Podcasts about bond yields

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Best podcasts about bond yields

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Latest podcast episodes about bond yields

Cognitive Dissidents
Separating Signal From Noise (with Rob!)

Cognitive Dissidents

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2025 53:52


American Airlines can't keep Jacob down – he makes time to connect with Rob Larity to do an episode on the market chaos of the week. --Timestamps:(00:00) - Introduction and Travel Woes(01:09) - Ranting About American Airlines(02:21) - Catching Up with Rob(03:06) - Market Volatility and Tariffs(04:34) - Financial Crisis vs. Current Situation(07:42) - Uncertainty in the Market(08:48) - Impact of Tariffs and Trade War(13:11) - Bond Yields and Inflation Expectations(20:20) - Dollar Weakness and Global Capital(22:46) - Historical Context and Globalization(26:24) - Trump's Desire for a Deal with China(27:29) - US-China Economic Interdependence(31:03) - Challenges in International Investment(33:42) - Inflation and Economic Uncertainty(37:16) - Corporate Responses to Tariffs(42:54) - Impact on Small and Medium Businesses(47:23) - Geopolitical and Economic Outlook(52:19) - Closing Remarks and Future Plans--Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.comJacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShapCI Site: cognitive.investmentsSubscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep--The Jacob Shapiro Show is produced and edited by Audiographies LLC. More information at audiographies.com --Jacob Shapiro is a speaker, consultant, author, and researcher covering global politics and affairs, economics, markets, technology, history, and culture. He speaks to audiences of all sizes around the world, helps global multinationals make strategic decisions about political risks and opportunities, and works directly with investors to grow and protect their assets in today's volatile global environment. His insights help audiences across industries like finance, agriculture, and energy make sense of the world.Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients' material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).--This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

Investing Insights
Market Volatility: What Lies Ahead in Trump's Trade War

Investing Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2025 13:03


Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist for Morningstar Investment Management, discusses the escalating US-China trade war, the 90-day tariff pause, and raised recession risk during this market volatility.Key Takeaways:What an Escalating Trade War Between the US and China Could MeanMacroeconomic Trends and Rising Deglobalization After Trump's Tariffs  What Trump's 90-Day Pause on Tariffs Means for the Markets and Economy  How Market Volatility Could Persist After a Tariff-Induced Stock Selloff and Rebound  Why Fixed Income and Equities Are Responding Differently During Market Volatility  Morningstar Forecasters Predict Higher Economic Risks in 2025Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates in May?How to Protect Your Retirement Portfolio During Market VolatilityWhat Investors Need to Have on Their Radar   Read about topics from this episode.  Tariffs and Emotions Shake Markets Now, But Discipline Wins Long-Term Morningstar's Take on Tariffs: Stock Impacts, Portfolio Tips, and More Even With Trump's Rollback, Tariffs Would Still Damage the US Economy Inflation Slows as Gas Prices Lead Decline in March CPIUS Stocks Surge After Trump Pauses Many New Tariffs Stocks Give Up Gains as Tariff Woes Persist What Do the New Trump Tariffs Mean for Fed Interest-Rate Cuts? How Market Volatility Affects Required Minimum DistributionsA Down-Market Survival Guide for Retirees What Now? An Investor's To-Do List for Chaotic Markets This Time, It Really Is the Tariffs This Is What Real Market Uncertainty Looks Like   What to watch from Morningstar.Market Volatility: What to Watch in Q2 After Big Swings in Q1 Does It Pay to Copy Congress' Stock Trades?Can Healthcare Stocks Keep Outperforming the Market?Worried About a Market Sell-Off? These 10 Funds Reduce Portfolio Risk  Read what our team is writing:Dominic PappalardoIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Wall Street Unplugged - What's Really Moving These Markets
What's behind the surge in bond yields?

Wall Street Unplugged - What's Really Moving These Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 56:29


In this episode: Pay attention to surging bond yields [2:52] One simple thing could end this market meltdown [6:51] I eat some humble pie on a recent small cap trade [14:50] China's plan to sell U.S. Treasurys—should you be worried? [17:16] Big banks will be able to buy bonds—why that's a huge deal [26:41] This market leader has the most China risk [32:39] Is Cramer right that Ford is a value trap? [36:35] Be prepared for a lot of companies to cut guidance [38:50] An easy trading tip as earnings season kicks off [47:44] Did you like this episode? Get more Wall Street Unplugged FREE each week in your inbox. Sign up here: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu Find Wall Street Unplugged podcast… --Curzio Research App: https://curzio.me/syn_app --iTunes: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_i --Stitcher: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_s --Website: https://curzio.me/syn_wsu_cat Follow Frank… X: https://curzio.me/syn_twt Facebook: https://curzio.me/syn_fb LinkedIn: https://curzio.me/syn_li

InvestTalk
Tariff Fallout: Bond Yields Plummet as Investors Seek Safety

InvestTalk

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2025 46:33


Investors are flocking to safe-haven assets amid market turmoil triggered by recent tariff announcements, and global bond yields have sharply declined. Today's Stocks & Topics: ZM - Zoom Communications Inc., Market Timing, ACN - Accenture PLC Cl A, Tariff Fallout: Bond Yields Plummet as Investors Seek Safety, DELL - Dell Technologies Inc. Cl C, Market Wrap, J - Jacobs Solutions Inc., Swing Trading, PANW - Palo Alto Networks Inc., GDL - GDL Fund, IAU - iShares Gold Trust, Oil Prices.Our Sponsors:* Check out Kinsta: https://kinsta.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
Europe Market Open: Equities and global bond yields sink after Trump's tariff announcement, XAU at fresh highs

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 3, 2025 5:46


US President Trump unveiled individual reciprocal tariffs for each country which are essentially half of what countries were charging the US.The US is to apply a 20% tariff on imports from EU, 34% tariff on imports from China, 26% tariff on imports from India and 25% tariff on imports from South Korea.Trump also stated that the baseline tariff is 10% for all nations and announced 25% auto tariffs, while Canada and Mexico were not subject to reciprocal tariffs for now.US equity futures slumped in response to the tariff announcement (ES -2.6%, NQ -3.1%, RTY -3.9%). Europe is also marked lower with the Eurostoxx 50 future down 1.7%.USD is showing a mixed performance vs. peers but ultimately net lower (AUD, NZD weaker vs. the USD. JPY, EUR, GBP, CHF stronger).Global bond yields are lower with the inflation implications dwarfed by the mass risk-aversion in the market. Fed pricing looks for 82bps of easing by year-end vs. 76bps yesterday morning.Crude is lower as markets digest the global growth implications, whilst spot gold hit another record high.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ Producer Prices, US Weekly Claims, Challenger Layoffs & ISM Services, ECB Minutes & BoE DMP, Speakers including Fed's Cook, Jefferson, US VP Vance, US Commerce Secretary Lutnick, ECB's Schnabel & de Guindos, Supply from Spain, France, UK & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Economy Watch
As the US enters stagflation, the USD is being sidelined

