Podcasts about quill intelligence

Tom Bodrovics once again engages in an interesting conversation with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, former Fed Insider, and author of the book "Fed Up." The conversation focuses on the ongoing recession that likely began in Q1 2024. Danielle highlights key data points, such as job losses starting in Q2 2024, which confirm the recession's onset. Despite this clarity, official channels are reluctant to acknowledge the recession due to political considerations. Danielle emphasizes the severe impact of student loan forbearance and credit constraints on US households, noting that rising defaults will further strain consumer spending. This situation is compounded by a lack of clear policies to replace past stimulus measures, leaving the economy vulnerable. Danielle shifts into the commercial real estate sector, with banks facing growing pressure to recognize losses. She critiques the Federal Reserve for ignoring critical data, such as shelter inflation and job losses, in favor of focusing on tariffs' impact on goods prices. This stance, she argues, is politically motivated and disregards the Fed's own historical lessons. Investors are advised to prioritize safety over riskier assets, given the high returns on cash and the uncertain economic outlook. Danielle concludes by urging empathy and support for communities navigating these challenging times, emphasizing the importance of looking out for one another during economic hardship. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:10 - Recession Recognition?6:05 - Recession & Neg. GDP9:06 - Politics & Power Games11:28 - Democrats & Leadership14:16 - Global Recession Outlook16:10 - Student Loan Problems20:10 - Com. Real Estate Bubble23:48 - Banks & Neg. Home Values26:38 - Q.E. Tariffs & Inflation30:30 - Wages, Housing, & Retail36:30 - Powell & Coming Shocks40:59 - Fed Ignoring The Data42:05 - Safe Investor Plays?47:10 - Concluding Thoughts48:10 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X: https://x.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a Research Revolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio.

The Tariff Kid - Tariff on Tariff off! US Manufacturing turns the corner. A quick check on earnings and some thoughts on the economy. And our guest - Danielle DiMartino Booth - the "Fed watcher" NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE'S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) As Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), has a column on Bloomberg View, is a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio: she holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AMZN), (GLD), (BTCUSD), (ORCL), (GOOG), (SMR), CEG), (GEV), (AMD)

Tom Bodrovics engages in a discussion with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for QI Research, former Fed Insider, and author of the book "Fed Up." Danielle stresses the importance of monitoring private sector actions, particularly in 2025 due to recent job losses and the significance of shelter inflation's impact on the Federal Reserve. She highlights an upward trend in unemployment rates and potential recession expectations, but does not believe one is necessary. The conversation touches upon central bankers' confidence bubble and its implications for the current economic climate. They also delve into commercial real estate markets and the potential repercussions on banks and markets. Serious concerns in this sector have led to double defaults on commercial mortgage-backed securities, with regulators putting pressure on credit rating agencies not to downgrade them. Tom also inquires about other financial burdens, such as rising unemployment, falling house prices, and mortgage delinquencies, which contribute to significant household financial pressures. Canadian banks have announced larger losses but maintain they are contained. Banks attempt to slow charge-offs by modifying loans and extending terms, but this approach has limitations due to the possibility of re-default. Danielle concludes the conversation by encouraging listeners to maturely face sacrifices and embrace long-term benefits that come with cutting government waste. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:44 - The Economy & Stats2:49 - Unemployment & Layoffs3:38 - Powell & Trump4:37 - Revisions & Recession6:25 - Bankruptcies & Rates8:13 - C.B. Confidence/Hubris11:22 - Dollar Strength & Trump14:57 - Inflation Thoughts16:47 - Housing Confidence19:38 - Commercial Real Estate20:57 - Consumers & Banking22:37 - Safe Assets & Dividends24:14 - Buy Now Pay Later?26:42 - 2025 and Gov't Spending27:49 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode Danielle emphasizes investors monitor private sector actions amid job losses, shelter inflation, and potential recession concerns. Concerns center around Central bankers' 'confidence', commercial real estate risks, and household financial pressures. DiMartino cautions listeners that Trump cuts may require short to medium term sacrifices to gain long-term benefits. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015.

Tom welcomes back Danielle DiMartino Booth to the show to discuss de-dollarization and its implications for the US economy. Danielle argues that while concerns over countries moving away from the US dollar system have been ongoing for a long time, the US dollar remains dominant in global transactions due to its vast liquidity pool and lack of competition. She advises investors to diversify during financial crises instead of doubling down on dollars. The conversation touches upon the Federal Reserve's actions, with Danielle expressing concerns about potential policy errors regarding inflation and outdated data usage. Danielle discusses employment statistics, mentioning that hard data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) plays a significant role in revisions to non-farm payrolls and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). She expresses concern over the Fed's reliance on outdated data and potential late action. The conversation also covers concerns about risks for regional banks, rising bankruptcy rates, and imminent student loan delinquencies. She also discusses signs of a potential recession, including slowdown in credit card spending, increasing charge offs, and decreasing employment levels. Despite some optimistic predictions, she express skepticism due to the weak economic foundation and the Fed's role in combatting inflation with varying opinions on its likelihood. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Dedollarization Trends2:47 - Global Dollar Trade5:49 - Reserves and Data8:57 - Fed & Global C.B. Cuts10:49 - Fed & 2024 Elections12:55 - Consumer 'Health'13:58 - Fed Revisions & Data Lag19:44 - Bankruptcies & Inflation23:44 - Problems Not Priced-In25:27 - Regional Banking Risk28:47 - Bigger Banks & Losses32:52 - Credit Card Spending34:52 - Deep Long Recession?37:40 - Fed - Hard Landing38:55 - Inflation Targeting41:09 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode The US dollar's dominance in global transactions is due to its vast liquidity pool and lack of competition. Investors are advised to diversify during financial crises instead of relying on dollars. Concerns over the Fed's policy errors, outdated data usage, and potential late action in addressing economic issues. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy.

In this week's episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we are joined by two market experts, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, and Dan McNamara, Founder & CIO of Polpo Capital. After a week full of headlines, we discuss the 'cold water' that seems to have been thrown on the recent resilience and soft-landing narrative. Join us as we talk layoffs and what the jobs numbers really mean, CMBS issuance, increasing recession fears, maturity walls, and faltering CRE fundamentals. Tune in now. Episode Notes: - Breaking down the week's news (0:47) - Inflation numbers and hotels; layoffs and jobs (7:02) - Office impairment 2.0 (10:07) - CMBS rally? (18:40) - Corporate debt maturities (23:00) - Hotel maturities (29:56) - Quantitative tightening and liquidity risks (33:35) - Where to put capital to work? (36:54) - Dallas office vacancies (37:53) - "Silver lining" for 2024 (44:53) Please take our listener feedback survey: www.surveymonkey.com/r/BMPXLHG Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC

Timestamps: 0:00 View on Inflation 7:57 The Solution to Federal Government Spending 11:20 Stock-Pickers Market/Opportunities in a Rising Rates Environment 17:01 Best Idea for 2024 Coming together for Round Table Prime are DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; Charles Payne, author and Fox Business Anchor; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Round Table Prime was held Jan. 11, 2024.

Jim's Comment: 5:02 Stock-Pickers Market/Opportunities in a Rising Rates Environment During the markets segment of its 2024 edition, participants in DoubleLine Round Table Prime present their outlooks on various markets and topics for 2024. Coming together for Round Table Prime are DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; Charles Payne, author and Fox Business Anchor; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Round Table Prime was held Jan. 11, 2024. (00:29) Charles Payne discusses the state of the IPO pipeline heading into 2024 and how that pipeline has punished investors for 15, 20 years. He also shares his Word of the Year for stock investors: nimble. (5:06) Jim Bianco says the art of stock picking is very much alive, breaks down “a multi-year bear market in bonds,” talks the resilience of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency, and discusses China's slow recovery and its impact on commodities. (10:44) Jeffrey Gundlach looks at valuations and price-to-earnings since the November start of the Everything Rally then talks about how a secular shift from a long period of declining interest rates to a period of rising interest rates will impact participants' and prognosticators' understanding of the markets. He also discusses the potential economic backdrop that would have him looking at EM and lower tiers of credit, and he shares why he has put money in India and doesn't even look at it. He closes with his thoughts on mortgage spreads, high yield bond defaults and TIPS. (25:18) David Rosenberg talks about how the CPI is a flawed statistic, the S&P 500's flat two-year performance with no improvement in valuations, how there's so much psychology involved in the stock market, the equity risk premium, and how the soft landing is real and how historically it has served as a precursor to contraction. He also shares his thoughts on positioning and the outlook for several countries, including Japan and Canada. (42:08) The markets section concludes with Danielle DiMartino Booth discussing private markets juxtaposed against public markets and the impact of public pension funds flowing into private equity a few years ago, and speculating on who will be living in Illinois if Indiana gets rid of its state income tax.

Jim's Comment: 6:28 Best Idea for 2024 Participants in DoubleLine Round Table Prime 2024 share their best trading and investment ideas for 2024. Coming together for Round Table Prime are DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; Charles Payne, author and Fox Business Anchor; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Round Table Prime was held Jan. 11, 2024.

Jim's Timestamps: 27:28 Jim's view on Inflation. 1:06:26 The solution to Federal Government Spending. During the macroeconomic segment of its 2024 edition, participants in DoubleLine Round Table Prime among other issues debate the seeming failure of the most telegraphed recession in history to materialize in 2023, the intersection of Federal Reserve policy with a presidential election year and deep changes in the economy post-2020. Coming together for Round Table Prime are DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; Charles Payne, author and Fox Business Anchor; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Round Table Prime was held Jan. 11, 2024. Topics include: (1:08) How the U.S. avoided recession despite numerous recessionary indicators and evidence the U.S. economy is far more downbeat than some widely followed economic statistics would indicate. (10:57) The condition of consumer and household financial conditions and the rapid rise of consumer borrowing delinquencies. (15:50) Possible factors behind the protracted length of the current cycle, including money supply as measured by M2, and as Charles Payne points out (27:58), the velocity of money. (30:45) Post-2020 transformations of the economy, the biggest, Jim Bianco notes, being remote work and acceleration of deglobalization, with important implications for inflation. (35:52) Federal Reserve monetary policy, including Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell's dovish pivot Dec. 13, which Danielle DiMartino Booth thinks was timed “to get in front of the Iowa caucuses.” (45:50) The probability of recession in 2024. (50:11) Jeffrey Gundlach's warning about the combination of the federal government running large deficits (even amid low unemployment), funded by debt, amid rising interest rates, and his outlook on the inevitability of a restructuring of the federal debt and the unfunded liabilities of American entitlement programs.

Danielle DiMartinoBooth of Quill Intelligence is back to discuss important economic indicators and their potential impact on the financial markets. Danielle highlights concerns about the rising unemployment rate signaling a recession, why the stock market remains high, and the flight to safety trade into T-bills. Danielle also expresses skepticism about CBDCs, gives arguments for owning gold, and her odds on the likelihood of a Powell coup.

Tom welcomes Danielle Booth back to the show to once again discuss the Fed and the state of the economy. Danielle explains why Powell needs to maintain "illusion or narrative" of higher interest rates for longer. This is crucial for households, commercial real estate developers, and corporations who have taken out loans and mortgages at lower rates. While a potential decrease of up to 100 basis points (5% to 4%) is possible by January, it is unlikely. Currently, rates are much higher and will have an impact on entities that are cashflow constrained. Danielle also discusses the various indicators to gauge the state of the economy, such as layoffs, disposable personal income, and stimulus checks. She noted that the Bureau of Labor Statistics has two surveys, one of which creates the unemployment rate and the other creates non-farm payrolls. It is important to consider both surveys to accurately assess the economy. Danielle also talks about the impact of the pandemic on the economy, with job losses, bankruptcies, and a potential recession looming. She mentioned the challenges faced by the repossession industry due to a lack of employees, and the pressure on Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell to prevent a market crash. Lastly, she also advised keeping an eye on bank reserves and understanding how companies are preparing for the end of the year with cost-cutting and potential layoffs. Overall, the economy is facing a potential stagflation as households struggle to keep up with inflation and debt obligations. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:36 - Higher For Longer2:34 - Debt Loads & Cash Flow5:00 - Recession Indications6:50 - Non-Farm Payroll12:03 - Wage Price Spiral?13:34 - Inflation Outlook15:48 - Freight Economic Costs17:25 - Sub-Prime Auto Loans20:20 - Powell & Election Year23:10 - Liquidity + Correction25:46 - Gov't Spending & Labor28:14 - End Of Year Outlook29:44 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode Why rates are having a major impact on households, commercial real estate developers, and corporations who have taken out mortgages and loans. Why it's important to consider both jobless claims and payroll reports. Examine your portfolios and have cash on hand to watch what comes to pass for the end of the year. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventi...

Up until recently, runaway inflation was all anyone could talk about. Suddenly, now everyone is fixating on the surge in bond yields, worried that they'll continue moving even higher. Have we made a permanent shift to an era of higher cost of capital that will constrain economic growth? Or is this spike in yields a transitory one? And those hoping for a Fed pivot & a return to lower interest rates finally get their wish? For answers, we're fortunate to sit down with Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence. She was a former advisor to the Dallas Federal Reserve during the great financial crisis, working with Richard Fisher, and she's author of the book Fed Up. Follow Danielle at https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ And on Twitter @dimartinobooth and on YouTube at  @DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI  ************************ At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.wealthion.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow Adam on Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/menlobear⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow us on Facebook: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ #ERC #recession2023 #bondyields ****************************** IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as official investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust.

Episode 50: On today's show I am honored to have the great Danielle DiMartino Booth as a guest to talk about the FED, finance, monetary policy and economics. A true "Woman Leader in Business and Finance", Danielle is CEO & Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, an independent research firm she founded. Danielle is also best selling author of "FED-UP!" an intellectual insider perspective of her experiences from 9 years at the FED of Dallas leading up to and during the financial crisis.

Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Danielle DiMartino Booth to discuss the looming problems of the US credit markets. Booth notes that the US is in the midst of a controlled demolition, and that the deliberate nature of Powell's higher for longer rate hike schedule is having a negative effect in the form of bankruptcies. Despite this, there has not been a major financial meltdown due to the amount of credit card spending and the amount of fiscal stimulus from the pandemic. Booth discussed the tightening of banking standards and lending standards, which she noted have been imposed by credit unions and regional banks. She noted that as long as Jay Powell succeeds in maintaining a higher for longer stance on monetary policy, there will be a continued bleed into the money market fund industry. She discussed the magnitude of fiscal relief and fiscal stimulus that is still being pumped into the economy, and how this is helping the Fed to regain some of their credibility. Danielle also discussed student loan forbearance, which was part of the debt ceiling law and explained that there was little room for an extension. She then discussed commercial real estate, noting that demand had declined and companies and businesses were turning in their keys. DiMartino Booth then discussed the goal of Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell, which is to raise interest rates and rewrite modern monetary policy history. To do this, he must get rid of the zero bound, stop at two percent, get rid of quantitative easing, and get out of the credit easing business. Finally, DiMartino Booth discussed the global implications of the US keeping their rates higher for longer. She also notes that major fiscal relief should not be expected until the second quarter of 2025 at the earliest. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:52 - Fed Pauses & Bankruptcies2:27 - Stimulus & Credit4:46 - Consumer Debt & Spending7:02 - Lending Tightening8:27 - Powell Approach10:23 - Soft Landing & Jobs14:12 - Impacts & Stimulus16:08 - Student Loans18:17 - Commercial Real Estate19:44 - Easing & Timelines22:05 - Monetary History26:41 - U.S. & C.B. Stress28:22 - Wrap Up Talking Points: The US is in the midst of a controlled demolition, with the deliberate nature of Powell's higher for longer rate hike schedule having a negative effect in the form of bankruptcies.Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell is aiming to raise interest rates and rewrite modern monetary policy history.The US dictates global monetary policy, and domestically major fiscal relief should not be expected until the second quarter of 2025 at the earliest. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothSubstack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Website: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News,

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, joins the program to break down the latest Fed Minutes. Phil Toews, CEO at Toews Asset Management, joins us in studio to talk about why he put so much into cash for much of 2022 and if he's continuing a defensive play heading into 2023. Morgan Paxhia, co-founder of Poseidon Investment Management, joins the program from the Benzinga conference to discuss cannabis investing and how the SVB collapse impacted cannabis, the possibility of Federal reform, and M&A in the space. Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, joins the show to discuss how markets and traders are pricing in a Fed rate hike and bank turmoil. Will McDonough, CEO and Lead Portfolio Manager at EMG Advisors, discusses the latest on gold and metals and JP Morgan making cuts to metals business after the nickel saga. Pandu Patria Sjahrir, one of Indonesia's leading entrepreneurs and general chairman of the Indonesian Coal Mining Association, joins to discuss his nation's coal production and move towards green energy, Indonesia's VC health and growth prospects, and outlook for industrials on a global scale. Hosted by Paul Sweeney, Matt Miller, and Kriti Gupta.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Can Jerome Powell do the impossible? Fed insider, author and CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth joins the Gold Exchange Podcast to talk about Fed policy and its implications. Does the Fed care about gold? Will rates fall below zero? Watch to hear Danielle's expert insights!

Rate direction – bets are for cuts later this year! Ending the quarter on a more positive note - market happy nothing else is breaking. Nailing 1st place in the Chili Cook off - secret ingredient. This week's guest - Danielle DiMartino Booth. As Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), has a column on Bloomberg View, is a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio: she holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (CS), (BAC), (SPY), (GLD)

Danielle DiMartino Booth's Banking Crisis Opus: Too Small to Not Fail Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, an independent research firm. She spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. DiMartino Booth's work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. She earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. In this episode we discuss: -How does U.S. banking system work? -Banking crisis and the Fed stepping in with BTFP -Is the recent turmoil system and similar to '08-'09 GFC? -Is the recent government intervention QE? -Will Fed Chair Jerome Powell pivot and go back to ZIRP? -Credit risk in Commercial Real Estate sector -Economy decelerating toward recession -Will hard landing/severe recession spur more fiscal stimulus/CBDCs and UBI? -How to financially plan in this economy -------------------------------------------------- Follow Danielle on Twitter https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth IN THIS EPISODE: Coin Stories is powered by Swan Bitcoin the best way to build your Bitcoin stack with automated Bitcoin savings plans and instant purchases. Swan serves clients of any size, from $10 to $10M+. Visit https://www.swanbitcoin.com/nataliebrunell for $10 in Bitcoin when you sign up. If you are planning to buy more than $100,000 of Bitcoin over the next year, the Swan Private team can help. BITCOIN 2023 by Bitcoin Magazine will be the biggest Bitcoin event in history May 18-20 in Miami Beach. Speakers include Michael Saylor, Lyn Alden and Michelle Phan, plus a Day 3 music festival. Nearly 30,000 people attended Bitcoin 2022. Get an early bird pass at a steep discount at https://b.tc/conference code HODL for 10% off your pass. Fold is the best Bitcoin rewards debit card and shopping app in the world! Earn Bitcoin on everything you purchase with Fold's Bitcoin cash back debit card, and spin the Daily Wheel to earn free Bitcoin. Head to https://www.foldapp.com/natalie for 5,000 in free sats! Health insurance needs an overhaul. The government and insurance companies have jacked the price, increased complexity, and made insurance almost unusable. You send your money to the health insurance black hole and never see it again. Then, when you get hurt you have to send them more money. The great news is now you have an alternative: CrowdHealth. It's totally different from insurance. Instead of sending your hard earned money to an insurance company, you hold your money in an account CrowdHealth helps you set up when you join. You can even convert dollars in that account into Bitcoin. When someone in the community has a health need, you help them out directly and if there is Bitcoin or $ left over in your account when you leave, you take it with you. https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/natalie With iTrustCapital you can invest in crypto without worrying about taxes or fees, through an individual retirement account. IRAs are tax-sheltered accounts, which means all your crypto trading is tax-free and can even grow tax-free over time. The best part is it's totally free to open an account, it's FDIC insured and there are no hidden fees, monthly subscriptions or membership fees. Get a $100 funding bonus if you open and fund an account. Go to https://itrust.capital/nataliebrunell to learn more and open a free account. iTrust IRAs are FDIC insured up to $250,000. OTHER RESOURCES - Natalie's website https://talkingbitcoin.com/ - Quill Intelligence https://quillintelligence.com/ ⏤ ⏤ ⏤ VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories BTC wallet bc1ql8dqjp46s4eq9k3lxt0lxzh6f2wcu35cl6944d ⏤ ⏤ ⏤ FOLLOW NATALIE ON SOCIAL MEDIA Twitter https://twitter.com/natbrunell Instagram https://www.instagram.com/nataliebrunell Linkedin https://www.linkedin.com/in/nataliebrunell ⏤ ⏤ ⏤ DISCLAIMER This show is for entertainment purposes only and does not give financial advice. Before making any decisions consult a profession  

Alison Williams, Senior Global Banks & Asset Managers Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, and Ira Jersey, Chief US Interest Rates Strategist with BI, join for a roundtable on Fed day to discuss interest rates and bank instability in the US. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist of Quill Intelligence, joins the program to discuss Jay Powell and the Fed's rate hike path. Joanna Gallegos, co-founder of BondBloxx, talks about ETF investment strategies and her ETF management amid recent turmoil. Bloomberg cross asset reporter Katie Greifeld also joins. Mike McGlone, Senior Macro Strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss the latest moves in Bitcoin and crypto amid bank instability, discusses whether the gains will last, and gives his outlook for oil and commodities. Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, joins the show to discuss how markets and traders are pricing in a Fed rate hike and bank turmoil. Cam Harvey, Finance Professor at Duke University at co-author of DeFi & the Future of Finance,” joins the show to discuss the yield curve and outlook for a recession amid financial instability. Paul Sweeney, Kriti Gupta, and Jess Menton host.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mar 17, 2023 – This week on Financial Sense Newshour, Bruce Fraser from StocksCharts.com and Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence and a former insider at the Federal Reserve, discuss the state of the stock market...

We may not be fluent in Fed Chair Jerome Powell, but in this special guest episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we found an expert who is. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist of Quill Intelligence, economist, and former Federal Reserve insider joins the team to make sense of the Fed Chair's comments coming off the heels of the Senate Banking Committee meeting. We talk about the size of US debt, quantitative tightening, interest rates and Qe2, and how this all can impact commercial real estate. Tune in now. Episode Notes: • Danielle DiMartino Booth intro (0:23) • Making sense of Fed Chair Powell's comments (3:30) • Has the Fed been wobbly? (5:50) • You switch seats with J. Powell? What do you do differently? (9:46) • How will the average CRE owner or lender be impacted? (11:18) • Size of US debt: is it a ‘Black Swan' event? (13:57) • Quantitative tightening not being priced like it used to (16:20) • Buyers' remorse… is there more to come? (19:05) • Can we quantify how high rates would be in other scenarios? (21:40) • What would trigger a 2006/2007 event? (24:15) • Industrial reaching inflection point (27:45) • Biggest risks for CRE (29:55) Questions or comments? Contact us at podcast@trepp.com. Find Danielle: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Trepp: Twitter: www.twitter.com/TreppWire LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/trepp Facebook: www.facebook.com/TreppLLC

Tom welcomes back Danielle DiMartino Booth, she is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence, a research and analytics firm. Danielle has a new offering on the Substack she recently started. Tom and Danielle discuss the recently released Fed Minutes and the potential implications for the US economy. DiMartino Booth stated that the minutes were massaged in order to correct any market misperceptions that the Fed was going to pause its tight monetary policy. She also points out that jobs were not mentioned in the minutes, even though bankruptcies and job losses are on the rise, and that consumer credit card debt had jumped to an all-time high. DiMartino Booth argues that the Fed was trying to hide behind specious inflation and jobs data in order to keep up its tight policy stance, and she notes that income tax refunds were down 14% year-over-year. They also discussed the debt limit issue, which DiMartino Booth describes as kabuki theater, but argued that it should still be a topic of discussion in order to address entitlement spending. Lastly, DiMartino Booth discusses the recent nomination of Austin Goolsbee to the Chicago Fed and the White House's subsequent appointment of two more candidates after the leaked voting result against Goolsbee. This, she argued, was a victory for the hawks on the Fed and a loss for the White House. She also highlighted the recalculation of CPI, which she believes will help the Fed when it eventually eases its policy. Danielle discusse the Fed's minutes from the last meeting which just came out. What is interesting is what is missing from the notes, namely labor and disinflation. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:42 - Minutes Review2:16 - Labor, Debt & Bankruptcies7:23 - Monetary Policy Lag10:30 - Financial Conditions?12:04 - Debt Limit Theatrics?15:26 - Feds Path Forward18:50 - CPI Adjustments20:16 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode Review of the Fed's minutes from their last meeting and what was missing.Fed acknowledging the lag time of policy decisions to effect and seasonal CPI adjustments.U.S. debt ceiling limits and why it's entirely theater. Guest Links:Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothWebsite: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette,

Neil Grossman, former CIO with TKNG Capital, joins the show to talk about the Fed and breaks down Jay Powell's comments from yesterday. Michael Cuggino, President & Portfolio Manager of the Permanent Portfolio Family of Funds, joins the program to discuss sectors he likes and gives his market outlook. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist of Quill Intelligence, joins the program to discuss Jay Powell's comments from Tuesday and the Fed's rate hike path. Jonathan Palmer, Senior Industry Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the program to break down CVS earnings and discuss their acquisition of Oak Street Health. Bryan Whalen, co-chief investment officer and generalist portfolio manager with TCW Investment Management, joins us for a monthly TCW segment for the latest on fixed income markets. Hosted by Kriti Gupta and John Tucker.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jennifer Lee, Senior Economist and Managing Director with BMO Capital Markets, joins the program to discuss how central banks across the globe are pricing in inflation and the outlook for a global recession in 2023. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, joins the program to talk about the Federal Reserve, rate hikes, and the outlook for a hard landing and recession in the US. Huw Roberts, Head of Analytics at Quant Insights, joins the show to talk about his findings in quants and outlook for investing in 2023. Carl Riccadonna, Chief US Economist with BNP Paribas, joins us in studio to talk about the US economy and Fed's rate hike path ahead and with Bloomberg's Katie Greifeld and Jess Menton. Ben Emons, Senior Portfolio Manager and Head of Fixed Income at NewEdge Wealth, joins the program to discuss the latest FOMC meeting. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In the third segment of Round Table Prime 2023, the panelists offer their best investment ideas for the year ahead. The panelists are host DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach, and guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; author and Fox Business anchor Charles Payne; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. The discussion, recorded Jan. 4, 2023, was moderated by DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman. Time Stamps: (0:13) Best investment idea for 2023. (0:55) Thoughts on India. (01:56) Speculation in the market is not gone. Full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TRjf4VfZm7E

In the second segment of Round Table Prime 2023, the panelists offer their outlooks across equity, fixed income, commodity and other markets. Then they are asked to share hypothetical fixed 12-month asset allocations for the calendar year. The panelists are host DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach, and guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; author and Fox Business anchor Charles Payne; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. The discussion, recorded Jan. 4, 2023, was moderated by DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman. Time Stamps: (0:00) Updated thoughts on DeFi. (03:45) Calculating duration on stocks. (05:14) Thoughts on ex-United States economies. (06:30) Asset allocation advice.

2023 could offer cyclical downturn in a landscape of secular change as the world appears on the threshold of global recession. Moreover, trends that for decades have driven economies, markets, monetary policy and governance might be staging reversals. In this first of three segments, DoubleLine CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and moderator DoubleLine Deputy Chief Investment Officer Jeffrey Sherman on Jan. 4, 2023, discuss the Macroeconomic State of Play with their guests James Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research; Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence; author and Fox Business anchor Charles Payne; and David Rosenberg, President of economic consulting firm Rosenberg Research & Associates. Timestamps: (0:10): Current state of the Federal Reserve. (4:08) Where does Inflation settle out at in 2023? (6:34) Will the Fed be successful in eradicating the Fed Put? (9:58) China Reopening. Full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwEPd-jORQU

Alison Williams, Senior Global Banks and Asset Managers Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, and Bloomberg News Wall Street reporter Sonali Basak join to discuss Goldman Sachs' job cuts and preview big bank earnings. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Tech Analysts Anurag Rana and Mandeep Singh discuss the companies they selected in Bloomberg Businessweek's “50 Companies to Watch” piece. David Bahnsen, CIO at The Bahnsen Group, joins the show to discuss sectors he likes as stocks look to rebound in 2023. Peter Bethlenfalvy, the Minister of Finance from Ontario, joins the show in studio for a discussion on public financing in Canada, trade with America and other countries, and gives his economic outlook for Canada, the US, and the globe in 2023. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, joins the program in studio to discuss the Fed's rate hike path and other Fed notes. Priya Misra, Managing Director and Head of Global Rates Strategy at TD Securities, also joins to talk about the Fed. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom welcomes back Danielle DiMartino Booth, she is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence, a research and analytics firm. Danielle DiMartino Booth provides a comprehensive overview of the Fed's balance sheet reduction policy, implications of this policy, and changes to the voting committee. She believes that the current mortgage rates are too high, making it difficult for the Fed to hit their target of rolling off $35 billion of mortgage-backed securities each month. This has resulted in losses of $1.25 trillion over the first three quarters of the year. Tom suggests that the Fed should do a study of how inflation got so high. Danielle counters that the Fed has some pretty good ideas. She also mentions that the job openings data has been disproved by academics and that a large portion of job postings are for poaching successful employees. Danielle expects Powell to be patient until the effects show up in the fiancial market. Lastly, she notes the upcoming rotation of the voting committee which is shifting in a dovish direction but Powell has veto power to push back against dissenters. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:43 - Fed News & Damage6:28 - Job Opening Data8:40 - BOE Intervention & Fed10:35 - Mortgage Rates & MBS12:05 - Fed Security Losses13:08 - Inflationary Causes?15:04 - Fed Doves Are Flocking16:45 - Powell's Powers & FOMC18:17 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode The job openings data is being used by Chair Powell to justify his decisions, even though it is not reliable.The Fed's balance sheet reduction policy and its potential implications are discussed, as well as the upcoming changes to the voting committee.Why the Fed should investigate how inflation got so high. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothWebsite: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette, where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.

Neil Grossman, former CIO at TKNG Capital, and Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, joins the show for an extended roundtable to discuss the Fed's moves over the past year, outlook for inflation, and the FOMC meeting today. Priya Misra, Global Head of Rates Strategy and Managing Director with TD Securities, joins the conversation to talk about the year for the Fed and outlook. George Ferguson, Senior Aerospace/Defense & Airline Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the show to discuss his 2023 US Defense Contracting outlook and space news. Matt Winkler, Bloomberg News editor-in-chief emeritus, joins the show to discuss his most recent column on abortion and the economy. Jonathan Maxwell, CEO and co-founder of Sustainable Development Capital, and Jay Hatfield, CEO at Infrastructure Capital Management, join the program in studio to discuss energy prices in the US after CPI, outlook for the energy market amid the Ukraine, the nuclear fusion breakthrough, and outlook for energy markets in 2023. Anthony Coniglio, CEO of cannabis REIT NewLake Capital Partners, joins us in studio to talk about outlook for marijuana as NYC nears opening pot shops and legislation continues to be developed for the industry. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN:10:06 - Will we see sustained higher interest rates and inflation for longer? 11:28 - How many more rate hikes Danielle expects from the Federal Reserve?18:42 - Danielle's thoughts on if the Fed will step in to save markets if things get worse? 18:46 - Does the Fed Put still exist, or is the Fed trying to break the put? 20:20 - What would cause the Fed to pivot. 25:16 - Danielle's outlook for the stock market. 25:16 - Her advice on how Millennials should position their investments during this time. 29:40 - The biggest challenges she thinks Millennials face in today's investing climate. 30:33 - Update on the housing sector, why this could present a great buying opportunity for millennials. 38:55 - What's going on in the auto sector, consumer debt and loose lending practices. 46:11 - Why are central banks accumulating record amounts of gold in Q3 2022? And much, much more!*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.BOOKS AND RESOURCESCheck out: Quill Intelligence. Check out Danielle's Book: Fed Up: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America. Related Episode: Risk Management Techniques & Studying Warren Buffett w/ Max Rudolph - MI193. NEW TO THE SHOW?Check out our Millennial Investing Starter Packs.Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Try Robert and Rebecca's favorite tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance.Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services.Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets.Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts.P.S The Investor's Podcast Network is excited to launch a subreddit devoted to our fans in discussing financial markets, stock picks, questions for our hosts, and much more! Join our subreddit r/TheInvestorsPodcast today!SPONSORSGet a FREE audiobook from Audible.Invest in high quality, cash flowing real estate without all of the hassle with Passive Investing.Ship with FedEx and be ready for this holiday season with picture proof of delivery.If your business has five or more employees and managed to survive Covid you could be eligible to receive a payroll tax rebate of up to twenty-six thousand dollars per employee. Find out if your business qualifies with Innovation Refunds.Get personalized, expert advice that helps you see things clearly with ATB.Don't limit your dreams to the imagination. Make them happen. Explore Iowa for yourself today.Save time and money on your rental property insurance with Steadily. Get a commitment-free quote today.Enjoy a 400-calorie meal that contains 40g of expertly sourced, premium plant protein, all 26 essential vitamins and minerals, and a scientifically calibrated mix of carbs, good fats and fiber with Huel Black Edition. Plus, get a free t-shirt and free shaker with your first order.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.Connect with Danielle: Twitter | LinkedInConnect with Rebecca: Twitter | InstagramSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Lyle Himebaugh, co-founder at Granite Group Advisors, joins the show to discuss his money management strategies as the year closes amid varying economic headwinds. Elissa Sangster, CEO at Forte Foundation, joins the show to discuss women's enrollment in MBA programs. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior E-Commerce Analyst Poonam Goyal joins to discuss Black Friday shoppers and retail strength. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, discusses this week's Fed Minutes, what she expects at the next FOMC meeting and outlook for interest rate hikes. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Carol Massar. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, an independent research firm. She spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. DiMartino Booth's work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. She earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. In this episode we discuss: - Danielle's origin story and work for the Federal Reserve - The Fed raising rates and how long they can stay hawkish before something systemic breaks - #Bitcoin - The American Dream and the future of capitalism Follow Danielle on Twitter https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth IN THIS EPISODE: Coin Stories is powered by @Swan Bitcoin  the best way to build your Bitcoin stack with automated Bitcoin savings plans and instant purchases. Swan serves clients of any size, from $10 to $10M+. Visit https://www.swanbitcoin.com/nataliebrunell for $10 in Bitcoin when you sign up. If you are planning to buy more than $100,000 of Bitcoin over the next year, the Swan Private team can help. BITCOIN 2023 by  @Bitcoin Magazine  will be the biggest Bitcoin event in history May 18-20 in Miami Beach. Speakers include Michael Saylor, Lyn Alden and Michelle Phan, plus a Day 3 music festival. Nearly 30,000 people attended Bitcoin 2022. Get an early bird pass at a steep discount at https://b.tc/conference code HODL for 10% off your pass. With iTrustCapital you can invest in crypto without worrying about taxes or fees, through an individual retirement account. IRAs are tax-sheltered accounts, which means all your crypto trading is tax-free and can even grow tax-free over time. The best part is it's totally free to open an account, and there are no hidden fees, monthly subscriptions or membership fees. Get a $100 funding bonus if you open and fund an account. Go to https://itrust.capital/nataliebrunell to learn more and open a free account. iTrust IRAs are FDIC insured up to $250,000. Fold is the best Bitcoin rewards debit card and shopping app in the world! Earn Bitcoin on everything you purchase with Fold's Bitcoin cash back debit card, and spin the Daily Wheel to earn free Bitcoin. Head to https://www.foldapp.com/natalie for 5,000 in free sats! Health insurance sucks. The government and insurance companies have jacked the price, increased complexity, and made insurance almost unusable. You send your money to the health insurance black hole and never see it again. Then, when you get hurt you have to send them more money. The great news is now you have an alternative: CrowdHealth. It's totally different from insurance. Instead of sending your hard earned money to an insurance company, you hold your money in an account CrowdHealth helps you set up when you join. You can even convert dollars in that account into Bitcoin. When someone in the community has a health need, you help them out directly and if there is Bitcoin or $ left over in your account when you leave, you take it with you. https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/natalie  OTHER RESOURCES - Natalie's website https://talkingbitcoin.com/ - Quill Intelligence https://quillintelligence.com/ ⏤ ⏤ ⏤ VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories BTC wallet bc1ql8dqjp46s4eq9k3lxt0lxzh6f2wcu35cl6944d ⏤ ⏤ ⏤ FOLLOW NATALIE ON SOCIAL MEDIA Twitter https://twitter.com/natbrunell Instagram https://www.instagram.com/nataliebrunell Linkedin https://www.linkedin.com/in/nataliebrunell ⏤ ⏤ ⏤ DISCLAIMER This show is for entertainment purposes only and does not give financial advice. Before making any decisions consult a professional.

Tom welcomes back Danielle DiMartino Booth, she is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence, a research and analytics firm. Danielle discusses the amount of work that goes into every press release the Fed puts out. They have a hypersensitivity to how and what they place in these releases. Powell has a largely thankless job, and the question is are they relying on lagging information. Danielle recently nicknamed Jerome Powell "make my day Jay" when he was told the markets were up during a press conference. We're seeing larger moves in housing than was expected. Home prices are falling in half of the U.S. while some regions see prices still increasing as some people see it as an opportunity. Amazon needs to match consumer demand, and we see them laying off people as demand declines. We're now seeing surplus inventory in the supply chains that no one is buying. Powell's pain point will come when something critical breaks in the credit markets. A yield curve inversion signalled that credit would be tightening. However, now the way to interpret it is in terms of banks extending credit. If banks can't see profit in lending, they won't lend, and then the economy will slow. Lastly, Danielle discusses the recent FTX crypto exchange collapse and the concept of Central Bank Digital Currencies. Tom notes that the Ontario Teachers Pension had 90+ million invested in FTX. This is not the place you expect to find your pension plan investing diligently. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:38 - Fed & Press Releases2:28 - Powell Nickname5:13 - Carvana & Auto Sales7:59 - Housing & CPI Metrics13:22 - Wage Price Spiral19:07 - CPI & PPI Numbers23:05 - Fed Politics & Recessions27:40 - Powell & Credit Markets33:20 - Fed Data & Actions35:33 - U.S. & U.K. Pension Systems38:12 - Crypto & Regulators40:05 - CBDCs & Governments44:55 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode The Fed's micromanaging approach to press releases.The Recent Fed press statement and Jerome's responding aggressively to being told markets we're up.The housing markets and excess supply in goods that no one is buying.The problems with pensions and the crypto markets. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothWebsite: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered, with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Before Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, serving as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette,

Danielle DiMartino Booth, the CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm, joins Julia La Roche on episode 31. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers, but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. Since inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View, a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. (Also, here are the links to Danielle's 2007 papers at the Dallas Fed, The Rise And Fall Of Subprime Mortgages: https://www.dallasfed.org/~/media/documents/research/eclett/2007/el0711.pdf, and From Complacency To Crisis: Financial Risk Taking in the early 21st Century https://www.dallasfed.org/~/media/documents/research/eclett/2007/el0712.pdf) 0:00 Intro 0:42 At a critical juncture 1:38 We're in a global recession right now 2:50 A much different construct in this layoff cycle 4:17 A white-collar recession 5:45 How a white-collar wave of layoffs impacts the economy 6:37 Quiet quitting is un-American 8:32 Can the Fed engineer a soft landing? 10:40 Few are accustomed to the type of Fed we have now 12:05 Maybe Jay Powell wants to kill the Fed put 15:20 Jay Powell wants to establish a better legacy 16:47 Not enough at the Fed has changed 18:12 If the Fed succeeds, Main Street will be the real winner 22:22 There will be air come out of this housing bubble 25:08 Investors exacerbating this housing cycle 27:13 Fed policies fed speculation in housing 28:18 The risk lives in the credit market 30:50 Watching continuous jobless claims 32:00 Are we set up for an even worse recession? 33:00 Biggest risk 35:19 Millennials, Gen Z will have to deal with a different reality 37:17 Time for Millennials to rise

Neil Grossman, former CIO at TKNG Capital, joins the show for a roundtable discussion with Danielle DiMartino Booth of Quill Intelligence about the Federal Reserve raising interest rates and the potential dangers rate hikes pose to the economy. Brent Schutte, Chief Investment Strategist at Northwestern Mutual, joins the show to talk about sectors he likes amid uncertain economic conditions ahead. Ed Ludlow, reporter with Bloomberg News, discuss Twitter development and all things tech. Liz McCormick, Chief Global Macro Markets correspondent with Bloomberg News, joins the show to discuss her piece on bonds tumbling and the dollar surging. Damian Sassower, Chief Emerging Markets Strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the show to discuss the strong dollar and how the Fed's moves are affecting emerging markets, as well as China's lockdowns. Hosted by Paul Sweeney, Kriti Gupta, and Nathan Hager.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In the episode, breaking the Fed Put is something we consider. Unchecked, unlimited power has us thinking that something needs to change. But, policy paralysis continues. The FrankeFed experiment and a look inside what actually goes in within the walls of the Federal Reserve with our guest, Danielle DiMartino Booth. As Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), has a column on Bloomberg View, is a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio: she holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ eNVESTOLOGY Info - https://envestology.com/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (BAC), (GS), (WFC), (JPM)

A common refrain among the market experts I talk with is that we can't be 'investors' in the current environment -- instead, we're all forced to be speculators, guessing what Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other The Federal Open Market Committee members are going to decide to do next. Because that's all that matters to price action these days. Like it or not, that's the world we're living in right now. So it makes all the sense in the world to tap the perspective of someone who knows the Fed inside & out -- which is why we're fortunate to have Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence joining us today. She was a former advisor to the Dallas Federal Reserve during the great financial crisis, working with Richard Fisher, and she's author of the book Fed Up. https://youtu.be/VYK2qwc7JQM

Ira Jersey, Chief US interest rate strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, discuss interest rates and the September FOMC meetings. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, LLC, joins the show to discuss the Fed, inflation, and outlook for a recession. Rich Freuhauf, Chief Strategy and Sustainability Officer at US Steel (NYSE: X), joins the show to talk about his company, the supply chain, and outlook for production in 2022. David Welch, Detroit Bureau Chief with Bloomberg News, discusses Ford's grim outlook and the Porsche IPO. David Zaikin, founder and CEO of Key Elements Group, joins the show to talk about the Russia-Ukraine war, Vladimir Putin, and Nord Stream. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On today's episode of "On the Margin", Danielle DiMartino Booth CEO & Chief Strategist of Quill Intelligence joins the show for a discussion on the Fed and the policy decisions they face throughout 2022 & into 2023. Last time Danielle joined the show, it was January, at the beginning of the year, as it had become clear the Fed stayed too loose, for too long. In that conversation, we discussed what Fed rate hikes would mean for the economy, markets, inflation & housing. Now, nine months later, it felt right to invite Danielle back to the show to reflect on the past year from a former Fed insider, and look forward for the rest of the year as Powell tries to reiterate his hawkish stance to the markets. Will they finally get the message? Is this the end of the Fed put? To find out, you'll have to tune in! -- Attend DAS, crypto and macro's favorite institutional conference: http://digitalassetsummit.co/ - Use code MIKE250 to get $250 off tickets -- Follow Danielle DiMartino Booth: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBooth Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Circle's USDC is one of the most trusted and widely used stablecoins in the digital asset industry. Check out their Transparency Hub at circle.com/transparency that outlines everything from links to USDC weekly reserve reports, monthly attestations, and blog posts written by their executive team highlighting how and why USDC was built the way it is. -- (00:00) Introduction (02:56) The "Fed Put" (05:56) Jerome Powell's Paul Volcker Moment (07:31) What To Expect Ahead of the Next FOMC Meeting (09:22) Liz Truss's Energy Bailout Plan (11:32) Which Leading Indicators Should You Follow? (14:47) Housing IS The Business Cycle (20:30) Quiet Quitting & Work From Home (25:49) Circle Ad (27:09) What Is Happening in the Labor Market? (34:20) Looking Forward, What To Expect Throughout 2022? (39:43) The Need For A Modern Day G.I. Bill -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, LLC, joins the show to discuss her outlook on the Fed with CPI data due this week. David Dietze, managing principal and Senior Portfolio Strategist at Gladstone Bank joins to discuss how markets might react to new inflation data. Jeff Sloan, CEO of Global Payments joins to talk aboout the fintech sector and his outlook. Bloomberg equities reporter Jess Menton joins to talk about her latest piece on inflation for Talking Stock. Bloomberg's Katie Greifeld joins to talk ETFs. Bloomberg's Sonali Basak joins to discuss the latest Wall Street news, including the upcoming SALT conference. And Bloomberg Senior Reporter Marc Champion joins to discuss the latest in Ukraine. Hosts are Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Annmarie Hordern, Washington correspondent with Bloomberg News, joins the show to discuss her story on Bloomberg helping an employee's family escape the Taliban. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, LLC, discusses the Fed and outlook for a recession. Josh Chapman, Managing Partner at Konvoy, joins the show to discuss venture capital and the investment landscape for video games. Keith Laing, Automotive Regulations Reporter with Bloomberg News, joins the show to discuss the Inflation Reduction Act and the way it impacts the US auto industry. Sadek Wahba, Founder, Chairman and Managing Partner of I-Squared Capital and Member of Council on Foreign Relations, talks about Inflation Reduction Act creating a Green Bank, its key investments, and how it impacts inflation. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Vince Cignarella, Global Macro Strategist with Bloomberg News, discusses the Fed, economy, and investing strategies amid inflation. Sonali Basak, Wall Street reporter with Bloomberg News, discusses Credit Suisse's leadership change. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, LLC, discusses the FOMC meeting Wednesday and the outlook for a recession. Katerina Simonetti, Senior VP at Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management, talks about the markets and investment strategies in 2022. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

John Authers, senior editor with Bloomberg Opinion, joins us to talk about the resignation of Boris Johnson. Masa Takeda, portfolio manager, Hennessy Japan Fund, discusses the Bank of Japan, the economic implications of Sunday's Japanese election, and the yen. Ed Ludlow, west coast correspondent for Bloomberg News, updates us from Sun Valley, Idaho about all things business and tech. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, LLC, discusses yesterday's Fed minutes, interest rates, and the possibility of stagflation and a recession in the US. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Finally, an up week for markets – but still squirrelly. Oil Down, commodities down, VIX hanging under 30. Gas tax holiday announced and other bad ideas coming your way Guest, Fed Insider Danielle Dimartimo Booth. As Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), has a column on Bloomberg View, is a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio: she holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (FDX), (LEN), (KBH, (CROX), (CCL), (NCL), (RCL)

Abhay Deshpande, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Centerstone Investors LLC, talks about markets, investing, and gives his 2022 economic outlook. Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, LLC, discusses the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and the possibility of stagflation in the US. Vince Cignarella, Global Macro Squawk with Bloomberg News, and stocks editor Kriti Gupta, discuss foreign exchange, investing, and markets. Kevin Ali, CEO at Organon (NYSE: ORG), talks about the women's healthcare market and innovations in women's health. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tom welcomes back Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence, a research, and analytics firm. Danielle discusses the U.S. government's approach to dealing with inflation which includes raising taxes. Should this administration push forward with these plans then consumers will be hit hardest. These measures aren't likely to pass until next year assuming the Democratic party doesn't all but collapse this fall. She discusses how far astray the current administration and congress have been from following the law. Powell has been sounding quite tough in recent weeks. Had there not been a politically driven Fed leadership crisis rates would probably have been higher. Powell seems more resolute since being re-appointed. It will be interesting to see how far Powell will push the credit markets. Dealing with supply-side inflation is extremely difficult for the Fed because they simply don't have the tools. Powell is able if he chooses to break the back of the housing markets. Housing, however, is a lagging measure that will push CPI numbers higher. We're going to see dis-inflation first in discretionary purchases which will lower monthly CPI prints. The numbers indicate a global recession will arrive during 2022 which will translate into demand destruction for oil. Energy companies have been reluctant to reinvest profits since they are concerned about potential political risks. Danielle discusses what Powell may need to see to pivot his approach. Should economic problems become systemic that would likely be the point. She notes that the current Fed is open to a significant decline in equities. Lastly, she discusses the dynamics of the housing market and notes the intense speculation in these markets. A recession may create a lot of pressure on housing. There is a lot of leverage in the housing markets but they are mostly in the hands of investors. The downside is building for housing. Population growth rates determine the housing needs but right now it looks like we may be in for glut of supply. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:46 - Tax Hikes & Inflation3:27 - Powell Confirmation7:33 - Easing Inflation?8:59 - Yearly CPI Numbers12:30 - Energy Investment14:14 - Energy Prices & CPI15:18 - FED Leadership16:58 - When Powell Pivot?18:19 - Unemployment Rates?19:17 - Better Metrics?20:48 - Equities & Risk22:00 - Neg. Wealth Effects23:26 - A Big Question25:40 - Housing Risks?28:47 - Supply & Demand30:15 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Episode U.S. administrations' approach to fixing inflation by raising taxes?What factors will cause Powell to pivot.CPI metrics and why supply-side problems are difficult for the Fed to fix.Housing markets and potential downside factors. Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/DiMartinoBoothWebsite: https://quillintelligence.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/DanielleDiMartinoBoothQI Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO and Chief Strategist for Quill Intelligence LLC, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered with the goal of not only guiding portfolio managers but promoting financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans in analyzing the trends and providing a critical analysis of what drives the markets. Since its inception, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth's The Daily Feather have appeared in other financial sources such as Bloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider's Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a full-time columnist for Bloomberg View,

U.S. equity indexes ground generally higher through the trading session Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 breaking into the green but the Nasdaq Composite struggling in negative territory. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note slipped by six basis points to 2.88%, as bonds caught a bid on economic growth concerns. Recent data from China indicate President Xi's “COVID Zero” policy is exerting a tremendous drag on the domestic economy, with down-the-line impacts on the global economy sure to follow, including supply-chain snarls. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs Senior Chairman Lloyd Blankfein warned of a "very, very high risk" of a US recession. Eric Johnston, head of Equity Derivatives and Cross Asset for Cantor Fitzgerald, joins Real Vision's Maggie Lake for today's Daily Briefing to talk about short-, medium-, and long-term direction for stocks, recent macro data, and earnings. We also hear from Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of Quill Intelligence, about whether the Fed has not just the policy tools but the general resolve to do what has to be done to end inflation. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3wsV3Ff. Watch the full interview featuring Danielle DiMartino Booth and Jim Bianco here: https://rvtv.io/3MmeBlg. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist at Quill Intelligence, LLC, discusses the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and the possibility of stagflation in the US. Anders Persson, CIO of Global Fixed Income at Nuveen, talks about markets and the Fed. Dan Ives, Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst at WedBush Securities, discusses stocks that performed well in 2020 during the pandemic but are now facing challenges. John Authers, Senior Editor with Bloomberg Opinion, discusses his column on the likeliness of the Fed engineering a soft landing. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Kriti Gupta. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

PBD Podcast Episode 137. Patrick Bet-David is joined by Danielle DiMartino Booth along with Billionaire Investor Leon Cooperman. Leon Cooperman is an American billionaire investor and hedge fund manager. He is the chairman and CEO of Omega Advisors, a New York-based investment advisory firm managing over $3.3 billion in assets under management, the majority consisting of his personal wealth. To reach the Valuetainment team you can email: booking@valuetainment.com Text: PODCAST to 310.340.1132 to get added to the distribution list About: Patrick Bet-David is the founder and CEO of Valuetainment Media. He is the author of the #1 Wall Street Journal bestseller Your Next Five Moves (Simon & Schuster) and a father of 2 boys and 2 girls. He currently resides in Ft. Lauderdale, Florida. Danielle DiMartino Booth is a Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/pbdpodcast/support