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It's Week 12, and the "Perfect Parlay" leaderboard is getting Fiery! Leader Hoff is out in front, forcing BT and Sal into desperation mode with their three-teamers. Sal throws a Hail Mary by latching onto the Giants/Lions Over 50.5, takes Cincinnati +6.5 as a home dog, and hammers the 49ers -7 on Monday Night. Hoff, feeling confident, rolls out an All-Dogs four-teamer, including the Jets +13.5 (yes, really!) and the Giants +13. BT focuses on bounce-back teams, laying a big number with the Lions -13 and backing the Chiefs -3.5, while taking the Cowboys +3.5 in a classic NFC East rivalry game. The guys also discuss the high-stakes Turkey Day Teaser that could decide their final standings and their humiliating WWE fate!
BT and Sal unleash a torrent of commentary following former Mets reliever Adam Ottavino's fiery podcast remarks, where he torches Carlos Mendoza, accusing the manager of "pathetic" bullpen usage and questioning if the organization "even care[s]" about pitcher health, leading to a record number of Tommy John surgeries. Ottavino also stirs the pot by calling former teammate Brandon Nimmo "sensitive" regarding clubhouse leadership and media stories. The hosts also tackle Brian Cashman's defense of Trent Grisham using cryptic "underlying information" and debate whether the Mets should trade the declining Nimmo, McNeil, and Senga during the Hot Stove season. Finally, it's time for the "Perfect Parlay" picks for NFL Week 12. Hoff leads the scoring race, prompting a "desperate" Sal to roll out a three-team parlay with the Giants/Lions Over 50.5 and the 49ers -7. Tierney lays a big -13 with the Lions and takes the Cowboys +3.5 as an upset special.
BT & Sal ignite an explosive discussion starting with former Mets reliever Adam Ottavino's shocking podcast remarks, where he accused manager Carlos Mendoza of "pathetic" bullpen usage leading to a surgery crisis and called Brandon Nimmo "sensitive." The focus then shifts to the Giants, as Jaxson Dart is officially ruled out this weekend, forcing a debate on protecting the young QB from "idiotic" play-calling and whether interim coach Mike Kafka is a viable long-term option. On the baseball hot stove, the hosts clash over the Yankees' free agency targets—is Kyle Tucker or Cody Bellinger the better fit?—and furiously debate a potential trade for Corey Seager, with one host willing to risk the huge contract for his October pedigree and the other calling it a guaranteed "Stanton disaster." Finally, sports betting insider Nick Kostos joins to deliver his NFL Week 12 picks, including the Giants/Lions OVER, before BT, Sal, and Hoff unveil their "Perfect Parlay" bets.
BT & Sal ignite a heated argument with Hoff over a hypothetical Mets trade proposal by Jim Bowden, which sends four top prospects (Tong, Sproat, Williams, Mauricio) to Detroit for one year of Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal. BT is "in a heartbeat" for the trade, arguing they must be aggressive to land a frontline ace. Hoff slams it as "irresponsible", insisting they absolutely cannot trade that "butt load of prospects" without a guaranteed contract extension, comparing the high cost to the Yankees' "bunch of nothing" price for Juan Soto. The debate centers on risk: the Mets' willingness to gamble on an extension versus the risk of being "stupid" and losing their best young talent for a one-year rental. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
BT & Sal dive into a hypothetical (but fiery!) discussion about Pete Alonso wearing a Yankees uniform. While acknowledging reports that the Yankees have no interest in the Polar Bear, Sal argues that a move for Alonso would be a smart piece of a necessary "restructuring" for the Yankees—specifically, by trading Giancarlo Stanton and replacing his power and DH slot with an everyday first baseman and DH option in Pete. The conversation gets personal as they debate the emotional fallout for Mets fans if their franchise slugger jumped to the hated Yankees. Sal asserts that his hatred for the Yankees would "usurp" any affection for Pete, but Hoff and Sal debate where Mets fans would draw the line. The segment also touches on the frustrating lack of development and hype surrounding Yankees prospects like Jasson Dominguez and Mets prospect Carson Benge.
