Podcasts about Estimates

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Latest podcast episodes about Estimates

StarDate Podcast
The Stinger

StarDate Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 2:19


Two stars that sound a bit scary peek above the southern horizon on summer nights. Together, they form the “stinger” – the end of the curving body of the scorpion. The stars are Lambda and Upsilon Scorpii. Lambda is the brighter of the two. It’s also the more complicated – it consists of three stars. The system’s details are a bit uncertain. That’s largely because its distance is uncertain. Estimates range from about 365 light-years to almost twice that range. Without a good measurement of the distance, it’s tough to figure out how big and heavy the stars really are. We do know that the system consists of a tight binary – two stars that orbit each other once every six days – plus a third star that orbits the others every three years. One of the stars in the binary is much bigger and brighter than the Sun, and 10 to 14 times the Sun’s mass. That means the star will end its life with a colossal explosion. Its close companion is maybe twice the mass of the Sun. But it’s not yet fully formed. The distant companion is another big guy – roughly 8 to 10 times the mass of the Sun. If it’s at the high end of that range, then it, too, will explode as a supernova. If not, its fate is less certain. It could become a supernova, but it also might expire in a more gentle process – a fate similar to the Sun’s. More about the scorpion tomorrow. Script by Damond Benningfield

The Roof Strategist Podcast
Homeowners Are Using AI to Compare Roof Estimates. I Tested It.

The Roof Strategist Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 13:37


Homeowners are now using AI to compare roof estimates.That means that AI could be advising your homeowners on which roofer to choose. And from the conversations I've been having, it sounds like this is becoming even more common. I wanted to know exactly what AI was saying to homeowners, so I ran the experiment myself.I fed three real roof estimates into ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini and I documented everything.Watch this new video to see my test results:1) The 7 things AI looks for when comparing roof estimates2) How estimates that don't include attic ventilation details get “red flagged”3) The specificity AI expects on warranties, flashing, ice & water shield, and more4) The details about the cleanup process that AI seems to want in an estimate5) The 3 common questions AI is prompting homeowners to ask their contractors (these were the most surprising to me)This emerging trend is actually great news for contractors who are willing to adapt.Because what AI flagged is very fixable. And if you adapt before your competitors do, your estimate could become the one AI points to as the winner.P.S. Are you interested in building an even stronger, more modern roofing company? I'd love to invite you to join the Roofing STRONG Alliance™ community: https://rsa.pro/Membership is now available at no additional cost to The TAMKO Edge® Certified Contractors.=============Join The Roofing STRONG Alliance by TAMKO™ (RSA): https://rsa.pro/Exclusively available to The TAMKO Edge® Certified Contractors at no additional cost.FREE Starter Membership (RSA): https://rsa.pro/freePODCASTApple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3fSQievSpotify: https://bit.ly/3eMAqJeFOLLOWFacebookInstagramTikTokLinkedInThe views and opinions expressed are based on Adam's long tenure and personal experiences as a roofing service consultant prior to coming to TAMKO. As such, his views are intended for general informational purposes only and should not be considered professional advice regarding insurance, financing, legal matters, compliance, artificial intelligence, inspections, estimates, or business transactions. Communication techniques and estimate-review concepts discussed are intended solely to help contractors better understand and serve homeowners — not to encourage manipulative, deceptive, misleading, or high-pressure sales practices. Contractors must ensure their inspection, estimate, sales, and business practices comply with all applicable federal, state, and local laws, including consumer protection, licensing, permitting, insurance, advertising, lending laws (including the Truth in Lending Act), and home solicitation sale requirements, including any applicable cooling-off periods or cancellation rights. Any discussion of artificial intelligence tools or AI-generated outputs is illustrative only; such tools may produce incomplete, inaccurate, or variable results and should not be relied upon as a substitute for independent professional, legal, technical, or compliance judgment. Financing and payment-term examples are illustrative only; terms, availability, fees, and required disclosures vary by lender, payment processor, and state. TAMKO makes no representation regarding any financing product, payment method, or its availability. Viewers are encouraged to consult with qualified professionals before applying these concepts or making any decisions related to their business operations.Content produced on or before 5/13/26 was previously produced by The Roof Strategist, TAMKO Building Products LLC makes no representations or warranties regarding its accuracy, completeness, or applicability to current products, programs, or operations.

Remodelers On The Rise
DataX and the AI Workforce Every Remodeler Needs

Remodelers On The Rise

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2026 51:44


AI agents are not as complicated as they sound, and Peter Ranney and Elliott Wittstruck of DataX are proof. They walk through exactly how remodelers are using AI agents inside JobTread right now to automatically clean up field notes, process receipts, cost jobs, and land a daily project health report in their inbox every evening. They also share a seven-level framework for AI adoption that takes all the pressure off and helps you figure out exactly where to start! If you have been curious about AI but not sure where to begin, this one gives you a clear and practical first step.—Today's episode is sponsored by Builder Funnel! Click here to learn more about how Builder Funnel helps remodelers and home builders grow through strategic digital marketing.Explore the vast array of tools, training courses, a podcast, and a supportive community of over 2,000 remodelers. Visit Remodelersontherise.com today and take your remodeling business to new heights!—Key TakeawaysStart with a specific problem, not AI itself.Think micro. Small use cases create big wins.AI is not a magic button. It takes time to learn.AI agents work automatically without manual prompts.Reporting is one of the most valuable AI applications.Better data in = better insights out.Focus on your current level of AI adoption.Don't let AI distract you from serving clients and improving your business.—-Chapters00:00 Introduction and Background06:39 Managing Multiple Ventures10:16 Interacting with AI: The Basics12:09 Automation and AI Agents14:38 Practical Applications of AI in Business19:40 Email Automation and Receipt Processing21:52 Job Performance Analysis with AI24:52 Self-Updating AI Agents26:43 AI Models and Security Concerns29:34 Advanced AI Prompts and Use Cases34:18 Creating Contracts and Estimates with AI38:16 Bridging the Knowledge Gap in AI40:13 Understanding AI Levels of Interaction49:21 Future of AI in Business

