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Welcome to the ENT!What are some of the keys to the most successful family office? Family offices have this mystique; some people think only the multi-billionaire families need one. Yet, the key reasons families create family office are shared by many families:namely asset protection and confidentiality. Learn about the different types of offices and what might best suit your family's needs. Do you want my own consigliere, like Frank from the Godfather? If you've seen one family office, you have seen one family office. You can make a big impact! Learn some of the ways.As always, it is good to have an expert on your side. Expert Network team provides free consultations. Just mention that you listened to the podcast. Nathan Merrill, attorneyWorking with affluent families and entrepreneurs in implementing tax-efficient strategies and wealth preservationGoodspeed, Merrill(720) 473-7644nmerrill@goodspeedmerrill.comTaylor Smith, attorneyHelping affluent families build their legacy through complex estate planningGoodspeed Merrill(720) 512-2008tsmith@goodspeedmerrill.comwww.goodspeedmerrill.com Jeff Krommendyk, Insurance ExpertWorking with business owners and successful families in transferring riskOne Digital Insurance Agency(303) 730-2327jeff.krommendyk@onedigital.comKarl FrankFinancial planner helping a small number of successful families grow and protect their wealth and choose how they want to be taxedCERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™A&I Wealth Management(303) 690.5070karl@assetsandincome.comWebcasts, Podcasts, Streaming Video, Streaming AudioA&I webcasts, podcasts, streaming video, or streaming audios are provided free of charge solely for use by individuals for personal, noncommercial uses, and may be downloaded for such uses only, provided that the content is not edited or modified in any way and provided that all copyright and other notices are not erased or deleted.All webcasts, podcasts, streaming video, or streaming audios are subject to and protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and may not be sold, edited, modified, used to create new works, redistributed or used for the purpose of promoting, advertising, endorsing or implying a connection with A&I.A&I reserves the right, at any time and for any reason, to stop offering webcasts, podcasts, streaming video, or streaming audios and to stop access to or use of webcasts, podcasts, streaming video, or streaming audio and any content contained therein A&I shall not be liable for any loss or damage suffered as a result of, or connected with, the downloading or use of the webcasts, podcasts, streaming video, or streaming audios.A&I Wealth Management is a registered investment adviser that only conducts business in jurisdictions where it is properly registered, or is excluded or exempted from registration requirements. Registration as an investment adviser is not an endorsement of the firm by securities regulators and does not mean the adviser has achieved a specific level of skill or ability. The firm is not engaged in the practice of law or accounting.The information presented is believed to be current. It should not be viewed as personalized investment advice. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the presenter on the date of the podcast and are subject to change. The information presented is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, any of the securities discussed. You should consult with a professional adviser before implementing any of the strategies discussed. Any legal or tax information provided in this podcast is general in nature. Always consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific legal or tax situation.
Let's get in touch! Start the conversation here: http://thefinancialanswer.com Tech momentum made for eye-catching headlines, but this week's conversation zooms out to the bigger picture. Rather than chasing daily market moves, the focus stays on how investors think, react, and stay grounded when conditions feel favorable. Nathan explores what it means to stay steady during periods of optimism and why confidence without intention can be risky. It's a timely reminder that clarity often matters more than speed. Here's some of what we discuss in this episode:
Kia ora.Welcome to Friday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news global financial markets are showing nerves ahead of tomorrow's US CPI data, not only because there is upside risk that will restrain the US Fed from, rate cuts, but also gun-shy after getting non-farm payrolls reports they basically didn't believe. Sanitised US data is a risk no-one wants (other than the White House.)First in the US, there were 248,000 initial jobless claims last week, a small decrease but the one explained by seasonal factors. There are now 2.215 mln people on these benefits, more than the 2.19 mln in the same week a year ago.And American existing home sales came in sharply lower in January that the good December level. They ran at a -4.4% lower rate than in January 2025, and even lower than the unusually low January 2024 level. They fell everywhere and was the largest fall in four years, although prices rose marginally from a year ago.The New York Fed released a detailed review of "who pays" the Trump tariff taxes, and surprise, surprise, they found it is almost exclusively (90%) Americans who pay. Who knew? They also found that after these tariffs, China's share of US imports is basically unchanged. Some people are slow learners - tariff taxes are a tax on yourself. But you have to take stage one economics to learn this stuff.In India, they released CPI inflation data overnight and it came in at 2.75%, their highest since May. And we should also probably note that protests in India are growing against their recently-agreed free-trade deal with the US.In China, their Spring Festival / Chinese New Year formally starts on Tuesday, and a lot depends on the consumer spending patterns during this two week annual break. Forward bookings for travel indicate a record level of travel, a sharp jump in international travel, and a preference for independent, non-package holidays. Thailand, Russia, Turkey and the Philippines are getting outsized bookings this year.Separately, China has rolled back its steep tariff penalty on EU dairy products.In Australia. consumer inflation expectations rose in February to 5.0%. This follows a seven-month period of below five-per cent expectations. The increase in February is present across a number of inflation expectations measures.And staying in Australia, chances are rising that extended drought conditions related to the return of an El Niño weather pattern that may come later in 2026. It will be hotter there too. If that occurs, there will be spillover implications for New Zealand, particularly for the rural sector.Global container freight rates were little-changed last week (-1%), to be -38% lower than year-ago levels. Once again, the key change were weaker outbound China rates. Although shifting in between, bulk cargo rates are essentially unchanged from a week ago, but they are +150% higher than year-ago levels. (But that base was unusually low.)The UST 10yr yield is now just over 4.11%, and down -6 bps from yesterday in a hard shift to 'safety'.The price of gold will start today down -US$122 from yesterday at US$4953/oz. Silver is down a very sharp -US$8 at US$76/oz and even more volatility.American oil prices are down -US$2 at just over US$63/bbl, while the international Brent price is now just under US$68/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is down a minor -10 bps against the USD from yesterday, now just over 60.5 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +20 bps at 85.2 AUc. We are down again against the yen. But against the euro we are unchanged at 51 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today also little-changed, still at 63.9.The bitcoin price starts today at US$66,288 and up +0.5% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just on +/- 1.7%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again on Monday.