BT & Sal ignite a heated argument with Hoff over a hypothetical Mets trade proposal by Jim Bowden, which sends four top prospects (Tong, Sproat, Williams, Mauricio) to Detroit for one year of Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal. BT is "in a heartbeat" for the trade, arguing they must be aggressive to land a frontline ace. Hoff slams it as "irresponsible", insisting they absolutely cannot trade that "butt load of prospects" without a guaranteed contract extension, comparing the high cost to the Yankees' "bunch of nothing" price for Juan Soto. The debate centers on risk: the Mets' willingness to gamble on an extension versus the risk of being "stupid" and losing their best young talent for a one-year rental.
From 'WFAN Daily' (subscribe here): Everyone is upset at the Yankees, Brian Cashman and Trent Grisham for signing the qualifying offer to return for the 2026 season. Hoff explains why this is not a Trent Grisham issue! Follow @HoffWFAN To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
BT and Sal dive into the fiery reaction from Giants star Cam Skattebo, who clapped back at critics for judging his WWE attendance while injured. They debate the issue of professional decorum, weighing Cam's star power against the lack of self-awareness shown by fellow Giant Abdul Carter. The conversation shifts to the NFL Week 12 slate, where the hosts discuss "Parlay Perfection" strategy, revealing their early leans on the Chiefs-Colts and Cowboys-Eagles games as the pressure mounts on BT to close the gap on Hoff. Finally, they tackle the "Call of the Day" and several callers who pile on Brian Cashman, slamming the Yankees' "stale" vision, bad signings, and failed player development.
BT & Sal put producer Hoff in the hot seat for a fiery round of "Bald Faced Lie, Bald Faced Truth!" The trio debates three scorching hot takes: Whether David Stearns will use a baseball version of AI to construct the 2026 Mets roster. If Rangers goalie Jonathan Quick was justified in attacking Mason Appleton for shooting the puck after the final horn, a move Quick viewed as disrespectful to hockey's "unwritten rules." The shocking bet that the Nets will win less than ten games—a take Tierney is quick to endorse due to his deep disinterest in the team. The segment also features a major Pete Alonso update from an industry source, who claims a return to the Mets is "very unlikely," given Stearns' low-ball max offer of a "two plus one at around thirty" million dollars, and speculation that the Angels will be the "stupid team" to overpay for the slugger. Finally, Sal celebrates a win after his complaints earned him an invite to Alex Rodriguez's exclusive Christmas party!
My guest on today's episode of Nudge has spent decades studying leaders. I asked Prof. Adam Galinsky to share his top five (evidence-backed) leadership tips. Want to become a better leader? This is the episode for you. --- Watch the bonus episode: https://nudge.kit.com/a53ff22931 Read Adam's book: https://amzn.to/4htZCGc Sign up for my newsletter: https://www.nudgepodcast.com/mailing-list Connect on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/phill-agnew-22213187/ Watch Nudge on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@nudgepodcast/ --- Blunden, H., Kristal, A. S., Whillans, A. V., Yoon, J., Burd, K., Bremner, S., & Yeomans, M. (2025). Eliciting advice instead of feedback improves developmental input. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 193, 104343. Chou, E. Y., Halevy, N., Galinsky, A. D., & Murnighan, J. K. (2017). The Goldilocks contract: The synergistic benefits of combining structure and autonomy for persistence, creativity, and cooperation. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 113(3), 393–412. Hoff, M., Rucker, D. D., & Galinsky, A. D. (2025). The vicious cycle of status insecurity. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 128(1), 101–122. Leonardelli, G. J., Gu, J., McRuer, G., Medvec, V. H., & Galinsky, A. D. (2019). Multiple equivalent simultaneous offers (MESOs) reduce the negotiator dilemma: How a choice of first offers increases economic and relational outcomes. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 152, 64–82. Liljenquist, K. A., & Galinsky, A. D. (2007). Turn your adversary into your advocate: Strategic requests for advice can transform disputes into amiable problem-solving ventures. Kellogg Insight. Northwestern University. Majer, J. M., Trötschel, R., Galinsky, A. D., & Loschelder, D. D. (2020). Open to offers, but resisting requests: How the framing of anchors affects motivation and negotiated outcomes. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 119(3), 582–599. Wu, S. J., & Paluck, E. L. (2022). Having a voice in your group: Increasing productivity through group participation. Behavioural Public Policy, 9(1), 192–211.
With Hoff holding a commanding lead in the Perfect Parlay Picks contest, Sal (90 points) and BT (50 points) declare a "Hail Mary" strategy, throwing out the conservative picks to go all-in on four-team parlays for Week 11. BT, embracing the "go route," backs hot teams like the Chargers (-2.5) and Ravens (-7.5), while also taking the Bears (+2.5). Sal, down by a few touchdowns, unleashes his own four-team bomb, predicting big Bills (-5.5) and 49ers (-2.5) wins, alongside bold underdog picks for the Lions (+2.5) on Sunday Night Football and his Broncos (+3.5) over the Chiefs! The segment concludes with a debate over whether Hoff, the current leader, is being "sloppy" by not taking a more conservative approach.
BT, Sal, and Hoff unleash "Bald-Faced Lie, Bald-Faced Truth," testing the hottest takes in New York sports and beyond! The trio goes head-to-head on the Mets' looming free agency: Will Edwin Diaz be back in 2026, or will the Dodgers steal him? They clash over baseball insider Jeff Passan's predictions, debating if Kyle Tucker and Cody Bellinger could be teammates and if the Yankees can afford to lose Bellinger. Finally, a fiery NFL/NHL crossover question: will the Rangers' home win total in November surpass the combined home wins of the Jets and Giants? The segment closes with a serious discussion about the influence of John Mara's health and family loyalty on the Giants' front office decisions.
154. "Was there a scrawl?" Hello space opera fans, please join us, for another spectacular maim feature episode of the Betamax Dungeon! This week, the dungeon boneheads tackle the thoroughly unspectacular; Starcrash, from 1978. It's an Italian Star Wars rip off, with the Hoff in it, and a spaceship shaped like a hand, what could possibly go wrong? As ever, forever, this podcast contains swearing and drunken opinions and people shouting "Stella!", that could possibly irritate or offend. Let's hope you find something about it endearing, if you do, why not like, share or leave a comment? Thanks dunge heads.#starcrash #phantomthread
This week's show has some of the biggest laughs we've had in months! It was so much fun to record. Jonathan teams up with David Scanland against the duo of Adam Fried and Sam Mitchell. Zahkia is hosting! Enjoy!
Today on the radio show. 1 - Smoko Chat. Rock ‘n Roll Hall of Fame inductees. 6 - Must listen. Dunc’s dad. https://bit.ly/4hN7dQm 9 - Great advice for terrible people. 12 - Am I a narcissist? 16 - Joel Madden & Johnny Stevens chat. 20 - Bit of good news. 23 - Explaining to adults. 27 - Must watch. Hoff-roading https://bit.ly/4nIsThV 30 - Kiwis v Samoa highlights. 33 - Must listen. The marble theory. https://bit.ly/4oA5qAW 37 - Grammy award nominees. 39 - Late mail. 43 - Last drinks.
Yes! He is... but is any of his points valid? Hoff gives his plan A for the Mets offseason. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
BT & Sal bring in Hoff to dissect the growing anxiety around Pete Alonso's contract situation, which they argue is becoming a massive distraction that "handcuffs" the Mets' entire offseason. The hosts rail against Scott Boras's perceived playbook, which they believe involves holding out Alonso to maintain leverage, even potentially blocking other Boras clients like Cody Bellinger from signing with the Mets. Sal pushes the Mets to "rewrite the rules" and set a hard deadline, demanding they either sign Alonso or move on quickly to "blow the whole thing up" and execute a smart, aggressive rebuild focused on pitching and reconfiguring the defense. The core question: Can the Mets navigate this drama and make the smart business decisions necessary to finally fix their flawed infrastructure?
Lots of eyes will be on Mizzou's true freshman quarterback as they face #3 Texas A&M on Saturday. Eli Hoff of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch joined the Big Show on Thursday to preview the matchup, and how big this game feels for Mizzou football's future.
It's time for THE HOFF vs. a bunch of horrible CG snakes!! Anaconda 3: Offspring is up this week and whew boy...it sure is...a movie. Star ratings help us build our audience! Please rate/review/subscribe to us on Spotify, Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen, and share us with your Romanian best friend! Email us at sequelrights@gmail.com with feedback or suggestions on future franchises!
BT & Sal torch the Giants' inaction at the trade deadline, arguing that Joe Shane and Brian Daboll should both be fired, and that the failure to move players like Evan Neal and Jalen Hyatt is a sign of a failing regime. The hosts contrast this with the Jets' bold, clear direction under GM Muji, celebrating the assets gained and the mitigation of risk for their future quarterback. They spark a heated debate over whether a franchise QB (Jackson Dart) is more valuable than the right GM/Head Coach structure. Later, the conversation explodes into the Sydney Sweeney Hall Pass debate, as Hoff floats the idea of making her his hall pass, leading Sal to reveal his own A-list hall pass list, where Jessica Alba trumps Sweeney, along with the "cuddle and Netflix" clause. Finally, the segment concludes with Three Random Questions: Do you need to leave a tip at a smoothie place? Would you ever clone a pet? Are you obligated to return serve when someone unexpectedly pays the entire dinner bill?
BT & Sal invite Hoff into the ring for another explosive round of Bald-Faced Lie, Bald-Faced Truth! The trio clashes over the trade deadline as they put three fiery statements to the test. They debate whether the Jets should trade Breece Hall for massive draft capital and if the Giants' "worthless" assets will see them stand pat. Then, the focus shifts to baseball, where they argue if Pete Alonso is worthy of a single MVP vote for the 2025 season. Finally, they rank the hot seats of NYC's coaches, asking: Does Aaron Boone have the safest seat of all head coaches/managers in New York sports? The statements debated are: Jets and Giants will make a total of zero trades by today's deadline. Pete Alonso will get at least one MVP vote for this 2025 season. Aaron Boone has the safest seat of all head coaches/managers in New York sports.
BT & Sal dive into the Giants' coaching crisis, arguing that keeping the Joe Shane-Brian Daboll tandem is an "abject failure" and the worst move they could make. The fiery debate shifts to why the Giants need to "do whatever they can to go get Belichick," despite the risks, and why his resume makes him a better gamble than anyone else. The conversation pivots to a messy start to the Mets' offseason, ranting about Frankie Montas opting into his $17 million contract while injured (a "stupid contract" by Stearns) and celebrating the decline of Drew Smith's option. Finally, Hoff joins for Bald-Faced Lie, Bald-Faced Truth, tackling: Bald-Faced Lie/Truth: Jets and Giants will make a total of zero trades by today's deadline. (Sal: Truth; BT: Lie) Bald-Faced Lie/Truth: Pete Alonso will get at least one MVP vote for this 2025 season. (Sal: Lie; BT: Truth) Bald-Faced Lie/Truth: Aaron Boone has the safest seat of all head coaches/managers in New York sports. (Sal: Truth; BT: Lie)
Here's an 80s kid test: complete this Roxette lyric — “I'm gonna get dressed…”If you didn't say “for some sex” we can't be friends.But you should still listen to this unintentionally creepy show as we discover that Suzanne Somers is definitely not a pleasure bot.Jumping on a bandwagon 40 years too late, Stranger Things resurrects ALF and another That 80s Show favourite.Dori has caught Paulo's “so bad it's good” movie bug, while Paulo brings a movie with a behind-the-scenes story so good it could be a perfect Hart to Hart plotline.Finally, Two 80s Truths and a Lie dives into scary music, demonic dolls, and a Craven misuse of power.Jump To: Suzanne Somers AI Robot (00:03:04): https://magic828.co.za/the-digital-resurrection-of-suzanne-somers-ai-brings-back-the-beloved-star/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ZSQf_W5Mt0Stranger Things Doritos Telethon (00:07:59): https://bloody-disgusting.com/the-further/3906254/doritos-launches-stranger-things-telethon-with-david-hasselhoff-paula-abdul-alf/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=doritos-launches-stranger-things-telethon-with-david-hasselhoff-paula-abdul-alfReview: Parasite (1982) – Demi Moore's First Movie (00:13:44) : youtube.com/watch?si=FI28A5TTjdKbIMh5&v=dHyivNwZq2I&feature=youtu.beReview: Brainstorm (1983) & Natalie Wood's Last Film (00:25:05): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueYcVmH0edkhttps://www.whatwentwrongpod.com/80s Truths and a Lie: Halloween Edition (00:38:42)#80s culture, #That 80s Show, #podcast, #Sylvester Stallone, #Over the Top, #arm wrestling, #Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles, #Halloween special, #80s nostalgia, #Dori, #Suzanne Somers, #AI technology, #digital resurrection, #uncanny valley, #Halloween movies, #Parasite 1982, #Demi Moore, #post-apocalyptic, #sci-fi horror, #Stranger Things, #Doritos, #Stranger Things Telethon, #voice actors, #nostalgia trip, #Plex, #VHS quality, #B-movies, #Brainstorm, #Christopher Walken, #Louise Fletcher, #Natalie Wood, #memory recording device, #virtual reality, #Halloween trivia, #80s music, #pop culture, #film discussion, #movie reviews, #cult classics, #horror movies, #80s fashion, #gory effects, #digital personas.
BT and Sal get into a hilarious, fiery fight over the handling of pizza in the studio. They call out their producer, Hoff, for grabbing slices late and failing to announce the food to the hosts. The heat intensifies as they grill BT for being "The Nibbler," who only eats the cheese and wastes the crust, with Sal arguing that this selfish habit is why Hoff denied him a slice! The conversation briefly pivots to basketball, where they debut "Bad News Brown" as a new nickname for the Knicks coach and continue their heated debate on whether Carmelo Anthony's number belongs in the MSG rafters (and why Bernard King's does).
BT & Sal go off the rails following Carl Banks' scathing criticism of Dexter Lawrence, questioning if the $60M man is hurt or just "lazy" after getting paid. The guys debate if Banks was right to publicly rip a Giants star. Then, the discussion shifts to the Mets' coaching turnover, as Antoan Richardson moves on—is the loss of the "best first base coach in baseball" a sign of deeper trouble? Finally, the segment ends with a round of Bald-Faced Lie, Bald-Faced Truth featuring Hoff, addressing three fiery claims: The Knicks will have five players finish in the top 20 with minutes played again this season. (Knicks Minutes) Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber will both be returning to the Phillies next season. (Phillies' Future) The Rangers will find a way to trade Panarin and/or Mika Zibanejad. (Ranger Rebuild)
BT & Sal dive into the latest Giants drama, dissecting Carl Banks' surprisingly direct and fiery critique of Dexter Lawrence's flagging performance, and question if the verbal shots are a desperate attempt at motivation. They also analyze reports surrounding a potential Kayvon Thibodeaux trade, asking if the Giants should commit long-term to the defensive end given the unit's underperformance. Plus, the guys recap the "Perfect Parlay" segment, where Hoff holds the lead despite a bad week and Sal laments getting burned by a Jets comeback. John Minko stops by for the "Call of the Day" and a funny-but-sad story about his final day at The Fan. The show closes with a passionate debate on a potential new baseball rule limiting intentional walks, debating if the need for entertainment outweighs pure strategy (and whether it's even enforceable).
BT & Sal dive into the latest round of "Bald Face Lie, Bald Face Truth" with Hoff, delivering scorching takes on New York sports and beyond. The three bold statements under the microscope are: Just like last year, the Knicks will have five guys finish in the top twenty with minutes played. (BT says Truth, Sal says Lie, arguing the Hot Hand will be ridden, but overall minutes will recalibrate.) Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber will both be returning to the Phillies next season. (Sal says Truth, refusing to believe Philly lets Schwarber walk; BT says Lie, predicting Schwarber is gone over a rich contract and Bregman-to-Mets discussion.) The Rangers will find a way to trade Panarin and/or Mika Zibanejad. (Both say Truth, citing the team's "disgusting" start and Sal's theory that new coach Sullivan was hired to make the star duo uncomfortable enough to leave.)
BT & Sal discuss the surprising reaction to their interview with actress Sydney Sweeney, noting the massive text frenzy from listeners but also the severe lack of enthusiasm from their wives. Sal's wife gave his exciting news a simple "thumbs-up" tag—a sign of ultimate indifference—while Hoff's wife was disappointed they didn't get more "controversial" and ask about her jeans commercial. Sal defends their decision not to turn the spot into a "perv spot" or get political, arguing they stuck to the movie with the short 11-minute window, though Donnie Baseball remains the most elusive guest. The conversation shifts to a caller's theory about why the Yankees fail to sign top Japanese talent, suggesting they miss a key "Pacific Rim operations" liaison, tying into the Ohtani/Dodgers effect.
Good luck facing Josh Hazlewood this summer, England.With Corby on a break, Ed is joined by Trent Copeland to unpack the ODI series against India - and the big takeaway? Josh Hazlewood looks in ominous touch heading towards the Ashes.The guys break down all the key talking points from the series, including Sharma and Kohli's poetic SCG farewell, check in on the latest from the Sheffield Shield, and dive (again) into the never-ending Ashes selection debate.
Good luck facing Josh Hazlewood this summer, England.With Corby on a break, Ed is joined by Trent Copeland to unpack the ODI series against India - and the big takeaway? Josh Hazlewood looks in ominous touch heading towards the Ashes.The guys break down all the key talking points from the series, including Sharma and Kohli's poetic SCG farewell, check in on the latest from the Sheffield Shield, and dive (again) into the never-ending Ashes selection debate.
Good luck facing Josh Hazlewood this summer, England.With Corby on a break, Ed is joined by Trent Copeland to unpack the ODI series against India - and the big takeaway? Josh Hazlewood looks in ominous touch heading towards the Ashes.The guys break down all the key talking points from the series, including Sharma and Kohli's poetic SCG farewell, check in on the latest from the Sheffield Shield, and dive (again) into the never-ending Ashes selection debate.
BT & Sal kick off the "Call of the Day" with a fiery segment focused on Hoff's "Perfect Parlay" NFL picks! After a listener calls in to complain that Hoff spoke too fast, demanding a full recap, the crew grills Hoff on his process and his overall standing. They dissect his 14-12 record (plus a recent 4-0 week) and argue over whether his "five-point throwaways" on the Jets and Giants are killing his score. The hosts demand accountability for the rapid-fire picks and stress the need to clean up the segment for the listeners.
It's PARLAY PANIC on the show as Hoff rides a 4-0 Week 7 hit to take a massive lead on the leaderboard! BT admits he's "overthinking" and "a wreck," rolling out three huge favorites: Pats -7.5, a monster Colts -14.5 over the Titans, and Cincy -6.5 over the Jets. Sal fires back with a two-team "chip away" parlay, hinging his season on the Broncos -3.5 and taking a stand with the Titans +14.5 against the suddenly "beloved" Colts. Hoff confidently returns to the well with another four-teamer, including his winning Cincy pick. The guys also lock in their straight-up predictions for the Jets and Giants games, all chasing the champ!
BT & Sal kick off the segment with a fiery update on the $300,000 in NFL fines levied against the Giants organization and Brian Daboll (a whopping $100K personally!) for violating the concussion protocol, with fullback Cam Skattebo also tagged for $15K. The main event is the BT N Sal's Perfect Parlay Picks for NFL Week 8, where the hosts and Hoff—the current leader—make their against-the-spread selections. Hoff defends his 150-point lead with a four-team parlay, while Sal chips away with a two-team bet featuring the Broncos -3.5 and the Titans +14.5. BT—desperate to snap his "ice-cold" streak—rolls with a big-favorites parlay, laying huge numbers with the Pats -7.5 and Colts -14.5. The segment culminates with the Live Call of the Day from a listener demanding that Hoff quickly repeat his winning picks for them to write down! The hosts wrap up by making their straight-up predictions for the Jets and Giants games.
BT & Sal torch the airwaves, demanding the Giants break their 12-year losing streak in Philadelphia to save their season—and possibly Brian Daboll's job after his $100K concussion fine. The firestorm continues with an explosive critique of NBA Commissioner Adam Silver, arguing his credibility is "CRASHING" following a reported Terry Rozier cover-up of irregular betting activity. They blast Jets coach Aaron Glenn for his bizarre QB "stonewall" and debate the true value of Sauce Gardner—is he overrated? Finally, the crew locks in their Perfect Parlay Picks for NFL Week 8, with Hoff defending his huge lead as BT attempts a desperate comeback with big favorites.
Hoff says the Giants have a chance to win every time they step on the field, which is something we haven't been able to say in recent years.
The distribution of asset price returns is a subject of much study in the literature of empirical finance. We know, of course, that equity returns are left-tailed, subject to the occasional violent plunge. But other asset classes are different, and in this context it was a pleasure to welcome Ben Hoff, Global Head of Commodity Strategy at Société Générale, to the Alpha Exchange. Ben describes commodities as a dual system — one that exists both physically and financially. This duality means real-world frictions such as storage, transport, and substitution shape risk and return in ways financial models often miss. Unlike equities, where the volatility risk premium (VRP) is structural and macro-driven — investors chronically overpay for protection against crashes — the commodity VRP is episodic and micro-driven, emerging only when the physical system's natural buffers are overwhelmed. Ben likens the commodity ecosystem to a CDO structure of risk absorption. The first-loss tranche is “optionality in time,” where storage smooths shocks by shifting supply forward. The mezzanine tranche cures through space and form, rerouting flows across geographies or substituting between products. Only when those defenses are depleted does the equity tranche — financial volatility — take over. This hierarchy explains why volatility in commodities is less persistent but often more explosive when it surfaces. We also explore how the financialization of commodities — benchmark indices, systematic flows, and vol strategies — has created visible “signatures” in pricing, yet the underlying markets remain driven by physical constraints and optionality. Ben's takeaway: commodities are inherently antifragile, making their risk premia complex, localized, and highly path dependent. I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Ben Hoff.
Rami Lavi is in for Hoff, and he's got some burning sports takes in the latest edition of 'Bald Face Truth, Bald Face Lie'.
Hour 1: Despite a disheartening ending, the Giants first three quarters in Denver PROVED that the Giants can hang with ANY team in the NFC. Can we put more blame on the talented Giants defense? The Mets passed on George Springer, that was a mistake. Plus, Donny Baseball made the World Series. Hour 2: Matt Barnes says Mike Brown is SOFT and will FAIL in New York -- The guys respond. Hoff is out today...to take BP at Citi Field? And, Bald Face Truth, Bald Face Lie. Hour 3: The Giants future is bright, but the guys say the Giants still have a lot to play for in 2025! Evan Roberts' Twitter Baseball stats. Brian Baldinger tries to make sense of the Giants EPIC collapse. Hour 4: Mike Brown is already taking some heat, can he be the guy to get KAT and the Knicks over the hump? A caller called Aaron Judge a 'compiler'. Woody Johnson met the media. Plus, Call of the Day.
Hour 2: Matt Barnes says Mike Brown is SOFT and will FAIL in New York -- The guys respond. Hoff is out today...to take BP at Citi Field? And, Bald Face Truth, Bald Face Lie.
