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[This blog will always be free to read, but it's also how I pay my bills. If you have suggestions or feedback on how I can earn your paid subscription, shoot me an email: cmclymer@gmail.com.]Yesterday, just before noon, The Washington Post, through CEO William Lewis, announced it would not endorse a candidate in the 2024 presidential election, the first time the nation's third-largest daily newspaper by circulation hasn't done so in nearly four decades.The announcement was shocking for two immediate reasons.The most grave—and, frankly, terrifying—reason is that the United States is obviously at threat of sliding into a horrific dictatorship from which it's difficult to see how we'd ever recover. Donald Trump and J.D. Vance have made it abundantly clear that they aspire to devolve our nation into the world's most powerful authoritarian regime. One need look no further than the chilling plans outlined in Project 2025.But there are many other warning signs, too. A small sampling:There's Trump openly praising Hitler's generals, according to his former chief-of-staff John Kelly (himself a retired four-star Marine Corps general), just the latest marker of fascist narcissism in Trump's very long and documented history of being obsessed with dictators.There's Trump repeatedly pledging to carry out the largest deportation of undocumented migrants in American history, a sweat-lipped plan made in blustering tones that somehow manages to exceed its inherent cruelty with an inexplicable failure to understand basic economics.(Not only is it logistically impossible to deport our nation's 11 million undocumented migrants, not only would it cost taxpayers an estimated quarter trillion to do so, but the American economy would completely collapse from the loss in labor force.)There's Trump's flagrant disregard for the Constitution and the rule of law: an indictment that resulted in a guilty verdict on 34 felony counts (his sentencing for that is on Nov. 26th), three other pending indictments on 52 more felony counts, two impeachments, being found liable for defamation of a woman he raped, etc.Oh, and, of course, there's Trump's frequent statements to serve past the constitutional limit of two terms as president (I'm sure he's just kidding), and the extremist conservative majority of the Supreme Court ruling last year that Trump is essentially a king beyond accountability for official acts in office.That's all an abbreviated version of why Donald Trump is obviously unfit.The second reason is The Washington Post's abdication of journalistic integrity under the ownership of Jeff Bezos, a development that is especially chilling for a publication that has long prided itself on being the vanguard for American democracy and free speech.The storied newspaper has won 76 Pulitzer Prizes over its history—second only to The New York Times—one of which was for the investigative reporting by Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein that eventually led to the resignation of Richard Nixon. Another was for the reporting on the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol.The Washington Post has long been synonymous with the essential role of the free press in a healthy, functioning democracy in the same manner we associate Babe Ruth with baseball or July Fourth with fireworks or Dolly Parton with a clean soul.And so, it was with great confusion and incredulity that I read Mr. Lewis' painfully shameless attempt to justify the decision. He sure did try to put on a powdered wig and insist that the bowl of s**t he wanted to feed to the American public was actually chicken soup for the American soul.Most curiously, in writing about The Washington Post's history of largely declining to endorse presidential candidates prior to 1976, he stated that year's endorsement for then-Gov. Jimmy Carter was made “for understandable reasons at the time…”Did you catch that? He's obliquely referencing Watergate, the scandal that brought down Nixon with reporting by the paper — Nixon, who, by any measurable standard, comes across like Lincoln when compared to Trump.Mr. Lewis, for some odd reason, thought it persuasive to essentially say: “Look, we don't regret endorsing Carter because Nixon was terrible, but also: Trump is not nearly terrible enough to justify continuing this dangerous practice of presidential endorsements.”Furthermore, aside from the dollar store cheap imitation of logic, he failed to mention in his desperate, sorry excuse for rationalizing that The Washington Post, for the past several weeks, had been drafting an approved endorsement for Vice President Harris.He failed to mention that the endorsement was still on track a week ago, and there was no indication that it would be halted for any reason, let alone on the rather cringe-inducing reasoning he put forward in his announcement.He failed to mention that Trump met today with corporate leaders of aerospace company Blue Origin—also owned by Bezos—which is, at best, godawful timing or a pretty clear signal of Bezos' reasoning in killing the endorsement. Maybe both.Probably both.If none of this makes sense, you're far from alone. It completely failed to persuade the staff and alums of The Washington Post. Conservative columnist and editor-at-large Robert Kagan immediately resigned in protest. Sixteen other Washington Post columnists—Perry Bacon Jr., Matt Bai, Max Boot, E.J. Dionne Jr., Lee Hockstader, David Ignatius, Heather Long, Ruth Marcus, Dana Milbank, Alexandra Petri, Catherine Rampell, Eugene Robinson, Jennifer Rubin, Karen Tumulty, and Erik Wemple—published this statement on the paper's website:The Washington Post's decision not to make an endorsement in the presidential campaign is a terrible mistake. It represents an abandonment of the fundamental editorial convictions of the newspaper that we love. This is a moment for the institution to be making clear its commitment to democratic values, the rule of law and international alliances, and the threat that Donald Trump poses to them — the precise points The Post made in endorsing Trump's opponents in 2016 and 2020. There is no contradiction between The Post's important role as an independent newspaper and its practice of making political endorsements, both as a matter of guidance to readers and as a statement of core beliefs. That has never been more true than in the current campaign. An independent newspaper might someday choose to back away from making presidential endorsements. But this isn't the right moment, when one candidate is advocating positions that directly threaten freedom of the press and the values of the Constitution.Mr. Woodward and Mr. Bernstein issued this statement:We respect the traditional independence of the editorial page, but this decision 12 days out from the 2024 presidential election ignores the Washington Post's own overwhelming reportorial evidence on the threat Donald Trump poses to democracy. Under Jeff Bezos's ownership, the