Podcasts about newlines institute

In Episode 424 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Kamran Bokhari, Senior Director at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy, who has served in the U.S. State Department and as a Senior Consultant with the World Bank. Bokhari first appeared on the podcast shortly after the October 7th attacks to discuss the violence ignited by Hamas, the nature and scope of Iranian involvement, and how various regional actors exploited the growing disorder to their advantage, as the Biden administration struggled to stabilize a region on the brink of another major war. In subsequent appearances, Bokhari has provided the Hidden Forces audience with critical context for understanding U.S.-Israeli and Iranian strategic aims and limitations, the interests and constraints of other regional states (including Saudi Arabia and Turkey), how the events in the Middle East are perceived in Beijing and Moscow, and how the situation may evolve from here. The broader conflict with Iran, which has consistently framed these discussions, has now directly involved the United States following its recent deployment of fourteen 30,000-pound bombs targeting three Iranian nuclear sites: the Fordow Uranium Enrichment Plant, the nuclear facility in Natanz, and the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center. What happens next—and whether the White House's actions will ultimately prove beneficial to America's long-term strategic objectives—forms the central focus of this two-hour conversation. In the first hour, Bokhari and Kofinas update listeners on recent developments, assessing the initial successes and failures of U.S. and Israeli strategic planners, the Iranian response, immediate risks to the United States and its allies, and how this war is likely to reshape the economic and security order of the Middle East over the next five years. In the second hour, Demetri and Kamran widen their aperture to examine how the conflict will affect the economic and military imperatives of the United States and China, along with their respective alliances and trading networks. They also discuss the potential economic repercussions and secondary impacts resulting from America's attack on Iran. The episode concludes with an examination of best- and worst-case scenarios, ranging from a new investment supercycle in the Middle East to the deployment of battlefield nuclear weapons and heightened risks of international terrorism in the United States and Europe. Subscribe to our premium content—including our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports—by visiting HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you'd like to join the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community—with benefits like Q&A calls with guests, exclusive research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners—you can also sign up on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed today's episode of Hidden Forces, please support the show by: Subscribing on Apple Podcasts, YouTube, Spotify, Stitcher, SoundCloud, CastBox, or via our RSS Feed Writing us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Joining our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and support the podcast at https://hiddenforces.io. Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 06/23/2025

Uzair talks to Dr. Kamran Bokhari about what the Trump Administration and his MAGA movement wants to achieve in the foreign policy and geopolitical realms. This is an area where there is still a lot of misconceptions about what Trump wants and the goals of his movement. Dr. Bokhari breaks down his assessment of the White House's goals from Europe and the Middle East to China. Finally, Dr. Bokhari also shares what he has picked up from the conversation in Washington about the recent India-Pakistan war. Dr. Kamran Bokhari is the Senior Director of the Eurasian Security and Prosperity portfolio at the New Lines Institute. He served as Director of the Analytical Development Department from 2019 to 2023. Dr. Bokhari is also a national security and foreign policy specialist at the University of Ottawa's Professional Development Institute. Some of the recent pieces of analyses he has written are worth a read: - https://geopoliticalfutures.com/what-the-latest-india-pakistan-conflict-means-for-the-us/ - https://geopoliticalfutures.com/pakistans-crucial-role-in-chinas-military-strategy/ - https://geopoliticalfutures.com/postwar-security-in-gaza/ - https://geopoliticalfutures.com/a-new-reality-in-the-india-pakistan-conflict/ Chapters: 0:00 Introduction 2:20 What does Trump want? 10:30 Evolving situation in Europe 20:18 Russia-China nexus 26:50 Israel, Iran, and the Middle East 43:30 Dealing with a rising China 54:40 Washington's view on India-Pak War

In this episode of the Bridging the Gap podcast, host Rachel Nelson sits down with Zara Farouk, a Middle East analyst at New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy, to discuss the recent escalation of hostilities between India and Pakistan, the past and present relationship between India and Israel, and the similarities of India's and Israel's occupations in Kashmir and the occupied Palestinian territories.

In this episode of New Lines Institute's "Lebanese Logic" podcast, Resident Senior Fellow Faysal Itani and Non-Resident Senior Fellow Dania Arayssi discuss ways the United States can support Lebanon's people and institutions without giving Hezbollah and the country's corrupt oligarchy a boost.

The Bosnian War in the early 1990s was at the time the bloodiest conflict on European soil since World War II. Some 100,000 people were killed and more than 2 million displaced amid widespread ethnic cleansing and massacres. In 1995, the warring parties struck a power-sharing deal in negotiations just outside Dayton, Ohio, in what came to be known as the Dayton Accords. But the deal didn't really resolve the underlying problems. Bosnia continues to be plagued by ethnic division, and the country's political structure is widely seen as ineffective and unstable. Welcome to Counterpoint. On each episode, we look at one pressing question facing world leaders—from two opposing points of view.  In our season finale, we're tackling the question: Did the Dayton Accords set Bosnia up for failure? Arguing that the agreement put Bosnia on a path to perpetual crisis is Jasmin Mujanović, a senior nonresident fellow at New Lines Institute. He is the author of two books, Hunger and Fury: The Crisis of Democracy in the Balkans and  The Bosniaks: Nationhood After Genocide. And making the case that the Dayton Accords were essential to bringing peace and maintaining stability is Chris Hill. A career diplomat, Hill was part of the U.S. delegation that brokered the agreement. Most recently, he served as the⁠ U.S. ambassador to Serbia⁠ under President Joe Biden. Counterpoint is a production of Foreign Policy, in partnership with the Doha Forum. The show is hosted by Sasha Polakow-Suransky. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Middle East Center at The New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy is launching a new podcast series, “Lebanese Logic,” hosted by the center's Resident Senior Fellow Faysal Itani. The series focuses on Lebanon's political dynamics the future of Hezbollah, and important role in the geopolitics of the Middle East. In this inaugural episode, Itani and New Lines Institute Senior Director Nicholas A. Heras forecast Lebanon's politics and foreign policy in the context of the rapidly shifting regional developments in the Middle East.