It's time for the end of the year 2025 Player grades. Evan and Hoff go through David Stearns and Carlos Mendoza on this episode of Rico Brogna and put together grades. Do you think they're being fair? Buy "The Rico" T-Shirts follow this link: https://breakingt.com/products/the-rico Please like, rate, follow, favorite or subscribe to Rico Brogna here: https://link.chtbl.com/RicoBrogna Email TheRicoB@gmail.com To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
It's Week 7, and the Perfect Parlay standings are getting tense! Sal (80 points),BT (25 points), and Hoff (40 points) dive into their NFL picks, with Sal desperate for a comeback. BT, looking for "redemption," lays a three-team parlay on Dallas and Philly to get right, plus a weather-driven Under in the Miami-Cleveland wind storm. Sal fires back with a massive four-team teaser (including a Jets +1.5 win over the Panthers and laying the points on Denver), which he calls his "Kill Shot" pick. The trio also squares off on the straight-up winners for the New York games: the Jets and Giants! Who will emerge from the Week 7 betting battlefield with a lead?
Eli Hoff from the St. Louis Post-Dispatch joined 3 Man Front on Thursday to preview Missouri's matchup against Auburn & detail what he learned about Mizzou in the loss to Alabama.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Hour 1 of Thursday's 3 Man Front included Eli Hoff's preview of Auburn vs Missouri, our first impressions of Auburn hoops under Steven Pearl & the latest SEC injury news. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
BT & Sal's segment kicks off with a light-hearted, but fiery, debate about Guardians of the Galaxy and Avatar, before launching into a serious, "fixed NFL" discussion. Sal argues that the Chiefs are consistently given favorable calls, particularly citing an unusual instance where a flag was thrown late at the direction of "New York," suggesting the league may be subtly protecting its investment in the Mahomes/Kelce/Swift narrative. BT acknowledges the inconsistent officiating but stops short of calling it fixed, though he admits the rise of gambling and referee scandals makes the theory harder to dismiss. The segment then shifts gears to previewing the Yankees' year-end press conference with Aaron Boone, where the hosts are ready for a round of "Boone & Cashman Bingo."
BT & Sal gear up for the Yankees' year-end press conference by introducing "Boone & Cashman Press Conference Bingo"! The hosts predict the obligatory buzzwords—"94 Games," "Volpe," "Controllability," "Crapshoot"—while demanding the GM address the team's failed roster construction and stop deflecting with his pitching development success. They debate whether Cashman will fire back at Derek Jeter and A-Rod and reveal what they absolutely need to hear about the future of the team, Gerrit Cole's health, and potential payroll spending. The show also touches on the Giants' "big game hunting" for a receiver, the absurdity of hiring coaches based on team loyalty, and a fiery discussion on whether the NFL is fixed, especially with calls favoring the Chiefs. It all kicks off with Hoff's musical theme: "Guardians of the Galaxy."
BT & Sal dive into the shifting landscape of New York football! They dissect what the Giants are still missing to make a legitimate leap in the NFC East, despite the Jaxson Dart-fueled optimism, and why the Jets have no cohesive plan, leading to internal friction and a losing culture. Then, Brendan Tierney invites Hoff in for his weekly "Bald Face Lie, Bald Face Truth" segment to debate three fiery statements: Who will be the leading scorer for the Giants in Week 7, whether the Rangers will score a goal at home against the Oilers to end their MSG shutout streak, and if the Jets will trade Garrett Wilson, Sauce Gardner, or Breece Hall before the deadline!
BT & Sal erupt over the Jaxson Dart Effect igniting a sudden Giants resurgence, which has completely cracked open the NFC East race. They declare the Giants "on for real," dissect the brutal challenge of the upcoming Denver and Philly games, and debate a fiery trade deadline move for a superstar receiver. All of this is juxtaposed against the Jets' perpetual, planless plunge into chaos, highlighting the stark contrast in New York football. Plus, Hoff's "Bald Face" Lie segment delivers explosive trade takes on the Jets!
From 'Rico Brogna' (subscribe here): It's time for the end of the year 2025 Player grades. Evan and Hoff go through starting pitchers on this episode of Rico Brogna and put together grades. Do you think they're being fair? To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
From 'Rico Brogna' (subscribe here): It's time for the end of the year 2025 Player grades. Evan and Hoff go through position players on this episode of Rico Brogna and put together grades. Do you think they're being fair? To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices