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The Last Trade: Matt Dines, CIO of Build Asset Management, joins to lay out the seismic monetary reshuffling underway in 2026, the unwind of the post-Bretton-Woods offshore-dollar system that ran the global economy from 1971 to 2022, why LIBOR's deprecation and the SOFR transition quietly moved the dollar's command center from London to New York, Scott Bessent's strategy to monetize the asset side of the Treasury balance sheet through the GENIUS Act stablecoin and a Bitcoin reserve targeting 1 million BTC, Tether's December 2023 alignment with the American Sovereignist movement, and the contrarian read on MicroStrategy as a "dollar strategy" rather than a Bitcoin strategy.---
This Day in Legal History: Congress Repeals the Gold ClauseOn this day in 1933, Congress passed the Joint Resolution that voided the gold clauses written into nearly every long-term contract and bond obligation in the United States, both public and private. The resolution declared that any provision purporting to require payment “in gold or a particular kind of coin or currency” was “against public policy,” and that obligations could be discharged dollar for dollar in whatever legal tender currency was in force at the time of payment. It was a remarkable act of legislative power: a one-paragraph statute that rewrote the payment terms of millions of existing contracts overnight, in the middle of the Great Depression, to make Franklin Roosevelt's recent abandonment of the gold standard actually stick. The Supreme Court took up the inevitable challenge two years later in the Gold Clause Cases — Norman v. Baltimore & Ohio, Nortz v. United States, and Perry v. United States — and in February 1935 it upheld the resolution as applied to private contracts by a 5-4 vote, while telling the United States, in Perry, that it had violated its own contractual word in repudiating gold-payment promises on government bonds, but that the bondholder had suffered no compensable injury. The doctrinal residue of that compromise is still with us: Congress can use its monetary powers to alter private contract terms retroactively when monetary policy requires it, the rule that has quietly underwritten every major monetary intervention since, from Bretton Woods to the post-2008 emergency lending programs. June 5 is not a day most lawyers mark on the calendar, but the resolution Congress passed on this date is one of the cleanest examples in American law of a legislature using its enumerated powers to dissolve a contract term that had been considered, until that moment, untouchable.The Supreme Court on Thursday handed Hikma Pharmaceuticals — and the entire generic drug industry — a 9-0 win in a case that had been hanging over the so-called “skinny label” pathway for years. Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, writing for a unanimous Court in Hikma Pharmaceuticals USA Inc. v. Amarin Pharma, Inc., held that Amarin, the maker of the brand-name fish-oil drug Vascepa, had not plausibly alleged that Hikma actively induced infringement of Amarin's patents covering a still-patented cardiovascular use of the drug. The skinny label is a feature of Hatch-Waxman generic-drug law that lets a generic manufacturer copy only the unpatented uses of a brand drug by literally carving the patented uses out of its FDA-approved label, which is supposed to let cheaper generics reach the market for the unpatented indications even while patents on other indications are still in force. Brand companies have been trying for years to sue around that carve-out under the active inducement statute, 35 U.S.C. § 271(b), by pointing to generic press releases, marketing language, or website descriptions and arguing that doctors could read those statements as encouragement to prescribe the generic for the still-patented use. The Federal Circuit had bought a version of that argument and revived Amarin's case. The Supreme Court rejected that approach, and the test that Justice Jackson articulated is meaningful: the question is not how doctors might interpret what a generic manufacturer said, but whether the manufacturer itself actively encouraged the infringing use. Neutral statements that could be read as instructions to infringe do not count. The practical effect is to shore up the skinny label pathway and make it harder for brand companies to weaponize induced infringement against generic competition. The decision was originally framed as a pharmaceutical-industry case, but its inducement standard will reach across patent law generally and into every industry where § 271(b) gets litigated.It's unanimous: SCOTUS agrees with Hikma in ‘skinny label' case vs. Amarin | Fierce PharmaAlso unanimous on Thursday: the Supreme Court in Sripetch v. SEC held that the Securities and Exchange Commission can obtain disgorgement of a wrongdoer's ill-gotten gains without having to prove that any individual investor lost money. Justice Neil Gorsuch wrote the opinion for a 9-0 Court, which is itself a small surprise given the Court's recent pattern of skepticism toward broad SEC remedial powers. The case came out of a penny-stock pump-and-dump scheme that Ongkaruck Sripetch ran across some 20 small companies — buy shares quietly, promote them aggressively, sell into the bubble — and the SEC won an order requiring him to disgorge roughly $3 million. Sripetch's argument on appeal was that disgorgement is supposed to be tied to investor harm, that the SEC had not shown specific pecuniary losses traceable to him, and that the order was therefore not the kind of equitable relief the Court approved in its 2020 Liu v. SEC decision. The Court disagreed, on traditional equity principles: disgorgement, the Court explained, is measured by the defendant's unjust gain, not the plaintiff's quantified loss, and equity has always been willing to strip a wrongdoer of profit even when the victim cannot mathematically prove harm. The practical importance for the SEC is enormous — the agency reports collecting roughly $1.4 billion in disgorgement in fiscal 2025 alone, and a contrary ruling would have forced the SEC into an evidentiary burden that pump-and-dump and insider-trading cases are notoriously bad at supplying. The opinion is also a reminder that the Court's recent administrative-state skepticism is not all in one direction: when the question is grounded in old equity doctrine, the same justices who narrowed SEC adjudication in Jarkesy are willing to leave the agency's remedial toolkit intact.US Supreme Court Backs SEC in Fight Over ‘Disgorgement' Power | US NewsThe third and most constitutionally significant of Thursday's rulings was FCC v. AT&T, in which the Supreme Court upheld 8-1 the Federal Communications Commission's longstanding practice of imposing forfeiture penalties on regulated carriers through its own in-house process, without first giving the carrier a jury trial. Chief Justice John Roberts wrote the majority, with Justice Clarence Thomas the lone dissenter. The case grew out of the FCC's headline-making fines against AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, and Sprint for selling access to real-time customer location data to third parties without consent — fines that ran nearly $200 million across the four carriers, with AT&T's portion at $57 million and Verizon's at $46.9 million. The carriers challenged the fines on Seventh Amendment grounds, arguing that the Court's 2024 decision in SEC v. Jarkesy — which struck down the SEC's in-house adjudication of securities-fraud penalties as a violation of the jury-trial right — should reach FCC forfeitures too. The Court said no, on a structural distinction that matters: an FCC forfeiture order is not self-executing. The FCC cannot collect on its own. If a carrier refuses to pay, the matter is referred to the Justice Department, which then has to file a civil action in federal district court — a proceeding in which the carrier is entitled to a full jury trial and the government has to prove the violation de novo, with no deference to the FCC's findings. That collection-stage jury trial, Roberts wrote, is enough to satisfy the Seventh Amendment, even though the agency itself first issues the penalty. Justice Thomas's dissent argued the in-house process is no less coercive than the SEC adjudication the Court rejected in Jarkesy and would have extended Jarkesy here. The practical takeaway: agency in-house penalty proceedings survive after Jarkesy if there is a real, downstream jury-trial backstop. Expect every regulator with a similar two-step enforcement structure to point to this opinion the next time someone tries to push Jarkesy further.Court rules against cell service providers over right to jury trial in FCC proceedings | SCOTUSblog This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.minimumcomp.com/subscribe
La IA dejó de ser un debate ético. Es una jugada de poder geopolítico. Mientras Europa redacta reglamentos, EEUU construye la infraestructura, los chips, los modelos y los estándares. Y quien construye primero, escribe las reglas que el resto firmamos sin haber estado en la sala. En este episodio hago una lectura inversa de lo que casi nadie interpretó bien: viajamos a Bretton Woods, al duelo entre Keynes y Harry Dexter White, al «privilegio exorbitante» del dólar… y terminamos donde más incomoda: el espejo europeo.
A century ago, when depositors lost confidence in a bank, they'd rush to withdraw their cash. In 1971, US president Richard Milhous Nixon faced a similar dilemma. But his problem wasn't ordinary citizens fearing for their savings. Instead, it was America's closest allies who were nervously eyeing the dwindling supply of gold in Fort Knox at a time when the dollar's value was tied to gold and allies' currencies were in turn tied to the dollar. And just like a beleaguered bank manager of yore, Nixon chose to shut America's doors to further withdrawals. His decision threatened to pull the plug on the entire international monetary system established at Bretton Woods in 1944. It was so unexpected and outrageous, it became known as the “Nixon Shock”. In the first of two episodes on the topic, hosts Gillian Tett and Robin Wigglesworth get the story from economist and ex-financier Jeffrey Garten – a man with a CV so long that he once even worked for the Nixon administration himself.Further reading:Three Days at Camp David: How a Secret Meeting in 1971 Transformed the Global Economy, by Jeffrey E Garten (2021)Gold and the dollar crisis, by Robert Triffin (1960)Credits: Getty Images, the Richard Nixon Presidential LibraryTo enjoy future episodes, be sure to subscribe to The Story of Money wherever you get your podcasts, also on the show's dedicated YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/@FTTheStoryOfMoneyHosts: Gillian Tett and Robin WigglesworthProducer: Laurence KnightExecutive Producer: Manuela SaragosaOriginal music: Breen TurnerBroadcast engineers: Bianca Wakeman and Petros GioumpasisPodcast Development: Laura ClarkeVideo editor: Kristen Kenyon and Josh Divney at Podcast DiscoveryLearn more at www.ft.com/tsom or get in touch at thestoryofmoney@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The economy was designed to serve life. At some point, it forgot. This article traces how that happened - through colonial extraction, currency manipulation, and centuries of treating the Earth as an inexhaustible resource - and more importantly, what is already being built in its place. It is also worth naming what is being built against it. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), digital identity systems, and the broader technocratic agenda advancing through institutions like the World Economic Forum represent a competing vision of the future - one where economic participation is surveilled, programmable, and ultimately controlled by the few. That is not a regenerative economy. It is the extractive economy in a new interface. The regenerative economy moves in the opposite direction: toward decentralization, sovereignty, reciprocity, and life. From Time Banks in New York to community currencies in Ecuador to worker cooperatives in Spain, it is not a future vision. It is a present reality, waiting to be joined. And while blockchain and regenerative finance are real and important parts of this picture, the regenerative economy is bigger than any single technology. It is a whole-systems redesign - cultural, spiritual, and practical - of how human beings relate to value, to each other, and to all living beings on Earth.A System Feature | Designed to ExtractA president steps up to the podium in Manila, praising the economic progress their country has fulfilled after, what many of us call “ the plandemic”. Outside the auditorium, a young mother carries her child on her hip, knocking on car windows at a red light, eyes down, asking for alms. The applause inside the hall doesn't reach her. It never does.The president says the currency has strengthened. That prices are coming down. Meanwhile, across the city, a farmer named Rodrigo is standing in the field he has worked for thirty years, calculating whether this harvest will cover the loan he took out before the last typhoon swept his crop away. It didn't. This is not an exception to the economic system. It is a feature of it. A reflection of a culture that does not care about those actually in need.Many nations measure their health through GDP - Gross Domestic Product - which essentially dictates whether or not an economy is “progressing.” It runs under one quiet assumption: that the Earth will keep giving. Indefinitely. Without asking anything in return. That before the calculations around supply, demand, and the balance of everything else, all the raw materials are already ideally supplied.The Earth is answering. Typhoons that once came once a generation now arrive like clockwork. Harvests that fed communities for centuries are failing across the Andes, the Sahel, the Mekong delta. The seasons that indigenous peoples read as living calendars have become erratic, unreliable, grieving. None of this is random. It is a response - accurate and proportional - to an economy built on the assumption that extraction has no cost.If we were truly “abundant” financially, we would not have billions of people at risk of starvation, homelessness, and other manifestations of neglect and poverty. The economy was supposed to serve all life. It has forgotten this. And in forgetting it, it has begun to abandon human life itself.The Story We InheritedMoney was supposed to be a promissory note for the gold reserves one actually held. The paper was a symbol - pointing at something real, something held in a vault somewhere, something that could be touched.Then the notes began circulating. And the longer they circulated, the more people forgot what they were pointing to. Eventually, the circulation gave rise to the idea of turning the notes into currency itself. The symbol became the standard. It became backed not by gold, but by story - a story so strong, so repeated, so programmed into every transaction of daily life, that we began to mistake it for the truth.We placed a middleman between ourselves and our needs. And somewhere along the way, we forgot we had done it. Perhaps, by design. Here is what the story never tells you: the gold itself did not arrive innocently.In 1302, Pope Boniface VIII issued Unam Sanctam, declaring papal authority supreme over all earthly power - making the Earth itself, philosophically, ownable. A century and a half later, that claim became economic policy. Dum Diversas (1452) authorized the enslavement of non-Christians across the globe. Romanus Pontifex (1455) granted Portugal the right to colonize and extract across Africa and the New World. Inter Caetera (1493) extended the same to Spain and the Americas.These were the founding economic legislation of the extractive world we live in - all cloaked in religious language.What followed was centuries of forced extraction. Economists Flynn and Giráldez have documented that colonial American silver - mined through indigenous forced labor in Potosí and across Peru and Mexico - became the standard monetary foundation of early global trade. The gold in the vault was never simply there. It was coercively taken.And then, on August 15, 1971, even that material trace was erased. President Nixon closed the gold window, ending the Bretton Woods system and severing the dollar's convertibility to gold. According to the Federal Reserve's own record, the international community was not consulted. From that moment, currency was backed by nothing but the authority of the government printing it.Knowing that we wrote ourselves into this story, we are now remembering that we can write ourselves out of it. Not only by writing new stories, but by reconnecting with stories that existed long before our current economic situation - stories that are still alive, still practiced, still remembered by the communities that never abandoned them.What Has Always WorkedBefore the conquest of certain nations to centralize power into their hands, other societies practiced more communal and regenerative ways of exchanging value. To them, considering other people and the Earth itself was