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It's Rainmaking Time!®
Calling in The U.S. Constitution

It's Rainmaking Time!®

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 16, 2022 127:20


https://youtu.be/h2qSfKcaLEQ Dr. Edwin Vieira, PhD & JD, is one of the most important Legal Minds regarding the reality and application of the US Constitution. He's been practicing Constitutional law for 45 years and has won several important cases at the Supreme Court. In the Supreme Court of the United States, he successfully argued or briefed the cases leading to the landmark decisions Abood v. Detroit Board of Education, Chicago Teachers Union v. Hudson, and Communications Workers of America v. Beck, which established constitutional and statutory limitations on the uses to which labor unions, in both the private and the public sectors, may apply fees extracted from nonunion workers as a condition of their employment. We also discuss some of the most misunderstood aspects of the US Constitution & its's current status, relative to what appears to be an official selection. Is it really true that the US Constitution is a living breathing organism and should be subject to changing it's meaning?  Should it be flexible and malleable? What is Constitutional Authority and who actually has it when it comes to shutting down society? What is the Commerce Clause and what does it have to do with what's unfolding today? Can the government force you to have vaccinations? They assert that they can, but, can they? What specific powers does a president really have and what's really in and out of his or her authority? What should happen at a Constitutional level if our elected leaders are not doing their jobs? What are the remedies if elected officials and public servants are refusing to do their jobs? Dr. Edwin Vieira Jr. J.D. lays out the weak links in the judiciary, including The Supreme Courts and the Judges Dilemmas and clarifies who, in fact, makes remedies for fraud if fraud is discovered.  We discuss what happens if, on January 20, 2021, no president or vice president actually is qualified to be president and vice president of The United States? Yes, we actually go there. We also cover Dr. Vieira's advice to Potus 45, as to what to do over the matter of real election fraud. He discusses the key differences between civil and criminal remedies, specific to their power and scope. Be ready to discover what exactly the President's Constitutional Function, Authority and Power really is concerning The Department of Justice, The Federal Bureau of Investigation and any other agencies including The Supreme Court. This may surprise many of you. This segment moves fast and you will find yourselves moving right into The Commerce Clause and discover how it specifically relates to what's unfolding with the loss of human rights and liberties, beginning with the arrival of Covid-19. Dr. Vieira shares how (Equal Protection under The Law) should be applied in the case of riots and damages to people, property and the operation of businesses. In more sensitive areas, he shares the Constitutionality of (Bills of Attainer), aka, Kill lists and how this matter should be dealt with. Last, but not least, Dr. Vieira addresses the specifics of what any President must do should the normal mechanisms of Constitutional Accountability are not working and those in power are not keeping their oaths of office and have in essence, gone rogue. You may find out that Marshall Law may not be the remedy you ever want invoked. Look out for an intense, fast moving ride in Calling in The Constitution in its most clear expression and marvelous foundation for securing a Free State. Edwin Vieira Jr. J.D., Phd. is the author of many landmark books & articles that you can buy right now: Constitutional Homeland Security, A Nation in Arms How to Dethrone The Judiciary Three Rights Thirteen Words Pieces of Eight, The Monetary Powers and Disabilities of the United States Constitution Crashmaker The Sword and Sovereignty: The Constitutional Principles of “The Militia of the Several States Edwin Vieira Jr.

History Behind News
S2E38: Chile's History of Polarized Politics - a timely conversation after U.S. midterm elections…

History Behind News

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 11, 2022 65:14


Before the CIA-supported 1973 coup that placed Pinochet in power, Chile enjoyed democracy for several decades. Remarkably, after less than a decade of Pinochet's brutal repression of his people, Chileans were able to slowly introduce changes that lay the foundation for the eventual return of democracy. This is a huge national accomplishment. In this episode, Dr. Claudio Fuentes takes us through the history of Chile's polarized politics from prior to 1973 to 2022. Despite this polarization, Chile's democracy has survived. Perhaps the reason is that Chileans have experienced the alternative to democracy: Pinochet's years. As our politics become more polarized here in the U.S., we can learn quite a lot from Chile, in how fragile democracy is, in how polarization can destroy democracy. Dr. Fuentes is a professor at the School of Political Science at Diego Portales University in Chile. His academic interests focus on the study of political processes in Chile and Latin America, and in recent years on the study of the dynamics of institutional change. Among his many other recognitions, Dr. Fuentes won the award for the best doctoral thesis awarded by the American Political Science Association (APSA) and is a Luksic Fellow at Harvard University (2011). In Chile, was a member of the Presidential Anti-Corruption Advisory Council (2015). He is an associate researcher at the Center for Intercultural and Indigenous Studies (CIIR) and coordinates the Constitutional Laboratory at Diego Portales University. To learn more about Dr. Fuentes, you can visit his academic homepage. In addition, below are links to other episodes about U.S. interests, interference and even occupation of countries and nations in the Americas: S2E35: Puerto Rico, Dr. Jorge Duany S1E24: Cuba's History, Dr. Lillian Guerra S1E23: Haiti's History, Dr. Robert Fatton I hope you enjoy these episodes. Adel Host of the History Behind News podcast HIGHLIGHTS: get future episode highlights in your inbox. SUPPORT: please click here and join our other supporters in the news peeler community. Thank you.

Down The Rabbit Holes
S1 Ep158: Sunny Sramek

Down The Rabbit Holes

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2022 23:39


On April 20, 2019, 18 year old Sunny Sramek left her home in Trenton, Nebraska. She was en route to Omaha, Nebraska. She has never been seen again. If you have any information, please contact either the Hitchcock County Sheriff's Office at 308-334-5444 or the Federal Bureau of Investigation at 402-493-8688.  Disclaimer: All theories discussed are our opinions based on our research. The majority of our research comes from publicly available sources. #armchairdetectives All source material and photos are on our website at: www.downtherabbitholespodcast.com Join Patreon for extra content and ad free episodes: https://www.patreon.com/downtherabbitholespod Subscribe and then follow us and join the discussion on Instagram and Facebook at DownTheRabbitHolesPodcast Contact us at theories@downtherabbitholespodcast.com

Breaking Battlegrounds
Congressman Byron Donalds on Getting Government to Work Again

Breaking Battlegrounds

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2022 55:27


This week on Breaking Battlegrounds, Chuck and Sam are joined by Republican candidate for Nevada's governor, Sheriff Joe Lombardo, and Congressman Byron Donalds, a Republican from Florida's 19th congressional district.-Joe Lombardo began his service to others in the United States Army and served bravely in the Army, National Guard, and Army Reserve - protecting Americans both domestically and abroad. After his service to his country, Joe dedicated himself to protecting our communities – serving in law enforcement over the last 30 years.Joe quickly rose through the ranks of the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department (LVMPD) and, after 26 years on the force, was elected as Sheriff of Clark County, Nevada in 2014.Throughout Joe's career, his leadership of our communities has never faltered. He now intends to further his public service and represent, protect, and serve the entire state of Nevada.  Sheriff Lombardo maintains professional affiliations which include Major Cities Chiefs Association (MCCA), Major County Sheriffs of America (MCSA), National Sheriffs Association (NSA), FBI – Law Enforcement Executive Development Association (LEEDA), Vice-Chair Nevada Commission for Homeland Security and Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) National Academy Associates. He has also served as Board Member for the LVMPD Foundation (2007-2014), After School All-Stars (2015-2020), Goodwill of Southern Nevada (2007-2009), Make A Wish (2015-2020), Committee Member for the NV Communications Steering Committee (2012-2014) and MCC's representative to the Public Safety Advisory Committee (2012-2014).  Joe currently serves as a Board Member for Nevada Child Seekers and Chairman of MCCA Intelligence Committee.Sheriff Lombardo holds a B.S. and a M.S. in crisis management, both from UNLV.-Byron Donalds grew up in Brooklyn, New York, and he is also the proud son of a hardworking and loving single mother. His mother dedicated her time instilling in him that greatness requires sacrifice, which drives him as a devoted family man and United States Congressman.Byron is a graduate of Florida State University and received a Bachelor of Arts degree in finance and marketing. Byron's career led him to Southwest Florida, where he worked in the banking, finance, and insurance industries. Elected to the Florida House of Representatives in 2016, Byron represented Hendry County and east Collier County in the State Capitol. During his tenure in the Florida House, Byron served as the PreK-12 Quality Subcommittee Chair during the 2018-2019 Legislative Session and served as the Insurance & Banking Subcommittee's Chairman 2019-2020 Legislative Session. While serving in the Florida House, primarily focused on elder affairs, criminal justice reform, and ensuring that each child has access to a world-class education.Byron is committed to serving and giving back to the community that gave him so much. He has served Southwest Florida in many ways, including previously serving on the Board of Trustees for Florida Southwestern State College after being appointed by then-Governor Rick Scott. Byron continues to volunteer in his church as a youth leader and a mentor. He also enjoys volunteering as a coach in youth football and basketball leagues.Congressman Byron Donalds lives in Naples, Florida, with his wife, Erika, and their three sons: Damon, Darin, and Mason. Byron has spent his entire adult life serving others, whether it be through volunteering, business, or leadership. He is committed to representing Florida's 19th Congressional District's conservative values in Washington DC to ensure a stronger Florida and a stronger nation.-Connect with us:www.breakingbattlegrounds.voteTwitter: www.twitter.com/Breaking_BattleFacebook: www.facebook.com/breakingbattlegroundsInstagram: www.instagram.com/breakingbattlegroundsLinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/breakingbattlegrounds This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit breakingbattlegrounds.substack.com

Sinocism
Sinocism Podcast #5: 20th Party Congress and US-China Relations with Chris Johnson

Sinocism

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 59:34


Episode Notes:A discussion recently concluded 20th Party Congress and what to expect ahead in US China relations. I'm pleased to welcome back Chris Johnson, CEO of Consultancy China Strategies Group, Senior Fellow at the Asia Society Policy Institute Center for China Analysis and former Senior China analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency. This is the 7th Party Congress that Chris has analyzed professionally.Links:John Culver: How We Would Know When China Is Preparing to Invade Taiwan - Carnegie Endowment for International PeaceTranscript:Bill: Welcome back to the very occasional Sinocism podcast. Today we are going to talk about the recently concluded 20th Party Congress and what to expect ahead in US China relations. I'm pleased to welcome back Chris Johnson, CEO of Consultancy China Strategies Group, Senior Fellow at the Asia Society Policy Institute Center for China Analysis and former Senior China analyst at the Central Intelligence Agency. This is the 7th Party Congress that Chris has analyzed professionally. So we have a lot of experience here to help us understand what just happened. Chris, welcome back and thanks for taking the time.Chris: My pleasure. Always fun to be with you, Bill.Bill: Great. Well, why don't we jump right in. I'd like to talk about what you see as the most important outcomes from the Congress starting with personnel. What do you make of the leadership team from the central committee to the Politburo to the Standing Committee and what does that say about.Chris: Yeah, well, I, think clearly Xi Jinping had a massive win, you know, with personnel. I think we see this particularly in the Politburo Standing Committee, right, where on the key portfolios that really matter to him in terms of controlling the key levers of power inside the system. So we're talking propaganda, obviously, Uh, we're talking party bureaucracy, military less so, but security services, you know, these, these sort of areas all up and down the ballot he did very well.So that's obviously very important. And I think obviously then the dropping of the so-called Communist Youth League faction oriented people in Li Keqiang and Wang Yang and, and Hu Chunhua being  kind of unceremoniously kicked off the Politburo, that tells us that. He's not in the mood to compromise with any other  interest group.I prefer to call them rather than factions. Um, so that sort of suggests to us that, you know, models that rely on that kind of an analysis are dead. It has been kind of interesting in my mind to see how quickly though that, you know, analysts who tend to follow that framework already talking about the, uh, factional elements within Xi's faction, right?So, you know, it's gonna be the Shanghai people versus the Zhijiang Army versus the Fujian people. Bill: people say there's a Tsinghua factionChris: Right. The, the infamous, non infamous Tsinghua clique and, and and so on. But I think as we look more closely, I mean this is all kidding aside, if we look more closely at the individuals, what we see is obviously these people, you know, loyalty to Xi is, is sort of like necessary, but not necessarily sufficient in explaining who these people are. Also, I just always find it interesting, you know, somehow over. Wang Huning has become a Xi Jinping loyalist. I mean, obviously he plays an interesting role for Xj Jinping, but I don't think we should kid ourselves in noting that he's been kind of shunted aside Right by being pushed into the fourth position on the standing committee, which probably tells us that he will be going to oversee the Chinese People's Consultative Congress, which is, you know, kind of a do nothing body, you know, for the most part. And, um, you know, my sense has long been, One of Xi Jinping's, I think a couple factors there with Wang Huning.Sinocism is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.One is, you know, yes, he is very talented at sort of taking their very, uh, expansive, um, theoretical ideas and coming up with snappy, um, snappy sort of catchphrases, right? This is clearly his, um, his sort of claim to fame. But, you know, we had that article last year from the magazine, Palladium that kind of painted him as some sort of an éminence grise or a Rasputin like figure, you know, in terms of his role.Uh, you know, my sense has always been, uh, as one contact, put it to me one time. You know, the issue is that such analyses tend to confuse the musician with the conductor. In other words,  Xi Jinping.  is pretty good at ideology, right? And party history and the other things that I think the others had relied on.I think the second thing with Wang Huning is, um, in a way XI can't look at him I don't think, without sort of seeing here's a guy who's changed flags, as they would say, right? He served three very different leaders, Jiang Zemin, Hu Jintao, and now Xi , um, and, and continued on and I think at some level, uh, and we look at the rest of the appointments where it appears that, uh, loyalty was much more important than merit.Um, where that's also a question mark. So there's those issues I think on the Politburo. You know, you mentioned the, the Tsinghua clique it was very interesting. You had shared with me, uh, Desmond Shum of Red Roulette fame's Twitter stream sort of debunking, you know, this, this Tsinghua clique and saying, well, it turns out in fact that the new Shanghai Municipal Party Secretary Chen Jining can't stand Chen Xi, even though, you know, they both went to Tsinghua and were there at the same time and so on.Um, you know, who knows with Desmond Shum, but I think he knows some things, right? And, and, and it just a reminder to us all, I think, how little we understand right, about these relationships, especially now, uh, with Xi's concentration of power. And also a situation where we've had nearly three years of covid isolationBill: Right. And so it's really hard to go talk to people, even the fewer and fewer numbers, people who, who know something and can talk. Back to the standing committee. I, I think certainly just from friends and contacts the biggest surprise you know, I think, uh was Li Keqiang and Wang Yang not sticking around. And as that long explainer said without naming them they were good comrades who steps aside for the good of the party in the country,Chris: Because that happens so often,Bill: whatever that means. Um, but really the, the bigger surprise was that, oh, Cai Qi showing up. Who I think when you look at the standing committee, I think the general sense is, okay, the, these people are all, you know, not, they're loyal, but they're also competent, like Li Qiang, Chris: Right, Bill: The likely new premier number two on the standing committee is pretty competent. The Shanghai lockdown, disaster aside, Cai Qi on the other hand, was just, looks more like, it's just straight up loyalty to Xi. I think he was not really on anybody's short list of who was gonna make it on there. And so, it does feel like something happened, right?Chris: Yeah. Well, um, a couple things there. I think, um, one, let's start with the. The issue you raised about the economic team cuz I think that's actually very important. Um, you know, I, at some level, sometimes I feel like I'm sort of tiring my, of my role as official narrative buster or a windmill tilter.Uh, whether, whether it's pushback from Li Keqiang or the myth of the savior premier as I was calling it, which, uh, we didn't see, or that these norms actually aren't very enduring and it's really about power politics. I, I think I'm kind of onto a new one now, which is, you know, Xi Jin ping's new team of incompetent sycophants.Right? That's kind of the label that's, uh, come out in a lot of the takes, uh, since the Congress. But to your point, I mean, you know, Li Qiang has run the three most important economic powerhouses on China's east coast, either as governor or as party chief. Right. He seems to have had a, a good relationship with both.Private sector businesses and, and foreign, you know, people forget that, you know, he got the Tesla plant built in Shanghai in a year basically. Right. And it's, uh, responsible for a very significant amount of, of Tesla's total input of vehicles. Output of vehicles. Excuse me. Um, likewise, I hear that Ding Xuexiang, even though we don't know a lot about him, uh, was rather instrumental in things.Breaking the log jam with the US uh, over the de-listing of Chinese ADRs, uh, that he had played an important role in convincing Xi Jinping it would not be a good idea, for example, to, uh, you know, we're already seeing, uh, sort of decoupling on the technology side. It would not be a good idea to encourage the Americans to decouple financially as well. So the point is I think we need to just all kind of calm down, right? And, and see how these people perform in office. He Lifeng, I think is perhaps, you know, maybe more of a question mark, but, But here too, I think it's important for us to think about how their system worksThe political report sets the frame, right? It tells us what. Okay, this is the ideological construct we're working off of, or our interpretation, our dialectical interpretation of what's going on. And that, I think the signal there was what I like to call this fortress economy, right? So self-sufficiency and technology and so on.And so then when we look at the Politburo appointments, you can see that they align pretty closely to that agenda, right? These people who've worked in state firms or scientists and you know, so on and forth.Bill: Aerospace, defenseChris: Yeah, Aerospace. Very close alignment with that agenda. I'm not saying this is the right choice for China or that it even will be successful, I'm just saying it makes sense, you know,Bill: And it is not just sycophants it is actually loyal but some expertise or experience in these key sectors Chris: Exactly.  Yeah, and, and, and, and of interest as well. You know, even people who have overlapped with Xi Jinping. How much overlap did they have? How much exposure did they have? You know, there's a lot of discussion, for example, about the new propaganda boss, Li Shulei being very close to Xi and likewise Shi Taifeng.Right? Uh, both of whom were vice presidents at the party school when, when Xi also was there. Um, but remember, you know, he was understudy to Hu Jintao at the time, you know, I mean, the party school thing was a very small part of his portfolio and they were ranked lower, you know, amongst the vice presidents of the party school.So how much actual interaction did he have? So there too, you know, I think, uh, obviously. , yes these people will do what Xi Jinping wants them to do, but that doesn't mean they're not competent. On Cai Qi, I agree with you. I think it's, it's, it's difficult. You know, my speculation would be a couple of things.One, proximity matters, right? He's been sitting in Beijing the last five years, so he is, had the opportunity to, uh, be close to the boss and, and impact that. I've heard some suggestions from contacts, which I think makes some. He was seen as more strictly enforcing the zero Covid policy. Right. In part because he is sitting in Beijing than say a Chen Min'er, right.Who arguably was a other stroke better, you know, candidate for that position on the Politburo standing committee. And there, you know, it will be interesting to see, you know, we're not sure the musical chairs have not yet finished. Right. The post party Congress for people getting new jobs. But you know, for example, if Chen Min'er stays out in Chongqing, that seems like a bit of a loss for him.Bill: Yeah, he needs to go somewhere else if he's got any hope of, um, sort of, But so one thing, sorry. One thing on the Politburo I thought was really interesting, and I know we've talked about offline, um, is that the first time the head of the Ministry State Security was, was. Promoted into the Politburo - Chen Wenqing.  And now he is the Secretary of the Central Political Legal Affairs Commission, the party body that oversees the entire security services system and legal system. and what do you think that says about priorities and, and, and where Xi sees things going?Chris: Well, I think it definitely aligns with this concept of Xi Jiping's of comprehensive national security. Right. We've, we've seen and heard and read a lot about that and it seems that the, uh, number of types of security endlessly proliferate, I think we're up to 13 or 14Bill: Everything is National Security in Xi's China.Chris: Yeah. Everything is, is national security. Uh, that's one thing I think it's interesting perhaps in the, in the frame of, you know, in an era where they are becoming a bigger power and therefore, uh, have more resources and so on. You know, is that role that's played by the Ministry of State Security, which is, you know, they have this unique role, don't they?They're in a way, they're sort of the US' Central Intelligence Agency and, and FBI, Federal Bureau of Investigation combined, and that they do have that internal security role as well, but, They are the foreign civilian anyway, uh, foreign intelligence collection arm. So perhaps, you know, over time there's been some sense that they realized, yes, cyber was great for certain things, but you still need human intelligence.Uh, you know, we don't know how well or not Chen Wenqing has performed, but you know, obviously there, this has been a relentless campaign, you know, the search for spies and so on and so forth. Um, I also think it says something about what we seem to be seeing emerging here, which is an effort to take what previously were these, you know, warring, uh, administrative or ministerial factions, right, of the Ministry of Public Security MPS, the MSS, uh, and even the party's, uh, discipline watchdog, the, uh, Central Commission on Discipline inspection, you know, in an effort to sort of knit those guys into one whole.And you know, it is interesting.Chen wending has experience in all three of those. He started off, I think as a street cop. Um, he did serve on the discipline inspection commission under, uh, Wang Qishan when things were, you know, really going  in that department in the early part of, Xi's tenure and then he's headed, uh, the Ministry of State Security.I think, you know, even more interesting probably is. The, uh, formation of the new secretariat, right? Where we have both Chen Wenqing on there and also Wang Xiaohong as a minister of Public Security, but also as a deputy on the CPLAC, right? And a seat on the secretariat. And if we look at the, um, The gentleman who's number two in the discipline inspection, uh, space, he was a longtime police officer as well.So that's very unusual. You know, uh, his name's escaping me at the moment. But, um, you know, so in effect you have basically three people on the Secretariat with security backgrounds and, you know, that's important. It means other portfolios that might be on the secretariat that have been dumped, right? So it shows something about the prioritization, uh, of security.And I think it's interesting, you know, we've, we've often struggled to understand what is the National Security Commission, how does it function, You know, these sort of things. And it's, it's still, you know, absolutely clear as mud. But what was interesting was that, you know, from whatever that early design was that had some aspect at least of looking a bit like the US style, National Security Commission, they took on a much more sort of internal looking flavor.And it had always been my sort of thought that one of the reasons Xi Jinping created this thing was to break down, you know, those institutional rivalries and barriers and force, you know, coordination on these, on these institutions. So, you know, bottom line, I think what we're seeing is a real effort by Xi Jinping to You know, knit together a comprehensive, unified, and very effective, you know, stifling, really security apparatus. And, uh, I don't expect to see that change anytime soon. And then, you know, as you and I have been discussing recently, we also have, uh, another Xi loyalist Chen Yixin showing up as Chen Wenqing's successor right at the Ministry of State SecurityBill: And he remains Secretary General of the Political and Legal Affairs Commission too.Chris: Exactly. So, you know, from, from a, a sheet home where Xi Jinping five years ago arguably had very loose control, if at all, we now have a situation where he's totally dominant. Bill: I think the, the official on the Secretariat, I think it's Liu Jinguo.Chris: That's the one. Yes. Thank you. I'm getting old…Bill: He also has, has a long history of the Ministry of Public Security system. Um, but yeah, it does, it does seem like it's a, it's a real, I mean it, I I, I don't wanna use the word securitization, but it does like this is the indication of a, of a real, sort of, it just sort of fits with the, the general trend  towards much more focus on national security. I mean, what about on the, the Central Military Commission? Right? Because one of the surprises was, um, again, and this is where the norms were broken, where you have Zhang Youxia, who should have retired based on his age, but he's 72, he's on the Politburo he stays as a vice chair of the CMCChris: Yep. Yeah, no, at, at, at the rip old age of 72. It's a little hard, uh, to think of him, you know, mounting a tank or something  to go invade Taiwan or whatever the, you know, whatever the case may be. But, you know, I, I think here again, the narratives might be off base a little bit, you know, it's this issue of, you know, well he's just picked, you know, these sycophantic loyalists, He's a guy who has combat experience, right?And that's increasingly rare. Um, I don't think it's any surprise that. That himself. And, uh, the, uh, uh, gentleman on the CMC, uh, Li, who is now heading the, um, Joint Chiefs of Staff, he also has Vietnam combat experience, not from 79, but from the, uh, the border incursions that went on into the80s. Um, so it's not that surprising really.But, but obviously, you know, Zhang Youxia is very close to Xi Jinping, their father's fought together, right? Um, and they have that sort of, uh, blood tie and Xi is signaling, I want, uh, I. Political control and also technologically or, or, um, you know, operationally competent people. I think the other fascinating piece is we see once again no vice chairman from the political commissar iatside of the PLA.I think that's very interesting. You know, a lot of people, including myself, were betting that Miao HuaWould, would, would get the promotion. He didn't, you know, we can't know. But my sense is in a way, Xi Jiping is still punishing that side of the PLA for Xu Caihou's misdoings. Right. You know, and that's very interesting in and of itself.Also, it may be a signal that I don't need a political commissar vice chairman because I handle the politicsBill: And, and, and he, yeah. And in this, this new era that the, the next phase of the Xi era, it, it is, uh, everybody knows, right? It's, it's all about loyalty to Xi.Chris: we just saw right, uh, today, you know, uh, yet, yet more instructions about the CMC responsibilities, Chairman, responsibility systems. Bill: Unfortunately they didn't release the full text but it would be fascinating to see what's in there.Chris: And they never do on these things, which is, uh, which is tough. But, um, you know, I think we have a general sense of what would be in it, . But, but even that itself, right, you know, is a very major thing that people, you know, didn't really pick up. Certain scholars, certainly like James Mulvenon and other people who are really good on this stuff noticed it. But this shift under Hu Jintao was a CMC vice chairman responsibility system. In other words, he was subletting the operational matters certainly to his uniformed officers, Xi Jinping doesn't do thatBill: Well, this, and here we are, right where he can indeed I mean, I, I had written in the newsletter, um, you know, that she had, I thought, I think he ran the table in terms of personnel.Chris: Oh, completely. Yeah.Bill: And this is why it is interesting he kept around folks like Wang Huning, but we'll move on. The next question I had really was about Xi's report to the party Congress and we had talked, I think you'd also, um, you've talked about on our previous podcasts, I mean there, there seems to be a pretty significant shift in the way Xi is talking about the geopolitical environment and their assessment and how they see the world. Can you talk about a little bit?Chris: Yeah, I mean, I think definitely we saw some shifts there and, uh, you know, you and I have talked a lot about it. You know, there are problems with word counting, right? You know, and when you look at the thing and you just do a machine search, and it's like, okay, well security was mentioned 350 times or whatever, but, but the, you know, in what context?Right. Um, and, uh, our, uh, mutual admiration society, the, uh, the China Media project, uh, I thought they did an excellent piece on that sort of saying, Remember, it's the words that go around the buzzword that matter, you know, just as much. But what we can say unequivocally is that two very important touchstones that kind of explain their thinking on their perception of not only their external environment, but really kind of their internal environment, which had been in the last several political reports, now are gone. And those are this idea of China's enjoying a period of strategic opportunity and this idea that peace and development are the underlying trend of the times. And, you know, on the period of strategic opportunity, I think it's important for a couple reasons. One, just to kind of break that down for our listeners in a way that's not, you know, sort of, uh, CCP speak, , uh, the, the basic idea was that China judged that it's external security environment was sufficiently benign, that they could focus their energies on economic development.Right? So obviously that's very important. I also think it was an important governor, and I don't think I've seen anything out there talking about its absence in this, uh, political report on this topic, It was a, it was an important governor on sort of breakneck Chinese military development, sort of like the Soviet Union, right?In other words, as long as you were, you know, sort of judging that your external environment was largely benign, you. Didn't really have a justification to have a massive defense budget or to be pushy, you know, in the neighborhood, these sort of things. And people might poo poo that and sort of say, Well, you know, this is all just rhetoric and so on. No, they actually tend to Bill: Oh, that's interesting. Well, then that fits a little bit, right, Cuz they added the, the wording around strategic deterrence in the report as well  which is seen as a, you know, modernizing, expanding their nuclear forces, right?Chris: Exactly, right. So, you know, that's, uh, an important absence and the fact that, you know, the word, again, word searching, right. Um, strategic and opportunity are both in there, but they're separated and balanced by this risks and challenges, languages and, and so on. Bill: Right the language is very starkly different. Chris: Yeah. And then likewise on, on peace and development. This one, as you know, is, is even older, right? It goes back to the early eighties, I believe, uh, that it's been in, in these political reports. And, uh, you know, there again, the idea was sort of not only was this notion that peace and economic development were the dominant, you know, sort of trend internationally, globally, they would be an enduring one. You know, this idea of the trend of the times, right? Um, now that's missing. So what has replaced it in both these cases is this spirit of struggle, right? Um, and so that's a pretty stark departure and that in my mind just sort of is a real throwback to what you could call the period of maximum danger for the regime in the sixties, right? When they had just split off with the Soviets and they were still facing unremitting hostility from the west after the Korean War experience and, and so on. So, you know, there's definitely a, a decided effort there. I think also we should view the removal of these concepts as a culmination of a campaign that Xi Jinping has been on for a while.You know, as you and I have discussed many times before, from the minute he arrived, he began, I think, to paint this darker picture of the exterior environment. And he seems to have always wanted to create a sort of sense of urgency, certainly maybe even crisis. And I think a big part of that is to justifying the power grab, right? If the world outside is hostile, you need, you know, a strongman. Bill: Well that was a lot of the propaganda going into the Party of Congress about the need for sort of a navigator helmsman because know, we we're, we're closest we have ever been to the great rejuvenation, but it's gonna be really hard and we need sort of strong leadership right. It was, it was all building to that. This is why Ci needs to stay for as long as he wants to stay.Chris: and I think we saw that reflected again just the other day in this Long People's Daily piece by Ding Xuexing, right, Where he's talking again about the need for unity, the throwback, as you mentioned in your newsletter to Mao's commentary, there is not to be lost on any of us you know, the fact that the Politburo standing committee's. Uh, first field trip is out to Yan'an, right? I mean, you know, these are messages, right? The aren't coincidental.Bill: No, it, it is. The thing that's also about the report that's interesting is that while there was, speaking of word counts, there was no mention of the United States, but it certainly feels like that was the primary backdrop for this entire discussion around. So the, the shifting geopolitical, uh, assessments and this broader, you know, and I think one of the things that I, and I want to talk to as we get into this, a little bit about US China relations, but is it she has come to the conclusion that the US is implacably effectively hostile, and there is no way that they're gonna get through this without some sort of a broader struggle?Chris: I don't know if they, you know, feel that conflict is inevitable. In fact, I kind of assume they don't think that because that's pretty grim picture for them, you know? Um, but I, I do think there's this notion that. They've now had two years to observe the Biden administration. Right? And to some degree, I think it's fair to say that by certain parties in the US, Xi Jinping, maybe not Xi Jinping, but a Wang Qishan or some of these characters were sold a bit of a bag of goods, right?Oh, don't worry, he's not Trump, he's gonna, things will be calmer. We're gonna get back to dialogue and you know, so on and so forth. And that really hasn't happened. And when we look at. Um, when we look at measures like the recent, chip restrictions, which I'm sure we'll discuss at some point, you know, that would've been, you know, the, the wildest dream, right of certain members of the Trump administration to do something that, uh, that's that firm, right? So, um, I think the conclusion of the Politburo then must be, this is baked into the cake, right? It's bipartisan. Um, the earliest we'll see any kind of a turn here is 2024. I think they probably feel. Um, and therefore suddenly things like a no limits partnership with Russia, right, start to make more sense. Um, but would really makes sense in that if that is your framing, and I think it is, and you therefore see the Europeans as like a swing, right, in this equation. This should be a great visit, right, for Chancellor Scholz, uh, and uh, I can't remember if it was you I was reading or someone else here in the last day or so, but this idea that if the Chinese are smart, they would get rid of these sanctions on Bill: That was me. Well, that was in my newsletterChris: Yeah. Parliamentary leaders and you know, Absolutely. Right. You know, that's a no brainer, but. I don't think they're gonna do it , but, but you know, this idea definitely that, and, and when they talk in the political report, you know, it, it's, it's like, sir, not appearing in this film, right, from Money Python, but we know who the people who are doing the bullying, you know, uh, is and the long armed jurisdiction and , so on and so forth and all, I mean, all kidding aside, I think, you know, they will see something like the chip restrictions effectively as a declaration of economic war. I don't think that's going too far to say that.Bill: It goes to the heart of their sort of technological project around rejuvenation. I mean, it is, it is a significant. sort of set of really kind of a, I would think, from the Chinese perspective aggressive policies against them,Chris: Yeah, and I mean, enforcement will be key and we'll see if, you know, licenses are granted and how it's done. And we saw, you know, already some, some backing off there with regard to this US person, uh, restriction and so on. But, but you know, it's still pretty tough stuff. There's no two ways aboutBill: No, and I, I wonder, and I worry that here in DC. You know, where the mood is very hawkish. If, if people here really fully appreciate sort of the shift that's taking, that seems to be taking place in Beijing and how these actions are viewed.Chris: Well, I, I think that's a really, you put your hand on it really, really interesting way, Bill, because, you know, let's face it really since the Trump trade war started, right? We've all analysts, you know, pundits, uh, even businesses and government people have been sort of saying, you know, when are the Chinese gonna punch back? You know, when are they going to retaliate? Right? And we talk about rare earths and we talk about Apple and TeslaBill: They slapped some sanctions on people but they kind of a jokeChris:  And I guess what I'm saying is I kind of worry we're missing the forest from the trees. Right. You know, the, the, the work report tells us, the political report tells us how they're reacting. Right. And it is hardening the system, moving toward this fortress economy, you know, so on and so forth. And I wanna be real clear here, you know, they're not doing this just because they're reacting to the United States. Xi Jinping presumably wanted to do this all along, but I don't think we can say that the actions they perceive as hostile from the US aren't playing a pretty major role in allowing him to accelerate.Bill: Well, they called me. Great. You justifying great Accelerationist, right? Trump was called that as well, and, and that, that's what worries me too, is we're in. Kind of toxic spiral where, where they see us doing something and then they react. We see them do something and we react and, and it doesn't feel like sort of there's any sort of a governor or a break and I don't see how we figure that out.Chris: Well, I think, you know, and I'm sure we'll come to this later in our discussion, but you know, uh, yes, that's true, but you know, I'm always deeply skeptical of these inevitability memes, whether it's, you know, Thucydides trap or, you know, these other things. Last time I checked, there is something called political agency, right?In other words, leaders can make choices and they can lead if they want to, right? They have an opportunity to do so at in Bali, and you know, we'll have to see some of the, you know, early indications are perhaps they're looking at sort of a longer meeting. So that would suggest maybe there will be some discussion of some of these longstanding issues.Maybe we will see some of the usual, you know, deliverable type stuff. So there's an opportunity. I, I think one question is, can the domestic politics on either side allow for seizing that opportunity? You know, that's an open.Bill: Interesting. There's a couple things in the party constitution, which I think going into the Congress, you know, they told us they were gonna amend the Constitution. There were expectations that it, the amendments were gonna reflect an increase in Xi's power, uh, things like this, this idea of the two establishments, uh, which for listeners are * "To establish the status of Comrade Xi Jinping as the core of the Party's Central Committee and of the whole Party"* "To establish the guiding role of Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for the New Era"The thinking, and I, I certainly believe that, I thought that they would write that in. There was some talk that, uh, Xi Jinping Thought the longer version would be truncated to just Xi Jinping thought. that possibly he might get, a, a sort of another title like People's Leader. None of those happened. One thing that did happen, What's officially translated by the Chinese side in English as the two upholds- “Uphold the 'core' status of General Secretary Xi Jinping within the CC and “Uphold the centralized authority of the Party” those were written in. And so the question is, was there some kind of pushback or are we misreading we what mattered? And actually the two upholds are more important than the two of establishes.Chris: Well, I, and I think it, this may be a multiple choice answer, right? There might be elements of all the above in there. Uh, you know, I think it is important that he didn't get the truncation to Xi Jinping thought. You have to think that that was something he was keen on. In retrospect, it may be that it was something akin. I've always felt, you know, another thing that was on the table that didn't happen was reestablishing the party chairmanship. My view had always been he was using that largely as a bargaining chip. That, you know, in some ways it creates more trouble than it's worth you. If you're gonna have a chairman, you probably have to have vice chairman and what does that say about the succession? I mean, of course he could have, you know, a couple of geezers on there.  as vice chairman too. , But I, my view was always is he was holding that out there to trade away. Right. You know, at, at the last minute. Um, maybe that's what happened with Xi Jinping thought. I don't know.You know, uh, there have been some media articles, one of which, You and I were discussing yesterday from, uh, the Japanese, uh, publication Nikkei, you know, that suggested that, you know, the elders had, this was their last gasp, right? So the Jiang Zemins and the Zeng Qinghongs and Hu Jinataos, so on. Um, I'm a little skeptical of that. It is possible. Uh, but, um, I, I'd be a little skeptical of that. You know, it's, it's not at all clear that they had any kind of a role, you know, even at Beidaihe this year and so on, Jiang Zemin didn't even attend the Party Congress so clearly, you know, he must be pretty frail or he thought it was not with his time. You know, a little hard to say, but, you know, I kind of struggle with the notion that, you know, the 105 year old Song Ping gets up on a chair or something and starts,  starts making trouble. Right. You know, uh, the poor man's probably lucky if he stays awake during the meeting. Bill: One question, and again, because of the, just, you know, how much more opaque Chinese politics are than the really I think they've ever been. Um, but just one question. It mean, is it possible, for example, that you know, it's more important to get the personnel done. It's more, and then once you get your, you stack the central committee, you get the politburo, you get the standing committee, that these things are sort of a next phase.Chris: yeah, it's entirely possible and, and I think it, it, it does dovetail with this idea that, you know, another reflection from both the political report and the lineup in my mind, is Xi Jinping is a man in a hurry. Right? And he's kind of projected that, as you said, the great accelerator since he arrived.But I think he sees this next five years is really fundamental, right in terms of breaking through on these chokepoint technologies as they call them. You know, these sort of things. And so maybe therefore having the right people in place to handle, you know, uh, speedier policy, execution, you know, was more important.Likewise, I mean, he's sort of telegraphing, He's gonna be around for a while, right? No successor, no visible successor anywhere. Bill: A successor would need likely need five years on the standing committee. So we're looking at ten more years.Chris: Yes, exactly. And so there will be time. The other thing is, um, Xi Jinping is a, is a sort of determined fellow, right? You know, so of interest, even before the 19th Party Congress, I'd been hearing very strong rumors that the notion of lingxiu was out there, that he was contemplating it, right? And so then we see the buildup with, uh, Renmin lingxiu and so on and so forth.And, you know, it didn't happen clearly at the 19th. It didn't happen. But it doesn't mean it won't, you know, at some point. And I think it's really important also to think about, you know, We just saw a pretty serious, um, enterprise of the, you know, quote unquote norm busting, right? So what's to say that mid-course in this five years, he doesn't, uh, hold another sort of extraordinary conference of party delegates like them, Deng Xiaoping did in 1985, right, to push through some of these. You never know, right? In other words, these things don't necessarily have to happen. Just at Party Congresses. So my guess is, you know, this isn't over yet. Uh, but you know, at some level, given how the system was ramping up with those articles about Navigator and the people's leader stuff and so on, you know, that's usually a tell, and yet it didn't happen. And, and so something interesting there. Bill: now they're in the mode of, they're out with these sort of publicity, propaganda education teams where they go out throughout the country and talk about the spirit of the party Congress and push all the key messaging. Um, you know, so far none of those People's leader truncation have happened in that, which is I think an area where some people thought, Well, maybe that could sort of come after the Congress.Chris: What is interesting is it's all two establishments all the time in those discussions, so that's been very interesting since it didn't make it into the, uh, into the document. I guess the other thing is, At some level, is it sort of a distinction without a difference? You know, I, I haven't done the work on this to see, but my guess is short of, you know, the many times they've just junked the entire constitution and rewritten it, this is probably the most amendments there have been, you know, in the to at one time. You know, to the 1982 constitution, and most of them are his various buzzwords. Right. Um, and you know, I think you've been talking about this in the newsletter, there may very well be, uh, something to this issue of, you know, which is the superior thought two establishments or to upholds/safeguards?Bill: and even if the two establishes were superior and then it didn't go in, then somehow it will be theoretically flipped to what got in the ConstitutionChris: I mean, I guess the, the, the thing though where we, it's fair to say that maybe this wasn't his ideal outcome. To me, there's been a very clear and you know, structured stepwise approach on the ideology from the word go. Right? And the first was to create right out of the shoot, this notion of, you know, three eras, right?The, Mao period, Deng  and those other guys we don't talk about it anymore, period.  and Xi Jinping's new era, right? And then that was. You know, sort of crystallized right at the 19th Party Congress when you know, Xi Jinping thought for horribly long name went into the Constitution. And so, you know, the next step kind of seemed like that should be it.And as we've discussed before, you know, if he's able to get just Thought, it certainly enhances his ability to stay around for a very long time and it makes his diktats and so on even more unquestionable. But you know, you can say again, matter of prioritization. With a team where there's really no visible or other opposition, does it really matter? You know, in other words, no one's gonna be questioning his policy ideas anyway.Bill: Just an aside, but on  his inspection, the new standing committee will go on group trip right after the Party Congress and the first trip sends key messages. And group went to Yan'an, you know, they went, they went to the caves. Um, and you know, in the long readout or long CCTV report of the meeting, the visit, there was a section where the tour guide or the person introducing some of the exhibits talked about how the, the famous song, the East Is Red was,  by a person, written by the people sort of spontaneously, and it w it definitely caused some tittering about, well, what are they trying to signal for?You know, are we gonna be seeing some  Xi songs? there's some kind of really interesting signaling going on that I don't think we quite have figured out how to parse Chris: My takeaway on all this has been, I, I need to go back and do a little more book work on, you know, what was, what was the content of the seventh party Congress? What were the outcomes? I mean, I have the general sense, right? Like you, I immediately, you know, started brushing up on it. But, you know, Xi delivered a, an abridged work report. Right, A political report, which is exactly what Mao did then. I mean, in other words, they're not kidding around with the parallelism here. The question is what's the message?Bill: Just for background, at the visit last week to Yan'an, and the first spot that was in the propaganda was the, the, site of the seventh party Congress which is where…to be very simplistic, the seventh party was really moment, you know, as at the end of the Yan'am rectification came in, it was the moment where sort of Mao fully asserted his dominance throughout the system. Mao Thought etc. Right? The signaling, you could certainly, could certainly take a view that, you know, he doesn't do these things by coincidence, and this is. This is signaling both of, you know, can through anything because they, livedin caves and ended up beating the Japanese and then won the Civil War. You know this, and we can, and by the way, we have a dominant leader. I mean, there are ways, again, I'm being simplistic, but the symbolism was not, I think one that would, for example, give a lot of confidence to investors, which I think is, you know, one, one of the many reasons we've seen until the rumors earlier this week, a, pretty big selloff in the, in the Hong Kong and manland stock markets rightChris: most definitely. And I think, you know, this is the other thing about, about what I was trying to get at earlier with, uh, forest and trees, right? You know, in other words, . Um, he's been at this for a while too. You know, there's a reason why he declared a new long march right in depths of the trade war with Trump.Bill: And a new historical resolution, only the third in historyChris: Yeah. And they have been stepwise building since then. And this is the next building block.Bill: The last thought, I mean, he is 69. He's. 10 years younger than President Joe Biden. He could go, he could be around for a long timeBill: well just quickly, cause I know, uh, we don't have that much more time, but I, you say anything about your thoughts on Hu Jintao and what happened?My first take having had a father and a stepfather had dementia was, um, you know, maybe too sympathetic to the idea that, okay, he's having some sort of a senior cognitive moment. You know, you can get. easily agitated, and you can start a scene. And so therefore, was humiliating and symbolic at the end of the Communist Youth League faction, but maybe it was, it was benign as opposed to some of the other stuff going around. But I think might be wrong so I'd love your take on that.  Chris: Well, I, I think, you know, I, I kind of shared your view initially when I watched the, uh, I guess it was an AFP had the first, you know, sort of video that was out there and, you know, he appeared to be stumbling around a bit. He definitely looked confused and, you know, like, uh, what we were discussing earlier on another subject, this could be a multiple choice, you know, A and B or whatever type scenario as well.We don't know, I mean, it seems pretty well established that he has Parkinson's, I think the lead pipe pincher for me though, was that second longer one Singapore's channel, Channel News Asia put out. I mean, he is clearly tussling with Li Zhanshu about something, right. You know that that's. Yes, very clear. And you know, if he was having a moment, you know, when they finally get him up out of the chair and he seems to be kind of pulling back and so on, you know, he moves with some alacrity there,  for an 80 year old guy. Uh, I don't know if he was being helped to move quickly or he, you know, realized it was time to exit stage.Right. But I think, you know, as you said in your newsletter, I, we probably will never know. Um, but to me it looked an awful lot like an effort by Xi Jinping to humiliate him. You know, I mean, there was a reason why they brought the cameras back in at that moment, you know? Unless we believe that that just happened spontaneously in terms of Hu Jintao has his freak out just as those cameras were coming back in the stone faces of the other members of the senior leadership there on the rostrum and you know, Wand Hunting, pulling Li Zhanshu back down kind of saying basically, look buddy, this is politics, don't you don't wanna, that's not a good look for you trying to care for Hu Jintao. You know, I mean obviously something was going on, you know? No, no question. Bill: Right. And feeds into  the idea that Hu Chunhua, we all expected that he at least be on the Politburo again, and he's, he's off, so maybe something, something was going Chris: Well, I, I think what we know from observing Xi Jinping, right? We know that this is a guy who likes to keep people off balance, right? Who likes to keep the plate spinning. He, this is definitely the Maoist element of his personality, you know, whether it's strategic disappearances or this kind of stuff. And I think it's entirely plausible that he might have made some last minute switches right, to, uh, the various lists that were under consideration that caused alarm, you know, among those who thought they were on a certain list and  and no longer were.Bill: and then, and others who were smart enough to realize that if he made those switches, they better just go with it.Chris: Yeah, go along with it. Exactly. I mean, you know, in some ways the most, aside from what happened to Hu Jintao, the, the most, um, disturbing or compelling, depending on how you wanna look at it, part of that video is when Hu Jintao, you know, sort of very, um, delicately taps Li Keqiang on the shoulder. He doesn't even look at it, just keeps looking straight ahead. Uh, and that's tough. And as you pointed out in the newsletter and elsewhere, you know, how difficult must have that have been for Hu Jintao's son Hu Haifeng, who's in the audience watching this all go on? You know, it's, uh, it's tough. Bill: And then two two days later attends a meeting where he praises Xi to high heaven.Chris: Yeah, exactly. So, so if the darker narrative is accurate, I guess one thing that concerns me a bit is, as you know, well, I have never been a fan of these, uh, memes about comparing Xi Jinping to either Stalin or Mao in part because I don't see him as a whimsical guy. They were whimsical people. I think because of his tumultuous upbringing, he understands the problems with that kind of an approach to life, but this was a very ruthless act. If that more malign, you know, sort of definition is true and that I think that says something about his mentality that perhaps should concern us if that's the case. Bill: It has real implications, not just for domestic also potentially for its foreign policy.Chris: Absolutely. I mean, what it shows, right to some degree, again, man in a hurry, this is a tenacious individual, right?  if he's willing to do that. And so if you're gonna, you know, kick them in the face on chips and, you know, things like that, um, you should be taking that into consideration.Bill: And I think preparing for a more substantive response  that is more thought out and it's also, it happened, it wasn't very Confucian for all this talk Confucian definitely not. and values. One last question, and it is related is what do you make of this recent upsurge or talk in DC from various officials that PRC has accelerated its timeline to absorb Taiwan, because nothing in the public documents indicates any shift in that timeline.Chris: No. Uh, and well, first of all, do they, do they have a timeline? Right? You know, I mean, the whole idea of a timeline is kind of stupid, right? You don't, if you're gonna invade somewhere, you say, Hey, we're gonna do it on on this date. I mean, 2049. Okay. Bill: The only timeline that I think you can point to is is it the second centenary goal and, and Taiwan getting quote unquote, you know, returning Taiwan to the motherland's key to the great rejuvenation,Chris: Yeah, you can't have rejuvenation without it. Bill: So then it has to be done by 2049. 27 years, but they've never come out and specifically said 27 years or 2049. But that's what No. that's I think, is where the timeline idea comes from.Chris: Oh yes, definitely. And, and I think some confusion of. What Xi Jinping has clearly set out and reaffirmed in the political report as these important, um, operational benchmarks for the PLA, the People's Liberation Army to achieve by its hundredth anniversary in 2027. But that does not a go plan for Taiwan make, you know, And so it's been confusing to me trying to understand this. And of course, you know, I, I'm joking, but I'm not, you know, if we, if we listen now to the chief of naval operations of the US Navy, you know, like they're invading tomorrow, basically.My former colleague from the CIA, John Culver's, done some very, you know, useful public work on this for the Carnegie, where he sort his endowment, where he sort of said, you know, look, there's certain things we would have to see, forget about, you know, a D-day style invasion, any type of military action that, that you don't need intelligence methods to find out. Right. You know, uh, canceling, uh, conscription, demobilization cycles, you know, those, those sort of things. Um, we don't see that happening. So I've been trying to come to grips with why the administration seems fairly seized with this and and their public commentary and so on. What I'm confident of is there's no smoking gun you know, unlike, say the Russia piece where it appears, we had some pretty compelling intelligence. There doesn't seem to be anything that says Xi Jinping has ordered invasion plans for 2024, you know, or, or, or even 2027. Um, so I'm pretty confident that's not the case. And so then it becomes more about an analytic framework. And I, from what I can tell, it's seems to be largely based on what, uh, in, you know, the intelligence community we would call calendar-int.. calendar intelligence. In other words, you know, over the next 18 months, a lot of stuff's going to happen. We're gonna have our midterm elections next week. It's pretty likely the Republicans get at least one chamber of Congress, maybe both.That would suggest that things like the Taiwan Policy Act and, you know, really, uh, things that have, uh, Beijing's undies in a bunch, uh, you know, could really come back on, uh, the radar pretty forcibly and pretty quickly. Obviously Taiwan, nobody talks about it, but Taiwan's having municipal elections around the same time, and normally that would be a very inside Taiwan baseball affair, nobody would care. But the way that KMT ooks like they will not perform, I should say,  in those municipal elections. They could be effectively wiped out, you know, as a, as a sort of electable party in Taiwan. That's not a good news story for Beijing.And then of course we have our own presidential in 2024 and Taiwan has a presidential election in 24 in the US case.I mean, look, we could end up with a President Pompeo, right? Or a President DeSantis or others who. Been out there sort of talking openly about Taiwan independence and recognizing Taiwan. And similarly, I think whoever succeeds, uh, President Tsai in Taiwan, if we assume it will likely be a a, a Democratic Progressive party president, will almost by definition be more independence oriented.So I think the administration is saying there's a lot of stuff that's gonna get the Chinese pretty itchy, you know, over this next 18 month period. So therefore we need to be really loud in our signaling to deter. Right. And okay. But I think there's a risk with that as well, which they don't seem to be acknowledging, which is you might create a self-fulfilling prophecy.I mean, frankly, that's what really troubles me about the rhetoric. And so, for example, when Secretary Blinken last week or the before came out and said  Yeah, you know, the, the, the Chinese have given up on the status quo. I, I, I've seen nothing, you know, that would suggest that the political report doesn't suggest. Bill: They have called it a couple of times  so-called status quo.Chris: Well, Fair enough. Yeah. Okay. That's, that's fine. Um, but I think if we look at the reason why they're calling it the so-called status quo, it's because it's so called now because the US has been moving the goalposts on the status quo.Yeah. In terms of erosion of the commitment to the one China policy. And the administration can say all at once, they're not moving the goal post, but they are, I mean, let's just be honest.Bill: Now, and they have moved it more than the Trump administration did, don't you think?Chris: Absolutely. Yeah. Um, you know, no president has said previously we will defend Taiwan  multiple times. Right. You know, um, and things like, uh, you know, Democracy, someone, I mean, this comes back also to the, the framing, right, of one of the risks I think of framing the relationship as democracy versus autocracy is that it puts a very, uh, heavy incentive then for the Biden administration or any future US administration to, you know, quote unquote play the Taiwan card, right, as part of said competition.Whereas if you don't have that framing, I don't think that's necessarily as automatic. Right? In other words, if that's the framing, well Taiwan's a democracy, so we have to lean in. Right? You know? Whereas if it's a more say, you know, straight realist or national interest driven foreign policy, you might not feel that in every instance you've gotta do that,Bill: No, and and I it, that's an interesting point. And I also think too that, um, I really do wonder how much Americans care, right? And, and whether or not we're running the risk of setting something up or setting something in motion that, you know, again, it's easy to be rhetorical about it, but that we're frankly not ready to deal withChris: Well, and another thing that's interesting, right, is that, um, to that point, Some of the administration's actions, you know, that are clearly designed to show toughness, who are they out toughing? You know, in some cases it feels like they're out toughing themselves, right? I mean, obviously the Republicans are watching them and so on and all of that.Um, but you know, interesting, uh, something that came across my thought wave the other day that I hadn't really considered. We're seeing pretty clear indications that a Republican dominated Congress after the midterms may be less enthusiastic about support to Ukraine, we're all assuming that they're gonna be all Taiwan support all the time.Is that a wrong assumption? You know, I mean, in other words, Ukraine's a democracy, right? And yet there's this weird strain in the Trumpist Wing of the Republican party that doesn't wanna spend the money. Right. And would that be the case for Taiwan as well? I don't know, but you know, the point is, I wonder if the boogieman of looking soft is, is sort of in their own heads to some degree.And, and even if it isn't, you know, sometimes you have to lead. Bill: it's not clear the allies are listening. It doesn't sound like the Europeans would be on board withChris: I think very clearly they're not. I mean, you know, we're about to see a very uncomfortable bit of Kabuki theater here, aren't we? In the next couple of days with German Chancellor Sholz going over and, um, you know, if you, uh, read the op-ed he wrote in Politico, you know, it's, it's painful, right? You can see him trying to, uh, Trying to, uh, you know, straddle the fence and, and walk that line.And, and obviously there are deep, deep divisions in his own cabinet, right? You know, over this visit, the foreign minister is publicly criticizing him, you know, and so on. So I think this is another aspect that might be worrisome, which is the approach. You know, my line is always sort of a stool, if it's gonna be stable, needs three legs, right.And on US-China relations, I think that is, you know, making sure our own house is in order. Domestic strengthening, these guys call it, coordinating with allies and partners, certainly. But then there's this sort of talking to the Chinese aspect and through a policy, what I tend to call strategic avoidance, we don't.Talk to them that much. So that leg is missing. So then those other two legs need to be really strong. Right. Um, and on domestic strengthening, Okay. Chips act and so on, that's good stuff. On allies and partners, there seems to be a bit of an approach and I think the chip restrictions highlight this of, look, you're either for us or against us.Right? Whereas I think in, you know, the good old Cold War I, we seem to be able to understand that a West Germany could do certain things for us vis-a-vis the Soviets and certain things they couldn't and we didn't like it and we complained, but we kind of lived with it, right? If we look at these chip restrictions, it appears the administration sort of said, Look, we've been doing this multilateral diplomacy on this thing for a year now, it's not really delivering the goods. The chips for framework is a mess, so let's just get it over with and drag the allies with us, you know? Um, and we'll see what ramifications that will have.Bill: Well on that uplifting note, I, I think I'm outta questions. Is there anything else you'd like to add?Chris: Well, I think, you know, something just to consider is this idea, you know, and maybe this will help us close on a more optimistic note. Xi Jinping is telling us, you know, he's hardening the system, he's, he's doing this fortress economy thing and so on. But he also is telling us, I have a really difficult set of things I'm trying to accomplish in this five years.Right? And that may mean a desire to signal to the us let's stabilize things a bit, not because he's having a change of heart or wants a fundamental rapprochement, so on and so forth. I don't think that's the case, but might he want a bit of room, right? A breathing room. Bill: Buy some time, buy some spaceChris: Yeah, Might he want that? He might. You know, and so I think then a critical question is how does that get sorted out in the context of the negotiations over the meeting in Bali, if it is a longer meeting, I think, you know, so that's encouraging for that. Right. To some degree. I, I, I would say, you know, if we look at what's just happened with the 20th party Congress and we look at what's about to happen, it seems with our midterms here in the United States, Who's the guy who's gonna be more domestically, politically challenged going into this meeting, and therefore have less room to be able to seize that opportunity if it does exist.Exactly. Because I, I think, you know, the, the issue is, The way I've been framing it lately, you know, supposedly our position is the US position is strategic competition and China says, look, that's inappropriate, and we're not gonna sign onto it and forget it.You know, my own view is we kind of have blown past strategic competition where now in what I would call strategic rivalry, I think the chip restrictions, you know, are, are a giant exclamation point, uh, under that, you know, and so on. And my concern is we're kind of rapidly headed toward what I would call strategic enmity.And you know, that all sounds a bit pedantic, but I think that represents three distinct phases of the difficulty and the relationship. You know, strategic enmity is the cold, the old Cold War, what we had with the Soviets, right? So we are competing against them in a brass tax manner across all dimensions. And if it's a policy that, you know, hurts us, but it hurts them, you know, 2% more we do it, you know, kind of thing. I don't think we're there yet. And the meeting offers an opportunity to, you know, arrest the travel from strategic rivalry to strategic enmity. Let's see if there's something there/Bill: And if, and if we don't, if it doesn't arrest it, then I think the US government at least has to do a much better job of explaining to the American people why we're headed in this direction and needs  to do a much better job with the allies cuz because again, what I worry about is we're sort of heading down this path and it doesn't feel like we've really thought it through.You know, there are lots of reasons  be on this path, but there's also needs to be a much more of a comprehensive understanding of the, of the costs and the ramifications and the solutions and have have an actual sort of theory of the case about how we get out the other side of this in a, in a better way.Chris: Yeah, I think that's important. I want to be real, um, fair to the administration. You know, they're certainly more thoughtful and deliberative than their predecessor. Of course, the bar was low, but, um, you know, they, they seem to approach these things in a pretty. Dedicated and careful manner. And I think they really, you know, take, take things like, uh, looking at outbound investment restrictions, you know, my understanding is they have been, you know, seeking a lot of input about unintended consequences and so on. But then you look at something like the chips piece and it just seems to me that those in the administration who had been pushing for, you know, more there for some time, had a quick moment where they basically said, look, this thing's not working with multilaterally, Let's just do it, you know? And then, oh, now we're seeing the second and third and other order consequences of it. And the risk is that we wind up, our goal is to telegraph unity to Beijing and shaping their environment around them as the administration calls it. We might be signaling our disunity, I don't know, with the allies, and obviously that would not be a good thingBill: That's definitely a risk. Well, thanks Chris. It's always great to talk to you and Thank you for listening to the occasional Sinocism podcast. Thank you, Chris.Chris: My pleasure. Sinocism is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit sinocism.com/subscribe

History Behind News
S2E37: U.S. Classified Information - President Trump's declassification of documents in Mar-A-Lago

History Behind News

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 64:55


Can a U.S. president declassify a document by merely thinking about it? My guest is Heidi Kitrosser, Professor of Law at Northwestern University Pritzker School of Law. Professor Kitrosser is an expert on the constitutional law of federal government secrecy and on separation of powers and free speech law… more broadly. She is the author of the following book: Reclaiming Accountability: Transparency, Executive Power, and the U.S. Constitution, which was awarded the 2014 Chicago-Kent College of Law / Roy C. Palmer Civil Liberties Prize. She is on the steering committee of a new initiative – the Free Expression Legal Network (FELN) spearheaded by Yale's Media Freedom and Information Access Clinic and the Reporter's Committee for Freedom of the Press She not only tackles the above question head-on, but she also gets into the history of classified information (e.g., Nixon's executive orders), and analyzes the culpability of the Judicial and Legislative branches of our government in giving the Executive branch more or less a free rein when it comes to classified information. To learn more about Professor Kitrosser, you can visit her academic homepage. In addition, below is a link to a recent podcast that is relevant to our current news: S2E27: U.S. Election Violence, Electoral College & Minority Winners, Professor Edward Foley I hope you enjoy these episodes. Adel Host of the History Behind News podcast HIGHLIGHTS: get future episode highlights in your inbox. SUPPORT: please click here and join our other supporters in the news peeler community. Thank you.

Green Rush Podcast
Stephanie Shepard, Partnerships Manager and Director on the Board with Last Prisoner Project

Green Rush Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2022 38:44


Welcome to the Green Rush, a KCSA Strategic Communications Production, and a weekly conversation at the intersection of cannabis, psychedelics, the capital markets and culture.  This week Anne and Nick had the honor of speaking with Stephanie Shepard, Partnerships Manager and Director on the Board with Last Prisoner Project, a non-profit organization dedicated to cannabis-related criminal justice reform. In addition to her work at Last Prisoner Project, Stephanie is herself a survivor of the War on Drugs, having been sentenced in 2010 to 10 years in the Federal Bureau of Prisons for a non-violent cannabis related crime.  The Green Rush was first introduced to Stephanie through CannabizTeam, the premier executive search and staffing firm, and ongoing partner with Last Prisoner Project.  In this episode, Anne and Nick connected with Stephanie to talk about the challenges she faced reintegrating into society following her sentence, how she began working with the Last Prisoner Project in the fight for restorative justice and actions the industry can begin taking to aid those still being victimized by the criminalization of cannabis. In addition the three discuss Joe Biden's missed opportunity to make a greater impact on the cannabis movement with his most recent announcement and the 2022 midterm elections.   So sit back and enjoy our conversation with Stephanie Shepard, Partnership Director with Last Prisoner Project.  Links and mentions in the show https://www.lastprisonerproject.org/ LPP's Letter Writing Program: https://www.lastprisonerproject.org/letter-writing Donate to LPP Links to the guest's company and social media accounts Stephanie's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephanie-shepard-744894223/ LPP's Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lastprisonerproject LPP's Twitter: https://twitter.com/lastprisonerprj LPP's Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lastprisonerproject/ LPP's LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/last-prisoner-project/  Show Credits: This episode was hosted by Anne Donohoe and Nick Opich of KCSA Strategic Communications.  Special thanks to our Program Director Shea Gunther. You can learn more about how KCSA Cannabis can help your cannabiz by visiting www.kcsa-cannabis.com or emailing greenrush@kcsa.com. You can also connect with us via our social channels: Twitter: @The_GreenRush  Instagram: @thegreenrush_podcast LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thegreenrushpodcast/  Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TheGreenRushPodcast/  YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCuEQkvdjpUnPyhF59wxseqw?disable_polymer=true

The Team House
FBI Hostage Rescue Team Operator | Greg Shaffer | Ep. 171

The Team House

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2022 135:44


Greg is the author of the best-selling book, “Stay Safe – Security Secrets for Today‘s Dangerous World”, and is the host of Investigation Discovery Channel's police drama, “Body Cam – Behind the Badge”. Greg served in the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) for twenty years before founding Shaffer Security Group. He has served as an Operator on their elite “Hostage Rescue Team” conducting tactical operations across the globe; as well as the Legal Attaché in Budapest, Hungary where he led the FBI's international mission to defeat national security and criminal threats. He is internationally recognized as one of the leading experts and authorities on the phenomenon of “active shooter” events and domestic terrorism prevention. His responsibilities have included the security of all major Special Events such as NFL Super Bowl; NBA Finals; NBA All Star Game; MLB World Series and many other high profile events which were considered targets of terrorism. Check out Greg here: https://shaffersecuritygroup.com/our-founder/ Today's Sponsor: SAP Gear (Stately Asset Protection)  https://SAPGEAR.com Veteran-owned company, Stately Asset Protection's retail store specializes in handmade and unique survivability products. Use the code “TEAM” for 15% off your order! https://SAPGEAR.com To help support the show and for all bonus content including: -2 bonus episodes per month  -Access to ALL bonus segments with our guests -Ad Free audio feed Subscribe to our Patreon!

The Protectors
#380 | Jeff Cortese | Author & Law Enforcement Expert | A Deep Dive Into Public Corruption |

The Protectors

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2022 35:55


The Protectors Podcast ™ Presents Jeff Cortese.  Jeff talks about working public corruption, fraud at the highest levels, his book PUBLIC CORRUPTION IN THE UNITED STATES ANALYSIS OF A DESTRUCTIVE PHENOMENON, and a ton more.  This was a great talk about fraud and corruption!! About Jeff:  After college, Jeff joined the United States Capitol Police (USCP) and then served as a Special Agent on the security detail of the United States Speaker of the House. In 2005, he joined the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) as a Special Agent working assignments in New Orleans and Tucson as a SWAT Operator and member of the Public Corruption and Southwest Border Violence squads, respectively.  In 2011, he transferred to FBI Headquarters where he was assigned as a Supervisory Special Agent in the Public Corruption Unit, the FBI's number one criminal priority program. From 2011 to 2012, Cortese served as the Acting Chief of the Public Corruption Unit. In 2013, he was transferred to San Francisco as a Supervisory Special Agent. Following his many years in public service, Cortese transitioned to the private sector where he accepted a role in risk management. He has since been published numerous times by multiple outlets as a law enforcement analyst.Support the showMake sure to check out Jason on IG @drjasonpiccoloJason's book, UNWAVERING is out now!

Moving Past Murder
Healing Childhood Trauma, One Room at a Time w/ Susie Vybiral

Moving Past Murder

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2022 43:10


What do you do when you see the effects of child abuse destroying families and communities? How do you stop the cycle of abuse? How can you help impact a child's life for the better?  For Susie Vybiral, the answer was clear - change their environment to help them heal and to break the cycle of abuse. Susie Vybiral is the Founder and CEO of Room Redux, an international nonprofit organization. Room Redux transforms the rooms and lives of children who have faced physical and/or sexual abuse. This is done anonymously and in one day. Room Transformations give children a fresh start while changing the trajectory of their lives and breaking the cycles of abuse. Susie is currently a doctoral candidate and will obtain her PsyD in 2023.  Susie is a contributing writer for San Antonio Woman Magazine and The Circle Magazine and has served as a guest speaker for NCMEC, child protective service organizations, the Federal Bureau of Investigation(FBI), Homeland Security (HSI), and law enforcement and taskforce conferences. These positions and experiences are all powerful forces when it comes to Susie's expertise regarding  Room Transformations = Life Transformations. More on Susie's organization here: https://roomredux.org/ Vote for Susie in L'Oreal's "Women of Worth" here: https://www.lorealparisusa.com/women-of-worth YouTube link to this episode: https://youtu.be/AqG4jc_VPWI Want more behind-the-scenes, extra content, and interviews? Join my Patreon today! https://www.patreon.com/collierlandry AFTER THE EPISODE LIVE Q&A with host Collier Landry! TUESDAY'S 11 am PT/2 pm ET on IG LIVE @collierlandry Follow Collier Landry on Instagram: http://www.instagram.com/collierlandry Subscribe to my YouTube Channel http://www.youtube.com/collierlandry Thanks for watching! Like what you see?

The Dad Edge Podcast (formerly The Good Dad Project Podcast)
The Science and Process of Leadership with Errol Doebler

The Dad Edge Podcast (formerly The Good Dad Project Podcast)

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2022 73:33


For some effective leadership is a characteristic that many aspire to have or achieve. But while leadership can be a characteristic, it's also a science, a process, and an art. Today my guest shares how we can become an effective leader in all facets of our life by learning the art, the science and the process of leadership. Errol Doebler is a 1991 Graduate of the United States Naval Academy in Annapolis, MD. During his time as a Naval Officer, Errol served as Assistant Operations Officer onboard the USS Monongahela, Assistant Platoon Commander at SEAL Team FOUR, and a Platoon Commander at Seal Team ONE. After spending time in the private sector as a sales leader, Errol joined the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) where he investigated International Terrorist Organizations out of the FBI's flagship office in New York City and also served as a member of the FBI's New York SWAT Team. Because of his background and experience, Errol was attached to the United States Army's 75th Ranger Regiment while serving as a Special Agent for the FBI. While deployed to Afghanistan in 2010 with the 75th Ranger Regiment, Errol participated in extensive combat operations and was subsequently presented with the FBI's second highest award for valor, the Shield of Bravery, for his actions on the battlefield. Errol left the FBI after 13 years of service to begin his leadership consulting firm, Leader 193, in 2016. Errol has worked with executives and teams from Fortune 100 companies, professional sports organizations, small technical startups, and individual executives across a vast array of industries around the world as the Founder of Leader 193. Show Notes:www.thedadedge.com/friday74

Moving Past Murder
Healing Childhood Trauma, One Room at a Time w/ Susie Vybiral

Moving Past Murder

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2022 43:10


What do you do when you see the effects of child abuse destroying families and communities? How do you stop the cycle of abuse? How can you help impact a child's life for the better? For Susie Vybiral, the answer was clear - change their environment to help them heal and to break the cycle of abuse. Susie Vybiral is the Founder and CEO of Room Redux, an international nonprofit organization. Room Redux transforms the rooms and lives of children who have faced physical and/or sexual abuse. This is done anonymously and in one day. Room Transformations give children a fresh start while changing the trajectory of their lives and breaking the cycles of abuse. Susie is currently a doctoral candidate and will obtain her PsyD in 2023.  Susie is a contributing writer for San Antonio Woman Magazine and The Circle Magazine and has served as a guest speaker for NCMEC, child protective service organizations, the Federal Bureau of Investigation(FBI), Homeland Security (HSI), and law enforcement and taskforce conferences. These positions and experiences are all powerful forces when it comes to Susie's expertise regarding  Room Transformations = Life Transformations. More on Susie's organization here: https://roomredux.org/ (https://roomredux.org/) Vote for Susie in L'Oreal's "Women of Worth" here: https://www.lorealparisusa.com/women-of-worth (https://www.lorealparisusa.com/women-of-worth) YouTube link to this episode: https://youtu.be/AqG4jc_VPWI Craving more behind the scenes, extra content, and interviews? Join my Patreon today! https://www.patreon.com/collierlandry (https://www.patreon.com/collierlandry) AFTER THE EPISODE LIVE Q&A with host Collier Landry! TUESDAY'S 11 am PT/2 pm ET on IG LIVE @collierlandry Follow Collier Landry on Instagram: http://www.instagram.com/collierlandry (http://www.instagram.com/collierlandry) Subscribe to my YouTube Channel http://www.youtube.com/collierlandry (http://www.youtube.com/collierlandry) Thanks for watching! Like what you see?

Rich Zeoli
ABC Investigative Journalist Raided by FBI, Disappears from Public

Rich Zeoli

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2022 43:32


The Rich Zeoli Show- Hour 3: 5:05pm- During a recent debate, Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton (D-Virginia) claimed that high gas prices emphasize the need to transition to Green Energy.   5:10pm- According to a Rolling Stone Magazine report from Tatiana Siegel, Emmy award-winning producer James Gordon Meek—who was in the process of investigating the Biden Administration's withdrawal from Afghanistan—had his home raided by the Federal Bureau of Investigation and has remained out of the public spotlight since.    5:30pm- Dr. Mehmet Oz—Republican Candidate for U.S. Senate representing Pennsylvania—joins the show to talk about the biggest issues being debated in the 2022 midterm elections: the economy, high crime-rates, and education. Biden continues to deplete the nation's petroleum reserves while denying responsibility for increased gas prices. Dr. Oz explains how Pennsylvania fracking can help America become energy independent.   5:55pm- Time to Reduce the Load: U.S. developed “green technology” but gave it away to China, robot cops with shot guns, Jeff Bezos' economic warning, Elon Musk's feud with Ukrainian officials.

Rich Zeoli
Will Your State Mandate COVID-19 Vaccines for Children?

Rich Zeoli

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2022 187:08


3:05pm- The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) advisory committee voted to recommend COVID-19 vaccines be added to the childhood immunization schedule—which could potentially result in vaccination being required in order to attend public schools. While appearing on Fox News prior to the recommendation officially being made, Johns Hopkins Professor Dr. Marty Makary explained that the CDC's guidance is being issued despite no clinical data supporting vaccination against COVID-19 for young children being made available to the public.    3:20pm- While visiting Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, President Joe Biden delivered a 20-minute speech touting his Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and appeared alongside Senate candidate John Fetterman.   3:40pm- Ben Weingarten—Columnist at RealClearInvestigation—joins the show to talk about his latest project, “Invisible Hand or Iron Fist? RealClearInvestigations' Guide to Politicized Capitalism,” which operates as “a one-stop trove of resources allowing readers, including investors, to survey today's politically charged corporate battlefield and assess how companies are influencing American politics from outside the voting booth, and being influenced themselves.”   4:10pm- MSNBC anchor Andrea Mitchell is facing criticism following a “softball interview” with Democrat candidate for Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro. During the interview, Mitchell did not ask a single question about high-crime-rates in Pennsylvania. Mediaite's Jackson Richman writes: “Both violent and property crime in Pennsylvania have only increased over the past year. As of Oct. 13, there have been 429 homicides in Philadelphia in 2022, just three fewer homicides than the number of them at this point in 2021. The number of armed and non-armed robberies in the City of Brotherly Love has skyrocketed year-over-year.”   4:35pm- The Daily Caller's Jack McEvoy described President Joe Biden's claim that he hasn't done anything to hinder domestic oil production as “disingenuous.” He writes: “the Biden administration has instituted a regulatory crackdown on producers and discouraged investment in the industry while blaming oil and gas companies for the resulting shortages and price hikes.”   4:50pm- During his monologue on Wednesday night, MSNBC host Chris Hayes stated, “keeping gas prices low is key to preserving and strengthening the future of our democracy” because price stability will, theoretically, lead to people voting Democrat over Republican during the 2022 midterms.    5:05pm- During a recent debate, Congresswoman Jennifer Wexton (D-Virginia) claimed that high gas prices emphasize the need to transition to Green Energy.   5:10pm- According to a Rolling Stone Magazine report from Tatiana Siegel, Emmy award-winning producer James Gordon Meek—who was in the process of investigating the Biden Administration's withdrawal from Afghanistan—had his home raided by the Federal Bureau of Investigation and has remained out of the public spotlight since.    5:30pm- Dr. Mehmet Oz—Republican Candidate for U.S. Senate representing Pennsylvania—joins the show to talk about the biggest issues being debated in the 2022 midterm elections: the economy, high crime-rates, and education. Biden continues to deplete the nation's petroleum reserves while denying responsibility for increased gas prices. Dr. Oz explains how Pennsylvania fracking can help America become energy independent.   5:55pm- Time to Reduce the Load: U.S. developed “green technology” but gave it away to China, robot cops with shotguns, Jeff Bezos' economic warning, Elon Musk's feud with Ukrainian officials.   6:05pm- Pennsylvania State Senator Doug Mastriano—Republican Candidate for Pennsylvania Governor—joins the show to talk about the CDC's advisory committee voting to recommend COVID-19 vaccines be added to the childhood immunization schedule. Sen. Mastriano states that he will not compel parents or children to receive the vaccine in order to attend public school, if elected governor.   6:15pm- While speaking via Zoom at Stanford University, U.S. Assistant Secretary for Health Dr. Rachel Levine criticized state laws that prevent children from undergoing “gender affirming” medical procedures.    6:30pm- According to reports, Georgia has broken a state record for most first-day early voting ballots cast in a midterm election—with over 131,000. However, Democrat candidate for Georgia Governor Stacey Abrams continues to insist that voter suppression is rampant in the state.    6:45pm- According to the Heritage Foundation's 2023 Index of U.S. Military Strength, the nation's military may not have the capability to successfully wage war in two areas of conflict simultaneously. Alarmingly, the report stated of the U.S. Airforce: “even though the munitions stockpile may have returned to a level that is capable of supporting a surge in expenditures associated with a conflict similar to the global war on terrorism—loosely encompassing operations in Afghanistan and Iraq—it probably would not support a peer-level fight that lasted more than a few weeks.”   6:55pm- Who Won Social Media? + Zeoli's Final Thought

Student of the Gun Radio
Los Angeles Taco Bell Stabbing & Dems Set Stage for More Fraud | SOTG 1159

Student of the Gun Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2022 75:37 Very Popular


The corrupt Democrat elite and their willing accomplices are setting the stage for more election fraud for November 2022. From registering illegal aliens to vote, to tampering with gas prices to warning about “foreign actors” we are being set up once more.  To coincide with National Hug Your AK Day, we ask, what Duracoat color would you choose for your AK? During our Brownells Bullet Points, we will consider the numerous options available for the BRN-180. Do you practice situational awareness? Our SOTG Homeroom from CrossBreed Holsters highlights a horrible attack on an innocent man in a restaurant in California. Being armed is only part of the equation. We need to see the attack coming in order to stop it.  Thanks for being a part of SOTG! We hope you find value in the message we share. If you've got any questions, here are some options to contact us: Send an Email Send a Text Call Us Enjoy the show! And remember…You're a Beginner Once, a Student For Life! FEATURING: Latest Local News Report, KSLTV, DailyMail.co.uk, Daily Wire, Bleeping Computer, Madison Rising, Jarrad Markel, Paul Markel, SOTG University PARTNERS: SDS Imports, Brownells Inc, CrossBreed Holsters, DuraCoat Firearm Finishes, Hi-Point Firearms FIND US ON: Juxxi, Parler, MeWe.com, Gettr, iTunes, Stitcher, AppleTV, Roku, Amazon, GooglePlay, YouTube, Instagram, Facebook, Twitter, tumblr TOPICS COVERED THIS EPISODE [0:00:00] We hope you had a good Hug Your AK Day! [0:04:30] DuraCoat Finished Firearms - DuraCoat University TOPIC: What Color Would you Duracoat your AK? Huge thanks to our Partners:SDS Imports | Brownells | CrossBreed | Duracoat Firearm Finishes | Hi-Point Firearms Just because the Holiday has passed, doesn't mean you can't still celebrate! Hug Your AK Stickers www.ShopSOTG.com [0:15:40] Brownells Bullet Points - Brownells.com TOPIC: BRN-180 Uppers in a Variety of Calibers and Configurations www.brownells.com [0:25:20] SOTG Homeroom - CrossbreedHolsters.com TOPIC: Los Angeles Taco Bell stabbing of 82-year-old man in wheelchair caught on video latestlocalnewsreport.com [0:34:15] Evanston Woman Recovering in hospital after run with buck ksltv.com [0:42:50] Saudis release bombshell statement saying Biden DID try and delay oil production cut dailymail.co.uk [0:57:00] Colorado Officials ‘Incorrectly' Sent Out 30,000 Voter Registration Postcards To Noncitizens dailywire.com/news [1:03:05] FBI warns of disinformation threats before 2022 midterm elections bleepingcomputer.com SOURCES From latestlocalnewsreport.com: An 82-year-old man in a wheelchair was stabbed in an unprovoked attack earlier this month while inside a Los Angeles restaurant, police said Thursday. The attack occurred just before 7 p.m. on Oct. 3 inside Taco Bell in the Mar Vista area, Fox Los Angeles reported. Security footage shows the suspect entering the fast food restaurant and approaching the man from behind. (Click Here for Full Article)   From dailymail.co.uk: A bombshell statement from Saudi Arabia states the Biden administration reached out and pleaded with them to delay the OPEC deal to cut oil production until after the midterms. Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan Al Saud said Thursday morning that US officials 'suggested' postponing the decision to reduce output by two million barrels a day by a month until after November 8, when millions of Americans will cast their ballots. The Kingdom also brushed off suggestions it sided with Russia by insisting it took a 'principled position' on the Ukraine war and said the OPEC decision was entirely based on economics, not politics. (Click Here for Full Article)   From www.bleepingcomputer.com: The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) warned today of foreign influence operations that might spread disinformation to affect the results of this year's midterm elections. The federal law enforcement agency warned that foreign actors are actively spreading election infrastructure disinformation to manipulate public opinion, discredit the electoral process, sow discord, and encourage a lack of trust in democratic processes and institutions. As the FBI added, foreign actors might also target the public with attempts to incite violence before and after the midterms. (Click Here for Full Article)

Craig Peterson's Tech Talk
Can You Secure Security Cameras? The Coming Green Energy Nightmare - Email Scams Hitting Businesses and Lonely Hearts

Craig Peterson's Tech Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2022 86:10


Can You Secure Security Cameras? The Coming Green Energy Nightmare - Email Scams Hitting Businesses and Lonely Hearts Scams… Eight questions to ask yourself before getting a security camera https://www.welivesecurity.com/2022/10/03/8-questions-ask-yourself-getting-home-security-camera/ Security cameras were once the preserve of the rich and famous. Now anyone can get their hands on one thanks to technological advances. The advent of the Internet of Things (IoT) has created a significant new market – for manufacturers of devices like connected doorbells and baby monitors and more sophisticated whole-of-property systems. Connected to home Wi-Fi networks, these devices allow owners to watch live video footage, record video for later, and receive alerts when out of the house. Yet these same features can also expose households to new risks if the camera is compromised and the footage is leaked. Not all vendors have as big a focus on security and privacy as they should. That means you need to ask the right questions before starting. ++++++++ Romance scammer and BEC fraudster sent to prison for 25 years https://nakedsecurity.sophos.com/2022/10/04/romance-scammer-and-bec-fraudster-sent-to-prison-for-25-years/ Elvis Eghosa Ogiekpolor was jailed for 25 years in Atlanta, Georgia, for running a cybercrime group that scammed close to $10,000,000 in under two years from individuals and businesses caught up in the so-called romance and BEC scams. BEC is short for business email compromise, an umbrella term for a form of online scam in which the attackers acquire login access to email accounts inside a company so that the fraudulent emails they send don't just seem to come from the company they're attacking, but do come from there. ++++++++ How a deepfake Mark Ruffalo scammed half a million dollars from a lonely heart https://grahamcluley.com/how-a-deepfake-mark-ruffalo-scammed-half-a-million-dollars-from-a-lonely-heart/ The Asahi Shimbun reports that 74-year-old Manga artist Chikae Ide received an unsolicited message via Facebook in February 2018 from somebody claiming to be Ruffalo. With help from some translation software, an initially skeptical Ide responded to the Hollywood actor, attaching a photograph of herself. An American friend of Ide subsequently questioned whether the person claiming to be Ruffalo was genuine, noting that he wrote: “like somebody who has not learned English.” But, says Ide, a 30-second video call blew away any suspicions. “I'm sure it was Mark himself behind the screen chatting with me,” Ide said. Energy… The Coming Green Electricity Nightmare https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/10/02/the-coming-green-electricity-nightmare/ What this net-zero transition would require: How many millions of wind turbines, billions of solar panels, billions of EVs, backup batteries, millions of transformers, thousands of miles of transmission lines – sprawling across millions of acres of wildlife habitat, scenic and agricultural lands, and people's once-placid backyards? To cite just one example, just the 2,500 wind turbines needed for New York electricity (30,000 megawatts) would require nearly 110,000 tons of copper – which would necessitate mining, crushing, processing, and refining 25 million tons of copper ore … after removing some 40 million tons of overlying rock to reach the ore bodies. Multiply that times 50 states – and the entire world – plus transmission lines. Spooks… FLASHBACK: CIA Sabotaged Soviet Pipeline to Europe in 1982 - US Software Caused Massive Explosion in Siberian Pipeline Seen From Space https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/10/flashback-cia-sabotaged-soviet-pipeline-europe-1982-us-software-caused-massive-explosion-siberian-pipeline-seen-space/ Back in 1982, the CIA sabotaged a Soviet pipeline in Siberia. US software caused a gas pipeline explosion so large it could be seen in space. The Americans did not want the Europeans to purchase Soviet gas. In January 1982, President Ronald Reagan approved a CIA plan to sabotage the economy of the Soviet Union through covert transfers of technology that contained hidden malfunctions, including software that later triggered a massive explosion in a Siberian natural gas pipeline, according to a memoir by a Reagan White House official. ++++++++ Former NSA Employee Faces Death Penalty for Selling Secrets https://www.darkreading.com/attacks-breaches/ex--nsa-employee-faces-death-penalty-for-selling-secrets When he left his job as an information systems security designer with the National Security Agency, Jareh Sebastian Dalke allegedly took a few classified documents with him. Stealing — and then attempting to sell — those secret government documents could land the Colorado Springs man on death row. Dalke has been charged with trying to sell those government secrets to a foreign government. But, according to a Department of Justice affidavit, the sale went bust when it turned out the potential buyer Dalke believed was an emissary from a foreign nation was an undercover FBI agent. Hackers… Ransomware 3.0: The Next Frontier https://www.darkreading.com/vulnerabilities-threats/ransomware-3-the-next-frontier The Federal Bureau of Investigation's Internet Crime Complaint Center received 3,729 complaints identified as ransomware in 2021, up 82% from just two years prior and accelerating. According to the Department of Treasury, the top 10 ransomware gangs raked at least $5.2 billion in extortion payments. Ransomware's growth and sheer scale captured leaders' attention in policy and business, but we must keep our eye on how its operators might adapt and evolve to protect their profits. ++++++++ Russian Hackers Take Aim at Kremlin Targets https://www.infosecurity-magazine.com/news/russian-hackers-take-aim-at/ According to a new report, Russian threat actors have begun launching cyber-attacks at targets inside their country in retaliation for what they see as a needless war with Ukraine. The Kyiv Post claimed to have spoken to members of the National Republican Army (NRA), a Russian hacking outfit working towards overthrowing the Putin regime. ++++++++ Relentless Russian Cyberattacks on Ukraine Raise Important Policy Questions https://www.darkreading.com/threat-intelligence/russian-cyberattacks-ukraine-raise-important-policy-questions The cyber picture worsened as the war went on because critical infrastructure and systems used to support the war effort ended up in the crosshairs. Soon after the onset of the physical invasion, Microsoft found that it could also correlate cyberattacks in the critical infrastructure sector with kinetic events. For example, as the Russian campaign moved around the Donbas region in March, researchers observed coordinated wiper attacks against transportation logistics systems used for military movement and the delivery of humanitarian aid. And they are targeting nuclear facilities in Ukraine with cyber activity to soften a target before military incursions, which Microsoft researchers have consistently seen throughout the war.

The Truth Quest Podcast
Ep. 218 - The Truth About the FBI - The Federal Bureau of Intimidation

The Truth Quest Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2022 28:26


In this episode we examine the history of the FBI from its inception to today. What we find ain't pretty! The more things change, the more things stay the same. Show Notes John Whitehead's Commentary: Federal Bureau of Intimidation the Governments War on Political Freedom Truth Quest Podcast Episode #118 - The Truth About the Biden Crime Family Episode #184 - The Truth About Hunter Biden's Laptop The Truth Quest Podcast Patron Page Join the conversation at The Truth Quest Facebook Fan Page Order a copy of one of my books, Pritical Thinking, The Proverbs Project, The Termite Effect. The video of this episode is available on Rumble and BitChute. Check out short highlight videos of each episode on Instagram. Truth Social: @TruthQuestPodcast GETTR: @TruthQuest_PC Twitter: @apathyreigns

Frequency Interrupted
#115 - Chris Plants

Frequency Interrupted

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2022 88:52


Chris Plants is a US Army Veteran, Industrial Engineer and spent 19 years as a Special Agent with the Federal Bureau of Investigation. He now runs operations for Men of Courage in Webster Parish.

The Hannah Miller Show
The Federal Bureau of Indefensible Malfeasance.

The Hannah Miller Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2022 22:45


Have you seen what's going on with the FBI recently? Have you wondered how we should respond? Have you asked yourself whether or not the Constitution grants the federal government the power to investigate crimes and enforce the law? Join Hannah on today's podcast and have these inquiries answered along with a few more questions.

The American Warrior Show
Show # 306: Interrogation for Dummies with T.C. Fuller (FBI)

The American Warrior Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2022 99:49


On today's Coffee with Rich, we will be joined by T.C. Fuller. T.C. Fuller is an experienced federal investigator and firearms trainer. He has spent his life carrying a firearm for the U.S. government. T.C. first served as an Army Infantry officer and Explosive Ordnance Disposal officer, before leaving the Army to accept an appointment as a Special Agent for the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI). He spent the next 20 years working in all areas of investigative interest within the FBI, and served for several years as an instructor in the FBI's Firearms Training Unit in Quantico, VA. T.C. holds a Bachelor of Science in Criminology, as well as a Masters of Education in Interdisciplinary Studies and a Doctorate in Educational Leadership and Policy Studies. As a published writer, T.C. has written an innovative book on the topic of improving law enforcement deadly force training, as well as having written for several print magazines on the areas of law enforcement procedures, explosives, firearms and edged weapons. mong T.C.'s personal achievements, he has been awarded the U.S. Army's highest peace-time award for heroism, the Soldier's Medal. Besides finding, capturing and convicting a fugitive on the FBI's Top 10 Most Wanted list, T.C. has also been a successful competitive shooter for more than 20 years, earning a Master class certification from the International Defensive Pistol Association, winning numerous local, state and regional competitions along the way. He is now operating his own company, The Horus Group, LLC, which serves as a consultancy on firearms and training, as well as providing high-end, private firearms training for both armed professionals and citizens. T.C.'s Website: https://www.thehorusgroup.net/ T.C.'s recent article: https://americanwarriorsociety.com/may-you-live-in.../ Coffee with Rich Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/user/rhodieusmc/videos American Warrior Show: https://americanwarriorshow.com/index.html SWAG: https://shop.americanwarriorsociety.com/ American Warrior Society please visit: https://americanwarriorsociety.com/

Rich Zeoli
Dr. Fauci Defends Gain-of-Function Funding for Controversial Research Group

Rich Zeoli

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 50:28


The Rich Zeoli Show- Hour 2:   4:05pm- While speaking at a seminar hosted by University of Southern California's Center for Health Journalism, Dr. Anthony Fauci defended the National Institutes of Health's (NIH) continued funding of gain-of-function research—specifically research conducted by the non-governmental organization EcoHealth Alliance. EcoHealth has been accused of failing to report an experiment in Wuhan which resulted in the creation of a bat virus that, according to Science.org, “made mice sicker.”    4:30pm- On Wednesday night's Late Night Show, host Stephen Colbert and Dr. Anthony Fauci went shopping for Halloween candy. Colbert asks the hard-hitting questions, like: “What's your favorite candy?”   4:40pm Pastor William Devlin—International Human Rights Advocate—joins the show to talk about an upcoming rally he has organized to support Mark Houck. Houck, a pro-life activist known for peacefully protesting outside of abortion clinics, recently had his home raided by the Federal Bureau of Investigation and Department of Justice. He was arrested for violating the “Freedom of Access to Clinic Entrances Act.”

Rich Zeoli
Canceling Oompa Loompas, Investigating Hunter Biden, & SCOTUS Interprets the 14th Amendment

Rich Zeoli

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 177:44


3:00pm- According to a report from journalists Devlin Barrett and Perry Stein of the Washington Post, federal agents are in the process of investigating Hunter Biden—the son of President Joe Biden—and believe they have acquired enough evidence to “charge him with tax crimes and a false statement related to a gun purchase.” Will Hunter Biden actually face prosecution?   3:35pm- According to a Bloomberg report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has voted to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day—despite the Biden Administration's numerous attempts to persuade the intergovernmental organization to produce more oil. In response to OPEC's decision, the Biden Administration announced it would release an additional ten million barrels from the strategic petroleum reserves. In September, Forbes wrote that the nation's petroleum reserves were already at their lowest level since 1984.    4:05pm- While speaking at a seminar hosted by University of Southern California's Center for Health Journalism, Dr. Anthony Fauci defended the National Institutes of Health's (NIH) continued funding of gain-of-function research—specifically research conducted by the non-governmental organization EcoHealth Alliance. EcoHealth has been accused of failing to report an experiment in Wuhan which resulted in the creation of a bat virus that, according to Science.org, “made mice sicker.”    4:30pm- On Wednesday night's Late Night Show, host Stephen Colbert and Dr. Anthony Fauci went shopping for Halloween candy. Colbert asks the hard-hitting questions, like: “What's your favorite candy?”   4:40pm- Pastor William Devlin—International Human Rights Advocate—joins the show to talk about an upcoming rally he has organized to support Mark Houck. Houck, a pro-life activist known for peacefully protesting outside of abortion clinics, recently had his home raided by the Federal Bureau of Investigation and Department of Justice. He was arrested for violating the “Freedom of Access to Clinic Entrances Act.” 5:05pm- On Wednesday, CBS Evening News aired a segment decrying the removal of several children's books from a school library in Jamestown, Michigan. According to those supporting their removal, the books contained sexual content inappropriate for children.    5:10pm- Assistant Producer Daniel reveals that Neumann University recently decided to remove Charlie and the Chocolate Factory from its school's library. What did Willy Wonka do to offend people??? Actually, there might be a few controversial things…   5:20pm- According to the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board, “more than a dozen environmental outfits, including Greenpeace and the Union of Concerned Scientists, wrote to big tech companies to blame them for ‘amplifying and perpetuating climate disinformation.'” Recently, Melissa Fleming—the Communications Undersecretary for the United Nations—bragged about partnering with Google to manipulate search results on climate change.    5:40pm- Paul J. Larkin—Senior Legal Research Fellow in the Meese Center for Legal and Judicial Studies at the Heritage Foundation—joins the show to discuss President Biden's announcement to issue a blanket pardon for people convicted of simple marijuana possession. Is this an abuse of the President's pardon capabilities?    6:05pm- During Supreme Court oral arguments for Merrill v. Milligan and Merrill v. Caster—cases which will determine whether Alabama's new congressional map is a violation of the Voting Rights Act—Alabama Solicitor General Edmund G. Lacour argued that his state's redistricting was made in a “race neutral manner.” Based on her questions, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson seemed to believe that the 14th Amendment was not meant to be “race neutral or race blind.” In his retort to Justice Jackson, Lacour stated: “the 14th Amendment is a prohibition on discriminatory state action…it is not an obligation to engage in affirmative discrimination in favor of some groups...”   6:35pm- Alexandra Wilkes—Communications Director for New Jersey GOP—joins the show to talk about an investigation into the National Women's Soccer League which concluded players experienced sexual misconduct and emotional abuse. One of the teams in the league, Gotham FC, is owned by New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy and his wife Tammy. https://www.njgop.org   6:50pm- Who Won Social Media? + Rich Zeoli's Final Thought!

The O2X Tactical Performance Podcast
10 Basic Strength & Conditioning Strategies You Can Implement Tomorrow | Frank Wintrinch

The O2X Tactical Performance Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2022 65:29


-Frank Wintrich is the O2X Program Director at the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)-He has over 20 years of Strength & Conditioning experience including roles as the Director of Football Performance at UCLA, Program Director for University of North Texas, BYU, and University of Virginia, Associate Director of S&C at University of South Florida, Director of Athletic Performance at The Citadel, and S&C Coach with U.S. Army's 3rd Brigade Combat Team, 1st Armored Division-His '10 Basic S&C Strategies You Can Implement Tomorrow' are:1 - Train where you're “tight” - Don't avoid movements or exercises that challenge “problem areas”2 - Do something… every single day3 - Treat that new habit as part of your daily routine4 - 1% Better every day – focus on the process / not the outcome5 - Be a student of the process – educate yourself about training, adaptation, etc.6 - Sleep and recovery are essential7 - Emphasize your aerobic fitness and get that right before pursuing any kind of strength / size goal8 - Get off the strength machines as fast as you can9 - Working out is more than just weights – you have to MOVE… especially as you get older.10 - Get outside! / listen to a podcast / steps Download the O2X Tactical Performance App:app.o2x.comLet us know what you think:Website: http://o2x.comIG: https://instagram.com/o2xhumanperformance?igshid=1kicimx55xt4f 

Macroaggressions
#270: The Real Domestic Terrorists

Macroaggressions

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 5, 2022 76:18 Very Popular


The Biden Administration wants the American people to be on the lookout for the most important threat to their safety: domestic terrorists. According to them, they are hiding behind every bush wearing their MAGA hats and brandishing their AR-15s while hunting down anyone that doesn't have the same skin color as them. The truth of the matter is that the largest domestic terrorist organization operating inside the United States is the Federal Bureau of Investigations, otherwise known as the FBI. They have their fingerprints, both figuratively and literally, on bombs that have gone off inside American skyscrapers in order to create fear and division, and the vast majority of people have no idea just how evil and broken this organization actually is. Sponsors: Emergency Preparedness Food: www.preparewithmacroaggressions.com Chemical Free Body: https://www.chemicalfreebody.com and use promo code: MACRO C60 Purple Power: https://c60purplepower.com/ Promo Code: MACRO Wise Wolf Gold & Silver: www.Macroaggressions.gold True Hemp Science: https://truehempscience.com/ Haelan: https://haelan951.com/pages/macro Solar Power Lifestyle: https://solarpowerlifestyle.com/ Promo Code: MACRO Coin Bit App: https://coinbitsapp.com/?ref=0SPP0gjuI68PjGU89wUv Macroaggressions Merch Store: https://www.teepublic.com/stores/macroaggressions?ref_id=22530 LinkTree: linktr.ee/macroaggressions Books: HYPOCRAZY: https://amzn.to/3AFhfg2 Controlled Demolition on Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08M21XKJ5 Purchase "The Octopus Of Global Control" Amazon: https://amzn.to/3aEFFcr Barnes & Noble: https://bit.ly/39vdKeQ Online Connection: Link Tree: https://linktr.ee/Macroaggressions Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/macroaggressions_podcast/ Discord Link:  https://discord.gg/4mGzmcFexg Website: www.theoctopusofglobalcontrol.com Facebook: www.facebook.com/theoctopusofglobalcontrol Twitter: www.twitter.com/macroaggressio3 Twitter Handle: @macroaggressio3 YouTube: www.youtube.com/channel/UCn3GlVLKZtTkhLJkiuG7a-Q Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2LjTwu5

Freedom Under Fire | The Rutherford Institute
Federal Bureau of Intimidation: The Government's War on Political Freedom

Freedom Under Fire | The Rutherford Institute

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 5, 2022 9:38


Discredit, disrupt, and destroy. That is how the government plans to get rid of activists and dissidents who stand in its way. This has always been the modus operandi of the FBI (more aptly referred to as the Federal Bureau of Intimidation): muzzle anti-government sentiment, harass activists, and terrorize Americans into compliance.

CISO Tradecraft
#98 - Outrunning the Bear

CISO Tradecraft

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2022 33:12


Hello, and welcome to another episode of CISO Tradecraft -- the podcast that provides you with the information, knowledge, and wisdom to be a more effective cybersecurity leader.  My name is G. Mark Hardy, and today we are going to discuss how nation state conflict and sponsored cyberattacks can affect us as non-combatants, and what we should be doing about it.  Even if you don't have operations in a war zone, remember cyber has a global reach, so don't think that just because you may be half a world away from the battlefield that someone is not going to reach out and touch you in a bad way.  So, listen for what I think will be a fascinating episode, and please do us a small favor and give us a "like" or a 5-star review on your favorite podcast platform -- those ratings really help us reach our peers.  It only takes a click -- thank you for helping out our security leadership community. I'm not going to get into any geopolitics here; I'm going to try to ensure that this episode remains useful for quite some time.  However, since the conflict in Ukraine has been ongoing for over two hundred days, I will draw examples from that. The ancient Chinese military strategist Sun Tzu wrote: “If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.  If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat.  If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.” That's a little more detailed than the classic Greek aphorism, "know thyself," but the intent is the same even today.  Let me add one more quote and we'll get into the material.  Over 20 years ago, when he was Secretary of Defense, Donald Rumsfeld said: "As we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know.  We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know.  But there are also unknown unknowns—the ones we don't know we don't know.  And if one looks throughout the history of our country and other free countries, it is the latter category that tends to be the difficult ones. So, knowledge seems extremely important throughout the ages.  Modern governments know that, and as a result all have their own intelligence agencies.  Let's look at an example.  If we go to the CIA's website, we will see the fourfold mission of the Central Intelligence Agency: Collecting foreign intelligence that matters Producing objective all-source analysis Conducting effective covert action as directed by the President Safeguarding the secrets that help keep our nation safe. Why do we mention this?  Most governments around the world have similar Nation State objectives and mission statements.  Additionally, it's particularly important to understand what is wanted by "state actors" (note, I'll use that term for government and contract intelligence agents.). What are typical goals for State Actors?  Let's look at a couple: Goal 1: Steal targeting data to enable future operations.  Data such as cell phone records, banking statements or emails allow countries to better target individuals and companies when they know that identifying information.  Additionally, targeting data allows Nation state organizations to understand how individuals are connected.  This can be key when we are looking for key influencers for targets of interest.  All targeting data should not be considered equal.  Generally, Banking and Telecom Data are considered the best for collecting so be mindful if that is the type of company that you protect.  State Actors target these organizations because of two factors:The Importance of the Data is the first factor.  If one party sends a second party an email, that means there is a basic level of connection.  However, it's not automatically a strong connection since we all receive emails from spammers.  If one party calls someone and talks for 10 minutes to them on a phone call, that generally means a closer connection than an email.  Finally, if one party sends money to another party that either means a really strong connection exists, or someone just got scammed. The Accuracy of the Data is the second factor.  Many folks sign up for social media accounts with throw away credentials (i.e., fake names and phone numbers).  Others use temporary emails to attend conferences, so they don't get marketing spam when they get home.  However, because of Anti Money Laundering (or AML) laws, people generally provide legitimate data to financial services firms.  If they don't, then they risk not being able to take the money out of a bank -- which would be a big problem. A second goal in addition to collecting targeting data, is that State Actors are interested in collecting Foreign Intelligence.  Foreign Intelligence which drives policy-making decisions is very impactful.  Remember, stealing secrets that no one cares about is generally just a waste of government tax dollars.  If governments collect foreign intelligence on sanctioned activity, then they can inform policy makers on the effectiveness of current sanctions, which is highly useful.  By reporting sanctioned activity, the government can know when current sanctions are being violated and when to update current sanctions.  This can result in enabling new intelligence collection objectives.  Examples of this include:A country may sanction a foreign air carrier that changes ownership or goes out of business.  In that case, sanctions may be added against different airlines.  This occurred when the US sanctioned Mahan Air, an Iran's airline.  Currently the US enforces sanctions on more than half of Iran's civilian airlines. A country may place sanctions on a foreign bank to limit its ability to trade in certain countries or currencies.  However, if sanctioned banks circumvent controls by trading with smaller banks which are not sanctioned, then current sanctions are likely ineffective.  Examples of sanctioning bank activity by the US against Russia during the current war with Ukraine include:On February 27th sanctions were placed against Russian Banks using the SWIFT international payment systems On February 28th, the Russian Central Bank was sanctioned On March 24th, the Russian Bank Sberbank CEO was sanctioned On April 5th, the US IRS suspended information exchanges with the Russian tax authorities to hamper Moscow's ability to collect taxes. On April 6th, the US sanctioned additional Russian banks. These sanctions didn't just start with the onset of hostilities on 24 February 2022.  They date back to Russia's invasion of Crimea.  It's just that the US has turned up the volume this time. If sanctions are placed against a country's nuclear energy practices, then knowing what companies are selling or trading goods into the sanctioned country becomes important.  Collecting information from transportation companies that identify goods being imported and exported into the country can also identify sanction effectiveness. A third goal or activity taken by State Actors is covert action.  Covert Action is generally intended to cause harm to another state without attribution.  However, anonymity is often hard to maintain.If we look at Russia in its previous history with Ukraine, we have seen the use of cyber attacks as a form of covert action.  The devastating NotPetya malware (which has been generally accredited to Russia) was launched as a supply chain attack.  Russian agents compromised the software update mechanism of Ukrainian accounting software M.E. Doc, which was used by nearly 400,000 clients to manage financial documents and file tax returns.  This update did much more than the intended choking off of Ukrainian government tax revenue -- Maersk shipping estimates a loss of $300 million.  FedEx around $400 million.  The total global damage to companies is estimated at around $10 billion. The use of cyberattacks hasn't been limited to just Russia.  Another example is Stuxnet.  This covert action attack against Iranian nuclear facilities that destroyed nearly one thousand centrifuges is generally attributed to the U.S. and Israel. Changing topics a little bit, we can think of the story of two people encountering a bear. Two friends are in the woods, having a picnic.  They spot a bear running at them.  One friend gets up and starts running away from the bear.  The other friend opens his backpack, takes out his running shoes, changes out of his hiking boots, and starts stretching.  “Are you crazy?” the first friend shouts, looking over his shoulder as the bear closes in on his friend.  “You can't outrun a bear!”  “I don't have to outrun the bear,” said the second friend.  “I only have to outrun you.” So how can we physically outrun the Cyber Bear? We need to anticipate where the Bear is likely to be encountered.  Just as national park signs warn tourists of animals, there's intelligence information that can inform the general public.  If you are looking for physical safety intelligence you might consider:The US Department of State Bureau of Consular Affairs.  The State Department hosts a travel advisory list.  This list allows anyone to know if a country has issues such as Covid Outbreaks, Civil Unrest, Kidnappings, Violent Crime, and other issues that would complicate having an office for most businesses. Another example is the CIA World Factbook.  The World Factbook provides basic intelligence on the history, people, government, economy, energy, geography, environment, communications, transportation, military, terrorism, and transnational issues for 266 world entities. Additionally you might also consider data sources from the World Health Organization and The World Bank If we believe that one of our remote offices is now at risk, then we need to establish a good communications plan.  Good communications plans generally require at least four forms of communication.  The acronym PACE or Primary, Alternate, Contingency, and Emergency is often usedPrimary Communication: We will first try to email folks in the office. Alternate Communication: If we are unable to communicate via email, then we will try calling their work phones. Contingency Communication: If we are unable to reach individuals via their work phones, then we will send a Text message to their personal cell phones. Emergency Communication: If we are unable to reach them by texting their personal devices, then we will send an email to their personal emails and next of kin. Additionally, we might purchase satellite phones for a country manager.  Satellite phones can be generally purchased for under $1,000 and can be used with commercial satellite service providers such as Inmarsat, Globalstar, and Thuraya.  One popular plan is Inmarsat's BGAN.  BGAN can usually be obtained from resellers for about $100 per month with text messaging costing about fifty cents each and calls costing about $1.50 per minute.  This usually translates to a yearly cost of $1,500-2K per device.  Is $2K worth the price of communicating to save lives in a high-risk country during high political turmoil?  Let your company decide.  Note a great time to bring this up may be during use-or-lose money discussions at the end of the year. We should also consider preparing egress locations.  For example, before a fire drill most companies plan a meetup location outside of their building so they can perform a headcount.  This location such as a vacant parking lot across the street allows teams to identify missing personnel which can later be communicated to emergency personnel.  If your company has offices in thirty-five countries, you should think about the same thing, but not assembling across the street but across the border.  Have you identified an egress office for each overseas country?  If you had operations in Ukraine, then you might have chosen a neighboring country such as Poland, Romania, or Hungary to facilitate departures.  When things started going bad, that office could begin creating support networks to find local housing for your corporate refugees.  Additionally, finding job opportunities for family members can also be extremely helpful when language is a barrier in new countries. If we anticipate the Bear is going to attack our company digitally, then we should also look for the warning signs.  Good examples of this include following threat intelligence information from: Your local ISAC organization.  ISAC or Information Sharing Analysis Centers are great communities where you can see if your vertical sector is coming under attack and share your experiences/threats.  The National Council of ISACs lists twenty-five different members across a wide range of industries.  An example is the Financial Services ISAC or FS-ISAC which has a daily and weekly feed where subscribers can find situational reports on cyber threats from State Actors and criminal groups. InfraGard™ is a partnership between the Federal Bureau of Investigation and members of the private sector for the protection of US Critical Infrastructure.  Note you generally need to be a US citizen without a criminal history to join AlienVault offers a Threat Intelligence Community called Open Threat Exchange which grants users free access to over nineteen million threat indicators.  Note AlienVault currently hosts over 100,000 global participants, so it's a great place to connect with fellow professionals. The Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency or CISA also routinely issues cybersecurity advisories to stop harmful malware, ransomware, and nation state attacks.  Helpful pages on their websites include the following:Shields Up which provides updates on cyber threats, guidance for organizations, recommendations for corporate Leaders and CEOs, ransomware responses, free tooling, and steps that you can take to protect your families. There's even a Shields Technical Guidance page with more detailed recommendations. CISA routinely puts out Alerts which identify threat actor tactics and techniques.  For example, Alert AA22-011A identifies how to understand and mitigate Russian State Sponsored Cyber Threats to US Critical Infrastructure.  This alert tells you what CVEs the Russian government is using as well as the documented TTPs which map to the MITRE ATT&CK™ Framework.  Note if you want to see more on the MITRE ATT&CK mapped to various intrusion groups we recommend going to attack.mitre.org slant groups. CISA also has notifications that organizations can sign up for to receive timely information on security issues, vulnerabilities, and high impact activity. Another page to note on CISA's website is US Cert.  Here you can report cyber incidents, report phishing, report malware, report vulnerabilities, share indicators, or contact US Cert.  One helpful page to consider is the Cyber Resilience Review Assessment.  Most organizations have an IT Control to conduct yearly risk assessments, and this can help identify weaknesses in your controls. Now that we have seen a bear in the woods, what can we do to put running shoes on to run faster than our peers?  If we look at the CISA Shield Technical Guidance Page we can find shields up recommendations such as remediating vulnerabilities, enforcing MFA, running antivirus, enabling strong spam filters to prevent phishing attacks, disabling ports and protocols that are not essential, and strengthening controls for cloud services.  Let's look at this in more detail to properly fasten our running shoes. If we are going to remediate vulnerabilities let's focus on the highest priority.  I would argue those are high/critical vulnerabilities with known exploits being used in the wild.  You can go to CISA's Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog page for a detailed list.  Each time a new vulnerability gets added, run a vulnerability scan on your environment to prioritize patching. Next is Multi Factor Authentication (MFA).  Routinely we see organizations require MFA access to websites and use Single Sign On.  This is great -- please don't stop doing this.  However, we would also recommend MFA enhancements in two ways.  One, are you using MFA on RDP/SSH logins by administrators?  If not, then please enable immediately.  You never know when one developer will get phished, and the attacker can pull his SSH keys.  Having MFA means even when those keys are lost, bad actor propagation can be minimized.  Another enhancement is to increase the security within your MFA functionality.  For example, if you use Microsoft Authenticator today try changing from a 6 digit rotating pin to using security features such as number matching that displays the location of their IP Address.  You can also look at GPS conditional policies to block all access from countries in which you don't have a presence. Running antivirus is another important safeguard.  Here's the kicker -- do you actually know what percentage of your endpoints are running AV and EDR agents?  Do you have coverage on both your Windows and Linux Server environments?  Of the agents running, what portion have signatures updates that are not current?  How about more than 30 days old.  We find a lot of companies just check the box saying they have antivirus, but if you look behind the scenes you can see that antivirus isn't as effective as you think when it's turned off or outdated. Enabling Strong Spam Filters is another forgotten exercise.  Yes, companies buy solutions like Proofpoint to secure email, but there's more that can be done.  One example is implementing DMARC to properly authenticate and block spoofed emails.  It's the standard now and prevents brand impersonation.  Also please consider restricting email domains.  You can do this at the very top.  Today, the vast majority of legitimate correspondents still utilize one of the original seven top-level domains:  .com, .org, .net, .edu, .mil, .gov, and .int, as well as two-letter country code top-level domains (called ccTLDs).  However, you should look carefully at your business correspondence to determine if communicating with all 1,487 top-level domains is really necessary.  Let's say your business is located entirely in the UK.  Do you really want to allow emails from Country codes such as .RU, .CN, and others?  Do you do business with .hair, or .lifestyle, or .xxx?  If you don't have a business reason for conducting commerce with these TLDs, block them and minimize both spam and harmful attacks.  It won't stop bad actors from using Gmail to send phishing attacks, but you might be surprised at just how much restricting TLDs in your email can help.  Note that you have to be careful not to create a self-inflicted denial of service, so make sure that emails from suspect TLDs get evaluated before deletion. Disabling Ports and Protocols is key since you don't want bad actors having easy targets.  One thing to consider is using Amazon Inspector.  Amazon Inspector has rules in the network reachability package to analyze your network configurations to find security vulnerabilities in your EC2 Instances.  This can highlight and provide guidance about restricting access that is not secure such as network configurations that allow for potentially malicious access such as mismanaged security groups, Access Control Lists, Internet Gateways, etc. Strengthening Cloud Security- We won't go into this topic too much as you could spend a whole talk on strengthening cloud security.  Companies should consider purchasing a cloud security solution like Wiz, Orca, or Prisma for help in this regard.  One tip we don't see often is using geo-fencing and IP allow-lists.  For example, one new feature that AWS recently created is to enable Web Application Firewall protections for Amazon Cognito.  This makes it easier to protect user pools and hosted UIs from common web exploits. Once we notice there's likely been a bear attack on our peers or our infrastructure, we should report it.  This can be done by reporting incidents to local governments such as CISA or a local FBI field office, paid sharing organizations such as ISAC, or free communities such as AlienVault OTX. Let's walk through a notional example of what we might encounter as collateral damage in a cyberwar.  However, to keeps this out of current geopolitics, we'll use the fictitious countries Blue and Orange. Imagine that you work at the Acme Widget Corporation which is a Fortune 500 company with a global presence.  Because Acme manufactures large scale widgets in their factory in the nation of Orange, they are also sold to the local Orange economy.  Unfortunately for Acme, Orange has just invaded their neighboring country Blue.  Given that Orange is viewed as the aggressor, various countries have imposed sanctions against Orange.  Not wanting to attract the attention of the Orange military or the U.S. Treasury department, your company produces an idea that might just be crazy enough to work.  Your company is going to form a new company within Orange that is not affiliated with the parent company for the entirety of the war.  This means that the parent company won't provide services to the Orange company.  Additionally, since there is no affiliation between the companies then the legal department advises that there will not be sanction evasion activity which could put the company at risk.  There's just one problem.  Your company has to evict the newly created Orange company (Acme Orange LLC) from its network and ensure it has the critical IT services to enable its success. So where do we start?  Let's consider a few things.  First, what is the lifeblood of a company?  Every company really needs laptops and Collaboration Software like Office 365 or GSuite.  So, if we have five hundred people in the new Acme Orange company, that's five hundred new laptops and a new server that will host Microsoft Exchange, a NAS drive, and other critical Microsoft on premises services. Active Directory: Once you obtain the server, you realize a few things.  Previous Acme admin credentials were used to troubleshoot desktops in the Orange environment.  Since exposed passwords are always a bad thing, you get your first incident to refresh all passwords that may have been exposed.  Also, you ensure a new Active Directory server is created for your Orange environment.  This should leverage best practices such as MFA since Orange Companies will likely come under attack. Let's talk about other things that companies need to survive: Customer relations management (CRM) services like Salesforce Accounting and Bookkeeping applications such as QuickBooks Payment Software such as PayPal or Stripe File Storage such as Google Drive or Drop Box Video Conferencing like Zoom Customer Service Software like Zendesk Contract Management software like DocuSign HR Software like Bamboo or My Workday Antivirus & EDR software Standing up a new company's IT infrastructure in a month is never a trivial task.  However, if ACME Orange is able to survive for 2-3 years it can then return to the parent company after the sanctions are lifted. Let's look at some discussion topics. What IT services will be the hardest to transfer? Can new IT equipment for Acme Orange be procured in a month during a time of conflict? Which services are likely to only have a SaaS offering and not enable on premises during times of conflicts? Could your company actually close a procurement request in a one-month timeline? If we believe we can transfer IT services and get the office up and running, we might look at our cyber team's role in providing recommendations to a new office that will be able to survive a time of turmoil. All laptops shall have Antivirus and EDR enabled from Microsoft. Since the Acme Orange office is isolated from the rest of the world, all firewalls will block IP traffic not originating from Orange. SSO and MFA will be required on all logins Backups will be routinely required. Note if you are really looking for effective strategies to mitigate cyber security incidents, we highly recommend the Australian Essential Eight.  We have a link in our show notes if you want more details. Additionally, the ACME Orange IT department will need to create its own Incident Response Plan (IRP).  One really good guide for building Cyber Incident Response Playbooks comes from the American Public Power Association.  (I'll put the link in our show notes.)  The IRP recommends creating incident templates that can be used for common attacks such as: Denial of Service (DoS) Malware Web Application Attack (SQL Injection, XSS, Directory Traversal, …) Cyber-Physical Attack Phishing Man in the middle attack Zero Day Exploit This Incident Response Template can identify helpful information such as Detection: Record how the attack was identified Reporting: Provide a list of POCs and contact information for the IT help desk to contact during an event Triage: List the activities that need to be performed during Incident Response.  Typically, teams follow the PICERL model.  (Preparation - Identification - Containment - Eradication - Recovery - Lessons Learned) Classification: Depending on the severity level of the event, identify additional actions that need to occur Communications: Identify how to notify local law enforcement, regulatory agencies, and insurance carriers during material cyber incidents.  Additionally describe the process on how communications will be relayed to customers, employees, media, and state/local leaders. As you can see, there is much that would have to be done in response to a nation state aggression or regional conflict that would likely fall in your lap.  If you didn't think about it before, you now have plenty of material to work with.  Figure out your own unique requirements, do some tabletop exercises where you identify your most relevant Orange and Blue future conflict, and practice, practice, practice.  We learned from COVID that companies that were well prepared with a disaster response plan rebranded as a pandemic response plan fared much better in the early weeks of the 2020 lockdown.  I know my office transitioned to remote work for over sixty consecutive weeks without any serious IT issues because we had a written plan and had practiced it.  Here's another one for you to add to your arsenal.  Take the time and be prepared -- you'll be a hero "when the bubble goes up."  (There -- you've learned an obscure term that nearly absent from a Google search but well-known in the Navy and the Marine Corps.) Okay, that's it for today's episode on Outrunning the Bear.  Let's recap: Know yourself Know what foreign adversaries want Know what information, processes, or people you need to protect Know the goals of state actors:steal targeting data collect foreign intelligence covert action Know how to establish a good communications plan (PACE)Primary Alternate Contingency Emergency Know how to get out of Dodge Know where to find private and government threat intelligence Know your quick wins for protectionremediate vulnerabilities implement MFA everywhere run current antivirus enable strong spam filters restrict top level domains disable vulnerable or unused ports and protocols strengthen cloud security Know how to partition your business logically to isolate your IT environments in the event of a sudden requirement. Thanks again for listening to CISO Tradecraft.  Please remember to like us on your favorite podcast provider and tell your peers about us.  Don't forget to follow us on LinkedIn too -- you can find our regular stream of low-noise, high-value postings.  This is your host G. Mark Hardy, and until next time, stay safe. References https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/17976-if-you-know-the-enemy-and-know-yourself-you-need https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/There_are_known_knowns  https://www.cia.gov/about/mission-vision/  https://www.cybersecurity-insiders.com/ukraines-accounting-software-firm-refuses-to-take-cyber-attack-blame/  https://www.wired.com/story/notpetya-cyberattack-ukraine-russia-code-crashed-the-world/  https://www.nationalisacs.org/member-isacs-3  https://attack.mitre.org/groups/  https://data.iana.org/TLD/tlds-alpha-by-domain.txt  https://www.publicpower.org/system/files/documents/Public-Power-Cyber-Incident-Response-Playbook.pdf 

THE CONSTITUTION STUDY
F.B.I. Now Stands for the Federal Bureau of Intimidation

THE CONSTITUTION STUDY

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2022 56:33


The Constitution Study with Host Paul Engel – We have allowed federal law enforcement to become the jack-booted thugs we see in the news today because we were afraid after Sept. 11, 2001. Today, if you see someone come to your door with an FBI jacket on, realize that it no longer stands for the Federal Bureau of Investigation, but for the...