to the UAE, to Saudi Arabia. They're virtually chasing the Egyptians around the Eastern Mediterranean to repair their relationship. Because without repairing these relationships the kind of investment that is necessary to try to help revive the Turkish economy—which has been on the skids for a number of years—is going to be—is going to be more difficult. There's also another piece of this, which is the Middle East is a rather lucrative arms market. And during the AKP era, the Turks have had a significant amount of success further developing their defense industrial base, to the point that now their drones are coveted. Now one of the reasons for a Saudi-Turkish rapprochement is that the United States will not sell Saudi Arabia the drones it wants, for fear that they will use them in Yemen. And the Saudis are looking for drones elsewhere. That's either China or Turkey. And Turkey's seem to work really, really well, based on experience in Syria, Libya, and Nagorno-Karabakh. So what—Turkish foreign policy towards the region has become really dependent upon what Erdogan's particularly political needs are. There's no strategic approach to the region. There is a vision of Turkey as a leader of the region, of a great power in its own right, as a leader of the Muslim world, as a Mediterranean power as well. But that's nothing new. Turkish Islamists have been talking about these things for quite some time. I think it's important that there's been some de-escalation. I don't think that all of these countries now love each other, but they see the wisdom of pulling back from—pulling back from the brink. I don't see Turkey's position changing dramatically in terms of its kind of reintegration into the broader region before 2023, at the least. FASKIANOS: Great. Let's go next to, raised hand, to Caleb Sanner. And you need to unmute yourself. Q: Hello, my name is Caleb. I'm from the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater. So, Dr. Cook, you had mentioned in passing how China has been involved economically in North Africa. And my question would be, how is the U.S. taking that? And what are we doing, in a sense, to kind of counter that? I know it's not a military advancement in terms of that, but I've seen what it has been doing to their economies—North Africa's economies. And, yeah, what's the U.S. stance on that? COOK: Well, I think the United States is somewhat detached from this question of North Africa. North Africa's long been a—with the exception of Egypt, of course. And Egypt, you know, is not really North Africa. Egypt is something in and of itself. That China is investing heavily in Egypt. And the Egyptian position is: Please don't ask us to choose between you and the Chinese, because we're not going to make that choice. We think investment from all of these places is good for—is good for Egypt. And the other places where China is investing, and that's mostly in Algeria, the United States really doesn't have close ties to Algeria. There was a tightening of the relationship after the attacks on New York and Washington in 2001, recognizing that the Algerians—extremist groups in Algerian that had been waging war against the state there over the course of the 1990s were part and parcel of this new phenomenon of global jihad. And so there has been a security relationship there. There has been some kind of big infrastructure kind of investment in that country, with big companies that build big things, like GE and others, involved in Algeria. But the United States isn't helping to develop ports or industrial parks or critical infrastructure like bridges and airports in the same way that the Chinese have been doing throughout the region. And in Algeria, as well as in Egypt, the Chinese are building a fairly significant industrial center in the Suez Canal zone, of all places. And the United States simply doesn't have an answer to it, other than to tell our traditional partners in the region, don't do it. But unless we show up with something to offer them, I'm afraid that Chinese investment is going to be too attractive for countries that are in need of this kind of investment. FASKIANOS: Thank you. I'm going to go next to a written question from Kenneth Mayers, who is at St. Francis College in Brooklyn. In your opinion, what would a strategic vision based on a far-sighted understanding of both resources and U.S. goals—with regard to peace and security, prosperity and development, and institutions and norms and values such as human rights—look like in the Middle East and North Africa? COOK: Well, it's a great question. And I'm tempted to say you're going to have to read the last third of my new book in order to get the—in order to get the answer. I think but let me start with something mentioned about norms and values. I think that one of the things that has plagued American foreign policy over the course of not just the last twenty years, but in the post-World War II era all the way up through the present day, you see it very, very clearly with President Biden, is that trying to incorporate American values and norms into our approach to the region has been extraordinarily difficult. And what we have a history of doing is the thing that is strategically tenable, but morally suspect. So what I would say is, I mean, just look at what's happened recently. The president of the United States studiously avoided placing a telephone call to the Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. The Egyptians, as many know, have a terrible record on human rights, particularly since President Sisi came to power. Arrests of tens of thousands of people in the country, the torture of many, many people, the killings of people. And the president during his campaign said that he was going to give no blank checks to dictators, including to Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. And then what happened in May? What happened in May was that fighting broke out between Israel and Hamas and others in the Gaza Strip, a brutal eleven-day conflict. And Egypt stepped up and provided a way out of the conflict through its good offices. And that prompted the United States to—the president of the United States—to have two phone calls in those eleven days with the Egyptian leader. And now the United States is talking about Egypt as a constructive partner that's helping to stabilize the region. Sure, the administration suspended $130 million of Egypt's annual—$130 million Egypt's annual allotment of $1.3 billion. But that is not a lot. Egypt got most of—most of its military aid. As I said, strategically tenable, morally suspect. I'm not quite sure how we get out of that. But what I do know, and I'll give you a little bit of a preview of the last third of the book—but I really do want you to buy it when it's done—is that the traditional interests of the United States in the Middle East are changing. And I go through a kind of quasi, long, somewhat tortured—but very, very interesting—discussion of the origins of our interests, and how they are changing, and how we can tell they are changing. And that is to say that the free flow of energy resources may not be as important to the United States in the next twenty-five years as it was over the course of the previous fifty or sixty years. That helping to ensure Israeli security, which has been axiomatic for the United States, eh, I'd say since the 1960s, really, may not be as important as Israel develops its diplomatic relations with its neighbors, that has a GDP per capita that's on par with the U.K., and France, and other partners in Europe, a country that clearly can take care of itself, that is a driver of technology and innovation around the globe. And that may no longer require America's military dominance in the region. So what is that we want to be doing? How can we be constructive? And I think the answers are in things that we hadn't really thought of too systematically in the past. What are the things that we're willing to invest in an defend going forward? Things like climate change, things like migration, things like pandemic disease. These are things that we've talked about, but that we've never been willing to invest in the kind of the resources. Now there are parts of the Middle East that during the summer months are in-habitable. That's going to produce waves of people looking for places to live that are inhabitable. What do we do about that? Does that destabilize the Indian subcontinent? Does it destabilize Europe? Does it destabilize North Africa? These are all questions that we haven't yet answered. But to the extent that we want to invest in, defend and sacrifice for things like climate, and we want to address the issue—related issue of migration, and we want to deal with the issue of disease and other of these kind of functional global issues in the Middle East is better not just for us and Middle Easterners, but also in terms of our strategic—our great-power competition in the region. These are not things that the Chinese and the Russians are terribly interested in, despite the fact that the