Podcasts about variant perception

In this thought-provoking episode, I'm joined by Tian Yang of Variant Perception to explore the deep structural forces reshaping the global economy and geopolitical order. From the unintended consequences of Donald Trump's tariff policies to China's underappreciated resilience and strategic foresight, Tian offers a fresh, data-driven perspective on the shifting balance of power between East and West. The conversation moves beyond headlines to examine how innovation, manufacturing re-shoring, and changing reserve dynamics are altering the investment landscape. Tian also highlights the growing divergence in policymaking philosophies between major economies and the investment opportunities arising from those fractures before highlighting Europe's fiscal constraints, the risks of financial repression in the US, and the emergence of a CapEx-driven supercycle. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.  Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

Apr 30, 2025 – Curious about where the global trade war is headed—and who the winners and losers might be? In this timely interview, Variant Perception's macro strategist Jonathan Petersen joins Financial Sense to break down the real...

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Tian Yang. They'll cover LEIs and break down Variant Perception's outlooks on everything from stocks and fixed income to FX and commodities, including gold. https://bit.ly/41JzAaB Click Here To Register FREE to Big Picture Trading's Hedging Webinar: https://www.bigpicturetrading.com 

Tech off track for the week Bitcoin stampede finally slows. Eco data – humming along and the Fed is starting to change its tune. Guest: Jonathan Petersen, Variant Perception  NEW! DOWNLOAD THE AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES "Fiscal Sisyphus" is a term used to describe a situation where fiscal policy supports growth despite economic "gravity" dragging it down. The term refers to the Greek myth of Sisyphus, who was condemned by the gods to roll a boulder up a hill in the underworld, only to have it roll back down every time he reached the top. The myth is often used as a metaphor for the futility of life and the importance of finding joy in the present moment. Jonathan Petersen is Chief Markets Economist at Variant Perception, where he contributes to the analyst team's research on major economies and markets. He started his economics career on Vanguard's global economic research team. Following this, he helped launch and lead the currency research service at Capital Economics. Jonathan studied economics and strategic management at Boston College and earned his masters in economics at the University of Edinburgh. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Looking to invest in The Disciplined Investor Managed Growth Strategy? Click HERE for the virtual tour. Stocks Mentioned in the Episode: (GLD), (BTCUSD), (AMD), (QQQ) Follow @andrewhorowitz

The Bank of Canada delivered a 50bps rate cut and signalled more to come. The Bond market hasn't budged. Money is still flowing out of China as the economy wobbles. The Trudeau government announces immigration cuts, population growth to zero next year. Check Out BMO's S&P 500 Index ZSP ETF Here: https://bit.ly/3xzrAO8BMO Global Asset Mgmt, November 2023. Based on $11billion in AUM in ZSP and ZSP.U.BMO S&P 500 Index ETF ZSP | BMO Global Asset Management (bmogam.com) Get your travel data sorted with Saily and enjoy smooth, safe, and reliable internet access while you're away in over 150 countries!Check out Saily at https://saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase! Variant Perception researchhttps://www.variantperception.com/See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Wealthion's Andrew Brill sits down with Variant Perception's CEO, Tian Yang, to unpack his intriguing concept of a “Schrödinger's Recession,” where the U.S. economy continues growing despite traditional recessionary signals flashing red. Tian also explains why the Fed's preemptive rate cuts were the right move and how resilient household balance sheets have helped the economy avoid a downturn. He also discusses China's economic struggles, recent stimulus measures, and why the latest Chinese market rally may be short-lived. Are these factors enough to keep the U.S. on track for a soft landing? Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/4dVbptU Chapters: 00:58 - Tian Yang's Approach to Macro & US Economic Outlook 04:27 - Schrödinger's Recession Explained 06:16 - Why Haven't We Entered a Recession? 10:46 - Consumer Behaviour & The Fed's Preemptive Rate Cuts: A Smart Move? 16:04 - Soft Landing: Are We Already There? 18:27 - Was the Fed's Rate Cut Enough? 22:56 - Another Fed Rate Cut in November? 25:42 - Bond Market Signals and Yield Curve Inversion 28:32 - Should You Invest in Bonds Now? 33:06 - China's Economic Struggles & Global Impact 37:20 - China's Stimulus: Not Enough? 39:08 - Trading the Chinese Market Rally 42:08 - Gold and Commodities: Time to Invest? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Economy #SchrodingersRecession #FedRateCuts #USEconomy #TianYang #ChinaEconomy #China #GlobalMarkets #SoftLanding #Investing #Finance #Recession #MarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #Money #Bonds #Gold Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Sep 3, 2024 – The most important factor to the macro investment outlook right now is not inflation, growth, or even liquidity—it's all about policy. Today, on FS insider, we're going to discuss Variant Perception's asset allocation engine...

