Podcasts about fed pivot

This week, we discuss NVIDIA's latest earnings, how shifting credit dynamics could reshape the next phase of the AI boom, what the Fed's mixed signals really imply for markets, and why global FX moves are sending quiet warnings. We also dig into the surprising forces driving crypto's recent washout and what they may signal about the road ahead. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx __ Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/19pmtdWgHFQaXqjjkBeuM89VtGWCLa9qo/view?usp=sharing — Grayscale offers more than 30 different crypto investment products. Explore the full suite at grayscale.com. Invest in your share of the future. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal. https://www.grayscale.com/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=paid-other&utm_campaign=brand&utm_id=&utm_term=&utm_content=audio-forwardguidance — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:11) NVDA Earnings & Debt-Fueled Capex (09:46) Rising Real Rates & Fed Pivot (12:05) Grayscale Ad (12:45) Private Credit Warnings (14:18) Fed in the Dark & Midterm Setup (19:54) Trump, Bessent & the Fed (22:20) Hawkish Balance Sheet, Dovish Rates (27:12) Grayscale Ad (28:00) Currency Markets & the Carry Trade (36:48) Bitcoin Quant Corner (48:22) Geopolitical Implications of Bitcoin and Stablecoins (53:52) Political Reflections (58:54) Final Thoughts — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance

Bitcoin dropped to $106K after a sudden Friday sell-off, triggering panic across crypto markets—but Swan's team remained calm, stressing the long-term thesis is unchanged.John Haar and Isaiah noted that Bitcoin fell just 10% while altcoins crashed 50–90%, underscoring Bitcoin's liquidity and resilience.The team compared the pullback to past cycles, arguing this is not a cycle top but typical mid-bull market volatility.Discussion on Fed Chair Powell signaling an end to QT and potential rate cuts—seen as a tailwind for Bitcoin as monetary easing returns.John highlighted data showing Bitcoin rose 750% during the Fed's tightening cycle, disproving the myth that Bitcoin only thrives under easy money.A deep dive into the Fed's balance sheet showed that long-dated Treasury holdings have never decreased since 2008, signaling systemic dependence on debt monetization.Chamath Palihapitiya's claim that quantum computing could break Bitcoin in 2–5 years was debunked—experts and developers agree it's decades away and Bitcoin can adapt.The team explored how AI could reshape the economy, potentially displacing workers and pushing governments toward UBI—but also creating new industries and efficiencies.Brady and John debated whether UBI could be socially beneficial or harmful; both agreed Bitcoin offers protection in any fiat debasement scenario.The show wrapped with reactions to Larry Fink's 60 Minutes appearance comparing Bitcoin to gold and Elon Musk's recent positive Bitcoin comments. Swan Private helps HNWI, companies, trusts, and other entities go beyond legacy finance with BItcoin. Learn more at swan.com/private. Put Bitcoin into your IRA and own your future. Check out swan.com/ira.Swan Vault makes advanced Bitcoin security simple. Learn more at swan.com/vault.

Daniel looks at the various scenarios in the upcoming FOMC meeting, where markets are expecting the Fed to start its rate-cutting cycleSpeaker:   - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.

Fed Chair Jay Powell's speech at Jackson Hole underscored the central bank's new focus on managing downside growth risks. Michael Zezas, our Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy, talks about how that shift could impact markets heading into 2026. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michael Zezas, Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Strategy.Today: What a subtle shift in the Fed's reaction function could mean for markets into year-end.It's Wednesday, September 3rd at 11am in New York.Last week, our U.S. economics team flagged a subtle but important shift in U.S. monetary policy. Chair Jay Powell's speech at Jackson Hole underscored that the Fed looks more focused on managing downside growth risks and, consequently, a bit more tolerant on inflation.As you heard Michael Gapen and Matthew Hornbach discuss last week – our colleagues expect this brings forward another Fed cut into September, kicking off a quarterly pace of 25 basis-point moves. But while this is a meaningful change in the timing of Fed rate cuts, this path would only result in slightly lower policy rates than those implied by the futures market, a proxy for the consensus of investors.So what does it mean for our views across asset classes? In short, our central case is for mostly positive returns across fixed income and equities into year-end. But the Fed's increased tolerance for inflation is a new wrinkle that means investors are likely to experience more volatility along the way.Consider U.S. government bonds. A slower economy and falling policy rates argue for lower Treasury yields. But if investors grow more convinced that the Fed will tolerate firmer inflation, the curve could steepen further, with the risk of longer maturity yields falling less, or potentially even rising.Or consider corporate bonds. Our economic growth view is “slower but still expanding,” which generally bodes well for corporate balance sheets and, thus, the pricing of credit risk. That combined with lower front-end rates suggests a solid total return outlook for corporate credit, keeping us constructive on the asset class. But of course, if long end yields are moving higher, it would certainly cut against overall returns potential.Finally, consider the stock market. The base case is still constructive into year-end as U.S. earnings hold firm, and recent tax cuts should further help corporate cash flows. However, if long bonds sell off, this could put the rally at risk – at least temporarily, as my colleague Mike Wilson has highlighted; given that higher long-end yields are a challenge to the valuation of growth stocks.The risk? A repeat of the early-April dynamic where a long-end sell-off pressures valuations.Could we count on a shift in monetary policy to curb these risks? Or another public policy shift such as easing tariffs or Treasury adjusting its bond issuance plans? Possibly. But investors should understand this would be a reaction to market conditions, not a proactive or preventative shift. So bottom line, we still see many core markets set up to perform well, but the sailing should be less smooth than it has been in recent months.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review and tell your friends about the podcast. We want everyone to listen.

