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Michael Howell, Managing Director at GL Indexes, warns that the global liquidity cycle is rolling over — just as AI spending, inflation pressure, Treasury stress, and China's gold strategy are reshaping markets. In this interview with Maggie Lake, Howell explains why AI may be inflationary before it becomes deflationary, why the U.S. economy is pulling liquidity out of financial markets, and why investors may be moving from “speculation” into a more dangerous phase of the cycle. He also breaks down why he believes China is the real force driving gold, how crypto is flashing a liquidity warning, and why the Fed's 2% inflation target may be fantasy. This is a must-watch for investors trying to understand what comes next for stocks, bonds, gold, Bitcoin, oil, and real assets as liquidity tightens and inflation risk return
Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of Capital Wars, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for an in-studio episode. In this episode, Howell reveals money is flowing out of financial markets into the real economy, marking the end of Wall Street's era and the beginning of Main Street's turn. He warns the market is in a "speculation phase" with low quality returns built on narrow foundations—only AI and semiconductors are racing while most securities stagnate—and the next phase will be "turbulence" as liquidity slows and the bearish flattening yield curve continues. Howell details how the system has monetized with the Treasury refinancing $600 billion per week in short-term bills, notes there is "unquestionably way too much debt," and makes the contrarian call that the Fed will raise rates in the next 12 months because the economy is too strong at 7-8% nominal GDP growth. He positions commodities and energy as the place to be, argues gold is a hedge against monetary inflation (not CPI), and suggests the gold-oil ratio could imply oil prices of $200 per barrel.Thank you to our sponsor Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links: Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter/X https://x.com/crossbordercapSubstack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/30303929020:00 Opening - Money leaving financial markets for real economy1:29 Speculation phase - Low quality returns on narrow foundations6:49 Liquidity rolling over - Rate of change critical7:38 Money flowing from financial sector to real economy13:23 Debt refinancing phenomenon - 4 out of 5 transactions15:25 Way too much debt, only monetization is the way out16:40 China monetizing like Japan did with Abenomics19:32 US monetization already happening - $600B weekly debt refinancing24:28 MOVE index suppressed through treasury buybacks30:12 Kevin Warsh expectations for new Fed chair32:01 Inflation no longer transitory - Now illusionary35:48 Monetary inflation hurdle 7-8% per year37:26 What to own - Diversified into commodities, energy, gold40:10 Gold-oil ratio could mean oil $200 per barrel40:50 Contrarian call - Fed must raise rates in 12 months43:15 Find him at Capital Wars Substack
Michael Howell, PhD, is an immunologist and the Founder and President of Mountaineer Biosciences.
Michael Howell breaks down why markets are still rising even as global liquidity starts to turn. From hidden stimulus to a booming commodity cycle, this isn't the economy most people think it is.#gold #stockmarket #bondmarket ------------
Liquidity may be sending a very different signal than most investors think, challenging the dominant narrative around growth, rates, and risk. We sit down with Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital, a leading voice on global liquidity, to unpack where we are in the cycle and why his framework diverges from consensus views on markets and the economy. We explore the liquidity vs. business cycle divide, yield curve dynamics, Treasury-driven liquidity, rising commodities, and why all signals may be pointing toward a late-cycle shift. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:31 Global Liquidity Turning Lower 06:24 Liquidity Cycle vs Economy 11:29 Recession Fears vs Data 17:28 Treasury Stimulus and Buybacks 23:40 Why Bond Volatility Matters 31:56 Warsh and the Next Regime 39:29 What Interest Rates Really Mean 47:13 Positioning for Turbulence 58:08 Where to Follow Michael FOLLOW MICHAEL › X/Twitter – https://x.com/crossbordercap › Substack – https://capitalwars.substack.com/ FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of Capital Wars, returns to The Julia La Roche Show, returns seven months after his last appearance to update his Global Liquidity call. The peak he flagged for Q3 2025 has held, and the cycle now points to a trough in 2027. Despite the Iran conflict and market volatility, Michael argues the world economy is actually holding up better than the media suggests — but that's almost the problem, because money flowing into the real economy is draining it from financial markets. He explains why the current rally is phoney, why bond term premia falling is actually a flight to safety signal not a selloff, and why we're in the Speculation phase — where economies feel strongest right before things get difficult. He walks through his full asset allocation traffic light system, the debt liquidity nexus, why the Fed and Treasury may be secretly targeting the MOVE index to protect the basis trade and