Podcasts about q1 gdp

Inflation was up 4.1% in May, according to the BEA's personal consumption expenditures index. We know hot energy prices, resulting from the war in Iran, were part of that spike. But cut out energy and food, and inflation still hit a three-year high, at 3.4%. So what else is driving the increase? Also in this episode: Q1 GDP is revised up, Wyoming navigates the consequences of property tax cuts, and Great Lakes cargo ships make up a vital branch of U.S. supply chains.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories from today's episode:It's not just food and energy — "core" inflation is up as wellGDP grew 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026. What does that tell us?What do we need property taxes for? Wyoming is finding outNeed a burger? A car? Winter road salt? Thank cargo ships on the Great LakesGen Z trades in date-flation for "solo-maxxing"

Inflation was up 4.1% in May, according to the BEA's personal consumption expenditures index. We know hot energy prices, resulting from the war in Iran, were part of that spike. But cut out energy and food, and inflation still hit a three-year high, at 3.4%. So what else is driving the increase? Also in this episode: Q1 GDP is revised up, Wyoming navigates the consequences of property tax cuts, and Great Lakes cargo ships make up a vital branch of U.S. supply chains.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories from today's episode:It's not just food and energy — "core" inflation is up as wellGDP grew 2.1% in the first quarter of 2026. What does that tell us?What do we need property taxes for? Wyoming is finding outNeed a burger? A car? Winter road salt? Thank cargo ships on the Great LakesGen Z trades in date-flation for "solo-maxxing"

Brian Szytel hosts Dividend Cafe on Thursday, June 25, describing a mixed but slightly positive market with a growth-to-value rotation as equal-weighted indexes outpaced cap-weighted, rates dipped, and oil rose slightly while Brent returned near pre US-Iran levels; despite one major AI semiconductor earnings beat lifting parts of the space, much of tech was down. He reviews heavy economic releases: May PCE inflation met expectations (0.4% headline, 0.3% core; core PCE 3.4% YoY), Q1 GDP was revised up to 2.1%, jobless claims beat expectations, durable goods fell as expected, and personal income and consumer spending exceeded forecasts, with five of six items better than expected. He highlights dividend growth using a 2000 S&P 500 example where a 1.2% yield grew to about 5.5% cash-on-cash over 26 years, and discusses private credit redemption gates, diversification, and software-sector stress as a key risk versus a systemic collapse. 00:00 Market Snapshot 01:03 Economic Data Rundown 02:36 Value Rotation Drivers 02:45 Dividend Growth Power 04:36 Ask TPG Private Credit 05:11 Run on Bank Explained 06:49 Wrap Up and Weekend Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!Are you sitting tight in a three-bedroom home waiting for the property market to "improve"? You might be missing a massive strategic window.In this episode of the New Zealand Property Market Podcast, Head of Research Nick Goodall and Chief Economist Kelvin Davidson unpack the latest "trade-up premium" data. They reveal why a softer housing market has actually made it significantly cheaper to upgrade to a four-bedroom home right now, with value gaps shrinking by up to 12% across major New Zealand regions.The guys also dive into a massive week of economic shifts. Between lower-than-expected Q1 GDP growth (0.8%) and cooling monthly inflation numbers, the previously "guaranteed" July OCR rate hike has suddenly hit a 50/50 standstill. Could the Reserve Bank hold off until September?Plus, we look at why property investors are showing early signs of election nervousness in the upcoming Chart Pack, and celebrate an epic weekend of Kiwi sport - from the Hurricanes' masterclass Super Rugby victory at the Cake Tin to the All Whites' tactical run.This week we discuss:The Shrinking Value Gap: Suburb-level shifts in the 3-to-4-bedroom price premium (and why downturns favour the bold buyer).The Macro Shift: Why 0.8% GDP and falling Q2 CPI projections (down to 4.0%) are giving the RBNZ pause.The Mechanics of the OCR Vote: Dissecting the 3-all split committee and the likelihood of one voter flipping back to a hold.Chart Pack Teaser: First-home buyer resilience vs. shifting investor sentiment ahead of the election.The Sports Wrap: A massive weekend for the Canes, the Black Caps, the Warriors, and the All Whites.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email ngoodall@cotality.com or kdavidson@cotality.comThis podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. The hosts are not licensed Financial Advice Providers in New Zealand. All information is of a general nature and does not take into account your personal situation or goals. Please consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!The structural shift in the New Zealand property market is cementing itself in the data. While the latest Mapping the Market release reveals a highly patchy horizontal flatline across the regions, the newly updated May Buyer Classification data exposes a deep divide in buyer behaviour. Mortgaged multiple property owners (MPOs) have taken a decisive step back in the second quarter, dropping to a 22.4% market share as the compounding realities of tight yields, capital growth re-evaluations, and shifting political polls weigh on investor confidence.This week, Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson break down why first home buyers continue to defy gravity, capturing a near-record 28.5% market share. We also deliver regional deep dives into the shifting demographics of Hamilton, Tauranga, and Dunedin, preview the upcoming Q1 GDP metrics alongside Tuesday's crucial Selected Price Indexes, and analyse how an economic slowdown across the ditch in Australia could quietly reshape New Zealand's net migration baseline.This week we discuss:The Investor Retraction: Why mortgaged investors have pulled back for two consecutive quarters, hitting a soft 22.4% market share in Q2 so far.First Home Buyers Target Records: Inside the relentless 28.5% market share run and the mechanics driving low-deposit entry pathways.Regional Centre Disruption: Analysing Tauranga's equity-rich mover surge (33%) and a surprising jump in first-time buyers to 25%.The Dunedin Yield Matrix: Why gross student accommodation yields look attractive, but aging housing stock is widening the gap between gross and net returns.Net Migration Rebound: Tracking the steady climb back to 22,800 annual net arrivals and why high rental listings are keeping a ceiling on structural rent spikes.GDP vs. Selected Price Indexes: Previewing the consensus 1.0% Q1 GDP growth figure and explaining why Tuesday's monthly inflation data holds the real key to the July OCR decision.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email ngoodall@cotality.com or kdavidson@cotality.comThis podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. The hosts are not licensed Financial Advice Providers in New Zealand. All information is of a general nature and does not take into account your personal situation or goals. Please consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Uncertainty in the Middle East continues, as key central bank meetings approach. In the US, we examine the resilience of the economy and preview the upcoming CPI report. In Europe, we review recent inflation data and explain why we expect an ECB rate hike next week. In Japan, we preview the Q1 GDP report and take a close look at the BOJ. Across Asia, we share our take on key data coming out in Japan and China, touch on the Trump/Xi meeting and preview the central bank meeting in Indonesia next week. Chapters: US: 01:57, Japan: 11:56, Asia:15:50, Europe: 16:47.

