Theory regarding recurring generational cycles in American history.
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Want to reach out to us? Want to leave a comment or review? Want to give us a suggestion or berate Anthony? Send us a text by clicking this link!A strange AI intro sets the tone for a conversation about power, myth, and the cracks running through our civilization. We start with Tucker's claim that some believers try to force God's hand, and that secular boosters dream of a tech-ruled future. From there we pull the lens wider: the Bretton Woods order is threadbare, NATO expectations are stale, and a managerial class that once kept the peace now leans on slogans no one believes. Whether you see him as a disruptor or a danger, Trump becomes a prism for realism—treating Europe's security habits, Ukraine's symbolism, and great-power hedging as signs the old narrative no longer binds.Then we enter the thicket of AI. Not sci-fi hype, but concrete pressures: law firms cutting junior roles, back-office “email jobs” vanishing, and a narrow set of labs racing for an advantage that could snowball. We weigh the fear of a winner-take-all “singleton” against the possibility of AI fragility, closed-loop error, and a financial bubble built on scarce chips and shaky energy. Either way, the labor shock seems real, and the blow will land hardest on Gen Z and Gen Alpha. That lands us in the heart of the meaning crisis: social media frays trust, the dating market corrodes goodwill, and the institutions that once turned information into wisdom—churches, schools, civic bodies—feel absent when we need them most.We don't retreat into mysticism or denial. Instead, we argue for recovering thick stories and practices that hold under stress: moral limits, local bonds, real sacrifice, and the courage to say no when power dresses up as destiny. We also warn about importing religious wars we barely understand; others see sacred stakes even when we insist it's just policy. If this is the end of a world, not the world, then our task is to stand upright in truth, steward what's still good, and build the scaffolding for what comes next.If this resonates, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a review—your support helps more curious listeners find these conversations.Support the showNeed seafood for Lent? Check out https://shoplobster.com/ and use code AB10 to get 10% from Maine's ONLY Catholic lobster company.Check out our new sponsor, Nic Nac, at www.nicnac.com and use code "AB25%" for 25% off of your first order!********************************************************Please subscribe! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKsxnv80ByFV4OGvt_kImjQ?sub_confirmation=1https://www.avoidingbabylon.comMerchandise: https://avoiding-babylon-shop.fourthwall.comLocals Community: https://avoidingbabylon.locals.comFull Premium/Locals Shows on Audio Podcast: https://www.buzzsprout.com/1987412/subscribeRSS Feed for Podcast Apps: https://feeds.buzzsprout.com/1987412.rss
I didn't use to be a Trump voter, much less a Trump supporter. I can't say I'm hard-core MAGA or what they call a “Triple Trump voter.” But as I've watched him over the past six years, my support for him has only grown. I could lie and pretend it hasn't, maybe save myself the tiny bit of credibility I still have left, but that would not be the truth.As I watch Trump deflect attacks from both the Left and the Right over the war with Iran and various other things, I still see the Gray Champion of the Fourth Turning — The one guy who has the right stuff to stand in the breach and do the right thing, even if it's not the popular thing. Whatever it is in Trump that guides him, some will say God, some will say a gut instinct, it gives him the necessary focus to blur out the distractions and the noise, take aim, and hit the bullseye.No president has ever faced the kind of opposition Trump has, not just from the world, but from the establishment in the United States, most especially the Democrats. Even now, they have no plan for any of us, no vision for the future. They only have their hatred of and their attacks on Trump and his MAGA base. What they want is for people like me to disappear, or else decide that all of their attacks on Trump have been justified. I was a fool, they want me to say, and I regret my vote. Except that I don't. They want X to reflect real life, with all of these influencers and podcasters studiously dropping their support and regretting their vote, “I'm done with Trump,” they insist.But X isn't real. It's avatar life. Whatever is happening there, it's the result of algorithms and engagement by people who spend way too much time doomscrolling and getting caught up in mass hysteria. Most people aren't that plugged in. They're just living their lives.I didn't just vote for Trump to stop the Left from overtaking this country and leading us into their dystopian, 1984-like future, but that would be reason enough.No, I have come to genuinely admire Trump, flaws and all. I am sickened by the snooty Left and how they turned their noses up at Trump and his supporters when he tried to revamp the Kennedy Center. I vomited a little in my mouth when I saw Ben Stiller demand that Trump remove Tropic Thunder from a meme. Every time the elite gather and trash Trump, as they did at Jesse Jackson's funeral, much to the horror of his own son, I see our potential future, which is really our past, a past we desperately need to leave behind. This is not their country. It never was. This country belongs to all of us.The Gray ChampionNine years ago, one of the authors of The Fourth Turning, Neil Howe, was asked if Trump was the Gray Champion. He didn't know because it was too early to say. This was before 2020 and before January 6th, way before Trump's second win in 2024.The key point he makes, though, is that a Gray Champion is full of ego and has an idea that if he breaks it or if he fixes it, he'll be okay. It's that combination of self-confidence, certainty, and recklessness to do what almost no one else would do that defines the one man who can stand up to not just the forces that oppose him but his own peers.It is the willingness to take big risks that, I think, makes a Gray Champion. Who else would even dare try? That makes them hated in their time, but history remembers them well.Lincoln was the target of assassination plots and was eventually assassinated.Winston Churchill was blamed for military failures during World War II:And Roosevelt was a target too:The bombing and neutralization of Iran is very Gray Champion-like, as is much of what Trump has already done both in the US and abroad in his second term. He is moving fast and perhaps breaking things to make his short time back in office matter.He also knows that if the US abandoned support for Israel now, Iran got a nuke, they would not hesitate to wipe Israel off the map, and though many on the MAGA Right would cheer that decision, it would be a disaster for the world. The allies would have no choice but to go to war with Iran anyway. Pay now or pay later.As with other Gray Champions of the past, Trump will have to take the bad with the good. The bombing of a school killing over 100 girls on the first day of the war — probably due to outdated intel — will have to be part of his legacy, no matter the outcome, which is still under investigation, but it looks like the US did it. This will put Trump in the Democrats' crosshairs should they take back power in 2026 or 2028. They might impeach him again or put him on trial for war crimes. The bombing of the school, along with the killings of Alex Pretti and Renee Good, will be amplified by the establishment media, and whatever Trump's successes will be won't matter.I understand this war from a strategic perspective, to end a threat to both America and Israel, one of the three world powers that could be fighting us in a world war, along with Russia and China. That wasn't the case with the Ukraine war. That, to me, had nothing to do with the United States. But this war does. But I also can't cry about obliterating a regime that was that oppressive with its people, not that it's our job to liberate them. As with Venezuela, it's hard not to feel some American pride that our president did what no one else had the courage to do.So yes, those girls died tragically, but hopefully, future daughters of Iran will not have to live under the kind of oppressive tyranny the Democrats pretend they've been living under for the last ten years.This was something all of us on the Left used to understand, which is why Hollywood made Not Without My Daughter in the 1980s, a true story about an American mother fleeing Iran to ensure her daughter lived free in America. And the end of the movie, the most miraculous sight of all, an American flag: In case you're wondering why Trump is in power now and why he's the Gray Champion, that's why. There was once an America that looked at the flag and saw freedom and safety. That is now threatened by a massive alignment of power that has decided to change everything about this country and transform it into a fundamentalist cult. There is no such thing as a moderate DemocratOkay, maybe John Fetterman counts. But, as we've now seen from the unearthed tweets by the Great White Hope in Texas, the crazy is baked in. It is more than just a fad or trend. While it's true that “dark woke” seeks to break their rules of behavior, it's also true that their newfound religion is unshakable. The Democrats are counting on winning elections without changing anything about their party. Trump hate sells, and they can't pivot away from it even if they wanted to. To fix a problem, you have to first name it, and in ten years, the Democrats never have. They've left people like me with no choice but to walk away. Even though poll after poll tells them how unpopular they are, even though the box office is now a ghost town, and you almost can't pay people to watch movies or television shows, or cable or network news, they still seem to believe they are superior to the other half of the country and that all of America wants them back. They don't.There are plenty on the MAGA Right, at least online, who see this as their moment to pull away from Trump and forge a new path toward an America First utopia of their own making. Count me out. I know what is waiting on the other side if they hand power back to the Left. In the Melania documentary that just dropped on Amazon, there is a great shot of a massive, gleaming luxury car, The Beast, and on its license plate it reads 45-47. It is as spectacular and hilariously funny as Trump himself. Who else but a Gray Champion would even try to run again, much less actually win?The critics' spiteful, negative reviews of Melania, compared to the audience reviews, say it all.I still remember another quote from a guy in East Palestine, Ohio, who called Trump, “a Man of the people” when he pulled up in his motorcade to visit them. The Democrats should spend every day for the rest of their lives pondering why. Trump supporters are not in a cult. They see in Trump a flawed hero. They also know he is spending what's left of his life trying to make America Great Again. His supporters believe in him, and the ride or die ones will stick it out to the bitter end. They waited in the freezing rain, in the suffocating heat of Summer, through assassinations and celebrations. Always, Trump is there with a smile and a thumbs up, the only guy who saw them at all, let alone represented them in the country they love.I might not have been there from the beginning, but as a discarded outsider, I have more in common with Donald Trump than just about any Democrat. I wish for his survival and that his last years will be spent playing golf at Mar-a-Lago and that history will remember him well.So you won't find me regretting my vote or wishing for a different leader. I'll take the guy who can get the dirty job done. I don't want a United States that is like Europe. I'll take an America that is like its current president, a chaotic work in progress that always lands on its feet. Godspeed Trump and MAGA. Godspeed. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.sashastone.com/subscribe
In deze aflevering van De Nieuwe Wereld bespreken Ad Verbrugge en Willem Middelkoop de explosieve geopolitieke en economische situatie van dit moment. Is de ontspoorde koers van 'Trump 2.0' de langverwachte trigger voor de Big Reset en de Fourth Turning? Van torenhoge olieprijzen en een dreigende beurscrash tot de verschuivende machtsbalans waarbij China rustig toekijkt als de lachende derde. Willem Middelkoop deelt zijn scherpe analyse over de chaos in het Midden-Oosten, de druk vanuit de Golfstaten en de grote gevolgen voor Europa.-------------------------Steun DNWMaak het geluid van de Nieuwe Wereld mogelijk. Zonder uw steun geen DNW! Word lid of doneer:
FF: Inflation, Retirement, and the Fourth Turning The start of the Federal Reserve was around the same time as we changed how we vote for our legislators and started the income tax. We talk about how this changed things here in the U.S. Too much warfare and welfare caused the dollar to reach a crisis moment in 1971. We talk about the upcoming Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, and his viewpoints on inflation. We talk about Social Security, socialized medicine, retirement, and inflation. We also cover how you can know what consumer price inflation will be by looking at the money growth rate in a country. We discuss how you can use assets to have a better financial future. We are nearing the end of the Fourth Turning. Use the information we share to prepare yourself and your family to not only survive but thrive, even with the big changes to come! Sponsors: American Gold Exchange Our dealer for precious metals & the exclusive dealer of Real Power Family silver rounds. Get your first, or next bullion order from American Gold Exchange like we do. Tell them the Real Power Family sent you! Click on this link to get a FREE Starters Guide. Or Click Here to order our new Real Power Family silver rounds. 1 Troy Oz 99.99% Fine Silver Abolish Property Taxes in Ohio: www.AxOHTax.com Get more information about abolishing all property taxes in Ohio. Our Links: www.RealPowerFamily.com Info@RealPowerFamily.com 833-Be-Do-Have (833-233-6428)
The Disney movies I grew up with made it easy for a kid like me to recognize good vs. evil. We knew, walking in the door, that goodness would prevail, because it must. The alternative is nothing less than the end of civilization as we know it. Goodness was personified by the beautiful princess, whose purity of heart drew the forest creatures and eventually, a handsome prince. Their union was a symbol of harmony, stability, and happy endings.Evil was embodied in the wicked queen, who was jealous of the princess's purity, so much so that she couldn't rest until the princess was obliterated. Somehow, the villains never know their demise is a certainty because goodness must prevail. Some might say that is what happened to the MAGA movement, one bright sunny day in Utah, when a psycho killer avenging the crippling despair of his transgender furry lover took aim and shot the handsome prince, killing him within minutes. Since then, MAGA has struggled to hold onto the coalition Charlie built, the support for the president he helped elect, and to protect the beautiful princess from the evil forces that threaten to destroy her, Turning Point, and MAGA.Candace Owens might think she's the hero of this story. She's written herself in after she was left on the cutting room floor. She's amassed an audience of dimwitted women and a weaponized army of international bad actors hoping to infiltrate the US and use Candace to shape public opinion. A growing portion of her audience, as with many influencers on the Right now, is comprised of people convinced that Jews are behind every evil thing that ever happens, has ever happened or will ever happen, and in Candace Owens, they've found their princess. Candace is the only one who sees the truth!Candace is an instrument of God!Candace will make sure justice is served!How good it must feel for someone who's always been a whole lotta charisma with no real place to land. She tried out many different masks over time, moving through political parties and various ideologies until finally landing the role of a lifetime: mean girl with a microphone. After being booted out of the Daily Wire, her gossipy YouTube channel would take her into the wet, slimy corners of culture and politics, and her audience would lap it up. But she would hit paydirt when she decided to run with the idea that Brigitte Macron was really a man.Cruelty sells online, and Becoming Brigitte was a huge hit. Getting slapped with a massive lawsuit by the Macrons only seemed to make her more popular. By the end of that mess, everyone knew her name.So then what? Back to Blake Lively and Diddy's Freak-Offs? Not for our Disney villain. She needed something as big, if not bigger. What could really dig into the tender spots and manifest itself as emotional terrorism in the same way? Who is as protected a target? Social media amplifies the ugliness inside of us all. The algorithms do the rest. The Left has been unleashing levels of dehumanization and bullying at Erika Kirk since the day Charlie died. Why her? Who knows. They hated him and were happy he was dead. They wanted to see his widow suffer, especially because she's a pretty blonde. All the while, Candace, who'd been sidelined from Charlie's life, didn't attend his wedding to Erika, so the story goes, and was pushed out of TPUSA and not present at the memorial, saw that Erika was suddenly a subject both too hot to touch and impossible to ignore. And yeah, a pretty blonde.And so, just as the evil Queen in Snow White can't stand it any longer and sends a huntsman to kill what torments her, Candace finally pulled the lever, especially after Erika Kirk told her to stop, in an interview with the very Jewish Bari Weiss, no less.So many women, and even some men, wanted to see our princess fall, and Candace was more than happy to serve it up fresh and hot. The Disney PrincessCharlie Kirk's marriage to Erika was always met with the refrain, “she's out of his league.” Charlie got lucky and found himself a true beauty. Half Syrian/Lebanese and half Swedish. Erika Kirk looks like no one else. With cascading platinum locks and sparkling blue eyes, she was Charlie's dream girl. How did he ever get so lucky? He saw her, knew he wanted her, and he said to her, “I don't want to hire you. I want to date you,” so goes the famous story of how they met.Candace is pretty, but she's not that pretty. Few women are. Candace had to develop other skills that pretty girls usually don't have to worry about. Candace is better on camera than Erika. She is better at performing and at storytelling. Erika is still slightly awkward and hasn't yet found her voice. She's trying under enormous pressure and undeserved scrutiny to keep Turning Point alive and make Charlie's dreams come true. Not to mention caring for two small children and an ailing mother. But it's Erika's beauty, especially her leaning into her half-Swedish identity, that seems to drive Candace into fits of despair and jealousy. What else could explain it? Candace admits she wasn't the kind of kid that people sought out to be in beauty pageants. “I was funny looking,” she says. “I had an underbite.”And therein lies the tragedy of Candace Owens. She has an abundance of charisma and is a gifted storyteller. But none of that gave her the happy ending she wanted because it was never about the handsome prince. She wanted power, influence, all eyes on her. And that has taken her down a dark path.A Disney VillainHer slice and dice this time would be called The Bride of Charlie, like the Bride of Frankenstein (get it, FrankenSTEIN?), with Charlie as the hapless creature, and Erika built just for him and used as bait to lure him into a trap that would eventually get him killed. The views were up in the millions as Candace's audience spread the lies and rumors far and wide on social media. Her idiot followers pretended like there was something to the story when it was obvious they just needed another woman to hurl into the public arena, our modern-day Colosseum. Why? Because they're bored, they're stupid, and they don't know what else to do with their time.Her “investigative series” is a whole lotta nothing. It is petty and dumb, revealing that Candace just wants to be back in the movie and keeps writing herself back into the script.