Washington Post's news operation has used its abundant resources to rigorously investigate the danger and damage a second Trump presidency could cause to the future of American democracy and that makes this decision even more surprising and disappointing, especially this late in the electoral process.Retired WaPo executive editor Martin Baron, who led the paper from 2012 thru 2021, including the tumultuous years of Trump's presidency, responded with a scathing statement: “This is cowardice, with democracy as its casualty. Donald Trump will see this as invitation to further intimidate owner Jeff Bezos (and others). Disturbing spinelessness at an institution famed for courage.”The Washington Post Guild—the paper's employee union—had this to say:We are deeply concerned that The Washington Post—an American news institution in the nation's capital—would make the decision to no longer endorse presidential candidates, especially a mere 11 days ahead of an immensely consequential election. The role of an Editorial Board is to do just this: to share opinion on the news impacting our society and culture and endorse candidates to help guide readers.The message from our chief executive, Will Lewis—not from the Editorial Board itself—makes us concerned that management interfered with the work of our members in Editorial. According to our own reporters and Guild members, an endorsement for Harris was already drafted, and the decision to not publish was made by The Post's owner, Jeff Bezos. We are already seeing cancellations from once loyal readers. This decision undercuts the work of our members at a time when we should be building our readers' trust, not losing it.Washington Post editorial cartoonist Ann Telnaes published this jarring work on the paper's website, titling it “Democracy Dies in Darkness,” referencing WaPo's official slogan that was introduced in 2017, just a month after Trump took office.As of 7:30pm yesterday, Semafor's Max Tani reported that at least 2,000 subscriptions to the paper had been canceled in the previous 24 hours, the overwhelming bulk of those likely being in the seven-and-a-half hours following the announcement from Mr. Lewis. Numerous public figures—including Stephen King, Mark Hamill, Jon Cryer, and former Congresswoman Marie Newman—publicly announced they were cancelling their own subscriptions.Last night, I made the same decision. I had heard rumblings early in the morning from friends in media that WaPo was about to announce a non-endorsement, credible enough that I mentioned it during a 10am meeting with colleagues and they were understandably shocked.I spent most of yesterday morning and afternoon, in the midst of a very busy schedule, privately agonizing over what I would do as a subscriber.Over the years, I've published a number of op-eds in The Washington Post, pieces of which I'm quite proud in a paper I've put on a pedestal since I was a kid, and I've worked with numerous editors and reporters at the outlet whom I admire for their professionalism and public service.It is not lost on me that cancelling a newspaper subscription will not hurt Jeff Bezos but will hurt those employed at the paper.And yet, as much as my heart breaks for the staff of The Washington Post, who haven't done anything to deserve this, I am still left with the simple truth that if Bezos is willing to kill an endorsement 11 days out, whether out of fear or ambition, what else is he willing to do with the paper?There are numerous journalists at the outlet doing critical work, but how we do know anymore when Jeff Bezos is putting his thumb on the scale, backed up by a complicit CEO who blatantly lies about the paper's direction?There have to be consequences for an action this brazen and irresponsible and dangerous for our democracy. Something's gotta give. I respect the decisions of other subscribers, but I simply cannot stomach giving another dime in reward to a publication with such great influence that can be used to do such great harm moving forward.It is my hope that there will be a time, after Vice President Harris is elected, after Trump is held accountable, after the craven capitalists of media have learned there's not much to be made in the long run from these corrupt and shameless tactics, that The Washington Post will be restored to its former glory.In the meantime, I will pay for my news elsewhere.Charlotte's Web Thoughts is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Charlotte's Web Thoughts at charlotteclymer.substack.com/subscribe
Kamala Harris has come under fire for ignoring interview requests from the press. On this week's On the Media, the debate over whether giving media access actually helps inform voters. Plus, a guide to understanding election polls, and how they've evolved since the failures of 2016 and 2020.[01:00] Host Brooke Gladstone explores a rising complaint from some in the political press that Vice President Kamala Harris isn't engaging enough with reporters, featuring: Perry Bacon Jr., Washington Post columnist, Matt Bai, a journalist at the Washington Post who has interviewed many presidential candidates, and David Lurie, a contributing writer for Public Notice.[19:57] Host Micah Loewinger speaks to Courtney Kennedy, Vice President of Methods and Innovation at Pew Research Center, to reassess our Breaking News Consumer's Handbook on polls and answer the age-old question: should we care about them at all?[34:26] Host Micah Loewinger speaks with Gordon Hanson, an economist and a co-director of the Reimagining the Economy Project at Harvard University's Kennedy School, about why tariffs have rebounded in political popularity amongst Democrats and Republicans. Further reading:“Harris should talk to journalists more. Particularly the wonky ones,” by Perry Bacon Jr.“The media gets nothing from Kamala Harris. That's mostly on us,” by Matt Bai“Kamala Harris is cutting off Trump's political oxygen,” by David Lurie“Key things to know about U.S. election polling in 2024,” by Scott Keeter and Courtney Kennedy“Washington's New Trade Consensus: And What It Gets Wrong,” by Gordon Hanson On the Media is supported by listeners like you. Support OTM by donating today (https://pledge.wnyc.org/support/otm). Follow our show on Instagram, Twitter and Facebook @onthemedia, and share your thoughts with us by emailing onthemedia@wnyc.org.
With falling poll numbers and President Biden's public appearances doing little to reassure voters he's still got what it takes to win, Democrats are faced with a difficult decision about how to proceed. Biden has dug in, pledging to the public that he isn't going anywhere. Charles Lane, Karen Tumulty and Perry Bacon Jr. talk through whether Biden can salvage his campaign, how possible it really is to change course now and who else could step up.Read more from our columnists:“Kamala Harris walks into the storm — and keeps her footing”“What if Biden steps aside from the Democratic nomination?”“If not Biden, who? Five columnists weigh in.”
Parmi les dix candidats en lice, deux personnalités font figure de favoris : le président sortant, Nicolas Maduro, qui brigue un troisième mandat, et Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia, qui représente les principaux partis d'opposition. Face à une très profonde crise économique, les Vénézuéliens en sont réduits à survivre, et le pouvoir d'achat reste l'enjeu majeur de ce scrutin. Au siècle dernier, c'était encore l'un des pays les plus riches du monde, assis sur l'une des plus grandes réserves de pétrole de la planète. Mais au tournant des années 2010, meurtri par la chute du cours des matières premières, le PIB du Venezuela s'est effondré. Aujourd'hui, plus de 50% de la population vit dans une situation d'extrême pauvreté, incapable de satisfaire ses besoins les plus fondamentaux, comme celui de se nourrir. Au micro de notre correspondante, Alice Campaignolle, les habitants de Caracas témoignent de la hausse continue du coût de la vie. Elle les force à modifier leur régime alimentaire au détriment de leur santé, ce que déplore le sociologue Luis Pedro España. « Il y a une grande précarité alimentaire au Venezuela. Alors certes, pas comme il y a 3 ou 4 ans où il n'y avait tout simplement pas de consommation alimentaire, car il n'y avait pas de produits. Mais aujourd'hui, le régime de base des Vénézuéliens est composé en grande partie de glucides, qui comblent la faim mais ne nourrissent pas correctement ».L'inconnue de la reprise du dialogue avec WashingtonÀ trois semaines du scrutin, un dossier sensible s'invite dans la campagne. À quel point le nouveau chapitre de discussions engagé entre la Maison Blanche et le gouvernement vénézuélien peut-il peser sur la présidentielle ? C'était hier (3 juillet 2024), par visioconférence, et ça ne tombe pas du ciel, on sait que Washington et Caracas n'ont plus de relations diplomatiques depuis 2019, mais les deux pays se parlent. Discrètement, mais ils se parlent. Le processus a été engagé, l'an dernier (2023), sous les auspices du Qatar, avec un échange de prisonniers en décembre, une réunion secrète au Mexique en avril, et cette fois-ci, un dialogue public et officiel.Comme toujours au Venezuela, deux lectures. Celle d'un organe chaviste, Ultimas noticias. On y lit que la montée de l'extrême-droite en Europe fait disparaître des gouvernements qui étaient jusqu'ici « des satellites naturels de Washington », que les Américains font l'objet d'un rejet total dans le monde musulman en raison de leur soutien à Israël, que la Russie, la Chine ou les BRICS remettent toujours plus en question l'hégémonie du dollar, en résumé, que la Maison Blanche adopte une approche pragmatique, parce qu'elle serait sur le point de couler et n'aurait aucune raison de perpétuer le conflit avec un Nicolas Maduro présenté comme déjà réélu.Analyse inverse d'El Tiempo, sous la plume d'Ana Maria Rodriguez Brazon. La clé, ce sont les sondages. Et d'après ces enquêtes d'opinion (contestées par le camp présidentiel), Maduro est à la traîne, loin derrière le candidat du bloc d'opposition. Cela pourrait bien être ça, affirme le politologue Carlos Zambrano, « le facteur déterminant de ce rapprochement surprise avec Washington. Non pas parce que Maduro pense qu'il va faire un retour, mais parce qu'il doit négocier sa sortie ». À très court terme, en tout cas, explique El Tiempo, les États-Unis veulent s'assurer que Nicolas Maduro ne va pas suspendre ou disqualifier la candidature de son adversaire politique. Et le gouvernement vénézuélien cherche de son côté la reconnaissance de la communauté internationale, à condition de parvenir à maîtriser le scrutin de bout en bout.Joe Biden face à la montagne de sa réélectionLe camp démocrate est toujours en ébullition après le débat catastrophique du président américain la semaine dernière, et les langues commencent à se délier. Après les fuites dans le New York Times affirmant qu'il a commencé à réfléchir au maintien de sa candidature, et les sorties de différents élus démocrates qui n'ont plus peur d'appeler à son retrait, Joe Biden fait le choix de s'accrocher. La Maison Blanche veut prouver qu'il peut sauver la face après le débat et prévoit deux moments de vérité : une grande interview sur ABC ce vendredi et une conférence de presse la semaine prochaine, en marge du sommet de l'OTAN. L'historien et spécialiste des États-Unis Corentin Sellin nous rappelle que Joe Biden n'a plus le droit à l'erreur. Et que s'il échouait à rassurer et finissait par jeter l'éponge, les Démocrates devraient dans l'urgence se doter d'un ou d'une remplaçante avant le 19 août 2024, date de la Convention démocrate.Qui pour le remplacer ?Pourquoi pas une femme ? Et pourquoi pas Gretchen Whitmer, la gouverneure démocrate du Michigan et l'étoile montante du Parti ? Dans le Washington Post, l'éditorialiste Perry Bacon Jr. fait remarquer que son bilan local pourrait séduire à la fois modérés et progressistes chez les Démocrates. Que cette possibilité n'a pas vraiment été explorée, mais que selon deux enquêtes, dans le cas d'un duel avec Donald Trump dans le Michigan, elle l'emporterait, là où Joe Biden finirait derrière son adversaire. Sans oublier un autre profil intéressant : Gina Raimondo, l'actuelle ministre du Commerce et ancienne gouverneur de l'État de Rhode Island. Sur ses terres, « elle a réduit les impôts, augmenté le salaire minimum, attiré de nouvelles entreprises, étendu l'accès aux énergies renouvelables, excellé dans la gestion d'épidémie de COVID, déroule l'éditorialiste David Von Drehle, avec elle, l'Amérique pourrait enfin élire sa première présidente ».Le Premier ministre haïtien de transition interpelle la communauté internationale au siège de l'ONUEn ligne de Port-au-Prince, Frantz Duval, le rédacteur en chef du Nouvelliste, revient sur la suite de la visite aux États-Unis du Premier ministre haïtien de transition, Garry Conille, qui s'est rendu au siège des Nations unies, à New York. Il y a exposé son projet et renouvelé son appel à un appui prolongé de la communauté internationale face à la crise sécuritaire imposée par les gangs, « 12 000 hommes qui prennent en otage 12 millions d'habitants ». À l'occasion de la réunion du Conseil de sécurité de l'ONU, plusieurs pays dont les États-Unis et la France ont en outre appelé à la mise en place de nouvelles sanctions contre des personnalités haïtiennes, mais Frantz Duval témoigne des divergences qui traversent le Conseil à ce sujet et de la difficulté à établir une liste précise. Toute la couverture du Nouvelliste à retrouver ici (lenouvelliste.com) et chaque jeudi sur l'antenne de RFI.Le Journal de la 1èreEn Martinique, la vétusté de l'hôpital du Marin inquiète les syndicats du secteur de la santé.
Congressman Morgan McGarvey, State Senator Karen Berg, and special guest Perry Bacon Jr. join Jon, Jon, Tommy, and Dan live from Louisville! New Speaker of the House (and possible but unproven short king) Mike Johnson's MAGA bona fides are tested in an interview with Sean Hannity. Kentucky prepares for the November 7th gubernatorial race between Democrat incumbent Andy Beshear and Mitch McConnell mentee, Daniel Cameron. And, Joe Biden gets a primary challenger: Congressman Dean Phillips of Minnesota. Plus, Rep. McGarvey serves up tough questions and samples of the state's bourbon offerings in a segment called "I'll Drink the Fifth." For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast.
En la mayoría de países industrializados muchos se sienten desengañados por la religión y el número de personas sin filiación religiosa crece. Estos anticlericales no descartan totalmente la existencia de Dios pero dudan que se le pueda conocer o que la religión institucional represente a la deidad. Interesantemente algunos de estos agnósticos ven aspectos de servicio comunitarios de la fe como algo necesario y positivo, incluso en sus propias vidas. Perry Bacon Jr., columnista del diario norteamericano The Washington Post, parece ser uno de ellos. En un reciente comentario editorial afirma que abandonó decepcionado la iglesia y ahora extraña una "iglesia para agnósticos”. Según Bacon, esa congregación debería tener mucha música con mensajes positivos, estar llena de historias humanas y testimonios, tener sermones sobre valores universales y, sobre todo... no exigir que la gente crea en Dios o siga a Jesucristo. Lo interesante del caso es que, esas iglesias ya existen y se parecen mucho a las grandes congregaciones de América Latina. Lamentablemente, la mayoría de las personas prefieren evitar la inconveniencia de creer en Jesucristo, incluso cuando van a la iglesia.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kevin McCarthy is out as House speaker. Now what? Post Opinions columnists Perry Bacon, Jim Geraghty and Dana Milbank gather for an impromptu conversation about where the House should go from here, whom the next speaker might be and whether Democrats have any responsibility to clean up the mess.Populist passions, not Trump, rule the GOP, by Jim GeraghtyMcCarthy's gone. Republican dysfunction is here to stay, by Dana MilbankRepublicans are in disarray. But they are still winning a lot on policy, by Perry Bacon Jr.
Washington Post columnist Perry Bacon Jr. recently wrote a column that has Brian and Aubrey debating the nature of church. They're also shocked by changing statistics about demographics, and end the show with something very special: an interview with Dr. Phil Ryken, the eighth president of Wheaton College in Wheaton, Ill. Follow The Common Good on Facebook, Twitter and Instagram Hosted by Aubrey Sampson and Brian From Produced by Laura Finch and Keith ConradSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The team at Washington Post Opinions is using this space to bring you occasional conversations reacting to the biggest stories we're talking about. As we continue to share discussions, we'd love to know what you think and what you're craving to hear. We wanted to quickly react to today's news and hope you find the conversation useful and thought-provoking.The U.S. Supreme Court striking down affirmative action in college admissions is a huge development for law, education and politics. It's also, if you're a Black person who attended a school that considers race in admissions, something of a personal story. So Post Opinions columnists Christine Emba (Princeton) and Perry Bacon Jr. (Yale) discussed the ruling, its implications for potential students and graduates of elite colleges, how it fits into America's legacy racial history and the “reckoning” of the last few years; and their own personal experiences as Ivy League students and alums.
Maria and Julio are joined by Anthony Orozco, a journalist who just wrapped up his time as the Latino communities reporter for WITF, and Rachel Leingang, writer of Arizona Agenda on Substack, for a hyperlocal conversation about the 2022 midterms in Pennsylvania and Arizona. They unpack key races in both states and discuss how progressivism will impact state politics going forward. ITT Staff Picks: In the latest Arizona Agenda piece, Rachel Leingang and Hank Stephenson break down what lessons Democrats and Republicans can learn from the midterms. Julia Terruso and Kasturi Pananjady break down John Fetterman's win and how the Pennsylvania Democrat made gains across Pittsburgh's suburbs, for The Philadelphia Inquirer. “The heroes of the 2022 midterm elections were Democratic voters and activists, not the party's leadership,” writes Perry Bacon Jr., in this piece for the Washington Post. Photo credit: AP Photo/Matt Slocum
In one of the highlights of last week's EconCon Presents event in Washington D.C., Washington Post columnist Perry Bacon Jr. convened an all-star panel of political experts. Maurice Mitchell, Faiz Shakir, and Anna Greenberg joined Bacon to share lessons learned from the midterm elections, and debate strategies for driving the progressive economic agenda forward in 2023 and beyond. Thanks to our friends at EconCon for sharing audio of this event for Pitchfork Economics listeners. For more information about upcoming EconCon events, follow them on Twitter: @EconConPresents. Website: http://pitchforkeconomics.com Twitter: @PitchforkEcon Instagram: @pitchforkeconomics Nick's twitter: @NickHanauer
Throughout election night, we'll be turning to our panel of guests for their expert analysis. Judy Woodruff is joined by Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, David Brooks of The New York Times, Perry Bacon Jr. of The Washington Post, freelance columnist Gary Abernathy, Former Chief of Staff to former Vice President Pence Marc Short and Democratic strategist Faiz Shakir. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders
Throughout election night, we'll be turning to our panel of guests for their expert analysis. Judy Woodruff is joined by Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, David Brooks of The New York Times, Perry Bacon Jr. of The Washington Post, freelance columnist Gary Abernathy, Former Chief of Staff to former Vice President Pence Marc Short and Democratic strategist Faiz Shakir. PBS NewsHour is supported by - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/about/funders
Bryan is joined by Washington Post columnist Perry Bacon Jr. to discuss the upcoming midterm elections as well as recent media news. They begin by addressing the unified story represented by these elections, discuss which senate race has been of peak interest, and weigh in on whether the democrats are “screwing this up.” Later, they touch on how Twitter may or may not change under the ownership of Elon Musk, and then Bacon shares his three-step plan to save local news. Host: Bryan Curtis Guest: Perry Bacon Jr. Associate Producer: Erika Cervantes Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Survey data has become the North Star of the Democratic Party and politically active liberals. Statisticians proved to be better forecasters of election outcomes than pundits and strategists, so over the past decade and a half we've outsourced the whole vocation of politics to them. It was a fateful development, but it hasn't been a smashing success. Have we landed in the best possible place? Or can we do better? Why don't Republicans follow this same strategy? Conversely, with Republicans given back over to highly compromised candidates in this election, why are Democrats shrugging off their scandals and sticking to the pocketbook issues playbook? Especially when that playbook has such mixed results. Data journalist and Washington Post opinion columnist Perry Bacon Jr. joins Brian to talk about the limits of quantitative methods in politics, and how a smarter approach to data can help Democrats, when democracy itself is on the line.