Stubbornly sticky inflation looks to be turning the Federal Reserve's campaign of Higher For Longer interest rates into "Higher For Even Longer" Today's guest warns that "Markets are unprepared for price growth that is becoming entrenched". Nor do they appear prepared for bond yields to remain at today's rates, let alone march higher from here. Remember, it was only a few short months ago that the markets were pricing in 7 rate cuts in 2024. Now it's appearing they'll be lucky to get only 2 or 3. And who knows? They may not get any. Does this mean financial asset prices need to adjust downward in some material way? And will the economy slow faster than expected from here? Perhaps the recent weakness we've saw in stocks in April was Wall Street finally awakening to these potential ramifications. For an analyst's perspective on the matter, we turn to Simon White, Macro Strategist at Bloomberg and co-founder of the investment-advisory firm Variant Perception. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #volatility #bullmarket #interestrates

Jonathan Tepper is the founder of Variant Perception, an economic research group that works with institutional managers, hedge funds, and allocators to provide objective and comprehensive data to form actionable ideas from leading indicators and emerging trends. He is also the author of three books, the most recent of which, The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition, received widespread acclaim earlier this year. Our conversation covers Jonathan's unusual upbringing, learning about currencies from Big Macs, building economic and liquidity forecasting models, and catering Variant Perception's research to investors. We then turn to The Myth of Capitalism, discussing the history, causes, and ramifications of the absence of competition in U.S. industries, natural and unnatural monopolies, examples in the tech giants, funeral home operators, airports, and hospitals, and what can be done to counter this negative trend.   Learn More Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn Subscribe to the mailing list Access Transcript with Premium Membership

Bank of Canada holds rates, but signals transition. Federal Government caps immigration of foreign students. Business bankruptcies in Canada are soaring. US GDP comes in hot, defies recession calls. ECB holds rates. China financial risks and how they impact Vancouver Real Estate. Special interview with Tian Yang, CEO of global macro research firm Variant Perception. Check out industry-leading BMO ETFs here: https://www.bmogam.com/ca-en/products/exchange-traded-funds/etf-centre/?ecid=dw-LHPODNovGAM1-ADBMO26 Check Out The Variant Perception Here!https://www.variantperception.com/ Check out Addy! The largest institutional-grade commercial real estate investing platform in Canada! https://addyinvest.ca/Use our promo code "LOONIEHOUR"See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tian Yang of Variant Perception joins Mike Green and Harley Bassman to discuss what opportunities and pitfalls 2024 may hold for global markets and investors. For more information, visit http://www.simplify.us. Simplify Asset Management Inc. is a Registered Investment Adviser. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Simplify Asset Management Inc. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the Commission, nor does it indicate that the advisor has attained a particular level of skill or ability. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy. This content is not intended to provide investment, tax, or legal advice. This content is solely for informational purposes and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. These materials are made available on an “as is” basis, without representation or warranty. The information contained in these materials has been obtained from sources that Simplify Asset Management Inc. believes to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. This information is only current as of the date indicated and may be superseded by subsequent market events or for other reasons. Neither the author nor Simplify Asset Management Inc. undertakes to advise you of any changes in the views expressed herein.

Wall Street was extremely pessimistic heading into 2023, and the year surprised to the upside. Here at the end of the year, markets are now brimming with optimism and the S&P is trading at an all-time high. Is the momentum likely to continue? Or will 2024 be another surprise year for investors, this time to the downside? For an analyst's perspective, we turn to Simon White, Macro Strategist at Bloomberg and co-founder of the investment-advisory firm Variant Perception. ACT SOON! SUBSCRIBE to Adam's new Substack at https://adamtaggart.substack.com/ to get his Adam's Notes for all the recent experts who have appeared on this channel. But do so before the price increases on Jan 1st 2024! #inflation #bullmarket #liquidity

Nov 22, 2023 – In today's discussion, we will explore the implications of the latest message conveyed by the leading economic indicators. These indicators consistently point towards a potential slowdown or recession ahead, except...