In this week's episode of the Rich Habits Radar, Robert Croak and Austin Hankwitz walk through the April PCE, the Q1 GDP revisions, and the Pope's critical comments on AI. We also sit down with the legendary Ron Santella of Equable Shares! Ron Santella joins us to give us a broad market update as well as answer our questions re: the bond market, the new Fed chair, and where HEDG best fits inside an investor's portfolio.

The personal savings rate fell to just 2.6% in April — a low not seen since June 2022, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. That means Americans have, on average, less cash leftover at the end of the month. Gas and grocery price inflation are partially to blame. Also in this episode: Office real estate looks a little K-shaped, one city tries to relieve budget problems with trademarked merch, and Kai breaks down the April PCE report and Q1 GDP revision.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

The personal savings rate fell to just 2.6% in April — a low not seen since June 2022, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. That means Americans have, on average, less cash leftover at the end of the month. Gas and grocery price inflation are partially to blame. Also in this episode: Office real estate looks a little K-shaped, one city tries to relieve budget problems with trademarked merch, and Kai breaks down the April PCE report and Q1 GDP revision.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.

Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments joins host John Przygocki to assess the health of the US economy. He points to a resilient Q1 GDP reading, strong jobs data and earnings growth in estimating a 30% recession probability. He cites the Jevons paradox to explain why he doesn't fear an AI "job apocalypse." And he remains bullish on US equities despite Middle East uncertainty and inflation worries. 

At a recent conference, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman toned down his talk of mass worker displacement caused by AI. He said he thought AI would have had more of an impact on the elimination of white-collar jobs by now, adding that he's “delighted to be wrong about this” and that there's a “human part” of work that can't be replaced. Also on the show: a preview of a Q1 GDP revision and the astronomical costs to attend this year's World Cup.

At a recent conference, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman toned down his talk of mass worker displacement caused by AI. He said he thought AI would have had more of an impact on the elimination of white-collar jobs by now, adding that he's “delighted to be wrong about this” and that there's a “human part” of work that can't be replaced. Also on the show: a preview of a Q1 GDP revision and the astronomical costs to attend this year's World Cup.

科技浪潮持續推進，投資機會不只在科技巨頭，也延伸至全球供應鏈。野村全球科技多重資產策略，聚焦美國創新、亞洲製造與關鍵供應鏈，搭配全天候債券策略，迎向下一波成長動能。投資一定有風險，基金投資有賺有賠，申購前應詳閱開說明書。*搶占科技先機看這裡： https://fstry.pse.is/95rpey ——以上廣告由 Firstory 與【月城南廣告】共同執行—— 台灣 2026 年第一季經濟表現驚人，GDP 成長達 13.69%！本集《老謝開講》深度解析出口版圖如何從中港轉向美國。當台灣股市市值接連超越英、法、德，哪些「兆元企業」是支撐護國群山的關鍵？留言告訴我你對這一集的想法： https://open.firstory.me/user/ckijrbz8nehm50847mulgl7v6/comments《各節重點》＊ 2026 Q1 GDP 13.69% 成長背後的數據真相＊ 出口重心告別中港、擁抱美國＊ 超越英法德，台灣挺進全球前十大股市＊ 台灣 16 家躍升成為「兆元企業」★ 商業合作請洽 ad@wealth.com.tw，或撥專線 (02)25512561轉249。製作｜財訊雙週刊攝影｜吳匡庭 吳雨軒 剪輯｜吳匡庭後製｜吳雨軒 錄影日期｜2026.5.6

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!The April Home Value Index (HVI) results are in, and while the national median technically rose by a modest 0.1%, the broader picture is one of a flattening market. This week, Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson peel back the layers on the regional divide - why are Auckland and Wellington softening while Christchurch and Invercargill continue to climb?We also dive into a surprising dose of 'hopium' from the March economic data. With filled jobs up 0.3% and the NZ Activity Index (NZAC) hitting its fastest growth in over three years, we ask if the economy is showing more resilience than expected, or if these are simply lagging indicators of a pre-conflict world.This week, we discuss:April HVI results: The national median is up 0.1%, but regional variability is the real story.The regional divide: Why Auckland's supply pipeline and Wellington's 'vibe' shift are weighing on values compared to the farming-backed strength of the south.March economic resilience: Filled jobs grew by 0.3%, and the NZAC rose 3.2% - could Q1 GDP be stronger than the RBNZ expects?Labour market preview: Why we expect the unemployment rate to hold steady at 5.4% this week.RBNZ watch: A preview of Wednesday's Financial Stability Review (FSR) and the ongoing quest for transparency.First home buyer report: A teaser for our upcoming release with Westpac, including surprising data on buyer ages.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email ngoodall@cotality.com or kdavidson@cotality.comThis podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. The hosts are not licensed Financial Advice Providers in New Zealand. All information is of a general nature and does not take into account your personal situation or goals. Please consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

