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This weekend’s show dives into the critical crosscurrents shaping markets today – from the whipsawing S&P to bond market tremors, US fiscal recklessness, and...
This weekend's show dives into the critical crosscurrents shaping markets today - from the whipsawing S&P to bond market tremors, US fiscal recklessness, and the resurgent gold and silver trade. Mike Larson (MoneyShow) and Axel Merk (Merk Investments) unpack the volatility, dissect the macro trends, and spotlight where savvy investors should be focusing their firepower. If you enjoy the show, be sure to subscribe to our podcast feed (KER Podcast), YouTube channel, and follow us on X for more market commentary and company interviews. Don't forget to subscribe and leave us a review! Also check out our Substack where we email you summaries of Daily Editorials and the Weekend Show! Click here to check it out. Segment 1 & 2 - Mike Larson, Editor-in-Chief at Money Show, shares a big-picture market outlook amid rising volatility, U.S. fiscal concerns, and shifting sector opportunities. He explains how fading tariff fears have given way to deeper worries over deficits and bond market stress, outlines selective bullishness in gold, defense, and energy, and discusses why precious metals and Bitcoin may outperform in a fractured financial landscape. Click here to find out about the upcoming MoneyShow conferences. Segment 3 & 4 - Axel Merk, President and CIO of Merk Investments, joins the show to discuss global market volatility, U.S. monetary and fiscal shifts, and the rising appeal of gold. He outlines how trade disruptions, rising interest rates, and fragmentation in global capital flows are reshaping the financial landscape, explains why gold is regaining institutional interest while miners remain under-owned, and highlights how improved margins and financing activity suggest we're still in the early stages of a precious metals bull market. Click here to learn more about Merk Investments.
Axel Merk thinks the shift in market sentiment back to risk-on stocks since Friday won't change his view on gold. Despite the precious metal being down 10% from its highs, Merk believes fundamental shifts in the financial system, such as higher borrowing costs due to tariffs and pressure on the U.S. deficits, will continue to support gold prices in the long run.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comPortfolio manager & Fed-watcher Axel Merk shares his immediate take-aways from this week's FOMC release and press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He'll also take live Q&A from viewers.
Axel Merk of Merk Investments rejoins the podcast to discuss his view that Trump's tariffs have fundamentally unbalanced the global financial order. This has created real risks, but also opportunities… This podcast was recorded on Wednesday, April 30 and was made available to premium subscribers the following day. More information on premium subscriptions is available here. Content Highlights The ‘plumbing' of the global financial system has been upended as a result of tariffs (1:35); China will not dump all their US Treasury holdings overnight. But tariffs will impact future flows. A fragmentation away from US dollar-denominated assets is likely (6:50); Are tariffs inflationary or deflationary? They're a supply shock: stagflation is the result (10:42); If global trade is impeded and ultimately curtailed, how does this not end badly for economic growth? It will require a mental change from the existing environment. Fortunately, history has ample examples of this transition… (16:19); Europe and China may face trouble in this new world order. So will Turkey. “There will be more tension” (24:45); The case for gold and gold miners (32:16); Does the US enter recession this year? Economic numbers are going to be distorted, so it may not matter. But the spike in imports heading into tariffs will almost certainly create inventory build-up… (37:18). More on the Guest Website: MerkInvestments.com; Twitter/X: @AxelMerk LinkedIn post referenced in the podcast.
Axel Merk is taking GDP numbers with a “grain of salt,” noting a similarity between frontloading tariff orders and frontloading computer orders ahead of Y2K. Afterwards, he recalls ripple effects because of the pulled forward demand. He describes the messy interlocking of financial systems and what effects we might see soon. Tariff impacts “are a product of math, not politics,” he adds.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Axel Merk covers how Trump's criticism of Jerome Powell is impacting markets and reacts to the market's rebound today. “Lowering rates in response to a supply shock” is how we got Covid-era inflation, he argues, making the Fed nervous to repeat those actions today. He thinks Trump views 10% tariffs as a “baseline,” but even that can cause “significant distortions.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Axel Merk covers the commodity market, saying lower oil prices are a type of “economic stimulus,” and it could be doing “some of the Fed's job.” Looking at gold and silver, he notes that gold prices are reacting to other drivers as investors look for safety, while silver has industrial uses. Gold is his core focus, noting that big producers are struggling to keep up supply, forcing names like Barrick Gold (GOLD) to expand into copper.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Axel Merk, CIO and founder of Merk Investments with over $2 billion in AUM, shares his perspective on the current macro landscape. He explores how Trump's executive policies around trade and tariffs might alter the "plumbing" of the global financial system, potentially disrupting international capital flows that have long benefited the US. Merk discusses gold's performance as a possible warning signal, stagflationary risks in the economy, and why there is "no such thing as a safe asset" in today's investment environment. With 30 years of investment experience, he provides analysis on monetary policy, inflation concerns, and portfolio diversification strategies for navigating these uncertain times.This episode is sponsored by Monetary Metals. Visit https://monetary-metals.com/juliaTimestamps0:00 Intro and welcome Axel Merk1:11 The big macro picture - viewing through executive policy3:34 Disruption to global financial flows4:30 Potential consequences of changing financial plumbing6:51 Role of the Federal Reserve in market disruptions8:25 What the market gets right and wrong10:26 Gold as a contrarian indicator11:57 Drivers behind gold's performance14:54 Axel's position on gold investments16:00 Investment advice for different types of investors19:12 The "popcorn" investment strategy20:31 Stagflationary risks remain22:05 Growth potential amid regulatory changes24:53 Managing investment risks in volatile times27:47 Long-term debt and entitlement concerns30:46 Global reflation efforts vs US fiscal contraction31:42 Where to find Axel Merk and final thoughts
An hour ago, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee released the outcome of its meeting this week, keeping its policy rate unchanged (as expected) but slowing the pace of its Quantitative Tightening program.And just a little while ago, Fed Chair Jerome Powell just wrapped up his press conference related to this release. The market's reaction (so far) has been positive.My bullet-point notes to Powell's conference are below.And I'm also happy to announce that Fed-watcher Axel Merk is joining us again to deliver his expert reaction to the Fed's latest guidance as well as take your questions live.
Axel Merk discusses the gold market continued move higher, the impact of geopolitical events on gold prices, and investment strategies for gold mining stocks. He emphasizes the importance of understanding the financial system's dynamics and the potential for significant changes in the market. The discussion also covers the challenges and opportunities in gold mining investments, particularly in the context of economic downturns and the need for good management teams in mining companies.
Axel Merk is investing in gold and gold miners, touting their returns as the rest of the market falls. “Gold in the long run has zero correlation to equities,” but is correlated to real interest rates, he says. However, he says this relationship has fallen apart as the dollar has been “weaponized.” He would sell when the world begins addressing “fiscal deficits in earnest.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
As market uncertainties rise, an age-old asset is regaining its allure—gold. In this episode, we delve into the shifting dynamics of the gold market, featuring insights from experts who navigate this fertile landscape. With gold prices climbing, there's palpable excitement among industry players, but is it justified? Our discussion uncovers the reasons behind the renewed interest in gold mining stocks, contrasting the performance of larger companies versus promising junior miners.We take you through the upcoming BMO conference, where executives gather to discuss the future of the gold sector—a hotspot for the latest investment opportunities. With insights into recent U.S. gold import data and the implications of political and economic factors, our guests help clarify what investors should watch for moving forward.Join us as we explore the dispersion of returns within the gold mining sector and underscore the importance of active management. We'll guide you through the complexities of investing in gold and emphasize how macroeconomic trends affect gold prices. It's a golden opportunity to be informed about an asset that has historically weathered economic storms.Whether you're a seasoned investor or new to the gold game, this episode promises rich insights that could elevate your investment strategy. Tune in, engage with our content, and navigate this intriguing financial landscape with us. Don't forget to subscribe and share your thoughts!DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Merk Investments and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
Exclusive interview with Axel Merk of Merk Investments. Money Metals' Mike Maharrey and Axel breakdown the Trump effect and how the second Trump administration is likely to sway markets, especially precious metals. Axel also highlights the broader global instability he's seeing and the rise of populism as factors that could boost demand for gold as a safe haven asset. | Do you own precious metals you would rather not sell, but need access to cash? Get Started Here: https://www.moneymetals.com/gold-loan
