Podcasts about correlation

In this episode of Travis Makes Money, Travis and producer Eric dive into a timely discussion about leadership, public perception, and the way we judge people based on past decisions. Using the controversy surrounding reality TV star and mayoral candidate Spencer Pratt as a jumping-off point, they explore whether personal financial mistakes, media narratives, and decades-old decisions should influence how we evaluate someone's ability to lead. The conversation touches on accountability, political messaging, media influence, and the importance of looking beyond surface-level headlines. On this episode we talk about: Whether personal financial decisions predict leadership ability The difference between managing personal money and public budgets How media narratives shape public opinion during elections Why people shouldn't be permanently judged by mistakes they made in their early twenties Critical thinking when evaluating political candidates and public figures Top 3 Takeaways Personal mistakes don't always predict future performance. People can learn, grow, and develop expertise from the very failures that once defined them. Correlation isn't causation. Spending personal money irresponsibly at age twenty-two isn't necessarily evidence that someone can't effectively manage an organization or public institution later in life. Media narratives often oversimplify complex issues. It's important to evaluate claims, data, and political talking points critically rather than accepting headlines at face value. Notable Quotes "I don't think anybody wants people judging us for the decisions we made when we were twenty-two." "A lot of times that inception point can be the thing that made them go fix it and learn how to manage money better." "The opportunities come from the relationships. Opportunities are given by people." Connect with Travis Chappell: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/travischappell Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/travischappell Other: https://travischappell.com A Word from Our Sponsors: Today's episode is brought to you by our incredible sponsors. Their support allows us to continue delivering thought-provoking conversations on entrepreneurship, investing, personal development, and wealth creation. Be sure to check out the offers mentioned during the show and support the brands that support the podcast. - Are you ready to start your own creatorjourney and make it big? Visitwww.fanvue.com today and launch yourcareer! - To learn more about Mode Mobile and its investor community, go to https://invest.modemobile.com/travismakesmoney -Travis Makes Money is made possible by High Level – the All-In-One Sales & Marketing Platform built for agencies, by an agency.Capture leads, nurture them, and close more deals—all from one powerful platform.Get an extended free trial at gohighlevel.com/travis Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Murdoch Children's Research Institute centre for adolescent help director Professor Susan Sawyer told 3AW Breakfast hosts Ross and Russel that families played an important part in regulating social media use for teenagers.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episode: 2603 Correlation and Risk: When more egg baskets don't help.  Today, eggs and baskets.

Your brain is wired to find patterns. That's mostly a good thing... until it's not. This episode breaks down illusory correlation: why your team sees connections that aren't there, and what you can do to stop making decisions based on a handful of vivid moments dressed up as a trend.Have you ever watched your team make a confident product decision based on a pattern that, when you actually look at the data, barely exists?Illusory correlation is the bias that turns coincidence into conviction. When two things happen close together -- even just once or twice -- our brains quietly file them as connected. The concept was first identified by psychologist Loren J. Chapman in 1967, who noticed that trained clinical professionals were reporting patient behavior patterns that statistically didn't exist. The problem isn't laziness or bad intent. It's just how human memory works. Rare or distinctive events get stored differently, and when two unusual things co-occur, the brain treats that pairing as meaningful -- even when it's pure chance.In product and design work, this plays out constantly and in ways that feel completely legitimate. A feature ships and traffic ticks up the next day, so the launch gets the credit -- even though a competitor was down and marketing ran a campaign. Six user interviews produce two mentions of a feature, and suddenly that feature defines the whole persona. A few support tickets from one customer segment, and that segment becomes "a tough audience." The misses get forgotten. The hits stack up. And the team ends up navigating by a pattern that was never really there. This episode breaks down how illusory correlation sneaks into your metrics, your research, and your team dynamics -- and gives you a few concrete habits to start catching it before it shapes your roadmap. Give it a listen.Topics:• 02:20 – Personal story: the engineering lead I had all wrong• 04:29 – What is illusory correlation?• 04:46 – The origin: Chapman's 1967 research• 06:19 – Hamilton & Gifford: how the bias distorts how we see groups• 07:10 – Kahneman & Tversky: why illusory correlations stick• 07:50 – How it shows up in your product metrics• 08:23 – The A/B testing problem• 09:00 – How it distorts how teams think about people and segments• 09:26 – How it corrupts user research• 09:50 – Engineering superstitions and team dynamics• 10:27 – Why more data isn't always the fix• 11:00 – Five habits to fight illusory correlation—Thanks for listening! We hope you dug today's episode. If you liked what you heard, be sure to like and subscribe wherever you listen to podcasts! And if you really enjoyed today's episode, why don't you leave a five-star review? Or tell some friends! It will help us out a ton.If you haven't already, sign up for our email list. We won't spam you. Pinky swear.• ⁠⁠⁠⁠Get a FREE audiobook AND support the show⁠⁠⁠⁠• ⁠⁠⁠⁠Support the show on Patreon⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠• ⁠⁠⁠⁠Check out show transcripts⁠⁠⁠⁠• ⁠⁠⁠⁠Check out our website⁠⁠⁠⁠• ⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe on Apple Podcasts⁠⁠⁠⁠• ⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠• ⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe on YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠• ⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe on Stitcher⁠

What if the same brain states people spend years chasing through psychedelics could be accessed through meditation alone, and in as little as seven days? In this fascinating solo episode, Darin Olien explores groundbreaking new research from University of California San Diego, Harvard University, Massachusetts General Hospital, and University of Montreal suggesting that meditation may produce brain patterns remarkably similar to those observed during psychedelic experiences. From the suppression of the default mode network and increases in neural complexity to neuroplasticity, endogenous opioids, and measurable biological changes in the bloodstream, Darin unpacks the science behind one of the most powerful, and completely free tools available to human beings. He also walks listeners through a practical seven-day protocol combining focused-attention meditation, Vipassana, breathwork, walking meditation, and loving-kindness practices designed to help cultivate greater awareness, emotional resilience, cognitive flexibility, and inner peace. What You'll Learn The groundbreaking UC San Diego meditation study and its surprising findings Why meditation may create brain states similar to psilocybin What the default mode network is and how it shapes everyday thinking How meditation may reduce rumination, anxiety, and self-referential thought The concept of brain criticality and cognitive flexibility Why post-meditation blood samples stimulated neuronal growth How meditation influences neuroplasticity and whole-body biology The differences between Samatha and Vipassana meditation What advanced monks are teaching scientists about consciousness The limitations and caveats of current meditation research A practical seven-day meditation protocol anyone can begin Why meditation may be one of the most powerful health interventions available today Chapters 00:00:03 – Welcome to SuperLife 00:00:33 – Sponsor: Alkemis and the hidden toxicity of indoor air 00:00:57 – Conventional paints, petrochemicals, and endocrine disruptors 00:01:24 – Why VOCs and PFAS may be affecting your home environment 00:01:55 – Fire-resistant mineral paints and healthier living spaces 00:02:27 – Cradle to Cradle certification and sustainable design 00:03:23 – The meditation study Darin can't stop thinking about 00:03:33 – Scanning the brains and blood of meditators 00:03:44 – Brain activity resembling psilocybin experiences 00:04:09 – The promise of a seven-day meditation protocol 00:04:22 – Psychedelics, consciousness, and dissolving the sense of self 00:04:47 – Ancient practices and modern scientific validation 00:05:23 – Why meditation research is entering a renaissance 00:05:41 – Harvard, Massachusetts General Hospital, and advanced consciousness mapping 00:06:00 – University of Montreal's study of monks with 15,000+ hours of practice 00:06:16 – Why psychedelics and meditation are converging scientifically 00:06:37 – What listeners will learn in today's episode 00:06:54 – Breaking down the UC San Diego retreat study 00:07:18 – Thirty-three hours of meditation, breathwork, and group practice 00:07:42 – EEG scans, blood draws, and laboratory neuron testing 00:08:05 – Reduced activity in the default mode network 00:08:24 – The science of mental chatter and rumination 00:08:50 – Blood plasma stimulating new neuronal growth 00:09:02 – Neuroplasticity and new neural connections 00:09:29 – Increased cellular metabolism and endogenous opioids 00:10:13 – Samatha vs Vipassana meditation explained 00:10:42 – How different meditation styles reshape the brain 00:10:50 – Harvard's advanced meditation consciousness studies 00:11:18 – Mapping concentration states and consciousness cessation 00:11:46 – Ancient contemplative traditions meeting modern neuroscience 00:11:50 – Important limitations of the research 00:12:05 – Why advanced monks aren't average practitioners 00:12:20 – Correlation versus causation in psychedelic comparisons 00:12:48 – What may actually be happening inside the brain 00:13:03 – Understanding the default mode network 00:13:26 – Anxiety, depression, addiction, and overactive self-talk 00:13:53 – Why meditation and psilocybin share common neurological effects 00:14:10 – Beginner studies showing measurable brain changes 00:14:28 – Brain criticality and cognitive adaptability 00:14:48 – The most surprising finding: meditation changes the blood 00:15:05 – Meditation as a whole-body signaling event 00:15:18 – Better sleep, digestion, hormone balance, and recovery 00:15:39 – Neuroplasticity, immune function, metabolism, and pain regulation 00:15:56 – Why meditation may be the ultimate free medicine 00:16:10 – Introducing the seven-day meditation protocol 00:16:34 – Sponsor break: Alkemis Paint 00:19:02 – Building a research-backed at-home meditation practice 00:19:24 – Why consistency matters more than total hours 00:19:41 – Combining focused attention and open monitoring 00:19:53 – Days 1–3: Stabilizing attention 00:20:02 – Morning focused-attention meditation instructions 00:20:34 – Evening body scan practice 00:21:04 – Preparing the brain for deeper awareness 00:21:08 – Days 4–5: Opening awareness through Vipassana 00:21:31 – Letting thoughts, sensations, and sounds pass freely 00:21:39 – Evening box breathing for nervous system regulation 00:22:01 – Why days four and five often feel more challenging 00:22:11 – Days 6–7: Deepening and integrating the practice 00:22:27 – Walking meditation and embodied awareness 00:22:52 – Loving-kindness meditation and compassion training 00:23:02 – Vagal tone, heart rate regulation, and inflammation reduction 00:23:18 – Three rules that determine success 00:23:26 – Eliminating distractions and protecting attention 00:23:36 – Why you should never judge your meditation sessions 00:24:00 – Extending the practice beyond seven days 00:24:19 – Psychedelics, meditation, and the search for transformation 00:24:51 – What the medicine always teaches: sit with yourself 00:25:03 – The wellness industry's tendency to monetize stillness 00:25:20 – Why you don't need expensive tools to transform 00:25:36 – Meditation as radical self-reclamation 00:26:02 – Meeting yourself without distraction 00:26:17 – Final reflections and closing thoughts 00:26:29 – Outro and farewell Thank You to Our Sponsors Alkemis: Go to https://alkemispaint.com/ and use code DARIN10 for 10% off your order. Manna Vitality: Go to mannavitality.com/ and use code DARIN12 for 12% off your order. Join the SuperLife Patreon: This is where Darin now shares the deeper work: - weekly voice notes - ingredient trackers - wellness challenges - extended conversations - community accountability - sovereignty practices Join now for only $7.49/month at https://patreon.com/darinolien Find More from Darin Olien: Website: darinolien.com Instagram: @darinolien Book: Fatal Conveniences Platform & Products: superlife.com New Show: Roadmap to Happiness Key Takeaway "Perhaps one of the most profound discoveries emerging from modern neuroscience is that many of the states of awareness humans have sought through substances, rituals, and external interventions may already be available within us. Meditation is not simply a relaxation practice—it appears to be a biological, neurological, and consciousness-altering intervention capable of reshaping the brain, changing the body, and transforming how we experience reality. The question is not whether the door exists. The question is whether we are willing to sit still long enough to walk through it." Bibliography/Sources: Here is the fully formatted bibliography for the "Seven Days to a New Brain" episode. It is organized by category, formatted in strict APA Style (7th Edition), and includes a direct link for every single source : Primary Studies Brewer, J. A., Worhunsky, P. D., Gray, J. R., Tang, Y. Y., Weber, J., & Kober, H. (2011). Meditation experience is associated with differences in default mode network activity and connectivity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 108(50), 20254–20259 . https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1112029108 Lieberman, J. M., Rahrig, H., Britton, W. B., et al. (2025). Toward a neuroscience of consciousness using advanced meditation. Neuroscience & Biobehavioral Reviews . https://meditation.mgh.harvard.edu/files/Lieberman_25_NeuroscienceAndBiobehavioralReviews.pdf Pascarella, A., Jerbi, K., et al. (2026). Meditation induces shifts in neural oscillations, brain complexity, and critical dynamics: Novel insights from MEG. Neuroscience of Consciousness . https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41287816/ Patel, H., et al. (2025). Intensive meditation retreat induces rapid changes in brain activity, blood-based biomarkers, and neurotrophic signaling. Communications Biology . https://today.ucsd.edu/story/meditation-retreat-rapidly-reprograms-body-and-mind Shinozuka, K., et al. (2025). Neuroelectrophysiological correlates of extended cessation of consciousness in advanced meditation [Preprint]. bioRxiv . https://meditation.mgh.harvard.edu/files/Shinozuka_25_bioRxiv.pdf Van Lutterveld, R., et al. (2025). An intensively sampled electroencephalography case study of advanced concentration absorption meditation (jhana) [Preprint]. SSRN . https://meditation.mgh.harvard.edu/files/VanLutterveld_25_SSRN.pdf Supporting Press Coverage & Explainers Harvard Gazette. (2026, January). Your brain on advanced meditation . https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2026/01/your-brain-on-advanced-meditation/ Medical Xpress. (2026, February). Study of 12 monks finds meditation heightens brain activity, reshaping neural dynamics . https://medicalxpress.com/news/2026-02-monks-meditation-heightens-brain-reshaping.html PsyPost. (2026). Brain scans of Buddhist monks reveal how different meditation styles alter consciousness . https://www.psypost.org/brain-scans-of-buddhist-monks-reveal-how-different-meditation-styles-alter-consciousness/ ScienceDaily. (2026, April 6). Scientists say 7 days of meditation can rewire your brain . https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2026/04/260406192913.htm UC San Diego Today. (2026). Meditation retreat rapidly reprograms body and mind. UC San Diego News Center . https://today.ucsd.edu/story/meditation-retreat-rapidly-reprograms-body-and-mind Université de Montréal. (2026, January 5). Meditation doesn't rest the brain, it reshapes it. UdeMNouvelles . https://nouvelles.umontreal.ca/en/article/2026/01/05/meditation-doesn-t-rest-the-brain-it-reshapes-it  

