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Host Nigel Grant is joined by David Griffith (Head of Multi Asset Solutions, BlackRock) and John Smith (Head of Asset Management, ASB) to reflect on ASB's strong portfolio performance in 2024 and share their outlook for 2025. They discuss key drivers including global equities, gold, and currency positioning, and emphasise the importance of diversification and strategic asset allocation in navigating ongoing market volatility. *** This material has been created with the co-operation of BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited (BIMAL) ABN 13 006 165 975, AFSL 230 523 on 17/03/2025. Comments made by BIMAL employees here represent BIMAL's views only. This material provides general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should obtain financial advice tailored to you having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation, needs and circumstances. Refer to BIMAL's Financial Services Guide on its website for more information. This material is not a financial product recommendation or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial product in any jurisdiction.
In this episode of the Portfolio Construction podcast, Paul O'Connor, Head of Investment at Netwealth, chats with Matt Cho, Head of Multi-Asset Solutions at Vanguard Australia. Matt shares insights on Vanguard's recently released economic outlook for 2025, the performance of multi-asset products in 2024, and potential returns for various asset classes. They review the strong 2024 returns from international and Australian equities, and the positive performance of fixed-income markets. The discussion covers the global economic outlook, including perspectives on Europe, Asia, and Australian economies, as well as the US and the impact of Trump's re-election. They discuss the role of private credit in diversified portfolios, and Vanguard's long-term forecasts for equities and fixed income.
MONEY FM 89.3 - Prime Time with Howie Lim, Bernard Lim & Finance Presenter JP Ong
With Singapore’s life expectancy at 83 years and rising costs of living, ensuring a financially secure retirement is becoming increasingly complex. Many Singaporeans prioritise family needs over personal savings, and traditional retirement planning may not be enough to support them through decades of retirement. Hence, Manulife Investment Management is launching a new customisable investment solution to address Singaporeans' evolving needs. So how does this differ from traditional approaches? And why should we rethink our retirement planning? On Wealth Tracker, Hongbin Jeong speaks to Marc Franklin, Senior Portfolio Manager, Deputy Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, Asia, Manulife Investment Management, to find out more. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
¿Qué esperan los gestores y selectores en este inicio de 2025? ¿Cómo están viendo los mercados y las carteras? Lo analizamos en este episodio muy especial de Finect Alpha con Patricia Molpeceres, directora de Ventas en AllianceBernstein, Cristian Balteo, Head of IWD Product Management – Multi Asset Solutions de Nordea Asset Management, Iván Díez Sainz, Country Head Iberia & Latin America de La Financière de l'Echiquier, Sebastián Larraza, director de Selección de Fondos y Gestión Multiperfil de Andbank, Juan Hernando, director de Advisory de MoraWealth, e Isabel Lamana Matías, analista de productos de terceros de A&G. ¡EMPEZAMOS!
In the final episode of the year, Nigel Grant is joined by John Smith (Head of Asset Management, ASB) and David Griffith (Head of Multi Asset Solutions, BlackRock) for a look back on the year that was. They discuss whether global investment themes played out as predicted, canvas the outstanding performers of the year and look ahead to what investors might expect in 2025. *** This material has been created with the co-operation of BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited (BIMAL) ABN 13 006 165 975, AFSL 230 523 on 26/11/2024. Comments made by BIMAL employees here represent BIMAL's views only. This material provides general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should obtain financial advice tailored to you having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation, needs and circumstances. Refer to BIMAL's Financial Services Guide on its website for more information. This material is not a financial product recommendation or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial product in any jurisdiction.
Watch the video version on YouTube. As we usher in a new year, the investment landscape is almost certainly set to change. That's why in our twelfth season of Insights Now titled, “Preparing for the path forward,” Dr. David Kelly will sit down with portfolio managers and strategists from across J.P. Morgan to discuss their key takeaways from 2024, and what they expect from the economy and markets in 2025. With the new year just around the corner, tune in to hear what opportunities we are most excited about, and what risks we are most mindful of, heading into the new year. With the U.S. election in the rear-view mirror and the Federal Reserve finally easing policy, the forces driving financial markets in 2025 could differ greatly from 2024. Policy uncertainty should step in for election uncertainty, and the monetary policy debate will center around how quickly the Fed will cut, not when it will begin cutting. Still, with the U.S. economy displaying impressive resilience and structural tailwinds supporting prospects abroad, there remains a wide menu of attractive opportunities for investors to consider across global stocks and bonds, and plenty of ways to diversify. That said, markets can move quickly. Investors striving for alpha should be active in portfolios and allocate to their highest conviction ideas instead of sitting passively on the sidelines. To share some of his highest conviction ideas for the year ahead, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Phil Camporeale, Portfolio Manager in our Multi Asset Solutions group here at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Resources: For more resources visit our website. Subscribe to the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast for more insights from Dr. David Kelly: Apple Podcasts | Spotify
In this episode of "Center for Investment Excellence," David Lebovitz, Global Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions and Jared Gross, Head of Institutional Portfolio Strategy discuss insights from the SIAG Public & Private Markets series. They explore the roles of real estate, credit, and equity in diversified portfolios, highlighting the blend of public and private investments.
In this episode of the Center for Investment Excellence podcast, host David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist in Multi-Asset Solutions at JP Morgan Asset Management, is joined by Kay Herr, US Chief Investment Officer for the Global Fixed Income Currency and Commodities team at JP Morgan Asset Management. David and Kay discuss the implications of the upcoming US elections on fiscal policy and market dynamics, and they provide a deep dive into duration management and spread product opportunities in the current market environment. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis of the macroeconomic outlook, investment strategies, and market opportunities in this insightful episode.
In this final episode for our Strategic Investment Advisory Group's private and public series, David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions, is joined by Jared Gross, Head of Institutional Portfolio Strategy, to discuss equity markets as strategic asset allocations.
In this final episode for our Strategic Investment Advisory Group's private and public series, David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions, is joined by Jared Gross, Head of Institutional Portfolio Strategy, to discuss equity markets as strategic asset allocations.
With early career roots in both equity derivatives and relative value fixed income, Lisa O'Connor is now the Co-CIO of Multi-Strategy Assets and Solutions at BlackRock. Here she oversees her team's development and delivery of a long only, systematic asset allocation process on behalf of the firm's clients.Our discussion first considers some of the lessons Lisa has derived from market risk cycles. In reflecting on vol episodes, she asserts that markets become very focused on relative value during times of crisis. That is, in higher risk environments, there's much greater differentiation across risk categories, as investors evaluate which assets can truly be defensive or at least weather the storm.We talk next about the model portfolio process and the mix of quantitative and fundamental factors that drive the asset allocation decisions. In contemplating the role of duration as a portfolio ballast, Lisa is concerned about risk premia in the back-end of the curve as a function of fiscal deficits. Instead, she sees value in diversifiers like gold, especially as China is increasing its holdings. We also spend time on AI and the challenges of being too little or too heavily invested. In looking for evidence that the roaring capex cycle may have peaked, she is following emerging signs of spending discipline from hyper-scalers and tracking the reported ROIs from investment out 18 months.Lastly, we talk about the Fed easing cycle and its potentially positive implications for the market pricing of equities with more balance sheet leverage.I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Lisa O'Connor.