The economy and markets can feel dizzying and ever changing. That's where we can help. Fisher Investments' “This Week in Review” is a weekly segment designed to highlight a few things you may have missed this week, what they could mean for financial markets and why they matter to investors like you. This week, Fisher Investments reviews: • April market recap • The United Arab Emirates' (UAE) withdrawal from OPEC • The latest US and eurozone GDP figures Below are the sources for all data cited in today's show: 1. Source: FactSet, as of 5/1/2026. MSCI World Total Return Index, daily, from 12/31/2025 – 4/30/2026. 2. Source: FactSet, as of 5/1/2026. MSCI World Total Return Index and Brent oil prices, daily, from 12/31/2025 – 4/30/2026. 3. Source: Macrobond, FactSet, as of 4/21/2026. 12-month forward earnings per share growth estimates for the MSCI World, MSCI Europe and S&P 500, weekly, 1/1/2026 – 4/13/2026. 4. Source: CNN, as of 4/30/2026. “UAE Quits OPEC in Blow to Cartel That Could Reshape Global Oil Markets”, published 4/28/2026. 5. Source: US Energy Information Administration, as of 4/30/2026. Frequently Asked Quested, Top Ten Producers of Oil. 6. Source: Trading Economics, as of 5/1/2025. Euro Area and United States GDP Growth Rates, Q4 2025 – Q1 2026. 7. Source: FactSet, Macrobond, as of 4/21/2026. Eurozone government bond spreads (10Y – 3M), 1/1/2025 – 4/23/2026. Y/y Eurozone loan growth, monthly, 9/30/1997 – 2/28/2026. Want to dig deeper? • More on regional conflicts' impact on stocks: https://www.fisherinvestments.com/en-us/insights/market-commentary/the-swift-recovery-isnt-special • Why OPEC's influence on oil prices isn't what it used to be: https://www.fisherinvestments.com/en-us/insights/market-commentary/pain-at-the-pump-wont-hurt-the-global-economy Have feedback for this Fisher Investments podcast? Share your thoughts on this episode in just 1 minute by filling out this survey: https://fi.co1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_6Vw1ezlogR044S2?VideoCode=WeekInReview1May2026 Connect with Fisher Investments on: • Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/FisherInvestments • X - https://twitter.com/fisherinvest • LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/fisher-investments • Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/fisher.investments/ • TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@fisher_investments You can also follow Ken Fisher here: • Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/KenFisher.FisherInvestments • X - https://twitter.com/KennethLFisher • LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/ken-fisher/ • Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/kenfisher_fisherinvestments/ Investing in securities involves a risk of loss. Past performance is never a guarantee of future returns. Investing in foreign stock markets involves additional risks, such as the risk of currency fluctuations. The foregoing constitutes the general views of Fisher Investments and should not be regarded as personalized investment advice. Nothing herein is intended to be a recommendation. The opinions expressed are subject to change without notice.

Dan Nathan speaks with David Rosenberg about a market week packed with tech earnings, GDP, PCE, the Fed, oil above $100, and a sharp USD/JPY move. Rosenberg argues the U.S. economy is K-shaped, with Q1 GDP growth heavily driven by AI-related tech capex while non-tech business investment contracts, and consumer spending exceeding flat-to-negative real disposable income mainly due to a falling savings rate, wealth effects at the high end, and credit reliance at the low end amid rising delinquencies. He says most sectors are losing jobs, productivity has driven nearly all recent growth, and an oil price shock is a supply-side tax likely to weaken demand rather than create sustained inflation. They discuss a divided Fed under new chair Kevin Warsh, high market concentration, extreme valuations with a near-zero equity risk premium, and whether yen moves or oil are bigger risks for equities. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links —Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.Corn futures slipped Thursday as favorable Corn Belt weather and crude oil weakness weighed on prices. The Dec26 contract settled near $4.94, unable to break through the key $5.00 level. Wheat saw sharp losses, dropping ~16 cents on Plains rainfall forecasts, while soybeans finished mostly unchanged.The USDA drought monitor showed meaningful improvement in the Corn Belt—drought coverage fell from 36% to just 11% since the start of the year. However, conditions are worsening in Nebraska and Kansas, and winter wheat continues to struggle under dry conditions and recent freezes.The House passed the farm bill 224–200, reauthorizing ag and food programs for five years. The E15 year-round sales provision was stripped from the bill after pushback from oil-state Republicans. A standalone E15 vote is now expected separately.Kalshi will not offer 24/7 grain markets after pushback from industry groups and regulators. Grain contracts will align with traditional exchange hours. Meanwhile, the CFTC is reportedly considering more frequent publication of its Commitment of Traders report.Weekly export sales were strong for corn at 1.6mmt — up 21% week-over-week — with Colombia as the top buyer. Soybean sales were soft at 258,100mt. Wheat sales came in near the top of expectations at 226,100mt, up 75% from the prior week.The S&P 500 closed above 7,200 for the first time, gaining 1% to a new all-time high. Strong earnings and AI optimism drove the rally, even as Q1 GDP came in at 2% — below the expected 2.2%.