In this interview, Axel Merk, President & CIO of Merk Investments discusses the Federal Reserve's latest actions and why their "bazooka" could have a significant impact on you. We also explore why GOLD is increasingly seen as the last refuge for investors in uncertain times. Axel provides thoughtful analysis on the Fed's strategy, market trends, and practical advice for 2025. If you're looking for ways to protect your portfolio and prepare for the year ahead, this conversation offers valuable perspectives to guide your decisions. #gold #FED #popcorn ----------- Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver ------------
Join us for a compelling conversation with Axel Merk from Merk Investments, as we unravel the complexities of risk management and the significant role gold plays in investment strategies. Discover how Axel transitioned from tech investing to managing an impressive $1.6 billion in gold and gold mining investments. This episode promises insights into the critical nuances of hedging, disciplined investment strategies, and the lessons learned from financial upheavals like the 2008 crisis. We'll discuss how maintaining a balanced portfolio and avoiding overexposure can safeguard your investments when markets appear deceptively calm.Explore the psychological and emotional dimensions of investing, particularly when facing substantial portfolio declines. Axel Merk and I dissect the common gap between expected and actual investor behavior during downturns, emphasizing the importance of understanding one's risk tolerance. Learn about the strategic use of gold as a hedge, its fluctuating correlations, and the potential benefits during economic instability. The discussion extends to the mining sector, with insights into the impacts of deregulation, the volatility of energy costs, and the essential role of management teams in executing successful projects on time and within budget.We wrap up with a forward-looking perspective on economic forecasting and the intriguing potential of AI in refining investment strategies. The conversation touches on the challenges of navigating deregulation and fiscal policy, underscoring the importance of diversification and realistic market expectations. Axel and I consider why mid-cap and development-stage companies may offer more potential in the gold mining sector, given their venture capital-like dynamics. As we close, I express gratitude to Axel Merk for his invaluable insights and share plans for a networking luncheon in Manhattan with industry leader Hal Lambert. Join us as we connect with the minds shaping the future of investing.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Merk Investments and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice relate Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
Portfolio manager & Fed-watcher Axel Merk shares his immediate take-aways from this week's FOMC release and press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He also takes live Q&A from viewers. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
Can the victory of a political figure like Trump really reshape market dynamics? Our guest, Axel Merk of Merk Investments, joins us to shed light on the fascinating ripple effects of political change on market behavior. We unpack the impact of a weakening Australian dollar on the gold mining sector, where miners find unexpected advantages in reduced labor costs vis-a-vis gold prices. Axel shares his insights on the post-election market scene, delving into the performance of small-cap stocks like the Russell 2000 and the effects of anticipated regulatory shifts and tariffs.The fast-paced world of cryptocurrency is next on our agenda, where we navigate the complex web of regulatory and political influences. Platforms like Interactive Brokers and E-Trade offer stability in a landscape often rife with speculation. We ponder the potential expansion of the US's role in the crypto space, alongside the possible economic policy shifts under full Republican control. From fiscal discipline to the concept of a Bitcoin reserve, we explore how these elements might chart the future course of capital markets.As the episode unfolds, we tackle the challenges and opportunities businesses face under a new administration, especially in highly regulated industries. With gold prices steadfast around $2,700 an ounce, we reflect on the gold mining sector's resilience amid volatile currency markets and pandemic-induced expenses. The discussion broadens to consider diversification strategies, spotlighting the enduring strength in commodities, energy, and materials. Throughout, we provide valuable insights into investment strategies with a nod to historical market trends, investor sentiment, and the timeless allure of gold as a hedge against global uncertainties.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Sign up at LearnCorporate.com and take control of your career and finances. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
After waiting over three years for "one of the worst recessions ever anticipated that never happened," Edward Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, says that the economy is now moving forward without much recession worry, buoyed by consumer spending — especially from Baby Boomers — and rate cuts from the Federal Reserve that he considered mostly unnecessary. Yardeni sees the economy going through another "Roaring 20s" period, and while the one a century ago ended in the Great Depression, he does think that outcome is not inevitable provided the government can keep debt and deficit levels under control while riding out the benefits of the "Digital Revolution" that includes all of the excitement around artificial intelligence and technology. Kendall Dilley, portfolio manager at Vineyard Global Advisors says the market's technicals are showing all green lights for a continuing bull market, and investors should lean in and treat downturns as buying opportunities. Dilley makes a case for the Standard & Poor's 500 to reach 7,500, getting as high as 6,400 by year's end, with only "normal pullbacks" on the road to that higher level. Plus, we revisit a recent conversation with Axel Merk, president and chief investment officer at Merk Investments — manager of the ASA Gold and Precious Metals — on why gold has worked better as a geo-political hedge than as a buffer against inflation.
The NAVigator this week offers a taste of the action from the Active Investment Company Alliance's 2024 Fall Roundtable, which was held on November 13 in New York City. Individual investor Jim Cohen discusses how consumers in closed-end funds are caught between activist "whales" and fund sponsors, wanting to hold funds to account to narrow discounts and improve management, but sometimes coming away with lesser results. Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer at Merk Investments — manager of ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited — discusses why gold has worked better as a geopolitical hedge but has been less successful as an inflation hedge. He adds that precious metals perform better in higher-rate environments, and he doesn't think the current round of rate cuts will go so far as to pose a problem for gold in the medium term.
Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute discusses the firm's research looking at whether campaign promises have translated into long-term outperformance for sectors that were likely to benefit from proposed policies, and while there were positive gains in the immediate aftermath of elections, many sectors underperformed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index over the following four years. As a result, Christopher suggests caution for anyone expecting president-elect Trump's "Drill baby drill" plan to turn into oversized oil-industry gains once he takes office. Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, turns to regional banks for his ETF of the Week, noting that while they have been up sharply since election day, there is reason to expect that this rally has legs. Plus, we have tow interviews conducted at the Active Investment Company Alliance's Fall Roundtable in New York on Nov. 13, where Chuck talked with individual investor Jim Cohen and then discussed gold and how it performs in an economy with falling interest rates but higher inflation with Axel Merk of Merk Investments and the ASA Gold and Precious Metals fund.
What impact (if any) will the Trump victory have on Federal Reserve policy? Portfolio manager & Fed-watcher Axel Merk shares his immediate take-aways from this week's FOMC release and press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He'll also take live Q&A from viewers. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
Axel Merk from Merk Investments joins us to unravel the complex and ever-evolving world of gold investing. If you're curious about how economic cycles and Federal Reserve policies shape gold's trajectory, this episode promises enlightening insights. Axel's multifaceted background in AI and currency management brings a fresh perspective to understanding gold as a stable asset amid economic fluctuations.Our discussion shifts gears to the gold mining sector, highlighting the differing strategies and financial discipline of large and small mining firms. Discover how smaller mining companies act as options on gold discoveries, navigating unique challenges like funding access and competition with speculative investors. Dive into the junior mining space to uncover potential investment opportunities and strategies for capitalizing on market volatility with active management, particularly through closed-end funds.We emphasize the critical role of transparency in managing gold mining funds, discussing efforts made to enhance investor communication and fund valuation. Axel sheds light on the importance of geographic diversification and strategic avoidance of certain regions, while addressing misconceptions about gold miners and market conditions. As we wrap up, the episode underscores the necessity of diversification in investments and invites you to explore these topics further in our upcoming webinar.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Merk Investments and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
Portfolio manager & Fed-watcher Axel Merk shares his immediate take-aways from this week's FOMC release and press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He also takes live Q&A from viewers. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
What if today's market turbulence signals the onset of another financial crisis akin to 1987, 1998, or 2008? Join me, Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, as I engage in a profound discussion with Axel Merk, an authority in the gold industry. We dissect current market conditions, compare them with past crises, and uncover the diverse profiles of gold investors—from dollar skeptics to diversification seekers. Axel underscores the necessity of a well-rounded investment toolkit to navigate the unpredictability of financial markets, urging you to expand your comfort zone and prepare for the future.Unravel the intricate relationship between Federal Reserve policies and market narratives in our compelling conversation. We scrutinize the Fed's prioritization of systemic risk over stock market valuations, the complexities of forecasting economic recessions, and the crucial role of credit spreads. Delving into the significance of timely yet limited jobs reports and the rapid shifts driven by media, Axel and I explore the unique market dynamics during slower summer months and the inherent challenges of economic predictions in a tightening monetary landscape.Expand your global perspective as we analyze Japan's precarious financial situation and its potential worldwide impact, including rising borrowing costs and fiscal hurdles. We explore China's strategic gold purchases amid sanctions, the ramifications of increasing credit card delinquencies, and the evolving global economic landscape influenced by China's ascent. Reflecting on skepticism in investment trends and the enduring value of gold in diverse portfolios, I invite you to follow my live insights on Twitter for real-time financial market updates.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
Welcome to The KE Report Weekend Show! Another eventful week in the markets, starting with a big global market dop on Monday that was...
Welcome to The KE Report Weekend Show! Another eventful week in the markets, starting with a big global market dop on Monday that was bought back throughout the week. Amazingly the major averages in the US closed the week pretty much where they ended last week. The most important question being, are we at the start of the bear market or was Monday simply a great time to buy the dip? We get that question answered for you on this weekend's show! Segment 1 and 2 - Mike Larson, Editor-In-Chief at MoneyShow kicks off the show discussing the dramatic shifts in the Japanese markets, market reactions to U.S. Federal Reserve decisions, and the broader implications for global financial markets. Mike provides insights into both the immediate and long-term perspectives, including his 'Five-Point Checklist' that would signal a bearish market. The theme of rotation remains so we focus on the areas Mike sees as the best opportunities for investors. Click here to find out about the upcoming MoneyShow conferences. Segment 3 and 4 - Axel Merk, CIO Merk Investments shares insights on market corrections, the role of the Federal Reserve, comparisons to the dot-com bubble, and the impact of volatility in various sectors, including tech and precious metals. We also discuss the future of gold and silver stocks, potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, and other defensive investment strategies. Click here to learn more about Merk Investments.
In this video, fund manager & Federal Reserve watcher Axel Merk delivers his real-time reaction to yesterday's FOMC guidance & subsqent press conference by Jerome Powell. The Fed is strongly signaling that it will start cutting interest rates starting in September. Is that wise? WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #federalreserve #interestrates #labormarket --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
Mike Maharrey and Axel Merk discuss why the economy has fared a bit better than many expected, interest rates and whether or not the Fed has slayed the inflation dragon, and how all of this will affect the prices of the metals. | Do you own precious metals you would rather not sell, but need access to cash? Get Started Here: https://www.moneymetals.com/gold-loan
In its latest guidance released this week, the Federal Reserve is holding interest rates steady for now. The Federal Funds rate will remain unchanged at 5.25% But the Fed did lower its rate cut forecast for 2024 to just 1. And it raised its 2025 rate cut expectations upwards from 3 to 4. It largely did this because its outlook on inflation is notably more optimistic than in previous months. Wall Street certainly liked what it heard, with the S&P jumping over 1% on the news and Treasury yields falling. But does this slightly more optimistic view actually change anything? To find out, we sat down right after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference with Axel Merk to get his real-time assessment. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #federalreserve #interestrates #inflation --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support
Welcome to The KE Report Weekend Show! We are sticking to the gold, silver and copper markets this weekend analyzing pricing and equity investment...
Welcome to The KE Report Weekend Show! We are sticking to the gold, silver and copper markets this weekend analyzing pricing and equity investment trends. Segment 1 and 2 - Matt Geiger, Managing Partner at MJG Capital shares his insights on copper market trends and portfolio strategies. We start by recapping the updates to his portfolio, and a deep-dive into the copper market dynamics. Matt shares his strategies and recent investment moves, including a major allocation to copper and a new high-grade copper discovery. Click here to learn more about MJG Capital. Segment 3 and 4 - Axel Merk, President and CIO of Merk Investments wraps up the show discussing trends in gold ETFs, including inflows and outflows, and the current state of the gold market. Axel provides insights into investor behaviors, and the broader commodity market including gold, silver, and copper. Click here to learn more Merk Investments.
Yesterday, May 1 2024, the Federal Reserve issued its latest policy statement, followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The Fed held its policy interest rate steady at 5.25%, as expected. Somewhat surprising to Wall Street was the Fed's announcement that it will reduce the scope of its Quantitative Tightening program starting in June. US Treasury roll-off will be reduced to $25 billion per month, down from the current $60 billion per month. Above and beyond that, Jerome Powell admitted that inflation is proving more stubborn to tame than the Fed hoped at the start of the year, and that getting it down sustainably to the Fed's 2% target will "take longer than previously expected". This essentially is admitting that interest rates will stay hike for EVEN longer. In this video, Fed-watcher Axel Merk of Merk Investments joins Thoughtful Money host Adam Taggart to provide an immediate reaction to the Fed's guidance and take live Q&A from the viewing audience. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #interestrates #inflation #federalreserve
Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, who manages investments worth $1.2 billion in gold and related assets. They discuss the ASA closed-end fund, which invests in precious metals mining, processing, or exploration companies, and is unique due to its longer-term focus compared to ETFs. Merk took over management in 2019 and transformed it into an investment vehicle for junior mining companies. This fund helps small development and exploration firms by providing capital during funding rounds and increasing their share prices, making them more attractive to larger investors. Merk also talks about the potential impact of the Federal Reserve's monetary policies on gold mining and equities during economic downturns or periods of easing financial conditions. He shares his past predictions for a possible recession in 2023 but acknowledges recessions are unpredictable. Merk believes that gold miners provide value over the long term, despite risks, and stresses the importance of risk assessment. Axel discusses Saba Capital Management's ongoing attempts to gain control over ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited. If successful, this could negatively impact the mining industry due to potential cost-cutting measures or changes to the fund's mandate. Despite expressing support for ASA as a fund manager, Axel encourages constructive dialogue between all parties. Axel highlights ASA's unique features that make it difficult for activists like Saba to achieve their goals easily. The future implications include continued engagement with Saba or potential liquidation if they gain control, and the importance of shareholder votes in the outcome. Investors are encouraged to stay informed and vote in proxy contests. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:38 - ASA Closed End Fund3:42 - Funding for Juniors10:43 - The Monetary Environment15:26 - Fed & Distorted Data17:57 - Recent Moves in Gold20:50 - Closed Vs. Open Funds25:08 - Strategic Investments26:42 - ASA Board Concerns32:16 - SABA Contested Proxy35:10 - A Call to Shareholders37:30 - Friday Apr 26 Vote41:06 - Future for the Fund?44:33 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/AxelMerkWebsite: https://www.merkinvestments.com/Blog Post: https://www.merkinvestments.com/insights-and-reports/2024-03-18Website: https://asaltd.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/axelmerk/detail/recent-activity/Amazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/4ebpcaew Axel Merk is the President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments, manager of the Merk Funds. Founder of the firm bearing his name, Merk is an expert on macro trends. He is a sought-after speaker, contributor, and author; Axel Merk's book, Sustainable Wealth, describes how the greater economic universe works, how it might affect your finances, and how to manage those finances to seek financial stability. Axel Merk holds a B.A. in Economics (magna cum laude) and an M.Sc. in Computer Science from Brown University. Axel Merk founded Merk Investments in Switzerland in 1994; in 2001, he relocated the business to California. He has grown Merk Investments into an investment advisory firm offering investment funds and advisory services on liquid global markets, including domestic and international equities, fixed income, commodities, and currencies. Axel lives in the San Francisco Bay Area with his wife and their four children. Furthermore, he is a marathon runner and a private pilot.
In this episode, Trevor interviews Axel Merk from Merk Investments about the ASA Gold and Precious Metals Fund. They discuss the history and unique structure of the fund, which invests in small exploration and development companies in the mining sector. They also talk about the current pressure the fund is facing from an activist investor, Saba Capital Management. Axel emphasizes the importance of retail investors voting their shares to protect the fund and the funding infrastructure for small miners. The proxy vote for shareholders is on April 26th.