Featuring: Jon Lieber, Head of Research and Managing Director, US, at the Eurasia Group Margie Patel, Senior Portfolio Manager, Multi-Asset Solutions, at Allspring Global Investments Thomas J. Hayes, Chairman and Managing Member at Great Hill Capital Sandi Bragar, Chief Client Officer at Aspiriant Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bloomberg-daybreak-asia/id1663863437Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0Ccfge70zthAgVfm0NVw1bTuneIn: https://tunein.com/podcasts/Asian-Talk/Bloomberg-Daybreak-Asia-Edition-p247557/?lang=es-es See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode, David Lebovitz, Global Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions, is joined by Stephen Squinto, Chief Investment Officer, J.P. Morgan Life Sciences Private Capital, to discuss the alternative investment landscape, the private biotech market and areas of opportunity in 2024 and beyond.
Mo Haghbin is the Head of Multi-Asset Solutions at Invesco, where he develops and manages asset allocation strategies and portfolio solutions for $88 billion of client assets within the $1.7 trillion juggernaut. Our conversation covers Mo's journey to finance and his path to a leadership role at Invesco. We discuss Invesco's solutions-based approach that canvasses every type of asset pool and structure and focuses first on top-down strategic asset allocation and tactical positioning, and only later on manager selection. We cover the research that drives asset allocation and factor decisions, importance of scaling customized solutions, and impact of technology in the process. All investing involves risk, including the risk of loss. This should not be considered a recommendation to purchase any investment product. This does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy for a particular investor. Investors should consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions if they are uncertain whether an investment is suitable for them. Please obtain and review all financial material carefully before investing. Asset allocation and diversification do not guarantee a profit or eliminate the risk of loss. This material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on, for tax advice. The opinions expressed are those of the presenter(s), are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. These opinions may differ from those of other Invesco investment professionals. All information as of April 29, 2024, in USD, unless stated otherwise. Invesco and FTSE Russell are not affiliated entities. Capital Allocators and Invesco are not in any way affiliated. The Invesco Solutions (IS) team is part of Invesco Advisers, Inc. (IAI), an investment adviser that provides investment advisory services and does not sell securities. Invesco Advisers, Inc. is an investment adviser; it provides investment advisory services to individual and institutional clients and does not sell securities. Invesco Advisers, Inc. is an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Invesco Ltd. ©2024 Invesco All rights reserved. Learn More Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn Subscribe to the mailing list Access Transcript with Premium Membership
In this special edition of #CenterForInvestmentExcellence, members of our Strategic Investment Advisory Group discuss the long-term growth potential of real estate as an investable asset class, including the expansion of the real estate market from traditional core to a wide range of extended sectors, and the case for allocating to real estate investment trusts (REITs) and private real estate funds for a well-diversified portfolio. Tune in now to get the latest insights from David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions, Pulkit Sharma, Head of Alternatives Investment Strategy and Solutions, and Bob Culver, Managing Director, Security Capital Research and Management.
With a soft landing in sight, what are investors considering when rebalancing their portfolios? Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, co-chief investment officer of Multi-Asset Solutions in Goldman Sachs Asset Management, discusses AI, Europe, Japan, and more.
Today's credit markets offer investors an unprecedented range of risk and return opportunities, but also greater complexity that makes it challenging to allocate capital efficiently. In this special edition SIAG episode, David Lebovitz, Global Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions, talks with Samrawit Soquar, Global Head of Research, Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities Group, and Brian Coleman, Head of Private Credit Strategies, about the public credit spectrum, including the convergence of investment grade and high yield, the growth of private credit and direct lending, and what investors can do to take advantage of shifting market conditions.
Featuring: Jenni Marsh, Bloomberg Team Leader for Greater China Eco-Gov, sits down with us in Hong Kong to discuss President Xi's meeting with top US CEOS. Margie Patel, Senior portfolio manager, Multi-Asset Solutions, Allspring Global Investments, joins us to discuss her perspective on global markets. Joe Mathieu, Host of Bloomberg Balance of Power on Bloomberg Television and Radio, joins us to discuss the legacy of former US senator and vice presidential nominee. Plus, the latest on the collapse of the Key Bridge in Baltimore. Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bloomberg-daybreak-asia/id1663863437Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0Ccfge70zthAgVfm0NVw1bTuneIn: https://tunein.com/podcasts/Asian-Talk/Bloomberg-Daybreak-Asia-Edition-p247557/?lang=es-esSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
What are record highs in stock indices like the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Nikkei— and even gold— telling us about the state of the economy? Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, co-chief investment officer of Multi-Asset Solutions in Goldman Sachs Asset Management, discusses this week's market action and how investors are reacting.
The Fed remains committed to reducing rates, which bond markets may be cheering, but it may not begin easing policy as soon as markets anticipate. David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions and Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager, Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities (GFICC) Group, discuss their forecast for fixed income, including stock/bond correlations, high quality duration and risks and opportunities for investors.
While 2023 created a challenging macro backdrop of stubborn inflation, heightened geopolitical tensions and sluggish growth, a year-end rally increased the prospect of a brighter 2024 economic outlook. David Lebovitz and Arjun Menon, Global Market Strategists, Multi-Asset Solutions, discuss their investment predictions for the coming year, including risks and opportunities across all sectors and asset classes.
A pickup in US inflation may push out the timing of the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, according to Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, co-chief investment officer of Multi-Asset Solutions in Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist, Multi-Asset Solutions and Jared Gross, Head of Institutional Portfolio Strategy, conduct their annual asset allocation draft across various asset classes, and make their picks for the most promising investment opportunities in 2023
Steve Chiavarone stops by the 1285 podcast studio to outline his macro and market expectations for 2024. We also spend time discussing the risks and headwinds facing markets in the new year and where to locate opportunity across multiple asset classes. Steve Chiavarone is the Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, an Equity Strategist, and a Senior Portfolio Manager with Federated Hermes. Host: Daniel Cassidy
Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, guests hosts the show and says the 'enormous volatility' in the bond market needs to be corrected in order to restore the Fed's credibility. Stephanie Kelton, Stony Brook University Professor of Public Policy & Economics, says the Fed has effectively put fiscal policy on autopilot. Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, describes the Fed's policy trajectory as headed for a "rocky landing." Stephen Schork, The Schork Group Principal, says traders have become skeptical about supply levels of oil and jet fuel heading into a major travel season. Jeannette Lowe, Strategas Managing Director of Policy Research, says the meeting between President Biden and Xi Jinping won't change the dynamic between the two countries in a major way. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance Full transcript: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene, along with Jonathan Farrell and Lisa Abramowitz. Join us each day for insight from the best an economics, geopolitics, finance and investment. Subscribe to Bloomberg Surveillance on demand on Apple, Spotify and anywhere you get your podcasts, and always on Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App. Why don't we move on to what doctor Olrium cares Mohammed, We've got to sit on crude, the idea that crude has essentially collapsed into a bear market, down more than twenty percent from the September highs. We spent this week talking about soft lending, hopes and dreams. Do we have to start thinking about an economic downturn in the not too distant future, well some of them. Some people are talking about this. I mean to see oil prices down more than twenty percent from the highs at the time that there's a conflict going on in the Middle East. It's quite quite and that's feeding into the soft landing. And we're going to talk a lot about this. But the market has now fully embraced not just that the fat has finished this hiking cycle, which I think is correct, but that we're going to see deeper and deeper cuts next year without a recession, and that's the critical assumption that's now built in across markets. I want to get the money question out of the way right away. As CEO of a major two million employee company in America called Walmart, yesterday brought up a d word deflation seared into the fabric of Cambridge, Oxford in the London School of Economics as a study a British deflation of the thirties and forties. America has never faced that have they They haven't, and we've had Japan recently. And the problem with deflation is it discourages people from buying today. However, I want to stress the US is deflation in certain products, food being the primary example, and that's why Walmart we decited it. We don't have general deflation, and I doubt we're going to have general deflation. I mean, I look at the an inflation question and it is a vector of disinflation in place. Clearly we see that. What is your optimism of getting back to John Williams two point zero percent? Richard claired is two point x percent. I think Richard is more likely to be right than John. I think we're going to get stuck in the high twos, and the FED is going to have to make a very difficult decision. Does it live with inflation higher than target because the target itself is too low, or alternatively, does it acknowledge that two percent is the right target and then crushes the economy. I think that's the choice the FED is going to have to make. What's your best guess right now? I think it's going to go for the format. I think the FED will understand that pressing two percent inflation in a world where there's insufficient structural supply is not the right thing to do. So where do you think it leaves this bond market? Let's go through this course right now. We've got a two year at the moment at about four eighty, a ten year at about four forty. Think about where we've been in the last month of Summerhammet had a two year pushing five twenty five high set of cycle, ten year through five percent high set of cycle. How are you thinking about what we come back down to, bearing in mind what we're pricing for right cuts next year. I think we've come down too far to tell your truth. I understand why some people think that we're going further, but if you look at the inflation dynamics, that's harder to get unless we go into recession. If we go into a recession, then the stock market is mispriced, so you can't have both at the same time. Has something changed? I think this is what it goes back to. Has something changed post pandemic? That means we don't go back to the pre pandemic world. That debate, I think is still on going. Mohammed, where'd you come down on it? I think the pre pandemic world was exceptional. It was a world of qui. It was a world of insufficient aggregate demand. And when you have insufficient aggregate demand, you can push into the economy as much liquidity as you want because you won't get inflation. That world is gone. We're in a world now of efficient, inflexible supply, and that's a very different world. Sometimes talk about over the two hours with doctor Olian is growth economics. I've been telling a lot of people to remind themselves of a guy named Solo at MIT in nineteen fifty six and the near religious experience of trusting and growth. Can you state that we have a new American growth economics of what some people are indicating is improved productivity, improved efficiency. So you know, I listened carefully to our friend Mike Spence, the Nobel Prize winner, because he spent so much of his career studying studying with John Hicks, I mean correct majesty of that alone, and he is incredible and his insights are really valuable. And his bottom line is that most countries have to evolve to a new growth model. The US is the most advanced in that evolution. I think the three important piece of legislation that the administration passed last year were critical in that perspective. So if you look around the world, whether it is the US, Europe, or China, all three have the challenge of evolving the growth model, and only the US is doing it seriosly right now, too gloomy? We no, Lisa isn't here, so we're not too blooming. No. I think we recognize that the world is evolving. This is a different global economy, this is a different domestic economy, and policies have to evolve accordingly. What worries me and I think the concern of a lot of people listening to this conversation on going at home is you just have to go about forty eight hours and we're talking about disinflation, soft landing, hopes and dreams, and then twenty four hours, forty eight hours later, you look to Burberry a collapse in luxury. You look to Walmart a warning about the US consumer. You look to Crew entering a bear market, and all of a sudden, we're talking about a slowdown and maybe even recession. Mohammed. The bond market is stuck between all of this. We're seeing double digit moves day after day in either direction. You've written about this extensively in the last few months, about a bond market that's lost its anchors. Is an economic slowdown sufficient to regain some stability in fixed incoming treasury specifically? No, I mean I was really struck yesterday. I was watching you when you said, guess what, we had the same level of the tenure as we were a week ago, and my reaction is, how could that be? So I looked it up and you were right. Now. Most people feel that this week is very different from last week because of the inflation print that we've had. We still lack one of the three anchors. You either need an economic anchor, or a policy anchor, or a technical anchor to the bond market, and we've lost all three. So these moves are going to continue. The thing that has really impressed me is that nothing has broken. If you had told me a year ago we're going to see this incredible volatility and the most important market in the world is the benchmark for so much else, and yet nothing will break, I would have said that's impossible. So the resilience of the functioning of the market has really impressed me. The financial system, and of course we had the shock and the United Kingdom off a derivative structure in the pension plans, but to lead to this and measured in standard deviations, which is how fancy people like Alarian think. We had a six seven eighth standard deviation and thereat moderation. There's a hope in prayer we get back to that trend line that's in years. How many years are do you think we heal this great bond tobacco. I think it's going to take time. Remember we've had ten exceptional years where the bond market was distorted, so I must say back to vulgar We've had, you know, thirty exceptional years. But the shift to an artificially low interest rate and ample and predictable injections of liquidity fundamentally changed the bond market and that is going to take time to recover from. Did you and Bill Gross get a free ride because you were within the Great Moderation? Was that such a structural like a free life? But the PIMCO when you build it, you invented it with Bill? Was it? Was it easier because you had the Great Moderation? Or just just think of investor. Investors care about three things, returns, volatility, and correlations. And we went through a period that because liquidity was being injected into the economy over and over again, we got high returns, we got virtually no volatility, and the correlations broke down. But in your favor, you made money on your risky assets and you made money on your risk free acids. At the same time, there was a great time. We took it to be normal, but it was truly exceptional. And we're going back to a world that I think is more like what we had before the Global financial crisis. It's going to be so hard to shake this, Mohammed, because we've got a whole generation, in fact, a couple of generations conditioned by two major shocks, the financial crisis and the pandemic. And we know how the FED response to major shocks. What we've all forgotten is how it responds to just normal economic downturns and upside pressure on inflation. How do we start to get into that all over again? Yeah, And this is where FED credibility and better communication is better. John, It's really striking that the market is willing to take on the FED on a price that the FED controls. The FED totally controls the policy rate, and yet the market does not believe what the FED is is telling us. And it is really striking because we have got to restore FED credibility otherwise we're going to continue with this enormous volatility. Your thoughts on what's percolating into the end of the year in the Q one twenty twenty four. Are there shadows in private equity? Are there shadows in the new non traditional finance? Yeah? So, one thing that I don't think is pricing enough is that when you move from the banking system to the non banks, you change the lags in the system. So you see this with commercial real estate. Everybody recognizes that the re financing of a trillion plus of assets is going to be tricky, but because it's over time, we don't worry about it. Everybody recognizes it as a maturity wall in the corporates out there, but because it's over time, we don't worry about it. If it were all within the banking system, we would have worried about it really quickly. So the move from the banks to the non banks has extended this Michael Spencer's shore. The regulatory lag here is tangible. This is the uncomfortable calm note as well, just to borrow that phrase from a long time ago from the Bank of International Settlements, This maturity wall is out there in twenty twenty five, and it's just this feeling mohammed that we don't have to think about it. But at some point we have to start thinking about it, don't we, right? But you know what, you enjoyed the journey before you get to a destination. Oh, here we go, and you want to give us some good news bad news, bradmos out here, No, no, I totally understand, you know, because momentum is really important, and you want to be exposed to this market. And I think most people have much more of a tactical mindset than they do of a strategic or structural mindset, and investment has become very tactical. Mohammed's set in the Town's great to have you with us, by the way, it is without questions, through the pandemic and literally over the last five years