Podcasts about far future

  We're back! In this episode Jeff and Bob do their best to explain their way out of the fact that it's been nearly two years since they recorded together! Seriously, we thank all the listeners who have stuck with us. We love doing the podcast. We jump into some X-Boat Transmissions and hear from numerous listeners.  Bob then corrects a rules mistake he made about blade throwing in Classic Traveller two years ago. It's a great rule, and Bob throws in another Earl Dumarest example. We then to through some fun Traveller/Cepheus Engine-related Internet Finds, quickly discuss some Imperial News, and Bob thanks John Watts of Independence Games for his massive generosity. Relevant Links for this episode include... Kenneth Passiak's file system for organizing his game materials Chris Chaudruc's adventure, Traveller Mercenary Ticket: Mazon Recovery Box-Centric: an Approach to Proto-Traveller from Omer Golan-Joel's blog Adventures in the Distant Fringe campaign blog by Peter C. One year write-up of the above blog Tales to Astound's Classic Traveller: Out of the Box series General Musings on Marc Miller and Traveller, from James the Geek What are the assumptions of Traveller, from the Ancient Faith in the Far Future blog Great random encounter post from Ancient Faith in the Far Future Adventures in the Void Podcast From Robert Pearce's  Yet  Another  Traveller  Blog 1300 new geomorphs Adventure Class Starship Geomorphs Adventure Class Starship Geomorphs (18 Dec 2024) Starship Geomorphs 2.0 (26 July 2020) Eudaimonia Class Long Range Surveyor Graster Class Military Science Vessel Mongoose's publishing arraignments Omer's Classic Traveller Character Generation Script Independence RPGS - makers of Clement Sector and Earth Sector The music in this episode is Contagious Architectures, from the Speculative Machines podcast.

Episode 253 of The Independent Characters explores the age old questions of 'How do you get your significant other into Warhammer 40k?'. To help us explain her journey into the Grim Darkness of the Far Future, we are joined by Chelle Tuttle. For those who don't know by now, Chelle is Carl's wife and has had an on again, off again relationship with 40k. She is also managing all of the tracking of everyone's hobby progress in the Hobby Progress Challenge for 2025. For which we are very grateful! While we take a trip down memory lane on her exposure to the game, we also get some insights on what worked for her, to get her invested in the game. I want to thank Chelle for taking the time to join me on this discussion as I know this is a bit outside her comfort zone. We hope you enjoy Episode 253. Time Stamps: 0:00:00 - Show Intro, Elite Choice, Hobby Progress, & Games Played 0:18:30 - Introducing your partner to 40k 1:29:20 - Final Thoughts and show closing Relevant Links: The Independent Characters Patreon Tablewar! - SPONSOR Herrick Games & Hobbies - SPONSOR Goblin Hobbies - Makers of the Stampin' Plates Maelstrom Mixer Games Workshop The Black Library

Episode 253 of The Independent Characters explores the age old questions of 'How do you get your significant other into Warhammer 40k?'. To help us explain her journey into the Grim Darkness of the Far Future, we are joined by Chelle Tuttle. For those who don't know by now, Chelle is Carl's wife and has had an on again, off again relationship with 40k. She is also managing all of the tracking of everyone's hobby progress in the Hobby Progress Challenge for 2025. For which we are very grateful! While we take a trip down memory lane on her exposure to the game, we also get some insights on what worked for her, to get her invested in the game. I want to thank Chelle for taking the time to join me on this discussion as I know this is a bit outside her comfort zone. We hope you enjoy Episode 253. Time Stamps: 0:00:00 - Show Intro, Elite Choice, Hobby Progress, & Games Played 0:18:30 - Introducing your partner to 40k 1:29:20 - Final Thoughts and show closing Relevant Links: The Independent Characters Patreon Tablewar! - SPONSOR Herrick Games & Hobbies - SPONSOR Goblin Hobbies - Makers of the Stampin' Plates Maelstrom Mixer Games Workshop The Black Library

Dallas Mavericks radio play-by-play voice Chuck Cooperstein reacts to the Luka Doncic trade with Papa & Silver and explains how this changes the Dallas Mavericks in the near and far futureSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Dallas Mavericks radio play-by-play voice Chuck Cooperstein reacts to the Luka Doncic trade with Papa & Silver and explains how this changes the Dallas Mavericks in the near and far futureSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Running down our Weekends in Fun, Zuck in Demon Mode at the Inauguration, we finally have video of Dillon's robot dog that he should've kicked, “Big Dog” energy, the ebb and flow of the TikTok ban (and Will's beef with a TikTok'r who hates Scaries), and news about the Sun. Enjoy a free one-week trial on Patreon for additional weekly episodes: www.patreon.com/circlingbackpodcast Watch all of our full episodes on our new YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/circlingback  Shop Washed Merch: www.washedmedia.shop  (0:00) Fun & Easy Banter (12:00) Recapping This Weekend in Fun (34:00) Zuck Caught Being Horny (39:00) We Have Robot Dog Video (46:00) Big Dogs Only (54:45) TikTok Flip-Flop & Will's Beef (1:07:00) Son New and The Far Future Support This Episode's Sponsors Squarespace: www.squarespace.com/steam (STEAM for 10% off your purchase of a website or domain) Lucy: www.lucy.co/steam (STEAM for 20% off)  BetterHelp: www.betterhelp.com/circling (10% off first month) Fitbod: www.fitbod.me/steam (20% off) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Последние и первые люди: История близлежащего и далёкого будущего (англ. Last and First Men: A Story of the Near and Far Future) — первый и (наряду с «Создателем звёзд») наиболее известный научно-фантастический роман Олафа Стэплдона, самая масштабная из созданных когда-либо историй будущего. Написан в 1930 году под влиянием идей футурологического эссе (также являющегося историей будущего) генетика Джона Холдейна «Страшный суд: взгляд ученого на будущее человечества» (The Last Judgement: A Scientist's View on the Future of Mankind, сборник Possible Worlds and Other Essays, 1927). Хотя роман содержит большое для своего времени количество новых фантастических идей (многие из которых оказали влияние на творчество других фантастов), основной целью автора была демонстрация эволюции человеческого разума и духа. Перевод на русский и издание в России были осуществлены только в 2004 году.