Sep 27, 2023 – FS Insider speaks with Simon White, a macro strategist at Bloomberg LP and also the co-founder of the institutional research firm Variant Perception. Simon says we are currently seeing a weakening in both...

Building Tools for the Modern Investor with Tian Yang Trader Chats | September 21st, 2023 Sign Up for our FREE Options Trading Webinar https://options-insight.com/monthly-webinar/ Subscribe below to get access to our full daily Trade Ideas ↴ Free Month of Options Insight https://options-insight.com/products/ Want to start with the free stuff? Sign up to get Imran's regular insights emailed directly to your inbox↴ https://options-insight.com/blog/ Want to take your learning even further and get direct time with Imran, all to yourself? Book your One-On-One With Imran Right Now! ↴ https://www.options-insight.com/one-on-one/ ↓↓↓ Filmed on Monday, September 21st, 2023 Trader Chats returns with another special guest that we are extremely excited to speak with Tian Yang. Tian Yang is Head of Research at Variant Perception, a macroeconomic research group catering to hedge funds, banks and family offices. Tian's work focuses on using proprietary leading indicators to generate actionable (and often contrarian) investment ideas.  Prior to joining Variant Perception in 2014, Tian worked as an equity derivatives trader for Bank of America Merrill Lynch, where he was jointly responsible for building out the delta one global index business.  Join Tian and Imran, founder of Options Insight, in this episode of *Trader Chats*, for a fantastic conversation looking into Variant Perception's fantastic approach. We hope you benefit from and enjoy the conversation. Please give us your feedback and comments! Variant Perception's Links: Twitter | https://twitter.com/VrntPerception Website |  https://www.variantperception.com/ #technicalanalysis #demark #hedgefunds #howtotrade #tradelikeapro #tradelifestyle #learnhowtotrade #protraders #protrading #sentimental   #sentimenttrading #trading #optionstrading   #optionsinsight #macrooptions #sp500     #spx #qqq #volatility #vol #stocks #stonks #macro #volatility #commodities #oil #dollar #usd #thefed #rates #ratehike #alphatrader #theartoftrading #traderchats Get daily actionable macro trade ideas with Options Insight's Macro Options Daily and weekly portfolio construction with Options Insight's Macro Options Overlay. Subscribe to the Options Insight channel for cross-asset summaries and tips about using options overlay strategies to mitigate risk and maximize returns! Keep up with options and volatility dynamics on Options Insight socials! https://twitter.com/options_insight https://www.options-insight.com/ DISCLAIMER OPTIONS INSIGHT CONTENT is presented for educational purposes only. The information presented by OPTIONS INSIGHT should NOT be construed as investment advice. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making important investment decisions. The opinions expressed by OPTIONS INSIGHT are those of its founder Imran Lakha who shall NOT be liable for losses resulting from investment decisions based on information or viewpoints presented by Options Insight. Building Tools for the Modern Investor with Tian Yang Trader Chats | September 21st, 2023 https://youtu.be/A79oJ_O9nCs 00:00 Welcome Back to Trader Chats 00:30 Intro to Tian 02:25 Intro to Variant Perception 06:00 Tactical Approach 19:45 The Capital Cycle 26:10 Leading Indicators 30:20 Human Overlay 34:00 Future Plans 35:20 Top Books

May 18, 2023 – Today, we are joined by Aaran Param at Variant Perception who says, according to their data, the US economy is likely already in a recession and that their shorter-term tactical indicators are now on a sell. Aaram discusses the possibility...