This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Connor Lokar steps in to unpack how markets are responding to the Fed Chair announcement and what the latest data means for rates, inflation, and demand. With bond yields holding steady and PMI surging to a multi-year high, a key business pain point remains front and center: meaningful rate relief still looks elusive. Connor explains why stable yields do not signal coming cuts, how rising new orders point to renewed demand pressure, and why the housing market faces a longer recovery timeline than many expect. What do these signals mean for your planning as we move deeper into 2026?
Taylor Kenney explains why this move has nothing to do with speculation and everything to do with a global loss of trust in the financial system.Foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries is collapsing, bond yields are rising on record debt, and physical gold and silver are quietly absorbing the shock. According to Kenney, this isn't a normal market cycle — it's a once-in-a-lifetime monetary reset that most investors still don't see.#gold #silver #stockmarket ---------------------Thank you to our sponsor: First Majestic SilverMake sure to pay them a visit: https://www.firstmajestic.com/---------------------
Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news gold and silver are currently experiencing the volatility we saw with bitcoin in 2024/25. Meanwhile, bitcoin is being dumped heavily today.Today starts with a series of unfortunate delays. The overnight dairy auction has concluded after an extended delay, but there is further delays in reporting the outcome. We will update this item when those results come through.And there are delays in some key US data due to the snap federal government shutdown. We expected to report the December JOLTs report today but it is in abeyance now. And the January non-farm payrolls report will get delayed as well for the same shutdown reason.But we did get US logistics data overnight, their LMI. This rose because first started building inventories in the way they did in January a year ago, but not excessively. Of note however is that inventory costs rose a sharp +8.4% this year, which will no doubt focus management minds.There was a secondary survey out overnight on economic optimism in the US and that was moderately positive. The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index rose to its highest since August and above expectations. But to be fair it is still below the 2025 average and -6% lower than its year-ago level. But at least it is off its November low.In Canada, their large aircraft manufacturing industry is holding its breath. The Trump FAA is withholding technical certification for new-built Canadian aircraft, waiting for the president to decide on the issue.There was an unusual and notable rise in consumer sentiment in Taiwan in January, to its highest level in nine months. It is back up to mid-2023 levels after a general decline that started in September 2024.And China warned Panama there would be "heavy prices" to pay after a court ruling in Panama annulled Hong Kong-based CK Hutchison's contract to operate two ports at the Panama Canal. This reaction will have relevance for the Darwin port issue, where a new 99 year lease owned by a Chinese firm is under threat of annulment too.In Germany, and despite solid demand holding up, investors there are expecting and getting higher risk premiums for their government 30 year bond. It yielded 3.55% today, its highest in 15 years. Its 10 year bond is almost at 2.90%, and also near its 2011 levels. Germany plans to raise more than €500 billion this year to fund infrastructure upgrades and for defence spending. But most other European countries are doing the same, and that is driving up yields.In Australia, and as expected, the RBA raised its policy rate by +25 bps to 3.85% and ending its shortish easing cycle. Most big banks there have already announced a full pass-through to their home loan and business lending rates. The RBNZ reviews its policy rate on February 18, 2026 but is not expected to make any changes to its 2.25% rate at that time.The UST 10yr yield is now just on 4.29%, up +2 bps from this time yesterday.The price of gold will start today up +US$273 from yesterday at US$4980/oz. Silver is up +US$8 to US$US$86.50/oz. Some non-precious metals are bouncing back sharply too.American oil prices are up +50 USc at just over US$62.50/bbl, while the international Brent price is now just over US$66.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is up +40 bps against the USD from yesterday, now at 60.5 USc. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at 86.2 AUc. Against the euro we are up +30 bps at just on 51.2 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just under 64.1, and up +30 bps from yesterday. And the Chinese yuan is at its strongest level against the US dollar since 2023.The bitcoin price starts today at US$74,990 and down -5.0% from this time yesterday, and falling. The last time it was this low was in mid November 2024. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just on +/- 1.7%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.
After a powerful run in metals, renewed inflation pressure, and a shifting Federal Reserve backdrop, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, step back to connect the dots between markets, policy, and positioning. Fresh off being named one of the Top 23 podcasts for financial advisors for the second year in a row, the conversation moves fluidly from gold's breakout and the return of the debasement trade to the growing uncertainty around the next Fed chair and what it means for rates, inflation, and risk assets.They explore why commodities are flashing signals that don't align with disinflation narratives, how productivity optimism collides with fiscal reality, and why global earnings strength continues to support equities even as leadership rotates. Along the way, they unpack the implications of a potential government shutdown, policy-driven margin pressure across sectors, and why markets tend to move past the headline faster than most expect.Key Takeaways: • Gold's message is getting louder: Rising commodity prices, fiscal deficits, and rate pressure are reinforcing the case for metals as portfolio protection • The Fed chair race matters more than headlines: Rick Rieder's emergence highlights the tension between productivity optimism and persistent inflation risks • Inflation remains sticky under the surface: Core services and commodity strength challenge the idea of a smooth glide back to 2% • Global earnings are doing the heavy lifting: Companies with international exposure continue to outpace domestically focused peers • Policy noise doesn't derail trends: Shutdown risks and political uncertainty create volatility, but fundamentals keep asserting themselves—Check the 23 Top Financial Advisor Podcasts To Listen To In 2026:https://kitc.es/4pWNyA9Jump to:0:00 Cold Open, Awards, And Snow Jokes2:35 Gold And Silver Surge Explained8:40 The Debasement Trade And Inflation14:50 Global Central Banks Rotate To Gold19:30 Japan, Yields, Yen, And Risk Assets23:40 The Fed Chair Horse Race Heats Up30:20 Productivity, The 1990s, And Why Today's Different38:20 Fed Path: Holds, Politics, And Gold Tailwinds42:30 January Barometer, Tech Lags, And Breadth48:40 Equal-Weight Tech, Financials, And Policy Risk53:40 Earnings Setup: Mega-Cap vs The 493Connect with Ryan:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryandetrick/• X: https://x.com/RyanDetrickConnect with Sonu:• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sonu-varghese-phd/• X: https://x.com/sonusvarghese?lang=enQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
In this conversation, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the current state of the markets, focusing on the implications of tariffs, global economic influences, and the dynamics of the bond market. They explore evergreen strategies for navigating market volatility, emphasizing the importance of disciplined investment approaches. The discussion also touches on inflation expectations, the Federal Reserve's policies, and insights into the potential risks and opportunities for investors.You can read Kathy and Collin's article about the fixed income markets here: "The Bond Market in 2026: What Could Go Wrong?"On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors.The policy analysis provided by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Diversification, asset allocation, and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Rebalancing may cause investors to incur transaction costs and, when a non-retirement account is rebalanced, taxable events may be created that may affect your tax liability.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions(0126-1900) Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Barry Knapp anticipates broader earnings growth in 2026, predicting broader capex and a recovery in the manufacturing sector. However, it won't happen right away, especially because he thinks that companies won't be able to pass tariffs to the consumer. “This quarter's numbers could be a bit of a disappointment,” he says, as we start seeing numbers from 4Q25. He doesn't expect inflation to rise, in fact anticipating prices falling across sectors including housing. The biggest risks he sees are in the bond market.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored and reported by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news long term bond yields are on the move higher, notably in Japan and the US.First however, the overnight dairy auction delivered a modest gain, up +1.5% in USD terms, but up +0.4% in NZD terms as the US dollar is weakening. However, most of this rise is the same as recorded in last week's Pulse event. But it does cement a second consecutive rise in the full auction after nine consecutive declines. So +7.8% of rises after the -22.5% of falls. Also notable is the much less buyer interest from China, counterbalanced by stronger interest from most other regions.In the US, markets have returned after a chaotic weekend politically to a weak ADP weekly jobs report, recording just +8000 jobs gains and well within the margin of error. January is starting out tough in their labour market. But at least it wasn't a decline.The US Supreme Court issued three decisions overnight but did not decide the closely watched dispute over the legality of the Trump tariff-taxes. they gave no indication when they will. Also delayed is Trump's 'imminent decision' on his Fed boss nomination. Apparently all his candidates have issues.Also weak is the USD. It is now under 7 CNY to the USD and its lowest since 2023.In China, household borrowing is weak and household savings is strong, up +10% in 2025. That says a lot about the stress Chinese households are feeling going into 2026. Per capita bank deposits have now risen to over ¥118,000 (NZ$29,000). And we should probably note that Chinese smartphone shipments fell in 2025, the second year in a row this has occurred.In Taiwan they reported export orders in December exceeding US$76 bln, far and away a new record high and +43% higher than year ago levels. The Taiwan miracle continues. For all of 2025 these export orders rose +26%.In Malaysia, they reported good December exports too, up more than +10% from the same month a year ago to just over US$37 bln and maintaining a strong trade surplus.In Germany, producer price deflation picked up slightly to -2.5% in December from a year ago to cap a 2025 year where it averaged -1.2%.But overall German investor economic sentiment picked up notably in January, and that was also enough to propel overall EU investor sentiment into positive territory in this wide survey.It is also probably worth noting that the Microsoft boss said overnight (at the WEF) the AI bubble could falter unless adoption of the technology picks up.The UST 10yr yield is now just on 4.28%, up +1 bp from this time yesterday and now its highest since September. The UST 30 year bond is now at 4.90% and its highest in almost ten years. The Japanese 10 year bond yield is up another sharp +7 bps at 2.35% and we make that its highest in 28 years. Its 40 year bond is now over 4.25% and its highest since our records began in 2007. The price of gold will start today at US$4750/oz, and up another +US$78 from yesterday and a new record. Silver is is actually marginally lower at US$94/oz and off its record high.American oil prices are up a bit more than +50 USc from yesterday at just over US$60/bbl, while the international Brent price is just under US$65/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is up another +50 bps from yesterday, now at just under 58.5 USc. Against the Aussie we are up +40 bps at 86.7 AUc. Against the euro we are holding at just on 49.8 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just over 62.5, and up +50 bps from yesterday and its highest since early October.The bitcoin price starts today at US$89,708 and down -3.8% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just on +/- 1.8%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.
Yields are rising, debt is exploding, and central banks are quietly preparing for a massive shift. What happens when bonds around the world begin moving in lockstep and in the wrong direction? This is your wake-up call to prepare with gold and silver before the financial system resets.Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcastor Call 866-349-3310
Simon Hunt joins Soar Financially to recap 2025 and explain why rising bond yields, escalating wars, and liquidity stress could reshape markets. We discuss Ukraine, Venezuela, China's manufacturing dominance, the AI bubble, gold, and why Europe and the U.S. may face recession next year.#Gold #ai #europe ---------------------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------
This week, the focus is on diversification—and why it's getting harder to achieve. Portfolio Strategist Natalie Gill explains how the “diversification mirage,” a key theme in BII's 2026 outlook, is now showing up in real time. A small set of megaforces is increasingly dictating equity performance, meaning traditional attempts to diversify—whether toward equal-weighted indices or new regions—can amount to larger active positions than many investors realize.Natalie also breaks down how rising developed-market bond yields challenge the long-held assumption that long-term bonds reliably balance portfolios. Fiscal strains, shifting central bank stances, and policy divergence between the U.S. and other economies further complicate the diversification picture. As bond volatility rises and a small number of equity drivers dominate returns, investors may need to reconsider how and where true diversification can be found.The episode also highlights the growing disconnect between the Federal Reserve's policy posture and the more hawkish tone across Australia, Canada, and Japan—where fiscal dynamics and reopening risks are influencing long-term rates. These divergences, paired with delayed U.S. labor data and inflation considerations, shape the macro backdrop as markets enter the new year.Key Insights· Diversification is increasingly difficult as a handful of megaforces drive global equity performance.· Traditional diversifiers—such as long-term government bonds—provide less balance amid rising yields.· Policy divergence between the U.S. and other major central banks is creating new cross-market risks.· Fiscal concerns are influencing yield curves, particularly in Japan and the UK.· Portfolios may require more deliberate, active decisions and alternative sources of return to achieve true diversification. diversification, megaforces, capital markets, macro trends, bond yields, portfolio balance, market outlookThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3MvD1Ot Monday Market Recap and Reflections on Recent Events In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen discusses various market trends and policy issues from the New York City office. He reflects on the significant news events over the weekend, including the Brown University shooting, attacks in Australia and Syria, and the murder of filmmaker Rob Reiner and his wife. David analyzes stock market behaviors, including sector performances and reactions to AI infrastructure stocks, and provides insights into bond yields and the housing market. He also touches on Supreme Court cases affecting tariffs and forecasts potential policy moves regarding the Affordable Care Act subsidies. Lastly, he speaks about the tragic death of Rob Reiner, highlighting the impact of his films. 00:00 Introduction and Upcoming Schedule 02:13 Reflecting on a Tragic News Weekend 03:41 Market Overview and Key Observations 04:50 AI Sector Performance and Market Rotation 06:47 Bond Yields and Financial Sector Insights 09:31 Policy Updates and Supreme Court Predictions 12:08 Economic Data and Trade Deficit Analysis 13:14 Housing Market Trends and Builder Sentiment 16:17 Federal Reserve Actions and Interest Rates 19:28 Tribute to Rob Reiner and Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Global bond yields are quietly climbing again in late 2025—even as central banks start cutting short‑term rates. In this video, we break down what's actually happening in the bond market, why the 10‑year government bond is so important, and what higher yields could mean for stocks, startups, real estate, and your portfolio.Using simple charts and real numbers, we explain concepts like term premium, bear steepening, and duration in plain English, then walk through a few realistic scenarios for 2026 instead of doomsday predictions.Key Takeaways- Long‑term government bond yields in major markets have moved higher again, as investors demand more compensation for inflation and fiscal risk.- This raises the discount rate used to value long‑duration assets like growth stocks and startups, putting pressure on high multiples even if earnings look strong.- At the same time, short‑term bonds and cash‑like instruments now offer attractive yields, so investors finally have genuine fixed‑income alternatives to equities.Glossary – Financial Terms Explained- Yield: The annual return you earn from a bond, expressed as a percentage of its price. If price falls, yield rises, and vice versa.- Basis Point (bps): One‑hundredth of a percentage point. 50 bps = 0.50%. Useful for talking about small rate moves precisely.- Risk‑Free Rate: The yield on high‑quality government bonds (often the 10‑year US Treasury), used as the baseline return investors can get with very low credit risk.- Yield Curve: A line that shows bond yields from short maturities (e.g., 3‑month) to long maturities (e.g., 30‑year). It summarizes market expectations for growth and inflation over time.- Bear Steepening: A situation where long‑term yields rise faster than short‑term yields. It usually signals markets are worried about future inflation, debt, or growth risks.- Term Premium: The extra yield investors demand for locking money into long‑term bonds instead of rolling short‑term ones. It rises when there's more uncertainty about inflation, deficits, or who will buy all the new debt.- Duration: A measure of how sensitive a bond (or stock-like asset) is to interest‑rate changes. Higher duration = bigger price swings when yields move.- Investment‑Grade Bond: Debt issued by governments or companies with strong credit ratings, viewed as relatively low default risk.- High‑Yield / Junk Bond: Debt from weaker issuers with higher default risk. They pay higher yields to compensate investors for that risk.- Discount Rate: The interest rate used to convert future cash flows into today's value. When this rate goes up, the present value of distant cash flows (like future startup profits) goes down.SUBSCRIBE FOR MORE VC & STARTUP STRATEGYVC10X breaks down the most important stories in tech, startups, and investing every week. If you want actionable insights to help you build or invest in the next great company, subscribe now.LET'S CONNECTWebsite: https://VC10X.comX / Twitter: https://x.com/choubeysahabLinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/in/choubeysahabCOMMENT BELOWHow do you think this will play out in 2026?#BondMarket #InterestRates #Investing #StockMarket #Finance #Economics #FederalReserve #BondYields #10YearTreasury #MacroEconomics #MarketAnalysis #PassiveIncome #BearSteepening
Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news long term bond yields are on the move higher again with the UST 10yr at a 4 month high, but the Japanese yen is now at a 27 year high. The Australian equivalent is at a 2 year high and threatening a 14 year benchmark, while the NZGB 10 year is at a 5 month high.In the US, the top-line survey of inflation expectations seems stable at a highish 3.2% for the year ahead, 3.0% for 5 years ahead. But within that are some signals that have garnered attention. Expectations for food rose to 5.9%, petrol climbed to 4.1%, medical care surged to 10.1% (the highest since January 2014), college education increased to 8.4%, and rent jumped to 8.3%. The main reason the overall lid remained is that house price expectations fell. The survey indicated that consumers expect a worsening financial situation.The failure of the Trump Administration to get a deal out of China for agricultural exports is seeing them scrambling to support their farmers with direct subsidies.There was another US Treasury auction today, the ever-popular 3 year Note. But offer volumes fell more than -7% for this event. It delivered a median yield of 3.57%, little-changed from the 3.54% at the prior equivalent event a month ago.In Japan, a powerful earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 7.5 struck northeastern Japan late Monday night, with aaa a tsunami warning for coastal areas of Hokkaido issued.Japan's GDP contracted -0.6% in Q3 2025 from Q2, a larger fall than the flash estimate of a -0.4% decline and market forecasts for a -0.5% drop. The latest figure followed a downwardly revised -0.5% growth in Q2 and marked the first quarterly contraction since Q1 2024, with business spending slipping for the first time in three quarters.In China, they released November trade data overnight and their exports rose by +5.9% from a year ago to an eleven-month high, much better than the expected +3.8% rise and recovering from the -1.1% fall in October. There was a notable surge in exports to non-US markets. A lower than expected rise in imports delivered at trade balance exceeding +US$110 for the month and extending their rise that started with the Trump challenge in late 2024. Separation from the US has delivered a rising export dividend for China. For the eleven months of 2025 so far, the Chinese trade surplus has now exceeded US$1 tln.Over all of 2025 to the US, their exports fell -18% and their imports fell -13%. To Australia, China's exports are up +8% while imports are down -8%. To New Zealand, China's exports are up +4% while their imports are up +10%.As good as these export numbers are for China, they are also going into debt at an equally impressive rates. China's central government will likely issue more than CNY12 tln (US$1.7 tln) of new debt in 2026, with a fiscal deficit ratio of at least 4%. There is alarm in some quarters as the expansionist policies get the official tick..In Europe, German industrial production rose +1.8% in October from September, sharply outperforming market expectations for a -0.4% decline. It was the strongest monthly gain since March. Year on year it is up +0.8%. The Germans measure this metric in real, inflation-adjusted terms.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.17%, up another +3 bps from this time yesterday. The price of gold will start today at US$4191/oz, and down -US$6 from yesterday.American oil prices are down -US$1 at just over US$59/bbl, while the international Brent price is just under US$63/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is marginally softer from yesterday, now at just under 57.7 USc, down -10 bps. Against the Aussie though we are up +10 bps at just on 87.1 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged at 49.6 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at 61.9, and little-changed from yesterday.The bitcoin price starts today at US$89,846 and up +0.4% from this time yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest, at just over +/- 1.6%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.
From OpenAI CEO Sam Altman issuing a "code red" to employees, to the international front in the Japanese bond market, Marley Kayden and Sam Vadas explain what makes Tuesday's headlines so critical to Wall Street. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Wall Street steadies and Bitcoin regains a bit of ground.
Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we look at the strength of the labor market. Plus, Robbie sits down with Servbank's Sharmyn Calhoun for a discussion on the importance of technology in modern compliance management. And we close by looking at what contributed to bond yields rising.Today's podcast is brought to you by ICE. As the standard for innovation, artificial intelligence, efficiency and scalability, ICE is the technology of choice for the majority of industry participants, defining the future of homeownership.
The government shutdown did not slow down the stock market.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4nEivIn Friday Dividend Cafe: Analyzing the Latest Fed Rate Cut In this episode of Friday Dividend Cafe, host David Bahnsen delves into the recent Federal Reserve rate cut announced on Wednesday. He discusses the implications of the quarter-point reduction, detailing how the Fed's decision impacts the market and the broader economy. David also touches on quantitative tightening, job market conditions, and the debate over future rate cuts. Additionally, he addresses the drama surrounding Fed appointments, the potential for overheated financial markets, and the importance of maintaining a balanced investment approach amidst economic uncertainties. Tune in for an in-depth breakdown and insightful commentary on current financial events and their broader implications. 00:00 Introduction to the Friday Dividend Cafe 01:35 The Fed's Recent Rate Cut Explained 02:08 Quantitative Easing and Balance Sheet Insights 03:39 Analyzing the Fed's Announcement and Market Reactions 05:16 Impact on Jobs and Economic Indicators 06:24 Bond Yields and Mortgage Rates Discussion 09:19 Stock Market Reactions and Predictions 11:15 Reasons Behind the Fed's Rate Cut 15:08 Drama and Speculations within the Fed 21:28 Future Predictions and Investment Strategies 23:52 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
There's a tug-of-war between investing in cash and long duration bonds in today's interest environment. The longer-end of the yield curve may look more appealing since anticipation is building about interest rate cuts. Morningstar's economics team and market watchers are predicting the Federal Reserve will lower rates more than once in the final months of 2025. What may matter more is the time horizon for your financial goals. Morningstar Inc Portfolio Strategist Amy Arnott has examined why for some investors, sticking with cash is a less risky and better approach.Oracle's transformation is serving as a reminder that big opportunities to invest in artificial intelligence still exist. The database provider's expansion into being a cloud provider recently sparked a 42% jump in its stock price. That caught the attention of Dan Kemp, chief research and investment officer at Morningstar Investment Management Europe. The author of the Markets Brief says one of the big takeaways is that stocks like Oracle are making good use of AI, and investors should look beyond the popular names. In next week's Markets Brief, Dan will dive into how the Federal Reserve's quarter-point rate cut feeds into changed opportunities and risks in the broader markets for the long term. On this episode:Let's start with an explainer. What is cash? Interest rates are a popular topic now. The Federal Reserve is expected to announce its rate decision this afternoon. Morningstar's economics team and market watchers are predicting lower rates. Should bond investors swap short-term Treasury bills for 20- to 30-year Treasury bonds? Talk about why it could be a mistake for bond investors to assume the Fed will cut rates that match predictions.In your article, Why Cash Is Still King for Short-Term Goals, you discussed a couple of reasons why cash yields still look good. Can you explain?What are some of the trade-offs when holding cash? Where are best places to invest cash if you need the money sometime within the next 12 months? Are there any places where people might not want to keep their cash holdings?And what about goals with a time horizon that's a little bit longer—like two or three years? What's the takeaway for investors weighing whether to take on the risk of long-duration bonds? Read about topics from this episode. Why Cash Is Still King for Short-Term Goals7 Reasons to Stop Freaking Out Over the FedHow to Use Taxable Bonds in a PortfolioThe Best Bond FundsHow to Use Cash in a PortfolioThe 4 Rules for Cash: How to Manage Your Money the Smart WayMarkets Brief: Can a Bumper Fed Rate Cut Give Stocks Another Boost? What to watch from Morningstar. What You Need to Know Before Choosing a Stock ETFInvesting in AI? Here Are 6 Undervalued Stocks for Buy-and-Hold InvestorsDo Dividend Stocks Benefit From Non-US Revenue?This Classic Investment Strategy Is Still Alive in 2025 Read what our team is writing.Amy C. ArnottDan KempIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/
Global stocks rise on upbeat US-China trade talks, with technology giants driving the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record highs. Alphabet is joining the USD 3 trillion club, while Tesla is surging after Elon Musk's USD 1 billion share purchase. US chip stocks are facing pressure from Chinese antitrust probes, and gold is at an all-time high on rate cut expectations. European markets are gaining despite France's credit downgrade, with French 10-year government bond yields above their Italian counterparts – a first since 1999. Asian equities reach a 4-year high on strength in technology, and Tencent is launching its first offshore yuan bond. Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research shares insights on the ‘Buy now, pay later' industry.(00:00) - Introduction: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content (00:28) - Markets wrap-up: Mike Rauber, Product & Investment Content (07:21) - Future of finance: Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research (11:01) - Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Fed under fire: Markets see a 96% chance of a .25% rate cut as Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent pile pressure on Powell. Housing fragility exposed: FHA quietly props up 1.2M mortgages -- echoes of the 2008 crisis? Tether's U.S. play: The world's largest stablecoin launches a fully regulated dollar-backed token under the new GENIUS Act. Crypto IPO boom: Gemini and Figure soar in debut, while Nasdaq itself backs the Winklevoss twins. A personal note: Reflections on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk,and why money corruption drives deeper social division. --- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. My followers get .25% off their first loan. Learn more at www.ledn.io/natalie ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com ---- References mentioned in the episode: Wall Street Journal Article on Mortgage Borrowers Payrolls Negative Revision Largest on Record Bessent's Tweet on Fed Driving Wealth Inequality Scott Bessent Op-Ed on Fed Independence Figure Technologies Enjoys Successful IPO Figure IPO Boosts Valuation to $7.6 Billion Gemini Soars in Latest IPO Market Win Nasdaq Invests $50 Million in Gemini Winklevoss-led Gemini Raises $425 Million in IPO Tether Slides on Company's Massive Growth Bo Hines Appointed Head of Tether's U.S. Arm Tether Unveils New U.S.-Regulated USD Stablecoin Tether Announces the Launch of USAT Russian Advisor Talks About Gold & Crypto Putin's Advisor Warns of Crypto & Gold Conspiracy Bitwise CEO Tweets on $7.3T Money Market Funds $7.3 Trillion Cash Pile Could Fuel Bitcoin Rally ---- Upcoming Events: Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
Markets sold off on Friday; nothing really surprising to investors. Markets continue to grind along the trend line, with a little weakness showing in Nvidia and other tech stocks. This is why it's important to keep portfolios balanced between growth a defense. The S&P isn't breaking out, rather moving side ways, tracking right along with the 20-DMA. The biggest concern we have presently is the continuing, large negative divergence in relative strength and momentum. This behavior tends to show up prior to market corrections. Volatility remains extremely suppressed. Gold's consolidation has resulted in abnormal over-bought conditions. This would be a great place to take profits and await the next pullback. An inverse of that has been Oil prices, very over-sold. Despite the weakness in Oil, Energy prices have been performing well. Bond Yields have fallen sharply over the past three sessions; the trend in Yields has been decidedly lower over the past few months. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIeIdX4aXas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #Gold #Oil #Yields #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
P.M. Edition for Sept. 3rd. Global bond yields are climbing; yields on U.K. 30-year gilts this week hit their highest level since 1998. WSJ columnist Spencer Jakab explains what this means for investors. Plus, Florida is pushing to repeal all vaccine mandates, a move that would make it the first state to end such rules. And the U.S. now has over 1,100 billionaires, but where do they live, and what industries built their fortunes? WSJ data reporter Inti Pacheco shares what he learned from the data. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
French and British bond yields hit multi-year highs as a rout develops on fiscal concerns. Beijing hosts world leaders including Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korea's Kim Jong-Un at a mass military parade to mark the 80th anniversary of the end of WW2. In tech news, Alphabet company Google notches a huge anti-trust win following a ruling by a U.S court which deemed it would not have to offload its Chrome browser. However, the company was instructed to share its search data with rivals. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Wall Street eked out modest gains overnight, led by industrials, as Donald Trump’s renewed attacks on the Federal Reserve reignited concerns over its independence. Signet Jewellers shares jumped on news of Taylor Swift’s engagement, while Nvidia edged higher ahead of its earnings release. Apple also drew attention, setting September 9 for the launch of its new iPhone 17. In bonds, the US yield curve steepened after Trump moved to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Elsewhere, oil fell 2% from a near three-week high, while back home, Aussie shares are expected to rise on Wednesday ahead of key inflation data and Woolworths’ results. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week, we break down the upcoming Jackson Hole Symposium and whether we can expect a dovish or hawkish tilt from Powell's legacy speech. We also dig into the Fed's five-year policy review, Trump's Fed takeover strategy, foreign retreat from Treasury auctions, and whether the risks of inflation are greater than the risk of recession. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD100 for £100 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london __ Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zjfyhnCSgVzJ5u4f7LAHct6KKLq_6gxk/view?usp=sharing — This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): vaneck.com/SMHXFelix — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (03:50) Jackson Hole Preview (09:43) VanEck Ad (10:27) Fed Minutes (13:05) Will Powell Be A Dove or Hawk? (19:02) Bullish Post Jackson Hole? (20:10) JH Impact on Bond Yields (25:09) Trump's Fed Takeover Strategy (29:36) Centralization & the Frontiers (32:42) VanEck Ad (33:24) Treasury Auctions in Danger Zone? (38:19) Hike to Save the Long End! (40:05) Boom Time in Japan? (43:45) Inflation Risk > Recession Risk (47:00) The New Financial Reality (51:32) Short Financials? (52:30) Final Thoughts — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
Wall Street slumps after the Labor Department's report on weak hiring numbers and President Trump's latest tariff news.
Stocks ended the week with losses.
Following a number of trade deals announced in the last week, financial markets seem to be taking the news in a positive manner with equity markets continuing to edge higher and bond yields remaining in fairly narrow ranges. However, one bond market that has stood out is Germany where yields have jumped following hawkish ECB commentary after their July rate meeting, which we discuss in this episode alongside the potential EU-US trade deal. We also discuss the US implications of trade deals, preview the FOMC decision and US labour market data, both of which are due next week. In Asia, we focus on trade developments in India and ASEAN, the Japan upper house election, and the US-Japan trade deal. Chapters: US: 01:54, EMEA: 10:29, Asia: 15:05, Japan: 22:13.
Curious what's ahead for real estate in the second half of 2025? The experts are weighing in, and we're breaking it all down.In this episode, JWB Co-Founder Gregg Cohen joins Pablo Gonzalez to react to the top national forecasts from Fannie Mae, NAR, Zillow, and others. They'll explain what these predictions mean for rental property investors like you.We'll unpack:- Which predictions matter (and which ones miss the mark)- What could happen with interest rates, prices, and rent growth- Why Jacksonville could outperform again in a tight inventory market- What the second half of 2025 could mean for investors' next movesIf you're wondering whether to buy, wait, or reposition, this is the conversation that brings the data, context, and JWB's operator insight together.Listen NOW!Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Welcome01:56 Weather and Casual Chat02:30 Predictions and Market Trends03:28 JWB Real Estate Market Update04:38 Home Price Growth Predictions07:25 Interest Rates and Local Market Insights11:35 Jacksonville's Economic Indicators14:57 Future Market Predictions and Job Sectors21:37 Mortgage Rates and Economic Factors23:46 Understanding Investor Behavior in Volatile Markets24:21 Impact of Bond Yields on Mortgage Rates27:21 Inflation and Its Effects on Bond Investments29:18 Navigating High Interest Rate Environments33:38 Jacksonville Rent Forecasts and Market Strength36:54 Home Sales Projections and Inventory Insights41:40 The Importance of Single Family Rental Properties48:41 Community Engagement and Future TopicsStay connected to us! Join our real estate investor community LIVE: https://jwbrealestatecapital.com/nyai/Schedule a Turnkey strategy call: https://jwbrealestatecapital.com/turnkey/ *Get social with us:*Subscribe to our channel @notyouraverageinvestor Subscribe to @JWBRealEstateCompanies
June 6, 2025 – What's ahead for stocks, bonds, and the dollar? Financial Sense Newshour speaks with Jim Welsh of Macro Tides about the outlook for markets, interest rates, and US government debt. Welsh explains why Treasury yields...
The Inside Economics crew talks about the latest tariff news, as well as the reconciliation bill making its way through Congress and the long-term macroeconomic consequences of the bill. Mark gives some rules of thumb about the tariff impact on inflation, as well as the debt-to-GDP ratio and long-term bond yields. Finally, the team answers several listener questions and plays the stats game.Hosts: Mark Zandi – Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Cris deRitis – Deputy Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics, Marisa DiNatale – Senior Director - Head of Global Forecasting, Moody's AnalyticsFollow Mark Zandi on 'X', BlueSky or LinkedIn @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis on LinkedIn, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn Questions or Comments, please email us at helpeconomy@moodys.com. We would love to hear from you. To stay informed and follow the insights of Moody's Analytics economists, visit Economic View.
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/44RFWIg Tuesday Special: Market Recap and Policy Updates In this special Tuesday edition of Dividend Cafe, we cover key market movements from Memorial Day, including a notable rise in stock market indices and a drop in bond yields. Discussion includes the impact of the president's tariff announcements on market performance, current bond market trends, and developments in durable goods orders and housing sales. The episode also touches on public policy changes, such as the reversal on the acquisition of US Steel by Nippon Steel and potential re-privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Finally, a preview of upcoming topics is provided, including plans for addressing the national debt. 00:00 Introduction and Memorial Day Market Closure 00:47 Bond Yields and Market Movements 01:54 Credit Spreads and Economic Indicators 02:57 Market Rally and Tariff Announcements 04:04 US Steel Acquisition and China Negotiations 05:24 Geopolitical Dynamics and Durable Goods Orders 06:56 Housing Market Trends and Policy Changes 08:15 Bank Capital Requirements and Treasury Holdings 08:55 Dividend Growth and Investment Strategies 09:43 Conclusion and Upcoming Topics Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
The Game of Thrones Tariff Edition continues at its wild, unpredictable & ever-changing pace.The latest development as of this recording has the US placing a pause on its recently-announced 50% tariffs on the EU until July 9th.As we now have a *little* more clarity and data to look at since Trump's Liberation Day, what conclusions can we start drawing about the implications of these tariffs?Are they strengthening or weakening America's hand? Are they inflationary? Are US consumers better or worse off, on net?For insights, we have the good fortune today to welcome back to the program Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, LLC.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bonds #bondyields #interestrates _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Today a look at Japanese Government Bond yields getting crushed overnight on signs that the MoF is planning to tweak its issuance to avoid further pressure on long yields. This inspired a JPY sell-off and the US dollar has backed up across the board as well. Elsewhere, risk appetite is in fine form, if we have some longer term concerns on heavy retail participation. Today's pod hosted by Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy Jacob's preview of Nvidia earnings John's second article in four-part series covering Rule #2 for Trading and Investing in the Trump 2.0 era. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo.
The future of institutional involvement in crypto hinges on developing robust risk management frameworks that provide transparency, accountability, and regulatory clarity, enabling traditional financial institutions to confidently engage with digital assets. Today's Stocks & Topics: SYF - Synchrony Financial, Market Wrap, Institutional Crypto Adoption Depends on Solving Risk Management Challenges, Individual Bond Ratings, PYPL - PayPal Holdings Inc., Investing in a 30-year Treasury, Retailers, CELH - Celsius Holdings Inc., Bond Yields.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
This week, we discuss the U.S. fiscal pivot, soaring deficits, and what it means for bond markets, Bitcoin, and global capital flows. We also debate whether Japan is the canary in the coal mine for sovereign debt risks, if QE is still politically viable, the housing market crisis, and why Bitcoin and foreign equities may be the only rational long-term trades. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zNQbt0lyXLmZQYf-56mneLpPxFNJ5y7h/view?usp=sharing — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions. Learn more: www.blockdaemon.com Arkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information. Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding. Echo Protocol is the first Bitcoin liquid re-staking and yield layer on MoveVM. As the second-largest protocol on Aptos by TVL, Echo secures nearly half of the network's bridged assets with ~$200M in aBTC minted. Check out https://www.echo-protocol.xyz/ to learn more! — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:46) Big Beautiful Bill (06:47) There's One Trade (09:39) Ads (Blockdaemon, Aptos, Arkham) (11:21) Government Spending Problem (14:10) US Economic Data (16:55) Housing Market Crisis (22:12) Global Collateral & JGBs (27:21) Food Prices & Labor (30:46) Ads (Blockdaemon, Aptos, Arkham) (33:10) Bond Yields & Inflation (38:32) Liquidity & Collateral Stress (42:03) US Equities Still Safe? (50:37) Final Thoughts — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Send us a textIn this extended Market Outsiders live episode, Namaan and Jenny Rae cut through the noise on tariffs, premium pricing, and why Nike's betting on affluent consumers.The duo break down a weak 20-year Treasury auction and rising U.S. bond yields - signaling investor concerns over fiscal health and global competition. Plus, they dive into Nike's surprising return to Amazon after a six-year DTC push. Is it a sign of strategy shift - or just a move to win back share from brands like Hoka?Join Market Outsiders live every weekday at 9:15AM ET on LinkedIn and YouTube - and now, episodes are also available on Strategy Simplified every Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday.Want the full daily experience? Follow the new Market Outsiders podcast to get every episode, Monday through Friday.Follow Management Consulted on LinkedIn and subscribe on YouTubeConnect with Namaan and Jenny Rae on LinkedInJoin Management Consulted for the NYC Case Camp from June 27-29Intensive, hands-on experience that will give you skills, confidence, and insider insights to break into consultingSeats are limited; confirm your spot
A.M. Edition for May 21. House GOP leaders and Republicans from high-tax states appear to be nearing an agreement on state and local tax deductions, as President Trump's giant tax and spending deal inches toward a vote. Plus, WSJ columnist Jon Sindreu unpacks why recent volatility in the treasury market matters to more than just bond investors. And in the latest electric vehicle pull back, Ford is letting rival Nissan share its flagship U.S. battery plant. Azhar Sukri hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Market Decline and Bond Yield Surge Analysis - May 21st In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the significant market drop on May 21st, highlighting the Dow's 816-point decline and the movements in S&P and Nasdaq. He explains the rise in bond yields, specifically in 10-year and 30-year notes, and the impact of a lackluster 20-year bond auction following a credit downgrade. Additionally, he covers the unusual drop in the dollar amidst rising interest rates, the influence of downbeat retailer earnings, and geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. The episode wraps up with a preview of upcoming economic data releases including jobless claims, PMI numbers, and home sales. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:27 Bond Yields and Auctions 01:53 Year-to-Date Market Performance 02:11 Global Market Reactions 02:50 Geopolitical and Economic Factors 03:25 Conclusion and Upcoming Data Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
US credit downgrades are back in the spotlight as Moody's lowers the U.S. rating from Aaa to Aa1 for the first time since 1949. In today's episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down what this means for bond markets, long-term Treasury yields, and most importantly—mortgage rates. With the 30-year Treasury briefly topping 5%, investors and homebuyers alike are wondering: are borrowing costs headed even higher? Plus, how this move aligns Moody's with other rating agencies, why deficits and political gridlock are driving concern, and what to watch in the real estate market in the weeks ahead. LINKS Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/19/us-treasury-yields-moodys-downgrades-us-credit-rating.html Download Your Free Top 5 Cities to Invest in 2025 PDF!https://www.realwealth.com/1500 JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast: https://link.chtbl.com/REN Topics Discussed: 00:00 US Credit Downgrades 00:32 Bond Yield Movement 01:10 Moody's Reasoning 01:27 Market Reaction 02:16 Moody's Warning 02:28 Mortgage Rates, Car Loans, and Credit Cards
American Airlines can't keep Jacob down – he makes time to connect with Rob Larity to do an episode on the market chaos of the week. --Timestamps:(00:00) - Introduction and Travel Woes(01:09) - Ranting About American Airlines(02:21) - Catching Up with Rob(03:06) - Market Volatility and Tariffs(04:34) - Financial Crisis vs. Current Situation(07:42) - Uncertainty in the Market(08:48) - Impact of Tariffs and Trade War(13:11) - Bond Yields and Inflation Expectations(20:20) - Dollar Weakness and Global Capital(22:46) - Historical Context and Globalization(26:24) - Trump's Desire for a Deal with China(27:29) - US-China Economic Interdependence(31:03) - Challenges in International Investment(33:42) - Inflation and Economic Uncertainty(37:16) - Corporate Responses to Tariffs(42:54) - Impact on Small and Medium Businesses(47:23) - Geopolitical and Economic Outlook(52:19) - Closing Remarks and Future Plans--Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.comJacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShapCI Site: cognitive.investmentsSubscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep--The Jacob Shapiro Show is produced and edited by Audiographies LLC. More information at audiographies.com --Jacob Shapiro is a speaker, consultant, author, and researcher covering global politics and affairs, economics, markets, technology, history, and culture. He speaks to audiences of all sizes around the world, helps global multinationals make strategic decisions about political risks and opportunities, and works directly with investors to grow and protect their assets in today's volatile global environment. His insights help audiences across industries like finance, agriculture, and energy make sense of the world.Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients' material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).--This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp
In this episode: Pay attention to surging bond yields [2:52] One simple thing could end this market meltdown [6:51] I eat some humble pie on a recent small cap trade [14:50] China's plan to sell U.S. Treasurys—should you be worried? [17:16] Big banks will be able to buy bonds—why that's a huge deal [26:41] This market leader has the most China risk [32:39] Is Cramer right that Ford is a value trap? [36:35] Be prepared for a lot of companies to cut guidance [38:50] An easy trading tip as earnings season kicks off [47:44] Did you like this episode? Get more Wall Street Unplugged FREE each week in your inbox. Sign up here: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu Find Wall Street Unplugged podcast… --Curzio Research App: https://curzio.me/syn_app --iTunes: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_i --Stitcher: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_s --Website: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_cat Follow Frank… X: https://curzio.me/syn_twt Facebook: https://curzio.me/syn_fb LinkedIn: https://curzio.me/syn_li
Investors are flocking to safe-haven assets amid market turmoil triggered by recent tariff announcements, and global bond yields have sharply declined. Today's Stocks & Topics: ZM - Zoom Communications Inc., Market Timing, ACN - Accenture PLC Cl A, Tariff Fallout: Bond Yields Plummet as Investors Seek Safety, DELL - Dell Technologies Inc. Cl C, Market Wrap, J - Jacobs Solutions Inc., Swing Trading, PANW - Palo Alto Networks Inc., GDL - GDL Fund, IAU - iShares Gold Trust, Oil Prices.Our Sponsors:* Check out Kinsta: https://kinsta.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6Stocks plunged, bond yields dropped, the R-word is now the common phrase in the media...Jay Powell says everything is just fine and dandy. Even the President is now cautioning the economy might be going through a "transition" and the markets more and more can't get away from it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Bond Market's Trump Trade Is Looking Like a Recession Playhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-09/the-bond-market-s-trump-trade-is-looking-like-a-recession-tradeBloomberg Treasuries Gain as Trump Transition Talk Fuels Recession Angsthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-10/us-credit-risk-rises-as-tariffs-job-cuts-stoke-recession-fearsJay Powell in Chicagohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6pZzfv8AQENBC Dow falls nearly 900 points and Nasdaq dives 4% as stock selloff gathers steamhttps://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/stocks-tank-trump-declines-dismiss-recession-risk-rcna195653https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Though central banks have cut interest rates, uncertainty about the future has sent yields sky-high. Our correspondent explains why expectations diverge from the economic data, and the impact on borrowers. Donald Trump's desire to control Greenland using economic or military force provoked outrage. But could America buy the country (9:01)? And why Singapore's iconic hawker centres are under threat (17:41). Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—Subscribe to Economist Podcasts+For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.