Последние и первые люди: История близлежащего и далёкого будущего (англ. Last and First Men: A Story of the Near and Far Future) — первый и (наряду с «Создателем звёзд») наиболее известный научно-фантастический роман Олафа Стэплдона, самая масштабная из созданных когда-либо историй будущего. Написан в 1930 году под влиянием идей футурологического эссе (также являющегося историей будущего) генетика Джона Холдейна «Страшный суд: взгляд ученого на будущее человечества» (The Last Judgement: A Scientist's View on the Future of Mankind, сборник Possible Worlds and Other Essays, 1927). Хотя роман содержит большое для своего времени количество новых фантастических идей (многие из которых оказали влияние на творчество других фантастов), основной целью автора была демонстрация эволюции человеческого разума и духа. Перевод на русский и издание в России были осуществлены только в 2004 году. Влияние на массовую культуру — многие произведения С. Лема (чрезвычайно высоко ценившего творчество Стэплдона) используют идеи и концепции из этой книги: роман «Непобедимый», рассказ «21 путешествие Йона Тихого», роман «Возвращение со Звезд», трактат «Сумма технологий». Отдельно стоит упомянуть роман «Осмотр на месте», в котором Лем предпринял попытку создать свой вариант истории будущего на основе идей об эволюции человечества конца XX века. Творчество Стэплдона Лем подробно анализирует в своей литературоведческой работе «Фантастика и футурология». — роман «Город» Клиффорда Саймака является своего рода интерпретацией идей Стэплдона в более мягком, гуманитарном ключе. Также заметно влияние Стэплдона в последнем итоговом романе Саймака «Магистраль вечности». — заметно влияние этого и других романов Стэплдона на творчество фантаста Джона Райта — на уровне сюжетов и философских концепций. В цикле «Золотой век» (2003) описана колонизированная и модернизированная солнечная система сверхдалекого будущего. В цикле «Последовательность Эсхатона» (2011-…) представлена детальная история будущего сопоставимых с романом «Последние и первые люди» масштабов. — эпизод с бессмертным мутантом из эпохи Первых Людей оказал влияние на целое направление в жанре фантастики. В качестве примера можно привести роман Пола Андерсона «Челн на миллион лет» (1989), рассказ Клиффорда Саймака «Грот танцующих оленей» и фильм «Человек с Земли» (2007). Сам Стэплдон позже развил этот сюжетный ход в романе о мутантах «Странный Джон» (1935). — роман Артура Кларка «Конец детства» (1953) основан на идеях из романа Стэплдона о телепатическом слиянии человечества в единый разум, способный контактировать с другими аналогичными разумами галактики. Также в этом романе аналогично представлена история близкого будущего человечества. Творчество Стэплдона оказало большое влияние на формирование взглядов Кларка на будущее человечества. — ирландский писатель-мистик и метафизик Шоу Десмонд написал под влиянием творчества Стэплдона роман «Рождение мира» (1938), где изложил свой вариант эволюции человечества. — в эпизоде сериала «Футурама» «The Late Philip J. Fry» иронично обыграны идеи Стэплдона и т. п. авторов о сверхдалеком будущем Земли и всей Вселенной.

PWTorch editor Wade Keller is joined by Brandon LeClair from PWTorch. They begin with thoughts on International Crowd energy, with a focus on France's WWE fans really bringing it for Smackdown and whether this can last. Also, some talk about Cody Rhodes's aura as champ so far, the future of Paul Heyman even beyond the Bloodline, how WWE is hyping Jade Cargill and praise for the decision to team her with Bianca Belair, WrestleMania host city talk, reactions to the rest of Smackdown, King & Queen of the Ring thoughts, and conversation about every Backlash match.

The future of humanity seems insecure. Rapid climate change, political division, our greed and failings make it hard to look at our species with a lot of optimism and so many people think our end is in sight. But humans always thought they lived in the end times. Every generation assumes they're important enough to witness the apocalypse and then life just goes on. This is a problem because it leads to short term thinking and prevents us from creating the best world for ourselves and our descendants. What makes this worse is that we actually may live at an extremely critical moment in human history. To understand why, let us look at the temporal window of humanity and ask: When will the last human be born and how many people will there ever be? Sources & further reading: https://sites.google.com/view/sources-last-human/ Follow the show to join us in this audio experience of Kurzgesagt - In a Nutshell. A fan-made show out of admiration for the works of Kurzgesagt - In a Nutshell. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

WE ACTUALLY TALK ABOUT TOYS! A Little bit? I Guess? "Good Morning Toy World" Your Source for Semi-Premium Adult Related Toy Talk.

Someday, KU will need a new head coach.  Jacob and Tommy wrap up a Monday talking about the eventuality.  

A new MP3 sermon from Trinity Reformed Baptist Church is now available on SermonAudio with the following details: Title: Far Future Final Kingdom Subtitle: Olivet Discourse Speaker: Pastor Brandon F Smith Broadcaster: Trinity Reformed Baptist Church Event: Sunday Service Date: 3/31/2024 Bible: Matthew 25:31-46 Length: 50 min.