The last time Tian Yang, founder of Variant Perception, appeared on Forward Guidance in August 2022, he gave viewers a well-timed warning that the commodity supercycle was “on hold.” Now, he returns to argues that the world is well on its way to a global recession that will provide a hostile environment for risk assets. Yang shares his “equity bottom checklist” with Jack Farley to argue that equities have much more down to fall, and he explains why he thinks risk-off assets like bonds will perform well. Yang expects a “blow-out” of credit spreads and he thinks that the U.S. dollar will perform less well against other currencies than it does in a typical recession. Filmed on January 12th, 2023. Follow Variant Perception on Twitter https://twitter.com/VrntPerception Follow Jack on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/forward_guidance, you'll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. __ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can't-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. __ Timestamps: (00:00) Intro (01:36) Base Case For 2023 (04:14) Where's The Recession? (08:11) Liquidity (18:25) Housing and Manufacturing Are Weak (24:21) Interest Rates (28:05) Cruve Ad (29:08) China (33:36) Underweight Equities (Asset Allocation Part 1) (43:03) The Checklist For A Market Bottom (47:19) Incredibly Rare Set-up in Gold" (48:43) Overweight Bonds (Asset Allocation Part 2) (55:19) Neutral On Commodities (Asset Allocation Part 3) (01:02:26) The U.S. Dollar (01:05:13) The Most Crowded Trade In Macro Right Now (01:11:22) The VIX in 2023

IRF represents high-quality and differentiated Independent Research and Alternative Data Providers. This is the fourth episode of the IRF Research and Markets Podcast series, available on Apple, Spotify and Google. ----more---- In this edition, experienced market practitioner JP Smith reviews the analysis and views of some key IRF Providers focusing on the outlook for energy prices, bonds and equities in the light of recent developments in China and the conflict between Russia and the Ukraine.    This episode includes: CrossBorder Capital, Talking Heads Macro, The pH Report, Emerging Advisors Group, PRC Macro, Global Forecaster, Independent Strategy, Greenmantle, Eurointelligence, CHA-AM Advisors, Totem Macro, Variant Perception and Copley Fund Research.

Oct 13 – Excess liquidity is starting to collapse. What does that mean for the markets and the economy? Aaran Param at Variant Perception discusses their short, medium, and long-term view, and also explains the areas of the market where...

Attend DAS, crypto and macro's favorite institutional conference: http://digitalassetsummit.co/ Use code “guidance” to get 50% off Blockworks Research: https://blockworks.co/get-research/ -- In the summer of 2020, there was no greater proponent of the “commodity supercycle” thesis - the idea that commodity prices would appreciate for many years in a secular fashion - than Tian Yang, founder of Variant Perception. Since then, commodity prices - copper, oil, natural gas, you name it - have skyrocketed. Yet Yang now argues that the commodity supercycle is in “intermission” because economic growth is slowing rapidly and liquidity is collapsing as central banks rapidly tightening monetary policy in order to combat inflation. Yang argues that long-term bonds (“duration) will likely perform well in this environment. Yang also shares his view on the Fed, inflation, volatility, and the dollar. Filmed on August 1, 2022. -- Follow Tian Yang on Twitter https://twitter.com/VrntPerception Follow Jack on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- (00:00) Introduction (05:45) Liquidity Is Collapsing (10:04) How Quickly Will Inflation Fall? (21:38) Is The Fed Put Gone? (26:48) Recessions in Asia, Europe, and the U.S. (31:14) Are Chinese Stocks A Buy? (37:02) European Stocks (38:50) Is The Dollar Rally Over? (45:22) 1984 Historical Analogue (51:40) Term Premium, Explained (57:30) Confidence Levels About Future Inflation (1:02:08) Potential Hedges (1:07:44) Most Common Investor Mistake -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Jun 28 – Variant Perception's Aaran Param discusses the growth and liquidity outlook for the economy and markets and says that their leading indicators are still quite negative for the broad outlook.... Subscribe to our premium weekday podcasts: https://www.financialsense.com/subscribe

My guest on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Tian Yang of London-based independent research providers, Variant Perception. Variant Perception's pedigree is best-in-class. Their research uses a framework of proprietary leading economic and liquidity indicators to identify investment opportunities across asset classes. Those indicators are a great blend which cover tactical, cyclical and structural time horizons. In this conversation, Tian and I discuss what those indicators are telling him, how inflation changes the landscape, the signals being sent by term premiums and the sea change that may finally allow those brave enough to take on ‘The Widowmaker' trade to come out on top. As a reminder, Silver Tier subscribers to https://www.grant-williams.com get access to both Things That Make You Go Hmmm… and all editions of The Grant Williams Podcast, including The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, This Week In Doom and Shifts Happen so sign up today!