Survey data has become the North Star of the Democratic Party and politically active liberals. Statisticians proved to be better forecasters of election outcomes than pundits and strategists, so over the past decade and a half we've outsourced the whole vocation of politics to them. It was a fateful development, but it hasn't been a smashing success. Have we landed in the best possible place? Or can we do better? Why don't Republicans follow this same strategy? Conversely, with Republicans given back over to highly compromised candidates in this election, why are Democrats shrugging off their scandals and sticking to the pocketbook issues playbook? Especially when that playbook has such mixed results. Data journalist and Washington Post opinion columnist Perry Bacon Jr. joins Brian to talk about the limits of quantitative methods in politics, and how a smarter approach to data can help Democrats, when democracy itself is on the line.
SHOW NOTESStanford's Evelyn Douek and Alex Stamos weigh in on the latest online trust and safety news and developments:The Wire retracted recent coverage of Meta and will conduct an internal review of past coverage by staff involved with the reporting. - The WireFrench police are investigating severed fiber-optic cables that disrupted internet and phone services in the Marseille area. Alex urges caution before jumping to any conclusions. John Leicester/ Associated PressTurkey's parliament voted to adopt a law that could send social media users to jail for up to three years for spreading false information to "create fear and disturb public order" despite free speech and media freedom concerns. - ReutersBrazilian authorities granted the power to order that online platforms remove content to the country's elections chief who also sits on the supreme court. - Jack Nicas/ The New York TimesKiwi Farms was available at its original URL over the last month but is back down. - Ellie Hall/ BuzzFeedThe Republican National Committee sued Google over alleged spam filtering bias. It still has not enrolled in a new pilot program Google created with FEC approval to address those concerns. - Sara Fischer, Ashley Gold/ AxiosElon may very well buy Twitter — could an alternative platform pop up? - Perry Bacon Jr./ The Washington Post (commentary)Join the conversation and connect with Evelyn and Alex on Twitter at @evelyndouek and @alexstamos.Moderated Content is produced in partnership by Stanford Law School and the Cyber Policy Center. Special thanks to John Perrino for research and editorial assistance.Like what you heard? Don't forget to subscribe and share the podcast with friends!
In the final weeks before Pennsylvania's May 17th primaries, SuperPACs affiliated with the American Israel Public Affairs Committee spent millions of dollars in the 12th district, nearly all on TV ads attacking Summer Lee and boosting corporate lawyer Steve Irwin.Summer Lee narrowly won. How? And what might other progressive candidates, campaign managers, communications strategists, and organizers learn from the resilience of the Summer Lee for Congress campaign? Also, what to make of the increasing sums of outside money spent against Justice Democrats in these competitive primaries?To get the inside scoop on the tactics and strategies that mattered, Guido sat down with Justice Democrats campaign director and former pro basketball player Geoff Simpson for another episode of Campaign Breakdown with Coach Geoff.For more on the May 17th primaries and the factional scoreboard, see the Washington Post story “In Tuesday's primaries, Democrats' left and center wings both got wins” by Perry Bacon Jr.
It's Casual Friday! Sam and Emma host Perry Bacon Jr., columnist for the Washington Post, to discuss his recent pieces "Let's puncture some myths about Democrats' struggles" and "Why Ketanji Brown Jackson would be such an upgrade over Breyer." Then, Sam and Emma are joined by John Hodgman and David Rees to discuss their new project "Dicktown" on FXX! Perry, Sam, and Emma begin by parsing through Biden's State of the Union and his gratuitous hits on the left as they set up a discussion on the Democratic establishment preparing the midterm blame-game on progressivism and “wokeness.” This brings them to the role of the consultant class in bolstering these arguments, as well as how the ideological battle for the future of the party, and the media readiness to accept centrist talking points work in tandem. Next, they take on the Democratic establishment's fear of all things culture war, and why younger generations are more willing to explicitly take on the Republican push to start banning books. They take on the nomination of Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court and why she was the obvious choice, before they wrap up the interview by reflecting on Breyer's role over these last few years, and why his typical SCOTUS Justice pretension has reinforced the institution's anti-democratic nature. Sam and Emma also touch on the continuing backlash to Russia, and Manchin calling for a massive fracking investment in the domestic oil industry. Then they are joined by David Rees and John Hodgman as they discuss their new show “Dicktown,” why their adult animation isn't more “adult,” and reflect on the general dickheadery of their youth. And in the Fun Half: Tucker Carlson, not weeks after laughing at support for Ukraine and hitching his own wagon to Russia, decides to put out a call for escalation against Russia, Sean Hannity calls for war, but like, suuuuper secret war, and Lindsay Graham gives Putin all the anti-American propaganda he needs. A Florida school suspends a student for promoting protests against the “Don't Say Gay” Bill, DeSantis preps his presidential run, and Greg Gutfeld wants to redefine mutually assured destruction, plus, your IMs! 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On this episode, The Washington Post columnist and former senior writer at FiveThirtyEight Perry Bacon Jr. joins us for a lively discussion about the state of politics and political journalism today, from the burgeoning uncivil war being waged by Republicans to Democrats' timidity and inability to address the root causes of social and political tension head on. Perry explains why words like “polarization” don't accurately capture what's happening in American politics, the pitfalls of “objectivity” when a journalist's identity and humanity becomes inseparable from the national political debate, and a different type of swing voter that doesn't get enough attention. He also shares why Democrats are afraid of seeming too friendly to Black people, his hopes for his platform at The Washington Post, and how social media is reshaping journalism. REFERENCES: Perry Bacon Jr. – @perrybaconjr Articles The Washington Post // Perry Bacon Jr. — Opinion: I live in a Democratic bubble, Here's why that's okay. https://washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/07/22/i-live-democratic-bubble-heres-why-thats-okay/ FiveThirtyEight // Perry Bacon Jr. — Five Questions The Political Media Is Wrestling With In Covering America's ‘Uncivil War' https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/five-questions-the-political-media-is-wrestling-with-in-covering-americas-uncivil-war/ CNN // Ronald Brownstein — Coronavirus is dividing blue cities from their red states https://cnn.com/2020/03/31/politics/red-states-blue-cities-coronavirus/index.html Reparations Commission H.R. 40 — Commission to Study and Develop Reparation Proposals for African-Americans Act https://congress.gov/bill/116th-congress/house-bill/40
Three of our favorite segments from the week, in case you missed them. Summer Books (First) | 'Black Renaissance' for All (Starts at 10:05) | Urban Biodiversity (Starts at 26:00) If you don't subscribe to the Brian Lehrer Show on iTunes, you can do that here.
Plus... Biden breaks from Trump and Obama on leak probes; Tribune's sale and the fragile future of local news; Chicago mayor sparks debate over diversity and media access; social media guidelines gone awry at the AP? Claire Atkinson, Nicole Hemmer, Perry Bacon Jr., Edward-Isaac Dovere, Gregory Pratt, Max Foster and John Ware join Brian Stelter. To learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy
Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics.
On today’s Bulwark podcast, Perry Bacon Jr. joins Tim Miller to talk about the 2020 elections, and how the parties are preparing for 2024. Plus, a discussion about politics and race, and how voters and their standards have evolved (or devolved.) Special Guests: Perry Bacon, Jr. and Tim Miller.
On this episode, we discuss an article from 538's Perry Bacon Jr. about how the GOP weaponizes cancel culture as a political strategy. We also talk about the tragic shooting in Colorado, the controversy with the NCAA, Sidney Powell's crazy legal defense, Biden's recent press conference, and more! Find us on Facebook and Twitter at ThinkProPod! If you would like to email us, you can reach us at thinkpropod@gmail.com. If you like our podcast, make sure to leave a 5-star review! Useful links from the episode:10 People, Including Police Officer, Killed In Colorado Grocery Store ShootingNCAA apologizes to women's basketball players for weight room disparityPro-Trump lawyer says ‘no reasonable person’ would believe her election liesDOCUMENTS SHOW AMAZON IS AWARE DRIVERS PEE IN BOTTLES AND EVEN DEFECATE EN ROUTE, DESPITE COMPANY DENIALGeorgia governor signs law curbing voting accessArkansas governor signs transgender sports ban into lawFox News Covers Dr. Seuss Story More Than CNN And MSNBC CombinedHuffPost/YouGov Poll: Cancel CultureWhy Attacking ‘Cancel Culture’ And ‘Woke’ People Is Becoming The GOP’s New Political StrategyWhy Republicans Are Happy To Stoke Culture Wars
The White House said this week that it reached its goal of 100 million vaccines administered ahead of schedule. That, as top officials grapple with another crisis: thousands of unaccompanied children are arriving at the border, threatening to overwhelm facilities. Plus, after 8 people -- including 6 Asian women -- were shot to death in the Atlanta-area, a new focus on anti-Asian American violence and hate crimes across the country. And, Republican Mayor John Giles of Mesa, Arizona explains why he supported the just-passed $1.9 trillion relief package and how it will help his city recover. On today's show: CNN's Kaitlan Collins and Perry Bacon Jr. of 538; Nicole Hong of the New York Times; Mesa Mayor John Giles (R); Republican Strategist Scott Jennings and Former Deputy Chief of Staff to Sen. Harry Reid and author of "Kill Switch: The Rise of the Modern Senate and the Crippling of American Democracy" Adam JentlesonTo learn more about how CNN protects listener privacy, visit cnn.com/privacy
Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded.
Hi! This is Lexie of Read by AI. I read human-curated content for you to listen to while working, exercising, commuting, or any other time. Without further ado: With Trump’s Acquittal, The Fragility Of America’s Democracy Is Even More Clear by Perry Bacon Jr. from Five Thirty Eight.
Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and Greg Bluestein of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution to understand the trends that flipped Georgia blue and how durable they are.
Judge Amy Coney Barrett is on track to become the next Supreme Court Justice. Perry Bacon Jr. and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss what we learned from her nomination hearings and how she would shape the Court.
Kentucky Attorney General Daniel Cameron is the first Black person elected independently to a statewide office in Kentucky. Now, all eyes are on the Republican rising star as he navigates the investigation into the Louisville police shooting of Breonna Taylor, whose death in March sparked national protests over police violence against African-Americans. Special guest Perry Bacon Jr., a senior political writer for Five Thirty Eight and a Louisville resident, discusses his recent Bluegrass Beat newsletter piece, The Complicated Racial Politics Around Daniel Cameron. Bacon also touches on Cameron's upcoming speech at the Republican National Convention.
Perry Bacon Jr., “How Biden Is Winning An Identity Politics Election So Far,” FiveThirtyEight (July 10, 2020).James Wallner, “Make America Diverse Again,” Law & Liberty (June 11, 2019).
On today’s show, we reflect on the life and legacy of the civil-rights icon and 17-term congressman. Tributes poured in from across the political spectrum, and Apple News editors collected some of the best ones in this Spotlight Collection. Plus, Vox compiled six of his most memorable speeches; and New York Magazine shares one of the Congressman’s last interviews before his death as he reflects on the Black Lives Matter protests. Political analyst Perry Bacon Jr. charts the new and shifting landscape of Black politics for FiveThirtyEight. In Portland, Oregon, federal authorities have cracked down on protesters. NPR and Oregon Public Broadcasting explain how tensions reached this point. And the Washington Post offers analysis on the legality of this escalation of force by the federal government. And, Smithsonian Magazine brings us a list of scientific breakthroughs that were achieved during quarantine, by researchers mostly working from home.
In recent weeks, public opinion has moved significantly in favor of Black Lives Matter and more people have taken the view that Black people face discrimination in America. But is there public support for policies that could address that discrimination? FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and political science professor Meredith Conroy discuss what the polls can tell us.
Perry Bacon Jr., senior writer for FiveThirtyEight, talks about the political headlines from over the weekend.
With President Trump is still leaning on the racist rhetoric that helped him win in 2016. But this time, it's not working. So what's different now? On Today's Show:Perry Bacon Jr., senior writer for FiveThirtyEight, breaks down the latest national political data and news, including Biden's vice-presidential options, and Trump's falling poll numbers.
On the third, and final, installment of That's the Ticket, Dan and Alyssa talk about what factors a candidate has to consider once they've vetted potential VPs, how the vice presidential announcement process has evolved over time, and finally who they think Biden will pick. Dan also talks to Perry Bacon Jr., a senior writer from FiveThirtyEight, about what polling does and doesn't tell us about the impact of a VP pick.
Veteran political reporter Perry Bacon, Jr. of FiveThirtyEight.com applies his ample knowledge of how the reporting game is played to the NBA. He and Nate discuss: When to trust or question stories that cite unnamed sources. Why sources leak stories to certain reporters. How the importance of “newsbreaking” affects how stories are reported. They also discuss Perry’s ideas for improving minority hiring in the NFL and how those could apply to the NBA. Then Danny is back to discuss the early returns on coronavirus testing, the NBA’s schedule release, and other league news. Perry’s articles referenced in the show: When To Trust A Story That Uses Unnamed Sources A 5-Part Plan To Fix The NFL’s Coaching Diversity Problem You can subscribe by searching “Dunc’d On” on your favorite podcast player. And if you like this pod and want additional bonus content, please subscribe to support Nate and Danny at Patreon.com/DuncanLeroux. Merchandise available at NateDuncanNBA.com, sponsors list also available at NateDuncanNBA.com. Note that COVID Daily News is now a separate pod. Please subscribe to that show on its own feed via Apple, Spotify or RSS Feed, or by searching “Nate Duncan” in your podcast player. With Nate Duncan (@NateDuncanNBA and Danny Leroux @DannyLeroux).
Prof. Yohuru Williams joins Perry Bacon Jr. and Galen Druke to discuss how today's anti-police violence protests compare with past protest movements.
Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari join the podcast to discuss the process of choosing a VP and what that choice says about the candidate and the party.
Louisville's Perry Bacon Jr., a senior political writer for FiveThirtyEight.com, joins the podcast to discuss local and national politics amid the coronavirus pandemic. Topics include Gov. Andy Beshear's handling of the situation, how things might have been different under former Gov. Matt Bevin, U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and the recent dust-up between some conservatives and Mayor Greg Fischer over drive-in Easter church services.
This week we welcomed Perry Bacon Jr. of FiveThirtyEight and Insider Louisville to the podcast. We talked about Kentucky politics from a national perspective, touching specifically on the 2019 Gubernatorial race, the 2019 Attorney General's race, and the 2020 U.S. Senate race. Perry even got us to talk about the Presidential race, and we revealed our favorite candidate for the highest office in the land. Only five days have elapsed since our last show, but we had plenty of quick hits to cover -- the end of Insider Louisville, Andy Beshear's ethics plan, Sen. Dan Seum's endorsement of Andy Beshear, and plenty more!
Trevor gives a rundown of the first 2020 Democratic primary debate, and FiveThirtyEight senior political writer Perry Bacon Jr. weighs in on how the candidates performed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Hi! This is Lexie of Read by AI. I read human-curated content for you to listen during work, exercise, your commute, or any other time. Without further ado: How Major Democratic And Republican Blocs Are Responding To The Mueller Report by Perry Bacon Jr. from Five Thirty Eight. The Mueller report, released in full on […]
Air Date: 4/23/2019 Today we take a look at the current state of the Democratic Party in the wake of the 2018 elections that swept in a new class of Super-Progressives who are now locking horns with the more establishment and conservative leadership of the party as they all gear up for the 2020 primary and general elections. Be part of the show! Leave a message at 202-999-3991 Episode Sponsors: Cannabis: The Illegalization of Weed in America| Bombas.com/BEST | Primary Ride Home podcast 2020 Amazon USA| Amazon CA| Amazon UK| Clean Choice Energy Get AD FREE Shows & Bonus Content: Support our show on Patreon! SHOW NOTES Ch. 1: The Six Groups of the Democratic Party with Leno Krauze and Perry Bacon Jr. - Trumpcast - Air Date 3-18-19 There are 6 main groups of Democrats, from the Super-Progressives to the Conservatives. The energy is in the progressives, so much so that an outsider like Bernie Sanders is mainstream. Ch. 2: Beware The Narcissism of Small Differences - The David Pakman Show - Air Date 2-19-19 Small differences create conflict where there shouldn't be. We are satisfied by fueling ourselves with aggression. Warren or Bernie shouldn't be a dead end issue. Ch. 3: Does Obama Speak for Progressives? with Paul Jay and Dr. Gerald Horne - The Real News - Air Date 4-9-19 The problem with Obama, his support of Biden, and his silence with progressives. You can't play ball with corporate democrats because they own the game. Ch. 4: AOC vs. DCCC: It’s War. with Emma Vigeland - Rebel HQ - Air Date 4-9-19 AOC is a voice of the rebellious spirit we all have. The DCCC is blacklisting and boycotting challengers to their power. Ch. 5: AOC on what we need in a 2020 presidential candidate - The Intercept - Air Date 1-29-19 New democratic leadership is needed. Policy and progressivism is pitted against identity. Time to lean into a broader progressive message. Ch. 6: Support for Israel Divides Democrats, A Division Fomented by Republicans with Mairav Zonszein - The Real News - Air Date 2-10-19 The media claims if you support BDS you are an anti-semite. The Democrats aren't stopping that narrative. Ch. 7: Swamp Monsters Attack Progressives with Cenk Uygur, Nomi Prins, and Ana Kasparian - The Young Turks - Air Date 3-28-19 The DCCC has taken a less democratic turn for the 2020 cycle and is stifling completion and blackballing consultants who would dare work against them. Ch. 8: Establishment Dems Start War on Bernie - The David Pakman Show - Air Date 4-17-19 The 2016 establishment fought Bernie, and they continue today. Why do they want to stop him? His policies are popular and poll great. VOICEMAILS Ch. 9: The shifting definitions of progressivism - V from Central New York Ch. 10: Wage caps hurt the workers but not the businesses - Bud from Boise FINAL COMMENTS Ch. 11: Final comments on what Jimmy Dore leaving TYT says about the split in strategy among progressives with largely similar political goals MUSIC(Blue Dot Sessions): Opening Theme: Loving Acoustic Instrumental by John Douglas Orr PolyCoat - The Cabinetmaker Parade Shoes - Arc and Crecent Gondola Blue - Towboat Quaver - Codebreaker Rapids - Grey River Sunday Lights - Onesuch Village Voicemail Music: Low Key Lost Feeling Electro by Alex Stinnent Closing Music: Upbeat Laid Back Indie Rock by Alex Stinnent Produced by Jay! Tomlinson Thanks for listening! Visit us at BestOfTheLeft.com Support the show via Patreon Listen on iTunes | Stitcher| Spotify| Alexa Devices| +more Check out the BotL iOS/AndroidApp in the App Stores! Follow at Twitter.com/BestOfTheLeft Like at Facebook.com/BestOfTheLeft Contact me directly at Jay@BestOfTheLeft.com Review the show on iTunesand Stitcher!
León Krauze talks to FiveThirtyEight writer Perry Bacon Jr. about how he defines six different groups within the Democratic party, where each stands on current issues, and how 2020 presidential candidates might fall within those factions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
León Krauze talks to FiveThirtyEight writer Perry Bacon Jr. about how he defines six different groups within the Democratic party, where each stands on current issues, and how 2020 presidential candidates might fall within those factions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Hi! This is Lexie of Read by AI. I read human-curated content for you to listen during work, exercise, your commute, or any other time. Without further ado: How Kamala Harris Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary by Perry Bacon Jr. from Five Thirty Eight. Sen. Kamala Harris of California, who officially said she is […]
Is Trump in danger of a serious challenge for the Republican nomination in 2020? Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari join the podcast to discuss.
We were thrilled to welcome FiveThirtyEight Senior Political Writer (and Kentucky resident) Perry Bacon Jr. to the show! We spoke about the connection between Kentucky politics and national politics, his career, and what the future might hold for Democrats in Kentucky. At the end of the interview, Perry starts interviewing us, and even gets our take on the 2020 Presidential election! Before our interview, there was SO MUCH to talk about! We discuss the Supreme Court ruling throwing out SB 151, which led to a two day special session -- listen up to learn all the details of what went down during a wild week! Plus, Insider Louisville published a tip that Adam Edelen might run for governor. We discuss that possibility and what that ticket might do in the race. Plus, Jazmin explains to us Gov. Bevin's blow-up at ProPublica, and the Kentucky GOP's FOIA requests for Kentucky teachers' emails.
How can we have a dialogue about the issues of the day if we can't agree on the facts? How can we work to solve our most pressing issues if we don't treat each other with basic respect? Critical thinking and civility are necessary to be good citizens, but it's difficult to decide what those terms mean in 2018. We will sort it all out with Perry Bacon Jr., senior writer for FiveThirtyEight, and Dr. Michael Lynch, philosophy professor and author of The Internet of Us: Knowing More and Understanding Less in the Age of Big Data.
Renee and journalist and Louisville native Perry Bacon Jr., senior political writer at FiveThirtyEight, discuss President Trump's first year in office, Trump's interactions with Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin, party dynamics in both the national Republican and Democratic parties, and more. Previously, Bacon was a senior political reporter for NBC News and was a White House reporter and national political reporter at The Washington Post.
Renee and journalist and Louisville native Perry Bacon Jr., senior political writer at FiveThirtyEight, discuss President Trump's first year in office, Trump's interactions with Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin, party dynamics in both the national Republican and Democratic parties, and more. Previously, Bacon was a senior political reporter for NBC News and was a White House reporter and national political reporter at The Washington Post.
Thomas Jefferson and John Adams were very different guys representing opposing political parties. Jefferson was a wildly popular aristocrat from Virginia; Adams was a middling, dyspeptic lawyer from Massachusetts. But they were fast friends, and their relationship ultimately survived a presidential election in which they faced off as candidates. Historian Gordon S. Wood explains why their friendship should give us hope. Wood’s book is Friends Divided: John Adams and Thomas Jefferson. In lieu of a Spiel today, we’re sharing a piece of The Gist’s Washington live show. Mike talked to FiveThirtyEight senior writer Perry Bacon Jr. about the Alabama Senate race and the growing momentum behind the Republican tax bill. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Thomas Jefferson and John Adams were very different guys representing opposing political parties. Jefferson was a wildly popular aristocrat from Virginia; Adams was a middling, dyspeptic lawyer from Massachusetts. But they were fast friends, and their relationship ultimately survived a presidential election in which they faced off as candidates. Historian Gordon S. Wood explains why their friendship should give us hope. Wood’s book is Friends Divided: John Adams and Thomas Jefferson. In lieu of a Spiel today, we’re sharing a piece of The Gist’s Washington live show. Mike talked to FiveThirtyEight senior writer Perry Bacon Jr. about the Alabama Senate race and the growing momentum behind the Republican tax bill. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Yascha Mounk and Perry Bacon, Jr. discuss how best to stand up to Trump’s attacks on minorities; the work of Ta-Nehisi Coates and Thomas Chatterton-Williams; and what the role of race would be in the kind of society we should work toward. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Yascha Mounk and Perry Bacon, Jr. discuss how best to stand up to Trump's attacks on minorities; the work of Ta-Nehisi Coates and Thomas Chatterton-Williams; and what the role of race would be in the kind of society we should work toward. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
With NBC's Senior Political Reporter Perry Bacon Jr.