American credit rating agency
POPULARITY
Dans cette édition :Le Paris Saint-Germain affronte l'Inter Milan en finale de la Ligue des Champions ce soir à Munich, avec un important dispositif de sécurité déployé dans la capitale française pour éviter tout débordement en cas de victoire parisienne.La dette française fait l'objet d'une nouvelle notation de la part de l'agence Standard & Poor's, qui maintient la note A à moins, considérée comme une bonne qualité de crédit.Donald Trump remporte une victoire dans sa guerre commerciale, avec le maintien temporaire des droits de douane annoncés par le président américain, en attendant la décision finale de la cour d'appel.Le village suisse de Blatenn a été presque entièrement détruit par l'effondrement soudain d'un glacier, un phénomène lié au changement climatique et qui soulève des inquiétudes sur les risques d'origine glaciaire et périglaciaire.Bruce Springsteen fait son retour à Marseille pour un concert au Vélodrome, avec des fans venus de toute l'Europe pour assister à l'événement.Notre équipe a utilisé un outil d'Intelligence artificielle via les technologies d'Audiomeans© pour accompagner la création de ce contenu écrit.Distribué par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
Dans cette édition :Le Paris Saint-Germain affronte l'Inter Milan en finale de la Ligue des Champions ce soir à Munich, avec un important dispositif de sécurité déployé dans la capitale française pour éviter tout débordement en cas de victoire parisienne.La dette française fait l'objet d'une nouvelle notation de la part de l'agence Standard & Poor's, qui maintient la note A à moins, considérée comme une bonne qualité de crédit.Donald Trump remporte une victoire dans sa guerre commerciale, avec le maintien temporaire des droits de douane annoncés par le président américain, en attendant la décision finale de la cour d'appel.Le village suisse de Blatenn a été presque entièrement détruit par l'effondrement soudain d'un glacier, un phénomène lié au changement climatique et qui soulève des inquiétudes sur les risques d'origine glaciaire et périglaciaire.Bruce Springsteen fait son retour à Marseille pour un concert au Vélodrome, avec des fans venus de toute l'Europe pour assister à l'événement.Notre équipe a utilisé un outil d'Intelligence artificielle via les technologies d'Audiomeans© pour accompagner la création de ce contenu écrit.Distribué par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
Talley Leger, chief market strategist at The Wealth Consulting Group, says the stock market over-reacted to the downside over tariff announcements and that investor sentiment was so sour that it flashed big buying signals to him. Now that there has been some easing of tariff tensions with the United States and China announcing a deal on Monday, Leger says he thinks the market can push through the trouble, sustain a 2 percent growth rate and work through volatility to end the year with the Standard & Poor's 500 in the 6,500 range, about 15 percent up from where it started the day. David Trainer, founder and president at New Constructs, puts FreshPet back in the Danger Zone, noting that the stock has a franchise that might attract potential buyers, but it has a business that can't see a clear path to profitability as it exists now. David Brady, president, Brady Investment Counsel talks stocks in the Money Life Market Call.
The real estate market is shifting—and not everyone understands how. In this episode of Financial Detox, Jason Labrum and Alex Klingensmith break down what's really happening across the real estate landscape, from single-family homes at all-time highs to commercial and multifamily properties that are facing serious headwinds.
Join Jason Labrum and Alex Klingensmith as they expose the hidden tax mistakes costing investors real money—and how to fix them. This isn't generic advice… it's practical, high-impact strategy used by smart investors, business owners, and executives.
Craig Johnson, chief market technician at Piper Sandler, says that for all of the tumult and headlines, he still believes the market shows signs that it will still reach 6600 on the Standard & Poor's 500, the level he was expecting at the start of the year. That's up by more than 15 percent from current levels. Johnson acknowledges that the voyage will remain more "noisy" than he expected, but he says conditions "are more normal than many people realize." As a result, he's almost fully invested, counting on making money by climbing the proverbial Wall of Worry. Danielle Poli, portfolio manager at Oaktree Capital Management, says the credit market is delivering returns that are close to the historic levels of equities, but says the current set-up is reminiscent of times in the early 2000s when credit "smoked" equities. With high-yield bonds earning around 8 percent and private credit showing significant demand, Poli says that while credit can be "a great place to hide out," investors can expect even more from it now. Poli says that credit can be more than just "a great place to hide out;" in talking with corporate executives, Poli says she now expects a slower economic environment, with the potential for higher inflation from tariffs, creating the kind of environment where "you're going to want to be in credit over equities." Plus Charles Rotblut, editor of AAII Journal, says the group's latest survey of investor sentiment is showing numbers "that you'd expect to see if there's a bad bull market," with uncertainty being priced into the market and into investor expectations. He also discusses an AAII Journal article highlighting the changing ways that investors are using cash in their portfolios.
Mercredi 30:Un ciel bleu azur pour cette période de vacances… mais désespérément vide. En effet, tous les vols au départ des aéroports nationaux ont été annulés hier. Un aéroport vide et une certaine exaspération de la part de la direction.L'agence de notation américaine Standard & Poor's a confirmé les bonnes notes de crédit de la Belgique. En revanche, elle a revu sa perspective de stable à négative. Cette révision témoigne des préoccupations croissantes sur la trajectoire budgétaire du pays, alors que le déficit public belge figure parmi les plus élevés de la zone euro.La Belgique se débat depuis des années avec des déficits budgétaires récurrents, ce qui soulève des questions sur la gouvernance de notre pays. Dans un contexte d'incertitude économique croissante, de hausse des prix de l'énergie et de paysage géopolitique complexe, la question d'une réforme structurelle devient de plus en plus pressante.
In this value-packed episode of Financial Detox, Jason Labrum and Alex Klingensmith team up to tackle a topic that's on everyone's mind this time of year — TAXES!
Le prime pagine dei principali quotidiani nazionali commentate in rassegna stampa da Davide Giacalone. USA a un passo dalla recessione, Standard & Poor's alza il rating dell'Italia. I primi 100 giorni alla Casa Bianca di Donald Trump. L'analisi di Stefano Piazza. giornalista di Panorama e de La Vertà. Motomondiale in Qatar. Le previsioni sulla gara della MotoGp con l'inviato speciale di Rtl 102.5, Max Biaggi. All'interno di Non Stop News, con Luigi Santarelli, Barbara Sala e Valentina Iannicelli.