Oct 7 – Tian Yang at Variant Perception, who against consensus told listeners earlier this year that all indicators were pointing towards higher inflation, gives an update on their macro outlook and... Subscribe to our premium weekday podcasts: https://www.financialsense.com/subscribe

MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Aaran Param from Variant Perception to the show to discuss whether inflation is secular or transitory, Stocks, Bond Yields, Commodities, and much more. Link: https://bit.ly/3xKio4I

Jesse Felder makes his second appearance on Opto Sessions, having made his debut with Ed back in October. Jesse began his professional career at Bear, Stearns & Co. and later co-founded a multi-billion-dollar hedge fund headquartered in Santa Monica, California. Then in 2000, Jesse moved to Oregon, founding The Felder Report shortly after, and since his research has featured in major publications like The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, and Business Insider.Jesse and I spoke about an asset that has polarised opinion like no other – Bitcoin. Jesse presents a typically contrarian outlook for the long-term value of the cryptocurrency while recognising the speculative gains to be made now. Felder highlights intriguing investments in Energy, Commodities more broadly, and a potential pivot away from overvalued growth stocks toward real assets – you heard it here first!A link to Jesse's article on rampant speculation: https://thefelderreport.com/2021/02/03/the-index-of-the-volume-of-speculation-blows-off/And a link to a piece we reference during the interview, published on Variant Perception: https://www.variantperception.com/2021/02/17/the-next-commodity-supercycle Want further Opto insights? Check out our daily newsletter: https://www.cmcmarkets.com/en-gb/opto/newsletter 

Recorded on October 28, 2020. In a peer-to-peer conversation, Tian Yang and Simon White of Variant Perception explore how inflationary pressures could serve as rocket fuel for commodities such as gold and silver, as well as unloved hydrocarbons such as oil, gas, and even coal. White and Yang envision a world of "fiscal dominance" where huge budget deficits invite inflation the likes of which the U.S. hasn’t seen since the 1970s. In this inflationary regime, White and Yang argue, hard commodities will be a source of massive returns. Their thesis is also shaped by their theories on capital scarcity, in which the less capital is deployed in a sector, the greater potential for return. Key learnings: Tian Yang and Simon White argue the world is on the brink of a new inflationary regime, driven by "fiscal dominance" and swollen central bank balance sheets, in which hard assets such as gold, silver, oil, gas, and coal will finally have their heyday. You can read more on the commodity supercycle here: https://rvtv.io/35kVFAd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Variant Perception's Tian Yang to the show to talk about why his team sees inflation on the horizon and they think a new secular bull market in commodities is on deck.Link: https://bit.ly/37TkIfG

You can check out Eric's company, Antrim, [HERE]. In this conversation we cover: - Eric's focus when analyzing a company - why Eric is long Lemonade and Despagar - why Eric is short Kinsale and TransDigm - a lot of insights about the insurance and travel industries Thank you so much for listening, we really appreciate you. If you have found this valuable, please consider leaving us a review as it will help more people find it! Thanks you're awesome! You can find more information and content by going to these places: Premium Research Website: https://www.investingcity.org YouTube: Investing City Twitter: investing_city Or feel free to email us at service@investingcity.org Again, we really appreciate that you would take the time to listen. Hope it was valuable. Let us know if you have any questions!

May 21 – FS Insider gets an update from Variant Perception's head of research, Tian Yang, to discuss their outlook on stocks, the economy, commodities, and much more. Tian says that the current... Subscribe to our premium weekday podcasts: https://www.financialsense.com/subscribe