“He was like a little brother to me,” she has said. No one would treat their little brother this way. She brags about encouraging Charlie to date women and pushing him toward Erika. All the while suggesting she was more important to Charlie, to Turning Point, to the entire world than Erika ever could be. Pick MELook at METalk about MENot her.But not even Charlie is as important as the bigger conspiracy that Israel killed him. Candace repurposed Charlie's corpse as proof of her delusional fantasies that Israel would even bother. She has invented a version of Charlie that never existed and used him as a prop to push insane levels of Jew hate not seen for a long time in media, if ever, not counting Nazi Germany.It wouldn't be until the US and Israel bombed Iran that it would all come together for her in a nice, neat package. They needed Charlie out of the way so they could start this war. Whatever is happening now, courtesy of algorithms and anonymous users driving influencers farther to the Right, Robert Malone warns that we're seeing the kind of hate we haven't seen since World War II, the last Fourth Turning. And So Shines a Good Deed in a Weary WorldCalling out Candace Owens is dangerous. Once she makes you a target, her minions will attack like the flying monkeys in The Wizard of Oz. Some people on the Right do have the courage not so much to attack Candace, although plenty have, but to stand up for Erika. One such person is the Daily Wire's Matt Walsh, who dedicated an entire show to exposing just how ridiculous The Bride of Charlie actually is, and none of it is evidence of any crime. It's not true, Matt says, and so it's wrong. But for someone like him, who mostly exists in the Tucker Carlson lane, to do so was brave.The whole video is worth watching, and you can find it here. Here is how he opens it:Candace might be playing with fire like Alex Jones did when he was hit with a billion-dollar lawsuit after Sandy Hook. Candace is slippery in the things she says, always careful to add “in my imagination” or “this is speculation.” But she has done visible harm to Erika Kirk's reputation, the very definition of defamation. She's also made the children of Charlie Kirk have to grow up with these lies, this unfair albatross that will haunt them forever. How could anyone who calls themselves a friend of Charlie do that?So that's all the more reason I was moved by Matt Walsh's willingness to go there. He didn't attack her, and he could have. He didn't destroy her, and he could have. He tried to appeal to the better angels of her nature, but the thing is, I don't think she has any. Matt was a very good friend of Charlie Kirk, and this is what friends do. They don't pillage the corpse for clicks and views. They don't bully, harass, and smear the widow and endanger the lives of their children. They don't try to dismantle the movement Charlie built. Candace was no friend to Charlie Kirk.But Matt was. If I had to guess, I'd say he made a silent promise to his good friend that he would step up and provide support and be a kind of guardian angel for Erika and their two kids. His monologue is so good, so well written, so moving it should have been more of a reason for others to do the same. But the content churn won't allow it. It's onto the next thing.Matt's monologue makes me think Charlie Kirk was right in how he chose his closest friends. If it's true that he had parted ways with Candace Owens before his death, that speaks volumes. If his legacy is to be handed over to anyone, let it be to those who cared about him, so they care about Erika. Those seeking to destroy the ones Charlie loved the most should be kept far, far away. But all you have to do is listen to Charlie's voice, to his children, and to Erika to find solid ground. This is real. That other stuff isn't. Charlie Kirk is missed because, like Scott Adams and even the podcast America This Week, he had a calming effect on the spiraling craziness. His words echo from beyond the grave to shame the pretenders like Candace, who can never be like Charlie. In the end, it would turn out that Candace's object of scorn wasn't Erika at all. It was Charlie. She could never be him. She would never be loved like that. She will never lead a movement like he did. She will never change the world. She will always be on the outside, her face pressed against the glass, screaming into the void.Candace cast herself as the villain in our Disney movie. And if her rise has been fascinating to watch, her fall will be spectacular. If, for no other reason, goodness must prevail. // This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.sashastone.com/subscribe
Cem Karsan sits down with Neil Howe to examine what a true regime shift means for markets and society. Howe argues that we are deep into a Fourth Turning, a generational winter that historically brings institutional fracture, geopolitical strain, and inflation that reshapes debts, assets, and political power. Cem ties that arc to today's realities: the exhaustion of the 40 year tailwind from falling rates, record valuations meeting refinancing risk, and the uncomfortable truth that 60/40 has failed for long stretches before.They explore the growing divide between capital and labor, the pivot from globalization to industrial policy, and the rising appeal of commodities, cash, and convex hedges in a world where outcomes are less linear. Howe also details how his Fourth Turning ETF reflects that view, pairing thematic equities with real assets and disciplined tail protection.This is a conversation about preparing, not predicting, when history starts to rhyme a little louder.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 01:28 - Introducing Neil Howe and why this conversation matters now03:37 - What the Fourth Turning is and how the cycle works10:26 - “The Fourth Turning Is Here” and the practical question: what do we do?16:42 - Rates, inequality, and why the last 40 years may not repeat20:17 - Inflation as a crisis tool, not a forecasting error26:43 - Options, convexity, and non-linear portfolios in regime change33:31 - The surge into “non-correlated” assets and what it signals39:39 - Market closures, devaluation, and the limits of buy-the-dip history45:28 - Commodities as a missing portfolio leg and the volatility debate48:12 - Howe's ETF framework: themes, commodities, cash, and tail hedges52:43 - Timing the crisis, geopolitics, and the authoritarianism questionCopyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here3. Other Resources that can help youAnd if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click HerePrivacy PolicyDisclaimer
What can history tell us about the seasons of our live? A lot, according to Neil Howe, author of The Fourth Turning is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us About How and When This Crisis Will End. This is my current morning reading, and, while it's certainly not easy (nor is it short at 578 pages), it's become essential for my understanding of how Americans have gotten where we are, and gives some hope for where we are going. In this episode I share some of what I'm learning about the concept of "turnings," "saecula," "generations" and much more. If history can teach us anything, so far it's that "this too shall pass," whether we are talking about yearly seasonal cycles or times and places in history. Neil Howe has other interesting takes on investments and other historical information. You can find more about this book and his insights at www.fourthturning.com.
History has patterns, and when you recognize them, what feels chaotic starts to make sense. I unpack the idea of the Fourth Turning, why predictable crises emerge in cycles, and how this moment connects to a larger battle over nations, leadership, and influence. When you see where we are in the cycle, you will understand why this season matters and how to move with clarity instead of fear. Podcast Episode 2047: Welcome To The Fourth Turning - It's a Time of Predictable Crisis | don't miss this! Listen to more episodes of the Lance Wallnau Show at lancewallnau.com/podcast
Originally intended to point out what a Crisis looks like, in the futile hope that maybe people in the USA would recognize when they were making them. Alas, this was not the case, and so we have a real peak Crisis happening. Can we tell the start of a Fourth Turning by noticing the frequency and intensity of nation-level unforced errors? A look at the Soviet Union during the 1980s, when in retrospect the nation was clearly falling apart, and the unforced errors during that decade that might have been good indicators of what was happening. https://www.airspacemag.com/history-of-flight/the-notorious-flight-of-mathias-rust-7101888/ "At about this time, Soviet investigators would later tell Rust, radar controllers realized something was terribly wrong, but it was too late for them to act." In the 1980s, the Reagan administration released a publication called "Soviet Military Power" which was frankly intended to make the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics look more powerful than it was. In 1989, someone FINALLY put out a response to it, called Soviet Military Power, Annotated" which pointed out that it was frankly a propaganda document. Unfortunately, the annotations were also frankly propaganda. At one point it alludes to Rust's flight as having a lot of lucky coincidences that just happened to embarrass the Soviet Union on Border Guard day. It implies, that is, that Mathias Rust's flight sure looked like an intentional propaganda stunt that must have had direct help from someone who wanted to embarrass the USSR> Anyway, if it was the case that this was anything else, I'm rather confident that Rust would have been "disappeared" a while ago. Googling us intelligence tracking Mathias Rust leads to a "Secrets of Signals Intelligence During the Cold War" - nothing there, really, that I used here, but it was interesting reading. (Okay, it no longer seems to lead there, but you can search for it directly, and there are some links that are evidently to the book itself.) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fall_of_the_Berlin_Wall https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Solidarity https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polish_Round_Table_Agreement https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severomorsk_Disaster https://www.nytimes.com/1984/07/11/world/soviet-naval-blast-called-crippling.html Listing them here for additional clarity and impact. 1979 - Afghanistan 1980 - Solidarity 1983 - KAL 007 1985 - Chernenko dies 1986 - Chernobyl 1987 - Mathias Rust 1989 - Berlin Wall Falls 1991 - August Coup HBO's miniseries on Chernobyl influenced my views of the Chernobyl disaster by making the causes clear enough to be enthralling cinema. It's a good intro to the disaster, although parts of it are fictionalized. I could not find the cosmonaut cartoon, but saw it at work every day in 1985-1987. There was another cartoon I remember but also couldn't find about Solidarity: Polish & Soviet leaders discuss the labor union, and assume that it was engineered by reactionary forces in the West. It then shows a small group of people reading from The Communist Manifest: Workers of the world, Unite! You have nothing to lose but your chains! That sixth Star Trek film is The Undiscovered Country, released in December 1991, only a few weeks before the official dissolution of the Soviet Union. https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0102975/
For the last five years, since I left the Democratic Party, I've been waiting for any sign that they've emerged from the Doomsday Bunker at long last, regained their perspective, come back to the real world, and are finally prepared to build a future for all of America because a house divided against itself cannot stand. The Democrats were booted out, not once but twice. In between, they had the chance to show us all that they were on the better side. If Trump were so terrible, what could they offer in return? The problem is that they're still the party of Barack Obama, and to criticize any of it, to change course on anything is an affront to him and all that he built. To confront their failures, they must confront his. And they won't do that. They failed to protect the border, the children, the workers, the families, and the businesses. They failed to keep us safe and failed to include us all in the American dream, choosing to focus instead on their wheel of oppression, which has now landed on illegal immigrants. True, no political party has amassed as much power as they still have. It was power they did not want to lose. I know. I was there. I didn't even realize there was another America outside the one we built, with the help of the internet. It was a brand new world that felt like the future. But it was a world that left at least half the country, the working-class half, behind. When we emerged in 2016, shocked that they did not want to live in our utopia, it sent us cascading into mass delusion that Trump was an existential crisis instead of a duly elected leader for Americans who wanted to change. Rather than understand that, rather than work to fix the problem, rather than reach out to those abandoned, discarded masses, it's been this. Petulance, temper tantrums, narcissism, self-pity, unending hysteria, like spoiled children who don't get what they want on Christmas morning.Senator Adam Schiff has announced he will boycott Trump's State of the Union, joining a growing list of, it must be said, weak and unappealing Democrats no one feels inspired by or wants to vote for. According to Newsweek, these are the Democrats who plan on playing hooky. * Senator Jeff Merkley of Oregon* Senator Chris Murphy of Connecticut* Senator Tina Smith of Minnesota* Senator Chris Van Hollen of Maryland* Representative Yassamin Ansari of Arizona* Representative Becca Balint of Vermont* Representative Greg Casar of Texas* Representative Veronica Escobar of Texas* Representative Pramila Jayapal of Washington* Representative Delia Ramirez of Illinois* Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman of New JerseyAfter mocking Turning Point USA's half-time, these Democrats are now doing the same thing, planning an alternative rally to boycott the State of the Union.According to Reuters:About a dozen Democrats in the Senate and House of Representatives have announced their participation in a “People's State of the Union” event on the National Mall, near the Capitol, to highlight their opposition to the Republican administration's policies, organizers said on Wednesday.Yeah, it will probably play like Kamala Harris's closing argument to the “people” on October 29, just before Donald Trump cleaned her clock. Now, it's deja vu all over again. Remember eight years ago when they boycotted the State of the Union? Yeah, good times. Do you think they had any idea Trump would come back and win in 2024?Nothing ever feels authentic. It always feels performative. They simply swap out whatever the current thing is and then fall in line like obedient robots. Harris was installed after they pushed Joe Biden out, and he pushed out any potential candidates who might defeat Trump. Now, instead of the screeching Me Too fanatics, it will be the screeching No Kings/ICE OUT fanatics. Sounds charming!They are running in place, getting nowhere, because they have nowhere to go. They've never confronted their failures, or the America under Obama that many voters did not want. Kamala Harris, like every Democrat, had nothing to sell but fear - fear of Trump, fear of the future, fear of change.Their platform is built on elevating the weak and the marginalized, so they need a constant supply. They need a sick America. Not a successful, healthy America. Trump projects exactly the opposite, and it drives them insane. So all they're left with are their violent fits, their temper tantrums, their protests, and their boycotts. Yes, they have all of the cultural power. They have most of the wealth. What they don't have are the people. If they did, they would