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If you've been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I'd encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs.Scheduling is easy—once you land at jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) just click “Schedule Initial Call” and select a time that works best for you! There's a quick survey to fill out that will help guide the conversation and ensure your time is used efficiently.If you're ready to learn more, visit jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) and book your call today!Take advantage of our partnership with LifeLock and get discounts using our link: https://lifelock.norton.com/offers?expid=LLONEYEAR&promocode= JSPW24&VENDORID= _JESSUPWM&om_ext_cid=ext_partner_ JSPW24_Productpage $)Episode #363 Topics· Market Performance and Sentiment — 03:14, 05:18, 11:07· Bull Market Dynamics and Insider Activity — 07:36, 13:28· Housing Market and Interest Rate Outlook — 14:55, 15:17, 18:53· Corporate Fundamentals and Valuation Trends — 20:32, 23:36, 27:05· Income Trends and Socioeconomic Shifts — 30:26· Retirement Planning and Risk Management — 32:04Show Notes:Post on X from Ryan Detrick on August 4th - https://x.com/RyanDetrick/status/2084662139361395176?s=20 Post on X from Jay Kaeppel on July 21st - https://x.com/jaykaeppel/status/2079624731943162251?s=20 Post on X from Charlie Bilello on August 11th - https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2087177215398084782?s=20 Article on Morningstar written by Amy Arnott, CFA on June 30th - https://www.morningstar.com/retirement/retirees-dont-need-fear-lost-decade-they-need-plan Hosts:Mark McEvily - Chief Investment Officer and Managing PartnerMatthew Jessup – Chief Executive Officer, Chief Compliance Officer, and Managing PartnerAddress: 35 Park Ave. Dayton, OH 45419Phone: 937-938-9105 https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/Social Media: Facebook: @JessupWealthManagement LinkedIn: @JessupWealthManagement Twitter: @jessupwealth Instagram: @jessupwealthhttps://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/disclosures-page
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to talk about a jobs report the market read as bad news is good news: payrolls up just 23,000 versus 80,000 expected, the prior two months revised down by 103,000, and participation slipping to 61.4%, the lowest since February 2021, even as unemployment fell to 4.1%. Daniel Lacalle argues the Fed is already weighing on the labor market, yet overnight index swaps still price about 1.7 hikes by mid-2027 — so are hikes really off the table? Plus, the US Dollar Index breakout, why there aren't 10% pre-tax US Treasuries, and how the SpaceX share unlock could lift its Nasdaq-100 weight from roughly 1.3% to 3.1%. Nonfarm payrolls added just 23,000 jobs in July versus 80,000 expected. The prior two months were revised down by a combined 103,000 jobs. Private payrolls rose 30,000 and manufacturing added 5,000. The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.1%. Daniel Lacalle argues the Fed is already hurting the labor market and hikes aren't justified. Labor force participation fell to 61.4%, the lowest since February 2021 per Charlie Bilello. Average hourly earnings rose 3.2% year over year versus 3.5% expected. Overnight index swaps now price about 1.7 hikes by mid-2027 with the implied rate near 4.05%. Why is the market pricing hikes rather than cuts after a soft jobs number? J.C. Parets asks whether the US Dollar Index breakout is a big deal. What a stronger dollar means for multinationals and commodities. Eric Balchunas notes the Middle East oil shipping futures ETF is up 1,294% year to date Drewry's WCI container freight benchmark sits at 4,297.46 per 40-foot box What rising freight and shipping rates signal about goods inflation ahead. How Nasdaq-100 weighs an adjusted market cap: SpaceX at roughly $1.5 trillion with about 5% free float SpaceX has a 15% factor, or about $225 billion effective cap and roughly a 1.3% index weight. If free float jumps to 12%, the factor jumps to 36%, based on today's price would raise weight to 3.1% Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Bitcoin and Gold are both posting the worst year of any major asset class in 2026 — BTC down 30%, Gold down 6% and Charlie Bilello says it's the first time we've ever seen this in a calendar year. Meanwhile, SpaceX just made history today, debuting at a $1.75 TRILLION valuation in the largest IPO ever recorded (2.4x the previous record Saudi Aramco) with retail orders alone exceeding $70 billion. We break down whether Bitcoin and Gold's historic underperformance signals a generational opportunity or the death of the safe haven thesis, what $75 billion flowing INTO SpaceX means for the next leg of crypto liquidity, and which catalysts could finally turn the tape. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week on The Higher Standard, we break down hotter inflation, Warsh's awkward Fed handoff, housing cracks, rising delinquencies, and why “resilient economy” may be the new “transitory.” Then we get into the big one: AI may be destroying the moat that terminal valuations are built on. If innovation moves so fast that no company can confidently project cash flows five to ten years out, venture capital math starts looking less like investing and more like praying with a spreadsheet. Also, apologies in advance: we had to silence the Big Boi interview with Kid Cudi due to a copyright restriction, which is tragic because Big Boi talking Pokémon deserved its own emergency Fed meeting.