Jon Herold comes in Thursday with plenty to chew on and no shortage of opinions. He doubles down on his Comey skepticism after Trump himself posts confirming 86 is a mob term for kill, which Jon says actually makes the legal case harder, not easier, since it removes the noncriminal interpretation that the First Amendment requires. The House quietly passed a three-year renewal of FISA Section 702 with barely a whisper of public debate, and Jon is not thrilled. Trump and Putin held a 90-minute call where Putin offered a Victory Day ceasefire and Trump said both the Ukraine and Iran wars are on similar timetables, calling Ukraine militarily defeated. Q1 GDP came in at 2% despite the Iran oil shock, inflation is still running hot, and Jerome Powell apparently wants to stick around at the Fed, which Jon finds predictably annoying. Mike Johnson is calling to suspend Louisiana elections after the Supreme Court voided the state map, and Jon sees it as a potential template for pausing midterms altogether. Trump also nominated Dr. Nicole Safier as Surgeon General. Jon closes with an extended, honest meditation on information war fatigue, the Santa Claus metaphor for Hopium, and why grounded expectations are not the same thing as blackpilling.

The economy is holding steady but a new risk is building fast.Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong break down a solid Q1 GDP report and why underlying trends in housing and the labor market had started to stabilize.Also covered:Why AI driven investment is carrying a large share of economic growthWhat steady jobless claims say about the labor market right nowSigns housing may be finding a floor after recent weaknessWhy rising energy prices could quickly change the outlookWhat the Fed is watching as inflation pressures build againWhat happens if energy costs start to overwhelm an otherwise stable economy.

China, April 2026 new landscape back six major developments into one month. He break down the landmark zero tariff policy for all 53 African diplomatic partners that dual AI regulatory framework that could became global template. It also analysis Q1 GDP growth at five percentage and the 15th five year plans revealing energy policy shift. Additionally, semiconductor industries strain under AI demand the extended US China, trade tools, and China software push across Africa. 20 minutes intelligence briefing of China New Zealand leases daily connects the dots across politics, economy, technology, and energy. Stay tuned for more episodes.

Alice Han and James Kynge break down the forces reshaping China's economy and its growing influence in the global AI race. They start with the macro picture: China's Q1 GDP came in stronger than expected, but the headline number masks a more uneven recovery — with infrastructure spending doing much of the heavy lifting, while consumer demand remains soft, property prices continue to fall, and auto sales stay under pressure. From there, they move into one of the most striking shifts in the global tech economy: China's emerging advantage in AI. In particular, its rapid rise as a leading exporter of “tokens” — the computational units that power large language models and agentic AI systems. With lower costs, rapid scaling, and increasingly competitive open-weight models, Chinese AI firms are beginning to reshape global pricing and usage dynamics across the industry. They also examine Beijing's expanding use of export controls — spanning rare earth minerals to advanced solar technologies — and how this evolving strategy fits into a broader effort to manage global supply chains and respond to rising economic decoupling. Finally, they turn to China's domestic innovation boom, from unconventional consumer products like in-car toilets and water bikes to headline-grabbing advances in robotics, including a humanoid robot that recently completed a half-marathon ahead of human runners. Is this just spectacle, or a signal of deeper industrial and engineering momentum? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

This week, we discuss our views on the ceasefire from a US perspective, the latest from the Fed, and fiscal policy in Europe. We preview key data such as China's Q1 GDP and India's March CPI, as well as the MAS decision. We feature our latest special reports on why China is looking resilient and whether Asian central banks will hike rates or not. Chapters: US: 1:51; Europe: 9:37; China: 15:41; Asia: 22:09

Winter Storm Fern wreaked havoc on the U.S. this past week, with early estimates predicting more than $100 billion in total economic losses.According to MarketWatch, analysts from Morgan Stanley believe the storm's disruption could shave 0.5 to 1.5 percentage points from Q1 GDP, potentially obscuring the true strength of the economy.Some people reading this planned to attend a major multifamily conference in Las Vegas this week, but they were significantly delayed or completely unable to make the trip due to the weather impact. I was part of the latter.Based on data from FlightAware, there were approximately 24,000 cancellations for flights within, into, or out of the United States from Saturday through midday Tuesday. To put that in perspective, cancellations averaged 350 per day last year.The timing of the storm also coincides with earnings season for publicly traded companies. On upcoming investor calls, expect some of the multifamily REITs to discuss any disruptions to performance and damage to properties, as well as how they are mitigating them.Broadly, there will likely be a temporary slowdown to in-person property traffic in locations where Fern hit the hardest. That could show up to a degree in Radix data starting this week and next.Explore our webpage for more insights and resources:https://bit.ly/Radix_Website

The GIFT Nifty signals a strong gap-up start for Dalal Street, coming a day after the Nifty slipped below key support levels in a bruising selloff that saw the index end the August F&O series with a 500-point cut. The overhang of Trump's 50% tariff storm continued to weigh on sentiment, while heavy FII outflows and broad-based sectoral weakness have left the market vulnerable to further downside. All eyes today will be on Reliance Industries' 48th AGM for big-ticket announcements and on the release of India's Q1 GDP print. In stock-specific action, CG Power, Infosys, Hexaware, Muthoot Finance will be buzzing while NSE will exclude 8 stocks from the F&O segment starting today. Tune in for all this and more in today's Market Minutes — your morning podcast bringing you the top stories to kickstart your trading day, from stocks in the news to macro trends and global market cues.

Indian equity markets snapped a six-day winning streak on Friday, with financials dragging the Nifty below 24,900 even as midcaps continued to outperform. Autos, realty, and consumption names led weekly gains on GST rationalisation hopes, while PSU banks and IT stocks provided some support. US Fed Chair Jerome Powell sends a strong signal of a September rate cut. Will this fire up the bulls? In stock-specific action, Yes Bank, IDBI Bank, Brigade Enterprises, Titagarh Rail, and GMR Power are in focus, alongside big index moves with InterGlobe Aviation and Max Healthcare set to join the Nifty 50.  Tune in for all this and more in today's Market Minutes — your morning podcast bringing you the top stories to kickstart your trading day, from stocks in the news to macro trends and global market cues.