collateral system, the COVID-era debt maturity wall now coming due, and why raising interest rates in today's world may actually be stimulative — not contractionary — because the government is the biggest borrower and higher rates just transfer more income to the private sector. He closes on Treasury QE replacing Fed QE and what it means for Bitcoin.Links: Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter/X https://x.com/crossbordercapSubstack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/303039290200:00 — Introduction and welcome back Michael01:15 — Where we are in the liquidity cycle — asset allocation clock and the five to six year cycle05:15 — Julia asks about the phoney rally — Michael digs in05:35 — The AI-based World GDP model — Iran far less damaging than tariffs or COVID09:37 — All money anywhere must be somewhere — why a stronger real economy drains financial markets13:18 — The sine wave estimated 25 years ago — peak Q3 2025, trough 202715:37 — Daily granular liquidity data — the downtrend confirmed17:16 — How to stay positioned without getting whipsawed by relief rallies18:49 — What bonds are really saying — breaking down term premia vs policy rates22:42 — The Speculation phase — economies feel strongest right before it gets hard23:45 — The yield curve as liquidity barometer — why steepening consensus was wrong27:15 — The winter analogy — don't go outside in a swimsuit during winter29:40 — The asset allocation traffic lights — what to own at each phase33:51 — Julia asks what gets exposed when the tide goes out34:27 — The debt liquidity nexus — 80% of transactions are refinancing, 77% of lending is collateral based36:53 — The MOVE index — why bond volatility governs the entire collateral multiplier37:49 — Why Michael thinks the Fed and Treasury are quietly targeting the MOVE index40:30 — What happens if they stop capping it — basis trade collapses, collateral doom loop42:18 — The debt maturity wall — COVID debt turned out to end of decade, now coming back48:34 — The Fed is preoccupied with the wrong tool — the world has fundamentally changed51:00 — The Alice in Wonderland problem — raising rates today is actually stimulative53:00 — Kevin Warsh and the balance sheet — why slashing it is impractical right now54:23 — Treasury QE replacing Fed QE — short end issuance, monetization into real economy57:17 — Bitcoin and crypto — Treasury QE stabilization vs the bigger falling liquidity force01:00:02 — Final thoughts — count liquidity, get corroboration, don't rely on one club
Michael Howell of GL Indexes and Capital Wars joins Ed D'Agostino to explain how global liquidity is being drained by four converging forces—central bank tightening, surging oil, a rising dollar, and spiking bond volatility—just as a massive wall of COVID-era debt comes due for refinancing. He makes the case that the bull market is likely over, the traditional 60/40 portfolio is breaking down, and where investors should be looking.
BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceWell, the Spring Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 11-hour day.Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Ed Dowd, Luke Gromen, Michael Howell, Melody Wright, Michael Oliver, Stephanie Pomboy & Grant Williams, Brent Johnson, Darius Dale, Matt Taibbi, Judy Shelton & Danielle DiMartino Booth, Andy Schectman, Rick Rule, David Hay, Lyn Alden, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. And Jeff Clark provided a bonus video focused on gold & silver mining stocks.For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights.You can also lock in your Early Bird ticket price to our Fall 2026 online conference at 0% inflation at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/fall#recession #investing #marketcorrection_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Interview recorded - 5th of March, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Howell. Michael is the Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital, now renamed GL Indexes.During our conversation we spoke about the current state of the economy, where we are at the liquidity cycle, buybacks to capex, geopolitical issues, government led economies and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Current outlook2:15 - Liquidity cycle4:00 - Changes to liquidity5:50 - Buybacks to capex7:51 - Geopolitical issue10:01 - China21:04 - Global business cycle24:38 - Government led economies30:40 - Outlook for markets34:28 - Continuing QT?36:30 - Debasement41:10 - One message to takeawayMichael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://app.slice-app.io/p/traders/CmklGohFrVNpFLeFOlrF23G53Eh2Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukSubstack - https://substack.com/@capitalwarsWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
Questa è una storia basata sull'amore di un padre per la figlia, sul rifiuto di accettare la realtà e sulle sue tragiche conseguenze. Oggi parliamo di Chrystal e Michael Howell. Diventa un supporter di questo podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/true-crime-mistery--5398711/support.
Questa è una storia basata sull'amore di un padre per la figlia, sul rifiuto di accettare la realtà e sulle sue tragiche conseguenze. Oggi parliamo di Chrystal e Michael Howell. Diventa un supporter di questo podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/true-crime-mistery--5398711/support.