Chinese may tell you they are. FASKIANOS: Thank you. I'm going to go next to Ahmuan Williams, with a raised hand, at the University of Oklahoma. COOK: Oklahoma. Q: Hi. And thank you for being here. You kind of talked about the stabilization of northern Africa and the Middle East. And just a few days ago the Sudanese government—and they still haven't helped capture the parliamentarian there—have recycled back into a military—somewhat of military rule. And it's been since 2005 since the end of their last civil war, which claimed millions of innocent civilians through starvation and strife and, you know, the lack of being able to get humanitarian aid. There was also a huge refugee crisis there, a lot of people who evacuated Sudan. How's that going to impact the Middle East and the American take to Middle East and northern Africa policy, especially now that the Security Council is now considering this and is trying to determine what we should do? COOK: It's a great question. And I think that, first, let's be clear. There was a coup d'état in Sudan. The military overthrew a transitional government on the eve of having to hand over the government to civilians. And they didn't like it. There's been tension that's been brewing in Sudan for some time. Actually, an American envoy, our envoy to East Africa and Africa more generally, a guy named Jeff Feltman, was in Khartoum, trying to kind of calm the tension, to get the two sides together, and working to avert a coup. And the day after he left, the military moved. That's not—that doesn't reflect the fact that the United States gave a blessing for the military to overthrow this government. I think what it does, though, and it's something that I think we all need to keep in mind, it demonstrates the limits of American power in a variety of places around the world. That we don't have all the power in the world to prevent things from happening when people, like the leaders of the Sudanese military, believe that they have existential issues that are at stake. Now, what's worry about destabilization in Sudan is, as you point out, there was a civil war there, there was the creation of a new country there, potential for—if things got really out of hand—refugee flows into Egypt, from Egypt across the Sanai Peninsula into Israel. One of the things people are unaware of is the large number of Sudanese or Eritreans and other Africans who have sought refuge in Israel, which has created significant economic and social strains in that country. So it's a big deal. Thus far, it seems we don't—that the U.S. government doesn't know exactly what's happening there. There are protesters in the streets demanding democracy. It's very unclear what the military is going to do. And it's very unclear what our regional allies and how they view what's happening. What Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, what Saudi Arabia, what Israel—which Sudan is an Abraham Accords country now—what they are doing. How they view the coup as positive or negative will likely impact how effective the United States can be in trying to manage this situation. But I suspect that we're just going to have to accommodate ourselves to whatever outcome the Sudanese people and the Sudanese military come to, because I don't think we have a lot of—we don't have a lot of tools there to make everybody behave. FASKIANOS: OK. So I'm going to take the next question from Elena Murphy, who is a junior at Syracuse University's Maxwell School. And she's a diplomatic intern at the Kurdistan Regional Government's Representation in the United States. COOK: That's cool. FASKIANOS: That's very cool. So as a follow up, how much do you believe neo-Ottomanism and attempting regional hegemony has affected Erdogan's domestic and foreign policy, especially in consideration of Turkey's shift towards the MENA in their foreign policy, after a period of withdrawals and no problems with neighbors policy? COOK: Great. Can I see that? Because that's a long question. FASKIANOS: Yeah, it's a long question. It's got an up-vote. Third one down. COOK: Third one down. Elena, as a follow up, how much do you believe neo-Ottomanism—I'm sorry, I'm going to have to read it again. How much do you believe neo-Ottomanism and attempting regional has affected Erdogan's both domestic and foreign policy, especially in consideration of Turkey's shift towards the MENA in their foreign policy, after a period of withdrawals and no problems with neighbors? OK. Great. So let us set aside the term “neo-Ottomanism” for now. Because neo-Ottomanism actually—it does mean something, but people have often used the term neo-Ottomanism to describe policies of the Turkish government under President Erdogan that they don't like. And so let's just talk about the way in which the Turkish government under President Erdogan views the region and views what Turkey's rightful place should be. And I think the Ottomanism piece is important, because the kind of intellectual framework which the Justice and Development Party, which is Erdogan's party, views the world, sees Turkey as—first of all, it sees the Turkish Republic as a not-so-legitimate heir to the Ottoman Empire. That from their perspective, the natural order of things would have been the continuation of the empire in some form or another. And as a result, they believe that Turkey's natural place is a place of leadership in the region for a long time. Even before the Justice and Development Party was founded in 2001, Turkey's earlier generation of Islamists used to savage the Turkish leadership for its desire to be part of the West, by saying that this was kind of unnatural, that they were just merely aping the West, and the West was never actually going to accept Turkey. Which is probably true. But I think that the Justice and Development Party, after a period of wanting to become closer to the West, has turned its attention towards the Middle East, North Africa, and the Muslim world more generally. And in that, it sees itself, the Turks see themselves as the natural leaders in the region. They believe they have a cultural affinity to the region as a result of the legacies of the Ottoman Empire, and they very much can play this role of leader. They see themselves as one of the kind of few real countries in the region, along with Egypt and Iran and Saudi Arabia. And the rest are sort of ephemeral. Needless to say, big countries in the Arab world—like Egypt, like Saudi Arabia—don't welcome the idea of Turkey as a leader of the region. They recognize Turkey as a very big and important country, but not a leader of the region. And this is part of that friction that Turkey has experienced with its neighbors, after an earlier iteration of Turkish foreign policy, in which—one of the earliest iterations of Turkish foreign policy under the Justice and Development Party which was called no problems with neighbors. In which Turkey, regardless of the character of the regimes, wanted to have good relations with its neighbors. It could trade with those neighbors. And make everybody—in the process, Turkey could be a driver of economic development in the region, and everybody can be basically wealthy and happy. And it didn't really work out that way, for a variety of reasons that we don't have enough time for. Let's leave it at the fact that Turkey under Erdogan—and a view that is shared by many—that Turkey should be a leader of the region. And I suspect that if Erdogan were to die, if he were unable to stand for election, if the opposition were to win, that there would still be elements of this desire to be a regional leader in a new Turkish foreign policy. FASKIANOS: Steven, thank you very much. This was really terrific. We appreciate your stepping in at the eleventh hour, taking time away from your book. For all of you— COOK: I'm still not Sanam. FASKIANOS: (Laughs.) I know, but you were an awesome replacement. So you can follow Steven Cook on Twitter at @stevenacook. As I said at the beginning too, he is a columnist for Foreign Policy magazine. So you can read his work there, as well as, of course, on CFR.org, all of the commentary, analysis, op-eds, congressional testimony are there for free. So I hope you will follow him and look after his next book. Our next Academic Webinar will be on Wednesday November 3, at 1:00 p.m. Eastern time on the future of U.S.-Mexico relations. In the meantime, I encourage you to follow us, @CFR_Academic, visit CFR.org, ForeignAffairs.com, and ThinkGlobalHealth.org for new research and analysis on global issues. And stay well, stay safe, and thank you, again. COOK: Bye, everyone. FASKIANOS: Bye. (END)
In this week's episode, we look at Newcastle's first game under their new owners and the challenges they still face. Derby County fan Barry Wood joins us to talk about the possibilities of points deductions, takeovers or a Great Escape, as well as sharing his thoughts on the T20 Cricket World Cup. We launch a new segment to our show – Local Heroes – a chance to recognise those volunteers who give so much time and support to local sports clubs.
