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Check the full script on YouTube ⇒ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://youtu.be/rljadZ9utTc⁠⁠GENKI Japanese Textbook P234 (Edition 3)  ▼Buy me a coffee and Be a sponsor of one episode ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://bit.ly/KANAKO-Coffee⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠▼BGM ⇒ DOVA-SYNDROME（⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://dova-s.jp/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠)▼Ending BGM ⇒Flower Field【FLASH☆BEAT】

Sebuah Puisi : A-B-A-BDitulis oleh Ardi Kamal KarimaDisuarakan oleh Ardi Kamal KarimaPuisi ini mengungkap pergulatan batin seorang individu yang bergulat dengan kenangan, kehilangan, dan pencarian makna dalam hidup. Pada awalnya, puisi ini menggambarkan perasaan resah yang hadir dalam bentuk mimpi dan ingatan yang samar, seolah ada sesuatu yang tidak bisa dicerna sepenuhnya. Sosok ayah dan ibu muncul sebagai simbol ketabahan dan misteri, sementara buku-buku yang tak laku menjadi metafora bagi harapan atau perjuangan yang terasa sia-sia. Ada rasa sesak yang terpendam dalam ingatan, menciptakan kesan keterasingan dan ketidakpastian.Bagian tengah puisi semakin menguatkan perasaan sakit dan keterasingan itu dengan gambaran luka yang tak hanya fisik, tetapi juga batin. Penyair mempertanyakan keberadaan Tuhan—bukan dalam ketidakpercayaan, tetapi lebih kepada rasa kehilangan arah. Ia merasa semakin jauh dari spiritualitas atau makna doa, seolah-olah kata-kata pun tak lagi mampu menghubungkan dirinya dengan harapan. Usia yang bertambah membawa kesadaran bahwa kebenaran dan kesalahan bercampur dalam hidup, dan dalam kebingungan itu, ia hanya ingin segalanya selesai—entah dengan dilupakan atau diterima.Di bagian akhir, ada resolusi yang melibatkan kepasrahan sekaligus keteguhan. Penyair menemukan makna dalam tulisan, menjadikannya semacam keabadian pribadi di tengah kefanaan. Ia sadar bahwa suatu hari nanti, hidupnya akan berakhir, tetapi selama ia masih bisa menulis, ia akan terus menciptakan sesuatu yang berarti. Meski ada ketakutan akan kehilangan dan kepalsuan, harapan dalam kata-kata tetap menjadi pegangan terakhir, memberikan makna di tengah kerapuhan hidup.#ardikamal #literasi #penulis #monologue #jurnal #luka #perspektive #monolog #menjadimanusia #filsafat #sastra #ardikamal #puisi #poem #poet

Mỹ là thị trường xuất khẩu lớn nhất của Việt Nam trong nhiều năm qua. “Trong 10 tháng năm 2024, thương mại Việt-Mỹ đạt gần 111 tỷ đô la, trong đó tăng mạnh mẽ hơn ở chiều xuất khẩu với kim ngạch gần 98,5 tỷ đô la, tăng 24,2% so với cùng kỳ”, theo báo Đầu Tư ngày 06/11. Thặng dư thương mại của Việt Nam với Mỹ sẽ sớm vượt ngưỡng 100 tỷ đô la, sau khi cũng ở mức khoảng 100 tỷ năm 2023. Mỹ chiếm hơn 1/4 tổng khối lượng xuất khẩu của Việt Nam. Những con số này sẽ không làm tân tổng thống Donald Trump hài lòng. Ông vẫn tuyên bố sẽ “mang việc làm về Mỹ”, tăng thuế hải quan 20% đối với mọi mặt hàng nhập khẩu vào Hoa Kỳ, riêng với hàng Trung Quốc ít nhất là 60%. Việt Nam có thể sẽ là một trong những nước ở châu Á bị tác động nặng nề nhất, theo nhận định của nhiều chuyên gia, được Japan Times trích dẫn ngày 12/11, do thặng dư thương mại với Mỹ quá lớn, gấp đôi so với nhiệm kỳ đầu của ông Trump. Ngoài ra, Việt Nam chưa hẳn đã được hưởng lợi lớn trong cuộc chiến thương mại Mỹ-Trung, được cho là sẽ trầm trọng hơn dưới thời ông Trump. Đọc thêm : Nếu đắc cử tổng thống, Trump sẽ lại "sờ đến" đến thặng dư thương mại của Việt Nam với MỹViệt Nam, “kẻ lạm dụng thương mại tồi tệ nhất” theo cách gọi của ông Trump, đang từng bước chuẩn bị đối sách. Ngay ngày 07/11, khi có số liệu chính xác về kết quả bầu cử, tổng bí thư Tô Lâm, chủ tịch nước Lương Cường và thủ tướng Phạm Minh Chính đã gửi điện chúc mừng, khẳng định “Việt Nam coi Hoa Kỳ là đối tác có tầm quan trọng chiến lược”. Đến ngày 11/11, theo báo Chính phủ, tổng bí thư Tô Lâm đã điện đàm với ông Donald Trump, “đánh giá cao những đóng góp của tổng thống đắc cử trong quá trình phát triển của quan hệ Việt Nam - Hoa Kỳ”. Ông “cũng trao đổi với tổng thống đắc cử Donald Trump về một số phương hướng lớn nhằm tăng cường quan hệ kinh tế, thương mại và đầu tư giữa hai nước trong các lĩnh vực hai bên có thế mạnh và nhu cầu”.Ngoài ra, phải kể đến một sự kiện trùng hợp, có thể giúp Việt Nam “ghi điểm” trong mắt tổng thống tân cử Mỹ: Một tháng trước cuộc bầu cử, ngày 08/10/2024, công ty Phát triển Đô thị Kinh Bắc thông báo tập đoàn Trump (Trump Organization) đã đồng ý đầu tư xây dựng tổ hợp khách sạn, sân golf cao cấp tại tỉnh Hưng Yên, quê nhà của tổng bí thư Tô Lâm cũng như của những người thân cận với ông. Đọc thêm : Dự án tỷ đô tại quê nhà của tổng bí thư Tô Lâm, lá bài trói buộc Trump của Việt Nam ? Việt Nam sẽ còn phải có những đối sách nào khác trong khi rất phụ thuộc vào thương mại trên thế giới, xuất khẩu chiếm khoảng 85% nền kinh tế và Hoa Kỳ là thị trường lớn nhất của Việt Nam ? Giáo sư Alexander Vuving, Trung tâm Nghiên cứu An ninh châu Á-Thái Bình Dương, Honolulu, Hawaii, Hoa Kỳ, trả lời một số câu hỏi của RFI Tiếng Việt về chủ đề này.RFI : Thặng dư thương mại của Việt Nam với Mỹ sẽ vượt qua 100 tỷ đô la Mỹ vào năm 2024. Ông Donald Trump từng gọi Việt Nam là “kẻ lạm dụng thương mại tồi tệ nhất” vào thời điểm mà thặng dư chỉ bằng một nửa hiện nay. Việt Nam sẽ chịu những tác động như thế nào nếu ông Trump thực hiện lời đe dọa nâng thuế nhập khẩu và “rờ” đến những nước xuất siêu sang Mỹ, trong đó có Việt Nam ?Alexander Vuving : Tôi nghĩ là nếu chính quyền Trump áp thuế xuất nhập khẩu vào hàng hóa của Việt Nam thì đương nhiên nó sẽ ảnh hưởng đến xuất khẩu của Việt Nam. Nhưng ảnh hưởng nhiều hay ít thì phụ thuộc vào tỉ lệ mà người ta áp thuế. Ví dụ áp thuế 1-2% khác với cả áp thuế 5-7% và khác với cả áp thuế 10-15%. Bây giờ cũng không thể biết được là chính quyền Trump sẽ áp thuế đến mức độ nào.Thứ hai, cũng không biết là họ sẽ áp thuế những mặt hàng nào. Có thể họ sẽ áp toàn bộ các mặt hàng ở một mức nào đó. Nhưng khả năng là có thể cho tất cả các nước, cũng có thể là chỉ tùy mặt hàng. Ảnh hưởng đến xuất khẩu Việt Nam chắc chắn là sẽ có, nhưng nhiều hay ít thì chưa thể nói được, vì nó còn phụ thuộc vào những số liệu cụ thể mà người ta sẽ đưa ra.Các doanh nghiệp Việt Nam, khi mà thị trường của Mỹ eo hẹp như vậy, đương nhiên sẽ phải tìm những thị trường khác. Những thị trường tương đương với Mỹ, để xuất hàng hóa tương đương với Mỹ, thì khả năng lớn sẽ là những thị trường phía châu Âu. Cũng có thể là cả một số thị trường khác ở những nước đang phát triển hoặc cũng có những nước Trung Đông, nhưng chủ yếu chắc  sẽ là những thị trường châu Âu. Đọc thêm : Việt Nam mua vũ khí lớn của Mỹ: Bước ngoặt trong quan hệ quốc phòng song phương?Ngoài ra, chính phủ Việt Nam cũng sẽ có những phản ứng, chẳng hạn tìm cách xoa dịu Mỹ bằng cách có thể là hối thúc các doanh nghiệp Việt Nam mua thêm hàng của Mỹ để cân bằng lại cán cân thương mại. Hoặc là sẽ có những động thái nào đó, có thể không thuộc phạm trù kinh tế, để xoa dịu Mỹ và cho thấy là Việt Nam có những thiện chí đối với Mỹ, để từ đó làm cho họ giảm thuế suất đi chẳng hạn. Thậm chí rất có thể Việt Nam cũng nghĩ đến chuyện mua vũ khí của Mỹ và lấy cái đó để làm một đòn bẩy nhằm giảm mức độ Mỹ áp những chính sách khó khăn về kinh tế đối Việt Nam.Từ phía các nhà đầu tư chẳng hạn thì tùy thuộc vào mức độ ảnh hưởng mà họ sẽ phải đi tìm những nơi khác để đầu tư, bởi vì họ xem những chỗ nào đầu tư có lãi hơn. Nói chung là hoàn toàn phụ thuộc rất nhiều vào những con số cụ thể.RFI : Việt Nam bị coi trở thành trung gian cho các sản phẩm của Trung Quốc nhập khẩu vào Hoa Kỳ. Biện pháp này được sử dụng rất nhiều. Việt Nam sẽ phải đối mặt với những rủi ro nào trong trường hợp chiến tranh thương mại giữa Trung Quốc và Mỹ xảy ra và có thể trầm trọng hơn dưới thời tổng thống Donald Trump, cùng với lời đe dọa của ông là đánh thuế hải quan lên đến 60% đối với sản phẩm của Trung Quốc?Alexander Vuving :  Vâng, cái này cũng phụ thuộc vào việc chính quyền Trump sẽ nhìn nhận như thế nào. Họ sẽ đánh giá mức độ mà Việt Nam làm “trung gian” để đưa hàng Trung Quốc sang Mỹ. Tôi nghĩ là họ sẽ gây áp lực về vấn đề đó, bởi vì trên thực tế, có nhiều mặt hàng mà mức độ “xử lý” ở Việt Nam không nhiều, chủ yếu là hàng từ Trung Quốc, sau đó được xử lý một chút, rồi dán mã Việt Nam và đưa sang Mỹ. Đọc thêm : Chiến tranh thương mại với Mỹ : Những bước chuẩn bị của châu ÁThế thì người ta sẽ điều tra ra sao? Thứ nhất là nếu không điều tra được thì họ sẽ đánh thuế theo mức độ “mặc định” và nhiều khả năng là nó sẽ quá lớn, có hại cho Việt Nam. Thứ hai, trong vấn đề này, chính quyền Việt Nam cũng có thể tìm cách hợp tác với Mỹ, để cho Mỹ thấy rằng họ có thiện chí trong việc hạn chế những luồng “thương mại trung gian”, tức là đi từ Trung Quốc sang rồi xử lý phết phẩy một chút ở Việt Nam và đưa sang Mỹ, hoặc trong vấn đề “kiểm soát đầu tư” của Trung Quốc ở Việt Nam, để nâng cao tính nội địa của Việt Nam.Tôi nghĩ chắc chắn là Việt Nam sẽ tìm cách tỏ thái độ thiện chí và hợp tác với Mỹ, để từ đó phía chính quyền Trump sẽ giảm mức độ trừng phạt. Có thể thấy là còn phụ thuộc rất nhiều. Chính quyền Trump sử dụng cái gì thì mình cũng không biết được, bởi vì họ không theo những mô hình mà mình đã thấy từ trước.RFI : Việt Nam được cho là hưởng lợi từ cuộc chiến thương mại Mỹ-Trung trong những năm, qua nhưng cuộc chiến này có lẽ sẽ còn nghiêm trọng hơn dưới thời Trump nhiệm kỳ 2. Liệu Việt Nam có tiếp tục được hưởng lợi nữa hay không ?Alexander Vuving : Chiến tranh thương mại giữa Mỹ và Trung Quốc khả năng rất lớn là sẽ xảy ra trong thời của ông Trump. Và như thế Việt Nam đương nhiên là sẽ hưởng lợi, bởi vì vị trí của Việt Nam khiến cho Việt Nam có thể thành một trong những nơi được hưởng lợi lớn nhất. Hễ có xung đột thương mại giữa Mỹ và Trung Quốc thì Việt Nam sẽ được hưởng lợi. Đọc thêm : Việt Nam : Nắm cơ hội, sửa điểm yếu để thu hút doanh nghiệp rời Trung QuốcLợi ít hay lợi nhiều thì còn phụ thuộc vào việc Mỹ sẽ có những trừng phạt nhất định đối với những kẻ mà họ cho là hưởng lợi một cách “không chính đáng”. Cho nên điều này còn phụ thuộc vào sự trừng phạt của Mỹ là mạnh hay yếu. Cho Việt Nam đương nhiên hưởng lợi chừng nào có chiến tranh thương mại giữa Mỹ và Trung Quốc, nhưng sự hưởng lợi này sẽ đi kèm với sự “bị trừng phạt”. Và “sự trừng phạt” thì như đã nói ở trên, mức độ có thể nhiều hoặc ít.RFI : Quy chế nền kinh tế thị trường mà Việt Nam kêu gọi Mỹ trao cho từ lâu liệu sẽ không được thực hiện ngay dưới thời của ông Donald Trump ?Alexander Vuving : Vâng, tôi cũng nghĩ như vậy. Tức là về vấn đề quy chế thị trường, nếu nói về những tiêu chí một cách khách quan, thì khả năng lớn là Việt Nam không đạt được, bởi vì mức độ can thiệp của nhà nước vào thị trường ở Việt Nam là có hệ thống.Sự can thiệp này không chỉ có hệ thống mà còn nằm trong chủ trương, chính sách. Chủ trương, chính sách của Việt Nam, từ Hiến Pháp, từ nghị quyết, từ tất cả những văn bản chính thức, đều nói đến kinh tế thị trường định hướng xã hội chủ nghĩa và ngoài ra còn nói rõ thêm về vai trò trụ cột của nền kinh tế quốc doanh. Với những điểm như vậy thì Việt Nam không thể nào đạt được những tiêu chí kinh tế thị trường như Mỹ đưa ra. Đọc thêm : Được Mỹ công nhận là kinh tế thị trường: Không đơn giản đối với Việt NamVấn đề còn lại chỉ là chính quyền Mỹ, vì những lý do khác ngoài lý do kinh tế, ví dụ do quan hệ ngoại giao, địa-chính trị hay gì đó, mà họ nới lỏng cho Việt Nam, họ công nhận Việt Nam có kinh tế thị trường, để mà có quan hệ như thế nào với Việt Nam. Liệu những lý do chính trị và ngoại giao đấy có đủ mạnh để  chính quyền Mỹ chấp nhận để bên bộ Ngoại Giao, rồi phía Nhà Trắng can thiệp vào công việc của bộ Thương Mại, ép bộ Thương Mại cho Việt Nam được hưởng quy chế thị trường hay không, điều này cũng phụ thuộc vào vấn đề đó.RFI Tiếng Việt xin chân thành cảm ơn giáo sư Alexander Vuving, Trung tâm Nghiên cứu An ninh châu Á-Thái Bình Dương, Honolulu, Hawaii, Hoa Kỳ.

Mỹ là thị trường xuất khẩu lớn nhất của Việt Nam trong nhiều năm qua. “Trong 10 tháng năm 2024, thương mại Việt-Mỹ đạt gần 111 tỷ đô la, trong đó tăng mạnh mẽ hơn ở chiều xuất khẩu với kim ngạch gần 98,5 tỷ đô la, tăng 24,2% so với cùng kỳ”, theo báo Đầu Tư ngày 06/11. Thặng dư thương mại của Việt Nam với Mỹ sẽ sớm vượt ngưỡng 100 tỷ đô la, sau khi cũng ở mức khoảng 100 tỷ năm 2023. Mỹ chiếm hơn 1/4 tổng khối lượng xuất khẩu của Việt Nam. Những con số này sẽ không làm tân tổng thống Donald Trump hài lòng. Ông vẫn tuyên bố sẽ “mang việc làm về Mỹ”, tăng thuế hải quan 20% đối với mọi mặt hàng nhập khẩu vào Hoa Kỳ, riêng với hàng Trung Quốc ít nhất là 60%. Việt Nam có thể sẽ là một trong những nước ở châu Á bị tác động nặng nề nhất, theo nhận định của nhiều chuyên gia, được Japan Times trích dẫn ngày 12/11, do thặng dư thương mại với Mỹ quá lớn, gấp đôi so với nhiệm kỳ đầu của ông Trump. Ngoài ra, Việt Nam chưa hẳn đã được hưởng lợi lớn trong cuộc chiến thương mại Mỹ-Trung, được cho là sẽ trầm trọng hơn dưới thời ông Trump. Đọc thêm : Nếu đắc cử tổng thống, Trump sẽ lại "sờ đến" đến thặng dư thương mại của Việt Nam với MỹViệt Nam, “kẻ lạm dụng thương mại tồi tệ nhất” theo cách gọi của ông Trump, đang từng bước chuẩn bị đối sách. Ngay ngày 07/11, khi có số liệu chính xác về kết quả bầu cử, tổng bí thư Tô Lâm, chủ tịch nước Lương Cường và thủ tướng Phạm Minh Chính đã gửi điện chúc mừng, khẳng định “Việt Nam coi Hoa Kỳ là đối tác có tầm quan trọng chiến lược”. Đến ngày 11/11, theo báo Chính phủ, tổng bí thư Tô Lâm đã điện đàm với ông Donald Trump, “đánh giá cao những đóng góp của tổng thống đắc cử trong quá trình phát triển của quan hệ Việt Nam - Hoa Kỳ”. Ông “cũng trao đổi với tổng thống đắc cử Donald Trump về một số phương hướng lớn nhằm tăng cường quan hệ kinh tế, thương mại và đầu tư giữa hai nước trong các lĩnh vực hai bên có thế mạnh và nhu cầu”.Ngoài ra, phải kể đến một sự kiện trùng hợp, có thể giúp Việt Nam “ghi điểm” trong mắt tổng thống tân cử Mỹ: Một tháng trước cuộc bầu cử, ngày 08/10/2024, công ty Phát triển Đô thị Kinh Bắc thông báo tập đoàn Trump (Trump Organization) đã đồng ý đầu tư xây dựng tổ hợp khách sạn, sân golf cao cấp tại tỉnh Hưng Yên, quê nhà của tổng bí thư Tô Lâm cũng như của những người thân cận với ông. Đọc thêm : Dự án tỷ đô tại quê nhà của tổng bí thư Tô Lâm, lá bài trói buộc Trump của Việt Nam ? Việt Nam sẽ còn phải có những đối sách nào khác trong khi rất phụ thuộc vào thương mại trên thế giới, xuất khẩu chiếm khoảng 85% nền kinh tế và Hoa Kỳ là thị trường lớn nhất của Việt Nam ? Giáo sư Alexander Vuving, Trung tâm Nghiên cứu An ninh châu Á-Thái Bình Dương, Honolulu, Hawaii, Hoa Kỳ, trả lời một số câu hỏi của RFI Tiếng Việt về chủ đề này.RFI : Thặng dư thương mại của Việt Nam với Mỹ sẽ vượt qua 100 tỷ đô la Mỹ vào năm 2024. Ông Donald Trump từng gọi Việt Nam là “kẻ lạm dụng thương mại tồi tệ nhất” vào thời điểm mà thặng dư chỉ bằng một nửa hiện nay. Việt Nam sẽ chịu những tác động như thế nào nếu ông Trump thực hiện lời đe dọa nâng thuế nhập khẩu và “rờ” đến những nước xuất siêu sang Mỹ, trong đó có Việt Nam ?Alexander Vuving : Tôi nghĩ là nếu chính quyền Trump áp thuế xuất nhập khẩu vào hàng hóa của Việt Nam thì đương nhiên nó sẽ ảnh hưởng đến xuất khẩu của Việt Nam. Nhưng ảnh hưởng nhiều hay ít thì phụ thuộc vào tỉ lệ mà người ta áp thuế. Ví dụ áp thuế 1-2% khác với cả áp thuế 5-7% và khác với cả áp thuế 10-15%. Bây giờ cũng không thể biết được là chính quyền Trump sẽ áp thuế đến mức độ nào.Thứ hai, cũng không biết là họ sẽ áp thuế những mặt hàng nào. Có thể họ sẽ áp toàn bộ các mặt hàng ở một mức nào đó. Nhưng khả năng là có thể cho tất cả các nước, cũng có thể là chỉ tùy mặt hàng. Ảnh hưởng đến xuất khẩu Việt Nam chắc chắn là sẽ có, nhưng nhiều hay ít thì chưa thể nói được, vì nó còn phụ thuộc vào những số liệu cụ thể mà người ta sẽ đưa ra.Các doanh nghiệp Việt Nam, khi mà thị trường của Mỹ eo hẹp như vậy, đương nhiên sẽ phải tìm những thị trường khác. Những thị trường tương đương với Mỹ, để xuất hàng hóa tương đương với Mỹ, thì khả năng lớn sẽ là những thị trường phía châu Âu. Cũng có thể là cả một số thị trường khác ở những nước đang phát triển hoặc cũng có những nước Trung Đông, nhưng chủ yếu chắc  sẽ là những thị trường châu Âu. Đọc thêm : Việt Nam mua vũ khí lớn của Mỹ: Bước ngoặt trong quan hệ quốc phòng song phương?Ngoài ra, chính phủ Việt Nam cũng sẽ có những phản ứng, chẳng hạn tìm cách xoa dịu Mỹ bằng cách có thể là hối thúc các doanh nghiệp Việt Nam mua thêm hàng của Mỹ để cân bằng lại cán cân thương mại. Hoặc là sẽ có những động thái nào đó, có thể không thuộc phạm trù kinh tế, để xoa dịu Mỹ và cho thấy là Việt Nam có những thiện chí đối với Mỹ, để từ đó làm cho họ giảm thuế suất đi chẳng hạn. Thậm chí rất có thể Việt Nam cũng nghĩ đến chuyện mua vũ khí của Mỹ và lấy cái đó để làm một đòn bẩy nhằm giảm mức độ Mỹ áp những chính sách khó khăn về kinh tế đối Việt Nam.Từ phía các nhà đầu tư chẳng hạn thì tùy thuộc vào mức độ ảnh hưởng mà họ sẽ phải đi tìm những nơi khác để đầu tư, bởi vì họ xem những chỗ nào đầu tư có lãi hơn. Nói chung là hoàn toàn phụ thuộc rất nhiều vào những con số cụ thể.RFI : Việt Nam bị coi trở thành trung gian cho các sản phẩm của Trung Quốc nhập khẩu vào Hoa Kỳ. Biện pháp này được sử dụng rất nhiều. Việt Nam sẽ phải đối mặt với những rủi ro nào trong trường hợp chiến tranh thương mại giữa Trung Quốc và Mỹ xảy ra và có thể trầm trọng hơn dưới thời tổng thống Donald Trump, cùng với lời đe dọa của ông là đánh thuế hải quan lên đến 60% đối với sản phẩm của Trung Quốc?Alexander Vuving :  Vâng, cái này cũng phụ thuộc vào việc chính quyền Trump sẽ nhìn nhận như thế nào. Họ sẽ đánh giá mức độ mà Việt Nam làm “trung gian” để đưa hàng Trung Quốc sang Mỹ. Tôi nghĩ là họ sẽ gây áp lực về vấn đề đó, bởi vì trên thực tế, có nhiều mặt hàng mà mức độ “xử lý” ở Việt Nam không nhiều, chủ yếu là hàng từ Trung Quốc, sau đó được xử lý một chút, rồi dán mã Việt Nam và đưa sang Mỹ. Đọc thêm : Chiến tranh thương mại với Mỹ : Những bước chuẩn bị của châu ÁThế thì người ta sẽ điều tra ra sao? Thứ nhất là nếu không điều tra được thì họ sẽ đánh thuế theo mức độ “mặc định” và nhiều khả năng là nó sẽ quá lớn, có hại cho Việt Nam. Thứ hai, trong vấn đề này, chính quyền Việt Nam cũng có thể tìm cách hợp tác với Mỹ, để cho Mỹ thấy rằng họ có thiện chí trong việc hạn chế những luồng “thương mại trung gian”, tức là đi từ Trung Quốc sang rồi xử lý phết phẩy một chút ở Việt Nam và đưa sang Mỹ, hoặc trong vấn đề “kiểm soát đầu tư” của Trung Quốc ở Việt Nam, để nâng cao tính nội địa của Việt Nam.Tôi nghĩ chắc chắn là Việt Nam sẽ tìm cách tỏ thái độ thiện chí và hợp tác với Mỹ, để từ đó phía chính quyền Trump sẽ giảm mức độ trừng phạt. Có thể thấy là còn phụ thuộc rất nhiều. Chính quyền Trump sử dụng cái gì thì mình cũng không biết được, bởi vì họ không theo những mô hình mà mình đã thấy từ trước.RFI : Việt Nam được cho là hưởng lợi từ cuộc chiến thương mại Mỹ-Trung trong những năm, qua nhưng cuộc chiến này có lẽ sẽ còn nghiêm trọng hơn dưới thời Trump nhiệm kỳ 2. Liệu Việt Nam có tiếp tục được hưởng lợi nữa hay không ?Alexander Vuving : Chiến tranh thương mại giữa Mỹ và Trung Quốc khả năng rất lớn là sẽ xảy ra trong thời của ông Trump. Và như thế Việt Nam đương nhiên là sẽ hưởng lợi, bởi vì vị trí của Việt Nam khiến cho Việt Nam có thể thành một trong những nơi được hưởng lợi lớn nhất. Hễ có xung đột thương mại giữa Mỹ và Trung Quốc thì Việt Nam sẽ được hưởng lợi. Đọc thêm : Việt Nam : Nắm cơ hội, sửa điểm yếu để thu hút doanh nghiệp rời Trung QuốcLợi ít hay lợi nhiều thì còn phụ thuộc vào việc Mỹ sẽ có những trừng phạt nhất định đối với những kẻ mà họ cho là hưởng lợi một cách “không chính đáng”. Cho nên điều này còn phụ thuộc vào sự trừng phạt của Mỹ là mạnh hay yếu. Cho Việt Nam đương nhiên hưởng lợi chừng nào có chiến tranh thương mại giữa Mỹ và Trung Quốc, nhưng sự hưởng lợi này sẽ đi kèm với sự “bị trừng phạt”. Và “sự trừng phạt” thì như đã nói ở trên, mức độ có thể nhiều hoặc ít.RFI : Quy chế nền kinh tế thị trường mà Việt Nam kêu gọi Mỹ trao cho từ lâu liệu sẽ không được thực hiện ngay dưới thời của ông Donald Trump ?Alexander Vuving : Vâng, tôi cũng nghĩ như vậy. Tức là về vấn đề quy chế thị trường, nếu nói về những tiêu chí một cách khách quan, thì khả năng lớn là Việt Nam không đạt được, bởi vì mức độ can thiệp của nhà nước vào thị trường ở Việt Nam là có hệ thống.Sự can thiệp này không chỉ có hệ thống mà còn nằm trong chủ trương, chính sách. Chủ trương, chính sách của Việt Nam, từ Hiến Pháp, từ nghị quyết, từ tất cả những văn bản chính thức, đều nói đến kinh tế thị trường định hướng xã hội chủ nghĩa và ngoài ra còn nói rõ thêm về vai trò trụ cột của nền kinh tế quốc doanh. Với những điểm như vậy thì Việt Nam không thể nào đạt được những tiêu chí kinh tế thị trường như Mỹ đưa ra. Đọc thêm : Được Mỹ công nhận là kinh tế thị trường: Không đơn giản đối với Việt NamVấn đề còn lại chỉ là chính quyền Mỹ, vì những lý do khác ngoài lý do kinh tế, ví dụ do quan hệ ngoại giao, địa-chính trị hay gì đó, mà họ nới lỏng cho Việt Nam, họ công nhận Việt Nam có kinh tế thị trường, để mà có quan hệ như thế nào với Việt Nam. Liệu những lý do chính trị và ngoại giao đấy có đủ mạnh để  chính quyền Mỹ chấp nhận để bên bộ Ngoại Giao, rồi phía Nhà Trắng can thiệp vào công việc của bộ Thương Mại, ép bộ Thương Mại cho Việt Nam được hưởng quy chế thị trường hay không, điều này cũng phụ thuộc vào vấn đề đó.RFI Tiếng Việt xin chân thành cảm ơn giáo sư Alexander Vuving, Trung tâm Nghiên cứu An ninh châu Á-Thái Bình Dương, Honolulu, Hawaii, Hoa Kỳ.

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Are you looking to continue your education in the beauty industry or gain CEU's? Tune into this week's episode to learn more about a new platform designed by a fellow esthetician just for you!Courtney Cox, the creator of Brilliance Advanced Beauty Education (B.A.B.E), shares her journey as an esthetician and her vision for providing advanced continuing education for beauty professionals. She identifies a disconnect between schooling and real-world application, noting how essential skills like sanitation, handling customers, and maintaining personal wellbeing are often underemphasized in beauty school curricula. Cortney discusses the approval process for offering continuing education courses through B.A.B.E in collaboration with state boards. While the process is lengthy and sometimes challenging, Cortney is committed to making a wide range of courses available for beauty professionals wanting to enhance both their technical and business skills. Her goals also include collaborations with different educators and obtaining more state approvals for B.A.B.E's courses.Be sure to pop over to B.A.B.E.'s website to dive into your next learning experience!In this episode:How and Why Cortney Created B.A.B.E.Why Continuing Education is Needed in the Beauty IndustryBenefits of Online Courses in Beauty EducationThe Reality and Purpose of Beauty School EducationHow Does Cortney Gain State Board Approval for Courses?Challenges Cortney Faces for State ApprovalsWho is B.A.B.E. for?How You can Become an Educator with BABEFuture Plans for BABEThe Importance of Self-Care and Continuous LearningMore about Cortney:I have been an esthetician for over 22 years. I have been a distributor, trainer, one of the General Managers of Elleebana USA. I founded a company Brilliance Advanced Beauty Education that provides advanced continuing education for beauty and wellness professionals.Connect with Cortney:WebsiteFacebookInstagramConnect with Abby: Instagram: BeautyProWellnessPodcast Instagram: CoachAbbyOEmail: coachabbyosullivan@gmail.comWebsiteIf you enjoy this podcast and know your beauty industry pro friends and family would as well, please go ahead and hit the subscribe button and share this podcast!The Beauty Pro Wellness Podcast is produced by Wonder Podcast Productions. 

►► Download the 20 Ways To Start Writing A Song Cheat Sheet here: http://songwritertheory.com/freeguide/ In this Bonus episode of the Songwriter Theory Podcast, we're continuing to address your biggest songwriting struggles directly by responding to more of your responses to my survey. We'll be discussing struggles such as: - I Can't Get My Rhythm + Rhyme Right! - I Struggle To Write Lyrics That All Work Together - Opinion: Songs Shouldn't Have A "Message" - I Struggle To Connect Verses + Choruses - I Struggle To Pick The Right Chords For The Right Feels - How Do I Start A Song? - How Do Intentionally Write Songs With Certain Emotions? - What Kind of Songs Should I Write First? Transcript: This is part seven of responding to your answer to my question of what your number one biggest songwriting struggle or challenge is. Let's talk about it. Hello friend, welcome to another episode of the Songwriter Theory Podcast. I'm your host as always, Joseph Galla. Honored that you would take some time out of your busy day, your busy week to talk songwriting with me. And welcome again to another bonus episode of the Songwriter Theory Podcast where we are talking about your answers to the question of what your biggest songwriting struggle is. If you haven't already, be sure to grab my free guide, 20 Different Ways to Start Writing a Song. This is a struggle that comes up. We might get to this question today actually, but somebody asks about, "Hey, I struggled figuring out where to start with songs." Not sure if we'll get to it in today's episode or not, but whether you're just somebody that sometimes wants to get out of your creative box a little bit more or you're somebody who struggles to actually start writing songs and not even just being original with starting songs but just starting in general, this is the guide for you to kick writer's block to the curb because writer's block sometimes comes from staring at a blank page, staring at your instrument and just being like, "I don't know. I don't know what to do next." But starting our songs in different ways can be a great way to overcome that, and this free cheat sheet gives you 20 different ways to start writing a song. SongwriterTheory.com slash free guide. First response for this bonus episode. Dear Joseph, songwriting is a very excellent form of literature and philosophy. I agree. As a result, I enjoy English literature such as short stories and memoirs. Songwriting is very special to me and my friends. The tricky part is the rhythm and rhyme. So let's address that first. So when it comes to...so with rhythm and rhyme, because you paired them together, I'm mostly going to assume that you're talking about the rhythm specifically of words and or the melody, aka meter. So the tricky part is meter and rhyme. First thing on that, because I've seen enough lyrics and had enough questions where I know that I think I need to say this, probably more often than I do, but your lyrics should not exist or not be made to serve an arbitrary rhyme scheme. Your lyrics do not serve a rhyme. Your rhyming or lack of rhyming should service and serve your lyrics. So you should never be, for instance, let's say you decide on a rhyme scheme that is A-B-A-B. You should never be significantly altering your lyrics or using corny words you don't really want to use. I'll pick on Night and Light. I've used it in one of my songs. There's nothing wrong with Night and Light. I've used it at some point, but you don't want that to be a constant go-to. If every single one of your songs has Night and Light, it's like, all right, come on. So if you've picked that as a rhyme scheme, A-B-A-B, and you're significantly changing what you actually want to say just in order to fit that arbitrary rhyme scheme, I think we've lost the plot when that happens. Because ultimately, nobody gives a rip whether your song rhymes or not. Just in general. I would argue in the scheme of all things lyrics, rhyme is towards the bottom of what's important. So to your tricky part is the rhythm and rhyme. Worry way more about rhythm, aka meter, than rhyme. Because to take it to the extreme, which is a good way to test any form of logic, but to take it to the extreme, if you had a song where every single, you did not rhyme at all, or a poem where you did not rhyme at all, not a single thing rhymes, not even family rhymes, or consonants rhymes, no rhymes at all, but you paid attention to meter, you could have a great lyric. You could have great lyrics. But if you reverse that and pay no attention at all to meter, your meter is just all over the place. But your rhyme scheme is perfect. Nobody will notice or care that your rhyme scheme is perfect because nobody will be able to see past or hear past the fact that your meter is all over the place. Now when I say meter is all over the place, I don't mean that you have some slight alterations in places. I don't mean that your syllable counts aren't exact, even though your emphases counts are exact so just for instance, take common meter, has four emphases three, four, three, which often comes with a syllable count of eight, six, eight, six, but doesn't have to. We talked about this in a previous podcast. I think the example I used was I have to go to school has the same meter as I have to go to the school. Now I tucked another word in there that's unemphasized to the school instead of to school, but that's the same meter because the emphases are still the same. They're on the same syllables, the same number of emphases. There's just one unemphasized syllable tucked in, which in the scheme of a song, totally fine, totally fine. It happens all the time. It's not imperfect. It's great. It can work marvelously, especially if it needs to be there. If your meter is all over the place, you might as well be speaking the way I am in basic prose where there's no real sense of meter at all, then your lyrics, they're not even lyrics. They're not even lyrics. I guess my first recommendation is don't pay attention to those two things equally. Get your meter right and if you can, use rhyme as a supplemental part to your lyrics where you make your lyrics even better because of rhyme, great. Because rhyme, I think should be viewed that way. Number one is say what you mean to say in your lyrics and get the meter right. And again, meter right does not mean exact with syllables and everything, but try to be as exact as possible with emphases or at least really close and you're good. And then for rhymes, to actually find rhymes, especially if you're looking for perfect rhymes, which would be like night and light where both the consonants and the assonance or the vowel sound and the consonant sound both match, rhymezone.com is a great way to go. If you're looking for lasso-vert rhyming, like family rhymes or things like that, I don't have a website recommendation that's going to just be on you. Although my recommendation is lean, for the most part, I would argue that ABAB rhyme scheme, especially if it's throughout a song, is too much. If maybe in the chorus of your song, one of the main points of your song, you have an ABAB rhyme scheme, great. The rest of your song, do like XA, XA at most because if there's too much perfect rhyming going on in a song, that's usually where it starts to get cringe and feel like everything is just serving the rhyme. So get the meter right. Worry less about rhyme. Moreover another problem is chaos, such as theorizing and being absent-minded. The challenge is that there are a lot of romantic lyrics and there's pain and sadness. However, rock and roll and blues are archaic. That's interesting. Rock and roll and blues are archaic. I don't think any musical genre is archaic and even if it is, you can bring it back. There's that new movement of like, Bardcore, which is like Bard style music. I don't even know what era that's from. 1500s, 1400s, 1200s, I don't know. Really old style music. Old European style music. But they do it for like, Down With The Sickness. It sounds like that. So any genre that gets archaic just comes back. So don't let that, I don't know if this is what you're saying, but don't ever let, "Oh, that genre's played out." Or, "That genre's heyday was 30 years ago." So bring it back. I mean, right now, seemingly half of pop music is just 80s round two. I mean, a lot of Dua Lipa stuff is like that. A lot of the weekend stuff is like that. We're getting towards the end of my pop knowledge here. But I've heard so many songs when I do have the, unfortunately I'm subjected to what is now pop radio. So much of it is, even, I like the 1975. They're a guilty pleasure of mine. And a lot of their songs are very 80s inspired. So anything that you think is archaic, it all comes back. You can breathe new life into something that maybe is actually archaic. But anyway, as a result, the time of day and such saliences as, wow saliences, big word, as country and folk music make poetry pretty. The melodies are always the fun part, but the saying is valid that genius is 99% perspiration and 1% inspiration, for sure. Nevertheless, these forms from the 1980s forwards are very popular. Making money has been new investments. Moreover, I think new songwriters are cool. Yeah, okay. So I think that was the end of the question, implied question part. So Rhythm and Wrath. Yes, get the meter right, get the rhythm right. Mostly paying attention to emphasize syllables. Easy example again is forever. If you just listen to the word forever, you can hear which syllables are emphasized and which ones aren't. It's forever, not forever. It's hard to even say that. Or forever, it's forever. So the emphasized syllables, that middle one is the ee, ee, right? It's for, not emphasized, ee, emphasized, and ver, not emphasized. So just listen for the natural meter in your words and try to match that up. Just another tip on this. If you write melody first, that can help you worry a little bit less about coming up with an arbitrary meter or rhythm because it's already contained in your melody. Any melody has a meter built in because it has number of syllables in the form of number of notes. And yeah, sure, you can maybe stretch out a syllable or shrink a syllable. Yeah, you can do that. But generally speaking, the syllable count of your line and the melody note count of your line is going to match. And then there's natural emphases within your melody, right? There's a natural meter within your melody. So if you write melody first and then just write lyrics that match with the natural cadences, the natural emphases of the melody, then you're good and you don't have to worry about coming up with an arbitrary meter. As I mentioned in a previous episode, if you're really, if you're starting with lyrics and you're just looking for a place to start, common meter is a great place to start at least where you have four emphases, three emphases, four emphases, three emphases. If you want an example of that, Amazing Grace is a perfect example of exact common meter. Writing good verses. I never struggle with coming up with a chord progression, melody line, or rhythm for choruses. But writing good verses that stick in your head and make you experience something is a mystery to me. I always imagined verses to be more of the story writing section of the song containing some kind of message, but that mindset tends to leave me writing super generic verses that lack the feel I loved about the chorus. I struggle to connect choruses and verses. It's like I'm writing two songs that happen to be in the same key, but have very little momentum and flow connecting the two. I hope that makes some sense. So it sounds like this is mostly coming from a lyrical standpoint, given the emphasis on not knowing what to say and story writing section of the song. And first I'll say, not every song has a story. Sometimes I'll refer to this as like point in time songs. I think that's what I call it. But it's basically this idea that some songs don't really have a sense of time progressing. For every song that like Cats in the Cradle, which has a clear progression over really a man's entire adult life almost, right? From a kid all the way to his son, you know, him being very old and his son having kids of his own. Or 100 Years, which goes from 15 years old to 99 years old. For each one of those that has a very clear story time progression, there are other songs where the whole thing could be taking place in a moment. And it's just all the different feelings you're feeling in that specific moment. There's no clear progression of time. So it's not necessarily the case that it's a story in the sense that you or I may think about it, but very often it is. In which case, an easy way to... There's several easier ways to look at it. One is, one of the tried and true ways of doing things is to have present tense in the chorus and then have your first verse be the future and your second verse be the past. So you talk about the future you hope for or the future you dread or whatever it might be. Then you talk about here's where I am now in the chorus and then in the second verse you go back in time and say how did we get here? Or you can reverse past and future so it's actually an order past present future with first verse, chorus, second verse. Other things you can do is just see the chorus as something that's either a so or therefore or a but. So let's say your chorus will keep it really simple. Let's say your chorus is "I love you." The very main idea. Hopefully it's not just that you say "I love you." I mean I guess that could be okay. The basic premise is "I love you" is the thing being communicated in the chorus. So in your first verse and then second verse you might opt to make it so the chorus is a so or therefore. So in your first verse you could be like you know "You're so pretty and beautiful and you make me smile." So or therefore "I love you." That's the chorus. And then the second verse is "Wow you're such a great mom and you take such good care of our family and you're so kind." Whatever. "Therefore I love you." So have it be that each verse is something that supports the main idea of the melody. Where you could take the main premise of the melody and say "Therefore I love you." "Therefore I love you." First verse "Therefore I love you." Second verse or second idea "Therefore I love you." Or so. Same idea. Just less pretentious way of saying it I guess. And then you could also have "but." So you know we'll keep with "I love you." "You're awful to me and you left me for someone else but I love you anyway." You know and then the second verse is some other piece of evidence about how this person is awful and you probably shouldn't love them. "But I love you." That's another fairly easy way to go. And then for the, this might be nitpicking on something that you don't mean, but I always imagine verses to be more of the storywriting section of the song containing some kind of message. So I don't think, it depends what you mean by message, but generally speaking I feel like songs should, any form of message in art should be accidental via discovery. Meaning there's a difference between a theme and a message. A theme are ideas you're exploring. So a theme would be something like good and evil or love. A message is something that is more opinionated. So it's more like you know love is a lie would be a message or love is antiquated now or something silly like that. That would be a message, right? That's an opinion. The theme of love is not an opinion, it's just what we're talking about. So it's probably not what you mean by this, but just in case. I want to argue don't really think about what's the message of my song because that's where we quickly go from art to propaganda. And even if you think it's positive propaganda, it doesn't change those propaganda, right? We write a song specifically to get a certain message across, it's propaganda. And generally, if not always, I think that should be avoided. Again, your worldview is going to influence your songs. That's totally fine. But there's a difference between your worldview naturally influencing your art and you sitting down and being like I'm going to tell people X or I'm going to convince people of Y. Which at least now is sort of what message usually means. That's probably not what you mean. But yes, the verses probably should generally be the story portion of the song or the... You can think of it like if your chorus is the thesis, your verses are the pieces of supporting evidence. If you remember back in the day with essays or whatever, you may have had to write a paper where you have a thesis and then you needed three supporting pieces of evidence to support that thesis. You can think of that as your two verses and your bridge or something like that. So I struggle to connect choruses and verses. It's like I'm writing two songs that happen to be in the same key but have very little momentum and flow connecting the two. If you're talking about music, I think we already talked about that in a previous episode. I mean I guess we're recovering many things in some of these because we do have some of the same sort of stuff popping up which makes sense that people would have similar struggles. So I don't want to go too deep into that because I think we feel like I remember covering that for if anything too long in a previous episode. So that's something to think about and this is going to be in a YouTube video coming out pretty soon where I talk about how to finish songs chord progression wise. But something to think about is where, what's the last chord of say your verse or conversely what is the first chord of your chorus and then figure out the last chord of your verse based on the first chord of your chorus thinking about how well does one transition into the other. Because a lot of times I think people don't think about that they just think in wholesale chord progression so they're like one five six four and then they think oh so for my chorus I need another chord progression one six five four not really paying any mind to okay but does the four at the end of the first progression actually connect well into the one at the beginning of the next progression. The answer to that question is actually yes four to one is a great relatively powerful transition so that would be a good way to transition to a chorus generally but sometimes people don't think about that all I think that's worth thinking about. I'm struggling with understanding how to use the right chords to raise emotions slash feeling in the song or conversely to lower the feel not sure if that makes sense but I hope so. So I think I know what you mean by this and in which case I would say the right chords is just a part of what you're looking for. If you're talking about you have a verse and then you want the the pre-chorus to sound like it's sort of upping the ante and then from there you want the chorus to feel like it's upping the ante even more like there's a main point of the song. There's a lot that goes into that. I have specific videos on each of those things I believe. So right chords is always a difficult thing but just as a general answer to your question is it's not just in the chords. The chords are going to be a part of it but a lot of times how a song really feels like it's raising the emotion or feeling in a song is not just the chords it's in the arrangement. So for instance the pre-chorus may sound like it's upping the ante or raising the emotion as you word it not mostly because of the chords that are there but because the arrangement is changing. Maybe the arrangement is getting a little thicker that's when the bass comes in or some other instruments come in and it's elements of the arrangement that really help it pop up a little bit more. And so that's a very general answer but this is a difficult question because there is no one way anytime somebody says right chords it's always a struggle. There is no because sometimes people will be like oh just give me the right chords for the chorus. That doesn't exist. There is no is a creative thing right there are general guidelines for instance a great way to go is to avoid a one chord in a pre-chorus that way when you probably have the one chord in your chorus it makes it so that the pre-chorus is obviously not the chorus because you didn't have the one chord you didn't have that home center of gravity chord. So that's a really good way to make sure that your pre-chorus doesn't overshadow your chorus. So we have things like that but for the most part when it comes to right chords to raise emotions or feelings in the song that's not really a thing so much as it's very context dependent. Alright so if you have a three chord in the context of C major and E minor chord from a three chord going up to a four chord an F major chord it's probably going to sound like it's raising the emotion feeling partially because it's going up which by the way if there's an easy answer to this it's chords that go up or sound like they're going up which is going to be easier if you're a pianist because if you're going to be really specific when we say chords going up chords don't really go up or down because chords are just it depends on how you arrange it right so I can I can have an E major to an F major that actually goes down in pretty much every way even though E major to F major you would think is going up but anyway but going up is a great way to feel like you're sort of rising up and raising the ante and then you know going from minor to major will feel like rising whereas major to minor will feel like it's a little more deflating but those are super general right we're not even we're not even touching how inversions can affect this and how how every chord sounds is very much dependent on what came before it for instance when people talk about like oh major chords are happy and minor chords are sad by themselves that's probably true right if I just play this out of the blue that is sadder than than that which is E minor versus E major but depending on the context and and what chord came before it you can actually have major chords that sound really dark or really sad and you can have minor chords that sound happy depending on where it comes from especially when you get to borrowed chords and all that advanced stuff all to say that if there are some some things that we can glean from this for raising emotion going up and then you know thinking minor to major would be rising generally and then falling would be major to minor and and and going down super general that is not always going to be true you have to do it by ear and a part of it too is just doing it more and more so that you get a little bit more of a sense but I don't know that there's necessarily a science to it there's probably more of a science to the arranging side of how you raise emotion and feeling in a song or conversely lower the feel my biggest struggle is to come up with an idea of a song and how to begin to write it I keep hearing advice that I should write a couple of songs that would introduce me as a person as an artist my point of view my lifestyle etc also I'd like to write some happy joyful positive and energetic songs but all that comes to my mind is sad and depressing my main goal is to be a live performing artist and the songs that I wrote and write right at the moment are not the type that I would see myself performing live in a way that I cover that I perform cover songs so for my biggest struggle to come up with an idea for a song how to begin to write it first of all free guide again cheat sheet really now because it's shorter but has way more actually ideas of how to start a song songwritertheory.com slash free guide but to me I like to break it down into categories which is really you can start a song from a lyrical standpoint which is really anything that's based on words right whether it's a song title specifically and you reverse engineer a song from a song title or you just come up with a specific lyric or line that really resonates with you which sometimes is the same right there's a song that I I guess I'm writing technically I haven't finished the second verse yet or the second verse lyrics but it's called here until you leave and it came from the the idea for a line I'm here until you leave which struck me because it to me it well reflected that very specific feeling where you are in a relationship and you know that it ends one of two ways because you've decided that you want to be with this person forever but you know deep down that they're going to leave you so you know that the only way this relationship ends is with you being brokenhearted and them choosing to not love you anymore so the idea of I'm here until you leave it's sort of it's that right it's this idea that I'm not the one who's gonna leave it's you that's gonna leave because I'm here until you leave so that whole song which is probably my at this moment it might be my favorite song I've ever written even though it's not 100 written literally just came from the idea of that phrase and there's nothing revolutionary about that phrase either it just it just happened to strike me and from there I reverse engineered a song if you will or I ask more questions about like okay what's the story here what are the different symbols I'm going to use so so you can reverse engineer from a song title from a line idea that you like those two can end up being the same sometimes they're not you can have a compelling symbol that you want to use if you think of you know a specific symbolism that resonates with you preferably something that is a little more original than you know dark represents bad things but if you come up with a more specific symbol I don't know purple tiger like to you you think the representation of a purple tiger is something particular or white whale that's a great example right the white whale is actually something that already has symbolic meaning because ofI'm now like 20 000 leagues under the sea is that that one no that's that's the whatever the white whale mopi dick thank you I don't know who I'm saying thank you to I'm saying thank you to my own brain apparently for bailing me out from embarrassingly for getting mopi dick for a hot secondbut the white whale would be a reference to mopi dick right so the white whale is a symbol that white whale in general means nothing right but because of mopi dick the white whale has come to represent a lot so you can do the same thing with your own song right where whether it's a creature or anything else where you come up with a symbol idea and then imbue it with meaning because not symbols don't naturally have meaning you give them meaning and then ideas can start on the other side right musical this could be in the form of a baseline a killer bass line a really cool drum rhythm that you like a piano riff that resonates with you a guitar chord progression or a guitar finger picking pattern or pick picking pattern so there's so many different ways to start a song from a musical standpoint or from a lyrical standpoint and really you can end up doing both right you can come up with a bunch of lyric ideas by coming up with ideas from a lyrical standpoint and then come up with a bunch of music ideas and then mix and match them sort of mix not mix and match them but match them where you know you hear a piano riff you came up with and you're like oh that actually matches really well with this new lyric idea i have before i didn't know what that song was going to be about but now i have an idea of what it could be about because it actually matches really well with my song title here until you leave or whatever so that's that's there's so there's no one way to begin a song i would highly encourage you try a whole bunch of different ways grab the free guide try all of them and at least a couple of times and then from there you know maybe try to try to figure out what you think your bread and butter ways are which ways result in the best songs for you personally and then keep the other ones in your back pocket as ones to use once in a while to mix it up but i think having bread and butter is is a good a good thing i've said this a million times so i'll make it quick but you know for me bread and butter tends to be i start with the piano riff very often if not i tend to start with a bass line of sorts sometimes it's just a piano bass line so it's kind of starting with the piano riff still just in a different waythe best way for me to write catchy songs is actually starting with rhythm because i'm not somebody who can just sit at a piano and write something catchy almost always i'll do something that's a little more you know romantic sounding or emotional sounding sad uh so this also connects to the point that was it you that made no yes it is you that made this point right i'd like to write some happy joyful positive or energetic songs but all that comes to mind is sad and depressing uh finding ways in certain ways to write songs that can sometimes nudge you in different directions than you normally would go can be a great a great way to handle that so again for me i don't know if i would ever write a catchy song on the piano ever if it weren't for starting with drum patterns and drum loops it can be even really simple ones in fact the most simple drum patterns a basic funk beat or something or basic pop beat can be the best for inspiring you to write something that's catchy and more happy sounding perhaps but also uh to address i keep hearing advice that i should write a couple of songs that would introduce me as a person as an artist my point of view my lifestyle etc i don't know who's giving you that advice i don't know if that's bad advice but it kind of sounds like a business person giving an artist advice right it sounds like what a record label would tell an artist and i'm not saying there's no truth to it from a practical standpoint but i would say you need you don't know who you are as an artist yet because you're just starting so so the idea of your first songs introducing you as an artist is doesn't even really make sense because you don't know who you are as an artist yet you maybe have a decent idea you know generally but you know that and we constantly evolve as artists so i wouldn't worry about that is really what my answer to that is i would just write what's coming to mind which connects to with the i'd like to write some happy joyful but all that comes to mind is sad and depressing write what is coming to your mind right if you're inspired in a certain direction follow it when you're not inspired work anyway but if if all your inspiration is towards sad songs then lean into that write sad songs don't just arbitrarily be like oh i should write happy songs why why should you write happy songs especially if you if that's not the way you're naturally leaning and that's not to say that there wouldn't be value if you've written 10 songs and all of them are sad to say okay now i'm gonna try to force myself to write a happy song just so i can expand myself as an artist that's fair enough but if you've written basically no songs or very few songs which reading between the lines sounds like maybe is the case very few um which maybe i'm wrong but it sounds like very few in that case don't don't worry about any of that just write what is most inspiring to you right now lean into that and probably ignore the that and i don't even know what some of this means introduce you as a person as an artist my point of view my lifestyle nobody cares about any of those things except artists right like your songs introducing you as a person uh like does that is that something people are looking for like when i listen and i care deeply about lyrics i've never listened to lyrics in my life and thought i want to know this you know i i want to get to know this artist as a person no i want to know who they are as an artist i don't really care who they are as a person within reason you know there are some artists that are pretty terrible people one of whom is in jail for uh yeah r kelly type people rightso i i guess i care a little bit but for the most part you know i care who somebody is as an artist i don't know who cares who an artist is as a person or their point of view or lifestyle lifestyle is the maybe the most intriguing of those four because nobody nobody cares like you know nobody cares what your lifestyle is uh nobody cares what my lifestyle is in fact you might be somebody who's been listening to this podcast for a long time and you've never once thought what is joseph's lifestyle i don't even know what that means really but like what is joseph's lifestyle nobody cares right now nobody listening to this podcast right now watching this video gives half of a rip what joseph's lifestyle is you don't right and you might say it's not the same because you follow me for information is but i don't know just to me right right what is coming to you and don't worry about forcing it in all these different directions um and and be careful whose advice you listen to myself included uh just because i don't know i i'm trying to round my mind around who on earth or what kind of artist would tell another artist to write songs that introduce you as a person your point of view which is maybe one of the more legitimate ones next to artists and lifestyle lifestyle like that i don't need it nobody cares nobody cares and again this is not an insult to you right nobody cares about my lifestyle i don't care about any of my artists favorite artists lifestyle don't care at all i care about their artistic identity that is it right what kind of songs do they write what subject material do they cover things like that that's what i care about don't give a crap about the restin fact if anything if they shove any of the other things in my face like for example i feel like any pop artist that i get to know at all i like them even less than i did before right like i i don't know but i kind of get a kick out of dua lipa total total uh you know i don't pretend like it's great music at all uh but for whatever reason some dua lipa songs just do it for me uh but i bet and i've seen little clips but i bet if i watch interviews of her i would like her less and less and less and soon i would be like i don't want to listen to dua lipa soyeah it's kind of like actors right the more that not all actors but a lot of actors the more they're interviewed and they talk the more people are like you know what i mean like like brie larson is maybe the perfect example of this i don't know if there's any human being who has seen her in any interview in the last like five years who has thought this this person is incredibly unlikable i mean she's so unlikable that her co-stars can't even pretend to like her when they're promoting a movie with her like they're obviously annoyed and you can tell why too because she's like condescending to her more popular than her co-stars in an interview like wildly unlikable so anyway that long rant just to sayi'm sure you're way more likable than brie larson i'm sure literally every person who's ever listened to anything i've ever done is probably more likable than brie larson butdon't you know nobody cares about your your lifestyle or any of that just concentrate on making art concentrate on that worry less about the other stuff all right that's been so long than that one we're gonna cut this episode off here we'll be back for part eight to cover more of these songwriting struggles thank you so much for listening remember again if you haven't already grab my free guide 20 different ways to start writing a song song writer theory.com slash free guide thank you so much for listening or listening and watching if you're on youtube and i will talk to you in the next one

Englische Woche, neue Folge, englischer Titel...? Wir haben uns hierfür zugegebener Maßen einer abgewandelten Form des Klassikers bedient, lassen die Ausformulierung aber im Geiste der Hörer:innen und Hörer. Nur so viel: Unser nächster Gegner spielt da schon auch eine Rolle. ;) Thomas und Jan stehen noch unter dem Eindruck des (ärgerlichen?) 2:2 bei Gladbach, denn - und Thomas betonte es - ungesehen nimmt er den Punkt; doch Jan hat das Spiel gesehen und wir verraten nicht zui viel, wenn wir sagen: Jan ärgert sich. Grund genug, neben dem letzten Spiel des Jahres 2023 auch noch einmal ein bisschen zurück zu blicken: War es ein gutes Jahr für Werder? Das alles soll ja aber nicht der Tradition unserer XXL-Folge vorgreifen. Trotzdem: Ein erster gefühlter Gesamteindruck macht Sinn... Enjoy!

Episode 79 of Streets & Scholars with host Alex Alonso and guest Charles "Bear" Spratley discuss the following: Have first kid while in Youth Authority, joining Hat Gang Crip in Watts before jumping to 89 East Coast Crips, working on the movie Colors, with T. Rodgers, Don Cheadle and Glenn Plummer, doing Hood Day, and hood parties, Grape Street Crip war, creating non-profit organization B.A.B.Y, Brothers Against Bangin' Youth. Bear on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/charles.b.stratleyBear on IG: http://www.instagram.com/89grumpGo Fund Erica Flagg: https://www.gofundme.com/f/erica-flaggFIND us on INSTAGRAM* Streets & Scholars: http://www.instagram.com/streets.and.scholars * Alex Alonso: http://www.instagram.com/alexalonso101 * FG: https://www.instagram.com/fgeneral1/FIND us on Youtube:* Street TV: http://www.youtube.com/streetgangs* Street TV Flix: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCwof1NALLNj3owdHJTM4YVw* FG Unleashed: https://www.youtube.com/c/FGUNLEASHED* Alex Alonso: https://www.youtube.com/c/AlexAlonso101-----* StreetGangs website: http://www.streetgangs.com

Pastor Mahnie Williams Executive Director B.A.B.E.S., Inc. Child Abuse Prevention Program Family Strengthening Services execdir@babeshelp.org https://babeshelp.org/ --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/appleton-engaged/message

Here are the dialogues and pronunciation sections without the commentary for your listening/speaking practice. Enjoy! ;) 1. Signature Dishes: Dialogue 2. Signature Dishes: Speech Training 3. Signature Dishes Part 2: Dialogue 4. Signature Dishes Part 2: Speech Training Signature Dishes 招牌菜 (Part 1) Dialogue: A: 今年暑假，你有什么打算？ B：我打算和父母一起去苏州，杭州旅行一段时间。 A. 真的吗？我对杭州非常熟悉。 我在那里待了好几年呢。 B：是吗？那你可不可以推荐一些好吃的餐馆和好玩的地方呢？ A：说到餐馆，最出名的就是楼外楼了。西湖醋鱼和东坡肉是他们的招牌菜。非吃不可！ 杭州最出名的茶叶是西湖龙井，甚至有一道菜叫龙井虾仁，就是由茶叶做出来的。 B：太好了！我最喜欢喝茶了。看来我们去杭州的时候，一定不能错过这家餐馆呢！那。。玩儿的呢？ A：当然就是逛西湖了！ Pronunciation: 1. 女性：好吃的餐馆。。。。。推荐。。。推荐一些好吃的餐馆。。。。。。好玩的地方。。。。。好吃的餐馆和好玩的地方。。。。。。。。你可不可以。。。。那你可不可以推荐。。。。。。。。那你可不可以推荐一些好吃的餐馆。。。。。。。。。。。那你可不可以推荐一些好吃的餐馆和好玩的地方呢?。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：我对杭州非常熟悉。 我在那里待了好几年呢。。。。。。。。。。。 女性：那你可不可以推荐一些好吃的餐馆和好玩的地方呢? 2. 男性：出名。。。最出名的。。。。。楼外楼。。。就是楼外楼了。。。。。 最出名的就是楼外楼了。。。。。。。。。。。餐馆。。。说到餐馆。。。。说到餐馆，最出名的就是楼外楼了。。。。。。 女性：你可不可以推荐一些好吃的餐馆？。。。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：说到餐馆，最出名的就是楼外楼了。 3. 女性：招牌菜。。。。他们的招牌菜。。。。。。东坡肉是他们的招牌菜。。。西湖醋鱼。。。西湖醋鱼和东坡肉是他们的招牌菜。。。。。。。。。。。非。。非吃。。。。不可。。。非吃不可。。。。西湖醋鱼和东坡肉是他们的招牌菜。非吃不可！。。。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：这家餐馆的招牌菜是什么？。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。 女性：西湖醋鱼和东坡肉是他们的招牌菜。非吃不可！ 4. 男性：龙井虾仁。。。。有一道菜叫龙井虾仁。。。。。。 甚至有一道菜叫龙井虾仁。。。。。。。。。茶叶做出来。。。。。。由茶叶做出来。。。。。。。就是由茶叶做出来的。。。。。。。。。。。。甚至有一道菜叫龙井虾仁，就是由茶叶做出来的。。。。。。。。。。。。茶叶。。。最出名的茶叶。。。。 杭州最出名的茶叶。。。。。。西湖龙井。。。。是西湖龙井。。。。。杭州最出名的茶叶是西湖龙井。。。。。。。。。。杭州最出名的茶叶是西湖龙井，甚至有一道菜叫龙井虾仁。。。。。。。。。。。杭州最出名的茶叶是西湖龙井，甚至有一道菜叫龙井虾仁，就是由茶叶做出来的。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。 女性：你知道杭州最出名的茶叶是什么吗？。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：杭州最出名的茶叶是西湖龙井，甚至有一道菜叫龙井虾仁，就是由茶叶做出来的。 5. 女性：错过。。。不能错过。。。。一定不能错过。。。餐馆。。。这家餐馆。。。。 一定不能错过这家餐馆呢。。。。。。。。看来。。。我们去杭州。。。。看来我们去杭州的时候。。。。。。。。 看来我们去杭州的时候，一定不能错过这家餐馆呢。。。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：楼外楼的菜实在是很有名。非吃不可！。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。 女性：看来我们去杭州的时候，一定不能错过这家餐馆呢。 Signature Dishes 招牌菜 （Part2） Dialogue: A：哦，你回来了！逛的吃的怎么样？ B：好极了！楼外楼就在西湖旁边，非常方便。我们绕着西湖走了一圈，然后在这家餐馆吃了他们的招菜。特别是东坡肉,有机会一定还要再去吃。 A：那，你还尝了什么别的美食吗？ B：对啊！因为我算是个吃货，每到一个新的地方，都要尝尝当地的特色菜。杭州有一道比较出名的菜是醉虾。你吃过没有？ A：听说是生的，所以我还没试过。 B：不光是生的，吃的时候虾还活着! 一开始，有一点儿奇怪，吃着吃着你就会上瘾了。 A：那不如你做一点儿，给我尝尝吧！ B：啊？！ Pronunciation： 1. 女性：逛的。。吃的。。逛的吃的。。。。逛的吃的怎么样？。。。。。。哦，你回来了！。。。。哦，你回来了！逛的吃的怎么样？。。。。。。。。。。 2. 男性：绕着。。。走了一圈。。。。绕着西湖走了一圈。。。。。我们绕着西湖走了一圈。。。。招牌菜。。。吃了他们的招牌菜。。。。。在这家餐馆吃了他们的招牌菜。。。。。。。 然后在这家餐馆吃了他们的招牌菜。。。。。。。。。 然后在这家餐馆吃了他们的招牌菜，。。。。。我们绕着西湖走了一圈。。。。。 然后在这家餐馆吃了他们的招牌菜。。。。。。。。我们绕着西湖走了一圈，然后在这家餐馆吃了他们的招牌菜。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。 女性：在杭州你们逛的吃的怎么样？。。。。。。。。。。。。。 男性： 我们绕着西湖走了一圈，然后在这家餐馆吃了他们的招牌菜。 3. 女性：去吃。。再去吃。。。还要再去吃。。。。一定还要再去吃。。。。。有机会一定还要再去吃。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：你觉得东坡肉怎么样？。。。。。。。。。。。 女性：有机会一定还要再去吃 4. 男性：美食。。。别的美食。。。。什么别的美食。。。。。你还尝了什么别的美食吗？。。。。。。。那，你还尝了什么别的美食吗？。。。。。。。。 5. 女性：吃货。。算是。。算是个吃货。。。。因为我算是个吃货。。。。。每到。。新的地方。。。。。 每到一个新的地方。。。。。。特色菜。。当地的特色菜。。。。。尝尝当地的特色菜。。。。。都要尝尝当地的特色菜。。。。。。因为我算是个吃货。。。。。 每到一个新的地方 。。。。。。 都要尝尝当地的特色菜。。。。。。。。因为我算是个吃货，每到一个新的地方，都要尝尝当地的特色菜。。。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：那，你还尝了什么别的美食吗？。。。。。。。。。。。。 女性：因为我算是个吃货，每到一个新的地方，都要尝尝当地的特色菜。 6. 男性： 出名。。出名的菜。。。一道比较出名的菜。。。。醉虾。。杭州有一道比较出名的菜是醉虾。。。。。。。。 你吃过没有。。。。。杭州有一道比较出名的菜是醉虾。你吃过没有？。。。。。。。。。 7. 女性：上瘾。。会上瘾。。。就会上瘾了。。。。你就会上瘾了。。。。。吃着吃着你就会上瘾了。。。。。。。。 有一点儿奇怪。。。。一开始，有一点儿奇怪。。。。。。。吃着吃着你就会上瘾了。。。。。。。一开始，有一点儿奇怪，吃着吃着你就会上瘾了。。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：吃醉虾是什么感觉？。。。。。。。。。。。。。 女性：一开始，有一点儿奇怪，吃着吃着你就会上瘾了。 8. 男性：不如。。那不如。。。那不如你做一点儿。。。。。给我尝尝。。。给我尝尝吧！。。。。。那不如你做一点儿，给我尝尝吧！。。。。。。。。 女性： 一开始，有一点儿奇怪，吃着吃着你就会上瘾了。。。。。。。。。。。 男性：那不如你做一点儿，给我尝尝吧！

【文稿：】了解了“货币资金”之后，我来问大家一个问题：企业的货币资金数额越多越好？还是越少越好？听了上期的内容，我猜你会说越多越好，因为货币资金越多企业就有更多的钱来抵御风险，尤其是债务风险。这个回答是正确的，但我今天想从另一个角度谈谈货币资金太多带来的弊端。货币资金过多、一定程度上说明企业对资金的利用效率太低，而这会导致企业发展过慢，如果这是一家上市公司，成长过慢的企业其股价必然也高不到哪去...接下来我们举个例子解释一下：假设A公司经营的非常好，每年都能产生5000千万的货币资金，这些钱A公司只用于日常的经营，从没想过拿去投资扩产。B公司和A公司一样，每年也能产生5000千万的货币资金，不同的是B公司不喜欢“攒钱”，而是将货币资金的一大部分拿去扩产，比如将原来的10条生产线增加到13条，年年如此、不断重复。就这样5年过去了，A公司手里的货币资金越攒越多，而B公司手里的货币资金却一直很少，因为在过去的5年中B公司不断用手里的钱拿去扩产。这时候问题来了：如果你是投资人，你会投资哪家公司呢？A公司的货币资金非常多，如果你因此选择A公司的话，B公司的价值你很可能就会错过。B公司虽然货币资金很少，但换来的却是规模的不断增长，当初规模一样的两家企业5年后已不是同一个量级。假设从第6年开始B公司停止扩张，你猜会发生什么有趣的事情？第6年A公司产生的货币资金还是5000千万，而这一年B公司产生的货币资金会突然暴增、将是A公司的数倍乃至数十倍。之前B公司的货币资金一直都比较少，那是因为相比产生的货币资金而言，公司花费的货币资金更多，这么做的目的就是为了扩产。这就像货币资金的入水口很大，但出水口也很大。而如今B公司决定停止扩张，这时候货币资金的入水口依旧很大，但出水口迅速收缩，导致池子里的水位突然暴涨，公司手里能留下的“钱”也会突然变多。这时候你再去对比二者的货币资金早已不在一个量级上，A公司的货币资金攒了6年，最后都不如B公司一年的货币资金多。此时你才发现：A公司的经营太过保守，对资金的利用效率太低导致货币资金较多，而当初B公司的货币资金少并不是因为赚的钱少，而是它将钱利用到了扩大经营规模上面，所以手里的钱、也就是货币资金才会很少。讲了这么多，你会不会觉得货币资金越少才是值得投资的企业？非也，凡事要分情况讨论，当整个社会处在经济下行周期时、货币资金多的企业将有更多的优势。毕竟大环境不好，能活下去才是硬道理。相反，当经济繁荣时期，你对货币资金的要求也可以适当放宽松，因为企业很可能在加速扩产。经济向上、企业的经营也会变得激进，而这些激进的企业往往能跑赢多数同行。最后总结一下：经济不好，企业的货币资金较多是一种优势，比如现在是2023年6月份，国内经济复苏较慢，就业环境也比较差，这时候你应该珍惜那些货币资金较多的企业。相反、在经济繁荣时期，企业货币资金太多并非是好现象，因为这意味着企业对资金的利用效率太低，扩张速度太慢，如果不能在经济繁荣时期完成扩产，企业很可能会错过一个良好的发展机遇。（内容已登记版权，翻版必究！）

【文稿：】继续讲解资产负债表中的资产端，今天我要讲的是资产中的“货币资金”。货币资金属于企业的资产，严谨点说应该是流动资产，货币资金在分析财务时扮演者很重要的角色，它可以用来衡量企业的抗风险能力。先来解释一下何为“货币资金”，官方解释为：以货币形式存在的资产、就叫货币资金。或者你也可以反过来理解：某种资产、它以货币的形式存在，这种资产就叫货币资金。这时候你需要思考一个问题：什么资产是以货币形式存在的呢？答案是“钱”....这里指的钱可以是现金、也可以是存款，而这类资产都是老百姓口中的“钱”钱的一大特征就是想花就花，流动性极强，所以货币资金被归类于企业的流动资产。货币资金可以衡量一个企业的抗风险能力，所有企业面临的风险无外乎都与钱有关，钱多自然就有更强的抗风险能力。这里需要区分一个概念：企业的资产多不代表钱多，但是货币资金多是真正意义上的钱多...举个例子：我和小明的资产都是500万，我的500万是现金、也就是货币资金。而小明的500万是北京的一套房。某一天我和小明得了一场大病，手术费都是100万。对我来这点手术费不是问题，只需要从500万现金中拿出100万即可，手术完成后我就可以恢复健康，而健康后的我可以继续通过劳动赚取源源不断的收入。而小明就没这么乐观了，他的500万资产是一套房产，无法及时变现。卖房子可以等，但病情不等人...万一房子还没卖出去小明先出了意外，故事到这也就画上了句号...假设小明的工作能力很强，每年都有丰厚的薪资报酬，但因为这次危机没能挺过去，后面的一切美好都将无法实现。从这个例子可以看出，俩人的资产同样是500万，手术费开支也是相同的100万，两人的资产完全可以做到覆盖手术费的开支，但由于二人的资产性质不一样，带来的后果也截然不同。如果把两人想象成两家公司，那么小明的公司因为没有足够的货币资金将面临破产，即便小明的公司经营一切正常，但因为这一次的危机公司再没有了持续经营下去的机会。你可能会问：如果小明及时卖掉了房子，危机是不是就能完全解除？非也非也，只能说最大的危机解除了，但危机并没有解除。假设小明及时卖掉了房子，小明也恢复了健康，但小明手里的房子却没有了...要知道房子是有可能增值的。小明之前的收入有两种：一是通过劳动获取收入，二是通过房产增值获取收入。如今房子没了，小明的收入渠道也少了一条，这难道不是损失吗？你可能会说：等小明再赚到500万的时候把房子买回来不就好了吗？非也非也，等到那时候你还确定房子是500万吗？万一变成了600万呢？由此可见，小明的损失是必然的，少了一条获利的渠道就是他的损失。用公司举例也是一样的道理：A公司和B公司都欠了一笔钱，这笔钱今天到期，双方需要如期偿还这笔债务。A公司的货币资金很多，很轻松就还上了这笔钱，之后继续投身到日常的经营中。B公司的货币资金很少，无法偿还这笔钱，于是公司决定卖掉一半的生产线，将原来的10条生产线卖掉其中的5条，由于变卖及时、B公司成功还清了该笔债务，但是公司的生产线却少了一半。少了一半的生产线，产量自然也会少一半，以前能生产100件商品，如今最多只能生产50件，公司经营的利润自然也会少一半，这就是B公司的损失。（内容已登记版权，翻版必究！）

Robotics death machines in the making--terminator dogs of the future.Watch the video at https://youtu.be/Klz8bhrUomYMy books are available on my site, https://www.savedandloved.com/shopPlease donate to my site, https://www.savedandloved.com/donate.Please buy me a coffee:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/savedandloved.

GETTING RIGHT WITH GOD by Joseph C. Way B.A. B.D. MDivIt was written primarily for "professing" Judeo-Christians, but it applies to everyone. It challenges the status-quo of many modern-day religious beliefs and practices while offering a logical, factual and specific alternative. Much of the book is controversial. It argues for a human Jesus with no necessity for a crucifixion, no sacrificial death as a blood offering, no ransom, no heaven or hell, and others. The process for getting right and remaining right with God was first discovered by the ancient Hebrews (but they strayed), then proclaimed within Judaism by the major biblical prophet (they strayed) and then by Jesus for his time and thereafter (but they and we have also strayed). From the discovery by the Hebrews to this day, we get right with "God" by loving him above all else and loving our neighbor as our self. To love something is to value it. By nature, we must love (value) something above all else. Whatever that is will be our "god" (by definition) and it will dictate other beliefs and behavior. This is a law we did not make and cannot break. Therefore, it is essential for everyone to know what and how to love appropriately or else we diminish and eventually destroy our self and our planet. Author Bio: I was born on a small farm in southern Mississipp, along with six siblings. After graduating from high school with highest honors, I entered Millsaps College from which I earned a B.A. One year later, I entered Vanderbilt Divinity School and earned a B.D. and MDiv. For forty-two years, I was an active minister in the United Methodist Church, with twenty-three as an Air force chaplain, five as a V.A. chaplain and fourteen as the pastor of local churches. In nineteen-sixty-four, due to my efforts to promote integration, I was forced to leave the state to protect and provide for my family and myself. For my efforts to promote integration, I was awarded membership in "Who's Who in American Methodism." I am a certified therapist for Alcohol and drug abuse, resulting in a book outlining a new approach to recognition and treatment, entitled "A Pain in the Gut." My wife of sixty-five years and I now live in a retirement community in Georgetown, Texas. We have two children and two grandchildren.https://www.xlibris.com/en/bookstore/bookdetails/818790-getting-right-with-godhttps://www.gettingrightwithgod.com/http://www.LitPrime.com  http://www.bluefunkbroadcasting.com/root/twia/42723jwayltpr.mp3   

In which Ian joins Ethan and Jo to discuss what the church is good at and where its goals should lie. Transcripts, when available, can be found at patreon.com/wthiap. Just search for the episode title. Don't see the episode transcript you're looking for? Email us to request it! Want to be a guest on the podcast? Have a guest in mind? Email us at whatthehellisapastor@gmail.com. WHAT THE HELL IS A PASTOR HAS MERCH!https://www.bonfire.com/what-the-hell-is-a-pastor-theme-tee/https://www.bonfire.com/wthiap-the-void/Excited about WTHIAP OTR (What the Hell is a Pastor on the Road)? Support us over on Patreon to make that dream a reality: https://www.patreon.com/wthiap.Like Twitter/facebook/instagram? We do too, we guess. Find us under the handle @WTHIAP.

In which Ian joins Ethan and Jo to discuss the liturgy for a bishop's installation and how bishops can use their power for good, actually. This naturally sparks a completely normal, non-existential conversation about what the church is capable of. Strap in, folks. It's bumpy 'til Thursday. Transcripts, when available, can be found at patreon.com/wthiap. Just search for the episode title. Don't see the episode transcript you're looking for? Email us to request it! Want to be a guest on the podcast? Have a guest in mind? Email us at whatthehellisapastor@gmail.com. WHAT THE HELL IS A PASTOR HAS MERCH!https://www.bonfire.com/what-the-hell-is-a-pastor-theme-tee/https://www.bonfire.com/wthiap-the-void/Excited about WTHIAP OTR (What the Hell is a Pastor on the Road)? Support us over on Patreon to make that dream a reality: https://www.patreon.com/wthiap.Like Twitter/facebook/instagram? We do too, we guess. Find us under the handle @WTHIAP.

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania directed by Peyton Reed and written by Jeff Loveness is finally here! Does the newest MCU movie live up to the hype? But first, Anthony tells us about his guest appearance on the podcast Matt Spectro Thru the Multiverse where he talked Kang and Avengers: Earth's Mightiest Heroes. Are we VIP podcast guests? Is this the worst Ant-Man movie? Does Cody care about Scott Lang's family? Does this movie feel like one long episode of Rick and Morty? Is Disney outsourcing their SFX artists? Did anyone actually like Cassie? Was the Quantum world and its inhabitants forgettable? Does Quantumania suffer from losing Scott's crew, especially Michael Pena? Does Disney practice what it preaches? Was Bill Murray's acting wasted in this movie? Why is Michael Douglas so cool? How does this movie compare to Avatar: The Way of Water? Did we like M.O.D.O.K. in this movie? Would we go down on Michelle Pfeiffer? What is the worst Marvel trilogy? Would the movie be better if it was more comic accurate? Why didn't Evangeline Lily have a lot of screentime? What was our favorite scene in the movie? Were Kang and Janet the best characters in this movie? Are we hype for James Gunn has in store for Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3? Did the guy sitting behind Anthony ruin his movie experience? Or was he just our subconscious nerd come to life? Has the MCU been declining? Are we excited for anymore Marvel movies? Does the future of the MCU look bright with Jonathan Majors and his Kang variants in the spotlight? Does Kang live up to the same hype as Thanos? Is this movie just setup for Kang? Plus what did we think of The Flash trailer? Does Anthony have any nostalgia for Michael Keaton Batman? Is Reverse Flash the villain of the movie? And who the hell is Jake's newest creation N.E.P.O.B.A.B.Y. ?! Check out our website: https://www.comicsandchronic.com/ New episodes every THURSDAY Follow us on social media! Instagram // Twitter // TikTok : @comicsnchronic YouTube: www.youtube.com/channel/UC45vP6pBHZk9rZi_2X3VkzQ E-mail: comicsnchronicpodcast@gmail.com Cody Twitter: @Cody_Cannon Instagram: @walaka_cannon TikTok: @codywalakacannon Jake Instagram: @jakefhaha Anthony Instagram // Twitter // TikTok : @mrtonynacho YouTube: youtube.com/nachocomedy

Tom doesn't know what to do on a Friday night, there are so many choices! But how do you say "or" in Mandarin?

Os antibióticos são usados para tratar infecções. O objetivo é curar com rapidez e precisão. Quando usado de forma errada, entretanto, o antibiótico pode prejudicar a saúde.A Organização Mundial da Saúde (OMS) informa que o uso indiscriminado de antibióticos leva a graves problemas como a resistência de algumas bactérias aos antibióticos.No episódio #129 do “PediatraCast”, vamos conhecer melhor essa classe de medicamentos e descobrir a maneira consciente e eficaz para o uso dos antibióticos. Quer saber mais sobre o desenvolvimento dos seus filhos? Siga o PediatraCast nas redes sociais: @pediatracast

※ 投稿邮箱：418150505@qq.com※ 本文章发布于订阅号：百车全说，订阅号阅读更加方便，欢迎关注。前30分钟聊事故理赔，后面聊汪某菲与某S。最近聊了很多款新车，有听友想换换口味，能不能聊点有趣，有料的内容？哎，今天这期节目，我觉得你既可以当干货听，也可以当八卦听。这个故事的精彩程度，甚至不亚于汪某菲与某S的狗血剧情，虽然他俩的感情故事没人想了解，但是那个叫海丝腾的床垫品牌，现在是一夜爆火，据说汪小菲家同款床垫原价160万，第二天就涨价到180万了。接下来我们开始今天的故事。这是发生在2021年4月的一起交通事故，当事人后来把整个经过发布到网上，被无数网友疯传。我估计听友里应该也有不少人刷到过这篇帖子。我在讲述过程中，会插入一些知识点的分析，希望对大家能有所帮助。其实这起事故的起因非常简单，就是A车辆变道撞到了B车辆，导致B车辆的左前侧受损，后来保险公司定损2万多，接近3万。交警判定A车辆在高速公路上不按规定超车，负全部责任，B车辆无责。按理说，事实清晰，责权明确，剩下的就是各自修车，然后A车投保的保险公司赔付B车就可以了。可是，奇葩的事开始了。车主把车开去4s店维修，但是等了3天，对方一直不配合理赔，于是车主就跟保险公司申请代为追偿，保险公司答复代为追偿可以，但是额外申请的加装件（隐形车衣+后改的前包围）不赔，这两样加起来价值大约8000多。B车主不服，于是找A车主理论。A车主回信息：冤枉钱，我不会出。而且这车也不是我的，我是帮车主开车，一没租，二没借，所以她本人更不需要承担赔偿责任。B车主一看，对方既然是这态度，那干脆法院见吧。于是就找了律师调出对方个人信息，连同这几天的交通费、误工费一起，开好证明和发票，起诉到法院。律师信心满满的告诉B车主，这种官司打一万次赢一万次，都不需要A车主到场，判决也快。结果不查不要紧，一查才发现，这背后还有一段不为人知的故事。原来，开车的女子不是车上另一位男士的老婆，而是他的小三，而这台车是在男子老婆名下，当初拒不理赔的原因，就是正室发现小三想用她的保险偷偷赔偿，被正室果断撤销了。简单讲，就是正室不愿意用“第三者责任险”为“第三者”进行赔偿。后来B车主又联系上了正室，也就是A车的真实车主。因为按相关规定，车主如果借车给他人，开车人发生事故如果无法赔偿，车主也需要承担赔偿责任。可是联系上了正室，B车主又为难了。因为正室刚生完孩子，正在坐月子。正室说，要不这样吧，我俩一起起诉小三，意思就是把修车的2万多费用，让小三承担，给她一个教训。正室还跟B车主透露了更多私人信息，她说她老公跟这个小三4年前就好上了，她一次次退让，这次实在不想再让步了，她老公还打了她，她已经准备离婚了。B车主心想，这遭遇值得同情，但是我的钱包也很受罪，所以“代为追偿”还是得继续，于是跟保险公司签订了“机动车辆索赔权转让书”，没多久，钱就赔偿到了4s店。之后，就是多出来的8000多的赔偿费用，这得走法院解决，但是法院让排队等通知，回头过来调解。可是这里还没有开始调解，正室又联系上了B车主，她说她刚收到法院传票，B车主的保险公司已经起诉了A车正室、驾驶员小三，以及A车主的保险公司。正室让B车主与他的保险公司沟通，不要起诉她，只起诉小三和她的保险公司。B车主表示无语，他已经选择了代为追偿，也就是把自己的索赔权转让给了保险公司，至于保险公司怎么起诉，他无权干涉。咱们再把镜头转到B车主这里的官司，法院建议双方调解，但是小三觉得自己没有任何责任，要赔钱也是车主赔，所以她决绝调解。律师建议还是打官司吧，要打官司就得追加车主正室，以及她老公成为被告。关于B车主的隐形车衣、包围、误工费、交通费总计13000多，法院认定贴膜和包围没有发票或者收据，车损没有动态的表现，比如怎么撕下隐形车衣的，怎么拆掉受损包围的，怎么贴上隐形车衣，怎么安装新包围的，没有视频证明。并且认为车主上报的隐形车衣，车辆包围的价格偏高。车主申辩，当初购买的时候没有，可是受损后修复的发票，清单都有。最后，法院判决A车主保险公司赔偿3000元车损，A车主老公赔偿800元交通费，小三不承担责任。B车主起诉花了65元，A车主败诉，承担60元，B车主承担5元。A车主老公休庭后还调侃B车主，5块钱开庭费别忘了交哦。B车主期间还申请了财产保全，冻结了小三账户上13000多的金额，花费了500元。整个事情经过大致就是这样，我相信大家在听故事的过程中，已经有所收获了。接下来，我再做一些细节分析。首先，这种对方全责，我方无责的事故，如果对方拒绝配合保险理赔，其实没有必要求着对方去定责，去理赔。在事故发生的第一时间，自己就要拍好照片和视频，然后把照片和视频交给交警。如果非常简单清晰的追尾，或者是变道事故，交警会想办法让对方来签字认全责。所以，你要催的应该是交警，而不是对方车主。而且这种责任明确的交通事故，如果在交警大队一直挂着没有结案，急的也是交警，不是你。所以，你完全不用慌。等交警给你开出“事故责任认定书”，你就可以继续走索赔流程。如果对方不提交资料配合保险公司理赔，你可以打保监会电话12378，直接投诉对方保险公司。因为保监会曾经出台过政策：在交通事故中甲方和乙方，如果责任认定乙方有责任，但不予配合甲方理赔，甲方可以直接向其所在地的保险公司，直接提出索赔。保险公司也可以不通过乙方，并将乙方所需要承担的责任范围内的赔偿款，支付到甲方账户。注意，这不是代为追偿。因为没有通过甲方自己的保险公司去追溯赔偿，而是直接向乙方保险公司申请赔偿款。不过，这项政策大部分车主可能不知道，有些地区可能也没有落地执行。但是，你仍然可以把上面这段话，在投诉给保监会的时候说一遍，专业的客服是不会乱回复的，你可以让客服想清楚再回答，你已经全程录音，并会保存为证据。其实，大多数事故全责方并不是不愿意理赔，而是无责方希望去自己想去的4s店，而全责方想让你去他指定的修理厂。如果你不愿意，那么全责方就不配合你进行保险索赔。遇到这种事情，你就不要跟对方扯皮了，直接把车放到4s店，该定损定损，该修车修车，然后直接联系自己的保险公司，提出代为追偿，让自己的保险公司先把自己的修车费用赔付了，然后自己保险公司再去找对方及对方保险公司诉讼。但是在进行代为追偿的时候，要注意两点，一是问清楚在你的保险有效期内，追偿回来，与未追偿回来，是否算出险次数，会不会影响下一年保费？另外，有的人伤事故代为追偿，是需要你先垫付费用，保险公司追偿成功再转给你。这些问题在签订“机动车辆索赔权转让书”之前，都要问清楚。我们知道，很多朋友遇到事故，明明对方全责，但是对方就是爱理不理的样子，拒不配合，自己像孙子一样求着他，受了一肚子气，又拿他没办法。本质上，就是自己对保险理赔相关流程，规定不了解，身边也没有懂的人。而打官司，又觉得劳神伤财，请律师也要花费不少。实际上，起诉可以不用请律师，开庭的费用也不高，像今天聊的这期案子，开庭费用才65块钱。去法院起诉要带什么材料，其实百度一下就能搜到。1、事故责任认定书；2、车主驾驶员信息；3、去工商局的企业信息科，开一张对方保险公司的企业信息，并且盖章；4、去法庭填写起诉书，带上发票、定损单、维修清单、以上上面几份资料。对方车主的相关信息，可以跟交警要。大部分情况，接到法院的电话80%的老赖就服软了，法院庭外调节一下，对方就配合赔偿了。这里建议大家看一部电视剧《底线》，靳东主演的，看完你就会对法院办案的基本流程有个比较直观的了解。如果是那种对方全责拒不理赔的官司，法院肯定会告知对方，建议调解，打官司肯定必输的。如果对方想作死，不接受调解，那就直接上法庭，等法院判决。不过大家别忘了，咱们起诉的时候，是带着对方保险公司一起起诉的，所以即使老赖不愿意接受调解，保险公司也会做他思想工作，因为诉讼成本太高，这种必输的官司，他们都得承担。那么，硬刚就是打官司输了，也不赔钱的老赖，大家也不要怕，这时候可以申请法院强制执行。强制执行也有前提，比如对方确实有履行判决能力时拒不服从，那么这个时候，就可能涉嫌拒不履行法院的判决罪。我相信只要头脑稍微正常一点的人，到了这个时候没有不赔钱的了吧。今天节目咱们就聊这么多，当然也希望大家出门开车平平安安，不要遇到事故。我这里说句题外话，有时候对方变道，追尾的确是他们全责，但是无责方的驾驶习惯，咱们也值得反思以下。我就发现身边遇到追尾的人，好像总是会被追尾。大家在开车的时候，要学会防御型驾驶，时刻警惕周围突然出现的不文明交通参与者，毕竟遇到事故，耽误时间精力。但是真的遇到了，大家也不用慌，按流程走即可。我们曾经也写过一篇关于人伤事故的处理方式，有过不少粉丝反馈，这篇文章帮了他或是他身边人的大忙，大家可以在GZH回复：人伤，就可以跳出这篇文章。可以添加微信46415254加入我们的社群音频图文更新在订阅号： 百车全说每期抽三条留言，每人赠168元的“芥末绿”燃油添加剂一瓶点击订阅，每周三，周六更新会有提醒新听友可以搜索：百车全说2014，百车全说2015，百车全说2016，往期300多个小时的节目可供收听

1. Bienvenida al episodio: ¿Dónde nos quedamos en el capítulo pasado? (00:19)2. Hablemos del Grupo F: ¿Canadá es un equipo que pese a la falta de experiencia ha conseguido dominar? (01:12)3. Bélgica: ¿Se le está pidiendo demasiado a esta nueva generación de jugadores? (15:13)4. ¿Croacia es un equipo en decadencia y que deja mucho que desear? (20:48)5. Marruecos: ¿Un final no tan feliz para Munir El Haddadi? (28:19)6. Hablemos del Grupo E: No subestimes al equipo Costarricense… (34:36)7. Japón: ¿Pocas individualidades y destinados a quedarse en la orilla? (41:35)8. ¿A Alemania se le subestima muchísimo? ¿Se puede creer en su técnico? (44:55)9. España: “Las selecciones prácticas son las más exitosas” (59:45)

Listen as the guys discuss everything from the NFL Mid-Season wrap up to Spence/Crawford fight that could of, should of been, even some Kyrie controversy. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

「微信」搜索关注［早安英文］，查看更多有趣实用的中英双语节目。笔记：party /ˈpɑːrti/ n. 当事人，一方It has brought profound suffering to the parties and their families.这给彼此和家庭造成了深重的困扰。获取节目完整音频、笔记和片尾的歌曲名，请关注微信公众号「早安英文」，回复“加油”即可。更多有意思的英语干货等着你！

In this episode, Winston answers a listener's question about how to train for long-distance hikes when you don't have much time. This is a common issue when we factor in jobs, kids, and the hectic nature of modern life. Combine this with the fact that many people sit for long periods at office jobs, and you have a recipe for injury when you have the opportunity to get out on long hikes.   Winston adapts a system he's been using to build a high fitness level with a minimal time commitment. The combination of Escalating Density Training with resisted hikes allows you to get big results without hours of training per week. And to top it off, you can do this at home with minimal equipment.    Resisted hikes are done by pulling a tire or sled behind you. You can make your own pulling tire pretty inexpensively by getting a worn out tire without a rim. You can find these at tire repair shops or sitting at the side of the road. Drill a hole in the tread and attach an eye bolt. This will make it easy to attach a rope for pulling. The most comfortable way to pull the tire is with a pulling harness used for pulling sleds for ice fishing. You can get these at any outdoor store that sells ice fishing equipment.   Escalating Density Training is where you increase the amount of work you do in a set amount of time. For instance you set a timer for 30 minutes and do as many sets of the prescribed exercises as you can in that time. Each workout try to get a little more work in. Over time you will see a dramatic increase in the amount of work you get done in the time period resulting in increased strength, conditioning and muscle mass.   See Training Program below.    PROMO ALERT! Great Lakes Girya (Canadian website: https://www.greatlakesgirya.com) or (US website: https://us.greatlakesgirya.com/ ) fitness equipment and use Coupon Code "LIVEWILD" to save 5% on any purchase meanwhile also supporting us.   Show Notes:   Training Guidelines: Never hit failure Don't treat it as a metabolic conditioning workout Rest as little as possible but as much as you need to do high quality reps. Don't allow yourself to get sloppy to just get the reps in.   Strength workouts 3 Days per week. Alternate Workout A and Workout B on non-consecutive days. First week will be A-B-A, followed by B-A-B.   Workout A 5-10 Body Rows 10 Goblet Squats 1 Turkish Get Up (Per Side) Workout B 5-10 Pushups 15 Two Handed Swings 50 Feet Suitcase Carries (Per Side)   Conditioning 2-3 X 30 minute sessions per week of tire pulling. 5 minutes of backward pulling to strengthen the knees followed by 25 minutes of forward dragging  Keep your heart rate aerobic but strive to cover more distance each week at the same heartrate. Just a couple of laps of a city block will often eat up this time as you aren't moving fast but are under constant tension.   This is a simple program but if you apply these principles diligently and consistently for 8 weeks you will see a difference in your fitness with less than 3 hours of actual work per week.   Hiking & Fitness Podcasts: Ep. 80: Solo Adventuring  Ep. 72: Winter Training for Summer Adventures Ep. 59: Let's Go Hiking  Ep. 46: Don't Let Winter Keep You Inside Ep. 7: Barbells and Backpacks  Ep. 53: Kettlebell Training For the Outdoor Athlete  Ep. 5: Micro Adventures Training / Fitness Articles: 13 Fitness Game Changers to Turbo-Charge Your Progress Training Secrets for the Outdoor Athlete Great Lakes Girya Kettlebell Review 9 Reasons Kettlebell Training is Optimal for Outdoor Athletes   Does Hiking Build Glutes Kettlebell Training for Hikers and Backpackers    Ruck Marching for Hiking Fitness and Fat Loss   #TrekTipTuesday - Ruck Marching For Hiking Fitness   Training for Outdoors, Simplified   

【我的A/B世界，由你開啟_】 射後不理年度大專案「A/B面 月曆」販售中！ 節目開始之前，大家可以先點網址進去「下單^^」

[本集重點]

This a special episode to all the single mothers out there! We all know a single mom or two… And just in case nobody has told you, “You're doing a damn good job, girl! Keep it up!” This is for you, BABY MAMA!!

[溫馨小提醒] 本集因錄音器材問題稍有雜音，老阿姨請大家多多見諒

今年的學測遇到一些頗大的爭議，所以這邊我就把一些主要的爭議：數A、數B、數甲、數乙、選考這些問題跟大家講一下，讓一般的民眾也有點概念，尤其小孩不是當年度考大學的人很多都不知道...... ➤數A、數B並非分成自然組、社會組 •數A（高數學需求）：比以前的學測數學更難、純粹研究數學 •數B（低數學需求）：著重生活上的應用 ➤失去升學機會不等於失去人生機會

【我的A/B世界，由你開啟_】 射後不理年度大專案「A/B面 月曆」預購中！ 節目開始之前，大家可以先點網址進去「下單^^」。

【我的A/B世界，由你開啟_】 射後不理年度大專案「A/B面 月曆」預購中！ 節目開始之前，大家可以先點網址進去「下單^^」。 ○預購網址：https://dome-underwear.com/Jn3Yi ○A/B面月曆拍攝花絮：有滿滿的肉&G包，旁邊沒人再點 https://youtu.be/gARauEYGn-I ○do me折扣碼「AB2023」88折到10月底（折扣不適用月曆）。 ■ 怎麼購買與優惠 ◎單品都是NT$ 750，組合原價NT$ 1500，「早鳥預購價NT$ 1,069」，只到9/21！ ◎前500名預購，加贈瑪仕曼男仕戰力補給10天份（市價NT$ 699)。 ◎預購贈品，贈完為止，每筆訂單限贈一份，不累贈。 ◎首批9月底預購截止，11月中旬，印刷完成出貨。 [本集重點]

GETTING RIGHT WITH GOD by Joseph C. Way  B.A.,B.D., MDiv.For centuries, numerous people have asked "How do you get right and stay right with 'god'?" Since a person's god is whatever they value (love) the most, possible gods are limitless. When asked from the Judeo-Christian perspective, the question is narrowed but the answers are extremely diverse. Due to many identified factors, the author believes incorrect answers have been too frequently offered, starting soon after the death of Jesus and continuing to this day. Due to God's nature and ours, the author bases his answer exclusively on appropriate (God-like) love as described and practiced by Jesus. The ancient Hebrews recognized the original answer and Jesus repeated it when he insisted we love God above all else and then love our neighbor as our self. Paul got it all wrong. Jesus did not fill the empty spaces in Paul's Judaism. Believe Jesus and act like it.Author Bio: I was born on a small farm in southern Mississipp, along with six siblings. After graduating from high school with highest honors, I entered Millsaps College from which I earned a B.A. One year later, I entered Vanderbilt Divinity School and earned a B.D. and MDiv. For forty-two years, I was an active minister in the United Methodist Church, with twenty-three as an Air force chaplain, five as a V.A. chaplain and fourteen as the pastor of local churches. In nineteen-sixty-four, due to my efforts to promote integration, I was forced to leave the state to protect and provide for my family and myself. For my efforts to promote integration, I was awarded membership in "Who's Who in American Methodism." I am a certified therapist for Alcohol and drug abuse, resulting in a book outlining a new approach to recognition and treatment, entitled "A Pain in the Gut." My wife of sixty-five years and I now live in a retirement community in Georgetown, Texas.  We have two children and two grandchildren.https://www.amazon.com/Getting-Right-God-Joseph-MDIV/dp/1664129502/ref=sr_1_1?crid=3S9Q3N23III0B&keywords=getting+right+with+god+by+joseph+way&qid=1657937267&s=books&sprefix=getting+right+with+god+by+joseph+way%2Cstripbooks%2C78&sr=1-1https://www.gettingrightwithgod.com/http://www.bluefunkbroadcasting.com/root/twia/jwaylp.mp3   

«Ни один фреймворк, ни один подход не примет за тебя решение. Потому что если бы он принимал решения за тебя, мы бы их уже автоматизировали. Принятие решений по продукту просто не получается засунуть в комьютер. Даже история с A/B-тестами. Казалось бы, это самый простой для принятия решений инструмент». «Идея такая: мы субъективно проинимаем решения, это какая-то чушь, в нас нельзя верить. Поэтому мы проведем A/B-тест и он нам точно скажет: вариант A или вариант B. Если он говорит, что между ними нет разницы — значит, между ними нет разницы. Но если A/B-тест говорит конкретно: вариант A или вариант B, то бери тот вариант, который выиграл, и будет тебе счастье. Однако мы же видим на практике, что это нифига не так. История знает миллион ситуаций, когда A/B-тест показывает одно, потом мы раскатываем результаты — и случается другое. Почему? А вот как раз для того, чтобы разобраться, почему, и чтобы по-настоящему классное решение принимать после проведения A/B-тестов, тебе надо понимать логические цепочки: что и где могло пойти не так». Собеседник: Дмитрий Абрамов CPO, Skysmart Ведущий подкаста: Юра Агеев Подписывайтесь на канал анонсов подкаста: https://t.me/mspodcast. О чем говорим: 1:18 Что такое успех и самостоятельное принятие решений как составляющая успеха 4:33 Почему важно понимать, что такое успех, и где найти успешных людей 7:20 По каким критериям можно понять, что сотрудник успешен 11:15 Пример логической цепочки рассуждений о продукте 14:34 Пример усложнения логической цепочки 17:52 Что такое правильное решение и что такое правильность логической цепочки 23:10 Почему невозможно автоматизировать принятие решений. Примеры ошибок в A/B-тестах 27:36 Принятие решений — ответственность менеджера 28:48 Как развивать способность использовать формальную логику 31:23 Как оценить способность людей к логическому мышлению 35:44 Можно ли ошибиться в оценке, упустив вводные данные или дополнительные условия 36:59 Эффективны ли вопросы гугла с собеседований как задачи для оценки логического мышления 39:27 Полезны ли консалтинговые кейсы для развития логического мышления 40:28 Как защититься от ошибок в логических цепочках 42:22 Что делать, если кажется, что кто-то в команде мыслит нелогично Мы упоминаем: Подкаст make sense о математическом мышлении, статистике и A/B-тестировании с Виталием Черемисиновым https://bit.ly/3srmG00 Подкаст make sense об инструментах логического мышления и навыках technical product manager с Сергеем Руденко https://bit.ly/3PhBeJt Кейс: как определять качество системы A/B-тестирования https://bit.ly/39aD0LY Книгу Марка Гоулстона «Как разговаривать с мудаками» https://bit.ly/3M80iRd

Leandro Vieira e Tatiana Maia Lins, fundadora da consultoria de reputação corporativa Makemake e professora da ESPM, inauguram a pauta do ESG no Café com ADM e mostram por que investidores de todo o mundo valorizam empresas que pontuam bem nesses três quesitos. > Ouça no Spotify e siga o Café com ADM no Instagram. Conteúdo patrocinado > A Nuvemshop oferece o primeiro mês grátis e mais 90 dias de isenção completa de tarifas. Cadastre-se agora na Nuvemshop. Mostre ao mundo do que você é capaz e crie sua loja online na Nuvemshop. > Conheça o iFood Benefícios e saiba como melhorar a oferta de benefícios na sua empresa. Acesse e saiba mais. > Você é vende pela internet? Conheça a Koin e veja como oferecer boleto parcelado para os seus clientes. Sobre a entrevistada Tatiana Maia Lins é consultora em Reputação Corporativa, mentora de lideranças, palestrante e professora de Comunicação com o Mercado e Investidores na ESPM. Em 2011, fundou a Makemake, consultoria especializada em reputação corporativa, pela qual já atuou em projetos de vários setores da economia, desde o BBB21 até um projeto de memória corporativa da GM. Ultimamente ela vem se dedicando à agenda ESG como pauta prioritária para a geração de valor compartilhado e competitividade nas organizações.

This week the fellas dive into Amy Hennig and Star Wars, Sega rebooting some classics and much much more! Articles: Sega Reboots Crazy Taxi, Jet Set Radio to Chase Fortnite Success - Bloomberg https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-19/sega-reboots-crazy-taxi-jet-set-radio-to-chase-fortnite-riches Former Uncharted lead Amy Hennig returns to Star Wars with a new game https://www.polygon.com/23031000/star-wars-amy-hennig-skydance-new-media-lucasfilm-games Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week the fellas dive into Amy Hennig and Star Wars, Sega rebooting some classics and much much more! Articles: Sega Reboots Crazy Taxi, Jet Set Radio to Chase Fortnite Success - Bloomberg Former Uncharted lead Amy Hennig returns to Star Wars with a new game

In this episode, host Bidemi Ologunde analyzed five Yoruba proverbs that describe concepts such as self-respect, situational awareness, knowing one's limitations, and taking responsibility.Check out host Bidemi Ologunde's other creative outlets on LinkTree.Buzzsprout - Let's get your podcast launched! Start for FREEDisclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the show

In this episode, host Bidemi Ologunde analyzed five Yoruba proverbs that describe concepts such as self-respect, busybody behavior, self-comparison, and excessive familiarity.Check out host Bidemi Ologunde's other creative outlets on LinkTree.Buzzsprout - Let's get your podcast launched! Start for FREEDisclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.

(Sharon - Playing Video Games)   In this episode, I had the honour to have Sharon as my guest. She shared with me her interest in playing video games as her hobby.   Definition: A video game[a] or computer game is an electronic game that involves interaction with a user interface or input device – such as a joystick, controller, keyboard, or motion sensing device – to generate visual feedback. This feedback is shown on a video display device, such as a TV set, monitor, touchscreen, or virtual reality headset. Video games are often augmented with audio feedback delivered through speakers or headphones, and sometimes with other types of feedback, including haptic technology. Computer games are not all video games—for example text adventure games, chess, and so on do not depend upon a graphics display. Wikipedia contributors. (2021, December 13). Video game. In Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia. Retrieved 06:26, December 14, 2021, from https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Video_game&oldid=1060128411   Sharon's Links Website: http://www.sharonstuffpod.com/  Twitter: https://twitter.com/kmsharon95 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kmsharon95/   Time For Your Hobby links: Website: Time For Your Hobby website (click to find Apple, Spotify, Google and more) Merch: TFYHpodcast (on Redbubble) Instagram: @timeforyourhobby Twitter: @tfyhpodcast Podchaser: Time For Your Hobby  Patreon: Timeforyourhobby  Email: timeforyourhobby@gmail.com     If you like this episode and think it can be helpful to someone you are more than welcome to share it and leave a review. If you want to be on my podcast or have any questions at all, by all means, contact me through any of the platforms above. So until the next episode... make some time for your hobby.   Shout out to my Patrons: Chess Talk (https://chesstalk.podbean.com/) Mélissa Sabrina Hughes Berry    Take care,

Lots of fun this week with a special guest! Our cousin, Susan Jess Hoff! The gals researched and discussed Susan's maternal Grandmother's line, the Glass family from PA to NJ. Such a blast this week!

Day 4, my people! I had to pull the card and repurpose a show, but it's a cool one. I speak on an album I released in 2020. The link is below! In this episode, I speak on the song 'Situations'. Check out the story that fueled the verse and we got Mr. Respect Walker (LrKChronicle) giving his insight. Enjoy! You can listen to the album 'B.A.B.N.' HERE. Check out The Content Creators of Color and the C4Challenge at https://c4challenge.com and follow them on Instagram: @creators_of_color. You can also listen to the shows from other creators on the Spotify playlist. Follow all socials, subscribe to my website, and more of my content at https://linktr.ee/mralpete Powered by The MPN Network. Music production and audio engineering by myself. For more information on the network: https://linktr.ee/mpnmanagement --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/c4challenge/message

WX: jessica66001,获得卡卡老师的英语学习干货分享更多卡卡老师福利公号：卡卡课堂前几天，看到了一个非常励志的视频。这是美国前海军上将的一段演讲，名为《要成功先从叠被子开始》。成功和叠被子有什么关系？看完这段演讲，你就能深刻理解并被震撼到。叠被子，本来是很小的一个生活习惯，但一个人从小培养的习惯，决定着他一生的命运。说起叠被子，今天我们分享下各种关于被子的英文。1.先来看被子的英语怎么说？我们在翻译“被子”这个词的时候，常常犹豫该用哪个词。其实，就像在中文里，无论棉被、羽绒被、蚕丝被，我们统一叫它“被子”。在英文里，无论quilt（棉被）、duvet [du:'vei]（羽绒被），还是blanket（毯子），都统称为blanket。2. “叠被子”怎么翻译？你的被子是不是叠成这个样子？或者这个样子？但是，欧美国家居民的被子是整理成下图这样的，就像酒店的做法一样。所以它并不是“叠”出来的，他们只是make the bed，把床铺整齐。因此，如果你想表达“收拾床”，用make the bed，如果想表达“叠被子”这个“收拾床”的其中一个步骤，用fold the blanket。3. “被窝”怎么翻译？既然英美国家的居民不把被子叠成一个筒，也就不存在“钻进被窝”的情形了。但是，他们在躺下以后，还是会和我们一样，把被子掩好、掖好，也算形成了一个“被窝”。所以，如果一定要翻译“被窝”这个词，可以叫它cocoon，就是“蚕茧”那个词。但是，人们更倾向于管小宝宝的“襁褓”叫做cocoon，叫大人的“被窝”cocoon，并不是一种很普遍的用法，只能算是一种很可爱的说法。4. “盖被子”怎么翻译？这里分享一个短语：tuck A in B是“把A掖到B里”的意思，除此之外tuck in还有“盖被子”“安顿入睡”的意思。比如家长把孩子安顿入睡，可以用tuck in，如：Let me tuck you in。让我哄你入睡吧。这句话是含着爱意的，包含把孩子安顿上床、帮他盖好被子，以及kiss him goodbye等一系列过程，一般只用在孩子或爱人身上。Tuck in可以用于给别人指令，如：Tuck yourself in. 把被子盖上。除此之外，我们还可以说：Cover yourself up with the blanket.Get under the blanket.

up up down down A B A B. Don't know what that means? It's ok, you're not alone. Super high jump your way into the 19th installment of WWW with Matt Sydney and Sean Perham!! We finally tackle the pillar of Seans life that is Video Games. He has played them for as long as he can remember and Matt can't even remember the name of a single Gaming System....it literally happens in this episode. The boys talk about the passion , why its an art form and also, having sex with aliens. Its a big part of modern day gaming. This and more on Weird Wonderful Worlds. Cover Art: Sean Perham Music: Mike Acampora As mentioned, we now have a Patreon! Check it out for all the personal info and videos we have on the topic, including an unedited video version of the podcast :) Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/21stfloorcomedy DUNCES AND DRAGONS is located on our YouTube, which is linked below :) Check us out on YouTube at https://www.youtube.com/21stfloorcomedy Matt Sydney: https://www.instagram.com/mattsydney1 Sean Perham: https://www.instagram.com/seanperhamisme 21st Floor: https://www.instagram.com/21stfloorcomedy/ --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

Welcome to Chicks With Sticks! We are exactly what our name explains: two chicks with sticks, lacrosse sticks that is. We are here to talk about women's lacrosse, the sport that brought us together and we believe deserves more recognition. Join our comedic convos about our love for the game, electric players, memorable games, and general lacrosse news. Feel free to send us any of your own stories at chickswithstickspodcast@gmail.com and check us out on Instagram @chickswithstickspodcast too! Enjoy :) Linktree: https://linktr.ee/chickswithstickspodcast (*Sidenote: we claim no rights over the background music in the intro/outro to this podcast. You may recognize the music, it's Trophies by Young Money and Drake. The commentary over the top of it has been borrowed from a variety of lacrosse games that were televised.) Episode 5: Historical Women's Lacrosse B.A.B.s Join Ash and Delaney for a history lesson on the background of women's lacrosse in the United States. We introduce you to some of the original women's lacrosse BABs (bad a** b****es) who helped bring us the sport we love and appreciate today. Additionally, the evolution of rules since Delaney and Ash have played are discussed. Some of these changes have propelled the game into the future while others may still be controversial.We encourage you to listen and share your personal opinions with us via DM or email! Enjoy! Link to the Lacrosse Extras Article Written about us by Bella! ***We had some technical difficulties with the mics in this episode because Ashley was a little too close to her mic so there are a few feedback crackles throughout the episode. We apologize! We are still learning :)*** --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app

Happy Mother's Day!  Ritzi, Zuri, and Greer dedicate this episode to their mothers, while they chat and reminisce on advice they received from their moms growing up.This week's black woman- owned business is Beats by KD, www.beatsbykd.com, @beatsbykd.