Hacker Public Radio
HPR4668: Nuclear Power Technology Follow Up on Safety

Hacker Public Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2026


This show has been flagged as Clean by the host. -------------------- 01 Introduction This is the second follow up to my 8 part series on nuclear power. In this episode I will attempt to answer a question posed by brian in ohio in a comment on HPR4583. In that comment he said: 02 -------------------- Loving this series. Maybe Whiskey Jack could give some cost comparisons between large and small reactors. He could also give us a realistic look at nuclear plant safety/accidents compared to conventional power production. Looking forward to the episode on FORTH generation reactors ;-) -------------------- 03 End of quote. The first question I answered in my previous follow up, which was HPR4628. In this episode I will attempt to answer the second question, which was about the safety of nuclear power compared to other sources of electrical power generation. One of the HPR janitors encouraged me to make this episode, so I think we can thank him for getting another HPR episode made. 04 Defining the Scope First, let's define the scope of the question. This will cover electrical power generation only. Within that scope I will consider only the following sources of energy. 05 Coal Oil Natural Gas Hydroelectric Nuclear Wind Solar I won't cover geothermal, wave, or tidal power as these are only used in very small amounts and so there simply isn't enough literature on them to base a discussion on . 06 Foreshadow Conclusion I should mention right away that I cannot provide absolute answers to this question in the form of a nice, neat ranking table based on numbers from peer reviewed scientific sources. The reasons for this will become apparent, but to put it briefly, the data on which to base such a ranking simply doesn't exist. I will however provide context within which people can think about the issue. Wherever possible, I will provide links to the references that I used in the show notes so you can read further on this yourself. -------------------- 07 Energy Catastrophism versus Energy Uniformitarianism First though I need to go off on a slight geological detour in order to explain an important analogy that I will use. 08 In the 19th century there was a great debate among geologists over what is known as catastrophism versus uniformitarianism. In seeking to explain the origins of the earth and of the landscape that we see around us, there were two points of view. 09 One was "catastrophism". This is the belief that the mountains, valleys, and plains that we see around us were formed as a result of great catastrophes which occurred relatively recently in earth's history. This explanation was necessary in order to fit geological features into an earth that was believed to be only a few thousands of years old. This view was heavily influenced by religious belief. In this view Noah's flood was the great catastrophe and the fossils of dinosaurs were the remains of animals who had not been saved on the ark and so had died in the flood. 10 The other point of view was uniformitarianism. This was the hypothesis that the landscape we see around us can be explained by the very slow accumulation of very small changes over very long periods of time. For this to be true however, the earth had to be far older than the few thousand years that a literal reading of the bible would suggest. The earth in fact had to be many, many, millions of years old. 11 Eventually, the uniformitarian view won out and people understood that while some catastrophes can take place, the shape of the landscape is overwhelmingly due to small changes over very long periods of time. 12 How is this Relevant to this Episode You Ask? How this is relevant is that I will use this analogy to explain how we need to think about energy and safety. Very small numbers of deaths and injuries multiplied over many occurrences can add up to big numbers, comparable in scale or possibly even larger than a single catastrophe or even several of them. 13 I don't know if anyone else has used this analogy before, I have just thought of this when writing the script for this podcast. None the less, I think it is a very useful way of helping to understand the issues. 14 As an example of this, think about the well known case of the safety of flying versus the safety of travelling in your car. Air crashes are catastrophes that make the headlines. Automobile crashes are seldom more than local news at best. You have probably heard many times the claim that if you making a trip somewhere, you are safer to fly than to drive yourself in your car. 15 Example - Hydro versus Solar I will now present an example of this. Hydro electric power has some notable large scale catastrophes associated with it. Roof top solar power does not have any notable catastrophes that I am aware of. However, which is safer? 16 Hydro Catastrophes Here are three examples of hydro electric catastrophes in just one country, Italy. The Vajont Dam which collapsed in1963 An estimated 1,917 to 2,500 people died. The Sella Zerbino dam which collapsed in 1935. More than 100 people died. The Gleno Dam which collapsed in 1923. An estimated 350 people died. https://damfailures.org/ https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4997708/ 17 I haven't tried to compile a global list of the worst hydro electric dam collapses, as this sort of information is actually very difficult to find, even on web sites dedicated to dam failures. An additional problem is that information on whether a dam was used for electric power generation or not is often not available. 18 Dam failures where contradictory or insufficient information is available on whether there was an associated hydro power plant include the 1975 Banqian Dam failure, where death estimates range up to a quarter of a million. 19 Solar Panel Slow Accumulation Contrast this with roof top solar panels. Many small accidents can add up to big numbers as well. 20 Health and safety literature discussing solar panel safety mention things such as Falls from roofs. Electric shock. Arc flash (burns from electrical arcing). Normal electrical safety procedures which are based around locking out sources of energy do not work with solar panels which makes safety more difficult. Heat stress due to working exposed in the hot sun. Warning from US government on falls by solar panel installers. https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/228946 https://www.osha.gov/green-jobs/solar 21 Why We Cannot Compare the Two Hydro catastrophes are not well documented, but we can at least find records of some of the most notable ones. However, even those have very large variations in estimates of deaths. 22 Roof top solar deaths however are largely undocumented. The industry is largely unregulated. There is no central authority which accumulates many individual deaths or injuries. At best there are worker and public safety bodies who simply accumulate those statistics into general construction or household injuries. 23 Thus we have no reliable means of comparing the two energy sources on a comparable basis. We face the same problem with all other major electrical energy sources. So far as I am aware, there are no peer reviewed scientific studies which compare the relative safety of all of the major electrical energy sources we are considering here based on actual numbers. -------------------- 24 Safety Risks I will now try to list some the major hazards for each of energy sources we are considering. There is however limited data available. In many cases we just have reference to worker safety organizations as to what the hazards are. I will not attempt here to put numbers to these here. Categories 25 Coal, Oil, Natural Gas The hazards are Air pollution Mining and oil field accidents Pipeline explosions Transportation accidents. These- move a lot of material so these are significant. 26 Hydroelectric These include Dam collapse Drowning 27 Nuclear These include Radiation exposure 28 Wind These include Falls Confined space deaths (there is not much detail on this) Electric shock Ice throws (that is, throwing pieces of ice off the blades) This technology has a significant problem with people working alone which greatly increases risks associated with other dangers. 29 Solar These include Falls Electric shock Arc flash Heat stress 30 I have not tried to cover all possible risks associated with each category, just the ones which each industry considers to be the risks they concern themselves with. There does not exist any means by which risks of similar types are compared across different industries. 31 Reliability of Supply is Also Safety In a completely electrified net zero society, reliability of supply is a safety matter. People will die in very large numbers in cold climates if they do not have heat. If we have no fossil fuels, we need to also consider how reliably does a grid based on any of the options work. I have not seen anyone attempt to address this question and will not attempt to address it here. However, it must be addressed in any comprehensive attempt to rank safety. -------------------- 32 Studies or Articles on Estimates of Relative Safety Despite the difficulties of comparing the safety of different sources of energy, some people have attempted this anyway. Different estimates done at different times had different focuses, so unfortunately we do not have a nice set of studies that we can neatly use to cross check one another. I will however list the names and the authors and summarize the results. -------------------- 33 The Health Hazards of Not Going Nuclear By Dr. Petr Beckman Published in 1976 The author of this book tried to address the relative safety of different sources of energy in the mid 1970s. However, it is old at this point, so I won't bother digging through its pages to find his figures. 34 He mainly focused on comparing electric power generated with coal to nuclear. His conclusion was that if the goal was to prevent deaths or ill health in the process of generating electricity, then the logical conclusion was to replace coal fired power plants with nuclear. 35 The book was relatively well known at the time, as least as far as books on energy are concerned, so I thought it was still worth mentioning. I happen to have a copy of this book which I bought back in that time period It was the 8th printing of the book, so it would appear to have had relatively good sales. 36 The author did address the issue of what I have termed "catastrophism" in his comparison of different energy sources, although I don't know if he used this phrase. I don't know if he was the first to use this sort of analysis, but he certainly was very influential in terms of popularizing it. -------------------- 37 Risk of Energy Production by Herbert Inhaber Publication AECB 1119 March 1978 This study is a scientific paper from the same time period as the book "The Health Hazards of Not Going Nuclear". 38 He based his risk estimates largely on estimates of the amount of material which was used in the construction and operation of various power sources. While we could argue over whether or not this is a valid methodology, I think any such argument would be pointless as I think the age of the study alone renders it not relevant today anyway. Advancements in materials have changed the basis results significantly by now. However, as it exists I thought I would mention it to show that the idea of comparing energy sources to each other is not a new one. The author compared a wider variety of potential sources than Beckman did. 39 Here's his conclusions. He assumes equal amounts of energy produced by each method. The numbers are normalized such that the total sums to 100%. You can think of it in terms of what proportion of total deaths or injuries would result from each source if each were equally used. 40 Coal 27.5% Oil 25.6% Methanol 16.7% Wind 10.8% Solar photovoltaic 9.2% Thermal 8.1% Solar space heating 1.5% Ocean thermal 0.4% Nuclear 0.13% Natural Gas 0.08% 41 His natural gas estimate is drastically different from that of other authors. I am not going to worry about explaining it however, as the study is as I said old enough to be not very relevant anyway. I am mainly including this here out of historical interest. 42 As a footnote, the methanol he refers to would be synthesized from wood. This was a popular idea in that era as a means of providing liquid fuels for transportation. Practical battery electric cars in those days were strictly science fiction. 43 The ocean thermal category is a real blast from the past and I had forgotten all about that concept. It was a very popular idea at that time and was supposed to be *the* big and upcoming thing in renewable energy. It involved various means of attempting to extract energy from differences in water temperature at different depths in the ocean. It gradually faded away however, as despite great efforts being put into it, designs never proved to be practical. -------------------- 44 Electricity generation and health Anil Markandya, Paul Wilkinson Published in the Lancet, Vol 370, 15 September 2007 45 This is more recent than the previous one, although it is nearly 20 years old at this point. Unfortunately it doesn't cover wind or solar, just fossil fuels and nuclear. However it is still useful, and the Lancet is a very reputable peer reviewed journal. 46 I will present just the results rather than discussing the whole paper. The authors break it down into deaths among the public, occupational deaths, and air pollution related deaths, serious illness, and minor illness. 47 They break the energy sources down into lignite, coal, gas, oil, biomass, and nuclear. Lignite is a type of very low grade coal used mainly for electric power generation. In this paper biomass refers to energy crops and forest residues. 48 I will summarize the results by category rather than trying to describe a table that has 6 rows and 5 columns. All numbers are normalized in terms of deaths or cases per TWh. 49 Occupational deaths from accidents lignite 0.1 coal 0.1 gas 0.001 oil no data biomass - no data Nuclear is 0.019. 50 Deaths among the public from accidents lignite 0.02 coal 0.02 gas 0.02 oil 0.03 biomass no data Nuclear 0.003 51 Air pollution deaths lignite 32.6 coal 24.5 gas 2.8 oil 18.4 biomass 4.63 Nuclear 0.052 52 Air pollution serious illnesses lignite 298 coal 225 gas 30 oil 161 biomass 43 Nuclear 0.22 53 Air pollution minor illnesses lignite 17,676 coal 13,288 gas 703 oil 9,551 biomass 2,276 Nuclear no data 54 Natural gas edges out nuclear power slightly in terms of occupational safety, but in every other category nuclear is drastically lower in terms of ill effects than any of the alternatives. -------------------- 55 2020 Fatalities for US Roofers Increased 15% as Solar Roof Installations Increase Published in The Next Big Future July 6, 2021 by Brian Wang 56 This seems to be written by someone who has a popular science blog. I'm not familiar with it personally, but he addresses the subject so I'll list it. The title implies that it's all about rooftop solar, but he provides comparative numbers for the other energy sources of interest, so that is useful for our purposes. However, he doesn't describe his methodology, so we need to treat them with some caution. Here are his results These are deaths per thousand terawatt hours. 57 Coal - 100,000 Oil - 36,000 Natural gas - 4,000 Hydro - 1,400 Rooftop solar - 440 Wind - 150 Nuclear - 90 58 If we plot these numbers on a bar chart, coal and oil are so large that all of the others are squished to the bottom of the chart and are difficult to see at all. Let's therefore look at these in terms of orders of magnitude. Keep in mind that this is a logarithmic scale. This means that the difference between 4 and 5 is much greater in linear terms than the difference between 1 and 2. 59 Coal - 5 Oil - 4 Natural gas - 3 Hydro - 3 Rooftop solar - 2 Wind - 2 Nuclear - 1 60 Each of these numbers represents an order of magnitude, that is a power of ten. We can see that with rooftop solar, wind, and nuclear, the numbers are so close and the uncertainties are so great and their relative values so small compared to say coal that they can be seen as equivalent so far as safety is concerned. -------------------- 61 What are the safest and cleanest sources of energy? by Hannah Ritchie Published in Our World in Data First published in 2017, updated in 2022 and 2024 62 The author of this study addressed both deaths and greenhouse gas emissions. Deaths from accidents and air pollution are normalized to per TWh of electricity, while greenhouse gas emissions are normalized to GWh of electricity over the life cycle of the plant. 63 Here are the death figures. Coal 24.6 Oil 18.4 Biomass 4.6 Natural Gas 2.8 Hydro power 1.3 Wind 0.04 Nuclear 0.03 Solar 0.02 64 For greenhouse gas emissions the figures are Coal 970 tons Oil 720 tons Natural gas 440 tons Biomass 78 to 230 tons Solar 53 tons Hydro power 24 tons Wind 11 tons Nuclear 6 tons 65 If we take the death figures and rank them by order of magnitude as we did with the previous article, we get the following. 66 Coal - 4 Oil - 4 Biomass - 3 Natural Gas - 3 Hydro power - 3 Wind - 1 Nuclear - 1 Solar - 1 67 Keep in mind that the previous article covered only rooftop solar and not large industrial installations, and so is not directly comparable. Also the units are different, with the previous article being in terms of thousand TWh, and this one being in TWh. If we exclude solar (as the numbers are not comparable), Brian Wang's numbers are between 1.5 to 4 times higher than Ritchie's, except for hydro which are almost identical. I think this latter is due to both sets of numbers are dominated by one exceptionally big hydro accident. 68 Overall however, the relative rankings are quite comparable. Ritchie's numbers for deaths from coal, oil, and natural gas appear to be directly from the study by Markandya and Wilkinson mentioned above. For the benefit of those who are wondering, Ritchie specifically states that her numbers for nuclear include the Chernobyl and Fukushima accidents. -------------------- https://www.iaea.org/publications/magazines/bulletin/21-1/solar-power-more-dangerous-nuclear Direct link to file https://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/publications/magazines/bulletin/bull21-1/21104091117.pdf https://ourworldindata.org/safest-sources-of-energy https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(07)61253-7/abstract https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2021/07/2020-fatalities-for-us-roofers-increased-15-as-solar-roof-installations-increase.html -------------------- 69 Conclusion from Studies Remember that in engineering terms, when comparing groups of numbers which contain both both very small numbers and one or more very large numbers, the differences between the small numbers are often not significant. The differences between the small numbers may be the product of our ability to measure these things rather than any real differences. 70 For example, in the article by Ritchie wind power would appear to be twice as dangerous as nuclear. However, the difference between them is 0.02 compared to 24.6 for coal. In other words, the difference between apparently "dangerous" wind and apparently "safe" nuclear is equivalent to 0.08% of the total for coal. It's therefore meaningless and a red herring to even worry about. 71 With the above taken into consideration, generally the different sources of energy fall into two broad categories in terms of number of deaths, injuries, and illnesses. The fossil fuels and biomass fall into one group and wind, solar, and nuclear into another group. 72 Hydro power would seem to fall into the higher risk category or at least somewhere between the two, but this I suspect is mainly due to one exceptionally large dam collapse in China, the Banqian Dam failure in 1975. This is mentioned as being specifically included in the article written by Ritchie. This was a multi-purpose dam, and information on this dam is difficult to find. It is not clear to me whether it had a hydro electric generator associated with either it or another dam that was part of the same system. 73 Some people therefor may argue for its exclusion from the numbers. Of course some people may argue for its inclusion anyway, as it was a dam regardless of whether it actually had an electric generator attached. If we exclude it, then I think the numbers for hydro power would fall into the same range as for nuclear, wind, and solar. 74 Most people would consider hydro power to be safe and clean enough regardless of this and I will rank it as such in any conclusions that I come to. As you can see, even if we have numbers, it can be a matter of opinion as to how to interpret them. -------------------- -------------------- 75 Taking a Systems Approach Now let's take a look at the broader energy picture today and into the future. Many countries in many parts of the world have committed to the concept of "Net Zero", which means eliminating carbon emissions on a net basis. Net zero essentially means the complete electrification of society. We must therefore have electrical energy on demand and at low cost. We must as a result of this look at complete electrical systems rather than individual sources in isolation. 76 At one time many electrical systems were entirely coal or entirely hydroelectric. This is no longer the case. There are now major amounts of wind and solar involved in many countries. However these are inherently intermittent. This means that other sources of energy are inherently also required to have a functional system. 77 If any particular solution inherently requires fossil fuels to meet part of the demand, then the safety, pollution, and climate issues relating to those fossil fuels have to be factored in to that complete system when trying to come up with a relative ranking. Talking about Individual sources in isolation are therefore meaningless in these countries. 78 There are battery systems, but these are mainly used to stabilize and regulate the grid plus to a lesser degree to smooth out short term daily peaks in demand. They do not have the ability to store large amounts of electricity on a large scale for an entire grid for days, weeks, and months to make up for intermittency. 79 So a serious attempt to rank sources of energy would need to look at a variety of representative countries and for each one come up with a plan that involves 'x' megawatts from source 'a', 'y' megawatts from source 'b', etc., and total up the values for each. 80 I am not aware of anyone who has studied this larger issue. However, the problem has to be addressed from this perspective in order for any answer to be useful. Not taking this into account is like ordering a diet soft drink to go with with a high calorie meal and assuring yourself that your plans to diet are fine. 81 This is not to imply there is anything inherently wrong with wind or solar. It does mean that if your goal is to achieve both net zero and a clean environment, you have to look at your entire energy system as a complete system rather than focusing on what you feel are the most reassuring parts of it while ignoring the rest. This does however add to the argument that it is in fact inherently very difficult to come up with a system of ranking energy sources for safety. -------------------- 82 Nuclear, Climate, and Clean Air - Contrasting Examples To give a tangible example we will now look at two different places that followed two divergent paths at roughly around the same time frame. These are the province of Ontario in Canada, and Germany. 83 Ontario had a mix of coal, hydro electric, and nuclear generating plants. Germany had a mix of coal, nuclear and natural gas plants. Ontario shut down their coal fired plants and kept their nuclear plants. Germany however shut down their nuclear plants and kept their coal fired plants. 84 The Phase Out of Coal in Ontario In 2003 Ontario decided to close all of its coal fired generating plants, which consisted of 19 units (that is boilers and turbines) totalling 8,800 MW. This phase out was completed by 2014. 85 Here are the figures for amount of power generated by each energy source in 2003 and 2014. Nuclear went from 42% to 60% Hydro went from 23% to 24% Gas went from 11% to 9% Coal went from 25% to 0% Non-hydro renewable went from 0% to 7%. 86 As you can see, the bulk of that replacement came from increased use of nuclear power. Furthermore, this did not result in simply replacing coal with natural gas. While gas is cleaner than coal, it still has emissions and if you recall from the studies that we looked at earlier, had an estimated death rate roughly 2 orders of magnitude greater than nuclear, solar, or wind. 87 To put this in more practical terms, at one time Toronto regularly had clouds of smog obscuring it, to a large extent due to these coal fired power plants With the phase out of coal, smog days went to zero in 2015 compared to 53 a decade earlier. The 2023 figures for Ontario show carbon emissions of 53 grams per kWh of electricity generated. We can use this as a rough benchmark comparison for total emissions. 88 The Phase out of Nuclear in Germany Until March of 2011, Germany generated one quarter of its electrical power from nuclear. Starting in 2011 however, they began shutting down their nuclear power plants. These were then phased out over the next decade. However, the coal plants were to be kept to 2038. In 2026 Germany began talking about increasing use of coal in order to save gas. In the same year the German chancellor Friedrich Merz stated that the phase out of nuclear was a quote “serious strategic mistake”. EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said it was "a strategic mistake for Europe to turn its back on a reliable, affordable source of low-emissions power". 89 I won't go into the details of the phase out, but let's look at some emissions numbers for Germany. If we look at the official numbers from the European Environmental Agency for 2024, for Germany their emissions were 298 grams per kWh of electricity generated. Recall that we are using emissions as a very rough guide to amount of air pollution, and that this has a direct effect on the safety of the overall electrical energy system. 90 So, who actually made their people safer, Ontario who phased out their coal plants and kept their nuclear plants, or Germany who phased out their nuclear plants and kept their coal plants? 91 If you want a comparison directly within Europe, then Germany has one of the highest rates of emissions per kWh of electricity generated, whereas France, who use mainly nuclear power, have one of the lowest at 43 grams per kWh of electricity generated. Again, who is making their people safer, Germany or France? 92 I don't want to make it sound like I am picking on Germany. I am also not going to tell them how they ought to run their country. However they provide a good real world example of how we need to look at things in overall context when we are thinking about the choices that we make. https://www.ontario.ca/page/end-coal https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/windsor/smog-study-shows-significant-decreases-in-pollutants-in-ontario-1.4151183 https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/indicators/greenhouse-gas-emission-intensity-of-1 https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profiles/countries-g-n/germany https://www.politico.eu/article/friedrich-merz-is-right-to-reject-germanys-nuclear-phase-out-says-iea-chief-fatih-birol/ https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-considers-ramping-up-coal-power-to-avert-energy-crisis/ https://www.iea.org/countries/estonia/electricity https://www.iea.org/countries/malta/electricity -------------------- 93 Conclusions As we can see, there don't appear to be an abundance of peer reviewed scientific studies that we can simply point to in order to answer the question of safety of all possible major different energy sources once and for all. Collecting the data to even attempt to answer the question is inherently very difficult as we cannot readily conduct experiments to answer the question, and sources of data are not collected or consolidated in a manner which can answer this question adequately. 94 The essence of the problem is that most energy industries are not as tightly regulated and monitored to the same degree that say nuclear power or commercial airliners are, so this data is simply not being systematically recorded. However, a number of people have attempted to make estimates. 95 Their conclusions would seem to be that nuclear, wind, and solar are roughly equivalent in terms of safety. All fossil fuels are much less safe than nuclear, wind, and solar, by as much as several orders of magnitude. 96 We can however say with a reasonable degree of certainty that if a country shut down their nuclear power plants and kept their fossil fuel plants, particularly coal, then they probably made their people less safe than if they had done things the other way around. 97 I hope that I have provided some context in which to think about the issue. Thanks again to brian in ohio for providing the question upon which this episode is based. -------------------- Provide feedback on this episode.