The initial Q2 2025 GDP growth number was just released and it beat expectations handily, coming in at a "strong" 3.0%But...when looking just a little bit beneath the surface, the data doesn't look as impressive as on first glance. For example, the biggest contributor by far to the "beat" was shrinking inventories relative to the massive Q1 pre-orders that were made as corporations front-ran the Trump tariffs.So, just as the negative Q1 GDP number wasn't truly as bad as it seemed, similarly the Q2 number isn't as robust as the headline suggests.The team from New Harbor Financial and I dig into what the true reality likely is, as well as discuss the latest FOMC release, the tremendous amount of speculation in the markets today, and the latest price action in gold, silver and Bitcoin.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#economy #federalreserve #gdp _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

David Faber and Jim Cramer discussed he AI boom helping to boost the tech rally. Nvidia hitting a new all-time and surpassing Microsoft to become the world's most valuable company. Micron CEO Sanjay Mehrotra joined the program exclusively to discuss the role AI played in the chipmaker's better-than-expected earnings and upbeat guidance. Also in focus: Microsoft and Meta go after OpenAl for different reasons, Tesla vs. Waymo on robotaxis, McCormick's spicy earnings, Q1 GDP shrinks more than expected, RFK Jr.'s vaccine panel backs Merck's RSV shot for infants, Cramer's message on skyrocketing stocks and the "FOMO" trade. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

Market Update: June 25, 2023 - Wall Street's Flat Day & Economic Insights In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel reports from the Grand Rapids office in Michigan on a relatively flat day in the financial markets. The DOW fell slightly by 106 points, S&P remained unchanged, and Nasdaq increased by 0.3%. Changes in oil prices and a ceasefire between Israel and Iran were also highlighted. Key economic updates include the potential for future tax legislation, upcoming tariff deadlines, and the Fed's possible rate cuts. Seitel also discusses how to position different assets in traditional IRAs versus Roth IRAs and delves into the recent decrease in new home sales. Upcoming economic calendar events include wholesale inventory numbers, durable goods orders, Q1 GDP revision, and pending home sales data. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 01:10 Market Movements and Economic Indicators 02:46 Investment Strategies for Different Accounts 04:27 Housing Market Insights 05:28 Upcoming Economic Events and Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

We dig into the Fed's recent meeting minutes, Q1 GDP revisions, consumer confidence trends, and the latest FDIC banking data. From inflation signals and trade tensions to CRE lending slowdowns and cooling construction activity, the episode connects the dots between the broader economy and the decisions facing market participants in 2025. Whether you're watching the labor market, pricing strategies, or borrower behavior, you'll want to press play on this pulse check. Key Moments:01:28 FOMC Minutes and market reactions04:04 GDP numbers and economic projections09:15 Personal income, outlays, and consumer confidence13:55 Manufacturing and construction data19:47 FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile insights26:14 Upcoming reports and announcements Resources Mentioned:Q1 2025 US CRE Investment and Transactions Quarterly report - https://www.altusgroup.com/featured-insights/cre-transactions/US CRE Transaction Analysis – Q1 2025 - https://www.altusgroup.com/insights/us-cre-transactions/Multifamily sentiment rebounds as the US housing market rebalances - https://www.altusgroup.com/insights/multifamily-sentiment-rebounds-as-us-housing-market-rebalances/FOMC Minutes - https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20250507.htmOECD Economic Outlook - https://www.oecd.org/en/topics/economic-outlook.htmlPCE index - https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index Conference Board Consumer Confidence Survey - https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidenceUS Census Bureau Construction spending - https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/c30index.htmlFDIC Quarterly Banking Profile - https://www.fdic.gov/quarterly-banking-profileEmail us - altusresearch@altusgroup.comThanks for listening to the “CRE Exchange” podcast, powered by Altus Group. If you enjoyed this episode, please leave a review to help get the word out about the show. And be sure to subscribe so you never miss another insightful conversation.#CRE #CommercialRealEstate #Property

GET THE 3 RESOURCES LACY MENTIONS by signing up for our free Substack at http://thoughtfulmoney.substack.com/It's an especially confusing time for investors.On one hand, the US economy is showing signs of slowing, with a negative growth for Q1 GDP, and mounting evidence that many corporations and consumer households are feeling the pinch of higher borrowing costs.On the other hand, FOMO Is returning to the stock market as corporate earnings look solid, tariffs tensions ease somewhat, and optimism over the longer term likely positive impact the Trump Adminstration's business-friendly policies will have on the economy.So, which is more warranted here: optimism or pessimism?For perspective, we have the great fortune today to sit down with one of the greatest living economists, Lacy Hunt, former senior economist for the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas and current Executive Vice President of Hoisington Investment Management Company.Lacy sees Wall Street as dangerously deluded here. In his eyes, the economy is "far worse" than markets are currently expecting.Buckle up.#recession #marketcorrection #economy 0:00 - Deteriorating hard data5:22 - Inventory surge and corporate profits.10:24 - Rising unemployment claims14:10 - Big Beautiful Bill's limited impact22:02 - Debt overhang and economic drag27:11 - Long-term policy optimism31:30 - Money supply's critical role37:03 - Deflation over inflation concerns46:17 - Federal Reserve's delayed action48:04 - Systemic risks and Minsky moment53:00 - Neil Ferguson's empire insights54:03 - Market outlook and bond value1:02:17 - Policy reform for debt control1:06:59 - Defining a rich life1:13:10 - Closing and viewer guidance_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/South Korea had been on the side of the Fed, sticking with interest rates opting to see about trade war "uncertainty" before doing anything. That lasted all of four weeks. The list of central banks able to sit by and watch CPI has thinned down to just the one Mr. Powell runs. And the update to Q1 GDP in the US holds the key as to why.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Bank of Korea Flags More Rate Cuts to Come as Tariffs Hit Growthhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-29/bok-cuts-rate-to-cushion-economy-from-tariffs-political-turmoilCNBC Bank of Korea lowers interest rates for the fourth time, flags more cuts aheadhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/29/south-korea-central-bank-cuts-interest-rates-.htmlChosunBiz Bank of Korea lowers interest rate to 2.50%, signals possibility of further cutshttps://biz.chosun.com/en/en-policy/2025/05/29/E5KPW2LQYFGPRF5EM5G3RUM4XQ/Bloomberg Banxico Sees Growth of 0.1% This Year, Rules Out Recessionhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-29/bank-lending-to-private-credit-funds-swells-145-in-five-yearshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Market Updates, Tariffs Overruling, and Economic Indicators In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from the West Palm Beach, Florida office discusses the day's positive market movements and notable economic events. Key topics include the overruling of tariffs by the US International Trade Court, revisions to Q1 GDP, jobless claims, and pending home sales data. The episode also addresses questions about high-frequency trading and rising treasury yields, emphasizing the potential deflationary impact of global indebtedness and market dynamics. Brian provides insights into the factors affecting market volatility and offers a preview of upcoming inflation data. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:35 Impact of US Trade Court Ruling on Tariffs 01:41 Economic Indicators and Employment Data 03:01 High Frequency Trading and Market Volatility 03:46 Rising Treasury Yields and Global Debt 06:33 Conclusion and Upcoming Insights Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Market Insights and Sovereign Debt Discussion - Dividend Cafe In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the recent market movements following a significant rise due to a delay in tariffs on the EU. He covers the Richmond Fed survey results, FOMC meeting minutes, and the implications of long-term sovereign debt yields, particularly from Japan. Brian also breaks down the ownership of US Treasury debt and the impact of foreign investments. Looking ahead, he previews upcoming economic data releases, including Q1 GDP, jobless claims, pending home sales, and PCE data. Listeners are briefed on the market's current status and forthcoming economic indicators. 00:00 Introduction and Market Recap 00:35 Economic Calendar and Market Sentiment 00:51 Impact of Trade Announcements 01:55 Sovereign Debt and Treasury Holdings 03:46 Japan's Debt and Yield Curve Control 05:43 Upcoming Economic Data and Conclusion Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Episode 96: GDP Miss, Fed Paralysis & a Frozen Real Estate Market This week on Drunk Real Estate, we're diving deep into the Q1 GDP shock, the Fed's continued delay on rate cuts, and why the commercial real estate market is stalled but not yet crashing. With inflation cooling and employment softening, many expected the Fed to pivot—but Powell seems stuck in neutral. Meanwhile, global trade shifts, delayed refinancing, and rising CRE debt risks are quietly reshaping the economy. - GDP miss: What went wrong—and what it might mean - Why Powell isn't cutting rates yet, even with softening inflation - Commercial real estate is frozen—what's keeping it from breaking? - Import surges, trade distortions, and recession warning signs - What investors need to watch in Q2 and beyond Grab a drink and join the crew for unfiltered insight on markets, policy, and the strange macro environment we're in.  

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the messy, muddy Q1 GDP report and break down why the headline number might be misleading. They also explain the disconnect between public sentiment and actual economic data, touch on Warren Buffett's retirement announcement, set expectations for the Fed's next move, and more.Key Takeaways:GDP Looks Weak at First Glance—But Isn't: GDP for Q1 came in negative for the first time in three years, but parsing the data shows there are still plenty of signals—though also plenty of uncertainty.A Fond Farewell: Ryan and Sonu reflect on Warren Buffett's remarkable career after his announcement over the weekend that he'd be stepping away from Berkshire Hathaway.Consumer Spending Still Strong: Consumer spending has remained high even amid tariff uncertainty, but auto sales have been a sign of weakness.Fed Uncertainty: Though it's still unclear when or if the Fed might cut rates, we should get some clarity this week.Earnings Beat Expectations: Q1 earnings came in ahead of expectations, buoying the market during an uncertain time.Strong Stocks: The market ended April and opened May with a nine-day winning streak, a sign of resilience amid tariff uncertainty. Connect with Ryan:•       LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick•       X: @ryandetrickConnect with Sonu:•       LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese•       X: @sonusvargheQuestions about the show? We'd love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com  #FactsVsFeelings #GDPGrowth #ConsumerSpending #ImmigrationEconomics #MarketOutlook #FedPolicy #StockMarketUpdate #RyanDetrick #SonuVarghese #EconomicReality #RecessionMyth #StagflationDebunked

We're joined by Dr. Jeff Sarbaum, Senior Economist at UNC Greensboro, to dissect the latest economic indicators. With a Q1 GDP contraction, plummeting consumer confidence, and looming retail concerns, we explore what these trends mean for the U.S. economy and everyday Americans.The Triad Podcast Network is proudly sponsored by The Ginther Group Real Estate, Dewey's Bakery, and Three Magnolias Financial Advisors.