Jason Labrum and Alex Klingensmith dive deep into the chaos of today's markets, unraveling the real impact of tariffs, behavioral finance, and long-term investment success. In this episode, recorded during a dramatic market drop, Jason and Alex deliver powerful insight on: ✅ How to navigate market volatility without panic ✅ What tariffs under the Trump administration mean for global trade, inflation, and U.S. jobs ✅ The psychology of investing – understanding and managing emotional decisions ✅ Why time in the market beats timing the market every time ✅ What makes a truly diversified portfolio beyond the S&P 500 and the Magnificent Seven ✅ Why investor behavior is the biggest factor in long-term returns ✅ Real-life client stories on how financial planning creates freedom
Lawrence McMillan, president of McMillan Analysis, says the market has been in an oversold rally and is currently correcting as it comes out of that. He sees deteriorating breadth but still thinks this could be what he called "a healthy correction." McMillan says if the Standard & Poor's 500 can't hold the 5400 level, he would expect it to drop to 5000, a move big enough to put the stock market into bear market territory, a decline of 20 percent from market peaks in February. Wade Pfau, professor of retirement income at The American College of Financial Services, returns to the show to discuss updates to "Retirement Planning Guidebook: Navigating the Important Decisions for Retirement Success,” and discusses the trend of investors trading some potential returns for more certainty, using annuities and reverse mortgages to secure income. Plus Wayne Thorp, head of research and analysis products for the American Association of Individual Investors — who created AAII's growth investing strategy — talks growth investing amid declining growth in the Money Life Market Call.
Whether you're just beginning to think about your legacy or you've already created a trust, this conversation offers actionable insights and expert advice to help you protect your wealth, your wishes, and your loved ones.
Questions to Ministers TODD STEPHENSON to the Associate Minister of Justice: Why is this Government adjusting the funding criteria for the Proceeds of Crime Fund? TANYA UNKOVICH to the Minister for Rail: Is the Cook Strait ferry replacement programme on track? Hon CARMEL SEPULONI to the Prime Minister: Does he stand by all his Government's statements and actions? RICARDO MENÉNDEZ MARCH to the Minister for Social Development and Employment: Will the average jobseeker beneficiary subjected to compulsory money management be able to afford their rent and bills? Dr VANESSA WEENINK to the Acting Minister of Commerce and Consumer Affairs (Grocery Sector): What recent reports has she seen on grocery competition? Hon BARBARA EDMONDS to the Minister of Finance: Does she stand by her statement yesterday that "The Treasury got its forecasts before the election plain wrong"; if so, why should the public believe future Treasury forecasts? RIMA NAKHLE to the Minister of Justice: What actions has the Government taken to restore real consequences for crime? Hon WILLOW-JEAN PRIME to the Minister for Children: Does she stand by her statement regarding the release of the rates of reoffending by participants of the military-style academy pilot that "Oranga Tamariki is of the understanding that they follow my instructions that these young people's privacy is the most important thing, and making sure that we're taking care of the wellbeing and the safety of these young people comes first and foremost before anything else"; if so, did she direct Oranga Tamariki to withhold the rates of reoffending by participants of the military-style academy pilot? GREG FLEMING to the Minister for the Public Service: What recent reports has she seen from the Public Service Commission? TANGI UTIKERE to the Minister of Local Government: Does he agree with Standard & Poor's that their ratings downgrade of 18 councils and three council-controlled organisations "reflects factors including the quick passage and repeal of several key laws governing local councils, the cancellation of various Crown grant programs, an increase in unfunded mandates, and recent announcements about infrastructure financing options"; if not, why not? LAN PHAM to the Minister of Conservation: Does he agree with the Minister for Oceans and Fisheries' statement that "Locals have raised serious concerns about the decline of spiny rock lobster in the inner Hauraki Gulf, and this has been backed up by fishery-independent research. I share these concerns and ... I've decided to stop spiny rock lobster fishing in the inner Gulf"; if so, is he also committed to protections in the Hauraki Gulf? TIM COSTLEY to the Minister of Police: Does he agree with the statement by the member for Wellington Central that people "do not want to see police officers everywhere, and, for a lot of people, it makes them feel less safe"; if not, why not? Question to Member Hon Dr DUNCAN WEBB to the Chairperson of the Justice Committee: Will he report the Principles of the Treaty of Waitangi Bill to the House before all submissions have been processed and considered by members?
Welcome to another episode of Financial Detox, where Jason Labrum, founder of Financial Detox and co-founder of IDA Wealth, is joined by the brilliant Alex Klingensmith, Partner and President at IDA Wealth, for a wide-ranging discussion on all things markets. In this dynamic episode, they tackle the current financial landscape, behavioral finance, and how political noise affects investment decisions.
Doug Ramsey, chief investment officer at The Leuthold Group, says that stock market swings have had increasing impact on economic growth and the rate of inflation in recent years — "Price is a fundamental," he says — and that means the current downturn in the stock market could deliver a recession. At the same time, if the market moves from current correction-levels to bear-market levels, he expects inflation to then ease up and to help drive a potential recovery. Charles Rotblut, editor at AAII Journal, discusses the latest investor sentiment survey from the American Association of Individual Investors, which just hit its third straight week with bearish sentiment above 57 percent and bullish sentiment below 20 percent, a three-week stretch in both numbers that has never been seen since the survey started in 1987. While sentiment levels didn't hit these levels during events like the Dot-com Crash and the Great Financial Crisis, Rotblut noted that when sentiment reaches bearish extremes, the market typically has rebounded in six months, which bodes well for a recovery before year's end. In the NAVigator segment, Roxanna Islam, head of sector and industry research at VettaFi, discusses the Invesco Closed-End Fund Income Composite ETF — which she considers the "Standard & Poor's 500 for closed-end funds" — as it celebrates its 15th anniversary and crosses $800 million in assets.
Roxanna Islam, Head of Sector and Industry Research at VettaFi, discusses PCEF — the Invesco Closed-End Fund Income Composite ETF — which she considers the bellwether measure of the closed-end fund industry, a parallel to the Standard & Poor's 500 but for a closed-end space that is rapidly changing. Islam talks about how the ETF — which recently celebrated its 15th anniversary and has $800 million in assets — has changed over the years, how its approach has changed and how it stacks up to newer players in the space and why ETFs are particularly good representing niche industries and investment areas.