Marty sits down with Michael Howell, founder of Cross Border Capital, to discuss the state of global liquidity, its impact on Bitcoin and risk assets, and what the current cycle peak means for investors navigating the road ahead. CrossBorderCapital: https://x.com/crossbordercap Capital Wars: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/VJ2dABShBz Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Bitkey https://bit.ly/4pOv2L4 Promo Code: TFTC99 Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ SLNT https://slnt.com/tftc Lygos: https://bit.ly/4koiJmB Salt of the Earth: https://drinksote.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Global liquidity has reached record highs, but according to Michael Howell, the real story is that momentum is fading. In this interview, we discuss why China may be driving the gold rally, why bonds could outperform later in the cycle, and how liquidity flows are shaping markets, risk assets, and global capital today. #gold #stockmarket #china ------------
Michael Howell, founder & CEO of Crossborder Capital, explains why he calculates the global liquidity cycle has peaked.He predicts stocks will go lower by the end of 2026.And possibly for several more years to come.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#liquidity #marketcorrection #marketcrash _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
CrossBorder Capital founder Michael Howell built his framework for tracking global liquidity while at Salomon Brothers. His central thesis: the ratio between debt and liquidity predicts financial crises and asset bubbles. Howell explains why the $350 trillion global debt pile requires $70 trillion in annual refinancing, how ZIRP created the "everything bubble," and what happens when the bill comes due.
Global liquidity veteran Michael Howell joins to map out the “master variable” driving asset prices: a 65-month global liquidity and debt refinancing cycle that underpins booms, busts, and the recent “everything bubble.” He breaks down the coming debt maturity wall, rising repo stress, the shift from Fed QE to “Treasury QE,” and a new capital war between a US dollar stablecoin system and China's gold-backed strategy. Plus, what all of this means for Bitcoin, gold, equities, and how to position as the current cycle rolls over. ------
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Howell. They'll discuss the global liquidity cycle, why it has a 65-month periodicity, and where we stand in that cycle right now. https://bit.ly/3X7ZN0J
Why the Next Financial Crisis Is Already Here | Michael Howell | Two Blokes Trading Ep. 13In this episode of Two Blokes Trading, we speak with Michael Howell, founder of CrossBorder Capital and author of the “Capital Wars” Substack, to unpack the real driver behind today's market turmoil: a growing global liquidity crisis. Michael explains why liquidity, not just interest rates, is the engine powering asset prices and why the global economy is now deep into a debt refinancing cycle that could trigger major funding stress.From repo market volatility and Fed balance sheet tightening to rising systemic risk in sovereign debt markets, Michael shares the signals smart traders need to watch and how to trade ahead of the curve. We also explore why gold, Bitcoin, and other inflation hedges are flashing warning signs and what happens when central banks are forced to restart quantitative easing.This is not another macro overview. It is a deep, data-driven discussion on the structural cracks in global liquidity. Whether you are a retail trader or managing larger portfolios, this episode will change how you read the markets.What You'll Learn in This Episode:Michael Howell explains why global liquidity, not interest rates, is the real driver of financial market trends and why the next crisis may already be unfolding. You will learn how more than 80 percent of capital markets activity is now focused on debt refinancing rather than investment and why this shift increases systemic risk.We explore the mounting pressure in repo markets, the importance of monitoring SOFR spreads, and how reduced liquidity from the Federal Reserve could lead to disruptions in funding markets. Michael also breaks down the risks posed by trade fails, the structural liquidity gap in US bank reserves, and why hedge funds are playing a critical role as marginal buyers of US Treasuries.The episode also examines long-term forecasts for gold and Bitcoin as barometers of monetary risk, and what traders can learn from shifts in central bank behavior. You will come away with a stronger understanding of liquidity cycles, how they differ from traditional business cycles, and how to position yourself before major market turns.Jonathan Farrelly – HostJonathan started his trading journey over 15 years ago, learning from some of the best institutional traders in the world. Over the last 9 years, Jonathan has taught thousands of retail traders how to successfully navigate the financial markets. Jonathan has evolved Two Blokes Trading with new technologies to offer traders a fully immersive experience. His ethos is built on transparency with the goal of helping new and experienced traders reach their financial goals.About Michael Howell:Michael Howell is the founder and CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based research and investment firm specialising in capital flows and global liquidity analysis. With more than 30 years of experience in financial markets, Michael developed a data-driven liquidity research methodology during his time at Salomon Brothers and Baring Securities.He launched CrossBorder Capital in 1996 and has since advised institutional clients, hedge funds, and policymakers around the world. He also authors the Capital Wars Substack, which offers clear, accessible insights on liquidity, macroeconomics, and capital trends. Michael is a regular speaker at financial conferences and is regarded as one of the leading experts on how liquidity drives risk and opportunity in global markets.Micheals Website: https://www.crossbordercapital.comThis episode is sponsored by our partnered broker, Forex.com.Set up your account or learn more here:
Republicans urging DOJ to ‘void' pardons made via Biden's autopen as the investigation into the autopen controversy involving former President Joe Biden intensifies. This week, Attorney General Pam Bondi wrote in a post on X that her "team is reviewing the Biden administration's reported use of autopen for pardons." The Oversight Project at the Heritage Foundation has been analyzing thousands of pages of documents bearing President Biden's signature, and they say they found that most were signed by the autopen, including pardons and at times when the President was not in Washington D.C.. FOX's Ryan Schmelz speaks with Michael Howell, executive director of 'The Oversight Project', who explains what his team has found while reviewing the signed documents. Click Here To Follow 'The FOX News Rundown: Evening Edition' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Republicans urging DOJ to ‘void' pardons made via Biden's autopen as the investigation into the autopen controversy involving former President Joe Biden intensifies. This week, Attorney General Pam Bondi wrote in a post on X that her "team is reviewing the Biden administration's reported use of autopen for pardons." The Oversight Project at the Heritage Foundation has been analyzing thousands of pages of documents bearing President Biden's signature, and they say they found that most were signed by the autopen, including pardons and at times when the President was not in Washington D.C.. FOX's Ryan Schmelz speaks with Michael Howell, executive director of 'The Oversight Project', who explains what his team has found while reviewing the signed documents. Click Here To Follow 'The FOX News Rundown: Evening Edition' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Republicans urging DOJ to ‘void' pardons made via Biden's autopen as the investigation into the autopen controversy involving former President Joe Biden intensifies. This week, Attorney General Pam Bondi wrote in a post on X that her "team is reviewing the Biden administration's reported use of autopen for pardons." The Oversight Project at the Heritage Foundation has been analyzing thousands of pages of documents bearing President Biden's signature, and they say they found that most were signed by the autopen, including pardons and at times when the President was not in Washington D.C.. FOX's Ryan Schmelz speaks with Michael Howell, executive director of 'The Oversight Project', who explains what his team has found while reviewing the signed documents. Click Here To Follow 'The FOX News Rundown: Evening Edition' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Interview recorded - 17th of October, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Howell. Michael is the Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital.During our conversation we spoke about the current liquidity outlook, what is happening in China, whether Main Street and Equities can continue to go up and more. 0:00 - Introduction0:19 - Current outlook on liquidity markets25:20 - China31:14 - Cycles speeding up? 32:50 - Main Street and equities going up? 36:50 - One message to takeaway?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/X - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4X - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas
BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceWell, the Fall Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 11-hour day.Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Stephanie Pomboy & Grant Williams, Michael Howell, Darius Dale, Sven Henrich, Andy Schectman, James Grant, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Judy Shelton, Michael Every, David Hay, Lyn Alden, Melody Wright, Craig Wichner, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. And Jeff Clark provided a bonus video focused on gold & silver mining stocks.For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights.You can also lock in your Early Bird ticket price to our Spring 2026 online conference at 0% inflation at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/2026#recession #investing #marketcorrection_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Welcome back to Mining Stock Daily, as Trevor Hall sits down with Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital, famously known as the "king of liquidity," for an intense discussion on the escalating global "Capital War". This conflict is defined not by kinetic action, but by the fight for currency dominance, where the immense movement of capital around the world vastly outweighs traditional trade flows. Howell explains China's longstanding policy to replace the dominance of the US dollar through various strategies, notably the aggressive accumulation of gold, which aims to provide confidence and stability to their developing system. The US system faces challenges from an exploding structural deficit that could push the debt-to-GDP ratio to 250% by 2050, a fiscal trajectory that Howell projects could lead to a gold price of $25,000 per ounce. Crucially, both the US and China are engaging in debt monetization through massive liquidity injections—a process that both major world engines are using to finance spending and which historically leads to the devaluation of paper money against gold. Looking ahead, Howell provides an investment outlook, suggesting that the impetus of directed government spending and the strategic need for governments to control resources makes moving toward commodities a highly favorable position for investors.
