Behavior Analyst and sleep educator extraordinaire Emily Varon joins me in Session 247 to talk about how to understand sleep problems in children. In this episode, we cover how she first got interested in the area of sleep intervention, what research and resources she used to expand her scope of competence in this area, how sleep challenges can be met without using extinction, sleep problems specific to individuals with Autism, the impact of screentime on sleep disruption, cultural considerations for practices like co-sleeping, the importance of bedtime routines, and whether wearable devices are actually helpful. You can learn more about Emily's work in this area, get free "sleep kit," and participate in continuing education events at Emily's website, Ready Set Sleep. We mentioned numerous resources in this episode, and I have links for them below: Jin, Hanley, and Beaulieu (2013). An individualized and comprehensive approach to treating sleep problems in young children. JOMO: The Joy of Missing Out. Sleep Better!: A Guide to Improving Sleep for Children with Special Needs, Revised Edition (note: Amazon Associates link). Whoop Strap sleep and fitness device (note: this is an affiliate link). This episode is brought to you by: The University of Cincinnati Online. UC Online designed a Master of Education in Behavior Analysis program that is 100% online and asynchronous, meaning you log on when it works for you. Want to learn more? Go to online.uc.edu and click the “request info” button. HRIC Recruiting. Barb Voss has been placing BCBAs in permanent positions throughout the US for just about a decade, and has been in the business more generally for 30 years. When you work with HRIC, you work directly with Barb, thereby accessing highly personalized service. So if you're about to graduate, you're looking for a change of pace, or you just want to know if the grass really is greener on the other side, head over to HRIColorado.com to schedule a confidential chat right away. ACE Approved CEUs from .... Behavioral Observations. That's right, get your CEUs while driving, walking your dog, doing the dishes, or whatever else you might have going on, all while learning from your favorite podcast guests! Behavior University. Their mission is to provide university quality professional development for the busy Behavior Analyst. Learn about their CEU offerings, including their brand new 8-hour Supervision Course, as well as their RBT offerings over at behavioruniversity.com/observations.
I stumbled across the Invictus Quartet on Instagram and loved seeing and hearing their talent, energy, and creativity. Based in Melbourne, Invictus performs classical pieces, covers, and mash-ups all over Australia and beyond. There's really no limit to their creativity. I had so much fun chatting with Nyssa, Annika, Jin, and Bec. I'm so glad they agreed to come on the show with me! To see more of Invictus Quartet you can find them on social media @invictusquartet or over at their website https://www.invictusquartet.com/ If you're in Melbourn, consider seeing the ladies of Invictus perform live! Check their website for details! Music played in this episode: Dance The Night - Invictus Quartet Shorts Dvorak - American Quartet, Mvt I - by the Dover Quartet Main theme from The Mandalorian || Invictus Quartet Rachel Bruerville's “Dancing on TipToes”, A message from our dear friends, the Invictus Quartet Thong Song - Sisqó (String Quartet Version) || Invictus Quartet “Mozart x Ed Sheeran in one song, who knew?” - Invictus Quartet Shorts AFTER HOURS - Invictus Quartet - Winter x Bad Guy Part 2 of learning Mia and Sebastian's Theme AFTER HOURS - Invictus Quartet - Summer x Attack on Titan Our Theme: “Super Happy J-Pop Fun-Time” by Prismic Studios was arranged and performed by All Arms Around As I always mention, you can write to us at: firstname.lastname@example.org, and please follow us on Instagram and Facebook @infatuasianpodcast Please follow us wherever you get your podcasts. We could use your ratings and reviews over at Apple. And now Spotify! #asianaussie #invictusquartet #stringquartet #violin #violinist #violinists #viola #cello #asianpodcast #asian #asianamerican #infatuasian #iinfatuasianpodcast #aapi #veryasian #asianamericanpodcaster #representationmatters
Holy shit! I wrote this in the moment of listening to the message. I write this now to capture my excitement in this moment to share later when I'm allowed. Early November I recorded a podcast and held onto it until the results came in. The excitement I share is for a client I am working with. The incredible Susan Harrington spoke the words ‘my CT and PET scan show no evidence of disease' on the 16th of November. I asked how she celebrated. With dumplings and Pinot. They will never hold the same meaning again
We have crossed the halfway point of season 6, and if what you have been waiting for is the answer to "what in the world is this ageless man's DEAL anyway?" Boy do we have an episode for you. As great as our Richard episode is, Sun and Jin continue to be amazing characters who unfortunately don't have much to do. Daniel questions Jacob, Eric delights in teasing the final fate of our characters. If you enjoyed the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen to it! You can also follow us on Twitter @TheAutopsyOf or email us at TheAutopsyOfDexterMorgan@gmail.comTheme Song:Aquarium by Kevin MacLeodLink: https://incompetech.filmmusic.io/song/5738-aquariumLicense: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
On this Salcedo Storm Podcast:Retired, Lt. Colonel Tony Shaffer is a Newsmax Contributor. He's the President of Project Sentinel. ANDBrigadier General Blaine Holt is a Newsmax contributor, Air Force veteran, C-17 commander, tech entrepreneur, and Co-founder of Restore Liberty.
Down Home Cajun Music- La Valse De LaFleurLeroy Broussard & The Melody Boys- "Brasse Don Le Cush Cush" (LL 8032)Aldus Roger- "One Scotch, One Bourbon, One Beer" (LL 8039)Shirley & Alphee Bergeron with The Veteran Playboys- "Old Home Waltz" (Lanor 510)Belton Richard & Musical Aces- "The Drunkards Waltz" (Chamo 107)Blackie & The Moonlight Serenaders- "Elton Two Step" (Khoury's 725)Nathan Abshire & The Pine Grove Playboys- "Pine Grove Blues" (Kajun 503)Papa Cairo & His Boys- "Big Texas" (Feature 1049)Austin Pitre & Evangeline Playboys- "Don't Shake My Tree" (Swallow 10146)Adam Hebert & The Country Playboys- "Le Moulin" (Swallow 120)Andrew Cormier & The Rambling Aces- "Two Step De Vieux Temps" (Jin 106)Joe Bonsall & The Orange Playboys- "Light Moving" (Goldband 1133)Vorris LeBlanc & The Sugar Bee's- "Kaw Liga" (Goldband 1128)*All selections from the original 45 rpm records.
This is Big Hit Music. 5 little words that have struck terror into the hearts of Army since Fall 2022. We've said a temporary goodbye to Jin, J-Hope, Suga...and now it's time to farewell the final four. Were you surprised to learn it would be a mass exodus? Are you grappling with your Bangtail-free months. Relieved to catch up on content (maybe--lots coming). Sad? Proud? All of the above? Join Afternoona Army as we unpack this latest enlistment news.NEW! Afternoona Army is now on PATREON!Join The BTS Buzz and get access to Afternoona Army's exclusive DISCORD channel, get shout outs on-air in podcast, and receive invitations to quarterly live support groups. Questions? Email email@example.com for more information.Sign Up for Our Newsletter!Want our thoughts on Yunki's hair extensions in a 500-word essay? More book recs? This is the place to get it. Sign up HERE! Are your family and friends sick of you talking about K-drama? We get it...and have an answer. Check out our sister pod www.afternoonadelight.com for more episodes, book recs and social media goodness. And don't forget about the newest members of our network: Build an appetite for juicy living with It's Bananas, a podcast where the fruit maven shares how tasting new and diverse fruits leads to self-discovery, joy, and connection; and Afternoona Asks where diaspora Asians living in the West find ways to reconnect to Asian culture via Asian/KDramas.Want to find more great BTS content? Head over to Afternoona Army for "thinky, thirsty and over thirty" takes on Bangtan life and links to our social media.
Heslo „ANO je tu pro všechny“ opakuje toto hnutí na všech svých spanilých jízdách. Jenže, jak známo, každá sázka na všeobjímající slova je nezávazná a nicneříkající. Proto v angličtině „catch all party“ je původně pojmenování pro univerzální párty, velký mejdan, který se konává většinou pod stanem. Jinými slovy se jedná o jednorázovou zábavu.Všechny díly podcastu Názory a argumenty můžete pohodlně poslouchat v mobilní aplikaci mujRozhlas pro Android a iOS nebo na webu mujRozhlas.cz.
Heslo „ANO je tu pro všechny“ opakuje toto hnutí na všech svých spanilých jízdách. Jenže, jak známo, každá sázka na všeobjímající slova je nezávazná a nicneříkající. Proto v angličtině „catch all party“ je původně pojmenování pro univerzální párty, velký mejdan, který se konává většinou pod stanem. Jinými slovy se jedná o jednorázovou zábavu.
Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, guests hosts the show and says the 'enormous volatility' in the bond market needs to be corrected in order to restore the Fed's credibility. Stephanie Kelton, Stony Brook University Professor of Public Policy & Economics, says the Fed has effectively put fiscal policy on autopilot. Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, describes the Fed's policy trajectory as headed for a "rocky landing." Stephen Schork, The Schork Group Principal, says traders have become skeptical about supply levels of oil and jet fuel heading into a major travel season. Jeannette Lowe, Strategas Managing Director of Policy Research, says the meeting between President Biden and Xi Jinping won't change the dynamic between the two countries in a major way. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance Full transcript: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene, along with Jonathan Farrell and Lisa Abramowitz. Join us each day for insight from the best an economics, geopolitics, finance and investment. Subscribe to Bloomberg Surveillance on demand on Apple, Spotify and anywhere you get your podcasts, and always on Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App. Why don't we move on to what doctor Olrium cares Mohammed, We've got to sit on crude, the idea that crude has essentially collapsed into a bear market, down more than twenty percent from the September highs. We spent this week talking about soft lending, hopes and dreams. Do we have to start thinking about an economic downturn in the not too distant future, well some of them. Some people are talking about this. I mean to see oil prices down more than twenty percent from the highs at the time that there's a conflict going on in the Middle East. It's quite quite and that's feeding into the soft landing. And we're going to talk a lot about this. But the market has now fully embraced not just that the fat has finished this hiking cycle, which I think is correct, but that we're going to see deeper and deeper cuts next year without a recession, and that's the critical assumption that's now built in across markets. I want to get the money question out of the way right away. As CEO of a major two million employee company in America called Walmart, yesterday brought up a d word deflation seared into the fabric of Cambridge, Oxford in the London School of Economics as a study a British deflation of the thirties and forties. America has never faced that have they They haven't, and we've had Japan recently. And the problem with deflation is it discourages people from buying today. However, I want to stress the US is deflation in certain products, food being the primary example, and that's why Walmart we decited it. We don't have general deflation, and I doubt we're going to have general deflation. I mean, I look at the an inflation question and it is a vector of disinflation in place. Clearly we see that. What is your optimism of getting back to John Williams two point zero percent? Richard claired is two point x percent. I think Richard is more likely to be right than John. I think we're going to get stuck in the high twos, and the FED is going to have to make a very difficult decision. Does it live with inflation higher than target because the target itself is too low, or alternatively, does it acknowledge that two percent is the right target and then crushes the economy. I think that's the choice the FED is going to have to make. What's your best guess right now? I think it's going to go for the format. I think the FED will understand that pressing two percent inflation in a world where there's insufficient structural supply is not the right thing to do. So where do you think it leaves this bond market? Let's go through this course right now. We've got a two year at the moment at about four eighty, a ten year at about four forty. Think about where we've been in the last month of Summerhammet had a two year pushing five twenty five high set of cycle, ten year through five percent high set of cycle. How are you thinking about what we come back down to, bearing in mind what we're pricing for right cuts next year. I think we've come down too far to tell your truth. I understand why some people think that we're going further, but if you look at the inflation dynamics, that's harder to get unless we go into recession. If we go into a recession, then the stock market is mispriced, so you can't have both at the same time. Has something changed? I think this is what it goes back to. Has something changed post pandemic? That means we don't go back to the pre pandemic world. That debate, I think is still on going. Mohammed, where'd you come down on it? I think the pre pandemic world was exceptional. It was a world of qui. It was a world of insufficient aggregate demand. And when you have insufficient aggregate demand, you can push into the economy as much liquidity as you want because you won't get inflation. That world is gone. We're in a world now of efficient, inflexible supply, and that's a very different world. Sometimes talk about over the two hours with doctor Olian is growth economics. I've been telling a lot of people to remind themselves of a guy named Solo at MIT in nineteen fifty six and the near religious experience of trusting and growth. Can you state that we have a new American growth economics of what some people are indicating is improved productivity, improved efficiency. So you know, I listened carefully to our friend Mike Spence, the Nobel Prize winner, because he spent so much of his career studying studying with John Hicks, I mean correct majesty of that alone, and he is incredible and his insights are really valuable. And his bottom line is that most countries have to evolve to a new growth model. The US is the most advanced in that evolution. I think the three important piece of legislation that the administration passed last year were critical in that perspective. So if you look around the world, whether it is the US, Europe, or China, all three have the challenge of evolving the growth model, and only the US is doing it seriosly right now, too gloomy? We no, Lisa isn't here, so we're not too blooming. No. I think we recognize that the world is evolving. This is a different global economy, this is a different domestic economy, and policies have to evolve accordingly. What worries me and I think the concern of a lot of people listening to this conversation on going at home is you just have to go about forty eight hours and we're talking about disinflation, soft landing, hopes and dreams, and then twenty four hours, forty eight hours later, you look to Burberry a collapse in luxury. You look to Walmart a warning about the US consumer. You look to Crew entering a bear market, and all of a sudden, we're talking about a slowdown and maybe even recession. Mohammed. The bond market is stuck between all of this. We're seeing double digit moves day after day in either direction. You've written about this extensively in the last few months, about a bond market that's lost its anchors. Is an economic slowdown sufficient to regain some stability in fixed incoming treasury specifically? No, I mean I was really struck yesterday. I was watching you when you said, guess what, we had the same level of the tenure as we were a week ago, and my reaction is, how could that be? So I looked it up and you were right. Now. Most people feel that this week is very different from last week because of the inflation print that we've had. We still lack one of the three anchors. You either need an economic anchor, or a policy anchor, or a technical anchor to the bond market, and we've lost all three. So these moves are going to continue. The thing that has really impressed me is that nothing has broken. If you had told me a year ago we're going to see this incredible volatility and the most important market in the world is the benchmark for so much else, and yet nothing will break, I would have said that's impossible. So