OPENPediatrics
National Estimates of Pediatric Sepsis by F. Balamuth and C. Rhee | OPENPediatrics‌

OPENPediatrics

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2026 34:59


In this World Shared Practice Forum Podcast, first authors Drs. Frances Balamuth and Chanu Rhee describe the objectives and methodology for their study “National Estimates of Pediatric Sepsis in US Hospitals Using Clinical Data” published in the March 2026 edition of JAMA. They discuss the process of modifying the Phoenix Sepsis Criteria to an electronic health record-based Pediatric Sepsis Event (PSE) definition and the methods for validating this definition. The authors share salient findings from their study, noting the limitations, and share their hopes for the future direction of sepsis surveillance research. LEARNING OBJECTIVES - Understand the derivation for the Pediatric Sepsis Event definition for electronic health record-based pediatric sepsis surveillance - Review the validation process for the Pediatric Sepsis Event definition - Compare the Pediatric Sepsis Event definition to the Phoenix Sepsis Criteria - Discuss the results and limitations of the electronic health record-based study design - Express the goals for the future direction of pediatric sepsis surveillance research AUTHORS Frances Balamuth, MD, PhD, MSCE Professor of Pediatrics, Chief of Pediatric Emergency Medicine University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine Children's Hospital of Philadelphia Chanu Rhee, MD, MPH Associate Professor of Population Medicine Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute Traci Wolbrink, MD, MPH‌ Senior Associate in Critical Care Medicine; Department of Anesthesiology, Critical Care and Pain Medicine Boston Children's Hospital Associate Professor of Anesthesia Harvard Medical School DATE Initial publication date: June 23, 2026. ARTICLES REFERENCED Rhee C, Balamuth F, Dysart K, et al. National Estimates of Pediatric Sepsis in US Hospitals Using Clinical Data. JAMA. 2026;335(15):1321-1331. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41865411/ TRANSCRIPT https://cdn.bfldr.com/D6LGWP8S/as/swj4kvkgg686b6p9whmbht/20260622_WSP_Rhee_and_Balamuth_Transcript Please visit: www.openpediatrics.org OPENPediatrics™ is an interactive digital learning platform for healthcare clinicians sponsored by Boston Children's Hospital and in collaboration with the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies. It is designed to promote the exchange of knowledge between healthcare providers around the world caring for critically ill children in all resource settings. The content includes internationally recognized experts teaching the full range of topics on the care of critically ill children. All content is peer-reviewed and open-access, thus at no expense to the user. For further information on how to enroll, please email: openpediatrics@childrens.harvard.edu CITATION Balamuth F, Rhee C, O'Hara JE, Wolbrink TA. National Estimates of Pediatric Sepsis. 06/2026. OPENPediatrics. Online Podcast. https://soundcloud.com/openpediatrics/new-national-estimates-of.

