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Join our President and CEO, Mike Affuso, as he sits down with Adam Geller, Founder and CEO of National Research Inc. for a discussion on the development of political polls and messaging, why they sometimes get it wrong, the most important polling question to ask, and more.
Mark and John talked about Trump leading in the real polls. Trump is up in the battleground states. Trump and Harris are virtually tied in Public polls and Trump has a slight lead in National Polls. Harris has received 90% positive press. Trump has 90% negative press.
The Rich Zeoli Show- Hour 1: 3:05pm- While campaigning on behalf of Kamala Harris in Georgia, former President Bill Clinton referenced Laken Riley—explaining: "You got a case in Georgia not very long ago didn't you, they made an ad about it, a young woman who had been killed by an immigrant. Yeah, well if they'd all been properly vetted that probably wouldn't have happened." Is he implying that the Biden-Harris Administration is responsible? 3:30pm- Kamala Fading in National Polls. Over the weekend, an ABC News-Ispos poll of likely voters showed that Kamala Harris currently leads Donald Trump nationally—50% to 48%. However, last month's version of that very same poll had Harris leading by 5%. Similarly, a newly released NBC News poll shows Trump and Harris tied nationally at 48%. Harris was up 5% one month earlier, according to NBC. 3:40pm- Jessie Jane Duff—Gunnery Sergeant U.S. Marine Corps (ret) & the 2024 Campaign Executive Director Veterans for Trump—joins The Rich Zeoli Show to break down the current state of the presidential race. Duff reacts to Kamala Harris's sudden dip in polling and previews Donald Trump's campaign rally in Oaks, Pennsylvania. 3:50pm- In his forthcoming book, Jonathan Alter documents how former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi worked behind the scenes to force President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race.
The Rich Zeoli Show- Hour 3: 5:00pm- On Monday night, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is scheduled to speak in Oaks, Pennsylvania. Prior to the rally one Pennsylvania voter told Fox News that the economic problems currently facing the nation are an outgrowth of the Biden-Harris Administration's policies. 5:10pm- White House spokesperson Ian Sams told Fox News that there is no tension between the Biden and Harris teams. However, a brand-new report from Axios suggests otherwise. Alex Thompson writes: “The relationship between Kamala Harris' team and Joe Biden's White House has been increasingly fraught in the final weeks before Election Day.” You can read the article here: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/13/kamala-harris-biden-campaign-tension 5:15pm- Kamala Fading in National Polls. Over the weekend, an ABC News-Ispos poll of likely voters showed that Kamala Harris currently leads Donald Trump nationally—50% to 48%. However, last month's version of that very same poll had Harris leading by 5%. Similarly, a newly released NBC News poll shows Trump and Harris tied nationally at 48%. Harris was up 5% one month earlier, according to NBC. 5:20pm- Happy Columbus Day: Vice President Kamala Harris celebrated Columbus Day by explaining: "European explorers ushered in a wave of devastation, violence, stealing land, and widespread disease" Rich argues that Tony Soprano summarized Christopher Columbus best when he said: “He discovered America is what he did. He was a brave Italian explorer. And in this house, Christopher Columbus is a hero. End of story.” 5:25pm- While appearing on MSNBC with Andrea Mitchell, Chuck Todd said he believes Republican candidate Dave McCormick could upset Sen. Bob Casey in their Pennsylvania Senate race. 5:40pm- While appearing on ABC's “This Week,” JD Vance annihilated host Marth Raddatz when she attempted to defend the Biden-Harris Administration's willingness to let Venezuelan gangs take over apartment complexes in Colorado—bizarrely arguing it was “only a handful of apartment complexes.”