Ed Clissold, chief U.S. strategist at Ned Davis Research says that he expects the stock market to back off of its current "pretty elevated" levels as it prices in a discount for uncertainty. "Whether or not you think in the long run that changes by the Administration are good or bad, while we go through them means that probably valuations need to be lower," Clissold says, noting that the discount will be accompanied by choppier market action, heightened volatility and more pullbacks and corrections. Further, Clissold notes that the situation could last until the economy digests a workforce shift as public workers move into jobs in the private sector and consumers curb spending during the adjustment period. D.R. Barton Jr., director of market research for the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, says the current cycle may be changing, and he is watching whether the Standard & Poor's 500 can stay above its 200-day moving average, which it has been close to breaking the last few days. Barton says the pullback could reach the point of being a correction -- a decline of 10 percent or more -- if the trend line is broken, but he thinks the market needs to take a breather and re-gather itself before it can resume making real progress. Kimberly Flynn, president of XA Investments, says healthy borrowers and minimal defaults make the loan space attractive, with concerns over tariffs and Federal Reserve policies leading to more volatility but also new opportunities.
In this episode, we're diving deep into Roth conversions—a game-changing tax strategy that could potentially save you millions over your lifetime.
Zach Jonson, senior portfolio manager at Stack Financial Management, says current valuations "really only fall in line with 1929 and 1999, so we see substantial downside risk" to the Standard & Poor's 500, but investors can avoid "historic ber market losses" in the mega-cap stocks that have lead the market for the last two years by rotating toward the value and lagging plays. He recommends equal-weight index plays rather than traditional cap-weighted plays, and being patient with the stocks that were unloved, which will have to overcome the shifting momentum of mega caps as the market cycle changes. His sentiments about a broadening market were seconded by Patrick O'Hare, chief market analyst at Briefing.com, who says that what's coming will be more of a stock-picker's market where investors are paid for being thoughtful and discerning amid a market that's likely to be stuck in a tight range as leadership changes and amid geopolitical uncertainty. Also on the show, Chuck Bell of Consumer Reports discusses how the potential end of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau will impact consumers, and Chip Lupo discusses a WalletHub study showing that Americans collectively will spend a record $14.2 billion on Valentine's Day gifts, with the average lovebird shelling out $186 this year.
We will be talking about trending investment topics including the recent AI disruption of DeepSeek and how it's affecting investors, what role the Fed will be playing this year and how it all plays into Trump and his administration. What should investors be thinking about, what actions should they be taking and what should they ignore. More on Jason Labrum https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasonlabrum/ and Alex Klingensmith https://www.linkedin.com/in/alex-klingensmith-cfp%C2%AE-94986b7/ ______________________________ More on Financial Detox: Website: https://www.idawealth.com/financial-detox/ Buy the Book: https://www.amazon.com/Financial-Detox-Achieve-Independence-Maximum-ebook/dp/B0795B2WX4/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr= _____________________________ More on IDA Wealth: Website: https://www.idawealth.com/ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/idawealth/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/idawealth/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/IntelligenceDrivenAdvisers ___________________________ Disclosure The Financial Detox podcast is provided by Intelligence Driven Advisers, LLC (“IDA”), an SEC registered Investment Adviser; however, such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Any references to SEC registration are not an endorsement or indication of approval by the SEC. The information presented in this podcast is intended for general informational purposes only and should not be construed as specific tax, legal or investment advice. Participants are strongly encouraged to consult with their personal advisers regarding their specific financial and tax situation. Investing involves risk and there is always the potential for loss. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided reflects IDA's views as of a particular time. Such views along with tax laws and regulations are subject to change at any point and IDA shall not be obligated to provide notice of any change. IDA makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented in this podcast. The firm disclaims any liability for errors or omissions in the information or for any actions taken in reliance on the information provided herein. The S&P 500, or Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index that measures the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. These companies are selected based on their market capitalization, liquidity, and industry representation, making the index a broad indicator of the overall U.S. stock market and economy. The S&P 500 is widely regarded as a benchmark for the performance of the U.S. equity market, and it includes companies from a variety of industries, such as technology, healthcare, financial services, and consumer goods. The index is weighted by market capitalization, meaning that companies with larger market values have a greater impact on the index's overall performance. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sp500.asp
Rob Arnott, chairman and chief executive officer at Research Affiliates, says that current markets resemble the dot-com markets in the narrative that everything is about to change due to technological advancements, but he notes that the dominant tech players from the year 2000 failed to beat the Standard & Poor's 500 index over the long-term future. He says that could happen again today with the artificial intelligence stocks, with the technology changing the world but the stocks having a less clear path forward. Arnott notes that the narratives have made the mega caps overvalued and the comparison to the dot-com era could continue with a market downturn, but he sees plenty of opportunities for investors who are willing to pursue deep value and small-cap strategies, as well as liquid alternatives and non-U.S. stocks to "have a decent shot at high single-digit returns" this year. Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, makes the exchange-traded version of a classic Fidelity fund his ETF of the Week, and Rob Lutts, president and chief investment officer at Cabot Wealth Management brings his classic growth investing style to the Market Call.
Avi Gilburt, founder of Elliott Wave Trader, says the market is in the final throes of a bull market that has been in place for nearly a century, noting that while there may be one more high or buying opportunity before things are exhausted, he sees the market turning in the next few months, noting that the Standard & Poor's 500 decisively breaking the 5400 support level would be a sign that a bear market has begun. Then, Daniel Crosby, host of the Standard Deviations Podcast, discusses his new book, "The Soul of Wealth: 50 reflections on money and meaning;" After that, Allison Hadley talks about a new CardRates.com study showing that nearly half of Americans expect to return 1-3 gifts this holiday season. And in the Market Call, Scott Martindale, chief executive at Sabrient Systems, talks about picking "high performance stock portfolios," using the methods of Sabrient's founder, David Brown, who recently released a book on building a portfolio based on high-octane stocks.
