Podcasts about crossborder capital

Interview recorded - 23rd of May, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Howell. Michael is the Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital.During our conversation we spoke about the overview of global liquidity, FED increasing liquidity, yields higher, Gold trend, debt reset and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:14 - Overview of Global Liquidity6:59 - FED increased liquidity?9:06 - What is driving yield increases?24:06 - What is happening in China?32:50 - Everything gold trend34:06 - Risk on positive35:21 - Bond yields higher?37:08 - Debt reset39:28 - One message to takeaway?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail image from - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/us-dollar-ever-replaced-another-currency-what-might-replace-1uoxc/

The real reason Bitcoin is winning? It's not the halving, ETFs, or hype, it's liquidity. And today, Michael Howell (CEO of CrossBorder Capital) returns to The Milk Road Show to explain how global liquidity cycles are fueling Bitcoin's rise—and why this is just the beginning.~~~~~

Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, provides an interesting viewpoint on why U.S. bonds are falling and yields are rising. This is putting the U.S. in a very vulnerable position because they have to refinance $10 trillion of treasuries this year at a much higher interest rate.To learn more about Michael and CrossBorder Capital check out his substack at http://www.crossbordercapital.com/WAIVER & DISCLAIMERIf you register for this webinar/interview you agree to the following: This webinar is provided for information purposes only. All opinions expressed by the individuals in this webinar/interview are solely the individuals' opinions and neither reflect the opinions, nor are made on behalf of, Bloor Street Capital Inc. Presenters will not be providing legal or financial advice to any webinar participants or any person watching a recorded version of the webinar. The investing ideas and strategies discussed on this webinar/interview are not recommendations to buy or sell any security and are not intended to provide any investment advise of any kind, but are made available solely for educational and informational purposes. Investments or strategies mentioned in this webinar/interview may not be suitable for your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any investment strategy discussed in this webinar/interview. All webinar participants or viewers of a recorded version of this webinar should obtain independent legal and financial advice. All webinar participants accept and grant permission to Bloor Street Capital Inc. and its representatives in connection with such recording. The information contained in this webinar/interview is current as of April, 2025 the date of this webinar/interview, unless otherwise indicated, and is provided for information purposes only.

Marty sits down with Michael Howell to discuss the incoming liquidity crisis.Crossborder Capital on Twitter: https://x.com/crossbordercapCapital Wars Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/0:00 - Intro0:36 - Is liquidity crunch incoming6:13 - Explaining the crisis16:12 - Fold & Coinkite17:49 - The Fed's ineffective measures20:39 - Powell/Trump standoff and China selling28:13 - Unchained Evernt29:37 - Digging out with better assets34:44 - Bessent's reset & BitBonds39:56 - Weimar & gold45:21 - Cutting red tape49:53 - Clear skies beyond the stormShoutout to our sponsors:Foldhttps://tftc.io/foldCoinkitehttps://coinkite.comUnchainedhttps://unchained.com/tftc/Join the TFTC Movement:Main YT Channelhttps://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videosClips YT Channelhttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQWebsitehttps://tftc.io/Twitterhttps://twitter.com/tftc21Instagramhttps://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/Nostrhttps://primal.net/tftcFollow Marty Bent:Twitterhttps://twitter.com/martybentNostrhttps://primal.net/martybentNewsletterhttps://tftc.io/martys-bent/Podcasthttps://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/

Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of the book, “Capital Wars: The Rise Of Global Liquidity,” returns to The Julia La Roche Show where he analyzes global liquidity trends and warns of market risks ahead. Howell explains we're entering an "air pocket" in global liquidity despite the overall upward trend that began in October 2022. He examines the "hidden stimulus" from Yellen and Powell that's now fading, details why the US Treasury's bill-heavy financing strategy exposes government funding to interest rate risk, and discusses a theory about Trump potentially revaluing US gold reserves to generate a $1.25 trillion windfall. For investors facing 2025's "much more uncertain year," Howell advises caution and suggests that real assets—particularly gold—may outperforSponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links:  Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter/X https://x.com/crossbordercapSubstack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/303039290200:00 Intro and welcome Michael Howell01:25 - Current state of the global liquidity cycle and the emerging "air pocket" 03:50 - The hidden stimulus from Fed and Treasury that's now fading06:16 - How bill-focused Treasury financing is effectively "monetizing the deficit" 11:04 - China's central bank actions and their global economic impact15:54 - Signs of a potential Chinese policy shift toward economic growth18:35 - Parallels between Trump and Nixon's economic approaches 21:37 - Asset allocation recommendations based on market regimes 26:58 - Analysis of where we are in the liquidity cycle and future projections 31:49 - Why China needs to devalue against gold and implications for US policy 37:49 - The growing global debt burden and limited options for resolution43:43 - Why the Fed must expand its balance sheet by mid-2025 48:48 - Tariffs as a negotiating tool rather than an end goal 50:39 - Final advice: investors should consider adding resources/gold to portfolios as protection during uncertain times

The “King of Liquidity” Michael Howell, founder and president of CrossBorder Capital, joins us for an in-depth discussion on global liquidity flows. Michael breaks down the hidden dynamics behind secret liquidity injections, unconventional Fed stimulus measures, and China's struggle to maintain the yuan's parity. He explains why the U.S. dollar may soon lose its shine against gold and whether Trump's iconoclastic ideas could signal a return to a loose gold standard.------------Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver------------

In his previous appearances on this channel, Michael Howell, founder & CEO of Crossborder Capital, has explained that rising net liquidity been largely responsible for the surprisingly strong performance seen in both the economy & the financial markets over the past 2 years. Will the good times continue into 2025? Don't count on it, Michael says. To find out why, we'll sit down today with the man himself. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com

Interview recorded - 13th of January, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Howell. Michael is the Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital.During our conversation we spoke about liquidity, how the FED and treasury have been artificially providing liquidity before the election, what the dollar wrecking ball means, impact on markets and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:30 - Outlook for global liquidity?8:53 - What drove QE/YC?17:35 - Bond market normalising20:35 - What is happening in China?25:15 - US Dollar wrecking ball36:28 - QE distortions38:30 - Action Scott Bessent to take?40:45 - UK QT impact on liquidity?42:15 - What impact on markets?44:25 - Exiting markets?46:10 - Everything bubble47:35 - One message to takeaway?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Is the 2025 crypto bull run already over? In today's episode of The Milk Road Show, we get into the wild world of macroeconomics with Michael Howell, founder of Crossborder Capital. We're talking about US fiscal policy, China's volatile bond market, and the looming debt maturity wall – all factors that could impact your crypto investments. Michael discusses the liquidity games central banks are playing and why they might be forced to print more money. ~~~~~

Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of the book, “Capital Wars: The Rise Of Global Liquidity,” returns to The Julia La Roche for episode 212 to discuss the global liquidity cycle, markets, and why there's uncertainty in the year ahead. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options and bonds in a self-directed account are offered by Public Investing, Inc., member FINRA & SIPC. Public Investing offers a High-Yield Cash Account where funds from this account are automatically deposited into partner banks where they earn interest and are eligible for FDIC insurance; Public Investing is not a bank.  Treasury accounts offering 6 months T-Bills are offered by Jiko Securities, Inc.,member FINRA & SIPC. Securities in your account are protected up to $500,000. For details: www.sipc.org. Banking services and the Bank Accounts are provided by Jiko Bank, a division of Mid- Central National Bank. For U.S. Investments in T-bills: Not FDIC Insured; No Bank Guarantee; May Lose Value. Treasuries risk disclosures, see https://jiko.io/docs/treasuries_risk_disclosure.pdf. See public.com/#disclosures-main  A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC and includes 10 investment-grade and high-yield bonds. As of [11/08/24], the average, annualized yield to worst (YTW) across all ten bonds is greater than 6%. A bond's YTW is not “locked in” until the bond is purchased and is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTW of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity or if the issuer defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, there is no way to know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or by how much they will decline. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. All investing involves risk. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Visit public.com/bond-account to learn more Links:  Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter/X https://x.com/crossbordercap Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392902 Timestamps: 00:08 Introduction to Michael Howell 01:00 Global liquidity and market cycles overview 03:10 Global liquidity cycle visualization and trends 06:14 Discussion of debt refinancing vs. new capital financing 09:02 The approaching debt maturity wall and market challenges 12:46 Warning signs and historical financial crises 16:04 Bond market concerns and inflation outlook 21:37 Yield curve analysis and market distortions 23:24 Investment strategy recommendations 26:18 Gold and cryptocurrency as monetary inflation hedges 28:36 Investment regime cycles explanation 33:02 2025 outlook and mounting challenges 34:53 China's economic situation and policy constraints 39:10 Stock market euphoria vs. bond market signals 41:20 Final thoughts and portfolio allocation advice

Nov 6, 2024 – Liquidity is the secret sauce to navigating the markets, writes Michael Howell, Founder and Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital out of London, who speaks with FS Insider today. Michael discusses the current wave of liquidity...