The Rich Zeoli Show- Full Episode (10/14/2024): 3:05pm- While campaigning on behalf of Kamala Harris in Georgia, former President Bill Clinton referenced Laken Riley—explaining: "You got a case in Georgia not very long ago didn't you, they made an ad about it, a young woman who had been killed by an immigrant. Yeah, well if they'd all been properly vetted that probably wouldn't have happened." Is he implying that the Biden-Harris Administration is responsible? 3:30pm- Kamala Fading in National Polls. Over the weekend, an ABC News-Ispos poll of likely voters showed that Kamala Harris currently leads Donald Trump nationally—50% to 48%. However, last month's version of that very same poll had Harris leading by 5%. Similarly, a newly released NBC News poll shows Trump and Harris tied nationally at 48%. Harris was up 5% one month earlier, according to NBC. 3:40pm- Jessie Jane Duff—Gunnery Sergeant U.S. Marine Corps (ret) & the 2024 Campaign Executive Director Veterans for Trump—joins The Rich Zeoli Show to break down the current state of the presidential race. Duff reacts to Kamala Harris's sudden dip in polling and previews Donald Trump's campaign rally in Oaks, Pennsylvania. 3:50pm- In his forthcoming book, Jonathan Alter documents how former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi worked behind the scenes to force President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race. 4:00pm- Happy Columbus Day: Vice President Kamala Harris celebrated Columbus Day by explaining: "European explorers ushered in a wave of devastation, violence, stealing land, and widespread disease" Rich argues that Tony Soprano summarized Christopher Columbus best when he said: “He discovered America is what he did. He was a brave Italian explorer. And in this house, Christopher Columbus is a hero. End of story.” 4:30pm- While speaking in Greenville, North Carolina, Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris accused Donald Trump of hiding from the media because he's “too weak and unstable” to be president. But The New York Post reported: “The vice president is on track to grant the fewest interviews of any major party's presidential nominee ever—and it's not just because she entered the race historically late…By comparison, former President Donald Trump has done at least three times as many interviews in the same period, with some lasting at least an hour.” You can read the full article here: https://nypost.com/2024/09/19/us-news/anxious-kamala-harris-is-on-track-to-have-fewest-interviews-of-any-nominee-and-even-dems-are-nervous/ 5:00pm- On Monday night, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is scheduled to speak in Oaks, Pennsylvania. Prior to the rally one Pennsylvania voter told Fox News that the economic problems currently facing the nation are an outgrowth of the Biden-Harris Administration's policies. 5:10pm- White House spokesperson Ian Sams told Fox News that there is no tension between the Biden and Harris teams. However, a brand-new report from Axios suggests otherwise. Alex Thompson writes: “The relationship between Kamala Harris' team and Joe Biden's White House has been increasingly fraught in the final weeks before Election Day.” You can read the article here: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/13/kamala-harris-biden-campaign-tension 5:15pm- Kamala Fading in National Polls. Over the weekend, an ABC News-Ispos poll of likely voters showed that Kamala Harris currently leads Donald Trump nationally—50% to 48%. However, last month's version of that very same poll had Harris leading by 5%. Similarly, a newly released NBC News poll shows Trump and Harris tied nationally at 48%. Harris was up 5% one month earlier, according to NBC. 5:20pm- Happy Columbus Day: Vice President Kamala Harris celebrated Columbus Day by explaining: "European explorers ushered in a wave of devastation, violence, stealing land, and widespread disease" Rich argues that Tony Soprano summarized Christopher Columbus best when he said: “He discovered Amer ...
Hezbollah fires a rocket at the Mossad spy agency headquarters in Israel ahead of UN Security Council talks. Iran has brokered secret talks between Russia and the Houthis about Moscow potentially supplying the rebel group with missiles. We look at why national polls matter when the U.S. election hinges on voters in a handful of battleground states. And the Pacific island nation of Tuvalu will ask UN members to support its push for permanent statehood and maritime borders even as rising sea levels engulf its land. Sign up for the Reuters Econ World newsletter here. Listen to the Reuters Econ World podcast here. Find the Recommended Read here. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Former Rep. Mark Batinick, who now works with polling firm M3 Strategies, joined Springfield's Morning News Wednesday to discuss national polls and potential struggles for Republicans in Illinois this fall.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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Trump pollster John McLaughlin calls the show to discuss the national polls and why they may not be that bad for Trump. Then, Grace joins the show for Grace's News. Visit the Howie Carr Radio Network website to access columns, podcasts, and other exclusive content.
Support Us Here! --> https://anchor.fm/politicana/support Welcome to the Politicana Podcast, your go-to source for weekly political updates, analysis, and debates, often with a comedic twist. Join hosts Tyler, Prateek, and Nick as they dive into current events, world affairs, policy debates, elections, gaffes, and everything in between! Tune in every week for new episodes (Typically Monday). Follow us on your preferred podcasting platform to receive notifications whenever we release new episodes. For any comments, questions, or inquiries, reach out to us at Backofthemob@gmail.com. -- TIMESTAMPS -- 00:00 - Is Kamala Harris… Hillary Clinton 2.0? Harris Has Been Up in Every Poll in 538 Since August Has Started 18:40 - Trump vs Harris Debate Is Official ABC broke the news that Trump and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris have agreed to a debate on September 10. This sets the stage for a highly anticipated showdown in an already unprecedented election cycle. 25:10 - Trump Wants To Control The Federal Reserve Donald Trump stated on Thursday that the president should have influence over the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates. Speaking at Mar-a-Lago, Trump emphasized his belief that his financial success gives him better instincts than those at the Fed, including Chairman Jerome Powell, whom he criticized for poor timing on rate 36:00 - Joe Rogan Endorses RFK and Trump Doesn't Like It Joe Rogan's recent comments on his podcast stirred political waters when he mentioned Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the only candidate who "makes sense" to him, 46:45 - Harris is Anti Lock-Him Up Vice President Kamala Harris' decision to shut down "lock him up" chants targeting Donald Trump at recent rallies might seem like an effort to avoid the inflammatory rhetoric seen at Trump rallies in 2016. 57:00 - Tim Walz Goes From Gun Lover to Gun Hater Tim Walz's evolving stance on gun control reflects the challenges of balancing personal beliefs with political realities. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/politicana/support
“No New National Polls, Dirty Tricks” “She's No Global Leader, No Leader At All” “Incompetence & Evil All The Way Up” “Biden's Airborne Emergency”
On this week's episode of 'The Saturday Show with Jonathan Capehart': It's decision time. Vice President Harris has secured the Democratic presidential nomination and is spending this weekend interviewing potential running mates. Meanwhile Donald Trump is trying to claw back some momentum with a rally in Atlanta, as he continues to trash her intelligence. Good luck with that. Veteran political advisor Valerie Jarrett joins me with insight on Harris's VP choices, and the role of race and gender in this election. Plus, I have something to say about Trump's racist ramble at the NABJ convention where he said Kamala Harris "turned Black." Then, I'll discuss all this nonsense with Charles Coleman Jr., Danyel Smith, former Sen. Doug Jones and Tara Setmayer. Lastly, did Kamala Harris really put the parents of kids who missed school in jail? No! I'll set the record straight on what she did as San Francisco DA. All that and more on “The Saturday Show with Jonathan Capehart.”
The BBC has a "Leader's Debate" tonight but guess which Leader is excluded despite his party being 2nd in the National Polls? BUY ME A COFFEE HERE AND SUPPORT MY WORK ON THIS PODCAST! DO JOIN MY SUBSTACK HERE! This podcast is sponsored by https://www.quantumhypno.co.uk/
Andrew, Carl, and Tom discuss the latest national polls and Ezra Klein's recent New York Times piece on “Seven Theories for Why Biden is Losing”. They also chat about President Biden's commencement address at Morehouse College this weekend and the reaction to Republican Missouri Secretary of State candidate Valentina Gomez' viral video campaign. Next, they talk about Senator Marco Rubio's remarks on Sunday when he discussed mass deportation of illegal immigrants and whether he will accept the results of the 2024 election. And finally, Carl Cannon talks with RCP White House correspondent Phil Wegmann about recent polls in Florida and Arizona, as well as other swing state polls.
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#GOP: What explains that Former President Trump ties with President Biden in national polls, while former Governor Nikki Haley leads President Biden by eighteen points? @ThadMcCotter @theamgreatness https://www.ft.com/content/2e081afe-4cf8-43e8-b759-6cea94c99f90 1903
AP correspondent Charles de Ledesma reports on India Election-Temple.
On today's episode of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution's Politically Georgia podcast, hosts Bill Nigut and Tia Mitchell dive into a new poll from CNN, published overnight, that gives Donald Trump a five-point lead over President Biden in Georgia. Meanwhile, a new Wall Street Journal poll shows Donald Trump ahead of President Biden for the first time in the national race. What do these snapshots tell us as we're less than a year ahead from the election? WABE's Tharon Johnson and Sam Gringlas help break it all down. Then, Congress is headed for the holiday recess later this week without yet reaching an agreement on new funding for Israel or Ukraine. President Biden is pushing hard for a deal that will include GOP demands for new border finding. Plus, the new state legislative and U.S. House maps have been signed by Governor Kemp and are on their way to federal judge Steve Jones. Have a question for the show? Call the 24-hour Politically Georgia Podcast Hotline at 404-526-AJCP. That's 404-526-2527. We'll play back your question and answer it during the Listener Mailbag segment on next Friday's episode. Links to today's topics: CNN Polls: Trump leads Biden in Michigan and Georgia as broad majorities hold negative views of the current president Trump Takes 2024 Lead as Biden Approval Hits New Low, WSJ Poll Finds Kemp signs Georgia's Republican redistricting into law Subscribe to the AJC: If you aren't a subscriber to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, click here to get unlimited digital access to the AJC. Listen and subscribe to our podcast for free at Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen to podcasts. You can also tell your smart speaker to “play Politically Georgia podcast.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Ryan is in once again for Dan and shares the good news of new polls showing a consistent trend line of Trump having the edge on Biden. Also, credit where credit is due, House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) deserves credit for speaking forcefully and eloquently about his support for Israel in their war against Hamas. Finally, Stephen L. Miller (@redsteeze on X/Twitter) joins the fray to break down 'Neocon' Nikki Haley's latest misstep in calling for social media platforms to dox their own users, TikTokers voicing support for Osama bin Laden's 'letter to America' in the wake of the 9/11 attacks, and the dust-up over at The Daily Wire between employee Candace Owens and founder Ben Shapiro over Israel.
Henry Lake starts off the show saying there are some national polls that you have to take with a grain of salt, and Henry Lake talks with Cretin-Derham Hall baseball star PJ Jones about his decision to play college baseball at Maryland.
4th Indictment Sends Trump Surging in National Polls; Now Consistently Ahead of Biden as Americans See Through the Political Corruption
Trump leads Biden in a national poll of all registered voters. 44% for Trump. 43% for Biden. 14% still undecided.See omny.fm/listener for privacy information.
Topics include: 1)Unsealed court documents revealed that the FBI abused digital surveillance powers nearly 300K times within two years by utilizing Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, designed to look for foreign intelligence or terrorist activity.2) The Marine Subway Hero Daniel Penny speaks out for the first time, after being wrongfully charged for the death of Jordan Neely.3)Biden is suggesting that he's willing to unlawfully use the 14th Amendment to raise the debt ceiling.4)The NAACP board of directors issued a statement warning blacks that Florida is “openly hostile” to blacks. Meanwhile, the board's chairman, Leon-Russell, lives in Florida. WATCH AND SUBSCRIBE TO OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL https://www.youtube.com/@carljacksonshowandblog More: www.TheCarljacksonshow.com Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thecarljacksonshow Twitter: https://twitter.com/carljacksonshow Parler: https://parler.com/carljacksonshowSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Topics include: 1)Unsealed court documents revealed that the FBI abused digital surveillance powers nearly 300K times within two years by utilizing Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, designed to look for foreign intelligence or terrorist activity.2) The Marine Subway Hero Daniel Penny speaks out for the first time, after being wrongfully charged for the death of Jordan Neely.3)Biden is suggesting that he's willing to unlawfully use the 14th Amendment to raise the debt ceiling.4)The NAACP board of directors issued a statement warning blacks that Florida is “openly hostile” to blacks. Meanwhile, the board's chairman, Leon-Russell, lives in Florida. WATCH AND SUBSCRIBE TO OUR YOUTUBE CHANNEL https://www.youtube.com/@carljacksonshowandblog More: www.TheCarljacksonshow.com Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thecarljacksonshow Twitter: https://twitter.com/carljacksonshow Parler: https://parler.com/carljacksonshowSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
East Carolina went 4-1 this past week, including a weekend sweep of Missouri State, to improve to 16-4 on the season. Yet the Pirates didn't rise in the D1Baseball poll, and were jumped by two teams. The Hoist The Colours crew discusses the week that was and the disrespect the Pirates are potentially getting early in the season. The guys also discuss the strong weekend starting pitching, the standout play of Josh Moylan and Jacob Starling, and the resurgence of Lane Hoover, along with taking questions from the audience. Rate and subscribe to Hoist the Colours on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or Google podcasts. Host: Stephen Igoe Co-Host: Scott Lorbacher Co-Host: Jonathan Wagner This is a podcast centered around East Carolina athletics and recruiting, hosted by Hoist The Colours publisher Stephen Igoe, bringing you game reactions, in-depth analysis, and breaking recruiting news. NOTE: Intro music provided by Assassin's Creed Black Flag To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Highlights: “You want to see one of the headlines from The Atlantic that just came out? - 'Why the red wave hit New York: Inflation, crime, and redistricting tinted a blue state red.'” “In the era of mail-in ballots, we are officially robbed of the spectacle enjoyment of midterm elections or even presidential elections for that matter... We knew who the winner was within hours of the polls closing. But now that's over." “Election day is gone, welcome to election month, for heaven's sake. “Democrats and Republicans, they now agree, we are looking at a Republican-controlled House... We have won the legislative battle.” “To make it even sweeter, we crushed the two darlings of the Democratic Party, their presidential contenders, Stacey Abrams and Beto O'Rourke.” “Trump endorsed 235 candidates, 219 won. 93% success rate.” Timestamps: [02:00] On a piece from the National Polls on how the left wants us to believe there is no red wave and why they're doing it [07:00] How the spectacle enjoyment of the election day is gone; what happened to our election system [10:31] How the GOP is going to take the House and how the Democrats will be toast in 2024 when it comes to the Senate [16:00] On the major GOP wins across the nation [24:36] What is all the banter with Donald Trump in light of all these Trump-led wins [38:13] Q&A Resources: Download your Ebooks and Dr. Steve's personal research sources and his list of woke alternatives for FREE at https://www.drsteveblueprints.com 1256 Something BIG Is Happening!!! Get Over 66% OFF All of Mike Lindell's Products using code TURLEY: https://www.mypillow.com/turley SAVE OVER 25% OFF your 1-Month Emergency Food Supply Kit here! SAVE OVER 25% OFF your 1-Month Emergency Food Supply Kit here! Http://GetReadyWithSteve.com Learn how to protect your life savings from inflation and an irresponsible government, with Gold and Silver. Go to http://www.turleytalkslikesgold.com/ Get 25% off Patriotic Coffee and ALL ITEMS with Code TURLEY at https://mystore.com/turley See how much your small business can get back from Big Gov (up to $26k per employee!) at https://ercspecialists.com/initial-survey?fpr=turley Join Dr. Steve's Exclusive Membership in the Insiders Club and watch content he can't discuss on YouTube during his weekly Monday night show!: https://insidersclub.turleytalks.com/welcome Get Your Brand-New PATRIOT T-Shirts and Merch Here: https://store.turleytalks.com/ It's time to CHANGE AMERICA and Here's YOUR OPPORTUNITY To Do Just That! https://change.turleytalks.com/ Fight Back Against Big Tech Censorship! Sign-up here to discover Dr. Steve's different social media options …. but without censorship! https://www.turleytalks.com/en/alternative-media.com Thank you for taking the time to listen to this episode. If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and/or leave a review. Do you want to be a part of the podcast and be our sponsor? Click here to partner with us and defy liberal culture! If you would like to get lots of articles on conservative trends make sure to sign-up for the 'New Conservative Age Rising' Email Alerts.
National's leader Judith Collins says she will never resign from her position - even if the party's support sinks below 20 percent. The declaration comes as dissatisfaction at her performance grows in the caucus - with two recent polls registering a dismal result. Aanei te kai ripoata a Craig McCulloch, our deputy political editor.
With the Lies of lies and failure after failure. The Biden Administration has lost all credibility. Today we examine the polls showing the majority of Americans 52% feel Biden should resign, 60% feel if the is no resignation he should be impeached. And with a list of other news worthy topics. I will also discuss mandates on the education system happening in a town near you. And the return of the stupid policies being once again enforced in Ohio by Gov. Mike Dewine AKA (Grarth Wayne's World). --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/charles-nash6/message
Episode sponsored by Tidelift: https://tidelift.com/ (tidelift.com) We already mentioned multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP, or Mister P) on this podcast, but we didn’t dedicate a full episode to explaining how it works, why it’s useful to deal with non-representative data, and what its limits are. Well, let’s do that now, shall we? To that end, I had the delight to talk with Lauren Kennedy! Lauren is a lecturer in Business Analytics at Monash University in Melbourne, Australia, where she develops new statistical methods to analyze social science data. Working mainly with R and Stan, Lauren studies non-representative data, multilevel modeling, post-stratification, causal inference, and, more generally, how to make inferences from the social sciences. Needless to say that I asked her everything I could about MRP, including how to choose priors, why her recent paper about structured priors can improve MRP, and when MRP is not useful. We also talked about missing data imputation, and how all these methods relate to causal inference in the social sciences. If you want a bit of background, Lauren did her Undergraduates in Psychological Sciences and Maths and Computer Sciences at Adelaide University, with Danielle Navarro and Andrew Perfors, and then did her PhD with the same advisors. She spent 3 years in NYC with Andrew Gelman’s Lab at Columbia University, and then moved back to Melbourne in 2020. Most importantly, Lauren is an adept of crochet — she’s already on her third blanket! Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work at https://bababrinkman.com/ (https://bababrinkman.com/) ! Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible! Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Brian Huey, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, Adam Bartonicek, William Benton, Alan O'Donnell, Mark Ormsby, Demetri Pananos, James Ahloy, Jon Berezowski, Robin Taylor, Thomas Wiecki, Chad Scherrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, Nathaniel Neitzke, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Elea McDonnell Feit, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Joshua Duncan, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, George Ho, Colin Carroll and Nathaniel Burbank. Visit https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats) to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;) Links from the show: Lauren's website: https://jazzystats.com/ (https://jazzystats.com/) Lauren on Twitter: https://twitter.com/jazzystats (https://twitter.com/jazzystats) Lauren on GitHub: https://github.com/lauken13 (https://github.com/lauken13) Improving multilevel regression and poststratification with structured priors: https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.06716 (https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.06716) Using model-based regression and poststratification to generalize findings beyond the observed sample: https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.11323 (https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.11323) Lauren's beginners Bayes workshop: https://github.com/lauken13/Beginners_Bayes_Workshop (https://github.com/lauken13/Beginners_Bayes_Workshop) MRP in RStanarm: https://github.com/lauken13/rstanarm/blob/master/vignettes/mrp.Rmd (https://github.com/lauken13/rstanarm/blob/master/vignettes/mrp.Rmd) Choosing your rstanarm prior with prior predictive checks: https://github.com/stan-dev/rstanarm/blob/vignette-prior-predictive/vignettes/prior-pred.Rmd (https://github.com/stan-dev/rstanarm/blob/vignette-prior-predictive/vignettes/prior-pred.Rmd) Mister P -- What’s its secret sauce?: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2013/10/09/mister-p-whats-its-secret-sauce/ (https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2013/10/09/mister-p-whats-its-secret-sauce/) Bayesian Multilevel Estimation with Poststratification -- State-Level Estimates from National Polls: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/2008/bee9f8c2d7e41ac9c5c54489f41989a0d7ba.pdf... Support this podcast
Jenna VanSickle and Cara Mooney talk about the latest college hockey polls, playoff plans for each conference, and playoff wall-up songs.
East Coast Craft Beers and National Polls — we met up through Zoom with Pollster Matt McDermott so he could explain to us what actually happens with polling. We discover that Nate Silver is not a pollster while also discovering that America has been using polls incorrectly for years! Matt teaches us that polling does matter and we somehow work Ina Garten and L. Ron Hubbard into the conversation. This was a remarkably productive interview that deserves a listen or two.
On this edition of The Sports King Show, I give a full recap of all of the NFL games and top performers from this past weekend. We then segue to the Joe Moglia Report with our resident financial and coaching expert Joe Moglia. We discuss the undefeated Coastal Carolina Chanticleers football team and discuss if he feels they can continue to rise in the National Polls. We close out the show with a preview of the Monday Night Game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New York Giants. The Sports King Show airs every morning LIVE Monday-Friday 7am-8am eastern time. www.sportskingradio.com
What a mess! On this episode, we talk about the state of the United States. Tristan and I talk about the ongoing U.S election, we talk about several different results from key states, the different scenarios that could take place. And most importantly, we talk about why the U.S needs to abolish the electoral college. Take Action to urge state Governors to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact now!
National polls had Joe Biden beating President Trump in a landslide but Trump's base is proving them wrong. The Hill Columnist Dr. Keith Naughton explains how polls are taken, theorizes how the polls got it wrong, and discusses how polling companies can be more accurate in the future.
More than 74 million voters have cast their early ballots with only 6 days to go until the presidential election. That number represents more than half of the total number of votes cast in the 2016 Presidential Election. Covid-19 cases are steadily rising in the United States. On Wednesday, the death toll rose to more than 227,000 people, along with 8.8 million cases. Dr. Anthony Fauci says, a coronavirus vaccine will not be available until January 2021 at the “earliest”. Despite the rise in cases, the White House lists ending the pandemic as one of the Trump administration's accomplishments. The White House made the claim in a press release Wednesday. President Trump is fighting to hold on to Arizona, a key battleground state and a Covid-19 hot spot. Wednesday. Many of his supporters weren't wearing masks or social distancing. Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden is attacking the President's record on his handling of the coronavirus pandemic. While campaigning in his home state of Delaware Wednesday, he said in part, the White House's claim that Mr. Trump ended the pandemic was an "insult to every American who lost a loved one to the virus... " National Polls still show Biden in the lead. To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy
National polls versus the battleground state polls -- what to believe? Why it's important to know the price of a bushel of soybeans. And, of course, Ben Sasse.
Penn State's wide receivers are looking to prove their critics wrong. Pat Freiermuth explains why he returned to Penn State for his junior season. Sean Clifford and Kirk Ciarrocca are working well together. And Penn State moves up to No. 8 in this week's Amway Coaches Poll. We’ll break down those headlines on this edition of The Penn State Update. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
The election is just a month and a half away and every day they release new national polls. However, there's one thing I've noticed about nearly every one of these polls. It truly seems that everyone...
Today I talk a little bit about some of the pulling that has been done recently showing that Joe Biden is clearly winning in many states and also in national polls. Obviously with the debates coming up you might see things change in Donald Trump’s favor if he performs well and Joe Biden does not exceed expectations. I also take a look at Bob Woodward’s bombshell news which I don’t think really is that much of a bombshell against Donald Trump. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/eyeon2020/support
On The Rampage w/ Don Lichterman discusses the White 'Black Live Matters' kids in the woman's face at dinner, the 'Perception' Campaign Platform on display at the RNC Convention, the Doc Rivers press conference, the 'I Don't Like' Vote, Many kids shot by cops (like the on in Ohio from a few years ago), how Trump can pull off upset, State Polls, Swing State Polls vs National Polls, Hillary's numbers vs Biden's numbers today, Hard Knox: Los Angeles, Tracy Tutor and "It was a black man" (fleeing the scene...Plus, much more are discussed today!
Joe Biden has been leading President Trump in national polls for the past few weeks. Politico National Political Reporter David Siders discusses why with John Howell.
National polls all around the country have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump by at least a few points. Political consultant, advisor to President Clinton and NYC Mayor Mike Bloomberg, and author Doug Schoen discusses President Trump's chances of winning in November with John Howell.
On this episode, Graham and the crew are joined by Trump's National Press Secretary Hogan Gidley. National polls show Trump behind, but are they accurate? What's next for the Trump campaign? Also, NFL players warn of a potential stoppage to this season. KillCliff.com CODE: Graham ExpressVPN.com/Graham PatriotMobile.com/Graham America316.com
Chase Parham and Neal McCready discuss Ole Miss basketball's win over Vanderbilt and the 4-0 week for the baseball team that vaulted the Rebels to No. 9 in the national polls.
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Andrew Yang has a very strong twitter community. In this episode of GangRelated, Scott Santens joins and we discuss Andrew Yang's success, and the rise of the YangGang community. Donate to Andrew Yang!: Links!
Heads roll over Nazi-salute photo in DOC, top man at State Parks retires, Gordman's to open stores across West Virginia, West Virginia ready to ring in the New Year, in Sports plenty of bowl games coming your way and WVU basketball rises in the National Polls. These stories and more in today's episode.
Penn State falls in the Associated Press and Coaches polls. Penn State’s defense was outwitted and outplayed by Minnesota. PennLive’s Bob Flounders grades the Lions in their loss to the Gophers, and Greg Pickel comes to the defense of offensive coordinator Ricky Rahne. We’ll cover all those headlines on this edition of The Penn State Update podcast. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Mexico's Murderous Drug Cartels Are Winning; Democrats Take False Comfort from National Polls as Trump Electoral College Reelection Looks Likely; An Alarming New Report on Global Warming backgroundbriefing.org/donate twitter.com/ianmastersmedia facebook.com/ianmastersmedia
Penn State is moving up again in the national polls following a win over Michigan. Why did James Franklin freeze out freshman RB Noah Cain? Jim Harbaugh has some choice words for the officials, And Penn State is getting another Clifford on campus in 2021. We’ll cover all those headlines today on The Penn State Update podcast. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Here's why the Brexit Party may overturn Britain as well as Brussels!!!
Kylor, Lawrence, & (briefly) Matthew talk about what went down in Week One, How accurate the new National Polls, and What Games to Watch in Week 2.
The Wisconsin governor's race is starting to draw broader attention. Some recent national polls show Democratic candidate Tony Evers ahead of Republican Gov. Scott Walker in hypothetical head-to-head matchups.
Donal recaps games from Week 2 and takes a look at the BOXTOROW Coaches and Media Polls.
This episode of the Orange and the Green Podcast talks about the Oswego State Men's Ice Hockey Team after their win over Fredonia and loss to Buffalo State last weekend. I also talk about the SUNYAC and National Polls and whether or not they affect the Lakers in any way, plus a recap of the 1st half of the season and a look ahead into the second half. Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah, and Merry/Happy Kwanzaa!
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump rises above Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton and independent candidate Evan McMullin in Utah, according to national polls. Incumbent Republican Gov. Gary Herbert holds nearly a 40-point lead over Democratic challenger Mike Weinholtz as election day approaches. And Utah Republican Rep. Jason Chaffetz says he's received death threats over comments made about a new FBI investigation into Hillary Clinton's emails.
’I Can Feel the Bern’ by Scott B Adams, National Polls, Even in Nevada, Growing in South Carolina, Leading in Massachusetts, Kissinger is Not My Friend, Serious on Foreign Policy, Money Influence, MI Nurses Association, Crime Bill, Violence Against Women Act, Medicare For All Numbers, Bernie Has Already Won, 'I feel the Bern' by James Tuttle.