In this episode, we dive into the key financial topics shaping 2024 and beyond: ● Bitcoin's Surge: Breaking down the “Trump Bump” in cryptocurrency and what a $100K+ Bitcoin means for investors. ● AI Innovations: How AI is reshaping industries and investment opportunities—should you dive in or exercise caution? ● Market Predictions: From S&P 500 to MSCI World Index, our team makes bold predictions for the year ahead (with a dose of humor and realism). ● Election Aftermath: What the 2024 elections mean for market stability, deregulation, and global security. ● Building a Financial Plan: Avoid toxic advice and create a strategy to align your investments with your long-term goals.
Simeon Hyman, global investment strategist at ProShares, sees "rational exuberance" on today's market, noting that the stock market is a little bit expensive but not dramatically above long-term normal forward earnings numbers, and he notes that expectations are reasonable, a little high but reasonable. Further, he suggests that all-time low levels of leverage and little debt on the books of the Standard & Poor's 500 is "a significant risk offset" to the current worries that make investors nervous. Author Michael Sincere — who writes the Long-Term Trader column at MarketWatch — discusses his new book, “Help Your Child Build Wealth: A Parents' Guide to Teaching Children to be Successful Investors,” and then sticks around to discuss technical analysis and how he sees the market moving on from the election and through the change of administrations into 2025.
17/20, note inchangée pour la France alors que le gouvernement pourrait tomber cette semaine sur le budget. Pourquoi ? Sommes-nous intouchables ? Ecoutez L'éco & You du 02 décembre 2024.
17/20, note inchangée pour la France alors que le gouvernement pourrait tomber cette semaine sur le budget. Pourquoi ? Sommes-nous intouchables ? Ecoutez L'éco & You du 02 décembre 2024.
Talley Leger, chief market strategist at The Wealth Consulting Group, likes small-cap stocks, financials and consumer discretionary and industrial companies, saying he expects a lot of the recent winners to slow as part of a shift in leadership that could lead to a market that slows or creates attractive buying opportunities with intermediate-term losses. Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, returns to the Standard & Poor's 500 for the second week in a row, but this time picks an all-time classic that has been having record inflows as his "ETF of the Week." And in the Market Call, Christopher Zook, president of CAZ Investments, talks about looking for long-term themes, but buying them at reasonable prices, and discusses how that has him handling a hot space like artificial intelligence.
After waiting over three years for "one of the worst recessions ever anticipated that never happened," Edward Yardeni, president and chief investment strategist at Yardeni Research, says that the economy is now moving forward without much recession worry, buoyed by consumer spending — especially from Baby Boomers — and rate cuts from the Federal Reserve that he considered mostly unnecessary. Yardeni sees the economy going through another "Roaring 20s" period, and while the one a century ago ended in the Great Depression, he does think that outcome is not inevitable provided the government can keep debt and deficit levels under control while riding out the benefits of the "Digital Revolution" that includes all of the excitement around artificial intelligence and technology. Kendall Dilley, portfolio manager at Vineyard Global Advisors says the market's technicals are showing all green lights for a continuing bull market, and investors should lean in and treat downturns as buying opportunities. Dilley makes a case for the Standard & Poor's 500 to reach 7,500, getting as high as 6,400 by year's end, with only "normal pullbacks" on the road to that higher level. Plus, we revisit a recent conversation with Axel Merk, president and chief investment officer at Merk Investments — manager of the ASA Gold and Precious Metals — on why gold has worked better as a geo-political hedge than as a buffer against inflation.
In this episode of Financial Detox, host Jason Labrum and co-host Alex Klingensmith are joined by Bob Long, CEO of StepStone Private Wealth, for an insightful conversation on the role of alternative investments in today's unpredictable markets. They discuss the value of diversifying portfolios with private equity, private credit, and infrastructure, especially as traditional markets face increased volatility. Bob highlights the unique advantages of private investments, such as their potential for higher returns and enhanced diversification, making them a powerful tool for high-net-worth investors. The conversation also covers the evolution of Evergreen Funds, which give individual investors access to institutional-level opportunities without the usual complexities of private markets. Beyond finance, Bob shares his philanthropic work with Gift of Adoption and emphasizes the importance of meaningful giving. The episode concludes with key advice on partnering with fiduciary advisors to navigate complex financial landscapes and make sound investment decisions. Bob Long's Wife's Family Farm: https://www.tryonmountainfarms.com/shop Tune in for a conversation that blends personal stories with professional insights, designed to help you avoid toxic financial advice and achieve true financial peace of mind. More on Jason Labrum https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasonlabrum/ and Alex Klingensmith https://www.linkedin.com/in/alex-klingensmith-cfp%C2%AE-94986b7/ ______________________________ More on Financial Detox: Website: https://www.idawealth.com/financial-detox/ Buy the Book: https://www.amazon.com/Financial-Detox-Achieve-Independence-Maximum-ebook/dp/B0795B2WX4/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr= _____________________________ More on IDA Wealth: Website: https://www.idawealth.com/ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/idawealth/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/idawealth/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/IntelligenceDrivenAdvisers #markets #business #stockmarket #investment #money #news #politics #finance #financialplanning #financial detox ___________________________ Disclosure The Financial Detox podcast is provided by Intelligence Driven Advisers, LLC (“IDA”), an SEC registered Investment Adviser; however, such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Any references to SEC registration are not an endorsement or indication of approval by the SEC. The information presented in this podcast is intended for general informational purposes only and should not be construed as specific tax, legal or investment advice. Participants are strongly encouraged to consult with their personal advisers regarding their specific financial and tax situation. Investing involves risk and there is always the potential for loss. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided reflects IDA's views as of a particular time. Such views along with tax laws and regulations are subject to change at any point and IDA shall not be obligated to provide notice of any change. IDA makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented in this podcast. The firm disclaims any liability for errors or omissions in the information or for any actions taken in reliance on the information provided herein. The S&P 500, or Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index that measures the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. These companies are selected based on their market capitalization, liquidity, and industry representation, making the index a broad indicator of the overall U.S. stock market and economy. The S&P 500 is widely regarded as a benchmark for the performance of the U.S. equity market, and it includes companies from a variety of industries, such as technology, healthcare, financial services, and consumer goods. The index is weighted by market capitalization, meaning that companies with larger market values have a greater impact on the index's overall performance. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sp500.asp
Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute discusses the firm's research looking at whether campaign promises have translated into long-term outperformance for sectors that were likely to benefit from proposed policies, and while there were positive gains in the immediate aftermath of elections, many sectors underperformed the Standard & Poor's 500 Index over the following four years. As a result, Christopher suggests caution for anyone expecting president-elect Trump's "Drill baby drill" plan to turn into oversized oil-industry gains once he takes office. Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, turns to regional banks for his ETF of the Week, noting that while they have been up sharply since election day, there is reason to expect that this rally has legs. Plus, we have tow interviews conducted at the Active Investment Company Alliance's Fall Roundtable in New York on Nov. 13, where Chuck talked with individual investor Jim Cohen and then discussed gold and how it performs in an economy with falling interest rates but higher inflation with Axel Merk of Merk Investments and the ASA Gold and Precious Metals fund.