Michigan Minds
AI English and the environmental cost

Michigan Minds

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2026 20:59


Laura Aull, professor of English and linguistics and recent director of the English Department Writing Program at the University of Michigan, joins the Michigan Minds podcast to discuss "AI English," how generative tools disrupt the natural diversity of human speech and why automated hiring and housing systems inherit these linguistic biases. She also explores a largely unexamined downside to our rapid adoption of large language models: the massive, real-world carbon footprint generated by our daily digital conversations.Do you think people will care whether a human or a robot wrote the news or books we read?So far, humans care very much. And today I think we should care. And here are three reasons why I think we should. One is the environmental cost of the computer processing used with AI. Estimates suggest that if you pose a simple query to AI to ChatGPT, let's say versus to a search engine like Google, you're using 50 times the electricity for the simple query. I'm a serious scuba diver, and I know that the ocean should not get any warmer, and so I don't think we should normalize that kind of environmental impact.A second reason is bias. It's clear that AI English tools are biased against language too close to itself or too far away, so it penalizes some English users, including nonnative writers of English, who are more often flagged for plagiarism or more often flagged by AI detection tools even when they haven't used it. And those who use non-standardized dialect AI English don't know varieties from Jamaican English to Indian English.That leads to the third and final reason, which is that human and AI English are different. Human English has more variation and readability than AI English, meaning that human English has more varied kinds of dialect and genres and it is less grammatically dense and it's more humble. AI English is more formal, more impersonal, and more sure of itself. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Natural North Dakota
Why cottonwoods produce millions of seeds

Natural North Dakota

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2026 2:36


A single cottonwood tree can produce a staggering number of small seeds each year. Estimates range from around 25-48 million. But of course, the chances of a seed becoming established and living to maturity are extremely slim.

Thursday Breakfast
Homeless Community Demand Solidarity Not Charity, Understanding Unlawful Centrelink Payment Cancellations, Archival Audio: Policing of s11 Protest, cohealth Governance Under Fire in Damning Review, Fight Continues Against NDIS Cuts

Thursday Breakfast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2026


Headlines:Israel continues attacks on Lebanon in lead up to US-Iran ceasefire dealGaza and West Bank updatesFormer Don Dale detainees win High Court appeal over unlawful tear-gassingProtesters rally to prevent closure of Footscray's Foley HouseClimate change makes El Niño impacts difficult to predict Kelly and Spike, founding members of the Homeless Persons Union of Victoria, joined us for a critical conversation about Vinnies' CEO Sleepout, and shared reflections on self-determined radio programming by folks with lived and living experience of homelessness at 3CR. Tonight, the Homeless Persons Union of Victoria in collaboration with 44 Flats United and Flat Out, are hosting 'Winter Wildfire' at Birrarung Marr, a downhill event to the CEO Sleepout. You can attend Winter Wildfire in person at the Federation Bells, Birrarung Marr from 7-8PM, or join the live stream on Homeless Persons Union of Victoria's Facebook page.// Jeremy Poxon, member of Antipoverty Centre, unemployed antipoverty activist and former spokesperson for the Australian Unemployed Workers' Union, helped us unpack how Centrelink continues to systematically and unlawfully cancel payments. The Department of Employment and Workplace Relations has now suggested in Estimates hearings that over 100,000 people may have had their Centrelink payments unlawfully cancelled under the Targeted Compliance Framework (TCF) – roughly 10 times the number the Department has publicly admitted. Jeremy discusses the hearings, the TCF, the creation of a new complaints service, and how to get support if you are affected by payment suspensions or cancellations.// As part of 3CR's 50th anniversary celebrations, we dive into the station's archives to take you back 26 years to a pivotal protest against the World Economic Forum, 11-13 September 2000, at the Crown Casino Complex in Melbourne. The s11 protest brought disparate organising groups together into a broad coalition against globalisation and multinational domination. 3CR covered the massive public opposition to the WEF and compiled highlights of the broadcasts on an award-winning 12-part CD, Globalisation Unplugged.// Christine Carolan, a member of Save Community Health, joined us again to unpack the recently released 'Review of Cohealth General Practice and Related Services, Final Report March 2026'. The Review was provided to the Department of Health, Disability and Ageing, and the Victorian Department of Health in March and released publicly in June. Christine explains what the review found and recommended, why it is so significant, reactions to the report, and what comes next. Save Community Health is a community led campaign that receives no funding and is not affiliated with any political party or group. Contact them via email at savecommunityhealth@gmail.com and find out more on their website. Christine encouraged folks to email Health Minister Harriet Shing (contact details here) to demand that cohealth is appropriately resourced and governed to continue providing vital public health services to Melbourne's community.// Chris Ferric is a Naarm-based painter and portraitist whose artistic practice explores social change, collaboration, and developing accessible practices, as well as a member of Disabled People Against Cuts. They were of a group from Disabled People Against Cuts that addressed the public hearing for the Senate Inquiry into the NDIS Amendment Bill 2026 last week. We spoke with Chris about their experience at the public hearing, the dangers of using AI within the NDIS, and why the inquiry report has been delayed. Disabled People Against Cuts encourages people to meet with their local member and senators to ask them to insist on the withrdrawal of the bill. Disabled People Against Cuts also shared The Commons Social Change Library as a resource to assist in taking action.//

The Anti-Doping Podcast
174 - Developing New Approaches to Address Bias and Improve Doping Prevalence Estimates - Maarten Cruyff, PhD

The Anti-Doping Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2026 45:10


Dr. Maarten Cruyff is an Assistant Professor in the Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences and Chair of Methodology and Statistics at Utrecht University. In this episode, he discusses how methods used to measure doping prevalence have changed over time, his work on different models for collecting and analyzing responses from athlete surveys about doping, his role in the World Anti-Doping Agency's Prevalence Working Group, current challenges that remain in determining doping prevalence, and more.

New Missions
Laugh At Yourself

New Missions

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2026 5:24


How often do you laugh? According to the National Library of Medicine, children generally laugh more frequently than adults. Estimates have it that children laugh 400 times per day, while adults may laugh only 15-20 times a day. Psalm 126:2 says, “Our mouths were filled with laughter, our tongues with songs of joy. Then it was said among the nations, ‘The Lord has done great things for them.'” Maybe it's time we count our laughs and start laughing at ourselves. Learn more about priority projects at www.newmissions.org/projectsRead our monthly newsletter at www.newmissions.org/newsRead the entire "Laugh At Yourself" article.Follow New Missions on Instagram.Support the show

360 with Katie Woolf
Opposition Leader Selena Uibo on Health Minister at Estimates

360 with Katie Woolf

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2026 14:53 Transcription Available


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360 with Katie Woolf
Our Birth Our Voice Sophia Emberson-Bain after Health Minister faced Estimates

360 with Katie Woolf

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2026 13:45 Transcription Available


See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Agribusiness Update
Georgia Data Center and IFPA's Washington Conference

The Agribusiness Update

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2026


Another data center is threatening farmers and their land, this time in Georgia, and Fresh produce industry leaders were in Washington, D.C. advocating policy priorities affecting growers, consumers, and ag businesses.

The Agribusiness Update
Pressure Bombs and IFPA's Washington Conference

The Agribusiness Update

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2026


Using pressure chambers, commonly called pressure bombs, has been compared to taking the “blood pressure” of a plant to tell how stressed it is for water, and Fresh produce industry leaders were in Washington, D.C. advocating policy priorities affecting growers, consumers, and ag businesses.

360 with Katie Woolf
Opposition's Chansey Paech on estimates and fuel retailers fined

360 with Katie Woolf

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2026 9:19 Transcription Available


See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Minnesota Now
Minneapolis estimates Operation Metro Surge cost the city $700 million

Minnesota Now

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 5:17


Minneapolis officials released updated numbers Wednesday on how much the surge in federal immigration officials cost the city. City officials say there was nearly $700 million dollars in damage between December 2025 through April 2026. That total includes revenue businesses lost, wages workers lost and money the city spent responding to the surge.MPR News reporter Estelle Timar-Wilcox joined MPR News host Nina Moini with details from a briefing on the report.

RNZ: Morning Report
Treasury estimates $5 billion overseas carbon credit cost

RNZ: Morning Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 7:16


Treasury estimates it could cost up to $5 billion to pay for the overseas carbon credits New Zealand needs to honour its Paris Agreement commitments. Climate change correspondent Kate Newton spoke to John Campbell.

Scotland's Farm Advisory Service Podcast
Business and Policy News Audio June 2026: Policy, cereal, beef, sheep and milk updates and a spotlight on Scottish farm business income: annual estimates 2024-2025

Scotland's Farm Advisory Service Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 50:31


Along with our regular monthly updates on policy, cereals, beef, sheep and milk, in this edition we also have a spotlight on Scottish farm business income: annual estimates 2024-2025.Timestamps00:37 News in Brief06:17 Policy Briefs – Red Diesel Duty, Scottish Upland Sheep Support Scheme 2025 payments, New strategy for swine fever, Scotland's New Rural Affairs Secretary, Food tariffs.11:11 Cereals – Latest news and market update19:44 Beef – Latest news and market update25:53 Sheep – Latest news and market update32:41 Milk – Latest news and market update40:35 Sector focus – Scottish farm business income: annual estimates 2024-202546:44 Further articles – Crop update video, Barley Yellow Dwarf Virus article & FAS TV episode on Future Planning & SuccessionFAS Resources:Newsletters - Business & Policy Edition - Farm Advisory Service advice@fas.scotOther Resources:Red Diesel Duty To Be Cut By One-ThirdScottish Upland Sheep Support Scheme (SUSSS) 2025 paymentsNew Strategy Launched To Protect Pig Sector Against Swine FeverGillian Martin Appointed Scotland's New Rural Affairs SecretaryFood Tariff ReductionsBluetongue movement restrictions - from 1 June 2026Publications:Agricultural profit estimates and milk production statisticsBluetongue – latest situationConsultations:Scotland's Peatland Standard – Consultation draftStock Talk - The Use Of AI In Poultry | FASScottish farm business income: annual estimates 2024-2025 - gov.scotWhole Farm Benchmarks Tool 2024-25 | Helping farmers in Scotlandscottishfarmbusinesssurvey@sac.co.ukLatest Crop Update for Scotland's FarmersClimate Change and the Escalating Risk of Barley Yellow Dwarf Virus (BYDV)Future Planning & SuccessionFor more information, visit www.FAS.scotFacebook: @FASScotNational Advice HubPhone: 0300 323 0161Email: advice@fas.scot

360 with Katie Woolf
Independent Member for Araluen and NT Speaker Robyn Speaker on Finke and Estimates

360 with Katie Woolf

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 13:10 Transcription Available


See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

speaker estimates finke independent member araluen
360 with Katie Woolf
Opposition Chansey Paech on Finke, Estimates, Scrutiny Committee, Child Protection and calls for flood inquiry

360 with Katie Woolf

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2026 10:41 Transcription Available


See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Managing Dental Drama Podcast
Are Accurate Estimates Important?

