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Darren welcomes Dr John Kunkel for the first time to the podcast. John is Senior Economics Adviser at the United States Studies Centre. He has worked as an economist, speech writer, policy analyst, adviser to government and industry executive. John is most well-known for being Chief of Staff to Prime Minister Scott Morrison from August 2018 to May 2022. From 2004 to 2007, he was also speech writer to Prime Minister John Howard. John has the ideal background to discuss the current geopolitical and geoeconomic moment Australia faces. He holds a PhD in economics from ANU and understands why markets and openness have been essential to Australia's success. But as a PM's Chief of Staff, including during the COVID outbreak, John is well aware of the complexity of Australia's national interests, the difficult of making policy, and the challenges posed by China and, lately, Donald Trump's America. The conversation starts with President Trump and the United States, moves to China, and finishes at home on how Australia needs new thinking, and new policy processes, to navigate this moment in history. Australia in the World is written, hosted, and produced by Darren Lim, with research and editing this episode Corbin Duncan and theme music composed by Rory Stenning. Relevant links John Kunkel (bio): https://www.ussc.edu.au/john-kunkel Adam Posen, “Trade wars are easy to lose”, Foreign Affairs, 9 April 2025: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/tariffs-trade-wars-are-easy-lose Yuval Levin Wikipedia page (author of “The Great Debate”, “The Fractured Republic” and “A Time to Build”): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuval_Levin Thomas Sowell, A Conflict of Visions (1987): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Conflict_of_Visions James Q Wilson, The Moral Sense (1993): https://www.simonandschuster.com.au/books/The-Moral-Sense/James-Q-Wilson/9780684833323 China Talk (podcast), “Ezra, Derek and Dan Wang”, 9 May 2025: https://www.chinatalk.media/p/abundance-and-antagonism
Dan Wang, Eurasia Group's China director, joined "Forbes Newsroom" to discuss the temporary trade agreement between China and the United States, and what needs to happen in the continuing negotiations. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Does anybody really understand China? Could America pursue an abundance agenda without the threat of the PRC? Can podcasters change the world? To discuss, ChinaTalk interviewed Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, who need no introduction, as well as Dan Wang, who has written beautiful annual letters and is back in the US as a research fellow at Kotkin's Hoover History Lab. He has an excellent book called Breakneck coming out this August, but we're saving that show for a little later this year. Today, our conversation covers… The use of China as a rhetorical device in US domestic discourse, Oversimplified aspects of Chinese development, and why the bipartisan consensus surrounding Beijing might fail to produce a coherent strategy, The abundance agenda and technocratic vs prophetic strategies for policy change, How to conceptualize political actors complexly, including unions, corporations, and environmental groups, The value of podcasting and strategies for positively impacting the modern media environment. Outtro Music: Recomposed by Max Richter, I went with a deep cut Autumn 3 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sUEeqvp_BrQ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Does anybody really understand China? Could America pursue an abundance agenda without the threat of the PRC? Can podcasters change the world? To discuss, ChinaTalk interviewed Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, who need no introduction, as well as Dan Wang, who has written beautiful annual letters and is back in the US as a research fellow at Kotkin's Hoover History Lab. He has an excellent book called Breakneck coming out this August, but we're saving that show for a little later this year. Today, our conversation covers… The use of China as a rhetorical device in US domestic discourse, Oversimplified aspects of Chinese development, and why the bipartisan consensus surrounding Beijing might fail to produce a coherent strategy, The abundance agenda and technocratic vs prophetic strategies for policy change, How to conceptualize political actors complexly, including unions, corporations, and environmental groups, The value of podcasting and strategies for positively impacting the modern media environment. Outtro Music: Recomposed by Max Richter, I went with a deep cut Autumn 3 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sUEeqvp_BrQ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Does Robert Moses deserve eternal condemnation? On the 50th anniversary of the publication of ‘The Power Broker', Robert Caro's iconic biography of Moses, Dan Wang and Ross Barkan add nuance and balance to what has been a powerfully one-sided conversation. Plus, in a postscript, Bradley and Howard Wolfson trade ideas on what we'd ask Moses to build today if he could be raised from the dead.This episode was recorded at P&T Knitwear at 180 Orchard Street — New York City's only free podcast recording studio.Send us an email with your thoughts on today's episode: info@firewall.media.Subscribe to Bradley's weekly newsletter, follow Bradley on Linkedin + Substack + YouTube, and be sure to pre-order his upcoming book, Vote With Your Phone.
Chinese Premier Li Qiang used his address at a World Economic Forum meeting in Dalian to hit back at accusations from the US and EU alleging that Chinese firms benefit from unfair subsidies and are poised to flood their markets with cheap green technologies. China maintains that it simply decided to invest in green technologies earlier, and that the West's actions are unjustified. So far, China and Chinese analysts have consistently rejected accusations it has an over-capacity problem or that its firms benefit from unfair subsidies, asserting that as the $18.6 trillion economy recovers, supply will better meet demand. On this episode of Morning Shot, Dan Wang, Chief Economist, Hang Seng Bank China shares her analysis. Presented by: Audrey Siek Produced & Edited by: Yeo Kai Ting (ykaiting@sph.com.sg) Assistant Producer: Simone Chuah Photo credits: World Economic ForumSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Steep price cuts and bargain hunts are becoming the new norm in China. And that comes amid falling pork prices to multi-year lows. On episode of Morning Shot, Dan Wang, Chief Economist at Hang Seng Bank China shares her insights on how those developments are hardening China's deflation battle. Presented by: Emaad Akhtar & Audrey Siek Produced and edited by: Yeo Kai Ting (ykaiting@sph.com.sg)See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In her third appearance on the show, Chinese food expert Fuchsia Dunlop joins Tyler and a group of special guests to celebrate the release of Invitation to a Banquet, her new book exploring the history, philosophy, and techniques of Chinese culinary culture. As with her previous appearance, this conversation was held over a banquet meal at Mama Chang and was hosted by Lydia Chang. As they dined, the group discussed why the diversity in Chinese cuisine is still only just being appreciated in the West, how far back our understanding of it goes, how it's represented in the Caribbean and Ireland, whether technique trumps quality of ingredients, why certain cuisines can spread internationally with higher fidelity, what we can learn from the different styles in Indian and Chinese cooking, why several dishes on the table featured Amish ingredients, the most likely mistake people will make when making a stir fry, what Lydia has learned managing an empire of Chinese restaurants, Fuchsia's trick for getting unstuck while writing, and more. Joining Tyler, Fuchsia, and Lydia around the table were Dan Wang, Rasheed Griffith, Fergus McCollough, and Sam Enright. Special thanks to Chef Peter Chang, Lydia, and all the staff at Mama Chang for the wonderful meal. Donate to Conversations with Tyler and help us keep the conversations going. Read a full transcript enhanced with helpful links. Recorded November 9th, 2023. Other ways to connect Follow us on X and Instagram Follow Tyler on X Follow Fuchsia on X Join our Discord Email us: cowenconvos@mercatus.gmu.edu Learn more about Conversations with Tyler and other Mercatus Center podcasts here. Photo Credit: Anna Bergkvist
This month, President Joe Biden and President Xi Jinping of the People's Republic of China (PRC) met in San Francisco amid trade wars and even the prospect of a catastrophic hot war over Taiwan. Their meeting took place during a nervous period in the history of China. After decades of spectacular growth, the Chinese economic miracle has sputtered, with huge implications for its own population and the world. And yet, even as the most dire aspects of the Chinese economy make headlines, it remains the case that China is the foundry of the green energy revolution, making more solar panels and wind turbines and electric vehicles than any other country. To help us understand how China thinks about economics, technology, and America, we welcome back to the show writer Dan Wang. If you have questions, observations, or ideas for future episodes, email us at PlainEnglish@Spotify.com. Host: Derek Thompson Guest: Dan Wang Producer: Devon Manze Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
In this episode, Gareth Webb sits down with Dan Wang - VP, Finance & Operations at Iterative Health. Tune in for insights on challenges faced when scaling rapidly, talent acquisition strategies, and advice for aspiring leaders. 1:53 Dan's background and growth at Iterative Health 5:13 The 3 key benefits you get from business school and how that can impact your career 7:53 Business school downsides 9:03 Insights into the product and tech behind Iterative Health 11:27 How business needs and employee skill set needs change when businesses grow headcount 12:38 Executive level changes at below and above 80 employees 14:28 Everyone's a generalist - when should this change and the need for higher levels/managers come up? 17:23 Three lessons learned as Iterative went through rapid growth 21:28 Why a chief of staff should be considered in your business as early as Series A 25:08 What tools and frameworks are used in MBA education 27:53 What have you done well to attract top-tier senior talent? 30:15 What do you do when you decide networks don't cut it and you need to go outside help? 32:23 When should you decide to build out an internal TA team? 33:23 How to build out successful onboarding when you 3X headcount 34:43 How junior do you typically hire and how does that change as the company grows 37:23 Making hybrid work models meaningful for in-person interactions 43:38 Advice to ICs aspiring to get to VP 47:23 Recommended resources for continuous learning Listen to the Breakout Podcast: Apple|Spotify Let us know what else you'd like to hear & see covered: contact@outscout.io Connect with Gareth - https://www.linkedin.com/in/gareth-webb-outscout/ Connect with Dan - https://www.linkedin.com/in/danwang11/ See how OutScout can help you smash your hiring goals - https://www.outscout.io/
This week on Sinica, we're running an interview with Jeffrey Bader from early last year. We learned on Monday morning that Jeff had died, and we dedicate this interview to his memory.___This week on Sinica, Kaiser chats with Jeff Bader, who served as senior director for Asian affairs at the National Security Council during the first years of the Obama presidency, until 2011. Now a senior fellow at the John L. Thornton China Center at the Brookings Institute, Jeff was deeply involved in U.S.-China affairs at the State Department from his first posting to Beijing back in 1981 continuously for the next 21 years, through 2002. He later served as U.S. ambassador to Namibia and was tapped to head Asian Affairs at the NSC after Obama took office. Jeff is the author of a fascinating book on Obama's China policy, Obama and China's Rise: An Insider's Account of America's Asia Strategy. In this conversation, he offers a candid critique of the Biden China policy to date.Note that this conversation was taped in mid-February — before the Russian invasion of Ukraine began, and before the Department of Justice announced the end of the “China Initiative.”Note that this conversation was taped in mid-February — before the Russian invasion of Ukraine began, and before the Department of Justice announced the end of the “China Initiative.”3:23 – How viewing China over 40 years of rapid development has shaped the way Jeff thinks about China8:54 – Jeff Bader's critique of the Biden administration's China policy19:40 – Is it important to have a China strategy?24:55 – Right-sizing China's ambitions: Is Rush Doshi right?31:17 – Defining China's legitimate interests38:31 – Has China already concluded that the U.S., irrespective of who is in power, seeks to thwart China's rise?43:16 – How can China participate in the rules-based international order?47:52 – Is it still possible for Biden to change his tune on China?52:57 – How much room does Biden have politically? Can he exploit to electorate's partisan divide on China?59:54 – What is the “low-hanging fruit” that Biden could pluck to signal a lowering of temperature?1:12:09 – Jeff Bader's precepts for better understanding of — and better policy toward — ChinaRecommendationsJeff: Autumn in the Heavenly Kingdom, a book by Stephen Platt about the Taiping Civil War focusing on Hong Rengan.Kaiser: Re-recommending two previous guests' recommendations: Iaian McGilchrists's The Master and his Emissary recommended by Anthea Roberts; and Unfabling the East: The Enlightenment's Encounter with Asia by Jurgen Osterhammel, recommended by Dan Wang.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Dan Wang joins Startup Mindsets to discuss his role as VP of Finance/Operations at Iterative Health How Iterative Health uses computer vision and AI to enable doctors to make more informed decision for patients The advantages an MBA can provide in a career Joining an early stage startup with a ton of uncertainty Working in a startup vs huge corporation Raising a series B over 100M and applying that capital to grow the business What are startup proof points?