Routes, lignes électriques, écoles ou centres de santé, l'Afrique a besoin d'investissements privés. En 2023, les investissements directs étrangers étaient stables sur le continent – tandis qu'ils dégringolaient dans d'autres régions du monde – atteignant environ 48 milliards de dollars selon la Conférence des Nations unies sur le commerce et le développement (Cnuced). Si les statistiques ne sont donc pas encore au rendez-vous des besoins, des signaux semblent pourtant au vert. Un regain d'intérêt des investisseurs vers le continent paraît se confirmer. L'agence de notation Standard & Poor's a récemment relevé la note de la Côte d'Ivoire à BB. Un signal pour Stanislas Zézé, à la tête de l'agence de notation africaine Bloomfield, que l'évaluation du risque sur le continent est en train d'évoluer. « La raison pour laquelle les gens avaient du mal à venir ou étaient un peu sceptiques, c'était à cause de comment ils évaluaient le risque, pas le risque réel, mais la perception des risques qu'ils avaient. Et cette perception évolue de façon significative », analyse ce spécialiste de la finance.Pour lui, d'autres facteurs interviennent. « Il y a un potentiel extraordinaire parce qu'il y a tout à faire ici. Donc, évidemment, le développement est de plus en plus rapide, les taux de croissance sont parmi les plus élevés au monde et le risque est mieux maîtrisé aujourd'hui parce que mieux compris. En termes même de remboursement, les Africains ne sont pas les moins crédibles. C'est tout ça qui crée une vraie dynamique d'investissements sur le continent », ajoute-t-il.À lire aussiS&P rehausse la note de la dette publique de la Côte d'Ivoire à «BB»Donner de bons signaux aux investisseursAutre événement, la levée de fonds d'Ecobank sur le London Stock Exchange. Ce n'était pas arrivé pour une banque africaine depuis 2021. Les marchés ont ainsi investi 400 millions de dollars. Proparco, filiale de l'Agence française de développement, s'était positionnée comme référent sur cette opération. « Comme ces marchés financiers étaient attentistes et un peu fermés, il a été convenu qu'il faudrait que des investisseurs anchor, c'est-à-dire des investisseurs de référence qui travaillent depuis très longtemps avec elle — donc qui connaissent bien la banque, qui apprécie son impact et sa solidité —, que ses investisseurs puissent envoyer un peu un signal aux marchés en avance pour dire : nous, on a confiance dans cette banque », explique Emmanuel Haye, responsable du département institutions financières. Ce qu'a donc fait Proparco et d'autres partenaires. « Très vite, on a pu annoncer qu'on allait investir 20 millions de dollars aux côtés d'autres investisseurs anchor, et donc ça, ça a permis certainement que les investisseurs trouvent cette opération intéressante et qu'ils y souscrivent », ajoute encore Emmanuel Haye.Pour Stanislas Zézé, il ne fait aucun doute, investir en Afrique est rentable. « Si vous regardez les 400 millions de dollars qui ont été empruntés par Ecobank, c'est à 10%. Je ne sais pas où en Europe vous ferez de l'investissement avec un retour à 10%, insiste-t-il. Ça m'étonnerait. Donc évidemment, le continent devient de plus en plus attractif. »À lire aussiLes projections économiques concernant l'Afrique subsaharienne revues à la baisseInstallation prochaine de J.P. MorganDes investisseurs étrangers, dont l'une des têtes de pont, J.P. Morgan, vient d'annoncer vouloir s'installer prochainement en Côte d'Ivoire et au Kenya. « Ce qu'on voit aujourd'hui, c'est en effet avec la baisse des taux, le retour des États souverains sur les marchés internationaux, et c'est ça que vient cibler J.P. Morgan, qui va arranger la levée de ressources pour ces États souverains ou les très grandes entreprises », confirme Emmanuelle Haye.Parmi les opérations remarquées cette année et qui semblent confirmer le regain d'intérêt des investisseurs pour le continent, le retour de la Côte d'Ivoire et du Bénin sur les marchés internationaux.
Jeff Krumpelman, chief investment strategist at Mariner Wealth Advisors, expects the Standard & Poor's 500 should hit 6,000 by mid-2025, but he acknowledges that those gains might surprise him by coming early, turning 2024 potentially into a "super year," which would turn 2025 into a less-stellar environment. Either way, he expects the market to take a brief breather before a potential rebound for the end of the year carrying the market into the new year. Matt Zajechowski, research analyst at Northstar Inbound, discusses a survey the group did for JeffBet on the most expensive concerts in terms of ticket price per minutes the act typically plays. Chuck answers a listener's question following up on a recent interview that looked at certificates of deposit rates and how investors might play CDs now that rate-cutting has started, and Paige Henderson, senior portfolio manager on the Resilient Global Equity team at Allspring Global Investments, talks about playing defense now, before the market makes conditions more tenuous.
Welcome to a special episode celebrating 15 years of IDA Wealth!
David Trainer, founder and president at New Constructs — who put Nvidia stock in "The Danger Zone ahead of its earnings report at the end of August, just before the stock cratered — says that the market and economic conditions are changing and lower liquidity and a slowing economy "is a recipe for a major correction in a lot of individual stocks," and that companies with misleading earnings are particularly likely to be punished. That's why he put Dayforce in the Danger Zone, because it has "the most overstated earnings" in the Standard & Poor's 500. Trainer also reiterates his call on Nvidia, noting that despite the stock's recent drop, it has a lot more room to fall. John Cole Scott, president of Closed-End Fund Advisors discusses how investors in closed-funds trading at premiums can use sector-swapping to turbocharge their gains, selling funds trading at premiums to buy similar funds currently at discounts, and provides examples of how this would pay off now. Andrew Leigh, author of “How Economics Explains the World: A Short History of Humanity,” discusses how almost everything — from climate change to the instrument a child plays — is impacted by economics and how economics can therefore be used for better decision-making. And in the Market Call, George Young, co-manager of the Villere Balanced and Villere Equity funds, talks about having the patience to let long-term plays on smaller companies pay off.