On this episode of The Brian Crombie Hour, host Brian Crombie is joined by behavioral economist and author Sam Sivarajan for a deep dive into AI, investing, and one of the most important — and most misunderstood — ideas in decision-making: the difference between correlation and causation. The conversation explores why financial markets repeatedly fall into bubble cycles, and why even sophisticated investors can be misled by narratives that feel true but don't hold up under scrutiny. With artificial intelligence driving today's market excitement, the discussion asks whether similar patterns are emerging once again. Together, they break down how emotion, momentum, and fear of missing out can distort judgment, using examples from AI stocks and previous hype cycles across technology and consumer markets. The episode also examines broader questions about artificial intelligence, including whether current valuations reflect reality, how businesses are actually integrating AI, and what risks emerge when human judgment is increasingly outsourced to machines — a concept described as “cognitive surrender.” At its core, the conversation challenges listeners to reconsider how decisions are made in markets and in life: are we responding to real cause-and-effect relationships, or simply believing compelling stories reinforced by crowd behaviour? 

Commentary by Dr. Jian'an Wang.

Commentary by Dr. Jian'an Wang.

Rates are climbing, carriers are piling on surcharges, and peak season is arriving ahead of schedule. This week Lars Jensen runs the numbers on why the market is where it is and it has everything to do with the Red Sea and almost nothing to do with how consumers are feeling.In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver cover:Why Pacific and Asia-Europe spot rates continue their upward momentum and what the futures curve is signaling for peak season, including a sharp expected pullback as early as SeptemberThe statistical relationship between US consumer sentiment and container volumes: Lars ran the analysis and the correlation coefficient is 0.3. There effectively isn't one.Hormuz update: no deal, drone strikes on Kuwait, a suspected mine in Omani waters, and an MSC 18,000 TEU vessel that went dark for five days and reappeared off West AfricaHow CMA-CGM continues to quietly expand its Suez routing while every other carrier goes around AfricaChina PMI at exactly 50, and why the raw materials sub-index shooting above 60 post-Hormuz is the inflation signal worth watchingGlobal trade imbalances since 2019: full containers up 17%, fleet up 43%, TEU miles up 41% and empty container movements up 102%

What if there was literally a plastic spoon's worth of microplastics sitting inside your brain right now? In this jaw-dropping and deeply urgent solo episode, Darin Olien breaks down the newest science on microplastics, nanoplastics, brain accumulation, neuroinflammation, endocrine disruption, and the rapidly escalating contamination of the human body. Referencing groundbreaking new research published in Nature Medicine and newly launched U.S. government initiatives, Darin exposes how plastics are no longer just an environmental issue—they are now a human biology issue. From nanoplastics crossing the blood-brain barrier to endocrine-disrupting chemicals like BPA, PFAS, and phthalates accumulating in tissues, placentas, and testes, this episode explores the shocking implications of modern plastic exposure—and, more importantly, what practical steps you can take immediately to reduce your risk.     What You'll Learn The shocking new study finding microplastics in 100% of healthy human brains Why the average brain may now contain roughly a plastic spoon's worth of plastic How nanoplastics cross the blood-brain barrier The alarming connection between microplastics and dementia research Why plastics are not biologically inert substances The endocrine-disrupting chemicals hitchhiking on microplastics How bottled water, tea bags, coffee pods, and heated plastics dramatically increase exposure The role of PFAS, BPA, phthalates, and flame retardants in human health decline Why reverse osmosis filtration is one of the most effective protective tools Practical ways to reduce microplastic exposure immediately     Chapters 00:00:03 – Welcome to SuperLife 00:00:33 – Sponsor: Alkemis wellness paint and indoor air toxicity 00:00:57 – Conventional paints, endocrine disruptors, and off-gassing chemicals 00:01:24 – VOC-free mineral paints and PFAS-free home environments 00:01:55 – Fire resistance, sustainability, and Cradle to Cradle certification 00:02:53 – Why the products surrounding us matter biologically 00:03:23 – New study finds microplastics in 100% of healthy human brains 00:03:44 – The U.S. government launches a $144 million microplastics initiative 00:03:52 – Visualizing a plastic spoon's worth of plastic in the brain 00:04:22 – The Nature Medicine findings explained 00:04:40 – Dementia brains containing dramatically more plastic accumulation 00:04:47 – Why this study is not "internet noise" 00:05:07 – Dr. Matthew Campen and the University of New Mexico research 00:05:15 – The STOMP program: Systemic Targeting of Microplastics 00:05:45 – From environmental issue to "inside your body" crisis 00:06:01 – What listeners will learn and actionable solutions 00:06:21 – Breaking down the Campen study in detail 00:06:38 – Gas chromatography mass spectrometry analysis explained 00:06:50 – Roughly seven grams of plastic found in average brains 00:07:09 – Brain tissue containing more plastic than liver or kidneys 00:07:21 – Dementia brains showing 10x more plastic concentration 00:07:28 – Nanoplastics crossing the blood-brain barrier 00:07:42 – The alarming acceleration of accumulation rates 00:08:03 – Healthy brains vs diseased brains and microplastic prevalence 00:08:24 – The unanswered question: dose and biological effect 00:08:40 – Correlation vs causation and scientific uncertainty 00:09:06 – Why the trend itself is deeply concerning 00:09:23 – Plastic accumulation in blood vessel walls and immune cells 00:09:46 – Chronic neuroinflammation and cognitive decline 00:09:56 – Plastics carrying phthalates, BPA, PFAS, and flame retardants 00:10:08 – Endocrine disruption and hormone interference 00:10:19 – Plastics found in placentas and testes 00:10:31 – "Structural pollution of the human body" 00:10:52 – The plastic industry externalizing costs onto humanity 00:10:58 – Practical steps listeners can take immediately 00:11:02 – Why bottled water may be a major source of nanoplastics 00:11:28 – Reverse osmosis filtration and reducing exposure 00:11:46 – AquaTru systems and affordable filtration solutions 00:12:09 – Sponsor: Shakeology and nutrient density 00:13:58 – Stop heating food in plastic immediately 00:14:17 – Heat dramatically increasing microplastic transfer into food 00:14:31 – Switching to glass, stainless steel, and ceramic containers 00:14:50 – Dangerous recycling codes and plastic leaching 00:15:13 – The hidden plastic problem inside tea bags 00:15:27 – One tea bag releasing billions of microplastics into tea 00:15:50 – Why Darin says to ditch plastic tea bags completely 00:16:02 – Loose leaf tea and stainless steel infusers 00:16:14 – Coffee pod machines and heated plastics under pressure 00:16:26 – Safer coffee alternatives: French press and pour-over 00:16:38 – Fiber helping bind and eliminate particulate matter 00:17:00 – Sweating, exercise, and toxin mobilization 00:17:22 – Polyphenols and antioxidant-rich foods 00:17:42 – Broccoli sprouts, sulforaphane, and glutathione support 00:18:24 – Omega-3s and reducing neuroinflammation 00:18:34 – The plastic industry's "safe and recyclable" narrative 00:18:58 – Comparing plastics to tobacco and PFAS deception 00:19:16 – Disposable convenience culture and "fatal conveniences" 00:19:45 – The simplest immediate change: replacing tea bags 00:20:10 – Taking sovereignty back through everyday choices 00:20:34 – Patreon deep dives and continuing the conversation 00:20:53 – "Your body is not a landfill" 00:21:08 – Why small daily choices compound biologically 00:21:22 – Final reflections and closing thoughts     Thank You to Our Sponsors Shakeology: Get 15% off with code DARINO1BODI at Shakeology.com. Alkemis: Go to https://alkemispaint.com/ and use code DARIN10 for 10% off your order.     Join the SuperLife Patreon: This is where Darin now shares the deeper work: - weekly voice notes - ingredient trackers - wellness challenges - extended conversations - community accountability - sovereignty practices Join now for only $7.49/month at https://patreon.com/darinolien     Connect with Darin Olien: Website: darinolien.com Instagram: @darinolien Book: Fatal Conveniences Platform & Products: superlife.com New Show: Roadmap to Happiness     Key Takeaway "Microplastics are no longer just floating in oceans or polluting landfills—they are accumulating inside human beings. Inside our brains. Inside our blood vessels. Inside unborn children. But while the scale of the problem is staggering, the solution begins with everyday choices. What you drink from. What you heat your food in. What you filter. What you buy. Your body is not a landfill—and reclaiming your health starts with refusing to treat it like one."     Bibliography/Sources Primary Scientific Studies Bornstein, S. R., et al. (2025). Therapeutic apheresis: A promising method to remove microplastics? Brain Medicine . https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12162106/ Campen, M., et al. (2025). Bioaccumulation of microplastics in decedent human brains. Nature Medicine . https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11100893/ Campen, M., et al. (2026). Microplastics in 100% of healthy brain samples (2026 Update) . https://hsc.unm.edu/news/2024/05/microplastics-accumulate-in-brain.html Hernandez, L. M., et al. (2019). Plastic teabags release billions of microparticles and nanoparticles into tea. Environmental Science & Technology, 53(21), 12300–12310 . https://pubs.acs.org/doi/10.1021/acs.est.9b02540 Government & University Announcements Advanced Research Projects Agency for Health (ARPA-H). (2026, April 2). STOMP program launch . https://arpa-h.gov/explore-funding/programs/stomp U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). (2026, April 2). HHS press release on STOMP . https://arpa-h.gov/explore-funding/programs/stomp University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center. (n.d.). UNM HSC announcement - Microplastics in human brains . https://hsc.unm.edu/news/2024/05/microplastics-accumulate-in-brain.html Health & News Resources EurekAlert! (n.d.). Micronanoplastics found in artery-clogging plaque in the neck . https://www.eurekalert.org/news-releases/1080866 NYU Langone Health. (n.d.). 7 ways to reduce your exposure to microplastics . https://nyulangone.org/news/7-ways-reduce-your-exposure-microplastics

Big discount on Martyn's tool for subscribers: https://www.algoadvantage.io/toolbox/Watch Part 1 first! https://youtu.be/Kxvp00VbLx0My detailed write up on Walk Forward Correlation Analysis: https://www.algoadvantage.io/podcast/053-martyn-tinsley-2/Martyn introduces Walk Forward Correlation (WFC) as a diagnostic for two problems that sit at the heart of systematic trading: over-fitting and structural edge. Traditional walk-forward analysis typically optimizes a strategy on an in-sample window, picks the “best” parameter set, then tests that one choice out-of-sample. Used the wrong way, there's a potential flaw here: one parameter set can look good out-of-sample purely by accident. That tells you very little about whether the underlying model is genuinely robust.Tinsley's move is simple, but useful. Instead of judging one selected point, he looks at all parameter combinations in the optimisation grid and asks a harder question: does strong in-sample performance tend to map to strong out-of-sample performance across the whole space? If yes, you may have something real. If no, you're probably flattering noise.Contents:0:00 Walk Forward Correlation Explained 4:22 Best Metrics for Strategy Selection9:27 Building a Combined Performance Metric13:05 Objective Functions and Walk Forward Tests17:30 In-Sample vs Out-of-Sample Validation22:28 Pre-Live Optimization for Live Trading25:14 Why Traditional Walk Forward Falls Short28:59 Walk Forward Correlation Method32:28 Measuring Predictive Power in Trading39:25 Reading Correlation Chart Scenarios41:48 Trade Counts and Statistical Significance45:52 Go/No-Go Gates for Robust Strategies51:03 Optimize Strategy Software Overview56:43 Final Thoughts for Systematic Traders

Markets remain resilient despite rising interest rates, higher oil prices, and inflation concerns, largely supported by strong earnings growth and optimism around AI and technological transformation. However, speculative behavior, IPO activity, and "mania" in certain sectors suggest increased risk and the potential for volatility ahead. In this episode, Karl emphasizes that having a sound investment thesis isn't enough—investors must understand how assets actually behave, including correlation and diversification within a portfolio.    Show Topics Market resilience persists AI mania risks Earnings justify growth Correlation matters Discipline

(SPOILER) Your Daily Roundup covers the Summer House Reunion trailer, Oz the Mentalist gets exposed, Britney Spears posting more cryptic videos, and a random correlation between the Echard/Owens case and my current re-watch. Music written by Jimmer Podrasky (B'Jingo Songs/Machia Music/Bug Music BMI)Ads:Zenni – Online eyewear shop. Now is the time for that long overdue purchase of eyeglasses or sunglasses. Go to https://zenni.com/podcast Promo Code: Podcast15 for 15% off your first order.Ro – https://ro.co/RealitySteve to see if you're eligible for the new GLP-1 pill on Ro.ZocDoc – Click on https://zocdoc.com/RealitySteve to find and instantly book a top rated doctor today.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Markets are hitting new highs while volatility, inflation concerns, interest rates, and geopolitical risks continue to pressure investors. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions about investing, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, market risk, Federal Reserve policy, and the economy. From market momentum and valuation risks to retirement income strategies and financial planning mistakes, this is your opportunity to get straightforward answers without Wall Street spin. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Markets Trying to Sell-off 6:17 - Market Comparisons 11:19 - Not Reading the News is Better 12:08 - Is TLT a Good Buy Now? 15:40 - What to Do with Cash 16:40 - Can Bond Yields Go Over 5.5%? 19:08 - Will There Be Inflation from SCOTUS Ruling on Trucker Broker Liability? 20:14 - What Would Trigger Differentiation from Standard Correction or Worse? 23:50 - Higher Oil = Higher Treasuries? 28:26 - Space Stocks, Momentum Trading, & Space-X IPO 31:27 - The Roth Conversion Conundrum 33:53 - APLD Positioning & Short Squeeze 36:21 - Correlation of Assets - What to do when trades don't work 40:46 - Microsoft, AI, & Layoffs 41:48 - What is Your Plan for a Market Downturn? 49:14 - Social Security Reform - Raising Minimum Retirement Age? 55:02 - In What Sector will Space-X Be Placed? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ngEmjqsUFTY ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Decoupling Danger," here: https://youtu.be/uDPuWbEqO-E ------- Watch our previous show, "U.S. - Iran Risks You Cannot Ignore" https://youtube.com/live/YT_BHXcoydw ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #BullMarket #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Investing #Investing #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #SpaceXIPO

Markets are hitting new highs while volatility, inflation concerns, interest rates, and geopolitical risks continue to pressure investors. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions about investing, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, market risk, Federal Reserve policy, and the economy. From market momentum and valuation risks to retirement income strategies and financial planning mistakes, this is your opportunity to get straightforward answers without Wall Street spin. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Markets Trying to Sell-off 6:17 - Market Comparisons 11:19 - Not Reading the News is Better 12:08 - Is TLT a Good Buy Now? 15:40 - What to Do with Cash 16:40 - Can Bond Yields Go Over 5.5%? 19:08 - Will There Be Inflation from SCOTUS Ruling on Trucker Broker Liability? 20:14 - What Would Trigger Differentiation from Standard Correction or Worse? 23:50 - Higher Oil = Higher Treasuries? 28:26 - Space Stocks, Momentum Trading, & Space-X IPO 31:27 - The Roth Conversion Conundrum 33:53 - APLD Positioning & Short Squeeze 36:21 - Correlation of Assets - What to do when trades don't work 40:46 - Microsoft, AI, & Layoffs 41:48 - What is Your Plan for a Market Downturn? 49:14 - Social Security Reform - Raising Minimum Retirement Age? 55:02 - In What Sector will Space-X Be Placed? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ngEmjqsUFTY ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Decoupling Danger," here: https://youtu.be/uDPuWbEqO-E ------- Watch our previous show, "U.S. - Iran Risks You Cannot Ignore" https://youtube.com/live/YT_BHXcoydw ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #BullMarket #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Investing #Investing #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #SpaceXIPO

Cority has been quietly building environmental, health, and safety software for forty years, and Amanda Smith runs the strategy keeping up with AI that changes every six months. She and Chuck get into why a system of record beats raw AI on life or death calls, how a 600 page permit went from months to minutes, the stat that 95 percent of employees are already using shadow AI, and the PDF problem that has every energy company stuck.Click here to watch a video of this episode.Join the conversation shaping the future of energy.Collide is the community where oil & gas professionals connect, share insights, and solve real-world problems together. No noise. No fluff. Just the discussions that move our industry forward.Apply today at collide.ioClick here to view the episode transcript. 0:00 The Cority story and 40 years in EHS software2:30 How the software shows up on a rig and in the office5:45 The SaaS apocalypse question and why context beats raw AI9:30 Amanda's family mining history and why this work is personal11:00 Recruiting AI talent to Houston and the six month change cycle15:00 Shiny objects versus solving real problems18:00 Auditability, HIPAA, and the black box problem19:30 Where Collide is heading as an operating system23:00 Employee resistance and the friction point playbook27:30 Six hundred page permits, 3000 filings, zero mistakes30:00 Agentic workflows as the new source of record34:30 Correlation, causation, and the shale revolution lesson37:30 The PDF problem and using 2 percent of energy data41:30 Learning to drive as the AI adoption analogy43:00 What we are not talking about today that we will be in five years48:30 Ninety-five percent of employees are using shadow AIhttps://twitter.com/collide_aihttps://www.tiktok.com/@collide.iohttps://www.facebook.com/collide.iohttps://www.instagram.com/collide.iohttps://www.youtube.com/@collide_iohttps://bsky.app/profile/collide-ai.bsky.socialhttps://www.linkedin.com/company/collideai

Christina Hello, everyone, I'm Christina Darnell, the managing editor of MinistryWatch. Welcome to the MinistryWatch podcast. In today's extra episode, I talk with Warren Smith about some news items that are slightly (even significantly) outside of our normal charity and philanthropy “beat.” So, Warren, what's up first? Warren Christian colleges are facing a federal challenge. Emily Belz is reporting for Christianity Today that a new Department of Education regulation “could crater” the programs of Christian colleges. Belz writes, “The regulation would label a bachelor's or master's program a “failure” if its graduates do not earn more than their peers without the degree. Students in these ‘failing' programs would be ineligible for federal financial aid.” Christina Why should Christian colleges be held to a lower standard than other colleges? Warren They shouldn't, but the Christian colleges are saying that this is not an apples-to-apples comparison. The graduates of engineering or accounting programs at Christian colleges should be compared to engineering and mathematics graduates of secular schools. But religious and theological studies students are not going into these fields for the money, and they don't have true analogs in secular schools. The new regulation essentially punishes students for their commitment to a ministry career. The Coalition of Christian Colleges and Universities and the Association for Biblical Higher Education are fighting the new rules. Christina On May 4, Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito said the abortion inducing drug mifepristone – used in nearly two-thirds of U.S. abortions – can continue to be prescribed via telehealth, dispensed at retail pharmacies, and delivered to patients in the mail. Warren This is a huge setback for the pro-life cause. The Dispatch has provided a helpful “explainer” of what is going on now, especially at the states. Bottom line: thirteen states ban abortion entirely, but with telemedicine, abortions continue in those states. To see the status in all fifty states, click here. Christina Speaking of abortion, Ryan Burge injects some data into the conversation. Warren He has some graphs showing that support for abortion has gone up over the past 50 years, even among evangelicals. In some cases, support has gone up significantly. But that rise masks an important fact. From about 1997 until about 2007, support for abortion went down. Burge does not track the number of actual abortions, but they went down too. Christina So, what happened in 2007? Warren The iPhone. Facebook. Twitter. Correlation does not mean causality. But lots of social theorists from Jean Twenge to Jonathan Haidt have suggested that around 2007 is when we stopped talking to each other, and we retreated into our digital foxholes and started lobbing mortars at those in other foxholes. We used to persuade in the public square. Now, we pummel. The public square has become the scene of a cage fight. Whatever you think of my theory, I do suggest you check out Ryan Burge's data, which you can find here. Christina Colorado Springs has long been the mecca for Christian ministries, but in recent years there are signs that the city is losing its appeal. Warren The latest sign is the announcement that the pro-life organization Save The Storks is moving from The Springs to Dallas. The organization said in a statement that the move was “strategic,” to “centralize operations and expand support for women nationwide.” Christina They're not the first to leave. Warren CauseIQ estimates that about 20 ministries have moved or shut down in Colorado Springs in the past five years. In 2020, the Christian and Missionary Alliance national headquarters left Colorado Springs and moved to Columbus, Ohio, to be nearer the majority of its churches. Colorado Springs is still home to Focus on the Family, Compassion International, The Navigators, Young Life, and other major ministries, but as the city does not have a major airport, and – with traffic – downtown Colorado Springs can be two hours from the Denver airport. Christina We normally don't report about ourselves, but we have a few updates this week. Warren I was recently on Christianity Today's podcast The Bulletin. It was my second appearance in as many months. If you do not subscribe to The Bulletin, you can listen here. I also wanted to let you know that MinistryWatch has won recognition for our work from the Evangelical Press Association. Tony Mator, Kim Roberts, and I won awards at the annual meeting in Nashville. I also wanted to mention that we may need to re-name the MinistryWatch 1000 database. As of this week, we now have 1500 ministries in the database, representing more than $55 billion in annual revenue. Thanks to Kim Roberts, Rod Pitzer, Rob Martin, Stephen duBarry for their contributions to growing our database. Christina In fact, you and I are both in Nashville this week for the EPA conference. You'll be on the road next week, too. Warren Readers in Dallas, Colorado Springs, and Denver. I will also be in Dallas next week, and I will be holding a lunch for readers. I will be Knoxville later in May. I will be speaking at Summit Ministries in Manitou Springs in June, so I will be doing reader lunches in Denver and Colorado Springs during that trip. Let me know if you would like to join us. My email is wsmith@ministrywatch.com. Christina That brings to a close this EXTRA episode of the podcast. The producer for today's program is Jeff McIntosh. I'm Christina Darnell, along with Warren Smith. Until next time, may God bless you.