not have lost to the guy they tried to impeach, throw in jail, remove from ballots, and even assassinate. You can't be the side with all of that power and still treat the other half of the country like human garbage. They know that, at least some of them do. They just don't know any way out by now. Their party has been hijacked by a cult. All the people have is a vote, and since they voted against the Democrats, they're invisible. No American raped, assaulted, abused, or murdered by an illegal immigrant on their watch has any value whatsoever to them. Only Jon Fetterman seems able to exist in any kind of reality that makes sense to the rest of us, maybe because he has Trump supporters in his life and doesn't get his reality only from MS-Now and the New York Times:In ten years, they've never figured out that it wasn't about Trump at all. It's always been about them, about freeing America from the clutches of their increasingly insane and out-of-touch policies. The Democrats gave people like me no other options but to vote against them. Trump is in power now only because he survived, and no one else could. In Lionel Shriver's excellent new novel, A Better Life (review forthcoming), she points out that the dominant culture on the Left isn't raising Americans to fight for their place in this country anymore, but to be among the elite who don't have to work and don't have to leave behind their offspring to build on what they have. That's the spirit America was founded on. Watch the full video here. And that's where Donald Trump comes in. That is what MAGA is about, and it's why he's built a strong movement that demands a secure border. He wants to fight for a better America and to inspire generations to rise up and fill those shoes. Trump is making big moves, generational moves, and the Democrats and their ruling class don't know how to match it or deal with it. Trump was able to do the hard things like ending “gender affirming care,” securing the border, and trying to make peace in the Middle East and elsewhere. He's set up Trump accounts for young people to start building their finances early. No tax on tips or overtime or social security - these are some of the bold ideas he's pushed forth that the Democrats pretend don't exist. That's why he's the Gray Champion of the Fourth Turning. There is no one else of his generation who could or would even try to do what he has done, to fight for a strong America, to fight for a better life for all of us. Maybe he fails more than he succeeds, but the point is, he's trying. He wants the fighting spirit that founded this nation back. He's not giving up on those discarded, forgotten Americans the Democrats seek to jetison and replace. The state of the Democratic Party now seems to be fighting for a sicker, more helpless America that can't leave anything for the next generation. They have found a kind of religion in identity, and that matters more than their identity as Americans. All they have to sell is fear, insisting everyone go along with their mass delusion, yes, even ten years later. They should not be surprised if Americans say, “Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me.”/// This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.sashastone.com/subscribe
Send a textWe're living in uncertain times, and farmers and ranchers feel it more than most. Markets are volatile, costs are rising, and the old playbook doesn't seem to work the way it once did.In this episode of the Profitable Steward Podcast, Jared Sorensen is joined by farmer, educator, and student of history William DeMille for a thoughtful conversation about where we are in the cycle of history and what that means for agriculture today.Rather than focusing on fear or hype, this discussion centers on hope, agency, and practical action. Drawing on historical patterns, regenerative principles, and real-world experience, Jared and William explore why local food systems, direct-to-consumer relationships, and community-centered farming matter more than ever.In this episode, you'll hear about:The “Fourth Turning” and why crisis periods create opportunityWhy traditional systems are failing farmers and ranchersHow relationships, not volume, drive long-term successThe growing demand for regenerative and locally produced foodWhy direct-to-consumer marketing is a viable path for real profitabilityHow mindset, faith, and stewardship shape resilient businessesThis episode is an encouragement to stop waiting for stability to return and start building something meaningful, profitable, and sustainable right where you are.If you're looking for clarity, courage, and practical direction in a changing world, this conversation will meet you there.Check out our friend Amy Hay and her company that helps direct marketers sell beef (or any product) directly at a profit.http://Www.sellbeefdirect.com/empowering-farmers
In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Neil Howe, author of The Fourth Turning Is Here and co-creator of the Fourth Turning generational framework, along with Ben Hunt of Epsilon Theory, to discuss where we are in the current cycle and what it means for markets, inflation, AI, capital flows, and America's long-term economic outlook. From the debasement trade and rising gold prices to global capital crowding out and the structural forces shaping productivity and growth, this conversation connects generational theory with real-world investing decisions. If you're thinking about inflation, deficits, AI capital spending, global diversification, or how to position defensively and offensively in a shifting macro regime, this discussion provides a powerful framework for navigating what may be a historic transition period.Topics CoveredThe Fourth Turning framework and where we are in the current crisis cycleWhy inflation is not a problem but a policy solution in major crisesThe collapse in US national savings and long-term deficit risksCapital flows, the debasement trade, and the future of the US dollarGold, commodities, and real assets in a regime shiftGlobal diversification and opportunities outside the United StatesAI capital spending, productivity gains, and the risk of overinvestmentCrowding out effects from government deficits and AI hyper scalingTrust, geopolitics, and the long-term implications for global marketsHealthcare, demographics, and structural investment themesDefensive and offensive positioning in a Fourth Turning environmentTimestamps00:00 Inflation as a solution and the generational crisis framework04:00 Explaining the Fourth Turning and historical crisis cycles12:55 Narratives, generational archetypes, and market behavior22:24 Is the Fourth Turning pessimistic or optimistic34:00 Inflation, gold, and the debasement trade40:00 Global capital flows and the reversal of US inflows50:00 AI capital spending and the K shaped capital markets55:09 Crowding out, deficits, and slow growth risks01:02:23 Defensive and offensive investment positioning01:09:31 Final thoughts on diversification, gold, and financials
Leaders, it's time to articulate a vision for black Americans, here at the end of the Fourth Turning. ---Opening theme composed by Felipe Sarro - Bach - Silotti - "Air" from Orchestra Suite No. 3, BWV 1068 Closing theme composed by Brian Sanyshyn of Brian Sanyshyn Music.---Pick up your copy of 12 Rules for Leaders: The Foundation of Intentional Leadership NOW on AMAZON!Check out the Leadership Lessons From the Great Books podcast reading list!---Subscribe to the Leadership Lessons From The Great Books Podcast: https://bit.ly/LLFTGBSubscribeCheck out Leadership ToolBox at: https://leadershiptoolbox.us/ ★ Support this podcast on Patreon ★
Send a textWe're living in uncertain times, and farmers and ranchers feel it more than most. Markets are volatile, costs are rising, and the old playbook doesn't seem to work the way it once did.In this episode of the Profitable Steward Podcast, Jared Sorensen is joined by farmer, educator, and student of history William DeMille for a thoughtful conversation about where we are in the cycle of history and what that means for agriculture today.Rather than focusing on fear or hype, this discussion centers on hope, agency, and practical action. Drawing on historical patterns, regenerative principles, and real-world experience, Jared and William explore why local food systems, direct-to-consumer relationships, and community-centered farming matter more than ever.In this episode, you'll hear about:The “Fourth Turning” and why crisis periods create opportunityWhy traditional systems are failing farmers and ranchersHow relationships, not volume, drive long-term successThe growing demand for regenerative and locally produced foodWhy direct-to-consumer marketing is a viable path for real profitabilityHow mindset, faith, and stewardship shape resilient businessesThis episode is an encouragement to stop waiting for stability to return and start building something meaningful, profitable, and sustainable right where you are.If you're looking for clarity, courage, and practical direction in a changing world, this conversation will meet you there.
In this episode, I talk to my friend Andy Schaalman, who has Substack, Fourth Turning Chronicles but whose work can be found mostly on his YouTube page, where all of his great videos are. We talked for almost three hours, so it's a real Joe Rogan-type deal. Both of us have been interested in the Fourth Turning for many years. He is a millennial, and I am Gen-X. We get pretty deep into it, so it probably might not be interesting to anyone who isn't interested in the concept. But if you are, have a listen. Referenced in our podcast is this episode:But many of his videos are worth a watch. You can find them here.Meanwhile, here is some Fourth Turning info referenced in the podcast.Here are some quotes from The Fourth Turning, a link to the book, and videos.“At each of these great gates of history, eighty to a hundred years apart, a similar generational drama unfolded. Four archetypes, aligned in the same order—elder Prophet, midlife Nomad, young adult Hero, child Artist—together produced the most enduring legends in our history. Each time the Gray Champion appeared marked the arrival of a moment of “darkness, and adversity, and peril,” the climax of the Fourth Turning of the saeculum.”“What will America be like as it exits the Fourth Turning?History offers no guarantees. Obviously, things could go horribly wrong—the possibilities ranging from a nuclear exchange to incurable plagues, from terrorist anarchy to high-tech dictatorship. We should not assume that Providence will always exempt our nation from the irreversible “tragedies that have overtaken so many others: not just temporary hardship, but debasement and total ruin. Since Vietnam, many Americans suppose they know what it means to lose a war. Losing in the next Fourth Turning, however, could mean something incomparably worse. It could mean a lasting defeat from which our national innocence—and perhaps even our nation—might never recover. As many Americans know from their own ancestral backgrounds, history provides numerous examples of societies that have been wiped off the map, ground into submission, or beaten so badly they revert to barbarism. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.sashastone.com/subscribe
We are living through a historic turning point. I sit down with generational historian and economist Neil Howe, co-author of The Fourth Turning, to unpack what's actually happening beneath the surface of today's economic, political, and cultural instability. Rather than forecasting fear, Neil provides context—explaining why long periods of stability breed complacency, why trust in institutions breaks down, and why agency and community suddenly matter again during crisis eras. From inflation as a policy tool to the return of community, authority, and shared purpose, this conversation challenges listeners to stop outsourcing responsibility and start preparing intentionally. If you like this episode, here are more episodes we think you'll enjoy: Ep #572 - An Argument For DSOs – Compliance, Consolidation & the Future of Dental Practice – Brian Colao Ep #567 - Rewriting The American Dream in a Stagflation World – Dr. David Phelps Check out the show notes for more information! P.S. Whenever you're ready, here are some other ways I can help fast track you to your Freedom goal (you're closer than you think): 1. Schedule a Call with My Team: If you're tired of running on the hamster wheel, and are looking for a proven blueprint to create more freedom and reduce dependency on your practice income, schedule a call with my team to learn more. 2. Get Your Dentist Retirement Survival Guide: The winds of economic change are here, and now is the time to move to higher ground. This guide gives you the steps to protect your retirement, your family, and your peace of mind. Get the 25-point checklist here. 3. Get Your Free Retirement Scorecard: Benchmark your retirement and wealth-building against hundreds of other practice professionals, and get personalized feedback on your biggest opportunities and leverage points. Click here to take the 3 minute assessment and get your scorecard.
In this episode, I sit down with Dave Collum. We dive deep into why the financial legends who warned us about insane market bubbles back in 2015 might not have been wrong – they might have just been early. We're talking about an economy at 35,000 feet with its engines on fire, and the solution has been to climb to 45,000 feet. That doesn't fix the problem. This is raw, unfiltered truth about corruption, fake jobs, market insanity, and why keeping your head on a swivel has never been more important. ––– Offers & Discounts –––
Debate continues on whether the Fourth Turning has ended, with Swan arguing more systemic stress lies aheadGold's breakout is framed as validation of the debasement thesis, not a refutation of BitcoinBitcoin and gold are positioned as aligned assets against fiat debasement, with different strengthsCathie Wood suggests this cycle's Bitcoin drawdown may be the shallowest in historyTrump's renewed stock-market cheerleading signals shifting political incentives ahead of midtermsDavos discussions show Bitcoin is now taken seriously, though still begrudgingly, by central bankersPoliticization of central banks is bullish for assets but bearish for fiat currenciesJapan's bond and currency volatility highlight long-term consequences of financial repressionSteak 'n Shake adopting Bitcoin for treasury and employee pay reflects grassroots adoptionTradFi continues integrating Bitcoin via annuities, tokenized securities, and ETFs ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin
Luke Gromen is the founder and president of Forest for the Trees (FFTT), a macroeconomic research firm that serves institutional and private investors. He talks why northeast Ohio is a great place to live, America the Empire vs. America the Country, Fourth Turning, data centers, China, dollar reserve tradeoff, gold, bitcoin, and much more. PLEASE SUBSCRIBE LIKE AND SHARE THIS PODCAST!!! Watch Show Rumble- https://rumble.com/v74pmbs-why-us-gold-is-flowing-to-china-luke-gromen.html YouTube- https://youtu.be/lYYF1HjnCZo Follow Me X- https://x.com/CoffeeandaMike IG- https://www.instagram.com/coffeeandamike/ Facebook- https://www.facebook.com/CoffeeandaMike/ YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/@Coffeeandamike Rumble- https://rumble.com/search/all?q=coffee%20and%20a%20mike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Apple Podcasts- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/coffee-and-a-mike/id1436799008 Gab- https://gab.com/CoffeeandaMike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Website- www.coffeeandamike.com Email- info@coffeeandamike.com Support My Work Venmo- https://www.venmo.com/u/coffeeandamike Paypal- https://www.paypal.com/biz/profile/Coffeeandamike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Patreon- http://patreon.com/coffeeandamike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Cash App- https://cash.app/$coffeeandamike Buy Me a Coffee- https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeandamike Bitcoin- coffeeandamike@strike.me Mail Check or Money Order- Coffee and a Mike LLC P.O. Box 25383 Scottsdale, AZ 85255-9998 Follow Luke X- https://x.com/LukeGromen Website- https://fftt-llc.com/ YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/@LukeGromenFFTTLLC/featured Sponsors Vaulted/Precious Metals- https://vaulted.blbvux.net/coffeeandamike McAlvany Precious Metals- https://mcalvany.com/coffeeandamike/ Independence Ark Natural Farming- https://www.independenceark.com/
The prospect for civil war is a hot topic right now. Stories in the news about polarization, economic stress, violent riots, and civil unrest make it seem inevitable. And yet… nothing ever seems to happen. Why?In this episode, we explore the surprising forces shaping modern unrest, why mass movements fail to mature, and what that means for the society we live in. This isn't speculation, it's a careful look at history, institutions, and human behavior in high-pressure systems.Why you should listen:Understand the unseen forces that prevent civil conflict even under extreme tensionLearn why unrest simmers without igniting, and what that reveals about modern institutionsGain insight into how society is evolving under stress, and what that might mean for your personal strategyIt's all inside this episode of PST!Support the showGet Members Only Content when you upgrade to a premium membership on our Substack page. Click here.Link up with us:Website: Pearl Snap TacticalInstagram: Pearl Snap Tactical X: Pearl Snap TaciticalThe views and opinions expressed by the guests do not necessarily reflect those of the host, this podcast or affiliates. The information provided in these shows are for educational purposes do not constitute legal advice. Those interest in training in the use of firearms or other self-defense applications are advised to seek out a professional, qualified instructor.(Some of the links in the episode show notes are affiliate links. This means that if you make a purchase through these links, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. We only recommend products or services we have personally used and believe will add value to our listeners.)
Leaders restoration has more meaning behind it than as a synonym for gentrification. ---Opening theme composed by Felipe Sarro - Bach - Silotti - "Air" from Orchestra Suite No. 3, BWV 1068 Closing theme composed by Brian Sanyshyn of Brian Sanyshyn Music.---Pick up your copy of 12 Rules for Leaders: The Foundation of Intentional Leadership NOW on AMAZON!Check out the Leadership Lessons From the Great Books podcast reading list!---Subscribe to the Leadership Lessons From The Great Books Podcast: https://bit.ly/LLFTGBSubscribeCheck out Leadership ToolBox at: https://leadershiptoolbox.us/ ★ Support this podcast on Patreon ★
In this episode of the Crazy Wisdom podcast, host Stewart Alsop sits down with Kelvin Lwin for their second conversation exploring the fascinating intersection of AI and Buddhist cosmology. Lwin brings his unique perspective as both a technologist with deep Silicon Valley experience and a serious meditation practitioner who's spent decades studying Buddhist philosophy. Together, they examine how AI development fits into ancient spiritual prophecies, discuss the dangerous allure of LLMs as potentially "asura weapons" that can mislead users, and explore verification methods for enlightenment claims in our modern digital age. The conversation ranges from technical discussions about the need for better AI compilers and world models to profound questions about humanity's role in what Lwin sees as an inevitable technological crucible that will determine our collective spiritual evolution. For more information about Kelvin's work on attention training and AI, visit his website at alin.ai. You can also join Kelvin for live meditation sessions twice daily on Clubhouse at clubhouse.com/house/neowise.Timestamps00:00 Exploring AI and Spirituality05:56 The Quest for Enlightenment Verification11:58 AI's Impact on Spirituality and Reality17:51 The 500-Year Prophecy of Buddhism23:36 The Future of AI and Business Innovation32:15 Exploring Language and Communication34:54 Programming Languages and Human Interaction36:23 AI and the Crucible of Change39:20 World Models and Physical AI41:27 The Role of Ontologies in AI44:25 The Asura and Deva: A Battle for Supremacy48:15 The Future of Humanity and AI51:08 Persuasion and the Power of LLMs55:29 Navigating the New Age of TechnologyKey Insights1. The Rarity of Polymath AI-Spirituality Perspectives: Kelvin argues that very few people are approaching AI through spiritual frameworks because it requires being a polymath with deep knowledge across multiple domains. Most people specialize in one field, and combining AI expertise with Buddhist cosmology requires significant time, resources, and academic background that few possess.2. Traditional Enlightenment Verification vs. Modern Claims: There are established methods for verifying enlightenment claims in Buddhist traditions, including adherence to the five precepts and overcoming hell rebirth through karmic resolution. Many modern Western practitioners claiming enlightenment fail these traditional tests, often changing the criteria when they can't meet the original requirements.3. The 500-Year Buddhist Prophecy and Current Timing: We are approximately 60 years into a prophesied 500-year period where enlightenment becomes possible again. This "startup phase of Buddhism revival" coincides with technological developments like the internet and AI, which are seen as integral to this spiritual renaissance rather than obstacles to it.4. LLMs as UI Solution, Not Reasoning Engine: While LLMs have solved the user interface problem of capturing human intent, they fundamentally cannot reason or make decisions due to their token-based architecture. The technology works well enough to create illusion of capability, leading people down an asymptotic path away from true solutions.5. The Need for New Programming Paradigms: Current AI development caters too much to human cognitive limitations through familiar programming structures. True advancement requires moving beyond human-readable code toward agent-generated languages that prioritize efficiency over human comprehension, similar to how compilers already translate high-level code.6. AI as Asura Weapon in Spiritual Warfare: From Buddhist cosmological perspective, AI represents an asura (demon-realm) tool that appears helpful but is fundamentally wasteful and disruptive to human consciousness. Humanity exists as the battleground between divine and demonic forces, with AI serving as a weapon that both sides employ in this cosmic conflict.7. 2029 as Critical Convergence Point: Multiple technological and spiritual trends point toward 2029 as when various systems will reach breaking points, forcing humanity to either transcend current limitations or be consumed by them. This timing aligns with both technological development curves and spiritual prophecies about transformation periods.
Neil Howe returns to explain why the world has entered a Fourth Turning “winter.” From rising geopolitical conflict to inflation, debt, and generational anger, this conversation explores why a major reset may be unavoidable, and how to prepare for what comes next.#fourthturning #globalcrisis #MarketReset------------
Brandon recounts writing “Bitcoin and the Rhythms of History” in 2020 as a way to make sense of crisis-era dynamics and institutional decayIran's currency collapse is used as a real-time case study of how money failure fractures society, accelerates protests, and destroys savingsThe discussion frames the current moment as a “global” Fourth Turning, with synchronized instability, populism, and regime stress across regionsVenezuela's turmoil is interpreted through power vacuums, geopolitics, and resource incentives, alongside a skeptical take on nation-building efficacyCalifornia's proposed “Billionaire Tax Act” is treated as a Fourth Turning signal: broken social contract, rising resentment, and a property-rights flashpointThe “supply vs demand of order” model is explained as a way to understand volatility when institutions cannot meet public demand for stabilityGenerational archetypes are reviewed (Prophet, Nomad, Hero, Artist) as broad-strokes heuristics for how cohorts behave in crisis and rebuilding phasesBitcoin is positioned as “Fourth Turning money” and a new institution that replaces discretionary trust with protocol-enforced rules (“rules without rulers”)Energy and industrial capacity are discussed as strategic constraints, with AI/data centers shifting the public energy debate away from Bitcoin mining Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private. Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.
Listen as Pastor Stephen Martin and Pastor Daniel Hayworth navigate today's most complex headlines with biblical wisdom and moral clarity.This week's Culture Review covers the Iranian uprising against Islamic rule, the Minneapolis riots over ICE enforcement, the alarming rise of AI-generated child exploitation, and the strategic case for American expansion into Greenland.Perfect for your morning commute or workout—this episode equips you with the scriptural framework to understand current events and engage your world with confidence.You'll Learn:✅ How to apply biblical principles to immigration and national sovereignty✅ Why the Left-Islam alliance exists and what it means for Christians✅ The urgent need for AI regulation to protect children✅ Historical context for America's current "fourth turning"✅ Why courage and clarity are the Christian's calling in 2026Recommended Reading: "The Accidental Superpower" by Peter Zeihan and "The Fourth Turning"New episodes every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday at 7 AM CT. Subscribe now and start your day anchored in God's truth.
Neil Howe is the Director of Demography at Hedgeye Risk Management, author of the substack "Demography Unplugged," co-author of the seminal book "The Fourth Turning" and its sequel "The Fourth Turning Is Here." He talks markets, state of the country, why Trump wins with division, when betting creates dangerous incentives real estate and much more. PLEASE SUBSCRIBE LIKE AND SHARE THIS PODCAST!!! Watch Show Rumble- https://rumble.com/v74cs8g-why-trump-wins-with-division-neil-howe.html YouTube- https://youtu.be/2Z2XW-4vzvs?si=Z2wACztQnWKRV-bd Follow Me X- https://x.com/CoffeeandaMike IG- https://www.instagram.com/coffeeandamike/ Facebook- https://www.facebook.com/CoffeeandaMike/ YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/@Coffeeandamike Rumble- https://rumble.com/search/all?q=coffee%20and%20a%20mike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Apple Podcasts- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/coffee-and-a-mike/id1436799008 Gab- https://gab.com/CoffeeandaMike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Website- www.coffeeandamike.com Email- info@coffeeandamike.com Support My Work Venmo- https://www.venmo.com/u/coffeeandamike Paypal- https://www.paypal.com/biz/profile/Coffeeandamike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Patreon- http://patreon.com/coffeeandamike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Cash App- https://cash.app/$coffeeandamike Buy Me a Coffee- https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeandamike Bitcoin- coffeeandamike@strike.me Mail Check or Money Order- Coffee and a Mike LLC P.O. Box 25383 Scottsdale, AZ 85255-9998 Follow Neil X- https://x.com/howegeneration Substack- https://substack.com/@howegeneration Sponsors Vaulted/Precious Metals- https://vaulted.blbvux.net/coffeeandamike McAlvany Precious Metals- https://mcalvany.com/coffeeandamike/ Independence Ark Natural Farming- https://www.independenceark.com/
It has been said that history doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes. Ecclesiastes says, “The thing that hath been, it is that which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there is no new thing under the sun. Is there anything whereof it may be said, See, this is new? it hath been already of old time, which was before us” (Eccl. 1:9-10).The repeated refrain of Solomon is that all is vanity or “vapor” and “vexation of spirit” or “striving after wind.” A better translation would be “shepherding the wind.” Ecclesiastes teaches that there is a kind of cyclical nature to time and yet there is a beginning and an end: “For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven…He has made everything beautiful in its time. Also, he has put eternity into man's heart, yet so that he cannot find out what God has done from the beginning to the end” (Eccl. 3:1, 11). The Christian view of history is more spiral.We live in days of crisis and turmoil. It remains to be seen what kind of stability will emerge, whether it will be favorable to Christianity or not. Regardless, we are called to be “men of Issachar,” who have “understanding of the times, to know what Israel ought to do” (1 Chron. 12:32).The Text: “For all our days are passed away in thy wrath: we spend our years as a tale that is told. The days of our years are threescore years and ten; and if by reason of strength they be fourscore years, yet is their strength labour and sorrow…” (Ps. 90:9-17)King's Cross Church is a member congregation of the CREC in Moscow, ID. Visit our website at https://kingscrossmoscow.com.Follow us on Facebook: https://facebook.com/kingscrossmoscow.