Opinions by market pundits have been flying since Fed Chair Powell's remarks at Jackson Hole last week, leaving the door open for interest rate cuts as soon as in September. Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains his continued call for a bullish outlook on U.S. stocks.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing the Fed's new signaling on policy and what it means for stocks. It's Monday, August 25th at 11:30am in New York. So, let's get after it. Over the past few months, the markets started to anticipate a Fed pivot to a more dovish stance this fall. More specifically, the bond market started to price in a very high likelihood for the Fed to start cutting interest rates again in September. Equities have taken their cues from this signaling in the bond market by trading higher through most of the summer – despite lingering concerns about tariffs, international conflicts and valuation. I have remained bullish throughout this period given our focus on historically strong earnings revisions and the view that the Fed's next move would be to cut rates even if the timing remained uncertain. Last week, the Fed held its annual symposium in Jackson Hole where they typically discuss near term policy intentions as well as larger considerations for their strategic policy framework. We learned two key things. First, the Fed seems closer to cutting rates in September than the last time Chair Powell spoke publicly. This change also comes after a week in which the markets were left wondering if he would remain more hawkish until inflation data confirmed what markets have already figured out. Clearly, Powell leaned more dovish. And with markets a bit nervous going into his speech on Friday morning, equities rallied sharply the rest of the day. Second, the Fed also indicated that it will no longer target average inflation at 2 percent. Instead, it will make 2 percent the target at all times. This means the Fed will not tolerate inflation above or below target to manage the average like it did in 2021-22. It also suggests a more hawkish Fed should the economy recover more strongly than is currently expected or inflation reaccelerates. From my standpoint, this is bullish for stocks over the next few weeks and markets can now fully anticipate Fed cuts in September. However, I see a few risks for September and October worth thinking about as the S&P 500 approaches our longstanding 6500 target. The first risk is the Fed decides to not cut after all because either growth is better or inflation is higher than expected. That would be worth a small correction in stocks given the high likelihood of a cut that is now priced in. The second risk is the Fed cuts but the bond market decides it's being too carefree about inflation and longer term bonds sell off. A sharp rise in 10-year Treasury yields would likely elicit a bigger correction in stocks until the Treasury and Fed regain control. Here's the important message I want to leave you with. A major bear market ended in April, and a new bull market began. It's rare for new bull markets to last only four months and more likely they last one-to-two years, at a minimum. What that means is that any dips we get this fall are likely to be buying opportunities for longer term investors. What gives us even more confidence in that statement is that earnings revisions continue to move sharply higher. The Fed uses economic data to make its decisions and that data is generally backward looking. Equity investors look at company data and guidance which is forward looking. This fact alone explains the wide divergence between equity prices and Fed decisions, which tend to be late and after equity markets have already figured out what's going to happen rather than what's in the past. Bottom line, I remain bullish on the next 12 months given what companies and equity markets are telling us. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

Le Dollar US s'est stabilisé depuis le début de l'été mais il n'a pas été en mesure de franchir une résistance et donc sa tendance de fond reste baissière. Alors que le marché spécule et fait la girouette fondamentale quant à savoir si la FED va pivoter sur la période septembre/décembre prochain, quel serait l'impact sur le dollar US d'un « vrai pivot » de la FED et non d'un simple pivot technique ?

FED Pivot in 43 Days?! Danielle DiMartino Booth returns to explain why the Federal Reserve may be forced into an urgent policy shift. In this explosive interview, Danielle calls out the true state of the U.S. economy, reveals the massive housing fraud no one is talking about, and explains why the next recession might already be here — even if the data says otherwise.We cover everything from student loans, consumer debt, and buy now, pay later madness to the hidden risks in the auto loan and real estate markets. Danielle shares why she believes the Fed will be forced into multiple rate cuts in 2025, how Jay Powell's narrative is breaking down, and what it means for investors, households, and the market.#FED #economy #stocks Use our exclusive link to save 20% off your first year of QI Annual Daily Feather Subscription:

Breaking crypto news: Fake data sparks a massive Bitcoin sell-off, shaking the markets! Is the Fed pivot officially off the table? Get the latest updates on Bitcoin, crypto news, and altcoin reactions to this shocking development. Listen now to stay informed and protect your investments!

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli react to the Fed meeting where people are calling it a hawkish cut and a reset of future expectations of where interest rates end up. Plus, the Dot Plots say long run PCE Inflation will only go to 3% not 2%. Later looking at the Trade Weighted Dollar Index breakout and if it will become a problem for earnings growth in 2025. Of course, the big news last week was the spike in the VIX as the market had a temper tantrum. Finally, they go into earnings expectation, price to forward sales ratio, real retail sales, and more and even a wacky (or not) Amazon prediction.   Fed Hawkish Rate cut Fed PCE Inflation Dot Plot 3% long run target The Fed Pivot or Fed Reset in effect? The VIX Spikes as the market has a tantrum after Powell press conference Looking at current forward pe ratio for the S&P 500 Index now Earnings expectations and the strong US Dollar The US Dollar breaks out above resistance Forward Price to Sales ratio getting elevated? Goods vs services inflation PPI services is still elevated Would Amazon ever break out its business units to take advantage of AI and their chip? Greenspan fed vs Powell 1994 bull market vs this bull market and does it mean longer to run?   Mentioned in this Episode     Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com          

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In this episode, Liz Ann and Kathy discuss the unique characteristics of the current economic cycle, emphasizing its differences from historical cycles. They explore the implications of geopolitical events on market behavior, the Fed's potential reactions to inflationary pressures, and the significance of historical Fed cycles in understanding market trends. Finally, Kathy and Liz Ann offer the outlook for next week's economic data and indicators.You can read Liz Ann's articles on historical rate-cutting cycles: "What Past Fed Rate Cycles Can Tell Us" and "It's Time … For a Fed Pivot."On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve. All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) may be more sensitive to interest rate changes than other fixed income investments. They are subject to extension risk, where borrowers extend the duration of their mortgages as interest rates rise, and prepayment risk, where borrowers pay off their mortgages earlier as interest rates fall. These risks may reduce returns.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see ​schwab.com/indexdefinitions.Currency trading is speculative, volatile and not suitable for all investors.​Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.(1024-WXZC)

“I've Never Seen Such a Strong Divide between Senior and Junior Gold Stocks” explains fund manager Willem Middelkoop. He also reveals his ideal portfolio allocation. Willem offers commentary on the current gold stock market and the recent changes at Rupert Resources. Furthermore, he discusses bigger macro financial issues such as CBDC's, a Fed pivot and Chinese stimulus. Willem Middelkoop is the chairman of the Commodity Discovery Fund's management team and is ultimately responsible for the fund's investment policy. Willem is one of the pioneers of discovery investing and is the author of seven books on economics and financial markets. 0:00 Intro 1:14 Fed Pivot and Chinese Stimulus 2:05 Too much choice in the market? 6:20 Is money available to the junior miners? 7:35 The Big Reset - "planned reset in conjunction with chaos" 10:50 Cost of living vs. electrification of the world 14:00 CBDC 18:00 Bitcoin vs Gold 20:40 Portfolio Allocation 23:55 Rupert Resources changes 29:50 Canadian Government's block of Zijin's investment into SLS 34:04 CDF's contrarian investments 35:30 What differentiates CDF from the other funds out there? Willem's fund: https://www.cdfund.com/ Willem's Twitter: https://twitter.com/wmiddelkoop Sign up for our free newsletter and receive interview transcripts, stock profiles and investment ideas: http://eepurl.com/cHxJ39 Mining Stock Education (MSE) offers informational content based on available data but it does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice. It may not be appropriate for all situations or objectives. Readers and listeners should seek professional advice, make independent investigations and assessments before investing. MSE does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its content and should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions. MSE and its owner may hold financial interests in the companies discussed and can trade such securities without notice. MSE is biased towards its advertising sponsors which make this platform possible. MSE is not liable for representations, warranties, or omissions in its content. By accessing MSE content, users agree that MSE and its affiliates bear no liability related to the information provided or the investment decisions you make. Full disclaimer: https://www.miningstockeducation.com/disclaimer/