Julius de Kempenaer, senior technical analyst at StockCharts, says that money is rotating out of technology and "into pretty much every other sector," which means that participation in the current bull run is broadening out. Still, he says, there is a question of whether the upswing can continue if tech isn't participating. As a result, deKempenaer sees the market trading close to current resistance levels, and he worries there is more potential for the Standard & Poor's 500 to drop to 5,550. If that support level fails, de Kempenaer sees 5,120 -- a much steeper drop -- happening quickly. Alaina Anderson, co-portfolio manager of the William Blair International Leaders Fund, says that investors may find better opportunities and stability investing overseas, where valuations are particularly compelling. Shannon Martin, analyst at Bankrate.com, discusses her study on the hidden costs of car ownership, which showed that the average hidden expenses of owning a gas-powered vehicle in America add up to nearly $7,000 annually, and John Cole Scott, president of Closed-End Fund Advisors — the chairman of the Active Investment Company Alliance — discusses how corporate actions in closed-end funds — tender offers, liquidations and transitions to open-end funds, rights offerings and big changes in dividend policy — historically play out and how investors can use those historic results as a guide on how to act if they see those actions in the funds they own.
Michael Kelly, global head of multi-asset at PineBridge Investments, says that the stock market had priced in a soft landing before the recent, temporary spike in volatility, but that action made investors realize that the potential for a hard landing is on the rise, even with Federal Reserve rate cuts on the way. Either way, Kelly says the long-term trend for the market will be positive, but he cautions that where markets go up during soft landings, investors get punished by hard landings until the bottom is reached, so he suggested caution while watching the Fed try to pull off a perfect landing. Also cautious -- but based on the market's technicals, was Lawrence McMillan, president of McMillan Analysis, who said the early August blip was nothing more than a temporary move, what will ultimately be a forgettable day and he thinks the market is more likely to test resistance at roughly 5,700 on the Standard & Poor's 500 before it tests support, which he figures is roughly 5,380. Jonathan Lansner, financial columnist for the Orange County Register turns to the ways that Wall Street resolved and evolved after the ruling that allowed discount brokers as a possible guide for how real estate firms will adapt to rule changes aimed at re-shaping the landscape and process for home sales.
Welcome to Financial Detox with your hosts, Jason Labrum and Alex Klingensmith. In this episode, we dive deep into the current financial landscape, discussing the importance of detoxifying your financial life and managing your wealth for maximum impact. From understanding market volatility and the fragility of global markets to the intricacies of the Japan carry trade, we cover it all. We also explore the effects of geopolitical turmoil, such as the potential implications of rising interest rates in Japan and the ongoing tensions between China, Iran, and the US. Learn why staying the course and avoiding panic during turbulent times is crucial for long-term financial success. Join us as we delve into: • Market volatility and its implications • The importance of being financially detoxified • Analyzing global market trends and investor sentiment • Strategies for managing wealth in uncertain times Source: https://www.ftportfolios.com/Retail/Commentary/CommentaryArchiveList.aspx?CommentaryTypeCode=CRKINVT&CommentaryCategoryCode=INSIGHTS_COMMENTARY More on Jason Labrum https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasonlabrum/ and Alex Klingensmith https://www.linkedin.com/in/alex-klingensmith-cfp%C2%AE-94986b7/ ______________________________ More on Financial Detox: Website: https://www.idawealth.com/financial-detox/ Buy the Book: https://www.amazon.com/Financial-Detox-Achieve-Independence-Maximum-ebook/dp/B0795B2WX4/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr= _____________________________ More on IDA Wealth: Website: https://www.idawealth.com/ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/idawealth/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/idawealth/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/IntelligenceDrivenAdvisers #markets #business #stockmarket #investment #money #news #politics #finance #financialplanning ___________________________ Disclosure The Financial Detox podcast is provided by Intelligence Driven Advisers, LLC (“IDA”), an SEC registered Investment Adviser; however, such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Any references to SEC registration are not an endorsement or indication of approval by the SEC. The information presented in this podcast is intended for general informational purposes only and should not be construed as specific tax, legal or investment advice. Participants are strongly encouraged to consult with their personal advisers regarding their specific financial and tax situation. Investing involves risk and there is always the potential for loss. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Information provided reflects IDA's views as of a particular time. Such views along with tax laws and regulations are subject to change at any point and IDA shall not be obligated to provide notice of any change. IDA makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented in this podcast. The firm disclaims any liability for errors or omissions in the information or for any actions taken in reliance on the information provided herein. The S&P 500, or Standard & Poor's 500, is a stock market index that measures the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. These companies are selected based on their market capitalization, liquidity, and industry representation, making the index a broad indicator of the overall U.S. stock market and economy. The S&P 500 is widely regarded as a benchmark for the performance of the U.S. equity market, and it includes companies from a variety of industries, such as technology, healthcare, financial services, and consumer goods. The index is weighted by market capitalization, meaning that companies with larger market values have a greater impact on the index's overall performance. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sp500.asp
Marty Fridson, chief investment officer at Lehmann Livian Fridson Advisors, says that while politics dominates the news, it shouldn't be creeping into investors' portfolio moves, as available research shows that market results have proven to be better by riding the market regardless of the party that holds the White House than by trying to strategize around the results of a vote. Fridson also discusses how the current rally in artificial intelligence is reminiscent of the Internet Bubble Days, in that a lot of companies are now benefitting from the market's perception that all AI is good, but that it will soon figure out that many companies getting a boost from the trend aren't the true beneficiaries from it. Ming Jong Tey, principal trainer at Trade Precise, says the market is at an inflection point, moving away from the Standard & Poor's 500 and the Nasdaq 100 into the small-cap space, and he sees the Russell 2000 currently on a run that shoul;d push it to where it soon challenges previous record highs. Plus Sarah Holden discusses research from the Investment Company Institute on how fund fees have dropped dramatically over the last 20 years, and how as a result of fee shrinkage. In the Market Call, Howard Chan of Kurv Investment Management — which last week opened the new Kurv Technology Titans Select ETF — talks about using options strategy to benefit from sideways markets and avoid pain during big downturns.