the resilience of the functioning of the market has really impressed me. The financial system, and of course we had the shock and the United Kingdom off a derivative structure in the pension plans, but to lead to this and measured in standard deviations, which is how fancy people like Alarian think. We had a six seven eighth standard deviation and thereat moderation. There's a hope in prayer we get back to that trend line that's in years. How many years are do you think we heal this great bond tobacco. I think it's going to take time. Remember we've had ten exceptional years where the bond market was distorted, so I must say back to vulgar We've had, you know, thirty exceptional years. But the shift to an artificially low interest rate and ample and predictable injections of liquidity fundamentally changed the bond market and that is going to take time to recover from. Did you and Bill Gross get a free ride because you were within the Great Moderation? Was that such a structural like a free life? But the PIMCO when you build it, you invented it with Bill? Was it? Was it easier because you had the Great Moderation? Or just just think of investor. Investors care about three things, returns, volatility, and correlations. And we went through a period that because liquidity was being injected into the economy over and over again, we got high returns, we got virtually no volatility, and the correlations broke down. But in your favor, you made money on your risky assets and you made money on your risk free acids. At the same time, there was a great time. We took it to be normal, but it was truly exceptional. And we're going back to a world that I think is more like what we had before the Global financial crisis. It's going to be so hard to shake this, Mohammed, because we've got a whole generation, in fact, a couple of generations conditioned by two major shocks, the financial crisis and the pandemic. And we know how the FED response to major shocks. What we've all forgotten is how it responds to just normal economic downturns and upside pressure on inflation. How do we start to get into that all over again? Yeah, And this is where FED credibility and better communication is better. John, It's really striking that the market is willing to take on the FED on a price that the FED controls. The FED totally controls the policy rate, and yet the market does not believe what the FED is is telling us. And it is really striking because we have got to restore FED credibility otherwise we're going to continue with this enormous volatility. Your thoughts on what's percolating into the end of the year in the Q one twenty twenty four. Are there shadows in private equity? Are there shadows in the new non traditional finance? Yeah? So, one thing that I don't think is pricing enough is that when you move from the banking system to the non banks, you change the lags in the system. So you see this with commercial real estate. Everybody recognizes that the re financing of a trillion plus of assets is going to be tricky, but because it's over time, we don't worry about it. Everybody recognizes it as a maturity wall in the corporates out there, but because it's over time, we don't worry about it. If it were all within the banking system, we would have worried about it really quickly. So the move from the banks to the non banks has extended this Michael Spencer's shore. The regulatory lag here is tangible. This is the uncomfortable calm note as well, just to borrow that phrase from a long time ago from the Bank of International Settlements, This maturity wall is out there in twenty twenty five, and it's just this feeling mohammed that we don't have to think about it. But at some point we have to start thinking about it, don't we, right? But you know what, you enjoyed the journey before you get to a destination. Oh, here we go, and you want to give us some good news bad news, bradmos out here, No, no, I totally understand, you know, because momentum is really important, and you want to be exposed to this market. And I think most people have much more of a tactical mindset than they do of a strategic or structural mindset, and investment has become very tactical. Mohammed's set in the Town's great to have you with us, by the way, it is without questions, through the pandemic and literally over the last five years she has had a greater influence on the debate of our American economics and anyone out there. Out of Sacramento, Cambridge and a tour of duty at the very liberal New School of Social Research, Stephanie Kelton joins us now from Stonybrook University. The book is a deficit myth. In the three letters, are MMT professor honored to have you on Bloomberg's surveillance? Are we unraveled? Stephanie? The worry here of the annual interest expense the return of a real interest rate? Are we unraveling as we roll into twenty twenty four? No, I mean we are. The Fed is effectively in a sense, putting fiscal policy, a big part of the federal government's budget on autopilot. And it's really tantamount to running, you know, a pretty regressive fiscal stimulus. That's what the rate hikes are actually doing. If we don't like it, Tom, there's a pretty easy way out of it, which is to say, if the rate high are pushing up the amount of money the federal government is spending to service the debt, interest expenditure up by hundreds of billions and trillions of dollars over time, remittances from the Fed to the treasury have collapsed. All of this is adding to the deficit, which triggers more issuance of treasuries, which puts you in what is essentially just a cycle now of higher rates, higher deficits, higher debt, and it will continue for as long as the Federal Reserve holds in this position with a deficit. The debt and the deficit is from the new school Heilbrunner and Bernstein classically talked about years ago. But the arch MMT criticism is, you're handing monetary decision making from the acuity and date driven data dependency of a FED over to the legislative branch. Can we trust the legislative branch to prosecute MMT given where we are right now? Well, okay, I'm glad you mentioned hal Brunner. He was a professor of mine when I was there in a really terrifically bright person Tom. MMT is a description of the monetary system that we have today. It is a floating exchange rate fiat currency. Love it or hate it, it's what we have. MMT describes the monetary system that we have and the mechanics of government finance. It's not a policy proposal. It doesn't propose changing anything. It's describing how things already work. So think about what Congress did with the onset of the pandemic, drafting first the Cares Act that two point two trillion and then the big Omnibus Bill, a nine hundred billion dollar package, and then the Democrats came in and did their one point nine trillion dollar American Rescue Plan Act. All of that was deficit spending. We didn't give Congress any new permission to do anything. We just described how it all works. And it helps to unders stand why Congress was able to muster that kind of fiscal firepower when so many economists had previously said that when the next crisis came, we would be unable to act. People like Larry Summers said because of the Republican tax cuts in twenty seventeen, that we would be living on a shoe string for decades to come. Those were his words. That we wouldn't have the ability to spend money because of the deficits, because of the debt. That was wrong. Congress has the power of the purse. MMT recognizes that, and MMT says, listen, this is an extraordinary power they have. They need to use it responsibly, and that means thinking before you move forward with bold spending programs about the inflation risk that's associated with those spending proposals. And that's the piece that was missing. The one thing you didn't mention in you know, my tour of going through my education and so forth, was the time I spent in the US Senate as the chief economist for the Demomocrats. And I'll just say very quickly and i'll stop that. When I was in the Senate, my great frustration was being surrounded by members of the Senate on both the Republican and the Democratic side, who were drafting bills trillion dollars of infrastructure, talking about medicare for all and all these other things without ever mentioning inflation risk, I couldn't believe it. So MMT would have us do things very differently when it comes to the way we approach the federal budgeting process. It's inflation that you have to watch for, Stephanie, it's Mike McKee. If wishes were horses, then beggars would ride. The idea that Congress is going to think about anything before these start passing bills is probably not going to happen. So I'm wondering, after all this is there a limit in the sense that at some point we aren't going to be able to respond fiscally, for one reason or another, to some sort of crisis because all the money is going into debt payment instead of instead of going into additional spending, and the way we're set up now, we got to pay those bills. Okay, So two things I'll say. One, I've been hearing this my entire life. You'll remember that Chairman Volker had into straights up pretty high. And meanwhile, you know Ronald Reagan did two massive tax cuts and massively built up the military. So again, if Congress has the will to pass legislation, the votes are there, the money is there, and I'll just say I don't think it's right to say, actually that we can't trust Congress to rein it in. Remember, the so called Inflation Reduction Act was Congress's effort to say, listen, we don't want to continue passing legislation given the inflationary environment. So we want to get revenues up, we want to control costs. We're going to negotiate prescription drug prices. That was all Congress taking, you know, careful steps. I think are you would you suggest, Stephanie, whether it's a Republican or Democratic, to houses that we can have budget responsibility. Do you see displayed budget responsibility in the modern Congress and Senate? Well, Tom, what I'm saying is that if we were doing things the way I'd like to see them done, instead of handing proposed spending bills to let's say, the Congressional Budget Office and saying, give me feedback on this legislation I have drafted. Tell me if it's going to increase the deficit, tell me whether it adds to the debt. I don't think that is the most important feedback. I think it would be much better to have CBO and or other agencies evaluate proposed legislation on the basis of inflation risk. But we don't do it that way, right, So I think that that would put us much closer to having a Congress that operates with fiscal responsibility, i e. Inflation risk at the heart of what it is. Okay, can you and say a critic of yours, John Cochrane, the great conservative economists, Can you and John Cochrane get on the same page and say we need a Simpson Bulls reducts where in the initiation of that panel we actually demand that we get something done. No? Uh, sorry, sorry, but no is the answer to the question. You would have to first convince me that there is some sort of looming crisis that necessitates the formulation of a fiscal commission. And I don't believe that we are facing that kind of crisis. Inflation is coming down. So if you approach things the way I do, which is to say, you know, are we at risk? Is the budget posing and inflation problem, then let's get at it and let's figure out what adjustments need to be made to ensure that we aren't putting ourselves at risk of trenched inflation well above the Fed's target. I don't think that's the future facing fascinating and controversial Professor Calton. Thank you so much, Stephanie Calton. I can't say enough about how refreshing to any and all her book. The deficit myth is she is at Stonybrook and you know her from the phrase MMT right now with us and Mohammedalarian with us is a great thrill today. He is at Queen's College in Cambridge and he's interested in the asset allocation of their endowment. That's the campus that Steve chiveron had a multi Asset Solutions that federated him as Steve. This is a lonely bull market. How do you reallocate into the end of the year. Well, you had to get ahead of it a little bit. We were adding over the course of the summer when it was uncomfortable on the idea that markets like FED pauses and they price in soft landings even if a soft landing doesn't materialize, because when the FED pauses, invariably it's on suspicion they've gone too far, not on confirmation. And so the data that's available to you is a FED that's no longer hiking and an unemployment rate that's still low, and that's been the case throughout history and it's the case today. And so finally, with the bond market having broken, we're getting that FED pause rally and that can be powerful, Tom. You know, historically those are nine month events, and you can see the equity market up fifteen twenty percent. And interestingly enough, and this is something that's been on our mind, the equity market has hit an all time high each of the last five times that the FED has paused. Now four of those ended in tiers, but it still happened either way, and we think this rally has legs. I think the jury on whether or not, you know, how soft this landing is next year, is still very much out or for the time being, we think this rally continues. Steve, what are you looking at to determine this whole macro question of has the FED not just paused, but it's going to stop cutting and kind to do so within a soft What are the key variables you look at. We're calling them the five Games of Chicken, and it's that corporate refinancing wall. You're going to have about sixty percent of corporate debt come due between twenty four and twenty eight, So what percentage of that is going to face materially higher rates, and what does that do to company earnings? That's number one. Number two for small businesses, they've already seen their debt repriced because it's variable rate bank debt. So how many quarters of high rates can they survive? On the consumer negative or I'm sorry, real income growth is finally turned positive, But how positive does it get? And does it allow a consumer to de lever again, rebuild savings and continue to spend eight hundred and seventy seven billion dollars of bank deposit outflow? What does that do to restrict lending? And then what percentage of the federal debt, a third of which becomes due this year reprices to a significantly higher rate. Those five things we think, if they were to all go perfectly, you'd get this immaculate soft landing. I think that's unlike we think what's more likely is a kind of rocky landing where inflation stays stuck at three rates, stay hi, there's some slow down, and it's a kind of malaise. It's a single digit equity environment with a real risk that something breaks and you get into a classic recession. So it's really between that rocky landing and then a kind of a classic recession break that we think is most likely to happen. We're in the rocky landing camp at least for now. And what do you say to those who say, of your five factors, it's one in five. It's all about supply. It's all about who's going to buy all the supply. I think that's big. But where I would focus more acutely is on the nexus between banks and small businesses. The banks. Again, if there's eight hundred and seventy billion dollars less of deposits, that's eight hundred and seventy seven billion less of loans that can be made. And small businesses are reliant on that, and they're not facing a maturity wall. They've already seen it, and so if something's going to break, we would look there. So we're spending a lot of time focused there. It also has a bias towards larger cap companies within our asset allocation. Steve, let's get to the quote that shook up this market in the last twenty four hours. TK talked about it at the start of the program. It came from the Walmart CEO. We may be managing through a period of deflation in the months to come. Steve, when you heard those words yesterday, what was your response. I think the word deflation is probably a little strong, But I do think that there could be a lot more disinflation than what we've what we're expecting. If you look at the areas of the economy where you've seen disinflation so far, it's goods prices, it's food prices, its energy prices, It's a lot of stuff that quite frankly, can be explained by COVID normalization. Big interest rate sensitive purchases have not really seen the big deflation that you'd expect r. I mean, home prices are still relatively buoyant. Go and try to buy a car. It's not exactly a value exercise these days. And so I think as the rate heights filter through the economy, there is more disinflation in the pipeline, and I think you could see a at some point in twenty four go very quickly from worrying primarily about inflation to worrying very much about growth and the employment markets. And that could switch on a dime. And it's something that keeps us in a kind of humble position. Well states is the same true for investors just to jump