In this episode, Kathy and Liz Ann follow up on the release of last week's unemployment numbers and the reaction of the stock market to the jobs report. The expectation is still for a 25-basis-point cut at next week's Fed meeting. The conversation also touches on the un-inversion of the yield curve and its implications for the bond market. This week, Kevin Gordon joins the podcast to discuss equities and sector views. Kevin is a director and senior investment strategist and serves as Liz Ann Sonders' research associate. Kevin and Liz Ann discuss the recent changes in Schwab's sector ratings and the focus on factors rather than sectors. They also talk about the leadership shifts in the market, particularly in the Magnificent Seven stocks. They touch on the importance of diversification and the performance of different sectors. They then delve into the upcoming Fed rate cuts and the historical market behavior during fast-cutting cycles versus slow-cutting cycles. Lastly, Kathy and Liz Ann look ahead to next week's FOMC meeting and the other economic data on the horizon. Key economic data to watch for next week includes retail sales, industrial production, housing market indicators, and the Leading Economic Index.You can keep up with Schwab Sector Views here and also read the report that Kevin and Liz Ann discuss here: "It's Time … For a Fed Pivot."On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting.If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts. Important DisclosuresThe information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.  All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.  Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.  All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.  Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions.Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) is designed to gauge and track the pulse of the single-family housing market. https://www.nahb.org/news-and-economics/housing-economics/indices/housing-market-index(0924-SFF0)

The Federal Reserve Just SHIFTED Their Policy On Interest Rate Cuts! What does that mean for the Housing Market? Logan Mohtashami, an economist with Housingwire, discusses the dynamics of the housing market, including the impact of mortgage rates and the Federal Reserve's policy. He explains the concept of real rates and the Fed's rate cuts. Logan also shares his forecast for mortgage rates in 2024 and beyond, along with the potential impact on mortgage applications and sales. He addresses the challenges in increasing housing inventory and debunks housing crash predictions. Finally, he provides advice for homebuyers in a competitive market and highlights resources for further information to help you become The Educated HomeBuyer. ✅ - Get connected with us or to a local expert in your market, http://www.theeducatedhomebuyer.com/expert

The US hiring fell short of forecasts in August after downward revisions to the prior two months. The data are likely to fuel speculation that the Federal Reserve will deploy a big rate cut in September. Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney get analysis on the numbers from Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research Neil Dutta, New Century Advisors Chief Economist Claudia Sahm, Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi, and Bradesco BBI Head of Equity Strategy Ben Laidler.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The conversation between Gold Newsletter's Brien Lundin and MSD's Trevor Hall discusses the current position of the gold market and explores the factors that could impact its future. The main themes include the potential for a sell-off or a misstep in the market, the role of central banks and Chinese demand, the impact of the Fed pivot, the prediction of a return to easier money policies, the role of gold as a hedge against depreciating fiat currencies, the influence of market events like Nvidia earnings, and the opportunities in the gold equities sector.

For the past several months I've been predicting that the Fed will need to pivot on their interest rate policy.  As recently as Thursday of last week I predicted that the Fed would have no choice but to drop interest rates based on labor market weakness. I also predicted that we would hear some meaningful update at the Jackson Hole conference in Chair Powell's remarks on Friday morning.  I don't have a crystal ball, although I expect to some that it might seem like I do. On Friday morning Chair Powell did indeed announce a major change in monetary policy. There were a few things that Chair Powell said in his remarks that were significant.  He declared a bit of a victory lap on the inflation fight, even though the disinflationary progress has been gradual over the past year.  The real story behind the Fed pivot is unemployment is rising sharply.  --------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Crypto Town Hall is a daily X Spaces hosted by Scott Melker, Ran Neuner & Mario Nawfal. Every day we discuss the latest news in crypto and bring the biggest names in the space to share their insight. ►►TRADING ALPHA READY TO TRADE LIKE THE PROS? THE BEST TRADERS IN CRYPTO ARE RELYING ON THESE INDICATORS TO MAKE TRADES. USE CODE ‘2MONTHSOFF' WHEN VISITING MY LINK. 

How well do you understand the gap between market expectations and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rate cuts? Join us as we unpack the highly anticipated Jackson Hole keynote speech, examining its implications for interest rate expectations and potential recession indicators. We'll break down the significant discrepancy between what the market is predicting and what the Fed is signaling, and explore the possible outcomes if either side is wrong. With insights into market fluctuations and key technical indicators like the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, you'll gain the knowledge needed to navigate these turbulent times effectively.In this episode, we also discuss the market's recent wobbles and delve into why yesterday's dramatic movements occurred. We examine the scenarios where the Fed might be forced to cut rates due to a recession and what happens if the anticipated rate cuts fall short. Stay informed and realistic about interest rate adjustments with our in-depth analysis, and make strategic decisions even in uncertainty. This is a must-listen for investors keen on staying ahead in today's volatile market environment.Support the Show.

Brien Lundin believes that we are in a historic moment in the gold market where the rules have completely changed. The Fed hasn't yet started cutting rates, yet gold has reached all-time-highs and he outlines the reasons why he thinks we are in a new era when it comes to precious metals. Brien points out that when the Fed does pivot, the result on the gold price could be explosive. Dolly Varden Silver (TSXV: DV | OTC: DOLLF)https://dollyvardensilver.com Disclaimer: Commodity Culture was compensated by Dolly Varden Silver for promotion. Jesse Day is not a shareholder of Dolly Varden Silver. Nothing contained in this promotion is to be construed as investment advice, do your own due diligence. Gold Newsletter: https://goldnewsletter.comNew Orleans Investment Conference: https://neworleansconference.com Follow Jesse Day on X: https://x.com/jessebdayCommodity Culture on Youtube: https://youtube.com/c/CommodityCulture

Our Fed cut checklist has been valuable tool for gauging this Fed's patient policy. For the last two years, only one of our four conditions was met. Now, others are falling in line. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann discuss how recent data may finally bring a Fed pivot – and what that means for investors.  

What drove the Fed to change their tune? In the most recent testimony in front of a congressional committee, chair Powell spoke about getting closer to their stated 2% target. But clearly the numbers are still elevated. The restrictive monetary policy is serving to bring demand and supply into better balance and to put downward pressure on inflation.  He said that moving too soon or too much could stall or even reverse the progress we have seen against inflation.  In spite of this, Chair Powell said that there is a risk of reducing policy restrain too late or too little could unduly weaken economic activity and employment. For now they're going to continue to monitor the data on a meeting by meeting basis and make decisions on a meeting by meeting basis.  So why did the Fed change their stance? This is a very different posture from what we have heard over the past two years.  This is one of those questions that seems to be eluding the mainstream media.  -------------- **Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

What if the economic landscape could change overnight? This week, we tackle the complexities of Fed week and Apple's monumental announcement, dissecting JP Morgan's recent cautionary note about potential Fed actions and the unexpected pivot in rate cut expectations. We'll demystify how robust job numbers can reshape future rate cuts and uncover the gaps between market anticipations and the Fed's projections. Expect a deep dive into the broader economic outlook and its ripple effects on tech stocks, rounded out with a candid look at my own trading tactics, featuring recent successful trades and a sneak peek into my live trading and portfolio management techniques.We also break down the current market pulse, predicting a range-bound stability despite potential curveballs from Apple or the Fed. Learn how to capitalize on this stability through a strategic trading approach designed to maximize profits within defined zones. By engaging in our live trading session, you'll gain hands-on experience in applying these strategies. Additionally, we'll cover pre-market movements, including Nvidia's slight dip and other notable shifts in stocks like Walmart, Tesla, and AMD. Join us for an in-depth training session on Tuesday evening to master these systems and rules, and better navigate this ever-changing market environment.Support the Show.

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Learn more about the guys: J Scott: https://linktr.ee/jscottinvestor Mauricio Rauld: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCnPedp0WHxpIUWLTVhNN2kQ AJ Osborne:  https://www.ajosborne.com/ Kyle Wilson:  https://www.bardowninvestments.com/

The FED just signaled that Interert Rate Cuts Aren't Coming Anytime Soon! Should you BUY NOW or WAIT for Lower Mortgage Rates? What does these mean for house prices? When will housing affordability improve? In this live episode, we are going to discuss the latest regarding inflation, the Federal Reserve, as well the latest employment and economic data while helping you understand how that affects you as a buyer or seller in the 2024 housing market. Tonight's Slides - https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/13yFjQTtkeFP7BDuBSPqA-QVMMEssk3swx8tESZaNbeI/edit?usp=sharing ✅ - Want to get connected with us or to a local expert in your market, please reach out at http://www.theeducatedhomebuyer.com/expert Connect with Jeb

In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we are joined by two market experts, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, and Dan McNamara, Founder & CIO of Polpo Capital. After a week full of headlines, we discuss the 'cold water' that seems to have been thrown on the recent resilience and soft-landing narrative. Join us as we talk layoffs and what the jobs numbers really mean, CMBS issuance, increasing recession fears, maturity walls, and faltering CRE fundamentals. Tune in now. Episode Notes: - Breaking down the week's news (0:47) - Inflation numbers and hotels; layoffs and jobs (7:02) - Office impairment 2.0 (10:07) - CMBS rally? (18:40) - Corporate debt maturities (23:00) - Hotel maturities (29:56) - Quantitative tightening and liquidity risks (33:35) - Where to put capital to work? (36:54) - Dallas office vacancies (37:53) - "Silver lining" for 2024 (44:53) Please take our listener feedback survey: www.surveymonkey.com/r/BMPXLHG Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC

Even with inflation and the jobs market both running hot, many investors are convinced of an imminent cut in interest rates. Lauren Goodwin and Julia Hermann discuss how the Fed's shift in tone has contributed to this renewed investor debate. 

Today's interview is sponsored by Public. You can go to Public.com, purchase Treasury bills in seconds, and you may be able to earn some of the highest yields we've seen since the year 2000. Go to https://public.com/forwardguidance to get started. -- On today's episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, and George Goncalves Head of US Macro Strategy at MUFG for a discussion on what to expect from the Fed, economy & markets in 2024. Will the Fed be able to avoid a recession as markets price in a soft landing? To hear all this & more, you'll have to tune in! -- This podcast is sponsored by Public. Rate discussed is gross of fees. All investing involves risk of loss and past performance is not indicative of future results. Treasuries on Public are available to US members only. Brokerage Accounts for treasury securities are offered by Jiko Securities, Inc. (“JSI”) member FINRA and SIPC. Securities investments: Not FDIC Insured; No Bank Guarantee; May Lose Value. Banking services and the Bank Account are provided by Jiko Bank, a division of Mid-Central National Bank. Full disclosures can be found at https://public.com/forwardguidance. -- Follow Danielle on Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow George on Twitter: https://twitter.com/bondstrategist Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ __ Use code FG10 to get 10% off Blockworks' Digital Asset Summit in March: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:38) What To Expect In 2024 (07:52) Fed Rate Cuts In 2024 (14:35) What Caused The Powell Pivot? (28:38) Will The Fiscal Support End In 2024? (42:55) Recession vs The Soft Landing (50:23) Heading For A Credit Event (54:39) Positioning Into 2024 (57:32) Quantitative Tightening -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On this episode of “On The Tape,” Dan Nathan and Guy Adami sit down with Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Investment Partners, for a conversation about the macro environment, Fed and bitcoin.  Key Insights from the Pod: What's changed in the markets (1:45) Debt to GDP (4:15)  China/Taiwan (6:00) Inflation (9:40) Interest rates (14:35) Currencies/Gold/Bitcoin (20:00) Reasons to be bullish Bitcoin right now (28:30) The potential Bitcoin ETF (37:00) Regulation (37:45) — About the Show: On The Tape is a weekly podcast with CNBC Fast Money's Guy Adami, Dan Nathan and Danny Moses. They're offering takes on the biggest market-moving headlines of the week, trade ideas, in-depth analysis, tips and advice. Each episode, they are joined by prominent Wall Street participants to help viewers make smarter investment decisions. Bear market, bull market, recession, inflation or deflation… we're here to help guide your portfolio into the green. Risk Reversal brings you years of experience from former Wall Street insiders trading stocks to experts in the commodity market. — Check out our show notes here Learn more about Ro body: ro.co/tape See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/onthetape. — Shoot us an email at OnTheTape@riskreversal.com with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OnTheTapePod on Twitter or @riskreversalmedia on Threads — We're on social: Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow Danny Moses @DMoses34 on Twitter Follow Liz Young @LizYoungStrat on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

We've got the results of the final 2-year note auction of the year and the one key data point our market guest says will finally trigger the Fed pivot. Plus, a pair of big biotech buyouts today, including one pharma giant striking its second multibillion-dollar deal in less than a week. We'll look at whether more M&A is on the way. And with tech stocks on track to post their best year since the turn of the century, can they avoid a sharp correction after their massive run? We'll debate.

Carolyn Sissoko, senior lecturer at University of the West of England, joins Forward Guidance alongside Joseph Wang, CIO of Monetary Macro and author at FedGuy.com, to discuss the Federal Reserve's public acknowledgement that it may cut interest rates in 2024, the collateral supply effect, and the merging of of credit allocation facilities and money markets. Filmed on December 19, 2023.  Today's interview is brought to you by Sustainable Bitcoin Protocol, an environmental solution for bitcoin. Interested parties can find out more at https://bit.ly/46gFlgr __ Follow Carolyn Sissoko on Twitter https://twitter.com/csissoko Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://twitter.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks on Twitter https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Joseph's latest, “Independent Tracks”: https://fedguy.com/independent-tracks/ Professor Sissoko's publications: https://people.uwe.ac.uk/Person/CarolynSissoko __ Use code FG20 to get 20% off Blockworks' Digital Asset Summit in March: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london __ Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:51) Joseph's Take On The Fed's December FOMC Meeting (09:25) Does Zero Interest Rate Policy Cause Malinvestment And Misallocation of Credit? (15:02) The Rise of "Too Big To Fail" (24:32) Line Separating Bank Lending And Money Markets Has Been "Almost Completely Obliterated" (38:25) Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and Stablecoins (40:48) Joseph On Why Fed Quantitative Tightening (QT) Could Continue Even As It Cuts Rates (45:20) Joseph's Views On Bonds (01:02:03) The Collateral Effect (01:17:04) CLOs and Private Equity __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets. 

Stock and bond markets are abuzz this week over Chairman Jay Powell's hints of a "Fed Pivot" in interest rate policy. Mark Thornton explains why this optimism is badly misplaced. Be sure to follow Minor Issues at Mises.org/MinorIssues. Get your free copy of Murray Rothbard's Anatomy of the State at Mises.org/IssuesFree.

Stock and bond markets are abuzz this week over Chairman Jay Powell's hints of a "Fed Pivot" in interest rate policy. Mark Thornton explains why this optimism is badly misplaced. Be sure to follow Minor Issues at https://Mises.org/MinorIssues. Get your free copy of Murray Rothbard's Anatomy of the State at https://Mises.org/IssuesFree.

On yesterday's show I speculated on some of the reasons why the Fed might have pivoted. These reasons all sounded pretty plausible. Then I listened to an interview with Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, who was on the Fed's rate-setting committee this year. He spoke with the WSJ's Take On the Week podcast host to discuss why “all things are on the table” when it comes to interest rates, including potential rate hikes, and why he thinks there is still a risk of recession. Plus: what's keeping him up at night, and why he says it may be time for the Fed to shift its focus from inflation to the slowing U.S. labor market. Naturally, Austan Goolsbee was careful not to make any predictions. But he did provide some meaningful insights as to why the change of heart at the Fed. He was asked about the spectrum of opinions across the members of the Fed. While all of the FOMC board members and all of the regional bank presidents have a voice at the table,  not all members have a vote. There is a rotating voting structure where each board member serves a term on the rate setting committee.  In retrospect, I totally missed what was an obvious reason for the change.  The Fed is well known for relying on the so-called Phillips curve as one of the core financial models when it comes to understanding the economy. 

*NEW ITEM!* Purchase my newest book! "15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires" https://amzn.to/3CGOWOU

In the latest LPL Market Signals podcast, the LPL Research strategists discuss the market reaction to the Fed's pivot, try to decipher the messages from the commodities markets, and assess geopolitical risks in 2024. Tracking # 518311

Episode 438:  Fed isn't planning to hit 2% inflation target until end of 2026.  Fed rate cuts in 2024 would keep the yield curve inverted. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------

Follow On The Margin On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/46WWQ6T Follow On The Margin On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3UsnTiM Follow Blockworks Macro On YouTube: https://bit.ly/3NKpujX -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Digital Asset Summit 2024. Use Code: MARGIN20 for a 20% discount. Prices go up in January! https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2024-london Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Bankless Weekly Rollup 2nd Week of December 2023 -----

The Fed Pivot has Investors expecting a March Rate Cut, The fight against Skin Cancer by Merck Moderna, Tony Mendes from The Real Estate Report and Bay Area LoanSource discusses new Products for Home Buying

Investors continued to Celebrate a Dovish Shift by the Federal Reserve that helped propel the Dow to a new all time Closing High, Even Global markets are caught up in a Wild Rally, The Federal Reserve signaled that there may be Multiple Interest Rate Cuts next year

We connect with Rob Sinn for much some much needed market commentary after yesterday's FOMC announcement. The Fed says they are done hiking and will be looking to cut rates in 2024. We chat about the discrepancies between Fed expectations and market expectations. But gold and gold equities moves yesterday following the announcement were astonishing. Is it time for the juniors to follow suit?

Steven McClurg is a Co-Founder of Valkyrie Investments. In this interview, we discuss the North American Bitcoin Summit, speculation about SEC approval of Bitcoin ETFs, and the potential advantages of having the first approved ETF. The conversation also covers the US government's debt and its effect on the economy, the concept of inflation and its potential impact, the influence of BlackRock and state involvement in Bitcoin, and future Bitcoin adoption. - - - - One of the hot topics at the North American Bitcoin Summit was the speculation surrounding the approval of Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC. I was fortunate to be able to have a new interview with Valkyrie Investments CIO Steven McClurg, who provided insight into the SEC's decision-making process, how the SEC will likely batch the approval of ETFs, the role of BlackRock in changing the SEC's stance, and the impact of the speculation on Bitcoin's price. Our conversation moved on to cover the US government's debt and its impact on the economy. The elephant in the room is the increasing pressure debt servicing applies to the US government finances, particularly in the wake of interest rate rises. Steve focused on the concern that the government seems to have little political incentives to solve the debt problem, as politicians are focused on getting reelected rather than addressing long-term issues. We discussed the compounding effect of inflation, and how even a small increase in inflation can have significant consequences over time. The rising costs of groceries, fuel, and housing, are materially affecting people's ability to invest and save. Whilst we are veterans of believing Bitcoin provides financial protection, it seems like prominent financiers such as Larry Fink, BlackRock's CEO, are also considering Bitcoin as a solution to the current economic situation. The podcast concluded with a discussion on the potential for government investment in Bitcoin. We speculated on the amount of Bitcoin owned by El Salvador and its potential value. We touched on the seizure of Bitcoin by US police and how the government has dealt with these seizures. Finally, Steve and I talked about whether other countries are likely to be acquiring Bitcoin. It may be very soon that all countries realise that they don't have enough! - Show notes: https://www.whatbitcoindid.com/podcast/macro-fed-pivot-bitcoin This episode's sponsors: Iris Energy - Bitcoin Mining. Done Sustainably Bitcasino - The Future of Gaming is here Ledger - State of the art Bitcoin hardware wallet Wasabi Wallet - Privacy by default Unchained - Secure your bitcoin with confidence OrangePillApp - Stack Friends Who Stack Sats

“I see us going to $100,000 by the end of next year, easy…and that's ignoring a Bitcoin spot ETF; that is a complete game changer.”— Steve McClurgSteven McClurg is a Co-Founder of Valkyrie Investments. In this interview, we discuss the North American Bitcoin Summit, speculation about SEC approval of Bitcoin ETFs, and the potential advantages of having the first approved ETF. The conversation also covers the US government's debt and its effect on the economy, the concept of inflation and its potential impact, the influence of BlackRock and state involvement in Bitcoin, and future Bitcoin adoption. - - - - One of the hot topics at the North American Bitcoin Summit was the speculation surrounding the approval of Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC. I was fortunate to be able to have a new interview with Valkyrie Investments CIO Steven McClurg, who provided insight into the SEC's decision-making process, how the SEC will likely batch the approval of ETFs, the role of BlackRock in changing the SEC's stance, and the impact of the speculation on Bitcoin's price.Our conversation moved on to cover the US government's debt and its impact on the economy. The elephant in the room is the increasing pressure debt servicing applies to the US government finances, particularly in the wake of interest rate rises. Steve focused on the concern that the government seems to have little political incentives to solve the debt problem, as politicians are focused on getting reelected rather than addressing long-term issues.We discussed the compounding effect of inflation, and how even a small increase in inflation can have significant consequences over time. The rising costs of groceries, fuel, and housing, are materially affecting people's ability to invest and save. Whilst we are veterans of believing Bitcoin provides financial protection, it seems like prominent financiers such as Larry Fink, BlackRock's CEO, are also considering Bitcoin as a solution to the current economic situation.The podcast concluded with a discussion on the potential for government investment in Bitcoin. We speculated on the amount of Bitcoin owned by El Salvador and its potential value. We touched on the seizure of Bitcoin by US police and how the government has dealt with these seizures. Finally, Steve and I talked about whether other countries are likely to be acquiring Bitcoin. It may be very soon that all countries realise that they don't have enough! - - - - This episode's sponsors:Iris Energy - Bitcoin Mining. Done Sustainably Bitcasino - The Future of Gaming is hereLedger - State of the art Bitcoin hardware walletWasabi Wallet - Privacy by defaultUnchained - Secure your bitcoin with confidenceOrange Pill App - Stack friends who stack sats-----WBD738 - Show Notes-----If you enjoy The What Bitcoin Did Podcast you can help support the show by doing the following:Become a Patron and get access to shows early or help contributeMake a tip:Bitcoin: 3FiC6w7eb3dkcaNHMAnj39ANTAkv8Ufi2SQR Codes: BitcoinIf you do send a tip then please email me so that I can say thank youSubscribe on iTunes | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | YouTube | Deezer | TuneIn | RSS FeedLeave a review on iTunesShare the show and episodes with your friends and familySubscribe to the newsletter on my websiteFollow me on Twitter Personal | Twitter Podcast | Instagram | Medium | YouTubeIf you are interested in sponsoring the show, you can read more about that here or please feel free to drop me an email to discuss options.

The USD continues to weaken with the market betting on a Fed pivot as inflation cooled more than expected last week and more indicators are suggesting the US economy is slowing down. We also cover FOMC Minutes, initial jobless claims, and Black Friday. In Europe, this week is going to be a key test of the turnaround narrative with fresh PMI figures and IFO survey, while we also keeping an eye on UK budget and Riksbank. Finally, in Asia FX traders should have a focus on RBA Minutes and the stabilisation/strengthening of the Chinese Yuan, with Charu Chanana and Peter Garnry. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and SaxoStrats Market Strategy Team here. Click here to open an account with Saxo

· Live podcast and audience Q&A.Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/goldSign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy