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The Game of Thrones Tariff Edition continues at its wild, unpredictable & ever-changing pace.The latest development as of this recording has the US placing a pause on its recently-announced 50% tariffs on the EU until July 9th.As we now have a *little* more clarity and data to look at since Trump's Liberation Day, what conclusions can we start drawing about the implications of these tariffs?Are they strengthening or weakening America's hand? Are they inflationary? Are US consumers better or worse off, on net?For insights, we have the good fortune today to welcome back to the program Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, LLC.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bonds #bondyields #interestrates _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
In this interview with Wealthion's Maggie Lake, Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, brings his incredible insights into what is happening in these volatile times is just what the investor needs. From what the bond market is really telling us, to why he thinks the Fed WON'T be coming to the rescue in the face of a potential recession. His 4/5/6 theory and why he thinks investing is now so much harder, everyone needs a wealth manager to help them navigate the markets going forward. What the dollar's decline really means, the massive shift away from US assets and what he thinks investors should be looking to buy (hint: one is gold) and what they should be wary of (hint: one is AI). Plus, why the transactional nature of the country's current tariff policy, may not be a bad thing. Chapters 00 Watch the Bond Market 4:00 Fed to the Rescue? Why a Recession is 50/50 7:20 Tariff Effects 10:00 Inflation Expectations 12:45 Are tariff's actually deflationary? 15:20 The bond market, the center of the universe 21:30 Bonds Vs Equities and Jim's 4/5/6 Theory 25:20 Investing getting harder- Why A wealth manager is the way to go 28:45 Can Us Tolerate Higher Interest Rates? 33:20 The massive shift away from US assets 36:40 What the dollar decline means 43:40 What should investors be buying? 46:45 What should investors be concerned about? Subscribe to our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Wealthion Follow us on X: https://x.com/wealthion Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://wealthion.com/free/ Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Jim Bianco, founder of Bianco research discusses the most recent Consumer Confidence report and the current climate surrounding market uncertainty. He is joined by Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mar 21, 2025 – Financial Sense Newshour welcomes Jim Bianco of Bianco Research to discuss Trump 2.0's bold economic strategies amid a $36.6 trillion U.S. debt and 7% GDP deficits. Bianco's “Mar-a-Lago Accord” highlights radical changes...
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 242 to discuss the markets and the economy. He explains why America's K-shaped economy - where the top 10% drives 50% of retail sales - has made the status quo unsustainable. He argues Trump's policies reflect the reality that our $36 trillion debt has become a national security issue requiring allies to pay for their defense rather than relying solely on U.S. taxpayers. Bianco maintains his "no landing" economic outlook, viewing tariffs as negotiation leverage rather than permanent policy. For investors, he predicts bonds will deliver 5% returns with lower volatility compared to stocks' 6-7% annually, making fixed income an attractive alternative after years of TINA (There Is No Alternative).This episode is sponsored by Monetary Metals. Visit monetary-metals.com/juliaLinks: BiancoResearch.com BiancoAdvisors.com x.com/biancoresearch 0:00 Introduction and welcome back Jim Bianco 0:55 Big picture view on K-shaped economy 3:18 Bottom half vs top half income differences 4:38 Top 10% accounting for 50% of retail sales 6:52 Unsustainable fiscal situation and policy shifts 9:12 Mar-a-Lago Accord discussion 14:03 Ukraine situation and security payments 17:44 Fourth Turning analysis and Trump's preparation 21:06 Focus on rebuilding manufacturing jobs 22:28 Bond market analysis and common misconceptions 26:43 Bond yields vs stock market returns 29:28 Stock market valuation and return expectations 31:29 Problems with passive investing 34:42 Market correction reaction and overreaction 38:43 Tesla stock overreaction example 39:59 No landing economic view 42:21 Tariffs as leverage, not permanent policy 43:22 Red Sea shipping disruption analysis 47:08 Houthi drone attacks and economic implications 50:51 Global security costs and European defense spending 54:28 Closing thoughts on economic realignment
Jim Bianco joins me to discuss the game plan moving forward and what it means for the dollar, recession, and markets. We cover the impact of debt, interest rates, and economic policy, as well as how the current environment is shaping up. Tune in for insights on what to watch for in the months ahead.#Recession #Dollar #Inflation---------
Is Trump trying to wreck the economy, or is he just ripping off the Band-Aid? Macro expert Jim Bianco breaks down Trump's economic strategy—tariffs, tax cuts, and shifting focus from the stock market to the 10-year Treasury yield. We discuss the potential risks of short-term pain, the surprising Crypto Strategic Reserve, and whether this shift could lead to long-term economic stability. Is this the start of a recession or a necessary correction? Tune in for Jim's expert take. ------
Jim Bianco, president and macro strategist at Bianco Research, discusses the factors he sees driving six weeks of lower bond yields and explains the potential scenario of a “Mar-A-Lago Accord.” He speaks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul SweeneySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Interview recorded - 16th of January, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Jim Bianco. Jim is the is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C.During our conversation we spoke about the increasing volatility in the markets, what this means for the FED, why their first cut was a mistake, the dollar wrecking ball, Chinese desperation, Scott Bessent and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:29 - Increased volatility3:26 - FED cut mistake5:56 - Issue with duel mandate8:26 - FED to pause?10:43 - Dollar wrecking ball12:40 - China is desperate16:41 - Japanification of China?18:51 - Risk of increasing rates?21:41 - Combination of monetary & fiscal policy23:36 - Incumbents getting voted out25:36 - Yields coming back down?29:16 - Yellen dampened long-term yields?32:26 - Scott Bessent make changes?35:46 - Monroe doctrine37:26 - What does this mean for markets?43:46 - The market is overvalued46:16 - US sucking global liquidity52:15 - One message to takeaway?Jim Bianco is President and Index Manager at Bianco Research Advisors. He is also the President of Bianco Research LLC. Since 1990, Jim's commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking.Jim appears regularly on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business, and is often featured in the Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, Grants Interest Rate Observer, and MarketWatch. Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).Jim Bianco: Research: https://www.biancoresearch.com/visitor-home/ETF: https://www.biancoadvisors.com/X: https://twitter.com/intent/follow?screen_name=biancoresearch&tw_p=followbuttonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-bianco-117619152/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfnTikTok - https://vm.tiktok.com/ZMeUjj9xV/iTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Linkedin - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
In Episode 397 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, about the macroeconomic factors driving the recent rise in bond yields and a range of other variables shaping the economies of the U.S., Europe, and China, as well as their impact on investors' portfolios. In the first hour, Bianco and Kofinas analyze the factors behind the surge in long-term interest rates across the developed world. Their discussion covers the Federal Reserve's role, concerns about government debt and deficits, inflation, tariff policies, and economic growth expectations amid these potential challenges. In the second hour, they shift their focus to the implications of these changes for investors. They explore the resilience—or lack thereof—of the traditional 60/40 portfolio and strategies for mitigating portfolio volatility in a market environment where stocks and bonds increasingly move in tandem. Additionally, Demetri and Jim examine the drivers of U.S. dollar strength, the risks posed by U.S. equity concentration, the potential for a recession, and what the continued decline in Chinese bond yields suggests about the state of China's economy. You can subscribe to our premium content and access our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces, you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 01/14/2024
Despite the confidence Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is doing his best to project, inflation has not yet been slain. And today's guest expert, Jim Bianco, founder of market research firm Bianco Research, thinks it's going to continue to prove problematic as the return of the "bond vigilantes" increasingly undermines the Fed's efforts. We'll talk about his reasons why, as well as his concerns about the current extreme valuations in stocks, and why if they experience a material correction, bonds may not provide the protection to portfolios they did in the past. Follow Jim at: https://www.biancoresearch.com/ https://www.biancoadvisors.com/ https://www.youtube.com/@UCsHvbh9xvK12_1-A6GeY3qQ https://x.com/biancoresearch https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-bianco-117619152/ WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
On this TCAF Tuesday, Josh Brown is joined by Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research to discuss: the bond market, if Bitcoin could actually reach $13 million, the Fed's political dimension, and more! Then, at 39:45 hear an all-new episode of What Are Your Thoughts with Josh and Michael Batnick! This episode is sponsored by YCharts! Visit: https://go.ycharts.com/compound and and get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free YCharts trial and tell them we sent you (new customers only). WAYT survey: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/ZH7WNM7 Sign up for The Compound newsletter and never miss out: https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Instagram: https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The fight for the White House is over. The fight for your portfolio is just beginning. Now that Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, and Republicans may end up controlling both branches of Congress, markets are reacting swiftly and strongly – and new leaders (and laggards) are emerging. In this week's MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast, Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, and Jeff Hirsch, Editor-in-Chief of The Stock Trader's Almanac and Almanac Investor, explain what is happening, why it's happening, and what you can do to adapt and profit as an investor.We start with a discussion of the just-completed election, including why we saw an effective “red sweep,” how betting markets “got things right” ahead of pollsters, and what that means for future election cycles. The conversation next covers the massive moves in equities, Treasury yields, the US dollar, gold, and Bitcoin – as well as why select market sectors and small cap stocks are cheering a Trump win. Jeff weighs in on what past presidential election cycles say about the likelihood of this post-election rally continuing into 2025, while Jim brings up the biggest fly in the ointment that could derail the bullish train.We then pivot to Fed policy and what to expect at the next few meetings...how the epic battle between Chairman Jay Powell and the bond market vigilantes will unfold...and what fixed-income strategies make the most sense for investors. Jeff also shares some of his favorite sectors and stocks, as well as which asset class he's most bullish on in a new Trump administration. Lastly, Jim and Jeff preview they'll cover at the 2024 MoneyShow Masters Symposium Sarasota, scheduled for Dec. 5-7 at the Hyatt Regency Sarasota. Click here to register: https://sarasotamms.com/?scode=061246
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 205 to discuss the macro view, why the market is signaling the Fed's rate cut was a mistake, the dynamics of the labor market, and the presidential election. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. Lock in your 6.6% yield: https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US Listed and registered securities, options and Bonds in a self-directed brokerage account are offered by Public Investing. ETFs, options and Bonds are available to US members only. *A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC. Deposits into this account are used to purchase 10 fractional investment-grade and high-yield bonds. The 6.6% yield is the average annualized yield to maturity (YTM) across all ten bonds in the Bond Account, before fees, as of 9/18/2024. A bond's yield is a function of its market price, which can fluctuate, and a bond's YTM is “locked in” when the bond is purchased. Your yield at time of purchase may be different from the yield shown here. The “locked in” YTM is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTM of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity, or if the issuer calls or defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, we cannot know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or how much they will decline. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. Fractional Bonds also carry risks including liquidity risk, interest rate risk, credit risk, inflation risk, and potential tax liabilities. Read more about the risks associated with fixed income and fractional bonds and learn more about the Bond Account at https://public.com/disclosures/bond-account. Links: BiancoResearch.com BiancoAdvisors.com x.com/biancoresearch 00:00 Intro and welcome Jim 01:00 Analysis of Fed's 50 basis point rate cut and market reaction 04:27 Discussion of labor market and population growth impact 06:53 Analysis of ADP data and small business employment 09:11 Impact of immigration on economic statistics 11:20 Fed's political vs partisan nature in rate decisions 14:13 Explanation of "no landing" economic scenario 17:06 Outlook for bonds and inflation impact 19:59 Stock market return expectations 22:25 Bond market competition with stocks 23:33 Demographics and bear market discussion 26:28 Analysis of election betting markets and probabilities 31:41 Inflation outlook regardless of election outcome 33:04 Discussion of inflation rates vs cumulative price increases 37:11 Implications of a 3% inflation world 40:48 Closing remarks and information about Bianco Research
How is immigration impacting the housing market? What should we expect from inflation in the coming years? In this episode, Josh welcomes Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research and widely respected macro strategist, to dive into these pressing financial questions. With Jim's decades of experience in challenging traditional market views, this episode brings an insightful discussion on the real estate market, inflation, and central bank policies. Josh and Jim Bianco challenge the mainstream view on inflation, with Jim making a compelling case for why it will be more persistent than expected, driven by key factors such as housing shortages and large-scale immigration. The two explore the implications of central bank policies, the risks tied to recent rate cuts, and the impact of global economic policies like those in China. We also take live callers who ask about the future of bonds, investment strategies, and whether the U.S. stock market can sustain its bullish trend amid rising interest rates and inflation concerns. Can't get enough of the Financial Quarterback? Click 'Subscribe' to never miss a play. New episodes touchdown right here! Loving the playbook? Drop us a 5-star rating and share your thoughts in a review. Your feedback fuels the game plan!
In this episode with Jim Bianco, we discuss: Fed rate cuts this week- 25 or 50 bps, is there a big difference? Will we soon have to go back to ZIRP and QE? Bitcoin ETF outflows Jim says THIS needs to happen for Bitcoin to get to $1 million/coin ---- Bio: Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. Since 1990 Jim's commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking. Follow Jim on X at https://x.com/biancoresearch ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR), a publicly-traded leader in Bitcoin mining that stands alone as the only vertically-integrated, technology-focused Bitcoin mining company. Learn more at www.bitdeer.com. ---- Natalie's Promotional Links: Secure your Bitcoin with collaborative custody and set up your inheritance plan with Casa: https://www.casa.io/natalie For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Get 5000 sats when you download using this link and promo code COINSTORIES10: https://www.speed.app/sweepstakes-promocode/ River is where I DCA weekly and buy Bitcoin with the lowest fees in the industry: https://partner.river.com/natalie Safely self-custody your Bitcoin with Coinkite and the ColdCard Wallet. Get 5% off: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/COINSTORIES Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/partners/natalie-brunell Bitcoin 2025 is heading to Las Vegas May 27-29th! Join me for my 4th Annual Women of Bitcoin Brunch! Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/affiliate/hodl/event/bitcoin-2025 Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie Connect with Bitcoiners and Bitcoin merchants wherever you live and travel on the Orange Pill App: https://signup.theorangepillapp.com/opa/natbrunell ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim discusses consumer spending and consumption strength. •What is going on with Consumption & Retail Sales? •Why is this happening? •How long will this last? Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim discusses what Powell said and what it means. · What did Powell say? · Outlook on the economy · How to position? Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco, President of Bianco Research, discusses the health of the labor market, what's really driving the unemployment rate up to a 3-year high of 4.3%, the Fed's next moves, the outlook for stocks and bond yields, and Bitcoin. *This video was recorded on August 1, 2024 0:00 - Intro 0:50 - Fed cut by September 3:00 - Labor market 14:30 - Fed's mistake 19:15 - Stock market rotation 25:56 - AI bubble 30:40 - Bond yields outlook 36:55 - Bullish stock sectors 38:15 - Bitcoin strategic reserve
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim answers the question, is the economy surging again? • What is happening to the June Economic Data? • How is the bond market responding? • How about the Fed outlook? Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
In this episode of Wealthion, James Connor sits down with Jim Bianco of Bianco Research to discuss the latest market trends and economic indicators. Bianco shares his expert analysis on the Fed's upcoming rate cuts, the surprising resilience of U.S. banks, and the potential impact of AI on the economy. With growing concerns over commercial real estate and the persistent strength of consumer spending, Bianco offers critical insights into what investors should watch out for. This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at betterhelp.com/Wealthion and get on your way to being your best self. TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 - Introduction 00:53 - Jim Bianco on Market Trends 02:51 - U.S. Banks Performance 04:12 - Commercial Real Estate Concerns 05:16 - Remote Work's Impact on Real Estate 06:46 - AI Sector and Nvidia 10:08 - Small Cap Stocks Surge 13:01 - Fed's Rate Cut Plans 19:10 - Unemployment Rate Insights 23:27 - Inflation and Seasonal Factors 24:46 - Inflation vs. Unemployment Impact 27:14 - Oil and Copper Prices Analysis 30:55 - Global Economic Trends 35:10 - Bitcoin and Politics 40:04 - Political Implications for Markets 44:48 - Market Outlook for Year-End 47:47 - Closing
After this week's market wrap-up, Financial Sense Newshour interviews Jim Bianco of Bianco Research for his latest insights on the US economy and markets. Jim discusses how the US is spending approximately $6 trillion annually—levels usually observed during major recessions or financial crises—and how this spending is averting a widespread recession but significantly affecting the investment landscape, including inflation, monetary policy, the US Treasury, and the bond market. He guides listeners through these impacts, detailing potential upside and downside risks, and shares his overall macro perspective on the US economy and markets.
Could the Federal Reserve's next moves be politically driven and potentially reignite inflation? Tune in as we explore this provocative question with Jim Bianco, the president and founder of Bianco Research. Jim provides his expert analysis on the transition from a deflationary cycle to what he calls a "sticky inflation cycle," fueled by remote work, deglobalization, and the political manipulation of energy resources. He predicts a sustained inflation rate of 3-4%, significantly higher than pre-2020 levels, and cautions against potential rate cuts by the Fed. We also dissect the complexities of quantitative tightening and its impacts on the economy, particularly focusing on interest rates and inflation. Jim highlights the current stock market's concentration in major companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, and discusses the implications for traditional diversification. We examine the risks associated with popular ETFs and consider scenarios where diversified portfolios might outperform these concentrated indices. Jim brings a wealth of knowledge, shedding light on the disparity between Main Street and Wall Street and the evolving labor market dynamics post-COVID.In the latter part of our conversation, we delve into the relationship between the stock market and rising unemployment rates, the demographic impact on investment choices, and the state of the gold market. Jim discusses gold's role as a non-correlated asset and the challenges faced by ETFs in a saturated market. We also touch on strategic bond market positioning and the long-term economic impacts of the 2020 global shutdown. This episode offers a comprehensive analysis of today's complex financial landscape, providing valuable insights for both seasoned investors and newcomers alike. Join us for this enlightening discussion with Jim Bianco on Lead Lag Live.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
Why are stocks up but crypto's not? What happened to the bull market? Jim Bianco is the perfect guest to intersect crypto, traditional finance and the broader macro world. And that's exactly why we brought him on the show today. We ask him: - Are tech stocks in an AI bubble? - Is crypto going to have its moment? - How's the U.S economy really doing? - What are the next potential market movers? Jim guides us through all this, not only that, he explains how he's positioning himself and his portfolio for 2024. ------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/31?referrer=0x077Fe9e96Aa9b20Bd36F1C6290f54F8717C5674E ------
Jul 12, 2024 – After this week's market wrap-up, Financial Sense Newshour interviews Jim Bianco of Bianco Research for his latest insights on the US economy and markets. Jim discusses how the US is spending approximately $6 trillion annually...
Q2 Investor Letter: The Market vs the Fed https://www.biancoadvisors.com/q2-investor-letter-the-market-vs-the-fed/ Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim will discuss the year-to-date performance of the Bianco Research Fixed Income Total Return Index and the Market vs the Fed. · YTD Index and ETF Performance · What Is Neutral? · When Are You Getting Off Neutral? Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim will share his thoughts on CPI and the Fed Meeting. • CPI came in less than expected. What is the takeaway? • The Fed held steady, will they cut rates this year? • What about the neutral rate? Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco joins to discuss inflation, rising interest rates, and the concentrated tech rally, providing critical perspectives on managing investment risks in a volatile market. Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist of Bianco Research, joins James Connor to discuss the unprecedented challenges facing today's markets. With inflation rates sticking and bond yields soaring, Bianco breaks down why investors need to brace for a volatile second half of the year. Are the market's biggest tech giants driving an unsustainable rally? Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction 01:17 - Nvidia's market impact 05:19 - Rising interest rates impact 10:00 - Concentration in tech stocks 12:05 - Economic slowdown analysis 18:48 - Inflation and stagflation concerns 25:00 - Inflation's economic impact 27:28 - Government spending concerns 30:00 - Consequences of massive spending 32:39 - Interest expense and federal debt 35:00 - Fed's interest rate dilemma 40:00 - ECB's rate cuts vs Fed 43:14 - Global economic trends 45:00 - Rise of speculative investments 48:55 - Conclusion
James Bianco discusses inflation, rising interest rates, and the concentrated tech rally, providing critical perspectives on managing investment risks in a volatile market. James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist of Bianco Research, joins James Connor to discuss the unprecedented challenges facing today's markets. With inflation rates sticking and bond yields soaring, Bianco breaks down why investors need to brace for a volatile second half of the year. Are the market's biggest tech giants driving an unsustainable rally? Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction 01:17 - Nvidia's market impact 05:19 - Rising interest rates impact 10:00 - Concentration in tech stocks 12:05 - Economic slowdown analysis 18:48 - Inflation and stagflation concerns 25:00 - Inflation's economic impact 27:28 - Government spending concerns 30:00 - Consequences of massive spending 32:39 - Interest expense and federal debt 35:00 - Fed's interest rate dilemma 40:00 - ECB's rate cuts vs Fed 43:14 - Global economic trends 45:00 - Rise of speculative investments 48:55 - Conclusion
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim discusses his thoughts on the state of the US deficit. • Putting the Debt/Deficit into Perspective • What About Government Spending • How Does It Get Resolved Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome back, Bianco Research founder, Jim Bianco. They'll discuss inflation, bond yields, precious metals, energy prices, geopolitics and more. https://bit.ly/3x7wP7E ⚫ Follow Jim Bianco on X: https://www.twitter.com/BiancoResearch ⚫ Check Out Bianco Research: https://www.biancoresearch.com
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Maggie Lake to discuss the ongoing rally in equities and crypto, why Nvidia earnings are as important as CPI and payroll numbers, where rates are heading, and what's driving the spike in crypto.
Ted Oakley interviews Jim Bianco of Bianco Research on interest rates, bond investing, stock investing, and balanced investing. Visit http://www.oxbowadvisors.com/2023-books for a complimentary copy of Ted Oakley's new book "Stay Rich with a Balanced Portfolio" Link: https://oxbowadvisors.com/balanced-po... To speak to a portfolio manager at Oxbow Advisors click this link: http://bit.ly/3Tg0YIS Social Media & YouTube Disclosure: https://bit.ly/3LJ8IRs Intro – 0:00 Government & Consumer Spending - 1:21 Federal Reserve – 10:00 Economic Weakness & Unemployment – 14:15 Effects of Work From Home – 17:12 Consumer Spending – 20:20 Stock Market Euphoria – 22:36 Balanced Investing – 27:50 Rate Outlook – 34:15 Are Rate Changes Worth Chasing? – 36:26 Risk vs Return Expectations – 39:10 Outro – 42:03
Welcome to the latest edition of Talking Data. Our Talking Data series seeks to offer timely insights into macro market themes along with macro data and its impact on the economy and markets. I am your host Kristen Radosh of Arbor Research and Trading. Our commentator is Jim Bianco of Bianco Research. Today Jim gives his thoughts on the Fed and QRA. · No Rate hikes is now dovish · Tapering QT · Thoughts on the QRA Thank you for joining us today. We are client driven, if you have any questions or feedback on future topics, please let us know. For further information on Arbor Research, Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science, please contact Gus Handler at gus.handler@arborresearch.com.
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, returns to The Julia La Roche for episode 165 to discuss the current macro picture and the potential impact of inflation on the economy. In this episode, he highlights the bifurcated nature of the economy, with inflation posing a challenge for lower-income individuals. Bianco also shares his insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the outlook for long-term interest rates. He thinks rates for the 10-year are likely headed higher to 5-5.5% and breaks down what that could mean for asset allocation. Elsewhere, he weights in on his concerns surrounding the narrative of the Bitcoin ETF, while emphasizing the need for a comprehensive alternative financial system. Links: BiancoResearch.com BiancoAdvisors.com twitter.com/biancoresearch Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome Jim Bianco and intro 0:59 Macro picture 1:49 Stickier inflation 4:27 Bifurcated economy 6:06 Interest rate policy outlook 7:50 Fed is not partisan but it is political 9:29 Rates on the 10-year likely headed to 5-5.5% 12:00 The Fed doesn't change policy in the summer up to election day 13:19 Implications for 10-year at 5-5.5% 19:59 Demographics 24:01 Bitcoin ETF 31:38 How Bitcoin gets to $1 million 34:10 Parting thoughts
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, returns to The Julia La Roche for episode 165 to discuss the current macro picture and the potential impact of inflation on the economy. In this episode, he highlights the bifurcated nature of the economy, with inflation posing a challenge for lower-income individuals. Bianco also shares his insights on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the outlook for long-term interest rates. He thinks rates for the 10-year are likely headed higher to 5-5.5% and breaks down what that could mean for asset allocation, including crypto. Elsewhere, he weights in on his concerns surrounding the narrative of the Bitcoin ETF, while emphasizing the need for a comprehensive alternative financial system. Links: BiancoResearch.com BiancoAdvisors.com twitter.com/biancoresearch Timestamps: 0:00 Welcome Jim Bianco and intro 0:59 Macro picture 1:49 Stickier inflation 4:27 Bifurcated economy 6:06 Interest rate policy outlook 7:50 Fed is not partisan but it is political 9:29 Rates on the 10-year likely headed to 5-5.5% 12:00 The Fed doesn't change policy in the summer up to election day 13:19 Implications for 10-year at 5-5.5% 19:59 Demographics 24:01 Bitcoin ETF 31:38 How Bitcoin gets to $1 million 34:10 Parting thoughts
Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins Ash Bennington to discuss how mixed tech earnings are propping up the market, the potential for 10-year yields to surpass 5%, and his analysis of the recent price pressure in the crypto market.
Today we are revisiting this great episode with Jim Bianco, the founder and President of Bianco Research. Jim is well-known on Wall Street for providing macro analysis since the nineties. He takes us through his unique perspective on the economy. We start with his contrarian view on interest rates. We then cover the changes to the economy since COVID, such as remote work and the new consumer. We also talk about his new fixed-income ETF, Crypto, the Red Sea crisis, and more. Please enjoy this conversation with Jim Bianco. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes: (00:00:00) - Welcome to Making Markets (00:03:06) - First Question - Predictions on the Future of Interest Rates (00:07:24) - The Impact of Global Events on Inflation (00:11:03) - The Influence of Housing Inflation on the Economy (00:17:04) - The Impact of Remote Work on the Economy (00:28:45) - Attitude Changes on Spending and Inflation (00:30:48) - The Concept of Revenge Travel (00:31:53) - The Role of Stimulus Checks in the Economy (00:34:04) - The Shift in Investment Strategies (0042:01) - The Creation of the Bianco Research Total Return Index (00:51:32) - The Potential of Cryptocurrency and Blockchain Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Interest rates have increased by over 500 basis points over the past 24 months. It is a new interest rate regime, and TINA is no more. Investors should be considering capturing some of that yield in their portfolios. Jim Bianco, President and macro strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C., speaks with Barry Ritholtz about the alternatives to equity that are producing real yield. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Markets have been waiting for the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates for over a year. What data should investors be following for insight into when they will begin? Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C., speaks with Barry Ritholtz about using initial unemployment claims data and wage gain to identify when the Fed will lower rates. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The latest price moves and insights with CoinDesk Markets Reporter Helene Braun and guest Jim Bianco, president and macro strategist at Bianco Research.To get the show every day, follow the podcast here.On "Markets Daily," CoinDesk Markets Reporter Helene Braun speaks with Jim Bianco, president and macro strategist at Bianco Research about his contrarian take on the promise of spot bitcoin ETFs.-Consensus is where experts convene to talk about the ideas shaping our digital future. Join developers, investors, founders, brands, policymakers and more in Austin, Texas from May 29-31. The tenth annual Consensus is curated by CoinDesk to feature the industry's most sought-after speakers, unparalleled networking opportunities and unforgettable experiences. Take 15% off registration with the code MD15. Register now at consensus.coindesk.com.-This episode was hosted by Helene Braun. “Markets Daily” is executive produced by Jared Schwartz and produced and edited by Eleanor Pahl, alongside Senior Booking Producer Melissa Montañez. All original music by Doc Blust and Colin Mealey.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Jim Bianco is the President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research. He also has an ETF, called the WisdomTree Bianco Fund (WTBN). In this conversation, we talk about the pros and cons of bitcoin ETF, similarities to the gold ETF, centralized ownership of bitcoin, macro economy, federal reserve, interest rates, and more. ======================= This episode is brought to you by Frec — Just as easy as investing in an ETF, Frec Direct Indexing can help you earn more by unlocking tax savings, no matter the market. Done for you, automatically. Check them out at https://frec.com/ ======================= Introducing Espresso - the world's most interactive portable display. They have a portable screen that is incredibly light, comes with a nice stand, and the user interface is very easy. Anyone who listens to this podcast can go to us.espres.so/pomp. They have a brand new offer waiting for you. ======================= Pomp writes a daily letter to over 265,000+ investors about business, technology, and finance. He breaks down complex topics into easy-to-understand language while sharing opinions on various aspects of each industry. You can subscribe at https://pomp.substack.com/ ======================= View 10k+ open startup jobs: https://dreamstartupjob.com/ Enroll in my Crypto Academy: https://www.thecryptoacademy.io/
In this episode with macro strategists Danielle DiMartino Booth and Jim Bianco we discuss: Latest inflation data vs. 'truflation' Danielle says we're in recession, Jim says we're in a "no landing" scenario Remote work, wage growth, and AI's impact on jobs Extreme wealth concentration Will the Fed cut rates? Why are stocks booming when rates are still high? Government spending and national debt Powell's legacy, the election year economy Bitcoin and the spot Bitcoin ETFs ---- Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, an independent research firm. She spent 9 years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until he retired in 2015. She's the author of "Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America." Danielle's research firm: https://quillintelligence.com Follow Danielle on X https://x.com/DiMartinoBooth Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research. His wide-ranging commentaries have addressed monetary policy, the intersection of markets and politics, the role of government in the economy. Jim's firm: https://www.biancoresearch.com/visitor-home/ Follow Jim on X: https://twitter.com/biancoresearch ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ: BTDR), a publicly-traded leader in Bitcoin mining that stands alone as the only vertically-integrated, technology-focused Bitcoin mining company. Learn more at www.bitdeer.com. ---- Natalie's Promotional Links: Buy Bitcoin, secure it through multisig Collaborative custody, start a Bitcoin IRA or take out a Bitcoin loan with UNCHAINED: https://unchained.com/?utm_campaign=natalie promo code Natalie Bitcoin Nashville is July 25-27, 2024: Get 10% off your passes using the code HODL at https://b.tc/conference Get 5% off your Bitcoin cold storage solutions at Coinkite, including the Coldcard wallet: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/COINSTORIES https://bitcointreasuries.net/ is the best and most up-to-date source of Bitcoin holdings by publicly traded companies, ETFs, governments and other entities. It is community maintained, and you can be a contributor. Check out the amazing graphs! CrowdHealth offers the Bitcoin community alternative to health insurance. I now spend just ~$100 a month on my health care. Sign up: https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/natalie Connect with Bitcoiners and Bitcoin merchants wherever you live and travel on the Orange Pill App: https://signup.theorangepillapp.com/opa/natbrunell ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
Feb 9, 2024 – Wall Street is betting on the Fed cutting rates as well as lower borrowing costs across the credit spectrum. Jim Puplava sits down with Jim Bianco at Bianco Research to discuss how things may turn out differently given...
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