The unloading of Bashar al-Assad in December was a hopeful moment for Syria. The installation of his successor, jihadist commander Ahmed al-Sharaa, was a more nervous one. We discuss the mood among civilians with journalist Zaina Erhaim and Monocle’s Hannah Lucinda Smith, following the latter’s trip to Damascus in February. We also hear Slovenia’s foreign affairs minister, Tanja Fajon, who has met Syria’s interim president, and consider the implications for the country’s neighbours with Faysal Itani, the senior director of Middle East programs at the New Lines Institute.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A deepening political crisis in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The autonomous Serb region bans state police and the judiciary, after its leader is convicted of undermining the national constitution. Both the US and EU are condemning the move. So, what might happen next? In this episode: Srdan Mazalica, Member of Parliament Kurt Bassuener, Co-Founder of Democratization Policy Council Jasmin Mujanovic - Senior Non-Resident Fellow, New Lines Institute's Western Balkans Center Host: Sami Zeidan Connect with us:@AJEPodcasts on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook

Arab Digest editor William Law's guest this week is the New Lines Institute's Caroline Rose an expert on the illicit drug Captagon. With the fall of Bashar al-Assad his family's hold on the lucrative trade has suddenly evaporated but the drug hasn't disappeared from Syria and other actors and other countries are eying up opportunities as the Trump administration freezes US engagements in the global fight against illicit drugs. Sign up NOW at ArabDigest.org for free to join the club and start receiving our daily newsletter & weekly podcasts.

The Middle East Center at The New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy is proud to initiate a special new podcast series, “Bridging the Gap: Conversations on Israel and Palestine.” This series is led by Rachel Nelson, the Analyst in the Middle East Center, and will provide nuanced, detailed, and on-the-ground perspectives on the situation in Israel and Palestine. In this episode, Rachel sits down with Destiny Magnett, the Programs and Outreach Manager at Churches for Middle East Peace, to discuss Christian Zionism, its current manifestations, and the work that Destiny and CMEP do to foster and advocate for peace in Israel and Palestine.

In this edition of The New Lines Institute Middle East Center's Post-Assad Podcast series, Middle East Center co-director Nicholas A. Heras sits down with Sasha Ghosh-Siminoff to analyze how humanitarian and economic rehabilitation efforts can support peacebuilding in Syria. Sasha is a Nonresident Fellow with the Middle East Center at The New Lines Institute who has a granular and nuanced perspective on Syria that comes from his oversight over targeted civil society capacity building and humanitarian assistance programs throughout Syria. He is also currently the Middle East and North Africa Program Director for the Evangelical Lutheran Church in America, and a Security Fellow at the Truman National Security Project. Heras and Ghosh-Siminoff also assess what should be the priorities for international organizations looking to support the rehabilitation of Syria.

The Middle East Center at The New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy is proud to initiate a special new podcast series “Bridging the Gap: Conversations on Israel and Palestine.” This series is led by Rachel Nelson, the Analyst in the Middle East Center, and will provide nuanced, detailed, and on-the-ground perspectives on the situation in Israel and Palestine. In this inaugural episode, Middle East Center co-director Nicholas A. Heras sits down with Rachel Nelson to learn more about her extensive experience in the West Bank and to gain her analysis on the metastasizing conflict there. Heras and Nelson also explore why the tensions between the expanding Israeli settler community and the local Palestinian population in the West Bank could devolve into a larger war that would end the prospects for the Two State Solution to end the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.

In this edition of The New Lines Institute Middle East Center's Post-Assad Podcast series, Middle East Center co-director Nicholas A. Heras sits down with Dr. Sultan Alamer to assess how the new governing authorities in Damascus can reimagine Syrian nationalism after Assad and build an inclusive state for all Syrians. Dr. Alamer is a Resident Senior Fellow with the Middle East Center at The New Lines Institute, and a senior member of the editorial committee of Alpheratz, an Arabic language magazine. He is also a Postdoctoral Fellow at Harvard University's Center of Middle East Studies, an executive committee member of the Arab Political Science Network, and a Bucerius Fellow at the Zeit-Stiftung Ebling und Gerd Bucerius. Heras and Dr. Alamer analyze the potential scenarios where the successful Syrian revolution could result in new mass movements for political reform, or even revolution, in other states in the wider Middle East.

From December 14, 2021: Syria's decade-long civil war has left the state and economy shells of their former selves. But a new industry is stepping in to fill the void: the manufacture and export of illicit drugs, specifically Captagon, a type of amphetamine that has a growing global market. To better understand Syria's emerging role in the global Captagon trade, Scott R. Anderson sat down with Caroline Rose of the New Lines Institute, who has been tracking this industry's development for several years and is preparing to release a major report on the topic. They discussed the origins of Captagon, how it came to Syria, and how it is being used by the Assad regime, its allies and their proxies across the region.To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Mohammed al-Jolani är ansiktet utåt för Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). Vilka är männen som störtat Assads regim och vad vill dom nu? Lyssna på alla avsnitt i Sveriges Radio Play. På kort tid har hela maktspelet i Syrien förändrats. Nu sitter nya ledare i Damaskus för att forma vägen framåt. Konflikts Rowa Akhatib lyckas få tag i en av nyckelspelarna, Obaida el Arnaou, talesperson för departementet för politiska frågor i Damaskus.Glädjen är stor efter diktatorns fall. Efter 13 år av krig hoppas många på fred. Men efter år av utdraget inbördeskrig är vapnen - och de väpnade parterna många. Vilken chans har en islamistisk grupp som fötts ur jihad, att ena ett land med stora minoriteter som kristna, alawiter och kurder?Medverkande: Solaf Rahwanji, regissör i Damaskus, Obaida el Arnaou, talesperson för det nya politiska ledarskapet i Syrien, Orwa Ajjoub, doktorand på Malmö universitet, Amany el Ali, konstnär i Idlib, Ilham Ahmed, utrikesminister för det kurdledda självstyret i Syrien, Shiyar Ali, den nordiska representanten för det kurdledda självstyret i nordöstra Syrien, Caroline Rose, analytiker på den amerikanska tankesmedjan New Lines Institute, May Alekhtyar, ingenjör, Stockholm.Reportrar: Esfar Ahmad, Rowa Akhatib, Fernando Arias, Anja SahlbergTekniker: Fabian BegnertProgramledare: Kajsa Boglindkajsa.boglind@sr.seProducent: Ulrika Bergqvistulrika.bergqvist@sr.se

In roughly ten days, opposition forces in Syria were able to accomplish more than they did in a decade and topple the tyrannical Assad regime. But as the dust settles, Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham – the U.S. designated terrorist organization that led the march to Damascus – will have to prove that it has moved on […]

In roughly ten days, opposition forces in Syria were able to accomplish more than they did in a decade and topple the tyrannical Assad regime. But as the dust settles, Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham – the U.S. designated terrorist organization that led the march to Damascus – will have to prove that it has moved on from its anti-Western Jihadist ideology and is committed to rebuilding a Syrian state that meets the needs of its people. Why did Assad's regime collapse so quickly? And what does the future of Syrian governance look like? Hassan Hassan is the Founder and Editor-in-Chief of New Lines Magazine, an initiative of the New Lines Institute, and the founder of the institute's Human Security Unit. Previously, he was a Senior Fellow at the Program on Extremism at George Washington University and the Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy. He is the co-author of the New York Times bestseller ISIS: Inside the Army of Terror (2016, Reagan Arts). Read the transcript here. Subscribe to our Substack here.

Much attention has been paid to the supply of illicit drugs in the Middle East and war-torn Syria, but little has been focused on the patterns and implications of drug consumption in the region. However, a recent MedGlobal report reveals insightful data about Syria's emerging addiction crisis. The report notes that drug consumption has increased 300% since the outbreak of Syria's civil war, with high addiction rates associated with illicit substances, including captagon, crystal meth, heroin, cannabis, and other volatile substances. In this episode of the Contours podcast, the New Lines Institute's Caroline Rose and Senior Non-Resident Fellow Dr. Karam Shaar discuss the report's findings with MedGlobal President Dr. Zaher Sahloul and talk about the future of drug demand in Syria and beyond.

The world seems like it is staring into the abyss, with conflicts breaking out across Eurasia. Does this mean that we are entering a new global conflict where the three great powers – the United States, Russia, and China – are entering into direct conflict? What role are smaller powers such as Israel and Iran, playing in all of this? And what do the political systems in the great powers tell us about what comes next? These are the big questions that Dr. Kamran Bokhari tries to answer in this conversation. Dr. Kamran Bokhari is the Senior Director of the Eurasian Security and Prosperity portfolio at the New Lines Institute. He served as Director of the Analytical Development Department from 2019 to 2023. Dr. Bokhari is also a national security and foreign policy specialist at the University of Ottawa's Professional Development Institute. Some of the recent pieces of analyses he has written are worth a read: - https://newlinesinstitute.org/political-systems/post-khamenei-iran-the-future-of-evolutionary-regime-change/ - https://geopoliticalfutures.com/irans-regional-position-is-crumbling/ - https://geopoliticalfutures.com/southwest-asias-shatter-belt/ Chapters: 0:00 Introduction 1:45 Are we in a third world war? 13:10 Evolution of warfare 22:10 Role of smaller powers 31:30 Critiquing the Washington Beltway consensus 43:30 Assessing China and Russia 59:02 Future scenarios 1:15:30 US elections and foreign policy

In this episode, Uzair talks to Faysal Itani about the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hezbollah. We talked about the current state of play, the strategic goals for both sides, and the role of the United States, Iran, and other powers. Faysal Itani is a Senior Director at the New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy. He is also an adjunct professor of Middle East politics at Georgetown University. Itani was born in and grew up in Beirut, Lebanon, and has lived and worked in several Middle East countries. Chapters: 0:00 Introduction 1:45 Current state of play 21:10 Washington's appetite for regional conflict 29:10 Role of US politics and elections 33:25 Key risks to watch 37:40 Role of China and Russia 41:40 Reading recommendations Reading recommendations: - Warriors of God by Nicholas Blanford - The Iron Wall by Avi Shlaim - History of the Peloponnesian War by Thucydides

#EURASIA: China and Russia contesting Central Asia. Kamran Bokhari, senior director, Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy,@GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.usip.org/publications/2024/07/china-russia-see-sco-counterweight-nato-india-ambivalent https://abcnews.go.com/amp/International/wireStory/putin-hosts-indias-prime-minister-deepen-ties-nato-11176830   1950 Afghanistan 

GOOD EVENING. The show begins in the al Qaeda training camps in Afghanistan,... 1878 Khyber Road CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9-915 #AFGHANISTAN: Al Qaeda grows its footprint. Bill Roggio, FDD. Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/analysis-al-qaeda-expands-its-network-of-training-camps-in-afghanistan.php 915-930 #Assassination: #PAKISTAN: As a tool of state or as a tragedy to be used as a tool of state. Bill Roggio, FDD. Husain Haqqani, Hudson Institute 930-945 #GAZA: Is Deif KIA? Joe Truzman, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/israeli-airstrike-targets-hamas-military-leader-muhammed-deif-and-khan-yunis-commander-rafaa-salameh.php 945-1000 #GAZA: Faction fighting among October 7 killers. Joe Truzman, FDD. Bill Roggio, FDD https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2024/07/analysis-al-nasser-salah-al-din-brigades-breaks-with-liwa-al-tawhid.php SECOND HOUR 10-1015 #ISRAEL: Netanyahu soon to Washington. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1 @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-810289 1015-1030 #Indiana: Hoenlein and the Lost Herodian Quarter of Jerusalem. Malcolm Hoenlein @Conf_of_pres @mhoenlein1j @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/05/30/a-blast-from-the-past-unveiling-jerusalems-priestly-neighborhood-from-herodian-era/ 1030-1045 1/2: #ISRAEL: Two visions of the Israel-US relationship. Peter Berkowitz, Hoover Institution. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/07/14/israel_and_the_next_us_administration_151253.html 1045-1100 2/2: #ISRAEL: Two visions of the Israel-US relationship. Peter Berkowitz, Hoover Institution. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/07/14/israel_and_the_next_us_administration_151253.html THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 #NewWorldReport: Assassination in the Americas. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister, Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire https://www.reuters.com/world/us/world-leaders-condemn-shooting-trump-rally-denounce-political-violence-2024-07-14/ https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/ecuador-court-sentences-five-people-up-34-years-candidate-murder-2024-07-12/ 1115-1130 #NewWorldReport: Buenos Aires remembers the AMIA bombing (1994) and Nisman death (2015). Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister, Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire https://en.irna.ir/news/85538379/Iran-condemns-Argentine-officials-claims-on-involvement-of-Iranian 1130-1145 #NewWorldReport: Argentina condemns Hamas. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister, Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire https://www.jewishaz.com/us_worldnews/argentina-declares-hamas-a-terrorist-organization-in-move-designed-to-show-support-for-israel/article_35f83d12-42c2-11ef-9837-bff2b3d40ce6.html 1145-1200 #NewWorldReport: Venezuela and the vote. Joseph Humire @JMHumire @SecureFreeSoc. Ernesto Araujo, Former Foreign Minister, Republic of Brazil. #NewWorldReportHumire https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/us-sanctions-growing-venezuelan-gang-tren-de-aragua-2024-07-11/ https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/what-is-venezuelan-prison-gang-tren-de-aragua-2024-07-11/ FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 #OPCW: Ukraine accuses Russia of chemical attacks. Andrea Stricker, FDD https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2024/07/12/opcw-visits-ukraine-after-accusations-of-russian-chemical-weapons-use/ 1215-1230 #EASTERN EUROPE: Going for nuke power & What is to be done? Henry Sokolski, NPEC https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-07-10/who-will-pay-for-eastern-europe-s-nuclear-power-plants?sref=5g4GmFHo 1230-1245 #EURASIA: China and Russia contesting Central Asia. Kamran Bokhari, senior director, Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy https://www.usip.org/publications/2024/07/china-russia-see-sco-counterweight-nato-india-ambivalent https://abcnews.go.com/amp/International/wireStory/putin-hosts-indias-prime-minister-deepen-ties-nato-11176830 1245-100 am USN vs PLA Navy: James Holmes, first holder of the Wylie Chair of Maritime Strategy at the Naval War College and blogger at The Naval Diplomat (https://navaldiplomat.com/) https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/us-navy-fa-18-super-hornets-now-have-sm-6-missiles-china-should-worry-211828