Welcome to this special season of the Get Free podcast accompaniment to "Dirge: Black and Indigenous Hemispheric Burial, a Sound Sculpture," which is a multimedia project curated byyour host Tao Leigh Goffe. In these five episodes you will hear from collaborators on themes of stolen land and stolen life in the Western Hemisphere. Four bricks — Mannahatta, Caribbean, Ithaca, the Far Future — in the wall in the sound sculpture symbolize the different site-specific geographies of departure to chart Black and Native life after apocalypse across the Americas. Three groups of students were assigned to curate their interpretation of a place-based sound sculpture. For more information visit:https://www.darklaboratory.com/

This article discusses India's plans to develop a Tsunami Stopping Machine powered by AI to revolutionize disaster response for tsunamis.

This article is about a hypothetical coffee shop called "Cosmic Brews" on the surface of Mercury, with unique features and attractions.

On this edition of The Sideline Guys Powered by Gainbridge, Pat Boylan and Jeremiah Johnson are joined by radio play-by-play voice Mark Boyle. The trio discuss the season to date, Tyrese Haliburton's rising star, and a pivotal stretch for the franchise moving forward. Minute Markers: 0:30 - Catching up with MJB 14:45 - Tyrese Haliburton's Rising Star 25:20 - Future of Franchise

Doug, Devin, and Dan break down NASCAR's 2025 and beyond TV rights deal and the pros and cons of streaming-only. They also discuss the new production hub and what NASCAR's game plan could be. They cover what little there was to be known of the recent short track test and several Silly Season news and rumors, including David Ragan's reunion for the Daytona 500.

This week we went down memory lane and talked about our first forays into Warhammer, as well as a bucket of tangents and side bars. We also celebrated the release of Snurgle's MiniWargaming Documentary, which you should watch! https://youtu.be/Iiiu2fK9Y0Q?si=NfhEqwqRWKRaU5Qs  Make sure to subscribe to follow us on this journey as we explore the positivity, creativity, and artistry of Warhammer 40000! Thank you so much from us both, to everyone listening, we want you to know we appreciate you! If you'd like to support the show we've launched a patreon! You can find it at patreon.com/ChaosDivided40k Want to connect with us? You can find us on Instagram and on Youtube @ChaosDivided40K where we've begun hosting a live pre-show on (most) Thursday evenings and you can connect with us directly @Nurgle_Snurgle and @BlushingNoiseMarine! --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/chaosdivided/message

Here we are for episode 666! In which Uncle Warren comes for a visit to have a chat about the big TV hits of 1971 in the UK - but he also predicts some events from future episodes of The Shy Life Podcast! Our next show, #667 sees YUJ revealing quite a revelation that involves the magpies and also Cromitty's love life... but what can be done to undo the damage? Please email us  at shyyeti@yahoo.co.uk if you have any comments - you can even send me a sound-file and I'll include it. The music is by Shy Yeti, Muffleyontour, Harry F and Luca. Sound effects by Paul C and Soundbible. All other content is Copyright Paul Chandler, 2023. Episode 666 was recorded on the 26th April 2023.

Hello, beautiful listeners and travelers of the cosmic tapestry. We've have had some relaxing times while wandering around the peaceful forests of aural canyons. We've dipped our toes into a calm, yet vibrant, stream of brilliantly blissful moments. There comes a time when the spacecraft must align the controls for yet another destination in search of the vivid beauty from echoing dreams. While it's blissfully effortless to lay in the pasture of calm, pillowy thoughts and star gaze while recalling worlds unique to ourselves, we have to slowly and softly uproot ourselves in effort to keep on truckin'. This minor disruption is but a very momentary displacement into yet another realm of as-of-yet unseen and unfelt bliss. Our goal is to seek the optimal oasis. All that I ask of you, dear listener, is to ensure that your belt buckle is firmly fastened for another journey into the unknown. Taking mental snapshots of comet tails and celestial dust is highly recommended as we drift sweetly into our new destination. Save these snapshots within your scrapbook of dreams. Each new endeavor we seek to undertake requires effort, and each effort requires resources and creative fuel. Sure, you could apply minimal effort and coast on closing your eyes tightly and shaking your head for 10 seconds to bring yourself out of a slump. But that sort of solution is not a problem solver at all. Rather, it is but a mere distraction like shaking a jar of wasps and expecting them to behave. Nay, dear listener, your reset and expulsion into the realm of rejuvenation requires a recoating of your grey matter with the sweet nectar of sound and color. This journey is designed to do just that. Feel the tingling sensation of new synapses awakening, old neurons developing fresh pathways, and a soulful re-awakening. Here, you will come to realize that there are indeed more peaceful pastures to explore and camp at. Spaceman's Transmissions is devoted to ensuring that your flight there is brewed with equal parts beauty, intensity, comfort, and solace. You have our guarantee or your money back.  So, drift into the spacecraft with your boy Tonepoet at the helm, and slowly (snail's pace) buckle yourself into your dream pod for an expedition through the cosmos. Together, we'll all make the journey to another tomorrow and seek to optimize ourselves by letting go of the troubled baggage and stocking up on positive atmospheric transmissions.  Turn on, tune in, drift on... https://www.tonepoet-music.com  https://www.facebook.com/tonepoetmusic   TRACK LISTING “Station ID” by Tonepoet from Nunya (Start Time: 00:00)  “Visions” by Telomere from Lux Primordia (Start Time: 00:30)  “Sea Gradients” by Fog Net from Headlands (Start Time: 09:42)  “The Wilder We Became” by Ben McElroy & A Spot On The Hill from Everything Was Different Yesterday (Start Time: 16:13)  “Vimana” by Ancient Astronaut from Through the Tunnel of Love (Start Time: 19:30)  “Ideas of the Far Future” by Anders Nils from Ideas of the Far Future (Start Time: 23:16)  “At The Waters Edge” by Monty Adkins from Audiobulb Records (Exhibition #100) (Start Time: 29:04)  “The Warm Light Makes You Relax (Excerpt)” by Cliffdiver from Cliffdiver (Start Time: 37:03)  “Autumn Sun” by Winks from Intraset 016: Daydream - Vox Verto (Start Time: 42:33)  “Day V - Room With A View” by Fallen from Of Memories And Hopes (Start Time: 46:19)  “Canopy” by Gus Tomizuka from Prospect & Refuge (Start Time: 52:00)  “Seele Heimat (Excerpt)” by Henrik Meierkord from Gesichten (Start Time: 54:50)

Podcast: Dwarkesh Podcast Episode: Carl Shulman (Pt 2) - AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far FutureRelease date: 2023-06-26The second half of my 7 hour conversation with Carl Shulman is out!My favorite part! And the one that had the biggest impact on my worldview.Here, Carl lays out how an AI takeover might happen:* AI can threaten mutually assured destruction from bioweapons,* use cyber attacks to take over physical infrastructure,* build mechanical armies,* spread seed AIs we can never exterminate,* offer tech and other advantages to collaborating countries, etcPlus we talk about a whole bunch of weird and interesting topics which Carl has thought about:* what is the far future best case scenario for humanity* what it would look like to have AI make thousands of years of intellectual progress in a month* how do we detect deception in superhuman models* does space warfare favor defense or offense* is a Malthusian state inevitable in the long run* why markets haven't priced in explosive economic growth* & much moreCarl also explains how he developed such a rigorous, thoughtful, and interdisciplinary model of the biggest problems in the world.Watch on YouTube. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any other podcast platform. Read the full transcript here. Follow me on Twitter for updates on future episodes.Catch part 1 hereTimestamps(0:00:00 - Intro (0:00:47 - AI takeover via cyber or bio (0:32:27 - Can we coordinate against AI? (0:53:49 - Human vs AI colonizers (1:04:55 - Probability of AI takeover (1:21:56 - Can we detect deception? (1:47:25 - Using AI to solve coordination problems (1:56:01 - Partial alignment (2:11:41 - AI far future (2:23:04 - Markets & other evidence (2:33:26 - Day in the life of Carl Shulman (2:47:05 - Space warfare, Malthusian long run, & other rapid fire This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.dwarkeshpatel.com

Podcast: Dwarkesh Podcast Episode: Carl Shulman (Pt 2) - AI Takeover, Bio & Cyber Attacks, Detecting Deception, & Humanity's Far FutureRelease date: 2023-06-26The second half of my 7 hour conversation with Carl Shulman is out!My favorite part! And the one that had the biggest impact on my worldview.Here, Carl lays out how an AI takeover might happen:* AI can threaten mutually assured destruction from bioweapons,* use cyber attacks to take over physical infrastructure,* build mechanical armies,* spread seed AIs we can never exterminate,* offer tech and other advantages to collaborating countries, etcPlus we talk about a whole bunch of weird and interesting topics which Carl has thought about:* what is the far future best case scenario for humanity* what it would look like to have AI make thousands of years of intellectual progress in a month* how do we detect deception in superhuman models* does space warfare favor defense or offense* is a Malthusian state inevitable in the long run* why markets haven't priced in explosive economic growth* & much moreCarl also explains how he developed such a rigorous, thoughtful, and interdisciplinary model of the biggest problems in the world.Watch on YouTube. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any other podcast platform. Read the full transcript here. Follow me on Twitter for updates on future episodes.Catch part 1 hereTimestamps(0:00:00 - Intro (0:00:47 - AI takeover via cyber or bio (0:32:27 - Can we coordinate against AI? (0:53:49 - Human vs AI colonizers (1:04:55 - Probability of AI takeover (1:21:56 - Can we detect deception? (1:47:25 - Using AI to solve coordination problems (1:56:01 - Partial alignment (2:11:41 - AI far future (2:23:04 - Markets & other evidence (2:33:26 - Day in the life of Carl Shulman (2:47:05 - Space warfare, Malthusian long run, & other rapid fire Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at www.dwarkeshpatel.com/subscribe

The second half of my 7 hour conversation with Carl Shulman is out!My favorite part! And the one that had the biggest impact on my worldview.Here, Carl lays out how an AI takeover might happen:* AI can threaten mutually assured destruction from bioweapons,* use cyber attacks to take over physical infrastructure,* build mechanical armies,* spread seed AIs we can never exterminate,* offer tech and other advantages to collaborating countries, etcPlus we talk about a whole bunch of weird and interesting topics which Carl has thought about:* what is the far future best case scenario for humanity* what it would look like to have AI make thousands of years of intellectual progress in a month* how do we detect deception in superhuman models* does space warfare favor defense or offense* is a Malthusian state inevitable in the long run* why markets haven't priced in explosive economic growth* & much moreCarl also explains how he developed such a rigorous, thoughtful, and interdisciplinary model of the biggest problems in the world.Watch on YouTube. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or any other podcast platform. Read the full transcript here. Follow me on Twitter for updates on future episodes.Catch part 1 here80,000 hoursThis episode is sponsored by 80,000 hours. To get their free career guide (and to help out this podcast), please visit 80000hours.org/lunar.80,000 hours is without any close second the best resource to learn about the world's most pressing problems and how you can solve them.If this conversation has got you concerned, and you want to get involved, then check out the excellent 80,000 hours guide on how to help with AI risk.To advertise on The Lunar Society, contact me at dwarkesh.sanjay.patel@gmail.com.Timestamps(00:02:50) - AI takeover via cyber or bio(00:34:30) - Can we coordinate against AI?(00:55:52) - Human vs AI colonizers(01:06:58) - Probability of AI takeover(01:23:59) - Can we detect deception?(01:49:28) - Using AI to solve coordination problems(01:58:04) - Partial alignment(02:13:44) - AI far future(02:25:07) - Markets & other evidence(02:35:29) - Day in the life of Carl Shulman(02:49:08) - Space warfare, Malthusian long run, & other rapid fireTranscript Get full access to The Lunar Society at www.dwarkeshpatel.com/subscribe

Our guest for episode #8 is Rick Pyle who has documented many thousands of his out of body experiences which began when he was an infant.   This episode includes many stories from Rick's adventures in the Astral Plane, including alien encounters, visiting the future and receiving angelic guidance.

You can view this talk with the video on the GPI YouTube channel. The Atkinson Memorial Lecture is an annual distinguished lecture series established in 2018 in memory of Professor Sir Tony Atkinson, jointly by the Global Priorities Institute and the Department of Economics. The aim is to encourage research among academic economists on topics related to global prioritisation - using evidence and reason to figure out the most effective ways to improve the world. This year, we were delighted to have Professor Marc Fleurbaey deliver the Atkinson Memorial Lecture. The Atkinson Memorial lecture is organised in conjunction with the Parfit Memorial Lecture.The full transcript is available here: https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org...Find out more about the Global Priorities Institute: https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/Effective Altruism is a social movement dedicated to finding ways to do the most good possible, whether through charitable donations, career choices, or volunteer projects. EA Global conferences are gatherings for EAs to meet. You can also listen to this talk along with its accompanying video on YouTube.

In this LevelUp episode, Melissa sits down with our very own maestro of creatives Dan Greenberg, Chief Design Officer at ironSource. They talk AI image generation, what it is, how it can be used now, and what it needs to truly change the game. Tune in here or read the highlights: https://www.is.com/community/podcasts/levelup/dan-greenberg-ai-and-creatives/

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Should strong longtermists really want to minimize existential risk?, published by tobycrisford on December 4, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Strong longtermists believe there is a non-negligible chance that the future will be enormous. For example, earth-originating life may one day fill the galaxy with 1040 digital minds. The future therefore has enormous expected value, and concern for the long-term should almost always dominate near-term considerations, at least for those decisions where our goal is to maximize expected value. It is often stated that strong longtermism reduces in practice to the goal: “minimize existential risk at all costs”. I argue here that this is inaccurate. I claim that a more accurate way of summarising the strong longtermist goal is: “minimize existential risk at all costs conditional on the future possibly being very big”. I believe the distinction between these two goals has important practical implications. The strong longtermist goal may actually conflict with the goal of minimizing existential risk unconditionally. In the next section I describe a thought experiment to demonstrate my claim. In the following section I argue that this is likely to be relevant to the actual world we find ourselves in. In the final section I give some concluding remarks on what we should take away from all this. The Anti-Apocalypse Machine The Earth is about to be destroyed by a cosmic disaster. This disaster would end all life, and snuff out all of our enormous future potential. Fortunately, physicists have almost settled on a grand unified theory of everything that they believe will help them build a machine to save us. They are 99% certain that the world is described by Theory A, which tells us we can be saved if we build Machine A. But there is a 1% chance that the correct theory is actually Theory B, in which case we need to build Machine B. We only have the time and resources to build one machine. It appears that our best bet is to build Machine A, but there is a catch. If Theory B is true, then the expected value of our future is many orders of magnitude larger (although it is enormous under both theories). This is because Theory B leaves open the possibility that we may one day develop slightly-faster-than-light travel, while Theory A being true would make that impossible. Due to the spread of strong longtermism, Earth's inhabitants decide that they should build Machine B, acting as if the speculative Theory B is correct, since this is what maximizes expected value. Extinction would be far worse in the Theory B world than the Theory A world, so they decide to take the action which would prevent extinction in that world. They deliberately choose a 99% chance of extinction over a 1% chance, risking all of humanity, and all of humanity's future potential. The lesson here is that strong longtermism gives us the goal to minimize existential risk conditional on the future possibly being very big, and that may conflict with the goal to minimize existential risk unconditionally. Relevance for the actual world The implication of the above thought experiment is that strong longtermism tells us to look at the set of possible theories about the world, pick the one in which the future is largest, and, if it is large enough, act as if that theory were true. This is likely to have absurd consequences if carried to its logical conclusion, even in real world cases. I explore some examples in this section. The picture becomes more confusing when you consider theories which permit the future to have infinite value. In Nick Beckstead's original thesis, On the Overwhelming Importance of Shaping the Far Future, he explicitly singles out infinite value cases as examples of where we should abandon expected value maximization, and switch to using a more timid deci...