Today’s guest is Tian Yang, Head of Research at Variant Perception – an independent research company on financial markets. Against the backdrop of global financial market sell-off triggered by Covid-19, we analysed the market reactions by segmenting genuine causes of concern vs panic reaction; we discussed lessons learnt from historical black swan events and how these lessons can be applied to the current situation; and how government policies can work together to avoid recessionary pressures created by Covid-19 and lastly, what should private investors do to seize opportunities in these uncertain times. Key Takeaways COVID-19 is currently been interpreted as a one-off black swan event similarly to 9/11 and Gulf Wars; a helpful framework to think about panic-led market crash is an analogy to what happens in a typical bank run Coming into 2020, underlying leading indicators are quite resilient; they had been declining through most of 2019 and began bottoming out and turning up before Coronavirus hit the markets What is needed to shift the market sentiment and avoid sustained recessionary pressures is a combination of fiscal, monetary and aggressive healthcare policy; all three at once The book "Why Stock Markets Crash" by Didier Sornette is mentioned to illustrate the framework used to determine new market equilibrium after a large shock: the new equilibrium usually takes 1-2 months to happen where daily market volatility reduces from 4-5% to 1-2% During the recovery phase, differentiated impact by sectors is expected with manufacturing, industrial set to rebound the most, exhibiting a V shape recovery; consumer sector is expected to exhibit slower path to recovery as 1) coming into the crisis, credit availability was already not great 2) non-discretionary costs like rent, medical expenses can actually go up For private investors, it is advised to start identifying interesting investment opportunities but wait to see 1) the virus status level off and 2) the market daily volatility turned down to 1-2% which presents a better entry point As the old saying in the market goes: it's usually better to buy one day late than to buy one day early   Episode links Variant Perception: https://www.variantperception.com/ “Why Stock Markets Crash” by Didier Sornette: https://www.amazon.com/Why-Stock-Markets-Crash-Financial/dp/0691175950

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Tian Yang to MacroVoices. They discuss the economic and liquidity leading indicators, the implications of US-China trade war on the markets, translating economic signals into market decisions and more. Later, Amir Adnani from Uranium Energy Corp joins in the postgame segment.Link: http://bit.ly/2M2Ke6P

Jonathan Tepper is the founder of Variant Perception, an economic research group that works with institutional managers, hedge funds, and allocators to provide objective and comprehensive data to form actionable ideas from leading indicators and emerging trends. He is also the author of three books, the most recent of which, The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition, received widespread acclaim earlier this year. Our conversation covers Jonathan's unusual upbringing, learning about currencies from Big Macs, building economic and liquidity forecasting models, and catering Variant Perception's research to investors. We then turn to The Myth of Capitalism, discussing the history, causes, and ramifications of the absence of competition in U.S. industries, natural and unnatural monopolies, examples in the tech giants, funeral home operators, airports, and hospitals, and what can be done to counter this negative trend. Learn More Read the Transcript Subscribe to the Capital Allocators Blog or Monthly Mailing List Don't Subscribe, but Let Us Know Who You Are Write a review on iTunes Follow Ted on twitter at @tseides Review past episodes of the Podcast

Bianco Research president and eponym Jim Bianco calls in to help us make sense of last week’s chaos in short term lending rates. Jonathan Tepper, founding partner at Variant Perception, assesses the commercial landscape and identifies potentially attractive opportunities. @biancoresearch @jtepper2 @VrntPerception   8:15 Why didn’t the banks arbitrage those high rates? 13:50 Excess reserves and post-crisis regulation 19:00 Corporate competition on the wane 24:20 Europe set for a rebound?   Subscribe to Grant’s Podcast on iTunes, Stitcher, iHeart Radio and Google Play Music. Grant’s Interest Rate Observer is available at http://www.grantspub.com

Monopoly and its equally evil twin monopsony are destroying competition, depressing wages, and slowing economic growth. Is market concentration an inevitable outcome of capitalism, or is there a smarter solution? Jared Bernstein: Senior Fellow at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, former Chief Economist and Economic Adviser to VP Biden and Executive Director of the White House Task Force on the Middle Class, and author of ‘The Reconnection Agenda: Reuniting Growth and Prosperity’.  Twitter: @econjared  Jonathan Tepper: Founder of Variant Perception, a macroeconomic research group that caters to asset managers. Author of ‘The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition’, ‘Endgame: The End of the Debt Supercycle’, and ‘Code Red’, a book on unconventional monetary policy.  Twitter: @jtepper2  Further reading: https://democracyjournal.org/magazine/51/progressive-labor-standards/  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Show from 2/15/19In this episode of the Behind the Markets Podcast hosts Jeremy Schwartz and Liqian Ren get into politics with Greg Valliere of AGF Investments. They talk about the Fed's reaction to Trump politics, the Russia investigation, the likelihood that Trump will be impeached, and much more. Then they bring on Simon White of Varient Perception to discuss fed rate hikes and global economies. Tune in!Guests:Greg Valliere - Chief U.S. Policy Strategist at AGF InvestmentsSimon White - Managing Editor of Variant Perception, an independent research firm See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