Is the AI job apocalypse a marketing strategy and not an economic forecast?It's nuanced, and today we tap into first wave stats for clarity.Correlation does Not imply Causation. The divergence is real, but timing also coincides with the Fed's aggressive rate hikes and sustained tightening. That said, AI is likely to reshape the labor market—not just in the number of jobs, but in the types of roles that exist - after giants clean up the BLOAT.People think the AI job crisis is about technology, but it's really about wealth inequality. - Scott GallowayPURE FACT. Every generation has its version of this story.The one where machines come for the jobs.Where the future arrives faster than people can adapt.Where the world you knew is about to end.This time around, the story has better PR and a much bigger budget — but underneath, it's the same script.I'm not saying this is nothing to worry about - we all feel the speed. In fact, the current evolution of AI is 300X faster than the Industrial Revolution. So….here's what I keep coming back to so we can understand the middle phase of the tech boom we are living through. The loudest voices warning us about the AI job apocalypse are also the people who profit most when we believe them.Anthropic's CEO says half of all entry-level white-collar jobs will be wiped out in five years.Elon says no job will be needed.Sam Altman wrote, before ChatGPT even launched, that the price of human labor was about to fall toward zero.Notice the pattern?The people predicting an extinction-level event are the same people building the asteroid and selling tickets to watch.We've Been Here BeforeThis panic isn't new.The Nobel-winning economist Robert Shiller has shown that fears about machines replacing humans helped fuel economic downturns in the 1800s.Science fiction later convinced people that automation caused the Great Depression.Computer panic deepened the recession of the early ‘80s.His point was simple.The damage doesn't usually come from the technology itself.It comes from the story we wrap around it.People feel pain from a normal recession, blame the machines, get more pessimistic, pull back further, and the story becomes the thing that creates the outcome it warned us about.That's exactly what I think is happening right now.AI is becoming a convenient cover story for layoffs that are really about over-hiring, inflation, and tariffs.Look at the numbers.U.S. tech employment grew from 8.7 million in 2020 to 9.6 million in 2023, then went flat.Not great.Not the apocalypse either.Meta's 10% cut is just bringing the company back to its 2021 size.Microsoft's 7% cut still leaves it 47% bigger than before the pandemic.Tesla announced it was hiring more, then laid off 10% of its workforce a month later — because of weak sales, not robots.This isn't the prelude to the end of work.It's a low-hire, low-fire labor market.That's it.Three Ways This Resurgence Plays OutScenario one: the bubble pops.The Mag 10 now make up 40% of the S&P.AI stocks have driven the majority of the market's returns since ChatGPT launched.If AI sneezes, the rest of the economy gets the flu.And when that recession comes, we'll blame AI for it — even though, historically, layoffs come in recessionary bursts, not the moment a new technology arrives.Scenario two: AI delivers, just slower than they say.When something gets dramatically cheaper, we don't use less of it.We find a million new uses for it.That's Jevons paradox.When the spreadsheet launched in 1979, everyone said accountants were finished.Instead, the profession quadrupled over the next 40 years.The same pattern shows up everywhere computers got adopted heavily — employment grew faster, not slower.Programmers today are coding less and thinking bigger.They've gone from construction workers to architects.The real question for any knowledge profession isn't “will AI replace this?”It's “is the human demand for analysis, judgment, and oversight elastic?”I think it is.And I think we're about to discover how much demand has been quietly waiting for the cost of execution to drop.Scenario three: the disruption outruns us.This is the scary one.AI hits every sector at once, no policy response, full collapse of the recovery cycle.But here's the part most people miss.Real societal upheaval almost never comes from unemployment.It comes from people who are working hard and still falling behind.From the loss of economic dignity.If that sounds familiar, trust your gut.We're already living in it.What's Really Going OnInside Silicon Valley, the mood is dark.People talk seriously about a “permanent underclass” and a “limited window” to build wealth before robots take over.I think this is a shared hallucination.The same people obsessed with AI's rapid capabilities are ignoring everything else about how economies, labor markets, and human demand actually work.And here's the tell.Only Americans earning over $200,000 a year see AI as a net positive.That's not a fact about AI.That's a fact about who has access to opportunity in this country.The AI jobs panic is just the newest scene in a much older story about wealth inequality.The real disruption isn't going to come from AI.It's going to come from the public finally noticing that the people warning us about the fire are the same ones selling the smoke detectors.The AI job apocalypse isn't an economic forecast.It's a marketing campaign.We're not watching the end of work.We're watching the monetization of fear.Life is so rich. Especially when you realize your inherent creative power and the evolution of our society has bright day's ahead of us. Not the doom - change, and fast? Yes, but the Universal Law of Order is always flowing from chaos to order. Your thoughts? Here's MY thoughts on AI brought to LIFE for REAL SOLUTIONS. How I view AI.....within the SPACE of the LIGHT Between Oracle Healing Journey.“Between stimulus and response there is a space. In that space is our power to choose our response. In our response lies our growth and our freedom.” - Viktor FranklThe Light Between is the conscious, sovereign light that we must maintain between our stimuli and responses. This is the light of discernment, wonder, and creativity - the light where humans truly thrive at our full capacity, rather than merely coping.I'm building a movement to advocate for preserving this vital light. Safeguarding this Light Between will enable the mindful and beneficial integration of AI into our lives.It is the wellspring of our agency, our ability to thoughtfully shape our responses to the world. Protecting and nourishing this Light is paramount as we navigate the increasing presence of artificial intelligence in our lives.In Closing…So if this lit up your heart and minds view of all the bright potential of transforming world of opportunity, then I'd love for you to experience the LIGHT BETWEEN ORACLE JOURNEY + INTUITIVE READINGS. Five Guides and a Five Layer Path…..to accelerate your intuition and problem solving. The Five-Layer Path integrates intention rituals, intuitive card draws, ancient wisdom teachings, somatic practices, and multidimensional exploration to support your journey. With your purchase, you gain access to:* Tailored Guidance: Personalized oracle readings to answer your questions.* Your Place of Power: Tools to discover and transform disempowering states.* Self Hypnosis: Techniques to rewire the subconscious, enhanced by the Neuro-Nature Self Hypnosis App.* Soul Prayer: Contemplative practices to deepen your connection to inner wisdom.* Poetic Insights: A space to save reflections for creative expression and meaning.* Five-Layer Path for Integration: A holistic approach combining intention, intuition, ancient teachings, somatic practices, and multidimensional awakening.Start for FREE and upgrade for deep awakenings and spiritual problem solving that resolves the daily self doubt and uncertainty. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit thelightbetween.substack.com/subscribe

This week Andrew is joined by Ben and Webby to discuss the current "peace" and what it means for the market — inverted commas very much intended.Webby digs into the correlation between oil and wheat on the futures charts, before the team talk about locking in higher fertiliser purchases against the improved grain prices.They also cover the market shorts still working their way out, and Andrew floats the possibility of an early harvest.

What does it take to become a modern race engineer in today's data-driven motorsports world?In this episode of EPARTRADE's Race Industry Now, we take a deep technical dive into motorsport engineering education, simulation-driven development, telemetry analysis, vehicle dynamics, and the real-world tools used to train the next generation of race engineers.“Building Race Engineers: Inside the Life of an Online Motorsport Engineering Student” by National Motorsport Academy (NMA) features Bob D'Amato, Chief Technical Officer at Holman-Moody and NMA Alumni, alongside Wayne Gater, Deputy Director of the National Motorsport Academy.Hosted by Brad Gillie from SiriusXM, Ch. 90, Late Shift.This technical webinar explores:Motorsport engineering education pathwaysVehicle dynamics and chassis simulationGT-SUITE engine simulation softwareTelemetry and motorsport data analysisRace engineering workflowsSimulation-driven race car developmentAerodynamics and suspension engineeringReal-world motorsport engineering projectsOnline motorsport engineering trainingModern race engineering careersThe discussion highlights how modern motorsports increasingly rely on:✔ Data acquisition and telemetry✔ Virtual simulation environments✔ Correlation between track and simulation data✔ Engine and chassis modeling✔ Engineering software tools used by professional race teamsFeatured Software & Engineering Topics:GT-SUITEChassisSimMoTeCPi ToolboxVehicle DynamicsTelemetry EngineeringSuspension GeometryPowertrain SimulationRace Car DevelopmentWhether you are an aspiring race engineer, motorsport student, team engineer, chassis specialist, data engineer, or racing enthusiast, this webinar delivers valuable technical insight into the future of motorsport engineering.EPARTRADE continues to connect the global racing industry through:

Bitcoin just completed the longest bear market rally of the last two cycles, but under the hood, the data still looks eerily similar to 2022. Mike and Ryan break down the battle between shorts and spot buyers, why $85K may decide the market, what ETF flows and Saylor's bid are really signaling, and the setup that could trap both bulls and bears.----

This episode of Last Call breaks down one of the most confusing market environments in recent memory: why stocks continue to rise despite war, oil shocks, and growing macro risks. Through conversations with Jim Paulsen, Ben Hunt, Kevin Muir, and Brent Kochuba, we explore the tension between strong earnings, hidden risks in private credit and global growth, and the powerful role of flows and positioning in driving markets higher.Follow Last Call on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Follow Last Call on Apple Podcasts⁠Topics CoveredWhy markets are ignoring war, oil shocks, and geopolitical riskThe “supernova” risk in private credit and why it hasn't hit markets yetHow supply-driven inflation differs from 1970s-style demand inflationWhy pessimistic sentiment may actually be supporting marketsThe role of earnings growth and valuation resets in fueling the rallyBull vs bear case for markets based on macro, earnings, and positioningWhy free cash flow trends may be more concerning than earningsHow options flows and dealer positioning are suppressing volatilityThe AI capex boom and its impact on market leadership and breadthThe growing divide between Mag 7 earnings and the rest of the marketTimestamps00:00 Intro and market overview01:37 Why markets are not falling despite negative news03:00 Buy-the-dip behavior and earnings resilience06:11 Ben Hunt on “supernova” risks in private credit08:00 Hidden credit crunch in middle market companies10:24 Why private credit matters for economic growth14:10 Oil supply shocks and global growth risks17:00 Why markets can ignore risks before they appear18:48 Jim Paulsen on market resilience and sentiment20:00 Why pessimism may reduce downside risk22:24 Inflation vs labor force growth framework24:00 Why current inflation is supply-driven, not demand-driven26:00 Potential shift from inflation focus to growth focus29:11 Kevin Muir on bull vs bear market setup31:00 War impact on rates, oil, and positioning33:00 Fed reaction and shifting rate expectations35:00 Why earnings remain the dominant market driver37:00 Why geopolitics often doesn't move markets40:00 Bear case: weak free cash flow and employment risk44:26 Brent Kochuba on options flows and positioning47:00 Why markets ignore rising rates and oil49:00 Call buying, dispersion, and tech leadership51:00 Energy as both hedge and AI-driven opportunity54:00 Correlation, volatility, and market structure56:00 Dealer positioning and suppressed volatility58:00 Earnings strength and narrow market leadership01:01:00 Free cash flow vs earnings debate01:01:55 AI capex and long-term market implications

ReferencesImmuno Epigenetic Dialectical Event Ontology of the CNSDr Daniel J Guerra. 20 Lecture SeriesAuthentic Biochemistry Podcast SeriesApril 2026Slade/Flett/Thomas/Simon/Robertson/Dylan/Tielgen/Mann. 1978. Watch. lp MMEBhttps://music.youtube.com/playlist?list=OLAK5uy_msfrU-U0hso23gOLAPJkXf3GVG2c2w42c&si=OAZDb4RDjxEHHm1c

Is it true that no enlightened person works in corporate? And if so—is that causation or just correlation?In this episode, I dig into that question from multiple angles and ultimately argue that it's not a coincidence. There's something fundamentally at odds between corporate structures and the human spirit. From hierarchy and incentives to language and culture, the system often prioritizes outcomes that can feel disconnected from deeper purpose, alignment, and truth.I explore how even seemingly harmless ideas—like “business is a game”—can subtly shape behavior in ways that become toxic over time. What starts as strategy can quickly turn into detachment, where people lose sight of impact, meaning, and even themselves.Drawing inspiration from Plato's Allegory of the Cave, I also look at the role of those who do engage with corporate environments. Much like the person who leaves the cave and returns, enlightened individuals may consult, advise, or influence—but rarely stay embedded long-term.Finally, this episode is a call to action. If you've ever felt that sense of misalignment—those quiet internal contradictions—this is about what to do with that awareness. Not to withdraw, but to become a catalyst for change.

Editor-in-Chief Cecelia E. Schmalbach, MD, MSc, is joined by senior author Saikrishna Gourishetti, MD, and Associate Editor Michael Brenner, MD, to discuss the investigation of whether performing cleft lip repair at an earlier age affects the likelihood of developing hypertrophic scarring,  as outlined in the paper "Optimal Timing of Cleft Lip Repair: Correlation With Scar Formation and Revision Rates" which published in the March 2026 issue of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery.  Click here to read the full article.

Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple PodcastsThis episode of The Opex Effect breaks down why markets have remained surprisingly resilient despite geopolitical chaos, an oil shock, and extreme headline risk. Brent Kochuba joins Jack Forehand to analyze what's really driving the market beneath the surface—from options flows and gamma positioning to the collapse in volatility and what it signals for the next move.They explore how the options market is shaping price action in ways most investors miss, why the VIX collapsed despite elevated risk, and what positioning tells us about the path forward as we head into earnings and the next major options expiration.Topics covered:Why markets have stayed near highs despite war, oil spikes, and macro uncertaintyThe “taco trade” and why investors expect bad news to reverse quicklyHow options flows and dealer hedging are influencing stock pricesWhy call options are historically cheap heading into earningsThe mechanics of gamma, delta hedging, and market maker positioningWhy options expiration (OpEx) can act as a turning point for marketsThe divergence between oil prices and equity volatilityWhat the collapse in the VIX reveals about investor positioningThe role of zero-DTE options in reinforcing short-term market rangesKey resistance levels forming from call selling and what they mean for upsideTimestamps:00:00 Why markets aren't reacting to geopolitical chaos04:18 The “taco trade” and shifting market expectations07:30 How options flows influence stock market movements11:10 Why OpEx can drive market turning points13:05 Volatility compression and the gamma-volatility relationship15:30 How large options positioning shapes market behavior18:05 Why positioning has shifted toward calls20:00 Why this OpEx may be less impactful than prior ones22:00 Market positioning into earnings and key drivers ahead24:10 Using gamma maps to identify support and resistance27:00 Revisiting the JP Morgan collar trade and March lows30:00 Correlation spikes and the oil-volatility relationship33:00 Why oil has stopped driving equity volatility34:30 The breakdown between oil and VIX correlation36:00 Why volatility may reprice higher after OpEx37:05 The oil curve and expectations for a short-term shock39:40 One of the largest VIX collapses ever41:00 How options positioning drove the volatility unwind43:00 Why selling volatility has become a dominant strategy45:00 The feedback loop between rising markets and falling volatilityFor more information on SpotGamma and Brent's work:https://spotgamma.comFollow Brent on Twitter:https://twitter.com/spotgamma

Muscle Minds 185: Is progressive overload actually REQUIRED for muscle growth? Dr. Scott Stevenson and Scott McNally break down brand-new research that challenges one of the biggest gym dogmas. Discover what the latest studies really show about hypertrophy with vs without overload, the true role of effort, effective reps, training to failure, and what this means for your long-term training. 00:00 - Introduction to the study and research questions on progressive overload 02:52 - Breakdown of the experimental design and training conditions 05:02 - Key findings: muscle growth with and without progressive overload 09:36 - Importance of effort, reps, and reserves in hypertrophy studies 12:30 - Evidence of muscle growth even without overload and what it means 17:35 - How training to failure and effective reps relate to hypertrophy 22:28 - Correlation between overload and muscle gain—what's missing in research 26:21 - Limitations of short-duration studies for long-term training outcomes 31:30 - Practical insights and real-world implications for resistance training 43:41 - Challenges in research measurement techniques and logistical considerations

My new book is The Price of Becoming. To order, go to www.LearningLeader.com/Becoming This is brought to you by Insight Global. If you need to hire one person, hire a team of people, or transform your business through Talent or Technical Services, Insight Global's team of 30,000 people around the world has the hustle and grit to deliver. My Guest: Will Guidara is the former co-owner of Eleven Madison Park, the restaurant he took from a struggling two-star establishment to become the number one restaurant in the world. He's the author of the New York Times bestseller Unreasonable Hospitality, the host of the Welcome Conference, and a co-producer on the Emmy award-winning series The Bear. Notes: Key Learnings "Obsession is a beautiful thing when you can grab it by the tail." This quote is from chef Sean Brock when he opened his pizza place in Nashville. For Will, obsession is when you care so much about something that you give all of yourself to bring its most fully realized version to life. What obsession means to Will: "Loving with every ounce of my being the pursuit of something."  He can't imagine a life where he doesn't have something to be obsessed about. When you lose yourself in the pursuit of something, that's when it gets ugly. Obsession is a beautiful thing if you can grab it by the tail. For those that can't, it becomes ugly. You need to hold onto yourself while obsessively pursuing whatever it is. Find a hobby to be obsessed with before you retire. Will is 46 and has seen people he's long looked up to finally retire in their late seventies without a hobby they're obsessed with. They're feeling listless and without purpose. He's thinking about this now for his future: start to become obsessed with a hobby so that when you do one day retire, there's something else to fall into. "Adversity is a terrible thing to waste." You cannot always control what life throws at you, but you can always control how you react to those things, what you choose to learn from them, how you allow them to fuel your competitive spirit, the perspective you glean from those moments. Allow yourself and your team to feel the weight of the disappointment. When there's a moment of adversity, leaders hear "adversity is a terrible thing to waste" and immediately shift into cheerleader mode. That is not the right thing to do. You need to allow yourself to be as human as humanly possible, and give your team the grace to fully feel the weight of that disappointment.  Sometimes adversity sucks, and you just need to be able to say, "This sucks. I don't feel good. I feel bad. Let's feel bad for a moment." Suffer together. When your team is going through adversity, you want to know that your leader thinks it sucks, too. It's good to feel bad alongside a community, but then after a measure of time, that's when you say, okay, now how do we grow from this? How do we use this to compel us forward? Be thankful for the tough moments. Will can look back at every tough moment with gratitude. The girl who broke his heart two years before he met his now wife, he's so grateful that she did. Breaking up with his business partner and selling his restaurant company felt like the worst thing ever, but he wouldn't have written Unreasonable Hospitality had that not happened. "Who is a restaurateur without restaurants?" COVID forced Will to find the space to decide what he wanted to do next. When he sold the company, two days later, he had a full-blown identity crisis. COVID gave him the gift of forcing him to find the space to decide what he wanted to do next, as opposed to running back to do the thing he'd always done. Team first. "The best way to make sure that you are taking care of your customers is to start by taking care of your team." This is what Will learned from Danny Meyer. The power of language to define a culture. How beautiful and impactful it is when you take the time to clearly and succinctly articulate your values through language. Danny spoke in "isms." Every time he gave them an ism, it was clear that thing mattered to him, so it needed to matter to the team as well. Cult is short for culture. Will's friends from college joked that he worked for a cult, but cult is short for culture. The funny thing is, they worked for companies that lacked a culture. Every great team feels a little cultish, and that's because of the leader. Hospitality is the advantage. The only competitive advantage that exists over the long term comes through hospitality. Every company is trying to identify its competitive advantage: what is the thing about the business that will prevent someone else from coming in and taking away its customers? Those conversations almost always center around the quality of the product or the strength of the brand. Here's the thing: it does not just matter how good the product is, and it does not just matter how strong the brand is, because eventually someone's going to come around and build a better product or create a stronger brand. Relationships matter. Hospitality comes through consistently, generously, and creatively investing in relationships. Those take a long time to build, and if you build them in the right way, the loyalty you will earn takes a very long time to erode. McDonald's vs. Chick-fil-A. The hospitality difference. McDonald's does some of the coolest marketing things in the world. Their product is consistent, and there was probably a season for a very long time where they were the best burger chain out there. Compare that to Chick-fil-A: if you ask 10 people who makes a better chicken sandwich, a lot of people would say other people make better chicken sandwiches than Chick-fil-A. But people are still loyal to Chick-fil-A, not because of the brand, not because of the product, but because of the way that they make people feel. Little gestures go a long way. Chick-fil-A does things like "my pleasure" and refilling your drinks in the dining room. These little gestures go a long way because we are much less likely to leave one company and go to another, even if the other company is better priced and the product is a little bit better. Food is just a conduit through which to express hospitality. As many stories as you hear about Chick-fil-A doing little and big things to make people feel seen, you don't hear those stories about McDonald's. And that's not an accident. One company has chosen to invest all of itself in pursuit of that. The other one has not. If you're in the business of serving other people, these opportunities exist for you in an endless way. Find the smallest touchpoints. Every experience you're serving is filled with lots of big and little touchpoints. The problem is so many companies focus on only the most obvious touchpoints without realizing that there is impact to be made with each one of them.  Hospitality is a craft, a muscle that you can strengthen. Will created the Welcome Conference because he wanted someone who was a server at a restaurant who had dreams to own their own restaurant to have a place where they could learn about the craft of hospitality. What you can't afford to do with money, you can afford to do with time. Will can't afford the kind of speaking fees that people who inspire others on stage at his conference deserve, so he came up with a more creative way to show appreciation: a dinner the night before. It's about community, because the people who take that stage have the responsibility to create the conditions through which attendees can come together and form community. And it's impossible to form a community for others until you first feel a sense of community amongst yourselves. There needs to be a good reason for the event to exist. Will created the Welcome Conference years ago because there were chef conferences all over the world, and he was always the only dining room person speaking at them. He wanted a place for the dining room people to have community. Gift bags are a terrible idea. People think the more they put in the bag, the more hospitable they are. It's usually junk. "I look at something, design the version of that I wish existed, work obsessively to bring that vision to life, and then welcome others into my imagination."  What makes a great conference is meeting the people at those events. The best events are about the people in between the meetings. That time matters. Energy in a room is so important. Will is one of the most extroverted people in the world, but if he walks into a cocktail party and he doesn't know anyone, he seizes up. He doesn't like it. He likes to be around people he knows. Be a connector. A month before Will's event, he realized many people were coming alone, which he wasn't expecting. They sent an email to all of them and said, "We saw that you're coming alone. We have an idea. If you'd like to meet some people, let us know." They set up dinner reservations at Will's favorite restaurants in Nashville and did some matchmaking. Those 40 people ended up coming into the beginning of the conference the next day already like this one big, awesome community. Make the "yes" as easy as possible.  Will gets Emmy screeners, and some people send DVDs (which he doesn't have a player for), while others send QR codes, which make it very easy to watch. The lesson: make it easy for people to say yes to what you're offering. Shop your own business. Stay in your own hotel. Until you've actually been on the receiving end of whatever you're serving, you have an inability to see all the things you're doing wrong or the opportunities you have to do more things right. "Never let a gracious impulse pass." There's the devil and angel on your shoulder. The devil will tell you how hard it will be. Don't listen to that. If you are going to shop your own business, when an idea pops up, do something about it. Get out of the sea of mediocrity. The Unreasonable Hospitality Guide is the "how." There are exercises on how to build a team, how to build a culture of hospitality, how to work with your team to create magic, daily huddles to move the needle, the dreamweaver concept, etc. "I've never once regretted caring more. I have regretted not caring enough." People can't always notice things, but they can feel it. Reflection Questions What are you obsessed with? If you had to retire tomorrow, what hobby would you fall into? If you don't have one, what can you start becoming obsessed with now? What adversity are you currently facing? Have you allowed yourself and your team to fully feel the weight of that disappointment before shifting into problem-solving mode? Map out every single touchpoint in your customer experience. Which ones is nobody else thinking about? How can you make those more awesome? More Learning #545 - Will Guidara: The Remarkable Power of Giving People More Than They Expect #372 - Will Guidara: The Nobility of Service Podcast Chapters 01:00 The Price of Becoming 02:16 The Correlation of Obsession and Excellence 08:06 Adversity Is Fuel 11:38 COVID Identity Reset 15:19 Lessons From Danny Meyer 20:36 The Hospitality Advantage 26:01 Touchpoint Experience Audit 28:55 Welcome Conference Preview 30:44 Creating Community Over Dinner 32:02 Creating A Magical Event  33:35 Why Events Must Exist 35:30 Designing Hospitable Touchpoints 40:42 Make It Easy To Say Yes 45:58 Never Let a Gracious Impulse Pass 47:29 Unreasonable Hospitality Field Guide: The How To 51:20 Obsession, Care, And Excellence 55:53 EOPC

Breast implants may have become increasingly common—but for some women, the experience doesn't always unfold the way they expected. On this episode of The Dr. Hyman Show, I sit down with Dr. Jonathan Kanevsky, a board-certified plastic surgeon who made the decision to stop performing breast implant procedures after years of listening closely to his patients. We explore what he started seeing, how to approach this decision, and what alternatives are now available. Watch the full conversation on YouTube, or listen wherever you get your podcasts. You'll learn: • How to tell if your symptoms may be connected to breast implants • What to consider before deciding to remove them • Why recovery after explant looks different for everyone • What safer, more natural alternatives are available today • How to support your body before and after surgery for better recovery This is a complex and deeply personal decision. My hope is that understanding the full picture helps you make a more informed one. View Show Notes From This Episode Get Free Weekly Health Tips from Dr. Hyman https://drhyman.com/pages/picks?utm_campaign=shownotes&utm_medium=banner&utm_source=podcast Sign Up for Dr. Hyman's Weekly Longevity Journal https://drhyman.com/pages/longevity?utm_campaign=shownotes&utm_medium=banner&utm_source=podcast Join the 10-Day Detox to Reset Your Health https://drhyman.com/pages/10-day-detox Join the Hyman Hive for Expert Support and Real Results https://drhyman.com/pages/hyman-hive This episode is brought to you by Maui Nui, Pique, Perfect Amino, BIOptimizers, Korrus and Made In Cookware. Go to mauinuivenison.com/hyman to claim your free 6-pack of their Wild Axis Venison Jerky Sticks. Secure 20% off your order plus a free starter kit at piquelife.com/hyman. Go to bodyhealth.com and use code HYMAN20 to get 20% off your first order. Head to bioptimizers.com/hyman and use promo code HYMAN at checkout to save 15%. Visit Korrus.com/DrHyman for 15% off their newest product OIO Sphere with code HYMANSPHERE15. Visit MadeInCookware.com and use code HYMAN10 for 10% off your order. (0:00) Breast implants, health concerns, and medical profession perspectives (0:58) Introduction of Dr. Jonathan Kanevsky and personal stories (2:31) Correlation between breast implants, illness, and safety concerns (4:06) Breast implant-associated cancer, FDA warnings, and patient symptoms (6:29) Gaslighting in medicine and types of complications (8:02) Autoimmune reactions and explant surgery (13:15) Challenges and outcomes of explant surgery (16:57) Understanding toxins, metabolic, and cognitive effects of implants (18:36) The future of safe breast augmentation surgery (20:32) Introduction and history of fat grafting (23:14) Fat grafting techniques, results, and risks (28:50) New technologies in fat transfer and critique of new implants (33:10) Banking, growing, and sharing your own fat (36:27) Addressing ongoing concerns about implants' health impacts (40:23) Surgery as ceremony: concept, history, and protocols (49:42) Post-surgery care, recovery, and dietary recommendations (55:10) Whole food, plant-based diets and nutritional interventions (57:29) Integrating alternative therapies and new surgical technologies (58:06) Where to find Dr. Jonathan Kanevsky and closing remarks (59:20) Disclaimer and final notes

Boeing (BA) has experienced a tight correlation with the S&P 500 so far this year, says Rick Ducat, who highlights key support and resistance levels to watch in the aerospace company. He stacks the recent trading action in shares and compares it to options activity for the stock. ======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Stijn Schmitz welcomes a new guest to the show David Woo. David is a Macro Analyst and Former Wall Street strategist. In this wide-ranging interview, Woo provides insights into the current geopolitical and economic landscape, focusing on the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and its potential implications for global markets. Woo argues that the current war represents the first proxy conflict between the United States and China, with Iran playing a strategic role. He suggests that the conflict’s outcome could significantly impact global dynamics, particularly concerning oil trade and maritime control. Specifically, he highlights the potential for China to resist US control of the Strait of Hormuz, drawing parallels to historical conflicts like Japan’s attack on Pearl Harbor. Regarding gold, Woo offers a nuanced perspective. He explains that gold’s recent performance has been more closely correlated with stock market movements, driven largely by retail investor behavior rather than traditional fundamental drivers like inflation or de-dollarization. While he remains long-term bullish on gold, he believes the metal’s short-term performance is more tied to broader market sentiment. On oil markets, Woo is fundamentally bearish, citing massive global production increases from non-OPEC producers like Ghana, Venezuela, Brazil, and the United States. He anticipates oil prices will eventually collapse, particularly once the current conflict resolves. He also sees potential opportunities in defense-related sectors, believing increased military spending is likely in the conflict’s aftermath. Woo’s analysis extends to broader geopolitical trends, including the potential reshaping of global economic relationships. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:40 – Guest Introduction and Welcome 00:03:30 – Gold’s Correlation with Stocks 00:06:38 – Retail Investors Driving Gold 00:10:54 – De-dollarization and Inflation Trends 00:13:00 – China’s Gold Buying Impact 00:15:17 – Energy Outlook 00:19:22 – Iran Off-Ramp? 00:21:56 – War Outcomes and Military Spending 00:23:00 – Conflict Outcomes 00:25:00 – Hormuz in Dire Straits? 00:27:15 – Proxy War with China 00:30:30 – Petrodollar System Status 00:32:57 – Oil Futures Curve Analysis 00:34:22 – Oil Demand 00:37:30 – Short-Term Approach 00:38:33 – Rare Earth Metals 00:41:00 – His Book and Gold Guest Links: Website: https://davidwoounbound.com X: https://x.com/Davidwoounbound YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DavidWooUnbound Formerly Head of Global Interest Rates and former senior Wall Street strategist, David built his reputation by challenging consensus thinking — calling Trump’s 2016 election, the post-COVID rebound, and major macro inflection points before they happened. One of the most respected macro strategists on Wall Street, today he brings that same independent, data-driven analysis directly to retail investors — free from institutional bias, groupthink, and agendas. He is joined by John Hopkinson, PhD, a mathematician trained at MIT, who translates David’s macro vision into precise, actionable trading strategy — complete with stock selections, targets, and stop levels published every week.

In this technical deep dive, Jesse pulls back the curtain on one of the most commonly cited tools in retirement planning—Monte Carlo analysis—explaining what it actually does, how it works under the hood, and why its outputs are often misunderstood. He begins by contrasting Monte Carlo simulations with simpler "static" retirement calculators and deterministic cash-flow projections, showing why modeling thousands of randomized market paths provides a more realistic stress test of retirement outcomes. From there, Jesse walks through the mechanics of Monte Carlo itself—from the concept of running massive numbers of random trials to the different ways simulations generate returns, including historical sampling, block bootstrapping, and statistical distributions like the familiar bell curve. But the heart of the episode focuses on interpretation: why headline numbers like "success rate" and "average wealth at death" can obscure the real story, how sequence-of-returns risk dominates retirement outcomes, and why most Monte Carlo tools fail to capture the dynamic decisions real retirees would make when markets turn against them. Drawing on research from Karsten Jeske ("Big ERN"), Jesse introduces the idea of conditional success rates and explains how early retirement market performance dramatically alters future probabilities. He closes by offering practical ways to read Monte Carlo results more intelligently—examining percentiles, studying failure scenarios, and avoiding modeling mistakes like mishandling inflation—so listeners can use simulations not as crystal balls, but as powerful tools for understanding risk, flexibility, and the wide range of financial futures that retirement may hold.  Key Takeaways: • Monte Carlo simulations model thousands of possible market paths rather than assuming a single average return. • Simple retirement calculators often rely on static assumptions that ignore market volatility. • Success rates can be misleading because they hide how close many outcomes come to failure. • Poor assumptions lead to "garbage in, garbage out" results. • Conditional probability shows how early retirement outcomes influence future success chances. • Reviewing individual "failure" scenarios can reveal what adjustments might save a plan. Key Timestamps: (01:30) – Monte Carlo Basics (06:49) – Monte Carlo in Practice (12:12) – Garbage In, Garbage Out (19:49) – Under the Hood Methods (28:59) – Why Bell Curves Fail (33:39) – Key Inputs: Volatility and Correlation (37:56) – Success and Failure Is Gray (43:01) – Conditional Success Rates (48:51) – Percentiles and Ranges (52:48) – Common Mistakes Key Topics Discussed: The Best Interest, Jesse Cramer, Wealth Management Rochester NY, Financial Planning for Families, Fiduciary Financial Advisor, Comprehensive Financial Planning, Retirement Planning Advice, Tax-Efficient Investing, Risk Management for Investors, Generational Wealth Transfer Planning, Financial Strategies for High Earners, Personal Finance for Entrepreneurs, Behavioral Finance Insights, Asset Allocation Strategies, Advanced Estate Planning Techniques Mentions: https://bestinterest.blog/e121/ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laplace_distribution https://www.johndcook.com/blog/2019/02/05/normal-approximation-to-laplace-distribution/ https://earlyretirementnow.com/ https://earlyretirementnow.com/2020/07/15/when-can-we-stop-worrying-about-sequence-risk-swr-series-part-38/   More of The Best Interest: Check out the Best Interest Blog at https://bestinterest.blog/ Contact me at jesse@bestinterest.blog Consider working with me at https://bestinterest.blog/work/ The Best Interest Podcast is a personal podcast meant for education and entertainment. It should not be taken as financial advice, and is not prescriptive of your financial situation.

The Dean's List with Host Dean Bowen – New research tracks children from infancy to adolescence, revealing how early screen exposure may reshape brain development, slow decision-making, and increase anxiety risk. Findings highlight infancy as a critical window and show how simple parental interactions, like reading together, can help offset potential long-term cognitive and emotional impacts...

With geopolitical tension rattling markets and investors stampeding into cash, gold, and energy, Don and Tom step back to deliver a familiar message: nobody knows what's next—and anyone claiming otherwise is selling something. They walk through the behavioral traps of market timing, explain why diversification (especially beyond U.S. large caps) is quietly doing its job, and highlight the role of small cap and micro-cap stocks as part of a broader portfolio—not a silver bullet. Along the way, they mix in listener calls, practical tips (including liquidity strategies and avoiding irreversible investments), and a running acknowledgment that while their radio era is ending, the core mission—keeping investors from doing something dumb—isn't going anywhere. 0:04 CBS Radio shutdown vs. TRM leaving radio—industry shift toward podcasts 1:32 War-driven market anxiety: money flows to cash, gold, and energy 2:54 Interest rate expectations flip—uncertainty dominates 3:16 Jason Zweig warning: beware “I know what's next” pitches 4:24 Market timing trap—getting back in is the real failure point 5:37 Diversification reality—why global exposure smooths outcomes 7:08 Financial Fysics Kindle release and podcast transition reminders 9:53 “Retirement Plan” film event plug and discussion preview 13:37 Listener question: small cap value vs. large cap performance 15:44 Correlation explained—why asset classes don't move in lockstep 16:29 Small cap value premium—historical outperformance rationale 21:49 Micro-cap ETF discussion (DFMC)—extreme diversification option 24:47 Caution: aggressive funds are optional, not necessary 27:52 Listener success story—laddering cash with CDs for caregiving 33:40 Core advice: avoid irreversible financial decisions 34:49 Liquidity matters—dangers of annuities and illiquid investments 35:55 Wall Street “new ideas” skepticism—most benefit the seller 36:21 Final push: transition to podcast-only format Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Questions? Comments?With geopolitical tension rattling markets and investors stampeding into cash, gold, and energy, Don and Tom step back to deliver a familiar message: nobody knows what's next—and anyone claiming otherwise is selling something. They walk through the behavioral traps of market timing, explain why diversification (especially beyond U.S. large caps) is quietly doing its job, and highlight the role of small cap and micro-cap stocks as part of a broader portfolio—not a silver bullet. Along the way, they mix in listener calls, practical tips (including liquidity strategies and avoiding irreversible investments), and a running acknowledgment that while their radio era is ending, the core mission—keeping investors from doing something dumb—isn't going anywhere.0:04 CBS Radio shutdown vs. TRM leaving radio—industry shift toward podcasts1:32 War-driven market anxiety: money flows to cash, gold, and energy2:54 Interest rate expectations flip—uncertainty dominates3:16 Jason Zweig warning: beware “I know what's next” pitches4:24 Market timing trap—getting back in is the real failure point5:37 Diversification reality—why global exposure smooths outcomes7:08 Financial Fysics Kindle release and podcast transition reminders9:53 “Retirement Plan” film event plug and discussion preview13:37 Listener question: small cap value vs. large cap performance15:44 Correlation explained—why asset classes don't move in lockstep16:29 Small cap value premium—historical outperformance rationale21:49 Micro-cap ETF discussion (DFMC)—extreme diversification option24:47 Caution: aggressive funds are optional, not necessary27:52 Listener success story—laddering cash with CDs for caregiving33:40 Core advice: avoid irreversible financial decisions34:49 Liquidity matters—dangers of annuities and illiquid investments35:55 Wall Street “new ideas” skepticism—most benefit the seller36:21 Final push: transition to podcast-only formatLearn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Spotify⁠⁠Subscribe to the OPEX Effect on Apple PodcastsThis episode breaks down the growing tension beneath the surface of today's markets, where volatility signals, options positioning, and macro risks like war and inflation are increasingly misaligned. Brent Kochuba and Jack Forehand explain why markets appear calm despite heavy hedging, and what that disconnect could mean for a potential volatility spike and downside move ahead.Brent Kochuba on Twitterhttps://twitter.com/SpotGammaSpotGamma Websitehttps://spotgamma.comTopics covered in this episode• Why volatility looks elevated beneath the surface even as markets remain relatively calm• The growing gap between implied volatility VIX and realized volatility and what it signals• How options expiration OPEX can create turning points in both price and volatility• Why current positioning is unusually put-heavy and what that means for downside risk• The role of market makers and hedging flows in driving market moves• How geopolitical risks like the Iran conflict are changing options behavior and hedging demand• Why correlation is spiking and what it says about investors moving from stock picking to asset allocation• The breakdown of traditional diversification including the 60/40 portfolio• How credit markets and liquidity risks could amplify equity volatility• The impact of zero DTE options and why traders are shifting to longer-duration hedges• The significance of the JP Morgan collar trade and key levels to watch into month-end• Why volatility spikes often follow periods of suppressed market movement• The potential for a sharp upside rally if geopolitical risks suddenly resolve• How options positioning can help both traders and long-term investors with timing decisionsTimestamps00:00 Volatility premium vs low market movement disconnect01:00 Why markets feel calm despite rising risks05:20 Explosion in options volume and impact of Monday Wednesday Friday expirations07:00 How market maker hedging flows drive price movements08:40 Dynamic hedging and why options impact evolves over time09:20 Why OPEX can trigger market turning points10:30 VIX expiration effects and short-term volatility suppression13:00 Negative gamma and how it amplifies market volatility14:10 Why hedging demand remains high despite OPEX clearing16:00 Jump risk scenario and potential VIX spike to 4017:10 Shift from zero DTE trading to longer-term hedging18:00 Put-heavy positioning across equities and indices20:40 Size and significance of the current OPEX event22:20 VIX spike dynamics around expiration23:40 JP Morgan collar trade and key SPX levels25:00 Why OPEX often marks short-term market lows or highs28:30 Review of prior OPEX signals and market setup30:00 Rising correlation and shift to asset allocation mindset32:00 Dispersion breakdown and implications for equities34:00 Software sector volatility and AI disruption narrative36:30 Using options signals for better timing decisions39:00 Correlation spike and risk-off behavior across markets41:30 Why investors are avoiding calls and piling into puts44:30 Cross-asset correlation breakdown and bond hedge failure48:00 Credit market risks and spillover into equities49:00 Extreme VIX vs realized volatility spread50:50 Why realized volatility remains unusually low52:30 Oil, inflation, and macro feedback loops