Axel Merk, President and CIO of Merk Investments and Manager of the ASA Precious Metals Fund joins us to discuss the activist investor going after the ASA Fund and how this relates to the funding environment for junior resource stocks. We have heard for years how difficult it has been for junior companies to raise money. Major miners have consolidated and are focused on disposing of assets rather than acquiring juniors, exchanges have made it tougher for investors outside of Canada to fund companies, and costs continue to rise. All of of these factors build on themselves and put pressure on junior companies to do the work needed to discovery and grow assets. Axel shares his insights on where money could come from and what he focuses on when investing and funding junior exploration companies. Click here to visit the ASA website to learn more about the fund.
The price of gold has experienced a breakout over the past month and a half. What does that mean? Is that a sign that investors are worried about higher inflation to come? Or that capital is fleeing to safety in advance of approaching economic trouble? Or is this price surge due to speculative zeal? For answers, we turn to capital manager Axel Merk and his team at Merk Investments, who manage several funds that invest in the precious metal sector. We'll also ask them their thoughts on the future prospects of the gold and silver mining companies. Will their performance catch up to, and perhaps outpace that of the metals soon? WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #goldprice #silverprice #miningstocks
Axel Merk, Merk Investments President and Chief Investment Officer at Merk Investments, who manages two Gold ETFs, analyzes Fed Policy and the Gold Market. He believes that Gold will perform even better in a hard landing and is worried a hard landing could be on the horizon. He says that retail investors are still lukewarm about Gold and that hot money has been chasing crypto and not Gold. This allows us some time to position. 0:00 Intro1:00 Big Picture View3:35 Federal Reserve Policy Now8:00 Gold vs. Stock Market11:40 Retail Investors Still Lukewarm About Gold14:55 Gold ETF Flows17:05 What Could Go Wrong in Economy19:45 Geopolitics Impact
Portfolio manager & Fed-watcher Axel Merk shares his immediate take-aways from this week's FOMC release and press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He'll also take live Q&A from viewers WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #federalreserve #interestrates #inflation
As the Federal Reserve confirms plans to cut interest rates later this year, Jay Powell's shifty stance on inflation has left many Fed watchers scratching their heads – and others crying foul. Also, don't miss our exclusive interview with Axel Merk of Merk Investments. | Do you own precious metals you would rather not sell, but need access to cash? Get Started Here: https://www.moneymetals.com/gold-loan
Scott Colyer, chief executive officer at Advisors Asset Management, says he is cautious right now, but the cyclicals, materials, energy and health care tend to be strong during periods when the Federal Reserve is bringing interest rates down. He suggests riding that trend, saying "You take your cue from the Fed, now is the time that you want risk-on. Kendall Dilley, portfolio manager at Vineyard Global Advisors, says he expects the stock market to have its average draw-down of 14 percent at some point this year, but he expects it to be a buying opportunity for long-term investors. Plus, Axel Merk, chief investment officer of the ASA Gold and Precious Metals, discusses the impact that Saba Capital Management is having on the fund and on shareholders, having entered the fund as an activist, moving to change the board as it pushes for a double-digit discount to be narrowed. Merk discusses the challenge of dealing with activist investors in a junior mining fund, the potential for the fund to be liquidated, the possible outcomes and the impact of the action on shareholders.
Axel Merk, chief investment officer of the ASA Gold and Precious Metals, discusses the impact that Saba Capital Management is having on the fund and on shareholders as it entered the fund as an activist, moving to change the board as it pushes for a double-digit discount to be narrowed. Merk discusses the challenge of dealing with activist investors in a junior mining fund, the potential for the fund to be liquidated, the possible outcomes and the impact of the action on shareholders.
A few days ago, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee released its latest policy decision, followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, and reiterated that it thinks it's making good progress getting inflation under control while protecting the jobs market. Soon after Powell's conference, in a live event available only to Thoughtful Money's premium Substack subscribers, noted Fed-watcher Axel Merk gave his breakdown of the Fed's latest guidance, and then fielded live Q&A from viewers. Here's the replay video of that discussion with Axel. Enjoy! WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com #federalreserve #fed #interestrates
Axel Merk shares his perspective on gold and gold mining, examining the influence of Federal Reserve policies and economic conditions. Axel discusses the positive outlook for gold prices and potential opportunities in junior mining companies, offering insights into the current investment landscape. HAPPY NEW YEAR and all the best for 2024! This interview was originally published on January 9th, 2024 on our YouTube channel. Guest: Axel Merk Company: Merk Investments
Yesterday the Federal Reserve Market Committee announced it has chosen to keep the Federal Funds Rate steady for now, but when that changes, a rate cut is much more likely than a rate hike. In fact, the FOMC now expects it's probable it will cut rates three times in 2024. Following the release of this announcement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell held a press conference where he clarified the Fed's thinking. Powell projected a largely positive vibe, pleased that inflation is declining, economic growth is slowing from the frothy levels seen in Q3, and that the labor market is "coming back into balance". He no longer expects a recession in 2024. Stocks, bonds, commodities and nearly ever other financial asset shot higher on the news. So, is this this "all clear"? Is it time for the bulls to run? Or may history repeat itself, as most recessions follow the first rate cuts made after a hiking regime? To find out, we talk with experienced Fed-watcher Axel Merk of Merk Investments, and take live audience Q&A. Follow Axel on X/Twitter at @AxelMerk SUBSCRIBE to Adam's new Substack at https://adamtaggart.substack.com/ #federalreserve #inflation #interestrates
Axel Merk, president and chief investment officer of the Merk Funds and Merk Investments, says that "higher for longer is not a strategy," which means that the Federal Reserve is setting up investors for a longer-lasting fallout than investors expect now. As a result, Merk says that the downside risk of the market right now is much greater than the upside potential now. Jeff Bishop of Raging Bull and Bullseye Trades sees the market as taking a small setback before the start of a Santa Claus rally that carries into the New Year, portending a strong year ahead for the market in 2024. Plus, Mike Taggart, closed-end fund specialist at Aberdeen, says that discounts in closed-end funds are "overplayed," and that investors who focus instead on income will likely be happier with the long-term outcome from their investments, and Patrick Healey, president of Caliber Financial Partners, talks stocks in the Market Call.
Ed Lopez meets with Axel Merk to explore the gold demand of central banks and trends in gold markets.
Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial, says that rolling recessions haven't eliminated the possibility of a true, classic recession but she doesn't think there will be anything more than a shallow downturn in 2024 as the economy continues slowing to resolve inflation and other headline issues. She expects stocks to deliver "a comfortable return" in 2024, but with volatility and a "healthy" move toward equilibrium. Don Vandenbord, chief investment officer at Revere Asset Management, makes his debut on the show talking technicals and notes that short-term trends are all strong and that the market's recent run shows that performance is broadening out, which is a bullish sign. He sees mostly positives, although the longest-term indicators he follows have not yet turned fully green. Axel Merk of the ASA Gold and Precious Metals, says that gold prices are most tightly correlated to "the confidence the market has in the central bank to manage inflation over time," so gold's rally over the last six weeks -- as well as its path forward -- is "favorable because we might be entering a recession, most notably a recession that is more severe than is currently priced into the market." Plus Brian Bollinger of Simply Safe Dividends talks quality income-producing stocks in the Market Call.
Axel Merk, chief investment officer for the ASA Gold and Precious Metals fund, says that gold prices are most tightly correlated to "the confidence the market has in the central bank to manage inflation over time," so gold's rally over the last six weeks -- as well as its path forward -- is "favorable because we might be entering a recession, most notably a recession that is more severe than is currently priced into the market." Merk says he does not foresee a soft landing for the economy -- he sees a decline that is more significant than most observers are expecting -- which is why he does not think "we are going to have the trajectory [for gold] that is priced in right now."
Welcome to the KE Report Weekend Show. On this Weekend Show we focus on the gold and energy markets with Axel Merk and...