Investing in Bizarro World Episodes: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLIAfIjKxr02sAztzlJNy1ug5bDvTVZkME&si=w2d_EF-B5jMo1dYDSubscribe to Investing In Bizarro World: @bizarroworld Editor's Note: We're back! After taking a few weeks off to end the year, we are back with a new episode of Investing in Bizarro World. Remember, we do this for a live audience every Thursday. The live version comes with Premium Portfolio Picks every week. It's less than $2.00 per episode. Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/4pLN9R6 If not, you have to wait three days to get the recorded version on Mondays. And the free version has no stock picks. Get the premium Investing in Bizarro World Live now: https://bit.ly/4pLN9R6 Three of the six stocks we discussed last week are already up double digits as these markets melt higher!The free version of the 348th episode of Investing in Bizarro World is now published.Here's what was covered:Macro Musings - We spent the first part of the show addressing the increasingly volatile political and geopolitical backdrop, including domestic unrest, immigration enforcement actions, and recent developments in Venezuela and Iran. We discussed how institutions continue to lose credibility, how government narratives often shift in real time, and why equal application of the law appears absent on both sides of the political aisle. We also revisited the “Fourth Turning” framework and why rising political conflict, civil unrest, and institutional breakdown are not surprises in this phase of the cycle. Against that backdrop, we emphasized the importance of focusing on personal and family security, financial independence, and maintaining a clear-eyed view of risk rather than being consumed by partisan narratives.Market Takes - Despite political chaos, markets have remained exceptionally strong. We reviewed the continued surge in precious metals and critical commodities, with gold approaching new highs, silver posting extreme volatility with multiple multi-dollar daily moves, and copper hitting all-time highs above $6 per pound. We discussed how higher copper prices materially improve project economics and why companies are now able to re-run feasibility studies with far stronger net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR) assumptions. Silver's move was framed as more than just macro-driven demand, with signs that physical delivery pressure and paper market stress are beginning to show through. We also discussed how bullish psychology is spreading from metal to metal — including platinum, tin, nickel, and lithium — as investors increasingly focus on real-world supply constraints. We reiterated that mining equities are now beginning to play catch-up after metals led the move in 2025. We also covered uranium fundamentals, noting that data center power demand, reactor life extensions, and government funding for enrichment will ultimately require new mine supply — and that technology companies may eventually need to partner directly with miners to secure long-term fuel.Bizarro Banter - We discussed the growing political embrace of collectivist economic policies, rising support for socialist platforms, and why capitalism — despite its flaws — remains the only system that consistently lifts societies out of poverty. We addressed the contradictions between celebrating the collapse of authoritarian regimes abroad while promoting collectivist policies at home, and why political rhetoric increasingly conflicts with lived economic reality. We also touched on global instability, cartel violence in Mexico, and ongoing revelations around institutional cover-ups, reinforcing the theme that transparency and accountability remain in short supply across governments worldwide.Premium Portfolio Picks - For paid listeners only. Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/4pLN9R60:00 Introduction1:20 Macro Musings: Fourth Turning Vibes. Ice in Minnesota. Venezuela Regime Change.21:21 Bizarro Banter: Rugged Individualism. Warmth of Collectivism. Socialist vs. Capitalism.28:04 Market Takes: Metals Ripping. Gold & Silver New Highs. Lithium Rebounding.40:32 Premium Portfolio Picks: (You need to subscribe to Bizarro World Live to get this section) Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/4pLN9R6PLEASE NOTE: There are now two versions of this podcast. 1. Bizarro World Live — Pay $2 per episode to watch us record the podcast live every Thursday and get Premium Portfolio Picks every week. Plus an archive of all premium episodes. Subscribe here: https://bit.ly/4pLN9R62. Bizarro World Free — Published the Monday after the live recording with no Premium Portfolio Picks.Visit our website Daily Profit Cycle for more content like this and more! https://dailyprofitcycle.com/
This episode of Excess Returns features a wide ranging conversation with Grant Williams on what he calls the hundred year pivot. Grant explains why today's environment feels fundamentally different from the last several decades, why long held investing assumptions may no longer apply, and how declining trust in institutions, money, and markets is reshaping the global financial system. Drawing on history, macroeconomics, and decades of market experience, the discussion explores what this transition means for investors trying to navigate a world defined by uncertainty, volatility, and structural change.Main topics covered• What the hundred year pivot means and why it represents a once in a generation shift• The Fourth Turning framework and how it connects financial crises, politics, and social change• Why buy the dip worked for decades and why it may fail in the years ahead• The erosion of trust in institutions and its impact on markets and money• The financial crisis, sanctions, and the freezing of sovereign assets as turning points• The role of the dollar, gold, and central banks in a changing monetary system• Lessons from history including Bretton Woods and the Suez crisis• Why commodities and real assets matter in a world of deglobalization and reshoring• How artificial intelligence fits into the current investment cycle and capital allocation boom• Portfolio construction and behavioral challenges in a higher volatility environmentTimestamps00:00 The hundred year pivot and why this cycle is different01:30 Defining the Fourth Turning and historical cycles07:40 The financial crisis as the start of institutional breakdown11:00 Sanctions, sovereign assets, and the end of unquestioned trust in the dollar18:20 Historical parallels from Bretton Woods and the Suez crisis24:50 What could trigger a broader monetary reset28:50 Energy, geopolitics, and shifting global alliances35:00 Commodities, real assets, and rebuilding supply chains42:40 Artificial intelligence, capital cycles, and uncertainty52:30 Portfolio construction, behavior, and risk tolerance59:50 Where to follow Grant Williams and his work
How will demographics affect commercial real estate investing? How will changes in generational characteristics affect opportunities in US property markets? Neil Howe is an author of The Fourth Turning and The Fourth Turning is Here. An expert in generational demographics who is credited as one of the coiners of the term “millennial”, Howe discusses the cycles of history and their implications for cross-border investors in this wide-ranging conversation with AFIRE CEO Gunnar Branson. LINKS To hear the globe's top experts discuss opportunities in US property markets, register for future AFIRE conferences: Winter Conference 2026 in Washington, DC https://www.afire.org/events/wc2026/ Summer Conference 2026 in Tokyo https://www.afire.org/events/tokyo26/ Watch Neil Howe's POV https://youtu.be/qFm_tFmgBj8 Recent Neil Howe books include: The Fourth Turning https://www.amazon.com/s?k=the+fourth+turning The Fourth Turning Is Here https://www.amazon.com/Fourth-Turning-Here-Seasons-History/dp/1982173734/ The thinking behind Howe's theories on the cycles of history: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strauss%E2%80%93Howe_generational_theory Howe is the managing director of demography at Hedgeye Risk Management: https://app.hedgeye.com/ KEY MOMENTS 00:00 – How demographics is one of the most powerful factors for investors. 00:54 – Who is Neil Howe? 01:25 – Why is Neil Howe thinking about Investing and future casting? 02:35 – Can the meaning of being 60 change over time? 02:57 – What are the origins of generational demography? 04:02 – Did we overestimate long-term care this decade? 05:05 – Will home-oriented care redefine the future of healthcare? 06:28 – Could Gen X be America's next leadership generation? 07:55 – Do crises reform the cycles of American history? 08:20 – Are infrastructure-related investments shaped by dark periods? 09:06 – How did the Great Depression and WWII shape generations? 14:25 – Are we entering a new era of anti-globalization? 16:37 – Are we entering the Fourth Turning now? 17:12 – Are nations hoarding resources to prepare for crisis? 18:32 – What are the hallmarks of the late Fourth Turning? 21:55 – How can real estate investors respond to rising inflation? 22:47 – Can inflation be controlled in a de-globalizing world? 23:07 – Why can't we effectively tackle inflation politically? 24:53 – Is winning the US election now more important than governance? 25:50 – Are voters settling for “not the other guy”? 26:10 – What steps lead to renewed community today? 27:07 – Can understanding history guide today's investments? 29:15 – Why does Southern migration keep accelerating? 32:09 – Are rising risks changing Sun Belt investments? 35:45 – Can old lake cities thrive again? 36:30 – Is the lack of public education a deal-breaker for families? 39:23 – Are pension costs the hidden urban challenge? 40:46 – What's driving rural decline but urban stability? 44:54 – How does age influence where people choose to live? 50:41 – Are we building the right types of housing for today?
This week's blogpost - https://bahnsen.co/4szAiUr Decoding 'The Fourth Turning': Understanding Generational Cycles and Their Impact on Investment Philosophy In this episode of the 'Thoughts on Money' Podcast, hosted by Trevor Cummings and featuring guest Brett Bonecutter, the duo delves into the book 'The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy' by William Strauss and Neil Howe. They explore its generational theories and cyclical view of history, which posits that every 80-100 years, society undergoes a significant transformation. By breaking down the book's framework and its predicted 00:00 Introduction and Host Welcome 00:18 Guest Introduction: Brett Bonecutter 01:08 Book Review: The Fourth Turning 02:17 Understanding Worldviews and Narratives 07:40 Historical Philosophies and Investment Implications 14:41 Generational Cycles and The Fourth Turning 18:10 Current Generations and Crisis Predictions 24:04 Exploring Fascinating Quotes 25:28 The Fourth Turning Predictions 26:45 Reflecting on Y2K and Similar Events 29:15 Philosophical Worldviews and Fear 33:53 Investment Strategies and Human Nature 39:46 Concluding Thoughts and Future Outlook Links mentioned in this episode: http://thoughtsonmoney.com http://thebahnsengroup.com
Today's guest has long predicted that widespread systemic change would occur during the 20-teens and 20-20s -- as America and much of the rest of the world experience a replacement of the old order and the birthpangs of a new one.All of us who have lived through this period and epecially the year 2025 that just ended probably find it hard to argue that massive change -- culturally, politically, geo-strategically and economically -- is indeed now afoot.So how much more of this change still lies ahead?How disruptive will it likely be?And what kind of new system does it look like we'll have on the other side?For perspective, we have the privilege of welcoming back to the program demographer Neil Howe, co-author of the seminal book "The Fourth Turning" and its sequel "The Fourth Turning Is Here".WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#fourthturning #marketcrash #demographics _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Part One | Part Two January 6th was terrifying for many Americans. After all, they saw it on television. But what did they really see? Did they know what actually unfolded that day? Did they even ask? Trump is the Jan. 6 President, proclaims the New York Times' Editorial Board.And the text:What I learned, living through these events as a former Democrat, is that the New York Times Editorial Board is lying through its teeth. Or maybe they aren't lying. Maybe they really do believe it. They exist inside the Doomsday Cult of the Left, after all, along with all of those high-minded “journalists” at the New Yorker and the Atlantic.But to make the bold proclamation that any protest, or even riot, against oppressive forces, whether you believe them to be oppressive or not, is un-American proves they don't know this country or its history very well.There were two sides to this story. If I'd never left the Left, I would have believed their version of the event. I would have been just as horrified. I would have thought it was an attack on democracy. But protests are the voices of the unheard and a healthy sign of any democracy, and for a grassroots movement, and millions of Americans who had been disenfranchised by the four years Trump was in power? This was the best way for them to be heard. The only way for them to be heard.They just didn't know they were walking into an ambush by forces far greater than them, and more powerful than any political party in American history and what they wanted to do was use that protest - a moment of desperation for desperate Americans abandoned by the government, the culture and most institutions - and demonize them further by calling them extremists, terrorists, Nazis, insurrectionists. January 6th was played on a loop by the Democrats and their propaganda machine, once known as the legacy media. And why wouldn't it be? It was everything they needed at just the right time. See, there's a Confederate flag. See, there's a hangman's rope. See, there's some guy in horns howling inside the Capitol. Zip ties, hanging Mike Pence, Trump watching the mob, and hoping they wouldn't stop. It all painted a picture in our minds of an angry president amidst a violent coup. In our age of algorithm-driven mass hysteria, we're no different from the Puritans in Salem who believed in “spectral evidence,” what you can't see but can only imagine. January 6th finally provided them with the proof they needed of their campaign against MAGA.It's just that none of it was true. Why would Trump have wanted a riot? He'd gone to great effort to convince Senators Josh Hawley and Ted Cruz to debate the election in the Senate. All the riot did was hand absolute power to the Democrats, Reichstag Fire style. Not only did the media sell that lie, but you'd be severely punished if you asked any questions, especially about the 2020 election. Yes, we lived through that and more. Just because the Democrats have memory-holed everything they've done in the last ten years to cling to power doesn't mean it didn't happen or that we shouldn't talk about it. There was nothing wrong with talking about an election that was anything but free and fair. I naively went into it as a major Biden advocate, believing he could win the old-fashioned way. I didn't know they'd hide him and Kamala Harris in the basement and let the legacy media do all of the heavy lifting. I didn't know they'd planned it—everything that happened throughout 2020 to ensure Trump was taken out of power, like they were meddling in some third-world country's elections. It's all written down in TIME Magazine. They planned on saving an election that was not theirs to save. Who gave them that right? The American people decide, and if one political party believes itself to be above the people, then that is an insurrection, not against the government but against all of us and a fair process we depend on. They justified everything they did by the lies they told themselves about who Trump really was and how dangerous he was supposed to be. They rigged the election by manipulating the media, changing any law that got in their way, using COVID as an excuse to push ballot harvesting, funded by a $400 million cash infusion, and all the while pretending they were “saving democracy.”By all accounts, I should have been cheering them on. Yes, get Trump! Anything and everything should be allowed as long as we were saving the country from Hitler! I believed that at first. Why wouldn't I? I was straight out of Central Casting as a Resistance Lib. This was the back of my car in 2012.This is who I was.Before that, I was just a lowly Oscar blogger spending my time writing about superficial things, but suddenly, in 2015, everything changed. I was in a panic about the Greenhouse Effect and the sea level rise. I threw myself into politics to help the Democrats win. Overnight, I became someone who mattered online, with a growing following, adoration, and kindness from strangers. The warm embrace of the elite Left felt intoxicating: invitations to exclusive parties, friendships with high-status blue-checks on Twitter like Steve Schmidt, Rick Wilson, and Oprah, so much love and support online - after all, I was helping to save democracy and the planet! I was even invited to an early fundraiser for Joe Biden in May of 2019. It was necessary. I was important. I mattered.You can imagine, then, how surreal it would have been for anyone who knew me that way to see me starting to question the official narratives. For me, it began with what I believed was mass hysteria that had overtaken my side. Just as the Southerners had whipped themselves up into a frenzy, believing that if the slaves were freed, there would be chaos and violence, so too did we believe that if Trump won, that was the end of everything. But, looking back, all it really was was a populist revolt against a ruling class that just decided what America would be now. Class no longer mattered, only skin color and gender identity did.Little by little, I began to pull away as things got weird. The more I tried to speak out, the worse it got for me. They went after me hard on social media for years. But none of that would have driven me away from the Democrats. As with so many others, 2020 was the turning point for me. I suddenly could see the strings, and I wondered who was pulling them. Trotting out experts to say “systemic racism” was more important than a global