Economy Watch

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 30, 2025 6:27


Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news commodity prices are falling away across the board, along with crypto, as a risk-off mood builds in financial markets.In the week ahead, the most interesting developments will be close to home. There will be the usual monthly dump of February data from the RBNZ later today, and the real estate industry will start reporting its March results and listing levels. And in Australia, their central bank will be reviewing its monetary policy settings. But because they are in an election campaign it would be surprising indeed if they may any moves either way that might influence voters.The week will end with American labour market data for March. But because the impacts of DOGE cuts or tariff hikes are yet to be felt, little-change is anticipated here either. But more PMI reports will start to reveal new order levels, which will give important early warning signals.There will be PMIs out for China too, Japan business sentiment, EU inflation, and German factory orders, which will all help paint a picture of how the global economy is coping.But first up today, there will be a lot of interest on tomorrow's Wall Street open. It ended its Friday session with the S&P500 down -2.0% and no signs of recovery late in the session. The Nasdaq fell -2.7% on the day. Weekend futures trading has the S&P500 recovering +0.8%, but that basically embeds the Friday retreat. Risk-off sentiment is strong with major investors selling, seeing this as a time to hold cash.The core reason Wall Street is risk-off is that American consumers are increasingly anxious about their jobs, and the inflation pressures ahead. And both of those worries are over what higher tariffs will do to them. Town-hall meetings across the country are giving the message to Congresspeople that they aren't too happy about the self-serving government- by-billionaires either.The final University of Michigan March sentiment survey was revised lower from its already low 'flash' result. Consumers are in full defensive mode, expecting inflation to jump, and job security to worsen. Wall Street can't ignore these signals.Other data out over the weekend didn't help. The core US PCE inflation indicator for February rose its most since January 2024, and of course this doesn't include the effect of the recent policy missteps. This data is a little signal magnified by current policy settings.US consumer spending came in lower than expected. Consumer savings rates rose. This is consistent with consumers shifting to a defensive mood ahead of their expected rough economic weather.It isn't any better in Canada where their monthly GDP indicator for February revealed no net expansion, following a positive January expansion.In China, talk about rate cuts that officials don't like brings prosecution. They say "the local public security organs" have dealt with two such people.In Australia, they are off and running for their May 3, 2025 federal election. Like most elections, it will be fought on "cost of living" issues. The campaign starts with the incumbents in a strong and rising position on their two-party-preferred basis. Expect a sledge-a-thon for the next five weeks.And for the record, when we are thinking of drought and rainfall in Australia, this resource is useful to keep perspective.Commodity prices are under pressure. Worth watching is the price of copper. It is very high at present, but lower economic activity in both China and the US could bring about 'a collapse'. It would not be the only commodity to suffer.We should also possibly note that the US Fed balance sheet shrunk again last week to be -US$745 bln lower than this time last year. So far we haven't seen any slacking in the pace of their tightening.We should also note that in this current risk-off phase, the US dollar has not risen. This is very unusual and may portent a diminished role for the greenback in the global economy.So far, the world has kept buying US Treasury paper, but the more the Federal finances are twisted by Trump, the less likely that demand will hold. But remember less than 24% of total US federal debt is held by foreigners (US$8.512 tln of US$36.218 tln in gross terms), so the impact from foreign demand will be muted. However, markets will notice any substantial pullback by this group, and that will colour its market status and price. The big impacts will come from the locals' willingness to absorb this debt.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.25%, unchanged from yesterday at this time. The price of gold will start today at just on US$3085/oz and up another net +US$5 from Saturday. Although off it at the moment, gold keeps challenging it's all-time high levels.Oil prices are little-changed from Saturday at just under US$69.50/bbl in the US and the international Brent price is now just over US$73.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 57.2 USc and unchanged from this time Saturday. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 90.9 AUc. Against the euro we are also unchanged at just under 53 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today still just over 66.7.The bitcoin price starts today at US$82,272 and down -1.9% from this time Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at +/- 1.1%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Nomura Podcasts
The Week Ahead - Tariff Time

Nomura Podcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2025 26:39


In the week to date, US bond yields are a little higher across the curve, and the USD has been a little stronger too, while equities really have had a couple of up and down days. Another big theme for global markets has been around the idea of US exceptionalism, that took a dent as some US data printed weaker, Europe data looked better, and as China and Europe announced some stimulus plans over prior weeks. For the week ahead, it really is crunch time with April 2 tariff announcements just around the corner. Chapters: US (01:56), Europe (10:47), Asia (13:59).

TD Ameritrade Network
Bond Yields Signal Growth, But Risks Loom

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 27, 2025 9:00


Keith Buchanan joins to break down the bond market's recent moves. With the 10-year yield showing signs of finding a path higher, he believes the shape of the yield curve doesn't tell the whole story. Buchanan argues that understanding why the curve is steepening is key. He looks at whether it's due to inflationary expectations or real growth expectations and if it's a positive or negative move for the market.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

SF Live
The System Built After WWII Is DONE I Michael Every

SF Live

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 54:30


Global strategist Michael Every of Rabobank joins us for an expansive and thought-provoking conversation on the tectonic geopolitical and economic shifts shaping our world. From the collapse of the post-WWII order to the rise of economic statecraft, we break down the emerging multipolar world, the future of Europe. We also dive into the bond market, U.S. dollar dominance, and what this all means for investors navigating unprecedented macro uncertainty.#geopolitics #europe #globalmarkets

Unhedged
Can Trump drive down bond yields?

Unhedged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 25, 2025 23:30


President Donald Trump has been clear he wants lower interest rates. Cheaper money would goose the market and give the government room to spend. But interest rates haven't exactly been co-operating. Today on the show, Katie Martin, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter discuss plans to move the needle on long-term bonds, from the stalled “Mar-a-Lago Accord” to Treasury secretary Scott Bessent's embrace of shorter-duration bonds. Also they go long the price of oil and short the 10-year Treasury bond. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

CNBC Business News Update
Market Midday: Stocks Higher, Bond Yields Lower, Existing Home Sales Popped In February 3/20/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2025 3:38


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

Charles Schwab’s Insights & Ideas Podcast
Do You Know These 7 Bond Market Basics?

Charles Schwab’s Insights & Ideas Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 17, 2025 30:58


After you listen:Explore more of Schwab's market commentary and education for bond investors.In this episode, Mark Riepe and Kathy Jones delve into the essentials of bond investing. They discuss the fundamentals that every investor should understand, including the nature of bonds, the significance of credit risk, the relationship between interest rates and bond prices, and the concept of duration. Their conversation also touches on psychological barriers to sound strategies for managing bond investments, the implications of the yield curve, and the Federal Reserve's influence on the bond market.Financial Decoder is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit schwab.com/FinancialDecoder. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Reach out to Mark on X @MarkRiepe with your thoughts on the show.Follow Financial Decoder on Spotify to comment on episodes.Important DisclosuresInvestors should consider carefully information contained in the prospectus, or if available, the summary prospectus, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. You can request a prospectus by calling 800-435-4000. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors. Lower rated securities are subject to greater credit risk, default risk, and liquidity risk.Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and cannot protect against losses in a declining market.A bond ladder, depending on the types and amount of securities within the ladder, may not ensure adequate diversification of your investment portfolio. This potential lack of diversification may result in heightened volatility of the value of your portfolio.As compared to other fixed income products and strategies, engaging in a bond ladder strategy may potentially result in future reinvestment at lower interest rates and may necessitate higher minimum investments to maintain cost-effectiveness. Evaluate whether a bond ladder and the securities held within it are consistent with your investment objective, risk tolerance and financial circumstances.​Tax-exempt bonds are not necessarily a suitable investment for all persons. Information related to a security's tax-exempt status (federal and in-state) is obtained from third parties, and Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. does not guarantee its accuracy. Tax-exempt income may be subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). Capital appreciation from bond funds and discounted bonds may be subject to state or local taxes. Capital gains are not exempt from federal income tax.International investments involve additional risks, which include differences in financial accounting standards, currency fluctuations, geopolitical risk, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. Investing in emerging markets may accentuate these risks.This information provided here is for general informational purposes only, and is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax, legal, or investment planning advice. Where specific advice is necessary or appropriate, you should consult with a qualified tax advisor, CPA, Financial Planner, or Investment Manager.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

Making Sense
Global Recession Fears EXPLODE: Stocks Crash, Bond Yields Plummet

Making Sense

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 11, 2025 19:37


I am doing a webinar on how The Global Economy is Breaking: What Comes Next & How to Prepare, you can sign up here:  https://event.webinarjam.com/register/27/l3k2rby6Stocks plunged, bond yields dropped, the R-word is now the common phrase in the media...Jay Powell says everything is just fine and dandy. Even the President is now cautioning the economy might be going through a "transition" and the markets more and more can't get away from it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Bond Market's Trump Trade Is Looking Like a Recession Playhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-09/the-bond-market-s-trump-trade-is-looking-like-a-recession-tradeBloomberg Treasuries Gain as Trump Transition Talk Fuels Recession Angsthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-10/us-credit-risk-rises-as-tariffs-job-cuts-stoke-recession-fearsJay Powell in Chicagohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6pZzfv8AQENBC Dow falls nearly 900 points and Nasdaq dives 4% as stock selloff gathers steamhttps://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/stocks-tank-trump-declines-dismiss-recession-risk-rcna195653https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

SF Live
ALERT: BEAR Market – Overvaluation Signals Gold's LAST Stand | Steven Hochberg

SF Live

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2025 42:31


Steven Hochberg of Elliott Wave International joins us for an in-depth conversation on market overvaluation and investor psychology. We break down historic valuation metrics, the five-wave pattern in gold, and key indicators like the Buffett Indicator and “Pluto Chart” to reveal what a potential bear market means for your investments.

On Investing
Recent Questions From Investors

On Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2025 34:22


In this episode, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders review some of the recent questions they have received from investors. Their questions and answers focus on the current economic landscape and cover topics ranging from bond yields to the impact of tariffs to the Federal Reserve's stance to the performance of key indexes and stocks. They explore the complexities of government debt, the dollar's reserve status, and the ongoing debate between growth and value stocks, providing insights into what investors should watch moving forward.Check out schwab.com/FAQs to see more frequently asked questions and whether any questions you may have are already answered there.Kathy and Liz Ann also discuss the data and economic indicators they will be watching in the coming week.On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Currency trading is speculative, volatile and not suitable for all investors.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and cannot protect against losses in a declining market.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Positive correlation refers to a relationship in which two variables tend to move in the same direction (i.e., they both increase, or they both decrease). Negative correlation refers to a relationship in which the variables tend to move in opposite directions (i.e., one increases, and the other decreases, or vice versa).(0325-30G5)

Bloomberg Talks
Jim Bianco Talks Bond Yields

Bloomberg Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 6:39 Transcription Available


Jim Bianco, president and macro strategist at Bianco Research, discusses the factors he sees driving six weeks of lower bond yields and explains the potential scenario of a “Mar-A-Lago Accord.” He speaks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul SweeneySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Money Matters With Wes Moss
Market Myths Busted: Panic Less And Plan Smart—GDP Growth, Bond Yields, and Productive Retirement Strategies

Money Matters With Wes Moss

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 25, 2025 36:45


Cut through the media noise. Debunk Robert Kiyosaki's latest market crash warning. Ease financial and geopolitical anxiety with facts: GDP is growing over 2%, inflation is cooling, and the labor market has snapped back to a healthy balance—challenge fear-driven narratives by focusing on fundamentals. Could Walmart's earnings stumble be a hiccup rather than a harbinger? Isn't Amazon's quarterly revenue record the bigger story? With FactSet forecasting healthy S&P 500 earnings growth for 2025, is it time to lean in rather than sit out? Examine Columbia Threadneedle's study to see why today's 4.5% to 5% bond yields make them a potentially productive strategy because they sometimes sidestep cash drag to secure stable returns. Want a retirement game plan? Wes and Jeff walk listeners through the “Fill the Gap” strategy: know your income shortfall, multiply by 25, and hopefully retire with confidence. Then, unpack the “Doge Dividend” proposal, a concept floated by the Trump administration suggesting taxpayer rebates tied to deficit reductions. Would one-time stimulus checks be more or less productive than debt rollback? Listen to find out more, and if you're heading to the Waffle House, brace for that new 50-cent egg surcharge.

