Podcast appearances and mentions of april cpi

The week saw the release of the April CPI which showed an unchanged print at 2.4% rather than a fall. Belinda Allen and Stephen Wu discuss why it was stronger than expected and what it means for the RBA. Retail trade disappointed and the building blocks for GDP were also released. Next week all eyes will be on Q1 25 GDP and the RBA Minutes for May.   Disclaimer:    Important Information   This podcast is approved and distributed by Global Economic & Markets Research (“GEMR”), a business division of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 (“the Bank”).  Before listening to this podcast, you are advised to read the full GEMR disclaimers, which can be found at www.commbankresearch.com.au.   No Reliance  This podcast is not investment research and nor does it purport to make any recommendations. Rather, this podcast is for informational purposes only and is not to be relied upon for any investment purposes.  This podcast does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial products, or as a recommendation, and/or investment advice. You should not act on the information in this podcast.   The Bank believes that the information in this podcast is correct and any opinions, conclusions or recommendations made are reasonably held at the time given, and are based on the information available at the time of its compilation. No representation or warranty, either expressed or implied, is made or provided as to accuracy, reliability or completeness of any statement made.  Liability Disclaimer  The Bank does not accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of any error or omission in or from the information provided or arising out of the use of all or part of the podcast.        

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news we have ended a turbulent week where the USD fell, US Treasury benchmark rates rose, and equities retreated. Gold jumped.The turbulence will continue into this coming week with the US president lashing out because his signature tariff policies aren't producing the economic growth or reshoring he anticipated and other countries have worked out how to game him. His new lashes are at the EU, and Apple, for not reshoring. Neither seem in awe of his power any more.But first, the coming week will be dominated by Wednesday's ORC review where a -25 bps rate cut to 3.25% is widely anticipated. Earlier that day there will be a dairy Pulse auction too.In Australia, they will update their monthly consumer price indicator, also on Wednesday. Elsewhere, South Korea will be reviewing its monetary policy settings this week, and Japan will release important industrial production, retail sales, and consumer sentiment updates.In the US, after their long weekend, markets are bracing for another uncertain week, driven by those tariff threats from Trump targeting the European Union and Apple. Investors will also focus on commentary from Fed officials, as well as the FOMC meeting minutes. Key US economic indicators include personal income and spending, the PCE price indices, durable goods orders, trade balance, the second estimate of Q1 GDP growth, corporate profits, pending home sales among others.But first we should note in China, their central bank injected ¥500 bln (NZ$120 bln) of new liquidity into financial institutions through their one-year medium-term lending facility on Friday. But that was less than the ¥600 bln added in April.China's net foreign direct investment actually fell in April from March, a very unusual shift. The fall wasn't large at -US$4.8 bln for the month but a notable shift from the +US$7.2 bln rise in April 2024 which was considered unusually small. Go back to April 2023 and it was +US$14.1 bln and +US$15.4 bln the year before. In the past two years, the August levels have stalled (but not retreated) and this is the first we have ever seen where there was a net outflow of foreign investment from China in a month. And Nikkei is reporting that the protracted real estate woes are pushing down lending rates, and now 80% of Chinese banks have seen their interest margins fall below the industry threshold for profitability, raising concerns over the sector's stability. Fifty-four of 58 commercial banks listed in mainland China and Hong Kong posted reduced interest margins compared with the previous fiscal year, according to the analysis, which evaluated financial results announced for the year ended December 2024.Japanese inflation is holding high, and came in at 3.6% in April, the same as in March. But that was its lowest since December. Food prices rose the least in four months but were still up +6.5% from a year ago, down from the March +7.4%. This dip came after the government took steps to curb rice prices that have doubled over the past year. High rice prices have cost the government minister 'responsible' for that sector his job last week.In Singapore, April CPI inflation held art a very low 0.9%, but that belies the monthly fall of -0.3% from March. This is the second month in a row they have had month-on-month deflation. That is largely due to falling costs for clothing, household durables, and entertainment. Food price increases were modest.Taiwanese retail sales growth was weak again in April. It hasn't really recovered after the unexpectedly large drop in February, bumping along essentially at year-ago levels.But Taiwanese industrial production is on fire, rising another sharp +22% in April from the same month a year ago. That is the best growth rate on record for them, apart from the distorted pandemic recovery.Across the Pacific in the US, this is the long Memorial Day holiday weekend in the US, the start of their summer season which won't end until their Labor Day holiday on September 1. (Traditional investors "sold in May, and went away" because volumes lighten and become more volatile over this northern summer period.)This is also the start of the US summer 'driving season'. American petrol prices are currently averaging US$3.196/US gallon. That is NZ$1.41/L. (A year ago it was +10% higher, equivalent to NZ$1.566/L.)And it is the start of their barbeque season. But prices are likely to rise further from the already record high levels because the number of cattle on feedlots is down, and the amount of beef stored in freezers is lower too.But of course, business carries on. There was an unusually large rise in new home sales in the US in April, taking them up to an annualised rate of 743,000, a level they haven't seen since mid-2022. After a string of weak months (and downwardly revised earlier data) builders are now resorting to widespread incentives to move stock, and it seems to have worked in April. Housing starts remained weak, and new building consents are declining still.In Australia and on their eastern seaboard it has been very wet with widespread flooding. And that is having a substantial impact on rural output. In particular, milk volumes are falling and milk prices are rising fast.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.51%, and down -1 bp from this time Saturday. The price of gold will start today at US$3,357/oz, and down -US$5 from Saturday. But that makes it +US$170 higher than a week ago, a +5.5% jump.Oil prices are holding at just on US$61.50/bbl in the US and the international Brent price is still just under US$65/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is still at 59.9 USc, and unchanged from Saturday at this time. A week ago it was at 58.8 USc so an outsized +110 bps rise since then. Against the Aussie we are holding at just under 92.2 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged at 52.7 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today still just under 67.8 and unchanged but up +40 bps for the week.The bitcoin price starts today at US$107,270 and down -2.5% from Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just on +/-1.1%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

In this episode, we break down Canada’s April CPI print, which came in below 2% largely due to the removal of the consumer carbon tax. We explain why this drop is likely temporary and what core inflation measures are still signaling to the Bank of Canada. We also discuss Moody’s long-anticipated downgrade of U.S. government debt, how it compares to past downgrades, and what surging bond yields mean for investors on both sides of the border. In company news, Dan shares his take on Boyd Group’s latest results, including why he’s still holding despite near-term headwinds. We also cover Canadian Tire’s earnings, consumer credit data, and what it tells us about the average Canadian household. Finally, we look at South Bow’s first-quarter results post-spinout from TC Energy and assess the sustainability of its high dividend yield. Tickers of stocks discussed: CTC-A.TO, BYD.TO, SOBO.TO Get your Calgary Meetup Tickets here! Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Finchat.io for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news analysts and investors are looking at the unfolding trade-war skirmishes through different lenses.The week ahead will be dominated for us by the 2025/26 Government Budget announcements on Thursday and before that the RBA rate decision tomorrow. Important in the background will be the bond vigilantes and their global assessments of risk premiums.While this is going on, the May PMIs will come through for most of the major economies. A number of countries will release their April CPI data too. And we will keep a close eye on Chinese data releases later today including for retail sales, industrial production, house prices and foreign direct investment levels. And Chinese demand will have an influence on the Wednesday full dairy auction as well.But first we should note that equity analysts are changing their tune. But it is not clear yet that investors are following them. Globally, Q1-2025 earnings have been good, with widespread results that beat forecasts. But for an increasing number of analysts, those good recent results are being dismissed because they now want to know how a company will fare in the Q2 and ahead world of trade disruption, sagging sentiment and higher costs. Stagflation offers few places to hide.The separate views between analysts and investors is probably clearest in the world's largest economy.Influential analysts at Moody's credit rating service are worried and have joined S&P and Fitch in a notable downgrade over the weekend of the US sovereign credit rating.That followed news that falling American consumer sentiment is hanging over the global economy. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index dropped sharply in May from April when analysts expected it to rise. This is the fifth consecutive monthly decline, the lowest reading since June 2022, and the second-lowest on record. Hurting was rising inflation expectations largely around the impact of the tariff taxes. Sentiment is down by a quarter in a year.And retailing giant Walmart is only now starting to roll out tariff price increases, so the pressure on inflation will become even more apparent in the coming monthsCurrent assessments of personal finances sank nearly -10% on the basis of weakening incomes. Tariffs cost fears were spontaneously mentioned by nearly three-quarters of consumers, up from almost 60% in April. Inflation expectations for the year ahead surged to 7.3%, a new all-time high from 6.5% and long-run inflation expectations edged up to 4.6% from 4.4%.US housing starts stayed at a relatively low level and that was lower than expected. Given the impact of the tariff taxes, that won't really be any surprise. This is largely why new building consents fell further.Meanwhile, Bloomberg is reporting that the US Fed will trim 2500 jobs or about 10% of its workforce "over the next several years".And we should probably note that the Trump tax cut bill failed in a key US House of Representatives committee, mainly because conservative Republicans want greater spending cuts, including to Medicaid programs. In Canada, their senior loan officer survey of credit conditions tightened for both home loan lending and other lending. "Price" (the expectations of higher interest rates) was a key factor. But for non-mortgage lending the impact of tariffs was prominent also.In China, later today we get a big data dump for April activity which could be revealing on how they weathered the initial tariff-war impacts.And they may say they are best-buddies with Russia, but Russia can't afford to buy Chinese cars and has moved to block imports. It is hard to imagine China being happy with that because it will kill a trade of over 1 mln vehicles annually.Singapore's non-oil exports surged +12.4% in April from a year ago, far exceeding expectations of a +4.0% increase and accelerating from a +5.4% rise in March. It is the third consecutive month of export growth and the fastest pace since last July. There were sharp rises in exports of both electronics and non-electronic products.Although slightly dated now, we can report the Eurozone's trade surplus surged to a record +€37 bln in March, up from +€23 billion a year earlier, fueled by a sharp rise in exports, particularly to the US as buyers rushed orders ahead of incoming tariffs.The UST 10yr yield is at 4.44%, unchanged from Saturday. The price of gold will start today at US$3201/oz, and up +US$14 from Saturday. But it is down -US$137 from this time last week.Oil prices are holding today at just over US$62.50/bbl in the US and the international Brent price is still just under US$65.50/bbl. But both are up +US$1.50 from a week ago.The Kiwi dollar is now at 58.8 USc, unchanged from Saturday at this time. Against the Aussie we are down -10 bps at 91.8 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged at 52.7 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today still just under 67.4 but up +40 bps from a week ago.The bitcoin price starts today at US$105,306 and up +1.3% from Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just under +/-1.4%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