My guest today is Jonathan Tepper, the chairman of Variant Perception, a macroeconomic research group catering to asset managers and co-founded Demotix, a citizen-journalism photo newswire. He is the co-author of The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition. The topic is his book The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Technology monopolies Capitalism Airline monopolies Anti trust laws Federal Reserve The banking system Fake capitalism The Antitrust Paradox Patents Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Jonathan Tepper is co-author of “The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition.” He is chairman of Variant Perception, a macroeconomic research group catering to asset managers and co-founded Demotix, a citizen-journalism photo newswire. Tepper notes — Google and Facebook control over 70% of all search and linkage within the internet. Their algorithms are biased and guide users to go where they want them to go. Most need Google or Facebook to login to certain websites. So on a platform as vast as the internet, where is the competition? There’s a lot of smart, wealthy, entrepreneurial focused people around the world – why are they not fighting back? There is virtually no interest by people in Silicon Valley to get into the search engine game. Any small competitor that tries to insert themselves into the industry gets bought out by their larger sized competitors. Jonathan encourages capitalism and companies becoming monopolies because of organic growth. Unfortunately, this is rarely how companies grow. Monopolies are usually formed due to political advantages and strong economic footholds. Jonathan describes the economy right now as “fake capitalism.” What will it take to overturn a Google or Facebook or Amazon? Will they be dominating for the next 30 years? The central point of evolution is competition – the struggle for survival. In a perfect world, companies with the best and strongest traits would survive while the old and fat companies would die off rather than continue to thrive because of crony capitalism. Only time will tell if these mammoth sized companies will continue to push boundaries and prosper or if a younger more creative company will overthrow them. In this episode of Trend Following Radio: Technology monopolies Capitalism Airline monopolies Anti trust laws Federal Reserve The banking system Fake capitalism The Antitrust Paradox Patents

This week, Guy Chirello, President of FirstData, came on to talk about his company's work tracking holiday shopping in real-time. Jonathan Tepper, Founder of Variant Perception, joined to discuss his new book "The Myth of Capitalism: Monopolies and the Death of Competition." Scarlet sat down with Chris Cavallini, the founder and CEO of meal preparation business Nutrition Solutions, to talk about giving people with criminal records a second chance in the workforce. Then Ohio State Treasurer Josh Mandel came on to talk about Ohio becoming the first state to let businesses pay taxes with bitcoin.

Damian Sassower, Chief Emerging Markets Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, on G20 and emerging markets. Jonathan Tepper, Founder of Variant Perception and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, discusses his column, "U.S. Corporations Are Winning War on Capitalism." Mark Chediak, energy reporter for Bloomberg, on California mulling a different structure for beleaguered utility PG&E, after the wildfires. Joe Mysak, Editor for Bloomberg Brief: Municipal Market, on GM’s pullback imperiling cities where its factories are a tax lifeline. 

Have we entered a new era of sustainably high corporate profit margins or will they revert over time to more normal historical levels? This is the single most important question equity investors should be asking today and nobody has done more work on this topic than Jonathan Tepper. Formerly, an equity analyst at one of the most successful hedge funds on the planet, then a prop trader at one of the largest firms on Wall Street, Jonathan today runs Variant Perception, an institutional research service. He also recently published a new book, The Myth of Capitalism, his survey of the profit margin phenomenon and its consequences for investors and citizens alike. In this episode, we discuss the social and economic consequences of increased consolidation and regulatory capture in corporate America and what it means for markets going forward. Jonathan also shares the unique and tragic experiences of his formative years and how they inspired both a strong work ethic and a deep desire to make a difference. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.

