POPULARITY
We are joined by George Ng, co-founder and CTO of GGWP, to dive deep into the world of bots in gaming. We explore the differences between game-created bots and player-created bots, the cat-and-mouse game of detecting and preventing bots, and regional differences in bot usage. We also look ahead at the evolving landscape of bots in gaming and discuss strategies that studios can adopt to stay ahead. 01:09 The Impact of Bots on Player Experience13:21 Regional Trends in Bot Usage14:57 The Future of Bots in Gaming20:37 Conclusion and Final Thoughts
Selección musical de Andreu Plaza, del Hoy empieza todo 2 y GGWP, en Radio3 Extra. 'We Don't Play Guitars' - Chicks on Speed'Intacto' - Sangijuelas del Guadiana'Whammy-O'- The Go! Team 'Grita' - Cala Vento'La Fe' - Queralt Lahoz'La gran renuncia' - Biznaga 'Aunque duela' - Shego 'Formigal' - Toldos Verdes'lilili' - Merina Gris'Cariño' - Abhri feat. nsqk'YERBABUENA' - Sila Lua'Mon Cherie Go Home' - Maria Jaume & Fades'No Soy Un XoXo' - Pipiolas'Giratutto' - Amaia'NONADAS' - Maria Hein'Sale el sol' - Vera Fauna'Cardio y caladas' - Mujeres feat. LA ÉLITE'La Calle Elfo' - Alcalá Norte'Yo pensaba que me había tocado Dios' - Barry B feat. Carolina DuranteEscuchar audio
The intersection of anime, games, and technology takes center stage in this episode. Host Aaron Bush is joined by Kun Gao, a serial entrepreneur known for co-founding Crunchyroll, the world's leading anime streaming platform, and now charting new paths in the games industry with GGWP, an AI-driven moderation platform, and Forge, which is enabling direct-to-consumer loyalty programs for games teams. In this conversation, we explore the many lessons Kun learned from scaling Crunchyroll and navigating high-profile dealmaking with IP companies and stakeholders like The Chernin Group and Sony. We then dive into the founding stories of GGWP and Forge, unpack the big ideas behind both companies, and dig into how more interconnected loyalty programs can empower game developers to create deeper, more valuable connections with their players. This episode is packed with insights into Kun's entrepreneurial process, so make sure to tune in!We'd also like to thank Lightspeed Venture Partners for making this episode possible! With its dedicated gaming practice, "Lightspeed Gaming," the firm is investing from over $7B in early- and growth-stage capital — the by far largest fund focused on gaming and interactive technology. If you're interested in learning more, go to https://gaming.lsvp.com/If you like the episode, please help others find us by leaving a 5-star rating or review! And if you have any comments, requests, or feedback shoot us a note at podcast@naavik.co.Who's On:Guest - Kun Gao: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kungao/ Host - Aaron Bush: https://www.linkedin.com/in/aaron-bush-846b8185/ Watch the episode: YouTube ChannelFor more episodes and details: Podcast WebsiteFree newsletter: Naavik DigestFollow us: Twitter | LinkedIn | WebsiteSound design by Gavin Mc Cabe.
Botting, an often misused term that encapsulates multi-accounting, cheating, and fraud, plays a pivotal role in gaming — sometimes enhancing experiences but often undermining them. Our host, Alexandra Takei, Director at Ruckus Games, sits down with Henry LeGard, CEO and co-founder of Verisoul, and George Ng, CTO and co-founder of GGWP, to unpack the botting phenomenon. Their nuanced conversation covers why gaming is rife with bots, when bots are good, when bots are bad, and what gaming can learn from cybersecurity and homeland security. The conversation digs into detection strategies (including behavioral analysis, device fingerprinting, and the deployment of ban waves) and also explores how community plays a role in bot detection and reporting. Finally, the trio discusses how the botting industry will change for the better or the worse with the advancements in AI. We'd also like to thank Reforged Labs for making this episode possible. This YC startup automates the traditionally costly and time-consuming ad production process, delivering high-quality, cost-effective video ads in under 24 hours – and it's all powered by a proprietary AI engine trained on thousands of successful game ads. Learn more: https://reforgedlabs.com/?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=naavik_promo&utm_id=naavik+promo&utm_term=newsletter&utm_content=october30.If you like the episode, please help others find us by leaving a 5-star rating or review! And if you have any comments, requests, or feedback shoot us a note at podcast@naavik.co.Watch the episode: YouTube ChannelFor more episodes and details: Podcast WebsiteFree newsletter: Naavik DigestFollow us: Twitter | LinkedIn | WebsiteSound design by Gavin Mc Cabe.
In Episode 50 of Venture Games, my guest Dennis Fong, Founder & CEO at GGWP discusses becoming the world's first professional gamer; his 25+ year career in gaming, tech, and entrepreneurship; and how his latest company GGWP is using AI to address gaming's moderation challenges.
We have an exciting sneak preview from the upcoming GameWell 2024 summit! An interview with Dennis Fong, and his journey from the world's first professional gamer to entrepreneur and parent. To learn more about Dennis's work in combating toxicity in gaming, check out www.ggwp.com. And to register for the entire summit, head over to www.gamewell24.com! Join us in this episode as we dive into the inspiring life of Dennis Fong, the first professional eSports gamer. Dennis shares his journey from mastering games like Doom and Quake to winning accolades such as John Carmack's Ferrari. He discusses balancing his dual roles as a gamer and entrepreneur, recalling how life's challenges shaped his parenting philosophy. We explore his commitment to fostering passion in his 14-year-old son and his latest venture, GGWP, an AI-driven platform to combat toxicity in gaming. This episode is packed with insights on balancing career and family, promoting healthy gaming, and the broader impacts of gaming on personal development and community-building. Dads looking for guidance on embracing their children's gaming interests will find this conversation particularly enriching. 00:00 Introduction to Dennis Fong: The First eSports Gamer 03:46 Winning John Carmack's Ferrari 05:01 Balancing Gaming and Entrepreneurship 07:42 Parenting and Gaming: A Full Circle 13:04 Founding GGWP: Tackling Toxicity in Gaming 19:46 Balancing Gaming and Education 23:11 Parenting with Honesty and Directness 26:08 Reflecting on Gaming Addiction 29:37 Encouraging Productive Gaming 34:00 Using Gaming to Explore New Interests
In this episode, Dennis Fong, CEO and co-founder of GGWP, discusses his remarkable journey from being the world's first professional gamer to a successful serial entrepreneur. He shares insights from founding and selling four companies, emphasizing the importance of open conversations and the tough realities of making pivots and layoffs. Dennis also reflects on his motivations, and the challenges he's faced, and offers advice on culture building, securing funding, and overcoming doubts in the entrepreneurial world. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/deconstructoroffun/support
Big news this week with Take-Two buying Gearbox from Embracer group. No Man's Sky also got another big update. Baldur's gate 3 is getting more evil endings and Xya has turned around on Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth.Here are the timestamps:IntroNews Highlight- 00:39 Baldur's Gate 3 To Get More Evil Endings- 02:39 PS5 To Get Community Game Help- 10:56 Take-Two Acquires Gearbox- 15:00 PS+ Games For April- 16:50 Marvel Rivals- 17:45 No Man Sky Gets Another Major UpdateWhat We're Playing- 26:34 Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth- 50:05 Death Stranding- 1:21:48 Factorio- 1:27:00 Frostpunk
This episode we're recapping the Nintendo Direct, Sony announcing they're working on PSVR2 PC support, and cross-platform mod support for Baldur's Gate 3. In the backend I also give my impressions of the MacroFactor app after using it for almost two months.Here are the timestamps:IntroNews Highlight- 00:12 Nintendo Direct- 02:48 Dying Light 2 Adds Guns- 04:50 PSVR2 PC Support- 05:56 Baldur's Gate 3 Cross-Platform Mod Support Coming- 10:14 Miyazaki On A Bloodborne Remake- 13:18 Helldivers 2 Patch- 20:02 Nightingale Offline Mode In Development- 27:43 MAJOR END OF GAME BALDUR'S GATE 3 SPOILERS- 30:35 END BALDUR'S GATE 3 SPOILERSWhat We're Playing- 31:00 Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth Demo- 42:30 Death Stranding Director's Cut- 1:13:22 Laggy Monitor- 1:14:45 Son Radicalized By YouTube /S- 1:17:03 MacroFactor Impressions
This week we recap the Xbox business update podcast, which honestly wasn't much of anything, then cover a few quick news bits before recapping the DICE Awards.Here are the timestamps:IntroNews Highlight- 00:10 Xbox Business Update- 11:20 Mandalorian Game At Respawn Rumor- 11:45 Sony Grabs Forever Skies As A Console Exclusive- 22:30 DICE Awards RecapWhat We're Playing- 43:15 Rogue Legacy 2- 45:37 Super Mario RPG- 51:18 Tomb Raider Trilogy Remaster- 55:05 Death Stranding Director's Cut- 1:03:39 Factorio
Disney buys big into Epic Games, Krafton gave us a scare with some misspoken Subnautica 2 information, and what is going on with Xbox?Here are the timestamps:IntroNews Highlight- 00:19 FFXIV Requires Game Pass On Xbox- 02:00 FromSoftware Parent Company Acquires Octopath Traveler Developer- 05:20 Disney Invests Big Into Epic Games- 10:34 Subnautica 2- 13:22 Baldur's Gate 3 Patch 6 Coming Soon- 15:25 What Is Going On With Xbox?- 35:17 HideoTubeWhat We're Playing- 41:18 Baldur's Gate 3 (With Act 3 Spoilers)- 57:00 Factorio- 1:11:48 Death Stranding Director's Cut
00:00 Intro01:10 News Highlights - 01:10 Jim Ryan To Retire - 04:28 Horizon Forbidden West Complete Edition - 06:20 Third Jedi Game In The Works - 07:35 Lies Of P Made Easier - 14:25 Cyberpunk Phantom Liberty - 16:45 Baldur's Gate 3 Multiclass Stats - 17:30 Netflix Video Game Anime22:10 What We're Playing - 22:10 Moonstone Island - 25:55 Chants Of Sennaar - 30:15 Baldur's Gate 31:04:25 What Is With PC Full Screen Gaming
On this episode of the NTP podcast we chat with Jacqueline Garrett, Founder and CEO at GGWP Academy. We find out more on the creation of GGWP, the need for this in the gaming world, working as female founder in tech and GGWP's recent crowdfunding opportunities. Hope you enjoy the episode!
Natty and Jim talk to Jax and Phid from GGWP Acadamy about how they can help aspiring esports athletes grow. Plus LCO playoffs, ANZPL Season 5 incoming and talking about what's in store for Order.
The GGWP team talks about Stray, a game that will get you meowing alongside its protagonist, a stray cat, as it goes on an adventure in a post apocalyptic world. Is this game worth picking up, even if you're not a cat lover? Tune in to find out!Image Source: gamingbolt.com
>*Mature Content Warning* This episode of the Game On AUS podcast features a discussion surrounding the events of the week, when a male was arrested and charged after he was caught allegedly assaulting his partner, whilst live streaming a session of Fortnite. If you, or someone you know, are experiencing domestic violence, there is always help. Phone the "National Sexual Assualt, and Domestic Family Violence Helpline on 1800 RESPECT. If you are in danger, call 000. Top 3 things gamers need to hear this week: 1. Our discussion about the domestic violence that was captured during a gamer's live stream of Fortnite. What is the real message? Why some main stream media is tackling it poorly. 2. Thank you GOA fans! We're officially a finalist for Gaming Publication of the Year for the inaugural Australian Games Awards. 3. Anthem closed Alpha - it's been run, one of our content creators joined in the fun, but can he actually say anything about it? We put in a call and find out! Jacquie Garrett - founder of GGWP, has just arrived back in Australia from an incredible 3 month journey of acceleration for the organisation, we hear her thoughts, hear how far she has come since we last spoke to her, and find out what's next for GGWP! SIGHTS - Dan tee's off, and we're not talking golf! Finally, the Game On AUS major giveaway, the "12 Games of Christmas" has now finished pre-promote and we'll start revealing the prizes* on our facebook page! *ANZ residents only *Game On AUS facebook followers competition *Winners announced Christmas Day! Check out all of GOA shows.
We have a real treat for you this week gamers! Top 3 things that gamers need to hear LIVE FROM GAMESCOM: Our good mate Alex from Kotaku is over in Germany at Gamescom and graciously took some time out of his hectic schedule to tell us the top things we need to know coming out of Gamescom. We also pick his brain on what it's like being one of the main guys who gets to go and represent a major gaming news brand at these gaming festivals talking about who he gets to meet, what morning until night looks like for him while he is there, and if he gets any cool stuff to take home! PLUS We are joined by Jacquie Garrett - founder of GGWP, an up and coming brand looking out for gamers who want to make it big creating content in the space, she's off to Germany for another reason - to have a heap of investors pick GGWP apart and hopefully throw some money her way. Jacquie also tells us about her son Max aka "Orange Ocelot" - he's Australia's youngest professional sponsored gamer and he's heading over to the US to compete in the Pokemon World Championships! Check out all of GOA shows.
We have a real treat for you this week gamers! Top 3 things that gamers need to hear LIVE FROM GAMESCOM: Our good mate Alex from Kotaku is over in Germany at Gamescom and graciously took some time out of his hectic schedule to tell us the top things we need to know coming out of Gamescom. We also pick his brain on what it's like being one of the main guys who gets to go and represent a major gaming news brand at these gaming festivals talking about who he gets to meet, what morning until night looks like for him while he is there, and if he gets any cool stuff to take home! PLUS We are joined by Jacquie Garrett - founder of GGWP, an up and coming brand looking out for gamers who want to make it big creating content in the space, she's off to Germany for another reason - to have a heap of investors pick GGWP apart and hopefully throw some money her way. Jacquie also tells us about her son Max aka "Orange Ocelot" - he's Australia's youngest professional sponsored gamer and he's heading over to the US to compete in the Pokemon World Championships! Check out all of GOA shows.
>*Mature Content Warning* This episode of the Game On AUS podcast features a discussion surrounding the events of the week, when a male was arrested and charged after he was caught allegedly assaulting his partner, whilst live streaming a session of Fortnite. If you, or someone you know, are experiencing domestic violence, there is always help. Phone the "National Sexual Assualt, and Domestic Family Violence Helpline on 1800 RESPECT. If you are in danger, call 000. Top 3 things gamers need to hear this week: 1. Our discussion about the domestic violence that was captured during a gamer's live stream of Fortnite. What is the real message? Why some main stream media is tackling it poorly. 2. Thank you GOA fans! We're officially a finalist for Gaming Publication of the Year for the inaugural Australian Games Awards. 3. Anthem closed Alpha - it's been run, one of our content creators joined in the fun, but can he actually say anything about it? We put in a call and find out! Jacquie Garrett - founder of GGWP, has just arrived back in Australia from an incredible 3 month journey of acceleration for the organisation, we hear her thoughts, hear how far she has come since we last spoke to her, and find out what's next for GGWP! SIGHTS - Dan tee's off, and we're not talking golf! Finally, the Game On AUS major giveaway, the "12 Games of Christmas" has now finished pre-promote and we'll start revealing the prizes* on our facebook page! *ANZ residents only *Game On AUS facebook followers competition *Winners announced Christmas Day! Check out all of GOA shows.
On this episode of Got Our Attention, Mike and Bruno are on assignment so Brian and Kelly hold down the fort. We learn that Kelly knows absolutely nothing about Harry Potter, shocking Brian and the audience in chat. Brian is kind enough to educate her, but we suspect Mike will be organizing a Harry Potter intervention for her soon. Brian also gives us the history behind the two-fingered/European version of ‘the bird' which is fascinating! We also find out how great Brian is at blowing eggs. In Kelly's Korner, we hear about a hiker from Brooklyn who has to be rescued. From a snowy mountain trail. Twice. In two consecutive days. Will wonders never cease? Also, bless his heart… Also: Microsoft is developing a solution for Indie Devs that may give them a serious leg up. Do you suffer from sweaty gamer hands too? Then you should pass on the Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Xbox Series S sweepstakes. You're never going to believe how much money Fortnite has raised for Ukraine! The Ghostbusters: Spirits Unleashed game should be release in Q4 2022. Guess who was a developer on Windows 1.0. Netflix gets their FFPS (that's First First Person Shooter) mobile game. GGWP may have the answer to in-game toxicity. GOTM: Tuesday Night Trivia What We've Been Playing: Martha is Dead (still) Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy (Looking forward too) Tunic On a more serious note, we've started a fundraiser to help aid those in Ukraine. All proceeds go directly to Project HOPE - #HOPEforUkraine. To donate, go to https://tiltify.com/@sassgaming/help-ukraine This and more on Got Our Attention Email us at: GOA@SASSGaming.com https://www.sassgaming.com/ Also, join our Discord! https://discord.gg/pjSTZdx --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/sassgaming/message
NASA SLS really sucks, Nvidia GTC Announcements, Mac Studio almost has upgradeable storage, New Death Scooter from Segway, Furry Controllers, New Witcher Game, Apple TV on Android gimped, M1 Ultra doesn't beat a 3090, AI creates chemical weapons, Russia Sanctions OneWeb, Starlink raises prices, Netflix games, GGWP bot for toxic players, Gamepass gets Paramount+ trial, Xcloud coming to Steamdeck, Zelda OoT on PC?
Você com certeza ficou sabendo da aquisição da Activision pela Microsoft. Por isso, hoje vamos fazer uma análise de tudo que envolve essa movimentação: desde o histórico da Activision Blizzard até as consequências nas concorrentes da Microsoft, como a Sony. Neste episódio de Growthaholics, Pedro Waengertner conversa com Felipe Goldenberg, jornalista de games da Canaltech, e Otávio Pimentel, Analista de M&A na ACE.LINKS CITADOS NO EPISÓDIOPlataforma Growthaholics - https://growthaholics.com.br/Ep. 106: O mercado bilionário de eSports - https://open.spotify.com/episode/46Uts31blWEtC3G9lieiHl?si=081a73a5dfb34ff1Para ler esse conteúdo e muito mais, acesse nosso blog!Instagram: @acestartups e @ace_cortexLinkedIn: ACE Startups e ACE CortexE-mail: podcast@goace.vcEste episódio foi editado por Denys Argyriou (@argyriou_)
In today's very special episode of the Final Cut Podcast, Walter Fedczuk and Chase Wassenar team up with Devin "Piratechnics" Younge and Alex "Magical" Whieldon to discuss Arcane, the League of Legends-based animated series that won nine different awards at this weekend's Annie Awards. In this GGWP reunion episode, the crew discuss Riot's historic approach to worldbuilding, their favorite moments from the series, and what they want to see from future projects in the LoL universe.
It's hard to imagine, but 51 weeks ago we launched Global Guessing with our inaugural forecast on the 2020 Burkina Faso Presidential Election. In the time since, we've released 43 podcast episodes, 34 forecasts, and a new newsletter. In today's final (??) episode of the Weekly Podcast, we wanted to go over this incredible past year–discussing why we started this project, recount the content we've produced, highlight our favorite moments, and discuss how our thoughts about quantified forecasting and the content we produced evolved since that Burkinabe forecast. While this may be the final GGWP for a while, we're not going anywhere! At the end of this episode, we'll share with you our exciting plans for 2022 and beyond with respect to forecasts and podcasts. Thank you so much for being with us for the last year and the support you have shown. We hope you enjoy the show!
Do consumers of geopolitical risk reports want accurate forecasts? You would think surely yes, but recurring listeners of our podcast know that in many cases individuals prefer vague verbiage over accountable, quantifiable forecasts. In this week's Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we wanted an answer, so we spoke with Manas Chawla, founder and CEO of London Politica–a student-run pro-bono political risk organization based out of London. Manas founded London Politica in 2020 during the pandemic when he noticed an accessibility problem in the geopolitical risk industry. Today, the geopolitical industry resembles an oligopoly: there is a small handful of large firms that retain the largest clients and drive trends. The issue is that the fees which these firms charge are often too lofty for the massive pool of SMBs and independent business owners around the world. And that's where London Politica comes in. Run by students who provide new and innovative perspectives on the world of geopolitics, London Politica provides geopolitical risk services and thought leadership at affordable prices to a diverse world of clients. Today Manas will walk us through how he founded his firm which boasts 70 analysts in 20 countries with backgrounds from the likes of Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, and clients such as Global Citizen. And to make this all more impressive, Manas is currently a student at the London School of Economics where he is studying International Relations. We'll also talk with Manas about the role geopolitical forecasts play in geopolitical risk, and how the future of the two might look. Note: This podcast was recorded on August 31, 2021.
Welcome back to the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast. This week we are joined by David McCullough, Managing Director of Government Operations and Superforecaster and Good Judgement Inc. Prior to joining Good Judgement, David was an underwater Archaeologist for over twenty years after receiving his Ph.D. in Maritime Archeology from the University of Glasgow. In this week's episode, we talked to David about his background in Archaeology and the ways in which his training helped him become an elite forecaster. Afterwards, we discussed the importance of creating good forecasting questions and the qualities associated with them. We also chatted with David the importance of pre-mortem analysis and the roadblocks hindering government and private-sector adoption of forecasting and the principles outlined in Tetlock and Gardner's Superforecasting. We really enjoyed speaking with David, finding his answers thoughtful and insightful. If you did as well, make sure to check out Good Judgement's upcoming Superforecasting Workshop on December 8th and 9th at 12:00 - 2:30pm EST.
And we're back! Welcome everyone to the eighteenth episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, the podcast on all things geopolitics and forecasting. Today we are joined by GG alum David Manheim, lead researcher for the human challenge trial advocacy group 1DaySooner who previously appeared on The Right Side of Maybe to discuss his accuracy in forecasting Covid vaccines. David received a PhD in Public Policy from Pardee Rand Graduate School focusing on risk analysis and decision theory. He has done work on a variety of grants and contracts to research existential risk mitigation, public health, computational modelling, and infectious disease epidemiology for organizations such as the RAND Corporation. In addition to his work with 1DaySooner, David currently works with the Foresight Institute, is a Superforecaster with Good Judgement Inc., and recently became a visiting professor at the Israel Institute of Technology "working to build interdisciplinary collaborations with technical researchers on the promises and risks of emerging technologies." In this episode, you'll hear David talk about his work in biosecurity including the recent report he worked on for the Council on Strategic Risks, a US think tank, and his work with 1DaySooner on human challenge trials to learn how this change in vaccine testing could save millions of lives. We also chatted with David about the role that quantified forecasting currently plays in government policy and discuss why the technique is under-utilized. Finally, we get David's thoughts on real-money prediction markets and the importance of question-quality in both prediction markets and platforms. Note: This episode was recorded on July 29th.
We are BACK! Your favourite podcasts providing insights into some of the best Esports personalities around the globe - Mindclickers.Episode 2 kicks off with Jax Garret, founder and CEO of the GGWP Academy, and online platform catered towards providing education surrounding content creation.If there is anyone who would know anything about startups and content creation, its Jax!Join us as we explore the importance; Content developmentBuilding and working around your nicheEsports players mindset towards contentExploring different avenuesAccepting criticism of your craftDNA to be liked?Final Summary
Good evening Ladies and Gents, today the bois talk about the revealment of the Tesla bot and how this affects the amount for robot cheeks that will get clapped GGWP.
Career paths rarely unfold linearly, and this week's guest is no exception. But his winding way in geopolitics (as he discusses) provided him with exceptional perspective which has surely informed his geopolitical chops. In this week's episode we sat down with John Fowler of International Intrigue, a newsletter covering all things geopolitics and global affairs. We talked about his circuitous route to International Intrigue, including stops to study law, join the Australian foreign service, and earn an MBA. We also chatted about some of his most memorable International Intrigue editions as well as exploring the many linkages between the worlds of geopolitics and forecasting. Be sure to listen or watch this episode for some interesting conversation, and to discover another great content hub to consume. International Intrigue: https://www.internationalintrigue.io/ John Fowler: https://twitter.com/johnsnonsense Global Guessing: https://globalguessing.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/GlobalGuessing Facebook: https://facebook.com/globalguessing LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-guessing/
Every forecaster has wanted to know what the most important factor for improving forecasting accuracy is, but for a long time the answer was not clear. Thanks to a chance overlap of co-authors Ville Satopää and Marat Salikhov at INSEAD, however, a new paper was published alongside forecasting pioneers Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers that does a great job of providing a solution. Their paper, “Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting,” deconstructs the forecasting process into its component parts of: Information (the inputs you use to move your forecast away from the base rate), Bias (systematic error across a number of forecasts from a single forecaster), and Noise (non-information that is registered as information in a forecast). From there they test which of these parts is most critical to the accuracy of a forecast, and posit methods to improve in these areas. In this episode we are lucky enough to sit down with Ville and Marat to discuss the origins of this paper, its findings, and the implications for the future of forecasting. We talk about possible avenues for further research based on the exciting results from Ville and Marat's research, and even speculate on potential applications of the research in new and interesting environments.
How do the biggest geopolitical risk firms approach forecasting? What's the future of tensions between the United States and China? How hard is it to forecast far into the future? In this episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we sat down with Phillip Orchard of Geopolitical Futures to talk about all of these topics and more. For those who aren't aware, Geopolitical Futures is a geopolitical forecasting operation founded by George Friedman, former Stratfor Chairman and author of The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century. Within the organization Phillip focuses on the Indo-Pacific, working to inform clients about risks stemming from that region of the world. Phillip is an expert in Chinese foreign policy and has developed a deep understanding of the geopolitics dynamics at play in the greater East Asian and Southeast Asian regions of the world. He even speaks some Thai! Watch until the end to hear a new rapid fire question we gave Phillip given his areas of interest/expertise. And although this isn't The Right Side of Maybe, we did ask Phillip about some specific forecasts he's completed that we felt were notable, so enjoy our discussion of some forecast post-mortems. You can find Phillip on Twitter: @PhillipOrchard. Global Guessing: https://globalguessing.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/globalguessing
What is Metaculus' origin story? Who runs it now and what do they have planned for the future? How will Metaculus' role within the forecasting ecosystem shift as time goes on? These are all questions that any avid forecaster might be curious about, and today we were able to get some answers! In this episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, we sat down with a very special guest to discuss the answers to these questions and to talk about the forecasting community writ large: Gaia Dempsey, CEO of Metaculus. Quantified forecasting wasn't always at the fore of Gaia's mind. She used to work a tech entrepreneur, helping to run and grow companies in the augmented reality space. But in 2019 things changed and she was lured by Metaculus' founding group of scientists to join the company. As she touches on in our interview, forecasting and her past in alternate reality technology, while seemingly quite different on the surface, have many commonalities. Namely, the focus on human augmentation as the path forward for technological innovation. And Gaia has taken this to heart with the way that she leads Metaculus. So definitely tune in to hear about Gaia's story and the moves she's making now to change the forecasting game forever! Gaia on Twitter: https://twitter.com/fianxu/ Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/ Metaculus on Twitter: https://twitter.com/metaculus/ Website: https://globalguessing.com/#/portal/signup Twitter: https://twitter.com/GlobalGuessing Facebook: https://facebook.com/globalguessing LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-guessing/
What's been going on with Israel and Palestine since last Monday? How far along in the conflict are we? Is this flare-up between these two nations any different from past years? In this special combined episode of the Geopolitical Guessing Weekly Podcast and Metaculus Mondays, we walk you through an internally-generated set of questions about the conflict which we forecasted this week. Instead of answering a single question related to a potential ceasefire or death-tally, we decomposed the conflict into six questions that we felt give a good high-level view of where we are in the conflict, and where it may end up. And as there was no question on this topic on Metaculus this week, we determined our own resolution criteria as well! Read the episode, get our sources and data, and find the Metaculus questions at globalguessing.com.
Venting Machine | GGWP --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app
KOTS XII has come to a close for North America and [SCCC] emerges as Champions! EverettWV joins [BONKS] Addi, [O7] ThePotato69, and [GGWP] Sageliev to recap on the tournament, the ships bans, the meta, and standout participants! PLUGS: SCCC Discord: https://discord.gg/vRvweCr BONKS Discord: https://discord.gg/XyFadmVrTt GGWP Discord: https://discord.gg/rQ6uU6X O7 Discord: https://discord.gg/2hbYr8eS Boggzy's Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/boggzytime Boggzy's YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC8epf9u0MUiB5dxDBR5mbeg/ Boggzy's Discord: https://discord.gg/3Z6gS9bejy TNG Discord: Come say Hello! https://discord.gg/8NmfNJZ Want to Play WoWs? - https://warships.us/Boggzy --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/gtkwows/support
Phid shares his decade worth of knowledge as a content creator and businessman in the space of online media and streaming to help deconstruct and shed light on what it takes to become a full time gamer. It's a viable career path and in this chat Phid will give you inspiration and tools to take it seriously and understand exactly what it takes. Zero to Play Links: Tw: www.twitter.com/zerotoplay IG: www.instagram.com/zerotoplayig FB: www.facebook.com/zerotoplay Web: www.zerotoplay.com Newsletter: https://www.getrevue.co/profile/zerotoplay Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCOtarAj6sVJvv0GnSPtAVJQ
What can we expect to happen in Afghanistan after the United States withdraws its troops? What is going on in the Donbass? How likely is it that any country boycotts the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing? We answer all these questions and more in this episode. In Episode 12 of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we chatted with Michael Hilliard, host of The Red Line Podcast. Every two weeks Michael sits down with three experts to unpack niche issues in the world of geopolitics. From elections to regional disputes to commodities, the Red Line covers a wide array of topics which will surely be of interest to a lot of our viewers. We discussed all of this with Michael, before covering some hot topics in geopolitics today as well as diving into the world of quantified forecasting as it related to geopolitics. Michael is a geopolitical whiz and a pleasure to speak with, so we hope you enjoy this episode as much as we did! The Red Line Podcast: https://www.theredlinepodcast.com/ The Red Line Podcast Twitter: https://twitter.com/TheRedLinePod Michael Hilliard Twitter: https://twitter.com/MikeHilliardAus Website: https://globalguessing.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/GlobalGuessing LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-guessing/ Facebook: https://facebook.com/globalguessing
How do companies use forecasting? When will forecasting, as we practice it at Global Guessing, become more common and mainstream? What tools can I use to forecast better? If you're curious about the answers to any of these questions, then this episode is for you! In this week's episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we chatted with Tom Liptay and Michael Story, co-founders of Maby, Superforecasters, and former alumnus of Good Judgement. Maby is a forecasting platform created to help companies and investors forecast more accurately. Companies often have internal ways of forecasting revenues or market trends, but few use the systematic and scientific techniques and methodologies of quantified forecasting that we like to explore at Global Guessing. Hear about Maby, and Tom & Michael's journey to forecasting in this exciting episode. Tom Liptay: https://twitter.com/TLiptay Michael Story: https://twitter.com/MWStory Website: https://globalguessing.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/GlobalGuessing LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-guessing/ Note: We originally planned for this episode to come out next week. However, due to a scheduling issue we had to push this episode forward. This is why you'll hear us reference the episode as episode 12 rather than 11.
What are the core components of forecasts and how can those pinpoint areas for improvement? How can those principles be applied to forecasting war between Russia and Ukraine in the Donbass or the winner of the upcoming presidential election in Peru where far-left faces off against far-right? Andrew and Clay are flying solo in this week's episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast. This week, we discuss our recent forecast on renewed fighting in the Donbass region between Russia and Ukraine and our reactions to recent news of Russian troops withdrawal. We also dive deep into the "Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting" paper by Ville Satopää, Marat Salikhov, Philip Tetlock, and Barb Mellers. We concluded this week's episode by discussing our upcoming forecast on Peru's 2021 election for President. Website: https://globalguessing.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/GlobalGuessing Facebook: https://facebook.com/globalguessing LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/global-guessing/
How do the best forecasters update their beliefs? Do markets or prediction polls elicit the best forecasts? In this week's episode of GGWP, Pavel Atanasov answers these questions and discusses his postdoc experience at Good Judgement under Phillip Tetlock and Barb Mellers. We also talked to Pavel on the strengths and weakness of machine forecasting models and different ways to handle median-spamming behavior on prediction platforms such as Metaculus during aggregation. Pavel Atanasov is the co-founder of Pytho.io-a boutique R&D shop which uses decision science to improve predictions and decision making. Pytho's current focus is Human Forest, a double-NSF award (patent-pending) project which combines data-driven base rate automation and collective human insight to deliver on key objectives on which machine algorithms and human forecasters can fall short. Pavel has a Ph.D in Psychology and Decision Science from The University of Pennsylvania and is the author on numerous forecasting, judgement, and behavioral data science papers. If you want to learn about the intersection of research, entrepreneurship, and forecasting, this is the episode for you. Find Pavel Atanasov: https://twitter.com/PavelDAtanasov Find Global Guessing: https://twitter.com/globalguessing
In this week's special episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast, Andrew and Clay are joined by Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov of Pytho: A boutique R&D shop that use decision science to improve predictions and decision making. Pavel and Regina discuss the method and design of their patent-pending Human Forest system which combines data-driven base rate automation and collective human insight to deliver on key objectives on which machine algorithms and human forecasters can fall short. They also talk to us about their recent forecasting competition where they put their Human Forest system to test and put human forecasters against machine models to predict COVID-19 clinical trials.
In the sixth episode of the Global Guessing Weekly #Podcast we sit down with Rootclaim founder Saar Wilf. Saar goes over his entrepreneurial background and discusses the story and method behind Rootclaim. In the podcast, we question Saar on some of the assumptions made by some of Rootclaim's more controversial analyses including in their Syria chemical attack analysis before Saar questions some of the assumptions in our Rootclaim-based forecast in last week's Metaculus Monday's on the origins of COVID. And that's not all! in our longest episode yet we also make predictions about aliens and discuss Bzigo, one of Saar's technology start-up companies that creates a device which detects, locates, and (one day) kills mosquitos
Good Afternoon ladies and gentlemen; the lads discuss the qualifications for soup, and dive into nostalgic fart memories. Stay tuned to hear what happened when someone farts in class, and what happened to Ryan's cross country race when he decided to let it rip. GGWP
We review the new books that we've been reading on forecasting and geopolitics. We also cover the major geopolitical stories of the week, including the US-China Summit in Alaska, new North Korean tensions, and the status of US troop withdrawal from Afghanistan. We also talk about what's in store next for Global Guessing! Let us know on Twitter, Facebook, or our website if you have any comments, questions, or suggestions regarding our plans for the future of the brand!
Clay and Andrew are flying solo...or rather duo. In this week's episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we chat about the most pressing news from this week in geopolitics. Then we discuss our latest Metaculus Monday article regarding normalizing Israeli-Saudi relations before doing a live prediction on Metaculus! We also cover The Good Judgement Project's new Good Judgement Open challenges as well as talk about Marko Papic's book Geopolitical Alpha. Tune in for a good one!
Andrew and Clay are flying solo again. In Episode 3 of GGWP, we cover the recent Metaculus scoring controversy and discuss ways to better incentivize accurate forecasts in community prediction platforms. We also reflect on the recent geopolitical events in the news, update one of our forecasts in the Middle East, and talk about a new forecasting website that has caught our attention for more than one reason.
For the first episode of the Global Guessing Weekly Podcast we are joined by Dr. Balkan Devlen, author, professor, and superforecaster for Good Judgement, Inc. In the episode, we discussed Dr. Devlen's introduction to quantified forecasting and his path to becoming a Superforecaster, before discussing how theories of social sciences can be incorporated into predictions, why forecasting has little presence in academia, and reflecting on past predictions–among other topics.
Der TAPp Podcast mit Cedric, Max und Simon Late Night Folge - Das Thema der Dunkelheit wird von allen Seiten beleuchtet, durch den TAPP-Typischen investigativen Journalismus. GGWP kann man da nur sagen. >>Schreibt uns was ihr wollt: tappottcast@gmail.com>SEASON 2 Playlist: https://cutt.ly/Jky1L8r (Kein Virus versprochen)
Jacqueline ' Jax' 'Garrett, CEO & Founder of GGWP Academy, is a much-needed person on the map of the rapidly growing gaming & esports industries. Her startup - GGWP is an online platform that provides educational resources for aspiring esports athletes and gaming content creators. But it wouldn't be in Jax style to simply stop on that. With her extensive background in operations, strategy, and communications, she knows that it is not enough to get the knowledge if you don't have a platform to put it into action. GGWP Academy is bridging the world of niche influencers with brands. In a wider effect, bringing ease of monetization to the industry, providing quality content, and increasing ROI of Influencer marketing campaigns for brands. Check our talk to find out more about the challenges of rising esport athlete, why education is so crucial in gaming & esports, how to effectively ( yet boldly!) approach business partners, and what does it mean to face a trial by media. Make sure you subscribe for a weekly dose of inspiration! Follow us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ITS-HER-GAME-103707681572584 Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/itshergame_podcast/ --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/itshergame/message