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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene and Paul SweeneyMonday January 29th, 2024Featuring: Chris Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Equity Strategy on markets Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief U.S. Policy Strategist Dennis Gartman, Dennis Gartman, University of Akron Endowment Chairman & former publisher of The Gartman Letter on markets Lisa Mateo, Bloomberg News reporter Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
On today's podcast: 1) Iran dispatched a warship to the Red Sea after the US Navy destroyed three Houthi boats, a move that risks ratcheting up tensions and complicates Washington's goal of securing a waterway that's vital to global trade. 2) If the consensus on Wall Street is often wrong — and evidence from 2023 does little to dispel that notion — then in the year ahead investors are facing either the mother of all rallies or a selloff for the ages. 3) ASML Holding canceled shipments of some of its machines to China at the request of US President Joe Biden's administration, weeks before export bans on the high-end chipmaking equipment came into effect, people familiar with the matter said. Full Transcript: Good morning. I maybe Morris and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with oil rising to start the new year, Iran sending a warship to the Red Sea in an escalation of tensions in the region. The show of force comes after the US Navy destroyed three Hoothy boats which we're attempting to board a container on New Year's Day. Elizabeth Kendall is a Middle East specialist from Cambridge University and says the two are clearly interlinked. Aaron is puppeteering Hamas, the Hoothy's and other movements like Hezbollah in the Middle East, and the houthy slogan indeed includes the words death to Israel and a curse on the Jews, so it's very much aligned with Hamas's more militant and extreme war wing. Cambridge University's Elizabeth Kendall checking oil right now, Nie makes crude oil up more than two percent or a dollar forty nine now trading at seventy three dollars and thirteen cents a bit. Well, Amy, oil isn't the only thing on the move this morning. We're also seeing Bitcoin on the rise, following through on last year's massive rally, and we get more from Bloomberg Markets reporter Joe Easton. It is up another four percent at the moment, at the highest level since April sixth, above forty five thousand dollars for the first time in two years. This is due to the expectation of the direct investment from this ETF, so that is boosting sentiment and a lot of positivity. People looking for more technical levels for that one to keep going higher. And Bloomberg Joe Easton says Bitcoin has risen over twenty percent since has started December, as that January tenth deadline for the Securities and Exchange Commission to give its blessing for a spot bitcoin ETF dra us closer checking bitcoin right now, it's at forty five seven hundred dollars over in Europe's stocks are also higher to kick off the new trading year. Let's get the latest from Bloomberg Daybreak euro banker Stephen Carrol. Stephen, good morning, Amy and Karen. The tensions in the Red Sea are playing into the market narrative in Europe today. Shares and the shipping giant Marisk have risen after it stopped using that key trade route for forty eight hours following the weekend attack on one of its vessels. Higher oil prices are also helping to lift oil majors, making energy one of the best performing sectors on the Stock six hundred. More broadly, it's the Spanish and Italian markets which are out performing, boost it by a rise in bank shares. In London, Stephen Carrolt Bloomberg Radio, All right, Stephen, thank you all. Back here in the US, Wall Street returns to a holiday shortened week to kick off the new trading year, and we get a look ahead from Bloomberg Shirlie Pellett. The S and P five hundred index sits within striking distance of its first in two years. But a key challenge for markets is the outlook for the economy and corporate earnings. Michael Binger is the president of Gradient Investments. The economy I think is very resilient. Jobs are driving that, corporate profits are supposed to grow about ten eleven percent. And valuations, I mean they're not really cheap, but they're not super expensive either in the markets right now. Among this week's earnings reports, Constellation Brands and Walgreens Boots Alliance in New York Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Radio. Thank you, Charlie. In twenty twenty three, some of Wall Street's biggest names got it wrong with their predictions for how markets would perform, So will they fare better? In twenty twenty four, Bloomberg has compiled more than six hundred and fifty calls from strategists in Today's Big Take. Sam Potter is a senior markets editor for Bloomberg. Most strategists on Wall Street see the interest rate tykes of the past eighteen months to two years finally starting to bite economies generally around the world, stock slow, and that will kind of pre run a central bank pivot roundabout mid year. Bloomberg Senior Markets editor Sam Potter adds that strategists see the main risks to the markets inflation and the US election. Well. In corporate news, Amy Chinas BYD may have just overtaken Tesla as the world leader in EV sales. It's still more than five hundred twenty six in fully electric vehicles in the fourth quarter. Bloomberg's John Lewis more from Beijing when BYD Tesla, it'll do two things. I think that's going to put this company into the consciousness of people around the world in a way that that company has not had ever before. The number two thing it does is it really underscores how dominant a position China not only as a market, but as a country with lots of companies producing electric vehicles, how dominant a position China has in that industry now and Bloombergs John Lusa's Tesla is estimated to have delivered over four hundred and eighty three thousand in the fourth quarter alone. Speaking of China, President Xi Jinping has pledged to strengthen his country's economic recovery after a tough year. Bloomberg's Jenny Marsh has more from Hong Kong. This is Chi Jinping's new yas Eve's speech, and he normally uses it to so trumpet the achievements his nation's major in the year. And I think this speech really stood out for how candid he was being about these problems. It's the first time he's acknowledged that the struggle that twenty twenty three have brought. It also sort of underplayed in some ways the problems that are still lying ahead in twenty twenty four for the economy. And he didn't really have any sort of quick fixes for that. Bloomberg Jenny Mark says China is entering a pivotal period as policymakers try to boost growth, stabilize a crisis in the property market, and prevent deflation. Beijing is expected to target a growth goal of around five percent again in twenty twenty four. Meanwhile, Amy, the Biden administration has won another battle and its effort to try and slow Shina from building its own semiconductor industry. We get more with the Bloomberg's Ed Baxter, ASML Holding is canceled shipments of some of its machines to China at the Biden request. This week's before the export bands on the high end chip making came into effect, the Dutch manufacturer had licenses to ship three top of the line deep ultraviolet lithography machines, but before the deadline it decided to cancel the orders. The US and allies have been trying to block access to the technology. Ed Baxter, Bloomberg Radio, Thank you care in time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael bar Good morning, Michael, Good morning, Amy The death toll has now climbed to forty eight. After a magnitude seven point six earthquake struck Japan. The quake hit off the Noto Peninsula on Japan's northwest coast. This man at Tokyo resident and US national, was visiting to Yama when the quake hit. First. The trim had just done it very slowly, and everybody kind of left it off, you know, they thought, oh, this is this is kind of humorous, you know, on New Year's Day, and then then it is just a violent shape. The tremor was followed by hundreds of aftershocks. A plane is on fire right now on the runway of Tokyo's Hanada Airport. Authorities say a large burst of fire erupted from the side of a Japan Airlines plane as a taxi on the runway. All of the three hundred and seventy nine passengers and crew were said to be safely evacuated. Israel Supreme Court struck down a key component of Prime Minister Benjamin Etnaho's contentious judicious overhaul before the October seventh to Maas attack into southern Israel. The planned overhaul sparked months of mass protests threatened to trigger a constitutional crisis between the judicial and legislative branches of government. The FBI's Joint Terrorism Task Force is assisting police in Rochester, New York, to investigate a car crash that killed two people and injured five others outside of Performing Arts theater in the early hours of New Year's Day. The crash happened in front of the Kodak Center. It became a large scene due to a fire which had erupted as a result of the crash, and police also say several gas cans were found in and around the striking vehicle. Rochester Mayor Malik Evans I want to offer my condolences to those families, those individuals that lost their lives, and I asked the community to pay pray not only for those that have lost their lives, but also those that are injured. Terrorism investigators are trying to determine if this was just a car accident or something far worse. New York City's effort to stop migrant buses has resulted in the buses arriving instead in neighboring New Jersey. Over the weekend, buses from Texas and Louisiana began dropping off asylum seekers at several New Jersey transit stations. From there, the asylum seekers are believed to have taken trains to New York City. Edison, New Jersey mayor Sam Joshi says the buses are a major risk to health and security. The solution for me, as the mayor of Edison, is not to pawt it off to another mayor. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Aamy all right, Thank you, Michael, And we do bring the news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio, and now you can get the news on demand whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot Com plus Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Sports Report, brought to you by Tri State Audi. For that, we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Amy Kevilo. Terrific gains of the college football playoff semifinals overtime at the Rose Ball after Michigan tie to Alabama. The lad touchdown in ot Wolverines had the ball first out of the shotgun. Paura McGain This tiny poussi he's got the first out of more porm inside the five porm space is way across the goal line. Touch down Michigan seven. Take your touchdown run ESPN the call Michigan and stop BAMACB Jalen Milroe on a fourth down and one twenty seven to twenty JJ McCarthy through three TD passes, and then came the Sugar Bowl where Washington never trailed that at thirteen point lead been WITHY through the fourth quarter. Texas rallied had four chances to take the lead the final fifteen seconds, but ended the game with three incompletions on the Husky survive thirty seven thirty one. Their QB Michael Pennix Junior threw for four hundred and thirty yards. Championship game next Monday in Houston, both Michigan and Washington will go in fourteen and oh I Fiesta Ball, all Oregon forty five to six over a limitary vote next to five TD passes Sitters pull in Orlando, All Tennessee thirty five nothing over Iowa. LSU won the RELYA Quest in Tampa thirty five to thirty one over Wisconsin. Nicks happy to start the new year at the Garden after an ohen three road trip, they beat Minnesota, won twelve one to OH six. Julius Randall Port in thirty nine points. O g Onnobi made his next debut. He played thirty five minutes before found out. He scored seventeen in Toronto. RJ. Barrett and Emmanuel quickly debuted for their new team. Scored nineteen and fourteen points in a Raptors win over Cleveland. Outdoor Hockey in Seattle, crowd of forty seven thousand to see the Kraken shoutout Vegas three to nothing. John Stashwin Bricksport from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam the Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Day Break. Good morning. I'm Amy Morris, and we are entering the first week of trading for twenty twenty four. As we do most investment outlooks from major banks and advisors are predicting the same middle of the road scenario for the coming year, an economic slow down, a central bank pivot, and a late year rebound. We're joined by Dennis Gartman, University of Akron and Dowment chairman and former publisher of the Gartman Letter to sort of set us straight on what we can expect for the coming year. Now, Dennis, the dollar closed out its worst year since twenty twenty, the S and P five hundred rose nine straight weeks. Are these trends bound to continue? I have my doubts to the latter trend will continue. I think stocks are extremely overbought. The market has risen on an anticipation of three, four, five six cuts in the overnight Fed Funds rate by the Federal Reserve Bank. I have my doubts as to whether that will occur. I think that the Fed is done raising the overnight Fed funds rate. Of that, there's no doubt. But whether they're going to cut five or six times, I think is very doubtful. I think we have to anticipate the fact that the Federal will delay any change in the overnight Fed funds rate lower to later this year. There's too much anticipation that the FEDERALI begin cutting the overnight funds rate by March. I think it'll be late in the summer, maybe early into the autumn before it happens, But we shall see. Time shall tell. I think stocks, however, are aggressively overbought, have been for some while, and it seems to me this looks very similar to what happened in twenty twenty one twenty twenty two, when we reach the higher the market on the opening day of twenty twenty one and then ended up having a rather substantive decline in prices. So time shall tell. We'll see. But too much anticipation of too much easier possible abilities on the part of the Fed that I don't think are going to happen. Now, we have a job's report coming out on Friday. What are you watching for in that and how that might impact it? Long ago I quit anticipating the over the employment rates because of the fact that we tend to see such huge numbers of revisions from one month to the next. But right now the market is anticipating an increase of about one hundred and seventy five to one hundred and eighty five thousand new jobs. We shall see if that if that occurs, but it's one of the most radically revised reports of the year. Every month the revisions are forty to fifty thousand plus or minus. So right now the market is anticipating one hundred and seventy five to one hundred eighty five thousand times. Shall tell Barkley is predicting a softest landing. Vanguard JP Morgan expecting a mild recession. But you know that's what everybody predicted for twenty twenty three as well. What's the difference now. I was one of the people that expected to see a recession in twenty twenty three, and clearly we have not had that. The market is now anticipating the softest, the best of all kind of soft landings imaginable. I have my doubts as to whether that will occur, but that's what the market anticipates, that's what the stock prices have anticipated, and that's what the world generally anticipates. Whether whether it happens or not is up for debate. I have my doubts. Seriously, though we are over extended to the upside. We were long overdue on a recession because of the FED tightening monetary policy over the course of the past several years, and there's always law long and reasonable legs between the monetary policy and economic activity. And I think we be recessionary before the end of the year, but I don't think it'll be a substantive one. I think it'll be a very quiet one. Time. However, again, as I've said too many times already this morning time show, tell Yeah, I was about to ask you what kind of recession you were looking for. You're expecting a softest landing. Yeah, yes, I think it'll be a very soft one, a very minor one. We've seen these types of recessions before. But I think it'll be a very a very quiet and not anything like we saw in seventy three, seventy four, not anything like we saw in eighty one, eighty two, not anything like we saw in nine. But it'll be a recession, and it'll be a quiet increase in over in the unemployment rate to probably four or five percent before it's done. What do you see with oil and gold in this new year? Gold is opening up very strongly right now, and I think gold wants to go from the lower left to the upper right. It's been a bull market for a while, and I think gold wants to go higher. Clearly, it's heading about twenty one thousand before before too long, I think it goes to twenty two or twenty three thousand before the year is out. I have been very bearish on crude oil for a while because the term structure has been overly overtly barished, with the front month leading on the downside and failing to gain upon the back moths when the market when the market rallies. But now all of a sudden, we're starting to see the term structure beginning to change a little bit, and everybody's watching what's happening in the Gulf of so As. I think that's only gonna get worse, not better. And for the first time in months, I'm actually not bearish of crude oil. I'm starting to turn bullish of a Timeshall tell, but this is the first time in months that I've actually been have not been bearish on the crude oil market because of the changing nature of the term structure. You are listening to Bloomberg Daybreak today, your morning brief on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond look for us on your podcast feed at six am Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. You can also listen live each morning starting at five am Wall Street Time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero in New York, Bloomberg ninety nine to one in Washington, Bloomberg one oh sixty one in Boston, and Bloomberg nine sixty in San Francisco. Our flagship New York station is also available on your Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty plus listen coast to coat on the Bloomberg Business app, Sirius Xmbiheartradio app, and on Bloomberg dot Com. I'm Amy Morris and I'm Karen Moscow. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg DaybreakSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Dennis Gartman, University of Akron Endowment Chairman & former publisher of The Gartman Letter, talks the stock market with Bloomberg's Nathan Hager.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron's Endowment/Investment committee and retired Editor/Publisher of the Gartman Letter, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Rishaad Salamat on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Brian Deese, National Economic Council Director, says all options are on the table when it comes to a potential ban on diesel exports. Scott Kirby, United Airlines CEO, says business class demand will continue to increase. Mohamed Younis, Gallup Editor In Chief, says the US economy is the number one issue for voters right now. Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron's Endowment Fund & Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says 2022 is only going to get uglier. Anwiti Bahuguna, Columbia Threadneedle Head of Multi-Asset Strategy, is seeing no signs of peak inflation. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Dennis Gartman from The Gartman Letter, L.C. discusses inflation and the stock market.
Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron's Endowment Investment committee, and retired Editor, Publisher of the Gartman Letter, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Rishaad Salamat on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management Co-Head of Multi-Asset & Head of US Equity, says we're in the midst of inflation paradigm shift. Stephen Roach, Yale Law School Paul Tsai China Center Senior Fellow, discusses tension between the US and China. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Taubman Center for American Politics and Policy Director, weighs the potential 2024 re-match with Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Dennis Gartman, Chairman of The University Of Akron's Endowment Fund & Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says bear market rally won't last much longer. Paul Sankey, Sankey Research Founder & Lead Analyst, says natural gas prices in the US are likely heading higher heading into winter as exports continue to flow to Europe. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron's Endowment/Investment committee and retired Editor/Publisher of the Gartman Letter, discusses the latest on the markets. He spoke with hosts Bryan Curtis and Rishaad Salamat on "Bloomberg Daybreak Asia."See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says there are enough risks in the economy that it makes sense for the Fed to start with a 25 basis point hike. Bob Michele, JPMorgan Asset Managment CIO, discusses the three things he is watching for in the Fed's interest rate decision. Ian Kelly, Former U.S. Ambassador to Georgia, says Putin's world is now very small. Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron Endowment Fund & Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says we have to pay attention to the planting season in Ukraine. David Rubenstein, The Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Host of "Peer to Peer with David Rubenstein," discusses his interview with Airbnb CEO Brian Chesky. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says the delta variant is Jay Powell's taper "ace card." Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron's Endowment Fund and Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says smart money has been leaving the market since July. Gabriela Santos, says she fundamentally disagrees with the thesis that China is uninvestable. George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, says all-in wars like Afghanistan always places the U.S. at a disadvantage. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says the delta variant is Jay Powell's taper "ace card." Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron's Endowment Fund and Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says smart money has been leaving the market since July. Gabriela Santos, says she fundamentally disagrees with the thesis that China is uninvestable. George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, says all-in wars like Afghanistan always places the U.S. at a disadvantage. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Mohamed El-Erian, Cambridge University Queens' College President and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says that it becomes very difficult for economists to forecast with any degree of accuracy when structural change is going on in an economy. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter & Chairman of the University of Akron Endowment Fund, explains why he has been very bearish on equities. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says higher inflation is not the end of the world. Julie Norman, University College London Professor in the Department of Political Science, details the complexity of the conflict between Israel and Hamas.
Mohamed El-Erian, Cambridge University Queens' College President and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says that it becomes very difficult for economists to forecast with any degree of accuracy when structural change is going on in an economy. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter & Chairman of the University of Akron Endowment Fund, explains why he has been very bearish on equities. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says higher inflation is not the end of the world. Julie Norman, University College London Professor in the Department of Political Science, details the complexity of the conflict between Israel and Hamas. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Interest rates are a notable part of the equation when buying farmland. The Federal Reserve's expansionary policy has created attractive interest rates for farmers and investors to finance their land purchases. The current interest environment may be short-lived though as inflationary concerns may drive interest rates up soon. Guests include Dennis Gartman, economist who has been involved in the capital markets since 1974 and Lynn Paulson, Bell Bank Vice President for Agricultural Lending, who has been in the lending business for nearly 40 years.Follow Kevin at www.americalandauctioneer.com and on Instagram & Facebook.Follow Dennis at The Gartman Letter
Leon Cooperman, Omega Family Office Chairman & CEO, doesn't see the market turmoil that formed around GameStop as a rich versus poor story. Dennis Gartman, University of Akron Endowment Fund Chairman & Former Editor of The Gartman Letter, says a commodities bull market has begun. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President, says economists are starting to pick up on the idea that the supercycle has turned. Representative Gregory Meeks, Democrat from New York, says the GameStop hearing will inquire about whether hedge funds did any harm. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Leon Cooperman, Omega Family Office Chairman & CEO, doesn't see the market turmoil that formed around GameStop as a rich versus poor story. Dennis Gartman, University of Akron Endowment Fund Chairman & Former Editor of The Gartman Letter, says a commodities bull market has begun. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President, says economists are starting to pick up on the idea that the supercycle has turned. Representative Gregory Meeks, Democrat from New York, says the GameStop hearing will inquire about whether hedge funds did any harm.
Jim McKelvey, Square Co-Founder, Author of "The Innovation Stack," and St. Louis Federal Reserve Deputy Chair, discusses how much regulation Congress should wield over large tech companies. Jill Carey Hall, BofA Securities U.S. Equity Strategist, says she is cautious on the upside of U.S. markets because there could be payback risk from stimulus measures. Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says the recent dollar weakness has been a result of the market listening to the Fed. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says gold has become a little too crowded. Al Broaddus, Former Richmond Fed President, weighs in on Fed policy as Congress works on fiscal aid. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Jim McKelvey, Square Co-Founder, Author of "The Innovation Stack," and St. Louis Federal Reserve Deputy Chair, discusses how much regulation Congress should wield over large tech companies. Jill Carey Hall, BofA Securities U.S. Equity Strategist, says she is cautious on the upside of U.S. markets because there could be payback risk from stimulus measures. Priya Misra, TD Securities Global Head of Rates Strategy, says the recent dollar weakness has been a result of the market listening to the Fed. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says gold has become a little too crowded. Al Broaddus, Former Richmond Fed President, weighs in on Fed policy as Congress works on fiscal aid.
Lewis Alexander, Nomura Chief U.S. Economist, says the U.S. unemployment rate will continue to rise before this recession is over. David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the current market rally has been driven by a select group of companies. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says the U.S. is not on the brink of civil war. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says he finds it very difficult to be bullish on risk assets. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Lewis Alexander, Nomura Chief U.S. Economist, says the U.S. unemployment rate will continue to rise before this recession is over. David Kostin, Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the current market rally has been driven by a select group of companies. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says the U.S. is not on the brink of civil war. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says he finds it very difficult to be bullish on risk assets.
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida says the central bank has the tools needed to keep the U.S. out of a deflationary trap, even as the coronavirus deals a severe hit to the economy. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of the Gartman Letter, says this is a time to own gold. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Head of Banks & Diversified Finance Research looks ahead to bank earnings and discusses the metrics she says will matter the most. Dr. Josh Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean of Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, says people who were reasonably sick from the coronavirus infection and got better are unlikely to get that sick again. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida says the central bank has the tools needed to keep the U.S. out of a deflationary trap, even as the coronavirus deals a severe hit to the economy. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of the Gartman Letter, says this is a time to own gold. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Head of Banks & Diversified Finance Research looks ahead to bank earnings and discusses the metrics she says will matter the most. Dr. Josh Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean of Public Health Practice and Community Engagement, says people who were reasonably sick from the coronavirus infection and got better are unlikely to get that sick again.
Hi, I’m Gerri Willis from the Fox Business Network and host of the podcast, Rich is Not a Four-Letter Word. Up 500 points one day, down 500 the next. The stock market has been incredibly volatile. Has it got you down? Well, on this episode I spoke with legendary markets newsletter writer Dennis Gartman about his views on the market and what individual investors should be doing right now. Gartman, whose newsletter The Gartman Letter is read by many of the leading banks, brokerages, and energy trading companies, is not optimistic about the prospects for markets in 2019. He shares his concerns about volatility, markets, and trade with China. Want to know what to do next? Take a listen: Take a listen to the podcast! Follow me on Twitter @gerriwillisFBN and on Facebook, where my handle is GerriWillis. You can also find me on Instagram at Gerri_Willis. Bottom line, I want to hear from you! What money issues do you want to explore? Tell me and we will get it on the podcast. Have a great day and remember, Rich is NOT a Four-Letter Word!
Amid the cryptocurrency euphoria, few have passed on the opportunity to invest in bitcoin or altcoins. Meet Dennis Gartman, who argues that they have no intrinsic value and only serve for speculation. A world-renowned financier and commodities expert, he has published the Gartman Letter since 1987, which goes out daily to leading banks, hedge funds, and mutual funds. Despite his bitcoin skepticism, he touts its underlying technology, the blockchain, as revolutionary. He argues that decentralized ledgers will disrupt mortgage registries, container shipping, and much more. Show notes: http://goldnewsletter.com/podcast/dennis-gartman-bitcoin-substitute-nothing/
Buck and Porter discuss the overreaching power of the Department of Justice in the current Paul Manafort investigation, how the State of California is making another epic economic blunder mandating solar energy for new homes, and why the recent move in oil over $70 has nothing at all to do with Iran. Dennis Gartman of the Gartman Letter joins Porter and Buck to talk about the most important chart in the markets, an economic signal from the St. Louis Fed you should be watching every Thursday, and where you should be on US equities. Porter asks Dennis about his thoughts on blockchain, oil, the credit cycle, and the manipulation of interest rates. Are bonds already in a bear market? Dennis reveals his favorite stocks in the oil sector. Listeners have questions, and Porter has answers. He tells you the easiest way to invest in safe government bonds, the locations of his favorite deep-sea fishing spots, and the role precious metals like gold play in the inflation vs. deflation debate.
Rich Dad Radio Show: In-Your-Face Advice on Investing, Personal Finance, & Starting a Business
What does 2018 hold for investors? In this episode, Robert & Kim are joined by Dennis Gartman, publisher of The Gartman Letter. Gartman has been actively investing and publishing for over 40 years, and oftentimes offers a contrarian’s view. Find out what his projections are for gold, stocks and commodities. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, says the U.S. has isolated itself from trading allies and that it shouldn't be complicit to Duterte's government in the Philippines. Dennis Gartman, publisher of the Gartman Letter, says the bull market for stocks has come to an abrupt stop. Finally, David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff's chief economist, says the bog bond story could be in China right now. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations, says the U.S. has isolated itself from trading allies and that it shouldn't be complicit to Duterte's government in the Philippines. Dennis Gartman, publisher of the Gartman Letter, says the bull market for stocks has come to an abrupt stop. Finally, David Rosenberg, Gluskin Sheff's chief economist, says the bog bond story could be in China right now.
Dennis Gartman, the editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, reacts to the recent highs in the stock market and says markets have been ridiculously overpriced lately. Prior to that, Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank's global head of G-10 FX strategy, says 1987's Black Monday was extraordinary but 2008 was far worse. Finally, Saadia Madsbjerg, the managing director at the Rockefeller Foundation, says the forest fire prevention budget is under pressure.
Dennis Gartman, the editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, reacts to the recent highs in the stock market and says markets have been ridiculously overpriced lately. Prior to that, Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank's global head of G-10 FX strategy, says 1987's Black Monday was extraordinary but 2008 was far worse. Finally, Saadia Madsbjerg, the managing director at the Rockefeller Foundation, says the forest fire prevention budget is under pressure. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Stephen Moore, a former economic adviser for the Trump campaign, says corporations are holding up to $3 trillion abroad that needs to be brought back to the U.S. to get the economy growing. Prior to that, Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are ridiculously priced. Americans are tired of waiting for what the GOP said it would do, Republican Representative Jim Jordan says. Finally, Janus Henderson's Ashwin Alankar says as long as interest rates stay low, it's hard for volatility to rise.
Stephen Moore, a former economic adviser for the Trump campaign, says corporations are holding up to $3 trillion abroad that needs to be brought back to the U.S. to get the economy growing. Prior to that, Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are ridiculously priced. Americans are tired of waiting for what the GOP said it would do, Republican Representative Jim Jordan says. Finally, Janus Henderson's Ashwin Alankar says as long as interest rates stay low, it's hard for volatility to rise. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
What’s the Porter solution to the big bully on the block, North Korea? Porter and Buck get into an uncensored discussion about the rouge nation and the options available for dealing with Kim Jong-un's nuclear ambitions. Famed publisher and editor of the daily Gartman Letter, Dennis Gartman, joins the show to give you a prediction on oil that no one is expecting…but is supported by one of the biggest producers in the world. You’ll also hear Gartman’s thoughts on Bitcoin and a simple fix to the US tax system that would instantly change the way we all perceive our fiscal duty to Uncle Sam.
Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says there won't be any gasoline from the Colonial pipelines for the next several weeks. Prior to that, Nicholas Akins, CEO of American Electric Power, says it's critical to get electrical power back up at chemical facilities in Houston. Finally, Michael Brown, an economist at Wells Fargo, says he expects Democrats to support a clean debt-ceiling bill.
Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says there won't be any gasoline from the Colonial pipelines for the next several weeks. Prior to that, Nicholas Akins, CEO of American Electric Power, says it's critical to get electrical power back up at chemical facilities in Houston. Finally, Michael Brown, an economist at Wells Fargo, says he expects Democrats to support a clean debt-ceiling bill. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Arizona Senator Jeff Flake says many people are concerned about President Trump's chaotic White House atmosphere. Prior to that, Michael Shaoul, CEO of Marketfield Asset Management, says 2017 may be the best year for markets since 2009. Wendy Schiller, the chair of political science at Brown University, says established Republicans don't want to work for Trump. Russ Koesterich, a money manager at BlackRock, says OPEC isn't in control. Finally, Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says the dollar is quietly and laboriously moving lower.
Arizona Senator Jeff Flake says many people are concerned about President Trump's chaotic White House atmosphere. Prior to that, Michael Shaoul, CEO of Marketfield Asset Management, says 2017 may be the best year for markets since 2009. Wendy Schiller, the chair of political science at Brown University, says established Republicans don't want to work for Trump. Russ Koesterich, a money manager at BlackRock, says OPEC isn't in control. Finally, Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says the dollar is quietly and laboriously moving lower. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Harm Bandholz, Unicredit's chief U.S. economist, talks about his optimistic view of the unemployment rate and says it would be positive for the U.S. if the Eurozone strengthens. Robert Profusek, a partner at Jones Day, says the pace of deal-making isn't slowing but it's taking longer to close. Finally, Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says the recent gold drop may have been caused by Venezuela selling. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Harm Bandholz, Unicredit's chief U.S. economist, talks about his optimistic view of the unemployment rate and says it would be positive for the U.S. if the Eurozone strengthens. Robert Profusek, a partner at Jones Day, says the pace of deal-making isn't slowing but it's taking longer to close. Finally, Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says the recent gold drop may have been caused by Venezuela selling.
James Stavridis, dean of the Fletcher School at Tufts University, says it's remarkable to see the National Security Advisor and the FBI Director both fired in Trump's first 112 days. Prior to that, Charles Powell, a member of the House of Lords, says Brexit hasn't caused panic in the U.K. Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says more inflation is on the horizon. Finally, Howard Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz and Associates, says Amazon will do more apparel sales than Macy's. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
James Stavridis, dean of the Fletcher School at Tufts University, says it's remarkable to see the National Security Advisor and the FBI Director both fired in Trump's first 112 days. Prior to that, Charles Powell, a member of the House of Lords, says Brexit hasn't caused panic in the U.K. Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says more inflation is on the horizon. Finally, Howard Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz and Associates, says Amazon will do more apparel sales than Macy's.
Michael Darda, MKM's chief economist, says he expects three Fed rate hikes this year and three to four percent sustainable real U.S. growth. Prior to that, Micah Zenko, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, discusses U.S. relations with China and Russia. Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says he prefers buying gold in Euro and Yen instead of U.S. dollars. Finally, Oliver Chen, a research analyst at Cowen & Co., says there is great long-term opportunity in Costco and Wal-Mart.
Michael Darda, MKM's chief economist, says he expects three Fed rate hikes this year and three to four percent sustainable real U.S. growth. Prior to that, Micah Zenko, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, discusses U.S. relations with China and Russia. Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says he prefers buying gold in Euro and Yen instead of U.S. dollars. Finally, Oliver Chen, a research analyst at Cowen & Co., says there is great long-term opportunity in Costco and Wal-Mart. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says central bank powers are being diminished by the modern world. Prior to that, Rob Carnell, ING's chief international economist, says he expects tougher trade policy from Trump than previously thought. Franziska Ohnsorge, the World Bank's lead economist, says investment growth in emerging markets dropped to 3.4 percent in 2015 from 10 percent in 2010.
Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says central bank powers are being diminished by the modern world. Prior to that, Rob Carnell, ING's chief international economist, says he expects tougher trade policy from Trump than previously thought. Franziska Ohnsorge, the World Bank's lead economist, says investment growth in emerging markets dropped to 3.4 percent in 2015 from 10 percent in 2010. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says the price of crude oil will fall to zero in 30 years. Then, Kate Moore, BlackRock's chief equity strategist, says she's most focused on monetary policy from the ECB and how it moves markets. Finally, Mario Gabelli, founder of Gabelli Funds, says Donald Trump's notion of lower taxes, less regulation and reestablishment of entrepreneurial innovation isn't bad for any entrepreneur.
Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says the price of crude oil will fall to zero in 30 years. Then, Kate Moore, BlackRock's chief equity strategist, says she's most focused on monetary policy from the ECB and how it moves markets. Finally, Mario Gabelli, founder of Gabelli Funds, says Donald Trump's notion of lower taxes, less regulation and reestablishment of entrepreneurial innovation isn't bad for any entrepreneur. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
On election day 2016, Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Yale professor Stephen Roach, who says the decency of the American people will prevail when choosing the next president. Then they speak with Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, who says the GOP may split into two major parties after the U.S. election. Also, Harris Associates' David Herro says a Clinton presidency and a GOP congress is the best market outcome. Finally, Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says he's a big fan of gridlock -- and that a Clinton presidency with a Republican House and Senate is the best of all worlds. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
On election day 2016, Tom Keene and David Gura talk to Yale professor Stephen Roach, who says the decency of the American people will prevail when choosing the next president. Then they speak with Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, who says the GOP may split into two major parties after the U.S. election. Also, Harris Associates' David Herro says a Clinton presidency and a GOP congress is the best market outcome. Finally, Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says he's a big fan of gridlock -- and that a Clinton presidency with a Republican House and Senate is the best of all worlds.
Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says he's not yet confident of a gold rebound. Steve Rattner, chairman of Willet Advisors, says the equity markets are fully valued and that he's reducing exposure to U.S. equities. Scott Clemons, chief investment strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, says rising interest rates will be a tailwind for the equity markets because the Fed is confident about economic stability. Bengt Holmstrom, the 2016 Nobel Prize winner in economics, says narrow financial incentives can be damaging. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Dennis Gartman, editor of the Gartman Letter, says he's not yet confident of a gold rebound. Steve Rattner, chairman of Willet Advisors, says the equity markets are fully valued and that he's reducing exposure to U.S. equities. Scott Clemons, chief investment strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, says rising interest rates will be a tailwind for the equity markets because the Fed is confident about economic stability. Bengt Holmstrom, the 2016 Nobel Prize winner in economics, says narrow financial incentives can be damaging.
Kissinger Associates' Bob Hormats says the U.S. political environment is almost fact-free. Also, the Fletcher School's James Stavridis says that NATO underestimated the Russian response to NATO's expansion. And finally, the Gartman Letter's Dennis Gartman says ethanol is a terrible fuel. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Tom Keene and Barry Ritholtz, filling in for Michael McKee, bring you the best in economics, finance, investment and international relations. Today in Surveillance, they discuss equities with Morgan Stanley's Adam Parker; investing with Bloomberg's Barry Ritholtz; and equities with Gartman Letter's Dennis Gartman. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
The Gartman Letter's Dennis Gartman weighs in on the political elections and commodities on Bloomberg Surveillance with Tom Keene and Michael McKee. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
(Bloomberg) -- Taking Stock with Kathleen Hays and Pimm Fox. GUEST: Dennis Gartman, Economist and Publisher of The Gartman Letter, with a macro look at the markets, the global economy, and gold: he sees the negative population growth around the world as a huge problem.
- Dennis Gartman, Editor of "The Gartman Letter" discusses the upcoming Fed meeting, independence vote in Scotland, global currency concerns and what it all means for the markets. - Please call 1-800-388-9700 for a free review of your financial portfolio.
My guest today is Dennis Gartman, the editor and publisher of The Gartman Letter. Gartman appears on CNBC, ROB-TV and Bloomberg television, discussing commodities and the capital markets, and speaks before various associations and trade groups around the world. The topic is outside the box market perspectives. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: How Gartman first got started Chicago trading in the late 70's to the mid 80's Why you should never add to a losing position Buying strength and selling weakness Systems from Gartman's perspective, and keeping your systems simple Being patient with winning trades and impatient with losers Gartman's daily grind and process Mass psychology, efficient markets, and behavioral economics Gartman's thoughts on the market today and geopolitical events How we hear about geopolitical events today compared to the past Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
Michael Covel speaks with Dennis Gartman on today’s podcast. Gartman is the editor and publisher of The Gartman Letter. Gartman appears on CNBC, ROB-TV and Bloomberg television, discussing commodities and the capital markets, and speaks before various associations and trade groups around the world. Covel and Gartman discuss how Gartman first got started; Chicago trading in the late 70’s to the mid 80’s; why you should never add to a losing position; buying strength and selling weakness; systems from Gartman’s perspective, and keeping your systems simple; being patient with winning trades and impatient with losers; Gartman’s daily grind and process; mass psychology, efficient markets, and behavioral economics; Gartman’s thoughts on the market today and geopolitical events; and how we hear about geopolitical events today compared to the past. For more information on Dennis Gartman, visit thegartmanletter.com. Want a free trend following DVD? Go to trendfollowing.com/win.
- Dennis Gartman, Editor of "The Gartman Letter" shares his mid-year review/preview for commodities. - Please call 1-800-388-9700 for a free review of your financial portfolio.
–Dennis Gartman, Editor of “The Gartman Letter” discusses the currency crisis and its global impact. -Please call 1-800-388-9700 for a free review of your financial portfolio.
Stansberry Radio - Edgy Source for Investing, Finance & Economics
This week, we sit down with Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of widely read The Gartman Letter. When you have a real legend in the industry on the hotline, a veteran of over 30 years trading almost every market, every day, there’s no one better than Porter to ask the questions that can help his listeners… And so Porter asks Dennis three very important questions… 1. What are the most important indicators you watch every day? 2. Where are bond yields headed and more importantly when? 3. Oil, what’s next? You won’t want to miss his answers to all these questions. I promise they’ll make you a much better investor. They also talk about panic, depression euphoria and… gold. Plus, Porter and I cover Detroit’s bankruptcy (we told you so), our “Hero’s” feedback, Gasland, civil liberties and as always, our listener voice-mails.
- Dennis Gartman, Editor of "The Gartman Letter" discusses commodities and equities - Please call 1-800-388-9700 for a free review of your financial portfolio
- Dennis Gartman, Editor of "The Gartman Letter" takes a mid-year review/preview look at commodities - Please call 1-800-388-9700 for a free review of your financial portfolio
- Dennis Gartman, Editor of "The Gartman Letter" - Please call 1-800-388-9700 for a free copy of "The Gartman Letter"
- Dennis Gartman, Founder of the Gartman Letter Please call 1-800-388-9700 for a free copy of The Gartman Letter.
Dennis Gartman, author of the Gartman Letter, discusses an impending eurozone breakup and says the gold in euros trade has become too crowded.
Dennis Gartman, author of the Gartman Letter, discusses an impending eurozone breakup and says the gold in euros trade has become too crowded.
Moe discusses commodity and currencies with Dennis Gartman, Editor of The Gartman Letter. Please call 1-800-388-9700 for a copy of his latest newsletter The Gartman Letter.
-Dennis Gartman, Editor of The Gartman Letter. Moe discussed the smart consumer's approach to financial products, as many of the so called advisors who appear on tv have never managed someone else's money for a living.
Dennis Gartman, Editor of the Gartman Letter. -Dennis Gartman talks about interest rates and the impact of demand and supply on the commodities market.
Dennis Gartman, Editor of The Gartman Letter. Dennis Gartman talks about demand circumstances and supply constraints as the core reason for slow growth in commodity prices.