Managing Dental Drama Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2026 52:13 Transcription Available


Today's episode jumps straight into the deep end of managing a practice. Dr. Kuba shares about a disgruntled parent in her practice that ended up with an unexpected bill of $1,700. Travel together with Dr. Kuba and Bethany as they discuss step by step how they investigated the account and used it as an opportunity to learn and improve. In today's episode, they discuss what all went wrong with the treatment estimate and then discuss the changes that could have been made to ensure a more accurate estimate. Deep and meaningful tips are included in this episode PLUS so much more in the June bonus episode. Don't Miss the Early Bird Registration Special for the Leadership Summit!! Friday, September 18 from 8:30 – 4:30Inquire or register TODAY: www.hellobethany.com/leadership 

Do you really know?
What is the optimism bias?

Do you really know?

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2026 5:23


Today we're going to talk about a cognitive bias that causes people to believe, often mistakenly, that they are less likely to experience negative events and more likely to experience positive events than others. Estimates suggest that 80% of us display what's known as the optimism bias. For example, we might think that we are less likely to get sick, lose our job, or have a car accident than the average person. We might also think that we are more likely to live longer, be successful, or win the lottery than others. Why do we have such a bias? And how does it affect our decisions and actions? What are the drawbacks of optimism bias? In under 3 minutes, we answer your questions ! To listen to the latest episodes, click here: ⁠⁠Is it bad to hold in your pee?⁠⁠ ⁠⁠Why does looking at the sun make me sneeze?⁠⁠ ⁠⁠What is “Act your Wage”, Gen Z's latest work-life trend?⁠⁠ A Bababam Originals podcast written and realised by Joseph Chance. First Broadcast : 7/6/2023 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Front
Nobody hates like the Labor Party - and their brawling could sink our submarines

The Front

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2026 14:47 Transcription Available


Old enemies on one side - critics on the other - that’s life these days for Richard Marles, the deputy prime minister, defence minister and the man in charge of driving through the biggest military investment Australia’s ever made - the nuclear powered AUKUS submarines. So - is the deal falling apart? Can Marles stare down the haters? Greg Sheridan is here. Read more about this story at theaustralian.com.au and see the video by subscribing to our YouTube channel. Hanson finally turns up to Estimates to grill brass Watch our submarine documentary: The Flood Episode 1 Xenophobia makes us less safe: Marles This episode of The Front is presented and produced by Claire Harvey and edited by Tiffany Dimmack. Our team includes Kristen Amiet, Lia Tsamoglou, Joshua Burton and Jasper Leak, who also composed our music. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Tara Show
Full Show - “America at the Breaking Point: Borders, Courts, Money, and Global Pressure Collide”

The Tara Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2026 112:22


EPISODE DESCRIPTION Today's combined transcript paints a picture of a country under multiple stress lines at once—political conflict over immigration enforcement, accelerating corporate relocation driven by legal risk, escalating accusations of federal fraud in spending programs, and rising instability in global energy and security dynamics. Across all segments, one theme repeats: institutions are being challenged—by protesters in the streets, corporations in boardrooms, watchdogs in federal agencies, and geopolitical actors abroad. SEGMENT 1: IMMIGRATION SHOWDOWN IN NEW JERSEY Tensions escalate around ICE detention facilities in New Jersey, where federal and state narratives sharply diverge over conditions, protests, and enforcement. Supporters of the facility argue it is being properly managed, legally compliant, and necessary for immigration enforcement. Critics and protest groups are described as escalating pressure campaigns to force shutdowns. The broader conflict reflects a familiar national pattern: local jurisdictions, federal agencies, and political leaders all asserting competing authority over immigration enforcement zones. At the center is a deeper question—who ultimately controls access, safety, and enforcement when federal facilities sit inside politically divided states? SEGMENT 2: CORPORATE AMERICA'S “COURTS, NOT TAXES” MIGRATION A major theme today: corporations relocating headquarters are increasingly citing legal jurisdiction—not taxation—as the deciding factor. Executives and analysts point to growing concerns over: unpredictable jury awards politically charged litigation environments inconsistent legal standards across states and “judge shopping” strategies used by both plaintiffs and defendants ExxonMobil's move from New Jersey to Texas is highlighted as a major example, with leadership emphasizing regulatory and legal predictability over traditional cost savings. The broader argument: companies are reorganizing around federal court geography, choosing states where legal outcomes feel more stable and business-aligned. Florida and select Texas jurisdictions are repeatedly referenced as preferred destinations due to perceived legal consistency. SEGMENT 3: FEDERAL SPENDING, FRAUD CLAIMS, AND GREEN ENERGY GRANTS Sharp accusations emerge around federal spending oversight, particularly involving environmental and “green energy” grant programs. Former and current officials cited in the discussion claim: large-scale fraud or misallocation in federal spending systems billions routed through nonprofit intermediaries limited oversight once funds are distributed beyond initial federal transfer Specific grant programs tied to climate and infrastructure funding are described as structurally difficult to audit once dispersed through multiple organizations. At the center of the debate is whether federal spending mechanisms have adequate controls—or whether layered nonprofit structures reduce accountability. These claims remain politically contested but are fueling renewed calls for audits, clawbacks, and enforcement actions. SEGMENT 4: BUDGET DEFICIT AND FRAUD REDUCTION DEBATE Senior officials and policy voices argue that significant portions of federal spending may be vulnerable to fraud or improper distribution. Estimates cited range in the hundreds of billions annually in potential waste or fraud, with arguments that stricter eligibility enforcement could materially reduce the deficit. The policy debate centers on two competing visions: aggressive enforcement and restructuring of eligibility systems versus maintaining existing program structures with incremental oversight improvements The conversation reflects broader fiscal anxiety about long-term debt sustainability and federal spending integrity. SEGMENT 5: GLOBAL ENERGY PRESSURE AND STRAIT SECURITY DYNAMICS International developments add another layer of instability. Oil markets are described as highly sensitive to geopolitical t ...

TD Ameritrade Network
Stock Market Today: SNOW Wins, DELL Surpasses Estimates & NBIS Climbs

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 1:25


Snowflake (SNOW) beat earnings expectations and announced AWS deal while Dell Technologies (DELL) beat revenue expectations by almost $10 billion. Nebius (NBIS) also rallied after a filing showed a hedge fund disclosing 5.5% stake in the infrastructure company.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

snow ios aws estimates climbs sling vizio market minute stock market today
Retail Daily Minute
Ross Stores Crushes Estimates, Walmart Shakes Up Leadership & Starbucks Kills Its AI Inventory Tool

Retail Daily Minute

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 6:13


ed by Duvo and Mirakl.In today's Retail Daily Minute, Omni Talk's Chris Walton discusses:Ross Stores delivered a blowout fiscal first quarter, with revenue surging 21% and comparable sales up 17%, prompting the off-price giant to dramatically raise its full-year outlook.Walmart is reshuffling its executive ranks under new CEO John Furner, with Sam's Club COO Tom Ward and U.S. store operations head Cedric Clark both departing.Starbucks has scrapped its AI-powered automated inventory counting tool just nine months after a national rollout, after the app repeatedly miscounted and mislabeled products.The Retail Daily Minute has been rocketing up the Feedspot charts, so stay informed with Omni Talk's Retail Daily Minute, your source for the latest and most important retail insights.

StarDate Podcast
Moon and Regulus

StarDate Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2026 2:14


The Moon creeps up on the heart of Leo tonight, the star Regulus. Regulus is close to the upper left of the Moon at nightfall. The Moon will move closer before they set, around 2 a.m. They’ll be closest together as seen from the West Coast. The star we see as Regulus is called Regulus A. It’s several times bigger and heavier than the Sun, and much brighter. A tiny companion star is so close that it’s impossible to see through the glare. That duo appears to have two more companions, Regulus B and C. They form their own pair, orbiting each other once every 600 years or so. Regulus B is about 80 percent the size and mass of the Sun, and one-third as bright. Regulus C is a third of the Sun’s mass and size, and just two percent as bright. Regulus B and C are 79 light-years from Earth – the same distance as Regulus A. And they’re moving through space in the same speed and direction as the brighter star. That suggests that they’re bound to Regulus A. But they’re a long way from it – several thousand times the distance between Earth and the Sun. So astronomers haven’t watched the system nearly long enough to calculate a mutual orbit for the two pairs of stars. Estimates say it would take more than a hundred-thousand years for them to complete one circuit. So it’s possible that they’re not really bound at all – just a chance alignment at the bright heart of the lion. Script by Damond Benningfield

Think Out Loud
Oregon Community Foundation investing $100 million to build the state's housing supply

Think Out Loud

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2026 17:35


The housing crisis is worse than ever, and it’s one that many elected representatives and nonprofits have been working on for some time. Last month Gov. Kotek signed a package of housing related bills into law. They allow cities to expand their urban growth boundaries, protect existing affordable housing and provide financing to encourage the construction of new housing. Estimates put the need for new homes at 29,500 a year to keep up with population growth and the demand for housing.   Constructing new housing for middle income families is at the heart of the Oregon Community Foundation’s announcement of its $100 million “Building Hope Fund.” OCF says it’s a kind of down payment to spur even more investment from other sources to create a fund that will make affordable loans to developers so they can build middle income housing. OCF’s goal is 10,000 new homes built all around Oregon in the next 10 years. Lisa Mensah is the President and CEO of the Foundation. She joins us to explain how she sees the loan program working and how it fits into their extensive and longstanding granting program for housing and other community needs throughout the state.

Squawk Box Europe Express
Nvidia blows past Q1 estimates

Squawk Box Europe Express

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 22:51


Nvidia notches another stellar quarter with revenue soaring by 85 per cent to more than $80bn. The chip giant has also announced the same amount in share buy-backs. CEO Jensen Huang tells our colleagues Stateside that demand in the new era of A.I. is ‘sky-high'. SpaceX files its prospectus ahead of what will be the biggest listing of all time on Wall Street. The company is eyeing future data centres to be built in space and a million-resident colony on Mars. In further IPO news, OpenAI is also reportedly aiming at a listing as soon as next week in what could be a trillion-dollar offering. Stakeholder Softbank sees shares soar in the Asian session as a result.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

WSJ Minute Briefing
Nvidia Beats Estimates With Record First Quarter Sales

WSJ Minute Briefing

Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2026 2:44


Plus: SpaceX files its long-anticipated IPO as investors prepare for what could be the largest debut on record. And AMC Entertainment stock soars after the movie theater chain's CEO disclosed that he purchased 250,000 additional shares. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

WSKY The Bob Rose Show
Eye-popping FHP immigration enforcement with Epoch Times' Nanette Holt

WSKY The Bob Rose Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2026 9:25


Estimates of 6-million ‘ghost' immigrants in Florida, and the Florida Highway Patrol is involved in operations tracking illegals. Epoch Times investigative reporter Nanette Holt joined in dramatic patrols in South Florida, tracking immigrants not known to be in the state. The long list of crimes committed, and the surprising concentration of foreigners in the state.