Dana and Tom discuss what was a mixed week for Neil Warnock's Boro with an impressive 2-0 victory at home to Sheffield United followed by a 2-0 defeat away to struggling Hull. They talk more about Neil Warnock's future and more eyebrow raising press conference comments as the pressure mounts on the Boro boss. Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/theborobreakdown. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Have we arrived at cricket's next epoch? Well, we try to answer that and much, much more in our highly anticipated preview of The Hundred!We start by asking what is The Hundred? Why does it exist? What audience are the ECB targeting? What will the cricket be like on the field?We then preview all 8 men's and women's teams. Who are we supporting and why? Are the Southern Brave clear favourites in both competitions? Will the lack of 'big' international names hurt the tournament? What are our favourite crisps?Let us know your thoughts on The Hundred by getting in touch on Twitter: @RainStoppedPod
Lawson Naidoo, Executive Secretary Council for the Advancement of the SA Constitution (CASAC)
What is powering the digital asset class revolution and are we past the tipping point for its progress? What does this mean for investors and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Binance coin, Dogecoin or for capital flows into Coinbase and NFT's? Michelle Martin speaks with Krishna Ramachandra who is Senior Partner and Head of Corporate Finance, Blockchain and Digitalization with law firm Duane Morris & Selvam,Chairman of Selvam LLC, Senior Strategic Adviser to Dentsu Sports Asia to find out. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Omer Azhar Bhatti is a current affairs writer for Naya Daur, a digital news media platform. Omer discusses why Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan (TLP) has the power to cause massive disruption and chaos on the streets of Pakistan and how religion has been used by certain factions for their political gain. He also goes in detail about the recent issue surrounding trade with India and the government's confusion on the matter. Lastly, he explains why the Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM) has failed to deliver and what's next for the Pakistan People's Party (PPP) and the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N). Timestamps: 0:00 - Intro 0:30 - Why do these mass TLP protests keep happening every few months? 3:30 - There is no concept of retrospective accountability; why wasn't action taken against TLP in 2017? 5:30 - What "action" should have been taken against TLP? 6:15 - "Everybody knows" why TLP was given a free hand in 2017 7:50 - Imran Khan & PTI's support for TLP has come back to bite them; Sheikh Rasheed's supposed u-turn 9:30 - Isn't it possible that Sheikh Rasheed has accepted his mistake and done the right thing now, which is what PML-N's supporters say about their party 14:30 - Why have Mariam Nawaz Sharif and PML-N been largely quiet about the TLP protests? 16:40 - Is banning TLP the good move? Will it solve the problem? 20:20 - The recent issue regarding trade with India 22:50 - What actually happened? Why did the government do a u-turn on its Indian trade policy? 26:00 - Nawaz Sharif was branded a traitor for proposing similar policies with India 32:30 - Why did PDM break up? 37:20 - PML-N in a very difficult situation; what will they do now? Edited by: Umer Fasie Bashir Follow us on: FACEBOOK https://www.facebook.com/onthemicoffi... INSTAGRAM https://www.instagram.com/onthemic_of... TWITTER https://twitter.com/on_themic Connect with us: INSTAGRAM Umer Fasie Bashir (Editor): https://www.instagram.com/umerfasieb/ TWITTER Ismail Farooq (Host): https://twitter.com/thehalfspaces #TLP #PTI #ImranKhan
Another slightly extended edition by 30 minutes, trying to get a backlog of new releases that have been on hold while moving to a new home. Quite a lot of musicians appearing for the first time on Sequences, nine in total giving us a broad range of styles from quirky experiments to Berlin school & dark ambient to symphonic scores. Steve Roach joins us with his sonic continuation of mystical captivating spacious sounds, the rich tranquil ambient music of New Zealander Rudy Adrian, rhythmical sequence lines from Ian Boddy’s modular synths blending with Markus Reuter’s overlaid beautiful guitar parts soaring overhead, Thaneco evoking melodies from certain colors with RNGMNN unforgiving dark landscapes disorientating & unsettling, are just a few of the musicians joining us again. Playlist 01.53 Dask ‘Fission 1986’ (album Electron Utopia) www.syngate.bandcamp.net 11.22 Wolfgang Nachahmer ‘Der Alte Web’(album Nachtwache) www.syngate.net 16.15 Wolfgang Nachahmer ‘Über den Zaun’ 22.26 The Checktones ‘Anura’ (album YAY) www.heartdancrecords.com 27.20 The Checktones ‘Clockwork Delays’ 30.26 Ian Boddy & Markus Reuter ‘Citadel/Parallels ‘ (album Outland) *** www.dinrecords.bandcamp.com 42.22 Loren Nerell ‘Hare Drum’ (album The Gong Prophet) www.steveroach.bandcamp.com/yum 53.00 Steve Roach ‘Equanimity’ (album AS IT IS) www.projekt.com 01.04.21 Rudy Adrian’ Stars Appear’ (album As Dusk Becomes Night) www.spottedpeccary.com 01.10.40 Rudy Adrian ’Starlane’ 01.15.34 Berangere Maximin ’Sky Contraction’ (album Frozen Refrains) www.berangeremaximin.bandcamp.com 01.22.07 RNGMNN ‘Down South’ (album False Dawn) www, Winter-light. band camp.com 01.29.50 Polypores ‘Of The Sweet Rot’ (album Shpongos) https://polypores.bandcamp.com 01.33.36 Polypores ’Slow Fruiting’ 01.36.53 Thaneco ‘Green’ (album Chromesthesia) www.thaneco.com 01.44.57 Thaneco ‘Purple’ 01.50.47 SINE ‘Closer’ www.sine-music.com 01.55.58 Oplen ’N’ (album O-P-L-E-N ) https://oplen.bandcamp.com/releases 02.01.55 Oliva ‘The Fifth Dimension’ (album Wonder World) www.heartdancrecords.com 02.06.37 Oliva ‘Arrival To A New Planet’ *** 02.12.19 RadioSilence ‘Cradle’ (album Newtons Cradle) *** www.andypickford1.bandcamp.com 02.23.38 RadioSilence ‘Bronze’ (album The Dark Days Inventions) *** www.andypickford1.bandcamp.com 02.35.00 Ivan Black ‘Breathing’ (Exit) https://ivanblack.bandcamp.com 02.40.07 Isolde& Isabelle ‘Pattern’ (album Alverromancy) *** www.isoldeisobelle.bandcamp. com 02.48.06 Isolde& Isabelle ’Source’ *** 02.58.05 Doug Blair ‘Of Dreams and Fantasy’ (album Of Dreams and Fantasy) www.heartdancerecords.com 03.01.04 Jonny Lipford ‘Believing Your Truth’ (album Balance) www.jonnylipfordmusic.com 03.08.19 Jon Durant ‘Current’ (album Soul Of The River) www.myndstream.com 03.18.38 Theadelaidean & Deepspace ‘M’aidez’ (album Adrift) www.projekt.com Edit ***
DB-Mar19,2021. Despite today’s head fake in bonds (yields surged but quickly retreated from their peaks), this Friday marks the seventh consecutive week in which the U.S. 10 year Treasury yield has risen. Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison and editor Jack Farley to analyze how the continued sell-off in bonds is impacting bank stocks, tech equities, and the U.S. dollar. They explore how the Fed’s decision to let the SLR exemption expire will impact the bond market and banks. Ed updates viewers on Europe’s economic woes, and Jack gives a quick rundown of the wild gyrations in the oil market. The three also look at the rate hikes by the central banks of Turkey, Brazil, Norway, and Russia. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
An acceleration in M2 money supply is another false dawn of this long, dark economic winter. Also, negative rates in the repo market. And mainstream interpretations of rising US Treasury yields.