not an ethical add-on. It was integral to the flourishing of their economies.Pre-colonial PhilippinesLong before the Spaniards arrived, the Philippine archipelago was a major hub in the maritime Silk Road - one of Asia's most active trade networks. Communities exchanged with Chinese, Japanese, Arab, and Indian traders at coastal ports and river settlements.The archipelagic geography made it impossible to consolidate wealth in any single place. Different tribes like the Maranao exchanged surplus agricultural produce, textiles, metalware, and forest products through robust barter systems built on kinship ties and alliances among polities. Value moved between two people who chose to relate. No middleman. Mutual trust was the economic infrastructure.Andean PeoplesThe Quechua people organized their economy around a relational foundation that lives in the language itself. Ayni - sacred reciprocity. Minka - collective community work. Randi-Randi - generalized reciprocity, the understanding that what circulates returns. All three connect to the broader principle of Sumak Kawsay: good living in right relationship with community, land, and the living world.Sumak Kawsay does not separate prosperity from the wellbeing of ecosystems. It understands them as one thing. This recognition runs so deep that Ecuador enshrined it as the central guiding principle for its national development in its 2008 constitution - the living legal inheritance of an ancient economy that knew how to stay.Haudenosaunee in North AmericaIn their 1981 formal statement to the United Nations, the Haudenosaunee Council of Chiefs articulated what their communities had practiced for centuries: that the earth was created for all to use, forever - not for the present generation to exhaust. Under their law, land is held by the women of each clan, who farm and care for it for the benefit of future generations.The Haudenosaunee saw land as a responsibility to be stewarded in trust. Anthropologist Kurt Jordan from Cornell University documented their economic practices and described them as “a reasonably sustainable, localized economy” even under intense external pressure. They had embodied communal stewardship long before theories about such things were written down.Southern Africa“I am because we are.”This is Ubuntu - the philosophy at the core of both social and economic life across Southern Africa. Communities in South Africa and Mozambique relied on mutual aid networks, intergenerational knowledge systems, and participatory rituals as practical economic infrastructure. These systems enhanced community cohesion and collective resilience precisely in the moments when extractive economies failed them. They understood, bone-deep, that no human being thrives in isolation.Diversity of Regen Economic SystemsMany communities across continents are actively rebuilding economic systems beyond the extractive model. The following are not theoretical. They are actively running. Hence, the more diversity of economic systems each person and community practices, the more abundant, unbreakable and independent we are from degenerative systems from governments and corporations that want to control it all. The Commons FoundationOne body of research forms the intellectual foundation for nearly all of them: the life's work of Elinor Ostrom, the first woman to receive the Nobel Prize in Economics. Ostrom spent decades documenting over 800 cases of communities successfully governing shared resources - in Switzerland, Kenya, Guatemala, Nepal, and beyond - without either privatization or state control.Her conclusion was simple and radical: communities do not inevitably destroy what they share. Given the right institutional design, they protect it and pass this duty to the next generation. And her eight design principles for successful commons governance - the framework that emerged from all that fieldwork - describe, as she herself acknowledged, the same governance systems that indigenous communities had been practicing for centuries.Her work is not a new idea. It is a confirmation of ancient ones.Regenerative Economics | Beyond ReFi - The Whole-Systems VisionWhen most people first encounter the term “regenerative economy,” they arrive through crypto. Through ReFi - regenerative finance - and the promise of blockchain as a tool for funding ecological restoration, decentralizing power, and making impact transparent. These are real contributions. They matter.But John Fullerton, founder of the Capital Institute and one of the most rigorous thinkers in this field, spent two decades on Wall Street before arriving at a different and more fundamental question: what if the entire framework of modern finance is running in conflict with how life actually works?Fullerton's work focuses on building an economic framework that supports the long-term health of people, communities, and the planet - not by tweaking the existing system, but by replacing its underlying logic. His core argument is that we are running our society in conflict with the patterns and principles that explain how life works.His answer is what he calls regenerative economics: eight principles drawn from living systems science that describe how healthy economies - like healthy ecosystems - actually function. Diversity. Balance. Circular flow. Robust circulation. Surplus financial capital, in his framework, needs to be recycled and regenerated into other forms of capital - natural, social, and cultural. Not hoarded nor extracted. Composted back into the living system that produced it.ReFi, in Fullerton's framing, is one tool within this larger architecture. Blockchain can decentralize power. Tokenized nature credits can make ecological value legible to markets. Community currencies can circulate value locally. But the technology is only as regenerative as the values underneath it. A crypto project built on extraction logic is still extraction, regardless of the chain it runs on.Regenerative economy is not a financial product. It is a civilizational shift - in how we measure wealth, in what we decide to protect, in whose voices count when decisions are made. ReFi is welcome in that shift. It is one current in a much larger river.Time BanksIn Jackson Heights, Queens, a retired nurse named Gloria hasn't touched the formal economy in months for the things that matter most to her. She spends three hours teaching English to a recent immigrant. Those hours become credits. She spends them on home repairs from a neighbor who knows carpentry. He spends his credits on childcare. The loop keeps moving.This is a Time Bank - a community exchange system built on one radical premise: everyone's time is worth the same. One hour of legal advice equals one hour of gardening equals one hour of emotional support. The hierarchy of market wages disappears. What remains is a web of people who need each other.Edgar Cahn, who developed Time Banking in the 1980s after surviving a near-fatal heart attack, called it “co-production” - the idea that the economy needs what the market can never price: care, community, civic participation, the work of raising children and holding elders. Time Banks make that invisible labor visible, and circulate it back into the community that produced it.Today there are over 500 Time Banks operating in more than 30 countries. Some have formalized into neighborhood institutions. Others run through apps. All of them rest on the same foundation the Quechua called Ayni - sacred reciprocity - translated into the language of modern urban life.Mondragon CorporationThe Mondragon Corporation in Spain's Basque region remains the most studied proof that democratic ownership functions at scale. Founded by six worker-owners in 1956, it now comprises 96 cooperatives employing over 70,000 people, with annual revenues exceeding €11 billion. Workers own the company collectively, vote on strategy at general assemblies, and operate under a constitutionally capped pay ratio of 6-to-1 between the highest and lowest earners.Traditional Dream FactoryIn a 25-hectare village in Alentejo, Portugal, Traditional Dream Factory is a living prototype of the self-sustaining regenerative community - blending collective ownership, ecological restoration, intentional community, and decentralized economy in one working place. They have raised over €1.25 million in total capital across 280+ token holders. Their 2026 build phase is completing co-living rooms, artist studios, a farm-to-table restaurant, a mushroom farm, and a biopool wellness space.AtreyuInvestment, as most of us have encountered it, prioritizes short-term financial returns above all else. Atreyu challenges this at the root by approaching investment through living systems principles and deep relational due diligence. They support their investees to ensure that both the enterprises and the ecosystems they steward realize their potential - together. They focus on early-stage businesses and actively encourage steward-ownership models that enshrine self-governance and purpose orientation.Muyu CoinOne of the first social coins in South America, Based in Ecuador - Muyu serves as an alternative exchange system rooted in community trust and an understanding of sacred economy. It protects the sovereignty of communities in their production, distribution, exchange, consumption, and post-consumption - keeping the loop of value inside the community rather than extracting it outward. It uses Cyclos, an enchrypted platform, a base.It first did an attempt to start in 2015, but not many people showed interest. It then came back very strong in 2020, due to the “plandemic”. People felt the need to have alternative ways to transact that was not controlled by limiting governments. Giving communities complete independence. Currently with over 150+ members who are exchanging goods and services in different nodes throughout the country. From food produce, clothing and art -to- car mechanic, dentists and school teachers serving to the community.Grassroots EconomicsFounded in Kenya, Grassroots Economics supports communities in building their own self-sustaining economies - even when national currency is scarce - through a model called Commitment Pooling.Consider Wanjiru, a vegetable seller in Mombasa's Bangla Pesa network. During a slow week when Kenyan shillings are tight, she issues a Community Asset Voucher - a commitment to provide vegetables - and deposits it into a communal pool. Her neighbor, a carpenter named Kamau, redeems it. He offers his own labor in return. The loop closes. Food reaches a family that needed it. A roof gets repaired. No national currency changes hands.This is not a workaround. It is a return to how value was always supposed to move.Since Grassroots Economics was established in 2010, they have supported 26,600 people across 290+ communities, issuing over 2,140 vouchers. Their protocol is inspired by indigenous Rotational Labor Associations similar to Kenya's mwethya and harambee traditions. It is open-source and blockchain-agnostic - meaning any community, anywhere, can deploy it.The Choice in Front of UsThese regenerative endeavors share one answer to the core assumption of the extractive economy: the economy does not need to extract in order to function. Value can circulate and regenerate rather than accumulate. Ecological health, community resilience, and the wellbeing of the next generations are not costs to minimize - they are the actual metrics that demonstrate economic success.The question is no longer whether it is possible. It is happening. The question is whether enough of us choose to participate in building it, and whether we remember our roles as stewards of the Earth that has always sustained us.We get to choose the future we want for ourselves, our children, and the seven generations that come after.Your Role in the Regenerative EconomyReading this is already a kind of remembering. The question that follows is simple: where do you begin?The regenerative economy is not waiting to be invented. It is waiting to be joined. Every one of the models described here started with a small group of people who decided to practice a different relationship with value - before it was proven, before it was popular, before it was funded.Here are real entry points, available now:Start with your immediate circle. Identify three skills or resources you have in excess - time, knowledge, food from a garden, tools sitting unused. Offer them. Ask for what you need in return. This is Ayni. It requires no platform, no signup, no permission.Relocalize your spending. Every dollar (fiat currency) that circulates inside a local economy multiplies its impact without leaving the community. Farmers markets, community-supported agriculture, local cooperatives, regenerative small businesses - these are not lifestyle choices. They are votes for a different system, cast weekly.Find or start a Time Bank in your area. hOurworld.org and TimeBanks.org maintain active directories. If nothing exists near you, starting one requires little more than a spreadsheet and a Telegram/Whatsapp group.Join a community working on this. It can be our Regenerative Leadership Community from www.regenerativeculture.life is one place. There are others - transition towns, ecovillages, commons networks - in most regions of the world. Find your people. The regenerative economy is, at its root, a relationship economy. It does not work alone.Learn the language. Permaculture design, commons governance, cooperative economics, sacred reciprocity - these are not abstract concepts. They are practical skills with deep traditions behind them. The more fluent you become, the more useful you are to the communities building this.The scale of what needs to change can feel paralyzing. It is not meant to. The models described in this article did not begin at scale. Mondragon began with six people. Grassroots Economics began in one neighborhood in Mombasa. The Quechua did not design Ayni for a movement - they designed it for a harvest.Start where you are. With what you have. With whoever is near you. That has always been enough to begin. It's not easy, but it is possible.Written by Gertie Farenas and Yoshi Pantera - 90% by us humans and 10% AI assisted.This Audio is recorded by a true voice - Yoshi PanteraThis article is part of the Regenerative Culture Chronicle - a publication exploring the ideas, practices, and communities building a world that benefits all life.Learn more at RegenerativeCulture.LifeThanks for reading Regenerative Culture Chronicle! This post is public so feel free to share it.Regenerative Culture Chronicle is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Thank you! Get full access to Regenerative Culture Chronicle at regenerativecultureworld.substack.com/subscribe
In this episode of Swiss Money Secrets, Jess Roberson, Jamie Vrijhof and Urs Droese explore one of the most pressing questions in global finance: will the US default on its debt and has it already done so in the past?The conversation begins with a look at Switzerland's position as the world leader in AI research per capita, before diving into the main topic. Jess Roberson, Jamie Vrijhof and Urs Droese walk through the historical moments that reshaped the US monetary system: the 1933 gold revaluation under FDR, the 1971 Nixon shock and the end of Bretton Woods, and the 1979 gold revaluation, examining whether each represented a quiet form of default through monetary manipulation rather than an outright failure to pay.From there the discussion moves to today: the US debt is growing at an unsustainable pace, foreign holders are dropping treasury bills, and one in every five government dollars is now spent on interest payments alone. The team explores the possible paths forward, including a return to the gold standard, the rise of stablecoins backed by treasury bills, and what a shift to a multipolar reserve currency world could look like.The episode closes with a practical message for American investors: regardless of how the monetary system evolves, diversification and currency consideration are essential tools for protecting purchasing power across generations.Contact WHVPWebsite: https://whvp.ch/Email: info@whvp.chTelephone: +41 44 315 77 77Schedule a Meeting: https://whvp.ch/get-startedAbout WHVPWHVP is not just another asset manager. We are an independent firm specializing in managing the funds of private clients. Registered with the SEC in the U.S. and located in Zurich, Switzerland, we are associated with several first-class private banks in Switzerland and Liechtenstein, which serve as custodian banks for our clients' accounts. Our asset management principles are rooted in conservative, long-term-oriented capital preservation strategies. We prioritize personalized service, crafting portfolios that are shielded against U.S. Dollar depreciation while leveraging overseas investment opportunities.Disclaimer: All posts and publications are for your information only and are not intended as an offer, promotion, or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument or perform any other financial transactions. All information and opinions expressed in posts and publications reflect our current views as of the date of the publication and may be liable to change without notice.