If you've been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I'd encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs. Scheduling is easy—once you land at jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) just click “Schedule Initial Call” and select a time that works best for you! There's a quick survey to fill out that will help guide the conversation and ensure your time is used efficiently. If you're ready to learn more, visit jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) and book your call today! Take advantage of our partnership with LifeLock and get discounts using our link: https://lifelock.norton.com/offers?expid=LLONEYEAR&promocode= JSPW24&VENDORID= _JESSUPWM&om_ext_cid=ext_partner_ JSPW24_Productpage $) Show Notes:Post on LinkedIn from Peter Mallouk on April 4th - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/peter-mallouk_over-the-last-75-years-the-average-intra-year-share-7444847892332199936-wAUq/?Post on X from Ben Carlson on March 30th - https://x.com/awealthofcs/status/2038627241551085823 Post on X from Charlie Bilello on March 29th - https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2038333777592684809 #346 Topics:· Sentiment shift & investor positioning (04:52)· Market psychology & faster moves (06:23)· Historical drawdowns & recovery patterns (09:15–12:26)· Client engagement & resources (07:56–14:02)· Earnings strength & fundamentals (16:25–18:45)· VIX signals & volatility outlook (21:09–21:30)· Long-term volatility & risk management (24:29–25:47)· Investment philosophy & staying invested (17:50, 26:00)
On episode 451 of Animal Spirits, Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson discuss how the bull market is changing shape, software stocks getting slaughtered, it's finally a stock picker's market, Anthropic changed the AI narrative, ex-Mag 7 is finally working, the case for emerging markets, the crypto bloodbath, the best airline and more. This episode is sponsored by Pacer ETFs and YCharts Learn more about PATN at https://www.paceretfs.com/. This episode is sponsored by YCharts. To download “What Markets Are Signaling in 2026” deck click here: https://go.ycharts.com/-charlie-bilello-2026-signals?utm_source=Animal_Spirits&utm_medium=Original_Research&utm_campaign=Charlie_Bilello_2026_Signals&utm_content=Podcast And start your free YCharts trial through Animal Spirits (new customers only) at: https://go.ycharts.com/animal-spirits Sign up for The Compound newsletter and never miss out: thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Find complete show notes on our blogs: Ben Carlson's A Wealth of Common Sense Michael Batnick's The Irrelevant Investor Feel free to shoot us an email at animalspirits@thecompoundnews.com with any feedback, questions, recommendations, or ideas for future topics of conversation. Pacer Disclosure: Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund's investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus. A copy may be obtained by visiting www.paceretfs.com or calling 1-877-337-0500. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. Pacer ETFs are distributed by Pacer Financial. Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Ben Carlson are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week, Phil welcomes special guest Harry Sudock of CleanSpark for a deep dive into AI, power generation, and the future of bitcoin. Index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees and expenses, and if deducted, performance would be reduced. Indexes are unmanaged and investors are not able to invest directly into any index. Past performance cannot guarantee future results. Performance data is sourced from Bloomberg, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, Charlie Bilello, Visual Capitalist, and First Trust. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss. In general, the bond market is volatile; bonds are subject to credit risk and interest rate risk (bond prices rise when interest rates fall and vice versa). This effect is usually pronounced for long-term securities. Any fixed-income security sold or redeemed prior to maturity may be subject to a substantial gain or loss. Vehicles that invest in lower-rated debt securities (commonly referred to as junk bonds or high-yield bonds) involve additional risks because of the lower quality credit of the issuers. Stocks may be subject to even greater volatility and liquidity risk. A portfolio of international investments involves special risks not present with U.S. investments due to factors such as increased volatility, currency fluctuation, and differences in auditing and other financial standards. These risks can be accentuated in emerging markets. Despite strong historical performance, securities carry risk and may not continue to perform similarly in the future. The statements provided herein are based solely on the opinions of the Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Management (Ladenburg) Research Team and are being provided for general information purposes only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments. Any opinions provided herein are not intended to provide legal or tax advice or investment decisions. Any political views expressed are personal opinions and are not intended as investment advice. Certain information may be based on information received from sources the Ladenburg Research Team considers reliable; however, accuracy and completeness of such information cannot be guaranteed. Certain statements contained herein may constitute "projections," "forecasts" and other "forward-looking statements" which do not reflect actual results and are based primarily upon applying retroactively a hypothetical set of assumptions to certain historical financial information. Any opinions, projections, forecasts and forward-looking statements reflect the judgment of the Ladenburg Research Team only as of the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. Ladenburg has no obligation to provide updates or changes to these opinions, projections, forecasts and forward-looking statements. Ladenburg is not soliciting or recommending any action based on any information in this podcast. Crypto assets (including bitcoin) involve significant risk, are speculative in nature, may lose all value, and are not appropriate for all investors. Crypto assets are not insured by the FDIC or SIPC, may lack regulatory protections, and carry technology, operational, and cybersecurity risks. Ladenburg is an SEC Registered Investment Adviser under the Investment Advisers Act. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Ladenburg provides investment advisory services and may serve as a sub-advisor for accounts managed by third-party advisers or may be included in advisory platforms sponsored or administered by affiliates or third-party advisers. Ladenburg does not provide tax or legal advice. Please consult your tax advisor or attorney. For additional information, please see the Program Disclosure Brochure or ADV Part II for full details, which are available upon request or please visit adviserinfo.sec.gov. Securities and investment advisory services are offered through the firms: Osaic Wealth, Inc. and Osaic Institutions, Inc., broker-dealers, registered investment advisers, and members of FINRA and SIPC. Securities are offered through Osaic Services, Inc. and Ladenburg Thalmann & Co., broker-dealers and members of FINRA and SIPC. Advisory services are offered through Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Management, Inc., Osaic Advisory Services, LLC and CW Advisors, LLC, registered investment advisers. Advisory programs offered by Osaic Wealth, Inc. are sponsored by VISION2020 Wealth Management Corp., an affiliated registered investment adviser. © Osaic, Inc. • osaic.com