Be sure to visit the Irregular Warfare Initiative website to see all of the new articles, podcast episodes, and other content the IWI team is producing! Relations between the United States and China are characterized by growing competition and tension. This is true in a wide range of arenas, but particularly so when it comes to technology. US policy in recent years—from the move to keep companies such as Huawei out of US infrastructure to the CHIPS and Science Act enacted in 2022—is aimed at both preventing Chinese spying and containing China's very ability to access high-end computing power. But where is US-China tech competition headed? In this episode—part of an episode swap with FP Live, produced by Foreign Policy—you'll hear from Dan Wang, who explores that question along with Ravi Agrawal, Foreign Policy editor in chief. A visiting scholar at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center, Wang explains whether US regulatory measures are effective in actually curbing China's ability to produce high-end semiconductor chips and proliferate its technology around the world. He also describes his pessimism about China's long-term economic rise and his belief that the continued rapid pace of China's technological development is not inevitable. Intro music: "Unsilenced" by Ketsa Outro music: "Launch" by Ketsa CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
by Dan Wang
Dan Wang, Chief Economist, Hang Seng Bank China examines the latest trends in Chinese consumerism, including how the stubborn inflation is driving changes in consumption in the world's second largest economy. She also draws interesting parallels between how the Chinese shop for big ticket items in the Mao era versus now. Presented by: Lynlee Foo This podcast was produced and edited by Yeo Kai Ting (ykaiting@sph.com.sg)See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Over the last few years, the United States has moved to limit China's technological rise. U.S.-led sanctions have imposed unprecedented limits on Beijing's access to advanced computing chips. In response, China has accelerated its own efforts to develop its technological industry and reduce its dependence on external imports. Where is U.S.-China tech competition headed? How are other countries being impacted as a result? Technology expert Dan Wang, who was known for his yearly reflections on China when living in Shanghai, joins FP Live host Ravi Agrawal. Suggested reading: Dan Wang: 2022 Letter Dan Wang: 2021 Letter Jon Bateman: Biden Is Now All-In on Taking Out China Agathe Demarais: How the U.S.-Chinese Technology War Is Changing the World Rishi Iyengar and Liam Scott: What the ChatGPT Moment Means for U.S.-China Tech Competition Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Laporan berita padat dan ringkas #AWANI745 bersama Essan Yahya Tumpuan #AWANI745 malam ini:
Laporan berita padat dan ringkas #AWANI745 bersama Essan Yahya Tumpuan #AWANI745 malam ini:
The US government is spending billions of dollars to build out state-of-the-art domestic semiconductor manufacturing capacity. But spending money is no guarantee of success. In fact, there are already worries that the CHIPS Act passed by the Biden administration isn't succeeding, due to various roadblocks, speedbumps and unforced errors. So what are the odds that it will pay off? And what should we be watching for as evidence of its efficacy? On this episode of the podcast, we spoke with Dan Wang, technology analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics and Adam Ozimek, chief economist at the Economic Innovation Group. This episode was recorded live at Decades, Adam's bowling alley in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, during the #EconTwitterIRL event in April.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Hello from the vault! In the first of a series of episodes commemorating TTSG's third anniversary, OG Andy Liu returns.
Paris Marx is joined by Shoshana Wodinsky to discuss the unconvincing arguments being made for a TikTok ban in the United States, then by Daniel Greene to explore how the turn against Chinese technology signals a shift in US policy on the internet and technology. Shoshana Wodinsky is a freelance reporter, previously at Marketwatch and Gizmodo. She writes the Tubes newsletter. Daniel Greene is an assistant professor at the University of Maryland's College of Information Studies and the author of The Promise of Access: Technology, Inequality, and the Political Economy of Hope. Follow Shoshana on Twitter at @swodinsky and Daniel at @Greene_DM.Tech Won't Save Us offers a critical perspective on tech, its worldview, and wider society with the goal of inspiring people to demand better tech and a better world. Follow the podcast (@techwontsaveus) and host Paris Marx (@parismarx) on Twitter, and support the show on Patreon.The podcast is produced by Eric Wickham and part of the Harbinger Media Network. Also mentioned in this episode:Paris wrote about the effort to ban TikTok and why it shows the US desire to protect its technological dominance.Shoshana broke down the Congressional hearing with TikTok's CEO in her newsletter and explained how data brokers get data from many social media apps.A priest was outed through his Grindr data, which was part of a campaign by Catholic conservatives to identify priests using gay dating apps.The Strava fitness app gave away the location of secret US military bases when soldiers used the app on their runs.The FBI and Department of Homeland Security have been buying US phone data.Meta paid a firm linked to the Republican Party to smear TikTok.In Foreign Affairs, Dan Wang explained how China has developed its tech industry with insights gained through the manufacturing process.After TikTok, there's a campaign to get Shein in the crosshairs of lawmakers.Adam Tooze wrote for Foreign Policy about why the US shouldn't feel it can dictate the path of China's development.Support the show
The spotlight is on China this week as government officials and business leaders gather in Hainan for the annual Boao Forum that's taking place in-person for the first time since the COVID-19 outbreak. What's in store for the China's economy? Dan Wang, Chief Economist at Hang Seng Bank China shares her insights on where the superpower is headed. [Find Us on Podcast Platforms] Awedio | Apple Podcasts | Google Podcasts | Spotify | Amazon Music | OmnyStudio [Contact Us] Presenters: Lynlee Foo Producer: Yeo Kai Ting (ykaiting@sph.com.sg) See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In just a few years, the narrative on China has almost completely flipped. The dominant sentiments in America had been awe, envy and a kind of fear. China's growth seemed relentless. Its manufacturing prowess was lapping ours. It weathered the pandemic without the mass death seen in the West. It could build housing and transit and infrastructure at a speed we could no longer even imagine.And then, as 2022 ticked over to 2023, things changed. China's real estate bubble popped. Its Zero Covid policies turned pathological. Its leader, Xi Jinping, turned what many saw as a technocracy with autocratic characteristics into something closer to a plain old autocracy. Foreign investors began looking to diversify. Companies that had long relied on China, like Apple, began trying in earnest to build manufacturing chains elsewhere. And under President Biden, American policy toward China began to match Trumpian rhetoric toward China: Slowing China's rise, and building America's ability to manufacture crucial goods, became central goals.So what's true about China right now? Which of these narratives, if any, hold water? Dan Wang is the technology analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics and a visiting scholar at Yale Law School's Paul Tsai China Center. He focuses particularly on the core vector of U.S.-China competition: technological innovation and manufacturing prowess. Each year, his annual letter about what China can do, and how it does it, is eagerly awaited by many in the United States who are trying to understand that nation's rise. In 2020 and 2021, those letters were profoundly bullish on China. In 2022, his sentiments turned. And so I wanted to explore the various sides of the China story with him.Mentioned:“China's Hidden Tech Revolution” by Dan Wang2020 Letter by Dan Wang2021 Letter by Dan Wang2022 Letter by Dan WangBook Recommendations:The Jesuits by Markus FriedrichLast and First Men by Olaf StapledonDisturbing the Universe by Freeman DysonThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.“The Ezra Klein Show” is produced by Emefa Agawu, Annie Galvin, Jeff Geld, Roge Karma and Kristin Lin. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris and Kate Sinclair. Mixing by Efim Shapiro. Original music by Isaac Jones. Audience strategy by Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Special thanks to Pat McCusker and Kristina Samulewski.
Scientists are getting older. Is this a problem? What's the relationship between age and innovation?This podcast is an audio read through of the (initial version of the) article Age and the Impact of Innovations, originally published on New Things Under the Sun.Articles MentionedCui, Haochuan, Lingfei Wu, and James A. Evans. 2022. Aging Scientists and Slowed Advance. arXiv 2202.04044. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2202.04044Jones, Benjamin, E.J. Reedy, and Bruce A. Weinberg. 2014. Age and Scientific Genius. NBER Working Paper 19866. https://doi.org/10.3386/w19866Yu, Huifeng, Gerald Marschke, Matthew B. Ross, Joseph Staudt and Bruce Weinberg. 2022. Publish or Perish: Selective Attrition as a Unifying Explanation for Patterns in Innovation over the Career. Journal of Human Resources 1219-10630R1. https://doi.org/10.3368/jhr.59.2.1219-10630R1Wu, L., Wang, D. & Evans, J.A. Large teams develop and small teams disrupt science and technology. Nature 566, 378–382 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-0941-9Kaltenberg, Mary, Adam B. Jaffe, and Margie E. Lachman. 2021. Invention and the Life Course: Age Differences in Patenting. NBER Working Paper 28769. https://doi.org/10.3386/w28769Liu, Lu, Yang Wang, Roberta Sinatra, C. Lee Giles, Chaoming Song, and Dan Wang. 2018. Hot streaks in artistic, cultural, and scientific careers. Nature 559: 396-399. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0315-8
The Chinese government's biggest political gathering comes at a time of numerous challenges.Next week will see a major gathering of China's top officials known as the National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party. This event only happens twice every decade, and this particular Congress is happening at an extraordinary time for both the Chinese government and the country. Not only are officials grappling with the impact of strict pandemic-related restrictions known as Covid Zero, but they're also facing turmoil in the economy and the real estate sector. At the same time, external pressures are picking up, with the US recently imposing sweeping curbs on the way semiconductor companies do business with China. So what's on the agenda for this major political event and what can it tell us about the future direction of the Chinese economy? Dan Wang, China technology analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics, joins us to discuss.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Dan Wang, chief economist at Hang Seng Bank China, gives her latest views on the Chinese economy, with a focus on the property and labour markets, as well as the ongoing macro spillovers from the “zero Covid” policy.