Exploring Bogus oil prices Hold cow – look at what Gemini and JSD can do… Markets needed good news – Correlation high Fed on hold? PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter   Warm-Up - Bogus Oil Prices - Look at what Gemini and JSD can do... - Markets needed good news - Correlation high - Fed on hold? - JCD LIMERICK! Markets - Did we just correct? - Inflation - Eco that matters - Manipulation in Oil - Land? John Dvorak Jr. - Guest  - UPDATE ON JCD - AH Spoke with JCD Saturday.... Oil Prices - Bogus? - The price of oil in the middle east is at $140 for its land-locked price, but ocean traveling oil is at $100. - Sort, of, opposite of what you'd expect? - But, then there's been active conversation and warning about manipulating oil futures to manage the situation. - Oil in Backwardation across the spectrum. (Current price of oil contract is $95 and December contract is $75) Oil Prices may be BOGUS - But What About Gas? Gas Prices More Manipulation - The Trump administration has discussed trading in the oil futures market as a strategy to help curb surging crude prices amid the war in Iran, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said. - US would just sell future contracts and then deliver at those prices at the end of the contract date. (SPR/Venezuela?) - Not sure how markets will take an intervention like that. - Remember when short selling was banned on Financials back in the 2008 ----Stock prices continued to fall during the ban and tended to stabilize only after it was lifted, suggesting the ban did not stop the decline. ------ Seems that when government intervenes in free markets they can set off more panic as the optics make it look even worse. ---- AND- Russian Oil sanctions partially removed Inflation and ECO - PCE Prices stay elevated - GDP rose at a seasonally and inflation-adjusted annual rate of just 0.7% in the fourth quarter, according to a Commerce Department revision Friday. - The first revision of the GDP reading was a sharp step down from the previous estimate of 1.4% and well below the Dow Jones consensus forecast for 1.5%. - The core PCE inflation rose 0.4% in January and 3.1% on a 12-month basis. The ex-food and energy reading was 0.1 percentage point higher than December. Eco Table Oil Models...Very Cool - JSD - Explain - https://gemini.google.com/share/d1427a61a804 Department of Defense, err War, is hiring - The Pentagon is hiring financial 'defense', or is that a financial warfare unit? - This may mean we're beginning to really adopt "Unrestricted Warfare (???) ----- ie: The Chinese strategy where the warfare model is extended to include social engineering, illicit trade, and finance operations. - Isn't this already in play? Tariffs, Straits of Hormuz, Asset Seizure (Russian Yachts), Venezuelan Oil???? --- This is why Quantum is in play too...(offense and defense) Did you know? - 30% of Helium production comes from Qatar - Qatar helium production stopped back on March 2nd, and is ~30% of all helium globally - South Korea depends almost entirely on helium from the strait of Hormuz, with 65% from Qatar specifically -  Semiconductor manufacturing - - Wafer/equipment cooling — High thermal conductivity removes heat fast during lithography, etching, deposition, and other steps; critical for precise temp control and smaller chip nodes (no good substitutes). - - Inert purging & atmospheres — Chemically inert; flushes systems, prevents unwanted reactions in annealing, deposition, or vacuum chambers. -- - Plasma processes — Acts as carrier, diluent, or purge gas in plasma etching for precise circuit patterning. - - Leak detection — Tiny atoms detect micro-leaks in tools, pipelines, and vacuum systems to ensure reliability. - - Backside wafer cooling — Delivers stable cooling to silicon wafers in advanced fabs. INDIA! Running out of Gas - Does it matter? - India maintains only a 25 day reserve of oil - Good news for them that they use coal for electricity generation, and only use oil for transportation - BUT BUT BUT, What about getting goods from one place to another in India? -- FWIW - coal prices up 19% YTD in India Back to this... - AI not causing job losses - WHAT ABOUT META? - Meta's stock climbed after Reuters reported the social media giant is planning to lay off over 20% of its 79,000 employees to balance AI-related spending. Drone Warfare - New Warfare fought like games - Ender's Game Movie - Length: 3.5 meters (about 11.5 feet) Wingspan: 2.5 meters (about 8.2 feet) Weight (total takeoff/mass): Approximately 200 kg (around 440 pounds) Warhead/payload: Typically 40–50 kg explosive (some variants up to 90 kg with reduced fuel/range) --- Usage ~ 2,000 per day in Iran an peak of 10,000 per day in Ukraine/Russia Gaming Industry - DOA? See above - no wonder why - it is IRL now - Q1 continues sharp decline in video game sales - Older gamers: new AAA titles heavily cannibalized by old games - Gen Z & Alpha mostly play only Roblox (144M DAU), Fortnite (60M DAU), or Minecraft (11M DAU) - Young gamers rarely buy new AAA titles or consoles - Industry “growth” driven purely by subscriptions & upsells — no real sales increase - Hardware far below peaks: PS2 sold 160M, Nintendo DS 154M vs Switch 2 only 17M (original Switch lifetime 114M) - AI failing to cut costs for big studios — Roblox capturing all the upside - Roblox launches Incubator & Jumpstart programs for kids using AI “vibe-coding” to chase millionaire status INTERACTIVE BROKERS Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Target Earnings - Target posted another quarter of falling revenue and customer traffic at its stores, though its shares rose as the retailer's earnings beat estimates and it said it is poised to end its sales slump. -  Earnings per share: $2.44 adjusted vs. $2.16 expected - Revenue: $30.45 billion vs. $30.48 billion expected - Target said it expects full-year adjusted earnings per share to range from $7.50 to $8.50. Its adjusted earnings per share for the most recent full year were $7.57. - Shares up 7% in a piss poor tape     Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? THE CLOSEST TO THE PIN for CATERPILLAR Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt!     FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS There is a tech pundit whose name be John, Whose sharp takes went late into dawn. He hit pause for some care, But with grit (and repair), Soon he'll be back oh so steady and strong. See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter

What if the injury isn't the problem… but the way we've been taught to treat it is?In a system designed to move fast, suppress symptoms, and default to surgery, we rarely pause long enough to ask a better question.What is the body actually trying to do?In this episode of ALLSMITH, Bryce sits down with Dr. Ronald Torrance II , a non surgical orthopedic physician with Regenexx, to explore the evolving landscape of regenerative medicine, orthobiologics, and human performance.From PRP and stem cells to bone marrow concentrate and peptides, this conversation unpacks the tools that are reshaping how we think about recovery, pain, and long term health. Together, they dive into why surgery is often the first option presented, how modern research can be influenced by funding and bias, and how social media is quietly becoming a new front door into healthcare decisions.This is not about rejecting medicine.This is about refining it.Understanding it.And reclaiming ownership of your body in a world full of noise.⸻Call to ActionIf this conversation shifts your perspective, share it with someone navigating injury, recovery, or confusion in their health journey.Follow @allsmithco and explore coaching, community, and lifestyle design at www.allsmith.co.Subscribe to ALLSMITH for more conversations around performance, mindset, health, and modern living.⸻Key Takeaways• The body is designed to heal, but it needs the right environment and inputs• PRP, stem cells, and bone marrow concentrate are tools that support regeneration, not magic fixes• Precision matters. Where and how treatments are applied changes outcomes• Surgery has a place, but it is often overutilized as a first option• Peptides are emerging as a powerful but still evolving space in recovery and performance• Not all medical studies are created equal. Funding and design shape outcomes• Correlation does not equal causation, yet it drives much of public belief• Social media is influencing healthcare decisions more than ever before• Healthcare pricing lacks transparency and creates confusion for patients• The future of medicine is moving toward personalization, prevention, and regeneration⸻Timestamps00:00 The Injury Lie and Why Surgery Became the Default03:10 Who Is Dr. Ron Torrance? Athlete to Physician07:20 DO vs MD and the Osteopathic Philosophy11:40 What Is PRP Really? Breaking Down the Science18:30 Stem Cells vs Bone Marrow Concentrate Explained26:50 Precision Medicine and Image Guided Treatments32:10 When Surgery Is Necessary vs Avoidable38:45 The Truth About Medical Research and Bias46:20 Correlation vs Causation in Health Studies52:30 Social Media and the Rise of “DIY Healthcare”58:40 Healthcare Costs, Insurance, and Cash Pay Reality01:04:20 Peptides and the Future of Recovery01:10:30 Nutrition, the Food Pyramid, and Modern Confusion01:15:40 The Future of Medicine and Human Performance⸻We've been taught to look at the body like something that breaks.But maybe it's something that adapts.Something that responds.Something that, when given the right inputs, can rebuild stronger than before.The question isn't just…what's wrong?The question is…what's possible?This is ALLSMITH.Forged. Not found.Thank you for Listening! Learn more below.ALLSMITH IG ALLSMITH YouTubeBryce Smith IG

LEARN MORE about NDX: https://www.nasdaq.com/nasdaq-100-options-xnd-ndx?utm_medium=Podcast&utm_source=RiskReversal SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, March 18th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Bitcoin currently outperforms gold, S&P 500 amid Iran War Tremors in private credit sector Strategy deploys billions into Bitcoin with STRC - what's happening? ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. My followers get .25% off their first loan. Learn more at www.ledn.io/natalie  ---- Order my new intro to Bitcoin book "Bitcoin is For Everyone": https://amzn.to/3WzFzfU  ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com  —- References mentioned in the episode: CoinDesk: BTC Sold Off First When the U.S.-Iran War Began. Two Weeks Later, It's Outperforming Nearly Everything CoinDesk: BTC Set for Best Week Since Sep. as Correlation with Tech Stocks Weakens River: BTC Has Outperformed Stocks & Gold in Every Geopolitical Crisis Since 2020  Fortune: Bitcoin Outperforms Gold and Stocks Since Beginning of Iran Conflict Stanley Druckenmiller's Recent Comments on Bitcoin as a Store of Value Joe Consorti's Tweet on Bitcoin Outperformance Since Iran Strikes Strategy: Strategy Acquires 17,994 BTC and Now Holds 738,731 BTC CoinDesk: Strategy's STRC Preferred Series Gets $50 Million Investment from Strive OranjeBTC's Tweet Explaining it Decision to Allocate to Stretch (STRC) CoinDesk: The Math Behind Strategy's Path to 1 Million Bitcoin by the End of 2026 STRC Live: Real-Time STRC Tradin Data and Bitcoin Purchase Estimates Strategy's Dashboard with Information Concerning STRC Phong Le's Tweet on STRC Trading Volume and Price Stability  Phong Le's Tweet on STRC Reaching Escape Velocity Michael Saylor's Tweet on STRC Being the Most Liquid Preferred Equity Michael Saylor's Tweet Hinting at Another Big Bitcoin Purchase Strategy's Tweet Comparing Digital Credit and Private Credit Joe Consorti's Tweet on Strategy's Estimated BTC Purchases Through STRC Fortune: The $265B Private Credit Meltdown — How Wall Street's Hottest Investment Craze Turned Into a Panic Bloomberg: Morgan Stanley Limits Redemptions on Private Credit Fund Bloomberg: Private Credit Fears, War Darken Outlook for U.S. Financial Stocks Bloomberg: JPMorgan Restricts Privat Credit Lending After Markdowns CNBC: JPMorgan Reins in Lending to Private Credit Firms After Marking Down Software Loans  ---- Upcoming Events: Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Join us for the 5th annual Women of Bitcoin Bash and get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput=  Join us at the largest Bitcoin conference in Europe: BTC Prague! Michael Saylor is returning for the 4th year and it will be my first time at this conference! Tickets: https://btcprague.com Code HODL for 10% off. ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing

You're scrolling and suddenly you see a headline on The New York Times saying: "Protein Is Overrated." "Cold Plunges Don't Work." "Supplements Are a Waste of Money." And now you're spiraling. In this episode, I teach you how to spot oversimplified, click-driven health information - even when it comes from major media outlets. Because let's face it: most of it is total BS. In this episode, I'm diving into: How headlines are written for engagement Why single studies get blown out of proportion Correlation vs. causation, and why that matters A simple 5-question filter you can use anytime you read a health article ... and more! --- Show Notes: Sign up for a 1:1 Discovery Call Join the Imperfectly Paige Wellness Community Join the Compass Method DIY Program Jump inside my Rock the Bloat Minicourse Get my Core-Gi Workout Program with the exclusive listener discount! Join my Brain Rewiring Masterclass You can learn more about me by following on IG @imperfectlypaigewellness or by checking out my blog, freebies, and offers on my website: https://imperfectlypaigewellness.com Please share with #PaigeTalksWellness to help get the word out about the show - and join the Imperfect Health Fam over on Facebook.

This week on cantina chronicles Grant, Adam, and Ben review the final 5 issues of Alex Segura's 2025-2026 Star Wars main run comic  But we start off the pod with a discussion about fan service, what does it mean, how can it be measured and is there an inverse correlation between how much fan service a show has and how enjoyable it is for us to watch.  fill yourself a cup and let's talk Star Wars!

For our final study together in this Overlooked series, we examine five courageous women who faced a crisis with grace. As we unpack their bold response, we will see how it correlates to believers today as we relate to God, to others, and to our future.I. The Crisis (v. 1)II. The Courage (vv. 2-4)III. The Confirmation (vv. 5-11)IV. The CorrelationTalk with God: Ask the Lord to fill you with the courage to boldly face crises and dilemmas with faith and grace.Talk with others: If you're walking through a difficult season, reach out to your Connect Group and invite them to stand with you in prayer, encouragement, and support.Talk with kids: Why were the kings of Israel considered evil?

Tonight's show is all about radar and reflectivity.  Guest WeatherBrain Charles Kuster works in the radar division of NSSL.  He started his career at the OU Cooperative Institute.  Then, moved to NSSL and has been there ever since.  He attended the University of Oklahoma, where he completed his Bachelor's degree in 2012 and eventually his Master's in 2014. Charles was a Graduate Research Assistant with OU CIMMS before securing a position as Research Associate in January of this year.  Charles, welcome to WeatherBrains! Second Guest WeatherBrain Jami Boettcher came to CIWRO/NSSL after retiring from the National Weather Service, comprised of about 10 years in operations, and 25 years as an Instructor for the Warning Decision Training Division. Her first area of expertise as a trainer focused on the WSR-88D system updates, with the most significant being the conversion to dual polarization. Developing and delivering training that focused on the needs of the NWS operational community was always the priority. Her second area of training expertise was on the cognitive domain of NWS warning operations and its three components: science, technology, and human factors.  Jamie, welcome to the show! Our email officer Jen is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners. Reach us here: email@weatherbrains.com. Side lobe contamination (16:00) ZDR column radar signature (19:30) Precursor radar signatures (25:30) Dual-polarization radar general concepts and variables (27:00) Correlation coefficient definition (28:30) KDP/Specific Differential Phase (29:30) Radar spectrum width (43:00) Mitigating side lobe contamination? (55:00) Difference between WSR-88D and phased array radar (01:05:00) Well-known radar gaps and the ensuing issues (01:10:30) X-Band radar vs WSR-88D (01:12:00) The Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice (01:27:20) This Week in Tornado History With Jen (01:29:05) E-Mail Segment (01:31:00) and more! Web Sites from Episode 1049:   Alabama Weather Network Picks of the Week: Charles Kuster - NOAA NSSL Jami Boettcher - NWS/OCLO Warning Decision Training Division James Aydelott - Out Jen Narramore - Record snowstorm for Providence, Rhode Island Rick Smith - Dual-Polarization Radar Training for NWS Partners Troy Kimmel - NWS Weather and Hazards Data Viewer Kim Klockow-McClain - Foghorn John Gordon - Journal of Operational Meteorology "Operational Diagnostic Applications of Isentropic Analysis" by Louis Uccellini Bill Murray - Out James Spann - PRESSURE official trailer - Releases May 29th James Spann - CIRA on X: "May NE US locations received over a foot of snow since yesterday morning due to powerful blizzard and NorEaster...." The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Troy Kimmel, Bill Murray, Rick Smith, James Aydelott, Jen Narramore, John Gordon, and Dr. Kim Klockow-McClain. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating podcast about weather.

Stop wasting your time and money! Join Joe Pisapia and Jo Madden for their breakdown of the easiest strategy to win big money on the Underdog Fantasy Pick'em! Should bettors target two or three-leg parlays? When can the insurance bet be helpful or hurtful? Plus, why should beginners and advanced players avoid cross-sports tickets and target correlated same-game plays? The Pros divulge the cheat codes on turning profits with pick'ems! Timestamps: (May be off due to ads) Intro - 0:00:00 Pick ‘Em Strategy - 0:00:27 The “Cheat Code” Correlation - 0:03:08 Underdog Cheat Sheet - 0:08:04 Outro - 0:09:31 Helpful Links: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BettingPros App⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - Make winning bets with advice and picks from top sports betting experts. The BettingPros app puts consensus and expert-driven sports betting advice at your fingertips to help you pinpoint the best odds and make winning bets. Download it today on the ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠App Store⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ or ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Google Play⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BettingPros Discord⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - Looking to up your game in sports betting? Join our exclusive sports betting Discord community at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠bettingpros.com/chat⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠! Not only can you connect with expert handicappers who provide free picks for NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, player props, live betting, and more, but now you can also participate in our weekly community picks. Cast your vote, see how your picks stack up against the experts, and track your success! ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BettingPros Pick Tracker⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ – Want to track all of your wagers in one place? Check out the BettingPros Pick Tracker. It syncs up with your sportsbooks to tally which picks hit, and which miss AND gives you a live look at what the public is doing so you can use real-time tracking to determine which plays to make, and which to fade: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠bettingpros.com/pick-tracking⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We recap the Clash Royale creator controversy and CEO apology, dig into what's broken with evolutions, heroes, and pay-to-win, and debate whether streamers can actually drive a comeback. We also cover Savvy's rumored MoonTon deal, Blizzard's updates across Overwatch, Diablo, and WoW, the slowdown in mobile games, the frozen state of M&A, and a reality check on AI in games - from hype to hard limits.00:25 Welcome & Episode Lineup (No More Car Talk)01:52 Rumor Mill + Why We're Skipping Matthew Ball (For Now)03:10 GDC Plans, Events, and Content Plug Roundup06:00 Ad Break: Sensor Tower Pitch06:20 Clash Royale Creator Controversy Recap + CEO Apology09:44 What's Actually Broken in Clash Royale: Evolutions, Heroes & Pay-to-Win11:45 Do Streamers Drive the Revival? Twitch Data, Correlation vs Causation13:02 PR Playbook Debate: Groveling vs Proactive Creator Celebration21:53 Savvy's Buying Spree: $6–7B MoonTon Rumor (Mobile Legends)27:15 Overwatch Drops the “2”: DAU Surge, Live Ops, and Monetization Revamp32:43 Blizzard's comeback tour: Diablo drops, WoW housing & Overwatch's 10-year arc35:49 Mobile check-in: Habi's 2026 slump and the post-Survivor.io reality38:16 The real engine behind Habi: Gorilla Games and the “publisher outgrown” problem40:36 M&A hypotheticals: Scopely, Savvy, and why deals feel frozen right now42:36 AI in games debate: calling out the hype and what actually changes the medium44:50 Why AI won't make games cheaper: IP moats, attention scarcity, and AI-native platforms49:17 East vs West AI reality check: layoffs, pipeline bottlenecks, and player backlash risk57:03 Embark as an AI efficiency poster child? The smoke, mirrors, and AAA cost skepticism01:01:43 Closing thoughts: mobile growth is over, share-of-time wars, and next week's plug

*Disclaimer* This episode contains adult content and is not recommended for young listeners.   Hebrews 12:15 NLT “Look after each other so that none of you fails to receive the grace of God. Watch out that no poisonous root of bitterness grows up to trouble you, corrupting many.”   *Transcription Below*   About Dr. Morgan Cutlip:  It's hard to know where to start so I'll start with what matters most to me and that's my relationships.   I'm a mother to two kids, Effie (12) and Roy (9). They are hilarious, spirited, spicy, deeply thoughtful and emotional kids. I adore them and being their mother. They've challenged me in the most surprising and wonderful ways. I'm married to my high school sweetheart, Chad. I always feel like I lose a little street cred when I say that so, for the record, we didn't date that entire time and eventually reconnected years after college on MySpace (yup, now I've aged myself). He's the love of my life, an incredible man that loves others deeply, works so very hard, and continues to be open to growth and change.   I've worked in the field of relationship education for over 15 years alongside my father, Dr. John Van Epp, who is the founder of Love Thinks and developer of multiple relationship education courses that have been taught to over a million people worldwide. I started traveling to conferences with him when I was in junior high and so, in many ways, it feels like I've grown up in the relationship education field. He's amazing and brilliant and I'm blessed to have learned so much from him over the years we worked together and just cherish our relationship.   I distinctly remember a conversation with my dad over 20 years ago where I said that someday I wanted to support women, but I just wasn't sure how.   Fast forward 10 years and Effie (our oldest) was born and, holy moly, did motherhood hit me like a ton of bricks and I completely lost myself in motherhood (you can read the full story in my book).

Tim Maudlin is Professor of Philosophy at NYU and Founder and Director of the John Bell Institute for the Foundations of Physics. Jacob Barandes is Senior Preceptor in Physics at Harvard University, where he works widely across the philosophy of physics, with focuses on the foundations of quantum mechanics, the philosophy of spacetime, and the metaphysics of laws. In this episode, Robinson, Tim, and Jacob discuss Jacob's novel approach to quantum mechanics, which he calls the “Indivisible Approach”. More particularly, they discuss the problems at the core of quantum mechanics, the ontology of the theory, causality and quantum phenomena, probability, and more. If you're interested in the foundations of physics, then please check out the JBI, which is devoted to providing a home for research and education in this important area. Any donations are immensely helpful at this early stage in the institute's life.Tim's Website: www.tim-maudlin.siteThe John Bell Institute: https://www.johnbellinstitute.orgJacob's Website: https://www.jacobbarandes.comThe Stochastic-Quantum Correspondence: https://philosophyofphysics.lse.ac.uk/articles/10.31389/pop.186Historical Debates over the Physical Reality of the Wave Function: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.09397Pilot-Wave Theories as Hidden Markov Models: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.10569OUTLINE00:21 The Problems at the Foundations of Quantum Mechanics13:00 More on the Problems26:09 Is the Wave Function a Real Thing?32:48 Causation, Correlation, and Quantum Mechanics42:03 Terminological Issues44:34 Causal Models and the Markov Condition01:00:57 Can Time Exist Without Change?01:15:00 On Time and Change01:30:38 Newtonian Mechanics and the Markov Condition1:45:00 More on Newtonian Mechanics2:00:00 More on the Markov Condition02:17:49 Tim's Response02:28:18 Philosophy and Physics02:32:38 More on Probability02:42:13 Probability and the Double Slit Experiment 02:59:42 Why Tim Remains PuzzledRobinson's Website: http://robinsonerhardt.comRobinson Erhardt researches symbolic logic and the foundations of mathematics at Stanford University, where he is also a JD candidate in the Law School.

Today, we are joined by Rob Carver to unpack one of the most volatile weeks seen in commodity markets in years. The conversation centers on silver's sharp rise and sudden collapse, using it as a case study in volatility targeting, liquidity risk, and disciplined position sizing. From Freaky Friday to broader dislocations across assets, they examine why systematic risk management matters when markets move faster than narratives. The discussion expands into diversification, correlation assumptions, alternative markets, and new research on trend portfolio construction, offering a grounded reminder that survival often matters more than precision.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rob on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 - Introduction to the Systematic Investor Series03:56 - Freaky Friday in precious metals04:29 - How Rob trades silver in a volatility adjusted framework10:25 - When volatility forces position reduction12:38 - Liquidity myths in hot commodity markets16:25 - Risk management lessons from silver's collapse22:28 - Dislocations across assets beyond metals24:54 - Fed chair speculation and muted market reactions31:33 - Discretionary versus systematic decision making34:03 - Trend barometer and market breadth update37:34 - Estimating portfolio correlation from PnL41:18 - Correlation versus volatility predictability45:13 - MAN Group paper...

Heart disease, dementia, depression, diabetes: what do these conditions have in common? Dr Will Bulsiewicz, a gastroenterologist and New York Times bestselling author, says the answer is inflammation. In today's episode, Will explains the four nutrition workhorses that can reduce inflammation, heal your gut and supercharge your immune system - in as little as 24 hours. We explore discoveries in Will's new book, Plant Powered Plus, that explain the central role inflammation plays in health. You'll learn which symptoms that seem unrelated, such as fatigue, skin breakouts, bloating, headaches, and joint pain, all share a common driver. You'll also hear why he believes the gut and the immune system rise and fall together, and how a weakened gut barrier may keep the immune system on constant alert. By the end of the episode, you will have a clear understanding of what inflammation is, how it can cause damage, and practical, food-first ideas to wrestle yourself from its clutches. What's one small change you could try this week? In your meals or your routine to help your body switch off “fight mode”? Unwrap the truth about your food