in. You mentioned that as a federal reserve can make that switch. I just wonder how quickly investor start to make that switch, and whether we can get some divergence between what's happening with bonds and what's happening with stocks. I think what you do is you pull up some charts and you look at them. Historically, you know, unemployment takes stares down and elevators up. The equity market takes stairs up and elevators down. Particularly if you are headed towards a recession. You don't gradually shift your view in the late part of a cycle. It happens very, very swiftly, and that's why as an investor you have to prepare for that. You start to lengthen duration, you start to upgrade the quality of your equities. We like companies right now that have strong balance sheets, strong cash flow generation, low external financing, and you move in that direction so that if it does move on a dime, which historically it does, you know you're you're not left out in the coal stave. What if I get you thoughts, it's going to catch up. Have a good weekend, my stave Chevron the Federated terms, Stephen Schory, So principle of the short group saves us. Now, oil disinflation, Stephen, how does New York Harbor adjust to oil deflation? All the little idy busy things jet fuel, diesel, distillate, how do they adjust as collapse in oil. Yeah, it's a really interesting question, Tom. We're trying to figure it out as we speak right now. When you look at the spread action between gasoline on the flub with curb and inventories, seemingly there is enough oil power, enough gasoline in your harbor. The neok Carver just want to point out is important because that is the delivery hub for the mercantiles, diesel and gasoline contracts. Now, when we look at overall supplies relative to demand, we're looking at about twenty four days worth of supply of gasoline. Now. That is normal, That is spot on to the five year average, and it's slightly above a year ago. The problem now is that traders are skeptical. They are pricing in a premium on the front end of the curve, which is a clear signal that someone out there is concerned about these supplies, regardless of the fact that we do have all of this space worth to supply? The other big issue here is jet fuel. Right now, we don't have enough jet fuel stocks are extremely low and as we look forward to next week, we expect this or I should say Triple A expects us to be one of the busiest travel seasons for Thanksgiving of the past twenty odd years. So when we look at the rising demand, when we look at the spread action, something here is afoot. It doesn't line up that the spreads are saying one thing, ie, there's not enough supply, regardless of what we're actually seeing in a weekly inventory reports from the EIA. So Stephen, the SANDI is a frustrated with the price section, as you can imagine. I just wonder if they're frustrated enough to change policy again, do you think they are? It's really interesting and it is really conundrum that, to be honest, I am perplexed that the market never really priced in any sort of risk premium with regard to what is happening now in the Middle East. And let's be clear on this. This is a war not between Israel and Hamas, but it is effectively a war between Israel and Iran. Given that we're fighting that is to say, Israel's fighting Amas has Blah and the Huti's all backed by Iran. Now that is a pretty scary proposition with Iran's ability to halt the flow of oil coming out of the Persian go free straight her moves. So yes, there clearly is a head scratcher here that we have this huge risk on supply, but the market refuses the price that in regardless, we're focusing now on the demand picture. And yes, if you're Sali Radio, if hey, if you're a Texas and you are trying to produce and you're looking at this price action, yeah you are frustrated at this point. But I want to say here, based on our modeling, we're likely at the bottom of the market right now, given this situation around the globe and the inbalance now between supply and demand. So, Stephen, do you think that the Saudis will weight this out or do you think the Saudis will be on the phone to the Russians and any other ORPAC plus member that's willing to participate in another cut in production. Yeah, I do think that there is a concern that we'll see further cuts Already the Saudis, Russia, have extended their cuts of volunteer cuts to the end of the year. We've seen now in oil prices, unlike the product prices, we've seen an absolute collapse in the front end of the curve. So we've now actually on the noomics. We've moved into a situation called contango, meaning that prices for nearer term delivery are now below that of prices for longer term delivery. So this is a clear takeaway that right now from an oil standpoint, fundamentals are extremely weak, and I would suspect that we'll see the chances are going into the quarter OPEC plus either extending the cuts or increasing those cuts into the new year. Steven Shark over the arc of Bloomberg surveillance twenty years. One of the great shocks has been America's success with hydrocarbons into the new year. Are we energy independent? No, not at this point. Now. I want to point out that we were energy independent a few years ago. In keeping in mind, energy independence does not mean we do not have to import a BTU from anywhere around the world. We wore a fluid trader in the world. We wore the dominant krudeoil producer in the world, and we wore the swing producer. That is so for all intents and purposes, we wore an energy independent when it comes to hydrocarbons, and that is just a shout out to how well how efficient the industry has grown over the past fifteen to twenty years. But given current policy right now, no, we're not energy independent and going into the new year, big risk is that we are playing a zero sum game. That is to say that we are taking off dispatchable BTUs natural gas, nukes, coal faster than we can replace them renewables. That's not opinion, that is fact. The regulators are telling the government this is so, and yet the government is still going ahead enforcing these retirements where we don't have enough power. So everyone out there get used to this and get ready. There's going to be a huge jump in volatility over the next two years, a huge jump in pricing for electricity and for other alternative BTUs because we're quite not ready for the transition that the government is forced in upon the industry. Stephen with a big one is Stephen Schork at the Short Group. A lot of happy talk this week. Jeanette low Strtigas wrang in on this meeting between Biden and Jain, saying this the meeting does not change the trajectory of US Chinese relations. Tom the US will continue to push for de risking or decoupling with China in order to protect this national security interest, and China will continue to push to develop a multi polar world against US interest. Janet Low there join us now from strtigis MS Lord, Jeannette. I look at where we are, and of course the major question is what's the next step. What is the next step. Should we look for President Biden to visit China. Yeah, that's probably, to somewhat extent unlikely. I think maybe if we look back at last year, we had a meeting between Biden and She in November of twenty twenty two, and you know, not much occurred out of that. After that, a couple months later, we had that spy balloon flying over Montana, which then ruptured relations again. So I don't necessarily think that there's going to be a lot more steps moving forward. It was also very interesting to have the Defense Secretary at the exact same time in the Philippines talking about continued coordination while this APEC and the Biden She summit was happening in San Francisco. So I think this is going to be about trying to lower the temperature, trying to make sure we have continued communications. As you guys have mentioned, having she he wanted to he's having some domestic issues. This is also a good opportunity for him to kind of have a reset. But ultimately, I think that the two sides are going to continue on their trajectories and this is not going to change the overall path. What it is going to do is just make things a little bit easier in the short term. We have an election coming up in the US. We don't want to continue tensions with the China. But at the same time, if Biden was to be too conciliatory towards China, we have a whole lot of hawks in Congress who would then pounce him on that. So Janetta, I very much agree with your analysis. Can you take it one step further? How easy is it to de risk without decoupling? Right? And I think that this is part of the issue too. I mean, you have the US has been trying to make strides to de risk from China, but it's going to take quite a bit of time. Obviously, We're quite reliant on China for supply chains, for critical minerals, for a whole host of things, and so it's going to be very difficult to actually move those pieces away. And so I think that trend is in place and you're going to see it continue over the next couple of years. But that also means that to some extent, you almost need a daytunt at the highest level so that you can build these pieces out from the bottom and ultimately get to that de risking. I don't think decoupling is probably where the ultimate goal is, but it is really about trying to protect US national security interests and making sure there is reduced dependency on China. And I do think that you are seeing that you regardless of the fact that you have to make choices between how you align with US and China, there is an effort or there is a realization across the globe that having too much dependency on China is not a good thing either. And from Chrona's perspective, de risking involves building little pipes around the US at the core of the system. How far can they go into building basically an alternative global system. So this is obviously something that they have been working on, and they would like to continue to accelerate that. I think the one thing that is important is I think the fact that the US is not doing this alone is important that they will actually be more successful and actually trying to at least move supply chains. China is still going to be involved, China is still going to try to work with their partners in Asia to get around some of those pieces. But the other thing is that is if you look at China trying to build this multipolar world, they have been doing that over the course of a couple of years. They're trying to obviously move away from the US dollar, They're trying to get other countries to do the same. But if you are looking at China also being in a place of having economic weakness, that also is not necessarily conducive to them actually being the leader of that movement. So there's a lot of things that have to be worked out on both sides to actually reach their ultimately ultimate goal. And I think that's why we're going to kind of see a I don't want us to use the term muddle through, but kind of a muddle through scenario where they continue down their path but there is obviously some need to be conciliatory in the interim quickly, here Jin ed and I've been guilty of this all week. I have failed and taken my eye off Ukraine, Ukraine in this cold December. What will that debate, that study look like. Right, So this is the US does not have a lot of military aid left to provide to Ukraine at the moment unless Congress appropriates more funding. And so the spring offensive has not necessarily produced the results that the both sides were looking for. We're going into the winter, which makes it more difficult for there to be progress on the battlefield. Think that you will see an effort in Congress to try to come back from a Thanksgiving holiday and pass Biden's National Security Supplemental, which would provide aid for Ukraine as well as Israel and Taiwan and the border. But that is something that they still are trying to find a solution on. They need to figure out whether or not they can add border policy changes in order to get Republican support for that bill. But if we don't get aid to Ukraine over the next couple of weeks, there is probably going to be a strong hole put into Ukraine's defenses because they really do need more money. You obviously have Europe also supporting them, but Europe has been struggling to get some aid packages passed, some munitions given to them as well, so it's it's been put on the back burner. But I think you might start to see more discussion over over the next month in Congress. At least this is a fine We're going to seek out it to the new year. Jeanette low A shatigas Jeanette, thank you. Subscribe to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast on Apple, Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live every weekday starting at seven am Easter. I'm Bloomberg dot Com, the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can watch us live on Bloomberg Television and always I'm the Bloomberg Terminal. Thanks for listening. I'm Tom Keen, and this is BloombergSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Jin joins us from North Carolina where he is, along with earning his Ph.D, doing his best to reduce - or eliminate - bird-window collisions. In fact window collisions are mostly a daytime problem. The night time problem is light at night. This draws birds in and they then collide with any part of a building, or they die from exhaustion, confused and circling the light. Come on humanity, we can do better! Jin Bai is a fourth-year Ph.D. candidate in the Fisheries, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology program at NCSU and studies the drivers of urban bird diversity. He has extensive experience designing, coordinating, and assisting citizen science projects, including organizing the Triangle Bird Count. Jin co-founded City Bird with a mission of documenting bird-window collisions and advocating for bird-friendly college campuses in the Triangle area of North Carolina. Additionally, Jin is a board member of the New Hope Audubon Society, a local non-profit chapter of the National Audubon Society covering Orange, Durham, and Chatham counties of NC, dedicated to local bird conservation.
LOST is BACK! After 4 months, the WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes have ended which means Streaming Things can finally go back to the island and resume their watch along coverage for LOST. This episode was recorded right before the strikes began so we are all very excited to finally release it! This week Kit and Steve (Madison was on vacation this week) cover episode 6 titled "House of the Rising Sun." We finally get to see the backstory for Sun and Jin while Locke gives Charlie an ultimatum. 00:00:00 - Introduction 00:07:35 - Episode 6 coverage begins 00:10:49 - Overall Thoughts 00:12:52 - Scene by Scene Recap 00:47:49 - Beach, Please 00:50:02 - Mile High Moments 00:55:53 - Passenger Princess 00:57:42 - Lost & Found Pickup the new LOST Streaming Things Shirt! And checkout our MERCH STORE for more Streaming Things merch! We're on YouTube! We got BRAND NEW merch! Check our our website. Email - firstname.lastname@example.org Instagram - @streamingthingspodofficial Twitter - @StreamThingPod or @moviesRtherapy for Chris. Mail us some stuff at our new P.O. Box! Streaming Things 6809 Main St. #172 Cincinnati, OH 45244 *This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp* This month Streaming Things is brought to you by...
Jungkook has dropped his solo album, Golden, and according to Afternoona Army...pop has a new king. We cover everything from 3D to Shot Glass Full of Tears and apparent musical influences, his whirlwind promo and how/why the team seems focused on promoting him to the west. Let's party, party, yeah!NEW! Afternoona Army is now on PATREON!Join The BTS Buzz and get access to Afternoona Army's exclusive DISCORD channel, get shout outs on-air in podcast, and receive invitations to quarterly live support groups. Questions? Email email@example.com for more information.Sign Up for Our Newsletter!Want our thoughts on Yunki's hair extensions in a 500-word essay? More book recs? This is the place to get it. Sign up HERE! Are your family and friends sick of you talking about K-drama? We get it...and have an answer. Check out our sister pod www.afternoonadelight.com for more episodes, book recs and social media goodness. And don't forget about the newest members of our network: Build an appetite for juicy living with It's Bananas, a podcast where the fruit maven shares how tasting new and diverse fruits leads to self-discovery, joy, and connection; and Afternoona Asks where diaspora Asians living in the West find ways to reconnect to Asian culture via Asian/KDramas.Want to find more great BTS content? Head over to Afternoona Army for "thinky, thirsty and over thirty" takes on Bangtan life and links to our social media.
Svatomartinský víkend si žádá svatomartinské víno. A nás zajímalo, jak se správně drží vinná sklenička. Jiné je to u bílého vína, jiné u červeného a jiné u sektu. Jasno nám v tom udělá Ladislav Špaček.
Kuliah Kitab Tafsir Nurul Ihsan Jilid 4 yang berlangsung di Masjid At-taqwa, Taman Brown, Pulau Pinang pada 16hb Oktober 2023. ~ Ada beberapa orang tanya Nabi tentang tok bomoh ~ Bomoh ni tak tau benda ghaib dan tak mampu beri mudarat kepada sesiapa ~ Khadam dikalangan jin yang mencuri maklumat dan dibisikkan ke telinga tok bomoh ~ Pakar jantung pun boleh kena sakit jantung ~ Manusia ni lemah, bergantung kepada Allah ~ Malaikat turun sampai ke awan dan bercakap sesama sendiri ~ Syaitan curi dengar perbualan malaikat ~ "Balasan" untuk orang yang pi jumpa bomoh (solat Allah tak terima) ~ Kejadian Jin tak boleh menembusi pintu langit (lontaran panah api) ~ Jin masuk Islam sebab dengar bacaan Quran daripada Nabi ~ Sesungguhnya kami telah dengar "quran yang sangat ajaib" ~ Pemilihan perkataan dalam Quran itu sendiri sangat mengagumkan ~ Ada orang Cina masuk Islam sebab dengar azan ~ Nak jadi bilal masjid, cari orang yang bersuara sedap ~ Perempuan Yahudi seronok dan tertarik dengar Saidina Abu Bakar baca Quran ~ Kisah Sheikh Huzaifi yang tak sabar nak keluar hospital sebab tak sabar nak solat di Masjid Nabawi ~ Geng Jin ajak Nabi pi baca Quran kepada masyarakat Jin ~ Kejadian Nabi hilang yang menyebabkan sahabat cemas ~ Jin makhluk yang tak nampak di mata (alam sebalik mata) ~ Jin patah tanduk sebab kena baling bata ~ Kawan Ustaz yang kononnya berjaya Islamkan Jin di Mekah ~ Pengalaman ustaz ikut Ustaz Haron Din memancing ~ Cerita orang minta ustaz buat "air jampi" ~ Latar belakang dan sebab turunnya ayat dari Surah Al-Jin -- TAFSIR NURUL IHSAN JILID 4 MUKA SURAT 227 -- ~ Tafsir Surah Al-Jin ~ Kajian di mana jin duduk (Bermuda Triangle - Segitiga Bermuda) ~ Singgahsana iblis di tengah lautan ~ Banyak perkara misteri yang jadi di segitiga bermuda ~ Kejadian setahun sebelum Nabi berhijrah ke Madinah ~ Kematian Abu Talib yang menyebabkan Nabi sangat sedih ~ Allah uji Nabi dengan ujian yang sangat dahsyat ~ Jin bukan syaitan (tafsir surah Al-khafi ayat 50) ~ Baca surah Al-kahfi setiap Jumaat supaya tak menyesal dikemudian hari ~ Sahabat Ustaz yang tak tinggal tahajjud walau sakit ~ Maksud semua makhluk disuruh sujud kepada Nabi Adam ~ Asal usul nama Iblis (punca dibuang dari syurga) ~ Ramai manusia yang dulunya berpangkat, tapi tidak lagi dihormati selepas hilang pangkat ~ Jin diciptakan daripada percikan api ~ Iblis dan syaitan ditangguhkan kematian ~ Allah tidak ada isteri dan anak ~ Orang bukan Islam kata Tuhan tak sempurna sebab adanya orang cacat ~ Apa pandangan Ustaz tentang isu Palestin? ~ Qunut nazilah dan doa untuk saudara di Gaza ~ Adakah kita telah sampai ke tahap "Allah tolong kita?" ~ Boleh atau tidak orang minta tolong kepada Jin? ~ Masuk hutan, minta pertolongan dari "Tok Nenek" ~ Jin tak bayar sewa (Panduan bila masuk rumah yang dah lama ditinggalkan) ~ Orang yang terlampau disanjung dan dipuja, akan jadi jahat SETERUSNYA: ~ Jin boleh transform (merupa menjadi apa?) ~ Ular betul atau jelmaan jin Islam ~ Binatang takut kepada manusia la ni ~ Manusia makan lipan dan kala jengking --- Sokong Projek Zonkuliah Dengan Menyumbang Ke Akaun Berikut : ➢ https://toyyibpay.com/zonkuliah ➢ MAYBANK (Produksi Zonkita) - 557250054584 ➢ PAYPAL - paypal.me/DanaZK
SKUTEČNÝ, STRHUJÍCÍ A BEZPRECEDENTNÍ PŘÍBĚH GENIÁLNÍHO ZLOČINECKÉHO BOSSE Celé to začalo jako internetová síť lékáren vydávajících léky na předpis, která dodávala americkým zákazníkům analgetika v hodnotě stovek milionů dolarů. Zanedlouho se z tohoto byznysu stal nadnárodní konglomerát zapojený do téměř všech myslitelných aspektů zločineckého chaosu. Jachty převážející kokain, trezory plné prutů zlata, zásilky metamfetaminu, obchodování se zbraněmi v Íránu, žoldnéřské armády v Somálsku nebo týmy nájemných vrahů na Filipínách. Půl desetiletí hrál Paul Le Roux celosvětovou hru na kočku a na myš, a když byl konečně dopaden, hra se otočila… Investigativní novinář Evan Ratliff strávil čtyři roky skládáním této složité skládačky, pronásledováním Le Rouxova impéria a jeho stínových přisluhovačů po celém světě, vedením stovek rozhovorů a zpracováním tisíců dokumentů. Výsledkem jeho dlouholetého úsilí je tato kniha. Poznámka autora Tato kniha je literaturou faktu. Je založená na více než čtyřech letech sběru informací, čítajícího stovky rozhovorů, stovky tisíc stránek policejních hlášení, vládních databází, soudních dokumentů a interních komunikací kriminálních organizací týkajících se tisíců lidí a činností na šesti kontinentech. Snažil jsem se kontaktovat co nejvíce zúčastněných a potvrdit každou informaci z těchto dokumentů. Bohužel jsem nemohl mluvit se všemi. Někteří jsou mrtví. Zavražděni, protože věděli příliš. Jiní se mnou odmítli mluvit ze strachu před stejným osudem. Další jsou zavření a zoufale se snaží vyhnout tomu, aby vypadali jako zrádci. Pár jiných se skrývá před dopadením nebo pomstou – ať už je hrozba skutečná, či domnělá. Mnoho lidí se však i přes riziko tělesné újmy, opakovaného stíhání či profesních problémů rozhodlo sdílet své příběhy. Ve třech případech, speciﬁkovaných v poznámkách, jsem pozměnil jejich jména, neboť měli strach o bezpečnost nejen svou, ale i svých rodin, protože nikdy za zde popsané zločiny nebyli stíháni, ani se jejich jména neobjevila v souvislosti s vyšetřováním těchto událostí. Jindy jsem zase u některých méně podstatných osob uvedl pouze jejich pracovní pozici či vztah k větším hráčům – například u některých strážců zákona či rodinných příslušníků. Všichni zmínění v této knize jsou skuteční. Popisované události se opravdu staly. Řekli o knize „Pokud je pravda podivnější než fikce, pak je Mastermind tou nejpravdivější knihou, kterou letos budete číst. Jediné, co je na ní předvídatelné, je to, jak rychle budete obracet stránky.“ — Noah Hawley, autor knihy Před pádem a tvůrce televizního seriálu Fargo „Jako režiséři strávíme spousty hodin vymýšlením vyostřených zápletek a nezapomenutelných postav, které v divácích zanechají trvalý dojem. Skutečný příběh posedlosti, geniality, intrik a pomsty, podrobně popsaný v knize Mastermind, je tak strhující a filmový, jako nic, co bychom se mohli pokusit vykouzlit.“ — Joe and Anthony Russovi, režiséři filmů Captain America a Avengers: Infinity War „Je to fascinující, naprosto šílený příběh o muži stejně geniálním, jako zkaženém. Ratliffovo vyprávění a neúnavné zpravodajství vás vtáhnou, vyděsí a nakonec i odrovnají. Mastermind je mistrovské dílo.“ — Nick Thompson, šéfredaktor časopisu Wired Autor: Evan Ratliff Typ knihy: audiokniha, e-kniha, tištěná kniha Vydavatelství: Nakladatelství Audiolibrix Vazba: pevná vazba Délka audioknihy: 14:29 h Počet stránek knihy: 448 Původní název: Mastermind Audioknihu Mastermind si můžete koupit v nejlepším obchodě s audioknihami Audiolibrix. Knihu a e-knihu Mastermind si můžete koupit na webu nakladatelství Audiolibrix
Wir unterhalten uns über BTS, die dem Motto „ist der Finger oben, wird man dich loben“ einen neuen Touch gegeben haben, wieso Jin für immer die einzig wahre Banane bleiben wird, warum RM neben seinem privatem Chauffeur weiterhin auf sein Fahrrad und die öffentlichen Verkehrsmittel angewiesen ist, weshalb J-Hope, der King auf MicDrop, euren Fernsehen zum glühen bringen wird und wieso Jimin das ganze Hühnchen-Universum übernehmen wird. Außerdem klären wir, warum V manchmal vergisst seine Braincells einzupacken, wieso Army's bei jeden BTS-Game gegen BTS gewinnen würden, weshalb Hybe-Entertainment sehr stolz auf die goldene Stimme von Jungkook ist und warum Suga dieses Jahr an Halloween als August D mit dem ugly-cry-face um die Häuser zieht. Eggplants … packt die Perücken aus und macht euch bereit! House of Army - Episode 2 muss einfach kommen. In unserer Delulu-Welt zumindest. Party, Party, Yeah im wir-machen-mit-etwas-weiterem-weiter-Podcast wünschen euch eure Gehirnzellen mincho und tteokchi. Die einhundertundachte Episode des most.worst.BTS.podcast! #keinewerbung #vonarmyfürarmy #BTS #btspodcast #RM #Jin #SUGA #jhope #jimin #V #Jungkook #btsalbum #btsplaylist #btsnews #permissiontodance #butter #dynamite #latto #charlieputh #jackharlow #layover #rainydays #lovemeagain #slowdancing #txt #seventeen #KidLAROI #CentralCee #toomuch #majorlazer #justinbieber #djsnake #golden #seven #pleasedon'tchange #closertoyou #standingnexttoyou #hateyou #shotglassoftears #somebody #toosadtodance #yesorno #3D #d-day #d-2 #yettocome #mydearfriend #epikhigh #tablo #nell #deepdown #happilyeverafter #smokesprite #enhypen #shawnmendes #godofmusic
Ephere, musicien live et producteur nous présente son univers musical allant de l'ambient à la techno, des performances immersives aux dancefloors éthérés, de la contemplation à la libération des corps.D'abord DJ, Ephere produit et joue en live depuis une dizaine d'années maintenant, explorant les territoires les plus mentaux et texturés de la techno. Sous son vrai nom, Pierre Huyghe, il est désormais performeur ambient pour différents projets qui mettent tous la contemplation au centre. Pierre est aussi le créateur du label Stellar Transitions, spécialisé dans l'ambient. De ses débuts à jouer de la disco house à sa musique actuelle qui gravite dans les éthers, de son amour du field recording à sa vision tantôt introspective, tantôt dansante du son, on dresse avec lui le portrait d'un artiste tout en profondeur.Ephere conclut l'émission en nous présentant son live : une envolée mentale et hypnotique, une techno qui nous fait contempler au plus profond de notre âme tandis que nos corps se libèrent dans la danse.< TRACKLIST >Charpi, Etiology & Troubles (Ephere Synthesia Remix), Visions 001, Kornarion, 2018.Monolake, “North”, Polygon_Cities, Monolake / Imbalance Computer Music, 2005.Zhe Pechorin, “On My Way To Home”, A Story of Light - The Dawn, Stellar Transitions, 2020.Romain FX, “結合 Jiehe”, JIN 05, Jin, 2021< WHAT'S GOING ON >On reçoit le collectif rennais Vilaine Band qui fête sa première soirée en club vendredi 17 novembre, au Satori. Mathieu et JM nous présentent cette soirée qui fera la part belle à l'indie dance et à la progressive house et trance avec comme invités Clint et Romain FX aux côtés des résidents du collectif.BONNE ÉMISSION
Nuestra travesía de Persia a Escandinavia no es en línea recta. Pasamos por tierras y músicas kurdas y magrebíes, por un Londres y un Seattle con resonancias globales, para solazarnos finalmente con unas cuantas novedades musicales nórdicas. Hablamos en nuestras #Mundofonews también de eventos musicales globales que tienen lugar en torno a estos días, como el Festîval Kurdistan, en Hamburgo; Visa for Music, en Rabat, o Mundial Montreal. Our journey from Persia to Scandinavia is not a straight line. We pass through Kurdish and Maghrebi lands and music, through a London and a Seattle with global resonances, to finally delight ourselves with a bunch of Nordic musical new releases. We also talk in our #Mundofonews about global music events taking place around these days, such as the Festîval Kurdistan, in Hamburg; Visa for Music, in Rabat, or Mundial Montreal. Badieh - Yar golakom [+ Ehsan Nasibi, Golnaz Hariri, Erfan Homayouni & Puriya Bahrami] - Badieh II Saîdê Goyî - Ezim mem o welat zîn e - Jinê Snitra - Tjemmret errouh - Tjemmret errouh [single] Don Kipper - Utopia - Always can't go on forever Kultur Shock - Duna - Acoustic live Johanna Juhola - Alarm - A brighter future Jaakko Laitinen & Lapin Lisä - Tornionlaakson humppa - Lapin lisä Knudsen & Syrjälä - Paimenlaulu - Talende strenger / Kertovat kielet Emmi Kuittinen - Suru marssii - Surun synty (Knudsen & Syrjälä - Halling - Talende strenger / Kertovat kielet)´ 📸 Don Kipper #Mundofonews: Festîval Kurdistan Visa for Music Mundial Montréal
Wir unterhalten uns über BTS, die uns eine neue Interpretation von Pole Dance mit Schlappen zeigen werden, weshalb sich Jimin mit der Frage beschäftigt, warum Smiley's eigentlich gelb und nicht grau sind, wieso Jin manchmal eine verpixelte Schnecke aus Pappe anbetet und weshalb Jungkook sehr energetisch eine Kerze verspeisen wollte. Außerdem klären wir, warum selbst J-Hope mit den ganzen BTS-Instabang-Interaktionen überfordert ist, wieso nur RM uns Sachen zeigen kann, die er jedoch aktuell gar nicht hat, weshalb sich mincho mindestens 10min. mit dem neuen Yoongi-Daumenkino beschäftigen kann und wieso tteokchi mit einem Plüsch-Auberginen-Hut durch die Gegend laufen muss. Eggplants … hättet ihr jemals gedacht, dass wir irgendwann bei V auf dem Waschbecken sitzen und ihm beim Rasieren zugucken? Nee wir auch nicht. Happy Birthday Jimin! We purple you! Party, Party, Yeah im selbst-die-Verwirrung-ist-verwirrt-Podcast wünschen euch mincho und tteokchi. Die einhundertundsiebte Episode des most.worst.BTS.podcast! #keinewerbung #vonarmyfürarmy #BTS #btspodcast #RM #Jin #SUGA #jhope #jimin #V #Jungkook #btsalbum #btsplaylist #btsnews #permissiontodance #butter #dynamite #seven #latto #charlieputh #3D #jackharlow #layover #rainydays #lovemeagain #slowdancing #agustd #lesserafim #smokechallenge #txt #taketwo #seventeen #sia #on #KidLAROI #CentralCee #toomuch #supertuna #newjeans #twice #selenagomez #tonymontana #majorlazer #letmeloveyou #justinbieber #johncena #djsnake #haegeum
Occasionally you read a book that changes the way you think about a topic or a place. The New China Playbook: Beyond Socialism and Capitalism by Keyu Jin is just such a book and it was great to have her join me on TRIUM Connects. We discuss the consequences (both intended an unintended) of the one child policy, the combination of strong political centralisation and economic decentralisation, the ‘mayor economy' and the combination of a super powerful yet agile state, able to act much more quickly than more democratically constrained actors. Jin argues that to understand all of this, you need to read China in the original – that is, as much as possible, not through the lens of Western, capitalistic assumptions about economic development but to see it for what it does, within its own terms. Jin is a great guide for this journey – she was born in China, educated in the USA (BA, Masters and PHD from Harvard) and now lives in London. She is an associate professor of economics at the LSE where her research focusses on global trade imbalances, global asset prices and China's economic growth model. Jin has also advised and consulted for the World Bank, the IMF and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The book ends with a discussion of the current challenges facing China. Jin argues that the reforms and policies which created the tremendous economic development over such a comparative short time must now change if China is to avoid its own version of the middle income trap. Whether China is able to do so will, in no small measure, shape the kind of world we will all live in. Jin's background, insight and deep knowledge shine through in the book and in our conversation. I hope you enjoy the conversation! CitationsKeyu Jin (2023) The New China Playbook: Beyond Socialism and Capitalism. Viking Press.Swerling J. and Burrows A. Guys and Dolls – First performed in 1950. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In this episode:00:46 An injectable gel for healing musclesSevere muscle injury can be debilitating, with long recuperation periods. Now, researchers have developed a material that can be directly injected into injured muscle, helping to stimulate and heal damaged tissue. The team showed this approach could rapidly restore walking ability in severely injured rats and regenerate muscles within four weeks. They hope that this solution could one day help humans with similar injuries, and overcome some of the limitations of current recuperation strategies.Research article: Jin et al.News and Views: Hydrogel implant rehabilitates muscles through electrical stimulation10:02 Research HighlightsAncient human genomes fill in a missing link between Europe's first humans and later arrivals, and how ferns are inspiring pest-resistant crops.Research Highlight: Ancient DNA reveals traces of elusive first humans in EuropeResearch Highlight: Fierce ferns make insect-fighting proteins12:43 Briefing ChatLargest release of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes shows promise at controlling dengue, and the genes that explain why starfish aren't so symmetrical.Nature News: Dengue rates drop after release of modified mosquitoes in ColombiaVideo: How would a starfish wear trousers? Science has an answerResearch Article: Formery et al.Subscribe to Nature Briefing, an unmissable daily round-up of science news, opinion and analysis free in your inbox every weekday. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Review các phim ra rạp từ ngày 27/10/2023: ÂM HỒN ĐÔ THỊ - T18 Đạo diễn: Sang-hoon Ahn, Eun-kyung Yoon, Yong-gyun Kim, Im Da-woong và Chae Yeo-jun Diễn viên: Jang Seung-yeon, Oh Seung-hee, Jang Ye-eun, Kim Tae Hoon, Jo Jae-yoon, Yoon Hyeon-min, Lee Joo Young , Kim Ju-ryeong, Choi Soo-im… Thể loại: Kinh Dị Âm Hồn Đô Thị bao gồm 5 câu chuyện kinh dị: Ding-dong Challenge: Xoay quanh 3 người bạn Bora, Haeyul và Youngbi. Mỗi người đều có một mong muốn riêng và quyết định tham gia vào một cuộc thi nguy hiểm, chấp nhận thử thách thực hiện những vũ đạo trên một ứng dụng tên Ding-dong để biến ước mơ của mình thành sự thật. Jackpot: Câu chuyện về Jin-ho - anh chàng bất ngờ trúng số độc đắc khi chơi pachinko. Tưởng đây là điều may mắn nhất đời, nhưng Jin-ho bắt đầu trải qua những điều khủng khiếp cùng tài xế bí ẩn kể từ lúc anh bước lên chiếc taxi với một túi đầy tiền. Gold Tooth: Xoay quanh một người chăm sóc tử thi tại nhà tang lễ, vì lòng tham cá nhân nên anh ta đã lén nhổ những chiếc răng vàng để bán trục lợi. Mọi chuyện không thể kéo dài được mãi, bởi các oan hồn dần hiện về và đòi anh trả đủ những chiếc răng vàng của họ. Gluttony: Từ một buổi phát sóng trực tiếp biến thành một cuộc thi mukbang khắc nghiệt, những điều bất thường, kỳ lạ đã liên tiếp xảy ra khiến người xem không thể rời mắt khỏi màn hình. Resident-only Fitness Center: Tại một phòng tập thể dục sang trọng ở khu Gangnam bỗng xảy ra những sự kiện kỳ quái, mà phía sau đó là câu chuyện xúc động về Ji-yeon - cô gái chết oan muốn trả thù kẻ làm nhục mình. QUỶ MÔN QUAN: GỌI HỒN – T18 Đạo diễn: Nate Ki Diễn viên: Anson Kong, Bai Ling, Tai Bo, Helen Tam,… Thể loại: Kinh Dị Từ nhỏ, Hướng Vinh (Giang Diệp Sinh) đã có khả năng nhìn thấy ma quỷ. Bởi vì anh là người sở hữu “đôi mắt âm dương”. Để tránh rắc rối, Hướng Vinh thường vờ như chúng không tồn tại và anh quyết định rời Hong Kong và chuyển tới Canada. Một phần là bởi anh muốn quên đi thời thơ ấu đầy khốn khổ. Một ngày nọ, Hướng Vinh nghe tin người mẹ đang rơi vào hôn mê sau khi tử tự bất thành. Điều này buộc anh phải quay trở về quê nhà Hong Kong. Khi trở lại ngôi nhà cũ, mọi thứ dường như trở nên xa lạ. Nhưng điều đáng sợ nhất là, hàng loạt chuỗi tự sát của hàng xóm cùng sự xuất hiện trở lại của các hồn ma trước mắt Hướng Vinh. Mọi chuyện trở nên tồi tệ ngoài sức tưởng tượng của chàng trai trẻ… KHU VƯỜN QUỶ DỊ - T18 Đạo diễn: Hideo Nakata Diễn viên: Uika First Summer, Shinobu Hasegawa, Kanna Hashimoto Thể loại: Kinh Dị Thế lực quỷ dữ lợi dụng tình mẫu tử để sai khiến đứa con của Miyaki thực hiện tà thuật "trồng người". Người mẹ trở về từ cõi chết sẽ mang lại hạnh phúc hay bi kịch khi hàng loạt những vụ hiến tế bi thảm đã diễn ra? NĂM ĐÊM KINH HOÀNG – T13 Đạo diễn: Emma Tammi Diễn viên: Matthew Lillard, Josh Hutcherson, Mary Stuart Masterson,… Thể loại: Kinh Dị Nhân viên bảo vệ Mike bắt đầu làm việc tại Freddy Fazbear's Pizza. Trong đêm làm việc đầu tiên, anh nhận ra mình sẽ không dễ gì vượt qua được ca đêm ở đây. Chẳng mấy chốc, anh sẽ vén màn sự thật đã xảy ra tại Freddy's. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/kim-thanh-duong/support
The investigation into the deadly hospital fire in Beijing earlier this year has found a spate of failures in safety standards and emergency response were the root causes, and a top city official has been reprimanded.The State Council approved the investigation report of the serious fire incident that occurred at Beijing Changfeng Hospital on April 18, which resulted in the loss of 29 lives and 42 injuries, according to Xinhua News Agency on Wednesday afternoon.The incident, which took place in the city's Fengtai district, has led to a direct economic loss of 38.3 million yuan ($5.26 million), according to the government.As a result of the investigation, the Communist Party of China Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Commission of Supervision have decided to impose an administrative warning on Jin Wei, a member of the Standing Committee of the CPC Beijing Municipal Committee, and vice-mayor of the capital, who is responsible for overseeing health and hygiene matters of the city.It said that Jin failed to pay enough attention to the weak safety management of the city's health departments and the prominent fire safety hazards in medical institutions."He also did not effectively supervise the city's health departments in fulfilling their responsibilities in ensuring safety and holding medical institutions accountable for their safety obligations," said the announcement.The investigation, conducted by the State Council's accident investigation team, concluded that the fire was a result of illegal and improper renovation work carried out by the hospital, poor construction safety management, inadequate daily supervision, long-term fire hazards, noncompliant operations by the construction unit, and the absence of on-site safety management.In addition, the ineffective emergency response and the failure of local governments and relevant departments to fulfill their responsibilities led to this major safety accident.After thorough analysis including video analysis, on-site inspection, testing and identification, as well as simulation experiment analysis, the accident investigation team determined that the construction unit had violated regulations during a renovation project.It found that volatile flammable and explosive components present in the construction materials had formed explosive gas mixtures that ultimately led to a deflagration event.Then, nearby combustible materials were set ablaze, giving rise to open flames and generating high-temperature smoke that ignited the wooden materials within the building.Furthermore, certain fire compartments failed to function effectively, and fixed firefighting facilities proved to be inadequate, contributing to the rapid spread of the fire and the extensive dissemination of smoke.Due to insufficient initial response measures, the evacuation and transfer of patients from high-rise buildings were not effectively coordinated, which resulted in significant casualties and highlighted the need for better emergency protocols and procedures.In the hospital, most patients had no ability to escape independently. The narrow passages in the building and poor transfer conditions hindered rescue and evacuation efforts.The investigation team provided suggestions to avoid similar incidents, highlighting the need for stricter safety measures in healthcare institutions and emphasizing the crucial role government officials play in enforcing these measures.Reporter: Du Juan
本集YouTube傳送門：https://youtu.be/tXv6nvQ8a7o?si=_NlQrohZ6HNM0Rrm 德意志民族有固有疆域嗎？是法蘭克王國？神聖羅馬帝國？抑或普魯士王國？ 加入頻道會員｜https://bit.ly/2sIrQcr 業務合作信箱｜firstname.lastname@example.org 說書人阿睿IG｜https://www.instagram.com/3draystory/ 編劇：阿睿 剪輯：Jin 「獅子心王理查」的故事▶ • 他是老爸眼中的叛逆兒子，也是蔣介石器重的少帥，東北軍的年輕掌門「張學良」｜…
Maok je hudební jev, osobnost, která nese unikátní příběh. Jeho koncerty bývají vyprodané dlouho dopředu, přitom se s ním nesetkáte v médiích ani na stránkách časopisů. Je to muzikant, který si svoji cestu odšlapal krok za krokem sám.Někteří si jeho samotného i jeho muziku spojují s ezoterikou, ale to není přesné. Jiní spekulují, jestli se jeho hudba nerodí v drogovém opojení - a to také není přesné.Maoka mám rád, považuji ho za kamaráda, složil nádhernou hudbu k mému filmu Civilizace - Dobrá zpráva o konci světa a také máme společný program, se kterým vystupujeme pro veřejnost, kde on hraje a já promítám záběry z celého světa.Po jednom takovém společném vystoupení na festivalu horolezeckých filmů v Teplicích nad Metují jsme spolu natočili následující rozhovor. Jedná se o velmi otevřené a upřímné povídání, kde jsme se oba dotkli témat, jež se moc často neříkají, ale která podobně prožíváme skoro všichni.Takže se těším, co tomu řeknete, zda a jak budeme společně diskutovat.Vítejte u poslechu dalšího povídání na Hausbotu PH.Celý rozhovor v délce 45 minut najdete na herohero.co/petrhorkymaok.sk00:00 Místo musí hrát s hudbou.03:34 První koncerty a umělecké jméno Maok.08:00 Nejsem ezoterik.17:36 Jsi psychonaut?20:24 Nejděsivější zážitek mého života - pravda.Celý rozhovor obsahuje navíc tyto kapitoly:28:56 Přestal jsem si věřit.32:06 Uvolnění je léčivé.34:15 Hřebík do rakve si chci zatlouct sám.37:55 Filmová hudba.40:43 Hudba má mít happy end.Support the show
The FedExCup Fall continues in Japan at the ZOZO Championship! Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, and Rickie Fowler spoke to the media and are teeing it up for the first time since they played for the U.S. Ryder Cup team, losing 16.5 to 11.5 to Team Europe. Kira K. Dixon and Eamon Lynch react to what the Ryder Cuppers had to say about the controversial weekend of golf in Italy, and what they need to do at the ZOZO to help put it behind them. Staying overseas, BBC Golf Correspondent Iain Carter joins the program to discuss uncertainty around how the 'framework agreement' that the PGA TOUR is working on with LIV Golf might impact which golfers can play in which tournaments. Later on, Johnnie Cole-Hamilton from the Royal & Ancient Golf Association stops by to help remember the life of Ivor Robson, the longtime starter of the Open Championship who passed away over the weekend. Back stateside, Kira and Eamon react to the field list released recently by Tiger Woods' and Rory McIlroy's joint venture "The Golf League." Amateur golfers Bo Jin from Oklahoma State and Cole Anderson of Florida State also stop by as Jin prepares to compete in the Asia-Pacific Amateur and Anderson continues fighting for a PGA TOUR Card via the PGA TOUR University pipeline. Jenny Coleman has already earned her LPGA Tour Card via the Epson Tour! The soon-to-be rookie joins the show to discuss what her goals are for the upcoming season, and how her time on the Epson Tour has prepared her to make the most of the opportunities that lie ahead. Lastly it's another installment of the Golf Today Roundtable! Ryan Lavner and Rex Hoggard chime in to discuss some of the game's hottest topics with Eamon and Kira. Hear what they had to say about LIV Golf, TGL, and more! Johnnie Cole-Hamilton (24:36) Bo Jin (38:31) Cole Anderson (45:03) Jenny Coleman (51:09) Golf Today Roundtable (55:05)
What does it mean when your lips present with undesirable manifestations such as cold sores and blisters? I'm glad you asked! Because it's fascinating how much this little virus has to share in terms of a message.Listen with your body when you tune into this short episode. We always appreciate a 5-star rating, review, or for you to share with your friends. Watch the episode on Youtube: HERE Subscribe on iTunes CLICK HERE Subscribe on Spotify CLICK HERE Subscribe on YouTube for the video visual versions CLICK HERE To find out more about Jin https://drjinong.com For group courses and trainings https://theartoflisteningtoyourbody.com
Ragbyové mistrovství světa ve Francii se přehouplo do druhé půle a před hráči jsou tři poslední soutěžní týdny. Některé celky slaví úspěchy, jako třeba domácí Francie, která na úvod šampionátu porazila zkušený tým z Nového Zélandu. Jiným týmům – jako třeba Austrálii – se příliš nedařilo. Šampionát si ale za všech okolností užívají fanoušci ragby. Francouzský řezník Didier sleduje zápasy na svém počítači při krájení masa a obsluhování zákazníků.Všechny díly podcastu Zápisník zahraničních zpravodajů můžete pohodlně poslouchat v mobilní aplikaci mujRozhlas pro Android a iOS nebo na webu mujRozhlas.cz.