Johnathan Tepper, economist and founder of Variant Perception, joins us to talk about his new book, 'The Myth of Capitalism', a detailed look at how advanced economies demonstrate little real competition in many industries, with implications for the economy, wage inflation, and even politics. Tepper also famously predicted a severe housing crash for Australia, and he updates us on his views now that house prices are declining. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

Jonathan Tepper, founder of macro research firm Variant Perception and author of The Myth of Capitalism, calls in to discuss the rise of corporate monopolies and its implications. @jtepper2 1:24 The Myth of Capitalism and Amazon.com, Inc. 6:08 The beer industry, duopolies and innovation 10:14 Low interest rate policy and the rise of #cartels 15:31 The “big pendulum” of anti-trust policy and the FAANGs 20:30 Buybacks and underfunded pensions Subscribe to the Grant's Current  Yield Podcast on iTunes, Stitcher, iHeart Radio, Google Play Music or listen from our website, www.grantspub.com

Today is a very special episode with Tian Yang, head of research at Variant Perception.

On today’s show, we interview the NY Times bestselling author Jonathan Tepper. Jonathan is the owner of the macroeconomic research group that provides leading indicators to various asset managers. He is a Rhodes Scholar and a graduate of Oxford University. We talk to Jonathan about Buffett’s approach to investing in concentrated industries along with his thoughts on inflation. In this episode, you'll learn:What the retail investor can learn from Warren Buffett about how to invest in concentrated industriesWhy billionaire Peter Theil argues that monopolies are good for societyHow inflation impacts the investor’s portfolio performanceWhy wages in the US is not going upWhere we right now in the current market cycle Here are the links for discounts from our sponsors:Download your free audio book at AudibleGet a free share of stock and free trades at RobinhoodFind the best job candidate at ZiprecruiterKnow when to buy and sell based on statistics and momentum w/ TradeStops

Jonathan Tepper (@jtepper2), chief editor of Variant Perception, and @John_Hempton, chief investment officer of Bronte Capital Management, share their macro and micro expertise on corporate concentration and corporate fraud. 2:09 How do managers contend with increasing industry consolidation? 8:51 “A time of #disruption”, while barriers to entry rise 12:04 Summertime for corporate #fraud Subscribe to the Grant's Podcast on iTunes, Stitcher, iHeart Radio and Google Play Music.  Grant's Interest Rate Observer is available at www.grantspub.com

Over the course of my career, I've learned that going against conventional wisdom often leads to the largest returns on investment… That's one of the reasons I so enjoyed my conversation with today's guest on Talking Stocks Over a Beer. Jonathan Tepper is a former Wall Street trader, economist, bestselling author, and the founder of independent research firm Variant Perception. He's also a contrarian, like me. But what I particularly appreciate about Jonathan is, unlike a lot of folks out there, he believes in backing up his theses with hard data—not just catchy headlines. While Jonathan's research is mostly for institutional investors and family offices, our discussion is easy to follow and informative for the individual investor. Today, we go over everything from the U.S. dollar to inflation, demographics to deficits, and what Jonathan expects to see from the market going forward. Jonathan also explains why he looks for “turning points” in the markets to maximize gains—and highlights some indicators, like market liquidity, you should always pay attention to... We cover a lot of ground on today's show… so let's get started.

With China’s plenum out of the way, what’s ahead for the Chinese economy? How much influence does the government have, and how successful has the transition to a consumer-based economy been? Finally, what does it all mean for the global growth and inflation outlook? Tian Yang of Variant Perception and Louis Gave of Gavekal weigh in. Plus, in the long/short segment, Grant Williams and Alex Rosenberg trade ICOs, Liberian leadership and lifeguard buffness. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Our season finale brings you three world-leading analysts and investors as they share their frameworks and favorite indicators, and help you to become a better investor. Featuring Jesse Felder of the Felder Report, Mark Yusko of Morgan Creek Capital Management, and Tian Yang of Variant Perception. We also say farewell to Aaron Chan, our co-host, as he departs Real Vision to continue his career in finance. In “Things I Got Wrong”, we speak with Josh Crumb, Co-founder of Goldmoney Inc., who shares the mistake he made diverging from the “long-term greedy” perspective. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Having a profit target- what is your expectation, and what is the variant perception/transformative events that will unlock value? Optimism is less important than the quality of the work.keep a diary. the more your aware of your own impulsivity, the more you can approach this in a calmer way with better understanding. Get a handle on your fear and greed, and learn to be patient. most of your money is made in 3% ofyour trades. entry and exit strategies. Having a defined universe- what do you know well? what are your competencies? Identifying what your good at.