Hai trong số ba đầu máy tăng trưởng của Trung Quốc đã bị « hỏng ». Gần đến Đại Hội Đảng, những đám mây đen bao phủ lên kinh tế Trung Quốc càng lúc càng nhiều. Bắc Kinh có phép lạ nào để đảo ngược tình thế ? Theo giáo sư Jean - François Huchet, Viện Ngôn Ngữ và Văn Minh Đông Phương INALCO của Pháp, một trong những chìa khóa chính là sức mua của hơn một tỷ dân. Ngày 15/06/2022 Tổng Cục Thống Kê Trung Quốc thông báo tăng trưởng trong quý 1/2022 cao hơn mong đợi. Kèm theo đó là một loạt những con số minh họa cho điều này : xuất khẩu thực sự phục hồi cho dù nhiều nhà máy tại các khu công nghiệp phải đóng cửa trong nhiều tuần lễ hay cảng Thượng Hải bị ách tắc vì hơn một tháng phong tỏa nghiêm ngặt. Chưa đầy ba tuần sau, thủ tướng Lý Khắc Cường cảnh báo « kinh tế khởi sắc trở lại » nhưng « nền tảng của đà phục hồi đó còn mong manh ». Cũng trong tháng 6/2022 chính phủ ban hành hơn 30 biện pháp « mạnh » hỗ trợ kinh tế. Hãng tin Mỹ Bloomberg ngày 07/07/2022 tiết lộ, trong quý 2 này, bộ Tài Chính Trung Quốc chuẩn bị bơm thêm hơn 220 tỷ đô la dưới dạng công trái phiếu. Số tiền đó sẽ được dùng vào các công trình xây dựng cơ sở hạ tầng, hỗ trợ « một nền kinh tế đang bị hụt hơi ». Bất luận tình hình ra sao, « trước Đại Hội Đảng, kinh tế phải tươi sáng » Hình ảnh nhà hàng nổi Hồng Kông Jumbo chìm ở Biển Đông hôm 19/06/2022 được một số người sử dụng internet coi là điềm gở báo trước một nền kinh tế khổng lồ như của Trung Quốc cũng có thể bị « nhận chìm ». Vụ việc diễn ra vào lúc kinh tế Hồng Kông và nhiều thành phố lớn tại Hoa lục lao đao vì những đợt phong tỏa chống dịch nghiêm ngặt liên tục được ban hành. Bắc Kinh nhìn nhận, Omicron « tấn một đòn mạnh hơn » vào tăng trưởng so với hồi đầu 2020 khi dịch bệnh mới bùng phát từ Vũ Hán. Chuyên gia Larry Hu thuộc quỹ đầu tư Úc Macquarie cho rằng, ngay cả mục tiêu tăng trưởng 5,5 % rất khiêm tốn đề ra cũng đang « ngoài tầm với ». Một nhóm chuyên gia được AFP và Reuters tham khảo dự báo, trong trường hợp khả quan nhất, GDP Trung Quốc năm nay tăng từ 4,3 đến 4,4 %. Cơ quan thẩm định tài chính Mỹ, « nặng tay hơn » với dự phóng tăng trưởng của Trung Quốc trong năm 2022 chỉ đạt 3,7 %. Từ tháng 3/2022 biến thể Omicron thách thức Bắc Kinh và chủ trương Zero Covid. Gần như cùng lúc, từ Thẩm Quyết đến Thượng Hải, các nhà máy, văn phòng phải đóng cửa. Hàng trăm triệu dân tại những vùng có sức mua cao nhất, chỉ « tiêu thụ một cách cầm chừng » như cơ quan từ vấn IHS Markit ghi nhận. Trong tháng 3/2022 chỉ số tiêu thụ tại Trung Quốc giảm 3,5 % so với cùng thời kỳ năm ngoái và đã tiếp tục giảm đi thêm 11 % rồi 6,7 % vào tháng 4 và tháng 5/2022. Bốn tháng trước Đại Hội Đảng, lãnh đạo Trung Quốc đang phải chạy đua với thời gian, để khởi động lại cỗ máy kinh tế. Ông Vương Đan (Dan Wang), kinh tế gia thuộc ngân hàng Hằng Sinh (Hang Seng Bank) tại Thượng Hải, dự báo « tăng trưởng chắc chắn phải tăng vọt trong quý hai bởi không thể chấp nhận những thông tin xấu vào thời điểm diễn ra Đại Hội Đảng ». Trả lời đài RFI tiếng Việt giáo sư Jean - François Huchet, Viện Ngôn Ngữ và Văn Hóa Đông Phương INALCO cho rằng Trung Quốc đang bước vào giai đoạn tăng trưởng chậm và những trồi sụt bất thường sẽ liên tục diễn ra ngày nào virus corona còn hoành hành dưới những biến thể khác nhau và Bắc Kinh còn áp dụng chính sách bài trừ triệt để dịch Covid. Jean –François Huchet : « Chúng ta thấy rõ là chính phủ Trung Quốc đang cố gắng tìm một hướng đi mới để hạn chế những tác động về kinh tế bắt nguồn từ các đợt phong tỏa chống dịch. Nhưng ít có khả năng về lâu dài Bắc Kinh từ bỏ chủ trương Zero Covid và như vậy kinh tế Trung Quốc sẽ còn phải đối mặt với nhiều khó khăn ». Julian Evans Pritchard, thuộc cơ quan tư vấn Capital Economics của Anh được báo la Tribune (số ra ngày 18/04/2022) trích dẫn đánh giá : « Có khả năng Trung Quốc thẩm định không đúng mức tác động của các đợt phong tỏa đè nặng lên kinh tế » và Trung Quốc theo ông, « không có sức kháng cự mạnh mẽ » như thông điệp mà Bắc Kinh cố gắng đưa ra qua hàng loạt các thống kê chính thức. Thất nghiệp, hậu quả ngay trước mắt Le Monde trong ấn bản ngày 04/07/2022 lưu ý độc giả : chưa bao giờ tỷ lệ thất nghiệp ở Trung Quốc trong độ tuổi dưới 25 lại cao như hiện tại. Hơn 18 % không có việc làm. Mỗi năm có thêm khoảng 11 triệu thanh niên Trung Quốc gia nhập thị trường lao động. Chính quyền thêm đau đầu trước thách thức giải quyết thất nghiệp trong bối cảnh mà thị trường địa ốc đang lún sâu vào khủng hoảng : lĩnh vực vốn đem lại đến 1/4 tăng trưởng cho cả nước, trong tháng 6/2022 đã trông thấy các dịch vụ mua bán giảm đi mất gần 60 % so với một năm trước đây. Một cửa ngõ khác đưa thanh niên Trung Quốc vào thị trường lao động là thế giới tin học, công nghệ cao, các dịch vụ internet cũng đang dần dần bị khép lại : Alibaba thông báo kế hoạch sa thải 15 % nhân sự, và như vậy 39.000 nhân viên sẽ mất việc làm. Tencent chuẩn bị cho từ 10 đến 15 % nhân viên nghỉ việc. Chính sách kiểm duyệt về nội dung các chương trình giáo dục của Bắc Kinh khiến 84 % các trường dậy thêm trực tuyến phải đóng cửa. Trường tư nổi tiếng nhất New Oriental vừa sa thải 60.000 thầy cô giáo. Trong bối cảnh đó những biện pháp hỗ trợ doanh nghiệp Trung Quốc mới ban hành hồi cuối tháng 6/2022 không chắc đủ sức đem lại tăng trưởng cho nước đông dân nhất địa cầu. Giáo sư Huchet, Viện INALCO phân tích : Jean –François Huchet : « Từ lâu nay người ta đã xác định được những thách thức về mặt cơ cấu. Trung Quốc đã bước vào giai đoạn tăng trưởng không còn cao như trong giai đoạn kinh tế nước này cất cánh. Có nhiều nguyên nhân giải thích cho sự chựng lại này : Một là yếu tố về dân số, lực lượng lao động không còn năng động như trước nữa. Thứ hai là năng suất giảm so với ở những thập niên 1980-1990-2000. Bắc Kinh ý thức được nhược điểm nay nên đã đầu tư nhiều vào các công nghệ mới nhưng năng suất của Trung Quốc vẫn không mạnh bằng hồi 20-30 năm trước đây. Thêm vào đó, các cơ sở hạ tầng, địa ốc đang bị bão hòa. Trung Quốc không còn cần xây dựng nhiều và với nhịp độ chóng mặt như trong quá khứ nữa. Nói cách khác Bắc Kinh không còn có thể trông cậy vào tất cả những gì đã tạo nên phép lạ kinh tế Trung Quốc. Thêm vào đó là những vấn đề mang tính nhất thời, như dịch Covid-19, hay chiến tranh Ukraina đẩy giá năng lượng, nguyên liệu lên cao. Những khó khăn của Trung Quốc thêm chồng chất ». Trong bài nghiên cứu đăng trên trang mạng của Viện Montaigne, Paris, chuyên gia về Trung Quốc François Godement không phủ nhận khắc phục hậu quả Covid-19, đối mặt với những khó khăn do khủng hoảnchiến tranh Ukraina đã khó, nhưng những yếu tố đó không nguy hại bằng những « lỗ hổng xuất phát từ nội tình kinh tế của Trung Quốc gây ra ». Những lỗ hổng đó gồm yếu tố dân số, mức thu về lợi nhuận rất thấp của mỗi một đồng tiền vốn bỏ ra, là « núi lửa » địa ốc đang phun trào, là mức nợ chồng chất ở cấp địa phương và những món nợ khổng lồ đó hiện tại do các ngân hàng Nhà nước gánh chịu. Jean –François Huchet : « Trung Quốc không mang nợ nước ngoài. Nợ của Trung Quốc chủ yếu do Nhà nước kiểm soát. Thành thử Bắc Kinh không lo mất khả năng thanh toán như Sri Lanka hay nhiều nước châu Phi ». Nhưng khả năng tài chính của Trung Quốc cũng có giới hạn : Jean –François Huchet : « Trung Quốc có những phương tiện tài chính dồi dào, lại ít mang nợ nước ngoài. Trung Quốc có một khối dự trữ ngoại tệ bằng đô la rất, rất lớn. Thâm hụt ngân sách thì lại không đáng kể - mà có đi chăng nữa, thì khoản bội chi đó sẽ do các ngân hàng Nhà nước đảm nhiệm. Bất kỳ lúc nào Đảng và Nhà nước muốn ban hành một gói hỗ trợ kinh tế cũng được cả. Song, tôi nghĩ các gói kích cầu lần này không được quy mô như hồi 2009 để khắc phục hậu quả khủng hoảng tài chính toàn cầu. Bởi thứ nhất, Bắc Kinh đến nay vẫn chưa thanh toán xong gói kích cầu của đợt đó, và thứ nữa, như đã nói, thị trường địa ốc và ngành xây dựng đã đến lúc bão hòa. Thành thử lần này chính phủ cần tập trung khuyến khích tiêu thụ. Tiêu thụ nội địa giảm mạnh do các đợt phong tỏa liên tiếp. Đây mới là ưu tiên cần phải quan tâm ». Vậy phải chăng « hai trong số ba đầu máy tăng trưởng của Trung Quốc đã bị hỏng » như cố vấn về châu Á của viện nghiên cứu Montaigne, François Godement đã ghi nhận trong bài viết mang tựa đề « China's chang of Economic Model : Not so Fast ! » ? Theo ông, đành rằng xuất khẩu của Trung Quốc vẫn hoạt động rất tốt (tăng 16 % trong tháng 5/2022) và Trung Quốc vẫn trong thế xuất siêu (+ 78 triệu đô la trong một tháng) với phần còn lại của thế giới, nhưng hai đầu máy khác là đầu tư và nhất là tiêu thụ đang thực sự « lung lay ». Đầu tư vào hạ tầng cơ sở thì Trung Quốc bước vào giai đoạn « bão hòa ». Thị trường Trung Quốc kém hấp dẫn trong mắt các nhà tư bản quốc tế. Nhìn đến tiềm năng tiêu thụ của nước đông dân nhất địa cầu lo ngại lại càng lớn hơn. Trong bối cảnh kinh tế bấp bênh đó Bắc Kinh liệu có thực sự an tâm để chuẩn bị Đại Hội Đảng vào tháng 11 tới đây hay không ? Nhất là khi một vài công cụ từng tạo nên phép lạ kinh tế của Trung Quốc không còn « sắc bén » như xưa. Nhưng giới quan sát cho rằng cũng sẽ là một sai lầm nếu kỳ vọng ông Tập Cận Bình sẽ thay đổi mô hình phát triển của Trung Quốc.