Million Dollar Landscaper
Stop Giving Free Estimates — Here's What to Do Instead- MDL Episode 403

Million Dollar Landscaper

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2026 17:58


Your phone is ringing again. You're in the middle of an estimate with a great client, building rapport, about to close — and your crew leader is calling because the mower won't start. Or they ran out of mulch. Or a customer asked about one extra shrub.   If this is your day, this episode is for you.   Scott Molchan walks through exactly how to get your crews running jobs without you — not by hiring better people, but by giving the people you have the right tools and information.   In this episode, Scott covers: Why your crew keeps calling — and why training them to stop starts with you changing your behavior, not theirs. How to use estimated hours on every work order — sharing that number changes the psychology of the job. It gives your crew a target. It turns work into a game. And it starts protecting your profits. What detailed job instructions actually look like — vague work orders create phone calls. Photos, videos, notes, and specific scope attached to every job means your crew can do 90% of that work before you even show up. The Three Before Me rule — before any crew leader is allowed to call you with a problem, they have to check three things first: the work order, your SOPs, and one other person. Only then do they call you. This one shift quietly changes how your whole team operates. How to actually enforce it — because the rule only works if you hold the line. Scott talks through what that looks and feels like in the first few weeks.   If you're stuck answering field questions all day while trying to run the business side, this episode gives you a real path out.   Follow Million Dollar Landscaper: Website | Facebook | Instagram | YouTube

Forbes Talks
Iran War Costs Have Increased $4 Billion—Some Estimates Say It's Closer To $200 Billion

Forbes Talks

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2026 3:38


The cost of the Iran war has ballooned $4 billion since the Pentagon's last public estimate less than two weeks ago, officials said Tuesday—though the economic costs of the war are likely significantly higher. The war has cost around $29 billion, Defense Department Comptroller Jay Hurst told Congress Tuesday, attributing the increase to “updated repair and replacement of equipment cost and also just general operational cost.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Grain Markets and Other Stuff
LIMIT-UP Wheat Following USDA Crop Estimates + China to Buy US Corn for the First Time in Years??

Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 15:42 Transcription Available


Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links —Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

The Kevin Jackson Show
Trouble in Democrat Paradise - Ep 26-190

The Kevin Jackson Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 38:40


Welcome back to The Kevin Jackson Show where common sense still rents property in America, though apparently not in California because the taxes are too high. Folks, there is trouble in Leftist Paradise, and you can measure it the way archaeologists measure the collapse of ancient civilizations: abandoned structures, fleeing citizens, and governors standing in front of cameras insisting everything is “vibrant.”After hearing Stuart Varney talking about the exodus from blue states, and it raises the most obvious question in modern politics: if Democrat policies are so magical, why are millions of people treating Democrat-run states like a house with a carbon monoxide leak?Seriously. Democrats campaign like they invented happiness itself. They talk about “equity,” “compassion,” “community,” and “sustainability.” But apparently the most sustainable thing in California is the outbound lane on Interstate 10.They estimate somewhere between 1.5 and 2 million people have left California in recent years. And remember, the official population decline looks smaller because babies are still being born there. In other words, California has become a state where the stork and the U-Haul are passing each other on the freeway like shift changes at a factory.Think about that. California lost over 200,000 residents in 2019 alone. That's not a migration pattern. That's an evacuation with better coffee.And businesses? Don't even start. Estimates range from 300 to over 800 companies either relocating headquarters or moving major operations out of the state. Imagine building the most beautiful restaurant in town, then discovering every customer is sprinting toward the parking lot carrying to-go boxes.Tesla left. Oracle left. Charles Schwab left. Other companies quietly slipped out the back door like party guests who suddenly heard someone say, “Before dessert, let's discuss reparations and new permit fees.”And Democrats still talk like the midterms are going to be some giant awakening. Awakening to what? The thrill of paying fourteen dollars for a kale wrap while stepping over a human landmine on the sidewalk?People aren't leaving red states to move into blue states anymore. They're leaving blue states because the “progressive dream” started to resemble a luxury escape room where every clue costs another tax increase.California remains economically gigantic, no question about it. It's still a powerhouse. Silicon Valley alone can generate enough wealth to make smaller nations blush. But at the same time, California has turned daily life into what feels like the world's most expensive loyalty test.Can you survive the gas prices? Can you survive the regulations? Can you survive the crime? Can you survive explaining to your child why math is now emotionally problematic?[X] SB – Teacher DarrenCongratulations! You win the privilege of renting a one-bedroom apartment for the price of a liver transplant.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Trade Talks
Bad Estimates Are Destroying Contractor Profits

The Trade Talks

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 60:23


Welcome to The Trade Talks Live, where we celebrate the blue-collar trades and everything they stand for! Join us every Wednesday from 3:00-4:00 Cental as we dive into national news, review trade websites, and share tips on mindset growth to help you succeed. Don't miss this hour of insights, inspiration, and practical advice! A big thank you to Leak-Pro for sponsoring this episode of The Trade Talks Live! Register for my FREE webinar! https://www.justmetroger.com LeakPro provides state-of-the-art leak detection solutions specifically designed for plumbers, helping professionals pinpoint hidden leaks with accuracy and efficiency. By utilizing advanced acoustic technology and digital sensors, LeakPro allows plumbers to reduce unnecessary damage, saving time and money on every job. LeakPro's tools are essential for detecting slab leaks, pipe leaks, and irrigation system failures without

MID-WEST FARM REPORT - EAU CLAIRE
Season Insects, Crop Progress & Estimates, Iowa Ag Happenings

MID-WEST FARM REPORT - EAU CLAIRE

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 49:57


See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

RBN Energy Blogcast
How High? – Surge in U.S. Crude Exports Ups Estimates of What Gulf Coast Terminals Can Handle

RBN Energy Blogcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 11, 2026 13:06


The monthslong closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the related surge in crude oil exports from the U.S. Gulf Coast has prompted two big questions: (1) how much oil can the region's marine terminals reliably send out on a sustained basis and (2) does the USGC need more export capacity.

Smartinvesting2000
May 8th, 2026 | Bitcoin had a nice April, will it continue? Will Gas Prices Come Back Down? April Jobs Report Changes Everything, When Permanent Life Insurance Isn't Permanent & More

Smartinvesting2000

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2026 55:38


Bitcoin had a nice April, will it continue The cryptocurrency gained 12.7% last month, marking its best performance since April 2025. Interestingly, according to CryptoQuant, the 30-day change in outright Bitcoin purchases remained negative throughout April. That suggests the rally wasn't driven by strong spot demand.   Instead, much of the momentum came from something called perpetual futures. Until recently, I wasn't very familiar with this product, but at its core, it's another tool that increases risk. Unlike traditional options, these derivative contracts have no expiration date and are designed to let traders speculate on the price movements of an underlying asset. Perpetual futures have grown rapidly in popularity within the crypto space, largely because they allow for significantly higher leverage—sometimes as much as 100x. That kind of leverage can amplify gains, but it also increases the risk of sharp reversals.   Historically, when there's a divergence between the spot market and the futures market like this, price gains tend not to last once leveraged positions begin to unwind. Where crypto goes from here is anyone's guess, but piling more leverage onto an already risky asset doesn't seem like a good idea to me.   When Will We See Gas Prices Come Back Down? No one can predict exactly when gas prices will decline, but many are aware the current prices are being driven higher by the situation with Iran. At this point, the bombing appears to have ended, but much of the country remains heavily damaged. Estimates suggest it could cost Iran nearly $300 billion to rebuild what has been destroyed.   The situation has shifted to one in which Iran is slowly being weakened economically because little to no oil is being exported from the country, resulting in a major loss of revenue. Reports estimate these losses at roughly $200 million per day — approximately $6 billion per month or $12 billion over two months.   Inflation in Iran is currently estimated to be above 60% and continues to rise as economic conditions worsen. Based on these developments, I still believe we could begin to see oil prices decline sometime around the end of June. If that happens, prices may fall at a fairly rapid pace, and by the end of July consumers could see more normal prices at the gas pump.   Lower energy costs would likely help improve overall economic conditions, potentially putting the economy back on track and supporting GDP growth by the end of the year.   The April jobs report just threw cold water on the “imminent Fed cuts” narrative.   The U.S. economy added 115,000 jobs in April, well above expectations of 55,000, while unemployment held steady at 4.3%. Given little growth in the labor force, only modest job creation is needed to keep the rate steady. Wage growth also remained relatively firm at 3.6% on an annual basis. In short: the labor market is slowing from the breakneck pace of the post-COVID boom, but it is not breaking.   That matters because the Federal Reserve has a dual mandate: keep inflation under control & maintain maximum employment.   Right now, the jobs side of the equation is giving the Fed room to stay patient. A few months ago, markets were pricing in aggressive rate cuts based on fears that the labor market was deteriorating. This report makes that much harder to justify. Hiring remains positive & layoffs are still relatively contained. Sectors that were strong in the month were healthcare, up 37k jobs; transportation & warehousing, up 30k jobs; and retail trade was up 22k jobs. Areas of weakness were information, down 13k jobs; and federal government, down another 9k jobs.   The bigger issue for the Fed now is inflation. Energy prices remain elevated, tariffs are feeding through supply chains, and policymakers are increasingly worried that inflation could stay sticky longer than expected. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee acknowledged on Friday that inflation has been “going the wrong way lately.” As long as the labor market remains stable, it appears the Fed has little urgency to cut rates.   The key takeaway: This wasn't a “Goldilocks” report for dovish investors hoping for rapid cuts. It was a reminder that the economy is still strong enough for the Fed to prioritize inflation over stimulus. And until unemployment starts rising meaningfully or inflation decelerates, the Fed may have a hard time justifying rate cuts.   Financial Planning: When Permanent Life Insurance isn't Permanent Cash value life insurance policies should be reviewed regularly because the long-term performance of the policy often changes significantly over time. In many policies, the internal cost of insurance increases every year as the insured ages because the probability of death rises with age. In addition, policies also have other internal expenses such as administrative fees, rider costs, premium loads, and investment management expenses. While policies are commonly illustrated using attractive hypothetical growth rates, those returns can be misleading because they are shown before many of these internal deductions are applied. As the insured gets older and the insurance costs rise, the total internal charges can eventually exceed the policy's earnings, causing the net growth rate of the cash value to become very low or even negative. When this happens, the policy may begin consuming its own cash value to stay in force. If the cash value becomes depleted, the policy can lapse unless substantially higher premiums are paid later in life. Reviewing these policies proactively is important so there is time to determine whether additional funding is needed, whether benefits should be adjusted, or whether surrendering the policy and accessing any remaining cash value may be the better option before the policy becomes unsustainable.   Companies Discussed: GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. (GEHC), JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU), The Clorox Company (CLX) & Corning Incorporated (GLW)  