When today's guest was on this channel back in March, he explained that rising net liquidity was responsible for the surprisingly strong performance seen in both the economy & the financial markets over the past 2 years. And he predicted that these net liquidity inflows would continue, leading to even higher asset prices ahead. Well, here in the final quarter of Q4 2024, things so far have played out according to his script. So will the good times continue into 2025? Maybe not, says Michael Howell, founder & CEO of Crossborder Capital. He sees good change the liquidity tide could start receding as debt refinancings suck capital from the system. As a result, he thinks 2025 will be a MUCH bumpier ride for investors (and 2026 likely even worse). WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #liquidity #debtcrisis #bearmarket --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

Michael Howell, Founder and CEO of CrossBorder Capital, discusses the implications of China's historic stimulus package and interest rate cut. Now that the world's two largest economies have cuts interest rates, what does this mean for the global economy? CrossBorder Capital https://www.crossbordercapital.com/ab... WAIVER & DISCLAIMER If you register for this webinar/interview you agree to the following: This webinar is provided for information purposes only. All opinions expressed by the individuals in this webinar/interview are solely the individuals' opinions and neither reflect the opinions, nor are made on behalf of, Bloor Street Capital Inc. Presenters will not be providing legal or financial advice to any webinar participants or any person watching a recorded version of the webinar. The investing ideas and strategies discussed on this webinar/interview are not recommendations to buy or sell any security and are not intended to provide any investment advise of any kind, but are made available solely for educational and informational purposes. Investments or strategies mentioned in this webinar/interview may not be suitable for your particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. You should be aware of the real risk of loss in following any investment strategy discussed in this webinar/interview. All webinar participants or viewers of a recorded version of this webinar should obtain independent legal and financial advice. All webinar participants accept and grant permission to Bloor Street Capital Inc. and its representatives in connection with such recording. The information contained in this webinar/interview is current as of September the 26th, 2024, the date of this webinar/interview, unless otherwise indicated, and is provided for information purposes.

Is the Federal Reserve's shift in focus setting the stage for a major liquidity increase? Renowned global liquidity expert Michael Howell, Founder and CEO of CrossBorder Capital, joins James Connor to discuss the Fed's economic concerns, its upcoming policy pivot, and the resulting boost in global liquidity, asset prices, and inflation. He also dives into liquidity trends from central banks worldwide, the challenges of rising U.S. debt, strategies for navigating an era of sustained inflation, and much more. Don't miss this timely discussion, part of Wealthion's special coverage of the Fed's Open Market Committee this week. Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.wealthion.com/free Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver - https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Join Wealthion's LIVE YouTube and X coverage of the Fed with Vincent Deluard and Maggie Lake! Today, September 18, at 2 pm ET! Chapters: 02:09 - What is Liquidity and Why It Matters 03:27 - The Importance of Global Liquidity Monitoring 06:57 - Analyzing China's Economic Slowdown 12:40 - Federal Reserve's Policy Shift and Market Implications 19:52 - Fed Concerns, U.S. Debt and Future Risks 26:04 - Kicking The Debt Can Down The Road 33:52 - What Does This Shift in Liquidity Mean for Inflation 37:45 - Markets Outlook: S&P 500 and Valuations, Gold, Bitcoin 44:14 - Potential Black Swans: Refinancing Crisis Ahead? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #GlobalLiquidity #Economy #Macro #Inflation #Gold #Finance #CentralBanks #Fed #DebtCrisis #GlobalLiquidity #Bitcoin #LiquidityTrends #MichaelHowell #MonetaryPolicy #FOMC #Wealthion #Wealth  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Michael Howell, Managing Director of Crossborder Capital and Author of the Capital Wars Substack, returns in this episode to speak with Alan Dunne about the liquidity cycle's influence on global markets. Michael outlines how he sees rising liquidity growth providing a favourable backdrop for risky assets and that the conventional narrative that the Fed has been tightening liquidity via quantitative tightening is misplaced. They discuss how the requirement to refinance $70 trillion in debt every year, and the prospect of double digit growth in debt, will inevitably lead to monetary inflation with profound implications for assets like gold and equities. In contrast, although tactical duration issuance by the US Treasury has supported US Treasuries the longer term outlook is less favourable. The conversation also touches on global FX markets, the recent unwinding of the JPY carry trade, and Michael's perspective on a possible tacit agreement to weaken the US dollar, which could have far-reaching consequences for liquidity and asset markets.-----EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Michael on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps: 02:12 - Introduction to Michael Howell03:15 - Howell's framework for looking at markets06:32 - How Asian central banks impact U.S equities09:17 - Do different types of liquidity have different effects?12:17 - The last 15 years from a liquidity...

In this episode, Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital joins the show to discuss the uptrend in global liquidity, a possible Shanghai Accord 2 to weaken the dollar, and the relationship between debt and liquidity. We also discuss the real breakeven inflation rate, the yield curve, and why you need monetary inflation hedges. Enjoy! -- Follow Michael Howell: https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin -- MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/ -- Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:18) Powell's Jackson Hole Speech (04:20) Uptrend In Global Liquidity (05:53) Global Risk Exposure (12:10) A New Shanghai Accord (18:44) Mantra Ad (19:24) Mechanics Of Yen Intervention (22:01) The Treasury Market (30:20) Breakeven Inflation Rates (32:56) Debt-To-Liquidity Ratio (35:52) Permissionless Ad (36:33) US Public Debt (40:14) Monetary Inflation Hedges (43:11) Managing Bill Issuance (47:03) Bull Vs Bear Steepener (48:50) The Structure Of Global Liquidity (50:08) The MOVE Index (53:49) Treasury Buybacks (55:06) Real Interest Rates (56:38) Equity Market & PBOC Liquidity (59:37) More Upside In Gold & BTC -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Interview recorded - 27th of August, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Howell. Michael is the Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital.During our conversation we spoke about the liquidity cycle, dollar drop, risk on, treasury actions, financial repression, Bitcoin/Gold as risk off assets and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:47 - Market flying?5:04 - Anything else to pay attention to?9:21 - Surprised by dollar drop?11:34 - Liquidity cycle18:15 - Majority of returns at beginning of liquidity cycle?19:33 - Yellen fiscal dilemma?23:17 - Treasury actions32:11 - Bond yields to rise?33:15 - Basel 4 financial repression34:01 - Risk-on the current strategy?35:35 - Industrial metals to benefit?37:21 - Bitcoin/Gold de-correlating to markets?40:01 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital focuses on the recent volatility in financial markets and the potential causes behind it. They discuss the unwinding of the yen carry trade, the flow of liquidity into/or out of markets, and the risk positioning of investors. They also touch on the impact of the recent spike in volatility on the bond market and the potential for further monetary easing by central banks. The conversation highlights the importance of the US election and China's monetary policy as key factors to watch. Overall, they believe that the trend in liquidity is upward and that gold and commodity markets may continue to rise. This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by...  Arizona Sonoran Copper Company (ASCU:TSX) is focused on developing its brownfield copper project on private land in Arizona. The Cactus Mine Project is located less than an hour's drive from the Phoenix International airport. Grid power and the Union Pacific Rail line situated at the base of the Cactus Project main road. With permitted water access, a streamlined permitting framework and infrastructure already in place, ASCU's Cactus Mine Project is a lower risk copper development project in the infrastructure-rich heartland of Arizona.For more information, please visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.arizonasonoran.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Fireweed Metals is advancing 3 different projects within the Yukon and Northwest Territories, including the flagship Macmillan Pass Project, a large zinc-lead-silver deposit and the Mactung Project, one of the largest and highest-grade tungsten deposits in the world. Fireweed plans to advance these projects through exploration, resource definition, metallurgy, engineering, economic studies and collaboration with indigenous people on the path to production. For more information please visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠fireweedmetals.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Vizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://vizslasilvercorp.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

In this episode, Nik summarizes his recent conversation with CrossBorder Capital founder Michael Howell. After Nik interviewed Michael on May 9th, viewers asked us for more education surrounding some of the key concepts covered, including how to understand Howell's liquidity index itself, Treasury bill monetization by banks, and duration's impact on financial markets. Nik concludes with why global liquidity matters for bitcoin. The Bitcoin Layer is brought to you by River. Visit http://River.com/TBL and earn up to $100 in bonus Bitcoin when you buy. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: / thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 844372 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #CrossBorderCapital #CapitalWars #MichaelHowell #Liquidity #GlobalMonetarySystem #Bitcoin #DebtMonetization #CurrencyDevaluation #Japan #China #CapitalFlows #BitcoinBarometer #FinancialMarkets #Economics #FinanceDiscussion #MarketInsights #InvestingInsights #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #MonetaryPolicy #FinancialTrends #AssetAllocation #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyMarkets #Cryptocurrency #FinancialForecast #CapitalMarkets #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #MonetaryTheory #CrossBorderInvesting #FinancialTheory #Bloomberg #Macroeconomic #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, joins Maggie Lake to examine the liquidity dynamics that are impacting both markets and the global economy, the policies of central banks around the world, and the significant role the People's Bank of China (PBOC) plays in the business cycle.