Nicoline Bach (CBS '22) and Camille Hutt (CBS '22) talk with Professor Dang Wang about his childhood, his decision to get his PhD, and how he developed his teaching style. He also talks about his recent promotion to the Faculty Co-Director of the Tamer Center and what he plans to do in this new role. Listen in to learn more about his current research, where you can find him on a Friday night, and how he and his wife named their dog. Music Credit: Hiroki Komine CBS '23; Title: "Turning Off Extended"
Our latest season of Tech Tonic continues, with a deep dive into the semiconductor industry and Taiwan's unique position as a bastion of computer-chip talent. James Kynge, the FT's global China editor, looks into the unintended consequences of the race for semiconductor dominance. We hear from Chad Duffy, a Taipei-based cybersecurity expert who helped uncover a major hack on Taiwanese semiconductor manufacturers. James talks to Dan Wang, an analyst with the Shanghai-based Gavekal Dragonomics, about China's chip strategy, and Stephen Orlins, a rare dissenting voice in Washington who questions the efficacy of a US blacklist of Chinese tech companies desperate for US-designed chips. Plus, Annie Ting-Fang and Lauly Li, who cover the semiconductor industry for Nikkei Asia, give us the inside track on how China has been scooping up Taiwanese semiconductor engineers.Check out stories and up-to-the-minute news from the FT's technology team at ft.com/technologyFor a special discounted FT subscription go to https://www.ft.com/techtonicsaleAnd check out FT Edit, the new iPhone app that shares the best of FT journalism, hand-picked by senior editors to inform, explain and surprise. It's free for the first month and 99p a month for the next six months.Presented by James Kynge. Edwin Lane is senior producer. Josh Gabert-Doyon is producer. Manuela Saragosa is executive producer. Sound design is by Breen Turner, with original music from Metaphor Music. The FT's head of audio is Cheryl Brumley.News clips credits: CNBC See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
What's happening in China's largest and richest city right now is quite unbelievable. Shanghai is now several weeks into a government lockdown to stop the spread of COVID variants. In a metro with roughly the population of the state of Texas, residents cannot go outside. They cannot walk to grocery stores or pharmacies to pick up essential medicine. If they test positive for COVID, they are removed from their families and taken to quarantine facilities, where conditions are reportedly hellish. As the U.S. enters a stage of normalcy in the pandemic, China is still pursuing a draconian COVID Zero policy at the risk of starving citizens in its richest city. Why? Dan Wang, a Chinese writer and tech analyst, joins the show to talk about what he's hearing from Shanghai, what China is trying to accomplish, and whether protests could make a difference to the Chinese Communist Party. Host: Derek Thompson Guest: Dan Wang Producer: Devon Manze Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Our latest season of Tech Tonic continues, with a deep dive into the semiconductor industry and Taiwan's unique position as a bastion of computer-chip talent. James Kynge, the FT's global China editor, looks into the unintended consequences of the race for semiconductor dominance. We hear from Chad Duffy, a Taipei-based cybersecurity expert who helped uncover a major hack on Taiwanese semiconductor manufacturers. James talks to Dan Wang, an analyst with the Shanghai-based Gavekal Dragonomics, about China's chip strategy, and Stephen Orlins, a rare dissenting voice in Washington who questions the efficacy of a US blacklist of Chinese tech companies desperate for US-designed chips. Plus, Annie Ting-Fang and Lauly Li, who cover the semiconductor industry for Nikkei Asia, give us the inside track on how China has been scooping up Taiwanese semiconductor engineers.Check out stories and up-to-the-minute news from the FT's technology team at ft.com/technologyFor a special discounted FT subscription go to https://www.ft.com/techtonicsaleAnd check out FT Edit, the new iPhone app that shares the best of FT journalism, hand-picked by senior editors to inform, explain and surprise. It's free for the first month and 99p a month for the next six months.Presented by James Kynge. Edwin Lane is senior producer. Josh Gabert-Doyon is producer. Manuela Saragosa is executive producer. Sound design is by Breen Turner, with original music from Metaphor Music. The FT's head of audio is Cheryl Brumley.News clips credits: CNBCRead a transcript of this episode on FT.com See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
This week on Sinica, Kaiser chats with Jeff Bader, who served as senior director for Asian affairs at the National Security Council during the first years of the Obama presidency, until 2011. Now a senior fellow at the John L. Thornton China Center at the Brookings Institute, Jeff was deeply involved in U.S.-China affairs at the State Department from his first posting to Beijing back in 1981 continuously for the next 21 years, through 2002. He later served as U.S. ambassador to Namibia and was tapped to head Asian Affairs at the NSC after Obama took office. Jeff is the author of a fascinating book on Obama's China policy, Obama and China's Rise: An Insider's Account of America's Asia Strategy. In this conversation, he offers a candid critique of the Biden China policy to date.Note that this conversation was taped in mid-February — before the Russian invasion of Ukraine began, and before the Department of Justice announced the end of the "China Initiative."3:23 – How viewing China over 40 years of rapid development has shaped the way Jeff thinks about China8:54 – Jeff Bader's critique of the Biden administration's China policy19:40 – Is it important to have a China strategy?24:55 – Right-sizing China's ambitions: Is Rush Doshi right?31:17 – Defining China's legitimate interests38:31 – Has China already concluded that the U.S., irrespective of who is in power, seeks to thwart China's rise?43:16 – How can China participate in the rules-based international order?47:52 – Is it still possible for Biden to change his tune on China?52:57 – How much room does Biden have politically? Can he exploit to electorate's partisan divide on China?59:54 – What is the "low-hanging fruit" that Biden could pluck to signal a lowering of temperature?1:12:09 – Jeff Bader's precepts for better understanding of — and better policy toward — ChinaA transcript of this podcast is available at SupChina.comRecommendationsJeff: Autumn in the Heavenly Kingdom, a book by Stephen Platt about the Taiping Civil War focusing on Hong Rengan.Kaiser: Re-recommending two previous guests' recommendations: Iaian McGilchrists's The Master and his Emissary recommended by Anthea Roberts; and Unfabling the East: The Enlightenment's Encounter with Asia by Jurgen Osterhammel, recommended by Dan Wang.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Stephen Hsu is a Professor of Theoretical Physics and Professor of Computational Mathematics, Science, and Engineering at Michigan State University. He is also a serial entrepreneur and has published on genomics, in addition to blogging on a wide range of topics from econometrics and geopolitics to mixed martial arts. Hsu joins the Podcast, where he and Richard begin by talking about the Russia-Ukraine crisis and American military power relative to that of China and Russia. What would a Chinese attempt to conquer Taiwan look like, and what would the US be able to do in response? This is followed by a long discussion on the strengths and weaknesses of the Chinese system and its differences with the democratic capitalist model, including the former's high level of reliance on standardized tests and institutions designed to evaluate and promote government officials. The conversation closes on the topics of genomics and embryo selection, including the state of the technology, its current uses, and cross-national differences in attitudes and regulations. A full transcript of the conversation is available here. Sign up for CSPI's Substack newsletter: https://cspi.substack.com. Follow CSPI on Twitter: https://twitter.com/CSPICenterOrg. Subscribe to our YouTube for video podcasts: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCvs4ugq0xSvbvwArpFJG6gA. Learn more about CSPI: https://cspicenter.org. Ezra Voegel, “Japan as Number One.” John Dower, “War Without Mercy." Dan Wang, ”2021 Letter.” Dan Bell, “The China Model.” Richard McGregor, “The Party.” "DNA Dreams" (documentary film). Richard Hanania, “The Inevitable Rise of China.” Richard Hanania, “Fertility as the Final Boss in Chinese Development, and Richard Hanania Prediction Markets.” Steve Hsu, “Sustainability of China Economic Growth.” Steve Hsu, “Les Grandes Ecoles Chinoises.” Francesco C. Billari, Hans-Peter Kohler, Gunnar Andersson and Hans Lundström, “Approaching the Limit: Long-Term Trends in Late and Very Late Fertility.” p. 163. (On Swedish Fertility, Extreme Births) Steve's Podcast, “Manifold.”
This week on the Sinica Podcast, Kaiser welcomes back Dan Wang, technology analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics, to talk about this year's annual letter. Dan's letters have become something of an institution: wide-ranging, insightful, and always contentious, his missives are read by a great many observers of contemporary China and spark some lively conversations. This year's letter contrasts the major megacities that Dan has lived in (Beijing, Shanghai, and the "Greater Bay Area" of the Pearl River Delta), examines Xi Jinping's efforts to shift the energies of China's technologists and entrepreneurs away from the consumer internet and toward deep tech, ponders the causes of China's "cultural stunting" and the challenges that China faces, and has not yet overcome, in creating cultural products that the rest of the world wants, and warns of the dangers of focusing only on China's weaknesses and problems and ignoring its prodigious capabilities. Tune in for a fascinating conversation with one of the Sinosphere's more original thinkers.4:15 – Dan appraises Beijing, Shanghai, and the PRD Greater Bay Area20:48 – How to think about the "common prosperity" agenda (a.k.a. the Red New Deal)39:21 – The tradeoff between efficiency and resilience: China as an inefficient but anti-fragile economy45:34 – Should the United States be learning from China? The case for reform of American institutions50:38 – A technocratic resurgence in China? The rise of a "Beihang Clique"58:17 – The causes of "cultural stunting" in ChinaA transcript of this podcast is available on SupChina.com.Recommendations:Dan: Charles Dickens, Bleak House, and Jurgen Osterhammel, Unfabling the East: The Enlightenment's Encounter with AsiaKaiser: Ritchie Robertson, The Enlightenment: The Pursuit of Happiness, 1680 to 1790See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
This episode we talked with Hang Seng Bank (China)'s Chief Economist, Dan Wang, about China's economic outlook at the end of 2021. Dan begins by offering her assessment of China's 2021 economic performance, particularly in consumption, as well as her China GDP forecast for 2022. Dan then digs into China's shift from a development-driven economy to a consumption-backed one, and how long she thinks China can keep up its strong export demand. Finally, we discuss the longer-term outlook for China's economic growth, and what economic policy developments Dan expects to see in the coming year.
Over the last several months, Chinese authorities have undertaken a sweeping campaign of change. We've seen crackdowns on big tech and fintech companies (like Ant Financial and Didi), online education companies, and now even the playing of video games. Investors in key sectors have gotten clobbered by the new rules. So what is the goal and what is the endgame here? On this episode, we speak to Dan Wang, a China tech analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics, who breaks it all down. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode, CBBC examines China's latest census data in the context of the emerging economic divide between the country's North and South. While entrepreneurship flourishes in the South, a rust-belt malaise appears to be deepening in the North, in the provinces surrounding Beijing and across Central China. China's Southern provinces are outperforming the North in nearly every economic dimension: The South's share of GDP has risen to 65% of GDP; the provinces around the Greater Bay Area now maintain a foreign trade surplus of around 7%, while the North runs a -2% deficit; and while the South is home to China's richest city in nominal GDP terms, the North is home to China's poorest. But why is China's regional gap worsening? Does it represent an irreversible decline for the economies of the North? How should British businesses investing in the market interpret the data coming out of China? Dan Wang, chief economist at Hang Seng Bank - China, explains why UK companies should continue paying attention to business news coming out of Northern and Central China, despite the census and economic data; where UK companies are already finding opportunities in these markets; and how the North/South divide affects the local business culture.
WE ARE THE CRAZEE CHIXZ Hey, beautiful and handsome Crazee fans! Motivational MondayDan Wang's Motivational Tips on how to Work Smarter, Not Harder We'd like to take this opportunity to thank all of our faithful listeners with a coupon for 20% off of specific items at our Etsy shop. To retrieve the coupon, all you need to do is click here: https://www.etsy.com/shop/CrazeeChixz?coupon=BUZZ6721 AND enter the code BUZZ6721 for the special discount on specific items. You may share this with your friends, but they have to come here to click the link so share this podcast episode so they can get this link, too!More is being added this week so stay tuned.Find the Crazee Chixz here: Linktr.ee or copy and past this: https://linktr.ee/WeRCrazeeChixzs Linktr.ee is where all our contact information is found. We are so excited to be here for you and if you'd like to advertise with us, email for a list of fees. We offer a one-time link on our show-notes to more, a one-time mention on our podcast to a full podcast interview/conversation about you and your product. We are reasonable and work hard to help you set up goals that you can manage. Check out our favorite bookstore, Books-n-things (Books-n-things.square.site) or email here: Booksnthings1714@gmail.com. Yes, we are biased as this is owned by: Pat Williams, who is Daphne's Mom. However, she has about 10,000 used books, new local history and local author's books, and great gifts! Cut glass, beautiful paintings by artist Carl Jenkins who is a local artist, retired teacher, and from Bluff City, TN. His beautiful artwork is on display at Books-n-things in the section labeled “Backroom Treasures” and downloadable prints will be available at this website and on our website, CrazeeChixz.com by June 15, 2021! Do you need editing services? Or someone to proofread your manuscript? Check out our prices at https://fb.com/book/CrazeeChixzCreations/ Do you like “Chit Chat with the Crazee Chixz”? Support the show here: https://www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=BUGXU94X4WKHE Follow, like, subscribe, download, and share us all over the world. We are so excited to get ourselves out there!!!!Support the show (https://www.paypal.com/donate?hosted_button_id=BUGXU94X4WKHE)
Hey everyone. I hope you are well. I got my first vaccine shot. Hoping to get my second in a few weeks. I also have been traveling through parts of southern China and trying to grasp the art scene more. My students just had their senior year exhibition which I am proud to see their work hanging. It brings back memories of my undergrad. I have have one more week of school and then a month of meetings before I head to Shanghai. Time is moving fast. Anyway.For today, I have Dan Wang, an artist, writer, and organizer. Chinese-Midwestern by birth and currently living in Southern California, Dan’s art work has been shown in several solo exhibitions and scores of group shows, and has inhabited venues ranging from museums and art centers to street demonstrations and toilet stalls. His texts have been published in books, journals, webzines, exhibition catalogues, as commissioned art projects, and in a range of artists’ publications. As a cultural organizer, Dan has also worked in several collaborative configurations, having contributed to projects and productions authored under the names Compass, Madison Mutual Drift, and Red76. He was one of eight founding keyholders of the Chicago experimental cultural space Mess Hall. I caught up with Dan recently and was excited to learn more about his family background and growing up as a Chinese-American in the midwest. We chatted about Jajangmyeon, learning Chinese, spreading ideologies, and so much more. I hope to catch up with Dan in the future after this discussion for round 2. In the meantime, stay safe, stay healthy, and I hope you enjoy this.Links Mentioned:Dan's WebsiteDan's InstagramYang XianrangWu HungThe Fifth EstateThe Revolution of Everyday LifeNadja by André BretonKilling of Vincent ChinNow-Time Asian AmemricanGrace Lee BoggsNaeem MohaiemenFollow Seeing Color:Seeing Color WebsiteSubscribe on Apple PodcastsFacebookTwitterInstagram
Cutting-edge semiconductors are the most complex objects that humans make. Host Hal Hodson and Tim Cross, The Economist’s technology editor, delve into the secretive science that powers a growing portion of economic activity and the world-leading yet precarious work of TSMC—the company that dominates chipmaking. The pandemic has exposed vulnerabilities in this system, but the race to dominate the world of chips is just beginning.With Dipti Vachani, vice president of automotive and IoT at Arm, Dick Thurston, former chief counsel to TSMC, and Dan Wang of Gavekal Dragonomics.For full access to The Economist’s print, digital and audio editions subscribe at economist.com/podcastoffer and sign up for our new weekly science newsletter at economist.com/simplyscience. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Cutting-edge semiconductors are the most complex objects that humans make. Host Hal Hodson and Tim Cross, The Economist’s technology editor, delve into the secretive science that powers a growing portion of economic activity and the world-leading yet precarious work of TSMC—the company that dominates chipmaking. The pandemic has exposed vulnerabilities in this system, but the race to dominate the world of chips is just beginning.With Dipti Vachani, vice president of automotive and IoT at Arm, Dick Thurston, former chief counsel to TSMC, and Dan Wang of Gavekal Dragonomics.For full access to The Economist’s print, digital and audio editions subscribe at economist.com/podcastoffer and sign up for our new weekly science newsletter at economist.com/simplyscience. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Listen now | Kyrgyzstan and Tajikstan go to war (sort of) and get reprimanded by Putin | Geopolitical analyst Dan Wang has very thoughtful things to say about the future of China Get on the email list at internationalintrigue.substack.com --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/internationalintrigue/message
Key Insights:Brad DeLong: “I have one key insight: everyone should subscribe to Foreign Affairs and read Dan Wang’s forthcoming piece…”Noah Smith: “There are no good models in history for what China is doing…”Dan Wang: “There are lots of questions about industrial policy that it is very difficult to answer…”And as always, the last key insight is: Hexapodia!References:Ian Cutress: TSMC: We have 50% of All EUV Installations, 60% Wafer Capacity Ian Cutress: Intel’s x86 Designs No Longer Limited to Intel on Intel: IP Blocks for Foundry, Cores on TSMC Ian Cutress: US Charges Huawei for Technology Theft & Violating Sanctions, China Rebukes "Unreasonable Crackdown" Henry Farrell & Abraham Newman: Weaponized Globalization: Huawei & the Emerging Battle over 5G Networks Henry Farrell & Abraham Newman: Weaponized Interdependence: How Global Economic Networks Shape Coercion & Surveillance Andrei Frumusanu: Intel 3rd Gen Xeon Scalable (Ice Lake SP) Review: Generationally Big, Competitively Small Andrei Frumusanu: Apple Announces The Apple Silicon M1: Ditching x86 - What to Expect, Based on A14 Andrei Frumusanu: The 2020 Mac Mini Unleashed: Putting Apple Silicon M1 to the Test Andrei Frumusanu: TSMC Confirms Halt to Huawei Shipments In September Barry Naughton: Growing Out of the Plan: Chinese Economic Reform, 1978-1993 Barry Naughton: The Rise of China's Industrial Policy, 1978 To 2020 Yingyi Qian: How Reform Worked in China: The Transition from Plan to Market Anton Shilov: ASML Ramps Up EUV Scanners Production: 35 in 2020, Up to 50 in 2021 Dan Wang: 2020 Letter &, of course:Vernor Vinge: A Fire Upon the Deep (Remember: You can subscribe to this… weblog-like newsletter… here: There’s a free email list. There’s a paid-subscription list with (at the moment, only a few) extras too.) Get full access to Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality at braddelong.substack.com/subscribe
…from the rest of coastal East Asia when looked at in comparative context:Today Noah Smith & Brad DeLong talk about China, the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation, Wilhelmine Germany before WWI, & other topics. The key insights are: (1) we need to get Dan Wang on this podcast; (2) in the context of coastal East Asia after WWII, it does not look as though China has any special economic development sauce—it’s just so huge—(3) China’s land-policy slowdown of migration to the coast has made its economic development significantly slower, (4) Barry Eichengreen with his theories of middle-income growth slowdown looks very wise, and (5) hexapodia!Regional Income Levels in China Today:The Coast-Interior Divergence:China Not That Special in Coastal East-Asian Context—Except for Being Very Large Indeed:If anything, it is distinguished by its late takeoff:The Three Chinas: A 50-Million Malaysia, a 300-Million Thailand, and a 1-Billion Vietnam All Mashed Together:References:Kathrin Hille: TSMC: How a Taiwanese Chipmaker Became a Linchpin of the Global Economy Barry Naughton: Growing Out of the Plan: Chinese Economic Reform 1978-1993 Noah Smith: China Is Very 20th Century Noah Smith: China Just Isn’t Very Popular Noah Smith: Invincible Empire?: ‘Can China’s Neighbors Resist Its Overwhelming Power? Joe Studwell: How Asia Works: Success & Failure in the World’s Most Dynamic Region TSMC: TSMC &:Vernor Vinge: A Fire Upon the Deep (Remember: You can subscribe to this… weblog-like newsletter… here: There’s a free email list. There’s a paid-subscription list with (at the moment, only a few) extras too.) Get full access to Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality at braddelong.substack.com/subscribe
In the final weeks of the Trump administration, Rob and Jackie sat down with Dan Wang, a technology analyst and China expert at Gavekal Dragonomics Research, to discuss the successes and failures of Chinese industrial policy and to evaluate the impact of U.S. export restrictions. In the previous four years, there weren’t many Chinese tech companies that the Trump administration didn’t sanction or at least threaten. What did that achieve in the technological race with China? What was the impact on the American brand writ large? And what should the Biden administration do next?Mentioned:Dan Wang, “New U.S. Restrictions Will Help Make China Great Again” (Bloomberg Opinion, December 18, 2020).Dan Wang’s website, danwang.co. Related:Stephen Ezell and Caleb Foote, “How Stringent Export Controls on Emerging Technologies Would Harm the U.S. Economy” (ITIF, May 2019).
Spanning cutting edge design and production that range from of silicon to wafer to integrated circuits, semiconductors are perhaps the most complex and critically important product in the world today. Which countries and companies are good at the various design and production stages? Why did Intel slip over the years? What explains TSMC’s rise? Where do China, Taiwan, US, South Korea, Japan and other countries fit into this narrative? How have states gotten involved, and what are the national security implications? How will the China-US rivalry take shape around the race to establish semiconductor chip supremacy? To delve into this fascinating subject, we are lucky to have with us Dan Wang, a foremost expert commentator on the semiconductor supply chain, as well as related regulations and policies. This is a must-listen. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This episode I spoke with Dan Wang, chief economist at Hang Seng Bank (China). Dan was previously an analyst at the Economist Intelligence Unit, and holds a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Washington. She is regularly quoted in publications including the Wall Street Journal, the China Economic Review, and the Financial Times. Dan and I discuss China's economic forecast for the year ahead, and Dan offers her perspective on why she is not as optimistic as many about China's growth forecast. Dan digs into her concerns surrounding China's housing and job markets, and why a lack of consumer demand is a key factor in the country's slowing growth. Finally, Dan and I talk about what should be done to mitigate these concerns and ensure China's continued economic growth.
This week on Sinica, Kaiser talks with Dan Wang, a Shanghai-based analyst at research firm Gavekal Dragonomics, who also contributes a regular opinion column to Bloomberg. Combining firsthand knowledge of China’s tech sector with broad erudition and a humanist’s perspective, Dan offers a unique take on China’s innovation ecosystem, the country’s efforts to achieve self-sufficiency in technology, and the role of economic growth, fundamental optimism, and inspiration in China’s rise as a tech power.13:53: The outsize importance of economic growth25:02: An overemphasis on digital technology33:55: Reciprocity and technological codependence 49:12: Technology is more than just tools and patentsRecommendations:Dan: The works of Marcel Proust, and the ham and mushrooms of Yunnan Province. Kaiser: The Netflix series Flavorful Origins and Great State: China and the World, by Timothy Brook.
We've been talking a lot on the podcast about semiconductors. The stumble of Intel. The general troubles with US manufacturing, and, of course, the rise of TSMC. But, for a long time, the Chinese government has endeavored to build a successful homegrown and world-leading chip industry. On this episode, we speak with Dan Wang, a tech analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics. He discusses the state of the domestic industry, as well as broader lessons on Chinese tech and business after a year of extraordinary disruption.
Is technology just of chips and gadgets? Maggie Appleton joins Henry again in a 2-part chat to discuss how tech isn't such a static thing, building off of Mcluhan's thought of media and Dan Wang's article, "How Technology Grows". We cover how tech itself contains it's own process knowledge involving how it is used, built, and maintained as well as going into digital immortality and the protestant work ethic, and chat about how our cultures are intertwined with tech. Transcript: https://hopeinsource.com/process.
The pandemic has upended the rules of networking, which used to almost always involve face-to-face meetings. Reporter Ray Smith explains, and Columbia Business School professor Dan Wang offers tips for getting your message across. J.R. Whalen hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
‘China has always taken seriously industrial policy and some degree of import substitution, and these US actions are now really kicking that effort in to high gear'. In this, our first Sanctions Space podcast episode, Justine Walker is joined by Dan Wang, Technology Analyst at Gavekal, to talk about China's role as a science and technology powerhouse, the impact and response of recent US sanctions on Chinese tech companies, and how ‘technology travels at the speed of beer'. Dan is a widely cited author on China's technology progress and how it is affected by US sanctions – you can find his bio and article archive at https://research.gavekal.com/author/dan-wang.
Tensions with China have simmered for the past three years ever since President Trump initiated the so-called trade war. As Ed Butler hears from tech analyst Dan Wang, the trade war could prove a death sentence for Huawei, one of China's highest-profile firms. So what is likely to change after the US election, depending on who wins? Not much, says China analyst Rui Zhong, as Beijing's priorities under President Xi appear far more domestic. And Daniel Russel, former adviser on Asia to President Obama, agrees, saying the world looks very different from that previous administration. But Ian Bremmer, chair of the Eurasia Group, counsels that the election still has huge potential for the global balance of power. (Picture Credit: Getty Images.)
by Dan Wang
Om Kina, där livet återgått till någon form av vardag i kampen mot pandemin. Men vad är det nya normala? Är viruset verkligen besegrat? Och vad kan världen egentligen lära sig av Kinas erfarenheter? Ny teknik för att hålla koll på folks hälsa och smittspridningen används för att underlätta vardagen för de kineser som så sakteliga har börjat jobba igen. Det här är lösningar som länder i hela världen nu tar efter. Kommunistpartiets Kina vill gärna ändra berättelsen och bli det land som visar världen framåt i krisen. Hett eftertraktat sjukvårdsmaterial från Kina säljs och ges bort som gåva till länder över hela jordklotet och naturläkemedel förs fram som en del av kampen mot viruset. Medverkande: Lars-Åke Severin, ordförande Svenska handelskammaren i Kina, Joerg Wuttke, ordförande Europeiska handelskammaren i Kina, Lucrezia Pogetti, analytiker vid Mercator Institute for China Studies, smittskyddsläkaren David Bonsall Oxfords universitet, Combus van Staden, analytiker på South African Institute of International Affairs, Dan Larhammar, farmakolog vid Uppsala universitet, Dan Wang, analytiker på Economist Intelligence Unit i Peking m.fl. Programledare: Ivar Ekman ivar.ekman@sr.se Producent: Ulrika Bergqvist ulrika.bergqvist@sr.se Reportar: Björn Djurberg, Hanna Sahlberg, Robin Olin. Tekniker: Stina Fagerberg, Josef Reinhold
Apple's recent revenue warning reminded the world of how exposed the company is to China, and in particular its factories. As the coronavirus continues to shutter huge swaths of the Chinese economy, this is a potential risk for numerous companies beyond just Apple. On this week's Odd Lots podcast, we speak with Dan Wang, a China tech industry analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics about how this, along with pressure on Huawei, are putting extraordinary pressure on the Chinese supply chain.
In this episode, we take a look at the many foods that aid against breast cancer as well as other cancers. This episode is sponsored by Affordable Creations & WYSK Spark Radio, https://live365.com/station/Spark-Radio-a82219 If you would like to read our blog on this topic or any of the others we have researched, you can do so by checking out our blog at www.yopistudio.com Check out our blog, podcast, and radio station at www.yopistudio.com Feel free to see what we are up to by following us at: https://twitter.com/Dauricee https://www.facebook.com/yopistudio/ https://www.facebook.com/LouisianaEntertainmentAssociation/ For comments or questions, you can reach us at yopi@post.com To read more about our topics check out the references below. Cruciferous Vegetable References Printz, C., "Radiation treatment generates therapy-resistant cancer stem cells from less aggressive breast cancer cells." Cancer 2012; 118: 3225. Dan Wang, Bijaya Upadhyaya, Yi Liu, David Knudsen, Moul Dey. "Phenethyl isothiocyanate upregulates death receptors 4 and 5 and inhibits proliferation in human cancer stem-like cells." BMC Cancer, 2014; 14 (1): 591 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2407-14-591 Dolecek, Therese A. et al., "Prediagnosis Food Patterns Are Associated with Length of Survival from Epithelial Ovarian Cancer." Journal of the American Dietetic Association , Volume 110 , Issue 3 , 369 - 382 Dunne Fong et al "Curcumin inhibits the side population (SP) phenotype of the rat C6 glioma cell line: towards targeting of cancer stem cells with phytochemicals." Cancer Lett. 2010 1;293(1):65-72. Madhuri Kakarala et al "Targeting breast stem cells with the cancer-preventive compounds curcumin and piperine." Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2010 Aug ;122(3):777-85. Su-Ni Tang, et al "The dietary bioflavonoid quercetin synergizes with epigallocatechin gallate (EGCG) to inhibit prostate cancer stem cell characteristics, invasion, migration, and epithelial-mesenchymal transition." J Mol Signal. 2010 ;5:14. Think Pink References https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22447039 https://foodforbreastcancer.com/foods/beets https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-3462440/They-not-good-eyes-Eating-carrots-slash-risk-breast-cancer-60.html https://foodforbreastcancer.com/foods/carrots https://www.webmd.com/cancer/news/20050331/grapes-may-stop-cancer-cells https://foodforbreastcancer.com/foods/grapes https://www.cancertherapyadvisor.com/fact-sheets/pomegranate-breast-cancer-treatment-fact-sheet/article/718761/ https://foodforbreastcancer.com/foods/pomegranates https://www.webmd.com/breast-cancer/news/20100105/pomegranates-may-stall-breast-cancer https://foodfacts.mercola.com/radish.html https://www.chinesemedicineliving.com/chinese-medicine/daikon-the-cancer-fighting-radish/ https://www.naturalnews.com/032377_cabbage_anti-cancer_food.html https://foodforbreastcancer.com/foods/cabbage https://foodforbreastcancer.com/foods/sweet-potatoes https://breastcancer-news.com/pinterest/2016/10/28/sweet-potatoes-nutrition-benefits-for-breast-cancer/ https://thetruthaboutcancer.com/3-super-berries-cause-cancer-cells-self-destruct/ https://foodforbreastcancer.com/foods/watermelon https://foodforbreastcancer.com/foods/salmon https://thetruthaboutcancer.com/5-cancer-fighting-healthy-fruits/ https://www.webmd.com/vitamins/ai/ingredientmono-1133/guava https://anticancerclub.com/recipes-and-eating-healthy/shrimp/ https://thetruthaboutcancer.com/peppermint-essential-oil/ https://www.health.com/food/grapefruit-facts
Earlier this month, President Trump escalated the trade tensions against China by limiting exports of U.S. technology to Huawei. But what is Huawei, and why is this such a big deal? On this week's episode, we speak to Dan Wang, a technology analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics, about the importance of Huawei to the Chinese tech industry, the specifics of what Trump just did, and the far-reaching fallout that we could see from this new phase of the trade war.
On the evening of June the 3rd 1989, the Chinese People’s Army opened fire on thousands of students who had been campaigning for democracy in the middle of Beijing. Dan Wang was a 20-year-old student leader from the elite Peking University and was one of the most high profile democracy activists. He says the demonstrators never thought their protests would end in bloodshed. He spoke to Witness History about how the Tiananmen Square crackdown changed his life. (Photo: Dan Wang speaking in Tiananmen Square. Credit: Peter Turnley/Corbis/Getty Images)
Let us call the collection of these forces that push and pull at us from deep within human nature. Human nature stems from the particular wiring of our brains, the configuration of our nervous system and the way we humans process emotions, all of which developed and emerged over the course of the 5 million years or so of our evolution as a species. In this episode of Made You Think, Nat and Neil talk about The Laws of Human Nature by Robert Greene. The author examines human behavior and suggests that it can be explained by different laws. Each law is presented and described in details: what every law means in your life, what you should do with it, how you should interpret it, and how you should use it. We cover a wide range of topics, including: How humans really behave and how one should adapt to it Historical and contemporary examples to better understand each law How to apply each law to your life Why corporations don’t give much importance to Twitter (and it’s because of Trump) The effect of context on our mood and behavior (yes, Nazis and Twitter examples) Why you may feel miserable even with 1 billion in your account And much more. Please enjoy, and be sure to grab a copy of The Laws of Human Nature by Robert Greene! If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to check out our episode on Mastery by Robert Greene, a fantastic book on sculpting your mind and your life in the pursuit of mastery, as well as Denial of Death by Ernest Becker, another book that delves into the idea that fearlessness is essential for individual success outside of a traditional path, and even within it. Be sure to join our mailing list to find out about what books are coming up, giveaways we’re running, special events, and more. Links from the Episode Mentioned in the show Irrationality [8:50] Self-awareness [10:37] Narcissism [12:49] Role-playing [17:16] South Sea Bubble [32:22] Black Swan Preparation [33:05] Herd Mentality [35:16] Instagram Influencer [35:39] The Godfather [38:45] Matrix [39:25] Primer [39:42] Self-sabotage [44:01] Mueller Report [45:45] Around the Horn [46:58] Pardon the Interruption [47:08] Crossfire [47:40] UC Berkeley [49:00] Lyft [49:22] New York Times [49:50] QueensBridge Venture Partners [50:41] Nazi [53:17] College as an incubator of Girardian terror by Dan Wang [59:40] American Psycho [1:01:44] Theranos [1:05:38] Enron [1:07:41] Apple [1:06:13] Nat's Article: Increasing the Difficulty [1:09:29] Social Justice Warrior [1:12:07] Neil's Article: Entertainment Isn't Dumb [1:16:40] Netflix [1:16:51] Cup & Leaf [1:17:45] Estee Lauder [1:21:23] Taco Bell [1:22:09] Slacktivism [1:31:38] Star Trek [1:38:19] Books mentioned The Laws of Human Nature by Robert Greene Mastery by Robert Greene (book episode) [01:33] Antifragile by Nassim Taleb (Nat’s notes) (book episode) [1:34] Letters from a Stoic by Seneca (Nat's notes) (book episode) [1:35] The 50th Law by Robert Greene [03:00] The 48 Laws of Power by Robert Greene (Nat’s notes) [03:13] Principles: Life and Work by Ray Dalio (Nat’s notes) (book episode) [6:58] Poor Charlie's Almanack by Charlie Munger [10:11] What Every Body is Saying by Joe Navarro [17:42] (Nat’s notes) (book episode) The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells [25:12] 12 Rules for Life by Jordan Peterson (Nat’s notes) (Neil’s notes) (book episode) [28:50] 12 Years A Slave by Solomon Northup [55:36] Skin in the Game by Nassim Taleb (Nat’s notes) (Neil’s notes) (book episode) [1:00:31] The Beginning of Infinity by David Deutsch (book episode) [1:29:26] Made in America by Sam Walton [1:32:30] The Denial of Death by Ernest Becker [1:34:45] (Nat’s notes) (book episode) The Elephant in the Brain by Kevin Simler and Robin Hanson [1:36:27] (Neil’s notes) People mentioned Robert Greene [01:15] Joe Rogan [07:55] Donald Trump [09:17] Charles T. Munger [10:11] Bill Clinton [18:17] Barack Obama [20:07] George W. Bush [21:33] Sam Harris [24:41] Daniel Kahneman [24:42] David Wallace-Wells [25:12] Jordan Peterson [28:50] Isaac Newton [32:27] Fredo Corleone [38:45] Nas [50:20] Steve Jobs [1:06:13] Tim Ferriss [1:11:54] Seth Godin [1:22:31] Kanye West [1:25:37] Sam Walton [1:32:28] Ernest Becker [1:34:45] Ray Kurzweil [1:35:44] Show Topics 01:12 – Nat and Nate are major fans of Robert Greene. Takeaways from their top Robert Greene books, Mastery and The 50th Law. 5:12 – The laws of human nature is based on how humans act and behave and what one can infer about other people or learn about them based on their behavior. Each law goes in-depth on historical and contemporary examples. 8:50 – Law of Irrationality: You may think you are rational but you're not. The first step towards becoming rational is to understand our fundamental irrationality. We all fall into this trap of thinking that we're the rational ones and everyone else is irrational. Green believes that we all have irrational beliefs and the best way to become more rational is having that awareness of yourself that you are also not a fully rational creature. What stems out from irrationality is the conviction bias or superiority bias, where you think like you're better than everyone. The key to stop making irrational decisions is self awareness and reflection. Increase your reaction time: when some event or interaction requires your response, train yourself to step back. 12:50 – Law of Narcissism: Transform self love into empathy. The idea of healthy narcissism is everyone is a narcissist to some extent, but if you're healthy about it, you have a stronger, more resilient sense of self and can recover more quickly from wounds and insults. There is not much validation needed from others. Social media is the medium of overly narcissists. Also, there are two monologues happening sometimes on shows like podcasts where you just happen to be speaking at each other, but you're not really having a conversation. Everybody just wants to feel heard, that's why people are posting on social media.. 17:12 – Law of Role-playing: See through people's masks. Bill Clinton never lost sight of the fact that as president, he had to project confidence and power, but if he was speaking to a group of auto workers, he would adjust his accent and his words to fit the audience and he would do the same to a group of executives. Most of the time, trying too hard to adjust to your audience can be offensive. 21:38 – Law of Compulsive Behavior: Determine the strength of people's character. A lot of people do have some form of compulsion in how they act. The toxic types and drama magnets fall in this type of behavior. There are certain people, like in high school or in college, who always have drama no matter what's going on. The Laws of Human Nature can be read in two different ways – with the eye to learning more about other people or with an eye towards yourself. We go through Sam Harris’ interview of Daniel Kahneman and Joe Rogan's interview of David Wallace Wells, author of The Uninhabitable Earth. 26:43 – Law of Covetousness: Become an elusive object of desire. This law is very true for relationships, for instance, people who are using dating apps. The people you're connecting with on dating apps are always seemingly perfect, but then as you get to know them, you realize they're all human beings, they’re not perfect. Also, it states that if you don't give somebody too much information about yourself, then you have that air of mystery and they can project whatever they want to project onto you. In an era of so much advertising and marketing, it affects your decision-making, what is something that you actually want and what's something you need. We tackle the 12 Rules for Life by Jordan Peterson, where he emphasizes on how many of our desires are actually internally-driven versus driven by what we're seeing other people do. 31:52 – Law of Short-sightedness: Elevate your perspective. It's basically civically training ourselves to detach from the heat of the moment. For any group or team, you kind of want someone in charge of revealing all the ways something could fail. Expecting the unexpected, the black swan preparedness. The concept of herd mentality, where you doubt your own logic in money and selfies. Take those Instagram influencers. 38:07 – Law of Defensiveness: Soften people's resistance by confirming their self opinion. Everyone thinks that they're autonomous and acting of their free will. Also, most think that they're intelligent and that they're good and decent. Regardless of whether or not those things are true, it behooves you to confirm people's beliefs in that about themselves. Fredo Corleone is a perfect example. He is the family idiot who also does some sleazy things and gets the family in trouble, but despite all of that and all the evidence staring him in the face, he still thinks he's an intelligent and good human being. Primer on being a Master Persuader: five strategies for instilling those beliefs in the people you're talking to. 42:50 – Law of Self-sabotage: Change your circumstances by changing your attitude. This part lists out a lot of bad mental routines people get into. When you see one of these self-sabotaging mentalities come out constantly from people, it makes it very hard to be around them. This happens in Twitter feed, where if you were constantly surrounded by political or hostile tweets or news, even if they're not directed at you, it changes your mood entirely. The click bait headlines confirming existing biases. 51:22 – Law of Repression: Confront your dark side. Part of the job in studying human nature is to recognize and examine the dark side of one’s character. You can't deny that there are going to be parts of your character that are bad. Seeking those out and figuring out where they're coming from can improve yourself to deal with those parts of your behavior. There's like very little genetic determination for whether you're a good or bad person. There may be some inclinations, but a lot of whether or not you become like a well-socialized or antisocial person is going to be from your environment and your upbringing. We dive in the two circumstances that can bring that type of thing out and study Nazi’s and slavery. Slave owners were not necessarily cruel individuals, it’s just that they were accustomed to such as they grow up. 57:53 – Law of Envy: Beware the fragile ego. This delves into how you can pick up on other people, the little things they say and do that convey some sense of envy or insecurity around you. Women talk about this a lot with other women but men are not exempted from this. The closer you are to other people, the more you will envy them and resent them. We touch on College as an Incubator of Girardian Terror by Dan Wang – how there is no clear sign of any diversity on college campuses. Also, there are different things that motivate people, and all these motivations are mashed up in our brains leading us to have different types of behaviors. The concept of Alpha dog, where it's more on status than the actual money itself. 1:04:58 – Law of Grandiosity: Know your limits. You should tie any feelings of greatness to your actual work and achievements in your contributions to society and not to something special about you because that's where it can get dangerous. A case in point is Theranos. If the projects you attempt are below or at your skill level, you'll become easily bored and less focused. If they are too ambitious, you will feel crushed by your failure. 1:10:18 – Law of Gender Rigidity: Reconnect to the masculine or feminine within you. Some of the things that you find attractive in the opposite sex is something that you need to develop within yourself. This is a good tool for introspection and personal development. Greene used these masculine and feminine traits as descriptors. Opposite traits complement one another. 1:13:13 – Law of Aimlessness: To advance with a sense of purpose. You'll be most motivated and happiest if you have a higher sense of purpose or mission that drives you on what you are doing as opposed to just following the direction or the goals of your parents for you and your peers. Purpose is doing something where you actually want to wake up and instantly start moving. People judge themselves if that sense of purpose isn't something big and special. 1:18:08 – Law of Conformity: Resist the downward pull of the group. Being aware that you're not immune to the way being in a group will change how you think. Notice how being around people changes the way you're behaving and thinking. Making decisions based on what you want think, not just what the group wants or thinks. LinkedIn launch table. Different groups hold different heuristics. Corporate America doesn’t use Twitter, they think it’s a Trump thing. 1:22:35 – Law of Fickleness: Make them want to follow you. You want to turn yourself into someone that people want to follow. There are three core things under this law: listening skills, dedicating yourself by respecting people's individual needs and proving that you're working for the greater good, and then taking the leadership as a huge responsibility and making sure that you're considering the welfare of the group as early on in your career as possible. Not letting other people categorize you so they will pay more attention trying to find out more about you. You want to develop the highest possible standards for your work and training yourself to be super aware of how your manner in tone are affecting the people around you. Reputation is going to play a really big role in whether or not you can succeed in becoming some kind of leader. The idea of sending mixed signals and showing qualities that are ever so slightly contrary. If you send mixed signals, if you're not allowing people to instantly categorize you, they're going to pay more attention because they're trying to figure you out. 1:26:10 – Law of Aggression: See the hostility behind the friendly facade. Too friendly person who you don’t actually know is irritating. We all have aggressive tendencies. Aggressiveness spectrum. Aggressiveness can be seen in sports too, and they can bring out that aggressive part in people who might not have thought they were aggressive. Everyone has an aggressive side, whether you exhibit it overly or passively, and your task is to not deny that you are aggressive, but to learn how you can channel it into something productive. Almost nothing in the world can resist persistent human energy. The trick is to want something badly enough that nothing will stop you or double your energy. And lastly, “most people engage at some cathartic release of their angers, some giant protest, and then it goes away and they slip back into complacency or become bitter”. 1:31:02 – Law of General Myopia: Seize the historical moment. Society moves in cycles of like kind of four generations. The first generation is that of revolutionaries who make a radical break with the past to establish new rules and create chaos. The second generation craves some order, and they want to stabilize the world and establish some new conventions in dogma. Then the third generation has little connection to the founders of the revolution and they're less passionate about it, they just want to make life comfortable and they don't want things to be getting upset. And lastly, the fourth generation feels society has lost its vitality and they're not sure what should replace it. The goal is to understand as deeply as possible the spirit of your generation, of the times that you live in. Learn how you can take advantage of it and how that has affected how you perceive the world. The premise behind Sam Walton’s Walmart. “Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times.” 1:34:35 – The Law of Death Denial: Meditate on your common mortality. Essentially, we don't like to think about the fact that we're going to die and that makes us act in ways that we might not. It causes us to buy into philosophies that will save us from that fact. We dive into the technological transcendence being the modern version of religion. No one is ever going to upload their brain into a computer. We must think of our mortality as a kind of continual deadline. We must stop fooling ourselves. We could die tomorrow and even if we live for another 80 years, it is but a drop in the ocean of the vastness of time and it passes always more quickly than we imagine. We have to awaken to this reality and make it a continual meditation. 1:41:31 – Find us on Twitter @TheRealNeilS and @nateliason and let us know what are yours thoughts about the book and the episode. Leave a review and share it with your friends if you like the show. Join the email list at Made You Think Podcast, that's the best way to stay up to date on future episodes and things that are going on with the show. Check our supporters at madeyouthink.com/support.
The recent trade tensions between the Trump administration and China has shone a light on the country's ambitions to become a technology powerhouse, as one of the complaints is that China unfairly extracts intellectual property from multinationals entering that market. But what, specifically, is China's long-term plan? On this week's Odd Lots podcast, we speak to Dan Wang, a technology analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics about the the Made In China 2025 initiative, which seeks to turn the country into a tech leader (in areas like semiconductors, medical equipment, clean energy, and wide-body aircraft) by the year 2025. Dan explains how the program works, where it's succeeding, where it's struggling, and what the ramifications are for the rest of the world.
“We live at a time when man believes himself fabulously capable of creation, but he does not know what to create. Lord of all things, he is not lord of himself. He feels lost amid his own abundance. With more means at his disposal, more knowledge, more technique than ever, it turns out that the world today goes the same way as the worst of worlds that have been: it simply drifts”. In this episode of Made You Think, Neil and I discuss Revolt of the Masses by José Ortega y Gasset. In this pre-WWII collection of essays Ortega y Gasset critiques and predicts the rise and predominance of the "Mass-man" class and instigates us to be accountable of our destiny. “The select man is not the petulant person who thinks himself superior to the rest, but the man who demands more of himself than the rest, even though he may not fulfill in his person those higher exigencies”. We cover a wide range of topics, including: The profile of a Mass-man, its differences with the Noble-man, and how to avoid being mediocre. Liberalism concepts today and in the past. When to listen to others opinions and when not. Behaviour within and between groups. About being responsible of our destiny and having the will to build our self future. Perceptions and regulation viewed by different sides and generations. And much more. Please enjoy, and be sure to grab a copy of Revolt of the Masses! You can also listen on Google Play Music, SoundCloud, YouTube, or in any other podcasting app by searching "Made You Think." If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to check out our episode on the Sovereign Individual by James Dale Davidson, to learn how modern technologies can help you be in control of your own future, as well as our episode on Finite and Infinite Games by James P. Carse, to improve your life with new perspectives. Links from the Episode Mentioned in the show: Slack [22:45] Jordan Petersen Podcast [26:05] Violence and the Sacred: College as an incubator of Girardian terror – article by Dan Wang [33:51] Game of Thrones [34:37] The meaning of life in a world without work – article by Yuval Noah Harari [37:59] Zeecash [44:22] Tylenol [45:20] Coinbase [46:24] Binance [46:37] Tron Whitepaper [48:35] A Crash Course In Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Cryptocurrency [48:57] Blockfolio [48:57] Recap Time! Our Favorite Lessons from Episodes 1-20 [51:13] How to Think Like Elon Musk [56:23] Level 3 Thinking: A Unified Theory of Self-Improvement [56:35] Nat’s tweet on 4 levels of thinking [56:35] LifeHacker.com [59:15] Huffington Post [59:15] The Age of Unreason – The Economist (not The Atlantic) [1:02:27] Amazon [1:10:57] Books mentioned: Revolt of the Masses [0:00] The Sovereign Individual [1:11] (Nat’s Notes) (book episode) Finite and Infinite Games [1:16] (Nat’s Notes) (book episode) Mastery [3:35] (Nat’s Notes) (book episode) Antifragile [3:43] (Nat’s Notes) (book episode) Emergency [9:03] (Nat’s Notes) (book episode) The Rational Optimist by Matt Ridley [23:21] Darwin's Dangerous Idea [23:25] The Selfish Gene [30:16] The Denial of Death [30:16] (Nat’s Notes) (book episode) The Psychology of Human Misjudgments [30:16] (book episode) I Will Teach You To Be Rich [59:38] (Nat’s Notes) The 4-Hour Workweek [59:38] (Nat’s Notes) Principles [59:38] (Nat’s Notes) (book episode) Letters from a Stoic [59:38] (Nat’s Notes) (book episode) Influence [1:00:44] (book episode) People mentioned: Pepper the Poochon [0:26] Nassim Nicholas Taleb [1:55] (Antifragile episode) Karl Marx [8:11] Socialists of New York City [9:11] Jordan Peterson [9:36] Adolf Hitler [11:10] Milton Friedman [14:55] Hillary Clinton [15:14] Gary Johnson [15:28] Tim Ferriss [17:17] John D. Rockefeller [22:12] Elon Musk [25:27] (on this podcast) Charlie Munger [30:16] Dan Wang [33:51] Yuval Noah Harari [37:59] Barack Obama [53:47] Ashton Kutcher [1:01:00] Channing Tatum [1:01:13] Ray Dalio [1:03:16] (on this podcast) Winston Churchill [1:18:08] Show Topics 0:00 – “We live at a time when man believes himself fabulously capable of creation, but he does not know what to create. Lord of all things, he is not lord of himself. He feels lost amid his own abundance. With more means at his disposal, more knowledge, more technique than ever, it turns out that the world today goes the same way as the worst of worlds that have been: it simply drifts.” 0:26 – Welcome to Pepper, the third show host! 0:59 – Intro to Revolt of the Masses (Spanish: La rebelión de las masas), a book written by José Ortega y Gasset. 1:05 – Similarities of Revolt of the Masses with The Sovereign Individual and Finite and Infinite Games. Mention of "Horizonal Thinking" in one of the essays. Introduction of terms used by Ortega, the Mass Man, one who thinks deserve things, vs the Elite/Noble Man, one who thinks about improving himself. 3:16 – Organization of the book in unordered essays instead of chapters. 3:50 – Why Ortega got many predictions right, but may have missed many others by publishing this book before WWII and the Cold War. For example, he didn't expect the US to become a super-power. "The US had the seeds to be great". 5:04 – Tangent. About the difficulty to translate from romance languages to English. Translators vs interpreters. Socially acceptable traits in some countries and not others. 7:06 – Details on the situation of Europe at the time of publishing the book. Europeans worry about spreading of Russian Communism. Socialism in China. 9:11 – Tangent. Socialists of NYC. Perceptions: Nazism vs Socialism as counter-culture; fraud and violence vs crimes of omission and neglect. "It wouldn't be that bad if other people were in charge" argument. Vegans about killing lionfishes example. Jainism (indian religion). 14:14 – Political views of Ortega. Liberalism concepts today and in the past, interpretations and misinterpretations. Free markets and protectionism example. 16:31 – Tangent. New tax to "punish" liberal states. Moving to Texas for tax purposes. Buying an apartment may be cheaper than paying taxes in NY. Zero income tax. San Francisco diaspora. 20:24 – Essay. Distinguishing the Mass man vs the "Select"/Aspirational man. "The select man is not the petulant person who thinks himself superior to the rest, but the man who demands more of himself than the rest, even though he may not fulfil in his person those higher exigencies". Being elite as mindset vs being rich. Access to resources today compared to the past. 25:15 – Tangent. The rise of general quality of life in the last century was due to fossil fuel driven. Humans as the cancer of this planet. Broad philosophy vs personal action. 27:37 – Conformity. Groups of people against others. Fear of strangers. Nature preserve in Costa Rica for dogs. 31:55 – Essay. Masses have more than they ever had, and appreciate less and less. Upward mobility viewed by different people. "Poor people are lazy" argument. Girardian Terror concept. Selection bias and Game of Thrones. Conflicts within casts vs between casts, in India. 37:13 – "The sovereignty of the unqualified individual, of the generic human being as such, generically, has now passed from being a juridical idea or ideal to be a psychological state inherent in the average man. And note this, that when what was before an ideal becomes an ingredient of reality it inevitably ceases to be an ideal". Critique of the Mass person as a human that is not striving. The "Useless" Class. 38:34 – Tangent. Going back to the serves-and-lord state. 39:10 – The meaning of life in a world without work. Living in Virtual Reality, and Religion as VR. Artificial Intelligence and the need of Basic Universal Income. 41:15 – City states as the economic hubs of the future. Singapore and Hong Kong, San Francisco and New York. Importing beer in Hong Kong and in the US. Moving away from regulation because "nobody cares" and generational approaches to law. 45:41 – How regulation scares bitcoin price. About bitcoin wallets reporting to the IRS. How bitcoin relates to some many other topics: nation-states, business, currencies, politics, finance, politics, geography, cryptography, computer science, philosophy, etc. 51:45 – "The Mass-man is he whose life lacks projects and just drifts along. As a result, though his possibilities and his powers be enormous, he constructs nothing". Having the ability and motivation to improve thanks to today's technology. How today's responsibility falls on the individual. Parents wanting their kids to be better off. Sending kids to private school while criticizing public school. Minorities. 55:33 – Essay. Why the masses intervene in everything and why their intervention is solely by violence. Why people are wrong when they believe they can have an opinion now. Level 3 thinking. 58:30 – Tangent. Blog posts with Top X types titles. 1:00:07 – Celebrities endorsing political candidates and the liking fallacy. When to listen to others opinions. Steps to the Revolt. How people think they are entitled to be listened to. Syndicalism and Fascism. "Under the species of Syndicalism and Fascism there appears for the first time in Europe a type of man who does not want to give reasons or to be right, but simply shows himself resolved to impose his opinions. This is the new thing: the right not to be reasonable, the "reason of unreason"." 1:04:14 – How the majority does not eliminate the minority. When to respect others’ beliefs. The cake neglected to the gay couple example. Problems that may better be solved by the market. 1:09:15 – Essay. The age of the self-satisfied Dandy. On having rewards that we haven't necessarily gained. Anxiety from feeling entitled to move upward. 1:12:50 – Essay. The Barbarism of Specialization. Problems of overspecialization. Link with Antifragile. 1:14:06 – Essay. The Greatest Danger: The State. How the state could be used to make people conform. Support of regulation and support of police. 1:15:47 – Essay. Who Actually Commands. How governments rule with the compliance of the masses. Why elections should reflect the opinion of the masses, and why the gerrymandering is fragile. The problem with Democracy. About the quality of the legislative chambers. 1:20:29 – Closing thoughts. Be a vital person, be involved with the world, try to do projects, don't get sucked into the masses. 1:20:46 – People that makes this show happen: Kettle and Fire (their bone broth is good for dogs too!), Perfect Keto (reach ketosis effortless), Four Sygmatic Coffee (delicious mushroom coffee, pre-workout hot cocoa mixes). You can support us too, as most have done prepping for the NY snow storm through the Amazon affiliate link. If you enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to subscribe at https://madeyouthinkpodcast.com “The select man is not the petulant person who thinks himself superior to the rest, but the man who demands more of himself than the rest, even though he may not fulfill in his person those higher exigencies”.
This week we welcome Dan Wang as a new Chicago Correspondent! He sits down to talk with the University of Chicago's Wu Hung about the Smart Museum show "Displacement: The Three Gorges Dam and Contemporary Chinese Art." It is an excellent and interesting interview, however and unfortunately the last 10 minutes or so of this interview has same sort of technical glitch that created noise on the audio and makes the dialog difficult to hear, Bad at Sports regrets the problems. Wu Hung (as lifted from the U of C website) Harrie A. Vanderstappen Distinguished Service Professor of Art History, East Asian Languages & Civilizations, and the College; Director, Center for the Art of East Asia; Consulting Curator, Smart Museum of Art. Wu Hung specializes in early Chinese art, from the earliest years to the Cultural Revolution. His special research interests include relationships between visual forms (architecture, bronze vessels, pictorial carvings and murals, etc.) and ritual, social memory and political discourses. Also the consulting curator for the Smart Museum of Art, Hung is the author of Transience: Chinese Experimental Art at the End of the Twentieth Century (University Of Chicago Press, 1999), Monumentality in Early Chinese Art (Stanford University Press, 1995), Three Thousand Years of Chinese Painting (Yale University Press, 1997), and the forthcoming Remaking Beijing: Tiananmen Square and the Creation of a Political Space. Hung grew up in Beijing and studied at the Central Academy of Fine Arts in Beijing. From 1973 to 1978 he served on the research staff at the Palace Museum, located inside Beijing's Forbidden City. He came to Chicago in 1994. Dan Wang Printer, artist, writer, activist who divides time between his old home in Chicago and his new home in Madison.