pandemic, and trotting them out again to discourage Trump from sending in the National Guard. And again, to say the Hunter Biden laptop was Russian disinformation. How stupid did they think we were?We lurched from COVID to racism back to COVID to lockdowns, and all the while, as I would come to realize, the aim was only to GET TRUMP. Imagine completely taking over an election to take out a one-term president with a strong economy. Why?I asked the same question then as I wonder today. Why did it have to be an existential crisis? Why drive half the country to the brink of insanity? Why cosplay Trump as Hitler and pretend this was World War II? Couldn't they win the old-fashioned way with better candidates and better policies? Russiagate, spying on his campaign, two impeachments, four indictments, convicting him of a felony, taking his mug shot, two assassination attempts, trying to throw him off the ballots, and needing the Supreme Court to shut it down, and the American people still chose Trump. Shouldn't that have been the wakeup call? Shouldn't that have been the moment their stupid, futile, destructive war ended?No. It wasn't about politics for the Left. It was deeper than that. It was as deep as preserving the South before, during, and after the Civil War. January 6th allowed them a way out of what they'd become, not what MAGA had become. They were the violent ones and had been going all the way back to 2015, when a mob descended upon Trump supporters.They rioted at Trump's inaugural. They believed themselves justified in attacking Trump supporters because they were convinced they were “fascists.” But their words meant nothing because they distorted them beyond comprehension. What does it mean to call someone Hitler, a fascist, a dictator, a rapist, a pedophile, a racist, a white supremacist? These words mean nothing now. And then came 2020, the point of no return. For me, it was the recognition that my side didn't care about democracy or the truth. They only cared about defeating an imaginary enemy they invented but never existed. And were prepared to bring this country to its knees to achieve that goal.When I saw this video of Sue's 100-year-old mattress store, I posted it on social media, and the response was, “How can you care more about property than people”? By then, they had already called me a racist many times, and they were pushing me out of utopia and farther and farther away. Was I a racist because I cared about Sue and the older man who defended her with a fire extinguisher? Trump's speech at Mt. Rushmore was the first time I'd heard anyone in public life talk about what we could all see but almost no one would say out loud. The media called it dark and divisive because, of course, they did. Are you getting it yet? This only goes one way. That was for me yet another layer of the onion being pulled back to reveal what the legacy media had become. They were not reporting the news. They were telling us what to think, and they still are. After I started watching Trump's rallies for myself, I kept waiting for the version of Trump we were sold to emerge. He never did. Instead, a guy who would stand in the pouring rain to speak to his supporters showed me what MAGA was really about. It was a love story. Trump had their backs, and they had his.Just listen to them as he visits East Palestine, Ohio after the train derailed and spilled toxic waste in their tiny forgotten town.That's why they showed up in DC on January 6th. Not to storm the Capitol. Not to hang Mike Pence. Not to overthrow the United States government, as if. If you know them, you know there are no people in this country who love it more. You know they would never damage the Capitol. They are the side that prides itself on not being violent like the Left. The narrative after January 6th was and remains a lie.Why is it that the Left was given full and free rein to rampage anywhere they pleased all throughout that Summer, and the Trump supporters were treated like terrorists who flew planes into the World Trade Center, and the Japanese who bombed Pearl Harbor? Because the Left had, and still has, most of the power to shape the media narrative and thus, reality.I had to ask these questions of myself, someone who had gone along with so much of it, not because I was a conformist but because I genuinely believed it. The more questions I asked, the worse it got for me. That was when I knew there was no talking to them, no shaking them out of it, no hoping for sanity to return. And there was no saving the Left. They were no longer the party I once knew.What Democrats want is their utopia, or Woketopia, back. They have always believed Trump was an insect who needed to be crushed, and his place in American life was temporary, and once he's gone, “things will go back to normal.”To them, it's all Trump. One last cancel. He's the only person they couldn't destroy and the only thing standing in their way.Whatever he is for, they are against. They are even rooting against America, rooting for America to falter before the eyes of the world. Imagine being that petty. If we entered World War III, does anyone doubt they'd all be out there trying to ensure Trump fails? The irony of the Madouro capture is that it exposes the Left as liars yet again. Here is what it is like to be under the rule of a dictator. Everything the Left has been LARPing (Live Action RolePlay) for the last ten years is what Madouro actually was. The juxtaposition between the Venezuelans celebrating and the liberals complaining is illuminating.John Brown Two WaysJohn Brown was an abolitionist who was executed for treason by the federal government for a slave insurrection before the Civil War. He was hailed as a hero by the North and became an inspiration for those willing to fight and die for a cause.If the American Revolution was about liberating the colonies from the British and the Civil War was about liberating the slaves from bondage, what is our Virtual Civil War really about? Who is to be liberated at the end of it? More importantly, what are the causes worth fighting and dying for?In the film One Battle After Another, sure to win Best Picture this year at the Oscars, the film's ANTIFA-like revolutionary Perfidia Beverly Hills lays it out:Our Virtual Civil War already has a body count. Charlie Kirk's assassination by a transgender-supporting terrorist, Luigi Mangione's assassination of a healthcare CEO, the attempted assassinations of Trump, and the ongoing attacks on ICE agents seem to lock in what the Left is fighting for.Are they fighting for a border-free America because borders themselves are oppressive white supremacy? It sure looks that way. Are they prepared to fight and die to preserve Woketopia? Some of them are. Maybe more of them will be.Does our future look like 1984, where geography takes a backseat to ideology, and we'll be aligned with Germany, the UK, Canada, and France, with migrants flowing freely into our countries, and where you will be okay as long as you agree that 2+2=5 and you love Big Brother?Abraham Lincoln, like Winston Churchill, was what Neil Howe and William H. Strauss called a Gray Champion of the Fourth Turning. When I look at what Trump is doing now, the bold moves, the attacks he's survived, there is no doubt he is our Fourth Turning's Gray Champion. When I see videos like this, I am reminded of why. Who else but Trump would do this? He shows them every day that he is not afraid of them, not even a little bit, even after being shot in the head, impeached, and convicted.Will Tyler Robinson, Matthew David Crooks and whatever that surfer dude out in Florida's name was be seen by the Left as the John Browns of their time? Martyrs willing to fight and die to save “democracy,” or to avenge transgender people, or immigrants? Do those on the Right see the Jan 6ers as the John Browns of their fight, beating corruption and the deep state?Lincoln sought, above all, to preserve the Union and saw the war as a test of “whether that nation, or any nation so conceived, and so dedicated, can long endure.” Once you fracture the Union, then there is no America at all, and it might as well be 1984.As for me, it's like Bob Dylan once said, How does it feel? To be on your own? With no direction home? Like a complete unknown? How does it feel? It feels like freedom. // This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.sashastone.com/subscribe
Take a peek outside your window and, wow, it's like the universe decided to throw us into the wildest sci-fi mashup ever. We've got whispers of global conflict, aliens making headlines (seriously!), AI popping up everywhere you look, drones and robots straight outta Terminator, political drama that feels more like a thriller than reality, quantum tech threatening to flip everything upside down—and let's not forget those rumblings of civil unrest in places we never thought we'd see it.If your head's spinning just reading that list, you're not alone. But hey—maybe all this chaos is just the cosmic nudge we need to wake up and start weaving some real magic together.It feels like we're headed towards the climax of a movie that 8 billion of us came to Earth to witness and participate in…So what's actually going on, and how can you prepare yourself for what's coming?Simply put, we're entering the final climactic years of the Fourth Turning, and things are about to get serious…In other words…Buckle-up Dorthy Because This Is Going To Be One Heck Of A Ride…The Speed of Change and the Stagnation WithinWe live in a world where knowledge and technology evolve at breakneck speed—a phenomenon some call the “fourth turning,” a time of societal upheaval unlike anything since the Industrial Revolution. With so much shifting around us, it's no wonder many of us feel overwhelmed. Yet, paradoxically, while we adapt to external change, we often cling to outdated stories about ourselves: who we are, what we're capable of, and what we deserve. These internal narratives—rooted in fear, scarcity, or learned helplessness—can trap us in cycles of stagnation, even as the world races forward.But here's the truth: this moment of collective uncertainty is also an invitation. A chance to question the stories we've told ourselves and rewrite them. The Illusion of “Who We Are”Think about the beliefs you've carried for years. Maybe it's the voice that says, “I'm not good enough,” or “Money/love/success is always out of reach.” These aren't truths—they're narratives we've absorbed, often unconsciously, from family, culture, or past experiences.As I realized while chatting with my mom recently, many of us choose these limiting beliefs without even realizing it. I showed her a minimalist purse, symbolizing the freedom I've found in simplifying my life. “I don't just have simplicity,” I told her. “I choose it daily.” That conversation struck me: we're not trapped by circumstance—we're trapped by unconscious choices.From Collective Collapse to Personal AwakeningHistorically, periods of societal breakdown (what some call “civilization collapses”) have led to rebirth. We're in one now—a “nine-year cycle” culminating in what many see as a symbolic “Year of New Beginnings.” If the collective story of our world is shifting, why not our personal stories?If we've been taught that life is “hard,” “scarcity-driven,” or “unfair,” we've internalized a false reality. But just because we absorbed these ideas as children doesn't mean they're true. The first step to change is recognizing that you did choose these beliefs—unconsciously—and now, you can choose anew.Escaping the Poverty Mindset: Beyond “Learned Helplessness”Psychologist Martin Seligman coined the term learned helplessness to describe when people feel they have no control over their lives. This mindset isn't just about money—it's a mental trap that says, “Why try? Nothing changes.”But here's the good news: this is a choice you can undo. You didn't have to believe life is “difficult” or “not enough.” You learned it. And now, you can unlearn it.Take minimalism, for example. My mom and I both choose simplicity not because we lack, but because it frees us to focus on what truly matters. Financial abundance isn't the goal—it's a tool to create impact. The key is shifting from scarcity to choice.The Power of Conscious ChoiceThe most transformative decisions aren't grand gestures—they're daily acts of reclamation. Every morning, you choose:* Will I believe my worth is tied to my bank account?* Or will I trust my potential is infinite, regardless of circumstances?As we step into this new year (or a symbolic “Year of the Horse,” a time of renewal), I invite you to envision a reality aligned with your deepest potential. Picture yourself unburdened by fear, creating the life you've imagined but never dared to claim.Tools for Transformation: The Light Between OracleIf anxiety or self-doubt holds you back, consider exploring tools like the Light Between Oracle. Designed to guide reflective dialogue, it helps you:* Uncover hidden beliefs that limit you.* Replace fear with curiosity.* Discover unexpected paths forward.This isn't about magic—it's about reconnecting with your innate creativity and choice. By engaging in intentional conversation (with yourself or through guided prompts), you begin to see life not as a series of constraints, but as a canvas of possibility.Conclusion: Your New Year's InvitationThis is your moment. The world is changing, and so can you. You don't need to “fix” anything—just choose differently. Start small:* Question one belief that feels heavy (e.g., “I'm not enough”).* Write a new story (e.g., “I am worthy of abundance and joy”).* Take one action aligned with that truth.As we close this year and step into the next, I wish you the courage to rewrite your narrative. May you walk with a clear mind, an untethered soul, and the unwavering knowing: you are not a victim of your past—you are the author of your future.Wishing you a year of conscious choices, boundless curiosity, and the life you've always imagined.With warmth and belief in your potentialLove, Kassandra This is a public episode. 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George “Jethro” Bodine is a former Navy F-18 Hornet pilot, Top Gun instructor and staunch Bitcoin advocate with great wisdom from his eventful life.› https://x.com/jethroe111PARTNERS
We explore the Fourth Turning as a civilizational initiation, how the current crisis is reshaping our world from the inside out, what lies ahead as we move into 2026, and how to navigate the coming year and beyond.
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Brett Rentmeester to the show. Brett is the Founder of WindRock Wealth Management. Their conversation centers on the current economic landscape, highlighting critical challenges facing the global financial system, particularly the United States. Rentmeester argues that the economy has fundamentally changed since the mid-1970s, when the dollar decoupled from gold. Since then, the economic system has relied increasingly on debt and money printing, creating an unsustainable financial structure. He points to several systemic issues, including declining real wages, skyrocketing costs in healthcare and education, and massive government debt that is increasingly difficult to service. Stijn explores potential scenarios for economic transformation, presenting two primary paths: proactive systemic change or a potential catastrophic reset. Brett suggests we are in a “fourth turning” moment—a generational shift where existing institutions are losing public trust and facing potential fundamental restructuring. A key theme is the potential return to “sound money,” potentially through tokenized gold, cryptocurrency, or a new monetary system backed by hard assets. Brett believes there’s a significant likelihood of monetary reimagination within the next five to ten years, driven by increasing public dissatisfaction with current economic structures. For individual investors, he recommends a diversified approach: maintaining investments in traditional assets while also acquiring hard assets like gold, silver, and real estate. The strategy involves having “one foot in the existing system and one foot out,” preparing for potential significant economic disruption. Regarding potential global conflict, Rentmeester hopes for a collaborative reset rather than a destructive war cycle, emphasizing the importance of proactive monetary reform. His overall message is one of cautious preparation, understanding that while the current system faces significant challenges, there are potential pathways to a more stable economic future. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:03 – Times of Great Change 00:02:33 – Debt Saturation Discussion 00:04:33 – Cracks in Society 00:08:11 – Demographic Challenges 00:11:16 – Fiat Money Creation 00:12:31 – Gold Standard History 00:14:00 – Central Banks Gold Buying 00:15:38 – Crony Capitalism Critique 00:16:44 – US Debt Mathematics 00:20:50 – Why Now Inflection 00:24:56 – Future Paths Outlined 00:28:42 – Global Power Shifts 00:42:03 – Portfolio Construction Strategies Guest Links: Website: https://windrockwealth.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brettrentmeester/ Brett Rentmeester founded WindRock Wealth Management to bring tailored investment solutions to investors seeking an edge in an increasingly uncertain world. Mr. Rentmeester is a veteran and entrepreneur in the investment business. Through his career, including as a co-founder of Altair Advisers and manager at Arthur Andersen, he was a trusted confidant for business owners, entrepreneurs and family offices. His entrepreneurial spirit led him to create and build a number of successful companies in the financial services industry through partnership with the Jaggi Family Office, where he serves as the Chief Investment Officer. Throughout his career, he has focused on the importance of strong relationships, strategic thinking, and an expertise in alternative investments. Mr. Rentmeester's media appearances include appearances on the PBS Nightly Business Report program, the Chicago Tribune, and the World Presidents' Organization. He graduated magna cum laude from the University of Arizona with a degree in Finance and earned his MBA from Northwestern's Kellogg Graduate School of Management. He has been a multiple-year recipient of the Chicago Magazine Five Star Wealth Award, is a Chartered Financial Analyst charterholder (CFA®) and has the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst designation (CAIA®).
