Podcasts about Gasoline

The US war against Iran is expanding into a larger regional conflict. After Trump sabotaged a diplomatic agreement, Tehran closed the Strait of Hormuz. Now Yemen's Ansar Allah (known commonly as the Houthis) has declared a naval blockade of Saudi Arabia, shutting down oil exports in the Red Sea. Ben Norton explains how this escalation could cause a severe crisis in the global energy market. VIDEO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzJNwRPOnFs Topics 0:00 Trump restarts Iran war 1:26 Yemen joins the war 2:45 Red Sea blockade 3:28 Oil transit chokepoints 5:05 Saudi East-West Pipeline 5:55 China cuts oil imports 6:27 Saudi oil exports 6:59 Oil price skyrockets 7:55 Gasoline prices rise 9:17 Potential for oil crisis 10:31 Reserves running low 11:21 Yemen explainer 13:07 Ansar Allah (Houthis) 22:05 Axis of Resistance 23:58 Iran grows stronger 27:17 Outro

Mayor Zohran Mamdani is sticking to his promise to arrest Benjamin Netanyahu. Donald Trump fired back, saying no one is going to arrest Netanyahu. BEBE himself also responded to Mamdani. Mark explains that if Mamdani actually tried to arrest Netanyahu, he could face legal trouble himself. Mark also points out that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez using a Southern accent when campaigning is normal; many politicians do this, especially those who have run campaigns in the South, so it's not unusual.  Mark interviews Boston radio host Howie Carr. They try to make sense of Senator Susan Collins' argument against Maine voters. Howie suggests Collins might be suffering from “Trump Derangement Syndrome.” Former Maine senator Troy Jackson is expected to run against Collins, and Howie says both have Democratic-leaning views, which he thinks aren't good for Maine. They two also discuss the latest in Maine politics, including Graham Plattner dropping out of the race. The question comes from Mark: should the voting age be raised to 40 to keep younger politicians like Mamdani out of office? Mark looks at how much you have to earn to be in the top 1% in America; it's less than you'd expect. Miami has now passed New York as one of the most expensive cities to live in. A federal judge has temporarily stopped Paramount from buying Warner Bros. Gasoline prices are up after a spike in oil prices. Mark interviews streaming host Bill O'Reilly. They talked about how writer George Will got too close to the Reagans and how that hurt his reputation. Bill said reporters can run into trouble if they get friendly with politicians. The guy's covered Bill Maher's NPR interview, where Maher ripped NPR for being too left-wing and sparked debate. Bill thought the World Cup went great for the U.S. with no big problems, and said Republicans could win the midterms if they keep the focus on fighting socialism.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mark looks at how much you have to earn to be in the top 1% in America; it's less than you'd expect. Miami has now passed New York as one of the most expensive cities to live in. A federal judge has temporarily stopped Paramount from buying Warner Bros. Gasoline prices are up after a spike in oil prices.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mark looks at how much you have to earn to be in the top 1% in America; it's less than you'd expect. Miami has now passed New York as one of the most expensive cities to live in. A federal judge has temporarily stopped Paramount from buying Warner Bros. Gasoline prices are up after a spike in oil prices. Mark takes your calls!  Mark interviews streaming host Bill O'Reilly. They talked about how writer George Will got too close to the Reagans and how that hurt his reputation. Bill said reporters can run into trouble if they get friendly with politicians. The guy's covered Bill Maher's NPR interview, where Maher ripped NPR for being too left-wing and sparked debate. Bill thought the World Cup went great for the U.S. with no big problems, and said Republicans could win the midterms if they keep the focus on fighting socialism.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Contrary to the traditional flight-to-safety playbook, bond yields are rising alongside oil prices as war-driven inflation fears overwhelm demand for U.S. Treasuries as a haven asset. We examine why this unusual bond market behavior matters for every investor who holds fixed income, and what it signals about the durability of the post-pandemic rate environment.Today's Stocks & Topics: ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (ZIM), Market Wrap, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), High Deficit on Bond Markets, Financial Planning, War Bonds vs. War Stocks: How Treasuries Are Really Responding to the Iran Conflict, KPP Newsletter, Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Newmont Corporation (NEM), Edison International (EIX), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), FCC Trying To Change Quarterly Earnings Rules.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Send us Fan MailThe power goes out for a week and suddenly every “prep” turns into a question: what do we actually need to keep our family safe and functional? We start with the part most people skip, the math. Instead of buying a generator and hoping it works, we list the real critical loads and estimate watts and daily energy use. Phones for communication, LED lighting, a fan for summer heat safety, a cycling refrigerator to protect food, and any medical devices all add up to a realistic target of roughly 1.5 to 3 kilowatt-hours per day for a family of four.From there, we compare three practical backup power options for power outage preparedness on a realistic budget. First is the simple battery route: quality power banks, LED lanterns, spare AA batteries, battery fans, and a hand-crank or solar NOAA radio, plus a small solar panel for slow daytime top-offs. Second is a portable power station with folding solar panels, what 500 to 1000 watt-hours can really run, and why sun and recharge time matter as much as capacity. Third is the portable inverter generator, including why dual fuel matters, what watt range fits essentials, and how surge watts from refrigerators and other motor-driven gear can trip you up.We also get concrete about generator safety and fuel storage. Gasoline needs stabilizer, dating, and rotation. Propane stores for the long haul but must be kept upright and handled safely. Most importantly, we lay out a simple “run it in blocks” schedule that can stretch your fuel and keep a fridge cold without burning everything in two days. We even zoom out to winter outages, where heat becomes the real critical load and non-electric solutions often win.If this helps, subscribe, share it with one friend, and leave a review so more people can find practical prepping that actually works. What's the first thing you'd prioritize powering for seven days?https://augasonfarms.com?sca_ref=9315862.VpHzogdDNuAugason FarmsSupport the podcast. Click on my affiliate link and use coupon code PODCASTPREP for 10% discount!Disclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the showHave a question, suggestion or comment? Please email me at practicalpreppodcast@gmail.com. I will not sell your email address and I will personally respond to you.

Gasoline drivers have long funded roads through fuel taxes, while electric vehicles have contributed nothing. But with six in ten new cars in China now running on batteries, that old system is cracking. The debate is no longer about whether EV owners should pay, but about what happens to road infrastructure if they don't. On the show: Steve, Yushan & Yushun

Record heat waves and overcrowded peak seasons are driving a surprising offseason travel boom, with airlines, hotels, and travel platforms seeing demand patterns that are rewriting the traditional tourism calendar. For investors, this behavioral shift in consumer spending is a window into the resilience — or fragility — of the American consumer in a high-cost environment.Today's Stocks & Topics: AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV), TTM Technologies, Inc. (TTMI), HSBC Pulling out from Private Credit, 401k, Travel Stocks 2026: What the Offseason Boom Tells Us About the Consumer Economy, Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Tenaris S.A. (TS), B2Gold Corp. (BTG), Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA), Graco Inc. (GGG), Top Heavy Economy.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Halfway To Hell - A Memoir from Invisible Americaaudio Book DraftFORWARDBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-ochelli-effect--4331265/support.

Russia's Energy Chokepoint and the Shifting Global Oil Map. Michael Bernstam. Ukrainian drone strikes on major Russian refineries have triggered a severe fuel crisis, forcing export bans on diesel and gasoline. Meanwhile, Gulf states are building massive pipelines to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. These developments are neutralizing Iran's "golden weapon" and shifting global oil transit maps away from traditional naval chokepoints. (9)

Crude oil prices have fallen to their lowest level since February, helping push down gas prices across the country. Analysts point to continued talks between the United States and Iran, the reopening of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and increased OPEC+ production as key factors behind the decline. Subscribe to our newsletter to stay informed with the latest news from a leading Black-owned & controlled media company: https://aurn.com/newsletter Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Employment Remains on Solid Ground Employment continues to be one of the most important indicators for both the economy and the stock market. A healthy labor market means more people are earning income, saving, investing, and contributing to overall economic growth. Those factors typically create greater demand for investment assets and provide support for stock prices. Conversely, rising unemployment often leads consumers to spend savings rather than invest, placing pressure on financial markets. The Federal Reserve closely monitors employment data when making interest rate decisions, making each monthly jobs report an important release for investors. However, it’s important to understand that the headline jobs report is based largely on surveys, making it what economists refer to as “soft data.” Because it relies on estimates from survey respondents rather than complete reporting, the data is often revised in subsequent months. The latest report was encouraging overall. More jobs were created than lost, the unemployment rate declined, and wage growth remained healthy at 3.5% year over year. While average hours worked declined slightly, rising wages combined with fewer hours worked still represents a positive development for workers. One surprising detail within the report was a decline in leisure and hospitality employment. Given the increased tourism and temporary hiring associated with the World Cup, many economists believe this portion of the report may ultimately be revised higher. To gain a clearer picture of labor market conditions, it helps to compare the survey-based data with “hard data,” such as initial unemployment claims. Unlike survey estimates, unemployment claims are based on actual filings submitted through state unemployment offices and are generally considered more reliable. Initial jobless claims have remained relatively stable throughout the year, while continuing unemployment claims have gradually declined. Together, these indicators reinforce the view that the labor market remains stable, not overheating, but not weakening either. A stable employment environment supports continued wage growth, consumer spending, savings, and investment activity. Those trends create a constructive backdrop for financial markets heading into the second half of the year. Corporate Earnings Will Drive the Next Phase of the Market Strong corporate earnings have been one of the primary drivers behind the stock market’s performance this year, and they are expected to remain a major theme throughout the remainder of the year. Corporate America has consistently exceeded expectations, helping fuel market gains. As a result, analysts have steadily raised earnings forecasts throughout the year. Earnings per share (EPS), a measure of how much profit a company generates for each outstanding share of stock, has seen meaningful upward revisions after remaining relatively flat throughout much of 2025. While this reflects confidence in the strength of American businesses, it also raises the bar. Investors will be watching closely to see whether companies can continue delivering results that justify today’s elevated expectations. Another important metric to monitor is operating margins. Markets are currently pricing in record profit margins over the coming year. If companies continue operating efficiently while maintaining strong profitability, stocks could continue benefiting from solid earnings growth. However, if expectations prove too optimistic, investors should be prepared for periods of increased market volatility. With midterm election uncertainty also entering the picture, earnings season will likely play an even larger role in determining market direction during the second half of the year. Why Gas Prices Haven’t Fallen as Fast as Oil Prices Although oil prices have retreated following the recent conflict in the Middle East, many drivers have noticed that gasoline prices have not fallen nearly as quickly. The explanation lies in how gasoline is produced, distributed, and taxed. The United States consumes more than 130 billion gallons of gasoline each year—more than any other country in the world. While crude oil prices rose sharply during the conflict and have since moved lower, retail gasoline prices typically respond more slowly. Gasoline is a refined petroleum product, meaning the cost of crude oil represents only one portion of the final price consumers pay at the pump. Refining costs, transportation expenses, distribution, and taxes all contribute to the total cost per gallon. As crude oil prices climbed, gasoline prices gradually followed. Now that crude prices have declined to levels closer to where they were earlier this year, gasoline prices are expected to follow, but historically, they tend to lag. Assuming geopolitical tensions do not escalate again, motorists could begin seeing more relief as the summer progresses and into the fall. Regional price differences also illustrate how much additional costs affect gasoline prices. States throughout the South and Midwest generally enjoy some of the nation’s lowest gasoline prices due to their proximity to Gulf Coast refineries. Meanwhile, states such as California, Washington, Hawaii, Nevada, and Oregon typically experience significantly higher prices. While crude oil costs are essentially the same nationwide, higher state taxes, increased transportation expenses, and greater distribution costs contribute to substantially higher prices at the pump. In Hawaii, for example, distribution costs alone exceed the cost of refining the gasoline. Understanding these components helps explain why gasoline prices often remain elevated even after oil prices begin to fall. Greg Powell, CIMA® President and CEO Wealth Consultant Email Greg Powell here Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®, CEPA® Managing Director Wealth Consultant Email Bobby Norman here Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF® Chief Investment Officer Wealth Consultant Email Trey Booth here Ty Miller, AIF® Vice President Wealth Consultant Email Ty Miller here Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, with a team of professionals serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. The team at Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using fee based investing. The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted. No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss. Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal. Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.The post Reports Are In first appeared on Fi Plan Partners.

America celebrates Independence Day with military flyovers, flotillas and fireworks. Funeral prayers and tears for slain Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei but still no sign of his son and successor Mojtaba Khamenei. Ukrainian drones hit St Petersburg region oil terminal as Russia's fuel crisis deepens. And, England fans can drink till dawn after the UK government allows the pubs to open until 5 am for the World Cup match with Mexico. Watch the latest On Assignment ⁠Fourth of July from inside the White House
⁠. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast ⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠. Sign up for the Reuters Econ World newsletter ⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠.  Listen to the Reuters Econ World podcast ⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠. Visit the ⁠Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement⁠ for information on our privacy and data protection practices.  You may also visit ⁠megaphone.fm/adchoices⁠ to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Michael Bernstam reports that Ukrainian drone strikes have taken 28% of Russian oil refineries out of commission, causing widespread fuel shortages and forcing Russia to import gasoline. Vladimir Putin admitted the situation is "difficult" as Crimea faces crises in fuel, food, and water due to severed supply routes. (14)1800 VENEZUELA