Much to the delight of David, and every other Evertonian out there, Everton went and put even more pressure on Liverpool's season by beating them at Anfield for the first time since 1999! It's for that reason we have an extra-long episode for you this week! We take a look back at a week that saw Everton play three games, give three very different performances and end a very very long wait for a victory against their closest rivals. But before we get to all of that there's the rest of the Premier League for us to dive into. We review every match that's happened since we last spoke to you and you can check out in the timestamps below what we'll be discussing and where! Once again thank you for listening to the latest episode of the show, if you've enjoyed it leaving us a like, subscribe, follow or review would be an amazing help. But the most important thing of all is to keep listening to us yourself! Timestamps 0:00 – 1:24 = Intro! 1:24 – 3:26 = Villa vs. Brighton Thoughts 3:26 – 7:59 = Crystal Palace's Huge Summer Ahead 7:59 – 12:42 = City's Ruthless Performances 12:42 – 17:35 = Gareth Bales Time Back At Spurs 17:35 – 21:57 = Leicester vs. Liverpool Thoughts 21:57 - 24:19 = What A Turn Around For Wolves 24:19 – 26:34 = ManchesterUnited Dropping More Points 26:34 – 28:04 = Summing West Brom Up 28:04 – 32:39 = Arsenal's Demolition of Leeds (David Luiz Tangent) 32:39 – 34:23 = West Ham March On & Sheffield United Are Lost 34:23 – 38:51 = Are Chelsea in A False Dawn? 38:51 – 41:33 = Was a Point Good for Fulham Against Burnley? (Prawn Tangent) 41:33 – 43:42 = Thoughts on Adama Traore 43:42 – 44:36 = Should The ‘Top 6' Be Scrapped? 44:36 – 1:00:34 = Are the Cracks Starting To Appear At Chelsea? (Mount Tangent) 1:00:34 – 1:02:11= Burnley Lucky to Get a Point Against West Brom 1:02:11 – 1:07:01 = The Differences In Sheffield United's Seasons 1:07:01 – 1:45:55 = A Week In The Life Of An Evertonian! 1:45:55 – 1:50:28 = Signings of the Season/Outro
It encapsulates news from around the world of Soccer, bants, also features an amazingly loaded bonus Segments. Gists on NNL sponsorship and resumption also. With the football maniac IYAMU VICTOR doing justice to the topic of discuss on the “Hard Tackle Segment”. Don't miss out!
False Dawn: A scientist predicts the dawning of a new age of achievement promising a miraculous world, only to find that his predictions are very, very wrong. We love our listeners, fans and patrons! If you loved what you heard, please like and subscribe to our audio anthology and consider visiting our patreon site at www.patreon.com/melissadeltorovoiceover If you'd like to purchase books in the Untold Tales series, which have many more stories for your reading enjoyment, you can find them here... https://www.amazon.com/Untold-Tales-1-Jeffrey-Robinson/dp/1081757892/ Music by HookSounds https://www.hooksounds.com
Chanukah reclaims the true light for the descendants of Shem. The Greek descendants of Yefes and their darkness were vanquished; the Menorah and its miraculous light symbolize the return of prophetic clarity. But did we truly reclaim the original light? Prophecy didn't return and the Shechinah didn't dwell in the Temple; true redemption is still elusive. This lead some of Chazal to deemphasize the Menorah of the Chashmonaim and instead to emphasize our hope and waiting – for the perfect and eternal light of Hashem. For this episode's sources, click here Please take a moment to subscribe and leave a review on Apple Podcasts. Thanks for listening! You can email Rabbi Burton with questions or comments at oros.yaakov@gmail.com
Thanks for tuning in to episode 38! Let's fix the offside rule! (if that's possible) This week we kick things off with the ridiculousness of offsides, VAR, and all the other ref blunders. We would also like to thank our partners at Sportzvidz.com If you would like a personalized message from the likes of Ian Bishop, Tony Cottee, Shaun Goater, Paul Merson, Matt Le Tissier, and more, visit Sportzvidz.com This episode of 5 Pints In is also brought to you by Manscaped - the perfect tool for your family jewels. Go to manscaped.com and get 20% off + free shipping with the code: BISH #manscapedpod Cheers! --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/5pintsin/support
The party continues their search for the power sources of the Reality Siphon, blocking them from Baba Yaga's Dancing Hut. But, this party at the end of the world may delay them a bit. Who really cares about reality when the world is ending?Get the Syrinscape app with 10 SoundSets for free at https://syrinscape.com/?DaTPodExperience Crits and Giggles LIVE on The Dragons and Things Network, Mondays at http://www.twitch.tv/thedatnetwork and join us on Patreon at http://www.patreon.com/datdragonshow where you can help influence the story, gain access to additional lore and loot, and help add more episodes to the season! Thank you so much for checking out our show!Join the DaT Discord https://discord.gg/3d9p6nx
Value stocks may finally be on the verge of waking up. Growth stocks have consistently outperformed in the 12 years since the Great Financial Crisis, but the recent positive vaccine news and renewed hopes of fiscal stimulus could spark a sustained revival in the fortunes of value sectors. In this week's podcast, Robert Davis, senior portfolio manager European equities, explores the deeper theoretical drivers behind this potential shift and explains why it all comes down to fiscal policy action. “Value isn't dead, but it certainly has been in quite a deep sleep.”
The Punch Out with Eugene Puryear - Your Daily Socialist News Hit
On Today’s Punch Out:Trump’s False Dawn in Michigan/Nevada, US Planning to Strike Iran?, Rightwing Militias Are Not Going Away.
In “False Dawn,” the poet Khadijah Queen narrates her experience of the pandemic through a zuihitsu, an ancient Japanese form that interweaves poetry with personal reflections. She shares intimate anecdotes from her quarantine while grappling with the broader political issues thrown into relief by the coronavirus. In this episode of the podcast, Queen joins Harper's web editor Violet Lucca to dig deeper into some of the larger questions her piece raises, underscoring the impossibility of returning to “normal” after the pandemic is over. They discuss the work of Toni Morrison and Saidiya Hartman on the commodification of black suffering; the value of slowing down as a method of resistance; and the capacity of poetry to catalyze political change.
Podcast: InvestingEpisode: Energy transition podcast - a false dawn for hydrogen?Pub date: 2020-07-17Notes from Listening Post:HydrogenInvestec — In this week's podcast, Head of UK Research, Harold Hutchinson, discusses the role of hydrogen with Senior Energy Technology analyst, Marc Elliott. Get in touchThe podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Investec, which is the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Listen Notes, Inc.
In this week's podcast, Head of UK Research, Harold Hutchinson, discusses the role of hydrogen with Senior Energy Technology analyst, Marc Elliott. Get in touch · Investec site
Investec — In this week's podcast, Head of UK Research, Harold Hutchinson, discusses the role of hydrogen with Senior Energy Technology analyst, Marc Elliott. Get in touch
Today we turn our focus back to fixed income and explore how yield and income sectors have been performing in recent time, what an outlook looks like for the space, how to be positioned and more. Featured is Frank Sileo, Senior Fixed Income Strategist Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy
Tony, John, and Brendan discuss the constantly-evolving U.S-Chinese relationship and how it may impact American politics in the future. The gang also breaks down what has changed in the stock market, the impact of reopening, the new European Commission recovery plan, and what's happening on Twitter.
On this week’s Football…Only Bettor, Caroline Barker is joined by Mark O’Haire, Kevin Hatchard and Jake Osgathorpe for a review of the opening weekend of the Bundesliga and best bets for the weekend as well as an early look at next Tuesday's Der Klassiker. Read the latest insights and tips on football at https://betting.betfair.com/football/ 18+ Please Gamble Responsibly. Visit www.begambleaware.org
More great books at LoyalBooks.com
The Buildup, in association with Ladbrokes is our weekly look ahead to the weekend's sport, marking your card for another packed weekend of sporting action.
What it is that makes Dundee United champions as they all but seal the title, plus Dundee’s return to a better place, and the James Keatings saga. Remember you can leave a message for the podcast on 01382 575520 – and we might include it in next week’s show!
Matt Roller is joined by Mark Butcher and George Dobell as they review England's hopeful spell in the South Africa Tests.
Protesters have flooded downtown Hong Kong over the last six months, winning concessions and even adding to their demands. Experts say protests like these have proliferated around the world in recent years. But can they lead to lasting change? On this week’s episode of WorldAffairs, Richard Youngs, senior fellow at Carnegie Europe and and the author of “Civic Activism Unleashed: New Hope or False Dawn for Democracy?,” discusses what the explosion of civic activism says about the state of citizen discontent with Co-Host Ray Suarez. We want to hear from you! Please take part in a quick survey to tell us how we can improve our podcast: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/PWZ7KMW
It's 2018 and we're back with our first episode of the new year. In this episode of the Managing Uncertainty Podcast, Bryghtpath Principal & CEO Bryan Strawser and Senior Consultant Jennifer Otremba talk through Bryghtpath's view of the Top 12 Global Risks of 2018. Topics discussed include national security, the global economy, lessons learned from the 2017 hurricane season, cybersecurity, and risk to companies from the ongoing sexual harassment revelations. //static.leadpages.net/leadboxes/current/embed.js Episode Transcript Bryan Strawser: It's 2018. Jen Otremba: 2018, Happy New Year. Bryan Strawser: Happy New Year. Welcome back to the Managing Uncertainty Podcast. Jen Otremba: We're excited to be back in the New Year here. Bryan Strawser: We are. We actually didn't record any podcasts for the last three weeks of the year. I think we recorded four or five like that first of December and we used those throughout the months. So this is really our first time back in the studio here at our offices for a month or so. Jen Otremba: It's good. Much like many, it gave us chance to enjoy the holidays. Bryan Strawser: It did. So in this episode we're gonna talk about our view of the top risks of 2018. I think we're gonna kind of run the gamut here from things that many of you are probably thinking about. Some things that we've talked about before and then some things that maybe you're not thinking about that are gonna have an impact on you in some way, in terms of the global economy. Because that does impact you locally or foreign affairs and national security issues, which will also impact you in ways that you're probably not thinking about today. Bryan Strawser: So the first risk on our list of 12 risks that we're gonna talk about today is the rise of China and I think we hear a lot about this. I don't think people really understand the impact of what's going on but under the current leadership, China's really taken a different approach to geopolitical affairs and international relations than they have before. And what we're seeing now with China is really they appear to have started to cooperate with a number of international institutions where and before they really kind of set themselves aside and didn't do any sort of cooperation like this. Jen Otremba: Yeah, they really isolated themselves as far as international trade, discussions, things like that. Bryan Strawser: And what's interesting about that is, that was really a role the United States has played historically. We are beginning to do less of that. China is beginning to fill somewhat of the vacuum or void left behind by our leadership. It's not really a Republican or Democrat thing, it's just that the direction that our country has gone over the last decade or so has been a different role Internationally. So China is starting to fill that gap and it's an interesting comparison I think to think about the rise of China and what many perceive to be the decline of the United States as a geopolitical power for the last 20 - 30 years. Is very similar to the situation that the United Kingdom found themselves in, in the late 1800's where they made the strategic choice to hitch themselves through a surging United States as a global power and it has allowed the United Kingdom to bat above their weight in foreign affairs for well over a century. And perhaps we have similar opportunity to coach and guide the Chinese in the same way, but I'm not sure that our current administration or even previous administration is interested in doing that. They seem to be more interested in confrontation. Jen Otremba: Well, I don't even know that the mass population of the US is ready to do that. Bryan Strawser: No. Jen Otremba: Or ready to welcome that as being an option. Bryan Strawser: But China will continue to be for the foreseeable future the world's largest economy, one of the largest geopolitical powers, and I think we'll see them continue to flex their muscle on the international stage for decades to come. Our second risk is ... and these are in no particular order by the way. Our second risk is North Korea. Obviously the threat here is North Korea is a nuclear power. They have achieved at least some intercontinental ballistic missile capability that seems to be advancing and the Olympics are in South Korea in just a short period of time here. And we have a significant amount of military forces in South Korea. They're under treaty to defend South Korea who is a close ally of the United States. Nobody knows what's going