In this episode of the Contours podcast, Eugene Chausovsky, senior director of analytical development at the New Lines Institute, and Marie Mach, an independent researcher of Eurasian extremist ideology, discuss the evolution of extremist violence in Central Asia, the factors driving recent attacks, and the outlook for the region.

#PRC: Xi lacks confidence the PLA will support his war on Taiwan. Kamran Bokhari, Kamran Bokhari, PhD Senior Director Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio  New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy @KamranBokhar. GeopoliticalFutures.com 1905 Beijing (Peking)

Content warning for discussion of genocide, torture, mutilation, rape, and slavery Hey, Hi, Hello, this is the History Wizard and welcome back for Day 15 of Have a Day w/ The History Wizard. Thank you to everyone who tuned in for Day 14 last week, and especially thank you to everyone who rated and/or reviewed the podcast. I hope you all learned something last week and I hope the same for this week. This week marks the 6th part of our mini series of currently ongoing genocides and humanitarian crises. Episode 2 was on Palestine, Episode 11 was on Congo, episode 12 was on Sudan, episode 13 was on Xinjiang, episode 14 was on Rakhine State, and today's episode will cover the genocide that is ongoing in Tigray in Ethiopia. Let's see what the Alchemist's Table has in store for us this time. Today's libation is called Memories of Summer. Muddle some mint and strawberries in the bottom of your shaker, add .5 oz of simple syrup, 2 oz of gunpowder gin, stir well for about 30 seconds before double straining over ice and topping with lemonade. Garnish with a sprig of fresh mint and enjoy. Now it's time for everyone's favorite part, it's time for the historical context. Tigray is both the northernmost regional state in Ethiopia, as well as an ethnicity. Tigray is known as the birthplace of Ethiopian civilization and their motto is “There is no mountain we would not climb.” That's fucking badass. When the Scramble for Africa began at the end of the 19th century CE barely 10% of africa was under EUropean colonial control, and by the time World War 1 broke out more than 90% of the country had been colonized, with only Liberia and Ethiopia remaining free states. While Ethiopia remained under its own sovereign control, this was in large part because they willingly allied themselves with Great Britain. In fact many Ethiopian troops fought on the side of Britain during the Mahdist War in Sudan that we discussed on Day 12. Part of Ethiopia's independence also came from their alliances with Italy. King Menelik II of Ethiopia signed the Treaty of Wuchale with Italy in 1889. This treaty guaranteed Ethiopian sovereignty as long as Italy could control areas north of Ethiopia's currently held territory (in areas that are now the nation of Eritrea) and in return Ethiopia would receive arms and munitions and Menelik would have Italian support as emperor. Menelik would remain emperor from 1889 until his death in 1913. Though, it is worth noting that Etiopia was only able to maintain its sovereignty because of their victory during the Italo-Ethiopian War that ran from January 1895 until October 1896. The beginning of Menelik's rule was marked by severe tragedy though as it coincided with the 1890s African rinderpest epizootic. Which is a very fancy way of saying that disease killed 90% of Ethiopia's cattle and that this, combined with a drought caused by reduced rainfall killed about 1/3rd of the country's population. The virus, known as Rinderpest, is potentially thought to have been introduced into Eritrea in 1887 by Indian cattle brought by the Italians for their campaign against Somalia. Lack of rainfall from as early as 16 November 1888 led to famine in all but southernmost provinces; locusts and caterpillar infestations destroy crops in Akele Guzay, Begemder, Shewa, and around Harar. Conditions worsened with a typhus epidemic, a major smallpox epidemic (1889–90), and cholera outbreaks (1889–92). Making the beginning of Melenik's rule really fucking bad. Near the end of his life Melenik was filled with with concern over issues of succession. He hadn't yet picked an heir and if he died without one his nation would descend into civil war and would become ripe for the picking for European colonial powers. He would eventually settle on one of his grandchildren Lij Iyasu, as his heir. Iyasu would only reign for about 3 years before being deposed on charges of converting to Islam. Ethiopia had been a Christian kingdom since King Ezana of the Aksumite Empire adopted Christianity as the official religion in the 4th century CE. There's no definitive proof that Iyasu converted to Islam at any point in his life, but there was enough “proof” that everyone felt comfortable stipping him of authority and giving it to Haile Selassie. He served as the Regent for Empress Zedwditu from 1916 until her death in 1930, and after her death served as Emperor of Ethiopia from 1930 until he was deposed in 1974 by the Derg following the 1973 oil crisis. Derg or Dergue is Amharic (a Semitic language descended from Ge'ez, which is the liturgical language of the Ethiopian Orthodox Church. It translates as committee or council. Now, Ethiopia would fall under partial Italian control during the 1930s as part of the Second Italo-Ethiopian War between Fascist Italy and Ethiopia, and while Italy would have some successes during this war, they'd never attain full control over Ethiopia, making Ethiopia the only African nation to not ever fall under colonial control. Some would argue that Liberia would fall under that umbrella as well, but considering that Liberia, as a nation, was artificially created by the US as a place for freed slaves to return to, I don't think it qualifies. Haile Selassie as the emperor of Ethiopia would be one of the founding members of the United Nations. Haile Selassie's rule ended on 12 September 1974, when he was deposed by the Derg, a committee made up of military and police officers. After the execution of 60 former government and military officials, the new Provisional Military Administrative Council abolished the monarchy in March 1975 and established Ethiopia as a Marxist-Leninist state. The abolition of feudalism, increased literacy, nationalization, and sweeping land reform including the resettlement and villagization from the Ethiopian Highlands became priorities. Mengistu Haile Mariam would become the ruler of Ethiopia following the fall of Haile Selassie until in May 1991, the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) forces advanced on Addis Ababa from all sides, and Mengistu fled the country with 50 family and Derg members. He was granted asylum in Zimbabwe as an official guest of Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe. Now the period of Derg rule is also known as the Ethiopian Civil War. It lasted from 1974 until 1991. The Derg in its attempt to introduce full-fledged socialist ideals, fulfilled its main slogan of "Land to the Tiller", by redistributing land in Ethiopia that once belonged to landlords to the peasants tilling the land. Although this was made to seem like a fair and just redistribution, the mismanagement, corruption, and general hostility to the Derg's violent and harsh rule coupled with the draining effects of constant warfare, separatist guerrilla movements in Eritrea and Tigray, resulted in a drastic decline in general productivity of food and cash crops. Although Ethiopia is often prone to chronic droughts, no one was prepared for the scale of drought and the 1983–1985 famine that struck the country in the mid-1980s, in which 400,000–590,000 people are estimated to have died.  Hundreds of thousands fled economic misery, conscription and political repression, and went to live in neighboring countries and all over the Western world, creating an Ethiopian diaspora community for the first time in its history. Insurrections against the Derg's rule sprang up with ferocity, particularly in the northern regions of Tigray and Eritrea which sought independence and in some regions in the Ogaden. The Ethiopian Civil War left at least 1.4 million people dead, with 1 million related to famine and the remainder from violence and conflicts, which is one third of population.  In July 1991, the EPRDF convened a National Conference to establish the Transitional Government of Ethiopia composed of an 87-member Council of Representatives and guided by a national charter that functioned as a transitional constitution. In 1994, a new constitution was written that established a parliamentary republic with a bicameral legislature and a judicial system. Mengistu's authoritarian military regime faced organized opposition for all of its fourteen years of rule. Opposition groups including the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Party (EPRP), a rival Marxist–Leninist group, and the Tigray-based Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front, a coalition of ethnic democratic forces, led armed resistance to the Derg in a conflict known as the Ethiopian Civil War. The Derg used violence, commonly enacted through military campaigns, to suppress dissidents. In 1976, the Derg instigated the Qey Shibir (Ethiopian Red Terror), a violent political repression campaign targeting the EPRP.  Under Mengistu's leadership, the Derg did not only rely on state personnel to carry out the Qey Shibir; it also armed militias and civilian supporters and granted "genuine revolutionaries and patriots" impunity, further localizing state violence.  The Qey Shibir resulted in 50,000 fatalities.  In addition, many victims of the Qey Shibir were subjected to torture, exile, and sexual assault. The Qey Shibir and the 1983-1985 famine, an event partly created and exacerbated by the government's military policies, increased popular support for the EPRDF, which successfully overthrew Mengistu's regime in 1991. As we entered the 21st century ethnic tensions began to increase between the people of northern Ethiopia, specifically in the Tigray region and the rest of the nation.  Data from the Minorities at Risk (MAR) project were used by Charles E. Riddle to study the degrees of discrimination by the dominant Amharas against the non-dominant ethnic groups in Ethiopia from 1950 to 1992, during the later reign of Emperor Haile Selassie and that of Mengistu Haile Mariam of the Derg. Amharas dominated during the Haile Selassie epoch.  Systematic discrimination against Afars occurred throughout the period. Tigrayans were initially culturally assimilated with the Amharas, speaking Amharic, and suffered little discrimination. Under the Haile Selassie government, the Oromo language was legally banned from education, public speaking and use in administration. During the Haile Selassie regime, the Harari people were persecuted. The imperial forces ordered the confiscation of Harari property and mass arrests of Harari men, as a result an estimated 10,000 Hararis fled their homeland in 1948. The Derg culturally rejected the Tigrayans, who decreased their usage of Amharic, reverting to Tigrinya, and discrimination against the Tigrayans became strong. Eritreans, treated by MAR and Riddle as an ethnic group, and Somalis were strongly discriminated against throughout the period. The Oromos were initially strongly discriminated against, but adopted Amharic as their official language when the Derg came to power, and discrimination against them dropped. Both the Haile Selassie and the Derg governments relocated numerous Amharas into southern Ethiopia where they served in government administration, courts, church and even in school, where Oromo texts were eliminated and replaced by Amharic. In the aftermath of the Ogaden War during the 70s, Hararis, Somalis and Oromo Muslims were targeted by the Derg Government. This leads us to needing to talk about the Tigrayan People's Liberation Front. The Tigray People's Liberation Front, also called the Tigrayan People's Liberation Front, is a left-wing ethnic nationalist, paramilitary group, and the former ruling party of Ethiopia. The TPLF was in charge of Ethiopia from the time the Derg was overthrown in 1991 until 2018. Now it's finally time to get to the beginnings of the Tigray Wart and the Tigray genocide. To do that we need to discuss the 2020 Tigray regional election. As we stated previously, Tigray is a regional state of Ethiopia, and in 2020 Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed of Ethiopia postponed the 2020 general election over concerns of COVID 19. Tigray decided to hold their elections anyway, regardless of the proclamation made by Ahmed. Their election was considered illegal by the Ethiopian federal government. The TPLF won 98.2 percent of the vote. After years of increased tensions and hostilities between the TPLF and the governments of Ethiopia and Eritrea, fighting began when TPLF forces attacked the Northern Command headquarters of the Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF), alongside a number of other bases in Tigray. The ENDF counterattacked from the south – while Eritrean Defence Forces (EDF) began launching attacks from the north – which Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed described as a "law enforcement operation". The war officially ended in November 2022. On 2 November 2022, the Ethiopian government and Tigrayan leaders signed a peace accord, with the African Union as a mediator, and agreed on "orderly, smooth and coordinated disarmament". The agreement was made effective the next day on 3 November, marking the two-year anniversary of the war. As part of this process, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed appointed TPLF's Getachew Reda as head of the Interim Regional Administration of Tigray, and the Ethiopian parliament removed the TPLF from its terrorism list. But where does the Tigray Genocide come into play? Why are we talking about this civil war in this podcast? Let's get into it. Issued on Tuesday, June 4th  by the United States-based New Lines Institute, aa 120-page draft quotes multiple, widespread and credible independent reports that Ethiopian forces and their allies carried out “acts constituting the crime of genocide” during the conflict, which ran between 2020-22. The authors call for Ethiopia to be brought before the International Court of Justice. In a report issued in September 2023, the United Nations said war crimes and crimes against humanity were still being committed nearly a year after government and Tigrayan regional forces agreed to end the fighting. It says the Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF), alongside the allied Eritrean Defence Forces (EDF) and assorted regional militia “possessed the intent to destroy Tigrayans as an ethnic group”. At least four acts constituting the crime of genocide are noted in the report: killing Tigrayans, causing serious bodily or mental harm, deliberately inflicting conditions of life upon Tigrayans calculated to bring about their destruction, and imposing measures intended to prevent births among Tigrayans. Additionally, the finger is pointed at social media posts made by “certain individuals” that constitute public incitement to genocide. Ethiopia, which has been accused of seeking to prevent international scrutiny, has repeatedly denied that its forces carried out war crimes during the conflict. Eritrea has claimed such accusations against it are defamatory. However, the new report, which took two years to compile and features the contribution of dozens of legal experts, backs up the findings of the UN by stating that there is “reasonable basis to believe” that the countries are responsible for war crimes and/or crimes against humanity. In conclusion, the authors call on the international community to put pressure on Ethiopia via bilateral relations, as well as bringing the country before the ICJ. The war had a devastating impact on the healthcare system of Tigray; of the 853 health facilities in the region, 86% were at least partially damaged; 232 of them were left "completely unusable", and 28 were destroyed entirely. It also led to a higher rate of maternal and infant mortality in the Tigray Region. In a study funded by UNFPA Ethiopia and UNICEF Ethiopia, it was estimated that maternal mortality rates had increased from 186 deaths per 100,000 people pre-war to 840 deaths per 100,000 people post-war. According to Tigrayan health official Tsegay Gidey, 81% of mothers in the Seharti Samre woreda had birth defects, and 32 newborn infants had died between January–June 2023. Although the war largely came to a halt after the peace agreement was signed, Eritrea continues to occupy parts of Tigray as of mid-2023. The EDF has been responsible for the deaths of thousands of people in northern Ethiopia since November 2022; from 17 to 25 November alone, Eritrea was reported to have destroyed 241 houses and killed at least 111 people. by 30 December, it was estimated that Eritrean and Amhara forces killed 3,700 since the signing of the peace deal. The Tigray Health Bureau noted that 852 cases of rape and sexual assault were reported between November and December 2022; according to aid workers and interviews with survivors, most of these were committed by Eritrean forces. As of January 2023, over half of Irob district was occupied by Eritrea. Irob advocacy groups and former residents have described it as a "de-facto annexation" of the area. A religious Irob leader told The Guardian in August 2023 that Eritrea was blocking off international aid to the area, and lamented that "there has been no improvement for us since the peace."  In January 2024, Human Rights Watch reported that authorities and regional forces were still forcibly expelling Tigrayans from their homes in the Western Tigray Zone, which is largely inaccessible to humanitarian agencies. Additionally, nearly 40% of the Tigrayan population is suffering from extreme food shortages, a situation made worse by the World Food Program's suspension of aid deliveries in May 2023. All the available evidence points to a continued genocide against the Tigray people from the governments of Ethiopia and Eritrea as they as systematically denied food, water and access to medical care.  The Tigray Genocide is often described as “The War The World Forgot”, and based on the West's general attitude towards Africa this feels right. Especially when I account for the fact that I, a genocide studies scholar didn't even know about the Tigray Genocide until 2024. I account this a failure on my part, but also on the part of the global mainstream media that this never even came across any of the news websites I frequent, nor the social media websites I, more often, get reputable news from. That's it for this week folks. No new reviews, so let's get right into the outro. Have a Day! w/ The History Wizard is brought to you by me, The History Wizard. If you want to see/hear more of me you can find me on Tiktok @thehistorywizard or on Instagram @the_history_wizard. Please remember to rate, review, and subscribe to Have a Day! On your pod catcher of choice. The more you do, the more people will be able to listen and learn along with you. Thank you  for sticking around until the end and, as always, Have a Day, and Free Tigray.          

Arab Digest editor William Law's guest this week is the New Lines Institute's Caroline Rose. The trade in the illicit synthetic drug Captagon continues to boom and much of it is run by Syria's Assad family. The Assads have built up a manufacturing and distribution network that brings them more than $2 billion a year. Despite Bashar al-Assad's promise to curtail the trade in return for being allowed back into the fold of the Arab states, captagon remains king as the Middle East's drug of choice. Sign up NOW at ArabDigest.org for free to join the club and start receiving our daily newsletter & weekly podcasts.

Sign up at angryplanetpod.com to get instant access to the full episode.A direct link to the episode on Substack.The big picture in Europe doesn't look good. Russia is moving to encircle key cities in Ukraine and is shaking its nuclear saber at the West. Ukraine's nearest neighbors are, understandably, concerned about Moscow's aggression and militarizing at an alarming rate. This summer, NATO will conduct Operation Steadfast Defender, a military exercise the Pentagon said is the largest since the Cold War. To Moscow, an enormous military exercise on its border could seem a tad aggressive.Add to this Russia's recent nuclear rhetoric and missile exercise and the geopolitical situation is looking a bit tense. On this episode of Angry Planet, Aram Shabanian stops by to talk us through the troubling signs he's seeing about a brewing conflict between Russia and NATO. Shabanian is the Open-Source Information Gathering Manager at the New Lines Institute. We also get into what happens when you mix Coke and Pepsi, how Reagan navigated a similar situation, and when it's OK for everyone to stop worrying about the bomb. (Never.)Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/warcollege. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Arab Digest editor William Law's guest this week is Caroline Rose, the Director of the Strategic Blind Spots Portfolio at Washington's New Lines Institute. In the midst of the Gaza war America continues to weigh up whether to remove its remaining troops on the ground from Syria and Iraq. A difficult call at any time but with growing uncertainty about the direction the Middle East is headed towards and in an election year that could return Donald Trump to the White House whatever the US decides will have profound implications for the region and beyond. Sign up NOW at ArabDigest.org for free to join the club and start receiving our daily newsletter & weekly podcasts.

In this episode, Adam and Nina discuss the deterioration of relations between Czechia and Slovakia, the celebration of 25 years of NATO membership in Czechia, Hungary and Poland and the ongoing media crackdown in Azerbaijan. They continue to analyse the split in the Visegrád Group as Hungary's Viktor Orbán's met with Donald Trump while Poland's president and prime visited US President Joe Biden.For the main interview, Alexandra and Nina sat down with Eugene Chausovsky, the Senior Director for Analytical Development and Training at the New Lines Institute to get his insights on the upcoming Russian presidential elections. Eugene dives into Russian domestic politics but also looks at the election from a broader geopolitical perspective.  This is the first of several collaborations that we will be conducting with analysts from the New Lines Institute.The New Lines Institute is based in Washington, DC and focuses on the intersection of US foreign policy and global geopolitics. Check out the New Lines Institute website and listen to their podcast: Contours.   >>>Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/talkeasterneurope

#INDIA: #PRC: War threat remains  between the giants of Eurasia. Kamran Bokhari, senior director, Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy,@GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.businesstoday.in/amp/technology/news/story/did-chinese-hackers-target-indian-govt-air-india-reliance-everything-about-isoon-leak-418542-2024-02-22 https://www.hindustantimes.com/videos/news/two-days-after-jaishankars-mystery-chat-with-wang-yi-india-china-military-talks-in-ladakh-101708533780003-amp.html 1865 CALCUTTA

#PRC: Advancing on the Maldives. Kamran Bokhari, senior director, Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill  https://apnews.com/article/maldives-india-china-research-ship-0c12d6292f7709e72e1e1ce52e691828   1886 Male

In this episode, Uzair talks to Dr. Kamran Bokhari about Iran's unprovoked attacks on Pakistan, Pakistan's counterstrike, and what comes next. We talked about the broader issues in the region, Iran's own calculus, and the ways in which the regional dynamics are altered in the wake of these escalations. Dr. Kamran Bokhari is the Senior Director of the Eurasian Security and Prosperity portfolio at the New Lines Institute. Previously, he served as Director of Analytical Development Department from 2019 to 2023. Dr. Bokhari is also a national security and foreign policy specialist at the University of Ottawa's Professional Development Institute. Bokhari has also served as the Central Asia Studies Course Coordinator at U.S. Department of State's Foreign Service Institute. Chapters: 0:00 Introduction 2:30 Why did Iran attack Pakistan? 11:20 Assessing Pakistan's response 20:20 Iran's broader calculus 27:50 Did Pakistan strike the right balance? 43:50 What comes next? Podcast on Iran protests - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vpUPncr5Mrs Reading Recommendations: - https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/experts-react-whats-really-going-on-with-pakistan-and-iran-exchanging-attacks/ - https://www.usip.org/publications/2024/01/making-sense-iran-pakistan-cross-border-strikes - https://amwaj.media/article/exclusive-inside-the-iranian-pakistani-exchange-of-fire-nbsp

In Episode 348 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Kamran Bokhari. Kamran is the Senior Director of the Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy. He has served at the U.S. State Department and as a Senior Consultant with the World Bank. Kamran came on the podcast three months ago to discuss the violence ignited by Hamas' October 7th attacks against Israel and the nature and scope of Iran's involvement. Demetri asked him back on to re-examine how the war in Gaza is going and whether he still thinks that we could be headed for another major war in the Middle East. They spent the first hour discussing Israel's bombardment and offensive in Gaza, the strategic objectives of Israel's leaders, and whether they're achieving those objectives. They also discuss Netanyahu's political future and that of his governing coalition, the future of Israeli politics, and whether any hope remains for a negotiated peace process that could lead to a viable and independent Palestinian state. In the second hour, they broaden their focus to encompass the larger Middle East, including Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, the Houthis, and Hezbollah. They discuss how all of these different actors are repositioning themselves by exploiting the growing disorder for their own advantage as the Biden administration struggles to stabilize a region that may be on the verge of another major war. You can subscribe to our premium content and access our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces, you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe and Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 01/04/2024

When China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, most people expected the country to be on the path to embracing western values of freedom and democracy.  But the opposite occurred – more and more countries, institutions, and individuals now find themselves forced to comply with CCP authoritarianism or face serious consequences. Army War College's Dr. Azeem Ibrahim joined Rep. Crenshaw to examine how the Chinese Communist Party's strategies of economic colonization and transnational repression created this dramatic shift in the global order.  Dr. Azeem Ibrahim is the author of “Authoritarian Century: Omens of a Post-Liberal Future.” He is a Research Professor at the Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College, and a Director at the Newlines Institute for Strategy and Policy in Washington, D.C. He received his Ph.D. from the University of Cambridge after which he completed fellowships at the universities of Oxford, Harvard and Yale. Follow him on X at @AzeemIbrahim. 

#PRC: In the event of a PRC attack on Taiwan, can the PLA Navy keep open the Indo-Pacific supply lines? Kamran Bokhari, senior director, Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/why-indian-ocean-could-be-chinas-achilles-heel-taiwan-war-2023-12-14/ 1906 Russo Japanese War

#Afghanistan: #PRC: #India: No one can manage the self-destructive Taliban,  Kamran Bokhari, Newlines Institute, @GPFutures. https://www.dw.com/en/israel-hamas-war-tests-china-and-indias-diplomatic-reach/a-67092795   1900 Kabul

All eyes are on Israel and Gaza as the conflict threatens to spread throughout the region. But how have the key regional actors responded? Michael Weiss is joined by Faysal Irani, the Director of the New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy, to dissect what the key players in the Middle East have been doing and what the future could hold for the region. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

#Syria: Fragmented and violent as ever. Caroline Rose, New Lines Institute. @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/in-syria-battle-lines-are-blurring/ 1910 DAMASCUS

#PRC: #India: War in the Mideast during the BRI confab in Beijing. Kamran Bokhari @GPFutures New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy. . @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/other/chinas-belt-and-road-summit-kicks-off-in-beijing/ar-AA1ihCG2 https://www.dw.com/en/israel-hamas-war-tests-china-and-indias-diplomatic-reach/a-67092795   1852 India

In Episode 332 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with geopolitical analyst and forecaster Kamran Bokhari. Kamran is the Senior Director of the Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy and has served at the U.S. State Department and as a Senior Consultant with the World Bank. The subjects of today's conversation concern the escalating violence ignited by last weekend's brutal attacks on Israeli civilians by Hamas, as well as the Israeli Defense Forces' ongoing counteroffensive and bombing of the Gaza Strip. Kamran and Demetri spend the first hour of their conversation discussing the attacks, what we know about their original scope and intention, what role Iran may have played in helping plan the attacks, and whether or not we can expect Hezbollah to open a second front of attack in the north of Israel, as well as other potential pathways of escalation that could rope in the United States and turn this into a larger, regional conflict. In the second hour, Bokhari and Kofinas look at how the events transpiring in the Middle East fit into the story that Demetri has been telling on this podcast for years about the fragmentation of the liberal rules-based international order and the emergence of a new multipolarity where nation states will seek to resolve long-standing border or ethnic disputes by force as everyone jostles to reposition themselves favorably ahead of the emergence of a new status quo. What this means for the future of Israel, Iran, Turkey, China, Russia, and the United States, is all part of that discussion. You can subscribe to our premium content and gain access to our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Intelligence Reports at HiddenForces.io/subscribe. If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces Genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page. If you still have questions, feel free to email info@hiddenforces.io, and Demetri or someone from our team will get back to you. If you enjoyed listening to today's episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following: Subscribe on Apple Podcasts | YouTube | Spotify | Stitcher | SoundCloud | CastBox | RSS Feed Write us a review on Apple Podcasts & Spotify Subscribe to our mailing list at https://hiddenforces.io/newsletter/ Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou Subscribe & Support the Podcast at https://hiddenforces.io Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas Episode Recorded on 10/15/2023

#EurAsia #POTUS meets with the Stans of Central Asia at the UN. Kamran Bokhari, director of Analytical Development at the Newlines Institute for Strategy & Policy, Gordon Chang: https://idrw.org/indias-military-studying-options-for-any-china-taiwan-war/   1927 Afghanistan

Christopher Atwood returns to the show this week to talk about a report he helped write for at the New Lines Institute. It's an in-depth analysis of Russia's ongoing genocide in Ukraine.Here's a link to the report:The Russian Federation's Escalating Commission of Genocide in Ukraine: A Legal AnalysisAngry Planet has a Substack! Join to get weekly insights into our angry planet and hear more conversations about a world in conflict.https://angryplanet.substack.com/subscribeSupport this show http://supporter.acast.com/warcollege. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow #Uzbekistan: #CentralAsia: Transition to democracy on a rocky road between Russia and PRC. Kamran Bokhari, PhD Senior Director Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio  New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy @KamranBokhar. GeopoliticalFutures.com https://geopoliticalfutures.com/uzbekistans-steady-reforms-in-uncertain-times/

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow 1940 NWT #Russia:What is the future of the Wagner Group's money-laundering, diamond miness, gold mining, dictators and gunplay? Caroline Rose, New Lines Institute, GeopoliticalFutures.com @GPFutures. @CarolineRose8.  https://geopoliticalfutures.com/how-wagners-mutiny-affects-russias-global-footprint/

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow Barcelona 1920 #India: What to watch for in Modi's state visit to the Biden Administration. Kamran Bokhari, director of Analytical Development at the Newlines Institute for Strategy & Policy, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill: https://time.com/6288278/modi-state-visit-biden-india-key-issues/

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow #India: Zelensky appeals to Modi. Kamran Bokhari, Kamran Bokhari, PhD Senior Director Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio  New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy @KamranBokhar. GeopoliticalFutures.com https://www.cnn.com/2023/05/20/asia/zelensky-modi-meet-g7-japan-hiroshima-intl-hnk/index.html  

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow 1891 :#Azerbaijan; #Kazahkstan: Stability and prosperity after a century of brutality. Kamran Bokhari, PhD Senior Director Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio  New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy @KamranBokhar. GeopoliticalFutures.com https://geopoliticalfutures.com/opening-a-trans-caspian-corridor/ https://geopoliticalfutures.com/opening-a-trans-caspian-corridor/?tpa=MTc2MzQxMGUzZWE5Njk2MDA1YTI1YzE2ODMyMTQ3NjZjOTcwNzA&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_term=https://geopoliticalfutures.com/opening-a-trans-caspian-corridor/?tpa=MTc2MzQxMGUzZWE5Njk2MDA1YTI1YzE2ODMyMTQ3NjZjOTcwNzA&utm_content&utm_campaign=PAID%20-%20Everything%20as%20its%20published

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow #PRC: India surpasses PRC as the most populous state.Kamran Bokhari, director of Analytical Development at the Newlines Institute for Strategy & Policy, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.wsj.com/articles/india-china-population-economy-9dd7bf27. 

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow 1/2: #Kazahkstan: Transformation from Soviet kleptocracy to parliamentary competition. Kamran Bokhari, Geopolitical Futures.Senior Director, Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy  https://geopoliticalfutures.com/kazakhstan-democratization-in-an-era-of-geopolitical-churn/

Photo: No known restrictions on publication. @Batchelorshow Mayor Mitchell and Olive Mitchell with Admiral Usher 2/2: #Kazahkstan: Transformation from Soviet kleptocracy to parliamentary competition. Kamran Bokhari, Geopolitical Futures.Senior Director, Eurasian Security & Prosperity Portfolio at the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy  https://geopoliticalfutures.com/kazakhstan-democratization-in-an-era-of-geopolitical-churn/