Four-part vocal harmonies, dual lead guitars, and a tasty rhythm section built on drums, bass, and keys make up the music of The Gasoline Gypsies. But, the magic in their music is born of a driving work ethic that has earned them the reputation of being one of the tightest bands on the Mitten Music scene.Four part vocal harmonies, dual lead guitars, and a tasty rhythm section built on drums, bass, and keys make up the music of Port Huron Michigan's The Gasoline Gypsies. But, the real magic in their music is born of a driving work ethic that's earned them a reputation of being one of the tightest bands on the Mitten Music scene.Drawing influence from the roots of rock, folk, bluegrass, and country The Gasoline Gypsies craft a unique style of original Americana Rock. Often evoking themes of nature while engaging mature poetry, they de-sign music to serve songs and build sets that invite listeners to take journeys through self awareness, while breathing in the rhythms of the world around us, and enthusiastically celebrating the joys of life. They are a band with range. The Gasoline Gypsies can plug in and rock large venues, or unplugged they can mesmer-ize small listening rooms.The eight time Detroit Music Award winners, are feverishly followed by their fan tribe, The Vagabundos. Find them at a show, and you'll likely experience an alchemy that draws together the music, the people, and the family that is The Gasoline Gypsies experience.

The Fed scare that dominated markets may already be losing momentum. Now investors are asking what comes next as the AI trade, inflation picture, and market leadership evolve. This week, we break down why the Fed may be nearing the end of its hiking cycle, how AI investment is reshaping markets, and where capital is rotating next. We also discuss peak inflation, hyperscaler capex, market dispersion, active management, and why new leaders could replace the old winners. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:16 FIFA World Cup 04:24 Peak Hawkishness Fading 09:53 Oil, Gasoline, And Disinflation 12:28 Why Inflation Stays Sticky 14:22 Monetary Policy vs AI CapEx 19:43 Warsh: Balance Sheet & Rates 25:22 Hyperscalers Hit The CapEx Wall 29:38 Passive Investing Cracking? 33:37 Market Leadership Rotating 42:07 The Productive Capital Cycle? 44:24 MicroStrategy Hits Reality 50:09 Bitcoin, AI, And Power 55:26 Do Things IRL FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/1cLd9ck8EM77hJz9ZlnB_5VKd8ai1Sb2d/view?usp=sharing EVENTS › Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2026 Asia October 7th & Digital Asset 2026 London November 10-11th https://blockworks.com/events Blockworks recently acquired Messari. For more information, please visit: https://blockworks.com/insights/blockworks-acquires-messari DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only. Any views expressed are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

Ukrainian Drone Attacks Cripple Russian Oil Infrastructure. Guest: Michael Bernstam. Cheap Ukrainian drones have successfully targeted Russian refineries and fuel transport, causing significant shortages of gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel. This technological warfare has forced Russia to ban exports and implement rationing, as traditional air defense systems struggle to counter swarms of small, maneuverable drones. 51900 MEXICO  CITY

Has Micron's earnings report changed the outlook for semiconductor stocks and the broader artificial intelligence trade? With expectations running exceptionally high following a massive rally in chip stocks, investors are looking beyond headline numbers to what Micron's results and outlook may reveal about future demand, pricing power, and earnings growth across the industry. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss what Micron's report means for semiconductor stocks, market leadership, and the next phase of the AI-driven investment cycle. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Economic Data Preview & Trump's Gasoline Gaffe 7:00 - Narrow Market Rally Obscures Underlying Weakness 13:02 - Micron Recap 16:32 - Nvidia vs Micron - Comparing the Fundamentals 20:26 - When Will Demand Slow or Supply Catch Up? 21:57 - "Your High Margin is My Invitation" 25:22 - The Law of Large Numbers Will Eventually Apply 28:58 - Calculating the Risk 30:32 - Crude Oil Pricing vs Gasoline 33:04 - Economic Data Preview - What Will Markets Do? 37:27 - Will CPI, PPI Indicators Matter to the Fed Now? 40:54 - Bonds Look Like Gasoline Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hu6OW8jg_XE ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What's Really Driving This Market? " https://youtube.com/live/b7C0L0Sd2mU ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Semiconductor Rally Hides Market Weakness" here: https://youtu.be/iT0t1C5puiE ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Technical Backdrop: When Flows Meet a Hawkish Fed: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-technical-backdrop-when-flows-meet-a-hawkish-fed/ "Kevin Warsh And The End Of The Fed's "Forward Guidance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/kevin-warsh-and-the-end-of-the-feds-forward-guidance/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Micron #Investing #MarketOutlook #Micron #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #Gasoline #CrudeOil

Preview for Later Today: Guest: Michael Bernstam. Michael Bernstam reports on Ukrainian drone strikes that have crippled Russian refineries, causing severe fuel shortages. Consequently, Moscow is forced to import gasoline from Belarus to meet its domestic energy and military needs.1925

MRKT Matrix - Wednesday, June 24th Nasdaq closes lower as chip sell-off resumes; Micron shares extend losses (CNBC) Trump, Frustrated With High Gas Prices, Channels Biden's Criticism of Big Oil (WSJ) A Return to $3 Gasoline? Here's What It Will Take (Bloomberg) Bitcoin hits 20-month low as market sentiment sours (FT) As AI Companies Race for Power, Amazon and Google Have the Lead (WSJ) Google Poised to Lose Two More High-Profile AI Staffers to Anthropic (Bloomberg) Memory Chipmaker SK Hynix's $29 Billion US Listing Seizes on AI Demand (Bloomberg) Cerebras CEO says margin forecast was ‘misunderstood' as stock plummets after earnings (CNBC) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://riskreversal.substack.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs

As anyone who drives a car that requires premium gasoline will surely tell you, the large difference between the prices of regular and premium grades shows no signs of going away. Today, we look at how the two were once priced, when they diverged, and what it likely means for future prices.

MRKT Matrix - Thursday, June 18th Stocks rebound from Fed sell-off as chipmakers rally (CNBC) Gas prices fall below $4 per gallon as oil supply fears ease after Iran deal (CNBC) A Return to $3 Gasoline? Here's What It Will Take (Bloomberg) SpaceX Extends Two-Day Drop a Week After Largest-Ever IPO (Bloomberg) SpaceX shares to more than double to above $400, research firm predicts (CNBC) SpaceX Bankers Prepare for Bond Sale of at Least $20 Billion (Bloomberg) Accenture shares fall to lowest since 2017 as AI threat mounts (FT) Amazon in Talks to Sell Custom AI Chips in Bid to Cut Nvidia's Dominance (Bloomberg) Where Are Analysts Most Optimistic on Ratings for S&P 500 Companies Heading into Q3? (FactSet) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://riskreversal.substack.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs

The memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran was apparently signed over the weekend, but the text remains a mystery to most. Donald Trump says he'll release it and even read it himself so nobody can misunderstand it. If it's such good news, though, why not put it out right now? Israel isn't a fan of it, nor are those who believe we've abandoned the Iranian people by making a deal with the IRGC. At the same time, there may be a silent majority that cares less about the politics and more about the price at the pump. And that's what caught my attention.Since the beginning of May, with Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz, gas prices in the United States have fallen. Not by a little, but by a lot. The national average has gone from roughly $4.50 a gallon to $3.50. That happened while the strait was closed and before any memorandum of understanding was announced. The White House wasn't bragging about it. They weren't loudly telling Iran that the closure wasn't working. That made me think something else was going on.Politics Politics Politics is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.After digging through it, I've been able to dig up a few explanations. The most public, I'd argue, was the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The Department of Energy released more than 53 million barrels as part of a broader international effort, bringing the reserve down to its lowest level since 1983. There were also reports that the United States was helping move oil out of the Gulf using some of the same techniques Iran has historically used to evade sanctions. American production remained high. Every hint of a peace deal pushed oil prices lower. Global demand softened. China sharply reduced its purchases on the open market. Alternative routes around Hormuz became more important. Gasoline inventories improved. All of it pushed prices down.If I rank the reasons, peace-talk optimism sits at the top. Strategic reserve releases bought time. American-supported workarounds moved real barrels. Demand destruction, especially with China stepping back, reduced pressure. Improved gasoline inventories helped. Some of the more speculative theories include sanctions waivers for Iranian oil, greater tolerance for shadow-fleet shipments, and alternate export routes making Hormuz less decisive than Iran hoped.What stands out is that there were more American incentives to get to the table than Iranian ones. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is a temporary band-aid. Smuggling oil out of the Gulf is risky. Every day the Strait of Hormuz remained closed carried economic and military risks. That helps explain why the White House wanted a deal. Iran had incentives too, especially if China was no longer buying at previous levels, but the balance of pressure appears different than many expected.My assumption remains what it has been for weeks: there are multiple power centers inside Iran, and the biggest question is whether any deal can survive them. The Ayatollah is gone, much of Iran's leadership structure has been shattered, and the IRGC itself appears divided between factions willing to make a deal and hardliners who want to keep fighting. The memorandum of understanding may give us a clearer picture when we finally see it. Until then, the biggest question isn't whether a deal exists. It's whether anyone on the Iranian side can actually enforce it.Chapters00:00:00 - Intro00:02:38 - Iran and Gas Prices00:31:47 - Update00:32:04 - UFC 250 Terrorism Plot00:37:46 - Russia-Ukraine00:39:48 - Primaries00:42:48 - Interview with Maria Curi01:11:46 - Wrap-up This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

  The war in the Middle East fragmented the global gasoline market and created distinct regional pricing dynamics. Fuel buyers in Latin America and beyond are forced to better manage their risks with geographic and quality arbitrage tools, like RVP and octane scalers. To learn more, listen to this conversation between Nazareno Ferrero, Argus Senior Business Development Manager based in Buenos Aires, and Camila Fontana, Deputy Bureau Chief of the Argus office in Sao Paulo.   Topics discussed on this the episode include:  Gasoline flows and price patterns before and after the war   Global price benchmarks   Asia shifts from balanced to short in gasoline   Europe and the Gulf Coast gains importance as a global suppliers  Using RVP and octane scalers in trading decisions 

Stephen Preisler, the drug author known as Uncle Fester, has sold his Green Bay home and the foreclosure action filed by the city has been dropped.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Even as geopolitical tensions roil financial markets, wealthy consumers are defying the gloom — private jet demand is surging at events like Monaco and Cannes, and Broadway just recorded a record 1.9 billion dollar season. This divergence between financial anxiety and high-end consumer spending raises important questions about where the real economy actually stands.Today's Stocks & Topics: Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte, S.A.B. de C.V. (OMAB), Market Wrap, KPP Newsletter, CSX Corporation (CSX), The Wealth Effect Paradox: Why Rich Consumers Are Spending Big While Markets Wobble, Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, AI Build-out and Commodities, Defense Sector.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.com* Check out TaskRabbit and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://taskrabbit.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

It's Thursday, June 11th, A.D. 2026. This is The Worldview in 5 Minutes heard on 140 radio stations and at www.TheWorldview.com.  I'm Adam McManus. (Adam@TheWorldview.com) By Jonathan Clark Nigerian court sentences Muslims to death for executing Catholics Last week, a court in the African nation of Nigeria sentenced four Muslim men to death for killing dozens of Catholics. Four years ago, the gunmen attacked a Pentecost Sunday service at a Catholic Church in southwest Nigeria. They killed 41 people, including children. Authorities determined that the armed men belonged to Al-Shabaab, an Islamic terrorist group. The massacre was the first terrorist attack on a church in southern Nigeria.   According to Open Doors, Nigeria is the seventh most dangerous country worldwide for Christians. Proverbs 7:14 and 16 says, “Behold, the wicked man conceives evil . . . His mischief returns upon his own head, and on his own skull his violence descends.” Sudanese man arrested in Ireland for attempted beheading Authorities in Northern Ireland arrested a migrant from the African nation of Sudan on Tuesday. Police in Belfast accused him of carrying out a severe knife attack on a man in his 40s. People across the United Kingdom responded to the attempted beheading with protests. The victim was hospitalized with significant injuries to his face, neck, and back. Many U.K. citizens question their government's immigration policies, including Member of Parliament Rupert Lowe. In February, the lawmaker launched a national political party called Restore Britain. The party is devoted to ending mass immigration and also openly recognizes Britain's Christian heritage.  Congress funds $70 billion for ICE and Border Patrol In the United States, President Donald Trump signed the Secure America Act yesterday. The $70 billion package fully funds the Department of Homeland Security. The bill specifically covers U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and U.S. Customs and Border Protection for the rest of President Trump's second term.  Listen to comments from House Speaker Mike Johnson after Congress passed the bill. JOHNSON: “The historic mandate that put President Trump in the White House and Republican majorities in both the House and the Senate is evidence of the fact that Democrats' ‘Defund the Police' agenda is wildly out of step with hardworking American families. After four long years of Democrat policies that opened the door to dangerous criminals and deadly drugs, Republicans are delivering on our promise to restore safe streets and secure our borders.” Inflation rose 4.3% Inflation reached a three-year high last month for American consumers.  The cost of goods and services rose 4.2 percent in May compared to a year ago. Rising energy costs drove the inflation. Gasoline prices were up 40 percent from a year earlier.    iPhone launch connected to lower U.S. fertility rate A new study from the National Bureau of Economic Research suggests that the launch of the iPhone contributed to declining fertility rates in the U.S. Apple introduced the iPhone in 2007. The U.S. general fertility rate has fallen by 22 percent since then. People have been spending more time on their smartphones and less time with each other.  The study noted, “Overall, the diffusion of the iPhone explains 33–52% of the decline in the general fertility rate among women aged 15–44.” Southern Baptists: Only men can serve as pastors The Southern Baptist Convention affirmed its position yesterday that only men can serve as pastors. Over 70 percent of the denomination's representatives voted in favor of the “Truth and Unity Amendment.” The measure was sponsored by Albert Mohler Jr., the president of the Southern Baptist Theological Seminary. The amendment would require churches in the denomination to not appoint women as pastors, elders, or overseers.  Listen to comments from Dr. Mohler. MOHLER: “This motion makes very clear that we affirm the historic Baptist understanding of the pastor, elder, overseer. The structure of the language I have brought goes all the way back to the 1689 Baptist Confession, where the office and function of the pastor are clearly delineated. “This amendment makes very clear that a church, in friendly cooperation with the Southern Baptist Convention, doesn't have anyone other than a man as pastor in the office of pastor and specifies on the functions of the pastor that the key central function of preaching the Word of God to the gathered assembly is limited to men by Scripture.” 1 Timothy 3:1-2 says, “If anyone aspires to the office of overseer, he desires a noble task. Therefore, an overseer must be above reproach, the husband of one wife, sober-minded, self-controlled, respectable, hospitable, able to teach.”  Animated movie “David” claims #1 spot on Netflix And finally, the animated film David reached the number one spot on Netflix for movies in the United States over the weekend.  The Bible movie from Angel Studios officially premiered on the streaming service just last Wednesday. (audio from David movie trailer) DAVID: “I'm just a shepherd, but deep down I know I can take on the world.” NARRATOR: “There is a darkness over the land.” SAMUEL:  “Our enemies will strike once more.” MAN: “Imagine the biggest warrior you have ever seen!” DAVID: “Okay.” MAN: “Now imagine somebody ate him.” GIRL: “Remember when I told you God had big plans for you?” GOLIATH: “You will serve us!” GIRL: “They may have been bigger than even I thought.” Christian music artist Phil Wickham voiced the adult David in the movie. Wickham told Crosswalk Headlines the film is “full of the story of God and full of Psalms and full of hallelujah and faith and hope.  … I think this movie will last decades. I think it will be something our grandkids watch.” Close And that's The Worldview on this Thursday, June 11th, in the year of our Lord 2026. Subscribe for free by Spotify, Amazon Music, or by iTunes or email to our unique Christian newscast at www.TheWorldview.com.  Plus, you can get the Generations app through Google Play or The App Store. I'm Adam McManus (Adam@TheWorldview.com). Seize the day for Jesus Christ.

US inflation hit 4.2% in May, the highest reading since April 2023, and the third straight month of acceleration. The driver is the US-Israeli war with Iran. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted Middle East oil supplies, and energy alone accounted for over 60% of the monthly CPI increase.This episode breaks down the May CPI report and what's behind the number. Energy prices are up 23.5% year over year. Gasoline is up 40.5%. Fuel oil is up 58.9%. Shelter costs accelerated again to 3.4% and food rose 3.1%. Core inflation (the Fed's preferred measure, which strips out food and energy) climbed to 2.9%, a new high since September 2025, but the monthly core number actually came in below forecasts, which is the one piece of good news in the report.The Fed meets June 17. Markets expect a hold, but the conversation has shifted. Rate cuts that were on the table in January are off it now, and some analysts are starting to talk about hikes later this year if the energy shock spreads. The pace of the past three months is the fastest since spring 2022, when inflation was still climbing toward its 9% peak.The pain isn't evenly distributed. Real wages have fallen for two months in a row. Gas, food, electricity, and medical care are all running above 3%, which is exactly the basket of things households can't substitute away from. Brookings modeling suggests that even in the most optimistic scenario, a Hormuz closure lasting one quarter, US inflation ends 2026 about 0.6 points higher than it would have otherwise.We cover what the energy shock means for AI infrastructure costs, why a 40% gas spike doesn't show up evenly across the economy, what the Fed actually does with a war-driven inflation print, and whether May represents a 2026 peak or the start of something longer.May CPI, US inflation 2026, Iran war inflation, gas prices, Strait of Hormuz, Federal Reserve, interest rates, energy shock, real wages, core CPI, FOMC June 2026.

Mego starts the news with a story about a climate protest in Boston and gets sidetracked talking about her struggle with gasoline.

(From NATO allies boosting budgets in response to Russia's aggression to Asia-Pacific nations rearming amid China's military buildup, defense spending is rising on virtually every continent. We examine how investors can think about the long-term defense sector tailwind without simply chasing headlines.)Today's Stocks & Topics: Lincoln National Corporation (LNC), Market Wrap, AT&T Inc. (T), The Clorox Company (CLX), Insulet Corporation (PODD), Defense Stocks 2026: How the Global Security Boom Creates Long-Term Investment Opportunities, The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, WESCO International, Inc. (WCC), KPP Newsletter, Fidelity Total Bond Fund (FTBFX), Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV), Lithium.Our Next Wealth Webinar: “Beyond the Yield: How to Invest for Your Income Needs” June 30th, 2026 - 12:00 pmTo sign up: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/5717793889555/WN_XuoDgMVwSv6wZXXurrZTLgOur Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code sleep.me/INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.com* Check out TaskRabbit and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://taskrabbit.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

In this episode, George Maher-Bonnett (Deputy Editor — European Products Report) is joined by Atishya Nayak (Senior Gasoline Reporter - European Products Report) and Jide Tijani (Naphtha Reporter — European Products Report) to examine how the US driving season and the US–Iran conflict are influencing gasoline and naphtha markets in Europe — from exports and arbitrage shifts to blending economics and supply disruptions. Key themes Price swings: Gasoline–naphtha spread jumped to $270/t in May, a three‑year high European exports to US hit an 11‑month peak as freight costs collapsed Drivers of volatility: US–Iran conflict, summer‑grade transition and rebound in ARA blending Outlook risk: Tighter VGO supply, weak West African pull and narrowing US arb

(5) Michael Bernstam analyzes the humiliating Ukrainian strike on a St. Petersburg oil terminal during Putin's flagship economic forum. Russia's energy sector faces a crisis, forcing a ban on refined exports like gasoline due to refinery damage. Consequently, Russia must increase crude exports to China and India.

​Indiana Governor Mike Braun is extending the suspension of the 7-percent Gasoline Usage Tax and the Gasoline Excise Tax through July 7th. AAA says that puts Indiana in the lead with the lowest-priced gasoline in the nation at an average of $3.58 per gallon for regular gas. Suspending both taxes saves customers in Indiana more than 62 cents per gallon at the pump.

In this episode of Driving Discussions, Argus editors Jared Ainsworth, US gasoline editor, and Stephanie Crawford, associate editor and US Atlantic coast gasoline reporter, analyze how the US–Iran conflict has rapidly reshaped gasoline fundamentals ahead of the summer driving season. What began as a well-supplied market has tightened significantly, with exports rising, imports lagging, and regional imbalances emerging across key hubs. The discussion unpacks the evolving impact on pricing, flows, and blending behavior across US gasoline markets. Key Takeaways Tightening supply:S. gasoline inventories fell more than 16% since late February, signaling a sharper-than-normal seasonal draw. Global pull on barrels: Strong export demand—up ~32% vs. the five-year average—has redirected Gulf Coast supply into international markets. Shifting regional balances: Early Atlantic Coast tightness gave way to late-spring oversupply as imports and pipeline flows rebounded while demand lagged. Policy impacts: Jones Act and EPA waivers reshaped flows and blending dynamics, with limited Northeast relief but increased Gulf Coast-to-West Coast shipments. Atypical pricing signals: RBOB spreads widened despite regulatory flexibility, reflecting stricter blending behavior and altered summer demand patterns. Stay ahead of evolving gasoline market dynamics with Argus' expert analysis on pricing, flows, and regulatory impacts shaping the summer 2026 outlook.

​Indiana Governor Mike Braun is extending the suspension of the 7-percent Gasoline Usage Tax and the Gasoline Excise Tax through July 7th. AAA says that puts Indiana in the lead with the lowest-priced gasoline in the nation at an average of $3.58 per gallon for regular gas. Suspending both taxes saves customers in Indiana more than 62 cents per gallon at the pump.

(1) Liz Peek discusses the K-shaped economy, where wealthy retirees flourish while lower-income citizens struggle with inflation and high gasoline costs. The Iran war significantly impacts oil prices, threatening real wage growth.

Since we have spent our lives in Gulf coast states we have some recommendations concerning hurricanes: Be ready to take an “evacucation” between July and September.Gasoline and water are important, even if there is corporate greed.Get rid of trees that could fall in your home's living area.The government will not have enough resources to help you in time.Follow Us:YouTubeXFacebookBlueskyAll audio & videos edited by: Jay Prescott Videography

(5) Jim McTague reports on Lancaster County's economy, noting record-breaking gasoline sales at Costco despite rainy weather, the rise of retirement-driven healthcare, and local "Luddite" opposition to a proposed data center in Columbia.KEYSTONE

DeepSeek has made a permanent 75% discount on its flagship AI model, a move that accelerates the commoditization of AI and puts pressure on the entire AI infrastructure investment thesis. We examine what falling AI model prices mean for the companies building AI, buying AI, and investing in the picks-and-shovels of the AI boom.Today's Stocks & Topics: Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC), Market Wrap, Vanguard International Growth Adm (VWILX), SPDR Gold MiniShares (GLDM), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, International Business Machines Corporation (IBM), Quantum Computing Stocks, Investment Fees and Taxes, Eli Lilly and Company (LLY), Oil Prices this Summer.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

In this episode of Spotlight, Stephanie Stanton ‪@etfguide‬ chats with with John Love, CFA and CEO of USCF investments. This episode covers the Iran Oil Crisis, and its effects on gasoline and oil markets. It also covers gold income strategies and a unique oil and bitcoin strategy, and key insights and energy markets.John Love of USCF Investments talks about UGA, the United States Gasoline Fund, which offers investors exposure to Gasoline during a time of spiking gas prices nationwide.We also explore the USCF Gold Strategy Plus Income ETF (USG), which combines physical gold exposure with quarterly income via options strategies—a unique approach for investors seeking steady returns alongside precious metals, as well as USCF's recently launched Oil Plus Bitcoin Strategy Fund (WTIB), which allows you to invest in two uncorrelated assets in one find. 

Craig Carton describes being caught in the middle of a police takedown at the Westfield Garden State Plaza in Paramus. He and Big Mac then pivot to the New York Giants' decision to hold a press conference regarding recent political controversies involving players Jaxson Dart and Abdul Carter. Finally, they discuss Mitchell Robinson's injury and Carton's upcoming dinner with his son's girlfriend's family. 01:01 - Mall Police Encounter 06:12 - Giants PR Blunder 12:18 - Knicks Injury Update 19:06 - Phrase Ownership Debate 23:43 - Meeting The In-Laws

This week, Danielle covers the haunted Hinsdale house and Zee shares some astral projection experiences. Stalk us here!Merch - ghosts-n-heauxsTwitter - ghostsnheauxsInstagram - ghosts_n_heauxsFacebook - GhostsnHeauxsPodcastAnd don't forget to send your stories to ghostsnheauxs@gmail.com

Governments around the world are carrying significantly more debt than they were just a few years ago… and now much of that debt is rolling into a much higher interest rate environment.Today's Stocks & Topics: Avantis All Equity Markets ETF (AVGE), Market Wrap, Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), Imperial Oil Limited (IMO), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Why Rising Sovereign Debt Could Become a Bigger Market Risk in 2026, Halliburton Company (HAL), EchoStar Corporation (SATS), ETFs, Ryder System, Inc. (R), Zoetis Inc. (ZTS).Our Next Wealth Webinar: “Beyond the Yield: How to Invest for Your Income Needs” June 30th, 2026 - 12:00 pmTo sign up: https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/5717793889555/WN_XuoDgMVwSv6wZXXurrZTLgOur Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

The final hour of The Tara Show on Friday, May 22, 2026, tied national political liabilities directly to local South Carolina primary battles and the ongoing economic pain at the gas pump.13th: Democrats' Obsession with Releasing Criminals: The hour opened with a fiery monologue blasting progressive criminal justice reform. The segment slammed cashless bail and reduced sentencing guidelines, arguing that left-wing policies prioritizing the early release of violent offenders have become a massive political liability for Democrats ahead of the 2026 midterms.14th: Caller Lucy in Greenville on Pascoe and Reddy: WYRD caller Lucy sparked an intense local political debate by floating two sharp theories about the South Carolina Republican primaries. First, she questioned if Attorney General candidate David Pascoe is a genuine conservative or just a lifelong Democrat running as a Republican because a Democrat can't win statewide. Second, she questioned if millionaire DOGE SC founder Rom Reddy is a political "plant" designed to fracture the conservative vote, noting the suspicious timing of his sudden gubernatorial run and his group's endorsement of Pascoe.15th: The War on Gasoline (Chevron vs. Gavin Newsom): Shifting to the energy crisis, the show detailed the escalating corporate and political warfare in California. The segment exposed how Governor Gavin Newsom's aggressive regulatory penalties and mandates have driven Chevron to openly fight back, framing the administration's climate policies as a direct, manufactured "war on gasoline" that destroys domestic energy security.16th: The Gas Price Crisis and Rom Reddy's Stance: The broadcast concluded with an open floor discussion on skyrocketing gas prices and the search for fuel discounts amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz conflict. The host looped the energy crisis back to the local governor's race, analyzing candidate Rom Reddy's economic platforms and whether his business background offers a viable solution to rising utility and fuel costs for South Carolinians.

Something new appeared at a major motorsport event in the Taklamakan Desert recently. It's a type of gasoline most drivers have never seen before: 103-grade fuel. When people online started talking, the questions got interesting fast. Should you be putting it in your car? On the show: Steve, Yushan & Yushun

Analyst Dan Ives is calling for Nasdaq 30,000 as the AI rally expands beyond the original handful of winners. We dig into whether the broadening AI trade is built on solid earnings fundamentals or if euphoria is getting ahead of reality.Today's Stocks & Topics: Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL), Market Wrap, Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS), AI's Next Chapter: Is the Nasdaq 30,000 Rally Sustainable or Dangerous Hype?, Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Pershing Square Inc. (PS), Pershing Square USA, Ltd. (PSUS), Oil Futures Curve, KPP Newsletter, Intel Corporation (INTC), Private Company Shares Access.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Anthropic just teamed up with Goldman Sachs and Blackstone to launch a $1.5 billion AI venture targeting private equity-owned companies—signaling that AI monetization is moving decisively beyond Silicon Valley and into mainstream corporate finance. This is a landmark moment for understanding where the real AI money is flowing.Today's Stocks & Topics: CVS Health Corporation (CVS), Market Wrap, Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ), The Arms Race for AI Capital: How Anthropic, Goldman, and Private Equity Are Reshaping Investing, Value Stocks, Invesco S&P SmallCap Energy ETF (PSCE), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Rising Cost of Jet Fuel, FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS), KPP Newsletter, Memory Chips Stocks.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Mazel morons! Today, we're coming in hot with the original recipe. Ben is back from a heartbreaking Knicks playoff game and he's officially acting up. This week, the guys dive into the unwritten rules of gym etiquette- from the "undercarriage" blow-dryers at Equinox to the creepy guys flashing people in the steam room. Plus, Josh shares his experience being "propositioned" in a bathroom stall and Ben reveals his secret talent for parking illegally at Madison Square Garden. What are ya nuts?! Love ya! Write us! Send your messages to goodguyspodcast1@gmail.com  Follow us on Instagram and TikTok!  Sponsors: Use our code for 10% off your next SeatGeek order*: https://seatgeek.onelink.me/RrnK/GOODGUYS10 Sponsored by SeatGeek. *Restrictions apply. Max $20 discount Visit www.xyzal.com for more information Go to LITTLESPOON.COM/GOODGUYS and enter our code GOODGUYS at checkout to get 30% off your first Little Spoon order. Try ShipStation free for sixty days with Full access to all features, No credit card needed! Go to ShipStation.com and use code GOODGUYS for sixty days for free! Sixty days gives you plenty of time to see exactly how much time and money you're saving on every shipment. Go to https://kachava.com and use code GOODGUYS for 15% off your first order. For a limited time, Nutrafol is offering our listeners $10 off your first month's subscription and free shipping when you visit Nutrafol.com and enter promo code GOODGUYS10 Please note that this episode may contain paid endorsements and advertisements for products and services. Individuals on the show may have a direct or indirect financial interest in products or services referred to in this episode. Produced by Dear Media. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

While Western nations grapple with the fallout from the Iran conflict, China's clean tech exporters are cashing in, and its industrial profits are still growing — all while Beijing quietly expands its economic pressure toolkit under cover of a trade truce with Trump. We unpack China's strategic positioning and what it means for global trade and US investors.Today's Stocks & Topics: PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund (PDI), Market Wrap, Welltower Inc. (WELL), China's Calculated Play: How Beijing Is Turning the Iran War into an Economic Advantage, WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Chevron Corporation (CVX), Oil Mayors, KPP Newsletter, Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP), Intel Corporation (INTC).Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Still six months out, the U.S. midterm elections are likely to influence government initiatives to deal with higher energy costs. Our Head of Public Policy Research Ariana Salvatore and Global Chief Economist Seth Carpenter discuss how the Congress and the Fed might react.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Ariana Salvatore: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Ariana Salvatore, Head of Public Policy Research for Morgan Stanley.Seth Carpenter: And I'm Seth Carpenter, the firm's Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research.Ariana Salvatore: Today we're discussing the run up to the midterm elections and what it could mean for the macro outlook and policy response.It's Wednesday, April 29th at 10am in New York.Last week, Mike Zezas and I talked through the midterm elections and their potential consequences for the economy and markets. This week we figured it might be helpful to talk about the setup into November, especially as we're both increasingly being asked about the macro outlook and potential for targeted stimulus to offset the oil shock.So, Seth, let's start there. we know cost of living is a key issue in elections, and we've seen a pretty meaningful oil shock feed through markets. How are you thinking about that in the context of the broader economy?Seth Carpenter: Our U.S. economics team has estimated that the higher gas prices that we have now and likely to have for the rest of the year are going to be more than enough to offset any boost to consumer spending from the higher tax refunds this year. So, I think that's the first point.If you're expecting a boost to come through that channel, you probably want to unwind that. And In fact, overall, what we've done is lowered our forecast for U.S. growth by about three or four tenths of percentage point worth of growth this year because of the higher energy prices. So, it's a drag on spending, I think, no matter how you cut it.Ariana Salvatore: And that's not happening in isolation, right?Seth Carpenter: No, that's exactly right. That's exactly right. We've also got at least somewhat restrictive monetary policy layered on top. So, financial conditions are already a little bit tight and the oil price shock sort of amplifies that tightening by weighing on spending. That's going to be really important.I think an extra complication then is what does it do to inflation? For now, we don't think it's going to be that big of a deal. History says at least looking at the data that when energy prices go up, when oil prices go up, gasoline prices go up. It does boost headline inflation for sure, but the pass through to core inflation is pretty limited, and the effects tend to go away on their own without too much time.So, I think the real hit here is going to be from the higher costs acting like a drag on consumer spending.Ariana Salvatore: Right. And importantly, it's a very visible shock. Gasoline prices feed directly into how consumers and voters perceive the economy, which brings us into the political overlay as we approach the midterms…Seth Carpenter: Yeah, I think that's exactly right. And whenever we economists are thinking about inflation and prices and consumers, we think about exactly that – what we call salience, just how visible are these prices. And gasoline prices tend to be some of those prices that stick out in people's minds.So, if people are seeing it. And people are reacting to it, give me some idea of what the Congress can realistically do between now and the midterm elections.Ariana Salvatore: Well, I would say in theory there's a range of options. Direct stimulus, targeted transfers. We tend to frame affordability policies across five vectors: energy, healthcare, housing, consumer credit and trade policy. But in practice, the constraints are pretty binding right now and as we've been saying, tariff policy is really the only lever the president can pull easily to have a real impact on voters.Seth Carpenter: All right. So, you said constraints and constraints for the Congress. Can you walk us through what those constraints are?Ariana Salvatore: Sure. So, the first and most obvious is deficits. We're already running large fiscal deficits in the U.S., and I would say there's limited political appetite to expand them meaningfully from here in the near term, especially heading into an election.The second is procedure. If you want to pass something sizable, you're either looking at reconciliation, which requires political alignment in a number of procedural hurdles. Or bipartisan cooperation to get around the filibuster. Both seem difficult to us in this environment.Seth Carpenter: So my experience in Washington for a couple decades of working on policy is that when things are difficult, they tend to take more time. So how does the timing component of all of this matter, and how does it fit into the way that you're thinking about it?Ariana Salvatore: Timing is the third constraint. The legislative calendar in particular. What we see is as you get closer to midterms – really any election – the window for passing major legislation narrows pretty quickly. That's because lawmakers shift their focus toward campaigning, and the agenda itself just becomes more limited.And then to finish off the constraints, the fourth I would say is implementation. Even if something were to pass, there's a lag between legislation and the actual economic impact. Getting funds out the door, whether it's checks or programmatic spending, tends to take time.Seth Carpenter: Yeah, even well targeted policy might not hit the economy in time to have the desired effect before the election.Would you agree with that?Ariana Salvatore: Yeah, but for argument's sake, let's say we're wrong on that and Congress does manage to pass something. Maybe not a broad-based stimulus package, but let's say some form of targeted relief.From a macro perspective, what do you think would matter most? Is it the size of the package, how quickly it gets implemented, or which consumers are targeted?Seth Carpenter: Yeah, I'm going to have to say a little bit of all of the above. I mean, economic analysis really tends to show that tax cuts tend to simulate less than increased spending and transfers matter. But it matters to whom those transfers happen.So, I do think if we're aiming at the lower end of the income distribution, probably has a higher propensity to spend; and so, you're more likely to see more of those dollars getting spent and faster – if that's where it's going. The size of the package has to matter as well, because more money out probably means more money getting spent. But I will add, there are two caveats this time around that we probably need to take into consideration.First, with the increase in tax refunds that we've seen this year, survey suggests that households are using that money to pay down outstanding debt more than they would historically. And so, we might be in a situation because of the past couple of years of affordability issues where households are going to try to get ahead of things and pay down some of that debt. And as a result, maybe there's a more muted effect on spending.And second, we are living in a world right now where inflation is well above the Fed's target. So, if the extra stimulus leads to extra spending at a time when prices are already high, well, there's a chance we might give an extra boost to inflation and then the Fed would have to reconsider what it's doing on monetary policy.But you said Congress is probably constrained. So, let's shift then and ask, is there something that the president could do unilaterally with executive authority? And in particular, sometimes I get this question from clients, even if there's not clear, well-defined legal authority. We've seen something like that before with the tariff policy under the IEEPA authority. It was imposed and then later it was pulled back when it was judged by courts not to be the right authority.So, why wouldn't we think – the argument goes; why wouldn't we think that some sort of large scale maybe rebates or direct payments, could get deployed quickly, even if the, let's say, legal authority is a little bit murky?Ariana Salvatore: Yes, it's an interesting question, but I think there are a few important distinctions that make something like the administration sending out checks, for example, very different from tariff policy. First, fiscal transfers are much more clearly tied to congressional authority, legally speaking.Spending power, as you know, resides in Congress, and that's a pretty firm constitutional boundary. And importantly, even something like tax refunds, which can look like direct payments aren't discretionary. They're preauthorized in the tax code, and Treasury is just returning overpayments under a standing appropriation. So, there isn't really a comparable mechanism the administration could use to send out broad-based checks, for example, without new legislation.Now, trade authorities by contrast, have historically allowed for more executive flexibility, even if contested, like we saw with the IEEPA tariffs. Direct fiscal outlays are different. You generally need explicit appropriation. And then second, there's the operational side to all of this. Even if you were to set aside the legal questions, there isn't a standing mechanism for distributing very large sums of money quickly without legislative backing.Seth Carpenter: Fair enough. And if we stay in this totally hypothetical world, what would you imagine would be the timing of any legal challenges if they did happen?Ariana Salvatore: In a scenario like this, you'd likely see challenges fairly quickly and courts could intervene early in the process, potentially before funds are even fully dispersed. So, Seth, the idea that you could deploy something on a massive scale and only deal with the legal consequences much later is all the more uncertain.But Seth, let's stay with the upside risk scenario for a moment. If Congress did pass something targeted instead, where would you expect policymakers to focus? Can we talk through maybe energy rebates, child tax credits, SNAP or nutrition support… Or do you think something else aimed at the most rate sensitive or cost of living sensitive households might make more sense?Seth Carpenter: Yeah, I think you've laid out there a pretty rational strategy for trying to make things targeted for the people who are going to be feeling this affordability crunch the most. And so, the SNAP benefits, like you said, are nutrition support. That's lower income households, families with children, people who really are living paycheck to paycheck and noticing these higher prices.Energy subsidies or some sort of tax rebate – again, trying to target where the pain is most acute; the higher electricity prices, the higher gasoline prices that people are noticing, that people are feeling. I think all of that seems very plausible.I just want to flag though, that there is this possible hidden effect, which is the more these policies mask the higher cost, the economic pain from the higher energy prices – the more it allows people to keep spending despite the higher prices. And that spending with higher prices, well, that could easily lead to a tick up in inflation.That could lead to a change in the Fed's reaction function. And if it was strong enough, if growth picked up enough and inflation picked up from here, you could easily see the Fed hiking rates instead of cutting.Ariana Salvatore: So, in other words, even if the policy surprise is maybe good news for consumers in the near term, markets would still need to think through whether it extends the inflation problem or changes the expected rate path.Seth Carpenter: I think that is exactly right. I think this is very much a case where good news could be good news, but there are going to be lots of details.So maybe if we take a step back, we've got a constrained Congress, maybe limited scope for unilateral action and a macro backdrop because of inflation that's probably already under some pressure.Ariana Salvatore: Which means the key drivers heading into the midterms later this year are likely to remain the ones that are already in place: energy prices, monetary policy, and underlying growth dynamics rather than potential new fiscal stimulus.Seth Carpenter: And so that means for markets, focus needs to stay on the fundamentals.Ariana Salvatore: Exactly. Elections can shape the policy path at the margin, but the macro cycle is doing most of the heavy lifting here. And we think that's the case following the midterms as well. If you'd like more detail there, please go ahead and listen to our podcast from last week on this topic.Seth, thanks for taking the time to talk.Seth Carpenter: Ariana, thank you for inviting me. And for the listeners, thank you for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please share it with a friend or colleague today. And leave a review wherever you listen to podcasts.