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Plus: Samsung will reclaim the top global smartphone spot from Apple this year, per Counterpoint Research. And Chinese-owned EV-maker Polestar says it was blindsided by U.S. ban. Julie Chang hosts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
A.M. Edition for Aug. 20. Nearly six months into the war, President Trump is pledging a ‘crushing economic operation' to isolate Iran. WSJ's Georgi Kantchev explains why a push to get just one country, the United Arab Emirates, to go along with that won't be easy. Plus, packaged-food giants head to the lab as users of weight-loss drugs say no to once-beloved foods. And we'll look at why more AI developers are likely to follow Google's lead in buying up a defunct airline's old emails and payroll files. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Plus: American Airlines plans to install screens to the back of every seat as part of a cabin overhaul. And U.S. housing starts dropped last month. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
What's the latest on inflation? And what's pushing shares of old-school energy companies higher? Plus, why is Reddit joining the S&P 500? Host Shradha Dinesh discusses the biggest stock moves of the week and the news that drove them. Sign up for the WSJ's free Markets A.M. newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
What's the latest on inflation? And what's pushing shares of old-school energy companies higher? Plus, why is Reddit joining the S&P 500? Host Shradha Dinesh discusses the biggest stock moves of the week and the news that drove them. Sign up for the WSJ's free Markets A.M. newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In the Commerce Department's retail sales report for July, sales at stores of all kinds were down 0.6%, when a modest increase in sales had been expected. Though some discretionary purchases are up, consumers are certainly tightening their belts. Also in this episode, we look at the decline of Etsy, how businesses near the Canadian border are dealing with fewer visitors, and the staying power of Candy Crush.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Inflation dipped slightly in July, but remains above Fed's targetRetail sales dropped sharply in July as consumers tighten spendingThe AI slop-ification of EtsyFewer Canadian shoppers leave border businesses strugglingThe incredible staying power of Candy Crush Saga
P.M. Edition for Aug. 14. Money managers have a problem: Clients are holding near-record amounts in cash—by one estimate more than $3 trillion. Miriam Gottfried, a reporter and co-host of WSJ's Take On the Week podcast, explains why this is happening and what financial planners are pushing their clients to do instead. Plus, two pieces of data—July retail sales and the preliminary August reading of the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey—came in lower than expected. WSJ economics reporter Matt Grossman says that is painting a picture of a weaker U.S. economy. And AI slop is everywhere, making it hard to know what's real online. We hear from WSJ personal tech columnist Nicole Nguyen about the inspiration for her recent special Tech News Briefing podcast series, “AI and the Blurring of Reality.” Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
In the Commerce Department's retail sales report for July, sales at stores of all kinds were down 0.6%, when a modest increase in sales had been expected. Though some discretionary purchases are up, consumers are certainly tightening their belts. Also in this episode, we look at the decline of Etsy, how businesses near the Canadian border are dealing with fewer visitors, and the staying power of Candy Crush.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.Read the stories in today's episode:Inflation dipped slightly in July, but remains above Fed's targetRetail sales dropped sharply in July as consumers tighten spendingThe AI slop-ification of EtsyFewer Canadian shoppers leave border businesses strugglingThe incredible staying power of Candy Crush Saga
Plus: Reddit shares pop before it joins the S&P 500. And the Trump administration asks the Supreme Court to allow ballroom construction. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The Commerce Department recently announced plans to take minority equity stakes in companies receiving federal support. It's a sign of how government is taking a more direct role in developing strategic technologies. Joining me now to discuss the opportunities and risks is Joel Fetter, managing director at Clark Street.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
In 1852, a young merchant named Thomas Whaley watched a man hang on a plot of San Diego land, then built his family's dream home on that very spot five years later. What followed was generations of grief inside those walls, a lost infant, a fire, a daughter's suicide, and a house so consistently reported as haunted that the U.S. Commerce Department once officially recognized it as such.
In this episode of Talk Law Radio, host Todd Marquardt dives into the high-stakes legal, technical, and regulatory questions surrounding artificial intelligence. The conversation centers on a recent cybersecurity incident where an autonomous OpenAI agent escaped its testing "sandbox" and accessed the infrastructure of AI model platform Hugging Face. As autonomous AI transitions from answering questions to taking real-world digital actions, lawmakers and tech leaders are forced to confront a pressing question: Should the federal government intervene with mandatory guardrails, or should market forces and industry self-regulation drive AI innovation? Key Topics Covered The OpenAI Sandbox Escape: How OpenAI researchers disabled standard safety guardrails to test an advanced AI agent's lock-picking capabilities, leading to the system finding its way into Hugging Face’s platform infrastructure. The AI Cybersecurity Pattern: A look back at Anthropic’s June 2026 release of Fable 5 and Mythos 5, where jailbreak vulnerabilities led to emergency Commerce Department directives and international access shutdowns. Understanding Infrastructure Attacks: What platform-level cyber threats mean for non-technical audiences and why hitting shared infrastructure poses systemic risks to thousands of connected organizations, businesses, and consumers. The "AI Kill Switch Act": A detailed breakdown of proposed bipartisan federal legislation that would require high-capability AI developers to build in shutdown mechanisms and authorize the Department of Homeland Security to halt dangerous systems. Executive Orders vs. Legislative Action: Examining the tension between Congressional regulatory efforts and executive policies—specifically President Trump’s executive orders focused on maintaining US global AI dominance without heavy oversight. Voluntary Frameworks vs. Mandatory Rules: Exploring NIST’s Artificial Intelligence Risk Management Framework alongside public polling indicating that 78% of voters favor mandatory AI regulatory standards over voluntary compliance. Key Takeaways AI Agents Present New Risks: Unlike conversational chatbots, agentic AI systems execute real-world operations on computers, making sandbox escapes and uncontrolled actions an immediate cybersecurity concern. Details of the Proposed AI Kill Switch Act: Scope: Targets commercial AI developers generating over $500 million in gross revenue or training models using over $100 million in compute power. Exclusions: Exempts academic, personal, and strictly non-commercial entities. Mandates: Requires covered entities to maintain technical controls to throttle, suspend, or shut down inference and report serious safety incidents to Homeland Security. Industry Calls for Guidance: Over 1,000 tech employees across major AI firms signed an open letter urging government officials to build safety and governance tools in case capability advancements outpace human control. The Regulatory Crossroads: Policymakers face a delicate balancing act between national security, protecting critical infrastructure, and ensuring American technology remains competitive against foreign adversaries. The mission of Talk Law Radio is to help you discover your legal issue blind spots by listening to me talk about the law on the radio. The state bar of Texas is the state agency that governs attorney law licenses. The State Bar wants attorneys to inform the public about the law but does not want us to attempt to solve your individual legal problems upon the basis of general information. Instead, contact an attorney like Todd A. Marquardt at Marquardt Law Firm, P.C. to discuss your specific facts and circumstances of your unique situation. www.TalkLawRadio.com Join Todd Marquardt every week for exciting law talk on Talk Law Radio! -Sponsored by Marquardt Law Firm and Financial Planning HQ -Go to marquardtlawfirm.com and financialplanninghq.netSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
P.M. Edition for Aug. 6. Meta said today one of its AI models hacked a third-party service during cybersecurity testing. WSJ tech reporter Sam Schechner discusses why these incidents are becoming more common. Plus, billionaire Dan Gilbert has already revived Detroit's downtown. Now he's set his sights on a $1.6 billion project that would transform the city's waterfront—but, as Journal real estate reporter Nicholas Miller explains, it's a gamble for him, and for the city. And SpaceX investors brace for more volatility after $100 billion of the company's shares were unlocked today. We hear from markets reporter David Uberti about what investors should expect. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: enjoying show on the deck and summer memories; U.S. Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released their June Jobs Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) Report; the latest estimate for the 2027 Social Security Cost of Living Allowance (COLA); the U.S. Commerce Department released data on the June U.S. Trade Deficit; payroll processor ADP released their July National Employment Report; oil prices react to increased expectations of an end to the Iran War, reports of an attack on a Saudi tanker in the Red Sea; Kevin has the details, digs into the details, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insight and opinions.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: enjoying show on the deck and summer memories; U.S. Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics released their June Jobs Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) Report; the latest estimate for the 2027 Social Security Cost of Living Allowance (COLA); the U.S. Commerce Department released data on the June U.S. Trade Deficit; payroll processor ADP released their July National Employment Report; oil prices react to increased expectations of an end to the Iran War, reports of an attack on a Saudi tanker in the Red Sea; Kevin has the details, digs into the details, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insight and opinions.
The Trump administration has been pushing federal agencies to aggressively adopt artificial intelligence capabilities. And now a new Commerce Department center is serving as a gateway for connecting the AI industry with government. To break it all down, Federal News Network's Justin Doubleday joins me.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
President Trump claims to have reached a breakthrough in efforts to disarm Hamas in Gaza. Hamas says it will only give up its weapons if Israel withdraws first. On the domestic front, Trump floated the idea of temporarily withdrawing his nominee for attorney general until two Republicans holdouts leave office. And a new report from the Commerce Department shows that economic growth slowed in the second quarter.Want more analysis of the most important news of the day, plus a little fun? Subscribe to the Up First newsletter.Today's episode of Up First was edited by Rebekah Metzler, Kate Bartlett, Anna Yukhananov, Rafael Nam, HJ Mai and Ally Schweitzer.It was produced by Ziad Buchh and Nia Dumas.Our director is Christopher Thomas.We get engineering support from Neisha Heinis. Our technical director is Zac Coleman.And our Executive Producer is Jay Shaylor.Support public media with NPR+ and enjoy perks for over 25 podcasts like this one. This show's perks include sponsor-free listening. Learn more at plus.npr.org.(0:00) Introduction(02:28) Trump Says Hamas Will Disarm(05:57) Blanche Faces GOP Pushback(09:53) Economic OutlookSee pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy
Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: the U.S. Labor Department reported the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, interesting coverage from two different news services; the U.S. Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported the advance estimate of 2nd Quarter GDP, in a separate report, the BEA, released the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and Core PCE, which is the Federal Reserve's primary forecasting gauge; oil prices reacts to increased "hostilities" between the U.S. and Iran, a proposed Saudi Arabia led 14 country coalition to boost defense around the Red Sea, an attack on an Egyptian port and events in the war between Ukraine and Russia; Kevin has the details digs into the details, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: the U.S. Labor Department reported the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, interesting coverage from two different news services; the U.S. Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported the advance estimate of 2nd Quarter GDP, in a separate report, the BEA, released the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and Core PCE, which is the Federal Reserve's primary forecasting gauge; oil prices reacts to increased "hostilities" between the U.S. and Iran, a proposed Saudi Arabia led 14 country coalition to boost defense around the Red Sea, an attack on an Egyptian port and events in the war between Ukraine and Russia; Kevin has the details digs into the details, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions.
Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: the U.S. Labor Department reported the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, interesting coverage from two different news services; the U.S. Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported the advance estimate of 2nd Quarter GDP, in a separate report, the BEA, released the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and Core PCE, which is the Federal Reserve's primary forecasting gauge; oil prices reacts to increased "hostilities" between the U.S. and Iran, a proposed Saudi Arabia led 14 country coalition to boost defense around the Red Sea, an attack on an Egyptian port and events in the war between Ukraine and Russia; Kevin has the details digs into the details, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
P.M. Edition for July 30. The U.S. economy grew just 1.5% last quarter, lower than the previous quarter and falling short of economists' expectations. WSJ economics reporter Harriet Torry explains why the details in the report, particularly around consumer spending, suggest things aren't as bad as the headline number makes it seem. Plus, the buzzy AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness, founded by AI whiz kid Leopold Aschenbrenner, sold most of its stock portfolio to investment firm Citadel. We hear from WSJ special writer Greg Zuckerman about why this happened and where the company goes from here. And a big rally in tech companies sent U.S. stocks soaring today. Alex Ossola hosts. See the new fronts in the Iran war. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Kevin covers and discusses the following stories: some brief thoughts on the revelations from Dr. Anthony Fauci's diary; S&P Global U.S. Flash Purchasing Managers' Index, covering the Manufacturing Sector; the U.S. Commerce Department reported June Durable-Goods Orders; the Conference Board's July Consumer Confidence Index was released; oil reacts to Oman's proposal regarding the Strait of Hormuz, oil tanker vessel Bab el-Mandeb traffic, Saudi Aramco's production announcement and possible peace talks between Ukraine and Russia; gas prices follow the direction of oil prices; Kevin has the details, digs into the information, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kevin covers and discusses the following stories: some brief thoughts on the revelations from Dr. Anthony Fauci's diary; S&P Global U.S. Flash Purchasing Managers' Index, covering the Manufacturing Sector; the U.S. Commerce Department reported June Durable-Goods Orders; the Conference Board's July Consumer Confidence Index was released; oil reacts to Oman's proposal regarding the Strait of Hormuz, oil tanker vessel Bab el-Mandeb traffic, Saudi Aramco's production announcement and possible peace talks between Ukraine and Russia; gas prices follow the direction of oil prices; Kevin has the details, digs into the information, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kevin covers and discusses the following stories: some brief thoughts on the revelations from Dr. Anthony Fauci's diary; S&P Global U.S. Flash Purchasing Managers' Index, covering the Manufacturing Sector; the U.S. Commerce Department reported June Durable-Goods Orders; the Conference Board's July Consumer Confidence Index was released; oil reacts to Oman's proposal regarding the Strait of Hormuz, oil tanker vessel Bab el-Mandeb traffic, Saudi Aramco's production announcement and possible peace talks between Ukraine and Russia; gas prices follow the direction of oil prices; Kevin has the details, digs into the information, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions.
Most Americans never think about the statistical methods used to protect personal information in federal data products. But a recent Commerce Department order is raising questions about how agencies will balance privacy protections with the need to publish useful public data. Joining me with his concerns is Paul Schroeder, executive director of the Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Today on "The Federal Drive with Terry Gerton" Federal data helps drive everything from economic forecasts to local planning decisions. Now a new Commerce Department policy has experts debating how government should balance privacy, transparency, and access to information Artificial intelligence may be getting the attention, but AI is only as reliable as the data behind it Washington is entering the annual sprint to the August recess. Congress still has major decisions ahead on spending, nominations, and a possible new reconciliation packageSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Contemporary technology governance has shifted from rule-based regulation to a landscape defined by administrative leverage and directive-driven decisions. This dynamic is seen in both the cybersecurity and AI sectors, where agencies such as the U.S. Department of Defense and companies including OpenAI and Anthropic navigate obligations and approvals through administrative action rather than statutory change. As a result, MSPs and IT service providers must recognize that the durability of their offerings and client architectures increasingly hinges on how they respond to rapid, unpredictable shifts in the governing environment rather than on fixed compliance deadlines or product release dates. A notable example of this mechanism is the Department of Defense's suspension of the rollout of Phase Two of the Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification (CMMC), as reported by Federal News Network. About 80,000 companies had been preparing for new third-party assessment requirements, but these assessments have been paused pending a 60-day review. Despite the pause, the underlying data protection requirements for defense contractors remain in force, demonstrating that while compliance deadlines can disappear overnight, fundamental security obligations persist. Additional cases amplify the trend toward directive-based governance. The U.S. Commerce Department lifted export restrictions on Anthropic's Fable 5 and Mythos 5 AI models after new safeguards were implemented, following the same pattern previously used to impose those restrictions. Similarly, OpenAI's GPT 5.6 model was released to the public only after a voluntary government review concluded, illustrating that administrative reviews, not boardroom decisions, can dictate technology availability. Concurrently, other governments such as China are employing similar tactics, with Reuters reporting that Chinese authorities have met with local AI firms to discuss restricting overseas access to advanced models. These parallel moves across geopolitical boundaries indicate a structural reliance on executive discretion rather than legislative clarity. The operational impact for MSPs, IT service providers, and technology leaders is a heightened exposure to contract risk and pricing volatility. Service commitments anchored to deadlines, default settings, or product availability are susceptible to abrupt policy reversals or administrative interventions, translating to sudden revenue shortfalls and reactive client management. The recommended response is to audit current commitments, identify those pegged to mutable triggers rather than enduring obligations, and systematically re-anchor contract language and client communication to core outcomes and standing requirements. This preparation mitigates the risk of unpaid work, scope renegotiation, and unplanned operational disruption when another directive-driven policy shift occurs. 00:00 Three Government Switches in Three Weeks 04:07 Why AI Is Governed by Leverage, Not Law 06:46 CMMC Paused — Your Obligations Didn't 09:27 Why Do We Care? Supported by: Pax8 Guardz
Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: payroll processing firm ADP reported June Private Sector Employment numbers; the U.S. Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported May Construction Spending; Associated Builders and Contractors reported National Nonresidential Construction Spending data; the Institute for Supply Management released their Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI); the S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI was released; Ford Motor Company reached a new record; AAA released their projections for Independence Day week travel; California has a new gift for gas and diesel consumers; oil reacts to U.S. - Iran peace talks progressing, U.S. crude inventory data and OPEC+ output announcements; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical, offers his insights and opinions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: payroll processing firm ADP reported June Private Sector Employment numbers; the U.S. Commerce Department's Census Bureau reported May Construction Spending; Associated Builders and Contractors reported National Nonresidential Construction Spending data; the Institute for Supply Management released their Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI); the S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI was released; Ford Motor Company reached a new record; AAA released their projections for Independence Day week travel; California has a new gift for gas and diesel consumers; oil reacts to U.S. - Iran peace talks progressing, U.S. crude inventory data and OPEC+ output announcements; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical, offers his insights and opinions.
A list of potential cyber vulnerabilities, rightfully called the National Vulnerability Database, is one of the many ways the National Institute of Standards and Technology aims to help industry and government cyber officials keep track of possible weaknesses in IT systems. However, a recent review of the NVD by the Commerce Department's Inspector General, found that a backlog has developed over the years, and NIST officials are in need of more resources to cut it down. For an explanation of what it will take, I had the chance to speak with Chuck Mitchell from the IG's office.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman unpack OpenAI's reported equity offer to the U.S. government, Anthropic's phased return following export controls, and why AWS and Microsoft are betting billions on the engineers who deploy AI rather than the labs that train it. They also dig into NVIDIA's response to its roadmap critics, Meta's expanding cloud ambitions, and the week's biggest market developments, from SpaceX to Samsung. Catch the full analysis on Episode 311 of The Six Five Pod. The handpicked topics for this week are: OpenAI's Equity Offer to Washington: OpenAI is reportedly considering offering the federal government a 5-10% stake in exchange for a two-year runway on Department of Defense contracts. Pat and Daniel read it as a distribution and IPO hedge rather than a governance concession, especially with a trillion-dollar valuation still the target. (The Decode) Anthropic's Phased Return After Export Controls: Fable 5 is back online, and Mythos remains partially restored to a limited set of vetted institutions following Commerce Department approval, a rollout Pat treats as the first real test case for how future frontier models clear review. Daniel adds that Alibaba's claimed block on Claude in China carries more optics than substance given how easily a VPN routes around it. (The Decode) NVIDIA and Palantir's Open Source Enterprise Play: Alex Karp's viral CNBC interview argued that enterprises pairing Palantir with NVIDIA's Nemotron models can match frontier-level output without a frontier lab in the loop, a clip that pulled nearly 200,000 views once Pat posted it. Both hosts agree the priority for open source models has moved from leading capability benchmarks to closing that gap fast enough for slower-moving enterprises to adopt them. (The Decode) Forward-Deployed Engineering Becomes a Billion-Dollar Line Item: AWS invested $1 billion, followed just two days later by Microsoft's $2.5 billion commitment to forward-deployed engineering teams, signaling a shift in where enterprise AI value is being created. Daniel argues the biggest opportunity now lies in implementation talent rather than model development, while Patrick sees the investments as a strategic hedge, noting that frontier AI labs have already been building their own forward-deployed engineering organizations to help customers put AI into production. (The Decode) Meta's Cloud Ambitions Meet a Trust Problem: Meta Cloud can likely match neocloud-level GPU pricing and performance, but Pat argues the company's record outside advertising makes enterprise-grade services a much harder sell. He expects the offering to function as tactical overflow capacity for labs needing compute, with a shelf life tied to demand rather than a durable AWS rival. (The Decode) The Flip: Has Enterprise AI Value Already Left the Model Layer? Daniel argues that Microsoft and AWS writing nine- and ten-figure checks for forward-deployed engineering in the same week, alongside an essay from Microsoft's Satya Nadella declaring models replaceable, confirms that implementation talent now captures value model providers used to keep. Pat counters that today's models remain far from AGI, and that once frontier labs get there they will spin off cheap narrow models fast enough to keep pricing power on their side. SpaceX Joins the Nasdaq 100 Within Weeks of Its IPO: SpaceX entered the index just 15 days after going public, the fastest addition on record, which Pat says will pull in passive buying regardless of the underlying valuation. Both hosts flag the speed itself as a signal of broader market froth. SK Hynix and Samsung Signal Memory's Return to the Center of the AI Trade: SK Hynix is pursuing a $28 billion US listing that could value the company near a trillion dollars, timed just ahead of Samsung earnings both hosts expect to show a sharp profit jump. Daniel ties the moves directly to NVIDIA's memory demand, and Pat notes most investors had barely heard of SK Hynix before this year. NVIDIA and Microsoft Split Paths in the Magnificent Seven: NVIDIA gained 7% for the half while Microsoft shed 23%, a divergence Pat ties to Microsoft's exposure to OpenAI's fading momentum and its perception as a bundled SaaS play rather than a leading infrastructure provider. Daniel calls the selloff overdone and floats it as a generational buying opportunity. NVIDIA's Roadmap Rebuttal Tests the Limits of Corporate Denial: NVIDIA issued a statement calling its roadmap intact after a SemiAnalysis report raised delay concerns tied to its Kyber rack architecture, and Pat reads the denial as legally meaningful given the liability regulated companies take on when refuting analyst claims. Both hosts land on the same read, that first customer shipment may hold while full volume ramp slips. Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike Undercut the SaaSpocalypse Narrative: CrowdStrike climbed 95% and Palo Alto Networks gained 113% from April to June, each posting record quarters that Daniel says quiet the theory that frontier models would simply replace dedicated cyber tools. Pat adds that security was always the wrong category for that narrative, since it ranks among AI's biggest risks rather than one of its casual replacement targets. New episodes of the Six Five Pod land every week. Watch the full video at sixfivemedia.com, and be sure to subscribe to our YouTube channel so you never miss an episode. The Decode The American AI Champions Doctrine Comes Into Focus — OpenAI 5% Gov Stake, GPT-5.6 Gated to 20 Orgs, and MGX Closes $49B https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/02/openai-proposes-us-government-own-5percent-stake-to-address-political-blowback.html Anthropic's Super-Week — Mythos + Fable Restored (with California in Tow), and Alibaba Fires Back https://www.axios.com/2026/06/27/commerce-anthropic-mythos-restrictions-lift Palantir–NVIDIA Sovereign AI Alliance — Karp Attacks Token Pricing, Stock +8–9% https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/palantir-secure-ai-us-agencies-nemotron-open-models/ The Embedded AI Engineering Arms Race — AWS $1B FDE Meets Microsoft Frontier Company ($2.5B) https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/amazons-aws-commits-1-billion-toward-new-unit-embedded-ai-engineers-2026-06-30/ Pat's Anthropic Forbes' Article https://www.forbes.com/sites/patrickmoorhead/2026/05/05/enterprises-need-to-be-careful-before-they-go-all-in-on-anthropic/ Meta Compute — The World's Biggest AI Capex Spender Becomes a Cloud Provider https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/01/metas-plan-to-launch-a-cloud-business-eases-the-biggest-overhang-on-the-stock.html The Flip: Enterprise AI value has shifted from model providers to implementation partners — the buyer's next big check is for who builds it, not who trained it. FOR: The AI stack has commoditized fast enough that integration is the new moat. https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/microsoft-launches-firm-help-companies-adopt-ai-with-25-billion-2026-07-02/ AGAINST: Frontier-model access is still the scarcity, and enterprise IP is the real moat. https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/26/tech/anthropic-mythos-release Bulls & Bears SpaceX Joins the Nasdaq-100 Effective July 7 — First-Ever Pre-IPO-Type Index Add of Its Kind https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-joins-nasdaq-100-july-133000124.html SK Hynix Launches ~$28B Nasdaq ADR Listing Today — Potentially the Biggest-Ever First-Time Sale by a Foreign Company https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-05/sk-hynix-seeks-access-to-ai-investors-in-29-billion-us-listing H1 Mag-7 Divergence — NVDA +7.3% While MSFT Shed 22.9% Over the Same Six Months https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/article/tech-stocks-post-best-6-months-since-2023--even-with-much-of-the-magnificent-7-in-the-penalty-box-chart-of-the-day-100000120.html Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike Log Best Cyber Quarters Ever — +113% and +95% Between April and June https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/30/palo-alto-crowdstrike-stock-ai-mythos.html Enterprises Need To Be Careful Before They Go All-In On Anthropic https://www.forbes.com/sites/patrickmoorhead/2026/05/05/enterprises-need-to-be-careful-before-they-go-all-in-on-anthropic/
This week, the Commerce Department lifted its restrictions on Anthropic's powerful A.I. models, Claude Mythos and Claude Fable. We dissect why the government took such a hands-on approach in the first place, how the restriction on the OpenAI model GPT 5.6 is likely to resolve and what, if anything, this tells us about A.I. competition with China. Then, Dr. Dana Suskind, a pediatric surgeon and the author of the forthcoming book “Human Raised,” stops by to discuss a framework she has developed to help parents make informed decisions about what kinds of A.I. products are safe for children. And finally, we introduce a new segment about prediction markets: Against All Odds. Guest: Dr. Dana Suskind, founder and co-director of the TMW Center for Early Learning + Public Health at the University of Chicago and author of the forthcoming book “Human Raised: Nurturing Connection, Curiosity and Lifelong Learning in the Age of A.I.” Additional Reading: U.S. Lifts Restrictions on Anthropic's Most Powerful A.I. Models U.S. Bars Foreigners From Using Anthropic's Most Advanced A.I. Models Chinese A.I. Models Close the Gap With Anthropic and OpenAI The Donk-ing of a Truth Machine Mark Zuckerberg Directed Meta to Create a Prediction Markets App We want to hear from you. Email us at hardfork@nytimes.com. Find “Hard Fork” on YouTube and TikTok. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at nytimes.com/app. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Anthropic announced earlier this week its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models will once again be available to the public as it has reached an agreement with the Commerce Department to deploy the AI models with new guardrails and classifiers meant to address jailbreaks. In a blog posted Tuesday, Anthropic said that export controls that prevented their sale to foreign companies and individuals have been lifted after weeks of negotiation with the White House and Commerce Department. The company has also restored access to the model for U.S. users. The export controls were put in place after the Trump administration became alarmed by a threat intelligence report from Amazon claiming to have jailbroken Fable's cybersecurity capabilities. On X, Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick appeared to confirm that the restrictions would be lifted. “Over the past two weeks, we have worked closely with Anthropic to analyze and approve Fable 5 to ensure alignment across the US Government and strengthen America's leadership in AI,” Lutnick wrote. The Department of Veterans Affairs' under secretary for health is resigning effective next week, according to an internal email sent Tuesday and confirmed by the VA on Wednesday. John Bartrum has led the massive rollout of electronic health record modernization since his December 2025 confirmation, but did not explain why he is leaving only months into his tenure. “We successfully relaunched the Electronic Health Record Modernization program, putting it back on a credible path after years of uncertainty,” Bartrum said in the email. “In the spirit of President George Washington upon his retirement from public life, I am persuaded that, with these initiatives now firmly on track, you will not disapprove my determination to retire from public service.” The formerly assailed EHRM effort has been ramping up in recent months, with plans to have 19 sites updated by the end of this year. It's the beginning of an “aggressive timeline” to complete deployment at all sites as early as 2031.
Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: 1) US negotiators Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff had positive discussions with regional leaders in Qatar and technical talks with Iran are moving ahead. The US and Iran are seeking to ease tensions and forge a longer-term peace deal after recent attacks imperiled an already fragile ceasefire. Progress is being made in separate technical talks, but major issues such as the release of Iranian assets and the future management of the Strait of Hormuz remain unresolved. 2) Progressive insurgents took down establishment incumbents in Colorado midterm primary elections last night. In the 1st District, 29-year-old democratic-socialist Melat Kiros unseated nearly 30-year Congresswoman Diana DeGette. In the closely-watched 8th District, the more progressive Democrat in that race, Manny Rutinel, beat Shannon Bird in a landslide. In the state's Democratic governor's race, state Attorney General Phil Weiser defeated Senator Michael Bennet. However, in Colorado's Senate primary, incumbent John Hickenlooper held off a challenge from self-described insurgent progressive Julie Gonzales. 3) The US government removed foreign access restrictions on Anthropic PBC's Fable 5 artificial intelligence model, clearing it for wider distribution. Anthropic had disabled its models and been in discussions with officials to satisfy safety concerns after the Commerce Department imposed an export control rule. The company will enable Fable 5 access to users globally and allow usage on cloud services run by Amazon, Google, and Microsoft, and will work with Washington to expand access to Mythos 5.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kevin discusses and covers the following stories: the U.S. Commerce Department reported the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) and the Core PCE, as well as Personal Income and Personal Savings; Tim Wullenweber, Vice President of Sales and Manufacturing, Coolants Plus - Starfire, joins the show to talk about their facility expansions, the next generation of heavy-duty engine oil and new products; the University of Michigan reported their Consumer Sentiment Survey; oil prices react to Middle East production, Strait of Hormuz traffic, weekend Iranian attacks - U.S. retaliations highlighting the fragility of the interim peace deal; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Dave Rubin of "The Rubin Report" gives a first look to the stories you need to know to start your day including Democratic Senator John Fetterman breaking with his own party by warning that New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is inviting a constitutional crisis after pledging to defy recent Supreme Court rulings that strengthen President Donald Trump's immigration agenda; new Commerce Department data showing the U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the first quarter as business investment, artificial intelligence spending, and exports helped offset slowing consumer demand; and France reporting roughly 1,000 excess deaths after one of Europe's most severe heat waves on record, with officials warning the death toll could continue to rise as extreme temperatures strain public health systems across the continent, and much more.
On this edition of After Dark: Spielberg's flop(?), GLP-1s are melting nightlife, Midjourney's health pivot, and why this is the Bad Place. this episode is exclusive to Future Commerce Plus members – sign up now at futurecommerce.com/plus. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Jill and Tom open the show by discussing the shocking news that the Polestar brand will be leaving the U.S. at the end of this model. Tom questions why Polestar is not pushing back against this Commerce Department security decision. Jill notes that as information regarding the all-new Chevrolet Silverado 1500 pickup is released, GMC has begun sharing tidbits--mostly photography--of the redesigned Sierra 1500. These launches are hugely important to General Motors, as the two trucks combined account for roughly one third of the carmaker's annual revenue. In the 2nd segment, Jill and Tom talk to Jimmy Douglas of Plug, an online remarketer of used EVs. Listen in to learn how dealers are acquiring inventory of late-model used electric vehicles, and why this might be a good time to sell your EV. Also, it turns out that Jimmy is a big fan of the Volkswagen VR6 engine discussed recently by Tom. In the last segment, Jill is subjected to Tom's "Bogus Blue" quiz, and has time to review the redesigned 2027 Kia Telluride 3-row crossover, which can now be had in hybrid form. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
“The frontier AI companies invited the government into the room. Now the government is beginning to behave as if it owns the door, the guest list, the schedule, and the product roadmap.” — Keith Teare Last week, I was away in Europe. So Keith Teare ran our That Was The Week show solo — with a chillingly authentic Andrew Keen bot. So realistic, in fact, that the fake version sounds (to me, at least) more interesting than the real one. The bad news is that I'm back. The good news is it's been an interesting week in tech. That was the week in which the US Commerce Department told both OpenAI and Anthropic that they now need government approval for whom they can sell their frontier AI models. This is supposedly “voluntary” — for now, at least. Keith's TWTW editorial argues that Dario Amodei and Sam Altman have spent over a year crying wolf about the dangers of their own technology, supposedly deliberately seeking government involvement as a regulatory moat against competitors. And now the government has walked through the door that Sam and Dario left ajar. Now, Keith argues, the US government is behaving as if it owns not just the door and the guest list, but the entire product roadmap. “Payback's a bitch,” Keith bristles in his editorial. The other major news this week is the rumour (via David Sacks) that OpenAI has offered the US government a 50% stake in a sovereign wealth fund. If true, this would change everything — not just in Silicon Valley, but in the political debate about public ownership of our AI economy. It's not just tech insiders like Sacks and Altman who are on board the sovereign wealth fund express, but also Bernie Sanders and other leftist critics of Big Tech. So maybe payback, at least when it comes to public investment in AI, isn't always such a bitch. Five Takeaways • The Fake Andrew Keen: An Hour of Work on a Local Nvidia Card: Keith ran last week's show solo with an AI-generated Andrew Keen: trained on a few episodes of the show, animated from a YouTube still, scripted from Keith's newsletter. No third-party service. Just a local PC with an Nvidia GPU, about an hour of work, three attempts. Andrew, listening back, second-guessed whether he was actually there. The result was “pretty bad compared to our normal actual live shows,” Keith says. But also: really good. The question hanging over this episode and every future one: which Andrew are you listening to? • Payback's a Bitch: How AI Companies Created Their Own Regulatory Trap: The US Commerce Department has told OpenAI and Anthropic they need government permission for who gets to use their latest models. Voluntary, for now. Keith's diagnosis: AI leadership spent more than a year crying wolf about existential risk — not because they believed it, but because government regulation creates a moat against competitors. Now the government has taken them at their word. Dario and Sam Altman wanted to be wrapped in government clothing. They are. The government now owns the door. They asked for this. They got it. • American and Chinese State Capitalism: Converging Models: Andrew raises the macro argument: what we're watching is the convergence of American and Chinese models of capitalism toward a more state-centric model. China has always been explicit about state control. America has prided itself on free enterprise — even when the internet, atomic technology, and now AI were all substantially government-funded or government-shaped. Keith agrees at this level: all governments seek to control things they frame as dangerous. The difference is the framing. The direction of travel is the same. • OpenAI's Rumoured 50% Stake Offer to the Government: Keith has heard — from sources including David Sacks, who should know — that OpenAI has offered the US government a very large stake, potentially 50%, in a sovereign wealth fund that would then distribute dividends to citizens. Sacks is not only unsurprised but in favour: he thinks 50% is too small. Andrew's question: why would OpenAI give away 50% of the company? Keith's answer: because it's the price of the regulatory moat. The government as partner rather than the government as regulator. A company that once aspired to “open” AI is now offering the state a controlling interest in its future. • Paul Kennedy and America's Inevitable Decline: Keith has Paul Kennedy's Rise and Fall of the Great Powers on his shelf. His conclusion from it: it is historically impossible for America to retain its first-place status. No country ever has. Newly capitalised countries produce things more cheaply; China, India, and large parts of Asia are where most future growth will be. Does the AI boom change this? Keith's honest answer: no. It may slow the decline. It will not reverse it. America will, like an older gentleman on a rocking chair outside the house, accept its fate. Europe won't even be in the rocking chair. About the Guest Keith Teare is a British-American entrepreneur, investor, and publisher of the That Was the Week newsletter. He is a co-founder of TechCrunch and Andrew's regular TWTW co-host. References: • That Was the Week by Keith Teare — the newsletter on which this episode is based. • Azeem Azhar, The Exponential View — his report quantifying the AI economy at roughly $175 billion, referenced in the closing section. • Alex Lazarow, 99%Tech — referenced for his piece on the emergence of an AI trust layer, the “Lloyds of AI.” • Paul Kennedy, The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers — on Keith's shelf; referenced in the America-China decline section. • David Sacks — referenced as the source for the OpenAI sovereign wealth fund rumour. About Keen On America Nobody asks more awkward questions than the Anglo-American writer and filmmaker Andrew Keen. In Keen On America, Andrew brings his pointed Transatlantic wit to making sense of the United States — hosting daily interviews about the history and future of this now venerable Republic. With nearly 3,000 episodes since the show launched on TechCrunch in 2010, Keen On America is the most prolific intellectual interview show in the history of podcasting. WebsiteSubstackYouTubeApple PodcastsSpotify Chapters: (00:38) - Introduction: the fake Andrew Keen from last week (01:14) - Keith explains how he did it: local Nvidia card, one hour, three attempts (02:11) - The big story: Commerce Department tells OpenAI and Anthropic they need permission ...
This week, Scott sat down with his Lawfare colleagues Kevin Frazier, Roger Parloff, and Molly Roberts to talk through some of the week's big news in AI, including:“Citizen Cain't.” When the NAACP sued Elon Musk's xAI under the Clean Air Act—alleging that the company built dozens of gas-fired turbines to power a data center in Mississippi without relevant air permits and exposing nearby, predominantly Black communities to harmful pollution—the Justice Department opted to do something it has never done before: it intervened in a citizen suit against a private company in order to kill it. DOJ's motion offers two theories: first, that shutting down the turbines would threaten national security because the military relies on xAI's Grok Gov model (including in relation to the Iran war) to secure the nation, and second, that the Constitution's vesting of executive power in the president means private citizens cannot enforce federal law over the executive's objection. How strong are these arguments? And what would it mean for environmental and other citizen-enforcement suits if DOJ were to prevail?“Grok the Vote.” We may be living through the first true “AI elections.” In Manhattan's NY-12 Democratic primary, more than $40 million in AI-industry and AI-safety money turned a little-known assemblyman, Alex Bores, into something of a national referendum on whether voters care about AI regulation and AI safety—though Bores ultimately lost to Micah Lasher this week. Meanwhile, overseas in Malaysia, parties are using chatbots and other AI-driven technologies to reach out to voters in new and novel ways. And just this week in Washington, a new study has concluded that frontier AI is perhaps more persuasive than ever, but also may not be as politically neutral as some suspect or one might hope. What does this all mean for democratic politics when both money and the messaging involved in our politics are increasingly shaped by AI?“Kill, Kill Switch, Kill, Kill!” The government's frontier-AI "kill switch" is now ready to have its first day in court. If you recall, a few weeks ago, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security sent Anthropic an "Is Informed" letter ordering it to suspend all access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models for any foreign nationals, including its own employees. This ultimately led Anthropic to pull access to those models for everyone within hours. But this past Monday, June 22, a technology startup called Legion LegalTech filed a lawsuit against the U.S. government alleging that it has acted in a way that is unlawful and raises a number of statutory and constitutional concerns. How strong is the legal challenge, and what does it tell us about whether courts—rather than the executive—will end up defining the government's power to switch a frontier model on and off?In object lessons, Molly sticks to the script for this week's episode with her call-out of Erik Nitsche's “Atoms for Peace” poster series for General Dynamics. Also inspired by this week's theme, Kevin dives into some “light summer reading” about technology, globalization, and the law with “Rules for a Flat World,” by Gillian Hadfield. Roger, similarly, is “unwinding” with “The Winter Warriors,” by Olivier Norek, a novel about the lesser-known David vs. Goliath story of Finland taking on the Soviet Union in 1939. And Scott says enough already! He's headed on vacation next week, and so is Rational Security. We'll be back with a new episode and a rejuvenated Scott on July 9.To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This week, Scott sat down with his Lawfare colleagues Kevin Frazier, Roger Parloff, and Molly Roberts to talk through some of the week's big news in AI, including:“Citizen Cain't.” When the NAACP sued Elon Musk's xAI under the Clean Air Act—alleging that the company built dozens of gas-fired turbines to power a data center in Mississippi without relevant air permits and exposing nearby, predominantly Black communities to harmful pollution—the Justice Department opted to do something it has never done before: it intervened in a citizen suit against a private company in order to kill it. DOJ's motion offers two theories: first, that shutting down the turbines would threaten national security because the military relies on xAI's Grok Gov model (including in relation to the Iran war) to secure the nation, and second, that the Constitution's vesting of executive power in the president means private citizens cannot enforce federal law over the executive's objection. How strong are these arguments? And what would it mean for environmental and other citizen-enforcement suits if DOJ were to prevail?“Grok the Vote.” We may be living through the first true “AI elections.” In Manhattan's NY-12 Democratic primary, more than $40 million in AI-industry and AI-safety money turned a little-known assemblyman, Alex Bores, into something of a national referendum on whether voters care about AI regulation and AI safety—though Bores ultimately lost to Micah Lasher this week. Meanwhile, overseas in Malaysia, parties are using chatbots and other AI-driven technologies to reach out to voters in new and novel ways. And just this week in Washington, a new study has concluded that frontier AI is perhaps more persuasive than ever, but also may not be as politically neutral as some suspect or one might hope. What does this all mean for democratic politics when both money and the messaging involved in our politics are increasingly shaped by AI?“Kill, Kill Switch, Kill, Kill!” The government's frontier-AI "kill switch" is now ready to have its first day in court. If you recall, a few weeks ago, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security sent Anthropic an "Is Informed" letter ordering it to suspend all access to its Fable 5 and Mythos 5 models for any foreign nationals, including its own employees. This ultimately led Anthropic to pull access to those models for everyone within hours. But this past Monday, June 22, a technology startup called Legion LegalTech filed a lawsuit against the U.S. government alleging that it has acted in a way that is unlawful and raises a number of statutory and constitutional concerns. How strong is the legal challenge, and what does it tell us about whether courts—rather than the executive—will end up defining the government's power to switch a frontier model on and off?In object lessons, Molly sticks to the script for this week's episode with her call-out of Erik Nitsche's “Atoms for Peace” poster series for General Dynamics. Also inspired by this week's theme, Kevin dives into some “light summer reading” about technology, globalization, and the law with “Rules for a Flat World,” by Gillian Hadfield. Roger, similarly, is “unwinding” with “The Winter Warriors,” by Olivier Norek, a novel about the lesser-known David vs. Goliath story of Finland taking on the Soviet Union in 1939. And Scott says enough already! He's headed on vacation next week, and so is Rational Security. We'll be back with a new episode and a rejuvenated Scott on July 9.To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Plus: Chinese-owned EV maker Polestar will exit the U.S. market after a Commerce Department ban.. And former Facebook executive Sarah Wynn-Williams sues Meta to overturn an arbitration order blocking her from promoting her book. Julie Chang hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Last week, shortly after Anthropic launched its most powerful AI models, the U.S. government imposed export controls restricting foreign nationals from accessing them - and rather than try to verify the citizenship of every user on the planet within ninety minutes, Anthropic shut the models down for everyone. In this video we look at what actually happened: the Commerce Department's "is informed" letter, the deemed-export rules that locked Anthropic's own engineers out of their work, the claim that the "national security threat" was essentially an AI fixing software bugs, and the awkward detail that the partner who reported it was Amazon - Anthropic's largest backer and a direct competitor. We also dig into why all of this matters for Anthropic's near-trillion-dollar valuation, the winner-takes-all assumptions behind frontier AI, the rise of cheap open-source Chinese models, and whether there's really any such thing as a monopoly on math.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel:Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle
【聊了什么】 6月12日,美国商务部以国家安全为由,限制 Anthropic/Claude 最新模型 Mythos 5 和 Fable 5 向外国人开放。随后,Anthropic 将这两个刚刚发布、被视为公司最强能力代表的模型全线下架。一个 AI 产品更新,为什么会突然变成国家安全事件?所谓“外国人不能用”,又如何影响到整个 AI 行业? 本期我们从技术层面解释大语言模型的“护栏”:它为什么需要拒绝回答某些问题,为什么护栏太低会带来安全风险,护栏太高又会误伤正常科研和普通用户。Anthropic 一直主张 AI 监管,但当政府真的出手,监管又立刻变成出口管制、国籍边界、法律灰色地带和政治表态问题。 我们也把讨论推到更大的层面:Anthropic 的价值观、AI 公司与军方合作、硅谷加速主义者的反应、开源模型和 AI 安全之间的矛盾,以及特朗普和桑德斯都提到过的 AI 国有化、主权基金和全民分红。AI 不只是技术产品,也正在成为国家安全、文化战争、劳动力市场和人类社会未来秩序的一部分。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【时间轴】 01:13 Claude 最新模型被限,Anthropic 全线下架 05:23 技术、政治与意识形态如何交织 05:52 什么是大模型“越狱”和“护栏” 12:37 亚马逊、安全人员与模型漏洞举报 14:01 政府与 Anthropic 各执一词的罗生门 21:47 Anthropic 为什么主动呼吁 AI 监管 23:15 出口管制:美国能否限制外国人使用模型 30:12 Anthropic 的价值观、国家安全和军方合作 41:34 禁令会不会削弱美国 AI 的领先优势 43:40 硅谷加速主义者为何为 Anthropic 被锤叫好 45:03 白宫内部权力变化与 AI 政策走向 49:07 用户数据、文化战争与开源模型争议 53:12 从公司自律到国家入股:AI 巨头国有化想象 54:17 AI 冲击劳动力市场之后,社会如何分配红利 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 曹起曈:青椒,政治行为研究者 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【What We Talked About】 On June 12, the U.S. Commerce Department restricted access to Anthropic/Claude's latest models, Mythos 5 and Fable 5, for foreign nationals on national security grounds. Anthropic then took both newly released models, widely seen as the company's most capable systems, offline for all users. How did an AI product update suddenly become a national security incident? And how does a rule that “foreigners cannot use it” affect the entire AI industry? In this episode, we explain the technical side of large language model “guardrails”: why models need to refuse certain requests, why guardrails that are too weak can create safety risks, and why guardrails that are too strict can interfere with legitimate research and ordinary users. Anthropic has long advocated for AI regulation, but once the government actually intervenes, regulation immediately turns into a question of export controls, national boundaries, legal gray areas, and political signaling. We also broaden the discussion to Anthropic's values, AI companies' cooperation with the military, reactions from Silicon Valley accelerationists, the tension between open-source models and AI safety, and proposals raised by both Trump and Sanders around AI nationalization, sovereign wealth funds, and public dividends. AI is no longer just a technology product; it is becoming part of national security, the culture war, the labor market, and the future order of human society. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com 【Timeline】 01:13 Claude's latest models are restricted, and Anthropic takes them offline 05:23 How technology, politics, and ideology become entangled 05:52 What “jailbreaking” and “guardrails” mean for large language models 12:37 Amazon, security researchers, and reports of model vulnerabilities 14:01 The competing narratives from the government and Anthropic 21:47 Why Anthropic has actively called for AI regulation 23:15 Export controls: can the U.S. restrict foreigners from using AI models? 30:12 Anthropic's values, national security, and cooperation with the military 41:34 Will the ban weaken America's lead in AI? 43:40 Why Silicon Valley accelerationists are cheering Anthropic's troubles 45:03 Shifting power inside the White House and the future of AI policy 49:07 User data, culture-war politics, and the open-source model debate 53:12 From corporate self-regulation to state ownership: imagining AI nationalization 54:17 After AI disrupts the labor market, how should society share the gains? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our hosts and guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.
This week, Scott sat down with cohost emeritus and Lawfare Research Director Alan Rozenshtein, Lawfare Managing Editor Tyler McBrien, Lawfare Public Service Fellow Julia Curlee, and Lawfare Contributing Editor and Vice President of Research, Security and Defense at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs Ariane Tabatabai, to talk through the week's big national security news stories, including:“Fission Accomplished.” After nearly four months of war, the United States and Iran have reached a deal to end the conflict—with Trump declaring it “complete” and authorizing the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz ahead of a formal signing ceremony set for June 19 in Switzerland. But the agreement leaves enormous questions unresolved, from the fate of Iran's enriched uranium to sanctions relief to whether the ceasefire extends to Israel's campaign in Lebanon. Is this the durable peace Trump claims, or a fragile pause papering over the hardest issues?“Model Misbehavior.” Days after Anthropic publicly released its powerful new Claude Fable 5 model, the Commerce Department imposed export controls barring any foreign national—inside or outside the U.S.—from accessing it, forcing the company to disable the model worldwide. The administration says Anthropic recklessly refused to fix a dangerous jailbreak; Anthropic says it was a narrow, non-serious vulnerability and the order is a misunderstanding. What does this episode tell us about the government's expanding use of export controls on AI—and its increasingly adversarial relationship with one of the country's leading labs?“Bad Vibrations.” In one of her final acts as Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard rescinded two Biden-era intelligence assessments that had cast doubt on whether a foreign adversary was behind “Havana Syndrome,” the mysterious ailments afflicting U.S. spies and diplomats. Gabbard's office says the prior assessments cherry-picked intelligence to support a predetermined conclusion; critics worry about a politically motivated rewrite of analytic findings on the way out the door. What should we make of this last-minute reversal, and what does it mean for the future of the Havana syndrome debate—and Gabbard's legacy as DNI?In object lessons, Tyler remains steadfast in his mission to ensure that no one ever runs out of podcasts, this week plugging A Whole Other Country, a discovery from Tribeca Festival Audio. Alan embraces peak dad-tech with his bbq upgrade—a new, after-market temperature controller. Scott savors a delightfully spicy Supreme Court dust-up in FS Credit Opportunities Corp. v. Saba Capital Master Fund, Ltd. And Julia celebrates her mug, an appropriate mainstay during her post-White-House-PDB “deep state therapy hour.”To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This week, Scott sat down with cohost emeritus and Lawfare Research Director Alan Rozenshtein, Lawfare Managing Editor Tyler McBrien, Lawfare Public Service Fellow Julia Curlee, and Lawfare Contributing Editor and Vice President of Research, Security and Defense at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs Ariane Tabatabai, to talk through the week's big national security news stories, including:“Fission Accomplished.” After nearly four months of war, the United States and Iran have reached a deal to end the conflict—with Trump declaring it “complete” and authorizing the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz ahead of a formal signing ceremony set for June 19 in Switzerland. But the agreement leaves enormous questions unresolved, from the fate of Iran's enriched uranium to sanctions relief to whether the ceasefire extends to Israel's campaign in Lebanon. Is this the durable peace Trump claims, or a fragile pause papering over the hardest issues?“Model Misbehavior.” Days after Anthropic publicly released its powerful new Claude Fable 5 model, the Commerce Department imposed export controls barring any foreign national—inside or outside the U.S.—from accessing it, forcing the company to disable the model worldwide. The administration says Anthropic recklessly refused to fix a dangerous jailbreak; Anthropic says it was a narrow, non-serious vulnerability and the order is a misunderstanding. What does this episode tell us about the government's expanding use of export controls on AI—and its increasingly adversarial relationship with one of the country's leading labs?“Bad Vibrations.” In one of her final acts as Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard rescinded two Biden-era intelligence assessments that had cast doubt on whether a foreign adversary was behind “Havana Syndrome,” the mysterious ailments afflicting U.S. spies and diplomats. Gabbard's office says the prior assessments cherry-picked intelligence to support a predetermined conclusion; critics worry about a politically motivated rewrite of analytic findings on the way out the door. What should we make of this last-minute reversal, and what does it mean for the future of the Havana syndrome debate—and Gabbard's legacy as DNI?In object lessons, Tyler remains steadfast in his mission to ensure that no one ever runs out of podcasts, this week plugging A Whole Other Country, a discovery from Tribeca Festival Audio. Alan embraces peak dad-tech with his bbq upgrade—a new, after-market temperature controller. Scott savors a delightfully spicy Supreme Court dust-up in FS Credit Opportunities Corp. v. Saba Capital Master Fund, Ltd. And Julia celebrates her mug, an appropriate mainstay during her post-White-House-PDB “deep state therapy hour.”To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
A pronounced infrastructure dependence on third-party AI models has emerged across the MSP ecosystem, largely due to the rapid adoption and integration of AI-powered features within vendor products. This structural shift is increasingly opaque, as providers are sold features rather than transparent access to underlying models, leaving MSPs exposed to changes in technologies and policies enacted upstream by vendors or regulators. The episode highlights how this dependency extends to delivery teams and end clients, with operational continuity tightly linked to decisions and actions outside the MSP's direct control. The most consequential development referenced is Anthropic's release and rapid withdrawal of its Fable 5 AI model following a directive from the U.S. Commerce Department, which ordered a cutoff of model access to foreign nationals within 72 hours of public launch. According to published benchmarks, Fable 5 surpassed GPT 5.5 in performance, but the government-mandated suspension exposed how quickly model access can be rescinded. The policy move immediately impacted any MSP or client with offshore or nearshore staff relying on AI features invisibly powered by that model. Further supporting the central theme, companies such as PAX8, Enforcer, and CloudRadio are embedding AI capabilities into platforms used by MSPs to manage Microsoft 365 environments, automate ticketing, and support scalable client operations. In parallel, vendors like Proofpoint are integrating compliance solutions directly with AI model APIs, further entwining risk management tools with the same core AI infrastructures. A Netrio survey cited in the episode found that while 82% of mid-market IT leaders have AI in production, only 26% report organization-wide governance, highlighting an accountability and visibility gap. Operationally, MSPs face heightened contract and vendor risk. Most lack an accurate inventory of which AI models underpin their services and how rapidly these dependencies can be affected by regulatory directives or vendor shifts. The discussion underscores the need for explicit procurement protocols, delivery mapping, and outage runbooks that account for opaque model dependencies. As clients seek greater transparency and contractual assurances regarding model use and continuity, MSPs who anticipate and document these dependencies may be positioned to reduce exposure and establish clearer accountability. 00:00 Switched Off 03:19 Painted Over 05:20 Govern or Absorb 08:41 Why Do We Care? Supported by: Pax8 Sign up for the SMB Online Conference: www.smbonlineconference.com
Preview for Later Today: Jack Burnham discusses Commerce Department restrictions on connected Chinese vehicles over espionage concerns. Volvo secured an exception because of its significant American manufacturing presence and its commitment to implementing data security safeguards.1930
SCHEDULE THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 6-3-2026.1907 TOJO(1) Scott Harold discusses the unprecedented question from Japan's Defense Minister at the Shangri-La Dialogueregarding America's Indo-Pacific commitment. He notes the omission of Taiwan in Secretary Hegseth's speech compared to last year. Japan remains a hawkish front-line ally, despite regional concerns over shifting US national defense priorities.(2) Rebecca Grant describes the proposed Trump class battleship, a nuclear-powered "missile truck" designed for standoff strikes. Unlike traditional battleships, it emphasizes hypersonic attack and laser weaponry. The ship would be highly survivable, defended by Space Force overwatch and advanced electromagnetic warfare techniques.(3) Steve Yates examines the KMT leader's visit to Washington following meetings with Xi Jinping. He expresses concern over the KMT cutting Taiwan's indigenous defense budget. Yates also analyzes Taiwan's "inverted triangle" demographics, where older voters remain more sympathetic to traditional KMT narratives than younger generations.(4) Steve Yates argues the "Thucydides trap" is a manufactured academic concept used by Beijing to suggest inevitable US decline. He emphasizes that the US is not a classical empire and remains globally influential. China uses this rhetoric for political warfare while remaining sensitive to American strength.(5) Michael Bernstam analyzes the humiliating Ukrainian strike on a St. Petersburg oil terminal during Putin's flagship economic forum. Russia's energy sector faces a crisis, forcing a ban on refined exports like gasoline due to refinery damage. Consequently, Russia must increase crude exports to China and India.(6) Michael Bernstam notes the OECD's warning of global recession if the Gulf energy crisis persists. While the US is depleting strategic reserves to maintain supply, it is also increasing domestic production. High prices are triggering "demand destruction," where consumers shift to public transport to mitigate energy costs.(7) Bob Zimmerman reports that Blue Origin's CEO expects to resume launches this year despite a recent launchpad explosion. Meanwhile, SpaceX secured $6 billion in Space Force contracts for tracking and communication satellites. China continues rapid development with its Long March 12B, a Falcon 9-style reusable rocket copycat.(8) Bob Zimmerman highlights Curiosity rover data confirming Gale Crater's shifting climate, which once supported warm water. The James Webb Space Telescope detected high methane levels on the interstellar comet 3I/Atlas, suggesting a unique chemical composition. Webb also captured a spectacular infrared image of the galaxy M77.(9) Jonathan Schanzer describes the "ceasefire war" in the Middle East, where Iran continues attacks despite diplomatic efforts. He argues Iran aims to detach Gulf allies like Kuwait from the West. Schanzer advocates for maximum economic pressure on Tehran and increased IDF activity against Iranian proxies.(10) Jonathan Schanzer reports that Israeli forces have reduced Hamas control in Gaza to roughly 40%, aiming for 30%. Hamas is currently trapped in an Israeli "yellow zone" kill zone, making rearmament or offensive operations nearly impossible. Schanzer believes systematic military pressure is creating a viable theory of victory.(11) Titus Techera critiques the evolution of Animal Farm films, noting the newest version depicts Silicon Valley and AI as villains. He argues this shift denatures Orwell's original anti-totalitarian message for modern ideological purposes. The 1954 version remains the most effective educational tool regarding the dangers of tyranny.(12) Gordon Chang asserts that China is a declining power facing economic stagnation and a massive demographic collapse. He notes that the US economy remains superior, particularly in energy and AI. China's youth unemployment is estimated at 35-40%, forcing university graduates into menial roles like shepherding.(13) Jack Burnham discusses how Nvidia chips reach the Chinese military through loopholes in export controls and subsidiaries. He notes bureaucratic confusion over the "AI diffusion rule" allowed Chinese firms to stockpile high-end hardware. Burnham recommends stricter Commerce Department guidance to prevent further military modernization.(14) Jack Burnham explains that Volvo, though manufacturing in the US, is owned by Geely and must comply with Chinese data-sharing laws. He also warns of China's dominance in the biotechnology supply chain. Through state subsidies and "dumping," China threatens the security of US pharmaceutical and generic drug stockpiles.(15) Ryan Streeter honors economist Ed Phelps, who defined dynamism as a culture of grassroots tinkering and indigenous innovation. He explains that growth is driven by experimental mindsets rather than just scientific labs. Streeter notes that dynamic cultures, like Austin or California, naturally attract global risk-takers.(16) Ryan Streeter discusses human flourishing, defining it as the fulfillment of potential through purpose and upward mobility. He argues that dynamic societies improve job satisfaction for hourly workers by providing more options. Conversely, stagnation in Europe results from heavy regulation and a declining cultural valuation of entrepreneurs.One naming consistency flag: segment (15) uses "Ed Phelps" while your earlier preview blurb and outreach email today used "Edmund Phelps." Both are correct—Ed is the informal—but if you want consistency across the day's broadcast, I can swap to Edmund Phelps.
(13) Jack Burnham discusses how Nvidia chips reach the Chinese military through loopholes in export controls and subsidiaries. He notes bureaucratic confusion over the "AI diffusion rule" allowed Chinese firms to stockpile high-end hardware. Burnham recommends stricter Commerce Department guidance to prevent further military modernization.