Podcasts about The Stimson Center

Today on The Gist, the alarming strategic ramifications of the $300 billion in indirect Gulf state investments heading to Iran as a ceasefire condition. Then, foreign policy expert Michael A. Cohen of the Stimson Center joins the show to discuss his co-authored report evaluating the hidden costs, failures, and hubris of recent U.S. military campaigns in Venezuela and Iran. Cohen breaks down why the Trump administration completely failed to anticipate second-order consequences like the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, how the precision assassination of the Ayatollah counterproductively empowered pro-nuclear hardliners, and how Benjamin Netanyahu's domestic military overreach in Lebanon completely alienated his superpower benefactor. Produced by Corey Wara Video and Social Media by Geoff Craig Do you have questions or comments, or just want to say hello? Email us at ⁠⁠⁠⁠thegist@mikepesca.com For full Pesca content and updates, check out our website at https://www.mikepesca.com/⁠ For ad-free content or to become a Pesca Plus subscriber, check out ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://subscribe.mikepesca.com/ For Mike's daily takes on Substack, subscribe to The Gist List https://mikepesca.substack.com/ Follow us on Social Media:⁠⁠⁠⁠ YouTube https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC4_bh0wHgk2YfpKf4rg40_g⁠⁠⁠⁠ Instagram https://www.instagram.com/pescagist/ X https://x.com/pescami TikTok https://www.tiktok.com/@pescagist To advertise on the show, contact ⁠⁠⁠⁠sales@amplitudemediapartners.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Ohio Auditor Candidates In November, when voters go to the polls, they'll be voting on every statewide executive office in Ohio, one of those being auditor of state. The two candidates for that position are the current Secretary of State, Republican, Frank LaRose, and the Mayor of Maple Heights, Democrat, Annette Blackwell. They recently spoke at forums organized by the Akron Press Club. We'll bring you excerpts from that on Monday's "Sound of Ideas." You can watch the entirety of LaRose's speech here. You can watch the entirety of Blackwell's speech here. Guests: - Frank LaRose, Secretary of State; Candidate, Ohio Auditor - Annette Blackwell, Mayor of Maple Heights; Candidate, Ohio Auditor Foreign Relations with India Then, we turn our attention to international affairs and look at U.S.-India relations. The most populous country is home to a quickly growing economy, and could be a major player in global policies, from immigration to trade, over the coming decades. Akriti Kalyankar, a woman who worked as a journalist in India, is now coming to speak in Northeast Ohio on Thursday, at the invitation of the Cleveland Council on World Affairs. You can find out more about Kalyankar's appearance here. Guest: - Akriti Kalyankar, Fellow, Stimson Center

Myanmar ist einer der wichtigsten Lieferanten der Welt für Seltene Erden. Die werden zum Beispiel für die Produktion von Elektroautos und Wärmepumpen gebraucht – auch von deutschen Unternehmen. Doch für die Menschen im angrenzenden Thailand ist der Bergbau eine Katastrophe: Flüsse in der Region sind von Schwermetallen verseucht. Christiane Justus aus dem ARD-Studio Singapur ist in die Region gereist und hat mit Betroffenen und Wissenschaftlern gesprochen. Sie erzählt in dieser 11KM-Folge, wie eine ganze Region um ihre Lebensgrundlage bangt und wieso niemand Verantwortung für die Umweltschäden übernimmt. Hier geht's zum Weltspiegel-Film “Thailand: Seltene Erden gegen Menschen“ von Christiane Justus: https://www.ardmediathek.de/video/weltspiegel/thailand-seltene-erden-gegen-menschen/br/Y3JpZDovL2JyLmRlL2Jyb2FkY2FzdC81MzMzMWE4MC03Nzg0LTQwOGYtYjI2MS1kZjBlMjlmYTI5Zjlfb25saW5lYnJvYWRjYXN0L3NlY3Rpb24vNTMzMzFhODAtNzc4NC00MDhmLWIyNjEtZGYwZTI5ZmEyOWY5 Auch in der Demokratischen Republik Kongo betreiben Milizen lukrative Minen – und profitieren vom Export in die ganze Welt. In dieser früheren 11KM-Folge “Minen und Macht” schauen wir auf den andauernden Bürgerkrieg im Kongo: https://1.ard.de/11KM_Rohstoffe_Ostkongo Hier geht's zu “Die OpenAI Story”, unserem Podcast-Tipp: https://www.deutschlandfunk.de/die-peter-thiel-story-100.html Diese und viele weitere Folgen von 11KM findet ihr überall da, wo es Podcasts gibt, auch hier in ARD Sounds: https://www.ardsounds.de/sendung/11km-der-tagesschau-podcast/urn:ard:show:4549910994dc2464/ An dieser Folge waren beteiligt: Folgenautor: Jakob Marlon Müller Mitarbeit: Niklas Münch, Lukas Waschbüsch Host: David Krause Produktion: Konrad Winkler, Timo Lindemann, Christine Dreyer Planung: Laura Stuhlmacher, Nicole Dienemann und Hardy Funk Distribution: Kerstin Ammermann Redaktionsleitung: Yasemin Yüksel und Fumiko Lipp 11KM: der tagesschau-Podcast wird produziert von BR24 und NDR Info. Die redaktionelle Verantwortung für diese Episode liegt beim BR.

Dr. David Bray is one of those rare humans who has done so much, across so many high-stakes arenas, that his bio almost reads like fiction. David is Chair of the Accelerator at the Loomis Council and a Distinguished Fellow with the Stimson Center. He is a Principal at LeadDoAdapt Ventures, and was previously the Executive Director of a bipartisan National Commission on R&D.At 15 years old, he got a job offer from the U.S. government after he built a program to track the ozone layer's deterioration - you'll hear more of that crazy story. And his non-partisan, solutions-first DNA? It wasn't an accident — it was baked in from childhood.Dr. Bray helps leaders and organizations understand how geopolitics shapes technology and how technology reshapes geopolitics. Because in today's world, you simply cannot understand one without the other.And why government should NOT be run as a business.We cover a lot of ground, all with a bent toward how empathy and collaboration across diverse points of view lead to more creative solutions. If you care about where technology, humanity, and democracy are headed, and how empathetic leadership just might save all three, listen in.To access the episode transcript, go to www.TheEmpathyEdge.com, search by episode title.Listen in for…Why AI is neither doomsday nor utopia — and what it actually is and isn't capable ofThe actual neuroscience behind why we see the world differently — and how laughter helps us truly listenWhy unexpected voices at the table can change everythingWhy the government cannot and should not be run like a business!The science of making decisions together - how to get from "me" to "we"And a novel, genuinely hopeful solution for getting us back to compromise and common ground"When humans feel stressed, doomsdayism becomes almost a fad, and I think it's more symbolic of that than it is the reality of the situation." — Dr. David BrayReferences:MIT Report on the human skills required to complement AIThe Empathy Edge:Dr. Claire Yorke: Can Empathy Fix Broken Politics?About Dr. David Bray, Chair of the Accelerator, Stimson Center, and Principal, LeadDoAdapt Ventures:Dr. David A. Bray is Chair of the Accelerator at the Loomis Council and a Distinguished Fellow with the Stimson Center. He is also a non-resident Distinguished Fellow with the Business Executives for National Security, and a CEO and transformation leader for different “under the radar” tech and data ventures seeking to get started in novel situations. He is Principal at LeadDoAdapt Ventures and has served in a variety of leadership roles in turbulent environments, including bioterrorism preparedness and response from 2000 to 2005. Dr. Bray previously was the Executive Director for a bipartisan National Commission on R&D, provided non-partisan leadership as a federal agency Senior Executive, worked with the U.S. Navy and Marines on improving organizational adaptability, and aided the U.S. Special Operations Command's J5 Directorate on the challenges of countering disinformation online. He has received both the Joint Civilian Service Commendation Award and the National Intelligence Exceptional Achievement Medal. Business Insider named him one of the top “24 Americans Who Are Changing the World” under 40, and he was named a Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum. For twelve different startups, he has served in President, CEO, Chief Strategy Officer, and Strategic Advisor roles.Connect with David:Stimson Center: stimson.org/ppl/david-brayLinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/dbrayMore from David: cxotalk.com/bio/dr-david-a-bray-distinguished-chair-of-the-accelerator-stimson-center Connect with Maria:Get Maria's books: Red-Slice.com/booksHire Maria to speak: Red-Slice.com/Speaker-Maria-RossTake the LinkedIn Learning Courses! Leading with Empathy and Balancing Empathy, Accountability, and Results as a LeaderLinkedIn: Maria RossInstagram: @redslicemariaFacebook: Red SliceGet your copy of The Empathy Dilemma here- www.theempathydilemma.com

Hey BillOReilly.com Premium and Concierge Members, welcome to the No Spin News for Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Stand Up for Your Country.  Talking Points Memo: Iran is winning the PR war after Trump faces pushback about his comments about the Pope. Rumors of more talks to come between the U.S. and Iran on day 2 of the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. Dr. Olli Heinonen, Distinguished Fellow at the Stimson Center, joins the No Spin News to provide insight on Iran's nuclear program and how it should be addressed going forward. Controversial new immigration status law in Florida explained. Rep. Tony Gonzalez (R-TX) joins Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) in stepping down due to calls to resign in the wake of sexual misconduct scandals. Final Thought: Temperatures are heating up, the No Spin News is coming to you from Florida tomorrow. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Donald Trump was threatening to wipe out ‘a whole civilisation', then about an hour before his deadline the US president announced a ceasefire deal had been struck with Iran. Iran and the United States will now spend two weeks negotiating a peace plan, but it seems there's little they can agree on.Today, Barbara Slavin, distinguished fellow at the Stimson Center on why Trump ‘blinked' and what comes next.Featured: Barbara Slavin, distinguished fellow at the Stimson Center in Washington and a lecturer in international affairs at George Washington University

Randa Slim, distinguished Fellow and Middle East Program Director at the Stimson Center in Washington DC.

He's sending more troops to the Middle East, while insisting the war in Iran is nearly over. So is Donald Trump preparing to pull out or digging in? If the US steps back, it's signalled other countries could be left to secure the Strait of Hormuz-- a vital global oil route-- on their own.Today, defence strategist Kelly A. Grieco on why whatever comes next, the chaos is far from over.Featured:Kelly A. Grieco, Senior Fellow with the Reimagining US Grand Strategy Program at the Stimson Center

In this episode we host Ava Shen to unpack the dynamics of Taiwanese politics, the role of the DPP, KMT, and TPP, and how cross-strait tensions shape both domestic discourse and international perceptions. The conversation explores disinformation, shifting political priorities among younger voters, and key misunderstandings in the West about Taiwan and its strategic environment.Ava Shen covers Taiwan and Chinese foreign policy and domestic politics at Eurasia Group. Previously, she interned at Rhodium Group, conducting economic research on China and Taiwan. She also worked as a research assistant at the Stimson Center, focusing on Chinese foreign policy in Asia and China-West Africa cooperation on maritime environmental issues. The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter. The International Risk Podcast is sponsored by Conducttr, a realistic crisis exercise platform. Conducttr offers crisis exercising software for corporates, consultants, humanitarian, and defence & security clients. Visit Conducttr to learn more.Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe's leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe's leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe's business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. Dominic equips today's business leaders with the insight and confidence to lead through disruption and deliver sustained strategic advantage.The International Risk Podcast – Reducing risk by increasing knowledge.Subscribe for all our updates!Tell us what you liked!Tell us what you liked!

Business and finance news from the Asia-Pacific. President Donald Trump said the US would postpone strikes against Iran's energy infrastructure after what he called "productive conversations" with the country, in comments that spurred confusion over the participants in the talks and parameters of a deal. For more on the market reaction, we heard from Suresh Tantia, Head CIO Asia Equity Strategy at UBS Global Wealth Management. He spoke to Bloomberg's Haidi Stroud-Watts and Shery Ahn. Plus - for more analysis on President Trump's latest announcement on Iran, we heard from Randa Slim, Middle East Program Lead at the Stimson Center. She spoke to Bloomberg's Haidi Stroud-Watts and Shery Ahn. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In episode 55, Barbara Slavin and Nilo Tabrizy tuned in to discuss the war in Iran, how it came to be, how likely it is to end, as well as OSINT. Now streaming on all platforms.Episode on YouTube: youtu.be/wOBl0aB4ddMBarbara Slavin is a Distinguished Fellow at The Stimson Center and former founding director of the Future of Iran Initiative at the Atlantic Council's Rafik Hariri Center & Middle East Programs. She has been covering the Middle East since the 1980s. Slavin also wrote the obituary for Iranian leader Ali Khamenei in Foreign Policy following his decapitation during the war.Nilo Tabrizy is a journalist and writer. Previously, she was a reporter on the visual forensics team at The Washington Post, utilizing open source reporting methods in her investigations with a focus on covering Iran. She is the co-author of For the Sun After Long Nights, a book about the 2022 Iranian women-led uprising. She also worked for The New York Times and VICE News.

Is Time Really Linear? with Julia Mossbridge Julia Mossbridge, PhD, is a cognitive neuroscientist focused on understanding and training exceptional human performance including psi effects such as precognition, technological intuition, human-AI teaming, time, and accessing unconditional love. She is the co-founder and Board Chair of TILT: The Institute for Love and Time, Senior Distinguished Fellow in Human Potential at the Center for the Future of AI, Mind, and Society at Florida Atlantic University, Affiliate Professor in the Department of Biophysics and Physics at University of San Diego, Senior Data+Intuition Consultant at Tangible IQ, a member of the Alfred Lee Loomis Innovation Council at the Stimson Center, and the founder of Mossbridge Institute. Julia is author and coauthor of numerous books and scientific articles, including Transcendent Mind: Rethinking the Science of Consciousness with Imants Baruss; The Calling: A 12-Week Science-Based Program to Discover, Energize, and Engage Your Soul’s Work; The Premonition Code: The Science of Precognition, How Sensing the Future Can Change Your Life Paperback; and Have a Nice Disclosure. Her website is juliamossbridge.com Julia describes her research that explores the relationship between photons and time, “Replication and Characterization of the Causally Ambiguous Duration-Sorting (CADS) Effect”, that builds on the double-slit experiment. Through her exploration of bosonic particles, consciousness, and the past, present, and future, she suggests that the nature of time may be more like a braid than linear. By equating the informational substrate of the universe, that connects everything, with unconditional love, she demonstrates a connection of science and spirituality. 00:00:00 Introduction 00:03:42 Causally ambiguous research 00:05:08 The double-slit experiment and interference pattern 00:13:08 Collapsing the wave function 00:15:50 Presentiment or retrocausality 00:20:31 Time and space 00:29:36 Consciousness and universal love 00:34:50 The physics of love 00:50:05 Photons and mind-like particles 00:54:04 The past and future are in the present. 00:57:45 Conclusion New Thinking Allowed CoHost, Emmy Vadnais, OTR/L, is a licensed occupational therapist, intuitive healer and coach, and spiritual guide based in St. Paul, Minnesota. Emmy is the founder of the Intuitive Connections and Holistic OT communities. She is the author of Intuitive Development: How to Trust Your Inner Knowing for Guidance With Relationships, Health, and Spirituality. Her website is https://emmyvadnais.com (Recorded on January 23, 2026) For a short video on How to Get the Most From New Thinking Allowed, go to • InPresence 0253: How to Get the Most From … Check out our new website for the New Thinking Allowed Foundation at http://www.newthinkingallowed.org. There you will find our incredible, searchable database as well as our new, FREE QUARTERLY MAGAZINE. Also, opportunities to shop and to support our video productions. There, you can also subscribe to our FREE, WEEKLY NEWSLETTER! For a complete, updated list with links to all of our videos, see https://newthinkingallowed.com/Listin…. Check out New Thinking Allowed’s AI chatbot. You can create a free account at https://ai.servicespace.org When you enter the space, you will see that our chatbot is one of several you can interact with. While it is still a work in progress, it has been trained on 1,600 NTA transcripts. It can provide intelligent answers about the contents of our interviews. It’s almost like having a conversation with Jeffrey Mishlove. To buy a high-quality, printed version of the New Thinking Allowed Magazine, go to nta-magazine.magcloud.com. To join the NTA Psi Experience Community on Facebook, see / 1953031791426543 . To download and listen to audio versions of the New Thinking Allowed videos, visit our podcast at https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/n…. Download and read Jeffrey Mishlove’s Grand Prize essay in the Bigelow Institute competition, Beyond the Brain: The Survival of Human Consciousness After Permanent Bodily Death. https://www.bigelowinstitute.org/docs… If you would like to join our team of volunteers, helping to promote the New Thinking Allowed YouTube channel on social media, editing and translating videos, creating short video trailers based on our interviews, helping to upgrade our website, or contributing in other ways (we may not even have thought of), please send an email to friends@newthinkingallowed.com. To order Intuitive Development by Emmy Vadnais, click here: https://amzn.to/35sbLIA. To order New Thinking Allowed Dialogues: Is There Life After Death? click on https://amzn.to/3LzLA7Y To order Russell Targ: Ninety Years of ESP, Remote Viewing, and Timeless Awareness, go to https://amzn.to/4aw2iyr To order UFOs and UAP – Are We Really Alone?, go to https://amzn.to/3Y0VOVh To order a copy of Charles T. Tart: Seventy Years of Exploring Consciousness and Parapsychology, go to https://amzn.to/4oOUJLn

What's the impact of the war in Iran on China? The two countries are close trading partners.Yet, Beijing has largely stayed away from lending any support to Tehran. But what does China stand to lose in this latest conflict in the Middle East? In this episode: Shaun RHINE, Founder and Managing Director, China Market Research Group. Barbara Slavin, Distinguished Fellow, Stimson Center. Hassan Ahmadian, Associate Professor, University of Tehran. Host: James Bays Connect with us: @AJEPodcasts on X, Instagram, Facebook, and YouTube

To understand the significance of the sweeping military purges in China and how Beijing is reacting to America's war with Iran, I'm sitting down with eminent China scholar Robert Suettinger, a former CIA and State Department intelligence analyst, a senior advisor at The Stimson Center, and author of “The Conscience of the Party: Hu Yaobang, China's Communist Reformer.”“There's no question of the fact that Xi Jinping is now less of a dominant leader than he was six or eight months ago,” Suettinger says.Earlier this year, Xi purged two top generals from the CCP's military brass, on the heels of earlier purges last year. Now, only two of the originally seven members of the Central Military Commission remain. One of them is Xi himself; the other one, General Zhang Shengmin, is a political commander and has, like Xi, no combat experience.After the January purges, Xi issued an order to the military demanding that everyone acknowledge him as the head of the military commission. “The silence from all those military commands has been deafening and has been noticed by everybody,” Suettinger says.In the Chinese Communist Party itself, Xi is also facing trouble.The CCP is not a monolithic party, he told me, but a complex entity with many competing factions: “There's a Shanghai group, there's a Shandong group, there's a Shaanxi group, and they all don't like each other,” Suettinger says.Suettinger believes that Xi's many purges have unified opposition against him not only in the military but also within the Communist Party. “Xi is hated by almost everybody in China,” he said.Another reason the cracks in the system, as he put it, are beginning to be more evident, is that the Chinese economy hasn't been doing well in many years: “The Chinese people are very unhappy that their wealth opportunities are disappearing. Graduates coming out of colleges are not able to find good jobs. People who have good jobs are losing them. People who are operating in the gig economy are losing their jobs. The farmers don't have anything to do when they go back home.”People outside of China don't usually know how poor vast numbers of Chinese citizens still are, Suettinger told me. China's Premier Li Keqiang himself stated in May 2020 during a press conference that 600 million people live below the poverty line and don't even earn enough to rent a room in mid-sized Chinese cities.Where is China's totalitarian system headed? The system, Suettinger argued, is way more fragile than it looks. “It is brittle, and when it breaks, it tends to break hard, and it tends to melt in ways that are not predictable,” he said.Notably, the CCP has not come out to meaningfully support its longtime ally, Iran. The CCP has long utilized Iran to distract America and keep its focus on the Middle East, Suettinger says, but now, to Beijing's chagrin, America is effectively neutralizing this longtime CCP proxy.Views expressed in this video are opinions of the host and the guest, and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.

This episode with Rachel Minyoung Lee examines the evolving risk landscape surrounding North Korea, moving beyond headlines focused solely on nuclear escalation to explore the country's broader strategic behaviour. We discuss how Pyongyang balances military signalling with pragmatic decision making, why weapons tests and military exercises are often calibrated rather than impulsive, and how sanctions, limited trade, and economic constraints shape the regime's choices. The conversation also explores the role of domestic stability, regime survival, and external pressure in shaping North Korea's actions, and why the timing of diplomatic or military moves is often driven by opportunity rather than ideology alone. Together, we consider what the North Korean case reveals about risk perception, strategic signalling, and the limits of international pressure in managing one of the world's most opaque security challenges.Rachel Minyoung Lee is a Senior Fellow with the Stimson Center's Korea Program and 38 North, and co-chair of the North Korea Economic Forum at George Washington University's Institute for Korean Studies. She previously served for two decades as a North Korea collection expert and analyst with the United States government's Open Source Enterprise, where she specialised in analysing North Korean media and leadership messaging. She later led engagement initiatives at the Open Nuclear Network in Vienna and served as a Visiting Fellow at the East-West Center in Hawaii. Her work focuses on North Korean strategic messaging, regime behaviour, and the political economy of the Korean Peninsula.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime, to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter.The International Risk Podcast is sponsored by Conducttr, a realistic crisis exercise platform. Conducttr offers crisis exercising software for corporates, consultants, humanitarian, and defence & security clients. Visit Conducttr to learn more.Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe's leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe's leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe's business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. DomTell us what you liked!The SafeWork Advantage PodcastMost workplaces react to violence—SafeWork Advantage shows employers how to prevent it.Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

Iran announced Monday that the late supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's son, Mojtaba Khamenei, will be his successor. The Stimson Center's Randa Slim and NATO Defense College fellow Bessma Momani discuss how the selection of a hardliner with 'revenge intentions' could impact Iran's approach to the war. Plus, as Prime Minister Mark Carney calls three byelections, The Writ's Éric Grenier breaks down the challenge the Liberals could face in winning all three ridings to pass the threshold for a majority in the House of Commons.