R. Patrick Kent, Portfolio Manager, Hedgeye Asset Management and Co-Founder/President Biophysical Economics Institute. He talks polarization of society, future of AI, how energy is the economy's fuel, data centers, the Fourth Turning, and much more. PLEASE SUBSCRIBE LIKE AND SHARE THIS PODCAST!!! Watch Show Rumble- https://rumble.com/v735jqa-energy-is-the-economys-fuel-r.-patrick-kent.html YouTube- https://youtu.be/ouRS_swcF6A Follow Me X- https://x.com/CoffeeandaMike IG- https://www.instagram.com/coffeeandamike/ Facebook- https://www.facebook.com/CoffeeandaMike/ YouTube- https://www.youtube.com/@Coffeeandamike Rumble- https://rumble.com/search/all?q=coffee%20and%20a%20mike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Apple Podcasts- https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/coffee-and-a-mike/id1436799008 Gab- https://gab.com/CoffeeandaMike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Website- www.coffeeandamike.com Email- info@coffeeandamike.com Support My Work Venmo- https://www.venmo.com/u/coffeeandamike Paypal- https://www.paypal.com/biz/profile/Coffeeandamike Substack- https://coffeeandamike.substack.com/ Patreon- http://patreon.com/coffeeandamike Locals- https://coffeeandamike.locals.com/ Cash App- https://cash.app/$coffeeandamike Buy Me a Coffee- https://buymeacoffee.com/coffeeandamike Bitcoin- coffeeandamike@strike.me Mail Check or Money Order- Coffee and a Mike LLC P.O. Box 25383 Scottsdale, AZ 85255-9998 Follow R. Patrick Kent X- https://x.com/RPKent?s=20 Website- https://www.hedgeyeam.com/ Sponsors Vaulted/Precious Metals- https://vaulted.blbvux.net/coffeeandamike McAlvany Precious Metals- https://mcalvany.com/coffeeandamike/ Independence Ark Natural Farming- https://www.independenceark.com/
In this episode of Crazy Wisdom, I—Stewart Alsop—sit down with Garrett Dailey to explore a wide-ranging conversation that moves from the mechanics of persuasion and why the best pitches work by attraction rather than pressure, to the nature of AI as a pattern tool rather than a mind, to power cycles, meaning-making, and the fracturing of modern culture. Garrett draws on philosophy, psychology, strategy, and his own background in storytelling to unpack ideas around narrative collapse, the chaos–order split in human cognition, the risk of “AI one-shotting,” and how political and technological incentives shape the world we're living through. You can find the tweet Stewart mentions in this episode here. Also, follow Garrett Dailey on Twitter at @GarrettCDailey, or find more of his pitch-related work on LinkedIn.Check out this GPT we trained on the conversationTimestamps00:00 Garrett opens with persuasion by attraction, storytelling, and why pitches fail with force. 05:00 We explore gravity as metaphor, the opposite of force, and the “ring effect” of a compelling idea. 10:00 AI as tool not mind; creativity, pattern prediction, hype cycles, and valuation delusions. 15:00 Limits of LLMs, slopification, recursive language drift, and cultural mimicry. 20:00 One-shotting, psychosis risk, validation-seeking, consciousness vs prediction. 25:00 Order mind vs chaos mind, solipsism, autism–schizophrenia mapping, epistemology. 30:00 Meaning, presence, Zen, cultural fragmentation, shared models breaking down. 35:00 U.S. regional culture, impossibility of national unity, incentives shaping politics. 40:00 Fragmentation vs reconciliation, markets, narratives, multipolarity, Dune archetypes. 45:00 Patchwork age, decentralization myths, political fracturing, libertarian limits. 50:00 Power as zero-sum, tech-right emergence, incentives, Vance, Yarvin, empire vs republic. 55:00 Cycles of power, kyklos, democracy's decay, design-by-committee, institutional failure.Key InsightsPersuasion works best through attraction, not pressure. Garrett explains that effective pitching isn't about forcing someone to believe you—it's about creating a narrative gravity so strong that people move toward the idea on their own. This reframes persuasion from objection-handling into desire-shaping, a shift that echoes through sales, storytelling, and leadership.AI is powerful precisely because it's not a mind. Garrett rejects the “machine consciousness” framing and instead treats AI as a pattern amplifier—extraordinarily capable when used as a tool, but fundamentally limited in generating novel knowledge. The danger arises when humans project consciousness onto it and let it validate their insecurities.Recursive language drift is reshaping human communication. As people unconsciously mimic LLM-style phrasing, AI-generated patterns feed back into training data, accelerating a cultural “slopification.” This becomes a self-reinforcing loop where originality erodes, and the machine's voice slowly colonizes the human one.The human psyche operates as a tension between order mind and chaos mind. Garrett's framework maps autism and schizophrenia as pathological extremes of this duality, showing how prediction and perception interact inside consciousness—and why AI, which only simulates chaos-mind prediction, can never fully replicate human knowing.Meaning arises from presence, not abstraction. Instead of obsessing over politics, geopolitics, or distant hypotheticals, Garrett argues for a Zen-like orientation: do what you're doing, avoid what you're not doing. Meaning doesn't live in narratives about the future—it lives in the task at hand.Power follows predictable cycles—and America is deep in one. Borrowing from the Greek kyklos, Garrett frames the U.S. as moving from aristocracy toward democracy's late-stage dysfunction: populism, fragmentation, and institutional decay. The question ahead is whether we're heading toward empire or collapse.Decentralization is entropy, not salvation. Crypto dreams of DAOs and patchwork societies ignore the gravitational pull of power. Systems fragment as they weaken, but eventually a new center of order emerges. The real contest isn't decentralization vs. centralization—it's who will have the coherence and narrative strength to recentralize the pieces.
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Lyn Alden to the show. Lyn Alden is founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. In this comprehensive interview, Alden discusses her “gradual print thesis” and the current macroeconomic landscape, focusing on fiscal dominance and potential long-term economic challenges facing developed countries, particularly the United States. Alden argues that the United States is entering a period of sustained fiscal challenges, characterized by large structural deficits and a complex monetary environment. She suggests the country is transitioning from monetary tightening to monetary loosening, with significant implications for asset allocation. Unlike emerging markets that experience rapid currency debasement, developed countries like the US have more flexibility due to global demand for their currency and extensive international financial infrastructure. Find Out More About Palisades Goldcorp, Canada’s Leading Junior Resource Investment Company:► Website: https://palisades.ca Palisade Radio Links:► Website & Newsletter: https://palisadesradio.ca► Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1586024 The discussion explores historical parallels, particularly drawing comparisons to the 1940s-1970s period. Alden emphasizes that while direct comparisons are impossible, certain patterns emerge, such as the importance of owning hard assets during periods of monetary expansion. She recommends diversifying across scarce assets like equities, real estate, precious metals, and select commodities, while being cautious of overvalued investments. Demographic challenges play a crucial role in Alden’s analysis. She challenges the notion that aging populations are inherently deflationary, arguing that extensive entitlement systems and continued consumption by older populations can actually drive inflationary pressures. This perspective suggests a more complex economic landscape than traditional models predict. Regarding potential investment opportunities, Alden highlights regions like Japan, Latin America, and parts of Southeast Asia as potentially attractive. She’s particularly bullish on assets that are currently undervalued and have long-term potential, such as regional banks, Bitcoin, energy infrastructure, and select international markets. Ultimately, Alden views the current economic environment as part of a broader “fourth turning” cycle, characterized by increasing political volatility and structural economic challenges. She anticipates a gradual process of economic adjustment rather than a sudden, dramatic collapse, advising investors to remain diversified and adaptable. Timestamps:00:00:00 – Introduction00:00:47 – Gradual Print Thesis00:02:10 – Fiscal Dominance Explained00:04:20 – Outgrowing Debt Challenges00:07:42 – Inflation Spectrum Assets00:10:43 – Reshoring Industrial Base00:15:38 – Treasury Auction Risks00:17:10 – Debt Crisis Timeline00:20:18 – Fourth Turning Parallels00:22:10 – Demographic Inflation Pressures00:28:35 – Historical Debt Cycles00:31:02 – Portfolio Allocation Advice00:50:12 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:X: https://x.com/LynAldenContactWebsite: https://lynalden.comAmazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/lynaldenc Lyn Alden is editor and publisher of LynAlden.com, where she has both a subscription and a free financial newsletter. She says, “Her background lies at the intersection of engineering and finance.” Her site provides investment research and strategy, covering stocks, precious metals, international equities, and alternative investments, with a specialization in asset allocation. Whether you’re new to investing or experienced, there’s a lot there for you. Lyn has a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering and a master’s degree in engineering management, focusing on engineering economics and financial modeling. She oversees the finances and day-to-day operations of an engineering facility. She has been performing investment research for over fifteen years in various public and private capacities. Her work has been editorially featured or cited on Business Insider, Marketwatch, Time’s Money Magazine, The Daily Telegraph, The Philadelphia Inquirer, The Street, CNBC, US News and World Report, Kiplinger, and The Huffington Post. She has also appeared on Real Vision, The Investor’s Podcast Network, The Rebel Capitalist Show, The Market Huddle, and many other podcasts. She is also a regular contributor to Seeking Alpha, FEDweek, and Elliot Wave Trader.
SPONSORS: 1) AMENTARA: Go to https://www.amentara.com/go/julian and use code JD22 for 22% off your first order! 2) MOOD: Discover your perfect mood and get 20% off your first order at http://mood.com and use code JULIAN at check out! 3) HOLLOW SOCKS: For a limited time Hollow Socks is having a Buy 2, Get 2 Free Sale. Head to http://Hollowsocks.com today to check it out. . #Hollow Sockspod PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/JulianDorey (***TIMESTAMPS in description below) ~ Tyler Oliveira is an American YouTuber. He made several challenge videos before transitioning to videos centered on man-on-the-street interviews and deep dive documentaries. TYLER's LINKS: YT: https://www.youtube.com/tyleroliveira X: https://x.com/tyleraloevera IG: https://www.instagram.com/tyleroliveiraofficial/# FOLLOW JULIAN DOREY INSTAGRAM (Podcast): https://www.instagram.com/juliandoreypodcast/ INSTAGRAM (Personal): https://www.instagram.com/julianddorey/ X: https://twitter.com/julianddorey JULIAN YT CHANNELS - SUBSCRIBE to Julian Dorey Clips YT: https://www.youtube.com/@juliandoreyclips - SUBSCRIBE to Julian Dorey Daily YT: https://www.youtube.com/@JulianDoreyDaily - SUBSCRIBE to Best of JDP: https://www.youtube.com/@bestofJDP ****TIMESTAMPS**** 00:00 – Intro 01:14 – Cow-Dung Festival, Shiva Origin, Lakshmi, Rituals, India Cow Laws, Cancer Claims 09:42 – Cow Dung Studies, Small Village Tradition, Caste System, Infant Mortality 24:24 – Gender Dynamics, Immigration Balance, Racism Labels, American Identity Unraveling 36:36 – Assimilation Debate, Economic Exploitation Claim, Identity Crisis, Hamtramck & Dearborn 50:51 – Importing Conflicts, Genocide Examples, Kensington Crisis, H1B Lottery 01:02:41 – Nepotism, Diploma Mills, Visa Farms, Scammer Systems at Scale 01:20:33 – Remittances, Japan Demographics, Immigration, Youth Opportunity Loss, AI Arms Race 01:30:58 – Risk/Reward of Immigration, Fourth Turning, Dangerous Male Energy 01:40:20 – Fixing America, Who Benefits?, Housing Crisis, Corporate Power, Crony Capitalism, AI God 01:53:07 – Unabomber, Pyramids, Scammers, Epstein Island 02:09:20 – Influencer Binders, MTG, Maxwell Textbooks, NYC Tunnels, Bohemian Grove, Shirley 02:38:34 – Kash Patel Lawsuit, Palantir, 9/11, Taliban Pros, 0pium War Reversal, Mexico Relations 02:49:13 – We're Screwed Either Way, Opioids, Narcan, Harm Reduction, Ethereal Economy 03:04:15 – Wage Stagnation, Dating Crisis, MAID Canada, Sarco Pod, Man in the High Castle 03:07:21 – Tyler's work CREDITS: - Host, Editor & Producer: Julian Dorey - COO, Producer & Editor: Alessi Allaman - https://www.youtube.com/@UCyLKzv5fKxGmVQg3cMJJzyQ - In-Studio Producer: Joey Deef - https://www.instagram.com/joeydeef/ Julian Dorey Podcast Episode 363 - Tyler Oliveira Music by Artlist.io Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
CannCon and Ashe in America wrap up the long-running journey through The Fourth Turning with the dramatic final chapters, breaking down generational “scripts,” crisis-era archetypes, and how each cohort, from GIs to Millennials, is positioned to shape the nation's future. The episode explores the book's warnings about national collapse, its hopes for a Golden Age, and the authors' sweeping take on cyclical history, memory spans, and the eternal return. CannCon and Ashe dig into the text's biggest claims, debate whether America is headed for destruction or renewal, and reflect on what the Fourth Turning means for the moment we're living in now. They also preview the next read, Smedley Butler's War Is a Racket, and discuss future Book Club picks as they officially put this massive work to rest.
In this episode of Coin Stories, Natalie Brunell and "The Macro AI Nexus" author Jordi Visser break down the major forces shaping our global financial future. Jordi recently went viral for his "Bitcoin IPO Moment" newsletter, comparing today's selling and ETF inflows to a classic IPO unlock event. We discuss: Bitcoin's bearish price action Is capitalism a failed experiment? Are we headed toward socialism in response? How AI alters the velocity of money Changes in the labor market What the Fourth Turning means for younger generations Demographic wealth transfer coming to Bitcoin Follow Jordi Visser on X https://x.com/jvisserlabs ---- Order Natalie's new book "Bitcoin is For Everyone," a simple introduction to Bitcoin and what's broken in our current financial system: https://amzn.to/3WzFzfU ---- Coin Stories is powered by Gemini. Invest as you spend with the Gemini Credit Card. Sign up today to earn a $200 intro Bitcoin bonus. The Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. See website for rates & fees. Learn more at https://www.gemini.com/natalie ---- Coin Stories is powered by Bitwise. Bitwise has over $10B in client assets, 32 investment products, and a team of 100+ employees across the U.S. and Europe, all solely focused on Bitcoin and digital assets since 2017. Learn more at https://www.bitwiseinvestments.com ---- Bitdeer Technologies Group ($BTDR) is a global leader in Bitcoin mining and high-performance computing for AI, with operations spanning four continents. Learn more at https://www.bitdeer.com ---- Natalie's Bitcoin Product and Event Links: For easy, low-cost, instant Bitcoin payments, I use Speed Lightning Wallet. Play Bitcoin trivia and win up to 1 million sats! Download and use promo code COINSTORIES10 for 5,000 free sats: https://www.speed.app/coinstories Block's Bitkey Cold Storage Wallet was named to TIME's prestigious Best Inventions of 2024 in the category of Privacy & Security. Get 20% off using code STORIES at https://bitkey.world Master your Bitcoin self-custody with 1-on-1 help and gain peace of mind with the help of The Bitcoin Way: https://www.thebitcoinway.com/natalie Genius Group (NYSE: $GNS) is building a 10,000 BTC treasury and educating the world through the Genius Academy. Check out *free* courses from Saifedean Ammous and myself at https://www.geniusgroup.ai Earn passive Bitcoin income with industry-leading uptime, renewable energy, ideal climate, expert support, and one month of free hosting when you join Abundant Mines at https://www.abundantmines.com/natalie Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Protect yourself from SIM Swaps that can hack your accounts and steal your Bitcoin. Join America's most secure mobile service, trusted by CEOs, VIPs and top corporations: https://www.efani.com/natalie Ditch your fiat health insurance like I did four years ago! Join me at CrowdHealth: www.joincrowdhealth.com/natalie ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
CannCon and Ashe in America open this episode of the Badlands Book Club with the beginning of Chapter 11, Part 1 of The Fourth Turning, diving into Strauss and Howe's blueprint for how societies and individuals should prepare for a coming crisis era. They read through and discuss the authors' seasonal model of history, focusing on how America should “move with” the current unraveling, avoid outdated behaviors from prior eras, and begin quietly preparing for the demands of the next Fourth Turning. The chapter explores the dangers of linear thinking, the need to recognize the signs of a secular winter, and the importance of personal responsibility, civic renewal, cultural uplift, and institutional pruning before a crisis takes hold. Along the way, Ashe and CannCon relate the text to modern politics, media dysfunction, generational shifts, and the hijacking of societal cycles by today's ruling class, layering in humor, eye-rolls, personal stories, debate, and real-time reactions. They also discuss upcoming Book Club selections, holiday plans, and viewer chat, making this a dense but lively walkthrough of one of the most consequential chapters in the book.
What if a US dollar collapse is not doom talk from the fringe, but simply the logical end of the fiat currency game we are already playing. In this episode, Mike Peterson sits down with investor and author Larry Lepard inside El Salvador's National Palace to unpack the thesis behind The Big Print book and why Larry believes the next massive round of money printing is not a question of if, only when. From the setting to the stakes, this is a conversation about what happens to real people when a reserve currency reaches the edge of the map. Larry Lepard walks through his journey from pure gold bug to running a fund that owns both gold stocks and Bitcoin, and why he still respects gold while expecting Bitcoin to crush it in performance. He and Mike Peterson explore what sound money really means in a world of relentless monetary debasement, why he sees fiat currency as the true enemy, and why he thinks “cash on the sidelines” is a dangerous illusion. If you have ever argued Bitcoin versus gold with friends, this gives you a deeper, more nuanced view from someone who lives on both sides of that trade.From there, the episode dives into macro reality. Larry explains the US debt doom loop, the trapped position of the Federal Reserve, and why the next Big Print could push us closer to a visible US dollar collapse. He talks about the balance sheet, interest expense, QE under different names, and why he thinks fiat currency has no real bottom once confidence breaks. This is not framed as chart guessing. It is framed as a very direct question about where you want your savings when politicians decide that printing is safer than telling the truth.The setting in El Salvador is not a backdrop. Mike Peterson and Lawrence Lepard talk about President Bukele, Bitcoin as legal tender, and what it means for a small country to defy the IMF and move toward a Bitcoin strategy while the United States digs deeper into fiat. They reflect on safety, investment, and whether “Bitcoin Country” was a PR stunt or an early glimpse of a world where sound money policy starts outside traditional power centers. If you are curious about how one nation is already testing ideas while the rest of the world still debates online, this part of the conversation hits hard.Finally, Larry pushes into a future that sounds crazy until you sit with it. He sketches a timeline where Bitcoin trades at 5 million dollars a coin, Michael Saylor runs for president on a sound money and nuclear disarmament platform, and the United States has to confront a real choice between honest money and the old fiat game. It is provocative, it is uncomfortable, and it is exactly the kind of thought experiment that forces you to ask what you actually believe about Bitcoin, the dollar, and the world your family will live in. If this episode moves something in you, subscribe, share it with someone who still trusts the system by default, and let us know in the comments where you stand after hearing it.-Bitcoin Beach TeamConnect and Learn more about Larry Lepard:X: https://x.com/lawrencelepard Web: https://ema2.com/ Support and follow Bitcoin Beach:X: https://www.twitter.com/BitcoinBeach IG: https://www.instagram.com/bitcoinbeach_sv TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@livefrombitcoinbeach Web: https://www.bitcoinbeach.com Browse through this quick guide to learn more about the episode:00:00 How does Lawrence Lepard imagine a Michael Saylor 2032 presidency and a Bitcoin sound money standard01:35 Why are Mike Peterson and Lawrence Lepard recording this Bitcoin conversation inside El Salvador's National Palace02:29 Why does Larry believe “the big print is imminent” and fiat currency is at the end of the road05:03 How did Lawrence Lepard go from gold bug to running a fund that owns both gold stocks and Bitcoin09:02 Is the clasLive From Bitcoin Beach
CannCon and Ashe in America continue their deep dive into The Fourth Turning, unpacking Chapter 10, Part 2 with energy, humor, and hard-hitting analysis. This episode breaks down the generational archetypes, 13ers entering midlife, Millennials stepping into adulthood, and the emerging New Silent generation, and explores how each group shapes (and survives) the unfolding crisis era. Ashe and CannCon reflect on the accuracy of Strauss & Howe's predictions, from millennial collectivism and workplace shifts to Gen X's hardened pragmatism and the rising urgency for societal reconstruction. With sponsor breaks, personal anecdotes, boomer vs. 13er commentary, COVID-era parallels, and spirited discussions about culture, economics, duty, and the looming generational handoff, the hosts weave the book's themes into the present moment. This session marks the near-completion of the book, setting the stage for the final stretch of the series and the transition into the next title in the club.
When I look around at the crumbling empire I helped build, I wonder how it all went so wrong. How did so many people lose their minds, the legacy media lose its objectivity, and so many so-called “educated” people lose their grip on reality?What is Trump Derangement Syndrome anyway? I think, as someone who lived it and has been online for the last 30 years, that the people with all of the power could not let go of that power, just like the South during the last Civil War. The South had built for itself a utopian version of America, one not rooted in reality, but one they deeply believed in. The same is true for the Left today. I know, I helped build it. I believed in it too and thought it would last forever. Trump's win in 2016 was a sign that half of the country was not happy with how things were going and wanted change, just as much of America understood that a country that proclaimed all men are created equal could not keep slaves.And just as the freeing of the slaves sent the South into mass psychosis that would lead to Jim Crow laws and the oppression of Black Americans, after eight years of deeply rooted propaganda that said Trump was a racist and for him to win would be an existential threat to our way of life, one our country could not survive, sent those of us inside utopia cascading into madness.And so we began fighting a Civil War. Not at Gettysburg or Shiloh, but on Facebook, Twitter/X, YouTube, and TikTok. But only one side is cutting off friends and family. Only one side has no plan for the rest of America on the outside. Only one side seems prepared to become violent to preserve their utopia. I thought November of 2024 was like the burning of Atlanta. Not quite the end of the war, but almost. Now, after Charlie Kirk's assassination and the fracturing of the Right, I'm not so sure.What I do know is that so much of what defines our Civil War, so much of what explains the Left's mass psychosis, took root in 2008.What is an American?2008 was the crisis that sparked the Fourth Turning, according to Neil Howe, who co-wrote the book with William H. Strauss. It wasn't just the election of the first Black president, or the launch of the iPhone, the rise of social media, or the $800 billion bailout of Wall Street that birthed two populist movements on the Left with Occupy and on the Right with the Tea Party. It was also the year an idea contagion began to spread.In April of 2008, Obama was recorded writing off half the country as people who were “bitter” and clinging to “guns and religion.”“Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton activated her entire campaign apparatus to portray Mr. Obama's remarks as reflective of an elitist view of faith and community. His comments, she said, were “not reflective of the values and beliefs of Americans.”Those comments were not seen as racist, yet months later, in October, when Sarah Palin said more or less the same thing, she was called an “Islamaphobe.” Seven years after 9/11, that is what the Left was worried about, not “Radical Islamic terrorism.”From the Washington Post, “Palin's words avoid repulsing voters with overt racism. But is there another subtext for creating the false image of a black presidential nominee “palling around” with terrorists while assuring a predominantly white audience that he doesn't see their America?”Race and racism became the dividing line after that. By 2010, the idea that the Tea Party was racist became a big story. ABC News still had some objectivity and attempted to tell both sides.Reason's Michael Moynihan made a video montage showing how widely accepted it was to call the Tea Party racist. Two years later, in 2012, amid Obama's re-election, Mitt Romney and the Republicans had no idea what they were up against. I was among those fighting Obama's media wars on Twitter, having followed him since the beginning. We were his loyal flock, building the narratives, correcting the bad news, reshaping, retooling, deconstructing, and reconstructing reality to push pure propaganda and keep our side in power.As wealth shifted leftward, thanks to the rise of Silicon Valley, Big Tech also leaned Left. Google, YouTube, Facebook, Amazon, Audible, and book publishing. It was in every university and every institution as society began migrating online. We were in control of all of it.To combat the idea of the racists and the “bitter clingers,” public schools and universities began teaching Critical Race and Gender Theory. It was the beginning of the Great Feminization and the Great Awokening. This contagion was seeded on sites like Tumblr with the oppressor/oppressed mindset, free Palestine, open borders, and a choose-your-gender worldview. It wasn't just Twitter by then. It was all of Hollywood, too, and most of our culture. That's why, in February of 2012, HBO released the movie Game Change, a retelling and repurposing of the 2008 election.Where Palin had been portrayed as a ditsy know-nothing we all laughed at on SNL…Now, Julianne Moore's version was darker and more sinister. A Never Trump narrative was just beginning as Steve Schmidt of the Lincoln Project and Nicolle Wallace were portrayed as the heroes, not to mention the only “good Republican,” John McCain, who stood up to the “racists” and “bitter clingers.” Our superpower in the Obama years was manipulating the flexible nature of words to make them mean anything we wanted them to mean, like “binders full of women.” That would become “Good people on both sides.” Or “Fight like hell.” “When you're famous, they let you do it.”The reality we shaped was everywhere - at gas stations, airports, and magazine covers in the check-out line. Having control of that - the background noise - is what the Left has been fighting to preserve. It is a fight they are losing thanks to the rising voices on the Right, and Trump himself, who are exposing them.But it was accusations of racism and Islamaphobia that would become Obama's most powerful weapon to win. It is the cryptonite of the Ruling Class and what has divided this country for ten years. What a difference 17 years makesBack in 2008, Obama was accused of being a Muslim Socialist, not born in America, who “palled around with terrorists.” Now, one of the new leaders of the Democratic Party is a Muslim socialist, not born in America, who pals around with terrorists. Zohran Mamdani not only feels no shame in admitting this, but he also won because of it. Identity is everything now, so why not scream it from the rooftops? Anyone who complains can easily be dismissed as a racist or an Islamaphobe. In Mamdani's New York, there is an oppressive ruling class keeping the Black and Brown workers poor, instead of the reality, an enclave for the guilty white liberals who fund their movement. But for those checks to keep flowing in, they have to give those guilty whites what they so desperately crave, confirmation that they are the Good White People Doing Good Things, and those “bitter clingers” over there are the “racists” who want to oppress the Black and Brown people they protect. Just give us absolution from our sins of wealth and privilege.Guys like Ken Burns live comfortably away from the harder realities of everyday life in America. Trust me, I know. I used to see him every year at the Telluride Film Festival. His telling of the American story must lead with race and must be yet another lecture to those with less wealth, less power, and less representation in culture - hated people in their own country, forced to accept that America is a corrupt, rotten, imperialist, and white supremacist empire. Making everything about race justifies the ruling class's place atop the wealth hierarchy. Nothing in that hierarchy can be disrupted, so the oppressed must remain oppressed. And for now, there is no way out except to do what I did, escape. Find the truth. Get to know the people they've been told to dehumanize. The Left's idea of utopia erases the value of being an American citizen. It seeks to align with a global world order of like-minded people. Yet, for so many in MAGA, being born American is hitting the jackpot. Nothing is more valuable than the rights all of us have as citizens, no matter our skin color. And yet, the ruling class in America for the past 17 years has decided none of that should matter because our identity is not where we were born. Our identity is whether we are white or not. If you oppose illegal immigration and support mass deportations, you are a racist, according to them, and your citizenship matters less than your white privilege. And that is how illegal immigrants became the oppressed group that governors like Gavin Newsom and JB Pritzker are willing to fight to protect. And ordinary American citizens can be thrown away like human garbage. The New York Times' Peter Baker loved reporting how bad the ticket sales are at the Kennedy Center, never once acknowledging how Trump tried to open it up to the underclass who'd been shut out for years. They see Trump's inclusion of the wrong half of America as taking something away from them, their glory days of utopia. The ballroom will be something lasting, a monument to the half of the country that fought for representation and a permanent structure to remind them of that fight. Here are Walter Kirn and Matt Taibbi from America This Week.The Bitter ClingersNow, it's the Left who are the bitter clingers. They can't accept defeat, and they won't let go of the past, of utopia. Hillary Clinton is a bitter clinger who can't get over the 2016 election. Barack Obama is a bitter clinger who had to call Charlie Kirk a racist when he felt his own legacy dimming. Nancy Pelosi is a bitter clinger who helped manufacture a delusion about January 6th just to obtain absolute power. Barbra Streisand, Rosie O'Donnell, Katie Couric, Richard Gere, Rob Reiner, Bruce Springsteen, Martin Sheen, Robert De Niro, and Jane Fonda are all bitter clingers who have never even seen the other half of the country, much less understood it.Those of us on the other side see the danger of utopia, what 17 years of it has done to the minds and bodies of children, what it's done to women and girls, and boys and men. What infusing propaganda into culture has done to truth and art. It is a manufactured reality that reflects an American utopia that doesn't exist and never did, just like the antebellum South. As the Southerners back then were the “bitter clingers,” so too are today's Woketopians, the virtue signaling army at war with the trolls. They are the ones who can't stand people who are not like them and the ones who can't move on from the past. So they fight on, hoping that this time it's not gone with the wind. end// This is a public episode. 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