Zach Jonson, chief investment officer at Stack Financial Management, says that while the stock market has been moving to record highs, "it wasn't healthy." He says that market valuations are overblown, with concentration in the index being more of a concern than at any time in history, which means that current conditions are lining up with some rare time periods, most notably the tech bubble days of the late 1990s, which ended turning ugly when the bubble burst. That's in contrast with the view from Eric Wallerstein, chief markets strategist at Yardeni Research, who says the Dow Jones Industrial Average will reach 60,000 and the Standard & Poor's 500 will hit 8,000 before the end of the current decade, and while that run could end up ugly at that point, any downturns in the interim are buying opportunities. Plus, John Cole Scott, president of Closed-End Fund Advisors — chairman of the Active Investment Company Alliance — provides an update on what's happened with closed-end funds through the first half of 2024, and Jaime Dunaway-Seale discusses Clever Real Estate's Gen Z Home Buyer Report, which showed that 60 percent of the generation just entering the workforces thinks they will never own a home.
Dec Mullarkey, head of investment strategy and asset allocation for SLC Investments, says investors are "pretty risk-on," meaning they expect the economy is headed to an environment where rates will settle down at reasonable levels and consumers will keep spending, creating a sound environment for investors. That extends to Europe and some international markets, which will help balance a portfolio that may be impacted by a downturn late in the year, but Mullarkey says any downturn is likely to be a buying opportunity because current conditions can't keep the market down for long. That general market optimism through volatility and a correction is shared by Michele Schneider, director of trading education at MarketGauge.com, who expects heightened volatility but who sees the market likely being higher at the end of the year, with 6,000 — up about 8 percent from current levels on the Standard & Poor's 500 — being a level the market will challenge. Plus, Jonathan Smucker, portfolio manager at Marietta Investment Partners talks stocks in the Money Life Market Call.
Jason Akus, Senior Investment Director and Head of Healthcare Investing at abrdn and manager of the firm's four closed-end funds covering biotech and healthcare, says that the stock market appears to be broadening out and that healthcare and biotech are both likely to be beneficiaries. Healthcare stocks have generally lagged the stock market since the start of 2023, but with the Standard & Poor's Health Care index up 11 percent in 2024 — respectable but still trailing the broader S&P 500 by about seven percentage points — there are strong signs of recovery. As the catch-up trade materializes, Akus believes there will be no shortage of potential opportunities ready to benefit even if the economy begins to slow.
D.R. Barton Jr., Director of Market Research at the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, says the longest cycles suggest that the market is topping out now, but 'near-term overbought doesn't bother me right now.' He is expecting more upside into the election and carrying into 2025 before any downturn is more dramatic than a simple buying opportunity. He says that he doesn't expect much downside risk until or unless the Standard & Poor's 500 falls below the 5,300 level; meanwhile the market is telling him that money keeps flowing in and can sustain the rally longer. John Cole Scott, president of Closed-End Fund Advisors, returns from a recent industry conference that was focused on business-development companies and he gives his takeaways from the event, including how BDCs compare to private credits, how the market is changing and how some money managers are using artificial intelligence to get better information on the market trends that should help them pick better investments or to have better timing on the trades they make and more. Plus, Julie Guntrip, head of financial wellness at Jenius Bank, explores 'The Mind-Money Connection,' a study that looks at how managing money can make you happier or more stressed out. In the Market Call, Lance Cannon, portfolio manager at Hood River Capital Management, returns to discuss growth-centered small-cap investing.
Tras el anuncio del presidente Emmanuel Macron de convocar elecciones legislativas anticipadas, Francia se sumergió en un terremoto político de alianzas en sus alas de izquierda y derecha, un terremoto que también salpicó la economía y puso temerosos a los mercados. La Bolsa de París cerró a la baja este lunes y martes e incluso la agencia de calificación Moody's advirtió que dichos comicios anticipados son negativos para la calificación de la deuda del país.“Contexto de relativa fragilización de la economía francesa”El profesor de Economía de la Universidad Sorbonne Nouvelle, Carlos Kenan, explica el impacto de esta incertidumbre política: “Estos resultados abren una etapa de incertidumbres diversas, sobre el resultado electoral, estrategias de quienes puedan ser los ganadores... Ya hay una recomposición ministerial que va a producirse de cualquier forma. Entonces, la incertidumbre genera indudablemente inquietud y esto se expresa en las bolsas, se expresa en la evolución de las primas de riesgo, de las obligaciones del Estado francés”.Además, “esto interviene y me parece muy importante subrayarlo, en un contexto de relativa fragilización de la economía francesa en este plano. La economía francesa se caracteriza por, efectivamente, haber dominado bastante bien la problemática de la inflación, del shock inflacionario que se produjo fundamentalmente a partir de 2022, pero sigue estando caracterizada como la mayor parte de los países europeos por un crecimiento muy mediocre, muy pobre, a diferencia de Estados Unidos, que se ha dinamizado en los últimos tiempos bastante bien”, recalca Kenan.Mayor representación de la extrema derechaEl analista indica que los temores económicos son normales ante el panorama actual de Francia, pero que a ello se suma la posibilidad de una mayor representación de la extrema derecha tras las elecciones.“No hay señales muy claras sobre las orientaciones económicas de Rassemblement National [Agrupación Nacional], la principal fuerza beneficiaria de los resultados de las elecciones europeas de este último fin de semana. Está claro su planteamiento en relación a la seguridad. Parece claro también un planteamiento de endurecimiento desde la política en materia de migración. Pero en el plano económico, algunos señalan que han tenido posicionamientos facilistas o demagógicos que podrían ser efectivamente fuente de inquietud para los mercados. No está claro, en otras palabras, lo que se haría en el marco de la gestión del déficit público de la deuda pública”, comenta.Recordemos que a inicios de junio, la calificadora financiera Standard & Poor's rebajó por primera vez desde 2013 la nota de la deuda soberana de Francia de AA a AA-, luego de la publicación del déficit público francés, que para 2023 se situó en 5,5% del PIB en lugar del 4,9% esperado.