Báo động trước tình trạng ngược đãi những người lao động bị cưỡng bức, trong đó có không ít nạn nhân là người Việt Nam, tại các trung tâm lừa đảo trực tuyến ở các nước Đông Nam Á, Văn phòng Cao ủy Nhân quyền Liên Hiệp Quốc ngày 20/02/2026 đã kêu gọi cộng đồng quốc tế hành động chống lại tệ nạn này. Riêng Việt Nam đang phối hợp với Cam Bốt và những đối tác khác ở Đông Nam Á để triệt hạ các đường dây lừa đảo xuyên quốc gia. Trong một báo cáo được công bố vào năm 2023, Liên Hiệp Quốc ước tính hàng trăm ngàn người đã bị cưỡng bức tuyển dụng để thực hiện các vụ lừa đảo trực tuyến. Báo cáo mới, dựa trên lời khai của các nạn nhân và các cuộc phỏng vấn với các cảnh sát và đại diện của xã hội dân sự, mô tả các vi phạm nhân quyền nghiêm trọng mà những người bị buộc phải làm việc trong các trung tâm này phải gánh chịu.  Báo cáo ghi nhận các trường hợp tra tấn, ngược đãi, bóc lột, lạm dụng tình dục, cưỡng bức phá thai, bỏ đói và biệt giam. Một nạn nhân từ Sri Lanka khai rằng những người không đạt chỉ tiêu hàng tháng về lừa đảo đã bị dìm xuống nước hàng giờ trong các bể nước (gọi là 'nhà tù nước'). Các nạn nhân cũng kể lại việc bị ép buộc chứng kiến, thậm chí tham gia vào những hành vi vi phạm nhân quyền nghiêm trọng này. Một nạn nhân người Bangladesh cho biết anh ta được lệnh đánh đập những người lao động cưỡng bức khác, và một nạn nhân người Ghana mô tả việc bị ép buộc phải chứng kiến ​​bạn mình bị đánh đập. Một nạn nhân người Việt Nam kể lại việc em gái mình bị đánh đập, bị chích điện, bị nhốt trong phòng và bị bỏ đói trong bảy ngày vì đã toan đào thoát. Liên Hiệp Quốc lên án tình trạng những nạn nhân này bị xác định sai là tội phạm và bị truy tố hình sự, hoặc bị trừng phạt thay vì được bảo vệ. Từ nhiều năm qua, Cam Bốt đã trở thành “thiên đường” cho các tổ chức tội phạm điều hành ngành công nghiệp lừa đảo trị giá hàng tỷ đô la. Một báo cáo năm 2024 của Viện Hòa bình Hoa Kỳ ước tính doanh thu từ các vụ lừa đảo mạng ở Cam Bốt vượt quá 12,5 tỷ đô la mỗi năm, tương đương một nửa tổng sản phẩm nội địa (GDP) của nước này. Viện tư vấn Stimson Center, trụ sở chính tại thủ đô Washington của Mỹ, có một dự án về chống lừa đảo trên mạng, tập hợp các nhà khoa học cũng như các nhà hoạch định chính sách và cả đại diện các tập đoàn công nghệ như Google hoặc Meta. Sau ba năm thực hiện, vừa rồi họ đã tổ chức hội thảo tại Bangkok để tổng kết và đánh giá về những chiến dịch triệt hạ các trung tâm lừa đảo ở Cam Bốt. Tham gia dự án này có tiến sĩ Lương Thanh Hải, một nhà tội phạm học, hiện là giảng viên Trường Tư pháp hình sự và tội phạm học Griffith, Úc. Trả lời phỏng vấn RFI Việt ngữ ngày 05/03/2026, ông Lương Thanh Hải cho biết:  "Hơn nửa năm trở lại đây, từ giữa năm 2025 cho đến đầu năm 2026, dưới áp lực mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng quốc tế, từ Mỹ, Trung Quốc, Hàn Quốc và một số nước Đông Nam Á, chính quyền Cam Bốt đã mở một chiến dịch quy mô rất lớn nhằm triệt phá các khu phức hợp lừa đảo trực tuyến ( scams compound ). Tất nhiên để đánh giá một kết quả tổng thể đòi hỏi những số liệu cụ thể và hiện nay thì chúng tôi vẫn đang cập nhật để có số liệu cụ thể chính xác. Nhưng sơ bộ thì trong vòng nửa năm trở lại đây, chính quyền Cam Bốt đã đánh sập được gần 200 trung tâm lừa đảo. Có thể nói là đây là một con số khá ấn tượng. Trong cuộc tọa đàm vừa rồi, chúng tôi cũng đã tổng kết sơ bộ ít nhất có hơn 173 nhân vật cầm đầu đã bị bắt và khoảng trên dưới 11.000 người tham gia đã bị trục xuất khỏi Cam Bốt. Hàng ngàn người là nạn nhân bị ép lừa đảo đã thoát khỏi các trung tâm đó. Đầu tháng 2 vừa rồi, chúng tôi cũng ghi nhận, đặc biệt là sau khi quân đội Thái Lan tiến hành công kích và triệt phá các khu phức hợp, các sòng bài lớn ở Cam Bốt, người ta đã phát hiện các đối tượng sử dụng trang phục cảnh sát của ít nhất là 7 nước như Úc, Brazil, Việt Nam, Indonesia, Singapore v.v... Đây có thể nói là những bằng chứng rõ nhất cho thấy các ổ lừa đảo này hoạt động hết sức  tinh vi, sử dụng các trang phục của lực lượng thực thi pháp luật nhằm tạo ra những kịch bản y như một cuộc thẩm vấn của cảnh sát liên bang Úc, hay của cảnh sát Việt Nam, cảnh sát Singapore..., để lừa đảo, thậm chí là đưa ra các kịch bản bắt bớ, khởi tố..., khiến các nạn nhân dễ bị đánh gục. Chính quyền Cam Bốt đầu năm vừa rồi đã đưa ra được một con số khá ấn tượng là đã giảm được khoảng 50% hoạt động lừa đảo trực tuyến sau các chiến dịch mạnh như vậy. Tất nhiên con số đó cũng cần phải được thẩm định.  Ngoài ra một số trùm mạng lưới, đặc biệt là Trần Chí ( Chen Zhi ), một đối tượng cầm đầu đã bị chính quyền Hoa Kỳ phong tỏa các tài sản và dưới áp lực của Mỹ, Cam Bốt cuối cùng cũng đã triển khai các chiến dịch và bắt được trùm lừa đảo này. Đầu năm vừa rồi, Trần Chí bị dẫn độ theo yêu cầu của chính quyền Trung Quốc đưa về Trung Quốc xét xử. Giới nghiên cứu chúng tôi tiếp tục cập nhật và hy vọng chính phủ Trung Quốc sẽ công bố những thông tin minh bạch, cũng như các bản án cụ thể, để chúng tôi từ góc độ tội phạm học có thể phân tích sâu hơn tại sao và như thế nào mà một trùm lừa đảo như Trần Chí lại có thể đi sâu và điều hành cả một tập đoàn lớn như vậy ở Cam Bốt trong rất nhiều năm. Sau khi phá được nhiều chuyên án lớn như vậy, nhiều tổ chức quốc tế cho rằng các đường dây này chỉ tạm thời giải tán thôi và rồi sẽ lại di chuyển sang địa phận khác. Các hoạt động tuyển dụng lao động của những trung tâm lừa đảo vẫn tiếp tục trên mạng xã hội. Bởi vì xét đến cùng, công nghiệp lừa đảo này ở Cam Bốt vẫn có quy mô cực lớn, có thể kiếm siêu lợi nhuận hàng chục tỷ đồng mỗi năm. Nói cách khác, chiến dịch này đã gây xáo trộn lớn, nhưng chưa thực sự triệt tiêu được hệ sinh thái đối với loại tội phạm lừa đảo qua mạng này." Hơn nữa, không chỉ có người Trung Quốc hay người Cam Bốt, mà có cả người Việt Nam điều hành đường dây lừa đảo ở xứ Chùa Tháp. Theo báo chí Việt Nam, ngày 13/02, Công an Đồng Nai phối hợp Cục An ninh mạng và phòng, chống tội phạm sử dụng công nghệ cao (Bộ Công an) đã tạm giữ Nguyễn Thị Vân, 30 tuổi, cùng 13 người khác để điều tra hành vi Lừa đảo chiếm đoạt tài sản. Nguyễn Thị Vân được xác đinh là cầm đầu đường dây lừa đảo 2.500 tỷ đồng của hàng ngàn nạn nhân, hoạt động tại Cam Bốt. Các nhà điều tra cho biết đây là một trong những vụ án đầu tiên bắt giữ được chủ mưu là người Việt Nam, tự đầu tư cơ sở hạ tầng quy mô lớn và vận hành hệ thống lừa đảo tại nhiều địa điểm ở Cam Bốt. Ngày 25/02, đến lượt Cơ quan Cảnh sát Điều tra Công an tỉnh Tây Ninh ra thông báo tìm những ai là nạn nhân của Huỳnh Nguyễn Ngọc Huy trong vụ án lừa đảo qua mạng xã hội để mua bán người. Cụ thể, Huy dùng tài khoản Facebook "Huy Trần" đăng tin tuyển dụng giả giới thiệu các “việc nhẹ lương cao” để lừa gạt nạn nhân đưa sang Cam Bốt. Tại đây, các nạn nhân bị ép buộc làm việc, nếu muốn về nước phải trả tiền chuộc rất cao, hoặc bị bán tiếp sang các công ty lừa đảo khác. Nhà tội phạm học Lương Thanh Hải giải thích:  "Qua nghiên cứu từ thực tiễn, cũng như về lý thuyết, chúng tôi gọi đó là sự trùng lặp, sự lặp lại giữa nạn nhân và thủ phạm. Chúng tôi hay dùng thuật ngữ offender - victim overlap. Họ là những nạn nhân đã bị dụ dỗ để sang làm, bị ép buộc, được đào tạo từng bước một, từng kịch bản một và thậm chí đóng các kịch bản lực lượng thực thi pháp luật của nước A, nước B, nước C để lừa ngược lại. Thậm chí khi bị nhốt vào các trung tâm lừa đảo này, họ bị ép buộc phải đạt được chỉ số KPI ( chỉ số đo lường và đánh giá hiệu quả hoạt động ), hàng ngày hàng giờ phải thực hiện bao nhiêu cuộc lừa đảo. Thành thử họ không còn lựa chọn nào khác, buộc phải làm ngày làm đêm, thậm chí phải lừa cả người thân trong gia đình, bạn bè của họ ở Việt Nam, lôi kéo sang để lại trở thành nạn nhân của các vụ lừa đảo qua mạng tiếp theo. Trong khoảng hai năm trở lại đây, công an Việt Nam cũng đã phối hợp khá chặt chẽ với các lực lượng thực thi pháp luật của khu vực Đông Nam Á, thông qua các kênh chính thống, ví dụ như ASEANAPOL, tức là Hiệp hội cảnh sát trưởng của các nước ASEAN, hoặc là thông qua các đối tác song phương giữa cảnh sát và bộ Nội Vụ của Vương Quốc Cam Bốt hoặc Thái Lan. Đã có nhiều cuộc giải cứu thành công, ví dụ mới đây công an tỉnh Tuyên Quang đã giải cứu và đưa được khoảng 74 nghi phạm từ Cam Bốt và Việt Nam trong một vụ lừa đảo lên đến hàng nghìn tỷ đồng. Hiện nay, Việt Nam được đánh giá là một những nước đầu tiên của khu vực Đông Nam Á đang hướng tới áp dụng nguyên tắc "không hình phạt" đối với nạn nhân, nếu như chứng minh được họ là nạn nhân của các vụ ép buộc lừa đảo trực tuyến. Điều này cũng đã được cụ thể hóa trong luật về phòng chống buôn bán người của Việt Nam được sửa đổi năm 2024 và có hiệu lực từ tháng 7/2025. Về góc độ chính sách và pháp luật, chúng tôi cho đấy là một trong những bước tiến rất đáng ghi nhận từ chính quyền Việt Nam." Một cơ sơ pháp lý khác để Việt Nam có thể tăng cường hợp tác với các nước để diệt trừ các trung tâm lừa đảo, theo ông Lương Thanh Hải, chính là Công ước Hà Nội:  "Công ước Hà Nội, tức là Công ước của Liên Hiệp Quốc về phòng chống tội phạm mạng, đã được ký từ tháng 10/2025. Bản thân Việt Nam và Cam Bốt, cùng một số nước khác trong Đông Nam Á, có tham gia. Theo thống kê của chúng tôi, tổng số nước ký kết đã lên đến 73 hoặc là 75 nước. Đây là một bước tiến lớn về cơ sở pháp lý để tăng cường hợp tác quốc tế trong phòng chống các tội phạm mạng, bao gồm cả lừa đảo trực tuyến như các trung tâm ở Cam Bốt. Tuy nhiên, phần lớn những người Việt được phát hiện tham gia, thậm chí trực tiếp đi sang và cầm đầu các nhóm đối tượng ở Cam Bốt trong các trung tâm lừa đảo trực tuyến không phải là những "big boss", không phải là trùm của những ông trùm. Phần lớn những ông trùm đó vẫn là "behind the scene", vẫn đang tiếp tục lẫn trốn. Như trường hợp của Trần Chí chẳng hạn, phải mất rất nhiều thời gian mới bị phá vỡ và bị bắt. Thành thử  những người Việt này thì chúng tôi đánh giá chủ yếu là đứng đằng sau điều hành các trung tâm lừa đảo Cam Bốt. Công an Việt Nam cũng đang tiếp tục khởi tố theo các nhóm tội lừa đảo, chiếm đoạt tài sản, hoặc tổ chức đưa người ra nước ngoài trái phép, tham gia trực tiếp vào các trung tâm lừa đảo đó. Các số liệu cũng như các bằng chứng cho thấy các đường dây này thường là dụ người Việt Nam bằng cái chiêu là "việc nhẹ lương cao", sau đó bán sang trung tâm lừa đảo. Các cơ quan công an Việt Nam trực tiếp cũng như phối hợp với lượng thực thi pháp luật các nước, trong đó Cam Bốt và Thái Lan, đã triệt phá các nhóm môi giới này trên các nền tảng xã hội, như Zalo hoặc Facebook và có nhiều trường hợp đã xử lý về tội mua bán người, hoặc tổ chức xuất cảnh trái phép. Chúng tôi cũng kỳ vọng Công ước Hà Nội, cũng như các cơ sở pháp lý khác trong khu vực ASEAN, đặc biệt là giữa các nước Việt Nam, Lào, Cam Bốt và thậm chí cả Thái Lan nữa, sẽ tăng cường hợp tác về thực thi pháp luật, trao đổi dữ liệu về tội phạm mạng, tiếp tục phối hợp giải cứu các nạn nhân và cũng có thể tiến hành dẫn độ, hoặc trao đổi các loại tài liệu liên quan đến điều tra, truy tố và xét xử trong quá trình triệt phá các băng nhóm từ nay cho đến cuối năm và trong thời gian tới."

The US/Israel War against Iran is shaping out to be a much bigger mess than expectedeven by critics. As it turns into a regional conflict that has embroiled more than a dozennations, are there any possible ways Donald Trump can be forced to pull back. I spokewith international affairs scholar Emma Ashford of the Stimson Center about the warand paths to peace.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

The US/Israel War against Iran is shaping out to be a much bigger mess than expectedeven by critics. As it turns into a regional conflict that has embroiled more than a dozennations, are there any possible ways Donald Trump can be forced to pull back. I spokewith international affairs scholar Emma Ashford of the Stimson Center about the warand paths to peace.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Cyberattacks that used to take months now take minutes. And your defenders still can't keep up.Rob T. Lee, Chief AI Officer of the SANS Institute, and David A. Bray, Chair of the Accelerator at the Stimson Center, explain why AI gives attackers a structural advantage. Attackers don't care if their AI breaks something. Your security team can't take that risk. That asymmetry changes everything.✅ You'll discover:✅ Why attackers will always remove the human in the loop faster than defenders can, and the risk calculus that creates✅ How "death by 1,000 cuts" works: $300 per person times 10,000 targets via SIM farms equals a single ransomware payout✅ The federated learning approach that lets organizations share threat intelligence without exposing their own data or vulnerabilities✅ Why hackers are exploiting AI hallucinations by writing real code libraries for packages that models reliably hallucinate✅ How to identify the right cybersecurity talent: hire for learning velocity and the "fiddling mindset," not static AI credentials✅ Why boards must stop treating cybersecurity as prevention and start rewarding rapid detection and response✅ The pre-compute vs. post-compute distinction for AI agent safety that most executives are missing entirely✅ When autonomous cyber defense will actually be viable (hint: think pilotless planes and robotic surgeons)⏱️ TIMESTAMPS0:00 AI has made "death by 1,000 cuts" attacks scalable0:39 Why the AI security lifecycle matters now2:27 Military history lessons for cyber defense strategy5:00 Federated learning: sharing threat intelligence without exposing data6:48 How incident response must evolve for AI-speed attacks8:05 The human-in-the-loop dilemma: defenders vs. attackers11:37 Distraction attacks: coordinated multi-target campaigns15:37 Autonomous agents as a new attack surface19:44 Hackers weaponizing AI hallucinations against developers22:23 Development velocity as the real "swarm" capability24:20 Perverse incentives: why stopping an attack still counts as failure27:09 Your personal attack surface grew from 3 devices to 5031:22 Protecting AI tool chains from becoming prime targets34:25 Hackathons as the future of cybersecurity hiring36:53 Patterns of life: instrumenting your enterprise for anomaly detection38:18 When will we trust AI defenders without human oversight?41:09 Pre-compute vs. post-compute: where AI agent safety rules must live46:45 AI trust, hallucinations, and prompt injection as information warfare51:42 Building security culture: leadership, not blame

Fallout from the U.S. and Israel's war on Iran continues to expand throughout the Middle East as Iran retaliates with widespread attacks in the region and Israel launches waves of missiles on Lebanon in response to attacks by Hezbollah. Former Canadian ambassador to the UN Bob Rae describes the diplomatic role Canada can play to avoid a larger regional war. The Stimson Center's Randa Slim brings us the view from Beirut. Plus, Canada's last head of mission in Iran Dennis Horak, lawyer and human rights activist Kaveh Shahrooz and University of Ottawa professor Thomas Juneau discuss U.S. President Donald Trump's changing comments about his endgame for Iran.

Business and finance news from the Asia-Pacific. Asian equities fell and oil rose to its highest level since August as escalating tensions in Iran weighed on sentiment. We get perspective from Paul Dobson, Bloomberg's Executive Editor for Asia Markets. Plus - The US military is stationing a vast array of forces in the Middle East, including two aircraft carriers, fighter jets and refueling tankers, with President Donald Trump saying that Iran had 10 to 15 days at most to strike a deal over its nuclear program. We heard from Barbara Slavin, Distinguished Fellow at the Stimson Center. She spoke to Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is 2026 China's window to “reunite” Taiwan? With Trump's muted position on Taiwan and focus on the Western Hemisphere, China experts see a "perfect storm" of opportunity. Yun Sun, Ph.D., Director of the China Program at the Stimson Center, explains why Beijing believes this may be a now-or-never moment.  Dr. Sun unpacks her arguments and warnings from her recent Foreign Affairs essay. In this episode: The People's Liberation Army's military readiness  If the United States won't intervene, would Japan or South Korea?  Decoding the signals from the purge of PLA generals Xi Jinping's legacy ambitions Warning signs to watch in 2026 Show Notes:  A Perfect Storm for Taiwan in 2026? | Foreign Affairs   Yun Sun | Stimson Center Yun Sun | Brookings  Hosted by Sir Richard Dearlove (former MI6 Chief) and guest co-host Rosanna Lockwood iInternational journalist). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

North Korea media and tech specialist Martyn Williams joins this week's episode to discuss his trips to the inter-Korean border with NK News CEO Chad O'Carroll, which have explored how technology is reshaping control and communication in the DPRK. The conversation covers smartphones and digital infrastructure inside North Korea, including how mobile technology has expanded rapidly since the pandemic. He discusses the growing number of domestic smartphone brands, hundreds of state-approved apps and the broader 4G rollout across much of the country.  Williams also examines a North Korean health app offering telemedicine features and medicine delivery, illustrating how digital tools serve both convenience and surveillance. Martyn Williams is a senior fellow for the Stimson Center's Korea Program and 38 North. His primary interests are in North Korea's technology, infrastructure, broadcasting system and propaganda. He previously appeared on episode 149 of the NK News podcast. About the podcast: The North Korea News Podcast is a weekly podcast hosted by Jacco Zwetsloot exclusively for NK News, covering all things DPRK — from news to extended interviews with leading experts and analysts in the field, along with insights from our very own journalists.

2026 has already been a huge year for international news, from Venezuela to Greenland to Iran. We wanted to get our heads around what other seismic changes we can expect in the rest of 2026: from Europe's new dynamic with Washington, to President Trump's meeting with President Xi of China, to the rebuilding of Gaza. So we sat down with two foreign policy experts: Tom Bateman, the BBC's State Department Correspondent, and Emma Ashford, a Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center and author of First Among Equals: US Foreign Policy in a Multipolar World. We were joined in the heart of Washington DC by a live audience at Syracuse University's Institute for Democracy, Journalism and Citizenship. Recorded Monday 2 February. Producers: Chris Benderev and Xandra Ellin Executive producer: James Shield Mix: Travis Evans Senior news editor: China CollinsPhoto: A live taping of The Global Story in Washington DC on 2 February 2026. Credit:Emma Carroll Hudson/Syracuse University

February 3, 2026 - Join us for a program examining prospects for relations with North Korea, including US-Republic of Korea (ROK) alliance coordination, inter-Korean relations, the impact of North Korea's close relations with China and Russia, security concerns, and diplomatic opportunities. It is expected that North Korea's Workers' Party of Korea will hold its Ninth Party Congress in January or February. This important gathering occurs approximately once every five years and is likely to result in the announcement of important policy positions that could possibly create space for the US and South Korea to pursue diplomatic engagement. How should the ROK and the US proceed and what are the prospects for decreasing threats from North Korea's extensive nuclear program? To unpack these developments, we assemble an expert panel with decades of experience working on and dealing directly with North Korea, including: Keith Luse, Executive Director of the National Committee on North Korea, Ankit Panda, Stanton Senior Fellow in the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and author of The New Nuclear Age: At the Precipice of Armageddon, Rachel Minyoung Lee, Senior Fellow for the Stimson Center's Korea Program and 38 North, and Susan A. Thornton, Director of the Forum on Asia-Pacific Security at the National Committee on American Foreign Policy (NCAFP). The discussion is moderated by policy director Jonathan Corrado. This program is produced in collaboration with the NCAFP and is co-hosted by The APEC Study Center at Columbia University. For more information, please visit the link below: https://www.koreasociety.org/policy-and-corporate-programs/2110-prospects-for-relations-with-north-korea

➡️ Watch the full interview ad-free, join a community of geopolitics enthusiasts and gain access to exclusive content on PATREON: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingGeopolitics➡️ Sign up to my free geopolitics newsletter: https://stationzero.substack.com/This is a conversation with Dr. Yun Sun, a Senior Fellow and Director of the China Program at the Stimson Center. Yun is one of the most experienced China watchers and researchers, analyzing China's foreign and domestic politics for over two decades which makes this conversation and her arguments both extremely interesting and kind of concerning. Because Yun argues that we are gravely under-estimating the risk of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan - not in some distant future but as soon as this year, 2026. She believes that the thinking in Beijing among China's leadership is quickly changing: that they are abandoning the idea that time is on their side and that instead, China now believes that if it ever wants to get Taiwan, it's now or never and the longer it waits, the harder it will get. And that we are now witnessing a confluence of several dynamics - none of which were likely or expected - but that are now all happening at the same time. And that together they are - as Yun Sun puts it - creating a “perfect storm for Taiwan in 2026” - and significantly increasing the odds that China might make its move. In this conversation, we talk about what these factors are - from the US foreign policy and China's perception of Donald Trump to the Ukraine war - how likely a Chinese invasion this year is or what the recent purges of the leadership of the Chinese military - and the fact that Xi Jinping now has direct, unlimited command of China's armed forces - mean in this context.

This week on DisrupTV, we go beyond the AI hype and into the decisions shaping 2026. Peter Danenberg, Senior Software Engineer at Google DeepMind, joins us to unpack the rapid evolution of multimodal models like Gemini, the race toward AGI, and what he's seeing from inside one of the world's most influential AI labs. We're also joined by David Bray, PhD, Distinguished Chair of the Accelerator at The Stimson Center & Principal/CEO, LDA Ventures Inc., to examine the dangerous assumptions executives are making post-Davos — from AI-driven workforce disruption and machine-speed cyber threats to hardware security risks and why geopolitics can no longer be ignored by business leaders. From meetups and models to geopolitics and governance, this episode is a must-watch for leaders navigating AI at scale.

In the first year of his second term, President Donald Trump has pursued an aggressive foreign policy that has shattered the norms and conventions that have guided almost all of his Republican and Democratic predecessors. Although the administration has framed this as an “America first” agenda that will strengthen the nation's standing around the world and bring prosperity at home, the U.S. national interest now appears tethered to the president's personal vanities, prejudices, and his political and financial interests. Is the recently articulated National Security Strategy a reliable guide as to how the administration will act going forward? Does the recent use of military power in Venezuela represent a one-off headline or does it foreshadow more aggressive action under the “Donroe Doctrine”? And is this the sunsetting of once traditional U.S. values and the rise of foreign policy driven by displaying American power and might?Join Aaron David Miller as he engages the Council on Foreign Relations' Rebecca Lissner and the Stimson Center's Emma Ashford on these and other issues, on the next Carnegie Connects.

In this episode of DisrupTV, we tackle one of the most urgent leadership challenges of our time: navigating AI-driven cybersecurity threats, geopolitical uncertainty, and converging risk. Hosts Ray Wang and Vala Afshar are joined by: Andre Pienaar, CEO & Founder of C5 Capital Dr. David Bray, Distinguished Chair at the Stimson Center & CEO of LDA Ventures Ken Banta, leadership expert and advisor Together, they explore why AI and cybersecurity budgets must rise together, how human–AI collaboration is reshaping cyber defense, and what leaders must do now to prepare for quantum disruption, AI-enabled attacks, and regulatory fragmentation. The conversation also dives into the human side of leadership—from self-awareness and trust to the evolving role of General Counsel as the conscience of the organization. This is a must-listen for boards, CEOs, CISOs, General Counsel, and leaders navigating risk in the Age of Intelligence.

If we ever had a genuine democracy (and I would argue we never have) then it is clearly disintegrating now, along with the entire system with which it was entwined.  Everyone agrees we need something new, what we don't necessarily agree on across the board is the design of this new thing.  This week's guests are two people who spend their lives imagining how things might be different, particularly in the US, where even the pretence of democracy has been abandoned. Dr John Izzo is a friend of the podcast. Once an ordained Minister in a Presbyterian Church, he's now a bestselling author, speaker, and thought leader focused on social responsibility and intergenerational integration. He's a a Distinguished Fellow at The Stimson Center in Washington DC, and a Board Member of the Elders Action Network and the Elders Climate Action group. Most notably in terms of what we're talking about here, he's co-host of The Way Forward Regenerative Conversations Podcast on which I heard him speaking to our other guest, Suzette Brooks Masters.  Suzette describes herself as a sometime Cassandra who sees around the corner; a serial social entrepreneur, and a thought leader and strategist in the fields of democracy, governance and futures.She has degrees in Economics from Amherst College and Cambridge University, and a Law degree from Harvard. She has spent much of her working life as a strategist working on immigration, inclusion and democracy. She is currently Senior Fellow and Director of Democracy Innovation at the Democracy Funders Network and Co-Founder of the Federal Foresight Advocacy Alliance.  So listen in for a 3-way conversation on the nature of power, community and change as we move into the new year. John on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/drjohnizzo/John's showreel: https://vimeo.com/248012255?fl=pl&fe=vlJohn's website: www.drjohnizzo.comJohn's YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC1adiRng-Ab3d3Wos9pFjAA The Way Forward Regenerative Podcast https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-way-forward-regenerative-conversations/id1651941803Episode with Suzette: https://podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/the-way-forward-regenerative-conversations/id1651941803?i=1000704364583The Way Forward on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/@RegenerativeConversationsSuzette on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/suzette-brooks-masters-0614981bDemocracy Funders Network https://www.democracyfundersnetwork.org/Federal Foresight Advocacy Alliance  https://www.ffaa-us.org/Suzette's recent report - Becoming Futures Ready: How Philanthropy can leverage strategic foresight for democracy https://www.democracyfundersnetwork.org/resources/2024/10/3/becoming-futures-ready-how-philanthropy-can-leverage-strategic-foresight-for-democracyIf you'd like to support us, there is a Patreon page, but we're not going to link to it, because, honestly, the best way is to come and join the Accidental Gods Membership: that way you can share in the ideas, the programme that will help you connect to the Web of Life in ways that will last—and you can come to the Gatherings half price. Or if that doesn't appeal, come along to one of the Gatherings. Or buy a subscription/Gathering for a friend... do something that feels like a good exchange of energy and minimises our connection with old economic paradigm. Remember that if any of this is difficult, contact us and we'll find something that works for you. Details below: What we offer: Accidental Gods, Dreaming Awake and the Thrutopia Writing Masterclass If you'd like to join our next Open Gathering offered by our Accidental Gods Programme, it's 'Honouring Fear as your Mentor' on Sunday 8th February 2026 from 16:00 - 20:00 GMT - details are here. You don't have to be a member -but if you are, all Gatherings are half price.If you'd like to join us at Accidental Gods, this is the membership where we endeavour to help you to connect fully with the living web of life. If you'd like to train more deeply in the contemporary shamanic work at Dreaming Awake, you'll find us here. If you'd like to explore the recordings from our last Thrutopia Writing Masterclass, the details are here

More To The Story: Last week, US forces entered Venezuela, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, in a nighttime raid. On Monday, they were arraigned in US federal court, pleading not guilty to narcoterrorism charges. The military action followed a monthslong pressure campaign that included a number of deadly strikes on boats off the Venezuelan coast that the Trump administration alleges were used for drug smuggling. Many legal experts, human rights groups, and lawmakers have called the strikes illegal. The US has a long history of exerting power and influence in South America—sometimes violating international law in the process. The latest moves by the Trump administration appear to signal a new era of foreign policy for America meant to send a message to countries in the region and around the world. On this week's More To The Story, host Al Letson sits down with Emma Ashford, a Foreign Policy magazine columnist and senior fellow at the Stimson Center, to examine the implications of Maduro's ouster, how she defines what Trump is now calling the “Donroe Doctrine,” and what the US's latest actions could mean for the region and the world.Producer: Josh Sanburn | Editor: Kara McGuirk-Allison | Theme music: Fernando Arruda and Jim Briggs | Copy editor: Nikki Frick | Digital producer: Artis Curiskis | Deputy executive producer: Taki Telonidis | Executive producer: Brett Myers | Executive editor: James West | Host: Al LetsonRead: A New Theory Explains Why Trump Keeps Threatening Global Takeovers (Mother Jones)Listen: Trump's New World (Dis)order (Reveal)Read: Oil, the State, and War: The Foreign Policies of Petrostates (Georgetown University Press) Donate today at Revealnews.org/more Subscribe to our weekly newsletter at Revealnews.org/weekly Follow us on Instagram and Bluesky Learn about your ad choices: dovetail.prx.org/ad-choices

Our first speaker will be a very dear friend of mine, Rory MacFarquhar, who previously was a member of Obama's National Security Council. Our second speaker will be Emma Ashford who is a Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center, an Adjunct Professor at Georgetown and the author of a new book entitled First Among Equals: US Foreign Policy in a Multipolar World. I want to learn from Emma about Trump's realist approach to foreign policy and what that will mean in its application. Get full access to What Happens Next in 6 Minutes with Larry Bernstein at www.whathappensnextin6minutes.com/subscribe

Around the world, more and more communities are finding that climate change isn't only about rising temperatures or shifting weather patterns, but for many communities, the first signs of climate change appear in far more everyday pressures: a harvest that doesn't come in, a water source that no longer lasts the season, a job that disappears because the land or sea can no longer sustain it. And where pressures stack up, especially in places where institutions are weak, where inequalities run deep or where people feel excluded, climate pressure can widen fault lines and expose new vulnerabilities and present new risks.Today, we explore how climate stress becomes violence, and why understanding this nexus between violence and climate stress matters for governments, business, communities and for all of us thinking about future security threats.To do that, we are joined by Peter Schwartzstein, an award-winning British-American environmental journalist and researcher. He has reported on the conflict-climate nexus across 30+ countries in the Middle East, Africa, and beyond, writing for National Geographic, The New York Times, Foreign Affairs, BBC, Bloomberg, and Foreign Policy. He is a fellow at the Center for Climate and Security, as well as the Stimson Center's Environmental Security Program.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime, to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter.Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe's leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe's leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe's business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. Dominic equips today's business leaders with the insight and confidence to lead through disruption and deliver sustained strategic advantage.Tell us what you liked!

Five simultaneous technological revolutions are reshaping work, power, and fairness across the planet. In this conversation, David unpacks active inference, the spatial web, edge intelligence, and federated learning—and shows how boards, CEOs, and innovators can turn turbulence into stability, equity, and shared prosperity rather than grievance and chaos.00:09- About Dr David A BrayDr. David A. Bray is a Distinguished Fellow and Chair of the Accelerator with the Alfred Lee Loomis Innovation Council at the non-partisan Henry L. Stimson Center.

 The U.S. and China may be the world's current superpowers – but that doesn't mean they can ignore other countries. Emma Ashford is a senior fellow at the Stimson Center, and she joins guest host John McCaa to discuss the implications of moving to a multipolarity, in which Russia, India and others hold increasing sway over global affairs. Her article “Making Multipolarity Work” was published by Foreign Affairs.  Learn about your ad choices: dovetail.prx.org/ad-choices

Join host Dr. Arun Seraphin for an in-depth exploration of the Pentagon's Combined Joint All Domain Command and Control (CJADC2) strategy with Dr. David Bray, Chair of the Accelerator at the Loomis Council and a Distinguished Fellow with the Stimson Center, and Courtney Stiles, Executive Director of Customer Activities at REDCOM laboratories. The conversation delves into the complex challenges of connecting sensors, shooters, and decision-makers across multiple military domains. Together, they explore innovative approaches to network interoperability, resilience, and technological adaptation in potential near-peer conflict scenarios. The discussion also explores how these efforts fit within the Pentagon's Combined Joint All-Domain Command and Control Strategy (CJADC2/C2).Be sure to follow us on social media for updates, early access to upcoming events, inside scoops, & more:LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/4htROo0Twitter: https://bit.ly/48LHAx3Facebook: https://bit.ly/47vlht8 And for more podcasts, articles, & publications all things emerging tech, check out our website at: https://bit.ly/47oA5K1

The U.S. has carried out multiple strikes on boats in the Caribbean off of Venezuela, killing dozens of people. And yet there's very little legal rationale for the military action we've seen. Benjamin Gedan is a senior fellow and director of the Latin America Program at the Stimson Center and Adjunct Lecturer and Fellow at Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. He also served as the South America director on the National Security Council staff in the Obama administration. Gedan joins WITHpod to discuss the U.S.' relationship with Venezuela, thoughts on regime changes, military pressure ratcheting up and more.   Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this episode, Michael Mazarr, senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and adjunct professor at Georgetown University's Center for Security Studies, examines the sources of American national dynamism. A former associate dean at the U.S. National War College and president of the Stimson Center, Mazarr has written extensively on information technology, foreign policy, and national competitiveness. The conversation explores whether the United States can overcome disinformation and polarization to meet China's great power challenge in the 21st century.

Hey BillOReilly.com Premium and Concierge Members, welcome to the No Spin News for Monday, October 27, 2025. Stand Up for Your Country.  Talking Points Memo: Bill breaks down President Trump's trip to Asia and explains why reaching a trade deal with China is so important. Yun Sun, Ph.D., Director of the China Program at the Stimson Center, joins the No Spin News to discuss the U.S.–China negotiations and what Xi Jinping wants out of the deal. Why Donald Trump keeps teasing running for a third time. As the government shutdown reaches Day 27, air traffic control issues are on the rise. Bill looks at a clip showing Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson (D) clashing with a reporter. Final Thought: Check out Michael Levine's review of 'Confronting Evil.' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

As President Donald Trump prepares for his upcoming trip to South Korea to attend the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, a meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un may be on the agenda. South Korean President Lee Jae Myung first suggested the meeting during his recent trip to Washington. Trump and Kim seem open to the possibility, with one major caveat: Kim has stated publicly that discussions of denuclearization are off the table. Whether or not that meeting occurs, North Korea's growing nuclear arsenal and deepening relationships with Russia and China are a persistent challenge for Washington.How should the second Trump administration alter, or maintain, its approach to North Korea?  Is Washington reading Kim and the internal politics of Pyongyang correctly? And what role should China and South Korea play in U.S. strategy?Join Aaron David Miller as he engages Jean H. Lee, the presidential chair of the East-West Center, and Joel S. Wit, a distinguished fellow in Asian and Security Studies at the Stimson Center, on these and other issues. 

This week on Conflicted, Thomas Small is joined by Dr. Emma Ashford, a Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center and an expert on US grand strategy. Emma brings a clear-eyed, realist perspective to the current global debates, arguing that the emerging multipolar world is an opportunity, not a catastrophe, for the United States. Thomas and Emma dissect the end of the American unipolar moment, exploring whether the US's pivot to global primacy after the Cold War was driven by naive idealism or institutional hubris. They analyze the four competing camps in US foreign policy - from Liberal Order Primacists to America First Hawks - and champion the case for realist restraint as the most pragmatic way forward. The conversation delves into the strategic implications of a truly multipolar world, including how nuclear weapons change the dynamics of great power competition and why the US must retrench from costly, over-leveraged commitments in the Middle East to prioritize competition in Asia. You can find Emma on X @EmmaMAshford To listen to the full episode, you'll need to subscribe to the Conflicted Community. And don't forget, subscribers can also join our Conflicted Community chatroom, where you can interact with fellow dearest listeners, discuss episodes past and future, get exclusive messages from Thomas and Aimen, ask future Q&A questions and so much more. All the information you need to sign up is on this link: https://conflicted.supportingcast.fm/  Conflicted is proudly made by Message Heard, a full-stack podcast production agency which uses its extensive expertise to make its own shows such as Conflicted, shows for commissioners such as the BBC, Spotify and Al Jazeera, and powerfully effective podcasts for other companies too. If you'd like to find out how we can help get your organisation's message heard, visit messageheard.com or drop an email to hello@messageheard.com! Find us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MHconflicted And Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MHconflictedLearn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

On 19 July 2025, China began construction on a 60,000-megawatt hydropower project at Medog, with three times the output of Three Gorges and roughly the UK's entire annual power production. This is a 1.2-trillion-yuan investment (USD 170 B) that Beijing frames as clean energy and development. It is located in southeast Tibert, and only 30km upstream of India. Delhi hears strategic risk. Tibetans see cultural erasure. And over 100 million people downstream are wondering who controls their tomorrow.Today, we are joined by Brian Eyler and Palmo Tenzin. Brian is the Director of the Stimson Center's Southeast Asia and Energy, Water and Sustainability programs. He is widely recognised as a leading voice and expert on transboundary water-energy-food nexus security issues in the Mekong River basin, having spent more than 15 years living and working in China. He is the co-lead on the Mekong Dam Monitor, an award-winning open-source platform providing near-real-time monitoring of dams and environmental impacts along the Mekong.Palmo is an Advocacy Officer and Senior Researcher for the International Campaign for Tibet. Her research specialises in Chinese politics and contemporary Tibet, Sino-Tibetan relations and Asia-Pacific security. Before working at the ICT, Palmo held a position working in the Australian government and the Australian Strategic Policy Institute. She is the author of the report published in December 2024 titled, ‘Chinese Hydropower: Damning Tibet's Culture, Community and Environment', which she has presented at the UN Human Rights Council in March, the European Parliament in May and most recently at World Water Week in Sweden.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime, to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter.Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe's leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe's leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe's business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. Dominic equips today's business leaders with the insight and confidence to lead through disruption and deliver sustained strategic advantage.Tell us what you liked!

For access to the report: https://www.stimson.org/2025/rethinking-the-threat-why-china-is-unlikely-to-invade-taiwan/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week, Chandana Seshadri joins the podcast to discuss her RUSI Journal article, “How DPRK IT Workers Exploit Identity Management Vulnerabilities,” which documents how North Korean workers slip through remote-hiring systems to earn hard currency and open doors for bigger cyber operations.  The researcher highlights the case of Christina Chapman — a U.S. citizen who helped DPRK workers get remote jobs through “laptop farms” — as a key example of how ordinary employment channels can be manipulated for sanctions evasion. She also explains how the rapid shift to remote work after COVID-19 opened new vulnerabilities for infiltration, as companies often skip in-person verification and identity checks. Seshadri calls for international working groups to share best practices and red flags while respecting privacy laws, while stressing the issue is not only relevant to cybersecurity but also national security and sanctions enforcement. Chandana Seshadri is a non-resident fellow at the Stimson Center's 38 North and former research analyst at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), specializing in the intersection of sanctions, financial crime and cyber threats with a focus on North Korea.  About the podcast: The North Korea News Podcast is a weekly podcast hosted by Jacco Zwetsloot exclusively for NK News, covering all things DPRK — from news to extended interviews with leading experts and analysts in the field, along with insight from our very own journalists. NK News subscribers can listen to this and other exclusive episodes from their preferred podcast player by accessing the private podcast feed. For more detailed instructions, please see the step-by-step guide at nknews.org/private-feed.

Kelly talks with Emma Ashford about her new book, First Among Equals: U.S. Foreign Policy in a Multipolar World (Yale University Press, 2025), where she proposes a return to a more pragmatic, realist set of strategic principles, ones better suited for the emerging multipolar world, that would pursue narrower U.S. interests, cultivate the capabilities of friendly states, and emphasize room for maneuver over rigid alliances. Emma Ashford is a senior fellow at the Stimson Center, where she is part of the Reimagining U.S. Grand Strategy Program. She is also an adjunct professor at the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service and a columnist at Foreign Policy.  Link to First Among Equals: U.S. Foreign Policy in a Multipolar World: https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300279542/first-among-equals/ Link to New Visions of Grand Strategy: https://www.stimson.org/project/new-visions-for-grand-strategy/ The opinions expressed in this conversation are strictly those of the participants and do not represent the views of Georgetown University or any government entity. Produced by Abdalla Nasef and Freddie Mallinson.  Recorded on September 17, 2025. Diplomatic Immunity, a podcast from the Institute for the Study of Diplomacy at Georgetown University, brings you frank and candid conversations with experts on the issues facing diplomats and national security decision-makers around the world. Funding support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York. For more, visit our website, and follow us on Linkedin, Twitter @GUDiplomacy, and Instagram @isd.georgetown

Dr. Ja-Naé Duane is a creator, behavioral scientist, award-winning innovator, and 4x entrepreneur with over 20 years of experience guiding organizations, institutions, governments, and communities toward a new renaissance and a better future for humanity. For the past two decades, Ja-Naé has dedicated herself to one mission: make life better for one billion people. As an expert on global systems, she focuses on helping corporations, governments, and universities understand and develop systems of the future using emerging technology such as VR/AR, AI, and blockchain by guiding them forward, helping them get out of their own way to create exponential innovation and future forecasting. She has had the pleasure of working with companies such as PWC, Saudi Aramco, Yum Brands, Samsonite, Natixis, AIG, and Deloitte. A top-rated speaker and co-author of the best-selling The Startup Equation, Ja-Naé excels at helping both startups and multinational firms identify new business models and pathways on a global scale.  Over the years, her work has caught the attention of The Associated Press, NPR, The Boston Globe, and BusinessWeek. Ja-Naé holds degrees from Brown University, I.E. Business School, Northeastern University, Carnegie University, Bentley University, and Boston University. Ja-Naé is a member of the Loomis Council at the Stimson Center, collaborator with the National Institute of Health, and holds appointments at Brown University and MIT's Center for Information Systems Research. Her next book, SuperShifts, will be released in April 2025.Steve Fisher is a visionary futurist, innovation leader, and design strategist with over 30 years of experience driving transformational change. Passionate about reimagining business models, he leverages cutting-edge advancements—especially Generative AI—to empower organizations across industries to navigate complexity and seize future opportunities.  As a leader in foresight and innovation, Steve has consistently spearheaded high-impact initiatives at renowned organizations. At McKinsey & Company, he co-founded the Futures Practice, integrating strategic foresight and speculative design to help businesses anticipate and adapt to an uncertain future. At FTI Consulting, he led the adoption of Generative AI for business model transformation, pioneering new AI-driven solutions that delivered measurable impact across industries. Beyond corporate leadership, Steve is the Managing Partner of Revolution Factory, a global innovation firm that fosters cutting-edge solutions through AI, strategic foresight, and design thinking. He also serves as Chief Futurist at the Human Frontier Institute (HFI), where he explores emerging trends, conducts research on future-oriented challenges, and mentors leaders in strategic foresight. A prolific thought leader and author, Steve co-authored the best-selling The Startup Equation and is releasing his next book, SuperShifts in April 2025 and Designing the Future the following year—which delve into the future of business, technology, and human adaptation. He shares his insights through keynotes, industry publications, and his podcasts—the Think Forward Show and Off World Podcast—which explore the intersection of innovation, AI, and humanity's expansion beyond Earth. Committed to democratizing futures thinking, Steve believes that understanding human history and patterns of change are essential to building resilient, future-ready organizations. His expertise in Generative AI, strategic foresight, and design-led innovation enables him to help organizations anticipate challenges and seize opportunities with confidence.

Join me for a conversation with four fantastic panelists about nuclear safety and security issues brought on by Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and more broadly on the state of nuclear security globally during this era of dramatic change.This program was made possible by the Ukrainian Platform for Contemporary China and the Center for Slavic, Eurasian, and East European Studies at the University of North Carolina Chapel Hill.Nickolas Roth is Senior Director for Nuclear Materials Security at the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI). Nickolas works at the intersection of arms control, risk reduction, and institutional resilience, and previously directed nuclear security work at the Stimson Center and contributed to Harvard's Project on Managing the Atom.Mariana Budjeryn is a Senior Research Associate with Managing the Atom at Harvard's Belfer Center and author of Inheriting the Bomb, a definitive study of Ukraine's post-Soviet disarmament and the limits of the Budapest Memorandum. Her scholarship grounds today's debates about guarantees, coercion, and nuclear restraint.Pan Yanliang is a Research Associate at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS). He studies the Russian and Chinese nuclear industries and the nuclear fuel cycle, and works on CNS engagement with Chinese counterparts—giving him a distinctive cross-regional vantage.Lily Wojtowicz is a Research Fellow at the Hertie School (Berlin) and a USIP–Minerva Peace & Security Scholar, whose work focuses on extended deterrence credibility, European security, and alliance adaptation under great-power rivalry.5:19 - The Gap Between Coercive Rhetoric and First-use Thresholds11:26 - The Implication of Ukraine's allies regarding weapons 17:26 - Golden Dome21:30 - China's Position on Nuclear Weapons29:25 - How Belarus Altered European Debates 31:13 - Civilian Nuclear Power 38:32 - North Korea's Support for Russia40:59 - Beijing on NATO and Asian Security43:09 - Europe's Reaction to Nuclear Risk45:44 - Nuclear Risk in the Russia-Ukraine War52:56 - Trump's Impact on Kremlin Nuclear Thinking1:01:52 - US-China Nuclear Relations1:04:49 - Ukraine's Nuclear DisarmamentSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

During his campaign for the presidency, Donald Trump talked a lot about pulling America out of international treaties and disentangling from military operations abroad.Once in office, he started talking about the idea of Manifest Destiny…that the expansion of the US was both justified and inevitable. In some cases that's meant turning the tables on America's friends and allies.For this week's show, Reveal reporter Nate Halverson and Panamanian journalist Andrea Salcedo investigate how the Trump administration's threats to reclaim the Panama Canal are fueling protests and destabilizing a longtime ally. Trump has said military force may be necessary to retake control of the canal from China.“China is operating the Panama Canal, and we didn't give it to China, we gave it to Panama, and we're taking it back,” Trump said in January.But the administration's allegations about China's control over the canal perplex many Panamanians.“We just said wow, how many people can be wrong about the Chinese having a lot of influence over the Panama Canal?” says Jorge Luis Quijano, the canal's top administrator from 2012 to 2019.The Trump administration's threats against Panama are also reviving painful memories of the 1989 US invasion that claimed the lives of an estimated 500 Panamanians.  For wider context, host Al Letson speaks with Mother Jones reporter David Corn, who wrote about the Panama Canal in his book American Psychosis. Corn talks about how reclaiming the canal has been used as a political cudgel by conservatives in the US, from Ronald Reagan to Donald Trump. Letson also speaks with Emma Ashford, a foreign policy expert at the Stimson Center, about how Panama fits into the Trump administration's other moves on the international front.  Support Reveal's journalism at Revealnews.org/donatenow Subscribe to our weekly newsletter to get the scoop on new episodes at Revealnews.org/weekly Connect with us on Bluesky, Facebook, and Instagram Learn about your ad choices: dovetail.prx.org/ad-choices

Trump has been making some foreign policy moves I didn't entirely expect. He seems determined to get a nuclear deal with Iran. He's been public about his disagreements with Benjamin Netanyahu. He called Vladimir Putin “crazy.” And he keeps talking about wanting his legacy to be that of a peacemaker. So what, at this point, can we say about Trump's foreign policy? What is he trying to do, and how well is it working? If he succeeds, what might his legacy be? Emma Ashford is a senior fellow at the Stimson Center, a foreign policy think tank, and the author of the forthcoming book “First Among Equals.” She comes from a school of thought that's more sympathetic to the “America First” agenda than I typically am. But she's also cleareyed about what is and isn't working and the ways that Trump is an idiosyncratic foreign policy maker who isn't always following an “America First” agenda himself.  Book Recommendations:A Superpower Transformed by Daniel SargentThe Strategy of Denial by Elbridge ColbyA World Safe for Commerce by Dale CopelandThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find the transcript and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.htmlThis episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Elias Isquith. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris, with Kate Sinclair and Mary Marge Locker. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Aman Sahota. Our executive producer is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Marie Cascione, Annie Galvin, Rollin Hu, Marina King, Jan Kobal, Kristin Lin and Jack McCordick. Original music by Pat McCusker. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The director of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.