to happen. Jen Otremba: No, but really interesting, right? To follow that and watch what will happen as we lead up to the Olympics there. Bryan Strawser: We had a client call us, what ... about four months ago and asked the question ... first they kind of danced around the point and then they just got to it and said, "What we're really concerned about is we have a billion dollars in product being manufactured in South Korea right now and I don't know if we should think about where to manufacture that elsewhere or if we're even going to get the product." Jen Otremba: And they're not an isolated case, right. So there's many of these types of organizations that have products coming out of South Korea, and trying to figure out what is the answer going forward. Bryan Strawser: So North Korea will continue to be ... I think they are the very definition of uncertainly really no idea of what they're going to do. They don't follow any international rule set that countries like United States are expected to follow. We don't know what their decision making is going to be. There's an awful lot of sabre-rattling that's gone on and any type of military conflict would just be enormously damaging. Not just in terms of life but on the global economy as a whole. Jen Otremba: Yes, very much so. Bryan Strawser: Our third risk is really a risk to business, and it is about the impact of technology on how we operate. And this is really about the rise of three specific technologies and that's automation, robotics and artificial intelligence. That we are seeing these as kind of the next huddle that businesses are going to be faced with that what you do today manually is going to be done in the near future and in some cases is already is, being done by systems that are robotic or automated or that utilizing artificial intelligence. Jen Otremba: Yeah, and we're seeing that already come out with cars, with helicopters, with obviously [inaudible 00:06:16] but things like that where there's a lot of experimentation going on right now and I think it's just gonna continue. Bryan Strawser: We see that with Amazons Alexa, with Apple's Siri, with Google Home and with these other products that are beginning to use ... you know we think of it as voice recognition but what's really happening here is artificial intelligence processing going on behind the scenes and making that happen. And I think this is gonna have huge impact on jobs in a way that people don't expect today. If your job is something that you can replaced by software, that's probably gonna happen in the next decade. Jen Otremba: Yeah, and we've seen it happen in the past before. Bryan Strawser: We have. Jen Otremba: So it will be interesting to see how this evolves and how it continues to affect us. Bryan Strawser: Fourth on our risk and this is really for US centric companies but is Mexico. The risk here is not about illegal immigration or people crossing the border. The risk here is strategic and it is about the desire of the United States to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement or NAFTA, will undoubtedly have an impact on trade and on the price of goods and on the free flow of goods between the US and Canada and Mexico. This is all complicated by the fact that Mexico will have a presidential election in July and that could alter the United States' relationship and the tenor and tone of these negotiations. Jen Otremba: Which has already- Bryan Strawser: It's already happened. Jen Otremba: ... happened, yes. Bryan Strawser: Number five on our risk is Iran. I'm sure most of you are not dealing with Iran in terms of working with vendors or sourcing product from there or visiting Iran for tourism purposes. But Iran, particularly over the last few weeks has been the site of kind of democracy driven protests against the ruling regime that's in place and their form of government, which is very non-democratic and highly theocratic in nature. The risk here is not so much about the impact on companies that might be doing business Iran 'cause that's not happening. It's really about Iran's place in the Middle East and how this impact neighboring countries and the kind of general state of conflict going on throughout the Arab World. Iran is in the middle of a lot of that. In fact Iran has instigated or been in driving a lot of that particularly with Iraq and others there. We talked before the podcast, I think were both fairly pessimistic about the protest situation there. Jen Otremba: Yeah. I mean in the course of history and what we've seen with protest is generally the outcome is not necessarily favorable of the protesters or to the cause. They don't usually get what it is that they are hoping to get out of it. Bryan Strawser: We're both fans of Steven A. Cook who is a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations in DC. Jen Otremba: Yes, recently we got to see him talk. Bryan Strawser: Got to see him talk at University of Minnesota Humphrey School and Dr. Cook has a great book called False Dawn about this rise of protest and democracy in the Middle East and North Africa. I can remember the money quote that you gave me this morning that there was no pot of gold at the end of the protester rainbow. Jen Otremba: Yeah something along those lines. That was quoted from Steven Cook but maybe not exactly the way he said it but something like that. And it really rang true to what we've seen in protests really throughout history but specifically in the Middle East. Bryan Strawser: Right. There's a theory, and I believe in this theory to some extent and I don't think this means that it's ... if you pair this with Cook, I don't think this is optimistic at all. But Thomas P. M. Barnett who wrote the book The Pentagon's New Map, really talked about the change in the Middle East and elsewhere, where you have isolated economies and countries, Myanmar and Haiti were examples of this. That connectedness with the outside world drives the kind of protests and pro-democracy behavior because people start to understand that there is a life beyond the form of government and the regime in which they live under. I've seen that sighted, this connectedness to the outside world through satellite television, through mobile phones, through the internet as being kind of a catalyst for some of these protests. But it still doesn't make me optimistic that they're gonna be successful in the long run. It will require other change to happen. Jen Otremba: Right. Bryan Strawser: Number six on our list is protectionism I trade. Again, this is more of a US centric issue but it will have global economic impact. The current administration, President Trump's administration has said in numerous ways that they wish to pursue essentially a trade war, but they're interested in pursuing tariffs on certain products coming into the United States. And I don't think there's any way to talk about that without realizing that those tariffs are gonna be reciprocated in some way shape or form. We were talking about tariffs on foreign steel particularly Chinese steel, which is much more ... it's much cheaper than steel manufactured in the United States. But if you put big tariffs on that, the Chinese will find a way to reciprocate, it might not be on steel but they'll find another issue, televisions, Apple products that are manufactured there and they will make them more expensive in retaliation. Jen Otremba: So it's a risk, so we'll see where that goes, what happens there. Bryan Strawser: Number seven on our risk is Brexit in the United Kingdom. This has been a multi-year battle now across two prime ministers following the referendum about the UK leaving the European Union. Their negotiations are ongoing. But this has been a really difficult thing to work through for the British Government, it brought down the previous prime minster who was of course opposed to Brexit lost, I think did the smart and honorable thing and resigned. And now Theresa May who is his successor is leading the Conservative Party as Prime Minister and is really struggling from a leadership standpoint to get through the Brexit negotiations are bringing this to a close. You know she called a snap election, didn't pick up the seats that they thought they were going to get. She thought they were in a good position, turned out they had read the electorate wrong. Probably isn't gonna make it as Prime Minister given what we're seeing over there in terms of politics, you can get toppled by your own party and in sometime this year if things don't improve. Number eight on our list is the sexual harassment scandals of 2017 and how they will continue to play into 2018, definitely not a risk that's going away. Jen Otremba: No, we did a whole podcast geared on this topic alone where we talked a lot through what that risk looks like for organizations, corporations, things like that. Bryan Strawser: So we don't go in a lot of detail there except to say that the tolerance for this kind of behavior is at I think at an all time low. I think accountability for this behavior is high and getting higher. And I don't really think there's been the impact in the business community yet that we're gonna see down the road. Still seen this ripple through entertainment and news. But I think they'll be more about company scandals that we'll learn over time. Number nine is on our risk of top threats is the failure to deal with the lessons of the 2017 hurricane season. Jen Otremba: This is huge. Bryan Strawser: So there was a number of lessons that came out of the hurricane season last year, three major hurricanes. The most difficult hurricane season, biggest hurricane in a very long time in the US. And we're still dealing with the aftermath of this and the US Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico where we still don't have 100% power restoration and water restoration. But there's a number of lessons that came out of this, we're gonna talk about these on an upcoming webinar later this month. But the real risk out all of this is not that I don't think of the risk is that, 'Hey we're gonna have another really bad hurricane season," statistically- Jen Otremba: We will, we know at point. Bryan Strawser: At some point we're going to. But to us the real risk is that in the month or so following the hurricane season wrapping up, lots of companies wanted to do a lot to address the issues like not having a good crisis management process, not having good communication, not having the logistics in supply contracts and place to deal with things, not knowing how to account for your team. Jen Otremba: Not having good plans. Bryan Strawser: Not having good plans. These are all things that need to be addressed and if they're not addressed, well that's the real risk. The real risk is, "I've decided not to deal with these things," thinking that, "Hey, this isn't gonna happen again." But it is going to happen again and it might not be a hurricane, it could be another issue. We're seeing smart companies deal with the lessons learned of the hurricane season. We're seeing a lot of companies that are like, "Well, it's okay." Jen Otremba: "It's a risk we're willing to take." Bryan Strawser: Yeah or, "Well, we don't have money this year so we're gonna wait." And that's not a good strategy. Jen Otremba: It's really not. Bryan Strawser: Number 10 on our list is just the uncertainty of the world today. And we were speaking prior to the podcast but a lot of the recaps of 2017 going into 2018 particularly here in the United States were around this, "God, 2018 is just gonna be a mess and a disaster. It's gonna be so difficult." I don't think we feel that way. Jen Otremba: No. Bryan Strawser: But there is more ... It feels like there's more uncertainty and more potential for disruption than before. I think part of this is the ... we think part of this is just the political turmoil that we kind of feel here in the United States where if you watch the news and they're talking about politics, state, local, federal, it's exhausting. Jen Otremba: It is. I walked in the office this morning and I even said that to Brian. I was like, "Gosh, I'm just so exhausted with everything and then the media right now." Bryan Strawser: I can't watch it. Yeah, I can't watch the news. Jen Otremba: Everything is a significant emotional event so it is exhausting. So how do organizations become more resilient to be able to manage through that? Bryan Strawser: And how do they make sure that their team is resilient, that we can deal with this kind of up and down situation that they have to be faced with. I was talking to a reporter this morning about that very issue is, I think their question when they called was, "What do you tell small businesses about how to help their employees be more resilient with all of this." I mean she describes just all of this chaos that's going on in the world. And I'm like, "Well, one is, I wouldn't frame it that way. I don't think the world is that chaotic but the world's uncertain. You really have to be able to help your employees understand how to deal with the ups and downs of the business cycle." Jen Otremba: Like roll with the punches? Bryan Strawser: You gotta roll with the punches and there's gonna be down cycles of things that happening. You have to manage through that as an individual and as an employee and you have to drive those behaviors in your business. Number 11 on our list is Terrorism that this an issue we don't think goes away. We certainly saw, I think over the last two or three years there's been a clear trend towards some shifting of strategy when it comes to terrorism attacks in the Western world, in Europe, in the United States, Canada and elsewhere. We are seeing more vehicle-borne attacks where fire arms or knives are not necessarily involved. We've seen knife attacks even here in Minnesota in [inaudible 00:17:59]. And then we continue to see the ... I hate to use the phrase lone wolf 'cause it's so overused. But we see this individual who might be motivated and radicalized for some purpose who then plans and executes and attack on their own without any kind of command or control structure and that's incredible difficult to detect and even more difficult to stop because you really don't know it's coming, you don't know who to watch in that case. Jen Otremba: Not unless you know some of the risk factors anyway. Bryan Strawser: Right, there's obviously risk factors in some of those cases. Well, there's things that people should have seen that we don't wanna react to. Jen Otremba: Right, ultimately I think we don't want to, is a good way of putting, yeah. Bryan Strawser: Yeah, if you see something, say something. Jen Otremba: Exactly. Bryan Strawser: Last on our risk and certainly not least is the whole issue of cyber security. I think there is a good article I was reading last night about, "The cyber security piece has really come to a standoff between the ever increasingly high barrier to breach into an organization and the incredibly more sophisticated tools that hackers and those that seek to do harm like state actors, intelligence agencies and others, their tools are getting more and more sophisticated over time." I mean we saw an attack here in the last 18 month where someone basically used an exploit that the US National Security Agency had discovered and used that exploit to breach into organizations, steal information and PII and PCI data. So it continues to be more difficult. And one of the gaps that we see pretty commonly here is, you know, we don't do technical infosec work. That's not the field that we're in. There are many reputable places that do that kind of work. We are more interested in when the thing happens, how do you react and what is your process and how do you manage the incident? What happens if you really have a breach and how do you handle the crisis communications from that? Jen Otremba: And what are your plans? Bryan Strawser: And what are your plans and do you practice those plans? And wow, people are not good at this. Jen Otremba: And do you exercise them and people are not good at this. Bryan Strawser: They're not good at all. So there's a great opportunity that I think goes back to the hurricane lessons, which is what is your crisis strategy, your incident strategy leading to a crisis that allows you to react and deal with these things. Bryan Strawser: Those are our top twelve risks for 2018 as Jen just outlined. And we'll be talking in some depth about a couple of these risks moving forward in some more in-depth additions to the podcast and on our blog in the future. Jen Otremba: And certainly how they evolve throughout the year. Bryan Strawser: Thanks for listening.
Protesters flooded downtown Hong Kong over the weekend, winning concessions and even adding to their demands. Experts say protests like these have proliferated around the world in recent years. But can they lead to lasting change? On this week’s episode of WorldAffairs, Richard Youngs, senior fellow at Carnegie Europe and and the author of “Civic Activism Unleashed: New Hope or False Dawn for Democracy?,” discusses what the explosion of civic activism says about the state of citizen discontent with Co-Host Ray Suarez. We want to hear from you! Please take part in a quick survey to tell us how we can improve our podcast: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/PWZ7KMW
Edited audio from the livestream on Feb 19th 2019. Ashaya and Aziz were joined by Nina Friel (goodqueenaly.tumblr.com) to discuss the Pact of Ice and Fire, the False Dawn, the Hour of the Wolf and quite a few parallels. Support History of Westeros: bit.ly/howpatreon Flick Invite Link (PHONE ONLY): bit.ly/howflick Discord Invite Link: bit.ly/howdiscord Facebook group: bit.ly/howfb YouTube: bit.ly/howyoutube
This episode we go through Manchester United and José's plight, Arsenal's emergence and whether they can sustain it, and one of us reveals themselves to be an unlikely dinosaur expert! That's Dinosaurs! Follow us on Twitter: @milesoffsidepod https://twitter.com/milesoffsidepod?s=09 Like us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/milesoffsidepod/ Review us on iTunes: http://itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/miles-offside/id1397029545?mt=2
The Uncanny X-Men #225 from January 1988. Also included in this episode is commentary on X-Factor #24, New Mutants #60, Incredible Hulk #340, and Strange Tales #9. Theme Music: Lazlo Hollyfeld – Buffaloallamericacity
A New Dawn for South Africa’s woman and a false one for Zimbabwe
Next time on Global Ethics Forum, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow Steven Cook discusses the violent aftermath of the Arab Spring. In this excerpt, Cook describes how and why Washington got its response wrong to revolutions in the Middle East and North Africa, with a special focus on Libya.
Next time on Global Ethics Forum, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow Steven Cook discusses the violent aftermath of the Arab Spring. In this excerpt, Cook describes how and why Washington got its response wrong to revolutions in the Middle East and North Africa, with a special focus on Libya.
LISTEN as Jan de Koning, Tauriq Ebrahim and Eugene Eloff analyse the Springboks' 2017 form and ask some pointed questions. We also bring in our Irish friend Ian Cameron to give us a global review of the year - a very different perspective.
Half a decade after Arabs across the Middle East poured into the streets to demand change, hopes for democracy have disappeared in a maelstrom of violence and renewed state repression. How did things go so wrong so quickly across a wide range of regimes? What role can and should the United States play? Don't miss this conversation with Steven Cook, an expert on Arab and Turkish politics as well as U.S.-Middle East policy.
Half a decade after Arabs across the Middle East poured into the streets to demand change, hopes for democracy have disappeared in a maelstrom of violence and renewed state repression. How did things go so wrong so quickly across a wide range of regimes? What role can and should the United States play? Don't miss this conversation with Steven Cook, an expert on Arab and Turkish politics as well as U.S.-Middle East policy.
Half a decade after Arabs across the Middle East poured into the streets to demand change, hopes for democracy have disappeared in a maelstrom of violence and renewed state repression. Egypt remains an authoritarian state; Syria and Yemen are in the midst of devastating civil wars; Libya has descended into anarchy; and the self-declared Islamic State rules a large swath of territory. Even Turkey, which also experienced large-scale protests, has abandoned its earlier shift toward openness and democracy and now more closely resembles an autocracy. How did things go so wrong so quickly across a wide range of regimes? In his new book, noted Middle East expert Steven A. Cook looks at the trajectory of events across the region, from the initial uprising in Tunisia to the failed coup in Turkey, to explain why the Middle Eastern uprisings did not succeed.
Half a decade after Arabs across the Middle East poured into the streets to demand change, hopes for democracy have disappeared in a maelstrom of violence and renewed state repression. Egypt remains an authoritarian state; Syria and Yemen are in the midst of devastating civil wars; Libya has descended into anarchy; and the self-declared Islamic State rules a large swath of territory. Even Turkey, which also experienced large-scale protests, has abandoned its earlier shift toward openness and democracy and now more closely resembles an autocracy. How did things go so wrong so quickly across a wide range of regimes? In his new book, noted Middle East expert Steven A. Cook looks at the trajectory of events across the region, from the initial uprising in Tunisia to the failed coup in Turkey, to explain why the Middle Eastern uprisings did not succeed.
Podcast for the UCLA Burkle Center for International Relations
Steven A. Cook discusses his new book on the Arab Spring uprisings and their aftermath
Steven A. Cook discusses his new book on the Arab Spring uprisings and their aftermath
Steven A. Cook discusses his new book on the Arab Spring uprisings and their aftermath
Podcast for the UCLA Burkle Center for International Relations
Steven A. Cook discusses his new book on the Arab Spring uprisings and their aftermath
Dr. Steven A. Cook, author of False Dawn, explains the complicated and evolving multinational relationships in the Middle East in this Global I.Q. Minute with the Council's Jim Falk. For example, how significant is Qatar's difficulty with Saudi Arabia? Cook says, Qatar's "prime directive in foreign policy has been to remain independent of Saudi Arabia." Can democracy "take root" in the Arab and Muslim worlds? Cook has an answer. And, on another challenging topic involving U.S. diplomacy, he says, "It's clear that Turkey's trajectory is authoritarian and unstable." Then there's Syria... Cook has an analysis.
In episode nine of Complementary Training Podcast I am talking to John Kiely. John is mostly famous for his critiques of periodization (which are a must read papers), so I used this opportunity to expand on that particular topic. Here are some must read articles from John: Periodization, Planning, Prediction: And why the future ain't what it used to be! Periodization Paradigms in the 21st Century: Evidence-Led or Tradition-Driven? New Horizons for the Methodology and Physiology of Training Periodization: Block Periodization, New Horizon or a False Dawn? [1] New horizons for the methodology and physiology of training periodization: Block periodization: New horizon or a false dawn? [2] MINI REVIEW Uniqueness of Human Running Coordination: The Integration of Modern and Ancient Evolutionary Innovations A genetic-based algorithm for personalized resistance-training Essay: A New Understanding of Stress and the Implications for Our Cultural Training Paradigm We have covered a lot of ground in this podcast! If there are any topics you want John to cover in more detail, let us know and we will expand on it. He can be reached via his Twitter @simplysportssci. I highly recommend following John if you are interested in up-to-date sport science information. Enjoy!
PKVerleger President Philip Verleger says that the crude collapse was necessary to get rid of excess inventory. He joins Tom Keene and Michael McKee on Bloomberg Surveillance. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
PKVerleger President Philip Verleger says that the crude collapse was necessary to get rid of excess inventory. He joins Tom Keene and Michael McKee on Bloomberg Surveillance.
This week Jamestown attempts to rebuild itself under the governorship of Lord De La Warr, but things very quickly go horribly wrong. This is Jamestown, after all. Just another false dawn.
As time ticks away on the season, a bit of hope is restored to the pod. Buoyed by a couple of wins, the team discuss Becks' bird, try to balance the books and remember the club's greatest false dawns. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Scientific American staff editor Michael Moyer talks about his article "Fusion's False Dawn" in the March issue, and Editor in Chief Mariette DiChristina discusses the rest of the issue. Web sites related to this episode include www.sciamdigital.com; www.snipurl.com/mikefusion
read by Karen SavagePublic domain, via LibriVox
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