In today's episode, Nathan is joined by S&P Global Ratings' Chief Innovation Officer Sudeep Kesh who addresses Nathan's general skeptisim towards artificial intelligence, and discusses the ways in AI could impact the greater world. Sudeep Kesh: Check out Sudeep's new podcast "Artificial intelligence Insights" on Apple Podcasts or Spotify More S&P Global Content: The Daily Update Look Forward Credits: Host/Author: Nathan Hunt Producer/Editor: Patrick Moroney Published With Assistance From: Kyle May, Kurt Burger, Camille McManus www.spglobal.com Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC or its affiliates (collectively, S&P) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or timeliness of any content, including ratings, analyses or data and are not responsible for errors and omissions, or for the results obtained from the use of such content. S&P disclaims any and all express or implied warranties. S&P's analyses, including ratings, are not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities, and should not be relied on when making investment or other business decision. S&P obtains information from sources it believes to be reliable, but does not audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent verification of information it receives. S&P's opinions and analyses do not address the suitability of any security. Please read our full disclaimer on spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/content/legal-disclaimer
Alan McKnight, chief investment officer at Regions Asset Management, sees storm clouds on the horizon for the market and the economy, but his outlook remains benign, suggesting that a well-diversified portfolio will withstand heightened volatility for the remainder over the year. He says we have experienced a muted, rolling downturn and doesn't see a full-blown recession happening. By comparison, Avi Gilburt, founder of the Elliott Wave Trader, entered the year calling for the market to reach record highs no later than the second quarter — which it has — but then to turn into the start of a full-blown bear market that will last years and bring the Standard & Poor's 500 down by well over 50 percent. Gilburt says that the market remains on track for that. In the middle of that kind of disagreement, it's hard for investors to know what to do, and Andy Reed, head of investor behavior research at Vanguard, discusses research into certain biases that are leading most investors to make mistakes that result in diminished gains and missed opportunities.
Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at the Carson Group, notes that the economic news and growth remain so strong that "the odds of recession are quite low."Detrick notes that 10 of 11 sectors in the Standard & Poor's 500 are higher year-to-date, which is why his firm is overweight in equities generally, and has been adding to financials and industrials in particular. Detrick says there are several disconnects between hard and soft data -- soft data shows low consumer confidence but hard data shows strong retail sales -- and he is trusting the hard data to see the economy continue to broaden out for the remainder of the year. Also on the show, Chuck explains how the new securities settlement standard of "T+1" will affect individual investors, and while he explains that the changes are minimal and won't be noticed by a lot of everyday investors, he also lays out that virtually every stock, bond and ETF trade moving forward will be impacted by the new rules. Plus, in the Market Call, long-time CNBC contributor Ron Insana, the chief executive officer at iFi AI, showcases his platform's technology, which brings together artificial intelligence and stock market data to decide which securities are likely to go on big runs in the next week, month and year.
Crit Thomas, global market strategist at Touchstone Investments, says that a no-landing situation for the economy will create problems for the Federal Reserve when it comes to hitting inflation targets, and for consumers who are renting, buying cars and more. Thomas noted that the current two-speed economy features a large group of consumers and businesses that have been less interest-rate sensitive and who have benefitted from current conditions, while a smaller group is struggling with high rates, as shown by higher delinquency rates and trouble signs. Thomas says that if the Fed can't get inflation down, the central banker will probably continue its course "until they break something." Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi, makes a fund tied to the Standard & Poor's 500 — layered with a covered-call strategy to generate income — his pick for ETF of the Week, and Loreen Gilbert, chief executive officer at WealthWise Financial Services, talks stocks during her maiden voyage in the Market Call.
Brian Levitt, global market strategist at Invesco, says that the years after peak inflation and peak tightening tend to be good for markets, and he expects that to continue with a market and economy that he thinks can avoid big downturns. Levitt says the economy never got the recession many people expected because the economy didn't have a lot of excesses to create bubbles or big issues, but also because trouble came in spots, rolling into one area without taking over the whole landscape. As a result, Levitt's major guideposts for recession haven't been flashing warning signs, though he acknowledges that the next six months will likely rise and fall almost entirely based on the actions of the Federal Reserve and how the market responds to them. Jeff Krumpelman, chief investment strategist at Mariner Wealth Advisors, says he expects the market to recapture the record highs it was at earlier this year, with a year-end target of 5400 for the Standard & Poor's 500. Plus Ken Laudan, portfolio manager, Buffalo Large Cap Growth Fund discusses innovative, high-quality, durable large-cap growth companies in the Market Call.
Willie Delwiche, investment strategist at Hi Mount Research, says the bullish sentiment and investor optimism should lift the commodities market and help the market rally keep rolling, though he says investors should be worried that conditions are taking a turn for the worse when more stocks are making new lows rather than new highs or the Standard & Poor's 500 falls below its long-term average. He says the Federal Reserve may decide not to cut rates until those conditions appear, noting that the central bank won't want to act earlier than conditions force it to. Also on the show, Howard Dvorkin, chief executive at Debt.com, goes Off The News discussing how Fed data showing higher delinquency rates and rising charge-off data are supported at the grass-roots consumer level, noting his site's most recent credit-card survey, which showed that more than one-third of Americans have maxed out their credit cards in recent years as inflation and interest rates were rising. Cassandra Happe, analyst at WalletHub.com, on the site's survey showing that consumers say they are fed up paying credit-card transaction fees, though they are not taking many steps to actually avoid them. Plus Chuck answers two listener questions on subjects that the writers think are political but where Chuck thinks the answers should be focused on process and math.
Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank says 2024 will end up as "a pretty good year for the economy," with the soft nearly in place as the Fed starts to cut rates in the summer. He notes that worries about an interest-rate shock or an energy-price shock -- the big two drivers of recession -- are not exceptionally high right now and any raised concerns in those areas have enough offsets for the U.S. economy to remain the world's best while global turmoil and economic uncertainty plays out. Nick Pisano discusses a Clever Real Estate survey showing that nearly three-quarters of all Americans report having an overspending problem. David Trainer of New Constructs puts SNAP Inc. back into The Danger Zone, noting the stock probably won't be out of trouble until the stock reaches zero, and Jay Hatfield, chief executive officer at Infrastructure Capital Advisors forecasts that the Standard & Poor's 500 will hit 5,750 or higher as part of the macro outlook he uses to inform his stock picking in the Market Call.