The Daily Standup
Two Truths and A Lie About Agile - Mike Cohn

The Daily Standup

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2026 10:54


Let's play a quick round of Two Truths and a Lie.Here are three statements about agile. Two are true. One is false.Read them over and see if you can spot the lie before I reveal it. Agile teams should be willing to change their plan for the sprint if they discover a better way to meet the sprint goal.Estimation in agile is most useful for helping teams forecast and make trade-offs, not for holding individuals accountable.A team that consistently finishes every planned story in every sprint is demonstrating a healthy, predictable agile process.The lie is #3.That statement sounds responsible, disciplined, and maybe even a little impressive. Which is exactly why it fools people.It reflects a common misunderstanding of agile: the idea that a good team is one that is always comfortable, always certain, and always exactly on plan.But healthy agile teams are not defined by perfect adherence to a prediction. They are defined by how well they pursue outcomes, adapt to what they learn, and make sensible decisions in the presence of uncertainty.Let's look at each statement.A sprint plan should guide the team, but it should not trap the team. At the start of a sprint, the team creates the best plan it can with the information available at that moment.Once the sprint begins, though, the team learns more. A technical approach that seemed promising turns out to be awkward. A dependency proves easier than expected. A simpler solution emerges. Or a conversation reveals a better way to achieve the intended outcome.When that happens, a good agile team should be willing to adjust. The important thing to preserve is the sprint goal rather than every detail of the original plan.The goal provides focus. The selected stories, tasks, and implementation approach are simply the team's current best thinking about how to reach that goal. If the team discovers a better path, it should take it.Changing the plan during a sprint is not a sign of weak discipline. In many cases, it is evidence that the team is paying attention and responding intelligently to what it learns.Teams get into trouble when they stick to the initial plan even after new information shows a better way forward. Agile works best when teams stay committed to the goal while remaining flexible about how to achieve it.Estimation is most helpful when it supports planning and decision-making. Teams estimate so they can answer practical questions like these: How much work can we likely take on?When might a larger effort be completed?If we add this item, what will need to move?Are we taking on too much uncertainty at once?Those are valuable questions, and estimation can help teams answer them.Where estimation becomes far less useful is when it is turned into a tool for judging individual performance.Once estimates are used to hold individuals accountable, people naturally become more defensive with them. Estimates get padded. Uncertainty gets hidden. Conversations become less honest. The numbers may still exist, but they stop helping the team make good decisions.That is why I prefer to keep estimation focused on decision-making. Estimates do not need to be exact to be useful. They only need to be good enough to help a team forecast, weigh options, and recognize when it may be taking on too much. A team that finishes every planned story in every sprint may look predictable. But if that happens all the time, I would not automatically consider it a sign of health. In fact, I would probably wonder whether the team is planning too conservatively.How to connect with AgileDad:- [website] ⁠https://www.agiledad.com/⁠- [instagram] ⁠https://www.instagram.com/agile_coach/⁠- [facebook] ⁠https://www.facebook.com/RealAgileDad/⁠- [Linkedin] ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/leehenson/

The Modern Craftsman Podcast
Why Free Estimates Hurt You

The Modern Craftsman Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2026 32:20


Tyler breaks down the line between being helpful and giving away work you should be paid for. This one is about protecting your time, charging for the planning, and stopping the habit of solving the hardest part of the job for free. Sign up for the Modern Craftsman Community:

The AC Method
#144 Why Your Estimates Are Killing Your Margins

The AC Method

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 17, 2026 11:14


Fresh off the massive success at the ISA Expo, Aaron is pulling back the curtain on the most requested feature of the new SquareCoil platform: Precision Cost Accounting. In this episode, we move past the "cool AI tricks" and get into the brutal reality of shop floor labor, scope cards, and the human factor.Aaron discusses why your team—no matter how technical—has no excuse for not tracking data, and how having those data points allows you to reward your top performers and make smarter machinery investments.

The Daily Standup
Why Estimating and Planning Still Matter - Mike Cohn

The Daily Standup

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2026 3:49


Why Estimating and Planning Still Matter - Mike CohnOver the years, I've talked with a lot of teams who've been burned by estimating and planning.They've seen estimates treated as promises.Plans turned into contracts.Teams punished for being wrong rather than rewarded for learning.Given experiences like those, it's understandable that many teams conclude the solution is to eliminate estimating and planning altogether.I think that's a mistake.Estimating and planning still matter—not because the future is predictable, but because it isn't. Teams and organizations still have to make decisions about what to work on, what to delay, and what risks they're willing to accept. Those decisions don't disappear just because we stop estimating.Any time we choose one piece of work over another, we're estimating. The real choice isn't whether to estimate, but whether those estimates are explicit or implicit. In my experience, explicit estimates create transparency. Implicit estimates just hide the guessing.One of the biggest problems with estimating is the belief that estimates exist to be accurate. A better question is whether an estimate is good enough to support the decision being made. When teams make that shift, estimating becomes far less stressful—and far more useful.The same is true of planning. Planning doesn't reduce adaptability. Over-commitment does. Good planning aligns assumptions and intent so teams can adjust quickly when things change.I often hear people say, “Estimates are always wrong.” Being wrong isn't the real problem. Estimates are hypotheses, and reality supplies the data. The real failure is treating estimates as promises and punishing teams when reality turns out to be more complex than expected.Before estimating or planning, I encourage teams to pause and ask three questions: What decision does this support?What happens if we're wrong?Who will use this information—and how?If those questions don't have clear answers, the problem usually isn't how the team is estimating.It's why.How to connect with AgileDad:- [website] ⁠https://www.agiledad.com/⁠- [instagram] ⁠https://www.instagram.com/agile_coach/⁠- [facebook] ⁠https://www.facebook.com/RealAgileDad/⁠- [Linkedin] ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/leehenson/

Awaken Beauty Podcast
The Financial Reset Is Already Happening — Here's What You Need to Know

Awaken Beauty Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 14, 2026 10:01


Let me begin by acknowledging that what is in motion will lead us to the most significant wealth transfer and opportunity in human history.Yes, the disruption is indeed real.However, so is the development that is taking place on the other side of it.Three years ago, I ceased checking the stock market and my bank account.Instead, I began observing the subtle movements in the digital asset space and the countries that are repatriating their gold.Because in the midst of change, these indicators provide valuable insights.Let's delve into this together.If you've been feeling like a significant shift is occurring in the global economy, but you can't quite pinpoint it, you're not alone.There are numerous events happening simultaneously, and most of them aren't being reported in a way that clearly connects the dots.While I share much of this information with my clients, I felt compelled to share a more prominent message due to the widespread fear and confusion, which is often intentionally created to facilitate the rest of a global transition.The Petrodollar Is FinishedFor over 50 years, there was a simple rule that governed global finance: if you wanted to buy oil, you needed US dollars. Every country on earth had to hold dollars, which created permanent demand for the currency and gave the American financial system enormous power.That arrangement is now over. The key agreement that held it together was not renewed. Countries can now trade oil in whatever currency suits them.This is not a minor adjustment. This is the foundation of the post-World War II financial order cracking apart. And if you've been watching energy markets, currency movements, and gold prices, you're already seeing the early effects.What the Markets Are Telling YouRight now:* Gold is trading above $4,700 an ounce* Silver is sitting around $75* Oil has climbed to roughly $110 a barrel* Stock markets have dropped significantly in recent weeksThese numbers aren't random noise. They reflect a market beginning to price in something that most mainstream commentary hasn't fully acknowledged yet — the possibility that the current financial architecture is being replaced, not just reformed.The Central Bank SituationThere are several signals worth paying attention to regarding the future of the central banking system.A new central bank chairman is stepping in mid-May. He has a reputation for questioning the fundamentals of how the current system operates — not just tweaking interest rates, but asking bigger questions about the structure itself.Perhaps more striking: a recent Treasury announcement described new currency coming this summer. The announcement covered the US dollar, the economy, and the financial system at length. What it didn't mention — not once — was the central bank.That's either an oversight, or it's intentional. Given the current environment, intentional seems more likely.The Debt Trap, Explained SimplyHere's the core problem with the system we've been living in.Every dollar created comes attached to a debt. Interest is charged on that debt.But here's the catch — the money to pay the interest was never actually created. So you have to borrow more to pay back what you already borrowed, plus interest.Do that for 50 years without a reset, and you end up exactly where we are — with debt levels that have no realistic path to repayment through normal means.The last three major financial resets happened in 1933, 1945, and 1971. We are now the furthest we have ever been from the last one. Something has to give.A Word on Your Bank DepositsThis is worth knowing, even if it's uncomfortable.Legislation passed in a previous administration changed the priority order for how banks handle their obligations in a crisis. Under those rules, a bank's debts to other financial institutions rank above their obligations to depositors.In plain English: if a large bank gets into serious trouble, it can cover itself before it covers you.Credit unions generally don't carry the same exposure to complex financial instruments that create this risk. That's worth factoring into where you keep your money.It's also worth noting that major wealth management firms are quietly raising their recommended allocation to physical metals — from around 10% to closer to 30%. The people managing large pools of money are hedging. That tells you something. Gold Leaving US VaultsOne of the more significant recent developments has received very little attention.A major European country just completed the process of moving all of its gold reserves out of US custody and back home. Another large European nation is now discussing doing the same. This kind of thing hasn't happened in over a century.When countries start pulling their gold home, they're expressing a view about where power is shifting. They're not doing it for logistics reasons. They're doing it because they sense the old order is changing and they want their assets under their own roof before that transition is complete.Physical Silver vs. Paper SilverIf you follow precious metals at all, you've probably noticed the price has been somewhat volatile. Here's some context that explains why.The traded price of silver — what you see quoted on financial sites — is largely determined by paper contracts, not actual physical metal. Estimates suggest there are roughly 300 paper ounces in circulation for every one real, physical ounce.When powerful financial players want to push the price down, they sell paper. But something interesting has been happening: every time silver gets pushed toward $68-70, buyers step in immediately and the price bounces back up. A floor is forming.Meanwhile, physical silver is quietly disappearing from storage facilities at a rate not seen in years. And for six consecutive years, the world has consumed more silver than it has mined. That gap has to close eventually — and when it does, the price will reflect reality rather than paper promises.The Hard Truth About What's ComingLet's be straightforward here. The transition from one financial system to another is not going to be smooth.There is a credible argument that the correction ahead could be severe — more severe than what we saw in 2008-2009. Pensions, investment accounts, and real estate values are all potentially exposed. Living standards may fall during the transition period. Supply chains could face disruption.The 1929 parallel is worth sitting with. In the months before the crash, life looked completely normal. People were going to work, shopping, building, investing. And then almost overnight, everything changed.The difference between then and now is that you have advance warning. You have time to make decisions while things still feel relatively normal. That window doesn't stay open forever.But Here's the Other SideIf the reset unfolds the way many analysts expect, what comes after the difficult transition is genuinely promising.* Wars winding down means energy prices fall and inflation eases* A restructured central banking system means rates can come down meaningfully* A return to tariff-based government revenue could eventually reduce or eliminate income tax* A manufacturing resurgence creates real jobs and real wages* A new currency system backed by hard assets protects the value of your money going forwardThe disruption is real. But so is what's being built on the other side of it.What You Can Actually Do Right NowYou don't need to panic. But you do need to act thoughtfully. Here's a simple framework:Protect what you have.

PBS NewsHour - Segments
Russian corruption fuels massive casualties in Ukraine

PBS NewsHour - Segments

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 2, 2026 8:18


Estimates show Russian forces have suffered more than one million casualties in the war against Ukraine. At the same time, its territorial gains have been some of the slowest in modern history. Special correspondent Simon Ostrovsky has a rare look at the Kremlin's war machine and reveals the brutality and corruption eating away at the Russian military from the inside. PBS News is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy

Macroaggressions
Flashback Friday | #414: The Red Sea Shooting Gallery

Macroaggressions

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 27, 2026 64:18


Estimates are that $200B of goods have already been diverted away from the region surrounding Yemen in the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea. The disruptions in travel through the Suez Canal have cascading effects that are felt worldwide, as it puts additional pressure on the supply chain.There is fear of an event drawing Iran into some kind of conflict in the region, which would see the Straight of Hormuz come under the watchful eye of the Iranian government, further adding to shipping issues impacting the oil and LNG exports coming out of that geographic region.It is also worth noting that the expansion of BRICS into this region works to solidify China's connections through the Belt & Road Initiative, while also locking down and securing the shipping lanes to make sure that the oil can continue to leave the region through the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea.—Video ChannelsWatch the video version of Macroaggressions:Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/Macroaggressions YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@MacroaggressionsPodcastBrighteon: https://www.brighteon.com/channels/macroaggressions/—MACRO & Charlie Robinson LinksHypocrazy Audiobook: https://amzn.to/4aogwmsThe Octopus of Global Control Audiobook: https://amzn.to/3xu0rMmWebsite: www.Macroaggressions.ioMerch Store: https://macroaggressions.dashery.com/ Link Tree: https://linktr.ee/macroaggressionspodcast—Activist Post FamilySign up for the Activist Post Newsletter: https://activistpost.kit.com/emailsActivist Post: www.ActivistPost.comNatural Blaze: www.NaturalBlaze.com —Support Our SponsorsGround Luxe Grounding Mats: https://GroundLuxe.com/MACROReplace Your Mortgage: www.WipeOutYourMortgageNow.comC60 Power: https://go.ShopC60.com/PBGRT/KMKS9/ | Promo Code: MACROChemical Free Body: https://ChemicalFreeBody.com/macro/ | Promo Code: MACROWise Wolf Gold & Silver: https://Macroaggressions.Gold/ | (800) 426-1836LegalShield: www.DontGetPushedAround.comEMP Shield: www.EMPShield.com | Promo Code: MACROChristian Yordanov's Health Program: www.LiveLongerFormula.com/macroAbove Phone: https://AbovePhone.com/macro/Van Man: https://VanMan.shop/?ref=MACRO | Promo Code: MACROThe Dollar Vigilante: https://DollarVigilante.spiffy.co/a/O3wCWenlXN/4471Nesa's Hemp: www.NesasHemp.com | Promo Code: MACROAugason Farms: https://AugasonFarms.com/MACRO—

The Ecomcrew Ecommerce Podcast
E637: Can You Trust Amazon Keyword Tool Estimates? We Found Out.

The Ecomcrew Ecommerce Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2026 15:26


In this episode, we dive into the reliability of the two biggest Amazon SaaS tools - Helium 10 and Jungle Scout. We explore how close these tools come to actual Amazon data and discuss what sellers should keep in mind when using these tools for product research and estimating sales. Timestamps 00:00 - Amazon keyword and sales data tools 00:57 - Why its hard to rely on brand analytics alone 1:21 - How data was collected from three different brands and categories 2:19 - Methodology for comparing keyword search volume 4:42 - Keyword volume discrepancies  5:56 - Overall variance: Jungle Scout vs. Helium 10 accuracy 6:08 - Verifying Helium 10 data and common data interpretation issues 7:03 - Limitations of Helium 10's dashboard and metrics interpretation 8:03 - Possible reasons for Helium 10's inaccuracies  9:00 - Brand analytics data vs. third-party tools  12:21 - Amazon's own sales estimates and their reliability 13:15 - Price comparison: Helium 10 vs. Jungle Scout  14:13 - Alternative affordable tools like Seller Sprite and their usefulness 15:11 - Final thoughts Resources Helium 10 Jungle Scout Seller Sprite Quiet Light Brokerage  As always, if you have any questions or anything that you need help with, leave a comment down below if you're interested. Don't forget to leave us a review over on iTunes if you enjoy content like this. Happy selling and we'll talk to you soon!  

The John Batchelor Show
S8 Ep610: PREVIEW FOR LATER Jeff Bliss discusses the Butterfly Bridge in California, a wildlife crossing over Highway 101 where original ten million dollar cost estimates for animal safety have now surged past one hundred million dollars. (1)

The John Batchelor Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2026 1:59


PREVIEW FOR LATER Jeff Bliss discusses the Butterfly Bridge in California, a wildlife crossing over Highway 101 where original ten million dollar cost estimates for animal safety have now surged past one hundred million dollars. (1)1897 LA

The New Yorker Radio Hour
What Could Go Wrong, or Right, in a War with Iran

The New Yorker Radio Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 27, 2026 34:29


As Donald Trump and his Administration threaten to attack Iran, their motivations remain unclear. Does the President want to force Iran to make a nuclear deal, to replace the one that he scrapped in his first term, or is he really seeking regime change? To understand how this all might play out, David Remnick speaks with Karim Sadjadpour, a policy analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, who writes about the Middle East for Foreign Affairs and other publications. Citing the disastrous precedents in Afghanistan and Iraq, Sadjadpour notes, “the last two decades has proven that we don't have the ability to dictate . . . who comes to power the day after a military attack.” Plus, After protests over the economy erupted across Iran late last year, reports emerged that the regime was killing protesters. Donald Trump threatened to intervene, but did not. Estimates vary widely, but some note that thirty thousand people or more may have been killed. Now, as the U.S. sends a huge military force to the Gulf, Iranians are waiting for war—and many in the country are in the shocking position of hoping for conflict, if it will end the Ayatollah's government. The reporter Cora Engelbrecht has been recording her conversations with sources on the ground about what that could mean. Their voices were altered or overdubbed for our story, to protect them from reprisal. New episodes of The New Yorker Radio Hour drop every Tuesday and Friday. Join host David Remnick as he discusses the latest in politics, news, and current events in conversation with political leaders, newsmakers, innovators, New Yorker staff writers, authors, actors, and musicians.

Verdict with Ted Cruz
Oil Means National Security, Rep. Jim Jordan vs Jack Smith & Crime Crashes Coast‑to‑Coast Week In Review

Verdict with Ted Cruz

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2026 30:31 Transcription Available


1. Oil Prices & National Security Lower global oil prices weaken hostile regimes like Iran, Russia, and Venezuela by reducing their revenue. The Trump administration aims for a “sweet spot” oil price ($60–$70/barrel): Low enough to hurt adversaries. High enough to avoid bankrupting U.S. independent oil producers. If prices drop into the $40s, it could collapse small oil producers in Texas and the Permian Basin. 2. Venezuela’s Oil Infrastructure Venezuela has the world’s largest proven oil reserves, but decades of mismanagement have destroyed its infrastructure. Estimates from oil executives: Increasing production from 1 million to 3 million barrels/day could take 10 years and require $100B+ in investment. Even going from 1 million to 2 million/day would take 5–7 years. Gulf Coast refineries can process Venezuela’s heavy sour crude, but expanded imports would mostly affect Canada and Mexico, not U.S. light-sweet crude producers. 3. Cuba’s Economic Crisis Cuba historically survived on financial support from: The Soviet Union (until its collapse). Venezuela under Chávez/Maduro (oil and money). With Venezuela no longer able to support Cuba, the island is in economic freefall. Mexico is currently providing oil that helps sustain the Cuban regime. The Trump administration may pressure Mexico to cut this supply, potentially pushing Cuba toward political collapse. 4. Jack Smith & January 6th Investigation Smith is accused of leading a politically motivated prosecution against Donald Trump. He allegedly relied on questionable or disproven testimony, notably from Cassidy Hutchinson. Hutchinson’s dramatic claims (e.g., Trump lunging for a steering wheel) were not confirmed by eyewitnesses. Jim Jordan challenged Smith in hearings, accusing him of: Using unreliable witnesses. Conducting a partisan, anti-Trump investigation. Targeting large numbers of Republicans with subpoenas. 5. Crime Statistics & Trump Administration Policies Nationwide murder rates reportedly declined ~20% from 2024 to 2025. Approx. 1,400 fewer murders. Major cities showing decreases: Chicago: 30% NYC: 20% Baltimore: 31% Oakland: 33% Washington, D.C.: 31% (after National Guard deployment) Other violent crimes also declined: Motor vehicle theft: ↓25% Robbery: ↓18% Aggravated assault: ↓8% Law enforcement stats cited: Violent crime arrests: ↑100% Gangs disrupted: ↑210% Fentanyl seized: ↑31% Missing/abducted children located: ↑22% Human traffickers arrested: ↑15% Significant increase in arrests of espionage suspects and fugitives. Please Hit Subscribe to this podcast Right Now. Also Please Subscribe to the 47 Morning Update with Ben Ferguson and The Ben Ferguson Show Podcast Wherever You get You're Podcasts. And don't forget to follow the show on Social Media so you never miss a moment! Thanks for Listening YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@VerdictwithTedCruz/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/verdictwithtedcruz X: https://x.com/tedcruz X: https://x.com/benfergusonshowYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@VerdictwithTedCruzSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.