Favorite pirate media contest award show. Special thanks to that buccaneer Capt'n Rob from Down in a Heap https://anchor.fm/rob-c for joining me to discuss the entries. Spoilers for Starz' Black Sails and more adult discussion in part 3 of the show Entries (in order of receipt) John Lenin Joe (Hindsightless) https://anchor.fm/joe-richter9 Karl (The GMologist presents…) https://anchor.fm/karl-rodriguez Kevin (The Redcaps Podcast) https://anchor.fm/theredcaps Jason (Random Screed) https://anchor.fm/jason-hobbs Safer (Safer Fantasy Crafting) https://anchor.fm/sfc-saferfantasycrafting Joe (Raven God Games) https://ravengodgames.blogspot.com/ Sonny (Airborneguy on discord) Reece Taylor (Clerics Wear Ringmail) https://anchor.fm/clerics-wear-ringmail Ray (Plundergrounds) https://rayotus.carrd.co/ Rich (Cockatrice Nuggets) https://anchor.fm/rich-fraser Peter (spezbaby on discord) Colin (Spikepit) https://anchor.fm/spikepit David (Betelnut Games) https://www.betelnutgames.com/ Vic (Scourge of the North on discord) https://www.davecon.net/ Brian (Have To Look That Up) https://anchor.fm/havetolookthatup Eric (The Omega 3D Chicken Coop) https://anchor.fm/eric-salzwedel Mentioned: Book: Cochrane by David Cordingly Board games Swashbuckler: A Game of Swordplay & Derring Do, Adventurer: A Game of Man to Man Brawling in the Far Future, Pirate's Cove, Merchants & Marauders St. Augustine Pirate & Treasure Museum https://www.thepiratemuseum.com/ Podcasts: Grim & Mild Presents https://www.grimandmild.com/presents , GrogTalk https://www.grogcon.com/podcast/ Convention: DaveCon2023 https://www.davecon.net/ Movie Trailers: Shakma trailer https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dL3hX1VtgFw , Raw Force trailer https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oKZ-NjAzh0w TTRPGs: ICE's Rolemaster Pirates supplement, Pinnacle's 50 Fathoms for Savage Worlds https://peginc.com/savage-settings/50fathoms/ , Pirate Borg, Poison'd Movies: Captain Kidd, Conquest, Ice Pirates, Muppet Treasure Island, Raw Force, Shakma, The Black Pirate, The Crimson Pirate, The Princess and the Pirate, The Pirate Movie, The Pirates of Penzance, Treasure Island, White Dog To contact the show: https://nerdsrpgvarietycast.carrd.co/ --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/jason376/message

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Wild animal welfare in the far future, published by saulius on July 8, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Opinions expressed here are solely my own and do not express the views or opinions of my employer. Summary In this article, I analyze which far-future wild animal welfare (WAW) scenarios seem most important from a utilitarian perspective, and what we can do about them. While I don't think that WAW is among the most important longtermist considerations, perhaps a few small projects in this area are worthwhile. Scenarios where humans have the biggest impact on WAW seem to be about spreading wildlife: Humans could transform hundreds of millions of planets to be similar to Earth (including wildlife) so that humans could live on them. E.g., if an artificial general intelligence (AGI) is aligned, and humans in charge are only interested in space colonization with biological humans and animals. Humans could create artificial settlements in space that contain some wildlife. Humans could spread wildlife to other planets with life without colonizing them, perhaps because they value life in itself. Advanced civilizations or AIs may create simulations of wildlife with sentient digital animals. Some physicists theorize that it may be possible to create universes in a laboratory. I don't think that these scenarios are very likely, but they are still important because some of them could result in quadrillions of animals suffering on millions of planets for billions of years. Compared to the scenarios above, what happens with WAW on Earth in the far future seems relatively less important, as it only impacts one planet. Hence, perhaps WAW advocates should think more about how their actions affect these scenarios where wildlife is spread beyond Earth. To reduce the probability of humans spreading of wildlife in a way that causes a lot of suffering, we could: Directly argue about caring about WAW if humans ever spread wildlife beyond Earth Lobby to expand the application of an existing international law that tries to protect other planets from being contaminated with Earth life by spacecrafts to planets outside of our solar system. Continue building EA and WAW communities to ensure that there will be people in the future who care about WAW. Spread the general concern for WAW (e.g., through WAW documentaries, outreach to academia). However, I don't think that the actions listed above should be a longtermist priority, partly because I think that digital minds are much more important. Digital minds can be much more efficient, thrive in environments where biological beings can't, use many more resources, etc. Hence, I believe that they dominate in terms of importance in the far future. I think that spreading biological life is among the most important far-future considerations only if one believes with a very high credence that digital minds can't or won't be sentient. But EA is probably now big enough for it to be worthwhile for someone to do work on issues that might not be top priority. In the last section of this article, I list open questions that could inform us on how to address far-future WAW concerns and could be researched with surveys. At a few points in the article, I assume that spreading wildlife without addressing WAW issues might be undesirable. I explain why in the Why I'm against spreading wildlife section. Everything in this article is very speculative. Many of the ideas I discuss have been written about before (particularly by Brian Tomasik), but I believe that I analyze some of them a bit deeper. Also, this is my first time looking into longtermist topics, so please point out in the comments if some of my thoughts or assumptions are naive. Far-future WAW scenarios Below, I analyze how WAW and WAW advocacy is relevant in various scenarios of the future. Animals m...

I interview Chris, the designer of Crystallum: Conflict in the Far Future, a 15mm futuristic war game pitting company sized combined arms units against each other. Designed for a 4 by 4 play surface with an average game lasting two hours. Chris represents the small game designer with a dream and the grit to see it through. Check it out at: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/gaddisgaming/crystallum-conflict-in-the-far-future?ref=nav_search&result=project&term=crystallum

This month I was joined by game developer, Chris Masucci, creator of Crystallum: 15mm Epic Battles in the Far Future, currently on Kickstarter. Chris was kind enough to get into the nitty gritty of what makes this game of combined arms combat compelling in terms of its, game play, miniature sculpts, and background material. Crystallum is Chris' first professionally published game and I'm really excited to get my hands on it. As usual, this episode was exclusive to Brush Wielders Union members for a few days before being released to the general public.Union Strong!—Simon BermanGeneral President, Brush Wielders Union

The future is uncertain, a bit spooky, possibly dangerous, maybe wonderful. We cope with this never-ending uncertainty by telling stories about the future: future stories. How do we construct those stories? Where is the future, the place where we set those stories? Can we trust our future stories? And what sort of futures do they show us? David Christian is renowned for pioneering the emerging discipline of Big History, which surveys the whole of the past. In this conversation, he reveals what he thinks the future holds for our species. Shermer and Christian discuss: past patterns projected into the future • What is time and when do the past and future begin? • How long is the present “now”? • A-Series Time and B-Series Time • time as the 4th dimension • chaos theory and predicting the future • entropy, the Second Law of Thermodynamics, and the direction of time • general relativity and time • how we experience time psychologically and anthropologically • likelihood of outcomes and Bayesian probabilities • how organisms manage the future • how human organisms manage the future • how futurists think about the future • how people in the past thought about the future • the next 100, 1,000, and 10,000 years • the next million years, and the end of time. David Christian is a Professor Emeritus at Macquarie University, where he was formerly a Distinguished Professor of History and the director of the Big History Institute. He cofounded the Big History Project with Bill Gates, his Coursera MOOCs are popular around the world, and he is cocreator of the Macquarie University Big History School. He has delivered keynotes at conferences around the world, including the Davos World Economic Forum, and his TED Talk has been viewed more than 12 million times. He is the author of numerous books and articles, as well as the New York Times bestseller Origin Story.

What could our human future look like in the very long term?Speakers include: Adam Brown, StanfordChris Kemp, AstraChristine Peterson, Foresight InstituteGaia Dempsey, MetaculusRobin Hanson, George Mason UniversityMusic: I Knew a Guy by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Source: http://incompetech.com/music/royalty-free/index.html?isrc=USUAN1100199Artist: http://incompetech.com/Remarks: The length of this recording has been altered.Session summary: The Far Future & Space Tech Tree: Space & Longtermism | Vision Weekend US 2021 - Foresight InstituteThe Foresight Institute is a research organization and non-profit that supports the beneficial development of high-impact technologies. Since our founding in 1987 on a vision of guiding powerful technologies, we have continued to evolve into a many-armed organization that focuses on several fields of science and technology that are too ambitious for legacy institutions to support.Allison Duettmann is the president and CEO of Foresight Institute. She directs the Intelligent Cooperation, Molecular Machines, Biotech & Health Extension, Neurotech, and Space Programs, Fellowships, Prizes, and Tech Trees, and shares this work with the public. She founded Existentialhope.com, co-edited Superintelligence: Coordination & Strategy, co-authored Gaming the Future, and co-initiated The Longevity Prize. Apply to Foresight's virtual salons and in person workshops here!We are entirely funded by your donations. If you enjoy what we do please consider donating through our donation page.Visit our website for more content, or join us here:TwitterFacebookLinkedInEvery word ever spoken on this podcast is now AI-searchable using Fathom.fm, a search engine for podcasts.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Why the expected numbers of farmed animals in the far future might be huge, published by Fai on March 4, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Summary In case you read my comment in the The Future Fund's Project Ideas Competition post, this is kind of a detailed version of the comment. This post is essentially a case that factory farming could be a longtermist cause area. (but not a case that the current portfolio of work on factory farming are good or relevant for the future) Alternatively, you can see this post as a response to claims similar to this: “The scale of the problem of factory farming itself (ignoring potential long-run benefits of animal advocacy) is small compared to the scale of issues affecting future generations.” Unlike previous attempts like this or this, this post does not base the case on arguments about the flow-through/knock-on effects of farmed animal advocacy (or other animal advocacy). I used the expected number of humans by (Future of Humanity Institute 2021),as a basis of my guesstimates. This formed my view that the case for concerning about farmed animals in the far future is at least as strong as the case for concerning about humans in the far future. The strongest argument against the importance of this post is that, in expectation, artificial sentience will far outnumber the number of farmed animals. The caveat is that this argument would also suggest that humans are not of significant concern in the longtermist worldview. The only intervention I am proposing in light of this proposed longtermist cause area, is to do research to update the guesstimates I provided in this post. Why this post? In 10+ (I believe 12-14, I regret not tracking them seriously from the start) discussions (mine vs others, and also discussions I see on EA forum, podcasts, forwarded emails, etc.) about longtermism, I often heard from other longtermists claim that factory farming is a “shortermist”/non-lontermist cause area. For example, 80000 hours said in their factory farming cause area profile: “The scale of the problem of factory farming itself (ignoring potential long-run benefits of animal advocacy) is small compared to the scale of issues affecting future generations.” The most often heard (in fact, I don't remember a single case when it wasn't) justification for this view is that, they believe, factory farming is grossly energy inefficient in comparison with its potential substitutes, especially cultivated meat, and therefore will likely (some say certainly) be replaced. I (and a few people in animal welfare and alternative protein spaces I talked to) am personally baffled by the level of certainty they tend to have on the claim, and also the lack of support further than the energy efficiency argument. Since then, I have found more and more evidence that this view is probably misinformed. And since the truth of this claim might have very significant implications for the longtermist picture (especially for people who focus more on S-risk then X-risk). I decided to write a post on it. Applying the expected value theory, also to animal issues Before going into the technical details of the topic. I want to discuss a bit about applying the expected value theory consistently. In quite a lot of discussions on the relation between animal welfare and longtermism, people made arguments like “I think a key objection for me is to the idea that wild animals will be included in space settlement in any significant numbers.“ Or “I'm pretty optimistic this won't happen however. I think by default we should expect that the future (if we don't die out), will be predominantly composed of humans and our (digital) descendants, rather than things that look like wild animals today.” I think this type of responses suffer from the same problem, that they are not strong enough to...

Children of Dune by Frank Herbert Children of Dune (TV Miniseries) (Image is of the Gerry Grace cover for Children of Dune) Intro 00:07 // Synopsis 01:15 // Remarks 26:51 (narrative transformation of Fremen and House Atreides, Pharaonic Imperium, The Hero’s Journey and the Monomyth, agency in an established timeline) // Media 39:32 Patreon Support…Read more 107: Children of Dune by Frank Herbert

Dune Messiah by Frank Herbert Children of Dune (TV Miniseries) (image source: isfdb.org) Intro 00:07 // Synopsis 01:39 // Remarks 13:21 (humans as special weapons, Bene Gesserit and Bene Tleilax, shapers and mechanists, law and chaos, changing face of Arrakis, plot structure and pacing, noble houses under siege) // Media 30:12 Patreon Support this podcast…Read more 106: Dune Messiah by Frank Herbert

Today the boys are joined by their first ever guest to discuss the best (or possibly worst?) game about child soldiers fighting over scrap in the far future, Necromunda. We also ramble about a bunch of other stuff as well, but it's mostly Necromunda.   Also, follow us on dice_like_ice_podcast on Instagram, or send us questions and comment to dicelikeicepodcast@gmail.com.

Dune by Frank Herbert Dune (1984 film) directed by David Lynch Frank Herbert's Dune (TV miniseries) Dune (2021 film) directed by Denis Villeneuve Intro 00:07 // Synopsis 01:47 // Extra 20:17 // Remarks 26:06 (transhumanism, worms as dragons, ecological mysteries) // Media 36:39 (screen versions, best actors, RPGs) Patreon Support this podcast on The Fictoplasm…Read more 105: Dune by Frank Herbert

Alfred Enoch of Harry Potter and How to Get Away with Murder fame. Talks to theblerdgurl about his new AppleTV+ show Foundation The post Podcast: Alfred Enoch discusses diversity in the far future of Foundation on Apple TV+ appeared first on theblerdgurl.

Gideon the Ninth by Tamsyn Muir Intro 00:07 // Synopsis 02:25 // Remarks 12:12 (paired characters 12:16, locked room mysteries and LARP 20:38, magic and Thanergy 26:52) // Media 32:01 (Sabriel) Patreon Support this podcast on The Fictoplasm Patreon! Music Credits Music is by Chris Zabriskie: chriszabriskie.com // bandcamp // instagram // youtube Samples: “Is…Read more 96: Gideon the Ninth by Tamsyn Muir

Hawkmoon by Michael Moorcock Millenium edition, 1992 HB ISBN 1 85798 027 1 Ralph with Dirk the Dice from the Grognard Files podcast Show Notes Introductions 00:07 The Cover 04:46 The Foreword 09:44 Synopsis 10:41 (The Jewel in the Skull, The Mad God’s Amulet, The Sword of Dawn, The Runestaff) Favorite bits 23:43 (Count Brass,…Read more 82: Hawkmoon by Michael Moorcock (the Tale of the Eternal Champion vol. 3)

The Eternal Champion by Michael Moorcock Millenium edition, 1992 HB ISBN 1 85798 026 3 Show Notes Intro 00:07 // The Cover 00:39 // Foreword 01:15 // Summaries 02:18 (The Eternal Champion, Phoenix in Obsidian, The Dragon in the Sword) // Favorite bits 19:10 (Arrival of Erekose, The Good One, no good deaths, endings) //…Read more 79: The Eternal Champion by Michael Moorcock (Tale of the Eternal Champion vol. 2)

Sam and Nicole go into detail about what they learned after attending UDOT's Little Cottonwood Canyon public access meeting this week. Later, the team discusses recently announced U.S. visa restrictions and how they may hurt the ski industry.Relevant links:Why Utah's Little Cottonwood Canyon Gondola—Or Any Traffic Relief Project—Won't Be Coming Anytime Soon: https://www.peakrankings.com/content/why-utahs-little-cottonwood-canyon-gondola-wont-be-coming-anytime-soon Cottonwood Express Proposal: https://www.dropbox.com/s/g0bjoposmk30a1g/Little%20Cottonwood%20Canyon%20-%20Boring%20Company%20tunnels%20proposal.pdf?dl=0 Visa restriction article: https://www.fragomen.com/insights/alerts/president-trump-imposes-ban-h-1b-l-1-h-2b-and-j-1-entry-beginning-june-24 

Viriconium by M. John Harrison Show Notes Synopsis 03:47 // Act 1 (Viriconium Knights, The Pastel City, Lords of Misrule) 04:13 // Act 2 (Strange Great Sins, A Storm Of Wings, The Dancer and the Dance, The Luck in the Head, The Lamia and Lord Cromis) 09:47 // Act 3 (In Viriconium, A Young Man's…Read more Episode 69: Viriconium by M. John Harrison (cities series pt 1)

Rhi and Paul join Ralph to talk about Iain M. Banks' Excession and The Culture. Post-scarcity, intelligent starships, body modification and first contact. Show Notes Excession (and other Culture novels) by Iain M. Banks Rhiannon Lassiter, Paul Mitchener and Ralph Lovegrove Overview of The Culture 00:50 Synopsis of Excession 05:40 Themes 12:05 Diverging human cultures…Read more Episode 4.02: Excession by Iain M. Banks

Being forced to dress for dinner has a rather deleterious effect on our Doctor's sense of caution. Is it that her corset is too tight? The rustling silk of her skirts too heavy? The kid leather of her gloves to constricting? Whatever the cause, the result is a champagne-fueled flight into the far future under … Continue reading "A Far Future Universe"