CNBC Business News Update
Market Open: Stocks Lower, Bond Yields Higher, Fed Minutes Out This Afternoon 2/19/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 19, 2025 2:36


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

Markets & Mortgages
Ep. 371 | Retails Sales Cause Bond Yields to Fall

Markets & Mortgages

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 17, 2025 15:01


SUMMARY: Retail sales plummet which is good news for rates, Goldfarb explains how Trump could bring down rates, a home lists for almost $13 million in New Hanover County, and this week we have housing data & global inflation...DISCLAIMER: TowneBank Mortgage, NMLS #512138, is an equal housing lender. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Hosted by Tyler Cralle #2028201

The Bid
Why Are Bond Yields Rising As Rates Are Cut?

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 14, 2025 19:26


Sharp moves in bond yields have been a key area of focus in markets to start the year. Yields on 10-year treasury bonds are over 1% higher since September 2024 — a historically rare occurrence in both the direction and magnitude of moves. So, what's driving this phenomenon and how is it reshaping the investment playbook compared to previous cycles? Jeff Rosenberg, Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager within the BlackRock Systematic business, will share his perspective on the different dynamics impacting bond yields and how his team is navigating this unique environment.Sources: Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Statement based on the ACM Model of estimated term premium dating back to the 1960s; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, referencing the US deficit as a percentage of GDP. Data accessed January 2025This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Lykken on Lending
Economic Data in Focus: Jobs, Inflation, and Bond Yields - Market Update by Matt Graham

Lykken on Lending

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 14, 2025 5:01


This week's MBS Live Market Update explores how a surprising AI breakthrough, shifting tariff policies, and market volatility influenced bond yields and interest rates.-----------------------------------------------------Matt began as an originator in 2002. He fell in love with the idea of following MBS in real-time but felt that existing products were only scratching the surface. Thus was born MBS Live in 2007, the first-of-its-kind platform with real-time market data/analysis, and live chat with analysts, traders, and originators around the country. He is currently the Founder and CEO of MBSLive!He's been covering bond/mortgage markets, writing commentary, alerts, and chatting with the live community every business hour of every business day ever since.Matt also serves as the Chief of Operations for mortgagenewsdaily.com, where he is one of the industry's most respected mortgage rate experts, frequently quoted in the media. Mortgage News Daily's rate index is used as the definitive resource on day-to-day mortgage rate averages.He lives in the Pacific Northwest with his wife and son where he enjoys skiing, fishing, coaching youth sports, playing the guitar, and more DIY projects/hobbies than he'd care to admit.

Forward Guidance
The Credit Cycle Is Just Getting Started | Andreas Steno Larsen

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2025 51:55


In this episode, Andreas Steno Larsen joins the show to discuss the outlook for liquidity, the uptick in the manufacturing and credit cycle, and expectations around inflation. We also delve into Powell's QE comments, idiosyncratic drivers of gold, and much more. Enjoy! Follow Andreas Steno Larsen: https://x.com/AndreasSteno Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code FG10 for 10% off general admission! https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york __ SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:18) Current Macro Backdrop and Market Sentiment (01:48) Liquidity Backdrop and Federal Reserve Policies (04:33) Private Sector Liquidity and Credit Creation (10:21) Treasury General Account and Debt Ceiling (17:30) Skale Ad (17:54) Future Liquidity Measures and Market Implications (21:06) Private Credit and Economic Cycle (26:55) Meta's Client Base and Market Power (27:44) Russell Index and Wage Growth Insights (29:42) Inflation and CPI Analysis (33:17) Skale Ad (33:46) Global Tariff Impacts and Dollar Outlook (36:26) European Market Performance (42:05) Gold Market Dynamics (48:22) Bond Yields and Truflation Measure (51:19) Learn More About Andreas and his Work __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

CommSec
Morning Report 12 Feb 25: Stocks fall as Powell's remarks keep bond yields higher

CommSec

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 11, 2025 9:53


US inflation data looms as a key market test, while ongoing tariff discussions add to uncertainty. The US dollar held onto losses as Powell signalled patience on rate cuts. In corporate news, an AI partnership between Apple and Alibaba lifted Apple’s shares, while Coca-Cola’s earnings beat expectations, driven by higher prices. DuPont also posted strong results. Across the Atlantic, European stocks hit fresh record highs. Meanwhile, growth concerns weighed on metal prices, while oil climbed on supply worries. Looking ahead, Aussie shares are set to open lower on Wednesday, with focus shifting to Commonwealth Bank’s earnings, which are expected to show strong results. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Forward Guidance
Can Trump, Bessent, & DOGE Drive Long Bond Yields Lower? | Weekly Roundup

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 7, 2025 51:14


This week, we discuss the possibility of the market discounting Trump, Bessent, & DOGE success, the market implications of the Treasury QRA, and whether the manufacturing uptick is tariff front-running or the beginning of a new boom. We also delve into the state of the crypto market, MicroStrategy's earnings, and much more. Enjoy! — Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/19hLvwH8eVffhQ5-C97EM1pNqfxXRwYWz/view?usp=sharing — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code FG10 for 10% off general admission! https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york — SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:02) Upcoming DAS 2025 (03:05) Tariff Delays (04:41) Bitcoin and Crypto (10:54) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (12:01) Liquidity Outlook and Dollar Strength (17:02) Market Discounting Trump, Bessent, & DOGE (20:32) Treasury Issuance and Policy Changes (28:06) Growth & Liquidity (29:02) Bond Yields and Growth Expectations (30:51) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (32:06) Construction and Manufacturing (33:57) Government vs. Private Sector (36:14) Stock Market and Investment Sentiment (40:44) MicroStrategy and Bitcoin Investments (43:49) Evaluating Government's Role in Investments (47:54) Upcoming Jobs Report __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Paisa Vaisa
How to Get 15% Fixed Returns – Bond Investing Tips with Suresh Darak of Bondbazaar

Paisa Vaisa

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 27, 2025 48:16


On this episode of PaisaVaisa, Anupam sits down with Suresh Darak, Founder of BondBazaar, for an engaging conversation about the world of bonds. They dive into the basics of bonds, how they differ from fixed deposits, and the unique role of Online Bond Platform Providers (OBPPs) compared to traditional brokers. Suresh shares BondBazaar’s inspiring journey since its 2020 inception, insights on who bond investing is best suited for, and how it stacks up against debt mutual funds. The duo also explores the bond buying process, transaction costs, and future trends in bonds and interest rates. Get in touch with our host Anupam Gupta on social media: Twitter: ( https://twitter.com/b50 ) Instagram: ( https://www.instagram.com/b_50/ ) LinkedIn: (https://www.linkedin.com/in/anupam9gupta/ ) You can listen to this show and other awesome shows on the IVM Podcasts website at https://www.ivmpodcasts.com/ You can watch the full video episodes of PaisaVaisapodcast on the YouTube channel. Do follow IVM Podcasts on social media. We are @ivmpodcasts on Facebook, Twitter, & InstagramSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Hidden Forces
What's Driving the Rise in Long-Term Bond Yields? | Jim Bianco

Hidden Forces

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 20, 2025 56:42


In Episode 397 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, about the macroeconomic factors driving the recent rise in bond yields and a range of other variables shaping the economies of the U.S., Europe, and China, as well as their impact on investors' portfolios. In the first hour, Bianco and Kofinas analyze the factors behind the surge in long-term interest rates across the developed world. Their discussion covers the Federal Reserve's role, concerns about government debt and deficits, inflation, tariff policies, and economic growth expectations amid these potential challenges. In the second hour, they shift their focus to the implications of these changes for investors. They explore the resilience—or lack thereof—of the traditional 60/40 portfolio and strategies for mitigating portfolio volatility in a market environment where stocks and bonds increasingly move in tandem. Additionally, Demetri and Jim examine the drivers of U.S. dollar strength, the risks posed by U.S. equity concentration, the potential for a recession, and what the continued decline in Chinese bond yields suggests about the state of China's economy. You can subscribe to our premium content and access our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces, you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 01/14/2024

Thoughts on the Market
The Surge in Bond Yields Likely Doesn't Present Risk – Yet

Thoughts on the Market

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 4:06


Government bond yields in the U.S. and Europe have risen sharply. Our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets explains why this surprising trend is not yet cause for concern.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley.With bond yields rising substantially over the last month, I'm going to discuss why we've been somewhat more relaxed about this development and what could change our mind. It's Friday January 17th at 2pm in London. We thought credit would have a good first half of this year as growth held up, inflation came down, and the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England all cut rates. That mix looked appealing, even if corporate activity increased and the range of longer-term economic outcomes widened with a new U.S. administration. We forecast spreads across regions to stay near cycle tights through the first half of this year, before a modest softening in the second half. Since publishing that outlook in November of last year, some of it still feels very much intact. Growth – especially in the U.S. – has been good. Core inflation in the U.S. and in Europe has continued to moderate. And the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank did lower interest rates back in December. But the move in government bond yields in the U.S. and Europe has been a surprise. They've risen sharply, meaning higher borrowing cost for governments, mortgages and companies. How much does our story change if yields are going to be higher for longer, and if the Fed is going to reduce interest rates less? One way to address this debate, which we're mindful is currently dominating financial market headlines, is what world do these new bond yields describe? Focusing on the U.S., we see the following pattern. There's been strong U.S. data, with Morgan Stanley tracking the U.S. economy to have grown to about 2.5 per cent in the fourth quarter of last year. Rates are rising, and they are rising faster than the expected inflation – a development that usually suggests more optimism on growth. We're seeing a larger rise in long-term interest rates relative to shorter-term interest rates, which often suggests more confidence that the economy will stay stronger for longer. And we've seen expectations of fewer cuts from the Federal Reserve; but, and importantly, still expectations that they are more likely to cut rather than hike rates over the next 12 months. Putting all of that together, we think it's a pattern consistent with a bond market that thinks the U.S. economy is strong and will remain somewhat stronger for longer, with that strength justifying less Fed help. That interpretation could be wrong, of course; but if it's right, it seems – in our view – fine for credit. What about the affordability of borrowing for companies at higher yields? Again, we're somewhat more sanguine. While yields have risen a lot recently, they are still similar to their 24 month average, which has given corporate bond issuers a lot of time to adjust. And U.S. and European companies are also carrying historically high amounts of cash on their balance sheet, improving their resilience. Finally, we think that higher yields could actually improve the supply-demand balance in corporate bond markets, as the roughly 5.5 per cent yield today on U.S. Investment Grade credit attracts buyers, while simultaneously making bond issuers a little bit more hesitant to borrow any more than they have to. We now prefer the longer-term part of the Investment Grade market, which we think could benefit most from these dynamics. If interest rates are going to stay higher for longer, it isn't a great story for everyone. We think some of the lowest-rated parts of the credit market, for example, CCC-rated issuers, are more vulnerable; and my colleagues in the U.S. continue to hold a cautious view on that segment from their year-ahead outlook. But overall, for corporate credit, we think that higher yields are manageable; and some relief this week on the back of better U.S. inflation data is a further support. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

CNBC Business News Update
Market Open: Stocks Rally, Bond Yields Fall, Bitcoin Back Above $102k 1/17/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 3:31


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

Economist Podcasts
View to a killing: bond yields rise and rise

Economist Podcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 14, 2025 23:25


Though central banks have cut interest rates, uncertainty about the future has sent yields sky-high. Our correspondent explains why expectations diverge from the economic data, and the impact on borrowers. Donald Trump's desire to control Greenland using economic or military force provoked outrage. But could America buy the country (9:01)? And why Singapore's iconic hawker centres are under threat (17:41). Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—Subscribe to Economist Podcasts+For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The Intelligence
View to a killing: bond yields rise and rise

The Intelligence

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 14, 2025 23:25


Though central banks have cut interest rates, uncertainty about the future has sent yields sky-high. Our correspondent explains why expectations diverge from the economic data, and the impact on borrowers. Donald Trump's desire to control Greenland using economic or military force provoked outrage. But could America buy the country (9:01)? And why Singapore's iconic hawker centres are under threat (17:41). Listen to what matters most, from global politics and business to science and technology—Subscribe to Economist Podcasts+For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our FAQs page or watch our video explaining how to link your account.

The Dividend Cafe
Monday - January 13, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2025 20:00


Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4ai49bd Monday Market Insights with David Bahnsen In this episode of Monday Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen, Managing Partner at The Bahnsen Group, discusses the volatile market conditions one week before the inauguration of Trump's second term. Key topics include the recent market sell-off, sector performance, bond yields, and economic indicators. Bahnsen also delves into the potential impact of public policy changes, including tax alterations and the proposed Department of Government Efficiency. Additionally, he addresses the challenges of bipartisan legislation, updates on job creation, and the implications of rising mortgage rates. Finally, Bahnsen concludes with insights into midstream energy performance and the importance of capital expenditures in driving economic growth. 00:00 Welcome to Monday Dividend Cafe 00:18 Market Volatility and Post-Election Rally 01:19 Today's Market Action 03:05 Bond Yields and Inflation Expectations 04:49 Earnings Season and Market Valuation 06:27 International Diversification and U.S. Markets 08:48 Public Policy Updates 13:01 Economic Data and Indicators 15:07 Oil Prices and Midstream Energy 16:13 Capital Expenditures and Economic Growth 17:50 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Idaho's Money Show
Bond Yields, Rate Changes, & Starting a Business in 3 Days (1/11/2025)

Idaho's Money Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2025 81:39


Looking back at the week, Jeremiah and Brian dive into the latest job numbers and their surprising market impact, exploring how strong employment figures might influence Federal Reserve decisions and bond yields in the months ahead. They examine the intricacies of Qualified Charitable Distributions (QCDs) and Donor-Advised Funds (DAFs), showing how strategic giving can maximize tax benefits while supporting causes close to your heart. Plus, it's never been easier to start a business here in the United States. Brian shares a story about how easy it is – no excuses!   Listen, Watch, Subscribe, Ask! https://www.therealmoneypros.com Hosts: Brian Wiley & Jeremiah Bates ————————————————————— SPONSORS: Guild Mortgage: https://guildmortgage.com Ataraxis PEO https://ataraxispeo.com Tree City Advisors of Apollon: https://www.treecityadvisors.com Apollon Wealth Management: https://apollonwealthmanagement.com/ Formations: https://get.formationscorp.com/real-money-pros —————————————————————

CNBC Business News Update
Market Open: Stocks Lower, Bond Yields Higher, Bitcoin Falls To 90k 1/13/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2025 3:40


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

CNBC Business News Update
Market Close: Stocks Plunge, Bond Yields Spike, Strong Jobs Report Sparks Fears Fed Won't Cut Rates 1/10/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2025 3:54


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

CNBC Business News Update
Market Midday: Stocks Plunge, Bond Yields Spike, Post-Electon Market Gains Wiped Out 1/10/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2025 3:30


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

Squawk Box Europe Express
Jitters over soaring global bond yields

Squawk Box Europe Express

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2025 27:18


Global markets are spooked by elevated yields with the 10-year Treasury yield sitting at a near-eight month high while UK Treasury seeks to reassure investors rising gilts. In China, yields also rise as the yuan hits a 16-month low. The PBOC moves to suspend treasury buying due to a shortage of available bonds. X owner Elon Musk reiterates his support for Germany's AfD during a livestream conversation with leader Alice Weidel. In aviation news, Airbus delivered 766 jets in 2024, slightly missing expectations. However the French plane maker maintains its lead over rival Boeing for the sixth year running. Wall Street futures point lower following Christmas with investors now eyeing December's non-farm payroll data due out later today.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
1-9-25 Why Are Bond Yields Rising

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2025 46:39


Markets barely achieved a positive close on Wednesday, to create a string of positive action for the first five trading days in January. (Markets are closed today in honor of the late President Jimmy Carter.) There's a market consolidation underway, with the 20-DMA and 50-DMA about to cross. Lance & Michael discuss the Fed's sentiment shift about inflation, and the non-corellation between interest rates and inflation. The Fed may have cut interest rates, but markets have raised them; the actual effects of Fed rate cuts are deflationary. Fed policy is still restrictive; economy is back to "normal" with higher rates. Lance & Michael discuss interest rates: The cost of money. Unlike short- and medium-term gyrations in stock prices, which are often due to changes in investor sentiment, the bond market has a much more fundamental grounding. Interest rates, representing the cost of money, strongly impact economic activity and inflation in a highly leveraged economy like ours. Thus, economic growth, inflation, and Treasury bond yields are highly correlated. The death-defying Dollar as fiat currency (what is currency?) Gold is not a currency; the Dollar vs the Euro. What is driving sentiment? a.) Deficits & Debt, and b.) inflation. NOTE: 1/3 of inflation is shelter costs, data collection for which is flawed. SEG-1: Markets Eke Out Winning First Five Days of January SEG-2: The Fed's Sentiment Shift About Inflation SEG-3: Explaining our Fundamental Bond Model SEG-4: The Death-defying US Dollar Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx9jVRa0-gc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bond-yields-rising/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Crossovers Are Not a Death Knell," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Reversal: Implications Now," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=56z2LmMIvrQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
1-9-25 Why Are Bond Yields Rising?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2025 46:40


Markets barely achieved a positive close on Wednesday, to create a string of positive action for the first five trading days in January. (Markets are closed today in honor of the late President Jimmy Carter.) There's a market consolidation underway, with the 20-DMA and 50-DMA about to cross. Lance & Michael discuss the Fed's sentiment shift about inflation, and the non-corellation between interest rates and inflation. The Fed may have cut interest rates, but markets have raised them; the actual effects of Fed rate cuts are deflationary. Fed policy is still restrictive; economy is back to "normal" with higher rates. Lance & Michael discuss interest rates: The cost of money. Unlike short- and medium-term gyrations in stock prices, which are often due to changes in investor sentiment, the bond market has a much more fundamental grounding. Interest rates, representing the cost of money, strongly impact economic activity and inflation in a highly leveraged economy like ours. Thus, economic growth, inflation, and Treasury bond yields are highly correlated. The death-defying Dollar as fiat currency (what is currency?) Gold is not a currency; the Dollar vs the Euro. What is driving sentiment? a.) Deficits & Debt, and b.) inflation. NOTE: 1/3 of inflation is shelter costs, data collection for which is flawed. SEG-1: Markets Eke Out Winning First Five Days of January SEG-2: The Fed's Sentiment Shift About Inflation SEG-3: Explaining our Fundamental Bond Model SEG-4: The Death-defying US Dollar Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hx9jVRa0-gc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are Bond Yields Rising?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bond-yields-rising/ "Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Crossovers Are Not a Death Knell," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCfM5mTOJBc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Reversal: Implications Now," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=56z2LmMIvrQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JanuaryBarometer #DMACrossOver #DownwardPricePressure #Finance2025 #BondYields #FinancialMarkets #InterestRates #EconomicTrends #EconomicOutlook #MarketReversal #InvestmentInsights #StockMarket2025 #EconomicForecast #FinancialStrategies #WealthManagement #MarketTrends #Complacency #MarketRisk #OverBought #OverSold #20DMA #50DMA #MakretRally #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #StockMarket2025 #Expectations #MarketIndicators #CurbExpectations #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Practical Islamic Finance Podcast
Quantum Fail

The Practical Islamic Finance Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 9, 2025 27:38 Transcription Available


► If you enjoyed the episode, please leave us a good review!► More from PIF: https://linktr.ee/practicalislamicfinanceQuantum Fail

Coin Stories
News Block: Bond Yields Spike, FDIC Bitcoin Crackdown Exposed, Fed's Barr Resigns, CFTC's Behnam Steps Down

Coin Stories

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2025 8:09


In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin and global finance: Bond Yields Spike Creating Headwinds for Asset Prices Unredacted FDIC Letters Reveal Efforts to Block Banks from Bitcoin Anti-Bitcoin Fed Vice Chair Michael Barr to Resign CFTC Chairman Behnam to Step Down ---- Join my mailing list and subscribe to our free newsletter: thenewsblock.substack.com  ---- Natalie's Promotional Links:  Secure your Bitcoin with collaborative custody and set up your inheritance plan with Casa: https://www.casa.io/natalie         For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Get 5000 sats when you download using this link and promo code COINSTORIES10: https://www.speed.app/sweepstakes-promocode/ River is where I DCA weekly and buy Bitcoin with the lowest fees in the industry: https://partner.river.com/natalie  Safely self-custody your Bitcoin with Coinkite and the ColdCard Wallet. Get 5% off: https://store.coinkite.com/promo/COINSTORIES Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie Bitcoin 2025 is heading to Las Vegas May 27-29th! Join me for my 4th Annual Women of Bitcoin Brunch! Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/affiliate/hodl/event/bitcoin-2025   Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie  Connect with Bitcoiners and Bitcoin merchants wherever you live and travel on the Orange Pill App: https://signup.theorangepillapp.com/opa/natbrunell ---- References mentioned in the episode:  Long-duration U.S. Bond Yields Are Spiking Higher Wall Street is Betting that 10-Year Yield Could Hit 5%  Term Premium Hits Highest Level Since 2015 Coinbase's Lawsuit Against the FDIC Court Document of 25 FDIC Redacted Letters  Coinbase Obtains 25 FDIC Redacted “Pause Letters” Nic Carter Summarizes the 25 FDIC Pause Letters Coinbase Chief Legal Officer's Thread on FDIC Letters   Nick Anthony's Thread Summarizing the FDIC Letters  Fed Vice Chair Michael Barr to Step Down Fed Vice Chair Michael Barr's Anti-Crypto Speech Senator Cynthia Lummis Tweet on Michael Barr  Fed Statement Prohibiting Banks from Holding Bitcoin   Congressman French Hill Vows to Investigate Debanking CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam to Step Down  Coin Stories Interview With Perianne Boring ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories   #money #Bitcoin #investing

Forward Guidance
Higher Bond Yields To Wreak Havoc In 2025 | Jonny Matthews

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2025 59:49


In this episode, Jonny Matthews joins the show to discuss Fed policy and its impact on yields, US productivity, and resilience in the labor market. We also delve into the Trump Administration's potential impact on markets, the outlook for US equities, and much more. Enjoy! __ Follow Jonny Matthews: https://x.com/super_macro Super Macro: https://super-macro.com/ Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp — Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code FG10 for 10% off general admission! https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york — SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork GlobalStake delivers institutional-grade staking with self-owned, SOC2-certified bare-metal infrastructure, carbon-negative operations, and comprehensive security. Enjoy competitive pricing, decentralized operations, and slashing insurance backed by top-rated carriers. Learn more at globalstake.io — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:11) No Recession Call (04:04) Fed Meeting (06:43) Fed Policy & Era Of Higher Rates (10:27) US Vs Global Productivity (14:27) Global Growth Outlook (17:12) Inflation Overview (22:35) Income & Consumption Disparities (25:36) Impact Of Fed Policy (29:20) Ads (30:33) Labor Market Overview (35:42) Trump's Potential Immigration Policy (38:12) Fading DOGE, Deregulation, & Tariffs (40:25) SOFR, Term Premium, & Central Bank Policy (47:42) Risk Assets & US Equities (50:52) Fed Gilt Crisis Moment? (52:33) Alternative Assets (55:05) Euro & US Dollar (57:10) Learn More About Jonny's Work __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

CNBC Business News Update
Market Close: Stocks Mixed, HIgher Bond Yields Now In Play, Fed Worried About Inflationary Trump Policies 1/8/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2025 3:34


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

CNBC Business News Update
Market Midday: Stocks Lower, Bond Yields Higher, Mortgage Rates At Their Highest Since last Summer 1/8/25

CNBC Business News Update

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2025 3:34


From Wall Street to Main Street, the latest on the markets and what it means for your money. Updated regularly on weekdays, featuring CNBC expert analysis and sound from top business newsmakers. Anchored by CNBC's Jessica Ettinger.

Money Wise
Saying Goodbye to 2024, The Impact of Rising Bond Yields, & Equity Index Annuities

Money Wise

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 4, 2025 81:16


As 2024 comes to a close, the Money Wise guys take a closer look at the year's final numbers and a challenging December for the markets. The Dow Jones fell 260 points (-0.6%), the S&P 500 dropped 28 points (-0.5%), and the NASDAQ declined 100 points (-0.5%) for the week. Despite the weak December performance—attributed to Federal Reserve actions dampening the anticipated "Santa Claus rally"—2024 was an outstanding year for investors, with the Dow gaining 14.99%, the S&P 500 rising 25.02%, and the NASDAQ climbing 29.57% (including dividends). The discussion focuses on the impact of Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell's policies, particularly the increase in bond yields, which saw the 10-year Treasury rise from 3.87% to 4.58% over the year. The guys highlight the uneven performance within the bond market, where shorter-duration bonds outperformed their longer-duration counterparts. Target-date funds and longer-maturity bonds faced a tough fourth quarter due to rising interest rates but still managed solid annual returns. While the Fed's December actions tempered the year-end rally, the guys emphasize the strong returns for diversified portfolios in 2024 and tease predictions for 2025 in an upcoming episode.  The Impact of Rising Bond Yields Rising bond yields in 2024 had a significant impact on the financial markets, with the 10-year Treasury yield increasing by 71 basis points, from 3.87% to 4.58%. This shift, driven by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and persistent inflation concerns, created challenges for certain segments of the bond market. Short-term and intermediate-term bonds performed relatively well, but longer-duration bonds and funds, such as target-date portfolios, experienced negative returns in the fourth quarter due to their sensitivity to rising rates. Overall, the bond market delivered modest annual returns, with the Bloomberg Aggregate Index gaining just 1.25%, underscoring the importance of managing duration in a rising yield environment. In the second hour, the Money Wise guys discuss Equity Inxex Annuities. You don't want to miss the details! Tune in for the full discussion on your favorite podcast provider or at davidsoncap.com, where you can also learn more about the Money Wise guys or take advantage of a portfolio review and analysis with Davidson Capital Management.

Investing Insights
Where Investors Can Find the Highest Bond Yields in 2025

Investing Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 3, 2025 14:17


Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist for Morningstar Investment Management, discusses where to find the highest bond yields this year and whether corporate bonds are still attractive.Why Cash is No Longer KingIs a 3% Interest Rate Forecast a Wake-Up Call?Why It's a Good Time for Investors to Move Out of CashWhy Investors Should Move Longer Term in Fixed IncomeAre Corporate Bonds Still Attractive?Where We Are Seeing Promising Yields From Global Bonds  What to Keep in Mind When Investing in Global BondsWhere to Invest in 2025 Read about topics from this episode.  Where to Find Returns When Interest Rates Fall Morningstar's 2025 Outlook: Future Market Investment Strategies Morningstar's 2025 Investment Outlook for Financial Advisors Why Our Best Investment Ideas for 2025 Are Outside the US   What to watch from Morningstar. How to Diversify Your Portfolio to Handle a Market CorrectionWhat Higher Bond Yields Mean for Markets in 2025Yes, You Can Still Find Tax-Loss Harvesting Opportunities in 2024 Read what our team is writing:Dominic PappalardoIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/ 

Mises Media
US Bond Yields Rise as Reserve Currency Status Wanes

Mises Media

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 2, 2025


The Federal Reserve continues to be the not-so-silent partner to the government's reckless deficit spending scheme. While the Fed tries to force down interest, US bond yields are rising, as the markets recognize these bifurcated policies.Original article: US Bond Yields Rise as Reserve Currency Status Wanes

Investing Insights
How the Fed's Surprise Outlook Adds to Market Uncertainty for 2025

Investing Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 20, 2024 14:13


Tom Lauricella, Morningstar Inc global markets editor, explains why the market reacted poorly to the Federal Reserve's interest-rate outlook. The Smart Investor newsletter editor also discusses some of 2024's biggest headlines such as inflation, the broader stock market rally, and new leadership in Washington.Why the Fed Scaled Back from Four Interest-Rate Cuts to Two for 20255Did the Market Bounce Back After the Drop Following the Fed Rate Decision?Why the Fed Isn't Saying They Are Seeing a Stronger Economy in 2025Will Trump's Tariffs Cause Inflation to Rise?Will the Market's Momentum Continue into 2025?High Yields in the Bond Market Are Benefitting InvestorsWill the Trump Administration Boost Bitcoin's Growth?How Investor's Should Approach Trump's Second Term5 Stories Investors Should Watch for in 2025 Read about topics from this episode.  Subscribe to Morningstar's SmartInvestor newsletter.Stocks Tumble on New Fed Rate Forecast—Here's Why Fed Sets Stage For Fewer (or Possibly No) Rate Cuts in 2025 Forecasts for November PCE Preview Show More Moderation in Inflation What to Expect From Bitcoin in 2025 What Higher Bond Yields Mean for Markets in 2025 What to watch from Morningstar.How to Diversify Your Portfolio to Handle a Market CorrectionWhat Higher Bond Yields Mean for Markets in 2025Yes, You Can Still Find Tax-Loss Harvesting Opportunities in 2024A Simpler Medicare Part D Is Coming. Here's How It Could Save You Money Read what our team is writing:Tom LauricellaIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Investing Insights
What Higher Bond Yields Mean for Markets in 2025

Investing Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 6, 2024 17:24


Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist at Morningstar Investment Management, discusses why long-term yields spiked in the wake of the election, what's next for fixed-income in 2025, and how investors can take advantage of higher yields in their portfolios.Why Did Bond Yields Rise in the Wake of the Election?How Investors Are Thinking About Rising Bond YieldsWhat the Current Run-Up in Bond Yields Tells Us About the MarketsHow Do Today's Yields Compare to History?Will the Flat Yield Curve Start to Steepen?How Bond Yields Affect the Stock Market  How Long Can the Market Withstand a Higher Interest Rate Environment?How Bond Yields Affect MortgagesHow Today's Bond Yields Can Benefit Investors When Looking at Portfolio Construction  Economic Outlook 2025 Key Takeaways Read about topics from this episode.  Postelection Deficit Concerns Fuel Jump in Bond YieldsTrump's Tariffs: A Wild Card for the Markets in 2025Fed Sticks to Rate Cut Plans, for Now‘Diversification Is Back'—Why 60/40 Portfolios Are Working What to watch from Morningstar.Yes, You Can Still Find Tax-Loss Harvesting Opportunities in 2024A Simpler Medicare Part D Is Coming. Here's How It Could Save You MoneyA Better Way to Use Leverage in Your ETF PortfolioApple Earnings Are on Deck. Will Apple Intelligence Help Drive iPhone Sales?  Read what our team is writing:Sarah Hansen Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe Monday - November 18, 2024

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2024 14:14


Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4fUvrpK Monday Market Recap and Current Economic Updates In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen delivers a comprehensive summary of the market's current state, noting that the Dow closed the day down by 55 points while the S&P and NASDAQ saw slight gains. The segment highlights the top-performing energy sector and provides details on bond yields, including the noteworthy un-inversion of the yield curve for the first time in two years. David touches on the financial influence of the 'Magnificent Seven' companies on the S&P 500, and discusses disparities within the semiconductor sector. Additionally, various political updates are given, including the Pennsylvania State Supreme Court's ruling on illegal ballots and President Biden's decision regarding Ukraine's use of long-range missiles. The episode also covers Trump transition team appointments, particularly in economic and energy sectors. Industrial production stats, retail sales data, and Fed rate expectations are reviewed, along with a resilience in midstream energy assets despite fluctuating oil prices. David concludes by pointing to further reading and engagement through Dividend Cafe and anticipates additional updates throughout the week. 00:00 Introduction and Market Summary 00:48 Market Performance and Sector Highlights 01:23 Bond Yields and Yield Curve Inversion 02:10 MAG 7 and Semiconductor Sector Analysis 03:42 Electoral News and Ukraine Update 04:38 Trump Transition and Key Appointments 07:41 Economic Indicators and Fed Expectations 09:59 Energy Sector and Midstream Performance 12:18 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com