In this episode, Nik and Joe are joined by CrossBorder Capital founder and Capital Wars author Michael Howell. In a wide ranging discussion on liquidity, the global monetary system, and bitcoin, Michael shares his theories on how this year will play out in financial markets. We ask him about debt monetization, currency devaluation forces on Japan and China, the impact of cross-border capital flows, why bitcoin is an excellent barometer of global liquidity, and much more. The Bitcoin Layer is brought to you by River. Visit http://River.com/TBL and earn up to $100 in bonus Bitcoin when you buy. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL's research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Follow TBL on X: / thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Block Height 842768 #thebitcoinlayer Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #CrossBorderCapital #CapitalWars #MichaelHowell #Liquidity #GlobalMonetarySystem #Bitcoin #DebtMonetization #CurrencyDevaluation #Japan #China #CapitalFlows #BitcoinBarometer #FinancialMarkets #Economics #FinanceDiscussion #MarketInsights #InvestingInsights #MarketAnalysis #EconomicOutlook #MonetaryPolicy #FinancialTrends #AssetAllocation #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyMarkets #Cryptocurrency #FinancialForecast #CapitalMarkets #MacroEconomics #CentralBanks #MonetaryTheory #CrossBorderInvesting #FinancialTheory #Bloomberg #Macroeconomic #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Learn #Teach #Teacher #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #macroSubscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus. __ Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital and George Robertson of The Monetary Fronteir have two things in common: they both correctly predicted the renewed bull market in stocks and they both have been guests on The Forward Guidance podcast. That is where the similarities end, as Michael and George have entirely different explanations for what is driving the surge in equity prices. While Michael is renowned for his models on Global Liquidity and closely tracks the changes in central bank balance sheets (most notably the Fed's), George dismisses the Fed entirely and thinks that monetary authorities have effectively zero influence on the economy and stock market. What ensues is a heated debate not just about what is driving the stock market and economy but about the very nature of money and credit creation itself. Recorded on April 10, 2024. __ Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Follow George Robertson on Twitter https://twitter.com/BickerinBrattle Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Michael's Substack https://t.co/7jRGW9iR0S George's Substack https://themonetaryfrontier.substack.com/ Michael's Book https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392872 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:32) Jack's Intro (02:28) Michael's Opening Statement (06:09) George's Opening Statement (18:17) The Draining of The Fed's Reverse Repo (RRP) Facility (24:59) VanEck Ad (26:03) (28:38) The Portfolio Rebalancing Theory (I.E. How Quantitative Easing (QE) Theoretically Works) (45:21) Duration Impact of U.S. Treasury Issuing Longer-Maturity Paper (51:39) Spread Between Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Yield And 10-Year Treasury Yield (01:12:09) There's A Distortion In The Yield Curve, That's For Sure" (01:17:47) Beyond The Fed's Balance Sheet (01:23:18) Jack's Comment On Cause And Effect (01:25:07) Views On Markets: George And Michael Remain Very Bullish __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of the book, “Capital Wars: The Rise Of Global Liquidity,” returns to The Julia La Roche for episode 161 to discuss the global liquidity cycle and its impact on the economy.  He explains that liquidity is a key driver of asset prices and that the current liquidity cycle is pushing asset prices higher. Howell argues that the focus on interest rates and policy rates is misplaced, and that the long-term rate and liquidity are more important factors. He also highlights the importance of liquidity in the refinancing of debt and warns of the risks of a liquidity shortage. Howell suggests that investors should consider assets like gold, cryptocurrencies, and solid companies on Wall Street as hedges against monetary inflation. Links:  Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392902 Takeaways Liquidity is a key driver of asset prices and the current liquidity cycle is pushing asset prices higher. The focus on interest rates and policy rates is misplaced; the long-term rate and liquidity are more important factors. A shortage of liquidity can lead to banking and refinancing crises. Investors should consider assets like gold, cryptocurrencies, and solid companies on Wall Street as hedges against monetary inflation. Timestamps:  00:00 Introduction  1:38 Macro view + liquidity cycle  3:07 Interest rates  6:10 What really matters is the integrity of the US Treasury market  07:47 Hedging Against Monetary Inflation 9:16 Gold 11:56 US public debt  15:15 Monetizing the debt  18:06 Gold is the pole star in the financial system 20:40 US dollar 26:29 Inverted yield curve 31:37 Conclusion and parting thoughts

Interview recorded - 26th of March, 2024On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Michael Howell. Michael is the CEO of CrossBorder Capital. During our conversation we spoke about Michael's outlook for liquidity, global central bank outlook, why interest rates are not always important, positive outlook for markets in the long term, deficit challenges, assets to perform and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:30 - What is Michael's outlook on liquidity?4:25 - What is the difference between taxes this year?8:55 - Global central bank outlook13:35 - Tax income lower than expected?20:00 - Why is Japanese Yen still weak?24:51 - Global Liquidity Slides - why is interest rate not important?34:28 - Positive outlook for markets?36:16 - Chinese liquidity scenario43:08 - Does China have to devalue?46:03 - Deficit challenges globally47:23 - Assets to perform in current liquidity situation49:48 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Returning to the podcast this time out is Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital, and what a return it is as we discuss the continuing (some would say escalating) importance of liquidity in global markets. Michael explains how central banks have been the main source of liquidity since the 2008 financial crisis, with their primary goal being to preserve the integrity of sovereign debt markets and ensure a smooth refinancing environment for some $350 trillion of debt. He also highlights the British gilt crisis in September 2022 as a wake-up call for policymakers, signaling that markets are no longer robust and are, in fact, remarkably fragile. We also discuss how the path of least resistance for central banks is to continue kicking the can down the road and monetize the deficit, leading to higher structural inflation rates. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.  Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

Finally, you can easily access Bitcoin in a low-cost ETF with the VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). Visit https://vaneck.com/HODLFG to learn more. VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/hodlprospectus/ __ This is a recorded version of Jack's macro panel at the 2024 Digital Asset Summit hosted by Blockworks, recorded in London on March 19, 2024. Macro analysts (and previous Forward Guidance guests) Joseph Wang of FedGuy.com, Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital, Julian Brigden of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners, and Jonny Matthews of SuperMacro (ex-Brevan Howard) share their outlook on the global economy, stocks, bonds, currencies, and Bitcoin. __ Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://twitter.com/FedGuy12 Joseph's work https://fedguy.com/ Follow Julian Brigden on Twitter https://twitter.com/JulianMI2 Julian's work https://t.co/qdroC4L86V Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Michael's work https://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Follow Jonny Matthews on Twitter https://twitter.com/super_macro Jonny's work https://super-macro.com/ Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:18) Will Stocks Continue To Crush Bonds? (07:24) U.S. Economy Continues To Outperform Rest Of World (12:37) Financial Conditions Are Very Loose Despite Fed's Rapid Rise In Interest Rates (17:52) VanEck Ad (22:57) Michael Howell: Liquidity Is Continuing To Rise (30:17) Interest Rates And The Dollar (31:47) Views On Crypto (38:33) Concluding Prediction On Stocks Bonds And Bitcoin __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In Episode 357 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with the CEO of CrossBorder Capital, Michael Howell, about the run-up in gold and bitcoin prices and whether this signals the return of "money printing" driven by overwhelming government debt and deficit payments. Michael Howell has had the most accurate economic and financial forecasts of any analyst Kofinas has spoken with in the last several years. Demetri asked him back on the podcast to help explain why risk assets continue to outperform despite higher interest rates and what new all-time highs in gold and Bitcoin signal about global liquidity and investor confidence in the integrity of fiat currencies as reliable stores of value amid skyrocketing government debt and deficits. In the first hour, Michael breaks down the indicators he relies on to make his forecasts and why he expects economic growth and inflation to reaccelerate this year and into 2025. In the second hour, Howell forecasts which assets and asset classes he thinks will outperform, the direction of interest rates, the steepening of the yield curve, and how the expiration of the bank-term funding program (BTFP), the draw-down in the reverse repo facility (RRP), and a temporary decline in liquidity from tax payments could create buying opportunities for investors over the next several months. You can subscribe to our premium content and access our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces, you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 03/13/2024

Welcome to The Bitcoin Layer, where we bring you research, analysis, and education for all things bitcoin and macro. In this episode, Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, returns for a rousing discussion on his global liquidity framework. He talks about why 2023 played out according to his framework, why the end of Q1 could get dicey for financial markets, and while the bull market rages on and the party continues, why dancing near the door is your best bet. New YouTube videos M/W/F — New Substack posts T/R/S The Bitcoin Layer is brought to you by River. Visit https://river.com and start buying today, or use http://River.com/TBL to get up to $100 when you signup and buy Bitcoin Subscribe to TBL on Substack: https://TheBitcoinLayer.substack.com Follow TBL on Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/TheBitco... Follow TBL on Instagram: https://instagram.com/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Sign up for the free Monetary History course on @SaylorAcademy : http://sylr.org/MonetaryHistory Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Block Height 830183 #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #GlobalLiquidity #FinancialMarkets #CrossBorderCapital #MarketForecast #2023Analysis #BullMarketInsights #Q1Outlook #MarketDiscussion #FinancialInsights #Bloomberg #Analysis #Charts #Tradingview #InvestmentStrategy #MarketWatch #StockMarket #PassiveInvesting #IndexFunds #FinancialMarkets #MarketWatch #ETFPortfolio #ETFNews #FreeMarket #FreeMarkets #Markets #USTreasury #TreasuryBills #BalanceSheet #FED #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #Rates #Interest #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #Macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

Michaell Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, returns to Forward Guidance to update viewers on his outlook on global liquidity. Howell notes that further evidence supports his long-held view that liquidity bottomed in October 2022, and he explains why he expects liquidity to strengthen further into 2024, making for a favorable environment for liquidity-sensitive assets such as stocks, gold, and crypto. Filmed on January 11, 2024. Public dot com has just launched its new high-yield cash account, offering an industry-leading 5.1% APY. Learn more at https://public.com/forwardguidance. A High-Yield Cash Account is a secondary brokerage account with Public Investing. Funds from this account are automatically deposited into partner banks where they earn a variable interest and are eligible for FDIC insurance. Neither Public Investing nor any of its affiliates is a bank. US only. Learn more at https://public.com/disclosures/high-yield-account __ Follow CrossBorder Capital on Twitter https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Use code FG10 to get 10% off Blockworks' Digital Asset Summit in March: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:57) Howell: Liquidity Conditions Continue To Strengthen From Their Lows In The Early Fall of 2022 (12:26) Implications For Stocks, Gold, and Crypto (22:50) Industry Sectors At This Stage In The Liquidity Cycle (24:37) The Bond Market Is Being Distorted By The Federal Reserve (30:07) Term Premia And Convexity In Fixed-Income (37:07) Bank Term Funding Program and Draining of Fed's Reverse Repo (RRP) Facility (40:11) Drivers Of Fed Liquidity In 2024 and Beyond (45:50) The Economic Cycle Is Different Than The Liquidity Cycle (50:51) Is Demand For Refinancing (and Liquidity) Lower Because U.S. Corporates & Households Have Such Long-Duration Liabilities? (54:35) China and The People's Bank of China (PBOC) (01:06:56) Howell's View On Interest Rates (01:09:08) Non-Central Bank Sources of Liquidity __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

2023, a year nearly everyone expected a recession, has instead seen impressive economic growth and the markets power to all-time highs. How did this happen? Especially as the Federal Reserve kept interest rates above 5% while conducting Quantitative Tightening? In a word: liquidity. Liquidity steadily rose throughout 2023 and, like an incoming ocean tide, rose all boats. How? Why? Where is it coming from? And if it's such a key driver of asset prices, where is it headed from here? To find out, we're going to have a very important conversation today with Michael Howell, founder & CEO of Crossborder Capital. Get Michael's book Capital Wars at https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392872 Subscribe to his Substack at https://capitalwars.substack.com Or follow him on X/Twitter at @crossbordercap ACT SOON! SUBSCRIBE to Adam's new Substack at https://adamtaggart.substack.com/ to get his Adam's Notes for all the recent experts who have appeared on this channel. But do so before the price increases on Jan 1st 2024! #liquidity #bullmarket #stocks2024

Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of the book, “Capital Wars: The Rise Of Global Liquidity,” returns to The Julia La Roche for episode 124 to share where we are in the global liquidity cycle and why gold is ready for a breakout moment. Links:  Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392902 0:00 Intro and welcome Michael Howell to the show 1:00 Macro picture today  2:15 2024 outlook, why liquidity is increasing  6:30 Global Liquidity Index  8:53 Gold, global liquidity, and U.S. CPI  16:00 Gold is not the inflation hedge you think  17:30 Gold holdings of BRICS & friends  21:18 Gold is a monetary inflation hedge  25:00 Breakout moment for Bitcoin like gold?  27:00 Asset allocation  30:30 Past crises were refinancing crises  34:50 Will there be a recession?  37:00 Portfolio construction, parting thoughts 

Follow On The Margin On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/46WWQ6T Follow On The Margin On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3UsnTiM Follow Blockworks Macro On YouTube: https://bit.ly/3NKpujX -- On today's episode, Michael Howell CEO of CrossBorder Capital joins the show to share his outlook for the global liquidity cycle and what it means for markets throughout 2023 & into 2024. We deep dive into the mechanics of inflation, the impact of rising interest rate's on global refinancing, the reduced impact of QE from the Fed's shadow QE & the role of crypto & Gold in portfolios. To hear all this & more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Digital Asset Summit 2024. Use Code: MARGIN20 for a 20% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Referecned In The Show: Stanley Druckenmiller & Paul Tudor Jones: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWccFlgaBxA -- (00:00) Introduction (01:53) Liquidity Is Rising (05:01) The Path Ahead For Inflation In 2024 (09:34) DAS London Plug (10:52) The Liquidity Spiral (14:48) The Impact Of Rising Interest Rate's (17:44) The Liquidity Cycle (21:38) The Fed's Shadow QE (25:13) The QRA Fueled A Huge Stock Market Rally (30:40) Blockworks Research Ad (31:28) The U.S Fiscal Outlook Will Cause The Fed's Balance Sheet To Rise (40:29) Gold & Crypto (42:40) Who Is The New Marginal Buyer Of U.S Debt? (48:49) Crypto As An Inflation Hedge -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Interview recorded - 20th of October, 2023On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Michael Howell - Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital.During our conversation we spoke about what is currently happening in liquidity markets, whether the FED could go towards yield control, whether all liquidity is created equal, disconnect between inflation and bond prices and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:40 - What is currently happening in liquidity markets?4:08 - Will Powell let the bond markets take control?6:15 - Could the FED go towards yield control?8:35 - Will they have to bring in financial repression?13:18 - Potential for another bank financial crisis?15:45 - Bigger liquidity required for the financial system31:45 - Is all liquidity created equal or will we see diminishing returns?33:53 - What does increasing liquidity mean for markets?39:55 - Disconnect between inflation and bond prices?40:23 - One message to takeaway from our conversation?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

The Fed has chosen to keep rates steady, but what does that mean for markets and the economy as a whole? he FOMC has announced its decision, and rates remain unchanged for September. Does this mean rate hikes have reached their peak for this cycle? What does that mean for markets and the economy going forward? Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, joins Andreas Steno Larsen to delve into the decision and explore its potential repercussions. To learn more about our new series, Crash or Boom? How to Profit From What's Coming, go to http://realvision.com/crashorboom. We're offering new members a special 1-month Essential membership for just $20.14 so you don't miss it. It's that important. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Michael Howell (@crossbordercap), CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of the book, “Capital Wars: The Rise Of Global Liquidity,” joins Julia La Roche on episode 96 to discuss what's happening in the bond market. Howell recently shared a piece on his Substack, "It's Bonds, Not Banks, That Look Dangerous." Read the piece here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/its-bonds-not-banks-that-look-dangerous Links: Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392902 0:00 Intro 1:02 Macro view today 2:26 Why is the bond market so important 6:40 Pressures in the bond market 10:15 Term premia 14:43 BRIC economies' gold-backed currency 16:16 Who is going to want to buy the Treasuries? 19:00 Bond market is distorted 22:50 US dollar 27:30 Liquidity

Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital and Andy Constan of Damped Spring Advisors join Forward Guidance to discuss and debate all things liquidity. Today's interview is brought to you by YCharts. For a free trial and 15% discount on new memberships, visit https://go.ycharts.com/forward-guidanceFollow Michael Howell on Twitter https://twitter.com/crossbordercap ___ Follow Andy Constan on Twitter https://twitter.com/dampedspring Follow 2 Gray Beards on Twitter https://twitter.com/2GrayBeards Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_More info on Damped Spring Advisors: https://dampedspring.com/ More info on Crossborder Capital: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Michael Howell's Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ ____ Timecodes: (00:00) // Defining Global Liquidity (04:07) // Only Looking At Federal Reserve Liquidity Is A Big, Big Mistake (11:23) // Why Has Michael Howell's Global Liquidity Index (GLI) Been Rising? (18:49) // The U.S. Treasury's Issuance Composition Has Been A Huge Factor For Liquidity (31:36) // Is This "Shadow Quantitative Easing (QE)"? (44:06) // Inverted Yield Curve & Repo (53:19) // Michael Howell's Bull Case For Stocks (59:10) // The "Short All Assets" Trade (01:07:43) // Will The Fed Return To Outright Quantitative Easing (QE)? (01:11:41) // Is Liquidity Going To Expand? Yes, It Is - Michael Howell (01:17:44) // Final Points On Term Premia, Fiscal Arithmatic, And The Dollar ____ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Welcome to The Bitcoin Layer, where we bring you research, analysis, and education for all things bitcoin and macro. In this episode, Joe sits down once again with Michael Howell, the Founder and CEO of CrossBorder Capital. Michael delivers a sweeping lecture on global liquidity bottoming, the world economy is already well into recession, why US QT is effectively 'dead', and how stealth QE paired with Chinese easing is having the net effect of supporting global liquidity, and therefore financial markets. New YouTube videos M/W/F — New Substack posts T/R/S The Bitcoin Layer is brought to you by River and Foundation Devices. Visit River.com and start buying today, or visit https://partner.river.com/TBL for $20 in free bitcoin when you purchase $1,000. Go to https://thebitcoinlayer.com/foundation to receive $10 off your purchase of a Passport by Foundation Devices, the most intuitive bitcoin wallet on the market today. Subscribe to TBL on Substack: https://TheBitcoinLayer.substack.com Follow TBL on Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/TheBitco... Follow TBL on Instagram: https://instagram.com/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Sign up for the free Monetary History course on @SaylorAcademy : http://sylr.org/MonetaryHistory Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Block Height 799456 #TheBitcoinLayer #NikBhatia #JoeConsorti #Index #S&P #StockMarket #Collateral #Inverted #Yields #Bonds #Debt #Inflation #Statistic #BTFP #Rates #Interest #Expense #10year #TermPremium #Premium #Treasury #Global LiquidityIndex #GLI #PMI #Asset #Bitcoin #Dollar #Sats #BTC #Market #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education #Blockchain #Blockchain #Mining #BitcoinMining #Macro The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

US inflation figures came in considerably softer than expectations, and global currencies, bonds, equities and commodities rose at the expense of the U.S. dollar. But what happens when US CPI is now below Japan CPI? What does that mean for markets (namely the yen), and the Bank of Japan's upcoming policy meeting (with direct implications on global bond markets)? Weston Nakamura discusses the US vs Japan inflation differential as it relates to the Bank of Japan policy, pointing to recent history as precedence.  Weston also gives an overview of Asia currencies for the week, and their respective performances against a crumbling USD, with particular focus on the futures-driven yen move, as well as the lagging Chinese yuan. Listen To Michael Howell from Crossborder Capital on weaponizing the yen: "China's Stimulus Takes A Backseat To Save The Yuan | Michael Howell" -- Follow Market Depth On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3mVTs9U Follow Market Depth On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/40dA2vm Follow Weston: https://twitter.com/acrossthespread Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_  Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Market Depth should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In order to get a truly expert assessment on the liquidity picture out of China, Michael Howell from Crossborder Capital joins Weston Nakamura, as they explore Weston's thesis from the previous episode of Market Depth - China's immediate term priority is to stop the yuan's precipitous fall. This has been made evident by the PBOC's daily yuan fixings stronger, as well as their net liquidity draining that had been occurring over the last several trading days. In addition, Michael incorporates his view on how the Japanese yen is being weaponized to attack the Chinese yuan - a theory that Michael and Weston have been discussing on an ongoing matter. Weston also discusses another potential working theory on China's economic weakness as inflationary for the developed economies, contrary to mainstream views. Follow Michael Howell on Twitter: https://twitter.com/crossbordercap http://www.crossbordercapital.com -- Follow Market Depth On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3mVTs9U Follow Market Depth On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/40dA2vm Follow Weston: https://twitter.com/acrossthespread Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_  Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Market Depth should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital returns to Forward Guidance with a much-needed update on global liquidity. -- Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ -- Use code GUIDANCE20 to get 20% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissio... Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of Forward Guidance, you can use code GUIDANCE10 for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://rb.gy/5weeyw Market commentary, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, token performance, can't-miss-tweets and more. Subscribe to the Blockworks Research “Daily Debrief” Newsletter: https://rb.gy/feusos -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:02) Rising Liquidity Is Supporting A New Bull Market (07:07) Are Shadow Quantitative Easing (QE) and Yield Curve Control Already Here? (27:06) We're In A Liquidity Cycle Upturn (32:42) Falling Inflation Has Boosted Liquidity & Price / Earnings (P/E) Multiples (40:58) Liquidity Is Rising In China & Japan (47:20) Howell's Not Very Bullish On Bonds (54:53) Stocks Will Likely Continue To Outperform Bonds (56:06) When Will The Fed Start Cutting Interest Rates? (01:00:08) Internals Of Stock Market Indicate Global Economic Slowdown Is Likely Already Behind Us (01:03:00) Liquidity Is High In Chinese Financial System (01:13:25) Inflows Into Emerging Markets Are "Very Unusual" (01:16:20) How To Measure Bank of Japan's Liquidity Injections (01:17:25) Bank of England (BOE) and European Central Bank (ECB) Are Less Important Than Fed & People's Bank of China (PBOC) (01:18:29) The Fiscal Endgame (Rates Have To Stay High To Prevent Further Debt Build-up) (01:31:42) When Will Shadow Quantitative Easing (QE) Turn Into Outright QE? -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

BIO: Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA-registered, independent research and investment company he founded in 1996.STORY: Michael was once in a meeting with the governor of the Bank of Thailand, who told him they would cut interest rates the following week. Even though all possible data showed this would be a wrong move, Micahel believed him. The bank didn't lower the rates; instead, it increased them.LEARNING: Don't listen to what people say, particularly central bankers; watch what they do. When participating in macro investing, understand where you are on the liquidity cycle and where investors are positioned. “Don't buy a market with a low PE because you think it's cheap. It actually tells you a lot more about the liquidity background or about the investors' positioning, which may be structural features of the markets.”Michael Howell Guest profileMichael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA-registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. The firm provides asset allocation and capital markets advice to institutional investors and manages US$1 billion of assets.Worst investment everIn the mid-1990s, when Michael was working at ING Barings, there was evidence of some economies beginning to overheat. Michael had a lot of discussions with central bankers, and one of those meetings in early 1995 was with the governor of the Bank of Thailand. Michael remembers the governor saying that the bank would cut interest rates. Michael assumed that the governor wanted to inform people, so it's not a shock that interest rates will be cut.In context, that was a crazy decision to make because Thailand was already overheating. The Chinese had previously overvalued the renminbi by about 30%, and the Japanese yen was beginning to strengthen significantly.The governor wasn't honest because the Bank of Thailand raised interest rates instead of cutting them. This taught Michael never to listen to what central bankers are saying. Instead, he now looks at the numbers and the underlying backdrop.Lessons learnedWhen participating in macro investing, understand where you are on the liquidity cycle and where investors are positioned.Equity markets are best valued against inflation, not against bonds.From a global perspective, liquidity will likely be the primary driver of asset markets.Big currency appreciations destroy earnings, and currency devaluations boost earnings.PE multiples work very well at the individual stock level but certainly don't work at the macro level.Andrew's takeawaysDon't listen to what people say, particularly central bankers; watch what they do.PE multiples are not a great measure when looking at the overall macro picture.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsMichael's number one goal for the next 12 months is to get more people to understand that liquidity is the key thing going forward.Parting words “Just watch the markets and understand what's going on. Look at the data. Don't read the central bankers' lips; watch their hands.”Michael Howell [spp-transcript] Connect with Michael Howell

A bull market in liquidity started in October of 2022, and we know liquidity leads asset markets. Raoul speaks with Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, about why the biggest force in global macro is pointing towards a new bull market in equities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

A bull market in liquidity started in October of 2022, and we know liquidity leads asset markets. Raoul speaks with Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, about why the biggest force in global macro is pointing towards a new bull market in equities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Here in Part 2 of our interview with Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital, Michael explains which assets he thinks will perform well now that the Liquidity Cycle has turned positive. Tech, discretionary stocks, gold & commodities top his list. ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.wealthion.com/⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1⁠⁠⁠ Follow Adam on Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/menlobear⁠⁠⁠ Follow us on Facebook: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040⁠⁠⁠ #stocks #gold #investing ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.

The capital markets became accustomed to an ever-rise tide of the liquidity over the decade of rolling stimulus programs that followed the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. But after reaching its apex during the COVID rescue era, that liquidity suddenly dropped in 2022, and market prices fell accordingly. Here in 2023, many analysts are warning of a further 'liquidity crunch', as central banks continue to hike rates and reduce their balance sheets, while banks lending standards pucker up in response to the recent bank failures. But is there a different side to the liquidity story? One more bullish for asset prices? Today's guest thinks so. We're now joined by liquidity and market analyst Michael Howell, founder & CEO of Crossborder Capital. ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.wealthion.com/⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1⁠⁠⁠ Follow Adam on Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/menlobear⁠⁠⁠ Follow us on Facebook: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040⁠⁠⁠ #liquidity #fed #stockmarket ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.

Interview recorded - 25th of April, 2023On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Michael Howell, Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital.During our conversation we spoke about the fragile state of US banks, why banks are collapsing under higher interest rates, the connection to global liquidity and what this means for asset outperformance in the future. I hope you enjoy!0:40 - Introduction1:02 - Why have banks collapsed with higher interest rates?4:35 - Was the SVB collapse a refinancing issue?10:45 - Is recent FED policy kicking the issue down the road?13:45 - What does high debt do to liquidity?16:20 - What is the current global liquidity landscape?27:45 - Refinancing issue further in the future?29:45 - Airbubbles in liquidity market 2018 repeat?32:05 - Higher liquidity = higher inflation?34:40 - High risk assets to outperform?36:55 - One message to take away from our conversation?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

U.S. equities rebounded after yesterday's SVB-driven rout, with cooling February CPI data easing investor anxieties of another interest rate hike. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, editor of the Morning Navigator, and Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital. We'll cover today's price action and a short-term trader's perspective with Tony, before hearing what Michael is watching in global liquidity and how financial stress could ripple through other parts of the world. You can find more of Tony's work here: https://tgmacro.substack.com and more of Michael's work here: http://www.crossbordercapital.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this next installment of our Webinar Wednesdays, we go live with Smartkarma Insight Provider, Michael Howell he shares more about his thoughts on the global liquidity outlook for 2023. From questions like why liquidity is so important for investors, to tracking the global liquidity cycle, join us in this next installment as we dive deep into the topic alongside Michael. This is a shortened version of the full webinar. For the full-length episode, head on over to the Smartkarma platform, where subscribers get complete access to all webinar sessions and more. -- Michael J. Howell is Managing Director at CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Follow his work here. -- This podcast is provided for general informational and entertainment purposes only, and is not intended to provide financial, investment or other professional advice. Views expressed by third parties do not necessarily represent Smartkarma's views. Smartkarma assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy, compliance or completeness of the podcast or the information it contains. Users should not rely on the podcast or the information it contains when making individual, business or other strategic decisions and should always consult a qualified expert or professional adviser.

Welcome to The Bitcoin Layer, where we bring you research, analysis, and education for all things bitcoin and macro. In this episode, Joe sits down with Michael Howell, Founder and CEO of CrossBorder Capital and the world's foremost authority on liquidity. Michael delivers an excellent discussion on how the liquidity cycle shifted in October of last year. He discusses the gilt scare in England as a wake-up call for global central banks to play a more active role in their sovereign bond markets, how maintaining stability in the Treasury market is of paramount importance, why bond volatility will be more important than equity volatility in the coming decade, and his outlook for liquidity and asset prices for the rest of 2023. Follow Michael on Twitter: https://twitter.com/crossbordercap New YouTube videos every Monday, Wednesday & Friday. New Substack posts every Tuesday, Thursday & Saturday. Subscribe to TBL on Substack: https://TheBitcoinLayer.substack.com Follow TBL on Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on Instagram: https://instagram.com/TheBitcoinLayer Follow TBL on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thebitcoinlayer Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch Sign up for the free Monetary History course on @SaylorAcademy : http://sylr.org/MonetaryHistory Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Research Associate Joe Consorti's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JoeConsorti Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Block Height 779620 #TheBitcoinLayer #JoeConsorti #MichaelHowell #Liquidity #CrossBorder #Capital #England #Asset #Management #Securities #Economics #Bitcoin #BTC #Market #Crisis #Recession #Currency #Crypto #Analysis #Investment #News #Finance #Education The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on Soundwise

IRF represents high-quality and differentiated Independent Research and Alternative Data Providers. ----more---- This is the fifth episode of the IRF Research and Markets Podcast series. In this edition, experienced market practitioner JP Smith reviews the analysis and views of some key IRF Providers focusing on the lively debate over US inflation and the relationship with commodity prices, bonds and equity markets, with a particular emphasis on emerging market equities and the extent to which the consensus bullish view is consistent with the outlook for the key country constituents. IRF Providers mentioned in this podcast include: CrossBorder Capital, Suttle Economics, PPG Macro, WilmotML, Talking Heads Macro, Minack Advisors, CHA-AM Advisors, Independent Strategy, PRC Macro, Copley Fund Research, Emerging Advisors Group, Alberdi Partners, Greenmantle.

After a hiatus forced by technical issues in the editing bay, we're back with the first of three new episodes this week - this time featuring my special guest Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital, who returns to the show to talk about liquidity in a fast-changing market environment. After a useful primer on the different ways of thinking about liquidity as a phenomenon, Michael explains why and how Japan is the canary in the coal mine we've all feared it to be for so long, highlights the dangers of the crowding out of private capital in sovereign bond markets and dissects the likely fallout from a Fed pivot that he now believes is inevitable. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of the book, "Capital Wars: The Rise Of Global Liquidity," joins Julia La Roche on episode 53 to provide a deep dive on what is global liquidity, why it matters, and how it drives markets. Michael points out that liquidity is inflecting upwards and explains what's driving that move and the implications for markets, which are sensitive to these infections. What's more, with the liquidity cycle inflecting upward, the economy will likely see a turning point in the U.S., which Michael predicts will happen around May. He believes there will be a few more months of softness, but we're near "a turning point." While many believe an inverted yield curve warns us that a recession is fast approaching, Michael explains why it's a flaky predictor and how term premia bias the yield curve. Julia and Michael also explore some of the themes from the book, "Capital Wars," including that as the investment world has gotten bigger, it's become more volatile, where financial crises are more common. They also touch upon the intensifying tussle between the U.S. and China as the dominant financial economy. Michael founded CrossBorder Capital in 1996. He developed the quantitative liquidity research methodology while he was Research Director at Salomon Bros. from 1986. He was subsequently appointed Head of Research at Baring Securities in 1992, and was top-ranked "Emerging Market Strategist" by institutional investors for the three years before setting up CrossBorder Capital. Michael has worked in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular international conference speaker. He is a qualified US Supervisory Analyst and has a Doctorate in Economics. 0:00 Intro 0:31 Macro view 1:00 Understanding money flows 1:30 Salomon Brothers 3:35 What is liquidity and what is it signaling today 5:00 Financial markets suddenly kickstarted upwards 6:00 Crypto is purely a liquidity phenomenon 7:00 Tech bouncing significantly as liquidity has picked up 7:15 Why is liquidity turning up? 8:00 China 9:30 What's happening in the big economies 11:15 Liquidity conditions from Fed have picked up 12:50 Q.T. is dead effectively is dead in the U.S. 13:27 Implications for markets 15:06 Term premia for bond investors 17:50 Why the inverted yield curve is a flaky predictor of a recession 18:08 What are fixed-income markets signaling? 18:28 Think of the stock market as a predictor of the economy 19:09 Close to an inflection point on the economy 22:37 Global financial system is now collateral based 23:00 Term premia is biasing the 10-2 yield curve 25:34 Good reasons why the yield curve is distorted 26:19 Evidence the Fed is in control 26:45 Ukraine War 28:48 U.S. is the cleanest shirt in the laundry 29:50 Ultimate job of central banks is financial stability 31:30 Capital Wars 35:00 As the world gets bigger it becomes more volatile 35:19 China's ambition to unseat the U.S. Dollar as the global reserve currency 38:40 Understanding equity markets 40:17 Tech stocks 41:30 Credit is dependent upon collateral 44:13 Debt mountain has grown 47:00 Financial crises will appear more regularly in the future 47:35 Japan is the canary in the coal mine 50:00 Threat to the financial system 51:15 Need liquidity because of debt 52:00 Financial markets of Victorian London 53:17 Yield curve control is coming klTK j

Michael Howell, legendary market strategist, author and founder of CrossBorder Capital, joins our Keeper Russell Napier to discuss global liquidity. Join us for a thought-provoking episode that seasoned investors and knowledgable market observers will enjoy getting their teeth stuck into.For more information on the Advanced Valuation in Financial Markets course mentioned by Russell, please see www.didaskoeducation.org.

IRF represents high-quality and differentiated Independent Research and Alternative Data Providers. This is the fourth episode of the IRF Research and Markets Podcast series, available on Apple, Spotify and Google. ----more---- In this edition, experienced market practitioner JP Smith reviews the analysis and views of some key IRF Providers focusing on the outlook for energy prices, bonds and equities in the light of recent developments in China and the conflict between Russia and the Ukraine.    This episode includes: CrossBorder Capital, Talking Heads Macro, The pH Report, Emerging Advisors Group, PRC Macro, Global Forecaster, Independent Strategy, Greenmantle, Eurointelligence, CHA-AM Advisors, Totem Macro, Variant Perception and Copley Fund Research.

Podcast recorded - 06/12/2022On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Michael Howell, Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital.  During our conversation we spoke about what liquidity is, how it is a precursor to negative economic & market actions, the key drivers of liquidity and what would happen if central banks remained hawkish. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:25 - Why liquidity?1:05 - What is liquidity and why does it change?2:45 - Shocks/bubbles due to liquidity3:25 - Is liquidity linked to other economic data points?6:15 - Was there a cycle between GFC and COVID?7:30 - Understanding what impact liquidity will have on markets12:40 - Any other countries Michael is analysing?15:03 - Inflections in the next few months?16:30 - Any other indicators to watch to analyse liquidity?18:55 - What would happen if central banks continue to tighten?25:45 - Going the way of Japan?30:33 - One message to take away from our interview?31:50 - Assets that could protect you from financial repression?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell - Website - https://crossbordercapital.comTwitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance - Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

Michael Howell is the founder of Crossborder Capital and has been tracking liquidity flows for decades now. Crossborder is well known for their research into liquidity and harnessing it as part of the investment approach. Here he discusses: When do banks lend? Does the Fed "print" money? How does the Fed's liquidity additions make their way to the market? And much much more! You can also purchase his book here: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity-ebook/dp/B086BBF1H9

IRF represents high-quality and differentiated Independent Research and Alternative Data Providers. This is the third episode of the IRF Research and Markets Podcast series, available on Apple, Spotify and Google. ----more---- In this edition experienced market practitioner, JP Smith examines the analysis and views of the IRF's best-in-class Independent Research Providers on the outlook for inflation, China, emerging markets and the Russia/Ukraine conflict.   JP outlines the shift in the market environment compared with the post-GFC period from 2009 to 2020 and suggests strategies for investors to preserve the real value of their assets.   Independent Research Providers mentioned in this episode include: Aitken Advisors, Minack Advisors, Talking Heads Macro, Andrew Hunt Economics, Teneo, J Capital Research, CrossBorder Capital, The pH Report, Independent Strategy, Alef Advisory, Totem Macro and Emerging Advisors Group.

We are delighted to bring you the next episode of IRF's new podcast series, Research and Markets: “Key Developments in Emerging Markets, China and Russia/Ukraine”, hosted by JP Smith.----more---- JP is an experienced market practitioner as former Head of EM Equity & Chief Strategist at Pictet and Equity Strategist at Deutsche Bank. This podcast series aims to provide greater awareness around IRF's Independent Research Providers by generating topical and relevant content. JP highlights research and draws on material from publicly available news sources, social media, and other podcasts to monitor the shifting debates and narratives that move markets. The focus is on medium and long-term thematic issues rather than day to day trading.   In episode two JP draws on the work of best-in-class IRF Research Providers to review three key issues in emerging markets, namely the impact of the strong US dollar on EM economies and financial markets, the medium-term prognosis for China's economy and finally, recent developments in the Russia/Ukraine conflict.   This episode includes the following IRF Providers: Emerging Advisors Group, Independent Strategy, CrossBorder Capital, Greenmantle, Suttle Economics, Andrew Hunt Economics, Totem Macro, Talking Heads Macro, The pH Report, China Beige Book, PRC Macro, Teneo, J Capital, Eurointelligence.

In Episode 275 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas publishes the audio from a recent Twitter Spaces event featuring Brent Johnson and Michael Kao, who were both later joined on stage by Michael Nicoletos and Michael Howell for a dynamic conversation about the explosive appreciation in the relative value of the US Dollar, the sources of Dollar strength, and what could bring an end to its role as the main global reserve currency. Brent Johnson is CEO of Santiago Capital and the author of the “Dollar Milkshake Theory.” Michael Kao is CIO and Portfolio Manager of Kao Family Offices and is well-known for coining “the Dollar Wrecking Ball” as a similar metaphor for describing the dynamics of Dollar hegemony. Michael Nicoletos is a macro investor and the founder and fmr. CIO at AppleTree Capital and Michael Howell is the CEO of CrossBorder Capital and a regular contributor and active member of our Hidden Forces Genius community which you can learn more about at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. Over the last six months, the US Dollar has appreciated tremendously against a basket of international currencies, from the pound sterling and the euro to the Japanese yen and Chinese yuan. Because of the Dollar's outsized role as a global funding currency, Dollar strength often translates into foreign weakness, not just for other currencies, but for their respective economies and asset markets as well. The goal of this conversation is to help deepen your understanding of the dynamics driving Dollar strength, the consequences for the global economy and asset markets the longer it continues, and what the possible end-game could be for economies and governments. You can access the transcripts and intelligence reports of previous episodes by going directly to the episode page at HiddenForces.io and clicking on "premium extras." All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. If you have questions about our genius tier, which includes access to the Hidden Forces community, Q&A calls with guests, in-person events, and dinners, you can learn more at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you have further questions, feel free to send an email to info@hiddenforces.io, and Demetri or someone else from our team will get right back to you. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 10/03/2022

Today, we are joined by Michael Howell, Author and Managing Director of Crossborder Capital, for a conversation on how liquidity drives financial markets, based on his book, “Capital Wars: The Rise of Global Liquidity”. We address term premia and the impact it has on the economy, the off-shore market, how Central Banks have become the dominant players over the last decade and the capital war between China and the U.S. We also discuss what might happen if the global economy becomes divided into two worlds, where one is financed by the U.S. dollar and the other financed by the Chinese Yuan and the increasing networking risk and risk of crises within the financial system, the different types of liquidity and the recipe for creating a strong dollar and much more. ---- ---- Follow Niels on https://twitter.com/toptraderslive (Twitter), https://www.linkedin.com/in/nielskaastruplarsen (LinkedIn), https://www.youtube.com/user/toptraderslive (YouTube) or via the https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/ (TTU website). IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate (here). And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/flavor (here). Learn more about the Trend Barometer https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/ (here). Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/reviewttu (iTunes) or https://open.spotify.com/show/2OnOvLbIV3AttbFLxuoaBW (Spotify) so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Cem on https://twitter.com/jam_croissant (Twitter). Follow Michael on https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=uk (Linkedin) and https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/3030392872 (read his book). Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Intro 02:51 - Introduction to Michael Howell and his work 07:38 - How much debt is there globally? 14:08 - Why is longer-term treasuries desirable? 16:08 - The off-shore market  19:56 - The capital war between China and the U.S. 41:37 - Is the financial system more fragile than we think? 50:10 - What if the 10-year bond yield blows out rapidly? 53:59 - What has happened with the offshore short-term market? 59:55 - The currency space and relative liquidity 01:02:31 - Comments on the current regime 01:08:18 - Key takeaways from Niels  Copyright © 2022 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved ---- PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey: 1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ebooks/ (Click Here) 2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/ (Click Here) 3. Other Resources that can help you And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ (Click Here) https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/legal/privacy-policy/ (Privacy Policy) https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/disclaimer/ (Disclaimer)

On today's episode of "On the Margin", Michael Howell CEO of Crossborder Capital joins the show for a discussion on the number one force driving markets, liquidity. Discussing Michael's book titled "Capital Wars: The Rise of Global Liquidity", Howell walks through the role of global liquidity, increasing debt and volatility on today's financial system. Have these three factors made our financial system more susceptible to central bank intervention and financial crises?  Tune in to hear this discussion & much more! -- Attend DAS, crypto and macro's favorite institutional conference: http://digitalassetsummit.co/ - Use code MIKE250 to get $250 off tickets -- Follow Michael Howell https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Referenced In The Show: WTO successfully concludes negotiations on China's entry https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres01_e/pr243_e.htm Transcript: US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on the next steps for Russia sanctions and ‘friend-shoring' supply chains https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/news/transcripts/transcript-us-treasury-secretary-janet-yellen-on-the-next-steps-for-russia-sanctions-and-friend-shoring-supply-chains/   Suez Crisis https://www.history.com/topics/cold-war/suez-crisis  Russian gas in Germany: A complicated 50-year relationship https://www.dw.com/en/russian-gas-in-germany-a-complicated-50-year-relationship/a-61057166 -- (00:00) Introduction (00:25) The Rise of Global Liquidity (06:25) China Entering The WTO (12:28) How A Lack of Liquidity Leads To Financial Crises (19:20) Is Europe The Canary In The Coal Mine? (30:06) Bretton Woods, World Trade & The Role of The U.S Dollar (40:00) Capital Wars Between The U.S & China (44:53) Current Market Liquidity & Outlook -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Record-high temperatures and a severe drought in west-central China has crippled hydropower generation and prompted the shutdown of many factories in the latest blow to a Chinese economy already weighed down by stagnant consumer spending and a deeply troubled real estate market. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said Japan will re-start more idled nuclear plants and look at developing next-generation reactors to stabilize the island nation's energy supply. Real Vision's man on the ground in Asia, Weston Nakamura, joins Maggie Lake at the top of today's Daily Briefing to talk about what trouble in the East means for the West and how it's playing out in forex markets. Then, Katie Stockton, the founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, joins Maggie to share a technical view of the market, including key levels for the S&P 500, energy commodities, and the U.S. dollar. We also hear from Michael Howell, the founder of CrossBorder Capital, on the dollar and what its movement tells us about global liquidity. Watch the full video featuring Michael Howell and Ash Bennington here: https://rvtv.io/3POP7Oh. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The euro has broken below parity with the dollar, hitting a two-decade low on Tuesday amid multiple exigent crises that threaten not just growth but continental order. And the yuan has weakened to a two-year low against the buck, as Chinese authorities struggle to sustain growth amid a major housing market downturn. Traders see no bottom in sight for either currency, as China's slowdown makes Europe's troubles that much worse in a feedback loop with global implications. As we near the start of the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium on Thursday, it's fair to question what the Federal Reserve can do in a world where power prices in Germany reach the rough equivalent of crude oil at $1,000 per barrel. Darius Dale, the founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision's Maggie Lake to talk about that as well as what a strong dollar means for financial markets and the global economy. We also hear from Michael Howell, the founder of CrossBorder Capital, on tightening liquidity and what it means for equity markets. Watch the full video featuring Michael Howell and Ash Bennington here: https://rvtv.io/3POP7Oh. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In Episode 265 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Michael Howell. Michael is the CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based, independent research and investment company that provides asset allocation and capital markets advice to institutional investors. This conversation is a natural follow-up to our recent episodes with Lev Menand on the shadow banking system and Eric Basmajian on economic cycles. Specifically, the credit cycle and its leading impact on the economy and asset prices. But this conversation with Michael also pulls directly from other episodes as well with guests like Michael Pettis on global trade and finance, Claudio Borio on financial instability, Brent Johnson on the Revenge of the Dollar, James Aitken on Digital Currency and the Pivot to Asia, Russel Napier on the New Economic Order and the Asian Financial Crisis, and of course, one of my absolute favorites, a conversation with Kevin Coldiron, Tim Lee, and Jamie Lee on the role of the US Dollar as an international funding currency and as the primary driver of recurring systemic crises in the international financial system. Global liquidity is a term that every single person working in finance and in financial media has not only heard of but has probably used at one point or another. And yet, if you were to ask most people what this term means or what it refers to they would be hard pressed to give you a clear or uniform answer. This is because the drivers of global liquidity, namely the financial and exchange rate relationships within and between countries and the determinants of cross-border flows of money, securities, goods and services, are constantly changing. In the process, they have become, in the words of Michael Howell, “the new weapons in the escalating Capital Wars between the U.S., Europe, and China,” the last of which has a vested interest in not only the long-term stability of the international financial system but perhaps even the eventual aim of displacing the Dollar in favor of the Yuan as the fulcrum around which international trade and commerce is eventually invoiced and credited The goal of today's conversation is not only to help you gain a deeper appreciation for what global liquidity is and the geopolitical and economic forces driving it but to also help you understand how it impacts you and your portfolio directly through the outsized role that it has on shaping economic outcomes and asset prices. This comes at a time when this very liquidity is receding faster than at any point since the Great Financial Crisis and by some measures, even quicker. You can access the full episode, transcript, and intelligence report to this week's conversation, along with the additional material provided by Michael Howell by going directly to the episode page at HiddenForces.io and clicking on "premium extras." All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 08/02/2022

Markets meandered during a mixed Monday session, as investors bide their time ahead of Wednesday's release of consumer price index data for June. We're already seeing signs that tighter money is impacting real economic activity in the U.S., with homebuilders reporting steep slowdowns in sales and sharp upticks in cancellations last month. Tighter policy is also encouraging investors seeking safety, putting upward pressure on the U.S. dollar, through knock-on effects, draining even more liquidity from global markets. In his most recent note, Michael Howell reported that CrossBorder Capital's Global Liquidity Index “is still testing a low reading of 29.5” within a range of 0 to 100. “Liquidity matters,” says Howell, CrossBorder Capital's founder. He believes central banks are making another major error, this hammering too hard on the brake. “The world economy is now in a recession.” Howell, managing director at CrossBorder Capital, joins Real Vision's Maggie Lake to discuss the developing “big liquidity squeeze” and the “world recession” he says is its cost. We also hear from Raoul Pal about the increasingly complex macro environment. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3yUwdjU. Watch Friday's full Daily Briefing episode featuring Raoul Pal and Maggie Lake here: https://rvtv.io/3nVsvAs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

With Dr. Michael Howell, PhD. This is the second in a series of interviews I am conducting to try to better understand why food prices have been rising, where they are going as we move toward a potential food crisis, how this will impact the evolving landscape of food availability, and what we should do about it. Michael Howell, PhD joins me to discuss whether "money printing" and the liquidity cycle might be playing a role in rising food prices. Howell has a PhD in Economics and specializes in analyzing global central bank activities, liquidity trends, and capital flow data across 80 economies. He is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, which he founded in 1996. He developed the quantitative liquidity research methodology while he was Research Director at Salomon Bros. from 1986. He was subsequently appointed Head of Research at Baring Securities in 1992, and was top-ranked “Emerging Market Strategist” by institutional investors for the three years prior to setting up CrossBorder Capital. Michael has worked in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular international conference speaker. He is a qualified US Supervisory Analyst. You can buy his book, Capital Wars: The Rise of Global Liquidity, here. You can follow his company, Cross Border Capital, on Twitter here. This series started from a Substack post I wrote, The Emerging Food Crisis: https://chrismasterjohnphd.substack.com/p/the-emerging-food-crisis Over the next month, as part of this series, I will conduct interviews and panel discussions on my podcast in an effort to better understand the issue and what to do about it. Relying primarily on interviews will allow me to better understand the issue while staying focused on finishing my vaccine research so I can ultimately return to finishing my book. I will eventually be concluding my work on the vaccines with a COVID Vaccine Guide, which I will distribute for free to paid Substack subscribers, those who have pre-ordered my Vitamins and Minerals 101 book, and members of the CMJ Masterpass. Articles in this series that lay out actionable foundations of my future protocol for vaccine side effects will be for paid Substack subscribers and Masterpass members. However, most of them will available for free for the first 48 hours, and all of them will be readable with a free trial. Paid Substack subscribers get immediate access to my COVID Guide, and are entitled to 50% off a membership to the Masterpass as well. You can subscribe or upgrade your subscription here: https://chrismasterjohnphd.substack.com/subscribe You can pre-order the book here: https://chrismasterjohnphd.com/book And you can join the Masterpass here: https://themasterpass.chrismasterjohnphd.com/sales-page Masterpass members get to watch these interviews live, and also have monthly access to a live Q&A with me. The next Q&A session is Wednesday, April 13, 6:00 PM Eastern.

Inflation is at four-decade highs in the U.S., and supply constraints caused by the war in Eastern Europe only increase upward pressure on crucial commodities. The Federal Reserve is laser-focused on the issue, to the point where futures markets are now pricing in more than nine rate hikes in 2022. And the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note hit a two-year high on Friday, reaching 2.503% on expectations of aggressive tightening ahead. Still, the Fed is sticking with a relatively robust growth forecast. Investors are clear on the Fed's path. It remains to be seen how Chinese policymakers will respond to threats to growth and stability. As the world continues to respond to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, it becomes clearer that major shifts are in process. Will the Chinese yuan ever overtake the U.S. dollar in the global currency hierarchy? What role could Bitcoin play in a revamped global system? More immediately, are we on the verge of a global liquidity crisis? Michael Howell, managing director at CrossBorder Capital, joins Tony Greer to discuss these issues and more on today's edition of Real Vision Daily Briefing. Got questions? Drop them on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3JGuIZz Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, recorded on 17 March 2022, Michael J. Howell looks at the devastating implications of higher oil prices and China's latest monetary squeeze on Global Liquidity and the markets. He also outlines his data on Liquidity and the correlation to the current market situation, and answers audience questions on everything from inflation to Smartkarma users can find the presentation slides here: https://skr.ma/Q81u3sM3qY1Crm2fA Michael J. Howell is Managing Director at CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Follow his work: https://skr.ma/jYww9yYmcUiA2NCWA This podcast is provided for general informational and entertainment purposes only, and is not intended to provide financial, investment or other professional advice. Views expressed by third parties do not necessarily represent Smartkarma's views. Smartkarma assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy, compliance or completeness of the podcast or the information it contains. Users should not rely on the podcast or the information it contains when making individual, business or other strategic decisions and should always consult a qualified expert or professional adviser.

In the 6th episode of Generational Arbitrage, Tyler Neville speaks with Michael Howell, Founder of Crossborder Capital. Mike is a leading global macro thinker who watches giant trends in liquidity from global central banks. He is the author of Capital Wars: The Rise of Global Liquidity and has a process unlike most fundamental economic analysis. --- Get unparalleled access to the greatest minds in macro at Blockworks' three day, executive summit in Bretton Woods. August 11 - 13. Apply to attend today. https://blockworks.co/brettonwoods/arbitrage --- Generational Arbitrage is brought to you by Blockworks, a financial media brand delivering breaking news and premium insights about digital assets to millions of investors. For more content like this, visit http://blockworks.co/podcasts.

In this episode, I speak with Michael Howell, Managing Director at CrossBorder Capital, a firm he founded in 1996. He's been listed as the top emerging market strategist multiple times and developed a quantitative liquidity research methodology while at Salomon Brothers in the 1980s. He is the author of the recently-released Capital Wars: The Rise of Global Liquidity. [RECORDING DATE: March 18, 2021] If you find value in these conversations, please consider joining the THINK FOR YOURSELF community.  All supporters are invited to participate in the live conversations and are given an opportunity to interact with my guests.  More information is available at www.patreon.com/mansharamani

"Strong economies rarely have strong financial markets," says Insight Provider Michael J. Howell. You won't want to miss this episode, where Michael discusses the state of Global Liquidity this year, expected to break new records as Central Banks persist with quantitative easing, and answers audience questions on the topic. See also Michael's Insight, Global Liquidity in 2021: A Warning: https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/global-liquidity-in-2021-a-warning/ Michael J. Howell is Managing Director at CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Learn more: https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/michael-j-howell This podcast is provided for general informational and entertainment purposes only, and is not intended to provide financial, investment or other professional advice. Views expressed by third parties do not necessarily represent Smartkarma's views. Smartkarma assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy, compliance or completeness of the podcast or the information it contains. Users should not rely on the podcast or the information it contains when making individual, business or other strategic decisions and should always consult a qualified expert or professional adviser.

The IRF Podcast is joined by Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital to discuss The Big Liquidity Story. ----more----CrossBorder Capital brings a different perspective to understanding capital markets and economies by focussing on international capital and domestic liquidity movements. Michael Howell, CEO, developed the quantitative liquidity research methodology while he was Research Director at Salomon Bros. from 1986. He was subsequently appointed Head of Research at Baring Securities in 1992 and was top ranked “Emerging Market Strategist” by institutional investors for the three years prior to setting up CrossBorder Capital.