she has had a greater influence on the debate of our American economics and anyone out there. Out of Sacramento, Cambridge and a tour of duty at the very liberal New School of Social Research, Stephanie Kelton joins us now from Stonybrook University. The book is a deficit myth. In the three letters, are MMT professor honored to have you on Bloomberg's surveillance? Are we unraveled? Stephanie? The worry here of the annual interest expense the return of a real interest rate? Are we unraveling as we roll into twenty twenty four? No, I mean we are. The Fed is effectively in a sense, putting fiscal policy, a big part of the federal government's budget on autopilot. And it's really tantamount to running, you know, a pretty regressive fiscal stimulus. That's what the rate hikes are actually doing. If we don't like it, Tom, there's a pretty easy way out of it, which is to say, if the rate high are pushing up the amount of money the federal government is spending to service the debt, interest expenditure up by hundreds of billions and trillions of dollars over time, remittances from the Fed to the treasury have collapsed. All of this is adding to the deficit, which triggers more issuance of treasuries, which puts you in what is essentially just a cycle now of higher rates, higher deficits, higher debt, and it will continue for as long as the Federal Reserve holds in this position with a deficit. The debt and the deficit is from the new school Heilbrunner and Bernstein classically talked about years ago. But the arch MMT criticism is, you're handing monetary decision making from the acuity and date driven data dependency of a FED over to the legislative branch. Can we trust the legislative branch to prosecute MMT given where we are right now? Well, okay, I'm glad you mentioned hal Brunner. He was a professor of mine when I was there in a really terrifically bright person Tom. MMT is a description of the monetary system that we have today. It is a floating exchange rate fiat currency. Love it or hate it, it's what we have. MMT describes the monetary system that we have and the mechanics of government finance. It's not a policy proposal. It doesn't propose changing anything. It's describing how things already work. So think about what Congress did with the onset of the pandemic, drafting first the Cares Act that two point two trillion and then the big Omnibus Bill, a nine hundred billion dollar package, and then the Democrats came in and did their one point nine trillion dollar American Rescue Plan Act. All of that was deficit spending. We didn't give Congress any new permission to do anything. We just described how it all works. And it helps to unders stand why Congress was able to muster that kind of fiscal firepower when so many economists had previously said that when the next crisis came, we would be unable to act. People like Larry Summers said because of the Republican tax cuts in twenty seventeen, that we would be living on a shoe string for decades to come. Those were his words. That we wouldn't have the ability to spend money because of the deficits, because of the debt. That was wrong. Congress has the power of the purse. MMT recognizes that, and MMT says, listen, this is an extraordinary power they have. They need to use it responsibly, and that means thinking before you move forward with bold spending programs about the inflation risk that's associated with those spending proposals. And that's the piece that was missing. The one thing you didn't mention in you know, my tour of going through my education and so forth, was the time I spent in the US Senate as the chief economist for the Demomocrats. And I'll just say very quickly and i'll stop that. When I was in the Senate, my great frustration was being surrounded by members of the Senate on both the Republican and the Democratic side, who were drafting bills trillion dollars of infrastructure, talking about medicare for all and all these other things without ever mentioning inflation risk, I couldn't believe it. So MMT would have us do things very differently when it comes to the way we approach the federal budgeting process. It's inflation that you have to watch for, Stephanie, it's Mike McKee. If wishes were horses, then beggars would ride. The idea that Congress is going to think about anything before these start passing bills is probably not going to happen. So I'm wondering, after all this is there a limit in the sense that at some point we aren't going to be able to respond fiscally, for one reason or another, to some sort of crisis because all the money is going into debt payment instead of instead of going into additional spending, and the way we're set up now, we got to pay those bills. Okay, So two things I'll say. One, I've been hearing this my entire life. You'll remember that Chairman Volker had into straights up pretty high. And meanwhile, you know Ronald Reagan did two massive tax cuts and massively built up the military. So again, if Congress has the will to pass legislation, the votes are there, the money is there, and I'll just say I don't think it's right to say, actually that we can't trust Congress to rein it in. Remember, the so called Inflation Reduction Act was Congress's effort to say, listen, we don't want to continue passing legislation given the inflationary environment. So we want to get revenues up, we want to control costs. We're going to negotiate prescription drug prices. That was all Congress taking, you know, careful steps. I think are you would you suggest, Stephanie, whether it's a Republican or Democratic, to houses that we can have budget responsibility. Do you see displayed budget responsibility in the modern Congress and Senate? Well, Tom, what I'm saying is that if we were doing things the way I'd like to see them done, instead of handing proposed spending bills to let's say, the Congressional Budget Office and saying, give me feedback on this legislation I have drafted. Tell me if it's going to increase the deficit, tell me whether it adds to the debt. I don't think that is the most important feedback. I think it would be much better to have CBO and or other agencies evaluate proposed legislation on the basis of inflation risk. But we don't do it that way, right, So I think that that would put us much closer to having a Congress that operates with fiscal responsibility, i e. Inflation risk at the heart of what it is. Okay, can you and say a critic of yours, John Cochrane, the great conservative economists, Can you and John Cochrane get on the same page and say we need a Simpson Bulls reducts where in the initiation of that panel we actually demand that we get something done. No? Uh, sorry, sorry, but no is the answer to the question. You would have to first convince me that there is some sort of looming crisis that necessitates the formulation of a fiscal commission. And I don't believe that we are facing that kind of crisis. Inflation is coming down. So if you approach things the way I do, which is to say, you know, are we at risk? Is the budget posing and inflation problem, then let's get at it and let's figure out what adjustments need to be made to ensure that we aren't putting ourselves at risk of trenched inflation well above the Fed's target. I don't think that's the future facing fascinating and controversial Professor Calton. Thank you so much, Stephanie Calton. I can't say enough about how refreshing to any and all her book. The deficit myth is she is at Stonybrook and you know her from the phrase MMT right now with us and Mohammedalarian with us is a great thrill today. He is at Queen's College in Cambridge and he's interested in the asset allocation of their endowment. That's the campus that Steve chiveron had a multi Asset Solutions that federated him as Steve. This is a lonely bull market. How do you reallocate into the end of the year. Well, you had to get ahead of it a little bit. We were adding over the course of the summer when it was uncomfortable on the idea that markets like FED pauses and they price in soft landings even if a soft landing doesn't materialize, because when the FED pauses, invariably it's on suspicion they've gone too far, not on confirmation. And so the data that's available to you is a FED that's no longer hiking and an unemployment rate that's still low, and that's been the case throughout history and it's the case today. And so finally, with the bond market having broken, we're getting that FED pause rally and that can be powerful, Tom. You know, historically those are nine month events, and you can see the equity market up fifteen twenty percent. And interestingly enough, and this is something that's been on our mind, the equity market has hit an all time high each of the last five times that the FED has paused. Now four of those ended in tiers, but it still happened either way, and we think this rally has legs. I think the jury on whether or not, you know, how soft this landing is next year, is still very much out or for the time being, we think this rally continues. Steve, what are you looking at to determine this whole macro question of has the FED not just paused, but it's going to stop cutting and kind to do so within a soft What are the key variables you look at. We're calling them the five Games of Chicken, and it's that corporate refinancing wall. You're going to have about sixty percent of corporate debt come due between twenty four and twenty eight, So what percentage of that is going to face materially higher rates, and what does that do to company earnings? That's number one. Number two for small businesses, they've already seen their debt repriced because it's variable rate bank debt. So how many quarters of high rates can they survive? On the consumer negative or I'm sorry, real income growth is finally turned positive, But how positive does it get? And does it allow a consumer to de lever again, rebuild savings and continue to spend eight hundred and seventy seven billion dollars of bank deposit outflow? What does that do to restrict lending? And then what percentage of the federal debt, a third of which becomes due this year reprices to a significantly higher rate. Those five things we think, if they were to all go perfectly, you'd get this immaculate soft landing. I think that's unlike we think what's more likely is a kind of rocky landing where inflation stays stuck at three rates, stay hi, there's some slow down, and it's a kind of malaise. It's a single digit equity environment with a real risk that something breaks and you get into a classic recession. So it's really between that rocky landing and then a kind of a classic recession break that we think is most likely to happen. We're in the rocky landing camp at least for now. And what do you say to those who say, of your five factors, it's one in five. It's all about supply. It's all about who's going to buy all the supply. I think that's big. But where I would focus more acutely is on the nexus between banks and small businesses. The banks. Again, if there's eight hundred and seventy billion dollars less of deposits, that's eight hundred and seventy seven billion less of loans that can be made. And small businesses are reliant on that, and they're not facing a maturity wall. They've already seen it, and so if something's going to break, we would look there. So we're spending a lot of time focused there. It also has a bias towards larger cap companies within our asset allocation. Steve, let's get to the quote that shook up this market in the last twenty four hours. TK talked about it at the start of the program. It came from the Walmart CEO. We may be managing through a period of deflation in the months to come. Steve, when you heard those words yesterday, what was your response. I think the word deflation is probably a little strong, But I do think that there could be a lot more disinflation than what we've what we're expecting. If you look at the areas of the economy where you've seen disinflation so far, it's goods prices, it's food prices, its energy prices, It's a lot of stuff that quite frankly, can be explained by COVID normalization. Big interest rate sensitive purchases have not really seen the big deflation that you'd expect r. I mean, home prices are still relatively buoyant. Go and try to buy a car. It's not exactly a value exercise these days. And so I think as the rate heights filter through the economy, there is more disinflation in the pipeline, and I think you could see a at some point in twenty four go very quickly from worrying primarily about inflation to worrying very much about growth and the employment markets. And that could switch on a dime. And it's something that keeps us in a kind of humble position. Well states is the same true for investors just to jump in. You mentioned that as a federal reserve can make that switch. I just wonder how quickly investor start to make that switch, and whether we can get some divergence between what's happening with bonds and what's happening with stocks. I think what you do is you pull up some charts and you look at them. Historically, you know, unemployment takes stares down and elevators up. The equity market takes stairs up and elevators down. Particularly if you are headed towards a recession. You don't gradually shift your view in the late part of a cycle. It happens very, very swiftly, and that's why as an investor you have to prepare for that. You start to lengthen duration, you start to upgrade the quality of your equities. We like companies right now that have strong balance sheets, strong cash flow generation, low external financing, and you move in that direction so that if it does move on a dime, which historically it does, you know you're you're not left out in the coal stave. What if I get you thoughts, it's going to catch up. Have a good weekend, my stave Chevron the Federated terms, Stephen Schory, So principle of the short group saves us. Now, oil disinflation, Stephen, how does New York Harbor adjust to oil deflation? All the little idy busy things jet fuel, diesel, distillate, how do they adjust as collapse in oil. Yeah, it's a really interesting question, Tom. We're trying to figure it out as we speak right now. When you look at the spread action between gasoline on the flub with curb and inventories, seemingly there is enough oil power, enough gasoline in your harbor. The neok Carver just want to point out is important because that is the delivery hub for the mercantiles, diesel and gasoline contracts. Now, when we look at overall supplies relative to demand, we're looking at about twenty four days worth of supply of gasoline. Now. That is normal, That is spot on to the five year average, and it's slightly above a year ago. The problem now is that traders are skeptical. They are pricing in a premium on the front end of the curve, which is a clear signal that someone out there is concerned about these supplies, regardless of the fact that we do have all of this space worth to supply? The other big issue here is jet fuel. Right now, we don't have enough jet fuel stocks are extremely low and as we look forward to next week, we expect this or I should say Triple A expects us to be one of the busiest travel seasons for Thanksgiving of the past twenty odd years. So when we look at the rising demand, when we look at the spread action, something here is afoot. It doesn't line up that the spreads are saying one thing, ie, there's not enough supply, regardless of what we're actually seeing in a weekly inventory reports from the EIA. So Stephen, the SANDI is a frustrated with the price section, as you can imagine. I just wonder if they're frustrated enough to change policy again, do you think they are? It's really interesting and it is really conundrum that, to be honest, I am perplexed that the market never really priced in any sort of risk premium with regard to what is happening now in the Middle East. And let's be clear on this. This is a war not between Israel and Hamas, but it is effectively a war between Israel and Iran. Given that we're fighting that is to say, Israel's fighting Amas has Blah and the Huti's all backed by Iran. Now that is a pretty scary proposition with Iran's ability to halt the flow of oil coming out of the Persian go free straight her moves. So yes, there clearly is a head scratcher here that we have this huge risk on supply, but the market refuses the price that in regardless, we're focusing now on the demand picture. And yes, if you're Sali Radio, if hey, if you're a Texas and you are trying to produce and you're looking at this price action, yeah you are frustrated at this point. But I want to say here, based on our modeling, we're likely at the bottom of the market right now, given this situation around the globe and the inbalance now between supply and demand. So, Stephen, do you think that the Saudis will weight this out or do you think the Saudis will be on the phone to the Russians and any other ORPAC plus member that's willing to participate in another cut in production. Yeah, I do think that there is a concern that we'll see further cuts Already the Saudis, Russia, have extended their cuts of volunteer cuts to the end of the year. We've seen now in oil prices, unlike the product prices, we've seen an absolute collapse in the front end of the curve. So we've now actually on the noomics. We've moved into a situation called contango, meaning that prices for nearer term delivery are now below that of prices for longer term delivery. So this is a clear takeaway that right now from an oil standpoint, fundamentals are extremely weak, and I would suspect that we'll see the chances are going into the quarter OPEC plus either extending the cuts or increasing those cuts into the new year. Steven Shark over the arc of Bloomberg surveillance twenty years. One of the great shocks has been America's success with hydrocarbons into the new year. Are we energy independent? No, not at this point. Now. I want to point out that we were energy independent a few years ago. In keeping in mind, energy independence does not mean we do not have to import a BTU from anywhere around the world. We wore a fluid trader in the world. We wore the dominant krudeoil producer in the world, and we wore the swing producer. That is so for all intents and purposes, we wore an energy independent when it comes to hydrocarbons, and that is just a shout out to how well how efficient the industry has grown over the past fifteen to twenty years. But given current policy right now, no, we're not energy independent and going into the new year, big risk is that we are playing a zero sum game. That is to say that we are taking off dispatchable BTUs natural gas, nukes, coal faster than we can replace them renewables. That's not opinion, that is fact. The regulators are telling the government this is so, and yet the government is still going ahead enforcing these retirements where we don't have enough power. So everyone out there get used to this and get ready. There's going to be a huge jump in volatility over the next two years, a huge jump in pricing for electricity and for other alternative BTUs because we're quite not ready for the transition that the government is forced in upon the industry. Stephen with a big one is Stephen Schork at the Short Group. A lot of happy talk this week. Jeanette low Strtigas wrang in on this meeting between Biden and Jain, saying this the meeting does not change the trajectory of US Chinese relations. Tom the US will continue to push for de risking or decoupling with China in order to protect this national security interest, and China will continue to push to develop a multi polar world against US interest. Janet Low there join us now from strtigis MS Lord, Jeannette. I look at where we are, and of course the major question is what's the next step. What is the next step. Should we look for President Biden to visit China. Yeah, that's probably, to somewhat extent unlikely. I think maybe if we look back at last year, we had a meeting between Biden and She in November of twenty twenty two, and you know, not much occurred out of that. After that, a couple months later, we had that spy balloon flying over Montana, which then ruptured relations again. So I don't necessarily think that there's going to be a lot more steps moving forward. It was also very interesting to have the Defense Secretary at the exact same time in the Philippines talking about continued coordination while this APEC and the Biden She summit was happening in San Francisco. So I think this is going to be about trying to lower the temperature, trying to make sure we have continued communications. As you guys have mentioned, having she he wanted to he's having some domestic issues. This is also a good opportunity for him to kind of have a reset. But ultimately, I think that the two sides are going to continue on their trajectories and this is not going to change the overall path. What it is going to do is just make things a little bit easier in the short term. We have an election coming up in the US. We don't want to continue tensions with the China. But at the same time, if Biden was to be too conciliatory towards China, we have a whole lot of hawks in Congress who would then pounce him on that. So Janetta, I very much agree with your analysis. Can you take it one step further? How easy is it to de risk without decoupling? Right? And I think that this is part of the issue too. I mean, you have the US has been trying to make strides to de risk from China, but it's going to take quite a bit of time. Obviously, We're quite reliant on China for supply chains, for critical minerals, for a whole host of things, and so it's going to be very difficult to actually move those pieces away. And so I think that trend is in place and you're going to see it continue over the next couple of years. But that also means that to some extent, you almost need a daytunt at the highest level so that you can build these pieces out from the bottom and ultimately get to that de risking. I don't think decoupling is probably where the ultimate goal is, but it is really about trying to protect US national security interests and making sure there is reduced dependency on China. And I do think that you are seeing that you regardless of the fact that you have to make choices between how you align with US and China, there is an effort or there is a realization across the globe that having too much dependency on China is not a good thing either. And from Chrona's perspective, de risking involves building little pipes around the US at the core of the system. How far can they go into building basically an alternative global system. So this is obviously something that they have been working on, and they would like to continue to accelerate that. I think the one thing that is important is I think the fact that the US is not doing this alone is important that they will actually be more successful and actually trying to at least move supply chains. China is still going to be involved, China is still going to try to work with their partners in Asia to get around some of those pieces. But the other thing is that is if you look at China trying to build this multipolar world, they have been doing that over the course of a couple of years. They're trying to obviously move away from the US dollar, They're trying to get other countries to do the same. But if you are looking at China also being in a place of having economic weakness, that also is not necessarily conducive to them actually being the leader of that movement. So there's a lot of things that have to be worked out on both sides to actually reach their ultimately ultimate goal. And I think that's why we're going to kind of see a I don't want us to use the term muddle through, but kind of a muddle through scenario where they continue down their path but there is obviously some need to be conciliatory in the interim quickly, here Jin ed and I've been guilty of this all week. I have failed and taken my eye off Ukraine, Ukraine in this cold December. What will that debate, that study look like. Right, So this is the US does not have a lot of military aid left to provide to Ukraine at the moment unless Congress appropriates more funding. And so the spring offensive has not necessarily produced the results that the both sides were looking for. We're going into the winter, which makes it more difficult for there to be progress on the battlefield. Think that you will see an effort in Congress to try to come back from a Thanksgiving holiday and pass Biden's National Security Supplemental, which would provide aid for Ukraine as well as Israel and Taiwan and the border. But that is something that they still are trying to find a solution on. They need to figure out whether or not they can add border policy changes in order to get Republican support for that bill. But if we don't get aid to Ukraine over the next couple of weeks, there is probably going to be a strong hole put into Ukraine's defenses because they really do need more money. You obviously have Europe also supporting them, but Europe has been struggling to get some aid packages passed, some munitions given to them as well, so it's it's been put on the back burner. But I think you might start to see more discussion over over the next month in Congress. At least this is a fine We're going to seek out it to the new year. Jeanette low A shatigas Jeanette, thank you. Subscribe to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast on Apple, Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live every weekday starting at seven am Easter. I'm Bloomberg dot Com, the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can watch us live on Bloomberg Television and always I'm the Bloomberg Terminal. Thanks for listening. I'm Tom Keen, and this is BloombergSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ron Dermer, Israel Minister of Strategic Affairs, says Israel has a clear goal to cripple the capabilities of Hamas. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow & Author of "Saudi Inc.", discusses oil surging after Hamas' attack on Israel. Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, says if you start to see any terrorist activity in non-Middle Eastern countries, that is something that could shake confidence in the world. Norman Roule, Center for Strategic & International Studies Senior Adviser for the Transnational Threats Project, says Iran was unlikely to have played a "robust, active role in planning attacks" on Israel but they do enable proxiesGet the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of First Look ETF, Stephanie Stanton @etfguide analyzes new ETFs from Madison Investments, Polen Capital and Tema. The newly launched ETFs for our September episode target high and sustainable income strategies, global growth investing and the business trend of reshoring manufacturing back to U.S. soil. The guest lineup for this episode includes:1. Douglas Yones, ChFC, Head of Exchange Traded Products at NYSE2. Patrick Ryan, CFA & Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, Madison ETFs3. Jeff Mueller, Portfolio Manager at Polen Capital 4. Chris Semenuk, Investment Partner at Tema ETFsFirst Look ETF is sponsored by the New York Stock ExchangeLearn more at http://www.ETFCentral.comWatch us on YouTube (Link http://www.youtube.com/etfguide)Follow us on Twitter @ETFguide (Link https://twitter.com/etfguide)Visit us at ETFguide.com (https://www.etfguide.com)
This week in our Meet the Manager series, guest host John Husselbee interviews the co-head of the Value Team, Kevin Murphy. John is head of the Multi-Asset Team at Liontrust and has 38 years of experience managing multi-asset and multi-manager funds and portfolios. Before Liontrust he was a co-founder and CIO of North Investment Partners, a specialist boutique that provided bespoke outsourced managed solutions. Before that he was Head of Multi-Asset Solutions at Henderson. Kevin Murphy has been managing portfolios since 2006 having joined Schroders in 2000 as a UK equity analyst focused on the construction and building materials sector. John and Kevin discuss Kevin's background from childhood to co-founding the Value Team; the decisions and challenges in building a franchise in value investing ten years ago; the challenges of value investing through a hard 2019 straight into Covid in 2020 and the worst decline in the value style in 100 years; how the Value Team avoided style drift even in the worst bits of the pandemic; and finally, how to keep an investment framework loyal to its underlying philosophy while evolving as markets change. Enjoy! NEW EPISODES: We release main series episodes every two weeks on Mondays. You can subscribe via Podbean or use this feed URL (https://tvpschroders.podbean.com/feed.xml) in Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Google Podcasts and other podcast players. GET IN TOUCH: send us a tweet: @TheValueTeam Important information. This podcast is for investment professionals only. This information is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument or to adopt any investment strategy. Any data has been sourced by us and is provided without any warranties of any kind. It should be independently verified before further publication or use. Third party data is owned or licenced by the data provider and may not be reproduced, extracted or used for any other purpose without the data provider's consent. Neither we, nor the data provider, will have any liability in connection with the third party data. Reliance should not be placed on any views or information in the material when taking individual investment and/or strategic decisions. Any references to securities, sectors, regions and/or countries are for illustrative purposes only. The views and opinions contained herein are those of individual to whom they are attributed, and may not necessarily represent views expressed or reflected in other communications, strategies or funds. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amounts originally invested. Exchange rate changes may cause the value of any overseas investments to rise or fall. Past Performance is not a guide to future performance and may not be repeated. The forecasts included should not be relied upon, are not guaranteed and are provided only as at the date of issue. Our forecasts are based on our own assumptions which may change.
Geoff Yu, BNY Mellon Sr. Market Strategist, says "everything is on the table" for the BOJ after they announced a surprise loosening of yield curve controls. Jonathan Pingle, UBS Chief US Economist, says the US is still a long way from price stability. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the BOJ's surprise yield curve actions were to "take themselves away from being pushed into a corner by market conditions." Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, sees core CPI at 3.9% this year. Jay Pelosky, TPW Advisory Principal & Founder, says "we're at the end of the rate hiking cycle in the west." Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In today's episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Phil Camporeale, portfolio manager in our Multi-Asset Solutions group at JP Morgan Asset Management. Phil manages portfolios with a global opportunity set, and in doing so is actively making decisions on how to allocate the pieces of the pie within portfolios. What's the optimal mix of stocks versus bonds? And then how do you allocate within those sleeves? Where can you get the best bang for your buck in terms of returns, while also managing risk in portfolios amidst an uncertain macro outlook? These decisions largely depend on relative valuations, the outlook for interest rates and growth, and the relative attractiveness of yields. In this episode, we'll hear form Phil on how he's shifting the dials in portfolios right now, and the slice he's allocated to fixed income.
Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, says this rally can go longer and higher than expected. Ken Tropin, Graham Capital CEO, says it's a good time to be conservative with your investments. Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief US Economist, says markets have gotten too aggressive. Tom Forte, DA Davidson Senior Research Analyst, thinks we could see layoffs at Apple next. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Marc Franklin, Managing Director & Senior Portfolio Manager, Multi Asset Solutions, at Manulife Investment Management, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Doug Krizner and Paul Allen on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The systemic impact of increased illiquid asset holdings in times of market stress is a sleeping dragon that, once awoken, could create havoc on liquid and illiquid portfolios. Trevor Lavin, head of Allspring's Institutional Client Group in the Western region, discusses this with Kevin Kneafsey, senior investment strategist with the Multi-Asset Solutions team. Allspring Global Investments is the trade name for the asset management firms of Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC, a holding company indirectly owned by certain portfolio companies of GTCR LLC and Reverence Capital Partners, L.P. These firms include but are not limited to Allspring Global Investments, LLC, and Allspring Funds Management, LLC. Certain products managed by Allspring entities are distributed by Allspring Funds Distributor, LLC (a broker-dealer and Member FINRA/SIPC).This material is for general informational and educational purposes only and is NOT intended to provide investment advice or a recommendation of any kind—including a recommendation for any specific investment, strategy, or plan. PAR-1222-00254
Wer sich mit dem Investieren in Einzelaktien auseinandersetzt, der stolpert schnell über Dividenden. Als Dividenden bezeichnet man die Gewinnausschüttung: Wenn das Unternehmen, an dem ich mich mit dem Aktienkauf beteiligt habe, einen Gewinn erzielt und diesen an die AnlegerInnen ausschüttet. In der neuen Folge des Podcasts "herMoney Talk" geht es darum, welche wichtige Rolle Dividendenaktien bei der Ruhestandsplanung spielen können. Darüber spricht Anne mit Helen Windischbauer, Head of Multi Asset Solutions von unserem Partner dem Vermögensverwalter Amundi. Amundi ist der größte Vermögensverwalter in Europa und hat ein breites Angebot an Fonds und ETFs. Viel Spaß beim Hören! Diese Folge ist gesponsert von Amundi. **Inhalt**: 00:00 – 02:46 Intro 02:47 – 07:08 Bedeutung von Dividendenaktien in Zeiter wieder steigender Zinsen 07:09 – 10:26 Traditionelle Dividendenzahler 10:27 – 11:53 Wie erkennt man nachhaltige Dividendenzahler 11:54 – 13:43 Dividendenzahlungen in Krisenzeiten, z.B. im Corona-Jahr 13:44 – 17:16 Kriterien für Dividendeninvestments 17:17 – 24:18 Dividendenaktien für die Ruhestandsplanung einsetzen 24:19 – 26:03 Helens Ruhestandsplanung 26:04 – 26:43 Outro **Zum Weiterhören**: Eine ältere Folge über [Dividenden in Krisenzeiten findest du hier](https://www.hermoney.de/hermoney-talk/112-andrea-huber-dividenden/). Wie AnlegerInnen [die steigende Inflation mit Dividenden abfedern können, erfährst du hier](https://www.hermoney.de/hermoney-talk/steigende-inflation-mit-dividenden-abfedern-so-gehts/). **Zum Weiterlesen**: Einen Artikel über [monatliche Dividendenzahlungen findest du hier](https://www.hermoney.de/boerse-geldanlage/monatliche-dividende-aktien-etfs/). Mehr Infos zu [Aktien mit hoher Dividendenrendite verlinken wir hier](https://www.hermoney.de/boerse-geldanlage/boerse-geldanlage-einzelaktien/dividendenrendite-dax/). Jeden Donnerstag in deinem Postfach: Der herMoney Newsletter. [Jetzt anmelden](https://www.hermoney.de/newsletter/). Du findest uns übrigens auf Instagram ([@hermoney_de](https://www.instagram.com/hermoney_de/)), LinkedIn ([herMoney](https://www.linkedin.com/company/18003739/)) und Facebook ([herMoney](https://www.facebook.com/hermoneyDE)). In unserer [Facebook Gruppe](https://www.facebook.com/groups/hermoneygruppe) kannst du dich übrigens mit der Community über alle Geldthemen austauschen und Gleichgesinnte treffen. Oder schreib uns eine E-Mail an kontakt@hermoney.de Jetzt neu: Das herMoney Buch. Der Finanzratgeber für Frauen in allen Lebenslagen. [Hier bestellen](https://www.hermoney.de/buch/).
Marc Franklin, Managing Director and Senior Portfolio Manager, Multi Asset Solutions, at Manulife Investment Management, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Juliette Saly on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode we dive into the reasons why trend following strategies work and importantly, when they work. Joining Peter is Otto Van Hemert, Director of Core Strategies at Man AHL, co-author of the award-winning paper Best Strategies for Inflationary Times which highlights trend as one such solution. Trend Setters What makes a trend in asset prices? Which environments offer the best returns for quantitative trend-following strategies? Introducing Trend Setters, the new multi-part podcast series from Long Story Short. Hosted by Peter van Dooijeweert, Head of Multi-Asset Solutions at Man Solutions, Trend Setters is demystifying the world of trend-following strategies and why they work in volatile markets. Articles mentioned in this episode: Best Strategies for Inflationary Times The Best Strategies for the Worst Crises
What makes a trend in asset prices? Which signals should you be looking for to find momentum in markets? Which environments offer the best returns for quantitative trend-following strategies? For the second season of Long Story Short, host Peter van Dooijeweert, Head of Multi-Asset Solutions at Man Solutions, is demystifying the world of trend following. You will hear about why trend strategies have outperformed other risk assets, the ways investors can look for trends in noisy markets, and how it might fit into your portfolio. Welcome to Trend Setters, a new multi-part series from Man Group, coming September 21.
This week, Lauren and Julia tie together the themes presented in the Multi-Asset Solutions team's Midyear Economic and Investment Outlook: how to allocate for resilience?
Jin Yuejue, Investment Specialist, Multi-Asset Solutions, at JP Morgan Asset Management, discusses the latest on the markets. She spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Juliette Saly on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week, Lauren and Julia discuss one of the themes presented in the Multi-Asset Solutions team's Midyear 2022 Economic and Investment Outlook: is the U.S. headed for recession?
This week, Lauren and Julia discuss one of the themes presented in the Multi-Asset Solutions team's Midyear 2022 Economic and Investment Outlook: when will the market pain stop?
Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, says the Fed has a lot of work to do to get inflation down. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, says corporate bond issuance is waiting for yields to fall. Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, says it will be hard for the Fed to switch back to cutting mode after they're done hiking. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, says it's possible Hillary Clinton may run for president again. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
For decades, investors have relied on a 60/40 portfolio — a mix of 60% stocks and 40% bonds — for steady growth and income. But rising stagflation risks are raising the possibility of a “lost decade” of returns for investors in these balanced portfolios while changing the playbook for portfolio construction, according to Christian Mueller-Glissmann, head of asset allocation research in Goldman Sachs Research, and Maria Vassalou, co-chief investment officer of Multi-Asset Solutions in the Asset Management Division, in the latest episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs.
The last few months have seen a swift and significant recalibration in markets. Inflation looks to be higher and stickier than previously assumed. The Fed has shifted more hawkish, now penciling upwards of seven hikes in 2022 and eyeing a faster pace of balance sheet reduction. On this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Phil Camporeale, Portfolio Manager on the Multi-Asset Solutions group at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss asset allocation in an environment with higher uncertainty on interest rates and inflation. In light of recent geopolitical events , we are reminded that there is always the potential for unknown shocks to disrupt the investment outlook. Tune in to hear how Phil Camporeale is building resiliency in diversified portfolios to navigate today's bumpy environment and invest for the long haul. For additional insights from Dr. David Kelly, check out the Notes on the Week Ahead podcast and newsletter on Apple, Spotify and LinkedIn.
This episode's roundtable discussion features a deep dive into the Russia-Ukraine War from a fixed income, equity, and multi-asset perspective. George Bory, managing director for Fixed Income Strategy and Product Specialists for Allspring Global Investments, speaks with Ann Miletti, head of Active Equities, and Matthias Scheiber, global head of Portfolio Management for the Multi-Asset Solutions team. Podcast length – 19:46, Disclosure length – 1:38 Allspring Global Investments is the trade name for the asset management firms of Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC, a holding company indirectly owned by certain portfolio companies of GTCR LLC and Reverence Capital Partners, L.P. These firms include but are not limited to Allspring Global Investments, LLC, and Allspring Funds Management, LLC. Certain products managed by Allspring entities are distributed by Allspring Funds Distributor, LLC (a broker-dealer and Member FINRA/SIPC).This material is for general informational and educational purposes only and is NOT intended to provide investment advice or a recommendation of any kind—including a recommendation for any specific investment, strategy, or plan. PAR-0322-00651
This episode’s roundtable discussion features a deep dive into the Russia-Ukraine War from a fixed income, equity, and multi-asset perspective. George Bory, managing director for Fixed Income Strategy and Product Specialists for Allspring Global Investments, speaks with Ann Miletti, head of Active Equities, and Matthias Scheiber, global head of Portfolio Management for the Multi-Asset Solutions team. Podcast length – 19:46, Disclosure length – 1:38 Allspring Global Investments is the trade name for the asset management firms of Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC, a holding company indirectly owned by certain portfolio companies of GTCR LLC and Reverence Capital Partners, L.P. These firms include but are not limited to Allspring Global Investments, LLC, and Allspring Funds Management, LLC. Certain products managed by Allspring entities are distributed by Allspring Funds Distributor, LLC (a broker-dealer and Member FINRA/SIPC).This material is for general informational and educational purposes only and is NOT intended to provide investment advice or a recommendation of any kind—including a recommendation for any specific investment, strategy, or plan. PAR-0322-00651
The hot topic of inflation is at the center of a discussion between Kevin Kneafsey, investment strategist on Allspring’s Multi-Asset Solutions team, and three panelists from the firm: Ann Miletti, head of Active Equity; George Bory, managing director, Fixed Income Strategy and Product Specialists; and Matthias Scheiber, global head of Portfolio Management for the Multi-Asset Solutions team. Each provides their views on inflation, as well as what they think is the biggest mistake an investor can make right now in our inflationary environment. Allspring Global Investments is the trade name for the asset management firms of Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC, a holding company indirectly owned by certain portfolio companies of GTCR LLC and Reverence Capital Partners, L.P. These firms include but are not limited to Allspring Global Investments, LLC, and Allspring Funds Management, LLC. Certain products managed by Allspring entities are distributed by Allspring Funds Distributor, LLC (a broker-dealer and Member FINRA/SIPC).This material is for general informational and educational purposes only and is NOT intended to provide investment advice or a recommendation of any kind—including a recommendation for any specific investment, strategy, or plan. PAR-1221-00422
The final episode of 2021 features a brief discussion of five themes that we believe will be important during the upcoming year, plus a deeper dive into one of those themes: the global economy. Today’s guest is Brian Jacobsen, senior investment strategist on Allspring’s Multi-Asset Solutions team. Allspring Global Investments is the trade name for the asset management firms of Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC, a holding company indirectly owned by certain portfolio companies of GTCR LLC and Reverence Capital Partners, L.P. These firms include but are not limited to Allspring Global Investments, LLC, and Allspring Funds Management, LLC. Certain products managed by Allspring entities are distributed by Allspring Funds Distributor, LLC (a broker-dealer and Member FINRA/SIPC).This material is for general informational and educational purposes only and is NOT intended to provide investment advice or a recommendation of any kind—including a recommendation for any specific investment, strategy, or plan. PAR-1221-00225
This podcast focuses on tax-aware transition planning, what it is, and how it may benefit investors who wish to transition their portfolios as their goals change over time. To discuss are Manju Boraiah, Senior Portfolio Manager & Global Head of Systematic Fixed Income, and Kandarp Acharya, Senior Portfolio Manager for Multi-Asset Solutions. Allspring Global Investments is the trade name for the asset management firms of Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC, a holding company indirectly owned by certain portfolio companies of GTCR LLC and Reverence Capital Partners, L.P. These firms include but are not limited to Allspring Global Investments, LLC, and Allspring Funds Management, LLC. Certain products managed by Allspring entities are distributed by Allspring Funds Distributor, LLC (a broker-dealer and Member FINRA/SIPC).This material is for general informational and educational purposes only and is NOT intended to provide investment advice or a recommendation of any kind—including a recommendation for any specific investment, strategy, or plan. PAR-1121-00951
Tune in to hear Dr. David Kelly and Jeff Geller, who serves as a Chief Investment Officer of our Multi-Asset Solutions group, discuss portfolio allocation decisions across a global opportunity set.