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found Click On Picture To See Larger PictureTrump's tariffs are now taking its toll on the Chinese economy, bank report a profit drop of 1 billion in the first quarter. Chinese companies are now moving to the US. The GDP numbers that were reported do not show the true picture, next quarter everything will adjust and the US will be coming out of the recession that Biden created. The [DS] is losing every step of the way, the more they try to defend the indefensible the worse it gets. The people are waking up and the country is becoming unified. When we vote in the midterms and we take control of the house and senate Trump and We The People will have the power we need to cast out the [DS] players. Market [9] confirmed, justice is coming, Panic in DC.   (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Economy https://twitter.com/WallStreetMav/status/1919727595836604436   States Chinese Companies Are Moving Their Manufacturing to the U.S. in Order to Avoid Trump's Tariffs (DCNF)—A growing wave of Chinese manufacturers are packing up and moving to the United States under the weight of President Donald Trump's tariffs on Chinese goods. “The United States accounts for nearly 95% of our orders. It's not a market we can afford to lose,” Ryan Zhou, who runs a novelty gift business in eastern China, said, as reported by the SCMP. Zhou is opening a new facility in Dallas next month as a result of a 90% tariff on Chinese shipments to the United States. Zhu Ning, a consultant who advises Chinese firms on overseas expansion, says he's handled more than 100 relocation inquiries in the last four months alone, a level of interest that was unheard of before Trump's tariffs kicked in, per the SCMP. These are not American companies coming back, but they are Chinese companies coming in to the United States for the first time. For years, they undercut American workers by exploiting loopholes and subsidies, leading to an influx of cheap goods and synthetic goods. Now they are scrambling to stay afloat. Now, Chinese petrochemical firms are starting to plant roots in the United States. Ye Yingmin, the founder of a chemical consulting firm in Beijing, says the United States has become a hotbed of interest for Chinese investment. “We're seeing Chinese firms preparing to invest heavily in places like Texas,” Ye told the SCMP.  Source: libertdaily.com https://twitter.com/IanJaeger29/status/1919452951984087307 What Recession: Goldman Now Expects Q2 GDP To Surge To 2.4%   We didn't have long to wait, and with most banks now quietly revising their economic estimates higher - certainly far more quietly than they were to declare that a recession is imminent - overnight Goldman became the flagbearer (bearing the white flag that is), when Hatzius published a report in which he now anticipates Q2 surging to 2.4% from -0.3%, which would make it higher than the average GDP print reported  since the start of 2022. Not only that, but when discussing the -0.3% GDP print for Q1, Goldman said that "inventory investment was significantly understated, which means that GDP was significantly understated too." In short, Q1 GDP will be revised positive, and Q2 could push to 3% or higher! Q1 GDP printed at -0.3% annualized, but frontloading of imports probably significantly understates this number. In theory, frontloading should be neutral because it boosts imports (which enter the calculation of expenditure-side GDP negatively) but raises consumer spending, business fixed investment, and inventory investment (which all enter positively) by an equal ...

We close out a busy macro week with thoughts from Brian on the latest US employment and GDP data. Plus, a look at what to expect in the week ahead. Featured is Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

The Q1 GDP statistics come in, and they're not good; Kamala Harris makes her grand reappearance; and we are joined by the Ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee. Click here to join the member-exclusive portion of my show: https://bit.ly/3WDjgHE Ep.2190 - - - Facts Don't Care About Your Feelings - - - DailyWire+: Join us at https://dailywire.com/subscribe and become part of the rebellion against the ridiculous. Normal is back. And this time, we're keeping it. The hit podcast, Morning Wire, is now on Video! Watch Now and subscribe to their YouTube channel: https://bit.ly/3RFOVo6 Get your Ben Shapiro merch here: https://bit.ly/3TAu2cw - - - Today's Sponsors: Perplexity is an AI-powered answer engine that searches the internet to deliver fast, unbiased, high-quality answers, with sources and in-line citations. Ask Perplexity anything here: https://pplx.ai/benshapiro PureTalk - Switch to PureTalk and start saving today! Visit https://PureTalk.com/SHAPIRO Grand Canyon University - Find your purpose at Grand Canyon University. Visit https://gcu.edu today. Boll & Branch - Get 15% off, plus free shipping on your first set of sheets at https://BollAndBranch.com/ben American Investment Council - Learn more about the American Investment Council and private equity at https://investmentcouncil.org - - - Socials: Follow on Twitter: https://bit.ly/3cXUn53 Follow on Instagram: https://bit.ly/3QtuibJ Follow on Facebook: https://bit.ly/3TTirqd Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3RPyBiB