“The rules-based system just hasn't worked. China's system is so opaque that you can't see the subsidies. And when you've got China not interested in new rules and the US not interested in a referee, you've got two of the world's biggest actors who aren't on board.” — Soumaya Keynes It would have been nice to get John Maynard Keynes on the show to get his critique of Trump's trade war. But in the long run, we're all dead — even old Maynard. So instead, we found his great-great-niece, Soumaya Keynes — Financial Times columnist and co-author of How to Win a Trade War: An Optimistic Guide to an Anxious Global Economy. Having already appeared on Jon Stewart this week, Soumaya has a bit of Keynesian star quality about her. But she's also a first-rate economist. Her thesis is that the old rules-based trading system that her great-great-uncle helped design after World War II is gone. And it ain't coming back. China's subsidies are so opaque that rules can't be written to constrain them, let alone enforced. The US is no longer willing to submit to a referee. Without the two biggest players, no rules-based system is meaningful. So — now what? Keynes says we must think like a trade warrior. Donald Trump should leverage the tools available — but use them strategically. Trump's error in his second term was not being tough on China while being too tough on everyone else, especially allies like Canada and Mexico. Soumaya Keynes' most contemporary idea might be her most Keynesian one. John Maynard Keynes proposed penalties for countries running large trade surpluses as well as those running deficits — recognising that global imbalances are a two-sided problem. That idea didn't make it into the 1944 Bretton Woods agreement. Eighty years later, in equally anxious economic times, his optimistic great-great-niece is reviving it. Five Takeaways • Can Trade Wars Be Won? Yes, Sometimes: The conventional wisdom: no one wins a trade war. Keynes and Bown agree — in theory. In practice, countries in a weaker position cave. History has examples: France in the late nineteenth century told its trading partners they were renegotiating treaties, and the smaller partners complied. Trump's tariffs in his first term produced concessions. The problem is not that trade wars can't be won. It's that the smaller power's only defence — coordinating with other smaller powers — is extremely hard to sustain. There's always an incentive to cut a deal first. • China Is the Doper on the Sports Field: Keynes's sharpest analogy: the global trading system is like a sports game that needs rules to ensure a level playing field. China's subsidies — cheap credit, corporate handouts, opaque support for state-linked companies — are the equivalent of performance-enhancing drugs. The problem is that unlike doping in sport, China's subsidies are invisible. You can write a rule saying China won't give these handouts. But you can't verify compliance. And without enforcement, rules are meaningless. The WTO has not solved this. Nothing has solved this. • Trump Was Right About China, Wrong About Everything Else: Keynes is careful here. She credits Robert Lighthizer in Trump's first term with identifying China as the real problem and building a focused strategy. In the second term, Trump put tariffs on everyone simultaneously — which dissipated leverage, alienated the coalition of allies needed to pressure Beijing, and mixed up the problem of China's subsidies with grievances against Canada, Mexico, and the EU. If you were genuinely tough on China, you wouldn't have put tariffs on everyone. You would have been more targeted. • The Rules-Based System Is Gone and Isn't Coming Back: Why can't we return to the system Keynes's great-great-uncle helped build? Two reasons. China's subsidies are too opaque to write enforceable rules against. And the US has lost confidence in any international referee — a long and complex story, but the result is that America won't submit to neutral adjudication. Without the two biggest players, no rules-based system is meaningful. Yearning for the old approach is not an option. A new strategy is needed — and that's what the book is about. • AI and the Next Trade War: Services: AI is central to the US-China conflict already — chip restrictions, military advantage, economic supremacy. But Keynes's less-noticed observation: AI could fundamentally reshape international services trade. The UK, for example, is a massive services exporter — finance, legal, consulting, accounting. If AI eliminates demand for those services, the UK faces a new current account crisis, new trade tensions, a new wave of economic conflict. Nobody knows how this plays out. Which is why, she suggests, the tools in the book will remain relevant for longer than the current tariff cycle. About the Guests Soumaya Keynes is an economics columnist at the Financial Times and host of The Economics Show with Soumaya Keynes. Before joining the FT she spent eight years at The Economist. She co-founded the Trade Talks podcast with Chad Bown during Trump's first term. Chad P. Bown is the Reginald Jones Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and former Chief Economist at the US State Department under President Biden. Together they are the authors of How to Win a Trade War: An Optimistic Guide to an Anxious Global Economy (Simon & Schuster, May 26, 2026). References: • How to Win a Trade War: An Optimistic Guide to an Anxious Global Economy by Soumaya Keynes and Chad P. Bown (Simon & Schuster, May 26, 2026). • Soumaya Keynes on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart, May 19, 2026 — referenced in the interview. • Episode 2892: Jason Pack on the Iran war — the companion episode on America's strategic distractions from the China problem. About Keen On America Nobody asks more awkward questions than the Anglo-American writer and filmmaker Andrew Keen. In Keen On America, Andrew brings his pointed Transatlantic wit to making sense of the United States — hosting daily interviews about the history and future of this now venerable Republic. With nearly 2,900 episodes since the show launched on TechCrunch in 2010, Keen On America is the most prolific intellectual interview show in the history of podcasting. WebsiteSubstackYouT...
Take 730 delegates from 44 countries, plus another 2,000 or so hangers-on. House them in a remote, dilapidated hotel with holes in the roof and broken furniture. Deliver a train wagon filled with alcohol. Throw in some Russian spies, German prisoners of war, a troupe of bombshell “secretaries” and a magician. And then have the lead protagonist, the world's most famous economist, almost die of a heart attack. What does that give you? Only the most successful international monetary negotiation in history. This is the story of the Bretton Woods conference of 1944, as relayed by journalist and author Ed Conway to hosts Gillian Tett and Robin Wigglesworth. The three weeks of chaotic talks would deliver three decades of postwar peace and prosperity, and enthrone the US dollar as the global reserve currency. The discussions also nearly killed Britain's lead negotiator, John Maynard Keynes, and would later disgrace his US counterpart, Harry Dexter White.Further reading:The Summit, by Ed Conway (2015)The Economic Consequences of the Peace, by John Maynard Keynes (1919)John Maynard Keynes, biography by Robert Skidelsky in three volumes (1983-2000)Treasonable Doubt: The Harry Dexter White Spy Case, by R Bruce Craig (2004)Credits: King's College Cambridge, the IMF, Dreamstime, Getty Images, the Hulton Archive, Ullstein Bild, Bettmann, Shutterstock, the LIFE Picture Collection, Thomas D McAvoy, Alfred Eisenstaedt, and the Darling Archive.To enjoy future episodes, be sure to subscribe to The Story of Money wherever you get your podcasts, also on the show's dedicated YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/@FTTheStoryOfMoneyHosts: Gillian Tett and Robin WigglesworthProducer: Laurence KnightExecutive Producers: Flo Phillips and Manuela SaragosaOriginal music: Breen TurnerBroadcast engineers: Bianca Wakeman and Petros GiuompasisPodcast Development: Laura ClarkeVideo editor: Kristen Kenyon and Josh Divney at Podcast DiscoveryLearn more at ft.com/tsom or get in touch at thestoryofmoney@ft.com.Love listening to FT Podcasts? Join us live on Saturday June 20 at our inaugural NYC FT Weekend Festival at Spring Studios. Put your questions directly to our experts, experience your favourite podcast in person, and see the FT come to life. Register now and enjoy 10% off with code FTPodcast — this is one Saturday you won't want to miss. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Asked what secret he would use his resources to uncover, CZ says he would pick the private discussions around Richard Nixon's 1971 decision to close the gold window and end dollar convertibility, a move that destroyed Bretton Woods and launched the modern fiat currency system.
A pesar de la tregua comercial entre China y Estados Unidos de octubre pasado, persisten asuntos explosivos en las tensas relaciones entre los dos países, entre otros, las ventas de armas de Estados Unidos a Taiwán, el control de las exportaciones de tierras raras por parte de China o la política arancelaria. Laia Comerma, consultora de negocios, destaca un punto relevante: sentarse a discutir sobre Taiwán. Trump llega a China para su visita oficial acompañado de un puñado de dirigentes empresariales, entre otros, los de Tesla, Apple y Boeing, para pedirle a su homólogo chino que abra el país a empresas estadounidenses. Sin embargo, es sobre Taiwán que este encuentro ha tomado un rumbo inédito. "El hecho de que se discuta el tema de Taiwán ya es muy relevante en sí, porque desde Reagan, la política de Estados Unidos es que sus ventas de armas a Taiwán no es algo que se discuta ni que deba discutirse con la China", explica la consultora Laia Comerma, presidenta de la Cámara para la Cooperación Hispano China. "En Estados Unidos se consideraba que ese no era un asunto de su incumbencia, según la Taiwan Relations Act de los Estados Unidos. El hecho de que Trump si esté dispuesto a discutir sobre eso ya de por sí es muy relevante y cambia la política de Estados Unidos hacia Taiwán. Esto puede tener un efecto muy significativo en un primer plano en la política doméstica de Taiwán. Y, por el otro lado, están las ‘garantías de seguridad', las cuales han posibilitado la autonomía y el statu quo en el estrecho de Taiwán. Ahora bien, si cambiase cualquier pieza de este rompecabezas gigante, complicado e inestable podría desencadenar un efecto domino". El encuentro entre los dos líderes se produce en un contexto interno difícil para Trump, con baja popularidad alimentada por la guerra de Irán y un repunte de la inflación, pero también lo es para Xi Jinping, pues China está atravesando un momento incierto para su economía marcado por el débil consumo interno y una persistente deuda del sector inmobiliario. Pero es en la imagen exterior, en la fiabilidad, donde China quiere ganar con sus cartas, dice Laia Comerma. "China desde el inicio del mandato del presidente Donald Trump se está presentando como una fuente de estabilidad, como el principal promotor del régimen multilateral. Aunque podamos preguntarnos qué representa ese régimen multilateral. Eso se puede discutir. Pero sí que es verdad que en un momento en el que Trump está atacando las instituciones que Estados Unidos había creado con el régimen de Bretton Woods, China se está presentando, mientras tanto, como una fuente de libre comercio, de literalidad y de globalización". Trump puede necesitar la ayuda de Xi para conseguir que Irán acceda a un acuerdo y para que Pekín consienta en reducir o eliminar sus compras de crudo procedente de la República Islámica.
bto - beyond the obvious 2.0 - der neue Ökonomie-Podcast von Dr. Daniel Stelter
Prof. Marcel Fratzscher, Präsident des Deutschen Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) Berlin, hat vorgeschlagen, die Bundesbank solle einen Teil ihrer Goldreserven verkaufen, um mit den Erlösen die dringend nötigen Investitionen in die Zukunft zu tätigen. Ein Vorschlag, der nicht nur einmal mehr verdeutlicht, wie sehr die staatlichen Finanzen aus dem Ruder laufen, sondern auch, wie gering die Neigung in Politik und der ihr zugeneigten Wissenschaft ist, die unumgängliche Priorisierung der Staatsausgaben endlich vorzunehmen. Wie schon die Milliarden-Schulden aus den sogenannten “Sondervermögen” dürften auch Milliarden aus Goldverkäufen letztlich nur dem Stopfen von Haushaltslöchern dienen. Viel schwerer wiegt, dass der Vorschlag von einem eklatanten Mangel an Verständnis für die geänderte geopolitische Lage zeugt. Während die Notenbanken der Welt massiv ihre Goldbestände aufstocken und jene, die in den letzten Jahren Gold verkauft haben, dies bitterlich bedauern, soll Deutschland den entgegengesetzten Weg einschlagen? Gold könnte bei einer Neuordnung des Weltwährungssystems eine entscheidende Rolle spielen und wäre auch für den Fall eines Zerfalls des Euro und einem Neustart der Mark ein wesentlicher Anker in der Bundesbankbilanz. So unwahrscheinlich so ein Szenario heute erscheint, so wichtig ist es, darauf vorbereitet zu sein. Denn nur das wäre die Krise, die den Einsatz von Gold rechtfertigt. Die Bedeutung der Bilanz der Bundesbank war Gegenstand eines Gesprächs in Folge 176 mit Dr. Ingo Sauer im Januar 2023. In Anbetracht der Fantasien, den deutschen Goldschatz zu schröpfen, ist es Zeit für ein bto REFRESH! Hinweis ABSTURZ – So retten wir Deutschland: das neue Buch von Daniel Stelter. Jetzt überall, wo es Bücher gibt. Auch bestellbar bei Thalia, Amazon, geniallokal.HörerserviceKolumne Deutschlands goldenes Sparschwein von Prof. Marcel Fratzscher (DIW) in DIE ZEIT (08.05.2026): https://is.gd/aOplWl Beitrag Marcel Fratzscher: Goldreserven als „riesiges Sparschwein für Krisen“ – wie diese? in Frankfurter Allgmeine Zeitung (26.04.2026): https://is.gd/ZhEgAF Beitrag Fratzscher fordert Teilverkauf von Reserven zur Krisenbewältigung im Handelsblatt (27.04.2026): https://is.gd/ERi5TW Interview Die Goldreserven sind sicher mit Burkhard Balz, Mitglied des Vorstands der Deutschen Bundesbank, in Welt am Sonntag (21.03.2026): https://is.gd/YHUtGm Leitartikel Die Bundesbank sollte ihr Gold weder verlagern noch verkaufen im Handelsblatt (26.01.2026): https://is.gd/mlaRvi Analyse des World Gold Council: Gold Demand Trends — Zentralbanken Jahr 2025 (863 t Nettokäufe): https://is.gd/3PCuWg Beitrag Bundesbank: Wert der deutschen Goldreserven steigt auf 395 Milliarden Euro auf FinanzNachrichten.de (Meldung dpa-AFX, 05.03.2026): https://is.gd/XxeQ8M Beitrag zur Entwicklung der Goldbestände seit Bretton Woods auf der Homepage der Deutschen Bundesbank: https://is.gd/NtRgwR GoldPrice.org Goldpreis am 01.05.2026 — 4.627 USD/Unze: https://is.gd/JSgC3E bto #176 Ernsthafte Bedrohung des Geldwerts (Januar 2023) mit Dr. Ingo Sauer: https://is.gd/leH9F7 beyond the obvious – Neue Analysen, Kommentare und Einschätzungen zur Wirtschafts- und Finanzlage finden Sie unter think-bto.com.Newsletter – Den monatlichen bto-Newsletter abonnieren Sie hier.Redaktionskontakt – Wir freuen uns über Ihre Meinungen, Anregungen und Kritik unter podcast@think-bto.com.Handelsblatt – Bis zum 13. Mai 2026: Unabhängiger Journalismus und Meinungsfreiheit sind keine Selbstverständlichkeiten. Zum Tag der Pressefreiheit gibt es deshalb beim Handelsblatt ein besonderes Angebot: 12 Monate Zugang mit 50 % Rabatt. Alle Infos unter handelsblatt.com/pressefreiheitWerbepartner – Informationen zu den Angeboten unserer aktuellen Werbepartner finden Sie hier. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The post-WWII global order is officially dead—and a new era is beginning. In the episode recorded live at the S&P Global Market Intelligence's Annual Community Bankers Conference on May 6, geopolitical strategist and author Dr. George Friedman discusses the conflict between the U.S. and Iran, Russia's failure in the Ukraine, how America reinvents itself through instability, and the pivotal U.S.-China summit on May 14. Dr. Friedman's core argument: The entire Bretton Woods system—NATO, multilateral trade, the U.S.-European alliance—was built to contain the Soviet Union. Russia's catastrophic failure in Ukraine proved that threat no longer exists, rendering the old framework obsolete. What's replacing it is a bilateral U.S.-China order that could reshape global economics for a generation.
The Clarity Act is being sold as stablecoin regulation, but the real story is much bigger. This breaks down how the US could use private stablecoins to extend dollar dominance, funnel global demand into Treasuries, and quietly roll out a CBDC-style system through the back door. Michael Saylor, Ray Dalio, Bretton Woods, fiat debasement, AI, and Bitcoin all collide in one massive macro shift.SPONSORS✅ Lednhttps://www.nmj1gs2i.com/9W598/9B9DM/?source_id=podcastSimply Bitcoin clients get 0.25% off their first loanNeed liquidity without selling your Bitcoin? Ledn has been the trusted Bitcoin-backed lending platform for 6+ years. Access your BTC's value while HODLing.
LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE on:Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/watchdog-on-wall-street-with-chris-markowski/id570687608 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2PtgPvJvqc2gkpGIkNMR5i WATCH and SUBSCRIBE on:https://www.youtube.com/@WatchdogOnWallstreet/featured Another round of Trump tariffs just got blocked in court — exactly like we said would happen. The U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that Trump's new Section 122 tariffs were unlawful because the law was designed for balance-of-payments emergencies, not general trade deficits. The administration knew the legal ground was shaky from the start.In this episode, we break down:• Why the court ruled Trump's “Tariff 2.0” plan illegal• What Section 122 was actually created for after Bretton Woods collapsed• How the White House likely knew these tariffs wouldn't survive judicial review• Why this strategy mirrors Biden's legally questionable student-loan maneuvers• How Trump may now pivot toward “Tariff 3.0” targeting countries accused of “taking advantage” of the U.S.• Why markets and allies are increasingly nervous about unpredictable escalationAnd the uncomfortable reality: people may now fear Trump's reaction to losing more than the policy itself.
In this episode of Soar Financially, Clive Thompson, a retired Swiss wealth manager with 50 years of experience, reveals the real strategy behind a potential gold revaluation reset. Could the U.S. use a massive gold price reset to erase its debt?We explore the brewing battle between Trump and Powell, the Fed's next move, and why Jerome Powell's sudden exit could spark a gold and equity market boom. From Basel III and COMEX deliveries to Bretton Woods 3.0 and dollar devaluation, Clive connects the dots between central banks, debt relief, and gold manipulation.#Gold #Powell #debtcrisis
Vad händer med inflationen när AI gör ekonomin fundamentalt mer produktiv? Ska centralbanker hålla fast vid inflationsmålet på 2% – eller måste hela ramverket omprövas? I veckans avsnitt medverkar: Jacob Bursell, Monopol MediaHampus Brodén, medgrundare och vd för bolånebolaget StabeloViktor Fritzén, styrelseproffs och investerareRobert Bergqvist, seniorekonom på SEB med drygt 20 år på SEB och tio år på Riksbanken TIDSSTÄMPLAR 00:00:00 Introduktion – Robert Bergqvists bakgrund och avsnittets tema 00:04:00 Inflationsmålet på 2% – varför det finns och varför Robert försvarar det 00:08:00 Globaliseringen och billig asiatisk arbetskraft – en dold inflationsbroms? 00:12:00 Fallande räntor, nollräntor och minusräntor – vart gick det snett? 00:16:00 Japan – varför skapade inte QE inflation där? 00:24:00 Tillgångsprisinflation och ekonomisk ojämlikhet 00:28:00 Pandemins inflation – supply chains, stimulanser och vad som faktiskt hände 00:36:00 Förändrat prissättningsbeteende – varför priserna inte gick ner igen 00:40:00 Bretton Woods, guldstandarden och varför vi tror att pengar har ett värde 00:48:00 AI och arbetsmarknaden – IMF räknar med att 40% av alla jobb påverkas 00:52:00 Sverige halkar efter – Robert orolig för politisk handlingskraft 00:56:00 AI och inflation – disinflation på lång sikt, men vad händer under omställningen? 01:04:00 Hampus fringe-scenario: AI-värdet stannar i USA, arbetslösheten sprids till Europa 01:12:00 Svenska storbolag och beroendet av amerikanska molntjänster och AI-modeller 01:16:00 Oförutsägbar vs osäker framtid – en avgörande distinktion för centralbanker 01:24:00 Hur kom inflationsmålet på 2% egentligen till? 01:28:00 Ojämlikhet, populism och de sociala konsekvenserna av en snabbt föränderlig värld OM PODDEN Marknaden är en podd om börs, ekonomi och finans. Vi som gör den är Hampus Brodén, Johan Isaksson, Petter Hjerstedt, Viktor Fritzén, Lars Jörnow och Jacob Bursell. Följ oss på X: https://x.com/marknadspodden Hör av er till oss på jacob@monopolmedia.se #marknaden #ekonomi #inflation #AI #penningpolitik #Riksbanken #SEB
Ich war eine Woche in Tunesien — beruflich beim Kunden, mitten in einer IT-Modernisierung. Change-Begleitung mit meiner FRIDGE-Methodik: Kubernetes, Terraform, Cybersecurity auf der technischen Seite, ich auf der menschlichen. Und direkt danach: diese Folge. Gerade hat man das Gefühl: diese Krise ist einmalig. Trump bombardiert den Iran, die Straße von Hormuz wird dicht, Ölpreise schießen hoch, KI disruptiert Geschäftsmodelle. So schlimm wie jetzt war es doch noch nie. War es aber. Und genau darum geht's heute. Ein Blick zurück: Disruption ist kein neues Phänomen Ich zeige, dass wir uns seit Jahrzehnten alle paar Jahre in vermeintlich einmaligen Krisen befinden: 1970er: Ölkrise, Zusammenbruch von Bretton Woods, nuklearer Kalter Krieg 1980er: Rezession, höchste Arbeitslosigkeit seit der Nachkriegszeit, Tschernobyl 1990er: Zusammenbruch der Sowjetunion, Asienkrise, Jugoslawienkrieg 2000er: 9/11, Finanzkrise 2008 2010er: Eurokrise, Arabischer Frühling, Flüchtlingskrise, Brexit 2020er: Corona, Ukraine-Krieg, KI-Disruption, Trump 2.0 Das Muster: Alle 5-7 Jahre eine Situation, die sich einmalig anfühlt. Und jedes Mal sagen die Beteiligten: So etwas haben wir noch nie erlebt. Was Resilienz wirklich bedeutet Resilienz bedeutet nicht, Notfallpläne zu schreiben. Es bedeutet, Führungssysteme aufzubauen, in denen Menschen an den richtigen Schaltstellen Entscheidungen treffen können — auch ohne Anweisung von oben. Wie ein Orchester, das nie zusammengeprobt hat und plötzlich unter Stress vor hundert Zuschauern auftreten soll. Selbst wenn die Einzelmusiker gut sind — es klingt nicht zusammen. Zentrale Voraussetzung: Psychologische Sicherheit. Nur wenn Menschen sich trauen, Dinge auszuprobieren — und Fehler machen dürfen — entstehen neue Lösungen für neue Situationen. Krisengewinner vs. Krisenverlierer Krisengewinner haben vorher investiert — in Kultur, in Systeme, in Menschen. Sie haben Rahmen geschaffen, in denen sich Teams frei bewegen können. Sie haben Führungskräfte, die ihre Leute kennen, Stärken einsetzen und Raum für Wachstum schaffen. Krisenverlierer rudern zurück. Sie zentralisieren, dirigieren von oben. Und hoffen, dass es irgendwie vorbeizieht. KI-Readiness: kein Abkürzung möglich Unternehmen, die noch nicht digitalisiert sind, können KI nicht nutzen. Unternehmen, die nicht agil sind, werden mit KI Schwierigkeiten haben. Die Reihenfolge ist: Digitalisierung → Agilisierung → KI-Readiness. Abkürzungen funktionieren nicht. Das AMPLIFY Audit Ich arbeite gerade mit einem neuen Modell, das Führungskräften und Organisationen hilft, KI-ready zu werden. Kern ist das AMPLIFY Audit: In maximal drei Tagen analysiere ich für einen Festpreis, wo ihr steht — und liefere einen priorisierten Aktionsplan für die nächsten Schritte. Du bist Führungskraft, Abteilungsleiter oder Geschäftsführer und das klingt interessant? Dann meld dich gern für ein erstes Gespräch. Links Erstgespräch buchen: https://calendar.app.google/W3x9y1ErtU7xMmAFA Website: https://marcloeffler.eu LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/in/marcsteffenloeffler/ Podcast Unsichtbar Chronisch (für unsichtbare chronische Erkrankungen)
Welcome to Part 3 of our special four-part Deep Dive series into the international system! This week, we move from the historical and philosophical origins of the "Western Bubble" directly into the 20th century to examine the creation of the modern global order.Following the devastation of the Second World War, Western powers embarked on an unprecedented era of institution building. But were organizations like the UN and the Bretton Woods institutions created to save the world from hell, or to ensure Western dominance? The episode begins with an audio essay read by our producer, Stefani, exploring how the West attempted to project its own domestic success onto the rest of the globe.Following the essay, Dario and Balder unpack the immense arrogance of the 1940s geopolitical landscape. We discuss: The Illusion of Universality: How the Universal Declaration of Human Rights was drafted by a small, Western-dominated vanguard that assumed its own history was the inevitable endpoint for all of humanity. The Danger of Vague Language: Why international law is intentionally written at a "middle school level," and how this ambiguity allows powerful nations to weaponise morality for their own strategic agendas. The "Sword of Damocles": How the West uses the guise of democracy and human rights to justify hypocritical military interventions—supporting dictators when convenient, and overthrowing them when they are not.Note to our listeners: This is Part 3 of a 4-part series on the international system. Next week, we will conclude the Deep Dive by exploring the spectacular collapse of this system in the 21st century and the ultimate decline of Western geopolitical legitimacy.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at thewesternbubble@gmail.com.
They'll tell you Wall Street corrupted the system. That's the distraction. The real power wasn't in the bribes — it was in the blueprint.Before the Federal Reserve existed, a small network of bankers had already written the rules. The 1907 Panic wasn't a crisis they survived — it was the crisis they used. Jekyll Island wasn't a secret meeting. It was a founding session. And the system they designed wasn't built to serve the public. It was built to serve the architects.This episode investigates the hidden financial history of how America's central banking system was constructed — not by politicians, but by a private banking cartel that had already spent decades perfecting its methods. This isn't monetary theory. This is how power actually moves.What you'll discover:— Who was really in the room at Jekyll Island and what they decided— How the 1907 Panic was used to manufacture public consent for central banking— Why the Federal Reserve was designed to concentrate power, not distribute it— The blueprint that still runs the financial system todayCHAPTERS:00:00 Cold Open: The Lie They Taught You About Wall Street00:28 Lesson 1: The Blueprint Before the Federal Reserve01:24 Lesson 2: Jekyll Island — Who Really Designed the Fed03:50 Lesson 3: War, Debt, and How America Replaced London06:49 Lesson 4: Bretton Woods and the Architecture of Global Control09:50 Lesson 5: Deregulation, 2008, and Too Big to Fail12:18 The Ledger Today: What the System Was Actually Built For
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Vijay Boyapati is the author of The Bullish Case for Bitcoin, widely considered one of the most important foundational philosophical texts in the space.› https://x.com/real_vijay
Is the Iran War a pre-planned controlled demolition of the failing Petrodollar system — and the engineered launch of Phase 2 of the Great Reset? In this episode, Alex Sachon expands on his Substack article exploring the geopolitical, financial, and historical forces driving the current conflict. Drawing on the work of F. William Engdahl and others, Alex traces the arc from the Bretton Woods collapse and the 1973 oil shock to today's Iran War — arguing that the same imperial playbook is being run again, this time to transition the world out of the Petrodollar era and into a new technocratic global order.Topics covered include the role of Zionism as a US imperial asset, the engineered 1979 Iranian Revolution, the deep state's relationship with the Trump administration, and what the Great Reset really signifies for the future of Israel, the NeoCons, and the American Empire itself.
A version of this essay has been published by firstpost.com at https://www.firstpost.com/opinion/iran-war-no-winners-oil-de-dollarisation-global-impact-13992276.htmlWar is hell, we all know, and it's bad for everybody, but there is – usually – a winner. After more than three weeks of the Iran war, I am beginning to believe that there are no winners here, only losers. The principals are overextending themselves, and will suffer as a consequence. Innocent or not-so-innocent bystanders are suffering significant collateral damage.Some are getting hurt more than others, so it's mostly a question of degree: but the bottom line is that this is war that is just not good for anybody. As usual, Henry Kissinger had a useful aphorism: “It's a pity both sides can't lose”, quoth he. (Hat tip to reader Sudarshan M). Well, Henry, both sides are losing this one, so take heart: your wish has come true.Someone made the analogy of going to Family Court with a dispute: there are no winners, as the father, mother, and the children, will all suffer, whatever the outcome. It is best in that situation to listen to a counselor and solve your problems amicably. Similarly, it would be good to find a neutral intermediary to help iron out a ceasefire in this war, too.In a way, this war is the classic idea of irresistible force meeting an immovable object, thus leading to a stalemate, as Walter Russel Mead suggested in the Wall Street Journal.First, the toll on the belligerents, in alphabetical order:* Iran. It is creditable that Iran has held out against the might of the US war machine for three weeks and more. My belief is that they can keep it up for a while longer, because they have been preparing for this eventuality for some decades, ever since the 1979 crisis in which they held Americans hostage for 444 days. They are taking, and will take, horrendous losses, but it will be difficult to completely overthrow the Islamist regime. Among other things, Iran is a large country, about half the size of peninsular India.* The US attack on Kharg Island's military targets (but not its oil terminals) has shown that Iran's oil exports could be in jeopardy, pushing global prices up.* Just like their proxy Hamas, it appears Iran has built extensive tunnel complexes, veritable underground labyrinths, where they are hiding all sorts of things, including fast patrol boats. Their military assets are doubtless ensconced in these tunnels which makes them hard to locate and possibly quite mobile.* Israel. Iran's consistent rhetoric that Israel doesn't deserve to exist leads to fears that Iran's nuclear arsenal (if and when built) will be primarily aimed at Israel. This, and troubles with Iranian proxies such as Hezbollah and Hamas, have led to massive Israeli human intelligence penetration of Iran (as seen in the Stuxnet incident as well as the effective strikes on the Ayatollahs and Hamas, including the pager incident). But Israel is also believed to be taking heavy losses, which it can ill afford, although information has been tightly censored. There were apparently missile attacks near Israel's nuclear sites at Dimona as well.* The US. The original idea of a decapitation strike that would lead to a rapid regime change as the Iranian public rose up and anointed a new leadership (one more acceptable to the US), was questionable, as I pointed out fairly early. It appears that the CIA and US intelligence have just one playbook, which they used more or less successfully in Iraq, Libya, etc. But that was never going to work in Iran, and now the US is stuck with a tar-baby and may be quietly seeking de-escalation and an off-ramp.* Talk of a Marine Expeditionary Unit of 2500 American soldiers re-deployed from Japan means “boots on the ground” followed inevitably by that dreaded word, “body bags”. The troops will be meant to keep Hormuz open, or perhaps to capture Kharg Island. Whether they can achieve these is unclear right now.* However, overall it appears that the US' capacity to coerce other countries through economic means is declining, as suggested by the FT in “The era of US dominance in economic warfare is over” on March 17th.Now for the others in the firing line and in the periphery:* The GCC, consisting of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. They have taken the brunt of the Iranian drone and missile attacks, and their oil and gas exports, and economies, are affected by the closure of the Straits of Hormuz. But more alarmingly, their food and water supplies may also be affected, and they are, being desert nations, highly dependent on imported items via the blockaded Hormuz, and critically dependent on their desalination plants. Keeping the Straits of Hormuz open may be critical for them. They have been with human casualties, infrastructure damage, and reputational damage as well. In particular, Dubai, which has been a magnet for high-net-worth individuals, is affected.* Lebanon and Jordan. Lebanon was hit by Israeli fire, and Jordan by Iranian fire, although they are mostly bystanders. Israel has been responding to increased activity by Iranian proxy Hezbollah, and Iran has sent drones and missiles towards Jordan as part of general horizontal escalation.* Pakistan and Turkey. These are wild card nations in the conflict. So far they have not (yet) been affected badly, but they have to walk a tightrope. On the one hand, it is very likely that Pakistan has offered logistical and intelligence support to the US in its air attacks on Iran. On the other, as a fellow-Islamic nation, Iran has, under both the Shah and the mullahs, consistently supported Pakistan (especially against India).* Furthermore, if there is a ground assault on Iran, it will probably involve Balochis from Pakistan and Kurds from Turkey, both attempting to capture land in, respectively, the Sistan and Baluchistan Province, and the heavily Kurdish regions of Iran bordering Turkey.* Turkey, as a NATO member, is obligated to support the US, despite its Islamist leadership which is duty-bound to side with the fellow-Islamic Iranian regime. The traditional Sunni-Shia split, which has been exacerbated by Shia Iran attacking Sunni Gulf nations, sharpens the dilemma for both nations. (Meanwhile, Pakistanis slaughtered 400 Afghans by bombing a hospital, but they get a free pass from, e.g. the BBC.)* The United Nations. It has been rendered superfluous. Nobody even called for a Security Council meeting condemning the war. This is the latest in a long process wherein whatever the UN, or many other multilateral organizations do or say has become immaterial. The UN, hit by a budget crunch, might as well be shut down.* Europe and Britain. The EU and NATO have been noticeably absent in the discussions about the war. Of course, they are likely to be affected by the increase in hydrocarbon prices. In fact, their folly in shuttering their nuclear power plants in pursuit of vague ‘green' goals has put them at the mercy of Russian oil and gas. In particular, the virtual shutting out of Britain from the entire war is notable, considering that their Whitehall has long managed to treat the US Deep State as their vassals, ‘master-blaster' style.* Russia. Even though Russia has long been friendly with Iran, it has desisted from doing anything that could bring it into direct conflict with the US. Russia is probably supplying satellite and other reconnaissance data as well as spares for existing systems (such as the S-300 air defense batteries, Su-35 fighters) and possibly Iranian-designed Shahed drones as well. Interestingly enough, Russia may be the one possible winner in the war, considering its oil is now a coveted commodity, prices have soared, and there is less attention being paid to its Ukraine war. Europe, China and India are ever-more dependent on Russian oil, and the windfall profits may be sustainable. The US may even lift its sanctions and bring Russia back into the Western fold.* China. There are wins and losses for China, but in sum it may also be a bit of a winner.* The loss is in energy security: China has lost Venezuelan oil as well as access to Iranian oil, but they have overland pipelines from Russia, as well as access to Russian tankers at sea. Besides, they have a massive strategic petroleum reserve (1 billion barrels), so it should be manageable, for a while at least. Cuba, their reliable ally in the US' backyard, is now back to the wall with the US enforcing a blockade.* On the other hand, they have acquired a significant military edge: US munitions inventory has been getting depleted at a furious rate, so much so that if China were to attack Taiwan now, the US would be hard pressed to intervene. Even US THAAD (Theater High Altitude Air Defense) systems are being cannibalized: after four of their radars in the GCC were damaged, the US is forced to scavenge for them from their South Korean bases. Now comes news that China is massing both civilian ships and military aircraft near Taiwan, quite possibly a precursor to an actual invasion.* Unfortunately for China, their weapons systems don't seem to have performed very well in Iran, just as they didn't in Operation Sindoor. There are sarcastic posts on X, especially about their radar that looks like a big grille and is supposed to detect stealth aircraft, but didn't quite work.* China has also been on the horns of a dilemma, as it were: what would Xi do when Trump visits in April while in the midst of a war with one of China's principal allies? It would be “damned if you do, damned if you don't”. If China were to greet him warmly, it would send a negative message to Iran, as well as its other Belt and Road Initiative partners. If China were to treat Trump coldly, then trade wars will continue. Fortunately for Xi, Trump decided to delay his visit; perhaps he intends to continue the war well into April, or maybe he thought he'd be too much at physical risk. It's interesting to speculate on why Trump did this, but of course it may have been just whimsy.* India. This war is pretty much a disaster for India from every perspective. Being dependent on Persian Gulf oil and gas for everything from transportation to household cooking fuel to raw material for plastics to APIs for pharmaceuticals leaves India particularly exposed. There are other big vulnerabilities:* The $50 billion in remittances sent back yearly by 10 million Indians toiling away (often in very difficult circumstances) in that area, in addition to the personal hardships these migrants will face, including life and death situations.* Despite large increases in renewable energy, the major energy input, especially in transportation, continues to be imported oil and gas. Households have largely switched from wood-burning stoves to (admittedly much less polluting) bottled or piped gas. At the very time that electricity demand is peaking (e.g. AI data centers and railways), this disruption may have severe consequences.* The feedstock for agriculture is increasingly petroleum-based, and disruptions in fertilizer availability may cause production costs to skyrocket. Increased transportation costs will make vegetables and grains more expensive for those states (such as Kerala) that depend on internal transfers from producing states. In the short run, some agricultural commodity prices have collapsed as their primary markets in the Persian Gulf are inaccessible due to the Hormuz blockade. Basmati rice prices are down by Rs 5-10/kg according to LiveMint.* Trade through Chabahar Port (where India's $120 million investment is at risk) to Central Asia bypassing Pakistan, will likely grind to a halt* The dramatic increase in the price of oil (from around $60 per barrel to $100-$120, and threatening to go higher) is a huge ‘tax' on India, and a transfer of wealth out of India, which may reduce GDP growth by as much as 1-2%, and push inflation up to 4-5% (according to the Economic Times).* The ‘Goldilocks moment' of low inflation and high growth is possibly over.* The one positive for India will be the increasing importance of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), which is basically the old Spice Route,, e.g. containers from Mundra and Vizhinjam to Dammam in Saudi Arabia or Jebel Ali in the UAE, then by rail to Haifa in Israel, and onwards to Piraeus in Greece by sea.* There is really no obvious benefit to India if the war continues, and therefore it is in India's interest to try to be an ‘honest broker' intermediary which has reasonably good relations with all the belligerents as well as the frontline GCC states. India could use its diplomatic goodwill to try to bring the war to a quick close, thus pursuing its own interests as well as something in the larger good of the global economy.There are a couple of other notable points in this war. One is from systems theory, and the other is from 18th century colonial British machinations in India; and finally a speculation about the future of the US economy and even the US nation.Distributed SystemsSystems theory suggests that distributed systems are far more resilient than centralized systems, because they may have redundant mechanisms that come into play when the primary mechanism is knocked out. Iran has anticipated decapitation strikes on its leadership, and the danger that signals intelligence from their foes may tap into all communications. Therefore, it appears they have created a system where 31 independent IRGC military commands have the autonomy to take local decisions without a go-ahead from a central authority.This means it will be relatively hard to quell all resistance, as some commands may fight on even if large parts of the country are conquered. It makes their actions also more unpredictable and potentially more dangerous.It is interesting to compare this to the sudden collapse of the Persian Sasanian Empire to invading Arab Muslim armies in the 7th century, when they were conquered in a space of no more than twenty years. Even though there were other factors like imperial exhaustion from constant wars and long supply chains for the Arab armies, the contrast with the Hindu resistance (of several hundred years in Sindh) suggests that the decentralized nature of the Hindu kingdoms played a significant role in their ability to fend off the Muslims for centuries.The Tipu SyndromeIn the late 18th century, imperial Brits pulled off a particularly clever ploy in southern India. Tipu Sultan, Muslim king of Mysore, invaded Malabar in a combination of religious jihad and economic loot. He was intent on both forced conversion and on the loot of Hindu temples in Malabar, which had grown rich from millennia of the trade in spices, especially black pepper. As Sanjeev Sanyal suggests, temples were banks and venture capitalists to trading guilds.Britain did conduct some desultory campaigns against Tipu, who was allied with the French, but did not accomplish much. In the end it was the desperate breaching of a natural dam on the Periyar by Travancore forces in 1790 that forced Tipu to retreat, as his artillery, munitions and supplies were flooded and swept away. Of course, then the British charged the entire cost of the 3rd Anglo-Mysore War to ‘ally' Travancore, bankrupting it.Next, the British attacked Tipu's headquarters, Srirangapatnam, killed him, and took all the loot. In other words, Tipu did all the dirty work in collecting the booty from the temples, and the British got it all in one stroke. And looked good, at least in their own propaganda, for killing a tyrant.A very similar thing happened in 1973. Arab oil states quadrupled oil prices (from $3/barrel to $12), imposing a massive strain on hapless developing countries such as India, leading to severe distress. Under the 1974 US-Saudi agreement, oil sales were to be only denominated in US dollars, thus leading to the ‘petrodollar' accumulation with OPEC. They recycled this money via buying US Treasury bonds, and especially via buying US arms, to the delight of the Military-Industrial Complex.Thus the net effect of the 1973 oil crisis was a large transfer of wealth from the developing countries to OPEC. The US economy did not suffer greatly (despite long lines at gas stations) and in fact US deficits were funded by petrodollars for the last several decades. This is why any move to de-dollarize oil sales is strongly resisted by the US.Summary: Oil and the petrodollarAt the end of the day, American wars always seem to go back to simple ideas: control of oil, and the prevention of de-dollarization. It makes sense: why not use economic and military heft in pursuit of the national interest? Those who go against this learn a big lesson, to their discomfiture: Saddam Hussein in Iraq wanted to trade oil in Euros, Muammar Gaddafi in Libya wanted to create a new pan-African currency in which to trade oil, Nicolas Maduro was trading in yuan and stablecoin, Ayatollah Ali Khameini has been selling in yuan mostly, and not at all in dollars. That meant they all had a Damocles' sword hanging over their heads.Putin and Xi are undesirables too, but then they have nuclear arsenals, which everybody has to respect.The dollar has been hegemonistic ever since Bretton Woods. Even allies learn to respect American sensitivity over the currency. The Japanese economy, once growing at a blistering pace, was ruined after the Plaza Accord of 1984, which set the yen-dollar exchange rate artificially high. Japan lost its mojo and is yet to recover, forty years later.Tailpiece: The end of many eras?Balaji Srinivasan, formerly a Silicon Valley VC, a thought leader and a supporter of ‘Network States' and crypto, posted this intriguing tweet on March 17th. I don't necessarily agree with his framework of (US) ups and downs (see diagram) or his assertions: he surely paints a grim picture for the US, including de-dollarization. He openly wonders if the US itself will survive in its present form.The AI-generated podcast courtesy notebookLM.google.com is at 3000 words, 18 March 2026 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit rajeevsrinivasan.substack.com/subscribe
In Episode 468 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with renowned economic historian and author Barry Eichengreen about the history of international currencies and the prospects for the US dollar's continued preeminence, drawing on his new book Money Beyond Borders: Global Currencies from Croesus to Crypto. The first hour traces the long arc of international currency history, from the invention of coinage in ancient Lydia through the monetary innovations of Athens, Rome, and the Byzantine Empire, to Renaissance Florence, where a city-state with no navy and no silver mines managed to make its currency the dominant medium of exchange in Europe. The hour closes with a discussion about the Dutch Republic's revolutionary contributions to modern money and finance, and the Spanish silver dollar—the first truly global currency, which circulated from the New World to China and remained legal tender in the United States until the eve of the Civil War. The second hour examines Britain's emergence as the world's first modern financial superpower, whose decline opened the door to the internationalization of the US dollar, and the role that figures like Paul Warburg, the Federal Reserve, two World Wars, and the Bretton Woods Agreement each played in establishing dollar dominance—further cemented by the breakdown of Bretton Woods and the era of floating fiat currencies. They then turn to the present, examining what Eichengreen sees as the two most serious threats to the dollar's continued preeminence: the erosion of the rule of law and separation of powers inside the United States, and the fraying of the alliance relationships that underpin global confidence in dollar-denominated assets. They close with a discussion about whether stablecoins could extend the dollar's network effects, why the Euro and the Chinese renminbi fall short as credible alternatives, and what a world without a reliable global reserve currency could mean for international trade, finance, and geopolitical stability. Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you'd like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed today's episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by: Subscribing on Apple Podcasts, YouTube, Spotify, Stitcher, SoundCloud, CastBox, or via our RSS Feed Writing us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Join our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io. Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 03/09/2026
Want to reach out to us? Want to leave a comment or review? Want to give us a suggestion or berate Anthony? Send us a text by clicking this link!A strange AI intro sets the tone for a conversation about power, myth, and the cracks running through our civilization. We start with Tucker's claim that some believers try to force God's hand, and that secular boosters dream of a tech-ruled future. From there we pull the lens wider: the Bretton Woods order is threadbare, NATO expectations are stale, and a managerial class that once kept the peace now leans on slogans no one believes. Whether you see him as a disruptor or a danger, Trump becomes a prism for realism—treating Europe's security habits, Ukraine's symbolism, and great-power hedging as signs the old narrative no longer binds.Then we enter the thicket of AI. Not sci-fi hype, but concrete pressures: law firms cutting junior roles, back-office “email jobs” vanishing, and a narrow set of labs racing for an advantage that could snowball. We weigh the fear of a winner-take-all “singleton” against the possibility of AI fragility, closed-loop error, and a financial bubble built on scarce chips and shaky energy. Either way, the labor shock seems real, and the blow will land hardest on Gen Z and Gen Alpha. That lands us in the heart of the meaning crisis: social media frays trust, the dating market corrodes goodwill, and the institutions that once turned information into wisdom—churches, schools, civic bodies—feel absent when we need them most.We don't retreat into mysticism or denial. Instead, we argue for recovering thick stories and practices that hold under stress: moral limits, local bonds, real sacrifice, and the courage to say no when power dresses up as destiny. We also warn about importing religious wars we barely understand; others see sacred stakes even when we insist it's just policy. If this is the end of a world, not the world, then our task is to stand upright in truth, steward what's still good, and build the scaffolding for what comes next.If this resonates, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a review—your support helps more curious listeners find these conversations.Support the showNeed seafood for Lent? Check out https://shoplobster.com/ and use code AB10 to get 10% from Maine's ONLY Catholic lobster company.Check out our new sponsor, Nic Nac, at www.nicnac.com and use code "AB25%" for 25% off of your first order!********************************************************Please subscribe! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKsxnv80ByFV4OGvt_kImjQ?sub_confirmation=1https://www.avoidingbabylon.comMerchandise: https://avoiding-babylon-shop.fourthwall.comLocals Community: https://avoidingbabylon.locals.comFull Premium/Locals Shows on Audio Podcast: https://www.buzzsprout.com/1987412/subscribeRSS Feed for Podcast Apps: https://feeds.buzzsprout.com/1987412.rss
O "Ulrich Responde" é uma série de vídeos onde respondo perguntas enviadas por membros do canal e seguidores, abordando temas de economia, finanças e investimentos. Oferecemos uma análise profunda, trazendo informações para quem quer entender melhor a economia e tomar decisões financeiras mais informadas.00:00 – Começando mais um Ulrich Responde00:31 – Cenário político brasileiro: escândalo surreal e indignante06:25 – Guerra Irã-Israel: Trump, a iniciativa Cinturão e Rota e o embate com a China07:53 – Por que as ações da BORR estão sendo prejudicadas pela guerra?08:58 – Possibilidade de invasão de Taiwan e Terceira Guerra Mundial11:46 – Células terroristas do Irã podem atacar a Europa antes dos EUA?13:29 – Como a China pode retaliar os EUA por invasões a parceiros de petróleo?15:13 – Macron e o investimento em armas nucleares: o início de uma nova corrida nuclear?17:32 – Existe correlação nas datas de início dos últimos conflitos?19:01 – Relação entre a quebra da correlação produtividade/salário e Bretton Woods (1971)20:37 – Crescimento do investimento passivo e a distorção na descoberta de preços21:42 – Bitcoin: motivo da alta recente e o papel de porto seguro em meio à guerra24:37 – O "Careca" será preso? Expectativas sobre o Senado e as últimas consequências25:04 – Geopolítica como o "novo normal": como empresários e investidores devem se prevenir29:15 – Por que não concordar cegamente com o ataque ao Irã: o conceito de Blowback35:34 – O que aconteceu com o Instagram da OranjeBTC?36:10 – O mercado está subestimando a guerra e seu impacto?37:13 – Qual o pior detalhe já revelado sobre o caso do Banco Master?37:41 – Impacto da queda do regime de Maduro e o futuro de Cuba38:33 – Conselho para quem tem 21 anos e quer viver de investimentos39:28 – Ações da OranjeBTC estão com mais desconto que o próprio Bitcoin?40:57 – Epstein agente do Mossad?42:25 – O caso do Sicário e a comparação com a queima de arquivo de Epstein43:59 – Por que os EUA ainda não dominaram e reabriram o Estreito de Hormuz?45:55 – Novidades sobre cursos da OranjeBTC46:05 – Stretch da Strategy e o "dinheiro infinito" de Michael Saylor47:07 – Como pode ser o final da guerra?49:19 – Como a guerra afeta o agronegócio (fertilizantes, frete e combustíveis)49:48 – Por onde começar a estudar economia?
In Episode 465 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Yale historian and Cold War scholar Odd Arne Westad, author of The Coming Storm, about why the pre-WWI era of multipolarity, imperial decline, and great power rivalry offers a far more instructive — and alarming — historical parallel to today's world than the Cold War, and what must be done to prevent the catastrophic descent into total war. The first hour explores what went wrong after the fall of the Soviet Union, how the end of the Bretton Woods system helped enable China's economic rise, and the striking structural parallels between the rise of Germany before 1914 and the rise of China today. Westad and Kofinas also examine the roles that Russia, India, and the United States play in this historical analogy, and how the failure to integrate rising powers into meaningful international frameworks — then and now — has set the stage for catastrophic conflict. The second hour takes a deeper look at the specific forces that could push the world from strategic rivalry to outright war, including the role of nuclear weapons in a multipolar order, the most dangerous flashpoints — from Taiwan to the Korean Peninsula to the South China Sea and China's border with India — and the underappreciated threat that terrorism could pose as a catalyst for great power conflict. They also examine the internal political dynamics that boxed leaders into impossible positions before 1914, how frighteningly familiar those constraints look today, and what Professor Westad believes must be done to stabilize the international system before the world faces consequences it is not remotely prepared to confront. Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you'd like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed today's episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by: Subscribing on Apple Podcasts, YouTube, Spotify, Stitcher, SoundCloud, CastBox, or via our RSS Feed Writing us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Join our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io. Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 02/23/2026
For years, we've talked about the world order 'shifting.' Changing. The end of the Bretton Woods agreement, But according to legendary investor Ray Dalio, the shift is over. The break is now here.In a massive new piece Dalio just released—following the 2026 Munich Security Conference—he made it official: **The post-1945 world order has broken down.** We have officially entered what he calls "Stage 6' of the Big Cycle."Historically, Stage 6 is the 'War Stage.' It's the period of 'Great Disorder' where rules are replaced by raw power, where debt cycles reach their breaking point, and where the global map is redrawn. We're seeing it in the 'Capital Wars,' the weaponization of the dollar, and the total breakdown of trust in traditional institutions.
REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S SPRING ONLINE CONFERENCE AT THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT PRICE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceDollar Milkshake Theory developer Brent Johnson has released another report on stablecoins, emphasizing their tremendous potential to upend the global monetary system.He's shouting loudly about this because he sees most of Wall Street vastly unprepared for what's about to happen.It's largely treating stablecoins as a niche amusement, instead of the Omega-level disruptor Brent thinks it will prove to be.In fact, he thinks stablecoins will impact the global monetary order on the same level as the Bretton Woods accord, or when the dollar moved off the gold standard.To learn why, and what the implications will likely be, watch this video.#stablecoin #stablecoins #dollar _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
In this insightful podcast, Financial Economist Mukti Aryal shares expert analysis on gold investment strategy, silver investment trends, and capital markets insights relevant to Nepal and global investors. We explore why gold price increases in the long run, the difference in buying gold in Nepal vs USA, and whether gold should be treated as an asset not jewelry. Mukti Aryal explains gold vs silver investment, the hype around copper investment, and the best time to buy gold during market corrections. The discussion dives deep into dollar value decrease, de-dollarization explained, and how gold price increase often signals changes in the global monetary system. We also break down the Nepal rupee peg with India, currency peg dynamics, and implications for gold price Nepal and India comparison. The episode covers stock portfolio strategy, market crash investment strategy, Bretton Woods system explained, and whether it's too late to invest in gold. If you're interested in long term wealth building, gold market analysis, or understanding how capital markets affect your investments, this conversation is essential. Whether you're a beginner or experienced investor, this episode will help you design a smarter investment strategy in gold, silver, and stocks. GET CONNECTED WITH Mukti Aryal: LinkedIn - https://np.linkedin.com/in/mukti-aryal-68aa5a355 Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/p/Mukti-Aryal-100076327443829/
Matthew Piepenburg explains why today's surge in gold and silver reflects a breakdown in sovereign debt, the bond market, and global currencies. From rising yields and hidden inflation to central bank gold accumulation and the end of post-1971 monetary credibility, this conversation lays out why policymakers are running out of options, and why the real crisis isn't gold, but paper money itself.#gold #financialmarkets #silver ---------------------Thank you to our sponsor: First Majestic SilverMake sure to pay them a visit: https://www.firstmajestic.com/---------------------
In this episode of Breaking History, Matt Ehret and Ghost examine a rapidly unfolding global financial reckoning centered on Credit Suisse and the broader international banking system. The discussion traces newly revealed Nazi-linked accounts, money laundering pipelines, and the role of major banks in facilitating corruption, cartel financing, and illicit capital flows over decades. The conversation moves through historical context including Bretton Woods, the petrodollar system, and the weaponization of finance, before turning to modern developments involving sanctions, currency manipulation, and intelligence-linked financial networks. Particular attention is given to investigations involving PDVSA, international drug trafficking finance, and the exposure of banking structures operating beyond national oversight. Throughout the episode, Matt and Ghost emphasize continuity between past and present financial power structures, highlighting how moral collapse in finance disconnects economies from real production and public accountability. The result is a wide-ranging, historically grounded analysis of how global banking functions as a tool of control, and why its unraveling appears to be accelerating.
In today's episode, Steve sits down with Tom Hardin, aka Tipperx — best known for helping expose a massive Wall Street insider trading ring. Steve and Tom discuss early warning signs that an organization might be crossing ethical or legal lines, how to build an organizational culture that promotes openness and protects from insider threats, and how to get employees to buy into things like good cyber hygiene.Key Takeaways: Governments must work with the private sector to achieve a cyber-secure environment. Boards are increasingly aware of cyber risks, but more work is needed. Global trust is dissipating. Tune in to hear more about: The changing landscape of critical national infrastructure (5:46) Security vs. privacy in the UK (9:27) An ongoing, structural geopolitical shift (15:18) Standout Quotes: “We need to make sure that we are thinking right across government when we are thinking about the approach to critical national infrastructure and how we can make it most safe for our users and for our populations.” - Sir Jeremy Fleming “I still encounter plenty who haven't done one for 18 months, who haven't updated to the latest threat environment, who haven't thought about geopolitics coming into play. Haven't checked that they've still contracted with a company who's gonna help them wind back in the event that they are breached. Hasn't thought seriously about whether it's gonna pay a ransom. The implications of paying a ransom.” - Sir Jeremy Fleming “The first thing is that what we're seeing now around changes in geopolitics is definitely a structural change. It's not a cyclical change. So the post 1948 Bretton Woods approach to the global order, with a whole load of United Nations agencies, World Health Organization, World Trade Organization, our approach to international aid, World Bank, these are all institutions that have changed fundamentally and won't change back.” - Sir Jeremy Fleming Read the transcript of this episodeSubscribe to the ISF Podcast wherever you listen to podcastsConnect with us on LinkedIn and TwitterFrom the Information Security Forum, the leading authority on cyber, information security, and risk management.
China and the Global Economic Order (Cambridge University Press, 2026) examines China's evolving relations with the Bretton Woods institutions (BWIs), specifically the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group from the 1980s through 2025. Using a combination of new qualitative findings and quantitative datasets, the authors observe that China has taken an evolving approach to the BWIs in order to achieve its multiple agendas, acting largely as a 'rule-taker' during its first two decades as a member, but, over time, also becoming a 'rule-shaker' inside the BWIs, and ultimately a new 'rule-maker' outside of the BWIs. The analysis highlights China's exercise of 'two-way countervailing power' with one foot inside the BWIs, and another outside, and pushing for changes in both directions. China's interventions have resulted in BWs reforms and the gradual transformation of the global order, while also generating counter-reactions especially from the United States. Gregory Chin is an Associate Professor of Political Economy in the Department of Politics, and Faculty of Graduate Studies at York University (Canada), with a focus on the political economy of international money and development finance, China, Asia, the BRICS, and global governance. Nomeh Anthony Kanayo, Ph.D. Candidate in International Relations at Florida International University, with research interest in Africa's diaspora relations, African-China relations, great power rivalry and IR theories. Check out my new article https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e02699 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/new-books-network
China and the Global Economic Order (Cambridge University Press, 2026) examines China's evolving relations with the Bretton Woods institutions (BWIs), specifically the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group from the 1980s through 2025. Using a combination of new qualitative findings and quantitative datasets, the authors observe that China has taken an evolving approach to the BWIs in order to achieve its multiple agendas, acting largely as a 'rule-taker' during its first two decades as a member, but, over time, also becoming a 'rule-shaker' inside the BWIs, and ultimately a new 'rule-maker' outside of the BWIs. The analysis highlights China's exercise of 'two-way countervailing power' with one foot inside the BWIs, and another outside, and pushing for changes in both directions. China's interventions have resulted in BWs reforms and the gradual transformation of the global order, while also generating counter-reactions especially from the United States. Gregory Chin is an Associate Professor of Political Economy in the Department of Politics, and Faculty of Graduate Studies at York University (Canada), with a focus on the political economy of international money and development finance, China, Asia, the BRICS, and global governance. Nomeh Anthony Kanayo, Ph.D. Candidate in International Relations at Florida International University, with research interest in Africa's diaspora relations, African-China relations, great power rivalry and IR theories. Check out my new article https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e02699 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/east-asian-studies
China and the Global Economic Order (Cambridge University Press, 2026) examines China's evolving relations with the Bretton Woods institutions (BWIs), specifically the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group from the 1980s through 2025. Using a combination of new qualitative findings and quantitative datasets, the authors observe that China has taken an evolving approach to the BWIs in order to achieve its multiple agendas, acting largely as a 'rule-taker' during its first two decades as a member, but, over time, also becoming a 'rule-shaker' inside the BWIs, and ultimately a new 'rule-maker' outside of the BWIs. The analysis highlights China's exercise of 'two-way countervailing power' with one foot inside the BWIs, and another outside, and pushing for changes in both directions. China's interventions have resulted in BWs reforms and the gradual transformation of the global order, while also generating counter-reactions especially from the United States. Gregory Chin is an Associate Professor of Political Economy in the Department of Politics, and Faculty of Graduate Studies at York University (Canada), with a focus on the political economy of international money and development finance, China, Asia, the BRICS, and global governance. Nomeh Anthony Kanayo, Ph.D. Candidate in International Relations at Florida International University, with research interest in Africa's diaspora relations, African-China relations, great power rivalry and IR theories. Check out my new article https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e02699 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/world-affairs
China and the Global Economic Order (Cambridge University Press, 2026) examines China's evolving relations with the Bretton Woods institutions (BWIs), specifically the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group from the 1980s through 2025. Using a combination of new qualitative findings and quantitative datasets, the authors observe that China has taken an evolving approach to the BWIs in order to achieve its multiple agendas, acting largely as a 'rule-taker' during its first two decades as a member, but, over time, also becoming a 'rule-shaker' inside the BWIs, and ultimately a new 'rule-maker' outside of the BWIs. The analysis highlights China's exercise of 'two-way countervailing power' with one foot inside the BWIs, and another outside, and pushing for changes in both directions. China's interventions have resulted in BWs reforms and the gradual transformation of the global order, while also generating counter-reactions especially from the United States. Gregory Chin is an Associate Professor of Political Economy in the Department of Politics, and Faculty of Graduate Studies at York University (Canada), with a focus on the political economy of international money and development finance, China, Asia, the BRICS, and global governance. Nomeh Anthony Kanayo, Ph.D. Candidate in International Relations at Florida International University, with research interest in Africa's diaspora relations, African-China relations, great power rivalry and IR theories. Check out my new article https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e02699 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/chinese-studies
Un nouveau chapitre qui s'ouvre dans la relation entre le Tchad et la France. La semaine dernière, le président Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno a été reçu à l'Élysée par son homologue Emmanuel Macron, un an après le départ surprise et précipité de l'armée française présente depuis près d'un siècle dans le pays. Un « partenariat revitalisé, fondé sur le respect mutuel et des intérêts partagés » ont affirmé les deux chefs d'État. Que signifie ce revirement après cette rupture brutale des accords de défense il y a un an ? Analyse de Remadji Hoinathy, chercheur à l'ISS (l'Institut d'études de sécurité) spécialiste du Lac Tchad et de l'Afrique centrale. Il est le Grand Invité Afrique de Sidy Yansané. RFI : Dans leur communiqué conjoint, les présidents Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno et Emmanuel Macron se félicitent « d'un partenariat revitalisé ». Êtes-vous surpris par ce réchauffement entre les deux dirigeants après le départ très précipité de l'armée française il y a un an ? Remadji Hoinathy : Aussi bien pour ce départ précipité que pour ce réchauffement tout abrupt, effectivement, on est relativement surpris parce que l'on se souvient qu'à l'époque, le Tchad mettait en avant un discours souverainiste exigeant la rupture de coopération militaire, relativement bénéfique pour le Tchad, entre autres, qui existait depuis quasiment plus d'un demi-siècle. Quelles ont été les conséquences de ce départ pour le Tchad ? Durant cette période, il n'y a pas eu de périls sécuritaires extraordinaires qui mettent en avant les conséquences de la fin l'accord de défense entre le Tchad et la France. Dans cette période, le Tchad a essayé, autant que faire se peut, de diversifier justement sa coopération militaire, allant vers de nouveaux partenaires. Et donc pour vous, c'est un signe que la diversification des partenariats sécuritaires n'a pas porté ses fruits ? Au-delà de la coopération militaire, qui n'a pas été mise en avant dans la communication officielle, il y a les aspects économiques et culturels, et il y a toutes les questions de sécurité régionale. Si aujourd'hui le Tchad revient sur ses pas et repart vers la France, malgré ce discours souverainiste assez véhément mis en avant, cette diversification n'a pas dû apporter les résultats attendus. Le communiqué conjoint est quand même très laconique. Il insiste, vous l'avez dit, surtout sur le partenariat économique. Ces intérêts économiques français et tchadiens, quels sont-ils réellement ? La France a surtout été un support financier très important pour un pays comme le Tchad au niveau budgétaire et dans différents domaines de développement. Lorsque l'on regarde la situation économique dans l'ensemble de l'Afrique centrale en général et dans un pays comme le Tchad, un retour ou une embellie dans la coopération économique avec la France en termes d'aide budgétaire et de support dans les négociations avec les institutions et les partenaires internationaux, dont ceux de Bretton Woods, est quelque chose d'assez important pour ce pays qui reste assez dépendant de l'aide internationale. Pour la France, avoir encore un pied au Tchad, un des derniers pays de la zone qui ne lui sont pas réfractaires, reste quelque chose d'important. Dans ce nouveau rapprochement, il y a plutôt des intérêts géostratégiques qui vont au-delà de l'économie. Justement, le communiqué fait également référence à la guerre au Soudan voisin. Le Tchad est accusé de servir de point de passage pour les armes que les Émirats arabes unis fournissent aux paramilitaires FSR. Qu'en est-il vraiment et de quelle manière la France pourrait jouer un rôle dans la résolution de ce conflit via son partenaire tchadien ? Le Tchad s'est toujours défendu d'avoir tenu une position plutôt neutre dans ce conflit. Le Soudan de son côté, et beaucoup d'autres acteurs dont les Nations unies, disent détenir des preuves de l'implication du Tchad, servant au minimum de point d'entrée pour l'aide émirienne aux Forces de soutien rapide. Depuis la fin de l'année passée, on se rend compte que même à l'international en général, le vent est en train de tourner. Dans le sens où les pays jouant un rôle assez important aux côtés des différents belligérants, les Émirats arabes unis d'un côté et de l'autre, l'Egypte avec l'Arabie saoudite et les Etats-Unis, sont plutôt en train de pousser vers une solution diplomatique, vers une cessation des hostilités, une trêve humanitaire, mais aussi vers un arrêt du support apporté par les différents pays aux belligérants. Le discours du président Macron va aller aussi dans le sens de dire à son partenaire tchadien, mettant à profit l'embellie de leur relation, la nécessité de revenir à un rôle plus neutre dans le conflit au Soudan. Il y a quand même quelque chose de surprenant. Je disais que le communiqué était très laconique, au point de ne faire aucune référence, même indirecte, à la détention de l'opposant Succès Masra, à l'assassinat de l'opposant Yaya Dillo, aux tragiques événements du 20 octobre 2022. Selon vous, est-ce à dire que la France assume désormais une realpolitik mettant de côté les droits humains ? C'est une tendance que l'on a observé depuis le début de la transition au Tchad : ne pas offusquer le partenaire en insistant trop sur la question des droits humains et de l'ouverture électorale. Ce n'est pas du tout à l'avantage de l'image de la France de revenir dans un partenariat où elle ne pourra pas remettre sur la table de manière claire ses principes sacro-saints, importants à ses yeux et dans son histoire politique. À lire aussiLa France et le Tchad ouvrent une nouvelle page dans leur relation bilatérale
China and the Global Economic Order (Cambridge University Press, 2026) examines China's evolving relations with the Bretton Woods institutions (BWIs), specifically the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank Group from the 1980s through 2025. Using a combination of new qualitative findings and quantitative datasets, the authors observe that China has taken an evolving approach to the BWIs in order to achieve its multiple agendas, acting largely as a 'rule-taker' during its first two decades as a member, but, over time, also becoming a 'rule-shaker' inside the BWIs, and ultimately a new 'rule-maker' outside of the BWIs. The analysis highlights China's exercise of 'two-way countervailing power' with one foot inside the BWIs, and another outside, and pushing for changes in both directions. China's interventions have resulted in BWs reforms and the gradual transformation of the global order, while also generating counter-reactions especially from the United States. Gregory Chin is an Associate Professor of Political Economy in the Department of Politics, and Faculty of Graduate Studies at York University (Canada), with a focus on the political economy of international money and development finance, China, Asia, the BRICS, and global governance. Nomeh Anthony Kanayo, Ph.D. Candidate in International Relations at Florida International University, with research interest in Africa's diaspora relations, African-China relations, great power rivalry and IR theories. Check out my new article https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e02699 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/economics
In this episode of Built to Divide, we pick up where the post-2008 housing machine left off—and show how the subscription economy (SaaS, streaming, “pay forever”) migrated into the built environment. Dimitrius Lynch traces the privatization movement from Milton Friedman's voucher logic and post–Brown v. Board backlash to modern power brokers like ALEC, corporate bill-writing, and the quiet reframing of citizens into customers.Then we explore build-to-rent communities engineered for “predictable cash flow,” housing-as-a-dashboard, and the rise of rentier capitalism—profits from controlling gates, not creating value. The episode connects BlackRock's infrastructure thesis and Aladdin risk platform, the 2008 recovery pipeline, and the long continuity from Bretton Woods → financialization → asset management dominance. Finally, we widen the lens to the next frontier: farmland financialization, where ownership detaches from stewardship and the right to live—and farm—becomes something you lease back.Episode Extras - Photos, videos, sources and links to additional content found during research.Episode Credits:Production in collaboration with Gābl MediaWritten & Executive Produced by Dimitrius LynchAudio Engineering and Sound Design by Jeff Alvarez
Today, Jess, Les, Andrew, and Joshua take a step back from the headlines for a Fun Friday roundtable on the best and worst American foreign policy decisions, inspired by a recent Council on Foreign Relations article drawing on conversations with the Society for Historians of American Foreign Relations. From the Marshall Plan and Bretton Woods to PEPFAR and the peaceful end of the Cold War in Europe, the team reflects on moments when U.S. leadership, economic power, and long-term thinking paid real dividends.What separates foreign policy successes from failures? Why do some hard-power decisions look effective at first but unravel over time? And as the U.S. looks ahead, what should decision-makers keep firmly in mind before reaching for any one instrument of power?Check out the article that helped shape our Fellows' discussion: https://www.cfr.org/ten-best-ten-worst-us-foreign-policy-decisions/?utm_source=newsrelease&utm_campaign=best-worst-2026&utm_medium=email&utm_term=PressCFR%20-%20Including%20Members%20and%20Staff @NotTVJessJones@lestermunson@AndrewBorene@joshuachuminskiLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @faultlines_pod and @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/FR_W1-fpr5o Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This episode of Excess Returns features a wide ranging conversation with Grant Williams on what he calls the hundred year pivot. Grant explains why today's environment feels fundamentally different from the last several decades, why long held investing assumptions may no longer apply, and how declining trust in institutions, money, and markets is reshaping the global financial system. Drawing on history, macroeconomics, and decades of market experience, the discussion explores what this transition means for investors trying to navigate a world defined by uncertainty, volatility, and structural change.Main topics covered• What the hundred year pivot means and why it represents a once in a generation shift• The Fourth Turning framework and how it connects financial crises, politics, and social change• Why buy the dip worked for decades and why it may fail in the years ahead• The erosion of trust in institutions and its impact on markets and money• The financial crisis, sanctions, and the freezing of sovereign assets as turning points• The role of the dollar, gold, and central banks in a changing monetary system• Lessons from history including Bretton Woods and the Suez crisis• Why commodities and real assets matter in a world of deglobalization and reshoring• How artificial intelligence fits into the current investment cycle and capital allocation boom• Portfolio construction and behavioral challenges in a higher volatility environmentTimestamps00:00 The hundred year pivot and why this cycle is different01:30 Defining the Fourth Turning and historical cycles07:40 The financial crisis as the start of institutional breakdown11:00 Sanctions, sovereign assets, and the end of unquestioned trust in the dollar18:20 Historical parallels from Bretton Woods and the Suez crisis24:50 What could trigger a broader monetary reset28:50 Energy, geopolitics, and shifting global alliances35:00 Commodities, real assets, and rebuilding supply chains42:40 Artificial intelligence, capital cycles, and uncertainty52:30 Portfolio construction, behavior, and risk tolerance59:50 Where to follow Grant Williams and his work
Les journalistes et experts de RFI répondent également à vos questions sur la réunion des 12 ministres de la Défense de la région des Grands Lacs, l'interdiction de Pékin sur l'exportation vers le Japon de biens dits à « double usage » et la visite d'Ursula von der Leyen en Syrie. Sénégal : comment faire face au poids colossal de la dette ? Alors que le Sénégal fait face à une dette publique vertigineuse évaluée à 132% du PIB par le FMI, le Premier ministre Ousmane Sonko exclu de restructurer la dette, estimant que le pays peut honorer ses engagements sans renégociation. Comment justifie-t-il ce refus catégorique malgré les recommandations du FMI ? En prenant cette décision, le Sénégal ne risque-t-il pas d'être sanctionné par l'institution de Bretton Woods ? Avec Léa-Lisa Westerhoff, correspondante permanente de RFI à Dakar. RDC : à quoi a servi la réunion de la région des Grands Lacs ? Un mois après l'accord de paix paraphé à Washington par les présidents Felix Tsishekedi et Paul Kagame, les affrontements se poursuivent dans le Nord-Kivu. À la demande de la RDC, une réunion extraordinaire des 12 ministres de la Défense et des chefs d'Etat major des forces de défense de la région des Grands Lacs s'est tenue ces derniers jours en Zambie. Que retenir de cette rencontre ? Le dispositif de contrôle du cessez-le-feu a-t-il été renforcé ? Avec Patient Ligodi, journaliste au service Afrique de RFI. Japon : quel avenir pour l'économie après les mesures chinoises ? C'est une décision qui pénalise l'industrie nippone, d'où la colère de Tokyo. La Chine a décidé d'interdire l'exportation vers le Japon de biens dits à « double usage », civils et militaires. De quels produits parle-t-on ? Pourquoi Pékin décide de bloquer maintenant ces exportations ? Pourquoi ces produits sont-ils importants pour le Japon ? Avec Clea Broadhurst, correspondante permanente de RFI à Pékin. Syrie : vers une nouvelle coopération européenne Pour la première fois depuis la chute de Bachar el-Assad, Ursula von der Leyen , la présidente de la Commission de l'UE, s'est rendue à Damas ce vendredi 9 janvier 2026. Au printemps 2025, les 27 ont levé toutes les sanctions économiques mises en place sous le régime d'Assad. Quel est le poids des Européens dans la transition politique du pays face aux États-Unis ? Avec Hasni Abidi, directeur du Centre d'études et de recherche sur le monde arabe et méditerranéen et chargé de cours à l'Université de Genève.
In August 1971, Richard Nixon went on television and detonated the global financial system. By severing the U.S. dollar from gold, the Nixon Shock ended Bretton Woods, ushered in fiat money, and unleashed a new era of credit, speculation, and inequality. What followed wasn't just inflation and currency volatility—it was a fundamental rewiring of housing, wealth, and power.In this episode of Built to Divide, Dimitrius Lynch traces how the end of the gold standard collided with housing policy, stagflation, and a rising market-first ideology. As public housing construction collapsed, Section 8 vouchers expanded, the mortgage interest deduction quietly became America's largest housing subsidy, and real estate lobbying reshaped Washington. Jimmy Carter framed housing as a moral obligation—but crisis, inflation, and backlash undercut reform. Then came Milton Friedman, Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan, and the think-tank machine, turning deregulation, tax cuts, and privatization into governing doctrine.The result? Housing shifted from shelter to leverage. Neighborhoods hardened. Inequality accelerated. McMansions replaced porches. Master-planned enclaves rose as public responsibility retreated. And the rails were laid for subprime lending, securitization, and collapse.This is the episode where money floats, housing fractures, and the modern economy takes its irreversible turn.Episode Extras - Photos, videos, sources and links to additional content found during research. Episode Credits:Production in collaboration with Gābl MediaWritten & Executive Produced by Dimitrius LynchAudio Engineering and Sound Design by Jeff Alvarez
Mark Connors is a veteran credit analyst and macro thinker who's spent nearly four decades on Wall Street, from the bond desks of Solomon Brothers to the hedge fund trenches. What makes Mark unique is his ability to pull the lens back—connecting regime changes in global finance to bitcoin's rise as the asset with true integrity.In this episode, Mark joins The Bitcoin Frontier to share how his career shaped his understanding of risk, why bitcoin is the next monetary regime shift, and how Wall Street is still missing the plot. We dig into why bitcoin's volatility is actually a superpower, how financial plumbing is breaking beneath the surface, and why institutions will eventually be forced to adopt bitcoin as pristine collateral.SUPPORT THE PODCAST: → Subscribe → Leave a review → Share the show with your friends and family → Send us an email: podcast@unchained.com → Learn more about Unchained: https://unchained.com/?utm_source=you... → Book a free call with a bitcoin expert: https://unchained.com/consultation?ut...TIMESTAMPS:0:00 – Intro & Mark's 40-year Wall Street journey through credit and crisis3:15 – Lessons from Solomon Brothers to Bitcoin Park: where integrity lives6:05 – How bitcoin fits into the third monetary regime since Bretton Woods8:00 – The “hacks” that brought bitcoin into Wall Street's line of sight10:00 – Bitcoin as collateral and the coming collateral crisis12:20 – Understanding volatility: why bitcoin's risk is asymmetric17:00 – The myth of volatility and the truth about upside variance21:00 – “Good vol” vs “bad vol”: how bitcoin surprises to the upside25:00 – Why rebalancing into bitcoin beats traditional 60/40 portfolios29:00 – Can Wall Street co-opt bitcoin through paper markets?31:00 – The importance of holding your own keys and verifying collateral35:00 – Convincing older investors and rebuilding credibility post-FTX37:00 – Regime changes, Bretton Woods, and how history rhymes43:00 – How the dollar was “saved” by energy and the petrodollar system46:00 – Hidden cracks in the financial system and repo stress explained49:00 – How new liquidity facilities show a fragile, patched-up system52:00 – Will Wall Street adopt bitcoin for safety or profit?55:00 – The slow cultural shift toward integrity in finance57:00 – The ultimate incentive: clients demanding bitcoin exposure1:00:00 – Risks to bitcoin: mining centralization, paper supply, and innovation1:02:00 – Where to follow Mark and how he's educating advisorsWHERE TO FOLLOW US: → Unchained X: https://x.com/unchained → Unchained LinkedIn: / unchainedcom → Unchained Newsletter: https://unchained.com/newsletter → Mark Connors's Twitter: https://x.com/riskdimensions → Timot Lamarre's Twitter: https://x.com/TimotLamarre
Kevin Freeman outlines how mounting debt, geopolitical alliances, and de-dollarization efforts threaten U.S. reserve currency status — and what that could mean for inflation, markets, and everyday Americans. He traces the dollar's arc from Bretton Woods to Nixon's closure of the gold window, the petrodollar, and today's multipolar finance led by BRICS. The analysis details coordinated pressure from communist, Islamist, and globalist actors, plus domestic failures — framing a potential sequence from bond sell-offs to hyperinflation. Practical mitigations include disciplined fiscal policy and strategic gold initiatives at the state and personal levels.
The Dominance of the US Dollar and Its Challenges. Alex Pollock (Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute) discusses Kenneth Rogoff's book, Our Currency, Your Problem, focusing on why the US dollar remains the dominant global currency. The dollar's strength is linked to US military power and superior legal and bankruptcy systems, which provide essential "social infrastructure." Pollock recalls the famous quip, "Our currency, your problem," made by Treasury Secretary John Connally in 1971 after the US defaulted on its gold obligations under the Bretton Woods system. Challenges from the Chinese renminbi and crypto are noted, but Rogoff finds serious institutional flaws in China's system. Critically, the growing US national debt is identified as the dollar's "Achilles heel," posing a major threat if global lenders stop lending. 1936
The Dominance of the US Dollar and Its Challenges. Alex Pollock (Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute) discusses Kenneth Rogoff's book, Our Currency, Your Problem, focusing on why the US dollar remains the dominant global currency. The dollar's strength is linked to US military power and superior legal and bankruptcy systems, which provide essential "social infrastructure." Pollock recalls the famous quip, "Our currency, your problem," made by Treasury Secretary John Connally in 1971 after the US defaulted on its gold obligations under the Bretton Woods system. Challenges from the Chinese renminbi and crypto are noted, but Rogoff finds serious institutional flaws in China's system. Critically, the growing US national debt is identified as the dollar's "Achilles heel," posing a major threat if global lenders stop lending. 1885 NYSE
SHOW 11-5-25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT AI AND CHILDREN. FIRST HOUR 9-915 Canada's Troubled Relations with China and the US. Charles Burton (author of The Beaver and the Dragon) analyzes Canadian Prime Minister Carney's meeting with China's Xi Jinping following the APEC conference. Burton described Carney as a "supplicant" who echoed Chinese rhetoric of "constructive and pragmatic interactions," which means focusing on trade while avoiding criticism. Issues discussed included Chinese tariffs on Canadian canola and Canada's tariffs on subsidized Chinese EVs. Burton addresses the severely strained Ottawa-Washington relationship due to US tariffs and President Trump's stated unwillingness to talk, feeding "anti-American sentiment" in Canada. This trade uncertainty is a factor in Canada's massive budget deficit, which aims to fund government infrastructure to compensate for lacking investor interest. Furthermore, concerns persist in Canada regarding Chinese EVs potentially functioning as "listening posts" for state security. 915-930 Canada's Troubled Relations with China and the US. Charles Burton (author of The Beaver and the Dragon) analyzes Canadian Prime Minister Carney's meeting with China's Xi Jinping following the APEC conference. Burton described Carney as a "supplicant" who echoed Chinese rhetoric of "constructive and pragmatic interactions," which means focusing on trade while avoiding criticism. Issues discussed included Chinese tariffs on Canadian canola and Canada's tariffs on subsidized Chinese EVs. Burton addresses the severely strained Ottawa-Washington relationship due to US tariffs and President Trump's stated unwillingness to talk, feeding "anti-American sentiment" in Canada. This trade uncertainty is a factor in Canada's massive budget deficit, which aims to fund government infrastructure to compensate for lacking investor interest. Furthermore, concerns persist in Canada regarding Chinese EVs potentially functioning as "listening posts" for state security. 930-945 The Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education. Peter Berkowitz (Hoover Institution Fellow and educator) discusses the Trump administration's "Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education," which requires universities to meet ten priorities to qualify for federal benefits like student loans and research grants. While many goals are proper or already legally required (like protecting free speech and obeying civil rights laws), several are highly controversial. These controversial points include demanding that hiring decisions be made solely on individual "merit," which critics redefine to include group diversity, and requiring universities to maintain institutional neutrality on political issues. Most universities rejected the compact, asserting it would impair academic freedom. Berkowitz suggests the administration should use direct financial incentives to reward universities that actively teach free speech, rather than relying on mandates. 945-1000 The Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education. Peter Berkowitz (Hoover Institution Fellow and educator) discusses the Trump administration's "Compact for Academic Excellence in Higher Education," which requires universities to meet ten priorities to qualify for federal benefits like student loans and research grants. While many goals are proper or already legally required (like protecting free speech and obeying civil rights laws), several are highly controversial. These controversial points include demanding that hiring decisions be made solely on individual "merit," which critics redefine to include group diversity, and requiring universities to maintain institutional neutrality on political issues. Most universities rejected the compact, asserting it would impair academic freedom. Berkowitz suggests the administration should use direct financial incentives to reward universities that actively teach free speech, rather than relying on mandates. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 US-China Ceasefire and Competition in Technology and Space. Jack Burnham (Foundation for Defense of Democracies research analyst) characterizes the Trump-Xi meeting as a necessary "truce" that allows both nations to gain stability and strengthen their positions before the next escalation. Regarding rare earths, China is now employing the US "playbook," setting up a licensing structure rather than a full trade cessation. He emphasizes that building a complete rare earth supply chain outside of China, especially refining capacity, may realistically take seven to ten years. In technology, Beijing is pushing for domestic self-sufficiency in AI infrastructure, partly driven by paranoia that imported chips may contain backdoors or vulnerabilities. Burnham also details China's commitment to militarizing space, including copying US reconnaissance capabilities and practicing anti-satellite operations like "dogfighting." 1015-1030 US-China Ceasefire and Competition in Technology and Space. Jack Burnham (Foundation for Defense of Democracies research analyst) characterizes the Trump-Xi meeting as a necessary "truce" that allows both nations to gain stability and strengthen their positions before the next escalation. Regarding rare earths, China is now employing the US "playbook," setting up a licensing structure rather than a full trade cessation. He emphasizes that building a complete rare earth supply chain outside of China, especially refining capacity, may realistically take seven to ten years. In technology, Beijing is pushing for domestic self-sufficiency in AI infrastructure, partly driven by paranoia that imported chips may contain backdoors or vulnerabilities. Burnham also details China's commitment to militarizing space, including copying US reconnaissance capabilities and practicing anti-satellite operations like "dogfighting." 1030-1045 AI Philosophy and Jewish Wisdom. Spencer Klavan (Associate Editor of the Claremont Review of Books) reviews Michael M. Rosen's book, Like Silicon from Clay, which uses ancient Jewish wisdom, specifically the Golem legend, to analyze AI. Rosen categorizes AI believers into four camps: autonomists (who believe AI will achieve consciousness or sentience) and automationists (who view AI as a sophisticated, non-conscious tool). Both camps are divided into "positive" (optimistic) and "negative" (pessimistic) outlooks. Klavan identifies as a positive automationist, seeing AI as an "elaborate adding machine" or "better Google" that is helpful but requires human verification because it often "hallucinates" (makes up facts). He notes that chatbots conclude conversations with questions because they need human input to avoid becoming "deranged" and to improve their ability to predict human speech patterns. 1045-1100 AI Philosophy and Jewish Wisdom. Spencer Klavan (Associate Editor of the Claremont Review of Books) reviews Michael M. Rosen's book, Like Silicon from Clay, which uses ancient Jewish wisdom, specifically the Golem legend, to analyze AI. Rosen categorizes AI believers into four camps: autonomists (who believe AI will achieve consciousness or sentience) and automationists (who view AI as a sophisticated, non-conscious tool). Both camps are divided into "positive" (optimistic) and "negative" (pessimistic) outlooks. Klavan identifies as a positive automationist, seeing AI as an "elaborate adding machine" or "better Google" that is helpful but requires human verification because it often "hallucinates" (makes up facts). He notes that chatbots conclude conversations with questions because they need human input to avoid becoming "deranged" and to improve their ability to predict human speech patterns. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 US Military Operations off Venezuela and the War in Ukraine. General Blaine Holt (United States Air Force retired) analyzes the significant US military buildup off Venezuela, headquartered at Roosevelt Roads, describing it as a "war-winning force" primarily targeting cartels and sending a global message of American might. He suggests that operations will likely use commando-style tactics rather than a full occupation, potentially leveraging historical events like the Bay of Pigs as cover for unconventional approaches. The conversation pivots to Ukraine, where Russia is effectively using new glide bombs and missiles, having shifted to a wartime mobilization economy. Holt notes the profound erosion of Ukraine's infrastructure and the demoralizing lack of manpower. He argues innovative, inexpensive defenses, such as Reaper drones with Sidewinders or lasers, are needed, as current air defense economics are unsustainable. 1115-1130 US Military Operations off Venezuela and the War in Ukraine. General Blaine Holt (United States Air Force retired) analyzes the significant US military buildup off Venezuela, headquartered at Roosevelt Roads, describing it as a "war-winning force" primarily targeting cartels and sending a global message of American might. He suggests that operations will likely use commando-style tactics rather than a full occupation, potentially leveraging historical events like the Bay of Pigs as cover for unconventional approaches. The conversation pivots to Ukraine, where Russia is effectively using new glide bombs and missiles, having shifted to a wartime mobilization economy. Holt notes the profound erosion of Ukraine's infrastructure and the demoralizing lack of manpower. He argues innovative, inexpensive defenses, such as Reaper drones with Sidewinders or lasers, are needed, as current air defense economics are unsustainable. 1130-1145 The Dominance of the US Dollar and Its Challenges. Alex Pollock (Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute) discusses Kenneth Rogoff's book, Our Currency, Your Problem, focusing on why the US dollar remains the dominant global currency. The dollar's strength is linked to US military power and superior legal and bankruptcy systems, which provide essential "social infrastructure." Pollock recalls the famous quip, "Our currency, your problem," made by Treasury Secretary John Connally in 1971 after the US defaulted on its gold obligations under the Bretton Woods system. Challenges from the Chinese renminbi and crypto are noted, but Rogoff finds serious institutional flaws in China's system. Critically, the growing US national debt is identified as the dollar's "Achilles heel," posing a major threat if global lenders stop lending. 1145-1200 The Dominance of the US Dollar and Its Challenges. Alex Pollock (Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute) discusses Kenneth Rogoff's book, Our Currency, Your Problem, focusing on why the US dollar remains the dominant global currency. The dollar's strength is linked to US military power and superior legal and bankruptcy systems, which provide essential "social infrastructure." Pollock recalls the famous quip, "Our currency, your problem," made by Treasury Secretary John Connally in 1971 after the US defaulted on its gold obligations under the Bretton Woods system. Challenges from the Chinese renminbi and crypto are noted, but Rogoff finds serious institutional flaws in China's system. Critically, the growing US national debt is identified as the dollar's "Achilles heel," posing a major threat if global lenders stop lending. FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 1215-1230 1230-1245 Private Space Enterprise, Artemis Debate, and the Human Body in Space. Bob Zimmerman (Behind the Black) reviews the private space sector, highlighting VAST, which is developing the small manned demo space station Haven One using its own investment capital, unlike other NASA-funded consortiums. VAST's larger planned station, Haven 2, is designed to rotate, creating artificial gravity. This capability is crucial for mitigating the damage extended weightlessness causes the human body, such as cardiovascular weakening, bone density loss, and vision problems (the eye flattens). Zimmerman notes the ongoing debate over NASA's Artemis program, where former administrators clash over SpaceX's ability to build the lunar lander on time, often driven by lobbying interests. He also reports that China recently set a new national record for successful launches in a single year (67 completed). 1245-100 AM Private Space Enterprise, Artemis Debate, and the Human Body in Space. Bob Zimmerman (Behind the Black) reviews the private space sector, highlighting VAST, which is developing the small manned demo space station Haven One using its own investment capital, unlike other NASA-funded consortiums. VAST's larger planned station, Haven 2, is designed to rotate, creating artificial gravity. This capability is crucial for mitigating the damage extended weightlessness causes the human body, such as cardiovascular weakening, bone density loss, and vision problems (the eye flattens). Zimmerman notes the ongoing debate over NASA's Artemis program, where former administrators clash over SpaceX's ability to build the lunar lander on time, often driven by lobbying interests. He also reports that China recently set a new national record for successful launches in a single year (67 completed).