Každý den je prvním dnem tvého života. Ale můžeš ho žít tak, jakoby byl tvůj poslení. S podzimem přichází i vyšší nároky na naše duševní zdraví. Je to příležitost zamyslet se nad svým životem, zreflektovat hodnoty, priority a návyky, ale také si odpočinout a zrelaxovat tělo. Proto se dnes bavíme o moudrostech ze stoicismu a zenu a o tom, jak nám mohou transformovat všední prožívání. Jak pracovat s "bahenním obdobím"? K čemu je dobré memento mori? Co znamená "dobře umírat již dnes"? Jak přistupovat k meditaci? O tom všem a mnohem víc je dnešních 7 lekcí ze Stoicismu a Zen buddhismu. Přejeme příjemný poslech. 5 Let výročí a k tomu největší celková SLEVA 50% na naše kurzy s kódem BWA50! Zadej na https://www.brainya.org/kurzy A pokud v nich nenajdeš hodnotu, jakou hledáš a napíšeš nám to, tak ti do 14 dní ti vrátíme peníze. Parťák dnešního dílu jsou https://www.symprove.cz/ - Zadej kód "bwa" pro dopravu zdarma, platí do konce října! Symprove jsou jedinečná probiotika na vodní bázi ze 4 kmenů bakterií, které jsou narozdíl od jejich konkurence živé a kombinovány tak, aby se navzájem doplňovaly. Chceš VIP úderný obsah? Odebírej krátký formát RED PILL na našem Spotify jen za 65,- / měsíc https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/brainweare/subscribe Kam dále? Kup si jeden z našich online kurzů Průvodce Mozkem a Myslí, nebo Mentální Modely a s kódem "BWA30" je tam SLEVA 30%! Zadej kód "BWA" pro slevu 10% na vybrané zboží na eshopu uplife.cz a herbal-store.cz Sledujte Brain We Are na sociálních sítích: Instagram ( www.instagram.com/brain_we_are ) nebo Facebook Minutáž: 04:33 Bahenní období 10:53 Tipy a Pojistky 16:54 Uvědomění ze Zen buddhismu 23:26 Každodenní praxe 24:35 Meditace 25:20 Jiné stavy existence 33:14 Koncept dávání a braní 01:00:55 Dosažení cílů 01:03:16 Tvoje hodnoty 01:09:59 Činy
Continuing our series on the hegemons of the Spring and Autumn era: Duke Wen of Jin, who as a prince lived in exile for 19 years.Support the show
MERAWAT LEBIH 5000 KES BERSAMA PERAWAT RUQYAH USTAZ RUK DAN USTAZ TAM | MALAM SERAM SPECIALMereka berkongsi pengalaman merawat mereka yang melakukan hal syirik serta meminta tolong pertologan Jin. Ustaz juga pernah di ajak "BERENTAP" dengan seorang Bomoh. Jom tonton pengalaman penuh dalam Malam Seram.TeamMirzaFai sebuah pasukan agent hartanah yang telah memenangi banyak anugerah Top Agent di Singapura! "Top 1 and 2 Achievers, Top Indivijual Agent!" Dengan pengalaman yang luas serta ilmu pengetahuan hartanah tempatan yang terkini Mirza Subari, Fai Muni, Leha Ramli, Elfi Muni dan Amir Amzar dari #TeamMirzaFai akan sedia membantu anda. Urusan jual beli hartanah HDB mahupun Privet akan jadi mudah dan sempurna. Hubungi Mirza Subari 83832145 dan Fai Muni 83338555 untuk dapatkan nasihat secara percuma. Nasihat hartanah amat penting kerana ia akan menentukan langkah seterusnya yang perlu anda ambil. Nak tahu untuk sikit atau banyak jom telefon TeamMirzaFai TeamMirzaFai penaja utama Malam Seram The Horror Talk Show!Suka bacaan kisah-kisah seram, sila subscribe ke saluran Malam Seram! Malam Seram LIVE show Isnin hingga Khamis 11 malam dan Jumaat 11.59 malam MALAM SERAM adalah segmen LIVE perkongsian pengalaman seram dan misteri. Anggap ia hanya sekadar perkongsian sahaja. Jangan mudah percaya dan terlalu taksub dengan apa yang anda dengar! MALAM SERAM The Horror Talk Show Bukan Sekadar Cerita Seram.
Japanese electronic music mainstay Gonno is back with another quality EP in the form of Taiwanese imprint JIN's 8th release. The label, which usually focuses on dancefloor oriented 4/4 from Asian talent, has featured many prominent artists from the region including Mr. Ho and Sunju Hargun. JIN08 consists of 4 tracks, 3 Gonno originals backed by a Voiski remix. The B2, Arabica, serves as a beautiful ambient closer, serving as a perfect complement to the preceding three tracks, juxtaposing all the emotions from the other tracks with the melancholy and nostalgia that comes at the end of a fun night out. From bubbly, happy house on “Energy Flash” to IDM on “Final Hate” to Voiski's synth-oriented reinterpretation of “Energy Flash”, the EP continues Gonno's streak of avant-garde dance floor goodness that we have come to expect. JIN08 is available for pre-order now, and will be out on September 29, 2023, digitally via the label's Bandcamp and on vinyl on the One Eye Witness website. write up by https://soundcloud.com/sabro96 https://jinrecords.bandcamp.com/album/jin-08 https://soundcloud.com/gonno https://soundcloud.com/jintaipei https://www.instagram.com/djgonno/ https://www.instagram.com/jinrecordstaipei/ www.itsdelayed.com www.instagram.com/_____delayed/ www.facebook.com/itsdelayed
Joined by the amazing Jin the Ninja from Threshold Saints to discuss his journey to discovering truth, following a Buddhist pathway, recognizing self-worth, magik, finding his voice, and much more. Follow him on Twitter @WukongReborn and IG @thresholdsaints
本集YouTube傳送門：https://youtu.be/mvi93g4oows?si=W1npDFrU2KpIlb6v 做人沒有理想，那跟鹹魚有什麼分別？ 加入頻道會員｜https://bit.ly/2sIrQcr 業務合作信箱｜email@example.com 說書人阿睿IG｜https://www.instagram.com/3draystory/ 編劇：阿睿 剪輯：Jin 老師蘇格拉底的故事▶ • 在雅典的中心呼喊公平正義，用生命追尋真理的男人「蘇格拉底」｜【英雄故事書】…
OK’s Disclaimer Gallery comrade Jin is in town from Hawaii and updates us on the situation in Maui, their community care work, and the Be Easy Stay Safe zine made for and by sex workers. Please follow and support Jin’s work on their Instagram. Content warning: we discuss experiences of transphobic and racist discrimination, as … Continue reading "189 – Art Work and Sex Work w/ Jin"
Sankcionovaná běloruská společnost Grodno Azot dováží do České republiky a Polska močovinu. Aby unikla pozornosti celníků, vydává se v přepravních dokumentech za jiné společnosti, na které se sankce nevztahují. Jiný způsob obcházení sankcí používají firmy dovážející k nám běloruské dřevo. V dokumentaci uvedou, že se jedná o dřevo původem z Kyrgyzstánu. Státní celní správa tak žádné porušení sankcí neeviduje.Jakým způsobem se daří Grodnu Azot obcházet sankce? Jak se tomu dá zabránit? A mají sankce nějaký reálný dopad? Případ obcházení sankcí se snažíme osvětlit s Kamilou Plzákovou, redaktorkou investigace.cz, která za kauzou stojí.
This episode was recorded on September 18, 2023. Hi! I'm Kae from @KaethosTV in Twitter. I love talking about #BTS. Today I'll gush a little about Kim Taehyung, aka V from BTS. I'll also share my thoughts on Yoongi's military enlistment. #BeginTheSearch #BTS_Inspired_Podcast #BTSPodcast #KimTaehyung #MinYoongi #JeonJungkook #KimNamjoon and Hobi, Jimin, and Jin too! --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/kaethos-media/message
This episode we will look at the influences on Japan from the continent, starting with what was going on between the archipelago and the peninsula with tribute--in the form of birds and even books--as well as conflict. We'll start to look at what sorts of knowledge was being passed over to Japan in the form of various books, and hopefully set the stage for changes that we will eventually see in the form of the Yamato government, itself. For more, check out our blog post at https://sengokudaimyo.com/podcast/episode-94 Rough Transcript Welcome to Sengoku Daimyo's Chronicles of Japan. My name is Joshua, and this is Episode 94: Magpies, Buddhism, and the Baekje Summer Reading Program This is one of a multi-part series discussing the late 6th and early 7th centuries during the reign of Kashikiya Hime, aka Suiko Tennou. Last episode, Episode 93, I did a very quick overview of just what is going on and some of the players involved. This episode I want to start deep diving into some of the topics, and we're going to start with looking at the relationship between Yamato and the Continent, primarily, but not exclusively, through their relationships, the gifts and tribute that was going back and forth, and immigration—primarily from Baekje and Silla—and the importation of new ideas, not just Buddhism. This in turn would would eventually lead to a formal change in the way that the Yamato state governed itself and how it came to see itself even as an equal to that of the Sui court, which had unified the various kingdoms of the Yangtze and Yellow River Basins in the area of modern China. To begin, we'll go back a bit, because this dynamic isn't simply about Kashikiya Hime, Soga no Umako, or any one, single figure—though that is often how it is portrayed. To start with, let's cover some background and what we know about the archipelago and the continent. As we went over many, many episodes back, the early Yayoi period, prior to the Kofun period, saw a growth in material cultural items that were from or quite similar to those on the Korean peninsula. There had been some similarities previously, during the Jomon period, but over the course of what now looks to be 1200 to 1300 years, the is evidence of people going regularly back and forth across the straits. It is quite likely that there were Wa cultural entities on both sides in the early centuries BCE, and there are numerous groups mentioned on the Korean peninsula, presumably from different ethno-linguistic backgrounds, though typically only three areas get much focus: The Samhan, or three Han, of Mahan, Byeonhan, and Jinhan. Later this would shift to three Kingdoms: Baekje, Silla, and Goguryeo, and they would get almost all of the press. Still, we know that there were groups like the Gaya, or Kara, confederacy, and likely other small, eventually isolated groups that did not have their stories written down anywhere, other than mentions in the Chronicles of Japan or of one of the other three major Kingdoms of the peninsula. These groups continued to trade with the continent, and as the archipelago entered the period of mounded tombs, they were doing so as part of a larger mounded tomb cultural area that included both the archipelago and the Korean peninsula: First the funkyubo, which is to say burial mounds, with multiple burials, and then the kofun, the singular tomb mounds for an individual and possibly their direct relatives. This tradition reached its apex with the distinct zenpo-koen, or round-keyhole style, kofun, an innovation that was rooted in continental practice but at the same time distinctly a part of the archipelago. Many artifacts came over throughout this period, and a fair number of them came with a new innovation: writing. There is debate over the earliest forms of “writing” to be found in the islands, with evidence of characters on pottery being questioned as to its authenticity. However, it is hard to question the writing that appeared on the early bronze mirrors and other such artifacts that showed up. Early writing on the archipelago is more decorative or even performative—crude attempts to copy existing characters that often demonstrate a lack of understanding, at least by the artisans that were making various elite goods. Though, based on the fact that even obvious forgeries with nonsense characters made their way into tombs as grave goods, we can probably assume that most of the elites were not too concerned with writing, either, other than for its decorative, and possibly even talismanic qualities. In the fourth and fifth centuries, this began to change. We have specialists and teachers coming over to the archipelago, often there as tutors for the royal Baekje princes who were apparently staying in Yamato as part of a diplomatic mission. No doubt some Yamato elites began to learn to read and write, but even at this point it seems to have been more of a novelty, and for several centuries reading and writing would seem to have remained largely the purview of educated immigrant communities who came to Yamato and set up shop. Though, along with things like the horse, writing may have nonetheless assisted Yamato in extending its authority, as speech could now, with a good scribe, be committed to paper or some other medium and then conveyed great distances without worry about something begin forgotten. So, at this point, writing appears to mostly be utilitarian in purpose. It fills a need. That said, we have discussion of the Classics, and as reading and writing grew, exposure to writings on philosophy, religion, and other topics expanded. After all, reading meant that you were no longer reliant on simply whom you could bring over from the continent. Instead, you could import their thoughts—or even the thoughts of humans long dead—and read them for yourself. In the early 6th century, we see Baekje sending over libraries worth of books. These are largely focused on Buddhist scriptures, but they also include other works of philosophy as well. It is unclear to me how much the evangelical nature of Buddhism contributed to this spread. Buddhism exhorts believers to share the Buddha's teachings with all sentient beings. Even during the Buddha's lifetime, his disciples would go out and teach and then gather back with their teacher during the rainy season. Buddhist teachings, coming over in books—the sutras—came alongside of other writings. There were writings about philosophy, about medicine, and about science, including things that we might today consider magical or supernatural. Those who knew how to read and write had access to new knowledge, to new ideas, and to new ways of thinking. We can see how all of this mixed in the ways that things are described in the Chronicles. For example, we see that many of the rulers up to this point have been described in continental terms as wise and sage kings. Now, as Buddhism starts to gain a foothold, we see Buddhist terminology entering in to the mix. In some ways it is a mishmash of all of the different texts that were coming over, and it seems that things were coming more and more to a head. In addition, there were things going on over on the continent as well, and this would come to also affect the archipelago. For one thing, this was a period of unification and consolidation of the various state polities. Baekje and Silla had been consolidating the smaller city-states under their administration for some time, and in 589 the Sui dynasty finally achieved what so many had tried since the time of the Jin—they consolidated control over both the Yangtze and Yellow River basins. They set up their capital, and in so doing they had control of the largest empire up to that point in the history of East Asia. The Sui dynasty covered not only these river basins, but they also had significant control over the Western Regions, out along the famous Silk Road. The Sui could really make some claim to being Zhongguo, the Middle Kingdom, with so many of the trade routes passing through their territory. They also controlled the lands that were the source of so much of the literary tradition—whether that was the homelands of sages like Confucius, or else the gateway to India and the home of Buddhism. It is perfectly understandable that those states in the Sui's orbit would enter a period of even further Sinification. For the archipelago this was likely through a lens tinted by their intermediaries on the Korean peninsula, but even they were clearly looking to the Sui and adopting some of the tools of statecraft that had developed over in the lands of the Middle Kingdom. During the early years of the Sui, Yamato had been involved in their own struggles, and at the end of the previous reign Yamato had an army in Tsukushi poised to head over and chastise Silla for all that they had done to Nimna, but then Hasebe was assassinated, and it is unclear what actually happened to that expedition. Yamato started gathering an army in 591, and Kishi no Kana and Kishi no Itahiko were sent to Silla and Nimna, respectively, as envoys, and then we are told that in 595 the generals and their men arrived from Tsukushi. Does that mean that they went over to the peninsula, fought, and then came back from Tsukushi? It is all a little murky, and not entirely clear to me. Rather, we are told that in 597 the King of Baekje sent Prince Acha to Yamato with so-called “tribute”—the diplomatic gifts that we've discussed before, re-affirming Baekje and Yamato's alliance. Later that same year, Iwagane no Kishi was sent to Silla, so presumably Yamato and Silla relations had improved. Iwagane no Kishi returned back some five months later, in 598, and he offered a gift from the Silla court of two magpies to Kashikiya Hime. We are told that they were kept in the wood of Naniwa, where they built a nest in a tree and had their young. Aston notes here that magpies are plentiful on the continent but not in Japan. Indeed, their natural range is noted across eastern China and up through the Amur river region, as well as a subspecies up in Kamchatka, and yet it seems like they didn't exactly stray far from the coast. In modern Japan, the magpie, is considered to be an invasive species, and the current populations likely were brought over through trade in the late 16th century, suggesting that this initial couple of birds and their offspring did not exactly work out. Even today magpies are mostly established in Kyushu, with occasional sightings further north—though they have been seen as far north as Hokkaido. Perhaps Naniwa just was not quite as hospitable for them. There is also the possibility that the term “magpie” was referencing some other, similar bird. That is always possible and hard to say for certain. That said, it is part of a trend, as four months later, in the autumn of 598, a Silla envoy brought another bird: this time a peacock. Not to be outdone, apparently, a year later, in the autumn of 599, Baekje sent a veritable menagerie: a camel, two sheep, and a white pheasant. Presumably these were sent alive, though whether or not there was anyone in Japan who knew how to take care of them it is unclear. I can only imagine what it must have been like to have such animals on board the ship during the treacherous crossing of the Korea strait—for all we know there were other exotic gifts that were likewise sent, but these are the only ones that made it. And if this sounds far-fetched, we have plenty of evidence of the exotic animal trade. Animals such as ostriches, and possibly even a giraffe or two, were somehow moved all the way from Africa along the silk road to the court in Chang'an. There were also “tribute” gifts sent from parts of the archipelago, though I suspect this was quite different from the diplomatic gifts shared between states. For example, there was a white deer sent to Kashikiya Hime from the land of Koshi in the winter of 598. It was no camel or magpie, but white or albino animals—assuming that wasn't their normal color—were considered auspicious symbols. Also, in 595 there was a huge log that washed ashore in Awaji. A local family hauled it up and went to use it as firewood when they noticed that it gave off a particularly sweet smell. Immediately they put out the fire, as they suddenly realized what they had: it was a log of aloeswood. Aloeswood is well known as one of the most highly prized aromatic woods, and it famously does not grow in Japan. In fact, it is a tropical wood, growing in Southeast Asia. For a log to have washed ashore is almost unbelievable—perhaps it was part of a trade shipment that sank. It isn't impossible that a log somehow fell, naturally, into the ocean and followed the currents all the way up to Japan, which would have been quite the journey. And so, with such a rare gift, the people offered it up to Kashikiya Hime. This was probably the best course of action. They could use it for themselves, but that likely wouldn't have done much other than help perfume the air for a time. Or they could have tried to sell it—but given the rarity, I'm sure there would have been questions. In both cases, I suspect that they would have been at risk of some elite getting wind and deciding that they should just take it for themselves. By offering it to the court, publicly, they received the credit for it, at least—and it probably put them in favor with the court at least for a little while. Logs like this would be treated with immense respect. Small pieces would be taken, often ground down and used sparingly. A piece much like this called “Ranjatai” came over as a gift from the Tang dynasty in the 8th century, and was later preserved at Todaiji in the 8th century, and is still there as part of the Shosoin collection. The story of this particular one is interesting in that knowledge of aloeswood and the tradition of scent appreciation likely came over from the continent, probably from the Sui and Tang dynasties, as part of the overall cultural package that the archipelago was in the midst of absorbing. Despite the apparently good relations indicated by gifts like magpies or peacocks, it is clear there were still some contentions with Silla, especially given that nobody had forgotten their takeover of Nimna, and it didn't help that in 600, we are told that Silla and Nimna went to war with each other--again. It isn't clear just how involved Yamato was in this, if at all—by all accounts, Nimna has already been under Silla control. Was this a local rebellion? An attempt by Yamato and Baekje to split it off? Or something else? Or is it just a fabrication to justify the next bit, where we are told that Kashikiya Hime sent an army of 10,000 soldiers under the command of Sakahibe no Omi as Taishogun and Hozumi no Omi as his assistant, the Fukushogun? They crossed the waters over to Silla and laid siege to five of Silla's fortresses, forcing Silla to raise the white flag. The Nihon Shoki claims that Silla then ceded six fortified places: Tatara, Sonara, Pulchikwi, Witha, South Kara, and Ara. Since Silla submitted, the Yamato troops stopped their assault and Kashikiya Hime sent Naniwa no Kishi no Miwa to Silla and Naniwa no Kishi no Itahiko to Nimna to help broker some sort of peace. Interestingly, this seems quite similar to the account of 591, when they sent “Kishi no Itahiko”, with no mention of Naniwa. Presumably it is the same individual, and I have to wonder if it isn't the same event, just relocated and duplicated for some reason. A peace was brokered, and the Yamato troops departed, but it seems that Silla was dealing in something other than good faith: no sooner had the Yamato troops gotten back in their boats than Silla once again invaded Nimna, again. I'd like to stress that there is no evidence of this at all that I could find in the Samguk Sagi, and it is possible that some of this is in the wrong section, possibly to simply prop up this period, in general. However, it is equally as likely that the Samguk Sagi simply did not record a loss to Yamato—especially one that they quickly overturned, setting things back to the status quo. As such, the best we can say is that Silla and Yamato around this time were less than buddy buddy. With Silla going back on their word, Yamato reached out to Goguryeo and Baekje in 601. Ohotomo no Muraji no Kurafu went to Goguryeo, while Sakamoto no Omi no Nukade traveled to Baekje. Silla was not just waiting around, however, and we are told that Silla sent a spy to Yamato, but they were arrested and found out in Tsushima. They arrested him and sent him as tribute to the Yamato court. We are told that the spy's name was “Kamata”, and he was banished to Kamitsukenu—aka the land of Kenu nearer to the capital, later known as Kouzuke. And there are a few things about this story that I think we should pull on. First off, that name: Kamata. That feels very much like a Wa name, more than one from the peninsula. We aren't told their ethnicity, only whom they were working for, so it may have been someone from Wa, or possibly that is just the name by which they were known to the archipelago. There likely were Wa who were living on the peninsula, just like there were people from Baekje, Silla, and Koguryeo living in the archipelago, so that's not out of the question. Furthermore, it would make sense, if you wanted to send someone to spy on Yamato, to use someone who looked and sounded the part. The punishment is also interesting. They didn't put him to death. And neither did they imprison him. In fact, I'm not sure that there would have been anywhere to imprison him, as there wasn't really a concept of a “prison” where you just lock people up. There may have been some form of incarceration to hold people until they could be found guilty and punished, but incarceration as a punishment just doesn't really come up. Instead, if you wanted to remove someone, banishment seems to have been the case—sending them off somewhere far away, presumably under the care of some local official who would make sure that they didn't run off. Islands, like Sado Island, were extremely useful for such purposes, but there are plenty of examples where other locations were used as well. They probably could have levied a fine, as well, but that seems almost pointless, as he would have been free to continue to spy on Yamato. Instead they sent him about as far away from Silla and Silla support as they could send him. This also speaks to the range of Yamato's authority. It would seem that Tsushima was at least nominally reporting to Yamato, though given that he was sent as “tribute” to the court, that may indicate that they still had some level of autonomy. And then there must have been someone in Kamitsukenu in order to banish someone all the way out there, as well. Of course, given all of this, it is hardly surprising that Yamato was back to discussing the possibility of making war with Silla again. And so, in the second month of 602, Prince Kume was appointed for the invasion of Silla, and he was granted the various “Be” of the service of the kami—possibly meaning groups like the Imbe and the Nakatomi, along with the Kuni no Miyatsuko, the Tomo no Miyatsuko, and an army of 25,000 men. And they were ready to go quickly—only two months later they were in Tsukushi, in the district of Shima, gathering ships to ferry the army over to the peninsula. Unfortunately, two months later, things fell apart. On the one hand, Ohotomo no Muraji no Kurafu and Sakamoto no Omi no Nukade returned back from Baekje, where they likely had been working with Yamato's allies. Kurafu had been on a mission to Goguryeo and Nukade had been sent to Baekje the previous year. However, at the same time, Prince Kume fell ill, and he was unable to carry out the invasion. In fact, the invasion was stalled at least through the next year, when, in about the 2nd month of 603, almost a year after Prince Kume had been sent out, a mounted courier brought news to Kashikiya Hime that he had succumbed to his illness. She immediately consulted with her uncle, Soga no Umako, and the Crown Prince, Umayado, and asked them for their counsel. Ultimately, she had Kume's body taken to Saba in Suwo, out at the western end of the Seto Inland Sea side of western Honshu, modern Yamaguchi Prefecture, where the prince was temporarily interred, with Hashi no Muraji no Wite, possibly a local official, overseeing the ceremony. Later, Wite's descendants in the region were called the Saba no Muraji. Kume was finally buried atop Mt. Hanifu in Kawachi. A quick note here about time. It is sometimes difficult to figure out just what happened when. This is all noted for the fourth day of the second month of 603. Clearly it didn't all happen in one day, so what actually happened on that day? Remember, Kume fell ill in the 6th month of 602, and we are now in the 2nd month of the following year. So did he fall ill and then was wasting away for 8 months before he passed away? Or is this the date when the court learned of his death? Or is it the date when his body was finally buried? There is a lot going on, and they don't exactly provide a day-to-day. My general take is that this is when the news arrived at the court, which is when there would have been a court record, while the rest was likely commentary added for context, even if it happened much later. In addition, this whole thing holds some questions for me, not the least the name of this prince: Kume. Presumably, Kume was a full brother to none other than the Crown Prince, Prince Umayado. He was also a son of Princess Anahobe and the sovereign, Tachibana no Toyohi, and we have seen then name “Kume” before as a name, or at least a sobriquet, for someone in the royal family. However, it also means “army”, which seems surprisingly on the nose, given that all we are given about him is that he was supposed to lead an army. It makes me wonder if this wasn't one of those half-remembered stories that the Chroniclers included without all of the information. Then again, maybe Kume really was his name, and this is all just a coincidence. I also would note that it was not typical to have a royal prince leading an expedition like this. Typically, the taishogun would be someone from an influential family, but not a member of the royal family, themselves. That this army was being led by a royal prince also seems to speak to how this was seen as significant. Perhaps that is why, when Kume passed away, they chose as his replacement his older brother: Tahema. [Look up more on Tahema and if I can find out about him] Tahema was selected to take over for his younger brother on the first day of the 4th month of 603, and 3 months later, on the 3rd day of the 7th month, he was leaving out of Naniwa. He didn't get very far, however. Tahema embarked on this adventure along with his own wife, Princess Toneri. We've seen this in past episodes, where women were in the camp alongside their husbands, directly supporting the campaigns. Unfortunately, in this case, Princess Toneri died shortly into their journey, at Akashi. This is recorded as only three days after they had departed, which likely means it happened quickly. They buried her at Higasa Hill, but Tahema, likely grieving his loss, returned, and never carried out the invasion. Five years later, things may have improved with Silla, as there were a number of immigrants—we are only told that they were “many persons”—came to settle in Japan. What isn't noted is whether or not this was of their own volition. What forces drove them across from the peninsula? Did they realize that there were opportunities to come and provide the Yamato elites with their continental knowledge and skills? Were they prisoners of war? If so, where was the war? Or were they fleeing conflict on the peninsula? Perhaps political refugees? It isn't exactly clear. While things were rocky with Silla, relations seem to have been much better with the Baekje and Goguryeo. While exotic animals may have been the gift of choice in the early part of the period, by 602, Baekje and Goguryeo were both sending gifts of a different sort. These were more focused on spiritual and intellectual pursuits. And so, in 602, a Baekje priest named Kwalleuk—or Kanroku, in the Japanese pronunciation—arrived bringing books on a number of different subjects, which three or four members of the court were assigned to study. We don't know exactly what the contents of each book was, but based on what we generally know about later theories, we can probably make some educated guesses that much of this was probably based on concepts of yin and yang energies. Yin and yang, were considered primal energies, and at some point I will need to do a full episode just on this, but during the Han dynasty, many different cosmological theories came together and were often explained in terms of yin and yang. So elemental theory is explained as each element has some different portion of yin and yang, and similarly different directions, different times of day, and different times of the year were all explained as different proportions of yin and yang energies, which then contributed to whether certain actions would be easier or more difficult—or even outright dangerous. The book on calendar-making, or ”koyomi”, was assigned to Ohochin, whose name suggests that he may have been from a family from the continent, and he was the ancestor of the Yako no Fumibito. Calendar-making was considered one of the more important roles in continental sciences, although it never quite took off to the same degree in Yamato. Still, it described the movement of the stars and how to line up the lunar days with various celestial phenomena. It also was important for understanding auspicious and inauspicious days, directions, and more—arts like divination, geomancy, and straight up magic would often provide instructions that required an understanding of the proper flow of yin and yang energies, as represented by the elements, and expressed on the calendar in terms of the elemental branch and stem system, with each day being related to a given element in an either greater or lesser capacity, usually related as the elder or younger brother. Events might be scheduled to take place, for instance, on the first rat day of the first month, and so the calendar maker would be the one to help determine when that would be. Also, since the solar and lunar calendars were not in synch, there would occasionally be a need for a “leap month”, often known as an extra-calendrical month, which would typically just repeat the previous month. This would happen, literally, “once in a blue moon”, an English expression referring to a solar month with two full moons. In fact, we just had one of those last month, in August of 2023. This isn't to say that the archipelago didn't have a system of keeping track of seasons, etc. Clearly they were successfully planting and harvesting rice, so they had knowledge of roughly what time it was in the year, though there are some thoughts that a “year” was originally based on a single growing period, leading to two or three “years” each solar year. Either way, farmers and others no doubt knew at least local conditions and what to look for regarding when to plant, and when to perform local ceremonies, but this was clearly a quote-unquote, “scientific” approach, based on complex and authoritative sounding descriptions of yin and yang energies. Closely related to the calendar-making studies, another book that the Baekje priest Kwalleuk brought over was one on Astronomy, or “Tenmon”, a study of the heavens, which was studied by Ohotomo no Suguri no Kousou. For perhaps obvious reasons, astronomy and calendar-making were closely aligned, since the change in the stars over the course of the year would often have impacts on the calendar. However, this was also likely very closely aligned with something akin to astrology, as well, following the celestial paths of various entities, many of those being things like planets. If you aren't aware, planets, though they often appear in the sky as “stars”, have apparently erratic movements across the heavens. The stars generally remain fixed, and from our perspective appear to “move” together throughout the year. Planets, however, take funky loop-de-loop paths through our sky, as they, like the earth, are also orbiting the sun. Furthermore, different planets orbit at different speeds. All of this leads to some apparently strange movements, especially if you envision the sky as a round dome over a flat earth. There are also other phenomenon, from regular meteor showers to comets, and even eclipses, all of which were thought to have their own reasons. Some of these were considered natural—neither auspicious nor inauspicious—while others were thought to impact the flow of yin yang energy on the earth, thus potentially affecting our day-to-day lives. Kousou was apparently trying to get the special bonus for the summer reading program, because he also studied another book that came over from Baekje on a subject that Aston translates as “Invisibility”, or “tonkou”. This is a little less obvious an explanation. I don't think that they were literally studying, ninja-style, how to not to be seen. In discussions of kami we've talked in the past about visible kami and, thus, conversely, invisible kami. It appears to be based on a type of divination to help better understand auspicious and inauspicious signs, and is based on a blend of various theories, again connected to a large yin-yang theory. Finally, there was another volume that was studied by Yamashiro no Omi no Hinamitsu that Aston translates as straight up “magic”, or “houjutsu”. Of course, in the worldview at the time, Magic was just another science that we didn't understand. By understanding the flow of yin and yang, one can affect various things, from helping cure disease and heal the sick to causing calamity, even to the point of possibly learning the secrets of immortality. Much of this would fall into the terms “onmyoudou”, the way of Yin and Yang, and there had been some work on that introduced earlier. That it was being introduced by a Buddhist priest demonstrates what I was saying earlier about just how interconnected it all was. Other Buddhist gifts were much more straightforward. In 605, for instance, the king of Goguryeo sent 300 Ryou of what they call “yellow metal”, possibly an admixture of gold and copper, for a Buddhist image. Five years later they sent two priests. One of them, Tamchi, is said to have known the Five Classics, that is the Confucian classics, as well as how to prepare different colored paints, paper, and ink. All of this is interesting, but it is the usual suspects. Yamato had been siphoning off culture and philosophy from the states and kingdoms of the Korean peninsula for some time, and in that time, they began to adopt various continental practices. In later centuries, much of this would be attributed to the work of Shotoku Taishi, aka Prince Umayado, especially the transmission of Buddhist thought, although for the most part we haven't actually seen a lot of that in the Chronicles themselves, which we'll get to. However, later stories paint him as one of the main forces pushing for reform in the court, especially when they would eventually push for a new, 17 article constitution, based on principles pulled from a variety of sources—both Buddhist and Han philosophical foundations. Along with that constitution, the court also instituted a 12 rank system for court ministers. This ranking system would remain in place, eventually replacing entirely the kabane system that ranked individuals based on their family in favor of ranking one for their individual achievements. Furthermore, it wasn't just a status symbol. Rank would come into play in all aspects of courtly life, from the parts of the palace you were allowed to be in, the kinds of jobs you could do, and even the amount that you were paid for your service, making the families of the land part of and dependent on the bureaucracy. And with such a system in place, there was only one natural thing for it: The Yamato court would reach out beyond the Korean peninsula and go directly to the source. They would send envoys to the court of the Sui Emperor himself and establish relations with the Middle Kingdom directly, leading to one of the most famous diplomatic incidents in all of the early Japanese history. And that is where I'm going to have to leave it for now, because once we get into that rabbit hole we are going to have a whole other episode. And so now we are fully grounded in our foundation. We can see Yamato importing people and also ideas from the continent, through the peninsula, and those ideas are taking root. They are causing changes, at least at the Yamato court, but those changes would eventually make there way throughout society, and forever change Japan and even how they see themselves. The lens of what is commonly seen as Buddhist and Confucian thought would be a powerful tool that would shape the ideas to come. Until next time, then, thank you for listening and for all of your support. If you like what we are doing, tell your friends and feel free to rate us wherever you listen to podcasts. If you feel the need to do more, and want to help us keep this going, we have information about how you can donate on Patreon or through our KoFi site, ko-fi.com/sengokudaimyo, or find the links over at our main website, SengokuDaimyo.com/Podcast, where we will have some more discussion on topics from this episode. Also, feel free to Tweet at us at @SengokuPodcast, or reach out to our Sengoku Daimyo Facebook page. You can also email us at firstname.lastname@example.org. And that's all for now. Thank you again, and I'll see you next episode on Sengoku Daimyo's Chronicles of Japan.
Gara-gara perbuatan atok 30 yang bersumpah atas nama JIN dan Syaitan 30 tahun lalu, anak dan cucu terima padahnya. Jom ikuti cerita penuh dalam Malam Seram!TeamMirzaFai memanggil semua pemilik rumah privet seperti pemilik condominium serta landed property hubungi Mirza Subari dan Fai Muni untuk tahu rugi atau untung menjual hartanah anda. Berapa banyak keuntungan yang boleh anda raih!TeamMirzaFai sebuah pasukan agent hartanah yang telah memenangi banyak anugerah Top Agent di Singapura! "Top 1 and 2 Achievers, Top Indivijual Agent!"Dengan pengalaman yang luas serta ilmu pengetahuan hartanah tempatan yang terkini Mirza Subari, Fai Muni, Leha Ramli, Elfi Muni dan Amir Amzar dari #TeamMirzaFai akan sedia membantu anda. Urusan jual beli hartanah HDB mahupun Privet akan jadi mudah dan sempurna. Hubungi Mirza Subari 83832145 dan Fai Muni 83338555 untuk dapatkan nasihat secara percuma. Nasihat hartanah amat penting kerana ia akan menentukan langkah seterusnya yang perlu anda ambil. Nak tahu untuk sikit atau banyak jom telefon TeamMirzaFai TeamMirzaFai penaja utama Malam Seram The Horror Talk Show!Suka bacaan kisah-kisah seram, sila subscribe ke saluran Malam Seram! Malam Seram LIVE show Isnin hingga Khamis 11 malam dan Jumaat 11.59 malamMALAM SERAM adalah segmen LIVE perkongsian pengalaman seram dan misteri. Anggap ia hanya sekadar perkongsian sahaja. Jangan mudah percaya dan terlalu taksub dengan apa yang anda dengar! MALAM SERAM The Horror Talk Show Bukan Sekadar Cerita Seram.
Jin Kim is one of the most driven human beings we've ever met. We've been friends with Jin for a couple years now and are so grateful for the example he is of following God's will in his life! We know you'll love this episode!INSTA @intothelight5024Email us w any questions or referrals email@example.comWe love you all!!
Kdo v 60. letech rozum bral, nemohl zpěvačku Yvonnu Přenosilovou přeslechnout. A to nejen kvůli jejímu lehce rozječenému hlasu, který perfektně ladil s rokenrolovými songy se skvělými texty, ale i proto, že ve svých ani ne šestnácti vypadala na scéně jako normální mladá holka, kterou to, co dělá, jednoduše baví. Jinými slovy, byla autentická.
Al Fadi, Dr Jay, and Brother Mel are starting a new series called Exposing the Myth. In this episode they are talking about how Islam borrowed from the Persian religion of Zoroastrianism. 1.The name of the ZamZam well is zoroastrian in origin. The name Zam is a pagan god which refers to mother nature. 2. The Black stone in al Kaaba is connected to another demon called Afraditi(Venus/ Lucifer). 3. The Jamarat represent Satan. 4. The Sunna/ hadith was written in persian lands. 5. The times of prayer, the washing before prayer, the kibla, and the word Jin were borrowed from Zoroastrianism.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.