This week, we're joined by Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital live from DAS London to break down the global liquidity cycle, the hidden recession and re-acceleration in the U.S., the impact of monetary debasement on gold and Bitcoin, China's liquidity surge and stablecoin risks, and Europe's structural challenges. We close with why today's environment is truly unique in 4,000 years of monetary history. Enjoy! — Follow Michael: https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:51) Where Are We in the Global Liquidity Cycle? (05:26) Main St. Recession & Economic Rebound (08:49) GDP vs Liquidity Cycles (10:33) QE, Liquidity & Gold vs BTC (15:44) No 4-Year Cycle But Still Bullish (20:05) Stablecoins & China (27:01) Europe's Economic Struggles (29:15) Developed Nation Decline (34:55) How Unique is this Moment? — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
We are in an everything rally: gold over $4,000, silver at $51, and stocks soaring. Michael Howell, the “Godfather of Liquidity” and founder of CrossBorder Capital, explains why monetary inflation is fueling all asset classes, and why gold's rise is only beginning.From China's stealth devaluation and gold-backed yuan ambitions to the coming debt-liquidity crisis, Howell outlines the roadmap to a $10,000+ gold era.------------
This week, we dig into the government shutdown, weakening labor markets, AI's role in productivity, Michael Howell's demographic analysis, and how fiscal and market structure dynamics set the stage for a potential risk-asset melt-up. Enjoy! — Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_ Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance — Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD200 for £200 OFF https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london __ Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1qHbnslxFOFZXswRiw0yv1JCyplgm8haE/view?usp=sharing — This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX): vaneck.com/SMHXFelix — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (03:09) DAS London! (04:06) Government Shutdown (06:42) Labor Weakness Continues (13:45) VanEck Ad (14:31) Demographic Decay of Advanced Economies (17:18) Are You Ready for Negative Real Yields? (19:20) The Macro Stars Are Aligning (24:40) Is it a Bubble or Not? (29:53) VanEck Ad (30:33) Is it a Bubble or Not? (31:40) Gaming Out Trump Admin Policy (38:06) Is there a Bear Case? (41:27) Strong USD, Strong Economy (43:52) Does the Bull Market Have Legs? (51:14) Best Bear Case (53:16) Final Thoughts — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed. #Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance
Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of Capital Wars, returns to The Julia La Roche Show, where he analyzes global liquidity trends and warns of market risks ahead. Sponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia In this episode, Howell presents his global liquidity cycle framework showing markets are late in a 35-month bull run that began in late 2022, with early warning signs emerging in repo markets as SOFR spreads spike. He warns of a massive debt refinancing wall hitting 2026-2029 from COVID-era borrowing, while the Fed transitions from QE to "Treasury QE" under Bessent's direction to fund real economy priorities. Howell's most striking thesis involves gold price targets of $10,000 by the late 2030s and $25,000 by 2052 based on structural deficit math, driven by both US monetary inflation and China's liquidity expansion to escape its debt crisis. He advocates for monetary inflation hedges like gold and Bitcoin as central banks deliberately weaken currencies in a "Make America Great" strategy against China.Links: Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter/X https://x.com/crossbordercapSubstack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/30303929020:00 Welcome and introduction - Michael Howell returns to discuss markets1:14 Global liquidity cycle framework - 5-6 year cycle approaching top3:41 Late cycle positioning - thinking end game vs beginning6:06 Debt-liquidity integration - 80% of lending now collateral-backed8:46 Early warning signs - SOFR spreads and repo market tensions11:49 Debt-liquidity ratio analysis - refinancing crisis ahead14:15 COVID debt echo effect - massive refinancing wall 2026-202917:04 Fed balance sheet slowdown - similar to early 2022 conditions18:51 Treasury QE emergence - Bessent directing liquidity to real economy20:20 Stablecoin monetization - credit providers buying government debt22:36 Plain vanilla cycle - everything following normal script25:00 Asset allocation phases - rebound, calm, speculation, turbulence29:20 Gold breakout analysis - disconnect from real rates since 202231:45 Structural deficit math - mandatory spending blowout ahead33:42 Gold price targets - $10,000 by late 2030s, $25,000 by 205235:56 Monetary vs high street inflation - currency devaluation vs CPI39:44 Fed independence questioned - Treasury QE running the show41:51 Make America Great currency war - deliberate dollar weakening44:08 China's gold strategy - escaping debt crisis through monetization46:33 Chinese liquidity expansion - driving global commodity reflation50:05 Final thoughts - late cycle caution, gold as monetary hedge
Send us a textIn this special 100th episode, we celebrate a major milestone with an inspiring guest: Michael Howell, Broker/Owner of Realty ONE Group Restore. Mike shares how servant leadership, authenticity, and a focus on people over profits have shaped his business and his life. From building a legacy with his family to developing future leaders through coaching, he offers timeless wisdom on restoring integrity to real estate and creating sustainable success for generations to come.
Marty sits down with Michael Howell to discuss the Fed's predicament at Jackson Hole, global liquidity cycles, the structural shift toward collateral-dependent lending, and how mounting debt refinancing pressures alongside AI capital expenditures are creating conditions that favor monetary inflation hedges like Bitcoin and gold. CrossBorder Capital on Twitter: https://x.com/crossbordercap STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/VJ2dABShBz Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Bitkey https://bit.ly/TFTCBitkey20 Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Obscura https://obscura.net/ Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
In this episode, we sit down with Michael Howell, the godfather of global liquidity, to decode the real risks lurking behind today's markets. Forget the noise about rate cuts or inflation targets; the real story is about monetary inflation, fiscal dominance, and a looming $40 trillion debt rollover that could flip the financial system upside down.~~~~~
In his appearance at Thoughtful Money's Spring online conference back in March, Michael Howell, founder & CEO of Crossborder Capital, warned of an oncoming liquidity air pocket.Which was why the market's subsequent plunge of nearly 20% in the following month wasn't a surprise to him.So, where does he see liquidity headed for the rest of 2025?To find out why, we'll sit down today with the man himself.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#liquidity #debt #federalreserve _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Jul 8, 2025 – Few understand the mechanics of global liquidity like Dr. Michael Howell. In this exclusive interview, he reveals what's really driving asset prices—and what investors must watch now. Today, we discuss Fed policy, China's central bank, and...
Michael Howell warns that the global financial system is approaching a breaking point, not from a recession, but from a massive mismatch between debt and liquidity. As the U.S. and other governments try to roll over trillions in short-term debt at rising interest rates, the quiet result is monetary inflation. In this explosive interview with James Connor, Howell explains why 5% bond yields are the new normal, why the 60/40 portfolio model is obsolete, and why China, not just the Fed, may be driving the gold bull market. He warns that global bond markets are flashing danger, and the coming 2026–2028 refinancing cliff could trigger the next big crisis. Key Topics: • Why bond yields are rising globally, and what that means for markets • The most overlooked metric: debt-to-liquidity, not debt-to-GDP • How governments are quietly monetizing deficits, risking long-term damage • Why China's liquidity surge may be fueling the gold and Bitcoin rally • The real reason traditional portfolios won't survive this macro regime Volatility got you concerned? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/45PuywV Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Chapters:01:23 - Markets on Edge: What April's Chaos Taught Us 03:23 - Bond Yields Are Screaming—Is Anyone Listening? 13:14 - America's $9 Trillion Problem No One Wants to Talk About 23:18 - Why 5% Treasuries Might Be Here to Stay 27:49 - Will a Recession Be the Pin That Pops the Bubble? 34:15 - Market Mania vs. Debt Reality: Who Wins? 36:08 - Japan & China Are Dumping Treasuries—Should You Worry? 37:57 - Can Raising Retirement Ages Save the System? 40:33 - Trump's “Big Beautiful Bill”: Boom or Budget Buster? 45:45 - The Fed's Dilemma: Rate Cuts or a Crash Landing? 50:24 - Gold or Bitcoin: What Survives an Inflation Storm? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #Macro #Inflation #InterestRates #FederalReserve #Gold #Bitcoin #Bonds #DebtCrisis #Liquidity #RealAssets #Stagflation #MonetaryPolicy #GlobalMarkets ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Interview recorded - 23rd of May, 2025On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of welcoming back Michael Howell. Michael is the Founder & Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital.During our conversation we spoke about the overview of global liquidity, FED increasing liquidity, yields higher, Gold trend, debt reset and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:14 - Overview of Global Liquidity6:59 - FED increased liquidity?9:06 - What is driving yield increases?24:06 - What is happening in China?32:50 - Everything gold trend34:06 - Risk on positive35:21 - Bond yields higher?37:08 - Debt reset39:28 - One message to takeaway?Michael Howell is CEO of CrossBorder Capital, a London-based FCA registered, independent research and investment company that he founded in 1996. Previously he was Head of Research for Baring Securities and Research Director of Salomon Brothers Inc, the US investment bank. The liquidity methodology he pioneered monitors cross-border flows and Central Bank behaviour across some 80 countries world-wide. Liquidity flows are a central part of CrossBorder Capital's asset allocation advice, which is currently provided to major global investors, including institutional asset managers, government agencies, Central Banks and endowment funds. Michael has been in financial markets since 1981 and is a regular conference speaker and media commentator. He graduated from Bristol and London Universities with a finance doctorate, specialising in Fixed Income.Michael Howell -Website - https://crossbordercapital.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/crossbordercapLinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/michael-howell-357b1416/?originalSubdomain=ukWTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseasThumbnail image from - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/us-dollar-ever-replaced-another-currency-what-might-replace-1uoxc/
Tune in for interviews with Michael Howell, PhD, Founder of Moutaineer Biosciences, and a member of the SID Committee for Scientific Programs. The second interview is a wonderful discussion with HS Foundation Brent Hazelett, CEO, and Director of Education Lauren Klinedinst.Learn more about the HS Foundation. PeDRA/HS Foundation Challenge Grant.
MPR News host Angela Davis revisits expert advice from recent Wellness Wednesday shows. High blood pressure is one of the most common health risks in the U.S. and it is becoming more common among young people. It affects about fourteen percent of children and teens, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.Angela talks with two cardiologists about the dangers of untreated high blood pressure and the medications and lifestyle changes that can protect your heart. Plus, a sleep researcher talks about the link between poor sleep and dementia, and two runners share tips on starting a running habit. Guests: Dr. Jamie Lohr is a pediatric cardiologist for M Health Fairview and an associate professor of pediatrics at the University of Minnesota Medical School.Dr. Bhavadharini Ramu is an advanced heart failure cardiologist with M Health Fairview and an associate professor in the Cardiovascular Division at the University of Minnesota Medical School. Dr. Michael Howell is a professor of neurology and a sleep researcher at the University of Minnesota. For more information about volunteering for one of Dr. Howell's research studies, go to the Pre-screening Survey or call 763-913-8367. Dr. Kenneth Poole is an internal medicine physician and founder and captain of the Twin Cities chapter of Black Men Run.Andrea Haus is the community and marketing manager at Mill City Running, a Twin Cities running shop that hosts running events throughout the Twin Cities. Subscribe to the MPR News with Angela Davis podcast on: Apple Podcasts, Spotify or RSS. Use the audio player above to listen to the full conversation.
What happens to the practice of medicine when machines begin to reason, summarize and even empathize — at least in the linguistic sense — better than humans do? In this episode, we meet with Michael Howell, MD, MPH, Chief Clinical Officer at Google, to explore the seismic shifts underway in healthcare as artificial intelligence becomes more deeply embedded in clinical workflows. Dr. Howell, a pulmonary and critical care physician, has spent his career at the crossroads of clinical excellence and systems innovation. Before joining Google, he served as chief quality officer at University of Chicago Medicine. At Google, he leads the development and implementation of AI technologies intended to support scalable, safe and equitable medical care. Over the course of our conversation, we examine what AI is and isn't. We delve into how large language models are reshaping the cognitive labor of clinicians, the implications of machines that may someday outperform humans in diagnosis, and whether there is something inherently human about healing that algorithms will never capture. Along the way, we discuss not only the promises of AI, but also its hidden dangers, ethical landmines, and the enduring question — in a future defined by ever smarter machines. What does it mean to be a good doctor?In this episode, you'll hear about: 2:43 - Dr. Howell's path to medicine and eventually to becoming Chief Clinical Officer at Google 6:45 - Why examining the differences between theory and implementation of technology matters17:35 - The evolution of AI and its clinical capabilities26:05 - The definition of “thinking” in the age of AI36:11 - How AI could change the landscape of healthcare on a global scale50:26 - The ethics of using — and not using — AI in medicine54:36 - The role of a doctor in 20 years Visit our website www.TheDoctorsArt.com where you can find transcripts of all episodes.If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe, rate, and review our show, available for free on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. If you know of a doctor, patient, or anyone working in health care who would love to explore meaning in medicine with us on the show, feel free to leave a suggestion in the comments or send an email to info@thedoctorsart.com.Copyright The Doctor's Art Podcast 2024
Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
The real reason Bitcoin is winning? It's not the halving, ETFs, or hype, it's liquidity. And today, Michael Howell (CEO of CrossBorder Capital) returns to The Milk Road Show to explain how global liquidity cycles are fueling Bitcoin's rise—and why this is just the beginning.~~~~~
MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Michael Howell. They'll discuss cyclicality of credit markets, why we should think of them as a refinancing system rather than a credit origination system, and what can be learned by taking this street-smart approach to credit market analysis. https://bit.ly/42F9PsA
Marty sits down with Michael Howell to discuss the incoming liquidity crisis.Crossborder Capital on Twitter: https://x.com/crossbordercapCapital Wars Substack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/0:00 - Intro0:36 - Is liquidity crunch incoming6:13 - Explaining the crisis16:12 - Fold & Coinkite17:49 - The Fed's ineffective measures20:39 - Powell/Trump standoff and China selling28:13 - Unchained Evernt29:37 - Digging out with better assets34:44 - Bessent's reset & BitBonds39:56 - Weimar & gold45:21 - Cutting red tape49:53 - Clear skies beyond the stormShoutout to our sponsors:Foldhttps://tftc.io/foldCoinkitehttps://coinkite.comUnchainedhttps://unchained.com/tftc/Join the TFTC Movement:Main YT Channelhttps://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videosClips YT Channelhttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQWebsitehttps://tftc.io/Twitterhttps://twitter.com/tftc21Instagramhttps://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/Nostrhttps://primal.net/tftcFollow Marty Bent:Twitterhttps://twitter.com/martybentNostrhttps://primal.net/martybentNewsletterhttps://tftc.io/martys-bent/Podcasthttps://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
In this episode, Michael Howell joins the show to discuss the Fed & Treasury's hidden stimulus tapering off, why we need more liquidity in the financial system to refinance debts, and why the Fed's QE & duration goals are unrealistic. We also delve into the dislocation between the 10-year yield and mortgage rates, what China needs to do to escape its debt deflation, global liquidity's correlation to Bitcoin's price, and more. Enjoy! __ Follow Michael: https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv __ Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:06) Deep Dive into Bank Reserves (03:53) Fed/Treasury Pump and Dump (09:51) Global Liquidity and Debt Refinancing (16:05) Ledger Ad (16:49) Bank Reserves & Liquidity-to-Debt Ratio (20:19) Post-GFC Financial System (23:46) Repo Market Tensions (35:01) Ledger Ad (35:46) The Fed's Duration Dump and Debt Refinancing (39:25) Yield Curve Suppression and Inflation Rates (44:11) Credit Markets and Risk Appetite (50:47) China's Economic Policy and Gold Strategy (01:00:52) Bitcoin & Global Liquidity (01:07:59) Final Thoughts __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Sleep is more than rest. It is as important for our bodies as diet and exercise. Not getting enough sleep raises the risk of many diseases — from heart disease and stroke to obesity and dementia. And it's not just the amount of sleep that's important — quality matters, too. MPR News Angela Davis and her guest talk about how our sleep gets disrupted and what can we do about it. Guest:Dr. Michael Howell is a professor of neurology and sleep researcher at the University of Minnesota. For more information about volunteering for Dr. Howell's research study, go to the Pre-screening Survey or call 763-913-8367.
Well, the Spring Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 10-hour day.Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Luke Gromen, Michael Howell, Darius Dale, Sven Henrich, Brent Johnson, Thomas Hoenig, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Mike Green, Andy Schectman, John Thorndike (GM), Louis-Vincent Gave, Steven Bavaria, Lyn Alden, Melody Wright, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. And Jeff Clark provided a bonus video focused on gold & silver mining stocks.For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights.
Michael Howell, CEO of CrossBorder Capital, an investment advisory firm, and author of the book, “Capital Wars: The Rise Of Global Liquidity,” returns to The Julia La Roche Show where he analyzes global liquidity trends and warns of market risks ahead. Howell explains we're entering an "air pocket" in global liquidity despite the overall upward trend that began in October 2022. He examines the "hidden stimulus" from Yellen and Powell that's now fading, details why the US Treasury's bill-heavy financing strategy exposes government funding to interest rate risk, and discusses a theory about Trump potentially revaluing US gold reserves to generate a $1.25 trillion windfall. For investors facing 2025's "much more uncertain year," Howell advises caution and suggests that real assets—particularly gold—may outperforSponsor: This episode is brought to you by Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Links: Website: http://www.crossbordercapital.com/ Twitter/X https://x.com/crossbordercapSubstack: https://capitalwars.substack.com/ Book: https://www.amazon.com/Capital-Wars-Rise-Global-Liquidity/dp/303039290200:00 Intro and welcome Michael Howell01:25 - Current state of the global liquidity cycle and the emerging "air pocket" 03:50 - The hidden stimulus from Fed and Treasury that's now fading06:16 - How bill-focused Treasury financing is effectively "monetizing the deficit" 11:04 - China's central bank actions and their global economic impact15:54 - Signs of a potential Chinese policy shift toward economic growth18:35 - Parallels between Trump and Nixon's economic approaches 21:37 - Asset allocation recommendations based on market regimes 26:58 - Analysis of where we are in the liquidity cycle and future projections 31:49 - Why China needs to devalue against gold and implications for US policy 37:49 - The growing global debt burden and limited options for resolution43:43 - Why the Fed must expand its balance sheet by mid-2025 48:48 - Tariffs as a negotiating tool rather than an end goal 50:39 - Final advice: investors should consider adding resources/gold to portfolios as protection during uncertain times
In his previous appearances on this channel, Michael Howell, founder & CEO of Crossborder Capital, has explained that rising net liquidity been largely responsible for the surprisingly strong performance seen in both the economy & the financial markets over the past 2 years. Will the good times continue into 2025? Don't count on it, Michael says. To find out why, we'll sit down today with the man himself. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
Nov 6, 2024 – Liquidity is the secret sauce to navigating the markets, writes Michael Howell, Founder and Managing Director of CrossBorder Capital out of London, who speaks with FS Insider today. Michael discusses the current wave of liquidity...