One of the perils of being in a profession or field for many years is how you see beyond simple dualities. By that I mean, you hear people argue confidently and vehemently about X vs Y, but you know there's actually a Z they're not even thinking about. Sometimes people talk about this as a “third way” solution. I confess that my whole life and career I've mostly been interested in those “third” ways, since I find they tend to have much more wisdom and insight than the other two.This came to mind recently when I was very kindly asked to speak with a group from ULI-Nashville about starter homes - the need, the barriers and the solutions. Because I can't help myself, I opted to talk more about what I think we mean by starter homes, and some options for them that don't get enough play in the conversation.This episode is a longer version of that talk, including the three different ways I look at starter homes. The issue is very timely, and it's critical. We're having a terrible time getting people into home ownership right now. A lot of this I covered in a previous conversation with Charlie Bilello, on the financial causes and barriers. But I'm at heart still an architect, so I think a lot about buildings and building types as part of this, and search for ways to talk about the problem in concrete terms.Let me know what you think in the comments. What type of starter home do you wish to have, or did you have? How about your parents and grandparents? What is truly missing in the marketplace, and how do we get to solutions in your opinion?Find more content on The Messy City on Kevin's Substack page.Music notes: all songs by low standards, ca. 2010. Videos here. If you'd like a CD for low standards, message me and you can have one for only $5.Intro: “Why Be Friends”Outro: “Fairweather Friend” Get full access to The Messy City at kevinklinkenberg.substack.com/subscribe
One of the most shocking pieces of information I've seen in the last year is how high the average age of all homebuyers has become. Depending on the source, I've seen between 59 and 62 years old. This is the *average* age. We've never seen a housing market quite like this, so I turned to Charlie Bilello, the Chief Market Strategist for the firm Creative Planning to help me understand it better. While I talk at length about the regulatory, design and policy aspects of housing on the podcast, Charlie is an expert in the financial side.We trace a bit of the history of how we changed the idea of housing from shelter to a financial product, and then hit on how those policy changes have created the mess we are in today. Charlie has a wealth of ideas that are admittedly unpopular, but could go to great lengths to fix the housing market over the short and long term.Along the way, we talk about fifty year mortgages, the impact of this issue on everyone under forty years old, the concentration of wealth with Baby Boomers, and why it's so hard to make changes.If you want more from Charlie, check out his excellent YouTube channel.Find more content on The Messy City on Kevin's Substack page.Music notes: all songs by low standards, ca. 2010. Videos here. If you'd like a CD for low standards, message me and you can have one for only $5.Intro: “Why Be Friends”Outro: “Fairweather Friend” Get full access to The Messy City at kevinklinkenberg.substack.com/subscribe
If you've been enjoying The Independent Advisors podcast for a while now and want to take the next step in your financial journey, I'd encourage you to head to our website, jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) . Matt offers a 15-minute initial call where you can discuss your financial goals and see if JWM is a good fit for your needs.Scheduling is easy—once you land at jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) just click “Schedule Initial Call” and select a time that works best for you!There's a quick survey to fill out that will help guide the conversation and ensure your time is used efficiently.If you're ready to learn more, visit jessupwealthmanagement.com (https://www.jessupwealthmanagement.com/) and book your call today!Take advantage of our partnership with LifeLock and get discounts using our link:https://lifelock.norton.com/offers?expid=LLONEYEAR&promocode= JSPW24&VENDORID= _JESSUPWM&om_ext_cid=ext_partner_ JSPW24_Productpage $)Show Notes:Neil Sethi's note from Citadel's Rubnerhttps://x.com/neilksethi/status/1982421954809520252S&P Strength Before a Rate Cut?Source: X Post from Ryan Detrick on 10/29/25https://x.com/RyanDetrick/status/1983534425653625333Delinquencies IncreasingSource: X Post from Mike Zaccardi on 10/29/25, Research from Goldman Sachshttps://x.com/MikeZaccardi/status/1983533436464927167Update on the Housing MarketSource: Research from Charlie Bilello on 10/29/25https://bilello.blog/2025/the-week-in-charts-10-29-25?Changes to Social Security in 2026 By: Donna Levalley on 10/27/2025https://www.kiplinger.com/retirement/social-security/changes-coming-to-social-security-in-2026#324 Topics:· Small caps' rise to double digits after lengthy underperformance· Fed Rate Cuts and Market Sentiment· NASDAQ and AI Momentum Outlook· Credit Delinquencies and Consumer Segments· Highlighting the strongest home buyer's market in the U.S., sellers outnumbering buyers by 130%· Social Security Updates for 2026
The Fed finally pulled the trigger on its first rate cut of the year, but before you pop champagne, let's ask the real question: who actually benefits? Wall Street's partying like it's 1999, the top 10% are still swiping cards like money grows on trees, and Jerome Powell is out here trying to convince everyone the house isn't on fire. Meanwhile, middle-class families are staring down credit card bills, mortgages, and a job market that feels more like musical chairs with fewer chairs every month.➡️ We're breaking down the “two-tier economy” McDonald's CEO warned about, why mortgage refis just spiked harder than a college frat party, and how side hustles have gone from optional to survival gear for millions of Americans. This isn't CNBC soundbites or sugar-coated headlines — it's The Higher Standard, where we strip the spin, call out the nonsense, and give you the real story behind the Fed's move.
In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover these major headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Poor Jobs Data Cements Case for Rate Cuts DOJ Launches Criminal Investigation into Fed Governor Gold Hits New Record High Dalio: “Bad debt situations contributing to Bitcoin's rise" SEC/CFTC Issue Joint Statement to Enable Spot Crypto Trading Strategy Snubbed by S&P 500 —- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. My followers get .25% off their first loan. Learn more at www.ledn.io/natalie ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com ---- References mentioned in the episode: U.S. Unemployment Rate Near Four-Year High U.S. Jobs Report Cements Case for Fed Rate Cut Americans Losing Faith in the American Dream DOJ Opens Investigation into Fed's Lisa Cook Ray Dalio's Financial Times Interview Gold Hits New All-time High, Above $3,600 Charlie Bilello's Chart on Gold's Performance U.S. Bank Resumes Cryptocurrency Custody Service SEC and CFTC Joint Statement on Digital Assets Robinhood, AppLovin, and EMCOR Join S&P 500 Strategy Gets Snubbed by S&P 500 Committee Matt Cole's Tweet on S&P 500 Committee Michael Saylor's Tweet on S&P 500 Nasdaq Increases Scrutiny on Crypto Treasury Companies Strategy's Tweet in Response to Nasdaq Report Scott Johnsson's Tweet on Impact of Nasdaq Report New Bitcoin Treasury Company Launches in Amsterdam River's Business Bitcoin Adoption in 2025 Report Coin Stories Interview with Jeff Park ---- Upcoming Events: Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
In this episode of 401(k) Roundtable, Rick Unser is joined by Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at Creative Planning. Known for The Week in Charts on YouTube and as co-host of the Signal or Noise? podcast with Peter Mallouk, Charlie brings a data-driven perspective to today's markets. The conversation covers market volatility, bear market patterns, and the enduring importance of diversification. They also explore the performance of international vs. U.S. stocks, the strength of the dollar, interest rates, and recent economic policy shifts. A timely and insightful episode for anyone trying to make sense of today's investment landscape.
shownotes:Post on X from Jesse Cohen on 3.6.25 - https://x.com/jessecoheninv/status/1897690462972264951?Post on X from Ryan Detrick on March 5th - https://x.com/ryandetrick/status/1897293301721800890?Post on X from Jason – 3 Peaks Trading on March 4th - https://x.com/3peakstrading/status/1897082843786072337?Post on X from the Daily Chartbook on March 4th - https://x.com/dailychartbook/status/1896878287609344270?Post on X from Charlie Bilello on March 3rd - https://x.com/charliebilello/status/1896673142384492848 Recap on Recent Driving Forces in the MarketSource: Briefing.com's “The Big Picture” released 3/7/25https://www.briefing.com/InPlayEq/Commentary/TheBigPicture.htmReminder Market Corrections are NormalSource: Charlie Bilello Research on 3/11/25https://bilello.blog/2025/the-week-in-charts-3-11-25?
In this episode of The Higher Standard, Chris and Saied take a wild ride through financial headlines, questionable government efficiency, and the enigma that is Warren Buffett's ever-growing cash pile. From the SEC's scathing dismissal of meme coins to Elon Musk demanding his employees justify their existence via email, no topic is safe from their razor-sharp commentary. The duo unpacks why the housing market remains stuck in limbo despite lower mortgage rates, and they throw in a little existential dread about government overspending just to keep things interesting. And if you've ever wondered why your health insurance costs an arm and a leg despite your tax dollars funding it, this episode might leave you with more questions than answers.➡️ But don't worry, it's not all doom and gloom—Chris and Saied keep the laughs coming, whether it's dissecting the latest crypto meltdown, debating whether a $5 million "gold card" green card is the ultimate immigration hustle, or reminiscing about their younger, broker days. Plus, they drop a hint about the new studio space and the long-awaited return of guest interviews. If you love unfiltered financial takes, economic deep dives, and a little bit of chaos, this is an episode you don't want to miss.
This week, Chris and Saied tackle the latest inflation print that came in hotter than a tiger del fuego—and yes, that's the official economic term now. With prices climbing for consumer staples like eggs (who knew you should've invested in chickens?), we dissect what this means for rate cuts, the Fed's next move, and whether we'll all just resort to eating cardboard to save money. And if you thought the government was on top of things, think again—because even regulators are scratching their heads over the latest CFPB drama. A federal agency created to protect consumers is basically getting ghosted by Washington, and let's just say… crypto bros are very excited about this development.➡️ But wait, there's more! We break down the absurdity of credit card interest rates, why Home Alone 2's Plaza Hotel suite now costs more than a used car, and the potential impact of Elon Musk's secret Visa deal. Plus, Saied relives a scandalous youth basketball championship game that involved bad reffing, technical fouls, and one very dramatic post-game car ride. Oh, and Chris is still bleeding money on his studio construction—send thoughts, prayers, and five-star reviews.
Skippy and Doogles tackle the relationship between interest rates, the economy and stock valuations. Doogles walks through Charlie Bilello's latest chart recap. Skippy covers traffic congestion in NYC. The episode wraps discussing Howard Marks' latest memo Bubble Watch.Join the Skippy and Doogles fan club. You can also get more details about the show at skippydoogles.com, show notes on our Substack, and send comments or questions to skippydoogles@gmail.com.
Tweet from Charlie Bilello on 12.19.24 - https://x.com/charliebilello/status/1869731498439647290?The IRS Is Sending up to $1,400 to One Million People: Are You Eligible? By Kelley Taylor https://www.kiplinger.com/taxes/irs-sending-payments-to-one-million-peopleFireFlies AI Software Link: https://app.fireflies.ai/login?referralCode=Zh4pTubf3y
In this episode, Chris and Saied break down the Federal Reserve's latest rate cut, and let's just say, it's got everyone—from Wall Street to your wallet—feeling some kind of way. With a 25 basis point cut to the Fed Funds rate, inflation still refusing to play nice, and the bond market throwing a full-on tantrum, it's clear: the Fed's decisions are anything but boring. Oh, and don't miss Chris's hot take on how housing affordability has officially hit “you-can't-make-this-up” levels of absurdity. Spoiler alert: the 10-year Treasury and your dreams of a lower mortgage rate aren't on speaking terms.➡️ From the VIX spiking a jaw-dropping 74% to why shrinkflation has you paying more for less Doritos, the duo dives into why markets have gone wild. Is the Fed's “data dependency” just another way of saying “we're winging it”? And what does this all mean for you, dear listener? Whether you're a seasoned investor or someone just trying to figure out why eggs are still so damn expensive, Chris and Saied deliver insights with their signature blend of smarts and sass. Tune in for all the juicy details, and remember, it's not the size of the rate cut—it's how you use it!
Show Notes:https://x.com/nickgerli1/status/1865160521428750756 https://x.com/nickgerli1/status/1865162039842513110 Blog post from Ben Carlson on 11.14 titled “Is the United States Going Broke?” - https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2024/11/is-the-united-states-going-broke/ Charlie Bilello's 7 Lessons from 2024 (12/10/24)https://bilello.blog/2024/7-lessons-from-2024?
We're talking about one of the most important topics in personal finance: advice. This week's episode also includes a highlight reel of insights from some of our favorite interviews. You'll hear playbacks from special guests Peter Mallouk, Charlie Bilello, Dan Pallesen, Candace Varner and others, covering behavioral finance, investing, retirement and more!
Now that the polls are closed and the 47th president has been elected, we're reviewing some valuable insights shared by Peter Mallouk and Charlie Bilello on their recent episode of Signal or Noise. We're also welcoming back to the show Creative Planning Partner and Estate Planning Attorney Chrissy Knopke to discuss year-end estate planning essentials. Plus, is it actually possible to balance asset accumulation, enjoy life, be charitable and still be prepared for a retirement with increased longevity? Find out on this week's episode!
With the election decided, many are wondering what the results could mean for taxes, government spending, the economy and more. On this episode of Signal or Noise, Peter and Charlie discuss eight major policy areas and what impact they may have on your finances before closing with a review of post-election market moves — are they a signal or just noise?
With the market hitting all-time highs and another round of rate cuts on the horizon, the common denominator is the diminishing value of the dollar. Charlie and Peter discuss this topic before making good on their promise from last episode, sharing their thoughts on how to avert a debt crisis (spoiler alert: the answer isn't taxes). They close with their perspective on mass media influence and discuss the election's potential impact on the market. Is it a signal or just noise?
In this episode, Charlie and Peter explore the widespread economic ripple effects of the dock strike, which could have cost the U.S. economy up to $4.5 billion per day. The real issue isn't compensation — it's job automation, a disruption that could reshape the industry in the long run. They also dive into the Fed's rate cut, housing market shifts and why America can't sustain a "two-economy" divide. They close with insights from the book Die With Zero and tackle the big question of whether picking stocks based on presidential candidates is a signal or just noise.
Do you know the number one way Americans become millionaires? Charlie Bilello gets Peter Mallouk's insider take on this topic and on a couple of recent tweets, leading to an economic lesson and a lively discussion about communism, food prices and taxing the wealthy. They conclude by considering the record U.S. household allocation to stocks — is it a signal or just noise?
There's an elephant in the room that keeps growing — but no one wants to talk about it. On this episode of Signal or Noise, Charlie Bilello and Peter Mallouk discuss the $35 trillion national debt, which Peter views as the biggest threat to the U.S. economy and Western civilization. They also cover concentrated stocks and eliminating taxes on tips and Social Security income before wrapping up with a signal or noise on the VIX.
Show Notes:Blog post from Joe Fahmy titled “Why Sentiment Changes So Quickly - https://joefahmy.com/2024/08/07/why-sentiment-changes-so-quickly?Tweet from Brian G on Twitter - https://x.com/alphacharts/status/1821261266939510918?US Wage GrowthX post from Charlie Bilello on 8/14https://x.com/charliebilello/status/1823710733168996606C-Suites mentioning “Recession” in earnings calls…X Post from Ryan Detrick on 8/13/24https://x.com/RyanDetrick/status/1823456221057228930Financial Planning Topic of the week – Article from Dalvin Brown in the WSJ on 7.27.24 titled “Key to Happiness or Distrust? The Couples who itemize their monthly bills - https://www.wsj.com/personal-finance/these-happy-couples-arent-sharing-bank-accountstheyre-sharing-spreadsheets-c33c3b70
On this week's episode, we're making the timely correlation between the Olympics, the stock market and a Powerball winner — and sharing how to have a winning formula when it comes to your investments. We also welcome Chief Market Strategist Charlie Bilello back to the show for a candid conversation about the Federal Reserve, where we'll get his opinion on the impending rate cut.
Show Notes:Tweet from Ryan Detrick on 8.2.24 - https://x.com/RyanDetrick/status/1819476646589878465?utm_campaign=Daily+Chart+Report+%F0%9F%93%88+Friday%2C+August+2%2C+2024&utm_content=TCR&utm_medium=email_action&utm_source=email Tweet from Ryan Detrick on 8.6.24 - https://x.com/ryandetrick/status/1820678336277856286?s=12&t=Godkt5FzuqWcmpmvo2G5JgTweet from Charlie Bilello on 8.5.24 - https://x.com/charliebilello/status/1820635769553506724?utm_campaign=Daily+Chart+Report+%F0%9F%93%88+Monday%2C+August+5%2C+2024&utm_content=TCR&utm_medium=email_action&utm_source=email Linked In Post from Campbell Harvey - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/camharvey_it-has-begun-over-the-last-year-i-have-activity-7225216764152868864-_nBb/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_ios
With all that's happening in the market, you'll want to tune in to this episode of Signal or Noise as Charlie Bilello and Peter Mallouk share how long-term investors can embrace panic. They also cover the impending rate cut, a costly rollover mistake and a new topic to show — love, marriage and bank accounts. They end with a signal or noise you may be familiar with: using bonds as a hedge.
Gaining an awareness of cognitive biases is just the first step. Overcoming these biases is the real challenge — don't let them negatively impact your investment success! Join Peter Mallouk and Charlie Bilello as they explore these biases as well as their impact, why investors often fall prey to them and practical solutions for overcoming them. Additionally, learn about the latest changes in 401k savings that could affect your financial planning.Which financial headlines are signals of something bigger, and which are just noise you should tune out? Creative Planning Chief Market Strategist Charlie Bilello and President & CEO Peter Mallouk break down what's happening in the markets and economy and let you know which headlines you should actually be paying attention to. Come for the approachable analysis and entertaining conversation. Stay for the sharp insights. Become a more informed investor.Important Legal Disclosure: creativeplanning.com/important-disclosure-information/Have questions or topic suggestions? Email us @ podcasts@creativeplanning.com
Major news headlines on inflation rates, the S&P 500 and the housing market generate a lot of buzz and remind us that prioritizing our financial planning is critical to a secure financial future. On this week's episode, we're exploring what you might face tomorrow if you aren't intentional with your finances today.
We often hear that the obvious answer is usually best. However, in the realm of retirement planning, the most obvious solutions AREN'T always the best choices. Join John as he illustrates common situations where an obvious choice could derail your retirement. (1:50) Plus, discover why we're still discussing Bitcoin. (8:18)Presented by Creative Planning, each week Host and Managing Director John Hagensen cuts through the headlines and loud takes to challenge the advice you may have been given and reaffirm what you know to be true. Plus, don't miss his weekly interviews with Creative Planning specialists as they cover investing, taxes, estate planning and many other areas that impact your financial life! Important Legal Disclosure: creativeplanning.com/important-disclosure-information/ Have questions or topic suggestions? Email us @ podcasts@creativeplanning.com
Our guest on the podcast today is Peter Mallouk. Peter is the President and CEO of Creative Planning, an independent registered investment advisor with roughly $300 billion in combined assets under management and advisement. Peter has also written or co-written several books, including The 5 Mistakes Every Investor Makes and How to Avoid Them, The Path: Accelerating Your Journey to Financial Freedom with Tony Robbins, and his latest, Money, Simplified. Peter graduated from the University of Kansas with four majors, including degrees in business administration and economics. He went on to earn a law degree and a Master of Business Administration degree, also at the University of Kansas.BackgroundBioCreative PlanningPathway Financial EducationBooksMoney, Simplified, by Peter MalloukThe 5 Mistakes Every Investor Makes and How to Avoid Them: Getting Investing Right, by Peter MalloukThe Path: Accelerating Your Journey to Financial Freedom, by Peter Mallouk, with Tony RobbinsPodcastsDown the Middle, with Peter Mallouk and Jonathan ClementsSignal or Noise? with Charlie Bilello and Peter MalloukCreative Planning“What to Expect in the Year Ahead,” by Peter Mallouk and Jonathan Clements, creativeplanning.com, Dec. 29, 2023.“Creative Planning Closes on Acquisition of Goldman Sachs Personal Financial Management,” by Diana Britton, wealthmanagement.com, Nov. 3, 2023.“Peter Mallouk: The No. 1 Thing to Look for in Investments Now,” by Dinah Wisenberg Brin, thinkadvisor.com, Feb. 27, 2023.“Tax-Loss Harvesting: What It Is and Why It Matters,” by Taylor Harroun, creativeplanning.com, Oct. 4, 2023.“The Media Has a Fiduciary Responsibility, But It's Not to You,” by Peter Mallouk, creativeplanning.com, March 15, 2024.Other“How Financial Planners Actually Do Financial Planning (2023),” by Dan Inveen, Michael Kitces, and Meghaan Lurtz, kitces.com, 2023.
Show Notes:Tweet from Charlie Bilello -https://lnkd.in/gpKJrm8A?Tweet from Ben Carlson -https://lnkd.in/gq2Fd89t?Article written on FA Mag, Biden's 2025 budget proposal if reelected -https://lnkd.in/gdHf7REX
Show Notes:Article from Adam Turnquist, “Who Do Markets Want to Win the Election” -https://www.lpl.com/research/blog/who-do-markets-want-to-win-the-election.html?Tweet from Unusual Whales -https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1765369742661910893?Research from Charlie Bilello -https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1767926346246689079Tweet from Michael Kantro, Chief Investment Strategist -https://twitter.com/MichaelKantro/status/1767996650297901198Tweet from Brian G at Alpha Charts -https://twitter.com/alphacharts/status/1768013302716604898
Life is about the journey, not the destination. Likewise, investing shouldn't be merely about the destination. Our money should be seen as a tool that empowers us throughout our life — not just a means to an end. Join John as he takes us through the six most important lessons we can follow when it comes to getting the most out of both our life and our investment journey. (1:06) Plus, Creative Planning's Chief Market Strategist, Charlie Bilello, is back on the show to talk about what could shock the stock market in 2024. (22:30) Presented by Creative Planning, each week Host and Managing Director John Hagensen cuts through the headlines and loud takes to challenge the advice you may have been given and reaffirm what you know to be true. Plus, don't miss his weekly interviews with Creative Planning specialists as they cover investing, taxes, estate planning and many other areas that impact your financial life! Important Legal Disclosure: creativeplanning.com/important-disclosure-information/ Have questions or topic suggestions? Email us @ podcasts@creativeplanning.com
Show Notes:Tweet from Seth Golden -https://twitter.com/sethcl/status/1745427989242806376?s=12&t=Godkt5FzuqWcmpmvo2G5JgTweet from Franklin Templeton -https://twitter.com/FTI_US/status/1745229093082190295Tweet from Charlie Bilello -https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1749448179181814159?Checking in on Earnings Thus Far -https://twitter.com/FactSet/status/1749572171221844032Financial Planning Topic of the week -https://www.thomaskopelman.com/blog/options-for-how-to-manage-your-finances-as-a-married-couple
Today's guest is Jared Dillian, the editor of The Daily Dirtnap, a daily market newsletter for investment professionals. Jared's back on the podcast to talk about his book, No Worries: How to live a stress-free financial life, which just released yesterday. Jared talks about the 80/20 rule applied to personal finance, his “no worries” approach to investing, which he calls the awesome portfolio, and I bet you'll be surprised by which asset has performed best since 2000. We also get Jared's take on the market today. He touches on inflation, private equity, the bond market and more. (1:20) - Welcome Jared back to the show; Episode #344: Jared Dillian (5:02) - Unpacking the concept “we get to choose how much money we have” (6:56) - Applying the 80/20 rule to personal finance (10:14) - Clarifying acronyms from 'No Worries: How To Live A Stress Free Financial Life' (14:57) - Considering the implications of young people accruing debt (18:11) - Different investment strategies & the Awesome Portfolio (34:41) - Jared's take on inflation and higher interest rates (36:58) - Assessing the current state of the market (43:26) - Concerns about Tony Robbins book (45:53) - Integrating AI into the process of writing Learn more about Jared: The Daily Dirtnap, Jared Dillian Money ----- Follow Meb on Twitter, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by YCharts. YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Visit YCharts to start your free trial and be sure to mention "Meb" for 20% off your subscription. (New clients only). Register for their webinar on January 25th with Charlie Bilello. Sponsor: Today's episode is sponsored by The Idea Farm. The Idea Farm gives you access to over $100,000 worth of investing research, the kind usually read by only the world's largest institutions, funds, and money managers. Subscribe for free here. Follow The Idea Farm: Twitter | LinkedIn | Instagram | Tik Tok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Show Notes:Tweet from Joey Politano -https://twitter.com/JosephPolitano/status/1734570072176251320Article by Amy Arnott, CFA “Should you T-Bill and Chill?” - https://www.morningstar.com/portfolios/should-you-t-bill-chillResearch from Charlie Bilello -https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1735785477586723024Tweet from Jonathan Ferro on Fed Speak Confusion -https://twitter.com/FerroTV/status/1735658977176797682Bullish on Bonds Tweet from Gunjan Banerji -https://twitter.com/GunjanJS/status/1737116673344405692Article by Matt Baisden “11 different types of retirement plans” - https://www.plancorp.com/blog/retirement-plan-types?
Looking back on 2023, which words will resonate in discussions about our finances and investments? John explores this question, examining how the events of the past year challenged our financial resilience and reshaped our mindset regarding wealth. (2:23) He also collaborates with Charlie Bilello, Creative Planning's Chief Market Strategist, to delve into the most significant surprises of 2023 (9:56) and caution against placing undue trust in 2024 pundit predictions. (11:33)Presented by Creative Planning, each week Host and Managing Director John Hagensen cuts through the headlines and loud takes to challenge the advice you may have been given and reaffirm what you know to be true. Plus, don't miss his weekly interviews with Creative Planning specialists as they cover investing, taxes, estate planning and many other areas that impact your financial life! Important Legal Disclosure: creativeplanning.com/important-disclosure-information/ Have questions or topic suggestions? Email us @ podcasts@creativeplanning.com
Show Notes:Tweet from Nancy Pelosi Stock Tracker -https://twitter.com/pelositracker_/status/1725326755194384613?NVDA Earnings Report – Tweet from Brad Freeman - https://twitter.com/StockMarketNerd/status/1727079175209812089Morgan Housel referencing Peter Lazaroff -https://peterlazaroff.com/ep-125-why-recessions-are-so-hard-to-predict-with-morgan-housel?Tweet from Markets & Mayhem -https://twitter.com/Mayhem4Markets/status/1729287713688273310Research from Jurrien Timmer -https://twitter.com/TimmerFidelity/status/1729935098470944867Research from Charlie Bilello -https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1729591684848058568Tweet from Ben Carlson -https://twitter.com/awealthofcs/status/1725538079459488136?
Are you fixated on your investments' past performance rather than exploring their potential future impact? Ignoring this crucial aspect of your portfolio could lead to unexpected consequences for your future returns. Join John as he demystifies the concept of opportunity costs and their significance in wealth management. (1:44) Plus, Charlie Bilello joins the show to discuss the latest financial news and strategies you need to stay clear of. (13:33) Presented by Creative Planning, each week Host and Managing Director John Hagensen cuts through the headlines and loud takes to challenge the advice you may have been given and reaffirm what you know to be true. Plus, don't miss his weekly interviews with Creative Planning specialists as they cover investing, taxes, estate planning and many other areas that impact your financial life! Important Legal Disclosure: creativeplanning.com/important-disclosure-information/ Have questions or topic suggestions? Email us @ podcasts@creativeplanning.com
Show Notes:Tweet from Money Visuals, Ashby Daniels -https://twitter.com/mvmoneyvisuals/status/1714978955449798727?s=12&t=Godkt5FzuqWcmpmvo2G5JgYTD Performance Across the S&P Research by Charlie Bilello -https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1715373008263557378Economists Increase US Growth Projectionshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-20/economists-boost-us-growth-projections-reduce-recession-odds?Median net worth during the pandemic article in Bloomberg -https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-18/americans-net-worth-surged-by-most-in-decades-during-pandemic?“The Big Mistakes People Make in Medicare and How to Avoid Them” by Anna Wilde Matthews - https://www.wsj.com/health/healthcare/medicare-advantage-enrollment-risks-923e7952
Not all financial priorities are created equal. Find out the hierarchy you should follow and how correctly prioritizing your goals will play a crucial role in your future financial success. (1:36) Plus, Creative Planning Chief Market Strategist Charlie Bilello discusses winners and losers in the rising interest rate landscape, shedding light on the surprising resilience of the housing market and dispelling misconceptions about the impact of Fed policies on stocks. (10:48) Presented by Creative Planning, each week Host and Managing Director John Hagensen cuts through the headlines and loud takes to challenge the advice you may have been given and reaffirm what you know to be true. Plus, don't miss his weekly interviews with Creative Planning specialists as they cover investing, taxes, estate planning and many other areas that impact your financial life! Important Legal Disclosure: creativeplanning.com/important-disclosure-information/ Have questions or topic suggestions? Email us @ podcasts@creativeplanning.com
Show Notes:Tweet from Bespoke -https://twitter.com/bespokeinvest/status/1672326332074557442Tweet from Charlie Bilello -https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1669726606594654215
Show Notes:Tweet from Charlie Bilello - https://twitter.com/charliebilello/status/1669326669058830342 Article off Briefing.com -https://www.briefing.com/in-depth-analysis/page-one/2023/6/16/indices-supported-by-a-flat-squeezeTweet from Game of Trades -https://twitter.com/GameofTrades_/status/1671540980783394819Tweet from Chamath Palihapitiya -https://twitter.com/TimmerFidelity/status/1671515342781153281
Bank of America analysts warn that the U.S. economy could be headed for a "no landing" scenario thanks to the hot labor market, but that might not be good news for the stock market. BoA chief economist Michael Hartnett predicted a "no landing" scenario in the first half of the year, where there is no immediate slowdown in growth but inflation remains above trend. That would likely force the Fed to raise interest rates much higher than previously forecast — and keep them elevated for longer.In this episode of The Higher Standard, Chris and Saied examine this news and what it could mean for the economy as a whole.They discuss comments from Equity Group Investments founder and chairman Sam Zell, stating that Jerome Powell "missed the boat" on inflation, allowing "super-low" interest rates to exist for too long.Chris and Saied look at a warning from economist Mohamed El-Erian that the Federal Reserve won't be able to get US inflation down to its 2% target without “crushing the economy.” He added that the central bank is unlikely to officially change that goal post.They also offer some thoughts on a tweet from Charlie Bilello, Chief Market Strategist for Creative Planning, LLC, indicating that only 21% of homes for sale in the US sold above their final list price in the last 4 weeks, down from 40% a year ago. This is the lowest % since March 2020.Join Chris and Saied for this fascinating and informative conversation.Enjoy!What You'll Learn in this Show:Why holding rates for a prolonged period of time will create mental strain for people.The definition of a 'hard landing,' and what it means for the economy.Why household debt saw its largest increase in 20 years in New York.Whether the FOMC has the courage, after holding rates for 6-8 months, to raise them again.And so much more...Resources:The Real Deal via Instagram"Bank of America Says Stock Market Threatened With 'No Landing' Scenario" (article from Entrepreneur)"All aboard the mortgage rate roller coaster" (The Data Deli via Instagram)"Fed Can't Reach 2% Inflation Without Crushing Economy, El-Erian Says" (article from Bloomberg)Charlie Bilello via Twitter"Americans Have Nearly $1 Trillion in Credit Card Debt" (article from Bloomberg)"Investors Worry Too-Hot Economy Will Put Fed on More Aggressive Rate Path" (article from The Wall Street Journal)
Charlie Bilello is the founder & CEO of Compound Capital Advisors In this conversation, we break down the macro economy, the Federal Reserve policy, how bad the economy may get, and if we can grow our way out of debt. ======================= LMAX Digital - the market-leading solution for institutional crypto trading & custodial services - offers clients a regulated, transparent and secure trading environment, together with the deepest pool of crypto liquidity. LMAX Digital is also a primary price discovery venue, streaming real-time market data to the industry's leading analytics platforms. LMAX Digital - secure, liquid, trusted. Learn more at LMAXdigital.com/pomp ======================= The Pod Pro Cover by Eight Sleep is the most advanced solution on the market for thermoregulation. It pairs dynamic cooling and heating with biometric tracking. Go to https://www.eightsleep.com/Pomp to check out the Pod Pro Cover and save $150 at checkout. Eight Sleep currently ships within the USA, Canada, and the UK. ======================= DeFi Technologies represents what's next in the digital economy -- providing simplified, trusted access to crypto, decentralized finance and Web 3.0 investment opportunities. Institutions and investors can gain diversified, secure, compliant, and easily tradable access to a diversified set of industry-leading equity products and protocols, through a single stock purchase on a regulated exchange. Currently listed on U.S. (OTC: DEFTF) and Canadian (NEO:DEFI) exchanges. For more information or to subscribe to receive company updates and financial information, visit our website at http://defi.tech =======================
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