David Doyle from Macquarie Group joins Morning Movers to discuss this week's top macro headlines including CPI and PPI inflation data. He points to a difference in used cars prices showing a drop in April CPI data versus the Manheim Index actually indicating higher prices, and David believes this could eventually signal a price increase in May's CPI data. His group doesn't believe there will be any rate cuts in 2025, adding that inflationary pressures will be persistent through this year. He believes a "pass-through" effect from tariffs will be fully revealed in the summer months.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Microsoft announced another round of layoffs. Coming from a company that isn't struggling nearly as much as most, it's an ominous sign. The April CPI shows why and not just for Microsoft. It instead aligns with the biggest problem in the economy, and that's not inflation which was absent from the report despite the start of tariffs. A surprise to Economists, but not to BED. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC Microsoft laying off about 6,000 people, or 3% of its workforcehttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/13/microsoft-is-cutting-3percent-of-workers-across-the-software-company.htmlBloomberg Softer-Than-Expected Inflation Points to Muted Tariff Fallouthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-13/us-inflation-comes-in-softer-than-forecast-for-another-monthBLS BED/BDMhttps://www.bls.gov/bdm/bdmover.htmhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Today we had the pleasure of hosting Dr. Francesco Sassi for a wide-ranging discussion on global energy and geopolitics. Francesco is a Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Oslo and previously served as a Research Fellow in energy geopolitics and markets at Ricerche Industriali ed Energetiche (RIE). Francesco holds a Ph.D. in Political Science – Geopolitics from the University of Pisa, where he focused his research on the Sino-Russian gas interdependence. We were drawn to his straightforward analysis, insightful commentary, and use of maps to bring complex dynamics to life. We were thrilled to visit with Francesco and learn from his perspective. In our conversation, we explore the rise of political risk in energy markets and the growing global interdependence of the energy system, driven by factors such as China's increasing influence in shaping energy geopolitics, new interdependencies created by energy technology, trade and manufacturing, as well as disruptions like COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. We examine Russian gas volumes to Europe, Spain's leadership in clean energy and the implications of its recent blackout, and the dual forces shaping Europe: rising cross-border interconnectivity projects alongside increasing energy nationalism. We touch on President Trump's recent visit to the Middle East, which is part of broader interest in energy and AI investment in the region, OPEC+ strategy, market share pressures, and the impact of low oil prices on Russia. Francesco shares his perspective on the potential for a Putin-Zelensky meeting, tensions between India and Pakistan, and how energy policy is becoming increasingly central to electoral platforms in Europe. We turn to Argentina's recent progress under President Milei, Israeli investment in lithium extraction technology in Argentina's lithium triangle, and how energy and mineral resources are increasingly being used as tools of foreign policy and geopolitical leverage. We close with Francisco's thoughts on the growing power of energy as a force shaping international relations and global industrial strategy. It was a dynamic and insightful conversation. Mike Bradley kicked off the discussion by noting that broader markets rallied substantially on Monday following news that China and the U.S. have agreed to a “tentative” tariff deal. Broader equity markets (S&P 500) have completely retraced their losses since Trump's April 2nd Day of Liberation and are now up slightly (+4%). Meanwhile, the S&P Volatility Index has plunged from its April 8th tariff volatility highs and is now trading near YTD lows, something to be monitored closely as any surprise event could send broader markets lower. On the bond market front, the 10yr bond yield is trading sideways even though April CPI came in lower than expected. PPI will be released on Wednesday and if it too prints lower than expected, it could provide room for the Fed to begin cutting rates at their June 18th FOMC meeting. On the crude oil front, WTI price has rebounded nicely over the past week and now trades at ~$63/bbl. Oil traders remain focused on future OPEC+ production increases and increasingly on whether U.S. E&Ps will begin altering their 2025 capex plans at these lower prices levels. He wrapped up with a look at key events this week, notably NRG Energy's acquisition of LS Power's portfolio of natural gas generation assets (~13gw for ~$12 billion). The move follows Constellation Energy's mid-January deal to acquire Calpine Corp. and demonstrates that both companies are positioning themselves for an acceleration in electricity growth this decade. Many thanks to Francesco for sharing his time and insights with us today. We hope you enjoy the discussion as much as we did! Our best to you all.

In this week's episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, break down the surprising market rally, major developments in the U.S.-China trade situation, and what the latest economic signals mean for investors.After weeks of tariff tension and fear of global slowdown, calmer heads may finally be prevailing. From trade negotiations to market breadth thrust indicators, and even a glimpse into the Fed's next move—the guys cover it all.Key Takeaways:Tariff Ceasefire with China: A surprise agreement between the U.S. and China rolls back reciprocal tariffs to 10%, averting the feared trade war escalation—though another 20% tariff still remains. The market reacted with a strong rally, showing signs of confidence.Trade Talks Reset, Not a Resolution: Though framed as a deal by the U.S., China calls it an “economic and trade consultation mechanism.” The agreement includes a 90-day pause and commitments to future negotiations. Non-tariff measures like export restrictions are also being lifted.Market Reaction Shows Strength: The Dow surged more than 1,000 points, and market internals and technicals suggest bullish momentum and historical patterns point to strong returns ahead.Bull Market Signals Everywhere: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have officially entered new bull markets. Patterns like strong monthly returns and recoveries from steep drawdowns historically signal higher markets in the months to come.Fed Rate Cuts Delayed by Tariff Uncertainty: Despite soft April CPI data and signs that inflation is under control, the Fed remains cautious. Rate cuts that once seemed likely in June or July may now be pushed to September or later.U.S. Recession Risk Declining Again: After a temporary spike in recession probability post-Liberation Day, analysts are walking those forecasts back as data stabilizes and trade tensions ease.Long-Term Strategy Over Headlines: Ryan and Sonu emphasize the importance of staying invested through volatility. Market history shows the best days often come right after the worst—don't miss them by panic selling. Connect with Ryan: ·       LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick·       X: Ryan DetrickConnect with Sonu: ·       LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese·       X: Sonu Varghese #FactsVsFeelings #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #Tariffs #ChinaUSRelations #StockMarket #BullMarket #Recession #Inflation #FederalReserve #FinancialPodcast #InvestmentStrategy #Economy #SP500 #MarketInsights #SonuVarghese #RyanDetrick

This week, we delve into the significant progress on US/China tariffs announced over the weekend, including reciprocal rate cuts effective May 14th, and discuss how crypto assets reacted during off-market hours, leading to notable moves. In the Bitcoin segment, we analyze ETF flows, question if BTC dominance has peaked, and provide an overview of the OP_RETURN proposal aiming to remove the 83-byte limit. We also touch upon the flows observed on our desk during recent market moves.For Ethereum, we explore its recent price performance and give details on the upcoming Pectra upgrade. Market-wise, we cover the recent momentum in meme coins and other assets that have lagged this year, alongside updates on key technicals and resistance levels.On the macro front, we review the April CPI data, note the absence of tariff impacts in current figures, and discuss a Republican budget bill heading for a House vote on Tuesday, which could introduce more economic stimulus later this year. We provide a crucial update on the stablecoin bill, including the Senate's rejection of the "Genius Act" and the upcoming House vote on the "Stable Act." Despite some positive developments, we consider why the market might be underpricing these and discuss revised timelines potentially pushing into 2025. We also cover recent M&A activity in the stablecoin space, such as the Mountain Protocol acquisition.Further topics include the rise of new companies building Bitcoin treasury solutions for corporates, insights from a strategy conference in Orlando, and Sol Strategies tokenizing part of their capital structure with Superstate. We also highlight Pump.fun's initiative to give back to creators.Finally, we cover major Coinbase news: the agreement to acquire Deribit, the leading crypto options exchange; the launch of 24/7 BTC & ETH futures in the US; a new Coinbase advertisement; sponsorship of the WNBA's Golden State Valkyries; and the release of over 10,000 pages of documents from our ongoing FOIA campaigns.Topics Covered:Tariffs & Global Trade: US/China tariff reductions, crypto as a weekend proxy, market liquidations.Bitcoin Deep Dive: ETF flows, BTC dominance, OP_RETURN proposal, desk flow analysis.Ethereum Insights: Price performance analysis, Pectra upgrade details.Market Dynamics: Momentum in meme coins & laggards, technical analysis, resistance levels.Macroeconomic Outlook: April CPI review, potential impact of new Republican stimulus bill.Stablecoin Legislation: Senate's "Genius Act" rejection, House "Stable Act" vote, revised timelines, market pricing.Stablecoin Sector News: M&A activity, Mountain Protocol acquisition.Corporate Crypto Adoption: Growth in BTC treasury solutions, insights from strategy conference.Ecosystem Innovations: Sol Strategies tokenization, Pump.fun creator revenue sharing.Coinbase News:Coinbase enters agreement to acquire Deribit.Launch of 24/7 BTC & ETH futures in the US.New Coinbase advertisement released.Sponsorship of WNBA's Golden State Valkyries.Release of 10,000+ pages of documents from FOIA campaigns.

Send us a textIn this Tuesday episode of Market Outsiders, Namaan and Jenny Rae dissect the April CPI data, showing a lower-than-expected core inflation rate, signaling stability despite tariff uncertainties. Jenny Rae then shares a jarring McDonald's visit, with empty dining areas and sluggish service, pointing to operational hiccups rather than inflation-driven consumer retreat. Comparing McDonald's to peers like Chick-fil-A, they question if its in-store strategy is faltering and what this means for its future. Join Market Outsiders live every weekday at 9:15AM ET on LinkedIn and YouTube - and now, episodes are also available on Strategy Simplified every Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday.Want the full daily experience? Follow the new Market Outsiders podcast to get every episode, Monday through Friday.Subscribe to the new Market Outsiders feed (Apple, Spotify)Follow Management Consulted on LinkedIn and subscribe on YouTubeConnect with Namaan and Jenny Rae on LinkedInConnect With Management Consulted Schedule free 15min consultation with the MC Team. Watch the video version of the podcast on YouTube! Follow us on LinkedIn, Instagram, and TikTok for the latest updates and industry insights! Join an upcoming live event - case interviews demos, expert panels, and more. Email us (team@managementconsulted.com) with questions or feedback.

Today's April CPI data could show the early impact of tariffs and follows a sharp yield rise Monday. Stocks start at two-month highs after yesterday's trade-induced rally.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.(0131-0525)

US equities finished mostly higher in Tuesday trading, though ended off best levels. Positive takes on the cooler April CPI print and upbeat AI headlines surrounding Trump's Middle East trip (president touted Saudi's $600M investment pledge). April core CPI of 0.2% was a bit cooler than consensus 0.3%.

Inflation Anticipation Freezes the Market   [Morning Market Mindset – Tuesday, May 13, 2025]   Markets are idling this morning as traders wait for tomorrow's inflation report — the Consumer Price Index — to set the tone for what's next.   Welcome back, WealthBuilders — and those on schedule to be a millionaire. I'm Heather Wagenhals, and this is your Morning Market Mindset for Tuesday, May 13th.   Market Snapshot U.S. stock futures are flat to slightly higher:   S&P 500 futures up just 0.1% Nasdaq futures showing mild strength, up 0.2% Dow futures hovering near the flatline     Investors appear cautious — the kind of stillness that comes before a potentially big move.   Earnings Watch Home Depot is the headliner this morning. The retail giant posted better-than-expected earnings despite weaker year-over-year sales, thanks to cost control and professional contractor demand. That's giving a read on both the housing market and consumer confidence. Coming up this week: Walmart, Target, and Cisco.   Economic Focus All eyes are on the April CPI release tomorrow. This is the Fed's preferred inflation barometer right now, especially as rate cut expectations remain volatile. A softer-than-expected number could reignite dovish hopes — while a hot print may squash them quickly.   Commodities & Global Markets   Crude oil is up nearly 1%, with WTI back above $79 a barrel on signs of tighter supply Gold is steady near $2,340 Bitcoin is consolidating around $62,000 as crypto traders also brace for CPI volatility     Interpretation Right now, we're in a classic holding pattern — markets are respecting the gravity of inflation data. This calm may be short-lived. Traders are positioning cautiously, not wanting to be caught on the wrong side of tomorrow's move. Whether you're long or in cash, today's mindset is all about preparing for opportunity — not guessing the print.   Money Mantra I'm a strategic thinker with a clear financial plan and the commitment to see it through. Every smart choice I make today brings me one step closer to the life I desire.   That's it for this morning. This has been your Unlock Your Wealth Morning Market Mindset, I'm Heather Wagenhals.   Where we interpret the markets calmly and clearly, so you can make smart financial choices, build wealth strategically, and live on purpose.   Until next time, take deliberate action, and go out and Unlock Your Wealth, today.   Like, folloow, subscribe UnlockYourWealth.com

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news with claims of "substantial progress" and "a deal we struck" by the Americans in their Geneva talks with China, but no indications of anything from the Chinese. Bluster from the White House doesn't count for much these days.But first in the coming week, US attention will shift to Wednesday's CPI data for April although no real surprises are anticipated. There will be April data for retail sales too, PPI data, housing starts, and the next sentiment update from the University of Michigan at the end of the week.China will report new loan data, house price data, and updates for industrial production and retail sales. Japan will release its Q1-2025 GDP data, and both South Korea and Australia will release labour market data updates. Locally we will get travel, population, retail and productivity data, not to forget the Q1 ready mixed concrete data (!).In Japan, household spending rose +2.1% in March from a year ago and far better than the expected +0.2% gain. It was the strongest growth since December. Helping was that the previous retreats of spending on food basically stopped, while spending on furniture and on recreation rose a good levels.China's April CPI inflation dipped -0.1% from a year ago, holding the same easing for a second month and that was what was expected. It was the third consecutive month of consumer deflation. Within that result, food prices were up +0.3% but beef prices fell -4.9% from a year ago, lamb prices were down -3.8%. Milk prices fell -1.2%.Deflation was more pronounced for producer prices, down -2.7% from a year ago, the steepest retreat for any month in 2025.Staying in China, April exports came in very much better than the pullback that was expected. In fact their trade surplus was almost as strong as the unusual March trade surplus. Few were expecting this 'good' result. Here are the results by trading partner.New Zealand exported twice what we imported from them. For Australia it was almost the same but the Aussies have a higher dependency on China than we do. For the US, they are still taking more that 10% of all Chinese exports although that is down from nearly 13% usually. But Chinese buying of American goods is now under 6% of all Chinese imports, down from the usual 16%. The Americans may have initiated the tariff war, but the Chinese have reacted far faster.Meanwhile China said its Q1-2025 current account surplus hit a record high, more than treble what it was in the same quarter a year ago. US demand saw their merchandise trade surplus leap, while their services deficit narrowed slightly.Across the Pacific in the US, that foreigners are avoiding travel there has been confirmed by new data that shows an historic drop in inbound travel spending. It has only been a sharper drop in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and the early stages of the badly-handled response to Covid. The US as a travel destination is a significant reason they have run services surpluses. The travel boycott may build over fears it is unsafe, amid numerous reports of immigration officers detaining tourists or denying entry even for transit.Further the American spring real estate season is shaping up to be 'a dud'. High unsold inventories, high price expectations, and still-high mortgage rates are putting off buyers during this prime selling period.The US barbeque season is approaching and the cost of beef is rising and rising. Tariffs are raising prices and drought is thinning local cattle supply. That means the Americans are more dependent than ever on imported beef, especially ground beef. They are price takers so are paying both the premium for the supply shortfall, plus the full imported tariffs.Looking north, although the Canadian jobless rate rose a touch more than expected to 6.9% in April (and a 3 year high), and there was only a minor rise in overall payroll employment, there was in fact a strong rise in full-time jobs and an equally notable fall in part-time roles.The Canadian dollar fell on the jobless rise. The overall softness however probably means the Bank of Canada will cut its 2.75% policy rate again at their next meeting on June 5 (NZT).The UST 10yr yield is at 4.38%, unchanged from this time Saturday and up +16 bps for the week. The price of gold will start today at US$3323/oz, and down -US$15 from Saturday.Oil prices are holding today at just on US$61/bbl in the US and the international Brent price is still just under US$64/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 59.1 USc, down -10 bps from Saturday at this time, down -30 bps from a week ago. Against the Aussie we are unchanged at 92.2 AUc. Against the euro we are still at 52½ euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just under 67.6 and little-changed from Saturday, down -20 bps from this time last week.The bitcoin price starts today at US$104,041and up +0.9% from Saturday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at just under +/- 1.7%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

10th April: Blockchain DXB podcast

In this episode of Crossing the Line, Host Greg Heym welcomes special guest and Founder of Marketproof, Kael Goodman, to discuss the April CPI report, the latest data on consumer spending and retail sales, and much more. Filmed at Brown Harris Stevens' Studio 1873, Part of the Mastery of Real Estate (MORE) Network. Subscribe here: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/crossing-the-line/id1715709313 Connect with Greg Heym here: https://www.bhsusa.com/about-gregory-heym Brown Harris Stevens is one of the largest privately owned real estate brokerages in the country, with more than 40 offices across four states: New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Florida. https://bhsusa.com/ #economy #realestate #theline #gregheym

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news metals prices eye a boost from the Chinese housing rescue.But first in the week ahead, it will be one dominated by the RBNZ's Wednesday Monetary Policy Statement, one that itself comes about a week before the new Government's first full Budget - and that too is likely to have a key influence on monetary conditions. No-one is expecting any change to the OCR, but signals for when it will be cut will be keenly awaited.In the US we will get advance PMIs for May, durable goods orders, and new and existing home sales for April. China (today), South Korea and Turkey also have rate decisions dues this week. And inflation rates will be released for Canada, the UK, and Japan. Sentiment surveys will be released in Australia and the EU, along with retail sales data in Canada.Wall Street has just booked a strong set of earnings reports. Most S&P500 companies have reported now (93%), and they have reported a +5.7% rise in profit growth, matching the outsized gains in Q2-2022 that was off the back of the prior pandemic weaknesses. Almost 80% of these companies came in with better than expected earnings-per-share, and 60% better than expected revenues. These sort of outcomes help explain why both the Dow and the S&P500 are at record highs. And why many investors don't think these equity markets are over-valued. But we should note that PE ratios ae higher than long-term averages now.In China, industrial production growth recovered in April after a disappointing March to be back yo the expansion level in the prior three months. But this is the only 'good news' in yesterday's data dump from the Middle Kingdom.Their retail sales rose by only +2.3% year-on-year in April, down from +3.1% in March and missing market forecasts of +3.8%. That is quite a miss.Electricity production slipped in April from March to be up only +3.1% in the year. That is a long way lower than the +8% rise in the year to December. If 3.1% is a proxy for GDP, they are not on track to achieve Beijing's growth targets.Prices for new dwellings fell their most since July 2015. Prices for resales fell even more. The depth of their property sector retreat is laid in the official information. It is no wonder they are considered a wholesale state intervention in the sector.To clear away the drag that their property market has created, Beijing has taken some 'drastic moves'. The central bank has removed its lower limit banks can charge for home loan rates, nationally. It has cut interest rate benchmarks for housing-related lending by -25 bps.And it has allocated ¥300 bln (NZ$42 bln) for lending aimed at buying by local authorities for unsold housing for "social purposes". They said the ¥300 bln of central bank cash will translate into an estimated ¥500 bln of credit overall.And we should keep an eye on what is happening to China's Agriculture minister. He was in charge of their food security program, and has suddenly fallen out of favour, receiving the standardised accusation of 'corruption' from Beijing authorities.More generally. the UN says India's growth will rise in 2024 to +6.9%, from the 6.2% they estimated in January, driven by strong public spending and growing private consumption. The other big mover is Brazil, up to an expected +2.1% in 2025 from a January estimate of +1.6%. The US is still expected to expand +2.3%, Japan by +1.2%, China by +4.8% and the EU by +1.0%. Australia is +1.6%. New Zealand is ignored by this UN review.The EU released its final April CPI rate which came in at 2.6% for the bloc, 2.4% for the Euro Area. Both were little-changed from March but sharply lower than a year ago. In April 2023 the EU rate was 8.1%, the Euro Area was 7.0%. Getting rid of dependence on Russian oil and gas has not been at the cost of higher inflation. But we should observe that the range is wide across the bloc between countries. Denmark recorded at 0.5% annual inflation rate in April, whereas Belgium 4.9% and they are less than 700 kms apart.We should note that the social tensions in New Caledonia are echoing in the nickel market because there is an important mine there. It is the world's third largest producer, and may help explain why France isn't taking any backward steps. Global nickel prices have risen more than US$2000/tonne, up +11.3% over the past week over supply fears. It is a key ingredient for making stainless steel.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.42% and unchanged from Saturday but down -8 bps from this time last week. The price of gold will start today down -US$4 from Saturday at US$2415/oz. That is up US$45 for the week and just off it's all-time high. Silver has shot up too, up +12% over the past week.Oil prices are still up at US$79.50/bbl in the US while the international Brent price is still just on US$83.50/bbl. Both are a bit more than +US$1 higher than a week ago.The Kiwi dollar starts today down -10 bps from Saturday at just over 61.3 USc. That is up almost +120 bps in a week. Against the Aussie we are still up at 91.7 AUc and a new one month high. Against the euro we are also firm at 56.5 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today just on 70.4, unchanged from Saturday and up +80 bps in a week.The bitcoin price starts today at US$66,732 and down a mere -0.2% from this time Saturday. And up +10.6% from this time last week. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been low however at +/- 0.8%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Join members of the UBS Chief Investment Office for some timely thoughts and reflections around the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and what this latest inflation data might mean for monetary policy, and the markets. Featured are Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, and David Lefkowitz, Head of Equities Americas. Host: Daniel Cassidy

The latest CPI inflation reading shows inflation continuing to cool off. However, there is one aspect of the report that continues to lag and it's directly related to the real estate market. I dig into the latest CPI reading and cover what it most likely means for interest rates going forward and the housing market overall.

Join members of the UBS Chief Investment Office for some timely thoughts and reflections around the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and what this latest inflation data might mean for monetary policy, and the markets. Featured are Brian Rose, Senior Economist Americas, Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, and David Lefkowitz, Head of Equities Americas. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Today we had the pleasure of welcoming back Alexander Zaslavsky, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of Horizon Engage. Alex established Horizon Engage in 2003 and specializes in energy politics in Russia and the former Soviet Union. Horizon Engage merges tech and geopolitical expertise to provide country insights, data on how sanctions and counter sanctions impact your business, security analysis and advisory solutions. To help navigate a meaty Russian/Central Asian/Middle Eastern geopolitical discussion, we called on our good friend Gabe Collins to jump in as a cohost. As you may know, Gabe is a Baker Botts Fellow in Energy and Environmental Regulatory Affairs at Rice University's Baker Institute for Public Policy. We were thrilled to visit with Alex and Gabe. In our discussion, we address various aspects of the ongoing war in Ukraine, including its impact on alliances and energy security in Europe, business takeovers in Russia following Western companies' divestment from Russian subsidiaries, and the domestic impact of the conflict with what Gabe refers to as the “Wagnerization of Russia” where families are getting large cash payments for the service (and death) of their male soldiers. We explore the sustainability of Russia's military endeavors and the potential for escalation, the intensity and effectiveness of Russia's internal propaganda about the war, the lingering effect of Prigozhin's legacy (and popularity with the Russian people), and the significance of Russian oil for the country's economy and its role in funding the war effort. We discuss the Biden Administration's approach in Ukraine which seems to fear a Russian loss as much as a Russian win, China's industrial base and its support for Russia in the conflict, the effectiveness of Western sanctions against Russia and lack of real enforcement, potential NATO actions, and geopolitical considerations with COP29 set to be hosted in Azerbaijan. Alex provides insights into potential outcomes of the conflict in Ukraine, geopolitical dynamics and alliances in the region, strategic considerations of Western powers regarding their approach to Russia, the influence of financial institutions like the World Bank, the many mistakes both sides have made in all this, and much more. It was an engaging discussion that highlighted the complexity of geopolitical and economic factors at play. Thank you to Alex and Gabe for joining! Mike Bradley kicked us off by highlighting that most markets this week are focused on one item and that's the April CPI print due to report on Wednesday morning. On the economic front, Tuesday's April PPI printed much hotter than expected and the 10-year bond yield unexpectedly decreased to end the day at ~4.45%. On the commodity front, he noted the spike in near-month copper futures to an all-time high (>$5/lb.). He also noted the copper curve has recently shifted from long held contango to a steep backwardation structure which is likely due to a near-month contract squeeze and improving S/D fundamentals. On the broader equity market front, equities so far this week have traded sideways in anticipation of Wednesday's CPI print which likely could lead to elevated equity market volatility for the remainder of the week. He ended by highlighting the progression of ten stats (bond, commodity and equity) since Alexander's previous COBT appearance in December 2021. For our COBT history buffs, today's episode marks Alex's fourth guest appearance on COBT. He previously joined on December 7, 2021 (episode linked here), May 19, 2020 (episode linked here) and first on April 7, 2020 (episode linked here). Today's episode also marks Gabe's third guest appearance; he previously joined on August 23, 2023 (episode linked

Investors are awaiting the latest read on U.S. inflation and consumer prices. Citi's Veronica Clark previews the report. Plus, the 2024 CNBC Disruptor 50 list is out, with two-thirds of the companies calling AI critical to their business. Phononic's Tony Atti, number 35 on the list, discusses. And, the Nasdaq is coming off a fresh record high. Piper Sandler's Craig Johnson and G Squared Private Wealth's Victoria Greene tee up the trading day ahead.

Michael Kramer, who runs Mott Capital Management, discusses the divergences between equity and bond market, US dollar, interest rates and inflation (0:35). How to navigate the confusion as a retail investor (9:40). What will the Fed do? How many rate cuts will we see? (13:30) Japan and other international markets worth paying attention to (20:00). Recent earnings - what it means for markets and consumers (28:40).Show Notes:S&P 500 Earnings Season Suggest A Dire 2024 ForecastStagflation DeliveredBull run rolls on as April CPI makes road to Fed's 2% inflation target look ‘less bumpy'Episode transcriptsFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores as well as dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptionsRegister for Seeking Alpha's Investing Summit (don't forget your podcast discount code!)

Chuck Zodda and Marc Fandetti discuss the April CPI report that showed inflation is easing but consumer spending drops. What is causing the rapid rise in car insurance rates? Todd Lutsky stops by to share some of the Do's and Dont's of life estate planning.

Singapore shares dipped this morning, dragged mainly by index counter declines after a global rally overnight. In early trade, the Straits Times Index (STI) shed 0.4 per cent to 3,301.57 points after 68.2 million securities changed hands in the broader market. In terms of companies to watch, we have Golden Agri-Resources, after the palm oil company reported today a 60 per cent year-on-year decline in Q1 net profit to US$37 million amid weaker crude palm oil prices.  Elsewhere, from how five index counters traded lower on news that they would be removed from the MSCI Singapore index, to more on expectations on US April consumer prices out tonight, more corporate and international headlines remain in focus. On Market View, The Evening Runway's finance presenter Chua Tian Tian dived into the details with David Poh, Head of Investment and ESG Strategies, South Asia, Amundi.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

US Treasury yields are down after April CPI was softer than expected, but the Fed may still want to wait. The Aussie and Kiwi dollars jump. Good news for the RBA as Australian wage growth peaks. Japan's economy may have contracted in Q1. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman discusses ANZ's call this week that the US dollar won't weaken as much over the year as previously expected. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

Singapore stocks began trading in muted tones this morning, mirroring the cautious sentiment on global markets where investors await key inflation data. In early trade, the Straits Times Index (STI) rose 0.01 per cent to 3,303.85 points, after 52.5 million securities changed hands in the broader market. In terms of companies to watch for today, we have Thai Beverage, after the beverage manufacturer yesterday reported a 4.9 per cent drop in net profit to seven billion baht (S$257 million) for its second quarter ended 31 March 2024.  Elsewhere from Haidilao's restaurant operator Super Hi's billion dollar valuation target for its US IPO to a deep dive into comments by US Federal Reserve officials and April's US CPI expectations, more international headlines remain in focus. On Market View, The Evening Runway's finance presenter Chua Tian Tian unpacked the developments with Toby Gresham, Investment Counselor Team Lead, Citi Private Bank.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found Click On Picture To See Larger PictureFuel prices are off the chart in California, Newsom is in trouble the state is collapsing. The [DS] is now ready to manipulate inflation calculation again by messing with coffee. Biden DOJ goes after Bitcoin, alternative currency panic. The shift to other currencies is real. The [DS] is now panicking over Trump's Wildwood rally. Blue to Red. The more rally's he has the worse its going to get. They thought if they brought indictments he wouldn't have time to rally, it backfired. The virus is back, but there is a cure.  U1 is now in focus, Obama narrative is being formed. Sum of all fears, this is the final battle.   (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Economy https://twitter.com/DC_Draino/status/1789362419367551056 Gavin Newsom Proposes Cutting 10,000 Vacant State Jobs to Close State Deficit Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA) announced his proposed $288 billion state budget, which would cut thousands of vacant state jobs and funding to more than 200 state programs in order to close the state's $27.6 billion deficit. “These are programs, propositions that I've long advanced — many of them,” Newsom explained. “But you've got to do it. We have to be responsible. We have to be accountable.” Under Newsom's proposal, 260 state programs would also have their funding slashed. Cuts consist of $2 billion to broadband that would have helped to expand high-speed internet connections, $500 million that was going to be used to improve the state's water storage system, and $272 million that would have gone to improving employment services for California's welfare system, among other things. Other cuts consist of closing housing units with more than 4,000 beds throughout 13 prisons in the state, saving almost $81 million. Additionally, $300 million that was helping to provide state and local health departments with COVID-19 pandemic-related help would be slashed, according to ABC7. Source: breitbart.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1789383054500544687   savings at a pace of ~$70 billion per month down to a -$72 billion in March 2024. At the same time, US credit card debt has risen by $330 billion to a record $1.1 trillion. Meanwhile, savings rates in the US declined from 3.5% in February to 3.2% in March, the lowest since November 2022. Savings are now considered a luxury. https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1789424239457546566  Soda +30% Eggs +50% Gasoline +50% Bacon +79% BLS Announces Coffee Prices Will No Longer be Factored Into CPI Inflation Data to Help Joe Biden During Presidential Election In an unusual move, the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced coffee prices will no longer be factored into the CPI inflation data. This is another way for the US government to fudge the inflation numbers to help Joe Biden in the middle of a presidential election. The overwhelming majority of Americans consume coffee every day. According to Drive Research, 73% of Americans drink coffee every day. This week's April CPI inflation report will NOT include coffee price inflation.   Coffee prices are exploding which explains why the Biden Regime doesn't want it factored into the inflation data in the middle of a presidential election.   Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1789719207560507416   to coffee prices over the last few months. Since September 2023, coffee prices are up a MASSIVE 78%. From January 1st of this year through the high in April when this change was announced,

US equities ended higher this week and largely in waiting mode ahead of next week's CPI reading. Market navigated a largely catalyst-free trading period this week with depressed volumes as it waits for next week's April CPI reading. There were both bullish and bearish narratives throughout the week. With Friday's nonfarm payrolls report below consensus, this week's claims numbers further alleviated some concerns around the economy heating up rather than cooling.

A ceasefire in Gaza appears less likely following additional demands by Hamas and the shelling of Israeli troops in Israel. Wage growth in April was its lowest since June 2021, which should mean less inflation. However, the Cleveland Federal Reserve predicts the upcoming headline April CPI inflation reading will be a disappointingly high 3.5% year/year, the same as March. The Yen fell 5% in April, then bounced 5% since then. There's been no event, so the best we can say is as long as people can borrow at 1% in Yen and invest at 6% in US Dollars, the currency will go down. But a Big Mac in Japan is 12% cheaper than a Big Mac in China, while Japanese incomes are 6x higher than Chinese ones. It's not possible for a developed market to have emerging market prices forever.This episode is presented by Mark Matthews, Head of Research Asia at Julius Baer.

ASX 200 fell 1 point to 7683 (-0.01%) after a CPI gut punch stole the momentum. Inflation is once again higher than expected, and insurance costs and education continue to pressure the upside. Banks again led the charge higher, with the Big Bank Basket up to $203.73 (+0.4%). WBC the standout up 0.9% despite news yesterday on profit hit. REITs mixed as rates pushed higher, GMG up 1.7% with most of the sector down. Insurers better on bond yields. Healthcare mixed too, CSL taking a break. Industrials mixed, retail fell after the CPI number as rates now seem on hold for longer. Tech eased, the All-Tech Index flat. In resources, FMG gained 0.7% on production report, Gold miners found a level and bounced. NST up 1.0% and EVN up 0.5%. Lithium miners were better on Tesla sentiment moves, PLS up 1.3% and IGO up 1.5%. LTR had a good day, up 2.3%. Oil and gas stocks slightly better, copper still finding buyers, BOC up 15.4%. Must be a boom. In corporate news, NCK is raising money to push into the UK. Richard Goyder was elected Chair again at WDS with 80% voting for him. PPT fell 3.5% on FUM news, KGN crashed 27.5% on a business update, and CWY dropped back to where it started Tuesday morning on denial of takeover talk from WES. On the economic front, CPI came in above expectations and showed that inflation is still a clear and present danger with rents, insurance and school fees. Asian markets better with Japan screaming ahead by 1.7%. China up modestly with HK up 2.1%. 10Y yields boosted to 4.4%. European futures are set to open higher. Dow Futures up 61 points. NASDAQ Futures up 128 points. Why not sign up for a free trial? Get access to expert market insights and manage your investments with confidence.Ready to invest in yourself? Join the Marcus Today community.

10th April: Crypto & Coffee at 8

With the full set of April CPI releases to hand, Nora Szentivanyi and Michael Hanson discuss global inflation developments and how the incoming data are shaping the outlook. Speakers: Nora Szentivanyi Michael Hanson  This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Portfolio manager Lance Roberts & Wealthion founder Adam Taggart recap the major developments of the week, including: the April CPI/inflation number, which fell slightly to 4.9% the recent surprise jump in initial jobless claims the looming showdown over the debt ceiling & its potential repurcussions the bullish AND bearish cases for the markets the trades Lance's firm made this week ************************************************* At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. There's no doubt that it's a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead? Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.wealthion.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow Adam on Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/menlobear⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow us on Facebook: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040⁠⁠⁠⁠ #inflation #jobs #debtceiling ************************************************* IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss.

We dive into the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for April and explore the impact it has had on the markets. We analyze the key takeaways from the report and discuss how it has affected investor sentiment. Additionally, we also delve into the Q2 earnings reports and the overall outlook for the upcoming quarter. Unfortunately, the reports have been quite bleak, with many companies missing expectations and showing signs of weakness. We discuss the reasons behind these disappointing earnings and what it could mean for the broader economy. Join us as we break down the latest economic news and provide insights into what it could mean for investors and traders alike. Don't miss out on this important update on the current state of the markets! Links mentioned: ✅ https://finance.yahoo.com/news/cpi-preview-inflation-expected-to-remain-elevated-in-april-as-rate-hike-risks-loom-144811803.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAHKgCl_RigUPAe0aRPQJCQRnVMbD3Xpf0_BETTq5MlXaJhMtsbLy7ezwh1dmF9Pib0wuDHalYZII1PJ5iDcIGLrkFW-Lqs2LoPrhTlYCVVEdaWbWgyrVPwB_Gm6dmYAg8yzYhz4mYK6GzB_KEzF5P7eJ6Y_imo1WJnGFd-A9ZmCJ ✅ https://news.yahoo.com/more-americans-worried-money-hurting-210443354.html ✅ https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/05/jobs-report-april-2023-job-growth-totals-25300-in-april.html ✅ https://www.forbes.com/sites/jonathanponciano/2023/04/07/labor-market-added-236000-jobs-in-march-lowest-since-2021-as-economists-worry-recession-may-be-underway-now/?sh=3ec372e76849 ✅ https://www.axios.com/2023/05/08/corporate-earnings-outlook-spx OUR SOCIAL MEDIA:

The CPI data for April came out this week. The mainstream spin was that it was more good news for the Fed's inflation fight. But the actual data tells a different story. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey talks about the CPI report and the disconnect between the mainstream narrative and reality. He also highlights some interesting Q1 gold demand numbers. You can visit the show notes page here: https://bit.ly/3MlkJwE Tune in to the Friday Gold Wrap each week for a recap of the week's economic and political news as it relates to gold and silver, along with some insightful commentary. For more information visit https://schiffgold.com/news. TOPICS DISCUSSED -What drives mainstream media narratives? -The mainstream spin on the April CPI report -The actual CPI data -Market reaction -The Fed's conundrum -Physical gold demand in Q1

Talk about the US debt ceiling is starting to heat up. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen urged Congress on Thursday to raise its debt ceiling, warning that a US default would produce an “economic and financial catastrophe” that would trigger a global economic downturn and risk undermining the country's ability to provide global leadership.So what is the debt ceiling? could we default? and might former President Donald Trump have the best negotiating tactics?!We also discuss US inflation after the April CPI report saw the headline figure drop below 5% for the first time in two years, and we take a look at why major investment banks have changed their tune on the prospects for the British Pound.Free daily newsletter https://bit.ly/3Oeu4WkFree Finance Accelerator simulation https://bit.ly/3GoyV5rConnect with Anthony https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthonycheung10/Connect with Piers https://www.linkedin.com/in/pierscurran/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this edition of the Pallas Perspective the Pallas Capital Advisors team briefly outlines the Consumer Price Index changes and the potential impact on inflation and the markets.

In this edition of the Pallas Perspective the Pallas Capital Advisors team briefly outlines the Consumer Price Index changes and the potential impact on inflation and the markets.

Disney shares are under pressure despite a stronger than expected earnings report. UBS' John Hodulik discusses what investors are focused on. Plus, Mastercard is out with a new report suggesting global travel will rebound this year. Mastercard's Bricklin Dwyer dives into the results. And, U.S. stock futures are higher following positive signs in the April CPI numbers. The Glenview Trust Company's Bill Stone and Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management's Katerina Simonetti lay out the trading day ahead.

Carl Quintanilla Jim Cramer and David Faber led off the show with market reaction to the April CPI report, which shows consumer inflation at a two-year low on an annual basis. The anchors also discussed the debt ceiling impasse, after Tuesday's meeting between President Biden and congressional leaders failed to remove the threat of a potential default as early as June. On the earnings front, Airbnb shares tumbled as the company's guidance overshadowed a quarterly beat, while Rivian shares surged on a narrower-than- expected quarterly  loss. Endeavor CEO Ari Emanuel joined the program to discuss everything from earnings to the UFC-WWE merger. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer

Tom and Andrew discuss April CPI data, what the Fed should do next, inventory constraints in housing, and earnings from Toyota.We will be having a special Q&A show this Friday. Submit any questions you would like answered to ahall@narwhalcapital.comFor information on how to join the Zoom calls live each morning at 8:30 EST, visit https://www.narwhalcapital.com/blog/daily-market-briefingsPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhalcapital.com/disclosure

The April CPI report will be released this morning, with economists expecting little or no change in the year-over-year headline number. Van Lanschot Kempen's Anneka Treon, Ritholtz Wealth Management's Josh Brown, and Citi Global Wealth Management's Steven Wieting explain the impact on the markets. Plus, top Congressional leaders are showing few signs that they have moved any closer to resolving the debt limit deadlock. Fordham Global Foresight's Tina Fordham discusses the latest. And, Disney reports earnings today as investors look for updates on the company's multi-billion dollar restructuring plan. Citigroup's Jason Bazinet gives his quarterly estimates.

Simon Shares Transaction Capital (JSE code: TCP) results where pretty much as expected. Management have essentially thrown the kitchen sink at everything. H2 will be tough but likely a little better. FY24 a clean slate. But market does not agree with me. Nutun doing good WeBuyCars under pressure, no surprise, consumer cracking SA Taxi real ugly, but as detailed in trading update US unemployment 3.4%. April CPI 4.9%. The end of the US$ Bretton Woods essentially created teh US$ as a reserve currency Now all commodities trade in US$ The end of the US$ is as old as time, really kicked off with the advent of the Euro in 1999. But who take over? China, no? BRICS, that's only China. Euro, but they don't want a strong Euro and the world doesn't want the Euro either. That said, the US$ will lose influence over time. It has been and will continue to do so. One day it may well be over, but we're a very long way from that.  

US stocks closed broadly higher overnight closing off near best levels. Nasdaq posted its highest close since August, supported by a rally at Google +4.1% as the company rolled out more AI for its core search product. April CPI data was the highlight of the day coming in largely in line with expectations, regional banks under pressure again, treasuries stronger while the USD Index slipped. Dow Jones down 30 points (-0.09%). Dow at best up 210 and at worst down 322. S&P 500 up 0.24%. NASDAQ up 1.04%. VIX Volatility Index down 7.0%. In European markets Stoxx 50 -0.4%, FTSE -0.3%, CAC -0.49%, and DAX -0.37, up 0.02%. SPI Futures are down 12 points (-0.17%).HEADLINESASX to fall; US inflation eases.Nasdaq rallies as investors cheer inflation data, Alphabet.Stocks rise as U.S. inflation trends lower, bond yields slide.Yields drop after US consumer price data.European stocks fall after sticky U.S. inflation, upbeat earnings cap losses.US annual inflation slows to below 5%, price pressures still strong.US Congress, White House begin tough debt limit, budget negotiations.Disney shares slip as company loses streaming subscribers.Gold eases on profit taking after US inflation data.Weak Chinese demand outlook punishes copper.Lithium producers Allkem, Livent to combine in US$10.6 billion deal.Australia exports first copper to China since 2020, industry hopes end to ban near.Oil drops 1% after US data points to further rate hikes.Get up to speed with Henry Jennings' Pre-Market Podcast.Why not sign up for a free trial? Get access to expert insights and research and become a better investor.

Debt ceiling talks proceed as eager investors wait for tomorrow's inflation data. Jeremy Schwartz, global CIO of WisdomTree Asset Management, joins Maggie Lake to share his key takeaways from Warren Buffet's shareholder event this weekend, what to expect from April CPI data, and why we need to pay attention to the debt ceiling. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news markets seem to be ignoring American debt default risks.But first in the US, inflation expectations slipped lower to 4.4% at the one-year-ahead horizon but increased slightly to 2.9% and 2.6% respectively, at the three- and five-year-ahead horizons, according to the New York Fed's April Survey of Consumer Expectations. The one-year-ahead result was 4.7% in the March survey, so that is a meaningful easing. The Fed seem to be making progress with its messaging and policy settings that inflation will be beaten back to its target range. Remember, about a year ago, these inflation expectations peaked at 6.8% for one-year-ahead. We are now that year on and the picture is very much different. The April CPI data will be released on Thursday, and analysts are picking an unchanged 5.0% rate.The Fed's senior loan officer survey reported tighter standards and weaker demand for business lending and for households it was the same tighter standards and weaker demand for both housing and consumer debt applications. Access to business funding for SMEs may become an issue. This will become a very major issue if the House Republicans continue to block a resolution to their debt-limit standoff. You can measure market nervousness by the spike in the short-long yield curves. This intransigence could go horribly wrong, although we have been here many times before, and the [artificial] limit always seems to get raised. It just that this time there are more isolationists in Congress who don't care if the financial system gets shut down.American wholesale inventories were virtually unchanged in March from February but that masks a +8.6% rise from year-ago levels. And the inventory-to-sales ratio rose rather sharply in March after a decline in February. That rise was enough to put it at its highest since the pandemic and a ten-year high if you ignore tha pandemic spike. There is now an inventory-overhang problem at the wholesale level, one being caused by weakening demand.In China's east, nearly 500,000 people across 43 counties in Jiangxi province have been hit by torrential rains that triggered floods and forced thousands to evacuate.Taiwanese exports actually rose for a third month in April, and taking them back to November 2022 levels, although still well below year-ago levels. But at least they are on the move up, an encouraging sign for them that the Mainland grip isn't suffocating them.The Japanese service sector is expanding at a good solid pace, and their best since this survey began in 2007. The growing expansion is underpinned by rising new orders.Australia's business confidence improved marginally in April from March but remains well below its long term average. Despite that improvement, the economists behind the survey expect things to weaken as 2023 progresses. They see 'conditions' as resilient but the business community without conviction that will continue, which is why they are downbeat looking ahead. In Australia, the first quarter of 2023 saw the lowest number of building approvals since 2012, just as their population growth reaches a record high. Workers there are going to need all their extra pay increases just for rent and mortgages. Higher pay across the ditch (than here) isn't everything for everyone.It is Budget Day in Australia, and details will be released late in the day NZT. A strong labour market is expected to return their long-run deficits into a rare surplus.We have noted this before, but it is worth repeating. The price of lithium has slumped from its November 2022 peak and now down -70% from then. The high price juiced up supply, and it made battery manufacturers look for alternatives.The UST 10yr yield starts today at 3.52%, and up +8 bps from yesterday. The price of gold will start today at US$2023/oz and up +US$5 from this time yesterday.And oil prices have risen +US$2 from yesterday to be just over US$73/bbl in the US. The international Brent price is just under US$77/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is up against all-comers. Against the USD we are now at 63.5 USc with more than a +½c rise. Against the Aussie we are up +¼c at 93.6 AUc. Against the euro we are firmer at 57.6 euro cents. That means the TWI-5 is now at 71.1 and up +50 bps from this time yesterday.The bitcoin price is lower today, now at US$27,812 and down another -3.9% from this time yesterday. Binance halting withdrawals for a time yesterday isn't helping sentiment. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been moderate at +/- 2.4%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

This week, I've got 3 major financial headlines for you.. First up, the stock market had its 6th consecutive down week in a row... what's causing the downward trend and when will the market free fall end? Next, the Fed is fully committed to reigning in inflation - and at their May meeting, they raised the target rate by 50bps. What else is included with tightening monetary policy and what does it mean for your family finances? Finally, while the Fed seeks to reign in inflation, April CPI numbers show it still remains elevated. Where is inflation getting better and where is it still rising? … after that, this week I'm taking a deep dive with 3 early childhood education experts to talk about the childcare dilemma: why is childcare so expensive, while childcare providers are paid so little? Is this all caused by the pandemic? And what can and should policymakers be doing to make things better. For more on this week's market update: https://familyfinancemom.com/s2-20-market-free-fall-april-inflation-deep-dive-on-why-is-childcare-so-expensive/ To Connect with Early Childhood Education Experts: Cori Berg, Dallas, TX ECE from the Heart with Cori Berg Hope Day School Joanna Bardis, Atlanta, GA LinkedIn Stacey Viviano, Houston, TX Messiah Lutheran Early Childhood Center Messiah Lutheran ECE Facebook ___________________ Follow Family Finance Mom everywhere... Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/familyfinancemom/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/financemom1 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/familyfinancemom Get weekly newsletter here: http://eepurl.com/gblbY9 --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/familyfinancemom/message

When we got the March CPI data last month, the mainstream crooned that it looked like we were at peak inflation. This was wishful thinking. The April CPI data that came out this week, along with the producer price numbers, indicate that we're still climbing that inflation mountain. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey digs into the data and discusses how it could impact the trajectory of Fed monetary policy and the economy. You can visit the show notes page here: https://bit.ly/3Lbvfmm Tune in to the Friday Gold Wrap each week for a recap of the week's economic and political news as it relates to gold and silver, along with some insightful commentary. For more information visit https://schiffgold.com/news.

(5/12/22) Markets remain under pressure after April CPI numbers show hotter-than-expected inflation. But looking at longer-term charts can give a better understanding of where we've been...and where we're going. Are we over-bought, or over-sold, and where is the downside risk, and where is the potential support, moving forward? The S&P is currently 3-standard-deviations below the 50-week Moving Average, and money flow indicators are also over-sold. With the Fed remaining in a tightening mode, any reflexive rally will be limited. The NASDAQ is similarly deviated to the downside of its 50-week Moving Average, as well as over-sold now as much as it was in March 2020, as the Fed was reversing itself in terms of QE (which set up for a nice rally); we don't have that, yet. Cryptocoins are also coming under a tremendous amount of pressure; Bitcoin, Ether, and others, have all become high-beta trades in the markets. Oversold positions indicate we could be seeing a tradeable rally, and if so, that would be a good place to take some profits. 0:43 - S&P 50-week Moving Average analysis 3:08 - NASDAQ 50-week Moving Average analysis 4:09 - Cryptocurrency analysis Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yFyiWgEuxgA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #Inflation #Cryptocurreny #Bitcoin #CPI #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

Carl Quintanilla, Jim Cramer and David Faber led off the show with market reaction to consumer inflation data: April CPI rose more than expected on a monthly basis but edged lower to a 8.3% annual rate, slightly below a 40-year high. Coinbase shares tumbled on a surprise quarterly loss in wake of the crypto slump. The anchors explored what to make of stocks many had viewed as Wall Street darlings: Roblox and Carvana among the names down more than 75% year-to-date heading into the trading session. Also in focus: Kohl's shareholders re-elect directors despite activist investor pressure, what to expect from Disney's after-the-bell earnings, plus the best buying opportunities in this volatile market.

This week, it's all about inflation, with the April CPI, PPI, and Import Prices reports due. Michelle Girard of Natwest Markets Securities joins us to discuss whether she expects today's CPI report to reinforce the Fed's current projected rate path. Plus, the Department of Commerce's investigation into 17.5 gigawatts of solar capacity installations may threaten nearly 66% of the U.S.' energy plans. Marcelo Ortega of Rystad Energy joins us to break down exactly how this freeze happened. And, Kamakshya Trivedi of Goldman Sachs says that more money is being concentrated in dollars due to the selloff in stocks and bonds. He joins us to give us his thoughts on the demand for major currencies and the likelihood of a recession.

Investors failed to find convincing evidence of easing inflation pressures in the April CPI reading, with stocks now resuming their recent volatile trading on Wall Street.

The April CPI figures for the US reported at 8.3% is higher than consensus anticipation of 8.1%, while the April employment report showed a gain of 428,000 jobs, reflecting a drop in the unemployment rate to 3.6%. So what does this mean for the US economy? Tony Nash, CEO, Complete Intelligence breaks things down for us. Image credit: Unsplash.com

The April CPI figures for the US reported at 8.3% is higher than consensus anticipation of 8.1%, while the April employment report showed a gain of 428,000 jobs, reflecting a drop in the unemployment rate to 3.6%. So what does this mean for the US economy? Tony Nash, CEO, Complete Intelligence breaks things down for us. Image credit: Unsplash.com

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the International edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the US budget repair is having impressive results.But first, their April CPI data was released earlier this morning and it came in at 8.3%, fractionally lower than March's 8.5% but slightly higher than the expected 8.1%. The core readings were lower at 6.2% year-on-year. But the monthly change from March actually rose at a faster pace than was expected, and this has grabbed market attention.Separately, American mortgage applications rose marginally last week, a second consecutive increase, and despite a rise in borrowing costs as their Spring housing market enters its historically busiest time. Applications to purchase a home surged 4.5% while those to refinance a mortgage loan fell 2%. The average contract rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage jumped by 17bps to 5.53%, the highest since 2009.The better management of the US Federal Government is starting to show up in reduced deficits. In fact, their April result reported a spectacular surplus. That surplus was a remarkable +US$308 bln in the month, reducing the annual deficit to "just" -US$1.2 tln (5% of GDP) from -$2.8 tln (11.6% of GDP) on the prior full fiscal year. The April surplus was the largest ever recorded, built on fiscal restraint (spending was down -16% on the same month a year earlier), and fast rising tax revenues from the booming economy.We should also note that American farmers are running out of time to plant crops in their spring season. Wet and cool weather in key parts of the Midwest has left farmers with just days to get their crops in the ground at a time when global grain supplies are already under pressure.In Japan, they now seem to be getting some real economic expansion.In China, they are starting to get some modest consumer price inflation. April CPI ran at an annual rate of 2.1%, up from an annualised 1.5% rate in March, above market forecasts of 1.8%. This was the highest since November, amid logistic disruptions caused by their strict pandemic measures. Food prices rose for the first time in five months, and its highest since October 2020. The reverse is occurring in their factory sector where high producer price inflation is easing, even if only marginally.Separately, China is lashing out at the recent WHO comments that its zero-COVID policy is unsustainable. Further, it is more aggressively censoring local views that say similar things. China seems to have backed itself into a tough corner.In Malaysia, their central bank pushed through an unexpected rate hike overnight, taking their policy rate up +25 bps to 2.0%. Their authorities said a better growth outlook, higher inflation expectations, the global rate hiking cycle, and a need to normalise, all played a part in this rise. More are expected in coming months now. Other Asian central banks are also expected to join the rate hiking bandwagon, the next being South Korea.In Europe, the ECB has signaled that it will be raising its policy rates in July.In Australia, the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment fell -5.6% month-over-month in May 2022, the most since June 2015 and down for the sixth month in a row, amid a combination of surging prices and the prospect of faster interest rate hikes.The UST 10yr yield starts today down another -7 bps since this time yesterday at 2.92%. The price of gold starts today up +US$7 since this time yesterday at US$1852/oz.And oil prices have moved higher today by +US$4.50 at just under US$104/bbl in the US, while the international Brent price is now just over US$106.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar will open today marginally firmer at 63.1 USc and off its two-year low. Against the Australian dollar we are also slightly firmer at 90.8 AUc. And against the euro we are also marginally higher at 59.9 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at 70.6.The bitcoin price has fallen -6.0% from this time yesterday and is now at US$29,789. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been extreme again at just over +/- 5.2%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.And get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.

US equities were mixed in choppy, somewhat listless Tuesday trading ahead of tomorrow's highly-anticipated April CPI report. The market shrugged off several factors cited this morning as supportive, including a CNBC report that hedge fund manager David Tepper had covered his Nasdaq short. A rate reprieve, with the 10y back around 3.00%, also failed to provide much help, nor did Fed officials continuing to push back against a 75bp hike.

US equities under pressure in Monday trading after the S&P fell for a fifth straight week last week, its longest losing streak since 2011. Market remains pressured by the Fed-led global monetary policy shift. Growth concerns surrounding China lockdowns, dampened economic surprise momentum, weakening guidance and earnings revision ratios, growth/tech/narrative scrutiny and geopolitical tensions some of the other bearish talking points. April CPI (out on Wednesday 11-May) is widely expected to be the macro highlight this week.

In this episode of our Week Ahead series, we'll be looking at the main themes that will drive global markets over the coming week. In the US we have April CPI and the potential for Fed speakers to re-set the narrative. In Europe we have Russia's victory day parade, German ZEWs and the Sentix survey. We then have the lockdowns in China, events in Asia the and current state of Global energy markets all to discuss.

After a brief check of the markets over the last month, we jump into today's big topic.Inflation has been a major topic in the financial media lately. The question is: Will current inflation be transitory (temporary) or will it last?  Today, Ed Lambert and Alex Cabot of Birch Run Financial play devil's advocate and present each side of the argument.First, Ed outlines the argument that inflation is here to stay:The Fed has changed their guidance to allow for inflation to average 2%, and it's previously been low.The Fed is currently more interested in maximizing employment than managing price stability.The money supply (M2) is 20% higher than a year ago, and the dollar may weaken.There are labor supply shortages.Inflation often leads to more inflation.Next, Alex explains why other experts believe inflation is temporary.Supply chain bottlenecks will soon ease up.Stimulus money that we received will eventually be spent.April CPI data was driven largely by the used car market, not a commodity that people tend to buy often.Unemployment in the service sector has driven price increases.  As extra unemployment benefits dry up, those industries will see people return to work.While Ed and Alex both present compelling arguments on each side, they believe the truth may be somewhere in the middle. No matter what the future holds, however, the team at Birch Run is here to help you prepare for it.If you'd like help with your financial future, connect with Alex, Ed, and the team at Birch Run Financial:Website: www.BirchRunFinancial.comEmail: info@birchrunfinancial.comOn Facebook: Birch Run FinancialOn Twitter: @BirchRunFinancePhone: (484) 395-2190

Don't believe the Fed's spin that asset price increases are "Transitory". Price appreciation is here to stay given that the Fed has inflated the Money Supply (M1) by 4.7x since January 2020. “Inflation” to lead headlines again when CPI data is reported. Real-world price appreciation is well ahead of the Fed’s 2% target. If last month was any indication the term “inflation” will dominate market-related headlines when May CPI data is released on Thursday June 10th at 8:30am ET (See Google Trends chart below for search term “inflation” as of Thursday May 27th). Recall that when April CPI data was released on May 12th, many were surprised to learn of the 4.2% annual increase (April 2021-April 2020 period). We don’t publish a TEK2day inflation model, but trips to the grocery store, farmers markets and Home Depot were sufficient to directionally indicate that prices have increased over the past few weeks. Price increases are a predictable by-product of a foolish monetary policy that has inflated the money supply (M1) by 4.7x since January 2020 (chart below). Stagflation is the end-game to this experiment in ultra-inflationary monetary policy. As to the question of “transitory inflation” – that is Fed marketing spin. A casual glance at housing prices, equities, building materials, precious metals, commodities, used car prices, art, food, etc. speaks to something more permanent. The catalyst of course is the Fed’s dramatic expansion of the money supply. However, don’t blame Mr. Powell for The Fed’s actions. COVID forced his hand after all. “Good times create weak men, and weak men create hard times”. – G. Michael Hopf

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the International edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news New Zealand is backing Australia in its dispute with China over arbitrary tariffs on barley.But first, the US dollar is falling against a resurgent Chinese yuan, dipping to 6.37 to the US dollar now and back to levels last seen three years ago. The appreciation of the yuan will suppress their trade surpluses but it will also suppress inflationary impulses building quickly in the Chinese economy. To combat the natural instinct to import more, Beijing may have to adjust its opaque border and customs policies if the rush gets too unseemly, but that will be done secretly given its public commitment to its international trade and tariff agreements, including the one with New Zealand.Exporters in Guangdong province are facing a new threat. Not only is a rising yuan trouble for them, rising material costs are too, as are shipping costs, and now they face electricity rationing. Demand exceeds supply because many new projects have failed to get started in the region and that may mean more coal-fired production.And so far, we are not seeing the price of key industrial commodities like iron ore or coal falling in price after last weekend's warnings from Beijing. However, shipping costs are easing.Flooding in the Yangtze River basin is an annual threat, but like last year, this year is also shaping up to be especially damaging. Almost 100 rivers have already exceeded flood warning levels. This too will have food price implications.Australia is moving ahead with its dispute with China over the Middle Kingdom's imposition of sudden tariffs on a number of commodities, including barley. The WTO case against China is underway, and a twelve countries have joined in the action, including New Zealand. China is in the box seat of course because it will take more than three years to resolve and even if China loses, it will have extracted a price on Australia just from the delay. And China will always appeal a loss. Meanwhile, Australia is also about to launch a WTO action against China over wine restrictions.Rural conditions are amazingly friendly in Australia again this year, with huge harvests reported, and at a time other major cereal producers are struggling. Australia has the extra production China needs, but Chinese sensitivities mean it will be sold elsewhere and China will pick up higher cost supplies from others.In South Korea, they have raised their 2021 growth forecast to +4% as trade, investment, consumption and employment all recover faster than was earlier expected.In India, their monsoon is about to start. This is a huge event for world grain security. Last year's monsoon rain was +9% higher than normal, and it was +10% more than the long-term average in 2019. Last year's good rains helped crops and boosted India's food grain output to a record in 2020-21.It is Memorial Day in the US so their working week including Wall Street won't start until Wednesday our time.Over the weekend they announced that household personal income fell by less than expected in April as pandemic support started to be withdrawn from households. Personal spending was unaffected by that pullback, rising the expected +0.5% as their jobs market picked up strongly and covered the transition.However most economic interest in this data was on the PCE number for April, the inflation measure the Fed is reportedly more focused on for policy reasons than the CPI. It was up +3.6%. That was lower than the March level which was revised up to +4.7% (The April CPI was +4.2%.)In the industrial heartland of America, the latest Chicago PMI paints a buoyant picture, reaching its highest level since November 1973. The latest American consumer sentiment survey keeps the level unchanged from their mid-month reading, but down from April. Overall sentiment is much improved since January, but is still not back to pre-pandemic levels.The new US Administration has launched its Budget with projections of spending and deficits out to 2035. The numbers are very large. It's been called a spending surge, but actually in 2020 and 2021 US Government spending ran at 32% of GDP whereas this budget takes it back to about 24%. What will be rising are taxes, from 16% of GDP to just under 20%. Both are still low by international standards. (New Zealand runs at 33%, and we are mid-pack.)There is criticism, some of it partisan. Maybe because it includes a massive +US$13 bln extra for the IRS for increased oversight of high income and corporate tax returns to ensure compliance; provide new and improved online tools. Others say the massive extra 'recovery stimulus' is unnecessary and adds new inflation risks.The US budget deficits are expected to run at about -US$1.4 tln per year over that period and that is about -5.6% of US GDP, falling to under -4.6% by 2027. For perspective, the New Zealand budget deficits are expected to run at -4.5% of GDP this year and -5.2% next year. The UST 10yr yield starts today unchanged at 1.58%. The price of gold starts today up at US$1904/oz, a gain of +US$2 since this time Saturday. Over the past week, the gold price has risen +US$26 or +1.4%.Oil prices start today little-changed at just over US$66.50/bbl in the US, while the international Brent price is just under US$69/bbl.The Kiwi dollar opens today at 72.5 USc and almost a -½c retreat most of which happened on Friday. Against the Australian dollar we are still down at 94.1 AUc. Against the euro we are holding at 59.5 euro cents. That means our TWI-5 starts today at 74.1 which while lower is above week-ago levels.The bitcoin price is now at US$35,876 a+1.6% rise from this time Saturday. Volatility in the past 24 hours has still been very high again at +/- 4.6%. And in Australia, their tax authorities are warning 300,000 taxpayers their have identified who trade in cryptos that they must report the results of this activity.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.And get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we'll do this again tomorrow.

On POWER Business, Tumisang Ndlovu is in conversation with the chief director responsible for price statistics at Statistics South Africa Patrick Kelly about the Consumer Price Index – April 2021. The annual consumer price inflation rate for April 2021 has increased to 4.4% compared to 3.3% reported in March, this is the highest reading since before lockdown, which was 4.6% in February 2020. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the International edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news China is going on the offensive over commodity prices it sees as too high.But first, we start today noting what most media is noting - that crypto currencies went on a very wild rise overnight, almost all of them. After falling steadily all week, bitcoin touched US$40,000 and then basically collapsed to US$30,000 to more than -50% below its high in early February. Then it recovered just as fast, but not quite all the way back, leaving holders with a big -9% daily loss.Perhaps the trigger this time was a set of unofficial warnings in China that using cryptos is illegal - and that penalties and prosecutions are about to get harsher. Three state-backed organisations, including the National Internet Finance Association of China, the China Banking Association and the Payment and Clearing Association of China issued warnings on social media. Cryptos are a favoured way to launder money and avoid China's outbound capital controls. Beijing is also cracking down hard on bitcoin mining operations.This car crash happened in the absence of any other major economic news or drivers, so it is getting outsized media coverage today.The American mortgage market seems to be rising, even if it is at a measured pace. The number of mortgage applications are rising, average mortgage application values are up, and benchmark mortgage interest rates are rising too, now at 2.94% plus points.The US Treasury auctions a 20 year bond overnight, raising US$32 bln, $5 bln of which was bid by the Fed. The median yield was 2.215% which is slightly lower than the 2.24% achieved at the equivalent March event.The US Fed released the minutes of its last meeting, and these revealed that some FOMC committee members started to talk about tapering their bond purchases. They are looking for the 'right moment'. They also see very strong corporate bond issuance activity.In Canada, they released April CPI data showing a rising inflation situation there at 3.4% which was higher than expected, and well above the 2.2% pace reported for March. Fuel prices drive this rise.And in Europe, they also released inflation data, this set coming in at 1.6% as expected and up from 1.3% in March. Again, petrol prices are the core reason for the rise. In the German engine room, prices rose 2.1%In China, more evidence they are worried about high commodity prices and a clear suggestion Beijing is working to roll-back those that have happened. And an odd outcome of these efforts is that they are now encouraging more coal production. Raising output is their preferred way to "balance supply and demand". These moves helped send the ASX lower yesterday. And markets are wavering for a number of key commodities.And staying in China, the average gross annual salary of China’s urban employees in the private sector rose +7.7% in 2020 from the previous year to ¥57,727 or NZ$12,500, according to the latest data.Internationally, the IEA says the global oil industry must stop new oil and gas projects if it is to reach net zero by 2050. It seems unlikely China will sign up to that.The UST 10yr yield starts today at 1.69% and up +5 bps from this time yesterday. The price of gold starts today little-changed from this time yesterday, but softish at US$1863/oz. This commodity has also been volatile overnight.Oil prices start today -US$2 lower at just under US$63.50/bbl in the US, while the international Brent price is just under US$66.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar opens today at 71.9 USc and more than -½c lower overnight. Against the Australian dollar we are soft at 92.7 AUc. Against the euro we are down at 58.9 euro cents. That means our TWI-5 starts today at 73.4 and a -40 bps retreat.The bitcoin price is now at US$38,690 and down -9% from this time yesterday. But the real story is the overnight volatility. This crypto (and many others) plunged, getting as low as US$30,202 at one point before making a partial recovery. Volatility in the past 24 hours has been more than extreme at +/- 22%.You can find links to the articles mentioned today in our show notes.And get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston and we’ll do this again tomorrow.

This week, I've got 3 major financial headlines for you… First, April CPI number surpassed economists' expectations - and not in a good way The CPI numbers then sent the stock and bond market on a bit of a ride - why? And where did the week end up? And last but not least, Friday, we also got April retail sales numbers. How did they compare to March and what do they tell us about the state of the economic recovery? … after that, this week's Deep Dive is actually an interview about a topic I know we are all passionate about here - financial literacy. And more specifically, how we can get personal finance in every school across the country to improve financial equality, and more importantly, improve lives, families and communities. ___________________ For more on this week's headlines: https://familyfinancemom.com/this-week-in-the-market/ For more on my interview with Tim and Personal Finance in Schools: https://familyfinancemom.com/how-to-get-personal-finance-classes-in-every-high-school/ Follow Family Finance Mom everywhere... Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/familyfinancemom/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/financemom1 Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/familyfinancemom Get weekly newsletter here: http://eepurl.com/gblbY9 --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/familyfinancemom/message

This week, Rick Palacios, principal and director of Research at John Burns Real Estate Consulting, went through the latest in the lumber market frenzy and the impact on the U.S. housing market. Bloomberg Opinion columnist Conor Sen and Neil Dutta, the head of U.S. economics at Renaissance Macro Research, debated whether the economic cycle has peaked. Mike Pyle. chief economic advisor to Vice President Kamala Harris and former chief investment strategist at BlackRock, came on to react to the April CPI data and discuss whether those inflationary pressures will make passing the Biden Administration's spending plans more difficult. Then Nic Carter, the founding partner at Castle Island Ventures, went through the wild week in crypto and Elon Musk's bitcoin reversal.

GBP/USD edged lower for the second straight session, though lacked follow-through selling. The upbeat UK economic outlook underpinned the British pound and extended some support. A combination of factors capped the USD upside and assisted the pair to bounce off daily lows. EUR/USD struggles for direction amidst risk-off mood. The greenback remains bid post-upbeat April CPI.US Initial Claims, Producer Prices next in the calendar. The dollar index was up 0.1% at 90.775, around its highest level in a week. EUR/USD traded 0.1% higher at 1.2075, after dropping around 0.6% the previous session, GBP/USD was flat at 1.4052, and USD/JPY was up 0.1% at 109.73, close to its strongest level in five weeks. AUD/USD fell 0.2% to 0.7712, while NZD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.7160, benefiting from further plans to open the New Zealand economy. The main driver of these dollar gains has been the surge in U.S. inflation, and the concern this will force the Fed to move away from its ultra-easy monetary policies sooner than its current guidance suggests.

If you've been paying attention to what's happening in the market, you will know that the Nasdaq is down by almost 8% from its all-time high, S&P 500 is down by about 4% and the Dow Jones is down by about 3%. When you look at the fear and greed index, it is at the scale of 37, and the VIX index spiked up to 65%. All of this indicates 1 thing. The market is fearful. Why? That's because people believe that inflation is coming. Prices are going up. And it is definitely going to affect investors. Based on the April CPI inflation report, the reality is that prices are rising. Overall, prices in April climbed 4.2% year over year, the biggest gain since September 2008. From gas and groceries to computers, cars, and clothing, people are already paying more for everyday expenses. Even if you strip out volatile food and energy prices and calculate only the core CPI inflation, prices also rose by 3% year over year in April. For month over month, the core CPI inflation rose by 0.9% in April, the biggest one-month jump since 1982. This April CPI numbers came in higher than what many analysts predicted which is why Wall Street is shaking and the indices are all dropping. The question is, why is this happening? Why are prices going up? How is inflation going to affect investors? That is what we'll be discussing in today's episode. Check out this episode to find out more! For more info about Delugne Investing, check out Delugne.com to find out more. Delugne Mastermind https://delugne.com/join-delugne-mastermind FREE Investment Analysis - The Next 100x Opportunity That Could Change Your Life https://delugne.com/free-investment-analysis FREE Index Investing Training - 10-Day Index Investing Training https://delugne.com/free-index-investing-training

In today's show, you will learn why stocks and bonds fell on inflation fears, what the recent economic data says about the economy, how the this week's Treasury auctions were received, where there was inflation in the April CPI report, is the inflation we are seeing transitory or permanent, if higher consumer prices will lead to higher Treasury yields, and how the Money Multiplier points to much lower inflation in the future. #BondBullish #DollarBullish #ConsumerPriceIndex #CPI Have a question for the show? From time to time I answer your questions. E-mail Steve or, send him a message on Facebook, LinkedIn or Twitter. http://stevenvanmetre.com/about/contact/ https://www.facebook.com/svmfin/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/steven-van-metre-b4a08b182/ https://twitter.com/MetreSteven https://stevenvanmetre.com/portfolio-shield/ Portfolio Shield™, and The Macro Show™, and Momentum Timer Pro™ are unregistered trademarks of Steven Van Metre Financial. Watermark Artwork by Jasmine Miller Twitter: @jazcreative The content of this video is provided as educational information only and is not intended to provide investment or other advice. This material is not to be construed as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any security, financial product, instrument, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. This video was prepared by Steven Van Metre in my own personal capacity. The opinions expressed in this video are my own and do not reflect the view of Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. or Steven Van Metre Financial.

Covid-19 impact: Govt holds back April CPI citing data collection issues