Ted Oakley, Managing Partner and Founder of Oxbow Advisors, joins Julia La Roche on episode 253 to discuss the economy and markets.Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia In this episode, Ted discusses the concerning deterioration in economic indicators despite ongoing investor complacency, warning that earnings expectations are too optimistic while market multiples remain elevated. He shares his approach to maintaining significant liquidity (currently 55%) while selectively investing in value opportunities like consumer staples. Ted also explains his gold strategy, with bullion as a permanent currency hedge and miners as tradable assets. The conversation concludes with insights from his new book "Second Generation Wealth," where he emphasizes the importance of letting children experience financial independence and adversity before introducing them to family wealth.With more than forty years of experience in advising high-net-worth clients in the investment industry, Oakley implements the firm's proprietary investment strategies and the “Oxbow Principles” to provide a unique investment perspective. He is a frequent guest on FOX Business News, Bloomberg Radio, KITCO News, Cheddar TV, Yahoo Finance, and many more. Oakley is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and a Certified Financial Planner (CFP). He is a member of the Austin Society of Financial Analysts. He is also a Partner of Herndon Plant Oakley Ltd., an investment company. He is a Board Member of Texas State Aquarium, American Bank, and American Bank Holding Company. Mr. Oakley is a United States Army Veteran. Oakley began his career in Dallas, Texas, over 35 years ago. He is the author of nine books: You Sold Your Company, $20 Million and Broke, Rich Kids Broke Kids – The Failure of Traditional Estate Planning, Crazy Time – Surviving the First 12 Months after Selling Your Company, Wall Street Lies, Danger Time, My Story, The Psychology of Staying Rich, and Your Money Mentality. Oakley's primary philanthropic interest is helping children. He is Chairman Emeritus and Founder of the Foster Angels of South Texas, the largest foster child foundation in South Texas, as well as Chairman Emeritus and Founder of Austin, Texas-based Foster Angels of Central Texas. Also, President and Founder of Advocates for Foster Children Foundation.Links:Oxbow Advisors: https://oxbowadvisors.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@OxbowAdvisorsX: https://x.com/Oxbow_AdvisorsBook: https://www.amazon.com/Second-Generation-Wealth-What-Want/dp/1966629168Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction and welcome0:32 Big picture macro view - deterioration and complacency 2:05 Explaining market complacency despite bearish sentiment 3:21 Liquidity and portfolio positioning 4:45 Appropriate liquidity levels by age group 7:42 Boomers' over-allocation to stocks 8:47 Value Line Investment Survey as a market indicator 10:52 Scaling into investments during market downturns 11:55 Fully invested vs. current 55% liquid strategy 14:09 Market risks: shrinking corporate margins and multiples 16:05 Market decline without recession possibility 17:05 Recent market movement - another chance for liquidity 18:35 Q1 GDP insights and market end-of-month action 19:48 Preparing for potential market scenarios 21:26 Retail buyers and leverage in current market recovery 22:35 Current investment opportunities - consumer staples and value24:48 Gold strategy - bullion as currency hedge vs. miners as trades27:45 Gold's purchasing power preservation over time 30:10 Treasury strategy - staying under two years to maintain control31:36 US fiscal situation and future outlook 33:58 Second Generation Wealth - inheritance and teaching kids about money 36:17 Helping children develop self-esteem and independence 39:16 The importance of adversity and work ethic for children 41:37 Setting an example - treating everyone equally 44:13 Parting thoughts

Carl Quintanilla, David Faber and Jim Cramer kicked off the show with reaction to economic data that sparked Wednesday's market sell-off: The first reading of Q1 GDP showed that the economy contracted in the period, down 0.3-percent. Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol joined the program to discuss his turnaround plan, as the company's earnings and revenue miss weighed heavily on the stock. The anchors interviewed White House senior trade adviser Peter Navarro about where trade talks stand.Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

In this pre-recorded edition of The Daily Herold, Jon Herold checks in from Plymouth ahead of GART to break down a fast-moving news cycle packed with economic shakeups, narrative control tactics, and the GOP's ongoing civil war. Jon unpacks Trump's escalating trade war, including the backlash from Amazon's decision to publicly display tariff costs on product listings, a move Trump's team slammed as politically motivated. He highlights the administration's strategic use of tariffs to drive tax relief and domestic investment, with Scott Bessent outlining plans to fund tax breaks for working Americans using revenue from foreign imports. Jon also digs into Trump's tough stance on leaks, detailing new polygraph testing across national security agencies and the Justice Department's expanded authority to subpoena journalists. He shares mixed thoughts on the ethics and effectiveness of polygraphs and anonymous sourcing, but applauds the administration's aggressive push to root out deep state sabotage. Additional stories include the economic narrative war over Q1 GDP data, the launch of a federal election integrity task force in New Jersey, Congress's failure to act meaningfully while handing out gold medals, and the growing threat of GOP obstruction to Trump's tariff agenda. With sharp takes on the MS-13 narrative trap, Trump's foreign investment deals, and Greg Abbott's speech policing, this episode delivers a wide-angle lens on the first 100 days of disruption.

In this episode, Jerry breaks down the surprise contraction in Q1 GDP and explains how Trump's tariffs triggered an import surge that's rattling markets.He walks listeners through key economic indicators including consumer spending weakness and slowing payroll growth and highlights critical charts tracking the dollar, gold, silver, Bitcoin, and equities.Jerry shares actionable strategies for navigating this turbulent market environment, emphasizing flexibility and data-driven decisions.Finally, Jerry reinforces the importance of adapting to new market realities rather than relying on outdated thinking.

Market Dynamics Update: Consumer Sentiment and Tariff Changes In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel from The Bahnsen Group's Newport Beach headquarters reviews the market's performance on April 29th. Key highlights include a rebound in markets following an auto tariff easement announcement from the White House, a six-day rise in the S&P 500, and a detailed analysis of current treasury yields and interest rate expectations. Brian also discusses consumer sentiment, which has hit its lowest since early 2020, analyzing its implications for market behavior. Additional updates cover job openings, specifically the Jolts number, the Case-Shiller housing index, and expectations for upcoming economic data releases, including core PCE data, private payroll numbers, and Q1 GDP preliminaries. Lastly, there's a focus on earnings reports, emphasizing the forward guidance amidst trade uncertainties. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:47 Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators 01:53 Auto Tariff Updates and Economic Calendar 02:35 Consumer Confidence and Job Openings 04:22 Housing Market and Upcoming Data 05:02 Earnings Season Insights 06:03 Conclusion and Viewer Engagement Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

This week was a roller-coaster ride for the markets. Stocks weakened as the week progressed, and then really started falling after Nvidia's guidance failed to restore confidence in investors.But then the markets rallied hard into the close on Friday. Which is causing investors everyone to ask:Is the sell-off over?Or, is this merely a head-fake before prices resume their decline?Adding to the uncertainty is the sudden rash of recession worries making it back into media headlines. The latest consumer confidence numbers are plummeting and the Atlanta GDPNow's Q1 GDP estimate suddenly plunged to a negative forecast.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss all of this, plus what the latest technical analysis is telling us, rising bond prices, DOGE, the weakening housing market, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.TIME'S RUNNING OUT! BUY YOUR TICKET AT THE EARLY BIRD PRICE FOR OUR MARCH 15 CONFERENCE at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference